There were 45 Races on Thursday 7th November 2024 across 6 meetings. There was 8 races at Southwell, 7 races at Clonmel, 7 races at Newbury, 7 races at Ludlow, 8 races at Newcastle, 8 races at Chelmsford-City, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
Races & Results Thursday 7th November 2024
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
(8) Sirius White 7/1, Course winner. 18/1, wasted no time getting back to form when third of 10 in handicap at Carlisle (5.8f, good to soft) 3 months ago, suited by emphasis on stamina. Back on all-weather and not without each-way hope. All three wins on the AW but has something to prove down to 5f for the first time.
7
1st (7) (9/4 +68%) Fortunate Star
2.25
9/4(+68%)
(7) Fortunate Star 9/4, 8/11, again made the places without being in the same sort of form as on previous couple of starts when third of 6 in handicap at Catterick (5f, heavy) 9 days ago. This just his second all-weather start and fancied to be in the shake-up. Has dropped a long way in the weights and a player if repeating recent turf efforts.
2
3rd (2) (4/1 -78%) Better
4
4/1(-78%)
(2) Better 4/1, 11/1, improved on recent efforts to win 12-runner handicap at Newcastle (5f) 16 days ago, staying on to lead final 50 yds. 4 lb higher but remains well treated on old form and has easily the most experienced rider on board. 4lb higher than when winning at Newcastle last time; seemed suited by that stiffer track.
9
4th (9) (16/1 -33%) Victors Dream
16
16/1(-33%)
(9) Victors Dream 16/1, Winner at Brighton in June. Followed a below-par effort with an even worse one when 9¼ lengths last of 6 to Bernard Spierpoint in handicap at Brighton (5.3f, good, 4/1) 67 days ago. Others more persuasive. 1-17 but in the frame in six of 12 AW starts, including over C&D; not discounted.
1
5th (1) (15/2 -25%) Bernard Spierpoint
7.5
15/2(-25%)
(1) Bernard Spierpoint 15/2, C&D winner. 3 wins from 12 runs this year. Latest win at Brighton in September. Wasn't disgraced when fourth of 10 in handicap (10/1) at Chelmsford City (5f) 12 days ago. Can make presence felt. Completed a hat-trick after rejoining this yard in August; each-way claims.
5
6th (5) (10/1 -25%) Under Curfew
10
10/1(-25%)
(5) Under Curfew 10/1, Latest win at Salisbury in July. Run best excused when sixth of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 9/2) 31 days ago, keeping on when badly hampered last ½f. Has to be taken seriously. Would have finished closer with a clear run at Wolverhampton last month; a player.
6
7th (6) (25/1 +50%) Lochaber
25
25/1(+50%)
(6) Lochaber 25/1, 100/1, continued out of sorts when seventh of 8 in handicap at this course (6.1f) 10 days ago. Blinkered for 1st time. 1-20 and out of the frame in all seven goes on the AW; blinkers on.
3
8th (3) (9/1 +25%) Wakai Umi
9
9/1(+25%)
(3) Wakai Umi 9/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. 15/2, below form when fifth of 8 in handicap at Windsor (5.1f, good to firm) back in June. Looks an easy enough swerve given her profile. 131-day absence asks a question but this straight 5f should suit; may be worth chancing.
11
9th (11) (33/1 -106%) Sacred Melody
33
33/1(-106%)
(11) Sacred Melody 33/1, 22/1, fared no better than previously under change of tactics when 3½ lengths eighth of 12 to Better in handicap at Newcastle (5f) 16 days ago. Handicapper gives her a chance, but more is required. Well held in seven starts including behind Better at Newcastle last time; much more needed.
12
10th (12) (10/1 +38%) Restricted
10
10/1(+38%)
(12) Restricted 10/1, Remains a maiden after 18 Flat runs. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, respectable fourth of 8 in handicap (8/1) at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 45 days ago. 0-18 but likes to go forward and such tactics are suited to this C&D; could make the frame.
4
11th (4) (20/1 +0%) Dunnington Lad
20
20/1(+0%)
(4) Dunnington Lad 20/1, Latest win at Ripon in August. 3/1, followed a good run with a below-par one when sixth of 7 in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, good) in August, weakening when hampered last ½f. This a rare all-weather start and will need to leave that latest effort behind. Has only beaten one rival in three starts on Tapeta so has something to prove.
10
12th (10) (25/1 +38%) Lady Nagin
25
25/1(+38%)
(10) Lady Nagin 25/1, Course winner. Never-dangerous eighth of 10 in handicap (50/1) at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 2 weeks ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. 2-4 over 6f here; 3lb below last winning mark but not threatened lately; cheekpieces on.
11:40 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Having built on his eye-catching fourth at Newcastle when subsequently landing the spoils at the same venue last month, BETTER is one to keep on side at present. A 4lb higher mark looks far from insurmountable for the three-year-old and he's taken to follow up. Fortunate Star hasn't been disgraced in four outings since his last spin on the all-weather and he's feared most off a career-low mark. Bernard Spierpoint and Sirius White are others to consider.
BETTER took advantage of a reduced mark at Newcastle recently and remaining well treated on old form, Paul Midgley's 3-y-o is fancied to follow up with the experienced Simon Walker taking over in the plate. He can get the better of Under Curfew, who can have a line put through his latest effort. Bernard Spierpoint and Fortunate Star can fight out minor honours.
The choice is WAKAI UMI who has an absence to overcome, but the track should suit her style of racing and she is on a competitive mark.
(11) Jane Temple 6/5, Siyouni filly who shaped with plenty of promise when second of 14 in maiden at Kempton (11f, 8/1) on debut 36 days ago, doing well to reach that place having come from so far back in a race run at a stop-start gallop. Open to significant improvement and big player. Shaped really well when debut second at Kempton; capable of considerably better; big shout.
7
2nd (7) (11/4 +21%) At No Time
2.75
11/4(+21%)
(7) At No Time 11/4, Makes plenty of appeal on paper and promising start when splitting a pair of useful sorts when second of 6 in novice at Salisbury (9.9f, good to soft) on debut 55 days ago. Looks sure to build on that and she's one to consider. Promising start when second at Salisbury (1m2f); one to consider with better to come.
4
3rd (4) (11/1 +0%) Padesha
11
11/1(+0%)
(4) Padesha 11/1, Fair form when in the frame first 2 starts during the spring but disappointed starting out for new yard/after 4 months off when last of 6 in maiden at Yarmouth (10.1f, good) in August. Certainly not one to be giving up on making tapeta debut. Last for new yard in Yarmouth maiden in August; has something to prove after a break.
5
4th (5) (5/1 +0%) Steel Tiger
5
5/1(+0%)
(5) Steel Tiger 5/1, Lightly-raced gelding. 14/1, very good third of 9 in handicap at Nottingham (10.2f, heavy) 29 days ago, no extra only late on. May be sharper here given that was his first start for 4 months. Off four months before good third in Nottingham handicap latest; solid form claims.
6
5th (6) (8/1 +11%) William Walton
8
8/1(+11%)
(6) William Walton 8/1, Brother to top-class winner up to 1½m Waldgeist. Low-key debut effort at Ffos Las (12f, heavy) in August but marked step forward when third of 7 in novice at Kempton (12f) 27 days ago, the penny really dropping late on. Highly likely there's further progress in the offing. Third in Kempton novice 27 days ago; brother to Arc hero Waldgeist enters calculations.
3
6th (3) (28/1 -75%) Naomhi
28
28/1(-75%)
(3) Naomhi 28/1, Travelled well for a long way in AW bumper on debut and offered something to work on (fair form) in finishing midfield in pair of Flat maidens at up to 12f in recent months. Could be the type to do better when attentions switch to handicaps. Patiently-ridden fifth in 11f Kempton maiden; she needs considering with more to come.
9
7th (9) (125/1 -150%) Fleeting Moment
125
125/1(-150%)
(9) Fleeting Moment 125/1, Twice-raced filly who was very easy to back but showed more than first time up when sixth of 14 in maiden at Kempton (11f) 36 days ago, keeping on without being knocked about. Another likely type for middle-distance handicaps moving forward. Sixth of 14 in 11f Kempton maiden 36 days ago; she can do better still.
1
8th (1) (125/1 -400%) Comte De Loir
125
125/1(-400%)
(1) Comte De Loir 125/1, Elm Park gelding who is bred to stay well and he offered something to work on when fourth of 7 in novice at Kempton (12f) on debut 27 days ago. In good hands and he's entitled to do better. Debut fourth in 1m4f Kempton novice 27 days ago; can do better.
8
9th (8) (16/1 -60%) Christian Bruce
16
16/1(-60%)
(8) Christian Bruce 16/1, Le Havre filly who has looked a work-in-progress in 2 starts to date, running green when fifth of 14 in maiden (7/2) at Carlisle (11.2f, good to soft) 57 days ago. Likely to do better again but handicaps promise to be more her thing. Advanced form with Carlisle fifth in September; open to more progress; not discounted.
10
10th (10) (200/1 -300%) Inlet
200
200/1(-300%)
(10) Inlet 200/1, Once-raced filly. Tenth of 13 in maiden (11/1) at Kempton (11f) on debut, very slowly away. Off 148 days. First run for yard after leaving Sir Michael Stoute. Debut tenth at Kempton on sole run for Sir Michael Stoute in June; remains with potential.
2
11th (2) (200/1 -400%) Muhib
200
200/1(-400%)
(2) Muhib 200/1, Off the bridle some way out but still showed much more than first time up when third of 9 in novice at Newcastle (10.2f) 16 days ago, headway from 2f out and never nearer. Has since left John & Thady Gosden and more needed. Improved on second run for the Gosdens; may do better still for his new yard up in trip.
12:15 Southwell Maiden (Class 5) 12f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
STEEL TIGER posted a solid third on his handicap bow off a mark of 82 at Nottingham last month and he holds leading claims back in maiden company. The son of Almanzor does have to prove his effectiveness debuting on Tapeta, but his race experience could prove crucial. Jane Temple and At No Time both finished second on their respective opening bids and, being open to improvement, they must also enter calculations.
JANE TEMPLE shaped with abundant promise when finishing runner-up on debut in a Kempton maiden (11f) 5 weeks ago, doing well to finish as close as she did in a race run at a stop-start gallop. Open to significant improvement, she's selected to come out on top, with At No Time and Steel Tiger others to consider. William Walton is another to keep an eye on.
The Gosdens' Siyouni filly JANE TEMPLE is taken to build on the considerable promise of her Kempton debut second and get off the mark.
(1) Brave Fortune 1/1, 3/1, wasn't disgraced after 4 months off when third of 11 in maiden hurdle at Listowel (16f, soft) just over 6 weeks ago, inadequate test. Sets a good standard back up in trip. Point winner; placed in 3 of 4 maiden hurdle starts; entitled to come on for latest.
10
2nd (10) (10/3 -122%) Lady Rose Hackett
3.333333
10/3(-122%)
(10) Lady Rose Hackett 10/3, Winning pointer who was mid-field on sole start in bumpers and ran to a fair level sent hurdling after 12 weeks off when third of 16 in maiden at Tipperary (16f, good to soft, 8/1) 6 months ago. Likely to improve, she should be bang there for her in-form yard. 3rd at Tipperary when last seen and potential improver up in trip if fit on return here.
3
3rd (3) (11/4 -38%) Charlie's Dilemma
2.75
11/4(-38%)
(3) Charlie's Dilemma 11/4, Typically gave his running despite being unsuited by the emphasis on speed when second of 14 in maiden hurdle at Fairyhouse (20.5f, good, 11/2) 31 days ago. Knocking on door in maiden hurdles this summer; this trip bare minimum but has claims.
9
4th (9) (13/2 -8%) Ad Caelum
6.5
13/2(-8%)
(9) Ad Caelum 13/2, 7/1, made the frame but failed to repeat her previous effort when fourth of 15 in maiden hurdle at this course (19.5f, good to soft) 2 weeks ago. Best run when 3rd at Fairyhouse last month but didn't build on that over C&D latest.
8
5th (8) (40/1 -82%) Rut Daniels
40
40/1(-82%)
(8) Rut Daniels 40/1, Tongue strap on for 1st time, ran to a similar level as on hurdling bow after 3 months off when fifth of 7 in maiden hurdle at this course (16.6f, good to soft, 20/1) 2 weeks ago. Minor improvement with each run; beaten 21l here latest and one for h'caps at this point.
7
6th (7) (200/1 +0%) Mega Speculator
200
200/1(+0%)
(7) Mega Speculator 200/1, Tailed off in maiden hurdle/bumper 9 months apart (left T. J. O'Mara after debut). Failed to complete in three points and shown very little under rules so far.
6
7th (6) (25/1 +50%) Master Of The Sums
25
25/1(+50%)
(6) Master Of The Sums 25/1, Winning pointer. 50/1, shaped like a stayer when fifth of 11 in maiden hurdle at Listowel (20.4f, good) on NH debut back in June. Wide margin point winner in April but lesser efforts twice since; off 159 days.
5
8th (5) (200/1 -100%) Like A Bumblebee
200
200/1(-100%)
(5) Like A Bumblebee 200/1, No impact in 3 maiden hurdles last month. Shown very little in 3 maiden hurdles so far at huge odds.
4
9th (4) (100/1 -52%) Kilheffernan
100
100/1(-52%)
(4) Kilheffernan 100/1, Well-beaten fifth of 9 in maiden hurdle at Limerick (21f, heavy, 50/1) when last seen 7 months ago. Looks one for handicaps after this. Tailed off on all four starts so far and likely to need this after 210 days off.
12:20 Clonmel Maiden Hurdle 19f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
LADY ROSE HACKETT makes her reappearance, but has already shown form on similar ground to what she is likely to encounter here and contests a winnable race. Her dam finished third in a Supreme Novices' Hurdle and while she herself won on point-to-point debut before disappointing slightly in a bumper, ran better over hurdles in May. The winner, who scored again subsequently, runner-up and fourth-placed horse from that Tipperary race had all previously won bumpers. Brave Fortune has shown promise on occasions and is race-fit, but disappointed at Kilbeggan in May and was also well enough held at Listowel in September. Charlie's Dilemma has been running consistently well on similar ground over middle-to-staying distances and again has strong place claims.
Only a handful of these make any serious appeal, LADY ROSE HACKETT selected to build on her hurdling-debut third at Tipperary when last seen 6 months ago for her in-form yard. Brave Fortune sets a fairly useful standard on her form towards the backend of last season, so he looks the obvious danger, with Charlie's Dilemma and Ad Caelum taken to fight out third spot.
There's a chance that BRAVE FORTUNE will come on from his return and both better ground and further should suit this time
(1) Aurigny Mill 4/1, Back-to-back wins at Wincanton and Kempton in December. Faced a stiff task in the Betfair Hurdle but ran an unusually poor race in the Swinton Handicap when last seen in May. Sort to bounce back quickly so worth a market check returning for in-form new yard (has left Victor Dartnall). Returns to a suitable level on debut for new yard but is lumbered with top weight.
7
2nd (7) (9/4 +18%) King William Rufus
2.25
9/4(+18%)
(7) King William Rufus 9/4, Opened hurdles account at the sixth attempt when making all in a Plumpton maiden (2m, good to soft) in March and has found only one too good both outings since, including in a Fontwell novice (17.7f) on reappearance last month. Should go well again. Has form figures of 122 since switched to front-running tactics; solid chance.
4
3rd (4) (5/2 -25%) Schmilsson
2.5
5/2(-25%)
(4) Schmilsson 5/2, Fairly useful performer on Flat for Andrew Balding who got off the mark over hurdles in a Sedgefield maiden back in February. Disappointed on handicap debut at Stratford but bounced back with a bang when scoring at Wetherby (2m) on reappearance 22 days ago, just holding on. Respected up 3 lb. Registered a solid win at Wetherby on reappearance; due to go up 1lb in future.
2
4th (2) (12/1 -33%) Hooper
12
12/1(-33%)
(2) Hooper 12/1, Quirky sort who ran creditably when third in 5-runner handicap hurdle at Fontwell (19.2f, good to firm) when last seen 17 months ago. Not seen since but is capable of going well fresh. Hasn't scored for over three years and badly lacks recent match practice.
5
5th (5) (11/2 +8%) Junkanoo
5.5
11/2(+8%)
(5) Junkanoo 11/2, Fairly useful handicapper on Flat and similar form over hurdles last winter, off the mark at Plumpton (15.9f) in January. Hasn't fired in handicap company since but he ran creditably from an easing mark at Fontwell 15 days ago and looks interesting back at 2m. Gradually finding his feet in handicap hurdles; possibilities off current mark.
6
6th (6) (25/1 -56%) Mucuna
25
25/1(-56%)
(6) Mucuna 25/1, Just a modest Flat winner but quickly made up into a better hurdler in summer 2022, winning 4 juveniles. Shaped as if retaining ability back from 18 months off here in December and ran to a similar at Kempton when last seen in February. Reappears from a 2 lb lower mark. Record of 4-5 on good going over hurdles; interesting granted that ground.
8
7th (8) (16/1 +0%) Almuhit
16
16/1(+0%)
(8) Almuhit 16/1, Fairly useful maiden hurdler at his best but he proved to be a disappointment on debut for new yard here in September and has fared little better both starts since. Others more persuasive. Holds weak claims on his form in maidens for new stable; others preferred.
12:30 Newbury Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Hooper posted a good effort in defeat when third on his last start in May and returns off a 4lb lower mark here. However, the vote goes to SCHMILSSON, who returned from a break to pip a subsequent winner at Wetherby and is just 3lb higher. The five-year-old makes only his third handicap start in this sphere so there should be more to come. King William Rufus is the pick of the remainder.
JUNKANOO looks attractively handicapped on some of last season's novice form having eased in the weights, so he receives the tentative vote with the drop back in trip likely to suit. King William Rufus seems likely to go well again back in handicap company, with recent Wetherby scorer Schmilsson another to consider.
Wetherby scorer SCHMILSSON gets the vote, ahead of King William Rufus who is another solid contender.
(9) Melton Mossy 8/1, Back on the up when landing a 15-runner event at Newton Abbot (18.5f) in August and, while he didn't back it up at the same course since, he's still worthy of respect. Wins at 2m to 2m2f; made a late mistake when tried over 2m5f the last time.
4
2nd (4) (9/1 -20%) Thank You Ma'am
9
9/1(-20%)
(4) Thank You Ma'am 9/1, Made the frame on several occasions last term and posted good second of 9 in handicap hurdle at Wincanton (21.4f, good, 12/1) on return 21 days ago. Cheekpieces now added for first time and not taken lightly. Clear second at Wincanton and solid chance if taking to the new cheekpieces.
8
3rd (8) (11/8 +61%) Of Course You Can
1.375
11/8(+61%)
(8) Of Course You Can 11/8, Career best when impressively winning 7-runner handicap hurdle over C&D (good) 29 days ago. 10 lb higher now but must enter calculations. Reportedly better for a break when running away with a C&D handicap; raised 10lb.
5
4th (5) (33/1 -288%) Parikarma
33
33/1(-288%)
(5) Parikarma 33/1, Lost her way for Gary Moore after a claiming win in January but revived at the first time of asking for this yard when landing a Newton Abbot handicap (16.8f) in June. This looks tougher but she will be fit from a spell on the Flat. Fit off the Flat and won under Imogen Mathias in June off 7lb lower; possibilities.
7
5th (7) (9/1 -29%) Shinji
9
9/1(-29%)
(7) Shinji 9/1, Off the mark at Southwell (15.8f) in June and backed that up with good second at Newton Abbot a fortnight later. Wasn't in same form when last seen at Worcester in June, however, and tries longer trip now. Hood back on. Below par last time and the return of a hood is no great advertisement for his chance.
6
6th (6) (13/2 +28%) School Days Over
6.5
13/2(+28%)
(6) School Days Over 13/2, Disappointed in Chepstow handicap chase latest but had proved consistent in handicap hurdles previously and remains feaibly treated. Dropping back from 2m7f won't faze him and, back hurdling, has each-way claims.
