There were 41 Races on Tuesday 7th November 2023 across 5 meetings. There was 8 races at Fairyhouse, 8 races at Warwick, 7 races at Chelmsford-City, 9 races at Lingfield, 9 races at Newcastle, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
Races & Results Tuesday 7th November 2023
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
(2) Mount Mogan 11/2, C&D winner. Seventeen runs since last win in 2022. 40/1, seventh of 9 in C&D handicap 84 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Starting to look well handicapped. 23lb lower than when winning over C&D early last year, but more out than in since.
6
2nd (6) (16/1 +11%) Hold The Press
16
16/1(+11%)
(6) Hold The Press 16/1, C&D winner in September but needs to bounce back from a poor run at Chelmsford since. 100-1 winner over C&D in September, but little to get excited about otherwise.
1
3rd (1) (9/4 +55%) Nubough
2.25
9/4(+55%)
(1) Nubough 9/4, Course winner. Two wins from 49 Flat runs. Nineteen runs since last win in 2021 but he arrives on the back of creditable placed efforts on his last 3 outings. Likely to be in the mix again. Has run well at Chelmsford the last twice; drops into a 0-55 for the first time on the AW.
9
4th (9) (9/1 -50%) Equiami
9
9/1(-50%)
(9) Equiami 9/1, 11/1, sixth of 8 in handicap at Chelmsford (7f) 10 days ago. That was his first outing in 4 months and he might strip fitter now. 5lb below his winning mark, but four attempts since don't suggest he can take advantage.
8
5th (8) (100/1 -150%) Optimal Sinn
100
100/1(-150%)
(8) Optimal Sinn 100/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 125/1 and cheekpieces on first time, eleventh of 14 in handicap at Kempton (7f) 27 days ago. Others are preferred. Well held in all four starts and not hard to oppose.
3
6th (3) (9/1 -13%) Run Cmc
9
9/1(-13%)
(3) Run Cmc 9/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Bit below form fourth of 8 in C&D handicap 11 days ago. Visor back on. Not shown much since the summer and achieved little when fourth over C&D 11 days ago.
10
7th (10) (125/1 -279%) Lady Of Nepal
125
125/1(-279%)
(10) Lady Of Nepal 125/1, 33/1, last of 11 in handicap at this course (1¼m, AW) 33 days ago. Remains to be seen if a significant drop in trip improves matters. Some ability on second start but heavy defeats otherwise; drops in trip; watch market.
4
8th (4) (13/2 +19%) Luxy Lou
6.5
13/2(+19%)
(4) Luxy Lou 13/2, C&D winner. Latest win at Bath in July. Lost all chance at the start when down the field over 1m here latest. Respected under Loughnane. Two wins this year including over C&D; latest effort can be excused; shortlisted.
5
9th (5) (9/4 -29%) Hersilia
2.25
9/4(-29%)
(5) Hersilia 9/4, Second of 12 in handicap (4/1) at Ffos Las (7.5f, soft) 54 days ago. Less exposed than a lot of these and one to consider under Crowley. 0-8 but ran well when second at Ffos Las last time and form since boosted; respected.
12
10th (12) (40/1 +20%) Gintini
40
40/1(+20%)
(12) Gintini 40/1, Poor maiden. 28/1, last of 11 in handicap at this course (1m, AW) 33 days ago. Unplaced all 11 starts; this trip more suitable but opposed all the same.
LTO Selection:
11:37 Lingfield Handicap (Class 6) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
The in-form Nubough is likely to be competitive but, given that he hasn't won since December 2021, the seven-year-old carries plenty of risk. With that in mind, HERSILIA may be worth chancing now she reverts to the all-weather on the back of a respectable second at Ffos Las in September. Unexposed over the trip, the selection wasn't beaten far that day and may do better with her stamina now proven. White Mist was fifth in that race but may get closer with Kaiya Fraser's 5lb claim a useful asset.
HERSILIA looked suited by the step up to 7f when second at Ffos Las last time and is taken to go one better now. White Mist, Nubough and Luxy Lou can give Charlie Hills's filly most to do.
The vote goes to topweight NUBOUGH who has run well the last twice and drops into a 0-55 on the AW for the very first time.
(3) Imagine 9/4, Useful hurdler. Respectable third of 9 in minor event hurdle (9/4) at Punchestown (19.8f, good to soft) when last seen in April. Will surely be in the mix, provided his jumping passes the test now switched to fences. One of the standout contenders on hurdling exploits; has chasers in the family.
4
2nd (4) (11/4 +31%) Inothewayurthinkin
2.75
11/4(+31%)
(4) Inothewayurthinkin 11/4, Lightly-raced winner over hurdles. Fourth of 5 in a Grade 1 novice hurdle at Punchestown on latest start in April. Mark Walsh's pick of several JP McManus-owned runners in this and bold show likely if taking to fences at the first attempt. Not out of his depth in Grade 1s hurdles and is bred to be a superior chaser.
9
3rd (9) (5/1 +9%) Pinkerton
5
5/1(+9%)
(9) Pinkerton 5/1, Useful hurdler. 28/1, bit below form tenth of 24 in handicap hurdle at Cheltenham (16.8f, good to soft). Off 7 months. Makes chase debut and claims if reproducing pick of his hurdles form. Best RPR of 141 over hurdles and last seen finishing tenth in the County at Cheltenham.
11
4th (11) (11/4 -83%) Sandor Clegane
2.75
11/4(-83%)
(11) Sandor Clegane 11/4, Useful hurdler. Useful winner at 22f over hurdles. 15/8, career best when winning 12-runner minor event hurdle at Punchestown (19.8f, good to soft) on final start of last season. Looks a chasing type and likely to play a leading role if he jumps proficiently. Stayed 3m over hurdles and to a high standard; form at 2m wasn't too shoddy.
12
5th (12) (40/1 +39%) Verdant Place
40
40/1(+39%)
(12) Verdant Place 40/1, Fairly useful hurdler. 10/1, fifth of 8 in novice chase at this course (21.5f, soft) on debut over fences 31 days ago. Down in trip. Likely to find a few of these too strong. Useful hurdler but unlikely to be troubling the best of these, especially at this trip.
8
6th (8) (12/1 +0%) Path D'oroux
12
12/1(+0%)
(8) Path D'oroux 12/1, Useful hurdler. 30¼ lengths fourth of 6 to Hercule Du Seuil in Buck House Novices' Chase (17/2) at Punchestown (18.2f, good to soft) 27 days ago. Inothewayurthinkin is presumably the stable No 1. Good hurdler but has finished tailed off in two Graded chases.
13
7th (13) (100/1 +0%) Kates Hill
100
100/1(+0%)
(13) Kates Hill 100/1, Lightly-raced maiden under Rules. 11/2, first run since leaving P. E. Collins when creditable third of 18 in novice hurdle at Cork (19f, good to soft). Off 6 months ahead of this chase debut. Hard to fancy in this company on her hurdling form; will want further in time.
7
8th (7) (20/1 -43%) Neveradullmoment
20
20/1(-43%)
(7) Neveradullmoment 20/1, Promising sort. 1 win from 3 runs this season. Second of 8 in novice chase at Galway (18.5f, heavy, 5/1) on debut over fences 35 days ago, finishing with running left. Open to improvement in this sphere. Wouldn't beat a few of these over hurdles but he has the benefit of chasing experience.
6
9th (6) (200/1 -100%) Mc Alpine
200
200/1(-100%)
(6) Mc Alpine 200/1, Fairly useful hurdler. Unseated rider in novice chase at Cork (17.6f, good to soft, 28/1) on debut over fences 23 days ago. Readily passed over. Inferior hurdler to some of these; unseated mid-race when 28-1 for a novice chase at Cork.
5
10th (5) (100/1 -52%) Invictus Machin
100
100/1(-52%)
(5) Invictus Machin 100/1, Lightly-raced winner under Rules. Seventh of 13 in novice chase at this C&D (soft, 40/1) on debut over fences 31 days ago, finishing with running left. Open to progress, but yard saddles a stronger candidate in Inothewayurthinkin. Winning hurdler; 40-1 and was tailed off on recent chase debut here.
2
|PU| (2) (250/1 +0%) Cross Court
250
250/1(+0%)
(2) Cross Court 250/1, Poor hurdler. 50/1, first run since leaving W. J. Bryson when eighth of 12 in novice chase at Downpatrick (19.2f, soft) on debut over fences 32 days ago. Hard to fancy. Modest hurdler who finished a remote eighth on his switch to chasing at Downpatrick.
LTO Selection:
11:53 Fairyhouse Maiden Chase 16f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
A hot contest that should produce plenty of winners in the coming months. Neveradullmoment's second at Galway is the best chase form on show but this is likely to go to a first-timer over fences and INOTHEWAYURTHINKIN is a tentative selection. He won his first two hurdle races over this trip last season and was a creditable fourth in a Grade 1 over 2m4f at Naas. Gavin Cromwell's charge is related to useful chasers. Imagine, who has won first time out in the last two campaigns, was only beaten half a length by the selection at Gowran a little under a year ago and went on to finish a creditable fifth in the Martin Pipe. He's from a family of winning chasers in France. Sandor Clegane was beaten little more than a length in the Albert Bartlett before dropping in class to win over 2m4f at Punchestown. He'll obviously want further than this as the season goes on but should give a good account of himself.
A good quality maiden chase, featuring several potentially useful recruits. SANDOR CLEGANE starts out in this sphere over a trip some way short of his best, but he may well get away with it on this stiff track with testing conditions forecast. Paul Nolan's charge made good strides over hurdles last season and appeals as the type to make an even better chaser. Inothewayurthinkin and Imagine are closely matched on hurdles form and rate the main dangers ahead of An Epic Song and Pinkerton.
An intriguing race contested by some smart hurdlers. INOTHEWAYURTHINKIN is just preferred to Sandor Clegane.
(8) The Ice Phoenix 13/8, Thrice-raced maiden. 17/2, third of 11 in maiden at Ascot (7f, good to firm) 60 days ago. Could get back on the up after a break and looks a definite player. Has run well the last twice and latest Ascot third working out very well; major player.
4
2nd (4) (6/5 +20%) Monfrid
1.2
6/5(+20%)
(4) Monfrid 6/5, Promising sort. 9/2, second of 11 in maiden at Wolverhampton (6.1f) on debut 15 days ago. Open to improvement and worth a chance to open his account at the second attempt. Second on last month's Wolverhampton debut; extra furlong should suit on pedigree.
2
3rd (2) (7/2 +13%) Francisco
3.5
7/2(+13%)
(2) Francisco 7/2, Once-raced maiden. Fifth of 8 in maiden at Newmarket (7f, good to firm, 8/1) on debut 31 days ago. Open to progress and can't be ruled out. Fifth on last month's Newmarket debut; form working out well but improvement is needed.
10
4th (10) (80/1 -21%) Morindoo
80
80/1(-21%)
(10) Morindoo 80/1, Once-raced maiden. 80/1, twelfth of 14 in minor event at Kempton (7f) on debut 22 days ago. Well beaten on last month's Kempton debut; best watched for now.
7
5th (7) (33/1 -65%) Sun God
33
33/1(-65%)
(7) Sun God 33/1, Twice-raced maiden. Fifth of 8 in minor event (33/1) at this C&D (AW) 12 days ago. Others preferred. Showed a bit more over C&D on second start and could improve again.
9
6th (9) (125/1 +38%) Greycee Bell
125
125/1(+38%)
(9) Greycee Bell 125/1, Foaled April 12. £25,000 yearling, 75,000 gns 2-y-o, Havana Grey filly. Dam, 1m winner, sister to useful 6f winner Mr Wizard. The only newcomer in the field and looks up against it.
5
7th (5) (66/1 -65%) Pop Noodle
66
66/1(-65%)
(5) Pop Noodle 66/1, Twice-raced maiden. 50/1, fifth of 10 in minor event at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 29 days ago. Well held in two starts; looks one for nurseries after this.
LTO Selection:
12:07 Lingfield Stakes (Class 5) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
The well-bred MONFRID found only a rival with experience too good on his debut at Wolverhampton 15 days ago and he could be hard to beat with the benefit of that outing. Secret World won over this trip on the same card and has to be of interest, despite taking on colts and geldings now. Francisco and Pop Noodle are open to improvement and are respected accordingly.
MONFRID shaped well on debut and should have learned from the experience, so he's marginally preferred to Secret World, who carries a penalty for her comfortable Wolverhampton success last time. The Ice Phoenix also has the form to compete.
The vote goes to THE ICE PHOENIX who finished second at Kempton in August, while his latest Ascot third is working out really well.
(8) Salver 9/1, Half-brother to 3 winners, including very smart hurdler/useful chase winner Saldier. Dam maiden on Flat. One to note in the betting on debut. Half-brother to high-class hurdler Saldier; well beaten on Flat debut in Italy.
4
2nd (4) (11/2 -57%) Excelero
5.5
11/2(-57%)
(4) Excelero 11/2, Castle Du Berlais gelding. Half-brother to fairly useful French chaser Kapeloi and fair French hurdler Perpetuel Movment. Stable had a newcomer finish a promising second in a similar race at Wincanton recently so a market move for this one could prove significant. Has good French jumping pedigree; newcomers from this yard often run well in 3yo hurdles.
2
3rd (2) (14/1 +50%) Ceejaybe
14
14/1(+50%)
(2) Ceejaybe 14/1, Modest at best on Flat and didn't achieve much when a remote third on his completed start over hurdles. Pulled up on hurdling debut but ran well for a long way when third at Chepstow last month.
3
4th (3) (11/4 -22%) Climate Precedent
2.75
11/4(-22%)
(3) Climate Precedent 11/4, Fair maiden on the Flat for Michael Bell who made a solid yard/hurdling debut when second of 8 in juvenile at Uttoxeter (2m, good) in July. Best of those with hurdle experience. Fair Flat racer; kept on well for second on stable/hurdling debut at Uttoxeter; big player.
1
5th (1) (18/1 +55%) Bridge
18
18/1(+55%)
(1) Bridge 18/1, Modest maiden on the Flat for Brian Meehan and no immediate promise over hurdles for new yard when eighth of 12 at Kempton last month. Disappointing on the Flat this year and in rear throughout on recent stable/hurdle debut.
7
6th (7) (13/8 +19%) Royal Deeside
1.625
13/8(+19%)
(7) Royal Deeside 13/8, Fairly useful maiden on the Flat who made the frame in all 4 starts this term. In good hands and will be dangerous if taking to this discipline. Close second on the Flat last month (1m6f, soft); a good candidate for juvenile hurdles.
5
7th (5) (16/1 +36%) Kauto Kawai
16
16/1(+36%)
(5) Kauto Kawai 16/1, Probably didn't achieve that much when second in a claiming hurdle in France in September and well beaten in a Kempton juvenile on his British debut 16 days ago. Has a hood added now. Second on hurdle debut in France but dropped out quickly on recent British debut.
9
|F| (9) (25/1 +75%) Northern Rose
25
25/1(+75%)
(9) Northern Rose 25/1, Has merely hinted at ability in various company so far. Not disgraced on any of her three hurdling starts but needed to improve.
6
|PU| (6) (40/1 -100%) Marrakushi
40
40/1(-100%)
(6) Marrakushi 40/1, 12/1, weakened to finish ninth of 15 in bumper at Exeter (13f, soft) on debut 14 days ago. Makes a quick switch to hurdles. Out of a useful 1m2f Flat winner; soundly beaten in recent Exeter bumper.
LTO Selection:
12:12 Warwick Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Climate Precedent was runner-up on his first attempt over timber at Uttoxeter in July and returns from a small break having been kept busy on the Flat prior to that effort. He is entitled to step forward and put that experience to good use, but the vote goes to ROYAL DEESIDE. Yet to get off the mark on the level, the son of Churchill produced his best performance to date when runner-up at Salisbury last month and represents a team that have done particularly well in this division over the years. Any market support for Excelero would make him of interest.
Although ROYAL DEESIDE failed to win on the Flat he did achieve a decent level and gets the nod to make a successful start to his hurdle career for Alan King. Climate Precedent rates an obvious danger on the back of his hurdle debut second in the summer. Excelero and Salver are newcomers who would enter the reckoning if the betting suggests they are fancied.
The suggestion is CEEJAYBE, who gave a good account of himself on testing ground at Chepstow last month.
(2) Aqwaam 6/4, 5/1, good 2 lengths second of 8 to Sharp Distinction in handicap at Lingfield (13f, AW) 12 days ago, nearest finish. Not out of things. Sharp Distinction had gone by the time he found his stride at Lingfield; same mark.
1
2nd (1) (10/3 +0%) Sharp Distinction
3.333333
10/3(+0%)
(1) Sharp Distinction 10/3, Career best when winning 8-runner handicap (13/2) at Lingfield (13f, AW) 12 days ago by 2 lengths from Aqwaam. 5 lb higher now but another bold bid anticipated. Showed a good turn of foot to readily account for Aqwaam at Lingfield; up 5lb.
4
3rd (4) (6/1 +8%) De Vega's Warrior
6
6/1(+8%)
(4) De Vega's Warrior 6/1, Below par on heavy at Haydock latest but ran well on his last visit here and has been given a chance by the handicapper. Well handicapped if returning to his best form and the ground was desperate last time.
6
4th (6) (28/1 -56%) Sindri
28
28/1(-56%)
(6) Sindri 28/1, 18/1, fifth of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (14f) 5 days ago. Still looking for first success. Didn't convince with her stamina for this far when only fifth at Wolverhampton last week.
5
5th (5) (3/1 +25%) Lunar Shadow
3
3/1(+25%)
(5) Lunar Shadow 3/1, Proved admirably consistent this year and recorded her third victory from 7 starts when taking C&D handicap 33 days ago. Remains fairly treated and looks sure to go well again. Latest win over C&D when allowed to dictate matters from some way out.
3
6th (3) (18/1 -64%) Candy Shack
18
18/1(-64%)
(3) Candy Shack 18/1, 9/1 and hooded for 1st time, ninth of 10 in handicap at Haydock (11.6f, good to firm). Off 124 days. Back up in trip. Others preferred. Last season was better than this but returns from a break with yard in sizzling form.
LTO Selection:
12:20 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 5) 14f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
LUNAR SHADOW arrives here having won her last two starts on the Flat and a 4lb rise for her latest victory, which came over this course and distance, may not be enough to stop her. Sharp Distinction readily accounted for Aqwaam over 1m5f at Lingfield a couple of weeks ago and he could confirm that form, despite a 5lb swing in the weights.
LUNAR SHADOW added to her solid record in 2023 when scoring over C&D last month and hasn't been harshly treated by the handicapper for that success. She can follow up. Sharp Distinction and De Vega's Warrior rate the principal dangers.
(5) Potters Party 7/1, Fair hurdler. 11/5, fourth of 8 in novice chase at Cork (17.6f, good to soft) 23 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Likely to improve. Fell on chase debut, tame run over an inadequate trip last time, capable of better.
10
2nd (10) (6/4 +25%) Sainte Dona
1.5
6/4(+25%)
(10) Sainte Dona 6/4, Promising individual. Fairly useful winner at 23f over hurdles. Fourth of 13 in novice chase at Thurles (20.5f, soft, 5/1) on debut over fences 19 days ago. Has good chance. Easy maiden hurdle winner at Thurles 12 months ago, signs of return to form on chase debut.
7
3rd (7) (18/1 -80%) Rolly Bowley Boy
18
18/1(-80%)
(7) Rolly Bowley Boy 18/1, Fair chaser. Winner in hurdle at Clonmel in January. Below form sixth of 10 in novice chase at Clonmel (19.9f, heavy, 7/2). Off 7 months. Up in trip. Hood back on. Not discounted. In contention when falling two out on chasing debut, remote sixth on second attempt.
1
4th (1) (20/1 +20%) Brucejack
20
20/1(+20%)
(1) Brucejack 20/1, Fair hurdler. Fair winner at 22f over hurdles. 25/1, pulled up in novice chase at Gowran (20f, heavy) on debut over fences 38 days ago. Up in trip. Stylish handicap hurdle winner at Ballinrobe in April, saddle slipped on chase debut.
4
5th (4) (16/1 +20%) Petit King
16
16/1(+20%)
(4) Petit King 16/1, Fair hurdler. Hooded for 1st time, fifth of 6 in novice chase (14/1) at Sligo (21.2f, heavy) on debut over fences 41 days ago, not knocked about. 105-rated maiden hurdler, jumped badly on chasing debut at Sligo, hood is discarded.
3
|PU| (3) (6/1 +25%) Low Mileage
6
6/1(+25%)
(3) Low Mileage 6/1, Modest chaser. 12/1, respectable seventh of 12 in handicap chase at this course (24.6f, soft). Off 7 months. More required. Official rating of 112 gives him a leading chance at this level if ready after a break.
2
|PU| (2) (7/2 +13%) Galon De Vauzelle
3.5
7/2(+13%)
(2) Galon De Vauzelle 7/2, Fair chaser. Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. Respectable third of 8 in handicap chase (3/1) at this C&D (soft) 31 days ago. Should get competitive. Placed in eight of his 14 races over fences, useful handicap form underlines his chance.
9
|PU| (9) (10/1 -82%) Zettabyte
10
10/1(-82%)
(9) Zettabyte 10/1, Fair chaser. 25/1, second of 12 in novice chase at Downpatrick (19.2f, soft) on debut over fences 32 days ago. Up in trip. May do better, so not written off. Made encouraging chase debut behind a shorter-priced stablemate at Downpatrick a month ago.
6
|PU| (6) (20/1 +39%) Quite Incredible
20
20/1(+39%)
(6) Quite Incredible 20/1, Fair hurdler. Fourth of 6 in novice chase at Sligo (21.2f, heavy, 20/1) 41 days ago. 108-rated maiden hurdler, no sign of winning potential in two starts over fences.
