There were 50 Races on Saturday 12th October 2024 across 7 meetings. There was 7 races at Newmarket, 7 races at York, 7 races at Chepstow, 6 races at Fairyhouse, 7 races at Hexham, 7 races at Naas, 9 races at Chelmsford-City, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (3/1 -9%) Lead Artist |
3/1(-9%) | (8) Lead Artist 3/1, Progressive colt who took the next step in his development when overcoming a pace bias to land a 1m Group 3 at Glorious Goodwood in August, with Task Force and Dancing Gemini behind in third and fifth. Bumped into Kinross in a 7f Doncaster Group 2 since and he's of interest back up in trip. Has made a smooth transition to Group level and remains open to further progress; new trip. |
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2nd (3) (5/4 +69%) Liberty Lane |
5/4(+69%) | (3) Liberty Lane 5/4, Bounced back to his best when runner-up at Doncaster (10.2f) 2 starts ago and put up one of the handicap performances of the season when a very good winner of last month's Cambridgeshire over C&D. Well worth his place at this level on that evidence and he's shortlisted up in class. Defied top weight in the Cambridgeshire for a second notable C&D win; commands respect. |
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3rd (4) (20/1 +0%) Peace Man |
20/1(+0%) | (4) Peace Man 20/1, Son of Kingman who won 10f maiden/handicaps at Windsor in May and progressed further when readily bringing up the hat-trick over the same trip on the July Course a month later. Absent/gelded ahead of return and he remains with a good deal of potential for his leading yard. Progressive but badly lacks recent match practice (absent for 470 days); market helpful. |
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4th (2) (9/1 -29%) Ancient Rome |
9/1(-29%) | (2) Ancient Rome 9/1, Smart horse who matched the form of his Summer Mile second at Ascot, when third in Grade 1 Arlington Million on his penultimate outing in August. Underperformed on latest start at Kentucky Downs (1m) 5 weeks ago but undergone wind surgery ahead of this. Type to bounce back. Disappointing in US event last time but had wind surgery since and may rebound. |
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5th (7) (10/1 +29%) The Foxes |
10/1(+29%) | (7) The Foxes 10/1, Group 2 winner at 2 yrs who added the Dante at York to his C.V last season. Creditable effort when third in Southwell conditions' event in January but not at best both starts thereafter, latterly when last of 9 in C&D Earl of Sefton in April. Absent since. Smart on his day but failed to beat a rival in last two appearances, latest in April. |
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6th (5) (40/1 -60%) Savvy Victory |
40/1(-60%) | (5) Savvy Victory 40/1, Listed scorer last season who kicked off the campaign with pair of in-the-frame efforts at Ascot/Sandown. However, he's been hard to place since and arrives here on the back of a disappointing run at Goodwood (9.9f, heavy) 17 days ago. Plenty on his plate back at this level. Not solid on 2024 form and others are readily preferred. |
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7th (6) (20/1 +20%) Spirit Dancer |
20/1(+20%) | (6) Spirit Dancer 20/1, A real money-spinner for connections, adding another valuable success in the Middle East in Group 2 at Saudi Arabia in February. Final start at Meydan in March easily overlooked (returned lame) and whilst this run may be needed, he did finish fourth in this race 12 months ago. Productive sort but has been absent since finishing lame in March; the betting may guide. |
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8th (1) (9/1 -38%) Al Mubhir |
9/1(-38%) | (1) Al Mubhir 9/1, Consistent type who made the breakthrough at listed level at Sandown (10f) in July. Similar form when finishing close-up in pair of Group 3's subsequently, latterly when third at Maisons-Laffitte (10f) 5 weeks ago and he looks sure to give another good account. Listed winner in July; couple of respectable Group 3 efforts since; frame possibilities. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
LIBERTY LANE produced a career-best effort when victorious in the Cambridgeshire over C&D last month and he is likely to encounter very similar conditions in this event. Karl Burke's four-year-old still looks to be improving and he is taken to record his first Group success. Lead Artist ran well in defeat when only finding Kinross too good in a Group 2 at Doncaster last time and he should mount a serious challenge. Of the remainder, Peace Man makes the most appeal on his return to action.
LIBERTY LANE posted one of the handicap performances of the season when landing a second C&D success in the Cambridgeshire a fortnight ago, travelling smoothly and quickening clear impressively. He's given the nod now his sights are raised in the hope this doesn't come too quickly for him. Lead Artist is the obvious danger following his excellent second behind Kinross at Doncaster. Ancient Rome and Al Mubhir complete the shortlist in the opener.
This is the ideal next step for LIBERTY LANE, who is 2-2 over C&D this season. Lead Artist is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (20/1 -122%) Jungle Drums |
20/1(-122%) | (4) Jungle Drums 20/1, Runner-up in a 6f Newbury listed in between maiden/novice wins (all good to firm). Only seventh of 10 in a Chantilly Group 3 last time, though. Rather disappointing in French Group 3 three weeks ago and needs to get back on track. |
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2nd (7) (7/1 +36%) It Ain't Two |
7/1(+36%) | (7) It Ain't Two 7/1, Has stood up very well to a busy year, winning 3 times. Also second at listed level in July. Creditable 3 lengths sixth of 13 to Sky Majesty in Ayr Group 3 (6f, good to firm) 21 days ago. Each-way claims. On the go since April, winning three times; below par last two runs; others preferred. |
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3rd (1) (7/4 +42%) Bolo Neighs |
7/4(+42%) | (1) Bolo Neighs 7/4, Much improved when a wide-margin winner of a 6f sales race at the Curragh (good to soft) a fortnight ago. That 7-length victory may flatter him slightly (had the advantage of racing nearest to the stands' rail) but he's still a big player here. Significant improvement when running away with sales race at the Curragh; major player. |
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3rd (5) (40/1 -60%) Milford |
40/1(-60%) | (5) Milford 40/1, Soft-ground winner on Hamilton debut in May. Back on the up with a visor added when narrowly denied back at Hamilton (5f again) last month. Will be fine under these ground conditions but has a fair bit to find on form. Back to form at Hamilton last time but faces much stronger opposition here. |
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5th (3) (10/3 +5%) Invictus Gold |
10/3(+5%) | (3) Invictus Gold 10/3, AW winner in July and useful effort to defy a penalty at Newmarket (6f, soft) in August. Looks more than capable of making his presence felt at this higher level. Progressive; looked smart prospect when winning at Newmarket; could be the one to beat. |
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6th (9) (6/1 +63%) Raneenn |
6/1(+63%) | (9) Raneenn 6/1, Kodiac filly who made it 2-3 when landing short odds in a 6f Chester novice (soft) 3 weeks ago. Her form is short of the required level here but she's open to further progress for a top stable seeking to win this for the third time in the last 4 years. 2-3; still has untapped potential and represents yard that sent out 2021 and 2022 winners. |
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7th (2) (14/1 +13%) Dark Cloud Rising |
14/1(+13%) | (2) Dark Cloud Rising 14/1, Left Dante meeting debut behind when winning a Thirsk maiden (6f, good to firm) 12 weeks later. Creditable third at Haydock since but he needs more in this grade. Tackles going softer than good for the first time. Followed a win with a good third, but has plenty to find on form with several of these. |
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8th (8) (12/1 +40%) Pearl Of Windsor |
12/1(+40%) | (8) Pearl Of Windsor 12/1, Advanced her form when a close sixth of 14 to Star of Mehmas in listed race at Ayr (5f, good to firm) 22 days ago. Had earlier landed 5f novices at Sandown and Chepstow. Engaged 1.47 Newmarket Friday. Two 5f wins but her sixth in Ayr Listed race suggests she has a bit to find. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
BOLO NEIGHS bolted up in the valuable Goffs 500 at the Curragh a fortnight ago and looks well worth his place in this higher grade. With Ralph Beckett's string in excellent form, the son of Coulsty is expected to progress further and repel the likely challenge of Shadow Army. Richard Fahey's gelding might not have handled the undulations of Ripon last time, but he sets the standard on official ratings and may well be revitalised by a return to this more conventional track with first-time blinkers applied. Invictus Gold is also noted.
INVICTUS GOLD was impressive on a soft surface at Newmarket last time and can take the step up to listed company in his stride. William Haggas has a good recent record in this so Raneenn could provide the chief threat. Bolo Neighs may be slightly flattered by the margin of his latest Curragh success but there's no doubt it was an improved performance and he completes the shortlist.
Tom Clover's INVICTUS GOLD is improving fast and can take this step up in class in his stride.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (10/11 +17%) My Noble Lord |
10/11(+17%) | (3) My Noble Lord 10/11, Half-brother to fairly useful hurdler Hajey. Fairly useful handicapper on Flat (stays 1¾m), successful on 4 of 5 starts in 2024. Interesting hurdling debutant. Useful over middle distances on the Flat; now with leading jumps owner for hurdling career. |
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2nd (1) (7/2 +46%) City Of London |
7/2(+46%) | (1) City Of London 7/2, 38,000 gns 3-y-o, Nathaniel gelding. Half-brother to 4 winners, including connections' smart hurdler Nemean Lion, stays 21f. Dam 9f winner in Germany. Noteworthy newcomer. Half-brother to connections' smart hurdler Nemean Lion; market may guide on debut. |
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3rd (4) (3/1 +14%) Rakki |
3/1(+14%) | (4) Rakki 3/1, Fairly useful maiden on the Flat (stays 1¾m), below form last time. In the right hands to make it as a hurdler. 0-8 on Flat but capable of fairly useful form; trainer a dab hand with juvenile hurdlers. |
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4th (2) (12/1 +14%) Kotgar |
12/1(+14%) | (2) Kotgar 12/1, Fair maiden on Flat in France, in frame all 5 starts, stays 1¼m. Left Jean-Claude Rouget's yard for €25,000 in July. Watch betting. Half-brother to a useful 1m2f/1m4f Flat winner; bought for 25,000euros this summer. |
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5th (5) (20/1 -567%) Rapid Mission |
20/1(-567%) | (5) Rapid Mission 20/1, Fairly useful handicapper on Flat (stays 12.5f) and is out of a mare who is a half-sister to a fairly useful hurdler. Useful on the Flat in Ireland but both British Flat runs were disappointing. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Rakki has to be of interest with trainer Alan King's record with juvenile hurdlers, but MY NOBLE LORD is preferred. Bought by owner J P McManus after winning four of his five starts on the Flat this year, he joins a stable who are moving up the ranks in terms of quality. City Of London is one to watch as an unraced son of Nathaniel who is related to some decent sorts including the stable's Nemean Lion.
MY NOBLE LORD, a most progressive handicapper on the Flat, has both the physique and attitude to take well to this new discipline, so he's fancied to get his hurdle career off to the perfect start. City of London makes plenty of appeal on paper being a half-brother to smart hurdler Nemean Lion, while Rakki is in the right hands to do well in this sphere.
A new recruit for J P McManus, MY NOBLE LORD was thriving on the Flat in the summer when we last saw him and gets the nod.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Whitewinewednesday |
(10) (5/1 -25%)5/1(-25%) | (10) Whitewinewednesday 5/1, Showed a bit more than first time up over hurdles when third of 14 in maiden at Tramore (21.4f, good) 24 days ago. Best runs have come on good ground, last time beaten under 3l into third over 2m5f. |
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Kilbarry Ce Ce |
(11) (11/1 -120%)11/1(-120%) | (11) Kilbarry Ce Ce 11/1, Offered something to work on when fourth of 15 in maiden at Listowel (16f, soft) on debut 16 days ago. Up in trip. Should improve. Promising start over 2m at Listowel and she's bred for this longer trip. |
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1st (3) (16/1 +52%) Born Bright |
16/1(+52%) | (3) Born Bright 16/1, Just modest form at best in bumpers. 1-3 in points; 0-5 in bumpers and tailed off in her last two on soft ground. |
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2nd (5) (11/2 -10%) Lady Nightingale |
11/2(-10%) | (5) Lady Nightingale 11/2, Went a long way to backing up her latest effort when sixth of 16 in maiden at Roscommon (20.3f, soft, 11/1) 12 days ago. Has each-way claims. Has ground to make up with Blacksmiths Forge on their recent Roscommon encounter. |
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3rd (2) (14/1 -75%) Ad Caelum |
14/1(-75%) | (2) Ad Caelum 14/1, Stepped up on hurdling debut form when second in a maiden at Kilbeggan in June. Unsuited by emphasis on speed switched to a bumper last time and step back up in trip looks a good move now returned to hurdling. Runner-up in a good-ground maiden; softer conditions perhaps found her out last time. |
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4th (6) (3/1 +75%) Nells Choice |
3/1(+75%) | (6) Nells Choice 3/1, Modest hurdler who finished last of 16 on handicap debut at Listowel (18f, good, 50/1) 20 days ago. May maiden form offers hope but backward steps the last twice. |
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5th (7) (12/1 +40%) Sarrealta |
12/1(+40%) | (7) Sarrealta 12/1, Hasn't shaped with a huge amount of promise in a bumper/maiden hurdle to date. Ran okay over hurdles at Tipperary on debut but then tailed off in a bumper, changed yards. |
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6th (12) (11/1 +21%) Poetic Focus |
11/1(+21%) | (12) Poetic Focus 11/1, €10,000 3-y-o, Yeats filly. Half-sister to fair hurdler Lelantos. 10,000euros 3yo, second foal, half-sister to 2m7f-3m2f hurdle winner Lelantos. |
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7th (9) (66/1 -32%) Silver Mill |
66/1(-32%) | (9) Silver Mill 66/1, Well held in a pair of maiden hurdles 9 days apart. Insuffucient promise in maidens at Ballinrobe and Kilbeggan to make the shortlist here. |
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8th (4) (100/1 -150%) Frenchfort Legend |
100/1(-150%) | (4) Frenchfort Legend 100/1, Made an unpromising start to her career when eleventh of 13 in bumper (28/1) at Sligo (18.4f, soft) on NH debut 65 days ago. Makes hurdles debut. Completely tailed off in a Sligo bumper two months ago. |
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|PU| (1) (6/4 +0%) Blacksmiths Forge |
6/4(+0%) | (1) Blacksmiths Forge 6/4, Bumper winner who built on hurdling debut promise when fourth of 16 in novice hurdle at Roscommon (20.3f, soft, 13/2) 12 days ago, closing all way to line. The one to beat. Bumper winner and not beaten far in maidens; solid claims despite the penalty. |
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|PU| (8) (200/1 -100%) Shuil Senna |
200/1(-100%) | (8) Shuil Senna 200/1, Well held in bumper/pair of maiden hurdles. 200-1 when tailed off in a 2m maiden here just five days ago. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
BLACKSMITHS FORGE has run well in a couple of maiden hurdles since winning her bumper at Downpatrick back in July and can get off the mark over jumps now. The Kalanisi filly was beaten just over two-and-a-half lengths when fourth to Mexican Moonshine at Roscommon 12 days ago and doesn't have to improve much on that to take this. The selection can again hold Lady Nightingale, who was sixth in that Roscommon race, having been runner-up on her previous outing at Kilbeggan. Whitewinewednesday ran well when third at Tramore last time, although that probably wasn't as strong a race.
BLACKSMITHS FORGE had made a promising enough start to her career over hurdles and, with further improvement anticipated (still looked a little rough around the edges on most recent outing), she's taken to make it third time lucky in this sphere. Kilbarry Ce Ce and Lady Nightingale can battle it out for minor honours.
The bar isn't set high at all in this maiden. BLACKSMITHS FORGE (nap) just about boasts the most compelling form credentials.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (9/2 -50%) Starzintheireyes |
9/2(-50%) | (5) Starzintheireyes 9/2, Starspangledbanner colt who confirmed debut promise when taking 7f novice at Leicester (soft) in decisive fashion last month, well on top line. Likely to stay 1¼m and remains open to improvement. Newmarket 2nd (good); looked better the further he went when 4-9 at Leicester (7f, soft). |
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2nd (3) (6/1 +29%) Green Storm |
6/1(+29%) | (3) Green Storm 6/1, Scopey sort who made the most of a good opportunity when outclassing his rivals in 6-runner maiden at Yarmouth (9.1f, good to firm) 25 days ago, unchallenged. This undoubtedly demands more but both his pedigree and physique are ongoing recommendations. Galloped well clear when 4-9 in a maiden at Yarmouth (1m1f, good) on fourth start. |
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3rd (4) (11/10 +51%) Shackleton |
11/10(+51%) | (4) Shackleton 11/10, Camelot colt who progressed again to get off the mark in 14-runner maiden (2/5) at the Curragh (9f, good to soft) 13 days ago, finding extra. Will stay 1¼m and very much the sort to go on improving. Bossed it from front when 2-5 in a 14-runner maiden at the Curragh (1m1f, good) last time. |
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4th (7) (8/1 +33%) Too Soon |
8/1(+33%) | (7) Too Soon 8/1, Progressed again to get off the mark in 5-runner conditions stakes at Epsom (8.5f, soft, 11/2) 13 days ago, well on top finish. Likely to stay 1¼m and may do better still. Asserted well from over 1f out in a five-runner conditions stakes at Epsom (8.5f, heavy). |
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5th (2) (18/1 -300%) Dunamase |
18/1(-300%) | (2) Dunamase 18/1, Kingman colt who looked potentially useful when making his second start a winning one in 10-runner novice at Kempton (8f) 45 days ago. Step up in trip should be within range and looks sure to progress further for his top stable. Third in a maiden at Sandown (1m, good) and 8-11 winner of a Kempton novice (1m, AW). |
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6th (1) (15/2 +6%) County Mayo |
15/2(+6%) | (1) County Mayo 15/2, Left debut form well behind when landing 9-runner maiden at Gowran (8f, good, 8/1) 21 days ago, well on top finish. Ryan Moore seemingly prefers Shackleton but there's undoubtedly more to come from this son of Wootton Bassett. Made most in a maiden at Gowran Park (1m, good) on second start and ended well on top. |
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7th (6) (40/1 -60%) The Green Mile |
40/1(-60%) | (6) The Green Mile 40/1, Waldgeist colt who overcame inexperience to make a winning start to his career in 1m Bath maiden in September and showed even better form in defeat when 4 lengths third of 5 to Too Soon in conditions stakes at Epsom (8.5f, soft) 13 days ago. Will stay 1¼m and open to further improvement. Won a maiden at Bath (1m, good) and third of five to Too Soon at Epsom (8.5f, heavy). |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
DUNAMASE took a big step forward from his debut effort to beat a subsequent winner in convincing style over a mile at Kempton in August. The son of Kingman shaped as though this step up in trip would suit and with plenty of scope for improvement, he could be the one to beat. Shackleton obliged at the third time of asking at the Curragh on his latest outing and now that he has got his head in front, he would be dangerous to dismiss for his powerful connections. Starzintheireyes looks the pick of the remainder.
SHACKLETON opened his account in straightforward style at the Curragh 13 days ago and, with the step up in trip promising to trigger further improvement, he's fancied to take the step up in grade in his stride and follow up. Starzintheireyes and Dunamase are other promising types and they head the opposition in an intriguing renewal of the Zetland.
Aidan O'Brien sends out Shackleton and County Mayo. Preference, though, is for the Gary and Josh Moore-trained TOO SOON.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (6/1 +25%) Backbyjet |
6/1(+25%) | (9) Backbyjet 6/1, Dual C&D winner in June and but shaped as if still in good heart in a stronger race when fifth of 11 at Market Rasen (23.9f, good to firm) in July. Mark looks on the high side for now. Dual C&D winner and he could resume his progress back in trip after a break. |
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2nd (1) (14/1 -250%) Coqolino |
14/1(-250%) | (1) Coqolino 14/1, Winless since 2021 but stopped the slide all of a sudden from his falling mark refitted with a tongue tie when going close at Cartmel (21f, heavy) just under 7 weeks ago. Clearly on a very good mark if in the same sort of form. Turned things around with a close second at Cartmel; big player if he can back that up. |
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3rd (8) (12/1 -50%) Elleon |
12/1(-50%) | (8) Elleon 12/1, Still not the most of fluent of jumpers but has enjoyed a fine start to this season, landing back-to-back course handicaps. Good placed efforts next 2 starts but latest fourth at Cartmel (25.5f, soft) in July was a bit laboured so others preferred. Dual course winner but he's exposed in this sphere and looks weighted near his best. |
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4th (6) (11/2 +8%) Hello Judge |
11/2(+8%) | (6) Hello Judge 11/2, Successful 3 times over the larger obstacles last season but last seen well below best in Series Final at Carlisle (20f, heavy) in April, giving way in a manner that showed he wasn't on his game. Has gone well fresh in the past and fancied to go very close on return. Three wins last season including by 12l on his penultimate run; needs close look on return. |
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5th (4) (6/1 -9%) Monochromix |
6/1(-9%) | (4) Monochromix 6/1, Form dipped following a reappearance effort over hurdles last season but back on track switched to fences, finishing second - beaten a length or less - for the fourth time in his career at Carlisle (20f, heavy) 6 months ago. Up 5 lb for that near miss and first-time headgear goes on. Has gone close in two of three runs over fences; respected with headgear added on return. |
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6th (10) (13/2 +19%) Grand Voyage |
13/2(+19%) | (10) Grand Voyage 13/2, Long time without success but back to form when runner-up at Kelso (21.6f, good to soft) in May. Each-way claims on return but he is proving expensive to follow. Runner-up at Kelso last time but he's now 1-15 over fences and has mixed record when fresh. |
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7th (11) (11/1 -38%) Ribeye |
11/1(-38%) | (11) Ribeye 11/1, C&D winner in May 2023 and arrives in form, just unlucky to bump into such a progressive rival at Market Rasen (23.9f, good to firm) back in July. Mark unchanged and worth considering dropped back in trip. C&D winner who is on a dangerous mark and has each-way claims back from a short break. |
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8th (7) (9/1 +73%) Rock Steady Eddie |
9/1(+73%) | (7) Rock Steady Eddie 9/1, Placed in a couple of points and going the right way over hurdles, improving when second in a novice at this track in March. However, he was labouring badly from early final circuit on handicap debut at Haydock (24.3f, good to soft) later that month and now attentions are turned to fences. Still early days for this 6yo but he needs more improvement on this switch to fences. |
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|B| (5) (28/1 +15%) Ladronne |
28/1(+15%) | (5) Ladronne 28/1, Fair handicap chaser, scoring at Doncaster and second at Market Rasen (both 3m) in March. Only sixth at Sedgefield (21f) after a short break in May and fared no better back hurdling later that month. Makes return over hurdles back down in trip and others look stronger. On dangerous mark but last two wins have been at 3m/3m1f and has work to do on return. |
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|F| (2) (6/1 -9%) No Regrets |
6/1(-9%) | (2) No Regrets 6/1, Kelso winner in May and still looked in good heart after 2 months off when fourth back at that venue (21.6f, good) last month. Cheekpieces on for the first time this season but is he's more than averagely treated. In-form 10yo who was only beaten around 2l at Kelso (2m5f) last time; in the mix. |
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|U| (3) (9/1 -29%) Artic Row |
9/1(-29%) | (3) Artic Row 9/1, Justified market confidence in an Ayr handicap in good style last December and made it 3-3 over obstacles at that track when getting the better of an argument with Monochromix in March. Failed to get home at Perth (23.8f, soft) when last seen in April and he may need this outing. 3-6 over fences and had an excuse at 3m last time; respected back in trip on his return. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
COQOLINO has yet to win over fences, but he went close to doing so when attempting to make all on the testing ground at Cartmel in August. This sounder surface will suit Ben Haslam's charge and he looks well treated. Monochromix represents last year's winning trainer and has solid claims in first-time cheekpieces after just missing out at Carlisle, while Backbyjet is another worthy of consideration.
Cases can be made for plenty of these, but the suggestion is HELLO JUDGE, who enjoyed a terrific 2023/24 campaign and his final effort of the season was too bad to be true. He can get the better of Coqolino, who stopped the slide from a falling mark at Cartmel in August and should go close providing his jumping holds up. Monochromix and Ribeye can fight out minor honours.
The vote goes to MONOCHROMIX (nap), who is unexposed over fences and went close at Carlisle in his final run last season.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (10/3 -33%) Galveston |
10/3(-33%) | (1) Galveston 10/3, 2,000,000 gns yearling, Frankel colt. Half-brother to winner up to 1½m Bizarre Law. Dam, 2-y-o 1m winner, sister to high-class 1¼m-1½m winner Cannock Chase. Last of 7 in maiden at this course (7f, good to firm, 4/6) on debut 23 days ago, not knocked about. Open to improvement. Frankel colt, cost 2,000,000gns as a yearling, debut at this venue too bad to be true. |
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2nd (4) (9/4 -20%) Local Lad |
9/4(-20%) | (4) Local Lad 9/4, Twice-raced gelding. Third of 8 in novice (2/1) at Thirsk (7f, good) 26 days ago, slowly away. Sets a solid standard. Form of Curragh debut makes good reading, should be sharper for last month's Thirsk run. |
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3rd (9) (7/2 +42%) Nuit |
7/2(+42%) | (9) Nuit 7/2, Foaled January 26. 145,000 gns yearling, Sea The Stars filly. Dam unraced half-sister to smart 1¼m-1½m winner Amazona out of Preis der Diana winner Amarette. One to note. Cost 145,000gns as a yearling, solid German pedigree geared towards further than this. |
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4th (3) (14/1 +44%) Junkyard Dog |
14/1(+44%) | (3) Junkyard Dog 14/1, Fastnet Rock gelding. Half-brother to 2-y-o 7f winner Golden Bungle. Dam, ran once in France, out of Moyglare Stud Stakes winner Necklace. Eighth of 10 in maiden at Tipperary (9f, soft, 33/1) on debut 6 days ago, missing break. Late headway when 33-1 stable outsider on debut at Tipperary a week ago, likely to improve. |
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5th (5) (66/1 +34%) Mocking |
66/1(+34%) | (5) Mocking 66/1, Twice-raced colt. Tenth of 13 in maiden (80/1) at Punchestown (8.1f, good) 25 days ago. Soundly beaten in maidens over this trip at the Curragh and Punchestown. |
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6th (7) (20/1 +20%) Adrienne |
20/1(+20%) | (7) Adrienne 20/1, Twice-raced filly. 150/1, eighth of 14 in maiden at the Curragh (9f, good to soft) 13 days ago. Late progress in races over 7f here and 1m1f at the Curragh, will need a handicap mark. |
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7th (2) (3/1 -85%) Jousting |
3/1(-85%) | (2) Jousting 3/1, Foaled February 26. $1,200,000 yearling, Into Mischief colt. Brother to US Grade 1 winner at 1m/9f Gina Romantica and half-brother to several winners, including US Grade 1 9f winner Gift Box. Dam lightly raced. Likely type. Cost $1,200,000 as a yearling, smart American pedigree, an easy surface hardly ideal. |
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8th (10) (100/1 0%) Prada's World |
100/1(0%) | (10) Prada's World 100/1, Twice-raced filly. Ninth of 15 in maiden (150/1) at Cork (8f, good to soft) 11 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Towards the rear first time at Galway, improved at Cork but more of a handicap prospect.. |
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9th (6) (40/1 +39%) Superficial |
40/1(+39%) | (6) Superficial 40/1, Foaled March 29. Galileo Chrome colt. Half-brother to high-class winner up to 1½m Al Riffa. Dam unraced sister to smart 1½m winner (stayed 2½m) Mizzou out of smart 1½m-1¾m winner Moments of Joy. Noteworthy on pedigree as a half-brother to National Stakes winner Al Riffa. |
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10th (8) (150/1 -355%) Miss Ariana |
150/1(-355%) | (8) Miss Ariana 150/1, Twice-raced filly. 50/1, ninth of 10 in maiden at Dundalk (7f) 15 days ago. Engaged 5.25 Dundalk Friday. Ran prominently on debut at Cork, no show at Dundalk, unlikely to feature here. |
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11th (11) (150/1 -50%) Ro Ro |
150/1(-50%) | (11) Ro Ro 150/1, Churchill filly. Closely related to useful 2-y-o 5.5f/6.5f winner Sonjeu and half-sister to 5f-14.5f winner Born To Be Alive, both in France, and 1½m winner Alcander. Last of 10 in maiden (80/1) at Tipperary (9f, soft) on debut 6 days ago. Hooded for 1st time. Raced too freely, eased to finish tailed off when a big price on debut last Sunday, hooded. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
LOCAL LAD can continue the fine recent form of the Gerard O'Leary stable. Considered good enough to make his debut in Group 3 class at the Curragh in May, the son of Sea The Moon justified that decision in finishing a close up fourth. Despite a slightly disappointing reappearance at Thirsk last month, the gelding is afforded another chance on this third start. A full-brother to a three-time Grade 1 winner in America, the Aidan O'Brien-trained Jousting has to be of interest. Although lacking previous experience, the Into Mischief colt has the pedigree to make up into a pattern performer. Stablemate Galveston, who proved disappointing when sent off odds-on favourite on his recent debut, is almost certainly capable of better.
LOCAL LAD is worth another chance to confirm debut promise in a maiden lacking depth. Jousting and Nuit are a couple of newcomers to note.
