There were 38 Races on Monday 4th November 2024 across 5 meetings. There was 8 races at Kempton, 7 races at Plumpton, 6 races at Hereford, 9 races at Wolverhampton, 8 races at Southwell, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (4/1 -33%) Monopolise |
4/1(-33%) | (2) Monopolise 4/1, C&D winner. Creditable fourth of 14 in handicap at this C&D (9/1) 21 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Becoming well handicapped and makes plenty of appeal dropped in grade. Never threatening when fourth here last time; needs to new tongue-tie to provide something. |
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2nd (8) (20/1 -82%) Wadacre Tivoli |
20/1(-82%) | (8) Wadacre Tivoli 20/1, 20/1, eighth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 10 days ago. Needs to bounce back. There have been bits of promise in her seven races but not since switched to the AW. |
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3rd (3) (4/1 -33%) Johnjay |
4/1(-33%) | (3) Johnjay 4/1, 7/2, respectable third of 12 in handicap at Nottingham (8.3f, heavy) 11 days ago, slowly away. Expected to be bang there. Best on soft ground but not had many chances on the AW and needs a second look. |
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4th (13) (25/1 +24%) Damoiseau |
25/1(+24%) | (13) Damoiseau 25/1, Unreliable sort. Remains a maiden after 17 Flat runs. 33/1, ninth of 11 in handicap at Lingfield (8f, AW) 74 days ago. Others make more appeal. Longstanding maiden but still needs a second look off this mark after wind surgery. |
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5th (1) (5/2 +50%) Solanna |
5/2(+50%) | (1) Solanna 5/2, C&D winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2023. 14/1, respectable seventh of 16 in handicap at Yarmouth (11.5f, good to soft) 28 days ago. Significantly back down in trip. One to consider. Wasn't running at all badly on turf until an excusable failure on soft last time. |
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6th (6) (25/1 -14%) Hello Zabeel |
25/1(-14%) | (6) Hello Zabeel 25/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. Seventh of 14 in handicap (50/1) at this C&D 21 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Has a bit to prove at present. Three-time winner but regressing and didn't prove his stamina for this far here last time. |
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7th (14) (50/1 -52%) Tea Leaf Ted |
50/1(-52%) | (14) Tea Leaf Ted 50/1, Just denied at Kempton in January but well held since and likely to need this return from 5 months off. Has form here but twice poor during the summer and unraced over this far. |
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8th (7) (50/1 -52%) Celtic John |
50/1(-52%) | (7) Celtic John 50/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Eleventh of 12 in handicap at this course (7f, 18/1) 40 days ago. Others more persuasive. Best of his five runs was in a 7f novice here; down the field in both handicaps (1m/7f). |
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9th (10) (6/1 +40%) Grecian God |
6/1(+40%) | (10) Grecian God 6/1, Winner at Wolverhampton in August. 14/1, bit below form seventh of 14 in handicap at this course (7f) 21 days ago, not getting a run. Latest effort best excused and he's worthy of consideration. Inconsistent profile but possibilities if having a good day; has form here. |
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10th (12) (25/1 +24%) Amathus |
25/1(+24%) | (12) Amathus 25/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. 33/1, tenth of 14 in handicap at this C&D 21 days ago. Five turf wins but 0-11 on the AW and was out the back throughout here last time. |
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11th (4) (6/1 +25%) Kitaro Kich |
6/1(+25%) | (4) Kitaro Kich 6/1, 40/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, tenth of 11 in handicap at Goodwood (9f, good). Off 150 days. Others make more appeal. Maiden; has dropped to a good mark and best efforts have been here, so not without hope. |
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12th (9) (12/1 +14%) Baritus Bellator |
12/1(+14%) | (9) Baritus Bellator 12/1, Unreliable type. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, last of 12 in handicap (13/2) at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 30 days ago. Claims if he's on a 'going' day. Ability is there to figure off this mark with Darragh O'Sullivan taking away 7lb. |
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13th (5) (80/1 -21%) Mapogo |
80/1(-21%) | (5) Mapogo 80/1, Twelfth of 13 in handicap (125/1) at this course (12f) 26 days ago, hampered. Significantly back down in trip. Hard to make any sort of case for. Twice placed for previous yard but tailed off in all four starts for this one; opposable. |
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14th (11) (100/1 -150%) American Riddle |
100/1(-150%) | (11) American Riddle 100/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Last of 11 in handicap at Southwell (6.1f, 40/1) 70 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. 40-1 for handicap debut at Southwell (6f) and ran accordingly; now in cheekpieces. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
A chance is taken on MONOPOLISE, who is 11lb lower than when he won over C&D as a juvenile. With a tongue-tie added and regular partner Billy Loughnane booked, the clues gel well enough to expect another bold showing. Fellow course winner Solanna is feared most, while Johnjay's recent turf form is encouraging enough for him to also be a player.
MONOPOLISE showed more encouraging signs last time and he's fallen to a very appealing mark so, with a tongue tie on, he makes the most appeal down in grade. Johnjay has also looked back in form lately and he's considered a danger along with Solanna.
Few can be trusted. SOLANNA had at least been running well until an excusable failure last time and he has form around here.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (7/4 -338%) Santorini Star |
7/4(-338%) | (2) Santorini Star 7/4, 290,000 gns yearling, Golden Horn filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including very smart 7f-9.2f and winner Dreamloper and 1¼m-1¾m winner Dreamweaver. Dam 1¼m-12.4f winner. Promising sort. 4/1, second of 3 in maiden at Southwell (8.1f) on debut 18 days ago, no match for winner. Outstanding claims. 290,000gns yearling; dam won Listed race here, bred dual Group 1 winner; promising debut. |
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2nd (1) (8/15 +85%) Dubai Beach |
8/15(+85%) | (1) Dubai Beach 8/15, Foaled March 22. Blue Point filly. Half-sister to 1m winner Search For Light and 2-y-o 7f winner Tinderbox. Seventh of 10 in novice at this course (7f, 11/1) on debut, left poorly placed. Off 12 months. Will do better. Dam bred two 7f winners on AW; satisfactory debut last November; off since. |
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3rd (4) (16/1 -78%) Thankyou Baroness |
16/1(-78%) | (4) Thankyou Baroness 16/1, Sea The Moon filly. Dam German 2-y-o 6f winner who stayed 8.5f. 33/1, fifth of 8 in novice at Chelmsford City (10f) on debut 25 days ago. Made late headway over 1m2f on Chelmsford debut last month; likely to improve on that. |
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4th (3) (66/1 -100%) So Lah De Dah |
66/1(-100%) | (3) So Lah De Dah 66/1, Charm Spirit filly. Half-sister to 1m winner Haughty. Dam 1m winner out of useful 2-y-o 7f/1m winner Dignify. Tenth of 11 in novice at Southwell (8.1f, 33/1) on debut 30 days ago. This trip should suit on pedigree; 33-1, dropped right away on 1m debut at Southwell. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
SANTORINI STAR should be a good deal wiser after last month's second to a promising type when introduced at Southwell and has a golden opportunity to get off the mark at the second time of asking. Godolphin home-bred Dubai Beach showed some promise on her sole start as a juvenile and warrants close inspection, despite this being a belated seasonal debut. At present, Thankyou Baroness appeals more than So Lah De Dah based on what they have shown so far.
SANTORINI STAR is the clear pick on her debut form at Southwell 18 days ago and this looks a good opportunity. Dubai Beach was too green to do herself justice on debut a year ago, and can be expected to do a lot better, but she has plenty to find with the selection
Thankyou Baroness looked promising at Chelmsford but SANTORINI STAR should be hard to beat in this company.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (1/3 +93%) Barrabool |
1/3(+93%) | (1) Barrabool 1/3, Just modest form in bumpers despite finishing placed twice but she has transferred to an up-and-coming yard ahead of this hurdles debut. Bought for £24,000 after displaying promise in three bumpers for Tom Weston in the spring. |
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2nd (2) (9/4 +93%) Basilette |
9/4(+93%) | (2) Basilette 9/4, Doyen filly who only had to run to a modest level to make a winning bumper debut last summer. Similar form and less-than-straightforward maiden on Flat since. Stuck at it for fourth of 9 on hurdles debut last month. Just a respectable fourth on recent hurdling debut; others look much stronger. |
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3rd (4) (33/1 +50%) Crazy Maisie |
33/1(+50%) | (4) Crazy Maisie 33/1, Fair handicapper at best on the Flat but not at that level in recent times and was well held previous hurdles outing in 2023. Low-grade AW winner; well beaten when tried over hurdles in March of last year. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
A small but interesting field sees Barrabool make her debut for Harry Derham after a second in a Southwell bumper, but she will need to find improvement to bother BLUE LAS. Neil Mulholland's six-year-old has taken two of her three bumpers, at Southwell and Uttoxeter, and is bred to be even better over hurdles. If she is ready to go after six months off, she should prove hard to beat. Metkayina also makes the shortlist and is one to watch for future reference.
This should rest between bumper-winners METKAYINA and Blue Las with marginal preference for the former given there's slightly more substance to her form in that sphere.
Blue Las can win over hurdles soon but Aintree Grade 2 bumper fourth METKAYINA could be a very tough nut to crack today.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (15/2 -15%) Aurel |
15/2(-15%) | (1) Aurel 15/2, €90,000 Soldier Hollow colt. Brother to 3 winners, including smart British/German winner up to 1m Axana. Dam German 1m winner. Likely type on paper for an in-form leading stable. 90,000euros yearling; appealing pedigree but drawn widest and looks stable second string. |
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2nd (2) (1/1 +20%) Bedouin Prince |
1/1(+20%) | (2) Bedouin Prince 1/1, Ghaiyyath colt. Closely related to useful 2-y-o 7f winner Striking Star and half-brother to 1½m winner Moonglade. Dam 2-y-o 6f/7f winner. Top stable has a 31% strike-rate here. Likely to play a leading role on debut. Well-bred newcomer from a yard with a 30% strike-rate with 2yos on AW; of obvious interest. |
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3rd (5) (11/1 -47%) Family Knight |
11/1(-47%) | (5) Family Knight 11/1, Promise when sixth of 12 in C&D novice on debut 24 days ago, not ideally placed. Should improve. Promising sixth over C&D on debut; likely capable of a good deal better. |
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4th (8) (33/1 -32%) Kurakka |
33/1(-32%) | (8) Kurakka 33/1, 110,000 gns breeze-up purchase. Medaglia D'oro brother to US 7f/8.5f winner Yarborough and half-brother to useful 11.4f/1½m winner Fox Vardy and 15.5f winner Midsummer Dance. Worth a look in the betting. 110,000gns breeze-up 2yo; appealing pedigree but likely to come on for the experience. |
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5th (4) (2/1 +50%) Dissident |
2/1(+50%) | (4) Dissident 2/1, Last of 4 on his 1m Newbury debut in September but he's bred to be useful and it wouldn't be any surprise were he to prove a different proposition now. Too green to do himself justice on debut but there was promise; can leave it well behind. |
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6th (6) (100/1 -100%) Golden Garden |
100/1(-100%) | (6) Golden Garden 100/1, 33/1 and tongue tied, ninth of 11 in novice at Southwell (7f) on debut 14 days ago. Needs to have come on a lot in a short time. 33-1 when a never-dangerous ninth on last month's Southwell debut (7f); best watched. |
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7th (7) (25/1 -79%) Kingmaker |
25/1(-79%) | (7) Kingmaker 25/1, Cost 200.000 gns as a yearling but didn't shape with any obvious promise when a remote last of 7 on his Newmarket debut in September. Well beaten at Newmarket on his debut in September but bred to leave that well behind. |
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8th (10) (28/1 -100%) Pivotal Affair |
28/1(-100%) | (10) Pivotal Affair 28/1, 65,000 gns Lope De Vega colt. Half-brother to 9.5f winner Shahaada and 1m winner Maeve of Connaught. The betting should help guide to expectations with this newcomer. 65,000gns half-brother to two winners; dam a 1m winner; wide draw and likely best watched. |
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9th (9) (150/1 -200%) Nelson Gate |
150/1(-200%) | (9) Nelson Gate 150/1, Twice-raced colt. 33/1, last of 7 in novice at Goodwood (9f, heavy) 22 days ago. Modest form in two heavy-ground runs at Goodwood; improvement a must on AW debut. |
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10th (3) (20/1 -122%) Crackamour |
20/1(-122%) | (3) Crackamour 20/1, €70,000 Cracksman gelding. Half-brother to several winners, including smart 1¼m-1½m winner Plein Air and useful winner up to 11f Close Your Eyes. Interesting to see how he compares in the betting to stablemate Family Knight. 70,000euros half-brother to 7 winners; should have a future; yard also run Family Knight. |
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11th (12) (100/1 -150%) Africa Charm |
100/1(-150%) | (12) Africa Charm 100/1, 66/1, tenth of 13 in C&D novice on debut 26 days ago, very slowly away. 66-1 when down the field in a C&D fillies' novice last month; not easily recommended. |
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12th (11) (150/1 -355%) Whatsgoingonmarvin |
150/1(-355%) | (11) Whatsgoingonmarvin 150/1, Thrice-raced colt. Sixth of 16 in maiden (300/1) at Doncaster (7f, soft) 10 days ago. Unlikely to be of interest until handicapping. Latest run was better but still likely vulnerable this side of handicaps. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Charlie Appleby is fielding some interesting juveniles as the all-weather season kicks in and BEDOUIN PRINCE strikes as another name to conjure with for a light autumn campaign. Out of 1000 Guineas runner-up Lucida, there is lots to like about the breeding and this could be another well-judged piece of placement by the Newmarket handler. Dissident and Family Knight appeal most from those with experience, while Aurel and Pivotal Affair are other noteworthy debutants to consider.
Those with experience don't set the bar that high so the suggestion is Godolphin debutant BEDOUIN PRINCE, with confidence in his chance increased should the betting vibes be strong. Aurel is another newcomer who looks the part on paper, while his stablemate Dissident could leave his Newbury debut run behind. The Richard Hughes-trained Family Knight also makes the shortlist after quite an encouraging debut effort over C&D last month.
Bedouin Prince is a newcomer of some interest but DISSIDENT can leave his Newbury debut run well behind him.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (6/1 +8%) I Shut That D'or |
6/1(+8%) | (2) I Shut That D'or 6/1, Belied odds of 50/1 when taking a Wincanton novice hurdle in January 2023. However, he hasn't done much right since and offered little on hurdles return at Exeter 13 days ago. Regressive 6yo who has poor completion record over fences; others look much less risky. |
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2nd (1) (3/1 +25%) Theonlywayiswessex |
3/1(+25%) | (1) Theonlywayiswessex 3/1, Dual AW winner who opened his account over jumps in 9-runner handicap chase at Stratford (17f) in June. Back to that sort of form when creditable third at Southwell (15.8f, good to firm) last month and ought to go well again. Won comfortably at Stratford in June and was placed off this mark at Southwell last month. |
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3rd (5) (4/1 -45%) One Last Glance |
4/1(-45%) | (5) One Last Glance 4/1, Belatedly off the mark, back from 7-month absence, when taking 9-runner handicap hurdle (9/2) at Stratford (16.3f, heavy) 16 days ago. Faces different conditions here but is feasibly treated, back over the larger obstacles, and must enter calculations. Won heavy-ground hurdle last month but today's quicker conditions are probably not ideal. |
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4th (3) (8/1 -78%) Kalkas |
8/1(-78%) | (3) Kalkas 8/1, Fairly useful chaser at best for Henry de Bromhead during 2021/22. Not at same level these days but ran respectably when third of 4 in handicap chase at Fontwell (17.8f, good) when last seen in May. 2 lb lower now and could be a player on return to action. 0-11 over fences but has claims if judged on Fontwell second in April; back from a break. |
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5th (6) (28/1 -75%) Clondaw Robin |
28/1(-75%) | (6) Clondaw Robin 28/1, Still winless over fences and below best at Fontwell when last seen in March. Reappears off a handy mark but others are more persuasive. Unlucky not to win here in January but is 0-25 over fences and has fitness to prove today. |
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|U| (4) (7/1 +56%) Nadim |
7/1(+56%) | (4) Nadim 7/1, Scored 3 times over hurdles in 2023 and showed some promise, sent chasing for his new yard, when third in Stratford novice handicap (19.5f) last month. Wasn't in same form at Wincanton, latest, however, and others are more appealing. Placed on last month's stable/chase debut but well held since; not one to rely upon. |
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|PU| (7) (5/2 +38%) Ballinoulart |
5/2(+38%) | (7) Ballinoulart 5/2, Posted best effort for current yard when very good third of 10 in handicap chase at Hereford (20.9f, good) 21 days ago. Finds himself 2 lb out of the weights here but another bold show is on the cards. 0-13 over fences but in the frame several times, most recently three weeks ago; considered. |
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|PU| (8) (200/1 -100%) Design Flaw |
200/1(-100%) | (8) Design Flaw 200/1, Offered little under various codes in Ireland and well beaten both starts in points prior to a very low-key hurdles return at Fontwell (19.1f) 57 days ago. Cheekpieces reached for but she's got plenty on from well out of the weights on handicap debut in this sphere. Ex-Irish maiden; 12lb wrong for handicap debut; difficult to enthuse over. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Joe Tizzard won this last year and is back for more with I Shut That D'or, but he was beaten a long way over hurdles at Exeter and is yet to get his head in front over fences. THEONLYWAYISWESSEX has won in this sphere at Stratford and was a solid third at Southwell last time out, and if he remains at that level, he may be the one to beat. One Last Glance impressed over timber at Stratford and would also be of interest if he transfers that to the larger obstacles.
