Newmarket Races & Results Tomform Saturday 30th September 2023
There were 58 Races on Saturday 30th September 2023 across 8 meetings. There was 7 races at Newmarket, 7 races at Killarney, 7 races at Haydock, 7 races at Gowran Park, 7 races at Ripon, 7 races at Market Rasen, 8 races at Chester, 8 races at Chelmsford-City, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
Races & Results Saturday 30th September 2023
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
(7) Ghostwriter 10/3, Invincible Spirit colt who landed a newcomers event with authority on the July Course and maintained his unbeaten record with a useful effort in a 7f a novice at Ascot (7f, firm) 3 weeks ago, staying on well. That performance is backed up by an excellent timefigure and he'll go on improving. Promising colt who is two from two; clocked a good time at Ascot latest; very appealing.
2
2nd (2) (7/1 -17%) Al Musmak
7
7/1(-17%)
(2) Al Musmak 7/1, Did well to catch an experienced rival to make a successful start at Ascot in July and built on that promise when second in a listed event there (7f) next time. That form worked out well and he resumed winning ways in ready fashion in Haydock listed event (8.2f) 3 weeks ago. Open to more progress. Tidily beat Macduff in Listed event at Haydock last time; one of the main players.
4
3rd (4) (7/4 +13%) Capulet
1.75
7/4(+13%)
(4) Capulet 7/4, Bred in the purple and built appreciably on last month's promising debut success when runner-up to exciting stablemate Diego Velazquez in Champions Juvenile Stakes at Leopardstown 3 weeks ago, clear of rest. Sets the standard on that form and open to further progress. Ballydoyle colt who brings Group 2 form and should have more to offer; strong claims.
8
4th (8) (12/1 +25%) Macduff
12
12/1(+25%)
(8) Macduff 12/1, Sea The Stars colt who overcame inexperience to make a winning start in a 7f maiden on the July Course last month, quickening to lead close home. Built on that when second to Al Musmak in listed race at Haydock (8.2f) and he's likely to progress further. Beaten by Al Musmak at Haydock but ran well on the figures and may do better still.
9
5th (9) (33/1 +34%) Son
33
33/1(+34%)
(9) Son 33/1, Built on encouraging debut effort when taking 10-runner maiden at Newbury in June (6.5f) with a bit in hand. Has had his limitations exposed in stronger company since, however. Has useful form but his limitations are somewhat exposed now.
6
6th (6) (33/1 -136%) Defiance
33
33/1(-136%)
(6) Defiance 33/1, Camelot colt who was value for extra over the result when making a successful debut in 9-runner maiden at Sandown (1m, good to soft) last month, doing well to run down the reopposing Caviar Heights having been squeezed at the start. Sure to improve and looks a very interesting runner. Needed every yard of the trip at Sandown and may be tapped for toe kept to 1m.
3
7th (3) (33/1 -50%) At Vimeiro
33
33/1(-50%)
(3) At Vimeiro 33/1, Sea The Stars colt. Dam, German 1¼m-1½m (Group 2) winner, half-sister to smart German 9f/1¼m winner Accon, third in Deutsches Derby. Caught the eye doing his best work late on in a 1m Doncaster maiden on debut 2 weeks ago but this represents a big step up. Showed promise at Doncaster two weeks ago but this is a stiff task on second start.
1
8th (1) (4/1 +0%) Aablan
4
4/1(+0%)
(1) Aablan 4/1, Dubawi colt who was sent off at 4-7 when making a winning debut on the July Course and improved on that form when following up in the Solario Stakes at Sandown 4 weeks ago, despite still showing signs of inexperience. Only workmanlike in winning both starts (latest the Solario) but should progress further.
5
9th (5) (14/1 +13%) Caviar Heights
14
14/1(+13%)
(5) Caviar Heights 14/1, Sea The Stars colt from excellent family and looks useful himself, putting experience to good use to get off the mark in 9-runner maiden at Goodwood (1m) 25 days ago. This demands a lot more but he's very much the type to get even better with age. Gamely made all at Goodwood on latest maiden start; this is a harder task.
LTO Selection:
13:50 Newmarket Group 2 (Class 1) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
A quality renewal with several of these holding Group 1 aspirations in the near future. Capulet was only narrowly beaten by a highly-touted stablemate in Group 2 company at Leopardstown last time and has strong claims once again with the promise of more to come. However, slight preference is for AABLAN, who shapes like this step up to a mile will really suit. The son of Dubawi has looked very professional in winning both his starts so far and he can take this on route to bigger things. The unbeaten Ghostwriter has also been impressive in his two outings to date and the son of Invincible Spirit is no back number.
A mouth-watering renewal of this long-established Group 2. CAPULET stepped up considerably on last month's promising debut win when finding only exciting stablemate Diego Velazquez too good in the Champions Juvenile Stakes at Leopardstown and has to be considered the one to beat on that form, especially with further progress on the cards. Ghostwriter defied a penalty in an excellent time at Ascot and is well worth his place in this higher grade, while Defiance is another fascinating contender.
The time ratings hand the percentage call to GHOSTWRITER. Capulet is second choice ahead of Aablan and Al Musmak.
(7) Porta Fortuna 9/2, Caravaggio filly who completed a hat-trick in Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot (6f) in June. Good second in Phoenix Stakes at the Curragh after but only fair third in Moyglare Stud there last time. Still merits consideration. Looked good in the Albany and slower ground perhaps not ideal in subsequent Group 1s.
5
2nd (5) (33/1 +0%) Pearls And Rubies
33
33/1(+0%)
(5) Pearls And Rubies 33/1, Made a winning debut at Navan (5f) in June and posted solid efforts subsequently until beating only one in Moyglare Stud Stakes at the Curragh (7f) 20 days ago. Sort to bounce back for top yard. Even if back on song, this looks too challenging on her return to sprinting.
