Newbury Races & Results Tomform Thursday 11th July 2024

There were 39 Races on Thursday 11th July 2024 across 6 meetings. There was 7 races at Newmarket, 7 races at Doncaster, 6 races at Carlisle, 7 races at Leopardstown, 6 races at Epsom, 6 races at Newbury, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Thursday 11th July 2024

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

17:50 Newbury Stakes (Class 4) 6f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
3
1st (3) Ellaria Sand (10/3 -48%)
Ellaria Sand

3.333333
10/3(-48%)
(3) Ellaria Sand 10/3, Sands of Mali filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 5f winner Ba'hoa. Dam, temperamental 6f winner who stayed 1m, half-sister to useful 7f-8.3f winner Rekdhat. 4/1, fourth of 14 in maiden at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) on debut 13 days ago, slowly away. Should improve.
Slowly away at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) but made up some good late headway.
9
2nd (9) Queue Dos (4/1 -60%)
Queue Dos

4
4/1(-60%)
(9) Queue Dos 4/1, 80/1, better effort when 8¼ lengths sixth of 12 to Celandine in listed race at Newmarket (6f, good to firm) 12 days ago. Form pick and should have more to offer still.
Ran respectably in a Listed last time and needs a second look at this lower level.
11
3rd (11) Fleetwater (66/1 -164%)
Fleetwater

66
66/1(-164%)
(11) Fleetwater 66/1, Foaled March 21. 3,500 gns yearling, Ardad filly. Half-sister to several winners, including useful 6f winner New Bidder and 5f-7f winner Captain Noble. Dam winner up to 8.3f (2-y-o 6f winner).
3,500gns yearling; 13th foal; half-sister to useful 6f winner New Bidder (RPR 99).
4
4th (4) Geo (9/2 -50%)
Geo

4.5
9/2(-50%)
(4) Geo 9/2, 20,000 gns yearling, Mehmas filly. Dam maiden (stayed 10.5f) half-sister to US 2-y-o 9f winner Idea Generation. Fourth of 12 in novice at this C&D (good to firm, 11/1) on debut 16 days ago, slowly away. Should progress.
Fared best of the newcomers when fourth of 12 over C&D (good to firm) two weeks ago.
12
5th (12) Lilly's Bet (20/1 -100%)
Lilly's Bet

20
20/1(-100%)
(12) Lilly's Bet 20/1, 11,000 gns Iffraaj filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including 2-y-o 7f winner Macmerry Jim and 5f winner Umming N' Ahing. 8/1 and hooded, fifth of 13 in maiden at Lingfield (7f, good to firm) on debut 19 days ago. Likely to improve.
Ran green at Lingfield before making some late headway; could take a step forward.
7
6th (7) Lenten Lily (25/1 -56%)
Lenten Lily

25
25/1(-56%)
(7) Lenten Lily 25/1, Foaled April 23. Land Force filly. Dam 1m/8.3f winner.
Seventh foal; half-sister to bumper winner Mr Sundancer; dam 1m winner (RPR 91).
13
7th (13) Thiscouldbefun (66/1 -100%)
Thiscouldbefun

66
66/1(-100%)
(13) Thiscouldbefun 66/1, Foaled March 19. Coulsty filly. Dam 2-y-o 7f winner out of useful winner up to 7.5f (2-y-o 6f winner) Al Sharood.
Dam 7f 2yo winner, half-sister to 5f winner Gossip and 6f-8.5f winner Valley Belle.
2
8th (2) Dynamite Diva (20/1 +50%)
Dynamite Diva

20
20/1(+50%)
(2) Dynamite Diva 20/1, Offered little when tenth of 14 in novice event at this course (5f, good to soft) on debut 83 days ago.
Badly needed the experience when beaten a long way on her 5f debut at Bath in April.
14
9th (14) West Kirby (125/1 -279%)
West Kirby

125
125/1(-279%)
(14) West Kirby 125/1, Foaled April 24. 11,000 gns yearling, resold 10,000 gns yearling, Kameko filly. Dam winner up to 1m (2-y-o 6f winner).
50-1 chance when withdrawn from intended Goodwood debut after getting upset.
8
10th (8) Perfect Ruby (80/1 -300%)
Perfect Ruby

