There were 24 Races on Thursday 21st December 2023 across 3 meetings. There was 7 races at Exeter, 8 races at Southwell, 9 races at Chelmsford-City, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
Races & Results Thursday 21st December 2023
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
(3) Valadon 1/3, Supported and shaped well behind promising one who was making it 2-2 over hurdles in C&D event last month, not knocked about. Sure to improve and should take the beating. Form of his second here is some way superior to what his two rivals have achieved.
2
2nd (2) (3/1 -33%) Push To Pass
3
3/1(-33%)
(2) Push To Pass 3/1, From the family of smart hurdler/useful chaser Better Times Ahead. No match for very promising winner in similar event at Kempton 3 weeks ago but should benefit from that and is capable of better. Disappointed on Kempton debut but he was noticeably short in the betting at 2-1.
1
3rd (1) (14/1 +58%) Catboy
14
14/1(+58%)
(1) Catboy 14/1, Hinted at ability here on his only start in bumpers and shaped as if in need of the experience sent hurdling at Taunton last week. Beaten about 17l in a bumper here (33-1) and then 24l in a 3yo hurdle at Taunton (66-1).
LTO Selection:
12:55 Exeter Conditions Hurdle (Class 4) 17f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
It is very hard to oppose VALADON after he showed plenty of promise when filling second place on his racecourse debut over C&D a month ago. Harry Fry's gelding should only improve for that experience and is likely to prove a class above his rivals here. Push To Pass was well held on his first outing at Kempton but still edges out Catboy to be the main danger.
VALADON made a bright start over C&D last month and should have the beating of Push To Pass and Catboy with improvement on the way.
The most likely winner has to be VALADON after his encouraging debut here when beating all bar a previous winner.
(2) Shuil Ceoil 13/2, Shaped better than previously when third of 14 in maiden hurdle at Bangor (19.5f, soft) in March. That form is working out well but he didn't get the chance to show what he could do on handicap debut, unseating at the fifth. Remains capable of better. Only 11-4 for his handicap debut at Bangor and yet departed early; interesting.
3
2nd (3) (11/2 +21%) No Rematch
5.5
11/2(+21%)
(3) No Rematch 11/2, Easily best run since winning a Leicester claiming hurdle in February when second of 9 in 20.5f Plumpton handicap last month. Claims if he can build on that. Dangerously handicapped and returned to form with a near miss at Plumpton.
5
3rd (5) (6/1 +33%) Townhill
6
6/1(+33%)
(5) Townhill 6/1, Point winner. Benefited from the step up in trip when fourth of 187 on 23f Uttoxeter handicap debut in May. This unexposed 5-y-o could have more to offer back from a break. Ridden on all starts by Ben Sutton. Drops in trip (a concern) but on a stiffer track and with softer ground; considered.
18
4th (18) (11/4 +50%) Sindabella
2.75
11/4(+50%)
(18) Sindabella 11/4, Snapped a losing run in 13-runner course handicap (18.5f) on last week's return from a 6-month break. Needs to show she can back that up turned out again quickly. Under a 7lb claimer she's effectively off the same mark as for last week's course win.
7
5th (7) (12/1 +14%) Inchester D'amsyl
12
12/1(+14%)
(7) Inchester D'amsyl 12/1, Showed a bit on first 2 starts over hurdles, finishing second at Huntingdon latterly. Disappointed in a couple of handicap hurdles earlier in the year but still early days and worth monitoring in the betting on return from 5 months off. Made a bad mistake in latest handicap; only 5-1 that day and may yet do better.
17
6th (17) (7/2 +56%) Ginderella
3.5
7/2(+56%)
(17) Ginderella 7/2, In the frame on 3 of her 4 handicap starts, finishing second over 3m at Wincanton 9 days ago. Fourth over this C&D prior to that. Attracted support when runner-up to a 50-1 winner at Wincanton (3m).
4
7th (4) (40/1 -400%) Unblinking
40
40/1(-400%)
(4) Unblinking 40/1, Opened chase account at the fourth attempt in a weak race at Hereford (25f, good) in February. Well held next 2 starts but posted solid runner-up efforts both starts in May and could be a player if fully tuned up on his return here. No margin for error off this mark and dropping in trip could also find him out.
12
8th (12) (33/1 -175%) M' Lady May
33
33/1(-175%)
(12) M' Lady May 33/1, Fourth on Hereford handicap hurdle debut in January 2020. Not seen under Rules since but she did win a couple of points this spring. One to keep an eye on in the betting on hurdle return. Signs of ability on a previous spell with this yard; won two points earlier this year.
14
9th (14) (28/1 +58%) Mr Sociable
28
28/1(+58%)
(14) Mr Sociable 28/1, Well held in 3 outings back from a long absence last winter and returns from another 10 months off with lots to prove. Well held in three handicaps (2m-2m5f) since returning from an absence.
9
10th (9) (20/1 -67%) Maroochi
20
20/1(-67%)
(9) Maroochi 20/1, Deservedly shed maiden tag when dead heating at Newton Abbot (21.5f) last summer and back in form on last 3 starts. Place claims here. Just 1-23 but not in bad form and 2m4f around Plumpton last time was on the sharp side.
11
11th (11) (12/1 +64%) Arthalot
12
12/1(+64%)
(11) Arthalot 12/1, Fair on the Flat but has yet to make a significant impact over hurdles. Well held back over timber here last month and unseated early back at this venue since. Maiden hurdler; 20-1 when unseating early in a C&D handicap last month.
6
|PU| (6) (25/1 +0%) Midnight Glance
25
25/1(+0%)
(6) Midnight Glance 25/1, Opened account over fences in 3m handicap here last November but has gone the wrong way since, including back hurdling in the summer. Pulled up over fences at Taunton last month. Needs a return to Exeter to spark a revival. Capable on his day but looks stuck in a rut right now in both disciplines.
8
|PU| (8) (28/1 -40%) Unspeakable
28
28/1(-40%)
(8) Unspeakable 28/1, Much improved to win 3m Taunton handicap hurdle in March but nowhere near that level in his 3 outings since, pulling up on chase debut latest. Not in the best form and his sole success earlier this year came on good ground.
1
|PU| (1) (50/1 -150%) Forrard Away
50
50/1(-150%)
(1) Forrard Away 50/1, Three-time winner in Ireland but below par in 3 outings for current yard. More needed back hurdling. Capable in Ireland but has yet to show same level of form in three starts for current yard.
10
|PU| (10) (80/1 -142%) Nathan Walker
80
80/1(-142%)
(10) Nathan Walker 80/1, Poor form, including well held on 19f Taunton handicap debut last month. Others preferred. A maiden who didn't look the easiest of rides when tailed off on handicap debut at Taunton.
LTO Selection:
13:25 Exeter Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 22f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
SINDABELLA had plenty in hand when winning over an extended 2m2f here last week and Nigel Hawke's mare could be hard to stop once again, despite carrying a 7lb penalty. No Rematch was only narrowly denied at Plumpton a month ago and he could prove to the main threat to the selection, although Unblinking should not be written off.
SHUIL CEOIL was prominent in the betting when unseating before halfway on his recent handicap hurdle debut and is given another chance to show he can take a step forward. Dan Skelton's I Look How I Look is another who could have more to offer in handicaps and also makes the shortlist along with Townhill and last month's Plumpton runner-up No Rematch.
The suggestion is SHUIL CEOIL, a lightly raced 5yo with some scope about him. He departed early at Ludlow when strong in the betting.
(3) Mayhem Mya 5/4, Fairly useful handicap hurdler who ran a blinder on second run over fences after 7 months off in listed mares' C&D event last month, settling better. Had a couple of these in behind and she's the one to beat on that showing. Second over C&D last month and major claims with a reproduction of that effort.
5
2nd (5) (12/1 +52%) Inspiratrice
12
12/1(+52%)
(5) Inspiratrice 12/1, 200/1-winner of 2m Taunton juvenile hurdle a year ago and didn't shape at all badly on her chasing debut at Worcester before struggling behind Mayhem Mya in listed mares' C&D event last month. She will find easier opportunities. She was behind two of today's rivals in a chase here last month.
1
3rd (1) (5/1 +23%) Blue Beach
5
5/1(+23%)
(1) Blue Beach 5/1, Off the mark over hurdles when landing odds at Huntingdon in February. Advanced her form when second in a well-contested handicap at Newbury next time before not seen to best effect final start. Makes chase debut (from family of very smart chaser I'msingingtheblues). Yard going well again. Bumper/hurdle winner; faces no easy task on these terms now switched to fences.
2
4th (2) (3/1 -20%) Endless Escape
3
3/1(-20%)
(2) Endless Escape 3/1, Ex-pointer who enjoyed a productive campaign over hurdles last season and shaped as if she'd come on for her chase debut/return in listed C&D mares' event last month fitted with tongue tie (Mayhem Mya second). That form is looking decent. 4-5 over hurdles; weakened on chase debut here but that run could well bring her on.
4
5th (4) (5/1 +38%) Midnight Ginger
5
5/1(+38%)
(4) Midnight Ginger 5/1, Likeable and consistent type over hurdles, returning with a good second in 19.4f Chepstow handicap last month. This is a tough enough and belated introduction to chasing but no surprise if she went well. Useful hurdler; lacks chasing experience but could go well if taking to it.
LTO Selection:
13:55 Exeter Novices Chase (Class 3) 18f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
MAYHEM MYA outran odds of 33/1 to fill second place in a Listed event over C&D last month and the daughter of Authorized can go one better if reproducing that level of form here. Endless Escape was well held in the same contest but she could bounce back with the benefit of that outing and is a player based on her hurdles form. Others to consider are Midnight Ginger and Blue Beach.
MAYHEM MYA holds Endless Escape and Inspiratrice on the form of last month's listed C&D mares' chase that is looking good and she can come out on top. Blue Beach might have lots more to offer over fences and isn't dismissed.
Ben Clarke's ENDLESS ESCAPE ran better than the margins suggest when behind Mayhem Mya here last month.
(5) Issam 3/1, Successful twice over hurdles in France and off the mark for current connections over C&D in March. Shaped much better than bare result when third on Sandown return (19.8f, soft) last month and holds solid claims with that run under his belt. C&D winner and made a pleasing return behind a progressive horse at Sandown.
3
2nd (3) (Evens +43%) Joker De Mai
0
Evens(+43%)
(3) Joker De Mai Evens, Useful chaser in France, winning final 2 starts on that side of the Channel during the spring. Built on his first run for the yard when justifying support in style in 11-runner handicap at Lingfield (19.5f) 10 days ago and makes plenty of appeal under a penalty. 3lb well-in under a penalty after bolting up on last week's handicap debut.
1
3rd (1) (16/1 -14%) Quinta Do Mar
16
16/1(-14%)
(1) Quinta Do Mar 16/1, 4-time winner over hurdles who opened his chase account at Fontwell in February. Not quite in same form when fourth at Sandown on final outing but has gone well fresh before, so worth a close look now returning to hurdles after 7 months off. Had a wind op; returns on a tough mark and would prefer good ground.
4
4th (4) (17/2 -143%) Imperial Bede
8.5
17/2(-143%)
(4) Imperial Bede 17/2, French bumper winner who struck in a Huntingdon maiden hurdle in January. Struggled in the Dovecote/valuable Sandown Novices' Final Handicap after but got back on track after 7 months off when third in 7-runner handicap back at Huntingdon 37 days ago. Step up in trip worth exploring. Open to further improvement and especially now raised in trip.