10
7th (10) (66/1 -32%) Bahtiyar
66
66/1(-32%)
(10) Bahtiyar 66/1, Still looking for first success and was below form on debut for new yard at Stratord 7 days ago. Left Dan Skelton for £3,000 and as a 20-race maiden; well beaten in a seller last week.
1
8th (1) (14/1 +0%) Midnightreflection
14
14/1(+0%)
(1) Midnightreflection 14/1, Not seen since pulled up at Huntingdon in May but won good-ground Ascot handicap (off 5 lb higher) this time last year and is worth monitoring in market on return. Has been quiet of late but she's accustomed to better races than this and well treated.
2
9th (2) (10/1 +38%) Hardy Fella
10
10/1(+38%)
(2) Hardy Fella 10/1, Scored over fences at Fontwell this time last year but failed to complete on next 3 starts. Stopped the slide to some extent when sixth in Exeter handicap hurdle (18.5f) latest but others more convincing. Stopped the rot when beaten 7l at Exeter and returning to further is a positive.
3
10th (3) (11/1 -300%) Jocata
11
11/1(-300%)
(3) Jocata 11/1, Near best form when second of 6 in minor event chase at Nantes (21.4f, soft, 19/10) in May. Since joined Nicky Henderson and warrants plenty of respect on yard debut. Winning hurdler in France and runner-up over fences; all form in the mud.
12:40 Ludlow Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 21f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Of Course You Can is 10lb higher than her recent C&D success which came following a break and it remains to be seen if the six-year-old can handle a quicker turnaround. School Days Over is likely to prove happier back over timber having been pulled up at Chepstow last month, but the vote goes to THANK YOU MA'AM. Runner-up on his return at Wincanton, the addition of cheekpieces seem to be a positive move in his bid to gain a first career success.
OF COURSE YOU CAN has been raised 10 lb for last month's C&D success but she won in emphatic fashion and may be able to follow up. Thank You Ma'am and Jocata rate the principal dangers.
This has an open look to it. SCHOOL DAYS OVER had been in solid form until disappointing on his return to fences at Chepstow.
(3) Fast Fred 13/8, More encouraging signs in handicaps and, well backed, posted a career-best effort when winning 14-runner handicap at Redcar (10f, heavy) 10 days ago. Well in here lining up under a penalty and obvious claims upped further in trip. Easily opened account at Redcar latest; rates a big player under a 5lb penalty here.
5
2nd (5) (7/2 +56%) Swinging London
3.5
7/2(+56%)
(5) Swinging London 7/2, Sole success to date came over hurdles for Olly Murphy in 2022 but ran one of better races for this yard when third of 9 in handicap at this course (11.1f) 7 days ago, plugging on. Each-way claims if building on that now. Hinted at revival when third here week ago; can make his presence felt off easing mark.
1
3rd (1) (10/1 +9%) The Bay Warrior
10
10/1(+9%)
(1) The Bay Warrior 10/1, Latest win over 11f here in September and not seen to best effect when fifth of 12 in handicap back at this course (11.1f, 22/1) 14 days ago, Should give another good account down 1 lb. Course winner; solid fifth here two weeks ago; he's one to consider eased 1lb.
6
4th (6) (18/1 -80%) Stintino Sunset
18
18/1(-80%)
(6) Stintino Sunset 18/1, Back on the scoresheet at Windsor (11.5f) in September and typically gave her running again when runner-up in handicap back at that track/trip 24 days ago. Equally as effective on all-weather and likely to be thereabouts again. Won at Windsor and good second there 24 days ago; ought to be thereabouts off same mark.
9
5th (9) (16/1 +43%) The Conqueror
16
16/1(+43%)
(9) The Conqueror 16/1, 13/2, seventh of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 17 days ago. Back up in trip. Needs a couple of these to falter. Scored at Brighton (1m2f) in May but his more recent form is less encouraging.
10
6th (10) (18/1 -64%) Lady Birdie
18
18/1(-64%)
(10) Lady Birdie 18/1, Made the frame on 3 of her 5 starts in handicaps but seemingly had every chance when only sixth of 10 in handicap at this course (14.1f) 6 weeks ago. Drop back in trip fine but she looks to have work to do, even from this lowly mark. Still to register a victory but she comes here in decent nick; no forlorn hope.
2
7th (2) (7/2 +0%) Apache Canyon
3.5
7/2(+0%)
(2) Apache Canyon 7/2, Career best when winning 7-runner handicap (11/1) at this course (11.1f) 10 days ago, keeping on gamely. Completely unexposed at this sort of trip and respected under a penalty. Off the mark in 1m3f handicap here ten days ago; not taken lightly under a 6lb penalty.
4
8th (4) (12/1 +52%) Leap Year Lad
12
12/1(+52%)
(4) Leap Year Lad 12/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2023. Fifth of 11 in handicap at Nottingham (10.2f, heavy, 22/1) 14 days ago. Has work to do. On a lengthy losing run and a below-par fifth at Nottingham two weeks ago; more needed.
8
9th (8) (150/1 -200%) Rogue Raider
150
150/1(-200%)
(8) Rogue Raider 150/1, Offered very little all 3 starts upon joining present stable, left behind quickly when last of 6 in handicap at Chelmsford (14f) 28 days ago. Hard to make a case for. Remains a maiden and he has failed to beat a rival on his last three starts.
12:50 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 12f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
FAST FRED ran out a comfortable winner when opening his account in a 14-runner affair over 1m2f at Redcar 10 days ago and a 5lb penalty is unlikely to prevent another bold bid. Phillip Makin's gelding is 5lb well-in and he should take all of the beating if coping with the extra two furlongs. Fellow penalised winner Apache Canyon is also heading in the right direction and the three-year-old rates as the biggest danger, ahead of Stintino Sunset.
FAST FRED showed much improved form when opening his account with ease at Redcar 10 days ago and,completely unexposed at this sort of trip, he makes plenty of appeal under a penalty. Fellow last-time-out winner Apache Canyon is next best. Stintino Sunset and The Bay Warrior complete the shortlist.
It's hard to ignore the claims of FAST FRED who is ahead of his mark under a 5lb penalty for his impressive Redcar victory.
(7) Stuntman Steve 4/1, Once-raced maiden. 16/1, 23¾ lengths seventh of 10 in listed bumper at Limerick (16.2f, soft) on NH debut in March. Since joined Gavin Cromwell and is worth a second look in the market on yard/hurdles debut. Failed to complete in 5 points before winning point latest but form hasn't worked out.
3
2nd (3) (3/1 +25%) Romany Brown
3
3/1(+25%)
(3) Romany Brown 3/1, Once-raced maiden. 3/1, third of 8 in bumper at Fairyhouse (16f, good) on NH debut 31 days ago. Enters calculations on hurdles debut. 3-1 for rules debut when a promising third and should come on for that.
8
3rd (8) (7/1 -75%) Gino Bella
7
7/1(-75%)
(8) Gino Bella 7/1, Offered plenty to work on when third of 10 in bumper at Ballinrobe (15.8f, soft, 9/2) on NH bow in April and has to be interest on hurdles debut. Likeable pedigree and 3rd in a bumper in April; may get involved if fit on return.
2
4th (2) (50/1 +24%) Jeel Des Mottes
50
50/1(+24%)
(2) Jeel Des Mottes 50/1, Twice-raced maiden under NH rules. 80/1, tenth of 12 in novice hurdle at Galway (16.4f, good to soft) on hurdles bow 12 days ago. Work to do. Promising bumper 6th on debut but tailed off on recent return; needs to leave that behind.
9
5th (9) (5/4 +0%) Herbies Rover
1.25
5/4(+0%)
(9) Herbies Rover 5/4, Much improved when excellent third of 17 in novice hurdle (22/1) at Limerick (16.3f, good to soft) 19 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Sets the standard on that form. Shown ability in last 3 runs; best run yet when 3rd at Limerick latest; sets the standard.
6
6th (6) (16/1 +0%) Pounds At The Time
16
16/1(+0%)
(6) Pounds At The Time 16/1, €7,000 3-y-o, Workforce gelding. Dam down the field in bumper/maiden hurdle, half-sister to fair hurdler/fairly useful chaser (stayed 23f) Chicoria. Likely a longer-term prospect. Workforce gelding; 7,000eur 3yo; likely to need this on debut.
10
7th (10) (150/1 -200%) Only You Norah
150
150/1(-200%)
(10) Only You Norah 150/1, Twice-raced maiden. Sixth of 8 in bumper at Ballinrobe (16.4f, soft, 50/1) 73 days ago. Hard to fancy on switch to hurdling. Tailed off in both bumper starts and up against it here.
4
8th (4) (22/1 +67%) Ballinoe Blaze
22
22/1(+67%)
(4) Ballinoe Blaze 22/1, Twice-raced maiden. Seventh of 12 in novice hurdle at Galway (16.4f, good to soft, 200/1) 12 days ago. Improvement required. Tailed off on debut; minor progress when distant 7th latest but needs improvement.
5
9th (5) (18/1 -50%) Wee Aloysius
18
18/1(-50%)
(5) Wee Aloysius 18/1, Twice-raced maiden. Fifth of 11 in novice hurdle (16/1) at Limerick (16.3f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Others more persuasive. Showed a bit more at Limerick last month but others have achieved more.
1
10th (1) (125/1 +38%) Ben Purple
125
125/1(+38%)
(1) Ben Purple 125/1, Twice-raced maiden. Refused to race in bumper at Roscommon (15.4f, soft, 100/1) 93 days ago. Best watched on hurdles debut. Pulled up in Punchestown bumper in February and refused to race at Roscommon subsequently.
12:55 Clonmel Maiden Hurdle 16f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
HERBIES ROVER has shown nice ability in two recent runs and has a light weight under his 5lb claimer. He raced too keenly when running well at Listowel in September and bumped into a promising winner in a useful race at Limerick last month. Being a four-year-old, he can continue to progress and is well suited by conditions. Romany Brown was pulled up on point-to-point debut, but was supported at Fairyhouse last month when finishing third. He, too, seems to be suited by conditions, although the selection has shown slightly stronger form. Gino Bella showed promise when well backed on her bumper debut back in April, but lacks a recent run ahead of her hurdles bow.
This can go to HERBIES ROVER, who upped his game significantly at Limerick last month and remains low mileage. Hurdling debutants Romany Brown and Gino Bella may give him most to think about.
This can go the way of HERBIES ROVER who produced his best effort yet when 3rd at Limerick and he sets the standard
(2) Hartington 9/1, Promising third of 15 in a Market Rasen maiden (20.6f, good to soft) on hurdles debut in April. Unsuited by drop to this trip on return at Worcester last month and it would appear that the focus is on getting this third qualifying run under his belt ahead of a switch to handicaps. Has consistent RPRs but needs improvement to get off the mark.
6
2nd (6) (10/11 +44%) Roysse
0.909091
10/11(+44%)
(6) Roysse 10/11, Unbeaten in 3 points and duly built on his Rules debut promise when landing a 10-runner bumper here (2m, soft) in January. That race has already produced 4 subsequent winners and, with the promise of better to come now sent hurdling, he has to enter calculations. Has undergone a wind op. Solid promise in bumpers last term, winning at this course latest; strongly respected.
3
3rd (3) (9/2 -35%) L'astronome
4.5
9/2(-35%)
(3) L'astronome 9/2, Useful performer at his best on the Flat, counting a Group 2 success among his 4 wins in France. Shaped well on debut for Hugo Palmer at Chester last September and, though below par since, he is very much of interest switched to hurdles for new yard with Harry Cobden booked. Group 2 winner on Flat in France but his British from has tailed off; hurdles debut.
1
4th (1) (20/1 -67%) Fort St Angelo
20
20/1(-67%)
(1) Fort St Angelo 20/1, Successful on second of 2 starts in Irish points (May 6) and showed definite promise when runner-up on Rules debut in a Ludlow bumper (15.8f, good) last month. That looked like a decent contest and, with improvement likely now switched to hurdles, he's not discounted. Irish point winner; beaten 9l in Ludlow bumper for new yard; needs to improve.
4
5th (4) (33/1 -106%) Portcammon
33
33/1(-106%)
(4) Portcammon 33/1, Landed the odds in good style in a Roscommon bumper for Willie Mullins last year. Has failed to build on that since, including on handicap bow at Galway in September, but he's nevertheless an interesting recruit for the Neil Mulholland yard with handicaps likely to be on the agenda before long. Disappointing over hurdles on final run for Willie Mullins; debut for new stable.
5
6th (5) (9/4 +32%) Pure Carbon
2.25
9/4(+32%)
(5) Pure Carbon 9/4, Stepped up on his bumper debut when third of 12 in one at Huntingdon in April. Further progress when second to odds-on shot Captain Marvellous on return/handicap debut at Warwick (2m, good) and he's likely to make a bold bid to go one better here. Firmly heading in the right direction, most recently second at Warwick on hurdles debut.
13:05 Newbury Maiden Hurdle (Class 3) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
PURE CARBON made a pleasing hurdling debut when second at Warwick last month and he should have learned a great deal from the experience. With normal improvement, he could prove very hard to beat. The main threat might be Roysse, who struck in a bumper here in January and is an interesting contender on his first start over timber. Smart Flat performer L'astronome needs to be monitored in the market, with the booking of Harry Cobden catching the eye.
It's probably fair to say that PURE CARBON was flattered by his proximity to the winner when runner-up on hurdles debut at Warwick, but the horse that beat him that day looks pretty useful and, in any case, it was a very promising start to his career in this sphere. Harry Derham's charge is taken to go one better here, perhaps at the expense of L'Astronome, who is an interesting recruit from the Flat for the burgeoning James Owen yard. Bumper-winner Roysse is also of strong interest.
Judged on his bumper form, ROYSSE holds particularly strong claims. Pure Carbon is feared most.
(4) See The Green 4/1, Fairly useful on Flat (should stay beyond 1½m), won maiden in 2024, shaped as if amiss last time. Sold from Owen Burrows 42,000 gns in July and gelded ahead of hurdles debut. Has the raw ability to play a part. Lightly raced 1m4f winner for Owen Burrows; left that yard for 42,000gns.
1
2nd (1) (18/1 +10%) Kotgar
18
18/1(+10%)
(1) Kotgar 18/1, Fair maiden on Flat in France, in frame all 5 starts, stays 1¼m. Left Jean-Claude Rouget's yard for €25,000 in July but offered little on hurdles debut last month. Completely tailed off in a small field at Chepstow last month when a 12-1 chance.
2
3rd (2) (25/1 +50%) Normandy Legend
25
25/1(+50%)
(2) Normandy Legend 25/1, Fairly useful form on Flat, sold from James Ferguson 20,000 gns in July. Joined another good yard ahead of hurdles bow but showed very little fitted with a tongue tie at Wetherby. Regressed on the Flat and never moved with any purpose on his switch to hurdles.
5
4th (5) (1/4 +31%) Usuario Amigo
0.25
1/4(+31%)
(5) Usuario Amigo 1/4, Pretty useful on the Flat, getting off the mark in a 7f Brighton maiden in September. Hooded and sound start over hurdles when second at Kempton 18 days ago. Hard to beat. 7f winner; seemed to stay the trip when runner-up on hurdling debut at Kempton.
3
5th (3) (25/1 0%) Offiah's Boy
25
25/1(0%)
(3) Offiah's Boy 25/1, Dam half-sister to useful 2m hurdle winner (stayed 2½m) El Namoose. Modest maiden on Flat (stays 8.5f), placed in handicap penultimate outing. Lowly-rated five-race Flat maiden who stayed 8.6f (placed); best watched here.
13:15 Ludlow Conditions Hurdle (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
USUARIO AMIGO settled well in the first-time hood when finishing runner-up on his hurdling bow at Kempton having not raced over further than a mile on the Flat. The James Owen string couldn't be in better form at present and this sharp track is likely to play to his strengths. See The Green won over 1m4f on the level and has been gelded ahead of his stable bow, while Offiah's Boy is another to note.
Winter ground may pose USUARIO AMIGO a problem later in the season but with this emphasis on speed for now, he can outclass these. See The Green displayed more than enough on the level to make him the chief threat now tackling obstacles.
It wasn't a good race in which USUARIO AMIGO finished second at Kempton but neither is this. A sharp two miles is what he needs.
(8) Crown's Lady 3/1, Landed second career victory when scoring here in August and arrives on back of close second of 9 in handicap over C&D 5 days ago. Shortlist material. C&D winner and beaten a nose here five days ago; holds excellent claims off the same mark.
2
2nd (2) (5/1 -43%) Novak
5
5/1(-43%)
(2) Novak 5/1, Ended his lengthy losing run when taking 11-runner handicap (9/2) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 24 days ago. 3 lb rise fair and must enter calculations. Ended a long losing run in 7f Wolver handicap 24 days ago; up 3lb but can go well again.
7
3rd (7) (13/2 -86%) Wilde And Dandy
6.5
13/2(-86%)
(7) Wilde And Dandy 13/2, Capitalised on falling mark when taking 10-runner handicap (9/2) at Chelmsford City (7f) 26 days ago. Remains feasibly treated on old form and must enter calculations. Resumed winning ways in 7f Chelmsford h'cap latest; up 4lb but can make his presence felt.
4
4th (4) (3/1 +50%) Overlooked
3
3/1(+50%)
(4) Overlooked 3/1, Stepped forward from yard debut effort when good fifth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (8f) 9 days ago. Races off same mark here and merits consideration. Still a maiden but good fifth at Newcastle nine days ago; ought to be in the shake-up.
1
5th (1) (11/2 +54%) Dynamic Talent
5.5
11/2(+54%)
(1) Dynamic Talent 11/2, C&D winner. 20/1, bit below form eighth of 14 in handicap at Chelmsford City (8f) 12 days ago, slowly away. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Others preferred. C&D winner but only eighth at Chelmsford 12 days ago; more needed.
6
6th (6) (18/1 -29%) King Of War
18
18/1(-29%)
(6) King Of War 18/1, Sixth of 8 in handicap at Chelmsford City (7f, 50/1) 21 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Without a victory in 2024 and he arrives well below par; he' s not easy to make a case for.
5
7th (5) (25/1 -79%) Heretic
25
25/1(-79%)
(5) Heretic 25/1, 50/1, first run since leaving Hugo Palmer when respectable seventh of 12 in handicap at this C&D 21 days ago. Others more persuasive. Not discredited for new yard after 21 months off when C&D seventh latest; can do better.
9
8th (9) (33/1 -18%) Theotherside
33
33/1(-18%)
(9) Theotherside 33/1, Twenty two runs since last win in 2021. 25/1, sixth of 9 in handicap at this C&D 5 days ago. Something to find on form. It's now 22 starts since her last victory and she was a below-par C&D sixth five days ago.
3
9th (3) (100/1 -203%) Beautiful Dawn
100
100/1(-203%)
(3) Beautiful Dawn 100/1, 2 wins from 5 runs this year. 80/1, last of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 13 days ago. Best watched. Has failed to beat a rival in three outings for her current yard; easy to look elsewhere.
13:25 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Wilde And Dandy bounced back to form when scoring at Chelmsford on his most recent start and he is likely to be on the premises off 4lb higher. However, CROWN'S LADY gets the nod. Craig Lidster's three-year-old was denied by the narrowest of margins over track and trip five days ago and competes off the same rating. Provided she can back that performance up, she could be the one to beat. Last-time-out winner Novak completes the shortlist.
CROWN'S LADY has struck up a good relationship with William Pyle and the pair were only narrowly chinned here last week. They can gain compensation. Novak and Wilde And Dandy can also make their presence felt.
Craig Lidster's C&D winner CROWN'S LADY can race off the same mark as when a close second here last time out so looks the way to go.
(2) Plains Indian 9/1, Course winner. 12/1, thirteenth of 19 in handicap at the Curragh (14f, good to soft) 21 days ago. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Pulled up on last hurdle outing. Not seen over hurdles since pulling up in this last year; bit below form on Flat recently.