80
80/1(-300%)
(8) Perfect Ruby 80/1, €33,000 yearling, Dandy Man filly. Dam maiden half-sister to useful 1¼m-13f winner Court Pastoral out of useful 2-y-o 6f-1m winner (stayed 1½m) Teggiano. 50/1, twelfth of 13 in novice at Salisbury (6f, good to firm) on debut 15 days ago.
Big price for a newcomer from this yard at Salisbury (6f) and was always out the back.
10
11th (10) Zizi (200/1 -2757%)
Zizi

200
200/1(-2757%)
(10) Zizi 200/1, Foaled March 22. 20,000 gns foal, £36,000 yearling, Churchill filly. Half-sister to several winners, including useful 6f winner Acolyte and useful 5f/6f winner Amplify. Dam unraced half-sister to smart 10.5f-13.5f winner Self Defense.
£36,000 yearling; seventh foal; half-sister to four winners, notably Acolyte (6f; RPR 102).
5
12th (5) Glamorous Jewel (250/1 -279%)
Glamorous Jewel

250
250/1(-279%)
(5) Glamorous Jewel 250/1, Once-raced maiden. Seventh of 9 in maiden at Chepstow (5.1f, good to firm, 33/1) on debut 33 days ago.
Never really involved after starting slowly at Chepstow (5f, good/firm) when a 33-1 chance.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

17:50 Newbury Stakes (Class 4) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

GEO was an eye-catcher when she finished fourth on her introduction in a similar race over C&D 16 days ago. The signs from that effort were encouraging enough to suggest the daughter of Mehmas can flourish now she has some experience. Ellaria Sand and Lilly's Bet also created favourable impressions on their respective debuts and are others to seriously consider. Zizi is bred to be effective at this trip and appeals most from the newcomers.

QUEUE DOS acquitted herself well in face of a stiff task when mid-field in a listed race at Newmarket 2 weeks ago, particularly as she was drawn away from the action, so she looks the way to go back down in class. Ellaria Sand and Geo both offered plenty to work on first time up and rate the main threats.

This doesn't look that strong a race and GEO shaped with promise on debut here in a race in which her yard has a good record.


18:25 Newbury Stakes (Class 3) 6f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
6
1st (6) Brian (Evens -10%)
Brian

0
Evens(-10%)
(6) Brian Evens, Has improved with each start so far, chasing home the Coventry fourth at Chelmsford (6f) in June before a good third in the Chesham Stakes at Royal Ascot (7f, good to firm) 19 days ago. Leading contender.
Faces softer ground today but easily sets the standard on his last two efforts.
5
2nd (5) Think Of A Name (66/1 +0%)
Think Of A Name

66
66/1(+0%)
(5) Think Of A Name 66/1, Looked one for the longer term when well-beaten eighth of 9 in minor event at Lingfield (6f, AW) on debut last month. Others preferred.
Went off 50-1 at Lingfield (6f AW) and capitulated quickly late on to beat one home.
10
3rd (10) Inconspicuous (100/1 -1329%)
Inconspicuous

100
100/1(-1329%)
(10) Inconspicuous 100/1, Much improved from debut when winning 14-runner seller at York (6f, good to soft) in June, suited by a race that tested stamina at the trip. Enters calculations with cheekpieces added on first run since leaving Ollie Pears.
It was a valuable seller he won at York but the form is nothing to shout about.
1
4th (1) Barry's Boy (150/1 -50%)
Barry's Boy

150
150/1(-50%)
(1) Barry's Boy 150/1, Sent off at big odds (100/1) but hinted at ability when tenth of 13 in minor event at Salisbury (6f, good to firm) on debut 15 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Still looks to face a difficult ask, though.
Weakened out of it at the business end at Salisbury (6f) when a 100-1 outsider.
4
5th (4) Stapleford Park (100/1 -2122%)
Stapleford Park

