There were 50 Races on Saturday 29th April 2023 across 7 meetings. There was 7 races at Sandown, 7 races at Haydock, 7 races at Leicester, 8 races at Punchestown, 7 races at Doncaster, 7 races at Ripon, 7 races at Wolverhampton, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (1/1 +67%) Spanish Phoenix |
1/1(+67%) | (4) Spanish Phoenix 1/1, 6/1, shaped promisingly when fourth of 9 in novice at Kempton (5f, 6/1) on debut 19 days ago. Sure to improve. Promising fourth in AW race at Kempton; should be suited by this stiffer 5f; big player. |
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2nd (5) (3.5/1 +78%) Too Much Trevor |
3.5/1(+78%) | (5) Too Much Trevor 3.5/1, Foaled March 2. 18,000 gns Magna Grecia half-brother to 3 winners, including 2-y-o 5f winner Delft Dancer and 5f/6f winner By The Law. Stable has already had a 2-y-o winner this spring. Needs checking out in the betting. 18,000gns yearling; by Magna Grecia out of a 6f 2yo Group 3 winner; check the betting. |
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3rd (3) (1.88/1 +77%) Old Chums |
1.88/1(+77%) | (3) Old Chums 1.88/1, 9/1, sixth of 16 in Brocklesby at Doncaster (5f, heavy) on debut 28 days ago. Should have more to offer. Shaped encouragingly in the Brocklesby, keeping on for sixth; may do better. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
The one likely to do well based on the summary is 0.62/1 (1) DESERT MASTER, who is described as attractively bred, showed promise on debut despite inexperience, and is the one to beat according to the writer. 3/1 (4) SPANISH PHOENIX and 8/1 (3) OLD CHUMS are also mentioned as promising and likely to improve, but 0.62/1 (1) DESERT MASTER is given the highest praise. The other two horses, 16/1 (5) TOO MUCH TREVOR and 20/1 (2) JOHN STEED, are described as having potential but the writer suggests checking the betting to see if they are worth backing.
DESERT MASTER was extremely green on debut at Ripon last week and is likely to have learned a lot from the experience after staying on well to claim second. With that effort under his belt and Ryan Moore booked, he could prove very tough to beat. The main threat might come from Spanish Phoenix, who was only beaten three lengths into fourth on his introduction at Kempton. Newcomer John Steed is of interest, especially if attracting any market support.
DESERT MASTER showed lots of promise amidst greenness on his recent Ripon debut and can prove too strong for Andrew Balding's Spanish Phoenix, who is also likely to step up on an encouraging debut run.
On bare form Ripon runner-up DESERT MASTER has the best chance, followed by Kempton fourth Spanish Phoenix.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (11) (20/1 +87%) Wintercrack |
20/1(+87%) | (11) Wintercrack 20/1, Twice-raced filly. Tenth of 12 in maiden (50/1) at Doncaster (10.2f, heavy) 28 days ago, slowly away. Beaten 20l at Southwell (7f, AW) last August and Doncaster (1m2f, heavy) four weeks ago. |
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2nd (2) (40/1 -233%) Fazayte |
40/1(-233%) | (2) Fazayte 40/1, Making GB/IRE Flat debut. Won 7-runner handicap chase (10/3) at Haydock (19.9f, good to firm) 21 days ago, keeping on well. Likeable type who could make an impact switched to the Flat. Fair jumper whose last two wins were over fences, including over 2m4f three weeks ago. |
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3rd (7) (1.25/1 -87%) Naqeeb |
1.25/1(-87%) | (7) Naqeeb 1.25/1, Nathaniel colt. Half-brother to 3 winners, including top-class 1m-10.2f winner Baaeed and high-class winner up to 1¾m Hukum. Worth chancing on debut bearing in mind his classy pedigree. Half-brother to top-class Baaeed, from a famous family; no shock if he wins on debut. |
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4th (1) (150/1 +25%) Dashing Panther |
