There were 59 Races on Saturday 13th May 2023 across 8 meetings. There was 8 races at Haydock, 7 races at Hexham, 8 races at Lingfield, 7 races at Navan, 7 races at Nottingham, 7 races at Ascot, 7 races at Leicester, 8 races at Warwick, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (11/1 +21%) Sheer Rocks |
11/1(+21%) | (9) Sheer Rocks 11/1, Scored at Chester (1m2f) last July and continued in good form atter, signing off with a solid ninth of 16 at Newmarket (1m4f) in October. Much respected on his seasonal return. Unraced this year or in any race on softer than good, so he has big questions to answer. |
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2nd (10) (8.5/1 +15%) Ravens Ark |
8.5/1(+15%) | (10) Ravens Ark 8.5/1, Made a winning return at Lingfield (1m5f) in 2022 and he remained in good nick until coming in last at Wolverhampton (14f) in October. Sort to bounce back. Likely to give his running under today's conditions if he's tuned up like he was last May. |
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3rd (1) (3.2/1 +20%) Sir Rumi |
3.2/1(+20%) | (1) Sir Rumi 3.2/1, Resumed winning ways in 10-runner handicap at Epsom (12f, heavy) 12 days ago. Much respected up 4 lb. Good second on heavy going last October and he twice ran well on soft last month. |
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4th (2) (16/1 -33%) Rhythmic Intent |
16/1(-33%) | (2) Rhythmic Intent 16/1, Useful sort who bagged Mallard Handicap at Doncaster in September 2021. Lightly raced since and he caught the eye after a year off when considerately-handled sixth in 1m2f Epsom handicap 18 days ago. One to consider. On song for his second start last season; well handicapped if same happens this time. |
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5th (4) (4/1 -20%) Nathanael Greene |
4/1(-20%) | (4) Nathanael Greene 4/1, On the up last season (a dual winner) until coming in only 17th in November Handicap at Doncaster final start. Remains with better to come for his in-form yard. Rather mixed messages but he won a valuable handicap at Haydock (1m6f, soft) last July. |
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6th (7) (3.33/1 +33%) High Fibre |
3.33/1(+33%) | (7) High Fibre 3.33/1, Improving handicapper when with Ralph Beckett but not seen out after posting an excellent second at Newmarket (1m2f) 13 months ago. This longer trip should suit so he's not without interest starting out for a new yard. Off 396 days; new yard; could still be capable of better if all is well; stamina in family. |
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7th (6) (22/1 +27%) Green Team |
22/1(+27%) | (6) Green Team 22/1, Useful performer at best but comfortably held all 4 starts in Meydan this winter for his current yard. Needs a big step forward. With a new trainer (his third) this year and below his best in four runs at Meydan. |
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8th (8) (4.5/1 +25%) Savvy Knight |
4.5/1(+25%) | (8) Savvy Knight 4.5/1, Three-time winner last year who shaped well on his return when fourth of 13 in handicap at Kempton (11f) 33 days ago. Can go very well off an unchanged mark. Tailed off on heavy (his only race on softer than good); good fourth on AW on reappearance. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
1st: 4/1 (1) SIR RUMI 2nd: 6/1 (8) SAVVY KNIGHT 3rd: 3.33/1 (4) NATHANAEL GREENE
SIR RUMI notched up a comfortable success at Epsom last month and was arguably worth more than the winning margin would suggest. Richard Hannon's charge must now compete from a 4lb higher mark, but that might not be enough to stop him from repeating the dose. Saratoga Gold showed significant improvement last season, and it would be no surprise were he to resume his progress following a 216-day absence. Green Team heads the remainder.
HIGH FIBRE looked a handicapper to follow when last seen out for Ralph Beckett and is worth siding with to defy an absence and make a winning start for Harry Fry. Nathanael Greene is another with better days ahead of him and feared most on his return ahead of the handily-weighted Savvy Knight. Rhythmic Intent and Sheer Rocks complete the shortlist in a fascinating handicap.