KALKAS returns on a fair mark and hails from a yard amongst the winners. He could be the answer in a tricky-looking contest. Theonlywayiswessex and Ballinoulart are feared most.
This might go to THEONLYWAYISWESSEX, who was a very convincing 2m1f chase winner in the spring and is unexposed over this trip.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (16/1 -220%) Bread And Butter |
16/1(-220%) | (3) Bread And Butter 16/1, Fallen appreciably in the weights and better than for a while when making the frame in a couple of handicaps earlier this year. However, ran poorly when last seen at Worcester in June and has something to prove now. Had wind operation. Not as good as he was and had a poor strike-rate at the best of times. |
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2nd (6) (10/3 +67%) Jack The Savage |
10/3(+67%) | (6) Jack The Savage 10/3, Bumper winner who opened his account over hurdles at Huntingdon (15.8f) 12 months ago. Exploits mixed since, but wasn't disgraced when fourth at Southwell (15.8f) latest and is worth another crack at this longer trip. Beaten 10l on his return to hurdling action at Stratford but was close up behind Jeudidee. |
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3rd (4) (3/1 +14%) Don Rafael |
3/1(+14%) | (4) Don Rafael 3/1, Progressed again to make it third time lucky over hurdles at Stratford (16.3f) in July and acquitted himself in both starts since, latest when second of 9 over same C&D 58 days ago. Shortlist material. Looks handicapped about right but he's consistent and they claim 5lb this time. |
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4th (5) (8/1 +20%) New Found Fame |
8/1(+20%) | (5) New Found Fame 8/1, Jumping errors meant he was unable to progress as might have been expected over fences and he's largely been disappointing back over hurdles since, beaten when pulling up at Ffos Las when last seen in May. Others more appealing. Chance that he might stage a revival for respected yard and handicapper is doing his bit. |
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5th (1) (9/4 +25%) Fourtowns |
9/4(+25%) | (1) Fourtowns 9/4, Still looking for first victory but arrives on back of creditable fourth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (15.8f, good to soft, 13/2) 17 days ago and is effective over this longer trip. Likely player. Back from a break and wind surgery when beaten just over 3l at Uttoxeter. |
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6th (2) (6/1 -20%) Jeudidee |
6/1(-20%) | (2) Jeudidee 6/1, Didn't really take to chasing in a trio of starts in that sphere but offered more back over the smaller obstacles when third of 9 in Southwell handicap (15.8f, good) 12 days ago. Step up in trip should suit and must enter calculations. Dual novice winner who likes good ground; solid third back hurdling at Southwell latest. |
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|PU| (8) (40/1 -43%) Joyful Kit |
40/1(-43%) | (8) Joyful Kit 40/1, Remains a maiden after 35 NH runs and makes limited appeal from 8 lb out of the handicap. Runs well now and again but she's a 35-race maiden and again out of the weights. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
DON RAFAEL filled the runner-up spot over an extended 2m in a stronger event than this at Stratford in September and goes off a 1lb higher mark. Martin Keighley's four-year-old will appreciate this drop in grade and might be able to regain the winning thread. Jeudidee (third) had Jack The Savage (fourth) behind when he made the frame at Southwell last month and can confirm that form to pose the main threat. Fourtowns completes the shortlist.
In an open race it could be worth chancing JACK THE SAVAGE, who has been given a chance by the handicapper and looks ready for this stiffer test of stamina. Don Rafael and Fourtowns rate the principal dangers.
An open race. FOURTOWNS has yet to win but there's a race in him off this mark and he edges preference ahead of Don Rafael.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (9/4 -50%) Heathcliff |
9/4(-50%) | (9) Heathcliff 9/4, Promising individual. C&D winner. 3 wins from 6 runs this year. 11/4, continued in fine form when second of 12 in handicap at this course (6f) 58 days ago, running on. Should have more to offer and return to 7f no issue. Progressing well and 2-2 over C&D; has more to offer but this looks a warm race. |
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2nd (1) (11/1 +50%) Strobe |
11/1(+50%) | (1) Strobe 11/1, useful performer at best: won optional claimer at Fair Grounds on first outing in 2023. Best effort when second of 10 in Grade 3 Count Fleet Sprint Handicap at Oaklawn Park next start. Well below form last 2 starts: has left Brad H. Cox and having raced only on dirt, is tough to assess. 4-10 in the US; quiet when last seen; gelded since; market useful on British debut. |
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3rd (6) (5/2 +62%) Cuban Tiger |
5/2(+62%) | (6) Cuban Tiger 5/2, 6/1, thirteenth of 17 in handicap at Leopardstown (7f, good) 51 days ago, racing closer to pace than ideal. That effort can be excused and both previous wins gained on the AW. Looked promising on AW early in year; some good turf form this summer too; interesting. |
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4th (7) (100/1 -203%) Mcmanaman |
100/1(-203%) | (7) Mcmanaman 100/1, Last of 7 in handicap (80/1) at Newbury (7f, heavy) 10 days ago. Makes polytrack debut and yet to find feet for current yard. Turf winner in Dubai in February; finished last in two runs for new yard though; opposable. |
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5th (2) (40/1 -233%) Rhoscolyn |
40/1(-233%) | (2) Rhoscolyn 40/1, Added to superb record at Goodwood in September. Good second of 8 in handicap (4/1) back there (8f, heavy) 22 days ago so clearly arrives in good order but this his first AW outing since 2021. Useful handicapper on turf; fine run at Goodwood latest; more to prove on rare AW run. |
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6th (4) (4/1 +27%) Brewing |
4/1(+27%) | (4) Brewing 4/1, C&D winner. Fifteenth of 18 in handicap (33/1) at Ascot (7f, good) 30 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. AW record is a very positive one. Good record on AW, including 2-2 at Kempton; not fully exposed; interesting candidate. |
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7th (8) (8/1 +27%) Havanagreattime |
8/1(+27%) | (8) Havanagreattime 8/1, Better than ever when making a winning reappearance over C&D in March. 11/2, tenth of 14 in handicap at this course (8f) 33 days ago, proving too free and better expected back over 7f. C&D winner in March; down the field over 1m here on last month's return; others stronger. |
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8th (3) (16/1 -45%) Mums Tipple |
16/1(-45%) | (3) Mums Tipple 16/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2023. Thirteenth of 18 in handicap at Goodwood (7f, good to firm, 18/1). Off 96 days and been given a major chance by the assessor returned to the AW. Conditions fine and down in weights but he returns from an absence with enough to prove. |
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9th (5) (14/1 -115%) Mirsky |
14/1(-115%) | (5) Mirsky 14/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. Shaped better than result when eighth of 20 in handicap at Ascot (8f, soft, 16/1) 16 days ago, making effort earlier than ideal. Tongue strap back on. Merits consideration eased 2 lb. Yet to win for this yard but retains serious ability & latest run better than the figures. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
BREWING has been set a couple of stiff tasks on soft ground since recording his fifth win on the all-weather back in January. The five-year-old won a shade cosily over course and distance on that occasion and can bounce back to form on his favoured surface. The front-running Cuban Tiger will likely set a decent pace at the head of affairs and is handicapped to go close, while the progressive Heathcliff can also feature once again and is preferred to Rhoscolyn.
A good-quality handicap with lots to consider. MUMS TIPPLE failed to fire on turf this season but his AW record is a much more compelling one and the assessor has given him a chance back on his favoured surface. Brewing is another interesting proposition back on an artificial surface, while 3-y-o Heathcliff may not yet have finished improving.
Perhaps BREWING, whose recent turf runs aren't the best guide to his ability, can make it 6-8 on AW. Dangers abound in a red-hot race.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (1/4 +44%) Prince Imperial |
1/4(+44%) | (1) Prince Imperial 1/4, Showed improved form on first run since leaving Harriet Dickin when easily winning 9-runner maiden hurdle at Fontwell in September and he defied a penalty at the second time of asking at Market Rasen 3 weeks ago. Double penalty this time but sure to give it a good go. 2-3 over hurdles since joining Olly Murphy in September and has good opportunity here. |
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2nd (4) (10/3 -21%) Just Lucky Sivola |
10/3(-21%) | (4) Just Lucky Sivola 10/3, From a good family and made a successful debut in a Southwell bumper last November. Disappointed under a penalty at Huntingdon but bred to have a future over hurdles and he's in excellent hands. Battled well to win Southwell bumper last November but the form is very ordinary. |
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3rd (3) (80/1 0%) De Vega's Warrior |
80/1(0%) | (3) De Vega's Warrior 80/1, A frustrating maiden handicapper on Flat (stays 16.5f) and minor promise only over hurdles last month. Tongue strap applied. Soundly beaten at triple-digit odds on both hurdling starts for new stable last month. |
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4th (6) (33/1 +0%) Court One |
33/1(+0%) | (6) Court One 33/1, €9,000 3-y-o, £20,000 4-y-o, first foal: dam unraced half-sister to fair hurdle winner/fair chaser (stayed 2¾m) Our Friend. Unseated rider sole start in Irish points (Apr 14). Ran well for a long way on Irish point debut but was beaten before last-fence fall. |
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5th (2) (40/1 -21%) Batsman |
40/1(-21%) | (2) Batsman 40/1, Jack Hobbs gelding. Dam, lightly raced in bumpers, half-sister to useful hurdler/top-class chaser (Cheltenham Gold Cup winner) Coneygree. Successful on second of 2 starts in point bumpers (Jan 2024) but last of 7 in a bumper and likely needs more time. Hood on switched to hurdling. Won a point bumper in January but was soundly beaten in Ludlow bumper on rules debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Prince Imperial arrives with two wins already this season, at Fontwell and Market Rasen, but he has to give plenty of weight to JUST LUCKY SIVOLA, which may prove a huge ask. Paul Nicholls' gelding won his first bumper before disappointing at Huntingdon, but is bred to be far better over obstacles and hopefully has an exciting future in front of him. Batsman took a point-to-point in January and may be the one to follow them home.
PRINCE IMPERIAL has a double penalty to shoulder but he can call upon plenty of experience over obstacles and that may prove to be decisive. Just Lucky Sivola is in the right hands now hurdling and he should be a factor.
By far the most obvious answer is PRINCE IMPERIAL, who is 2-3 over hurdles since joining Olly Murphy and sets a fairly useful standard.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (1/2 -25%) Kilbarry Hill |
1/2(-25%) | (2) Kilbarry Hill 1/2, Runner-up twice in Irish points and fair form when placed on all 5 starts in maiden/novice hurdles last season. Returns with his stable going well and this looks an excellent opportunity for him to get off the mark. Below par on heavy last time; previous form was solid and this looks very winnable. |
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2nd (5) (9/2 +0%) Miss Kassiopi |
9/2(+0%) | (5) Miss Kassiopi 9/2, Has improved with each start over hurdles, finishing 7 lengths third in 21f Warwick mares' maiden last month, although the form is only modest. Improved third over 2m5f at Warwick but likely that she'll need more to take this. |
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3rd (4) (7/2 +42%) Tikiti Dino |
7/2(+42%) | (4) Tikiti Dino 7/2, 25/1, well held in a Newbury bumper in March, although it was a big-field valuable event. Starts out over hurdles in a weak race and it'll be interesting to see what the betting makes of him. Tailed off in his bumper but that was a valuable one at Newbury; should progress. |
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4th (6) (33/1 -136%) Sweet Serene |
33/1(-136%) | (6) Sweet Serene 33/1, Best effort in bumpers (modest form) when fourth of 11 at Bangor in June. Switches to hurdles back from 5 months off. Bit better in her final bumper but still beaten 11l and posted a modest RPR. |
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5th (1) (125/1 -25%) Fan Magnet |
125/1(-25%) | (1) Fan Magnet 125/1, Showed ability in bumpers in Ireland but no show in 2 novice hurdles for this yard in recent weeks. Hooded first time. Has shown zilch in her two runs over hurdles; now hooded. |
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|PU| (3) (125/1 -279%) Bosko |
125/1(-279%) | (3) Bosko 125/1, 25/1, offered little obvious short-term promise when down the field in a Chepstow bumper last month. In rear throughout and tailed off in a Chepstow bumper 23 days ago (25-1). |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
KILBARRY HILL has made the top three on each of his five starts under Rules to date and he sets the standard with a rating of 110 in this contest. The Olly Murphy-trained six-year-old looks to have been found an ideal opportunity and can get off the mark. Miss Kassiopi outran her long odds to finish third at Warwick on her latest outing and should go well, while Sweet Serene can fight it out for the minor honours.
KILBARRY HILL was beaten favourite on a couple of occasions last season but there'll be no excuses for him here. Miss Kassiopi might be the one to follow him home unless the betting vibes are strong surrounding Alan King's Tikiti Dino.
This is very weak and a gilt-edged opportunity for KILBARRY HILL whose peak form sets the standard by a clear margin.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (6/1 +25%) Bass Player |
6/1(+25%) | (8) Bass Player 6/1, Temperamental sort. One win from 23 Flat runs. Creditable length third of 10 to Visibility in handicap (11/2) at this course (9.5f) 28 days ago. Others more persuasive. Fair third behind Visibility here last time but he's now 0-22 since his debut win in 2022. |
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2nd (6) (11/1 +21%) Fools Rush In |
11/1(+21%) | (6) Fools Rush In 11/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in September. Sixth of 8 in handicap at Newmarket (9f, good, 7/1) 44 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. C&D win in September but he's not easy to predict and was down the field on turf latest. |
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3rd (5) (7/2 +13%) Yeoman |
7/2(+13%) | (5) Yeoman 7/2, Three-time C&D winner who arrives on back of creditable head second of 10 to Visibility in handicap (16/5) at this course (9.5f) 28 days ago. Just 1 lb higher now and holds solid claims. Triple course winner who had a near miss behind Visibility here last time; dangerous. |
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4th (4) (10/1 -82%) Visibility |
10/1(-82%) | (4) Visibility 10/1, Gained reward for string of solid efforts when landing sixth course success (9.5f, 5/2) 28 days ago by head from Yeoman. 2 lb rise fair and enters calculations. Gained his sixth course win when scoring over 9.4f here last time; respected up to 2lb. |
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5th (10) (80/1 +0%) Vecchio |
80/1(+0%) | (10) Vecchio 80/1, Eleventh of 12 in handicap at Southwell (11.1f, 66/1) 11 days ago. Down in trip. Hard to recommend. 11-race maiden who has struggled for new yard this year and has lots to prove. |
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6th (9) (11/4 +0%) English Spirit |
11/4(+0%) | (9) English Spirit 11/4, Back to winning ways when taking 11-runner handicap (3/1) at this course (9.5f) 10 days ago, well on top finish. 5 lb higher now but another bold bid is anticipated. Won a division of this race last year and he also won here ten days ago; interesting. |
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7th (7) (18/1 -50%) Calanthe |
18/1(-50%) | (7) Calanthe 18/1, Winner at Lingfield in September. 10/1, creditable fourth of 8 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 36 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Not out of things. Still has potential but he needs to find more progress; cheekpieces added. |
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8th (3) (4/1 +38%) Style Of Life |
4/1(+38%) | (3) Style Of Life 4/1, C&D winner. Back on scoreboard at Thirsk (8f) in September and ran well in defeat since. latest when ¾-length second of 9 to Ashtanga in handicap over C&D 14 days ago, having run of race. Should give another good account. Won at Thirsk in September and has been knocking on the door last twice; key player. |
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9th (1) (28/1 -331%) Ashtanga |
28/1(-331%) | (1) Ashtanga 28/1, 1 win from 2 runs this year. Career best when winning 9-runner handicap (80/1) at this C&D 14 days ago by ¾ length from Style of Life, better placed than most. 3 lb rise fair and ought to go well again. Unexposed on AW and caused a surprise when scoring over C&D last time; respected up 3lb. |
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10th (2) (16/1 +27%) Royal Jet |
16/1(+27%) | (2) Royal Jet 16/1, Thrice-raced winner. Tongue strap on for 1st time, first run since leaving Andrew Balding when sixth of 10 in handicap at Kempton (6f, 12/1), left poorly placed. Off 6 months. Work to do. Unexposed 4yo and he could resume his progress on this step up to 1m; in the mix. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
English Spirit won this 12 months ago and is back after a victory here over slightly further last month. That clearly makes him a player once more but if VISIBILITY can get away on level terms, he may have the edge. A tardy start didn't stop him last time as he got up late on at this venue, although he cannot afford the same mistake over this shorter trip. Yeoman, who was just a head behind him on that occasion, and Calanthe also enter calculations.
ENGLISH SPIRIT registered his fifth victory at this course last month and remains feasibly treated on old form. He gets the nod in an open-looking contest. Yeoman and Style of Life head the list of dangers.