9
3rd (9) (13/2 -18%) Sacred Angel
6.5
13/2(-18%)
(9) Sacred Angel 13/2, Useful filly who gained her second success in Ascot's Princess Margaret Stakes in July. Solid fourth of 9 to Vandeek in Prix Morny at Deauville (6f, good to soft) last month so she must enter calculations. Soft an excuse in France; made all at Ascot and this track suits prominent racers.
1
4th (1) (6/1 +8%) Cherry Blossom
6
6/1(+8%)
(1) Cherry Blossom 6/1, Winner at the Curragh in August and not disgraced when second of 23 in valuable sales event there (7f, soft) 7 days ago. Needs considering for yard which has a fine record in this. Second to Relief Rally in the Lowther; may have bumped into a superstar at the Curragh.
6
5th (6) (12/1 -9%) Persian Dreamer
12
12/1(-9%)
(6) Persian Dreamer 12/1, Course winner who also landed 4-runner Duchess of Cambridge Stakes on July Course here when last seen out 78 days ago. Possibilities after her break. Behind some of these in the Albany and it was a weak Group 2 she won last time.
2
6th (2) (40/1 +0%) Jabaara
40
40/1(+0%)
(2) Jabaara 40/1, Debut C&D winner in May and better efforts when in the frame in Sweet Solera Stakes over 7f here and in Chester conditions event. This demands a big step forward though. Beaten three times since her successful C&D debut and looks vulnerable at this level.
12
7th (12) (9/2 +10%) Soprano
4.5
9/2(+10%)
(12) Soprano 9/2, Debut winner here and placed on all her four starts since, latest when third of 12 to Juniper Berries in Dick Poole at Salisbury (6f, good to firm) 23 days ago, despite being very slowly away. Shortlisted. Quality filly who would have won Salisbury's Group 3 last time but for fluffing the start.
13
8th (13) (25/1 +0%) Symbology
25
25/1(+0%)
(13) Symbology 25/1, Made a winning debut at York in July and has bettered that form in Group company since, third in the Lowther at York. Only seventh of 12 to Juniper Berries in Dick Poole at Salisbury (6f, good to firm) last time though so needs to bounce back. Her third in the Lowther is a standout; very vulnerable on balance of her form.
3
9th (3) (5/2 -25%) Jasna's Secret
2.5
5/2(-25%)
(3) Jasna's Secret 5/2, French filly who has looked a bright prospect when readily landing newcomers race at Deauville in July and valuable sales race on same course last month. Has more to offer. Player. 2-2 at Deauville and readily saw off a talented filly the last time; up to this level.
10
10th (10) (14/1 +44%) She's Quality
14
14/1(+44%)
(10) She's Quality 14/1, Fairly useful Irish filly who readily landed the odds in 6f maiden at Newbury in August. Not discredited when sixth of 9 in Moyglare Stud Stakes at the Curragh (7f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Needs plenty more here, however. Useful filly but not the obvious answer after her struggles in the Moyglare.
11
11th (11) (66/1 -100%) Shuangxi
66
66/1(-100%)
(11) Shuangxi 66/1, Cotai Glory filly who made a winning start in 5-runner minor event at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 5/1) 28 days ago, despite running green. Seems sure to improve but this is a tough ask. Made a winning debut at Wolverhampton but has no obvious form claims.
LTO Selection:
14:25 Newmarket Group 1 (Class 1) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
It is very hard to get away from RELIEF RALLY, who has looked better with each run and has won four out of five, despite things not really falling right on a couple of occasions. The stiff finish will almost certainly play to the daughter of Kodiac's strengths and she looks sure to run a huge race. Jasna's Secret is a fascinating contender over from France having won with ease on both starts to date and any strong market move would need noting. Persian Dreamer and Cherry Blossom both remain on an upward curve and could push the principals all the way in what looks a cracking renewal.
RELIEF RALLY holds the edge on form and is fancied to make it 5-6 on the back of her cosy Lowther success on her first go over this trip. Unbeaten French filly Jasna's Secret has looked an excellent prospect thus far though so rates a big threat, while Irish raiders Porta Fortuna and Cherry Blossom have the form to play a part too in a most intriguing Cheveley Park.
Jasna's Secret is hugely respected but this could be the day that everything comes together for the talented SOPRANO.
(9) Vandeek 1.62/1, 625,000 gns breeze-up buy who made a big impression twice before upping his game again to land the Prix Morny in gutsy fashion last month. More progress on the cards and makes plenty of appeal. Progressing well; Prix Morny success took his record to 3-3; top on ratings; chief player.
8
2nd (8) (15/2 +0%) Task Force
7.5
15/2(+0%)
(8) Task Force 15/2, Frankel colt with typically cracking Juddmonte pedigree. Has looked a top prospect in taking his first two starts, not hard pressed to land a listed event at Ripon on latest, and looks well worth a go in this grade. Promising colt who is two from two; Listed win at Ripon latest; interesting prospect.
5
3rd (5) (11/4 -10%) River Tiber
2.75
11/4(-10%)
(5) River Tiber 11/4, From a good sprinting family and took his record to three from three when landing the Coventry at Royal Ascot in June. Reportedly missed some work prior to a creditable third behind Vandeek in Prix Morny and he's worth chancing to reverse the form. Coventry winner; had setback in the lead-up to the Morny (still ran creditably); respected.
2
4th (2) (20/1 +9%) Givemethebeatboys
20
20/1(+9%)
(2) Givemethebeatboys 20/1, Won the Group 3 Marble Hill over 6f here in May but has seemingly had his limitations exposed when behind Bucanero Fuerte in the Coventry and Phoenix since. Likely he'll come up short again. Ran respectably in the Coventry and the Phoenix but needs to show improvement.
7
5th (7) (22/1 -10%) Starlust
22
22/1(-10%)
(7) Starlust 22/1, Likeable type who doubled his tally when landing the Sirenia Stakes at Kempton three weeks ago. Probably out of his depth upped to this level, however. Steadily progressive colt whose form stacks up well; won the Sirenia most recently.
