Southwell Races & Results Tomform Thursday 3rd October 2024

There were 52 Races on Thursday 3rd October 2024 across 7 meetings. There was 7 races at Warwick, 8 races at Bellewstown, 7 races at Southwell, 6 races at Salisbury, 7 races at Clonmel, 9 races at Newcastle, 8 races at Chelmsford-City, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Thursday 3rd October 2024

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

14:00 Southwell Handicap Chase (Class 5) 16f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
2
1st (2) Nevendon (16/1 -78%)
Nevendon

16
16/1(-78%)
(2) Nevendon 16/1, A fair 2m hurdle winner and back to something like that form on third attempt in this sphere when second of 5 in handicap chase at Plumpton (17f, good) 11 days ago, threatening briefly but held run-in. Wouldn't be a sure thing to be in same form here, though.
Best chase effort at Plumpton latest, when supported; unexposed and a likely contender.
8
2nd (8) Clean Getaway (11/1 -69%)
Clean Getaway

11
11/1(-69%)
(8) Clean Getaway 11/1, Dual scorer at Market Rasen this summer and turned in another solid display when second of 10 in handicap chase at Sedgefield (16.4f, good, 6/1) 10 days ago. Merits consideration from unchanged mark.
Back to his best when second at Sedgefield (2m, good) latest; player from same mark.
1
3rd (1) Theonlywayiswessex (8/1 -78%)
Theonlywayiswessex

8
8/1(-78%)
(1) Theonlywayiswessex 8/1, Dual AW winner who opened his account over jumps in 9-runner handicap chase at Stratford (17f) in June. Better than bare result when fourth at Worcester next time and whilst he was below best back on the Flat latest, he remains with potential in this sphere.
2m1f chase winner (good) who stayed on for fourth at Worcester; should be thereabouts.
5
4th (5) Abaya Du Mathan (10/1 +29%)
Abaya Du Mathan

10
10/1(+29%)
(5) Abaya Du Mathan 10/1, Veteran who did well upon joining present yard, winning twice (including over C&D) earlier this year. Operating below best in recent outings but a return to this venue could well perk him up and he's only 1 lb above last winning mark.
Below par last three starts but a repeat of his last run here would see him involved.
11
5th (11) Royal Max (11/2 +61%)
Royal Max

5.5
11/2(+61%)
(11) Royal Max 11/2, Remains a maiden but he posted another creditable effort when 7¼ lengths third of 13 to re-opposing Gerard Mentor in handicap chase at Worcester (16.5f, good) 22 days ago, finishing with running left. May have to settle for minor honours again.
Placed over fences on his last two starts and is again an each-way player.
9
6th (9) Pep Talking (11/4 +73%)
Pep Talking

2.75
11/4(+73%)
(9) Pep Talking 11/4, Lightly raced 6-y-o who improved on hurdles form when making winning chase debut at Huntingdon (16.5f) in March. Runner-up on 2 of his 3 starts thereafter and he could yet have more to offer in this sphere having joined new yard.
2m chase winner; mostly consistent since; trainer had a recent winner; each-way player.
10
7th (10) Tropical Talent (13/2 +19%)
Tropical Talent

6.5
13/2(+19%)
(10) Tropical Talent 13/2, Shed maiden tag at Sedgefield (17f) in May and comes here on the back of pair of respectable efforts, third of 10 in handicap chase (9/2) at Sedgefield (16.4f, good) 10 days ago. Should be in the thick of things again on that evidence.
Back in better form when placed at both Bangor and back at Sedgefield last month; player.
6
8th (6) Pittsburg (28/1 -250%)
Pittsburg

28
28/1(-250%)
(6) Pittsburg 28/1, Took advantage of his fall in the weights when recording a third win over fences at Uttoxeter (16f, soft) in July. Never involved in 2 runs on the Flat in August but was keeping on when unseating 2 out at Worcester (16.5f) 6 weeks ago. Each-way claims.
Making some headway when falling at Worcester (2m, good) latest; each-way player.
7
9th (7) Guillaume (16/1 -167%)
Guillaume