6
5th (6) (14/1 -56%) Hasty Parisian
14
14/1(-56%)
(6) Hasty Parisian 14/1, Consistent sort who was in the process of running his usual creditable race back from 4 months off when departing 2 out at Newton Abbot (21.6f, heavy) 61 days ago. 1 lb out of the handicap. Running well when falling last time; only 1-18 but he's consistent.
2
|PU| (2) (6/1 -20%) Molly Ollys Wishes
6
6/1(-20%)
(2) Molly Ollys Wishes 6/1, Possibly not the force of old but has fallen to a good mark and beat all bar a progressive one to whom she conceded 17 lb at Wetherby (19.7f, heavy) 33 days ago. Obvious player from only 1 lb higher. Well handicapped and ran well at Wetherby; won't mind getting away from heavy ground.
LTO Selection:
14:25 Exeter Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 18f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
The progressive JOKER DE MAI had plenty in hand when winning at Lingfield 10 days ago and is difficult to oppose, despite the imposition of a 7lb penalty. Molly Ollys Wishes is on a workable mark and is the biggest threat to the selection, while Imperial Bede and Issam have scope to improve and Quinta Do Mar could also go well.
JOKER DE MAI justified support in the style of one well ahead of his mark at Lingfield last week, so he's hard to oppose under a penalty. C&D winner Issam shaped better than the distance beaten suggests on his return at Sandown and is feared most ahead of Imperial Bede, who gives the impression this longer trip ought to suit.
Joker De Mai could prove very difficult to beat but MOLLY OLLYS WISHES is entitled to give him a race now she's back in good form.
(2) Caldwell 6/1, 9/1, first run since leaving Lucinda Russell (2,000 gns) when tenth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 29 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Has been on the downgrade for some time and no improvement for the switch to this stable.
10
2nd (10) (9/4 +50%) Easy Equation
2.25
9/4(+50%)
(10) Easy Equation 9/4, C&D winner. Wasted no time getting back to form when third of 7 in handicap at this C&D (12/1) in October. First run for yard after leaving J. S. Moore. Has to be taken seriously. Record over C&D is 141533; major player if ready to go on stable debut after 72 days off.
6
3rd (6) (4/1 +33%) Cold Henry
4
4/1(+33%)
(6) Cold Henry 4/1, 2/1, respectable fourth of 11 in handicap at Catterick (15.9f, heavy) 51 days ago, plugging on inside final 1f. Can make presence felt. Run consistently well this year including when beaten a head here in June; could go well.
7
4th (7) (16/1 -14%) Natacata
16
16/1(-14%)
(7) Natacata 16/1, 14/1, failed to build on previous promise when ninth of 12 in handicap at this course (14.1f) 9 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Well beaten here (1m6f) nine days ago and now 0-12; needs to bounce back.
5
5th (5) (18/1 -260%) Mass Consumption
18
18/1(-260%)
(5) Mass Consumption 18/1, 4/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, seventh of 10 in maiden at this course (11.1f) 84 days ago. Significantly back up in trip returned to a handicap (had a wind op). 0-7 over 1m-2m with his best efforts so far on turf; has undergone wind surgery.
9
6th (9) (80/1 -300%) Typewritten
80
80/1(-300%)
(9) Typewritten 80/1, Unreliable sort. Course winner. 50/1, last of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (14f) 17 days ago, weakening quickly. Not one to be interested in at present. Dual course winner (1m4f), but lightly raced since the spring and has shown little.
8
7th (8) (22/1 -10%) Billy Bathgate
22
22/1(-10%)
(8) Billy Bathgate 22/1, Winner at Ayr in June. Ran poorly after 3 months off when last of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 12/1) 29 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Others more persuasive. 1-28 and modest since gaining his sole win in June.
3
8th (3) (17/2 -70%) Bobby Shaftoe
8.5
17/2(-70%)
(3) Bobby Shaftoe 17/2, 4 wins from 15 runs this year, latest at Newcastle in November. 9/2, rare poor effort when tenth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f) 13 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Four wins at Newcastle this year; capable if getting a good pace to aim at.
11
9th (11) (10/3 +45%) Prince Abu
3.333333
10/3(+45%)
(11) Prince Abu 10/3, C&D winner. Sixteen runs since last win in 2022. Shaped as if still in good form when fifth of 10 in handicap (5/2) at Wolverhampton (16.6f) 5 days ago, very slowly away. Merits consideration. Three wins here and has been shaping as though ready to strike; no luck last time.
4
10th (4) (22/1 -561%) Gift Of Raaj
22
22/1(-561%)
(4) Gift Of Raaj 22/1, 28/1, returned to form from out of the blue to take advantage of a reduced mark when won 8-runner handicap at Newcastle (16.2f) 7 weeks ago, edging ahead dying strides. Nudged up just 2 lb and could figure again. 2lb higher than when winning at Newcastle last time but still well handicapped on old form.
12
11th (12) (80/1 -220%) Queenmambo
80
80/1(-220%)
(12) Queenmambo 80/1, Remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs. Wasn't seen to best effect when sixth of 9 in handicap (25/1) at Wolverhampton (14f) 45 days ago, short of room 2f out. Has run well here before, but now 0-16 and yet to tackle this far.
1
|PU| (1) (100/1 -203%) Chilled Out
100
100/1(-203%)
(1) Chilled Out 100/1, 200/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, first run since leaving J. P. Broderick (£6,000) when last of 14 in handicap at Kempton (16f) 31 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Twice placed on turf in Ireland in the summer of 2022, but nothing since.
LTO Selection:
14:38 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Gift Of Raaj was a shock winner in this grade at Newcastle on his latest outing and he is likely to be in contention once again off a 2lb higher mark. However, EASY EQUATION gets the vote after he produced a pleasing effort when third over C&D in October and he has since switched to the Charlie Fellowes yard. The five-year-old gelding remains on the same mark and could be the one to beat. Cold Henry is another to consider on his return to the all-weather.
An open-looking curtain-raiser in which preference is for EASY EQUATION, who makes his first start for Charlie Fellowes and has held his form well since scoring over C&D earlier in the year. He can get the better of Prince Abu, who shaped as if still in good form but wasn't seen to best effect at Wolverhampton on Saturday, with Cold Henry and Gift of Raaj also fancied to feature.
The choice is EASY EQUATION who is taken to make a successful debut for Charlie Fellowes. His record over C&D reads 141533.
(7) Top Of The Bill 6/1, Fairly useful hurdler who stepped up on his chasing debut when third in a C&D handicap last time. Jumping needs to improve but he's on a feasible mark. Second chase start when third in a deep handicap for novices here last month.
6
2nd (6) (7/1 +0%) Run To Milan
7
7/1(+0%)
(6) Run To Milan 7/1, All 3 career victories have come at this venue, the latest over C&D in February of last year. Winless last term but confirmed he retains plenty of ability back from 7 months off when fourth in a C&D handicap 25 days ago. Assessor has relented a little more. Has only ever won here and ran well last time, but does look vulnerable to younger legs.
8
3rd (8) (5/1 +50%) Jubilee Express
5
5/1(+50%)
(8) Jubilee Express 5/1, Made a winning hurdling bow in Hereford novice in March last year and improved on next two starts. Lacklustre start to chasing at Ludlow on return but back up in trip with cheekpieces fitted, so could step forward. Fair mark on hurdling best but made mistakes when never dangerous on chase debut.
4
4th (4) (13/8 +35%) Enjoy Your Life
1.625
13/8(+35%)
(4) Enjoy Your Life 13/8, Fairly useful ex-French winning hurdler/chaser who has made a positive start to the season, scoring cosily over C&D last time. More to come and looks a likely candidate for the follow-up. Recent C&D winner; won that with a nice bit in hand and a 7lb rise looks manageable.
9
5th (9) (10/1 -67%) In Rem
10
10/1(-67%)
(9) In Rem 10/1, C&D winner. Six wins from 17 NH runs. Underlined that he retains ability when second at Chepstow on reappearance 51 days ago and handicapper has eased off a bit more since. Won a C&D handicap on heavy ground last New Year's Day off only 1lb lower; thorough stayer.
5
|PU| (5) (9/2 +31%) Mumbo Jumbo
4.5
9/2(+31%)
(5) Mumbo Jumbo 9/2, Yet to win a race of any description but firmly back on track when third over C&D to Enjoy Your Life last time. Might not be able to turn the tables, though. Behind Enjoy Your Life here last time but a 7lb pull can make it interesting.
3
|PU| (3) (20/1 -233%) Arizona Cardinal
20
20/1(-233%)
(3) Arizona Cardinal 20/1, Dual winner over fences last season but his reappearance at Warwick was pretty tame, leaving him with a bit to prove. Excuses on return and since had wind op; possibly more to offer off this sort of mark.
1
|PU| (1) (66/1 -560%) Sidi Ismael
66
66/1(-560%)
(1) Sidi Ismael 66/1, Hurdles/chase winner who ended last season with a brace of placed efforts in long distance chases at Taunton/Ffos Las. Underwhelming reappearance at Haydock and unseated at Aintree since. Interesting on last season's career-best form and assured stamina should come in handy.
LTO Selection:
14:55 Exeter Handicap Chase (Class 3) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
ENJOY YOUR LIFE was a comfortable winner over C&D last month and a 7lb higher mark might not prevent him from registering back-to-back successes. Still open to improvement over fences, the Venetia Williams-trained gelding could be too hot to handle in this company. Mumbo Jumbo was third behind the selection on that occasion and can get closer on these revised terms, while In Rem is also dangerous to rule out.
ENJOY YOUR LIFE had a couple of these rivals in behind when scoring over C&D last time and he's well worth a chance to follow up. Mumbo Jumbo, who was back in third, should be on the premises again and Jubilee Express could leave the form of his chasing debut behind with cheekpieces fitted.
An open handicap can go to TOP OF THE BILL (nap) who made the frame in a competitive handicap for novices here last month.
(3) Blue Prince 10/3, Winner at York in July. 7/2, eighth of 10 in nursery at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 30 days ago, never involved having appeared to get upset in the stalls. Certainly not one to write off. Promising debut for this yard last month and had excuses last time; could bounce back.
5
2nd (5) (15/2 -114%) Flag Carrier
7.5
15/2(-114%)
(5) Flag Carrier 15/2, Lightly-raced maiden. 3/1, bit below form fourth of 12 in minor event at Chelmsford City (6f) 42 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Blinkers back on for handicap bow. Has run well in all three starts over 6f/7f on AW but he may prefer the extra furlong now.
4
3rd (4) (11/1 -38%) Loaded Gun
11
11/1(-38%)
(4) Loaded Gun 11/1, Winner at Chester in July. 10/1, fourth of 7 in nursery at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 28 days ago, weakening inside final 1f. May need further respite from the assessor. Chester novice winner in July and may not have stayed 7f last time; not dismissed.
2
4th (2) (13/2 -95%) Call Glory
6.5
13/2(-95%)
(2) Call Glory 13/2, Latest win at Chelmsford City in September. Respectable third of 8 in nursery (2/1) at this course (5f) 6 days ago. Worth another crack at this longer trip. Dual winner for different yard earlier in year; stays this far and shouldn't be far away.