Sir Rumi should figure very prominently again but, at the other end of the weights, RAVENS ARK could be one to thwart him.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (20/1 +29%) Farhh To Shy |
20/1(+29%) | (6) Farhh To Shy 20/1, Form dipped following winning reappearance at Doncaster (7f, good) last term and failed to fire on the AW during the winter. Step back in the right direction when third behind Belhaven and Sly Madam off this reduced mark at Nottingham but drop back to 7f/faster ground would be the ideal scenario. Faded late when third to Belhaven at Nottingham latest and peak form achieved at 7f. |
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2nd (3) (7/1 -8%) Belhaven |
7/1(-8%) | (3) Belhaven 7/1, Won 3 times in 2022 and left her reappearance well behind when proving 3½ lengths too strong for the re-opposing Sly Madam at Nottingham (8.3f, heavy) with Farhh To Shy, who also renews rivalry, a further neck adrift in third. This is more demanding up 7 lb but couldn't rule out all the same. Comfortably saw off Sly Madam at Nottingham (soft) recently; respected despite 7lb rise. |
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3rd (2) (12/1 +33%) Don't Tell Claire |
12/1(+33%) | (2) Don't Tell Claire 12/1, C&D winner in 2021 and wasn't disgraced when fifth in this race off 3 lb higher on her reappearance last season. Successful at Newmarket during the autumn (off 5 lb lower) but safely held in first-time cheekpieces (retained) on return this time round in a listed contest at Kempton. C&D winner; also second here on good to soft last autumn; decent run in listed on return. |
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4th (7) (11/1 -22%) One Morning |
11/1(-22%) | (7) One Morning 11/1, Built on her promising debut when winning a 4-runner maiden at Newmarket (7f, good) last spring, and by no means disgraced when third to the smart Laurel at Kempton upped to 1m on sole subsequent start in 2022. Mark for this handicap bow looks fair but she certainly needs to raise her game. Testing ground an unknown but should have more to offer after only three starts. |
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5th (5) (18/1 +28%) Sly Madam |
18/1(+28%) | (5) Sly Madam 18/1, Winner of 6 handicaps at around 1m on various ground-types last term, and back on the scoresheet at Windsor (1m, heavy) in April. However, she was readily outpointed by Belhaven at Nottingham and, though now 7 lb better off with that rival (before rider's claim is factored in), she looks vulnerable. Won on soft at Windsor last month; second to Belhaven at Nottingham latest. |
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6th (8) (2/1 +11%) Timeless Melody |
2/1(+11%) | (8) Timeless Melody 2/1, Promise both starts on the AW over 1m/11f for Charlie Appleby last season. Sold out of that yard for 65,000 gns last August and did the job when opening her account on return/debut for new yard in a Leicester novice (7f, heavy). Further progress likely now pitched into a handicap. Form of heavy-ground Leicester novice win boosted and opening mark look could be lenient. |
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7th (10) (4/1 +0%) Mountain Song |
4/1(+0%) | (10) Mountain Song 4/1, Found just one too good on first 3 starts in maiden/novice company (all at around 1¼m) during the winter. Made no mistake dropped to this trip on last month's handicap debut at Southwell and, though now 7 lb higher switched to turf in a stronger race, she probably has more offer for her top yard. Progressive on AW, winning 1m handicap latest; big player if as effective on slow turf. |
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8th (9) (33/1 -65%) Mottisfont |
33/1(-65%) | (9) Mottisfont 33/1, Looked potentially useful when scoring on debut at Ffos Las last summer and creditable third in Group 3 company next time. Failed to progress thereafter, though, and she was out with the washing on return in the Fred Darling. Sights lowered here for this handicap debut but others look stronger. In frame at Group level at two but below par in Fred Darling on return; handicap debut. |
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9th (1) (8/1 -23%) Julia Augusta |
8/1(-23%) | (1) Julia Augusta 8/1, Decisive winner of sole 2-y-o start at Kempton and impressive in a Thirsk novice (1m, good to firm) on return last June. Only third in a 5-runner handicap at Newbury when last seen the following month but that form is strong and it's still early days. Will be a threat if coping with conditions. Going softer than good an unknown but this lightly raced 4yo should have more to offer. |
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10th (4) (33/1 -18%) Perfect Thunder |
33/1(-18%) | (4) Perfect Thunder 33/1, Got the better of subsequent Irish Oaks second/listed winner Toy when landing a 7f maiden at the Curragh for Joseph O'Brien last spring. Made the frame in 3 handicaps later in 2022 but well held on latest start in October and opposable starting out for new connections here. Useful in Ireland; first run for new yard after 202 days off; acts on soft. |
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11th (11) (10/1 +17%) Beccara Rose |
10/1(+17%) | (11) Beccara Rose 10/1, Sea The Stars filly who shaped with encouragement when reaching the frame in 1m maiden/novice events at Doncaster (heavy) and Kempton last autumn. Shaped much better than the bare result on return at Newbury (1¼m) and improvement could be on the way now handicapping/back down in trip. Promise both starts at 2; failed to stay 1m2f on return; retains potential for handicaps. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
1st - 6.5/1 (3) BELHAVEN 2nd - 2.25/1 (8) TIMELESS MELODY 3rd - 28/1 (6) FARHH TO SHY
MOUNTAIN SONG made no mistake when stepping into handicap company at Southwell last month. The daughter of Sea The Stars appeals as a likely improver switched to turf for the first time, and she can shrug off a subsequent 7lb rise in the handicap to double her tally. One Morning bumped into the smart Laurel at Kempton when last seen, so she could be well treated from an opening mark of 82. Belhaven cruised to success at Nottingham 11 days ago and she merits respect, despite the step up in class.
