Ayr Races & Results Tomform Wednesday 22nd May 2024

There were 41 Races on Wednesday 22nd May 2024 across 6 meetings. There was 6 races at Warwick, 6 races at Yarmouth, 7 races at Ayr, 7 races at Gowran Park, 8 races at Kempton, 7 races at Southwell, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Wednesday 22nd May 2024

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

14:20 Ayr Maiden (Class 4) 6f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
6
(6) Shy Hi Bye (4/7 -58%)
Shy Hi Bye

0.571429
4/7(-58%)
(6) Shy Hi Bye 4/7, Promising second of 10 in minor event at Newcastle (6f, 11/8). Off 6 months but this daughter of Lope De Vega has more to offer. Big shout.
Short-head defeat at Newcastle (7f, AW) in November is easily the best form in this field.
4
(4) Mutamanni (6/4 +50%)
Mutamanni

1.5
6/4(+50%)
(4) Mutamanni 6/4, Promising sort. 11/2, fourth of 9 in maiden at Yarmouth (6f, good to soft) on debut 18 days ago. Open to progress so this Showcasing gelding needs considering.
11-2 from 9-1 at Yarmouth (6f, good) 18 days ago, fading late on into fourth of nine.
5
(5) Strike Rate (14/1 +13%)
Strike Rate

14
14/1(+13%)
(5) Strike Rate 14/1, Twice-raced gelding and better effort when third of 5 in maiden at this course (8f, good to soft) 23 days ago. Down in trip with more required.
Needs to build on it but his third of five in maiden here (1m, good) showed some ability.
3
(3) Classy Hopes (22/1 +33%)
Classy Hopes

22
22/1(+33%)
(3) Classy Hopes 22/1, 9/1, eighth of 10 in maiden at Kempton (7f) on debut. Off 9 months. First run for yard after leaving John Butler with lots more to do.
9-1 at Kempton (7f, AW) last August but beat only two home and has since left John Butler.
2
(2) Bebeto (33/1 +18%)
Bebeto

33
33/1(+18%)
(2) Bebeto 33/1, €6,500 yearling, Elm Park gelding. Dam 10.5f-13.5f winner. Betting can prove a good indicator.
6,500euros yearling; third foal; dam French 10.5f-13.5f winner.
1
(1) Trojan Sun (150/1 -50%)
Trojan Sun

150
150/1(-50%)
(1) Trojan Sun 150/1, £800 yearling, Sun Central gelding. Half-brother to several winners, including useful 7f winner Weekendatbernies and 6f winner Shannon. Dam winner up to 1m (2-y-o 6f/7f winner). Market can guide.
£800 yearling; 13th foal; half-brother to five winners; one of two newcomers for the yard.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

14:20 Ayr Maiden (Class 4) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

SHY HI BYE was headed in the dying strides when touched off at Newcastle on her final start of last season. William Haggas' filly looks the type to do better with that experience under her belt and she is taken to make a winning reappearance. The biggest threat may emerge from Mutamanni, who offered something to work with on his fourth-placed debut at Yarmouth earlier in the month. Strike Rate should fare better on this drop in trip.

William Haggas' Lope De Vega filly SHY HI BYE possesses much the best form on show and can open her account here at the chief expense of Mutamanni who rates the biggest threat on the back of his recent debut Yarmouth fourth. Jim Goldie's newcomer Bebeto appeals as the pick of the rest for minor honours.

Mutamanni should step up markedly second time out but AW second SHY HI BYE brings easily the best form to this weak race.


14:50 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 6f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
10
(10) Doon The Glen (3/1 +54%)
Doon The Glen

3
3/1(+54%)
(10) Doon The Glen 3/1, Remains a maiden but just about his best effort yet when second of 8 in handicap (7/2) at Hamilton (5f, good) 5 days ago.
0-14 but runner-up on two of his last three starts; can be thereabouts once more.
2
(2) Dream Deal (16/5 +64%)
Dream Deal

3.2
16/5(+64%)
(2) Dream Deal 16/5, Unable to land a blow when sixth of 8 in handicap at Catterick (5f, good) 22 days ago, inadequate test. Cheekpieces back on and return to 6f can only help.
Did well over 6f last August/September and could build on 5f reappearance run.
8
(8) Nazca (11/2 -193%)
Nazca

