Ayr Races & Results Tomform Thursday 19th September 2024
There were 38 Races on Thursday 19th September 2024 across 5 meetings. There was 8 races at Ayr, 7 races at Pontefract, 7 races at Yarmouth, 7 races at Naas, 9 races at Chelmsford-City, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
Races & Results Thursday 19th September 2024
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
(3) Eve's Boy 12/1, Made encouraging start at Carlisle in May but was disappointing here last time. Tries longer trip now and needs to bounce back. Placed in two small-field contests earlier in year; may be one for nurseries after this.
1
2nd (1) (5/4 +17%) Catalyse
1.25
5/4(+17%)
(1) Catalyse 5/4, Made winning start at Hamilton in June and far from disgraced in Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot later that month. Must enter calculations. Not seen since finishing in midfield in the Coventry; back in calmer waters; player.
2
3rd (2) (5/2 +9%) Bowen Island
2.5
5/2(+9%)
(2) Bowen Island 5/2, Improved gradually with each start, latest when fourth of 17 in maiden at York (7f, good to firm, 33/1) 27 days ago. Been gelded since and looks a likely contender. Ran well in all three starts, fourth in the Convivial Maiden at York last time; respected.
7
4th (7) (20/1 -25%) Magellan Cloud
20
20/1(-25%)
(7) Magellan Cloud 20/1, Foaled March 12. 10,000 gns yearling, €95,000 2-y-o, Mohaather colt. Half-brother to 1¼m winner Idyllic. Dam 8.3f winner out of smart winner up to 7f (2-y-o 6f winner) Tropical Paradise. Market check advised on debut. Faces a stiff task on debut, so probably best watched unless attracting support..
6
5th (6) (50/1 -257%) Legend Forever
50
50/1(-257%)
(6) Legend Forever 50/1, Foaled March 12. 26,000 gns foal, €140,000 yearling, Earthlight gelding. Half-brother to several winners, including useful 2-y-o 5f winner Baileys Jubilee and 2-y-o 1m/8.3f winner Election Day. Dam 8.2f winner. Interesting newcomer. Something to like on pedigree but a few of these set a useful standard; blinkers on.
5
6th (5) (10/3 -11%) Jorge Alvares
3.333333
10/3(-11%)
(5) Jorge Alvares 10/3, Made the frame all 4 starts, running his best race when fourth of 20 in valuable sales event at York (6f, good to firm) 4 weeks ago. Was doing good work late on so he could have more to offer now upped in trip. Has shown plenty of ability over 6f in all four starts; 7f should be within range.
4
7th (4) (250/1 -150%) Jachin
250
250/1(-150%)
(4) Jachin 250/1, Offered little in novice at Newcastle (6f) on debut 48 days ago. Looks one for longer term. 25-1 when last of nine on his Newcastle debut (6f, AW) last month.
8
8th (8) (11/1 +8%) Mr Cool
11
11/1(+8%)
(8) Mr Cool 11/1, Made the frame again when fourth of 17 in novice at Thirsk (6f, good to firm) 12 days ago. Tries longer trip now but lacks potential of some of his rivals here. Consistent rather than progressive; needs to find a bit more to trouble a few of these.
9
9th (9) (250/1 -150%) Mystical Sky
250
250/1(-150%)
(9) Mystical Sky 250/1, Yet to beat a rival home in a couple of outings and looks one for handicaps down the line. Gelded since last start. Failed to beat a rival in first two starts; has been gelded.
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
CATALYSE scored with the minimum of fuss over 6f at Hamilton on debut before finishing mid-division in the Coventry at Royal Ascot. Now with his sights lowered stepping up to 7f for the first time, the Wathnan-owned colt looks the one to side with. Jorge Alvares was doing his best work late on when finishing fourth in a valuable sales race at York last month and might be the main danger to the selection now upped in trip. Of the newcomers, Magellan Cloud appeals most.
The step up in trip should suit JORGE ALVARES and he gets the nod in the opener. Stablemate Bowen Island and Catalyse look the likeliest dangers.
The choice is BOWEN ISLAND who ran well to finish fourth in the traditionally strong Convivial Maiden at York last month.
(4) Gaelic Gladiator 80/1, Circus Maximus gelding. Dam 7f-8.6f winner. Stable not known for first-time-out winners. Already gelded and stable wouldn't be a noted source of winning 2yo newcomers.