150/1(+25%) | (1) Dashing Panther 150/1, Twice-raced gelding. 150/1, twelfth of 15 in minor event at Yarmouth (10.1f, heavy) 14 days ago, slowly away. 100-1 and 150-1, towards rear at Kempton (1m) in August and Yarmouth (1m2f) two weeks ago. |
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5th (6) (4/1 +56%) Mordor |
4/1(+56%) | (6) Mordor 4/1, €100,000 yearling, Roaring Lion colt. Half-brother to 3 winners, including smart winner up to 1¼m Rumi, useful 9.6f-1½m winner Solage and 10.5f winner Normandy Eagle. Newcomer to note. 100,000euros yearling; half-brother to Rumi (RPR 115) and two useful winners; one to note. |
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6th (4) (40/1 -82%) Letaba |
40/1(-82%) | (4) Letaba 40/1, Once-raced gelding. 80/1, unseated rider in minor event at Yarmouth (10.1f, heavy) on debut 14 days ago. 80-1 at Yarmouth two weeks ago, giving a rodeo display and soon unseating his rider. |
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7th (10) (2/1 +50%) Prosecco |
2/1(+50%) | (10) Prosecco 2/1, Promising sort. 11/1, fourth of 10 in minor event at Yarmouth (8f, soft) on debut. Off 6 months. Up in trip. Should have more to offer and merits consideration. 110,000gns yearling; fair form at Yarmouth (1m, soft) in October and looks sure to improve. |
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8th (3) (50/1 -127%) Mini Rivo |
50/1(-127%) | (3) Mini Rivo 50/1, Making GB/IRE Flat debut. Second of 10 in bumper (11/1) at Uttoxeter (15.8f, good to soft), clear of rest. Off 9 months. Hooded for 1st time. Interesting newcomer to the Flat. Ran in three bumpers last May/July, runner-up at Uttoxeter (good to soft) on final outing. |
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9th (5) (11/1 +0%) Limerick Bound |
11/1(+0%) | (5) Limerick Bound 11/1, Twice-raced colt. Fourth of 6 in minor event (11/2) at Newcastle (10.2f). Off 7 months. 4th of 6 on second start; needs further improvement but should be a better horse this year. |
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10th (9) (33/1 -32%) Cloud Angel |
33/1(-32%) | (9) Cloud Angel 33/1, Twice-raced filly. 16/1, fifth of 6 in minor event at Kempton (11f) 24 days ago. First run for yard after leaving John & Thady Gosden. Fifth of six on second AW start appeared fair form in very warm company; left the Gosdens. |
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11th (8) (200/1 +0%) Show Me The Wire |
200/1(+0%) | (8) Show Me The Wire 200/1, Once-raced colt. 100/1, last of 7 in minor event at Windsor (10f, heavy) on debut 12 days ago. 100-1, tailed off in Windsor novice (1m2f, soft) 12 days ago. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
0.67/1 (7) NAQEEB and 9/1 (6) MORDOR are both likely to do well based on their impressive pedigrees and potential as newcomers. 12/1 (2) FAZAYTE and 22/1 (3) MINI RIVO are also interesting newcomers to the Flat with promising recent form in other disciplines. 11/1 (5) LIMERICK BOUND may improve this year and be worth considering. The remaining horses have either showed little promise in their previous races or have unseated/jumped poorly in their debut race.
Prosecco brings the best known form to the table, when an eyecatching fourth at Yarmouth in October, and she is likely to be on the premises stepping up to 1m2f on her second start. However, the vote goes to NAQEEB, who is beautifully bred as a half-brother to both Baaeed and Hukum. If ready to go on debut, he could go very close for the William Haggas yard. Any market confidence behind Roaring Lion colt Mordor could prove significant.
NAQEEB is with a top yard and related to a pair of seriously talented performers, so he may well be up to making a successful debut at the likely expense of Prosecco, who is open to improvement. Mordor is also considered first time up.