100
100/1(-2122%)
(4) Stapleford Park 100/1, Took a step forward from his first outing when bumping into a promising debutant (scored again on his next start) in minor event at Ripon (6f, good) 3 weeks ago. Could be in the mix with further progress to come.
Beaten in races won by respected opponents; has each-way claims.
3
6th (3) Silver Arrow (250/1 -1983%)
Silver Arrow

250
250/1(-1983%)
(3) Silver Arrow 250/1, Foaled March 16. €25,000 foal, €38,000 yearling. Dark Angel gelding. Half-brother to 6f winner Starsong and 1m-1¼m winner Honeymooner. Dam, 2-y-o 6f winner, half-sister to useful 7f-11f winner Mixology. Watch for market clues.
38,000euros yearling; half-brother to winners Honeymooner (RPR 81) and Starsong (75).
8
7th (8) Corriamo (350/1 -2088%)
Corriamo

350
350/1(-2088%)
(8) Corriamo 350/1, Bit of promise at Windsor (6f) first time up, though failed to progress from that effort when fifth of 14 in maiden at Kempton (7f) 15 days ago. Has something to find but he's not ruled out for last year's winning trainer.
Brings weak form claims against the best of these and he's one for handicaps.
7
8th (7) Carderock (400/1 -3233%)
Carderock

400
400/1(-3233%)
(7) Carderock 400/1, Only modest form so far, but showed a bit more than on debut when ninth of 20 in maiden at this C&D (good) in May. Could yet do better having been gelded since last time.
Gelded since second run and has quite a lot to find with the best of these.
9
9th (9) Funalltheway (400/1 -506%)
Funalltheway

400
400/1(-506%)
(9) Funalltheway 400/1, Never involved on his first start when eleventh of 15 in Brocklesby Stakes at Doncaster (5f, heavy) in March. Looks to be up against it after 110 days off.
It wasn't the best of Brocklebys in which he made his debut in March and was well held.
11
10th (11) Mister Knockout (300/1 -4900%)
Mister Knockout

300
300/1(-4900%)
(11) Mister Knockout 300/1, Foaled February 20. Rumble Inthejungle colt. Half-brother to useful 2-y-o 6f winner Mister Sketch. Dam unraced half-sister to useful winner up to 7f Rimth. Appeals on paper, so he's one to note for yard who can ready a newcomer.
Second foal; half-brother to Group-placed 6f 2yo winner Mister Sketch (RPR 101).
2
11th (2) Pine Cliffs (350/1 -2088%)
Pine Cliffs

350
350/1(-2088%)
(2) Pine Cliffs 350/1, Foaled April 12. 9,000 gns foal, €20,000 yearling, £15,000 2-y-o, Sergei Prokofiev gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including 7f winner Alix James and winner up to 1¼m Save Your Breath. May just be better for this first experience.
£15,000 breeze-up buy; gelded ahead of debut and watching brief seems best.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

18:25 Newbury Stakes (Class 3) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.

BRIAN stepped forward from two promising runs to finish third in the Chesham at Royal Ascot. That form is a rock-solid offering and this son of Shaman is hard to oppose at this level. Inconspicuous won a valuable seller at York last month and is an obvious threat with first-time cheekpieces added. Mister Knockout is an appealing newcomer to monitor in the betting.

BRIAN sets the standard having continued his progress when third in the Chesham at Royal Ascot, so he could be set to open his account this time around. Next on the list is Stapleford Park, who found only a well-supported newcomer too strong at Ripon on his latest outing, ahead of Inconspicuous.

It's difficult to get away from BRIAN after his excellent effort to finish third in the Chesham at Royal Ascot.


19:00 Newbury Handicap (Class 5) 6f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
7
1st (7) Silent Flame (7/2 +22%)
Silent Flame

3.5
7/2(+22%)
(7) Silent Flame 7/2, C&D winner. Eleven runs since last win in 2023. Fourth of 7 at Ffos Las (6f, good) 15 days ago. Nicely handicapped if first-time blinkers see her recapture her best form.
Conditions to suit and on a lowly mark; new blinkers could spark a revival.
2
2nd (2) Harry's Halo (5/1 -43%)
Harry's Halo