6
6th (6) (66/1 +18%) Sketch
66
66/1(+18%)
(6) Sketch 66/1, Looked useful when scoring by 5 lengths on 6f Newbury debut. Back on track when third in listed company at York last time and step back up in trip should suit. Has plenty to find, however. Ran well in 5f Listed race at York last time; this is a much harder task.
4
7th (4) (14/1 -17%) Lake Forest
14
14/1(-17%)
(4) Lake Forest 14/1, Overcame greenness and the run of the race to make a winning start at Haydock in June and built on that when second in July Stakes at Newmarket next time. Resumed progress to land the Gimcrack at York last time and he's likely to be on the premises again. Bounced back to win the Gimcrack but it looked a substandard edition of that York prize.
1
8th (1) (14/1 +44%) Elite Status
14
14/1(+44%)
(1) Elite Status 14/1, Looked a good prospect when taking two of his first three starts but has come up short in Prix Morny at Deauville since and has plenty to find with a few of these rivals. Useful colt but a poor effort in the Morny puts him down the pecking order today.
3
9th (3) (11/1 +8%) Jasour
11
11/1(+8%)
(3) Jasour 11/1, Much improved when taking the step up to Group 2-company in his stride at the July meeting here (6f, good to firm), scoring by 2 lengths with a bit in hand. Came up short in Prix Morny at Deauville since (did too much too soon) but remains with potential. Won the July Stakes; unsuited by slow surface in the Morny; remains of major interest.
LTO Selection:
15:00 Newmarket Group 1 (Class 1) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Vandeek got the better of RIVER TIBER in the Group 1 Prix Morny at Deauville last month but there are strong reasons to believe that form can be turned around here. River Tiber had an interrupted preparation for that race, having previously won the Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot, and the son of Wootton Bassett also didn't look entirely at ease on the very soft ground at Deauville. Back on a much better surface, Aidan O'Brien's charge can turn the tables on Vandeek and get back to winning ways. Jasour was well-held when eighth in that same race in France but maybe the ground was also an issue for him and he could bounce back. The unbeaten Task Force could take another step forward.
RIVER TIBER was unable to go with Vandeek in the Prix Morny last time but he'd reportedly missed some work prior to that and, given how promising he'd looked beforehand, he's worth a chance to reverse form with his old rival in a race that the pair may dominate. The unbeaten Task Force is a big player for all that he's stepping up markedly in grade.
Vandeek and River Tiber bring the best form but an interesting alternative is TASK FORCE. Jasour is also respected.
(1) Astro King 20/1, Good buy by connections, finishing second in the John Smith's Cup in July before bagging a nice prize back at York at the Ebor meeting. Should give his running but will require a high-class handicap performance to defy a mark of 107. Better than ever for new yard; up 5lb to career-high mark but could be bang there.
23
2nd (23) (5/2 +38%) Greek Order
2.5
5/2(+38%)
(23) Greek Order 5/2, Well-bred Kingman colt who is very much getting his act together now, bolting up in a 1¼m Newbury handicap under Oisin Murphy last month. The second won next time and even a 10 lb rise for that could prove lenient with further progress likely. 2-2 in handicaps and has been well backed for this race; firmly in calculations.
5
3rd (5) (16/1 +11%) Bopedro
16
16/1(+11%)
(5) Bopedro 16/1, Won 9-runner handicap on the July Course in August and shaped better than the result when ninth of 17 in 7f Leopardstown handicap 3 weeks ago. Back up in trip. Mixed form this year but Newmarket has brought out the best in him; he's one to consider.
10
4th (10) (12/1 +33%) Oviedo
12
12/1(+33%)
(10) Oviedo 12/1, Landed the Zetland Gold Cup at Redcar (1¼m, good) in May and recorded another good effort in a competitive event when second to Astro King (Haunted Dream third and Killybegs Warrior fourth) at the York Ebor meeting last month. This 3-y-o could yet have a bigger performance in him. 3yo with good record in handicaps, with a win and a creditable 2nd; could be thereabouts.
25
4th (25) (14/1 +0%) Majestic
14
14/1(+0%)
(25) Majestic 14/1, Won this last year and plenty of creditable efforts in defeat this time round. Freshened up since finishing fourth in a Racing League handicap in mid-August and capable of making a bold bid to defend his crown. Won this last year; mixed form this season but clearly well suited by today's scenario.
17
6th (17) (25/1 +24%) Dutch Decoy
25
25/1(+24%)
(17) Dutch Decoy 25/1, Five-time 7f/1m winner in 2022 and went in on the July Course here this summer. Creditable efforts at Glorious Goodwood and the York Ebor meeting on his next 2 outings but needs to shrug off a lesser run at Doncaster a fortnight ago. String of good runs before recent blip at Doncaster and he's not written off.
24
7th (24) (80/1 -60%) Thunder Ball
80
80/1(-60%)
(24) Thunder Ball 80/1, Off the mark in 7f Newbury novice in May and backed that up when a fine fourth in the Britannia at Royal Ascot. Back from a poor run on the July Course here when first past the post (demoted to second) at Goodwood (1m, soft) 4 weeks ago. Stable won this in 2020. Displayed some strong handicap form this year; no surprise to see bold bid from this 3yo.
6
8th (6) (20/1 +0%) Haunted Dream
20
20/1(+0%)
(6) Haunted Dream 20/1, Enhanced good AW strike rate when scoring at Chelmsford in April and has since posted a string of cracking efforts in strong turf handicaps, including 2¼ lengths third of 14 to Astro King at York last month. Morgan Cole takes a handy 5 lb off. Running really well in defeat in hot handicaps at about 1m2f; solid each-way contender.