Prosecco appeals most among those who have run but one of the newcomers is NAQEEB, a half-brother to star performer Baaeed.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (1/1 +0%) Al Mubhir |
1/1(+0%) | (4) Al Mubhir 1/1, Progressive profile last year and made a solid return to action when fifth of 22 in Lincoln at Doncaster (1m, heavy) 4 weeks ago. Still lightly raced enough to think his best days are ahead of him. Leading claims under Buick. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (7) (7.5/1 +38%) Wobwobwob |
7.5/1(+38%) | (7) Wobwobwob 7.5/1, Latest win at Catterick in October. Creditable fourth of 14 in handicap at Redcar (7f, heavy, 16/1) on reappearance 19 days ago, racing wide of where the main action unfolded. Respected with that run behind him. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (8) (6/1 +25%) Maysong |
6/1(+25%) | (8) Maysong 6/1, Consistent sort who was better than ever when resuming winning ways in 1m Redcar handicap (heavy) 12 days ago. More on his plate in this higher grade, particularly as the 7 lb claimer who was in the saddle at Redcar isn't on board this time. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (3) (8/1 -33%) Aerion Power |
8/1(-33%) | (3) Aerion Power 8/1, Proved he retains all his ability back from 14 months off when fourth of 9 in handicap at Southwell (1m) in October. Not disgraced (met trouble) at Lingfield the following month but has been off again since. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (5) (6.5/1 +35%) Dashing Roger |
6.5/1(+35%) | (5) Dashing Roger 6.5/1, Won 1m handicaps at Sandown and Ascot in 2021 but struggled for form last year. Reappears with a fair bit to prove. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (6) (25/1 -25%) Alexander James |
25/1(-25%) | (6) Alexander James 25/1, Good second of 8 in handicap at Southwell (1m) in February but below par at Newcastle last month. Lightly raced on turf in recent years. Others are more obvious. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (2) (10/1 -67%) Bopedro |
10/1(-67%) | (2) Bopedro 10/1, Irish Cambridgeshire winner in 2021 who stepped up on his reappearance run in the Lincoln when gaining a first success for this yard in 1m Newmarket handicap (soft) 11 days ago, showing a good attitude to fend off runner-up with pair clear. Raised 6 lb. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
Based on the information provided, 6/1 (2) BOPEDRO seems to have the best chance of doing well in the upcoming race. He has recently won a 1m Newmarket handicap and showed a good attitude in fending off the runner-up. Additionally, he has a noteworthy Irish Cambridgeshire win in 2021. The other horses have either been off for a while, struggled for form in the past year, or face a tougher challenge in this higher grade.
A chance can be taken on AERION POWER, who contested warm handicaps in 2021 and makes his return to grass after a two-race campaign on the all-weather last autumn. Al Mubhir warrants respect following his fifth as favourite in the Lincoln and goes off the same mark. Bopedro has to be respected following his Newmarket win 11 days ago and he completes the shortlist.
Although never a serious threat AL MUBHIR's reappearance fifth in the Lincoln was a highly respectable effort and he can resume winning ways in these slightly calmer waters. Wobwobwob shaped well on his Redcar reappearance and is feared most ahead of Easter Classic winner Notre Belle Bete.
On the back of his respectable fifth in the Lincoln, AL MUBHIR (nap) is likely to resume his progress. Bopedro is feared most.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (2/1 +43%) Coco Bear |
2/1(+43%) | (7) Coco Bear 2/1, C&D winner. Better than ever when making a successful reappearance at Windsor (6f, heavy) 12 days ago, staying on well. Ought to remain competitive up 6 lb. Made winning reappearance at Windsor; career best required to follow up off 6lb higher. |
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2nd (3) (6/1 +63%) Broken Spear |
6/1(+63%) | (3) Broken Spear 6/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2021. Down the field all 3 starts this year and others are preferred. Infrequent winner these days and three runs this season have been underwhelming. |
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3rd (5) (5.5/1 -100%) Cold Stare |
5.5/1(-100%) | (5) Cold Stare 5.5/1, Eighteen runs since last win in 2021. 4/1, creditable ¾-length second of 11 to reopposing Society Lion in handicap at Thirsk (6f, heavy) 7 days ago, nearest finish. Expected to be bang there. Found only Society Lion too good at Thirsk last week; likely to be involved again. |
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4th (8) (16/1 +11%) Willingly |
16/1(+11%) | (8) Willingly 16/1, Three wins from 7 runs last year, including over C&D. Respectable fourth of 9 in handicap (17/2) at Brighton (5.3f, good to soft) on final start. First run for yard after leaving Mark Usher. Might be vulnerable in this higher grade. Had productive 2022, winning three times; could have a say if fit after seven months off. |
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5th (6) (11/1 -10%) Maxzeno |