Several of these remain with potential, most notably TIMELESS MELODY, who left the impression that stepping back up to this trip would be in her favour when making a successful start for this yard over 7f at Leicester. She has been handed a potentially handy mark for this handicap debut and gets the nod ahead of promising Godolphin filly Mountain Song. Julia Augusta is of interest despite returning from 10 months off, while Beccara Rose is worth a second look now switched to handicap company.
This features a few lightly raced improvers, notably TIMELESS MELODY who has had the form of last month's heavy-ground win boosted.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (18) (11/1 +8%) Rebel Territory |
11/1(+8%) | (18) Rebel Territory 11/1, Underlined his capability when fresh when making a winning reappearance in a 7f Newmarket handicap (soft) last month, with the reopposing Vafortino ½ length back in second. Should remain competitive after just a 2 lb nudge. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (9) (12/1 +0%) Biggles |
12/1(+0%) | (9) Biggles 12/1, Most progressive last year, winning 5 times, including on heavy. Good reappearance second to the reopposing Rainbow Fire at Haydock a fortnight ago. Likely to give his running again. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (2) (11/1 -10%) Vafortino |
11/1(-10%) | (2) Vafortino 11/1, Winner of this race 12 months ago and added to tally at Goodwood (1m) in September. Couple of good placed efforts this spring (second to reopposing Rebel Territory at Newmarket latterly) and this consistent sort is likely to be on the premises in this race again. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (1) (11/1 +8%) Spycatcher |
11/1(+8%) | (1) Spycatcher 11/1, Added to his fine record fresh when producing a convincing performance to land 7-runner conditions event at Thirsk (7f, heavy) 3 weeks ago. Career best will be needed if he's to defy top weight on a rare handicap start. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (15) (14/1 +0%) Safe Voyage |
14/1(+0%) | (15) Safe Voyage 14/1, Veteran now but a good fourth in Balmoral over 1m here on final start last year and all the better for his reappearance when creditable third of 15 in the Thirsk Hunt Cup last weekend. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (16) (6.5/1 +7%) Baradar |
6.5/1(+7%) | (16) Baradar 6.5/1, Back to form with a bang for new yard when winning 7f Doncaster handicap (heavy) last November. Travelled well long way when third of 22 in Lincoln there on 1m reappearance and big player now dropping back to 7f. Also equipped with a first-time tongue tie. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (14) (8/1 +43%) Perotto |
8/1(+43%) | (14) Perotto 8/1, Won the Britannia at the 2021 Royal meeting. Last season was a little disappointing but he's well treated if a switch to the Roger Varian yard sparks a revival. One to note in the betting. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (7) (5/1 +17%) Totally Charming |
5/1(+17%) | (7) Totally Charming 5/1, One of the most progressive handicappers around last season and shaped well enough to think he may have even more to offer in 2023 when seventh of 27 in Irish Lincoln on reappearance, fading late on. Drop back to 7f ideal and he's won on heavy. One of 2 strong contenders for his stable. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (8) (22/1 -38%) River Nymph |
22/1(-38%) | (8) River Nymph 22/1, Won this (on soft) in 2021 and third to Vafortino last year. Added 2 more good C&D efforts to his CV last autumn and another who can't be left out of calculations. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (13) (33/1 -32%) Rhoscolyn |
33/1(-32%) | (13) Rhoscolyn 33/1, This smart handicapper is a while without a win but he posted several good efforts in competitive events in 2022, including third in the Buckingham Palace over C&D. Like stablemate Orbaan, he probably needed the outing when below par behind Rainbow Fire on his recent Haydock reappearance. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (3) (28/1 -12%) Accidental Agent |
28/1(-12%) | (3) Accidental Agent 28/1, Queen Anne winner in his prime and his second to Vafortino in last year's renewal of this shows he's still capable of really smart handicap performances. Should strip fitter for last week's Newmarket reappearance and he's 6 lb lower than 12 months ago. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12th (20) (40/1 +39%) Zip |
