Ayr Races & Results Tomform Monday 8th May 2023

There were 37 Races on Monday 8th May 2023 across 5 meetings. There was 7 races at Ayr, 8 races at Worcester, 8 races at Windsor, 7 races at Southwell, 7 races at Newcastle, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Monday 8th May 2023

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

13:55 Ayr Maiden (Class 5) 5f - 4 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (1) Indication Call (1.38/1 +0%)
Indication Call

1.38
1.38/1(+0%)
(1) Indication Call 1.38/1, Fair form when runner-up at Beverley and Pontefract (both 5f, good to soft) last month. Visored first time. Undoubtedly capable of winning a race but would be vulnerable to a newcomer with potential.
Runner-up in 5f novices at Beverley and Pontefract; visor goes on; holds very good claims.
3
2nd (3) Sennockian (2.75/1 -120%)
Sennockian

2.75
2.75/1(-120%)
(3) Sennockian 2.75/1, Foaled May 10. €120,000 No Nay Never colt. Half-brother to useful 1m-1¼m winner Alwaab and smart 2-y-o 7f/1m winner Pretty Gorgeous. Dam 2-y-o 6f winner. Makes obvious paper appeal for last year's winning yard.
No Nay Never colt who is a half-brother to 2 useful winners; interesting newcomer.
2
3rd (2) Moyola (12/1 +64%)
Moyola

12
12/1(+64%)
(2) Moyola 12/1, 18/1, last of 8 in novice at Musselburgh (5f, soft) on debut 30 days ago. Needs to leave that well behind.
18-1, last of eight in novice at Musselburgh 30 days ago; needs to take a big step forward.
4
4th (4) Torvar (2.25/1 +50%)
Torvar

2.25
2.25/1(+50%)
(4) Torvar 2.25/1, 7/2, fifth of 8 in novice at Ripon (5f, heavy) on debut 9 days ago. Likely to improve.
Encouraging debut 5th at Ripon; this daughter of Footstepsinthesand can build on it now.
LTO Selection:

13:55 Ayr Maiden (Class 5) 5f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Based on the information provided, 1.25/1 (3) SENNOCKIAN seems to have the most potential as a newcomer with a strong breeding background. Therefore, 1.25/1 (3) SENNOCKIAN is likely to finish in 1st place. 1.38/1 (1) INDICATION CALL, with fair recent form, is expected to finish in 2nd place. 4.5/1 (4) TORVAR, who had an encouraging debut and is likely to improve, is expected to finish in 3rd place. 33/1 (2) MOYOLA is not expected to finish in the top three based on their recent performance.

Charlie Johnston has been among the winners of late and he saddles an interesting newcomer in the shape of Sennockian, a 120,000-euro half-brother to Fillies' Mile winner Pretty Gorgeous. A bold bid is expected first time out, but narrow preference is for the experience of INDICATION CALL, who has gone closer with each of his three starts to date and only missed out by a short head at Pontefract a fortnight ago. There could be more to come and he has the assistance of in-form 3lb claimer Pierre-Louis Jamin. Torvar, who showed glimpses of ability on debut, can beat Moyola for third place.

The Johnston stable won this with a newcomer last year and might be able to repeat the feat with the well-bred SENNOCKIAN. Confidence in his chance would increase should the betting vibes be strong.

Charlie Johnston has his string in excellent nick so his well-related No Nay Never newcomer SENNOCKIAN is taken to make a winning start


14:25 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 6f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
13
1st (13) One Last Hug (4/1 +50%)
One Last Hug

4
4/1(+50%)
(13) One Last Hug 4/1, Course winner. One win from 45 Flat runs. Fourth of 7 in handicap at Musselburgh (7.2f, good to soft, 18/1) 3 days ago. Opposable from a win point of view. Stable also represented by Oriental Lilly.
Course winner who comes here in decent nick; not discounted from 1lb out of the handicap.
3
2nd (3) Freedom Flyer (6/1 -71%)
Freedom Flyer

6
6/1(-71%)
(3) Freedom Flyer 6/1, Latest win at Thirsk in April. Below form fourth of 12 in handicap (7/2) at Catterick (5f, heavy) 26 days ago. That race may have come too soon, just a day after finishing third on the AW, and big player if the drying ground doesn't pose a problem.
Won at Thirsk in April and two good efforts since; player off same mark back over 6f now.
9
3rd (9) Basholo (10/1 +0%)
Basholo

