There were 21 Races on Sunday 30th April 2023 across 3 meetings. There was 7 races at Sligo, 7 races at Wetherby, 7 races at Musselburgh, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (1.1/1 +20%) Aussie Girl |
1.1/1(+20%) | (6) Aussie Girl 1.1/1, Lightly-raced filly. Hooded for 1st time, very good fourth of 12 in handicap at Cork (7f, heavy, 7/2) 22 days ago. Stable having good spell. Looks hard to beat with headgear retained. Fourth when hooded on h'cap debut at Cork; travelled well and drop back from 7f might help. |
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2nd (10) (11/1 -10%) Yuzu |
11/1(-10%) | (10) Yuzu 11/1, Twice-raced filly. 11/2, eighth of 12 in maiden at Cork (7f, heavy) 22 days ago. Needs to get back on track. Two runs over 7f; encouraging debut at Punchestown but well held on testing ground at Cork. |
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3rd (7) (16/1 -129%) Hasiyna |
16/1(-129%) | (7) Hasiyna 16/1, Once-raced filly. Eighth of 14 in maiden at the Curragh (8f, soft, 5/1) on debut. Off 7 months. Down in trip. Should have more to offer. Only 5-1 for Curragh bow over 1m but beaten 13l; drop in trip not sure to suit on pedigree. |
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4th (1) (9/1 +50%) At Long Last |
9/1(+50%) | (1) At Long Last 9/1, Kodi Bear filly. Dam, 10.7f winner, half-sister to useful 2-y-o 7f winner Bahaarah (by Iffraaj) out of Italian Group 3 winner Love Intrigue. Market can guide. Kodi Bear filly; dam was 10.6f AW winner; yard won both maidens on this card a year ago. |
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5th (2) (22/1 -38%) Elda |
22/1(-38%) | (2) Elda 22/1, Once-raced filly. Fourth of 12 in maiden at the Curragh (7f, heavy, 20/1) on debut. Off 6 months with work to do. Fourth of 12 and showed speed at the Curragh (7f, heavy) last term; sharper test will suit. |
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6th (5) (10/1 +0%) Un Bacio Ancora |
10/1(+0%) | (5) Un Bacio Ancora 10/1, Fair filly. Creditable second of 17 in handicap (20/1) at Bath (5f, soft) 23 days ago. Remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs. Fast-finishing second of 17 in 5f Bath handicap (soft); stiff task on ratings but in form. |
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7th (4) (33/1 -230%) Run For You |
33/1(-230%) | (4) Run For You 33/1, Once-raced filly. Sixth of 11 in maiden (40/1) at Dundalk (8f) on debut 30 days ago. Can do better down in trip. Green on debut over 1m at Dundalk last month when beaten roughly 3l; should improve. |
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8th (9) (2.5/1 +38%) Thunder Dance |
2.5/1(+38%) | (9) Thunder Dance 2.5/1, Promising type. Visored, third of 12 in maiden at Cork (7f, heavy, 15/2) on debut 22 days ago, running on late. Open to improvement. Promising debut when third at Cork (7f, soft to heavy); drop in trip not sure to suit. |
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9th (8) (50/1 -25%) Only A Star |
50/1(-25%) | (8) Only A Star 50/1, Twice-raced filly. 100/1, eleventh of 14 in maiden at Dundalk (7f) 16 days ago. Hooded for 1st time with a big step forward needed. Huge odds but has shown ability in AW maidens; gets a mark after this and best watched. |
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10th (3) (80/1 -21%) Nil Desperandum |
80/1(-21%) | (3) Nil Desperandum 80/1, Once-raced filly. Last of 9 in maiden at the Curragh (5f, good to soft, 125/1) on debut. Off 18 months. First run for yard after leaving Miss Natalia Lupini. Huge odds and finished in rear only start for Natalia Lupini; off over 18 months. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary, 4/1 (9) THUNDER DANCE and 1.38/1 (6) AUSSIE GIRL seem to be the most promising. 4/1 (9) THUNDER DANCE had a promising debut and is open to improvement, while 1.38/1 (6) AUSSIE GIRL finished fourth in a handicap race and is expected to do well with headgear retained. 10/1 (5) UN BACIO ANCORA has been in good form but remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs. 16/1 (2) ELDA and 18/1 (1) AT LONG LAST have also shown some potential in their debut races. The rest of the horses seem to have long odds and are not expected to perform well.