Neither Ballydoyle colt would be a surprise winner but the form horse is LOCAL LAD who has shown promise on both starts.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (7/1 +13%) Bolster |
7/1(+13%) | (1) Bolster 7/1, Bagged strong handicaps over this trip at Pontefract (heavy) and Epsom (soft) in the spring. Step back in the right direction when runner-up at Newbury 3 weeks ago and he's shortlist materal off the same mark here. Back on song when second in 1m2f Newbury handicap on heavy latest; player from same mark. |
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2nd (10) (5/1 +55%) Stressfree |
5/1(+55%) | (10) Stressfree 5/1, Several good efforts in defeat prior to resuming winning ways at Chester (10.3f, soft) on penultimate start. Lost little caste in defeat when finding just one too good in a decent Leicester race recently and it would be no surprise were he to take a hand in the finish here, too. Revels in the mud, including a win at Chester last month; good second on Tuesday; player. |
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3rd (3) (13/2 +41%) Valvano |
13/2(+41%) | (3) Valvano 13/2, Highly promising start to his career when a 6-length winner in the mud at Nottingham last year. Good second to subsequent Group 1 winner Notable Speech on the AW in April and, having been gelded, he wasn't disgraced upped to this trip back from a break at Salisbury last month. Handicap debut. Heavy-ground win; second to Notable Speech on AW in April; interesting handicap debutant. |
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4th (5) (18/1 +10%) Euchen Glen |
18/1(+10%) | (5) Euchen Glen 18/1, Admirable veteran who is still capable of very useful form, as he demonstrated when striking at Ayr (13f, good to firm) in June. Creditable second over the same C&D 3 weeks ago but he looks vulnerable back down in trip here. 11 but still useful, including second at Ayr (1m5f) latest; still effective over 1m2f. |
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5th (8) (11/1 -22%) Have Secret |
11/1(-22%) | (8) Have Secret 11/1, Winless since juvenile days but hard to knock his consistency. Excuses tried in a visor (omitted here) at Ayr last time and he previously had a few of these behind when chasing home Stressfree at Chester. Now meets that rival on 8 lb better terms, so there is certainly cause for optimism. Useful and largely consistent but his losing run is mounting up. |
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6th (2) (18/1 -50%) Dual Identity |
18/1(-50%) | (2) Dual Identity 18/1, Added to fine Sandown record when taking 1m handicap in May and has remained in form since, posting a career best when second of 17 to stablemate Sir Busker over this C&D at the Ebor meeting. Wasn't ideally placed in the Cambridgeshire last time and he's worth considering. Second over C&D at Ebor meeting; second on his side in Cambridgeshire and still in form. |
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7th (13) (9/1 +64%) Paddy The Squire |
9/1(+64%) | (13) Paddy The Squire 9/1, Useful form last season (winner at 1¼m on heavy) and followed belated reappearance near-miss with a good third to Stressfree at Chester last month. Failed to fire in the Cambridgeshire next time but this isn't so demanding and he may well get back on track. Shaped well when third to Stressfree at Chester; excuse in Cambridgeshire since. |
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8th (6) (33/1 -32%) City Streak |
33/1(-32%) | (6) City Streak 33/1, Enhanced good record at Chester when getting on top close home in a 10.3f handicap there in May. However, he was nearer last than first back on the Roodee in the race won by Stressfree last month and is opposable on the back of that. Behind Stressfree and Have Secret at Chester latest but it was after a break; goes in mud. |
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9th (11) (28/1 -40%) Maghlaak |
28/1(-40%) | (11) Maghlaak 28/1, Overcame an 11-month absence to land 8-runner Goodwood handicap (1¼m, soft) in May. However, it's fair to say that he hasn't really kicked on from that since and trailed in last of 9 in the Chester race won by Stressfree last month. Soft-ground win in May but ran poorly behind a few of these at Chester latest. |
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10th (9) (6/1 +33%) Sisyphean |
6/1(+33%) | (9) Sisyphean 6/1, AW novice winner who showed useful and much improved form on the back of wind surgery when drawing 5 lengths clear in 1m handicap here (good to soft) in July. Wasn't beaten at all far off 10 lb higher at Goodwood since and this lightly-raced colt has to enter calculations. 5l win over 1m here in July and good fourth at Glorious Goodwood (1m2f) since; respected. |
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11th (4) (7/1 +13%) Bennetot |
7/1(+13%) | (4) Bennetot 7/1, Useful performer in France and has held his form well since, off the mark for present yard at Windsor in August and has done little wrong since, latest fourth of 31 in the Cambridgeshire (9f, good to soft) was probably his best effort yet. One of 2 live contenders for the David O'Meara yard. In good form, including fourth in Cambridgeshire on soft latest; each-way shout. |
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12th (15) (10/1 +50%) Magico |
10/1(+50%) | (15) Magico 10/1, Resumed progress back on all-weather when winning 8-runner handicap at Kempton in August and didn't do much wrong returned to turf when third of 10 at Doncaster (10.2f, good) next time. Dangerous to discout off the same mark here. 1m3f AW win in August and shaped well when third over 1m2f at Doncaster since; respected. |
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13th (12) (16/1 -14%) Bint Al Daar |
16/1(-14%) | (12) Bint Al Daar 16/1, Improved performer this season, adding to her tally at Wolverhampton (9.5f) prior to a solid second over this C&D in August Another good effort in defeat at Doncaster next time but this assigment may prove to be a bridge too far. Consistent, including second over C&D at Ebor meeting; others look better treated, though. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
Valvano chased home Guineas hero Notable Speech at Kempton before disappointing on his return at Salisbury last month. He goes handicapping from an opening mark of 97 and although it is no certainty, that could be lenient. However, a chance can be taken on EUCHEN GLEN. The admirable 11-year-old might prefer further nowadays, but he should get a good pace to aim at and his recent Ayr second only confirms that he remains on good terms with himself. Others to note include Bint Al Daar, Bennetot and Bolster.
MAGICO did well under the circumstances when third at Doncaster and he could be the answer to this open-looking contest. The likeable Stressfree arrives here in good order and is next on the list ahead of Have Secret, a rival he outpointed at Chester last month, while Dual Identity and Sisyphean are others to consider.
David O'Meara's STRESSFREE enhanced his record on soft/heavy when second at Leicester on Tuesday and gets the nod in a cracking race.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (6/1 +14%) Dodger Long |
6/1(+14%) | (8) Dodger Long 6/1, Fair in bumpers and improved model switched to hurdling, confirming promise of his runners-up efforts when doubling his tally in a Warwick novice (2m) 18 days ago. This looks a tough enough introduction to handicaps but his consistency has been hard to knock to date. Won Warwick novice last month but not obviously well treated for first handicap. |
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2nd (4) (14/1 -17%) Balboa |
14/1(-17%) | (4) Balboa 14/1, Fair maiden on Flat who got off the mark over hurdles at the third attempt in C&D juvenile at this meeting 12 months ago. Exploits mixed thereafter but signed off with a career best second of 13 in handicap at Ayr (2m) for this yard in April. This looks more demanding, however. Won over C&D a year ago and ran some good races in defeat afterwards; in the mix again. |
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3rd (1) (9/2 -80%) Liari |
9/2(-80%) | (1) Liari 9/2, Fairly useful on Flat in France and similar form when winning all 3 starts in juvenile hurdles for this yard, latterly at Musselburgh (15.5f) in February from Roaring Legend. Held back by jumping in Fred Winter at Cheltenham in March but no surprise to see him back on the up on return. Won first three races (twice in Listed grade); absent since mishap at Cheltenham in March. |
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4th (6) (14/1 -56%) Yellow Star |
14/1(-56%) | (6) Yellow Star 14/1, Fairly useful form at best on the Flat and similar form in this sphere, successful in a Lingfield novice (2m) in February. Below best next 2 starts but sharper for application of blinkers when fourth of 20 in handicap at Sandown (2m) in April. Respected on return to action. Close fourth of 20 in hot novices' handicap at Sandown on final day of last season. |
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5th (5) (16/5 +29%) Roaring Legend |
16/5(+29%) | (5) Roaring Legend 16/5, Confirmed previous promise on back of a wind when taking C&D maiden in the spring. Not himself at Aintree a month later but left that in his wake after 4 months off when impressively seeing off 4-rivals at Stratford (16.3f) 5 weeks ago. Lots to like back in a handicap. C&D winner in April and also looked in good nick when darting clear at Stratford last time. |
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6th (3) (25/1 -108%) Latin Verse |
25/1(-108%) | (3) Latin Verse 25/1, Fairly useful, dual winner over hurdles who ran well when runner-up on final start for Syd Hosie at Musselburgh (17.4f, heavy) in April. Likely in need of run back from 6 months off/re-united with this yard at Kempton (11f) 3 weeks ago. Cheekpieces go back on. Well held on the Flat last month but ended last jumps season with good second in April. |
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7th (11) (16/1 +36%) Through The Ages |
16/1(+36%) | (11) Through The Ages 16/1, Fair form when landing small-field juvenile hurdles at Huntingdon/Newbury around the turn of the year. Well beaten at Sandown next time but better display when fourth in handicap at Fontwell (19.2f) in April. However, yard may hold stronger claims with Yellow Star. Won two juvenile hurdles last winter but subsequent handicap form was underwhelming. |
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|F| (9) (16/1 +20%) Majestic Jameela |
16/1(+20%) | (9) Majestic Jameela 16/1, Kept busy and steadily improved over hurdles last season, gaining a third career success impressively at Uttoxeter (20f) in April. Placed both starts thereafter, latterly when third at Aintree (20f) in May but this drop in trip may not suit ideally given how she's been shaping. Three-time hurdle winner last season; may prefer 2m4f; others are less exposed. |
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|U| (10) (4/1 +47%) Letterston Lily |
4/1(+47%) | (10) Letterston Lily 4/1, Bumper winner at the third attempt and made it 2-3 in novice hurdles at Worcester (20f) in August. Cemented her positive start when creditable third on handicap debut back at that venue 15 days ago. This a tougher ask but she may not of reached her limit. Placed in valuable 2m4f series final on recent handicap debut; can make presence felt. |
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|PU| (2) (12/1 -20%) Mighty Bandit |
12/1(-20%) | (2) Mighty Bandit 12/1, Fairly useful hurdles winner for Gordon Elliott last term (changed hands for €420,000) and reached a similar level on Flat for this yard, second of 9 in handicap at Windsor (11.5f) 26 days ago. Not dismissed making his handicap debut in this sphere. Both hurdle runs for this stable were disappointing but he's been in good form on the Flat. |
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|PU| (7) (14/1 -100%) Kourosh |
14/1(-100%) | (7) Kourosh 14/1, Fair winner on the Flat in Germany who bolted up on his Wetherby hurdle debut last November. No real progress thereafter, pulled on in handicap at Kempton (2m) when last seen in April. Undergone wind surgery ahead of return though, and market confidence behind him would look significant. Had mixed record last season but can feature her if summer wind op proves successful. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
Yellow Star is interesting after his solid fourth at Sandown in first-time blinkers when last seen in April and he could get into the mix if ready to roll. Roaring Legend has a fitness advantage over some following his win at Stratford last month and he may prove the biggest danger to top-weight LIARI. The winner of his first three starts over hurdles before pulling up at the Cheltenham Festival, he is well regarded at the Nicholls yard and appears set for another good season.
ROARING LEGEND has presumably had this as his target following an impressive reappearance success in novice company at Stratford 5 weeks ago and, with further progress in the offing, he can put that fitness edge to good use. Liari who was 3-4 over hurdles last season is another highly respected for Paul Nicholls. Yellow Star and Mighty Bandit complete the shortlist.
Nudged up only 1lb for her creditable third in a competitive series final at Worcester a fortnight ago, LETTERSTON LILY is selected.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (6/4 -65%) Bleu De Vassy |
6/4(-65%) | (2) Bleu De Vassy 6/4, Runner-up sole outing in points and off the mark in bumpers in 8-runner event at Clonmel (18.7f, soft) in April, driven clear. Should do well over hurdles. Bumper winner with a pointing background and has to be of interest now hurdling. |
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2nd (6) (4/1 +50%) John The Spark |
4/1(+50%) | (6) John The Spark 4/1, Let down by his jumping over fences but ran to a borderline fair level when fourth of 14 in maiden at this course (20.5f, good) on hurdles bow 5 days ago. Ran a nice race to be fourth in a 2m4f maiden hurdle here on Monday. |
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3rd (1) (85/40 +39%) Blaze The Way |
85/40(+39%) | (1) Blaze The Way 85/40, Bumper winner who faced a stiff task sent hurdling when pulled up in Grade 2 here in March, dropping away entering straight. Off 6 months and should be capable of appreciably better in these calmer waters. Unraced on ground this dry but he's a bumper winner and ran in a Grade 2 on hurdle debut. |
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4th (4) (9/1 -29%) Fast Felix |
9/1(-29%) | (4) Fast Felix 9/1, Fair form in maiden hurdles but ran one of this season's lesser races when sixth of 18 in maiden (8/1) at Listowel (22f, good) 20 days ago. Bounce back required. Had plenty of chances now (0-11) and he's vulnerable to anything with potential. |
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5th (3) (33/1 -65%) Boston Rajj |
33/1(-65%) | (3) Boston Rajj 33/1, In top hands but has made little impact in 2 maiden hurdles. Only ninth in a bumper on good ground and twice tailed off over hurdles on soft. |
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6th (10) (18/1 -50%) Teagarden Jazz |
18/1(-50%) | (10) Teagarden Jazz 18/1, Fair hurdler. 20/1, fifth of 6 in minor event at Laytown (7f) 26 days ago. Switches from Flat to hurdles. First run for yard after leaving Gordon Elliott. Creditable on last hurdle run. Maiden under both codes and left Gordon Elliott for 2,200gns. |
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7th (8) (80/1 -142%) Call Your Bluff |
80/1(-142%) | (8) Call Your Bluff 80/1, £3,000 3-y-o, Telescope gelding. Dam modest hurdler (2½m/2¾m winner). £3,000 3yo by Telescope; third foal out of a bumper/hurdle winner; bred to have a future. |
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8th (9) (100/1 -203%) Itsthyneformilan |
100/1(-203%) | (9) Itsthyneformilan 100/1, Milan mare. Half-sister to 3 winners, including fairly useful hurdler/fair chaser Reafadda, stayed 25f, and modest hurdler Toon Town. Related to three winning hurdlers but best watched on this belated debut. |
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|F| (7) (22/1 +12%) Marlpark |
22/1(+12%) | (7) Marlpark 22/1, Well beaten in bumpers and has yet to fully see his race out over hurdles. Beaten 25l+ in six races divided between hurdles and bumpers; more needed. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
BLEU DE VASSY stands out here and should prove hard to beat. The Cokoriko gelding opened his account in fine style when taking a Clonmel bumper in April having been runner-up a couple of times previously. He has jumping experience, having been placed in a point-to-point, and should make a nice staying novice hurdler this season. Blaze The Way was pitched in at the deep end on his hurdling debut, when pulling up in Grade 2 company at Fairyhouse in March. The Getaway gelding had won a bumper at Thurles previously and looks the obvious danger. Fast Felix has a couple of solid enough placed efforts over timber and should pick up prize money again.
BLEU DE VASSY got off the mark in bumpers in comfortable fashion at Clonmel in April and should have a good future over hurdles, so he makes the most appeal. This is a far more suitable assignment for Blaze The Way, who was pitched in the deep end on his hurdling debut here in the spring and should be capable of much better. Teagarden Jazz sets the standard and can't be ignored, either.
Gordon Elliott's BLEU DE VASSY took four goes to win a bumper but he did beat a subsequent winner in the process.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (15/8 -15%) Delacroix |
15/8(-15%) | (1) Delacroix 15/8, Dubawi colt who has improved from run to run, comfortably landing the odds second time up in maiden at the Curragh in August before ½-length runner-up to Green Impact in Champions Juvenile Stakes at Leopardstown (8f, good) 4 weeks ago. Capable of better again. Second in a Group 2 latest and looks sure to be running on well when it matters. |
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2nd (5) (7/2 +46%) Stanhope Gardens |
7/2(+46%) | (5) Stanhope Gardens 7/2, Sales price shot up to 210,000 gns as a yearling and he built on an encouraging debut when landing the odds in 9-runner maiden at Beverley (7.4f, good to firm) a couple of months ago. Will be suited by at least this trip and likely to go on improving for his red-hot yard. Won his maiden at Beverley but he looked good and represents a powerful yard. |
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3rd (3) (11/1 -22%) Nightwalker |
11/1(-22%) | (3) Nightwalker 11/1, Frankel colt who confirmed debut promise despite still looking rather green once coming under pressure when winning 10-runner maiden at Yarmouth (7f, firm) last month, looking to have a fair bit left in the tank at the finish. Further improvement required hiked up in grade but that's possible. Scopey grey who made all at Yarmouth and is open to significant improvement. |
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4th (4) (11/4 +31%) Silver Peak |
11/4(+31%) | (4) Silver Peak 11/4, €1,250,000Y Dubawi colt who was clearly still learning but confirmed debut promise quite impressively in 5-runner novice at Haydock (8f, good) last month, quickening to lead approaching final 1f. Already useful and capable of better still. Impressive in how he quickened up at Haydock and the second bolted up this week. |
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5th (2) (13/2 +46%) Genealogy |
13/2(+46%) | (2) Genealogy 13/2, Wootton Bassett colt who confirmed debut promise when winning 13-runner maiden at Punchestown (8.1f, good) last month, taking a while to get going but eventually hitting the line strongly. Open to further improvement heading into pattern company. Overcame a bad draw on a tight track to win going away at Punchestown; promising. |
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6th (6) (28/1 -367%) Wolf Of Badenoch |
28/1(-367%) | (6) Wolf Of Badenoch 28/1, Decisive winner of a Doncaster maiden on debut and ran a cracker when pitched into the Group 2 Vintage Stakes at Goodwood (7f, good to firm) 6 weeks later. Not so good in Champagne Stakes back at former track (7f, good) 4 weeks ago and others look to have more potential. Goodwood second brings him into it but his Doncaster run was most disappointing. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Delacroix occupied the runner-up berth in a Group 2 contest at Leopardstown last month and that is arguably the best piece of form on offer, but he could come out second best to SILVER PEAK. Charlie Appleby's juvenile showed a big chunk of improvement to score over a mile at Haydock on his most recent start and he is likely to have plenty more to offer after only two outings. With further progression, he could be tough to beat. Wolf Of Badenoch brings experience to the table, but he will need to prove he can stay this far.
DELACROIX improved another chunk pitched into Group 2 company when runner-up at Leopardstown 4 weeks ago and, with further progress on the cards, Aidan O'Brien's colt is fancied to double his tally at the expense of Silver Peak, who was clearly still learning but got off the mark in impressive fashion at Haydock last month. Stanhope Gardens can edge out Wolf of Badenoch for the third spot.
Charlie Appleby's record in this race heightens interest in SILVER PEAK who impressed in how he picked up to win going away at Haydock.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (11/2 +21%) Battle Born Lad |
11/2(+21%) | (1) Battle Born Lad 11/2, Placed all 3 starts in bumpers (fair form), rallying late when third at Kelso on final start. Kept to 2m for hurdle debut (bred to stay well). Placed in quite valuable Kelso bumper in May; ought to play a signifcant role here. |
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2nd (8) (6/5 +47%) Wendigo |
6/5(+47%) | (8) Wendigo 6/5, £70,000 recruit from the Irish pointing field who built on his Worcester debut third when landing short odds in a course bumper last November. Defied a penalty at Catterick next time and is a very interesting hurdling debutant. Dual bumper winner; form of latter success has worked out quite well; major player. |
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3rd (11) (11/2 -38%) She's Notjoeking |
11/2(-38%) | (11) She's Notjoeking 11/2, Bumper winner who got off the mark over hurdles in 5-runner juvenile hurdle over C&D in April, just holding on after showing signs of inexperience. Likely has more to offer this season. Narrow winner of C&D junior hurdle in April; has more to do under penalty in a deeper race. |
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4th (4) (25/1 -56%) Prince Of Perth |
25/1(-56%) | (4) Prince Of Perth 25/1, Shaped like a stayer on his sole outing in bumpers and did likewise on hurdling debut. Not seen for 22 months. Made fairly encouraging hurdle debut in December 2022 but not seen again since. |
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5th (14) (100/1 -203%) Sunset Hill |
100/1(-203%) | (14) Sunset Hill 100/1, Unplaced in points and ran to just a poor level when sixth of 9 in a C&D bumper (good, 25/1) on NH debut 111 days ago. Makes hurdle debut. Not disgraced in course bumper in June but makes only limited appeal on hurdle debut. |
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6th (2) (3/1 +50%) Joecooker |
3/1(+50%) | (2) Joecooker 3/1, Shaped with some encouragement in a Punchestown maiden hurdle prior to winning a Wexford bumper. Has left Mary E Doyle and open to improvement for new yard. Won run-of-the-mill Wexford bumper this summer; now hurdling for new stable. |
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7th (7) (100/1 -300%) Walk In The Valley |
100/1(-300%) | (7) Walk In The Valley 100/1, £6,000 4-y-o, Walk In The Park gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to very smart hurdler/useful chaser (stayed 29f) Pettifour. Not disgraced both starts in points in spring 2023. Bought for £6,000 after showing only minor promise in two maiden points in spring 2023. |
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8th (13) (150/1 -127%) Heather Honey |
150/1(-127%) | (13) Heather Honey 150/1, Shaped like a stayer in bumpers and made no impact on last month's Warwick hurdling debut. One for longer trips later on. Soundly beaten when 80-1 for recent hurdling debut at Warwick. |
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9th (9) (16/1 -167%) Wise Move |
16/1(-167%) | (9) Wise Move 16/1, Prolific winner in points and ran to a fair level first time up over hurdles when second in a maiden here (20.1f) in May. Held in share of third when falling at the last in a similar event at Cartmel just 4 days later. Probably worth another chance. Hood on for 1st time. Four-time point winner; twice ran well over hurdles in May drops in trip today; a possible. |
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10th (3) (150/1 -355%) Powerofjet |
150/1(-355%) | (3) Powerofjet 150/1, €30,000 3-y-o, Jet Away gelding. Half-brother to fairly useful hurdler Our Dot's Baby and poor hurdler Dolly's Dot. Dam unraced. Third completed start in Irish points, pulled up last time (Apr 20). Third in a heavy-ground Irish point in March but probably best watched on rules debut. |
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11th (10) (18/1 -125%) Chillhi |
18/1(-125%) | (10) Chillhi 18/1, Fairly useful handicapper on Flat (stays 1¾m) who offered something to work on when 17 lengths third on Market Rasen hurdle debut in July. Stumbled and unseated rider at the second at Sedgefield since. Useful on Flat at best but mostly out of form this year; well-held third on hurdle debut. |
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12th (5) (50/1 -213%) Red Ned |
50/1(-213%) | (5) Red Ned 50/1, Went backwards from a promising bumper debut when only fifth in 6-runner event at Ayr (16f, heavy). Off 7 months. Makes hurdles debut. Went close in modest bumper last November but soundly beaten on second bumper start. |
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13th (12) (33/1 -136%) Bean Alainn |
33/1(-136%) | (12) Bean Alainn 33/1, €40,000 3-y-o, Milan mare. Dam (h117), 2¼m-2½m hurdle/chase winner (stayed 2¾m), half-sister to fairly useful hurdler (stayed 3¼m) Perfect Man. Finished only fifth in an Irish point (Feb 2024) but has joined a quality yard. Managed only fifth of seven on Irish point debut in February; makes rules debut here. |
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14th (6) (50/1 -52%) Tees Comp's Clive |
50/1(-52%) | (6) Tees Comp's Clive 50/1, Showed a bit on bumper debut at Newcastle but was well held in a similar event there 4 months later. Not beaten far on bumper debut but tailed off since; makes hurdling debut today. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
She's Notjoeking won over course and distance back in April and there should be more to come from her this season. WISE MOVE finished runner-up here in May on his hurdling debut. He tired badly and fell at the last when upped to 2m6f at Cartmel last time, but the six-year-old gets another chance over this more suitable trip. Battle Born Lad is worthy of a second glance, as is Joecooker.
WENDIGO laid some solid foundations in bumpers and with fitness unlikely to be an issue hailing from the Jamie Snowden yard, a successful hurdling debut could well be on the cards. Joecooker shaped with some promise in a Punchestown maiden hurdle prior to winning a Wexford bumper for Mary Doyle and is open to improvement now setting out for a new yard, while She's Notjoeking is another who should have more to offer this season.
This can go to WENDIGO, who won what has turned out to be an above-average bumper for the track at Catterick in January.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (11/8 -10%) Uncanny |
11/8(-10%) | (7) Uncanny 11/8, Promising type. Second of 7 in maiden at Navan (8f, good to soft, 4/11) in May, headed final 100 yds but well clear of remainder. Absent since but she sets the standard and rates the one to beat. Encouraging debut when second to subsequent Irish Cambridgeshire runner-up State Actor. |
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2nd (11) (7/1 +30%) Lady Pagasa |
7/1(+30%) | (11) Lady Pagasa 7/1, Fair filly. Respectable fifth of 9 in novice at Lingfield (6f, AW, 11/2) 81 days ago, merely closing up late. First run for yard after leaving Charles Hills. Stable having good spell. 0-7 after finishing 5th at Lingfield; first run for Johnny Murtagh and first try at 1m. |
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3rd (5) (2/1 +33%) Ocean Manifest |
2/1(+33%) | (5) Ocean Manifest 2/1, Encouraging start when second on debut at Fairyhouse (7f) in July but proved disappointing in first-time hood when thirteenth of 17 in maiden at Leopardstown (9f, good to firm, 2/1) 65 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time and he's worth another chance. Has a leading chance judged on his debut second over 7f at Fairyhouse in July. |
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4th (9) (9/2 +50%) Auburn Avenue |
9/2(+50%) | (9) Auburn Avenue 9/2, Lightly-raced filly. Creditable fourth of 18 in handicap at Fairyhouse (7f, good to soft) in May, headway out wide over 1f out and keeping on. Return to 1m ought to be in her favour back from a break. Solid maiden form and wasn't seen to best effect in a pair of 7f handicaps back in May. |
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5th (8) (16/1 -14%) Aoife's Territory |
16/1(-14%) | (8) Aoife's Territory 16/1, Once-raced filly. Hooded tongue strap on, seventh of 11 in maiden (20/1) at Fairyhouse (7f, good) on debut 19 days ago, plenty to do under 2f out but making late headway. Should progress. Beaten 7l into seventh at Fairyhouse on her debut last month; step up in trip should suit. |
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6th (3) (25/1 +24%) Desert Of The Sea |
25/1(+24%) | (3) Desert Of The Sea 25/1, €32,000 yearling, Footstepsinthesand colt. Half-brother to several winners, including useful 7f winner Helvezia and 7f/1m winner Well Suited. Dam unraced. Cost 32,000euros as a yearling; half-brother to six winners; market will guide. |
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7th (13) (100/1 -150%) Winged Victory |
100/1(-150%) | (13) Winged Victory 100/1, Twice-raced filly. 100/1, fourth of 5 in maiden at Bellewstown (7.9f, good to soft) 9 days ago, very slowly away and never involved. Easy enough to look elsewhere. Well beaten at Fairyhouse on debut and no better in a 1m fillies' maiden at Bellewstown. |
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8th (10) (40/1 +0%) Coney Rose |
40/1(+0%) | (10) Coney Rose 40/1, Due Diligence filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 7f winner Lawyer Up. Dam 1m winner. Cost 6,000euros as a yearling; stable 0-22 on the Flat this year; best watched. |
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9th (4) (50/1 -100%) Lost Soul |
50/1(-100%) | (4) Lost Soul 50/1, Awtaad gelding who has displayed modest form in a couple of starts to date, fifth of 10 in maiden claimer (20/1) at Bellewstown (7.9f, soft) 10 days ago. Handicaps promise to be more his thing. Fifth in a maiden claimer at Bellewstown this month; still has plenty to find here. |
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10th (1) (150/1 -127%) Kalash |
150/1(-127%) | (1) Kalash 150/1, Ivawood gelding. Half-brother to 7f-1¼m winner Brave Troop. Showed only greenness when eleventh of 12 in maiden at Killarney (8.1f, heavy) on debut 5 days ago. Sent off 125-1 over 1m on debut at Killarney on Monday, he made no impression. |
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11th (2) (125/1 -25%) Danzy Boy |
125/1(-25%) | (2) Danzy Boy 125/1, Haatef gelding. Dam maiden (stayed 1m). Twelfth of 15 in maiden at Gowran (7f, good to soft, 80/1) on debut 39 days ago. Struggled to go the pace when well beaten on his debut over 7f at Gowran last month. |
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12th (6) (125/1 -89%) Arturo Bay |
125/1(-89%) | (6) Arturo Bay 125/1, Twice-raced filly. First run since leaving Miss Natalia Lupini when seventeenth of 18 in maiden at the Curragh (10f, good to soft, 150/1) 13 days ago. Can only be watched. Showed very little on her Dundalk debut last year and no better on first run for this yard. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
The Michael O'Callaghan-trained OCEAN MANIFEST can make up for a below par run at Leopardstown. Sent off 2/1f for that latter contest, the colt dropped out of contention over a furlong out. On the basis of his debut second at Fairyhouse in July, the son of Siyouni is the horse to beat. That form was well advertised with the third, fourth and fifth all winning subsequently. A first-time tongue tie should aid his cause here. Auburn Avenue could offer each-way value on her return from a break. Third in a maiden over course and distance in May, the Chris Timmons-trained filly subsequently ran well in handicap company. Sacred Oath is another capable of getting involved at the business end.
