There were 45 Races on Wednesday 20th December 2023 across 6 meetings. There was 7 races at Ludlow, 7 races at Ayr, 8 races at Lingfield, 7 races at Newbury, 8 races at Kempton, 8 races at Dundalk, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (9/4 +44%) Western Stars |
9/4(+44%) | (1) Western Stars 9/4, Latest win at Windsor in October. 22/1, shaped better than the result when eighth of 14 in handicap at Kempton (2mf) 30 days ago, having hopeless task from position. That was a Class 3 and he's a big player now taking a drop in class. Two wins this autumn and appeared to stay 2m latest; down in class; contender. |
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2nd (7) (3/1 +14%) Tamaris |
3/1(+14%) | (7) Tamaris 3/1, Won twice over fences around 2½m w this autumn and made a solid return to the Flat when third of 11 over 1½m here a week ago, best work finish. Return to 2m should suit. Promising return to the Flat here last week (1m4f) and the return to 2m should suit. |
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3rd (6) (15/8 -25%) Artisan Dancer |
15/8(-25%) | (6) Artisan Dancer 15/8, Third leg of a quick hat-trick at the end of the summer came over C&D. Good runner-up efforts on last 3 outings (C&D latest). Should go well again. Forming a fine record on AW, including a win and a 2nd over C&D; still unexposed at 2m. |
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4th (2) (50/1 -150%) Alpine Stroll |
50/1(-150%) | (2) Alpine Stroll 50/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. Last of 9 in handicap at York (2m, soft, 12/1) 67 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Ed De Giles. Two turf wins in 2022; starts out for new yard off a reduced mark; betting to guide. |
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5th (5) (16/1 -33%) Smith |
16/1(-33%) | (5) Smith 16/1, Six-time C&D winner. Should strip fitter for his recent first outing in 6 months and he's now 1 lb below the mark he defied here in February. 6-time C&D winner, including this race in 2022; quiet since Feb success; revival possible. |
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6th (3) (9/1 +0%) Dark Mystery |
9/1(+0%) | (3) Dark Mystery 9/1, 17/2, fourth of 7 in handicap on turf here (11.5f) in June. Significantly up in trip and also tackling polytrack for the first time on return from break. Returns from a break over a new trip; dangerous mark if his stamina holds out. |
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7th (4) (20/1 -233%) Anisoptera |
20/1(-233%) | (4) Anisoptera 20/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Kempton in April. 5/2, fifth of 7 in C&D handicap when last seen in June. Much depends on whether she's ready to roll. Conditions fine but she was below par when last seen 6 months ago; best watched on return. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
ARTISAN DANCER has been unlucky to hit the crossbar on each of his last three outings, including over C&D last time for which he was put up 1lb. The son of Mastercraftsman looks well placed to go one better and record his fourth career victory. Tamaris hit the frame over 1m4f here on his latest outing and could easily have a say as he steps back up in trip off the same mark, while Alpine Stroll is an interesting contender on his first start for the Alexandra Dunn yard.
WESTERN STARS has been better than his results suggest since his Windsor win in October and might be able to get his head back in front now dropping back into a Class 5. The thriving Artisan Dancer rates an obvious threat, while Tamaris should benefit from the return to 2m. C&D specialist Smith is also starting to look well treated again so this is quite competitive despite the smallish field.
Tamaris is respected back up in trip but ARTISAN DANCER is fancied to end his dose of seconditis.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (14/1 -40%) Ozzy Cosmo |
14/1(-40%) | (6) Ozzy Cosmo 14/1, £20,000 3-y-o, £35,000 4-y-o, Arctic Cosmos gelding. Dam little impact over hurdles. Fourth sole start in Irish points (Apr 30). Wears tongue strap for Rules debut. Promising 4th in Irish maiden point and could be a player. |
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2nd (5) (5/1 +58%) Nab Wood |
5/1(+58%) | (5) Nab Wood 5/1, Clear signs of ability both starts to date but probably won't be of interest until tackling handicaps. No threat so far but not without ability; this is a weak race; not discounted each-way. |
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3rd (2) (9/1 +25%) Jaminoz |
9/1(+25%) | (2) Jaminoz 9/1, Dam half-sister to winning hurdler Sarah Joyce. Fair handicapper on Flat (stays 13f), won twice in 2023, good fourth last time. Has left Jim Goldie and likely to take well to hurdling. Operated at lowly level on Flat but won twice this autumn; no surprise to see a good run. |
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4th (3) (3/1 -50%) Leitrim Chief |
3/1(-50%) | (3) Leitrim Chief 3/1, Showed clear signs of ability in a Punchestown bumper and shaped with even more promise when third at Navan (20f) on hurdles bow. Not quite in same form when filling same spot on debut for current yard here in March 2022 and not seen since, but still sets a clear standard. Had breathing operation. Absent since March 2022 but leading claims if able to reproduce the form shown back then. |
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5th (10) (10/3 +5%) Blow The Budget |
10/3(+5%) | (10) Blow The Budget 10/3, Modest in bumpers and showed more on second hurdle outing when third of 11 in a Kelso novice (16.2f, heavy) 3 weeks ago. May do better still. Third on recent stable debut at Kelso and that form puts her firmly in calculations. |
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6th (12) (15/2 -25%) Spit Spot |
15/2(-25%) | (12) Spit Spot 15/2, Fair on Flat, stays 2m, back to best when second last time. Sold from James Fanshawe 9,000 gns later in October. Makes hurdles debut (dam 2m hurdles winner). Well worth a look. Fair form in October on final Flat start and entitled to respect on stable/hurdle debut. |
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7th (7) (10/1 -67%) Professor Klump |
10/1(-67%) | (7) Professor Klump 10/1, Fetched €62,000 as a 3-y-o and placed on the second of his 2 starts between the flags. Had a breathing operation prior to showing a bit in a Sedgefield novice hurdle on Rules bow last month. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Should do better. 3rd in a point; weakened quickly when favourite on hurdle debut but tongue-tie could help. |
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8th (4) (9/1 -64%) Marty McFly |
9/1(-64%) | (4) Marty McFly 9/1, Dead-heated in an Irish point. Also reached the frame in 2 bumpers for Patrick Neville last season but hasn't achieved a great deal both starts over hurdles, including when beaten in a match at Carlisle 17 days ago. Hard to pin down what he achieved when second in Carlisle match but he's not ruled out. |
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9th (11) (25/1 +24%) Rory's Story |
25/1(+24%) | (11) Rory's Story 25/1, Modest in bumpers and more one for handicaps judged on her 2 efforts over hurdles. Soundly beaten on both hurdle starts and improvement is needed. |
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10th (1) (200/1 -100%) Golden Valour |
200/1(-100%) | (1) Golden Valour 200/1, Modest on Flat and offered little encouragement on last month's Musselburgh hurdle debut. Visor on for 1st time in this code. Modest on Flat nowadays and pulled up at 125-1 on last month's hurdle debut at Musselburgh. |
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|PU| (8) (125/1 -89%) Royal Prospect |
125/1(-89%) | (8) Royal Prospect 125/1, Modest handicapper on Flat, stays 1m. Looked unlucky not to win on most recent outing in that sphere but is an unlikely sort for hurdling. With stamina a doubt on hurdle debut, this 8yo Flat recruit may be best watched. |
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|PU| (9) (125/1 -25%) Thunder Gap |
125/1(-25%) | (9) Thunder Gap 125/1, Modest maiden on Flat, stays 12.5f. Sold from Tom Tate's yard for only £2,500 in October. Hard to recommend on hurdle debut. Nine-race Flat maiden who is probably best watched on this stable and hurdle debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
PROFESSOR KLUMP was well found in the market ahead of his hurdling bow last month, but he could only muster up a midfield finish. Fitted with a tongue-tie for the first time and on his second start following wind surgery, a far better performance is expected. He is preferred to Blow The Budget, who performed with credit at Kelso last time, and Spit Spot, who would hold every chance if taking to this new discipline having achieved a peak rating of 73 when trained on the Flat.
Standard-setter LEITRIM CHIEF hails from a stable that has an excellent record with horses returning from lengthy absences, so he's a straightforward choice to open his account. The dangers are headed by the Lucinda Russell-trained pair Blow The Budget and Spit Spot.
A 648-day absence is a concern, but LEITRIM CHIEF should take plenty of beating in this weak race if anywhere near his best.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (4/9 +34%) Dashing Darcey |
4/9(+34%) | (1) Dashing Darcey 4/9, Promising sort. 10/11, won 11-runner maiden at this C&D (AW) 15 days ago, plenty in hand. Improving and has more to come so good chance he can score again under penalty. Won by 4l over C&D last time and he's open to more progress; big player under penalty. |
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2nd (2) (9/4 +36%) Character Testing |
9/4(+36%) | (2) Character Testing 9/4, Thrice-raced maiden. Off 12 weeks, good second of 13 in maiden at Kempton (7f, 5/1) 30 days ago, finishing well. Can surely win a race. Runner-up in all three starts including two on Polytrack; respected upped in trip. |
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3rd (5) (15/2 -25%) L'Eagle Aid |
15/2(-25%) | (5) L'Eagle Aid 15/2, 4½ lengths third of 11 to Dashing Darcey in maiden at this C&D (33/1) on debut 15 days ago, running on. That was a promising start and he has place claims again. Made a promising start when third behind Dashing Darcey over C&D 15 days ago; in the mix. |
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4th (7) (100/1 -100%) Snooker Mccrew |
100/1(-100%) | (7) Snooker Mccrew 100/1, 7½ lengths seventh of 11 to Dashing Darcey in maiden (250/1) at this C&D on debut 15 days ago, green. More needed. 250-1 for his recent C&D debut and was a never-dangerous seventh behind Dashing Darcey. |
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5th (9) (25/1 -178%) Pratigya |
25/1(-178%) | (9) Pratigya 25/1, 4/1, sixth of 12 at Kempton (8f) on debut 49 days ago. Open to improvement. Didn't live up to market expectations at Kempton and needs to leave that debut form behind. |
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6th (4) (125/1 -56%) Harlington |
125/1(-56%) | (4) Harlington 125/1, Twice-raced maiden. 200/1, seventh of 11 at Kempton (8f) 14 days ago. One for handicaps. Well held at 200-1 in both his runs and he's probably one for further in due course. |
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7th (3) (80/1 -60%) Myna |
80/1(-60%) | (3) Myna 80/1, Twice-raced maiden. Ninth of 11 in minor event (33/1) at this C&D (AW) 55 days ago. Well held in his two runs in October and handicaps look the way forward after this. |
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8th (8) (28/1 -100%) Belarmindar |
28/1(-100%) | (8) Belarmindar 28/1, Foaled March 15. Belardo filly. Half-sister to 6f-8.6f winner Voltaic. Dam once-raced half-sister to smart winner up to 1¾m Quiz Mistress. She looks interesting. This looks a tough enough starting point and she's bred to do better with age. |
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9th (10) (66/1 -371%) Sky Blue Dreams |
66/1(-371%) | (10) Sky Blue Dreams 66/1, Twice-raced maiden. Fourth of 10 in maiden (40/1) at Chelmsford City (7f) 34 days ago. Some promise at Chelmsford (7f) last time but she needs another good step forward here. |
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10th (6) (150/1 -50%) Sicilian Sosizza |
150/1(-50%) | (6) Sicilian Sosizza 150/1, Twice-raced maiden. 200/1, ninth of 10 in minor event at Kempton (8f) 14 days ago, slowly away. Massive prices and he's finished tailed in two runs on Polytrack this autumn/winter. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Dashing Darcey beat L'Eagle Aid (third) by over four lengths over C&D earlier in the month and it's hard to imagine that form will be overturned. However, the vote goes to CHARACTER TESTING, who has filled the runner-up spot on each of his three career starts to date and he now takes a step up in distance, which can eke out the improvement needed to get off the mark. Any market confidence behind Belarmindar on her debut would also be of interest.
There is more to come from DASHING DARCEY and he can score again over C&D. Character Testing is surely due a change of luck. L'Eagle Aid and newcomer Belarmindar complete the shortlist.
This can go to DASHING DARCEY, who was impressive over C&D two weeks ago and is open to more progress.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (10/1 +9%) Whatsupwithyou |
10/1(+9%) | (1) Whatsupwithyou 10/1, Stepped up on his comeback when ninth of 20 in handicap hurdle at Cheltenham (21f, soft) 33 days ago. This is a bit less competitive but it's worth pointing out that he doesn't have the best of strike rates. Promising run at Cheltenham (wide throughout) and back into a Class 4 here. |
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2nd (9) (16/1 -167%) Kazontherazz |
16/1(-167%) | (9) Kazontherazz 16/1, Fair hurdler who saw her race out better on the back of a breathing operation when third in 10-runner contest at Hereford (25.5f, good to soft) 29 days ago. Likely to give her running again. Encouraging third back from wind surgery at Hereford (3m1f); fine over this far. |
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3rd (2) (4/1 +20%) The Bomber Liston |
4/1(+20%) | (2) The Bomber Liston 4/1, Fairly useful hurdler who didn't convince in trio of starts over fences earlier this year. Took a step back in the right direction when third in 12-runner C&D handicap hurdle last month but needs to build on that now. The cheekpieces are having a positive effect and was only 7l away here last time. |
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4th (8) (11/4 +0%) The Famous Five |
11/4(+0%) | (8) The Famous Five 11/4, Fairly useful 10f Flat winner in France in 2021 and changed hands for €250,000 after. Only twice raced for current yard over hurdles since but showed promise after 21 months off when third of 6 in minor event here (21.2f, soft) 23 days ago. Significantly back up in trip for handicap bow. Stable has a good record in this race and this 5yo is an interesting newcomer to handicaps. |
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5th (5) (7/2 +68%) Haas Boy |
7/2(+68%) | (5) Haas Boy 7/2, Would have made a winning handicap debut in this race 12 months ago but for falling at the last (9 lengths clear at time). Hasn't reproduced that kind of form since but had excuses on Warwick chasing bow/return and looks interesting now returning to hurdling. Had breathing operation. Unlucky not to win this last year off 5lb higher; not as good since but hard to ignore. |
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6th (6) (11/1 -214%) The Height Of Fame |
11/1(-214%) | (6) The Height Of Fame 11/1, Progressive from a low base last season, completing 4-timer at Exeter (21.6f). Handicapper looked in control judged on trio of starts upon returning this summer but back to winning ways from an easing mark (also tongue tied) at Wincanton in October. Up 7 lb but still much respected. Bolted up in this new headgear at Wincanton; back up 7lb but she goes well fresh. |
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7th (7) (17/2 +39%) Hermes Boy |
17/2(+39%) | (7) Hermes Boy 17/2, Not scored since 2021 and was below par over hurdles and fences last month. Blinkered for first time. Has to turn a corner but he's well handicapped again and new headgear may help. |
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8th (4) (16/1 -113%) The Turtle Said |
16/1(-113%) | (4) The Turtle Said 16/1, Fair bumper performer who improved sent handicapping up in trip over hurdles, making it back-to-back wins when scoring in good style at Worcester (20f) in August 2022. Shaped as if retaining all his ability after 15 months off when fourth at Wincanton recently and that should have brought him on. Mid-race mistake no help last time but others might be better handicapped. |
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|U| (10) (80/1 -100%) Sehayli |
80/1(-100%) | (10) Sehayli 80/1, Modest handicap hurdler who completed hat-trick in 2020/21 for Johnny Farrelly but hasn't really scaled the same heights since. 7 lb out of the handicap. Modest strike-rate of 3-33 and doesn't arrive here in convincing form; others preferred. |
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|PU| (3) (9/1 +18%) Mamoon Star |
9/1(+18%) | (3) Mamoon Star 9/1, Kept good company in bumpers and made a successful debut over hurdles at Taunton (16.5f) in November last year. More miss than hit since, however, beaten well before the longer trip became an issue at Sandown (19.8f) on most recent outing. Has to prove his stamina for this far and he's not always looked straightforward. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
The Height Of Fame is now 7lb higher than when winning at Wincanton in October, but Alice Proctor negates that rise with her claim and another bold bid looks likely. However, the Venetia Wiliams team have continued their fine form in recent weeks and handicap-debutant THE FAMOUS FIVE is fancied to take advantage of a potentially lenient opening mark. The Turtle Said ought to improve on last month's seasonal reappearance and is another to consider.
HAAS BOY would have made a winning handicap debut in this race 12 months ago but for falling at the last and is taken to gain compensation from a 5 lb lower mark. The Famous Five is an unexposed handicap debutant for a red-hot yard and has to be feared, while The Turtle Said shaped as if retaining all his ability on his recent return at Wincanton and completes the shortlist.
Handicap debutant THE FAMOUS FIVE (nap) is interesting back over further and his stable has a terrific record in this race.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (6/4 +70%) Through The Ages |
6/4(+70%) | (3) Through The Ages 6/4, Fair maiden on the Flat for Charlie Appleby at the start of 2023. 5/1, encouraging third of 6 in juvenile hurdle at Huntingdon (15.8f, good to soft) on NH debut 45 days ago. Can build on it. Did not live up to pedigree on the Flat and was remote when third on hurdling debut. |
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2nd (2) (4/1 +20%) Royal Deeside |
4/1(+20%) | (2) Royal Deeside 4/1, Fairly useful maiden on the Flat who made the frame in all 4 starts in 2023. 13/8, only sixth of 9 in juvenile hurdle at Warwick (16f, heavy) on NH debut 43 days ago so needs to take a big step forward. Fair on the Flat at up to 1m6f; flopped on hurdle debut but remains of interest. |
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3rd (7) (5/4 +0%) Therapist |
5/4(+0%) | (7) Therapist 5/4, A fairly useful 10f winner on Flat for Andrew Balding. Changed hands for 50,000 gns in October and she's an interesting newcomer to hurdling for top yard. Fairly useful Flat-racer; with top yard for hurdling career; ground a worry. |
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4th (1) (80/1 -21%) Biscoff Joe |
80/1(-21%) | (1) Biscoff Joe 80/1, Modest maiden at best on Flat and yet to offer much in three runs in this sphere. Others appeal more. Did not show enough on his three hurdling starts this autumn to warrant consideration here. |
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5th (5) (50/1 +24%) All Blues |
50/1(+24%) | (5) All Blues 50/1, Modest form on Flat in Ireland and beaten a long way in a couple of juvenile hurdles at Ludlow this autumn. Up against it again. Soundly beaten on both hurdling starts at Ludlow in the autumn. |
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|PU| (6) (33/1 +0%) Gusty |
33/1(+0%) | (6) Gusty 33/1, Gustav Klimt filly. Dam maiden on Flat (stayed 1¾m). Market can guide for this debutante. Fourth foal; dam placed off lowly mark on AW; best watched on debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
THERAPIST had an official rating of 80 on the Flat when trained by Andrew Balding and this looks a good opportunity to get off the mark at the first time of asking over timber. She looks an interesting recruit for the powerful Nicky Henderson yard. Torneo is feared most after a decent second on his hurdles bow at Catterick last time and is entitled to improve, while Royal Deeside is also noted.
Jamie Snowden's ex-French Flat winner TORNEO shaped well on his yard/hurdling debut when runner-up at Catterick and with improvement very much on the cards he can go one better. Nicky Henderson's Therapist also has some fairly useful Flat form to her name and rates the obvious threat. Through The Ages appeals as the pick of the remainder.
Preference is for TORNEO, who should handle today's ground and made a pretty good start to his hurdling career at Catterick last month.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (9/1 +25%) Beat The Retreat |
9/1(+25%) | (6) Beat The Retreat 9/1, Mild promise in 3 hurdling outings last season but well held-fourth of 5 on 22.5f Kelso handicap debut/reappearance. May strip fitter for the run but others arrive with more pressing claims. Didn't offer much on return from wind surgery (Kelso, 2m6f); trainer also runs High Roller. |
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2nd (2) (8/1 -100%) Dance Thief |
8/1(-100%) | (2) Dance Thief 8/1, Point winner who ran his best race over hurdles when second of 7 in 19f Carlisle handicap 17 days ago. Considered. Point winner (2m4f); solid effort at Carlisle back from a break; 10lb claimer booked.. |
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3rd (8) (10/3 +33%) Ambush Annie |
10/3(+33%) | (8) Ambush Annie 10/3, Little impact in trio of quick-fire hurdle runs for Neil Mulholland back in the spring. However, she has filled the runners-up spot all 3 starts in points either side of those exploits and switch to handicaps rates a plus on debut for new yard. Worth monitoring in the market. Runner-up in an Irish point (3m; stable debut) in October; needs a market check.. |
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4th (1) (11/8 +0%) Flash Du Pistolet |
11/8(+0%) | (1) Flash Du Pistolet 11/8, Placed twice from 5 starts in Irish points. Very nearly landed a gamble on Kelso hurdle/stable debut in October. Remote fourth in a Haydock Grade 2 next time but interesting now making a quick switch to handicaps, particularly if the betting vibes are strong again. Caught late on rules debut at Kelso (2m) penultimate start; contender on handicap debut. |
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5th (7) (5/1 +38%) Am Still Here |
5/1(+38%) | (7) Am Still Here 5/1, Well held in 3 qualifying runs this autumn but in good hands and rates a potential improver now handicapping. Keep an eye on in the betting. Soundly beaten; difficult to consider on handicap debut unless market speaks positively. |
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|PU| (3) (10/1 -11%) High Roller |
10/1(-11%) | (3) High Roller 10/1, Fared better than previously over hurdles (following a wind op) when third of 7 in novice company at Kelso (2m) in March. Had further wind operation ahead of return/handicap debut. Interesting to see what the betting makes of him. Undergone further wind surgery since finishing third at Kelso (2m) in March; best watched.. |
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|PU| (5) (33/1 -267%) Sea Prince |
33/1(-267%) | (5) Sea Prince 33/1, Modest maiden hurdler/chaser for R Mike Smith but he was runner-up off this mark in a 3m Perth hurdle during the summer. First outing for new stable after 105 days off. Failed to complete in two starts over fences; reverts to hurdles on first run for L. Kerr.. |
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|PU| (4) (66/1 -100%) Toucan Sam |
66/1(-100%) | (4) Toucan Sam 66/1, Not without promise on 2 of his 3 starts in novice/maiden hurdles for this yard and shaped better than distance beaten suggests when last seen over fences 14 months ago. Market may prove best guide back hurdling after an absence. Twice fared okay at Perth (2m, maiden/novice hurdles) during the summer of 2022. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
FLASH DU PISTOLET was far from disgraced when finishing fourth in a Grade 2 at Haydock last month and an opening mark of 104 could underestimate the gelded son of Westerner. High Roller is another who enters this sphere off a workable rating and Nick Alexander's charge isn't taken lightly. Fellow handicap debutant Am Still Here should prove more competitive under a light weight and he completes the shortlist.
FLASH DU PISTOLET will surely find this a lot easier than the Haydock Grade 2 he contested last time and can make a successful switch to handicaps with the slightly longer trip here likely to be in his favour. Dance Thief is second choice on the back of his second in a Carlisle handicap last time. Am Still Here and Ambush Annie are handicap newcomers who would enter the reckoning if the betting speaks for them.