8
|PU| (8) (50/1 -100%) Son Of Hypnos
50
50/1(-100%)
(8) Son Of Hypnos 50/1, Fair hurdler. Fair winner at 12f on flat. 50/1, creditable fourth of 9 in handicap at Galway (11.8f, heavy) 8 days ago. Switches from Flat to chase. Up in trip. Poor on last chase run. Three Flat wins, also a winner over hurdles, no impact on only chase start last season.
LTO Selection:
12:28 Fairyhouse Maiden Chase 24f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
SAINTE DONA jumped well in front at Thurles on her chasing debut before tiring to finish fourth. She shaped like the run was needed after six months off and could take a fair bit of catching here. Rated 118 after making all for a wide-margin win in a 2m7f hurdle last season, she is now on a mark of 109 in that sphere which makes her eligible for this contest. Low Mileage lacks a recent run and was well beaten on his last few starts but a return to the form of his fourth in a better-class beginners' chase at Gowran in February would see him go close. Galon De Vauzelle, who has tons of handicap experience, was touched off over C&D last December and has been runner-up four more times since.
SAINTE DONA was quite consistent over hurdles and made a positive impression when fourth in a novice at Thurles on chasing debut. She should strip fitter for that and is fancied to land this weaker race at the possible expense of Galon de Vauzelle, Potters Party is open to improvement and can't be dismissed.
With a solid record of reaching the money in handicaps, GALON DE VAUZELLE (nap) may have enough ability to exploit this opportunity.
(4) Royal Tapestry 5/2, Promising sort. 3/1, excellent second of 8 in nursery at this C&D (AW) 6 days ago, finishing in eye-catching fashion from too far back. Leading claims. Beaten a head on nursery debut over C&D six days ago; but may need to progress again.
2
2nd (2) (5/4 +58%) Enpassant
1.25
5/4(+58%)
(2) Enpassant 5/4, 9/4, very good second of 8 in nursery at Newcastle (7.1f) 7 days ago, first past the post but subsequently disqualified. Likely to do better still and ranks as a big player. Demoted after first past the post at Newcastle last week; strong chance of compensation.
5
3rd (5) (33/1 -65%) Fly Pass
33
33/1(-65%)
(5) Fly Pass 33/1, Seventh of 10 in nursery at this course (6f, AW, 8/1) 11 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Needs to up her game. 0-8; not bred for the longer trip on the dam's side and is beginning to look exposed.
1
4th (1) (7/2 +30%) Summit
3.5
7/2(+30%)
(1) Summit 7/2, Lightly-raced maiden. Blinkered for 1st time, good fifth of 10 in nursery at York (7.9f, soft, 28/1) 24 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Progressing recently and not completely dismissed. Not beaten far in a better nursery at York last time; not to be underestimated on AW debut.
6
5th (6) (33/1 -50%) Asian Tide
33
33/1(-50%)
(6) Asian Tide 33/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 11/1, good fourth of 10 in nursery at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 12 days ago. Others have achieved more. Creditable fourth on nursery debut last time but needs to take another step forward.
7
6th (7) (66/1 -450%) Clear Justice
66
66/1(-450%)
(7) Clear Justice 66/1, Second of 9 in nursery (6/1) at Brighton (7f, good) 28 days ago. This is a better race but he deserves respect. Second at Brighton last time, but this is a better race and he is 3lb out of the weights.
3
7th (3) (17/2 -13%) Quickfire
8.5
17/2(-13%)
(3) Quickfire 17/2, Winner here in June. Fifth of 6 in nursery at Bath (8f, good, 3/1) 52 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Looks vulnerable. Lingfield turf winner in June, but not built on it in nurseries; dam dual Polytrack winner.
LTO Selection:
12:37 Lingfield Handicap (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
ENPASSANT, who was first past the post but placed second by the at Newcastle last week, can gain quick compensation if he stays out of trouble this time. This longer distance can be a help to the gelding and a bold show is expected with Danny Muscutt retaining the ride. Summit is also a player but lacks previous all-weather experience, so the recent C&D second Royal Tapestry is suggested as a bigger threat to the selection. Quickfire completes the shortlist.
ROYAL TAPESTRY finished with a flourish from a most unpromising position when second over C&D 6 days ago and, if the race doesn't come too soon, he should be capable of gaining compensation at the likely expense of Enpassant, who lost the race in the Stewards' Room a week ago. Summit is another one to consider.
This can go to ENPASSANT who was demoted after finishing first past the post at Newcastle a week ago and races off the same mark.
(11) Personal Ambition 12/1, €65,000 3-y-o, Sandmason gelding. Brother to fairly useful hurdler Masons Daughter, and half-brother to 2 winners, including useful hurdler/fairly useful chaser Roseys Hollow. Third sole start in Irish points (Mar 19). Interesting Rules newcomer. Has had a breathing op. Related to useful Irish jumper; promising third on Irish point debut in March.
10
2nd (10) (4/7 +15%) Jingko Blue
0.571429
4/7(+15%)
(10) Jingko Blue 4/7, £225,000 4-y-o, Great Pretender gelding. Brother to fair French chaser Ikero Blue, and half-brother to fairly useful hurdler Fil d'Ariane. Dam made frame both starts over hurdles in France. Won sole start in Irish points in February and of obvious interest on Rules debut for top yard. Bought for £225,000 soon after winning Irish point debut; looks a very good prospect.
2
3rd (2) (20/1 -100%) Chatshow Tv
20
20/1(-100%)
(2) Chatshow Tv 20/1, €58,000 3-y-o, £150,000 4-y-o, Soldier of Fortune gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to triple bumper winner/very smart hurdler (stayed 3m) Clondaw Warrior. Runner-up sole start in Irish points (Nov 2022). Needs a close look in the betting. Out of a well-connected mare; bought for £150,000 after Irish point second last December.
6
4th (6) (33/1 -50%) Monbari
33
33/1(-50%)
(6) Monbari 33/1, No match for the winner when second in a heavy-ground course bumper (2m) on debut in March, but that was an encouraging start to his career nonetheless. Makes hurdling debut in a potentially warm race. No match for winner when second in course bumper in March but evidently has some ability.
3
5th (3) (125/1 -25%) Grass's Jet
125
125/1(-25%)
(3) Grass's Jet 125/1, Runner-up sole start in Irish points and looked badly in need of the experience switched to hurdles when fourth in 8-runner event at Wincanton 19 days ago. Up in trip. Made quite promising rules debut last month but faces a tough task here.
4
6th (4) (400/1 -60%) Haafbourd
400
400/1(-60%)
(4) Haafbourd 400/1, Showed a bit on the first of 2 outings in bumpers but has been well beaten all 3 starts over hurdles. Struggled on all three hurdling attempts in the spring; moves up from 2m today.
1
7th (1) (25/1 +11%) Cabhfuilfungi
25
25/1(+11%)
(1) Cabhfuilfungi 25/1, Made a good start for Gary Hanmer, building on his Southwell placed efforts with victory in maiden at same course (20.4f) in May. Shaped better than the bare result under a penalty at Carlisle 5 months later but this looks tougher. Fair form when winning Southwell maiden in May; looks vulnerable under penalty.
12
8th (12) (100/1 +33%) Prolific Profile
100
100/1(+33%)
(12) Prolific Profile 100/1, Bought for £50,000 after finishing third on the second of 2 starts in Irish points and showed something to work on when fifth in 8-runner novice at Ffos Las 23 days ago. Probably one for later on. Shaped with promise on last month's hurdling debut but probably one for another day.
13
9th (13) (400/1 -167%) Caught A Vibe
400
400/1(-167%)
(13) Caught A Vibe 400/1, Placed on 2 of 3 starts in Irish points but well held in pair of novice hurdles. Placed in two Irish points last season but struggled in two novice hurdles last month.
5
10th (5) (125/1 -25%) Letmetellusomethin
125
125/1(-25%)
(5) Letmetellusomethin 125/1, Looks a handicap project. Showed only minor promise in two novice hurdles last season; handicaps beckon.
9
|PU| (9) (10/3 -48%) Tarras Wood
3.333333
10/3(-48%)
(9) Tarras Wood 10/3, Kayf Tara gelding from the family of Best Mate and overcame inexperience to make a winning debut in 14-runner bumper at Wetherby in December. Good prospect for hurdling. Has had a breathing op. Won 14-runner Wetherby bumper in December; obvious contender on this hurdling debut.
8
|PU| (8) (13/2 +35%) Rockstown Native
6.5
13/2(+35%)
(8) Rockstown Native 13/2, Irish point winner who went the right way from first run to second in bumpers and shaped better still sent hurdling with a tongue strap fitted after 6 months off when second in 6-runner maiden at this course (21f) 33 days ago. Sure to improve. Irish point winner; no match for impressive winner on hurdle debut; open to improvement.
LTO Selection:
12:45 Warwick Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 19f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Connections of JINGKO BLUE teamed up with a potentially smart winner at Ascot on Saturday and the four-year-old, who cost 225,000 pounds after winning a point-to-point at Oldtown in February, warrants the utmost respect on his Rules debut. Tarras Wood won on his sole bumper outing at Wetherby in December and is expected to benefit from stepping up in trip. Others to note include Monbari, Rockstown Native and Personal Ambition.
JINGKO BLUE was bought for big money after winning his sole outing in Irish points and, having joined a top yard, he makes plenty of appeal on his Rules debut. Tarras Wood looked potentially smart in overcoming inexperience to land a Wetherby bumper back in December, so is a very interesting hurdling debutant, while Rockstown Native made a promising start in this sphere here last month and seems sure to improve.
Bumper winner Tarras Wood is respected but JINGKO BLUE, an expensive recruit from the Irish point scene, is given the vote.
(1) Daysofourlives 5/2, Back to winning ways at Ascot (8f) in September and backed that up with creditable third of 8 in minor event over same C&D 32 days ago. Worth a crack at this longer trip and merits consideration. Some excuses when third at Ascot and still progressing; this new trip should help.
4
2nd (4) (3/1 +25%) Queen Regent
3
3/1(+25%)
(4) Queen Regent 3/1, Lightly-raced winner. Creditable fourth of 10 in handicap (14/1) at Newmarket (10f, good to firm) 31 days ago. Not discounted. First and second in AW novices earlier in year but hasn't looked well treated in handicaps.
3
3rd (3) (15/2 +25%) Tony Montana
7.5
15/2(+25%)
(3) Tony Montana 15/2, First run since leaving John & Thady Gosden when tenth of 11 in handicap at York (13.8f, heavy, 28/1) 25 days ago. Back down in trip. Makes polytrack debut. Needs a couple of these to falter. Hasn't progressed since his odds-on success in a Newbury novice in July.
2
4th (2) (28/1 -155%) Silver Gunn
28
28/1(-155%)
(2) Silver Gunn 28/1, Latest win at Windsor in July. Creditable fourth of 9 in handicap at Sandown (10f, good, 15/2) 79 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Respected on polytrack debut. Capable off this mark but light on AW experience and will need a solid pace to chase.
5
5th (5) (9/4 -20%) Lucky Fifteen
2.25
9/4(-20%)
(5) Lucky Fifteen 9/4, 3 wins from 5 runs this year (including over C&D in June). Only fifth of 7 in handicap in the mud at Goodwood (9.9f) when last seen in August. Better expected here His C&D win in June was the opening leg of a hat-trick; soft ground an excuse last time.
7
6th (7) (9/1 -157%) Man Of Monaco
9
9/1(-157%)
(7) Man Of Monaco 9/1, Off the mark at Beverley (9.9f) in September and improved on that when fourth of 13 in minor event over C&D (5/1) 10 days ago, not ideally placed. May have more to offer on handicap debut. Hard to call him well handicapped but open to further improvement.
6
|RR| (6) (28/1 +30%) Double March
28
28/1(+30%)
(6) Double March 28/1, Unreliable type. Latest win at Ascot in May. Refused to race in handicap at Leicester (10f, soft, 18/1) 56 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Comes with risks attached. All gone pear-shaped since winning over this far at Ascot in May.
LTO Selection:
12:55 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 3) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Soft ground appears to be a valid excuse for LUCKY FIFTEEN's disappointing effort at Goodwood last time. Ralph Beckett's gelding had been highly progressive prior to that defeat and it would be no surprise to see him bounce back over a course and distance that he won over in June. Queen Regent was not disgraced in a valuable event at Newmarket last time and she edges out Man Of Monaco and Silver Gunn to be best of the rest.
LUCKY FIFTEEN was going the right way before seemingly bogged down by the conditions at Goodwood last time and can resume winning ways. Daysofourlives and Man of Monaco are feared most.
(1) Faith Loving 9/2, Multiple point winner weakening when coming down in hunter chase at Down Royal (23.2f, good to soft) when last seen in May. Work to do on handicap debut. Three-time points winner, modest track form, does not appear well handicapped.
8
2nd (8) (13/2 -136%) Greenway Machine
6.5
13/2(-136%)
(8) Greenway Machine 13/2, Belatedly off the mark in 9-runner handicap chase at Downpatrick (23.5f, soft, 17/2) 32 days ago. 5 lb higher mark will make life tougher but he must enter calculations. Belatedly opened his account at Downpatrick, overall profile remains a concern.
3
3rd (3) (7/4 +13%) Fox Le Bel
1.75
7/4(+13%)
(3) Fox Le Bel 7/4, Unseated early in point latest but proved admirably consistent in handicap chases last term and returns on a workable mark. Shortlisted. Frustrating type, risky proposition but would not be a surprise winner all the same.
6
4th (6) (8/1 +0%) Highstreetfashion
8
8/1(+0%)
(6) Highstreetfashion 8/1, Latest win in chase at Down Royal in December. Below form sixth of 10 in handicap chase at Punchestown (24f, good, 17/2) 150 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Won twice last season, below best during the summer, stays well, could make a bold showing.
2
5th (2) (12/1 +14%) Finding Freedom
12
12/1(+14%)
(2) Finding Freedom 12/1, Winning pointer but yet to make an impact under Rules, pulled up in handicap chase at Sligo (25.8f, heavy) latest. Point winner, ordinary track form, hard to be confident after failure to complete at Sligo.
7
6th (7) (10/1 +70%) Four Country Roads
10
10/1(+70%)
(7) Four Country Roads 10/1, Unreliable type. Two wins from 43 NH runs. Seventh of 9 in handicap chase at Galway (22.5f, heavy, 50/1) 9 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Won a handicap chase off a lowly 72 at Navan in January, weak form since then.
4
|F| (4) (9/2 -29%) Rudy Catrail
4.5
9/2(-29%)
(4) Rudy Catrail 9/2, Let down by jumping of late but had been in good form this summer, scoring at Roscommon before excellent second at Kilbeggan (25f). Player if minimising errors here. Front-running veteran who retains ability and enthusiasm, last two runs raise a doubt.
5
|PU| (5) (66/1 -32%) Glen Ali
66
66/1(-32%)
(5) Glen Ali 66/1, Thoroughly unreliable sort. Pulled up in handicap chase at Perth (20.1f, heavy, 40/1) 41 days ago, tailed off when pulled up fifth. Up in trip. Has struggled since rejoining her original trainer after a fruitless stint in Britain.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
The front-running RUDY CATRAIL can resume winning ways on a track that should suit his prominent racing style. At his best when allowed to bowl along in front building up a big lead, the twelve-year-old has been let down by his jumping on recent starts. In a smaller field where he should get an easy time of it under Gavin Brouder, the gelding can record a sixth win under rules. Greenway Machine was a long ways behind Rudy Catrail at Roscommon in August but a bad mistake at the third last ended his chances on that occasion. The son of Robin Des Pres has since registered a victory at Downpatrick. Fox Le Bel has shown enough ability to suggest he can win a race or two but the Liz Doyle-trained gelding will need to improve on recent efforts.
FOX LE BEL acquitted himself well in more competitive contests than this last term and, with his yard going well, he is taken to make a winning return. Rudy Catrail and Greenway Machine look the likeliest dangers.
This is weak and the locally-trained HIGHSTREETFASHION, who managed to win twice last season, is only a token choice.
(5) Queen Aminatu 11/4, Only sixth in Ascot listed race last time but she is a better filly on AW, including a win in this 12 months ago. Draw not ideal but still capable of making a bold bid to defend her crown.
4
2nd (4) (11/4 +45%) Potapova
2.75
11/4(+45%)
(4) Potapova 11/4, Useful mare. Good ½-length second of 12 to Coppice in listed race at Newmarket (1m, good to firm, 8/1) 39 days ago. Not taken lightly.
1
3rd (1) (9/2 +44%) Al Agaila
4.5
9/2(+44%)
(1) Al Agaila 9/2, Dual course winner who enhanced her very good polytrack record when seeing off 9 rivals in a 1m Kempton handicap 13 days ago. Should go well.
8
4th (8) (100/1 -257%) Coco Jamboo
100
100/1(-257%)
(8) Coco Jamboo 100/1, Useful filly. 7/2, career best when winning 11-runner handicap at Newmarket (7f, good to firm) 31 days ago. This demands a good bit more, though.
6
5th (6) (8/1 +43%) Tarrabb
8
8/1(+43%)
(6) Tarrabb 8/1, Successful 3 times last year (including AW) and ran a cracker tried tongue tied when third in the Kensington Palace at Royal Ascot in June. Back to that form when fifth in 1m Ascot listed latest.
2
6th (2) (25/1 -25%) Julia Augusta
25
25/1(-25%)
(2) Julia Augusta 25/1, Lightly-raced dual 1m novice winner. Only ninth of 11 in handicap at Ascot (1m, soft, 8/1) on reappearance in may and off again since. Needs improvement to get heavily involved at this level.
11
7th (11) (40/1 -21%) Pastiche
40
40/1(-21%)
(11) Pastiche 40/1, Useful filly. Latest win at Newmarket in June. Very good second of 8 in handicap (11/2) at Newcastle (1m) 25 days ago, clear of rest.
12
8th (12) (50/1 -150%) Zouky
50
50/1(-150%)
(12) Zouky 50/1, Useful filly. Latest win at Newbury in August. Creditable ¼-length fifth of 10 to Cell Sa Beela in listed race (9/1) at Ascot (7f, good to firm) 31 days ago, staying on well. More needed now.
10
9th (10) (14/1 -65%) Nigiri
14
14/1(-65%)
(10) Nigiri 14/1, Completed a hat-trick in impressive fashion in big-field handicap at York's Ebor meeting. Very good second of 10 to Matilda Picotte in Sceptre Stakes at Doncaster (7f, good) next time and might be worth forgiving a lesser effort at Ascot since as she'd been most progressive prior to that.
9
10th (9) (16/1 -33%) Good Gracious
16
16/1(-33%)
(9) Good Gracious 16/1, Useful filly. Latest win at Ascot in July. 14/1, good 1¾ lengths second of 15 to Curvature in listed race at Naas (1m, heavy) 23 days ago. Makes polytrack debut.
3
11th (3) (16/1 +36%) Lightship
16
16/1(+36%)
(3) Lightship 16/1, Useful filly. 10 lengths ninth of 12 to Coppice in listed race (50/1) at Newmarket (1m, good to firm) 39 days ago. Goes well on this surface but may find the one or two too strong.
7
12th (7) (11/1 -175%) Zellie
11
11/1(-175%)
(7) Zellie 11/1, Group 1 winner in France at 2 and fourth in last year's 1000 Guineas at Newmarket. Went close in 1m Goodwood listed race on reappearance for new stable in May. Not seen since then but is a potential class act here.
LTO Selection:
13:12 Lingfield Listed (Class 1) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Potapova is a high-class mare at her best but she hasn't won so far this season, although there were encouraging signs when she was second at Newmarket in September. The five-year-old can go well, but it may be worth risking the returning ZELLIE, who makes her all-weather debut on her first start since May. Fourth in the 1000 Guineas last year, she has more than a touch of class about her. Nigiri looks best of the three-year-olds and is another to consider.
NIGIRI failed to fire at Ascot last time but prior to that had looked a filly capable of winning races at this sort of level and is given another chance. Zellie's absence since her reappearance in May is a slight worry but she'll be a huge threat if anywhere near her best. Last year's winner Queen Aminatu looks sure to have a say again, while Al Agaila's excellent AW record also earns her a place on the shortlist.
It's hard to oppose last year's winner QUEEN AMINATU (nap) given her wonderful record on the AW (221111132).
(10) Kintail 4/6, Confirmed debut promise when winning 10-runner bumper at this course (16f, good to soft, 7/1) in May, leading over 1f out and driven out. Still looked green on that occasion so there should be more to come from him at longer trip over hurdles. Won course bumper in May, form that has been well advertised by the runner-up over hurdles.
8
2nd (8) (33/1 +0%) Clondaw Royale
33
33/1(+0%)
(8) Clondaw Royale 33/1, Runner-up sole start in Irish points but, with a tongue strap added for his Rules debut, made little impact when eighth of 9 in a novice hurdle at Fontwell (17.7f) last month. Will need to leave his first effort over hurdles well behind. Second in Irish point debut in April but tailed off in Fontwell novice hurdle last month.
2
3rd (2) (9/2 -29%) God's Own Getaway
4.5
9/2(-29%)
(2) God's Own Getaway 9/2, Shaped better than he had in 2 bumpers sent hurdling when second of 9 in 2m novice at Wetherby (soft) in March, not knocked about. Sure to improve. No threat to winner when second on hurdle debut but should have more to offer; up in trip.
11
4th (11) (14/1 +0%) Nelson Criq
14
14/1(+0%)
(11) Nelson Criq 14/1, Offered something to work on amid greenness when fifth of 11 in bumper at Ludlow (15.8f, good to soft) on debut in April, faring best of those held up. Longer trip should suit now hurdling and not dismissed. Made just a mildly encouraging bumper debut at Ludlow; improvement needed here.