UNCANNY shaped well when finishing runner-up both starts during the spring and with further progress likely in the offing back from a break, she can make it third time lucky and go one place better. Ocean Manifest and Sacred Oath are others to consider. Auburn Avenue also makes some each-way appeal.
If UNCANNY (nap) is fit and well after a break, she has the best form in the book and will take all the beating in an ordinary maiden
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (10) (6/1 +40%) Strike Red |
6/1(+40%) | (10) Strike Red 6/1, Bagged this prize in 2022 and added another sizeable pot to his name at the Curragh last summer. Winless so far this season but he did go close off this mark over C&D 3 starts back and is very much one to consider with conditions no problem. Likes York (won this contest in 2022); goes well on a soft surface; tops the list. |
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2nd (1) (11/2 +31%) Room Service |
11/2(+31%) | (1) Room Service 11/2, Winner of a valuable sales race last season and back on the up when bagging a 6f Pontefract handicap (soft) in tidy fashion in July. Ground was too lively for him following a wind op in the Ayr Gold Cup next time and merits respect here with more suitable underfoot conditions forecast. Not disgraced in Ayr Gold Cup; may still have more to give on favoured soft surface. |
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3rd (21) (17/2 +58%) Eye Of Dubai |
17/2(+58%) | (21) Eye Of Dubai 17/2, Opened account at Catterick in April and struck again mastering Secret Guest in the closing stages at Ripon (6f, good to soft) a fortnight ago. 2 lb rise fair enough and while this is a more demanding assignment, he's not without hope. Consistent; narrow winner at Ripon; big player again provided high draw is not a problem. |
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4th (19) (22/1 +12%) Archduke Ferdinand |
22/1(+12%) | (19) Archduke Ferdinand 22/1, More good efforts than bad ones to his name this year and he struck twice within the space 7 days at Newmarket and Redcar (both at 6f on fast ground) in August. Just touched off when bidding for the hat-trick on slower ground at Doncaster last time but this is a much deeper race. In the form of his life; fine second at Doncaster latest; 3lb rise looks fully justified. |
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5th (8) (12/1 +52%) Sergeant Wilko |
12/1(+52%) | (8) Sergeant Wilko 12/1, Improved sprinter during the summer, completing the hat-trick in a 7-runner handicap at Goodwood (6f, good to soft) in August. However, he checked out tamely in the Ayr Gold Cup since and Room Service is presumably the stable No 1. Ayr Gold Cup defeat came on quick ground; conditions should be more in his favour here. |
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6th (17) (50/1 -25%) Hyperfocus |
50/1(-25%) | (17) Hyperfocus 50/1, Dual scorer at Chester during the summer and returned to form going close back on the Roodee last month. However, he wasn't at his best at Haydock recently and, despite making the frame in the last 2 runnings of this race, it's probably best to look elsewhere. In and out this season and well held at Haydock last time; others appeal more. |
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7th (11) (12/1 0%) King's Lynn |
12/1(0%) | (11) King's Lynn 12/1, It's now 22 starts since his last win a couple of years back but he was knocking on the door prior to finishing down the field in the Gold Cup at Ayr where he wasn't well-drawn. Sports first-time cheekpieces here and he could have a part to play. On a long losing run but has turned in several good efforts this year; each-way hopes. |
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8th (7) (7/1 +42%) Germanic |
7/1(+42%) | (7) Germanic 7/1, Successful at Newcastle in June and close third in first-time cheekpieces on handicap debut at Doncaster (7f, good to soft) last month. No show in a major Ascot handicap last weekend but shapes as though this drop in trip will be a good move and his yard saddled the winner of this 12 months ago Faded in valuable 7f event at Ascot last week; could be suited by this drop to sprinting. |
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9th (22) (16/1 +36%) Northern Spirit |
16/1(+36%) | (22) Northern Spirit 16/1, Arrives in excellent form having won his last two, overcoming a slow start to take a competitive race over this C&D (soft) last month. Impossible to discount in current form, for all that this is significantly tougher. Thriving at present; 5lb rise looks manageable for latest C&D win; another to consider. |
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10th (20) (22/1 +0%) Quest For Fun |
22/1(+0%) | (20) Quest For Fun 22/1, Twice performed with credit in 7f handicaps here during the summer, and again when finding just one too good at Chester last month. Below par the last twice, though, and he's probably worth taking on. 0-11 this year but has run several good races; impossible to dismiss. |
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11th (6) (40/1 -21%) The Bell Conductor |
40/1(-21%) | (6) The Bell Conductor 40/1, Winner of 5f handicaps at Southwell and Pontefract earlier this year, and added another to his CV when narrowly scoring at Chester (6f, good to firm) last time. More on his plate up 2 lb in this tougher race. Got up late on at Chester; nudged up 2lb and will need another personal best. |
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12th (12) (22/1 -83%) Jer Batt |
22/1(-83%) | (12) Jer Batt 22/1, Done little wrong this year save for a below-par effort at Southwell in August. Got the better of subsequent Portland winner American Affair at Haydock (5f, good to firm) earlier that month and by no means disgraced when fourth in the mud over the same C&D a fortnight ago. Possibilities. Consistent over 5f; unplaced on two previous attempts at 6f and stamina could be an issue. |
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13th (9) (14/1 +13%) Aleezdancer |
14/1(+13%) | (9) Aleezdancer 14/1, Capitalised on a falling mark to resume winning ways over this C&D in May but that success has been followed by 2 comprehensive defeats. Blinkers now replaced with cheekpieces (0-3 in this headgear) and will do well to improve on his sixth-placed finish in this race last year. In and out this year but impressive when scoring over C&D in May; not ruled out. |
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14th (13) (40/1 -60%) Tinto |
40/1(-60%) | (13) Tinto 40/1, Has again paid his way this season with victories in a couple of 6f Thirsk handicaps. However, he was never in the hunt at Ayr last time and the forecast slow ground here is a worry. Yard also saddles Woven. 11 wins in total but 3lb higher than for latest one and this is a more competitive event. |
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15th (14) (12/1 +40%) Woven |
12/1(+40%) | (14) Woven 12/1, Ran a cracker when fourth in the 21-runner C&D contest won by Aleezdancer in May. Back on track when seeing off 11 rivals in a heavy-ground Haydock handicap (6f) a couple of weeks ago but now finds himself 5 lb higher in the weights, in a more demanding race. Came from near last to first when scoring at Haydock; conditions similar but he's up 5lb. |
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16th (4) (16/1 -14%) Malc |
16/1(-14%) | (4) Malc 16/1, Useful at 2, notably runner-up in the Norfolk at Royal Ascot. Proved that he's trained on when fourth in a 14-runner listed race at Newbury (6f, good to firm) in May before finding Group 1 company too hot in the Commonwealth Cup at this year's Royal meeting. Improvement needed on this handicap bow. Will need personal best after a break but he's lightly raced and that's not impossible. |
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17th (3) (66/1 -100%) Walbank |
66/1(-100%) | (3) Walbank 66/1, Notched second career success at Meydan in January and shaped well back from a break when when fourth of 12 in handicap at Goodwood (5f, good to firm). However, failed to build on that in the Portland at Doncaster last month and he's raced exclusively on good/good to firm so far. Down the field in Portland at Doncaster; unraced on softer than good; enough to prove. |
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18th (5) (33/1 -106%) El Bodon |
33/1(-106%) | (5) El Bodon 33/1, AW novice winner last summer and returned to finish a much-improved second in the Greenham at Newbury (7f, good) in April. Posted his best effort since when mid-field in a French listed race last time (gelded since) but he's another who needs to raise his game now pitched into a handicap. Hasn't built on second in Greenham at Newbury; might have benefited from recent gelding op. |
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19th (2) (12/1 +40%) Orazio |
12/1(+40%) | (2) Orazio 12/1, Good third in Wokingham at Royal Ascot in June but has dropped away rather tamely both starts since and now finds himself with a point to prove. Wokingham third gives him strong claims but two runs since have been very poor. |
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20th (16) (18/1 +28%) Secret Guest |
18/1(+28%) | (16) Secret Guest 18/1, Newcastle winner earlier this year and in good form since undergoing a wind op, runner-up in handicaps at Redcar and Ripon either side of finishing a creditable third in the Great St Wilfrid at the latter course in August. Still, he's likely to find a few too good here. Won on AW during the winter and has hit the crossbar several times since; in the mix again. |
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21st (18) (66/1 -100%) The Green Man |
66/1(-100%) | (18) The Green Man 66/1, Didn't shape too badly on the back of a year off at Ascot last month but there were few positives to take from his subsequent display at Wolverhampton. C&D winner with possible excuses for two unplaced efforts this year; not discounted. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
A typically wide-open contest in which many will fancy their chances, and only a tentative vote can go to HYPERFOCUS. Tim Easterby's charge has enjoyed somewhat of a resurgence this season, winning twice at Chester. Although below-par at Haydock last time, he outran big odds to finish fourth in this 12 months ago and is now 3lb below that mark. There will be challengers aplenty however, and perhaps none more so than Room Service, who wasn't disgraced in the Ayr Gold Cup three weeks ago. Strike Red landed the corresponding event two years ago and must enter the reckoning, along with Summerghand and Aleezdancer.
This drop back in trip could be just what the doctor ordered for GERMANIC, who has shown plenty of dash in his five starts over 7f and he is taken to follow in the footsteps of stable companion Montassib, who bagged this prize last season. Room Service should have his conditions here and, if so, he will be a threat, along with the 2022 winner of this, Strike Red, and the veteran Summerghand. Others to consider include King's Lynn and Jer Batt.
The eye is drawn to 2022 winner STRIKE RED (nap) who went close off this mark at the Ebor meeting and has a good deal in his favour.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (10/3 +5%) Springwell Bay |
10/3(+5%) | (6) Springwell Bay 10/3, Just about the best of these over hurdles, his best effort coming when just edged out off a mark of 143 at Musselburgh in February. Should make a chaser so must be respected. Highest rated of these over hurdles and makes chase debut with yard having winners. |
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2nd (3) (9/2 -177%) Insurrection |
9/2(-177%) | (3) Insurrection 9/2, Useful form over hurdles last season, signing off with a win in 13-runner novice hurdle (4/7) at Hereford (16.2f, good) in April. Tall gelding who will make a chaser (successful on second of 2 starts in Irish points). Useful hurdler in just his five appearances; chasing is highly likely to bring him on. |
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3rd (1) (7/1 -56%) Boombawn |
7/1(-56%) | (1) Boombawn 7/1, Useful hurdler who made the perfect start over fences when scoring at Warwick in May. Decent efforts in defeat at Cartmel and Worcester but disappointed in the Summer Plate at Market Rasen. Given a break since and expected to bounce back for yard that won this last year. Has experience and winning form over fences; others perhaps have greater potential. |
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4th (4) (16/1 +36%) Mombasa |
16/1(+36%) | (4) Mombasa 16/1, Useful 17f dual-hurdles winner in France in 2022 who later changed hands for €250,000 in July that year. Below that level in 3 starts for Phillip Hobbs but proved he retains ability when fourth in listed hurdle at Compiegne on yard debut/comeback a year ago. Not seen since, however. Chase debut. Listed hurdle winner in France; tough task on chase debut but he's unexposed. |
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|PU| (2) (1/1 +71%) Cuthbert Dibble |
1/1(+71%) | (2) Cuthbert Dibble 1/1, Progressive over hurdles last term, winning twice (including here) prior to finishing a fine third in the Pertemps Final at Cheltenham. Disappointed at Aintree final start but that run can easily be overlooked and he looks a smart prospect for novice chasing (has size to make a chaser) this term. 4-9 over hurdles and fine from 2m3f to 3m; very much built for chasing. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Cuthbert Dibble is a decent hurdler with four wins to his name in that sphere and if taking to fences at the first attempt, he will be a danger to all for the Twiston-Davies team. French raider Mombasa was only beaten five lengths in Listed hurdle at Compiegne last October and has to be respected. INSURRECTION gets the narrowest of votes, though, with fences expected to bring improvement from the seven-year-old.
A novice won by the likes of Cue Card and Fingal Bay. BOOMBAWN, whose stable won this last year with subsequent Grand Annual winner Unexpected Party, has already shown a useful level of form over fences and that experience should count for plenty up against chase debutants. Cuthbert Dibble appeals as a smart chasing prospect so rates the main threat.
A good race, as is always the case. INSURRECTION was a useful hurdler but could be appreciably better over fences.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (10/1 +29%) Goodie Girl |
10/1(+29%) | (1) Goodie Girl 10/1, Winner in hurdle at Downpatrick in June 2023. 11/1, respectable sixth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Thurles (20.6f, soft). Off 10 months. Looks competitive on form. 2m1f winner but may need longer distances now and she lacks a run. |
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2nd (8) (8/1 -78%) U Asking Me |
8/1(-78%) | (8) U Asking Me 8/1, Career best when winning 16-runner handicap hurdle at Clonmel (19.9f, good, 16/1) 9 days ago, comfortably. Up 8 lb for that but merits respect all the same. Up 8lb for his Clonmel win but something appears to have clicked. |
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3rd (7) (10/1 -43%) Mr Macphisto |
10/1(-43%) | (7) Mr Macphisto 10/1, Respectable seventh of 15 in handicap hurdle (15/2) at Gowran (16f, good to soft) 8 days ago. Can make presence felt. Feasibly-treated winner and second run after a break was a step up on the first. |
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4th (13) (15/2 -15%) C'est Rien |
15/2(-15%) | (13) C'est Rien 15/2, Poor winner at 23f in chases. 13/2, respectable sixth of 11 in handicap chase at Sligo (21.1f, good) 10 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Each-way chance. Recent chase win was over 2m7f and this trip might be too sharp back over hurdles. |
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5th (6) (9/1 +10%) Oogum Boogum |
9/1(+10%) | (6) Oogum Boogum 9/1, Tongue strap on for 1st time, creditable seventh of 16 in handicap hurdle at Tramore (21.4f, good, 12/1) 24 days ago. Others preferred. Under 8l away at Tramore but the tongue-tie tried there is now left off. |
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6th (15) (28/1 -12%) Ardfert Mary |
28/1(-12%) | (15) Ardfert Mary 28/1, Pulled up in handicap chase (11/1) at Killarney (23.4f, soft) 6 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Back down in trip. Others more persuasive. Placed in a maiden hurdle and her fourth of 16 at Roscommon last month wasn't too shoddy. |
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7th (5) (22/1 +33%) Fairytale New York |
22/1(+33%) | (5) Fairytale New York 22/1, Tenth of 15 in handicap hurdle (11/1) at Roscommon (20.3f, soft) 12 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Some promise two runs back; still lightly raced and now goes in cheekpieces. |
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8th (12) (16/1 +60%) Klassman |
16/1(+60%) | (12) Klassman 16/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, below form seventh of 14 in handicap hurdle (22/1) at Wexford (24f, good to soft) 64 days ago. Down in trip. Plenty to find on form. Quiet in maidens and beaten 27l and 43l in his two handicaps (2m6f/3m); opposable. |
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9th (9) (7/2 +36%) Victory Star |
7/2(+36%) | (9) Victory Star 7/2, First run since leaving Kevin Thomas Coleman when sixth of 13 in handicap hurdle (10/1) at Clonmel (19f, soft) 149 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Should progress. Five Flat wins; midfield finish in a handicap hurdle on stable debut; dangerous. |
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|F| (2) (22/1 -57%) Kilbride Hill |
22/1(-57%) | (2) Kilbride Hill 22/1, 12/1, pulled up in handicap hurdle at Downpatrick (17.8f, good to soft) 22 days ago, weakening after 4 out. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Jumping frailties remain a concern but he is a recent winner having made all at Sligo. |
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10th (4) (9/1 +10%) Arrycan |
9/1(+10%) | (4) Arrycan 9/1, Fifteenth of 20 in handicap chase at Galway (22.5f, soft, 40/1) 71 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Claims if on-song. All four wins have been chasing; has threatened over hurdles but wants further. |
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11th (3) (66/1 -32%) Breakintheclouds |
66/1(-32%) | (3) Breakintheclouds 66/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Seventh of 11 in handicap hurdle at Listowel (16f, soft, 50/1) 15 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time over jumps. Difficult ask. Flat maiden who hasn't offered much in either of his handicaps over hurdles. |
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|PU| (11) (8/1 -45%) Shesabreeze |
8/1(-45%) | (11) Shesabreeze 8/1, 9/2, creditable fourth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Sligo (20.6f, soft) 52 days ago. Hood on 1st time. Not discounted. Low-mileage mare who has been beaten about 14l in her last two handicaps. |
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|PU| (10) (13/2 -18%) Bella Be Good |
13/2(-18%) | (10) Bella Be Good 13/2, Creditable third of 12 in handicap hurdle at Galway (16.6f, good to soft, 12/1) 4 days ago, faring best of those held up. Tongue strap back on. Expected to be bang there. No wins in 12 but placed in two of her last three races, the latest four days ago. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
SHESABREEZE has run a couple of solid races on her most recent starts and looks capable of taking a race of this standard for in-form trainer Eric McNamara. She was dropped a pound after finishing fourth at Sligo on her last outing, in August. She hasn't quite seen out her races on her last two starts and a hood and a drop in trip may do the trick now. U Asking Me improved on previous form when winning in good style at Clonmel nine days ago and has to be respected despite a 8lb hike. Bella Be Good turns out again quickly after a good run to finish third at Galway on Tuesday. She's another for the shortlist.
Having returned to form when third at Galway last time, BELLA BE GOOD may well notch a first career success. U Asking Me has been raised 8 lb for his recent Clonmel victory but recent winning form is at a premium in this contest and he has to be feared. Mr Macphisto is best of the rest.
Preference is for MR MACPHISTO, a dual winner whose second run back after a break was a step forward from his first.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (1/1 +56%) Shadow Of Light |
1/1(+56%) | (5) Shadow Of Light 1/1, Won maiden/novice events on first 2 starts before going down by only ¾ length in Gimcrack at York (6f, good to firm). Took another big step forward when resuming winning ways in Middle Park Stakes at this course (6f, good to soft) 14 days ago by 4 lengths. Will stay 7f so obvious claims. Won the Middle Park in emphatic style; leading player provided he stays this new trip. |
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2nd (2) (12/1 +52%) Expanded |
12/1(+52%) | (2) Expanded 12/1, Wootton Bassett colt. Half-brother to useful 2-y-o 7f winner Henry Adams, out of a sister to smart winner up to 9f (stayed 1½m) Mohawk. Came out on top in a bunch finish in 14-runner maiden at the Curragh (7f, good to soft) on debut last week but asking a lot stepping up to this company so soon. Edged ahead close home in Curragh maiden last Saturday for a winning debut. |
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3rd (1) (13/8 +73%) Ancient Truth |
13/8(+73%) | (1) Ancient Truth 13/8, Perfect start when taking 6f novice here and confirmed that he's an excellent prospect when winning next 2 starts on the July Course, notably 6-runner Superlative Stakes (7f, good) by 1½ lengths from Seagulls Eleven. That form looks solid and he must be respected. Superlative Stakes winner who remains unbeaten; one of two big players for this stable. |
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4th (4) (9/1 +55%) Seagulls Eleven |
9/1(+55%) | (4) Seagulls Eleven 9/1, Confirmed debut promise when winning at Haydock in June and cranked his form up again when 1½ lengths second of 6 to Ancient Truth in Superlative Stakes on July Course. Good 1½ lengths third of 8 in National Stakes at the Curragh since but likely to find a couple too strong again. Ran well in major races the last twice but again looks set for minor honours. |
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5th (3) (33/1 +59%) Rock Of Cashel |
33/1(+59%) | (3) Rock Of Cashel 33/1, Left debut form well behind when winning maiden at Galway in July. Limitations exposed at a higher level since, 5½ lengths sixth of 8 in National Stakes at the Curragh (7f, good, 40/1) 27 days ago. Tough ask once again. More exposed than his two stablemates in this field; stiff task. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Aidan O'Brien saddled City of Troy to victory in last year's renewal, and he looks to have a leading chance once again with THE LION IN WINTER. The Sea The Stars colt arrives here with an unblemished record after a convincing success in the Acomb Stakes at York in August and, with score for significant improvement, he can notch a ninth success in the race for his trainer. The form of that race is turning out well with the second and fourth going on to claim Group honours since. The biggest danger is likely to come in the form of Middle Park hero Shadow Of Light, who can offer a bold bid as he attempts to claim a second Group 1 success in 14 days, while fellow Charlie Appleby inmate Ancient Truth isn't easily discounted after bringing up the hat-trick in the Superlative Stakes on the July course here last time out.
THE LION IN WINTER has been most impressive in winning both his starts so far, notably when making all in a strong renewal of the Acomb at York, and he may prove hard to peg back once again. Shadow of Light is the obvious threat having been supplemented for this after his wide margin success in the Middle Park here 2 weeks ago, while his unbeaten stablemate Ancient Truth is another to consider with the form of his Superlative win having worked out well.
Narrow preference is for ANCIENT TRUTH, ahead of The Lion In Winter and Shadow Of Light in an engrossing clash.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (11/10 +69%) Rockola Vogue |
11/10(+69%) | (7) Rockola Vogue 11/10, Bumper winner who did well to finish as close as she did when third of 12 in maiden at Worcester (20f, good) on hurdles bow 31 days ago. Entitled to do better. Bumper winner who was a good third on hurdling debut at Worcester last month; respected. |
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2nd (5) (5/1 -186%) Mary Stanford |
5/1(-186%) | (5) Mary Stanford 5/1, Soldier of Fortune mare who was bought for £42,000 after cosily winning sole start in Irish points and is half-sister to numerous winners, including useful hurdler Gowiththeflow. Highly respected on Rules debut. Wears tongue strap. Impressive in sole Irish point and she's an interesting recruit to hurdling; key player. |
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3rd (1) (10/3 +44%) Brave Jen |
10/3(+44%) | (1) Brave Jen 10/3, Modest maiden hurdler who returned to something like the form shown on stable debut when second in a thin race at Plumpton (20.5f, good to soft) 20 days ago, travelling best but headed run-in after wandering/hanging right. Looks vulnerable from a win point of view. 0-9 over hurdles and has a patchy record but her best form puts her in the picture. |
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4th (8) (9/1 +55%) See A Stride |
9/1(+55%) | (8) See A Stride 9/1, Fair maiden hurdler who blood vessel when pulled up in handicap at Ballinrobe (22.4f) on final outing and sold out of Gordon Elliott's yard for only 1,000 gns in June. Pulled up in final run for Gordon Elliott and changed hands for 1,000gns since; opposable. |
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5th (2) (66/1 -450%) Giveupyerauldsins |
66/1(-450%) | (2) Giveupyerauldsins 66/1, £5,000 6-y-o, Ocovango mare. Half-sister to fair 2½m hurdle winner Mrs Barnes. Dam point winner. Maiden Irish pointer, runner-up last time (May 18). 0-7 in points; half-sister to a hurdle winner but needs plenty of progress on rules debut. |
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6th (6) (14/1 -100%) My Lady Elektra |
14/1(-100%) | (6) My Lady Elektra 14/1, Fair maiden hurdler in France, placed twice in 2023/24. Has left Nick Littmoden and should be up to making presence felt on UK/stable debut. 0-8 over hurdles in France and is probably best watched on her British/stable debut. |
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|PU| (9) (11/1 -38%) Sky Luna |
11/1(-38%) | (9) Sky Luna 11/1, Winning Irish pointer who was placed on her first 2 starts at Cartmel but ran poorly switched to a handicap last time. Started her hurdling career with two placed efforts and had excuse last time; in the mix. |
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|PU| (3) (40/1 -471%) Jenny Mcfly |
40/1(-471%) | (3) Jenny Mcfly 40/1, €34,000 3-y-o, Soldier of Fortune mare. Half-sister to useful 2½m hurdle winner O'Moore Park and bumper winner Squadron Commander. Placed both starts in Irish points, runner-up latest (Apr 28). Needs a market check on Rules debut. Went close in an Irish point in April and needs checking in market on her rules debut. |
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|PU| (4) (200/1 -300%) Kall Me Emma |
200/1(-300%) | (4) Kall Me Emma 200/1, 25/1, probably needed the run when ninth of 10 in bumper at Carlisle (17f, soft) on NH debut. Off 8 months. Makes hurdles debut. First run for yard after leaving Rebecca Menzies. Tailed off in sole bumper and can only be watched on hurdling/stable debut. |
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|PU| (10) (300/1 -355%) Glen Affric |
300/1(-355%) | (10) Glen Affric 300/1, Showed nothing when last of 6 in bumper at Warwick (16f, good) on debut 18 days ago. Upped in trip for hurdle debut. Tailed off at 100-1 in Warwick bumper last month and is best watched on hurdling debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Brave Jen found only one too good at Plumpton last month, but has had plenty of chances and the less-exposed ROCKOLA VOGUE makes more appeal. The bumper winner finished a promising third at Worcester on her hurdling bow and the runner-up has subsequently boosted that form. Sky Luna struggled on heavy ground last time, but is not without a chance back on a sounder surface.
Those with hurdling experience don't set the bar all that high so it could pay to side with MARY STANFORD, a well-bred mare who changed hands for £42,000 after winning her sole start in Irish points in cosy fashion. Rockola Vougue is entitled to improve on her third at Worcester last month, with My Lady Elektra also worthy of respect based on her French form.
Irish point winner MARY STANFORD looks an interesting recruit to hurdling and she gets the vote ahead of Rockola Vogue.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (11/4 +21%) Last Encore |
11/4(+21%) | (4) Last Encore 11/4, In-the-frame in pair of maidens that worked out well and much improved to make a winning nursery debut at Navan (5.8f) 44 days ago, quickening to lead under 2f out and just kept up to work. Still early days with him and highly likely there's more to come. Off the mark at Navan; stable in red-hot form and 8lb rise might not halt his progress. |
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2nd (9) (9/1 -38%) Smoke Them Out |
9/1(-38%) | (9) Smoke Them Out 9/1, Career best when winning 9-runner nursery (7/1) at Cork (6f, soft) 11 days ago by 1¾ lengths from Kodilicious, kept up to work. Had Kodilicious behind when winning at Down Royal and is weighted to beat that rival again. |
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3rd (5) (13/2 +28%) Manhattan Chute |
13/2(+28%) | (5) Manhattan Chute 13/2, Lightly-raced maiden. Below form fourth of 11 in maiden (10/1) at this C&D (good to firm) 23 days ago. Switch to handicaps in his favour and booking of Keane catches the eye. Lesser efforts of late including here last time and will have to do more to get involved. |
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4th (3) (14/1 -17%) Snapdragon |
14/1(-17%) | (3) Snapdragon 14/1, 28/1, 5 lengths ninth of 13 to Lady With The Lamp in listed race at Dundalk (5f) 8 days ago. This rates a more suitable assignment but his revised mark back in handicaps demands more. Faded once they turned for home in Listed grade at Dundalk latest; difficult to trust. |
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5th (2) (10/1 -33%) Kodilicious |
10/1(-33%) | (2) Kodilicious 10/1, Improving son of Kodi Bear who opened his account in a Sligo maiden (5.7f) in August and stepped up further when 1¾ lengths second of 9 to Smoke Them Out in nursery (15/2) at Cork (6f, soft) 11 days ago. Respected for stable who landed this 12 months ago. 2nd to Smoke Them Out over this trip at Cork latest but no better off at the weights. |
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6th (12) (14/1 +44%) Temperance |
14/1(+44%) | (12) Temperance 14/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 14/1, fifth of 14 in maiden at this course (7f, good to firm) 23 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time and return to sprinting likely in her favour making handicap debut. Chased home subsequent Listed winner Rebel Diamond over 6f at Cork last month; 3lb wrong. |
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7th (7) (28/1 -75%) No Return |
28/1(-75%) | (7) No Return 28/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Hooded for 1st time, last of 5 in minor event (22/1) at Listowel (8f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Back down in trip. Makes handicap debut. Must find best form. Five-race maiden who makes his handicap debut but might find this trip on the sharp side. |
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8th (1) (8/1 -7%) The Parthenon |
8/1(-7%) | (1) The Parthenon 8/1, Lightly-raced winner. Visored for 1st time, 11¾ lengths last of 8 to Scorthy Champ in National Stakes (66/1) at the Curragh (7f, good) 27 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Makes handicap debut. Out of depth in Group 1 latest; interesting handicap debutant; first-time blinkers. |
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9th (11) (25/1 +24%) I'll Be Handy |
25/1(+24%) | (11) I'll Be Handy 25/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 66/1, seventh of 14 in maiden at the Curragh (7f, good to soft) 7 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Eyecatcher when a never-nearer 7th of 14 in a strong 7f Curragh maiden last Saturday. |
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10th (10) (17/2 -31%) South Shore Island |
17/2(-31%) | (10) South Shore Island 17/2, Represents a stable in good form and, with cheekpieces on for 1st time, improved when second of 7 in nursery (5/2) at Fairyhouse (6f, good) 19 days ago. Needs respecting with blinkers now the headgear of choice. Showed ability in maidens and was only headed close home over this trip at Fairyhouse. |
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11th (14) (28/1 +15%) Moonhall Church |
28/1(+15%) | (14) Moonhall Church 28/1, Winner in claimer at Fairyhouse (7f) in September. Eleventh of 16 in nursery (5/1) at the Curragh (7f, good to soft) 13 days ago, heavily eased off. Better showing not ruled out. Yard also saddle Moonhall Lass. Failed to follow through with her effort once she hit the front in a 7f Curragh nursery. |
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12th (6) (16/1 +36%) Amazing Athena |
16/1(+36%) | (6) Amazing Athena 16/1, Course winner. 50/1, 6 lengths twelfth of 13 to Lady With The Lamp in listed race at Dundalk (5f) 8 days ago, weakening over 1f out. Needs to bounce back. Won a fillies' maiden here in July but didn't seem to see out this trip previously. |
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13th (8) (7/1 -75%) Tommy Mcjohn |
7/1(-75%) | (8) Tommy Mcjohn 7/1, Lightly-raced winner. Blinkered for 1st time, career best when winning 14-runner nursery at this course (5f, good to firm, 10/3) 23 days ago, drawing clear close home. Big shout up 7 lb if headgear has desired effect once more. Gelding operation and first-time blinkers worked the oracle when winning here latest. |
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14th (13) (22/1 -10%) Moonhall Lass |
22/1(-10%) | (13) Moonhall Lass 22/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Excellent second of 10 in nursery at Down Royal (5f, soft, 13/2) 12 days ago. Booking of Hassett a plus. Should continue to give a good account. Big effort off top weight back on turf when second at Down Royal; 5lb wrong. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
SMOKE THEM OUT can land this valuable prize for trainer Tom McCourt. Although raised 9lb for his recent Cork win, the Sands Of Mali colt was always travelling easily before quickening up smartly to go clear inside the final furlong. In a race where one or two of the leading fancies have questions to answer, the McCourt runner looks the most solid option. Dropping back to sprinting may not be ideal for The Parthenon but Aidan O'Brien's colt is clearly the class horse. Last of eight in the Group 1 National Stakes, this represents a significantly easier task. Navan nursery winner Last Encore will need to improve but the fact that he is his stable's only runner is worth noting.