5.5
11/2(-193%)
(8) Nazca 11/2, Six wins from 23 Flat runs. 2 wins from 5 runs this year, career best for latest of them in 8-runner handicap at Newcastle (6f) 75 days ago. Will take some stopping from much-reduced turf mark.
Unproven on turf but grass mark is fully 15lb lower than when winning on AW last time out.
5
(5) Global Humor (15/2 -7%)
Global Humor

7.5
15/2(-7%)
(5) Global Humor 15/2, Unreliable type. 4-time course winner. 7/2, creditable fourth of 11 in handicap at Hamilton (6f, good) 5 days ago, nearest finish. Competitive again if he's in that mood, but that isn't certain given his overall profile.
Four-time course winner who has shown some good form among recent starts; on the shortlist.
1
(1) Belsito (17/2 +15%)
Belsito

8.5
17/2(+15%)
(1) Belsito 17/2, Novice winner at Redcar final 2-y-o start but unable to add to tally since. Bit below form fifth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (5f, 6/1) 44 days ago but return to 6f promises to suit.
Encouraging signs at Newcastle latest, after wind op, could be involved now back up to 6f.
7
(7) Kitbag (9/1 +36%)
Kitbag

9
9/1(+36%)
(7) Kitbag 9/1, Seventh of 11 in handicap at Hamilton (6f, good, 8/1) 5 days ago, never nearer. Doesn't look an easy ride.
Close AW 5th on second start for current yard but not at same level on turf the last twice.
3
(3) Warminster (11/1 -10%)
Warminster

11
11/1(-10%)
(3) Warminster 11/1, Twenty-two runs since last win in 2023. 9/1, fifth of 7 in handicap at Hamilton (6f, good to soft) 17 days ago. Rare turf start from career-low mark.
On a handy mark on this year's best form but has won just one of his 25 starts.
6
(6) Noble Captain (12/1 -50%)
Noble Captain

12
12/1(-50%)
(6) Noble Captain 12/1, Latest win at Newcastle in March. Respectable fourth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (6f, 9/2) 19 days ago, likely to have finished even closer with a clear passage.
Something to prove on turf but in the mix if transferring his good recent AW form.
9
(9) Cuban Rock (16/1 +52%)
Cuban Rock

16
16/1(+52%)
(9) Cuban Rock 16/1, One win from 22 Flat runs. 16/1, ninth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (6f), doing too much too soon. Off 6 months.
Well handicapped on last season's best efforts but return to form needed on reappearance.
4
(4) Tillybob (18/1 +10%)
Tillybob

18
18/1(+10%)
(4) Tillybob 18/1, Return from a year off was promising but she's never stood much racing and was eleventh of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (6f, 4/1) 19 days ago.
Disappointing last time but promising run previously, after absence; not written off.
11
(11) Earn Your Stripes (25/1 +0%)
Earn Your Stripes

25
25/1(+0%)
(11) Earn Your Stripes 25/1, C&D winner. Fifteen runs since last win in 2022. 14/1, creditable fifth of 14 in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, good to soft). Off 7 months so easy enough to look elsewhere.
C&D winner, but modest strike-rate and may need this reappearance outing.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

14:50 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

NAZCA recorded a sixth victory on the all-weather when landing the spoils at Newcastle in March. Although the five-year-old has struggled to make an impact on turf racing off lower marks in the past, his improvement since last summer can be attributed to the drop to 6f. The Oasis Dream gelding could follow up here, possibly at the main expense of Doon The Glen, who arrives on the back of a close-up second at Hamilton last Friday. Warminster is another to consider.

The race probably revolves around NAZCA's effectiveness on turf as he's thrown-in from this mark on his recent AW form. Should the selection fail to fire, Dream Deal and Doon The Glen could be best placed to take advantage.

Preference is for DREAM DEAL (nap), for whom the reapplication of cheekpieces and step back up in trip are both likely positives.