16
16/1(-167%)
(7) Guillaume 16/1, Won over fences at Catterick in December and has returned in good nick, cheekpieces added when second of 9 in handicap chase at Bangor (17.4f, good) 27 days ago. Not out of things.
Needs to eke out a bit more than when second at Bangor (2m1f, good) latest.
3
|PU| (3) Natural Ability (6/1 +40%)
Natural Ability

6
6/1(+40%)
(3) Natural Ability 6/1, Maiden hurdler/chaser in Ireland who showed first solid form after 5 months off/for new yard when fourth of 10 in handicap chase at Sedgefield (16.4f) 10 days ago. Possible he will come on for that effort and he's not dismissed lightly.
Fourth at Sedgefield on his first start for this trainer; needs a further step up on that.
4
|PU| (4) Gerard Mentor (12/1 -167%)
Gerard Mentor

12
12/1(-167%)
(4) Gerard Mentor 12/1, 4-time hurdles winner in 2022. Patchy record subsequently but encouraging he could build on his chase debut effort when landing 13-runner handicap chase at Worcester (16.5f) 3 weeks ago, quickening to lead entering final 1f. Claims up 6 lb provided he continues to hold it together.
2m winner; 6lb rise will demand more but open to improvement and looks the one to beat.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

14:00 Southwell Handicap Chase (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

A very open contest sees TROPICAL TALENT get a tentative nod to gain compensation after being sent off favourite when third over the extended 2m at Sedgefield last month. A mistake at a key time put pay to his chances on that occasion, but he showed a likeable attitude to stay on into third and a more polished display would help to make a difference. The reopposing Clean Getaway (second) was a neck in front of the selection on that outing and he appears likely to offer another bold bid, while Nevendon also makes appeal.

Impressive when scoring at Stratford in June, THEONLYWAYISWESSEX had excuses when fourth on his next start at Worcester. Below his best on the level latest, he's worth another chance to prove his revised mark in this sphere to be a good one. Gerard Mentor, who tasted success on his latest outing, is feared with a repeat, with Tropical Talent and the returning Pep Talking just another couple to consider in a competitive race for the grade.

The selection is GERARD MENTOR, who stepped up on his chase debut to score last time and should have more to come over fences.


14:30 Southwell Handicap Chase (Class 4) 24f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
2
1st (2) The Kniphand (6/5 +66%)
The Kniphand

1.2
6/5(+66%)
(2) The Kniphand 6/5, Improved model switched to handicaps/upped to 3m over hurdles in 2022/23, battling well when gaining a third success at Market Rasen (23f) in March. Showed plenty when runner-up at Ludlow on chase debut a year ago but off since a lesser effort 2 months later.
3m hurdle winner; could prove better over fences that he has shown; goes well fresh.
1
2nd (1) Next Left (2/1 -150%)
Next Left

2
2/1(-150%)
(1) Next Left 2/1, Taken well to fences, winning 2 of his 4 starts, much improved when impressive scorer at Worcester last month. Looked well-in under a penalty but faded out of things over the same C&D 3 weeks ago. Back up in trip and remains of serious interest.
Placed in a point and a 2m7f hurdle; may have more to come now tried over this trip again.
5
3rd (5) Home Sweet Highway (13/2 -30%)
Home Sweet Highway

6.5
13/2(-30%)
(5) Home Sweet Highway 13/2, Confirmed the promise of his Bangor run when landing 13-runner contest back there in June, staying on well. Held back by mistakes last time and he didn't really take to chasing at the first attempt in the spring.
2m7f hurdle winner; below par latest; could go well if jumping better than on chase debut.
4
4th (4) Walk Of No Shame (12/1 -33%)
Walk Of No Shame

12
12/1(-33%)
(4) Walk Of No Shame 12/1, Left a very low-key reappearance effort in her wake when winning 8-runner handicap hurdle at Worcester in June. Unable to match that form in 3 outings since and now goes up in trip switched to fences.
Well below par on her last three starts and needs a revival up in trip on her chase debut.
3
|U| (3) Young Merlin (12/1 +0%)
Young Merlin