Claims can be made for plenty but LAST ENCORE continued his theme of race-by-race progress making a quick switch to nurseries when successful at Navan 44 days ago and, with the prospect of more to come, he makes plenty of appeal again. Michael O'Callaghan holds a strong hand with 3 runners, Tommy McJohn possibly chief amongst them. Kodilicious and South Shore Island are others fancied to feature.
The vote goes to the lightly raced LAST ENCORE, who was well on top at the line when winning on his handicap debut at Navan in August
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (4/1 +50%) Fearless Freddy |
4/1(+50%) | (3) Fearless Freddy 4/1, Maiden winner at Leicester in June and off the mark in nurseries at the second attempt at Kempton 5 weeks ago, proving game. Unraced on going softer than good. Progressive; will handle these conditions; up 4lb for game win at Kempton. |
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2nd (1) (14/1 -250%) Seagolazo |
14/1(-250%) | (1) Seagolazo 14/1, Opened his account at the third attempt when landing the odds in 6-runner maiden at Chester. Wasn't disgraced when seventh of 17 in 7f nursery here before big improvement fitted with headgear when fourth of 20 in valuable sale event at Doncaster. Player if handling the grounds. Showed jolt of improvement when fourth in sales race; different trip and ground today. |
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3rd (5) (7/1 -17%) Our Mighty Mo |
7/1(-17%) | (5) Our Mighty Mo 7/1, Got off the mark at Hamilton in September and quickly resumed progress/winning ways in heavy-ground nursery at Haydock 2 weeks ago. Ability to handles testing ground is a big positive. Won 6f/7f nurseries last month and should stay 1m; one for the shortlist. |
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4th (9) (22/1 -57%) Chesneys Charm |
22/1(-57%) | (9) Chesneys Charm 22/1, Supplemented his AW maiden win on nursery debut at Wolverhampton in August and quickly resumed winning ways starting out for this yard at Newcastle last week, stayed on to lead near line. Needs to prove he's as effective on turf. Thriving on AW, winning three of last four starts; possibilities if handling this surface. |
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5th (6) (3/1 +14%) Sir William |
3/1(+14%) | (6) Sir William 3/1, Getting better with each run, just denied in 6-runner in maiden at Haydock (8.2f, heavy) 2 weeks ago. Needs considering on nursery bow. Bred to be useful and is improving; narrowly denied at Haydock; could go one better. |
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6th (4) (8/1 +33%) Chemical |
8/1(+33%) | (4) Chemical 8/1, Similar form all 3 starts, fourth of 8 in novice (4/1) at Thirsk (7f, good) 26 days ago. Improvement required on handicap debut. Two places behind Valiant Knight when fourth at Thirsk; something to find with that rival. |
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7th (11) (25/1 +24%) Blueandtangerine |
25/1(+24%) | (11) Blueandtangerine 25/1, Time Test filly who opened her account in a Beverley maiden (7.4f) in August and back on track when 3¼ lengths fourth of 9 to Our Mighty Mo on nursery bow at Haydock (7.2f, heavy) 14 days ago, nearest finish. This a deeper race, however, and 1 lb out of the weights. Beverley winner and good Haydock fourth (to Our Mighty Mo); may not be fully exposed. |
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8th (2) (5/2 +25%) Valiant Knight |
5/2(+25%) | (2) Valiant Knight 5/2, Stepped up on first 2 efforts when just edged out in Thirsk novice last month and opening mark is potentially a handy one on that form if handing the ground. Close second at Thirsk; will probably stay this longer distance; commands major respect. |
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9th (10) (100/1 -203%) Suzette |
100/1(-203%) | (10) Suzette 100/1, Zoustar filly who was much improved to defy what looked a stiff opening mark at Carlise. Pulled too hard at Ayr since and opposable up in class. Form of Carlisle win has not worked out especially well; others appeal more. |
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10th (8) (22/1 -38%) Pap's Turf |
22/1(-38%) | (8) Pap's Turf 22/1, Put debut experience to good use when winning 7-runner novice at Beverley (7.4f), making all. However, well held under a penalty at Doncaster since and opening mark looks a stiff one. Has been gelded. Needs to get back on track after gelding op; refused to enter stalls intended third start. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
SEAGOLAZO outran his odds with a creditable fourth in a valuable sales race at Doncaster last month and, given the form has been well advertised with the runner-up landing a Group 1 in France in the intervening period, the son of Havana Grey can make a big impression under top-weight in these calmer waters. Ralph Beckett chases a hat-trick of winners in this race and has another key player with Valiant Knight. Our Mighty Mo and nursery debutant Sir William should handle the ground and also enter calculations.
VALIANT KNIGHT showed big improvement when just edged out at Thirsk and his opening mark looks a good one on that form. Seagolazo responded very well to this headgear when fourth in a valuable sales race at Doncaster and rates the main threat ahead of Sir William.
Valiant Knight is heading in the right direction but SIR WILLIAM's proven stamina earns him the vote.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (14) (11/1 +45%) Josh The Boss |
11/1(+45%) | (14) Josh The Boss 11/1, Bumper winner who won first 2 starts over hurdles last season but form tailed off thereafter. Probably worth taking on here following a 6-month break. Below form in second half of last season but looked a promising novice last autumn. |
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2nd (16) (4/1 +47%) Doyen Quest |
4/1(+47%) | (16) Doyen Quest 4/1, Bumper winner who was progressive over hurdles last season, winner of a Cheltenham handicap (20.2f, good) on his latest appearance in April. 3 lb nudge fair enough and he could make his presence felt if ready to foll following a break. Finished strongly to win at Cheltenham in April and is only 3lb higher here; major player. |
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3rd (3) (33/1 -136%) Take No Chances |
33/1(-136%) | (3) Take No Chances 33/1, Winner of back-to-back handicaps at Warwick and Uttoxeter during the spring. Didn't do much wrong when fourth at Cartmel (25.4f, good to soft) on latest start in May and while Doyen Quest is seemingly the stable No 1, this 6-y-o is by no means exposed. In good form at around 3m in the spring and has promising 7lb claimer enlisted here. |
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4th (5) (8/1 +11%) Lowry's Bar |
8/1(+11%) | (5) Lowry's Bar 8/1, Winner of first 4 starts over hurdles last term, including a C&D handicap in January. Lost unbeaten record when turned over in an Exeter novice next time but he remains with potential and his profile isn't dissimilar to that of Orbys Legend, who landed this race for the same yard in 2021. Launched rules career with four wins last season (once over C&D); can resume progress. |
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5th (17) (14/1 +0%) Patriotik |
14/1(+0%) | (17) Patriotik 14/1, Point winner who opened Rules account in a 2½m Ffos Las novice in March and placed on each of his 3 subsequent starts (all at the same course). Open to improvement now pitched into a handicap and he's worth a second look. Ffos Las novice winner; makes handicap debut in warm race but is not fully exposed. |
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6th (8) (25/1 -56%) Tightenourbelts |
25/1(-56%) | (8) Tightenourbelts 25/1, Ludlow maiden hurdle winner on final start of 2022/23 campaign and made successful start over fences at the same course last November. Returned to this sphere with a creditable third to Take No Chances at Uttoxeter (23.3f, good to soft) when last seen in May but he may again find one or 2 too good. Just a respectable third behind Take No Chance at Uttoxeter in May; back from break today. |
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7th (13) (9/1 +36%) Titan Discovery |
9/1(+36%) | (13) Titan Discovery 9/1, Successful twice in handicap company last season, latterly at Sandown in February. Signed off with a good sixth in a 15-runner Cheltenham (20.2f, good) contest during the spring and while this is more demanding, he's in with an each-way shout. Made good progress once switched to handicaps last season and may still have more to offer. |
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8th (6) (22/1 -83%) Afadil |
22/1(-83%) | (6) Afadil 22/1, Displayed nice turn of foot when landing a Musselburgh handicap in February and followed that with a series of creditable efforts in good-quality handicaps. Well held when last seen at Haydock in May but he'll be a danger to all if resuming at the top of his game. Yard also runs Irish Hill. Ran well in some hot 2m handicaps in second half of last season; this trip may stretch him. |
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9th (7) (7/1 +42%) Act Of Authority |
7/1(+42%) | (7) Act Of Authority 7/1, Successful on 3 of his half-a-dozen starts as a novice last season and signed that campaign off with a good sixth in a valuable Sandown handicap (2m, good). Not without an each-way chance but improvement will certainly be needed if he's to emerge on top. Respectable sixth in hot 2m race on handicap debut in April; back up in trip today. |
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10th (4) (33/1 -136%) Lucky Zebo |
33/1(-136%) | (4) Lucky Zebo 33/1, Improved when accounting for 8 rivals in a Cork listed handicap in March and by no means disgraced in a valuable Punchestown handicap next time. However, he has come up short over fences the last twice and his current mark is a challenging one. Safely held in last two chases but has a fighting chance if judged on spring hurdling form. |
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11th (18) (33/1 -18%) Forever William |
33/1(-18%) | (18) Forever William 33/1, Three-time winner for Alan King and stepped up on his low-key debut for this yard when third of 8 in a Newton Abbot handicap (21.6f, good) last month. On a workable mark but his record is rather patchy. Back in form when placed at Newton Abbot last month; more needed again here. |
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12th (2) (20/1 +29%) Tritonic |
20/1(+29%) | (2) Tritonic 20/1, Useful hurdler and similar form on the Flat, most recently placed in a valuable York handicap in August. Good fourth in a big-field Aintree contest on latest start in this sphere (winner of one of his 2 starts over fences since) but that was back in April 2023 and others look better treated here. Placed in valuable Flat handicap in August but reverts to hurdling on fairly tough mark. |
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13th (15) (17/2 -6%) Tune In A Box |
17/2(-6%) | (15) Tune In A Box 17/2, Winner of 4 of his 5 starts following the switch to handicap company last term, culminating in an impressive display in a valuable Punchestown handicap (19.4f, good to soft) during the spring. Up 15 lb for that but he could have more to offer this season. Won comfortably by 8l at Punchestown festival in April and is now 4-5 in handicaps. |
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14th (10) (13/2 +46%) Into The Park |
13/2(+46%) | (10) Into The Park 13/2, Plenty about him physically and he improved when bagging a Newbury maiden and Taunton handicap (both at around 2m) last winter. Failed to land a meaningful blow back at Newbury when last seen in March but there may yet be better to come from this 5-y-o. Yard also represented by Lowry's Bar. Lightly raced 5yo; dual 2m winner early in 2024; should have more to offer over this trip. |
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15th (1) (22/1 -238%) Crebilly |
22/1(-238%) | (1) Crebilly 22/1, Progressive in this sphere a couple of seasons back and highlight of novice chase campaign last term was his fine second in a Cheltenham Festival handicap (20.6f, soft) in March. Let-down by a sloppy round of jumping at Aintree next time and looks vulnerable under joint top-weight back hurdling. Creditable second in Cheltenham Festival chase in March; reverts to hurdling off 2lb lower. |
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16th (11) (18/1 +18%) American Sniper |
18/1(+18%) | (11) American Sniper 18/1, Resumed winning ways in first-time tongue strap at Cheltenham last November but hasn't managed to reproduce that level of form in 3 subsequent starts. Has undergone another wind op since his latest appearance in April and others make more appeal. Won 20-runner Cheltenham handicap last autumn but well below that form next three runs. |
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|PU| (9) (14/1 -56%) Irish Hill |
14/1(-56%) | (9) Irish Hill 14/1, Won 3 on the bounce during 2022/23 campaign and while he failed to add to his tally last season, to his credit he posted several creditable efforts in defeat. Resumes on a fair mark and he could have a part to play if fully tuned-up. Placed on final two starts last season but may not be quite as good as he was. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
Doyen Quest justified favouritism to complete a double at Cheltenham in April and it would be no surprise to see him get into contention off only 3lb higher. However, the vote goes to TUNE IN A BOX, who struck in stylish fashion at the Punchestown festival and even though he was hit with a 15lb rise for that success, he might be up to the task. Irish Hill and Take No Chances are others to consider in a wide-open heat.
INTO THE PARK and Lowry's Bar, both lightly-raced types from the Hobbs & White yard, are appealing candidates for what is a typically competitive renewal of this valuable handicap. Marginal preference is for the former, who was a progressive novice last season and he should have more to offer. Jipcot and Tune In A Box are also open to improvement, while the Paul Nicholls-trained duo Afadil and Irish Hill merit respect, too.
Dan Skelton's progressive 6yo DOYEN QUEST (nap) produced a good late surge at Cheltenham in April and remains well handicapped.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (13/2 +7%) Dame Rapide |
13/2(+7%) | (4) Dame Rapide 13/2, Creditable fourth of 18 in handicap hurdle at Gowran (20.2f, good to soft, 12/1) 8 days ago. Back down in trip and she's a live each-way contender. Good run on latest at Gowran, drops in trip and same mark here, ground suits, considered. |
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2nd (2) (14/1 -87%) Wajaaha |
14/1(-87%) | (2) Wajaaha 14/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Creditable third of 13 in handicap hurdle at Tramore (16.6f, good, 12/1) 24 days ago. Should be on the premises. No win over hurdles since 2022, good effort at Galway in August, place claims at best. |
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3rd (9) (5/1 +17%) Slieve Bearnagh |
5/1(+17%) | (9) Slieve Bearnagh 5/1, Two wins from 3 runs this season. Creditable third of 11 in handicap at Bellewstown (12.2f, good to soft, 2/1) 9 days ago, running on. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Merits consideration. Tramore and Cork wins earlier this summer, career high mark now but can't discount. |
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4th (10) (28/1 -12%) Sonny May |
28/1(-12%) | (10) Sonny May 28/1, Thirteenth of 17 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (19.2f, heavy, 28/1), very slowly away. Off 10 months. Tongue strap back on. Promise in a couple of maidens, no impact yet in handicaps, best watched back from a break. |
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5th (6) (11/4 +31%) Star Harbour |
11/4(+31%) | (6) Star Harbour 11/4, Lightly-raced maiden over hurdles. Three-time winner on the Flat this year and he's one to take seriously. Three-time flat winner this summer, rated 103 on the level, classy but may be best watched. |
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6th (13) (25/1 +0%) Leitzel |
25/1(+0%) | (13) Leitzel 25/1, Lightly-raced maiden over hurdles. Fair 1m winner on the Flat. 10/1, last of 5 in handicap hurdle at Ballinrobe (18.2f, soft) 47 days ago, finding little. Must improve. Promise in three maiden hurdles, ground not ideal for handicap bow, could outrun odds. |
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7th (11) (10/1 -33%) Tankardstown Diva |
10/1(-33%) | (11) Tankardstown Diva 10/1, Winner at Down Royal in April. 18/1, respectable 15¼ lengths fifth of 20 to Son of Hypnos in handicap hurdle at Galway (16.6f, good to soft) 75 days ago. Can make presence felt. 15.5l behind Son Of Hypnos at Galway, trip and ground a worry, others preferred. |
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8th (1) (11/1 -83%) Son Of Hypnos |
11/1(-83%) | (1) Son Of Hypnos 11/1, Latest win in hurdle at Galway in July. 13/8, fifth of 7 in handicap chase at Downpatrick (17.8f, good) 47 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Looks vulnerable. Won easily at Galway, up 12lb for that, needs a career best to win off current mark. |
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9th (3) (8/1 -14%) Mary's Pride |
8/1(-14%) | (3) Mary's Pride 8/1, C&D winner. Latest win in hurdle at Tipperary in July. 9/2, tenth of 13 in handicap hurdle at Tramore (16.6f, good) 24 days ago. Others preferred. Locally trained, dual course winner, won at Tipperary in July, likes it here, claims. |
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10th (5) (25/1 +0%) Rodney Bay |
25/1(+0%) | (5) Rodney Bay 25/1, 40/1, twelfth of 14 in handicap at Bellewstown (12.3f, soft) 10 days ago. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Bit below form on last hurdle outing. Others more persuasive. 1-18 over hurdles, has course form, strip fitter for run on the Flat, each-way claims. |
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11th (8) (11/1 -57%) Inchiquin Star |
11/1(-57%) | (8) Inchiquin Star 11/1, Latest win in hurdle at Wexford in August. Creditable fourth of 13 in handicap hurdle at Tramore (16.6f, good, 9/2) 24 days ago. One to consider. Won off 102 at Wexford in August, ok runs off revised mark since, could be on a tough mark. |
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12th (12) (28/1 +30%) Peckham Springs |
28/1(+30%) | (12) Peckham Springs 28/1, C&D winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. Eleventh of 13 in handicap hurdle at Tramore (16.6f, good, 28/1) 24 days ago. Locally trained C&D winner on heavy, well beaten on latest at Tramore, needs a revival. |
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13th (7) (12/1 +0%) Pahlavi |
12/1(+0%) | (7) Pahlavi 12/1, Creditable third of 10 in novice hurdle at Clonmel (16.8f, good, 7/1) 9 days ago and not without an each-way chance. Third in a maiden at Clonmel last week, unplaced both handicaps, down 3lb but needs more. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
STAR HARBOUR is a better horse on the Flat but should be capable of winning a race over hurdles off this kind of mark. The six-year-old has been in fine form on the level this summer, winning three times, and has a mark of 103. His rating of 109 over jumps is lowly in comparison. Son Of Hypnos was a bit too free over fences at Downpatrick last time and is respected returning to hurdles now, having been an easy winner when last seen over timber at Galway. Slieve Bearnagh returns to jumping after a couple of solid runs on the Flat and is another for the shortlist.
STAR HARBOUR is 0-5 over hurdles but he's won three times on the Flat this year and is of interest back in this sphere off a potentially handy mark. Slieve Bearnagh and Inchiquin Star rate the main dangers in that order of preference, while Dame Rapide and Wajaaha both make some each-way appeal.
Preference is for the locally trained MARY'S PRIDE. He has won twice here before, including over C&D, and good ground is fine.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (16) (33/1 -50%) Alphonse Le Grande |
33/1(-50%) | (16) Alphonse Le Grande 33/1, Completed a hat-trick when seeing off 13 rivals in the Northumberland Plate consolation in June but has been found out off higher marks since, finishing behind a couple of these in the Irish Cesarewitch last time. Chester Plate and Northumberland Vase completed hat-trick; encouraging Irish Cesarewitch. |
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2nd (18) (7/1 +36%) Manxman |
7/1(+36%) | (18) Manxman 7/1, Better than ever when opening his account for the year in 11-runner Racing League event at Southwell (2m) at the end of August, seeing off the progressive Warmonger (won since) with the pair clear. A good chunk of his penalty is offset by Sean Dylan Bowen's 3 lb claim. Looks the best of the British. Consistent, best effort to score on AW latest; going even further today looks sure to suit. |
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3rd (13) (33/1 +0%) Aqwaam |
33/1(+0%) | (13) Aqwaam 33/1, Better than ever when scoring at Lingfield (2m) on Good Friday. Creditable sixth of 16 in the Chester Cup in May. Not seen since. Doesn't look well handicapped enough to win a race like this. Creditable and none-too-lucky 6th in the 2m2f Chester Cup in May last time (finished lame). |
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4th (5) (18/1 -29%) Run For Oscar |
18/1(-29%) | (5) Run For Oscar 18/1, First success since his 2022 win in this when landing a Kilbeggan hurdle in August. Creditable second in another hurdle at Down Royal since. 13 lb higher than 2 years ago so he will need a career best to emulate Aaim To Prosper and become only the second dual winner of this race. Won this (on good) in good style in 2022; placed at Royal Ascot for second year running. |
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5th (7) (50/1 +24%) Magellan Strait |
50/1(+24%) | (7) Magellan Strait 50/1, Won the 2023 Irish Cesarewitch. Placed 3 times in maiden hurdles this summer but ran no sort of race in this year's Irish Cesarewitch. Tough to fancy after that 150-1 when he won the 2023 Irish Cesarewitch (2m1f, soft); tailed off last three outings. |
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6th (3) (8/1 +33%) Dawn Rising |
8/1(+33%) | (3) Dawn Rising 8/1, Useful sort who was placed in the Queen Alexandra at Royal Ascot in June before returning from a break to finish a creditable fifth (Sixandahalf third) of 30 in the Irish Cesarewitch at the Curragh 13 days ago. 2m5f winner at Royal Ascot 2023 and third this year; third and fifth in Irish Cesarewitch. |
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7th (19) (25/1 +38%) Anna Bunina |
25/1(+38%) | (19) Anna Bunina 25/1, Very useful hurdler at her best, although she was operating a little below that level this summer. Has her first Flat outing since 2022 (won at Killarney in August of that year). Last seen on Flat 2022; useful hurdler two seasons ago and not disgraced initially in 2024. |
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8th (24) (33/1 -83%) Reverend Hubert |
33/1(-83%) | (24) Reverend Hubert 33/1, Useful efforts when winning a couple of chases at the start of the summer. Below his best when sixth of 7 in Galway Grade 3 novice chase at the start of August but still an interesting runner back on the Flat for his ultra-shrewd yard. Wears cheekpieces for only a second time. Competitive on 2m Flat form in 2022 and pretty useful over hurdles/fences in Ireland since. |
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9th (21) (40/1 +20%) Bashful Boy |
40/1(+20%) | (21) Bashful Boy 40/1, Cracking fourth to the The Shunter in this last year but has largely disappointed since (mainly over hurdles). Not an obvious one. Out of form lately but stayed on steadily from off pace when 4th of 31 in this last year. |
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10th (22) (5/1 +23%) Jacovec Cavern |
5/1(+23%) | (22) Jacovec Cavern 5/1, First run since leaving Paul Hennessy when good ¾-length second of 17 to Busselton in handicap at Galway (16.5f, good to soft) in July. Has more to offer for a yard which won this with The Shunter last year. Gets the vote. 459 days off before promising second of 17 at the Galway Festival (2m Flat) for new yard. |
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11th (1) (12/1 +25%) Queenstown |
12/1(+25%) | (1) Queenstown 12/1, Only a Curragh maiden win to his name but he showed smart form when placed in a Navan listed race and Leopardstown Group 3 in the spring. Possibly unsuited by quicker ground when well held in the Ebor at York last time. Up in trip. Just 9-1 for the Ebor at York on handicap debut but well beaten after racing prominently. |
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12th (8) (5/1 +9%) Sea Of Sands |
5/1(+9%) | (8) Sea Of Sands 5/1, Very useful on the Flat in Germany for Jean-Pierre Carvalho in 2022. Returned from a long absence to make a winning hurdle debut for Willie Mullins at Listowel last month and very interesting runner for a stable seeking a fourth win in this since 2018. 776 days off before a striking debut for Willie Mullins when hacking up in a maiden hurdle. |
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13th (9) (22/1 +12%) Trooper Bisdee |
22/1(+12%) | (9) Trooper Bisdee 22/1, Progressed again when winning at Nottingham and Pontefract on first 2 starts this year. Beaten favourite in the Northumberland Plate in June but ran better when fourth in the trial over C&D 3 weeks ago. Might strip fitter for that first outing in 3 months. Creditable, front-running fourth in Cesarewitch Trial over C&D after 12 weeks off. |
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14th (11) (40/1 -21%) Evaluation |
40/1(-21%) | (11) Evaluation 40/1, Scored for new yard at Wolverhampton (16.5f) in April and backed it up with an excellent second in Northumberland Plate at Newcastle in June. Respectable efforts twice since but the handicapper seems to have him about right. Shaped well over an inadequate 14.5f last time but to win this would require a new high. |
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15th (6) (20/1 -25%) The Shunter |
20/1(-25%) | (6) The Shunter 20/1, Smart hurdler/chaser who showed his versatility with a win in this 12 months ago. Posted a good fifth back hurdling at Punchestown in November but not seen since. Some training performance if this veteran can return from an absence to become the first back-to-back winner of this famous prize. Won this race (soft) last year; 5lb higher today and he's unraced this term. |
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16th (20) (9/1 +36%) Premiere Ligne |
9/1(+36%) | (20) Premiere Ligne 9/1, Winner at Lingfield (11.5f) in May and even better when runner-up on all 4 outings since, the latest in the trial over C&D off this same mark. Has first-time blinkers added to regular tongue tie. Respected for yard which has had a few go well in this in the last 10 years, including a win in 2016. 2nd in Cesarewitch Trial; strong each-way chance if blinkers have no adverse effect. |
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17th (15) (80/1 -21%) Zealandia |
80/1(-21%) | (15) Zealandia 80/1, Started 2024 with a win on Newcastle's AW but has failed to hit the same heights since. Back to that winning mark as a result but still tough to fancy. Fair fifth at Ascot was vastly better than starts either side and he is hard to trust. |
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18th (2) (18/1 +28%) Samui |
18/1(+28%) | (2) Samui 18/1, Has thrived since switched to the Flat, showing smart form when a 17-length winner of 2m handicap at Killarney before backing that up with placed efforts at York (handicap) and Chester (listed). Below par when a well-held third in a 2m listed race here last time but still has to enter calculations. Soft ground may not have been ideal latest; looks an out-and-out stayer in this sphere. |
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19th (12) (18/1 -29%) Spirit Mixer |
18/1(-29%) | (12) Spirit Mixer 18/1, Runner-up in the 2022 Northumberland Plate and back to form with a pair of 2m Chester wins in recent months. Effectively running off only 3 lb higher than for the latter success but this looks much more competitive. Well down the weights before Chester 2m wins on last two starts; well treated on 2022 form. |
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20th (23) (50/1 +24%) Story Horse |
50/1(+24%) | (23) Story Horse 50/1, Has had a good year, including 2 wins, but he didn't seem to stay when fifth of 11 in the trial over C&D 3 weeks ago. Raised his game over 1m6f but wilted in the closing stages in Cesarewitch Trial over C&D. |
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21st (25) (50/1 +24%) Lady Percival |
50/1(+24%) | (25) Lady Percival 50/1, Four-time Flat winner who has been seen only twice this year, stepping up on her reappearance when fourth of 13 over 2m at Kempton last month. May come on again but she's 4 lb out of the handicap and Premiere Ligne looks the stable number one. 4lb out of handicap; 3lb claimer rides this half-sister to very smart stayer Quickthorn. |
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22nd (17) (80/1 -21%) Shagpyle |
80/1(-21%) | (17) Shagpyle 80/1, Heavily backed prior to doubling tally on first crack at 2m in 6-runner contest at Ffos Las in June. Creditable fifth at Newbury next time but well behind Manxman at Southwell in August and last of 11 in the trial over C&D last time. Major backward steps on last two starts, particularly in the Cesarewitch Trial over C&D. |
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23rd (4) (125/1 -56%) Roberto Escobarr |
125/1(-56%) | (4) Roberto Escobarr 125/1, Smart performer who won a pair of Group 3s last year. Creditable fourth under a big weight in a Newcastle handicap on New Year's Day but he's been well below par since, including in 3 runs for this yard Dual Group 3 winner for other yards last term; 2024 has not gone well. |
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24th (10) (7/1 +50%) Ndaawi |
7/1(+50%) | (10) Ndaawi 7/1, Placed efforts in the Fred Winter and Galway Hurdle show he can mix it in top handicap hurdles and he was also a respectable seventh of 20 in the Ascot Stakes in June in his sole Flat handicap. Same trainer as last year's runner-up Pied Piper. Pretty useful hurdler; no impact on Flat lately, 7th of 20 over 2m4f at Royal Ascot latest. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
A typically open renewal sees the tentative nod going to JACOVEC CAVERN, who ran a good race when beaten just under a length over the extended 2m at Galway in July and he could gain compensation in this valuable prize. Emmet Mullins' charge shaped as though this extra yardage would suit when staying on strongly that day and he could be well treated off just a 3lb higher mark today. Stablemate and last year's winner The Shunter is feared despite running off 5lb higher than 12 months ago, but he may need the run on his first outing since November. Dawn Rising ran with credit in the Irish equivalent of this race last month and he may not be far away, while Willie Mullins' runners are always worth close inspection given his good record in the race and his Sea Of Sands isn't discounted. 2022 winner Run For Oscar completes an extensive shortlist.