5
5/1(-43%)
(2) Harry's Halo 5/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. 6/1, shaped as if still in form when fourth of 9 in handicap at Catterick (6f, soft) 41 days ago, nearest finish.
Not won since his 2yo campaign but slow ground suits and he's on a dangerous mark.
9
3rd (9) Land Of Magic (40/1 -567%)
Land Of Magic

40
40/1(-567%)
(9) Land Of Magic 40/1, Creditable third of 7 in handicap (15/2) at Goodwood (6f, good) 27 days ago. Tongue strap on first time. Winner on heavy. Not discounted.
Conditions should suit and latest run was more promising; now tried in a tongue-tie.
8
4th (8) Moe's Legacy (40/1 -900%)
Moe's Legacy

40
40/1(-900%)
(8) Moe's Legacy 40/1, Latest win at Salisbury in June. Creditable third of 6 in handicap (6/1) at Bath (5.7f, firm) 17 days ago. Can give a good account.
Two 6f wins this year; fair third at Bath latest; soft ground the unknown factor.
4
5th (4) Dayman (80/1 -300%)
Dayman

80
80/1(-300%)
(4) Dayman 80/1, Losing run goes back to 2022. Cheekpieces on first time, sixth of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7f, 12/1) 37 days ago. Others are more obvious.
Out of sorts since April; lowly mark but too much to prove for comfort.
6
6th (6) Unico (150/1 -971%)
Unico

150
150/1(-971%)
(6) Unico 150/1, Latest win at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) in April. 33/1, first run since leaving Marco Botti when seventh of 10 in handicap at Newmarket (6f, good to firm) 19 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter.
Two 6f wins for M Botti; well held on stable debut last month; soft ground a query.
3
7th (3) Cooperation (150/1 -1150%)
Cooperation

150
150/1(-1150%)
(3) Cooperation 150/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. 14/1, last of 9 in handicap at Salisbury (6f, good to firm) 30 days ago. Others more persuasive.
On a good mark; mixed bag for new yard but handles slow ground and he can't be ruled out.
5
8th (5) Concierge (150/1 -2900%)
Concierge

150
150/1(-2900%)
(5) Concierge 150/1, C&D winner. Stepped up on reappearance when eighth of 14 in handicap at Sandown (5f, good to firm, 80/1) 27 days ago, never nearer. The return to 6f will suit and going softer than good is no issue to him. Considered.
Conditions will suit and he's on a fair mark; yet to shine in 2024 though; yard runs two.
10
9th (10) Meimun Johnny (200/1 -203%)
Meimun Johnny

200
200/1(-203%)
(10) Meimun Johnny 200/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. 125/1, tenth of 11 in handicap at Windsor (6f, good to firm) 10 days ago.
6f win in Hong Kong two years ago; little encouragement in two runs for new yard.
11
10th (11) Invincible Navy (125/1 -793%)
Invincible Navy

125
125/1(-793%)
(11) Invincible Navy 125/1, Modest maiden. Blinkered first time, fourth of 6 in handicap (11/1) at Lingfield (6f, good to firm) 12 days ago. More needed if he's to get off the mark here.
Best run for new yard 12 days ago; softer ground the big concern.
1
11th (1) Redredrobin (80/1 -789%)
Redredrobin

80
80/1(-789%)
(1) Redredrobin 80/1, Five wins in a very productive 2023 but hasn't threatened in 2 outings this year. Need to see more.
Five wins last season; not fired yet this year but better can be expected tonight.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

19:00 Newbury Handicap (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

HARRY'S HALO has posted a series of respectable efforts since having a combination of a hood and tongue-tie applied and he doesn't have much to find to gain a belated return to winning ways. Attractively weighted in comparison to his peak rating as a three-year-old, the Kevin Frost-trained gelding gets the vote over Moe's Legacy and Land Of Magic, who are the pick of the opposition.

It might be worth chancing CONCIERGE, who will benefit from the return to 6f, has won here before and won't be inconvenienced should the ground ride testing. Moe's Legacy arrives in good form and is also on the shortlist along with Silent Flame, who is well handicapped if first-time blinkers help her to stage a revival.

Harry's Halo can't have the ground slow enough and he's a contender but blinkers could spark a revival from SILENT FLAME.