7
1st (7) (5/1 +50%) Hornsea Bay
5
5/1(+50%)
(7) Hornsea Bay 5/1, New Bay colt who was bought for €45,000 at the breeze-ups. Dam 1¼m-11.4f winner. Needs monitoring in the betting on debut. Stable does having winning 2yo newcomers and market support would be interesting.
1
2nd (1) (10/11 -9%) Bambalam
0.909091
10/11(-9%)
(1) Bambalam 10/11, Promising type. 11/1, fared best of the newcomers when seventh of 17 in the valuable Convivial maiden at York (7f, good to firm) 27 days ago. Likely to improve and hard to beat. Seventh of 17 in the Convivial Maiden at York last month; that was a promising start.
8
3rd (8) (4/1 +27%) Methgal
4
4/1(+27%)
(8) Methgal 4/1, Fair form in 2 outings over 7f this summer. Won't need to raise his game too much to play a leading role here. Showed signs of promise alongside inexperience in two starts over 7f; can do better.
12
4th (12) (40/1 -100%) West Tyrone
40
40/1(-100%)
(12) West Tyrone 40/1, 20/1, fourth of 6 in novice at Beverley (7.5f, good to firm) on debut 51 days ago, merely closing up late. Will need to leave that well behind. Green when fourth of six on Beverley debut in July; may need more time.
9
5th (9) (8/1 +20%) Off Spin
8
8/1(+20%)
(9) Off Spin 8/1, Encouraging third of 9 on 1m Ripon debut (good to firm) last month. Bit below that level when fifth over 1m at York since but retains potential. Each-way claims. Promising third on debut but didn't build on it last time; nurseries beckon.
6
6th (6) (150/1 -355%) Homeland
150
150/1(-355%)
(6) Homeland 150/1, Down the field in 2 runs over 6f in recent months. The much longer trip needs to spark significant improvement. Well held in two starts over 6f during the summer; looks one for nurseries after this.
3
7th (3) (28/1 -211%) Elsass
28
28/1(-211%)
(3) Elsass 28/1, Sottsass colt. Dam, German 1¼m listed race winner, half-sister to smart German winner up to 1¼m Elle Shadow out of multiple German Graded race winner Elle Danzig. Newcomer from a leading stable. The betting should help guide to expectations. Nicely bred; stable had a couple of 2yos go in first time in recent weeks; watch market.
10
8th (10) (16/1 -14%) Sherlock
16
16/1(-14%)
(10) Sherlock 16/1, Twice-raced maiden, including finishing well behind the reopposing Bambalam in the Convivial maiden at York. Behind a couple of today's rivals in his first two starts; gets a mark after this.
5
9th (5) (25/1 -150%) Hill O Rue
25
25/1(-150%)
(5) Hill O Rue 25/1, Ulysses gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including useful 5f winner Wise Words and 5f/6f winner Left Alone. Dam 8.3f-1¼m winner who stayed 1½m. One of 3 runners for a stable no stranger to first-time-out success. The betting should provide more clues. Already gelded but yard gets its fair share of winning 2yo newcomers; watch market.
11
10th (11) (100/1 -203%) Uncle Liam
100
100/1(-203%)
(11) Uncle Liam 100/1, Gleneagles colt. Closely related to winner up to 13f Annandale and half-brother to 3 winners, including 1m-2m winner Three Castles and 2-y-o 7f winner Lady McGuffy. Apprentice ridden on debut and winning 2yo newcomers from the yard are rare.
2
11th (2) (100/1 -203%) Black Sky
100
100/1(-203%)
(2) Black Sky 100/1, Modest form at best in 2 outings 12 weeks apart. A first-time visor needs to spark improvement. Beaten upwards of 10l in his first two starts; nurseries may be the way forward; visor on.
(5) Water Of Leith 11/4, Previous C&D winner who got off the mark for the season at Carlisle in August. Shaped as though still in top form when third of 14 in handicap at Doncaster (5f, good) 6 days ago, making his challenge away from the main action. Of serious interest. Dual course winner who ran well when third at Doncaster last time, but 6f may suit better.
8
2nd (8) (12/1 -71%) Music Society
12
12/1(-71%)
(8) Music Society 12/1, Losing run dates back to 2022 but he's tumbled in the weights and looked back in form when sixth of 11 in handicap at Pontefract (6f) last month. Eases in class so he's dangerous. Losing run up to 23 despite a sliding mark; others are more persuasive.