JACOVEC CAVERN tops the list after a very promising first run for Emmet Mullins at the Galway Festival. Manxman's claims are also pretty obvious after his defeat of the progressive Warmonger (pair well clear) at Southwell last time. Sea of Sands hasn't been seen on the Flat for over 2 years but a recent hurdle success shows his well-being and his stable's excellent record in this affords him plenty of respect. Premiere Ligne and Irish Cesarewitch third Sixandahalf complete the shortlist.
Sea Of Sands goes for Willie Mullins but Emmet Mullins can strike with JACOVEC CAVERN (nap). Third best is Reverend Hubert.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (7/2 +13%) Choose A Copper |
7/2(+13%) | (7) Choose A Copper 7/2, Had a wind op before signing off for last term with a very good second in 2m4f Perth handicap hurdle in April. Resumes over fences now and one to consider. Runner-up off 1lb lower over hurdles in final run last term; respected on chase debut. |
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2nd (3) (10/1 -25%) Dare To Shout |
10/1(-25%) | (3) Dare To Shout 10/1, A fairly useful winning hurdler here but he ended last season when pulled up at Ayr (21.4f) in April. Goes chasing now after breathing surgery and he's much respected given he has won off a break. Won over hurdles here; had another wind op and needs watching in market on chase debut. |
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3rd (4) (10/1 -300%) Pinot Rouge |
10/1(-300%) | (4) Pinot Rouge 10/1, Successful on sole outing in Irish points and landed a 3m listed hurdle at Doncaster before posting a fine fourth in Grade 1 Sefton Hurdle at Aintree later in spring. Most interesting chasing debutante. Fourth in a Grade 1 on final hurdle run; interesting contender on handicap/chase debut. |
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4th (1) (16/1 -129%) Benson |
16/1(-129%) | (1) Benson 16/1, Gained his sixth win over hurdles at Musselburgh (19.8f) on New Year's Day but he has finished well held on his last 4 starts. Reverts to fences but others are more persuasive. Struggled in last four hurdle runs and has plenty to prove back over fences on return. |
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5th (2) (5/2 +38%) Cannock Park |
5/2(+38%) | (2) Cannock Park 5/2, Point winner who landed a Bangor bumper and Cheltenham maiden hurdle last autumn. Placed twice in Graded novice hurdles subsequently so he can't be discounted starting out over fences here. Bumper and hurdle winner; should have a future over fences and he's respected on return. |
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|F| (5) (14/1 -17%) Rich Spirit |
14/1(-17%) | (5) Rich Spirit 14/1, Has some fairly useful winning hurdles form to his name but pulled up in handicap hurdle at Newcastle (20.3f, heavy) final run last season. Needs to get back on track on his return/fencing bow. Failed to complete in final two runs last season and has something to prove on chase debut. |
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|PU| (6) (5/1 -11%) Bertie's Ballet |
5/1(-11%) | (6) Bertie's Ballet 5/1, Useful dual bumper winner who made up into a useful hurdler last season, scoring at Haydock (2m). Very much one to consider on his first go in this sphere. Generally progressive over hurdles and needs a close look on handicap/chase debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
CANNOCK PARK had a fine novice hurdle campaign last season, twice placed at Graded level, and Paul Robson's gelding is an exciting addition to the chasing ranks. He is fancied to take to this discipline and, having gone well fresh in the past, a bold bid beckons. There are plenty in the way of dangers, however, with Choose A Copper and Bertie's Ballet topping the list. The former won a novice hurdle at this venue on his seasonal debut last year and he is likely to improve for a fence, while Conor O'Farrell's mount also performed to a decent level over the smaller obstacles last term.
Little chasing form to go on but Susan Corbett's point scorer PINOT ROUGE looks the way to go given he signed off over hurdles last term with a cracking fourth in Aintree's Grade 1 Sefton Hurdle. Bertie's Ballet and Choose A Copper both start out over fences too and can have a say given their hurdles form. Cannock Park also brings potential and completes the shortlist.
The vote goes to CHOOSE A COPPER, who was runner-up off a similar mark over hurdles last time and is a half-brother to a useful chaser.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (5/2 -67%) My Mate Alfie |
5/2(-67%) | (1) My Mate Alfie 5/2, Smart gelding. Landed 11-runner Renaissance Stakes (7/2) at the Curragh (6f, good to soft) 13 days ago by ¾ length from Big Gossey, readily. Ought to go close. Has been in excellent form at the Curragh, faces key rematch with Big Gossey and Torivega. |
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2nd (5) (14/1 -56%) Thunderbear |
14/1(-56%) | (5) Thunderbear 14/1, Useful gelding. Good second of 10 in handicap at the Curragh (5f, good to soft, 10/1) 7 days ago. Well in the mix. Appreciated the drop in class when second at the Curragh last week, more on his plate now. |
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3rd (2) (5/1 -43%) Big Gossey |
5/1(-43%) | (2) Big Gossey 5/1, Smart gelding. Latest win at the Curragh in July. Creditable ¾-length second of 11 to My Mate Alfie in Renaissance Stakes (9/1) at the Curragh (6f, good to soft) 13 days ago. Can make presence felt. Second to My Mate Alfie last time, 7lb turnaround in his favour, deserves a stakes win. |
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4th (9) (13/2 +68%) Ojw Legacy |
13/2(+68%) | (9) Ojw Legacy 13/2, Useful filly. Winner at the Curragh in June. Good 4¼ lengths sixth of 14 to Power Under Me in Concorde Stakes at Tipperary (7.4f, soft, 16/1) 6 days ago. Back down in trip. This is no easy ask. Fairly consistent form in Listed races over 7f but not one of the stronger contenders. |
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5th (4) (7/1 -8%) Tango Flare |
7/1(-8%) | (4) Tango Flare 7/1, Useful gelding. Visored for 1st time, creditable 1½ lengths third of 25 to My Mate Alfie in handicap (40/1) at the Curragh (6f, good) 27 days ago. Ought to be thereabouts. Long-priced third behind My Mate Alfie and Torivega in a handicap last time, looks held. |
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6th (6) (3/1 +45%) Torivega |
3/1(+45%) | (6) Torivega 3/1, Useful gelding. Good 1¼ lengths third of 11 to My Mate Alfie in Renaissance Stakes at the Curragh (6f, good to soft, 7/1) 13 days ago, running on. Likely to continue in form. Third behind My Mate Alfie and Big Gossey 13 days ago, should be involved again. |
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7th (7) (18/1 -50%) Twilight Jet |
18/1(-50%) | (7) Twilight Jet 18/1, Useful gelding. C&D winner. 9 lengths ninth of 10 to She's Quality in listed race at Tipperary (5f, good, 7/1) 41 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Second over 5f at this venue in May, well below that standard since, hard to fancy. |
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8th (3) (10/1 +50%) Shandy |
10/1(+50%) | (3) Shandy 10/1, Useful filly. C&D winner. Latest win here in August. 25/1, 2½ lengths sixth of 9 to Oujda in listed race at the Curragh (6f, good to soft) 7 days ago. More is needed. Won Group 3 Ballyogan Stakes over C&D in August, raced too keenly at the Curragh last week. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Progressive three-year-old MY MATE ALFIE might be able to give weight away. The Ger Lyons-trained gelding showed that he was capable of doing so when running out an impressive winner of the Bold Lad on his penultimate start. Back in Group company last time, he continued his improvement when following up at the Curragh. As the one potential top flight sprinter in this, it would be no surprise to see him complete the hat-trick. Torivega needs everything to fall right but the Sheila Lavery-trained four-year-old undoubtedly has the ability to be competitive. Billy Lee takes over in the saddle for the first time here. Big Gossey seldom runs a bad race but tends to reserve his best for the Curragh.
A competitive event but MY MATE ALFIE looks the way to go on the back of his stylish Curragh success last time out. Big Gossey chased home Ger Lyons' smart gelding there and heads the list of dangers again, with Thunderbear and Torivega also firmly in the picture in this intriguing listed event.
With a 7lb turnaround in the weights, BIG GOSSEY may reverse recent Curragh form with the progressive My Mate Alfie
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (2/1 +11%) Almeric |
2/1(+11%) | (1) Almeric 2/1, Study of Man colt. Half-brother to numerous winners, including winner up to 1¼m Alla Speranza, 11f winner Altesse and 1¼m-1¾m winner Alcaeus, all useful. Dam 1m-10.5f winner. Promising fourth of 11 in maiden at Sandown (8f, good, 17/2) on debut 24 days ago, finishing with running left. Will improve. Encouraging fourth at Sandown, finishing with purpose after slow start; leading contender. |
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2nd (7) (11/8 +8%) Ride The Thunder |
11/8(+8%) | (7) Ride The Thunder 11/8, 400,000 gns yearling, Night of Thunder colt who did best of the newcomers when second in Doncaster novice and stepped up on that when just edged out in maiden there 4 weeks ago. Sets the standard. Failed by only a nose to get off the mark at Doncaster; looks a winner waiting to happen. |
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3rd (4) (9/1 +0%) Magellan Cloud |
9/1(+0%) | (4) Magellan Cloud 9/1, 10,000 gns yearling, €95,000 2-y-o, Mohaather colt. Half-brother to 1¼m winner Idyllic. Dam 8.3f winner out of smart winner up to 7f (2-y-o 6f winner) Tropical Paradise. Fourth of 9 in novice (20/1) at Ayr (7.2f, good to firm), doing best of the newcomers despite meeting trouble. Will improve. Didn't get rub of the green when fourth of nine at Ayr; improvement required but possible. |
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4th (2) (9/1 -13%) Bryant |
9/1(-13%) | (2) Bryant 9/1, Foaled March 20. 220,000 gns yearling, Wootton Bassett colt. Half-brother to 1m winner Evergreen. Dam, winner up to 1m (2-y-o 7f winner) who stayed 1¼m, half-sister to useful 1m-11f winner Ceisteach. 220,000gns yearling; stable's 2yos operating at 19% this season; well worth a market check. |
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5th (6) (40/1 -186%) Raulin |
40/1(-186%) | (6) Raulin 40/1, 150,000 gns yearling, Mehmas colt. Dam lightly-raced half-sister to very smart 1m/9f winner Gm Hopkins out of useful 1¼m/10.7f winner Varsity. 5/1, offered something to work on when third of 6 in maiden at Hamilton (8.3f, heavy) on debut 50 days ago, slowly away. Should improve. Showed something to build on when third at Hamilton; should do better. |
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6th (3) (13/2 +19%) Distant Memory |
13/2(+19%) | (3) Distant Memory 13/2, 52,000 gns yearling, Sottsass colt. Half-brother to several winners, including 2-y-o 1m winner Brutal and 9.5f-11f winner God of Fire, both useful. 11/1, fared best of newcomers when third of 12 in novice at Bath (8f, soft) 11 days ago, meeting trouble. Will improve. Pleasing debut when 6l third of 12 at Bath; likely to progress and has to be considered. |
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7th (8) (80/1 -60%) Seed Investor |
80/1(-60%) | (8) Seed Investor 80/1, €40,000 yearling, resold £1,000 yearling (private), Coulsty colt. Closely related to French winner up to 8.5f Reconnect. Dam 2-y-o 5.5f winner. 28/1, seventh of 18 in novice at this course (7f, good to firm) on debut 78 days ago, slowly away. Made only a short-lived forward move when seventh of 18 here on debut; has been gelded. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
RIDE THE THUNDER has finished second to a couple of promising types in two starts so far and sets a decent standard for the rest to aim at. A 400,000gns purchase as a yearling, the selection is a half-brother to a couple of winning milers and boasts solid credentials for a race of this nature. Almeric made an encouraging start at Sandown last month and is another to consider. Heed the betting market signals where notable debutants Bryant and Nordic Norm are concerned.
RIDE THE THUNDER ran to a level good enough to win most maidens when just edged out at Doncaster last month and can make amends at the main expense of Almeric, who made an eye-catching debut at Sandown. Distant Memory also offered plenty to work on at Bath and is best of the others.
Almeric shaped well on debut but RIDE THE THUNDER sets the standard after two promising runs at Doncaster and can get off the mark.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (10) (6/1 -50%) Grandeur D'ame |
6/1(-50%) | (10) Grandeur D'ame 6/1, Resumed his progress, after 6 months off, with a wide-margin success at Wetherby (19.4f) in November. Couldn't really build on that, however, and reappears 7 lb above his last winning mark. Up and down last season but it started well and he appeals as a chaser with more to offer. |
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2nd (2) (8/1 -45%) Ga Law |
8/1(-45%) | (2) Ga Law 8/1, Won last season's Paddy Power at Cheltenham and bagged another big middle-distance handicap at that track earlier this year. Matched best form when second in Oaksey Chase (22.8f) at Sandown on final start of campaign and is not taken lightly on return. Back to his best earlier this year and can go well fresh; drying ground would be a plus. |
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3rd (8) (11/4 +17%) The King Of Ryhope |
11/4(+17%) | (8) The King Of Ryhope 11/4, Low-mileage 8-y-o who made a winning return/handicap chase debut over C&D 12 months ago. Failed to add to that success in 4 subsequent outings but has likely been aimed at this by his shrewd yard and must enter calculations. Pleasing first season over fences and remains a handicapper capable of better again. |
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4th (7) (15/2 +17%) Saint Segal |
15/2(+17%) | (7) Saint Segal 15/2, Won twice (including at this course) in 2022/23 and acquitted himself well in defeat early last season, looking the likely winner when coming down late on at Ascot in November. Form tailed off in latter part of campaign but no surprise to see him play a part first time up here. Had wind operation. Very capable but best form is over shorter and he doesn't always find much for pressure. |
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5th (6) (7/2 +30%) Il Ridoto |
7/2(+30%) | (6) Il Ridoto 7/2, Likeable sort who made the frame in a trio of competitive Cheltenham handicaps on his first 3 outings last season. Not in same form thereafter but has had a wind operation since his last start and looks nicely treated on his return to the track. Returns on a dangerous mark and has run well after a wind operation in the past. |
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6th (9) (11/1 +67%) La Domaniale |
11/1(+67%) | (9) La Domaniale 11/1, Four-time winner over fences who produced somewhere near her best form when second of 5 in handicap chase (9/1) at Stratford (19.4f, good) 46 days ago. This looks tougher, though, and others are more appealing. Will need a career best to win this and good ground is ideal for her. |
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7th (4) (50/1 -150%) Flegmatik |
50/1(-150%) | (4) Flegmatik 50/1, Ended a near 2-year losing run when scoring at Kempton (24f) in January and took his form up a notch when an excellent runner-up there (20.5f) in March. However, looks on a stiff mark and appears to be the yard's second string based on jockey bookings. Goes particularly well at Kempton; lost his way back in the spring. |
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8th (5) (10/1 +0%) Homme Public |
10/1(+0%) | (5) Homme Public 10/1, Multiple winner over hurdles who found improvement switched to the larger obstacles last term, scoring 3 times. Can go well fresh and reappears just 1 lb above his last winning mark so warrants respect. On a perfectly reasonable mark should he return well and refreshed. |
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9th (1) (80/1 -400%) Editeur Du Gite |
80/1(-400%) | (1) Editeur Du Gite 80/1, Bold-jumping front runner who landed the Desert Orchid at Kempton for the second year running in December but no form otherwise last season, and disappointed when last seen in Kempton handicap in May. Classy on his day and dangerous if he can find some rhythm in front. |
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10th (3) (6/1 -20%) Jetoile |
6/1(-20%) | (3) Jetoile 6/1, Won twice over C&D in spring of 2023 and made a winning return in Old Roan Chase at Aintree this time last year. Back to best when fourth in big-field handicap at Punchestown (20.4f) in May and must be taken seriously first time up here. Won the Old Roan Chase at Aintree (2m4f) and he's only 1lb higher than that day. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
A lot more was expected of The King Of Ryhope when he could only manage eighth at Aintree in April, but there is every possibility he could be seen in a different light on his return from a break. Even so, GA LAW looks the way to go. Jamie Snowden's eight-year-old filled the runner-up spot in the Oaksey Chase at Sandown when last seen and he might be able to regain the winning thread back in a handicap. La Domaniale is another to keep an eye on.
IL RIDOTO acquitted himself really well in the early part of last season and looks nicely handicapped on the pick of his form. He can make a winning return. The KIng of Ryhope scored first time up here last term and is feared most, whilst Jetoile and GA Law are also much respected.
A good-quality and competitive handicap. THE KING OF RYHOPE appeals as one with more to offer and might be on a kinder mark than some.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (25/1 0%) Cleopatra's Needle |
25/1(0%) | (5) Cleopatra's Needle 25/1, Thrice-raced maiden over hurdles. Fair winner at 10f on Flat. Last of 6 in minor event at Laytown (7f, 50/1) 26 days ago. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Capable of better in this sphere. Handicap hurdle debutante, ordinary efforts in maidens, best watched unless money comes. |
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2nd (11) (12/1 +52%) Romella |
12/1(+52%) | (11) Romella 12/1, Eighteen runs since last win in 2021. Respectable sixth of 16 in handicap hurdle (18/1) at Clonmel (19.9f, good) 9 days ago, unable to sustain effort. No win over hurdles since 2021, well-handicapped on old form but others look more likely. |
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3rd (9) (8/1 +33%) Papa Barns |
8/1(+33%) | (9) Papa Barns 8/1, Unreliable sort. Thirteenth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Killarney (20.4f, good, 8/1) 86 days ago. Back down in trip. Third over C&D at this meeting last year, good effort at Punchestown in June, interesting. |
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4th (2) (4/1 +60%) Breagagh |
4/1(+60%) | (2) Breagagh 4/1, Remains a maiden after 20 NH runs. Seventeenth of 22 in handicap (40/1) at Navan (14f, good) 44 days ago. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Good on last hurdle run. Not ruled out. Engaged 3.20 Downpatrick Friday. Dual-purpose maiden, went close last start over timber, declared at Downpatrick on Friday. |
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5th (6) (8/1 -23%) Moulane West |
8/1(-23%) | (6) Moulane West 8/1, One win from 29 NH runs. Respectable fourth of 16 in handicap hurdle (17/2) at Roscommon (15.6f, soft) 12 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Not dismissed. 0-24 over hurdles, placed in four of last six runs, place claims in first-time cheekpieces. |
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6th (1) (9/4 -20%) Ragmans Corner |
9/4(-20%) | (1) Ragmans Corner 9/4, Career best when winning 12-runner handicap hurdle at Galway (16.6f, good to soft, 11/4) 4 days ago. Worthy of respect under the penalty. Carries a 7lb penalty for Galway win, could be more to come from the locally trained 5yo. |
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7th (3) (5/1 +0%) Flashthelights |
5/1(+0%) | (3) Flashthelights 5/1, 2 wins from 5 runs this season. Career best when winning 13-runner handicap hurdle at Wexford (16.7f, good to soft, 13/2) 66 days ago, suited by strong pace. Considered. Up 5lb for Wexford win on latest, trip and ground fine, should go well again. |
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8th (8) (16/1 +20%) Blackstone Cliff |
16/1(+20%) | (8) Blackstone Cliff 16/1, Fell in handicap hurdle at Tramore (16.6f, good to soft, 10/1) 55 days ago. Others more persuasive. Promise at Wexford on penultimate, fell on latest, place claims if jumping improves. |
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9th (4) (9/1 +44%) Blackcastle Storm |
9/1(+44%) | (4) Blackcastle Storm 9/1, Lightly-raced maiden over hurdles. 16/1, bit below form eighth of 15 in handicap at Gowran (8f, good to soft) 39 days ago, hampered. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Back down in trip. 0-5 over hurdles, no promise in four maidens and a handicap, can only watch down in trip. |
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10th (12) (150/1 0%) Kp's Ladyofknock |
150/1(0%) | (12) Kp's Ladyofknock 150/1, Thirteenth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Gowran (16f, good to soft, 125/1) 8 days ago. Others preferred. Huge odds and well-beaten all six starts; hard to make a case for on all known form. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
RAGMANS CORNER has been favourite for his last three starts and made the breakthrough when getting up late to score on good ground at Galway on Tuesday. The Kalanisi gelding, raised 6lb in future handicaps, is just 1lb wrong under his mandatory penalty and can follow up with underfoot conditions likely to be similar. Flashthelights also appreciates good ground and made it two wins from his last four starts at Wexford in August. He is likely to be competitive again off a 5lb higher mark. Dream Escape was well supported when showing improvement at Gowran Park last time, while Cleopatra's Needle, in good form on the Flat earlier this year, could be on a nice mark on her handicap debut.
DREAM ESCAPE is unexposed and, having attracted support, put up a better effort at Gowran last time, so he could step up again and get off the mark at the possible expense of Ragmans Corner, who faces a quick turnaround on the back of his Galway success this week. Flasthelights is another one to consider.
A chance is taken on PAPA BARNS. He was third at this meeting last year, he has run well fresh before and he shaped well at Punchestown
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (5/4 -37%) Antonin Dvorak |
5/4(-37%) | (2) Antonin Dvorak 5/4, Promising sort who built on debut form when taking 7-runner maiden (11/8) at Musselburgh (7.1f, good to firm) 28 days ago. Likely more to come yet. Both starts at Musselburgh; made all for comfortable win latest; major contender. |
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2nd (1) (5/4 +50%) Gilet |
5/4(+50%) | (1) Gilet 5/4, Off the mark at Lingfield (6f) last month and improved on that form when very good second of 14 in nursery at Newbury (7f, good to soft, 18/1) 22 days ago. Likely contender. Took well to cheekpieces last month and warrants respect in the retained headgear. |
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3rd (6) (11/2 +31%) Master Technician |
11/2(+31%) | (6) Master Technician 11/2, Posted fair form in both starts thus far, latest when second of 10 in maiden at Bath (8f, good, 9/2) 28 days ago. Should go well again. Close second at Bath on latest turf outing; possibilities provided he takes to AW. |
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4th (11) (66/1 -560%) Oasis Sunrise |
66/1(-560%) | (11) Oasis Sunrise 66/1, Fair filly. 15/2, last of 5 in nursery at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 21 days ago. Back down in trip. Claims on best form. Five-race maiden who has mixed RPRs; not a solid option. |
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5th (10) (150/1 -50%) Appleblossomwhite |
150/1(-50%) | (10) Appleblossomwhite 150/1, Once-raced maiden. Tenth of 13 in novice at this C&D (100/1) on debut 14 days ago. Up against it. Always behind in C&D event two weeks ago. |
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6th (8) (150/1 -50%) Currahee |
150/1(-50%) | (8) Currahee 150/1, Once-raced maiden. Ninth of 13 in novice (40/1) at this C&D on debut 14 days ago. Work to do. Down the field in C&D contest two weeks ago; others preferred. |
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7th (7) (22/1 +56%) Rock Master |
22/1(+56%) | (7) Rock Master 22/1, Once-raced maiden. 20/1, seventh of 11 in novice at Lingfield (5f, good to firm) on debut 80 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Improvement required. Absent since modest effort over 5f in July; may do better upped in trip. |
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8th (9) (125/1 -89%) Squires Treaty |
125/1(-89%) | (9) Squires Treaty 125/1, Foaled February 13. 2,000 gns 2-y-o, Shaman gelding. Dam maiden (stayed 6f), half-sister to smart winner up to 1m Skardu. 2,000gns 2yo; by Shaman; stable is 1-12 with 2yos this year. |
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9th (3) (80/1 -60%) Analogical |
80/1(-60%) | (3) Analogical 80/1, Once-raced maiden. Seventh of 11 in novice at Redcar (7f, good to soft, 100/1) on debut 7 days ago. Likely a longer-term prospect. Modest seventh at Redcar last Saturday; one for handicaps later on. |
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10th (12) (22/1 -389%) Welsh Fizz |
22/1(-389%) | (12) Welsh Fizz 22/1, Foaled March 15. Cable Bay filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 7.4f winner Great Havana. Dam 1m/8.5f winner. Interesting newcomer. Cable Bay half-sister to a 2yo winner; respected yard; the pick of the newcomers. |
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11th (4) (40/1 -21%) Aurelius Maximus |
40/1(-21%) | (4) Aurelius Maximus 40/1, Foaled March 24. €42,000 yearling, Circus Maximus gelding. Closely related to 1¼m winner Unavoidable. Market check advised on debut. 42,000euros yearling; yard won this race last year, albeit with an experienced horse. |
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12th (5) (80/1 -100%) Dovey Moon |
80/1(-100%) | (5) Dovey Moon 80/1, Foaled March 24. Massaat gelding. Half-brother to 7f/1m winner Rusalka and winner up to 6f Blue Moonrise. Massaat half-brother to two winners; probably best watched on debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Runner-up on his debut in August, ANTONIN DVORAK made no mistake when going one place better at the expense of a subsequent winner over 7f at Musselburgh last month. With further improvement forecast, he gets the vote to land the spoils for the in-form Karl Burke team. Master Technician was a fine second over a mile at Bath recently and he can emerge as the main danger to the selection, while Gilet has been running consistently well of late and shouldn't be underestimated.
This can go to ANTONIN DVORAK, who was an emphatic winner at Musselburgh last month and remains with potential. Gilet and Master Technician look the likeliest dangers.
As regards the runners who already have AW form, GILET holds particularly strong claims. Antonin Dvorak is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (12/1 +0%) Hyperchromatic |
12/1(+0%) | (9) Hyperchromatic 12/1, Advanced his form when getting off the mark in 13-runner novice at Chelmsford City (7f) 14 days ago. Much respected on his handicap bow. AW success last time; something to prove off his opening mark back on turf. |
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2nd (4) (11/4 +17%) Olympus Point |
11/4(+17%) | (4) Olympus Point 11/4, Took a step forward when opening his account in 7-runner nursery here (8f, heavy) 16 days ago. Ought to be thereaouts despite taking a 9 lb weights hike. Ready success in similar event here last month; the type to improve further in handicaps. |
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3rd (1) (11/4 +8%) Attack |
11/4(+8%) | (1) Attack 11/4, €460,000 Wootton Bassett colt who built on earlier promise to land the odds in 10-runner maiden at Epsom (7f, good) 86 days ago by 1½ lengths from Spell Master. More to offer now handicapping. Big player. Absent since winning from Spell Master in Epsom maiden in July; open to further progress. |
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4th (3) (9/2 +0%) Spell Master |
9/2(+0%) | (3) Spell Master 9/2, Got off the mark at Goodwood in August and has continued on the up in nurseries, cheekpieces on when second of 6 at Doncaster (7f, good) 30 days ago. Blinkers tried now and he merits consideration. Went close in first-time cheekpieces at Doncaster most recently; now wears blinkers. |
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5th (8) (15/2 +63%) Aegean Sea |
15/2(+63%) | (8) Aegean Sea 15/2, Made a promising start when third in 7f Sandown novice in June but has failed to kick on and cheekpieces tried when 12th in 7f Newbury nursery 22 days ago. Has something to prove with blinkers now reached for. Chance partly depends on how well he responds to a headgear switch (to blinkers). |
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6th (11) (22/1 -175%) Matharu |
22/1(-175%) | (11) Matharu 22/1, On the up since switched to handicaps/equipped with blinkers, going in at Kempton (7f) in August and an excellent second of 9 at Chelmsford City (7f) last time. One to consider. Solid record in AW nurseries; something to prove off new mark in this better grade. |
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7th (7) (40/1 -21%) Siegen |
40/1(-21%) | (7) Siegen 40/1, Got off the mark at Sandown (5f) in June but not so good since, a below-form fourth of 13 in novice at Windsor (6f, soft) 49 days ago. Not easy to make a case for. Has failed to build on 5f win; doesn't shape as if he's crying out for this new trip. |
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8th (10) (6/1 +25%) Magic Love |
6/1(+25%) | (10) Magic Love 6/1, Much improved of late since sent handicapping, scoring at Thirsk (6f) before a very good second of 9 in C&D nursery 14 days ago. Up 3 lb but she can go well again. Has improved for the switch to nurseries, winning at Thirsk then second over C&D. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Seven runnings of this race have seen seven different successful trainers, although William Buick has won it twice and he has every chance again on board OLYMPUS POINT, who won easily here off 9lb lower last month. Clear at the furlong pole that day, the drop back in trip should not be an issue and he might well follow up. Huscal looks the sort to stay ahead of the handicapper after winning narrowly at Thirsk last month and he could be a bigger danger than Hyperchromatic, who is an unknown quantity on this ground.
