Tomform Wednesday 15th November 2023

There were 26 Races on Wednesday 15th November 2023 across 3 meetings. There was 8 races at Dundalk, 9 races at Newcastle, 9 races at Kempton, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Wednesday 15th November 2023

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

13:50 Dundalk Maiden 7f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Speed Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
2
1st (2) Cash Collector (12/1 +25%)
Cash Collector

12
12/1(+25%)
(2) Cash Collector 12/1, Foaled April 2. €6,500 yearling, Make Believe gelding. Half-brother to winner up to 1¼m Lightning Jock. Dam twice-raced sister to very smart winner up to 1½m High Heeled.
Dam showed ability in two middle-distance runs, plenty of stamina in the pedigree.
8
2nd (8) Step It Out (5/2 +38%)
Step It Out

2.5
5/2(+38%)
(8) Step It Out 5/2, Foaled April 12. €32,000 yearling, 45,000 gns 2-y-o, Inns of Court filly. Half-sister to 1m winner El Morro and Italian winner up to 1¼m Thor de Sa Matta. One for shortlist on debut given connections.
Half-sister to winners, likely to know her job coming from these quarters.
9
3rd (9) Clever Impulse (7/2 -133%)
Clever Impulse

3.5
7/2(-133%)
(9) Clever Impulse 7/2, Promising sort. 17/2, fourth of 12 in maiden at this C&D on debut 33 days ago, not knocked about. From a good US family and she will improve. Leading claims.
Kept on late for fourth in a C&D maiden a month ago, open to improvement, could feature.
3
4th (3) Tiger King (11/2 +83%)
Tiger King

5.5
11/2(+83%)
(3) Tiger King 11/2, Eleventh of 15 in maiden at Navan (5.8f, heavy, 16/1) on debut 28 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Up in trip. Tongue strap on for 1st time.
Faded in the final furlong of a sprint maiden at Navan tongue-tie fitted now, tough task.
7
5th (7) Celebrity Icon (11/1 -144%)
Celebrity Icon

11
11/1(-144%)
(7) Celebrity Icon 11/1, Foaled February 2. 25,000 gns yearling, Cotai Glory filly. Dam unraced half-sister to very smart winner up to 1¼m (stayed 1½m) Enforcer. One to take seriously on debut.
Unraced dam a half-sister to Group 3 winner Enforcer, could go well for top yard on debut.
14
6th (14) Chick Flick (50/1 -52%)
Chick Flick

50
50/1(-52%)
(14) Chick Flick 50/1, €16,000Y, half-sister to numerous winners, including 1½m-16.4f winner Pale Mimosa and 1¼m-2¼m winner (stayed 2½m) Nearly Caught (by New Approach), both smart. Dam 9f winner. Eighth of 9 in barrier trial at Naas in May.
Half-sister to eight winners, including Group 2 scorers Nearly Caught and Plae Mimosa.
4
7th (4) Eddie G (17/2 +66%)
Eddie G

8.5
17/2(+66%)
(4) Eddie G 17/2, Twice-raced colt. Tenth of 20 in maiden at the Curragh (5.9f, heavy, 40/1) 15 days ago.
May improve over this trip judged on mid-field run in a 20-runner 6f maiden at the Curragh.
6
8th (6) Twotwo And Two (66/1 -65%)
Twotwo And Two

66
66/1(-65%)
(6) Twotwo And Two 66/1, Foaled February 9. €1,000 foal, €4,000 yearling, resold €7,500 yearling, Lawman colt. Closely related to 1m winner Run Teddy Run and half-brother to 9f winner Manhattan Al Asil. Dam 1m winner.
Closely related to 1m AW winner Run Teddy Run, dam 1m winner, likely to need experience.
1
9th (1) Dandy Lichious (18/1 -29%)
Dandy Lichious

18
18/1(-29%)
(1) Dandy Lichious 18/1, Lightly-raced gelding. 17/2, last of 4 in minor event at Cork (7f, good to firm) 70 days ago. First run for yard after leaving G. M. Lyons. Tongue strap on 1st time.
Maiden after five starts for Ger Lyons, has shown enough to suggest a place chance.
11
10th (11) Sofia Tesoro (200/1 -203%)
Sofia Tesoro

200
200/1(-203%)
(11) Sofia Tesoro 200/1, Twice-raced filly. Last of 16 in maiden at the Curragh (7f, soft, 200/1) 34 days ago.
Slowly away and ran green at Down Royal, last of 16 at the Curragh, can be ruled out.
5
11th (5) Strings Of Gold (25/1 -56%)
Strings Of Gold

25
25/1(-56%)
(5) Strings Of Gold 25/1, Dam, ran once, half-sister to useful French 2-y-o 9.5f winner Delhi out of useful 2-y-o 6f winner (probably stayed 1m) Dream Day. Second of 8 in barrier trial at Naas in May.
Dam did not show much but is a half-sister to Listed-placed juvenile winner Delhi.
12
12th (12) Benwelt Gem (80/1 -100%)
Benwelt Gem

80
80/1(-100%)
(12) Benwelt Gem 80/1, Once-raced filly. 200/1, eighth of 15 in maiden at Navan (5.8f, heavy) on debut 28 days ago. Up in trip.
200-1 on debut in a sprint maiden at Navan, some merit in her staying-on run in mid-field.
10
13th (10) Jaadil (5/1 +64%)
Jaadil

5
5/1(+64%)
(10) Jaadil 5/1, Twice-raced filly. Seventeenth of 18 in maiden at Leopardstown (7f, good to soft, 14/1) 118 days ago. Stable having good spell.
From a top stable but not a likely contender on the evidence of two runs during the summer.
13
14th (13) Betty's Secret (50/1 -52%)
Betty's Secret

50
50/1(-52%)
(13) Betty's Secret 50/1, Foaled March 29. Dragon Pulse filly. Dam, 7f-9f winner, half-sister to useful 5f-1m winner Air of York.
First foal out of a mare who won a handicap at 7f and 1m1f for this stable.
LTO Selection:

13:50 Dundalk Maiden 7f Race Speed Rating Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's race.

CLEVER IMPULSE was far from disgraced on debut over C&D last month and, given normal improvement, may prove difficult to beat. The Joseph O'Brien-trained filly was never really involved after a tardy start but kept on well to take fourth behind the impressive Orderofthephoenix. Dandy Lichious is the most experienced in the line-up with his five outings spanning the length of the season including when fourth to Asian Daze over this trip at the Curragh while Eddie G is another to consider. It will be interesting to see if the market speaks in favour of one of the newcomers with Step It Out, a 45,000 guineas daughter of Inns Of Court, and Celebrity Icon of particular interest.

CLEVER IMPULSE made an encouraging start here last month and is sure to progress, so looks the way to go. Step It Out and Celebrity Icon are interesting newcomers.

The experience gained by CLEVER IMPULSE may be enough to see her contain newcomers Step It Out and Celebrity Icon


14:20 Dundalk Maiden 7f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Speed Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
12
1st (12) Neo Smart (17/2 +39%)
Neo Smart

8.5
17/2(+39%)
(12) Neo Smart 17/2, Fair filly. Remains a maiden after 7 Flat runs. 20/1, below form seventh of 13 in nursery at Naas (5.9f, soft) 32 days ago. Makes polytrack debut.
Beaten a neck by the top-class Porta Fortuna on debut, has failed to build on that promise.
9
2nd (9) Sorrento Sky (8/1 -78%)
Sorrento Sky

8
8/1(-78%)
(9) Sorrento Sky 8/1, Prince of Lir colt. Won 6-runner barrier trial at Dundalk in September.
By a Norfolk Stakes winner but not much on the dam's side on which to base an assessment.
5
3rd (5) Sumptuary Law (3/1 +25%)
Sumptuary Law

3
3/1(+25%)
(5) Sumptuary Law 3/1, Twice-raced filly. 5/1, second of 12 in maiden at this C&D 33 days ago, no match for easy winner. Yard in good form. Another bold show likely.
Fourth over 6f on debut, holds a leading chance on the basis of second over C&D last month.
2
4th (2) Bergamasco (9/1 -13%)
Bergamasco

9
9/1(-13%)
(2) Bergamasco 9/1, Thrice-raced gelding. Third of 10 in maiden at this course (6f, 22/1) 14 days ago. Going the right way.
Comes into the reckoning on the strength of his third placing over 6f here a fortnight ago.
1
5th (1) Little Lady Lucy (20/1 -186%)
Little Lady Lucy

20
20/1(-186%)
(1) Little Lady Lucy 20/1, Foaled March 20. €65,000 yearling, Expert Eye filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 6f winner Slan Abhaile. Appealing newcomer.
Half-sister to 6f juvenile winner Slan Abhaile, may be capable of making an impact.
3
6th (3) Nedita (11/2 +39%)
Nedita

5.5
11/2(+39%)
(3) Nedita 11/2, Foaled April 9. €32,000 yearling, Elzaam gelding. Brother to winner up to 7f Parnassian and 2-y-o 7f winner Elakazaam, and half-brother to several winners, including smart 5f winner Korker.
Dam won over 6f at two and has a solid record as a broodmare, could go well.
10
7th (10) Super Exceed (11/1 +67%)
Super Exceed

11
11/1(+67%)
(10) Super Exceed 11/1, Foaled January 23. €26,000 yearling, Ribchester filly. Dam, 6f winner, half-sister to smart 2-y-o 7f/1m winner Powerful Breeze.
Dam 6f winner, half-sister to Group 2 juvenile winner Powerful Breeze, trip should suit.
4
8th (4) Are You In Or Out (150/1 +25%)
Are You In Or Out

150
150/1(+25%)
(4) Are You In Or Out 150/1, Lightly-raced filly. 250/1, last of 12 in maiden at Leopardstown (7.1f, heavy) 25 days ago. Makes polytrack debut.
Nothing in her four outings on turf to suggest she could make any impact here.
8
9th (8) Sinbad My Dad (8/1 +43%)
Sinbad My Dad

8
8/1(+43%)
(8) Sinbad My Dad 8/1, Lightly-raced gelding. 11/1, respectable fourth of 9 in nursery at the Curragh (8f, heavy) 15 days ago. Cheekpieces back on.
A few respectable displays on testing ground, must step up on the form of his only AW run.
14
10th (14) Special Angel (40/1 +0%)
Special Angel

40
40/1(+0%)
(14) Special Angel 40/1, Twice-raced filly. Eighth of 12 in maiden (10/1) at this C&D 33 days ago.
Showed some promise on her debut here in August, last month's run was not as promising.
6
11th (6) Ateenosix (4/1 +56%)
Ateenosix

4
4/1(+56%)
(6) Ateenosix 4/1, Once-raced colt. 16/1, sixth of 14 in maiden at this C&D on debut 33 days ago, very green and not knocked about. Should progress.
Slowly away first time out here last month, likely to be more professional now.
11
12th (11) Brackloon Bay (14/1 +0%)
Brackloon Bay

14
14/1(+0%)
(11) Brackloon Bay 14/1, Foaled April 19. The Gurkha filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including useful German 1m winner Open Sea and 2-y-o 7.4f winner Disdainful.
Maiden dam is a half-sister to ill-fated Albany Stakes winner Newfangled, in good hands.
7
13th (7) Bacio (200/1 -33%)
Bacio

200
200/1(-33%)
(7) Bacio 200/1, Once-raced colt. 200/1, twelfth of 13 in maiden at this C&D on debut 14 days ago.
Huge price when in rear here two weeks ago, can be safely ruled out.
LTO Selection:

14:20 Dundalk Maiden 7f Race Speed Rating Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's race.

OCEAN BLISS was noted staying on into mid-division behind Megarry on her debut in a 23-runner Curragh maiden back in August. It is of some concern that she hasn't been seen since but that maiden hasn't worked out too badly with the winner subsequently successful in a Listed race and the selection should be suited by this extra furlong. Ateenosix also showed promise on his only start over C&D last month, while Bergamasco is another for the shortlist following his third behind better fancied stable-companion Take Me To Church here a fortnight ago. Sumptuary Law beat all bar Orderofthephoenix here last month and that form may get a boost in division one while Little Lady Lucy, Sorrento Sky and Brackloon Bay are among the newcomers to note.

Probably not a strong maiden and LITTLE LADY LUCY might be able to make a successful start, with the betting likely to prove informative. Sumptuary Law and Bergamasco are dangerous.


14:30 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 16f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
8
(8) Kitten's Dream (25/1 -150%)
Kitten's Dream

25
25/1(-150%)
(8) Kitten's Dream 25/1, Unreliable sort. Eighth of 10 in handicap at this course (12.4f, 4/1) 13 days ago. Seems to be going through the motions.
Very mixed since last win at Southwell earlier this year; poor run here last time.
2
1st (2) Eagle's Realm (5/6 +53%)
Eagle's Realm

0.833333
5/6(+53%)
(2) Eagle's Realm 5/6, Finally opened account in this sphere in 10-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (14f) 19 days ago. 3 lb rise seems fair and could well follow up.
Brandon Wilkie claims 3lb so effectively off same mark as for his Wolverhampton win.
6
2nd (6) Show No Fear (7/1 -17%)
Show No Fear

7
7/1(-17%)
(6) Show No Fear 7/1, First run since leaving Adrian Brendan Joyce when fifth of 8 in handicap (7/1) at this C&D 13 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time on the Flat. Not taken lightly.
Only fifth here on stable debut but ties in with Grifter on that form.
4
3rd (4) Induro De Fontaine (18/1 +0%)
Induro De Fontaine

18
18/1(+0%)
(4) Induro De Fontaine 18/1, Shaped as if needing the run after 18 months off when tenth of 12 in handicap at Southwell (14.1f, 12/1) 48 days ago. This will reveal more.
2m AW winner; raced too keenly at Southwell on his return from a long absence.
9
4th (9) Strong Team (100/1 -100%)
Strong Team

100
100/1(-100%)
(9) Strong Team 100/1, Below form when fifth of 10 in handicap at this course (12.4f, 125/1) 13 days ago. Significantly up in trip.
Still a maiden on the Flat and poor under both codes for a while now.
7
5th (7) Bateau Bay (25/1 +24%)
Bateau Bay

25
25/1(+24%)
(7) Bateau Bay 25/1, Fifth of 9 in handicap (150/1) at Wolverhampton (14f) 9 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time.
Lightly raced but hasn't shown much in handicaps; raised in distance.
5
6th (5) Trailblazer (5/1 +29%)
Trailblazer

5
5/1(+29%)
(5) Trailblazer 5/1, Followed a good run with a below-par one when sixth of 10 in handicap at this course (12.4f) 13 days ago. Significantly back up in trip.
Has placed form here but he's now 0-21 after checking out quickly over 1m4f here recently.
3
7th (3) Ghadbbaan (5/1 +0%)
Ghadbbaan

5
5/1(+0%)
(3) Ghadbbaan 5/1, Dual winner in 2022 who shaped as if needing the run when seventh of 11 in handicap (40/1) at this course (12.4f) 16 days ago. Will be suited by a return to 2m and needs considering.
Below par the last twice (here last time) but returning to 2m should be welcomed.
1
8th (1) Grifter (11/1 -57%)
Grifter

11
11/1(-57%)
(1) Grifter 11/1, Turned in his best effort of the season in a first-time visor/tongue strap on first run since leaving Danny Brooke when fourth of 8 in handicap at this C&D 13 days ago. Possibilities if building on that.
Came from off the pace to be a closing fourth over C&D recently; involved.
LTO Selection:

14:30 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

EAGLE'S REALM gained a first success in this sphere when landing the spoils over 1m6f at Wolverhampton last month. A 3lb rise for the son of Free Eagle looks more than fair and the extended 2m of this contest could unlock further improvement. Trailblazer wasn't at his best when weakening into sixth here earlier in the month but he must enter calculations on previous form, while Show No Fear is entitled to build on his recent fifth-placed stable bow.

EAGLE'S REALM quickened up well from the rear to open his account in this sphere at Wolverhampton 19 days ago and a 3 lb rise doesn't look excessive, so he gets the nod to follow up. Ghadbbaan and Grifter head the dangers.