1
3rd (1) (9/4 -13%) Frank The Spark
2.25
9/4(-13%)
(1) Frank The Spark 9/4, Has really got his act together this summer, posting a career best when winning 11-runner handicap at Beverley 19 days ago. Up 4 lb but had a bit up his sleeve that day so seems sure to go well again. Bids for a hat-trick off a 4lb higher mark; stable has won three of the last nine runnings.
6
4th (6) (28/1 -27%) Show Me Show Me
28
28/1(-27%)
(6) Show Me Show Me 28/1, Won back-to-back 5f handicaps last summer but yet to find his feet this term, 10 lengths last of 11 to Frank The Spark in handicap at Beverley (5f, good to firm) 19 days ago. Well handicapped, but below form lately and well behind Frank The Spark last time.
7
5th (7) (17/2 +23%) Object
8.5
17/2(+23%)
(7) Object 17/2, Cashed in on a career-low mark on reappearance at Catterick in April. Unable to match that form since, though latest effort at that venue easy to excuse given he finished with running left having been denied a clear run. Best recent form has come on a soft surface, so drying ground wouldn't be in his favour.
9
6th (9) (16/1 -33%) Ski Angel
16
16/1(-33%)
(9) Ski Angel 16/1, Hit the ground running this season, winning twice, including over C&D. Good fourth of 10 in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, good to firm, 14/1) 5 days ago, caught further back than ideal, but that is always the risk with her. 2lb below last winning mark; didn't enjoy a clear run when fourth at Musselburgh last time.
4
7th (4) (5/1 +9%) Canon's House
5
5/1(+9%)
(4) Canon's House 5/1, Again pulled hard when third of 13 in maiden at Southwell (6.1f) 32 days ago. Makes handicap debut down in trip and may have a bigger performance in him, particularly if learning to settle. Third in all three starts; open to improvement now handicapping; worth a second look.
3
8th (3) (18/1 -227%) Parisiac
18
18/1(-227%)
(3) Parisiac 18/1, Made second start for in-form yard a winning one over C&D in August. Just a respectable fifth of 9 in handicap at Musselburgh 3 weeks ago. Made all over C&D on his penultimate start; could go well if able to dominate again.
10
9th (10) (80/1 -186%) Earn Your Stripes
80
80/1(-186%)
(10) Earn Your Stripes 80/1, On a lengthy losing run and claims aren't obvious from out of the weights. Record of 2-40 is a concern and an extra furlong probably suits her better now.
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
WATER OF LEITH was an unlucky third in a competitive handicap at Doncaster last week, taking up the running a furlong from home before being run down by two rivals who raced on the opposite side of the track. Off an unchanged mark and with his sights lowered slightly, he can gain compensation. Canon's House has shown enough in his qualifying runs to suggest that he warrants respect on his handicap debut, while a 4lb rise for a recent Beverley success doesn't discount the hat-trick seeking Frank The Spark.
WATER OF LEITH represents a yard in fine form and having shaped nicely away from the main action at Doncaster, he looks poised to strike. Frank The Spark arrives firmly on the up and won't go down without a fight in his quest for the hat-trick, with Music Society another to consider given the mark he's lurking on.
With his stable having a good record in this race, FRANK THE SPARK is taken to complete the hat-trick.
(2) Eternal Sunshine 5/1, Has 4 wins and 2 short-head second to show for her last 6 starts, losing out only to a well-treated grade dropper at Musselburgh on Sunday. Obvious claims off same mark. Four wins and two narrow defeats in her last six starts; likely to run another big race.
1
2nd (1) (11/2 -83%) Sugar Hill Babe
5.5
11/2(-83%)
(1) Sugar Hill Babe 11/2, Latest win at Ffos Las in July. Creditable neck third of 9 to Eternal Sunshine in handicap (4/1) at Musselburgh (5f, good) 22 days ago. 2 lb better off with winner here so enters calculations. Caught very late in both starts since winning at Ffos Las; shortlisted.
3
3rd (3) (15/2 -88%) Ecclesiastical
7.5
15/2(-88%)
(3) Ecclesiastical 15/2, Dropped below last winning mark and finished with running left when fourth of 6 in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, good to firm) 41 days ago, all dressed up with nowhere to go over 1f out. 1lb below last winning mark; may not want the ground firmer than good.