A highly competitive event but the Gosdens' progressive Wootton Bassett colt ATTACK looks to have got in lightly for his nursery debut on the back of his Epsom maiden victory and gets the vote. Andrew Balding's Spell Master brings some very solid handicap form to the table and heads the list of dangers, although the improving pair Huscal and Magic Love both enter calculations too. Course-winner Olympus Point completes the shortlist.
Well-bred OLYMPUS POINT could well defy a 9lb rise for his course success. Magic Love is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (9/2 +55%) Shoeshine Boy |
9/2(+55%) | (8) Shoeshine Boy 9/2, Tongue tied and got off the mark for the season in 13-runner handicap at Ayr in February. Followed up from a 3 lb higher mark at Kelso and remained in form since. Might need this return, though. On a fair mark and pushed Our Sam close in this 12 months ago on reappearance. |
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2nd (1) (8/1 -167%) Dinons |
8/1(-167%) | (1) Dinons 8/1, C&D winner. Going the right way and improved again to win 9-runner handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (23.3f, good to firm, 14/1) 76 days ago, driven clear. Definite player. Pulled up over fences but has won both handicap hurdles since returning from an absence. |
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3rd (2) (5/2 +29%) Supremely West |
5/2(+29%) | (2) Supremely West 5/2, Most progessive last term, scoring at Carlisle and Sedgefield and blinkered when a fine second of 17 in handicap at Uttoxeter final run. Merits plenty of respect on return from 7 months off. 5-10 under rules and very consistent; up the weights but rates a solid contender. |
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4th (4) (18/1 -157%) Velasco |
18/1(-157%) | (4) Velasco 18/1, Thrived towards the end of last season, winning three of her last four outings. Returns on a tough mark as a result and is likely to need it after 6 months off. Progressing but he's 6lb higher than at Musselburgh and they also claimed 5lb then. |
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5th (5) (3/1 +40%) Kandor |
3/1(+40%) | (5) Kandor 3/1, Successful Irish pointer who left his hurdling debut form well behind when winning 12-runner novice hurdle at Perth (20.2f, good, 9/1) in July. Acquitted himself well under a penalty at Kelso last time and is one to note on handicap bow. Improving novice who bumped into a useful one last time; up in trip for handicap debut. |
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6th (3) (20/1 +20%) Aramax |
20/1(+20%) | (3) Aramax 20/1, Dual winner last season who didn't appear to relish the emphasis on speed wehn seventh at Kelso last time. May be closer to form here. On a good mark again but has to leave his recent form behind. |
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|F| (6) (6/1 +57%) Our Sam |
6/1(+57%) | (6) Our Sam 6/1, Bagged a hat-trick of victories last summer but hasn't been in top form so far this term. C&D winner who is becoming well treated. Won this last year off 1lb higher but below his best so far in 2024; has a bit to prove. |
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|U| (9) (11/1 +45%) Half Track |
11/1(+45%) | (9) Half Track 11/1, Out of form when last seen 22 months ago and has plenty to prove on return. Didn't take to fences and beaten 16l on return to hurdling; absent since late 2022. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
SUPREMELY WEST progressed throughout last season, finishing off with a fine second behind subsequent Grade 3 scorer Gwennie May Boy at Uttoxeter in March, and he looks the one to beat on his return to action. Veteran performer Dinons has won his last couple of hurdle appearances, including a 10-length victory over C&D in June, and he must enter calculations. Handicap debutant Kandor has the advantage of a recent run and could be dangerous.
SKYJACK HIJACK is improving now and won with some authority at Perth last time, so he takes preference over Supremely West and Dinons, who were also going the right way when last seen.
Open. KANDOR has to be of interest on his handicap debut and there's good reason to believe that he'll stay this longer trip.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (11/4 +45%) Heavenly Power |
11/4(+45%) | (2) Heavenly Power 11/4, Latest win at the Curragh in August. Respectable tenth of 25 back there (6f, good, 14/1) since. Enters the reckoning with Bily Lee taking the reins. Better than bare result when tenth in the Bold Lad Sprint at the Curragh latest; claims. |
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2nd (12) (14/1 +65%) Moltophino |
14/1(+65%) | (12) Moltophino 14/1, 11/1, ninth of 12 in handicap at Cork (8f, good to soft) 11 days ago, slowly away. Back down in trip. Visor back on. Others more persuasive. Didn't see out 1m at Cork latest; overall profile suggest others have more pressing claims. |
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3rd (3) (10/1 -200%) Apache Outlaw |
10/1(-200%) | (3) Apache Outlaw 10/1, Won 10-runner handicap (11/2) at the Curragh (5f, good to soft) 7 days ago, always holding on. Respected. The 5lb rise makes life tougher but he's entitled to run his race again up in trip. |
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4th (14) (40/1 -150%) Rathbranchurch |
40/1(-150%) | (14) Rathbranchurch 40/1, Respectable third of 7 in handicap (7/2) at Bellewstown (5f, soft) 10 days ago. Record of 2-35; hardy sort; in fine fettle at present but others better treated. |
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5th (9) (7/1 +13%) Jon Riggens |
7/1(+13%) | (9) Jon Riggens 7/1, Twenty first of 25 in handicap (12/1) at the Curragh (6f, good) 27 days ago but had been shaping up well prior to that. Cheekpieces back on. Poor in the Bold Lad Sprint last month; form figures 32324 here so might hit the frame. |
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6th (1) (10/1 -25%) Stag Night |
10/1(-25%) | (1) Stag Night 10/1, Won this race last year. Latest win at Cork in March. Below form sixth of 10 in handicap (7/1) at the Curragh (5f, good to firm) 63 days ago but given a chance by the handicapper (now 2 lb lower than when beaten a neck at Naas in April). Could make a bold bid to defend his crown. Won this race last year in the mud from a 15lb lower mark; would want rain. |
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7th (10) (14/1 -155%) Collective Power |
14/1(-155%) | (10) Collective Power 14/1, 16/5, good second of 13 in handicap at Dundalk (6f) 15 days ago, clear of rest. Merits consideration under Colin Keane. Second over C&D in August off 1lb lower and Colin Keane takes over; player. |
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8th (8) (12/1 -50%) Staysound Susie |
12/1(-50%) | (8) Staysound Susie 12/1, 2 wins from 6 runs this year. Career best when winning 5-runner handicap (5/2) at Cork (6f, soft) 11 days ago, plenty in hand. Can give another good account. She bolted up over this trip at Cork latest; could still be ahead of the handicapper. |
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9th (5) (28/1 -100%) Physique |
28/1(-100%) | (5) Physique 28/1, Latest win at Galway in August. 25/1, last of 17 in handicap at Leopardstown (7f, good) 28 days ago, doing too much too soon. Something to find on form. Won at Galway on heavy; needs rain and will get hassled for the lead; passed over. |
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10th (7) (12/1 +25%) Laugh A Minute |
12/1(+25%) | (7) Laugh A Minute 12/1, C&D winner. Twelfth of 15 in handicap at the Curragh (5f, good to soft, 16/1) 14 days ago, merely closing up late. C&D winner; best form with ease in the ground so a drying track is a concern. |
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11th (11) (7/1 +50%) Universally |
7/1(+50%) | (11) Universally 7/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in July. 80/1, bit below form sixteenth of 25 in handicap at the Curragh (6f, good) 27 days ago. Blinkers back on. Has work to do. No show in the Bold Lad Sprint when 5lb wrong but could be a player back on these terms. |
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12th (6) (16/1 -78%) Transcendental |
16/1(-78%) | (6) Transcendental 16/1, Latest win at Navan in August. Bit below form eighth of 15 in handicap at the Curragh (5f, good to soft, 10/1) 14 days ago. Trainer going well. Below best at the Curragh latest but step back up in trip should be a help. |
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13th (13) (16/1 +36%) Nouvel Espoir |
16/1(+36%) | (13) Nouvel Espoir 16/1, Latest win at Tipperary in August. 25/1, below form ninth of 15 in handicap at the Curragh (5f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Won at Tipperary in August before third to an improver at Navan; unproven over this trip. |
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14th (4) (10/1 +50%) Mehmar |
10/1(+50%) | (4) Mehmar 10/1, C&D winner. 12/1 and blinkered for 1st time, eleventh of 15 in handicap at the Curragh (5f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Needs a couple of these to falter. Disappointing lately at Curragh; better ground will suit as will return to this track. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
STAYSOUND SUSIE won in good style over this trip at Cork and is less exposed than her rivals. Andy Slattery's three-year-old has a preference for soft ground but performed well on a sound surface when second over C&D in July and may have more to offer after a relatively light campaign. Apache Outlaw comes here on the back of a win over 5f at the Curragh but the best of his form prior to that had been over this trip. Stag Night was well handicapped when landing last year's renewal and faces a stiffer task off top weight while Heavenly Power, not beaten far in a premier handicap last time, may fare best of Eddie Lynam's three runners.
Perhaps STAG NIGHT can land this quite useful sprint handicap for a second year running. Edward Lynam pair Collective Power and Heavenly Power head the dangers along with last weekend's Curragh scorer Apache Outlaw.
A case can be made for many of these but STAYSOUND SUSIE can follow up her impressive Cork victory for the Slatterys
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (10) (11/1 -22%) Gibside |
11/1(-22%) | (10) Gibside 11/1, Showed benefit of reappearance when off the mark for the season at Catterick (13.9f) in June. Model of consistency in defeat subsequently, second of 9 in handicap at Redcar (14f, good to soft) 7 days ago. This test probably at the limit of his stamina, however. Running creditably but has had only one go at 2m (last September) and did not persuade. |
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2nd (4) (11/2 +8%) Arrange |
11/2(+8%) | (4) Arrange 11/2, Registered back-to-back victories prior to posting an excellent second in this race 12 months ago and come to the boil of late, holding on gamely to resume winning ways at Haydock (16.2f) in August. Player nudged up 3 lb. Close second in this race (soft) off 1lb lower and should be primed for another bold show. |
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3rd (3) (50/1 -213%) Torcello |
50/1(-213%) | (3) Torcello 50/1, Made a winning return from 5 months off in small field at Pontefract (12f, heavy) in April prior to a good third at Thirsk later that month. Seemingly amiss when well held at Salisbury (14.2f, heavy) a month later and likely he'll face competition for the lead back from a break. Absent since May; a renowned mud lover but with something to prove over this far.. |
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4th (5) (5/1 +0%) Robert Johnson |
5/1(+0%) | (5) Robert Johnson 5/1, C&D winner. Bounced back to form when runner-up at Musselburgh (18f) and used that as a springboard to land Cesarewitch trial (18f) at Newmarket 21 days ago, asserting close home. Not dismissed up 4 lb in present groove. Better than ever when winning the Cesarewitch Trial at Newmarket and should have a big say. |
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5th (6) (16/1 -14%) Zimmerman |
16/1(-14%) | (6) Zimmerman 16/1, Capitalised on a reduced mark over C&D in July but ran below form both outings since, well-beaten fourth behind re-opposing Merrijig in handicap (13/2) at Ripon (16f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Won over C&D (good to soft) this July; needs to bounce back from two heavy defeats. |
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6th (8) (11/4 +21%) Merrijig |
11/4(+21%) | (8) Merrijig 11/4, Resumed winning ways at Carlisle (17.2f) in August and, up 3 lb, she was a runaway winner under this pilot at Ripon (2m) 2 weeks ago, leading under 3 out and drawing clear to score by 10 lengths. This tougher but likely good pace will help and respected from revised mark. On a hat-trick after Carlisle (2m1f, good) and Ripon (2m, soft; streaked 10l clear). |
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7th (7) (7/2 +13%) Surrey Belle |
7/2(+13%) | (7) Surrey Belle 7/2, Remains pretty low mileage as a stayer and she proved most determined on the front end when adding to her tally in 6-runner handicap at Haydock (14f, heavy) 2 weeks ago. Conditions fine and she's in the mix again from 3 lb higher mark. Won from the front at Kempton (2m, AW) in July and Haydock (1m6f, heavy) 15 days ago. |
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8th (11) (14/1 +0%) Corsican Caper |
14/1(+0%) | (11) Corsican Caper 14/1, Proved better than ever, back with former trainer, when winning Chester handicap (15.9f) last month and backed that up with creditable fifth of 13 at same course (14.4f, soft) 11 days ago, not helping his cause by blowing the start. This a deeper race but he's evidently still at the top of his game. 2lb out of the handicap but the return to 2m in the mud offers possibilities. |
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9th (9) (16/1 +20%) Yorkindness |
16/1(+20%) | (9) Yorkindness 16/1, C&D winner who was prolific in small fields during 2023, bringing up her fifth success of the campaign at Musselburgh (2m) 13 months ago. Winless to date this season but her mark has fallen appreciably and her latest run is easily overlooked. Better showing anticipated. 0-10 this season, nearly winning one in August but beaten over 20l on last two outings. |
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10th (1) (14/1 -40%) Emiyn |
14/1(-40%) | (1) Emiyn 14/1, Likeable sort who ran a cracker equipped with a visor when second in Chester Cup back in May. Unable to adopt customary forcing tactics after blowing start when sixth of 11 in handicap back there (15.9f) 4 weeks ago but the visor goes back on now. Better anticipated. Blew it badly at the start four weeks ago after nearly four months off; visor back. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
The penny looks to have dropped for MERRIJIG on his last couple of starts. He appeared to have plenty in hand when running out a 10-length winner over 2m at Ripon last month and a 7lb rise may well underestimate this progressive stayer. Arrange narrowly got the better of a subsequent winner over 2m at Haydock latest and she is of interest, while Emiyn wasn't seen to best effect when sixth at Chester last time but could land a blow with his sights lowered.
It's not easy to quantify quite what MERRIJIG achieved when accounting for some below-par rivals at Ripon 2 weeks ago but he's still worth crediting with a career-best effort and, with the likelihood of a good pace to aim at, John Berry's charge could be worth chancing to complete the hat-trick from his revised mark. Fellow recent winner Arrange, who finished runner-up in this 12 months ago, is another of interest along with Haydock-scorer Surrey Belle.
Robert Johnson, Surrey Belle and Merrijig are shortlisted but ARRANGE may be able to go one better than in this last year.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (11) (8/1 +60%) Neon Moon |
8/1(+60%) | (11) Neon Moon 8/1, Strong traveller who returned better than ever to open his account over fences at Ludlow in October and got back to winning ways at Newbury (23.4f) in March. However, well held at Kempton when last seen in May and has plenty on his plate from 4 lb out of the handicap. Won twice last season but is not very reliable; 4lb wrong here; others preferred. |
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2nd (10) (10/1 +29%) Pull Again Green |
10/1(+29%) | (10) Pull Again Green 10/1, Returned to form in recent starts, latest when good third of 7 in handicap chase at Warwick (25.4f, good) 18 days ago, finishing with running left. Takes on stronger company here but should give another good account. 1 lb out of the weights. Has twice run well to finish third in recent weeks; might have a fitness edge over some. |
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3rd (8) (9/1 -50%) Manothepeople |
9/1(-50%) | (8) Manothepeople 9/1, C&D winner who posted a personal best when landing 14-runner handicap chase at Cheltenham (26f, good) in April. Can go well fresh and is one for shortlist. Ended last season in prime form, scoring under very positive ride at Cheltenham; up 7lb. |
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4th (6) (12/1 -71%) Ballygrifincottage |
12/1(-71%) | (6) Ballygrifincottage 12/1, Produced his best effort for a while when runner-up in Sandown handicap in March and ran to a similar level when seventh of 26 in Scottish Grand National next time. Only collared late on at Uttoxeter (24f) when last seen in May and returns off a workable mark. Ran well at Uttoxter in May and has possibilities if ready to roll after break. |
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5th (9) (9/2 -80%) Twinjets |
9/2(-80%) | (9) Twinjets 9/2, Multiple bumper/hurdles winner who found improvement when making a successful debut for Paul Nicholls over fences at Doncaster (24f) in December. Not in same form there a fortnight later but is in good hands and likely has more to offer this season. Off since odds-on flop last December but won comfortably on stable deut two runs ago. |
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6th (3) (16/1 -33%) Kitty's Light |
16/1(-33%) | (3) Kitty's Light 16/1, Had a terrific 2022/23, landing Eider Chase, Scottish National and Bet365 Gold Cup and ran right up to best when fifth in Grand National earlier this year. May find this trip on the sharp side first time up here, though. Very creditable fifth in Grand National in April; that race is his main target this season. |
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|PU| (2) (3/1 +60%) Stolen Silver |
3/1(+60%) | (2) Stolen Silver 3/1, Firmly back on track when making winning return (off 4 lb lower) in this contest 12 months ago. Far from disgraced in Coral Gold Cup on only subsequent start and talented claimer takes handy 5 lb off here. Big player. Won this race very stylishly a year ago, after a break; high on the list. |
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|PU| (7) (11/2 +8%) Toss Again |
11/2(+8%) | (7) Toss Again 11/2, Won twice in summer of last year and back to that sort of form when fourth in competitive Ballinrobe handicap in May. However, ran poorly in Galway Plate last time and others are more convincing. Has become inconsistent but ran big race in Mayo National two starts ago; can't rule out. |
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|PU| (4) (12/1 -100%) Arizona Cardinal |
12/1(-100%) | (4) Arizona Cardinal 12/1, Admirable sort who won 4 of 6 starts last term, ending his campaign with career-best victory in 24-runner Topham Handicap Chase (20/1) at Aintree (21.1f, soft) in April. 5 lb higher on return but must enter calculations. Ended last season with game win over the big Aintree fences; resumes on career-high mark. |
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|PU| (1) (16/1 -33%) Nassalam |
16/1(-33%) | (1) Nassalam 16/1, Followed up his good fourth in Grand Sefton last term by scoring over C&D and took his form to a new level when bolting up in Welsh National here over Christmas. Disappointed in Gold Cup/Grand National subsequently, though, and reappears off a stiff mark. Won Welsh National by wide margin here last winter; returns on a daunting handicap mark. |
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|PU| (5) (16/1 -14%) Sail Away |
16/1(-14%) | (5) Sail Away 16/1, Dual winner on good ground in 2022/23 and shaped well on several occasions in defeat last term. However, folded tamely when last seen at Aintree in May and has something to prove now. Good fourth at Doncaster in January but signed off with two disappointing runs in spring. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
Stolen Silver landed the corresponding event 12 months ago from 4lb lower and he must be respected with 5lb claimer Dylan Johnston booked, but the vote goes to ARIZONA CARDINAL. A progressive sort last season, Stuart Edmunds' charge rounded off the campaign by winning the Topham in April. A 5lb higher mark demands more, but the eight-year-old has gone well when fresh previously and might have more in the locker. Topweight Nassalam contested the Grand National when last seen and must enter the reckoning in these calmer waters with conditions in his favour, while Manothepeople is also noted.
Last year's winner STOLEN SILVER finds himself in a deeper event this time round but it was hard not to be impressed with the manner of that victory and he makes plenty of appeal again. Manofthepeople and Twinjets head the list of dangers in what looks a cracking contest.
We haven't seen him since last December but STOLEN SILVER produced an excellent performance to win this race when fresh a year ago.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (6/1 +70%) Arctic Craft |
6/1(+70%) | (1) Arctic Craft 6/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. Seventh of 12 in bumper (66/1) at Bellewstown (17.2f, good) 45 days ago. More needed. Mild promise first two runs for this yard, needs more to feature here. |
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2nd (6) (9/1 +25%) Trooper Lewis |
9/1(+25%) | (6) Trooper Lewis 9/1, Battle of Marengo gelding. Dam (b109) bumper winner, also 1½m-1¾m winner who stayed 2m on Flat. Battle Of Marengo gelding is nicely-bred, worth a market check on his belated debut. |
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3rd (3) (14/1 -75%) Lord Lackendarra |
14/1(-75%) | (3) Lord Lackendarra 14/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 150/1, eighth of 13 in bumper at Listowel (16f, good) 20 days ago. Hard to fancy. 0-3 in point-to-points, modest form in bumpers, related to winners but may need more time. |
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4th (4) (2/1 +50%) Navy Guitar |
2/1(+50%) | (4) Navy Guitar 2/1, Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. 11/1, sixth of 12 in bumper at Kilbeggan (16f, good to soft) on bumper debut 50 days ago. More required. Mild promise over hurdles and in first bumper on latest, has a chance in this company. |
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5th (2) (11/2 +8%) Coole Cottage |
11/2(+8%) | (2) Coole Cottage 11/2, Twice-raced maiden. 66/1, seventh of 18 in novice hurdle at Listowel (22f, good) 20 days ago. Down in trip. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Needs a bit more switched to bumpers. Placed in a point-to-point, down in trip and tongue tie on for bumper bow, each-way claims. |
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6th (5) (11/4 -278%) Pay The Tab |
11/4(-278%) | (5) Pay The Tab 11/4, Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. 7/1, sixth of 9 in bumper at Down Royal (17f, soft). Off 9 months. Leading claims. Down Royal third the best form on offer in this, bred to like good ground, the one to beat. |
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|PU| (7) (9/1 +55%) Slice Of Paradise |
9/1(+55%) | (7) Slice Of Paradise 9/1, €21,000 3-y-o, Diamond Boy mare. Half-sister to fair hurdler She'stherightone and fair hurdler Champagne Mist. Dam unraced out of 19f-21f hurdle winner Jessica One. Pulled up sole start in points (Mar 2023). Jumped poorly when pulled up in sole point-to-point, watch unless strong in the betting. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
PAY THE TAB has only raced on soft ground thus far and disappointed in two of his three starts last season including at Down Royal over Christmas. His previous run at the same venue saw him finish a creditable third in a bumper and the runner-up went on to show useful form over hurdles for the Elliott stable. The homebred son of Getaway may be good enough to land an ordinary contest if handling this sounder surface. Coole Cottage ran well in a point-to-point in May and his latest run over hurdles at Listowel wasn't without merit. Trooper Lewis, whose dam won three bumpers before going on to do well on the Flat, is a newcomer to note.
This is distinctly weak and, while PAY THE TAB has a 9-month absence to overcome, a reproduction of the form he showed on his second start should be enough to open his account. Coole Cottage and Navy Guitar look the main threats but both need to up their game.
PAY THE TAB has the best form on offer and should be hard to beat if fit on his return from an absence and handling this ground.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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2nd (9) (66/1 -313%) Nubough |
66/1(-313%) | (9) Nubough 66/1, Course winner. 16/1, eighth of 10 in handicap at Kempton (6f) 22 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Infrequent winner who has a question mark over current form. |
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3rd (8) (15/2 -7%) Dumfries |
15/2(-7%) | (8) Dumfries 15/2, Been cut plenty of slack by the assessor and ran well, in first-time blinkers, when third of 11 in handicap (11/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 12 days ago. Claims if building on that. 0-11 for current stable but ran encouragingly with blinkers fitted last time. |
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4th (1) (11/10 +41%) Twitch |
11/10(+41%) | (1) Twitch 11/10, Off the mark for current yard when taking C&D handicap last month and improved on that when taking 12-runner handicap here (7f) 14 days ago. Just 2 lb higher now and looks the one to beat. Has form figures of 211 (all over C&D) since switched to Polytrack; respected. |
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5th (6) (9/2 +40%) Drafted |
9/2(+40%) | (6) Drafted 9/2, Eighth of 9 in handicap at Ayr (7.2f, good, 5/1) 11 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Cheekpieces back on. Needs a couple of these to falter. Last AW attempt resulted in a win off 7lb higher two years ago; interesting. |
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6th (7) (8/1 +33%) Alexander James |
8/1(+33%) | (7) Alexander James 8/1, Nineteen runs since last win in 2023. 9/1, last of 6 in claimer at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 33 days ago, unsuited by drop in trip. Others more persuasive. Now 0-19 for present yard but has a fighting chance off current mark. |
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7th (10) (33/1 -32%) Nemorum |
33/1(-32%) | (10) Nemorum 33/1, C&D winner. One win from 25 Flat runs. Eighth of 12 in handicap (40/1) at this C&D 23 days ago. Makes limited appeal. C&D win last October; possibly needed the run on belated reappearance. |
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8th (2) (33/1 -32%) Big Narstie |
33/1(-32%) | (2) Big Narstie 33/1, Quirky sort. 3 wins from 13 runs this year. 28/1, last of 12 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 16 days ago, slowly away. Others more appealing. Three AW wins early this year; couple of poor runs since returning from break. |
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9th (11) (40/1 0%) Arlo's Sunshine |
40/1(0%) | (11) Arlo's Sunshine 40/1, Twenty three runs since last win in 2023. 40/1, fifth of 7 in handicap at Brighton (8f, good to soft) 40 days ago. First run for yard after leaving John E. Long. 1 lb out of the weights. Likely best watched. On a long losing sequence and recent form isn't convincing; new yard. |
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10th (3) (150/1 -355%) Glen Esk |
150/1(-355%) | (3) Glen Esk 150/1, Failed to beat a rival home in both starts since returning from a long absence. Has failed to beat a rival in both starts since returning from long absence. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Habitual prominent-racer TWITCH is well drawn to attack here and he gets the tentative vote in what looks a trappy affair. He showed a likeable attitude when scoring gamely to bring up a C&D double last month and, nudged up 2lb, a bold bid for the hat-trick is expected. Lady Wingalong found only one rival too good over 7f at Wolverhampton recently and a 1lb rise doesn't discount another prominent showing, while the application of blinkers (retained) produced a better display from Dumfries over that same track and trip last month and he is also respected.
TWITCH showed a good attitude when landing his second consecutive C&D victory a fortnight ago and remains fairly treated. He can complete the hat-trick. Lady Wingalong and Dumfries are feared most.
Having taken so well to this surface, TWITCH may complete a C&D hat-trick. Lady Wingalong is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (10/1 -122%) Rage Of Bamby |
10/1(-122%) | (7) Rage Of Bamby 10/1, Posted a career-best when resuming winning ways at York (6f) in July and, while he's failed to reproduce that since, she performed respectable when runner-up at Ayr last time. Had a few of these behind her that day and she should be on the premises. Ground to make up on Marine Wave on August form; often misses races on good to soft/slower. |
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2nd (1) (12/1 -100%) Marine Wave |
12/1(-100%) | (1) Marine Wave 12/1, Has improved again this season and well on top when recording first win at this level at Pontefract in August. Back on track when hitting the frame in listed contest at Ayr last time, so deserves respect. Impressive winner of similar 6f race in August; suited by return to 6f with stiff finish. |
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3rd (4) (11/2 +21%) Funny Story |
11/2(+21%) | (4) Funny Story 11/2, Won this last year and returned to form when fourth of 5 in a C&D handicap recently. Blinkers applied and she's likely to give her running. Found late reserves to win this in 2023; ragged form this year and now goes in headgear. |
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4th (12) (10/1 +17%) Got To Love A Grey |
10/1(+17%) | (12) Got To Love A Grey 10/1, Dark Angel filly who ran a fine race when second of 16 in handicap at Goodwood in August but hasn't fired on both starts since. Others make more appeal. Two Listed wins at about 5f; not sure to recapture form now back at 6f. |
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5th (9) (11/10 +45%) Alfa Kellenic |
11/10(+45%) | (9) Alfa Kellenic 11/10, Highly progressive 3-y-o who took her winning streak to six when landing the Ayr Silver Cup in impressive fashion last time. Still to hit her limit and can make the breakthrough in listed company here. Unbeaten in 5 turf runs, at 6f-7f, including on good to soft; ready for rise in class. |
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6th (8) (11/1 +39%) Tiger Bay |
11/1(+39%) | (8) Tiger Bay 11/1, Useful filly. 14/1, excellent 2¾ lengths third of 8 to Marine Wave in listed race at Pontefract (6f, good) 55 days ago. Plenty to find and probably playing for a place again. Unraced on slower than good; best effort when 3rd to Marine Wave latest; might improve. |
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7th (5) (12/1 -20%) Katey Kontent |
12/1(-20%) | (5) Katey Kontent 12/1, Made a winning return to action at Windsor in May and has held form since, not seen to best effect when sixth in a listed event at Ayr last time. Others have more ability, though. In form and W Buick rides her for the first time; has something to find at Listed level. |
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8th (3) (150/1 -127%) Embrace |
150/1(-127%) | (3) Embrace 150/1, Useful performer for Owen Burrows last year who is yet to take off for current yarrd, finishing down the field in a listed contest at Ascot last week. In cheekpieces but hard to fancy. Lacked pace on rare 6f run in this race last year; tough task at these weights. |
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9th (6) (16/1 -33%) Pink Crystal |
16/1(-33%) | (6) Pink Crystal 16/1, Useful mare but yet to hit top form this season and will likely struggle again. Two very good runs in Listed/Group 3 last autumn; not as good this year; now tongue tied. |
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10th (11) (25/1 +24%) Coppull Hall Lane |
25/1(+24%) | (11) Coppull Hall Lane 25/1, Mayson filly who continued theme of race-by-race progress when successful in 1m handicap here in July. Bit disappointing since and likely out of her depth here. 1m winner in July; weak finisher over 7f since and has lots to find back at 6f. |
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11th (10) (80/1 -186%) Born To Rock |
80/1(-186%) | (10) Born To Rock 80/1, Debut winner for Jane Chapple-Hyam and took her form up a level on his yard debut when excellent second of 8 in handicap at Doncaster on penultimate outing. Latest effort best excused and isn't completely dismissed. Respectable Group 3 effort in April; mixed since; has a big corner to turn. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
A tightly-knit Listed race but one that may go the way of the in-form ALFA KELLENIC, the winner of her last six starts for Craig Lidster and well worth a step up in class after being put up to a mark of 101, making handicaps more difficult for her. The booking of Ryan Moore looks a positive and she may prove too good for the consistent Ayr second Rage Of Bamby and Ralph Beckett's Funny Story, who could be interesting in first-time blinkers.