13
5th (13) (150/1 -127%) Overabottleofred
150
150/1(-127%)
(13) Overabottleofred 150/1, Schiaparelli filly. Dam (h95), placed over hurdles, closely related to fairly useful hurdler (stayed 3m) Boru Boy. Every chance when unseated rider 3 out sole start in points (Apr 29). In contention before unseating rider on point debut but probably best watched here.
9
6th (9) (11/1 +56%) Jo Lescribaa
11
11/1(+56%)
(9) Jo Lescribaa 11/1, Modest form when placed in 2 maiden bumpers at Paray-Le-Monial in 2022/23. Has left Emmanuel Clayeux. Placed in two 1m4f AQPS flat races in France last autumn; market may guide here.
3
7th (3) (28/1 +15%) Grand Escaparde
28
28/1(+15%)
(3) Grand Escaparde 28/1, Tongue tied when well held in a Chepstow bumper on debut in March. Has had a breathing operation since. Tailed off when 25-1 for soft-ground Chepstow bumper in March; had wind op in September.
4
8th (4) (300/1 -100%) Kalabana
300
300/1(-100%)
(4) Kalabana 300/1, Placed sole outing in points but failed to beat a rival in novice hurdle at Uttoxeter (15.8f, good to soft) on NH debut a year ago and not seen since. Struggled when 100-1 for Uttoxeter novice hurdle last month.
5
9th (5) (12/1 +0%) Kruger Park
12
12/1(+0%)
(5) Kruger Park 12/1, From a good family and shaped with encouragement when third in a Hereford bumper on debut in December. Disappointing next 2 outings and has had a breathing operation ahead of return/hurdle debut. Ran with promise in first two bumpers; pulled up when unsteerable next time; hurdle debut.
7
10th (7) (100/1 -355%) Parliament
100
100/1(-355%)
(7) Parliament 100/1, Fair winner on Flat in France, stays 13f, unplaced on handicap debut final start in 2022. Sold from Ludovic Gadbin €40,000 in July 2022 and requires a market check. 1m5f Flat winner in France (fair form); makes stable/hurdle debut after long absence.
6
11th (6) (7/1 +30%) Mount Ferns
7
7/1(+30%)
(6) Mount Ferns 7/1, Left debut form well behind under a much more patient ride when second in 9-runner bumper (33/1) at Fontwell (13.7f, good to soft) in April. Has loads of stamina in his pedigree so the step up in trip will suit on hurdle/stable debut (previously trained by Oliver Sherwood). Left disappointing debut behind when second in Fontwell bumper in April; can improve again.
12
12th (12) (250/1 -25%) Tiger Blade
250
250/1(-25%)
(12) Tiger Blade 250/1, Just modest form in a pair of bumpers for Tom Weston in the spring and offered little starting out over hurdles for new yard at Kempton last month. Ran quite well in course bumper in April but struggled on recent stable/hurdle debut.
1
|PU| (1) (200/1 -33%) Blagthebookies
200
200/1(-33%)
(1) Blagthebookies 200/1, Successful on third and final start between the flags but no show in 3 starts under Rules to date. Irish point winner in March but a well-beaten outsider in three hurdles last month.
LTO Selection:
13:20 Warwick Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 19f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
KINTAIL stepped forward from his Wincanton second when going one better here in May at the expense of Rock House, who has since gone on to finish third in the Persian War at Chepstow. Despite being in receipt of 8lb from the runner-up on that occasion, better is expected over hurdles from the four-year-old and this appears to be a nice starting point. Mount Ferns has a pedigree that suggests he will benefit more from a stiffer test of stamina following his second over an inadequate trip at Fontwell in April, while God's Own Getaway is capable of better after his second on hurdling debut at Wetherby in the spring.
GOD'S OWN GETAWAY shaped well when runner-up on his Wetherby hurdling debut back in March and, although that was an uncompetitive affair, he very much appeals as the sort to go on progressing this season. Mount Ferns and Kintail showed enough in bumpers to warrant respect on their respective hurdling bows.
Nicky Henderson's KINTAIL beat a good horse to win a course bumper in May and is selected to make a winning hurdle debut.
(3) Inverlochy 9/4, Lightly-raced maiden. Back from 4 months off when creditable fourth of 12 in handicap at Lingfield (8f, AW) 33 days ago, running on. Could have more to offer yet. Fair run at Lingfield last month after a break; low mileage; contender dropped in class.
1
2nd (1) (10/1 +9%) Clipsham Gold
10
10/1(+9%)
(1) Clipsham Gold 10/1, Latest win at Kempton in May. 40/1, good seventh of 12 in handicap at Kempton (8f) 13 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. More promise at Kempton last time & dropping into a Class 6 can help; one to consider.
6
3rd (6) (13/2 -30%) High Court Judge
6.5
13/2(-30%)
(6) High Court Judge 13/2, C&D winner earlier this year and followed up at Kempton (8f) In March. Not been in same form since, though. C&D winner; on dangerous mark and a revival wouldn't be a total bolt from the blue.
7
4th (7) (28/1 +44%) Channel Packet
28
28/1(+44%)
(7) Channel Packet 28/1, 3-time C&D winner. Tenth of 12 in handicap at this C&D (66/1) 19 days ago. Makes limited appeal. 1 lb out of the weights. Three-time C&D winner but current wellbeing has to be taken on trust.
5
5th (5) (9/4 +10%) Cariad
2.25
9/4(+10%)
(5) Cariad 9/4, Career best when winning 9-runner handicap over C&D (9/2) 3 days ago, readily. Carries 6 lb penalty for that success but holds strong follow-up claims nonetheless. Easy winner over C&D on Saturday; penalty not insurmountable but this will demand more.
2
6th (2) (9/2 +31%) Uncle Dick
4.5
9/2(+31%)
(2) Uncle Dick 9/2, 3 wins from 6 runs this year. Latest win at Brighton (8f) in September. Not seen to best effect when fifth at Wolverhampton latest and must enter calculations. Three Brighton wins this year (1m); had an excuse latest; inexperienced apprentice booked.
4
7th (4) (10/1 +0%) Tribal Wisdom
10
10/1(+0%)
(4) Tribal Wisdom 10/1, 20/1, sixth of 10 in handicap at Lingfield (8f, AW) 12 days ago. Still looking for first success. Clear signs he retains ability at Lingfield 12 days ago; one to note for market confidence.
LTO Selection:
13:30 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
CARIAD appeared to have plenty in hand when scoring over this course and distance on Saturday and she is very hard to oppose under a 6lb penalty. Uncle Dick has won three of his last five starts and was badly hampered at a crucial time when fifth at Wolverhampton most recently. With a clear run, he could prove to be the main threat to the selection ahead of Inverlochy and Tribal Wisdom.
CARIAD is turned out quickly after her decisive C&D victory last week and remains feasibly treated, despite a 6lb penalty. She can score again. Inverlochy and Uncle Dick should also go well.
Inverlochy, Cariad and Clipsham Gold have claims but TRIBAL WISDOM caught the eye last time and may be primed to strike.
(9) Fratas 11/4, Fairly useful handicapper on Flat (stays 13f), has won 5 times in 2023, not seen to best effect in listed event last time. Respected hurdling debutante. Winner of four handicaps in a row between August and October, excellent chance if adapting.
2
2nd (2) (3/1 -50%) Eagle Fang
3
3/1(-50%)
(2) Eagle Fang 3/1, Fair maiden on the Flat for Keith Dalgleish who made a promising start over hurdles when second of 10 in juvenile at Cork (16.1f, good to soft) on NH debut 23 days ago. Should improve. Bright start over hurdles when second at Cork last month, Kirkuila finished well in fifth.
5
3rd (5) (4/1 -14%) Pinot Gris
4
4/1(-14%)
(5) Pinot Gris 4/1, Fairly useful handicapper on Flat (stays 14.5f), has won twice in 2023, improved when runner-up last time. Interesting hurdling debutant. Progressive on Flat, only just failed to complete hat-trick at Listowel, deserves respect.
11
4th (11) (150/1 -200%) Noble Hilltop
150
150/1(-200%)
(11) Noble Hilltop 150/1, Hinted at ability when sixth of 11 in juvenile hurdle (11/1) at Sedgefield (16.8f, good to soft) on NH debut 35 days ago. Moderate sixth of seven finishers on debut at Sedgefield, unlikely to make an impact here.
3
5th (3) (8/1 +33%) Golden Temple
8
8/1(+33%)
(3) Golden Temple 8/1, Fairly useful maiden on Flat who ran below hurdling debut form in first-time blinkers (over jumps) when fourth of 7 at Ballinrobe in September. Needs to get back on track. Fair maiden on the Flat, good run over 1m6f last time, modest hurdles form at Ballinrobe.
7
6th (7) (12/1 +57%) Tranquil Sea
12
12/1(+57%)
(7) Tranquil Sea 12/1, 1,000 gns 3-y-o, Teofilo gelding. Dam 1½m-13.5f winner on Flat in France. Dam French middle-distance winner/half-sister to Australian Group 1 scorer Polarisation.
12
7th (12) (9/2 +10%) Timeless Piece
4.5
9/2(+10%)
(12) Timeless Piece 9/2, Fairly useful handicapper on Flat for Mrs J. Harrington, stays 1½m. Has joined another successful yard ahead of hurdles debut. Two Flat wins including over 1m3f on heavy, rated 13lb inferior to Fratas on the Flat.
4
8th (4) (80/1 -60%) Macinamillion
80
80/1(-60%)
(4) Macinamillion 80/1, Modest maiden on the Flat who was too free when seventh of 10 in juvenile hurdle at Galway (16.4f, heavy) 10 days ago, pulling hard. Needs to reverse Cork form with Eagle Fang and Kilkuila, failed to improve at Galway.
1
9th (1) (33/1 +34%) Baby Boss
33
33/1(+34%)
(1) Baby Boss 33/1, Montmartre gelding. Dam, 1m winner in France, half-sister to fairly useful 15f hurdle winner in France Misterenrique. Dam French-trained 1m winner, jumps winners in the family, from a top point-to-point yard.
8
|F| (8) (125/1 -25%) Bitacora
125
125/1(-25%)
(8) Bitacora 125/1, Fair maiden on Flat but ran a long way below that level when last of 10 in juvenile hurdle at Cork (16.1f, good to soft) on NH debut 23 days ago. Tongue strap on for 1st time in this code. Some ability at Dundalk, in rear in Cork maiden hurdle contested by several of these.
10
|PU| (10) (22/1 +12%) Kirkuila
22
22/1(+12%)
(10) Kirkuila 22/1, Modest maiden on the Flat and ran to a similar level sent hurdling when fifth in 10-runner juvenile at Cork (16.1f, good to soft) on NH debut 23 days ago. Shaped quite well at Cork staying on for fifth in a race in which Eagle Fang was second.
LTO Selection:
13:38 Fairyhouse Maiden Hurdle 16f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
PINOT GRIS is a proven stayer with the potential to make up into a smart juvenile hurdler on testing ground this side of Christmas. The Gavin Cromwell trained grey won twice during the summer months, before running a career best on his reappearance when just touched off in a better grade at the Listowel Festival. With the winner of that race franking the form in a premier handicap next time, there is every likelihood that Pinot Gris has more to offer. Provided he takes to jumping, he could be an exciting prospect. Fratas, a five-time winner for Michael Mulvany this season, is a worthy opponent. With the speed to win over a mile and stamina for middle distances she has the right attributes for a hurdler. Semblance Of Order, a rare National Hunt runner for trainer Andy Oliver, has to be respected.
PINOT GRIS makes plenty of appeal now switching to hurdling based on his highly progressive Flat profile, so he earns the vote. Eagle Fang made an encouraging start to his hurdling career when second at Cork last month and is entitled to improve, while Fratas and Timeless Piece are two other interesting recruits to this sphere.
If FRATAS can make an efficient transition to hurdling she will be hard to beat on the evidence of progressive form on the Flat
(14) Safety Catch 6/1, Thrice-raced winner. 1 win from 2 runs this year. 7/4, won 4-runner maiden at Pontefract (12f, good to soft) 29 days ago, well on top finish. This is a sizeable step up in class, but she's well-bred and remains open to improvement. Faces a daunting task, but her dam won this race and the stable has a fine record in it.
2
2nd (2) (10/3 +33%) Divine Jewel
3.333333
10/3(+33%)
(2) Divine Jewel 10/3, Useful filly. Course winner. 14/1, tailed-off ninth of 10 to Sumo Sam in Park Hill Stakes at Doncaster (14.5f, good to soft) 54 days ago. Big player judged on Chester second on penultimate start, and her near miss in a Leopardstown Group 3 during the summer. Placed four times in Pattern company on turf and won only AW start here; the one to beat.
5
3rd (5) (14/1 +22%) Wynter Wildes
14
14/1(+22%)
(5) Wynter Wildes 14/1, Fairly useful filly. 3 wins from 10 runs this year. Latest win at Yarmouth in September. Good second of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f, 28/1) 21 days ago. No more than an each-way squeak up in class here. Triple Tapeta winner and best effort when second at Newcastle last time; even more needed.
8
4th (8) (9/1 -29%) Empress Wu
9
9/1(-29%)
(8) Empress Wu 9/1, Useful filly. Course winner. 33/1, 25 lengths sixth of 7 to Al Qareem in listed race at Chester (12.3f, soft) 52 days ago. Bit to prove on the back of that lacklustre display, not least stamina for this trip, but she is entitled to respect based on her placed efforts in listed/Group 3 races. Twice placed in Pattern company this summer; well held in a stronger Listed race last time.
13
5th (13) (6/1 +67%) Malka
6
6/1(+67%)
(13) Malka 6/1, Lightly-raced winner. Career best when winning 11-runner handicap at Kempton (12f, 9/2) 55 days ago, keeping on well. Remains relatively unexposed, but this assignment demands a major step forward. Off the mark in a 0-75 handicap at Kempton last time; this will be totally different.
10
6th (10) (13/2 +28%) Ghara
6.5
13/2(+28%)
(10) Ghara 13/2, Useful filly. Winner at Yarmouth in June. 3¼ lengths sixth of 8 to Shembala in listed race at Longchamp (13.9f, good, 14/1) 61 days ago. Each-way chance judged on peak form. Sole win came in a Yarmouth maiden; not beaten far last time and stable won this last year.
7
7th (7) (11/2 +45%) Ayyab
5.5
11/2(+45%)
(7) Ayyab 11/2, Fairly useful filly. Career best when winning 10-runner maiden (11/8) at Kempton (11f) 34 days ago, easily. This represents a significant step up in class, but she at least appears to be going the right way. Appears to be improving as she goes up up in trip so could go well at a price.
9
8th (9) (33/1 -136%) Flash Bardot
33
33/1(-136%)
(9) Flash Bardot 33/1, Useful filly. Course winner. 4 wins from 14 runs this year. Career best when winning 7-runner handicap (5/2) at Catterick (12.1f, heavy) 17 days ago, pushed out. Much more on her plate now upped in class, but she's clearly progressive and is not completely ruled out. Course winner who bids for a hat-trick after two wins on turf but plenty more still needed.
1
9th (1) (100/1 +0%) Aiming High
100
100/1(+0%)
(1) Aiming High 100/1, Fairly useful filly. Ninth of 10 in handicap (12/1) at Newmarket (10f, good to firm) 31 days ago, unsuited by way race developed. Up in trip and, moreover, up in class here. Mountain to climb on these terms. Tapeta winner who faces a mountainous task in this company.
4
10th (4) (66/1 +0%) Lady Percival
66
66/1(+0%)
(4) Lady Percival 66/1, Fairly useful mare. 1 win from 3 runs this year. Latest win at Salisbury in September. 50/1, tailed-off fifth of 8 to One Evening in listed race at Bath (14f, heavy) 20 days ago. Looks set for another struggle. Record on AW reads 3137421133; well beaten in Listed company last time and this no easier.
6
11th (6) (28/1 -273%) Andraste
28
28/1(-273%)
(6) Andraste 28/1, Fairly useful filly. Won 10-runner maiden at Haras du Pin (10.9f, good) 30 days ago, which was her final start for Francis-Henri Graffard. Likely to win races for her new yard, but this is a tough starting point. 1-5 in France; half-sister to The Revenant; worth a second look on stable/AW debut.
3
12th (3) (20/1 +39%) Evania
20
20/1(+39%)
(3) Evania 20/1, Fairly useful mare. Course winner. Last of 5 in handicap at Newmarket (10f, good to firm, 8/1) 40 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Up in trip and she is likely to come up short in this company. Won three of her first four starts on the AW, but has been mostly quiet since; tough task.
11
13th (11) (18/1 -260%) Greysful Storm
18
18/1(-260%)
(11) Greysful Storm 18/1, Useful filly. 9/1, good second of 8 in handicap at Goodwood (14f, soft) 41 days ago. Likely to make her presence felt if reproducing that level of form back on the AW. Running well in handicaps lately but around 3l behind Divine Jewel at Chester in September.
12
14th (12) (20/1 -208%) Luckin Brew
20
20/1(-208%)
(12) Luckin Brew 20/1, Lightly-raced winner. 15 lengths last of 7 to Royal Rhyme in listed race at Ayr (10f, good, 10/1) 45 days ago. That was her first appearance for almost a year, so she's entitled to come on for it and could have a part to play if this trip proves to be within her range. Polytrack winner last year and just beaten in Listed company, but last on her Ayr return.
LTO Selection:
13:47 Lingfield Listed (Class 1) 13f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Stamina may be an issue for some of these as the majority step up in trip for this Listed contest, but that does not apply to DIVINE JEWEL. The daughter of Frankel was second over further than this at Chester in September and is forgiven a poor run on a softer surface in the Park Hill on her latest outing. If she isn't at her best, then Greysful Storm is an obvious danger alongside the maiden winner Safety Catch, who could be the surprise package.
There was no obvious reason for DIVINE JEWEL's tame display at Doncaster and, given that her profile is otherwise pretty solid, it's probably best not to assume that it was simply a 'bad day at the office'. She was a good second in a listed contest at Chester prior to that (Greysful Storm 3¼ lengths adrift in fourth and 4 lb worse off here) and a reproduction of that would give her every chance. Greysful Storm is taken to follow her home, with Empress Wu and Luckin Brew best of the rest.
The choice is DIVINE JEWEL who has been placed four times in Pattern company and gained her only AW success at this track.
(4) Iroko 11/10, Fine advert for his stable last season, completing hat-trick of handicap hurdle victories in the Martin Pipe at Cheltenham in March. Turned in another solid display when third in Grade 1 Sefton at Aintree on final start and he's well worthy of respect now chasing. Placed in Grade 1 novice hurdle in April and open to further progress over fences.
3
2nd (3) (10/3 -21%) Golden Son
3.333333
10/3(-21%)
(3) Golden Son 10/3, Smart hurdler who was successful twice at Auteuil in 2021/22, in handicap and Group 2 Prix Georges de Talhouet-Roy. Encouragement when second in 4-runner minor event on chase debut at same track during spring of last year and well worth a look on return for leading yard. Grade 2 hurdle winner in France; looks very interesting on debut for Paul Nicholls.
5
3rd (5) (4/1 +38%) Kilbeg King
4
4/1(+38%)
(5) Kilbeg King 4/1, Point winner who landed only start in bumpers back in 2021 and, following a lengthy absence, made rapid strides forward over hurdles last term, making it 3 wins from 5 starts with a career-best display to land 25-runner Punchestown handicap (23.6f) in April. Interesting chase debutant. 3-5 over hurdles, the latest win gained in big-field handicap at Punchestown festival.
6
4th (6) (9/2 +59%) Get A Tonic
4.5
9/2(+59%)
(6) Get A Tonic 9/2, Won only start in Irish points and quickly made up in to a useful hurdler, winning 3 times during novice campaign. Didn't kick on from a promising return display in handful of starts last season and this looks a tough enough chase introduction. Had wind op. Useful handicap hurdler who has a part to play if she takes well to chasing.
2
5th (2) (28/1 -331%) Ballymackie
28
28/1(-331%)
(2) Ballymackie 28/1, £160,000 5-y-o. Brother to modest staying chase winner Ballylinch. Dam unraced half-sister to fairly useful hurdler (stayed 2¾m) The Sliding Rock. Won final 2 starts in Irish points (latest Apr 8) and he's well worth a second look on Rules debut. Dual Irish point winner who was bought for £160,000 in the spring; rules debut today.
LTO Selection:
13:55 Warwick Maiden Chase (Class 3) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Ballymackie is an interesting recruit after winning his last two point-to-points at Punchestown and Loughanmore and he could be a very interesting contender if ready to roll for his first start since April,. Golden Son has plenty of useful form in France and commands a fair amount of respect on his first start for Paul Nicholls, but IROKO still gets the vote. Winner of the Martin Pipe at the Cheltenham Festival and third in the Sefton Hurdle at Aintree, the five-year-old looks an exciting recruit to chasing and has reportedly schooled well ahead of his return to action.
GOLDEN SON made up into a smart hurdler during his time in France, and having displayed promise on his sole start over fences when last seen 18 months ago, he could well be worth siding with to make a winning return with the prospect of more to come in this sphere for his powerful yard. Iroko had a fine season over hurdles last term and is feared along with Kilbeg King. Dual point-scorer Ballymackie is one to monitor closely in the betting on Rules debut
A Cheltenham Festival winner over hurdles in March, IROKO is open to even more improvement over fences this season.
(3) Jeanne D'Arc 5/6, Promising sort. Second of 12 in maiden (10/3) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) on debut 15 days ago, not ideally placed. Obvious claims here with that experience to draw upon. Eyecatching second at Wolverhampton and smacks of a sure-fire improver.
5
2nd (5) (66/1 -230%) Madame De Sevigne
66
66/1(-230%)
(5) Madame De Sevigne 66/1, Twice-raced filly. Seventh of 17 in maiden (100/1) at Newmarket (7f, good to firm) 38 days ago. Probably more one for handicaps further down the line. Improved second time out to finish seventh of 17 at Newmarket (7f).