15:20 Ayr Listed (Class 1) 10f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
5
(5) Red Danielle (3/1 +50%)
Red Danielle

3
3/1(+50%)
(5) Red Danielle 3/1, Fairly useful filly. 86/10, good ¾-length second of 15 to Understated in listed race at Saint-Cloud (1¼m, heavy) last autumn. First run for yard after leaving Roger Varian.
Listed runner-up when last seen and this lightly raced 4yo could play a leading role.
4
(4) Mistral Star (7/2 +13%)
Mistral Star

3.5
7/2(+13%)
(4) Mistral Star 7/2, Useful filly. Good 1¼ lengths second of 9 to La Mehana in listed race at Saint-Cloud (1½m, good to soft) on final 3-y-o start. Claims if ready to roll after her break.
Listed runner-up in France last September and form has worked out well; one to consider.
7
(7) Verbier (9/2 +31%)
Verbier

4.5
9/2(+31%)
(7) Verbier 9/2, Lightly-raced winner. 18/1, excellent 2¼ lengths fourth of 8 to Tyrrhenian Sea in listed race at Lingfield (1¼m, AW) in December, not ideally placed. Off 143 days. Hood on first time. Open to further improvement.
Listed fourth when last seen; something to find today but unexposed and in good hands.
3
(3) Madame Ambassador (13/2 -8%)
Madame Ambassador

6.5
13/2(-8%)
(3) Madame Ambassador 13/2, Took form to another level when winning a pair of 1¼m Newmarket handicaps last autumn. Respectable 8 lengths fifth of 7 to Gather Ye Rosebuds in listed race at Goodwood (1½m, soft, 18/1) on reappearance 18 days ago. Merits consideration.
Two handicap wins at Newmarket last autumn; could improve for recent return; not ruled out.
6
(6) Snowcapped (8/1 +20%)
Snowcapped

8
8/1(+20%)
(6) Snowcapped 8/1, Useful filly. 5¼ lengths fifth of 6 to Empress of Beauty in listed race (7/1) at Gowran (9.5f, heavy) on reappearance 14 days ago.
Could tap back into last summer's considerable promise when back on better ground.
2
(2) Heartache Tonight (8/1 -191%)
Heartache Tonight

8
8/1(-191%)
(2) Heartache Tonight 8/1, Useful filly. Might have needed first outing in 9 months when 12 lengths fourth of 6 to Stay Alert in Dahlia Stakes at Newmarket (9f, good, 20/1) on reappearance 17 days ago. Likely to be bang there if returning to anything like the pick of her 3-y-o form.
Best form on soft-heavy; last season's Group-race form in France gives her a leading shout.
1
(1) Alanya (12/1 +14%)
Alanya

12
12/1(+14%)
(1) Alanya 12/1, Useful mare. 14/1, 19 lengths fifth of 7 to Sunchart in listed race at Naas (10.5f, heavy) on reappearance 59 days ago. Something to find even if back to her best.
Irish challenger; Listed third at the Curragh last August but others possess stronger form.
8
(8) Zarabanda (50/1 +24%)
Zarabanda

50
50/1(+24%)
(8) Zarabanda 50/1, Notched 3 handicap wins on soft/heavy ground last year but came up well short at listed level at the end of the campaign. Probably best to look elsewhere
Won three soft-ground handicaps last July-October; struggled towards end of last year.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

15:20 Ayr Listed (Class 1) 10f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.

Heartache Tonight will need to build on her reappearance fourth in the Dahlia Stakes at Newmarket earlier this month and, despite being the highest-rated contender, she could be worth taking on. The returning MISTRAL STAR made rapid progress towards the end of last season's campaign, as evidenced by a fine second in a Listed event in France, and she could take this en route to bigger things. Snowcapped and Red Danielle are also worth a second look.

There should be more to come from the low-mileage VERBIER at 4 and she gets a narrow vote in an open listed race. Heartache Tonight and Madame Ambassador both arrive on the back of sound reappearance efforts in recent weeks and can give Ralph Beckett's filly most to think about.

With the form of her Listed second at Saint-Cloud last September reading well, MISTRAL STAR is taken to go one better on her return.