11/1(-10%) | (6) Maxzeno 11/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Second of 3 in novice at Wolverhampton (6f, 5/2) 14 days ago. Opening handicap mark demands more but he is unexposed. Unexposed 4yo; runner-up three times and now moves in to handicaps; might be the answer. |
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6th (4) (7/1 +0%) Silent Flame |
7/1(+0%) | (4) Silent Flame 7/1, Did the job well when resuming winning ways at Newbury (6f) last June. Creditable second of 4 at Salisbury last August. Not seen since but the presence of Oisin Murphy in the saddle suggests she could be ready to roll. As good as ever last season; 2-2 for Oisin Murphy; big player if fit after a layoff. |
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7th (2) (4/1 -45%) Society Lion |
4/1(-45%) | (2) Society Lion 4/1, Back to winning ways in 11-runner handicap at Thirsk (6f, heavy, 5/1) 7 days ago by ¾ length from reopposing Cold Stare. 3 lb rise unlikely to prevent another prominent display. Edged out Cold Stare at Thirsk last week; should give another good account of himself. |
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8th (1) (25/1 -39%) True Jem |
25/1(-39%) | (1) True Jem 25/1, Three wins from 12 runs last year. 40/1, fifteenth of 19 in handicap at Doncaster (6f, heavy) on reappearance 27 days ago. Can only watch after that. Ended 2022 with two below-par runs and folded tamely on reappearance; questions to answer. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, it looks like either 2.75/1 (5) COLD STARE or 2.75/1 (2) SOCIETY LION are the most likely to do well, as they both have recent form and are expected to be involved in the race. 3.5/1 (7) COCO BEAR also has a recent win, but may require a career-best performance to follow up off a higher weight. 7/1 (4) SILENT FLAME and 18/1 (8) WILLINGLY could also be contenders if fit after a layoff, while 10/1 (6) MAXZENO is unexposed but has yet to win. 16/1 (3) BROKEN SPEAR and 18/1 (1) TRUE JEM may struggle based on recent performances.
A step up in class may not be enough to stop SOCIETY LION securing a double following last week's success over this trip at Thirsk. Ed Dunlop's six-year-old can have another big say in proceedings off 3lb higher, although the second home Cold Stare is now 2lb better off and can give him plenty to think about. Maxzeno has filled the runner-up spot on his last three outings and is interesting on his handicap bow, while recent Windsor winner Coco Bear adds further spice to the race.
COLD STARE and Society Lion clash for the second weekend running, with the former taken to turn the tables from Thirsk and snap a losing run dating back to autumn 2021. Recent Windsor winner Coco Bear may prove best of the remainder.
If there's an unexposed runner in the line-up it's probably MAXZENO, and Mick Appleby's lightly raced 4yo gets the vote.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (4.5/1 -100%) United Force |
4.5/1(-100%) | (4) United Force 4.5/1, Placed over 7f on AW first 2 starts. Disappointed upped to 1m at Newcastle last time but retains potential now handicapping in first-time cheekpieces under Ryan Moore. Has been gelded. Open to progress now handicapping and the booking of Ryan Moore is a plus; shortlisted. |
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2nd (6) (16/1 +11%) Carvetii |
16/1(+11%) | (6) Carvetii 16/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Eighth of 11 in handicap (13/2) at Ripon (6f, soft) on reappearance 9 days ago. Will need to leave that well behind now stepping up to 1m. May bounce back with Ripon reappearance under his belt; consistent last season. |
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3rd (1) (2/1 +20%) Hour By Hour |
2/1(+20%) | (1) Hour By Hour 2/1, 5/1, good close second of 7 in handicap at Pontefract (6f, heavy) on reappearance 18 days ago. Shortlist material. Close second at Pontefract on seasonal debut, confirming that he goes well on soft ground. |
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4th (3) (4.5/1 -13%) Strategia |
4.5/1(-13%) | (3) Strategia 4.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Good fourth of 8 in handicap at Windsor (1m, heavy, 11/2) on reappearance 12 days ago. Quite a keen-goer so this drop back to 7f may help. Remains unexposed. Windsor reappearance suggests this drop back to 7f will suit; bred to do better still. |
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5th (5) (5.5/1 +21%) Hello Arthur |
5.5/1(+21%) | (5) Hello Arthur 5.5/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 7/1, fourth of 5 in maiden at Lingfield (1m) 53 days ago. Makes handicap debut. His AW form stacks up nicely; open to improvement off an attractive opening mark. |
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6th (7) (4/1 +27%) Angel Time |
4/1(+27%) | (7) Angel Time 4/1, Career best when winning 6-runner claimer (50/1) at this course (6f, heavy) 15 days ago. More will be needed back in handicap company. Wide-margin success in claimer here two weeks ago; possibilities if backing up that form. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
2.5/1 (1) HOUR BY HOUR is likely to do well as it has recently placed in a handicap race and has confirmed ability on soft ground. It is also shortlisted, indicating potential for success.