AUSSIE GIRL could take advantage of stall one in this sprint. The form of her third place at Dundalk in November is more than decent and, since then, she has handled rain-softened ground in finishing fourth at the Curragh and Cork. The drop back in trip at this sharp track should suit as she tends to race prominently. Thunder Dance attracted support before her debut third in Cork. There was a lot to like about that effort and improvement should be forthcoming. Hasiyna was only 5/1 for her debut in a Curragh maiden in the autumn. She finished in rear of mid-division, but could be a different proposition after a winter's development. Un Bacio Ancora has extensive experience and ran well in second at Bath this month. The drop in trip could help Yuzu.
AUSSIE GIRL possesses much the best form on show on the back of her very good Cork handicap fourth so looks the way to go reverted to maiden company. Cork third Thunder Dance looks to have better days ahead of her and is next on the list ahead of Dundalk debut sixth Run For You.
Maybe the drop in trip will be okay for the well-drawn AUSSIE GIRL who travelled well for a long way over 7f at Cork
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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One For The Gap |
(2) (66/1 +34%)66/1(+34%) | (2) One For The Gap 66/1, Alhebayeb gelding. Dam, 1¼m winner, out of a lightly-raced half-sister to smart winner up to 1m Barricade. Cheaply bought newcomer best watched. |
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1st (4) (1/1 -10%) Semblance Of Order |
1/1(-10%) | (4) Semblance Of Order 1/1, Fairly useful gelding. Remains a maiden after 8 Flat runs. Very good third of 8 in handicap (9/2) at Gowran (8f, soft) 11 days ago, running on. Back down in trip. Difficult to oppose. Form over further but has the speed for this; major player. |
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2nd (1) (2.75/1 +21%) Arniemac |
2.75/1(+21%) | (1) Arniemac 2.75/1, Once-raced gelding. Fourth of 13 in maiden at Naas (5.9f, heavy, 22/1) on debut, never nearer. Off 175 days. First run for yard after leaving J. J. Feane. Hooded for 1st time. Likely to improve. Definite promise sole 2yo start but bred to want much further than this. |
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3rd (6) (4/1 +20%) Love Mocha |
4/1(+20%) | (6) Love Mocha 4/1, Twice-raced filly. 2/1, fifth of 12 in maiden at Bellewstown (7.8f, heavy) 24 days ago. Down in trip. Respected. Back in trip here on better ground and improvement likely. |
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4th (3) (22/1 -100%) Gustav Ucicky |
22/1(-100%) | (3) Gustav Ucicky 22/1, Ungenuine type. Remains a maiden after 9 Flat runs. Fifth of 6 in minor event (80/1) at Gowran (7f, heavy) 12 days ago. Recent turf return respectable; drop back in trip may suit, hood left off today. |
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5th (5) (8/1 +11%) Brasilian Princess |
8/1(+11%) | (5) Brasilian Princess 8/1, Fair filly. Remains a maiden after 8 Flat runs. Below form sixth of 16 in maiden at the Curragh (7f, heavy, 14/1) 36 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Blinkers on 1st time. Tried blinkered now and drying ground to suit so definite contender. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
0.91/1 (4) SEMBLANCE OF ORDER may do well as the summary highlights that it has good speed and performed well in its recent race, running on to get third place. It also mentions that it is difficult to oppose, which indicates that it has a strong chance of winning. 5/1 (6) LOVE MOCHA and 9/1 (5) BRASILIAN PRINCESS are also mentioned as respected and definite contenders, respectively, but 0.91/1 (4) SEMBLANCE OF ORDER has the strongest indication of doing well in the race.
Andy Oliver won this race last year and has prospects with the 81-rated SEMBLANCE OF ORDER. This Buratino three-year-old has been in good form this season in coming home second at Cork and then a close third at Gowran Park in a head-bobbing finish. he has been racing prominently which will help on this drop in trip. Arniemac has switched to Joseph O'Brien after a never nearer fourth on debut at Naas in November. He has a lovely low draw to work from, so a big run could be on the cards. Love Mocha attempted to make all in Bellewstown, but didn't appear to get home over the extended 7f on heavy ground. This shorter trip could help her cause. Brasilian Princess has been placed three times on the Polytrack in Dundalk. She has still to prove her fondness for cut in the ground, though.
SEMBLANCE OF ORDER ran well at Gowran recently and looks to have found a good opportunity to belatedly open his account. Arniemac is open to improvement and could pose the main threat.