8
4th (8) (25/1 -56%) Sixcor
25
25/1(-56%)
(8) Sixcor 25/1, 3-time C&D winner. Latest win here in August but well held since. Needs to bounce back. Four of his six wins have come here, but well held on last two outings; risky.
6
5th (6) (8/1 -45%) Wee Fat Mac
8
8/1(-45%)
(6) Wee Fat Mac 8/1, C&D winner. Winless this season but plenty of decent efforts, including when fourth of 14 in handicap at Newcastle (5f, 4/1) 16 days ago. Not taken lightly. 1-21 on turf; in the frame in nine of his 12 starts since latest win but more is needed.
7
6th (7) (14/1 +13%) Classy Clarets
14
14/1(+13%)
(7) Classy Clarets 14/1, Runner-up over C&D (off 3 lb higher) in July but well held otherwise this term. 3lb lower than when second over C&D in July, but twice held since and now 0-11.
4
7th (4) (28/1 -133%) Call Me Ginger
28
28/1(-133%)
(4) Call Me Ginger 28/1, Continues to fall in the weights without showing any sign of taking advantage, 6¼ lengths seventh of 9 to Eternal Sunshine in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, good, 10/1) 22 days ago. 20lb below last winning mark but has been in the doldrums; behind three of these last time.
9
8th (9) (200/1 -203%) Chookie Dunedin
200
200/1(-203%)
(9) Chookie Dunedin 200/1, One-time fairly-useful handicapper but has lost his way for current yard. Easy to oppose from out of the handicap. Losing run up to 24 despite a plummeting mark; best watched.
(12) Financer 33/1, Registered back-to-back victories at this trip prior to going down narrowly at Doncaster (10.2f) in July. Has found his improvement levelling off more recently, never dangerous when thirteenth of 17 in handicap at York (10.2f, soft) 11 days ago. This rates tougher again. Form has regressed since winning twice in the summer; comes with risk attached.
3
2nd (3) (9/2 +40%) Bennetot
4.5
9/2(+40%)
(3) Bennetot 9/2, Useful performer in France and capitalised on easing mark for this yard at Windsor (1m) in August. Solid efforts from inflated mark at York/Ascot have followed and he's worthy of consideration stepping back up in trip. Has twice run well off this mark since winning at Windsor; interesting back up in trip.
7
3rd (7) (9/1 +0%) Dark Moon Rising
9
9/1(+0%)
(7) Dark Moon Rising 9/1, Back to form when winning at Hamilton (13f) in June. Similar form without looking straightforward of late, hanging left from 2f out when third of 12 in handicap at York (11.8f, good to firm) 27 days ago. Clearly in fine form but his attitude is beginning to look questionable. 7lb above last winning mark and unraced over a trip this short since July of last year.
2
4th (2) (16/1 -14%) Marhaba The Champ
16
16/1(-14%)
(2) Marhaba The Champ 16/1, Improved model last season, winning competitive handicaps at both the Dante/Ebor Festival at York. However, hasn't been in anything like the same form in 3 outings this year, making no impact back from another wind op at York last month. Has it to prove. Ran better than it looked at York last time; 1lb above last winning mark; could go well.
6
5th (6) (11/4 +58%) Have Secret
2.75
11/4(+58%)
(6) Have Secret 11/4, Winless since his juvenile days but hard to knock his consistency, second behind a well-treated rival in handicap at Chester (10.3f) 5 days ago. Visor replaces cheekpieces and he's expected to be thereabouts again. Had three of these behind at York last month and second at Chester last Saturday; visor on.
4
6th (4) (25/1 -39%) Arthur's Realm
25
25/1(-39%)
(4) Arthur's Realm 25/1, Successful twice with cheekpieces re-applied, his latest victory coming at Redcar (10f, soft) in May. Has run no more than respectably from higher marks in trio of starts since and others appeal more for win purposes. Handicapper has been in charge lately and drying ground would pose another question.
10
7th (10) (10/1 +0%) Pol Roger
10
10/1(+0%)
(10) Pol Roger 10/1, Landed back-to-back C&D handicaps in May and model of consistency in defeat subsequently, third of 5 in handicap at Thirsk (12f, good to firm) 12 days ago. Return to this shorter trip in his favour and likely he'll run another solid race for all this is a step up in grade. Consistent since May (1122223) and record over C&D reads 11222; major player.
