There were 47 Races on Thursday 17th October 2024 across 6 meetings. There was 8 races at Curragh, 8 races at Carlisle, 7 races at Brighton, 7 races at Wincanton, 9 races at Southwell, 8 races at Chelmsford-City, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
Races & Results Thursday 17th October 2024
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
(3) Cap Saint Martin , Fairly useful form on both outings so far, run best excused when 6¾ lengths fifth of 6 to Apples And Bananas in listed race (36/10) at Deauville (8f, good to soft) a couple of months ago, very slow to break and never in a position to challenge. Sets the standard. Beaten 1l on debut before 7l defeat in Listed class in France (blew start); down in class.
1
2nd (1) ( ) Iron Fist
0
()
(1) Iron Fist , 12/1, offered little when twelfth of 14 in maiden at this course (6f, good to firm) on debut back in June. Significantly up in trip. 12s for debut but well held; step up in trip might help.
6
3rd (6) ( ) Vorfreude
0
()
(6) Vorfreude , 80/1, showed plenty to work on when fifth of 14 in maiden at this course (9f, good to soft) on debut 18 days ago, best work finish. Can build on that here. Encouraging debut at 80-1 and should improve if handling slower ground.
10
4th (10) ( ) Pallatine Hills
0
()
(10) Pallatine Hills , 250/1, tenth of 14 in maiden at this course (9f, good to soft) 18 days ago, meeting some trouble early in straight. Seemingly being brought along with handicaps in mind. Hasn't shown enough at big prices in three maidens so far.
13
5th (13) ( ) Alba Chiara
0
()
(13) Alba Chiara , Foaled March 17. €14,000 foal, €52,000 yearling, Almanzor filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including useful/ungenuine 1¼m/11f winner Nibbling and 1¾m winner Tao Te Ching. 52,000euros yearling; half-sister to 4 winners; yard 5-36 with 2yos on turf this term.
2
6th (2) ( ) Paddydaddy
0
()
(2) Paddydaddy , Offered something to work on when ninth of 14 in maiden (33/1) at this course (7f, good to soft) on debut 12 days ago. 33s over 7f on debut and beaten 7l; should be better for the run.
7
7th (7) ( ) Cumberland River
0
()
(7) Cumberland River , Foaled April 16. €6,500 yearling, Elzaam gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including 1m winner Mutadaawel and 2-y-o 5f winner Reveiller. Dam, 6f winner, half-sister to useful 6f winner Shafaani. Elzaam gelding; half-brother to Mutadaawel; stayed on for 2nd in barrier trials.
12
8th (12) ( ) Clementines Dream
0
()
(12) Clementines Dream , Ran to a fair level when sixth of 14 in maiden (125/1) at this course (7f, good to soft) on debut 18 days ago, having to pick way through. Each-way claims. Beaten 6l in 7f maiden here last month when 125s; extra furlong should suit.
9
9th (9) ( ) Launch Time
0
()
(9) Launch Time , Foaled March 16. 1,000 gns foal, €20,000 yearling, Time Test colt. Half-brother to useful Swedish 9f winner Natasha Romanova. Seventh of 8 in barrier trial at Lopardstown in August. Well held in barrier trial in August; likely best watched.
5
10th (5) ( ) Habari
0
()
(5) Habari , Foaled March 23. Churchill colt. Half-brother to 3 winners, including useful 1m winner Haziya and 7f/7.4f winner Hazalaya. Market check advised. Well bred Churchill colt whose dam is a half-sister to Harzand; check market.
4
11th (4) ( ) Romantic War
0
()
(4) Romantic War , Won a barrier trial at Dundalk but didn't show much when eighth of 13 in maiden (66/1) at Naas (5.9f, good to soft) on debut back in July. Significantly up in trip. Well held at 66s on debut; trip may help but others preferred.
11
12th (11) ( ) Wellwhatshappenin
0
()
(11) Wellwhatshappenin , Well held in 2 maidens in recent weeks. Triple figure odds in a couple of starts so far.
8
13th (8) ( ) Folk Warrior
0
()
(8) Folk Warrior , 125/1, offered little when twelfth of 14 in maiden at this course (7f, good to soft) on debut 18 days ago. Tailed off on debut over 7f here last month when 125s; up in trip and likely best watched.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
CAP SAINT MARTIN was one of Joseph O'Brien's French runners this summer and now contests his first maiden, at median sires series level. It is a small concern he has missed the break on both starts but nonetheless showed ability at Killarney before taking fifth behind stablemate and Goffs Million winner Apples And Bananas at Deauville, with the third subsequently winning a Group 3. All those ahead of Romantic War at Naas in July have won races since - along with the 12th-placed finisher - and while Romantic War showed ability there, he now returns from a break. Vorfreude finished well over a juvenile staying distance on debut here, while Habari's winning dam is a half-sister to Harzand.
Only a handful of these make any serious appeal and having already reached a fairly useful level, CAP SAINT MARTIN is selected to make it third time lucky for the in-form Joseph O'Brien yard. The main danger may emerge from Vorfreude, who showed plenty to work on when fifth at this track last month and is open to improvement. Clementines Dream, Habari and Alba Chiara round off the shortlist.
A drop in class may see CAP SAINT MARTIN (nap) break his maiden after a promising run in Listed company last time out
(12) Thebelmontgangster 13/2, Promising type. 28/1, much improved when fifth of 14 in maiden at this course (7f, good to soft) 18 days ago, hampered. More to come. 5th in 7f maiden here last month and met interference; 1m may suit; respected.
10
2nd (10) (4/5 +60%) Nobler
0.8
4/5(+60%)
(10) Nobler 4/5, Promising individual. 10/3, second of 15 in maiden at Listowel (8f, good to soft) 24 days ago. Winner took a listed race next time and he has obvious claims. Showed signs of inexperience when 3rd on debut and 2nd at Listowel since; ground fine.
4
3rd (4) (10/1 -100%) I Am Me
10
10/1(-100%)
(4) I Am Me 10/1, Promising type. Off 5 months, 5/2, fifth of 8 in maiden at Dundalk (7f) 6 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Debut form reads well and he should improve. Beaten 1l in maiden on soft; beaten far on Friday but soft ground back on turf may suit.
6
4th (6) (50/1 -100%) Simurgh
50
50/1(-100%)
(6) Simurgh 50/1, Foaled May 14. €20,000 yearling, resold €22,000 yearling, Phoenix of Spain colt. Dam, 10.5f-1½m winner, half-sister to smart winner up to 1¼m (stayed 1½m) Hazapour out of smart 1¼m-1½m winner Hazarafa. Phoenix Of Spain colt; 22,000euros yearling; might want a bit further.
11
5th (11) (200/1 -100%) Plunder
200
200/1(-100%)
(11) Plunder 200/1, 150/1, twelfth of 15 in maiden at Listowel (8f, good to soft) on debut 24 days ago. Well held 150-1 shot in a Listowel maiden last month and likely to need more time.
7
6th (7) (11/1 -10%) What's Your Game
11
11/1(-10%)
(7) What's Your Game 11/1, Foaled February 14. 125,000 gns yearling, Waldgeist colt. Half-brother to 1m winner Chrysos and US 6f winner Crowley's War. Waldgeist colt; 125,000gns yearling; half-brother to 2 winners; dam Listed winner.
3
7th (3) (33/1 +18%) Faro Island
33
33/1(+18%)
(3) Faro Island 33/1, 35,000 gns yearling, Ulysses colt. Half-brother to useful 6f winner Benefit. Dam 6f-7f winner out of very smart winner up to 7f (2-y-o 6f winner) Hooray. 33/1, seventh of 9 in maiden at Gowran (8f, good) on debut 26 days ago. Seventh of nine when 33-1 for his debut at Gowran; likely more of a long term prospect.
1
8th (1) (7/1 +18%) Ja'marr
7
7/1(+18%)
(1) Ja'marr 7/1, Twice-raced colt. Fifth of 10 at Killarney (8.2f, good, 10/1) 92 days ago. Debut form is good and he should progress. Outran odds in course maiden but didn't built on that at Killarney; may be one for h'caps.
9
9th (9) (10/1 +17%) I'll Be Handy
10
10/1(+17%)
(9) I'll Be Handy 10/1, Lightly-raced gelding. Ninth of 14 in nursery at Naas (5.9f, good to soft, 22/1) 5 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Progressing prior to low-key 6f run at weekend; new trip may suit; unproven on soft.
5
10th (5) (150/1 -50%) Navajo Point
150
150/1(-50%)
(5) Navajo Point 150/1, Twice-raced gelding. Thirteenth of 14 in maiden at this course (9f, good to soft, 200/1) 18 days ago. Shown very little at triple-figure odds in two runs so far.
13
11th (13) (125/1 -89%) No More Kisses
125
125/1(-89%)
(13) No More Kisses 125/1, Twelfth of 16 in maiden at this course (7f, good to soft, 100/1) on debut 12 days ago. Well held 100-1 shot on debut here last month; up in trip and hard to recommend.
8
12th (8) (100/1 -300%) Fervent
100
100/1(-300%)
(8) Fervent 100/1, Foaled May 13. €30,000 foal, Elzaam gelding. Half-brother to several winners, including useful 1m winner Headingley and useful 8.3f winner Spiriting. Dam 2-y-o 6f winner who stayed 10.4f. Wears hood. Son of Elzaam; half-brother to 5 winners but hood and a gelding op likely not good signs.
14
13th (14) (33/1 +34%) Shakita
33
33/1(+34%)
(14) Shakita 33/1, Foaled March 25. €1,000 yearling, Coulsty filly. Half-sister to several winners, including winner up to 8.3f Blazing Tunder and 6f winner Captain Dandy. Coulsty filly; half-sister to 3 winners Blazing Tunder but best watched on debut.
2
14th (2) (200/1 -400%) Drucker
200
200/1(-400%)
(2) Drucker 200/1, Twice-raced colt. 16/1, last of 8 in maiden at Dundalk (7f) 6 days ago. Well held in maidens so far and didn't beat rival dropped back to 7f at Dundalk on Friday.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
NOBLER chased home a subsequent Listed winner last month and, were the ground to ease, has prior form on yielding to soft. A 120,000gns purchase and a sibling to three black-type performers, he was green when third in an ordinary Galway maiden in August but progressed with a useful run at Listowel. He tackles seemingly lesser opponents than Right And True today. Ja'marr showed plenty of ability in a hot maiden on his June debut and while the runner-up, fourth, fifth, sixth, eighth and ninth have all won since, his subsequent Killarney run was underwhelming and he hasn't raced since. What's Your Game is out of a Listed winner and cost 125,000gns as a yearling.
NOBLER has made a very good start, finding just a subsequent listed winner too strong at Listowel last time, and he can open his account here. Thebelmontgangster is feared most ahead of I Am Me.
This maiden has a bit more depth than division one with the tentative vote going to NOBLER having shown promise in 2 runs so far
(3) Blue Fin 13/2, Newcastle maiden hurdle winner in February 2023 and shaped promisingly when runner-up on return/chase debut here last winter. However, his form dipped badly in 3 subsequent outings, including back in this sphere at Wetherby on latest start in March. Goes well fresh so with conditions to suit could go well on his first run since March.
8
2nd (8) (7/1 -155%) Knomorediamonds
7
7/1(-155%)
(8) Knomorediamonds 7/1, Showed some fair form in bumpers and there were positives to take from his qualifying runs in this sphere, not least when fifth in a six-runner Perth novice (16.2f, soft) last month. Open to improvement now pitched into a handicap, especially with this stiffer track likely to be more up his street. Promise in three bumpers and in three runs over hurdles; needs to improve now handicapping.
5
3rd (5) (33/1 -65%) Mick Maestro
33
33/1(-65%)
(5) Mick Maestro 33/1, Back-to-back winner of Catterick handicap hurdles early-2022 and best effort since when third of 9 at Southwell (15.8f, good to soft) in May. However, little to shout about in a couple of subsequent appearances (over fences last time) and others make more appeal. Dual winner in early 2022; lightly raced since and below par last season.
6
4th (6) (4/1 +60%) Heritier
4
4/1(+60%)
(6) Heritier 4/1, Largely creditable efforts since joining this yard, still bang there when brought down 2 out in a Hexham handicap chase (15.6f, heavy) on final run of last season. Since undergone a wind op and each-way chance back hurdling if fully tuned-up following a break. In fair form earlier this year having won off 10lb lower last December; interesting.
12
5th (12) (17/2 +47%) Dalileo
8.5
17/2(+47%)
(12) Dalileo 17/2, Back on the scoresheet when taking a 3m Perth handicap in June and has made the frame several times since. On the downside, recent effort at Kelso wasn't one of his better ones and he will probably find one or two too good once more. 2-38, latest win over 3m at Perth in June; not sure this marked drop in trip will suit.
11
6th (11) (6/1 +57%) Malangen
6
6/1(+57%)
(11) Malangen 6/1, Scored at Hexham in June and hasn't done a great deal wrong since, posting another creditable effort when fourth of 11 at Kelso (21f, good to soft) recently. Each-way chance for yard also represented by Dalileo. Series of good runs since Hexham win in June and is an each-way contender.
7
7th (7) (13/2 +35%) Follow Charlie
6.5
13/2(+35%)
(7) Follow Charlie 13/2, Done well since handicapping, off the mark over 20.5f at Ayr in January and travelled powerfully when doubling his tally over the same C&D in March. Absent following a low-key effort the following month, though, and will need to raise his game in order to make a winning reappearance. Dual 2m4f winner at Ayr last term; drop in trip and lack of a recent run are a concern.
10
8th (10) (5/1 -25%) Shantou Lucky
5
5/1(-25%)
(10) Shantou Lucky 5/1, Winning hurdler/chaser in Ireland for Gavin Cromwell. Left previous form for present connections behind when readily accounting for 10 rivals in first-time cheekpieces (retained here) at Perth (20.2f, good to soft) last month and he remains feasibly treated up 9 lb. Back to form in first-time headgear with easy win at Perth last month; up 9lb; interesting.
4
9th (4) (12/1 -50%) Dreams Of Home
12
12/1(-50%)
(4) Dreams Of Home 12/1, Successful all 3 starts in this sphere back in 2021 and went on to win 3 times from 19 starts over fences for Donald McCain. It was a struggle for the most part last season (has undergone a wind op since latest run) but he resumes in this sphere for new connections on a potentially very handy mark. Won three from three over hurdles in 2021; won 3 chases since; interesting back hurdling.
1
10th (1) (125/1 -681%) Pacini
125
125/1(-681%)
(1) Pacini 125/1, Largely struggled after landing a Fairyhouse maiden hurdle for Gordon Elliott last December, offering little over fences on his last 2 starts in August. Probably best watched back hurdling on debut for new yard. Ex-G Elliott; cost £3,500 in August; maiden hurdle winner; rather lost his way recently.
9
11th (9) (14/1 -75%) Serious Ego
14
14/1(-75%)
(9) Serious Ego 14/1, Veteran who landed back-to-back Hexham handicaps last November and added to his tally at Perth (16.2f, soft) during the spring. No show back at Hexham when last seen in June but this 11-y-o will will be a threat if able to bounce back following a break. Won two h'caps last November and another in April; one to consider.
13:22 Carlisle Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 17f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
The fitting of first-time cheekpieces worked the oracle for SHANTOU LUCKY when romping home at Perth last month. Although a 9lb hike in the ratings demands more from the seven-year-old, a double could be on the cards. Malangen has shown up well over further of late and a return to this 2m1f distance should suit. Lisa Harrison's charge is feared most, ahead of stablemate Dalileo.
Having shaped with encouragement back from a break at Perth last month, KNOMOREDIAMONDS is taken to make a winning handicap debut off what could turn out to be a very fair opening mark. Irish import Shantou Lucky appeared to turn a corner when scoring at Perth and he is the clear main danger ahead of Dreams of Home and Serious Ego.
A chance is taken on SERIOUS EGO to collect his second win of the season. Blue Fin and Heritier should also go well.
(3) My Genghis 5/2, 3/1 and blinkered for first time, won 8-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 42 days ago. Retains handicap scope up 2 lb. Blinkered first time when finally winning a handicap six weeks ago on latest start, on AW.
4
2nd (4) (6/1 +0%) Marcus
6
6/1(+0%)
(4) Marcus 6/1, 22/1, bit below form sixth of 12 in handicap at Southwell (5f) 9 days ago. Placed previous 3 starts so capable of bouncing back. 0-13 but three seconds and he's been banging at the door on turf and AW this year.
2
3rd (2) (25/1 -56%) Lady Nagin
25
25/1(-56%)
(2) Lady Nagin 25/1, Latest win at Lingfield in May. Seventh of 11 in handicap at Chelmsford (5f, 66/1) 28 days ago, making little impression on first start following a break. AW win in May; unraced on softer than good, with vast majority of her races on AW.
5
4th (5) (10/11 +17%) Tommytwohoots
0.909091
10/11(+17%)
(5) Tommytwohoots 10/11, 28/1, improved on recent efforts to win 9-runner handicap at Nottingham (6.1f, heavy) 8 days ago, keeping on well. Leading claims given he escapes a penalty for that apprentice win. Won well off this mark in apprentice event at Nottingham (6f, heavy) eight days ago.
1
5th (1) (8/1 +27%) Chiedozie
8
8/1(+27%)
(1) Chiedozie 8/1, Remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs. Last of 11 in handicap (33/1) at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 3 days ago. Bounce back called for. 0-16 but it's easy to give her a chance on form; last of 11 on AW three days ago.
13:30 Brighton Handicap (Class 6) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
First-time blinkers seemed to provide the missing ingredient for MY GENGHIS when he kept on well to score over 6f at Wolverhampton and, with excellent apprentice Jack Doughty retaining the ride, a 2lb higher mark might not be enough to prevent the five-year-old from following up. Tommytwohoots, who is 6lb well-in after his surprise heavy-ground success at Nottingham, is feared most, with the well-handicapped Lady Nagin also a key player.
TOMMYTWOHOOTS escapes a penalty for last week's convincing Nottingham win so his follow-up claims appear to be bright. Fellow last-time-out winner My Genghis is the obvious danger, though Marcus is likely to bounce back from a rare poor run at Southwell.
His overall record is too inconsistent for comfort but TOMMYTWOHOOTS showed again last week how well he can go on heavy ground.
(2) Celtic Dino , Showed fairly useful when winning 2 of his 3 starts in bumpers last season and rates a useful prospect for novice hurdling. Smart bumper form and reappears for hurdle debut with his yard going well.
5
2nd (5) ( ) Ma Shantou
0
()
(5) Ma Shantou , Excellent start when third of 10 in a Fairyhouse bumper in December and, having moved to current yard for £120,000, opened his account impressively at Huntingdon next time. Shaped as if amiss when tailed off in Grade 2 at Aintree on final outing and of interest now switched to hurdles. Finished last in his final bumper (Grade 2) but created a big impression the time before.
1
3rd (1) ( ) American Land
0
()
(1) American Land , Placed both starts in bumpers but has yet to better modest form over hurdles and looked awkward when well held at Fontwell on final run in April. Hasn't built on initial promise but has time on his side to come good again.
8
4th (8) ( ) Vaguely Royal
0
()
(8) Vaguely Royal , Useful stayer on the Flat for John & Thady Gosden. Changed hands for 65,000 gns in July and is an interesting hurdling debutant. Record of 3-14 for the Gosdens and was not only decidedly useful but a strong stayer.
7
5th (7) ( ) Ugo Bingo
0
()
(7) Ugo Bingo , Fair form when winning sole Flat start in France but looks to be being brought along gradually in this sphere. Won a minor Flat race in France but has stopped quickly in his two British starts.
4
6th (4) ( ) Jingle Jangle Jet
0
()
(4) Jingle Jangle Jet , Showed modest form in a couple of bumpers and was held in fifth when unseating his rider 2 out at Sedgefield on hurdles debut just over 3 weeks ago. Going okay when unseating at Sedgefield but this looks a stronger race.
3
7th (3) ( ) Diesel Line
0
()
(3) Diesel Line , Attracted support and made a winning debut in good style in 9-runner bumper at Exeter in February 2023. However, has been disappointing so far over hurdles and has something to prove after 6 months off. Bumper winner but pretty much tailed off in his three hurdles last season, at about 2m.
6
8th (6) ( ) Reggino
0
()
(6) Reggino , Raced freely when unplaced in a trio of maidens for Jedd O'Keeffe in 2019. Can only be watched making hurdling bow after such a long absence. Some Flat promise in 2019 and makes hurdling/stable debut after a mammoth absence.
13:43 Wincanton Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 15f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Sam Thomas has his team at the top of their game and dual bumper winner CELTIC DINO could continue his trainer's good form. The five-year-old looks just the type to excel now tackling timber and he should be very hard to beat if taking to this discipline. Fellow hurdling debutant Ma Shantou also boasted some good NH Flat form last season and isn't taken lightly on his reappearance. He is feared most, ahead of 93-rated Flat performer Vaguely Royal.
CELTIC DINO impressed in bumpers and has both the size and scope to make his mark over jumps, so he's taken to get off to the perfect start in this sphere. Vaguely Royal is an interesting hurdles recruit having shown a good level of form on the Flat for John & Thady Gosden, with Ma Shantou also of interest.
Sam Thomas has had a good week and his CELTIC DINO ran to a high enough level in bumpers to believe he could be a smart hurdler.
(4) East Hampton 7/2, Promising individual. Seventh of 11 in maiden (13/2) at Leopardstown (6.5f, good) 91 days ago. Back from a break and good chance there is more to come. Encouragement in all 3 starts so far; one of the standard setters and soft likely fine.
14
2nd (14) (50/1 +24%) Dmaniac
50
50/1(+24%)
(14) Dmaniac 50/1, Once-raced colt. Seventh of 9 in maiden (100/1) at Navan (5f, good to firm) on debut 49 days ago. Showed very little when 100-1 for his Navan debut.
13
3rd (13) (15/2 -25%) Ballintogher
7.5
15/2(-25%)
(13) Ballintogher 15/2, Once-raced gelding. Sixth of 18 in maiden (18/1) at this C&D (good to soft) on debut 19 days ago. Stayed on having missed the break in C&D maiden and should act on softer ground.
19
4th (19) (16/1 -14%) Asdana
16
16/1(-14%)
(19) Asdana 16/1, Twice-raced filly. 40/1, sixth of 15 in maiden at Tipperary (7.4f, good to firm) 69 days ago. 4th to January on debut but didn't build on that in fillies' maiden since.
18
5th (18) (15/2 +81%) Titan Sun
7.5
15/2(+81%)
(18) Titan Sun 15/2, Foaled March 25. Belardo colt. Half-brother to 1m winner Laguna Veneta and 2-y-o 6f winner Niamhtree. Belardo colt; half-brother to 2 winners; may need further but ground probably fine.
20
6th (20) (11/2 +73%) Naval Ensign
5.5
11/2(+73%)
(20) Naval Ensign 11/2, Foaled March 22. £32,500 yearling (private sale), Golden Horde filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including 2-y-o 5.7f winner Soldier Lions and 2-y-o 5f winner Takana. Interesting newcomer potentially well drawn. Golden Horde filly; £52,000 yearling; speedy pedigree and market support worth noting.
1
7th (1) (25/1 -79%) Gran Habano
25
25/1(-79%)
(1) Gran Habano 25/1, Held in a listed race on debut then eighth of 13 in maiden at Cork (5f, good to soft, 13/2) 149 days ago. Off since and gelded. Retains potential. 8l 4th in Listed race on debut but didn't build on that in a maiden; gelded.
6
8th (6) (13/2 +24%) Marys Not Contrary
6.5
13/2(+24%)
(6) Marys Not Contrary 13/2, Thrice-raced filly. Fifth of 12 in maiden (25/1) at Naas (5.9f, good to firm) 28 days ago. Booking of Foley a plus. 6th of 11 on Curragh debut; lesser efforts twice since; unproven on soft and bit to find.
17
9th (17) (80/1 +20%) Lyle The Crocodile
80
80/1(+20%)
(17) Lyle The Crocodile 80/1, Once-raced gelding. Eleventh of 19 in maiden at Navan (5.8f, good to soft, 150/1) on debut 8 days ago. Looked green on last week's debut and was sent off 150-1; likely to need more time.
12
10th (12) (11/2 +39%) Have I Told You
5.5
11/2(+39%)
(12) Have I Told You 11/2, Once-raced filly. Fifth of 14 in maiden (9/2) at Down Royal (7.1f, soft) on debut 17 days ago. Open to improvement. 5th beaten 8l in fillies' maiden on debut and that didn't seem a strong contest.