6
2nd (6) (5/1 +9%) Tranquil Sea
5
5/1(+9%)
(6) Tranquil Sea 5/1, Winner at Cork in March and looked unlucky not to finish closer when third of 12 in handicap hurdle at Wexford (24.2f, heavy) in May. Can make presence felt if ready to roll. Career best Cork win and 2 good runs in defeat in h'caps since at 3m; check betting.
1
3rd (1) (4/1 -113%) Tag Man
4
4/1(-113%)
(1) Tag Man 4/1, Didn't need to improve to win 5-runner minor event hurdle at Down Royal (24f, good) 69 days ago, comfortably. Yard in good form. Makes handicap hurdle debut. As good as ever when winning at Down Royal latest; tough mark but goes well on this ground.
5
4th (5) (16/1 -14%) Grange Walk
16
16/1(-14%)
(5) Grange Walk 16/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2023. Fourth of 6 in handicap chase (8/1) at Cork (17.6f, good) 25 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Significantly back up in trip. Won 4 over fences since last hurdle win in 2020 but doesn't arrive in good form.
3
5th (3) (13/2 -86%) Donkey Years
6.5
13/2(-86%)
(3) Donkey Years 13/2, Ended a long losing run in 13-runner handicap hurdle at Listowel (24f, soft, 17/2) 43 days ago, suited by stamina test. Hit with 7 lb rise but could go well again. Winner last time out but up 7lb; mixed signals on strength of the form; handles conditions.
7
6th (7) (2/1 +60%) Tullyveery Lad
2
2/1(+60%)
(7) Tullyveery Lad 2/1, Ran up to best back at 3m when second of 17 in handicap hurdle at Limerick (good to soft) 18 days ago. Expected to be thereabouts once again. Second win over timber in August; good 2nd at Limerick since; should go well with 3lb rise.
4
7th (4) (11/1 -47%) Walking On Glass
11
11/1(-47%)
(4) Walking On Glass 11/1, 18/1, ran one of his lesser races when a well-beaten ninth of 13 to Donkey Years in handicap hurdle at Listowel (24f, soft) 43 days ago. Winner on the Flat before poor hurdle run but on a workable mark and handles ground.
8
8th (8) (10/1 +55%) Regina Dracones
10
10/1(+55%)
(8) Regina Dracones 10/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2022. 11/1, seventh of 14 in handicap chase at Downpatrick (28.8f, good). Off 6 months. Switches from chase to hurdles. Losing run goes back to novice chase win in 2022; may need this on return.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
TAG MAN has top weight but is perfectly suited by this distance and good ground. A previous course chase winner, he was well held when conceding weight to the smart Saint Sam at Cork in August but, later that month, defeated capable types at Down Royal and a reproduction would give him every chance. Donkey Years won at the 2022 Punchestown Festival but while he should remain competitive off 7lb higher than when scoring at Listowel in September, he would prefer easier ground. Tullyveery Lad was beaten by a nicely-in winner at Limerick last month and should again compete, while the reappearing Tranquil Sea is just a four-year-old so might progress some more.
TULLYVEERY LAD was unlucky to bump into one on a steep upward curve at Limerick 18 days ago and a reproduction of that form could be enough to see him go one better. Tranquil Sea has good claims if ready to roll on this return to action, while Tag Man also requires plenty of respect hailing from an in-form stable.
TULLYVEERY LAD arrives on back of a career best seccond at Limerick and the third from that contest went close at Down Royal last week
(4) Bowtogreatness 6/1, Yet to get his head in front over fences but produced an effort right up there with his best when third in handicap at Kempton (3m) in February. Efforts mixed at Spring Festivals thereafter and bad mistake did for him on return at Cheltenham (24.5f) 12 days ago. Return to handicaps a plus. Well treated on best chase form; however, record in this sphere is now 0-12.
1
2nd (1) (1/1 +33%) Destroytheevidence
1
1/1(+33%)
(1) Destroytheevidence 1/1, Fairly useful, 3-time winner over hurdles who justified good support sent chasing/after 7 months off when landing 9-runner novices' handicap at Chepstow 4 weeks ago, digging deep to pull clear with runner-up. Jumped soundly then and claims again with prospect of more to come. Justified favouritism at Chepstow last month and looks a bright chasing prospect.
3
3rd (3) (3/1 +57%) Rock My Way
3
3/1(+57%)
(3) Rock My Way 3/1, Didn't really go on over hurdles after notching a Grade 2 novice win in 2023 but solid start over fences since the turn of the year, second of 5 in C&D handicap on final start in February. Not discounted on return. Absent since finishing second over C&D in February; debut for new yard.
5
4th (5) (17/2 +29%) Olivers Travels
8.5
17/2(+29%)
(5) Olivers Travels 17/2, Bumper/hurdles winner who has improved significantly with cheekpieces fitted over fences, landing back-to-back Worcester handicaps (23f) this summer. Jumped none too fluently and below form when fifth of 6 in handicap chase at Ludlow (23.8f) 29 days ago. Needs to brush up in that department here. Has taken well to cheekpieces but his form dipped last time; others preferred.
2
5th (2) (17/2 -325%) Collectors Item
8.5
17/2(-325%)
(2) Collectors Item 17/2, Form proved up and down over hurdles/fences last season but firmly back on track with blinkers fitted when readily seeing off 11-rivals in 3m handicap chase at Uttoxeter in May. Possibilities up 7 lb if headgear has desired effect again back from 6 months off. Absent since taking well to blinkers at Uttoxeter in May; the blinds are retained.
13:40 Newbury Handicap Chase (Class 3) 23f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Destroytheevidence justified favouritism by two lengths at Chepstow on his chasing bow and should mount another bold bid, despite a 5lb rise. However, COLLECTORS ITEM made a strong impression when bolting up in first-time blinkers at Uttoxeter in May and only has a 7lb higher mark to contend with. If the seven-year-old can run to a similar level of form on his return, he will prove tough to beat. Rock My Way is another to note on his first start for the Anthony Charlton stable.
DESTROYTHEEVIDENCE was well prepared and justified good support after 8 months off when successful on chase debut at Chepstow 4 weeks ago. Open to improvement in this sphere, he's fancied to make a bold bid to make it 2-2. Collectors Item, who responded very well to blinkers when scoring at Uttoxeter in May, is another to note on return, whilst it will be intriguing to see how Hugos New Horse figures now chasing.
Good prospect DESTROYTHEEVIDENCE (nap) is taken to follow up his Chepstow success. Rock My Way is second choice.
(8) Cofficionado 8/1, On the back of a breathing operation, he found only one too good on handicap debut at Market Rasen in May. Has failed to scale those heights over the summer (hooded on latest) and now attentions are turned to the larger obstacles. Went close in a handicap hurdle in May but little to shout about since; chase debut.
7
1st (7) (20/1 -43%) Haafback
20
20/1(-43%)
(7) Haafback 20/1, Lightly-raced maiden hurdler who left his previous form behind when second on handicap debut at Kempton (2m, good) in April. Failed to confirm that at Stratford (18.7f, good) the following month but worth a market glance on return/chase debut. Only worthwhile form is his 6l second on handicap debut at Kempton two starts back.
2
2nd (2) (6/1 +14%) Gerard Mentor
6
6/1(+14%)
(2) Gerard Mentor 6/1, 4-time hurdles winner in 2022. Patchy record subsequently but encouragingly built on chase debut effort when landing 13-runner handicap at Worcester (16.5f) in September, quickening to lead entering final 1f. Ran too badly to be true at Southwell since so needs to bounce back quickly. Five-time winner (including a chase) but he's a quirky customer and hard to trust.
1
3rd (1) (15/2 +46%) Dunstall Rambler
7.5
15/2(+46%)
(1) Dunstall Rambler 15/2, Just modest form at best over hurdles and yet to convince with his jumping over the larger obstacles, well held when departing after 5 months off at Exeter (17.5f, good to soft) 16 days ago. Others more appealing with that in mind. Mistakes holding him back but ability is there to feature off this mark with a clear round.
4
4th (4) (7/1 -17%) Everyonesacritic
7
7/1(-17%)
(4) Everyonesacritic 7/1, Made a successful handicap debut with cheekpieces added at Musselburgh (19.8f, soft) in February. Best effort since when third at Southwell in May and shaped as if needing the run sent chasing after 5 months off at Stratford (19.4f, good to soft) recently. Should build on that. A winner in the cheekpieces over hurdles but his chase debut was forgettable.
5
5th (5) (80/1 -841%) Dreaming Diamond
80
80/1(-841%)
(5) Dreaming Diamond 80/1, Bumper winner who produced just about her best effort yet over jumps when finding just one too good in a 15.8f Uttoxeter handicap hurdle in July. However, she showed nothing starting out for this much lower-profile yard at Stratford recently and now heads back over fences in reapplied cheekpieces. Over fences, he's pulled up in two hunter chases and finished a remote fifth.
6
|U| (6) (5/1 +38%) Herecomeshogan
5
5/1(+38%)
(6) Herecomeshogan 5/1, Runner-up in a Hereford handicap chase in January but hasn't threated in 6 subsequent starts, including back over hurdles at Exeter recently. Tried in a change of headgear reverted to fences but not one to go overboard about. Become disappointing over fences and agan flat back over hurdles; tries blinkers.
3
|PU| (3) (1/1 +27%) Ned Cash
1
1/1(+27%)
(3) Ned Cash 1/1, Signed off for Richard Phillips with a modest ninth at Stratford in July and made a reasonably promising start to life with a new yard when runner-up at Uttoxeter (15.8f, good to soft) last month, still a little rough around the edges. Leading claims for in-form stable on chase debut. Bumped into an improver in his final hurdles start; bred to make a chaser.
13:50 Ludlow Handicap Chase (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
NED CASH produced his best effort so far when second at Uttoxeter on his debut for Nigel Twiston-Davies last month and the six-year-old is likely to have more to offer now sent chasing for the first time. Everyonesacritic shaped as though he would be better for the experience when down the field at Stratford and the handicapper may have been lenient in dropping him 4lb. A repeat of Gerard Mentor's penultimate success at Worcester gives him a chance too.
Those with chasing experience don't set a tall standard to aim at so NED CASH is fancied to make a winning start in this sphere for his in-form yard at the expense of Gerard Mentor, who won on his penultimate outing at Worcester and can shrug off a dismal effort at Southwell since. Everyonesacritic was entitled to need the outing on his recent chase bow, so he completes the shortlist.
By a long way, NED CASH ran the best race last time out when second over hurdles and he's bred to improve for fences.
(6) Caledonian 13/2, Fair efforts on first 2 outings but needs to bounce back from a poor run at Redcar 43 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Promise in first two starts on turf, but disappointing last time; makes nursery/AW debut.
7
2nd (7) (6/1 -118%) Hot To Dot
6
6/1(-118%)
(7) Hot To Dot 6/1, Promising individual who made a winning debut at Pontefract in April and left her recent poor run behind when second of 10 in nursery (18/1) at Newcastle (7.1f) 9 days ago, conceding first run. Likely more to come yet. 4lb well in after her neck defeat at Newcastle nine days ago; high on list.
1
3rd (1) (5/4 +75%) Qaseem
1.25
5/4(+75%)
(1) Qaseem 5/4, Winner at Haydock in August. Creditable second of 9 in novice at Newcastle (7.1f, 7/2) 23 days ago. Not taken lightly. Second under a penalty in a Newcastle novice last time; much respected back in a nursery.
4
4th (4) (4/1 +47%) Sunshine State
4
4/1(+47%)
(4) Sunshine State 4/1, Lightly-raced winner. Winner at Chelmsford City in June. 5/1, good third of 9 in nursery at Ayr (7.2f, good to firm) 48 days ago, caught further back than ideal. Merits consideration on tapeta debut. Has run well in two of her three nurseries and is 1-1 on the AW; considered.
8
5th (8) (22/1 -238%) Harswell Ruby
22
22/1(-238%)
(8) Harswell Ruby 22/1, Lightly-raced maiden who upped her game when second of 11 on nursery debut at this course (6.1f, 11/2) 17 days ago. Hood now added for first time. Likely contender. Close second on nursery debut here (6f) last month but still has stamina to prove; hood on.
2
6th (2) (8/1 -60%) Del Ray
8
8/1(-60%)
(2) Del Ray 8/1, Found improvement when close second of 7 on nursery debut at Newcastle (7.1f) 34 days ago. Just 1 lb higher now and is one for shortlist. Beaten a neck on nursery debut at Newcastle last month, hanging right late on; respected.
3
7th (3) (12/1 +0%) Scatter Penny
12
12/1(+0%)
(3) Scatter Penny 12/1, Lightly-raced winner. 2 wins from 4 runs this year. Tongue strap on for 1st time, sixth of 9 in nursery (7/2) at Ayr (7.2f, good to firm) 48 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Others preferred. Won her first two starts and not disgraced in either nursery, but has stamina to prove.
14:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
DEL RAY was just touched off by a neck into second on her nursery debut at Newcastle last month and goes off a 1lb higher mark. Archie Watson's juvenile has lots in her favour to go one better, with her main threat possibly being Sunshine State, who made the frame at Ayr in this grade last time and should go well. Qaseem looks best of the rest.
Preference is for HOT TO DOT, who got back on the up at Newcastle last week and remains with potential. Del Ray and Harswell Ruby are feared most.
It's hard to oppose HOT TO DOT (nap) who is 4lb well in after having gone so close at Newcastle nine days ago.
(8) Pink In The Park 11/2, Fairly useful winner at 19f over hurdles. 7/2, 20 lengths fourth of 7 to Jordans in Gr 3 chase at Punchestown (18.3f) 22 days ago (reportedly bled). Likely type to bounce back but yard look to hold stronger claims with Allegorie de Vassy. Worrying Punchestown effort latest; questions to answer at this stage.
3
2nd (3) (12/1 -41%) Must Be Obeyed
12
12/1(-41%)
(3) Must Be Obeyed 12/1, Useful chaser. Eleven runs since last win in 2023. 8/1, creditable 25 lengths third of 7 to Brides Hill in Gr 2 chase at Punchestown (20.2f, soft). Off 6 months. Sound jumping mare ideally wants more of a stamina test and softer ground; place claims.
4
3rd (4) (9/1 +10%) A Law Of Her Own
9
9/1(+10%)
(4) A Law Of Her Own 9/1, Fairly useful hurdler and quick to reach a similar level in this sphere, 3¼ lengths second of 6 to San Salvador in Gr 3 chase at Roscommon (16.7f, soft) 38 days ago. Back up in trip. Fancied to be in the mix. Promise both starts chasing but this a tough task for one so inexperienced.
1
4th (1) (1/3 +63%) Allegorie De Vassy
0.333333
1/3(+63%)
(1) Allegorie De Vassy 1/3, Dual listed winner earlier this year. Produced one of her lesser efforts when fourth in Mares' Grade 2 at Punchestown (20.2f) in May but her record fresh is an obvious plus (won this on return last term) and she holds obvious claims once more. Last year's winner on seasonal return; ideally wants it softer.
7
5th (7) (25/1 +75%) Pebble Bleu
25
25/1(+75%)
(7) Pebble Bleu 25/1, Fair chaser. Improved to win 12-runner handicap chase (18/1) at Punchestown (23.2f, good) 22 days ago, finding extra. However, she'll need to find further progress to make her mark in this company. Recent Punchestown handicap winner faces stiff task but could outrun her rating.
5
6th (5) (66/1 +47%) Desert Heather
66
66/1(+47%)
(5) Desert Heather 66/1, Useful winner at 3m over hurdles. 9/2, produced best effort to date in this sphere when second of 16 in handicap chase at Galway (22.5f, heavy) 11 days ago. However, she's very hard to fancy on these terms upped markedly in class. Limited enough chaser and looks out of depth here.
6
|U| (6) (150/1 +0%) Maid On The Moon
150
150/1(+0%)
(6) Maid On The Moon 150/1, Modest hurdler. Eleven runs since last win in 2022. 16/1, eleventh of 17 in handicap hurdle at Limerick (24f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase. Plenty to find. Winning hurdler in Britain; recent chase form gives her little hope here.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
ALLEGORIE DE VASSY is a capable mare who won this last year. Unusually, she won her initial two chase runs in Grade 2 races before finishing second in the 2023 Mares' Chase at Cheltenham and while a fraction below that level last term, nonetheless is smart on her day and will be ready. Triple Listed-winning hurdler Shecouldbeanything landed a Grade 3 chase last month before scoring here a fortnight ago. She, too, is smart but might struggle to beat an on-song selection. Must Be Obeyed receives weight from her principal rivals and while she was having her second run in three days when finishing ahead of a below-par Allegorie De Vassy at the Punchestown Festival in May, she would prefer easier ground.
ALLEGORIE DE VASSY was below her best during the spring but her record after a break is a positive one (landed this race on return 12 months ago). Willie Mullins' smart mare is fancied to land this, possibly at the chief expense of Shecouldbeanything who has thrived in this sphere in recent months. Must Be Obeyed and Pink In The Park complete the shortlist.
Last year's winner ALLEGORIE DE VASSY (nap) faces quicker conditions but is narrowly preferred to the improving Shecouldbeanything
(5) Stand Free 8/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in August. 16/1, respectable eighth of 13 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 73 days ago. Back up in trip. Shouldn't be far away. Unreliable profile but she won over C&D two starts ago and can't be ruled out.
6
1st (6) (3/1 +14%) Keen Interest
3
3/1(+14%)
(6) Keen Interest 3/1, Unreliable individual. One win from 22 Flat runs. Winner at Yarmouth in August. Creditable fourth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 12/1) 13 days ago. Worth chancing despite his quirks. Poor strike-rate but running well of late and this could be a good opportunity.
8
2nd (8) (14/1 -211%) Sassy Glory
14
14/1(-211%)
(8) Sassy Glory 14/1, Ninth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 11/4) 13 days ago. Ran well on penultimate outing and shouldn't be completely dismissed. Disappointing last time but placed twice in a row in September and could bounce back.
2
3rd (2) (5/1 +44%) Rampant
5
5/1(+44%)
(2) Rampant 5/1, 66/1, last of 10 in handicap at Musselburgh (12.5f, good) 72 days ago. First run for yard after leaving James Ewart. Not easy to make a case for. 12-race maiden but some of his best performances have come here; interesting.
1
4th (1) (7/2 +13%) Violeta
3.5
7/2(+13%)
(1) Violeta 7/2, C&D winner. One win from 23 Flat runs. Winner here in September. 5/1, respectable fifth of 12 in handicap at this C&D 37 days ago. Likely to be on the premises once more. Poor strike-rate but sole win came over C&D in September; she's one to consider.
4
5th (4) (12/1 -71%) Visitant
12
12/1(-71%)
(4) Visitant 12/1, Unreliable individual. C&D winner. Creditable second of 14 in handicap at Redcar (10f, heavy, 22/1) 10 days ago, no match for winner. Should be on the premises again. Runner-up on three of last five starts; high on the shortlist in what looks a weak race.
10
6th (10) (3/1 +75%) Making A Move
3
3/1(+75%)
(10) Making A Move 3/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 250/1, eleventh of 15 in maiden at Limerick (7f, good). Off 138 days. First run for yard after leaving John Michael Burke. Makes handicap debut. Well worth a market check. Makes handicap/stable debut off basement mark; check betting, but he's shown little.
11
7th (11) (50/1 +24%) Foshan
50
50/1(+24%)
(11) Foshan 50/1, 80/1, last of 11 in handicap at this course (8f) 10 days ago, slowly away. Back up in trip. Others are more appealing. Remains a maiden after 17 starts and it's a long time since he's shown any worthwhile form.
7
8th (7) (25/1 -14%) Eva Rosie
25
25/1(-14%)
(7) Eva Rosie 25/1, 6/1, last of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 24 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Others more persuasive. 13-race maiden but frequently placed this year (including here); each-way contender.