ALFA KELLENIC might be the most progressive filly in training and she already sets the standard stepping into listed company for the first time, so she's a straightforward choice to get the better of Rage of Bamby. Last year's winner Funny Story is another one to consider.
This is likely to be run at a different tempo to the races ALFA KELLENIC has been running in but she still looks the one to beat.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (9/2 -29%) Caldwell |
9/2(-29%) | (1) Caldwell 9/2, Notched second hurdles success in a Worcester handicap in July and creditable placed efforts on his last 2 starts in that sphere. Will be a threat if his jumping passes the test now switched to fences. Makes chase debut after some solid runs on the Flat and over hurdles. |
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2nd (8) (5/1 -67%) Kicksaftersix |
5/1(-67%) | (8) Kicksaftersix 5/1, Opened his account in a handicap chase over C&D last summer and, having found just one too good on each of his last 2 starts at Cartmel, this 8-y-o is a major player. C&D winner last summer and returns after two good seconds at Cartmel. |
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3rd (5) (11/2 -83%) Minella Youngy |
11/2(-83%) | (5) Minella Youngy 11/2, Fair winning hurdler in Ireland and opened his account for Iain Jardine in a Kelso handicap chase off 5 lb higher last September. Best effort so far for this yard when fourth of 14 back hurdling last time but it remains to be seen if he'll be able to build on that back over fences here. Chase winner and returned to some form over hurdles last time at Kelso. |
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4th (3) (9/1 +44%) Okavango Delta |
9/1(+44%) | (3) Okavango Delta 9/1, Not far off his hurdling best when runner-up on second chase start at Catterick last November. However, he has failed to reproduce that form in 3 subsequent starts and needs to get back on track on this return/debut for new yard. Five runs over fences, two respectable; not so his last two but the ability is there. |
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5th (2) (16/1 0%) Valence D'aumont |
16/1(0%) | (2) Valence D'aumont 16/1, Five-time chase winner but he hasn't shown a great deal of spark since returning from a lengthy absence last October. Lost his way after an absence but latest run was a tad more encouraging. |
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6th (9) (9/2 +31%) Kingston Rock |
9/2(+31%) | (9) Kingston Rock 9/2, Well held in bumpers and just modest form over hurdles, pulled up here when last seen in March. Since undergone a wind op and sizeable step forward will be needed if he's to make a winning start over fences. Failed to offer all that much in four handicap hurdles; mark has dropped; chase debut. |
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7th (10) (50/1 +24%) Edmond Dantes |
50/1(+24%) | (10) Edmond Dantes 50/1, Went close over hurdles here last summer but it's been all downhill since and he didn't jump at all well on his sole previous attempt in this sphere. Tailed off when he last tried chasing and been in no form over hurdles the last 12 months. |
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|PU| (7) (8/1 +76%) Uncle Mac |
8/1(+76%) | (7) Uncle Mac 8/1, Hinted at ability over hurdles for Ben Pauling/Rose Dobbin but offered precious little on chase debut/sole start for Hugh Burns at Market Rasen in June. Now with another new yard. Just minor promise as a hurdler and was tailed off on chase debut in June. |
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|PU| (4) (11/2 +39%) Valleyview Tommy |
11/2(+39%) | (4) Valleyview Tommy 11/2, Runner-up on his sole completed start in maiden points and placed in a couple of maiden hurdles towards the end of last year. However, he has failed to progress in handicaps since and improvement needed now tackling fences in new headgear. Lightly raced maiden hurdler; could make a better chaser and cheekpieces are added. |
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|PU| (6) (14/1 -133%) Going Mobile |
14/1(-133%) | (6) Going Mobile 14/1, Proved suited by the drop back in trip when registering his third C&D success in June. Effort at Cartmel the following month was poor and absent since but he will have a fighting chance if he puts his best foot forward. C&D winner this summer; latest Cartmel run was too bad to be true. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
CALDWELL has enjoyed a consistent spell of form during the summer months and the seven-year-old may have been found an excellent opportunity to open his account over the larger obstacles at the first time of asking. Kicksaftersix is unlikely to be inconvenienced by dropping back to 2m following his second at Cartmel in August. Others to consider include June C&D winner Going Mobile and Kingston Rock.
KICKSAFTERSIX has been knocking on the door of late and is taken to regain the winning thread. That said, if Caldwell takes to fences at the first attempt he will be a big danger and an on-song Going Mobile would also be a threat.
Caldwell should go well but preference is for KICKSAFTERSIX, a course winner who has been knocking on the door.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (15/2 +6%) Rahmi |
15/2(+6%) | (2) Rahmi 15/2, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. Third of 5 in minor event at Gowran (7f, good, 6/5) 21 days ago. Trainer going well. Winner got a soft lead when third at Gowran; big-field handicap will suit better. |
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2nd (8) (13/2 +7%) Orandi |
13/2(+7%) | (8) Orandi 13/2, Winner at the Curragh in May. 10/1, creditable second of 9 in handicap at Listowel (8f, good to soft) 18 days ago, running on. Cheekpieces back on. Seems best when the mud is flying and probably needs rain to be competitive here. |
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3rd (13) (20/1 +39%) Bid For Chester |
20/1(+39%) | (13) Bid For Chester 20/1, Latest win at the Curragh in April. 11/1, fifth of 6 in handicap at Down Royal (5f, soft) 12 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. 2nd over C&D from 6lb higher early in the year so don't completely rule out; rain welcome. |
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4th (6) (16/1 +52%) Bellaphina |
16/1(+52%) | (6) Bellaphina 16/1, Latest win at Fairyhouse in September. 14/1, last of 8 in handicap at Dundalk (7f) 8 days ago. Poor effort on AW debut last week; outside chance but isn't discounted back on turf. |
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5th (4) (9/1 -100%) No More Porter |
9/1(-100%) | (4) No More Porter 9/1, 4/1, career best when winning 16-runner handicap at the Curragh (7f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Enters calculations for Ado McGuinness. Three-time winner, all at the Curragh; he isn't the type to back up latest victory. |
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6th (12) (40/1 +0%) Zephron |
40/1(+0%) | (12) Zephron 40/1, Latest win at the Curragh in April. Twelfth of 14 in handicap (12/1) at Roscommon (7.5f, heavy) 53 days ago. Needs to bounce back and will need the heavens to open to have any chance. |
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7th (1) (15/2 -36%) I Am Superman |
15/2(-36%) | (1) I Am Superman 15/2, C&D winner. 8/1, good second of 8 in handicap at Dundalk (7f) 8 days ago. Yard in good form. Big player. Second at Dundalk last week; still fairly treated back on turf and handles any ground. |
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8th (7) (9/2 +55%) Emporio |
9/2(+55%) | (7) Emporio 9/2, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. 7/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, creditable seventh of 12 in handicap at Cork (8f, good to soft) 11 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Tends to leave it too late before getting involved; drop back to 7f probably not ideal. |
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9th (11) (20/1 -43%) Gibbs Island |
20/1(-43%) | (11) Gibbs Island 20/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. 6/1, sixth of 8 in handicap at Dundalk (10.7f) 15 days ago. Significantly down in trip. Will appreciate a return to turf but he's likely to get outpaced over this trip. |
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10th (10) (4/1 +27%) Facethepuckout |
4/1(+27%) | (10) Facethepuckout 4/1, Won this race last year and landed another C&D win in July. Respectable fifth of 9 in handicap (16/1) at Listowel (8f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Should make a bold bid for back-to-back wins in this race. Back down to his last winning mark with Colin Keane back aboard (was on for last success). |
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11th (3) (12/1 -50%) Earls |
12/1(-50%) | (3) Earls 12/1, Course winner. Latest win at Haydock in April. Fifth of 8 in handicap at Haydock (8.2f, heavy, 13/2) 14 days ago. Yard having good spell. Blinkers back on. Has good chance on pick of form. Has ten turf wins on his CV; dangerous off a sliding mark but would probably need rain. |
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12th (14) (12/1 -50%) Ramiro |
12/1(-50%) | (14) Ramiro 12/1, Improved on recent efforts to win 12-runner handicap at Listowel (7.1f, good to soft, 8/1) 18 days ago, kept up to work. 7lb rise seems harsh enough for a gutsy win and will need some rain to be seen at his best. |
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13th (9) (11/1 -38%) Sara Valentina |
11/1(-38%) | (9) Sara Valentina 11/1, Limerick maiden winner in May. 11/2, very good ½-length third of 6 to Facethepuckout in handicap over this C&D (good to soft) 80 days ago. Remains unexposed after only 4 starts. Close 3rd to Facethepuckout over C&D in July; bred to handle a sounder surface. |
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14th (5) (28/1 -40%) Quar Shamar |
28/1(-40%) | (5) Quar Shamar 28/1, 13/8, below form 10 lengths second of 6 in minor event at Laytown (7f) 26 days ago, no match for winner. Tongue strap on 1st time , cheekpieces back on. Others are more persuasive. Second when sent off favourite for a moderate 7f contest at Laytown; opposable. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
FACETHEPUCKOUT has a good record over C&D and beat recent Listowel winner No More Porter in this race last year. Michael O'Callaghan's eight-year-old was also on target here in July when partnered by Colin Keane and the champion jockey is back on board. The selection has a bit to find with Orandi on the basis of a clash at Listowel and the latter, a 7f winner at the Curragh in the spring, may be helped by the addition of cheekpieces. The selection's stablemate I Am Superman retains plenty of ability and has found only one too good in two his last three starts while Bellaphina, who disappointed on AW debut last time, is better judged on her previous victory at Fairyhouse.
FACETHEPUCKOUT shaped as if back in form last time and may be ready to strike again at a track which suits him so well. His stablemate I Am Superman is another who knows where the winning post is over C&D and is also shortlisted along with Earls and low-mileage 3-y-o Sara Valentina.
If SARA VALENTINA can overcome slight question marks with regard to the ground if it's on the good side, she will take beating
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (25/1 +11%) Two Brothers |
25/1(+11%) | (1) Two Brothers 25/1, Looked on the up when scoring at Thirsk in April but his form has nosedived, only tenth of 11 in handicap at Newbury (13.3f, soft) 21 days ago. This course winner has something to prove. Will like the ground but all his wins have been over shorter and he's not in form. |
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2nd (6) (7/1 +36%) Yorkshire Lady |
7/1(+36%) | (6) Yorkshire Lady 7/1, Scored on her hurdles debut in February and in good form since returning to the Flat this summer (bagged 10f Ayr handicap) until last of 11 at Newmarket a week ago. Sort to bounce back. Running well until last week at Newmarket and that effort could be forgiven. |
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3rd (7) (11/1 +8%) Ey Up Its The Boss |
11/1(+8%) | (7) Ey Up Its The Boss 11/1, Secured his third win this year in 10-runner handicap at Redcar (10f, good to soft) 17 days ago. Up 4 lb but he's not taken lightly in his current mood. Not entirely predictable but he beat a well-in penalised winner at Redcar. |
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4th (8) (7/1 +13%) Austrian Theory |
7/1(+13%) | (8) Austrian Theory 7/1, It's now 16 runs since his last win in 2023 but he comes here in good form, a clear second of 9 in handicap at Hamilton (9.2f, good to soft) 12 days ago. Weighted to go well off an unchanged mark. 8lb lower than at the start of the season but stuck on a losing run. |
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5th (10) (16/1 -100%) Financer |
16/1(-100%) | (10) Financer 16/1, Gained a third win of 2024 in 11-runner handicap at Ayr (10f, good to firm) 23 days ago. Ought to be in the shake-up despite a 2 lb rise. Third win of the campaign 23 days ago but there are doubts about him on this ground. |
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6th (17) (33/1 -32%) Hartur D'oudairies |
33/1(-32%) | (17) Hartur D'oudairies 33/1, Lightly-raced maiden on Flat who came in only thirteenth of 16 in minor event at Doncaster (8f, good to soft) 27 days ago. A fairly useful hurdles winner so may still do better now handicapping. Bumper/hurdles winner at around 2m; only had four races on the Flat, all at 1m. |
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7th (15) (16/1 0%) King's Scholar |
16/1(0%) | (15) King's Scholar 16/1, Fair maiden who wasn't disgraced when fifth of 7 in handicap at Kempton (11f) 53 days ago. Not totally dismissed with few miles on the clock. Needs more for him to get off the mark but he's open to it after just five races. |
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8th (16) (18/1 -80%) Titainium |
18/1(-80%) | (16) Titainium 18/1, Resumed winning ways at Redcar in August and comes here on the back of a good second of 10 to Glistening Nights in handicap there (10f, good to soft) 17 days ago. Needs considering. Ran up to his best when second to Glistening Nights at Redcar; ground concerns. |
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9th (13) (8/1 +60%) Terrorise |
8/1(+60%) | (13) Terrorise 8/1, Winner at Doncaster in May but only fourth of 6 in handicap at Chester (14.4f, heavy) 29 days ago. Sort to bounce back. Returns to what might be his best trip but there are reservations. |
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10th (18) (14/1 -56%) Mystical Maria |
14/1(-56%) | (18) Mystical Maria 14/1, Took a big step forward to get off the mark in 9-runner handicap at Carlisle (9f, soft) 44 days ago. Well in the mix nudged up 2 lb. First time on soft ground when coming from last to first at Carlisle; up just 2lb. |
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11th (9) (4/1 +50%) Surrey Fire |
4/1(+50%) | (9) Surrey Fire 4/1, Lightly-raced sort who landed 10f Lingfield novice in July. Raced much too freely when sixth of 9 on his handicap debut there (12f, AW) 37 days ago. Worth another chance. Too keen when a beaten favourite on handicap debut over 1m4f; remains of interest. |
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12th (3) (10/1 +17%) Cockalorum |
10/1(+17%) | (3) Cockalorum 10/1, Scored at Beverley in June and has continued in good nick, seventh of 12 in handicap at Southwell (11.1f) 44 days ago when not enjoying a clear run. One for the shortlist. Good run here two starts back and excuses last time; goes on soft. |
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13th (12) (16/1 -78%) Glistening Nights |
16/1(-78%) | (12) Glistening Nights 16/1, Is enjoying an excellent season and garnered a fourth victory in 10-runner handicap at Redcar (10f, good to soft) 17 days ago by 1¼ lengths from Titainium. Can go well again. In form but on a career-high mark and he's unproven on ground this slow. |
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14th (11) (25/1 -79%) Pol Roger |
25/1(-79%) | (11) Pol Roger 25/1, A dual 10f scorer in May but his more recent form is far less encouraing, last of 10 in handicap at Ayr (10f, good) 11 days ago. Others appeal more. Had been in a solid run of form until heavier defeats the last twice. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Glistening Nights showed a likeable attitude when scoring over 1m2f at Redcar last month and, upped 4lb, another bold showing is forecast. That said, PROMETHEAN edges preference. He did well to finish fourth after racing towards the rear in a steadily-run handicap over 1m2f at Doncaster last time and, off an unchanged mark, he's expected to go very close. Surrey Fire and Financer are a couple of others to consider.
This is wide open but David Menuisier's PROMETHEAN is fancied to build on earlier promise and gain a deserved breakthrough victory. Tim Easterby's handily-weighted Austrian Theory heads the list of dangers, although many others need factoring in too, notably Glistening Nights, Cockalorum, Baryshnikov, Ey Up Its The Boss and Surrey Fire.
This is every bit as open as it looks. SURREY FIRE was too keen when favourite for his handicap debut and gets another chance.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (13/8 +28%) Moneygarrow |
13/8(+28%) | (9) Moneygarrow 13/8, Shantou gelding. Brother to 2 winners, including useful hurdle winner/smart chaser Minella Crooner,. Dam hurdle winner abroad up to 2½m, also 11f winner on Flat. Won sole start in Irish points (Apr 28). Makes plenty of appeal. Brother to smart Irish jumper Minella Crooner; won on Irish point debut in April; player. |
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2nd (8) (18/1 -300%) Koukeo |
18/1(-300%) | (8) Koukeo 18/1, Didn't show much in a competitive race at Punchestown on debut 5 months ago so will need to prove a completely different proposition if he's to make his presence felt. Well beaten at Punchestown festival in April but that was a tough introduction. |
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3rd (2) (9/2 +25%) Joining Force |
9/2(+25%) | (2) Joining Force 9/2, €42,000 3-y-o, £42,000 5-y-o, Workforce gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to useful hurdler (stayed 2¾m) Couleur France. Runner-up on second of 2 starts in Irish points (Feb 2024). Notable newcomer. Bought for £42,000 after making the frame in two Irish points last season; rules debut. |
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4th (10) (28/1 -133%) Hello Cello |
28/1(-133%) | (10) Hello Cello 28/1, 4/1 when only sixth in a bumper at Plumpton on debut but is the type to build on that, so not without hope returning from 6 months off. Made low-key debut at Plumpton in April but stable usually does very well in bumpers. |
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5th (5) (7/1 +13%) Harry Junior |
7/1(+13%) | (5) Harry Junior 7/1, €65,000 3-y-o, Doyen gelding. Closely related to useful hurdler Harry Senior. Stable does well in bumpers and he's worthy of respect first time out. Closely related to owners' useful jumper Harry Senior; yard does well in bumpers. |
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6th (1) (11/2 +27%) Holokea |
11/2(+27%) | (1) Holokea 11/2, Irish point winner who made the perfect start under Rules when scoring at Worcester in the summer. Could be more to come and he's one to consider. Dual point winner; won Worcester bumper on rules debut; penalty makes this a tough task. |
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7th (7) (9/2 -100%) Keel Strand |
9/2(-100%) | (7) Keel Strand 9/2, €75,000 3-y-o, €120,000 4-y-o, Authorized gelding. Brother to a winner and half-brother to 2 winners on Flat, including 7f winner in France Rio Dancer. Dam 6f/7f winner. Runner-up sole start in Irish points (Apr 28). Demands respect starting out for top connections. Flat-bred 4yo who was bought for 120,000euros after very promising Irish point debut. |
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8th (4) (25/1 +62%) Bosko |
25/1(+62%) | (4) Bosko 25/1, Court Cave gelding. Half-brother to a point winner. Dam unraced half-sister to useful hurdler/very smart chaser (2m-2¼m winner) Andreas. Yard has the odd bumper winner but this newcomer is unlikely to meet the standard required. |
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9th (6) (80/1 +20%) Ilostasock |
80/1(+20%) | (6) Ilostasock 80/1, €5,000 3-y-o, El Kabeir gelding. Half-brother to fair 9f-10.7f winner Snag It. Dam, ran twice over hurdles, 1m winner on Flat in France. Wears hood. Half-brother to a fair Irish Flat racer; hooded for debut; already given a wind op. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Paul Nicholls has a fine record in this contest over the years and KEEL STRAND may well enhance that record further. Picked up for 120,000 euros in May having finished second in a point-to-point the month prior, the son of Authorized makes plenty of appeal on paper so it would come as no surprise were he to make an immediate impact. Holokea won on her Rules debut at Worcester in June and he could feature under a 7lb penalty, although point winner Moneygarrow, a brother of the smart Minella Crooner, might be the bigger threat.
MONEYGARROW and Keel Strand are both potentially exciting recruits from points representing top yards and they may well dominate this. The first named might be more forward and is marginally preferred, while Holokea deserves respect after scoring at Worcester on debut in the summer.
Paul Nicholls has an excellent record in his race and his new recruit KEEL STRAND can build upon his promising Irish point debut.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (10) (4/1 +80%) My Margie |
4/1(+80%) | (10) My Margie 4/1, Latest win at Southwell in April. 22/1, below form when eighth of 16 in handicap at Newbury (7f, good to firm) 44 days ago. Not easy to make a case for. Has struggled on turf lately but her two wins came around 1m on AW. |
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2nd (2) (16/5 -7%) Baraq |
16/5(-7%) | (2) Baraq 16/5, 2 wins from 6 runs this year. Improved again when winning 12-runner handicap (7/2) at Newcastle (8f) 8 days ago, deserving extra credit for hanging on after a rather inefficient effort. 4 lb higher and has a big shout of completing the hat-trick. Improved for switch to front-running, winning twice over 1m; can complete quick hat-trick. |
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3rd (3) (18/5 +40%) Red Hat Eagle |
18/5(+40%) | (3) Red Hat Eagle 18/5, C&D winner in July. Ran well when fifth of 14 in handicap (16/1) at Ayr (8f, good to firm) 3 weeks ago, caught further back than ideal. Looks competitive on form. C&D winner whose latest Ayr fifth was creditable; each-way claims. |
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4th (9) (14/1 -155%) Charming Whisper |
14/1(-155%) | (9) Charming Whisper 14/1, Dual 1m winner on turf in June. Ran creditably on form but couldn't justify substantial support when fifth of 8 in handicap (6/4) at Newmarket (9f, good) 3 week ago. Enters calculations on first all-weather start since his debut. Dual 1m winner this year and arrives in reasonable form; thereabouts. |
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5th (5) (9/1 -50%) Hosanna Power |
9/1(-50%) | (5) Hosanna Power 9/1, Winner at Newbury in May. 9/1, ended up running poorly after 11 weeks off when sixth of 9 in handicap at Pontefract (10f, good to soft) 16 days ago, lit up briefly by loose horse early on. Down in trip and is now just 1 lb above last winning mark. Excuses for last two defeats and travels like one who could prove effective back at 1m. |
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6th (4) (16/1 -14%) Great Blasket |
16/1(-14%) | (4) Great Blasket 16/1, 4 wins from 15 runs this year. Found his run of form that has lasted all year finally coming to a halt when last of 8 in handicap at Redcar (10f, good to firm, 9/1) 25 days ago, missing break. Can bounce back. Four 1m wins this year, including AW; ran poorly over 1m2f latest but 1m more suitable. |
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7th (8) (12/1 -60%) Eagle Day |
12/1(-60%) | (8) Eagle Day 12/1, C&D winner in July. Confirmed return to form back on all-weather when second of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 7/2) 33 days ago, leading briefly final 100 yds. Should go well again. Second at Wolverhampton latest but he's 5lb above the mark he won off over C&D in July. |
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8th (13) (17/2 +29%) Berkshire Nugget |
17/2(+29%) | (13) Berkshire Nugget 17/2, Winner at Brighton in August. 11/1, wasn't in the same form when well-beaten eighth of 11 in handicap at Chester (7f, heavy) 29 days ago, possibly unsuited by conditions. Bounce back needed. Landed odds in weak 7f turf maiden in August; possibly unsuited by heavy ground since. |
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9th (7) (22/1 -120%) He's A Gentleman |
22/1(-120%) | (7) He's A Gentleman 22/1, Latest win at Ayr in July. 20/1, wasted no time getting back to form when second of 11 in handicap at Chester (10.3f, heavy) 3 weeks ago. Back down in trip. Won at Ayr in July; beaten 8l hen below-par second over 1m2f latest but 1m more suitable. |
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10th (1) (18/1 -29%) Dutch Decoy |
18/1(-29%) | (1) Dutch Decoy 18/1, Course winner. Sixteen runs since last win in 2023. 50/1, ran poorly after 6 weeks off when twenty-ninth of 31 in Cambridgeshire at Newmarket (9f, good to soft) 2 weeks ago. Goes without saying that this is significantly easier, and mark continues to slide. Drops in grade here but he'll need things to go his way from stall 13. |
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11th (11) (14/1 -100%) King Of Charm |
14/1(-100%) | (11) King Of Charm 14/1, Latest win at Sandown in August. Ran creditably from 4 lb higher when third of 11 in handicap (9/1) at Newmarket (7f, good) 3 weeks ago, running on. Solid each-way claims provided this is well run. 1m Sandown win in August and third over 7f at Newmarket since; return to 1m ideal; claims. |
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12th (6) (200/1 -400%) Sceptic |
200/1(-400%) | (6) Sceptic 200/1, 200/1, showed nothing on first outing since leaving Ian Williams after 7 months off when last of 8 in handicap at Haydock (8.2f, heavy) 2 weeks ago. Remote last of eight on recent yard debut and can only watch after that. |
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13th (12) (80/1 -142%) The Hun |
80/1(-142%) | (12) The Hun 80/1, First run since leaving K. R. Burke (for 24,000 gns) when tailed-off seventh of 9 in maiden at Windsor (10f, good to firm, 16/1) back in July. Visor on 1st time. Tough to assess at present. Runner-up four times for Karl Burke but well held on yard debut in July; visor goes on. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
BARAQ impressed when bringing up the double over this trip at Newcastle earlier in the month, setting strong fractions before coming clear of his rivals in the closing stages. Racing off a 4lb higher mark, the suspicion is that this progressive son of Frankel can rate higher still. Dutch Decoy doubtless has the ability to play a hand in a race of this nature and, after being outclassed in the Cambridgeshire at Newmarket recently, he merits respect with his sights lowered on the comeback trail. Eagle Day is another to consider in what looks a competitive affair.
The hat-trick beckons for BARAQ, who deserves extra credit for hanging on after a rather inefficient effort at Newcastle last week and Sir Mark Prescott's colt can defy a 4 lb higher mark at the chief expense of Red Hat Eagle, who was a C&D winner back in the summer and came from a bit further back than ideal when a creditable fifth at Ayr 3 weeks ago. Eagle Day and Charming Whisper are another couple to consider, too.
Sir Mark Prescott's BARAQ (nap) has been a different proposition since being allowed to stride on and can complete a quick hat-trick.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (5/1 -100%) Lost Frequencies |
5/1(-100%) | (3) Lost Frequencies 5/1, Runner-up in an Irish point and showed up quite well when fourth of 13 at Perth on Rules debut five months ago. Should be involved. Runner-up in a slow-ground Irish point and shaped nicely when a staying-on fourth at Perth. |
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2nd (1) (1/1 +27%) Admiral Stewart |
1/1(+27%) | (1) Admiral Stewart 1/1, €78,000 3-y-o, £130,000 5-y-o, Soldier of Fortune gelding. Half-brother to numerous winners, including useful hurdler/chaser The Crafty Butcher. Dam unraced. Successful on second of 2 starts in Irish points (Jan 2024). Worth a chance to make a winning Rules debut. Fetched £130,000 after winning a 3m Irish point (soft) by 6l at the beginning of the year. |
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3rd (6) (14/1 -56%) Kelvin Forlonge |
14/1(-56%) | (6) Kelvin Forlonge 14/1, £35,000 3-y-o, Cokoriko gelding. Dam, unplaced sole start in French hurdle, half-sister to useful hurdle winner around 2½m winner Gaston Phebus. £35,000 3yo; second foal; dam pulled up 2m1f hurdle; stable runs two newcomers. |
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4th (7) (10/1 +50%) Thirty Bob |
10/1(+50%) | (7) Thirty Bob 10/1, £44,000 3-y-o, Leading Light gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including useful hurdler/very smart staying chaser Lake View Lad by Oscar). Worth a market check. Cost £44,000 and he's related to some smart jumpers; interesting. |
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5th (2) (14/1 -17%) Gorvennec |
14/1(-17%) | (2) Gorvennec 14/1, €40,000 3-y-o, Martaline gelding. Half-brother to French hurdlers/chasers Gorvello and Gorvino. Dam 2¼m hurdle winner in France. Made frame completed start in points. Won his final Irish point in pleasing style and then made £38,000 at the sales. |
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6th (5) (11/2 -10%) Farmer Jimmy |
11/2(-10%) | (5) Farmer Jimmy 11/2, Mondialiste gelding. Half-brother to fair hurdler Portstorm. Something to work on when third at Wetherby 6 months ago and he's worthy of interest with the potential for better. Lacks some scope but positives to take from his third of 13 on soft at Wetherby. |
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7th (9) (25/1 -56%) Lizzie Luna |
25/1(-56%) | (9) Lizzie Luna 25/1, Better than result both starts to date in bumpers, travelling with purpose when fifth at Kelso four months ago. May yet have a bigger effort in her. Has shown some ability in her first two bumpers but others have shown more. |
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8th (8) (10/1 +17%) Walk On Son |
10/1(+17%) | (8) Walk On Son 10/1, £50,000 3-y-o, Walk In The Park gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to Queen Mother Champion Chase winner Azertyuiop. £50,000 3yo; seventh foal; dam unraced half-sister to top-class 2m chaser Azertyuiop. |
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9th (10) (150/1 -50%) Royal Romance |
150/1(-50%) | (10) Royal Romance 150/1, Some appeal on pedigree but showed nothing in a C&D bumper five months ago, so easily passed over. Tailed off here in May when trained by Gillian Boanas; went off at 80-1. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
ADMIRAL STEWART makes plenty of appeal on paper following his purchase for 130,000 pounds at the Cheltenham sale in January after winning a point-to-point earlier that month. The five-year-old represents a stable which has continued to build in terms of quality over the past few seasons and it would be no surprise to see him make a winning debut under Rules. Lost Frequencies wasn't disgraced when fourth at Perth in April and a repeat of that gives him a chance, while Farmer Jimmy is capable of stepping forward from his third at Wetherby in March.