12
12/1(+0%)
(3) Young Merlin 12/1, Three-time winner on the Flat and enjoyed a good summer over hurdles in 2023, completing a hat-trick over this C&D. Stiff task at Compiegne 3 weeks ago and he's up markedly in trip for chase debut.
Well held in a French hurdle latest but may be able to find some improvement now chasing.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

14:30 Southwell Handicap Chase (Class 4) 24f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

NEXT LEFT scored in facile fashion over 2m4f at Worcester on his penultimate start before tasting defeat over the same track and trip just 10 days later. The quick turnaround may have inconvenienced him and the step back up to 3m may unlock further improvement. Home Sweet Highway makes appeal off bottom weight, just 3lb higher than his comfortable win over hurdles at Bangor-on-Dee in June, while The Kniphand completes the shortlist.

NEXT LEFT has to shrug off a disappointing run at Worcester but he's been given a little break and he's a chaser to view positively on the balance of his form. The Kniphand lacks a recent run but that is no concern given the yard he represents and he's feared most.

The suggestion is THE KNIPHAND, who stays well and has a good record when fresh, so now could be the time to catch him.


15:05 Southwell Handicap Chase (Class 5) 20f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
8
1st (8) Harry's Hope ( )
Harry's Hope

0
()
(8) Harry's Hope , Irish point winner who showed more than previously under Rules when fourth of 9 in maiden hurdle at Exeter in January. Made the frame last 2 starts in handicaps to end the season and, given her pedigree, fences may see her in a better light.
Placed just once in six starts under rules; others hold stronger claims; chase debut.
7
2nd (7) Supasunrise (9/1 -29%)
Supasunrise

9
9/1(-29%)
(7) Supasunrise 9/1, Doubled his tally over fences at Warwick (20f, heavy) last November and made the frame in 5 of his next 6 starts. Pulled up when last seen in May, but he enters calculations after a break (has had a wind op) with his yard going well.
Dual 2m4f chase winner; each-way player if wind surgery has the desired effect.
11
3rd (11) Eric Carmen (14/1 +30%)
Eric Carmen

14
14/1(+30%)
(11) Eric Carmen 14/1, Irish point winner who capitalised on his falling mark over hurdles at this course (20.4f, heavy) in May. However, making only his second chase start (in first-time tongue strap) he had dropped away before falling at the last at Stratford (22.6f, good) 26 days ago.
2m4f course winner over hurdles; beaten when falling on his chase debut; more needed.
10
4th (10) Bensini (8/1 -60%)
Bensini

8
8/1(-60%)
(10) Bensini 8/1, Hurdles winner at Worcester last summer and, though yet to strike over fences, he's been placed 4 times from 8 starts in this sphere (including in this race behind Mystic Man last season). Well backed when unseating rider at the eighth at Newton Abbot last time and no surprise to see him in the mix.
2m4f hurdle winner; inconsistent but an each-way player if close to this season's best.
1
5th (1) Electric Jet (13/2 +35%)
Electric Jet

6.5
13/2(+35%)
(1) Electric Jet 13/2, Placed in an Irish point and made the frame on first 3 completed starts over hurdles, including when third of 14 in a C&D maiden (good) in June. However, below form at Worcester (23f, good) when last seen 3 months ago. Makes chase debut.
Placed in a 2m4f hurdle here in June; may do better now chasing but has that to prove.
13
6th (13) Dreamsundermyfeet (8/1 +33%)
Dreamsundermyfeet

8
8/1(+33%)
(13) Dreamsundermyfeet 8/1, Dual chase winner in 2021/22 and, having been struggling for form, took a step back in the right direction when fourth of 11 at Stratford (22.6f, good) 26 days ago. Has dropped to a dangerous mark if able to build on his latest effort.
C&D winner; 11l fourth at Stratford (2m6f, good; first-time visor) latest; more needed.
3
7th (3) Mystic Man (16/5 +36%)
Mystic Man