40/1(+39%) | (20) Zip 40/1, Won at Doncaster (7f, heavy) at the end of last season and has continued the good work on AW, winning 7f handicaps at Newcastle and Southwell. Another good run when close third of 14 at Southwell latest. Ought to give his running but hard to argue he has much in hand of his mark. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
13th (22) (22/1 +33%) Admiral D |
22/1(+33%) | (22) Admiral D 22/1, Largely ran well in 2022 without getting his head in front. Creditable fifth on Newmarket reappearance but not in the same form back there last weekend (both 6f). Return to 7f may suit and there's still a feeling he could click in a race like this at some point. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
14th (23) (25/1 +0%) Darkness |
25/1(+0%) | (23) Darkness 25/1, Three-time winner in France but has drawn a blank for current stable. This season's 3 runs have been at least respectable without marking him down as a likely contender for a leading handicap such as this. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
15th (21) (20/1 +39%) Ropey Guest |
20/1(+39%) | (21) Ropey Guest 20/1, Consistent type who was runner-up in Buckingham Palace over C&D and Bunbury Cup at Newmarket last summer. Creditable fifth in this race on his 2022 reappearance. Likely to give his running but will probably find at least the odd one too strong. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
16th (17) (22/1 +21%) Tylos |
22/1(+21%) | (17) Tylos 22/1, Career best when ploughing through the mud to win easily at Leicester (7f, heavy) last month but that was a 4-runner race and he has a lot more on his plate off 7 lb higher in this much deeper affair. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
17th (4) (33/1 +50%) Toimy Son |
33/1(+50%) | (4) Toimy Son 33/1, 7f listed winner in France for Yann Barberot last spring but hasn't shown enough in his 2 outings for current yard this spring to suggest he'll play a prominent role here. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
18th (11) (11/1 +21%) Rainbow Fire |
11/1(+21%) | (11) Rainbow Fire 11/1, Very positive start for this yard. Couldn't live with Kingdom Come on AW reappearance but returned to winning ways back on turf when accounting for Biggles and 9 others at Haydock (7f) 2 weeks ago. Raced only on good/good to firm on turf so the unknown is how he'll handle this deeper ground. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
19th (5) (14/1 -56%) Fresh |
14/1(-56%) | (5) Fresh 14/1, Very good Ascot record, bagging 2 valuable prizes over this trip last summer. Ended 2022 on a low note but didn't shape too badly when fifth on last month's AW reappearance and should be spot on now. One to consider. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
20th (10) (50/1 -25%) Orbaan |
50/1(-25%) | (10) Orbaan 50/1, Consistent sort who gained deserved big-handicap success when taking Golden Mile at Glorious Goodwood before following up in C&D classified event. Probably needed his recent reappearance run behind Rainbow Fire at Haydock and should be back closer to form now. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
21st (19) (50/1 +24%) Call Me Ginger |
50/1(+24%) | (19) Call Me Ginger 50/1, Landed 5f course handicap last July and also won the Portland at Doncaster (second past post but awarded race) last September. Raced almost exclusively at 5f/6f and this trip on testing ground might stretch him back from 8 months off. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
22nd (12) (40/1 -21%) Sir Dancealot |
40/1(-21%) | (12) Sir Dancealot 40/1, Smart earlier in his career and still very useful, finishing a creditable second of 5 at Kempton (1m) 33 days ago. Suspicion he might prove vulnerable to younger legs in a race of this nature, though. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
1st: 12/1 (9) BIGGLES 2nd: 11/1 (6) KINGDOM COME 3rd: 6/1 (7) TOTALLY CHARMING
Last year's winner Vafortino is now 6lb higher, but he proved the ability to be competitive from his current mark when finishing a good second to the reopposing Rebel Territory at Newmarket last month. Both must enter calculations, along with Rainbow Fire, who was successful at Haydock two weeks ago. The vote, though, goes to BARADAR. His third-placed effort in the Lincoln can be upgraded, having seemingly been drawn on the wrong side of the track, so he could be a winner in waiting from an unchanged mark. Others to note include River Nymph, Fresh, and Spycatcher.