19:35 Newbury Stakes (Class 4) 10f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
6
1st (6) Vanish (7/4 +7%)
Vanish

1.75
7/4(+7%)
(6) Vanish 7/4, Galileo colt who produced a promising first effort when second of 10 in high-value novice at this C&D (good to soft) on debut back in April, just the lack of an outing beginning to tell near the finish. Has since left Harry Charlton, but he looks sure to improve.
Shaped well when second on his C&D debut in April; bold show likely 12 weeks on.
3
2nd (3) Forest Gate (16/1 -113%)
Forest Gate

16
16/1(-113%)
(3) Forest Gate 16/1, Waldgeist gelding who showed plenty of ability amidst greenness when third of 13 in maiden at Leicester (8.2f, good to soft) just over 5 weeks ago, headway when hampered briefly 3f out. Open to improvement.
Beaten 7l when third on debut but needed the experience and will improve.
7
3rd (7) Kate The Cook (25/1 -233%)
Kate The Cook

25
25/1(-233%)
(7) Kate The Cook 25/1, Time Test filly who caught the eye when third of 9 in maiden (16/1) at Kempton (8f) on debut 8 months ago, keeping on final 1f after slowly away. She's open to improvement on turf debut stepping up in trip with a hood applied.
Fair third on 1m AW debut eight months ago; longer trip should suit on return; wears hood.
1
4th (1) Castle Cove (28/1 -1500%)
Castle Cove

28
28/1(-1500%)
(1) Castle Cove 28/1, Made a winning start at Leicester (10f, soft) in May but possibly unsuited by conditions when fourth of 8 in similar event at Redcar (10f, good to firm) the following month. Carries a penalty and is worth another chance to build on his debut promise.
Won on debut (good to soft); beaten favourite on good to firm since but retains potential.
9
5th (9) Windcrack (125/1 -942%)
Windcrack

125
125/1(-942%)
(9) Windcrack 125/1, Cracksman filly who was weak in the betting and went backwards from a promising debut when fourth of 9 in minor event at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 6 months ago. Hood applied for turf debut and interesting to see what the market makes of her on return.
Showed ability on AW over winter but may need 1m4f+ to show her best; hood added.
2
6th (2) Different Drum (450/1 -200%)
Different Drum

450
450/1(-200%)
(2) Different Drum 450/1, Sea The Moon gelding who has been well beaten on both starts in novices 8 months apart (sold from Harry & Roger Charlton for just 1,000 gns after debut).
Down the field both starts; outsider.
4
7th (4) Hannasboy (500/1 -233%)
Hannasboy

500
500/1(-233%)
(4) Hannasboy 500/1, 250/1, showed only greenness when eleventh of 13 in maiden at Leicester (8.2f, good to soft) on debut just over 5 weeks ago. Can only be watched.
250-1 when well behind Forest Gate on Leicester debut; non-runner at Ffos Las on Wednesday.
8
8th (8) Valentineshould (300/1 -1100%)
Valentineshould

300
300/1(-1100%)
(8) Valentineshould 300/1, Masar filly. Half-sister to useful 1¾m-2m winner The Gadget Man. Dam 1¼m-1½m winner. Likely outsider on debut.
Bred to have a future but possibly more one for the longer term.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

19:35 Newbury Stakes (Class 4) 10f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Castle Cove looked a nice prospect when scoring over this trip at Leicester on debut but couldn't defy a penalty when fourth in a similar event to this at Redcar last month and it could be a similar story here, with preference for VANISH. A 200,000gns full-borther to the Group-placed two-year-old winner Anchorage, the Owen Burrows-trained colt was a pleasing second on debut over this C&D in April and he can put that experience to good use. Kate The Cook caught the eye staying on for third over 1m at Kempton first time out and she's interesting now stepped up in trip.

VANISH produced a promising first effort when runner-up in a high-value novice over C&D back in the spring so, having switched to Owen Burrows since, he's fancied to go a place better with improvement on the cards at the expense of Castle Cove, who made a winning debut at Leicester and possibly found firmer conditions against him at Redcar since. Kate The Cook can take third.