HOUR BY HOUR was only narrowly denied in deeper waters at Pontefract over 6f last time out and even though he has to shoulder top weight here, he is entitled to improve given that was his first run off a winter break. Angel Time bolted up in a claimer over 6f at this track and is feared most, although the unexposed United Force makes his handicap debut in first-time cheekpieces and also warrants a market check.
Scottish raider HOUR BY HOUR can build on his good reappearance second at Pontefract and go one better under David Probert. Ryan Moore gets the call up for United Force who can bounce back from a disappointing run at Newcastle and provide the chief threat ahead of Strategia, who may benefit from this drop back to 7f.
Free-going STRATEGIA gets the vote with this drop back to 7f in his favour. United Force and Hello Arthur are interesting.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (2.25/1 -29%) Silastar |
2.25/1(-29%) | (2) Silastar 2.25/1, Creditable second of 13 in handicap (2/1) at Kempton (12f) 17 days ago. Handicapped to win if he can build on that. Good second of 13 when favourite on Kempton AW (1m4f) 17 days ago; has to be considered. |
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2nd (5) (3.5/1 +7%) Ivy Avenue |
3.5/1(+7%) | (5) Ivy Avenue 3.5/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2021. First run since leaving Warren Greatrex when respectable second of 12 in handicap at Doncaster (10.2f, heavy, 16/1) 28 days ago. Worthy of respect on second outing for yard that does well with new recruits. Off 332 days, fortunes turned again when second at Doncaster (1m2f, heavy) for new yard. |
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3rd (1) (7.5/1 +25%) Simulation Theory |
7.5/1(+25%) | (1) Simulation Theory 7.5/1, Unreliable individual. Bit below form fourth of 11 in handicap at Redcar (10f, good to soft, 7/1). Off 7 months. Hard to support with confidence. Two small-field wins last year; chance if reproducing the best of his 2022 form. |
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4th (4) (7/1 -27%) Big Bear Hug |
7/1(-27%) | (4) Big Bear Hug 7/1, 7/2, good second of 11 in handicap at Nottingham (8.3f, heavy) 17 days ago. Should give another good account. 0-12 but had her closest finish when second of 12 on reappearance at Nottingham (1m, soft). |
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5th (10) (6.5/1 +7%) Order Of St John |
6.5/1(+7%) | (10) Order Of St John 6.5/1, Course winner. Below form fifth of 14 in handicap at Bath (10.2f, soft, 11/1) 22 days ago, slowly away. Has fallen to a workable mark. Fifth of 14 at Bath (1m2f, soft) three weeks ago was respectable; career-low mark. |
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6th (6) (5.5/1 +35%) Contrast |
5.5/1(+35%) | (6) Contrast 5.5/1, Latest win at Nottingham in October. Ninth of 11 in handicap at Beverley (9.9f, good to soft, 11/4) 2 days ago, slowly away. Type to bounce back quickly. Nearly another soft-ground win at Redcar 12 days ago; not so hot on good to soft Thursday. |
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7th (8) (16/1 -33%) Zoffany Portrait |
16/1(-33%) | (8) Zoffany Portrait 16/1, 40/1, fourth of 9 in handicap at Doncaster (10.2f, heavy) 28 days ago. Others make more appeal. Close 4th of 9 at Doncaster (1m2f, heavy) four weeks ago, making most under a 7lb claimer. |
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8th (7) (50/1 +50%) Iftikhaar |
50/1(+50%) | (7) Iftikhaar 50/1, Twelfth of 13 in handicap (125/1) at Kempton (12f) 17 days ago. Visored for 1st time. Well beaten again on both starts for new stable (1m4f, AW; big odds); now tries a visor. |
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9th (3) (50/1 -100%) Long Call |
50/1(-100%) | (3) Long Call 50/1, C&D winner. Below form fifth of 9 in handicap hurdle (6/1) at Market Rasen (16.6f, good to soft) 124 days ago. Off 124 days. Fair on the Flat. Might need the run and it's a long time since he showed his form on softer than good. |
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10th (9) (66/1 +18%) Cuban Strike |