Selection FLASH DU PISTOLET jumped well when touched off at Kelso in October, so is favoured over Dance Thief and Ambush Annie.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (8/1 +17%) The Ferret |
8/1(+17%) | (4) The Ferret 8/1, Modest form when fifth on 7f Kempton debut in July. Well beaten on soft ground at Salisbury 9 days later and off since. Modest form in two 7f runs in July; gelded since latest; improvement is required. |
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2nd (7) (9/2 +25%) Rosy Kiss |
9/2(+25%) | (7) Rosy Kiss 9/2, 25/1, showed a bit when eighth of 13 in novice at Kempton (7f) on debut 14 days ago. May do better. Couldn't go the pace in the straight on Kempton debut (7f) but plugged on; 1m should suit. |
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3rd (8) (2/1 -82%) Clear Storm |
2/1(-82%) | (8) Clear Storm 2/1, 18/5, very green when sixth of 14 in maiden (18/5) at Kempton (1m) on debut 42 days ago, nearest finish. Should be wiser now and this looks a very winnable race. Didn't live up to market billing on debut but left impression she could do much better. |
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4th (5) (66/1 -164%) Northfield Lake |
66/1(-164%) | (5) Northfield Lake 66/1, Hunter's Light colt. Half-brother to winner abroad by Sidestep. Dam sprint maiden half-sister to smart 1¼m/11f winner Spillway. Likely he's best watched on debut. Half-brother to a winner in Hungary; yard not associated with winning 2yo newcomers. |
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5th (1) (7/2 +61%) Fram Castle |
7/2(+61%) | (1) Fram Castle 7/2, 16/1, held back by inexperience when eleventh of 13 in maiden at Kempton (7f) on debut 30 days ago. May do better. 16-1, green and well beaten on last month's debut (7f, AW); bred to do much better. |
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6th (6) (9/1 +0%) Wannabeawallaby |
9/1(+0%) | (6) Wannabeawallaby 9/1, Price dropped from £67,000 as a yearling to 15,000 gns 2-y-o but this son of Australia starts out in quite a weak race and needs a betting check. 15,000gs 2yo; dam a middle-distance winner; probably one to watch on debut. |
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7th (9) (16/1 +0%) Mon Etoile |
16/1(+0%) | (9) Mon Etoile 16/1, Magna Grecia filly who was soon detached and pulled up early on her Wolverhampton debut 8 weeks ago. Can only watch after that. Pulled up early on her Wolverhampton debut 8 weeks ago; bred to be useful; check market. |
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8th (2) (8/1 -42%) Lennon |
8/1(-42%) | (2) Lennon 8/1, Twice-raced maiden. First run since leaving Freddie & Martyn Meade when seventh of 11 in maiden (11/2) at Wolverhampton (7f) 29 days ago. Early days for this good stable but improvement will be needed. No significant impact in two runs over 7f; new trip should suit but improvement is a must. |
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9th (3) (28/1 -180%) Lightning Bay |
28/1(-180%) | (3) Lightning Bay 28/1, Cable Bay gelding. Half-brother to several winners, including 7f-1m winner Light Lily and 1m-11f winner Solanna. Dam 1m/8.3f winner. Yard could ready one and needs monitoring in the betting. Bred to have a future and he's worth a market check in this field. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
CLEAR STORM showed her greenness on debut by being slowly away from the stalls, but she shaped well to finish midfield and she would have learned a great deal from that experience. The daughter of Storm The Stars could take a big step forward to shed her maiden tag at the second time of asking. Rosy Kiss could also improve a lot from her first outing at Kempton, while Lightning Bay is worth a market check on his debut.
CLEAR STORM was getting the hang of things in the closing stages on his Kempton debut and could take a significant step forward now. Rosy Kiss hinted at promise on her Kempton debut and might be the one to give her most to do unless the betting vibes are strong surrounding newcomers such as Lightning Bay and/or Wannabeawallaby.
Fram Castle and Lennon can do better but so should CLEAR STORM and she is tentatively selected.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (13/2 +64%) Tide Times |
13/2(+64%) | (8) Tide Times 13/2, All 3 of his wins over fences have come here (the latest over extended 25f trip in January). Hasn't been at his best in recent months though, fourth of 9 in handicap chase at Hereford (25.2f) 3 weeks ago. Comes here operating 5 lb out of the weights and others make greater appeal. Excellent record here but not in the best of form at present and he's out of the weights. |
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2nd (2) (3/1 +54%) Latitude |
3/1(+54%) | (2) Latitude 3/1, Progressive chaser who scored over C&D in March and followed up in good style at Kempton (3m) in May. Shaped as if needing last month's reappearance run at Cheltenham and likely he'll come on plenty for that. Worth considering. May have needed his return; C&D winner who is only seven and with 11 runs behind him. |
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3rd (7) (5/2 +0%) Gaboriot |
5/2(+0%) | (7) Gaboriot 5/2, 7-y-o who has thrived in recent months, resuming winning ways at Kempton (3m) and stepped up further on that when running out a 7-length winner at Doncaster (3m) 33 days ago. Jumped soundly then and has to merit respect again in hat-trick bid. Won his last two; strong traveller who jumps well and remains open to further progress. |
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4th (3) (20/1 -150%) Musical Slave |
20/1(-150%) | (3) Musical Slave 20/1, Landed 3m veterans' chase at Exeter in February and back on track with a good comeback run at Wincanton, helped by a better round of jumping than he often manages. Didn't take to the Cross-Country course at Cheltenham since and will need to keep the errors at bay here. Won off this mark in February; didn't take to Cheltenham's cross-country action last time. |
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5th (5) (17/2 -70%) Jimmy The Digger |
17/2(-70%) | (5) Jimmy The Digger 17/2, Held his form well last season, winning at Cheltenham (25f) in October and having an excuse when pulled up on his final outing (bled). Shaping well before an unfortunate unseat on return at Aintree but not in same form at Warwick 4 weeks ago. Still, he can't be dismissed from easing mark. Poor last time but he's better than that and has form here; can see him going well. |
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6th (6) (9/1 -80%) Quoi De Neuf |
9/1(-80%) | (6) Quoi De Neuf 9/1, Returned to winning ways in 4-runner handicap chase at Fakenham (21.2f) in June and dispelled pair of lesser efforts when second at Catterick (19.2f) 26 days ago, challenging 2 out and keeping on. This trip probably at the limit of his stamina. A difficult horse to catch right but was second at Catterick over a trip short of his best. |
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7th (4) (12/1 -100%) Jet Plane |
12/1(-100%) | (4) Jet Plane 12/1, Showed improved form when successful here (25.7f) in May and made light of 5 month absence to follow up at Newton Abbot in October. Probably best not judged too harshly on his exploits at Warwick/Sandown since but he remains 4 lb above last winning mark. Current mark looks challenging even he can return to form after a couple of blips. |
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|PU| (1) (11/2 +8%) Bobhopeornohope |
11/2(+8%) | (1) Bobhopeornohope 11/2, Produced a game front-running display when landing this race 12 months ago prior to a good fourth in a stronger contest at Kempton in February. Never figured on return at Warwick in November but return to a right-handed track a plus now. Better showing anticipated. It was only four starts ago he was a game winner of this 12 months ago off the same mark. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
GABORIOT bolted up at Doncaster last month and a subsequent 9lb hike in the ratings might not be enough to stop the progressive seven-year-old from going in again here. Quoi De Neuf found only an improver too strong at Catterick 26 days ago and he ought to be more than capable of challenging from an unchanged mark. Musical Slave should not be underestimated either.
A good quality handicap with the vote in favour of LATITUDE. Largely progressive over fences, he shaped much better than the bare result on return to action at Cheltenham 32 days ago and the balance of his form in the spring suggests his present mark remains exploitable. Gaboriot arrives in search of the hat-trick and is feared, with Bobhopeornohope fancied to leave his reappearance run at Warwick in his wake returned to this venue.
Competitive. JIMMY THE DIGGER should be happier on this ground than when labouring in the mud at Warwick. He's on a handy mark.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (9/1 +0%) Fortunate Man |
9/1(+0%) | (6) Fortunate Man 9/1, €210,000 buy after winning an Irish point in April. Didn't get the chance to show what he could do on last week's Ffos Las hurdle debut, hampered and unseating early. Irish point win; 15-2 with tongue tied, hampered and unseated early in maiden at Ffos Las. |
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2nd (18) (5/2 -11%) Strutter |
5/2(-11%) | (18) Strutter 5/2, Left his Warwick debut in April well behind when 3 lengths fourth of 13 in a course bumper 6 months later. Respected now hurdling for his top yard. Improved when hooded and held up in rear here in this second bumper; from a top yard. |
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3rd (1) (8/1 +20%) Arthurian Fable |
8/1(+20%) | (1) Arthurian Fable 8/1, Useful on the Flat (stays 1¾m) for Brian Meehan. Has a long absence to overcome but worth a precautionary betting check now hurdling. Useful up to 1m6f on Flat for Brian Meehan, including on soft, but off since July 2021. |
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4th (8) (28/1 -40%) Highway One O Five |
28/1(-40%) | (8) Highway One O Five 28/1, Fair form first 2 runs in bumpers. Given a considerate introduction to hurdling when sixth of 10 at Kempton (2m, soft) last month. Likely to progress. Placed efforts in last season's two bumpers; not so good in his two runs this term. |
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5th (5) (50/1 -52%) Donald Llewellyn |
50/1(-52%) | (5) Donald Llewellyn 50/1, Remote fourth in a juvenile hurdle back in 2020. Fair 3-time winner at up to 2m on AW Flat at Kempton in the first half of 2023. Should be sharper for comeback run there last month. Fair AW Flat winner this year; soundly beaten in 2020 on his only start over hurdles. |
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6th (19) (9/1 +73%) Willsburg |
9/1(+73%) | (19) Willsburg 9/1, Won the first of 2 starts in bumpers but well held on 19f Ascot hurdle debut 26 days ago. Needs to leave that well behind. Has notable form bumper/hurdle form in this field but better will probably be needed. |
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7th (13) (11/2 -10%) Salvatore |
11/2(-10%) | (13) Salvatore 11/2, Useful on Flat for Peter Schiergen in 2022. Claimed for €50,210 after winning over 1½m at Clairefontaine in July of that year. It's taken a bit of time for new connections to get him to the track but still an interesting runner, particularly if the betting vibes are strong. Flat pedigree; 2-4 on Flat in Germany in 2022, all at about 1m4f, fairly useful form. |
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8th (4) (40/1 -100%) Diplomatic Ash |
40/1(-100%) | (4) Diplomatic Ash 40/1, Cost €68,000 as a 3-y-o. Dam (c127/h118), 2¾m/3m chase winner (stayed 29f), half-sister to smart hurdle winner/top-class chaser (stays 3¼m) Minella Indo. Likely to need further judged on breeding but still worth checking out in the market. 68,000euros 3yo; well related; newcomer to note, from stable which runs three in this race. |
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9th (2) (12/1 +25%) David's Well |
12/1(+25%) | (2) David's Well 12/1, Placed on completed start in Irish points in April and showed a fair level of ability when fourth of 13 in a course bumper 6 weeks ago. Wastes no time switching to hurdles. Needs a lot better but he second favourite in his bumper and is well related for jumping. |
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10th (20) (80/1 -142%) Charmian's Place |
80/1(-142%) | (20) Charmian's Place 80/1, Fair form when reaching the frame in 2 bumpers in the spring. Well below that level when a remote fourth on Fakenham reappearance. Switches to hurdles now. Respected judged on the first two of her three runs in bumpers. |
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11th (17) (20/1 +20%) Star Of Affinity |
20/1(+20%) | (17) Star Of Affinity 20/1, Some promise when fifth in Taunton bumper and 2m Kempton novice hurdle 7 months apart. Open to progress. Fifth of 13 in a bumper and Kempton novice hurdle (2m, good); needs further improvement. |
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12th (11) (7/2 +71%) Pyrotechnic |
7/2(+71%) | (11) Pyrotechnic 7/2, Winner on the Flat in France. Much better effort in novice hurdles for new connections when 2 lengths second of 8 at Lingfield (2m, good to soft) 29 days ago. Flat win in France; has the best hurdles form (Ascot and Lingfield) in this field. |
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13th (16) (125/1 -89%) Shillanavogy |
125/1(-89%) | (16) Shillanavogy 125/1, Cost £65,000 after making the frame both starts in Irish points but well held in a bumper and novice hurdle at Ffos Las for his new connections. In frame in two Irish points; well beaten in the Ffos Las mud in bumper and novice hurdle. |
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14th (10) (125/1 -25%) Melton Mossy |
125/1(-25%) | (10) Melton Mossy 125/1, Has hinted at ability in a bumper/maiden hurdle but unlikely to be of any interest until qualified for handicaps. Beaten over 20l in a bumper at Sedgefield and 2m4f maiden hurdle at Fakenham. |
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15th (14) (40/1 -100%) Samazul |
40/1(-100%) | (14) Samazul 40/1, Half-brother to numerous winners and won one of his 3 bumper starts last season. Didn't shape with great deal of short-term promise on last month's Exeter hurdle debut, though. Bumper winner; tailed off when 12-1 for hurdling debut at Exeter (2m, good to soft). |
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16th (7) (300/1 -650%) Harry Gulliver |
300/1(-650%) | (7) Harry Gulliver 300/1, No more than hinted at ability in a bumper and 2 maiden hurdles in the spring. Best watched back from 7 months off. Promise on hurdling debut in April but faded badly when second favourite (2m, good) in May. |
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17th (15) (400/1 -300%) Sapperdean |
400/1(-300%) | (15) Sapperdean 400/1, Poor maiden on Flat (stays 1m). Outsider now hurdling. Bred for Flat but low-level maiden in that sphere; hooded except on debut. |
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|PU| (3) (11/1 +8%) Denburn |
11/1(+8%) | (3) Denburn 11/1, Made a winning debut in a Market Rasen bumper in May. Fifth of 10 there under a penalty 6 months later. Tackles hurdles for the first time now. Impressed in six-runner bumper at Market Rasen in May; not so good there four weeks ago. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Arthurian Fable was a more than useful Flat performer and commands a fair amount of respect. However, it wouldn't be a surprise if the outing was needed after more than two years off the track, so the vote, therefore, goes to HOME FREE. Dan Skelton's gelding looked to be a useful prospect in his two bumper starts to date and he can shed the maiden tag on his hurdles bow. Strutter is also worth a closer look for powerful connections.
HOME FREE offered enough in bumpers last season to suggest he can win races over hurdles so he gets the nod for Dan Skelton. Strutter hasn't achieved quite as much as the selection in his 2 bumpers but Nicky Henderson has won 4 of the last 5 runnings of this race so he's a must for the shortlist. Harry Derham's Salvatore has been off a while but he did show plenty on the Flat in 2022. Pyrotechnic looks pick of those with hurdle experience.
The betting moves should give important clues but perhaps this will be the right opening for HOME FREE, who has the best bumper form.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (11/4 -69%) I Love My Baie |
11/4(-69%) | (1) I Love My Baie 11/4, Debut hurdles winner at Perth who posted a good third of 9 to Kamsinas in Newton Novices' Hurdle at Haydock (15.6f, good to soft, 10/1) 25 days ago. Firmly in the picture with this return to a longer trip a plus. Perth winner (2m4f); has twice run well in defeat (including here) since; thereabouts. |
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2nd (2) (2/7 +81%) Magic Wave |
2/7(+81%) | (2) Magic Wave 2/7, Made light of a 12-month absence when landing odds in 6-runner novice hurdle at Market Rasen (20.6f, soft) 27 days ago, soon clear. Holds good form claims. Penalised for emphatic Market Rasen win (2m4f maiden); progressing well; sets the standard. |
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3rd (4) (20/1 -25%) Kandor |
20/1(-25%) | (4) Kandor 20/1, Irish point runner-up who showed promise for his new yard when runner-up in Hexham bumper in October. Only seventh in similar company at Uttoxeter following month but not written off now going hurdling. 2nd in a Hexham bumper in October; modest on heavy going since; tough test on hurdles bow.. |
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4th (6) (150/1 -50%) Smart Lady |
150/1(-50%) | (6) Smart Lady 150/1, Yet to offer much, tongue strap on for 1st time when pulled up in novice hurdle here (21.4f, soft) 9 days ago. Hard to warm to. Struggled in both starts, pulling up in first-time tongue-tie here (2m5f; 200-1) last week. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
I LOVE MY BAIE was last seen finishing third in a Grade 2 at Haydock and the five-year-old boasts strong credentials with stepping back up in trip a likely avenue for improvement. Magic Wave returned from a year off when proving a cut above the opposition at Market Rasen. Mark Walford's gelding has to enter calculations with the potential for more to come, while The Kalooki Kid, a winner on his second attempt over hurdles at Musselburgh, appeals most of the remainder.
MAGIC WAVE returned in excellent style with a facile success at Market Rasen and with more to come he looks the way to go. Irish challenger I Love My Baie rates a big threat though now his stamina is drawn out more while Musselburgh victor The Kalooki Kid and newcomer Kandor can't be discounted either.
Having emerged from a 12-month absence with an emphatic all-the-way Market Rasen win, MAGIC WAVE is preferred to I Love My Baie.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (40/1 -150%) Zandita |
40/1(-150%) | (8) Zandita 40/1, Foaled March 9. €26,000 foal, Calyx filly. Half-sister to several winners, including 1¼m-1½m winner Zannda and winner up to 10.5f Zanndabad, both useful. Dam 1½m winner. Newcomer to keep an eye on. 26,000euros half-sister to 5 winners (inc Group 3); dam a 1m4f winner; 7f sharp enough?. |
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2nd (4) (13/8 +14%) Moonfire |
13/8(+14%) | (4) Moonfire 13/8, Blue Point filly. Half-sister to several winners, including 7f-9f winner Dream Castle and winner up to 1¼m With The Moonlight. Gambled-on 6/5, green when third of 10 at Wolverhampton (6.1f) on debut 27 days ago. Surely more to come from her. Inexperience was evident when 3rd on last month's debut; capable of much better over 7f. |
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3rd (2) (9/1 -100%) Elderflower |
9/1(-100%) | (2) Elderflower 9/1, Twice-raced maiden. Off 9 weeks, 7/4, fifth of 10 at Newcastle (6f) 11 days ago, still green and not knocked about. Can do better. Ran well in face of tough task on debut; beaten fav latest (6f) but looks ready for 7f now. |
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4th (1) (15/2 -88%) Divine Presence |
15/2(-88%) | (1) Divine Presence 15/2, Foaled February 8. Dubawi filly. Sister to 1¼m winner Rajasthan. Dam winner up to 1¼m (Royal Whip Stakes and 2-y-o 7f winner). Top yard firing in the winners, including first time up. Sister to 1m2f winner Rajasthan; dam a Group 3 winner; top yard; obvious paper claims. |
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5th (5) (125/1 -150%) Mucha Muchacha |
125/1(-150%) | (5) Mucha Muchacha 125/1, Twice-raced maiden. 66/1, eighth of 11 at Kempton (8f) 14 days ago. Two 1m runs at Kempton haven't been too bad but much more needed to win in this field. |
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6th (3) (12/1 +0%) Midnight Drive |
12/1(+0%) | (3) Midnight Drive 12/1, Foaled February 9. €50,000 foal, €85,000 yearling, Ten Sovereigns filly. Dam, ran once, closely related to useful 10.5f/11f winner Hidden Dimples out of successful sister to very smart winner up to 8.5f Gregorian. Interesting newcomer. 85,000euros yearling; dam from a good family; the betting should be informative. |
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7th (7) (11/8 +45%) Tiaraqueen |
11/8(+45%) | (7) Tiaraqueen 11/8, Promising sort. Second of 10 in similar event (28/1) at Kempton (7f) on debut 49 days ago, well positioned. With improvement on the cards, she has to be very high on the shortlist. Lots to like about her debut 2nd at Kempton last month and she's also open to improvement. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
TIARAQUEEN made a very pleasing start to her career when second over 7f at Kempton and she can go one better. William Haggas' charge ran into a more experienced, well-fancied rival on that occasion and any amount of improvement can be expected from this daughter of Kingman. Moonfire is feared most after being well backed on her first racecourse start over 6f at Wolverhampton and she appears likely to be seen to better effect this time, while John and Thady Gosden's newcomer Divine Presence is one to watch.
Probably a good novice, with all the major yards represented, and TIARAQUEEN can build on her promising debut at Kempton 7 weeks ago and come out on top. Newcomer Divine Presence is very interesting for the Gosden stable, while there is surely better to come from Moonfire.
Moonfire is a likely big improver but TIARAQUEEN looked promising when second to a red-hot favourite on her Kempton debut.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (15/8 -7%) Love Tree |
15/8(-7%) | (6) Love Tree 15/8, Camelot half-sister to 4 winners on Flat and showed plenty when runner-up in 2 bumpers last month, although the reopposing Dameofthecotswolds was 2¾ lengths too strong for her at Huntingdon latterly. This sharp 2m should suit now hurdling. Runner-up in both bumpers, readily outpointed by Dameofthecotswolds in the latest. |
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2nd (5) (11/10 +33%) Dameofthecotswolds |
11/10(+33%) | (5) Dameofthecotswolds 11/10, Just under 8 lengths behind Love Tree on her Stratford debut but turned that around when proving 2¾ lengths too strong for James Owen's filly at Huntingdon last month. Leading claims now hurdling. Wiser to the job in hand when beating Love Tree in her latest bumper. |
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3rd (4) (14/1 -75%) Circle Of Hope |
14/1(-75%) | (4) Circle Of Hope 14/1, Sent off at 7-4 but finished 25 lengths behind Virginia Lodge in Fakenham juvenile on her debut 29 days ago. Cheekpieces worn on that occasion retained. Seemingly thought capable of better. Favourite at Fakenham but couldn't go with the front pair and was beaten 25l. |
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4th (3) (10/1 +64%) Bravewhenineedtobe |
10/1(+64%) | (3) Bravewhenineedtobe 10/1, Beaten a long way in 2 juvenile hurdles for Mags Mullins in Ireland last month, finishing third of 3 at Navan latterly. Tailed off in her two Irish bumpers (soft/soft to heavy). |
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5th (2) (40/1 -150%) Ask Me Another |
40/1(-150%) | (2) Ask Me Another 40/1, Ask filly. Dam, winning pointer, closely related to very smart hurdler/smart chaser (stayed 3m) Sam Spinner. Bred for further and best watched this time unless the betting vibes are strong. Fair pedigree; the only runner lacking experience and is probably best watched. |
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6th (7) (66/1 -100%) Raise Your Glass |
66/1(-100%) | (7) Raise Your Glass 66/1, 22/1, ninth of 11 in bumper (22/1) at Doncaster (16.5f, good) on debut 18 days ago. Needs to have come on a lot now switching to hurdles. 22-1 when tailed off in a Doncaster bumper when never better than mid division. |
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7th (1) (7/1 -75%) Virginia Lodge |
7/1(-75%) | (1) Virginia Lodge 7/1, Left her C&D debut behind when seeing off 4 rivals, including the reopposing Circle of Hope, at Fakenham 6 weeks later. No show in a listed race at Aintree since and might be vulnerable to anything with potential under her penalty. Penalised for winning a weak hurdle at Fakenham; nothing either side of that. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Dameofthecotswolds (winner) defeated Love Tree (second) in a bumper at Huntingdon last time but, while little is expected to separate the pair now sent over hurdles, preference is for VIRGINIA LODGE. Dan Skelton's filly was thrust into Listed company having bolted up at Fakenham in November and she could be capable of carrying a penalty to success now eased in grade.
DAMEOFTHECOTSWOLDS is taken to confirm last month's bumper superiority over Love Tree and make a successful start to her hurdle career.
Virginia Lodge is penalised for winning a weak race at Fakenham and preference is for DAMEOFTHECOTSWOLDS.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (15/8 +25%) Brave Kingdom |
15/8(+25%) | (2) Brave Kingdom 15/8, Useful hurdler who, following a lengthy absence, upped his form substantially when making all at Plumpton on chasing debut last month. Jumping seems an asset and there could be a good deal more to come, so he's worth a chance to follow up. 4-5 under rules including a chase debut win at Plumpton on his comeback; big player. |
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2nd (5) (10/1 -25%) Pulling Stumps |
10/1(-25%) | (5) Pulling Stumps 10/1, Progressive hurdler who showed something to work on when fifth in a handicap at Exeter on chasing debut back from 20 months off. More to come but this is a stronger race than he need contest. Back from long absence with a well-held fifth on chase debut at Exeter; others preferred. |
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3rd (1) (13/8 +19%) Theatre Man |
13/8(+19%) | (1) Theatre Man 13/8, Useful, dual-winning hurdler who shaped well under a positive ride when second over C&D 41 days ago. That form has been boosted by the winner since, so he makes plenty of appeal. 2-4 over hurdles and he chased home a big improver on his chase debut over C&D; respected. |
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4th (3) (18/1 -112%) Hector Javilex |
18/1(-112%) | (3) Hector Javilex 18/1, Dual maiden/novice hurdle winner last term who has improved again this campaign, running out a good winner of a Cheltenham handicap on New Year's Day. Raced keenly and faded from 2 out in the Pertemps when last seen but he's the sort to take to chasing. Triple hurdle winner but this looks a tough starting point over fences after 279 days off. |
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5th (4) (7/2 -40%) Amrons Sage |
7/2(-40%) | (4) Amrons Sage 7/2, Won sole outing in Irish points and progressive winner over hurdles last season. Positive start to chasing when second in handicap at Exeter on return and this trip looks sure to suit. Definite player. Point and hurdle winner who made a bold bid on his recent chase debut at Exeter; respected. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
An open contest on paper that could go the way of BRAVE KINGDOM, who was a good winner on his seasonal reappearance over 2m3f at Plumpton last time. Raised 5lb, Paul Nicholls' charge can follow up that success. Amrons Sage is feared most after pulling well clear of the remainder when beaten less than a length when second over 2m3f at Exeter last month and he is likely to be on the scene, while Theatre Man is also respected based on his second over C&D to a progressive type of Jonjo O'Neill's last month.