This could develop into a straight fight between CASTLE COVE and C&D debut second Vanish, with a narrow preference for the former.


20:10 Newbury Handicap (Class 5) 10f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (1) Giselles Defence (2/1 +43%)
Giselles Defence

2
2/1(+43%)
(1) Giselles Defence 2/1, In his first season with this stable and was better than everr when scoring at Epsom recently. Only second off the same mark at Beverley since but has another chance to race without the penalty.
In form and his Beverley conqueror at the weekend enjoyed a soft lead up front.
8
2nd (8) Tipsy Tiger (350/1 -6900%)
Tipsy Tiger

350
350/1(-6900%)
(8) Tipsy Tiger 350/1, Has made a positive start to the campaign and pulled clear of the remainder when second at Leicester 44 days ago. Likely that connections have been waiting for some softer conditions and there's every chance he'll go well.
Narrowly beaten by one with potential at Leicester; clear of the rest and just 3lb higher.
5
3rd (5) Double Jump (66/1 -2540%)
Double Jump

66
66/1(-2540%)
(5) Double Jump 66/1, Signed off last season with a nursery win over 7f at Doncaster and was back on track after a low-key start to the campaign when second at Chester last time. Solid claims.
First run beyond 1m when bumping into a progressive one (successful since) at Chester.
10
4th (10) Lawn Ranger (40/1 -21%)
Lawn Ranger

40
40/1(-21%)
(10) Lawn Ranger 40/1, Arrives out of sorts and doesn't make much appeal.
Ground fine and won off higher marks last year but this 9yo hasn't started the season well.
4
5th (4) Abu Royal (400/1 -3233%)
Abu Royal

400
400/1(-3233%)
(4) Abu Royal 400/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2023. 8/1, creditable fourth of 10 in handicap at Nottingham (10.2f, good) 22 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time.
It was a Class 6 in which he returned to form at Nottingham (1m2f, good to soft).
7
6th (7) Johnjay (350/1 -4900%)
Johnjay

350
350/1(-4900%)
(7) Johnjay 350/1, Followed a good second at this track with a poor showing at Bath. Upped in trip now and mark still appears to be fair, so not ruled out.
Started this season in solid form and may have found the ground too fast last time.
2
7th (2) Niarbyl Bay (400/1 -3233%)
Niarbyl Bay

400
400/1(-3233%)
(2) Niarbyl Bay 400/1, Scored at Wolverhampton in November and backed it up with a creditable fifth at Kempton 6 months ago. Mark demands more and his yard haven't really been firing this season.
Sole success on the AW; lacks a recent run and the yard is struggling for winners.
6
8th (6) Willy Campbell (350/1 -4900%)
Willy Campbell

350
350/1(-4900%)
(6) Willy Campbell 350/1, Hinted at ability in three runs as a juvenile and, while the assessor has taken no chances with his opening mark, he's the type to do better now handicapping upped in trip after 8 months off. Worth a market check.
Could be on a fair mark but has been gelded and off since last September.
3
9th (3) Overnight Oats (100/1 -300%)
Overnight Oats

100
100/1(-300%)
(3) Overnight Oats 100/1, Has been struggling for form since joining this yard and, while the mark is sliding all the while, it's hard to envisage him capitalising near to hand.
This far might stretch him and he's been below par this campaign.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

20:10 Newbury Handicap (Class 5) 10f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

This looks an open contest but there is plenty to like about the chances of GISELLES DEFENCE, who hacked up in an apprentice handicap at Epsom under this pilot before a fair second at Beverley on Saturday. He escapes a penalty again for last week's victory and should mount another bold bid. Double Jump also filled the runner-up berth off this mark last time out and warrants respect, while Willy Campbell is interesting now upped in trip for his handicap debut following a near-miss over 1m at Kempton.

TIPSY TIGER arrives on the back of an excellent effort at Leicester and appears well suited by soft conditions, so he's preferred to Giselles Defence, who is still unpenalised for his Epsom success (has finished second since). Double Jump is another player on the back of a solid showing at Chester.

Good cases can be made for some of these but GISELLES DEFENCE (nap) may well have the least to prove in his current vein of form.