2
3rd (2) (7/2 +0%) Shakeela
3.5
7/2(+0%)
(2) Shakeela 7/2, Twice-raced winner. 15/8, won 9-runner maiden at Southwell (7.1f) 28 days ago, kept up to work. Open to improvement and should make her presence felt. Caught the eye on debut and then ran on well to justify favouritism at Southwell (7f).
7
4th (7) (125/1 +0%) Nancy P
125
125/1(+0%)
(7) Nancy P 125/1, Once-raced filly. Fifth of 7 in maiden (25/1) at Newmarket (7f, good to soft) on debut 25 days ago. Readily passed over. 25-1 chance when beaten 12l into fifth (of seven) at Newmarket in October (7f, soft).
8
5th (8) (50/1 +0%) Rockymountainway
50
50/1(+0%)
(8) Rockymountainway 50/1, Foaled April 23. Lope De Vega filly. Dam, 5f/6f winner (including at 2 yrs), sister to very smart 7f/1m winner Tabarrak. Worth a second look in the betting. Dam Listed-placed 5f/6f winner (RPR 102), sister to 7f/1m Listed winner Tabarrak.
6
6th (6) (14/1 +44%) Nakheel
14
14/1(+44%)
(6) Nakheel 14/1, Foaled April 5. Dubawi filly. Sister to 1¼m winner Elraaed. Likely type on paper and it'll be interesting to see what the market has to say. Third foal; sister to 1m2f winner Elraaed (RPR 87); needs a market check.
1
7th (1) (11/4 -22%) Panarea
2.75
11/4(-22%)
(1) Panarea 11/4, 8/11, won 5-runner minor event at Ascot (6f, good to soft) on debut in July. That form is no more than fair, but as a well-bred filly representing powerful connections, she is likely to improve. Major player. Odds-on and did well to reel in the front-runner on debut at Ascot in July (6f); promising.
LTO Selection:
14:05 Chelmsford Stakes (Class 5) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
PANAREA made the perfect start to her career at Ascot in July and the half-sister to champion juvenile Pinatubo is expected to back that performance up, despite giving 7lb to all of her rivals barring Shakeela. Roger Varian's filly stepped forward from her debut to win at Southwell and she enters calculations. Jeanne d'Arc is another with valid form credentials based on her runner-up effort at Wolverhampton.
JEANNE D'ARC shaped like a ready-made future winner when going close in a Wolverhampton maiden recently and, with improvement on the cards, she is taken to go one better here. The form of the Ascot novice won by Panarea during the summer is nothing to get too excited about, but she has to be feared nevertheless and is second choice ahead of Southwell scorer Shakeela.
In receipt of weight from the penalised winners this may go the way of JEANNE D'ARC, who was a big eyecatcher at Wolverhampton.
(5) An Tobar 8/13, Easily won sole start in points (Jan 2022). It's taken a while to get him to the track but could have a big say here if the betting vibes are strong. Top stable also responsible for New York Style. Had a stack of subsequent winners behind when winning his 2022 point by 20l.
7
2nd (7) (5/1 +17%) Champagne Admiral
5
5/1(+17%)
(7) Champagne Admiral 5/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. Third of 17 in novice hurdle (11/2) at Gowran (20.2f, heavy) on hurdles bow 38 days ago. Back down in trip. Likeable bumper form and it was a good start over hurdles when third at Gowran.
3
3rd (3) (9/4 +10%) St Cuthbert's Cave
2.25
9/4(+10%)
(3) St Cuthbert's Cave 9/4, 20/1, won 12-runner bumper at Kelso (16.2f, good to soft) on in May. Subsequently changed hands for £150,000. Interesting recruit for top connections. Won a modest Kelso bumper in May and since snapped up for £150,000.
14
4th (14) (200/1 +20%) Lady Goliath
200
200/1(+20%)
(14) Lady Goliath 200/1, Eleventh of 16 in novice hurdle at this C&D (soft, 100/1) on hurdles bow 36 days ago. No real sign of winning potential as yet and will need low-grade handicaps.
9
5th (9) (33/1 +34%) Solly Attwell
33
33/1(+34%)
(9) Solly Attwell 33/1, Once-raced maiden. 28/1, seventh of 12 in novice hurdle at this C&D (soft) on NH debut 36 days ago. Went off 28-1 for a C&D maiden last month and was beaten a long way.
2
6th (2) (150/1 +25%) Roderick
150
150/1(+25%)
(2) Roderick 150/1, Once-raced maiden over hurdles. First run since leaving Denis Hogan when tenth of 13 in claimer (125/1) at Dundalk (8f) 6 days ago. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Poor on last hurdle outing. Tailed off in a maiden hurdle this August and well beaten in Flat claimers since then.
12
7th (12) (80/1 +47%) Another Red Cat
80
80/1(+47%)
(12) Another Red Cat 80/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. 200/1, sixth of 17 in novice hurdle at Navan (20f, good to soft) 52 days ago. Shown some ability but opposable whilst she remains in maiden company.
8
8th (8) (50/1 +24%) Matthews Hill
50
50/1(+24%)
(8) Matthews Hill 50/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Fourth of 6 in hunter chase at Stratford (27.5f, good, 16/1) 158 days ago. Makes hurdles debut. Significantly down in trip. Has form figures of 2F4 in hunter chases this year; likely vulnerable to sharper types.
19
9th (19) (125/1 +38%) It's Never Simple
125
125/1(+38%)
(19) It's Never Simple 125/1, Twice-raced maiden. 125/1, fourteenth of 22 in novice hurdle at Punchestown (16f, heavy). Off 9 months. RESERVE. Reserve; tailed off in two maidens and one for further down the line.
10
10th (10) (25/1 +24%) Solo Flight
25
25/1(+24%)
(10) Solo Flight 25/1, Twice-raced maiden under NH rules. 9/1, seventh of 15 in novice hurdle at Punchestown (16.2f, good to soft) on hurdles bow 27 days ago. Has shaped okay on his two visits to Punchestown (bumper/maiden); needs more.
11
11th (11) (150/1 +25%) Superdermo
150
150/1(+25%)
(11) Superdermo 150/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 100/1, eighth of 12 in novice hurdle at Galway (16.4f, heavy) 10 days ago. Has contested four maidens, running his best race last time at Galway but still beaten 20l.
13
12th (13) (200/1 +20%) Fly With Me Chik
200
200/1(+20%)
(13) Fly With Me Chik 200/1, Twice-raced maiden. 150/1, ninth of 16 in novice hurdle at this C&D (soft) 36 days ago. Big odds and tailed off in maidens at Down Royal and here.
6
13th (6) (200/1 +0%) Beeverstown Place
200
200/1(+0%)
(6) Beeverstown Place 200/1, Once-raced maiden. Broke blood vessel when pulled up in bumper (100/1) at this course (16.5f, good to soft) on NH debut, pulled up. Off 8 months. Makes hurdles debut. Reportedly bled when pulled up in a bumper earlier this year at this track (100-1).
15
14th (15) (150/1 -50%) Mini Getaway
150
150/1(-50%)
(15) Mini Getaway 150/1, Once-raced maiden. Ninth of 18 in novice hurdle at Limerick (16f, heavy, 66/1) on NH debut 16 days ago. Finished midfield in a Limerick maiden 16 days ago (soft to heavy); opposable for now.
LTO Selection:
14:13 Fairyhouse Maiden Hurdle 16f Race Speed Rating Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
NEW YORK STYLE, who was bought by J.P. McManus after finishing runner-up on her racecourse debut at Wexford last October, can provide an instant return. A half-sister to a black type horse also owned by McManus, she is certainly in the right hands to make a successful career over hurdles. St Cuthbert's Cave, a bumper winner at Kelso for Rose Dobbin in May, makes his debut for Gordon Elliott. Subsequently purchased by Gigginstown House Stud, the five-year-old has plenty of untapped potential. Viceregent had become somewhat disappointing for Charles Byrnes prior to winning his last start on the flat recently. Now starting out for new connections, he has plenty of experience over hurdles which should prove an asset in this company.
ST CUTHBERT'S ROAD has switched to Gordon Elliott since making a winning bumper debut in the spring and gets the nod to do likewise over hurdles, with confidence in his chance increased should the betting vibes be strong. Henry De Bromhead pair New York Style and An Tobar are other interesting recruits to the hurdle ranks, while Viceregent, who has changed hands since a Flat success at Navan last month, looks pick of those with hurdle experience.
St Cuthbert's Cave is of obvious interest but AN TOBAR didn't half look good when winning his point by a wide margin.
(1) Sir Oliver 10/3, C&D winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. Second of 11 in handicap at Chelmsford (7f, 14/1) 24 days ago. Draw could have been kinder. C&D winner who was only just denied at Chelmsford last month, but he's drawn wide here.
9
2nd (9) (9/2 -13%) How Impressive
4.5
9/2(-13%)
(9) How Impressive 9/2, Had a good spell lately, including a Yarmouth win in September. Shaped better than result when second of 11 at Wolverhampton (6f) latest, trapped wide after being rushed into contention after a slowish start. Second over C&D in August has worked out well; has shaped as though return to 7f will suit.
6
3rd (6) (10/3 +5%) Shoot To Kill
3.333333
10/3(+5%)
(6) Shoot To Kill 10/3, C&D winner. Also scored over 1m here in September. Creditable third of 12 in handicap (10/1) at Kempton (7f) 20 days ago. Looks competitive on form. Three-time course winner and running well lately; player from the same mark as last time.
8
4th (8) (8/1 +27%) Dashing Dick
8
8/1(+27%)
(8) Dashing Dick 8/1, Latest win at Newmarket (under Kieran Shoemark) in August. 13/2, respectable fifth of 9 in handicap at Chelmsford (6f) 26 days ago. Can make presence felt. Back off last winning mark, but 0-14 on the AW; others appeal more.
2
5th (2) (9/2 +0%) Riot
4.5
9/2(+0%)
(2) Riot 9/2, Creditable placed efforts over 7f at Chelmsford last month. Should be thereabouts again if a wide draw isn't too big an inconvenience. Has run well at Chelmsford the last twice; still off last winning mark but has a wide draw.
5
6th (5) (40/1 -43%) Bowman
40
40/1(-43%)
(5) Bowman 40/1, Ended last season out of form and down the field in 2 runs on turf on return to action this autumn. Three-time course winner, but quiet since summer 2022; look elsewhere.
4
7th (4) (22/1 -22%) Matty Too
22
22/1(-22%)
(4) Matty Too 22/1, Won back to back over 7f on turf in June but his last 2 efforts have been disappointing. Needs a return to AW and first-time blinkers (replacing visor) to help spark a revival. Quiet lately and still 4lb above last winning mark; well beaten sole AW start; blinkers on.
12
8th (12) (66/1 -267%) Gannon Glory
66
66/1(-267%)
(12) Gannon Glory 66/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in August. Fifth of 7 in claimer (4/1) at Kempton (6f) 13 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Archie Watson. Two wins over 6f this year and makes his debut for yet another new yard; stamina to prove.
10
9th (10) (33/1 -32%) Mamillius
33
33/1(-32%)
(10) Mamillius 33/1, Four-time course winner, the latest in May. Back on a good mark but his latest eighth of 11 over 6f here was rather laboured. Dual C&D winner, but he needs to better his two efforts since returning to the AW.
7
10th (7) (12/1 -140%) Okami
12
12/1(-140%)
(7) Okami 12/1, Three AW wins for Roger Varian this year, including over C&D in September. Not seen to best effect when eighth of 11 in handicap at Chelmsford (7f 24 days ago. First run for new yard. Three narrow wins on AW for Roger Varian; behind three of these last time; stable debut.
11
11th (11) (125/1 -213%) Roman Spring
125
125/1(-213%)
(11) Roman Spring 125/1, Fair form. 22/1, last of 14 in handicap at Haydock (1m, good to firm) in April (final start for Richard Hannon). Watching brief the percentage call now setting out for new stable. 0-7 and makes his stable debut after 192 days off; probably best watched.
3
12th (3) (11/1 +0%) Jilly Cooper
11
11/1(+0%)
(3) Jilly Cooper 11/1, C&D winner. Behind a couple of these when seventh of 11 in handicap at Chelmsford (7f) 24 days ago. Has the outside stall to contend with. C&D winner; probably needed her recent return, but the outside stall makes things tricky.
LTO Selection:
14:22 Lingfield Handicap (Class 4) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Mamillius has a good record here with four wins to his name, two of which came over this trip, but the veteran could be vulnerable. SHOOT TO KILL can idle once he hits the front, but he stays further than this and the gelding could mow them down late on. Last month's Chelmsford second Sir Oliver and seven-furlong specialist Bowman might compete for the minor placing.
HOW IMPRESSIVE was better than the result when runner-up at Wolverhampton last time and can resume winning ways with Richard Kingscote, who was on board for his Yarmouth success in September, back in the saddle. Shoot To Kill and Dashing Duck are others to consider, while Riot should also have a part to play if stall 11 doesn't prove too troublesome.
Preference is for HOW IMPRESSIVE whose close second over C&D in August has worked out well. Stepping back up to 7f should suit.
(1) Tarahumara 13/2, Lightly-raced winner. Had wind op before readily landing 7-runner handicap hurdle at Southwell (15.8f, good, 18/5) 176 days ago. Up 4 lb but not taken lightly after his break. Made all in Southwell handicap in May and now 2-3 over hurdles; major player.
7
2nd (7) (9/2 +44%) Risk D'argent
4.5
9/2(+44%)
(7) Risk D'argent 9/2, Fair winning hurdler but below form seventh of 13 in handicap hurdle at Haydock (15.6f, good to firm, 28/1) when last seen 7 months ago. Handily weighted if fully tuned up for his return. Didn't run badly in competitive series final in April and resumes on a tempting mark.
9
3rd (9) (10/1 +29%) Walk Of No Shame
10
10/1(+29%)
(9) Walk Of No Shame 10/1, Latest win in hurdle at Lingfield in February. Good second of 4 in handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (19.9f, heavy, 7/4) 119 days ago. Merits consideration. No significant further progress since novice win in February but has placed off this mark.
16
4th (16) (22/1 -38%) Force De Frap
22
22/1(-38%)
(16) Force De Frap 22/1, Scored at Taunton and Wincanton around the turn of last year and ended the season in good form too. Shortlisted on his seasonal return. Two wins last season; still in form when last seen in spring; others look better treated.
10
5th (10) (7/2 +42%) Royal Rhythm
3.5
7/2(+42%)
(10) Royal Rhythm 7/2, Made a winning yard debut in 12-runner handicap hurdle (5/1) at Carlisle (17.2f, soft) 19 days ago, finding extra. This fair ex-Irish scorer looks competitive on form desite taking a 4 lb rise. Dual hurdle winner in Ireland and made winning stable debut at Carlisle last month.
11
6th (11) (8/1 -7%) Gerard Mentor
8
8/1(-7%)
(11) Gerard Mentor 8/1, C&D winner who shaped well when second of 11 in handicap hurdle at Hereford (16.2f, good) 14 days ago, caught further back than ideal. Player nudged up just 1 lb for his in-form yard. Has his quirks and needs a patient ride but comes here after two good second last month.
2
7th (2) (17/2 +39%) Always Busy
8.5
17/2(+39%)
(2) Always Busy 17/2, C&D winner. Off 7 months before coming in only tenth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Chepstow (19.4f, heavy, 66/1) 24 days ago so needs to bounce back. Shock winner of C&D novice a year ago but has struggled in both handicap hurdles.
8
8th (8) (33/1 +18%) Socialist Agenda
33
33/1(+18%)
(8) Socialist Agenda 33/1, Fit from the Flat but only sixth of 8 in handicap hurdle at Southwell (15.8f, good to soft) 35 days ago. Lots more is needed. Useful novice during 2021-22 season but has regressed this year; revival needed.
3
9th (3) (50/1 -150%) Grosvenor Court
50
50/1(-150%)
(3) Grosvenor Court 50/1, 12/1, below form eighth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Haydock (24.3f, good to firm). Off 19 months. Significantly down in trip. First run for yard after leaving Alan King with his fitness to prove. Both handicap runs for Alan King were underwhelming; makes stable debut after long layoff.
4
10th (4) (11/1 +21%) Max's Champ
11
11/1(+21%)
(4) Max's Champ 11/1, Blinkered/tongue strap on for 1st time when posting a good second of 9 in novice hurdle at Hereford (19.7f, good to soft, 7/2). Off 7 months but needs considering on his handicap hurdle debut. Good second in Hereford maiden in April but more will be needed on today's handicap debut.
6
11th (6) (17/2 -70%) Eagle Of The Glen
8.5
17/2(-70%)
(6) Eagle Of The Glen 17/2, Lightly-raced winner. Simple task when easily landing 5-runner novice hurdle at Huntingdon (15.8f, good) 21 days ago. This demands more but he's still one to consider now going into handicaps. Left with simple task last month and now 2-3 over hurdles; handicap debut today.
12
12th (12) (100/1 -355%) Knot On Time
100
100/1(-355%)
(12) Knot On Time 100/1, Fair ex-Irish hurdler/chaser. Good third of 12 in novice chase at Downpatrick (19.2f, good to soft) last month on his final run for Paul Nolan. Much respected on his stable/handicap debut. Won Irish maiden in summer 2020; makes stable debut after mammoth absence.
14
13th (14) (16/1 -60%) Dunstall Rambler
16
16/1(-60%)
(14) Dunstall Rambler 16/1, Lightly-raced maiden hurdler. Hooded for 1st time, good second of 9 in novice hurdle (25/1) at Wincanton (15.2f, good to soft). Off 7 months but one to consider now going into handicaps. Much-improved form when second in Wincanton maiden in April; makes handicap debut today.
15
14th (15) (14/1 +13%) Accidental Legend
14
14/1(+13%)
(15) Accidental Legend 14/1, Won 3 on the bounce at around 2½m last winter, including here, but he has offered little on his last three outings. It's easy to look elsewhere. Won three 2m4f handicaps last season but form has nosedived since; cheekpieces tried.
5
15th (5) (66/1 -136%) Dixie Flyer
66
66/1(-136%)
(5) Dixie Flyer 66/1, First run since leaving Henry De Bromhead when last of 11 in novice hurdle (9/2) at Stratford (16.3f, good to soft) 29 days ago. Eleven runs since last win in 2020. Showed some fair form in Ireland but was tailed off in Stratford maiden on stable debut.
13
16th (13) (66/1 -230%) Barncroft
66
66/1(-230%)
(13) Barncroft 66/1, Fair hurdler but he beat only one on his chase debut at Tramore 13 months ago on his final run for Gordon Elliott. Can't be discounted starting out for new yard here though. Left Gordon Elliott after disappointing chase debut 13 months ago; stable debut today.
17
|PU| (17) (125/1 -89%) Deja Rouge
125
125/1(-89%)
(17) Deja Rouge 125/1, Regressive form for Gordon Elliott and he has offered little on both his runs for current yard. Hooded for 1st time. Hard to enthuse over after 12 months off. Ex-Irish 6yo who struggled in two maidens for this stable last autumn.
LTO Selection:
14:30 Warwick Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
TARAHUMARA made all to win on his first start following wind surgery and, as that was his third start over hurdles and his second victory, there may be more to come. The seven-year-old is capable of going well fresh, but he may need to be held up for a later challenge this time if Eagle Of The Glen gets first run on him in the race to take them along. He can go close if given a measured ride, while Royal Rhythm and Knot On Time are others for the shortlist.
Plenty are in with a shout. GERARD MENTOR shaped well when runner-up at Hereford last time and with his yard among the winners he is taken to bag a second C&D success. Royal Rhythm heads the list of dangers on the back of his debut Carlisle success for Jonjo O'Neill, although a good case can also be made for the returning pair Force de Frap and Risk d'Argent along with handicap-debutants Eagle Of The Glen and Max's Champ.
A chance is taken on RISK D'ARGENT, who ran well in defeat when fresh a year ago and begins his new campaign on an attractive mark.
(3) Musical Mystery 13/8, Two wins from 6 runs this year. 7/4, career best when winning 11-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 35 days ago. 5 lb rise tolerable and he has to enter calculations. Has won two of his three races since joining Ed Dunlop and the AW looks his scene.
4
2nd (4) (3/1 +33%) Rich Rhythm
3
3/1(+33%)
(4) Rich Rhythm 3/1, 17/2 and blinkered for 1st time, bit below form sixth of 11 in handicap at Kempton (7f) 41 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Ralph Beckett and capable of a bold show. His novice win came over 5f but he stays 7f and has placed form in handicaps; new yard.
6
3rd (6) (7/1 -56%) Legende D'Art
7
7/1(-56%)
(6) Legende D'Art 7/1, C&D winner. 20/1, eleventh of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 17 days ago. Yard saddles a stronger candidate in Kodias Sangarius. Excuses last time and that after an encouraging return; has won over C&D.
5
4th (5) (4/1 -78%) Kodias Sangarius
4
4/1(-78%)
(5) Kodias Sangarius 4/1, Won 8-runner handicap at this course (6f, 14/1) 24 days ago, readily. Now 3-11 on the AW and, with a 5 lb rise fair enough, she looks sure to be involved in the finish. Rated higher in the past and impressed last time; that was over 6f but 7f worth another go.
1
5th (1) (12/1 +33%) Arranmore
12
12/1(+33%)
(1) Arranmore 12/1, Twenty runs since last win in 2021. Eighth of 10 in handicap at Carlisle (9f, good, 5/1) 68 days ago. Down in trip on debut for new yard and probably best watched on first AW start for quite some time. Has flopped the last twice and recently changed hands for £1,000.
2
6th (2) (12/1 -20%) Inanna
12
12/1(-20%)
(2) Inanna 12/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. Bit below form fifth of 10 in handicap at this course (6f, 100/1) 19 days ago. Has work to do. 0-13 since her debut win and has twice disappointed since going close over 6f at Yarmouth.