6
5th (6) (150/1 -650%) Vanity Pays
150
150/1(-650%)
(6) Vanity Pays 150/1, First run since leaving P. Twomey when seventh of 8 in maiden (12/1) at Lingfield (5f, AW) 56 days ago. Back up in trip for handicap debut and cheekpieces now reached for. Second three times when trained in Ireland but below form last two starts; cheekpieces now.
1
6th (1) (13/8 +19%) Tsunami Spirit
1.625
13/8(+19%)
(1) Tsunami Spirit 13/8, Lightly-raced winner. 2/1, very good second of 5 in minor event at Catterick (5f, heavy) 51 days ago, clear of rest. Back up in trip. Makes tapeta debut. Makes handicap debut. Shortlist material. Kempton winner in October; only just beaten at Catterick latest; return to 6f should suit.
8
7th (8) (11/2 +39%) John Steed
5.5
11/2(+39%)
(8) John Steed 11/2, 13/2 and blinkered for 1st time, good fifth of 12 in nursery at Lingfield (7f, AW) 15 days ago, no extra only late on. Should remain competitive with cheekpieces replacing blinkers. In the frame in six of his ten starts but needs to find something extra; cheekpieces on.
7
8th (7) (28/1 -180%) Callianassa
28
28/1(-180%)
(7) Callianassa 28/1, Creditable sixth of 10 in nursery (15/2) at Newcastle (7.1f) 12 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. May be vulnerable to a couple here. Should appreciate the return to 6f but is now 0-9; cheekpieces go on.
LTO Selection:
15:08 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
TSUNAMI SPIRIT was seven lengths clear of the third when a neck second in a novice event at Catterick in October and he now makes his return to the all-weather on his nursery debut. The son of Invincible Spirit won at Kempton a couple of months ago and could defy a opening mark of 85. The main danger is Call Glory, who finished third over 5f here last time and could play a leading role off the same mark, while Flag Carrier warrants a market check on his first start in a nursery.
A comfortable winner at Kempton in October, TSUNAMI SPIRIT lost little caste in defeat behind another promising sort at Catterick later that month and, with the likelihood of more to come now handicapping back on AW, he's very much of interest again. Blue Prince's latest run is best excused and a better showing is anticipated. Call Glory is also expected to be in the mix.
This can go to nursery newcomer TSUNAMI SPIRIT who should be suited by the return to 6f after only just missing out over 5f last time.
(1) Alcedo 2/1, Disappointed on Chepstow hurdles bow in October but was a useful bumper winner and could yet make the grade in this discipline. Tailed off on hurdling debut but capable of much better judged on bumper exploits.
9
2nd (9) (5/2 -81%) Navajo Indy
2.5
5/2(-81%)
(9) Navajo Indy 5/2, Off the mark at third time of asking when landing 13-runner bumper at Newbury (16.3f, soft) 42 days ago. Testing conditions should prove no issue and he looks a big player on switch to hurdles. Overcame trouble in running to win a Newbury bumper on good to soft last month.
6
3rd (6) (11/2 -100%) Juventus De Brion
5.5
11/2(-100%)
(6) Juventus De Brion 11/2, £64,000 3-y-o, Creachadoir gelding. Half-brother to 13f bumper winner in France Effix de Brion. Makes plenty of appeal on paper. £64,000 3yo; fifth foal; half-brother to French 1m5f AQPS Flat winner Effix De Brion.
3
4th (3) (7/2 +13%) Davidoc
3.5
7/2(+13%)
(3) Davidoc 7/2, £60,000 buy after winning at the fourth time of asking in the Irish pointing field in May. Shaped as if better for the run when fourth of 8 in Ffos Las novice hurdle last month and entitled to do better over this longer trip. Irish point winner; only 11-4 for hurdling debut and didn't look at home on heavy ground.
13
5th (13) (14/1 +0%) Totowolfe
14
14/1(+0%)
(13) Totowolfe 14/1, Blue Bresil gelding. Half-brother to a point winner. Dam bumper/fair 2½m hurdle winner. Worth monitoring in market on NH debut. Irish point winner bought for £40,000; should have a future under rules.
15
6th (15) (66/1 -100%) Elusiveness
66
66/1(-100%)
(15) Elusiveness 66/1, Just modest form when tenth of 17 in bumper at Wincanton (15.2f, soft) on NH debut 40 days ago. Switches to hurdles now and is likely to need more time. Cost just 1,000euros as a 3yo but she finished mid-division in a Wincanton bumper.
2
7th (2) (66/1 +34%) Daring Plan
66
66/1(+34%)
(2) Daring Plan 66/1, Maiden Irish pointer, sent off a big price and never involved on hurdles debut at this course last week. Didn't run too badly for a 200-1 chance here last week but was beaten 28l.
10
8th (10) (200/1 -300%) Senor Diaz
200
200/1(-300%)
(10) Senor Diaz 200/1, Ran with credit when third of 6 in a bumper at Southwell on debut in May but sent off big odds and failed to complete on hurdles bow at Taunton last month. Around 20l behind the leaders when coming down mid-race on his hurdling debut at Taunton.
8
9th (8) (28/1 -133%) Mount Ferns
28
28/1(-133%)
(8) Mount Ferns 28/1, Left debut form well behind when second in 9-runner bumper (33/1) at Fontwell (13.7f, good to soft) in April. However, stopped very quickly on hurdle/stable debut at Warwick last month and has a bit to prove now. Second in a bumper; major fader on hurdling debut but should be capable of better.
11
10th (11) (20/1 +20%) Shady B
20
20/1(+20%)
(11) Shady B 20/1, Saint Des Saints gelding. Brother to smart hurdler/very smart chaser Burrows Saint, and half-brother fair hurdler Jersey Lady. Market check advised on debut. Debatable what he acheived in finishing second in two small-field British points.
4
11th (4) (33/1 +34%) Inebranlable
33
33/1(+34%)
(4) Inebranlable 33/1, Runner-up sole start in points and offered more than on debut in this sphere when fourth of 11 in novice at Ffos Las (15.8f, heavy, 150/1) 9 days ago. Will likely be seen in better light when sent handicapping, however. First real sign of promise under rules when 21l away in a maiden hurdle at Ffos Las.
14
12th (14) (250/1 -25%) Basman Palace
250
250/1(-25%)
(14) Basman Palace 250/1, Offered something to work on when fifth in bumper at Newton Abbot in July but rather gone backwards since, including on hurdles debut last month. Never that competitive in his three bumpers and finished tailed off in a Taunton novice.
7
13th (7) (22/1 -144%) Lustleigh
22
22/1(-144%)
(7) Lustleigh 22/1, Failed to progress from his encouraging debut for Dan Skelton in either start a year apart. Clearly had his issues, not seen since October 2021, and market should prove best guide to claims on return for new yard. Had wind operation. Quite promising efforts in these colours for Dan Skelton; returns from a long absence.
5
|PU| (5) (80/1 -400%) Joker Jack
80
80/1(-400%)
(5) Joker Jack 80/1, Showed some ability when fifth of 7 in bumper at Stratford (16.3f, good to soft) on NH debut in July but likely a longer-term prospect. Makes hurdle debut. Nice pedigree and bred to stay well; slowly-run bumper effort didn't reveal much.
16
|PU| (16) (125/1 -150%) Gypsy Hill
125
125/1(-150%)
(16) Gypsy Hill 125/1, Finished down the field in a couple of bumpers last term and can only be watched on hurdles debut here. Blinkers/tongue strap on for first time. Had wind operation. Showed nothing in two Chepstow bumpers, in a hood and then cheekpieces.
12
|PU| (12) (250/1 -67%) Talap
250
250/1(-67%)
(12) Talap 250/1, Fairly-useful Flat winner for David Pipe but showed nothing on debut over timber for new yard at Taunton last week. Six Flat wins for different yards; showed nothing on his switch to hurdling at Taunton.
LTO Selection:
15:25 Exeter Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 17f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Navajo Indy won by just over two lengths in a bumper at Newbury last time and is an interesting contender now switched to hurdles. However, preference is for MOUNT FERNS, who ran a lot better than the result suggests at Warwick over 2m3f last month, as he attempted to make all while setting a very strong pace. With more patient tactics and the drop in trip looking like a positive move, the five-year-old looks the way to go. Any market confidence behind Juventus De Brion on his debut would be of interest.
NAVAJO INDY improved with each start in bumpers and could prove tough to beat if bringing that level of form to hurdling. Davidoc and Alcedo may provide the chief threat.
This isn't a strong race. ALCEDO gets the nod in the hope that he can tap back into the considerable promise he showed in bumpers.
(2) Billyjoh 5/4, Winner at Doncaster in July. 12/1, creditable fourth of 12 in handicap at Chelmsford City (6f) 40 days ago, unlucky not to finish closer when no room final 1f. Still unexposed on AW and very much of interest from this mark. Unlucky not to go even closer when fourth at Chelmsford last time; respected down in grade.
3
2nd (3) (9/1 +36%) Tyke
9
9/1(+36%)
(3) Tyke 9/1, Both career victories gained over C&D, the latest on penultimate start in September. However, needs to shrug off a lesser display when tenth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) back in October. Both wins have come over C&D; return here is a plus but he looks the stable second string.
7
3rd (7) (10/1 +29%) Heartrate
10
10/1(+29%)
(7) Heartrate 10/1, Latest win at Ffos Las in September. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, ninth of 11 in handicap (4/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 49 days ago, weakening inside final 1f. Return to sprinting will suit on that evidence. Third over 6f at Wolverhampton in October but well held over 7f last time; claims.
6
4th (6) (4/1 +20%) Beauty Choice
4
4/1(+20%)
(6) Beauty Choice 4/1, Latest win at Pontefract in October. 17/2, creditable third of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 5 days ago, switched 1f out and running on. Likely to give another good account. In the frame in last two starts at Wolverhampton despite meeting traffic; drawn widest.
1
5th (1) (12/1 -85%) She's Centimental
12
12/1(-85%)
(1) She's Centimental 12/1, C&D winner. Creditable sixth of 10 in handicap at Kempton (6f, 20/1) 8 days ago, pushed along over 2f out and never nearer. Not dismissed out of hand operating 2 lb below last winning mark. C&D winner who wasn't beaten far at Kempton last time; down in class but drawn wide.
9
6th (9) (14/1 -155%) Honour Your Dreams
14
14/1(-155%)
(9) Honour Your Dreams 14/1, 20/1, creditable second of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 17 days ago, ridden final 1f and keeping on. Not out of things. Second in two of three starts back on Tapeta, including last time; player off same mark.
11
7th (11) (25/1 -108%) Captain Vallo
25
25/1(-108%)
(11) Captain Vallo 25/1, C&D winner. 12/1 and blinkered for 1st time, last of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 83 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Something to find on form. C&D winner who has become favourably treated but below form lately.
10
8th (10) (33/1 -175%) Rooska
33
33/1(-175%)
(10) Rooska 33/1, Fair gelding who ran below best back up in trip when sixth of 9 in novice event at Newcastle (1m) 13 days ago. Return to sprinting won't inconvenience him on handicap debut. Seven-race maiden; the return to sprinting needs to work now making his handicap debut.