20:45 Newbury Handicap (Class 5) 13f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (1) Western Stars (9/2 -13%)
Western Stars

4.5
9/2(-13%)
(1) Western Stars 9/2, A three-time winner in 2023 who arrives in decent nick, fourth of 8 in handicap at Sandown (14f, soft) 26 days ago when making effort earlier than ideal. Claims.
Best run this season was his 3l third over 1m4f here but even that beneath his peak form.
8
2nd (8) Grey Owl (11/1 -83%)
Grey Owl

11
11/1(-83%)
(8) Grey Owl 11/1, Arrives in good order, staying on into fourth of 12 in handicap at Bath (14f, firm) 17 days ago. Can go well again eased 1 lb in his bid for a maiden success.
Only had six races and thereabouts in all his handicaps from 1m2f to 1m6f (on fast ground).
3
3rd (3) Kitty Foyle (33/1 +0%)
Kitty Foyle

33
33/1(+0%)
(3) Kitty Foyle 33/1, Winner at Wolverhampton in April but she came in last on her turf debut in handicap at Chepstow (12f, good) 41 days ago on final run for Jack Jones. Needs this yard switch to spark major improvement.
AW winner; tailed off the last twice and has since changed hands for 5,000gns.
7
4th (7) Al Khawaneej River (7/1 -180%)
Al Khawaneej River

7
7/1(-180%)
(7) Al Khawaneej River 7/1, On the up since sent into handicaps in 2024, scoring at Windsor and posting a very good third of 10 here (12f, good to firm) 28 days ago. That form has been franked so he's a player.
Windsor winner who bumped into a well-handicapped winner here the final time.
5
5th (5) Queensland Boy (300/1 -4900%)
Queensland Boy

300
300/1(-4900%)
(5) Queensland Boy 300/1, Resumed winning ways at Nottingham in April but pulled up at Chester (15.9f, heavy) 26 days ago. Has a bit to prove now.
Uninspiring the last twice but chance off this mark if he was to put his best foot forward.
9
6th (9) Forest Hills (400/1 -6567%)
Forest Hills

400
400/1(-6567%)
(9) Forest Hills 400/1, Fair maiden who recorded a good fifth of 10 in handicap here (12f, good to firm) 28 days ago. One for the shortlist off a 2 lb lower mark.
Running well; should stay this far as lots of stamina on the dam side of his pedigree.
2
7th (2) Fictional (200/1 -5906%)
Fictional

200
200/1(-5906%)
(2) Fictional 200/1, Bids for a hat-trick after recent wins at Kempton and Lingfield (15.8f, AW). Not taken lightly under a 5 lb penalty in his current mood.
Won at Lingfield despite perhaps not truly seeing out the 2m; chance under a penalty.
4
8th (4) Hy Brasil (350/1 -961%)
Hy Brasil

350
350/1(-961%)
(4) Hy Brasil 350/1, Debut winner in Ireland and showed fairly useful form in listed races subsequently for Joseph O'Brien. Has shown little since returning from a 2-year absence for his new yard though. Needs another wind op to spark a resurgence.
A winner in Ireland; tailed off in two handicaps for this yard after a lengthy absence.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

20:45 Newbury Handicap (Class 5) 13f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Fictional followed up his 1m3f victory at Kempton with a 2m success at Lingfield last week and a 5lb penalty may not be enough to halt him on that evidence. However, he was well beaten on his sole turf start and the ground is forecast to be soft again here, so he could be worth opposing now returned to grass. AL KHAWANEEJ RIVER won well at Windsor before a decent third to a subsequent winner over 1m4f here last time (Forest Hills fifth) and Marcus Tregoning's charge looks a big player off an unchanged mark. Grey Owl is another to consider off a falling handicap mark.

AL KHAWANEEJ RIVER comes here at the top of his game and with the form of his latest Windsor third working out well he is taken to quickly regain winning ways. Grey Owl is weighted to have a big say and next on the list, with in-form pair Fictional and Western Stars also firmly in the picture.

Marcus Tregoning's AL KHAWANEEJ RIVER ran perfectly well behind a well-handicapped opponent here four weeks ago.


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