This is competitive but the vote goes to ENGLISH SPIRIT, who won a division of this race last year and also scored here ten days ago.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (1/1 +100%) Military Academy |
1/1(+100%) | (5) Military Academy 1/1, From an excellent family and won his first 2 starts in August/September. 10/11, 8½ lengths second of 5 to Burdett Road in listed race at Newmarket (12f, soft) 38 days ago. Open to improvement for top yard so demands consideration switched to the AW. Made debut in August; looked good in first 2 wins; useful Listed 2nd latest; AW debut. |
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2nd (1) (5/2 +9%) Aimeric |
5/2(+9%) | (1) Aimeric 5/2, Smart gelding. Five wins from 16 Flat runs. Latest win at Lingfield in May. Rare below-par effort when 11½ lengths third of 5 to Burdett Road in listed race at Newmarket (12f, soft, 9/2) 38 days ago. Makes polytrack debut and likely to bounce back given overall profile. Solid in defeat in Listed/Group races; muted latest; good weights chance on AW debut. |
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3rd (2) (9/2 +44%) Penzance |
9/2(+44%) | (2) Penzance 9/2, Useful gelding, completing AW 4-timer at Lingfield in March. Good fourth of 10 in handicap at Doncaster (10.2f, good, 12/1) 51 days ago, finishing well. Return to this surface a definite plus. Excellent progress in 1m2f AW races in early 2024; looks worth a go over 1m4f back on AW. |
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4th (3) (16/1 +68%) Ayyab |
16/1(+68%) | (3) Ayyab 16/1, Fairly useful filly. Course winner. Latest win at Goodwood in May. Tenth of 11 in handicap (12/1) at Newmarket (12f, good to soft) 30 days ago. Huge career best needed in this company. Won at 1m3f (here) and 1m4f on turf; well held latest; tough terms back in Listed company. |
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5th (7) (18/1 -140%) Our Golden One |
18/1(-140%) | (7) Our Golden One 18/1, Useful filly. Latest win at Doncaster in April. Creditable third of 9 in handicap (5/1) at Nottingham (10.2f, heavy) 19 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Some good 1m4f turf runs in 2024, including in French Listed; needs extra on AW debut. |
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6th (4) (100/1 -400%) Kolossal |
100/1(-400%) | (4) Kolossal 100/1, Smart mare. 20/1, seventh of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f) 13 days ago. Blinkers back on and dangerous on these terms if building on that. Two front-running Group 3 wins in 2023; some promise for new yard; well held on AW debut. |
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7th (6) (33/1 +34%) Mrs Twig |
33/1(+34%) | (6) Mrs Twig 33/1, Fairly useful filly. C&D winner. 4 wins from 7 runs this year. 25/1, career best when winning 7-runner handicap at Newmarket (10f, good) 44 days ago. Clearly in form but this is a difficult ask. Has done connections proud with 4 handicap wins in 2024, two over C&D; this asks for more. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
MILITARY ACADEMY represents last year's winning yard and has plenty of scope for further improvement. The son of Fastnet Rock debuts on the all-weather after finishing runner-up in a Listed contest on soft ground at Newmarket and is taken to confirm latest running with Aimeric (third). The latter should be on the premises once again, while Golden One is not without a chance on these terms and makes more appeal than Penzance.
PENZANCE improved at a rate of knots on the AW for these connections and the return to this surface may just prove the catalyst for further success. Military Academy is quickly making up for lost time and is the one in the line-up with the potential to rate much higher. Aimeric is established at this level so commands respect, too.
Aimeric is respected but he has ground to make up on MILITARY ACADEMY on their Newmarket run and the latter is still improving.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (4/1 -14%) Sacre Coeur |
4/1(-14%) | (2) Sacre Coeur 4/1, Three-time chase winner last season who returned to form when runner-up at Ludlow (23.8f, good) 26 days ago. Remains on an attractive mark and she's a major player. Keen-goer; second to course specilaist at Ludlow last month; still on a good mark. |
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2nd (5) (4/1 +56%) Whydah Gally |
4/1(+56%) | (5) Whydah Gally 4/1, Hit the target twice in handicaps chases at Lingfield last season, latterly demonstrating strong stamina reserves with a success over 29f in February. However, he merely underlined the fact that he's not one to bank on by following that with a couple of low-key performances. Ended last season with below-par runs but won when fresh last autumn. |
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3rd (1) (16/1 +36%) Boldmere |
16/1(+36%) | (1) Boldmere 16/1, Winner of 3m veterans' events at Doncaster and Fakenham during the early part of 2023 but he offered little in a handful of appearances last season. Not much went to plan last season but he arrives here fresh and well handicapped. |
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4th (6) (12/1 -20%) Sublime Heights |
12/1(-20%) | (6) Sublime Heights 12/1, Three of his 4 chase wins have been gained here, registering first success away from this venue when landing a 3-runner Chepstow handicap (23.6f, soft) in April. No show on his reappearance at Fontwell, though, and, like last season, he may need a few runs before coming to the boil. Very well suited by this C&D but has developed a tendency to race lazily; risky. |
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5th (4) (18/1 -125%) I See You Well |
18/1(-125%) | (4) I See You Well 18/1, Something of a course specialist, winning 5 times over C&D, and he was second in this race off a 6 lb higher mark 12 months ago. Rather hit-and-miss since, though, and he looks vunerable for win purposes. Five-time C&D winner who is now 6lb lower than when second in this race last year. |
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|F| (3) (10/11 +0%) Scamallach Liath |
10/11(+0%) | (3) Scamallach Liath 10/11, Showed plenty over hurdles, placed all 4 starts for Oliver Sherwood during 2022/23 and winner of an Ascot novices' handicap (24.4f, good) on debut for Harry Derham last November. Came up short in Sandown Grade 3 Sandown handicap when last seen in February but sights lowered for this chasing bow. Did well over hurdles for this stable last season and could have a good future over fences. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
SACRE COEUR occupied the runner-up berth at Ludlow last month and she competes off the same rating. That is the best recent form on offer in this contest and Dan Skelton's mare could prove tough to beat. Scamallach Liath finished midfield as favourite in a Grade 3 event over the smaller obstacles at Sandown in February and has to be considered on his chase debut, while I See You Well is another to consider.
SCAMALLACH LIATH could finish only mid-field when sent off favourite for a Grade 3 Sandown handicap on the final start of a light campaign last season, but he now makes his chase debut in much calmer waters and this Irish point winner appeals as the type to make his mark over fences. Sacre Coeur is the clear main danger ahead of veteran course regular I See You Well.
The one with most potential is chase debutant SCAMALLACH LIATH, who ran well on all three hurdling starts for Harry Derham last season.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (3/1 -100%) Getbazoutofhere |
3/1(-100%) | (4) Getbazoutofhere 3/1, Modest hurdler/chaser who belatedly opened her account in determined style over C&D 5 months ago. Definite player but he may strip fitter for it. Won over C&D in May but that was hard work and the 7lb rise asks a question. |
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2nd (3) (7/1 0%) Honey I'm Good |
7/1(0%) | (3) Honey I'm Good 7/1, Resumed winning ways at Stratford in August and has backed it up with some solid performances (including over hurdles). Likely to be involved. 2m5f too sharp at Fakenham five days ago and comes here in a decent run of form. |
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3rd (2) (11/10 +27%) Current Mood |
11/10(+27%) | (2) Current Mood 11/10, Returned to form to capitalise on a much-reduced mark at Ludlow recently, scraping home in the end having looked in control early on the run-in. Leading claims. Value for more than her nose margin of success at Ludlow; up 4lb. |
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4th (5) (10/1 +17%) Arctic Footprint |
10/1(+17%) | (5) Arctic Footprint 10/1, Pulled up when last seen at Southwell 8 months ago and returns from out of the weights, so hard to make a solid case for. Won over hurdles last Dec but poor otherwise this past year; PU sole previous chase run. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Current Mood struck by the smallest of margins at Ludlow last month and it would be no surprise to see her go close again off only 4lb higher. However, GETBAZOUTOFHERE was victorious over track and trip in May and, considering the manner of that victory, she is fancied to follow up. Of the other two, Honey I'm Good might be the pick, even though she has had a run in every month of 2024 so far.
CURRENT MOOD was perhaps idling after looking firmly in control when winning by a narrow margin at Ludlow last time out and she remains with plenty of handicapping scope on old form, so she gets the nod over Getbazoutofhere. Honey I'm Good should also be involved.
Evan Williams has two live chances but CURRENT MOOD (nap) was good value for her narrow success at Ludlow and can follow up.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (1/6 +17%) Tawajjah |
1/6(+17%) | (5) Tawajjah 1/6, Posted useful form when second of 11 in novice at Southwell (8.1f) 30 days ago, clear of rest. Will take the beating here. Chased home a smart prospect on Tapeta last time and this looks a golden opportunity. |
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2nd (3) (11/4 +21%) Plage De Havre |
11/4(+21%) | (3) Plage De Havre 11/4, Offered something to work on when sixth of 12 in maiden at Yarmouth (7f, good to soft, 18/1) on debut 13 months ago. Should have more to offer, particularly over this longer trip. Gelded since last run. Made a promising start at Yarmouth and he's open to progress upped in trip; been gelded. |
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3rd (2) (150/1 -127%) Maguire |
150/1(-127%) | (2) Maguire 150/1, Once-raced maiden. Fourth of 5 in novice (25/1) at Newcastle (8f) on debut 6 days ago, slowly away. Place claims. 25-1 on Newcastle debut (1m) last Tuesday and he finished a tailed-off fourth of five. |
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4th (4) (50/1 -25%) Star Of Jupiter |
50/1(-25%) | (4) Star Of Jupiter 50/1, Once-raced maiden. 150/1, seventh of 11 in novice at Southwell (8.1f) on debut 30 days ago. Up against it. Didn't show much at a big price at Southwell and he needs to leave that form well behind. |
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5th (1) (250/1 -213%) Uncle Lester |
250/1(-213%) | (1) Uncle Lester 250/1, Twice-raced maiden on Flat. Ninth of 12 in novice at Kempton (8f, 300/1) 21 days ago, slowly away. Can only be watched. Tailed off in a bumper and same story in two Flat runs (1m, AW) this autumn. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
A small field may play into the hands of the Roger Varian-trained TAWAJJAH, who was second at Windsor when beaten a nose and then at Southwell when left with a bit too much to do. This may be the best chance yet for the Frankel colt to win a race, with the once-raced Plage De Havre an interesting alternative. Sixth but not beaten far at Yarmouth in September 2023 and not seen since, he may get the better of Maguire in a fight for second spot.
TAWAJJAH has progressed with each start thus far and looks to have been found an excellent opportunity to get off the mark. Plage de Havre appears to be the only conceivable danger.
This looks a golden opportunity for TAWAJJAH, who sets a clear standard on his second behind a smart prospect at Southwell last month.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (14) (3/1 +50%) The Glen Rovers |
3/1(+50%) | (14) The Glen Rovers 3/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in September. Good third of 13 in handicap at this course (12f, 3/1) 24 days ago. Expected to be bang there given unexposed profile. 2-4 on the AW including a win over C&D; still lightly raced and could ago well again. |
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2nd (2) (16/1 -45%) Andaleep |
16/1(-45%) | (2) Andaleep 16/1, Three wins from 15 runs in another very productive campaign. Another very good effort when fifth of 31 in Cambridgeshire Handicap at Newmarket (9f, good to soft, 66/1) 37 days ago. Back up in trip and no reason why he won't give it another good go. 8lb higher than when runner-up in this race last year, but competitive off this mark. |
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3rd (4) (14/1 +13%) Old Harrovian |
14/1(+13%) | (4) Old Harrovian 14/1, Looked useful when winning back-to-back novice events in spring of 2023. Lightly raced since, last of 7 in handicap at Chester (10.3f, good to soft). Off 115 days. Has work to do from this mark for all return to AW will suit. Easily won twice on the AW in the spring of last year, but little in four outings since. |
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4th (11) (33/1 -560%) Oslo |
33/1(-560%) | (11) Oslo 33/1, Nineteen runs since last win in 2020. 9/1, unseated rider in handicap hurdle at Market Rasen (16.6f, good to firm) 37 days ago. Shaped well in a 12f handicap here prior to that. Better known as a hurdler now; a bit unlucky here in September but still needs plenty more. |
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5th (7) (4/1 +60%) Magico |
4/1(+60%) | (7) Magico 4/1, Made it two from two at this venue in 8-runner C&D handicap in August. Twelfth of 13 in handicap (10/1) at York (10.2f, soft) 23 days ago but better expected here back on an artificial surface. 2-2 here, his latest success coming in a qualifier for this in August; drawn widest. |
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6th (8) (8/1 +50%) Miss Dolly Rocker |
8/1(+50%) | (8) Miss Dolly Rocker 8/1, Course winner. Latest win at Bath in September. Respectable 4¼ lengths sixth of 14 to Siempre Arturo in handicap at this C&D (10/1) 19 days ago. Needs a good test of stamina over this trip. Has a bit to find with a couple of these on last month's C&D running. |
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7th (1) (9/2 +55%) Siempre Arturo |
9/2(+55%) | (1) Siempre Arturo 9/2, Five wins from 9 runs this year. Career best when winning 14-runner handicap (20/1) at this C&D 19 days ago, suited by way race developed. Must improve to defy 6 lb higher but he's clearly in excellent nick. 6-11 and defied a high draw when winning his qualifier here last month; high on list. |
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8th (9) (50/1 -257%) Fast Steps |
50/1(-257%) | (9) Fast Steps 50/1, Proved he's as effective on the AW when second of 10 in handicap (17/2) at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 16 days ago, well positioned. Something to find on form in what is a much better race. One win in last 17 starts; went close at Wolverhampton last month but has gone back up 2lb. |
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9th (6) (12/1 -20%) True Courage |
12/1(-20%) | (6) True Courage 12/1, Course winner. 3 wins from 12 runs this year. Latest win at Thirsk in June. 25/1, creditable 1¼ lengths third of 13 to Ludo's Landing in handicap at this C&D 40 days ago. Same mark here. All wins over further but ran well when third behind two of these over C&D last time. |
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10th (3) (10/1 +0%) God Of Fire |
10/1(+0%) | (3) God Of Fire 10/1, C&D winner. 9/4, respectable second of 11 in handicap at Windsor (10f, good to firm) 81 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Daniel & Claire Kubler and this uncomplicated ride has joined another good yard. In fine form after returning in June; with another new yard and claims if in the same form. |
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11th (12) (28/1 -100%) Sonnerie Power |
28/1(-100%) | (12) Sonnerie Power 28/1, Course winner. 20/1, seventh of 9 in handicap at Southwell (14.1f) 18 days ago. Way he shaped that day suggests drop back in trip will be in his favour. Course record reads 3140322; could go well but a losing run of 15 is a concern. |
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12th (13) (28/1 -229%) Parramount |
28/1(-229%) | (13) Parramount 28/1, Cheekpieces on for first time, 27 lengths seventh of 8 to Rubaud in listed hurdle (50/1) at Kempton (16f, good to soft) 15 days ago. That was a stiff task and this is his sort of level back on the Flat. Placed in both starts on this surface, but 0-8 on the Flat; others are more likely. |
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13th (5) (12/1 0%) Ludo's Landing |
12/1(0%) | (5) Ludo's Landing 12/1, C&D winner. 3 wins from 17 runs this year. Latest win here in September. Creditable 2½ lengths fourth of 14 to Siempre Arturo in handicap (16/1) at this C&D 19 days ago. Likeable type but assessor may just have him. Won over C&D in September and fourth behind Siempre Arturo here last time; 6lb better off. |
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14th (10) (33/1 -83%) Ocean Heights |
33/1(-83%) | (10) Ocean Heights 33/1, Course winner. Respectable eighth of 13 in handicap (14/1) at this course (12f) 24 days ago. Claimer takes handy 7 lb off but this looks a tough ask on balance of his form. Two course wins over 1m4f last winter, but well held back here last month; needs more. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
GOD OF FIRE has shown progressive form this year and landed a hat-trick, including a course and distance success, during the summer. The four-year-old has switched trainers since going close at Windsor when last in action but may not have finished winning yet. Siempre Arturo is feared having beaten Ludo's Landing (fourth) when scoring here last month. That form looks rock-solid given the latter had the measure of both Sonnerie Power (second) and True Courage (third) when winning at the track in September.
THE GLEN ROVERS is taking on battle-hardened handicappers but he's a lightly-raced 5-y-o who is on the up and at the foot of the weights, so he may be the answer to this series final. Oslo caught the eye in September so needs considering back on the level, with Magico also of interest given he defends an unbeaten Kempton record.