10
10/1(+0%)
(9) Basholo 10/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Bit below form sixth of 10 in handicap at Catterick (5f, good to soft, 20/1) 12 days ago, never nearer. Needs a couple of these to falter.
Yet to fire in three 5f handicaps this term; mark is falling but more is still needed.
11
4th (11) Cheese The One (4.5/1 +50%)
Cheese The One

4.5
4.5/1(+50%)
(11) Cheese The One 4.5/1, 33/1, respectable seventh of 13 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 24 days ago. Back down to the trip off which she landed a Thirsk selling handicap off 1 lb higher on latest turf start at Thirsk in September. Possibilities.
Yet to make the frame in 5 starts for current yard but one for the shortlist back in trip.
4
5th (4) Roman Blaze (66/1 -65%)
Roman Blaze

66
66/1(-65%)
(4) Roman Blaze 66/1, Thrice-raced maiden on Flat. Tenth of 11 in minor event (200/1) at Redcar (8f, soft) 28 days ago. Down in trip for this handicap debut and big step forward needed. Yard also saddles Dick Datchery.
Has offered little in his four runs to date; plenty more required now going handicapping.
14
6th (14) Oriental Lilly (3.5/1 +61%)
Oriental Lilly

3.5
3.5/1(+61%)
(14) Oriental Lilly 3.5/1, C&D winner. Nineteen runs since last win in 2021. Creditable third of 6 in handicap at this course (8f, good to firm, 9/1) 4 days ago. Back down in trip and visor refitted. Couldn't rule out.
Arrives in good form, third here four days ago; this C&D winner needs considering.
5
7th (5) Muddy Lynn (20/1 +29%)
Muddy Lynn

20
20/1(+29%)
(5) Muddy Lynn 20/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 16/1, ninth of 10 in handicap at Thirsk (7f, soft) 34 days ago. Hard to warm to on the back of that display.
Beat only one on her handicap debut at Thirsk last month; needs a big step forward.
2
8th (2) Stay Smart (14/1 -17%)
Stay Smart

14
14/1(-17%)
(2) Stay Smart 14/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. 40/1, eleventh of 16 in handicap at Haydock (6f, good to firm) 9 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Probably best to look elsewhere.
Arrives on a long losing run and he's offered little in 2 6f h'caps this term; blinkers on.
7
9th (7) Essencial (40/1 -21%)
Essencial

40
40/1(-21%)
(7) Essencial 40/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. 80/1, last of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (8f), slowly away. Off 102 days. Back down in trip and limited appeal.
Beaten one rival in two handicaps for new yard this term; has lots to prove after break.
10
10th (10) Dick Datchery (16/1 -78%)
Dick Datchery

16
16/1(-78%)
(10) Dick Datchery 16/1, Three-time C&D winner. 14/1, eighth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (6f). Off 94 days. First run for yard after leaving John Wainwright. Visor and tongue strap now refitted and has undergone a wind op.
3-time C&D winner; had a wind op and not ruled out for his new yard off a reduced mark.
12
11th (12) Nodsasgoodasawink (25/1 -79%)
Nodsasgoodasawink

25
25/1(-79%)
(12) Nodsasgoodasawink 25/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. Eleventh of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (6f, 25/1). Off 6 months and entitled to come on for the run.
Winless in 2022; has gone very well fresh though so is no forlorn hope after 6 months off.
1
12th (1) Claim The Stars (7.5/1 -67%)
Claim The Stars

7.5
7.5/1(-67%)
(1) Claim The Stars 7.5/1, Remains a maiden after 18 Flat runs. Seventh of 11 in handicap (10/1) at Thirsk (6f, heavy) 16 days ago. Others are more persuasive.
Possibly unsuited by the mud when 7th at Thirsk latest; no surprise if he bounced back.
LTO Selection:

14:25 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Based on the summary, the horses predicted to finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd are: 1st - 9/1 (10) DICK DATCHERY 2nd - 3.5/1 (3) FREEDOM FLYER 3rd - 9/1 (14) ORIENTAL LILLY

In a competitive handicap it may pay to side with ORIENTAL LILLY, who likes it here with two wins, one over C&D off 10lb higher. Her trainer won this last year and, although racing from 1lb out of the handicap, Amie Waugh claims 5lb in the saddle. Claim The Stars may still be a maiden, but the drop in class could see him go close despite the burden of top weight, though the intriguing Roman Blaze, who drops markedly in trip, may have his measure.