14:55 Dundalk Claimer 8f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Speed Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
13
1st (13) Monzoon (7/1 +56%)
Monzoon

7
7/1(+56%)
(13) Monzoon 7/1, Modest gelding. C&D winner. Twenty runs since last win in 2021. Creditable fourth of 14 in handicap (10/1) at this C&D 12 days ago.
C&D fourth in a handicap last time suggests he should not be completely ruled out.
6
2nd (6) Pinball Wizard (6/1 +45%)
Pinball Wizard

6
6/1(+45%)
(6) Pinball Wizard 6/1, Fair gelding. Latest win at Gowran in May. Respectable 8 lengths second of 13 to Brains in claimer at this C&D (7/1) 14 days ago, no match for winner.
Beaten 8l in second behind Brains here a fortnight ago, unlikely to turn the tables.
12
3rd (12) Muhalhel (25/1 -25%)
Muhalhel

25
25/1(-25%)
(12) Muhalhel 25/1, Modest gelding. One win from 23 Flat runs. Eighteen runs since last win in 2021. 10/3, seventh of 10 in claimer at Laytown (7f) 64 days ago. Blinkers back on.
Won a claimer at Leicester in 2021, no sign of a return to form at Laytown when last seen.
9
4th (9) Chica Power (12/1 +25%)
Chica Power

12
12/1(+25%)
(9) Chica Power 12/1, Fair mare. Course winner. Latest win here in October. Respectable seventh of 13 in handicap at this course (7f, 11/1) 7 days ago.
All her wins have been at 7f, won a claimer here last month, this looks like a deeper race.
7
5th (7) Fastman (50/1 +0%)
Fastman

50
50/1(+0%)
(7) Fastman 50/1, Fair gelding. Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. Ninth of 14 in handicap at this C&D (33/1) 14 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time.
Solid form initially this year, unplaced on his last seven outings, blinkered first time.
10
6th (10) Invincible Larne (28/1 -40%)
Invincible Larne

28
28/1(-40%)
(10) Invincible Larne 28/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2021. 10½ lengths sixth of 13 to Brains in claimer (40/1) at this C&D 14 days ago.
Lost form after Leopardstown second in June, well held by Brains on running here last time.
4
7th (4) Dazzling Spirit (33/1 +0%)
Dazzling Spirit

33
33/1(+0%)
(4) Dazzling Spirit 33/1, Fair mare. Latest win at Clonmel in September. Eleventh of 16 in handicap at Galway (7f, heavy, 50/1) 16 days ago. Cheekpieces back on.
Four-time turf winner, struggling in testing conditions lately, this surface should suit.
1
8th (1) Brains (1/2 +60%)
Brains

0.5
1/2(+60%)
(1) Brains 1/2, Fairly useful gelding. Latest win in claimer here in November. Good second of 7 in handicap at this C&D (9/4) 5 days ago. Obvious claims.
Beat Pinball Wizard by 8l here a fortnight ago, another good run last week, hard to oppose.
8
9th (8) Ghumama (25/1 -25%)
Ghumama

25
25/1(-25%)
(8) Ghumama 25/1, Fair mare. Course winner. Eleventh of 14 in handicap at this course (12f, 14/1) 14 days ago. Significantly back down in trip.
Dual winner here over the extended 1m2f; needs to step up on recent efforts.
2
10th (2) Venetian (40/1 -150%)
Venetian

40
40/1(-150%)
(2) Venetian 40/1, Fair gelding. 7/1 and visored for 1st time, respectable sixth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 43 days ago, merely closing up late. First run for yard after leaving Charlie Johnston. One to consider.
Twice placed for Charlie Johnston in June, subsequent form raises doubts, Irish debut.
5
11th (5) Magnetic North (25/1 -108%)
Magnetic North

25
25/1(-108%)
(5) Magnetic North 25/1, Fairly useful gelding. 4 wins from 14 runs this year. Last of 14 in handicap at this course (12f, 66/1) 14 days ago. Significantly down in trip. Booking of Lee a plus.
Decent strike-rate (9-58) on turf but has never been placed on AW, well held here lately.
14
12th (14) Samhradh (40/1 +60%)
Samhradh

40
40/1(+60%)
(14) Samhradh 40/1, Poor gelding. 10/1, eleventh of 16 in handicap at Gowran (9.4f, heavy) 30 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Difficult ask.
Mild promise early in the season, weak form on his last three starts, now rated a lowly 38.
11
13th (11) Miss Cunning (200/1 -150%)
Miss Cunning

200
200/1(-150%)
(11) Miss Cunning 200/1, Modest mare. 4-time course winner. Thirteenth of 16 in handicap (20/1) at Gowran (9.5f, soft) 109 days ago.
Gained most recent of her six wins at Cork in April, two poor runs after Limerick third.
LTO Selection:

14:55 Dundalk Claimer 8f Race Speed Rating Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's race.

BRAINS gained all bar one of his 11 UK wins on the all-weather and has continued to do well since joining Eric McNamara this summer. The selection adopted his customary front-running role when beating Pinball Wizard by eight lengths in a claimer over C&D a fortnight ago and ran a cracker in a handicap again over a mile here last Friday when only going down by half-a-length to Punk Poet. Pierre Lapin held a career high mark of 110 after winning the Group 2 Mill Reef Stakes as a juvenile but with a record of one win from his last 35 starts has tumbled down the ratings, although he appears to have found a level in recent outings. Venetian won twice for Mark and Charlie Johnston while Magnetic North completed a hat-trick in claimers this summer but has lost his way in recent months.

Hard to see past BRAINS, who won a similar contest easily here a fortnight ago before going close in a stronger handicap on Friday. Pierre Lapin and Venetian are a couple of the other key players.

A handsome C&D winner in this grade on his penultimate start BRAINS (nap) can be fancied to confirm form with Pinball Wizard


15:05 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 12f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
5
1st (5) Spirit Of Ash (7/2 +50%)
Spirit Of Ash

3.5
7/2(+50%)
(5) Spirit Of Ash 7/2, C&D winner who possibly found race coming too soon when sixth of 9 in handicap (9/2) at this course (16.2f) 26 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Drops back in trip and shortlisted.
Won comfortably here last month and following run perhaps came too soon.
8
2nd (8) Lochnaver (14/1 -87%)
Lochnaver

14
14/1(-87%)
(8) Lochnaver 14/1, Shaped well when sixth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 28/1) 25 days ago, finishing with running left. One to be interested in.
Finished full of running after a troubled passage when close up at Wolverhampton.
2
3rd (2) Sarkha (25/1 -25%)
Sarkha

25
25/1(-25%)
(2) Sarkha 25/1, Tongue strap on for 1st time, again ran poorly when eighth of 11 in handicap (28/1) at Southwell (12.1f) 36 days ago. Needs to revive.
Regressed since May's win and finished well beaten in two runs for this yard.
3
4th (3) Super Stars (7/2 +22%)
Super Stars

3.5
7/2(+22%)
(3) Super Stars 7/2, Remains a maiden but produced his best effort for current yard when fourth of 10 in handicap at this C&D (9/2) 13 days ago. Can make presence felt with a repeat.
On a decent mark and gave his running to be beaten just 2l over C&D recently.
10
5th (10) Marcello Si (15/2 +25%)
Marcello Si

7.5
15/2(+25%)
(10) Marcello Si 15/2, 15/2, respectable 4½ lengths fourth of 10 to Great Colaci in handicap at this C&D 57 days ago.
Never been lower in the weights and, despite his maiden status, he enters the equation.
4
6th (4) Heatherdown Hero (11/1 -38%)
Heatherdown Hero

11
11/1(-38%)
(4) Heatherdown Hero 11/1, One win from 23 Flat runs. Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Ninth of 11 in handicap (11/1) at Catterick (15.9f, heavy) 15 days ago. Back down in trip.
Only 1-23 and others are probably in better nick right now.
9
7th (9) Das Kapital (66/1 -230%)
Das Kapital

66
66/1(-230%)
(9) Das Kapital 66/1, Eighteen runs since last win in 2021. 50/1, seventh of 11 in handicap at Chelmsford City (14f) 11 days ago.
Has lost his way since a couple of near misses on turf back in the spring.
7
8th (7) Carlton (5/1 +55%)
Carlton

5
5/1(+55%)
(7) Carlton 5/1, 33/1, respectable seventh of 12 in handicap at this course (10.2f) 44 days ago, very slowly away. Up in trip.
Recent slow starts are a concern and has stamina to prove now raised in distance.
6
9th (6) Great Colaci (8/1 -7%)
Great Colaci

8
8/1(-7%)
(6) Great Colaci 8/1, 8-time course winner. Latest win here in September. Respectable 6 lengths fourth of 11 to Spirit of Ash in handicap at this C&D (10/3) 33 days ago, slowly away.
Can be hit and miss but there's a big run in him; regular here.
1
10th (1) Owens Lad (17/2 -70%)
Owens Lad

8.5
17/2(-70%)
(1) Owens Lad 17/2, Latest win at Carlisle in August. Creditable fourth of 13 in handicap at Southwell (11.1f, 6/1) 48 days ago, well positioned. Should give another good account.
High in the weights but continues to run well and is unlikely to be far away..
12
11th (12) Foshan (16/1 -60%)
Foshan

16
16/1(-60%)
(12) Foshan 16/1, 22/1, took a step back in the right direction when third of 11 in handicap at this course (8f) 15 days ago. Significantly back up in trip.
Third over 1m here the last time and he should be fine over this far.
LTO Selection:

15:05 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 12f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

OWENS LAD has been in fair form over the past few months and the combination of a short break and a 1lb drop in the ratings may be enough to help the five-year-old regain the winning thread. Super Stars posted his best effort for current connections when only two lengths behind in fourth over C&D, and a similar level of performance should see the son of Sea The Stars in the mix. Great Colaci and Foshan are others to note in a wide-open affair.

The suggestion is LOCHNAVER, who caught the eye finishing with running left at Wolverhampton last month. Spirit of Ash has an excellent course record and seems likely to bounce back from a below-par effort, while Super Stars is another to consider.


15:30 Dundalk Maiden 8f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Speed Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
8
1st (8) Not Forgotten (8/11 +20%)
Not Forgotten

0.727273
8/11(+20%)
(8) Not Forgotten 8/11, Fairly useful gelding who ran respectably in a first-time tongue strap when second of 14 in maiden at this C&D 12 days ago. Yard having good spell. Sets the standard.
Placed on all three starts at this venue, sets the standard after second here on latest.
7
2nd (7) Nakassama (10/3 +5%)
Nakassama

3.333333
10/3(+5%)
(7) Nakassama 10/3, Took a step back in the right direction when third of 14 in maiden at this C&D 12 days ago, never nearer. Cheekpieces on for 1st time.
Only one length off Not Forgotten last time despite hanging in straight, should go close.
13
3rd (13) Hotaugustnight (15/2 -50%)
Hotaugustnight

7.5
15/2(-50%)
(13) Hotaugustnight 15/2, Fair filly. Remains a maiden after 7 Flat runs. 11/4, fourth of 13 in maiden at Galway (7f, heavy) 16 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Respected.
Could manage only fourth when favourite for a 7f maiden at Galway, cheekpieces may help.
11
4th (11) Gentle Breath (16/1 +36%)
Gentle Breath

16
16/1(+36%)
(11) Gentle Breath 16/1, Twice-raced filly. 33/1, sixth of 14 in maiden at Punchestown (9f, good to soft) 63 days ago. Tongue strap on for 1st time.
May improve after fair sixth of 14 on her belated return at Punchestown, tongue-tie on now.
14
5th (14) Marians Gal (250/1 -25%)
Marians Gal

250
250/1(-25%)
(14) Marians Gal 250/1, Well held in 3 maidens. Significantly back down in trip.
No impact in three heavy-ground maiden outings, transformation required on AW debut.
6
6th (6) Hokusai (4/1 +0%)
Hokusai

4
4/1(+0%)
(6) Hokusai 4/1, Fair gelding. Remains a maiden after 9 Flat runs. Respectable fourth of 10 in maiden at this course (7f, 7/1) 7 days ago. Blinkers on for 1st time and has solid each-way claims.
Satisfactory run last week, would get 10lb from Not Forgotten in a handicap, blinkered now.
5
7th (5) Easy Way (33/1 +78%)
Easy Way

33
33/1(+78%)
(5) Easy Way 33/1, Tongue strap on, eighth of 12 in maiden at Leopardstown (9f, heavy, 150/1) on debut 24 days ago.
Down the field at 150-1 in a backend 1m1f maiden at Leopardstown, major improvement needed.
10
8th (10) Miss Aytan (28/1 +15%)
Miss Aytan

28
28/1(+15%)
(10) Miss Aytan 28/1, Raced freely and never on terms sole outing in bumpers.
Did not settle well when introduced in a bumper at Down Royal, big drop in trip now.
4
9th (4) Neddies Boy (300/1 -50%)
Neddies Boy

300
300/1(-50%)
(4) Neddies Boy 300/1, No show in 3 maidens on the Flat.
Showed some ability on the first of two bumpers starts, poor form in three Flat outings.
2
10th (2) Hi Sur Multi (250/1 -25%)
Hi Sur Multi

250
250/1(-25%)
(2) Hi Sur Multi 250/1, Little show in bumper/over hurdles.
Struggled in points, has shown next to nothing in four hurdle starts, no apparent chance..
3
11th (3) Kalsman (250/1 -25%)
Kalsman

250
250/1(-25%)
(3) Kalsman 250/1, No show in 4 bumpers and 3 Flat starts.
Modest form in three starts at this venue and in bumpers/hurdles, safe to rule out.
12
12th (12) Get Well Soon (40/1 +39%)
Get Well Soon

40
40/1(+39%)
(12) Get Well Soon 40/1, Make Believe filly. Sister to German winner up to 9f Leevke, and half-sister to 7f winners Jillanar and Leytana. Dam, 9f/1¼m winner, out of smart 1½m winner Another Dancer.
Homebred filly, dam won twice for Dermot Weld and was later Listed-placed in Germany.
9
13th (9) Ocean Leader (100/1 -52%)
Ocean Leader

100
100/1(-52%)
(9) Ocean Leader 100/1, 22/1, showed only greenness when tenth of 12 in maiden at Cork (5f, good) on debut. Off 13 months. Significantly up in trip. First run for yard after leaving Denis W. Cullen. Tongue strap on for 1st time.
Never in the hunt in a 5f maiden at Cork on only start at two, best watched.
1
14th (1) Ginnos Port (250/1 -25%)
Ginnos Port

250
250/1(-25%)
(1) Ginnos Port 250/1, No form in maidens. Significantly back up in trip.
Has finished in the rear on all three starts, can be left out of calculations.
LTO Selection:

15:30 Dundalk Maiden 8f Race Speed Rating Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's race.

NOT FORGOTTEN won a barrier trial here last year and has been consistent in five outings this term including when placed on all three visits to this venue. The selection had Nakassama a length behind when filling the runner-up spot behind the odds-on Persian Jewel earlier this month and a reproduction of that form may be good enough. Hokusai is held by Not Forgotten on running at Bellewstown this summer but has put in a couple of solid efforts since including behind favourite Pier Pressure here last Wednesday and is now fitted with blinkers for the first time. Hotaugustnight is probably best suited by a mile on a sound surface, while Miss Aytan was too keen on her only start in a Down Royal bumper.

NOT FORGOTTEN sets the standard on the pick of his form and this looks a good opportunity for him to finally shed his maiden status. Hotaugustnight and Hokusai are a couple with solid each-way claims.