This can go to SIEMPRE ARTURO (nap) who may yet prove better than his mark. He took his strike-rate to 6-11 when winning last month.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (9/4 +25%) Irish Hill |
9/4(+25%) | (4) Irish Hill 9/4, Won 3 on the bounce during 2022/23 campaign and recorded plenty of creditable efforts in defeat last season. Ran no sort of race in the Silver Trophy last season but well treated if bouncing back in a change of headgear (cheekpieces he wore once at the start of his career replace blinkers). Placed on final two starts last season but his reappearance run was very poor. |
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2nd (1) (12/1 +14%) Mark Of Gold |
12/1(+14%) | (1) Mark Of Gold 12/1, Won 21f Kempton handicap in February. Arrives fit from the Flat (respectable third at Goodwood last month) and capable of playing a part. Good winner at Kempton in February but ended last season with two heavy defeats. |
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3rd (6) (10/3 -48%) Yellow Star |
10/3(-48%) | (6) Yellow Star 10/3, Fairly useful form at best on the Flat and similar form in this sphere, successful in a 2m Lingfield novice (soft) in February. Creditable fourth of 11 in 2m Chepstow handicap on reappearance and the longer trip this afternoon promises to play to his strengths. Ended last season with very good 2m run and ran perfectly well on reappearance outing. |
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4th (7) (25/1 -25%) Godot |
25/1(-25%) | (7) Godot 25/1, C&D winner who was also successful over fences here in January. Below par when last seen in the spring and best watched back hurdling from 7 lb out of the handicap. Won over fences here last season but is 7lb wrong on this return to hurdling. |
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5th (2) (5/1 -43%) Onemorefortheroad |
5/1(-43%) | (2) Onemorefortheroad 5/1, A dual chaser winner who has run with credit back hurdling at Newton Abbot and Chepstow this autumn. First-time visor replaces regular cheekpieces. Likely to be in the shake-up again. Front-runner; comes here after two good efforts and ought to make another bold bid. |
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6th (3) (14/1 -115%) Enthused |
14/1(-115%) | (3) Enthused 14/1, Most likeable sort who gained a sixth hurdle success when seeing off 7 rivals over 2m here in September. Not in the same form twice since but it's possible a change of headgear (first-time blinkers for visor) will perk him back up. Also up in trip. Career-best form when winning here in September but safely held twice since. |
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|PU| (5) (10/3 +70%) Forever William |
10/3(+70%) | (5) Forever William 10/3, Three-time winner for Alan King. Stepped up on his low-key debut for this yard when third of 8 in Newton Abbot handicap (21.5f, good) in September. Well held in the Silver Trophy at Chepstow since but should make more of an impact back in a less-competitive scenario. Won this for Alan King last year and was placed for new stable two starts ago; shortlisted. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
ONEMOREFORTHEROAD has made the frame on each of his last two outings at this level and he now sports a first-time visor. Neil King's nine-year-old remains on a workable mark and should have no issues with the step back up in trip to get his head back in front. Irish Hill is a lot better than he showed when pulled up at Chepstow on his return and has to be considered. Yellow Star is another to note.
YELLOW STAR could prove suited by this increased test of stamina and is preferred to Irish Hill, who ran a stinker in the Silver Trophy but is well treated if a change of headgear and a return to calmer waters sparks a revival. Onemorefortheroad has run well back hurdling this autumn and should also feature.
Placed in a very competitive 2m handicap at the end of last season, YELLOW STAR (nap) gets the vote over a new trip here.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (8/13 +100%) Mirabad |
8/13(+100%) | (1) Mirabad 8/13, Useful on Flat and took well to hurdling in the spring, winning a 2m Wincanton maiden in April. Below par when 15 lengths second over 18.5f at Exeter 25 days ago but it was his first outing for 5 months and the return to 2m could suit him better. Sets the standard but he's hardly rock solid if judged on his latest Exeter defeat. |
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2nd (2) (6/4 +25%) Bold Recruit |
6/4(+25%) | (2) Bold Recruit 6/4, Five-race maiden pointer but showed fair form when runner-up in a pair of bumpers at the start of the summer. Will be a threat to Mirabad if he can translate that level of ability to hurdles. Runner-up in two bumpers and latest conqueror has gone on to better things. |
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3rd (3) (22/1 +33%) Castadrift |
22/1(+33%) | (3) Castadrift 22/1, Made the frame in sole bumper start but might be more one for handicaps in this sphere judged on his 2 runs in novices last month. Close up in a bumper but beaten 23l and 18l in a pair of 2m hurdles. |
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4th (6) (80/1 -300%) Arctic Angel |
80/1(-300%) | (6) Arctic Angel 80/1, Offered something to work on when third in Newton Abbot bumper in May but no show in 2 hurdle outings in quick succession last month. Has offered little in two runs over hurdles since making the frame in a weak bumper. |
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5th (5) (150/1 -200%) Nut Wood |
150/1(-200%) | (5) Nut Wood 150/1, No promise in a bumper and novice hurdle for Craig Lidster in the spring. Returns with a new stable. Showed little in a bumper and 2m4f novice hurdle; sold on for £1,800. |
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|PU| (4) (40/1 -264%) Millions Memories |
40/1(-264%) | (4) Millions Memories 40/1, Modest handicapper on Flat (stays 1½m) who was beaten a long way back from nearly a year off at Chester in September. Can only be watched now hurdling. 1m4f winner this summer in a low-grade handicap at Salisbury; hurdling debut at eight. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
A winner at Wincanton in April and runner-up on both starts since, including at Exeter last month, MIRABAD sets a decent standard on form and he can strike under a 7lb penalty for in-form connections. That is likely to be at the main expense of Bold Recruit, who has run with promise when second in a couple of bumpers but must step up on that. A capable sort on the level, Millions Memories cannot be ruled out on his jumping debut.
This will likely to develop into a straight fight between MIRABAD and Bold Recruit, with preference for the former who has already shown he can do it over hurdles and should be sharper for last month's comeback run at Exeter.
Mirabad has the form but comes with an element of risk so a chance is taken on dual bumper runner-up BOLD RECRUIT.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (15/2 -36%) Saxon Raider |
15/2(-36%) | (5) Saxon Raider 15/2, Thrice-raced maiden. Seventh of 11 in maiden at Catterick (7f, heavy, 14/1) 16 days ago. May do better now sent handicapping. Only seventh at Catterick last time; needs to bounce back on his first go in a nursery. |
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2nd (4) (5/1 +0%) Maids Head |
5/1(+0%) | (4) Maids Head 5/1, Showed ability in a trio of maidens/minor events and looks fairly treated on handicap debut. Respected. Fair last of five at Leicester 20 days ago; may do better now going into handicaps. |
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3rd (9) (9/1 +10%) Puglia |
9/1(+10%) | (9) Puglia 9/1, Winner at Windsor in August. 20/1, seventh of 9 in nursery at this C&D 10 days ago, not clear run. Warrants respect. Not discredited when C&D seventh latest; ought to be in the shake-up. |
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4th (3) (12/1 +52%) Knights Gold |
12/1(+52%) | (3) Knights Gold 12/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 16/1, last of 11 in nursery at Nottingham (8.3f, heavy) 19 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Hood on 1st time. Others more appealing. Too free when last at Nottingham (1m) 19 days ago; hooded for his first go on Tapeta. |
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5th (6) (6/5 +60%) Mamma Maria |
6/5(+60%) | (6) Mamma Maria 6/5, Disappointed in testing conditions on nursery debut at Haydock (6f) 17 days ago but had run to a fair level in all 3 starts previously and must enter calculations on tapeta debut. Fifth on heavy on nursery debut at Haydock; remains with potential on her Tapeta debut. |
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6th (8) (9/2 -64%) Profit Rockit |
9/2(-64%) | (8) Profit Rockit 9/2, Back from 4 months off when fourth of 7 in novice (4/1) at Bath (5f, heavy) 25 days ago. Should appreciate this longer trip and looks a likely player on handicap debut. Good fourth at Bath 25 days ago; can build on it now up in trip for his nursery debut. |
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7th (1) (50/1 -150%) The Feminine Urge |
50/1(-150%) | (1) The Feminine Urge 50/1, Winner at Catterick in August. Last of 9 in nursery at Chelmsford City (7f, 18/1) 32 days ago, badly hampered. Makes tapeta debut. Others more persuasive. Last at Chelmsford latest but badly hampered home turn; considered on Tapeta debut. |
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8th (2) (50/1 -25%) Miss Nifty |
50/1(-25%) | (2) Miss Nifty 50/1, Lightly-raced winner. Winner at Brighton in June. 66/1, last of 13 in nursery at Kempton (7f) 5 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Blinkered for 1st time. Work to do. Has failed to go on since her debut 6f maiden victory at Brighton; blinkers reached for. |
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9th (7) (80/1 -700%) Melissa Honey |
80/1(-700%) | (7) Melissa Honey 80/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 40/1, first run since leaving Alice Haynes when eighth of 11 in novice at Beverley (7.4f, good to firm) 47 days ago, slowly away. Improvement required on handicap debut. Only eighth at Beverley for her new yard 47 days ago; she needs to get back on track. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
PUGLIA didn't have the best of luck over C&D when denied a clear run after trying to come from off the pace, but she won her previous start at Windsor and clearly has the ability needed. Saxon Raider was second here in a maiden last month before struggling back on turf. He could go well off an opening mark of 67, although Maids Head looks the bigger danger off the same rating after a decent display at Leicester in better company.
MAMMA MARIA is on a handy mark and was likely undone by the testing conditions when a beaten favourite at Haydock last time. She gets the nod. Profit Rockit and Maids Head can also make their presence felt.
Preference is for MAMMA MARIA who is well worth another chance to build on earlier promise having fluffed her lines on heavy at Haydock
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (10/1 -18%) Queen's Company |
10/1(-18%) | (2) Queen's Company 10/1, Another creditable effort when third of 14 in handicap (15/2) at Chelmsford City (10f) 23 days ago. Looks competitive on form from the same mark. All three wins 1m-1m2f; in good form since the spring but needs improvement for new trip. |
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2nd (10) (7/1 +30%) Fullforward |
7/1(+30%) | (10) Fullforward 7/1, Latest win at Brighton in October. 8/1, respectable fourth of 9 in handicap at Brighton (9.9f, heavy) 18 days ago. Back up in trip, which will suit. In good form on turf; 0-12 on AW but no forlorn hope on C&D second in April. |
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3rd (6) (28/1 -56%) Bluenose Belle |
28/1(-56%) | (6) Bluenose Belle 28/1, Course winner. 14/1, tailed-off eleventh of 13 to Torbellino in handicap at this C&D 26 days ago, doing too much too soon. Now 5lb lower than 1m3f win here in January 2023 but off key since back from absence. |
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4th (9) (10/3 +39%) Pablo Prince |
10/3(+39%) | (9) Pablo Prince 10/3, Course winner. Latest win here in September. 8/1, creditable 2 lengths second of 13 to Torbellino in handicap at this C&D 26 days ago. Can remain competitive. Running well here, winning over 1m3f then run down late by Torbellino; solid chance. |
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5th (8) (4/1 +71%) Highland Slipper |
4/1(+71%) | (8) Highland Slipper 4/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 28/1, respectable 10 lengths sixth of 13 to Torbellino in handicap at this C&D 26 days ago. Unexposed but he needs to raise his game. 28-1 when never threatening on belated handicap debut over C&D; can finish closer today. |
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6th (1) (9/2 +68%) Upepo |
9/2(+68%) | (1) Upepo 9/2, 22/1, creditable fourth of 10 in handicap at Catterick (13.9f, heavy) 16 days ago. AW record slightly more compelling than turf. Three Lingfield AW wins at 1m4f-1m5f; excuses of late; of more interest back on Polytrack. |
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7th (4) (4/1 +0%) Torbellino |
4/1(+0%) | (4) Torbellino 4/1, Won 13-runner handicap at this C&D (14/1) 26 days ago by 2 lengths from Pablo Prince, helped by being held up in strongly-run race. 5 lb rise asks for more but she's in good order. First course win when finding plenty over C&D latest; 5lb higher mark not beyond her. |
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8th (3) (33/1 -65%) Pledge Of Honour |
33/1(-65%) | (3) Pledge Of Honour 33/1, 50/1, not seen to best effect when seventh of 12 in handicap at Southwell (11.1f) 11 days ago, unsuited by way race developed. Drops in class but comes with risks attached given his propensity to miss the break. Multiple turf wins; 0-14 on AW but hampered latest; yard in fine form. |
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9th (11) (20/1 -82%) Duchess |
20/1(-82%) | (11) Duchess 20/1, Creditable fourth of 12 in handicap (16/1) at Newcastle (10.2f) 34 days ago, slowly away. Stays this far so one to consider. Some good 1m4f AW form in defeat last autumn; winning return over 1m on turf; competitive. |
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10th (5) (18/1 -200%) Meisterzinger |
18/1(-200%) | (5) Meisterzinger 18/1, Won 10-runner handicap at this course (11f, 3/1), forging clear. Off 16 months so market may guide as to expectations. Progressive here in 2023 but off since wide-margin 1m3f win last June so has fitness query. |
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11th (7) (40/1 -150%) Starfighter |
40/1(-150%) | (7) Starfighter 40/1, Tenth of 12 in handicap at Haydock (11.6f, firm, 25/1). Off 150 days but he;s now below his last winning mark if fully tuned for this. Four AW wins on Tapeta; effective over C&D; weighted to go well but off since June. |
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12th (12) (80/1 -142%) Pottersmattyeeehaa |
80/1(-142%) | (12) Pottersmattyeeehaa 80/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 100/1, last of 8 in novice at Chelmsford City (10f) 25 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Beaten at least 17l in three AW runs at 1m-1m3f; faces most realistic assignment yet. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Meisterzinger has an outstanding record here with three wins and a third from just the four starts, but he has been off since June 2023 and it would be a big ask to expect him to win here. John Berry has his horses in good form and Duchess warrants plenty of respect from her current mark, but TORBELLINO gets the vote. She won easily enough by a couple of lengths over C&D last month and although 5lb higher in the handicap now, she could follow up.
This looks open with FULLFORWARD getting the tentative nod back on his correct mark returned to a more suitable trip. Stablemates Torbellino and Pablo Prince occupied the first 2 spots in a C&D handicap recently and head the opposition, ahead of Starfighter.
Torbellino is respected but it may be worth siding with UPEPO back on Polytrack for the first time since his cosy win in January.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (7/1 +0%) Non Stop |
7/1(+0%) | (3) Non Stop 7/1, The second of his 4 runs over fences last season was encouraging, finishing runner-up in a 2¼m Taunton handicap on the occasion in question. Interesting returned to hurdles (2-5 in this sphere) for the yard that saddled the winner of this race in 2023. Went close over fences last season but absent since slightly disappointing run in January. |
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2nd (4) (14/1 -75%) Inferno Sacree |
14/1(-75%) | (4) Inferno Sacree 14/1, Enjoyed a most productive spell when winning 5 times from 6 starts in the first half of 2023, with 3 of those wins gained here. Largely struggled since, though, and others make more appeal on this occasion. Out of form when last seen in spring and needs to have been refreshed by a break. |
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3rd (5) (3/1 -20%) Two To Tango |
3/1(-20%) | (5) Two To Tango 3/1, Lightly-raced maiden who showed fair form in pair of maiden hurdles last winter. Back on track when third in a 10-runner Wincanton handicap (15.2f, good) 18 days ago and he is high on the shortlist off the same mark here. 0-5 over hurdles but kept on pretty well for third at Wincanton last month, after a break. |
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4th (1) (7/4 +42%) Shared |
7/4(+42%) | (1) Shared 7/4, Improved when taking a 2m Chepstow handicap on reappearance last season, and ended that campaign with a creditable effort at Warwick. His tendency to race lazily was in evidence on return this time round at Kelso last month, though, and he's likely to find one or two too good. Just a respectable third at Kelso (2m5f) last month; drops back in trip here; more needed. |
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5th (6) (3/1 +14%) Calshot Spit |
3/1(+14%) | (6) Calshot Spit 3/1, Found only a well-handicapped rival too strong in 2m handicap at Stratford in August and, having scored on the Flat next time, he narrowly prevailed back in this sphere at Fontwell towards the end of September. Ground was probably against him returned to the level since and he remains of interest. Won on the Flat and over hurdles in September; still unexposed in this sphere. |
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6th (2) (20/1 -67%) Aggagio |
20/1(-67%) | (2) Aggagio 20/1, Likeable dual-purpose performer who enhanced his good strike rate with a pair of hurdle victories during early 2023 and held form well on Flat thereafter. However, he ran poorly on the level back from a break in September and again failed to fire back in this sphere recently. Back from break with two disappointing runs (Flat/hurdle); needs to get back in the groove. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
A promising third at Wincanton when keeping on well towards the finish, TWO TO TANGO is likely to build upon that effort and Emma Lavelle's charge is fancied to break his duck. Calshot Spit has strong claims if putting a disappointing performance on the Flat at Bath behind him, while Shared has dropped to mark 3lb lower than his last win and could be suited by stepping back in trip.
It's probably best to overlook CALSHOT SPIT's heavy defeat on the Flat last month, as he simply didn't appear to handle the testing conditions. He was at the top of his game prior to that and, with the ground more suitable back hurdling here, the 4-y-o is taken to deliver. Two To Tango took a step back in the right direction at Wincanton recently and he is second choice ahead of Non Stop and Shared.