8
9th (8) (20/1 -25%) Thaki
20
20/1(-25%)
(8) Thaki 20/1, 10/1, not seen to best effect when eighth of 12 in handicap at this C&D 9 days ago, plugging on. However, mark looks about right at present. Five-time AW winner but needs to do better than when eighth of 12 over C&D nine days ago.
5
10th (5) (20/1 -400%) Sassy Belle
20
20/1(-400%)
(5) Sassy Belle 20/1, 5/1, returned to form when landing 9-runner handicap at Leicester (6f) in October, benefiting from a change of tactics in a well-run race. Changed hands for 20,000 gns subsequently and not discounted from 2 lb higher mark. Two wins for Ed Walker; worth monitoring in the market on stable debut after 72 days off.
12
11th (12) (40/1 -233%) Speed Dial Baileys
40
40/1(-233%)
(12) Speed Dial Baileys 40/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in October. Ninth of 10 in handicap back at that venue (5.1f, 9/2) 16 days ago, racing closer to pace than ideal. Hood refitted now stepping back up in trip. Two wins at Wolverhampton this year but last two efforts leave her with something to prove.
4
12th (4) (16/1 -33%) Hougoumont
16
16/1(-33%)
(4) Hougoumont 16/1, Dual 6f winner as a juvenile who shaped better than bare result following a wind op at Pontefract (6f) in August. Clearly not 100% at Carlisle later that month but he returns to action operating from career-low mark and he's 1-1 on AW. One to keep an eye on. Beat just two rivals in last three outings; off four months; needs to get back on track.
LTO Selection:
15:38 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
BILLYJOH was denied a run at the crucial stage when fourth at Chelmsford last month and that effort came in a tougher grade than this. The son of Mayson looks well treated on his current rating and it would be a surprise if he wasn't able to earn a second career victory. Sassy Belle just got up to win at Leicester in October and is an interesting contender on her first outing for the David Evans stable. Of the remainder, Beauty Choice makes the most appeal after his recent third at Wolverhampton.
BILLYJOH very much caught the eye when fourth at Chelmsford 6 weeks ago, poorly drawn and noted keeping on without having room to open up inside the final 1f. He appeals as being on a handy mark and can prove as much here. Honour Your Dreams, Beauty Choice and She's Centimental are a trio of others to consider.
The vote goes to the unexposed 3yo BILLYJOH (nap) who looked unlucky not to go even closer at Chelmsford last time and drops in class.
(10) Time To Bite 10/1, Still without a win and disappointed last 2 starts after a decent return. Proving expensive to follow. Headgear re-fitted. Back from a year off with three fair runs but his record now stands at 0-25.
9
2nd (9) (9/2 +10%) Flash Gorcombe
4.5
9/2(+10%)
(9) Flash Gorcombe 9/2, Back-to-back winner in the spring and all the better for return when good third in a first-time tongue strap at Taunton 3 weeks ago. Player eased 1 lb. Good third at Taunton latest but this trip could be on the outer limits of his stamina.
8
3rd (8) (10/1 -11%) Belgarum
10
10/1(-11%)
(8) Belgarum 10/1, Showed ability over hurdles but well held both starts over fences so far. 0-9 and he's weakened in both his chase runs; needs to raise his game significantly.
12
4th (12) (18/1 -29%) Etincelle Artiste
18
18/1(-29%)
(12) Etincelle Artiste 18/1, Runner-up sole start in points but just poor form under Rules. Work to do from out of the handicap. Third at Worcester in May and that form has worked out; could get involved on return.
6
5th (6) (5/2 +38%) Natty Night
2.5
5/2(+38%)
(6) Natty Night 5/2, Headstrong sort. Dual Flat/maiden hurdle winner who posted best effort yet over fences when second at Hereford (20.9f) in March. Not in same form next 3 starts, though trip too far latest. Off 7 months. Potentially on a good mark now and yard remain in excellent form. 0-5 over fences but has claims on his best form in the spring; in the mix on return.
1
6th (1) (125/1 -279%) Saintemilion
125
125/1(-279%)
(1) Saintemilion 125/1, One-time fairly useful chaser for Paul Nicholls but has shown little for current yard. Had two long layoffs in recent seasons and he's struggled in his three runs this year.
14
7th (14) (20/1 +39%) Sans Of Gold
20
20/1(+39%)
(14) Sans Of Gold 20/1, Poor form at best over hurdles. Hard to make a case for from 8 lb out of the handicap on chase bow. 0-9 over hurdles and he's 8lb out of the weights on this chase debut; can only be watched.
3
|F| (3) (20/1 -186%) Groom De Cotte
20
20/1(-186%)
(3) Groom De Cotte 20/1, Below form over hurdles last 3 starts but potentially on a workable mark now going chasing (half-brother to smart chaser Camelia de Cotte). 0-10 over hurdles and tailed off on his return in October; now makes his chase debut.
2
|U| (2) (9/4 +50%) Divine Inspiration
2.25
9/4(+50%)
(2) Divine Inspiration 9/4, Irish point winner who made a promising start over fences when third at Wetherby (24.2f, soft) and backed that up when third at Plumpton on return. Entitled to come on for that and he's a player. Lightly raced 6yo who was creditable third at Plumpton (2m3f) on recent return; respected.
4
|PU| (4) (9/1 +0%) Tribesmans Glory
9
9/1(+0%)
(4) Tribesmans Glory 9/1, Fair winning chaser for Tom George in 2020. Lightly raced since but showed some ability remains after another 14 months off when third in handicap hurdle here last month. 5 lb higher back over fences. Placed over hurdles on recent comeback and he looks interesting on this return to chasing.
13
|PU| (13) (100/1 -100%) Mix Master
100
100/1(-100%)
(13) Mix Master 100/1, Poor maiden hurdler/chaser. Very hard to warm to from 5 lb out of the handicap. Form figures of F5PU over fences and needs a transformation after wind surgery.
LTO Selection:
15:55 Exeter Handicap Chase (Class 5) 19f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Divine Inspiration returned from a 220-day break to hit the frame over an extended 2m3f at Plumpton and the handicapper has dropped him 1lb for that effort, so he is one to note. However, marginal preference is for TRIBESMANS GLORY, who outran big odds to finish third over the smaller obstacles here last month. The son of Jeremy lurks on an appealing mark and could put these to the sword. Natty Night returns off a career-low mark and he can go well for an in-form yard.
NATTY NIGHT could be worth chancing to make a winning return off a career-low mark with his yard still in excellent form. The thriving Caro des Flos is next best ahead of Flash Gorcombe.
Top of the list is the lightly raced DIVINE INSPIRATION, who returned after wind surgery with a good third at Plumpton last month.
(1) Clarendon House 11/4, Six wins from 17 Flat runs. Career best when winning 9-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 17/2) 29 days ago. Needs considering. Made a successful AW debut at Wolverhampton last month; still open to further improvement.
5
2nd (5) (6/1 +29%) Bedford Flyer
6
6/1(+29%)
(5) Bedford Flyer 6/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Lingfield in November. Seventh of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (5f, 7/2) 41 days ago, doing too much too soon. Visor on 1st time. 1lb lower than when winning over C&D in November 2022 but may find one or two too good.
6
3rd (6) (4/1 -45%) Clearpoint
4
4/1(-45%)
(6) Clearpoint 4/1, 2 wins from 6 runs this year. 13/8, career best when winning 7-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 28 days ago, pushed out. Player. Has gained all three AW successes from the front; remains relatively unexposed.
4
4th (4) (16/5 -16%) Alligator Alley
3.2
16/5(-16%)
(4) Alligator Alley 16/5, C&D winner. Creditable 1½ lengths third of 9 to Clarendon House in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 7/2) 29 days ago. Can give a good account. Record over C&D reads 311; should have the race run to suit and is respected.
3
5th (3) (15/2 +12%) Fine Wine
7.5
15/2(+12%)
(3) Fine Wine 15/2, 4-time C&D winner. 8/1, eighteenth of 19 in handicap at York (5f, soft) 89 days ago. Has good chance on pick of form. Four-time C&D winner who has dropped to a handy mark; may face competition for the lead.
2
6th (2) (13/2 -8%) Exalted Angel
6.5
13/2(-8%)
(2) Exalted Angel 13/2, C&D winner. Twenty two runs since last win in 2021. Good 1½ lengths third of 10 to Willem Twee in listed race (14/1) at Lingfield (6f, AW) 33 days ago. Third in a Listed race last time but has to prove himself back in a handicap.
7
7th (7) (25/1 -127%) May Sonic
25
25/1(-127%)
(7) May Sonic 25/1, C&D winner. 5¼ lengths eighth of 9 to Clarendon House in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 10/1) 29 days ago. Others more persuasive. Back off the same mark as when winning over C&D in January, but not at his best lately.
LTO Selection:
16:10 Southwell Handicap (Class 2) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
Both Clarendon House and Clearpoint are likely to prove popular following their recent Wolverhampton successes, but EXALTED ANGEL shades preference. Karl Burke's seven-year-old drops back into handicap company having hit the frame in a Listed event last time, and he looks more than capable from what is a workable handicap mark. Alligator Alley (third) is now 4lb better off with Clarendon House from their meeting last month and that could see him close the gap.
FINE WINE returns to AW on a tempting mark having had excuses on his last 3 starts so this 4-time C&D winner could be the answer back from a break. Clarendon House and Clearpoint both arrive on the back of career-best wins so are the obvious threats.
There may still be more to come from CLARENDON HOUSE who made a successful AW debut in a similar contest at Wolverhampton last month.
(2) D J Zanetti 3/1, Once-raced maiden. Second of 12 in maiden at Sandown (7f, good, 66/1) on debut. Off 16 months. First run for yard after leaving Ian Williams. Interesting to see the market vibes. Promise in one run in August 2022; sold 110,000gns after; absent since; unexposed.
1
2nd (1) (1/5 +20%) Guy Fawkes
0.2
1/5(+20%)
(1) Guy Fawkes 1/5, 3/1 and hooded, won 8-runner minor event at Southwell (7.1f) on debut 27 days ago, bit in hand. Open to improvement and looks well capable of following up. Well backed when overcoming greenness to win cosily at Southwell last month; more to come.
3
3rd (3) (66/1 +0%) Eadha
66
66/1(+0%)
(3) Eadha 66/1, Once-raced maiden. 66/1, seventh of 11 in maiden at Wolverhampton (7.2f) on debut 17 days ago. Needs to leave that form behind. Dropped away on recent Wolverhampton debut having shown speed; not easily recommended.
LTO Selection:
16:30 Chelmsford Stakes (Class 5) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
This is all about GUY FAWKES as he bids to follow up his success over 7f at Southwell on his racecourse debut last month. Jane Chapple-Hyam's charge ran on well on that occasion and any amount of improvement can be expected. The biggest danger is D J Zanetti, who looked promising on his first racecourse start over 7f at Sandown, but that was in August 2022. Eadha looks booked for third.
GUY FAWKES made an impressive debut at Southwell last month and is firmly expected to go in again for all that D J Zanetti could trouble him if retaining ability, albeit he has a long absence to overcome.
The long-absent D J Zanetti still has potential but GUY FAWKES looked promising at Southwell and can make it 2-2.