21
11th (21) (125/1 -56%) Sarahmae
125
125/1(-56%)
(21) Sarahmae 125/1, Twice-raced filly. 66/1, eighth of 10 in maiden at Dundalk (7f) 20 days ago, not knocked about. Well held in fillies' maidens on both starts so far and tough ask here.
11
12th (11) (16/1 +52%) Amavasya
16
16/1(+52%)
(11) Amavasya 16/1, Once-raced filly. Seventh of 18 in maiden (100/1) at this C&D (good to soft) on debut 19 days ago, never nearer. 7th when 100s for C&D maiden on debut and softer ground probably fine.
22
13th (22) (40/1 +0%) Chriselli
40
40/1(+0%)
(22) Chriselli 40/1, Foaled April 11. Camacho filly. Sister to 7f winner Charlisse, and half-sister to several winners, including winner up to 1¼m Essenaitch and 6f/7f winner Kareless. Camacho filly; sister to 7f AW winner Charlisse; yard 0-8 with 2yos last five years..
8
14th (8) (200/1 -33%) City Pass
200
200/1(-33%)
(8) City Pass 200/1, Twice-raced gelding. Sixteenth of 18 in maiden at this C&D (good to soft, 150/1) 19 days ago. Well held at huge odds in pair of runs so far.
10
15th (10) (25/1 +0%) Talgo Abbess
25
25/1(+0%)
(10) Talgo Abbess 25/1, Twice-raced gelding. Tenth of 14 in maiden (14/1) at Galway (7f, soft) 76 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Encouraging 5th in maiden on debut; didn't build on that when 10th since; gelded.
7
16th (7) (80/1 -264%) Ballymagreehan
80
80/1(-264%)
(7) Ballymagreehan 80/1, Foaled March 6. 14,000 gns yearling, Sergei Prokofiev colt. Dam maiden (stayed 7f), half-sister to useful winner up to 6f Show Stealer. Sergei Prokofiev colt; dam placed 7f AW (RPR 66); may need this but check market.
3
17th (3) (14/1 -180%) Cali Case
14
14/1(-180%)
(3) Cali Case 14/1, Foaled April 24. £27,000 yearling, £42,000 2-y-o, Showcasing gelding. Closely related to winner up to 1m Liberation Bay and 6f winner Cajetan, and half-brother to 5f winner Supercontango. Appealing newcomer under Colin Keane. Tongue tied. Son of Showcasing; £42,000 breeze-up; already gelded and tongue-tie on for debut.
15
18th (15) (200/1 -33%) Historical Fact
200
200/1(-33%)
(15) Historical Fact 200/1, Twice-raced gelding. 150/1, ninth of 11 in maiden at Cork (6f, good to firm) 36 days ago. Huge prices and well held on quicker ground in two runs to date.
2
19th (2) (100/1 -52%) Toastoftinseltown
100
100/1(-52%)
(2) Toastoftinseltown 100/1, Once-raced colt. 28/1, last of 17 in maiden at Fairyhouse (6f, good) on debut. Off 125 days. Last of 17 when 28-1 for a Fairyhouse maiden on debut; off 125 days.
9
20th (9) (14/1 -27%) Classical Symphony
14
14/1(-27%)
(9) Classical Symphony 14/1, Foaled March 20. 15,000 gns foal, €28,000 yearling, €62,000 2-y-o, Sergei Prokofiev colt. Dam thrice-raced maiden. Tongue tied. Interesting newcomer. Sergei Prokofiev colt; 62,000euros breeze-up; tongue-tie on for debut.
5
21st (5) (150/1 -275%) Grazi Mille
150
150/1(-275%)
(5) Grazi Mille 150/1, 15/2, last of 16 in claimer at Fairyhouse (7f, good) on debut 24 days ago, very slowly away. Hooded for 1st time. Last of 16 when 15-2 for a claimer on debut; hood now tried.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
EAST HAMPTON is already familiar with competing over this course and distance and drops to a lesser maiden on his return following a break. He met trouble in running when showing promise on debut in May and, while beaten twice subsequently when racing too keenly, he still shaped with enough promise to suggest he can win this. Asdana has bumped into some smart fillies at both Gowran and Tipperary and is interesting now dropped in distance. Colin Keane rides 42,000-pound April breeze-up purchase Cali Case and he should be noted for any market support on debut.
There is more to come from EAST HAMPTON back from a break and he gets the vote over newcomers Cali Case and Classical Symphony.
There was plenty of promise in BALLINTOGHER's C&D run when last seen and he should handle softer conditions
(2) Western Zephyr 11/4, Winner of 3 of his half-a-dozen starts over hurdles and positive start in this sphere last season, placed in handicaps over this C&D and at Sandown. Well below par final 3 starts of that campaign but will have a serious chance if resuming at the top of his game after a breathing operation. Became disappointing last season but break/wind surgery may have helped; well treated.
5
2nd (5) (9/4 +44%) The Churchill Lad
2.25
9/4(+44%)
(5) The Churchill Lad 9/4, Hit the target 3 times over hurdles and perfect start in this sphere when seeing off 4 rivals at Hexham (15.6f, good) recently. This 4 lb higher mark should be manageable and he merits respect. Won on recent chase debut at Hexham and could improve for today's stiffer test; key player.
3
3rd (3) (2/1 +40%) Donnacha
2
2/1(+40%)
(3) Donnacha 2/1, Proved consistent over hurdles last season, signing that campaign off with a clear-cut success at Exeter (18.5f, heavy) when last seen in April. Makes chase debut off a 5 lb higher mark but likely to play a leading role if his jumping passes the test. Progressive hurdler last term; has come from Devon for seasonal/chase debut; respected.
4
|U| (4) (16/1 -14%) Joshua Des Flos
16
16/1(-14%)
(4) Joshua Des Flos 16/1, Placed both starts in bumpers and made the most of a good opportunity when opening his account over hurdles with plenty in hand at Ayr (2m, heavy) in January. Below par at Down Royal later that month, though, and he's opposable sent chasing following an 8-month absence. Lightly raced 6yo who brings potential to chase/stable debut; one of two for the yard.
6
|PU| (6) (6/1 -80%) Dollar Collar
6
6/1(-80%)
(6) Dollar Collar 6/1, £30,000 purchase after winning an Irish point last October and much improved second time of asking under Rules when landing 2m Hexham maiden hurdle in March. Good second in a Kelso novice the following month and she will be a threat if taking well to fences at the first attempt. Point winner who has also shown considerable promise over hurdles; interesting contender.
13:57 Carlisle Handicap Chase (Class 3) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Chase/seasonal debutant Donnacha is an infrequent runner at this venue for trainer Nigel Hawke and he must enter calculations having capped off last season with a career-best victory at Exeter. However, THE CHURCHILL LAD made a winning chase bow at Hexham 13 days ago and that experience could prove crucial. A 4lb rise for that triumph looks more than workable and the five-year-old shades the verdict. Western Zephyr is also noted.
This looks pretty trappy and the suggestion is WESTERN ZEPHYR, who resumes on an attractive mark and will have every chance if able to get back on track. Dollar Collar and Donnacha are both of interest starting out over fences here, while The Churchill Lad is respected in his bid to maintain his 100% record in this sphere and Parisencore is also shortlisted.
Three-time hurdle winner DONNACHA has travelled from Devon to make his seasonal and chasing debut and earns the vote.
(2) Mini Mac 5/2, Foaled March 24. 28,000 gns yearling, 21,000 gns 2-y-o, Dark Angel gelding. Dam, ran twice, closely related to smart winner up to 7f Saint Lawrence. Displayed plenty of ability amidst greenness when third of 7 at Bath a week ago. Sure to improve. Promising third at Bath (behind Rory Rocket) despite getting loose before the start.
3
2nd (3) (5/4 +58%) Pickering Castle
1.25
5/4(+58%)
(3) Pickering Castle 5/4, Low-key debut but much more like it when third of 13 in novice at Chelmsford City (7f) 19 days ago, staying on well despite still looking in need of the experience. That just about sets the standard. Latest run gives him strong form claims provided he can deal with this shorter trip.
1
3rd (1) (5/1 +9%) Jersey Maverick
5
5/1(+9%)
(1) Jersey Maverick 5/1, Shaped better the result when when fifth of 9 in novice at Kempton (6f, 14/1) 27 days ago, not knocked about. Capable of better. Saddle slipping early was no help last time but his two previous runs were nothing special.
6
4th (6) (25/1 -108%) Tara Road
25
25/1(-108%)
(6) Tara Road 25/1, Promising debut but in danger of going the wrong way, eighth of 11 in maiden (10/1) at Southwell (6.1f) 12 days ago. Cheekpieces on first time. Hasn't progressed from her respectable debut when beaten under 2l at Wolverhampton.
7
5th (7) (5/1 +64%) Evanka
5
5/1(+64%)
(7) Evanka 5/1, Produced best effort to date when fifth of 14 in maiden at Chelmsford City (6f, 16/1) 7 days ago. All three runs on the AW, showing more last week at Chelmsford when fifth of 14.
14:05 Brighton Stakes (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
RORY ROCKET showed promise to finish second on both of his previous starts and having already proven himself capable of handling cut in the ground, the son of Aclaim is presented with a decent chance of coming out on top. Mini Mac was a length and a half behind the selection in third at Bath last week and, entitled to be wiser, can make his presence felt. Pickering Castle is another going the right way and also warrants consideration.
MINI MAC's debut wasn't devoid of promise and sure to know more this time, he might find the necessary improvement to see off the likes of Pickering Castle and Rory Rocket.
Given the heavy conditions and when bearing in mind he got loose before the start, MINI MAC made a positive debut at Bath.
(1) Kick Up A Storm 11/2, In first-time cheekpieces, successful on handicap debut at Exeter (23.1f, good) in April, before possibly finding the race coming too soon on his next outing. Unseated at the third at Stratford on his latest run in July, so he could still have more to offer. Exeter 2m7f winner; has a bit to prove off current mark and stable is quiet right now.
4
2nd (4) (7/2 +42%) The Bold Thady
3.5
7/2(+42%)
(4) The Bold Thady 7/2, Finally off the mark at Fontwell (25.8f) in May and, after a couple of lesser efforts, bounced back to form when narrowly doubling his tally at Worcester (23f, good) last month. Capable of getting involved if he's on a going day. Had luck on his side to win at Worcester and wouldn't be obvious follow-up material.
2
3rd (2) (13/2 +7%) Caher Roes Den
6.5
13/2(+7%)
(2) Caher Roes Den 13/2, Irish point winner who has shown some promise in his first 3 starts over hurdles, third in maiden at Ludlow (23.8f, heavy) when last seen in February. Off 7 months but he appeals as the type to better now sent handicapping. Point winner; well held under rules but can raise his game in handicaps.
6
4th (6) (9/1 -64%) Musique De Fee
9
9/1(-64%)
(6) Musique De Fee 9/1, Took a step forward when making a winning handicap debut at Ludlow (21.2f, good) in April, before shaping as if needing a stiffer test under firmer conditions when fourth at the same C&D the following month. Major player as she goes up in trip. 2m5f winner at Ludlow; below par back there last time; returns from a break.
11
5th (11) (50/1 -52%) Joyful Kit
50
50/1(-52%)
(11) Joyful Kit 50/1, Remains a maiden after 34 starts overall and she never really threatened when fifth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Fontwell (21.8f, good to firm) on her latest outing in August. Faces a tough ask from out of the weights. She's now 0-34 and being 8lb wrong is clearly not ideal.
3
6th (3) (7/1 +42%) Micronormous
7
7/1(+42%)
(3) Micronormous 7/1, Bumper winner who proved she retains her ability after 16 months off when third in maiden at Worcester (23f, good) in September. Well held at the same course next time (20f, soft), but she's not written off as she makes only her second handicap start. Watch the weather as soft ground could have been a factor for her latest defeat.
8
7th (8) (7/2 +42%) No More No
3.5
7/2(+42%)
(8) No More No 7/2, After 4 months off and in first-time visor, left previous form behind sent handicapping when successful at Stratford in May. Well positioned when resuming winning ways at Southwell (24.3f, good to firm) 2 weeks ago, but he can give another good account. Two wins and a close second since sent into handicaps and looks progressive.
7
8th (7) (16/1 -60%) Hugueneau
16
16/1(-60%)
(7) Hugueneau 16/1, Off the mark at Huntingdon (19.6f) in May (awarded the race having suffered interference) and continued in good heart upped to 23f on next 2 starts. However, pulled up following mistake at the third at Fontwell last time, so bounce back now called for. Latest run was puzzling but had been running well; each-way claims.
5
9th (5) (18/1 -157%) Cherry Cola
18
18/1(-157%)
(5) Cherry Cola 18/1, Fair staying handicapper on the Flat who fell at the last back over hurdles in maiden at Plumpton (20.5f, good to soft) 25 days ago, plugging on in third but held at the time. Merits consideration upped in trip back in a handicap. Six Flat wins; maiden hurdler but has placed form and worth a go over this far.
9
|PU| (9) (10/1 +17%) Joker De Thaix
10
10/1(+17%)
(9) Joker De Thaix 10/1, Made the frame in a Uttoxeter maiden (19.9f) but that remains a standout effort, pulled up on handicap debut at Taunton in March. Jumped none too fluently at Fontwell on his return, so he has work to do with hood back on/tongue strap added. He's lightly raced and pedigree offers hope for this step up in trip.
10
|PU| (10) (200/1 -100%) Demelza Carne
200
200/1(-100%)
(10) Demelza Carne 200/1, Remains with little form in bumpers/over hurdles, faring no better in first-time hood when well beaten in handicap at Newton Abbot (16.8f, good to soft) 88 days ago. Looks to be up against it over this markedly longer distance. Huge improvement needed and stamina looks an issue; 6lb out of the weights.
14:18 Wincanton Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 25f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
The Bold Thady was probably fortunate to spring a surprise at Worcester last month, but another prominent role is forecast. However, a 4lb rise in the ratings does demand more from the seven-year-old and preference is for NO MORE NO. Lawney Hill's gelding arrives on the back of a career-best victory at Southwell and a 5lb higher mark is unlikely the ceiling of his ability. Kick Up A Storm may fare best of the remainder.
MUSIQUE DE FEE has shown improved form sent handicapping on her last 2 starts, getting off the mark at Ludlow in April before shaping as if a step up in trip would suit last time, so she is taken to resume winning ways having a first try at 3m. Cherry Cola could also benefit from this longer distance and is feared most, ahead of Caher Roes Den.
Very open. CAHER ROES DEN cost £110,000 after winning his point and should be capable of bettering his rules form now he's handicapping.
(13) Art Of Unity 7/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Bellewstown in October. Good fourth of 18 in handicap at Navan (5.8f, good to soft, 12/1) 8 days ago, running on. Has to be taken seriously. In good form of late, just 1lb wrong and has to enter calculations again.
6
2nd (6) (9/2 +40%) Rathbranchurch
4.5
9/2(+40%)
(6) Rathbranchurch 9/2, Good fourth of 14 in handicap at Naas (5.9f, good to soft, 40/1) 5 days ago. Looks competitive on form back on his correct mark. Fine Naas run last Saturday; due to go up 3lb in future; good draw and big run expected.
4
3rd (4) (12/1 +40%) Mount Ruapehu
12
12/1(+40%)
(4) Mount Ruapehu 12/1, 14/1, creditable 2½ lengths seventh of 17 to Lismacbryan in handicap at this course (6f, good to soft) 12 days ago. Visor fitted back over the minimum trip. Back to probably his trip and visor tried; don't rule out from potentially good draw.
16
4th (16) (33/1 +0%) Babyface
33
33/1(+0%)
(16) Babyface 33/1, 11/1, bit below form 4½ lengths sixth of 12 to Art of Unity in handicap at Bellewstown (5f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Must improve. Regressive maiden hard to see him getting into the mix although does have a good draw.
14
5th (14) (33/1 -32%) Stanhope
33
33/1(-32%)
(14) Stanhope 33/1, Latest win at Navan in May. Bit below form eleventh of 18 in handicap at Navan (5.8f, good to soft, 12/1) 8 days ago. Better for recent comeback run; 1lb wrong.
5
6th (5) (5/1 -11%) Irish Rumour
5
5/1(-11%)
(5) Irish Rumour 5/1, Winner at Navan in September. Creditable third of 8 in handicap at Navan (5f, good, 11/4) 26 days ago. Can make presence felt. Fine form since returning from a break; possibly not the ideal draw but still respected.
7
7th (7) (9/2 +10%) Saturn Seven
4.5
9/2(+10%)
(7) Saturn Seven 9/2, C&D winner. Good head second of 17 to Lismacbryan in handicap (16/1) at this course (6f, good to soft) 12 days ago. Enters calculations. Just denied here 12 days ago over 6f; definite contender if overcoming this low draw.
11
8th (11) (22/1 -83%) Lismacbryan
22
22/1(-83%)
(11) Lismacbryan 22/1, Course winner. Winner here in October. 4/1, thirteenth of 18 in handicap at Navan (5.8f, good to soft) 8 days ago. That race may have come too soon on the back of a career-best victory. Recent 6f winner here but beaten since; drop back to 5f may not be ideal.
8
9th (8) (40/1 -150%) Distillate
40
40/1(-150%)
(8) Distillate 40/1, Latest win at Cork in September. Sixth of 7 in handicap (13/2) at Bellewstown (5f, soft) 15 days ago. Bounce back required. Never got competitive at Bellewstown latest and bit to find with Rathbranchurch on that.
3
10th (3) (25/1 +24%) Sporting Hero
25
25/1(+24%)
(3) Sporting Hero 25/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. Last of 15 in handicap at this C&D (good to soft, 33/1) 19 days ago. Stiff task in C&D premier handicap here latest; will appreciate return to this grade.
10
11th (10) (6/1 +25%) Mymomentintime
6
6/1(+25%)
(10) Mymomentintime 6/1, C&D winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. Tenth of 14 in handicap (9/2) at Cork (6f, soft) 16 days ago. Return to 5f will suit. 2022 winner has modest recent Cork run to bounce back from; good draw.
12
12th (12) (16/1 -33%) Gegenpressing
16
16/1(-33%)
(12) Gegenpressing 16/1, 25/1, very good ½-length third of 17 to Lismacbryan in handicap at this course (6f, good to soft) 12 days ago, running on. Recent third to Lismacbryan was fine in the circumstances; big chance if it rains.
1
13th (1) (16/1 -113%) Hero Of The Hour
16
16/1(-113%)
(1) Hero Of The Hour 16/1, 3 wins from 11 runs this year. 11/4, career best when winning 12-runner handicap at Dundalk (5f) 13 days ago, well on top finish. 9 lb higher now back on turf but clearly in excellent order. Recent Dundalk winner hit with a 9lb rise and up to a career-high mark; doesn't want rain.
2
14th (2) (22/1 -38%) Dontspoilasale
22
22/1(-38%)
(2) Dontspoilasale 22/1, Twenty two runs since last win in 2022. Eighth of 10 in handicap at this C&D (good to soft, 16/1) 12 days ago. Never landed a blow over C&D 12 days ago but previous Down Royal run puts him in the mix.
9
15th (9) (33/1 -32%) Eruption
33
33/1(-32%)
(9) Eruption 33/1, Latest win at Bellewstown in July. 13/2, 8¾ lengths ninth of 12 to Hero of The Hour in handicap at Dundalk (5f) 13 days ago. Higher turf mark is justified. Recent AW runs well below best, more expected of back on turf.
17
16th (17) (100/1 +0%) Stella Acclamata
100
100/1(+0%)
(17) Stella Acclamata 100/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 66/1, thirteenth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (8f) 20 days ago. Significantly down in trip. Not easy to make a case for. First attempt at this trip and hard to make a case for.
15
17th (15) (14/1 +44%) Wild Mountain
14
14/1(+44%)
(15) Wild Mountain 14/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2021. 13/2, third of 8 in handicap at Ayr (6f, good to firm) 87 days ago. AW winner is 0-14 on turf; 2lb wrong here and others preferred.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
SATURN SEVEN won last year's renewal off this mark of 68 and is again likely to encounter easy ground conditions. She defeated the reopposing Art Of Unity by a short head last year and, while winless in six runs this year, she bounced back to form recently at the track when second. Lismacbryan defeated the selection that day but was subsequently well held at Navan. The aforementioned six-time winner Art Of Unity has been running well under his 10lb claimer recently, while Gegenpressing also comes into calculations.
Any number to consider but RATHBRANCHURCH ran a belter from 4 lb out of the weights when fourth at Naas on Saturday and back on his correct mark, he seems sure to go well. Art of Unity, Hero of The Hour and Lismacbryan are just a trio of potential dangers.
With the prospect of the ground easing GEGENPRESSING is taken to reverse recent course form with Lismacbryan and Saturn Seven
(5) Junker D'allier 5/2, Found only one too good all 3 starts in bumpers last season, best effort at Warwick in April. That is a good platform now hurdling. Runner-up in all three bumpers and firmly in calculations on hurdle/seasonal debut.
6
2nd (6) (9/4 +44%) Malicash
2.25
9/4(+44%)
(6) Malicash 9/4, Malinas gelding who bettered previous bumper efforts when runner-up at Kelso in February. Fared as well as could be expected in Grade 2 contest 2 months later and he's since joined Donald McCain. Very interesting hurdles debutant. Contender if transferring his bumper promise to hurdles at the first attempt; stable debut.
2
3rd (2) (9/2 -13%) Country Park
4.5
9/2(-13%)
(2) Country Park 9/2, £150,000 purchase after winning sole start in Irish points. Failed to finish his race off either start in bumpers but much more like it completed start over hurdles when runner-up at Uttoxeter in June. That puts him in the mix. Point winner who was runner-up at Uttoxeter in June and could continue to improve; chance.
4
4th (4) (22/1 -83%) Jeune Prince
22
22/1(-83%)
(4) Jeune Prince 22/1, £65,000 Al Namix gelding. Half-brother to useful bumper winner/useful hurdler Festival d'Ex, stays 2¾m, and fair hurdler Good Look Charm. Showed plenty to work on when fourth of 10 in a course bumper in February and still looked green a month later. In good hands ahead of this hurdles debut. Unable to threaten in bumpers but could take a step forward now switched to hurdles.
1
5th (1) (28/1 -12%) Chasingouttheblues
28
28/1(-12%)
(1) Chasingouttheblues 28/1, £22,000 5-y-o, first foal, dam unraced sister to very smart hurdler/top-class chaser (stays 25f) The Storyteller. Placed all 4 starts in Irish points, third latest (May 18). Placed in all four Irish maiden points and not ruled out on his hurdle debut.
7
6th (7) (40/1 +39%) Zephlyn
40
40/1(+39%)
(7) Zephlyn 40/1, Half-brother to fairly useful hurdler Aliomaana (winner around 2m). Dam sister to fairly useful hurdler (stayed 2¾m) Celestial Force. Fair handicapper on Flat, stays 2¼m, ran up to best from 6 lb out of weights last time. Bred to take to this sphere but lack the class/speed. Two-time Flat winner with peak RPR of 67; probably vulnerable on hurdle debut.
9
7th (9) (14/1 -87%) Disco Annie
14
14/1(-87%)
(9) Disco Annie 14/1, Surpassed bumper form when finding only one too good at Cartmel in May. That sets the solid if unspectacular standard. Runner-up in a point/novice hurdle but 0-5 under rules and further improvement is needed.
10
8th (10) (14/1 -180%) Lola Blue
14
14/1(-180%)
(10) Lola Blue 14/1, Fourth foal, sister to bumper winner/useful 21f hurdle winner Choccabloc. Dam (h114), bumper/17f hurdle winner, closely related to fairly useful hurdler (stays 25f) As I See It out of smart 2m-21f hurdle winner Chomba Womba. Newcomer for top yard. Useful pedigree and from top yard; she's one to be interested in on debut.
8
9th (8) (100/1 -614%) Rocket Rufus
100
100/1(-614%)
(8) Rocket Rufus 100/1, £28,000 3-y-o: third foal: dam unraced, closely related to fairly useful hurdler/chaser (stayed 25f) Sir Abbot and fairly useful hurdler (stayed 3¼m) Our Reward. Third of 4 finishers in point (Apr 20), sold £30,000 following month. Fair third in sole point; stable won division of this last year; one to watch in betting.
11
|PU| (11) (200/1 -100%) Star Contact
200
200/1(-100%)
(11) Star Contact 200/1, Limited impact both starts in Ireland for S. Curling. Didn't show much in Ireland in spring in a point and two bumpers; bought for £6,000 in May.