One of two to pull well clear of the others when opening his hurdling account at Fontwell two starts ago, CALSHOT SPIT gets the nod.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (7/4 +78%) Tour Ovalie |
7/4(+78%) | (5) Tour Ovalie 7/4, Fair in bumpers and of similar merit over hurdles, off the mark in mares' handicap at Stratford (16.3f) in May. Respectable efforts in handicaps since, left with too much to do at Wincanton last week. After a break she stayed on eyecatchingly for third at Wincanton last week. |
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2nd (1) (17/2 -209%) Love Tree |
17/2(-209%) | (1) Love Tree 17/2, Runner-up twice in bumpers prior to scoring readily on her Ludlow hurdles debut just before Christmas. Too free next 2 starts but a hood had the desired effect when landing 11-runner novice at Chepstow in March. Returns for in-form yard. Dual winner on soft but could improve for drier ground; 5lb claim handy on h'cap debut. |
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3rd (2) (4/1 -60%) Princess T |
4/1(-60%) | (2) Princess T 4/1, Kept busy in Jersey and cashed in on a lenient mark at Wincanton 18 days ago. 4 lb rise won't prevent a bold follow-up bid. Capable mare granted good ground and raised just 4lb for recent Wincanton success. |
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4th (6) (2/1 +67%) Bob O Rhino |
2/1(+67%) | (6) Bob O Rhino 2/1, Winning Irish pointer who made her second handicap start over hurdles a winning one in 11-runner contest at Stratford (18.7f, good) in July, typically ridden positively. Up 5 lb and gave another good account at Worcester 3 weeks ago. Enters calculations. Competitive on slow and fast ground the last twice; should give her running once more. |
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5th (4) (10/1 -11%) Roccos Inspiration |
10/1(-11%) | (4) Roccos Inspiration 10/1, Proved expensive to follow over hurdles in Ireland but made a winning start for Olly Murphy in 8-runner novice hurdle at Uttoxeter in January. Not disgraced when second under a penalty at Sedgefield next time before a brace of tame efforts in the spring. Had a wind op ahead of this return. Reduced mark gives her a chance if returning in good order; had a wind op. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
A consistent mare in Jersey over the summer, PRINCESS T returned to home soil when getting the job done at Wincanton last month and a 4lb rise for that success could prove lenient. Neil Mulholland's nine-year-old gets the vote ahead of comfortable Chepstow winner Love Tree, as well as Bob O Rhino, who wasn't beaten too far in her attempt to supplement a Stratford triumph at Worcester.
IRISH LULLABY still retains plenty of scope to rate higher in this sphere and with her return to Carlisle under her belt, she's fancied to regain the winning thread fitted with a tongue tie. Bob O Rhino and Princess T are solid opponents.
Although both her wins have come on soft ground, LOVE TREE could appreciate these drier conditions on handicap debut.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (15/2 -50%) Evocative Spark |
15/2(-50%) | (9) Evocative Spark 15/2, 11/2, respectable fourth of 11 in handicap at this course (7.2f) 21 days ago, nearest finish. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Back on track with fourth here three weeks ago; can go well again from an easing mark. |
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2nd (10) (7/4 +56%) Zu Run |
7/4(+56%) | (10) Zu Run 7/4, Tumbled down the weights and ended long losing run in 10-runner handicap at this course (7.2f, 5/1) 16 days ago, well on top finish. Still fairly treated on old form and looks a likely contender. Comfortable winner of 7f handicap here 16 days ago; back up 4lb but he's a likely player. |
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3rd (7) (10/1 +60%) Jojo Rabbit |
10/1(+60%) | (7) Jojo Rabbit 10/1, 4-time course winner. Below form sixth of 10 in handicap (18/1) at Pontefract (5f, heavy) 14 days ago. Back up in trip. Others preferred. Four-time course winner but a below-par sixth at Pontefract two weeks ago; more needed. |
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4th (3) (6/1 +33%) Muscika |
6/1(+33%) | (3) Muscika 6/1, 3-time C&D winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2023. Sixth of 9 in handicap (15/2) at Ayr (6f, good) 34 days ago. Expected to be bang there. Only sixth at Ayr 34 days ago; this three-time C&D winner is the sort to bounce back. |
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5th (11) (14/1 -40%) Monsieur Patat |
14/1(-40%) | (11) Monsieur Patat 14/1, C&D winner. 3 wins from 8 runs this year. Latest win here in August. 4/1, respectable 3½ lengths sixth of 10 to Zu Run in handicap at this course (7.2f) 16 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. C&D winner; solid sixth in 7f handicap here 16 days ago; can make his presence felt. |
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6th (4) (28/1 -331%) Diamond Dreamer |
28/1(-331%) | (4) Diamond Dreamer 28/1, C&D winner who landed back-to-back handicaps (both 5f) at Lingfield in August. More on plate here but must enter calculations. On a hat-trick after 5f wins at Lingfield; this C&D winner ought to be in the shake-up. |
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7th (6) (11/1 +31%) Five Winds |
11/1(+31%) | (6) Five Winds 11/1, Winner at Yarmouth in June. Sixth of 9 in handicap at Goodwood (6f, heavy, 9/2) 40 days ago. Others more persuasive. Won at Yarmouth in June but her more recent form is less encouraging; others appeal more. |
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8th (2) (17/2 +58%) Lequinto |
17/2(+58%) | (2) Lequinto 17/2, Quirky sort. Course winner. 50/1, seventh of 11 in handicap at Chelmsford City (6f) 18 days ago. Has fallen to a workable mark. Yet to fire this term, only seventh of 11 at Chelmsford (6f) 18 days ago. |
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9th (5) (7/1 +56%) Tiger Tulip |
7/1(+56%) | (5) Tiger Tulip 7/1, C&D winner. Below form seventh of 12 in handicap at Kempton (6f, 9/1) 26 days ago. Claims on best form. In good nick until seventh at Kempton 26 days ago; the sort to bounce back quickly. |
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10th (8) (20/1 -43%) Jax Edge |
20/1(-43%) | (8) Jax Edge 20/1, Matched season's best form when creditable second of 7 in handicap (20/1) at this C&D 38 days ago. This looks more competitive, though. Scored at Ffos Las (6f) in June and she's continued in good form; ought to be thereabouts. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
BLUEBELLS BOY has been in the form of his life over the last two months and a 6lb rise for his most recent comfortable success at Chelmsford may not be enough to prevent him from landing the hat-trick. Similar comments apply to C&D winner Diamond Dreamer, who arrives on the back of a pair of victories at Lingfield, while Zu Run may be suited by dropping back in trip, having shown plenty of pace when scoring over 7f here.
ZU RUN capitalised on a drop in the weights here last month and hasn't been harshly treated by the handicapper for that victory. He may be able to follow up. Bluebells Boy arrives at the top of his game and is much respected, whilst Diamond Dreamer should also go well.
The vote goes to ZU RUN who was back to form when winning over 7f here last time and the return to 6f shouldn't be a problem.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (10/3 +5%) Bigbertiebassett |
10/3(+5%) | (6) Bigbertiebassett 10/3, Blinkered for 1st time, good second of 14 in handicap (2/1) at this course (8f) 12 days ago. Visor on 1st time. Going the right way and makes plenty of appeal. Ran a cracker when 2nd over 1m here 12 days ago (well backed); 4lb higher and drawn wide. |
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2nd (7) (28/1 -75%) Vince Lombardi |
28/1(-75%) | (7) Vince Lombardi 28/1, 16/1, respectable fifth of 12 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f) 11 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Daniel & Claire Kubler. Tongue strap on 1st time. Starts out for new yard off a dangerous mark; tongue-tie now added; drawn widest. |
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3rd (1) (7/2 +50%) Bluelight Bay |
7/2(+50%) | (1) Bluelight Bay 7/2, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. 11/1, bit below form seventh of 12 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 14 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Needs the headgear to perk him up. Drops into his first Class 5 handicap with new headgear tried; capable of a big run. |
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4th (9) (8/1 -60%) Al Ameen |
8/1(-60%) | (9) Al Ameen 8/1, Unreliable individual. Course winner. Eleven runs since last win in 2023. 11/4, fourth of 7 in handicap at this course (6f) 21 days ago, very slowly away. Visor back on. Has the ability to win at this level but his tendency to blow the start makes him risky. |
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5th (11) (3/1 +63%) Good Karma |
3/1(+63%) | (11) Good Karma 3/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. 4/1, sixth of 14 in handicap at this course (8f) 21 days ago. Looks well out of sorts at present but yard is going well. Yet to shine for current yard but tumbled down the weights; can come good soon. |
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6th (3) (9/2 +44%) Bell Shot |
9/2(+44%) | (3) Bell Shot 9/2, Fifth of 8 in handicap at Chelmsford City (7f, 11/2) 18 days ago. Generally reliable and likely to be back on his game, so worthy of respect from a good draw. Two wins for new yard; good 4th over C&D last month but less good at Chelmsford latest. |
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7th (4) (50/1 -400%) Spanish Star |
50/1(-400%) | (4) Spanish Star 50/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2023. Last of 6 in handicap at Goodwood (6f, heavy, 5/1) 22 days ago. Has a bit to prove. His form has tailed off on turf this summer; lower mark on AW but carries risk. |
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8th (8) (150/1 -275%) Night Arc |
150/1(-275%) | (8) Night Arc 150/1, First run since leaving Richard Hannon when last of 12 in handicap at this course (6f, 50/1) 26 days ago. Others more persuasive. 50-1 and well beaten on his stable debut here (6f) last month; best watched. |
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9th (5) (11/1 -83%) Arctician |
11/1(-83%) | (5) Arctician 11/1, 3-time C&D winner. 6/1, won 14-runner handicap at this C&D 24 days ago, making all. Strong claims if he can get across from stall 8. Conditons to suit and found plenty when winning over C&D last month; should go well again. |
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10th (2) (16/1 -60%) Dion Baker |
16/1(-60%) | (2) Dion Baker 16/1, 3 wins from 22 runs this year. Latest win at Yarmouth in August. 8/1, good second of 8 in claimer at this course (6f) 12 days ago. Could get involved. Three 7f turf wins this year; second in 6f claimer here latest; this demands more. |
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11th (10) (80/1 -400%) The Smiling Wolf |
80/1(-400%) | (10) The Smiling Wolf 80/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, first run since leaving Jack Channon when tenth of 11 in handicap (33/1) at Brighton (8f, heavy) 18 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Struggled in 2024, including on stable debut latest; dangerous mark but risky for now. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Arctician made all to win here in October over C&D and although upped 3lb for that, he scored in June off a higher mark suggesting he has a chance. Dion Baker continues to run well with a neck second here last month but is yet to win on the all-weather despite 19 attempts, and AL AMEEN is preferred. He has the benefit of the one stall and was only beaten a length off 1lb higher here in September over this trip, which suits him better that the six furlongs he took on last time out.
BELL SHOT has a poor run to bounce back from but he's consistent in the main and the make up of this race looks ideal for him, so he's preferred to the in-form Bigbertiebassett. Arctician is also a player.
Plenty of possibles but the drop into a Class 5 handicap and a change of headgear could see BLUELIGHT BAY exploit his lowly mark.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Ted's Friend |
(4) (7/1 -8%)7/1(-8%) | (4) Ted's Friend 7/1, C&D winner. 13/2, creditable 2½ lengths second of 9 to Batwomen in handicap hurdle at Fontwell (19.1f, good to soft) 31 days ago. Has slipped in the weights and looks to be building up to something. Back in good form lately, more recently when second to Batwomen at Fontwell. |
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1st (6) (20/1 0%) Ede'iffs Rock |
20/1(0%) | (6) Ede'iffs Rock 20/1, Consistent sort who opened her account after a frustrating run of placed efforts in 13-runner handicap at Leicester (20.5f, heavy) in January. Arrives on the back of a creditable effort at Hereford, so could get involved. Posted sound effort when fourth at Hereford last month but others here have more potential. |
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2nd (8) (5/2 +75%) Macari |
5/2(+75%) | (8) Macari 5/2, Much improved when winning here in April and returned to form at Stratford in July. Arrives on the back of success on the Flat, so well worthy of consideration. Not obviously well handicapped over hurdles but looked in excellent nick on Flat last week. |
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3rd (7) (11/1 -22%) Highway One O Five |
11/1(-22%) | (7) Highway One O Five 11/1, In good order towards the end of last season and should strip fitter for his return at Fontwell. Looks a player with cheekpieces tried for the first time. Ended last season with some good runs but his reappearance was underwhelming; headgear on. |
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4th (9) (22/1 +21%) Birdman Bob |
22/1(+21%) | (9) Birdman Bob 22/1, Course winner who ended last season in form and is likely to strip fitter for his return here, so not ruled out back up in trip. Ended last season in poor form and was soundly beaten on recent reappearance. |
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5th (3) (20/1 -100%) Poncho |
20/1(-100%) | (3) Poncho 20/1, Course novice winner in January 2023 but has yet to make an impact in handicaps. Ran well on the Flat last time but jumping is a concern in this sphere. Fairly consistent on the Flat this year and now reverts to hurdling on a good mark. |
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6th (2) (7/4 -17%) Recoded |
7/4(-17%) | (2) Recoded 7/4, Fairly useful form when placed in a pair of bumpers. Yet to match that over hurdles but this is just his second outing for a shrewd stable and his opening mark is potentially lenient. Close second in Huntingdon maiden on stable debut; should improve in handicaps. |
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|PU| (5) (4/1 +64%) Bashful Boy |
4/1(+64%) | (5) Bashful Boy 4/1, Fair handicap hurdler who ran well in the Cesarewitch last time and returns to this sphere on an appealing mark. Respected. Regresssive over hurdles since last autumn but recently ran well in Cesarewitch on Flat. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Now that the penny has dropped for BATWOMEN after a comfortable defeat of Ted's Friend at Fontwell, the Neil Mulholland-trained mare is likely to have plenty more improvement forthcoming and she can follow up off 5lb higher. Second on his first start for the Harry Derham yard at Huntingdon last month, Recoded must enter calculations, along with Highway One O Five, who ran well over C&D in April but hasn't quite performed to that level since.
BATWOMEN left previous efforts behind when seeing off Ted's Friend to make a successful handicap debut at Fontwelll last time and, with more to come, she's worth a chance to go in again. Recoded is an obvious danger and Highway One O Five is of interest in first-time headgear.
After winning with a bit left in the tank at Fontwell last month, BATWOMEN could still be well handicapped after a 5lb rise.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (7/1 +13%) Famoso |
7/1(+13%) | (3) Famoso 7/1, Largely consistent type who bagged a C&D handicap chase off an 8 lb lower mark in January. No surprise that he struggled back hurdling (first run in that sphere since 2022) when returning from a break at Ludlow and better can be expected here (form figures over fences at this course read 312322). Capable chaser; return was over hurdles so that's forgiven; stable sponsors the race. |
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2nd (2) (9/2 -29%) River Gold |
9/2(-29%) | (2) River Gold 9/2, French recruit who struggled in 4 runs for Nicky Henderson. Down the field on debut for new yard in a Plumpton handicap hurdle but left that well behind when making a winning chasing bow at Fakenham (16.3f, good) last week. More will be needed here under a penalty but she's unexposed in this sphere. Looks well in if performing to the same level as she did at Fakenham last week. |
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3rd (7) (16/5 +77%) Ben Buie |
16/5(+77%) | (7) Ben Buie 16/5, Three of his 7 chase wins have come here (including 2022 renewal of this race) and mark on the slide following a series of below par efforts since. Positives to glean from latest run over 21f here (shaped as though this drop back in trip would be a good thing) but he's too hit and miss for comfort. Signs of returning to form over 2m5f here latest and he's a 2m winner in the past. |
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4th (6) (10/1 -25%) Extraordinary Man |
10/1(-25%) | (6) Extraordinary Man 10/1, Returned from a break when opening chase account off a 2 lb lower mark in this race 12 months ago. Too free when running poorly (pulled up) at Plumpton (17f, soft) on latest start in January but forecast quicker ground here will help and each-way claims, provided he settles this time. Sole win came in this last year when 2lb lower; had further wind op since last seen. |
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5th (1) (10/1 +29%) Stumps Or Slips |
10/1(+29%) | (1) Stumps Or Slips 10/1, Successful twice in 2023 and best effort of this year so far when going close at Huntingdon (16.5f, good) during the spring. Well below par over 2½m the last twice and while dropping back in trip and the first-time blinkers are sources of hope, it's his jumping that is the primary concern. Quiet last run but that was after three months off and he can deal with this mark. |
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6th (5) (14/1 -40%) Mordred |
14/1(-40%) | (5) Mordred 14/1, Has failed to add to 2022 chase debut success at Sedgefield in 5 subsequent starts over fences but he performed above market expectations when placed in handicaps at Uttoxeter and Newton Abbot (both at around 2m on good/good to firm) during the summer. Latest run can be overlooked and he's a player. Two good runs back from an absence; hit one early last time and never figured. |
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7th (12) (80/1 -142%) Lonimoss Bareliere |
80/1(-142%) | (12) Lonimoss Bareliere 80/1, Long-standing maiden who excelled himself from out of the weights when second at Stratford in July. However, he was in nothing like the same form at Warwick next time and it's probably best to look elsewhere. Pulled up last time at Warwick, extending his losing sequence to 37. |
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8th (8) (18/1 -13%) Iwa |
18/1(-13%) | (8) Iwa 18/1, Fair hurdler/chaser in France but failed to match that form in a handful of appearances for Rose Dobbin. Effort on return/debut for this yard over hurdles at Kelso was low-key, too, and he's readily passed over. No sign of turning things around on debut for this yard over hurdles a month ago. |
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9th (9) (33/1 -65%) Pittsburg |
33/1(-65%) | (9) Pittsburg 33/1, Took advantage of his fall in the weights when recording a third win over fences at Uttoxeter (2m, soft) in July. Has struggled since, though, both in this sphere and on the Flat, and he's probably worth taking on. Triple chase winner at around 2m; good mark and recent Flat run was respectable. |
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10th (11) (11/1 -10%) The Big Man |
11/1(-10%) | (11) The Big Man 11/1, Last of 5 sole start in bumpers and down the field in varied events over hurdles. However, he offered something to work on when fourth of 8 on return/chase debut at Ffos Las (2m, soft) and this 5-y-o should be all the better for that experience. Well backed for his recent chase debut and shaped as though the race would bring him on. |
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11th (10) (25/1 +0%) Goaheadwiththeplan |
25/1(+0%) | (10) Goaheadwiththeplan 25/1, Winner of a Uttoxeter handicap chase back in July 2022. Lightly-raced since and while he proved that ability remains when making the frame in back-to-back runs at Worcester in August/September, his latest performance at Exeter left much to be desired. Each-way claims if shrugging aside latest disappointment when he stopped quickly. |
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|PU| (4) (10/3 +17%) Good Lord |
10/3(+17%) | (4) Good Lord 10/3, Flat winner in Germany and, following a wind op and fitted with a tongue strap, he duly left his initial hurdles form behind switched to handicaps last winter, dotting up at Plumpton before going close at Market Rasen soon after. Should step up on last month's return/chase debut and merits respect. Hurdle winner; 4-1 for chase debut after a break and ran well for a long way. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
RIVER GOLD showed major improvement on her second start for the James Owen stable and looks capable of following up that relatively comfortable success on her fencing bow at Fakenham. Alex Chadwick's 5lb claim is a big plus and his mount can see off Extraordinary Man and Good Lord, who ended last season well over hurdles and shaped with some promise on his chasing debut at Sedgefield. Others to note include Ben Buie, Famoso and The Big Man.