BRAVE KINGDOM looked a natural chaser when making a successful return at Plumpton last month and, with his jumping likely to prove an asset over these fences, he takes marginal preference over Amrons Sage, who should relish the longer trip. Theatre Man also warrants strong consideration.
An interesting race in which Paul Nicholls' BRAVE KINGDOM (nap) gets the vote ahead of Theatre Man and Amrons Sage.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (8/11 +71%) Soft Risk |
8/11(+71%) | (3) Soft Risk 8/11, Landed a bumper/first 3 starts in novice hurdles and lost little caste in defeat in pair of handicaps to end 2021/22 campaign. 20-month absence to overcome ahead of chase debut but no surprise to see him hit the ground running with yard in good form. Fine first season over hurdles; admirable second here (April 2022); back for chase debut.. |
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2nd (1) (4/1 -45%) The Flier Begley |
4/1(-45%) | (1) The Flier Begley 4/1, Fairly useful form when landing 19.7f maiden chase at Down Royal during the spring. Not scaled same heights over fences subsequently, beaten some way out in listed company at Navan (20.5f) 11 days ago. Return to handicaps a plus. Career best winning a beginners' chase at Down Royal (2m4f) in May; mixed fortunes since.. |
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3rd (2) (9/4 +36%) Salamanca Bay |
9/4(+36%) | (2) Salamanca Bay 9/4, Stepped up his form a notch when posting wide-margin victory in a Thurles maiden hurdle (16.5f) in March 2022. Unseated in Aintree Grade 1 a month later and absent since. One to monitor closely in the betting now chasing for new yard. Thurles maiden hurdle (2m) winner in March 2022; off since April 2022; stable/chase debut.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
All of these make some appeal but marginal preference is for MIDNIGHT IT IS, who has not been disgraced on either start since winning over 2m at Clonmel in October and he should appreciate the drop back in trip. The Flier Begley failed to fire in a competitive event at Navan last time but is a player based on previous efforts, while Salamanca Bay and Soft Risk should not be underestimated despite returning from lengthy absences.
Not the easiest of races to assess but SOFT RISK boasted a positive profile over hurdles during the 2021/22 season and could be worth chancing to hit the ground running now switched to chasing on the back of a lengthy absence. Midnight It Is is feared most.
With conditions in his favour, and also the most chasing experience, MIDNIGHT IT IS can win a fascinating feature.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (3/1 +54%) Habooba |
3/1(+54%) | (6) Habooba 3/1, Low-mileage filly who posted a very good second of 9 in handicap at Chelmsford City (6f) 29 days ago. Another bold showing is on the cards at these weights. Runner-up in 6f handicaps at Chelmsford the last twice; up 2lb but still has low mileage. |
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2nd (10) (9/2 +25%) Mumayaz |
9/2(+25%) | (10) Mumayaz 9/2, Seventeen runs since last win in 2021. 2/1, creditable 1¼ lengths fourth of 10 to Sixties Chic in handicap at this C&D (AW) 15 days ago, never nearer. Tongue strap back on and one to consider. Expensive to follow this year but he's more than capable of a big run off this mark. |
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3rd (4) (28/1 -40%) Ithra |
28/1(-40%) | (4) Ithra 28/1, Fifth of 6 in minor event (3/1) at Newcastle (6f) 35 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Needs a couple of these to falter. Ran poorly latest; chance on her best handicap form but others look safer; new headgear. |
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4th (2) (15/2 +38%) Bankrupt |
15/2(+38%) | (2) Bankrupt 15/2, C&D winner. 5 wins from 12 runs this year. Latest win at Wolverhampton in November. 12/1, respectable seventh of 12 in handicap at Southwell (6.1f) 8 days ago. In the mix. Ran okay off this mark at Southwell last week having won his 4 starts beforehand; chance. |
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5th (5) (5/1 +38%) Em Jay Kay |
5/1(+38%) | (5) Em Jay Kay 5/1, 9/1, good fourth of 12 in handicap at Southwell (6.1f) 8 days ago. Ought to be in the shake-up. Not beaten far the last twice and likely to be in the thick of it once more. |
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6th (11) (100/1 -52%) Roman Spring |
100/1(-52%) | (11) Roman Spring 100/1, 100/1, last of 8 in handicap at this course (7f, AW) 14 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Down in weights & return to sprinting/addition of headgear could help; others safer though. |
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7th (8) (4/1 -14%) Sixties Chic |
4/1(-14%) | (8) Sixties Chic 4/1, 2 wins from 5 runs this year. 4/1, career best when winning 10-runner handicap at this C&D (AW) 15 days ago. Must enter calculations. Making up for lost time in recent weeks, scoring cosily over C&D latest; big player. |
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8th (9) (8/1 +11%) El Hombre |
8/1(+11%) | (9) El Hombre 8/1, C&D winner. Respectable second of 11 in handicap at this C&D (AW, 16/1) 25 days ago. In the picture. Back to form when 2nd over C&D last month; same mark here and should be involved. |
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9th (3) (22/1 -83%) Libra Tiger |
22/1(-83%) | (3) Libra Tiger 22/1, Latest win at Sandown in July. First run since leaving Ed Walker when respectable fourth of 11 in handicap at this C&D (AW, 25/1) 25 days ago. Possibilities. Promising 4th over C&D on stable debut last month; behind El Hombre there though. |
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10th (1) (16/1 -129%) Impeach |
16/1(-129%) | (1) Impeach 16/1, 3-time C&D winner. 11/1, won 11-runner handicap at Chelmsford City (6f) 34 days ago. Not ruled out. Three C&D wins for former yard; off mark for new stable at Chelmsford latest; drawn wide. |
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11th (7) (28/1 -75%) Thismydream |
28/1(-75%) | (7) Thismydream 28/1, One win from 33 Flat runs. Only fourth of 5 in handicap at Salisbury (5f, soft, 6/1), slowly away. Off 110 days. Needs to bounce back. Poor strike-rate; drawn widest back from a break; stable have stronger claims with Impeach. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
A tentative vote is for EM JAY KAY, who was only beaten a neck despite being fourth over 6f at Southwell last time. Off the same mark, Phil McEntee's charge looks primed to offer another bold bid. Impeach should also be thereabouts after running on well to get up late over 6f at Chelmsford last month and a 2lb rise in the ratings doesn't appear severe, while Sixties Chic is also likely to be thereabouts.
Lots with chances. HABOOBA still has few miles on the clock and rates the pick at these weights so is taken to gain her breakthrough success. Sixties Chic heads the list of dangers on the back of her recent C&D success, with Tony Carroll's duo Glamorous Express and Mumayaz also well in the mix.
El Hombre ran well here last month but he may well have to give best to the thriving 3yo filly SIXTIES CHIC (nap).
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (3/1 -20%) Sacre Coeur |
3/1(-20%) | (1) Sacre Coeur 3/1, Well suited by the switch to front-running tactics as she won back-to-back handicap chases in October. Stiff task in Grade 2 hurdle next time and shaped as if still in good form in listed race back over fences at Ascot 11 days ago. Leading claims back down in grade. Went off too hot at Aintree but that hard race was only 11 days ago. |
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2nd (4) (9/4 +18%) Dr T J Eckleburg |
9/4(+18%) | (4) Dr T J Eckleburg 9/4, From his lower mark over fences, left his previous chasing efforts behind when winning at Worcester in September. Backed up that effort when third at Taunton last month, before resuming winning ways at this C&D 2 weeks ago. Going through a good spell at present. Pulled clear with the second when successful over C&D two weeks ago; up just 4lb. |
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3rd (3) (2/1 +40%) Gabriel's Getaway |
2/1(+40%) | (3) Gabriel's Getaway 2/1, Much improved for the switch to chasing, making it 3 wins from 3 starts with an emphatic success in Exeter handicap (19.2f) in April. Winning run ended at Bangor (20.3f) the following month, but shaped better than the result having pulled hard. Not discounted on return. Record of 3-4 over fences; market confidence would be welcomed after seven months off. |
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4th (2) (4/1 -100%) Feel The Pinch |
4/1(-100%) | (2) Feel The Pinch 4/1, Has had a productive time since joining Robbie Llewellyn, gaining a fifth win since March when readily scoring in C&D handicap last month. Rare poor effort back over hurdles 18 days ago, but no surprise to see him bounce back returned to fences. 6lb higher than for that recent course win but should give another good account. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
Gabriel's Getaway failed to justify favouritism at Bangor last time but he was ridden more prominently than usual that day, so he could be seen in a better light with different tactics on this occasion. However, preference is for SACRE COEUR, who was well-held in Listed class at Aintree earlier in the month but she now returns to handicapping off a 5lb higher mark than her victory at Plumpton in October. Dr T J Eckleburg is the pick for third over Feel The Pinch.
SACRE COEUR shaped as if still in good form returned to chasing in a listed contest at Ascot 11 days ago, racing exuberantly under testing conditions, so she is taken to resume winning ways back down in grade. Feel The Pinch has won 3 of his 6 starts over fences and is feared most, ahead of Gabriel's Getaway.
A trappy race but GABRIEL'S GETAWAY could have this run to suit him and he can make it 4-5 over fences.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (4/1 -45%) Pink Legend |
4/1(-45%) | (2) Pink Legend 4/1, Three-time winner during a consistent 2022/23 campaign, signing off with success in a listed chase at Perth. Lacklustre display at Aintree on return 11 days ago but no surprise if she's sharper for it. Good shout on form this February-April over 2m-3m; soundly beaten on recent reappearance. |
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2nd (1) (2/5 +45%) Galia Des Liteaux |
2/5(+45%) | (1) Galia Des Liteaux 2/5, Point/hurdles winner who scored twice over the larger obstacles last season and made the most of a good opportunity when landing a listed event at Market Rasen on reappearance. Sets the standard and should be tough to beat. Reappearance win was not her best but she would be hard to beat if building on that. |
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3rd (4) (7/1 +22%) Rose Of Arcadia |
7/1(+22%) | (4) Rose Of Arcadia 7/1, Fairly useful hurdler/chaser who can boast a good strike rate and wasn't disgraced in a handicap at Cheltennham last time. Not discounted. Probably needs to be back at her peak to hold any winning chance in this non-handicap. |
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4th (3) (25/1 +50%) Lilith |
25/1(+50%) | (3) Lilith 25/1, Put in a good round of jumping when scoring at Carlisle (21f, good to soft) in February but hasn't really fired since. Looks firmly up against it. Probably stays but has a very stiff task even if back to her best. |
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|PU| (5) (66/1 -32%) Swincombe Fleat |
66/1(-32%) | (5) Swincombe Fleat 66/1, Promising individual who found improvement when making a winning chase debut in 3-runner handicap at Warwick (20f, soft) in November but has disappointed since. Out of her depth at this level. Off 328 days; even best form makes this a stiff task; stamina to prove; left A Honeyball. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
GALIA DES LITEAUX found the drop in class to her liking when landing a Listed chase at Market Rasen last month. Dan Skelton's mare is entitled to build on that reappearance and she looks to have been found a suitable opportunity to go in again. Pink Legend has just 3lb to find with the selection on the ratings and the nine-year-old shouldn't be far away, with Tweed Skirt making most appeal of the remaining protagonists.
GALIA DES LITEAUX seemed to have returned in top form when landing a 5-runner listed contest at Market Rasen on reappearance and, in a race where her rivals have the odd question to answer, she's a solid choice. Pink Legend is an obvious danger if back on her game and Tweed Skirt is still not fully exposed as a chaser.
This looks another good opportunity for GALIA DES LITEAUX, who's been a fine sight over fences when outside the top grade.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (9/2 +18%) Cream Of The West |
9/2(+18%) | (7) Cream Of The West 9/2, Runner-up completed start in Irish points back in October 2020 and offered something to work on each of his three outings over hurdles, third in a novice at Hexham last time. Handicapper has taken no chances with opening mark, however. On a competitive opening mark judged on his Hexham third and is open to improvement. |
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2nd (6) (3/1 +10%) Enemy At The Gate |
3/1(+10%) | (6) Enemy At The Gate 3/1, Fair maiden hurdler who produced his best effort to date when second to Ballin Bay on reappearance. On better terms with that rival and should go well again. Second to Ballin Bay at Kelso and can improve upon that form if jumping better. |
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3rd (1) (7/2 +0%) Here Comes McCoy |
7/2(+0%) | (1) Here Comes McCoy 7/2, Made an inauspicious start over fences but back on track quickly returned to hurdles when third at Market Rasen (23.1f) in February. Filled the same spot on both subsequent outings, shaping like he'd come on for the run at Warwick on return. Not discounted. Respectable third on last month's reappearance at Warwick and could build on that run. |
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4th (5) (7/4 +47%) Ballin Bay |
7/4(+47%) | (5) Ballin Bay 7/4, Milan gelding who continued his progress when making a successful return at Kelso at the expense of Enemy At The Gate. Can do better still, so worth a chance to uphold the form with that rival. Made all at Kelso latest; unexposed 5yo who could have more to offer; highly respected. |
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5th (3) (20/1 -150%) Coral Blue |
20/1(-150%) | (3) Coral Blue 20/1, Three-time winner last season, including at this course in February. Offered little on return at Newcastle and, while he may strip fitter for it, he needs a career best up in trip. No return to form on reappearance but may have needed the run and could get back on track. |
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|PU| (4) (18/1 -125%) Nowinittowinit |
18/1(-125%) | (4) Nowinittowinit 18/1, Left previous form well behind when causing an 80/1 upset in Perth maiden (20.2f) in April. Followed up in 3-runner handicap there the following month and shaped as if better for run at Musselburgh after 6 months off. Has a tongue tie on now. Won two in a row in the spring and not written off but now has something to prove. |
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|PU| (2) (25/1 -257%) Mount Melleray |
25/1(-257%) | (2) Mount Melleray 25/1, Fair maiden hurdler who bettered that form in two outings over fences. Likely to need this return from over a year off, however. Long absence to defy but he's well handicapped on his chase form and is not discounted. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
BALLIN BAY made every yard of the running to deny the reopposing Enemy At The Gate (second) by a length-and-a-half over an extended 2m6f at Kelso last month and he is only 3lb worse off this time around. The son of Milan was returning from a 229-day break prior to that effort and may have more to offer to confirm that form. As for the latter, he ought to show up well once more and prove the main danger again. Cream Of The West completes the shortlist on his handicap debut.
BALLIN BAY and Enemy At The Gate came clear of the remainder when dominating the finish at Kelso three weeks ago and they're taken to fill the first two positions again, with Pauline Robson's charge fancied to confirm that form.
5yo BALLIN BAY (nap) made all at Kelso three weeks ago on his second handicap start and this unexposed contender is taken to follow up.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (6/4 +95%) Cephalus |
6/4(+95%) | (6) Cephalus 6/4, Eleventh of 14 in handicap (50/1) at Kempton (8f) 63 days ago. Chance if rediscovering old form. Tumbled down the weights for this yard; likely to revive when the money comes for him. |
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2nd (9) (15/2 -88%) Edmund Ironside |
15/2(-88%) | (9) Edmund Ironside 15/2, C&D winner. Winner here in November. Very good second of 10 in handicap (7/2) at this C&D (AW) 7 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Not taken lightly. Comes here on the back of two fine C&D runs but the widest stall tempers enthusiasm today. |
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3rd (8) (5/1 -25%) Split Elevens |
5/1(-25%) | (8) Split Elevens 5/1, Course winner. Good fourth of 9 in handicap at Chelmsford City (7f, 9/2) 13 days ago, not clear run. Unreliable sort. On a dangerous mark and he'll be bang there if they don't dawdle in the early stages. |
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4th (5) (28/1 -250%) Waleyfa |
28/1(-250%) | (5) Waleyfa 28/1, C&D winner. 3 wins from 10 runs this year. 15/2, last of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 15 days ago. Hood on 1st time and needs to bounce back. C&D winner; had excuse last time & she's on a handy mark if the new hood proves effective. |
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5th (4) (16/1 -256%) H Key Lails |
16/1(-256%) | (4) H Key Lails 16/1, Met some trouble when sixth of 11 in handicap (15/2) at Chelmsford City (7f) 13 days ago. Considered. Placed over C&D last month before a luckless effort at Chelmsford latest; contender. |
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6th (11) (80/1 -220%) Lord Clenaghcastle |
80/1(-220%) | (11) Lord Clenaghcastle 80/1, Tongue strap on for 1st time, last of 8 in handicap (10/1) at Brighton (9.9f, heavy) 62 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Needs a couple of these to falter. Just one win since 2018 and boasts a mixed record for this yard; opposable on balance. |
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7th (2) (14/1 -133%) Recuerdame |
14/1(-133%) | (2) Recuerdame 14/1, 3-time C&D winner. 4 wins from 17 runs this year. Latest win here in November. Creditable fourth of 10 in handicap at this C&D (AW, 7/2) 7 days ago, running on. Shortlisted. Hold-up performer with 11 AW wins to his name; should be arriving on the scene late again. |
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8th (3) (4/1 +38%) Flying Panther |
4/1(+38%) | (3) Flying Panther 4/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Kempton in September. Respectable sixth of 14 in handicap at Kempton (8f, 20/1) 63 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Tom Ward and can't be discounted. C&D winner for Tom Ward; sold for 6,000gns in October; career best needed on stable debut. |
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9th (12) (25/1 -56%) Blue Curacao |
25/1(-56%) | (12) Blue Curacao 25/1, Good third of 15 in handicap at Chelmsford City (8f, 16/1) 29 days ago. Shortlisted. Exposed maiden but not beaten far in a big field at Chelmsford last month. |
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10th (10) (40/1 -60%) Cap D'antibes |
40/1(-60%) | (10) Cap D'antibes 40/1, C&D winner. Eleventh of 12 in handicap (16/1) at Chelmsford City (8f) 62 days ago. Back to a potentially lenient mark. C&D winner; modest effort when last seen but he is on a dangerous mark. |
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11th (1) (9/1 +18%) Roscioli |
9/1(+18%) | (1) Roscioli 9/1, Latest win at Brighton in June. 25/1, creditable 2 lengths fourth of 10 to Recuerdame in handicap at this C&D (AW) 32 days ago. Can go well again. Infrequent winner; on a lowly mark but work to do with Recuerdame on latest run. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
EDMUND IRONSIDE was only beaten a neck into second over C&D last time and this looks a good opportunity to go one better. Michael Attwater's charge was only collared on the line on that occasion by a very well backed rival, and a reproduction of that performance off the same mark will make him tough to beat. So Chic is feared most after a narrow win over 7f at this track last time, while Split Elevens should also get involved.
More good times lie ahead for SO CHIC given she did well to overcome a poor position to score here last time and has seen that form franked. C&D scorer Edmund Ironside is feared most with Flying Panther not without interest too on his yard debut.
Keep an eye on Cephalus in the betting but perhaps a return to prominent tactics could pay dividends for H KEY LAILS.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (11) (11/1 -83%) Smiling Getaway |
11/1(-83%) | (11) Smiling Getaway 11/1, Won sole start in Irish points and shaped well when fourth in bumper at Southwell 10 months ago on sole run for Dan Skelton. Not ruled out now going hurdling for her new yard. Point winner in 2021; fourth in bumper on belated rules debut in January; off again since. |
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2nd (5) (6/4 +40%) Between Waters |
6/4(+40%) | (5) Between Waters 6/4, Successful sole start in points and she made a very promising hurdling debut when clear second of 13 to Lilting Verse in novice over C&D (soft) 41 days ago. Enjoys a 7 lb pull with that rival here so big shout. Chased home Lilting Verse over C&D on hurdling debut and has significant potential. |
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3rd (4) (7/2 +22%) Baby Sage |
7/2(+22%) | (4) Baby Sage 7/2, Made a winning bumper debut at Warwick and shaped well when second of 13 in novice hurdle at Market Rasen (20.6f, good to soft) 34 days ago. In the picture. Ran well in defeat at Market Rasen last month and features prominently in calculations. |
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4th (2) (5/2 +0%) Lilting Verse |
5/2(+0%) | (2) Lilting Verse 5/2, Listed bumper winner last winter who got off the mark over hurdles in 13-runner novice over C&D (soft) 41 days ago by 6 lengths from Between Waters. Saddles a 7 lb penalty but open to further progress. Player. Listed bumper winner who opened hurdling account with convincing C&D win last month. |
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5th (1) (8/1 -45%) All The Glory |
8/1(-45%) | (1) All The Glory 8/1, Won novices at Hexham and Market Rasen on her first 2 starts this season. Did all she could conceding weight to a potentially far superior rival over C&D 30 days ago and now goes down the handicap route. Respected. Dual hurdle winner; ran well in defeat behind a subsequent Grade 2 winner last month. |
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6th (12) (125/1 -279%) Spring Gale |
125/1(-279%) | (12) Spring Gale 125/1, In midfield in a couple of bumpers in the spring and lots more needed starting out hurdling after 8 months off. Ran okay on bumper debut in February but absent since a lesser effort in March. |
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7th (13) (12/1 -50%) Stuti |
12/1(-50%) | (13) Stuti 12/1, Southwell bumper winner who made an encouraging start in this sphere when third of 13 in novice at Market Rasen (20.6f, good to soft) 34 days ago. Not discounted. Bumper winner; good third on seasonal/hurdle debut; no surprise if she poses a threat here. |
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8th (7) (50/1 +0%) Emma Hamilton |
50/1(+0%) | (7) Emma Hamilton 50/1, Showed fair form in a pair of bumpers but well held in maiden hurdles at Ludlow and Hereford last month. Second in a bumper in May but soundly beaten on both hurdling starts last month. |
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9th (6) (125/1 -25%) Cotoneaster |
125/1(-25%) | (6) Cotoneaster 125/1, Tenth of 13 in novice hurdle at Market Rasen (20.6f, good to soft, 150/1) on hurdles bow 34 days ago. Lots more is needed after a wind op. Not beaten far on last month's hurdling debut but others have much stronger claims. |
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10th (9) (100/1 -525%) Mrs Tabitha |
100/1(-525%) | (9) Mrs Tabitha 100/1, Debut bumper winner at Bangor in April but disappointed in a Huntingdon novice hurdle 6 months later. Not written off. Clearcut bumper winner on debut but ran no race when switched to hurdling last month. |
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11th (8) (40/1 -60%) Marmalade Time |
40/1(-60%) | (8) Marmalade Time 40/1, Promising first effort when runner-up in Worcester bumper in May. Shaped as if needing run following 6-month absence at Warwick last time and not ruled out now going hurdling. Second on bumper debut in May but returned with a lesser effort last month; hurdle debut. |
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12th (3) (300/1 -50%) All Under Control |
300/1(-50%) | (3) All Under Control 300/1, Well held in a pair of 2m4f hurdles at Hereford this winter. Needs to take a big step forward. Well-beaten outsider in 2m3f hurdle races at Hereford on first two starts under rules. |
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|PU| (10) (300/1 -50%) Pepite De Amour |
300/1(-50%) | (10) Pepite De Amour 300/1, Yet to show anything under Rules and looks firmly up against it again. Struggled when 300-1 for last month's hurdle debut at Plumpton; upped in trip here. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
LILTING VERSE beat Between Waters (second) by six lengths over 2m5f here last month and she should be able to confirm that form under a 7lb penalty. As for the latter, she could also have more to come on just her second start over hurdles and could prove to be the main threat once again. Of the remainder, Smiling Getaway makes the most appeal on her first start for the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard.
BETWEEN WATERS looked a sure-fire hurdles winner when a promising debut second to Lilting Verse over C&D and in receipt of 7 lb from that rival now she can go one better. Fergal O'Brien's mare still rates the chief threat with Baby Sage, All The Glory and Stuti in the mix for minor honours.