29
9th (29) (50/1 -52%) Carolus Magnus
50
50/1(-52%)
(29) Carolus Magnus 50/1, Fairly useful winner for Andrew Balding. Some promise for new yard this year, albeit latest Wolverhampton effort was disappointing. Others are more obvious. Hint of spark last month but well beaten since; back to having something to prove.
15
10th (15) (22/1 -83%) Dual Identity
22
22/1(-83%)
(15) Dual Identity 22/1, Third to Majestic (first home on his side) in this last year and arrives in form again after an impressive win at Sandown 4 weeks ago. Has to enter the reckoning despite an 8 lb rise. Fine third in this last year and bolted up at Sandown most recently; has to be respected.
30
11th (30) (100/1 +0%) Geremia
100
100/1(+0%)
(30) Geremia 100/1, Two wins over 13f this year but tends to start slowly and will likely need the leaders to go off too hard if he's to get involved over this shorter trip. Two wins this year but they were over 1m5f and he ran poorly at Hamilton (1m4f) last time.
27
12th (27) (50/1 +0%) Faylaq
50
50/1(+0%)
(27) Faylaq 50/1, Now 26 runs since his last win in 2019 but he has run with credit to be placed on 5 of his 6 starts since joining Jim Goldie. Has been plying his trade over longer trips but Nanton did likewise before placing 3 times in this for the yard a few years ago. Some good runs this year over 1m3f-2m but losing sequence goes back to September 2019.
28
13th (28) (80/1 -21%) Thundering
80
80/1(-21%)
(28) Thundering 80/1, Bounced back from a couple of poor runs to take advantage of his falling mark at Ayr (1¼m) last week. Shouldered with a 4 lb penalty in a much stronger race now and hardly an obvious one to follow up. Back to winning ways at Ayr recently but could be vulnerable in this much stronger race.
31
14th (31) (33/1 -65%) Zozimus
33
33/1(-65%)
(31) Zozimus 33/1, One win from 24 starts but arrives on the back of good runner-up efforts over 1m at Beverley and Haydock this month. This is a much stronger race but still not discounted. Modest strike-rate but in good form in this visor and he's not ruled out each-way.
18
15th (18) (80/1 +0%) Graignes
80
80/1(+0%)
(18) Graignes 80/1, Won back to back over 1¼m this summer and has remained in form since, placing for the third start running when second of 12 in a Racing League event at Southwell 17 days ago. Has the hood he wore for the first time at Southwell combined with a refitted tongue tie. Rejuvenated this year and remains well treated on 2020 form, but more needed in hot race.
33
16th (33) (16/1 -33%) Crack Shot
16
16/1(-33%)
(33) Crack Shot 16/1, Has a largely progressive profile, making it second time lucky in handicaps when seeing off a fellow 3-y-o at Newbury (1m, good to firm) last month. Likely has more to offer. Won at Newbury last month on second handicap start and this 3yo could continue to progress.
16
17th (16) (66/1 -65%) Stay Well
66
66/1(-65%)
(16) Stay Well 66/1, Arrives on the back of creditable in-frame efforts at Windsor (11.5f) and Sandown (1¼m) on his last 2 outings but losing run goes back nearly 2 years and others are preferred for win purposes again. Solid efforts off this mark the last twice but others are more compelling.
22
18th (22) (66/1 -32%) Arqoob
66
66/1(-32%)
(22) Arqoob 66/1, Hurdle winner for Lucy Wadham in the spring and has recorded a couple of creditable efforts back on the Flat having returned to the care of William Jarvis. On a competitive mark. On a handy mark; two solid runs last month but more pressing cases can be made for others.
2
19th (2) (11/1 +31%) Saga
11
11/1(+31%)
(2) Saga 11/1, Underlined what a talented sort he is on his day when narrowly denied in a 17-runner C&D handicap on 2000 Guineas day. Respectable efforts at listed level on his 2 outings since and these big-field handicaps do seem to bring out the best in him. Two of his best runs have come in big-field handicaps; ideal scenario and interesting.
20
20th (20) (66/1 -100%) Storm Catcher
66
66/1(-100%)
(20) Storm Catcher 66/1, Three AW wins this year, the latest at Newcastle (1¼m) at the end of August. His Ascot third in July shows he's also capable on turf but his wins have all been achieved on artificial surfaces. Steadily progressive and won last time (1m2f, AW) but this rise in grade may find him out.
26
21st (26) (80/1 -21%) Bluelight Bay
80
80/1(-21%)
(26) Bluelight Bay 80/1, Fairly useful form last year and improved when accounting for 6 rivals in a 1m Salisbury handicap in June. Creditable in-frame efforts at Sandown and Ascot but will need to improve for the slightly longer trip to be a major contender under Saffie Osborne. Not obviously ahead of his mark but the strong pace and extra 1f could both be positives.
7
22nd (7) (100/1 +0%) Epic Poet
100
100/1(+0%)
(7) Epic Poet 100/1, Smart performer for Jean-Claude Rouget in France but failed to beat a rival in 2 outings in quick succession for new yard this summer. This stable/jockey combination has tasted success in this before but he has plenty to prove at present. French Listed winner but well beaten this year on his two British starts; has been gelded.
9
23rd (9) (22/1 -22%) Killybegs Warrior
22
22/1(-22%)
(9) Killybegs Warrior 22/1, Won a 1¼m handicap on the July Course this summer and arrives on the back of creditable fourths in competitive events at York (Astro King, Oviedo and Haunted Dream ahead of him) at the Curragh on his last 2 outings. Handicapper appears to have him about right but he likes Newmarket; not ruled out each-way.
8
24th (8) (28/1 -12%) Eagle's Way
28
28/1(-12%)
(8) Eagle's Way 28/1, Most progressive last summer, winning all 4 starts, and even better form in defeat this time round, faring easily best of those who raced prominently when fourth of 14 to Dual Identity in 1¼m Sandown handicap 4 weeks ago. On the shortlist. Not helped by wide draw when fourth at Sandown latest; could still be capable of better.