LTO Selection:
14:40 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 5) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
MUSICAL MYSTERY appears to have turned a corner recently, winning two of his last three starts with both coming on the all-weather, and Ed Dunlop's gelding may well have more to offer stepping back up to 7f. Kodias Sangarius went up 5lb for her recent victory here and is entitled to be competitive once again, while Rich Rhythm shaped with promise for Ralph Beckett and is respected on his debut for new connections.
KODIAS SANGARIUS duly returned to form back on the all-weather when landing a 6f handicap in ready fashion here last month. She remains feasibly treated up 5 lb and is taken to strike again, with another crack at this trip well worth exploring. Musical Mystery has won 2 of his last 3 starts and looks a big danger, while Rich Rhythm could also have a part to play on debut for his new yard.
Henry Spiller's KODIAS SANGARIUS has shown all her form at 6f but this might not be too demanding a test over 7f.
(3) Absolute Notions 1/12, Disappointed at Aintree on final start last term but had won 2 of his 4 starts (at up to 19.5f) previously and sets a high standard here. Heavy going is a worry but he meets Joyeux Machin on 10lb better than handicap terms.
2
2nd (2) (8/1 +33%) Starman
8
8/1(+33%)
(2) Starman 8/1, Fair hurdler. Latest win in hurdle at Clonmel in September. 4/1, good second of 6 in handicap hurdle at Downpatrick (17.8f, soft) 32 days ago. Work to do with principals here, though. Fair standard of form lately but not in the same league as the likely market leaders.
4
3rd (4) (28/1 +58%) Cruisin Susan
28
28/1(+58%)
(4) Cruisin Susan 28/1, Modest hurdler. Respectable fifth of 10 in handicap hurdle (4/1) at Tramore (16f, heavy) 26 days ago. Back up in trip. Up against it. Modest form since winning a Tramore maiden last season, out of her depth in this company.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
ABSOLUTE NOTIONS, runner-up in a Grade 1 novice hurdle at the Dublin Racing Festival in February, should take beating if fit enough on his reappearance. Although there has to be a slight concern about the ground, given that he was pulled up at Aintree on his final run last season on testing going, he appears to have a class edge here. Joyeux Machin is clear second best on ratings but could get closer than his mark suggests given he has the advantage of a recent run. Paul Nolan's six-year-old has been kept on the go throughout the summer so should lack for nothing in terms of fitness. He, too, may not want it to get too testing. Starman has plenty to find with the top two but can make the running and that might bring him into contention if the race becomes tactical.
ABSOLUTE NOTIONS was going the right way prior to his disappointing effort in the Sefton Novices Hurdle last April and looks to have been found a good opportunity to get back on track here. Joyeux Machin is the obvious danger.
Neither of the main protagonists may relish the ground. ABSOLUTE OTIONS is better suited by the race conditions than Joyeux Machin
(5) Kodi Dancer 33/1, Latest win at Brighton in July but has struggled since, trailing home late of 13 at Windsor (6f, good to firm) 64 days ago. Needs to have been refreshed by a short break. Won at Brighton in July but her subsequent form has been disappointing.
8
1st (8) (20/1 -67%) Havechatma
20
20/1(-67%)
(8) Havechatma 20/1, Modest maiden. 10/1, eighth of 10 in handicap over C&D 11 days ago. Blinkered first time. No win in 12 starts and has form figures of 908608 this year; blinkers now tried.
1
2nd (1) (5/2 +9%) Sassy Redhead
2.5
5/2(+9%)
(1) Sassy Redhead 5/2, C&D winner. Sixth of 8 in handicap at Chelmsford (6f) 24 days ago. Drops in class here. C&D winner who is on a reduced mark and has claims if she can revive back in a Class 6.
2
3rd (2) (5/1 +17%) Bungle Bay
5
5/1(+17%)
(2) Bungle Bay 5/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in July. 5/2, seventh of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6f) 15 days ago. On dangerous mark but he has something to prove and is 0-6 on Polytrack.
7
4th (7) (25/1 -79%) Vintage Fashion
25
25/1(-79%)
(7) Vintage Fashion 25/1, 40/1, last of 11 in classified event at Southwell (1m) in January (final start for Denis Quinn). Off since ahead of this first outing for Matt Crawley. 12-race maiden who is with another new yard and has plenty to prove on her comeback.
3
5th (3) (3/1 +60%) Deputise
3
3/1(+60%)
(3) Deputise 3/1, Latest win at Southwell in August. Eighth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 21 days ago. Ended a long drought at Southwell in August but he's not come close to that form since.
4
6th (4) (4/1 -14%) Arlecchino's Gift
4
4/1(-14%)
(4) Arlecchino's Gift 4/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Windsor in June. Not seen to best effect when fourth of 9 in handicap at Chelmsford (6f, 6/1) 26 days ago. Has good chance on form. Went close at Chelmsford on penultimate run and had an excuse there last time; key player.
9
7th (9) (22/1 -10%) Lucy Lightfoot
22
22/1(-10%)
(9) Lucy Lightfoot 22/1, Course winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. Sixth of 9 in handicap at Chelmsford (5f, 28/1) 5 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. 0-12 in handicaps and she still has something to prove at this trip; others preferred.
6
8th (6) (15/2 +17%) Moveonup
7.5
15/2(+17%)
(6) Moveonup 15/2, Below form sixth of 13 in handicap at Brighton (6f, heavy) 19 days ago but had gone close on Chelmsford's AW prior to that. Capable of bouncing back with Billy Loughnane in the saddle again. Not easy to predict but he went close at Chelmsford on penultimate run and is in the mix.
LTO Selection:
14:57 Lingfield Handicap (Class 6) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
ARLECCHINO'S GIFT went close at Chelmsford on his penultimate start, when denied by a neck, before following that effort up with a fourth at the same venue last month. This appears to be an excellent opportunity for the four-year-old to get back to winning ways. A repeat of Moveonup's second at Chelmsford in September would give him every chance of being in the mix, while Bungle Bay is capable of bouncing back from his recent displays.
ARLECCHINO'S GIFT arrives on the back of a couple of in-frame efforts at Chelmsford and might be capable of getting his head back in front under David Probert. Moveonup went close on his latest AW start and is second choice ahead of Sassy Redhead, who has tasted success over C&D before and takes a drop in class now.
Most of these have plenty to prove but ARLECCHINO'S GIFT went close on Polytrack on his penultimate run and he had an excuse last time.
(4) Mister Who 18/1, Built on a promising hurdle debut second when going one better at Lingfield a year ago. Seemed amiss next time, however, and switched to chasing with something to prove after 10 months off. Novice hurdle winner who remains unexposed; makes seasonal/chase debut today.
9
1st (9) (7/1 -40%) Pepe Le Moko
7
7/1(-40%)
(9) Pepe Le Moko 7/1, Showed fair form over hurdles and is bred to take to this discipline, so he's not without hope for all he has a 10-month absence to overcome. 0-5 over hurdles but ran well in all three handicaps; interesting recruit to chasing.
3
2nd (3) (7/2 +50%) High Game Royal
3.5
7/2(+50%)
(3) High Game Royal 7/2, Runner-up only outing in bumpers in France and left previous hurdles form behind when making a successful handicap debut at Chepstow 7 months ago. Should take to chasing, so not one to rule out. Off the mark over hurdles at end of last season; makes chasing debut here.
8
3rd (8) (18/1 -64%) Pilsdon Pen
18
18/1(-64%)
(8) Pilsdon Pen 18/1, Three-time hurdles winner, the latest at Exeter (16.7f, soft) a year ago. Held form after and could feature if taking to this new discipline. 3-12 over hurdles; not bred for chasing but was in good form when last seen in spring.
13
4th (13) (14/1 -17%) Gallow Ford
14
14/1(-17%)
(13) Gallow Ford 14/1, Point/hurdles winner whose chasing debut in a handicap at Worcester 18 months ago wasn't devoid of promise. He's not been seen since, though. Not seen since underwhelming chase debut in May 2022.
5
5th (5) (12/1 +14%) Inflexible
12
12/1(+14%)
(5) Inflexible 12/1, Performed with credit both outings in France and fair form over hurdles so far for current stable. Has some potential back over larger obstacles after 7 months off. Second over fences in France last year and over hurdles on British debut; still unexposed.
1
6th (1) (17/2 +0%) Zestful Hope
8.5
17/2(+0%)
(1) Zestful Hope 17/2, Fair hurdler who made a positive start in this sphere towards the end of last season. Likely needed his return over the smaller obstacles at this course last month and looks well worth considering. Ran well in defeat over fences at end of last season and probably needed recent hurdle run.
11
7th (11) (33/1 -32%) File Illico
33
33/1(-32%)
(11) File Illico 33/1, Won 4 times in a very productive first season over fences but generally disappointing last term. Returns on a handy mark as a result, so worth a market check. Four-time winner over fences but regressed and became disappointing last season.
10
8th (10) (11/1 +50%) Eyed
11
11/1(+50%)
(10) Eyed 11/1, Winner over hurdles at Huntingdon in March. Off 7 months. Makes chase debut. Worth a market check on return. Ended last season in good form over hurdles; another chasing debutant with potential.
14
9th (14) (50/1 +0%) Valirann Gold
50
50/1(+0%)
(14) Valirann Gold 50/1, Much improved for the switch to front-running tactics when scoring over 2m at Chepstow in January and back on track to some degree at Ascot 7 months ago. Likely to find this tough from out of the weights, though. Dominated from the front at Chepstow in January; 5lb wrong here but not ruled out.
12
|U| (12) (150/1 -275%) Twenty Twenty
150
150/1(-275%)
(12) Twenty Twenty 150/1, Fairly useful chaser at best but has taken little interest on his last two starts and will probably need his first run for 6 months. Missed most of last season and ran abject race on latest appearance in May.
2
10th (2) (10/3 +26%) Hartur D'oudairies
3.333333
10/3(+26%)
(2) Hartur D'oudairies 10/3, Fairly useful form over hurdles, shaping better than the result a couple of times. Has the physique/racing style to make a better chaser, so one to note if the market speaks in his favour after 7 months off. Low-mileage 6yo who is a big player if judged on last season's 2m course form over hurdles.
6
|PU| (6) (6/1 -9%) Sageburg County
6
6/1(-9%)
(6) Sageburg County 6/1, Won on sole outing in Irish points and stepped up on hurdling form when making a successful start to his chasing career at Market Rasen 5 months ago. More to come and worth a chance to follow up on return. Travelled strongly throughout and made winning chase debut at Market Rasen in May.
7
|PU| (7) (40/1 -400%) Master Malcolm
40
40/1(-400%)
(7) Master Malcolm 40/1, Career best when winning 8-runner handicap chase (7/4) at Huntingdon (19.9f, good to soft), bit in hand. Off 6 months. Can feature again if ready to go. Ended last season in excellent form, winning twice in good style at Huntingdon.
LTO Selection:
15:05 Warwick Handicap Chase (Class 4) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Hartur D'oudairies only won a solitary race over hurdles from five starts, but one look at his pedigree suggests he may go on to improve over the larger obstacles. He can go well but if HIGH GAME ROYAL takes to the larger obstacles, he could be the one. A winner over hurdles at Chepstow in April, despite idling in front, he gets the vote for a stable in among the winners, with Eyed one to watch for his very shrewd stable.
Ex-pointer SAGEBURG COUNTY was most impressive on chasing debut and he's fancied to maintain his unbeaten record in this sphere. Zestful Hope is a danger with a run under his belt and Hartur d'Oudairies looks the pick of the chasing newcomers.
The suggestion is HARTUR D'OUDAIRIES, who looks quite well handicapped on some of last season's hurdling form here.
(2) Smart Deal Evens, Modest over hurdles but posted fair form both starts on Flat, latest when fourth of 10 in minor event at Southwell (8.1f, 11/1) 40 days ago. Enters calculations. Not beaten far into fourth in two Flat races (1m2f/1m) for new yard; bang there.
1
2nd (1) (Evens +28%) Cosmos Raj
0
Evens(+28%)
(1) Cosmos Raj Evens, Notched a third career win at Ripon when successful there (8f) in July. Below par over 10f next time, but has been holding his form well back down in trip since, creditable fifth of 16 at Pontefract (good to soft) last time. Holds strong claims. Hasn't been running badly in 1m handicaps; strong form claims in this company.
3
3rd (3) (25/1 -194%) Art Of Romance
25
25/1(-194%)
(3) Art Of Romance 25/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 16/1, tenth of 11 in handicap at Bath (8f, good to firm) 55 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Brian Meehan. Others preferred. Decent debut for former yard but it all went downhill afterwards.
5
4th (5) (125/1 -279%) Withy Rock
125
125/1(-279%)
(5) Withy Rock 125/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 80/1, creditable third of 8 in seller at Leicester (7f, heavy) 21 days ago. Work to do. Five defeats include two sellers and her third at Leicester last month was remote.
4
5th (4) (12/1 -140%) Groove Nation
12
12/1(-140%)
(4) Groove Nation 12/1, 92,000 gns foal, 200,000 gns yearling, 9,000 gns 3-y-o, Siyouni gelding. Half-brother to 2-y-o 5f/6f winner Atomic Lady and 7f winner Undertheboardwalk. Wears cheekpieces.- Market check advised on debut. Nicely bred but has been gelded, goes in cheekpieces and kicks off in a seller.
LTO Selection:
15:15 Chelmsford Seller (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
According to the official ratings, Art Of Romance should go well at these weights but he hasn't gone forward from his debut second and needs to do more to win here. COSMOS RAJ does have to give weight to all of his rivals, but his short-head second in an Ayr handicap in September is form which reads well. Newcomer Groove Nation has to be of some interest too.
This can go to COSMOS RAJ, who will appreciate the drop in grade after acquitting himself well in competitive handicaps of late. Smart Deal may provide the chief threat.
(13) Glenabo Bridge 17/2, Fifteen runs since last win in 2022. Good third of 19 in handicap hurdle (5/1) at Gowran (20.2f, heavy) 38 days ago. Can make presence felt. Enjoys this ground and kept plugging away to make the frame at Gowran last time.
7
2nd (7) (11/4 -38%) Quornofamonday
2.75
11/4(-38%)
(7) Quornofamonday 11/4, Off 4 months before recording a good third of 15 in handicap hurdle (5/2) at Gowran (16f, heavy) 39 days ago. Back up in trip. Still has few miles on the clock and he's expected to be bang there despite a 2 lb rise. Improved third at Gowran and won't be far away with a repeat of that.
1
3rd (1) (11/2 -38%) C'est Rien
5.5
11/2(-38%)
(1) C'est Rien 11/2, Remains a maiden after 16 NH runs. Tongue strap on for 1st time, creditable fourth of 14 in handicap hurdle (11/1) at Thurles (23f, soft) 19 days ago. Looks competitive on form. Has a lot of weight but is one of the better options after her last two efforts.
12
4th (12) (5/1 +0%) Papa Barns
5
5/1(+0%)
(12) Papa Barns 5/1, 28/1, best effort when third of 15 in handicap hurdle at this course (16f, soft) 31 days ago. Up in trip. Needs to build on it now. Stayed on well to take third over 2m last time and that represented marked improvement.
4
5th (4) (13/2 +46%) Western Model
6.5
13/2(+46%)
(4) Western Model 13/2, Lightly-raced maiden. Off 6 months before posting a good sixth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Cork (19f, good to soft, 25/1) 23 days ago. Open to further improvement. Player. Returning from six months off when a 15l sixth on handicap debut at Cork (2m3f).
8
6th (8) (25/1 +0%) Kiss My Lucky Egg
25
25/1(+0%)
(8) Kiss My Lucky Egg 25/1, 12/1, pulled up in handicap hurdle at Clonmel (16.6f, heavy) 12 days ago, losing touch before 3 out. Back up in trip. Needs a couple of these to falter. Fourth at Gowran in September but not easily trusted to repeat that effort.
6
7th (6) (22/1 +56%) Getaway Henry
22
22/1(+56%)
(6) Getaway Henry 22/1, Ninth of 15 in novice hurdle (125/1) at Clonmel (19.1f, soft) 180 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut with more required. Nothing to show for his seven starts under rules and plenty to prove now handicapping.
10
|PU| (10) (14/1 +13%) Wild As Fire
14
14/1(+13%)
(10) Wild As Fire 14/1, Pulled up in handicap hurdle (9/1) at this course (24f, soft) 36 days ago, weakening when not fluent 3 out. Others more persuasive. Poor last run but each-way claims on his previous sixth of 23 at Naas.
3
|PU| (3) (16/1 -33%) Blackjack Boy
16
16/1(-33%)
(3) Blackjack Boy 16/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2020. Returned to form when third of 14 in handicap hurdle (33/1) at Limerick (21f, heavy) 17 days ago. Needs to back it up. Possibly wants good ground but considered after his recent third at Limerick.
14
|PU| (14) (17/2 +53%) Punk Rock Girl
8.5
17/2(+53%)
(14) Punk Rock Girl 17/2, 17/2, below form tenth of 18 in handicap hurdle at Listowel (24f, soft) 46 days ago. Merits consideration if shrugging off latest effort. 3m too far last time and had previously made the frame over 2m3f at Bangor.
16
|PU| (16) (18/1 +55%) War God
18
18/1(+55%)
(16) War God 18/1, One win from 22 NH runs. 18/1, twelfth of 17 in handicap hurdle at Cork (19f, good to soft) 23 days ago. Eighteen runs since last win in 2021. Former maiden winner but very regressive these days and hard to recommend.
11
|PU| (11) (22/1 -100%) Chrisaldy
22
22/1(-100%)
(11) Chrisaldy 22/1, 16/1, eighth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Cork (19f, good to soft) 23 days ago. Needs to take a step forward. Wasn't far behind Western Model when shaping nicely after his absence at Cork.
2
|PU| (2) (28/1 -40%) Billable Grant
28
28/1(-40%)
(2) Billable Grant 28/1, 11/1 and blinkered for 1st time, ninth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Downpatrick (17.3f, good) 142 days ago. Has work to do. Latest run was a tad more promising and his mark continues to fall.
9
|PU| (9) (50/1 +24%) Castle Arms Casa
50
50/1(+24%)
(9) Castle Arms Casa 50/1, 40/1, pulled up in handicap hurdle at Downpatrick (21.5f, soft) 32 days ago. Tongue strap/cheekpieces on for 1st time. Bad mistake prior to pulling up in a 2m5f handicap at Downpatrick for which she was 40-1.
15
|PU| (15) (66/1 +0%) Save Tonight
66
66/1(+0%)
(15) Save Tonight 66/1, 33/1, pulled up in handicap hurdle at this course (16f, soft) 31 days ago, behind when slow 4 out. Back up in trip. 33-1 when pulled up in a handicap here a month ago and now unplaced in all 12 starts.
5
|PU| (5) (100/1 +0%) Dylan Og
100
100/1(+0%)
(5) Dylan Og 100/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, pulled up in novice hurdle at Clonmel (18.5f, heavy, 125/1). First run for yard after leaving Ms Debbie Hartnett with it to prove on his handicap hurdle debut. Makes handicap debut but he showed no worthwhile form in maidens; new yard.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
PAPA BARNS caught the eye when staying on into third here on his last visit and may be able to go a couple of places better now. The lightly-raced Mustameet gelding posted a much-improved performance on his return this season, when third to Brownstone, and this step up in trip looks like it should suit. C'est Rien has been knocking on the door recently and is a leading contender here again in a moderate enough contest. Quornofamonday is another who showed improvement on his first start of this season, when third at Gowran Park, and has to be on the shortlist.
QUORNOFAMONDAY shaped well after a lay-off when third at Gowran last time and can build on it here to open his account at the chief expense of Western Model who also looks to have more to offer on the back of a good Cork sixth on his handicap debut. Glenabo Bridge appeals as the pick of the rest for place purposes.
The fact that C'EST RIEN has performed creditably back-to-back bodes well and a trip just shy of 3m seemed to stretch her at Thurles.
(5) Moorgate 13/2, 7/2, respectable fourth of 10 in C&D handicap 11 days ago, running on late. Merits consideration. Maiden; strong-finishing 4th in first 6f handicap on AW, over C&D 11 days ago.
2
2nd (2) (9/4 -13%) Darlo Pride
2.25
9/4(-13%)
(2) Darlo Pride 9/4, Career best when winning 12-runner handicap at Chelmsford (6f) 38 days ago, driven out. A 3 lb rise is unlikely to prevent another bold show from this 3-y-o. Doing better of late and defied wide draw over 6f at Chelmsford latest; solid chance.
6
3rd (6) (3/1 +60%) Essme
3
3/1(+60%)
(6) Essme 3/1, One win from 28 Flat runs. Creditable fourth of 10 in handicap at this course (7f, 25/1) on Sunday. Each-way claims if turned out again quickly. Won over 7f here on turf; rarely runs over 6f and well held over C&D in May 2022.
4
4th (4) (3/1 +50%) Fristel
3
3/1(+50%)
(4) Fristel 3/1, Remains a maiden after 21 starts. 15/2 and blinkered first time, creditable fourth of 11 in C&D in June. Player if resuming from a break in similar form. Has the ability to find an AW race at 6f but still a maiden after 21 starts.
3
5th (3) (12/1 -71%) Tilsworth Ony Ta
12
12/1(-71%)
(3) Tilsworth Ony Ta 12/1, Latest win at Bath in September. Creditable fourth of 11 in handicap (15/2) at Chelmsford (5f) 19 days ago. Respected. 0-16 on AW but continued in form since September win on turf; thereabouts.
8
6th (8) (14/1 +30%) Dazzerling
14
14/1(+30%)
(8) Dazzerling 14/1, Remains a maiden after 19 starts. Creditable sixth of 10 in handicap at Chelmsford City (6f, 40/1) 3 days ago. Slow start to year but down weights and better on last 2 starts; place squeak.