(9) Water Of Leith 3/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. Again not seen to best effect when sixth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 3/1) 11 days ago, finishing with running left. Could be the way to go. Rarely seen over 5f these days and he may find things happening too quickly for him.
6
2nd (6) (10/3 +63%) Man On A Mission
3.333333
10/3(+63%)
(6) Man On A Mission 10/3, Fourth of 7 in handicap at Chelmsford City (5f, 9/2) 41 days ago, nearest finish. Assessor has afforded him a chance if he can build on that here. Better effort when fourth at Chelmsford last time; 4lb below his last winning mark.
5
3rd (5) (66/1 -725%) Teresa Grace
66
66/1(-725%)
(5) Teresa Grace 66/1, Improved to make a successful handicap debut/reappearance at Thirsk in April. Below for since though, 28/1, ninth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 29 days ago, weakening final 1f. Made a successful stable debut at Thirsk in April but has not matched that form since.
7
4th (7) (11/2 -38%) Victors Dream
5.5
11/2(-38%)
(7) Victors Dream 11/2, 9/2, creditable second of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 29 days ago, no match for winner. One to consider. Runner-up in three of his six starts on the AW, including last time; solid claims.
3
5th (3) (13/2 +19%) Dark Crusade
6.5
13/2(+19%)
(3) Dark Crusade 13/2, 3-y-o who was proved largely consistent, good fourth on the back of a break at Carlisle (5f) in September. Below best faced with softer ground at Pontefract later that month but not discounted back from 84 days off on AW debut. All starts over 5f on turf, making the frame five times, but he ran poorly on latest start.
12
6th (12) (12/1 +52%) Cubanista
12
12/1(+52%)
(12) Cubanista 12/1, One win from 22 Flat runs. Not seen to best effect when ninth of 12 in handicap at this course (6.1f, 22/1) 27 days ago. Eased further in the weights but sole success to date came at 7f. 1-22 and a bit of a mixed bag this year; well beaten in all three starts on the AW.
10
7th (10) (16/1 -60%) Ustath
16
16/1(-60%)
(10) Ustath 16/1, 3-time C&D winner. 3 wins from 10 runs this year. Below form fourth of 8 in handicap (7/1) at Redcar (6f, soft) in April, weakening over 1f out. This run may well be needed on the back of 8 months off. Front-runner; has won seven times here; not seen since April but has run well fresh before.
11
8th (11) (17/2 -42%) May Remain
8.5
17/2(-42%)
(11) May Remain 17/2, Back-to-back winner of sprint contests during the spring and continued in good form thereafter, second of 13 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) in June. Absent subsequently so the betting may prove a useful guide here. Showed he had the speed for 5f when winning at Wolverhampton in the spring; off 199 days.
1
9th (1) (22/1 +33%) Dyed In The Wool
22
22/1(+33%)
(1) Dyed In The Wool 22/1, 50/1, seventh of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 16 days ago, racing well off the pace and never a threat. Mark has eased further but need to see more positive signs before becoming of interest. Form has regressed despite a plummeting mark; hard to fancy.
2
10th (2) (16/1 -14%) Kaidu
16
16/1(-14%)
(2) Kaidu 16/1, Maiden who took step back in right direction when second at Wolverhampton (5.1f) in November. Went off too hard when last of 10 in handicap back at that venue 16 days ago but not out of things on pick of his form. Placed in three novices this year but failed to beat a rival in either of his handicaps.
8
11th (8) (12/1 -71%) Stay Smart
12
12/1(-71%)
(8) Stay Smart 12/1, Latest win at Ayr in June. Last of 7 in handicap (10/3) at Chelmsford City (5f) 41 days ago, hanging badly right inside final 1f. Needs to bounce back. Back off last winning mark, but has pulled too hard the last twice.
LTO Selection:
16:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Cabeza De Llave made the frame at Chelmsford last time and his turn might be near, but a chance is taken on DARK CRUSADE. The unexposed son of Camacho posted a series of solid efforts on the turf over the summer and this switch to an artificial surface might bring about further progression. Victors Dream appeals most of the remainder.
WATER OF LEITH's losing run is mounting up but he again shaped better than the bare result at Wolverhampton 11 days ago, not clear run early in the straight and finishing with running left. He's on a handy mark if getting the breaks and shades the vote. Cabeza de Llave and Victors Dream head the dangers, with Man On A Mission another worth keeping an eye on.
Back from a break, USTATH has plenty to recommend him having won seven times here with his attacking style well suited to this track.
(7) Via Blanca 5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 17/2, creditable second of 8 in nursery at Lingfield (5f, AW) 16 days ago, running on. Has to be taken seriously from same mark. Runner-up in AW nurseries the last twice; should remain competitive.
8
2nd (8) (22/1 +12%) Unavailable
22
22/1(+12%)
(8) Unavailable 22/1, Lightly-raced maiden who ran creditably when eighth of 12 in nursery at Southwell (6.1f, 25/1) 14 days ago. More needed from current mark. Unplaced in her 5 starts but latest Southwell run not devoid of promise; check betting.
11
3rd (11) (12/1 -60%) Musical Diva
12
12/1(-60%)
(11) Musical Diva 12/1, Not seen to best effect when ninth of 12 in nursery at Newcastle (5f, 25/1) 34 days ago, keeping on when short of room late on. Makes polytrack debut. Not taken lightly. Unplaced in eight starts; improvement required if she's to make an impact.
2
4th (2) (9/1 -80%) Sea Of Angels
9
9/1(-80%)
(2) Sea Of Angels 9/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 11/1, creditable fourth of 8 in nursery at Lingfield (5f, AW) 16 days ago. Hood on for 1st time. Merits consideration. Kept on for 4th over 5f at Lingfield last time; hood can help but 6f may suit her better.
1
5th (1) (18/1 -80%) Krysdanjord
18
18/1(-80%)
(1) Krysdanjord 18/1, 25/1 and eyeshields on for 1st time, ninth of 11 in nursery at Lingfield (6f, AW) 8 days ago. Blinkers now tried. Handicapper on top so far; due to be 3lb lower from the weekend; blinkers now added.
5
6th (5) (2/1 +56%) Bitcoin Profit
2
2/1(+56%)
(5) Bitcoin Profit 2/1, Lightly-raced maiden who ran up to best when third of 11 in nursery at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 16 days ago. Makes polytrack debut in first-time cheekpieces and needs considering. Good third on nursery debut 16 days ago; cheekpieces now tried; drop to 5f in his favour.
3
7th (3) (8/1 +11%) Gogo Yubari
8
8/1(+11%)
(3) Gogo Yubari 8/1, Blinkered for 1st time, respectable fourth of 10 in nursery (10/1) at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 30 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Amy Murphy. Not dismissed. Has been fluffing the start of late but has the ability to feature off this mark; new yard.
10
8th (10) (33/1 -106%) Lady Showcasing
33
33/1(-106%)
(10) Lady Showcasing 33/1, 14/1, sixth of 10 in nursery at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 30 days ago. Others make more appeal. Poor form since moving into nurseries and opposable despite her much-reduced mark.
6
9th (6) (9/1 +44%) Talking Rubbish
9
9/1(+44%)
(6) Talking Rubbish 9/1, Modest maiden who seemed beaten on merit when fifth of 8 in nursery at Lingfield (5f, AW) 16 days ago. Behind two of these at Lingfield last time; well drawn to attack but others appeal more.
12
10th (12) (9/2 +72%) Tiselle Tuendchen
4.5
9/2(+72%)
(12) Tiselle Tuendchen 9/2, Well held in minor events/maiden but at least gets a crack at handicaps now. Modest form in three runs in the summer; this more suitable but she has enough to prove.
LTO Selection:
17:00 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
A tentative vote goes to GOGO YUBARI, who had excuses when she finished fourth over 5f at Wolverhampton last time. Dylan Cunha's runner has been dropped 4lb in the ratings for that three-and-a-half-length defeat and is beginning to look very well treated. Via Blanca has finished second on each of her last two starts and she looks sure to run her race, while Bitcoin Profit should also feature.
VIA BLANCA has found only one too good on both her starts in nurseries and is the percentage call to go one better. Bitcoin Profit and Sea of Angels head the opposition.
After a solid third at Wolverhampton 16 days ago BITCOIN PROFIT is marginally preferred to Via Blanca.
(11) Ya Hafhd 11/8, Promising type. 8/1, green but show plenty of ability when fourth of 9 in minor event at Newmarket (10f, good to firm) on debut, not ideally placed. Off 6 months. Open to improvement. Showed promise at Newmarket in June and has claims if she can build on that on her return.
3
2nd (3) (66/1 -164%) Little Peter
66
66/1(-164%)
(3) Little Peter 66/1, Fair bumper winner shaped as if needed experience when towards rear on hurdling debut last month. Others preferred making Flat debut. Bumper winner but he struggled over hurdles latest and this looks tough on his Flat debut.
7
3rd (7) (7/2 -115%) A Gift Of Love
3.5
7/2(-115%)
(7) A Gift Of Love 7/2, Much improved from debut (for John & Thady Gosden) when second of 11 in maiden at Newcastle (12.4f) 49 days ago, clear of rest. Will continue progressing and looks well up to winning this kind of race. Back from lengthy absence with clear second at Newcastle on her stable debut; interesting.
9
4th (9) (33/1 +0%) Loddon
33
33/1(+0%)
(9) Loddon 33/1, Fair filly. 16/1, respectable eighth of 16 in handicap at Pontefract (8f, good to soft) 73 days ago. Significantly up in trip. May prove vulnerable to less-exposed rivals. Inconsistent eight-race maiden who didn't fire last time and others are more convincing.
8
5th (8) (5/1 -25%) Dynamiste
5
5/1(-25%)
(8) Dynamiste 5/1, Promising individual. 9/1, third of 6 in minor event at Lingfield (10f, AW) on debut 86 days ago, not knocked about. Should have more to offer. Made a promising start at Lingfield in September and has claims if she can build on that.
10
6th (10) (200/1 -203%) On Cloud
200
200/1(-203%)
(10) On Cloud 200/1, Reluctant to enter stalls but ran to similar level as debut when sixth of 10 in maiden (33/1) at Kempton (11f) 78 days ago. First run for yard after leaving David Simcock. Others make greater appeal. Well held in both runs for David Simcock and is best watched on his stable debut.
6
7th (6) (200/1 -203%) Pacific
200
200/1(-203%)
(6) Pacific 200/1, Twice-raced maiden on Flat. 125/1, 11 lengths seventh of 12 to Whatawit in minor event at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 12 days ago. Hard to fancy. Tailed off in sole bumper and has struggled at big prices in two Flat runs (1m4f) since.
1
8th (1) (9/4 -50%) Whatawit
2.25
9/4(-50%)
(1) Whatawit 9/4, Fairly useful bumper winner ran to a similar standard when landing 12-runner minor event (7/4) at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 12 days ago. In good hands and he may well do better. 2-3 in bumpers and won over 1m4f at Wolverhampton 12 days ago; respected under penalty.
2
9th (2) (200/1 -100%) Fast Deal
200
200/1(-100%)
(2) Fast Deal 200/1, Remains a maiden after 23 Flat runs. 200/1, eighth of 9 in handicap at Thirsk (6f, good to soft). Off 111 days. Significantly up in trip. Impossible to fancy. Modest 39-race maiden under both codes; east to look elsewhere.