Listed bumper winner LILTING VERSE was nicely in command in the closing stages of her C&D hurdle debut and looks the one to beat.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (Evens +56%) Gidleigh Park |
Evens(+56%) | (2) Gidleigh Park Evens, From a good family and having impressed when landing only start in bumpers, he ran out a good winner of an Exeter novice hurdle (16.7f) on return 30 days ago. Longer trip promises to be within range and very much one for the shortlist. Scopey sort and lots to like after his wins in Chepstow bumper and 2m Exeter novice. |
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2nd (6) (10/3 -33%) Fire Flyer |
10/3(-33%) | (6) Fire Flyer 10/3, Well-bred gelding who made a winning start in bumpers at Ascot (15.7f, good) 14 months ago. Disappointed final start last term but quickly back on track when second in listed bumper at Cheltenham (16.4f) on return last month. Exciting prospect now hurdling. 2nd of 12 in Listed bumper at Cheltenham (2m, soft); seriously considered on hurdle debut. |
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3rd (11) (33/1 -136%) Theformismighty |
33/1(-136%) | (11) Theformismighty 33/1, Expensive point winner who offered something to work on when fifth in maiden company at Aintree (20f, soft) on Rules debut in October. Yard going much better now and he should improve. Won an Irish point two winters back; 18l fifth of 11 at Aintree (2m4f; 6-1) in October. |
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4th (1) (9/4 -63%) East India Express |
9/4(-63%) | (1) East India Express 9/4, Easy winner only start in bumpers and looked potentially useful when winning 13-runner Kempton novice (21f) in November. Big shout under a penalty with prospect of more to come. Comfortable wins at Kempton (good) in a bumper and a 13-runner, 2m5f novice hurdle. |
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5th (9) (40/1 -150%) Pic Roc |
40/1(-150%) | (9) Pic Roc 40/1, Mount Nelson gelding who progressed with each start in bumpers, second of 9 at Chepstow (2m) back in April. No reason why he won't make his mark over timber. Showed significant ability last term in bumpers but others have shown a good deal more. |
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6th (13) (80/1 -100%) Touch Of Thunder |
80/1(-100%) | (13) Touch Of Thunder 80/1, Modest in bumpers and has only run to a similar level in 2 starts over hurdles in recent weeks. Likely type for handicaps. C&D sixth last time was improvement but he's surely best watched until going handicapping. |
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7th (3) (16/1 -167%) Itseemslikeit |
16/1(-167%) | (3) Itseemslikeit 16/1, Shaped like a stayer when fourth in a Chepstow bumper in October and, ridden to make use of his stamina, ran out a good winner of a Ffos Las maiden (20f, heavy) from the front on hurdles bow 4 weeks ago. This tougher, but likely there's more to come. Made all in six-runner maiden at Ffos Las (2m4f, soft) four weeks ago; has a bright future. |
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8th (7) (100/1 -100%) Jolyjump |
100/1(-100%) | (7) Jolyjump 100/1, €40,000 3-y-o, Kapgarde gelding. Easy to back and ultimately shaped like a longer-term project when seventh of 10 in novice hurdle at Kempton (2m) on debut 23 days ago. Up in trip. 25-1, no show when 25l seventh of ten in novice hurdle at Kempton (2m, good to soft). |
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|PU| (8) (400/1 -300%) Last In Line |
400/1(-300%) | (8) Last In Line 400/1, Saddler's Rock gelding. Half-brother to fairly useful hurdler Norse Legend. Well held eighth of 9 in a Fontwell bumper on debut back in April. Passed over now hurdling. 33-1, 39l eighth of nine in bumper at Fontwell (1m6f, soft) in April. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
EAST INDIA EXPRESS created a fine impression when making a winning start over hurdles at Kempton last month and Nicky Henderson's gelding appears one to keep on the right side of. Fellow unbeaten rival Gidleigh Park boasts a similar profile to the selection and the five-year-old isn't taken lightly stepping up in distance. The pair may dominate proceedings, although Fire Flyer has some fair bumper form to his name and is an interesting addition to this sphere.
Penalised pair GIDLEIGH PARK and East India Express marked themselves down as useful novices when winning on their respective hurdling debuts and rate the pair to focus on. The former gets the nod to maintain his 100% record now upped in trip. Fire Flyer, a useful bumper recruit, is also highly respected on hurdles bow. Itseemslikeit is another worth keeping an eye on.
East India Express, Fire Flyer and Itseemslikeit are very promising but GIDLEIGH PARK left a big impression with his wins.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (2/1 +43%) Artic Row |
2/1(+43%) | (2) Artic Row 2/1, Hurdles winner here during the spring and hard to draw any conclusions from his chase debut at Musselburgh (saddle slipped after clouting the second fence and pulled up after the next). Claims off this mark granted a clear round of jumping. Early mistake paid for chance on rules chasing debut at Musselburgh; something to prove.. |
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2nd (3) (17/2 -31%) Ardera Cross |
17/2(-31%) | (3) Ardera Cross 17/2, Notched eighth win here when landing a C&D handicap chase off a 3 lb higher mark in February. Dangerous to discount given his affinity for this course but he needs to bounce back from some tame efforts. Veteran; fine Ayr record (eight wins); out of sorts lately, so difficult to be confident.. |
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3rd (5) (4/1 +71%) Fathers Advice |
4/1(+71%) | (5) Fathers Advice 4/1, Several creditable efforts in defeat over hurdles but he's 0-18 in that sphere and he hasn't made much of an impact in 2 starts since switched to fences. Now tried in cheekpieces. Yet to win (0-22); didn't jump fluently at Catterick (2m3f) latest; cheekpieces applied.. |
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4th (1) (6/4 -200%) Busty Boy |
6/4(-200%) | (1) Busty Boy 6/4, Successful on 3 of his 4 starts in Irish points and, having displayed more encouraging signs over hurdles for this yard in the spring, he made a winning chase debut at Kelso (23.4f, heavy) in October. Followed that with a good second to a progressive type over the same C&D and he's the one to beat. Won rules chasing debut at Kelso (from 5lb lower) two runs back; the one to beat.. |
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|F| (4) (16/1 +20%) Gun Merchant |
16/1(+20%) | (4) Gun Merchant 16/1, Winner over fences at Newcastle in late-2021 but sparingly campaigned since, offering little in a handicap hurdle on his first appearance for 19 months at Carlisle recently. First go over fences since June 2022; could strip fitter since Carlisle; others preferred.. |
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|PU| (6) (40/1 +20%) Any Job Will Do |
40/1(+20%) | (6) Any Job Will Do 40/1, Poor maiden hurdler who has failed to complete on 3 of his 4 starts in this sphere. 10 lb 'wrong' at the weights. Maiden (0-11); hasn't shown much in four attempts over fences (P0FP); 10lb out of handicap. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Busty Boy exploited an opening mark of 100 over the extended 2m7f at Kelso on his penultimate start before finding a progressive rival too strong last time and he is likely to enter calculations. Having said that, ARTIC ROW could get the better of that rival on his second start over the larger obstacles. Nick Alexander's charge had excuses when pulled up last time, given the saddle slipped, and this may prove to be a solid opportunity. Course specialist Ardera Cross is also respected.
By far the most appealing option here is BUSTY BOY, who made a winning start in this sphere at Kelso and his subsequent second at the same course three weeks ago was no backward step. Artic Row didn't get very far on his chase debut but he is respected based on his hurdles exploits and is preferred to the veteran Ardera Cross for forecast purposes.
Granted a clear round, this looks the perfect opportunity for BUSTY BOY to supplement his October Kelso win. Artic Row is a danger.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (11/4 +8%) Ninth Life |
11/4(+8%) | (5) Ninth Life 11/4, 12/1, good second of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (10.7f) 75 days ago. First run for yard after leaving M. Halford & T. Collins. Hood on 1st time. Enters calculations. Ex-Irish maiden but has shown promise at up to this trip; hooded for stable debut. |
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2nd (11) (11/2 +31%) Goldsmith |
11/2(+31%) | (11) Goldsmith 11/2, C&D winner. 8/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, ninth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 10 days ago, slowly away. Looks competitive on form if shrugging off latest effort. C&D record reads 1132; likely to be in the thick of the action once again. |
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3rd (1) (6/1 +40%) Avon Light |
6/1(+40%) | (1) Avon Light 6/1, 14/1, creditable fourth of 9 in handicap at this C&D (AW) 15 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Considered. Fair efforts in AW handicaps the last twice; down in class with tongue-tie added. |
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4th (12) (22/1 -175%) Uzincso |
22/1(-175%) | (12) Uzincso 22/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. 14/1, last of 13 in handicap at Kempton (8f) 42 days ago. Up in trip. Multiple 1m winner at Kempton; down in weights but as a result of a quiet 2023. |
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5th (4) (100/1 -203%) Pour Me A Drink |
100/1(-203%) | (4) Pour Me A Drink 100/1, 125/1, ninth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 16 days ago. Down the field at huge prices in two runs back from a mammoth absence. |
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6th (10) (3/1 +40%) Raintown |
3/1(+40%) | (10) Raintown 3/1, C&D winner. Good fourth of 11 in handicap at Kempton (11f, 10/3) 14 days ago. In the picture. C&D winner off 7lb higher one year ago; promising run two weeks ago; contender. |
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7th (7) (18/1 -80%) Princess Niyla |
18/1(-80%) | (7) Princess Niyla 18/1, Winner at Chester in July. 15/2 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, ninth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 78 days ago. Visor on 1st time. Not really progressed since handicapping; new trip/headgear today but others are safer. |
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8th (2) (20/1 -167%) Ciotog |
20/1(-167%) | (2) Ciotog 20/1, Latest win at Bath in September. 16/1, creditable sixth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 36 days ago, left poorly placed. Can go well. Two Bath wins this summer; not seen to best effect in slowly run race latest; contender. |
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9th (6) (8/1 -60%) Red Treasure |
8/1(-60%) | (6) Red Treasure 8/1, Very good second of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 9/2) 37 days ago. Expected to be bang there with rider now able to claim 5 lb. Hung left in the straight but still ran well for 2nd at Wolverhampton latest; e-w shout. |
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10th (3) (11/1 +31%) Zodiac Star |
11/1(+31%) | (3) Zodiac Star 11/1, 20/1, sixth of 8 in handicap at Salisbury (9.9f, heavy) 76 days ago. Hood back on with work to do. Yet to shine in two handicap runs; down in class but comes with risk attached. |
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11th (9) (50/1 -257%) Sir Laurence Graff |
50/1(-257%) | (9) Sir Laurence Graff 50/1, 33/1, last of 5 in handicap at Chelmsford City (14f) 39 days ago. Back down in trip. Tumbling down the weights; betting likely to reveal when a revival is imminent. |
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12th (8) (50/1 -400%) Master Chartwell |
50/1(-400%) | (8) Master Chartwell 50/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Last of 9 in minor event at Thirsk (8f, good to firm, 50/1), possibly amiss. Off 168 days. First run for yard after leaving Edward Bethell. Makes handicap debut. Not built on debut promise but makes stable/h'cap debut after wind and gelding ops. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
RED TREASURE posted a respectable second at Wolverhampton last month and Ed Dunlop's filly must hold every chance now that Morgan Cole's 5lb claim can be put into use. The three-year-old is effectively racing off a 4lb lower mark and a third career success could be on the horizon. The downgraded Avon Light has posted creditable efforts in defeat of late and she is feared most, ahead of stable debutant Ninth Life.
RED TREASURE signalled she is ready to go in again when a very good second at Wolverhampton so gets the nod. Ciotog wasn't seen to best effect when sixth there last time so rates the chief threat, with Raintown and Goldsmith also in the picture.
The ex-Irish NINTH LIFE starts out for his new yard at a realistic level and can get the better of Ciotog.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (6/1 -80%) Cartonne |
6/1(-80%) | (1) Cartonne 6/1, Made a positive start to his chasing career when making all in back-to-back handicaps at Musselburgh (20.3f) earlier this year. Pulled up at Carlisle on his return, but left that effort behind when getting back to winning ways at Doncaster last month. Major player. Nicely on top at Doncaster last month and has only gone up 3lb. |
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2nd (14) (11/2 +39%) Martalmix'jac |
11/2(+39%) | (14) Martalmix'jac 11/2, Took advantage of a much-reduced mark at Stratford (19.5f) in October and, after not getting home upped in trip next time, he soon returned to form (following a wind op) when runner-up at this C&D 2 weeks ago. This is tougher from out of the handicap. Went close here 14 days ago; major claims if gelling with his new partner. |
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3rd (9) (5/1 +9%) Minella Choice |
5/1(+9%) | (9) Minella Choice 5/1, Lightly-raced 7-y-o who ran his best race yet when third on handicap hurdle debut at Market Rasen (20.6f) back in April. Appeals as the type to make a chaser so he's one to consider on his return from 8 months off. 2nd on handicap hurdle debut in April; second in a point so should be fine over fences. |
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4th (13) (25/1 +24%) Est Illic |
25/1(+24%) | (13) Est Illic 25/1, Thirteen runs since his last win back in 2020. Ran one of his better races when second of 5 at Ffos Las (19.4f) in June, but after a 5-month absence he was pulled up at the same course (23.8f) last time. Cheekpieces back on but others still preferred. Runs well now and again but he's hard to predict and had an off day last time. |
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|F| (3) (7/1 +30%) Jobesgreen Lad |
7/1(+30%) | (3) Jobesgreen Lad 7/1, Made it back-to-back wins when recording a clear-cut success in this race last year. Has been let down by his jumping on his last 2 starts, the latest after 8 months off at Doncaster in November, but he's now only 2 lb higher than for last year's victory. Enters calculations. Last year's winner of this but he was tailed off behind Cartonne only a month ago. |
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|U| (7) (11/2 +0%) Mister Marbles |
11/2(+0%) | (7) Mister Marbles 11/2, Improved for a wind op in 2021/22, making all in a Taunton maiden hurdle in March. Shaped as if better for the run when third of 6 at Chepstow on his chase debut last October and he's been absent since, but he could yet do better on his first run since leaving Philip Hobbs. Second chase run; potentially on a fair mark but with a bit to prove right now. |
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|PU| (5) (8/1 +43%) American Gerry |
8/1(+43%) | (5) American Gerry 8/1, Successful twice over hurdles in 2021/22 but hasn't managed to find any progress since. Looked rusty after 6 months at Newton Abbot in November and his mark has eased further as a result, so he's not written off as he makes his chase debut with tongue strap added. Chase newcomer; has become disappointing and below par for a while now. |
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|PU| (6) (9/1 +25%) Master Malcolm |
9/1(+25%) | (6) Master Malcolm 9/1, Produced a career best when scoring emphatically at Huntingdon (19.9f) in March and followed up with a bit in hand back at the same C&D 19 days later. However, after 7 months off he shaped as if amiss when pulled up at Warwick 6 weeks ago. Below par after a break at Warwick and has done his winning at a lower level than this. |
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|PU| (12) (10/1 +17%) Barrakhov |
10/1(+17%) | (12) Barrakhov 10/1, Modest winner over hurdles who has the physique for chasing and, after 6 months off, shaped as if needing the run on his chase debut in October last year. Has been off again since, but he should have more to offer over fences. First run for yard after leaving Fergal O'Brien. Fairly treated on hurdling best; chase debut not devoid of promise, albeit last October. |
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|PU| (2) (12/1 -20%) Inishbiggle |
12/1(-20%) | (2) Inishbiggle 12/1, Fairly useful winner over hurdles who, in first-time cheekpieces, returned to form over fences when runner-up at Uttoxeter (20f) in September. Ran to a similar level at this C&D next time but poor effort here on his latest outing, so bounce back now called for. Ran two fair races before finishing a remote fifth over C&D last month. |
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|PU| (4) (22/1 -10%) Aviewtosea |
22/1(-10%) | (4) Aviewtosea 22/1, Won 3 of his 4 starts last season, but patchy form over both hurdles and fences during the current campaign. running a moody race when pulled up in handicap chase at Market Rasen last time. However, he's capable if on a going day with cheekpieces back on. Patchy profile and never looked that interested last time; another change of headgear. |
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|PU| (10) (28/1 -367%) Ben Buie |
28/1(-367%) | (10) Ben Buie 28/1, Three-time winner in 2022/23 and returned to form when scoring at Warwick in September. At least as good as ever when following up at Hereford (20.9f, good to firm) a month later, but tailed off on softer ground last time so any rain wouldn't be in his favour. Prolific winning chaser but seems to need the ground good or quicker. |
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|PU| (8) (50/1 -317%) Pawpaw |
50/1(-317%) | (8) Pawpaw 50/1, Off the mark over fences at Hereford (20.9f) in March and doubled his tally at Fontwell (21.6f) in May. However, has finished well held on his last 2 starts, leaving David Bridgwater prior to his latest outing, so others more persuasive on his return from a break. Visor left off after two heavy defeats, including his debut for this yard in July. |
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|PU| (15) (50/1 +0%) Beannaigh Do |
50/1(+0%) | (15) Beannaigh Do 50/1, Offered little over hurdles but showed more when runner-up on his chase debut at Ffos Las (19.4f) in April. Hasn't been able to go on from that effort since, though. Looks to be up against it from out of the weights. Placed earlier this year and latest Hereford effort wasn't bad, but 11lb wrong here. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
It is hard to oppose CARTONNE, who appeared to have plenty in hand when winning over 2m3f at Doncaster a month ago and a 3lb rise for that success may underestimate the six-year-old. Master Malcolm could prove to be the main danger based on his Huntingdon double in the spring and he may have needed his recent reappearance when pulled up at Warwick, while Minella Choice and Ben Buie are others to note.
CARTONNE took his record to 3 wins from 6 starts over fences when making all at Doncaster last time and he can make a bold bid to add to his tally. Heading the list of dangers is Jobesgreen Lad, who won this race last year off only a 2 lb higher mark, while Mister Marbles is open to improvement as he makes his second chase start on his stable debut.
This looks tough. MINELLA CHOICE has the potential to be one of the better-handicapped runners on his chase debut.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (3/1 -9%) Etalon |
3/1(-9%) | (3) Etalon 3/1, Landed the odds on third hurdles start at Wetherby in January before acquitting himself well when fourth of 16 in a valuable Grade 3 handicap at Sandown (19.8f, soft). Looks a real chasing type and very much of interest on debut in this sphere. Promising novice hurdler last season and looks a very good chasing prospect. |
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2nd (6) (3/1 +63%) Martator |
3/1(+63%) | (6) Martator 3/1, Placed in Grade 1 hurdles at Auteuil in 2021 for Joel Boisnard but has generally found it a struggle for new yard. That said, he showed a bit more than on his first 2 starts over fences when third at Plumpton (19.8f, soft) last month having been well backed. Interesting in re-fitted headgear. Ran well for long way at Plumpton last month and looks interesting in refitted cheekpieces. |
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3rd (4) (10/1 -33%) Gallic Geordie |
10/1(-33%) | (4) Gallic Geordie 10/1, Showed the benefit of his reappearance spin at Wetherby when landing a 4-runner handicap at the same course (15.2f, heavy) 3 weeks ago. 3 lb rise fair enough and should make his presence felt. Looked as good as ever at Wetherby last month and now 6-19 over fences; respected. |
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4th (8) (25/1 -127%) Fiston De Becon |
25/1(-127%) | (8) Fiston De Becon 25/1, Struck at second time of asking for this stable in 2m Wetherby maiden hurdle in January before doubling up at Market Rasen. Rather disappointing at Chepstow on final run of last season, though, and needs to raise his game now switched to fences. 2-4 over hurdles for Olly Murphy last season; set pretty tough task on this chasing debut. |
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5th (5) (13/2 -8%) Wewillgowithplanb |
13/2(-8%) | (5) Wewillgowithplanb 13/2, Ex-Irish hurdles winner who did the job well on his chase debut at Fontwell in March. Turned over when odds-on for a 4-runner affair back hurdling at Hexham later that month but he has to be of interest returned to this sphere. Won at Fontwell on chase debut in March; up in grade for seasonal bow; still has potential. |
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6th (7) (13/2 -30%) Hecouldbetheone |
13/2(-30%) | (7) Hecouldbetheone 13/2, Dual hurdles winner as a novice for Gary Moore in 2021/22. Missed whole of last season but there were positives to glean from his chase debut effort over C&D recently (good to soft) and he's high on the shortlist. Gave it a good shot from the front when fifth over C&D on recent chasing debut. |
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|PU| (1) (6/1 +25%) In The Air |
6/1(+25%) | (1) In The Air 6/1, Dual juvenile hurdle winner in 2021/22 who got back on the scoresheet in a Fontwell handicap (19.2f, good to firm) in May. Excellent start over fences when second at Huntingdon on return but subsequent Sandown display left much to be desired. Didn't fire at Sandown last month but his chasing debut in October was very promising. |
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|PU| (2) (9/1 -100%) Mr Grey Sky |
9/1(-100%) | (2) Mr Grey Sky 9/1, Made it second time lucky over fences at Huntingdon last month and duly followed up at 19 days later at Chepstow (16f, soft), making all. Up only 3 lb and should make a bold bid for the hat-trick. Returned to fences with two front-running wins last month; ought to make a bold bid here. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
In The Air failed to build on a promising chase debut when being pulled up at Sandown next time, but Gary Moore's charge has scope for further improvement and must not be written off. That said, MR GREY SKY looks a more solid prospect having notched up a brace of fencing victories recently and he should have more to offer from just a 3lb higher mark. Gallic Geordie heads the remainder.
The vote goes to HECOULDBETHEONE, who shaped better than the bare result on his recent chase debut over this C&D and appeals as the type to make his mark in this sphere. Etalon and Gallic Geordie are also considered.
After an encouraging run at Plumpton last month and with cheekpieces refitted, MARTATOR might be poised to open his British account.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (9/4 -13%) Ayiko |
9/4(-13%) | (1) Ayiko 9/4, Champs Elysees gelding who was held back by inexperience when runner-up in a bumper at Roscommon (16.2f, good to soft) 6 months ago, keeping on when wandering final 1f. Looks sure to take a step forward on that effort here. Promising second on debut at Roscommon in June and leading form claims on this second run. |
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2nd (3) (9/4 +25%) Junker D'allier |
9/4(+25%) | (3) Junker D'allier 9/4, Kapgarde gelding who was beaten only a nose by a better-placed rival when second of 15 in newcomers bumper at this C&D (good) last month. Respected with better to come. Went very close over C&D on debut and could have plenty more to offer for his good yard. |
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3rd (2) (16/1 -191%) Cushendun |
16/1(-191%) | (2) Cushendun 16/1, Telescope gelding who shaped with some encouragement when third of 15 in newcomers bumper at this C&D (good) last month, every chance when hanging left over 1f out. Close third of 15 at 28-1 on last month's debut over C&D; entitled to respect. |
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4th (7) (12/1 -20%) Josie Alice |
12/1(-20%) | (7) Josie Alice 12/1, Winning pointer who didn't have the speed to fend off a couple of promising ones at the end of a slowly-run race in bumper at Bangor (16.7f, heavy) last Friday. Others more appealing. Point winner who was third on last Friday's bumper debut at Bangor; likeable prospect. |
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5th (6) (7/2 +42%) Young Getaway |
7/2(+42%) | (6) Young Getaway 7/2, Getaway gelding. Dam unraced sister to high-class hurdler (2m-19f winner) Iktitaf. Newcomers from yard often fancied. Newcomer; in-form yard has eyecatching 32% strike-rate in bumpers here in past 5 seasons. |
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6th (4) (7/1 -40%) Malicash |
7/1(-40%) | (4) Malicash 7/1, Malinas gelding who offered something to work on when third of 13 in bumper at Kelso (16.2f, soft) just under 6 weeks ago. Should build on that initial effort. Third on debut at Kelso last month; open to improvement and could have a big say. |
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7th (5) (40/1 -100%) Posh Et Noir |
40/1(-100%) | (5) Posh Et Noir 40/1, £20,000 Black Sam Bellamy gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to useful bumper winner/fairly useful hurdler (stayed 3m) Hollies Pearl (by Black Sam Bellamy). Yard certainly not renowned for bumper success. £20,000 3yo; should have a future but he may be one for further down the line. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
There was plenty to like about AYIKO's first start when filling the runner-up spot at Roscommon in June and Stuart Crawford's gelding gets the vote to put that experience to best use. Malicash shaped with a fair amount of encouragement on his racecourse debut when third at Kelso last month. The four-year-old is entitled to step forward from that display, while Young Getaway boasts a pedigree with more speed than stamina, being related to Morgiana Hurdle winner Iktitaf, and could have a say in proceedings.