15:37 Newcastle Handicap (Class 4) 12f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
8
1st (8) Quantum Cat (10/1 -43%)
Quantum Cat

10
10/1(-43%)
(8) Quantum Cat 10/1, Thrice-raced winner. Second of 4 in minor event (2/1) at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 13 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Makes handicap debut. One to note.
Bounced back with novice second 13 days ago; up in trip on h'cap debut; considered.
9
2nd (9) Chase The Dollar (9/2 +68%)
Chase The Dollar

4.5
9/2(+68%)
(9) Chase The Dollar 9/2, 14/1, good second of 11 in handicap at Kempton (12f) 14 days ago. Likeable type who should be on the premises again for all that others are less exposed.
Yet to score this season but good second at Kempton latest; ought to be in the shake-up.
6
3rd (6) Noble Anthem (25/1 -285%)
Noble Anthem

25
25/1(-285%)
(6) Noble Anthem 25/1, Tongue strap on for 1st time, first run since leaving Archie Watson when excellent second of 7 in novice hurdle at Kelso (16.2f, good to firm, 9/4) 64 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time on the Flat. On a fair mark returning to this sphere.
Good start for new yard with Kelso hurdles second; not ruled out back in this sphere.
12
4th (12) Franberri (5/1 -122%)
Franberri

5
5/1(-122%)
(12) Franberri 5/1, Firmly back on track when landing an 11-runner maiden over C&D 13 days ago. Open to further progress and makes plenty of appeal switched to handicaps.
Frankel filly who landed C&D maiden latest; big player on her first go in handicap company.
5
5th (5) Met Office (5/2 +62%)
Met Office

2.5
5/2(+62%)
(5) Met Office 5/2, Won 11-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 50/1) 9 days ago by 1¾ lengths from Percy Willis. Carries penalty. Respected.
50-1 winner at Wolverhampton nine days ago; he needs to back it up now under a 5lb penalty.
7
6th (7) Real Terms (12/1 -33%)
Real Terms

12
12/1(-33%)
(7) Real Terms 12/1, Course winner. Latest win at Haydock in September. 5/1, creditable fourth of 11 in handicap at this course (10.2f) 12 days ago, not clear run. Back up in trip. Should be thereabouts.
Course winner who arrives in good nick; can go well again off an unchanged mark.
2
7th (2) La Pulga (8/1 -14%)
La Pulga

8
8/1(-14%)
(2) La Pulga 8/1, 11/1, good second of 7 in handicap at this C&D 44 days ago. Drops further in grade and boasts solid claims.
Back on track when runner-up over C&D last month; one for the shortlist nudged up 1lb.
4
8th (4) Lexington Knight (12/1 +14%)
Lexington Knight

12
12/1(+14%)
(4) Lexington Knight 12/1, C&D winner. 3 wins from 14 runs this year. 14/1, sixth of 9 in handicap at York (11.8f, soft) 53 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Return to tapeta is in his favour, so not ruled out.
Won at Wolverhampton but only sixth at York since; more is needed from C&D winner.
10
9th (10) Percy Willis (9/1 +36%)
Percy Willis

9
9/1(+36%)
(10) Percy Willis 9/1, C&D winner. Creditable 1¾ lengths second of 11 to Met Office in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 8/1) 9 days ago, running on. Should give another good account.
C&D winner and a good Wolver second nine days ago; up 2lb but can't be ruled out.
1
10th (1) Southern Voyage (11/1 +45%)
Southern Voyage

11
11/1(+45%)
(1) Southern Voyage 11/1, C&D winner. Seventh of 11 in handicap at Newmarket (12f, soft, 40/1) 12 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Not firing at present.
C&D winner in 2022 but he's yet to fire in three runs this term; others appeal more.
11
11th (11) Flying Scotsman (100/1 -25%)
Flying Scotsman

100
100/1(-25%)
(11) Flying Scotsman 100/1, 100/1, eleventh of 12 in handicap at this course (10.2f) 29 days ago, not knocked about. Step back up in trip/refitting of cheekpieces should help.
Hinted at a revival, 11th over 1m2f here latest; considered up in trip off falling mark.
3
12th (3) Achnamara (150/1 -275%)
Achnamara

150
150/1(-275%)
(3) Achnamara 150/1, 12/1, second of 7 in seller at Musselburgh (12.5f, good to soft) 30 days ago. Difficult ask.
Yet to hit top form for current yard, dropped into seller when 2nd at Musselburgh latest.
LTO Selection:

15:37 Newcastle Handicap (Class 4) 12f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

FRANBERRI was value for further when opening her account in a maiden contest over track and trip, and she may be able to complete a double now entering handicaps. Quantum Cat was far from disgraced when runner-up at Wolverhampton and this mark looks workable. The Kitten's Joy colt may emerge as the chief threat, ahead of La Pulga and Chase The Dollar.

FRANBERRI caught the eye on debut and got right back on track when opening her account over C&D recently. She has the scope for a good deal better yet and takes preference over the in-form La Pulga and Quantum Cat.


15:45 Kempton Stakes (Class 5) 6f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
8
1st (8) Mukaafah (7/4 +30%)
Mukaafah

1.75
7/4(+30%)
(8) Mukaafah 7/4, Gambled-on 11/8, just fourth of 9 at Yarmouth (6f, soft) on debut 30 days ago. Should improve.
Keeping-on fourth of nine in novice at Yarmouth (6f, soft) last month when 11-8 favourite.
1
2nd (1) Engineer (2/1 +0%)
Engineer

2
2/1(+0%)
(1) Engineer 2/1, 8/11, won 9-runner maiden at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 13 days ago, plenty in hand. Well bred and will go on improving.
From both races - 6f Wolverhampton win last time - he has easily the best form in this.
5
3rd (5) Louis Barthas (12/1 +0%)
Louis Barthas

12
12/1(+0%)
(5) Louis Barthas 12/1, Foaled March 9. €90,000 foal, 80,000 gns yearling, Zoustar colt. Half-brother to smart winner up to 6f Rogue Lightning. Dam 2-y-o 6f winner over C&D. Yard boasts a respectable strike rate with 2-y-os and he's one to note in the betting.
80,000gns yearling; Zoustar half-brother to 6f 2yo/5f winner Rogue Lightning (RPR 117).
7
4th (7) Morning Suit (9/2 +36%)
Morning Suit

4.5
9/2(+36%)
(7) Morning Suit 9/2, Foaled March 10. Dark Angel colt. Brother to 7f winner Criollo and half-brother to 6f winner Alpha Zulu. Dam 2-y-o 6f winner. Interesting newcomer for these connections. Well worth a look.
Brother to 7f AW winner Criollo (RPR 80); dam 6f 2yo winner (including Group 3; 111).
9
5th (9) Not Afraid (8/1 -129%)
Not Afraid

8
8/1(-129%)
(9) Not Afraid 8/1, Foaled March 21. 280,000 gns yearling, Night of Thunder colt. Half-brother to smart 7f/1m winner Queen Aminatu. Dam 2-y-o 5f winner. Yard have had a tremendous year with juveniles and he's a likely-looking type.
280,000gns yearling; half-brother to 7f-1m AW winner Queen Aminatu (RPR 111); strong yard.
2
6th (2) Completely Random (12/1 +40%)
Completely Random

12
12/1(+40%)
(2) Completely Random 12/1, Foaled April 2. Havana Grey colt. Half-brother to winner up to 1m Roarin' Success. Dam, 5f/6f winner, half-sister to useful 2-y-o 5f winner Anticipated.
Half-brother to 7f AW 2yo/1m turf winner Roarin' Success (RPR 88); dam 5f/6f winner (89).
10
7th (10) Spirited Lad (250/1 -67%)
Spirited Lad

250
250/1(-67%)
(10) Spirited Lad 250/1, Foaled March 15. Tasleet colt. Dam, 1½m winner who stayed 2m, half-sister to useful winner up to 1m Mr Willis.
By Tasleet; third foal; dam 1m4f AW winner (RPR 74); others do more to jump off the page.
3
8th (3) Con Te Partiro (250/1 -67%)
Con Te Partiro

250
250/1(-67%)
(3) Con Te Partiro 250/1, Hooded and last in a couple of AW races.
Hooded when last recently at Lingfield (5f) and Chelmsford (6f).
12
9th (12) Gultari (28/1 -133%)
Gultari

28
28/1(-133%)
(12) Gultari 28/1, Foaled February 26. Oasis Dream filly. Half-sister to several winners, including smart winner up to 1m Skardu and 7f/1m winner Shigar. Dam 2-y-o 7f winner. One to take seriously on debut.
Half-sister to four winners including Skardu (7f 2yo/1m Group 3; RPR 114); one to note.
11
10th (11) Top Flight Century (250/1 -400%)
Top Flight Century

250
250/1(-400%)
(11) Top Flight Century 250/1, 8/1, 11¾ lengths eighth of 9 to Engineer in maiden at Wolverhampton (6.1f) on debut 13 days ago, very green. From a good family and likely to need further/more time.
18-1, slow-starting eighth of nine in maiden at Wolverhampton (6f, AW) 13 days ago.
4
11th (4) Eccentric (125/1 -213%)
Eccentric

125
125/1(-213%)
(4) Eccentric 125/1, Foaled March 7. 32,000 gns yearling, Dandy Man gelding. Dam twice-raced half-sister to useful 7f-9.4f winner Duchess Andorra.
32,000gns yearling; dam unplaced half-sister to 9.4f Group 3 winner Duchess Andorra.
6
12th (6) Master Toney (200/1 -100%)
Master Toney

200
200/1(-100%)
(6) Master Toney 200/1, Foaled March 24. 5,000 gns foal, Due Diligence gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including useful winner up to 1m Decisive Action and 2m winner Wholeofthemoon. Wears hood.
5,000gns foal; sixth foal; Due Diligence half-brother to three winners; gelded and hooded.
LTO Selection:

15:45 Kempton Stakes (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

With eight of the 12 declared arriving unraced, it could be folly to ignore the chances of Engineer, a winner on his second start when staying on well over this trip at Wolverhampton. He can go well, but he has to give 7lb to MUKAAFAH which may prove beyond him. Fourth on his debut at Yarmouth when sent off the 11/8 favourite, the soft ground looked against him there and he might come home in front on this surface. Morning Suit and Not Afraid may prove best of the newcomers.

This could go to a newcomer, with MORNING SUIT, Louis Barthas, Not Afraid and Gultari all making appeal on paper before market clues. Engineer was an easy winner at Wolverhampton and should go well again under a penalty.

Engineer appears to dominate among those who have raced but MUKAAFAH needs a close look. Watch out also for the newcomers.


16:05 Dundalk Handicap 7f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Speed Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
8
1st (8) Mullacash Buzz (3/1 +14%)
Mullacash Buzz

3
3/1(+14%)
(8) Mullacash Buzz 3/1, Three-time C&D winner. Dropped down the weights and ran of season's better races when fourth of 14 in handicap (10/3) over C&D 26 days ago. Claims if building on that.
Beaten favourite over C&D last month from front; don't rule out with in-form claimer on.
2
2nd (2) Little Keilee (10/3 +33%)
Little Keilee

3.333333
10/3(+33%)
(2) Little Keilee 10/3, 11/1, good fourth of 14 in handicap at this course (8f) 7 days ago, not clear run. Warrants respect.
Unlucky in running close fourth here a week ago; potentially big player off same mark.
10
3rd (10) Hero Of The Hour (7/1 -27%)
Hero Of The Hour

7
7/1(-27%)
(10) Hero Of The Hour 7/1, Course winner. 3 wins from 9 runs this year. 7/2, respectable fourth of 13 in handicap at this course (6f) 19 days ago, never nearer. Back to a potentially lenient mark.
Best form at 6f but recent run suggests this step up in trip worth a go.
1
4th (1) El Bello (4/1 -33%)
El Bello

4
4/1(-33%)
(1) El Bello 4/1, Back to winning ways, on debut for new yard, here earlier this month and followed up (off 6 lb higher) over C&D 7 days ago. Raised 5 lb since but another bold bid anticipated.
Seeking third C&D win within a fortnight; every chance although draw not as favourable.
7
5th (7) Western Cape (18/1 -50%)
Western Cape

18
18/1(-50%)
(7) Western Cape 18/1, First run since leaving Denis Hogan when eleventh of 17 in handicap (28/1) at Galway (8.4f, good to soft). Off 103 days. Others more persuasive.
Absent since Galway festival; 2yo maiden form here would give him a shout.
13
6th (13) Poet's Pride (11/1 +8%)
Poet's Pride

11
11/1(+8%)
(13) Poet's Pride 11/1, C&D winner. Respectable 3¼ lengths fourth of 14 to El Bello in handicap at this C&D (28/1) 14 days ago. Each-way claims.
Fully exposed but C&D fourth to El Bello a fortnight ago was a fair effort; 1lb wrong.
9
7th (9) Ha Long Bay (66/1 -100%)
Ha Long Bay

66
66/1(-100%)
(9) Ha Long Bay 66/1, 20/1, ninth of 13 in handicap at this course (8f) 12 days ago. Others preferred.
Yet to win obn AW and poor recent effort here doesn't augur well.
14
8th (14) Try Hard (22/1 +78%)
Try Hard

22
22/1(+78%)
(14) Try Hard 22/1, 40/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, twelfth of 18 in handicap at Navan (10f, good to soft) 74 days ago. Back down in trip. Something to find on form.
Ran okay in maidens this time last year but hard to fancy on more recent evidence.
3
9th (3) Kiwi Kiss (40/1 -21%)
Kiwi Kiss

40
40/1(-21%)
(3) Kiwi Kiss 40/1, Tongue strap on, first run since leaving J-V. Toux when tenth of 14 in handicap (25/1) at this course (8f) on IRE debut 5 days ago. Work to do.
Probably needed the run on Irish debut here last Friday, probably best watched for now.
12
10th (12) Man Is King (125/1 -25%)
Man Is King

125
125/1(-25%)
(12) Man Is King 125/1, 80/1, twelfth of 13 in handicap at this course (8f) 12 days ago. Readily opposed.
Now 0-14 and running from 7lb out of handicap here; can't fancy.
4
11th (4) Rocky Dreams (18/1 -80%)
Rocky Dreams

18
18/1(-80%)
(4) Rocky Dreams 18/1, 3-time C&D winner. Latest win here in July. 8/1, below form fifth of 13 in claimer at this course (8f) 14 days ago. Has good chance on pick of form.
Prolific winner here but below best of late and others preferred.
6
12th (6) One Aim (66/1 -65%)
One Aim

66
66/1(-65%)
(6) One Aim 66/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Last of 10 in handicap (18/1) at Fairyhouse (10f, good). Off 167 days. Down in trip. First run for yard after leaving M. Halford & T. Collins.
Ex Halford/Collins-trained 3yo back from a break and opposable off this mark..
5
13th (5) Un Bacio Ancora (11/2 +39%)
Un Bacio Ancora

5.5
11/2(+39%)
(5) Un Bacio Ancora 11/2, One win from 25 Flat runs. 12/1, didn't need to improve to win 10-runner claimer at this course (6f) 7 days ago, driven out. First run for yard after leaving C. W. J. Farrell. This is tougher.
Claiming winner here a week ago; only second try over this longer trip.
11
14th (11) Lily Like (50/1 +0%)
Lily Like

50
50/1(+0%)
(11) Lily Like 50/1, Remains a maiden after 24 Flat runs. Fourteenth of 20 in handicap (50/1) at the Curragh (7f, heavy) 15 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Hard to fancy.
C&D third back in April off 52 so not one to rule out despite poor recent form.
LTO Selection:

16:05 Dundalk Handicap 7f Race Speed Rating Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's race.

LITTLE KEILEE has been generally consistent this year including a win at Sligo in the spring and has put together a number of solid efforts recently including when very unlucky in running here last Wednesday. El Bello is bidding for a quick hat-trick after two C&D wins within the past fortnight and his narrow margins of victory have resulted in a combined rise of 11lb. The booking of Calum Hogan could prove inspired as he looked good value for his 10lb claim when successful aboard Fleetfootsoldier here earlier this month. Un Bacio Ancora was claimed by current connections after gaining a belated first win here last week while others to consider include three-time C&D winner Mullacash Buzz ,who is dropping down to an attractive mark, and Hero Of The Hour.

EL BELLO has rediscovered the winning habit since joining his new yard and remains feasibly treated on old form. He can complete the hat-trick. Hero of The Hour and Mullacash Buzz head the list of dangers.