The experienced SEMBLANCE OF ORDER should have the pace for this shorter trip and gets the nod ahead of the less exposed Love Mocha
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (17) (11/1 +31%) Conversant |
11/1(+31%) | (17) Conversant 11/1, 12/1, fourteenth of 18 in handicap at Navan (5f, heavy) 32 days ago. RESERVE. Soft-ground specialist wins in his turn; well held in two quick runs last month; reserve. |
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2nd (9) (8/1 +50%) Catherine Chroi |
8/1(+50%) | (9) Catherine Chroi 8/1, Latest win at Newcastle in January. 28/1, below form ninth of 20 in handicap at Navan (5.8f, heavy) 8 days ago. Booking of Keane a plus. Three AW wins including over 6f at Newcastle in January; unplaced in 20 starts on turf. |
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3rd (13) (3.5/1 +50%) Sin E Shekells |
3.5/1(+50%) | (13) Sin E Shekells 3.5/1, Remains a maiden after 29 Flat runs. First run since leaving James McAuley when third of 20 in handicap (50/1) at Navan (5.8f, heavy) 8 days ago. Not taken lightly. No match for in-form front pair but bright start for this yard when third of 20 at Navan. |
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4th (7) (18/1 -13%) Darcy's Rock |
18/1(-13%) | (7) Darcy's Rock 18/1, 50/1, first run since leaving Dominic Ffrench Davis when last of 13 in handicap at Dundalk (6f). Off 144 days. Won over 7f at Chepstow (good to firm) last summer; poor effort on Irish debut at Dundalk. |
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5th (14) (16/1 +60%) Stickyourneckout |
16/1(+60%) | (14) Stickyourneckout 16/1, 100/1, fifth of 14 in handicap at the Curragh (5f, heavy), never nearer. Off 6 months. Maiden showed more when fifth of 14 in higher-grade Curragh h'cap in October (5f, heavy). |
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6th (1) (16/1 +20%) I Know I Can |
16/1(+20%) | (1) I Know I Can 16/1, Remains a maiden after 21 Flat runs. Visored for 1st time, tenth of 12 in handicap at Dundalk (6f, 33/1). Off 102 days. Longstanding maiden ran well a few times in 7f maidens last year; best on a sound surface. |
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7th (4) (25/1 -213%) Sense Of Security |
25/1(-213%) | (4) Sense Of Security 25/1, Didn't need to improve to win 12-runner handicap at Kempton (6f, 3/1), suited by way race developed. Off 103 days. First run for yard after leaving George Baker. Hood back on. Bought for 4,500gns after making the breakthrough at Kempton in January; no form on soft. |
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8th (2) (8/1 -60%) Aurora Nova |
8/1(-60%) | (2) Aurora Nova 8/1, Creditable fourth of 12 in handicap (18/1) at Dundalk (7f) 16 days ago, left poorly placed. Can give a good account. Been running quite well at Dundalk, beaten less then 2l in 7f handicap latest; rotten draw. |
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9th (3) (1.88/1 +53%) Celtic Manor |
1.88/1(+53%) | (3) Celtic Manor 1.88/1, C&D winner. 17/2, creditable third of 17 in handicap at Fairyhouse (7f, good to soft). Off 9 months. First run for yard after leaving C. Moore. Has good chance on form. Won this first time out last term and second over C&D in June (now 2lb lower); big player. |
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10th (12) (16/1 +36%) Helmet Star |
16/1(+36%) | (12) Helmet Star 16/1, Twelfth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (6f, 50/1). Off 6 months. Popped up at 40-1 at Gowran last summer (7f, good) but little since then and hard to fancy. |
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11th (15) (22/1 +12%) Buachaill Or |
22/1(+12%) | (15) Buachaill Or 22/1, Remains a maiden after 19 Flat runs. 28/1, twelfth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (7f) 65 days ago. RESERVE. Maiden hasn't shown much at Dundalk since returning from 20-month absence; reserve. |
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12th (11) (33/1 -50%) Dani's Boy |
33/1(-50%) | (11) Dani's Boy 33/1, First run since leaving P. A. Fahy when creditable fourth of 9 in handicap (40/1) at this course (5.8f, good to soft). Off 22 months. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Both wins for Pat Fahy were over much longer trips; off 684 days so readily opposable. |
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13th (6) (20/1 -67%) Praying Mantis |
20/1(-67%) | (6) Praying Mantis 20/1, 33/1, below form eighth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (7f). Off 6 months. Three wins over 1m and landed 7f handicap at Gowran last year; held on AW when last seen. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary, 4/1 (3) CELTIC MANOR appears to be the most likely to do well, as they have won first time out in the past, won at the same course and distance previously, and have a good chance on form. Other horses to consider are 5/1 (2) AURORA NOVA, 6.5/1 (10) SILVER NEMO, and 7/1 (13) SIN E SHEKELLS, who have all shown creditable performances recently despite not winning.