9
8th (9) (20/1 -43%) Barley
20
20/1(-43%)
(9) Barley 20/1, Ended a long losing sequence at Carlisle in June and in good order since, second of 10 in handicap at Ripon (8f, good to firm, 14/1) 24 days ago, staying on without making an impression on a progressive 3-y-o. Probably a place player again. 9lb above last winning mark; stays this far but does need to find a bit more.
8
9th (8) (13/2 -30%) Aviemore
6.5
13/2(-30%)
(8) Aviemore 13/2, C&D winner who confirmed promise of his previous run when winning 6-runner handicap at Chester (10.3f, heavy) 6 days ago, looking well suited by the testing ground. No surprise to see him out quickly under a penalty but this does look tougher. 8lb higher than when bolting up at Chester last time but he is open to more improvement.
1
10th (1) (5/1 +9%) Oviedo
5
5/1(+9%)
(1) Oviedo 5/1, Progressive last season, successful at Redcar in May and signing off with a good fourth in Cambridgeshire. Lightly raced this term but he did shape with more encouragement than the result suggests when eleventh of 17 in handicap at York (10.2f) last month. Visor/tongue tie go on and he's of interest Fourth in last year's Cambridgeshire but below form this year; new headgear tried.
11
11th (11) (18/1 -13%) Bust A Move
18
18/1(-13%)
(11) Bust A Move 18/1, Progressive juvenile, signing off with facile success at Newmarket (9f, heavy) in November. Resumed with a good second at Doncaster (10.2f) in March and clearly not 100% back at Newmarket a month later. Remains with potential back from 155 days off. Not seen since tailed off at Newmarket in April; will do well to win this on his return.
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
Further improvement cannot be ruled out from recent Chester scorer Aviemore and another bold bid is expected. However, it could be worth taking a punt on OVIEDO, who is racing in a first-time tongue-tie and visor. Although things haven't panned out as expected for the four-year-old this season, he faces his easiest assignment for some time and a third career victory may beckon. Have Secret and Dark Moon Rising are viable alternatives.
Boasting some strong form to his name as a 3-y-o, OVIEDO shaped with more encouragement than the result suggests when eleventh at York 26 days ago. Equipped with a first-time visor/tongue tie, he could be worth siding with having eased a little more in the weights. Bennetot and recent Chester winner Aviemore are others to consider, as is Have Secret who continues to perform with credit.
The vote goes to POL ROGER who has been so consistent since May (1122223) and whose record over this C&D reads 11222.
(1) Yorkshire Lady 7/2, C&D winner who tasted success over hurdles in February. Run respectably both starts since returning from a break, fourth of 6 in handicap (15/8) at Hamilton (9.2f, heavy) 27 days ago. Return to this trip will suit and she's eased a shade in the weights. C&D win two years ago came off 7lb higher; faces a tough task against the 3yos, though.
7
2nd (7) (10/1 -82%) Reyaadah Star
10
10/1(-82%)
(7) Reyaadah Star 10/1, AW maiden winner (at 11f) in May. Best effort in handicaps since when runner-up at Newmarket (10f) in July (strong form) and she raced too keenly reverting to front running when third of 6 in handicap back at that venue 5 weeks ago. Better showing anticipated. Consistent rather than progressive in five handicaps; more needed to defy this mark.
3
3rd (3) (5/1 +44%) Queen Of Soldiers
5
5/1(+44%)
(3) Queen Of Soldiers 5/1, Promising debut second at Ascot but rather disconcerting how little she has found in 2 starts since, sixth of 11 in novice at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 11/8) 34 days ago. Back on turf for her handicap debut but she doesn't look one to be taking short odds about. Has not built on promising debut in two runs since; needs to bounce back on handicap debut.
4
4th (4) (7/2 -100%) Dancingwithmyself
3.5
7/2(-100%)
(4) Dancingwithmyself 7/2, 3-y-o filly who is proving most progressive in handicaps, successful at Ripon (9.7f) in June and took her form up a notch when following up over 12f at that venue 33 days ago. Handicapper applies further pressure but unlikely she's done improving just yet. Good claims in hat-trick bid. Bids for a hat-trick off a 6lb higher mark after two wins at Ripon; can't be ruled out.