3.2
16/5(+36%)
(3) Mystic Man 16/5, Winner of first 2 starts over fences for Oliver Sherwood last season and recorded back-to-back C&D wins upon joining current yard, including this same race. Has shaped as if back in form when making the frame last 2 outings, so he's a major player.
Triple C&D winner; latest effort was a step back in the right direction; not ruled out.
4
8th (4) Special Dragon (17/2 -31%)
Special Dragon

8.5
17/2(-31%)
(4) Special Dragon 17/2, Has improved since going handicapping over hurdles, getting off the mark at Ludlow (21.2f) in April before needing a stronger pace when second of 3 at Bangor (19.6f, good to soft) next time. One to note as she goes chasing after 4 months off.
Ready hurdles winner (2m5f, good); stable in good form; could do better now chasing.
12
9th (12) Fixed Wing (14/1 +44%)
Fixed Wing

14
14/1(+44%)
(12) Fixed Wing 14/1, No better than mid-field in a pair of bumpers and yet to make a serious impact over hurdles, well-beaten twelfth of 16 in handicap at Stratford (22f, good) on his latest outing in August. Others preferred on his chase bow.
0-9 and beaten a long way at Stratford (2m6f, sound surface) on his last two starts.
2
|PU| (2) Calvic (10/1 -11%)
Calvic

10
10/1(-11%)
(2) Calvic 10/1, Proved better than ever when gaining a second chase success for current yard at Worcester (20f, good) in June. Ran well next 2 outings, before a rare off day in first-time visor at Stratford (22.6f, good) 26 days ago. Could bounce back with cheekpieces reapplied.
Handicapper in control on his last three starts; drops 1lb; more needed.
9
|PU| (9) Noble Cave (33/1 -106%)
Noble Cave

33
33/1(-106%)
(9) Noble Cave 33/1, Offered a bit more than previously over hurdles when fourth of 8 in a Worcester novice (20f, good) in August, though was still well held. Went backwards from that effort at the same course (23f, good) 22 days ago, but he now goes chasing on his handicap debut.
Beaten a long way in all four starts at up to 2m7f; much more needed on his chase debut.
14
|PU| (14) Guttural (50/1 +0%)
Guttural

50
50/1(+0%)
(14) Guttural 50/1, Point winner in 2021 and belatedly broke his duck under Rules in handicap chase at Worcester (20f, good) in June last year. Has gone the wrong way from that effort in only 4 starts since, though.
2m4f chase winner (good) last year but his form has tailed off since; others preferred.
15
|PU| (15) Scottsdale (125/1 -150%)
Scottsdale

125
125/1(-150%)
(15) Scottsdale 125/1, Hurdles winner who remains without a victory over fences in 18 attempts. Has refound some form this season, but was a long way out of the handicap when tailed off at Newton Abbot (16.3f, good) last time. 7 lb wrong at the weights this time around.
Bumper and hurdle winner; 0-18 over fences; hard to make a strong case from 5lb wrong.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

15:05 Southwell Handicap Chase (Class 5) 20f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

After a ready success over over 2m4f at Worcester last time, this looks a good opportunity for HENRY BOX BROWN to follow up that success. Evan Williams' charge will have to defy a 9lb rise for that near four-length victory, but it doesn't appear to be out of his reach. Bensini is feared most off a mark of 82 which appears exploitable, but a clean round of jumping is required, while Special Dragon heads the remainder.

MYSTIC MAN has been heading back in the right direction, shaping as if a return to shorter would suit when fourth at Market Rasen (21.4f) in August, so he is taken to land this race for the second year in succession. Bensini, second to the selection last season, had been in decent heart prior to unseating last time and could be the main danger, ahead of Supasunrise.

The vote goes to SPECIAL DRAGON, who could kick on again on her chase debut for a stable going well.