16:15 Newcastle Handicap (Class 3) 8f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (1) Fantastic Fox (5/1 +9%)
Fantastic Fox

5
5/1(+9%)
(1) Fantastic Fox 5/1, Won 10-runner handicap (13/2) at Chelmsford City (8f) 34 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Remains well treated on old form and is likely to feature.
First win in more than two years when leading late on at Chelmsford after travelling well.
8
2nd (8) Parlando (8/1 -33%)
Parlando

8
8/1(-33%)
(8) Parlando 8/1, Lightly-raced winner. Creditable third of 11 in handicap (5/1) at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 69 days ago. Not discounted.
Found some trouble in running before staying on into third in a Class 3 at Wolverhampton.
2
3rd (2) Master Richard (14/1 +50%)
Master Richard

14
14/1(+50%)
(2) Master Richard 14/1, Course winner. Latest win here in May. 16/1, seventh of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 19 days ago. Others make more appeal.
Only seventh at Wolverhampton latest and that's now three below-par runs.
11
4th (11) Urban Sprawl (11/1 -10%)
Urban Sprawl

11
11/1(-10%)
(11) Urban Sprawl 11/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, creditable second of 9 in handicap at Chelmsford City (8f, 5/1) 11 days ago. Makes tapeta debut.
Handicapped about right but has each-way claims in his current vein of form.
10
5th (10) Eldrickjones (3/1 +25%)
Eldrickjones

3
3/1(+25%)
(10) Eldrickjones 3/1, Improved on recent efforts to win 12-runner handicap at this course (8f, 3/1) 8 days ago by 2¼ lengths from Shaladar. Carries penalty. Solid claims.
Not without hope of defying a penalty after doing it comfortably here last week.
12
6th (12) Shaladar (11/2 +31%)
Shaladar

5.5
11/2(+31%)
(12) Shaladar 11/2, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Good 2¼ lengths second of 12 to Eldrickjones in handicap (15/2) at this course (8f) 8 days ago, slowly away and poorly placed. Can go one better if the race is run to suit.
Second to Eldrickjones here last week when the race didn't go entirely to plan.
9
7th (9) Ron O (8/1 +0%)
Ron O

8
8/1(+0%)
(9) Ron O 8/1, C&D winner. 3 wins from 12 runs this year. Respectable 5 lengths fourth of 12 to Eldrickjones in handicap at this course (8f, 6/1) 8 days ago, finishing with running left.
Can start slowly and needs everything to fall right, but he arrives here in solid form.
7
8th (7) Zozimus (11/1 -69%)
Zozimus

11
11/1(-69%)
(7) Zozimus 11/1, One win from 26 Flat runs. Eighteen runs since last win in 2020. Creditable fourth of 12 in handicap (16/1) at York (7.9f, heavy) 33 days ago. Makes tapeta debut.
Poor strike-rate but hard to fault since the visor went on; thereabouts.
6
9th (6) Liamarty Dreams (22/1 -57%)
Liamarty Dreams

22
22/1(-57%)
(6) Liamarty Dreams 22/1, Course winner. 15/2, eighth of 12 in handicap at this course (7.1f) 4 days ago. Needs to up his game.
Can lead; has looked too high in the weights since his last win in June.
4
10th (4) Lion Tower (28/1 +30%)
Lion Tower

28
28/1(+30%)
(4) Lion Tower 28/1, C&D winner. Eleventh of 17 in handicap (33/1) at York (7f, soft) 53 days ago, not knocked about. Likely to be better for latest run but tough to assess at present.
Hasn't made the frame in any of last seven races but a lot of them were on ground too soft.
5
11th (5) Titan Rock (14/1 -56%)
Titan Rock

14
14/1(-56%)
(5) Titan Rock 14/1, 11/2, creditable second of 9 in handicap at Ayr (8f, good) 53 days ago, battling well. Arrives in good order and should be on the premises once more.
Returns to the AW after two near misses on turf; 5lb claim further heightens interest.
3
12th (3) One Night Thunder (18/1 -13%)
One Night Thunder

18
18/1(-13%)
(3) One Night Thunder 18/1, Lightly-raced winner. 66/1, first run since leaving Richard Hannon when good fourth of 14 in handicap at Newmarket (8f, heavy) 11 days ago. Makes tapeta debut.
Bought for £15,000 and that looks money well spent after a solid effort at Newmarket.
LTO Selection:

16:15 Newcastle Handicap (Class 3) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.

FANTASTIC FOX had been competing unsuccessfully in better races before being dropped in class for a confidence-boosting success at Chelmsford, and a 2lb rise may not stop him here. Eldrickjones will be dangerous after an eased-down victory at Newcastle last week. He should go well under his penalty, but Ron O had a terrible run in fourth that day and may reverse the form at these weights.

SHALADAR was given too much to do when a staying-on second to Eldrickjones at this course 8 days ago and, better off at the weights, he's fancied to reverse the form. Fantastic Fox also merits strong consideration.

Competitive. SHALADAR had a lot go wrong before closing in nicely in last week's race here won by Eldrickjones.


16:25 Kempton Handicap (Class 6) 6f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (1) Hearitfortheboys (15/8 +37%)
Hearitfortheboys

1.875
15/8(+37%)
(1) Hearitfortheboys 15/8, Thrice-raced maiden. Fifth of 9 in maiden (80/1) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 13 days ago, not ideally placed. Makes handicap debut. One to note in the betting.
Could take another step forward now handicapping at a modest level.
4
2nd (4) Perfect Spring (5/2 +29%)
Perfect Spring

2.5
5/2(+29%)
(4) Perfect Spring 5/2, Lightly-raced maiden. Never involved when seventh of 10 in nursery at Lingfield (7f, good to firm, 9/2) in July but interesting that leading stable perseveres and a market move for her would look significant.
Bred to do better still; possible improver on AW debut back from layoff.
12
3rd (12) Birkie Boy (13/2 -86%)
Birkie Boy

6.5
13/2(-86%)
(12) Birkie Boy 13/2, 7/2, career best when winning 9-runner nursery at Brighton (7f, good) 36 days ago. Placed on polytrack. Likely to go well.
Modest gelding but opened his account at Brighton last time and can be respected.
2
4th (2) Quiet Affair (80/1 -220%)
Quiet Affair

80
80/1(-220%)
(2) Quiet Affair 80/1, Modest form. Ninth of 10 in nursery at Lingfield (6f, 150/1) 19 days ago. First-time blinkers need to spark improvement.
Chance partly depends on whether the change of headgear helps.
11
5th (11) Run Joy Run (33/1 +0%)
Run Joy Run

33
33/1(+0%)
(11) Run Joy Run 33/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Seventh of 10 in novice at Lingfield (7f, AW) in June. Off 149 days. Makes handicap debut.
Far from solid on her maiden/novice form; returns from an absence.
3
6th (3) Cogsworth (16/1 +0%)
Cogsworth

16
16/1(+0%)
(3) Cogsworth 16/1, Down the field in 3 nurseries this autumn so he's hard to make a case for.
Poor form since handicapping; drops in grade but is far from solid.
5
7th (5) Meet Me In Meraki (11/1 +8%)
Meet Me In Meraki

11
11/1(+8%)
(5) Meet Me In Meraki 11/1, Modest form. 33/1, eighth of 10 in nursery at Wolverhampton (7f) 20 days ago.
May be capable of better off this reduced mark back down in distance.
9
8th (9) Jungle Dance (33/1 -136%)
Jungle Dance

33
33/1(-136%)
(9) Jungle Dance 33/1, Poor form. Cheekpieces on first time, eleventh of 12 in nursery at Chelmsford (6f, 10/1) 46 days ago.
Inconsistent sort but may improve for gelding operation.
8
9th (8) Rust E Boy (100/1 -400%)
Rust E Boy

100
100/1(-400%)
(8) Rust E Boy 100/1, 15/2, last of 8 in nursery at Yarmouth (7f, soft) 30 days ago, possibly amiss. Makes polytrack debut.
May do better off current mark back down in trip.
7
10th (7) Black Jack Davey (5/1 +29%)
Black Jack Davey

5
5/1(+29%)
(7) Black Jack Davey 5/1, Modest form. Respectable sixth of 10 in nursery (18/1) at Lingfield (6f) 19 days ago.
In-form maiden; not beaten far at Lingfield last time; could go well.
10
11th (10) Ludberg (16/1 -33%)
Ludberg

16
16/1(-33%)
(10) Ludberg 16/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Bit below form fourth of 8 in nursery at Chelmsford (6f, 40/1) 13 days ago. Can make presence felt.
Has been shaping as if a bigger effort may be on the way; one to consider.
LTO Selection:

16:25 Kempton Handicap (Class 6) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

BIRKIE BOY ran on well under Olivia Tubb to win at Brighton and, although that form is nothing to write home about, he only has 3lb more here and could follow up if he handles the drop back in trip. Hearitfortheboys drops a grade for Nigel Tinkler for his nursery debut and may be worth a market check for any signs of confidence, while Perfect Spring might be worth another chance.

In a race where few arrive with compelling claims a chance is taken on PERFECT SPRING, who represents a leading trainer/jockey combination and may have more to give back from a break. Birkie Boy is respected as a last-time-out winner, while Ludberg is down to a mark he should be competitive from.


16:35 Dundalk Handicap 5f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Speed Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
11
1st (11) Realtin Fantasy (22/1 -10%)
Realtin Fantasy

22
22/1(-10%)
(11) Realtin Fantasy 22/1, One win from 33 Flat runs. Sixth of 10 in handicap at Bellewstown (5f, heavy, 10/1) 48 days ago.
Turf winner is 0-5 at this venue and first run on the surface in two years.
9
2nd (9) Havana Notion (11/1 +21%)
Havana Notion

11
11/1(+21%)
(9) Havana Notion 11/1, Tenth of 14 in handicap at this course (7f, 16/5) 14 days ago. Back down in trip.
Too keen when beaten favourite over 7f latest; back in trip so could play a role.
12
3rd (12) Below Deck (4/1 +64%)
Below Deck

4
4/1(+64%)
(12) Below Deck 4/1, Very good second of 14 in handicap at this C&D (50/1) 12 days ago, sticking to task.
Just denied Sam's Express of second over C&D recently, much her best effort; respected.
2
4th (2) Inishmot Prince (6/1 -20%)
Inishmot Prince

6
6/1(-20%)
(2) Inishmot Prince 6/1, 4-time C&D winner. Won 14-runner handicap (11/2) at this C&D 40 days ago. Should remain very competitive after a 5 lb rise.
Last month's C&D winner 5lb higher but has won off a higher mark so respected.
10
5th (10) No Speed Limit (13/2 +54%)
No Speed Limit

6.5
13/2(+54%)
(10) No Speed Limit 13/2, C&D winner. Three wins from 71 Flat runs. Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Fifth of 10 in claimer (8/1) at this course (6f) 7 days ago.
Decent enough run in claimer here a week ago; respected off career-low AW mark back at 5f.
7
6th (7) Adams Barbour (12/1 +25%)
Adams Barbour

12
12/1(+25%)
(7) Adams Barbour 12/1, 5-time C&D winner. Sixteen runs since last win in 2022. Tenth of 14 in handicap at this C&D (14/1) 12 days ago.
Recent form leaves him with plenty to find; handicapper giving him a chance.
4
7th (4) Sam's Xpress (4/1 +33%)
Sam's Xpress

4
4/1(+33%)
(4) Sam's Xpress 4/1, C&D winner. 7/2, good third of 14 in handicap at this C&D 12 days ago. Can make presence felt.
Recent C&D third 2lb higher here but should go well again from a good draw.
3
8th (3) Smullen's Pride (14/1 -75%)
Smullen's Pride

14
14/1(-75%)
(3) Smullen's Pride 14/1, 1 win from 3 runs this year. Winner at Down Royal in September. 11/2, sixth of 7 in handicap at Down Royal (5f, soft) 51 days ago, hampered.
Heavy ground didn't suit latest; good draw here and one to consider back on AW.
14
9th (14) Kuwait Direction (12/1 +0%)
Kuwait Direction

12
12/1(+0%)
(14) Kuwait Direction 12/1, C&D winner. Off 5 months, fifth of 13 in handicap (10/1) at this course (6f) 19 days ago. Might be sharper with that outing behind him. On a good mark.
Ran creditably on return from 148-day break here last month and could have more to offer.
13
10th (13) Just Another (10/1 +75%)
Just Another

10
10/1(+75%)
(13) Just Another 10/1, One win from 21 Flat runs. Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. Respectable 3¾ lengths eighth of 14 to Inishmot Prince in handicap at this C&D (28/1) 40 days ago. Visor on 1st time.
Good bit to find on recent C&D run behind Inishmot Prince; visor replaces cheekpieces.
5
11th (5) Bonny Power (14/1 +0%)
Bonny Power

14
14/1(+0%)
(5) Bonny Power 14/1, C&D winner. 28/1, ninth of 14 in handicap at this C&D 12 days ago, not knocked about. Others more persuasive.
Recent C&D also-ran; Billy Lee now takes over so improvement possible but draw a negative.
15
12th (15) Red Cymbal (22/1 +45%)
Red Cymbal

22
22/1(+45%)
(15) Red Cymbal 22/1, C&D winner. Two wins from 66 Flat runs. Forty nine runs since last win in 2020. Tenth of 14 in handicap (40/1) at this course (7f) 7 days ago. Back down in trip. RESERVE.
C&D third to Inishmot Prince reads well, will appreciate return to 7f; reserve.
6
13th (6) Astral Beat (33/1 -32%)
Astral Beat

33
33/1(-32%)
(6) Astral Beat 33/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Respectable 3½ lengths seventh of 14 to Inishmot Prince in handicap at this C&D (28/1) 40 days ago. Hood on 1st time.
Mildly encouraging C&D effort behind Inishmot Prince last month, still others preferred.
8
14th (8) Coco Hill (28/1 -27%)
Coco Hill

28
28/1(-27%)
(8) Coco Hill 28/1, Below form ninth of 24 in handicap (16/1) at Naas (5.9f, soft), would have benefited from stronger handling. Off 100 days. First run for yard after leaving Michael Fenton. Not taken lightly.
Couple of placings at Tipperary this year and back from three months absence for AW debut.
LTO Selection:

16:35 Dundalk Handicap 5f Race Speed Rating Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's race.

SAM'S XPRESS won twice here earlier this year including at this trip and indicated a return to the winners' enclosure could be imminent when a close third to Samrogue over C&D last time. The Kieran Cotter-trained gelding appears to really enjoy this surface and is fancied to reverse places with the surprise second Below Deck while a number of these rivals were behind on that occasion. Maggie McGrath gained a deserved win when showing good speed throughout in a maiden here last Friday and the cheek pieces are now replaced by first-time blinkers. Inishmot Prince also won over C&D last time recording a sixth success at the track, while No Speed Limit has dropped down to an attractive mark.

A chance is taken on KUWAIT DIRECTION who could be sharper with his recent first outing in 5 months behind him and has dropped to 4 lb below the mark he defied here at the beginning of the year. Sam's Xpress, Inishmot Prince and Coco Hill head the many possible dangers.


16:45 Newcastle Stakes (Class 5) 6f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
3
(3) Busan (14/1 -40%)
Busan

14
14/1(-40%)
(3) Busan 14/1, Mondialiste gelding. Closely related to 1½m winner Genesius and half-brother to useful 6f-7f winner Quest For Fun. Market should prove best guide to claims on debut.
Two good winning siblings out of well-related mare; only of interest if attracting support.
4
1st (4) Master Dandy (5/4 +75%)
Master Dandy

1.25
5/4(+75%)
(4) Master Dandy 5/4, Showed ability when third of 10 in maiden at Southwell (6.1f, 11/1) on debut in May. Claims if building on that.
Clear signs of ability when 3rd on Southwell debut six months ago; should be more to come.
7
2nd (7) Mattella (40/1 -264%)
Mattella

40
40/1(-264%)
(7) Mattella 40/1, Mattmu filly. Half-sister to 5f winner Canaria Prince. Dam 5f-6f winner who stayed 7f out of winning half-sister to useful sprinter Angus Newz. Market check advised on belated debut.
Half-sister to two 5f winners for the yard; refused to enter the stalls on intended debut.
2
3rd (2) Ballsbridge (3/1 -20%)
Ballsbridge

3
3/1(-20%)
(2) Ballsbridge 3/1, Made the frame both starts for Aidan O'Brien, latest when second of 16 in maiden (5/2) at Naas (8f, soft) 32 days ago. Dropped in trip on debut for new yard and must enter calculations. Tongue strap on first time.
Promise in two 1m runs for A O'Brien; sold 20,000gns; new trip/surface but he's respected.
5
4th (5) Muddagent (50/1 -127%)
Muddagent

50
50/1(-127%)
(5) Muddagent 50/1, Twice-raced gelding. Fourth of 6 in maiden at this course (8f, 18/1) 65 days ago. Down in trip. Will be likely seen in better light when sent handicapping.
Modest form in two 1m runs 11 months apart; not easily recommended.
6
5th (6) Ithra (3/1 -71%)
Ithra

3
3/1(-71%)
(6) Ithra 3/1, Fairly useful filly. Found improvement, on debut for new yard, when close fourth in Kempton handicap (6f) last month. Not in quite same form at Wolverhampton since but holds strong claims nonetheless.
Two creditable efforts in handicaps for new yard; sets the standard; leading contender.
1
6th (1) Advantage (10/1 +17%)
Advantage

10
10/1(+17%)
(1) Advantage 10/1, Twice-raced gelding. 11/1, fifth of 8 in minor event at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 20 days ago. Work to do.
Modest form in two sprints last month; return to 6f can help but needs plenty more.
LTO Selection:

16:45 Newcastle Stakes (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

BALLSBRIDGE is likely to prove popular after he finished second at Naas for Aidan O'Brien last month. The well-related son of Lord Kanaloa has since changed hands for 20,000gns and can make a successful start for the Jennie Candlish team. Master Dandy caught the eye on his Southwell debut, when nearest at the finish in third, and if he learns from that as expected, he could mount a challenge. Ithra has some solid placed form to her name.