The vote goes to GOOD LORD, who was much-improved switched to handicaps over hurdles in the second half of last season and there were positives to take from his chase debut at Sedgefield where he understandably looked short of match-fitness following an eight-month absence. A line can be drawn through Mordred's latest effort and he is feared on the strength of his creditable placed efforts prior to that, while Famoso and River Gold are others to consider.
River Gold is feared but perhaps THE BIG MAN can step up on his recent chase debut for which he was quite a market mover.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (10) (6/1 +20%) The Resdev Way |
6/1(+20%) | (10) The Resdev Way 6/1, Course winner. Twenty six runs since last win in 2022. Creditable third of 10 in handicap at Southwell (14.1f, 9/1) 25 days ago. 1 lb out of the weights. Each-way claims. Solid third at Southwell latest; this course winner can't be discounted. |
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2nd (6) (9/4 +44%) Albert Lasker |
9/4(+44%) | (6) Albert Lasker 9/4, Still looking for first success but arrives on back of creditable third of 8 in handicap at Yarmouth (11.5f, soft, 11/2) 13 days ago and has been dropped 1 lb since. Likely contender. Solid third at Yarmouth latest; ought to be in the shake-up now stepping up in trip. |
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3rd (1) (4/1 +33%) Black Smoke |
4/1(+33%) | (1) Black Smoke 4/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in September. Fifth of 8 in handicap (5/1) at this C&D 28 days ago. Enters calculations. Dual C&D scorer in 2024; below-par fifth here four weeks ago; the sort to bounce back. |
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4th (4) (7/1 +50%) Virtual Hug |
7/1(+50%) | (4) Virtual Hug 7/1, C&D winner. 7 lengths seventh of 10 to Black Smoke in handicap (10/1) at this course (14f) 58 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Took this 12 months ago but comes here below form; more is required after a break. |
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5th (9) (12/1 -60%) Uther Pendragon |
12/1(-60%) | (9) Uther Pendragon 12/1, Ran up to recent best when creditable second of 11 in handicap at Bath (17.1f, heavy, 14/1) 14 days ago. Likely to be in the mix again. 1 lb out of the weights. Is on a long losing run but a good second at Bath two weeks ago; one for the shortlist. |
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6th (3) (20/1 +0%) Fanaigi Linn |
20/1(+0%) | (3) Fanaigi Linn 20/1, Remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs. 66/1, respectable fourth of 10 in handicap at Southwell (14.1f) 25 days ago. Others have achieved more. 0-16 but arrives in decent nick; possibilities on the back of a subsequent wind op. |
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7th (2) (9/2 -80%) Dillydingdillydong |
9/2(-80%) | (2) Dillydingdillydong 9/2, Dual winner here in summer and ran as least as well when good second of 10 in handicap at this course (12.2f) 80 days ago, running on. Worth a try at this longer trip and is one for shortlist. Very good second here in August; big player with this longer trip a likely plus too. |
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8th (5) (50/1 -178%) Sexy Rexy |
50/1(-178%) | (5) Sexy Rexy 50/1, Course winner. 14/1, last of 10 in handicap at this course (12.2f) 10 days ago, badly hampered. Others more persuasive. Course winner but she came in last of ten in 1m4f handicap here ten days ago. |
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9th (7) (150/1 -355%) Bondi Man |
150/1(-355%) | (7) Bondi Man 150/1, Last of 9 in handicap at Southwell (12.1f, 25/1). Off 18 months. Likely best watched on return. Remains winless; last seen 18 months ago so it's easy to look elsewhere. |
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10th (8) (16/1 -78%) Peripeteia |
16/1(-78%) | (8) Peripeteia 16/1, C&D winner. Last of 6 in handicap (3/1) at this C&D 14 days ago. Something to find on form. C&D winner but she came in last of six here two weeks ago; others appeal more. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
A winner twice in July here and runner-up on his most recent outing in August, DILLYDINGDILLYDONG gives every impression that he will suited by going up in distance and he gets that opportunity now. A respectable third over this trip at Southwell last time out, The Resdev Way looks to be a key player, along with the consistent Albert Lasker and Peripeteia.
Preference is for ALBERT LASKER, who is on a workable mark and may have kicked on too early when third at Yarmouth last time. Dillydingdillydong and Uther Pendragon may provide the chief threat.
James Owen's DILLYDINGDILLYDONG (nap) continues to thrive and can bag a third success here with the step up in trip a likely positive.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (3/1 +14%) Thankuappreciate |
3/1(+14%) | (2) Thankuappreciate 3/1, One win from 25 Flat runs, which was gained back in 2022. Fifth of 8 in handicap at Windsor (5.1f, heavy, 11/4) 21 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Good third sole previous start on the AW and he's a key contender. Just one win to go with nine defeats at 9-2 or shorter; not the most consistent this year. |
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2nd (1) (11/8 +54%) Juicy |
11/8(+54%) | (1) Juicy 11/8, C&D winner. Twelfth of 13 in handicap (4/1) at Newcastle (6f) 55 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time and she wouldn't be without a chance off this reduced mark if able to get back on track. Didn't see out 6f last time; is one to consider in a first-time tongue-tie down 2lb. |
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3rd (3) (5/2 +38%) Water Of Leith |
5/2(+38%) | (3) Water Of Leith 5/2, C&D winner. Latest win at Ayr in September. Respectable fifth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (5f, 5/1) 7 days ago, not much room. Unlikely he will be far away. Enjoyed a consistent year but high enough in the weights as a result; wants a good pace. |
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4th (5) (12/1 -71%) El Hibri |
12/1(-71%) | (5) El Hibri 12/1, Course winner. 3 wins from 13 runs this year, the latest at Chelmsford in May. 33/1, last of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) on latest start in July. Visor back on and will be a danger to all if on-song. Four wins, including two here, came over 6f; little room for manoeuvre off this mark. |
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5th (4) (18/1 +55%) Stone Of Destiny |
18/1(+55%) | (4) Stone Of Destiny 18/1, Untrustworthy individual. C&D winner. Ninth of 11 in handicap (40/1) at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 21 days ago. Others preferred. Strong chance he misses the break and/or pulls hard and he'll need things to fall just so. |
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6th (7) (40/1 -150%) Mr Trick |
40/1(-150%) | (7) Mr Trick 40/1, 33/1, fifth of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 16 days ago, merely closing up late. Hopes pinned on the first-time visor working the oracle. No problem with 1m2f last winter and it's hard to view 5f as being optimal. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Juicy had shown distinct promise until a disappointing run at Newcastle in September but could well bounce back now he races with a tongue-tie added. Water Of Leith has been consistent of late and should also go well with Amy Waugh back in the saddle. However, preference is for THANKUAPPRECIATE, who is unexposed on the all-weather and, from a handy current rating, looks an ideal type for a race of this nature.
THANKUAPPRECIATE is interesting returned to the all-weather having performed with plenty of credit when third on his sole previous start away from turf at Newcastle back in June 2023. He gets the nod ahead of El Hibri, who will be a big threat if he puts his best foot forward. Howzak is third choice, while cases can also be made for Juicy and Water of Leith in this trappy contest.
Dropped 2lb having not seen out 6f latest, the lightly raced JUICY can make it 2-2 over C&D..
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (7/4 +50%) Kitty Furnival |
7/4(+50%) | (6) Kitty Furnival 7/4, 13/8, career best when winning 14-runner maiden at Kempton (11f) 33 days ago, soon clear. Makes handicap and tapeta debut. Respected as an unexposed 3-y-o from a good stable. Unexposed 3yo who won at Kempton latest and is open to more progress on handicap debut. |
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2nd (3) (10/1 -100%) Way Of Life |
10/1(-100%) | (3) Way Of Life 10/1, C&D winner. Twenty seven runs since last win in 2022. Good second of 7 in over C&D (9/2) 28 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Can make presence felt. His last win was in May 2022 but he went close over C&D last time; cheekpieces reapplied. |
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3rd (5) (10/3 +17%) Speriamo |
10/3(+17%) | (5) Speriamo 10/3, In good form this autumn, posting a career best when winning an 11-runner C&D handicap 11 days. This thriving filly should go well again. Two wins this autumn and she hit a personal best over C&D last time; key player. |
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4th (1) (11/2 -38%) Lordsbridge Blu |
11/2(-38%) | (1) Lordsbridge Blu 11/2, Won a 9.5f course novice in September. Improved again when close second of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (1¼m) 20 days ago. Steps up to 1½m now. Good shout if the trend for race-by-race progression continues. Unexposed 4yo who went close on handicap debut at Newcastle; key player now upped to 1m4f. |
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5th (2) (18/1 -29%) Cardano |
18/1(-29%) | (2) Cardano 18/1, Latest win at Chelmsford in July. Creditable third of 7 in C&D handicap 28 days ago. Mercurial type but he won on Polytrack in August and was third over C&D latest; in the mix. |
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6th (7) (15/2 +25%) Optician |
15/2(+25%) | (7) Optician 15/2, Completed a C&D 4-timer on joining this yard last winter. Recent efforts respectable and her record here makes her a dangerous one to discount. Four-time C&D winner but he's not been at his best in last two runs; others preferred. |
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7th (4) (28/1 -100%) Lexington Knight |
28/1(-100%) | (4) Lexington Knight 28/1, Three-time C&D winner. Latest win at Brighton in August. Last of 7 in handicap at Pontefract (1½m, good to firm, 9/2) 46 days ago. Bounce back needed. Triple C&D winner but he's been well held in last three runs and looks weighted near best. |
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8th (8) (10/1 -67%) Lia Rose |
10/1(-67%) | (8) Lia Rose 10/1, 3/1, career best when winning 11-runner handicap at this course (9.5f) 11 days ago. Up in trip. Yet another who has to enter the reckoning. Won over 9.4f here latest and she could have more to offer at this new trip; shortlisted. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Now that the penny has dropped for KITTY FURNIVAL after a clear-cut success in maiden company at Kempton, the daughter of Zarak is likely to have more to come and a mark of 83 could prove lenient on her handicap debut. Successful over C&D last time out, Speriamo may give her the most to think about, although Lordsbridge Blu was narrowly denied a double when beaten a neck over shorter at Newcastle and warrants attention too.
An interesting handicap. LORDSBRIDGE BLU has got a bit better with each start and is taken to pull out a bit more again now stepping up to 1½m. The thriving Speriamo and low-mileage 3-y-o Kitty Furnival head the dangers in a contest where a decent case can be made for the majority.
This looks highly competitive but LIA ROSE gets the vote ahead of Kitty Furnival, Speriamo and Lordsbridge Blu.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Ribbit |
(12) (200/1 +0%)200/1(+0%) | (12) Ribbit 200/1, Once-raced filly. Last of 12 in maiden (200/1) at this C&D on debut 11 days ago, slowly away. Hard to fancy. 200-1, finished a remote last behind West Wickham over C&D 11 days ago. |
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1st (5) (9/4 -13%) Port Light |
9/4(-13%) | (5) Port Light 9/4, Foaled April 19. 24,000 gns yearling, €41,000 2-y-o, City Light colt. Dam ran twice in France. The presence of a hood is a slight concern ahead of this debut but he's otherwise appealing on paper. 41,000euros 2yo breeze-up who's the second foal of a French maiden; wears a hood on debut. |
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2nd (7) (11/10 -51%) Cloth Of Gold |
11/10(-51%) | (7) Cloth Of Gold 11/10, Once-raced colt. Second of 15 in novice at Redcar (8f, soft, 16/1) on debut 17 days ago, clear of rest. Will likely prove hard to beat if able to at least match that form now switched to the AW. Clear second in a soft-ground Redcar novice dominated by newcomers; solid claims. |
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3rd (3) (11/1 +45%) Molveno |
11/1(+45%) | (3) Molveno 11/1, Once-raced colt. 66/1 and tongue strap on, tenth of 12 in novice at Kempton (8f) on debut 24 days ago. Another who may come into his own in handicaps further down the line. Tough task on his Kempton debut and didn't fare too badly at a big price; should improve. |
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4th (8) (250/1 -25%) Arie Gordye |
250/1(-25%) | (8) Arie Gordye 250/1, Once-raced filly. Ninth of 11 in maiden (250/1) at Newcastle (8f) on debut 32 days ago. Readily passed over. Finished well beaten at 250-1 on her Newcastle debut a month ago. |
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5th (1) (18/1 +73%) Arcturus Flame |
18/1(+73%) | (1) Arcturus Flame 18/1, Twice-raced colt. Tongue strap on for 1st time, tenth of 13 in novice at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm, 66/1) 48 days ago. Significantly up in trip and sizeable step forward needed. Low-grade handicaps are probably next on the agenda. |
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6th (11) (250/1 -279%) Candle Of Time |
250/1(-279%) | (11) Candle Of Time 250/1, Once-raced filly. 80/1, last of 8 in maiden at Newcastle (7.1f) on debut 41 days ago. Easy enough to look elsewhere. 80-1 for her 7f debut here six weeks ago, when pulling hard over 7f and finishing last. |
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7th (10) (25/1 -150%) Magic Runner |
25/1(-150%) | (10) Magic Runner 25/1, Once-raced filly. Fifth of 9 in maiden at Nottingham (8.3f, heavy, 13/2) on debut 19 days ago, slowly away. In good hands and will likely do better in time. Didn't see it out on her heavy-ground 1m debut recently but is entitled to improve. |
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8th (4) (5/1 +64%) Orchestral Wave |
5/1(+64%) | (4) Orchestral Wave 5/1, Foaled April 29. 25,000 gns yearling, Kameko colt. Half-brother to several winners, including useful 7f-1¾m winner Captain Chorus and useful winner up to 9f Seaside Song. Dam 1½m winner. One to note in the betting. 25,000gns yearling who's a half-brother to six winners; the market will guide. |
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9th (9) (40/1 -21%) Beachborough Girl |
40/1(-21%) | (9) Beachborough Girl 40/1, Once-raced filly. Tongue strap on, fifth of 9 in novice at Yarmouth (8f, good to soft, 80/1) on debut 28 days ago. Wouldn't be without an each-way chance if able to build on that. Needed the experience when shaping fairly well on her Yarmouth debut; each-way claims. |
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10th (2) (200/1 -203%) Aurelius Maximus |
200/1(-203%) | (2) Aurelius Maximus 200/1, Once-raced gelding. 40/1, eleventh of 12 in novice at Chelmsford City (7f) on debut 23 days ago. Probably more one for handicaps in due course. Started 40-1 for his Chelmsford debut a few weeks ago; needs a big step forward. |
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11th (6) (33/1 -32%) West Wickham |
33/1(-32%) | (6) West Wickham 33/1, Once-raced gelding. 28/1, seventh of 12 in maiden at this C&D on debut 11 days ago. Will need to step up on that if he's to play a leading role. Fair C&D debut 11 days ago; can do better for a yard enjoying a fine season with 2yos. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
CLOTH OF GOLD looked a promising work in progress when he tried to make all on his recourse debut in a novice stakes event at Redcar last month. Just overhauled in the closing stages, the son of Sea The Moon still created a very favourable impression and, given his dam was a winner on the all-weather, switching to this surface shouldn't be much of an issue. Magic Runner and Beachborough Girl appeal most from the rest with experience, while Port Light is a notable debutant.