The George Boughey stable looks to hold a strong hand courtesy of BARADAR and Totally Charming, with the former taken to build on his good reappearance third in the Lincoln now returned to what is probably his optimum trip. River Nymph and Fresh have produced several good efforts in top-end handicaps here and are likely to be in the shake-up, while Kingdom Come will be a big threat to all if translating his smart AW form to turf.
Preference is for REBEL TERRITORY (nap), who could well have more to offer over this distance. Baradar is feared most.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (10/1 +44%) Natural Force |
10/1(+44%) | (3) Natural Force 10/1, Foaled February 8. 60,000 gns foal, 55,000 gns yearling, Land Force colt. Half-brother to 6f winner Blackbird Power and 7f winner Centrefold. Dam unraced half-sister to very smart 6f-7f winner (stayed 9f) Regal Parade. 55,000gns yearling; by Land Force; check the betting. |
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2nd (1) (3.5/1 +13%) Valour And Swagger |
3.5/1(+13%) | (1) Valour And Swagger 3.5/1, Blue Point colt who easily landed 3-runner novice event at Windsor (5.1f, heavy) on debut 26 days ago. Shoulders a penalty but seems sure to progress. Comfortably beat his two rivals at Windsor; concedes weight to some interesting newcomers. |
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3rd (5) (12/1 -9%) Son |
12/1(-9%) | (5) Son 12/1, Foaled January 19. 90,000 gns foal, Too Darn Hot colt. Closely related to smart winner up to 9f Poeta Diletto and half-brother to several winners, including useful 7f/1m winner Wishaah. 90,000gns foal; by Too Darn Hot; stable also runs Western; market helpful. |
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4th (4) (0.62/1 +25%) Ocean Runner |
0.62/1(+25%) | (4) Ocean Runner 0.62/1, Foaled March 30. 110,000 gns foal, 625,000 gns 2-y-o, Blue Point colt. Half-brother to 2-y-o 7f winner Ludo's Landing. Dam 2-y-o 6f winner. Highly respected on debut given connections. 625,000gns 2yo; by Blue Point; yard has a good record in this race; strongly respected. |
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5th (7) (9/1 +0%) Western |
9/1(+0%) | (7) Western 9/1, Foaled February 15. €100,000 yearling, Magna Grecia colt. Dam unraced, half-sister to very smart 7f-9f winner Haatheq out of useful 2-y-o 6f winner Alshadiyah. One of 2 runners for Richard Hannon. 100,000gns yearling; by Magna Grecia and from useful family; major yard; likely type. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
It is difficult to predict which horse will do well with this information alone. However, based on the information provided, some horses that might perform well in the race are 4/1 (1) VALOUR AND SWAGGER, the Blue Point colt that won on debut and is expected to progress, 0.83/1 (4) OCEAN RUNNER, who has a strong record and is highly respected on debut, and 11/1 (5) SON, who is closely related to a smart winner. Therefore, our prediction for the 1st, 2nd and 3rd place would be 0.83/1 (4) OCEAN RUNNER, 4/1 (1) VALOUR AND SWAGGER, and 11/1 (5) SON, respectively.
Valour And Swagger struck by over six lengths at Windsor on his debut over this trip and that was a very likeable performance, but he now carries a 6lb penalty, which is negated by his rider's 3lb claim. With that in mind, the vote goes to OCEAN RUNNER. The son of Blue Point was a 625,000gns purchase and represents the stable who won this race with subsequent Gimcrack winner Noble Style last year. With plenty of speed in his pedigree, he is likely to go very close. Any market support for Golden Arrow should be noted.
Charlie Appleby landed this contest with a promising type 12 months ago and OCEAN RUNNER could be the latest one off the conveyor belt to strut his stuff. His sales price rose markedly at the Breeze Ups so he looks most interesting of the newcomers before market clues. Golden Arrow represents a yard going well with its 2-y-os and must be respected, while Western is another likely type on paper.