7
7th (7) (33/1 -83%) Perfect Symphony
33
33/1(-83%)
(7) Perfect Symphony 33/1, C&D winner. Respectable sixth of 10 in handicap (12/1) at this course (5f) 42 days ago. In good form over 5f here in the spring; below best since; return to 6f no obvious plus.
9
8th (9) (125/1 -213%) Poppyequiano
125
125/1(-213%)
(9) Poppyequiano 125/1, Poor form at best. Sixth of 10 in C&D handicap 11 days ago. Hood on first time. Something to find on form. First sign of ability when a close 6th of ten over C&D latest; needs more for the hood.
LTO Selection:
15:32 Lingfield Handicap (Class 6) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
DARLO PRIDE rewarded connections by finally shedding the maiden tag at Chelmsford in September following a string of consistent performances. A 3lb rise doesn't appear to be particularly harsh and the son of Outstrip gets the vote to back that victory up. Tilsworth Ony Ta continues to hold his form and is respected along with Moorgate, who could get closer if breaking on terms unlike when fourth over C&D last time.
Sole 3-y-o DARLO PRIDE is taken to defy a small rise for Chelmsford. Moorgate, Tilsworth Ony Ta and Fristel may give Anthony Carson's charge most to think about.
Darlo Pride is more solid than most but MOORGATE looks to have potential for the AW and can improve on his latest 4th over C&D.
(11) Rock The House 150/1, Won 3 on the bounce for Katy Price during the summer, but pulled up both starts for new connections since returning from a break in October. Pulled up in both starts since joining this yard.
2
1st (2) (10/1 +29%) Benign Dictator
10
10/1(+29%)
(2) Benign Dictator 10/1, Bumper winner at Uttoxeter on Rules debut in 2021 and since done fairly well over hurdles, winner of a maiden back at Uttoxeter in February and creditable third of 12 in a Worcester handicap (23f, soft) when last seen during the spring. Shouldn't be far away if ready to roll following a break. Ran well when last seen in May and could make an impact on return.
7
2nd (7) (4/1 +56%) Ballycamus
4
4/1(+56%)
(7) Ballycamus 4/1, Doubled his career tally when scoring at Newbury (24.2f, soft) in March, seeming to relish the emphasis on stamina back up in trip. Shape encouragingly when third of 9 on return at Bangor, finishing 6 lengths adrift of the re-opposing Halifax, but dropping back in trip here may not be ideal. Behind Halifax on last month's return so needs to improve for that; both wins on soft.
15
3rd (15) (20/1 -208%) Stratton Oakmont
20
20/1(-208%)
(15) Stratton Oakmont 20/1, Fair efforts both starts in handicap hurdles last season and since won 2 of his 4 starts between the flags. Record stands at 0-9 in this sphere, but he resumes on what looks a workable mark and is worth a second look. Two point wins in the spring; has placed form over hurdles but yet to win one.
14
4th (14) (4/1 +33%) Steal My Sunshine
4
4/1(+33%)
(14) Steal My Sunshine 4/1, Improved in first-time cheekpieces to land 11-runner handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (2½m, good to soft) in May. That form is proving strong and he duly followed up on return at Worcester last month. 6 lb rise fair enough and this low-mileage 6-y-o may have more to offer. 2-2 in cheekpieces; had to work hard at Worcester last month and up 6lb; still shortlisted.
9
5th (9) (6/1 +57%) Alexandra Romanov
6
6/1(+57%)
(9) Alexandra Romanov 6/1, Successful twice at Fontwell last winter and added to her tally back from 8 months off in a 6-runner C&D handicap (good) in September, despite some sloppy jumping. However, 7 lb higher mark proved beyond her back here next time and, eased just 1 lb since, she looks vulnerable. C&D winner in September and fair effort here since; should give a good account.
5
6th (5) (6/1 +8%) Police Academy
6
6/1(+8%)
(5) Police Academy 6/1, Has sprouted wings since returned to this sphere for new yard, making it 3-4 for Fergal O'Brien with a tidy success in a 4-runner mares' handicap at Ludlow (21.2f, good to soft) last month. 4 lb rise by no means the end of the world and likely she will have a major role to play. 3-4 for this stable; won at this trip last month; this is a more serious test.
17
7th (17) (22/1 -10%) Karakoram
22
22/1(-10%)
(17) Karakoram 22/1, Seemed well suited by the step up to 3m when resuming winning ways at Taunton in March. However, not in the same form since, well held on return at Stratford last month, and others look more solid. Two wins last season; well held on last month's return; record over hurdles is 5-50.
12
8th (12) (28/1 -75%) Kilfilum Woods
28
28/1(-75%)
(12) Kilfilum Woods 28/1, Maiden who went like the best horse at the weights on his second start back from a breathing operation when runner-up here (25f, good to firm) in May, making his effort earlier than ideal. However, he was beating a retreat when falling 3 out at Uttoxeter the following month. Others preferred. Second here in May but fell the following month and absent since.
6
9th (6) (10/1 -43%) Just Loose Change
10
10/1(-43%)
(6) Just Loose Change 10/1, Improved switch to handicaps last season, winning twice, including a decisive all-the-way success at Taunton (19f, soft) on final start of that campaign. Likely to come on for his reappearance spin at Newton Abbot, but perhaps a shade too high in the weights for now in any case. Fine winner in April but well beaten off this mark on last month's return.
13
10th (13) (50/1 -100%) Barricane
50
50/1(-100%)
(13) Barricane 50/1, Landed back-to-back handicaps in 2021 and it was little surprise that he was well when last seen here in May, given that he was returning from an 18-month absence. Hard to know what to expect following another break and yard saddles a more appealing candidate in Benign Dictator. Two wins in 2021 but well beaten on only start since, six months ago.
16
11th (16) (50/1 -257%) Commodore Miller
50
50/1(-257%)
(16) Commodore Miller 50/1, Fairly useful maiden hurdler at his best for Nicky Henderson and, though time with that yard ended on a downer (pulled up in handicap at Fakenham in May 2022), he was still in the lead when falling 2 out on debut for new yard at Huntingdon (19.6f, good to soft) in January. Interesting. Still leading when taking heavy fall at Huntingdon in January, on stable debut.
10
12th (10) (4/1 +47%) Halligator
4
4/1(+47%)
(10) Halligator 4/1, Made a winning start over hurdles in a Uttoxeter maiden in June 2022 and runner-up next 2 starts, including on handicap bow off this mark at Huntingdon (20.7f, soft) during the spring. Has undergone a wind op subsequent to a couple of below par efforts and claims if able to get back on track here. Two modest efforts in the spring; needs wind surgery to make a difference.
1
13th (1) (66/1 -450%) Mourzouk
66
66/1(-450%)
(1) Mourzouk 66/1, Improved performer in first half of 2012, winner of Ffos Las maiden and 19f novice here (second past the post but subsequently awarded the race) prior to completing the hat-trick on handicap debut at Newton Abbot (21.6f, soft). Resumes from a 17-month absence here and the market should be revealing. Absent since a hat-trick in spring 2022; market check required.
4
|PU| (4) (25/1 -25%) Interne De Sivola
25
25/1(-25%)
(4) Interne De Sivola 25/1, Dual juvenile hurdle winner for Nick Williams during 2021/22 campaign. Didn't take to fences last season, but return to this sphere did little to reverse his fortunes over 2m here on his latest start in March. Too risky for comfort, for all that he resumes on a potentially handy mark. Chasing didn't work out and was pulled up back hurdling in March; plenty to prove.
LTO Selection:
15:40 Warwick Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 21f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
The application of cheekpieces seem to have been the key to STEAL MY SUNSHINE's improvement with the six-year-old winning his last two starts at Uttoxeter in May and when returning from a break at Worcester last month. The six-year-old doesn't appear to have finished his progression and a 6lb rise is unlikely to be an inconvenience. A wind operation might aid the cause of Halligator, while Mourzouk and Alexandra Romanov complete the shortlist.
POLICE ACADEMY has progressed since joining Fergal O'Brien and a 4 lb rise for her latest success at Ludlow is unlikely to stop her in her tracks. She gets the nod ahead of another upwardly mobile sort in 6-y-o in Steal My Sunshine, who is bidding for the hat-trick following his reappearance victory at Worcester. Halligator remains of interest, despite failing to fire the last twice, while Commodore Miller and handicap-debutant Sea Village are others to consider in a competitive handicap.
(7) Monks Mead 5/1, Winner at Lingfield in July. Creditable second of 10 in nursery at Bath (8f, good to firm, 17/2) 55 days ago. Likely to give another good account. 7f win on turf in July; runner-up twice since; unexposed at 1m but needs further progress.
1
2nd (1) (9/1 +0%) Sneaky Blinder
9
9/1(+0%)
(1) Sneaky Blinder 9/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Sixth of 13 in minor event (100/1) at this course (7f) 26 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time for this handicap debut. Gelded. Latest run (7f here) was better; gelded since; more to come now handicapping in headgear.
4
3rd (4) (3/1 +14%) St Lukes Chelsea
3
3/1(+14%)
(4) St Lukes Chelsea 3/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Good fourth of 12 in nursery at Kempton (8f, 11/4) 22 days ago, faring best of those ridden prominently. Blinkers on 1st time and he's one to consider. 0-5 but promise at Kempton last time and the addition of blinkers could give him a lift.
3
4th (3) (33/1 +0%) Battleofbaltimore
33
33/1(+0%)
(3) Battleofbaltimore 33/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 28/1, last of 18 in nursery at Leicester (6f, good) 28 days ago. Significantly up in trip now switched to polytrack. Others more persuasive. Promise on first two starts but harder to recommend on last three efforts; up in trip now.
5
5th (5) (16/1 -14%) Makuri
16
16/1(-14%)
(5) Makuri 16/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 22/1, last of 6 in nursery at Windsor (10f, good to firm) 29 days ago. Makes polytrack debut and needs to raise her game. Beaten just one rival home in her four starts; AW may help but she's not a solid option.
2
6th (2) (11/2 +39%) Beach Point
5.5
11/2(+39%)
(2) Beach Point 11/2, Thrice-raced maiden. 100/1, seventh of 9 in minor event at Yarmouth (6f, soft) 22 days ago. Significantly up in trip for this handicap debut. Uphill task. Down the field in 3 novices over shorter; makes nursery debut at a low level; more to come.
9
7th (9) (250/1 -213%) First Encounter
250
250/1(-213%)
(9) First Encounter 250/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Last of 7 in minor event at Goodwood (9f, soft, 150/1) 23 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time now pitched into a handicap. BHA-rated 10 after three tailed-off efforts; cheekpieces not enough to tempt.
6
8th (6) (9/2 -100%) Serendipitous Lady
4.5
9/2(-100%)
(6) Serendipitous Lady 9/2, Lightly-raced winner. Career best when winning 8-runner nursery (3/1) at Yarmouth (7f, soft) 22 days ago, overcoming pace bias. 5 lb rise by no means harsh and she's a big player. Improved for a visor/nurseries, winning well on turf latest; 1m should suit; more to come.
8
9th (8) (4/1 +11%) Likleman
4
4/1(+11%)
(8) Likleman 4/1, 13/2, very good second of 10 in nursery at Leicester (8.2f, heavy) 21 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Enters calculations. Best run when 2nd at Leicester three weeks ago (1m, soft); more needed but that's possible.
LTO Selection:
15:50 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
SERENDIPITOUS LADY stayed on well to win by a couple of lengths last month at Yarmouth and, although she has been put up 5lb for that success, she may have more to offer now the penny has dropped. Her third here in September suggests the surface is not an issue and she could get the better of the blinkered St Lukes Chelsea and Bath second Monks Mead.
The one who appeals most is SERENDIPITOUS LADY, who was a close third on her handicap bow here in September and subsequently improved again when opening her account at Yarmouth. She may well have more to offer now upped to a mile. Likleman produced his best effort yet when runner-up at Leicester 3 weeks ago and he is likely to emerge as the main danger. St Lukes Chelsea and Monks Mead are others to consider.
(14) Duffys Getaway 4/1, Twelfth of 17 in handicap hurdle at Tipperary (24f, good to soft, 5/1) 124 days ago, weakening before straight. Bounce back rates possible returning from a break. Finished fourth in big-field handicaps on three occasions and he stays well.
7
2nd (7) (25/1 +24%) Kiln Time
25
25/1(+24%)
(7) Kiln Time 25/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 125/1, seventeenth of 18 in novice hurdle at Punchestown (20.4f, good to soft). Off over 2 years. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Quiet in maidens and makes handicap debut after a mammoth absence.
4
3rd (4) (5/1 +0%) Mahler Appeal
5
5/1(+0%)
(4) Mahler Appeal 5/1, Lightly-raced maiden who finished runner-up on 3 of his 4 starts in handicap hurdles last season. Rare poor effort over fences when last seen during the spring and he's a likely type to bounce back returned to smaller obstacles. Ten-race maiden but placed over hurdles and fences; no trip/ground issues.
13
4th (13) (20/1 +50%) Drimsree Lad
20
20/1(+50%)
(13) Drimsree Lad 20/1, Remains a maiden after 24 NH runs. 200/1, last of 5 in novice chase at Clonmel (24f, heavy) 40 days ago, left behind from end of back straight. Still, plenty to prove ahead of this return to hurdling. Third in this last year but this 12yo is now a 24-race maiden.
15
5th (15) (12/1 +64%) Lightontheriver
12
12/1(+64%)
(15) Lightontheriver 12/1, Eleventh of 17 in handicap hurdle (66/1) at Cork (19f, good to soft) 23 days ago. Up in trip. Beaten about 15l in a 2m3f handicap at Cork three weeks ago; up in distance.
10
6th (10) (40/1 +0%) Ferrum
40
40/1(+0%)
(10) Ferrum 40/1, 40/1, first run since leaving John McConnell when nineteenth of 20 in handicap at Navan (14f, heavy) 20 days ago. That run may have been needed on the back of 6 months off but good deal to prove in any case returned to timber. Tailed off on the Flat last month and has yet to be placed in that scene or over hurdles.
12
7th (12) (18/1 +28%) Courting Vickie
18
18/1(+28%)
(12) Courting Vickie 18/1, Unreliable individual. 10/1, pulled up in handicap hurdle at Limerick (21f, heavy) 17 days ago, tailed off when pulled up before 2 out. Dual winner on a decent mark but modest of late and best form is over shorter.
8
8th (8) (28/1 +30%) Copper Coast
28
28/1(+30%)
(8) Copper Coast 28/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 33/1, pulled up in handicap hurdle at this course (16f, soft) 31 days ago, behind when pulled up before 2 out. Significantly up in trip. Not progressive but tries 3m for the first time and there's stamina in the pedigree.
19
9th (19) (33/1 +50%) Treyarnon Bay
33
33/1(+50%)
(19) Treyarnon Bay 33/1, Unreliable type. 50/1, twelfth of 19 in handicap hurdle at Gowran (20.2f, heavy) 38 days ago. Reserve 3. Reserve; ex-Nicky Henderson; shown zilch in three handicaps for this yard.
5
10th (5) (10/1 +17%) Heart Of Rome
10
10/1(+17%)
(5) Heart Of Rome 10/1, 17/2, below form ninth of 18 in handicap hurdle at Listowel (24f, soft) 46 days ago. Previous Down Royal effort contained definite promise however, and he's remains less exposed than most. Poor last time but his previous third over 3m at Down Royal brings him into it.
2
|PU| (2) (5/1 -43%) Toor Moon
5
5/1(-43%)
(2) Toor Moon 5/1, Creditable third of 14 in handicap hurdle at Cork (19f, good to soft, 10/3) 23 days ago, running on. Up in trip and one for the shortlist. Remains a maiden but has raised his game in his last three handicaps; thereabouts.
3
|PU| (3) (7/2 +30%) Larkfield Lusive
3.5
7/2(+30%)
(3) Larkfield Lusive 7/2, Lightly-raced maiden. Good second of 17 in novice hurdle at Limerick (21f, heavy, 12/1) 17 days ago. Not taken lightly. Improved second in a maiden and might have got in lightly here for his handicap debut.
16
|PU| (16) (7/1 +42%) Ocean Legacy
7
7/1(+42%)
(16) Ocean Legacy 7/1, Creditable sixth of 10 in handicap chase at Punchestown (23.3f, good to soft, 10/1) 27 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Capable handicapper over hurdles/fences but may ideally prefer drier ground.
11
|PU| (11) (66/1 -100%) Charlie Bawnie
66
66/1(-100%)
(11) Charlie Bawnie 66/1, Fifteenth of 17 in handicap hurdle (33/1) at Cork (19f, good to soft) 23 days ago. Up in trip. Visor on 1st time. Excuses in her first two handicaps but no obvious ones when tailed off at Cork.
17
|PU| (17) (66/1 +0%) Manwal
66
66/1(+0%)
(17) Manwal 66/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Twelfth of 13 in handicap at Down Royal (12.8f, good to firm, 50/1) 60 days ago. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Reserve 1. Reserve; makes handicap debut after showing little in maidens; poor on Flat of late.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
RESERVE JUDGEMENT should appreciate stepping back up in trip here. The Ocovango gelding stayed on one paced when fourth on his return to action at Sligo 11 days ago over two-and-a-half miles. His sole racecourse win came at just slightly shorter than this extended two-mile-seven trip around a big galloping track in Down Royal. Toor Moon has been knocking on the door and looks an obvious contender. Larkfield Lusive ran well when chasing home Ask Anything in a maiden hurdle at Limerick last time and back in handicap company he looks like another for the shortlist.
TOOR MOON remains a maiden but he arrives on the back of a string of consistent efforts in handicaps over shorter in recent months and with this step up in trip expected to hold no fears, he earns the vote to come out on top. Reserve Judgement and Mahler Appeal head the dangers, with Larkfield Lusive another to consider.
A good few with chances. LARKFIELD LUSIVE is one of the least exposed contenders and he might not be on a bad mark.
(4) Jewel Maker 9/2, Course winner. Latest win at Redcar in August. 16/1, creditable fourth of 14 in handicap back at that venue (10f, good) 31 days ago. Should give another good account from last winning mark. 8yo whose form can be up and down but he's on last winning mark and is effective over C&D.
6
2nd (6) (9/4 +18%) My Harrison George
2.25
9/4(+18%)
(6) My Harrison George 9/4, Lightly-raced maiden. 2/1, good third of 8 in handicap at Ayr (10f, good to firm) 82 days ago, keeping on. Less exposed than most he meets here and one to consider on tapeta debut. Lightly raced 3yo who was an encouraging third at Ayr last time & could have more to offer.
5
3rd (5) (13/2 +0%) Isle Of Wolves
6.5
13/2(+0%)
(5) Isle Of Wolves 13/2, Losing run goes back to 2019 but he again ran well when fourth at Beverley (10f) back in August. Cheekpieces replace the visor back from a break. Not out of things for all he could do with brushing up his slow starts. Losing spell goes back to 2019 but lots of good runs in the meantime; could be thereabouts.
9
4th (9) (7/1 +13%) Mercurius Power
7
7/1(+13%)
(9) Mercurius Power 7/1, Course winner. Fifteen runs since last win in 2022. Respectable fifth of 11 in handicap (14/1) at this course (8f) 18 days ago. Back up in trip. Not taken lightly. On a 15-race losing sequence but effective here and has dropped down the weights.
1
5th (1) (50/1 -257%) Purple Gown
50
50/1(-257%)
(1) Purple Gown 50/1, Finally came good for Jim Bolger at Leopardstown (1m) in April. Showed she can make an impact from her current mark when second at Hamilton in September but not quite scaled same heights either start since. Runner-up in September but poor strike-rate and has stamina to prove now back up in trip.
10
6th (10) (40/1 -100%) Reginald Charles
40
40/1(-100%)
(10) Reginald Charles 40/1, 14/1, seventh of 10 in handicap at this course (7.1f) 49 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Others have achieved more. Well treated on form as recently as July, but plenty to prove on first run beyond 1m.
11
7th (11) (9/1 +0%) Fitz Perfectly
9
9/1(+0%)
(11) Fitz Perfectly 9/1, 8/1, eighth of 11 in handicap at Chelmsford City (8f) 24 days ago, carrying head a little awkwardly and never dangerous. Mark has eased a little more at least. 0-9 but interesting now back up in trip for Newmarket trainer who has a good record here.
3
8th (3) (11/2 +61%) Don't Look Back
5.5
11/2(+61%)
(3) Don't Look Back 11/2, In reasonable form prior to a tame effort at Ayr last time. Might have found that race coming too soon and he's been dropped a few pounds since, so not discounted. Below par at Ayr last time but has edged down the weights; a possible if back on song.
8
9th (8) (14/1 -133%) We Still Believe
14
14/1(-133%)
(8) We Still Believe 14/1, C&D winner. 3 wins from 16 runs this year. Latest win here in September. Creditable fifth of 11 in handicap at this course (12.4f, 20/1) 8 days ago, never nearer. Return to class 6 company rates a plus. Two-time C&D Winner who has been in good form here of late; on the shortlist.
12
10th (12) (8/1 -14%) Balqaa
8
8/1(-14%)
(12) Balqaa 8/1, C&D winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2022. 18/1, good third of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 15 days ago, forced wide entering straight and staying on. Both career victories have come at this venue and she's not out of things from this reduced mark. C&D winner who was a good third at Wolverhampton last time and is firmly in calculations.
7
11th (7) (100/1 -733%) Red Derek
100
100/1(-733%)
(7) Red Derek 100/1, Two wins from 42 Flat runs. Respectable fourth of 8 in handicap at Chester (15.9f, good, 16/1). Off 164 days. Significantly back down in trip. Went close on penultimate start but returns from some time off and has modest strike-rate.