9
9th (9) (33/1 -65%) Highland Lil
33
33/1(-65%)
(9) Highland Lil 33/1, Tenth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 22/1) 17 days ago. Needs to get back on track. 3yo whose mark continues to fall but she's yet to threaten across her 11 starts.
3
10th (3) (9/1 +10%) Foursome
9
9/1(+10%)
(3) Foursome 9/1, One win from 30 Flat runs. 14/1, bit below form eighth of 15 in handicap at Thirsk (12f, good) 52 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Olly Williams. Not without hope in a weak affair. On a handy mark on this year's best but she's struggled on her last four runs; yard debut.
12
11th (12) (80/1 -21%) Scarbados
80
80/1(-21%)
(12) Scarbados 80/1, Last of 11 in handicap (80/1) at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 17 days ago. Plenty to prove at present. 3yo who is 0-10 and has struggled to get competitive.
14:10 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
VIOLETA was in winning form over this track and trip on her penultimate start and, after shaping like she was still in good heart when a staying-on fifth off 2lb higher here most recently, she gets the tentative vote to return to winning ways. Keen Interest wasn't seen to best effect when fourth over 1m4f at Wolverhampton last time and he merits respect easing in trip, while recent Redcar runner-up Visitant is also noted.
KEEN INTEREST isn't the most straightforward but he shaped quite well last time and this isn't a strong race by any means, so it's worth taking a chance that things drop right for him. Violeta and Visitant also arrive in reasonable form and should be involved.
Topweight VIOLETA won over C&D in September before a fair fifth here last time in a hotter race than this, and she gets the nod.
(2) Listentoyourheart 1/2, Overcame inexperience to make a winning bumper debut at Sedgefield (16.8f) last autumn and even better form in defeat taking on stronger company after. Impressive when bolting up on return/hurdles debut in a mares' maiden at Market Rasen (16.6f) in September and big player with more to come. Useful bumper form; won easily at Market Rasen on hurdles debut; top on the figures.
1
2nd (1) (14/1 -87%) Kitty Foyle
14
14/1(-87%)
(1) Kitty Foyle 14/1, Fairly useful stayer on the Flat (stays 2m) and bright start over hurdles when landing 9-runner mares' novice at Newton Abbot (16.8f) 48 days ago, winning readily. Open to improvement but this demands a sizeable step forward on what she achieved then. Took well to hurdles at Newton Abbot seven weeks ago, following up her Flat win.
3
3rd (3) (11/2 +15%) Mary
5.5
11/2(+15%)
(3) Mary 11/2, Off the mark in big-field Stratford handicap (16.3f) in August and improved (fair form) when runner-up on 2 of her 3 starts since, latterly in mares' novice at Southwell (15.8f) 2 weeks ago. However, she lacks the potential of a couple here. Continues in form but has raced 15 times and is the most exposed contender.
4
|PU| (4) (4/1 -14%) Roaring Home
4
4/1(-14%)
(4) Roaring Home 4/1, Plenty of promise in 3 bumper starts and marked herself out as a good prospect in this sphere when winning 9-runner mares' maiden at Exeter (16.7f) on return 4 weeks ago. Looks sure to improve and may well pose chief threat to Listentoyourheart. Good bumper form; scored at Exeter on the switch to hurdles; warrants respect.
14:17 Newbury Maiden Hurdle (Class 2) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
Having acquitted herself with credit in several high-class mares' bumpers last season, LISTENTOYOURHEART had little difficulty in justifying odds of 1/10 on her hurdles bow at Market Rasen. The Dan Skelton-trained five-year-old has more on her plate in this class 2 contest, but she looks more than capable of following up. Mary wasn't disgraced when finding only a stablemate of the selection too strong at Southwell and she may take the silver medal again, ahead of Exeter winner Roaring Home.
Having built up a solid record in bumpers, LISTENTOYOURHEART made the perfect start in this sphere when impressively landing an 8-runner Market Rasen novice (16.6f) 6 weeks ago. Open to above average improvement, this looks a good opportunity for her to follow up. Exeter-scorer Roaring Home appeals as the one to give Dan Skelton's mare most to think about.
The form pick is LISTENTOYOURHEART, while Roaring Home and Kitty Foyle are interesting rivals who may well improve further.
(4) Hollygrove Cha Cha 11/8, Won both starts in bumpers in the spring and is bred to take to hurdling, so should take all the beating up in trip for debut in this sphere. 2-2 in bumpers towards end of last season and has obvious claims on hurdling debut.
2
2nd (2) (9/2 +10%) Squiggles
4.5
9/2(+10%)
(2) Squiggles 9/2, £45,000 buy after winning point in Ireland. Disappointing in a bumper for Sue Smith but worthy of a market check upped in trip for hurdling debut by new yard (has been off almost 6 months). Irish point winner; flopped on bumper debut but can do better; now with another new stable.
3
3rd (3) (2/1 +60%) The Secret Pearl
2
2/1(+60%)
(3) The Secret Pearl 2/1, Runner-up on her final start in Irish points and made a solid start to her Rules career when 8 lengths second of 16 in a bumper at Wetherby. Disappointed in listed company at Sandown 8 months ago, but could get back on track now hurdling. Well beaten in Listed bumper but her Warwick second a year ago was promising; hurdle debut.
7
4th (7) (28/1 -12%) Tilly's Gunner
28
28/1(-12%)
(7) Tilly's Gunner 28/1, Half-sister to useful hurdler Sam's Gunner but not a great deal of promise in a novice at Market Rasen on hurdling debut, looking green. May do better. Tailed off in Market Rasen bumper in September and can only be watched here.
6
5th (6) (33/1 +0%) Sain Et Sauf
33
33/1(+0%)
(6) Sain Et Sauf 33/1, From the family of Protektorat but little impact in 3 point bumpers and a novice at Wincanton on hurdling debut. Made fairly encouraging hurdle debut over 1m7f last week; moves up in trip here.
5
6th (5) (8/1 +11%) Molly Mason
8
8/1(+11%)
(5) Molly Mason 8/1, €23,000 3-y-o, Sandmason filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including fairly useful 2½m/2¾m hurdle winner Bioluminescence and fair hurdler/fairly useful chaser The Flame. Interesting newcomer on paper. Half-sister to three useful jumpers; does not need to be anything special to pose a threat.
1
7th (1) (200/1 -203%) Dark Heather
200
200/1(-203%)
(1) Dark Heather 200/1, Poor maiden who looks set for another struggle after a long absence. Struggled off lowly handicap marks during 2022-23 season; back from long absence today.
14:25 Ludlow Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 21f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
An exciting sort for the Jamie Snowden outfit, having triumphed on both starts in bumpers last season, HOLLYGROVE CHA CHA gave every impression that she will improve for going up in trip, with both of those wins coming on heavy ground. The daughter of Affinisea should have too much for the The Secret Pearl, who showed promise on occasions last season in bumpers and could progress over hurdles. Squiggles may have a say in proceedings too.
HOLLYGROVE CHA CHA looked above average in winning both outings in bumpers and there's no reason why she won't make a hurdler, so she gets the nod ahead of The Secret Pearl, who also showed something to work on in that sphere. Squiggles is worthy of a market check on debut for a new stable.
She's unraced on ground faster than heavy but HOLLYGROVE CHA CHA looked promising when winning two bumpers last season.
(1) Addison Grey 1/1, Foaled March 7. £60,000 yearling, Havana Grey colt. Half-brother to winner up to 1m Lunarscape and 2-y-o 5f winner Fengari. Dam 6f winner. Noteworthy newcomer in a maiden lacking a great deal of depth. Should handle the AW on pedigree; wouldn't need to be anything special to make an impact.
2
2nd (2) (11/4 -10%) Midnight City
2.75
11/4(-10%)
(2) Midnight City 11/4, Fair form on first 2 starts at Newmarket/York in August but not in same form when nineteenth of 20 in valuable sales race at Doncaster (6.5f, good) a month later. Gelded since however, and no surprise to see him get back on track. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Out of the frame in three starts on turf but has faced some stiff tasks; cheekpieces on.
4
3rd (4) (11/2 -38%) Kodi Fire
5.5
11/2(-38%)
(4) Kodi Fire 11/2, Kodi Bear colt who matched previous best having gone from the front when fifth of 12 in maiden at Kempton (7f) 15 days ago. Claims of making the frame. Ran well on second start and found 7f too far last time; shortlisted back in trip.
5
4th (5) (5/1 -50%) War Supremo
5
5/1(-50%)
(5) War Supremo 5/1, Foaled March 4. Churchill gelding. Dam, placed at 1¼m-2m, closely related to smart 1½m winner (stayed 15.5f) Glaring. Noteworthy newcomer. Wears tongue strap. Enough in his pedigree to suggest he should play a part; tongue-tie on.
7
5th (7) (80/1 -567%) Sweet Cicely
80
80/1(-567%)
(7) Sweet Cicely 80/1, Twice-raced filly. Stepped up a little on debut when fourth of 9 in maiden (18/1) at Newcastle (6f) 9 days ago, progress 1f out under hands-and-heels ride. Another likely type for handicaps on the back of this. Improved from her debut when fourth at Newcastle nine days ago, but may need further.
6
6th (6) (100/1 -100%) Alfa Kalori
100
100/1(-100%)
(6) Alfa Kalori 100/1, £30,000 2-y-o, Kodi Bear filly. Well held in pair of novice/maiden events 4 months apart and she can only be watched at present. Well held in first two starts; nurseries may provide better opportunities after this.
3
7th (3) (150/1 -355%) Hashtagnotions
150
150/1(-355%)
(3) Hashtagnotions 150/1, Twice-raced colt. Eighth of 9 in maiden at Ripon (5f, good to firm, 12/1) in May, always behind. Absent since and will at least have low-grade handicaps as an option after this. Well held in two starts over 5f on turf/Tapeta in the spring; returns from six months off.
14:35 Southwell Maiden (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
A chance can be taken on newcomer ADDISON GREY, who is related to plenty of winners and changed hands for 60,000gns in April. The son of Havana Grey has lots of speed in his pedigree and can make a winning debut. Sweet Cicely took a step forward from her debut effort to finish fourth at Newcastle last time and she could get into contention, while Kodi Fire is another to consider.
The betting will prove useful in assessing the newcomers, but MIDNIGHT CITY showed definite promise on 2 of his 3 starts to date so, having been gelded ahead of this, he's one to consider back in calmer waters with cheekpieces now reached for. Addison Grey and War Supremo are the debutants to note.
The vote goes to MIDNIGHT CITY who contested the big sales races at York and Doncaster, going down by only just over 3l in the first.
(1) Saint Sam 6/4, High-class chaser. Didn't need to be at best when winning 12-runner minor event hurdle at Auteuil (17.9f, soft, 2/1) 54 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase. Expected to be bang there. Red Mills winner back chasing after two hurdle wins; no easy task conceding weight.
4
2nd (4) (11/2 +0%) Fil Dor
5.5
11/2(+0%)
(4) Fil Dor 11/2, Very smart chaser. Pulled up in William Hill Champion Chase (20/1) at Punchestown (16.4f, good to soft) won by Banbridge, outpaced from some way out. Off 6 months. Has the quality to get involved if he's back on track. Highly-tried chaser with modest strike-rate; bit to prove on most recent form.
5
3rd (5) (9/4 +36%) Solness
2.25
9/4(+36%)
(5) Solness 9/4, Smart chaser. Much improved when winning 3-runner minor event hurdle (10/11) at Sligo (17.8f, good to soft) 13 days ago, unchallenged. Switches from hurdles to chase. Deserves plenty of respect. Progressive handicap chaser steps into Graded company here; trip plenty far.
3
4th (3) (7/4 0%) Fakir D'oudairies
1.75
7/4(0%)
(3) Fakir D'oudairies 7/4, Smart chaser. C&D winner. Tongue strap on for 1st time, below form seventh of 17 in handicap chase (20/1) at Listowel (23.8f, soft) 43 days ago, not knocked about. Caught the eye last time and is a definite player on form. 2021 winner of this race; Kerry National comeback run should have him primed for this.
2
5th (2) (33/1 -83%) Bronn
33
33/1(-83%)
(2) Bronn 33/1, Useful hurdler. 16/1, pulled up in handicap chase at Naas (24.8f, heavy), tailed off when pulled up seventh. Off 8 months. First run for yard after leaving W. P. Mullins. Lost his form last season and since joined Tom Gibney; best watched on return.
6
6th (6) (300/1 -100%) Influential Lady
300
300/1(-100%)
(6) Influential Lady 300/1, Fair hurdler. Tenth of 11 in minor event at the Curragh (12f, soft, 150/1) 16 days ago, ridden too aggressively. Switches from Flat to chase. Poor on last hurdle run. Up against it. Just fair hurdler/chaser; completely out of her depth here.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
SAINT SAM is likely to adopt forcing tactics and could stretch his rivals. He was in good humour over flights in August and September as he posted victories in Cork and Auteuil respectively. This drying ground won't inconvenience him at all. It is three years since Fakir D'oudairies won this race and he is is advantaged by the weights on this occasion. A return to a small field gives him every chance of resuming winning ways. He would prefer a bit more juice in the ground, though. Solness has a decent win ratio and is dangerous on the back of a handicap chase win at Listowel and a hurdle success in Sligo.
SAINT SAM looked as good as ever over fences in the summer and completed a straightforward task over hurdles in France last time, so he's the obvious one back in this sphere. Fakir d'Oudairies and Fil Dor both have the ability to trouble him if right on their game.
A race in which there should be plenty of pace, which could set things up nicely for FAKIR D'OUDAIRIES to record a second win the race
(1) Jkr Cobbler 4/1, 10/3, career best when winning 8-runner handicap at this C&D 10 days ago, readily. Carries penalty. Shortlist material. Major return to form for last week's C&D 0-60 win (RPR 71); 3lb well in despite penalty..
7
2nd (7) (11/1 +21%) Concert Boy
11
11/1(+21%)
(7) Concert Boy 11/1, C&D winner. Below form sixth of 10 in handicap at this C&D (5/1) 6 days ago, slowly away. Blinkers back on. Not ruled out. Headed only close home in a C&D 0-52 last month, and excuses since; 1lb badly in..
6
3rd (6) (9/4 +50%) Drakeholes
2.25
9/4(+50%)
(6) Drakeholes 9/4, 4-time C&D winner. 3 wins from 12 runs this year. Won 9-runner handicap (4/1) at this C&D 2 days ago by neck from Tickets. Can make his presence felt if the race doesn't come too soon. C&D record now 4-10 following Tuesday's late denial of Tickets; penalised now.
2
4th (2) (11/4 +75%) Operation Gimcrack
2.75
11/4(+75%)
(2) Operation Gimcrack 11/4, 17/2, seventh of 11 in handicap at this course (8f) 16 days ago, finding test too much. Return to this trip is in his favour and he's well worthy of interest. Near-3l C&D fifth on belated seasonal return, but lesser efforts since; down 3lb more..
5
5th (5) (3/1 +73%) Commander Crouch
3
3/1(+73%)
(5) Commander Crouch 3/1, One win from 24 Flat runs. Respectable third of 6 in handicap (10/1) at Nottingham (10.2f, heavy) 14 days ago. Significantly back down in trip. First run for yard after leaving Jim Boyle. Strong candidate on form of autumn 2023, less so on more recent efforts; stable debut..
3
6th (3) (66/1 -230%) Sky Lagoon
66
66/1(-230%)
(3) Sky Lagoon 66/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Fifth of 9 in maiden (40/1) at Southwell (7.1f) 28 days ago, not knocked about. Makes handicap debut. Bred to do better, so worth monitoring in the betting. Going the right way in 7f Tapeta qualifying events, but initial mark is far from a gift..
8
7th (8) (200/1 -150%) Rajawail
200
200/1(-150%)
(8) Rajawail 200/1, Third of 4 in novice at this C&D (50/1) 10 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Not easy to make a case for. Run of things in a C&D novice latest but ultimately beaten 11l; others persuade more..
14:45 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
JKR COBBLER bolted up over this track and trip recently and a 5lb penalty may not be enough to stop Iain Jardine's charge from following up here. This step back in trip is an interesting move for Commander Crouch and he merits respect on his debut for the Gemma Tutty stable. Concert Boy wasn't seen to best effect when sixth over C&D last week, but he could bounce back based previous form.
JKR COBBLER confirmed the encouragement of previous efforts when scoring in good style over C&D last time and he's worth a chance to go in again under a penalty. Drakeholes and Tickets look the main dangers but both face a quick turnaround.
3lb well in for a comfy C&D success last week, JKR COBBLER (nap) is not easily opposed.
(5) American Sniper 15/8, Resumed winning ways in a first-time tongue strap at Cheltenham last November but ended last season on a low note and, although he stepped up on his reappearance at aforementioned venue last time, he was still some way below his best. Return of cheekpieces may help; record in this headgear includes a win last November.
2
2nd (2) (5/2 +29%) Emitom
2.5
5/2(+29%)
(2) Emitom 5/2, Recorded a third C&D success in February. Ran creditably when fifth to the reopposing Monmiral in the Final of this series at Cheltenham the following month and it would be no surprise to see another good run back from 7 months off. Has form figures of 1121 at Newbury, the second-place finish in this race last year.
1
3rd (1) (9/2 -13%) Monmiral
4.5
9/2(-13%)
(1) Monmiral 9/2, Addition of blinkers reignited his spark when seeing off 21 rivals in the Pertemps Final at the Cheltenham Festival. Ran at least as well from a 6 lb higher mark when fifth of 21 at Aintree the following month and bound to be thereabouts if in the same form on this return to action. Has earned top weight, having landed the 2024 Pertemps Final at Cheltenham; respected.
3
4th (3) (9/2 0%) Henry's Friend
4.5
9/2(0%)
(3) Henry's Friend 9/2, Recorded a hat-trick in novice handicaps chases last season, including a Grade 2 at Ascot. Pulled up in National Hunt Chase on final outing but not dismissed lightly back over hurdles on this return from 8 months off. Useful novice over fences last term; attractively weighted (chase mark is 5lb higher).
14:52 Newbury Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
A marked drop in distance proved no barrier to success for seasonal debut winner MAJOR FORTUNE at Newton Abbot last week. The six-year-old scored with plenty up his sleeve and a 7lb penalty over this longer trip may not be enough to prevent him from completing a double. Monmiral, who took the Final of this series at the Cheltenham Festival in March, ended his campaign with a respectable fifth at Aintree and isn't taken lightly dropping in class. Emitom, runner-up 12 months ago, is another to consider.
This is by far and away the strongest race MAJOR FOTUNE has contested so far but his improvement doesn't look like stopping anytime soon and he can go in again under a 7-lb penalty. Emitom goes very well at this track and is second choice.
Progressive MAJOR FORTUNE appears to have a good chance of enhancing his excellent strike-rate. Emitom is second choice.
(3) Wendigo 8/15, £70,000 recruit from the Irish pointing field who built on his Worcester debut third when landing short odds in a Hexham bumper a year ago. Good start to hurdling on first start since when second in a novice at the same course. Can go one better. Point/dual bumper winner; clear second on recent hurdling debut; up in trip; major player.
2
2nd (2) (6/1 +50%) Lightningupourdays
6
6/1(+50%)
(2) Lightningupourdays 6/1, Some promise when in frame all 3 starts in bumpers and showed a bit in a novice at Uttoxeter on hurdling debut 6 months ago. Will likely be of more interest in handicaps, though. Placed in two bumper last season and made quite promising hurdle debut in May (2m).
1
3rd (1) (11/4 -22%) Deep Purple
2.75
11/4(-22%)
(1) Deep Purple 11/4, Point winner who confirmed promise of Rules debut when off the mark in a bumper at Southwell 15 days ago. Longer trip will suit on hurdling debut and he's of definite interest. Won good-ground Southwell bumper last month; should have more to offer over hurdles.
4
4th (4) (200/1 -203%) Lennie Godber
200
200/1(-203%)
(4) Lennie Godber 200/1, No show in 2 bumpers for Nigel Twiston-Davies in March and failed to beat a rival on hurdling/stable debut at Aintree 11 days ago. Hard to fancy. Struggled when 100-1 for recent stable/hurdle debut at Aintree (2m4f).