13
25th (13) (66/1 +0%) Eilean Dubh
66
66/1(+0%)
(13) Eilean Dubh 66/1, Back to winning ways in first-time tongue tie at Hamilton (1m) in July but he's been held in big-field handicaps at Glorious Goodwood and the York Ebor meeting on his last 2 outings. Won six-runner handicap at Hamilton in July but looks vulnerable in this red-hot race.
32
26th (32) (80/1 -21%) Sayf Al Dawla
80
80/1(-21%)
(32) Sayf Al Dawla 80/1, Progressive in 2021 and, having attracted support, returned from a long absence as good as ever to land an 11-runner event at Sandown (1¼m) in July. Not so good at Newbury last week, though. Won in July when back from a long absence but only sixth of seven at Newbury last Friday.
3
27th (3) (66/1 +0%) Tyrrhenian Sea
66
66/1(+0%)
(3) Tyrrhenian Sea 66/1, Smart gelding who was 3¼ lengths second of 8 to Lord North in Winter Derby at Lingfield (1¼m, AW) in February but not seen since a disappointing run at Kempton in April when said to have bled. On a competitive mark but off since April and this is a very tough comeback assignment.
12
28th (12) (9/1 +44%) Liberty Lane
9
9/1(+44%)
(12) Liberty Lane 9/1, Smart and improved performance back from an 8-week break when edging out Sonny Liston (pair clear) in a 15-runner 1m handicap at Doncaster on St Leger day. The way he rallied after being headed suggests this slightly longer trip could suit. Respected under a 4 lb penalty. Rallied to win 1m handicap at Doncaster and this unexposed 3yo could have more to offer.
34
29th (34) (100/1 -25%) Wildfell
100
100/1(-25%)
(34) Wildfell 100/1, Highly progressive since joining this stable, winning first 4 starts this year. Improved further when a close second in 17-runner event at Glorious Goodwood (1m, soft) in August but he was beaten by more than the longer trip when always in rear over 1¼m at Doncaster recently. 4 lb out of weights. Prolific earlier in year and retains potential; 4lb out of the handicap in this hot race.
14
10th (14) (33/1 -32%) Paradias
33
33/1(-32%)
(14) Paradias 33/1, Took his form to a new level when landing 9-runner handicap at Sandown (1¼m) on second run back in June. Has shaped as though still in top form on all 3 outings since, 1½m just stretching his stamina last time. Narrow win at Sandown in June; has run pretty well since but improvement is needed here.
21
|31| (21) (25/1 -25%) Terwada
25
25/1(-25%)
(21) Terwada 25/1, Has quickly reached a useful level, winning Nottingham novice in June and following up in a handicap on the July Course here 4 weeks later (both 1m). Not disgraced when sixth of 19 in a Heritage Handicap at York since and that experience of a big-field handicap should hold him in good stead here. Kept on nicely over 1m at York and today's extra furlong could suit this unexposed 3yo.
4
|32| (4) (80/1 -60%) Major Partnership
80
80/1(-60%)
(4) Major Partnership 80/1, Scored cosily at Nottingham (8.3f) in June and creditable efforts on his next 2 outings. Does need to shrug off a very disappointing run at Ascot 3 weeks ago, though. Some good runs this year but others may be better treated and he was below par last time.
19
|33| (19) (17/2 +47%) Merlin The Wizard
8.5
17/2(+47%)
(19) Merlin The Wizard 17/2, Progressive, making it 3 wins in his last 4 starts when seeing off 8 rivals in a 1m handicap on the July Course here (good to firm) 7 week ago. Looks to have been saved for this since and one of 2 strong contenders for his stable. Stayed on well for cosy 1m win last time; this unexposed 3yo is open to further progress.
11
|34| (11) (50/1 -79%) Akhu Najla
50
50/1(-79%)
(11) Akhu Najla 50/1, Lightly-raced 4-y-o who showed he retains all his ability after an absence when fourth of 9 at Ascot (1m) in July but he went backwards from that effort at York last month. Needs to get back on the up in first-time blinkers. Promising comeback at Ascot; failed to build on it at York but of interest now up in trip.
LTO Selection:
15:40 Newmarket Handicap (Class 2) 9f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
A typically-competitive renewal sees a chance taken on the stand out GREEK ORDER, who arrives here seeking a hat-trick after wins at Haydock and most recently at Newbury. Harry and Roger Charlton's charge did plenty wrong despite bolting up by more than four lengths over 1m2f at the latter venue, where he raced keenly and plenty of improvement can be expected. This son of Kingman has been raised 10lb for that success but with the second Maximilian Caesar subsequently franking the form, he could defy that burden to complete the hat-trick. Fellow last-time-out winner Dual Identity isn't ruled out of overcoming his 8lb rise after a four-and-a-half-length win over 1m2f at Sandown, while Oviedo (second) is on slightly better terms with his last-time-out conqueror Astro King and could reverse that form.
Highly competitive as usual but GREEK ORDER still stands out. It's all come together for this 3-y-o lately and his demolition of a next-time-out winner at Newbury suggests he could still be well treated after even a 10 lb rise. His stablemate Merlin The Wizard and recent Doncaster winner Liberty Lane are other interesting contenders among the 3-y-os, while Majestic, who is bidding to become the first back-to-back winner for over 50 years, and Eagle's Way may fare best of the older brigade.
Preference is for BOPEDRO (nap), who has a fine record at the Newmarket courses and caught the eye when unlucky in Ireland last time.
(20) True Cyan 13/2, Foaled January 12. £150,000 2-y-o, No Nay Never filly. Dam winner up to 1m (2-y-o 6f winner), multiple Group 3 winner in Britain/Ireland. Yard has won this 3 times since 2015. £150,000 2yo; second foal; dam 6f-1m winner; yard has a good record in this maiden.