14:32 Carlisle Novices Hurdle (Class 4) 17f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
COUNTRY PARK offered plenty to work with on his first completed start over hurdles when runner-up to a decent sort at Uttoxeter in June. The point-to-point winner is sure to enjoy this greater emphasis on stamina and a breakthrough victory under Rules looks imminent. The biggest threat is Junker D'allier, who filled the runner-up spot on all three of his starts in bumpers last season. The Dan Skelton-trained newcomer Lola Blue must be watched closely in the betting.
Those with hurdles experience do not set an exacting standard so above-average bumper performers MALICASH and Junker d'Allier may come to the fore on reappearance. Marginal preference before market clues is with the former, starting out for a new yard. Lola Blue is also a likely-looking newcomer on paper.
The attractively bred LOLA BLUE makes her debut and gets the nod for Dan Skelton, who has a good record here.
(8) Great David 10/3, Promising sort. 7/2, fourth of 10 in maiden at Bath (8f, good) 33 days ago, not seen to best effect having been short of room. Open to improvement. Ground is a grey area but he really should have won last time at Bath.
1
2nd (1) (5/4 +44%) Far From Dandy
1.25
5/4(+44%)
(1) Far From Dandy 5/4, Different proposition on second start when winning 11-runner maiden at Yarmouth (8f, good to firm) 28 days ago, eased down. Will go on improving so will take some stopping. Ground was fast when winning at Yarmouth; chance if okay in the conditions.
9
3rd (9) (33/1 -50%) Northwest Passage
33
33/1(-50%)
(9) Northwest Passage 33/1, Foaled April 22. 6,000 gns foal, Ulysses colt. Closely related to 1¾m winner Grey Owl and half-brother to 6f winner Shawaf. Dam twice-raced half-sister to high-class French miler Tamayuz. Pedigree offers hope. 6,000gns foal; closely related to 1m6f winner Grey Owl (RPR 61).
6
4th (6) (7/2 +30%) Bear Island
3.5
7/2(+30%)
(6) Bear Island 7/2, Occupied same spot as on debut when fourth of 13 in novice at Kempton (8f) 41 days ago. Can make his presence felt. Couple of fourths on the Kempton AW, finishing appreciably closer on 7f debut.
11
5th (11) (80/1 +20%) Spuddling
80
80/1(+20%)
(11) Spuddling 80/1, Pulled up in maiden at Chepstow (7.1f, good, 100/1) on debut 52 days ago. In rear when pulled up a long way out at Chepstow (7f, good to soft) when 100-1.
3
6th (3) (22/1 -57%) Garibaldi Memory
22
22/1(-57%)
(3) Garibaldi Memory 22/1, Foaled February 12. €40,000 yearling, 50,000 gns 2-y-o, Mohaather gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including 1¼m-1½m winner Khezaana and 1½m winner Star Angel. 50,000gns 2yo (breeze-ups) and related to winners; could be interesting.
5
7th (5) (15/2 +70%) Sol Argent
7.5
15/2(+70%)
(5) Sol Argent 15/2, Sent off 50/1 and was readily brushed aside when fourth of 7 in maiden (50/1) at Newmarket (8f, soft) on debut 21 days ago. Hard to know what he achieved when a 15l fourth behind well-bred horses at Newmarket.
10
8th (10) (250/1 0%) Rue D'etoile
250
250/1(0%)
(10) Rue D'etoile 250/1, Twice-raced maiden. Blinkered for first time, last of 8 in novice at Salisbury (8f, good to soft, 200/1) 14 days ago. Cheekpieces now tried. Has finished last in both his races at mammoth odds; cheekpieces replace blinkers.
7
9th (7) (250/1 -25%) Demesne Boy
250
250/1(-25%)
(7) Demesne Boy 250/1, 250/1, eleventh of 12 in novice at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 10 days ago. Right out the back in 7f races here and at Wolverhampton; will need low-grade handicaps.
4
10th (4) (10/1 +0%) Pure Tenacity
10
10/1(+0%)
(4) Pure Tenacity 10/1, Foaled April 8. 26,000 gns yearling, 55,000 gns 2-y-o, Sea The Moon gelding. Half-brother to 5f winner Carry On Aitch and 7f winner Viridian. Dam, maiden (stayed 1m), half-sister to useful 1m winner (stayed 1¼m) Oh Goodness Me. 55,000gns breeze-up buy; half-brother to two winners at an ordinary level.
14:40 Brighton Stakes (Class 4) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
SUPER MIRAGE impressed, despite running green, when he made a winning debut at Bath and a penalty is unlikely to cause too many issues as this potentially useful son of Arizona bids to follow up. Something of a surprise winner at Yarmouth, Far From Dandy was still eyecatching enough to suggest he can also be a player here. Great David and Bear Island appeal most of the rest with experience, while Pure Tenacity is an interesting newcomer.
FAR FROM DANDY clearly derived plenty from his debut when a ready winner at Yarmouth a month ago, value for extra to boot, and on that evidence, he's up to defying a penalty. Super Mirage was also well on top when successful at Bath so he must be considered a threat, with Great David another to note.
The ground is a grey area for GREAT DAVID but the same is true for a few in here and the selection should really have won at Bath.
(2) Lord Accord 6/4, Multiple winner over both hurdles/fences. Rather went off the boil last season but belatedly cashed in on a lower hurdles mark returning from 8 weeks off in an uncompetitive race at Sedgefield (27f, good) just over 3 weeks ago, making all. Considered back over the larger obstacles. Well handicapped and latest hurdle win should have done his confidence some good.
6
2nd (6) (9/2 -35%) Hold Your Fort
4.5
9/2(-35%)
(6) Hold Your Fort 9/2, Really turned a corner since upped in trip over fences, posting his best effort yet when completing a Newton Abbot (25.8f, good) 4-timer just under 4 weeks ago, his jumping again impeccable. Handicapper applies further pressure but unlikely he's finished improving yet on that evidence. Has rocketed up the weights for going 4-5 over fences; 5lb rise for last time seems fair.
1
3rd (1) (9/1 -38%) Investment Manager
9
9/1(-38%)
(1) Investment Manager 9/1, Back on the scoreboard at Newton Abbot in May and capitalised on lower hurdles mark tackling extended 26f trip back there just over 5 weeks ago. Likely to be competitive again returned to larger obstacles. On a realistic mark back over fences and should give his running.
5
|F| (5) (5/2 +29%) Inflexible
2.5
5/2(+29%)
(5) Inflexible 5/2, Showed improved form to get off the mark fitted with cheekpieces at this C&D (good) when last seen 6 months ago, probably benefiting from being sent to the front a long way out. Looks a thorough stayer and should have even more to offer this season. C&D winner in the spring; raised 7lb but he's only a 6yo and can improve some more.
3
|PU| (3) (13/2 -63%) Fantastikas
6.5
13/2(-63%)
(3) Fantastikas 13/2, Progressive as a novice chaser but largely disappointing thereafter. Did finish runner-up on second of 3 starts from his much-reduced mark last season though, and he returns from 9 months off with his yard firing in the winners. Back from a break with his yard in terrific form; well handicapped and much respected.
14:53 Wincanton Handicap Chase (Class 3) 25f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Having made light work of his rivals on the switch to hurdles at Newton Abbot, four-time chase winner INVESTMENT MANAGER makes plenty of appeal reverting to the larger obstacles. Joe Tizzard's charge looks to have a race of this nature within his compass and a double could be on the cards. Lord Accord is 6lb higher than for his 16-length romp over timber at Sedgefield, but that is unlikely to prevent another bold bid and he isn't taken lightly. Newton Abbot specialist Hold Your Fort completes the shortlist.
HOLD YOUR FORT has been one of the success stories of the summer and with the ceiling of his ability yet to be ascertained, Debra Hamer's 5-y-o is fancied to make it 5 on the spin at the expense of Inflexible, who got off the mark fitted with cheekpieces at this C&D in April and should have even more to offer this season. Recent hurdles winner Lord Accord can edge out Investment Manager for third.
Competitive. FANTASTIKAS (nap) is handicapped to win races and he returns from a break with his yard going great guns.
(5) Bard Of Avon 6/5, Thrice-raced colt. Sixth of 9 in maiden (evens) at Dundalk (10.7f) 27 days ago, left poorly placed. Worth another chance with this trip sure to suit. Fairly useful form so far with potential for more now upped in trip.
2
2nd (2) (22/1 +56%) Jack Mcnamara
22
22/1(+56%)
(2) Jack Mcnamara 22/1, 25/1, fourteenth of 23 in maiden at this course (8f, heavy) on debut. Off 180 days. Significantly up in trip. Too keen and didn't get home on debut here back in April on heavy; first run since.
7
3rd (7) (7/1 -27%) Hypnosis
7
7/1(-27%)
(7) Hypnosis 7/1, Twice-raced colt. Eighth of 9 in maiden (9/4) at Tipperary (9f, heavy). Off 12 months. Significantly up in trip and couldn't be in better hands. Back from year's absence; brother to High Definition bred to appreciate the trip.
9
4th (9) (14/1 -40%) Another Night
14
14/1(-40%)
(9) Another Night 14/1, Tenth of 22 in maiden at this course (10f, good, 16/1) 54 days ago. Cheekpieces on first time. Some debut promise but latest run here leaves her with a bit to find; cheekpieces tried.
10
5th (10) (5/2 -11%) Liltia
2.5
5/2(-11%)
(10) Liltia 5/2, Excellent second of 10 in maiden at Navan (10.2f, good, 10/1) 26 days ago. Stable in good form and she sets a solid standard. Strong-finishing Navan second worth a try at this longer trip and big player if she stays.
8
6th (8) (9/1 -13%) Kaptain Bay
9
9/1(-13%)
(8) Kaptain Bay 9/1, Fourth of 15 in juvenile hurdle (15/8) at Gowran (16f, good) 12 days ago. Blinkers/tongue strap combination on for first time. Placed here in April; recent hurdles form could give him a fitness edge.
6
7th (6) (16/1 -45%) Dr Waksman
16
16/1(-45%)
(6) Dr Waksman 16/1, Fifth of 18 in maiden at this course (10f, good to soft, 150/1) 18 days ago, finishing well. That was a big step up on previous efforts. Eyecatcher over 1m2f here last month; step up in trip here could bring more improvement.
1
8th (1) (22/1 -10%) Collaborative
22
22/1(-10%)
(1) Collaborative 22/1, Promising sort. 40/1, fifth of 11 in novice hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, heavy). Off 8 months. Fair form sole previous Flat start. Promising fourth in this race last year for Dermot Weld but not much since over hurdles.
11
9th (11) (250/1 -25%) Sea Of Beauty
250
250/1(-25%)
(11) Sea Of Beauty 250/1, 200/1, eighth of 10 in maiden at Listowel (8f, good to soft) 24 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Poor form so far over shorter, easily overlooked.
4
10th (4) (200/1 -100%) Florance
200
200/1(-100%)
(4) Florance 200/1, 33/1 and tongue strap on for first time, tenth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, good) 10 days ago. Flat debut (had lots of exposure in bumpers). Modest hurdles form of late and hard to see her having an impact here on Flat debut.
3
11th (3) (150/1 -275%) Milverton
150
150/1(-275%)
(3) Milverton 150/1, Making Flat debut. 13/2, last of 7 in bumper at Kelso (16.2f, good) 29 days ago. Tongue strap retained. Perth bumper second soundly beaten at Kelso since; best watched.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
This looks quite open and with no standout name in the line-up, it might be worth taking a chance on DR WAKSMAN. He had a far-from-smooth passage when last seen but still managed to finish a never-nearer fifth, with this step up in trip likely to play to his strengths. Bard Of Avon didn't act on the surface at Dundalk and a reproduction of his penultimate effort would probably be good enough to take a contest of this quality. A brother to Group 2 winner High Definition, Hypnosis is of definite interest returning from a lengthy absence, while Liltia, Another Night (first-time cheekpieces) and Kaptain Bay are others for the shortlist.
LILTIA took her form to a new level when runner-up at Navan a month ago and a repeat of that may well suffice for her in-form yard. This trip seems sure to suit Bard of Avon so he's a huge threat, while Hypnosis surely has a bigger performance in him given the connections he represents.
Preference is for DR WAKSMAN, who flew home here last month over 1m2f after getting into all kinds of trouble
(7) I Wish You 7/2, Shaped with promise when runner-up on all his four outings last season, ending in juvenile hurdle at Hexham (2m, heavy) in April. The form pick on his return. Runner-up on all four starts; some interesting rivals today but can go well once more.
5
2nd (5) (6/5 +47%) Woodland Park
1.2
6/5(+47%)
(5) Woodland Park 6/5, Confirmed debut promise when bagging 10-runner bumper at Market Rasen (16.6f, good to soft) 6 months ago. Interesting hurdling debutant. Market Rasen bumper winner; likeable prospect and he's a strong candidate on hurdle debut.
3
3rd (3) (2/1 +60%) Gentleman Bill
2
2/1(+60%)
(3) Gentleman Bill 2/1, Winning pointer who landed 7-runner bumper at Newcastle (16.9f, heavy) on NH debut 6 months ago. Much respected on his hurdles debut. Point and bumper winner who could play a leading role on this first hurdle start.
2
4th (2) (16/1 +52%) Dino Bellagio
16
16/1(+52%)
(2) Dino Bellagio 16/1, Dual bumper winner but offered little over hurdles at Bangor and Doncaster (cheekpieces on) last season. More needed after 9 months off. Promising in bumpers in 2022-23 but struggled last season on his two hurdle starts.
4
5th (4) (80/1 -21%) Some Bro
80
80/1(-21%)
(4) Some Bro 80/1, Placed a couple of times between the flags but only modest form in two runs over hurdles at Punchestown and Hexham. Needs to step forward. Placed in points but well beaten back under rules at Hexham recently; others preferred.
8
6th (8) (150/1 -127%) Vampire Slayer
150
150/1(-127%)
(8) Vampire Slayer 150/1, Fair maiden on the Flat and he came in second of 7 in handicap here (11.2f) in May. Off since but not ruled out back in this sphere. 0-13 on the Flat and well beaten at 100-1 over C&D in March on his sole hurdle start.
9
7th (9) (300/1 -100%) Bellmount Lady
300
300/1(-100%)
(9) Bellmount Lady 300/1, Well held a pair of bumpers at Kelso and Hexham in early summer. Lots more required now making her hurdles debut. Down the field in May/June in both bumpers; hurdle debut.
1
8th (1) (100/1 -52%) Didntgotwenty
100
100/1(-52%)
(1) Didntgotwenty 100/1, Soldier of Fortune gelding. Half-brother to fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser Law Ella and winning pointer/fair hurdler Westy Fox, stays 25f. Unplaced both starts in Irish points, last of 4 finishers latest one in May. Market can guide. Displayed some ability in Irish point but not enough to suggest he's the one to be on here.
11
9th (11) (12/1 +14%) Windsor Wife
12
12/1(+14%)
(11) Windsor Wife 12/1, £10,000 3-y-o, £15,000 4-y-o, Doyen filly. Dam fair 19f chase winner. Dead-heated for first sole outing in Irish points in May so she's a respected hurdling newcomer. Dead-heated in sole Irish point; one of two for the stable and a market check is advised.
6
|F| (6) (11/1 -10%) Yhprum's Law
11
11/1(-10%)
(6) Yhprum's Law 11/1, Kayf Tara gelding fetched €92,000 as a 3-y-o. Hinted at promise when sixth of 10 in bumper (3/1) at Market Rasen (16.6f, soft) on NH debut 10 months ago. In top hands so considered now going over hurdles. No impact in bumper 12 months ago and absent since, but is in top hands; check the betting.
15:07 Carlisle Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 17f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Gentleman Bill did it well when scoring comfortably over 2m1f in a Newcastle bumper on his debut for this yard last season and, provided he is fully tuned up on his return to action, he should go well now tackling hurdles for the first time. That said, WOODLAND PARK is narrowly preferred. The 110,000-euro son of Walk In The Park looked a gelding of considerable potential when bolting up at Market Rasen when last seen and, on his hurdling debut, a bold bid is expected. I Wish You is the pick of the remainder.
Jamie Snowden's LA MARQUISE showed plenty in bumpers last season so is fancied to make a winning start in this sphere at the chief expense of form choice I Wish You who might have to settle for second yet again. Woodland Park, Windsor Wife and Gentleman Bill are other hurdling debutants who could have a say.
Preference is for hurdling newcomer LA MARQUISE, who was third in the Grade 2 mares' bumper at Aintree in April.
(6) Marsh Benham 5/2, Ungenuine type. C&D winner. Latest win here in October. Bit below form sixth of 10 in handicap at Leicester (8.2f, heavy, 16/1) 2 days ago. Carries penalty. Booking of Callan a plus. Easy win over C&D last week but well held under penalty at Leicester on Tuesday.
8
2nd (8) (33/1 +34%) Sixfiveseven
33
33/1(+34%)
(8) Sixfiveseven 33/1, Tongue strap on for 1st time, tenth of 12 in handicap (100/1) at Kempton (11f) 15 days ago. Down in trip. Blinkers back on. Placed twice in France but has struggled in four runs in Britain; plenty to prove.
3
3rd (3) (12/1 -33%) Optiva Star
12
12/1(-33%)
(3) Optiva Star 12/1, C&D winner. 10/1, below form sixth of 12 in handicap at Epsom (7f, soft) 35 days ago. Hood back on. Others more persuasive. Triple course winner who is a dangerous mark but he needs to raise his game.
11
4th (11) (11/2 -10%) On Song
5.5
11/2(-10%)
(11) On Song 11/2, Course winner in August. 9/2, fair fifth of 9 in handicap at Yarmouth (7f, good to firm) 28 days ago. Looks competitive on form. His two best runs have come at this track including on soft; dangerous back up in trip.
1
5th (1) (4/1 +20%) Ardbraccan
4
4/1(+20%)
(1) Ardbraccan 4/1, Winless since his reappearance but he arrives in good nick, fourth of 11 in handicap at Nottingham (8.3f, heavy) 8 days ago, slowly away. Can go very well at these weights. Generally consistent since her soft-ground win in May; not ruled out dropped back in grade.
4
6th (4) (4/1 +11%) Escape Act
4
4/1(+11%)
(4) Escape Act 4/1, Winner at Doncaster in July. 9/1, respectable fourth of 8 in handicap at Epsom (8.5f, soft) 18 days ago, not ideally placed. Ought to be in the shake-up. Still unexposed in handicaps and has possibilities on this drop back in grade.
10
7th (10) (9/1 -38%) Darvel
9
9/1(-38%)
(10) Darvel 9/1, Latest win at Bath in April. Respectable fourth of 11 in handicap (22/1) at Lingfield (8f, AW) 37 days ago. Took this in 2022 so can give another good account. Won this on soft in 2022; on workable mark and he could be a big factor back at this track.
5
8th (5) (50/1 -100%) Miggy Magic
50
50/1(-100%)
(5) Miggy Magic 50/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Thirteenth of 18 in handicap (50/1) at York (7f, soft) 6 days ago. Has work to do. Still lightly raced but he struggled on soft at York last week and is untried at this trip.
12
9th (12) (125/1 -213%) Ocean Odyssey
125
125/1(-213%)
(12) Ocean Odyssey 125/1, Ninth of 12 in handicap (150/1) at Kempton (11f) 15 days ago. Back down in trip with more needed. Regressive maiden who has struggled in his three handicaps; lots to prove.
9
10th (9) (33/1 -313%) The Smiling Wolf
33
33/1(-313%)
(9) The Smiling Wolf 33/1, Last of 7 in handicap (5/2) at Ffos Las (8f, heavy) 64 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Jack Channon with more required in first-time cheekpieces. Out of sorts this season and has plenty to prove for new yard; first-time cheekpieces.
2
11th (2) (11/1 -10%) Beau Gars
11
11/1(-10%)
(2) Beau Gars 11/1, Winner at Ffos Las in August. 8/1, last of 10 in handicap at Bath (8f, good to firm) 32 days ago so needs to get back on track. Won back from a break at Ffos Las in August but he flopped over C&D last month.
15:15 Brighton Handicap (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
ESCAPE ACT has been competing in higher-grade handicaps than this since scoring on soft going at Doncaster in July. He remains relatively unexposed and a bold bid is anticipated from the son of Mehmas back at this level. Ardbraccan has more to find off his current mark, but could still have a say in the outcome returning to this lower grade. On Song tends to save his best for this track, although his success here in August came over a shorter trip.
Lots with chances but ARDBRACCAN rates the pick at these weights and is taken to gain a deserved success. Darvel captured this prize in 2022 and seems sure to go well once more, while On Song and Profit And Loss need considering too.
It might be worth siding with DARVEL, who won this race in 2022 and is only 1lb higher than for for success at Bath this spring.
(3) Sam's Amour 4/1, Showed a bit of improvement to double her hurdle tally in 7-runner novice at Exeter (18.5f, good) last week, going with enthusiasm. Has to be respected under a penalty. 1lb well in following last week's Exeter romp (2m2.5f); return to further no issue at all..
6
1st (6) (5/2 +38%) Far Sight
2.5
5/2(+38%)
(6) Far Sight 5/2, Bumper winner who showed promise over hurdles for previous trainer and stepped up on reappearance/first start for current yard when second in 7-runner handicap at Huntingdon (20.7f) in May. That form has worked out well and he must enter calculations. Back up 2lb but can prove competitive again, especially if his jumping holds up better..
2
2nd (2) (7/2 +13%) Stay If U Want To
3.5
7/2(+13%)
(2) Stay If U Want To 7/2, Fairly useful bumper winner who opened his account over hurdles with something to spare in 10-runner maiden at Hereford (16.2f) in May. Ran to a similar level when second under a penalty at Stratford and needs a bit more now tackling handicap company for the first time. Pedigree offers grounds for optimism upped to new trip; player on handicap debut.
5
3rd (5) (14/1 -115%) Tout Sur Moi
14
14/1(-115%)
(5) Tout Sur Moi 14/1, Showed promise in bumpers and has done likewise in a trio of maiden hurdles, including when third of 13 at Taunton (16.5f) on final outing. Will be suited by this step up in trip on handicap debut and of major interest. Looks a guaranteed improver for this sort of trip, maybe more so on softer than good..
4
4th (4) (10/1 +29%) Pop The Champagne
10
10/1(+29%)
(4) Pop The Champagne 10/1, Produced a laboured effort on the Flat at Newcastle last month but she's generally reliable over hurdles. Winless since her summer 2022 novice four-timer; new trip wouldn't rate an obvious plus..
9
5th (9) (7/2 +59%) Express Surprise
3.5
7/2(+59%)
(9) Express Surprise 7/2, Ran much better than on his handicap debut fitted with a first-time tongue strap when second in 10-runner event at Stratford (22f, good) in June. Sure to be in the thick of the action once again if resuming from a break in similar form. Back to his best with a Stratford second that increased trip and going options; chance..
1
6th (1) (5/1 +50%) Shantou Express
5
5/1(+50%)
(1) Shantou Express 5/1, Bagged a small-field Stratford handicap (26.4f, good) last season but hasn't fired since. Has had a breathing operation since last seen and reappears with his yard amongst the winners. Slide not halted by second wind operation, and he's now received a third; can't recommend..
7
7th (7) (16/1 -33%) Fame And Fun
16
16/1(-33%)
(7) Fame And Fun 16/1, Won a Plumpton handicap chase in March but patchy record over fences since. His mark has edged back down as a result and possibilities if a return to hurdles sparks a revival. Returns to scene of his most recent hurdles success (2023); may prefer slightly shorter..
8
8th (8) (33/1 -32%) Just Sophie
33
33/1(-32%)
(8) Just Sophie 33/1, Won 19.5f Huntingdon novice hurdle in March 2023 and standout effort last season was when fourth of 7 at Market Rasen (23.1f, soft) in November. Probably needed the run in first-time cheekpieces at Warwick in May but has been off since. Not totally compelling but has more in her favour than last two starts; career-low mark..
15:28 Wincanton Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 21f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Sam's Amour bolted up in a novice hurdle at Exeter and she is one to take seriously now that she steps back into the handicap ranks. However, the vote goes to EXPRESS SURPRISE, who finished just over four lengths clear of the third when runner-up in a first-time tongue-tie at Stratford in June. He returns to action off just 3lb higher on only his third handicap start and he gets the nod. Stay If U Want To is another to consider.
TOUT SUR MOI shaped with plenty of encouragement in a trio of maiden hurdles last season and, with this step up in trip sure to suit, he's of major interest on his handicap debut. Far Sight ran well in a race that has worked out at Huntingdon when last seen in May and remains unexposed for his current yard, while Sam's Amour needs respecting under a penalty for last week's Exeter success.
Less likely than some to mind if the rain affects the ground, STAY IF U WANT TO can deny Exeter scorer Sam's Amour the follow-up.