15:40 Southwell Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 24f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (1) Sunshine Diamond (6/5 -65%)
Sunshine Diamond

1.2
6/5(-65%)
(1) Sunshine Diamond 6/5, Struck at the second time of asking over hurdles in Ireland this summer in 3m Wexford maiden (in cheekpieces) in July. Likely has more to offer for his in-form new trainer.
8l winner of a Wexford maiden hurdle; form since boosted; big player on stable debut.
2
2nd (2) Shakeyatailfeather (7/4 +7%)
Shakeyatailfeather

1.75
7/4(+7%)
(2) Shakeyatailfeather 7/4, Fair hurdler who came good at the sixth time of asking in 21.5f Newton Abbot maiden 13 days ago. Steps up in trip again. Prominent showing likely.
Won a maiden hurdle going away (2m5f, good) latest; could be more to come; player.
5
3rd (5) Carved In Stone (11/1 +21%)
Carved In Stone

11
11/1(+21%)
(5) Carved In Stone 11/1, Doncaster bumper winner last winter. Only modest form in maiden/novice hurdles in recent months (beaten 28 lengths when fourth latterly) but it's still early days for him in this sphere.
Good ground bumper winner; well beaten in both hurdle starts; much more needed.
4
4th (4) Swapped (5/1 +38%)
Swapped

5
5/1(+38%)
(4) Swapped 5/1, Three chase wins for other yards in the first half of last season but has lost his way badly over fences since, pulling up on 4 of his last 5 starts. Needs a return to hurdles to spark a revival.
C&D winner; failed to complete in four of his last six starts; handy mark; bit to prove.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content,

15:40 Southwell Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 24f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

A comfortable winner when last in action at Wexford in July, SUNSHINE DIAMOND looks more than capable of following up over slightly further on his first start for new connections. Shakeyatailfeather was a significant improver when stepped up in trip at Newton Abbot last month and further progress is likely at a track that should suit. Twice a winner here over fences, Swapped hasn't shown much of late but is a capable sort on his day.

SUNSHINE DIAMOND gets the nod to build on his Wexford success and make a winning start for new trainer Neil Mulholland. Fellow hurdle winner Shakeyatailfeather is the obvious danger.

A decisive winner at Wexford, SUNSHINE DIAMOND has had that winning form franked and he is taken to improve and follow up.


16:10 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 20f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
5
1st (5) In The Air (10/11 +55%)
In The Air

0.909091
10/11(+55%)
(5) In The Air 10/11, A triple hurdles winner for Gary Moore but failed to fire for Adam West. Starts out with Nicky Henderson on a good mark so remains one to consider.
Triple winner; on a handy mark on his first start for a top trainer if he can be revived.
7
2nd (7) Kosasiempre (5/1 -11%)
Kosasiempre

5
5/1(-11%)
(7) Kosasiempre 5/1, Dual 2m4f winner at Market Rasen early this summer. Off 3 months before a fading fifth of 13 in handicap hurdle at Worcester (20f, good) 22 days ago. Can go well with that run under her belt.
2m4f winner; handicapper caught up with her when up in grade latest; more needed.
9
3rd (9) Neigh Botha (11/1 -10%)
Neigh Botha

11
11/1(-10%)
(9) Neigh Botha 11/1, Made a successful return over fences at Southwell (2m) in June and backed it up with a good third at Worcester. Jumping issues quickly resurfaced at Bangor last time, though. Since had a wind op and not discounted back in this sphere.
Pulled up latest; has since had wind surgery; bit to prove back up in trip over hurdles.
6
4th (6) Bashful Boy (9/2 +44%)
Bashful Boy

4.5
9/2(+44%)
(6) Bashful Boy 9/2, Refitted with blinkers when a resurgent fourth of 6 in handicap hurdle at Fontwell (21.8f, good to firm) 34 days ago. Needs to back it up now.
Losing run now at nine and looks in need of a bit more assistance from the handicapper.
3
5th (3) West Warhorse (14/1 -180%)
West Warhorse