Despite a question mark over the suitability of the drying ground, FREEDOM FLYER looks the safest option. He's never been the easiest to predict but hasn't done much wrong in 4 starts this year. Dick Datchery is rather hit-and-miss, too, but this multiple C&D winner would be a threat if bouncing back on debut for new yard following a wind op. Cheese The One is third choice.

Plenty are in with a shout but Ruth Carr's FREEDOM FLYER arrives at the top of his game and edges the vote now he steps back up to 6f


14:55 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 10f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
7
1st (7) Morning Sun (7.5/1 -50%)
Morning Sun

7.5
7.5/1(-50%)
(7) Morning Sun 7.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 16/1, first run since leaving Sir Michael Stoute when respectable third of 13 in handicap at Redcar (10f, heavy) 21 days ago. Possibilities if able to build on that.
Encouraging third for new yard at Redcar; few miles on the clock so very much in the mix.
1
2nd (1) First Impression (3.33/1 +26%)
First Impression

3.33
3.33/1(+26%)
(1) First Impression 3.33/1, C&D winner. Creditable sixth of 15 in handicap hurdle (18/1) at this course (16f, good) 17 days ago. Fairly useful on the Flat and, though safely held on latest start in this sphere, he's certainly not without hope.
Last at Newcastle but creditable hurdles 6th since; this C&D winner can't be dismissed.
3
3rd (3) Snapius (16/1 -33%)
Snapius

16
16/1(-33%)
(3) Snapius 16/1, 20/1, below form eleventh of 25 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.2f, good to soft) 11 days ago. Fairly useful on the Flat, winner of a Fairyhouse claimer on latest start in this sphere/final run for Joseph O'Brien last May.
Fair 1m2f winner who also scored over hurdles; this Irish challenger is no forlorn hope.
10
4th (10) Sophiesticate (6.5/1 +68%)
Sophiesticate

6.5
6.5/1(+68%)
(10) Sophiesticate 6.5/1, C&D winner. Ninth of 11 in handicap at this C&D (heavy, 20/1). Off 7 months and she's probably worth taking on. Engaged 3.10 Hamilton Sunday.
C&D winner in August; ended 2022 under a cloud; respectable Hamilton 4th on Sunday.
9
5th (9) Glasses Up (4.5/1 +50%)
Glasses Up

4.5
4.5/1(+50%)
(9) Glasses Up 4.5/1, Five-time C&D winner. Twenty-one runs since last win in 2021. Respectable fourth of 14 in handicap at Musselburgh (12.5f, soft, 28/1) 8 days ago. Others make more appeal for win purposes this time.
Fair Musselburgh fourth eight days ago so this five-time C&D winner can't be ruled out.
5
6th (5) Zahee (12/1 -71%)
Zahee

12
12/1(-71%)
(5) Zahee 12/1, Unreliable type. 28/1, respectable ninth of 16 in handicap at Limerick (8f, soft) 16 days ago, never nearer. Step back up in trip looks a good move and definite chance for respected Irish yard if he puts his best foot forward.
Not disgraced after 8 months off when ninth at Limerick 16 days ago; unreliable, however.
2
7th (2) Val Bassett (10/1 +0%)
Val Bassett

10
10/1(+0%)
(2) Val Bassett 10/1, 12/1, first run since leaving Fabrice Chappet when seventh of 8 in handicap at Ripon (9.8f, soft) on UK debut 18 days ago. Entitled to come on for that run and likely that his respected yard will find the key to him before long.
Fairly useful winner in France; beat only one on yard debut at Ripon though so more needed.
6
8th (6) Highwaygrey (4/1 -20%)
Highwaygrey

4
4/1(-20%)
(6) Highwaygrey 4/1, C&D winner. 20/1, good third of 13 in handicap at Haydock (10.2f, good to firm) 9 days ago, not knocked about. Not taken lightly off the same mark.
C&D scorer; promising Haydock 3rd on return; merits serious consideration off same mark.
4
9th (4) Society Red (12/1 -33%)
Society Red