This is best left to CLOTH OF GOLD, who was a clear second on his recent debut at Redcar and, unless one of the newcomers Port Light or Orchestral Wave turn out to be pretty useful, he probably won't need to find any improvement in order to go one better here.
A few offered a bit of promise on debut but none came close to matching CLOTH OF GOLD's Redcar level.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (11/2 +0%) Cerulean Summer |
11/2(+0%) | (5) Cerulean Summer 11/2, C&D winner in October. 17/2, 7¾ lengths seventh of 11 to Mykonos St John in handicap at this course (8.6f) 11 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. The return to this trip is in her favour. Respected. Won over C&D last month but was well held behind Mykonos St John here last time. |
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2nd (10) (11/1 -120%) Port Noir |
11/1(-120%) | (10) Port Noir 11/1, On a course hat-trick after wins over 8.6f and this trip last month. A further 3 lb nudge from the handicapper may not stop this thriving mare. Has won here in her last two runs and she's a big player again in hat-trick bid. |
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3rd (9) (9/2 +82%) Royal Observatory |
9/2(+82%) | (9) Royal Observatory 9/2, Last of 9 in handicap at Doncaster (14.5f, good to soft, 20/1). Off 116 days. Significantly back down in trip. Ten-race maiden who has form figures of 00978 in handicaps; opposable. |
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4th (6) (7/1 +50%) Villalobos |
7/1(+50%) | (6) Villalobos 7/1, Latest win at Salisbury in August. 11/2, below form sixth of 11 in handicap at Brighton 48 days ago. Others more persuasive. Well held at Brighton latest and he's struggled in two previous attempts on Tapeta. |
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5th (1) (8/1 -78%) Mykonos St John |
8/1(-78%) | (1) Mykonos St John 8/1, Three wins from 14 runs this year. Won 11-runner handicap at this course (8.6f, 17/2) 11 days ago, conceding first run. Should remain very competitive up 5 lb. Two wins here from last four starts and remains well treated on old form; respected. |
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6th (11) (28/1 -133%) Calcutta Dream |
28/1(-133%) | (11) Calcutta Dream 28/1, C&D winner. Eighth of 10 in handicap at Ripon (1m, good to firm, 7/1) when last seen in May. Could play a part back on AW if ready to roll after a break. All wins on AW and latest was off this mark over C&D; not ruled out back in this sphere. |
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7th (7) (7/2 +42%) Paradoxical |
7/2(+42%) | (7) Paradoxical 7/2, 6/1, creditable 4¾ lengths fifth of 11 to Cerulean Summer over C&D 21 days ago, not clear run. Six-race maiden who has been well held in his three handicaps including over C&D latest. |
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8th (3) (80/1 -60%) Platinum Jubilee |
80/1(-60%) | (3) Platinum Jubilee 80/1, Last of 12 in handicap at Chelmsford (1m, 50/1) 23 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Others are preferred. Has struggled for current yard and she's now 1-16; equipment returns but has lots to prove. |
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9th (2) (7/2 +22%) Kalikapour |
7/2(+22%) | (2) Kalikapour 7/2, 5/2, creditable fourth of 12 in handicap at Southwell (11f) 25 days ago. Can give another good account. Record of 1-13 but he's in decent form and has possibilities back in trip. |
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10th (12) (66/1 -100%) Caracristi |
66/1(-100%) | (12) Caracristi 66/1, C&D winner. 80/1, 4¼ lengths eighth of 11 to Port Noir over C&D 14 days ago. Tongue strap and cheekpieces on first time. Others arrive with more pressing claims. Last win was 20 months ago and she's been out of sorts this year; equipment now tried. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Mykonos St John and Port Noir have both being going through a renaissance period and should be capable of holding their own in this company, despite each creeping back up the handicap. KALIKAPOUR is another interesting contender on these terms and, given he was rated 90 as recently as May of last year, the son of Lope De Vega looks thrown in off a figure of just 60 and must be worth chancing.
PORT NOIR arrives at the top of her game and gets the nod to complete a course hat-trick. The return to this trip will suit Cerulean Summer who is second choice ahead of Kalikapour and Mykonos St John, another with a recent course win to his name.
Top of the list is six-time course winner PORT NOIR, who has been resurgent with wins here in her last two starts.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (9/1 +0%) Flaine |
9/1(+0%) | (9) Flaine 9/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 13/2, tenth of 13 in nursery at Chelmsford City (7f) 65 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Tom Dascombe and tongue strap back on. Worth a second look on this tapeta debut. Better expected on her nursery debut; since left Tom Dascombe; the tongue-tie goes back on. |
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2nd (5) (10/3 -11%) A Fine Claret |
10/3(-11%) | (5) A Fine Claret 10/3, Temperamental sort. 6/1, eighth of 10 in nursery at Newcastle (6f) 17 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time and improvement needed. Met trouble on his nursery debut; 7f should suit and is shortlisted in first-time headgear. |
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3rd (7) (7/1 +22%) Born Too Run |
7/1(+22%) | (7) Born Too Run 7/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 18/1, ninth of 12 in nursery at Newcastle (7.1f) 20 days ago, finding nothing. Down another 2 lb and would have a chance if able to see things out better. Quite well related but has finished well held in six runs to date (6f-1m); hard to fancy. |
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4th (4) (8/1 -14%) Eva's Eyes |
8/1(-14%) | (4) Eva's Eyes 8/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 100/1 and hooded for 1st time, first run since leaving Darryll Holland when sixth of 7 in maiden at Chester (7f, soft) 51 days ago, slowly away. Makes nursery debut. Well held in three starts on turf; withdrawn on Friday due to coughing; market useful. |
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5th (1) (6/1 -20%) Perfect Parole |
6/1(-20%) | (1) Perfect Parole 6/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Seventh of 11 in nursery at Kempton (6f, 14/1) 21 days ago. Makes tapeta debut and will need to raise her game if she's to play a leading role. Tonight's extra furlong should suit on pedigree but she's not obviously fancied. |
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6th (6) (10/1 +0%) Sunny Time |
10/1(+0%) | (6) Sunny Time 10/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Ninth of 11 in maiden (125/1) at Yarmouth (5.2f, good). Off 110 days/gelded and significantly up in trip for this nursery debut. Achieved little in three runs over 5f; would want to see some support on his nursery debut. |
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7th (10) (200/1 -300%) Brown Gold |
200/1(-300%) | (10) Brown Gold 200/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 250/1, seventh of 8 in maiden at Newcastle (7.1f) 62 days ago, slowly away. Vast improvement required now pitched into a nursery. Rare 2yo runner for her yard; has been beaten a long way in three runs. |
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8th (3) (11/2 +31%) Princess Inga |
11/2(+31%) | (3) Princess Inga 11/2, Lightly-raced maiden. 17/2, last of 7 in nursery at Yarmouth (7f, soft) 20 days ago. Makes tapeta debut and hood on 1st time. Place possibilities. Is exposed now and needs now more tried in a hood. |
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9th (8) (28/1 -180%) Bolly Dolly |
28/1(-180%) | (8) Bolly Dolly 28/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Blinkered for 1st time, last of 7 in maiden (100/1) at Epsom (7f, good to soft). Off 116 days ahead of this nursery debut and she needs to take a significant step forward. Off since a couple of poor efforts in headgear in the summer; needs a deal more. |
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10th (2) (8/1 -33%) Lolapalooza |
8/1(-33%) | (2) Lolapalooza 8/1, 12/1, seventh of 11 in nursery at Leicester (6f, heavy) 27 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Makes tapeta debut and claims if able to reproduce her best form now switched to this surface. Didn't see out 1m in September and maybe heavy ground wasn't for her last time; chance. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
A chance is taken on nursery debutant EVA'S EYES being able to take things to a new level as she runs from a potentially competitive mark and has the assistance of a useful 7lb claimer in the saddle. The betting market should be informative, though, and support for A Fine Claret, Princess Inga or Flaine would need to be taken seriously.
LOLAPALOOZA will have every chance if able to perform to a similar level as when third in a 6f Nottingham maiden during the summer. She may have most to fear from Princess Inga, while Born Too Run and Flaine are others with claims.
Only Lolapalooza and Princess Inga have been placed so far but A FINE CLARET wasn't disgraced last time when hampered.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (33/1 -450%) Gilt Edge |
33/1(-450%) | (6) Gilt Edge 33/1, Latest win at Chepstow in July. Bit below form fifth of 14 in handicap (15/2) at Chepstow (7f, good) 70 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Has a rare AW start here. Eight turf wins but has form figures of 97709 on AW; others preferred. |
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2nd (4) (13/2 -30%) Galel |
13/2(-30%) | (4) Galel 13/2, 17/2, fifth of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (7f) 13 days ago. Much less exposed than the majority of these and could go well, particularly if the betting vibes are strong. Six-race maiden who has not progressed so far and she needs to raise her game. |
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3rd (8) (22/1 -83%) Available Angel |
22/1(-83%) | (8) Available Angel 22/1, Nineteen runs since last win in 2022. Bit below form fifth of 13 in classified event at Yarmouth (1m good, 12/1) 77 days ago. Dual turf winner but latest was in 2022 and she's 0-18 on AW; down the list. |
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4th (5) (5/2 +58%) Bossy Parker |
5/2(+58%) | (5) Bossy Parker 5/2, C&D winner. Bit below form sixth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (6f, 7/1) 13 days ago. Respected. Dual C&D winner who is on a dangerous mark and has possibilities back up in trip. |
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5th (7) (11/1 +73%) Heavenly Fire |
11/1(+73%) | (7) Heavenly Fire 11/1, Placed over C&D in August but down the field on all 3 outings since. 12-race maiden who has lost her way in last three starts and needs a major turnaround. |
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6th (1) (6/1 +63%) Tactical Control |
6/1(+63%) | (1) Tactical Control 6/1, Winner at Salisbury in August. 25/1, tenth of 14 in handicap at Chelmsford (1m) 9 days ago. Won at Salisbury in August but he's not come close to that form since and is now 1-15. |
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7th (3) (9/1 +10%) A Pint Of Bear |
9/1(+10%) | (3) A Pint Of Bear 9/1, C&D winner. Three wins from 23 runs this year but last of 7 over C&D 11 days ago. Bounce back needed. Went close over C&D last month but he's taken two backward steps since; risks attached. |
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8th (2) (5/2 -25%) American Rose |
5/2(-25%) | (2) American Rose 5/2, Course winner. Latest win at Lingfield in August. Good third of 9 in C&D handicap 35 days ago. Leading claims. Creditable third against a pace bias over C&D last time and she's 1lb lower; dangerous. |
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9th (9) (22/1 -120%) Rebel Redemption |
22/1(-120%) | (9) Rebel Redemption 22/1, Course winner. Creditable 2¾ lengths fifth of 12 to American Rose in handicap at Lingfield (7f, AW) 74 days ago. Plenty of solid efforts this year but his last win was in August 2022; others preferred. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
A 7f winner off 4lb lower at Lingfield three starts back, American Rose needs taking seriously with her recent form creating hope of more to come. However, a chance is taken on C&D winner A PINT OF BEAR, who is better than the face value of his last two starts suggests. Nudged down 2lb after running too keenly here last month, the six-year-old can redeem himself in this potentially weaker event. Bossy Parker and Gilt Edge are others to consider.
AMERICAN ROSE shaped well back on AW here last time and can prove the answer to the first division of this 7f handicap. Galel has fewer convictions than the rest of these and is second choice ahead of Bossy Parker, a dual C&D scorer earlier in the year.
Most of these come with risks attached but AMERICAN ROSE was a good third against a pace bias over C&D last time and she gets the vote.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (4/7 +58%) Maui Breeze |
4/7(+58%) | (3) Maui Breeze 4/7, Thrice-raced filly. Second of 11 in maiden at this course (6.1f, 6/4) 30 days ago, no match for winner. Sets the standard. Improved with each of her three runs (C&D latest) and sets the standard; high on the list. |
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2nd (4) (9/1 +44%) Grey Salvo |
9/1(+44%) | (4) Grey Salvo 9/1, Foaled February 23. 40,000 gns foal, £62,000 yearling, £18,000 2-y-o, Havana Grey filly. Dam, 2-y-o 6f winner who stayed 1m, half-sister to useful winner up to 1¼m Cabinet. Yard rarely strikes with newcomers. £18,000 breeze-up 2yo; dam a 6f winner (RPR 81); yard not renowned for winning newcomers. |
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3rd (2) (66/1 -32%) Jake Loves Laura |
66/1(-32%) | (2) Jake Loves Laura 66/1, Twice-raced filly. 40/1, first run since leaving Dominic Ffrench Davis when fifth of 8 in novice at this course (6.1f) 18 days ago. Looks vulnerable. Debut run was okay but less good on stable debut (C&D) latest; improvement required. |
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4th (8) (8/1 -45%) Lovesick |
8/1(-45%) | (8) Lovesick 8/1, Foaled March 26. Time Test filly. Dam 7f winner (including at 2 yrs). Will be of interest if the market speaks in her favour. First foal of a Listed-placed winner (including AW); yard has winning newcomers. |
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5th (5) (25/1 -150%) Sangara |
25/1(-150%) | (5) Sangara 25/1, Twice-raced filly. Fifth of 9 in maiden (20/1) at this course (7.1f) 25 days ago. Probably more one for handicaps in due course. Hasn't seen things out over 7f in two runs this autumn; drops to 6f and needs improvement. |
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6th (1) (12/1 -85%) Fancy Dancer |
12/1(-85%) | (1) Fancy Dancer 12/1, Foaled January 24. 38,000 gns foal, 60,000 gns yearling, Dandy Man filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including 2-y-o 7f winner Tawafag and winner up to 7f Bagara. Interesting to see which way she goes in the betting. 60,000gns half-sis to 3 winners; yard's 2yos have done much better on turf than AW in 2024. |
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7th (7) (200/1 -100%) Good Reward |
200/1(-100%) | (7) Good Reward 200/1, Twice-raced filly. Last of 7 in novice at Newcastle (7.1f, 100/1) 17 days ago. Readily passed over. Big prices and well beaten in her two runs; handicaps more suitable after this. |
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8th (6) (7/2 -40%) Spendmore Lane |
7/2(-40%) | (6) Spendmore Lane 7/2, Promising type. Third of 7 in novice at Newcastle (5f, 50/1) on debut 62 days ago. Extra furlong here will be in her favour and improvement is on the cards. Debut 3rd at Newcastle (5f) was promising; new trip should suit; open to improvement. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Maui Breeze finished over three lengths clear of the third when taking the silver medal home over C&D last time and she holds an obvious chance. However, she might be worth taking on with SPENDMORE LANE. Julie Camacho's juvenile shaped with plenty of promise to finish third on her debut over 5f at Newcastle in September and, with normal progression, she could be the one to beat. Any market confidence behind Fancy Dancer would be interesting.
Having shaped with a fair bit of promise when third on debut at Newcastle, SPENDMORE LANE is appealing with this step up to 6f likely to help unlock improvement. Indeed, she may find the required improvement to get the better of Maui Breeze, who pulled clear of the rest when runner-up back from a break here last month. Newcomers Fancy Dancer and Lovesick both need close attention in the betting.
Maui Breeze just about sets the standard but SPENDMORE LANE shaped nicely on debut and may progress past her.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (3/1 +40%) Harbour Vision |
3/1(+40%) | (2) Harbour Vision 3/1, Six-time course winner. 7/2, respectable third of 11 in handicap at this course (8.6f) 11 days ago. Should be on the premises again. 11-time AW winner who has been running well here this autumn; respected back in trip. |
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2nd (6) (5/1 +23%) Plumette |
5/1(+23%) | (6) Plumette 5/1, Three-time C&D winner. Twenty runs since last win in 2023. 12/1, first run since leaving Alastair Ralph when creditable fourth of 10 over C&D 16 days ago. Not taken lightly. On long losing run but was fair fourth over C&D on stable debut; shouldn't be far away. |
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3rd (1) (3/1 -9%) Split Elevens |
3/1(-9%) | (1) Split Elevens 3/1, Made it 5 wins in his last 8 starts when shading a tight finish over C&D 4 weeks ago. A further 3 lb rise shouldn't prevent another prominent showing from this thriving sort. Five wins since July including over C&D last time; big player again off 3lb higher. |
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4th (3) (4/1 -33%) Reputation |
4/1(-33%) | (3) Reputation 4/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2023. 16/1, creditable second of 10 over C&D 16 days ago. Has good chance on form. Veteran who is on a dangerous mark and was runner-up over C&D last time; in the mix. |
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5th (9) (80/1 -100%) Fistral Beach |
80/1(-100%) | (9) Fistral Beach 80/1, Poor maiden on balance. 100/1, ninth of 10 in handicap at Redcar (7f, soft) 17 days ago. Nine-race maiden who has struggled for new yard this season; no appeal. |
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6th (8) (10/1 +50%) Dynamite Katie |
10/1(+50%) | (8) Dynamite Katie 10/1, One win from 21 Flat runs. Nineteen runs since last win in 2022. 22/1, creditable sixth of 11 in C&D handicap at this C&D 35 days ago. Others are more obvious. Runner-up twice at Chepstow in July but she's been disappointing since and is now 1-21. |
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7th (7) (7/1 +30%) Tillybob |
7/1(+30%) | (7) Tillybob 7/1, 5/1, creditable third of 10 in handicap at this course (6f) 30 days ago. Placed here last twice but she's now 0-12 and still has stamina to prove at this trip. |
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8th (4) (25/1 -56%) The Toff |
25/1(-56%) | (4) The Toff 25/1, One win from 22 Flat runs. Ninth of 10 in handicap at this C&D (28/1) when last seen in February. First run for yard after leaving Katie Scott. Probably best watched Record of 1-22 and has form figures of 0789 this year; lots to prove for another new yard. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
SPLIT ELEVENS won back-to-back races at the end of summer and, having held his form quite well since then, rates a solid option in his bid to repeat the feat with David Probert retaining the ride after guiding him to victory over C&D last month. A 3lb higher mark demands more of him and creates hope for key rivals such as Reputation and Harbour Vision, who have both won off higher ratings.