AYIKO produced a promising first effort when runner-up at Roscommon back in the summer and with better to come, Stuart Crawford's 4-y-o is fancied to go one better at the expense of Junker d'Allier, who was beaten only a nose by a better-placed rival over C&D last month. Malicash and Cushendun can fight out third spot.
An interesting bumper. AYIKO was a promising second on his debut at Roscommon in June and is taken to go one better today.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (3/1 +25%) Sunset In Paris |
3/1(+25%) | (7) Sunset In Paris 3/1, Has made the frame on his last 5 starts, though promised more than he delivered when fourth of 10 in handicap (7/2) at Chelmsford City (10f) 40 days ago. Capable of getting involved. 14-race maiden but he's been threatening at Chelmsford; this track might suit him better. |
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2nd (10) (25/1 -56%) Dillydingdillydong |
25/1(-56%) | (10) Dillydingdillydong 25/1, Remains a maiden after 18 Flat runs. Never a threat when eighth of 10 in handicap at Chelmsford City (1m, 25/1) 67 days ago. Back up in distance. Exposed maiden at shorter trips; stamina for 1m2f has to be taken on trust. |
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3rd (1) (9/2 -13%) Star Of Epsom |
9/2(-13%) | (1) Star Of Epsom 9/2, Proved at least as good as ever when recording a fourth C&D success in 11-runner handicap (7/1) 15 days ago, overcoming trouble in-running. Major player at this venue. Four C&D wins to her name, the latest two weeks ago; up 3lb and drawn wide today. |
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4th (2) (13/2 -44%) Uther Pendragon |
13/2(-44%) | (2) Uther Pendragon 13/2, C&D winner. Back on all-weather after 9 weeks off, ran well when second of 12 in handicap (8/1) at Southwell (11.1f) 13 days ago, denied on the post. Can make his presence felt. Second in two of his last three starts and this C&D winner should have a big run in him. |
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5th (6) (40/1 -100%) Rainbow Sign |
40/1(-100%) | (6) Rainbow Sign 40/1, Course winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. Followed a good run with a below-par one when seventh of 10 in handicap at this course (1m, AW, 20/1) a week ago. Has something to find upped in trip. Two 7f wins here last year; not at best over 1m last week and stamina for 1m2f a query. |
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6th (3) (2/1 +50%) The Conqueror |
2/1(+50%) | (3) The Conqueror 2/1, Step back in the right direction when 1½ lengths fourth of 11 to the reopposing Star of Epsom in handicap (9/2) at this C&D (AW) 15 days ago, never nearer. Could be thereabouts having eased further in the weights. Strong at the finish despite having raced wide into the straight here last time; contender. |
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7th (4) (28/1 -133%) Forever Proud |
28/1(-133%) | (4) Forever Proud 28/1, Remains a maiden but offered a little promise when 3 lengths seventh of 11 to Star of Epsom in handicap at this C&D (AW, 80/1) 15 days ago, staying on last ½f. Needs to find more. Better effort here last time but still only managed seventh of 11 behind Star Of Epsom. |
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8th (8) (33/1 -65%) Hanoverian King |
33/1(-65%) | (8) Hanoverian King 33/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2021. Below form seventh of 10 in minor event at Chelmsford City (1m, 18/1) when last seen in August. Bounce back called for returned to this longer distance after a break. Mixed record overall and likely vulnerable from the widest stall today. |
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9th (9) (11/1 -38%) Warrior Square |
11/1(-38%) | (9) Warrior Square 11/1, Under a more patient ride, failed to repeat his previous effort when eighth of 12 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f, 6/1) 13 days ago. However, he remains lightly raced so he could still have more to offer upped in trip. Stamina not assured but he has hinted at ability over 1m and he's not fully exposed yet. |
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10th (5) (16/1 -45%) Star For A Day |
16/1(-45%) | (5) Star For A Day 16/1, Failed to build on the promise of her previous run when eighth of 10 in handicap (17/2) at Chelmsford City (10f) 40 days ago. Others more persuasive. Not beaten far over C&D last month but less good at Chelmsford latest; now 0-10. |
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11th (11) (22/1 -57%) Ceilidh King |
22/1(-57%) | (11) Ceilidh King 22/1, First run since leaving Hughie Morrison when ninth of 15 in handicap at Chelmsford City (1m, 12/1) 29 days ago. Has work to do having his first try at 10f with tongue strap reapplied. Modest maiden; never dangerous on stable debut four weeks ago; tongue-tie back on now. |
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12th (12) (100/1 -203%) Tiz Likely |
100/1(-203%) | (12) Tiz Likely 100/1, Making her second start in 2 days, always behind when eighth of 11 in handicap (22/1) at this course (1m, AW) 54 days ago. Looks to be up against it having another go at this longer trip. Exposed ten-race maiden; well beaten the last twice; hard to recommend. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Star Of Epsom gained a fourth C&D victory when landing the spoils here earlier in the month and a 3lb rise is unlikely to prevent another bold bid from the daughter of Sir Percy. However, she may be worth taking on drawn wide in stall 11, with SUNSET IN PARIS shading the verdict. The selection has been knocking on the door of late and a well-deserved first success looks a distinct possibility. Uther Pendragon and The Conqueror are noted too.
STAR OF EPSOM did well under the circumstances when winning here 15 days ago, leading close home having been denied a run over 1f out, so she can go on to land a fifth C&D success. The Conqueror wasn't beaten far when fourth behind the selection then and could be the main danger, with Uther Pendragon completing the shortlist.
This track may play to SUNSET IN PARIS's strengths and he can get off the mark at the 15th attempt. Uther Pendragon is feared most.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (4/6 +0%) Go To War |
4/6(+0%) | (4) Go To War 4/6, Uttoxeter bumper winner last term and looked set to be involved in the finish when jinking/unseating his rider 3 out on hurdles debut at Exeter in October. Creditable third of 14 in a pretty decent Taunton novice (16.5f, good to soft) next time and he remains with potential. Third in a good novice at Taunton and brings the best form credentials. |
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2nd (6) (16/5 +51%) Jour D'Evasion |
16/5(+51%) | (6) Jour D'Evasion 16/5, Shaped quite well in a bumper on debut and has made the frame both starts in this sphere to date, namely a C&D novice and a Huntingdon maiden. Remains open to improvement and he's one to consider. Fourth to a top prospect at Huntingdon; brighter prospects than a good many of his rivals. |
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3rd (13) (50/1 -400%) Lindy Reilly |
50/1(-400%) | (13) Lindy Reilly 50/1, £46,000 3-y-o, Kayf Tara mare. Half-sister to fair 19f/2½m hurdle winner Dorisa Queen. Watch the betting for clues. Wears tongue strap. £46,000 3yo; third foal; half-sister to 2m2f/2m4f hurdle winner Dorisa Queen. |
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4th (3) (9/2 -35%) Gentleman Jacques |
9/2(-35%) | (3) Gentleman Jacques 9/2, Fair form in bumpers and placed both starts switched to hurdles, latterly finding just one too good in a 16-runner C&D (soft) maiden. Each-way should it able to build on that. 2nd here last time; vulnerable to anything with potential but should make presence felt. |
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5th (7) (15/2 +6%) Myfanwy's Magic |
15/2(+6%) | (7) Myfanwy's Magic 15/2, Big step forward at the second attempt over hurdles when runner-up in a Warwick novice (2m, heavy) last month. Likely to pick up a race soon enough and he's shortlisted. 150-1 when showing huge improvement to finish second in a 2m novice at Warwick. |
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6th (1) (125/1 -279%) Chevington |
125/1(-279%) | (1) Chevington 125/1, Out of a winner and showed good deal of ability himself when second in 6-runner Hereford bumper on debut in February. Has failed to build on that since, though, and needs to get back on track now tackling hurdles. Doesn't look up to winning at this level judged on his bumper defeats at Hereford. |
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7th (8) (40/1 -264%) Saxons Lane |
40/1(-264%) | (8) Saxons Lane 40/1, Malinas gelding who hinted at promise when seventh of 17 in bumper at Kempton back in March. Also showed ability on hurdles debut return at Hereford but wasn't in the same form back there last time. His second at Hereford was fairly remote and wasn't so good on his return visit. |
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8th (10) (200/1 -506%) Top Of The Bay |
200/1(-506%) | (10) Top Of The Bay 200/1, Fetched £62,000 as a 3-y-o but well held on debut in a bumper back in October 2021. Failed to complete both starts between the flags since and it's probably best to look elsewhere. Hood applied. Has a lot to prove on a few counts but he's kicking off for a respected new yard. |
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9th (5) (200/1 +0%) Johns Dream |
200/1(+0%) | (5) Johns Dream 200/1, Well held on Rules debut in an Ascot bumper and fared no better on recent hurdles bow at Hereford. Placed in an Irish point; tailed off in an Ascot bumper and pulled up in a Hereford novice. |
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|U| (12) (200/1 -1150%) Kattegat |
200/1(-1150%) | (12) Kattegat 200/1, In good hands but she'll need to leave the form of her debut effort in a Hereford bumper well behind in order to take a hand in the finish here. Yard also saddles Lindy Reilly. Weak 22-1 chance when beaten nearly a distance in a bumper at Hereford. |
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10th (2) (80/1 -220%) Duc Du Rene |
80/1(-220%) | (2) Duc Du Rene 80/1, Half-brother to 4 winners and almost certainly would've finished in the money had he not stumbled on debut in a Chepstow bumper in February. Wasn't knocked about on return/hurdles debut at Ffos Las (15.8f, heavy) last month but probably more one for handicaps later on. Ability on bumper debut but hasn't built on that at all; best watched for now. |
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11th (14) (100/1 -52%) My Virtue |
100/1(-52%) | (14) My Virtue 100/1, Winning pointer but lightly-raced maiden hurdler. Posted one of her better efforts when third in an 8-runner Southwell handicap (15.8f, good) on latest start in May but this demands a chunk of improvement. It was a low-grade handicap in which she made the frame at Southwell in May. |
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12th (15) (250/1 -150%) Special Dragon |
250/1(-150%) | (15) Special Dragon 250/1, Has offered little in novice hurdles at Huntingdon and Bangor. Has made a low-key start in two novice hurdles (good/soft) and now goes in a tongue-tie. |
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|PU| (9) (50/1 -100%) Scrumpy |
50/1(-100%) | (9) Scrumpy 50/1, From a good family but hasn't shown enough in a couple of bumpers to suggest he'll be a force to contend with now switched to hurdles. Well related but tailed off in both his bumpers and reportedly bled in the latest. |
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|PU| (11) (300/1 -20%) Darquesse |
300/1(-20%) | (11) Darquesse 300/1, Hard to warm to based on what she's shown in a bumper here and Taunton novice hurdle. Has shown zero in a bumper here and a Taunton novice hurdle. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
GO TO WAR sets the standard based on his third in a competitive event at Taunton late last month and a reproduction of that level of form may well be good enough here. That said, Gentleman Jacques has made the frame on both hurdles starts to date and is likely to be in the mix once again, while Myfanwy's Magic and Jour D'evasion also make the shortlist.
GO TO WAR didn't do much wrong when third to Ballee (winner again since) at Taunton and, with the strong likelihood of better to come, he is taken to strike. Myfanwy's Magic and Jour d'Evasion can fill the places, while Gentleman Jacques is also accorded respect.
Jour D'Evasion and Gentleman Jacques should run well but in GO TO WAR they face another formidable opponent.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (13) (2/1 +56%) Park Princess |
2/1(+56%) | (13) Park Princess 2/1, €55,000 3-y-o, Walk In The Park filly. Half-sister to 4 winners, including fairly useful 2½m hurdle winner Reine Machine and ungenuine but fair chaser I'm Wiser Now. 1 of 2 runners for yard that won one of these last week. 55,000euros June 3yo; sixth foal; half-sister to four winners, two in bumpers. |
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2nd (11) (40/1 -300%) Northern Symphonie |
40/1(-300%) | (11) Northern Symphonie 40/1, Geordieland filly. Sister to fair French chaser L'Irlandaise, and half-sister to numerous winners, including fairly useful hurdler/fair chaser Grand Gold, stays 2½m. One to note on debut. Sister to French 2m4f/2m6f cross-country winner L'Irlandaise, half-sister to seven winners. |
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3rd (7) (12/1 -20%) Habibi |
12/1(-20%) | (7) Habibi 12/1, €11,000 3-y-o, Wings of Eagles filly. Half-sister to 2 winners, including bumper winner/useful 2m hurdle winner Viva Devito. Dam unraced. One for shortlist on debut given connections. Wears hood. 11,000euros May 3yo; hooded for debut; strong yard is 7-25 in bumpers this term. |
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4th (5) (7/2 +22%) Dance The Moon |
7/2(+22%) | (5) Dance The Moon 7/2, Sea The Moon filly. Half-sister to numerous winners, including smart hurdler/useful chaser Thomas Campbell and useful hurdler/chaser Lisp. Makes lots of appeal on paper. Ninth foal; half-sister to eight winners; dam 2m Flat and useful 2m3f-3m hurdle winner. |
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5th (16) (66/1 +34%) Sally Mclennane |
66/1(+34%) | (16) Sally Mclennane 66/1, 2,000 gns 3-y-o, Wings of Eagles filly. Half-sister to bumper winner Newmill Getaway. Dam, winning pointer, out of unraced half-sister to Champion Chase winner Newmill. 2,000gns July 3yo; half-sister to bumper winner Newmill Getaway; dam point winner. |
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6th (2) (13/2 +7%) Briefly |
13/2(+7%) | (2) Briefly 13/2, Passing Glance filly. Dam bumper winner, half-sister to smart hurdler/useful chaser (stayed 3m) Thomas Brown. 1 of 2 runners for yard that won one of these last week. Of obvious interest on debut. £10,000 yearling; 2nd foal; dam bumper winner; yard (runs two) has plenty of bumper wins. |
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7th (10) (20/1 -67%) Masala Chai |
20/1(-67%) | (10) Masala Chai 20/1, Gregorian filly. Half-sister to 4 winners, including fair hurdler Kentucky Hardboot. Sixth foal; half-sister to four winners; dam Listed-placed 7f-1m3f winner. |
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8th (14) (25/1 -150%) Pepite De Saphir |
25/1(-150%) | (14) Pepite De Saphir 25/1, Scorpion filly. Dam 2m-2¾m hurdle/chase winner. 4th foal; dam the 2m-2m6f hurdle/smart chase winner Pepite Rose; yard won bumper last week. |
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9th (4) (10/1 +29%) Chattamento |
10/1(+29%) | (4) Chattamento 10/1, Casamento filly. Dam, French 17f hurdle winner, half-sister to multiple bumper winner/fair hurdler (stays 25f) Coquelicot. Interesting newcomer. Third foal; dam French 2m1f hurdle winner, half-sister to smart Heartbreak City. |
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10th (15) (125/1 -25%) Prairie Queen |
125/1(-25%) | (15) Prairie Queen 125/1, Half-sister to 2 winners, including bumper winner Pour Joie. 25/1, faded in similar event at Stratford 7 weeks ago. 25-1 seventh of nine at Stratford (2m, soft) with Flighttothestars about 9l ahead of her. |
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11th (3) (28/1 -300%) Brionywells |
28/1(-300%) | (3) Brionywells 28/1, Jack Hobbs filly. Dam, modest 2½m-3m chase winner, sister to useful hurdler (stayed 3m) Constantine Bay. Stable’s bumper runners always respected. Interesting newcomer for a strong stable which also runs the once-raced Maria's Flame. |
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12th (8) (66/1 +0%) Kilberry |
66/1(+0%) | (8) Kilberry 66/1, Bred to need time and distance and looked green on debut at Huntingdon 25 days ago. Hard to fancy in this. 9-1 for maiden at Huntingdon (1m5f, good) last month but faded to go down by 26l. |
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13th (17) (150/1 -275%) Surrey Nemesis |
150/1(-275%) | (17) Surrey Nemesis 150/1, Linda's Lad filly. Half-sister to modest 1¼m-1½m winner on Flat Das Kapital. Dam lightly raced on Flat. £5,000 2yo; third foal; half-sister to 1m2f/1m4f winner Das Kapital (RPR 62). |
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14th (12) (20/1 -25%) Order Of Progress |
20/1(-25%) | (12) Order Of Progress 20/1, Blue Bresil filly. Dam lightly raced over hurdles, 7f-9f winner who stayed 11f on Flat. One to take seriously on debut. £7,500 April 3yo; fourth foal; dam 7f 2yo/1m1f winner (RPR 70). |
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15th (6) (20/1 +0%) Flighttothestars |
20/1(+0%) | (6) Flighttothestars 20/1, Wings of Eagles filly. Dam maiden hurdler, sister to fair hurdle winner/smart chaser (stayed 2½m) Arthur's Oak. 20/1, offered something to work on in similar event at Stratford 7 weeks ago. Has had a breathing operation since. 20-1 fourth of nine at Stratford (2m, soft) seven weeks ago; had win surgery soon after. |
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16th (1) (66/1 -32%) Brenda |
66/1(-32%) | (1) Brenda 66/1, Dunaden filly. Dam 2m-2½m hurdle/chase winner, half-sister to fairly useful French hurdler/chaser (2¼m-21f winner) Great Parade. Fair bit to like on paper but yard not synonymous with bumper winners. Second foal; dam 2m-2m4f hurdle/chase winner; one of several from Flat-centred yards. |
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17th (9) (11/2 -57%) Maria's Flame |
11/2(-57%) | (9) Maria's Flame 11/2, From a successful NH family and shaped very well on debut at Ludlow 6 weeks ago, making up a copious amount of late ground from a less-than-ideal position and finishing with running left. Will know more now and sure to improve. 3-1 favourite at Ludlow (2m, good to soft), running on well from the back for fourth of 11. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
A wide-open contest to round off proceedings, in which only a tentative vote can go to MARIA'S FLAME. Fergal O'Brien's filly, who finished a creditable fourth on her debut at Ludlow, could take advantage of the experience gained on that occasion. The Anthony Honeyball pair, Park Princess and Briefly, are worth monitoring in the betting ahead of their respective debuts, while others to note include Dance The Moon and Flighttothestars.
The betting will be informative in this 3-y-o bumper but DANCE THE MOON makes stacks of appeal on paper for Alan King and is chanced before market clues. Maria's Flame made a very promising start at Ludlow and seems to improve and make her presence felt. Anthony Honeyball runs an interesting pair in Briefly and Park Princess, while Chattamento is another newcomer to note.
Only four have run, with Maria's Flame the most eyecatching. DANCE THE MOON's pedigree includes plenty of serious performers.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Phil's Dream |
(17) (25/1 +0%)25/1(+0%) | (17) Phil's Dream 25/1, 5/1, probably needed the run in first-time blinkers after 4 months off when 9¼ lengths tenth of 12 to Senado Square in handicap at this course (6f) 5 days ago. RESERVE. Third reserve, ordinary form on turf, well-fancied last week on AW debut, posed no threat. |
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1st (4) (3/1 +14%) Samrogue |
3/1(+14%) | (4) Samrogue 3/1, 3-time C&D winner, latest in November. 7/2, creditable ¾-length third of 14 to Senado Square in handicap at this C&D 19 days ago, slowly away. Looks competitive on form. Third behind Senado Square and Havana Notion last time when drawn high, merits respect. |
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2nd (10) (11/2 +66%) Below Deck |
11/2(+66%) | (10) Below Deck 11/2, 13/2, shaped as if still in good form when 2 lengths fifth of 14 to Senado Square in handicap at this C&D 19 days ago, doing too much too soon. Fifth on latest, has to reverse that form with Senado Square, Havana Notion and Samrogue. |
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3rd (6) (13/2 -44%) Havana Notion |
13/2(-44%) | (6) Havana Notion 13/2, 13/2, wasted no time getting back to form when neck second of 14 to Senado Square in handicap at this C&D 19 days ago. Can make presence felt. Holds a leading chance now following neck second to Senado Square with Samrogue in third. |
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4th (1) (11/2 +21%) Loma Larnee |
11/2(+21%) | (1) Loma Larnee 11/2, 18/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, resumed progress after 12 weeks off when third of 9 in maiden at this course (6f) 7 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Makes handicap debut. Gave a solid display when third behind the two market leaders in a maiden here last week. |
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5th (5) (40/1 -233%) Reinforce |
40/1(-233%) | (5) Reinforce 40/1, 9/2, not in same form as previously when tenth of 13 in handicap at this course (6f) 2 weeks ago. Eyeshields on 1st time, tongue strap back on. Can bounce back. Decent form in maidens especially early in juvenile campaign, has become disappointing. |
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6th (12) (80/1 -142%) Maggie Thunder |
80/1(-142%) | (12) Maggie Thunder 80/1, 3-time C&D winner. Twenty three runs since last win in 2021. Failed to come on for recent run when 6½ lengths tenth of 14 to Senado Square in handicap at this C&D (40/1) 19 days ago. Three-time C&D winner; has struggled on turf and at this venue during light 2023 campaign. |
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7th (8) (40/1 -150%) Adams Barbour |
40/1(-150%) | (8) Adams Barbour 40/1, 5-time C&D winner. Eighteen runs since last win in 2022. Ran badly when 8¼ lengths twelfth of 14 to Senado Square in handicap at this C&D (9/1) 19 days ago. All seven wins have come here but now apparently in decline, plenty to find on recent form. |
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8th (2) (5/4 +9%) Senado Square |
5/4(+9%) | (2) Senado Square 5/4, Improved again to make it 2 wins from his last 3 starts in 12-runner handicap (10/3) at this course (6f) 5 days ago, readily. Carries penalty and has to be taken seriously in his current mood. C&D winner, has a 7lb penalty after last week's 6f win, due to go up 12lb, obvious chance. |
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9th (14) (125/1 -89%) Tynan |
125/1(-89%) | (14) Tynan 125/1, 80/1, showed little again after 5 months off when eighth of 14 in handicap at this course (6f) 2 weeks ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Career-best when second over C&D just over a year ago, nothing else of merit in his form. |
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10th (3) (16/1 +0%) Lockdown |
16/1(+0%) | (3) Lockdown 16/1, Twelve runs since sole win in 2021. 11/1, ninth of 14 in handicap at this course (6f) 26 days ago. Runner-up over 6f here in October, failed to reproduce form over the same trip last time. |
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11th (15) (125/1 -89%) Imperial Khan |
125/1(-89%) | (15) Imperial Khan 125/1, 100/1, offered little on first outing since leaving Paul Midgley after 4 months off when ninth of 10 in handicap at this C&D 12 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time, cheekpieces back on. Others more persuasive. RESERVE. First reserve, turf winner in Britain, in rear over C&D on recent Irish debut. |
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12th (13) (250/1 -279%) Qalahari Queen |
250/1(-279%) | (13) Qalahari Queen 250/1, Visored for 1st time, eleventh of 14 in handicap (100/1) at this course (7f) 7 days ago. Down in trip. Never closer than eighth in six handicap appearances, little apparent chance. |
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13th (11) (66/1 -32%) Just Another |
66/1(-32%) | (11) Just Another 66/1, One win from 23 Flat runs. Sixteen runs since last win in 2022. Below form seventh of 14 in handicap (50/1) at this course (6f) 2 weeks ago. Newcastle AW winner, recent course form does not inspire confidence, held by Senado Square. |
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14th (9) (150/1 -200%) If But Maybe |
150/1(-200%) | (9) If But Maybe 150/1, 150/1 and in hood/tongue strap for 1st time, hinted at temperament when last of 14 in maiden at this course (8f) 19 days ago. Visor on 1st time. Makes handicap debut. Best of three course maiden runs when fourth over 6f on debut, poor over 5f and 1m since. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
SAMROGUE could get her revenge on Senado Square. She was a close third behind him over C&D last month, but has a big pull in the weights now and is better drawn on this occasion. Senado Square is a big, strong horse who has really come to himself in winning two of his last three races in Dundalk. He races under the 7lb penalty for winning over 6f last Friday. His trainer, Andy Slattery, has often said he works like a higher-rated horse at home. Havana Notion has to enter the equation having split Senado Square and Samrogue in second in that aforementioned race when only caught close home. He has the best draw in stall one. Loma Larnee showed ability in third on Polytrack debut last week and gets first-time cheekpieces.
SENADO SQUARE, Havana Notion and Samrogue finished 1-2-3 when meeting over C&D at the beginning of the month and a repeat is certainly not beyond the realms of possibility with the selection having won again over 6f here last Friday. Loma Larnee put up an improved effort when third here last week and she's worth a second look fitted with cheekpieces for her handicap debut, too.