12
12/1(-33%)
(4) Society Red 12/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, good second of 8 in handicap at Ripon (9.8f, soft, 18/1) 18 days ago, better placed than most. Forecast conditions won't be an issue (fully effective on good/good to firm) and he's one for the shortlist.
Back on track in cheekpieces with Ripon 2nd; needs considering with headgear retained.
LTO Selection:

14:55 Ayr Handicap (Class 4) 10f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Prediction: 1st - 3.33/1 (6) HIGHWAYGREY 2nd - 9/1 (4) SOCIETY RED 3rd - 5/1 (7) MORNING SUN

Morning Sun was only beaten three lengths into third in a class 5 contest on his first start for the Keith Dalgleish yard and looks to have every chance of taking a step forward to have a say. However, he could be up against it with HIGHWAYGREY, who was a massive eye-catcher last time at Haydock and goes off the same mark. The seven-year-old is only 2lb higher than when scoring over C&D in August last year and he could be the one to beat. Society Red is far from out of it either.

The vote goes to MORNING SUN, who is by far the least exposed of these. The 4-y-o made an encouraging debut for this yard back from 8 months off at Redcar and while conditions were pretty testing that day, he appears to handle good/good to firm judged on what he showed for Sir Michael Stoute in 2022. Busby has yet to strike on turf but he's capable of a bold show, as he proved when going close over C&D last spring, and is feared most ahead of Highwaygrey and Society Red.

There was plenty to like about HIGHWAYGREY (nap)'s eyecatching Haydock third so this C&D scorer gets the vote.


15:30 Ayr Maiden (Class 5) 8f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
2
1st (2) Abu Royal (1/1 +9%)
Abu Royal

1
1/1(+9%)
(2) Abu Royal 1/1, Promising sort. 11/1, second of 9 in novice at Thirsk (1m, heavy) 16 days ago, clear of rest. Likely capable of better again and hard to beat.
4
2nd (4) Golden Move (3/1 +45%)
Golden Move

3
3/1(+45%)
(4) Golden Move 3/1, 80/1, green when sixth of 8 in novice at Leicester (7f, good) on debut last autumn. Should stay 1m.
5
3rd (5) Iron Lion (7.5/1 +12%)
Iron Lion

7.5
7.5/1(+12%)
(5) Iron Lion 7.5/1, By Roaring Lion and out of a winning half-sister to some smart performers. Makes paper appeal and one to note in the betting.
6
4th (6) Mount King (10/1 -33%)
Mount King

10
10/1(-33%)
(6) Mount King 10/1, Fair form. First run since leaving Joseph O'Brien when respectable second of 6 in novice at Beverley (8.5f, good to soft, 10/1) 19 days ago. May come on for that and is one to note.
3
5th (3) Eagle Day (5/1 -82%)
Eagle Day

5
5/1(-82%)
(3) Eagle Day 5/1, Twice-raced colt. 3/1, third of 14 in maiden at Southwell (7f) 74 days ago. Should have more to offer now stepping up to 1m.
1
6th (1) The Caltonian (150/1 -127%)
The Caltonian

150
150/1(-127%)
(1) The Caltonian 150/1, Swiss Spirit gelding. Dam, maiden (stayed 9f), out of Australian/New Zealand winner Zola, won Group 1 2-y-o 6f event. Makes a belated debut.
7
7th (7) Mrs Happy (150/1 -50%)
Mrs Happy

150
150/1(-50%)
(7) Mrs Happy 150/1, 40/1, fifth of 6 in maiden at this course (7f, good to firm, 40/1) on debut 4 days ago. Can only watch.
LTO Selection:

15:30 Ayr Maiden (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

1.1/1 (2) ABU ROYAL is likely to do well and is hard to beat. The horses that will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd cannot be accurately predicted based on the information given.

ABU ROYAL makes plenty of appeal for an in-form yard as he really stepped forward on his all-weather debut at Kempton when switched to the turf at Thirsk for his second start. Headed close home over this trip on soft ground that day, it is thought this sounder surface might eke out some improvement and he may not be for catching this time. Iron Lion is the pick of the newcomers judged on his eye-catching pedigree, while Eagle Day boasts a similar profile to the selection and is also noted.

ABU ROYAL showed plenty of promise when only narrowly denied at Thirsk last month and can strike at the third time of asking. Eagle Day should have more to offer on the back of his Southwell third and can provide the chief threat ahead of Mount King.

Having stepped up markedly on his debut run when a clear second over this trip at Thirsk last time ABU ROYAL looks the one to beat.