18
2nd (18) (5/1 -82%) Strutting
5
5/1(-82%)
(18) Strutting 5/1, 425,000 gns yearling, Frankel filly. Half-sister to 11f winner Muzaffar. Dam unraced, half-sister to high-class 1m winner Admire Mars. Held back by inexperience when sixth of 7 in maiden (9/4) at Sandown (8f) 15 days ago, not ideally placed. Sure to do better. Made no impression from off the pace at Sandown but did go off at only 9-4.
14
3rd (14) (10/3 +67%) Rochelle
3.333333
10/3(+67%)
(14) Rochelle 10/3, Foaled February 16. Scissor Kick filly. Half-sister to several winners, including 1m winner Conan's Rock and 1¼m winner Rock Lobster. Dam 7f winner who stayed 9f. Related to winners and the booking of James Doyle heightens interest.
11
4th (11) (9/2 +36%) Mercury Day
4.5
9/2(+36%)
(11) Mercury Day 9/2, Foaled February 17. Time Test filly. Half-sister to useful French winner up to 1m Halfway Line. Dam, 2-y-o 1m winner, half-sister to smart winner up to 9f Confront. Noteworthy newcomer. Third foal; half-sister to French 7f/1m winner Halfway Line (inc 2yo; RPR 100).
4
5th (4) (17/2 -21%) Chorus
8.5
17/2(-21%)
(4) Chorus 17/2, Foaled May 3. Kingman filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including smart 11.5f-1¾m winner Kemari and useful 11f winner Klondike. Dam, 10.3f-1½m winner who stayed 14.5f, half-sister to high-class winner up to 14.6f Milan. Newcomer to note. Bred to come into her own next year over longer distances.
13
6th (13) (28/1 +15%) Pasha
28
28/1(+15%)
(13) Pasha 28/1, €100,000 yearling, Advertise filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including winners abroad by Kingman and Invincible Spirit. Dam, French 1½m winner, half-sister to useful 1½m winner Sanaija. 12/1, ninth of 11 in maiden at Doncaster (7f, good to soft) on debut 15 days ago. Didn't show much at Doncaster but the ground was soft and she may do better.
9
7th (9) (100/1 +0%) Madame De Sevigne
100
100/1(+0%)
(9) Madame De Sevigne 100/1, £20,000 2-y-o. Night of Thunder filly. Dam useful French winner up to 11f (2-y-o 1m winner). 80/1, sixth of 7 in novice at Newmarket (7f, good to firm) on debut 36 days ago. 80-1 when beating one home on Newmarket's July course (7f) a month ago.
15
8th (15) (200/1 +0%) Roody Toody
200
200/1(+0%)
(15) Roody Toody 200/1, Land Force filly. Half-sister to 2 winners, including 1¼m winner Exposed. Dam, ran twice, out of sister to Oaks winner Casual Look. 200/1, ninth of 14 in maiden at Kempton (7f) on debut 17 days ago. Always in the rear group when beaten about 14l at Kempton (7f AW; 200-1).
10
9th (10) (8/1 +11%) Mallavelly
8
8/1(+11%)
(10) Mallavelly 8/1, Foaled April 24. 500,000 gns yearling, Siyouni filly. Dam, useful French 1¼m winner who stayed 1¾m (runner-up in Prix Cléopâtre), half-sister to smart performer up to 15f Joie de Soir. Yard won this 3 years ago with Saffron Beach. Cost 500,000gns and the stable's star filly Saffron Beach made her winning debut in this.
12
10th (12) (125/1 +17%) Notre Dame
125
125/1(+17%)
(12) Notre Dame 125/1, Well held in novices here and at Yarmouth. Nearer last than first in races on the July course (7f) and at Yarmouth (6f).
8
11th (8) (66/1 +0%) Lia Rose
66
66/1(+0%)
(8) Lia Rose 66/1, Twice-raced filly. Ninth of 14 in novice (40/1) at Leicester (7f, soft) 18 days ago. Has hinted at ability but highly unlikely to be winning a Newmarket maiden.
6
12th (6) (5/1 +0%) Islanova
5
5/1(+0%)
(6) Islanova 5/1, Foaled March 14. Frankel filly. Sister to 2-y-o 7f winner Melnikova, closely related to smart 1m-1¼m winner Davydenko. Dam 7f winner. Likely type. Frankel filly from a good Cheveley Park line; trainer knows the family well.
7
13th (7) (28/1 +15%) Jailbird
28
28/1(+15%)
(7) Jailbird 28/1, Foaled April 27. €18,000 yearling, resold €48,000 yearling, Awtaad filly. Closely related to 1½m winner Aqwaam and half-sister to 1¼m winner Taany. dam, 1m winner, half-sister to smart 7f winner Hadaatha out of smart winner up to 1m (2-y-o 7f winner) Hathrah. 48,000euros yearling; fourth foal; closely related to 1m4f winner Aqwaam (RPR 86).
1
14th (1) (125/1 -89%) Alwedad
125
125/1(-89%)
(1) Alwedad 125/1, Well held both starts on AW. Tongue strap on 1st time. Both runs over 7f; seventh of ten at Lingfield and then last at Wolverhampton.
2
15th (2) (33/1 +18%) Bumblebee Bullet
33
33/1(+18%)
(2) Bumblebee Bullet 33/1, Foaled March 20. €16,000 yearling, Invincible Army filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 7f winner Gladice and 8.6f winner Senseofentitlement. Dam, unraced, closely related to very smart 6f-1m winner Sayif. 16,000euros yearling; claimer ridden and can only be watched.
16
16th (16) (66/1 -100%) Sapphira
66
66/1(-100%)
(16) Sapphira 66/1, Foaled April 24. Zoustar filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including useful winner up to 6f Pennsylvania Dutch and 2-y-o 6f winner Field of Stars. Dam, 7f winner, sister to 5f winner Enticing and 7f/1m winner Sentaril (both smart). Eighth foal; half-sister to winners Pennsylvania Dutch (5f/6f inc 2yo; RPR 101).