15:00 Ludlow Conditions Hurdle (Class 2) 21f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
DEEP PURPLE was value for more than the winning margin suggests when scoring in a bumper at Southwell on his most recent start, and he looks just the type to improve for having his first go over the smaller obstacles. A winner of a point-to-point in March, Dan Skelton's charge is likely to relish the step up in trip and he is narrowly preferred to Wendigo, who arrives with similar claims. A creditable fourth on his hurdles bow at Uttoxeter in May, Lightningupourdays must enter calculations as well.
Bumper winner WENDIGO returned from almost a year off with an excellent second in a novice at Hexham on hurdling debut and this step up in trip should be in his favour, so he gets the vote ahead of Deep Purple, who should take to this sphere. The Expensive One can compete if the extra distance brings improvement out of him.
The pick is WENDIGO, who won what has turned out to be a fairly good bumper in January and ran well in defeat on his hurdling debut.
(3) Lady Of Spain 7/4, Promising individual. 8/13, won 10-runner novice at Wolverhampton (8.6f), cosily. Off 7 months. Makes handicap debut. Expected to be bang there. Unbeaten in two Wolverhampton novices; off another eight months, but still unexposed.
8
2nd (8) (7/2 +59%) Unassuming
3.5
7/2(+59%)
(8) Unassuming 7/2, C&D winner. 2 wins from 5 runs this year. Latest win here in September. 4/7, fifth of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 13 days ago. Not one to write off. Won twice over C&D before disappointing at Wolverhampton; could bounce back returned here.
6
3rd (6) (16/1 +20%) Eleftheria
16
16/1(+20%)
(6) Eleftheria 16/1, Latest win at Kempton in June. Seventh of 8 in handicap at Kempton (7f, 5/1) 48 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Others are more appealing. Back off last winning mark but faces some unexposed and progressive types; cheekpieces on.
7
4th (7) (14/1 -65%) Climate Action
14
14/1(-65%)
(7) Climate Action 14/1, 18/1, career best when winning 11-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 13 days ago. Not long with this yard and may do better again. 4lb higher than when off the mark at Wolverhampton last time; may have more to offer.
2
5th (2) (15/2 -25%) Lady Of Arabia
7.5
15/2(-25%)
(2) Lady Of Arabia 15/2, 11/4, career best when winning 8-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 33 days ago, overcoming pace bias. Excellent AW record and should go well again. Bids for a hat-trick after two wins at Wolverhampton; up another 4lb, but hard to rule out.
1
6th (1) (11/2 -22%) Race The Wind
5.5
11/2(-22%)
(1) Race The Wind 11/2, Doubled her tally in a 10-runner novice at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 11/8), bit in hand. Off 9 months since Bids for a hat-trick on handicap debut after another 283 days off, but proven fresh.
5
7th (5) (12/1 -140%) Magic Dream
12
12/1(-140%)
(5) Magic Dream 12/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Second of 7 in novice at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 9/4) 14 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Unlikely to have reached her limit. Runner-up in two of her four starts, but this looks a warm event on handicap debut.
4
8th (4) (11/1 +67%) Nocturnal
11
11/1(+67%)
(4) Nocturnal 11/1, 12/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, eighth of 10 in handicap at Newmarket (8f, soft) 15 days ago. Others are more persuasive. Held in warm handicaps on turf since winning an AW novice but this also looks competitive.
15:10 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Magic Dream has the benefit of a recent outing compared to her stable companion RACE THE WIND, who makes her first appearance since winning under a penalty in novice company at Wolverhampton in January. The latter has also shaped as though stepping up to a mile would bring about further progression and she is expected to defy her absence. The unbeaten Lady Of Spain and hat-trick seeking Lady Of Arabia are others to note.
LADY OF SPAIN made an emphatic debut and, while she had to work a bit harder to maintain her unbeaten record under a penalty at Wolverhampton 7 months ago, she is a useful prospect who appears to have been handed a lenient mark, so she's marginally preferred to Race The Wind, who is also back from an absence. Lady of Arabia has a prolific AW record and ranks as a danger to the pair.
Another chance is given to UNASSUMING who was disappointing at Wolverhampton last time, but was 2-2 over this C&D prior to that.
(12) Irish Impulse 20/1, 20/1, pulled up in handicap chase won by C'est Rien at Tramore (22.8f, good) on debut over fences 50 days ago, tailing off long way out. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Struggling for form at end of last term; pulled up on chase debut on return; risky.
5
2nd (5) (3/1 +50%) Bite That
3
3/1(+50%)
(5) Bite That 3/1, One win from 34 NH runs. Twenty-one runs since last win in 2022. 8/1, good second of 13 in handicap chase at this course (17.2f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Up in trip and expected to be bang there. Struck to task well in 2 narrow defeats last month and further should help; ground ideal.
9
3rd (9) (4/1 -60%) Crowsatedappletart
4
4/1(-60%)
(9) Crowsatedappletart 4/1, Latest win in hurdle at Limerick in October. Creditable third of 13 in handicap chase (4/1) at this course (17.2f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Back up in trip and should go well. Won h'cap chase in spring and back to form recently; should appreciate return to further.
10
4th (10) (10/1 +17%) Roman Parish
10
10/1(+17%)
(10) Roman Parish 10/1, Remains a maiden after 27 NH runs. 10/1, creditable fifth of 16 in handicap hurdle at this course (19.9f, good) 35 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase. 0-27; one of his better recent runs over timber latest but out of form over fences before.
7
5th (7) (6/1 +33%) Rock On Pedro
6
6/1(+33%)
(7) Rock On Pedro 6/1, Remains a maiden after 16 NH runs. Running respectably when unseated rider in handicap chase at Ludlow (20f, good to soft, 5/1) 14 days ago. Not taken lightly. Promise chase 4th at Gowran last month but beaten when unseating at Ludlow since.
16
6th (16) (33/1 -136%) Cottage Artist
33
33/1(-136%)
(16) Cottage Artist 33/1, Remains a maiden after 25 NH runs. 12/1, fifth of 7 in handicap chase at Galway (18.2f, good to soft) 30 days ago. 0-25; best form is over timber and hasn't taken to fences in recent times.
1
7th (1) (14/1 +13%) Zolpharine
14
14/1(+13%)
(1) Zolpharine 14/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2023. Tenth of 11 in handicap hurdle at this course (19.5f, good to soft, 16/1) 14 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase. Makes handicap chase debut. Tailed off in a handicap hurdle a fortnight ago and hasn't shown enough in 3 chase starts.
13
8th (13) (40/1 -100%) Keeffelee
40
40/1(-100%)
(13) Keeffelee 40/1, 50/1, fell in novice chase at Killarney (23.4f, soft) on debut over fences 32 days ago. Makes handicap chase debut. 0-11 in points and 0-11 under rules; fell on last month's chase debut and others preferred.
6
9th (6) (11/1 +39%) The Virginian
11
11/1(+39%)
(6) The Virginian 11/1, Below form ninth of 16 in handicap hurdle (16/1) at Roscommon (15.6f, soft) 38 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase and significantly up in trip. Cheekpieces back on. Well held on return over timber; stamina to prove at this trip; well held sole chase start.
2
|U| (2) (13/2 -63%) Le Grand Vert
6.5
13/2(-63%)
(2) Le Grand Vert 13/2, Creditable 9¼ lengths third of 18 to Crowsatedappletart in handicap hurdle at Limerick (21f, good to soft, 9/2) 19 days ago, barely adequate test. Switches from hurdles to chase. Went close over fences in Britain before winning yard debut; trip on sharp side.
18
10th (18) (33/1 -83%) Onebrightbluerose
33
33/1(-83%)
(18) Onebrightbluerose 33/1, 15/2, respectable eighth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Gowran (16f, good to soft) 34 days ago. Makes chase debut. Back up in trip. Tongue strap on for 1st time. RESERVE. Out of form over timber and hard to fancy on chase debut with tongue-tie; reserve.
8
11th (8) (5/1 0%) C'est Rien
5
5/1(0%)
(8) C'est Rien 5/1, One win from 28 NH runs. Successful at Tramore in September. Creditable fourth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (18.5f, good, 15/2) 26 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase. Winning chase debut in September; not as good since but unexposed in this sphere.
3
12th (3) (22/1 +56%) Western Comandor
22
22/1(+56%)
(3) Western Comandor 22/1, 80/1, pulled up in handicap hurdle at Sligo (25.7f, good) 123 days ago, pulled up before 2 out. Switches from hurdles to chase. First run for yard after leaving Andrew McNamara. 0-8 over fences; struggled for form since leaving John Ryan; new yard and best watched.
11
13th (11) (33/1 +34%) The Eye Of Tulla
33
33/1(+34%)
(11) The Eye Of Tulla 33/1, Pulled up in handicap chase at Listowel (19.4f, soft, 20/1) 41 days ago, labouring some way out. Shown nothing this year and failed to complete in his last four starts.
14
|PU| (14) (50/1 -150%) Knocknaconnery
50
50/1(-150%)
(14) Knocknaconnery 50/1, 33/1, ninth of 12 in handicap chase at Punchestown (23.2f, good) 22 days ago. Readily passed over. Shown very little over fences so far and no improvement for switch to handicaps last twice.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
LE GRAND VERT appeals on this drop in trip. He was outgunned in second over further on his latest start in this discipline at Sligo in October, but he travelled notably well on that good ground. Jockey Alex Harvey is getting a tune from Bite That as the pair took the runner-up berth at Gowran Park and at this track last month. This is a step up in trip from those races, but he does have a placed effort in the book over a similar distance at Wexford. Crowsatedappletart is eminently capable on a going day and a big run wouldn't be surprising, while C'est Rien and Game And Glory are others to consider.
While BITE THAT's strike rate is not the most compelling, the same is true of many of these and he has plenty going for him here on the back of solid efforts in defeat at Gowran and this venue on his last two starts. Game And Glory will be a threat if on-song, while Crowsatedappletart and Rock On Pedro also enter calculations. Le Grand Vert found this trip too sharp at Limerick last time and he will be of greater interest back over 3m+.
This is a good opportunity for BITE THAT to get off the mark over fences after 2 narrow defeats last month and further should suit
(2) Edge Ofthe Unknown 9/2, Foaled March 7. Quality Road colt. Half-brother to winner abroad by Karakontie, from the family of high-class winner up to 10.5f (2-y-o 5f-1m winner) Divine Proportions. Trainer has a 25% strike-rate with 2yos here; interesting on debut.
3
2nd (3) (3/1 -9%) Fort George
3
3/1(-9%)
(3) Fort George 3/1, 38,000 gns foal, 78,000 gns yearling, Territories colt. Brother to useful 8.3f/9f winner Pink Carnation. Fourth of 9 in novice at Kempton (8f, 22/1) on debut 24 days ago, the only one from the rear to get involved in a race which placed a firm emphasis on speed. Sure to improve and one to consider. Promising 4th on last month's debut at Kempton and could be sharper for that experience.
8
3rd (8) (50/1 +0%) Raulin
50
50/1(+0%)
(8) Raulin 50/1, Twice-raced maiden. Fifth of 7 in maiden at York (7.9f, heavy, 40/1) 26 days ago. From a good family and handicaps next year could be where he makes his mark. Has shown some ability on both starts but needs to take a step forward today.
7
4th (7) (28/1 -27%) Pride Of Donegal
28
28/1(-27%)
(7) Pride Of Donegal 28/1, Foaled March 10. 100,000 gns yearling, Saxon Warrior colt. Half-brother to several winners, including very smart 9.5f-15f winner One Foot In Heaven and useful 9.5f winner Queen. Dam won Champion Stakes. One to note on debut. Very much catches the eye on breeding and no surprise if he gives a good account on debut.
11
5th (11) (4/1 -78%) White Crown Star
4
4/1(-78%)
(11) White Crown Star 4/1, 200,000 gns yearling, Sea The Stars colt. Better for debut when third of 10 in maiden at Yarmouth (7f, firm) 50 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Sir Michael Stoute. May well do better again and one to consider. 3rd at Yarmouth on his second start and bred to be suited by this longer trip; key player.
1
6th (1) (12/1 -50%) One Eye Jack
12
12/1(-50%)
(1) One Eye Jack 12/1, Successful in the mud first time up at Haydock over this trip in September but always behind still looking green in sales race at Longchamp (good to soft, 8/1) 33 days ago. Might be vulnerable in a pretty deep-looking novice. Won on debut; well beaten in valuable French race since but retains potential; respected.
12
7th (12) (7/2 +22%) Yaa Min
3.5
7/2(+22%)
(12) Yaa Min 7/2, Foaled March 2. 370,000 gns foal, Frankel colt. Half-brother to several winners, notably smart German winner up to 11f Wonderful Moon. One to note on debut. 370,000gns foal; by Frankel; trainer's 2yos in fine form; could play leading role on debut.
10
8th (10) (14/1 +30%) San Munoz
14
14/1(+30%)
(10) San Munoz 14/1, 170,000 gns yearling, Kingman colt. Dam, smart winner up to 1½m (2-y-o 7f-1m winner) who stayed 1¾m. 20/1, fourth of 7 in novice at Yarmouth (6f, soft) on debut 23 days ago. Significantly up in trip and open to improvement. Improvement needed on second start but the step up in trip could help; not ruled out.
9
9th (9) (200/1 -100%) Return With Gold
200
200/1(-100%)
(9) Return With Gold 200/1, Foaled April 28. Ten Sovereigns gelding. Half-brother to useful winner up to 1m Aspen Mountain and 6f-7f winner Crystal Dawn. Half-brother to two winners but he's probably best watched on debut.
5
10th (5) (12/1 -20%) Kuredu King
12
12/1(-20%)
(5) Kuredu King 12/1, 300,000 gns yearling, Churchill colt. Brother to useful 7f winner Tuscan and half-brother to 7.4f winner Abbadia. 6/1, eighth of 16 in maiden at Doncaster (7f, soft) on debut 13 days ago, meeting trouble and not knocked about. Sure to improve. Well beaten in midfield on recent debut but no surprise if he takes sizeable step forward.
4
11th (4) (14/1 -27%) Gallic Legend
14
14/1(-27%)
(4) Gallic Legend 14/1, Foaled March 19. €215,000 foal, €300,000 yearling, Sea The Stars colt. Brother to useful winner up to 1¼m Irish Legend and 9f-10.2f winner Invisible Friend and half-brother to 5f-1m winner Torch Lit. Appealing on paper. Future probably lies over further but price tag means he's worth a second look on debut.
6
12th (6) (200/1 -100%) Our Oasis
200
200/1(-100%)
(6) Our Oasis 200/1, Foaled March 21. 42,000 gns foal, 30,000 gns yearling, Oasis Dream gelding. Brother to useful 2-y-o 6f-7f winner Gobi Desert and half-brother to 1¼m winner Villa Castello and 11f winner Family Love. Brother to Listed winner Gobi Desert but probably one for further down the line.
15:20 Newcastle Stakes (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
FORT GEORGE was fourth over a mile at Kempton on his debut last month and, with the promise of more to come, he gets the vote to land a breakthrough victory at the second time of asking. White Crown Star arrives on the back of an admirable third over 7f at Yarmouth in September and, stepping up in trip, he looks the main danger to the selection. Quality Road colt Edge Ofthe Unknown is also a fascinating contender on his debut.
FORT GEORGE made an eye-catching start at Kempton last month, faring best of those held up in a race which placed a firm emphasis on speed, and he seems sure to improve. He gets the vote over newcomer Yaa Min and White Crown Star in a pretty deep-looking novice.
Having been a promising fourth on last month's debut at Kempton, the attractively bred FORT GEORGE is taken to come out on top.
(4) Masaccio 2/1, Successful twice over hurdles last season and ended that campaign with a personal best, finishing a clear second in a 12-runner 2½m Aintree handicap. Probably on a fair mark for this chase debut and will be a danger to all if his jumping passes the test. Hurdles form includes a solid effort at this venue; interesting on chase debut.
3
2nd (3) (5/2 +25%) Twinjets
2.5
5/2(+25%)
(3) Twinjets 5/2, Multiple bumper/hurdles winner who found improvement when making a successful debut for Paul Nicholls over fences at Doncaster (3m, good to soft) last December. Probably needed the run when returning to action at Chepstow last month and this 7-y-o remains with potential as a chaser. May improve with Chepstow reappearance under his belt; won well last December.
6
3rd (6) (5/1 -11%) High Treason
5
5/1(-11%)
(6) High Treason 5/1, Opened hurdles account at Fontwell last winter and, having found the company too hot in a Grade 3 Sandown handicap next time, he duly got back on track with a gutsy victory at Southwell (20.4f, good) in April. No reason to think he won't do well over fences, too, but this is a tough starting point. Generally progressive sort who scored twice over hurdles; interesting chase debutant.
5
4th (5) (11/1 -57%) Thelasthighking
11
11/1(-57%)
(5) Thelasthighking 11/1, Successful over fences at Wincanton and Southwell during 2022/23 campaign and returned with a pair of good runner-up efforts at Kempton last autumn. Form dipped thereafter but resumes here with yard (also represented by High Treason) in good form and he's dangerous to discount. Form went pear-shaped this spring; market instructive on return from break.
1
5th (1) (7/2 0%) I'd Like To Know
3.5
7/2(0%)
(1) I'd Like To Know 7/2, Just touched off on chase debut here in January and again impressed with his jumping when landing a 5-runner handicap back at this course (16.4f, soft) next time. Bettered that with a decisive success at Kempton (2¼m, good to soft) when last seen in May and a 4 lb rise is by no means excessive. Record of 2-4 since switched to chasing, the wins at Newbury and Kempton; respected.
2
|F| (2) (11/1 +0%) Sail Away
11
11/1(+0%)
(2) Sail Away 11/1, Dual winner on good ground in 2022/23 and shaped well on several occasions in defeat last term. However, there was very little promise in his reappearance display at Chepstow where, on what was his first run following a fourth round of wind surgery, he checked out rather tamely. Useful on his day but has a major question mark over current form; best watched.
15:27 Newbury Handicap Chase (Class 3) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
I'D LIKE TO KNOW had plenty in hand when winning over 2m2f at Kempton when last seen in May and Chris Gordon's gelding has to be of interest on his return, despite a 4lb rise. Masaccio hit the crossbar over hurdles on his most recent outing and merits consideration now switched to fences, while High Treason and Twinjets complete the shortlist.
THELASTHIGHKING failed to kick on following a positive start to last season but he is on a good mark if able to get back on track, a scenario which is certainly plausible given that he returns from a break with his yard going great guns. I'd Like To Know took very well to fences last season and is a much-respected main danger, while Twinjets remains capable of better in this sphere and Masaccio will be a threat if he adapts well to the larger obstacles.
Based on their respected Newbury form, MASACCIO and I'd Like To Know are the most appealing runners.
(3) Rockinastorm 6/4, Winless over hurdles but quickly set the record straight over fences last term, gaining a third victory here (23.8f) in February. Just touched off back here in April and sound reappearance when third at Chepstow a month ago. 3-7 during first season over fences and gave good account when back in action last month.
1
2nd (1) (85/40 -31%) The Kniphand
2.125
85/40(-31%)
(1) The Kniphand 85/40, Improved model switched to handicaps/upped to 3m over hurdles in 2022/23, battling well when gaining a third success at Market Rasen (23f) in March. Better than ever when making third chase start a winning one at Southwell last month, forging clear. Up 5 lb but this trip will suit. Clear winner on seasonal debut at Southwell last month and still lightly raced over fences.
5
3rd (5) (2/1 +27%) Ask Brewster
2
2/1(+27%)
(5) Ask Brewster 2/1, Showed improved form to get off the mark under Rules reverted to patient tactics in 7-runner handicap hurdle at Chepstow (19.4f, soft) back in March. Won sole start in points and looked a better chaser when making winning start in 3-runner contest (23.8f) here a fortnight ago. More to come. Low-mileage 5yo; finished well to win three-runner chase here on recent seasonal debut.