66/1(+18%) | (9) Cuban Strike 66/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Eleventh of 14 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f, 66/1) 11 days ago. Up in trip. Makes turf debut. Unexposed having had just five starts, all AW and last four about 1m; no impact in those. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary provided, 1.75/1 (2) SILASTAR and 3.75/1 (5) IVY AVENUE seem to be the strongest contenders. Both have recent second-place finishes in handicaps, with 1.75/1 (2) SILASTAR being considered and 3.75/1 (5) IVY AVENUE worthy of respect on their second outings for their new yards. 5.5/1 (4) BIG BEAR HUG and 8.5/1 (6) CONTRAST also seem to have a chance of performing well based on their recent form.
IVY AVENUE made a promising start for these connections when filling the runner-up spot at Doncaster. She's well treated on the pick of her Irish form, and it would be no surprise were she to take a step forward for a trainer who often does well with his new recruits. Silastar merits consideration in the hands of Ryan Moore, while Big Bear Hug would also hold every chance if able to build on her recent Nottingham second.
IVY AVENUE made a solid start for Mick Appleby when second at Doncaster last month and takes marginal preference over Silastar, who shaped well at Kempton last time. Big Bear Hug also merits respect.
Contrast and Silastar are strongly considered. The top two options, however, may be Big Bear Hug and IVY AVENUE.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (5.5/1 +54%) Ey Up Its Jazz |
5.5/1(+54%) | (8) Ey Up Its Jazz 5.5/1, First run since leaving Jim Boyle when creditable fifth of 15 in handicap at Thirsk (6f, heavy, 33/1) 7 days ago. Others more persuasive. Decent start to second spell with Tony Coyle when fifth at Thirsk last week; possibilities. |
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2nd (15) (33/1 +0%) Danzart |
33/1(+0%) | (15) Danzart 33/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. 4½ lengths sixth of 8 to Rajmeister in handicap (6/1) at Nottingham (5f, soft) 7 days ago. Has beaten just three rivals in two starts this term; ideal conditions but he's risky. |
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3rd (3) (14/1 -27%) Autumn Angel |
14/1(-27%) | (3) Autumn Angel 14/1, Winner at Southwell in February. 9/2, fourth of 7 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 14 days ago, left poorly placed. Could get involved if the race is run to suit. Respectable fourth two weeks ago; handles soft ground and unlikely to be far away. |
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4th (9) (4/1 +20%) Stallone |
4/1(+20%) | (9) Stallone 4/1, Course winner. Thirty five runs since last win in 2019. Creditable fourth of 15 in handicap at Thirsk (6f, heavy, 15/2) 7 days ago. Not taken lightly. Long losing run is a concern but otherwise has plenty in his favour. |
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5th (13) (6/1 +0%) Bama Lama |
6/1(+0%) | (13) Bama Lama 6/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. 9/2, creditable 2½ lengths fourth of 8 to Rajmeister in handicap at Nottingham (5f, soft) 7 days ago, slowly away. Fourth at Nottingham (5f) last week; just as good at 6f; more persuasive than many. |
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6th (1) (33/1 -106%) First Company |
33/1(-106%) | (1) First Company 33/1, One win from 23 Flat runs. 5/1, last of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (7f, AW) 57 days ago. Plenty to prove at present. Down to a career-low mark but that reflects a decline in his form. |
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7th (4) (7/1 -40%) Navy Drums |
7/1(-40%) | (4) Navy Drums 7/1, Latest win at Lingfield in March. 5/2, good second of 7 in handicap at Lingfield (7f, AW) 26 days ago. In top form and can go well again. Front-runner; in fine form on AW this year and handles soft ground on turf; major player. |
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8th (11) (14/1 -17%) Shining Crystal |