14
14/1(-180%)
(3) West Warhorse 14/1, Got off the mark at Fakenham in December and not disgraced when third of 4 in novice hurdle there (20f, soft) when last seen out 7 months ago, though he hung badly right. Needs to hit the ground running on his handicap debut.
2m4f hurdle winner; mark a little stiff and has yet to produce his best when fresh.
2
|PU| (2) Light Fandango (12/1 -100%)
Light Fandango

12
12/1(-100%)
(2) Light Fandango 12/1, Made a winning start for yard at Uttoxeter in July but a below-form third of 8 in novice hurdle at Worcester (20f, good) 43 days ago. Needs to bounce back now going into handicaps.
2m hurdle winner (soft); below par (2m4f, good) latest; more needed on handicap debut.
1
|PU| (1) Belvedere Blast (12/1 +14%)
Belvedere Blast

12
12/1(+14%)
(1) Belvedere Blast 12/1, Scored at Hexham in June but three lesser efforts since, fourth of 8 in handicap hurdle at Sedgefield (27f, good) 10 days ago. Back down in trip with more needed.
Well beaten in three starts since winning at Hexham in June; bit to prove.
4
|PU| (4) Tideways Hero (100/1 -733%)
Tideways Hero

100
100/1(-733%)
(4) Tideways Hero 100/1, A fair winning ex-Irish hurdler for Henry de Bromhead but has fallen on both starts over fences at Tipperary and Wexford this summer. Needs to bounce back for new handler with eyeshields/tongue strap on.
Changed hands for £7,000 and needs improvement to defy this mark on her stable debut.
8
|PU| (8) Summer Gale (150/1 -838%)
Summer Gale

150
150/1(-838%)
(8) Summer Gale 150/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Pulled up on last hurdle run in 2m4f Fakenham maiden so lots more needed now going into handicaps.
Former Jessica Harrington inmate who is 0-13 across both codes; plenty to prove.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

16:10 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 20f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

BASHFUL BOY may have weakened tamely when headed two out over further at Fontwell in August, but that was still an encouraging effort, and David Pipe's gelding now runs off a mark 12lb lower than his last success. That may be enough to see off the likes of Light Fandango, who was disappointing last time out but is better judged on his penultimate victory at Uttoxeter, and handicap debutant West Warhorse. Making his first start for Nicky Henderson, In The Air is capable of being in the shake-up as well.

KOSASIEMPRE should be spot on after her recent Worcester fifth so is fancied to bag a third success of the season at the chief expense of Nicky Henderson's handily-weighted new recruit In The Air. Light Fandango fluffed his lines at Worcester last time but still needs considering on his first go in handicaps along with Neigh Botha who resumes after breathing surgery.

The tentative suggestion is IN THE AIR, who is proven over 2m3f and if anyone can revive him, Nicky Henderson can.


16:40 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f  - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
9
1st (9) Ikigai Star (11/1 -22%)
Ikigai Star

11
11/1(-22%)
(9) Ikigai Star 11/1, Confirmed earlier promise when winning 2m Huntingdon maiden in May. Not in the same form on his handicap debut at Bangor but ran much better when second in 12-runner event at Worcester (2m) 22 days ago.
1-5 over hurdles; back on track returning from a break this month and difficult to ignore.
8
2nd (8) Obsessedwithyou (3/1 +67%)
Obsessedwithyou

3
3/1(+67%)
(8) Obsessedwithyou 3/1, Smallish mare who doesn't quite look the force of old, but her mark reflects that and she ran well when second of 8 in handicap hurdle at Newton Abbot (16.8f, good) 42 days ago. Should remain competitive.
Consistent mare who's responded well for the fitting of a hood; each-way claims.
5
3rd (5) Diplomatie (11/1 -175%)
Diplomatie

11
11/1(-175%)
(5) Diplomatie 11/1, Fair on Flat and of a similar standard over hurdles, winning a trio of events at Les Landes in July and August, namely 2 handicaps and minor event in between. Below form on final outing but much respected having joined a yard that does very well with its new recruits.
Three-time winner in Jersey this summer; makes stable debut but this is more competitive.
3
4th (3) Dog Fox (4/1 +20%)
Dog Fox