5
5th (5) (11/1 -69%) Tafsir
11
11/1(-69%)
(5) Tafsir 11/1, Has already enjoyed a productive year, gaining a fourth success since May at Hamilton (13f, soft) 15 days ago. Career-high mark to defy back up in grade but she's evidently operating at the top of her game at present. Down in trip. 4-11 this year, all her wins coming over 1m5f; may find some of the 3yos a bit too speedy.
2
6th (2) (9/4 +32%) Cheshire Dancer
2.25
9/4(+32%)
(2) Cheshire Dancer 9/4, Latest win at Newcastle in June. Very good second of 9 in handicap (9/4) at Sandown (10f, good) 20 days ago, no match for winner but well on top of the remainder. Up 3 lb but she's a player again with further progress at this trip not ruled out. Runner-up when stepped up to 1m2f last time and likely she has more to offer over this far.
6
7th (6) (40/1 -21%) Lucykeys
40
40/1(-21%)
(6) Lucykeys 40/1, Gleneagles filly who showed fair form on 2 of her 3 starts in maidens. However, handed a stiff-looking mark and never figured when eighth of 11 on handicap debut over C&D back in July. Eased 3 lb ahead of this but others appeal more. Unexposed after four starts but her two turf efforts fall well short of her two on the AW.
16:15 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 10f (See Seed Six) Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
The hat-trick seeking DANCINGWITHMYSELF supplemented her Ripon victory in June with another authoritative display at the same venue two months later. A 6lb higher mark is unlikely to be the ceiling of the three-year-old's ability and she rates as the one to beat. Hamilton winner Tafsir warrants respect in her current heart, but this distance may prove on the sharp side. With that in mind, a bigger threat may emerge from the reliable Reyaadah Star.
DANCINGWITHMYSELF found further progress as she made it back-to-back wins with plenty to spare at Ripon 33 days ago and, with further progress anticipated, she can defy the assessor again back down in trip. Former C&D winner Yorkshire Lady will appreciate this step back up in trip and is feared. Reyaadah Star, whose penultimate Newmarket second is proving strong form, and Cheshire Dancer if taking up this engagement, complete the shortlist.
Preference is for CHESHIRE DANCER (nap) who was trying 1m2f for the first time when second behind a progressive rival last month.
(1) Dain Ma Nut In 10/3, Thriving sort who ran out a comfortable winner of a Musselburgh maiden (1m) on penultimate start and had little fuss following up in handicap over that track/trip 4 days ago. Lots to like in hat-trick bid under a penalty. Musselburgh 1m wins last two starts in fine style; 6lb penalty and 5lb claimer is enlisted.
6
2nd (6) (15/8 +32%) Never Better
1.875
15/8(+32%)
(6) Never Better 15/8, Winner of novice at Kempton (7f) in March who shaped well after 5 months off (also gelded) when third of 14 in handicap on turf debut at Newbury (1m) 3 weeks ago. Possesses a good deal of physical scope and shortlisted with prospect of more to come. Lightly raced 3yo who could have come on since latest start, so he's one for the shortlist.
2
3rd (2) (12/1 +0%) Hortzadar
12
12/1(+0%)
(2) Hortzadar 12/1, Successful from 1 lb lower in this race 12 months ago. Best efforts of present campaign when runner-up at Hamilton/Ripon in June and easy to excuse his latest York run on account of his position. Better showing anticipated. Won this race last year; runner-up twice this June, before two lesser efforts; considered.
3
4th (3) (16/1 +0%) Power Of Gold
16
16/1(+0%)
(3) Power Of Gold 16/1, Got back on track when a running-on second of 11 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, good to firm) last month. May have found conditions against him when ninth of 13 in handicap at Ascot (1m, good to soft) 13 days ago. Soft ground may explain a poor show 13 days ago but he does not look the percentage call.
10
5th (10) (20/1 -43%) Quiet Resolve
20
20/1(-43%)
(10) Quiet Resolve 20/1, Off the mark in maiden at Newcastle (7f) in February. Hasn't built on that as expected in handicaps on turf in recent months but 6f possibly against him when last seen at Chester 97 days ago. Had wind surgery ahead of return and cheekpieces quickly discarded on first crack at 1m. Wind op in June; has his first run since, with a step up to 1m too, which he should stay.