Several of the newcomers are interesting, most notably OCEAN RUNNER. Second choice is Golden Arrow.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (6.5/1 -63%) Maasai Mara |
6.5/1(-63%) | (3) Maasai Mara 6.5/1, Reacted well to first-time blinkers when scoring at Kempton in March and wasn't disgraced behind an improver at the same course last time. Can go well again provided he proves as effective on this much softer surface. Unraced on softer than good but this year's AW achievements demand some respect. |
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2nd (4) (1.5/1 +33%) Westerton |
1.5/1(+33%) | (4) Westerton 1.5/1, Best effort as a 2-y-o when runner-up in a Nottingham maiden (8.3f) in October and, (gelded) chased home a potentially smart one on return/handicap debut at Doncaster (10.2f) 15 days ago. Fancied to play a part from 1 lb higher mark with likelihood of more to come. 1m2f handicap at Doncaster on reappearance produced his second 2nd on soft ground. |
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3rd (5) (40/1 -264%) Mlle Chanel |
40/1(-264%) | (5) Mlle Chanel 40/1, Did well to overcome the run of the race to make a winning debut at Chester (7f) last summer. Similar form when midfield at listed level final start and whilst below her best on return at Newmarket (1m) in April, she's bred to better over this sort of trip. Handicap debut. Lacks solid form credentials; stamina in family to make 1m2f interesting on handicap debut. |
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4th (6) (3.5/1 +36%) Dasho Lennie |
3.5/1(+36%) | (6) Dasho Lennie 3.5/1, Form of his debut run at Sandown last summer worked out well and he improved to make a winning return at Lingfield (10f, AW) in March. Similar form under a penalty (went off hard) when runner-up in a Yarmouth novice 4 weeks ago and handicaps more suitable now. Ran well at 1m2f on soft last time; looks a serious contender on this handicap debut. |
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5th (2) (18/1 +10%) Chillhi |
18/1(+10%) | (2) Chillhi 18/1, Successful twice from 6 starts at 2 yrs (both on AW) but didn't look quite so effective with give underfoot, well held in listed event at Pontefract (1m) in October. Again never figured back from 6 months off at Musselburgh in April and he goes up in trip now. Perhaps needed the run five weeks ago but he also needs to prove his stamina over new trip. |
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6th (1) (3/1 +14%) Shahbaz |
3/1(+14%) | (1) Shahbaz 3/1, Steadily progressive as a juvenile, showing improved form (in first-time cheekpieces) when off the mark in 9-runner Newmarket nursery (9f, soft) in October. Plenty of encouragement to glean from his reappearance third at that venue (10f) 24 days ago and he's one to be interested in. Acts on soft; good third of nine at Newmarket (1m2f, good to soft) on reappearance. |
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7th (7) (12/1 -50%) King's Code |
12/1(-50%) | (7) King's Code 12/1, Saxon Warrior half-brother to useful 1¼m-1½m winner Ply and 1½m-2m winner Polish. Definite promise on 2 of his 3 starts in novice company at 2 yrs, doing good late work without being unduly punished when third at Goodwood (9f) final start. Better to come now handicapping as a 3-y-o. Looks sure to be suited by 1m2f+ and brings potential to this handicap/seasonal debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are most likely to finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd are 8/1 (7) KING'S CODE, 5/1 (6) DASHO LENNIE, and 3.5/1 (1) SHAHBAZ. 8/1 (7) KING'S CODE has shown promise in his novice company races and is better suited now to handicapping as a 3-year-old. 5/1 (6) DASHO LENNIE has had impressive performances on soft ground and has shown improvement over time, making him a serious contender. 3.5/1 (1) SHAHBAZ has also shown steady improvement as a juvenile and has had a good third-place finish on his reappearance, indicating that he could perform well in this handicap race.
MAASAI MARA was beaten four lengths into second on his handicap bow last time at Kempton over 1m4f, and that form is already working out well with the fourth coming out and winning since. John and Thady Gosden's gelding returns to turf off the same mark and is fancied to produce a strong account. The main threat looks to be Shahbaz, who ran a creditable third at Newmarket last month and could have a say, as his rating remains unchanged for that display. Dasho Lennie is also considered on his first start in a handicap.
Having been gelded over the winter, WESTERTON matched the pick of his form as a juvenile when runner-up to a potentially smart sort on return/handicap debut at Doncaster 2 weeks ago (nicely clear of remainder). He gets the nod to come out on top from a 1 lb higher mark, with Shahbaz, who also shaped encouragingly on his return feared most. King's Code and Maasai Mara complete the shortlist.