LTO Selection:
16:05 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
The unexposed MY HARRISON GEORGE put in a career best when third over this trip at Ayr on his most recent outing in August and he gets the vote off a 1lb lower mark in a moderate contest. Balqaa made the frame in a similar event at Wolverhampton last time and has to be of interest, while We Still Believe and Isle of Wolves are also noted.
This looks wide open but MERCURIUS POWER has fallen to a potentially handy mark and having not been disgraced over shorter here on his most recent outing 18 days ago, he could be worth siding with to come out on top. We Still Believe ran well in a higher grade latest and is feared, with My Harrison George and Balqaa others to consider.
The 3yo filly FITZ PERFECTLY hinted at Chelmsford that she could be suited by this step back up in trip and she can get off the mark.
(6) Kentucky Kingdom 9/1, Latest win here in August. 6/1, respectable sixth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 45 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Not taken lightly. Won on turf here (1m2f) on his penultimate run and has possibilities back in trip.
1
2nd (1) (13/8 -8%) Goldsmith
1.625
13/8(-8%)
(1) Goldsmith 13/8, C&D winner. Good third of 10 in handicap at this course (8f, AW, 2/1) 12 days ago, left poorly placed. Back up in trip and he's a big player off the same mark. Dual C&D winner who went close over 1m here latest; respected back up in trip.
3
3rd (3) (9/1 +10%) Shalfa
9
9/1(+10%)
(3) Shalfa 9/1, Latest win at Brighton in September. Creditable third of 13 in handicap (18/1) at Chelmsford City (10f) 26 days ago, running on. Place possibilities. Win and close third in her last two starts and latest was on Polytrack; in the mix again.
12
4th (12) (66/1 -100%) Showlan Spirit
66
66/1(-100%)
(12) Showlan Spirit 66/1, Eighth of 10 in handicap at this course (8f, AW, 18/1) 12 days ago. Back up in trip and she needs to find improvement from somewhere. Mark is sliding but she's 0-7 and needs to find more back up in trip.
9
5th (9) (11/1 +73%) Stopnsearch
11
11/1(+73%)
(9) Stopnsearch 11/1, Course winner. Twenty-one runs since last win in 2021. 50/1, tenth of 14 in handicap at Kempton (8f) 20 days ago. Back up in trip and it's easy enough to look elsewhere. Out of sorts in his last five runs and his AW record stands at 1-20; opposable.
7
6th (7) (12/1 -9%) Lost In Time
12
12/1(-9%)
(7) Lost In Time 12/1, Respectable fourth of 8 in handicap at Chelmsford City (8f, 11/4) 10 days ago. Back up in trip and Cheekpieces refitted. Others make more appeal from a win point of view. Dual turf winner but he's 0-14 on AW and has been held at Chelmsford the last twice.
8
7th (8) (5/2 +79%) Fravanco
2.5
5/2(+79%)
(8) Fravanco 5/2, C&D winner in July. 9/2, ninth of 12 in handicap at Kempton (12f) 27 days ago. Likely to find a few too good. His win came off this mark over C&D and he's one to keep an eye on back in trip.
2
8th (2) (28/1 -211%) Dynamic Talent
28
28/1(-211%)
(2) Dynamic Talent 28/1, Course winner. 18/1, respectable fourth of 8 in handicap at this course (7f, AW) 12 days ago, running on. Significantly up in trip and can make his presence felt. Eyecatching fourth here last time and he looks worth a try at this new trip; not ruled out.
5
9th (5) (12/1 -33%) Sea Of Charm
12
12/1(-33%)
(5) Sea Of Charm 12/1, C&D winner. One win from 28 Flat runs. Seventeen runs since last win in 2021. Seventh of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 15/2) 35 days ago. Definite chance if she puts her best foot forward. C&D winner who is on a workable mark and is well drawn back at this trip; dangerous.
11
10th (11) (125/1 -279%) Doras Tamar
125
125/1(-279%)
(11) Doras Tamar 125/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Fourth of 6 in maiden (66/1) at this course (8f, AW) 42 days ago. Up in trip for this handicap debut and big step forward needed. Still early days but this looks competitive and she needs improvement.
10
11th (10) (16/1 -14%) Giovanni Baglione
16
16/1(-14%)
(10) Giovanni Baglione 16/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. Eleventh of 12 in handicap (50/1) at Kempton (12f) 20 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Readily passed over. Has struggled for his current yard and record now stands at 1-17; cheekpieces added.
LTO Selection:
16:10 Lingfield Handicap (Class 6) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
SHALFA has improved for the application of blinkers and is the percentage call following a decent effort in defeat at Chelmsford last month. Doras Tamar is an interesting newcomer to the handicap ranks with leading young rider Billy Loughnane back in the plate, while Goldsmith has held his form since returning in the summer and holds possibilities off top weight.
The vote goes to GOLDSMITH, who went like the best horse at the weights when third over a mile here recently and the return to this trip could be the catalyst for the 4-y-o to resume winning ways. Kentucky Kingdom was too free at Wolverhampton last time, but he remains on a workable mark and will be a threat if settling better. Dynamic Talent and Shalfa are others to consider, while an on-song Sea of Charm would also be in with a shout.
Several have claims but the vote goes to GOLDSMITH, a dual C&D winner who went close over 1m here latest. Shalfa is feared most.
(15) Percy Veering 10/1, Decent second of 6 in handicap hurdle at Market Rasen (23.1f) when last seen in March but failed to complete both starts over fences last season so comes with risks attached on return to chasing. Had wind operation. Came to grief in both chases last season but got back on track with hurdle second in March.
6
2nd (6) (15/2 +6%) Imperial Alex
7.5
15/2(+6%)
(6) Imperial Alex 15/2, Took a sizable step forward when scoring over hurdles here (21f) in February and backed that up when close second at Carlisle next time. Should come on from his chasing debut/return at Plumpton in September and is not out of things. Ended last season in good form over hurdles; excuses when well-held 3rd on chase debut.
9
3rd (9) (14/1 -40%) Mixedwave
14
14/1(-40%)
(9) Mixedwave 14/1, Front runner who took well to fences last term, winning at Leicester (22.5f) and Market Rasen (23.9f) and acquitting himself well in defeat on final 2 outings. Fairly treated on return and will be dangerous if fully tuned up. 2-5 over fences in early part of this year; could easily have more to offer this season.
3
4th (3) (18/1 -29%) Felton Bellevue
18
18/1(-29%)
(3) Felton Bellevue 18/1, Modest maiden hurdler who bettered that level over fences in 2022, winning handicaps at Hereford and Market Rasen over this sort of trip. Mixed record last campaign, though, and others more appealing. Absent since below-par run in May but can go well fresh and is on a good mark.
14
5th (14) (28/1 -40%) Twilight Glory
28
28/1(-40%)
(14) Twilight Glory 28/1, Career best when winning 12-runner handicap chase at Lingfield (23.5f) in February but not in anything like the same form either start subsequently and makes limited appeal on return here. Pipped Felton Bellevue at Lingfield in February but ended last season in poor form.
5
6th (5) (12/1 -20%) Ali Star Bert
12
12/1(-20%)
(5) Ali Star Bert 12/1, Landed a gamble on just his second start over fences at Uttoxeter and impressive when following up at Chepstow (26.2f, good to soft) in February. Back to form, after 4 months off, when creditable third of 8 in handicap chase at Sedgefield (26.9f, soft) 16 days ago and is one of likelier contenders. Won two chases in February and comes here after good third at Sedgefield last month.
7
7th (7) (14/1 +13%) His Oscar
14
14/1(+13%)
(7) His Oscar 14/1, Remote second on his Worcester hurdle debut in October 2021 and well held both starts later that season. Not seen for 21 months but has experience in points and stable can have them ready after a lengthy absence. Worth a check in the market on handicap chase bow. Makes chase/handicap debut after a long absence but is very unexposed; cheekpieces on.
16
8th (16) (18/1 -29%) Bob Bank
18
18/1(-29%)
(16) Bob Bank 18/1, Well beaten in bumpers/hurdles and made a low-key start over fences when distant fourth of 10 to Safe Destination in handicap at Uttoxeter (24f, soft) 30 days ago. Cheekpieces now tried. Beaten about 39l when fourth on chase/handicap debut but there were some positives.
13
|PU| (13) (4/1 +33%) Dreams Of Diamonds
4
4/1(+33%)
(13) Dreams Of Diamonds 4/1, Left hurdles form well behind, on return from 18-month absence, when 6¾ lengths third of 10 to Safe Destination in handicap at Uttoxeter (24f, soft) on debut over fences 30 days ago. Entitled to build on that and is one for shortlist. Kept on well for third on recent chase/handicap debut, after a long absence; shortlisted.
10
|PU| (10) (11/4 +39%) Safe Destination
2.75
11/4(+39%)
(10) Safe Destination 11/4, Offered bits of promise in maiden/novice hurdles and opened account at the second attempt in this sphere when taking Uttoxeter handicap (24f, soft) last month, responding well. Scope for better still if he can brush up his jumping. Returned from break with clearcut win last month and remains unexposed over fences.
1
|PU| (1) (14/1 -56%) Pemberley
14
14/1(-56%)
(1) Pemberley 14/1, Sole success came here (24f) back in December 2021 and more lows than highs since. Can go well fresh, however, and no surprise to see him play a part from a career-low mark over fences. Out of form when last seen but often runs well after a break and on very dangerous mark.
8
|PU| (8) (16/1 +0%) Faitque De L'Isle
16
16/1(+0%)
(8) Faitque De L'Isle 16/1, Well handicapped on old form and posted respectable placed efforts in both starts this season. Others more persuasive for win purposes, though. Back from break with two respectable thirds this autumn but others appeal more.
4
|PU| (4) (20/1 -43%) Daranova
20
20/1(-43%)
(4) Daranova 20/1, Gained two 3m chase wins in May 2022 but largely struggled since and makes limited appeal despite showing a little more at Bangor last month. Well held when third at Bangor last month and has basically become disappointing this year.
11
|PU| (11) (20/1 -25%) Patient Owner
20
20/1(-25%)
(11) Patient Owner 20/1, Ran with promise when placed on first 2 chase starts last winter but rather went backwards thereafter and has bit to prove on reappearance here. Placed in his first two chases but ended last season with two lesser efforts.
12
|PU| (12) (28/1 +44%) Versatility
28
28/1(+44%)
(12) Versatility 28/1, Temperamental sort who has been largely disappointing over hurdles and fences since his last win in November 2020. Best watched. Lightly raced and generally very disappointing in recent years; not the obvious answer.
18
|PU| (18) (40/1 -43%) Enforcement
40
40/1(-43%)
(18) Enforcement 40/1, Off the mark over fences in a weak-looking event at Uttoxeter (24f) in summer of 2021 and clearly had his problems since, restricted to just 2 runs and made little impact in either. Raced lazily over 2m last month; might fare better over this trip but others look safer.
2
|PU| (2) (66/1 -450%) The Late Legend
66
66/1(-450%)
(2) The Late Legend 66/1, Scored at this course (24f) in April of 2022 but he's been out of sorts over hurdles and fences since and has plenty to prove on return to action. Six-time chase winner (once here); absent since some heavy defeats last autumn/winter.
17
|PU| (17) (125/1 -25%) Master Sam Bellamy
125
125/1(-25%)
(17) Master Sam Bellamy 125/1, Unreliable individual who ran no sort of race on return from 3 months off at Wincanton recently. Blinkers now tried but is readily opposed. Has struggled in three chases since returned to racing under rules this year.
LTO Selection:
16:15 Warwick Handicap Chase (Class 5) 26f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
SAFE DESTINATION justified market support to get off the mark at Uttoxeter last month and it wouldn't be a huge surprise to see Nigel Twiston-Davies' gelding handle a 6lb rise on this occasion. Mixedwave won twice last season and is capable of taking another step forward, while His Oscar is an interesting contender on his chasing bow following a lengthy absence.
There should be more to come from SAFE DESTINATION, who left his chase debut form behind when scoring at Uttoxeter last month. He can follow up. Dreams of Diamonds and Ali Star Bert head the list of dangers.
Course winner PEMBERLEY (nap) is very well handicapped now and will have a significant class edge over this field if back on song.
(6) Magic Fluke 22/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Tongue strap on for 1st time, first run since leaving Roger Varian when ninth of 11 in minor event (33/1) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 43 days ago, hampered. Makes handicap debut. Makes handicap debut off a modest mark and his Newmarket trainer has a good record here.
4
2nd (4) (5/1 +29%) Professor Tickle
5
5/1(+29%)
(4) Professor Tickle 5/1, 11/2, good second of 10 in nursery at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 12 days ago, left behind by winner final 100 yds. Merits consideration back down in trip. 0-6 in nurseries but running well in these blinkers and could be thereabouts.
8
3rd (8) (12/1 -200%) Wichahpi
12
12/1(-200%)
(8) Wichahpi 12/1, Sioux Nation filly who made it 2 wins from 4 starts in handicaps with a dominant display in 18-runner Leicester nursery (6f) 4 weeks ago. 6 lb higher mark shouldn't prevent her going well again on that evidence. Made it 2-3 in these cheekpieces when prevailing in a big field at Leicester; progressive.
10
4th (10) (16/1 -100%) Madame Christine
16
16/1(-100%)
(10) Madame Christine 16/1, 9/1, respectable sixth of 10 in nursery at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 12 days ago, never better than midfield. Others rate stronger. Did fairly well when sixth at Wolverhampton last time given that things didn't go her way.
11
5th (11) (16/1 +0%) Calafrio
16
16/1(+0%)
(11) Calafrio 16/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Good fifth of 12 in nursery at this C&D (100/1) 25 days ago, short of room briefly 1f out but keeping on. Return to 7f may suit ideally. Fair fifth over C&D on nursery debut; each-way possibilities if building on it.
2
6th (2) (9/2 +40%) Glory Hyde
4.5
9/2(+40%)
(2) Glory Hyde 9/2, Lightly-raced maiden. 10/1, sixth of 9 in minor event at this course (5f) 25 days ago. Switch to handicaps rates a plus now stepping back up in trip. Has shown ability but needs something extra on this first handicap start.
9
7th (9) (40/1 -82%) Chat Up Line
40
40/1(-82%)
(9) Chat Up Line 40/1, Winner at Nottingham in July. Last of 6 in nursery (13/2) at Carlisle (5f, good) 67 days ago. Makes tapeta debut and likely type to bounce back. May have been unsuited by fast ground latest; otherwise pretty consistent since July win.
5
8th (5) (4/1 +56%) Inspiring Speeches
4
4/1(+56%)
(5) Inspiring Speeches 4/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Creditable fourth of 11 in nursery at Pontefract (6f, good to soft, 14/1) 29 days ago, staying on final 1f. Makes tapeta debut. Respected. Has shown ability and was a fair fourth on nursery debut, but improvement is necessary.
1
9th (1) (10/3 +17%) Vitarli
3.333333
10/3(+17%)
(1) Vitarli 10/3, 13/2, career best when winning 7-runner nursery at this course (5f) 5 days ago, making all and closed down only late on. Claims once more under a penalty. In top form over 5f the last twice & wasn't stopping either time; respected under penalty.
7
10th (7) (33/1 -83%) Blue Eyed Kate
33
33/1(-83%)
(7) Blue Eyed Kate 33/1, Blue Point filly who hasn't progressed from debut, last of 7 in nursery at Windsor (6f, good to firm, 12/1) 64 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Hood on 1st time. Major turnaround needed in a first-time hood on her AW debut.
3
11th (3) (5/1 +33%) Invincible Siam
5
5/1(+33%)
(3) Invincible Siam 5/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Fifth of 12 in maiden (50/1) at Windsor (6f, good to firm) 64 days ago, not quicken over 1f out. Tongue tie fitted now attentions switch to handicaps and no surprise to see her do better for good stable. Half-sister to two Tapeta winners who is open to further improvement on AW/handicap debut.
12
12th (12) (150/1 -275%) Showmethewayhome
150
150/1(-275%)
(12) Showmethewayhome 150/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Tenth of 11 in minor event at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 100/1) 17 days ago. First run for yard after leaving David O'Meara. Makes handicap debut. Makes nursery/stable debut off a basement mark but improvement is needed.
LTO Selection:
16:40 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Vitarli merits respect following her win over 5f here last week but a 6lb penalty for that success is an obvious concern. With that in mind, preference is for INVINCIBLE SIAM, who has shown plenty of promise in novice/maiden company and an opening mark of 65 should be workable, especially as she may improve for a first-time tongue-tie. Others to consider are Professor Tickle and Inspiring Speeches.
WICHAHPI never really looked in much danger under a forceful ride when making it 2 wins from her last 3 starts in nurseries at Leicester 4 weeks ago and a 6 lb rise shouldn't prevent her going well again back on all weather. Recent course winner Vitarli and Professor Tickle head up the dangers, with Inspiring Speeches another worth keeping an eye on.
Newmarket trainer George Boughey won this last year and INVINCIBLE SIAM earns the vote on her AW and nursery debut.
(1) Strong Johnson 6/1, Latest win at Ripon in September. 25/1, eighth of 9 in handicap at Catterick (5f, heavy) 17 days ago. Weighted to go well if back on his A-game. Down the field the last twice but on slow turf; two wins this year and could be involved.
4
2nd (4) (9/2 +0%) Castan
4.5
9/2(+0%)
(4) Castan 9/2, Career best when winning 10-runner handicap (15/2) at this C&D 36 days ago. Up 5 lb but he's still not taken lightly. Back to form with C&D win last month and is unexposed on AW; could have more to offer.
6
3rd (6) (17/2 -42%) Treacherous
8.5
17/2(-42%)
(6) Treacherous 17/2, Course winner. Creditable fourth of 11 in handicap (12/1) at Goodwood (6f, soft) 23 days ago. Ought to be in the shake-up. 9yo who has been in good form over 6f; not ruled out now back down in trip.
7
4th (7) (5/2 +38%) Khabib
2.5
5/2(+38%)
(7) Khabib 5/2, C&D winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. Good second of 13 in handicap at Redcar (5f, good, 10/1) 31 days ago. Well in the mix. Went close at Redcar last month and this two-time C&D winner could be bang there once more.
9
5th (9) (14/1 -100%) Albegone
14
14/1(-100%)
(9) Albegone 14/1, 3 wins from 11 runs this year. 10/1, won 10-runner handicap at Musselburgh (5f, good to soft) 22 days ago. Much respected on his tapeta debut despite taking a 3 lb rise. Inconsistent this season but three wins from last six starts and entitled to respect.
3
6th (3) (40/1 -100%) Flag Flying
40
40/1(-100%)
(3) Flag Flying 40/1, Eleventh of 12 in handicap at Chester (6.1f, soft, 40/1) 53 days ago. Eyeshields/tongue strap on for 1st time with work to do. Lightly raced 3yo; major turnaround needed in first-time eyeshield/tongue-tie combination.
2
7th (2) (4/1 +33%) Nelson Gay
4
4/1(+33%)
(2) Nelson Gay 4/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Wolverhampton in September. Suffered a poor run when eighth of 13 in handicap at Redcar (5f, good, 9/2) 31 days ago. Player. 4-5 on Tapeta (including a C&D win) and he should play a leading role.
5
8th (5) (16/1 -60%) Open Market
16
16/1(-60%)
(5) Open Market 16/1, Unreliable individual. 7/2, below form fourth of 8 in handicap at Carlisle (5f, good to soft). Off 158 days. Others have achieved more. Returns from a break on a competitive mark but this headstrong filly isn't straightforward.
8
9th (8) (7/1 -17%) Reigning Profit
7
7/1(-17%)
(8) Reigning Profit 7/1, 3 wins from 8 runs this year. Latest win at Ripon in May. Off 5 months and not seen to best effect when fourth of 7 in handicap at Lingfield (5f, AW) 12 days ago. Needs considering with that run under his belt. Close 3rd in this last year; fair run at Lingfield recently after break; could build on it.
LTO Selection:
17:15 Newcastle Handicap (Class 4) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Albegone and Castan are last-time-out winners who have to be high on the shortlist but preference is for KHABIB. The five-year-old is a dual C&D winner and he bounced back to form when beaten a head into second on his most recent outing at Redcar. Off just a 2lb higher mark, it would be no surprise to see him go one better here.
NELSON GAY didn't enjoy the rub of the green at Redcar last time out and can quickly resume winning ways back on the AW. Reigning Profit should be all the better for his recent Lingfield fourth after an absence so rates the chief threat, although both Khabib and Strong Johnson can have a say too in a competitive handicap.
(6) Pockley 6/1, 5-time course winner. 33/1, refused to race in handicap at Southwell (5f) 55 days ago. Unreliable individual. Lots of good form here but comes with major warning having refused to race at Southwell.
8
2nd (8) (18/1 -80%) Show Me Show Me
18
18/1(-80%)
(8) Show Me Show Me 18/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Windsor in August. 11/2, below-par fifth of 9 in handicap at Windsor (5.1f, good to soft) 22 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Won two in a row in August but hasn't shone on his four subsequent starts.
3
3rd (3) (11/4 +21%) Milbanke
2.75
11/4(+21%)
(3) Milbanke 11/4, First run since leaving Ruth Carr when winning 8-runner handicap (5/2) at Pontefract (6f, good to soft) 40 days ago, just holding on. Big shout despite taking a 3 lb rise. Showed good pace to win over 6f at Pontefract; this first crack at 5f is well worth a go.
2
4th (2) (33/1 -340%) Ey Up It's Maggie
33
33/1(-340%)
(2) Ey Up It's Maggie 33/1, Latest win at Ripon in August. 13/2, fair fifth of 7 in handicap at Nottingham (5f, soft) 20 days ago. Much respected on her tapeta debut. Fair efforts since winning in August and might not be far away; AW debut.
4
5th (4) (4/1 -33%) Rambuso Creek
4
4/1(-33%)
(4) Rambuso Creek 4/1, Having had a second wind op, got back to winning ways returned to 5f when scoring at Leicester (good) 28 days ago. Remains on a workable mark so he can be thereabouts if in the same sort of form. Did it in good style at Leicester last time after a wind op; 5lb rise may not stop him.