17
17th (17) (80/1 -100%) Scottie's Sister
80
80/1(-100%)
(17) Scottie's Sister 80/1, Foaled April 3. Le Brivido filly. Dam unraced sister to useful 7.5f-10.5f winner Szoff. Dam unraced half-sister to useful German/French 7.5f-10.5f winner Szoff.
LTO Selection:
16:15 Newmarket Maiden (Class 3) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Better can be expected of STRUTTING, who raced greenly on debut over 1m at Sandown earlier this month and she is fancied to take big strides forward today. This daughter of Frankel cost 425,000gns so better can be expected of a filly from powerful connections and that experience won't have been lost on her. Islanova is one of the more interesting debutants for Sir Michael Stoute, whose debutants always warrant a closer look, and the services of Ryan Moore are a major positive, while Chorus is also respected.
STRUTTING was too green to do herself justice at Sandown on debut 2 weeks ago but she can put that experience to good use up against some interesting newcomers, including True Cyan and Islanova.
Strutting ran okay on debut but this will probably go to a newcomer. There's good reason to expect a big run from MALLAVELLY.
(1) Wild Goddess 11/2, Duly built on Haydock debut promise when landing a 7f novice in good style on the other course here in July. Rather disappointing in the Group 3 Sweet Solera next time, though, and will need to raise her game in order to defy top-weight in this competitive nursery. Disappointing in Group 3 last time but impressive previously and retains potential.
5
2nd (5) (9/2 -13%) Key To Cotai
4.5
9/2(-13%)
(5) Key To Cotai 9/2, Didn't need to improve when opening her account at Nottingham (5f, heavy) on penultimate start and subsequent fifth of 16 in a valuable York nursery (6f, good to firm) was a creditable effort. This new trip worth exploring and she's not discounted in first-time cheekpieces here. Stayed on well for fifth of 16 in 6f nursery at York; on the shortlist now up in trip.
6
3rd (6) (11/4 +45%) Miss Information
2.75
11/4(+45%)
(6) Miss Information 11/4, Has improved with each of her 4 starts to date, off the mark from the front in a 6f Ascot novice (good to firm) last time. Mark for this nursery debut looks manageable and she has to enter calculations. Won Ascot novice on fourth start and she's in good hands to continue to progress.
8
4th (8) (8/1 +20%) Shin Jidai
8
8/1(+20%)
(8) Shin Jidai 8/1, Cosy winner of 7f Newcastle maiden on her introduction and subsequent third to a promising Godolphin filly at Thirsk (1m, good to soft) was no backward step. Dropping back to 7f on faster ground could work in her favour now switched to a nursery. Solid efforts on her first two starts and this drop back in trip could be the right move.
4
5th (4) (12/1 +25%) Lincoln Legacy
12
12/1(+25%)
(4) Lincoln Legacy 12/1, Kempton debut winner in May and added to her tally when accounting for Expensive Queen and 5 others in a 7f nursery on the July course last month. Well held both starts since but wouldn't be the first from this yard to bounce back. Won a nursery last month but well beaten the next twice and needs a return to form.
9
6th (9) (15/2 +32%) Mirroring
7.5
15/2(+32%)
(9) Mirroring 15/2, Found some improvement when making it fifth time lucky upped to 7f in an Epsom nursery (good to firm) last month. Now 6 lb higher in a stronger race but she merits respect all the same. Won Epsom nursery and her attractive pedigree provides hope she will continue to progress.
10
7th (10) (33/1 +0%) I'm So Dizzy
33
33/1(+0%)
(10) I'm So Dizzy 33/1, Went the right way with each of her first 3 starts, seeming suited by a good test at 5f when getting the off the mark at Nottingham in July. However, subsequent efforts in nurseries at Yarmouth and Sandown have not been particularly inspiring. Won at Nottingham in July but hasn't backed it up since; goes up to 7f from 5f.
11
8th (11) (80/1 -129%) Aljadel
80
80/1(-129%)
(11) Aljadel 80/1, Left previous efforts for Marco Botti behind when seeing off 9 rivals on debut for present yard in a Lingfield maiden (7f, AW) last month. It's hard to rate that form highly, though, and Falling For You is presumably the stable first-string. Improved form when winning on yard debut and brings potential to this first nursery start.
7
9th (7) (9/1 +0%) Liv My Life
9
9/1(+0%)
(7) Liv My Life 9/1, Put experience to good use when landing 5f maiden at Chester in July and relished the extra furlong to double her career tally in likeable fashion on handicap debut at Goodwood (6f, good to firm) earlier this month. Big player up 4 lb with the extra furlong here unlikely to be an issue. Outpaced before getting up close home in 6f nursery at Goodwood; now goes up in trip.
3
10th (3) (9/1 -100%) Falling For You
9
9/1(-100%)
(3) Falling For You 9/1, Off the mark at the third time of asking when getting on top close home in a 12-runner Windsor maiden (6f, good to firm). More on her plate now pitched into a nursery but booking of Ryan Moore is an obvious plus and stepping back up to 7f will be in her favour. Nursery debut; off the mark at Windsor on her third start and could continue to progress.
LTO Selection:
16:50 Newmarket Handicap (Class 2) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
Wild Goddess drops in class after coming home sixth in the Group 3 Sweet Solera Stakes last time out and, with the Charlie Appleby string in better form recently, she could go well despite top-weight. Whether she can successfully give 10lb to SHIN JIDAI is another question. The 7f maiden winner weakened to finish third over 1m at Thirsk latest and, now dropped in trip, she may have a lot more to offer. Falling For You and Miss Information are others to consider in a highly-competitive renewal.