15:50 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 8f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
1
(1) Kelpie Grey (13/8 +35%)
Kelpie Grey

1.625
13/8(+35%)
(1) Kelpie Grey 13/8, Improved again when completing hat-trick in 8-runner handicap at this course (7.2f, good) 8 days ago, driven out. Carries penalty but has to go on the shortlist in his current mood.
Made it 3-3 for the year when making all here last week; has to be respected under penalty.
3
(3) Nikovo (10/3 -21%)
Nikovo

3.333333
10/3(-21%)
(3) Nikovo 10/3, Back-to-back winner on the AW first 2 starts this spring and very fair effort in hat-trick bid when third of 8 in handicap at Leicester (8.2f, good) 11 days ago, hampered. Shortlist material from the same mark.
Unlucky third at Leicester when bidding for hat-trick; may well make amends off same mark.
5
(5) Cancan In The Rain (5/1 +44%)
Cancan In The Rain

5
5/1(+44%)
(5) Cancan In The Rain 5/1, Creditable fourth of 12 in handicap (11/2) at Newcastle (10.2f), not knocked about. Off 7 months but that isn't an issue given the yard he represents and he's back in trip.
Gelded since last seen and he's 1lb lower than when winning at Newmarket last June.
2
(2) Maysong (8/1 +0%)
Maysong

8
8/1(+0%)
(2) Maysong 8/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. 16/1, shaped better than the result when seventh of 18 in handicap at Doncaster (8f, heavy) 60 days ago, hampered. One to consider.
In good form on AW prior to Spring Mile 7th; might not be far away now back down in grade.
8
(8) Garden Oasis (17/2 +6%)
Garden Oasis

8.5
17/2(+6%)
(8) Garden Oasis 17/2, C&D winner. 20/1, fourth of 6 in handicap at Pontefract (8f, soft) 21 days ago. Should strip fitter with that under his belt and this veteran is well weighted these days.
Form went the wrong way last season but he's on a reduced mark and is 2-3 here.
4
(4) Nahori (10/1 -11%)
Nahori

10
10/1(-11%)
(4) Nahori 10/1, Winning debut at Dundalk in December. Fifth of 8 in handicap (7/1) at Gowran (7f, soft) 28 days ago. Has work to do from this mark but this Irish raider isn't yet exposed.
Lightly raced Irish challenger, but she hasn't really threatened in her three handicaps.
7
(7) Jackhammer (18/1 +18%)
Jackhammer

18
18/1(+18%)
(7) Jackhammer 18/1, C&D winner. Fourth of 7 in handicap at Hamilton (8.3f, good to soft, 14/1) 17 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Cheekpieces on for the first time.
Ran well recently when back from a break and he likes it here; each-way player.
6
(6) Trais Fluors (40/1 -60%)
Trais Fluors

40
40/1(-60%)
(6) Trais Fluors 40/1, Latest win at Newcastle in January. Last of 7 in handicap at Hamilton (8.3f, good to soft, 16/1) 17 days ago, very slowly away. Clearly comes with risks attached given issues at the stalls.
Perhaps good to soft didn't suit at Hamilton latest; could bounce back if conditions okay.
9
(9) Tommy G (50/1 -100%)
Tommy G

50
50/1(-100%)
(9) Tommy G 50/1, Three-time C&D winner. 25/1, eleventh of 12 in handicap at this C&D (good to soft). Off 8 months but ran very well following 6-months off around this time last year.
Eight-time course winner; ran just twice last season; possibly best watched on return.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

15:50 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

KELPIE GREY has won four of his last five starts and has another major chance under a 5lb penalty for an all-the-way success over 7f here eight days ago. If anything, this is a slightly weaker race, which goes some way to combatting the return to racing over a mile. There are dangers aplenty, though, with the likes of Nikovo and Jackhammer both players from competitive marks, while Trais Fluors would be a threat if on a going day.

Having won a couple of AW handicaps for his new yard, NIKOVO shaped as though still in top form when third at Leicester 11 days ago, hampered at a crucial moment. From the same mark, he's selected to quickly regain the winning thread at the chief expense of Kelpie Grey, who is also thriving, and Cancan In The Rain.

This could go to NIKOVO, who was a badly hampered third when bidding for a hat-trick at Leicester last time, and retains the same mark.