LTO Selection:
17:15 Southwell Stakes (Class 5) 11f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Whatawit was on target over 1m4f at Wolverhampton 12 days ago and he must be taken seriously once again, but A GIFT OF LOVE receives 15lb from the former and is preferred, having improved to finish second at Newcastle last time. Ya Hafhd made her debut in an above-average Newmarket novice in the summer and she could be involved following an absence, while Dynamiste is another to consider.
Several with sound claims, though A GIFT OF LOVE makes most appeal, having showed much improved form after almost a year off at Newcastle last time. Sir Mark Prescott's Wolverhampton winner Whatawit heads the list of dangers, with Dynamiste and Ya Hafhd also considered.
The vote goes to A GIFT OF LOVE, who showed plenty of promise when a clear second at Newcastle on her stable debut last month.
(5) Pandora's Gift 9/2, Promising type. 20/1, second of 9 in minor event at this C&D on debut 10 days ago. Should have learned plenty from that experience and is likely to be on the premises. Second over C&D on debut ten days ago; more to come but suspicion it will be needed.
4
2nd (4) (11/2 +31%) Majorelle Blue
5.5
11/2(+31%)
(4) Majorelle Blue 11/2, Twice-raced maiden. 200/1, ninth of 22 in minor event at Newmarket (6f, good to firm) 75 days ago, making effort earlier than ideal. Her two runs in the autumn weren't without hope but others have achieved more.
1
3rd (1) (10/3 +5%) Star Mind
3.333333
10/3(+5%)
(1) Star Mind 10/3, First run since leaving Kevin Ryan when 13/2 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, won 8-runner maiden at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 33 days ago, driven out. May prove vulnerable under a penalty. Impressed over 7f on last month's stable debut; penalised but could have more to come.
7
4th (7) (9/4 -38%) Twirler
2.25
9/4(-38%)
(7) Twirler 9/4, Promising individual. 17/2, third of 10 in minor event at Newcastle (6f) on debut 12 days ago. Type to do better and may well have enough to open her account. Promising 3rd at Newcastle 12 days ago when green under pressure; should be more to come.
6
5th (6) (5/1 +38%) Say You'll Never
5
5/1(+38%)
(6) Say You'll Never 5/1, Once-raced maiden. 3¼ lengths third of 8 to Star Mind in maiden (8/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) on debut 33 days ago, running on. Likely to improve and is worthy of respect. No match for Star Mind at Wolverhampton (7f) on debut; 7lb turnaround unlikely enough.
3
6th (3) (66/1 -100%) Impelling
66
66/1(-100%)
(3) Impelling 66/1, Twice-raced maiden. 18/1, sixth of 8 in minor event at Kempton (6f) 31 days ago. Modest form in two 6f events last month; needs to raise her game to trouble the principals.
2
7th (2) (14/1 +13%) Cherryblossom Time
14
14/1(+13%)
(2) Cherryblossom Time 14/1, Twice-raced maiden. 11/1, eighth of 12 in maiden at Lingfield (6f, AW) 26 days ago, not knocked about. Run to just a modest level in her two starts to date; handicaps more suitable after this.
10
8th (10) (100/1 -525%) They
100
100/1(-525%)
(10) They 100/1, Once-raced maiden. Sixth of 10 in maiden (10/1) at this course (7f) on debut 35 days ago. Outpaced in the straight over 7f here on debut; drop to 6f not the obvious move.
9
9th (9) (200/1 -400%) Ms Barbaro
200
200/1(-400%)
(9) Ms Barbaro 200/1, Foaled March 26. Buratino filly. Half-sister to temperamental 5f winner Jaas Yard. Dam 2-y-o 7f/7.4f winner. Only minor appeal on paper and she'd be a surprise winner on debut.
8
|PU| (8) (150/1 -200%) Amarilla Girl
150
150/1(-200%)
(8) Amarilla Girl 150/1, Foaled February 11. £3,000 yearling, Camacho filly. Dam maiden half-sister to useful 2-y-o 6f/7f winner Firey Speech out of useful winner up to 1m (2-y-o 6f winner) Firey Red. Just minor appeal on pedigree and she looks best watched on debut.
LTO Selection:
17:30 Chelmsford Stakes (Class 4) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
TWIRLER made a very pleasing start to her career when running on well over 6f at Newcastle on debut and plenty of improvement can be expected from Charlie Fellowes' filly. The two-year-old was beaten under a length into third on that occasion and she's entitled to take a step forward. Star Mind shed her maiden tag at the third time of asking over 7f at Wolverhampton and she appears likely to offer another bold bid, while Pandora's Gift rates best of the rest.
TWIRLER impressed with the way she travelled when third at Newcastle 12 days ago and that's the best piece of form on show, so she takes narrow preference over Pandora's Gift, who also shaped well (over C&D) first time out. Star Mind isn't a forlorn hope.
Star Mind was impressive on her stable debut but TWIRLER shaped nicely 12 days ago and may be able to take a good step forward.
(2) Sense Of Worth 10/3, Twenty runs since last win in 2021. Respectable fifth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f, 50/1) 34 days ago, not knocked about. Worth noting if the market speaks in his favour. Won back-to-back races at Dundalk (10.5f) in Apr 2021; has been unable to add to tally..
3
2nd (3) (9/2 +44%) Eagle One
4.5
9/2(+44%)
(3) Eagle One 9/2, Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. 11/1, last of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 45 days ago. Step back up in trip rates a definite plus and he's on a fair mark, so better showing expected. Low-key since going close on stable debut at Wolverhampton (1m4f) in June; needs a revival.
7
3rd (7) (18/1 -13%) Polar Princess
18
18/1(-13%)
(7) Polar Princess 18/1, 40/1, seventh of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 17 days ago, headway out wide over 3f out and unable to sustain effort. Eased further in weights ahead of this and it remains early days at least. Hasn't recaptured earlier novice form (1m3f-1m4f) since joining this yard; easing mark..
10
4th (10) (8/1 -33%) Latest Edition
8
8/1(-33%)
(10) Latest Edition 8/1, Creditable fifth of 10 in handicap (33/1) at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 38 days ago, shaken up under 4f out and merely plugging on. Handicapper has relinquished his grip a little more. Maiden (0-6); hasn't kicked on since finishing runner-up in a 1m maiden; stamina questions.
5
5th (5) (10/1 -186%) Graces Quest
10
10/1(-186%)
(5) Graces Quest 10/1, Creditable third of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f, 13/2) 41 days ago, not quicken only last ½f. Going through a good spell and respected with rider taking off handy 3 lb. Consistent; demoted after winning at Newcastle (12.5f) on penultimate start; chance..
6
6th (6) (11/2 -10%) Bristol Hill
5.5
11/2(-10%)
(6) Bristol Hill 11/2, Successful twice at 12f earlier this year and despite refusing to settle, finished a creditable fourth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f) 13 days ago. Lines up here operating from last winning mark and one to bear in mind. Slipped back to last winning mark (1m4f, Wolverhampton); tendency to pull hard a concern..
11
7th (11) (4/1 +0%) Khangai
4
4/1(+0%)
(11) Khangai 4/1, Blinkered for 1st time, ran right up to best when second of 14 in handicap (33/1) at Chelmsford City (10f) 14 days ago. Not taken lightly if headgear has desired effect again. Sole win (17 starts) came when making all at Chepstow in June; second in blinkers latest..
4
8th (4) (40/1 -186%) Billy Roberts
40
40/1(-186%)
(4) Billy Roberts 40/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. Sixth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 66/1) 38 days ago, ridden halfway and making only late headway. Twice runner-up during the summer; previous AW wins at Wolverhampton (9.5f); easing mark..
1
9th (1) (9/1 -13%) Restorer
9
9/1(-13%)
(1) Restorer 9/1, Veteran who ended long losing run at Chester (12.3f) in September. Good placed efforts on 2 of his 3 subsequent outings and probably best not judged too harshly on latest seventh of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f, 11/2) 13 days ago. Ease in class a plus. Yet to win on AW (0-14) but was placed at Newcastle (12.5f) on penultimate start..
12
10th (12) (66/1 -371%) King Athelstan
66
66/1(-371%)
(12) King Athelstan 66/1, Course winner. Bit below form eighth of 14 in handicap at this course (12.1f, 18/1) in March, ridden 2f out and no further impression. Needs to hit the ground running back from 8 months off. Cheekpieces back on. Won a classified stakes (here) in March; returns in cheekpieces off a 265-day absence..
9
11th (9) (150/1 -127%) Mickey Mongoose
150
150/1(-127%)
(9) Mickey Mongoose 150/1, Winner at Brighton in June. Ninth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (8f, 125/1) 36 days ago, struggling halfway and soon beaten. Significantly back up in trip but good deal to prove here. Brighton winner (1m2f); yet to shine in three runs for this trainer; tongue-tie removed..
LTO Selection:
17:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 11f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Bristol Hill has a chance at this level, while Latest Edition is still of low mileage and, having proven her stamina when tried over 1m4f last time out, she rates as a player. Nevertheless, this could be a good time to side with KHANGAI, who was doing his best work at the finish when second at Chelmsford last time. With the tongue-tie and blinkers combination retained, he can go one place better.
This looks wide open and it could be worth chancing EAGLE ONE. He didn't shape at all badly on his penultimate start at Kempton, and with his latest run over shorter best forgiven, he could well be up to proving himself on a fair mark. Bristol Hill, Graces Quest and Latest Edition are others fancied to be in the mix.
It could pay to take a chance on Seb Spencer's SENSE OF WORTH. The dual Dundalk scorer has shown a few more encouraging signs lately.
(6) Qazaq 4/5, Foaled February 24. 300,000 gns yearling, Kingman colt. Dam 7f winner (including at 2 yrs), won Nell Gwyn Stakes and finished third in 1000 Guineas, from a very good family. Interesting newcomer (entered for Irish 2000 Guineas). 300,000gns yearling; first foal from 7f Group 3 winner (RPR 110); has a high-profile entry.
5
2nd (5) (25/1 -56%) Pagliacci
25
25/1(-56%)
(5) Pagliacci 25/1, Gleneagles gelding. Brother to 2-y-o 1¼m winner Top Brass. Dam, 1¼m-1¾m (Lillie Langtry Stakes) winner, half-sister to useful performer up to 1¼m Drumbeat. 80/1, seventh of 11 in novice at Southwell (7.1f) on debut 9 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Slowly away and green throughout when never dangerous seventh at Southwell (7f) last week..
1
3rd (1) (11/10 +0%) Annafel
1.1
11/10(+0%)
(1) Annafel 11/10, Twice-raced maiden. 6/1, much better effort when close second of 11 in novice at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 58 days ago. Clear form pick. Solid level of form on both starts, narrowly beaten at Wolverhampton (8.5f) latest..
4
4th (4) (66/1 -230%) Namrud
66
66/1(-230%)
(4) Namrud 66/1, $19,000 yearling, €110,000 2-y-o, Bernardini gelding. Closley related to minor winner in US by Malibu Moon. Dam runner-up at 1m in US from a good US family. 22/1, green when eighth of 11 in novice event at Southwell (8.1f) on debut 14 days ago. Too green to do himself justice on debut at Southwell (1m novice; 22-1) a fortnight ago..