ADMIRAL STEWART has joined a good outfit after winning a point and he takes preference over Lost Frequencies, who made a solid start under Rules at Perth five months ago. Farmer Jimmy is open to improvement and also worth considering.
Jamie Snowden is 4-5 with his bumper runners here and that record alone heightens interest in ADMIRAL STEWART.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (11) (7/1 -133%) Whispersinthewind |
7/1(-133%) | (11) Whispersinthewind 7/1, Lightly-raced filly. Very good fourth of 11 in handicap at Navan (8f, good, 14/1) 21 days ago. Must enter calculations. Last month's Navan handicap run was encouraging but rated 11lb inferior to Finsceal Luas. |
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2nd (5) (2/1 -33%) Finsceal Luas |
2/1(-33%) | (5) Finsceal Luas 2/1, Fairly useful filly. Off 4 months before a solid second of 10 in maiden at Listowel (8f, good to soft) 19 days ago, slowly away. Holds very good form claims. Second at Listowel on first run since ambitious Irish 1,000 Guineas bid, sets the standard. |
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3rd (4) (4/1 +33%) Final Curtain |
4/1(+33%) | (4) Final Curtain 4/1, Twice-raced filly. 4/1, good fourth of 10 in maiden at Listowel (8f, good to soft) 19 days ago. Stable having good spell so she's considered. Made the running before fading into fourth in 1m Listowel event, 4l behind Finsceal Luas. |
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4th (6) (16/5 +29%) Iseult Of Ireland |
16/5(+29%) | (6) Iseult Of Ireland 16/5, Lightly-raced filly. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, creditable sixth of 12 in handicap at Galway (8.3f, soft, 9/2) 69 days ago, slowly away. Yard having good spell. In the mix. Placed in two maidens, meets Finsceal Luas on 16lb worse than handicap terms, tough task. |
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5th (3) (11/4 +31%) Empress Xj |
11/4(+31%) | (3) Empress Xj 11/4, €160,000 2-y-o, Inns of Court filly. Half-sister to useful 2-y-o 6.3f winner King X J. Dam, maiden (stayed 1m), half-sister to smart 6f/7f winner Golden Steps. Interesting newcomer from a yard in good form. Cost 160,000euros at Goresbridge breeze-up last year, plenty of speed in the pedigree. |
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6th (9) (50/1 -257%) Penny Mountain |
50/1(-257%) | (9) Penny Mountain 50/1, Once-raced filly. Seventh of 13 in maiden at the Curragh (6f, good to soft, 9/1) on debut 14 days ago. Reared up in stalls on 6f Curragh debut, showed promise with a staying-on effort. |
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7th (2) (125/1 -213%) Miss Glenville |
125/1(-213%) | (2) Miss Glenville 125/1, The Last Lion filly. Half-sister to 1½m winner Dreams Fled Away. Market can prove a good indicator. Half-sister to 1m4f AW winner Dreams Fled Away; makes her debut here at four, best watched. |
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8th (7) (150/1 -200%) Miss Australie |
150/1(-200%) | (7) Miss Australie 150/1, Belardo filly. Half-sister to 1m winner Sir Taweel. Market can guide. Half-sister to minor 1m winner Sir Taweel; dam placed in France, likely to need experience. |
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9th (8) (80/1 -60%) Onemorestar |
80/1(-60%) | (8) Onemorestar 80/1, Harzand filly. Dam 11f/1½m winner. Others are preferred on this occasion. Half-sister to a 3m hurdle winner, dam middle-distance AW winner, trip may be inadequate. |
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10th (1) (150/1 -50%) Life In A Day |
150/1(-50%) | (1) Life In A Day 150/1, Twice-raced mare. 50/1, tenth of 13 in maiden at the Curragh (6f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Towards the back in two 6f maidens at the Curragh, safe to leave out of calculations. |
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11th (10) (200/1 -100%) Rose Of The Sea |
200/1(-100%) | (10) Rose Of The Sea 200/1, Once-raced filly. Sixteenth of 18 in maiden at the Curragh (10f, good to soft, 66/1) on debut 13 days ago, slowly away. Down in trip. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Always at the back on debut over 1m2f at the Curragh, cheekpieces tried now. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Placed twice in maidens in the early part of the season, FINSCEAL LUAS looked a bit ring-rusty when second over a mile at Listowel on her first start since finishing down the field in the Irish 1,000 Guineas. The daughter of Camelot made late headway to chase home a useful Ballydoyle-trained newcomer and can confirm placings with Final Curtain who looked to go a stride too quickly in front before fading to finish four lengths behind her on that occasion. Whispersinthewind, a creditable fourth in a recent Navan handicap after five months off, and Empress Xj, who makes a belated debut after being bought for 160,000euros at a breeze-up sale last year, are others to consider.
FINSCEAL LUAS possesses the best form on show so is taken to get off the mark at the chief expense of Whispersinthewind who rates a big threat on the back of her very good Navan fourth. Newcomer Empress XJ is well worthy of consideration too along with Iseult of Ireland and Final Curtain.
Jim Bolger's well-bred filly FINSCEAL LUAS has a good opportunity to step up a place following a Listowel second
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (6/1 +0%) Cloud Free |
6/1(+0%) | (9) Cloud Free 6/1, Creditable fourth of 9 in handicap at Kempton (8f, 5/1) 22 days ago. Not taken lightly. Did better last time (1m, Polytrack) and that gave something to build on down another 2lb. |
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2nd (15) (3/1 +50%) Bold Suitor |
3/1(+50%) | (15) Bold Suitor 3/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in September. 3/1, second of 12 in handicap at this C&D 14 days ago, faring best of those ridden prominently. Enters calculations. Better positioned tonight for one happiest on the sharp end; looks set to go well again. |
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3rd (5) (11/2 +45%) Absolutely Buzzing |
11/2(+45%) | (5) Absolutely Buzzing 11/2, Lightly-raced winner. 1 win from 3 runs this year. Career best when winning 13-runner handicap (50/1) at this C&D 58 days ago, well positioned. Remains unexposed. 50-1 winner over C&D in August; lightly raced and a 6lb rise may be within range. |
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4th (10) (4/1 +43%) Havana Smoke |
4/1(+43%) | (10) Havana Smoke 4/1, 11/2, creditable third of 12 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 16 days ago, not ideally placed. Respected. Said to have hung left throughout the past twice and has to prove he wants to do it. |
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5th (13) (125/1 -400%) Saved Lizzie |
125/1(-400%) | (13) Saved Lizzie 125/1, Thrice-raced maiden on Flat. Fifth of 12 in maiden at this course (7f, 80/1) 9 days ago, finishing with running left. Makes handicap debut. Poor in two bumpers, four runs over hurdles and three on the Flat; little to recommend her. |
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6th (14) (7/1 +0%) Fariha |
7/1(+0%) | (14) Fariha 7/1, 11/2 and hooded for 1st time, creditable third of 13 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f) 47 days ago, finishing well. Makes polytrack debut. Settled better in the hood last time; claims if things fall better now upped from 7f. |
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7th (1) (16/1 -60%) Thoughtful Gift |
16/1(-60%) | (1) Thoughtful Gift 16/1, 4 wins from 13 runs this year. Latest win at Lingfield in September. Seventh of 9 in handicap (9/2) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 21 days ago. Should get a good pace to chase but needs to prove her career-high mark is within range. |
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8th (11) (8/1 +20%) Monks Mead |
8/1(+20%) | (11) Monks Mead 8/1, C&D winner. Ninth of 12 in handicap (11/2) at Windsor (8.1f, good) 26 days ago, slowly away. Consistent season on turf without winning; ordinary latest effort, however. |
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9th (6) (25/1 -25%) Thomas Equinas |
25/1(-25%) | (6) Thomas Equinas 25/1, 4-time course winner. 28/1, bit below form seventh of 12 in handicap at this C&D 14 days ago. Won four round here last season but has struggled during a light campaign this year. |
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10th (2) (20/1 +0%) Golden Delite |
20/1(+0%) | (2) Golden Delite 20/1, Last of 10 in handicap at Nottingham (14f, good, 33/1). Off 132 days. Significantly down in trip. Can pull hard but whether he has the toe for an easy 1m is the question; watch the market. |
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11th (8) (11/1 +8%) Centurion Dream |
11/1(+8%) | (8) Centurion Dream 11/1, Fourth of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (8f, AW, 9/2) 31 days ago. Risky proposition at present. The handicapper's proving quick to relent but he has it all to prove now. |
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12th (3) (50/1 -52%) Platinum Jubilee |
50/1(-52%) | (3) Platinum Jubilee 50/1, Course winner. 33/1, eighth of 9 in handicap at Kempton (8f) 22 days ago. Struggled for this yard and the removal of the usual tongue-tie didn't help last time. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
From a handy draw, the lightly-weighted BOLD SUITOR has a lot going for him in this company and, having fended off the persistent H Key Lails to edge a tight finish over track and trip on his penultimate start, the son of Brazen Beau can cement his authority off the same mark as when runner-up back here a fortnight ago. Thomas Equinas and fellow C&D winner Absolutely Buzzing also have solid chances.
H KEY LAILS pulled clear of the rest when just edged out over C&D last month and gets the vote up 3 lb. Last-time-out winners Absolutely Buzzing and Claxton Bay head the dangers.
Kaiya Fraser has been flying lately and H KEY LAILS is tipped to turn things round with Bold Suitor. Fariha is considered too.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (11/2 +15%) Regal Envoy |
11/2(+15%) | (4) Regal Envoy 11/2, Latest win at Salisbury in June. 18/1, bit below form sixth of 11 in handicap at Newmarket (6f, good) 21 days ago. Often leads; should be well positioned from this draw back on AW; good shot. |
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2nd (5) (7/2 +13%) Chief Mankato |
7/2(+13%) | (5) Chief Mankato 7/2, 3/1, creditable fifth of 9 in handicap at Windsor (6f, good to firm) 58 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Tongue strap on first time. Fits and starts since winning 2yo debut but down weights and not ruled out on AW debut. |
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3rd (2) (10/1 -82%) Tan Rapido |
10/1(-82%) | (2) Tan Rapido 10/1, 5f maiden winner. Bombed on Sandown handicap debut in April but a break since suggests something came to light. Retains potential and interesting to see what the betting makes of him. Won 5f Windsor maiden in July 2023 but disappointing in 2 runs this year; gelded since. |
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4th (6) (28/1 -367%) Mojomaker |
28/1(-367%) | (6) Mojomaker 28/1, One win from 22 runs. Nineteen runs since last win in 2021. Off since finishing fourth of 12 at Sandown (5f, good) in September 2023. A watching brief is the percentage call unless the betting strongly hints otherwise. 1-22, over 5f on turf; didn't achieve much in 3 AW handicaps; much to prove after absence. |
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5th (7) (9/2 +25%) Princess Shabnam |
9/2(+25%) | (7) Princess Shabnam 9/2, C&D winner but it's now 19 runs since last win in 2022. Last of 7 in handicap (14/1) at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) 25 days ago. Others more persuasive. C&D winner; losing run goes back to 2022 but she should make a go of it back on AW. |
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6th (9) (7/4 +75%) Dark Side Thunder |
7/4(+75%) | (9) Dark Side Thunder 7/4, Seven wins from 27 Flat runs. Creditable third of 12 in handicap at Yarmouth (6f, firm, 11/2) 24 days ago. Expected to be bang there. Just 2lb higher than latest two AW wins; still in form; having first run here. |
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7th (3) (28/1 -75%) Myconian |
28/1(-75%) | (3) Myconian 28/1, 33/1 and visored for 1st time, last of 14 in handicap at Doncaster (6f, good to soft) 27 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Blinkers back on. Having a difficult year following Listed 2yo win in France; needs further weight off back. |
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8th (8) (20/1 -25%) Kodiac Thriller |
20/1(-25%) | (8) Kodiac Thriller 20/1, AW winner. Last of 11 in handicap at Newmarket (7f, good, 17/2) 21 days ago but was placed twice in 6f handicaps in August, including on AW. Has won on Polytrack but had ups and downs this year and latest effort was moderate. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
From just 2lb above his last winning mark on turf, REGAL ENVOY appeals on these terms with little to fear from reverting to Polytrack. Brandon Wilkie pitching in with his 3lb claim is a further boost for the selection at the weights and he is taken to hold sway over all-weather debutant Chief Mankato and previous C&D winner Princess Shabnam, who is attractively-weighted as a result of a lengthy winless sequence.
It might be worth taking a chance on MANY A STAR bouncing back to form now dropping into a 0-80. Market confidence behind Tan Rapido would make him a possible threat back from a break. Dark Side Thunder was back on form at Yarmouth last time and also makes the shortlist.
Preference is for MANY A STAR who will appreciate the likely strong pace and is unexposed on Polytrack.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (16/1 -33%) Crimson Sand |
16/1(-33%) | (2) Crimson Sand 16/1, C&D winner in February. 6/1, below-par fifth of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (5f, AW) in April. Off since and got to be a chance he'll need this. C&D winner but best form for this yard over 5f and has been off since April. |
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2nd (6) (11/8 +45%) Nemov |
11/8(+45%) | (6) Nemov 11/8, Career best when winning 9-runner handicap at Kempton (6f, 7/2) 45 days ago, coming from last to first in the style of one who could have more to offer as an AW sprinter. Excellent efforts in both AW runs, over 6f at Kempton; up 9lb for win but one to follow. |
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3rd (9) (33/1 -230%) Bowman |
33/1(-230%) | (9) Bowman 33/1, Won at Catterick (7f) in April and mostly creditable efforts since, including second of 6 in claimer at Wolverhampton (6f) 33 days ago. In form and ran well in a 6f Wolverhampton claimer latest but this looks competitive. |
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4th (7) (28/1 -180%) Spring Bloom |
28/1(-180%) | (7) Spring Bloom 28/1, Latest win at Newmarket in August. 9/1, creditable fourth of 11 in handicap at Newmarket (6f, good) 21 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Two 6f Newmarket wins in August; remained in form; not persevered with on AW since 2022. |
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5th (5) (9/4 +25%) American Bay |
9/4(+25%) | (5) American Bay 9/4, Fairly useful form. Shaped well in a 7f Newbury handicap prior to easily making all in a 6f Redcar novice last month. Unexposed as a sprinter. Player. Acts on Polytrack; hampered 4th on turf before emphatic 6f novice winner since; improve. |
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6th (1) (13/2 +13%) Jimmy Speaking |
13/2(+13%) | (1) Jimmy Speaking 13/2, C&D winner on reappearance in April and followed up at Ascot 3 weeks later. 14/1, fifth of 7 in handicap at Ascot (7f, good to soft) 36 days ago. C&D winner on reappearance; momentum checked of late but can be competitive back here. |
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7th (4) (6/1 0%) Balon D'or |
6/1(0%) | (4) Balon D'or 6/1, Latest win at Chester in August. 13/2, creditable fourth of 12 in handicap back at Chester (5.5f, soft) 21 days ago, worst of draw. Has fared with the draw this time. In good form on turf but wasn't running to this sort of mark on AW earlier in the year. |
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8th (3) (16/1 -167%) Invincible Speed |
16/1(-167%) | (3) Invincible Speed 16/1, Second Wolverhampton handicap win of the year when seeing off 5 rivals over 5f in July. Not in the same form when seventh of 9 at Lingfield (5f, AW) 28 days ago. Two handicap wins this year, at 6f/5f on Tapeta; effective on Polytrack; may do better yet. |
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9th (8) (18/1 +28%) Tsunami Spirit |
18/1(+28%) | (8) Tsunami Spirit 18/1, First run since leaving Kevin Philippart De Foy when eleventh of 12 in handicap at Kempton (7f) 17 days ago, fading after pulling too hard in front. The return to drop back to sprinting looks the right move. Two fair AW runs elsewhere this year; non-stayer at 7f latest; of more interest back at 6f. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
NEMOV seemed to appreciate dropping back to 6f when he scored comfortably at Kempton at the back-end of August and, still unexposed in handicaps, the son of Blue Point should be progressive enough to cope with a 9lb higher mark based on that eye-catching effort. Fellow last-time-out winner American Bay is feared most on just his second start on a synthetic surface. Bowman and Spring Bloom are a couple of others to monitor in the betting market.
There was a lot to like about the way NEMOV went about things back sprinting at Kempton last time and he's selected to make light of a rise in the weights, perhaps at the main expense of fellow 3-y-os American Bay and Balon d'Or.
The most interesting runners are the up-and-coming 3yos American Bay and NEMOV and the latter gets a narrow vote.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (2/1 +50%) Lion Ring |
2/1(+50%) | (1) Lion Ring 2/1, In fine form last month, rattling off quick-fire hat-trick in 10-runner C&D handicap 2 weeks ago. However, very easy to back up in grade and could only finish ninth of 10 in handicap at Southwell (6.1f) 2 days ago. This less demanding at least back down in class. September hat-trick featured two wins here; form dipped at Southwell on Thursday. |
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2nd (5) (6/1 -20%) Time Patrol |
6/1(-20%) | (5) Time Patrol 6/1, Latest win at Bath in August. Creditable second of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 20/1) 19 days ago, just failing. Expected to be bang there from 1 lb higher mark. 0-10 on AW but finished well and nearly got up at Wolverhampton most recently. |
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2nd (7) (11/1 -57%) Q Twenty Boy |
11/1(-57%) | (7) Q Twenty Boy 11/1, Three wins this year, with latest success at this course (5f) in August. Creditable display without being ideally placed when fifth in 10-runner C&D handicap 23 days ago and lines up here operating from last winning mark. Retains gusto aged nine; on last winning mark and has a fighting chance. |
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4th (4) (9/2 -35%) Doves Of Peace |
9/2(-35%) | (4) Doves Of Peace 9/2, C&D winner. 11/2, career best when winning 10-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 7 days ago, suited by way race developed. Can make presence felt. Won at this course in August and Wolverhampton last Saturday; largely consistent. |
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5th (3) (13/2 +59%) Rogue Thunder |
13/2(+59%) | (3) Rogue Thunder 13/2, Course winner but struggled since joining present yard, never involved when twelfth of 13 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 18 days ago. Mark continues to slide though and refitting of a hood/tongue tie could help. Worth a precautionary market check. Won here last November for previous yard; largely poor form for new stable. |
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6th (2) (12/1 -85%) Due Date |
12/1(-85%) | (2) Due Date 12/1, C&D winner. 4 wins from 14 runs this year. Latest win at Southwell in August. Eighth of 12 in handicap (7/1) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 19 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Four AW wins this year, the most recent in August; regressed the last twice. |
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7th (6) (5/1 -67%) Araifjan |
5/1(-67%) | (6) Araifjan 5/1, 4-time C&D winner who ran his best race for some time when good second of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 12/1) 12 days ago. Fallen to a handy mark and he's one to be interested in on the back of that. Four C&D wins; close second at Wolverhampton most recently; respected back here. |
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8th (8) (33/1 -65%) Midnight Flame |
33/1(-65%) | (8) Midnight Flame 33/1, Remains a maiden after 26 Flat runs. 18/1, below form seventh of 12 in handicap at Kempton (6f) 10 days ago. Others more persuasive. Recent form lacks consistency; not the likeliest winner, with record 0-26. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Having scored in good style over 6f at Wolverhampton last Saturday, DOVES OF PEACE appears primed to strike while the iron is hot. Joe Bradnam's 7lb claim can help him overcome a 4lb rise. Time Patrol rates the biggest danger off just 1lb higher than a head defeat over 6f at Wolverhampton last month, while Araifjan was also narrowly beaten last time and another bold bid can be expected.
TIME PATROL ran right up to his best when a strong finishing second at Wolverhampton 3 weeks ago and Tony Carroll's charge edges the vote to come out on top operating from a 1 lb higher mark. Araifjan and Doves of Peace are others fancied to play lead roles.
Off a very handy mark, ARAIFJAN could well record a fifth C&D win. Doves Of Peace and Time Patrol are respected.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (13/2 +19%) Papa Don't Preach |
13/2(+19%) | (4) Papa Don't Preach 13/2, Sixteen runs since last win in 2023. 14/1, run best excused when eighth of 9 in handicap at Catterick (5f, soft) 10 days ago, hampered start and marooned in no-man's land in centre of the track for the first half of the race. Blinkers on 1st time. Needs to bounce back but mark is falling, blinkers go on and Joe Leavy is a good booking. |
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2nd (1) (2/1 -175%) Marching Mac |
2/1(-175%) | (1) Marching Mac 2/1, Career best when easily winning 7-runner handicap at Brighton (5.3f, good to soft, 10/3) 4 days ago, going clear over 1f out. Unpenalised for recent wide-margin win so very much the one to beat. Wide-margin scorer on Tuesday and escapes penalty but not sure to be as good on AW as turf. |
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3rd (6) (7/1 -40%) Colors Of Freedom |
7/1(-40%) | (6) Colors Of Freedom 7/1, Attracted support having slipped a long way in the weights for current connections and ended a 20-month losing run in 8-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 13/2) 19 days ago. 3 lb higher here and holds solid place claims. Ended losing run at Wolverhampton three weeks ago; should be in the thick of things again. |
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4th (2) (9/4 +36%) Kento |
9/4(+36%) | (2) Kento 9/4, Wasn't in the same form as last time when sixth of 9 in handicap (5/2) at Windsor (5.1f, good) 26 days ago. Was runner-up on penultimate start over C&D in August so fancied to get back on track. Disappointing last time; possibilities on two placed runs before that, including over C&D. |
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5th (3) (28/1 -75%) Man On A Mission |
28/1(-75%) | (3) Man On A Mission 28/1, 17/2, ran poorly back at 5f after 4 months off when last of 11 in handicap at this C&D 23 days ago. Bounce back required. AW specialist (six wins); might have needed latest run; good second over C&D in April. |
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6th (5) (50/1 -52%) Sacred Melody |
50/1(-52%) | (5) Sacred Melody 50/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 50/1, ran no sort of race when last of 12 in handicap at Beverley (5f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Easy to look elsewhere. Wasn't beaten far on stable debut but ran badly at Beverley next time; hard to recommend. |
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7th (7) (125/1 -150%) Belvoir Kitten |
125/1(-150%) | (7) Belvoir Kitten 125/1, 100/1, again showed little when eighth of 11 in handicap at this C&D 23 days ago. Very hard to make a case for. Unplaced all 14 starts and would be a surprise winner. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
After a bloodless success over an extended 5f at Brighton on Tuesday, this represents a good opportunity for MARCHING MAC to follow up. Phil McEntee's charge scored by eight lengths on that occasion and, despite having a modest all-weather record, a 2lb rise appears lenient. Colors Of Freedom scored over 5f at Wolverhampton last month and she is feared most, while Kento is also of interest.
MARCHING MAC goes unpenalised for his recent wide-margin win at Brighton on Tuesday so, provided this doesn't come too soon, Phil McEntee's 3-y-o is strongly fancied to notch career success number 3. Second choice is Colors of Freedom, who ended a 20-month losing run at Wolverhampton last month, while Kento was runner-up over C&D on his penultimate outing and can leave a lesser effort behind back at this track.
If Marching Mac proves as good on AW as turf he should win, but instead a chance is taken on the blinkered PAPA DON'T PREACH.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (5/1 +64%) Measured Moments |
5/1(+64%) | (7) Measured Moments 5/1, Unreliable individual. 12/1, below-par fifth of 8 in handicap at Leicester (10f, soft) 32 days ago. Fifteen runs since last win in 2023. Capable at this level but is odds-on to pull hard and has had issues at the stalls of late. |
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2nd (11) (20/1 -186%) Curtiz |
20/1(-186%) | (11) Curtiz 20/1, C&D winner. 5/2, good second of 10 in handicap at Windsor (10f, good to firm). Off 145 days but he's not taken lightly. Not as good or consistent as he was and most wins have come after a recent outing. |
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3rd (9) (12/1 -20%) Queen's Company |
12/1(-20%) | (9) Queen's Company 12/1, 15/2, creditable third of 10 in handicap at this C&D 9 days ago. One for the shortlist. Recent C&D third extended a consistent run of form; should go well again. |
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4th (4) (8/1 +0%) Fillyfudge |
8/1(+0%) | (4) Fillyfudge 8/1, C&D winner. 2 wins from 6 runs this year. Latest win at Yarmouth in July. 10/1, respectable third of 10 in handicap at Leicester (10f, good to soft) 32 days ago. Ought to be in the shake-up. 7lb higher than for her C&D win in February; needs to bounce back from a lesser effort. |
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5th (5) (12/1 -50%) Glimmer Of Light |
12/1(-50%) | (5) Glimmer Of Light 12/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 14/1, eighth of 10 in handicap at Salisbury (9.9f, good to firm). Off 123 days with work to do. One run this year; not written off but seeing some support behind her would be preferable. |
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6th (2) (7/2 +42%) Early Morning Dew |
7/2(+42%) | (2) Early Morning Dew 7/2, C&D winner. Latest win at Epsom in August. 9/1, creditable second of 8 in handicap at Southwell (11.1f) 13 days ago. Needs considering. Good record in headgear, including a C&D win, and has to go on the shortlist. |
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7th (1) (9/1 -13%) Hill Station |
9/1(-13%) | (1) Hill Station 9/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in April. 7/1, only fifth of 8 in handicap at Brighton (11.9f, good) 65 days ago. Can give a good account if shrugging off latest effort. Has undergone wind surgery; question is whether an easy 1m2f will provide enough of a test. |
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8th (10) (10/1 +29%) Awtaad Prince |
10/1(+29%) | (10) Awtaad Prince 10/1, C&D winner. 11/2, creditable third of 7 in handicap at this C&D 23 days ago (second past the post but subsequently disqualified). Stepping back in the right direction. Can get warm before races and often pulls hard; needs to settle better from a wide stall. |
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8th (12) (16/1 -33%) Nasim |
16/1(-33%) | (12) Nasim 16/1, Course winner who hinted at a revival when third of 10 in handicap at Kempton (11f) 26 days ago. Weighted to go well off an easing mark. Pretty consistent profile round here and will be happier back down from 1m4f; possible. |
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10th (8) (50/1 -100%) Pledge Of Honour |
50/1(-100%) | (8) Pledge Of Honour 50/1, Latest win at Windsor in July. 11/1, last of 9 in handicap at Yarmouth (10.1f, good) 54 days ago. Every chance if back to best. Popped up at Windsor in July but has struggled since and others make greater appeal. |
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11th (6) (9/1 -64%) Mc'ted |
9/1(-64%) | (6) Mc'ted 9/1, Has taken his form up a notch since the cheekpieces went on and bids for a hat-trick after landing 10f handicaps at Yarmough and Pontefract recently. Up 3 lb but this C&D winner is a player. Reapplied cheekpieces have helped and he goes well here; fair chance of the hat-trick. |
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12th (3) (18/1 +28%) Arenas Del Tiempo |
18/1(+28%) | (3) Arenas Del Tiempo 18/1, Nineteen runs since last win in 2021. Last of 7 in handicap (12/1) at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 12 days ago. Said to have stopped quickly last time and Early Morning Dew may be her yard's best chance. |
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13th (15) (20/1 +0%) Milvus |
20/1(+0%) | (15) Milvus 20/1, Remains a maiden after 17 runs and a below-form sixth of 13 in handicap at Bath (10.2f, soft) 11 days ago. Has work to do. Still to convince on stamina and is a longstanding, regressive maiden in any case. |
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14th (13) (33/1 -230%) Star Of St James |
33/1(-230%) | (13) Star Of St James 33/1, Latest win at Nottingham in August. Respectable sixth of 11 in handicap (11/2) at this C&D 14 days ago. Merits consideration. Front-runner; went hard enough over C&D last time but stall 15 can only be an off-putter. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
An open contest sees a chance taken on CURTIZ, who was narrowly denied when second over 1m2f at Windsor in May. The seven-year-old was only beaten a short-head on that occasion and, with a win at this venue earlier in the year, he can defy a 2lb rise. Sunset In Paris scored in good style over C&D in August and a repeat of that effort would see him offer a bold bid, while Mc'ted isn't easily discounted either.
Plenty are in with a shout but MC'TED hasn't looked back since tried in cheekpieces and is fancied to bag a quick hat-trick. Both Curtiz and Nasim are weighted to have a say too and can chase home Joseph Parr's thriving 6-y-o in that order.
Nasim goes well here and is on a career-low mark but the vote goes to EARLY MORNING DEW, who boasts a good record in headgear.
Ths is the racecard key.
Icon | Meaning |
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TomForm top stats, gold rated | |
TomForm top stats silver rated | |
Ran similar race before | |
S | TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out |
T | Top Time speeed rated |
Top Racingpost rated | |
At the races watchout for | |
At the races top pick | |
Top rated for thet statistic |
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
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