(4) Apercu 4/1, Latest win at Naas (10.4f) in August. Creditable seventh of 14 in handicap at this C&D (good, 18/1) 32 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Naas winner with cheekpieces on in August; struggled since; blinkers could help.
2
2nd (2) (9/4 -13%) Fleetfoot
2.25
9/4(-13%)
(2) Fleetfoot 9/4, Lightly-raced 4-y-o who showed benefit of his belated reappearance run when second of 9 in handicap at Tipperary (9f, soft, 5/1) 11 days ago. Arrives here fresher than most and he's one to be interested in again. Missed a year but came on from return when 2nd last week and he's won on heavy.
3
3rd (3) (11/4 -22%) Scholarship
2.75
11/4(-22%)
(3) Scholarship 11/4, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. 10/1, good second of 9 in handicap at Listowel (12f, good to soft) 24 days ago, caught further back than ideal. Shortlist material. Beaten half length (C&D) in June and 2nd again latest; drop in trip on slower ground fine.
1
4th (1) (8/1 -60%) Fiver Friday
8
8/1(-60%)
(1) Fiver Friday 8/1, Enjoying a fine season and resumed winning ways in a race run to suit at Naas (10.4f) in August. Excuses both starts since, set a stiff task when eighth of 9 to Bellezza in Diamond Stakes at Dundalk (10.7f) 20 days ago. This more suitable. 3 wins already this year; excuses on last 2 starts but best form with good in the going.
5
5th (5) (40/1 -60%) Our Town
40
40/1(-60%)
(5) Our Town 40/1, 25/1, first run since leaving John & Sean Quinn when last of 4 in minor event at Punchestown (9.2f, good) 30 days ago. That run may have been needed on the back of 4 months off and this promises to reveal more. Hasn't beaten a rival in 3 runs since switching from France.
6
6th (6) (16/1 -33%) Encosta
16
16/1(-33%)
(6) Encosta 16/1, Latest win at Leopardstown in May. 18/1, tenth of 12 in handicap at Ballinrobe (13f, good). Off 115 days. Back down in trip. Winner in May but well below form twice since; lacks a recent run.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
After finishing a fine seventh in the valuable Northfields Handicap over C&D on Champions Weekend, APERCU will appreciate this drop in class. Tried in blinkers for the first time now, she should be able to confirm Northfields form with the reopposing Fleetfoot. Ger O'Leary has his horses in fine form of late, with his Scholarship appearing the main danger. A runner-up three times from six starts this season, he certainly wouldn't be winning out of turn. Encosta warrants respect, as does four-time winner Fiver Friday.
SCHOLARSHIP's very best efforts this term have come with blinkers enlisted, notably when finishing runner-up at Listowel 24 days ago. Evidently on a handy mark, he gets the nod to confirm the promise of that effort stepping back down in trip. Fleetfoot showed the benefit of his belated reappearance when runner-up himself recently and he's next best, ahead of Fiver Friday.
1m2f on testing ground could be the answer for SCHOLARSHIP who went close over C&D and was back to form with a 2nd recently
(5) Wasdell Dundalk 5/1, Latest win in chase at Perth in September. Fourth of 5 in handicap chase at Perth (23.8f, soft, 5/2) 22 days ago. Good second in this race last season and won at Perth two starts ago.
3
2nd (3) (2/1 +27%) Snipe
2
2/1(+27%)
(3) Snipe 2/1, Took well to fences last term, winning handicaps around 3m at Southwell and Aintree (heavy). Made mistakes when below form on final outing but has the potential for better this season and is worth chancing on return. Two wins last term and he brings potential to this second chasing season.
1
3rd (1) (2/1 +80%) Inis Oirr
2
2/1(+80%)
(1) Inis Oirr 2/1, Much improved for a first-time visor and an increased stamina test when bolting up in the Edinburgh National at Musselburgh (4m, good to soft) in February. Ridden with more restraint and fell in the Scottish National but made respectable return at Perth and should strip fitter for it. Won Edinburgh National in February; surplus stamina may well be a plus at this stiff track.
4
4th (4) (5/1 +50%) Charlie Uberalles
5
5/1(+50%)
(4) Charlie Uberalles 5/1, Fairly useful chaser who was as good as ever when scoring at Cartmel in June. Didn't fire there last time but has had a break since. Won at Cartmel in June and excuses there the next twice; his best form is on good ground.
7
5th (7) (10/1 +29%) Prince Des Fichaux
10
10/1(+29%)
(7) Prince Des Fichaux 10/1, Very good second of 12 in Eider Chase (11/1) at Newcastle and backed it up with a solid showing when fourth at Kelso. Final outing wasn't so good and he will probably strip fitter for this. Last season's Eider runner-up; needs to be at the very top of his game on reappearance.
15:42 Carlisle Handicap Chase (Class 3) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
This may prove an ideal opportunity for SNIPE to return to winning ways. Dan Skelton's charge caught the eye when staying on strongly into second over 3m at Doncaster on his penultimate start in January and, with excuses for his low-key effort in the Grand National trial at Haydock when last seen, he looks the one to side with having gone well fresh before. Wasdell Dundalk and Inis Oirr are the ones expected to put up most resistance.
SNIPE had an excellent first season over fences and, fresh from 8 months off, he's fancied to get back on the up. Abuffalosoldier is a player if able to dominate and Inis Oirr merits consideration on the back of a satisfactory return.
The Dan Skelton-trained SNIPE could have more to offer and gets the vote ahead of Inis Oirr.
(2) Cresta Cat , Not knocked about when last of 12 in handicap at Kempton (11f, 100/1) 15 days ago. Chance on old form. Eight-race maiden who has struggled for current yard and he needs a major turnaround.
3
2nd (3) ( ) Chourmo
0
()
(3) Chourmo , 3-time C&D winner. 3 wins from 13 runs this year. Latest win here in August. Respectable seventh of 13 in handicap at Bath (8f, soft, 11/1) 16 days ago. Back up in trip and considered. Three C&D wins on good or faster this year but he was well held on soft ground last time.
8
3rd (8) ( ) Irezumi
0
()
(8) Irezumi , C&D winner. Only eighth of 10 to Fullforward in handicap (5/1) at this course (11.9f, good to soft) 9 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Needs a couple of these to falter. Won over C&D in August but was laboured here last week and he's now 1-25.
5
4th (5) ( ) Fullforward
0
()
(5) Fullforward , Won 10-runner handicap at this course (11.9f, good to soft, 13/2) 9 days ago, just holding on. Very much in the mix under a 5 lb penalty. Ended a lengthy losing run here last week; has a penalty but he's respected back in trip.
6
5th (6) ( ) Little Tiger
0
()
(6) Little Tiger , 2 wins from 4 runs this year, scoring readily in 10-runner handicap at this C&D (good to soft) 9 days ago. Big shout under a 5 lb penalty. Has won his last two including a 7l success over C&D last week; 6lb well in under penalty.
4
6th (4) ( ) Fighting Poet
0
()
(4) Fighting Poet , C&D winner in September. Below form 12½ lengths fourth of 10 to Little Tiger in handicap (11/4) at this C&D (good to soft) 9 days ago. Enters calculations if shrugging off latest effort. Two course wins this season but he was disappointing here last week; needs to bounce back.
7
7th (7) ( ) Ricardo Phillips
0
()
(7) Ricardo Phillips , Lightly-raced maiden. Tenth of 11 in handicap at Salisbury (8f, good to firm, 18/1) 63 days ago. Up in trip. Still unexposed but he needs a transformation on this switch to testing ground.
1
8th (1) ( ) Dubai Immo
0
()
(1) Dubai Immo , Latest win at Wolverhampton in July. 100/1, first run since leaving William Stone when last of 9 in handicap at Sandown (10f, good) 48 days ago. Others more persuasive. 0-8 on turf and was tailed off on stable debut at Sandown in August; down the list.
9
9th (9) ( ) Sheila Tequila
0
()
(9) Sheila Tequila , Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. 28/1, below form seventh of 12 in juvenile hurdle at Ludlow (15.8f, good) 8 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Seven-race maiden under both codes and has plenty to prove back in this sphere.
15:50 Brighton Handicap (Class 6) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
A winner at Leicester in July, LITTLE TIGER followed that success with a decisive victory over C&D on last week's return to action. He is penalised for that, but is due to be raised a further 6lb in the future and the hat-trick beckons for William Stone's inmate. Fighting Poet usually goes well here, although he was no match for the selection last time and Fullforward may pose a bigger threat, despite a 5lb penalty for his recent triumph over 1m4f here.
LITTLE TIGER ran out a comfortable victor over C&D last week and a 5 lb penalty doesn't look sufficient to prevent him from bagging a third success of 2024. Chourmo is always to be feared round here and is next on the list with course scorers Fullforward and Fighting Poet also shortlisted.
This can go to the progressive 4yo LITTLE TIGER, who won by 7l over C&D last week and is 6lb well in under a penalty.
(5) Diplomatie 3/1, Fair on Flat and of a similar standard over hurdles, winning a trio of events at Les Landes in July and August. Ran up to best on debut for new yard when staying on third at Southwell (15.8f) 2 weeks ago and this step back up in trip well worth exploring on that evidence. Fast-finishing third on stable debut after running wide; player if seeing out new trip..
1
2nd (1) (10/1 0%) Thank You Ma'am
10
10/1(0%)
(1) Thank You Ma'am 10/1, Placed on 3 of his 4 starts in novice hurdles and progressed when second on handicap debut at Hereford (19.7f) in February. Found things tougher on final 2 starts, pulled up at Bangor (19.5f) in April. However, not one to be writing off back from 6 months off. Likely to prove effective at this sort of trip, if perhaps eased another pound or two..
8
3rd (8) (9/1 +10%) Emanate
9
9/1(+10%)
(8) Emanate 9/1, Winner of back-to-back 2m handicaps at Worcester last summer and highlighted he was back in good heart when making the frame on first 3 starts this season. Never a factor on the Flat at Bath (10.2f) last month but he returns to this discipline with his yard firmly amongst the winners. Closely matched with Hillsin on June's clash at Worcester, but less compelling elsewhere..
2
4th (2) (13/2 +35%) Mistral Milly
6.5
13/2(+35%)
(2) Mistral Milly 13/2, Steadily progressive in handful of hurdle outings upon joining this yard last term, beaten only by another improver on handicap debut at Hereford (21.7f) in April. Beaten some way out when pulled up at Huntingdon in May but no surprise to see her back on the up on return. Fine with this trip at Hereford in April; yet to convince half as much on good ground..
9
5th (9) (6/1 +50%) Danzini
6
6/1(+50%)
(9) Danzini 6/1, Capitalised on reduced mark at Fontwell (25.7f) in May and showed benefit of her Newton Abbot run when third behind No Way Pedro at First-named venue 23 days ago. Still, another who likely needs to pull out more in what is a stronger race. Better than bare form latest; still on career-high mark; shortest trip since spring 2022..
7
6th (7) (12/1 -50%) No Way Pedro
12
12/1(-50%)
(7) No Way Pedro 12/1, 10-y-o who has tasted success twice already this season, dispelling a lesser effort at Worcester when bagging 11-runner handicap hurdle at Fontwell (25.7f) 23 days ago. However, wouldn't be sure to be in same form back up in class. Worcester (3m) and Fontwell (3m2f) scorer already this season; back on a career-high mark..
4
7th (4) (4/1 +11%) Hillsin
4
4/1(+11%)
(4) Hillsin 4/1, Improved model for this yard following wind surgery, winning back-to-back handicaps at Newton Abbot/Worcester and solid runners-up efforts both starts since at around 23f. Looks sure to give another good account eased back in trip. Ran as well as ever when second at Worcester latest (2m7.5f, good); solid case once more..
6
8th (6) (22/1 -238%) Climate Precedent
22
22/1(-238%)
(6) Climate Precedent 22/1, Failed to win on the Flat for Michael Bell and over hurdles for James Owen but struck at the first time of asking for Dan Skelton in 2m Stratford handicap in June. Creditable third next time and whilst he was below form at Market Rasen (18.6f) in August it remains relatively early days with him. Cashed in on a career-low mark in June (2m, good); more needed to defy current mark..
3
9th (3) (15/2 +25%) Thirtyfour Thirty
7.5
15/2(+25%)
(3) Thirtyfour Thirty 15/2, Bumper/hurdles winner who seemed done for finishing speed when fifth of 6 in handicap hurdle at Fontwell (25.8f) in June. Cheekpieces return in place of visor now starting out for new stable but drop back to this sort of trip could well be on the sharp side. Did the basics better again since headgear added; this is easier than April's C&D Class 3..
16:03 Wincanton Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 21f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Hillsin hasn't been out of the top two on his last five starts and it would be no surprise to see him continue his fine form in order to have a say. However, DIPLOMATIE makes more appeal. The six-year-old caught the eye when making the frame on her first appearance for the Harry Derham yard at Southwell and the handicapper may have been kind to leave her mark alone. No Way Pedro is the pick of the remainder.
A 3-time winner in Jersey this summer, DIPLOMATIE made a solid start for the Harry Derham yard whilst suggesting the race didn't get to the bottom of her when staying on for third at Southwell 2 weeks ago. She's of interest over the longest trip she's faced with fellow in-form Hillsin rating an obvious danger. Emanate and Climate Precedent are others to consider in a competitive affair.
The trip asks a new question but DIPLOMATIE still looks the answer, ahead of Thirtyfour Thirty.
(8) Pachmena 12/1, Course winner. 11/1, respectable sixth of 15 in novice hurdle at Ballinrobe (17.9f, good) 34 days ago. Fair on the all weather and back to a potentially lenient mark. Top claimer booked, will handle conditions and this trip should be within her range.
21
2nd (21) (9/1 +50%) Imarajan
9
9/1(+50%)
(21) Imarajan 9/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 13/2, creditable fourth of 9 in handicap at Listowel (12f, good to soft) 24 days ago, left with too much to do. Can make his presence felt. Never-nearer 4th at Listowel; step up in trip should help; soft ground an unknown.
18
3rd (18) (18/1 -50%) Moutarde
18
18/1(-50%)
(18) Moutarde 18/1, Latest win at Roscommon in September. 7/2, good third of 10 in handicap at Killarney (11.2f, heavy) 10 days ago. Up in trip and ought to be thereabouts. Enjoys soft and was well-backed when third at Killarney (1m3f) latest; possibilities.
17
4th (17) (4/1 +53%) Club Manager
4
4/1(+53%)
(17) Club Manager 4/1, Good second of 14 in handicap hurdle (12/1) at Listowel (20f, soft) 21 days ago. Fair on the Flat and he looks competitive on form. Dual Flat winner when trained in Britain; enjoys the mud; respected.
20
5th (20) (10/1 +55%) Charlie Darling
10
10/1(+55%)
(20) Charlie Darling 10/1, Latest win at Tramore in August. Creditable sixth of 11 in handicap at Thurles (16.4f, good, 8/1) 7 days ago. Enters calculations. Out-and-out stayer not as good at Thurles latest; wouldn't want it too soft.
6
6th (6) (18/1 -64%) Cast A Spell
18
18/1(-64%)
(6) Cast A Spell 18/1, Winner at Killarney in October. 5/1, respectable third of 9 in handicap at Roscommon (12.2f, soft) 3 days ago. Shortlisted. Respectable third behind Prairie Angel over 1m4f at Roscommon on Monday; more needed.
7
7th (7) (14/1 +0%) Arch Enemy
14
14/1(+0%)
(7) Arch Enemy 14/1, Course winner. 7/1, won 14-runner handicap at Bellewstown (12.3f, soft) 15 days ago. In the mix. Won at Bellewstown this month; tougher ask at the weights here and the trip is a concern.
19
8th (19) (22/1 -57%) Bold Approach
22
22/1(-57%)
(19) Bold Approach 22/1, Thirty two runs since last win in 2019. Respectable 7 lengths fourth of 14 to Sir Allen in handicap at Listowel (14.2f, good to soft, 11/1) 24 days ago. Not sure to back up good Listowel fourth if the ground is on the soft side.
11
9th (11) (5/1 +9%) Sir Allen
5
5/1(+9%)
(11) Sir Allen 5/1, Course winner. Scored at Listowel in September before an excellent second of 11 in handicap (5/1) at Thurles (16.4f, good) 7 days ago. Player off an unchanged mark. Just failed when 2nd at Thurles but handles soft and still looks well treated.
2
10th (2) (17/2 +15%) Polemon
8.5
17/2(+15%)
(2) Polemon 17/2, 3 wins from 11 runs this year. Career best when winning 15-runner handicap (5/1) at this course (12f, good to soft) 12 days ago, driven clear. Needs considering. Won 1m4f lady riders' handicap here latest but forecast rain might not suit.
12
11th (12) (22/1 +0%) Rain
22
22/1(+0%)
(12) Rain 22/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2022. Seventeenth of 20 in handicap (125/1) at Naas (16.1f, good to soft) 4 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Never sighted in 2m Naas premier handicap on Sunday; chance back on these terms.
15
12th (15) (50/1 -25%) Scott Lang
50
50/1(-25%)
(15) Scott Lang 50/1, Eleventh of 13 in handicap (18/1) at Thurles (12.5f, good) 7 days ago. Others more persuasive. Back from a break when down the field at Thurles last week; percentage call is to oppose.
13
13th (13) (12/1 +33%) Plains Indian
12
12/1(+33%)
(13) Plains Indian 12/1, Tenth of 11 in handicap at Thurles (16.4f, good, 4/1) 7 days ago. Others are preferred. Disappointed when sent off fav' at Thurles (16.5f, Sir Allen second) latest; bit to prove.
16
14th (16) (33/1 +18%) Valjean
33
33/1(+18%)
(16) Valjean 33/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 125/1, seventh of 9 in maiden at Dundalk (10.7f) 27 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Makes handicap debut. Not easy to make a case for. Three poor runs in maidens; could improve on handicap debut but needs to show a lot more.
10
15th (10) (33/1 +34%) Rockview Consort
33
33/1(+34%)
(10) Rockview Consort 33/1, 33/1, ninth of 14 in handicap at Down Royal (12.8f, soft) 17 days ago. Can make presence felt if back on her A-game. Best form on the Flat is on the AW; she might not want soft conditions; others preferred.
23
16th (23) (125/1 -213%) Swelltime
125
125/1(-213%)
(23) Swelltime 125/1, 33/1, eleventh of 15 in handicap hurdle at Listowel (18f, soft) 22 days ago. More is needed back on the Flat. Killarney winner over hurdles lately; beaten out of sight in 3 Flat turf runs last year.
4
17th (4) (12/1 +0%) Grappa Nonino
12
12/1(+0%)
(4) Grappa Nonino 12/1, C&D winner. Sixth of 7 in handicap (9/2) at Clonmel (16.6f, good) 42 days ago, needing stronger gallop. One to consider. C&D winner last summer on good but handles soft conditions perfectly well; contender.
5
18th (5) (14/1 -27%) Scatchwah
14
14/1(-27%)
(5) Scatchwah 14/1, Creditable 2¼ lengths third of 15 to Polemon in handicap at this course (12f, good to soft, 13/2) 12 days ago, never nearer. Can give a good account. 3rd behind Polemon latest after being slow away; better off at the weights with that rival.
14
19th (14) (16/1 -14%) Make Good
16
16/1(-14%)
(14) Make Good 16/1, 6/1, creditable fourth of 16 in handicap at Gowran (14f, heavy), slowly away. Off 161 days but he's not taken lightly. Enjoys the mud flying and went close in this race the last two years; chance.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
A case can be made for many in this ultra-competitive affair. Successful three times in six starts since joining Denis Hogan, POLEMON might still be ahead of the handicapper on a mark of 79. The Frankel five-year-old is unproven over this trip but is still sure to have plenty of supporters, judging by the manner of his latest victory. A fast-finishing second after missing the break at Thurles last week, it'll come as no surprise if Sir Allen manages to go a place better, while recent winners Paradise Lost and Arch Enemy are of definite interest. One of four Gavin Cromwell-trained representatives in the line-up, Club Manager is another leading hope.
This is wide open but SIR ALLEN can race off the same mark as when an excellent recent Thurles second so edges the vote. Gavin Cromwell's duo Pachmena and Club Manager must enter calculations, while the likes of Curious Bride, Scatchwah, Cast A Spell and Paradise Lost all need factoring in too.
SCATCHWAH hit the line hard when third here latest. He should relish the extra two furlongs and conditions will be fine
(7) Byron Hill 11/2, A fair stayer on the level and has shown a similar level of ability over hurdles, finding just one too good for the third time in 2m Perth novice last month. Can go well again back in handicap company. Has run some good races in novice hurdles since joining this yard; not ruled out.
5
2nd (5) (80/1 -300%) Coventry
80
80/1(-300%)
(5) Coventry 80/1, Seventeen runs since his last win in 2021 and was having his first run since leaving Peter Fahey when last of 6 in handicap hurdle at Perth (23.9f, soft) 21 days ago. Down in trip with work to do. May have needed recent stable debut but has regressive profile and poor strike-rate.
8
3rd (8) (11/4 +54%) V Twelve
2.75
11/4(+54%)
(8) V Twelve 11/4, Scored over hurdles at Wetherby in March and in very good nick on the Flat this summer, third of 10 at Hamilton (12.1f) 25 days ago. Big shout back in this sphere. Won on last hurdle start in March and in good form on Flat in recent months; considered.
10
4th (10) (12/1 -41%) Independent Jimmy
12
12/1(-41%)
(10) Independent Jimmy 12/1, Fair maiden hurdler who posted a creditable fourth of 9 in novice at Hexham (20.1f, good) in June. Much respected after a break now going into handicaps. Fair efforts in novice hurdles in May/June and not discounted on his handicap debut.
1
5th (1) (7/2 +61%) King Of Tara
3.5
7/2(+61%)
(1) King Of Tara 7/2, A fairly useful 2m novice hurdles winner but he came in only seventeenth of 20 on his handicap debut at Sandown (16f, good) final run. Worth another chance though. Tailed off on h'cap debut at Sandown in April but in hot race; showed promise previously.
4
6th (4) (17/2 -386%) Irish Lullaby
8.5
17/2(-386%)
(4) Irish Lullaby 17/2, Fairly useful stayer on Flat for Jessica Harrington. Bought for 65,000 gns in December and went 2-3 over hurdles when landing the odds in a 2m1f mares' novice at Cartmel in May. Player with further improvement on the cards. Useful on the Flat and has considerable potential off her opening hurdle mark.
2
7th (2) (15/2 +25%) Beny Nahar Road
7.5
15/2(+25%)
(2) Beny Nahar Road 15/2, Fairly useful maiden on the Flat and fair form when runner-up 4 times over hurdles for Paul Nicholls. Filled same spot on yard debut in 2m novice at Sedgefield 24 days ago so merits consideration. 0-13 but runner-up on last three starts and not ruled out now back in a handicap.
6
|PU| (6) (10/1 +50%) Wolfburg
10
10/1(+50%)
(6) Wolfburg 10/1, Progressed from his hurdling debut when landing a Catterick maiden hurdle in February. However, he was pulled up on his handicap bow at Southwell in May. Needs to get back on track. Flopped on handicap debut in May but won in February and remains lightly raced.
3
|PU| (3) (17/2 +47%) Allbetsoff
8.5
17/2(+47%)
(3) Allbetsoff 17/2, Notched 3 wins in the first half of last season and has enhanced his strike rate further this summer, adding a couple more to his tally. However, needs to cast aside a poor effort at Cartmel last time. Inconsistent and pulled up latest but has won two of his last four starts; not written off.
11
|PU| (11) (50/1 0%) Lady's Present
50
50/1(0%)
(11) Lady's Present 50/1, Recorded a respectable third of 6 in novice hurdle at Newcastle (20.3f) but off the track for 23 months since. Has her fitness to prove. Lightly raced but she has a very hefty absence to defy.
16:15 Carlisle Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 17f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Useful on the Flat in Ireland and now two from three over timber, IRISH LULLABY looks a shrewd acquisition to hurdling for a burgeoning stable. The daughter of Nathaniel showed a likeable attitude when bringing up a double over 2m1f at Cartmel in May and, pitched into handicap company for the first time over obstacles, she gets the vote. Narrowly denied over 2m at Perth last month, Byron Hill must enter calculations, along with Independent Jimmy.
A case can be made for a few of these but Martin Todhunter's V TWELVE was last seen over hurdles scoring at Wetherby and has been in winning form on the Flat since so gets the vote. The returning Irish Lullaby looks to have more to offer and could emerge as the main danger ahead of in-form duo Byron Hill and Beny Nahar Road.