4
|R| (4) (16/1 +20%) Tide Times
16
16/1(+20%)
(4) Tide Times 16/1, All 4 of his wins over fences have come at Ludlow, with his latest success over 23.8f in December. Completely lost his way during first half of 2024 so comes with major risks attached. Four-time course winner; badly out of form in the spring but may be refreshed after break.
15:35 Ludlow Handicap Chase (Class 4) 26f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
THE KNIPHAND was a very impressive winner over 3m at Southwell a month ago and the six-year-old is hard to oppose off just a 5lb higher mark here. That said, the hat-trick seeking Ask Brewster is an obvious threat to the selection following his success at this venue two weeks ago. The rest all have questions to answer, but Rockinastorm is the pick of them.
Having won a point early in his career, ASK BREWSTER improved immediately for the switch to fences when successful here a fortnight ago and looks a chaser to keep on the right side of. Inflexible and The Kniphand are the chief threats.
Topweight THE KNIPHAND (nap) produced a good performance on last month's seasonal debut at Southwell and gets the vote.
(7) Jersey Rocs 33/1, Eleventh of 12 in handicap at this C&D (66/1) 42 days ago. Blinkered for 1st time. Needs blinkers to perk him up. Promising debut at Ripon in August last year but nowhere near that form since.
1
2nd (1) (5/1 +33%) Love Your Work
5
5/1(+33%)
(1) Love Your Work 5/1, 5-time C&D winner. Creditable fourth of 14 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f, 20/1) 21 days ago. Unlikely to be far away. Seven course wins including three on Tapeta; 1lb below last winning mark; shortlisted.
4
3rd (4) (16/1 -78%) Retraction
16
16/1(-78%)
(4) Retraction 16/1, Fifth of 8 in handicap (10/3) at Newcastle (7.1f) 16 days ago. Holding form well at present but others have more compelling win claims. 0-10 despite a falling mark and others are more compelling.
6
4th (6) (11/4 +31%) Jalaybee
2.75
11/4(+31%)
(6) Jalaybee 11/4, C&D winner. Winner here in October. 10/3, creditable third of 7 in handicap at this C&D 7 days ago. Deserves respected. First and third in last two starts over C&D; may get a better pace to aim at this time.
9
5th (9) (14/1 +30%) Imola
14
14/1(+30%)
(9) Imola 14/1, 4/1, fourth of 6 in handicap at Nottingham (10.2f, heavy) 14 days ago. Back down in trip. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Others more persuasive. 0-10; off a fair mark but well held in both starts since joining this yard; cheekpieces on.
5
6th (5) (9/2 +31%) King Of York
4.5
9/2(+31%)
(5) King Of York 9/2, Course winner. Good second of 8 in handicap (11/5) at this course (7.1f) 5 days ago. Should be on the premises again. Just 2-37, but has plenty of form at this track and was second here last Saturday.
3
7th (3) (11/4 +0%) First Dynasty
2.75
11/4(+0%)
(3) First Dynasty 11/4, 9/2 and blinkered for 1st time, won 10-runner handicap at this C&D 30 days ago, always holding on. Worth a chance to follow up. Made all over C&D last month and respected off 3lb higher, especially if leading again.
2
8th (2) (12/1 -20%) Gunsight
12
12/1(-20%)
(2) Gunsight 12/1, 22/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, first run since leaving Michael O'Meara when below form seventh of 12 in handicap at Nottingham (8.3f, heavy) 14 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Blinkers back on. Stable is in good order and he merits respect. 0-13 and needs the new surface to bring about improvement.
8
9th (8) (25/1 -150%) Mickey Mongoose
25
25/1(-150%)
(8) Mickey Mongoose 25/1, C&D winner. 28/1, sixth of 12 in handicap at this C&D 10 days ago. Becoming well treated and latest effort was a step back in the right direction. 1lb lower than for C&D win in March and not beaten far here ten days ago; still needs more.
10
10th (10) (33/1 -83%) Masham Moor
33
33/1(-83%)
(10) Masham Moor 33/1, C&D winner. 18/1, respectable fifth of 14 in handicap at Newcastle (8f). Off 133 days. Likely to strip fitter for it. Off the same mark as for the latest of two wins over C&D but he has no great record fresh.
15:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
JALAYBEE's form has stepped up a level since being switched to the all-weather here on his recent starts and the three-year-old gets the vote in what looks to be a winnable contest on paper. First Dynasty benefited from front-running tactics when winning over C&D last month and he is respected off a 3lb higher mark. King Of York and Retraction complete the shortlist.
FIRST DYNASTY reacted well to first-time blinkers when scoring here a month ago and, if the headgear has the same effect, he can go in again. Jalaybee and King of York look the chief threats, although a few others arrive in form.
The vote goes to FIRST DYNASTY who did it well when making all over C&D last month.
(5) Mic Drop 7/2, Point winner who finished third on bumper debut in May. Not in the same form when fourth of 12 in bumper at Wexford (20f, good to soft) later that month but he sets the standard on return. Point winner; close 3rd in Tipperary bumper on rules bow before distant 4th; off 162 days.
2
2nd (2) (18/1 -200%) Bold Passion
18
18/1(-200%)
(2) Bold Passion 18/1, €32,000 3-y-o, Vadamos gelding. Half-brother to useful 5f/6f winner in Italy Olympic Star. Pulled up both starts in points. Pulled up in both point starts last year and probably best watched on rules debut.
7
3rd (7) (1/1 +38%) Relieved Of Duties
1
1/1(+38%)
(7) Relieved Of Duties 1/1, €85,000 3-y-o, Sholokhov gelding. Dam, French 19f chase winner (stayed 2¾m), half-sister to useful chaser (stayed 31f) Umberto d'Olivate. Point winner in April and represents an excellent yard. Point winner; form has worked out okay and looks a major player in bumper lacking depth.
3
4th (3) (10/3 -33%) Colonel Nelson
3.333333
10/3(-33%)
(3) Colonel Nelson 10/3, Showed more when of 10 in novice hurdle at Punchestown (16.3f, good, 16/1) on hurdles bow 22 days ago. Switches from hurdles to bumpers. Cheekpieces on first time and he's of interest. 2nd in a point and good 4th in a maiden hurdle latest; cheekpieces on; shortlisted.
6
5th (6) (250/1 -150%) Nohilltoosteep
250
250/1(-150%)
(6) Nohilltoosteep 250/1, First run since leaving Ms Margaret Mullins when fourth of 6 in bumper at Wexford (16.4f, heavy, 150/1) 10 days ago, achieving little. Didn't show much in points and it's been a similar story under rules.
9
6th (9) (11/2 -22%) Emily's Light
5.5
11/2(-22%)
(9) Emily's Light 11/2, Ninth of 12 in bumper at Listowel (16f, soft, 4/1) on NH debut 41 days ago. Was only 4-1 for a mares' bumper at Listowel but was tailed off and hard to fancy now.
4
7th (4) (200/1 -100%) Honky Tonk
200
200/1(-100%)
(4) Honky Tonk 200/1, Fifth of 6 in bumper at Wexford (16.4f, heavy, 100/1) 10 days ago. Blinkered for 1st time. 3rd in a bumper on debut in 2022; shown nothing in 3 runs since; blinkers on.
1
8th (1) (7/1 +36%) Amron Diamond
7
7/1(+36%)
(1) Amron Diamond 7/1, Twice-raced maiden. 50/1, fifth of 13 in bumper at Listowel (16f, good) 46 days ago. Best run yet when 5th in September; may appreciate further; likely vulnerable.
11
9th (11) (80/1 +0%) Votre Sante
80
80/1(+0%)
(11) Votre Sante 80/1, €28,000 3-y-o, Lauro mare. Half-sister to fairly useful hurdler/fair chase winner Burlesque Queen. Dam (c104/h99) 17f-2½m hurdle/chase winner. Unplaced all 3 starts in points. Hasn't shown enough in three point starts so far.
10
10th (10) (250/1 -150%) Keep It Together
250
250/1(-150%)
(10) Keep It Together 250/1, Tenth of 11 in bumper at Punchestown (15.8f, good, 250/1) 23 days ago. Pulled up on debut and was tailed off when 250-1 for a mares' bumper at Punchestown latest.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
RELIEVED OF DUTIES won a Loughanmore point-to-point by six lengths on drying ground and may prove to be a more than useful track performer for Gordon Elliott. He looks the one to beat. Patrick Mullins comes in for the ride on Colonel Nelson who was a fair fourth in a Punchestown maiden hurdle last month. This Mount Nelson gelding gets first-time cheekpieces. Mic Drop is another winner between the flags and showed potential in third on bumper debut at Tipperary. He wasn't at his best when next seen in a remote fourth at Wexford in May, but has had a break since then and should be in the mix for a cheque.
This is probably best left to RELIEVED OF DUTIES, who coast plenty as a 3-y-o and having won a point in the spring, has transferred to an excellent yard. Mic Drop and Colonel Nelson have already displayed ability under Rules so warrant consideration.
The standard set isn't a high bar and therefore RELIEVED OF DUTIES may be too good on rules debut after his point win
(6) Anthropologist 6/1, 13/2, fourth of 7 in nursery at Southwell (8.1f) 33 days ago. Looking exposed. 0-7 and not progressing; not fully exposed as a miler but others look more persuasive.
1
2nd (1) (7/4 +50%) Chesneys Charm
1.75
7/4(+50%)
(1) Chesneys Charm 7/4, Latest win here in October. 11/2, third of 4 in nursery at Doncaster (8f, soft) 13 days ago. Not discounted back on AW. Three 7f AW wins to his name; stays a mile; down in grade with good claims.
3
3rd (3) (9/4 -38%) Pivotal Days
2.25
9/4(-38%)
(3) Pivotal Days 9/4, 6/1, career best when winning 5-runner nursery at Haydock (7.2f, heavy) 20 days ago, proving a different proposition ridden prominently under more testing conditions. Good chance he can strike again. Impressed on heavy ground last month (7f); 6lb higher now and facing different conditions.
4
4th (4) (9/1 +10%) Space Raider
9
9/1(+10%)
(4) Space Raider 9/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Below form fifth of 15 in novice at Redcar (8f, soft, 25/1) 20 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Makes handicap debut. His standout effort came over 6f; looked stretched by a mile latest; handicap debut.
5
5th (5) (13/2 -30%) Shielas Well
6.5
13/2(-30%)
(5) Shielas Well 13/2, C&D winner and followed up in 5-runner nursery (evens) at Musselburgh (8f, good to firm) 53 days ago, bit in hand. Up in grade but got to be respected in hat-trick bid. 2-2 over a mile, including C&D; up two grades today but could have more to offer.
2
6th (2) (11/1 -10%) Sands Of Indi
11
11/1(-10%)
(2) Sands Of Indi 11/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 3/1, sixth of 11 in novice at Beverley (7.4f, good to firm) 50 days ago, worst of draw. Runner-up first 2 starts so there is encouragement for her now handicapping. Best effort came here (7f) in September; may improve for handicaps/longer trip.
15:55 Newcastle Handicap (Class 4) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
A comfortable winner over C&D on her penultimate start, SHIELAS WELL has since followed up at Musselburgh and this appeals as an ideal opportunity to bring up the hat-trick. The progressive daughter of Saxon Warrior gets the vote ahead of Pivotal Days, who relished the switch to heavy ground when getting off the mark over 7f at Haydock last month. He has failed to win over 1m on two previous attempts though, and it may be course winner Chesneys Charm that provides the chief threat to the selection.
PIVOTAL DAYS was impressive when dominating his rivals from the front at Haydock 3 weeks ago and could go in again now the penny has dropped. The hat-trick seeking Shielas Well could be the danger, ahead of Sands of Indi.
Grant Tuer looks to hold the key and CHESNEYS CHARM can win again on the AW. Shielas Well is feared most.
(4) El Cairos 16/5, €200,000 No Risk At All gelding. Half-brother to fairly useful hurdler/chaser Wasdell Dundalk. Irish point winner in April. Got to be on the shortlist. Intriguing prospect, having been bought for 200,000euros after Irish point win.
1
2nd (1) (11/4 -38%) Bobajob
2.75
11/4(-38%)
(1) Bobajob 11/4, £24,000 Doyen gelding, dam closely related to Cheltenham Gold Cup winner Bobs Worth and fairly useful 2m hurdler Chesterfieldavenue. Yard have had several winners of this in recent years. £24,000 3yo; out of half-sister to Bobs Worth; yard has a good record in this race.
7
3rd (7) (11/2 +0%) Wandering Ego
5.5
11/2(+0%)
(7) Wandering Ego 11/2, €20,000 3-y-o, Order of St George gelding. Half-brother to fair hurdler Queen Nel. Dam unraced half-sister to fair hurdler/fairly useful chaser (stayed 3m) Sparkling River. Every chance when fell last sole start in Irish points (Mar 2024). Wears hood. He was in the process of showing promise when final-fence faller in Irish point; hood now.
2
4th (2) (5/2 +0%) Brookside La
2.5
5/2(+0%)
(2) Brookside La 5/2, €100,000 3-y-o, Shantou gelding. Brother to fairly useful hurdler Hands of Gold. Dam unraced half-sister to useful hurdler (stayed 2½m) Fergall. Yard's bumper runners have been red hot and he's very much one to consider on debut. 100,000euros 3yo; major stable is doing well in bumpers this term; interesting.
3
5th (3) (7/1 +56%) Claim The Throne
7
7/1(+56%)
(3) Claim The Throne 7/1, £55,000 Kapgarde gelding out of 19f chase winner in France, sister to smart hurdler/useful chase winner (stayed 2½m) Laurina. Runner-up on last of 3 starts in Irish points (Mar 2024). Ran well on final start in Irish points; joined new connections for £55,000.
6
6th (6) (22/1 -83%) Onelikethat
22
22/1(-83%)
(6) Onelikethat 22/1, €55,000 3-y-o, Diamond Boy gelding. Dam unraced sister to useful hurdler/very smart chaser (stays 2¼m) Castlegrace Paddy. Noteworthy newcomer. 55,000euros 3yo; trainer has a respectable strike-rate (7-31) in bumpers.
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
EL CAIROS cost 200,000 euros after winning a point-to-point in Ireland earlier in the year and the son of No Risk At All has to be of considerable interest on his Rules debut. Brookside La was also an expensive purchase at 100,000 euros and any market support for him would have to be noted. Others to consider are Bobajob, Wandering Ego and Claim The Throne.
The Skelton yard have been firing with bumper runners so BROOKSIDE LA could be the way to go before market clues. This looks a pretty deep contest though, one which Nicky Henderson usually targets successfully, so Bobajob has to be respected. Wandering Ego is another to note.
First choice is BOBAJOB, ahead of Brookside La who is another interesting newcomer. The betting should offer further guidance.
(3) Gregorians Star 8/1, Gregorian gelding. Half-brother to useful 6f-1m winner Gumais. Dam 8.4f/8.6f winner. Half-brother to a useful Flat racer; market support will make him of interest.
2
2nd (2) (6/5 +36%) Frontier Prince
1.2
6/5(+36%)
(2) Frontier Prince 6/5, Frontiersman gelding. Half-brother to Stungbythemaster, who made winning bumper debut for the yard. Obvious appeal. Has good pedigree for bumpers and stable has good strike-rate in this sphere (16%).
4
3rd (4) (5/2 +9%) Intosomethinggood
2.5
5/2(+9%)
(4) Intosomethinggood 5/2, €17,000 3-y-o, Dragon Dancer gelding. Half-brother to bumper winner Cloudy View. Dam maiden hurdler (stayed 2½m), sister to fairly useful 2m hurdle winner) Humphrey Bogart. Must be respected. Half-brother to a bumper winner, and stable has very healthy strike-rate in bumpers.
1
4th (1) (10/1 -33%) Farhh Echo
10
10/1(-33%)
(1) Farhh Echo 10/1, The penny was dropping late on as he finished with running left on debut at Huntingdon (20/1) 4 weeks ago. Entitled to improve. Not beaten far when midfield at Huntingdon and has something to build on here.
5
5th (5) (22/1 -214%) Krugerrand
22
22/1(-214%)
(5) Krugerrand 22/1, Ten Sovereigns gelding. Dam unraced. Has interesting Flat pedigree; yard's first runner under this code since 2018-19 season.
6
6th (6) (8/1 -14%) Midsummer Dream
8
8/1(-14%)
(6) Midsummer Dream 8/1, Kapgarde gelding. Dam ran once on Flat in France. Out of a half-sister to two French Flat winners (hurdle/Flat); market may guide.
7
7th (7) (25/1 +24%) Vorderman
25
25/1(+24%)
(7) Vorderman 25/1, Bred for middle-distances and from a Flat yard, was in headgear for recent debut at Exeter and made an unpromising start. Unable to get seriously competitive when 50-1 for recent debut at Exeter.
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
FRONTIER PRINCE's half-brother won a bumper on debut for these connections last year and it would be no surprise to see him repeat that achievement here. Intosomethinggood also has a pedigree that suggests that he could make the frame in a race of this nature, while Farhh Echo showed some ability on his racecourse bow at Huntingdon and could put that experience to good use.
FRONTIER PRINCE is a half-brother to one who made a successful start in bumpers for the yard and makes most appeal in a race that might not take much winning. Intosomethinggood is an obvious player for Nigel Twiston-Davies, while Farhh Echo could improve on his opening effort at Huntingdon and take a hand.
Fergal O'Brien's newcomer FRONTIER PRINCE is bred to win a bumper and might be the answer.
(5) True Promise 13/8, 3 wins from 8 runs, including 2 here (3-5 on all-weather). 11/1, career best when winning 12-runner handicap at Southwell (6.1f) 14 days ago, overcoming the widest draw and always just doing enough once in front. Back up 3 lb but good claims again. Tapeta record of 1121; defied the widest stall at Southwell latest; 5f a query; unexposed.
4
2nd (4) (10/3 +63%) Jenever
3.333333
10/3(+63%)
(4) Jenever 10/3, C&D winner. Latest win at Sandown in June. Eleventh of 14 in handicap (5/1) at this C&D 16 days ago. Largely consistent, including on all-weather, so appeals as the type to bounce back quickly. C&D winner; below par here last time but there were excuses; not ruled out.
1
3rd (1) (9/2 -35%) Muker
4.5
9/2(-35%)
(1) Muker 9/2, C&D winner. 18/1, good second of 14 in handicap at this C&D 16 days ago. Big player if backing that up. Two best runs this year have come on Tapeta, including C&D; should go well again.
6
4th (6) (16/1 -33%) Ecclesiastical
16
16/1(-33%)
(6) Ecclesiastical 16/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in September. Bit below form fourth of 9 in handicap at Nottingham (5f, heavy, 15/2) 22 days ago. Tongue strap back on. This is tough. Conditions shouldn't be an issue but he will need a career best to come out on top.
2
5th (2) (11/2 -120%) Looking For Lynda
5.5
11/2(-120%)
(2) Looking For Lynda 11/2, Thirteen runs since last win in 2023. Creditable fourth of 10 in handicap at Haydock (5f, good, 12/1) 61 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. In good heart ahead of his first run here. Still to win this year but usually runs well in stronger company; AW a query but capable.
3
6th (3) (8/1 -14%) Curious Rover
8
8/1(-14%)
(3) Curious Rover 8/1, Latest win at Redcar in October under this rider. Eighth of 10 in handicap (11/1) at Catterick (5f, heavy) 19 days ago. This is easier and he went close on his only other run here a year ago. Struggled in Class 2 events either side of a Class 4 Redcar win; promise in one C&D run.
16:30 Newcastle Handicap (Class 4) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Not beaten far in valuable handicaps the last twice, this represents a significant drop in grade for LOOKING FOR LYNDA, who remains on his last winning mark. The four-year-old may be able to regain the winning thread at the main expense of True Promise, who should not be inconvenienced by dropping to 5f having shown plenty of pace when scoring over further at Southwell last time out. Jenever and Muker are capable of being in the shake-up as well.
