There were 46 Races on Saturday 14th September 2024 across 6 meetings. There was 8 races at Lingfield, 9 races at Leopardstown, 7 races at Chester, 7 races at Doncaster, 8 races at Bath, 7 races at Musselburgh, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (7/2 +36%) Wannabe Brave |
7/2(+36%) | (2) Wannabe Brave 7/2, C&D winner. 3 wins from 6 runs this year. Latest win here in May. Good second of 8 in handicap at Chelmsford City (14f, 11/2) 23 days ago. Solid claims. Three AW wins this year; good second at Chelmsford latest; each-way shout again. |
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2nd (6) (4/1 -14%) Ship To Shore |
4/1(-14%) | (6) Ship To Shore 4/1, 1 win from 3 runs this year. Career best when winning 10-runner handicap at this C&D (AW, 13/2) 18 days ago, well positioned. Firmly in the picture. Well on top in a C&D handicap 18 days ago; 3lb rise could have been worse; one to consider. |
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3rd (5) (25/1 -213%) Anisoptera |
25/1(-213%) | (5) Anisoptera 25/1, C&D winner. 6/1, respectable fourth of 13 in handicap at this C&D (AW) 9 days ago, having hopeless task from position. Can give a good account. Conditions to suit and on a fair mark but her tendency to blow the start is a big negative. |
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4th (8) (18/1 -29%) Sydney Seabreeze |
18/1(-29%) | (8) Sydney Seabreeze 18/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Not seen to best effect when fifth of 6 in handicap (17/2) at Southwell (14.1f) 19 days ago. Can make his presence felt. Improvement required for the step up to 2m but that's not out of the question. |
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5th (1) (9/2 -35%) Solid Silver |
9/2(-35%) | (1) Solid Silver 9/2, 5/2, 11¼ lengths seventh of 10 to Ship To Shore in handicap at this C&D (AW) 18 days ago, needing stronger gallop. No forlorn hope. Placed twice in 2m handicaps on AW this summer; below par here latest; now down in class. |
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6th (10) (40/1 -60%) Smith |
40/1(-60%) | (10) Smith 40/1, 6-time C&D winner but arrives below par, fifth of 8 in handicap (25/1) at Lingfield (16.3f, firm) 49 days ago. Needs to get back on track. Multiple C&D winner; quiet since December but dropped a long way in the weights. |
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7th (7) (50/1 -525%) Easy Equation |
50/1(-525%) | (7) Easy Equation 50/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. 5/2, fair fifth of 8 in handicap at Beverley (16.2f, good) 30 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Charlie Fellowes. Possibilities. Expensive to follow for C Fellowes this year; fair mark if change of yard perks him up. |
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8th (4) (11/1 -38%) Fair Dinkum |
11/1(-38%) | (4) Fair Dinkum 11/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in June. Fair fifth of 8 in handicap at Newbury (12f, soft, 17/2) 9 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Cheekpieces on 1st time and one to consider. Not at best on turf of late but 2-3 in AW handicaps and can revive with cheekpieces added. |
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9th (3) (3/1 +45%) Smart Charger |
3/1(+45%) | (3) Smart Charger 3/1, Winner at Yarmouth in May. Visored for 1st time, very good second of 9 in handicap (11/4) at Kempton (16f) 38 days ago. Big shout off the same mark with that form reading well. Going the right way for current yard and not fully exposed at 2m; each-way claims. |
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10th (9) (10/1 +38%) Turing |
10/1(+38%) | (9) Turing 10/1, Sixth of 9 in handicap at Kempton (12f, 14/1) 17 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Chance on old form. Improvement required for the step up to 2m but of interest on this season's best. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
SMART CHARGER has only finished out of the top two places on one of his five starts for the Alan King stable and he goes off the same rating as his most recent second at Kempton. The four-year-old retains the visor from that effort and might be the one to beat. Ship To Shore took care of Solid Silver (seventh) over C&D last time and is the obvious danger, while Wannabe Brave is another to keep an eye on.
A few with chances but Alan King's SMART CHARGER rates the pick of the weights on the back of his very good Kempton second so gets the nod. C&D scorer Ship To Shore heads the list of dangers, with Sydney Seabreeze and Wannabe Brave well in the mix too.