Set to go up 12lb as a result of last Friday's 6f win SENADO SQUARE has an obvious chance of defying the mandatory 7lb extra.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (12) (18/1 -13%) Enchanted Garden |
18/1(-13%) | (12) Enchanted Garden 18/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 40/1, seventh of 14 in maiden at this C&D 28 days ago, never better than midfield. Work to do making handicap debut. Hinted at improvement on her first visit to this track, of some interest on handicap debut. |
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2nd (7) (8/1 -14%) The Bear Trap |
8/1(-14%) | (7) The Bear Trap 8/1, Unreliable sort. 4/1, first run since leaving Mrs J. Harrington when respectable seventh of 14 in nursery at this C&D 75 days ago. Capable of playing a part if putting it all together. Second in a Down Royal nursery and a Fairyhouse claimer, not as good at this venue. |
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3rd (2) (12/1 -85%) Blue Soul |
12/1(-85%) | (2) Blue Soul 12/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 15/2, ninth of 13 in maiden at this course (8f) 12 days ago. Yard having good spell. Makes handicap debut. May be vulnerable on handicap debut; deserted by Colin Keane who has partnered her twice.. |
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4th (13) (13/2 +59%) Gregorina |
13/2(+59%) | (13) Gregorina 13/2, 33/1 and visored for 1st time, creditable fifth of 12 in nursery at this course (8f) 14 days ago, never nearer. Not out of things. Only a head behind Alto Sax here two weeks ago, also closely matched with Special Angel. |
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5th (1) (Evens +56%) Alto Sax |
Evens(+56%) | (1) Alto Sax Evens, Lightly-raced maiden. 5/2, respectable fourth of 12 in nursery at this course (8f) 14 days ago. One of 3 runners from this yard and respected with Colin Keane aboard. Only fourth behind a longer-priced stablemate last time, should go close despite high draw. |
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6th (11) (20/1 -43%) Mary Bagot |
20/1(-43%) | (11) Mary Bagot 20/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Eleventh of 14 in maiden at this course (6f, 125/1) 19 days ago. Stable in good form. Makes handicap debut and return to this longer trip may help. Hard to take much encouragement from two course maiden outings since joining this team. |
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7th (4) (16/1 -146%) Masonbrook Meadow |
16/1(-146%) | (4) Masonbrook Meadow 16/1, 16/5, ninth of 10 in nursery at this course (6f) 7 days ago, lost all chance at start due to stalls malfunction. Displayed fair form previously upon joining present stable and not dismissed out of hand. Lost ground at the start over 6f last week, better judged on previous 7f/1m displays. |
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8th (14) (150/1 -200%) Maple Star |
150/1(-200%) | (14) Maple Star 150/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 250/1, twelfth of 14 in maiden at this course (5f) 14 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Visored for 1st time. Makes handicap debut. Towards the back in three maiden runs including over 5f at this track, makes no appeal. |
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9th (6) (22/1 -120%) Signor Ferrari |
22/1(-120%) | (6) Signor Ferrari 22/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 17/2 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, fifth of 7 in nursery at this course (5f) 21 days ago. Much more needed stepping up significantly in trip. Fifth of seven in a 5f nursery here three weeks ago, plenty of improvement required. |
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10th (10) (28/1 -40%) Guest Star |
28/1(-40%) | (10) Guest Star 28/1, 33/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, tenth of 12 in nursery at this course (8f) 14 days ago, racing off the pace and unable to land a blow. Well-exposed sort who is now looking regressive, held by Alto Sax on running last time. |
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11th (9) (50/1 -317%) Go Go Gonzo |
50/1(-317%) | (9) Go Go Gonzo 50/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 15/2, eighth of 10 in nursery at this course (6f) 7 days ago. More needed if he's to open his account here. One of three runners for Ger Lyons, Colin Keane on Alto Sax, others much preferred. |
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12th (8) (12/1 +25%) Special Angel |
12/1(+25%) | (8) Special Angel 12/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 100/1, creditable sixth of 12 in nursery at this course (8f) 14 days ago, switched early in the straight and making late headway. Needs to build on that here. Not far off Alto Sax and Gregorina when a staying on-sixth over 1m in her first nursery,. |
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13th (3) (12/1 -100%) Fickou |
12/1(-100%) | (3) Fickou 12/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 28/1, eighth of 14 in maiden at this course (5f) 47 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Makes handicap debut and betting may prove a useful guide. This longer trip may help to bring about improvement in her first handicap. |
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14th (5) (16/1 +36%) Lady Craftsman |
16/1(+36%) | (5) Lady Craftsman 16/1, Winner at Bellewstown in July. 14/1, eighth of 12 in claimer at this C&D 19 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Needs a couple of these to falter. Disappointing since 1m Bellewstown maiden win on her second start, blinkers tried now. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Ger Lyons is having a profitable Winter Series in Dundalk and ALTO SAX looks another likely sort for him. This Saxon Warrior gelding was unplaced over C&D in October, but was only beaten less than two lengths. He had a less than clear route when finishing fourth over 1m on his latest start here, when well backed, and losses could be recovered. Masonbrook Meadow was well fancied for a nursery over 6f at this track last week, but was left trailing in rear after a stalls delay when she anticipated the start. She is well worth another chance to get off the mark. Lyons' second-string Blue Soul avails of James Ryan's 5lb claim and has shown enough in three maidens to be competitive. Signor Ferrari is up in trip after running in sprint maidens won by some useful sorts and has better claims than most while there could be more to come from The Bear Trap on this surface.
ALTO SAX again ran well on just his second start in nurseries when fourth in a stronger contest over 1m here 2 weeks ago and shades the vote to come out on top. Masonbrook Meadow and Gregorina are a couple of others to consider.
The negative of a high draw for ALTO SAX is outweighed by the fact that Colin Keane is arguably the best rider to counteract it
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (7/1 +30%) Ocean Heights |
7/1(+30%) | (7) Ocean Heights 7/1, Fairly useful winner in bumpers who arrives winless in this sphere but posted good second of 11 in handicap at this course (11f, 10/1) 14 days ago. Extra 1f won't inconvenience him on that evidence here. Bumper winner who is unexposed on the Flat and went close here (1m3f) latest; respected. |
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2nd (2) (6/1 +40%) Way Of Life |
6/1(+40%) | (2) Way Of Life 6/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. Creditable fourth of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 9/2) 11 days ago, not quicken only late on. Should go well again but the assessor appears to have him about right at present. Prominent-racer with a solid record but losing run is up to 14; others look stronger. |
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3rd (1) (22/1 -83%) Glenister |
22/1(-83%) | (1) Glenister 22/1, 4 wins from 7 runs this year. Last of 7 in handicap (3/1) at Epsom (12f, good to firm) 80 days ago, folding tamely. However, profile previously this year was a positive one and bounce back distinctly possible having changed hands for 20,000 gns since. Tailed off in final run for Sir Mark Prescott but was a major improver before that blip. |
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4th (13) (14/1 -27%) Waterloo Sunset |
14/1(-27%) | (13) Waterloo Sunset 14/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in October. Creditable sixth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 4/1) 16 days ago, wide entering straight and plugging on. No forlorn hope. C&D win in October but he didn't really fire last time and others are more persuasive. |
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5th (12) (11/2 +15%) Niarbyl Bay |
11/2(+15%) | (12) Niarbyl Bay 11/2, 13/2, career best when winning 12-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 32 days ago, well positioned and leading post. This demands more but he remains unexposed at this sort of trip. Off the mark over 1m4f at Wolverhampton and he's only 2lb higher here; respected. |
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6th (11) (11/4 -10%) Romilda |
11/4(-10%) | (11) Romilda 11/4, Creditable third of 9 in handicap at Lingfield (10f, AW, 13/2) 15 days ago, having to pick way through and finishing with running left. One for the shortlist upped in trip. 3yo who was a good third at Lingfield last time and looks interesting at this new trip. |
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7th (10) (80/1 -471%) Love Your Work |
80/1(-471%) | (10) Love Your Work 80/1, 9/4, bit below form fourth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f) 61 days ago. Significantly up in trip. First run for yard after leaving Rebecca Menzies. Eight-time winner but he's untried at this trip and has some work to do for new yard. |
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8th (8) (13/2 +35%) Sax Appeal |
13/2(+35%) | (8) Sax Appeal 13/2, Came on plenty for debut when landing 7-runner Southwell novice (11.f) in January and matched that form under a penalty when second back at that venue a month later. Absent/gelded subsequently and he may yet have more to offer now handicapping on back of 3 career starts. Southwell winner who is still unexposed and looks interesting on his handicap debut. |
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9th (5) (9/1 +0%) Stonking |
9/1(+0%) | (5) Stonking 9/1, Latest win at Newbury in July. Seventh of 11 in handicap (3/1) at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 44 days ago. Entitled to be sharper with that under his belt and he remains less exposed than most. Had an excuse at Wolverhampton and he could resume his progress here; dangerous. |
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10th (14) (28/1 -75%) Devizes |
28/1(-75%) | (14) Devizes 28/1, C&D winner. Latest win here (2m) in June. Eighth of 11 in handicap at this course (11f, 33/1) 14 days ago, weakening quickly final 100 yds. May strip fitter given that was his first start for 4 months and he's eased 2 lb subsequently. Polytrack specialist but he faded here on his recent return; needs to get back near best. |
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11th (4) (22/1 -83%) Stately Home |
22/1(-83%) | (4) Stately Home 22/1, Course winner who was in good heart when last seen in the summer, running well under a patient ride when second of 5 in handicap at Chester (10.3f, heavy, 5/2) in August. Steps up further in trip on back of 136 days off. Looks worth a try at this new trip and he has won when fresh in the past; not ruled out. |
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11th (3) (33/1 -106%) Forge Valley Lad |
33/1(-106%) | (3) Forge Valley Lad 33/1, Had a productive spell on AW earlier this year, quickening up to lead dying strides as he resumed winning ways at Lingfield (12f) in April. Should pay his way again on AW this winter but betting may prove informative returning from 8 months off. As good as ever when winning over C&D in April latest; needs a close look on his return. |
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13th (6) (10/1 +0%) Miller Spirit |
10/1(+0%) | (6) Miller Spirit 10/1, Unreliable sort. 3/1 and visored for 1st time, creditable fourth of 10 in handicap at Windsor (10f, heavy) 58 days ago, not running on. Makes polytrack debut. Blinkers on 1st time. Still has potential but he didn't look entirely straightforward last time; mixed messages. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
After recording a comfortable success at Newbury in July, STONKING lost all chance at Wolverhampton last time, having reared upon leaving the stalls. The fact he was sent off as favourite would suggest better was expected, though, so it would come as no surprise were the son of Farhh to step forward now. Way Of Life continues to run well in defeat and is unlikely to be far away, along with recent Lingfield scorer Forge Valley Lad and handicap debutant Sax Appeal, who returns from an absence.
ROMILDA is less exposed than most she meets here and again caught the eye when third at Lingfield 15 days ago. She can confirm recent promise and open her account stepping up further in trip. Ocean Heights, Stonking and Sax Appeal head up the dangers, with the likeable Typical Woman also expected to be thereabouts.
This looks wide open but the William Haggas-trained ROMILDA gets the vote ahead of another 3yo in Sax Appeal.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (6/1 -9%) Apache Outlaw |
6/1(-9%) | (4) Apache Outlaw 6/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Creditable third of 7 in handicap at this course (6f, 4/1) 21 days ago. One of 3 solid contenders for Ado McGuinness. Second to Dandyville three weeks ago, has an edge over Hodd's Girl and Big Gossey on that. |
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2nd (8) (5/2 +38%) Pier Pressure |
5/2(+38%) | (8) Pier Pressure 5/2, Blinkered first time, career best when winning 7-runner minor event (10/3) at this C&D 26 days ago by ½ length from Hightimeyouwon. This low-mileage 3-y-o may have more to offer. Up 6lb for two wins, and could be well handicapped now that he has got the hang of things. |
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3rd (3) (9/1 -100%) Hodd's Girl |
9/1(-100%) | (3) Hodd's Girl 9/1, 6-time course winner. 9/2, respectable second of 9 in handicap at this course (8f) 12 days ago, missing break. Yard in good form. Booking of Keane a plus. Leading contender. Tough and durable mare with a 6-26 record at this venue, holds solid recent credentials. |
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4th (1) (28/1 -155%) Big Gossey |
28/1(-155%) | (1) Big Gossey 28/1, Course winner. Latest win at the Curragh in November. Sixth of 7 in handicap at this course (6f, 4/1) 21 days ago. Better known for his prowess as a sprinter but won over this trip on his penultimate start. |
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5th (2) (18/1 -441%) Dandyville |
18/1(-441%) | (2) Dandyville 18/1, C&D winner. Seven wins from 25 Flat runs. Good second of 7 in handicap (15/8) at this course (6f) 21 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Miss Natalia Lupini. Generally reliable over the past 15 months, went close on latest, first run for this yard. |
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6th (6) (3/1 +60%) Hightimeyouwon |
3/1(+60%) | (6) Hightimeyouwon 3/1, C&D winner. 3 wins from 14 runs this year. Latest win at Leopardstown in August. Good ½-length second of 7 to Pier Pressure in minor event at this C&D (11/4) 26 days ago. Trainer going well. Consistent lately, closely matched with Pier Pressure on running in a conditions event. |
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7th (9) (12/1 -41%) Marsa |
12/1(-41%) | (9) Marsa 12/1, Three-time C&D winner. Five wins from 17 Flat runs. Creditable third of 11 in handicap at the Curragh (7f, good to firm, 33/1). Off 171 days. Has good chance on form. Four of her five wins gained here including three over this trip, definite chance. |
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8th (5) (22/1 -38%) Ransom |
22/1(-38%) | (5) Ransom 22/1, Course winner. 16/1, step back in right direction when third of 9 in handicap (16/1) at this course (8f) 12 days ago. Well treated if he can build on that. Signs of a revival when third here 12 days ago 1 1/4l behind runner-up Hodd's Girl over 1m. |
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9th (7) (7/2 +61%) Vadiana |
7/2(+61%) | (7) Vadiana 7/2, C&D winner in October. 11/4, 6¼ lengths eleventh of 12 to Many Tears in listed race at this course (8f) 40 days ago, finding little. More chance back in a handicap. Narrow C&D handicap win in October, back down in grade after Listed bid here last month. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
HODD'S GIRL caught a tartar when runner-up over 1m earlier this month. She has winning form over this trip and is certainly on a mark she can be effective off. Dandyville has been in consistent form on the Polytrack in winning over C&D before posting a pair of placed efforts over 6f. He looks sure to be involved on his first start for his new stable. Pier Pressure is a three-year-old going the right way as he guns for a C&D hat-trick. He has won his last two races by half a length, so it is probably tricky for the handicapper to get a handle on him. Vadiana didn't put her best foot forward in Listed company here but previously enjoyed this trip and is definitely one to note.
Quite a useful handicap. The returning MARSA has an excellent course record and might be able to fend off a strong Ado McGuinness challenge, headed by Hodd's Girl and Apache Outlaw.
Hard to rule out any of these. It may be worth taking a chance with MARSA who has won four of her seven races at this venue
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (9/4 +18%) Cool Legend |
9/4(+18%) | (4) Cool Legend 9/4, Promising individual. Third of 10 in minor event (3/1) at this course (8f) 14 days ago. Open to progress and step up in trip should suit, so he's one to note. Improved from debut when second over 1m here a fortnight ago; should stay this far. |
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2nd (3) (5/4 -14%) Classic Encounter |
5/4(-14%) | (3) Classic Encounter 5/4, Promising sort. 9/2, second of 11 in maiden at Newmarket (8f, good to firm) 74 days ago. Bred to get the longer trip and looks the one to beat with cheekpieces applied for the first time. Improved when second at Newmarket in October; bred to appreciate this trip; cheekpieces on. |
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3rd (9) (6/1 -50%) Pappano |
6/1(-50%) | (9) Pappano 6/1, Foaled February 7. Nathaniel colt. Dam 2-y-o 1m winner who stayed 11.5f out of smart 1¼m-1½m winner Gertrude Bell. Notable newcomer. Jockey bookings suggest he may be the pick of the stable's quartet; watch market. |
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4th (1) (100/1 -100%) Alrazeen |
100/1(-100%) | (1) Alrazeen 100/1, Foaled April 2. €8,000 2-y-o, Galileo Gold colt. Half-brother to 2-y-o 6f winner Kidyounot and winner up to 7f Brooklyn Guy. Dam unraced half-sister to smart 2-y-o 6f winner Great White Eagle. Bred more for speed and only of interest if attracting support on debut. |
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5th (12) (40/1 +0%) Turing |
40/1(+0%) | (12) Turing 40/1, Once-raced colt. 33/1, eighth of 9 in minor event at Chelmsford City (10f) on debut 39 days ago. Others preferred. Behind Chain Of Command when well held on last month's Chelmsford debut. |
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6th (8) (40/1 -186%) Night Horn |
40/1(-186%) | (8) Night Horn 40/1, Once-raced colt. 28/1, seventh of 11 in minor event at Wolverhampton (8.6f) on debut 25 days ago. Up in trip. Open to improvement. Well held on last month's Wolverhampton debut; should stay this far but improvement needed. |
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7th (7) (40/1 -233%) Lanfranco |
40/1(-233%) | (7) Lanfranco 40/1, Twice-raced colt. Seventh of 12 in minor event at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 14/1) 11 days ago, needing stronger gallop. More required. Beautifully bred and showed promise on debut, but didn't step forward next time. |
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8th (5) (16/1 -14%) Easy Dancer |
16/1(-14%) | (5) Easy Dancer 16/1, Once-raced colt. 18/1, eighth of 9 in maiden at this course (8f) on debut 44 days ago, not knocked about. Significantly up in trip. Should progress in time. Well held on his debut over 1m here last month; needs to improve a good deal. |
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9th (6) (14/1 +0%) Encomiare |
14/1(+0%) | (6) Encomiare 14/1, Foaled February 6. 125,000 gns yearling, Caravaggio gelding. Half-brother to 7f-1¼m winner Dinoo and winner up to 1m Bay Heaven. Dam unraced half-sister to useful 1¼m-1½m winner Airmail Special. Worth a market check for a stable that has been going well for a while. Already gelded, but market support on debut should be heeded. |
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10th (2) (14/1 +13%) Chain Of Command |
14/1(+13%) | (2) Chain Of Command 14/1, Once-raced colt. 16/1, sixth of 9 in minor event at Chelmsford City (10f) on debut 39 days ago. Should have learned from that initial experience but has plenty to find. Well-held sixth on last month's Chelmsford debut; may need more time. |
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11th (10) (250/1 -25%) Sarajevo Boy |
250/1(-25%) | (10) Sarajevo Boy 250/1, Twice-raced gelding. 250/1, tenth of 11 in maiden at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 15 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Well held in two 7f Wolverhampton maidens; needs a huge step up. |
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12th (11) (20/1 +20%) Synchronize |
20/1(+20%) | (11) Synchronize 20/1, Twice-raced gelding. 9/1 and blinkered for 1st time, seventh of 8 in minor event at Pontefract (10f, good to soft) 72 days ago. Beaten a long way in two starts on turf during the autumn; gelded since. |
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13th (13) (200/1 -203%) Useless Ees |
200/1(-203%) | (13) Useless Ees 200/1, Twice-raced gelding. Last of 11 in minor event at Southwell (8.1f, 40/1) 13 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Some promise on his Lingfield debut but blew out next time; good deal more will be needed. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
The vote goes to CLASSIC ENCOUNTER, who bumped into a now 88-rated rival at Newmarket in October. Charlie Appleby's gelding will have no problem with the return to an artificial surface, and first-time cheekpieces are fancied to elicit some improvement. John & Thady Gosden saddle four, of which newcomer Pappano appears to be their leading chance based on jockey bookings. Others to note include Night Horn and Cool Legend.
CLASSIC ENCOUNTER is the form pick and has more improvement in him, so he's preferred to Cool Legend, who shaped well at this course last time. Pappano is a notable newcomer for a top yard.
This can go to CLASSIC ENCOUNTER who improved when second at Newmarket in October. There is likely more to come over this trip.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Rebecca's Girl |
(16) (12/1 -50%)12/1(-50%) | (16) Rebecca's Girl 12/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 5/1, below form seventh of 13 in maiden at Fairyhouse (7f, good to soft). Off 93 days. Makes handicap debut. Something to prove. RESERVE. Second reserve; close third in a sprint maiden on soft at Navan in July; handicap debut. |
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1st (14) (8/1 -7%) Sunset Nova |
8/1(-7%) | (14) Sunset Nova 8/1, 5-time course winner. Respectable sixth of 14 in handicap at this C&D (4/1) 7 days ago. Close third over 1m two weeks ago and didn't have the clearest of runs last week; claims. |
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2nd (3) (3/1 +25%) Circles |
3/1(+25%) | (3) Circles 3/1, C&D winner. 7/1, respectable fourth of 14 in handicap at this C&D 7 days ago, nearest finish. Has recaptured a bit of form of late; good chance of being a factor if she gets away. |
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3rd (1) (5/1 -25%) Dutch Glory |
5/1(-25%) | (1) Dutch Glory 5/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Listowel in June. Respectable fifth of 14 in handicap at this C&D (7/1) 7 days ago. Expected to be bang there. Ran on late to finish a good third over C&D last week; should go well despite a bad draw. |
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4th (13) (28/1 +15%) Markievicz |
28/1(+15%) | (13) Markievicz 28/1, 18/1, eleventh of 14 in handicap at this C&D 7 days ago. Handicap mark going down but no signs of late that she might take advantage. |
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5th (4) (11/4 +39%) River Derwent |
11/4(+39%) | (4) River Derwent 11/4, C&D winner. Latest win here in November. Creditable fifth of 14 in handicap (7/2) at this C&D 7 days ago, unsuited by way race developed. Booking of Keane a plus. Others more persuasive. Unable to follow up last week but that was after a slow start; should go well though. |
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6th (10) (9/1 +36%) Cherry Bloom |
9/1(+36%) | (10) Cherry Bloom 9/1, Respectable sixth of 14 in handicap at this C&D (12/1) 7 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Creditable runs over 7f last thrice but questionable whether she sees it out. |
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7th (9) (14/1 +44%) Bellick |
14/1(+44%) | (9) Bellick 14/1, 4-time course winner. 28/1, tenth of 14 in handicap at this course (8f) 12 days ago. Booking of Foley a plus. Visored for 1st time. Out of form here this winter although not beaten far last week; visor tried here. |
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8th (6) (18/1 -80%) Wonder Spirit |
18/1(-80%) | (6) Wonder Spirit 18/1, Course winner. One win from 22 Flat runs. 20/1, tenth of 16 in handicap at Gowran (8f, good to soft). Off 7 months. Can make presence felt. Not seen since down the field in a couple of Gowran handicaps in May; best watched. |
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9th (12) (25/1 -79%) Lisieux |
25/1(-79%) | (12) Lisieux 25/1, One win from 24 Flat runs. Twenty runs since last win in 2022. Thirteenth of 14 in handicap (17/2) at this course (8f) 12 days ago. Yard in good form. Enters calculations. Won on handicap debut last year but losing run since, including here two weeks ago. |
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10th (7) (66/1 -164%) Nation Of Stars |
66/1(-164%) | (7) Nation Of Stars 66/1, 12/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, first run since leaving Kieran Patrick Cotter when thirteenth of 14 in handicap at this course (6f) 14 days ago. Blinkered for 1st time. Poor in handicaps including on her stable debut over 6f here two weeks ago; blinkers tried. |
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11th (8) (33/1 +34%) Anaelle |
33/1(+34%) | (8) Anaelle 33/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 33/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, eleventh of 14 in handicap at this course (8f). Off 127 days. Plenty to find on form. Slightly better outcome in a 1m handicap here in August when last seen; others preferred. |
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12th (2) (150/1 -355%) Love Mocha |
150/1(-355%) | (2) Love Mocha 150/1, First run since leaving Mrs J. Harrington when thirteenth of 14 in handicap at this C&D (50/1) 7 days ago. Well beaten on her stable debut here last week and should be capable of better. |
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13th (11) (25/1 -233%) Happenstance |
25/1(-233%) | (11) Happenstance 25/1, C&D winner. 100/1, respectable fifth of 10 in juvenile hurdle at Cork (16.8f, heavy) 10 days ago. Modest on the Flat, poor on last Flat run. No real impression in handicaps this year or in two starts over hurdles when not settling. |
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14th (5) (10/1 -54%) Pulse Of Shanghai |
10/1(-54%) | (5) Pulse Of Shanghai 10/1, 3-time C&D winner. Thirty eight runs since last win in 2021. Eighth of 11 in handicap at this course (6f, 15/2) 19 days ago. Unable to get involved over 6f here last week and could do better back over this trip. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
CIRCLES needs to break better but, if she does, she is on a dangerous mark. This Holy Roman Emperor filly caught the eye keeping on for fourth after a tardy start last week. Seamie Heffernan, who has been on board for both of her C&D successes, gets the leg up and has ridden five winners at the last two Wednesday meetings in Dundalk. Dutch Glory wasn't beaten far into fifth last week on her first run for almost four months. She is entitled to come on from that, but does have a tough draw to negotiate. John McConnell's stable is beginning to fire the winners in again and his Bellick could run well at a price. He is really sliding down the weights and a first-time visor could reinvigorate him. Sunset Nova is more than capable of running into a place at least off his lowly mark, while champion jockey Colin Keane is a notable booking for C&D winner River Derwent.