REPUTATION is 11 now but his latest C&D second suggests he has another win in him. Split Elevens has had an excellent spell since headgear has been removed and is feared most ahead of Harbour Vision and Plumette.
The most striking contender is SPLIT ELEVENS, who has won five of his last eight starts including over C&D last time.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (6/5 +64%) Coup De Force |
6/5(+64%) | (4) Coup De Force 6/5, C&D winner in October. Respectable fifth of 11 in handicap (5/1) at Kempton (6f) 5 days ago. Likely to be on the premises. Came up short in hat-trick bid last week; back against fillies but needs to pull out more. |
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2nd (6) (16/1 -45%) Daytona Lady |
16/1(-45%) | (6) Daytona Lady 16/1, C&D winner. 4 wins from 16 runs this year. Latest win at Wolverhampton in September. Bit below form sixth of 10 in handicap (18/1) at this C&D 27 days ago. Looks vulnerable. Conditions to suit and while only 6th over C&D latest, she still looked in form; respected. |
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3rd (8) (9/2 -13%) Ziggy's Queen |
9/2(-13%) | (8) Ziggy's Queen 9/2, Twelve runs since last win in 2023. 9/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, creditable third of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 21 days ago. One to consider. Finished her race off well at Wolverhampton last time but it was a strongly run affair. |
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4th (1) (17/2 -89%) Kitai |
17/2(-89%) | (1) Kitai 17/2, Latest win at Goodwood in July. Fourth of 7 in handicap (15/2) at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) 48 days ago. Enters calculations off 1 lb lower here. Usually runs in better races; repeat of Goodwood win in July would make her hard to beat. |
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5th (5) (5/1 +55%) Exponista |
5/1(+55%) | (5) Exponista 5/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. 22/1, creditable seventh of 12 in handicap at this C&D 11 days ago. Others make more appeal from a win point of view. Two sound runs over C&D since blinkers went on; easy lead seems unlikely. |
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6th (2) (16/1 -167%) Shallow |
16/1(-167%) | (2) Shallow 16/1, Lightly-raced winner. 2 wins from 3 runs this year. 3/1, last of 5 in handicap at Chelmsford City (6f). Off 6 months ahead of this first run on tapeta and she needs to raise her game. Flopped in hat-trick bid in April; absent since; not fully exposed ahead of Tapeta debut. |
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7th (3) (7/1 +22%) Holy Fire |
7/1(+22%) | (3) Holy Fire 7/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2023. 16/1, eleventh of 14 in handicap at Kempton (7f) 82 days ago. Cheekpieces back on and she will have every chance off this reduced mark if able to bounce back. Quiet when last seen but down in weights and dropping to 6f/return of headgear can help. |
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8th (7) (20/1 -167%) Incrimination |
20/1(-167%) | (7) Incrimination 20/1, Sixth of 8 in handicap (14/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 10 days ago, never nearer. Another who will probably find one or two too good. Not found her absolute best in 2024; well treated but she'll need a good pace back at 6f. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
KITAI wasn't disgraced when finishing fourth in a warmer event at York in September and the handicapper might have been kind to drop her 1lb for that performance. Mick Appleby's four-year-old will appreciate this drop in grade and looks well placed to record her fifth career success. Ziggy's Queen finished a close-up third at Wolverhampton last month and should remain competitive off a 1lb lower rating, while Shallow isn't one to write off either.
A chance is taken on HOLY FIRE, who misfired at Kempton when last seen in August but she posted several decent efforts in defeat prior to that and has edged down to an attractive mark. Ziggy's Queen lost little caste in defeat when third at Wolverhampton three weeks ago and she will be a threat if able to back that up here, while Coup de Force and Kitai both make some each-way appeal.
Daytona Lady and Kitai are feared but SHALLOW retains potential after just four starts and she looked promising in the spring.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (5/1 -11%) Payment Plan |
5/1(-11%) | (6) Payment Plan 5/1, Good third of 6 in handicap (11/10) at Wolverhampton (14f) 14 days ago. Remains unexposed and shapes like he will be suited by this trip, so definite claims. Low-mileage 4yo; ran well when upped to 1m6f last month; goes even further today. |
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2nd (9) (12/1 -60%) Sir Joseph Swan |
12/1(-60%) | (9) Sir Joseph Swan 12/1, 10/3, good ½-length second of 7 to Sullivan Bay in handicap at Chelmsford City (16f) 9 days ago, clear of rest. Blinkers back on. Yet to win this year but ran big race in defeat behind Sullivan Bay last week. |
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3rd (3) (7/2 -5%) Sullivan Bay |
7/2(-5%) | (3) Sullivan Bay 7/2, First run since leaving Henrietta Knight, 7/4 and visored for 1st time, won 7-runner handicap at Chelmsford City (16f) 9 days ago by ½ length from Sir Joseph Swan, overcoming a slow start. Worth a chance to follow up. Won in first-time visor on recent stable debut and is probably still on a workable mark. |
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4th (4) (17/2 -21%) Alex The Great |
17/2(-21%) | (4) Alex The Great 17/2, 10/1 and blinkered for 1st time, respectable second of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (14f) 58 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Raphael Freire. Bought for 10,500gns since 1m6f second at Wolverhampton in September; enters calculations. |
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5th (11) (66/1 -136%) Angelica Catalani |
66/1(-136%) | (11) Angelica Catalani 66/1, 9/1, ninth of 10 in minor event at Newcastle (10.2f). Off 94 days. Significantly up in trip. Others make more appeal. Placed over 1m4f in July but disappointing over 1m2f since; tries a new trip today. |
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6th (1) (14/1 -27%) Scylla |
14/1(-27%) | (1) Scylla 14/1, Winner at Lingfield in July. 3½ lengths fourth of 6 to Anna of Saxony in handicap (9/2) at this C&D 27 days ago. Holding form and on better terms with that rival now. Turf winner this summer and has posted a couple decent efforts on Tapeta lately. |
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7th (8) (10/1 +44%) Snapius |
10/1(+44%) | (8) Snapius 10/1, Ninth of 11 in handicap at Windsor (11.4f, heavy, 8/1) 21 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Makes tapeta debut. Has not shown much on his three stable starts; needs to turn a corner. |
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8th (5) (10/1 +17%) Hawk Jet |
10/1(+17%) | (5) Hawk Jet 10/1, Fifth of 7 in handicap at Kempton (16f, 10/1) 24 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Not discounted. Placed when back on the Flat in August but not quite in same form since and now 0-11. |
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9th (2) (8/1 +27%) Lindwall |
8/1(+27%) | (2) Lindwall 8/1, Creditable 3¼ lengths third of 6 to Anna of Saxony in handicap (10/1) at this C&D 27 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Largely consistent for this stable; player if cheekpieces have any positive effect. |
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10th (7) (7/2 +36%) Anna Of Saxony |
7/2(+36%) | (7) Anna Of Saxony 7/2, Won 6-runner handicap at this C&D (13/2) 27 days ago. Not an obvious sort to follow up. C&D winner when upped in trip last month; only 2lb higher today; respected. |
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11th (10) (100/1 0%) Kitten's Dream |
100/1(0%) | (10) Kitten's Dream 100/1, Unreliable sort. C&D winner. Thirty five runs since last win in 2023. 66/1, eighth of 9 in handicap at this course (14.1f) 7 days ago. Difficult ask. Regressive 7yo who was a well-beaten 66-1 shot off today's basement mark here a week ago. |
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12th (12) (25/1 -14%) Balticus |
25/1(-14%) | (12) Balticus 25/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 150/1, eleventh of 12 in maiden at Chelmsford City (7f) 32 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Visored for 1st time. Makes handicap debut. Worth a market check. Showed no promise in his qualifying runs (7f-1m2f); worth market check on handicap debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Sullivan Bay had Sir Joseph Swan (second) half a length behind in this grade at Chelmsford on his latest outing and is expected to confirm that form to have a say. However, it may pay to side with ALEX THE GREAT, who occupied the runner-up berth over 1m6f at Wolverhampton in September and has since switched to the Tony Carroll stable. If he can back that level of performance up, he could prove tough to beat. Anna Of Saxony completes the shortlist.
SULLIVAN BAY landed a gamble on his first outing for this yard at Chelmsford recently and remains well treated, so he's preferred to Payment Plan, who should benefit from the longer trip. Sir Joseph Swan, who was second to the selection last time, is another one worthy of respect.
The suggestion is SULLIVAN BAY, who got his career back on track when scoring for his new stable at Chelmsford last week.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (6/1 -50%) Willolarupi |
6/1(-50%) | (3) Willolarupi 6/1, Winner at Beverley in August. 11/2, creditable third of 10 in handicap at Pontefract (5f, heavy) 14 days ago. Back up in trip. Makes tapeta debut. Merits consideration. Been in good order on turf but yet to convince at 6f and this is his AW debut. |
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2nd (7) (5/1 +23%) Carlton And Co |
5/1(+23%) | (7) Carlton And Co 5/1, Latest win at Leicester in July. Good second of 8 in handicap (10/1) at Newcastle (6f) 31 days ago, clear of rest. Should give another good account. In good form on turf and AW in recent starts; should remain competitive. |
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3rd (8) (20/1 +43%) Caesars Pearl |
20/1(+43%) | (8) Caesars Pearl 20/1, Tenth of 13 in handicap at Thirsk (5f, good to firm, 40/1). Off 150 days. Back up in trip. Hard to make a case for. Drops in class but she's returning from another break and has too much to prove for now. |
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4th (9) (40/1 -122%) Snow Berry |
40/1(-122%) | (9) Snow Berry 40/1, Unreliable sort. 3 wins from 8 runs this year. Latest win at Bath in September. Seventh of 10 in handicap (22/1) at Yarmouth (6f, good to soft) 28 days ago. Three turf wins this summer but below par the last twice & yet to show comparable AW form. |
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5th (4) (33/1 0%) Doddie's Impact |
33/1(0%) | (4) Doddie's Impact 33/1, First run since leaving Lawney Hill when tenth of 12 in handicap (66/1) at Redcar (5f, soft) 17 days ago. Back up in trip. Makes tapeta debut. Poor form since winning last year's Brocklesby; too much to prove for comfort. |
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6th (2) (9/4 +72%) Oso Rapido |
9/4(+72%) | (2) Oso Rapido 9/4, Seventeen runs since last win in 2023. Seventh of 10 in handicap (5/1) at Redcar (6f, heavy) 7 days ago. Needs to get back on track. Yet to win in 2024 and he needs to bounce back from a modest run at Redcar last week. |
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7th (6) (16/1 -146%) Formby |
16/1(-146%) | (6) Formby 16/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 11/2 and hooded for 1st time, second of 6 in novice at Newcastle (6f) 34 days ago, very slowly away. Makes handicap debut. Still learning and can do better switched to handicaps. Unexposed handicap debutant who has shown promise, including on AW; one to consider. |
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8th (11) (28/1 -12%) Lil Wade |
28/1(-12%) | (11) Lil Wade 28/1, Remains a maiden after 17 Flat runs. Bit below form fifth of 10 in handicap at this course (5f, 25/1) 7 days ago. Back up in trip. Others preferred. 0-17 and it would be a surprise if there weren't a few stronger in this field. |
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9th (10) (33/1 -83%) Bomb Squad |
33/1(-83%) | (10) Bomb Squad 33/1, C&D winner. 18/1, last of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 16 days ago. Not shone in two runs back from layoff; type to come good again at some point this winter. |
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10th (5) (7/2 -17%) Prince Of Bel Lir |
7/2(-17%) | (5) Prince Of Bel Lir 7/2, Very good second of 10 in handicap (11/4) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 16 days ago. Capable of going one better from a handy mark. Went close (front two clear) at Wolverhampton latest; still well treated; strong claims. |
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11th (1) (6/1 -9%) Kodi Red |
6/1(-9%) | (1) Kodi Red 6/1, Won 9-runner handicap (11/1) at Chelmsford City (6f) 4 days ago, always holding on. Carries penalty. Still potentially well treated on his best efforts, so definite player if in the same form. Game win at Chelmsford four days ago but not an obvious type to defy a penalty. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Kodi Red makes a quick reappearance after winning at Chelmsford four days ago, but he carries a 5lb penalty for that success and PRINCE OF BEL LIR makes more appeal. The latter finished clear of the rest when runner-up at Wolverhampton last time and looks set to strike with Kaiya Fraser's claim negating a 3lb rise. Carlton And Co may well launch another challenge from the front having found only one too good at Newcastle, while Formby should be noted on his handicap debut.
PRINCE OF BEL LIR bounced back to form last time having slipped to an appealing mark and, having found only one too good, he's fancied to make amends in what looks quite a competitive race for the grade. Willolarupi and Formby head the dangers.
Formby and Carlton And Co can go well but PRINCE OF BEL LIR (nap) looks ready to strike after a good run at Wolverhampton.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (11/2 +0%) Melek Alreeh |
11/2(+0%) | (1) Melek Alreeh 11/2, C&D winner. Bit below form eighth of 13 in handicap (17/2) at Kempton (11f) 40 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Shaped as if still in good order last time and can't be ruled out. Won over C&D in March but he's been laboured since; needs a major revival back on AW. |
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2nd (6) (16/1 -45%) Thrilling Dream |
16/1(-45%) | (6) Thrilling Dream 16/1, 3 wins from 9 runs this year. Latest win at Leicester in July. 18/1, ninth of 14 in handicap at Nottingham (14f, heavy) 11 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Not easy to make a case for. Had excuse on soft 11 days ago but he's untried on Tapeta and others are preferred. |
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3rd (3) (5/1 +44%) Desert Emperor |
5/1(+44%) | (3) Desert Emperor 5/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. Ninth of 12 in handicap at this C&D (22/1) 67 days ago, finding little. Others more persuasive. All of his wins were at the end of 2021 and he's been well held on Tapeta in last two runs. |
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4th (7) (8/1 +60%) Western Stars |
8/1(+60%) | (7) Western Stars 8/1, Latest win at Newbury in July. 28/1, ninth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 11 days ago. On dangerous mark in suitable conditions but he needs to get back on track. |
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5th (5) (6/1 -80%) Kinetic |
6/1(-80%) | (5) Kinetic 6/1, C&D winner. 4 wins from 13 runs this year. Latest win here in September. Fifth of 8 in handicap (5/2) at Newcastle (12.4f) 31 days ago. Probably found the race coming too soon last time and had been progressive prior to that. Four wins since August; didn't fire latest but it's still hard to rule out more progress. |
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6th (2) (10/3 +5%) Met Office |
10/3(+5%) | (2) Met Office 10/3, 66/1, fourth of 13 in handicap at Kempton (12f) 24 days ago. Down the weights and, having returned to form, he's worthy of interest. Hard to predict but he's on a workable mark and was an eyecatcher at Kempton last time. |
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7th (4) (11/4 -10%) Alrazeen |
11/4(-10%) | (4) Alrazeen 11/4, Course winner. 15/2, very good second of 7 in handicap at Wolverhampton (16.6f) 10 days ago. Back down in trip. Blinkers on 1st time. Considered despite the drop back in trip. Back on track with near miss at Wolverhampton (2m) latest and he's respected back in trip. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
A winner at Wolverhampton in November 2023, MET OFFICE has returned to a winning mark and caught the eye finishing strongly for fourth at Kempton last time. That effort suggests his turn is not far away and John Butler's inmate may edge affairs. Melek Alreeh returns to this venue for the first time since scoring here in March and can have a say in the outcome, while Thrilling Dream drops back in distance with a shout having landed a double at Leicester in July.
MET OFFICE has tumbled in the weights and looked back in form last time, so he's worth taking a chance on. Kinetic could resume progress and looks appealing, with Alrazeen completing the shortlist.
Preference is for the versatile ALRAZEEN, who got back on track with a near miss behind a well-backed rival at Wolverhampton latest.
Ths is the racecard key.
Icon | Meaning |
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TomForm top stats, gold rated | |
TomForm top stats silver rated | |
Ran similar race before | |
S | TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out |
T | Top Time speeed rated |
Top Racingpost rated | |
At the races watchout for | |
At the races top pick | |
Top rated for thet statistic |
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
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