Useful Flat performer IRISH LULLABY (nap) has made a promising start to her hurdles career and gets the vote ahead of King Of Tara.
(2) Otago 10/3, 4-time C&D winner. Latest win here in September. 9/1, only eighth of 11 in handicap at this C&D (good) 30 days ago but last year's victor must still enter calculations. Won this last year and was successful over C&D on his penultimate run; respected.
6
2nd (6) (9/1 +25%) River Wharfe
9
9/1(+25%)
(6) River Wharfe 9/1, 3-time C&D winner. Latest win here in August. 10/1, sixth of 7 in handicap at this course (8f, good) 58 days ago but the sort to bounce back. Two C&D wins this season but he's not easy to to predict and is suited by fast ground.
7
3rd (7) (2/1 +83%) Ceilidh
2
2/1(+83%)
(7) Ceilidh 2/1, Seventh of 10 in handicap (8/1) at this course (9.9f, good to soft) 9 days ago, unsuited by step up in trip. Significantly back down in trip with blinkers back on. Possibilities. On reduced mark but losing run is mounting up and was tailed off here last time.
1
4th (1) (7/2 +53%) Maxzeno
3.5
7/2(+53%)
(1) Maxzeno 7/2, Last of 5 in handicap at Lingfield (7f, good to firm, 5/1) 73 days ago. Tongue strap back on. Chance if rediscovering old form. On dangerous mark but he's 0-14 and was disappointing last time; tongue-tie reapplied.
3
5th (3) (9/1 -64%) Voodoo Ray
9
9/1(-64%)
(3) Voodoo Ray 9/1, 3 wins from 8 runs this year. Fourth of 5 in handicap at this course (5.3f, soft, 7/2) 38 days ago. Significantly up in trip now though so can get back on track. Four-time course winner but he's generally struggled since May and soft ground is a worry.
8
6th (8) (66/1 +34%) Gaazooo
66
66/1(+34%)
(8) Gaazooo 66/1, Ninth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Huntingdon (19.6f, good, 150/1) 9 days ago. Poor on last Flat outing so others appeal more. 19-race maiden who has struggled under both codes this year and he can only be watched.
5
7th (5) (7/1 -27%) Rogue Rosie
7
7/1(-27%)
(5) Rogue Rosie 7/1, Creditable third of 5 in handicap at Chepstow (7.1f, good to firm, 7/1) 44 days ago. Needs considering. 0-13 but she's gone close at Chepstow last twice and is respected.
16:20 Brighton Handicap (Class 6) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
OTAGO wasn't at his best last time but the son of Cable Bay, a multiple C&D winner, is expected to bounce back. Jim Boyle's gelding landed the corresponding event off 1lb higher 12 months ago and, with conditions to suit, this looks a winnable opportunity. Romanovich remains in good form but does have a bit to prove on ground as testing as this is likely to be, so Voodoo Ray could be the bigger threat.
ROMANOVICH is enjoying a very good season and taken to garner a fourth victory on the back of his very good recent second here. Otago is feared most in his bid to follow up his success of 12 months ago with Ceilidh and Voodoo Ray in the picture too.
Preference is for ROMANOVICH (nap), who has won two of his last five runs and found more progress when a close second here last time.
(3) Shaha , Promising individual. Second of 8 in novice (2/1) at Ascot (8f, good) on debut in May. That form is working out pretty well and, with improvement anticipated, she can be expected to make a bold bid to go one better. Went close in a useful contest on Ascot debut in May; off since but still the one to beat.
2
2nd (2) ( ) Santorini Star
0
()
(2) Santorini Star , 290,000 gns yearling, Golden Horn filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including very smart 7f-9.2f and winner Dreamloper and 1¼m-1¾m winner Dreamweaver. Dam 1¼m-12.4f winner. Lots to like on paper. Belated debut but bred to be good, being a half-sister to a dual Group 1 winner.
1
3rd (1) ( ) Merry Widow
0
()
(1) Merry Widow , Shamardal filly. Half-sister to useful 2-y-o 7f winner Desert Order. Yard can ready a newcomer and it'll be interesting to see what the market has to say. Half-sister to a useful AW winner; the betting should provide more clues.
LTO Selection:hiden content,
16:25 Southwell Maiden (Class 4) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Santorini Star makes plenty of appeal on paper as a half-sister to two-time Group 1 winner Dreamloper and she needs to be monitored in the market ahead of her debut. However, experience may count for plenty in this small field and, with that in mind, SHAHA looks the way to go. John & Thady Gosden's three-year-old only found subsequent Listed winner Diamond Rain too good on her debut at Ascot and, with normal progression, she could prove hard to beat. Merry Widow looks booked for third.
While both of the newcomers are appealing on paper, SHAHA showed plenty when just touched off by a subsequent listed winner at Ascot during the spring and, provided that she takes to this surface, the Cracksman filly will prove hard to beat. Santorini Star is taken to edge out Merry Widow in the race for second-place prizemoney.
The two newcomers make appeal but SHAHA went close in a decent race on debut and is the call before any betting clues are known.
(1) Devil's Advocate , Shaped very well amidst greenness on debut when third of 7 in maiden at Newmarket (8f, soft, 4/1) 3 weeks ago, the penny dropping late on. Leading contender with the potential of plenty more to offer upped in trip. Newmarket effort and pedigree both suggest he'll relish this longer distance.
5
2nd (5) ( ) Kate O'riley
0
()
(5) Kate O'riley , Ran to a fair level first time up when fifth of 7 in novice at Newmarket (8f, good, 50/1) 26 days ago. Bred to be suited by this longer distance. Showed ability at Newmarket and has possibilities granted normal progress.
3
3rd (3) ( ) Rogue Diplomat
0
()
(3) Rogue Diplomat , Showed plenty to work on when third of 7 in novice at Beverley (8.4f, good to soft, 7/1) on debut 23 days ago. Open to improvement with that first experience behind him. Something to find on his Beverley effort but may improve upped in trip.
4
4th (4) ( ) Blue Laced
0
()
(4) Blue Laced , Foaled March 7. Farhh filly. Half-sister to smart winner up to 9.5f Cinderella's Dream. Has a fairly useful standard to aim at on debut. Farhh half-sister to a US G1 winner; one of two newcomers in the field.
2
5th (2) ( ) Navalanche
0
()
(2) Navalanche , Foaled March 15. 20,000 gns foal, 40,000 gns yearling, Nathaniel colt. Dam, placed at 1¼m-1¾m in France, half-sister to useful 1¼m/10.5f winner Military Bowl out of smart 1m-10.5f winner Turtle Bow. Watch for market clues. 40,000gns yearling; by Nathaniel; respected yard; interesting newcomer.
16:35 Chelmsford Maiden (Class 5) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
There was a lot to like about DEVIL'S ADVOCATE's debut performance, when finishing third over the mile at Newmarket three weeks ago. The Too Darn Hot colt, who fetched 350,000gns at the sales last year, looks certain to appreciate these extra two furlongs and with his yard coming into form, he can take a step forward. Kate O'riley is another who made a pleasing start to her racing career on the Rowley Mile and must enter calculations, while Navalanche should not be underestimated with Oisin Murphy aboard.
DEVIL'S ADVOCATE made a very promising debut when third in a Newmarket maiden last month, pulling well clear of the rest under hands-and-heels riding, so he looks to hold leading claims of getting off the mark. Rogue Diplomat also shaped encouragingly on his first start and could be the biggest threat, with Kate O'Riley the pick of the remainder.
Nothing can be comfortably dismissed but the two who appeal most are DEVIL'S ADVOCATE and Navalanche.
(10) Princess T 8/1, Fair hurdler who arrives on the back of a creditable second of 5 over hurdles at Les Landes (Jersey) on latest outing 39 days ago. Yard continue in very good form and no surprise to see her competitive from a workable mark. Fit from Jersey campaign; former C&D winner; chance from 4lb below her last winning mark..
3
2nd (3) (11/1 -100%) Admiralty House
11
11/1(-100%)
(3) Admiralty House 11/1, Free goer who made a good start over hurdles in 2022/23, winning Kempton juvenile (2m) prior to pair of placed efforts at Huntingdon/Ludlow. 21-month absence to overcome ahead of handicap debut so the betting is likely to prove the best guide. Kempton hurdles debut win (2m); off for 21 months and it's a risk he'll race freely again..
9
3rd (9) (6/1 +70%) Two To Tango
6
6/1(+70%)
(9) Two To Tango 6/1, Lightly-raced maiden who showed fair form in pair of maiden hurdles last winter. Pulled up on handicap bow in March but did at least get back on track when fifth of 9 in handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter 920f) in June, despite making errors. Absent again since. His fifth last time (2m4f) doesn't necessarily suggest he needs a drop back in trip..
2
4th (2) (14/1 +13%) Stormin Crossgales
14
14/1(+13%)
(2) Stormin Crossgales 14/1, Headstrong sort who landed a C&D maiden hurdle back in 2022. Dual scorer over fences subsequently, latterly at Huntingdon (16.5f) in May but made a haphazard return from 3 months off in that sphere 25 days ago. Remains lightly raced over hurdles, however. C&D winner and third in this last year; weighted to compete if settling..
8
5th (8) (4/1 +56%) Jumeirah King
4
4/1(+56%)
(8) Jumeirah King 4/1, Bagged his second victory of the summer at Worcester (2m) in July and similar form when third in 10-runner handicap back there a month later. Sound claims of making the frame again from unchanged mark. Dual Worcester scorer this term (good) before held off this mark there last time..
5
6th (5) (17/2 -21%) Inside Man
8.5
17/2(-21%)
(5) Inside Man 17/2, From a good family and positive start in juvenile hurdles last winter, off the mark at Taunton (16.5f) in December and similar form despite being keener than ideal when fourth back at that venue in March. Remains with potential now handicapping on return. Retains plenty of upside but initial mark is punitive; unraced on good or firmer ground..
1
7th (1) (16/1 -14%) Aggagio
16
16/1(-14%)
(1) Aggagio 16/1, Likeable dual-purpose performer who enhanced his good strike rate with a pair of hurdle victories during early 2023 and held form well on Flat thereafter. Lightly raced this year but a spin on the level at Goodwood last month ought to have teed him up nicely for this return to timber. No trip or ground issues, but still high in the weights; rare Goodwood flop latest..
4
8th (4) (66/1 -164%) Fast Buck
66
66/1(-164%)
(4) Fast Buck 66/1, Bounced back to form when doubling chase tally here (15.7f) in January. However, more miss-than-hit as a rule last term and he ran poorly when last seen at Bangor (17.3f) in April. Percentage call to look elsewhere after 6 months off/following wind op. Class 3 chase scorer here in January; over five years since last win on faster than heavy..
6
|F| (6) (9/4 +36%) Wreckless Eric
2.25
9/4(+36%)
(6) Wreckless Eric 9/4, Upwardly mobile 4-y-o who confirmed his opening mark lenient as he took his record to 2-3 in 10-runner handicap hurdle at Huntingdon (15.8f) in April, that despite still looking rough around the edges. Highly likely there's more to come and claims on return. 2-3 last term despite not yet getting all the basics right; good chance despite 7lb hike..
7
|RR| (7) (12/1 -20%) Sergeant
12
12/1(-20%)
(7) Sergeant 12/1, Consistent sort who resumed winning ways in no uncertain terms at Newton Abbot (16.7f) in August. Subsequent Fontwell run almost certainly too bad to be true and he's very much a likely candidate to bounce back. Career-best form for Newton Abbot win in August; ground softer than good is against him..
16:40 Wincanton Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 15f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
James Owen has done well with horses switching from the Flat and that has certainly been the case with ROGUE KING, now two from three over timber following facile victories at Plumpton and Fontwell. The three-year-old receives weight all round and an opening mark of 112 could underestimate him. Aggagio ought to be well handicapped from his current rating and is considered, while others to note include Wreckless Eric and Princess T.
ROGUE KING faces his sternest assignment to date following a pair of wide-margin juvenile hurdle victories yet, in receipt of his very handy 3-y-o allowance he could well be up to the task for his in-form trainer/jockey combination. Wreckless Eric was 2-3 over hurdles last term and he's of definite interest on return. Admiralty House back from a lengthy absence and Aggagio are others to consider.
Match fit and inclined to settle in this sphere, ROGUE KING can round off a hat-trick ahead of the returning Wreckless Eric.
(29) Purring Along 28/1, Respectable eighth of 14 in handicap at Cork (6f, soft, 12/1) 16 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Thomas Dowling. Booking of Lordan a plus. Visor back on. Two-time winner last year over this trip; handles cut in the ground; Wayne Lordan booked.
3
2nd (3) (9/1 +18%) Dark Viper
9
9/1(+18%)
(3) Dark Viper 9/1, Good second of 10 in maiden claimer at Bellewstown (7.9f, soft, 7/2) 15 days ago, no match for winner. Not taken lightly. Entitled to go well again but has a career-high turf mark to overcome.
23
3rd (23) (28/1 +58%) Ferrari Desert
28
28/1(+58%)
(23) Ferrari Desert 28/1, 16/1 and hooded for 1st time, below form tenth of 16 in handicap at Limerick (7f, good to firm) 127 days ago. Booking of Kennedy a plus. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Handles soft ground but needs to find major improvement in first-time tongue-tie.
26
4th (26) (100/1 +0%) Genuine Jim
100
100/1(+0%)
(26) Genuine Jim 100/1, 50/1, thirteenth of 16 in handicap at Cork (8f, good to soft) 16 days ago. Yet to run a good race in seven outings (turf and AW) and looks impossible to recommend.
28
5th (28) (40/1 +0%) Nordic Passage
40
40/1(+0%)
(28) Nordic Passage 40/1, Course winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2023. Creditable 1¼ lengths fifth of 18 to Rosato in handicap (20/1) at Navan (5.8f, good to soft) 8 days ago. Back up in trip. Merits consideration. Best run in a long time behind Rosato at Navan; well treated if he can build on that.
2
6th (2) (20/1 +20%) Racing Royalty
20
20/1(+20%)
(2) Racing Royalty 20/1, C&D winner. 12/1, eighth of 12 in handicap at Listowel (7.1f, good to soft) 23 days ago. Looks competitive on form. Won on this card last season; will appreciate forecast rain; big chance on these terms.
17
7th (17) (9/1 +55%) Goldmoyne
9
9/1(+55%)
(17) Goldmoyne 9/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in August. Twelfth of 17 in handicap at Cork (7f, good to firm, 4/1) 36 days ago. Gained second win of his career in emphatic style over C&D in August; wouldn't want rain.
5
8th (5) (8/1 +20%) Little Keilee
8
8/1(+20%)
(5) Little Keilee 8/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. 12/1 and blinkered for 1st time, good second of 15 in handicap at Roscommon (7.5f, soft) 3 days ago. Good shout if backing that up. Narrowly denied in first-time blinkers at Roscommon; entitled to go well from same mark.
25
9th (25) (15/2 +25%) Glencullen
7.5
15/2(+25%)
(25) Glencullen 15/2, Creditable fifth of 25 in handicap (10/1) at this course (8f, good to soft) 12 days ago. Eyeshields back on, hood back on. Expected to be bang there. Fifth of 25 here over 1m behind a couple of these latest; he isn't completely discounted.
13
10th (13) (80/1 -220%) Daonethatgotaway
80
80/1(-220%)
(13) Daonethatgotaway 80/1, Winner at Listowel in June. Bit below form eighth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (8f, 5/1) 63 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Needs to bounce back from two poor efforts and this trip is on the sharp side.
20
11th (20) (18/1 -80%) Hale Bopp
18
18/1(-80%)
(20) Hale Bopp 18/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2023. Good second of 25 in handicap (14/1) at this course (8f, good to soft) 12 days ago, having to weave through. Probably needs at least 1m and all of his best form is on decent ground.
1
12th (1) (12/1 -20%) Eastern Wind
12
12/1(-20%)
(1) Eastern Wind 12/1, 11/4, won 6-runner handicap at Bellewstown (7.9f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Back on track at Bellewstown this month; enjoys soft ground and a 3lb rise is fair.
27
13th (27) (50/1 +24%) Lismacbryan Hill
50
50/1(+24%)
(27) Lismacbryan Hill 50/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Fifteenth of 22 in handicap (50/1) at Naas (5f, good to soft) 53 days ago, met some trouble. Significantly back up in trip. Must improve. Struggled over 5f on handicap debut at Naas and looks up against it again back up in trip.
24
14th (24) (28/1 +30%) Adhuil
28
28/1(+30%)
(24) Adhuil 28/1, 20/1, eighth of 12 in handicap at Punchestown (9.2f, good) 30 days ago, slowly away. Back down in trip. Blinkers back on. Record of 0-20 on the Flat but has shown flashes of potential; needed run at Punchestown.
15
15th (15) (9/2 +68%) Nibras Rainbow
4.5
9/2(+68%)
(15) Nibras Rainbow 9/2, Latest win at Killarney in August. 13/2, respectable fourth of 15 in handicap at Roscommon (7.5f, soft) 3 days ago. Only 4lb higher than Killarney win in July; good fourth of 25 here over 1m this month.
7
16th (7) (50/1 -317%) Morning Approach
50
50/1(-317%)
(7) Morning Approach 50/1, Bit below form seventh of 13 in handicap (17/2) at Dundalk (8f) 27 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Yard in good form. Several solid runs in defeat this year but mostly on a sound surface.
12
17th (12) (22/1 -38%) Pink Oxalis
22
22/1(-38%)
(12) Pink Oxalis 22/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 7/1, creditable fourth of 14 in handicap at Cork (6f, soft) 16 days ago. Something to find on form. Fourth at Cork over 6f on her handicap debut; low mileage and could improve.
16
18th (16) (33/1 -136%) Shaaden
33
33/1(-136%)
(16) Shaaden 33/1, Respectable 4¼ lengths seventh of 28 to Goldmoyne in handicap at this C&D (good to firm, 13/2) 61 days ago, better placed than most. 7lb claimer takes over so weighted to go well but unproven in the mud.
18
19th (18) (40/1 -60%) Ragtime Milly
40
40/1(-60%)
(18) Ragtime Milly 40/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 150/1 and hooded for 1st time, tongue strap on for 1st time, fourth of 14 in handicap at Gowran (8f, good) 26 days ago, faring best of those held up. Fast-finishing 4th at Gowran; she's not out of things if she handles the conditions.
4
20th (4) (12/1 -20%) I Bid You Ajou
12
12/1(-20%)
(4) I Bid You Ajou 12/1, Good second of 11 in handicap at Down Royal (7.1f, soft, 7/2) 17 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Good 2nd behind the reopposing Goldmoyne over C&D in August; 4lb better off; cheekpieces.
6
21st (6) (50/1 -100%) Mogwli
50
50/1(-100%)
(6) Mogwli 50/1, Creditable 2¾ lengths seventh of 18 to Rosato in handicap (22/1) at Navan (5.8f, good to soft) 8 days ago, having to pick way through. Back up in trip. Trainer going well. Worse off at the weights with Eastern Wind; trip was on the sharp side at Navan latest.
14
22nd (14) (22/1 -83%) Blue Wood
22
22/1(-83%)
(14) Blue Wood 22/1, 7/2, good third of 17 in handicap at Fairyhouse (6f, good) 24 days ago, faring best of those ridden prominently. Colin Keane maintains the partnership but he seemingly wants decent ground.
9
23rd (9) (25/1 -56%) Downforce
25
25/1(-56%)
(9) Downforce 25/1, 25/1, respectable 1¾ lengths sixth of 18 to Rosato in handicap at Navan (5.8f, good to soft) 8 days ago, having to pick way through. Up in trip. Yard in good form. Visor back on. Leading contender. 6th behind Rosato at Navan; 2lb better off with that rival; contender if the heavens open.
8
24th (8) (12/1 -20%) Zaragoza
12
12/1(-20%)
(8) Zaragoza 12/1, Course winner. Winner here in June. 13/2, creditable fourth of 17 in handicap at this course (6f, good to soft) 12 days ago, hampered. Ahead of Rosato at Bellewstown latest; few miles on the clock but unproven on soft.
22
25th (22) (22/1 -175%) Rosato
22
22/1(-175%)
(22) Rosato 22/1, Career best when winning 18-runner handicap at Navan (5.8f, good to soft, well-backed 4/1) 8 days ago. Up in trip. Good shout again. Unlucky fifth of 17 here earlier this month but made amends when winning at Navan; chance.
10
26th (10) (40/1 -21%) Hemight
40
40/1(-21%)
(10) Hemight 40/1, 10/1, first run since leaving J. A. Stack when twelfth of 15 in handicap at Tipperary (9f, good) 46 days ago. Visor on 1st time. Low-key yard debut on first try at 1m1f last month; visored; difficult to recommend.
30
27th (30) (66/1 -65%) Tall Story
66
66/1(-65%)
(30) Tall Story 66/1, Thirteenth of 15 in novice hurdle (80/1) at Gowran (16f, good to soft) on NH debut 13 days ago. Back down in trip. Modest on the Flat, respectable on last Flat run. Now 0-41 after latest no show on first try over hurdles at Gowran; easy to look elsewhere.
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Already a dual C&D winner, GOLDMOYNE should give a good account of himself. He beat 27 rivals when leading from pillar to post here in August, finishing a respectable third on his most recent visit to the venue. After making the breakthrough at Navan recently, Rosato will be well fancied to follow up, while Bellewstown winner Eastern Wind is another leading hope. Dark Viper, I Bid You Ajou, Little Keelie and Hale Bopp all warrant respect after filling the runner-up spot when last seen.
GLENCULLEN again ran well despite meeting trouble here last time and is very much threatening to come good soon. Navan winner Rosato and Little Keilee are feared, with veteran Downforce arguably the pick of the three from his yard.
A minefield to solve but a winner on this card last year, RACING ROYALTY might be primed to return to the winner's enclosure
(4) Five Dollar Fine 5/1, Finally managed to get off the mark under a more patient ride when winning at Hexham in May and shaped as if still in form when third there next time. Off 4 months since but isn't without hope. Won two in a row at Hexham in the spring and also effective here; on the shortlist.
6
2nd (6) (3/1 +70%) Fia Fuinidh
3
3/1(+70%)
(6) Fia Fuinidh 3/1, Hurdles winner who made a bright start over fences during the winter but disappointed towards the end of the campaign. Worth a market check on return. Below par at end of last season but the break may have helped; on a handy mark on C&D form.
1
3rd (1) (12/1 -300%) Mint Gold
12
12/1(-300%)
(1) Mint Gold 12/1, Latest win in chase at Musselburgh in November. 5/1, creditable second of 5 in handicap chase at Perth (16f, soft) 176 days ago. Should be involved again. Defied mammoth absence last November and ended the season in good form; respected.
3
4th (3) (5/2 +50%) Damarta
2.5
5/2(+50%)
(3) Damarta 5/2, Comfortable winner over hurdles at Southwell in January and backed it up with two solid performances. Has the physique for chasing and stable has made a good start to the season, so worthy of interest after 5 months off. Promise when sent handicapping over hurdles and brings potential to his chasing debut.
5
5th (5) (10/1 -122%) Hold Onto The Line
10
10/1(-122%)
(5) Hold Onto The Line 10/1, Fortunate to land his fourth success (15.8f, soft) at Musselburgh 9 months ago, looking held when left in front 2 out. Hard to know if he'll be fully ready to go on return after a wind op. 4-10, with all of those victories at Musselburgh, but not discounted on first visit here.
7
6th (7) (33/1 +0%) Sword Of Fate
33
33/1(+0%)
(7) Sword Of Fate 33/1, Scored over fences at Cartmel in July but well held since and has something to prove now. Won at Cartmel in July but this 11yo has struggled on his three starts since.
2
|PU| (2) (7/2 +13%) Keep Running
3.5
7/2(+13%)
(2) Keep Running 7/2, Better than ever sent chasing last season, making all in novice handicap at Taunton in January. Ended the season in form and remains with potential back down in trip after 7 months off. Enjoyed pretty good novice campaign last season; has had wind op; could make bold bid.
16:50 Carlisle Handicap Chase (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Mint Gold was beaten five lengths into second in a stronger contest than this at Perth in April and the veteran is one to take seriously off an unchanged mark. However, HOLD ONTO THE LINE gets the vote. The seven-year-old struck in good style in this grade at Musselburgh in January and now makes his return to action off only 1lb higher. With Brian Hughes booked, he could prove tough to beat. Five Dollar Fine completes the shortlist.
KEEP RUNNING probably hasn't reached his limit as a chaser and he should be prepared for this return, so he gets the marginal vote ahead of Mint Gold, who was in good order when last seen. Five Dollar Fine is also of interest.