16:05 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 6f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
4
1st (4) Little Muddy (2.5/1 +25%)
Little Muddy

2.5
2.5/1(+25%)
(4) Little Muddy 2.5/1, C&D winner who added to tally on reappearance at Doncaster (5f, heavy) in April. Creditable second of 12 over 6f there since. Likely to give another good account.
C&D winner; has run two good races this year (5f, 6f, soft) and should go well again.
2
2nd (2) Black Friday (3.5/1 +22%)
Black Friday

3.5
3.5/1(+22%)
(2) Black Friday 3.5/1, Three-time C&D winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. Good second (Rock Melody fourth) on Musselburgh reappearance and lost his chance with a slow start at Wetherby since. Capable of bouncing back if breaking on terms.
Not won since 2021; good second on reappearance (missed the break last time); a possible.
5
3rd (5) Gannon Glory (4/1 +0%)
Gannon Glory

4
4/1(+0%)
(5) Gannon Glory 4/1, Bit below form sixth of 10 in handicap at Pontefract (5f, good to soft, 6/1) 14 days ago.
5f novice winner last year; mixed efforts over 5f and 6f since (below form last twice).
3
4th (3) Be Proud (12/1 +14%)
Be Proud

12
12/1(+14%)
(3) Be Proud 12/1, Course winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. First run for 6 months and watching brief is the percentage call.
All wins have been over 5f; lacks a recent run and looks the Goldie second string.
1
5th (1) Rock Melody (2.25/1 -50%)
Rock Melody

2.25
2.25/1(-50%)
(1) Rock Melody 2.25/1, Solid start for this yard when reaching the frame in big-field 5f handicaps at Musselburgh last month, nearest at the finish both times. Can come good now returning to 6f.
12,000gns purchase; two decent runs over 5f this year; step up to 6f should suit; player.
LTO Selection:

16:05 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Based on the summary, the horses that are most likely to finish in the top three are 3.33/1 (4) LITTLE MUDDY, 1.5/1 (1) ROCK MELODY, and possibly 4.5/1 (2) BLACK FRIDAY. 3.33/1 (4) LITTLE MUDDY is a C&D winner who has run two good races this year and is likely to give another good account. 1.5/1 (1) ROCK MELODY has had two decent runs over 5f this year and may come good when returning to 6f. 4.5/1 (2) BLACK FRIDAY is a three-time C&D winner who was a good second on reappearance and is capable of bouncing back if breaking on terms. However, it is important to note that all predictions are based on past performance and that horse racing can be unpredictable.

Stablemates Rock Melody and Be Proud both offer strong appeal at the weights and are likely to be key players today. Of the two, the former is marginally preferred over this trip and is likely to be thereabouts running off 4lb lower than her last winning mark. However, LITTLE MUDDY, a C&D winner last July, has returned with a vengeance this season and she could be hard to repel in her bid to extend the run of good form. Three-time course winner Black Friday looks the obvious pace angle and is also feared.

The way in which ROCK MELODY has finished off to really good effect in a couple of 5f Musselburgh handicaps suggests she can get her head in front now stepping back up to 6f. Black Friday was ahead of the selection in second in one of those races and is feared most.

This could turn out to be a muddling race and BLACK FRIDAY, who can be ridden prominently may be the one to benefit.


16:35 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 7f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
1
(1) Tellus (1.2/1 +56%)
Tellus

1.2
1.2/1(+56%)
(1) Tellus 1.2/1, Stepped up on her juvenile form to make a winning reappearance in novice at Pontefract (6f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Back up in trip. Makes handicap debut.
Has decent form at 7f but her win last time was over 6f (second has won since); chance.
5
(5) Royal Cay (3/1 +10%)
Royal Cay

3
3/1(+10%)
(5) Royal Cay 3/1, Career best when winning 12-runner handicap at Beverley (7.5f, good to soft) 19 days ago. 4 lb rise looks fair. Should go well again.
Improved form to win at Beverley last time (7.5f); this easier 7f may not be ideal.
2
(2) Rock Of England (3.33/1 -48%)
Rock Of England

3.33
3.33/1(-48%)
(2) Rock Of England 3.33/1, Promising type. Shaped as if better for the run when promising fifth of 14 in handicap at Haydock (1m, good to firm, 9/2) on reappearance 9 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Open to improvement. Leading claims.
May not have stayed 1m latest; chance, but forecast rain and reapplied headgear a concern.
4
(4) Kelpie Grey (14/1 +44%)
Kelpie Grey