Shahbaz and Westerton have handicap form on soft but handicap debutants KING'S CODE and Dasho Lennie bring potential.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (11/1 -10%) Double March |
11/1(-10%) | (7) Double March 11/1, Off the mark at Southwell last October and made a reasonable reappearance when fourth in a handicap there. Should get the longer trip but others have more scope for progress. AW fourth on handicap/seasonal debut (1m) gives hope for 1m2f if she goes on the ground. |
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2nd (8) (3.33/1 +45%) Dubai Crystal |
3.33/1(+45%) | (8) Dubai Crystal 3.33/1, Bred to be smart and left previous efforts well behind when making all in good style at Redcar in April. Handicapper hasn't been lenient but there's probably more to come. 10-1, won six-runner novice at Redcar (1m2f, soft) last month, comfortably making all. |
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3rd (4) (4.5/1 +0%) Chips And Rice |
4.5/1(+0%) | (4) Chips And Rice 4.5/1, First run since leaving Chris Wall and 2/1, career best when winning 8-runner handicap at Lingfield (10f, AW) 25 days ago. Likely to do better for this yard and makes plenty of appeal. Touched off last October (1m2f, soft); narrowly justified favouritism on return (1m2f, AW). |
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4th (5) (12/1 +0%) D Day Odette |
12/1(+0%) | (5) D Day Odette 12/1, Scored at Lingfield in January but found good run of form coming to a halt there last time. Needs to bounce back and mark requires improvement. Return to this trip should help. AW form dipped last time; had turf form last year but unraced on softer than good. |
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5th (3) (12/1 -118%) Lady Eros |
12/1(-118%) | (3) Lady Eros 12/1, Wolverhampton novice who has hit the frame on both subsequent outings, improving when second in a handicap at Lingfield 175 days ago. More to come up in trip, and deserves respect. Final 2022 start (1m, AW) is her best form; unexposed, including with the trip and ground. |
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6th (1) (6.5/1 +46%) Croachill |
6.5/1(+46%) | (1) Croachill 6.5/1, Winner at Doncaster (3-runner race over this trip) almost a year ago and generally held form since. Type to make a better 4yo and well worth monitoring in the betting on return. Creditable third at York; ran poorly at Pontefract (good; unraced on softer) in September. |
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7th (2) (11/1 +8%) Wynter Wildes |
11/1(+8%) | (2) Wynter Wildes 11/1, Fairly useful sort who is on a fair mark and should come on for his return when fourth at Chelmsford. A good pace would be ideal and she's not one to dismiss. Consistent in handicaps last year and again ran creditably on reappearance one month ago. |
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8th (6) (2.25/1 +18%) Peace Of Mine |
2.25/1(+18%) | (6) Peace Of Mine 2.25/1, Lightly-raced 3yo who doubled her tally in a 6-runner handicap at Nottingham 38 days ago. Could have more to come. Made all at Nottingham (1m2f, soft); up 7lb but progress is possible for lightly raced 3yo. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st: 4.5/1 (4) CHIPS AND RICE 2nd: 6/1 (3) LADY EROS 3rd: 5/1 (8) DUBAI CRYSTAL
A taking winner on her first go at this trip at Nottingham, PEACE OF MINE should be open to plenty more improvement on just her fifth career outing. A 7lb rise for that success looks manageable and she can see off the likes of Lingfield scorer Chips And Rice, as well as Lady Eros, who has the potential to progress for stepping up in trip. Dubai Crystal and Silver Nightfall are others capable of being in the mix.
CHIPS AND RICE finished to good effect as she made a winning debut for James Fanshawe and, with more to come, she's marginally preferred to Peace of Mine, who arrives on the back of a successful handicap debut at Nottingham. Lady Eros also merits consideration.