2
5th (2) (80/1 -300%) Givitawhirl
80
80/1(-300%)
(2) Givitawhirl 80/1, Twice-raced maiden. Seventh of 10 in novice (50/1) at Kempton (8f) 15 days ago. Hooded for 1st time. Modest form; headgear (hood) fitted for third start; perhaps the type to require more time.
LTO Selection:
18:00 Chelmsford Stakes (Class 4) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
ANNAFEL took a nice step forward from his debut effort to fill the runner-up berth over an extended mile at Wolverhampton in October and he is likely to improve even further for that effort. The son of Blame drops back in distance, which shouldn't pose him any problems and he can go one better. Newcomer Qazaq could prove to be the main danger after he changed hands for 300,000gns last year, while Pagliacci is noted too.
ANNAFEL stepped up on his debut when only just edged out at Wolverhampton and can put that experience to good use up against well-connected newcomer Qazaq.
Roger Varian's QAZAQ is the first foal from the 2019 Nell Gwyn Stakes winner Qabala. She can make a winning start to her career.
(5) Hill Station 15/8, 15/8, career best when winning 11-runner handicap at Lingfield (12f, AW) 8 days ago, readily. Carries penalty. Has good chance on form. Dictated to win at Lingfield (1m4f) last week; penalised but 5lb claimer is booked..
6
2nd (6) (14/1 -75%) Bay Of Naples
14
14/1(-75%)
(6) Bay Of Naples 14/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Leicester in September. Creditable third of 10 in handicap (6/1) at Newcastle (12.4f) 49 days ago. Given a seven-week break since finishing third at Newcastle (12.5f); needs fraction more..
3
3rd (3) (9/2 +36%) Luna Effect
4.5
9/2(+36%)
(3) Luna Effect 9/2, 9/2, seventh of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (14f) 26 days ago. Back down in trip. Pipped when sporting first-time headgear (hood) at Yarmouth in October; no joy since..
7
4th (7) (5/1 +64%) Swing To The Stars
5
5/1(+64%)
(7) Swing To The Stars 5/1, Creditable fifth of 14 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f, 8/1) 14 days ago. Yet to win (0-11); free when 5th (behind Jumeira Vision) at Chelmsford latest; stamina?.
1
5th (1) (50/1 -150%) Franco Grasso
50
50/1(-150%)
(1) Franco Grasso 50/1, 40/1, last of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f) 41 days ago. Beaten only a single rival in three attempts since winning at Yarmouth (11.5f) in May..
8
6th (8) (125/1 -400%) Delta Legend
125
125/1(-400%)
(8) Delta Legend 125/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Eleventh of 12 in handicap (12/1) at Newcastle (12.4f) 13 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Easy to look elsewhere. Weakened quickly when upped to 12.5f for recent Newcastle handicap debut; blinkers go on..
2
7th (2) (25/1 -257%) Hashtagmetoo
25
25/1(-257%)
(2) Hashtagmetoo 25/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in October. Creditable fifth of 12 in handicap (6/1) at Lingfield (12f, AW) 50 days ago. Reliable mare; 3lb higher than when successful at Wolverhampton (1m4f) penultimate start..
9
8th (9) (7/1 +30%) Dancing Gypsy
7
7/1(+30%)
(9) Dancing Gypsy 7/1, 7/1, tenth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 12 days ago. Back up in trip. Hood on 1st time. Maiden (0-14); placed on first start for D. Loughnane but hasn't progressed; hooded..
11
9th (11) (100/1 -203%) Madam Macho
100
100/1(-203%)
(11) Madam Macho 100/1, 66/1, ninth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 16 days ago. Up in trip. Others have achieved more. Maiden with modest form; tackles a new trip - dam was a 1m2f winner - from a falling mark..
4
10th (4) (7/1 -40%) Jumeira Vision
7
7/1(-40%)
(4) Jumeira Vision 7/1, Winner at Wolverhampton in November. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, creditable fourth of 14 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f, 9/2) 14 days ago. Enters calculations. Raised game since sent handicapping; 2lb higher than when winning at Wolverhampton; chance.
10
11th (10) (12/1 -200%) Lochnaver
12
12/1(-200%)
(10) Lochnaver 12/1, Won 12-runner handicap (9/2) at Newcastle (10.2f) 32 days ago, comfortably. Merits consideration. Back to form at Newcastle; every chance of having a major say under 3lb claimer Mark Winn..
12
12th (12) (200/1 -203%) Persian Wolf
200
200/1(-203%)
(12) Persian Wolf 200/1, Seventeen runs since last win in 2022. Eleventh of 12 in handicap at this C&D (125/1) 14 days ago. Last win over a year ago; nothing positive in two starts since changing hands..
LTO Selection:
18:15 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 11f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
HILL STATION emerged triumphant over 1m4f at Lingfield eight days ago and, given he is due to go up 1lb in future handicaps, he is a strong contender under the 5lb penalty. Fellow last-time-out winner Lochnaver is feared most, with the return to this distance not expected to pose any problems. Jumeira Vision, a winner over the extended 1m1f at Wolverhampton on his penultimate start, can also go close.
HILL STATION resumed winning ways to land some tidy bets at Lingfield last week and looks capable of defying a penalty. Lochnaver was a comfortable winner at Newcastle last month so is feared most ahead of lightly-raced 3-y-o Jumeira Vision.
The ones to concentrate on are Jumeira Vision, Lochnaver, and the thriving HILL STATION. Gina Mangan's mount receives the vote.
(6) Maverick Style 15/2, 15/2, respectable fourth of 12 in nursery at this course (8f) 10 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Needs headgear to draw out some improvement. Showed ability but also hung badly left over 1m here last time; now gets blinkers.
5
2nd (5) (10/3 +17%) Notre Dame
3.333333
10/3(+17%)
(5) Notre Dame 10/3, Lightly-raced maiden. Very good third of 9 in nursery at this course (6f, 28/1) 42 days ago, nearest finish. Makes plenty of appeal. Fair third over 6f here last time; still low mileage and returning to 7f in her favour.
4
3rd (4) (7/1 -17%) Come On You Spurs
7
7/1(-17%)
(4) Come On You Spurs 7/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Sixth of 11 in minor event (50/1) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 28 days ago, needing stiffer test. Type to do better switched to handicaps/upped in trip. No impact in three 6f runs at Wolverhampton; much better can be expected this time.
2
4th (2) (11/8 +21%) Desert Raider
1.375
11/8(+21%)
(2) Desert Raider 11/8, Lightly-raced winner. 3/1 and visored for 1st time, career best when winning 9-runner nursery at this C&D 82 days ago, just holding on. Worth a chance to follow up. Made all to beat two subsequent winners over C&D in September; up 3lb; gelded since; solid.
8
5th (8) (33/1 +0%) Majolica
33
33/1(+0%)
(8) Majolica 33/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Eighth of 11 in minor event (250/1) at Kempton (6f) 64 days ago. Visored for 1st time. Worth a market check.eckec Poor form in five starts; the addition of a visor needs to spark a transformation.
3
6th (3) (9/2 +25%) Terratino Fire
4.5
9/2(+25%)
(3) Terratino Fire 9/2, Lightly-raced maiden. Visored for 1st time, creditable sixth of 12 in nursery at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 20/1) 29 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Didn't run badly in two 1m nurseries last month; needs more for this drop back in trip.
9
7th (9) (80/1 -142%) Flocon
80
80/1(-142%)
(9) Flocon 80/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 66/1, last of 7 in maiden at Catterick (6f, soft) 89 days ago. First run for yard after leaving David O'Meara. Makes handicap debut. Poor form in three 6f runs for David O'Meara; plenty to prove on stable/nursery debut.
1
8th (1) (20/1 -122%) Sapphira
20
20/1(-122%)
(1) Sapphira 20/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Ninth of 10 in minor event (100/1) at Kempton (7f) 50 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Bred to do better. Bred to be useful and yard's record in nurseries this year stands up to close scrutiny.
10
9th (10) (100/1 -300%) Rosadilly
100
100/1(-300%)
(10) Rosadilly 100/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Ninth of 10 in maiden at this C&D (150/1) 35 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Hasn't got home in three starts, most recently over C&D last month; not easily recommended.
LTO Selection:
18:30 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
DESERT RAIDER showed a liking for a first-time visor when justifying favouritism over C&D on his latest outing, and he has been raised just 3lb for that display. The son of Advertise has also been gelded since, so that could eke out even more. Notre Dame produced the best effort of her career so far to hit the frame over 6f here last month and should go well, while Terratino Fire is another to note.
DESERT RAIDER improved to open his account over C&D last time and, while there wasn't much to spare, his pedigree gives him the scope for further progress, so he takes preference over Notre Dame, who finished to good effect over 6f here in November. Come On You Spurs has the potential to improve for the longer trip, so she's a notable nursery debutante.
The form of DESERT RAIDER's C&D win in September has been boosted and he looks the safest option. Come On You Spurs is feared most.
(4) Miami Thunder 6/1, Winner at Newcastle in June. Tenth of 11 in handicap (9/2) at Newcastle (8f) 76 days ago, ridden too aggressively. First run for yard after leaving Darryll Holland. Worth a market check. Chance on his peak AW form this summer; drops in trip on stable debut; contender.
8
2nd (8) (13/2 +28%) Love De Vega
6.5
13/2(+28%)
(8) Love De Vega 13/2, 6/1, respectable fifth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 12 days ago, left poorly placed. Could make his presence felt if the race is run to suit. Behind Sterling Knight on penultimate start; excuse latest; fair mark but others stronger.
5
3rd (5) (5/1 -67%) Riot
5
5/1(-67%)
(5) Riot 5/1, 3-time C&D winner. 4 wins from 16 runs this year. 5/1, won 13-runner handicap at this C&D 14 days ago. Strong claims in the hat-trick bid. Chasing a C&D hat-trick and did well to score two weeks ago; this looks tougher though.
7
4th (7) (9/1 +10%) Revolutionise
9
9/1(+10%)
(7) Revolutionise 9/1, C&D winner. Eighth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 17/2) 12 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Remains on a handy mark but needs them to go quick up front. Not found his best so far this winter but on a good mark and type to bounce back soon.
1
5th (1) (4/1 +0%) Sterling Knight
4
4/1(+0%)
(1) Sterling Knight 4/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in November. Respectable third of 7 in handicap at Lingfield (7f, AW, 6/1) 15 days ago, left poorly placed. Not taken lightly. Good efforts the last twice and he's a solid contender in a modest race for the grade.
6
6th (6) (15/8 +37%) Prince Of Zenda
1.875
15/8(+37%)
(6) Prince Of Zenda 15/8, Winner at Chester in September. Eleventh of 14 in handicap (17/2) at Newmarket (8f, heavy) 47 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Well beaten in a Newmarket handicap last month; career best required to take this.
2
7th (2) (40/1 -400%) Tremblant
40
40/1(-400%)
(2) Tremblant 40/1, Latest win at Deauville in August. 9/1, fifteenth of 17 in handicap at Longchamp (6.5f, good to firm) 81 days ago. First run for yard after leaving A. Fabre. Has work to do. 7.5f AW winner for Andre Fabre in August (RPR 90); sold 35,000gns since; market useful.