4
4/1(+20%)
(3) Dog Fox 4/1, Fairly useful 1¼m Flat winner for Ed Dunlop and got off the mark in this sphere in 10-runner handicap hurdle at Bangor (17f, good) in June. Bad mistake last did for him when fifth here a month later and revised mark may not be beyond him on that evidence.
Easy winner in June off 7lb lower but needs to resume progress to defy his revised mark.
1
5th (1) Forget The Way (6/1 +0%)
Forget The Way

6
6/1(+0%)
(1) Forget The Way 6/1, In good form for new yard prior to a poor effort in handicap chase at Stratford (17f, good) 26 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles and could bounce back.
Has to bounce back from a modest effort latest but capable of doing so; respected.
6
6th (6) Light Dragoon (7/2 +30%)
Light Dragoon

3.5
7/2(+30%)
(6) Light Dragoon 7/2, Confirmed the promise of his hurdling debut when winning 10-runner maiden at Worcester (16f, good) 17 days ago, though did have luck on his side. Into handicaps and more required.
Progressing well over hurdles, winning on just his second try; big player on handicap bow.
4
7th (4) Ambassador (20/1 -25%)
Ambassador

20
20/1(-25%)
(4) Ambassador 20/1, Resumed winning ways at Uttoxeter in July but not quite in same form when eighth of 15 in handicap hurdle (8/1) at Stratford (18.7f, good) 26 days ago. Needs to bounce back.
Dual-hurdle winner this summer who has the form to figure if in the mood.
10
8th (10) Buxted Too (8/1 +43%)
Buxted Too

8
8/1(+43%)
(10) Buxted Too 8/1, Turned in his best effort in this sphere when third of 14 in handicap hurdle at Stratford (16.3f, good) 37 days ago. Tongue strap back on/cheekpieces on for the first time (over jumps).
Worth considering off the same mark as when chasing home two subsequent winners in August.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

16:40 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f  Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Having completed a hat-trick during the summer in Jersey, market support for the Harry Derham-trained Diplomatie on her stable bow must be heeded. Regardless, LIGHT DRAGOON created a good impression when opening his account in a novice hurdle at Worcester last month and an opening mark of 106 may see the six-year-old follow up. Dog Fox and Wise Guy both look capable of better and aren't taken lightly.

WISE GUY progressed well last term and it's reasonable to think he could have more to offer this season given his age and low-mileage profile, so he's fancied to make a successful return. Diplomatie had a productive spell in Jersey during the summer and warrants respect having joined a yard that does very well with its new recruits, while Dog Fox was undone by a bad mistake here on his most recent outing and could still be ahead of his mark.

The unexposed Light Dragoon is respected on handicap debut, but ASCENSION DAY remains on a competitive mark back in trip.


17:10 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 24f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
4
(4) I'm On My Way (9/2 0%)
I'm On My Way

4.5
9/2(0%)
(4) I'm On My Way 9/2, Progressive sort who has won both completed starts in handicaps, responding well over C&D 6 months ago. Definite claims if she's tuned up.
Up 10lb for C&D win (front pair clear) but could be a big player if ready after a break.
10
1st (10) No More No (10/1 -25%)
No More No

10
10/1(-25%)
(10) No More No 10/1, 6/1, good second of 10 in handicap hurdle at Stratford (22f, good) 81 days ago, rallying. Return to this trip will suit and he's likely to be on the premises.
2m6f hurdle winner (good); second over same C&D latest; up 3lb but an each-way player.
9
2nd (9) Bergentown (11/1 +21%)
Bergentown

11
11/1(+21%)
(9) Bergentown 11/1, Back from 7 months off when creditable second of 13 in handicap hurdle at Worcester and backed it up with a respectable effort at Bangor. Not discounted up in trip.
1lb lower than when 5l second at Worcester (2m4f, good); below par latest; more needed.
13
3rd (13) Matchadam (6/1 +0%)
Matchadam