Warren Greatrex's horses are running well and KEEP RUNNING is taken to make a winning reappearance, having had wind surgery.
(1) World Of Darcy 8/13, Scored readily at Yarmouth before following up in 10-runner handicap at Windsor (6f, heavy) 3 days ago. Carries 12 lb penalty but he still has to be taken seriously in his hat-trick bid. Doubly penalised but back on song after two slow-ground wins, making all in the latest.
3
2nd (3) (10/1 -186%) Fai Fai
10
10/1(-186%)
(3) Fai Fai 10/1, Latest win at Salisbury in July. 9/2, creditable fourth of 12 in handicap at Kempton (6f) 15 days ago. Merits consideration once more. Not running badly but has no worthwhile soft-ground form in the book.
4
3rd (4) (15/2 -150%) Tomorrow Day
7.5
15/2(-150%)
(4) Tomorrow Day 15/2, 16/5, career best when winning 8-runner handicap at Newcastle (6f) 35 days ago. Needs considering nudged up 1 lb. Saw out the stiff 6f at Newcastle (AW) to prevail in a tight finish.
2
4th (2) (7/1 +30%) Porfin
7
7/1(+30%)
(2) Porfin 7/1, C&D winner. Seventh of 10 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f, 18/1) 7 days ago so needs to bounce back. Has won on soft during his busy year but hardly comes here in persuasive form.
6
5th (6) (9/2 +44%) Dequinto
4.5
9/2(+44%)
(6) Dequinto 9/2, Remains a maiden after 16 runs but he recorded a creditable fifth of 10 in handicap (11/1) at Chelmsford City (7f) 28 days ago. Not ruled out. Mostly consistent this year and 6f looks his best trip; ran over 7f last time.
7
6th (7) (66/1 -136%) Mark The Sparks
66
66/1(-136%)
(7) Mark The Sparks 66/1, Seventh of 8 in handicap (18/1) at Wolverhampton (6.1f). Off 8 months with his fitness to prove. A maiden who is not obviously progressive and he's 3lb out of the weights.
8
7th (8) (100/1 +33%) Captain Red Blazer
100
100/1(+33%)
(8) Captain Red Blazer 100/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Tongue strap/cheekpieces on for 1st time when only sixth of 8 in handicap (150/1) at Bath (5f, heavy) 7 days ago. Others appeal more. Quiet handicap debut; official rating of 10 so he's 35lb out of the handicap.
16:55 Brighton Handicap (Class 6) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
A chance can be taken on PORFIN, who finds himself on a workable mark following a handful of below-par efforts on the all-weather. Softening ground conditions should be no barrier to success and, in a race lacking much depth, he could represent some value. World Of Darcy seems to have turned a corner and merits the utmost respect having recorded a comfortable success at Windsor on Monday. That said, a 12lb penalty will undoubtedly make things tougher. Newcastle scorer Tomorrow Day heads the remainder.
WORLD OF DARCY has a 12 lb penalty to overcome but arrives in rare form so is fancied to rattle off his hat-trick at the chief expense of Fai Fai who rates next best at these weights. Newcastle victor Tomorrow Day and C&D winner Porfin also merit plenty of respect in the battle for minor honours.
After a spiralling fall from grace WORLD OF DARCY has got his mojo back and clearly loves this ground.
(3) Lady Nunthorpe 6/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, third of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (5f, 18/1) 14 days ago. Wouldn't be without an each-way chance if able to build on that. Back-to-form third on AW in cheekpieces 14 days ago; claims if she can build on that.
5
2nd (5) (5/1 +69%) Rogue De Vega
5
5/1(+69%)
(5) Rogue De Vega 5/1, Seventeen runs since last win in 2023. Eighth of 11 in handicap (20/1) at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 3 days ago, left poorly placed. Went close at Newcastle 3 starts back and a reproduction of that form would give him a serious chance. Went close at Newcastle last month but down the field twice since, taking losing run to 17.
1
3rd (1) (7/4 0%) Papa Don't Preach
1.75
7/4(0%)
(1) Papa Don't Preach 7/4, 9/4 and blinkered for 1st time, improved on recent efforts to win 7-runner handicap at Chelmsford City (5f) 5 days ago, slowly away. 5 lb penalty may not be enough to prevent him from repeating the dose here. Comfortable win in blinkers at Wolverhampton on Saturday; can go in again if in same form.
4
4th (4) (7/1 +42%) Soul Singer
7
7/1(+42%)
(4) Soul Singer 7/1, Winner at Musselburgh in September. Fourth of 7 in handicap (16/1) at Newcastle (6f) 16 days ago. Went close over 6f here on sole previous visit during the spring but minor place money is the most likely scenario. Won weak novice last month but 0-9 in handicaps after latest Newcastle fourth.
9
5th (9) (11/1 +8%) Street Life
11
11/1(+8%)
(9) Street Life 11/1, Three-time C&D winner. 4 lengths seventh of 9 to Azucena in handicap at Newcastle (5f, 5/1) 13 days ago. Blinkers back on and he looks vulnerable. Three C&D wins; also second here last month and can bounce back from lesser run latest.
8
6th (8) (22/1 -83%) Vadamiah
22
22/1(-83%)
(8) Vadamiah 22/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. Fourth of 8 in handicap (10/1) at this C&D 18 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time and needs to raise her game. Three wins at Catterick in 2022 but hasn't added to them since; cheekpieces go on now.
2
7th (2) (9/1 -125%) Azucena
9
9/1(-125%)
(2) Azucena 9/1, Won 9-runner handicap at Newcastle (5f, 17/2) 13 days ago, comfortably. Up 6 lb and, moreover, her hit-and-miss profile is cause for concern. Back to form to take advantage of reduced mark at Newcastle 13 days ago; respected up 6lb.
6
8th (6) (80/1 -142%) Al Najada
80
80/1(-142%)
(6) Al Najada 80/1, Blinkered for 1st time, tenth of 11 in handicap (50/1) at Musselburgh (5f, good) when last seen 16 months ago. First run for yard after leaving K. R. Burke and sports a first-time hood. Makes belated return for a new yard; could only consider if backed.
7
9th (7) (20/1 -25%) Eeh Bah Gum
20
20/1(-25%)
(7) Eeh Bah Gum 20/1, 16/1, fifth of 11 in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, good) 15 days ago. Chance if rediscovering old form but it's a big 'if'. Is falling in th weights without obviously shaping as if ready to take advantage.
17:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Papa Don't Preach proved a different proposition in first-time blinkers when running out a two-length victor at Chelmsford recently and he should mount a bold bid, despite his 5lb penalty. However, he could come out second best to LADY NUNTHORPE, who produced a better effort to make the frame in this grade at Newcastle earlier in the month. With Tom Kiely-Marshall claiming 5lb in the plate, she could be the one to beat. Soul Singer is another to note.
PAPA DON'T PREACH did the job well when resuming winning ways at Chelmsford on Saturday and he looks more than capable of shrugging off a penalty in this company. Lady Nunthorpe could be the one to follow him home if able to back up her latest effort, while Rogue de Vega needs to bounce back but he will certainly have a chance if able to do so.
If the blinkers continue to have a positive effect \bPAPA DON'T PREACH (nap)p looks capable of defying a 5lb penalty for Wolverhampton.
(1) Early Morning Dew 3/1, C&D winner who doubled his tally at Epsom in August. Not seen to best effect when sixth of 14 in handicap (7/2) at this C&D 5 days ago, never nearer having been trapped wide. Can give another good account. Largely good record in headgear; better than bare result in C&D event last Saturday.
2
2nd (2) (7/2 +36%) Switchel
3.5
7/2(+36%)
(2) Switchel 7/2, Proved herself on all-weather when third of 9 in handicap (9/1) at Southwell (12.1f) 3 weeks ago. Has eased further in the weights and could be ready to take advantage back down in trip. Has shown signs that she's capable of winning an ordinary handicap; possibilities.
8
3rd (8) (10/1 +17%) Jenson Benson
10
10/1(+17%)
(8) Jenson Benson 10/1, Four-time course winner but 15 runs since last success in 2023. Wasn't in same form as previous outing when fourth of 7 in handicap at Chepstow (8.1f, good to firm, 15/2) 45 days ago, though needed stronger gallop. Back up in trip. Suited by Chelmsford and 8lb below last winning mark; attractively treated back here.
4
4th (4) (20/1 +0%) Love Your Work
20
20/1(+0%)
(4) Love Your Work 20/1, Made it back-to-back wins when scoring at Yarmouth in June. After only 2 days off, run probably best excused when tenth of 11 in handicap at Chester (10.3f, heavy, 8/1) 26 days ago. Others still more persuasive. On last winning mark but hasn't scored on AW for well over two years.
14
5th (14) (25/1 +0%) River Alwen
25
25/1(+0%)
(14) River Alwen 25/1, One of season's better efforts when fifth of 12 in handicap (14/1) at this course (8f) a week ago, nearest finish. Task is now to build on his latest run back up in distance. 0-8 and inconsistent for current yard but ran encouragingly here last week.
5
6th (5) (9/2 +10%) Gone Rogue
4.5
9/2(+10%)
(5) Gone Rogue 9/2, Has returned to form last 2 starts, second of 7 in handicap at Musselburgh (8f, good to firm, 85/40) 32 days ago. Enters calculations as he tries 10f for the first time. Solid second at Musselburgh the last twice; likely player if transferring form back to AW.
11
7th (11) (50/1 -25%) Cracking Filly
50
50/1(-25%)
(11) Cracking Filly 50/1, After 4 months off, fared no better from her falling mark when sixth of 9 in handicap (33/1) at Southwell (8.1f) 9 days ago. Has work to do as she goes back up in distance. Yet to make the frame; however, ran with some promise at Southwell last week.
10
8th (10) (66/1 -65%) Majorelle Blue
66
66/1(-65%)
(10) Majorelle Blue 66/1, After 6 months off ahead of first start since leaving Henry Spiller, seventh of 11 in handicap at Yarmouth (6f, good, 14/1) in July. Absent a further 3 months as she goes significantly up in trip. Best effort over 6f; doubtful stayer on breeding upped to 1m2f.
13
9th (13) (28/1 +15%) Commander Crouch
28
28/1(+15%)
(13) Commander Crouch 28/1, Fourteen runs since sole success in 2023. Failed to build on promise of previous run when last of 10 in handicap (16/1) at Kempton (8f) 27 days ago. Now tried in visor returned to this longer trip. Chance partly depends on how well he responds to new headgear.
9
10th (9) (4/1 +67%) Myna
4
4/1(+67%)
(9) Myna 4/1, Ran well when second at Newbury in July, but below-par effort on soft ground when fifth of 8 in handicap (7/2) at Brighton (9.9f) 38 days ago. No surprise to see him bounce back with hood on 1st time. 3yo maiden; went too freely last time; first win is possible with hood now fitted.
7
11th (7) (22/1 -175%) Oriental Art
22
22/1(-175%)
(7) Oriental Art 22/1, One win from 30 Flat runs. Placed 3 times this season, before run of good form halted when seventh of 9 in handicap at Yarmouth (14.1f, good, 5/1) 71 days ago. Not written off, though, from his current mark. Record is only 1-30 but gained the win off this mark; competitively handicapped.
12
12th (12) (33/1 -65%) Sun Festival
33
33/1(-65%)
(12) Sun Festival 33/1, C&D winner. Failed to come for reappearance when sixth of 8 in handicap (28/1) at Brighton (9.9f, soft) 38 days ago, though unproven on the ground. Only 1 lb above last winning mark returned to all-weather. Consistent in 2023; form has dipped sharply in two runs this term.
3
13th (3) (16/1 +0%) Chilled Out
16
16/1(+0%)
(3) Chilled Out 16/1, Won at Yarmouth and Ripon in May on first 2 starts for current yard. Below form last 2 outings, though, finishing well held when fifth of 8 in handicap (11/) at Chester (12.3f, soft) 33 days ago. Two wins on turf in May; generally not in the same form since but mark is workable.
6
14th (6) (66/1 -1220%) Angel Mac
66
66/1(-1220%)
(6) Angel Mac 66/1, Hasn't yet built on her debut third at Yarmouth, still green when eighth of 12 in maiden (40/1) at this course (7f) 2 weeks ago. However, she's one to note as she goes up in trip for handicap debut. Some late headway here on latest 7f start; open to improvement on handicap debut.
17:10 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 10f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
After a couple of below-par efforts on the turf, it was much more like it from SWITCHEL over 1m4f at Southwell three weeks ago. The daughter of Golden Horn only weakened into third late on that day, suggesting a drop in trip could suit. Champion jockey-elect Oisin Murphy gets aboard for the first time, and any improvement could see the filly make it 11th time lucky. All four of Jenson Benson's career victories have come around here and he's appealing from a workable mark, while Angel Mac might step forward now pitched into handicaps for the first time.
Having dropped to a handy mark, SWITCHEL ran well on her first all-weather start of the year when third at Southwell 3 weeks ago and she can build on that effort to open her account. Gone Rogue arrives in good heart and is feared most as he goes up in trip, with Myna completing the shortlist.
With his recent Musselburgh form having some substance, GONE ROGUE may be the answer. Myna is second choice.
(9) School For Scandal 13/2, Had been easing in the weights and ran better than for a while when narrowly denied at Warwick (20f, good) just over 3 weeks ago. Not the most reliable (sulks if unable to dominate), but he's capable of getting involved if on a going day for all he's yet to prove he stays this far. Nearly doubled his tally at Warwick latest but not guaranteed to be as good again.
5
2nd (5) (7/2 +61%) Jony Max
3.5
7/2(+61%)
(5) Jony Max 7/2, Continues to fall in the weights without showing any sign of taking advantage, latest at Warwick (20f, good) just over 3 weeks ago. First-time blinkers are added to his usual tongue tie. Blinkers would appear a cry for help but he has dropped to a dangerous mark.
3
3rd (3) (9/2 +10%) Ballynaheer
4.5
9/2(+10%)
(3) Ballynaheer 9/2, Runner-up completed outing in points and, with tongue strap added, off the mark over hurdles in handicap at Huntingdon (20.7f, soft) in April. Had a wind op and shaped encouragingly sent chasing after 5 months off when third at Uttoxeter (24f, good to soft) 11 days ago and he should improve. Chase debut after wind surgery when staying on into third at Uttoxeter 11 days ago.
6
4th (6) (9/1 +25%) Robinsville
9
9/1(+25%)
(6) Robinsville 9/1, No great shakes as a hurdler but he has shown an aptitude for this game in the summer, placed in handicaps at Stratford and Newton Abbot. Not so good at latter venue when last seen in June (jumping generally lacked fluency) so will need to take a step forward on return. Jumped poorly last time but Newton Abbot previously was as well as he's run.
1
5th (1) (16/1 +0%) Dindin
16
16/1(+0%)
(1) Dindin 16/1, Successful at Worcester in summer 2023 and runner-up on 3 occasions after. Decent comeback third at Newton Abbot in August but went backwards from that at Worcester (23f, good) since. Cheekpieces replace the usual blinkers but he's very much an all-or-nothing performer nowadays. This veteran may figure if on a good day but he's notoriously hard to predict.
8
6th (8) (25/1 -108%) Saxon Queen
25
25/1(-108%)
(8) Saxon Queen 25/1, Attracted support returning from a year off but never looked likely to justify it when well held in handicap hurdle at Newton Abbot (26.5f, good) 8 weeks ago. Reverts to the larger obstacles for just a second time and others more appealing. 2nd on chase debut; could strip fitter after August's reappearance back over hurdles.
7
|F| (7) (8/1 -33%) Toad Of Toad Hall
8
8/1(-33%)
(7) Toad Of Toad Hall 8/1, Unreliable individual who returned to form from out of the blue after 4 months off when second of 10 at Market Rasen (23.9f, good to firm) just under 3 weeks ago. Needs to prove that wasn't a false dawn. Returned to form from out of the blue with a second at Market Rasen (3m, good).
4
|U| (4) (9/4 +25%) Getupearly
2.25
9/4(+25%)
(4) Getupearly 9/4, Back from 4 months off (had breathing operation) when creditable second of 7 in at Fontwell (26f, good) and filled that same position at Huntingdon (23.6f, good) a fortnight later. Remains low mileage in this sphere and is one for shortlist. Point winner who has started well over fences and perhaps bumped into one last time.
2
|PU| (2) (50/1 -52%) Braganza Bay
50
50/1(-52%)
(2) Braganza Bay 50/1, Dual hurdles winner at Hereford in 2022/23 and successful start switched to fences at same course (25.2f) last October. However, he's been pulled up on both subsequent starts (latest at Newton Abbot after 10 months off) so has a bit to prove. Has never been easy to predict and twice pulled up since his Hereford win last October.
17:15 Wincanton Handicap Chase (Class 5) 25f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
BALLYNAHEER returned from a break on the back of wind surgery earlier this month, staying on into third at Uttoxeter. The slight step up in trip should suit the five-year-old and, from an unchanged mark, he can find the necessary improvement. Getupearly, runner-up on his last two starts, looks set to go close once again. Even so, Toad Of Toad Hall is competitively treated and might prove the bigger threat with Jamie Brace taking 3lb off his back.
Having had a wind op, BALLYNAHEER shaped encouragingly sent chasing after 5 months off when third at Uttoxeter recently and, with improvement on the cards, he's fancied to go a couple of places better at the expense of Getupearly, who has finished runner-up on his last 2 starts and remains low mileage in this sphere. School For Scandal and the returning Robinsville can fight out third.
It's been a solid start over fences for GETUPEARLY and he may have bumped into a sharp improver last time.
(4) Blue Carpet 13/2, £50,000 3-y-o, Blue Bresil gelding. Brother to 2¼m hurdle winner Yosille, and half-brother to 3 winners, including fair hurdler Miguel Angel. One to note on debut for powerful yard. Represents a leading stable and he's entitled to considerable respect on debut.
2
2nd (2) (11/1 -214%) Jet To Vegas
11
11/1(-214%)
(2) Jet To Vegas 11/1, £80,000 5-y-o, Jet Away gelding. Brother to fair chaser Jet Setting Johnny. Dam unraced half-sister to useful hurdler/fairly useful chaser (stayed 23f) River Maigue. Easy winner sole outing in Irish points in May. Has had breathing operation/wears tongue tie. Has to command respect. Point winner; bought for £80,000 since; could be a serious force on rules debut.
3
3rd (3) (5/1 -25%) Kapal Layar
5
5/1(-25%)
(3) Kapal Layar 5/1, €72,000 Milan gelding. Brother to bumper winner/useful hurdler Nina The Terrier. Sent off favourite for void race at Kelso in April. Makes plenty of appeal for yard with fine record in this discipline. Favourite for debut in April (race voided); firmly in calculations.
5
4th (5) (4/1 +71%) He's Bresilian
4
4/1(+71%)
(5) He's Bresilian 4/1, Blue Bresil gelding. Half-brother to 4 winners, including fairly useful hurdler/chaser Vintage Fizz and bumper winner Fameaftertheglory, stays 29f over jumps. Failed to complete in 2 points, pulled up latest (Mar 3). Didn't show enough in his two British maiden points to have appealing claims today.
7
5th (7) (85/40 +36%) Walk Of Faith
2.125
85/40(+36%)
(7) Walk Of Faith 85/40, €120,000 3-y-o, Walk In The Park gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including smart hurdler/very smart chaser Minella Cocooner and fair chaser Waitonit. 120,000euros 3yo; half-brother to Minella Cocooner; there's plenty to like on paper.
6
6th (6) (5/1 -25%) Kadjar Des Mottes
5
5/1(-25%)
(6) Kadjar Des Mottes 5/1, €9,000 3-y-o, £72,000 4-y-o, Balko gelding. Half-brother to fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser Eritage. Dam, French 19f hurdle winner, sister to useful hurdler/chaser (stayed 27f) Terminal. Left clear sole outing in Irish points. Bought for £72,000 after winning debut in Irish point; could have a part to play.
1
7th (1) (25/1 +24%) Diamond Trilogy
25
25/1(+24%)
(1) Diamond Trilogy 25/1, £19,000 3-y-o, Diamond Boy gelding. Half-brother to fairly useful hurdler Whistle Stop Tour, stays 3m. Has had a breathing operation. Half-brother to the promising Whistle Stop Tour; not discounted on debut.
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Point-to-point winner KADJAR DES MOTTES changed hands for 72,000 pounds in May and the son of Balko is related to plenty of winners. Therefore, it would be no surprise to see him make an instant impression under Brian Hughes, with his main threat possibly being Blue Carpet. Dan Skelton's four-year-old wouldn't have to be anything out of the ordinary on his debut to have a say in this contest, while any market support for Walk Of Faith would be interesting.
No Rules form to go on but an interesting bunch on the whole. The market will reveal more but as things stand, JET TO VEGAS gets the tentative nod on the back of an easy point win. Kapal Layar and Blue Carpet also tick plenty of boxes.
120,000euros 3yo WALK OF FAITH is a half-brother to bet365 Gold Cup winner Minella Cocooner and is taken to make a winning start.
(5) Fluorescence 5/1, Foaled May 5. Twilight Son filly. Half-sister to useful 2-y-o 7f winner New Dimension and 6f-7f winner Mellys Flyer. Dam 2-y-o 6f winner. One to note in the betting on debut for stable enjoying a fine season. Makes some paper appeal but it's likely a useful effort will be needed on this debut.
3
2nd (3) (8/15 +64%) Chiringita
0.533333
8/15(+64%)
(3) Chiringita 8/15, American Pharoah filly who built on her promising Newmarket debut effort when third of 8 in a Kempton novice (6f) 22 days ago, finishing well to pull well clear of the remainder. Pedigree an ongoing recommendation and she's of interest with further progress anticipated. Promising third at Kempton (6f) latest; the obvious danger to Shamrock Breeze.
9
3rd (9) (50/1 -25%) Marvelously
50
50/1(-25%)
(9) Marvelously 50/1, £100,000 purchase as a yearling but notably green and not threatened in 2 outings to date, fifth of 8 in novice at Kempton (6f, 100/1) 22 days ago. Likely longer-term project. Modest form both runs, finishing over 6l behind reopposing Chiringita at Kempton latterly.
1
4th (1) (4/1 -191%) Shamrock Breeze
4
4/1(-191%)
(1) Shamrock Breeze 4/1, Fairly useful filly (5f maiden winner) who quickly shaped as if back in form when fifth of 8 in competitive minor event at Dundalk (5f) 4 weeks ago. Sets the standard back in calmer waters and shortlisted upped to 6f with Tom Marquand booked. Useful 5f form, including placing at Listed level; tough to beat if seeing out 6f.
4
5th (4) (22/1 -38%) Flashy Dark Angel
22
22/1(-38%)
(4) Flashy Dark Angel 22/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Ninth of 11 in novice (18/1) at Beverley (5f, good to firm) 29 days ago, fading. Back up in trip now but handicaps promise to be more her bag. Showed ability on second of three turf starts but others preferred now switching to AW.
11
6th (11) (16/1 -14%) Thecoffeepoddotco
16
16/1(-14%)
(11) Thecoffeepoddotco 16/1, Encouragement when making the frame first 3 starts but progress has stalled of late, below form in first time cheekpieces when fifth of 11 in novice at Carlisle (5.8f, good to soft) 36 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Fair form at start of career but recent efforts disappointing, including in cheekpieces.
6
7th (6) (66/1 -65%) Hot Breath
66
66/1(-65%)
(6) Hot Breath 66/1, Foaled February 18. Bated Breath filly. Half-sister to several winners, including smart 6f winner Mobsta and useful 6f-7f winner Cincuenta Pasos. Half-sister to a Group 2 winner; betting should guide for in-form stable.
8
8th (8) (50/1 -150%) Lady Diesel
50
50/1(-150%)
(8) Lady Diesel 50/1, Twice-raced maiden. 40/1, sixth of 9 in novice at Kempton (6f) 27 days ago, headway under pressure 2f out without being unduly punished. Handicaps promise to be more suitable moving forward. Has hinted at ability but likely more one for handicaps after this.
2
9th (2) (200/1 -100%) Baby Rover
200
200/1(-100%)
(2) Baby Rover 200/1, The Irish Rover filly who has finished well held both starts in maiden/novice company and she looks one for low-grade handicaps later on. Big prices and down the field in two outings on turf; outsider again.
10
10th (10) (28/1 -40%) Mseka
28
28/1(-40%)
(10) Mseka 28/1, Foaled May 3. €130,000 yearling, No Nay Never filly. Half-sister to winner up to 1m McQueen. Dam lightly raced half-sister to useful 9.5f/1¼m winner Adool out of useful winner up to 7f Khulood. Betting should prove informative on debut. Wears hood. 130,000euros yearling in good hands but has a high standard to aim at; wears a hood.