CELTIC MANOR could repeat his victory of last year in this race. He has been off since placed efforts at this track and in Fairyhouse last summer, but has gone well fresh before and his new stable will doubtless have him primed for this. Sin E Shekells finished third in a big-field apprentice-handicap at Navan and Oisin Enright is now able to use his full 10lb claim. The pair have bagged the best draw in stall one. Silver Nemo has had a good stint on the Polytrack in Dundalk, but has form on slower ground in Britain. He was last seen finishing a close third at Dundalk before Christmas. Siobhan Rutledge knows him well and takes a handy 5lb off his back. Aurora Nova has a tough draw, but could come home better than most. Sense Of Security's form is on better ground.
CELTIC MANOR did well in a handful of runs last season, including when making a winning return in this race, and is taken to do the same starting out for a new yard. Silver Nemo and Sin E Shekells head the dangers.
The easy ground will suit CELTIC MANOR who won a division of this first time out last year; note Silver Nemo and Sin E Shekells
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (7/1 -8%) Little Keilee |
7/1(-8%) | (5) Little Keilee 7/1, Good third of 11 in handicap at Dundalk (7f, 8/1) 37 days ago. Can make presence felt off the same mark. Overhauled late when third over 7f at Dundalk last time; this trip should suit. |
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2nd (7) (2.5/1 +82%) Rathbranchurch |
2.5/1(+82%) | (7) Rathbranchurch 2.5/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 33/1, seventh of 13 in maiden at Dundalk (7f). Off 179 days. Makes handicap debut with more needed. Raced prominently and far from shamed when midfield in some decent 2yo maidens; h'cap bow. |
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3rd (9) (8.5/1 +39%) Master Garvey |
8.5/1(+39%) | (9) Master Garvey 8.5/1, 15/2, below form fifth of 11 in handicap at Bellewstown (7.8f, heavy) 24 days ago. Back down in trip. Needs a couple of these to falter. Finished well when third to Senado Square over 5f at Naas; 1m too far latest. |
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4th (12) (4.5/1 -64%) Senado Square |
4.5/1(-64%) | (12) Senado Square 4.5/1, Ready 5f winner at Naas in March and reportedly banged his head in the stalls when twenty second of 23 in handicap (11/4) at the Curragh (6f, heavy) 14 days ago. Well worth another chance. Legitimate excuse latest; had five of these rivals behind when winning over 5f at Naas. |
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5th (2) (25/1 -56%) Kami |
25/1(-56%) | (2) Kami 25/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Last of 10 in maiden (12/1) at Down Royal (7f, good to soft). Off 7 months. Makes handicap debut. Hard to fancy. Showed promise on second start in Galway maiden that worked out exceptionally well; noted. |
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6th (4) (5.5/1 +54%) Lisieux |
5.5/1(+54%) | (4) Lisieux 5.5/1, 12/1, below-par fifth of 8 in handicap at Naas (5.9f, heavy) 6 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Naas nursery winner ran well back there on Monday; well drawn and goes on the ground. |
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7th (8) (8/1 -78%) Redshore City |
8/1(-78%) | (8) Redshore City 8/1, Creditable 3¼ lengths fourth of 14 to Senado Square in handicap at Naas (5f, heavy, 15/2) 35 days ago. Can go well again. Fourth on handicap bow behind Senado Square at Naas (5f, heavy); should be more to come. |
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8th (10) (40/1 -43%) Zouperior |
40/1(-43%) | (10) Zouperior 40/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, ninth of 14 in maiden (50/1) at Dundalk (7f). Off 177 days. First run for yard after leaving Mrs J. Harrington. More is required on her handicap debut. Modest efforts in 7f/1m maidens for Jessica Harrington and starts off for new yard here. |