14
14/1(+44%)
(4) Kelpie Grey 14/1, First run since leaving Declan Carroll when eighth of 10 in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, soft, 28/1) on reappearance 8 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Something to find on form.
All runs have been over 5f, but two half-brothers won over 7f, so longer trip may suit.
6
(6) Sunfyre (14/1 -56%)
Sunfyre

14
14/1(-56%)
(6) Sunfyre 14/1, Three runs at up to 1m on Newcastle's AW over the winter. Switches to turf for handicap debut after 116 days off. Betting should help guide to expectations.
Pulled hard when third on AW in January; h'cap debut and first run on turf; bit to prove.
3
(3) Camusdarach (28/1 -367%)
Camusdarach

28
28/1(-367%)
(3) Camusdarach 28/1, Fair form at 2 but dropped away tamely when remote fourth of 5 in handicap at Newcastle (1m) on reappearance 35 days ago. Drops back in trip now.
Not looked easy; pulled too hard on reappearance but chance on his last two runs in 2022.
LTO Selection:

16:35 Ayr Handicap (Class 5) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Based on the summary, it seems like 3.33/1 (5) ROYAL CAY and 2.25/1 (2) ROCK OF ENGLAND have the strongest potential to finish in the top 3. 3.33/1 (5) ROYAL CAY has improved form and a fair 4 lb rise, and 2.25/1 (2) ROCK OF ENGLAND is a promising type who is open to improvement and has leading claims. As for the third spot, it is a bit more uncertain, but 2.75/1 (1) TELLUS could have a chance based on her decent form at 7f.

Royal Cay powered home to get off the mark at Beverley last month and has strong claims on that form, but a 4lb rise and slight drop in trip are against him and he may have to play second fiddle to TELLUS. John Quinn's filly also opened her account last time, in a 6f novice event at Pontefract, and looks feasibly treated off 75 now switched to a handicap with the step up in distance a possible source of improvement. Camusdarach only weakened late on over 1m at Newcastle latest and the Charlie Johnston-trained gelding is interesting now returned to 7f.

ROCK OF ENGLAND gets the vote on the back of a promising reappearance effort at Haydock. A 4 lb rise for Royal Cay's latest Beverley success doesn't look too severe and he can give Ed Bethell's charge most to think about.

In a tricky race 6f winner TELLUS, who has run well over 7f, is taken to beat Kelpie Grey and Beverley winner Royal Cay.


17:10 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 13f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
9
(9) Lex Maxima (3.33/1 +26%)
Lex Maxima

3.33
3.33/1(+26%)
(9) Lex Maxima 3.33/1, Tenth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (12f, 12/1) 45 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals.
Irish raider; 0-11; good second on the AW two runs back (1m4f); yard has good record here.
8
(8) Lochnaver (5.5/1 +61%)
Lochnaver

5.5
5.5/1(+61%)
(8) Lochnaver 5.5/1, Last of 8 in handicap (16/1) at this course (10f, good to firm) 4 days ago. Significantly up in trip and each-way chance if on a going day. Yard also saddles Pammi.
Dual winner last term; needs to bounce back from a poor run here four days ago (1m2f).
5
(5) Imperative (5.5/1 -57%)
Imperative

5.5
5.5/1(-57%)
(5) Imperative 5.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 12/1, first run since leaving Charles Hills when excellent second of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 9 days ago, better placed than most. Unexposed but it remains to be seen if he'll be able to build on that back on turf.
Sound stable/handicap debut when second at Wolves last week (first run at 1m4f); chance.
6
(6) Well Planted (6/1 +29%)
Well Planted

6
6/1(+29%)
(6) Well Planted 6/1, Sixth of 8 in handicap hurdle at Perth (16.2f, good, 9/1) when last seen 7 months ago. Failed to fire on latest start in this sphere at Musselburgh in August. Has undergone a wind op.
Two hurdle wins and a 1m4f AW flat success; back from a break after wind op; best watched.
2
(2) Yakhabar (8/1 -14%)
Yakhabar