4
6th (4) (16/1 -60%) Cancan In The Rain
16
16/1(-60%)
(4) Cancan In The Rain 16/1, Lightly-raced 4-y-o who showed plenty to work on after 3 months off when sixth of 11 in handicap at Beverley (8.4f, good to firm, 16/1) 19 days ago, keeping on without being knocked about. Could be up to playing a part with that under his belt. Ran twice this term, off 101 days in between; player if working his way back to peak form.
7
7th (7) (7/1 +13%) Mysteryofthesands
7
7/1(+13%)
(7) Mysteryofthesands 7/1, Winner at Hamilton in July. 12/1, good third of 13 in handicap at Haydock (8.2f, good) 12 days ago, clear of rest. Definite claims of making the frame again provided he settles once more. Won at Hamilton in June; back near that level when Haydock 3rd (again 1m, good) latest.
14
8th (14) (11/1 +45%) Golden Valour
11
11/1(+45%)
(14) Golden Valour 11/1, Unreliable type. C&D winner. 10/1, creditable third of 8 in handicap at Musselburgh (8f, good to firm) 5 days ago, not looking straightforward under pressure. More needed in stronger company operating from 2 lb out of the weights. Competitive again last week; has a place squeak even though 2lb out of the handicap.
5
9th (5) (12/1 +0%) Arkenstaar
12
12/1(+0%)
(5) Arkenstaar 12/1, Latest win at Hamilton in May. Tenth of 11 in handicap at Beverley (8.4f, good to firm, 12/1) 19 days ago, never landing a blow. Type to bounce back quickly but present mark does demand that bit more. Cheekpieces on last three outings, not running so well at Beverley on latest.
13
10th (13) (28/1 -75%) Ayr Poet
28
28/1(-75%)
(13) Ayr Poet 28/1, 3-time C&D winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2023. Bit below form seventh of 12 in handicap (9/2) at this course (10f, good) 38 days ago. Refitting of cheekpieces may well perk him up here and previous third at Carlisle last month was an encouraging display. Ayr specialist; no win since last September but three places this term give him a chance.
11
11th (11) (15/2 +53%) Yaaser
7.5
15/2(+53%)
(11) Yaaser 15/2, C&D winner. 8/1, below form seventh of 12 in handicap at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) 12 days ago, very slowly away. Back to a potentially lenient mark but needs to cut the slow starts out. Has a shout judged on some form this summer; seen much more often these days over 7f.
12
12th (12) (40/1 -43%) Cisco Disco
40
40/1(-43%)
(12) Cisco Disco 40/1, Ninth of 11 in handicap (11/1) at this course (10f, good) 40 days ago, possibly unsuited by the step back up in trip. Starts out for new stable but others arrive with more pressing claims. Down the field this season; same owner but left Richard Fahey since latest start.
9
13th (9) (16/1 -60%) Bella Bisbee
16
16/1(-60%)
(9) Bella Bisbee 16/1, Latest win at Doncaster in August. 4/1, respectable sixth of 10 in handicap at Yarmouth (8f, good) 25 days ago, not ideally placed. Not out of the question she could yet have more to offer. Turning to 1m and blinkers on last three outings seems to have worked; needs a bit extra.
(9) Ahamoment 9/1, C&D winner. Creditable fourth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (7f, 13/2) 9 days ago. More than capable off this mark. C&D winner off 4lb higher in June 2023 but not so hot in his three visits here this year.
4
2nd (4) (15/2 +25%) Sir Garfield
7.5
15/2(+25%)
(4) Sir Garfield 15/2, Winner at Catterick in July. Runner-up next 3 starts (including twice over C&D) and may have found a busy spell catching up with him when well held at Catterick last time. Freshened up since. Did well with blinkers in handicaps until never dangerous (good to firm) on latest outing.
8
3rd (8) (11/2 +15%) Braes Of Doune
5.5
11/2(+15%)
(8) Braes Of Doune 11/2, Won over C&D and at Musselburgh (1m) in August. Shaped better than the bare result when third of 12 in handicap at Carlisle (1m, good to soft) 8 days ago, caught further back than ideal. Shortlist material for Goldie and Mulrennan. Badly hampered in hat-trick bid and then shaped as if still in good form eight days ago.
13
4th (13) (14/1 +13%) Rwenearlytheredad
14
14/1(+13%)
(13) Rwenearlytheredad 14/1, Showed form for the first time this season when 3¼ lengths third of 9 to Homer Stokes in handicap at Catterick (7f, good to soft) 9 days ago. The fact he was a close third to End Zone in this 12 months ago from 7 lb higher makes him of some interest. Third at Catterick (7f, soft) nine days ago but needs to take another step back up ladder.