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9th (13) (50/1 +0%) Cruzer |
50/1(+0%) | (13) Cruzer 50/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Last of 12 in maiden at Chelmsford City (7f, 40/1). Off 7 months. First run for yard after leaving David Loughnane. Tongue strap on 1st time. Makes handicap debut. Limited appeal. Showed little in three starts for David Loughnane; gelded since and tongue-tie goes on. |
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10th (1) (14/1 +13%) Distillate |
14/1(+13%) | (1) Distillate 14/1, Winner at Dundalk in March. Seventh of 10 in handicap at Bellewstown (5f, heavy, 20/1) 24 days ago. Not taken lightly if shrugging off latest effort. Won 7f AW handicap last month but held since and others have more scope for improvement. |
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11th (3) (33/1 +0%) Kodi Noir |
33/1(+0%) | (3) Kodi Noir 33/1, 15/2 and hooded for 1st time, sixth of 7 in nursery at Dundalk (6f). Off 151 days with work to do. Won 6f Fairyhouse maiden at massive price but well held in nurseries thereafter. |
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12th (16) (28/1 +58%) Jackie Brown |
28/1(+58%) | (16) Jackie Brown 28/1, Nineteenth of 23 in handicap at the Curragh (6f, heavy, 66/1) 14 days ago. Lots more required. RESERVE. Unplaced in eight starts including in pair of heavy ground handicaps this month; reserve. |
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13th (11) (11/1 +0%) American In Paris |
11/1(+0%) | (11) American In Paris 11/1, Career best when winning 12-runner handicap (40/1) at Dundalk (6f) 19 days ago. Up 5 lb but she ought to be in the shake-up again. Won on fast ground at Bath and bounced back to form at 40-1 in 6f Dundalk h'cap last time. |
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14th (15) (40/1 -21%) Jumra |
40/1(-21%) | (15) Jumra 40/1, 66/1, first run since leaving Archie Watson when last of 12 in handicap at Dundalk (7f) 16 days ago. Others appeal more. RESERVE. Modest in Britain but ran well on soft a couple of times; in rear on Irish bow; reserve. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
2.75/1 (12) SENADO SQUARE is the most likely to do well based on the fact that he had five of his rivals behind him in his last race and is well worth another chance. He also has a previous win at Naas and has performed well on heavy ground. 4.5/1 (8) REDSHORE CITY and 6.5/1 (5) LITTLE KEILEE are also strong contenders based on their recent performances and suitability for the distance. 11/1 (11) AMERICAN IN PARIS has also shown a recent improvement in form and could be in the mix, while 12/1 (4) LISIEUX and 16/1 (1) DISTILLATE will need to bounce back from recent below-par performances. The remaining horses have limited appeal or need to improve significantly to be in contention.
There were excuses for SENADO SQUARE's below-par run at the Curragh and he is worth another chance. He was trainer Andrew Slattery's first winner of the turf season in Naas last month when winning comfortably by two lengths. He will relish cut in the ground. Redshore City was fourth to Senado Square in Naas and could have more to offer on only his third start on turf. Lisieux finished behind Senado Square in sixth at Naas, but she is coming down the weights and Adam Caffrey's 7lb claim is more than useful. Little Keilee was only beaten a pair of necks into third when last seen at Dundalk. She is unproven on the ground, but certainly has a chance at the weights.
SENADO SQUARE looked on the up when a ready scorer at Naas and is well worth forgiving his subsequent effort at the Curragh given he reportedly banged his head in the stalls. Recent Dundalk scorer American In Paris heads the list of dangers ahead of in-form pair Little Keilee and Redshore City.