The form of the nursery in which KEY TO COTAI was a creditable fifth at the York Ebor meeting looks very strong, with the runner-up subsequently winning a Group 3 and the third going on to land a valuable sales race. She is likely to be suited by this step up to 7f and gets the nod ahead of Liv My Life, who landed a decent contest at Goodwood last time and may also benefit from this stiffer test. Miss Information is third choice, while Falling For You and Shin Jidai are also shortlisted.
Having kept on well for fifth of 16 in a warm 6f nursery at York, KEY TO COTAI earns the vote now up in distance.
(8) Catch The Paddy 16/1, Ran a cracker on his first outing after a wind-op when second at York last month but disappointed when last in 6-runner event there (7.9f, good) 20 days ago, finding little. Back down in trip to take on his elders for the first time. First run since wind op when 2nd in big 1m York handicap in August; way below best since.
9
2nd (9) (7.5/1 +6%) Bajan Bandit
7.5
7.5/1(+6%)
(9) Bajan Bandit 7.5/1, Has taken his form up a notch for his current yard, winning at Haydock in June before doubling his tally for the season at York the following month. Not quite at his best when fourth at that latter course 20 days ago but is still respected meeting his elders for the first time. Ready winner on latest 7f run; strong form at 1m next time; not so good latest.
4
3rd (4) (8.5/1 +15%) Darkness
8.5
8.5/1(+15%)
(4) Darkness 8.5/1, Off the mark in this country when scoring on the July Course in the summer before running well to finish fourth in the Golden Mile at Goodwood. Not completely disgraced when mid-field at Leopardstown last time, albeit checking out rather tamely, and wouldn't be completely disregarded. Peak form at 1m in the summer; shade to prove back over a bare 7f against the specialists.
3
4th (3) (2.75/1 +31%) Star Of Orion
2.75
2.75/1(+31%)
(3) Star Of Orion 2.75/1, Ended a 2-year losing run in 7f July Course handicap in the summer and has remained in top form since, placed in a pair of big Ascot handicaps either side of finishing runner-up at Goodwood. High draw is a minor concern but he should continue to run well. Three wins split between this track and July course; in fine form over 7f; solid claims.
1
5th (1) (8.5/1 -6%) Bless Him
8.5
8.5/1(-6%)
(1) Bless Him 8.5/1, Still a smart operator on his day, running well in big fields in the Royal Hunt Cup and the Bunbury Cup in the summer. Not seen to best effect with customary hold-up tactics deployed at Ascot last time, though this race isn't guaranteed to set up for him any better. Cracking 7f handicapper; excellent 4th of 15 in the Bunbury Cup; not as good since.
5
6th (5) (7/2 +22%) Glenfinnan
3.5
7/2(+22%)
(5) Glenfinnan 7/2, Well suited by the emphasis on speed when gaining his first win of the year in an 8-runner minor event at Ascot (7f, good to firm) 22 days ago. That effort represented a career best but he'll need to improve a bit more again having been nudged up 5 lb. Maiden winner at 1m as 2yo; suited by return to 7f when winning at Ascot; unexposed.
2
7th (2) (17/2 -13%) Accidental Agent
8.5
17/2(-13%)
(2) Accidental Agent 17/2, Tremendous servant to connections (Queen Anne winner in his prime) and still capable of very useful efforts at the age of 9, finishing fifth in the Bunbury Cup at Newmarket and beaten only 1½ lengths when filling the same position in a Chepstow Racing League handicap since. Player. Dual course winner at 6f and 7f; strong form when a hampered 5th of 15 in Bunbury Cup.
10
8th (10) (8/1 +0%) Modesty
8
8/1(+0%)
(10) Modesty 8/1, Looked a good prospect when making a winning debut at York last autumn and showed improved form in defeat in pair of good novice events earlier this year. Again looked a bit tricky when sixth at York on his handicap debut last time and cheekpieces now go on. All races at 1m; looked awkward ride on York handicap debut; headgear on now dropped to 7f.
6
9th (6) (33/1 +0%) Bass Player
33
33/1(+0%)
(6) Bass Player 33/1, Doncaster maiden winner (7f) on debut who quickly made up into a useful performer last term. Yet to trouble the judge in 2023, though, looking far from straightforward when down the field on the July Course when last seen. Blinkers now applied. Useful 3yo but having a slow 2023 and first-time blinkers now added back at 7f.
7
10th (7) (18/1 -50%) Chartwell House
18
18/1(-50%)
(7) Chartwell House 18/1, Scored at Haydock in June and ran at least as well when runner-up there on his next outing. Produced a rare below-par effort when fifth of 6 in handicap at Epsom (7f, good) 33 days ago and others perhaps appeal as better treated at present. Useful 7f form at Haydock in the summer but wasn't himself at Epsom last time out.
LTO Selection:
17:25 Newmarket Handicap (Class 2) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
Three-year-olds get a 3lb age allowance here and that may tip the scales in the favour of Andrew Balding's GLENFINNAN. Put up 6lb for a win at Ascot last time out, he was value for more than the official margin of half a length suggests and may have more improvement to come after only seven starts. Darkness is capable of a big run off this mark for a stable in among the winners recently, while Modesty could also get involved where it matters if the cheekpieces help him to keep a straighter course.
A really competitive affair, with the in-form STAR OF ORION fancied to continue his good spell having held his form admirably in defeat since scoring on the July Course here in the summer. Veteran Accidental Agent ran well in the Bunbury Cup and wasn't beaten too far at Chepstow next time, so is another to merit consideration. Bajan Bandit is fractionally the most appealing of the 3-y-os and he can complete the placings.
Star Of Orion has solid claims but GLENFINNAN was suited by the return to 7f at Ascot and can improve again now back in a handicap.
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Meaning
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TomForm top stats silver rated
Ran similar race before
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TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
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Top Time speeed rated
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At the races watchout for
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How to use Tomform
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
About U.K Horse Racing
Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.
There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.
The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.
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In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.
Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.
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