8
8/1(-14%)
(2) Yakhabar 8/1, 10/1 and visored for 1st time, respectable sixth of 10 in handicap at Southwell (12.1f) 34 days ago, never nearer. Cheekpieces back on and he merits consideration.
0-8; bits of form from 1m2f to 2m on the AW in the winter including in today's cheekpieces.
10
(10) Uberrima Fides (8.5/1 -55%)
Uberrima Fides

8.5
8.5/1(-55%)
(10) Uberrima Fides 8.5/1, Visored for 1st time, respectable seventh of 14 in handicap (66/1) at Dundalk (10.7f) 24 days ago. Down another 2 lb and could have a part to play if this step up in trip has the desired effect.
Not shown much under both codes this year and others look stronger.
7
(7) Marbuzet (12/1 +0%)
Marbuzet

12
12/1(+0%)
(7) Marbuzet 12/1, 8/1, twelfth of 13 in handicap at Thirsk (12f, soft) 34 days ago. Probably needed that run on the back of a 7-month absence and claims if reproducing form akin to his 2022 best.
Tailed off on reappearance; has chance on his best form of last year (won over 1m4f/1m6f).
1
(1) Bamboo Bay (12/1 +64%)
Bamboo Bay

12
12/1(+64%)
(1) Bamboo Bay 12/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time in this code, last of 12 in handicap hurdle at Newcastle (16.2f, soft, 100/1) 172 days ago. Off 172 days. Poor on last Flat outing. Readily passed over.
Disappointing since Chester win last June; no cheekpieces or tongue-tie; best watched.
3
(3) Eye Knee (18/1 -13%)
Eye Knee

18
18/1(-13%)
(3) Eye Knee 18/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2021. First run since leaving Gay Kelleway when tenth of 14 in handicap (16/1) at Doncaster (11.9f, soft) 9 days ago, folding. Others preferred.
Infrequent winner; tailed off on stable debut last month (pulled hard); best watched.
4
(4) Ask Peter (20/1 -100%)
Ask Peter

20
20/1(-100%)
(4) Ask Peter 20/1, 20/1, creditable sixth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (16.6f) 13 days ago. Down in trip and needs to find improvement from somewhere if she's to get off the mark at the ninth time of asking.
Two fair runs for today's rider since returning from a 268-day break; a possible.
11
(11) Buford (28/1 -27%)
Buford

28
28/1(-27%)
(11) Buford 28/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. Eighth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f, 16/1) 25 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Appears to be more effective on the AW nowadays.
Exposed; hasn't won since August 2021, but a good second three runs back; excuses since.
12
(12) Pammi (80/1 -100%)
Pammi

80
80/1(-100%)
(12) Pammi 80/1, Twenty-four runs since last win in 2018. 66/1, last of 9 in handicap at Musselburgh (12.5f, good to soft) 3 days ago. Blinkers back on. Best to look elsewhere.
Tough mare; well beaten after 321-day break at Musselburgh last week; better expected.
LTO Selection:

17:10 Ayr Handicap (Class 6) 13f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

It is difficult to definitively predict which horse will do well based on this summary, as there are several horses with potential. However, based on recent form and potential for improvement, 3.5/1 (5) IMPERATIVE and 7/1 (2) YAKHABAR may be good bets to finish in the top three. A dark horse could be 14/1 (8) LOCHNAVER, if he can bounce back from his recent poor run and handle the increased trip. Therefore, the predicted order of finish for the top three horses is 3.5/1 (5) IMPERATIVE, 7/1 (2) YAKHABAR, and 14/1 (8) LOCHNAVER.

IMPERATIVE improved plenty for stepping up to 1m 4f on his handicap bow when filling the runner-up spot at Wolverhampton on his return to action. The four-year-old, who was making his debut for Iain Jardine, is entitled to build on that performance by going one better. Marbuzet won twice last season and is expected to bounce back from an underwhelming effort on his first run of the year at Thirsk, while others to consider include Well Planted and Ask Peter.

Irish raider UBERRIMA FIDES posted one of his better efforts when mid-field in a first-time visor at Dundalk last month and he gets the nod in the hope that this step up in trip triggers some improvement. Yakhabar has been in decent form on the all-weather and, unexposed on turf, he looks dangerous, while Marbuzet should also have a part to play, provided he steps up on his low-key reappearance.

Following an improved run on his stable debut when second at Wolverhampton last week IMPERATIVE is taken to get off the mark.


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This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.


About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

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In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

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