Having had a legitimate excuse for his no-show at the Curragh, the powerfully-built Naas winner SENADO SQUARE can resume progress
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (16/1 +20%) Nostra Casa |
16/1(+20%) | (8) Nostra Casa 16/1, 150/1, fourteenth of 20 in novice hurdle at Navan (20f, heavy). Off over 2 years. First run for yard after leaving Brian Francis Cawley. Tongue strap on for 1st time, cheekpieces on for 1st time. New headgear combination tried but likely best watched after two-year absence. |
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2nd (4) (3.33/1 +17%) Grappa Nonino |
3.33/1(+17%) | (4) Grappa Nonino 3.33/1, 8/1, respectable fifth of 13 in juvenile hurdle at Ascot (15.7f, good to soft) 28 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Potentially well treated returning to this sphere. Still improving 4yo could have more to offer back on the Flat and good chance of staying. |
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3rd (10) (10/1 +0%) Lariat |
10/1(+0%) | (10) Lariat 10/1, Two wins from 50 Flat runs. 80/1, unseated rider in handicap hurdle at Naas (18.9f, soft) 31 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Modest on the Flat. Others make more appeal. Heavily raced Bellewstown winner last year for Ado McGuinness; recent hurdles form modest. |
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4th (13) (25/1 +11%) Mythical Times |
25/1(+11%) | (13) Mythical Times 25/1, 22/1, sixteenth of 21 in handicap at Navan (14f, heavy). Off 6 months. First run for yard after leaving John McConnell. Others more persuasive. Lacks a recent run and wide draw here so others preferred. |
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5th (9) (4.5/1 -35%) Elle Dorado Rock |
4.5/1(-35%) | (9) Elle Dorado Rock 4.5/1, Tongue strap on for 1st time in this code, very good second of 12 in handicap at Gowran (13.7f, soft, 9/1) 11 days ago, faring best of those held up. Has to be taken seriously. Recent Gowran second rates a major player off 4lb higher. |
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6th (1) (14/1 +22%) Five Zeros |
14/1(+22%) | (1) Five Zeros 14/1, Three wins from 11 runs last year. Twelfth of 14 in handicap at Down Royal (12.8f, good to firm, 11/2). Off 8 months. Hood back on. Others more persuasive. Progressive last season and runs well fresh so don't rule out. |
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7th (2) (8.5/1 +47%) Rock On Pedro |
8.5/1(+47%) | (2) Rock On Pedro 8.5/1, Below form seventh of 18 in novice hurdle at Gowran (16f, heavy, 12/1) 50 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Fair on the Flat, bit below form on last Flat outing. Cheekpieces tried for flat return here but wide draw a likely negative. |
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8th (6) (2/1 +43%) Kalmira |
2/1(+43%) | (6) Kalmira 2/1, Very good second of 14 in handicap at Navan (13f, heavy, 12/1) 32 days ago, clear of rest. Should give another good account. Last month's clear Navan second a player despite 6lb hike. |
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9th (14) (14/1 +36%) No Hassle |
14/1(+36%) | (14) No Hassle 14/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Creditable fifth of 18 in handicap at Galway (11.8f, heavy, 33/1). Off 6 months. Fair effort in Galway handicap when last seen in October; others preferred. |
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10th (5) (22/1 -10%) Jomont |
22/1(-10%) | (5) Jomont 22/1, Below form seventh of 12 in handicap (10/1) at Newcastle (10.2f). Off 6 months. Up in trip. First run for yard after leaving Michael Dods. Not easy to make a case for. 2,000gns buy from Michael Dods; probably best watched on yard debut. |
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11th (12) (50/1 -52%) Dixon Line |
50/1(-52%) | (12) Dixon Line 50/1, Thirteenth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Wexford (16f, good to soft, 40/1) 56 days ago. Modest on the Flat, poor on last Flat run. Others make more appeal. Precious little over hurdles of late although did run well in late-season Flat handicaps. |
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|PU| (3) (66/1 -65%) Keep Sharp |
66/1(-65%) | (3) Keep Sharp 66/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 100/1, first run since leaving J. S. Bolger when creditable seventh of 14 in maiden at Dundalk (12f). Off 144 days. Makes handicap debut. Difficult ask. Of limited appeal on handicap debut upped markedly in trip. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
3.33/1 (9) ELLE DORADO ROCK rates as a major player off a 4lb higher mark and his recent form suggests he should be taken seriously. 3.5/1 (6) KALMIRA also has good recent form and is a player despite a 6lb hike in the weights. 4/1 (4) GRAPPA NONINO has potential and is returning to the flat after a respectable performance in a juvenile hurdle at Ascot. 7/1 (7) WILD SHOT and 10/1 (10) LARIAT have modest recent form and are unlikely to feature, while 14/1 (11) LISSADELL, 16/1 (2) ROCK ON PEDRO, 16/1 (15) DER MC, 18/1 (1) FIVE ZEROS, 18/1 (16) LEX MAXIMA, 18/1 (17) DOLLAR VALUE, 20/1 (5) JOMONT, 20/1 (8) NOSTRA CASA, 22/1 (14) NO HASSLE, 28/1 (13) MYTHICAL TIMES, 33/1 (12) DIXON LINE, and 40/1 (3) KEEP SHARP are all viewed as less appealing options.
ELLE DORADO ROCK showed much improved form when reverting to the Flat recently after a three-month break. The Tony Martin-trained gelding beat all bar hot favourite Striking over a similar distance at Gowran Park and a 4lb rise seems fair enough. Grappa Nonino may prove the chief threat. He showed promise on the Flat last year including when going close at the Curragh off a 3lb higher mark and was well-supported when beating Media Naranja in a Navan maiden hurdle last month. Kalmira won on the all-weather at Dundalk early last year but also handles cut in the ground and shaped well on her reappearance at Navan last month. The lightly raced mare pulled clear of the remainder when second to Black Hawk Eagle but now races off a 6lb higher rating.