16:20 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 5f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
7
(7) Classy Al (9/4 +70%)
Classy Al

2.25
9/4(+70%)
(7) Classy Al 9/4, Unreliable sort. Course winner. Bit below form sixth of 13 in handicap (5/1) at this course (7.2f, good) 8 days ago, missing break. Significantly back down in trip. Not the most reliable.
Ran well over 5f last month but still a suspicion he'll need a pace collapse to win.
2
(2) Paddy's Day (7/2 +13%)
Paddy's Day

3.5
7/2(+13%)
(2) Paddy's Day 7/2, Creditable sixth of 12 in handicap (13/2) at Ripon (5f, good to firm) 12 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Should be on the premises.
Two solid efforts this season and no obvious reason why he wouldn't give his running again.
3
(3) Match Play (9/2 -29%)
Match Play

4.5
9/2(-29%)
(3) Match Play 9/2, 6/1, below form seventh of 12 in handicap at Epsom (5f, good) 29 days ago, slowly away. Drops in grade and could be spot on fitness wise now.
First Class 5 run since an easy Haydock win last summer; leading contender.
4
(4) Sound Reason (6/1 -9%)
Sound Reason

6
6/1(-9%)
(4) Sound Reason 6/1, Seventh of 10 in handicap at Beverley (5f, good to firm, 10/3) 8 days ago. Visor on 1st time, tongue strap back on. Becoming well treated and shouldn't be ruled out.
On a good mark; not at his best yet this year but new accessory combination may help.
6
(6) Fortunate Star (9/1 +10%)
Fortunate Star

9
9/1(+10%)
(6) Fortunate Star 9/1, Latest win at Catterick in April. Creditable fifth of 10 in handicap at Beverley (5f, good to firm, 11/1) 8 days ago, making effort earlier than ideal. Not one to write off.
Won a Class 6 at Catterick last month before a solid effort from a bad draw at Beverley.
10
(10) Sixcor (9/1 -6%)
Sixcor

9
9/1(-6%)
(10) Sixcor 9/1, 3-time C&D winner. 10/3, respectable third of 8 in handicap at Hamilton (5f, good) 5 days ago, not getting a clear run. Merits consideration.
Conditions to suit and he's run well in both starts this month; up in class but respected.
1
(1) Pockley (12/1 +25%)
Pockley

12
12/1(+25%)
(1) Pockley 12/1, 33/1, sixth of 9 in handicap at Carlisle (5f, good to firm) 2 days ago. Blinkers back on. Others more persuasive.
Six-time Newcastle winner but took turf record to 0-22 when sixth at Carlisle on Monday.
9
(9) Runninwild (18/1 +10%)
Runninwild

18
18/1(+10%)
(9) Runninwild 18/1, 8/1, last of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (5f) 26 days ago, slowly away. Uphill task.
Poor season in 2023; well beaten on last month's return; dangerous mark but risky for now.
5
(5) Impressor (22/1 -83%)
Impressor

22
22/1(-83%)
(5) Impressor 22/1, Course winner. Third of 5 in handicap (11/2) at Pontefract (5f, soft) 21 days ago. Penultimate outing was encouraging and race may have come too soon last time, so not dismissed.
Four wins last year and on a fair mark again; 5f on the forecast ground perhaps too sharp.
8
(8) Henery Hawk (40/1 -150%)
Henery Hawk

40
40/1(-150%)
(8) Henery Hawk 40/1, Latest win at Newcastle in February. Fifth of 6 in handicap (18/1) at Hamilton (5f, good to soft) 17 days ago.
Thrived on AW since October but turf form currently lags behind; others appeal more.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

16:20 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 5f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

SOUND REASON may have been expensive to follow since his most recent success, but he finds himself on an attractive mark as a result and looks worth another chance on these terms. Rated 86 at his best for his previous yard, a current assessment of 70 is too appealing to ignore as he makes just his third appearance for David O'Meara. Several others hold solid claims, with Paddy's Day, Match Play and Impressor all suggested as shortlist material.

MATCH PLAY hasn't fired yet this season but he's down in grade now and should be fully tuned up, so he takes preference over the in-form Paddy's Day in a tricky contest. Sixcor wasn't seen to best effect last time and has a good track record, so he's another one to consider.

This represents a drop in class for MATCH PLAY and he can confirm himself a well-treated sprinter. Fortunate Star is feared most.