17:30 Southwell Stakes (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
CHIRINGITA finished a fair fourth on her debut before showing improvement to make the frame over 6f at Kempton on her latest outing. The daughter of American Pharoah looks to have been found a suitable opportunity to shed her maiden tag at the third time of asking. Thecoffeepoddotco brings plenty of experience to the table and might get into contention, along with Shamrock Breeze.
CHIRINGITA's latest Kempton third was an effort packed full of promise so, with clear potential for better still, she earns the vote ahead of Irish raider and standard setter Shamrock Breeze who has her first crack at this trip. Fluorescence and Mseka are a couple of newcomers to monitor in the betting for clues.
Irish raider SHAMROCK BREEZE has the ideal draw to showcase her speed and is taken to last home on her first attempt at 6f.
(7) Drifts Away 13/2, Lightly-raced maiden. Respectable 6½ lengths third of 12 to Bold Suitor in handicap at this C&D (22/1) 28 days ago. Third behind Bold Suitor and H Key Lails on handicap debut; may build on that.
1
2nd (1) (10/3 +0%) H Key Lails
3.333333
10/3(+0%)
(1) H Key Lails 10/3, C&D winner. Very good short-head second of 12 to Bold Suitor in handicap (7/1) at this C&D 28 days ago, clear of rest. Expected to be bang there. Short-head second to Bold Suitor here last time; on last winning mark; solid chance.
4
3rd (4) (15/8 +53%) Bold Suitor
1.875
15/8(+53%)
(4) Bold Suitor 15/8, C&D winner. Latest win here in September. Good second of 12 in handicap at this C&D (3/1) 5 days ago, ridden too aggressively. Remains well treated and should go well again. Narrowly beat H Key Lails here last month; nearly made all last Saturday; player.
8
4th (8) (7/1 -8%) High Court Judge
7
7/1(-8%)
(8) High Court Judge 7/1, C&D winner. Eighth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 11/2) 17 days ago. First run for yard after leaving David Dennis. Starts out for shrewd yard but hasn't been there long. Attractively weighted on debut for James Owen and has won over C&D.
5
5th (5) (40/1 -100%) Top Button
40
40/1(-100%)
(5) Top Button 40/1, Winner at Wolverhampton in July. 14/1, last of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 17 days ago, left poorly placed. Classified winner; latest defeat took handicap record to 0-13.
2
6th (2) (11/1 -144%) Carvalhal
11
11/1(-144%)
(2) Carvalhal 11/1, Winner at Hamilton in August. Respectable fifth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 6/1) 17 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Booking of Murphy catches the eye and he's worth considering down in grade. Dropped another 1lb and looks interesting with Oisin Murphy up for first time.
10
7th (10) (50/1 +0%) Kodiac Brave
50
50/1(+0%)
(10) Kodiac Brave 50/1, Eighth of 12 in handicap (50/1) at this C&D 7 days ago. Others preferred. Poor maiden who is readily opposed.
9
8th (9) (50/1 -100%) Rising Force
50
50/1(-100%)
(9) Rising Force 50/1, Course winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2023. Tenth of 12 in handicap at this course (7f, 22/1) 19 days ago. Has work to do. Form has dipped noticeably in last three appearances.
3
9th (3) (5/1 -11%) Charlatan
5
5/1(-11%)
(3) Charlatan 5/1, 3 wins from 9 runs this year. Creditable second of 8 in handicap (11/4) at Leicester (8.2f, good), no match for winner. Off 103 days. Well respected. 0-7 on turf; 3-5 on AW and may still have more to offer in this sphere; interesting.
17:45 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 8f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Just a short head separated H KEY LAILS (second) and Bold Suitor (winner) over C&D last month. The latter is actually better off at the weights with Kaiya Fraser only claiming 3lb on this occasion, but stall one could be vital for Michael Attwater's charge and he is taken to reverse the form. Charlatan was knocking on the door when last seen in July. He is three from five on the all-weather and can be expected to mount another bold bid.
H KEY LAILS and Bold Suitor were closely matched over C&D 4 weeks ago and may dominate this, with preference for the former. The latter has shaped well here since that contest and Carvalhal looks of interest dropping in grade with Oisin Murphy booked.
Bold Suitor and H Key Lails are tightly matched. CHARLATAN, Carvalhal and High Court Judge are interesting.
(5) How Lovely 4/1, Foaled March 23. 200,000 gns yearling, No Nay Never filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 5.5f winner Kodikova. Makes plenty of appeal on paper and it will look significant if the market speaks in her favour. Likely type on breeding for a respected stable.
9
2nd (9) (9/4 +72%) Nazuki
2.25
9/4(+72%)
(9) Nazuki 9/4, Foaled February 20. Earthlight filly. Closely related to 2-y-o 7f winner Change For Good and half-sister to 6f-7f winner White Umbrella. Dam 2-y-o 7f winner. Watch the betting for clues. Makes paper appeal but all stable's 16 2yo winners this year have been on turf.
1
3rd (1) (7/4 +30%) Dear Cat
1.75
7/4(+30%)
(1) Dear Cat 7/4, Lightly-raced winner. Successful at Salisbury in August. Bit below form ninth of 15 in nursery at Doncaster (6.5f, good, 11/2) 35 days ago but sights lowered here and she will be a danger to all if taking to this surface. Made all in 7f maiden in August; held in Doncaster nursery since but player back in novice.
4
4th (4) (14/1 +13%) Elland Road Girl
14
14/1(+13%)
(4) Elland Road Girl 14/1, Once-raced maiden. Fifth of 11 in novice (28/1) at Beverley (5f, good to firm) on debut 29 days ago. Up in trip and she needs to raise her game. Showed ability when fifth on turf debut but needs to leave that bare form behind.
6
5th (6) (40/1 -233%) Jake Loves Laura
40
40/1(-233%)
(6) Jake Loves Laura 40/1, Once-raced maiden. Fifth of 10 in maiden (80/1) at Newbury (6f, good to firm) on debut 49 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Dominic Ffrench Davis and she's probably worth taking on. Fifth on 6f Newbury debut for Dominic Ffrench-Davis; new trainer yet to have a winner.
8
6th (8) (14/1 +13%) Manara
14
14/1(+13%)
(8) Manara 14/1, Once-raced maiden. 100/1, seventh of 11 in novice at Kempton (6f) on debut 15 days ago, slowly away. Likely to improve with that run under her belt. Green when seventh of 11 on 6f Kempton debut; needs to have come on a fair bit.
10
7th (10) (16/1 -14%) Thamna
16
16/1(-14%)
(10) Thamna 16/1, Once-raced maiden. 10/1, sixth of 8 in maiden at Newcastle (7.1f) on debut 23 days ago, not knocked about. Looks vulnerable. Hinted at ability on her 7f Newcastle debut 23 days ago; entitled to progress.
2
8th (2) (16/1 -60%) Bear Facts
16
16/1(-60%)
(2) Bear Facts 16/1, Once-raced maiden. 25/1, seventh of 12 in novice at Kempton (7f) on debut 31 days ago. Will be more street-wise this time and it would be no surprise to see her step up on that here. Showed up well for long way on 7f Kempton debut; may last longer this time.
18:00 Southwell Stakes (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
BRAVE BYREFLECTION made a debut full of promise when runner-up at Ripon. The winner has subsequently won again, so that form looks solid and the daughter of Mohaather is one to keep on the right side of. Maiden winner Dear Cat faced a tough assignment in a nursery at Doncaster last time and can go well back at this level, while Jake Loves Laura and Bear Facts are both likely improvers.
The vote goes to BRAVE BYREFLECTION, who fared best of the newcomers when runner-up in a Ripon maiden in August and she is sure to improve. Dear Cat will find this company more palatable having contested a Class 2 Doncaster nursery last time and she is second choice ahead of likely-looking newcomers How Lovely and Nazuki.
Dear Cat should go well under a penalty but Ripon debut runner-up BRAVE BYREFLECTION may be able to improve past her.
(1) Yoshimi 10/3, C&D winner. Bit below form fifth of 10 in handicap (5/1) at Leicester (7f, good to firm) 67 days ago. Needs to get back on track after a break. Not solid on 2024 form but is attractively treated back on AW; won over C&D two years ago.
7
2nd (7) (5/2 -33%) Profitman
2.5
5/2(-33%)
(7) Profitman 5/2, C&D winner. Creditable second of 12 in handicap at this C&D (9/2) 19 days ago. Capable of going one better with a performance of similar merit. Two attempts over C&D have resulted in a win in April and neck second on latest outing.
8
3rd (8) (6/1 -33%) Wrath Of Hector
6
6/1(-33%)
(8) Wrath Of Hector 6/1, Latest win at Yarmouth in August. 7/1, creditable third of 10 in handicap at this course (6f) 19 days ago. Merits consideration. Recent 6f form is respectable; shapes as if this return to 7f will suit; likely player.
9
4th (9) (22/1 +33%) Sea The Buckthorn
22
22/1(+33%)
(9) Sea The Buckthorn 22/1, One win from 24 Flat runs. 18/1, tenth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 10 days ago. Others more persuasive. Has lost his form since July and needs to rebound.
10
5th (10) (12/1 +25%) Zachary
12
12/1(+25%)
(10) Zachary 12/1, Course winner. Sixteen runs since last win in 2023. 40/1, last of 10 in handicap at Musselburgh (7.1f, good) 15 days ago. Hard to make a strong case for. Two sprint wins here last autumn; regressive results since upped to 7f.
11
6th (11) (40/1 -60%) Zelma
40
40/1(-60%)
(11) Zelma 40/1, Respectable sixth of 10 in handicap (33/1) at this course (6f) 28 days ago, left poorly placed. Not completely dismissed. Modest 3yo maiden but last two efforts suggest this return to 7f may help.
5
7th (5) (16/1 +0%) Bear To Dream
16
16/1(+0%)
(5) Bear To Dream 16/1, Course winner. Latest win at Brighton in August. Respectable seventh of 12 in handicap (28/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 10 days ago. Could be on the premises. Below par returned to 7f last time; still has a better strike-rate over 6f.
2
8th (2) (7/2 +22%) Stella Hogan
3.5
7/2(+22%)
(2) Stella Hogan 7/2, 5/1, creditable sixth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 10 days ago, not ideally placed. Capable of getting involved. Generally consistent on AW; unlucky second under Rossa Ryan on sole C&D attempt; solid.
6
9th (6) (66/1 -65%) This Time Maybe
66
66/1(-65%)
(6) This Time Maybe 66/1, Eleventh of 12 in handicap at Kempton (8f, 40/1) 15 days ago. Hooded for 1st time. 3yo maiden who has weak claims on 2024 form for new yard; hood added.
4
10th (4) (11/1 -29%) Mount Mogan
11
11/1(-29%)
(4) Mount Mogan 11/1, Fourth of 6 in handicap (15/2) at Lingfield (7f, AW) 43 days ago. Can make his presence felt if things drop right. Campaigned mostly at Lingfield in last two years; on last winning mark.
3
11th (3) (100/1 -52%) El Montejean
100
100/1(-52%)
(3) El Montejean 100/1, 150/1, ninth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 17 days ago. Others are more appealing. Poor form for current stable, latterly back on AW.
18:15 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Bear To Dream, Wrath Of Hector and Yoshimi have all won off higher marks and command respect in a race of this nature. However, PROFITMAN, a C&D winner off 4lb lower in April, is open to more progression than many and, having gone down by just a neck when second in a similar race back here last month, the Ben Brookhouse-trained three-year-old rates the most appealing option on these terms.
PROFITMAN arrives on the back of a good second over C&D and this isn't a strong affair, so he's fancied to go one better for all that Wrath of Hector and Stella Hogan also arrive in reasonable form.
With strong claims kept to this C&D, PROFITMAN (nap) is preferred. Stella Hogan is second choice.
(2) Hectic 7/1, Nineteen runs since last win in 2022. 9/1, first run since leaving Roger Fell & Sean Murray when fourteenth of 18 in handicap at York (7f, soft) 6 days ago. Hopes pinned on the first-time visor sparking improvement. Drawn a blank since debut win two years ago; needs a visor to make a difference.
1
2nd (1) (3/1 +25%) Spirit Of Applause
3
3/1(+25%)
(1) Spirit Of Applause 3/1, Latest win at Beverley in August. Good third of 10 in handicap at this C&D (8/1) 12 days ago. Unlucky not to finish closer that day (denied a clear run at a crucial stage) and he's a major player. Back in form since cheekpieces went on, catching eye when third over C&D latest; player.
6
3rd (6) (9/1 -29%) Strong Johnson
9
9/1(-29%)
(6) Strong Johnson 9/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2023. 10/3, fourth of 7 in handicap at Hamilton (5f, good) 24 days ago. Back up in trip and he's one for the shortlist. Mostly respectable efforts lately but losing run now up to 16.
9
4th (9) (11/1 -10%) Beyond Equal
11
11/1(-10%)
(9) Beyond Equal 11/1, Thirty runs since last win in 2021. Respectable third of 12 in handicap (8/1) at Bath (5.7f, soft) 16 days ago. 1 lb lower now and he has to enter calculations from an each-way perspective. Creditable third at Bath latest but his very long losing run is a negative.
4
5th (4) (12/1 -71%) Fiscal Policy
12
12/1(-71%)
(4) Fiscal Policy 12/1, Two wins from 5 runs this year, the latest at Pontefract in September. Bit below form fifth of 10 in handicap at this C&D (11/1) 12 days ago, finishing around 2 lengths adrift of Spirit of Applause. Place possibilities. Two turf wins lately and better than result (hampered) over C&D latest; drawn widest.
12
6th (12) (12/1 -9%) Darlo Pride
12
12/1(-9%)
(12) Darlo Pride 12/1, 4/1, first run since leaving Anthony Carson when seventh of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 17 days ago. On a reasonable mark but he will need to find something extra if he's to get his head in front. Four AW wins for Tony Carson but never involved on last month's yard debut.
8
7th (8) (11/2 +54%) Cliffcake
5.5
11/2(+54%)
(8) Cliffcake 11/2, Four-time course winner. Fifth of 8 in handicap (3/1) at this course (7.1f) 44 days ago, not ideally placed. Others look stronger. Four course wins and respectable fifth back here latest; not discounted.
7
8th (7) (13/2 +28%) Glamorous Express
6.5
13/2(+28%)
(7) Glamorous Express 13/2, Good third of 16 in handicap (11/2) at Bath (5.7f, good to firm) 32 days ago, suited by way race developed. Looks vulnerable for win purposes. Recent turf efforts respectable and he's better on AW (3-11).
11
9th (11) (20/1 -25%) Bellagio Man
20
20/1(-25%)
(11) Bellagio Man 20/1, C&D winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2023. 10/1, creditable fourth of 10 in handicap at this C&D 7 days ago. While he's not a forlorn hope, others make more appeal all the same. Down in weights and bit better when fourth over C&D last week; needs to build on that.
3
10th (3) (8/1 +0%) Lipsink
8
8/1(+0%)
(3) Lipsink 8/1, Bit below form seventh of 16 in handicap at Bath (5.7f, good to firm, 5/1) 32 days ago, racing closer to pace than ideal. In good form prior to that and he's a live each-way candidate. Mainly in good form since joining this yard and can bounce back from below-par run latest.
10
11th (10) (50/1 -127%) High Violet
50
50/1(-127%)
(10) High Violet 50/1, Winner at Leicester in July. Ninth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f, 25/1) 14 days ago. Will need a couple of these to falter if she's to make a impact. Remains 4lb above the mark she defied at Leicester in June and others are more obvious.
5
12th (5) (33/1 -65%) Ticktyboo
33
33/1(-65%)
(5) Ticktyboo 33/1, Winner at Chepstow in August. 33/1, last of 13 in handicap at York (5f, soft) 39 days ago. Back up in trip and he's probably worth taking on. Went close in Newcastle handicap on previous AW start; this easier than York last time.
18:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
SPIRIT OF APPLAUSE was beaten just a length when third over course and distance on his recent all-weather debut. That effort can be upgraded, given he had to be switched for a clear run, and Tim Easterby's sprinter makes plenty of appeal. Fiscal Policy was hampered when finishing fifth in the same race and can finish closer with normal luck in running, while Cliffcake won off a 5lb higher mark at the track back in March and is another to note.
The most appealing of these is SPIRIT OF APPLAUSE, who saw daylight too late in the day when a close third in a C&D handicap last time and he remains on an attractive mark. Strong Johnson's losing run is mounting up but, on the upside, the assessor is relenting and this 8-y-o has to be feared. Fiscal Policy, who wasn't too far behind the selection over C&D earlier this month, is also shortlisted, along with Lipsink.
Tim Easterby's SPIRIT OF APPLAUSE gets the vote to build on a promising first AW start over C&D 12 days ago.
(4) How Impressive 7/2, 3 wins from 15 runs this year. Good second of 10 in handicap at this course (6f, 6/1) 19 days ago. Heading back in the right direction recently and big shout. Pipped here latest (first AW run for a while) and had slightly better form early this year.
3
2nd (3) (16/1 -60%) Extrication
16
16/1(-60%)
(3) Extrication 16/1, Last of 10 in handicap (7/1) at Salisbury (6f, good to soft) 34 days ago. Has a bit to prove on the back of that. Towards the rear in his three handicaps; unraced on AW since first two career starts.
1
3rd (1) (11/10 +32%) Local Music
1.1
11/10(+32%)
(1) Local Music 11/10, 3 wins from 7 runs this year. 4/1, career best when winning 10-runner handicap at this C&D 7 days ago. Carries penalty. Expected to be bang there. Won three of last five starts; well on top over C&D one week ago; excellent under penalty.
9
4th (9) (16/1 -100%) Twitch
16
16/1(-100%)
(9) Twitch 16/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in September. 11/10, respectable 2½ lengths fourth of 10 to Wilde And Dandy in handicap at this C&D 5 days ago. Not ruled out. Has taken well to this C&D, with two wins before Saturday's 4th to Wilde And Dandy.
2
5th (2) (11/2 +15%) Bell Shot
5.5
11/2(+15%)
(2) Bell Shot 11/2, Latest win at Beverley in July. 10/3, creditable fourth of 14 in handicap at Kempton (7f) 15 days ago, racing closer to pace than ideal. Not taken lightly. 2-12 for new yard this year and usually competitive, including on other AW tracks.
7
6th (7) (50/1 -100%) King Of War
50
50/1(-100%)
(7) King Of War 50/1, 15/2, ninth of 10 in handicap at Yarmouth (6f, good to soft) 10 days ago. In good form prior to that so not readily discounted. Well in on turf form; his limited AW record (latest go in March 2023) is less convincing.
5
7th (5) (9/1 +55%) Sir Oliver
9
9/1(+55%)
(5) Sir Oliver 9/1, C&D winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2023. 16/1, ninth of 13 in handicap at this C&D 28 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Dropped to a handy mark. Only one win (last November) in more than two years and not so good this season.
6
8th (6) (22/1 -38%) Ataser
22
22/1(-38%)
(6) Ataser 22/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. 14/1, fifth of 8 in handicap at Newmarket (7f, good) 76 days ago, merely closing up late. Makes polytrack debut. Cheekpieces back on. Has work to do. Return of cheekpieces sparks some interest but sole win in last four years was in 2022.
18:45 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 5) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
This appears to be at the mercy of LOCAL MUSIC, who is 4lb well-in under a penalty after a comfortable C&D success last week. The daughter of U S Navy Flag has taken a shine to this venue and, assuming the quick turnaround doesn't catch her out, a third course triumph should be within her reach. Fellow penalised runner Wilde And Dandy and dual track-and-trip winner Twitch rate the most appealing alternatives, although Bell Shot could also go close.
HOW IMPRESSIVE isn't the most straightforward but he's well treated and benefited from a return to polytrack when second here last time, so he gets the narrow vote over last-time-out winner Local Music, who is certainly going the right way. Bell Shot is another one to consider.
How Impressive and Wilde And Dandy are players but LOCAL MUSIC has a cracking chance if she's in the same form as last week.
(12) Paborus 3/1, Won novices at Redcar and Carlisle in May and shaped better than the distance beaten suggests when seventh of 16 in handicap at York (7.9f, good to firm, 8/1) 55 days ago, weakening late on after racing freely. Remains capable of better. Better than result on 1m handicap debut; impressed with 7f novice wins before that; player.
5
2nd (5) (4/1 +56%) Bobby Bennu
4
4/1(+56%)
(5) Bobby Bennu 4/1, Landed the odds at Chester in June and defied a penalty at Thirsk (7f) in July. Not disgraced whilst looking no more than averagely treated since, fifth of 6 in handicap at Epsom (7f, good) 52 days ago. Needs to pull out more. Lightly raced but only fifth in his two handicaps and his mark demands improvement.
7
3rd (7) (40/1 -82%) Silver Samurai
40
40/1(-82%)
(7) Silver Samurai 40/1, Returning from a 4-month break when resuming winning ways at Doncaster (7f) in June but not scaled same heights in trio of starts since. Others make greater appeal. Won at Doncaster in June but well held all three outings since and 0-9 on AW.
4
4th (4) (9/2 -13%) Billyjoh
4.5
9/2(-13%)
(4) Billyjoh 9/2, Course winner who emerged with plenty of credit in big field turf handicaps this summer, not least when third in Stewards' Cup at Goodwood in August. Below best next time but quickly shaped as if back in form when midfield in Ayr Gold Cup next time. Of interest back at 7f. Placed at Royal Ascot and in Stewards' Cup; better than result latest; goes well here.
14
5th (14) (22/1 +12%) Hightimeyouwon
22
22/1(+12%)
(14) Hightimeyouwon 22/1, Winner at Dundalk (7f) in March and best effort since when third of 8 in handicap back at that venue (7f) 13 days ago. On a workable mark and he's worth a second look now starting out for his new stable. AW winner in Ireland; third at Dundalk latest; new trainer.
10
6th (10) (8/1 -33%) Zero Carbon
8
8/1(-33%)
(10) Zero Carbon 8/1, Useful sort who enhanced his excellent Kempton record over 1m in August, making all. Smashing effort when third in 6f conditions' event back there 15 days ago and he needs considering back in handicap company. Career-best RPR in Kempton conditions race recently; well treated from unchanged mark.
13
7th (13) (15/2 +38%) Ararat
7.5
15/2(+38%)
(13) Ararat 15/2, Latest win at Chelmsford (7f) in August. Creditable fifth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 10/1) 12 days ago, no extra final 100 yds. Each-way possibilities back up in trip. Third 7f win when making all at Chelmsford in August; creditable fifth over C&D since.
11
8th (11) (10/1 +50%) Stone Soldier
10
10/1(+50%)
(11) Stone Soldier 10/1, 3-time C&D winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Thirteenth of 14 in handicap at Ayr (8f, good to firm, 20/1) 26 days ago. Return to this venue may well have positive effect now. Possibly stretched by a mile on turf last twice and well treated on peak AW form.
1
9th (1) (9/1 -13%) Cloud Cover
9
9/1(-13%)
(1) Cloud Cover 9/1, Progressed into a useful performer on AW, adding to her tally on Finals Day at Newmarket (7f) in March. Not seen to best effect from so far back when seventh of 12 in handicap back at that venue in August and she's respected. Won 7f Newcastle handicap on Good Friday and second in AW Listed next time; excuses latest.
8
10th (8) (18/1 -50%) Koy Koy
18
18/1(-50%)
(8) Koy Koy 18/1, Ended last term in good heart, successful on AW debut at Wolverhampton (8.6f) prior to a good third at Ayr (1m). Has caught the eye on a couple of occasions this time around but ultimately had every chance when fifth of 9 in handicap at Sandown (7f, soft) 34 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Won previous AW start but hard to fancy on recent efforts; cheekpieces go on.
9
11th (9) (33/1 -267%) Persuasion
33
33/1(-267%)
(9) Persuasion 33/1, Gained reward for a series of consistent efforts to get off the mark for the season in 11-runner event at Haydock (7f, good) 6 weeks ago, never far away in a race where it paid to be close to the slow gallop. One to consider from 3 lb higher. Knocking at door prior to latest 7f Haydock win but needs to show he's as good on AW.
3
12th (3) (40/1 +0%) Documenting
40
40/1(+0%)
(3) Documenting 40/1, Latest win at Chelmsford City in April. Last of 9 in handicap at Thirsk (7f, good to firm, 22/1) 48 days ago, finding the run of the race against him. Better showing not ruled out back on AW but he lacks the potential of one or two here. Mainly in good form this year and given bit of time since a poor run in August.
19:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 2) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
BILLYJOH gets another chance in an open contest. Mick Appleby's charge has yet to win over 7f, but has finished runner-up over this distance at both Ascot at Goodwood this season. Persuasion can go well again after scoring at Haydock, while both Bobby Bennu and Merlin The Wizard have plenty of scope for improvement and the veteran Documenting is still capable in this grade on his day.
BILLYJOH has acquitted himself with plenty of credit in competitive big-field handicaps on turf in recent months, not finding the gaps appearing in time when midfield in last month's Ayr Gold Cup. Boasting a positive profile on synthetics and still lightly raced at 7f, he could be the answer. This is competitive though, with Paborus, Zero Carbon and Cloud Cover others holding sound claims. Haydock-scorer Persuasion is another in the mix.
A good handicap in which the vote goes to BILLYJOH, who has a good track record and is only 1lb higher than when second at Royal Ascot.
(2) Buxted Reel 5/1, One win from 27 Flat runs. 12/1, fourth of 12 in novice hurdle at Worcester (16f, good) 31 days ago. Lurking on a handy mark returned to this sphere for all his overall strike rate tempers enthusiasm. 2nd on both his starts here, latterly this race last year; sole win (29 races) in 2022.
1
2nd (1) (8/11 +100%) Simiyann
0.727273
8/11(+100%)
(1) Simiyann 8/11, Bounced back to form of late, runner-up over 14f here prior to breaking shedding maiden tag with clear-cut success in 8-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (14f) 10 days ago. The one to beat turned out under a penalty. 0-17 before he easily justified 6-4 favouritism at Wolverhampton (1m6f, AW) ten days ago.
6
3rd (6) (5/1 +23%) Drouthy Neebor
5
5/1(+23%)
(6) Drouthy Neebor 5/1, 11/2, creditable third of 11 in handicap at Kempton (12f) 27 days ago, plugging on. Remains one of the least exposed and this stiffer test well worth exploring on balance. Closer switched to AW for three handicaps but needs to find extra over this longer trip.
4
4th (4) (66/1 -65%) Certain Style
66
66/1(-65%)
(4) Certain Style 66/1, 16/1, ninth of 10 in minor event at Lingfield (10f, AW) 86 days ago, struggling under 3f out. Others make greater appeal now upped markedly in trip. 0-14; second in a classified at Lingfield (1m2f, AW) in February but has gone off the boil.
5
5th (5) (14/1 -40%) Apache Eagle
14
14/1(-40%)
(5) Apache Eagle 14/1, Thrice-raced maiden who, equipped with blinkers, again finished well held when seventh of 9 in maiden at Limerick (12.5f, good) in June. Has since left Joseph O'Brien and market best guide now handicapping for new stable. Ex-Irish, 8,000gns buy; stable, handicap and AW debut, with no solid claims but unexposed.
3
6th (3) (9/1 -50%) Smokey Malone
9
9/1(-50%)
(3) Smokey Malone 9/1, Course winner. 4/1, creditable third of 10 in handicap at Southwell (14.1f) 21 days ago, left with lot to do. May be sharper with that under his belt (first start for 12 weeks) and he's operating 3 lb below last winning mark. Never-nearer third at Southwell, following 12 weeks off, gives renewed hope.
7
7th (7) (40/1 -43%) Kimchi
40
40/1(-43%)
(7) Kimchi 40/1, Seventh of 10 in handicap at Brighton (11.9f, good to soft, 14/1) 9 days ago. Increase in trip needs to unlock some progress. Seven-race maiden who has failed to show progress since handicapping; new trip.
19:15 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 6) 14f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
SIMIYANN was impressive when scoring by six lengths at Wolverhampton 10 days ago and is very hard to ignore, even with a 5lb penalty imposed. He appears to have found an extra gear now he has adapted to racing in a visor and is a strong fancy to give weight and a beating to his rivals. Smokey Malone is effective over track and trip so also warrants serious thought. Drouthy Neebor, a potential improver over this distance, is a must for a betting check.
SIMIYANN capitalised on a career-low mark when shedding the maiden tag in facile fashion at Wolverhampton 10 days ago and a 5 lb penalty shouldn't prevent him following up. Drouthy Neebor shapes as though worth a crack at this sort of trip and along with Smokey Malone, can provide chief resistance.
Simiyann made his breakthrough in no little style ten days ago but SMOKEY MALONE's strong finish at Southwell was encouraging.
(10) Snash 10/3, Course winner. 9/1, respectable fourth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 14 days ago. Return to class 5 company looks in his favour and the assessor continues to relinquish his grip. Not far away on last four outings (three of those at 7f) so has a place chance.
3
2nd (3) (13/2 +7%) Bicep
6.5
13/2(+7%)
(3) Bicep 13/2, Fourteen runs since last win in 2023. 6/1, respectable fifth of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (8f) 13 days ago, seemingly stretched by the trip returned to a stiffer track. No surprise to see a better showing returned to 7f. Second on last two visits here; each-way claims with return to 7f likely to suit.
1
3rd (1) (10/1 +0%) Airshow
10
10/1(+0%)
(1) Airshow 10/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Salisbury in August. 6½ lengths eighth of 11 to Embarked in handicap (11/2) at this C&D 18 days ago, racing closer to pace than ideal. Likely type to bounce back. 9yo; highly competitive sequence prior to a disappointing show over C&D on latest outing.
12
4th (12) (10/1 +60%) King Of York
10
10/1(+60%)
(12) King Of York 10/1, C&D winner. Seventh of 8 in handicap at this course (8.1f, 28/1) 18 days ago. Yard look to hold stronger claims with Embarked. C&D winner in February and March during consistent spell; not in the same form since April.
4
5th (4) (11/2 +21%) Bella Taslina
5.5
11/2(+21%)
(4) Bella Taslina 11/2, 33/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, respectable sixth of 16 in handicap at Newbury (7f, good to firm) 49 days ago. Drop back down in grade likely in her favour. Won handicap debut at Doncaster (7f) in July; hasn't lived up to that in three runs since.
6
6th (6) (9/1 -100%) Embarked
9
9/1(-100%)
(6) Embarked 9/1, Won 11-runner handicap (13/2) at this C&D 18 days ago, value for extra having been the only one at the finish who had raced up with the strong pace. Shortlisted in follow-up bid from 3 lb higher mark. Hung on by a nose when making all from stall 1 over C&D 18 days ago; back up 3lb.
5
7th (5) (50/1 -317%) Heretic
50
50/1(-317%)
(5) Heretic 50/1, Lightly raced 5-y-o who made final start for Hugo Palmer a winning one at Newcastle (1m) in January 2023. Changed hands for 10,000 gns a month later and the betting can prove an informative guide on belated return/following wind surgery. Won handicap debut at Newcastle (1m) in January 2023; 10,000gns buy; wind op that November.
9
8th (9) (20/1 -43%) Makalu
20
20/1(-43%)
(9) Makalu 20/1, Course winner. 4 wins from 13 runs this year. Seventh of 11 in handicap (9/1) at Hamilton (8.3f, good to soft) 17 days ago, left with too much to do. Enters calculations. Four wins this season; form has dipped on last two outings but he is not dismissed.
11
9th (11) (22/1 -83%) Forever A Diamond
22
22/1(-83%)
(11) Forever A Diamond 22/1, Respectable sixth of 11 in handicap (11/2) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 24 days ago, forced wide home turn and running on. Comes here operating 3 lb below last winning mark and she's one to consider. Close third at Kempton (in first-time blinkers, kept since) two runs back; none too solid.
2
10th (2) (25/1 0%) Rob's Umberella
25
25/1(0%)
(2) Rob's Umberella 25/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Off 7 months/gelded, offered little when last of 11 in handicap (125/1) at Catterick (7f, soft) 15 days ago. Return to tapeta needs to have positive effect now. Absent 221 days (gelded) before tailing off so badly on handicap/turf debut (7f, soft).
7
11th (7) (5/1 +9%) Highland Olly
5
5/1(+9%)
(7) Highland Olly 5/1, Winner at Musselburgh in August. Respectable third of 8 in handicap at Catterick (7f, good to soft, 3/1) 37 days ago, keeping on final 1f. Can give another good account returned to AW. Won at Musselburgh in August; only one AW run (June) and may well need a career best.
8
12th (8) (17/2 +58%) Only In Jakarta
8.5
17/2(+58%)
(8) Only In Jakarta 17/2, Last of 14 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f, 16/1) 37 days ago, weakening when hampered over 1f out. Needs to bounce back. Won a novice at Newcastle (7f, AW) in January but sparked in only one of six starts since.
19:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 7f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Embarked showed a likeable attitude when making all over C&D last month and, upped 3lb, another bold bid looks likely. That said, SNASH is narrowly preferred. Tim Easterby's charge caught the eye when making headway from off the pace to finish fourth over 6f in a deeper race than this at Newcastle earlier in the month. Eased 1lb and stepping back up to 7f, this might be the time to catch him. Heretic scored on his handicap debut for Hugo Palmer when last seen in January 2023 and is interesting on his return.
EMBARKED did best of those who had raced up with the strong pace when successful over C&D 18 days ago and a 3 lb rise should see him competitive again. Forever A Diamond and Grant Tuer's pair Bicep and Highland Olly are others to consider. Heretic on belated return for his new yard also commands a market check for positive vibes.
Tricky. Embarked and Airshow are shortlisted but today's return to 7f and Southwell could enable BICEP to emerge on top.
(8) Dutch Kingdom 12/1, Course winner. Latest win here in September. Respectable fifth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7f, 7/4) 20 days ago. All wins at 7f-8.5f; something to prove off career-high mark dropped in distance.
2
2nd (2) (16/1 -14%) Havana Pusey
16
16/1(-14%)
(2) Havana Pusey 16/1, Latest win at Windsor in June. 15/2, eleventh of 14 in handicap at Doncaster (6f, good to soft) 32 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Bounce back needed under Sean Dylan Bowen. Fairly useful on turf; has the ability to get involved, provided she takes to AW.
4
3rd (4) (7/1 -27%) Crimson Sand
7
7/1(-27%)
(4) Crimson Sand 7/1, Back from a break to win a 9-runner C&D handicap last weekend. Well drawn and should be competitive under a penalty if coping with the quick turnaround. C&D win last Saturday took his Chelmsford form figures to 12422222311; solid chance.
10
4th (10) (18/1 +10%) Hedge Fund
18
18/1(+10%)
(10) Hedge Fund 18/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. 6/1, bit below form fourth of 8 in handicap at Leicester (5f, heavy) 9 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Best form at 5f; not crying out for this return to 6f; others preferred.
13
5th (13) (25/1 -56%) Rebel Path
25
25/1(-56%)
(13) Rebel Path 25/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2021. 15/2, bit below form sixth of 14 in handicap at Doncaster (5f, good) 34 days ago. Looks competitive on form. Long losing spell continues; recorded sole win over three years ago.
9
6th (9) (3/1 +14%) Dorney Lake
3
3/1(+14%)
(9) Dorney Lake 3/1, Two wins from 6 runs this year. Respectable fifth of 13 in handicap at York (5f, soft, 4/1) 39 days ago, needing stiffer test. Makes polytrack debut. Should go well back at 6f. Return to 6f looks a plus; interesting off a reduced mark in this grade on AW debut.
11
7th (11) (50/1 -25%) Lequinto
50
50/1(-25%)
(11) Lequinto 50/1, Quirky sort. Tenth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6f, 80/1) 12 days ago. Holds weak claims on 2024 form and is best watched.
3
8th (3) (17/2 +15%) Batal Dubai
8.5
17/2(+15%)
(3) Batal Dubai 17/2, Not obviously in form but the fact he won this race off 2 lb higher last year makes him a dangerous one to discount. Defied a 2lb higher mark in this race 12 months ago; major chance if back to best.
7
9th (7) (5/1 0%) Lion's House
5
5/1(0%)
(7) Lion's House 5/1, 2-2 in AW maiden/novices at the end of 2023. off 10 months, not seen to best effect when sixth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6f) 12 days ago, not ideally placed. Remains capable of better. The least exposed contender; still open to further progress and warrants respect.
6
10th (6) (6/1 +45%) Change For Good
6
6/1(+45%)
(6) Change For Good 6/1, Last of 7 in handicap at Newmarket (6f, soft, 13/2) 54 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Cheekpieces on first time. Possibilities off reduced mark, provided he takes well to headgear and AW surface.
1
11th (1) (11/2 +50%) Sir Les Patterson
5.5
11/2(+50%)
(1) Sir Les Patterson 11/2, Latest win at Kempton in April. Last of 10 in handicap at Sandown (7f, good, 12/1) 47 days ago. Blinkers on first time. Something to find on form. Has form figures of 311 on AW and looks interesting back in this sphere; drops in trip.
19:45 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 4) 6f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
More positive tactics saw triple Chelmsford scorer Crimson Sand regain the winning thread over C&D on Saturday and another bold attempt is forecast. However, a 5lb penalty may be enough to catch the six-year-old out and preference is for the lightly-raced LION'S HOUSE. Roger Varian's gelding offered plenty to work with when sixth on his reappearance at Wolverhampton earlier this month and improvement looks forthcoming. Cajetan is also noted reverting to 6f on the all-weather.
There was more promise from DORNEY LAKE at York last time and he might prove the answer to this quite useful handicap. Fellow 3-y-os Lion's House and Cajetan likely have their best days ahead of them, while last weekend's C&D winner Crimson Sand is also respected under a penalty.
Several runners are interesting. First choice is DORNEY LAKE, ahead of Change For Good and Lion's House.
(9) St Pancras 9/2, Winner at Pontefract in July. 11/1, tenth of 11 in handicap at Salisbury (14.2f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Makes tapeta debut and he may find one or two too good. Flop on heavy last time; AW debut but this lightly raced 3yo may still have more to offer.
2
2nd (2) (6/1 +25%) Caustic
6
6/1(+25%)
(2) Caustic 6/1, Sixth of 9 in handicap (5/1) at Epsom (10.1f, good) 52 days ago, inadequate test. Significantly back up in trip and it would be no surprise at all were he to take a hand in the finish. More to prove over new trip but he started off in bumpers and it may well be manageable.
6
3rd (6) (7/2 +13%) Boldly
3.5
7/2(+13%)
(6) Boldly 7/2, Creditable fourth of 11 in handicap (11/1) at this course (16.5f) 49 days ago. Now tried in blinkers and he will have every chance if he puts his best foot forward. 0-10 but made the frame seven times, including in five of six AW starts; headgear switch.
8
4th (8) (15/2 +17%) Sharp Distinction
7.5
15/2(+17%)
(8) Sharp Distinction 15/2, 25/1, creditable second of 6 in handicap at this course (16.5f) 18 days ago. Back down to last winning mark and he's not discounted. Wind surgery before returning to some form when second of six here (2m) on latest outing.
5
5th (5) (6/1 +14%) Kitsune Power
6
6/1(+14%)
(5) Kitsune Power 6/1, Latest win at Thirsk in June. 13/2, creditable third of 8 in handicap at Ayr (13.1f, good to firm) 26 days ago. Should make his presence felt. More to prove on 1m6f run on Wolverhampton Tapeta (his second AW race) three starts back.
1
6th (1) (16/1 -88%) Saratoga Gold
16
16/1(-88%)
(1) Saratoga Gold 16/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2023. 15/2, fourth of 7 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f) 14 days ago. Mark continues to slide and he's an each-way player. Pretty solid sequence; over a year since he raced at this far but he won over 1m6f in 2022.
3
7th (3) (20/1 -300%) Sonnerie Power
20
20/1(-300%)
(3) Sonnerie Power 20/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2023. Good second of 13 in handicap at Kempton (11f, 11/1) 22 days ago. Back up in trip. Knocking firmly on the door of late and he merits respect. Yard also saddles Le Rouge Chinois. Bang there at 1m4f/1m3f lately but sole attempt at this trip (last November) did not work.
7
8th (7) (9/2 +36%) Le Rouge Chinois
4.5
9/2(+36%)
(7) Le Rouge Chinois 9/2, Latest win at Nottingham in June. Creditable second of 7 in handicap at Chelmsford City (14f, 4/1) 28 days ago. Still, he looks vulnerable for win purposes. Two wins this year; good second at Chelmsford (1m6f) latest and probably effective here.
4
9th (4) (18/1 -50%) Prince Maxi
18
18/1(-50%)
(4) Prince Maxi 18/1, Fifth of 6 in handicap (20/1) at Yarmouth (14.1f, good to firm) 28 days ago. Edging down the weights but he needs to get back on track. Ran fairly well both outings for new yard; made an awkward start when trying 1m6f latest.
20:00 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 14f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
SONNERIE POWER has shaped with plenty of promise in second on his last three starts and, stepping back up to 1m6f, the son of Almanzor gets the nod to return to winning ways. Le Rouge Chinois was last seen finishing second behind an in-form rival over this trip at Chelmsford last month and a 1lb rise shouldn't prevent another bold bid. The class-dropping Kitsune Power completes the shortlist.
This step back up in trip will suit CAUSTIC, who found things happening too quickly over 1¼m at Epsom last time and he gets the nod in this open-looking handicap. Boldly may well emerge as the main danger, provided he responds positively to the first-time blinkers, while Sharp Distinction is just about third choice ahead of Sonnerie Power, who has been knocking on the door of late.
Each-way cases can be made for all of them. A chance is taken on two of the less exposed candidates in CAUSTIC and St Pancras.
(7) Cabeza De Llave 8/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Windsor in September. 10/3, below form fourth of 10 in handicap at Bath (5f, soft) 16 days ago. Dual C&D scorer; ties in with Dark Side Prince on last AW effort.
2
2nd (2) (5/1 +0%) Smooth Silesie
5
5/1(+0%)
(2) Smooth Silesie 5/1, C&D winner. Five wins from 20 runs this year. Latest win at Bath in September. Good second of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5f) 17 days ago. Got to be respected. Productive this year; creditable second at Wolverhampton last time; solid.
4
3rd (4) (9/2 +10%) Pop Dancer
4.5
9/2(+10%)
(4) Pop Dancer 9/2, C&D winner. Good third of 10 in handicap (25/1) at Wolverhampton (5f) 17 days ago. On a workable mark at present and needs considering. Ties in with Smooth Silesie on latest effort; on a handy mark; player.
5
4th (5) (9/4 +68%) Dark Side Prince
2.25
9/4(+68%)
(5) Dark Side Prince 9/4, Five-time C&D winner, including a hat-trick in the spring. 8/1, below form sixth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 40 days ago but has to enter the reckoning back here. Good C&D record includes five wins; respected off last winning mark.
3
5th (3) (20/1 -25%) Kodi Red
20
20/1(-25%)
(3) Kodi Red 20/1, Latest win at Doncaster in July. Last of 10 in handicap (28/1) at Newmarket (6f, good) 76 days ago, reportedly bled. Makes polytrack debut. Far from consistent for current yard; others preferred.
1
6th (1) (3/1 +63%) Merrimack
3
3/1(+63%)
(1) Merrimack 3/1, Latest win at Yarmouth in July. 15/2, fifth of 7 in handicap at Goodwood (5f, good) 55 days ago. Visor back on. Quite interesting with visor reapplied, being 2-3 in this headgear.
6
7th (6) (11/1 -389%) Idle Assembly
11
11/1(-389%)
(6) Idle Assembly 11/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Eleventh of 12 in maiden (13/8) at Ripon (6f, good). Off 120 days. Makes handicap debut from a mark which demands improvement. Open to improvement now handicapping over new trip; interesting.
20:15 Chelmsford Handicap (Class 5) 5f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
SMOOTH SILESIE lost little in defeat when runner-up at Wolverhampton last time out and she can continue her progression. Lisa Williamson's filly is only 1lb higher in the ratings and compensation could be on the cards. The reapplication of a visor should see an improved bid from Merrimack and he may give the selection most to think about, ahead of Cabeza De Llave.
DARK SIDE PRINCE has dropped back to the mark he defied here in May and might prove the answer to this concluding sprint. Pop Dancer is on a good mark and is second choice ahead of Smooth Silesie, who has stood up really well to a busy campaign.
The four C&D winners have possibilities. IDLE ASSEMBLY and Merrimack are interesting alternatives.
(3) Caramay 5/1, Two wins from 5 runs this year. Career best when winning 12-runner handicap (12/1) at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 42 days ago by 1¼ lengths from Storm Asset, suited by way race developed. 4lb rise fair but this looks tougher. Carries head bit high but won first and latest starts this term; not proven over this far.
9
2nd (9) (15/2 +6%) Bay Of Naples
7.5
15/2(+6%)
(9) Bay Of Naples 15/2, C&D winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2023. 11/1, creditable fourth of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 20 days ago. Place possibilities. Made the frame at Wolverhampton on last three outings, so has solid each-way claims.
11
3rd (11) (8/1 -14%) Storm Asset
8
8/1(-14%)
(11) Storm Asset 8/1, Eighteen runs since last win in 2023. Visored for 1st time, creditable third of 11 in handicap (14/1) at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 17 days ago, faring best of those held up. Up in trip and he shouldn't be far away. 2024 placings on Tapeta put him into calculations despite his being unraced beyond 1m2f.
5
4th (5) (8/1 +11%) Jimmy Mark
8
8/1(+11%)
(5) Jimmy Mark 8/1, Latest win at Ffos Las in July. 9/2, below form eighth of 13 in handicap at Bath (10.2f, soft) 16 days ago. Makes tapeta debut and each-way chance if handling the surface. Close up in his only AW race, last October; unraced beyond 1m2f but needs a second look.
6
5th (6) (5/1 +50%) Chagall
5
5/1(+50%)
(6) Chagall 5/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2023. 22/1, last of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 24 days ago. Back up in trip and he's another who is dangerous to discount having been given a chance by the handicapper. 6-41 on AW, with all the wins on Polytrack but he's too far down weights to be ruled out.
2
6th (2) (9/1 -13%) My Brother Mike
9
9/1(-13%)
(2) My Brother Mike 9/1, Course winner. Creditable sixth of 11 in handicap at Bath (10.2f, good to firm, 8/1) 32 days ago, never nearer. Can make presence felt. 1m race here in March saw him break a long losing run; needs to better his recent efforts.
8
7th (8) (12/1 -33%) Bond Spirit
12
12/1(-33%)
(8) Bond Spirit 12/1, Course winner. Latest win at Bath in May. 13/2, fifth of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f) 30 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Others more persuasive. Won twice over 1m4f here in first half of 2023; ran creditably at Bath penultimate start.
10
8th (10) (9/1 +0%) Lednikov
9
9/1(+0%)
(10) Lednikov 9/1, C&D winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Good sixth of 12 in handicap (33/1) at this C&D 7 days ago, faring best of those held up. Not without each-way hope. Won twice here late in 2022; beaten just 2l under Elle-May Croot over C&D last Thursday.
7
9th (7) (33/1 -106%) Total Lockdown
33
33/1(-106%)
(7) Total Lockdown 33/1, Unreliable sort. 4/1, respectable sixth of 10 in handicap at Brighton (11.9f, good to soft) 9 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Likely to find a few of these too good. Quirky sort with a 2-34 strike-rate; three runs for new yard and needs to better those.
1
10th (1) (4/1 +43%) Olympicus
4
4/1(+43%)
(1) Olympicus 4/1, Eighth of 12 in handicap at this C&D (13/2) 7 days ago, slowly away. Continues to slide down the weights and he's therefore dangerous to discount. No impact in six starts this term, albeit not beaten far on latest; not proven on AW.
4
11th (4) (100/1 -52%) Riffa Fort
100
100/1(-52%)
(4) Riffa Fort 100/1, Eleventh of 12 in handicap at Redcar (14f, good to firm, 66/1). Off 14 months (gelded in the interim) and he can only be watched for now. Seven-race maiden who's gone downhill, unraced since August 2023; gelded since.
20:30 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 11f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
CARAMAY (first) was doing her best work late on when getting the better of Storm Asset (second) over an extended 1m1f at Wolverhampton last month and, although the latter is 2lb better off at the weights this time, it is hard to envisage him reversing that form over this longer trip. Bay Of Naples wasn't disgraced when finishing fourth over 1m4f at Dunstall Park last time out and must also enter calculations.
Though below par of late, CHAGALL could be worth chancing in this wide-open contest. He is now 7 lb below his last winning mark and shades preference ahead of My Brother Mike and Storm Asset. Last-time-out Wolverhampton scorer Caramay has more on his plate here and is probably worth taking on this time.
Caramay has a major chance. Plenty of others bring each-way interest, however, and BOND SPIRIT is narrowly preferred.
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How to use Tomform
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
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(28/1 -40%)
(13/2 +68%)
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