ITHRA couldn't quite match her yard debut form at Wolverhampton last time but holds the most solid credentials here and can get off the mark. Ballsbridge and Master Dandy look the likeliest dangers.


16:55 Kempton Stakes (Class 5) 8f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
3
1st (3) Ejaabiyah (6/1 -33%)
Ejaabiyah

6
6/1(-33%)
(3) Ejaabiyah 6/1, Foaled January 31. Frankel filly. Dam, Australian 2-y-o 5f-6f (Group 1) winner, sister to smart 5f/6f winner Remarque. One to note on debut.
Dam a sprinter but this filly is entered in next year's Irish Oaks; market informative.
10
2nd (10) Sattwaa (18/1 +0%)
Sattwaa

18
18/1(+0%)
(10) Sattwaa 18/1, Twice-raced maiden. Third of 8 in maiden at Newcastle (7.1f, 10/1) 50 days ago, still looking a work-in-progress.
Seemingly that bit wiser when a 4.5l third over 7f at Newcastle, though did hang.
6
3rd (6) La Cadalora (22/1 +33%)
La Cadalora

22
22/1(+33%)
(6) La Cadalora 22/1, Foaled February 24. 120,000 gns yearling, Nathaniel filly. Sister to useful 1m-1¼m winner Entrusting and 1m winner Royal Nation, and half-sister to 2-y-o 7f winner Prado.
Nice pedigree but the yard doesn't have many win first time out.
7
4th (7) Little Heron (66/1 -136%)
Little Heron

66
66/1(-136%)
(7) Little Heron 66/1, Foaled May 4. Showcasing filly. Closely related to 2-y-o 7f winner More Than A Prince.
Fourth foal; closely related to 7f 2yo winner More Than A Prince (RPR 79).
4
5th (4) Frightening (3/1 +14%)
Frightening

3
3/1(+14%)
(4) Frightening 3/1, 260,000 gns yearling, Night of Thunder filly. Dam British/French 1m/8.3f winner from a very good family. Third of 7 in maiden (16/5) at Nottingham (8.3f, heavy) on debut 28 days ago, shaping well behind well-backed stablemate. More to come and big shout.
It was probably a useful maiden in which she was beaten under 3l at Nottingham.
14
6th (14) Warbler (100/1 -25%)
Warbler

100
100/1(-25%)
(14) Warbler 100/1, Foaled March 20. Bated Breath filly. Dam, 12.3f winner, closely related to multiple Group 1 winner up to 2½m Fame And Glory. Surely going to need further.
Dam 1m4f winner (RPR 92), closely related to 1m2f-2m4f Group 1 winner Fame And Glory.
13
7th (13) Uplift (5/2 -38%)
Uplift

2.5
5/2(-38%)
(13) Uplift 5/2, Foaled February 18. Ulysses filly. Half-sister to useful 6f winner Benefit. Dam 6f-7f winner out of very smart winner up to 7f (2-y-o 6f winner) Hooray. Likely type on paper for top yard.
Half-sister to 6f winner Benefit (inc Listed/AW; RPR 108); dam 6f/7f AW winner (84).
11
8th (11) Sea La Venus (13/2 +46%)
Sea La Venus

6.5
13/2(+46%)
(11) Sea La Venus 13/2, Foaled January 28. Sea The Stars filly. Dam, 1½m/12.3f winner, half-sister to smart 1¼m-1½m winner Venus de Milo. Noteworthy newcomer but has widest draw to overcome.
Dam Group-placed 1m4f winner (RPR 99), half-sister to 1m4f Group 3 winner Venus De Milo.
2
9th (2) Cherry Burton (40/1 +0%)
Cherry Burton

40
40/1(+0%)
(2) Cherry Burton 40/1, Foaled March 4. 110,000 gns yearling, Cracksman filly. Half-sister to several winners, including 11f-1½m winner Dance The Dream, 2-y-o 1m winner Rasmy and 11f winner Black Shadow, all useful.
110,000gns yearling; half-sister to five winners; warrants a check in the betting.
8
10th (8) Mucha Muchacha (22/1 -13%)
Mucha Muchacha

22
22/1(-13%)
(8) Mucha Muchacha 22/1, Foaled April 17. 70,000 gns foal, Iffraaj filly. Half-sister to several winners, including 1m winner Oh Goodness Me, 1¼m-1½m winner Eradicate and 2-y-o 8.3f winner Colima, all useful. Dam 1m winner. Likely type on paper but tricky draw to overcome.
70,000gns foal; 17th foal; half-sister to 7 winners including Eradicate (1m2f-1m4f Flat).
12
11th (12) Seek And Destroy (9/1 -64%)
Seek And Destroy

9
9/1(-64%)
(12) Seek And Destroy 9/1, Foaled April 12. 260,000 gns yearling, Sea The Stars filly. Sister to very smart 6f-1¼m winner Fifty Stars and half-sister to winner up to 17f Whiskey Sour, also useful hurdler. Interesting to see how she fares in the betting, particularly in relation to experienced promising stablemate Frightening.
260,000gns yearling; sister to Australian 6f-1m2f winner Fifty Stars (inc Group 1).
9
12th (9) Muqinah (15/2 +6%)
Muqinah

7.5
15/2(+6%)
(9) Muqinah 15/2, Foaled April 13. Frankel filly. Half-sister to 7f winner Mubhijah (by Shamardal). Dam once-raced half-sister to Oaks/King George VI & Queen Elizabeth winner Taghrooda out of smart 1m-1¾m winner Ezima. Makes plenty of appeal on paper.
From the family of Oaks/King George winner Taghrooda; heed betting signals.
5
13th (5) Heckmondwike (125/1 -56%)
Heckmondwike

125
125/1(-56%)
(5) Heckmondwike 125/1, Foaled March 6. 20,000 gns foal, Golden Horn filly.
2nd foal; dam half-sister to winners Recharge (1m Group 3) and Grove Ferry (1m4f Group 3).
LTO Selection:

16:55 Kempton Stakes (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Muqinah looks a newcomer of note as a daughter of Frankel, but she is bred to come into her own over further as a three-year-old and may have to settle for a place for now. Uplift has more speed in her pedigree and may come out best of the unraced fillies, but FRIGHTENING is preferred. Third on her Nottingham debut on heavy ground after a slow start, she should be far better suited by these conditions.

A stack of interesting newcomers from top yards, but FRIGHTENING made a bright start at Nottingham 4 weeks ago and could be the way to go with improvement on the way. The betting may help sort the debutantes out, with Muqinah and Seek And Destroy a couple to note in particular.

The two with experience have already performed to a fair level and FRIGHTENING might be the answer.


17:05 Dundalk Handicap 11f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Speed Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
4
1st (4) Doctor Grace (3/1 -60%)
Doctor Grace

3
3/1(-60%)
(4) Doctor Grace 3/1, Course winner. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, respectable fourth of 13 in handicap (4/1) at this C&D 7 days ago, slowly away. Yard in good form. Blinkers on 1st time. Bold bid expected.
Slow-starting C&D fourth last week; blinkers now now and one to consider.
14
2nd (14) Moondharrig (50/1 -25%)
Moondharrig

50
50/1(-25%)
(14) Moondharrig 50/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Last of 12 in claimer at this C&D (200/1) 26 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Makes handicap debut. Looks limited.
Nothing so far; cheekpieces added to usual tongue tie for handicap debut.
2
3rd (2) Streetscape (22/1 -10%)
Streetscape

22
22/1(-10%)
(2) Streetscape 22/1, 25/1, eighteenth of 20 in handicap at Navan (14f, heavy) 28 days ago. Down in trip. Makes polytrack debut. Others preferred.
Placed AW form in Britain, well held both turf efforts for current trainer.
12
4th (12) Miss Heartbreak (100/1 -150%)
Miss Heartbreak

100
100/1(-150%)
(12) Miss Heartbreak 100/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Thirteenth of 14 in handicap (125/1) at this course (12f) 47 days ago, slowly away.
Lightly raced 3yo; nothing to recommend but time on her side, this only her fifth start.
5
5th (5) Say It So (7/1 +22%)
Say It So

7
7/1(+22%)
(5) Say It So 7/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time in this code, respectable seventh of 12 in handicap hurdle at Thurles (15.9f, soft, 25/1) 27 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Modest on the Flat, poor on last Flat outing.
Enters consideration on Cork third in August off 2lb lower.
8
6th (8) Clever Capall (9/2 +0%)
Clever Capall

4.5
9/2(+0%)
(8) Clever Capall 9/2, 15/2 and visored for 1st time, respectable fourth of 13 in handicap at this course (12f). Off 9 months. Enters calculations.
C&D second back in February may need this comeback run.
10
7th (10) Gemini Man (7/2 +61%)
Gemini Man

3.5
7/2(+61%)
(10) Gemini Man 7/2, 14/1, sixteenth of 20 in handicap at Navan (10f, soft) 42 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Needs to bounce back.
Decent C&D third back in January off basement mark; tongue tie tried but 6lb wrong.
6
8th (6) Liberated Girl (16/1 -33%)
Liberated Girl

16
16/1(-33%)
(6) Liberated Girl 16/1, 25/1, good ninth of 17 in handicap at Galway (11.8f, heavy) 16 days ago. Could figure.
Hard to be confident in right now despite reduced mark.
3
9th (3) Sir John Monash (6/1 +25%)
Sir John Monash

6
6/1(+25%)
(3) Sir John Monash 6/1, Tenth of 14 in handicap at this course (7f, 11/2) 26 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Needs the headgear to perk him up.
Down 11lb from initial mark and new headgear combination tried for this longer trip.
7
10th (7) Cleopatra's Needle (12/1 +14%)
Cleopatra's Needle

12
12/1(+14%)
(7) Cleopatra's Needle 12/1, Remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs. 16/1, seventeenth of 18 in handicap at Tipperary (12.5f, good to soft) 73 days ago. Others more persuasive.
Early promise in turf season never materialised; only 2nd AW start so could yet improve.
1
11th (1) Awqaat (14/1 +44%)
Awqaat

14
14/1(+44%)
(1) Awqaat 14/1, Last of 19 in handicap at the Curragh (10f, heavy, 28/1) 15 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Something to prove.
Maiden with fair form in heavy-gound handicaps of late; AW debut.
11
12th (11) Hague Convention (150/1 -200%)
Hague Convention

150
150/1(-200%)
(11) Hague Convention 150/1, 150/1, fifteenth of 21 in handicap at Navan (14f, heavy) 28 days ago. Down in trip.
Placed for Johnny Murtagh in 2017, very little since; 2lb wrong..
13
13th (13) Fulltime (66/1 -100%)
Fulltime

66
66/1(-100%)
(13) Fulltime 66/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 200/1, last of 20 in maiden at the Curragh (12f, soft) 34 days ago. Blinkered for 1st time. Makes handicap debut.
Nothing in 3 turf maidens over various trips; blinkered for handicap/AW debut.
9
14th (9) Corballis Flyer (33/1 -106%)
Corballis Flyer

33
33/1(-106%)
(9) Corballis Flyer 33/1, Seventeen runs since last win in 2022. Sixth of 13 in handicap at this course (8f, 33/1) 12 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Not ruled out.
Recent AW runs leave him with plenty to find; unproven over this far and cheekpieces on.
LTO Selection:

17:05 Dundalk Handicap 11f Race Speed Rating Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's race.

DOCTOR GRACE won in fine style over seven furlongs here back in February and, after a couple of races on turf, has again shown her liking for the surface when upped to this trip. She finished well from off the pace when beaten less than a length behind Dark Street and again filled fourth spot when fitted with cheek pieces last Wednesday. Blinkers are now applied and she should enjoy a fitness edge over Clever Capall who was just denied here earlier this year and now reappears after a nine months break. Say It So showed promise when a length third to Elsa's Pride in a 17-runner Cork event, while Gemini Man and Liberated Girl are others to consider.

DOCTOR GRACE has shaped better than the result on her last couple of starts and is on an appealing mark, so she's the obvious answer to this decidedly weak contest. Clever Capall is the obvious danger if fit and Liberated Girl warrants a mention having run well at Galway last time.


17:18 Newcastle Handicap (Class 4) 6f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
8
1st (8) Charencey (9/2 +36%)
Charencey

4.5
9/2(+36%)
(8) Charencey 9/2, Lightly-raced maiden who showed improved form switched to a handicap when second in 13-runner event at Leicester (7f, good, 4/1) 36 days ago. May do better still.
Picked off late on h'cap debut (7f) last month; up 3lb but still has more to come.
1
2nd (1) Haziym (11/1 +31%)
Haziym

11
11/1(+31%)
(1) Haziym 11/1, Capable of useful form on turf in France last year. Down the field all 5 starts for current yard, though.
Yet to shine for new connections and may need further help from the handicapper.
2
3rd (2) Razeyna (5/2 +9%)
Razeyna

2.5
5/2(+9%)
(2) Razeyna 5/2, Tongue strap on for 1st time, respectable fifth of 16 in handicap at Newmarket (6f, heavy, 7/1) 11 days ago. Respected from 1 lb lower.
Yet to win this year but she's been threatening and this stiff 6f should suit; considered.
3
4th (3) Illusionist (16/1 -78%)
Illusionist

16
16/1(-78%)
(3) Illusionist 16/1, Tenth of 13 in handicap (25/1) at this C&D 12 days ago. Easing in the weights but needs to up his game.
Not found his best form this year and a well-run 5f looks to suit him best in any case.
9
5th (9) Selby's Pride (8/1 +0%)
Selby's Pride

8
8/1(+0%)
(9) Selby's Pride 8/1, Good second of 9 in handicap (7/2) at Leicester (6f, good) 36 days ago. Makes tapeta debut and likely to give another good account.
Back in form in recent starts but she'll need even more upped in grade for her AW debut.
6
6th (6) One Night Stand (18/1 +10%)
One Night Stand

18
18/1(+10%)
(6) One Night Stand 18/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022 and again finished down the field at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 13 days ago.
On lowly mark but promising signs have been limited this year; blew the start latest.
10
7th (10) Asadjumeirah (9/1 -6%)
Asadjumeirah

9
9/1(-6%)
(10) Asadjumeirah 9/1, C&D winner. Creditable 2 lengths fifth of 12 to Snash in handicap at this C&D (6/1) 15 days ago.
On long losing run; only 5th behind Snash here last time; others are more appealing.
4
8th (4) Flag Flying (50/1 -178%)
Flag Flying

50
50/1(-178%)
(4) Flag Flying 50/1, Wasn't seen to best effect in first-time eyeshields/tongue strap when sixth of 9 in handicap (40/1) at this course (5f) 8 days ago, left poorly placed.
Struggling for current stable and well held off this mark here last week (5f); opposable.
5
9th (5) Yesterday's Hero (10/1 +0%)
Yesterday's Hero

10
10/1(+0%)
(5) Yesterday's Hero 10/1, Showed something like his debut form when sixth of 12 on handicap debut at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 13 days ago. More needed.
Shaped quite nicely at Wolverhampton on recent h'cap debut; more to come over stiffer 6f.
11
10th (11) Warminster (28/1 -75%)
Warminster

28
28/1(-75%)
(11) Warminster 28/1, Kempton maiden winner who wasn't disgraced when third of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 25 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Robert Cowell. Not dismissed.
Disappointing for other yards but he's joined a stable on the up; tough enough task here.
7
11th (7) Snash (9/2 -13%)
Snash

4.5
9/2(-13%)
(7) Snash 9/2, Capitalised on a drop in grade to land a gamble in 12-runner handicap at this C&D 15 days ago. Remains well treated on old form, so of strong interest again.
Gambled-on winner over C&D latest; runner-up has won since; 2lb rise fair; major player.
LTO Selection:

17:18 Newcastle Handicap (Class 4) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

SNASH arrives with a two-from-three record here, with both victories coming over this trip, the first of which was back in 2021 when he was rated 94 as opposed to the 70 he has in handicap company now. He won off 2lb lower here last month and seems to save his best for the all-weather tracks. Yesterday's Hero is lightly raced after three starts and might do better on his second appearance following a gelding operation. Selby's Pride has consistency on her side, albeit in lesser contests.