GRAPPA NONINO has done quite well over hurdles since last seen in this discipline and he's on an appealing mark, so gets the nod ahead of Elle Dorado Rock, who shaped really well at Gowran last time out. Kalmira is the pick of the remainder.
Elle Dorado Rock will head the market but there may be more value to be had in GRAPPA NONINO
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (3.5/1 +46%) Tellthemi'mhere |
3.5/1(+46%) | (9) Tellthemi'mhere 3.5/1, Off the mark on return/yard debut when taking 14-runner handicap (15/2) at Bellewstown (7.8f, heavy) 24 days ago. 8 lb higher now but likely to go well again. Bellewstown winner officially 2lb wrong here could well make a bold bid. |
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2nd (6) (4/1 +56%) Marvelosa |
4/1(+56%) | (6) Marvelosa 4/1, Creditable fourth of 10 in handicap (11/2) at Tipperary (12.4f, good to soft) 10 days ago. Likely contender. Remains of interest and this intermediate trip could be what she's looking for. |
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3rd (7) (4/1 +20%) La Dame Blanche |
4/1(+20%) | (7) La Dame Blanche 4/1, Respectable third of 11 in handicap (10/1) at Gowran (7f, soft) 11 days ago. Return to this longer trip will suit and is one for shortlist. Needs to settle better to see out this trip but sharp track should suit and should go well. |
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4th (8) (9/1 +36%) Pachmena |
9/1(+36%) | (8) Pachmena 9/1, One win from 31 Flat runs. 18/1, eleventh of 15 in novice hurdle at Thurles (16.2f, soft) 157 days ago. Off 157 days. Fairly useful on the Flat, respectable on last Flat outing. Others more persuasive. Hard to win with but respected despite being 1lb wrong here. |
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5th (2) (2.5/1 +38%) Miramis |
2.5/1(+38%) | (2) Miramis 2.5/1, 25/1, good 4½ lengths sixth of 14 to Juncture in listed race at Dundalk (8f). Off 177 days. Significantly back up in trip. First run for yard after leaving Ms Sheila Lavery. Others preferred. Bought for 30,000gns and reappears for new yard off a stiff-looking mark. |
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6th (3) (6/1 +14%) Disco Boots |
6/1(+14%) | (3) Disco Boots 6/1, 20/1, 18½ lengths eleventh of 12 to Yaxeni in listed race at Naas (11.9f, heavy). Off 6 months. Something to find on form. Last summer's Roscommon winner seemingly has a bit to find off this mark. |
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7th (4) (50/1 -79%) Your Eyes Only |
50/1(-79%) | (4) Your Eyes Only 50/1, Lightly-raced winner. C&D winner. Sixth of 9 in handicap at Tramore (12f, good, 10/1). Off 8 months. First run for yard after leaving W. P. Mullins. Others more persuasive. C&D maiden winner last summer for Willie Mullins; probably a bit high in the handicap. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
It is difficult to predict which horse will do well based on this summary, as there are multiple horses that are considered likely contenders. However, 5/1 (7) LA DAME BLANCHE is one to consider for the shortlist, as a return to the longer trip should suit. 9/1 (6) MARVELOSA is also of interest and could perform well at this intermediate trip. Additionally, 6/1 (9) TELLTHEMI'MHERE has recently won a handicap and could make a bold bid despite being 2lb wrong here.
LA DAME BLANCHE won a Gowran Park maiden on just her second start last year and has returned in good form this season. The Mick Mulvany-trained filly shaped well over a similar trip at Leopardstown before again making the running when third to the progressive American Sonja in a valuable handicap at Gowran with Mary Salome back in fourth. Tellthemi'mhere made a successful start for new connections when finishing well to score over a mile at Bellewstown earlier this month and now tackles this trip for the first time. Your Eyes Only won a maiden over this C&D for Willie Mullins last summer and was far from disgraced subsequently over a bit further in a handicap at the Galway Festival. Disco Boots went close here last year before scoring in good style at Roscommon while Dha Leath takes a drop in class after a creditable run in the Lincoln.
This can go to DHA LEATH, who shaped well over a shorter trip on her return at the Curragh last month. Tellthemi'mhere and La Dame Blanche rate the principal dangers.