A trappy sprint handicap in which the 3-y-os could come to the fore, TRUE PROMISE taken to continue his fine record on tapeta and strike at the expense of Curious Rover. Muker ran well here last time and must be a big player if backing that up.
Jenever wasn't seen to best effect here last time but the progressive TRUE PROMISE can make it 4-5 on Tapeta.
(12) Secret Combination 7/2, Foaled April 21. $30,000 yearling, €18,000 2-y-o, Maximum Security filly. Dam, US 2-y-o 6f winner, half-sister to smart winner up to 1m Nemoralia. Yard also represented by Jester Queen and the market should be informative. This might not take much winning; stable runs two newcomers; betting could be informative.
6
2nd (6) (11/4 -38%) Make Love
2.75
11/4(-38%)
(6) Make Love 11/4, Lightly-raced maiden. 3/1, respectable fifth of 11 in maiden at Yarmouth (8f, good to firm) 49 days ago. Makes polytrack debut and cheekpieces on 1st time. Appears to be the one most likely to make a race of it with Bouvier. Five-race maiden who hasn't progressed but has some of the best form in the field.
3
3rd (3) (7/4 -27%) Bouvier
1.75
7/4(-27%)
(3) Bouvier 7/4, Fair filly. Respectable second of 12 in maiden at Kempton (7f, 5/1) 15 days ago. It's doubtful that there's anything in this race on par with the horse she chased home on that occasion. The one to beat. 0-5 but has run pretty well on AW the last twice and is entitled to respect.
4
4th (4) (66/1 -164%) Desert Eye
66
66/1(-164%)
(4) Desert Eye 66/1, Twice-raced maiden. 28/1, fourth of 12 in maiden at Lingfield (6f, AW) 58 days ago. Probably more of a long-term project. May benefit from the step up in trip but needs to take a considerable step forward.
2
5th (2) (7/1 -17%) Eva Dickson
7
7/1(-17%)
(2) Eva Dickson 7/1, Once-raced maiden. Fourth of 9 in maiden at Southwell (7.1f, 13/2) on debut 28 days ago. Another who will probably be seen in a better when handicapping over further in due course. Fair 4th on debut at Southwell 3 weeks ago; open to improvement; could have part to play.
7
6th (7) (12/1 +76%) The Third Star
12
12/1(+76%)
(7) The Third Star 12/1, Foaled February 14. Iffraaj filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 7f-9f winner Youmzain Star and 2-y-o 7f winner With Love. Yard rarely hits the target with 2-y-o newcomers, so she's probably one for another day. Half-sister to two winners; trainer had 2yo win here last week; one to watch in betting.
5
7th (5) (18/1 +10%) Jester Queen
18
18/1(+10%)
(5) Jester Queen 18/1, Foaled January 31. $45,000 yearling, Practical Joke filly. Dam, US 7.5f-8.5f winner, half-sister to useful US 5f (minor stakes) winner Classy Zip. Worth a peek in the betting. $45,000 yearling; one of two newcomers for connections; market moves will be interesting.
1
8th (1) (125/1 -213%) A La Louche
125
125/1(-213%)
(1) A La Louche 125/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 200/1, sixth of 7 in novice at Southwell (7.1f) 10 days ago, slowly away. Probably more one for middle distance handicaps next season. Makes fourth start; it's likely her future lies over longer trips in handicaps next year.
13
9th (13) (66/1 -65%) Welsh Fizz
66
66/1(-65%)
(13) Welsh Fizz 66/1, Once-raced maiden. Tenth of 12 in novice (22/1) at this C&D on debut 26 days ago. Will need to leave that form well behind if she's to make an impact. Always behind at 22-1 over C&D on last month's debut, but not a forlorn hope today.
11
10th (11) (300/1 -200%) Miss Sovereign
300
300/1(-200%)
(11) Miss Sovereign 300/1, Twice-raced maiden. 150/1, ninth of 10 in maiden at this course (6f) 7 days ago. Hard to fancy. 150-1 on both starts (over 6f here) and well beaten each time.
9
11th (9) (50/1 +50%) Late Star
50
50/1(+50%)
(9) Late Star 50/1, Once-raced maiden. Last of 9 in maiden (80/1) at Newmarket (7f, good) on debut 89 days ago. Readily passed over. Trainer among winners; tailed off at 80-1 at Newmarket in August on her sole outing.
16:55 Chelmsford Stakes (Class 5) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Eva Dickson showed a fair amount of ability to finish fourth on her debut at Southwell and, with normal progression, she could have a say. BOUVIER has produced some solid efforts in her five career starts to date, with her only blip coming when finding Group 2 company too tough at Deauville. She sets the standard with a rating of 77 and looks the one to beat. Any market support for Secret Combination would be interesting.
This represents a golden opportunity for BOUVIER to deservedly open her account, having chased home a potentially useful colt from the Roger Varian yard at Kempton recently. Make Love is the clear pick for forecast purposes in mind, with many of the others, including Eva Dickson, likely to need more time and distance.
Preference is for EVA DICKSON, who was a pretty encouraging fourth on last month's debut at Southwell. Bouvier is feared.
(1) Strong Johnson 11/4, C&D winner. Seventeen runs since last win in 2023. Creditable third of 12 in handicap (9/1) at Southwell (6.1f) 21 days ago. Respected. C&D win off 12lb higher last November; good 3rd at Southwell (6f) latest; should go well.
8
2nd (8) (9/2 +36%) Darlo Pride
4.5
9/2(+36%)
(8) Darlo Pride 9/2, 10/3, creditable second of 10 in handicap at Southwell (5f) 10 days ago. Heading back in the right direction recently and still unexposed for this stable, so worth taking a chance on. Best run for new yard when 2nd at Southwell ten days ago; one of three runners for M Dods.
9
3rd (9) (7/1 +13%) Bibendum
7
7/1(+13%)
(9) Bibendum 7/1, 9/1, creditable second of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 17 days ago. Has slipped to a feasible mark and warrants consideration after returning to form. 0-9 but ran well for 2nd at Wolverhampton 17 days ago; 5f here should be fine; e-w shout.
5
4th (5) (10/3 +52%) Castan
3.333333
10/3(+52%)
(5) Castan 10/3, C&D winner. Creditable third of 10 in handicap (4/1) at this C&D 10 days ago. Usually gives his running here and deserves respect. 10lb lower than for a C&D win in March; solid third here ten days ago; contender.
3
5th (3) (12/1 -71%) Midnight Lir
12
12/1(-71%)
(3) Midnight Lir 12/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2023. 7/1, fifth of 7 in handicap at Hamilton (5f, good) 45 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Needs to bounce back but stable is going well. Handicapper on top this year; should be making an impact at this level; AW debut.
2
6th (2) (16/1 -129%) Winged Messenger
16
16/1(-129%)
(2) Winged Messenger 16/1, Seventh of 10 in handicap at Pontefract (5f, heavy, 9/2) 17 days ago, left poorly placed. Makes tapeta debut. Becoming well treated and can't be ruled out down in grade. Not fully exposed but he needs to rebound from two lesser efforts; AW debut.
11
7th (11) (28/1 -100%) Azucena
28
28/1(-100%)
(11) Azucena 28/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in October. Seventh of 9 in handicap (9/1) at Southwell (5f) 21 days ago. Needs to get back on track. C&D win last month has worked out but she failed to back it up at Southwell last time.
6
8th (6) (16/1 +0%) Gustav Graves
16
16/1(+0%)
(6) Gustav Graves 16/1, C&D winner. 4 wins from 15 runs this year. Below form fifth of 9 in handicap (18/1) at this C&D 10 days ago. Others are more appealing. Five AW wins last winter; back to a more realistic mark now; full revival not far away.
7
9th (7) (12/1 0%) Let's Go Hugo
12
12/1(0%)
(7) Let's Go Hugo 12/1, C&D winner. 5/1, seventh of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 24 days ago, slowly away. Had been shaping up well prior to latest effort. C&D win off this mark in April; not seen to best effect last time; chance if rebounding.
4
10th (4) (20/1 +0%) Delagate This Lord
20
20/1(+0%)
(4) Delagate This Lord 20/1, Respectable third of 8 in handicap (11/1) at Hamilton (5f, good to soft) 38 days ago. On a fair mark and could be on the premises again. Good runs on turf the last twice; has no comparable AW form as yet.
17:05 Newcastle Handicap (Class 5) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
BIBENDUM showed what he is capable of when breaking well at Wolverhampton last time out, and he is likely to build on that promising effort off an unchanged rating. He can get off the mark ahead of Darlo Pride, who bounced back to form with a runner-up effort at Southwell recently. Strong Johnson's last success came over C&D a year ago and he must be noted, along with Castan and Delagate This Lord.
DARLO PRIDE is well handicapped and produced his best effort since joining this yard when runner-up at Southwell last time, so he's fancied to get the better of stablemate Lord Abama, who scored here earlier in the week. Bibendum is another one to consider.
A trappy race in which dual C&D winner CASTAN is tentatively preferred to Let's Go Hugo.
(1) Prefer The Sister 18/1, 10/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, creditable fourth of 9 in handicap at Thirsk (7f, good to firm), slowly away. Off 136 days. First run for yard after leaving Jack Jones and hood refitted. Looks vulnerable. Failed to win for Jack Jones before being sold for 1,200gns; needs to get away better.
3
1st (3) (4/1 +0%) Amaysmont
4
4/1(+0%)
(3) Amaysmont 4/1, C&D winner. 3 wins from 13 runs this year. Latest win at Wolverhampton in September. 9/2, respectable third of 10 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 30 days ago. Likely to be in the thick of things. Currently 3-5 round here; is hard to discount in current form (two wins for Andrea Pinna).
6
2nd (6) (9/1 -13%) Kessaar Power
9
9/1(-13%)
(6) Kessaar Power 9/1, Course winner. Latest win here in October. 9/1, tenth of 11 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 5 days ago. Record is too patchy for comfort. Well beaten on Tapeta last weekend; others make greater appeal back down in trip.
4
3rd (4) (11/4 +21%) Lady Wingalong
2.75
11/4(+21%)
(4) Lady Wingalong 11/4, Latest win at Salisbury in July. 9/1, creditable third of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 14 days ago. Solid claims. Turned over five times at 2-1 or shorter and often pulls hard; needs more off this mark.
2
4th (2) (9/4 +55%) Guiteau
2.25
9/4(+55%)
(2) Guiteau 9/4, 10/3, seventh of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 19 days ago and he's probably worth taking on once more. 2lb drop sees him back around his last winning mark; should go well back in smaller field.
5
5th (5) (7/2 -27%) Thomas Equinas
3.5
7/2(-27%)
(5) Thomas Equinas 7/2, Four-time C&D winner. Career best when winning 6-runner handicap (11/4) at this C&D 12 days ago. 3 lb rise tolerable and another bold show could be on the way. Landed a fifth course win 12 days ago; this looks stronger back up 3lb but he's respected.
17:30 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Thomas Equinas possibly benefited from the reapplication of cheekpieces when scoring by a length over track and trip and it would be no surprise to see him feature off 3lb higher. However, he might come out second best to LADY WINGALONG, who wasn't disgraced in third, despite pulling hard, at Wolverhampton and goes off the same rating. If David Evans' mare can settle better, she could prove very hard to beat. Kessaar Power completes the shortlist.
The vote in this tricky-looking contest goes to LADY WINGALONG, who did well under the circumstances when third at Wolverhampton a fortnight ago. Thomas Equinas rates the main danger on the back of his recent C&D success, which was his fourth win here, but the consistent Amaysmont is also likely to be firmly in the mix.
This can go to GUITEAU, who's on a handy mark and has a better chance of getting his own way back into a smaller field.
(7) Jewel Maker 6/1, C&D winner. 10/1, creditable 3½ lengths second of 11 to Barleybrown in handicap at this C&D 16 days ago, suited by way race developed. Place possibilities. Chased home Barleybrown here 16 days ago and 7lb better off today; each-way claims.
4
2nd (4) (9/2 +18%) Mercurius Power
4.5
9/2(+18%)
(4) Mercurius Power 9/2, C&D winner. Latest win at Southwell in August. Good third of 12 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f, 8/1) 10 days ago, nearest finish. One to consider. Unlucky in running when 3rd at Southwell ten days ago; strong claims off the same mark.
3
3rd (3) (5/2 +25%) Barleybrown
2.5
5/2(+25%)
(3) Barleybrown 5/2, Temperamental sort. 4-time C&D winner. 4 wins from 14 runs this year. 10/3, good second of 11 in handicap at this C&D 9 days ago, caught further back than ideal. Clearly in good nick and, provided that he is able to keep things in check, another bold show could be on the way. Four C&D wins for R Carr this year; good 2nd last week; up in weights but improving.
8
4th (8) (13/2 +13%) Falcon Nine
6.5
13/2(+13%)
(8) Falcon Nine 13/2, Bit below form seventh of 13 in handicap (8/1) at Kempton (8f) 29 days ago, having hopeless task from position. Improved when a clear second on his penultimate start at Yarmouth and he's of interest here based on that evidence. 13-race maiden; not at his best last time and others look more persuasive.
1
5th (1) (11/1 +21%) Golspie
11
11/1(+21%)
(1) Golspie 11/1, 20/1, below form fifth of 11 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, heavy) 12 days ago. Decent effort when fourth on penultimate start at Wolverhampton off a 4 lb higher mark and he's now without each-way hope. Edging down the weights while retaining ability; not discounted at this level.
6
6th (6) (15/2 -7%) Alpine Sierra
7.5
15/2(-7%)
(6) Alpine Sierra 15/2, Respectable 3½ lengths third of 11 to Barleybrown in handicap (12/1) at this C&D 16 days ago, suited by way race developed. Now 7 lb better off with that rival and he's a serious each-way player. Yet to win this year but has threatened, including C&D latest; each-way shout.
10
7th (10) (50/1 -150%) Sandret
50
50/1(-150%)
(10) Sandret 50/1, C&D winner. Sixth of 8 in handicap at Ripon (8f, good to firm, 28/1) 72 days ago. Needs to get back on track and while he would have a chance if able to do so, one or two of these nevertheless make more appeal. C&D win off 8lb higher in 2022; quiet this year and others are stronger.
5
8th (5) (28/1 -75%) Pallas Lord
28
28/1(-75%)
(5) Pallas Lord 28/1, Four-time C&D winner. 5 wins from 12 runs this year. Ninth of 11 in handicap (20/1) at this C&D 20 days ago. Others make more appeal on this occasion. In fine form here early in the year but not shone in two runs back from a summer break.
2
9th (2) (16/1 +20%) Cusack
16
16/1(+20%)
(2) Cusack 16/1, Three-time C&D winner. Eighth of 11 in handicap (25/1) at this C&D 9 days ago and he needs to bounce back in a major way. On a dangerous mark if two runs last month have sharpened him up; betting useful.
9
10th (9) (7/1 +30%) Unreal Connection
7
7/1(+30%)
(9) Unreal Connection 7/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2023. Below form sixth of 14 in handicap at Kempton (8f, 15/2) 15 days ago. Makes tapeta debut for new yard and she will be a danger to all if she puts her best foot forward. Infrequent winner for A Perrrett but has the ability to go well on her stable debut.
17:40 Newcastle Handicap (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
BARLEYBROWN has turned a corner in recent months with the four-year-old winning twice over C&D from his last four starts and his latest second here suggested that the improvement shown is unlikely to stop any time soon. Jewel Maker (second) and Alpine Sierra (third) chased home the selection last month and are expected to play similar roles once again, while Mercurius Power completes the shortlist based on his Southwell third.
It can pay to give another chance to FALCON NINE, who was left with too much to do at Kempton last time and he had previously stepped up when a good second at Yarmouth in September. Mercurius Power is a live danger, while Alpine Sierra, who is taken to reverse last month's C&D placings with Barleybrown and Jewel Maker, also has claims in a competitive handicap.
Barleybrown and Unreal Connection are high on the list but MERCURIUS POWER looked in top form when third at Southwell last time.
(1) Pine Cliffs 7/2, Lightly-raced maiden. 25/1, creditable fourth of 12 in nursery at Southwell (8.1f) 17 days ago. Up in trip. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Needs a couple of these to falter. No better in nurseries yet, but new trip could rectify that; cheekpieces are added..
2
2nd (2) (14/1 +44%) No Release
14
14/1(+44%)
(2) No Release 14/1, Modest maiden who fared no better in first-time blinkers when sixth of 9 in nursery (40/1) at Kempton (8f) 22 days ago, slowly away. Up in trip. Yet to improve for nurseries, albeit refusing to settle in blinkers last time (retained)..
4
3rd (4) (4/1 -78%) Capricorn King
4
4/1(-78%)
(4) Capricorn King 4/1, Creditable second of 10 in nursery at Leicester (8.2f, heavy, 5/2) 23 days ago. Step back up in trip will suit on polytrack debut and has to be of interest in first-time blinkers for in-form yard. Beat two of these at Leicester; son of a middle-distance winner oughtn't fail for stamina..
6
4th (6) (12/1 -118%) Good Call
12
12/1(-118%)
(6) Good Call 12/1, 17/2, creditable third of 9 in nursery at Kempton (8f) 22 days ago, running on. Up in trip. Beat two of these at Kempton latest; consistent if exposed, but might see out 1m2f..
8
5th (8) (50/1 -52%) Astroqualis
50
50/1(-52%)
(8) Astroqualis 50/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, fifth of 9 in nursery (200/1) at Kempton (8f) 22 days ago. Up in trip. Has work to do. Ahead of No Release on both nursery starts without threatening in either; more needed..
7
6th (7) (10/3 +39%) Spaceage Love Song
3.333333
10/3(+39%)
(7) Spaceage Love Song 10/3, Little form in 3 maidens/nursery. Up in trip for polytrack debut and sports a first-time visor. Finally beat rivals but couldn't vindicate the strong support on nursery debut (1m)..
5
7th (5) (11/4 +17%) Freak Encounter
2.75
11/4(+17%)
(5) Freak Encounter 11/4, 10/3, run best excused when fourth of 10 in nursery at Leicester (8.2f, heavy) 23 days ago, hampered and tramped wide. Up in trip and needs considering. Looked in need of stiffer test at Southwell two runs ago (1m); heavy didn't suit latest..
3
8th (3) (18/1 -125%) Downcliffe Flyer
18
18/1(-125%)
(3) Downcliffe Flyer 18/1, Has shown very little so far but needs a precautionary market check now switching to a low-grade nursery over an appreciably longer trip. Shown little on fast and slow turf up to 7.5f, but still some grounds for hope..
18:00 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Capricorn King had Good Call (third) and Freak Encounter (fourth) behind when taking the silver medal home in heavy conditions at Leicester last month and now sports first-time blinkers, which could eke out more to help confirm the form. However, it may pay to side with PINE CLIFFS, who showed more when fourth over a mile at Southwell and has been dropped 2lb. With the step up in trip a possible source for improvement, he gets the nod.
CAPRICORN KING is sure to benefit from the step back up in trip and, with the possibility of first-time blinkers triggering a bit of improvement, he earns the vote for an in-form yard. Freak Encounter had excuses on his most recent outing and is considered the main threat ahead of Good Call.
This could go to CAPRICORN KING if settling better than on one other try at 1m2f. Freak Encounter may appreciate this trip also.
(2) Hk Fourteen 5/2, Lightly-raced winner. Career best when winning 10-runner handicap (11/4) at Bath (5.7f, soft) 7 days ago, kept up to work. Will be tough to beat under a penalty here, provided he takes to this surface. Landed a gamble in fine style last week despite hanging left; 6lb well in under a penalty.
3
2nd (3) (15/2 +32%) Captain Vallo
7.5
15/2(+32%)
(3) Captain Vallo 15/2, C&D winner. Fifteen runs since last win in 2022. 9/1, creditable third of 10 in handicap at this C&D 9 days ago. Place possibilities. Split two of today's rivals when 3rd over C&D last week; other stronger for win purposes.