SNASH capitalised on the drop in grade in good style over C&D 15 days ago and remains well treated on old form, so he's the percentage call to follow up. Charencey took a big step forward when runner-up on his Leicester handicap debut last month and may do better still, while others to consider are Selby's Pride and Warminster.


17:30 Kempton Stakes (Class 4) 8f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (1) Musical Act (4/5 +42%)
Musical Act

0.8
4/5(+42%)
(1) Musical Act 4/5, Promising individual. Well held on turf debut but different proposition switched to AW when seeing off 10 rivals in a 7f course novice in August. Potential for better back from a break and the one to beat.
7f winner here when last seen; likely to stay 1m; leading player on the figures.
9
2nd (9) Lyric (11/1 -22%)
Lyric

11
11/1(-22%)
(9) Lyric 11/1, Too Darn Hot colt. Half-brother to 9.5f winner Queen Charlotte and 11f winner Pretending. Dam 1½m winner. Debutant from a leading stable. Tricky draw for a newcomer but still much respected if the betting vibes are strong.
Too Darn Hot colt; from a family that his connections know well; interesting newcomer.
12
3rd (12) Sir Les Patterson (11/1 -22%)
Sir Les Patterson

11
11/1(-22%)
(12) Sir Les Patterson 11/1, Foaled February 24. 85,000 gns Zoustar colt. Half-brother to 5f winner Harmony Rose. Dam, Italian winner up to 6f (2-y-o 5f winner), half-sister to smart winner up to 7f Society Power. Worth a betting check under Oisin Murphy.
85,000gns yearling; doubtful stayer over 1m, judged on breeding.
10
4th (10) Midnight Rumble (200/1 -203%)
Midnight Rumble

200
200/1(-203%)
(10) Midnight Rumble 200/1, Twice-raced maiden. Ninth of 11 in novice at Salisbury (1m, heavy) 41 days ago.
Has a lot to find on his turf efforts.
11
5th (11) Portsmouth (14/1 -87%)
Portsmouth

14
14/1(-87%)
(11) Portsmouth 14/1, 7/1, needed experience when fourth of 6 in maiden at Wolverhampton (7f) on debut 13 days ago. Should improve.
Shaped with promise in newcomers' event at Wolverhampton; open to improvement.
2
6th (2) Amsterdam (28/1 -56%)
Amsterdam

28
28/1(-56%)
(2) Amsterdam 28/1, 130,000 gns Dutch Art gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to smart 11.5f winner Title. This newcomer is worth keeping an eye on in the betting.
130,000gns yearling; by Dutch Art; check the betting.
13
7th (13) Tawajjah (4/1 +20%)
Tawajjah

4
4/1(+20%)
(13) Tawajjah 4/1, Frankel colt. Dam, 6f-1m winner, half-sister to St Leger winner (stayed 2m) Kew Gardens. Highly respected on debut.
Attractively bred, by Frankel out of a Group 3 winner; major connections; respected.
6
8th (6) Green Keeper (13/2 +7%)
Green Keeper

6.5
13/2(+7%)
(6) Green Keeper 13/2, Gleneagles gelding. Dam, winner up to 9.5f (2-y-o 7f winner), half-sister to high-class winner up to 15.5f Scope. Noteworthy newcomer for stable which has enjoyed plenty of first-time-out success this year.
From a useful family that has served his connections well; heed the market signals.
8
9th (8) Livinthelife (66/1 -100%)
Livinthelife

66
66/1(-100%)
(8) Livinthelife 66/1, Twice-raced maiden. 40/1, sixth of 11 in novice at Lingfield (1m) 20 days ago. Hood on first time.
Could well take another step forward, provided he settles better in first-time hood.
4
10th (4) Candle Wax (18/1 -80%)
Candle Wax

18
18/1(-80%)
(4) Candle Wax 18/1, Dubawi colt. Brother to useful 1¼m/11f winner Calmly, and half-brother to 9.5f winner Shrewdness and 1¼m winner Stimulate. Respected if the betting suggests he's fancied.
Pedigree suggests he's one for longer trips next year but market support should be heeded.
7
11th (7) Jean Ribault (150/1 -88%)
Jean Ribault

150
150/1(-88%)
(7) Jean Ribault 150/1, Twice-raced maiden. 50/1 and hooded first time, last of 7 in maiden at Epsom (7f, good) 79 days ago.
Plenty to find on his 7f turf efforts.
3
12th (3) Aye Fred (200/1 -150%)
Aye Fred

200
200/1(-150%)
(3) Aye Fred 200/1, 50/1, last of 7 in maiden (50/1) at Lingfield (7f, AW) on debut 14 days ago, slowly away. Blinkers quickly reached for.
Trailed home last of seven in Lingfield maiden; now blinkered.
LTO Selection:

17:30 Kempton Stakes (Class 4) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

It's tempting to side with Musical Act on the back of his 7f success in a similar race here in August. However, given that form has taken a few knocks and, with several well-bred debutants on show, there is good reason to look elsewhere. TAWAJJAH, a son of the mighty Frankel, appeals most of the newcomers and, with his yard boasting a commendable strike-rate with juveniles this year, he shades the vote. Fellow newcomers Candle Wax and Amsterdam also warrant betting checks.

MUSICAL ACT has to be the call on the back of his tidy win here at the end of the summer. The threat will probably come from newcomers, with Tawajjah, Candle Wax, Green Keeper and Lyric all making paper appeal.

Interesting newcomers TAWAJJAH, Lyric and Green Keeper head the shortlist. Musical Act is the form choice.


17:40 Dundalk Handicap 11f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Speed Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
7
1st (7) Rhythm And Tyne (9/4 +75%)
Rhythm And Tyne

2.25
9/4(+75%)
(7) Rhythm And Tyne 9/4, Showed little when trained in Britain by T. J. Kent and was well held after nearly 4 months off in handicap (25/1) at Naas (10.5f, heavy) 31 days ago.
Better for last month's yard debut so potential improver back on AW.
11
2nd (11) Nawraq (22/1 +45%)
Nawraq

22
22/1(+45%)
(11) Nawraq 22/1, 50/1, probably needed the run in a first-time tongue strap after 11 months off when tenth of 16 in handicap at Galway (7f, heavy) 16 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Makes all-weather debut.
Okay Galway comeback run; AW debut and others preferred.
6
3rd (6) Power Drive (14/1 -180%)
Power Drive

14
14/1(-180%)
(6) Power Drive 14/1, 5-time course winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. 5/1, creditable fourth of 14 in handicap at this C&D, doing too much too soon. Off 8 months. Looks competitive on form.
Dual C&D winner down to a nice mark but may need this comeback run.
5
4th (5) Keilah (28/1 +30%)
Keilah

28
28/1(+30%)
(5) Keilah 28/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 200/1, made little impression when seventh of 14 in maiden at this C&D 19 days ago. Makes handicap debut.
Nothing so far in maidens and hard to make a case for on handicap debut.
4
5th (4) Old Peculier (3/1 +70%)
Old Peculier

3
3/1(+70%)
(4) Old Peculier 3/1, 10/1, failed to come on for recent run when seventh of 16 in handicap at Gowran (9.4f, heavy) 30 days ago, losing place before final 1f. Not dismissed having just a second outing on the all-weather.
Reduced mark appeals but outside draw doesn't.
10
6th (10) Hinemoa (33/1 -230%)
Hinemoa

33
33/1(-230%)
(10) Hinemoa 33/1, Course winner. 2 wins from 6 runs this year. Shaped as if better for the run after 6 months off when eighth of 14 in handicap at this C&D (28/1) 54 days ago, unable to sustain effort.
Dual 1m4f winner earlier in year; back down to last winning mark so don't rule out.
13
7th (13) Limited Edition (16/1 +52%)
Limited Edition

16
16/1(+52%)
(13) Limited Edition 16/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. Fifteenth of 18 in handicap at Navan (10f, good to soft, 16/1) 74 days ago. Better anticipated returned to all-weather.
Not beaten far over C&D in August (off 3lb higher) but poor run since on turf; bit to find.
12
8th (12) Vista Baby (15/2 +63%)
Vista Baby

7.5
15/2(+63%)
(12) Vista Baby 15/2, Again finished well held on softer ground than previously after 4 months off when seventeenth of 18 in handicap at Galway (11.8f, heavy, 28/1) 16 days ago. Others more persuasive.
3yo a possible improver back on AW so don't rule out.
1
9th (1) Jalo (20/1 -186%)
Jalo

20
20/1(-186%)
(1) Jalo 20/1, 15/2, wasn't seen to best effect on first outing since leaving Noel Meade when eighth of 14 in handicap at this course (7f) 26 days ago, left poorly placed. Significantly back up in trip.
Claiming winner; placed in C&D maiden early in the year so return to this trip could suit.
9
10th (9) Dark Street (7/1 -75%)
Dark Street

7
7/1(-75%)
(9) Dark Street 7/1, C&D winner in September. Shaped as if still in good form when sixth of 14 in handicap at this C&D (13/2) 33 days ago, left poorly placed. Can feature.
Best form has come over C&D; remains of interest, despite high draw.
2
11th (2) Morning Approach (15/2 -25%)
Morning Approach

7.5
15/2(-25%)
(2) Morning Approach 15/2, Course winner. Sixteen runs since last win in 2022. Possibly unsuited by conditions when eighth of 18 in handicap (17/2) at the Curragh (8f, soft) 53 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Has good chance on form.
Both wins have been over shorter but Leopardstown second suggests this trip worth a shot.
3
12th (3) Harriet Eagle (18/1 +0%)
Harriet Eagle

18
18/1(+0%)
(3) Harriet Eagle 18/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Too free when eighth of 14 in handicap at this C&D (20/1) 33 days ago, folding.
Needs to settle better and wide draw here not ideal.
14
13th (14) Contradanza (33/1 -65%)
Contradanza

33
33/1(-65%)
(14) Contradanza 33/1, Fared little better in first-time cheekpieces after 8 weeks off when seventh of 14 in handicap (66/1) at this course (7f) 2 weeks ago. Significantly up in trip. Others more persuasive.
Regressive filly takes marked step up in trip here; 3lb wrong.
8
14th (8) Bedelia (100/1 -150%)
Bedelia

100
100/1(-150%)
(8) Bedelia 100/1, Winner at Ballinrobe in June. 125/1, last of 6 in juvenile hurdle at Punchestown (16.6f, good) 36 days ago. Tongue strap back on. Modest on the Flat, well held on last outing in July.
Runner-up here a year ago so handles surface and not one to rule out off this reduced mark.
LTO Selection:

17:40 Dundalk Handicap 11f Race Speed Rating Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's race.

MORNING APPROACH won a maiden here as a juvenile and also scored over a mile at Leopardstown last year. The selection has rarely raced beyond a mile but did go close over 1m2f at Cork last year and arguably ran her best race this year over nine furlongs at Leopardstown. Power Drive has built up a good association with Ciara Flynn at this venue winning three times and has dropped down to a reasonable mark. He should benefit from a recent outing in a Leopardstown charity race while Dark Street won over C&D on his penultimate start. Jalo won a maiden claimer here over six furlongs but is effective over further, while Bedelia has been mainly campaigned over hurdles since winning a claimer at Ballinrobe in June.

It's been a while since MORNING APPROACH last tasted success but in what looks a wide-open finale, Willie McCreery's mare gets the verdict to register her third career victory making a rare start on the all-weather these days. Power Drive's effort over C&D 8 months ago is easy to put a line through, so he could be the one to give the selection most to think about on return, with Dark Street and Rhythm And Tyne another couple worthy of a mention.

It could pay to side with MORNING APPROACH, unproven as yet over this far but runner-up over 1m1f at Leopardstown


17:50 Newcastle Handicap (Class 4) 6f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
10
1st (10) Secret Road (12/1 +40%)
Secret Road

12
12/1(+40%)
(10) Secret Road 12/1, Tenth of 13 in handicap (20/1) at Ayr (7.2f, heavy) 34 days ago. Makes tapeta debut.
Yet to match peak Irish form in 4 runs for this yard; eligible for weaker races than this.
9
2nd (9) Thaki (40/1 -43%)
Thaki

40
40/1(-43%)
(9) Thaki 40/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Ayr in August. Eleventh of 12 in handicap (16/1) at this C&D 15 days ago.
Conditions fine and on a handy mark but usually plies his trade at a lower level.
4
3rd (4) Razzam (9/2 +0%)
Razzam

4.5
9/2(+0%)
(4) Razzam 9/2, Winner at Yarmouth in August. 11/1, seventh of 10 in handicap at Lingfield (6f, AW) 14 days ago. Has a good chance on the pick of form.
Good start for this yard but his form has dipped markedly the last twice.
8
4th (8) Abolish (10/3 +33%)
Abolish

3.333333
10/3(+33%)
(8) Abolish 10/3, One win from 24 Flat runs. Fifteen runs since last win in 2022. Seventh of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 16/1) 13 days ago.
Tumbled down the weights in the last 13 months; revival likely to be predicted by betting.
2
5th (2) Bellagio Man (5/1 -43%)
Bellagio Man

5
5/1(-43%)
(2) Bellagio Man 5/1, C&D winner in September. Eighth of 10 in handicap (4/1) at this C&D 5 days ago, left poorly placed. Better judged on previous form and not ruled out.
Penultimate run suggests he's still on a handy mark; bad draw last week & perhaps here too.
5
6th (5) Mersea (11/2 +15%)
Mersea

5.5
11/2(+15%)
(5) Mersea 11/2, Eighth of 12 in handicap (33/1) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 13 days ago.
Little luck in recent starts & latest run easy to excuse (raced wide); dangerous mark.
1
7th (1) Mister Bluebird (6/1 -20%)
Mister Bluebird

6
6/1(-20%)
(1) Mister Bluebird 6/1, 14/1, again ran below form when seventh of 11 in handicap at Goodwood (6f, soft) 31 days ago, doing too much too soon. This represents a drop in grade. Engaged 2.50 here Tuesday.
On his last winning mark but mixed record since a 7f turf win in June.
6
8th (6) Giogiobbo (40/1 -21%)
Giogiobbo

40
40/1(-21%)
(6) Giogiobbo 40/1, 10/3, last of 4 in handicap at Yarmouth (7f, good to firm). Off 15 months.
Prolific winner and returns to action off a fair mark; 451-day absence the obvious concern.
7
9th (7) Misty Blues (14/1 -75%)
Misty Blues

14
14/1(-75%)
(7) Misty Blues 14/1, Returned to form from out of the blue when third of 12 in handicap (20/1) at this C&D 15 days ago. Well in the mix with a repeat.
First significant promise this year when 3rd of 12 over C&D two weeks ago; respected.
3
10th (3) As If By Chance (8/1 +11%)
As If By Chance

8
8/1(+11%)
(3) As If By Chance 8/1, Latest win at Nottingham in August. Ran no sort of race at Doncaster (6f, good to soft) 62 days ago but could bounce back after a break.
Two 6f wins this summer; fully effective here and should leave two quiet runs behind him.
LTO Selection:

17:50 Newcastle Handicap (Class 4) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

MISTY BLUES finished a close-up third over C&D last month and she is able to go off the same mark. The daughter of Expert Eye brings the best recent form into this contest and she could prove tough to beat. The veteran Giogiobbo makes his return to action after a long absence and he could have a say if he is strong in the market, while Razzam is another to note as he lurks on a workable rating.