7
6th (7) (16/5 +20%) Le Beau Garcon
3.2
16/5(+20%)
(7) Le Beau Garcon 16/5, Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. 7/2, creditable second of 10 in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, good to soft) 22 days ago. Solid place claims once more. Runner-up at Musselburgh last time when back down to 5f and could be in the mix once more.
1
7th (1) (7/1 +30%) Royal Parade
7
7/1(+30%)
(1) Royal Parade 7/1, Latest win at Goodwood in June. 28/1, last of 11 in handicap at Newmarket (6f, good) 45 days ago, slowly away. Others have achieved more. Patchy form and may be better at 6f, but ran really well on sole previous course visit.
5
8th (5) (16/1 -14%) Vadamiah
16
16/1(-14%)
(5) Vadamiah 16/1, 6/1, ninth of 10 in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, good to soft) 22 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Can give a good account if shrugging off latest effort. Down the field at Musselburgh latest but runner-up at Ripon previously; not ruled out.
9
9th (9) (22/1 -57%) Astapor
22
22/1(-57%)
(9) Astapor 22/1, 4 wins from 13 runs this year. Latest win at Pontefract in July. 66/1, creditable sixth of 12 in handicap at this course (6f) 7 days ago, going off too hard. In the mix. Four 5f wins earlier this year; didn't see out 6f here recently; could be firmly involved.
LTO Selection:
17:50 Newcastle Handicap (Class 4) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
MILBANKE has fared well with a high draw and, off just 3lb higher than his Pontefract success, he is an appealing option reverting to the all-weather. Having already won on Tapeta at Wolverhampton, the surface doesn't present much of an issue and a bold showing is expected with Ryan Sexton retaining the ride. Previous C&D winner Show Me Show Me is feared most, with Rambuso Creek another to bear in mind.
MILBANKE made a winning debut for Julie Camacho at Pontefract last time and is fancied to defy a 3 lb rise given the verve she went through the race with. Le Beau Garcon is on a long losing run but seems sure to go well once more while Astapor and Rambuso Creek also need factoring in.
Preference is for ASTAPOR, who has won four times over 5f this year and showed bundles of speed before fading over 6f here last week.
(8) Eldrickjones 3/1, Course winner. Latest win here in September. Respectable third of 13 in handicap at York (7f, heavy, 14/1) 25 days ago. Expected to be bang there. Running well (chiefly here) following wind surgery and he can give another good account.
2
2nd (2) (15/2 +38%) Shaladar
7.5
15/2(+38%)
(2) Shaladar 15/2, Respectable sixth of 16 in handicap (12/1) at Redcar (8f, good) 31 days ago, caught further back than ideal. Makes tapeta debut. 0-9 this year but has run some really good races and could be bang there on AW debut.
10
3rd (10) (17/2 -6%) Power Of Darkness
8.5
17/2(-6%)
(10) Power Of Darkness 17/2, Latest win at Salisbury in September. Good second of 12 in handicap (10/1) at this course (7.1f) 36 days ago, challenging final 1f and keeping on. Possibilities again in present groove. Won at Salisbury in September and has since gone close here; he's a possible.
1
4th (1) (6/1 +0%) Ron O
6
6/1(+0%)
(1) Ron O 6/1, C&D winner. 3 wins from 11 runs this year. Latest win at Redcar in August. Respectable fifth of 16 in handicap back at that venue (8f, good, 11/2) 31 days ago. Respected back on AW. Three-time C&D winner who has been in good form on turf and is firmly in calculations.
5
5th (5) (18/1 -64%) Tele Red
18
18/1(-64%)
(5) Tele Red 18/1, 3 wins from 12 runs this year. Career best when winning 6-runner handicap (11/8) at Ayr (8f, soft) 35 days ago, tackled final 1f and finding extra. Not taken lightly. Three wins on turf this year but well beaten over C&D last October on sole AW run.
4
6th (4) (9/1 +10%) Young Fire
9
9/1(+10%)
(4) Young Fire 9/1, C&D winner. 4 wins from 18 runs this year. Latest win at Leicester in August. 25/1, creditable third of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 15 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Four wins this year (including C&D) and good third at Wolverhampton last time; contender.
11
7th (11) (7/1 +36%) O G Beachwear
7
7/1(+36%)
(11) O G Beachwear 7/1, Winner at Catterick (6f, soft) in September. Very good second of 11 in handicap at Newmarket (7f, good to firm, 25/1) 31 days ago, sticking to task and just failing. Unexposed at this trip and respected on AW debut from 1 lb higher mark. Finished strongly over 7f on handicap debut & has potential now tackling 1m for first time.
12
8th (12) (12/1 +25%) Cori Glory
12
12/1(+25%)
(12) Cori Glory 12/1, Winner at Beverley in June. 28/1, good second of 12 in handicap at this C&D 21 days ago, having run of race. This rates tougher. Easy lead when going close over C&D last time, but unexposed on AW and not ruled out.
3
9th (3) (14/1 -40%) Kingmania
14
14/1(-40%)
(3) Kingmania 14/1, Eleventh of 13 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f, 9/1) 55 days ago, very slowly away and making little impression. Remains unexposed on artificial surfaces so she's not one to write off. Below best at Southwell latest but Newmarket trainer does well here & she's not ruled out.
6
10th (6) (11/1 +56%) Spioradalta
11
11/1(+56%)
(6) Spioradalta 11/1, Latest win at Chester in July. 20/1, tenth of 15 in handicap at Doncaster (8f, good to soft) 52 days ago. Return to calmer waters rates a plus but present mark demands little bit more. Enjoyed good 3yo campaign in the main and he faced a tough task last time; not discounted.
9
11th (9) (18/1 +18%) Harswell Duke
18
18/1(+18%)
(9) Harswell Duke 18/1, 9/1, seventh of 10 in handicap at Nottingham (8.3f, heavy) 27 days ago, slowly away. Blinkered for 1st time. Won the Spring Mile off 6lb higher in April but has struggled to get competitive since.
7
12th (7) (33/1 -175%) Crownthorpe
33
33/1(-175%)
(7) Crownthorpe 33/1, C&D winner. 3 wins from 7 runs this year. Good second of 11 in handicap at Beverley (8.4f, good to soft, 13/2), better placed than most. Off 6 months. Absent since April but stable enjoying very productive autumn and he's a 2-time C&D winner.
LTO Selection:
18:25 Newcastle Handicap (Class 4) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
With the form of last month's Ayr success working out well, the versatile TELE RED is fancied to make light work of a 3lb rise in this company. The selection wasn't at his best the last time he raced on this surface but it is safe to say he's progressed a lot since. Crownthorpe and Eldrickjones are in-form rivals who can ensure this goes down to the wire.
ELDRICKJONES has been resurgent following a wind op, posting solid back-to-back efforts at this venue prior to a good third at York (7f) on his latest outing 25 days ago. Remaining on a workable mark back on AW, he's expected to make his presence felt again, with 3-y-o O G Beachwear, Ron O and Power of Darkness head up the dangers.
The strong-finishing effort from O G BEACHWEAR over 7f at Newmarket last time suggests she is open to improvement now upped to 1m.
(1) Panama City 14/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2022. 33/1, last of 10 in handicap at Redcar (10f, heavy) 18 days ago, slowly away and struggling long way out. Best watched. Close third at Beverley in August but positive runs have been scarce this season.
7
2nd (7) (7/4 +42%) Ledger
1.75
7/4(+42%)
(7) Ledger 7/4, First run since leaving Paul Traynor, 13/2 and tongue strap on for 1st time, improved on recent efforts to win 11-runner handicap at this C&D 7 days ago, suited by increase in trip. Unexposed as a miler and of interest again under a penalty now he's back on track. Ex-Irish 3yo; won over C&D on recent stable debut and could have more to offer for yard.
9
3rd (9) (5/1 +17%) Annalee Lass
5
5/1(+17%)
(9) Annalee Lass 5/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Ripon in May. Good 2¾ lengths third of 11 to Ledger in handicap at this C&D (4/1) 7 days ago. Can give a good account again. Third to Ledger over C&D recently following a break and may be able to build on that run.
8
4th (8) (9/1 +0%) Royal Prospect
9
9/1(+0%)
(8) Royal Prospect 9/1, C&D winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Respectable seventh of 12 in handicap at this C&D (6/1) 21 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Cheekpieces back on. Looks competitive on form. Second over C&D on stable debut; midfield over C&D since but could be involved if settling.
2
5th (2) (4/1 +20%) Pop Favorite
4
4/1(+20%)
(2) Pop Favorite 4/1, Multiple winner here who posted another creditable effort when second of 11 in handicap (11/2) at this C&D 8 days ago, no extra final 100 yds. Should continue in form with her record around here a solid one (4-time C&D winner). Three C&D wins this year and good runs in defeat over C&D the last twice; player.
10
6th (10) (12/1 -50%) Two Rivers
12
12/1(-50%)
(10) Two Rivers 12/1, Unreliable maiden. Respectable fourth of 11 in handicap at this C&D (6/1) 7 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Others make more appeal for win purposes on balance. 0-14 but fair fourth over C&D last Tuesday and he's not ruled out each-way.
6
7th (6) (22/1 -38%) Retirement Beckons
22
22/1(-38%)
(6) Retirement Beckons 22/1, 3 wins from 16 runs this year. Latest win at Carlisle (7.8f) in August. 16/1, below form fifth of 14 in handicap at Ayr (8f, heavy) 26 days ago, fading from 2f out. Soundly beaten fifth the last twice but three wins this year and dangerous to dismiss.
5
8th (5) (9/1 -50%) Prince Hector
9
9/1(-50%)
(5) Prince Hector 9/1, Remains a maiden after 19 Flat runs. Very good 3½ lengths fourth of 11 to Ledger in handicap (12/1) at this C&D 7 days ago, beaten only by a trio played later. Visor back on. Shortlist material. 0-19 but fair fourth over C&D last Tuesday and he's an each-way possible.
11
9th (11) (25/1 -150%) Techno Lady
25
25/1(-150%)
(11) Techno Lady 25/1, Good fourth of 11 in handicap (28/1) at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 17 days ago, driven under 4f out and keeping on. That may not prove her limit at this sort of trip. Fair fourth at Wolverhampton recently when back from a break and she could improve for it.
4
10th (4) (40/1 -100%) Keeponbelieving
40
40/1(-100%)
(4) Keeponbelieving 40/1, Blinkered for 1st time, tenth of 11 in handicap at this C&D (10/1) 7 days ago, always behind. Headgear quickly discarded now but recent exploits hardly inspire confidence in any case. Lightly raced 3yo who showed promise here in spring, but beaten a long way the last twice.
12
11th (12) (100/1 -100%) Selby's Joy
100
100/1(-100%)
(12) Selby's Joy 100/1, 80/1, eighth of 9 in handicap at Catterick (6f, good) in July, racing off the pace and never on terms. Much more needed if she's to figure back from a break. Well beaten in all three handicaps (5f-7f) and others have far less to prove.
LTO Selection:
19:00 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
POP FAVORITE possibly hit the front too soon when he was just run out of things near the finish here last week, but it was still an encouraging enough effort and he gets the vote off the same mark. Ledger showed guts to win over C&D last Tuesday and also rates highly under a 6lb penalty, while Annalee Lass and Two Rivers are a couple of others expected to be heavily involved.
PRINCE HECTOR has fallen to a career-low mark and fared best of those ridden prominently when finishing fourth behind Ledger in a C&D event 7 days ago. With a visor back on, he could be worth chancing to come out on top on this occasion, with the aforementioned Ledger, Annalee Lass and 4-time C&D winner Pop Favorite heading up the dangers.
The ex-Irish 3yo LEDGER made a winning start for Lucinda Russell over C&D last Tuesday and is taken to defy a 6lb penalty.
(3) Ratafia 9/4, 11/2, career best when winning 14-runner handicap at Redcar (7f, heavy) 18 days ago. Up 5 lb but he's a player. Off the mark at Redcar last month when clear with the runner-up; respected up 5lb.
8
2nd (8) (18/1 +0%) Clotherholme
18
18/1(+0%)
(8) Clotherholme 18/1, Creditable sixth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 14/1) 11 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Sixteen runs since last win in 2022, though. Fair third over C&D on last two visits to Newcastle and has each-way claims.
4
3rd (4) (17/2 +6%) Cheese The One
8.5
17/2(+6%)
(4) Cheese The One 17/2, Course winner. Good fourth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 11/2) 14 days ago, never nearer. Can give a good account. Course winner who has continued in good form since scoring at Wolverhampton in August.
7
4th (7) (9/1 -13%) Rum Runner
9
9/1(-13%)
(7) Rum Runner 9/1, Course winner. Latest win at Catterick in August. Respectable sixth of 12 in handicap (12/1) at this C&D 21 days ago, slowly away. Not taken lightly. Third over C&D two starts ago then denied a clear run when mid-division here most recently.
10
5th (10) (8/1 -60%) Van Zant
8
8/1(-60%)
(10) Van Zant 8/1, Remains a maiden after 17 Flat runs. Creditable second of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 11/2) 14 days ago, no match for winner. Place claims once more. 0-17 but runner-up at Wolverhampton latest; in the shake-up if again on a going day.
5
6th (5) (7/1 +61%) Tiger Trap
7
7/1(+61%)
(5) Tiger Trap 7/1, 33/1, ninth of 12 in handicap at Redcar (7f, good to firm) 41 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. 3yo whose mark continues to fall but he's been unable to threaten in his five handicaps.
1
7th (1) (9/2 +44%) See My Baby Jive
4.5
9/2(+44%)
(1) See My Baby Jive 9/2, 3 wins from 10 runs this year. Latest win at Ayr in July. Creditable second of 12 in handicap at this C&D (7/1) 21 days ago. Needs considering. 5l second to well-handicapped winner over this C&D three weeks ago; contender.
6
8th (6) (7/1 +50%) Malham Tarn Cove
7
7/1(+50%)
(6) Malham Tarn Cove 7/1, Respectable fifth of 12 in handicap (9/1) at this course (6f) 8 days ago. One for the shortlist. Kept on for fifth over 6f here recently and the step back up to 7f is worth a go.
9
9th (9) (14/1 -87%) Highland Queen
14
14/1(-87%)
(9) Highland Queen 14/1, Remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs. Respectable fourth of 9 in handicap at this C&D (5/1) 39 days ago. Can make presence felt. 0-16 but some positive performances in recent months and an each-way case can be made.
12
10th (12) (125/1 -213%) Lincoln Red
125
125/1(-213%)
(12) Lincoln Red 125/1, Eighteen runs since last win in 2020. Ninth of 10 in minor event (40/1) at Chelmsford City (8f) 75 days ago. Something to find on form. Went close twice in a row in summer 2022 but he's struggled to get competitive since.
2
11th (2) (28/1 -180%) Rockonmecca
28
28/1(-180%)
(2) Rockonmecca 28/1, Last of 7 in handicap at Beverley (7.4f, good to firm, 7/2). Off 123 days. Makes tapeta debut. Visor on 1st time. Has work to do. Has run well when new headgear has been applied and wears a first-time visor today.
11
12th (11) (66/1 -65%) Crown Bridges
66
66/1(-65%)
(11) Crown Bridges 66/1, Eighth of 11 in handicap at this course (8f, 40/1) 7 days ago. Not easy to make a case for. 3yo who has dropped to a basement mark but for a good reason.
LTO Selection:
19:30 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Ratafia won for the first time at Redcar last month, but his record on the all-weather is five runs and five unplaced efforts, so he will need to improve to follow up. CHEESE THE ONE is narrowly preferred with a win at Wolverhampton in August and a half-length fourth at the same track last month. Christian Howarth claiming 3lb in the saddle is an added bonus, while Rockonmecca is an interesting alternative if a first-time visor has the desired effect.
RATAFIA still looks handily weighted despite taking a 5 lb rise for his recent Redcar success so he gets the vote in this open-looking sprint. Highland Queen is still to register a victory but arrives in good order and can chase home Michael Herrington's 5-y-o ahead of in-form pair Van Zant and Rum Runner.
The filly CHEESE THE ONE has been running consistently well of late and can win here for a second time. Ratafia is a danger.
(3) Souffionne 5/2, 14/1 and tongue strap on, fourth of 11 in minor event at Southwell (7.1f) on debut 28 days ago. Should improve. Fourth on last month's Southwell debut and the form has been franked; respected.
1
2nd (1) (9/4 +25%) Moon Flight
2.25
9/4(+25%)
(1) Moon Flight 9/4, Lightly-raced maiden. 3/1, fourth of 8 in minor event at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 12 days ago, unsuited by drop in trip. Significantly back up in trip. Hood on 1st time. In the mix. Starting to look exposed, but second in both starts over 7f including here; hood on.
4
3rd (4) (11/10 -51%) Britannica
1.1
11/10(-51%)
(4) Britannica 11/10, Fair maiden. Third of 12 in maiden at Kempton (7f, 11/4) 22 days ago, left poorly placed. Makes tapeta debut. Leading form claims. Not progresssing but did well to finish third at Kempton last time; likely to go close.
2
4th (2) (150/1 -50%) Muddy Marvellous
150
150/1(-50%)
(2) Muddy Marvellous 150/1, 200/1, last of 9 in minor event at this course (8f) on debut 7 days ago, slowly away. Needs a big step forward. Tailed off on his debut over 1m here seven days ago.
LTO Selection:
20:00 Newcastle Stakes (Class 5) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Just the four runners here so it could get tactical, which ought to suit BRITANNICA more than her rivals. She has pulled too hard in the past but could be allowed to bowl along in front and set her own pace. Moon Flight is an obvious danger if the first-time hood brings him back to his best after a below-par fourth at Wolverhampton, while the once-raced Souffionne could come home in third.
BRITANNICA holds the clear edge on form so is fancied to open her account at the sixth attempt at the chief expense of Moon Flight who should find this return to further to her benefit. Souffionne should build on his debut Southwell fourth and can also have a say.
The vote goes to MOON FLIGHT who has finished runner-up in both starts over 7f, including here.
(8) Dandys Gold 33/1, C&D winner. Only seventh of 12 in handicap (18/1) at this course (7.1f) 21 days ago. Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. On a reduced mark but she's finished no better than seventh across her last five starts.
1
2nd (1) (6/4 +45%) Sydney Bay
1.5
6/4(+45%)
(1) Sydney Bay 6/4, Gained his second win from 4 runs this year in 11-runner handicap at this C&D (85/40) 7 days ago by ¾ length from Blackcurrent. Well on top at the finish there so he merits serious consideration under a penalty. 2-2 since joining this yard and has to be respected under a 5lb penalty.
10
3rd (10) (28/1 +15%) Little Red Dancer
28
28/1(+15%)
(10) Little Red Dancer 28/1, Winner at Catterick in May. Tenth of 12 in handicap at Thirsk (6f, good to firm, 20/1). Off 125 days. Needs to bounce back. Well beaten on last three starts in the summer but returns with trainer having fine autumn.
9
4th (9) (7/2 +36%) Blackcurrent
3.5
7/2(+36%)
(9) Blackcurrent 7/2, 6-time course winner. Latest win here in September. 9/1, good ¾-length second of 11 to Sydney Bay in handicap at this C&D 7 days ago. Not taken lightly. Won over C&D in September and has gone close over C&D the next twice; very solid claims.
4
5th (4) (9/1 +10%) Gowanbuster
9
9/1(+10%)
(4) Gowanbuster 9/1, C&D winner. Twenty one runs since last win in 2020. 8/1, creditable fourth of 10 in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, good to soft) 52 days ago. Enters calculations. 8yo who is on a long losing sequence but this three-time course winner ran well last time.
2
6th (2) (4/1 +11%) Kraken Power
4
4/1(+11%)
(2) Kraken Power 4/1, Course winner. 4/1, creditable second of 12 in handicap at this C&D 18 days ago. Ought to be in the shake-up. Plenty of good efforts here this year and every chance he'll be in the mix.
5
7th (5) (18/1 -200%) Garifullina
18
18/1(-200%)
(5) Garifullina 18/1, 4/1, very good third of 10 in handicap at Catterick (6f, soft) 34 days ago. Has to be taken seriously off the same mark with few miles still on the clock. Lightly raced 3yo who was a close third at Catterick last month; has a chance.
12
8th (12) (10/1 +50%) Fighting Chance
10
10/1(+50%)
(12) Fighting Chance 10/1, Remains a maiden after 19 Flat runs. Creditable 1¾ lengths fourth of 11 to Sydney Bay in handicap (8/1) at this C&D 7 days ago. Shortlisted. 19-race maiden but he's run well over C&D on his last three starts and has each-way claims.
3
9th (3) (20/1 -82%) Two Summers
20
20/1(-82%)
(3) Two Summers 20/1, 5/2, nineteenth of 20 in handicap at Thirsk (6f, good). Off 171 days with work to do. Absent since heavy defeat in May but returns to action with yard going well.
LTO Selection:
20:30 Newcastle Handicap (Class 6) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Sydney Bay may prove popular looking for a C&D hat-trick, but his last win was by less than a length and a 5lb penalty will make his life that bit more difficult. He can still go well but a chance is taken on BLACKCURRENT, who was three-quarters of a length behind the winner in second that day but now 2lb better off. Kraken Power rates best of the rest.
GARIFULLINA is less exposed than most of these and signalled she is ready to open her account when a very good Catterick third last time so looks the way to go off an unchanged mark. Sydney Bay rates a big danger though under a penalty for his emphatic C&D success, with fellow course scorers Blackcurrent and Gowanbuster also firmly in the mix.
Sydney Bay and Blackcurrent (second choice) are respected but they could both be beaten by NICKLEBY who is on a handy mark.
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How to use Tomform
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
About U.K Horse Racing
Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.
There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.
The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.
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