Having shaped well back from a four-month break here last week, DUTCH GLORY looks the way to go with Pulse of Shanghai next on the list. Circles is also shortlisted, while River Derwent is not without hope either.
Preference is for RIVER DERWENT, a winner here last month before running well after a slow start last week with Keane booked
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (9/2 +18%) Palazzo Persico |
9/2(+18%) | (2) Palazzo Persico 9/2, Winner at Chelmsford City in November. Respectable fourth of 9 in nursery at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 13/2) 27 days ago. Looks competitive on form. Chelmsford winner last month but held in a better race next time; widest stall a problem. |
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2nd (7) (14/1 -40%) True Blue Gent |
14/1(-40%) | (7) True Blue Gent 14/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, ninth of 12 in nursery (13/2) at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 28 days ago, left poorly placed. Now tried in blinkers. Yard saddles a stronger candidate in Mulciber. Out of the frame in all four starts, including on nursery debut; blinkers on. |
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3rd (9) (14/1 -40%) Publicity |
14/1(-40%) | (9) Publicity 14/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 250/1, tenth of 11 in minor event at this C&D 14 days ago. Cheekpieces enlisted for this handicap debut. Well beaten in three novices; only of interest if market positive; cheekpieces on. |
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4th (11) (12/1 +40%) Dire Wolf |
12/1(+40%) | (11) Dire Wolf 12/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Last of 9 in minor event (100/1) at Yarmouth (6f, soft) 65 days ago. Significantly up in trip now handicapping and sports a first-time tongue strap. Well held in three starts and not sure to appreciate longer trip; tongue-tie on. |
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5th (8) (15/2 -50%) Compton Bay |
15/2(-50%) | (8) Compton Bay 15/2, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, good second of 13 in nursery at this course (7f, 18/1) 7 days ago. High on the shortlist. Went close over 7f here a week ago, but needs to settle better and is drawn wide. |
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6th (4) (10/1 -54%) Checkmeout |
10/1(-54%) | (4) Checkmeout 10/1, Good third of 12 in nursery (8/1) at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 28 days ago. Likely to be on the premises once again. Has been running with credit to make the frame lately; a player despite high draw. |
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7th (14) (200/1 -300%) Inawe |
200/1(-300%) | (14) Inawe 200/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 250/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, ninth of 11 in minor event at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 11 days ago. Significantly up in trip for this handicap debut. Well held in three starts over 6f; needs to find plenty more on nursery debut. |
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8th (3) (4/1 -60%) Mulciber |
4/1(-60%) | (3) Mulciber 4/1, 10/3 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, career best when winning 11-runner nursery at Newcastle (7.1f) 33 days ago, just holding on. Up just 2 lb and return to this trip shouldn't be an issue. Narrowly off the mark in a steadily-run nursery at Newcastle last month; still more needed. |
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9th (10) (40/1 -60%) Weston Court |
40/1(-60%) | (10) Weston Court 40/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, last of 12 in nursery at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 22/1) 28 days ago. Makes polytrack debut and this 7-race maiden is likely to come up short once more. Showed ability a couple of times on turf but failed to beat a rival on AW debut. |
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10th (12) (40/1 +0%) Subaltern |
40/1(+0%) | (12) Subaltern 40/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 18/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, tenth of 13 in nursery at this course (7f) 7 days ago. Readily passed over. Hasn't beaten many in his first four starts; needs to take a big step forward. |
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11th (1) (2/1 +43%) Montecristo Gold |
2/1(+43%) | (1) Montecristo Gold 2/1, 4/1, career best when winning 9-runner nursery at Chelmsford City (8f) 34 days ago, all out. Another bold show anticipated. Narrowly off the mark over this trip at Chelmsford last time when showing a good attitude. |
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12th (13) (18/1 -50%) Tres Chic |
18/1(-50%) | (13) Tres Chic 18/1, Winner at Leicester in October. Respectable fifth of 12 in nursery at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 22/1) 28 days ago. Not without each-way hope. Leicester winner in October, but behind Checkmeout at Wolverhampton last time. |
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13th (5) (100/1 -525%) Modern Verse |
100/1(-525%) | (5) Modern Verse 100/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 80/1, last of 6 in nursery at Newmarket (9f, heavy) 46 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time and needs to raise her game. Has failed to beat a rival in four starts; cheekpieces on. |
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14th (6) (200/1 -506%) Union Jackie |
200/1(-506%) | (6) Union Jackie 200/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Last of 11 in maiden (150/1) at Newmarket (7f, good to soft). Off 151 days ahead of this handicap/stable debut. Well held in five starts for Jane Chapple-Hyam; best watched on stable/nursery debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Mulciber was able to make a successful handicap debut when winning at Newcastle last month and another bold bid can be expected from just 2lb higher, but a chance is taken on DIRE WOLF. Adam West's charge failed to trouble the judge on her three qualifying runs, each over shorter, but the combination of a first-time tongue-tie/handicap bow can aid improvement. Compton Bay is another to consider.
The addition of cheekpieces/switch to handicap company sparked immediate improvement in MULCIBER at Newcastle where he displayed a good attitude to narrowly prevail. Going back up in trip round here shouldn't unduly inconvenience him and he could still be on a good mark. Compton Bay also responded well to first-time cheekpieces when runner-up over 7f here last week and he is feared most. Chelmsford scorer Montecristo Gold and Palazzo Persico are others to consider.
The choice is MONTECRISTO GOLD (nap) who showed a fine attitude when narrowly getting off the mark at Chelmsford last time.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (13) (9/1 -38%) Tynamite |
9/1(-38%) | (13) Tynamite 9/1, 5-time course winner. Twenty five runs since last win in 2021. 20/1, creditable fourth of 14 in handicap at this course (8f) 12 days ago. Merits consideration. Back in trip after a a solid effort over 1m two weeks ago and should go well. |
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2nd (2) (15/8 +46%) Irish Rumour |
15/8(+46%) | (2) Irish Rumour 15/8, 11/2, creditable fifth of 14 in handicap at this C&D 28 days ago. Attracted support last time and is worth taking a chance on in what looks a weaker race. Staying third in a C&D handicap last month; ran to a similar level three weeks later. |
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3rd (11) (11/1 +45%) Saoirses Lulaby |
11/1(+45%) | (11) Saoirses Lulaby 11/1, 11/2 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, last of 14 in handicap at this C&D 28 days ago. Others make more appeal. Nothing went right dropped back to this trip here last week; worth another try. |
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4th (6) (14/1 -133%) Cherry Pink |
14/1(-133%) | (6) Cherry Pink 14/1, 12/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, twenty first of 23 in handicap at the Curragh (7f, good). Off 129 days. Trainer going well. Blinkers on 1st time. Needs to bounce back. 12lb lower than when third on her handicap debut here in February; blinkers tried. |
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5th (7) (28/1 -40%) Brookie Cookie |
28/1(-40%) | (7) Brookie Cookie 28/1, Bit below form seventh of 13 in handicap at this course (6f, 66/1) 14 days ago, not clear run. Others make more appeal. Ran okay after a slow start on her AW debut two weeks ago; others preferred. |
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6th (10) (10/3 +17%) Mether |
10/3(+17%) | (10) Mether 10/3, 8/1, good fourth of 14 in handicap at this C&D 7 days ago. Lightly raced and may do better still. Stepped up on previous form over C&D when a staying-on fourth last week; big contender. |
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7th (9) (33/1 +0%) Man Is King |
33/1(+0%) | (9) Man Is King 33/1, Remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs. 28/1, eighth of 14 in handicap at this C&D 7 days ago, merely closing up late. Beaten around 5l over C&D on third start for yard and slightly improved on that last week. |
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8th (4) (12/1 -20%) Airgead |
12/1(-20%) | (4) Airgead 12/1, Course winner. Latest win here in November. 11/2, last of 12 in handicap at this course (8f) 28 days ago. Not the easiest to rely upon. First win since 2020 in a C&D handicap last month but last of 12 since; not ruled out. |
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9th (1) (9/1 -80%) Hale Bopp |
9/1(-80%) | (1) Hale Bopp 9/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in September. Creditable seventh of 14 in handicap at this course (8f, 10/1) 40 days ago. Not discounted. Ran okay over 1m here last month; could go well but 7f on the short side for him. |
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10th (8) (28/1 +15%) Gidwa |
28/1(+15%) | (8) Gidwa 28/1, Tenth of 14 in handicap at this C&D (25/1) 7 days ago, not clear run. Something to prove. Three AW wins over this trip when trained in Britain but totally out of form at present. |
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11th (3) (25/1 -257%) Alfarida |
25/1(-257%) | (3) Alfarida 25/1, 14/1, thirteenth of 17 in handicap at Cork (7f, good to soft). Off 112 days. Others make more appeal. Touched off over 1m here in July; not seen since down the field at Cork in August. |
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12th (14) (80/1 -100%) Vormir |
80/1(-100%) | (14) Vormir 80/1, Twenty three runs since last win in 2020. 100/1, last of 18 in handicap at Galway (11.8f, heavy) 51 days ago. Significantly back down in trip. Visored for 1st time, tongue strap on for 1st time. inconsistent and could run over any trip; not much appeal and tried in headgear here. |
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13th (12) (100/1 -150%) Try Hard |
100/1(-150%) | (12) Try Hard 100/1, 18/1, thirteenth of 14 in handicap at this C&D 28 days ago. Up against it. Modest 10-race maiden hasn't shown enough to be fancied; safe to overlook. |
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14th (5) (17/2 +58%) Fastman |
17/2(+58%) | (5) Fastman 17/2, Sixteen runs since last win in 2022. 16/1, first run since leaving John McConnell when sixth of 14 in handicap at this course (8f) 12 days ago. Short of room and ran about in a 1m handicap two weeks ago on stable debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
The veteran TYNAMITE showed that there could be another victory in him when keeping on for fourth over 1m this month. The winner of that race endorsed the form when going in again the following week. Irish Rumour's third place on penultimate start over C&D is one of the better pieces of recent form and Colin Keane comes in for the ride. Mether has posted a trio of fourth places at three different trips in Dundalk. He represents a shrewd stable and is likely to be heavily involved. Saoirses Lulaby disappointed on her last start and the cheekpieces that were deployed then have been dispensed with. Her previous two efforts in fourth and third at this track would bring her into contention, though.
IRISH RUMOUR ran with credit in a slightly stronger race last time and she's worth chancing with Colin Keane taking over. Mether and Hale Bopp are both feasible dangers but most of the others have something to prove.
The one to be on could well be METHER after a solid effort over C&D last week. A reproduction would see him go close
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (5/2 +17%) Friendly Soul |
5/2(+17%) | (7) Friendly Soul 5/2, Foaled May 14. Kingman filly. Half-sister to numerous winners, including very smart 1½m-2½m winner Call The Wind, 1m winner With You and 1m-1¼m winner We Are. 1 of 2 very interesting newcomers for top yard. Bred in the purple and a fascinating contender on debut. |
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2nd (8) (15/2 +6%) Izipizi |
15/2(+6%) | (8) Izipizi 15/2, Foaled April 19. Kingman filly. Half-sister to useful 13.3f-2m winner Golden Rules and 2m winner Art de Vivre. 1 of 2 striking newcomers for top stable. Enough to like on breeding, but Friendly Soul looks the stable's first string. |
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3rd (4) (16/1 -33%) Eavestone |
16/1(-33%) | (4) Eavestone 16/1, Foaled April 2. Lope De Vega filly. Half-sister to winner up to 10.3f Cave Diver. 1 of 3 runners for yard and rider partnered a newcomer to success for them here earlier this month. Stable has plenty of 2yos win first time but Lightning Touch looks the yard's main hope. |
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4th (12) (9/4 +18%) Lightning Touch |
9/4(+18%) | (12) Lightning Touch 9/4, 350,000 gns Frankel filly. Half-sister to several winners, including smart 1m/9f winner Pilote. 16/1, shaped very well from an unpromising position when fourth of 12 at Lingfield (8f, AW, 16/1) on debut 54 days ago, nearest finish. Can do better and she's one to note. 1 of 3 runners for stable. Promising fourth on her Lingfield debut in October; holds an Irish Oaks entry. |
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5th (3) (33/1 -65%) Crimson Coronet |
33/1(-65%) | (3) Crimson Coronet 33/1, Foaled April 25. 210,000 gns yearling, Zoustar filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 7f winner Young And Fun. Dam, 1m-1¼m winner, closely related to very smart 1½m-1¾m winner Courage Mon Ami. Newcomer to note in the betting. Stable has few 2yos go in first time and she looks one for middle-distances next year. |
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6th (13) (80/1 -21%) Private Getaway |
80/1(-21%) | (13) Private Getaway 80/1, Twice-raced filly. 25/1, first run since leaving Ollie Sangster when seventh of 8 in minor event at Lingfield (8f, AW) 14 days ago. Her debut effort was better and she might be more one for handicaps now. Showed promise in one start for Ollie Sangster but well held on debut for this yard. |
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7th (6) (16/1 -60%) Flying Finn |
16/1(-60%) | (6) Flying Finn 16/1, Prominent in the betting with Oisin Murphy booked and showed ability when second of 13 in maiden at this C&D (9/2) on debut 7 days ago. Should improve but this is a much deeper contest. Just beaten on her debut over C&D a week ago, but this looks a deeper race. |
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8th (5) (16/1 -14%) Fairy Glen |
16/1(-14%) | (5) Fairy Glen 16/1, Foaled February 4. Farhh filly. Dam 1¼m-16.2f winner. Makes plenty of appeal on paper though will surely be best over further. Stable has plenty of winning 2yo newcomers but apprentice-ridden on debut. |
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9th (1) (80/1 -60%) Amiwithani |
80/1(-60%) | (1) Amiwithani 80/1, €200,000 yearling, Zarak filly. Sister to useful 2-y-o 1¼m winner Colonia Victoria and closely related to very smart 1m-11f winner Gm Hopkins and useful winner up to 9f Zvarkhova. Seventh of 10 at Lingfield (8f, AW, 40/1) on debut 14 days ago, slowly away. Should progress. Well held on his recent Lingfield debut; may need more time. |
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10th (2) (3/1 -9%) Blessed Honour |
3/1(-9%) | (2) Blessed Honour 3/1, Dubawi filly, first foal of unraced half-sister to useful 7f winner Doom (by Dubawi) out of very smart 1m-1¼m (Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf) winner Dank, herself closely related to high-class winner up to 1¼m (stayed 1½m) Eagle Mountain. Notable newcomer for top yard. Looks the part of breeding and strength in the market would be significant. |
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11th (14) (250/1 -150%) Sapphire Sirocco |
250/1(-150%) | (14) Sapphire Sirocco 250/1, Foaled May 3. Study of Man filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including useful 2-y-o 6f winner Most Beautiful and 1½m winner Purdey's Gift. Dam 8.6f-1¼m winner who stayed 1½m. Stiff introduction. Stable not known for winning 2yo newcomers and she has the outside stall. |
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12th (11) (150/1 -50%) Last Empress |
150/1(-50%) | (11) Last Empress 150/1, Oasis Dream filly. Half-sister to several winners, including smart 9f-1½m winner Teodoro and useful 8.3f-1¼m winner September Stars. 12/1, ninth of 10 at Lingfield (8f, AW) on debut 14 days ago, very green. Open to improvement. 1 of 3 runners for yard. Always behind on her recent Lingfield debut; improvement needed. |
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13th (10) (125/1 -150%) Lannosea |
125/1(-150%) | (10) Lannosea 125/1, Foaled March 14. Ulysses filly. Half-sister to winner up to 6f Senim. Dam 2-y-o 6f winner. Would be a rare winning 2yo newcomer from the yard. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Lightning Touch and Flying Finn are the pick of those with previous race experience but a chance can be taken on FRIENDLY SOUL. The daughter of Kingman is a half-sister to three Group 1 scorers and it would be no surprise to see her make a winning debut here. Blessed Honour is from the family of the Breeders' Cup winner Dank and is another noteworthy newcomer, while Izipizi and Crimson Coronet also merit consideration.
This may go to a newcomer, with BLESSED HONOUR making plenty of appeal for Charlie Appleby. Friendly Soul is one more to note, while Lightning Touch is a big player after her very encouraging performance at Lingfield.
Irish Oaks entry LIGHTNING TOUCH made a promising debut when fourth at Lingfield in October and she may show even more this time.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (15/2 +6%) Big Dynasty |
15/2(+6%) | (3) Big Dynasty 15/2, Foaled February 8. €37,500 yearling, Almanzor colt. Half-brother to French 1¼m/10.5f winner Grimaud. Dam useful French 1m-9.5f winner (including at 2 yrs). Newcomer to note in the betting. Half-brother to a middle-distance winner, from a top yard but faces a tough introduction. |
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2nd (1) (4/1 +0%) Barnso |
4/1(+0%) | (1) Barnso 4/1, Thrice-raced winner. 1 win from 3 runs this year. Won 14-runner maiden at this course (7f, 6/4) 68 days ago, driven out. Course maiden winner over 7f, not well treated relative to Serious Notions and Bergamasco. |
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3rd (11) (6/4 -36%) Serious Notions |
6/4(-36%) | (11) Serious Notions 6/4, Fairly useful maiden. 11/8, below form fourth of 13 in minor event at this course (7f) 14 days ago but sets the bar high on the form her Leopardstown listed third prior to that. Blinkers on 1st time. Form of Listed third gives her a big chance, disappointing here on latest, blinkered now. |
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4th (5) (150/1 +0%) Old Mexican |
150/1(+0%) | (5) Old Mexican 150/1, Twice-raced maiden. 125/1, eighth of 13 in maiden at this C&D 12 days ago. One place behind stablemate Hoover Dam here 12 days ago, not a strong contender. |
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5th (2) (9/2 -29%) Bergamasco |
9/2(-29%) | (2) Bergamasco 9/2, Fairly useful gelding. C&D winner. Winner here in November. Creditable third of 13 in minor event at this course (7f, 16/1) 14 days ago. Should give a good account. In front of Serious Notions last time, that rival better suited by the race conditions now. |
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6th (4) (125/1 +17%) Hoover Dam |
125/1(+17%) | (4) Hoover Dam 125/1, Once-raced maiden. 125/1, seventh of 13 in maiden at this C&D on debut 12 days ago. Not a bad first effort here 12 days ago but unlikely to trouble previous winners. |
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7th (6) (10/3 +0%) Pomeriggio |
10/3(+0%) | (6) Pomeriggio 10/3, Fair filly. Career best when winning 12-runner claimer (5/1) at this course (7f) 19 days ago, driven clear. Smooth winner of a 7f claimer here at the beginning of the month; more on her plate now. |
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8th (13) (150/1 -200%) Sylkie |
150/1(-200%) | (13) Sylkie 150/1, Once-raced maiden. Twelfth of 14 in maiden at this C&D (18/1) on debut 26 days ago, missing break. Slowly away and never in contention over C&D on debut, may need further judged on that. |
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9th (9) (16/1 +84%) Galician Girl |
16/1(+84%) | (9) Galician Girl 16/1, Twice-raced maiden. Eighth of 13 in minor event at this course (7f, 200/1) 14 days ago. Stable having good spell. Has shown a bit of ability in two runs at big odds so far, plenty of improvement required. |
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10th (12) (200/1 -100%) Still She Blooms |
200/1(-100%) | (12) Still She Blooms 200/1, Once-raced maiden. 125/1, tenth of 14 in maiden at this C&D on debut 26 days ago. No impact on debut here last month though finished in front of Out For A Stroll and Sylkie. |
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11th (7) (150/1 -50%) Alabama Calling |
150/1(-50%) | (7) Alabama Calling 150/1, Once-raced maiden. 11/1, tenth of 11 in maiden at Navan (5f, good to soft) on debut, missing break. Off 158 days. Significantly up in trip. Slowly away and never involved in a 5f maiden at Navan in July, may do better now. |
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12th (10) (200/1 -100%) Out For A Stroll |
200/1(-100%) | (10) Out For A Stroll 200/1, Twice-raced maiden. 125/1, eleventh of 14 in maiden at this C&D 26 days ago. Down the field on debut at Galway; no improvement over C&D last month; does not appeal yet. |
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13th (8) (150/1 -50%) Dreamline Amelia |
150/1(-50%) | (8) Dreamline Amelia 150/1, Foaled March 20. €9,500 yearling, Bobby's Kitten filly. Sister to useful 6f-1m winner All Go and half-sister to 9f winner Dea Giulia. Pedigree suggests she may need middle distances, a rare juvenile runner for this yard. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
SERIOUS NOTIONS has the ability and rating (91) to make the breakthrough. Ger Lyons' filly showed up well on turf when pipped by a nose on debut at Leopardstown and when third in Listed class at the same track in September. In truth, her Polytrack debut fourth was a little underwhelming, but the winner is smart and she gets first-time blinkers which could eke out improvement. Bergamasco was a place in front of Serious Notions in third on his last start. He has C&D winning form and has to rate a danger. Pomeriggio was strong in winning over 7f at this venue and shouldn't have any trouble with the extra furlong on offer here. Barnso won his maiden over 7f at this track in October and is a contender for prize money, while Joseph O'Brien's newcomer Big Dynasty is worth a market check.