1
3rd (1) (3/1 +40%) Fircombe Hall
3
3/1(+40%)
(1) Fircombe Hall 3/1, Six-time C&D winner. 3 wins from 19 runs this year. 7/2, good second of 10 in handicap at this C&D 9 days ago. Solid each-way chance. Multiple C&D winner who has run well here in two of his last three starts; solid claims.
8
4th (8) (5/1 +44%) Bernie The Bear
5
5/1(+44%)
(8) Bernie The Bear 5/1, C&D winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2023. Second of 10 in handicap at this C&D (15/2) 9 days ago. Cheekpieces back on and unlikely he will be far away. C&D winner who ran well for second here last week; cheekpieces return; contender.
4
5th (4) (11/2 +15%) Urban Dandy
5.5
11/2(+15%)
(4) Urban Dandy 11/2, Course winner. Twenty runs since last win in 2023. Creditable second of 11 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f, 11/4) 7 days ago, no match for winner. Visor on 1st time and he's not without each-way hope. Poor strike-rate but comes here on the back of two good 7f runs; change of headgear today.
7
6th (7) (16/1 -129%) Evoluir
16
16/1(-129%)
(7) Evoluir 16/1, Produced a career-best when landing a 11-runner handicap at Southwell (6.1f, 6/1) 17 days ago. 3 lb rise fair enough and merits respect in follow-up bid on debut for new connections. Snug 6f win at Southwell last month; sold for £4,000 the following day; still on fair mark.
9
7th (9) (125/1 -89%) Robespierre
125
125/1(-89%)
(9) Robespierre 125/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Tenth of 11 in handicap at Yarmouth (6f, soft, 66/1) 16 days ago. Readily passed over. Poor form in four starts, including handicap debut last month; hard to fancy.
6
8th (6) (17/2 +39%) Noble Captain
8.5
17/2(+39%)
(6) Noble Captain 17/2, C&D winner. Respectable fourth of 10 in handicap at this C&D (6/1) 9 days ago. Another who makes some each-way appeal. Two C&D wins this year but finished behind Bernie The Bear here last week.
5
9th (5) (150/1 -127%) Lady Ursula
150
150/1(-127%)
(5) Lady Ursula 150/1, 150/1, seventh of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 45 days ago and she looks set for another struggle. Huge prices and modest form in two runs for this yard after long layoff; headgear back now.
18:15 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
The drop back to sprinting made a big difference to HK FOURTEEN when improving plenty from his handicap bow to score at Bath last Thursday. Tony Carroll's gelding is unlikely to have any issue in backing up under a 5lb penalty, despite this being a competitive race for the grade. Evoluir debuts for Micky Hammond after winning at Southwell last time and boasts solid credentials, while Urban Dandy and Fircombe Hall appear best of the remainder.
Sprinting is clearly HK FOURTEEN's game judged on his much-improved, clear-cut success dropped to 5.7f at Bath last week. Assuming that he will prove equally effective on tapeta, the lightly-raced 4-y-o will take plenty of stopping under a penalty. Fellow last-time-out winner Evoluir gets the nod for forecast purposes ahead of Fircombe Hall and Urban Dandy.
HK Fourteen is the obvious starting point but FIRCOMBE HALL loves it here and looks a sporting alternative.
(7) Palazzo Blu 7/2, Foaled February 12. Saxon Warrior colt. Dam, 2-y-o 7f winner, sister to useful 1m-1¼m winner Tamarama out of smart 7f-9f winner Kalsa. Out of a 7f Polytrack 2yo novice winner, but still seems likelier one for other days..
6
2nd (6) (6/1 +20%) Mersea Island
6
6/1(+20%)
(6) Mersea Island 6/1, Raced 3 times, taking a backward step when last of 7 in maiden at Newmarket (10f, soft) 15 days ago. Blinkers applied. Soft ground not ideal latest but should be capable of better over 1m2f; blinkers added..
1
3rd (1) (1/1 -37%) Aegean Prince
1
1/1(-37%)
(1) Aegean Prince 1/1, Foaled May 18. Dubawi colt. Dam, winner up to 1m (including at 2 yrs) who stayed 1½m, half-sister to smart 1¼m winner Harland. Has to be of serious interest on debut given connections. Nephew of a Listed (British) and Group 2 (French) 1m2f scorer; looks a serious contender..
2
4th (2) (25/1 -56%) Ammes
25
25/1(-56%)
(2) Ammes 25/1, Foaled April 5. No Nay Never colt. Brother to 10.7f-1½m winner Autocrat and half-brother to 1m winner Benitoite. Brother and dam have both won over this trip and beyond; yard still firing in the winners..
4
5th (4) (7/1 -40%) Kentucky River
7
7/1(-40%)
(4) Kentucky River 7/1, Foaled March 20. Camelot colt. Half-brother to 3 winners, including high-class winner up to 2m Protectionist and 1m-1¼m winner Primatist. Dam unraced. Starts out over the right sort of trip on breeding. Half-brother to Melbourne Cup hero Protectionist (also 2yo winner at 1m); shortlisted..
5
6th (5) (14/1 +30%) Kokanee
14
14/1(+30%)
(5) Kokanee 14/1, Foaled April 5. €50,000 yearling, Kameko colt. Half-brother to 3 winners, including 2-y-o 6f winner Hot Touch and 6.5f/7f winner Mused. Half-brother to three 2yo Polytrack winners, albeit all over shorter and none on debut..
3
7th (3) (22/1 -83%) Hi Ya Mal
22
22/1(-83%)
(3) Hi Ya Mal 22/1, Very low-key debut but showed a lot more when third of 5 in novice at Bath (10.2f, heavy, 6/1) 28 days ago. Third of five at Bath latest (1m2f, heavy); might need even further already..
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content,
18:30 Chelmsford Stakes (Class 4) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
There is plenty to like about the chances of 110,000gns purchase Kentucky River on paper and it would be no surprise if the son of Camelot had enough ability to play a part first time up. That said, preference is for AEGEAN PRINCE. Charlie Appleby is operating at a 29 per cent strike-rate at this venue this year and his Dubawi colt gets the nod to score at the first time of asking. Hi Ya Mal is also considered.
AEGEAN PRINCE rather leaps off the page as a Dubwai colt and the first foal of a smart mare at up to 1½m so he makes plenty of appeal on debut. Kentucky River is also bred to stay well and is in very capable hands, while Mersea Island will attempt to put his experience to good use.
This looks a good introduction for AEGEAN PRINCE, nephew of a 1m2f scorer at up to Group 2 level. Kentucky River is next best.
(2) Switchel 11/2, Still a maiden but gave another good account of herself when second of 14 in handicap (7/2) at this C&D 21 days ago. Hood removed. Regressive maiden who's found her level now; leading player if amenable minus the hood.
4
2nd (4) (17/2 +6%) Renesmee
8.5
17/2(+6%)
(4) Renesmee 17/2, Latest win at Wolverhampton in October. 15/2, creditable fourth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 14 days ago, having benefit of enterprising ride. Merits consideration given start she's made for this stable. Boasts a patchy record on Polytrack; needs more from the outside stall.
8
3rd (8) (4/1 +50%) Cakewalk
4
4/1(+50%)
(8) Cakewalk 4/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Respectable fifth of 10 in handicap (17/2) at Kempton (11f) 87 days ago. Has work to do from this mark but she's in the right hands. Again below par latest but has since been eased 3lb and it's too soon to write her off.
5
4th (5) (13/2 +46%) Palazzo Persico
6.5
13/2(+46%)
(5) Palazzo Persico 13/2, C&D winner. Ninth of 14 in handicap (10/1) at this course (8f) 12 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Back up in trip. Hasn't shone since returned to the AW but the step back up in trip should see improvement.
6
5th (6) (14/1 0%) Mc'ted
14
14/1(0%)
(6) Mc'ted 14/1, C&D winner. 4 wins from 12 runs this year. 10/1, eleventh of 14 in handicap at this C&D 26 days ago. Perhaps the effect of the cheekpieces has worn off and he'll need to be right back on it.
9
6th (9) (13/2 -63%) Jenson Benson
6.5
13/2(-63%)
(9) Jenson Benson 13/2, Four-time course winner. Sixteen runs since last win in 2023. Creditable third of 14 in handicap at this C&D (10/1) 21 days ago. Has to be taken seriously from this lowly mark. Regressive; again looked to have no excuses behind Switchel over C&D last time.
1
7th (1) (11/2 +50%) Arenas Del Tiempo
5.5
11/2(+50%)
(1) Arenas Del Tiempo 11/2, Twenty-one runs since last win in 2021. 13/2 and visored for first time, respectable third of 8 in handicap at this course (8f) 7 days ago. Back up in trip, which promises to suit. The first-time visor helped here last week; the return to this trip will suit; shortlisted.
3
8th (3) (28/1 -133%) Fibonacci Sequence
28
28/1(-133%)
(3) Fibonacci Sequence 28/1, Confirmed debut promise when landing 1m novice here in August. Last of 8 in handicap (15/2) at Thirsk (8f, good) 52 days ago. Up in trip and more needed from this mark. Well held on her handicap/turf debut when last seen; needs to improve for the stiffer test.
7
9th (7) (9/2 +25%) Born A Rebel
4.5
9/2(+25%)
(7) Born A Rebel 9/2, Back down to last winning mark and took a step in the right direction when third of 14 in handicap at this course (8f) 12 days ago, never nearer. Back up in trip and she isn't an easy ride. Looked worth another go over it when coming home nicely over 1m here latest; player.
19:00 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
RENESMEE struck over an extended 1m1f at Wolverhampton and lost little in defeat when an admirable fourth over the same C&D subsequently. Off the same mark, Alice Haynes' filly gets the nod to return to winning ways. Born A Rebel caught the eye when a staying-on third over a mile here and must be considered stepping back up in trip off an unchanged rating. Runner-up over track and trip last month, Switchel completes the shortlist off 1lb higher.
JENSON BENSON has registered all of his career wins at this venue, and from a handy mark with Jason Hart in the saddle, he has plenty to recommend him. Switchel seems very likely to give it a good go unless the removal of a hood has a negative effect, with Renesmee also of interest.
Last Thursday's third over 1m here was more like it from ARENAS DEL TIEMPO in a first-time visor and she's preferred to Switchel.
(1) Twilight Fun 10/11, Two wins from 6 runs this year. 11/1 and cheekpieces on for first time, career best for latest of them in 10-runner handicap at this course (6f) 40 days ago, just holding on. Shortlist material up just 2 lb. 2lb rise looks more than fair and he may try to burn them off again from stall 1.
4
2nd (4) (13/2 -95%) Agostino
6.5
13/2(-95%)
(4) Agostino 13/2, 10/3, improved on recent efforts to win 10-runner handicap at this C&D 12 days ago, settling better than has been the case. 5 lb rise asks for more but he's clearly in good nick. Made all over C&D 12 days ago; is drawn widest upped 5lb into better company.
6
3rd (6) (11/1 -10%) Alafdhal
11
11/1(-10%)
(6) Alafdhal 11/1, Four-time course winner. 3 wins from 21 runs this year. Creditable third of 9 in handicap at Bath (5f, soft, 13/2) 7 days ago. Going through a good spell. This is likely to be strongly run; will probably need them to go too hard and come back.
2
4th (2) (11/2 +39%) Smooth Silesie
5.5
11/2(+39%)
(2) Smooth Silesie 11/2, C&D winner. 5 wins from 22 runs this year. Latest win at Bath in September. 8/1, respectable third of 9 in handicap at Nottingham (5f, soft) 8 days ago. Standing up really well to an intensive campaign. Enjoying a good year, winning five times and going up 18lb in the weights; set to go well.
5
5th (5) (11/2 -22%) Papa Don't Preach
5.5
11/2(-22%)
(5) Papa Don't Preach 11/2, C&D winner. Latest win here in October. 5/6, respectable fourth of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 19 days ago. Can remain very competitive at this sort of level. Last month's C&D win off 5lb lower has worked out well since; should go well again.
3
6th (3) (15/2 -25%) Sir Rodneyredblood
7.5
15/2(-25%)
(3) Sir Rodneyredblood 15/2, Four-time C&D winner. Latest win at Lingfield in August. Creditable second of 9 in handicap at this course (6f, 8/1) 7 days ago. Way he shapes suggests return to 5f will suit. Has 14 AW wins to his name, half of them round here; does a lot of his racing now over 6f.
19:30 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 5) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
AGOSTINO appeared to appreciate the step back down to the minimum trip when making all over C&D last month and, off a 5lb higher mark, he gets the nod to bring up a double. Twilight Fun rediscovered his shooting boots in first-time cheekpieces (retained) over 6f here and he must be respected off 2lb higher, while Papa Don't Preach is respected most out of the remainder.
SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD came within a neck of adding to his Chelmsford haul over 6f a week ago and, equally effective over 5f, he's surely a big player from the same mark. Twilight Fun reacted well to cheekpieces when winning here in September and he looks the main danger.
A good burn-up looks on the cards and hard-puller TWILIGHT FUN should be fine with the return to 5f. Papa Don't Preach is next best.
(3) Monsieur Kodi 2/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2023. 13/2, shape well when fourth of 11 in handicap at Catterick (7f, soft) 36 days ago. Makes polytrack debut and a danger to all if he takes to it. Having easiest assignment on synthetics for years; not disgraced over 7f latest..
6
2nd (6) (5/1 +50%) Blackjack
5
5/1(+50%)
(6) Blackjack 5/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Southwell in August. 11/1, respectable third of 8 in handicap at Southwell (6.1f) 10 days ago. C&D and Southwell 6f wins in 2024, but doesn't appeal as on a winning mark at present..
1
3rd (1) (9/4 +25%) Princess Shabnam
2.25
9/4(+25%)
(1) Princess Shabnam 9/4, C&D winner. Twenty one runs since last win in 2022. Cheekpieces on for first time, creditable fifth of 12 in handicap at Southwell (6.1f, 33/1) 14 days ago, encountering a wide trip. Drops in class. Led until final 110yds in a C&D 0-80 last month; drops into her first class 5 handicap..
4
4th (4) (11/2 -22%) Hierarchy
5.5
11/2(-22%)
(4) Hierarchy 11/2, Twelve runs since last win in 2023. 10/11, last of 8 in claimer at Kempton (6f) 15 days ago. That race may have come too soon and he's dangerous if bouncing back. Excuse in Kempton claimer latest; numerous place finishes immediately before that..
7
5th (7) (33/1 -18%) Legend Of Leros
33
33/1(-18%)
(7) Legend Of Leros 33/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. Fifth of 8 in claimer at Kempton (6f, 40/1) 15 days ago. Ahead of Hierarchy in a claimer latest without suggesting his own turn is near again..
2
6th (2) (6/1 -71%) Maid In Chelsea
6
6/1(-71%)
(2) Maid In Chelsea 6/1, Thrice-raced winner. 2 wins from 3 runs this year. Won 3-runner novice at Windsor (5.1f, heavy, 13/8) 24 days ago, always holding on. Makes handicap debut and more is needed, but she's clearly not yet exposed. 5f novice winner the last twice but will stay 6f and further; competitive opening mark..
20:00 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 4) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Having completed a brace a shade cosily at Windsor last month, MAID IN CHELSEA enters handicap company off what looks a fair mark. Jack Jones' filly scored on the Tapeta at Wolverhampton in September and she makes plenty of appeal on her Polytrack debut. The biggest threat may emerge from Monsieur Kodi, who arrives on the back of a respectable fourth at Catterick. Others to note include Blackjack and Princess Shabnam.
This is quite late in the day for MONSIEUR KODI to tackle polytrack for the first time but shaped quite nicely at Catterick last time and he's a regular in better handicaps than this. He's therefore awarded the vote in favour of Princess Shabnam and Hierarchy.
A good showing in a C&D 0-80 last month earns PRINCESS SHABNAM the vote over Monsieur Kodi and the unexposed Maid In Chelsea.
(5) Hat Toss 6/1, Latest win at Sandown in August. Caught further back than ideal when third of 11 in handicap at Kempton (7f, 16/1) 29 days ago. Is shaping up very well so a must for consideration. Often pulls hard but has been consistent all year; enters calculations.
4
2nd (4) (17/2 +15%) Helm Rock
8.5
17/2(+15%)
(4) Helm Rock 17/2, Twelve runs since last win in 2023. 11/1, twelfth of 14 in handicap at Kempton (8f) 36 days ago. Dropping in the weights but hard to warm to until showing more spark. Tumbled down the weights this year and cheekpieces haven't made much difference latterly.
2
3rd (2) (11/4 +31%) Pjanoo
2.75
11/4(+31%)
(2) Pjanoo 11/4, 16/1, creditable fourth of 14 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 70 days ago given he was drawn poorly. Fared better in that department this time and he can give a good account. Goes well fresh; latest run from a wide stall was better than it looked; one to consider.
7
4th (7) (16/5 +47%) Expensive Queen
3.2
16/5(+47%)
(7) Expensive Queen 16/5, 9/1, first run since leaving Kevin Ryan when very good second of 10 in handicap at Sandown (8f, good) 50 days ago, just failing. Makes polytrack debut and could have more to offer for this yard. Bounced back for her new trainer latest; sister to a Polytrack winner; shortlisted.
1
5th (1) (6/1 +20%) Koy Koy
6
6/1(+20%)
(1) Koy Koy 6/1, 18/1 and cheekpieces on for first time, tenth of 12 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f) 21 days ago. Makes polytrack debut with that headgear off and he's likely to bounce back eased in class. Tapeta winner last autumn who's regressed; easier race than he's used to, on Polytrack bow.
6
6th (6) (11/2 +31%) Samra Star
5.5
11/2(+31%)
(6) Samra Star 11/2, Wolverhampton winner on second start but proved much too free when seventh of 10 in novice at Goodwood (9.9f, good) 65 days ago, also hampered. Makes handicap debut and mark looks stiff. Pulled hard/well beaten last time; comes down in trip on her handicap debut; market useful.
3
7th (3) (20/1 -122%) Cephalus
20
20/1(-122%)
(3) Cephalus 20/1, Course winner. Nine wins from 28 Flat runs. 4 wins from 9 runs this year. Last of 11 in handicap (80/1) at Salisbury (9.9f, good to soft) 35 days ago, not knocked about on return from a break, Visor now the headgear of choice and he'll step up on that effort back on the AW. 8-19 on the AW and two poor turf efforts latterly are probably best ignored.
9
8th (9) (14/1 +36%) Lake Teo
14
14/1(+36%)
(9) Lake Teo 14/1, Last of 8 in handicap (16/1) at Newmarket (8f, heavy) 42 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Exposed maiden who's done most racing on turf over further; will need a career-best effort.
8
9th (8) (66/1 -65%) Forca Timao
66
66/1(-65%)
(8) Forca Timao 66/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2022. 50/1, first run since leaving Richard Hannon when seventh of 9 in handicap at Sandown (10f, soft) 55 days ago. Now needs to build on that. Soft ground maybe wasn't ideal for his new yard but he's regressed over the past 12 months.
20:30 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 4) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
HAT TOSS hasn't enjoyed the smoothest of passages in two placed efforts since his victory over a mile at Sandown in August and compensation could be on the cards. The New Bay gelding should relish a return to this distance and a third career victory looks imminent. Expensive Queen offered plenty of encouragement with her second-placed stable bow at the Esher venue and she's feared most, ahead of the down-in-grade Pjanoo.
Having won at Sandown in August, HAT TOSS has shaped well on both starts since, left with too much to do in a steadily-run race last time, and he looks poised to strike. Expensive Queen made an excellent start for James Tate in September and is second choice, ahead of Pjanoo.
Hat Toss looked a bit unlucky back on the AW last time but this can go to EXPENSIVE QUEEN (nap), whose yard has been in good form.
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Meaning
TomForm top stats, gold rated
TomForm top stats silver rated
Ran similar race before
S
TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out
T
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How to use Tomform
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
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