6
6/1(+0%)
(13) Matchadam 6/1, Point winner. Tongue tied and showed promise when fourth of 13 in a Hereford bumper on Rules debut last autumn. Little encouragement since but now goes handicapping up in trip from a basement mark.
Showed promise in a Hereford bumper but well beaten in all three starts over hurdles.
3
4th (3) Faha Belle (7/1 +22%)
Faha Belle

7
7/1(+22%)
(3) Faha Belle 7/1, Irish point winner who is 0-11 under Rules and found a good run of form coming to a halt when sixth at Worcester recently. Could bounce back quickly.
Placed in hurdles up to 2m7f; below par back in trip at Worcester latest; each-way player.
7
5th (7) What A Flirth (9/1 +55%)
What A Flirth

9
9/1(+55%)
(7) What A Flirth 9/1, Runner-up in an Irish point and showed some ability on her hurdles debut. Hasn't gone on from that, including in two outings for this yard, but worthy of a market check back from a three-month break.
Irish point second but has yet to show any worthwhile form under rules.
6
6th (6) Shibuya Song (9/1 -157%)
Shibuya Song

9
9/1(-157%)
(6) Shibuya Song 9/1, Confirmed promise of Market Rasen effort in May when opening her account in this sphere back from a break at Worcester (23f, good) last month. This step up in trip could help unlock further improvement and she's high on the shortlist.
33-1 winner (2m7f, good) latest; up 7lb so more needed but may be capable of finding it.
1
7th (1) The Wise Traveller (18/1 -29%)
The Wise Traveller

18
18/1(-29%)
(1) The Wise Traveller 18/1, Won at around 3m at Huntingdon and Fakenham last season. In-and-out form this term, although latest effort at Market Rasen was creditable.
On a handy mark after being below par in three of his last four starts; goes well fresh.
2
8th (2) Fine By Me (7/2 +13%)
Fine By Me

3.5
7/2(+13%)
(2) Fine By Me 7/2, Got off the mark in 9-runner handicap hurdle at Stratford (26.4f, good) in July. Held every chance when falling 2 out at Newton Abbot next time and, granted a clear round, he's likely to play a leading role off the same mark here.
Fell two from home at Newton Abbot when last seen in August; contender if he is over that.
5
9th (5) Galway Reel (12/1 +52%)
Galway Reel

12
12/1(+52%)
(5) Galway Reel 12/1, Has not inherited the family's lofty level of ability judged on early evidence. Marginal improvement when sixth to Shibuya Song at Worcester a month ago but fair bit more is required.
0-7; not yet making much progress; probably needs further assistance from the handicapper.
8
|PU| (8) Gentle Victor (9/2 +59%)
Gentle Victor

4.5
9/2(+59%)
(8) Gentle Victor 9/2, Appeared to take a step forward when third in an 8-runner Bangor handicap and back on track when fourth at Sedgefield 10 days ago. Stable is starting to hit form and he's worthy of interest up in trip.
Aside from his third at Bangor (2m3f, good) in June there has been little to enthuse over.
12
|PU| (12) Bless The Moon (40/1 -21%)
Bless The Moon

40
40/1(-21%)
(12) Bless The Moon 40/1, On trainer number 3 already and yet to make an impact in handicap hurdles, so well up against it.
Moderate form in all four starts; looks in need of another favour from the handicapper.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

17:10 Southwell Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 24f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

There is a sneaking suspicion that we've yet to see the best of What A Flirth and an improved effort is forecast now that the daughter of Flemensfirth is faced with a stiffer test of stamina. However, point winner MATCHADAM makes slightly more appeal on his handicap bow judged on his Rules form, with an opening mark of 78 unlikely to be the ceiling of the six-year-old's ability. The returning I'm On My Way was progressive once moved into handicap company last season and she can enter calculations.

SHIBUYA SONG opened her account in good style at Worcester a month ago and there should be plenty more to come from her, so she gets the nod over Fine By Me, who was in the process of running well when coming down at Newton Abbot last time. Matchadam is an interesting handicap debutant.

There could be more to come from I'M ON MY WAY (nap), who finished last season on the up and goes well fresh.


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This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.


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