The step up to 1m should suit SERIOUS NOTIONS who is given another chance having fluffed her lines when a beaten favourite over 7f here a couple of weeks ago. This race doesn't appear to have as much depth to it and she should prove too strong for previous winners Bergamasco, who was place ahead of the selection last time, and Barnso
Despite a failure to run to market expectations when fourth here two weeks ago, SERIOUS NOTIONS merits the vote in first-time blinkers
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (9/2 +31%) Top Secret |
9/2(+31%) | (8) Top Secret 9/2, C&D winner. Ninth of 14 in handicap (25/1) at Ascot (7f, firm) on latest start in September, left poorly placed. 2-6 on the AW and he's not without a chance. Won his last two starts here in November last year; interesting back at this venue. |
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2nd (3) (15/8 +6%) Talis Evolvere |
15/8(+6%) | (3) Talis Evolvere 15/8, Two wins from 5 runs this year. 11/10, career best when winning 8-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 15 days ago by neck from Urban Sprawl, responding well. Up 3 lb and claims if he proved equally effective on polytrack. Just beat Urban Sprawl at Wolverhampton last time but probably has more to come. |
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3rd (5) (3/1 -20%) Urban Sprawl |
3/1(-20%) | (5) Urban Sprawl 3/1, Creditable second of 7 in handicap at Chelmsford City (8f, 6/4) 9 days ago. 0-7 on the AW but should put that right soon enough. Tough sort who was just denied last time but edging up the weights despite not winning. |
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4th (4) (11/1 -10%) Legend Of Leros |
11/1(-10%) | (4) Legend Of Leros 11/1, 50/1, last of 9 in handicap at Chelmsford City (8f) 46 days ago. Needs to get back on track now tried in cheekpieces. Unplaced in all three handicaps and reportedly lost his action last time; best watched. |
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5th (9) (18/1 -50%) Escobar |
18/1(-50%) | (9) Escobar 18/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2022. Ninth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f, 10/1) 11 days ago. Lurking on a dangerous mark but he's clearly a more effective performer on turf. Formerly useful, but hard to win with these days; hard to warm to despite another 3lb drop. |
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6th (2) (33/1 +0%) Plantadream |
33/1(+0%) | (2) Plantadream 33/1, C&D winner. Bit below form seventh of 14 in handicap at Goodwood (9f, good to firm, 15/2) when last seen in September 2021. Probably best watched on debut for new yard on the back of such a lengthy absence. C&D winner but it will be some achievement if he can win this after 819 days off. |
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7th (11) (20/1 -67%) Crownthorpe |
20/1(-67%) | (11) Crownthorpe 20/1, Good fourth of 12 in handicap (25/1) at Newcastle (8f) 12 days ago, faring best of those ridden prominently. Needs considering off the same mark here. 6-27 on the AW, but this is a better race than he normally contests these days. |
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8th (10) (15/2 +46%) Chantico |
15/2(+46%) | (10) Chantico 15/2, Lightly-raced winner. Hooded for 1st time, thirteenth of 15 in handicap at Newbury (10f, heavy, 11/2) when last seen during the spring. Perhaps conditions were to blame for that low-key display and may well get back on track here for new yard. Lingfield winner in March, but makes his stable debut after eight months off; watch market. |
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9th (7) (25/1 -150%) Evocative Spark |
25/1(-150%) | (7) Evocative Spark 25/1, Latest win at Chester in September. 5/2, last of 8 in handicap at Chester (7f, heavy) 81 days ago. Looks vulnerable. Chester winner in September; returns from 81 days off over a trip beyond his best. |
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10th (6) (80/1 -567%) Marshal Dan |
80/1(-567%) | (6) Marshal Dan 80/1, Latest win at Leicester in October. Last of 10 in handicap (33/1) at Newcastle (7.1f) 11 days ago and others make more appeal. More out than in this year; long time since he raced over this far; others are more solid. |
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11th (1) (50/1 -25%) Good Too |
50/1(-25%) | (1) Good Too 50/1, Fourteenth of 18 in handicap (14/1) at the Curragh (8f, good), finding little. Off 130 days and passed over here on debut for new connections. Makes his stable/AW debut after 130 days off; enough to prove. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Talis Evolvere narrowly denied Urban Sprawl in a similar event at Wolverhampton a couple of weeks ago and may be able to confirm that form here. However, marginal preference is for CROWNTHORPE, who was only half a length behind the winner when fourth at Newcastle last time and he is off the same mark now. Others to consider are Marshal Dan and Chantico.
Several to consider in this competitive handicap with CROWNTHORPE shading preference. The 8-y-o put in a good shift when a close fourth off this mark at Newcastle recently, leaving the strong impression that he will be winning again soon. It's probably best to overlook Chantico's heavy-ground defeat on his latest start in April and he could be a threat if fully tuned-up. Urban Sprawl, who was just touched off by Talis Evolvere at Wolverhampton on his penultimate start, is third choice.
The selection is TOP SECRET who returns to Kempton for the first time since winning his last two starts here in November of last year.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (15/2 +38%) Garrick Painter |
15/2(+38%) | (4) Garrick Painter 15/2, Tongue strap on for 1st time, good eighth of 14 in handicap (18/1) at this C&D 14 days ago. Can't be fully dismissed. Onlly beaten a couple of lengths in a tongue-tie here two weeks ago; not dismissed. |
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2nd (8) (28/1 -75%) Obama Army |
28/1(-75%) | (8) Obama Army 28/1, 50/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, first run since leaving Jack Channon when last of 7 in juvenile hurdle at Down Royal (16.9f, soft) on NH debut 39 days ago. Others have achieved more. No show over hurdles at Down Royal last month but respected back on the level. |
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3rd (6) (9/4 +18%) Picpoul |
9/4(+18%) | (6) Picpoul 9/4, Improved on recent efforts to win 14-runner handicap at this C&D (7/1) 7 days ago, driven clear. Remains well treated on old form and worth a chance to go in again. Convincing C&D success last week; up 8lb for that but that is not guaranteed to stop her. |
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4th (11) (17/2 -31%) Snag It |
17/2(-31%) | (11) Snag It 17/2, C&D winner. 10/3, creditable seventh of 14 in handicap at this C&D 26 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Should give a good account. Did not run to his best off this mark later in the month; slight question to answer now. |
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5th (7) (11/2 -38%) Hasten Slowly |
11/2(-38%) | (7) Hasten Slowly 11/2, 10/1, won 14-runner handicap at this C&D 19 days ago by short head from Not Just Any Eagle. Should go well again. Won over C&D three weeks ago; up 4lb for that but could still be well handicapped. |
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6th (2) (13/2 +35%) Higher Kingdom |
13/2(+35%) | (2) Higher Kingdom 13/2, C&D winner. Respectable sixth of 14 in handicap at this course (8f, 20/1) 14 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Not ruled out. More encouraging effort over 1m here last week; trip not an issue and can go well. |
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7th (10) (16/1 -100%) Darkened |
16/1(-100%) | (10) Darkened 16/1, Creditable 2 lengths fourth of 14 to Snag It in handicap (8/1) at this C&D 42 days ago, met some trouble. Rejoined yard after leaving Shane Kieran Ryder. One to monitor closely in the betting. Just denied over C&D in October and ran to a similar level when last seen early last month. |
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8th (12) (15/2 -7%) Kitty McFee |
15/2(-7%) | (12) Kitty McFee 15/2, 4/1, respectable fifth of 14 in handicap at this C&D 61 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Can make presence felt. Ran around when a disappointing favourite over C&D in October; cheekpieces tried here. |
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9th (1) (16/1 -14%) Celebrating Ethel |
16/1(-14%) | (1) Celebrating Ethel 16/1, Winner at Leopardstown in August. 14/1, below form eighth of 14 in handicap at this course (8f) 14 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Unplaced on his final two turf starts and in a 1m handicap here two weeks ago; up in trip. |
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10th (3) (14/1 +44%) Wrecking Ball Paul |
14/1(+44%) | (3) Wrecking Ball Paul 14/1, 11/1, below form tenth of 16 in handicap at Naas (10.5f, good to soft). Off 115 days. Possibly found race coming too soon last time and might bounce back after more of a break. Flat form just okay and tends to race too keenly; best watched after four months off. |
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11th (15) (16/1 -33%) Cursory Exam |
16/1(-33%) | (15) Cursory Exam 16/1, 3-time C&D winner. Good fifth of 14 in handicap at this C&D (25/1) 28 days ago, nearest finish. RESERVE. First reserve; all three wins have come over 1m2f and best run for some time on latest. |
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12th (9) (50/1 -52%) Venetian |
50/1(-52%) | (9) Venetian 50/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Tenth of 14 in handicap at this course (8f, 100/1) 14 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Very hard to make a case for. Towards the rear in three Irish starts and makes little appeal on that form. |
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13th (13) (100/1 -300%) Cruiscin Lan |
100/1(-300%) | (13) Cruiscin Lan 100/1, Last of 14 in handicap (33/1) at Listowel (12f, soft) 90 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. First run for yard after leaving Kevin Prendergast. Something to find on form. Well beaten on heavy at Listowel when last seen; AW and stable debut here; best watched. |
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14th (5) (80/1 -220%) Spyfall |
80/1(-220%) | (5) Spyfall 80/1, 200/1, fifteenth of 19 in novice hurdle at Navan (16f, heavy) 31 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Poor on last Flat outing. Well beaten in a trio of maiden hurdles; cheekpieces tried here and best watched. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
HASTEN SLOWLY swooped to conquer over C&D at the start of the month and the form was boosted when the fourth home came out and won on his next start. A 4lb rise in the weights shouldn't be insurmountable for Hasten Slowly. Picpoul's price almost halved last Friday and the money proved well founded as she bounced back to form in ready fashion. Michael Rice's five-year-old mare came in by an easy three and a half lengths over this trip and, if in the same mood, would be a big player off 8lb higher. Higher Kingdom has definitely been given a chance by the handicapper and signalled a return to form when sixth over a shorter trip earlier this month. Darkened is back with Denis Hogan who trained him to five victories. Paddy Harnett's 5lb claim has him on a competitive mark and he should be in the mix for prize money.
PICPOUL bounced back to capitalise on a reduced mark over C&D a week ago and she's still on a good mark, so she gets the nod over fellow last-time-out winner Hasten Slowly. Darkened will be of serious interest if the market speaks in his favour on debut for a new stable.
The last stride success of HASTEN SLOWLY here last month was the kickstart for the revival in John McConnell's fortunes, she will do
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (16/1 -78%) Chipstead |
16/1(-78%) | (3) Chipstead 16/1, Bit below form fourth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 11/2) 28 days ago. Won't be far away if he puts his best foot forward here. 5lb below last winning mark, but 0-14 over 6f and further which sounds a note of caution. |
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2nd (6) (4/1 -14%) Baldomero |
4/1(-14%) | (6) Baldomero 4/1, Course winner. Twenty-two runs since last win in 2022. Respectable 2 lengths third of 7 to Coachello in handicap (9/4) at Lingfield (7f, AW) 25 days ago. Now tried in a visor. Losing run up to 22 but he could enjoy the run of race if ridden positively. |
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3rd (4) (9/2 +44%) Tiger Crusade |
9/2(+44%) | (4) Tiger Crusade 9/2, C&D winner. 3 wins from 9 runs this year. Latest win at Newmarket in July. Bit below form seventh of 16 in handicap at Ascot (6f, good, 22/1) 75 days ago. Looks vulnerable. Dual 7f AW winner at the start of the year, but has won and run well over this trip since. |
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4th (2) (10/1 -33%) Summerghand |
10/1(-33%) | (2) Summerghand 10/1, Latest win at York in August. 3¼ lengths seventh of 10 to Willem Twee in listed race (11/1) at Lingfield (6f, AW) 32 days ago, left poorly placed. One or two of these look stronger. Not sure a small field in what may become a tactical event will play to his strengths. |
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5th (1) (9/4 +10%) Coachello |
9/4(+10%) | (1) Coachello 9/4, 5/2, career best when winning 6-runner handicap at Newcastle (6f) 4 days ago, bit in hand. Likely to make a bold bid to complete the hat-trick under a penalty. Bids for an AW hat-trick under a 5lb penalty; has to be respected in his current mood. |
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6th (5) (5/2 -11%) Probe |
5/2(-11%) | (5) Probe 5/2, Three wins from 9 runs this year. Career best when landing 8-runner handicap (7/2) at Chelmsford City (6f) 29 days ago by 1¾ lengths from Baldomero, cosily. 2-2 on the AW and he's a big player. Made it 2-2 on the AW when beating Baldomero at Chelmsford last month; has more to offer. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
COACHELLO arrives here on the back of two victories and a 5lb penalty for the most recent of those wins may not be enough to stop him from making it a hat-trick. Probe appreciated a return to the all-weather when scoring at Chelmsford a month ago and he has to be of interest once again, while Chipstead and Tiger Crusade complete the shortlist.
PROBE returned to form in no uncertain terms when cosily accounting for the re-opposing Baldomero and six others at Chelmsford last month, and a 5 lb rise may not be enough to prevent him from making it 3-3 on the all-weather. Baldomero deserves to get his head back in front and is likely to do just that in the coming weeks but hat-trick seeking Irish raider Coachello may emerge as the main danger to the selection on this occasion. Chipstead also merits respect.
This can go to PROBE who made it 2-2 on the AW when comfortably beating Baldomero at Chelmsford last month.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (25/1 -56%) Morning Logic |
25/1(-56%) | (4) Morning Logic 25/1, Making GB/IRE Flat debut. Seventh of 22 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (20f, good, 9/1) 71 days ago. Considered. Placed a couple of times in maiden hurdles; has an each-way chance on his Flat debut. |
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2nd (7) (15/2 -88%) Gran Caballo |
15/2(-88%) | (7) Gran Caballo 15/2, Once-raced gelding. Tongue strap on, sixth of 12 in maiden at this C&D (16/1) on debut 21 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Likely to improve a good deal for his debut run here and should be more competitive. |
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3rd (11) (Evens +43%) Squire Danagher |
Evens(+43%) | (11) Squire Danagher Evens, Thrice-raced colt. Good third of 14 in maiden at Navan (10f, soft, 5/1), never nearer. Off 7 months. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Player now stepping up in trip. Better ground is likely to suit and telling that Colin Keane is booked; one to beat. |
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4th (2) (11/4 +8%) Garrybello |
11/4(+8%) | (2) Garrybello 11/4, Fairly useful jumps winner. 50/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time in this code, good third of 12 in maiden at this C&D on Flat debut 21 days ago. Big shout. Staying on third after a slow start in a similar maiden last month; one for the shortlist. |
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5th (14) (10/3 -48%) New Phenomenon |
10/3(-48%) | (14) New Phenomenon 10/3, Lightly-raced filly. 7/2 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, respectable third of 14 in maiden at this course (10.7f) 12 days ago. Can go well again. Third from a poor draw over 1m2f here two weeks ago; likely to go close here. |
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6th (5) (20/1 +39%) Next Week |
20/1(+39%) | (5) Next Week 20/1, Once-raced gelding on Flat. 40/1, eighth of 14 in maiden at this course (10.7f) on flat debut 33 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Bumper scorer; good effort on his Flat and AW debut here last month after 15 months off. |
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7th (3) (150/1 -50%) Hi Sur Multi |
150/1(-50%) | (3) Hi Sur Multi 150/1, Twice-raced gelding on Flat. Tenth of 14 in maiden at this course (10.7f, 125/1) 12 days ago. Poor form over hurdles and well beaten in two Flat maidens; hard to fancy; up in trip. |
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8th (1) (150/1 -200%) Ganderstown |
150/1(-200%) | (1) Ganderstown 150/1, Making GB/IRE Flat debut. Eleventh of 14 in novice hurdle (25/1) at Clonmel (16.2f, heavy) 13 days ago. Not much to recommend in a bumper and three maiden hurdles; safe to look elsewhere. |
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9th (13) (400/1 -167%) Awakino |
400/1(-167%) | (13) Awakino 400/1, Lightly-raced filly. Eleventh of 14 in maiden at this course (10.7f, 250/1) 12 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Shown little in four starts so far at triple figure odds; cheekpieces tried but no appeal. |
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10th (12) (100/1 -300%) Make Sunshine |
100/1(-300%) | (12) Make Sunshine 100/1, Making GB/IRE Flat debut. Pulled up in novice hurdle (9/2) at Limerick (19f, heavy) on hurdles bow 29 days ago. Pulled up on her hurdles debut at Limerick last month; likely best watched here. |
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11th (10) (100/1 +0%) Primitivo |
100/1(+0%) | (10) Primitivo 100/1, Once-raced colt. 50/1, tenth of 14 in maiden at this course (10.7f) on debut 33 days ago. Should improve for his debut run here and the step up in trip but others more likely. |
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12th (6) (150/1 -50%) Cage Rattler |
150/1(-50%) | (6) Cage Rattler 150/1, Once-raced gelding. Last of 13 in maiden (150/1) at Gowran (8f, good to soft) on debut. Off 15 months. Significantly up in trip. Remote last in a Gowran maiden 14 months ago on his sole start; hard to fancy. |
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13th (9) (100/1 +0%) Hollywood Star |
100/1(+0%) | (9) Hollywood Star 100/1, Twice-raced colt. 125/1 and hooded for 1st time, ninth of 14 in maiden at this course (10.7f) 12 days ago. Better effort on his second start over 1m2f earlier this month; hood is retained here. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
SQUIRE DANAGHER could be worth chancing up in trip on his first run on Polytrack. Andy Oliver's colt is a nicely-bred sort who has performed with credit in three outings on turf, particularly when third at the Curragh and In Navan. Churchill filly New Phenomenon is also up in trip, but has the experience of a third place on Polytrack debut this month. She was also runner-up on the grass at Gowran Park in June and looks to be a leading contender. Garrybello has the advantage of finishing third over C&D at the end of last month and could be the one to profit if there are any stamina frailties with the aforementioned pair.
Lots of these arrive with a question mark against them so this looks a good opportunity for GARRYBELLO to build on his promising third over C&D and add to his two hurdling successes. Squire Danagher has an absence to overcome but still rates a big threat, with New Phenomenon appealing as the pick of the rest for place purposes.
Slight preference is for GARRYBELLO, a surprise package when a staying third in a C&D maiden last month and could improve again
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (10) (25/1 +24%) Marchetti |
25/1(+24%) | (10) Marchetti 25/1, Remains a maiden after 26 Flat runs. Twelfth of 13 in handicap (50/1) at this C&D 84 days ago. Bit to prove. 26-race maiden who was soundly beaten off this mark over C&D on latest outing in September. |
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2nd (11) (10/3 +67%) Safe Passage |
10/3(+67%) | (11) Safe Passage 10/3, Creditable fourth of 10 in handicap at Chelmsford City (7f, 7/1) 34 days ago, nearest finish. Not dismissed. Returns here after two respectable fourths at Chelmsford last month; others appeal more. |
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3rd (6) (9/2 +72%) Sparkling Spirit |
9/2(+72%) | (6) Sparkling Spirit 9/2, 14/1, respectable fourth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 33 days ago. Back down in trip. Blinkers on 1st time. Placed off 3lb higher over 1m here in October; back in trip with blinkers tried today. |
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4th (5) (3/1 +14%) Got No Dollars |
3/1(+14%) | (5) Got No Dollars 3/1, C&D winner. Twenty one runs since last win in 2022. Creditable third of 8 in handicap (5/1) at Chelmsford City (7f) 9 days ago. Should be on the premises again. Admirably consistent 5yo who has made the frame on his last five appearances. |
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5th (3) (50/1 -52%) Boom Boom Pow |
50/1(-52%) | (3) Boom Boom Pow 50/1, C&D winner. Winner here in June. 80/1 and hooded for 1st time, below form seventh of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 10 days ago, hampered. Others more persuasive. C&D winner in July but soundly beaten on both starts since rejoining Mark Usher. |
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6th (4) (50/1 +24%) United Force |
50/1(+24%) | (4) United Force 50/1, Tenth of 11 in handicap at Chelmsford City (7f, 80/1) 13 days ago, slowly away. Hard to fancy. Won on soft turf in April but has badly lost his way since the summer. |
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7th (2) (9/2 +40%) Rabinal |
9/2(+40%) | (2) Rabinal 9/2, Latest win at Magdeburg in September. 11/2, first run since leaving Simon James Stokes when fifth of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (7f, AW) on UK debut 14 days ago. Still unexposed but mark demands improvement. 1m turf winner in Germany in September; made low-key British debut this month. |
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8th (9) (33/1 +50%) Afterlife |
33/1(+50%) | (9) Afterlife 33/1, Last of 9 in handicap at Chelmsford City (7f, 40/1) 13 days ago. Hard to make any sort of case for. Has struggled on recent outings; considered only if lively in the betting. |
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9th (7) (5/1 +50%) Beauen Arrows |
5/1(+50%) | (7) Beauen Arrows 5/1, Below form sixth of 11 in handicap (80/1) at Newbury (6f, good to firm). Off 160 days. Liable to need the run. Suited by this C&D and on a good mark but absent since 6f turf run in July. |
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10th (8) (14/1 +58%) Superluminal |
14/1(+58%) | (8) Superluminal 14/1, Blinkered for 1st time, ninth of 15 in handicap (50/1) at Newmarket (8f, soft) 47 days ago. Others are more appealing. Placed in soft-ground novice in May but well down the field in all four handicaps since. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
GLOBAL WARNING had little trouble in justifying favouritism at Wolverhampton recently and a quick-fire double could be in the offing for John Butler's gelding, with a 4lb penalty looking far from insurmountable. Got No Dollars posted a close-up third at Chelmsford last Monday and the five-year-old is feared most racing off the same mark, ahead of fellow in-form rival Sparkling Spirit, who may find some improvement from first-time blinkers.
GLOBAL WARNING easily landed a gamble at Wolverhampton 10 days ago and, shouldering a 4-lb penalty, he should be able to go in again if the race doesn't come too soon. Got No Dollars looks the main danger and Rabinal could feature if he improves.
The most obvious answer is GLOBAL WARNING, who obliged with a sudden return to form when heavily punted last week.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (10/3 -11%) Wake Up Harry |
10/3(-11%) | (2) Wake Up Harry 10/3, Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. First run since leaving Simon Dow when ninth of 10 in handicap (13/8) at Lingfield (8f, AW) 32 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time and no surprise to see a better showing. Flopped when warm favourite for stable debut; back in trip with cheekpieces added today. |
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2nd (5) (11/4 +39%) Vitalline |
11/4(+39%) | (5) Vitalline 11/4, C&D winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. 10/3, creditable third of 11 in handicap at Southwell (6.1f) 5 days ago, staying on. Can make presence felt. Close third over C&D last month and also ran well over 6f at Southwell on Friday; a player. |
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3rd (1) (9/2 -29%) Freetodream |
9/2(-29%) | (1) Freetodream 9/2, 1 win from 3 runs this year. 4/1, creditable fourth of 10 in handicap at Goodwood (7f, good to firm) in June, unable to sustain effort. Absent since but he remains less exposed than most and return to class 6 company an obvious plus. In good form on turf when last seen, but that was in the spring. |
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4th (9) (10/1 +38%) Sea The Buckthorn |
10/1(+38%) | (9) Sea The Buckthorn 10/1, Unreliable type. Respectable sixth of 12 in handicap (10/1) at Southwell (8.1f) 13 days ago, weakening approaching final 1f. Others make greater appeal. Prominent for a long way over 1m this month; this drop back to 7f might suit. |
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5th (3) (8/1 -7%) Divine Messenger |
8/1(-7%) | (3) Divine Messenger 8/1, Course winner. 3 wins from 9 runs this year. 22/1, respectable fifth of 10 in handicap at Lingfield (8f, AW) 7 days ago, headed final 1f and no extra on the back of 9 months off. Entitled to be sharper here. Triple 7f winner in early part of year and returned from layoff with good effort last week. |
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6th (6) (8/1 +60%) Repartee |
8/1(+60%) | (6) Repartee 8/1, Twenty one runs since last win in 2020. 25/1, eighth of 9 in handicap at this course (1m) in July, always behind. Others more persuasive back from 5 months off. Without a win since 2020 and wasn't in much form when last seen in summer. |
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7th (4) (28/1 -133%) Queens Award |
28/1(-133%) | (4) Queens Award 28/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Eighth of 10 in handicap at this course (6f, 11/4) in August, held when hampered final 1f. Efforts in maiden/novice company previously not without promise so not one to write off on debut for new yard back up in trip. Left Ed Walker after underwhelming handicap debut here (6f) in August; stable debut today. |
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8th (10) (10/1 +38%) Kangaroo |
10/1(+38%) | (10) Kangaroo 10/1, Maiden who ran best race upon joining present yard when third of 10 in handicap at Chelmsford City (6f, 50/1) 13 days ago, nearest finish. Return to 7f a plus on that evidence and he's operating from a basement mark. Engaged 6.30 Wolverhampton Tuesday. Placed over 6f at Chelmsform and Wolverhampton (Tuesday) on last two starts. |
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9th (7) (16/1 +0%) Stryder |
16/1(+0%) | (7) Stryder 16/1, Lightly-raced maiden. First run since leaving Ed Walker when bit below form sixth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 14/1) 72 days ago. Had wind surgery ahead of this but more needed. Unplaced all five runs but stable debut in October was fairly encouraging; had wind op. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Freetodream was far from disgraced when finishing fourth at Goodwood in June and Amanda Perrett's inmate likely has more to offer in handicaps. However, DIVINE MESSENGER makes slightly more appeal on his return to 7f after not appearing to stay a mile on his fourth-placed reappearance at Lingfield last week. Vitalline has been knocking on the door of late and the five-year-old should give another good account racing off the same mark.
The market should prove informative but SEAS OF ELZAAM has fallen to a potentially lenient mark and could just be worth chancing given he's gone well on the back of a break previously. Wake Up Harry and Freetodream are next best, ahead of Vitalline.
Wake Up Harry has possibilities but preference is for VITALLINE, who has posted a couple of good recent efforts.
Ths is the racecard key.
Icon | Meaning |
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TomForm top stats, gold rated | |
TomForm top stats silver rated | |
Ran similar race before | |
S | TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out |
T | Top Time speeed rated |
Top Racingpost rated | |
At the races watchout for | |
At the races top pick | |
Top rated for thet statistic |
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
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