RAZZAM has been a bit disappointing the last twice, but it's still relatively early days with his current yard and, with his previous form reading well, he's well worth another chance. As If By Chance hasn't had that much racing on all-weather and could bounce back after a break, while Bellagio Man completes the shortlist.


18:00 Kempton Stakes (Class 4) 8f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
7
1st (7) Matsuri (5/6 +17%)
Matsuri

0.833333
5/6(+17%)
(7) Matsuri 5/6, Promising type. 11/4, second of 11 in novice at Salisbury (1m, heavy) on debut 41 days ago, just failing. More to come and the one to beat.
700,000gns purchase; went very close at Salisbury six weeks ago; the clear form choice.
2
2nd (2) Brioni (11/1 +8%)
Brioni

11
11/1(+8%)
(2) Brioni 11/1, 40/1, promise when third of 10 in novice at Sandown (7f, soft) on debut 56 days ago. Should improve.
Shaped with promise at Sandown but that form hasn't worked out particularly well.
4
3rd (4) Cupid's Dream (17/2 -143%)
Cupid's Dream

8.5
17/2(-143%)
(4) Cupid's Dream 17/2, Dubawi colt. Dam unraced half-sister to useful 1m-1¼m winner Al Agaila out of smart 7.5f-9.4f winner L'Amour de Ma Vie. Makes obvious appeal for top stable.
Godolphin newcomer; by Dubawi; interesting, especially if strong in the betting.
12
4th (12) Sword (9/2 +44%)
Sword

4.5
9/2(+44%)
(12) Sword 9/2, 500,000 gns Kingman colt. Half-brother to 1m winner Oceania Legend. Very interesting newcomer.
50,000gns yearling; Kingman half-brother to a 1m AW winner; respected debutant.
9
5th (9) Rebaatt (25/1 -25%)
Rebaatt

25
25/1(-25%)
(9) Rebaatt 25/1, 100/30, badly in need of the experience when eighth of 11 in maiden (10/3) at Newbury (6f, soft) on debut 54 days ago. Significantly up in trip.
Green and never threatened over 6f at Newbury; likely to improve for this longer trip.
6
6th (6) Kamboo (10/1 +70%)
Kamboo

10
10/1(+70%)
(6) Kamboo 10/1, €90,000 Awtaad colt. Half-brother to 3 winners, including smart 1¼m-12.5f winner Sir Erec and 7f winner Badlands. Dam unraced sister to smart 1¼m-2m winner Mahler. Worth a precautionary look in the betting.
90,000euros yearling; by Awtaad; check the betting.
3
7th (3) Cambria Legend (28/1 -40%)
Cambria Legend

28
28/1(-40%)
(3) Cambria Legend 28/1, 100/1, sixth of 12 in novice at Newmarket (1m, good to soft) on debut 21 days ago. Should progress.
Newmarket effort suggests he's not crying out for this sharper 1m.
1
8th (1) Courageous Strike (40/1 +0%)
Courageous Strike

40
40/1(+0%)
(1) Courageous Strike 40/1, Fair colt. First run since leaving Adrian Murray when winning 8-runner nursery at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 19 days ago. A good deal more will be needed under a penalty back in a novice.
0-7 in Ireland; off the mark in Wolverhampton nursery on debut for new yard.
10
9th (10) Reveal (18/1 -29%)
Reveal

18
18/1(-29%)
(10) Reveal 18/1, 11/1, seventh of 12 in novice at Newmarket (7f, good to soft) on debut 21 days ago. From a good stable but he needs to have come on a lot.
Never landed a blow at Newmarket but is open to improvement upped in distance.
8
10th (8) Midnight Gun (28/1 -75%)
Midnight Gun

28
28/1(-75%)
(8) Midnight Gun 28/1, Kingman colt. Half-brother to several winners, including very smart 1m winner Snow Lantern and useful 2m winner First Emperor. Well bred and interesting to see what the betting makes of him.
Kingman half-brother to Group 1 winner Snow Lantern, out of a quadruple Group 1 winner.
5
11th (5) Judgementofsolomon (250/1 -150%)
Judgementofsolomon

250
250/1(-150%)
(5) Judgementofsolomon 250/1, 50/1, twelfth of 14 in maiden over C&D on debut 7 days ago, very slowly away. More one for the longer term on that evidence.
Slowly away and always behind in C&D event last week.
11
12th (11) Scrum (150/1 -127%)
Scrum

150
150/1(-127%)
(11) Scrum 150/1, 40,000 gns Ulysses gelding. Best watched unless the betting suggests otherwise.
40,000gns yearling; by Ulysses out of 8.4f winner; market instructive.
13
13th (13) War Director (80/1 -220%)
War Director

80
80/1(-220%)
(13) War Director 80/1, Twice-raced maiden. Third of 7 in maiden at Nottingham (8.3f, heavy) 42 days ago but the form doesn't look anything special and improvement will be needed.
Something to find on turf form but is bred to take well to AW.
LTO Selection:

18:00 Kempton Stakes (Class 4) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

Expected to be wiser after a near miss on his debut at Salisbury last month, MATSURI could be hard to beat. A 700,000gns purchase, this son of Sea The Stars was possibly a touch too keen that day and a more professional display can be expected this time around. Rebaatt and Reveal are others with scope for improvement, while Cupid's Dream, a half-brother to the Listed-placed Al Aguila, is an appealing newcomer.

If MATSURI makes the expected improvement from his debut he'll set a good standard for the rest to aim at. Cupid's Dream and Sword are debutants from leading yards and would rate threats if the betting speaks in their favour. Brioni is another who showed plenty of promise on debut.

As regards the runners with experience, MATSURI holds the strongest claims. Interesting newcomer Sword is second choice.


18:20 Newcastle Stakes (Class 5) 8f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
5
1st (5) Abbey Gardens (5/1 -100%)
Abbey Gardens

5
5/1(-100%)
(5) Abbey Gardens 5/1, 40/1, offered plenty to work on when fourth of 14 in minor event at Kempton (8f) on debut 9 days ago. Open to improvement.
Encouraging debut fourth in Kempton novice; can build on it now; she's in the mix..
3
2nd (3) Inspiritus (9/2 +36%)
Inspiritus

4.5
9/2(+36%)
(3) Inspiritus 9/2, 12/1 and hooded for 1st time, settled better and came on plenty for debut when second of 14 in maiden at Windsor (8.1f, good to soft) 30 days ago.
Second in 1m Windsor maiden latest; can do better still so he needs considering.
6
3rd (6) Flindrikin (7/1 +18%)
Flindrikin

7
7/1(+18%)
(6) Flindrikin 7/1, 16/1, held back by inexperience when seventh of 14 in minor event at Kempton (8f) on debut 9 days ago, running on under hands-and-heels riding. Should progress.
Green when debut seventh in 1m Kempton novice; daughter of Frankel merits consideration.
8
4th (8) Torchlight (10/11 +34%)
Torchlight

0.909091
10/11(+34%)
(8) Torchlight 10/11, Promising sort. 14/1, came on plenty for debut when second of 14 in minor event at Kempton (8f) 9 days ago, beaten only by an above-average prospect. Difficult to oppose.
Runner-up in 1m Kempton novice 9 days ago; she has more to offer and holds leading claims.
4
5th (4) King's Vanity (12/1 -50%)
King's Vanity

12
12/1(-50%)
(4) King's Vanity 12/1, Kingman gelding. Dam, 6f/7f winner (including at 2 yrs), half-sister to winner up to 6f Lesson In Humility and 5f-1m winner Boastful (both smart).
Kingman gelding; appeals on paper so this newcomer is worth a market check.
7
6th (7) Platinum Jubilee (18/1 -50%)
Platinum Jubilee

18
18/1(-50%)
(7) Platinum Jubilee 18/1, 14/1, ran to similar level as on debut when ninth of 11 in minor event at Goodwood (8f, good to firm) when last seen 5 months ago. Likely she needs more time.
Never a threat in maiden/novice in early summer; sort to do better in the longer term.
1
7th (1) Darkzideofthemoon (80/1 +20%)
Darkzideofthemoon

80
80/1(+20%)
(1) Darkzideofthemoon 80/1, Showed a bit more than on debut when fourth of 9 in minor event (80/1) at this C&D just over 2 weeks ago.
Fourth of nine in novice over C&D 15 days ago; he may do better still but needs to.
2
8th (2) Glowing Flame (28/1 +65%)
Glowing Flame

28
28/1(+65%)
(2) Glowing Flame 28/1, Refused to race on debut. 9/2 and hooded for 1st time, went with little encouragement when fourth of 7 in seller at Musselburgh (12.5f, good to soft) 30 days ago, slowly away. Significantly back down in trip.
Refused to race on his debut before fourth in Musselburgh seller 30 days ago.
LTO Selection:

18:20 Newcastle Stakes (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

TORCHLIGHT (second) had Abbey Gardens (fourth) behind when improving upon her debut effort last week and she is likely to have plenty more to come. That Kempton performance was Abbey Gardens' first day at the races so she should get closer to the selection on this occasion, without turning the tables. Inspiritus progressed to chase home a wide-margin winner at Windsor in a first-time hood and he completes the shortlist.

It's hard to look beyond TORCHLIGHT, who bumped into an above-average prospect at Kempton last week and John & Thady Gosden's filly looks capable of better again. Abbey Gardens and Flindrikin were fourth and seventh respectively in that same contest and may well emerge as the chief threats, with newcomer King's Vanity another worth keeping a close eye on.


18:30 Kempton Handicap (Class 5) 7f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
7
1st (7) Chifa (16/5 -16%)
Chifa

3.2
16/5(-16%)
(7) Chifa 16/5, Three wins from 10 runs this year, with latest success at Wolverhampton in October. Again not seen to best effect when second of 12 in handicap at this C&D (13/2) 9 days ago, caught further back than ideal. Major player.
Unlucky over C&D last week; strong chance off same mark granted better fortune.
5
2nd (5) Chalk Mountain (5/1 -25%)
Chalk Mountain

5
5/1(-25%)
(5) Chalk Mountain 5/1, Career best when winning at Wolverhampton in October and backed up that effort when fourth of 8 in handicap (2/1) at this C&D 3 weeks ago. Can give another good account with tongue strap on 1st time.
Solid record on AW this year; ran respectably over C&D most recently.
1
3rd (1) Granary Queen (6/1 +40%)
Granary Queen

6
6/1(+40%)
(1) Granary Queen 6/1, Twenty runs since last win in 2022. Soon back on track when fourth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 16/1) 13 days ago, though pulled hard. Can give her running again, but may just find others better treated.
On a 20-race losing sequence but is now only 1lb above last winning mark.
3
4th (3) Epic Express (5/2 +50%)
Epic Express

2.5
5/2(+50%)
(3) Epic Express 5/2, Course winner. Continued in good heart when fourth of 12 in handicap (9/2) at this C&D 9 days ago, despite having been hampered over 1f out. Enters calculations.
Ties in with Chifa on C&D running last week; solid claims off same mark.
6
5th (6) Beautiful Surprise (200/1 -150%)
Beautiful Surprise

200
200/1(-150%)
(6) Beautiful Surprise 200/1, Lightly-raced winner on Flat. Last of 9 in handicap hurdle at Worcester (2m, good to soft, 80/1) on latest outing in July. Makes polytrack debut on first run for yard after leaving Nigel Hawke.
Market may prove best guide back on Flat for new stable.
2
6th (2) To The Bar (12/1 -100%)
To The Bar

12
12/1(-100%)
(2) To The Bar 12/1, Run best excused when eighth of 12 in handicap (25/1) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) when last seen a year ago, not ideally placed. Has lengthy absence to overcome as he makes first run for yard after leaving Denis Quinn.
Market may prove best guide on stable debut, back from 12-month absence.
8
7th (8) Believe You Me (14/1 -56%)
Believe You Me

14
14/1(-56%)
(8) Believe You Me 14/1, Opened account at Chepstow in July and, after a below-par effort 9 weeks later, back on track when sixth of 13 in handicap at Leicester (7f, good, 7/1) 36 days ago. Needs to find more with blinkers on 1st time.
Sole win came in a weak race; first-time blinkers need to help.
4
8th (4) Creme De Cacao (5/1 -11%)
Creme De Cacao

5
5/1(-11%)
(4) Creme De Cacao 5/1, Off the mark at Chelmsford in March and ran creditably when third of 9 on handicap debut (7/2) at Southwell (7.1f) the following month. Could make her presence felt with more still to offer for her leading yard.
Placed at Southwell when last seen; open to further progress; interesting.
LTO Selection:

18:30 Kempton Handicap (Class 5) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Creme De Cacao, who is still unexposed in handicaps, needs to be taken seriously if she attracts good support in the betting on her first start since April. Epic Express is also dangerous to ignore, despite running off 5lb higher than his last winning mark (on turf). However, CHIFA was denied by just a head here nine days ago and, off the same mark, he has a live chance with Liam Wright back in the saddle.

CHIFA looked unlucky not to win when narowly denied at this C&D 9 days ago, just failing having been caught further back than ideal, so he is taken to return to winning ways this time around. Creme de Cacao is feared most as she makes only her second start in a handicap, while Epic Express also merits consideration.

Granted better fortune CHIFA could well gain compensation for missing out narrowly last week. Epic Express is second choice.


18:50 Newcastle Handicap (Class 5) 8f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
5
1st (5) Inverlochy (3/1 -33%)
Inverlochy

3
3/1(-33%)
(5) Inverlochy 3/1, 9/4, career best when winning 7-runner handicap at Chelmsford City (8f) 8 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Strong claims in follow-up bid.
On the up since handicapping, scoring at Chelmsford 8 days ago; escapes a penalty; player.
7
2nd (7) Enola Grey (5/1 +75%)
Enola Grey

5
5/1(+75%)
(7) Enola Grey 5/1, 14/1, ninth of 13 in handicap at Kempton (8f) 35 days ago, making effort earlier than ideal. First run for yard after leaving Jonathan Portman. Others make more appeal.
Ninth at Kempton on final run for Jonathan Portman; sort to bounce back for her new yard.
8
3rd (8) Daydream Express (3/1 +40%)
Daydream Express

3
3/1(+40%)
(8) Daydream Express 3/1, Promising type. Seventh of 13 in minor event at Chelmsford City (10f, 11/1) 18 days ago. Type to up her game now fitted with cheekpieces for handicap debut, so merits consideration.
Kingman filly who has shown some promise in her three runs; considered on h'cap debut.
10
4th (10) Alexa's Princess (40/1 -100%)
Alexa's Princess

40
40/1(-100%)
(10) Alexa's Princess 40/1, 22/1, below form fifth of 9 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, heavy) 18 days ago. Needs to bounce back.
Encouraging return but has twice failed to build on it here and at Doncaster.
2
5th (2) Bowood (6/1 +0%)
Bowood

6
6/1(+0%)
(2) Bowood 6/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 33/1, very good second of 12 in handicap at this course (7.1f) 26 days ago, running on.
Good second here latest; he's in the mix despite a 2lb rise in the weights.
1
6th (1) Hey Lyla (13/2 -44%)
Hey Lyla

6.5
13/2(-44%)
(1) Hey Lyla 13/2, Latest win at Chelmsford City in October. 10/3, good second of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 9 days ago, having run of race. Expected to be bang there.
Won at Chelmsford before nose second at Wolver; merits consideration off unchanged mark.
6
7th (6) Tasever (12/1 -9%)
Tasever

12
12/1(-9%)
(6) Tasever 12/1, 4/1, fifth of 6 in handicap at Catterick (7f, heavy) 25 days ago. Others more persuasive.
Remains a maiden and he hasn't proved the easiest to catch right of late.
3
8th (3) The Toff (25/1 +11%)
The Toff

25
25/1(+11%)
(3) The Toff 25/1, Last of 10 in handicap at Newbury (7f, good to firm, 22/1). Off 141 days. First run for yard after leaving Charles Hills.
Won at Lingfield in April but form nosedived after for Charlie Hills; makes stable debut.
9
9th (9) Mickey Mongoose (125/1 -89%)
Mickey Mongoose

125
125/1(-89%)
(9) Mickey Mongoose 125/1, Winner at Brighton in June. Last of 14 in handicap at Southwell (12.1f, 125/1) 79 days ago. Significantly back down in trip. Plenty to prove.
Yet to fire in two runs for current yard; return to shorter needs to spark improvement.
4
10th (4) Pride Of Spain (8/1 +0%)
Pride Of Spain

8
8/1(+0%)
(4) Pride Of Spain 8/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 8/1, fifth of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (7f, AW) 20 days ago. Not discounted.
Not discredited on h'cap debut when fifth at Lingfield; shortlisted stepping up to 1m.
LTO Selection:

18:50 Newcastle Handicap (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

INVERLOCHY got off the mark in an apprentices' race at Chelmsford last week and the daughter of Oasis Dream is able to compete off the same mark, which makes her very difficult to oppose. Daydream Express is an interesting contender on her handicap bow and in first-time cheekpieces, and she produced a solid effort over C&D on her debut. Of the remainder, Bowood makes the most appeal after his second over 7f here last month.