Top of the list are DUBAI CRYSTAL and Peace Of Mine, whose 1m2f wins last time out were on soft ground and they scored comfortably.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (2.25/1 +36%) Coco Bear |
2.25/1(+36%) | (8) Coco Bear 2.25/1, Really upped his game this term, winning back-to-back heavy ground handicaps at this trip, most recently at Leicester 14 days ago. 3 lb rise fair and ought to have conditions to suit again. Better than ever when winning at Leicester (soft) two weeks ago; up just 3lb; key player. |
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2nd (9) (6.5/1 +13%) Sergeant Tibbs |
6.5/1(+13%) | (9) Sergeant Tibbs 6.5/1, Down in the weights and shaped as though retaining his ability starting out for a new yard at Windsor last month. Below that level at Goodwood since, though, and others more appealing. 1-15; well backed when fifth last week; dangerous if everything clicks but carries risks. |
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3rd (2) (4/1 +38%) Mister Bluebird |
4/1(+38%) | (2) Mister Bluebird 4/1, Won this event 12 months ago (off 8 lb lower) and went on to score over a longer trip at Musselburgh the following month. Ran right up to best when second of 12 in handicap at same course (7.2f, soft) on recent return and is one for the shortlist. Won this race last year and shaped nicely at Musselburgh on reappearance; should go well. |
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4th (4) (4/1 +0%) Cooperation |
4/1(+0%) | (4) Cooperation 4/1, Built on eye-catching return when resuming winning ways in 13-runner handicap at Thirsk (6f, heavy) 7 days ago. 4 lb rise fair and should go well again. Delivered late to score at Thirsk last Saturday; conditions will again be ideal. |
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5th (3) (6/1 +40%) La Maquina |
6/1(+40%) | (3) La Maquina 6/1, Campaigned over longer trips last year, culminating with respectable fifth of 12 in handicap (12/1) at Kempton (8f) in November. Fairly treated on return for new yard but questions to answer back sprinting. Well handicapped if revived by new yard but unproven in the mud and 6f looks bare minimum. |
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6th (7) (18/1 -50%) Strong Power |
18/1(-50%) | (7) Strong Power 18/1, Enjoyed an excellent 2022 when garnering 4 wins but yet to register a victory this term and his only success on turf came back in 2019. Fifth over 5f here ten days ago; could have a say if handling the forecast soft ground. |
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7th (10) (25/1 -79%) Libertus |
25/1(-79%) | (10) Libertus 25/1, Won 1 of his 6 starts last term and shaped as if better for the run when ninth on Lingfield return 17 days ago. Unproven in testing conditions, though. Low-mileage 4yo; unproven in the mud but impossible to rule out. |
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8th (5) (14/1 -40%) Spirited Guest |
14/1(-40%) | (5) Spirited Guest 14/1, Course winner who built on solid return effort when taking 6-runner handicap at Chelmsford City (7f) 16 days ago. This is tougher but can't be discounted. Ended long losing run at Chelmsford; still well treated on old form; 1-1 on soft ground. |
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9th (6) (40/1 -21%) Jack's Point |
40/1(-21%) | (6) Jack's Point 40/1, Won 1 of his 5 starts in 2022 but yet to show much in a couple of outings for new connections this year. Useful in his prime but well held since joining Robert Cowell and unproven on soft/heavy. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are predicted to do well and might finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd positions are: 1. 3.5/1 (8) COCO BEAR - The horse has been performing well this season and has won back-to-back heavy ground handicaps at this trip. The 3lb rise in weight is fair, and he is expected to have conditions to suit again. 2. 6.5/1 (2) MISTER BLUEBIRD - The horse won this event last year and finished second in a recent return at Musselburgh. He is one for the shortlist, and his experience in this race might come in handy. 3. 4/1 (4) COOPERATION - The horse delivered late to score at Thirsk last Saturday and built on an eye-catching return when resuming winning ways in a 13-runner handicap at Thirsk. The 4lb rise in weight is fair, and he should go well again. These predictions are based on the information available in the summary. However, horse racing is an unpredictable sport
COCO BEAR has been in a rich vein form to begin this season and conditions look to be in his favour once more as he aims to land the hat-trick. A career-high mark of 76 will make life tougher, but he is narrowly preferred to last year's winner Mister Bluebird, and Cooperation, who was a comfortable winner at Thirsk last week. Course regular Spirited Guest and Strong Power are also on the shortlist.
Plenty with claims here, including COOPERATION, who bagged a Thirsk handicap on similar ground last week and remains feasibly treated on old form. Coco Bear arrives in the form of his life and is feared most, whilst last year's winner Mister Bluebird must also enter calculations.
The verdict goes to last year's winner MISTER BLUEBIRD who shaped well on his reappearance and can go one better under Billy Loughnane.
Ths is the racecard key.
Icon | Meaning |
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TomForm top stats, gold rated | |
TomForm top stats silver rated | |
Ran similar race before | |
S | TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out |
T | Top Time speeed rated |
Top Racingpost rated | |
At the races watchout for | |
At the races top pick | |
Top rated for thet statistic |
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
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