Quite competitive, preference is for LA DAME BLANCHE, who can see this out if settling better
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (1.38/1 +45%) Whisky On The Hill |
1.38/1(+45%) | (7) Whisky On The Hill 1.38/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Took a step forward when good third of 13 in handicap at Cork (10.1f, good to soft) 9 days ago, not ideally placed. 2 lb rise fair and likely more to come yet. Flew home at Cork 9 days ago, still looking green; major player off 2lb higher. |
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2nd (2) (3.5/1 -17%) Notturno |
3.5/1(-17%) | (2) Notturno 3.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Good fifth of 13 in handicap at Tipperary (9f, good to soft, 7/2) 10 days ago, never nearer. Blinkers on 1st time. Must enter calculations. Staying-on Tipperary fifth now has blinkers fitted and longer trip should suit. |
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3rd (9) (5/1 +75%) Show No Fear |
5/1(+75%) | (9) Show No Fear 5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Eighth of 13 in handicap at Tipperary (9f, good to soft, 25/1) 10 days ago. Improvement required. Inexperienced rider stopped riding prematurely at Tipperary last time; could improve. |
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4th (4) (6.5/1 +35%) Upepo |
6.5/1(+35%) | (4) Upepo 6.5/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 40/1, seventh of 14 in maiden at Dundalk (8f). Off 163 days. May do better now upped in trip for handicap debut. Not much to show in 2yo maidens; gelded since and potential improver but high enough mark. |
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5th (5) (18/1 +64%) Allesnick |
18/1(+64%) | (5) Allesnick 18/1, Last of 16 in nursery at Galway (7f, heavy, 40/1). Off 6 months. Significantly up in trip. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Makes limited appeal. Different headgear combination now tried and bred to appreciate this sort of trip. |
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6th (6) (11/1 +61%) Thats Jet |
11/1(+61%) | (6) Thats Jet 11/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 40/1, ninth of 13 in handicap at Tipperary (9f, good to soft) 10 days ago. Others look better treated. Not too much went right at Tipperary recently; potential improver given better luck. |
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7th (10) (11/1 -57%) Monnow Valley |
11/1(-57%) | (10) Monnow Valley 11/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Showed more than previously, in first-time blinkers, when third of 13 in handicap at Tipperary (9f, good to soft, 100/1) 10 days ago. Visor on 1st time. Claims if building on that. Recent Tipperary third an improvement but longer trip here may not suit. |
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8th (8) (18/1 +45%) Fuli |
18/1(+45%) | (8) Fuli 18/1, Lightly-raced maiden. First run since leaving Richard John O'Brien when eleventh of 13 in handicap at Tipperary (9f, good to soft, 18/1) 10 days ago. Plenty to find on form. Good bit to find with some of today's rivals on recent Tipperary run. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
It is difficult to confidently predict which horse will perform well with the limited information provided. However, 2.5/1 (7) WHISKY ON THE HILL seems to have potential for improvement and has been described as a major player in the upcoming race despite being lightly-raced. 3/1 (2) NOTTURNO also has potential with the addition of blinkers and a longer trip, while 7/1 (10) MONNOW VALLEY could also be a contender if building on their recent improvement with the addition of a visor.
The 1m1f Tipperary handicap won by Apprentice ten days ago looks a key piece of form with six runners in that event renewing rivalry and perhaps TIMELESS PIECE may now come out on top. Not a lot went right for the selection on that occasion as she reared coming out of the stalls and didn't get the clearest of runs in the straight. On the bare form she's closely matched with Notturno, who now wears blinkers for the first time, and Show No Fear. The latter's inexperienced rider was suspended for mistaking the winning post and easing his mount in the final 100 yards. Monnow Valley was prominently ridden to finish third in that Tipperary race but may not be suited by this longer trip. Whisky On The Hill finished well when a close third on his handicap debut at Cork and is certainly one for the shortlist.
This can go to WHISKY ON THE HILL, who shaped better than bare result on handicap debut at Cork recently and remains low mileage. Monnow Valley and Notturno rate the principal dangers.
One who could trump them all is WHISKY ON THE HILL, who fairly flew home over this trip at Cork recently when still looking green
Ths is the racecard key.
Icon | Meaning |
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TomForm top stats, gold rated | |
TomForm top stats silver rated | |
Ran similar race before | |
S | TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out |
T | Top Time speeed rated |
Top Racingpost rated | |
At the races watchout for | |
At the races top pick | |
Top rated for thet statistic |
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
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