16:55 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 10f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
1
(1) Born Ruler (6/4 +33%)
Born Ruler

1.5
6/4(+33%)
(1) Born Ruler 6/4, Creditable second of 6 in handicap (7/2) at Lingfield (12f, AW) 20 days ago. Type to make a better for 4yo this season and worth a chance to open his account for the campaign.
This drop back in trip looks in order after his Lingfield 2nd at 1m4f; set for a bold show.
2
(2) Jean Baptiste (3/1 +25%)
Jean Baptiste

3
3/1(+25%)
(2) Jean Baptiste 3/1, Creditable second of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f, 9/1) 10 days ago, no match for winner. Should be involved once again.
On a losing run but reappeared with good seconds at Ayr (1m2f) and Newcastle (1m2f, AW).
5
(5) Pol Roger (4/1 -20%)
Pol Roger

4
4/1(-20%)
(5) Pol Roger 4/1, Stepped up markedly from reappearance when on 5-runner handicap at this C&D (good, 9/4) 20 days ago. Stable is in terrific form at present and he's likely to go well again.
Won comfortably in five-runner C&D race (good) latest; back up 4lb but still has a shout.
7
(7) Highwaygrey (10/1 +17%)
Highwaygrey

10
10/1(+17%)
(7) Highwaygrey 10/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Newcastle in November. 11/1, creditable fifth of 12 in handicap at Ripon (9.8f, good) 12 days ago, left with lot to do. Can make his presence felt if things drop right.
Only one win in each of 2021, 2022 and 2023 seasons but plenty suggests he is e-w player.
8
(8) Glasses Up (11/1 -22%)
Glasses Up

11
11/1(-22%)
(8) Glasses Up 11/1, 6-time C&D winner. Creditable third of 14 in handicap at this C&D (good, 28/1) 23 days ago. Not discounted.
Course specialist who looks ready to have his say again.
4
(4) Savrola (12/1 +0%)
Savrola

12
12/1(+0%)
(4) Savrola 12/1, Respectable fifth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f, 7/1). Off 7 months. First run for yard after leaving James Ferguson. Will probably need the run.
2lb below his last winning mark (from last May); left J Ferguson for 30,000gns in October.
3
(3) Bashful (14/1 +0%)
Bashful

14
14/1(+0%)
(3) Bashful 14/1, C&D winner. Ninth of 14 in handicap (11/1) at this C&D (good) 23 days ago. Others more persuasive.
Back on Flat for last three starts and he didn't show enough on last two occasions.
6
(6) Ayr Poet (28/1 -133%)
Ayr Poet

28
28/1(-133%)
(6) Ayr Poet 28/1, 5-time course winner. Respectable fifth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f, 7/1). Off 6 months. Significantly back up in trip. Has work to do. Others make more appeal.
Major shout if in good form but first time out may not be the best chance for him to shine.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

16:55 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 10f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Jean Baptiste has filled the runner-up spot the last twice, including over track and trip when Glasses Up was a place behind, and he should remain competitive off an unchanged mark compared to his most recent second at Newcastle. However, the vote goes to BORN RULER, who returned from a 223-day break to hit the crossbar at Lingfield, despite being too free. The drop from 1m4f looks a good move and, with Luke Morris back on board, he might be the one to beat. Recent C&D winner Pol Roger is another to note.

BORN RULER made a positive reappearance when second at Lingfield and he appeals as the type to go on developing this year, so he's preferred to Jean Baptiste, who ran a cracker at Newcastle 10 days ago. Pol Roger is another big player bidding for back-to-back C&D wins for a bang-in-form stable.

Jean Baptiste has put up bold shows on both his starts this season but BORN RULER may well be about to return to his best.