14/1(-17%) | (11) Shining Crystal 14/1, Remains a maiden after 18 Flat runs. Seventh of 9 in handicap (9/2) at Chelmsford City (7f) 16 days ago. Hard to make a case for. 0-18; runs off career-low mark but others arrive with less to prove. |
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9th (6) (22/1 +12%) Ireland's Eye |
22/1(+12%) | (6) Ireland's Eye 22/1, Winner at Southwell in December. Last of 9 in handicap at Redcar (6f, soft, 3/1) 19 days ago, reportedly bled. Tongue strap back on. 0-10 on turf and tailed off three weeks ago; may bounce back but carries obvious risks. |
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10th (10) (50/1 +0%) Katie K |
50/1(+0%) | (10) Katie K 50/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 100/1, last of 8 in maiden at Redcar (7f, good to firm). Off 7 months. Makes handicap debut. Low mileage but needs to take a big step forward on handicap debut. |
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11th (12) (28/1 -40%) Too Funky |
28/1(-40%) | (12) Too Funky 28/1, Tenth of 12 in handicap (22/1) at Southwell (6.1f) 23 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Plenty to prove. Yet to finish in first five in seven outings; blinkers replace cheekpieces; unconvincing. |
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12th (2) (9/1 +44%) Laertes |
9/1(+44%) | (2) Laertes 9/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 14/1, very good third of 11 in handicap at Catterick (6f, heavy) when last seen. Off 7 months. Tongue strap on 1st time. Respected. Has had only four runs, improving at Catterick last autumn; one of the likelier contenders. |
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13th (5) (4/1 +0%) Rajmeister |
4/1(+0%) | (5) Rajmeister 4/1, First success in 8-runner handicap at Nottingham (5f, soft, 10/3) 7 days ago, driven out. Expected to be bang there again. First win in 17 goes at Nottingham last week; expect bold bid to follow up off 4lb higher. |
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14th (14) (25/1 +0%) Lady Mander |
25/1(+0%) | (14) Lady Mander 25/1, Below form fifth of 14 in handicap (6/1) at Thirsk (6f, soft). Off 7 months. Others make more appeal. Ten-race maiden, placed just once; returns from nearly eight months off. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
It is difficult to predict which horse will do well based on this summary as there are several contenders with varying levels of form and potential. However, 4/1 (5) RAJMEISTER and 5/1 (4) NAVY DRUMS seem to be the strongest based on recent performances and handling of ground conditions. 16/1 (2) LAERTES also shows potential as a lightly-raced maiden who has been improving and could be a surprise contender.
Having been narrowly denied at Redcar two starts ago, RAJMEISTER made no mistake when winning at Nottingham to open his account at the 17th time of asking. That success might be the catalyst to better things for the son of Showcasing, so he's taken to defy a 4lb rise. Navy Drums has been in good form on the all-weather and he'll be a force if able to translate that form to turf. Laertes shaped with promise on his handicap debut, finishing third at Catterick in September, and a first-time tongue-tie could spark further improvement.
RAJMEISTER finally opened his account at Nottingham and is taken to follow up. Navy Drums is also in top form and is feared most ahead of the returning Laertes.
Stallone is respected but preference is for EY UP ITS JAZZ, who finished a place behind him at Thirsk last week after a layoff.
Ths is the racecard key.
Icon | Meaning |
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TomForm top stats, gold rated | |
TomForm top stats silver rated | |
Ran similar race before | |
S | TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out |
T | Top Time speeed rated |
Top Racingpost rated | |
At the races watchout for | |
At the races top pick | |
Top rated for thet statistic |
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
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