3
8th (3) (22/1 -100%) Darwell Lion
22
22/1(-100%)
(3) Darwell Lion 22/1, 16/1, first run since leaving John Butler when eighth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f) 12 days ago. Others preferred. Four AW wins to his name; needs to better recent stable debut that's quite likely.
LTO Selection:
19:00 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 3) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
RIOT has been victorious over C&D the last twice, with the latest of those efforts coming in a class 4 event. The six-year-old was raised 2lb for that victory and it would be no surprise to see him bring the hat-trick up. Top-weight Sterling Knight performed well for third in this grade at Lingfield earlier in the month and could get into contention, while Prince of Zenda struggled on heavy ground at Newmarket last month but could go well back on the all-weather.
RIOT looks back in top form and is still well treated on past efforts, so he's worth a chance to complete the hat-trick at the possible expense of Sterling Knight, who was better than the result at Lingfield last time. A return to form from Prince of Zenda would make him of serious interest given there's the chance of an easy lead.
Sterling Knight should go well once again but a chance is taken on a change of scenery rekindling MIAMI THUNDER's enthusiasm.
(3) Dicko The Legend 5/2, Unreliable type. C&D winner. Winner here in November. 11/2, creditable second of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 16 days ago, running on. Should give another good account. Denied a clear run at Wolverhampton (5f, Tapeta); up 1lb and back up in trip; big player..
10
2nd (10) (6/1 -9%) Sassy Redhead
6
6/1(-9%)
(10) Sassy Redhead 6/1, C&D winner. 9/2, respectable 5 lengths third of 12 to Havechatma in handicap at Southwell (6.1f) 14 days ago. Likely to be on the premises. Has finished placed behind Havechatma in two of her last three starts; each-way player..
7
3rd (7) (16/1 +20%) Pride Of Spain
16
16/1(+20%)
(7) Pride Of Spain 16/1, 16/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, tenth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 12 days ago. Others more persuasive. Drops another 3lb but needs to be significantly better than his last two efforts..
5
4th (5) (4/1 +20%) Fiscal Policy
4
4/1(+20%)
(5) Fiscal Policy 4/1, Course winner. Latest win at Wolverhampton in August. Respectable sixth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 9/2) 61 days ago, finishing with running left. Can get involved if things drop right. Below par last three starts; returns from a short break and is not written off..
4
5th (4) (40/1 -344%) One Hart
40
40/1(-344%)
(4) One Hart 40/1, First run since leaving Grant Tuer when ninth of 12 in handicap at this course (7f, 25/1). Off 165 days. First run for yard after leaving Denis Quinn. Competitive mark but has a break and a below-par run here to put behind him..
2
6th (2) (20/1 -100%) Fletcher's Flight
20
20/1(-100%)
(2) Fletcher's Flight 20/1, Lightly-raced winner. Winner at Redcar in September. 7/1, fifth of 8 in handicap at this C&D 54 days ago, slowly away. Not easy to make a case for. Missed the break on his handicap debut here latest; drops 1lb; not ruled out..
8
7th (8) (18/1 -13%) Porfin
18
18/1(-13%)
(8) Porfin 18/1, Latest win at Newmarket in August. 20/1, eighth of 11 in handicap at Lingfield (6f, AW) 26 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Weakened out of his latest start at Lingfield (6f, Polytrack); more needed..
1
8th (1) (7/1 +13%) Crown Dreams
7
7/1(+13%)
(1) Crown Dreams 7/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Below form fifth of 10 in handicap (7/1) at this C&D 49 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Has good chance on pick of form. Beaten 6l over C&D on handicap debut last month; drops 2lb; more needed..
9
9th (9) (10/3 -21%) Havechatma
3.333333
10/3(-21%)
(9) Havechatma 10/3, Career best when winning 12-runner handicap at Southwell (6.1f, 11/1) 14 days ago, easily. Can make presence felt strongly again. Up 12lb for two wins but if able to repeat her latest effort she'd be a big player..
LTO Selection:
19:30 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Recent C&D winner DICKO THE LEGEND was unfortunate to have finished second over 5f at Wolverhampton last time, having been denied a clear run for some distance approaching the furlong pole. Just 1lb higher and back over 6f, Roger Ingram will be hopeful of a clearer passage for his gelding and he can make amends. Havechatma looks set to mount another stern challenge having been on target at Lingfield and Southwell in recent weeks, while Fiscal Policy heads the remainder.
HAVECHATMA has reacted well to blinkers lately and, having had plenty in hand at Southwell a fortnight ago, she's capable of landing the hat-trick. In-form Dicko The Legend is a threat for all that he's not the most straightforward and there's a case to be made for Fiscal Policy.
One who arrives in good form is DICKO THE LEGEND (nap), who may be capable of further progress now back up in trip.
(7) Sir Rodneyredblood 4/1, 6-time course winner. Third of 5 in handicap at Lingfield (6f, AW, 2/1) 46 days ago. Can make presence felt. Respectable effort when beaten just over 1l at Lingfield latest; drops 1lb; contender..
3
1st (3) (15/2 +6%) Daytona Lady
7.5
15/2(+6%)
(3) Daytona Lady 15/2, Course winner. 28/1, good fourth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 34 days ago. Closing fourth at Wolverhampton latest; player if she can back that up from a handy draw..
2
3rd (2) (16/5 -70%) Thank The Lord
3.2
16/5(-70%)
(2) Thank The Lord 16/5, 3 wins from 12 runs this year. Career best when winning 10-runner handicap (10/3) at this C&D 14 days ago, keeping on well. Has to be taken seriously. Up 7lb for C&D win but is unexposed over this trip and should again be a player..
9
4th (9) (50/1 -52%) Due Date
50
50/1(-52%)
(9) Due Date 50/1, Respectable fifth of 12 in handicap (50/1) at this C&D 10 days ago. Hard to make a strong case for him based on his six starts since joining this trainer..
1
5th (1) (7/2 +0%) Starsong
3.5
7/2(+0%)
(1) Starsong 7/2, C&D winner. 16/5, respectable sixth of 11 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f) 27 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Raced freely when held (7f) latest but previous two efforts suggest she'll be involved..
4
6th (4) (4/1 +20%) Legende D'Art
4
4/1(+20%)
(4) Legende D'Art 4/1, Course winner. Creditable second of 9 in handicap at this course (7f, 11/2) 14 days ago, just failing. Player. Dual 7f course winner; just held here (7f) latest; up 1lb; not ruled out..
5
7th (5) (17/2 +58%) Alafdhal
8.5
17/2(+58%)
(5) Alafdhal 17/2, 4-time C&D winner. 66/1, fifth of 9 in handicap at this C&D 30 days ago. Some encouragement in his latest C&D effort and a return to form is not ruled out..
8
8th (8) (16/1 -129%) Captain Wentworth
16
16/1(-129%)
(8) Captain Wentworth 16/1, Respectable sixth of 10 in handicap at Kempton (7f, 5/1). Off 106 days. Returns after another break on a competitive mark but needs to pull out a bit more to win..
6
9th (6) (100/1 -400%) Phoenix Glow
100
100/1(-400%)
(6) Phoenix Glow 100/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Brighton in August. 14/1, bit below form ninth of 15 in handicap at Windsor (6f, good to firm) 73 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Jack Channon. Below par latest; on a competitive mark for her return to this surface; not ruled out..
LTO Selection:
20:00 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Six of SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD's 13 career wins have come at this venue, and he might add another to his tally. He's now 4lb below his last winning mark, with recent efforts suggesting he is coming back to the boil. Thank The Lord cruised to success over track and trip a fortnight ago, so a subsequent 7lb rise might not be enough to prevent him from mounting another bold bid. Legende d'Art is also noted.
THANK THE LORD confirmed himself on the upgrade when a decisive winner over C&D 2 weeks ago and looks one to keep on the right side of at this level. Legende d'Art only just failed here last time and is next best ahead of Sir Rodneyredblood.
Preference is for DAYTONA LADY, who came back to form when a shade unlucky not to finish closer at Wolverhampton last time.
(4) Churchella 4/1, Winner at Newcastle in September. Below form fourth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f, 9/4) 49 days ago, hampered. Makes polytrack debut. Well below par when favourite for an amateurs' race latest; bit to prove now..
3
2nd (3) (5/2 +50%) Grand Duchess Olga
2.5
5/2(+50%)
(3) Grand Duchess Olga 5/2, C&D winner. Latest win here in October. Good third of 10 in handicap at this course (16f, 8/1) 30 days ago. Needs considering. C&D and 2m course winner; hung badly left latest but still a good effort; could go well..
6
3rd (6) (4/1 -45%) Philos
4
4/1(-45%)
(6) Philos 4/1, 3 wins from 13 runs this year. Visored for 1st time, career best when winning 14-runner handicap (18/1) at Kempton (12f) 31 days ago, soon clear. Has to be taken seriously. Won going away last time (1m4f) and can go well again if he repeats that effort..
1
4th (1) (8/1 +20%) The Bay Warrior
8
8/1(+20%)
(1) The Bay Warrior 8/1, Course winner. Ninth of 11 in handicap (9/1) at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 29 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Drops 2lb & in grade while going up in trip (half-brother to 1m5f winner); not ruled out..
7
5th (7) (11/2 +39%) Perthshire
5.5
11/2(+39%)
(7) Perthshire 11/2, Excuses when sixth of 12 in handicap at Southwell (11.1f, 17/2) 14 days ago, unsuited by drop in trip. Can make presence felt back up in trip. 0-11; handy mark if he can be revived but has that to prove..
5
6th (5) (12/1 -118%) Royal Athena
12
12/1(-118%)
(5) Royal Athena 12/1, Winner at Lingfield in June. 7/1, creditable sixth of 13 in novice hurdle at Lingfield (16f, good to soft) 10 days ago. Fair on the Flat, creditable on last Flat outing. Returns to this code after defeat over hurdles but she has the form to be competitive..
9
7th (9) (12/1 -118%) Duveen
12
12/1(-118%)
(9) Duveen 12/1, Creditable fifth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 6/1) 11 days ago. Comfortably beaten on her three starts since a break; others make more appeal..
2
8th (2) (22/1 -83%) Benjamin Bear
22
22/1(-83%)
(2) Benjamin Bear 22/1, Tenth of 14 in novice hurdle at Market Rasen (16.6f, good to soft, 66/1) 35 days ago. Modest on the Flat, poor on last Flat run. Has work to do. Handy mark but he's hard to fancy based on his last few starts across both codes..
LTO Selection:
20:30 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 14f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
PHILOS was said to have benefitted from the application of a first-time visor (retained) when winning over 1m4f at Kempton last month. The son of Teofilo was going away at the finish on that occasion, so he might have more to offer now upped in trip. Grand Duchess Olga continues to run well and she is unlikely to be far away, along with Royal Athena, who reverts to the Flat having posted a couple of decent performances, including a win, over hurdles recently.
PHILOS got back on the up when resuming winning ways at Kempton and remains of interest given how quickly he settled matters that day. Perthshire is worth another chance to build on his belated reappearance returned to a suitable trip so may emerge as the biggest threat ahead of Grand Duchess Olga.
Preference is for PHILOS, who is taken to defy a 5lb rise for his authoritative Kempton win.
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Meaning
TomForm top stats, gold rated
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Ran similar race before
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How to use Tomform
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
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Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.
There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.
The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.
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