INVERLOCHY is going the right way now and, having opened her account at Chelmsford 8 days ago, she's likely to follow up if equally as effective on tapeta. Hey Lyla is a danger on the back of a good effort and Daydream Express is a likely improver on handicap debut.


19:00 Kempton Handicap (Class 4) 7f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
9
1st (9) Miss Bella Brand (33/1 +18%)
Miss Bella Brand

33
33/1(+18%)
(9) Miss Bella Brand 33/1, Successful at Windsor in May but hasn't been able to match that level since, running well below form when fifteenth of 16 in handicap at Newmarket (6f, heavy, 22/1) 11 days ago.
Runner-up in all three starts at Kempton, the latest in January; mixed recent evidence.
10
2nd (10) Ivory Madonna (22/1 -10%)
Ivory Madonna

22
22/1(-10%)
(10) Ivory Madonna 22/1, Not in the same form as previous outing when tenth of 17 in handicap at Newmarket (7f, heavy, 14/1) 11 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Has work to do as she looks for her first success.
Maiden; three of her 2023 runs have been here and that form does not look good enough.
2
3rd (2) Roarin' Success (9/2 -29%)
Roarin' Success

4.5
9/2(-29%)
(2) Roarin' Success 9/2, Continued her progress when making winning return at Ascot in July. Shaped as if amiss when last of 17 in handicap at Goodwood (1m, soft, 11/2) the following month, but she may yet get back on the up after a break.
Something amiss at Glorious Goodwood (11-2 for 17-runner handicap) over three months ago.
8
4th (8) Algheed (11/1 -22%)
Algheed

11
11/1(-22%)
(8) Algheed 11/1, Bounced back to form when third of 12 in handicap (13/2) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 13 days ago, keeping on having been slightly outpaced halfway. Capable of getting involved from 1 lb below her last winning mark.
Back near best when third at Wolverhampton 13 days ago, putting her back into calculations.
4
5th (4) American Belle (6/1 -20%)
American Belle

6
6/1(-20%)
(4) American Belle 6/1, Latest win at Doncaster in June. After 7 weeks off, left behind a lesser effort when fifth of 11 in handicap at Chelmsford City (7f, 13/2) 32 days ago. Task is now to build on her latest run.
This has been a solid campaign when at 7f; concern is that the handicapper has caught up.
1
6th (1) Wild Side (5/1 -43%)
Wild Side

5
5/1(-43%)
(1) Wild Side 5/1, Completed hat-trick when scoring at Redcar in June. After 4 months off, resumed progress when second of 12 in handicap (22/1) at this C&D 2 weeks ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Leading contender.
Good second over C&D two weeks ago after a four-month absence; cheekpieces go on.
3
7th (3) Orzo (6/4 +45%)
Orzo

1.5
6/4(+45%)
(3) Orzo 6/4, Impressive winner at this C&D on debut back in 2021. Has only raced twice since, shaping well after further 7 months off when third of 8 in handicap at Newmarket (1m, good to soft, 11/) 3 weeks ago. Respected.
C&D debut winner in 2021; only two runs since, back to form on latest; shortlisted.
6
8th (6) Urban Decay (9/1 -20%)
Urban Decay

9
9/1(-20%)
(6) Urban Decay 9/1, Returned to all-weather, doubled her tally with a ready success in 8-runner handicap (6/1) at this C&D 3 weeks ago. Could be thereabouts again now that she's back on track.
Back up 4lb but has had just six races and made a telling late bid over C&D last time.
LTO Selection:

19:00 Kempton Handicap (Class 4) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

ORZO is the least exposed in this field and she showed plenty of promise on her handicap bow when third at Newmarket. The daughter of Aclaim struck on her debut over C&D and she looks the way to go. Wild Side filled the runner-up spot over C&D earlier in the month and she is likely to be in contention off a 1lb higher rating, while Urban Decay could also have a say.

After 4 months off, WILD SIDE got back on the up when second at this C&D a fortnight ago and she can build on that effort to gain a fourth success of the year. Heading the list of dangers is Orzo, who also ran well after an absence on her latest outing, with last-time-out C&D winner Urban Decay completing the shortlist.

The three to concentrate on may be ORZO, Urban Decay and Wild Side, who are preferred in that order.


19:30 Kempton Handicap (Class 3) 12f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
2
1st (2) Savvy Knight (6/1 +25%)
Savvy Knight

6
6/1(+25%)
(2) Savvy Knight 6/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in June. Eleventh of 12 in handicap at this course (11f, 10/1) 9 days ago, missing break. Can get back on track if he breaks on terms.
C&D scorer in June; shaped better than bare result here last week; not dismissed.
6
2nd (6) Graphite (14/1 +44%)
Graphite

14
14/1(+44%)
(6) Graphite 14/1, Last of 11 in handicap (25/1) at Newmarket (12f, soft) 12 days ago. Needs to bounce back.
Has unconvincing claims on 2023 form; opposed.
4
3rd (4) Capital Theory (9/2 +10%)
Capital Theory

4.5
9/2(+10%)
(4) Capital Theory 9/2, Latest win at Ayr in September. 6/1, creditable third of 12 in handicap at this course (11f) 9 days ago, having run of race. Should give another good account.
Creditable third in the London Middle Distance Series Final here nine days ago; big player.
13
4th (13) Geremia (9/1 +10%)
Geremia

9
9/1(+10%)
(13) Geremia 9/1, Unreliable sort. Course winner. Latest win at Ayr in July. 33/1, respectable ninth of 31 in handicap at Newmarket (18f, good to soft) 32 days ago, nearest finish. Significantly back down in trip.
Not disgraced in major handicaps at Newmarket the last twice; could go well.
14
5th (14) Haku (6/1 -9%)
Haku

6
6/1(-9%)
(14) Haku 6/1, C&D winner. 18/1, good third of 12 in handicap at this C&D 28 days ago. Not taken lightly.
Form figures over 1m4f on AW read 21113243; again highly likely to give his running.
9
6th (9) Dark Moon Rising (5/1 +0%)
Dark Moon Rising

5
5/1(+0%)
(9) Dark Moon Rising 5/1, Latest win at York in July. 7 lengths eighth of 9 to Capital Theory in handicap at Ayr (13.1f, good, 7/1) 53 days ago. Others more persuasive.
Landed a notable AW event in March 2022 and had a higher mark at the time.
7
7th (7) Enthrallment (9/2 +31%)
Enthrallment

4.5
9/2(+31%)
(7) Enthrallment 9/2, 16/1, good second of 9 in handicap at Ascot (10f, good to soft), clear of rest. Off 124 days. Back up in trip. Enters calculations.
Gives the impression there's a race of this nature in him; interesting contender.
12
8th (12) Kenzai Warrior (20/1 -25%)
Kenzai Warrior

20
20/1(-25%)
(12) Kenzai Warrior 20/1, Course winner. Below form fifth of 11 in novice hurdle (5/1) at Stratford (16.3f, good to soft) 37 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Others more persuasive.
Useful on his day but is far from solid judged on 2023 form (Flat/hurdles).
3
9th (3) Batemans Bay (8/1 -45%)
Batemans Bay

8
8/1(-45%)
(3) Batemans Bay 8/1, 28/1, eighth of 12 in handicap at York (10.2f, soft) 32 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Must up his game.
Possibilities if suited by the switch to AW; only his second handicap attempt.
5
10th (5) Cardano (40/1 -100%)
Cardano

40
40/1(-100%)
(5) Cardano 40/1, 13/2, below form seventh of 12 in handicap hurdle at Chepstow (16f, soft) 15 days ago. Fairly useful on the Flat, made the most of a handy mark on latest outing in this sphere. Remains of interest.
Successful at Epsom on most recent Flat attempt; still well treated on peak form.
10
11th (10) Vellner (80/1 -21%)
Vellner

80
80/1(-21%)
(10) Vellner 80/1, First run since leaving P. Twomey when seventh of 8 in handicap (80/1) at Nottingham (10.2f, heavy) 28 days ago. Makes polytrack debut.
Ex-Irish 4yo whose form dipped markedly on debut for new yard.
11
12th (11) Royal Scandal (14/1 -56%)
Royal Scandal

14
14/1(-56%)
(11) Royal Scandal 14/1, C&D winner. 4/1, last of 7 in handicap at this course (16f) 21 days ago. Return to this trip will suit and she's one to consider.
Won over C&D in 2022 and holds a good chance off reduced mark back at 1m4f.
8
13th (8) Buxted Too (50/1 -52%)
Buxted Too

50
50/1(-52%)
(8) Buxted Too 50/1, C&D winner. 5 wins from 9 runs this year. 13/2, below form fifth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Newton Abbot (16.8f, good) 161 days ago. Off 161 days. Handicapper seems in control.
Return to this sphere looks a plus; 7-18 on AW, including five wins this year.
1
14th (1) Adrian (200/1 -300%)
Adrian

200
200/1(-300%)
(1) Adrian 200/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, last of 8 in handicap (100/1) at Nottingham (10.2f, heavy) 28 days ago. Plenty to prove at present.
Useful in Germany; two heavy defeats in Britain suggest he's best watched.
LTO Selection:

19:30 Kempton Handicap (Class 3) 12f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.

Enthrallment hit the crossbar in a class 4 event over 1m2f at Ascot in July and he has to be respected off a 3lb higher mark on his return to the all-weather. However, the vote goes to CAPITAL THEORY, who finished third over a furlong shorter earlier in the month and the handicapper may have been kind to leave his mark unchanged. Previous C&D winner Savvy Knight is another to keep an eye on.

ENTHRALLMENT is still lightly raced and came clear of the remainder when runner-up at Ascot 4 months ago. He's fancied to go one better at the possible expense of Capital Theory, who should get the early lead from stall 1. Haku is another one to consider.


20:00 Kempton Handicap (Class 6) 6f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
11
1st (11) First Company (16/1 -33%)
First Company

16
16/1(-33%)
(11) First Company 16/1, One win from 33 Flat runs. Creditable head fourth of 11 to Annie Law over C&D (9/1) 30 days ago. One of 2 contenders for his stable.
Sole win (33 races) in 2021 but bang there over C&D on last two outings.
12
2nd (12) Papabella (33/1 -18%)
Papabella

33
33/1(-18%)
(12) Papabella 33/1, 14/1, respectable fourth of 8 in handicap at Nottingham (5f, soft) 28 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Stable won this race in 2021.
Lightly raced 3yo who has run in just three handicaps, closest finish on latest; AW debut.
2
3rd (2) Northcliff (16/1 -14%)
Northcliff

16
16/1(-14%)
(2) Northcliff 16/1, 6/1, creditable third of 11 in handicap at Redcar (5f, heavy) 26 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Tim Easterby.
0-20; AW debut on first run since sold out of Tim Easterby's for 9,000gns three weeks ago.
1
4th (1) Top Button (5/1 -11%)
Top Button

5
5/1(-11%)
(1) Top Button 5/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Third of 7 in novice at Leicester (7f, heavy) 29 days ago. Tongue strap on first time. Makes handicap debut. One to keep an eye on in the betting.
Some progress in novice events; 5yo who should have a better chance now sent handicapping.
8
5th (8) King Of Speed (28/1 -40%)
King Of Speed

28
28/1(-40%)
(8) King Of Speed 28/1, Latest win at Leicester in May. Tongue strap on first time, respectable third of 8 back at Leicester (6f, good) 51 days ago. One to consider, although Billy Loughnane seemingly prefers First Company.
Bits of AW form (unraced on AW since January) would see him on the premises.
4
6th (4) Awesome Spirit (28/1 -300%)
Awesome Spirit

28
28/1(-300%)
(4) Awesome Spirit 28/1, Fair form in a handful of starts in Ireland. May have needed first outing for 4 months when only seventh of 8 at Lingfield on yard debut 19 days ago. No surprise to see him fare a lot better this time.
10,000gns buy in July and failed to come near market expectations 19 days ago (7f, AW).
6
7th (6) The Cola Kid (4/1 -14%)
The Cola Kid

4
4/1(-14%)
(6) The Cola Kid 4/1, Seeking a quick course hat-trick, following his 7f success on first day of November by seeing off 11 rivals over this trip last Wednesday. Player under Oisin Murphy.
Drawn wider this time but bids for Kempton hat-trick; well treated judged on latest form.
3
8th (3) Annie Law (4/1 -14%)
Annie Law

4
4/1(-14%)
(3) Annie Law 4/1, Three wins from 10 runs this year, the latest when battling well to shade a close finish over C&D a month ago. Only nudged up 1 lb and should be in the thick of things again.
Narrow C&D win one month ago; looks set to go well again with just a 1lb rise.
9
9th (9) Confederation (13/2 +64%)
Confederation

6.5
13/2(+64%)
(9) Confederation 13/2, Unreliable type. Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Seventh of 10 in handicap at Chelmsford (6f, 5/1) 13 days ago.
0-12 for current yard, easily best of last seven runs when beaten a neck at Bath in August.
5
10th (5) Autumn Angel (8/1 +56%)
Autumn Angel

8
8/1(+56%)
(5) Autumn Angel 8/1, Latest win at Bath in July. 11/1, below form eighth of 14 in handicap at Bath (5.7f, soft) 28 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Blinkers on first time. Her stable won this last year.
Hooded this February-May, winning (Tapeta) on first occasion, and now tries blinkers.
7
11th (7) Marinakis (100/1 -52%)
Marinakis

100
100/1(-52%)
(7) Marinakis 100/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Tenth of 11 on C&D handicap debut in April. Off since. Could only consider if backed.
50-1 for handicap debut over C&D in April, not showing much; that's his only run this term.
10
12th (10) Amber Dew (4/1 +50%)
Amber Dew

4
4/1(+50%)
(10) Amber Dew 4/1, One win from 26 Flat runs. 25/1, last of 11 in handicap at Southwell (7f) in June (final start for Scott Dixon). Worth a precautionary betting check now setting out for Kevin Philippart de Foy.
Sole win (26 races) was 2021; last ran in June; sold out of Scott Dixon's 5,000gns in July.
LTO Selection:

20:00 Kempton Handicap (Class 6) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

THE COLA KID recorded a double over C&D last week and he now has 5lb extra to carry. The six-year-old has Oisin Murphy taking over in the plate and could easily bring up the hat-trick. The main danger might be Annie Law, who struck over this C&D last month and should go well, while King Of Speed is another to note on his return to the all-weather.

THE COLA KID is on a roll and might be able to complete a quick hat-trick with Oisin Murphy doing the steering. Annie Law showed a good attitude to come out on top in a blanket finish over C&D last month and is second choice ahead of Mark Loughnane pair King of Speed and First Company.

It's not hard to knock most of these claims but ANNIE LAW looks solid to go well and The Cola Kid bids for a Kempton hat-trick.


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How to use Tomform

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This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.


About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.


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