6
5th (6) (20/1 -82%) Pembrokeshire
20
20/1(-82%)
(6) Pembrokeshire 20/1, C&D winner in July. Ran poorly over 6f here 3 weeks later but back on song when a close fifth of 10 at Musselburgh (7f, good) 22 days ago. Drawn widest. Won once in each of the last three seasons, most recently C&D in July; none too consistent.
5
6th (5) (8/1 0%) King's Crown
8
8/1(0%)
(5) King's Crown 8/1, One win from 25 starts and that was back in 2022. Did record his best effort of the current campaign when second of 12 at Newcastle (7f) 9 days ago but others are preferred for win purposes again. Sole win (25 races) was a maiden in May 2022; two seconds this term.
10
7th (10) (18/1 -50%) Jkr Cobbler
18
18/1(-50%)
(10) Jkr Cobbler 18/1, Three-time C&D winner. Creditable 2¾ lengths third of 12 to Haworth Star in handicap (9/1) at Newcastle (6f) 16 days ago. Back up in trip. Another who has to enter the reckoning. Three C&D wins last summer; close third to Braes Of Doune over C&D last month reads well.
7
8th (7) (5/1 +29%) Profiteer
5
5/1(+29%)
(7) Profiteer 5/1, Winner at Thirsk (7f) in June and remained in form with 4 runner-up finishes from his 5 outings since. Likely to give another good account. Last three runs were 6f and clearly his best form but there was a 7f win at Thirsk in June.
14
9th (14) (14/1 +0%) End Zone
14
14/1(+0%)
(14) End Zone 14/1, Not obviously at the top of his game but the fact he won a division of this race last year off 6 lb higher makes him a dangerous one to discount. Won by a nose off 6lb higher in this race last year; approached that form once this term.
2
10th (2) (17/2 +15%) Novak
8.5
17/2(+15%)
(2) Novak 17/2, C&D winner. Nineteen runs since last win in 2023. 9/1, eighth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (7f) 9 days ago, racing closer to pace than ideal. Engaged 8.00 Newcastle Tuesday. No joy since June 2023 but has shown enough on occasions to be given an each-way chance.
11
11th (11) (33/1 -32%) Black Friday
33
33/1(-32%)
(11) Black Friday 33/1, Four-time course winner but has largely struggled since the latest one last August. His mark has come down a long way as a result but others are more obvious. Scored over C&D in August 2023 but that's his only win in nearly three years.
3
12th (3) (12/1 -100%) Haworth Star
12
12/1(-100%)
(3) Haworth Star 12/1, 15/2 and hooded first time, career best when winning 12-runner handicap at Newcastle (6f) 16 days ago, well on top finish. Back up in trip. Can make presence felt again. Off the mark in a first-time hood at Newcastle (6f, AW) 16 days ago; stays 7f.
1
13th (1) (17/2 -143%) Half Moon Rising
8.5
17/2(-143%)
(1) Half Moon Rising 17/2, Has reacted very well to cheekpieces and on a hat-trick after recent 7f wins at Carlisle and Catterick. Had 5½ lengths to spare at latter track 9 days ago and a 6 lb penalty seems unlikely to prevent a bold bid. Cheekpieces have seen the breakthrough last two starts, latest in grand style; 6lb penalty.
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Runner-up over 6f on each of his last three starts, including a narrow reversal at Catterick last time out, PROFITEER is likely to appreciate going back up in trip and he can regain the winning thread at a track that should suit his forward-going style. Top-weight Half Moon Rising arrives on a hat-trick and is 4lb well-in after a taking success at Catterick last week. He is a key player, along with Newcastle scorer Haworth Star, while others to note include Ahamoment, Jkr Cobbler and King's Crown.
The vote in a very competitive finale goes to BRAES OF DOUNE, who was an eyecatcher when third at Carlisle last week. The hat-trick seeking Half Moon Rising heads the many dangers along with Haworth Star and last year's third Rwenearlytheredad, who returned to form when third at Catterick last Tuesday.
Several have a shout but the selection goes to BRAES OF DOUNE, who has not had the cards fall right for him in his last two starts.
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How to use Tomform
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
About U.K Horse Racing
Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.
There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.
The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.
Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.
In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.
Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.
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