17:30 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 8f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
1
(1) Covert Legend (5/2 +0%)
Covert Legend

2.5
5/2(+0%)
(1) Covert Legend 5/2, Winner at Wolverhampton in April. Isn't an easy ride but much better than the result when twelfth of 16 in handicap at Thirsk (8f, good to firm, 22/1) 4 days ago, not much room. Could be worth another chance down in class.
Winning return from wind op on AW; repeatedly checked in his run on turf (1m) on Saturday.
8
(8) Braes Of Doune (3/1 +25%)
Braes Of Doune

3
3/1(+25%)
(8) Braes Of Doune 3/1, Course winner who matched that form when second of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (8f, 11/2). Off 139 days and isn't fully exposed.
Goes well fresh and comes into it on his course form in 2023, 2nd over C&D and a 1m2f win.
3
(3) Khathak (4/1 +20%)
Khathak

4
4/1(+20%)
(3) Khathak 4/1, Temperamental sort. Creditable fourth of 8 in handicap (10/1) at Leicester (8.2f, good) 11 days ago (second past the post but subsequently demoted). Player from the same mark if he keeps straight this time.
Winless since 2yo debut but on a handy mark; close up back on turf latest (demoted to 4th).
5
(5) Balqaa (9/2 +36%)
Balqaa

4.5
9/2(+36%)
(5) Balqaa 9/2, Eighteen runs since last win in 2022. 4/1, creditable third of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (8f) 26 days ago, conceding first run. Turf form not as encouraging.
Running well on AW since the autumn but 0-9 on turf and others preferred for the win.
2
(2) Capuchinero (7/1 +30%)
Capuchinero

7
7/1(+30%)
(2) Capuchinero 7/1, Visored for first time, creditable fifth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 25/1). Off 95 days. Cheekpieces back on but balance of turf form isn't that encouraging.
Three Polytrack wins at 6f/7f but she finished remote in sole 1m handicap two starts ago.
9
(9) Retirement Beckons (7/1 +65%)
Retirement Beckons

7
7/1(+65%)
(9) Retirement Beckons 7/1, Four-time C&D winner. Latest win at Newcastle in March. 14/1, eighth of 10 in handicap at Hamilton (8.3f, good) 5 days ago, not ideally placed so that run can be excused.
Four C&D wins including one over Braes Of Doune; well below best in 2 of last 3 runs.
6
(6) Golden Valour (8/1 +76%)
Golden Valour

8
8/1(+76%)
(6) Golden Valour 8/1, Temperamental sort. Two wins from 45 Flat runs. Tenth of 11 in novice hurdle (50/1) at Sedgefield (16.8f, heavy) 105 days ago. Cheekpieces back on returned to the level dropped markedly in trip.
Thereabouts on best course form in 2023 but on a losing run and last seen over hurdles.
4
(4) Concert Boy (12/1 -33%)
Concert Boy

12
12/1(-33%)
(4) Concert Boy 12/1, Eighth of 12 in handicap (12/1) at Newcastle (8f) 82 days ago, needing stronger gallop. First run for yard after leaving David O'Meara. Cheekpieces replace visor.
Sole win on AW; 0-9 on turf but well treated on best form in stronger races; new yard.
7
(7) Paco's Pride (16/1 +0%)
Paco's Pride

16
16/1(+0%)
(7) Paco's Pride 16/1, Visored for first time, seventh of 10 in handicap at Musselburgh (8f, good, 12/1) 19 days ago. Must improve on that.
Maiden; touched off on final start for R Varian; not yet found form for new yard.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

17:30 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

BRAES OF DOUNE made a pleasing return to action when denied by just under a length at Newcastle in January and he is only 1lb higher for that effort. Jim Goldie's six-year-old remains on a workable mark and can go one better. The main danger might be Balqaa, who has been thereabouts at this level on each of her last three starts and should go well again, while Retirement Beckons is another to keep an eye on.

COVERT LEGEND isn't bombproof by any means given his propensity to miss the break but he caught the eye in a deeper race than this on Saturday so he's worth risking. Braes of Doune is unexposed for a 6-y-o so has to command respect on return to action, with the quirky Khathak a place contender.

Concert Boy makes some appeal back on turf but COVERT LEGEND was badly checked at Thirsk on Saturday and is down in grade today.


Racecard Key

Ths is the racecard key.

Icon Meaning
TomForm top stats, gold rated
TomForm top stats silver rated
Ran similar race before
STomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
TTop Time speeed rated
Top Racingpost rated
At the races watchout for
At the races top pick
Top rated for thet statistic

How to use Tomform

Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.

This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.


About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.


© 2024 TomForm - The Beginning - Archive

Top