Several possibles but FAIR DINKUM could benefit from the return to AW and gets the tentative vote.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (6/5 +52%) Chantez |
6/5(+52%) | (3) Chantez 6/5, 220,000 gns Wootton Bassett who has made a promising start to her career over C&D, going down by a head on debut before seeing off the reopposing Indigo Dream by 3 lengths in a maiden last month. Useful prospect. Looked potentially high-class when winning a C&D maiden last month; the one to beat. |
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2nd (5) (25/1 -25%) Garden Of Eden |
25/1(-25%) | (5) Garden Of Eden 25/1, Won a 7f Naas maiden winner last month. Cut out a lot of the running when 6¼ lengths sixth of 8 to stablemate Dreamy in 1m Curragh Group 3 just 6 days later. Saxon Warrior filly has plenty to prove at present but the drop in trip should suit. |
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3rd (2) (9/4 -20%) Bubbling |
9/4(-20%) | (2) Bubbling 9/4, No Nay Never filly who confirmed debut promise when landing 13-runner maiden at Galway (7f, good to soft, 13/8) at the end of July. The mount of Ryan Moore from her yard's 3 runners and looks capable of making her mark in a higher grade. Group 1-entered and probably wants some juice in the ground but a big player. |
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4th (4) (8/1 +60%) Easy Mover |
8/1(+60%) | (4) Easy Mover 8/1, Fairyhouse debut winner in June. Possibly unsuited by softer ground when only eighth of 9 in a Curragh listed race since. Steps up to 7f back from 11 weeks off. Holds G1 entry but going to have to improve to play a major role in this company. |
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5th (8) (20/1 -25%) Nancy J |
20/1(-25%) | (8) Nancy J 20/1, Won 16-runner maiden at Gowran (7f, good, 13/2) on debut 31 days ago, driven out. Should progress. Needed every yard when winning on debut and is bred to get much further; respected. |
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6th (7) (13/2 -44%) Mojave River |
13/2(-44%) | (7) Mojave River 13/2, Showed a good attitude when landing a valuable newcomers race at Deauville last month by 2 lengths from Bogota. Definitely more to come. Won a 7f Deauville maiden on debut last month and she could be quite smart. |
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7th (6) (33/1 -65%) Indigo Dream |
33/1(-65%) | (6) Indigo Dream 33/1, Fairly useful form. 5/1, 3 lengths second of 11 to Chantez in C&D maiden (good) 23 days ago. Others are preferred. No match for Chantez when 2nd over C&D but she's well worth her place in the field. |
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8th (1) (28/1 -12%) And So To Bed |
28/1(-12%) | (1) And So To Bed 28/1, Won a 6.5f course maiden in July. Creditable fifth of 21 in a valuable sales race at Naas (6f, good to soft) 40 days ago. One of 2 runners for Joseph O'Brien. Fifth in the 6f Ballyhane Stakes last time and more needed to trouble the principals here. |
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9th (10) (125/1 -400%) Unexpected Issues |
125/1(-400%) | (10) Unexpected Issues 125/1, Made a winning start in 11-runner maiden at Navan (5f, good to soft) in May but found out in the Group 3 Marble Hill at the Curragh 18 days later. Off since. Sister to smart sprinter Castle Star so trip could stretch her after latest poor effort. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Ger Lyons and Colin Keane have teamed up to land this prize twice in the past three years and may have the answer again with CHANTEZ getting the vote. The selection had Bubbling about four lengths behind when just denied here on debut before racing prominently throughout when beating Indigo Dream by three lengths again over C&D last month. Bubbling took a good step forward from that initial outing when scoring by five lengths at the Galway Festival and rates an obvious threat. Mojave River made a bright start when taking a valuable race for unraced fillies at Deauville last month, while Nancy J also scored on debut over this trip at Gowran.
The way in which BUBBLING pulled clear of her field at Galway suggests she can cope with the step up to listed company. Chantez is a useful prospect for the Ger Lyons team and is second choice ahead of Mojave River, who won a valuable newcomers race in France last month.
In front of Bubbling on debut and an impressive winner over C&D when last seen, CHANTEZ has the strongest form in the book
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (2/5 +77%) Go Wild |
2/5(+77%) | (6) Go Wild 2/5, Thrice-raced maiden, best effort when second of 4 in novice (13/2) at this C&D (AW) 3 days ago. Firmly in the picture. Second over C&D on Wednesday; good chance if this doesn't come too soon. |
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2nd (1) (11/4 -57%) Gold Aura |
11/4(-57%) | (1) Gold Aura 11/4, Fair filly. Remains a maiden after 17 Flat runs. 4/1, below form sixth of 10 in handicap at Kempton (11f) 33 days ago. Back down in trip. Leading form claims at her best. Leading form chance but has flopped the last twice, taking record to 0-16. |
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3rd (2) (80/1 -142%) Artificer |
80/1(-142%) | (2) Artificer 80/1, Twice-raced maiden. 125/1, last of 7 in novice at Wolverhampton (12.2f). Off 124 days. Significantly down in trip. First run for yard after leaving Dylan Cunha. Had a wind op. Tailed off over longer trips for Dylan Cunha in the spring; has had wind surgery. |
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4th (4) (20/1 -67%) Spirit Charmer |
20/1(-67%) | (4) Spirit Charmer 20/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Last of 8 in handicap (11/1) at Chelmsford City (10f) 16 days ago, folding tamely. In good hands but lots more is needed. From a leading yard but has yet to better poor form.. |
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5th (3) (20/1 -43%) Baroque Pearl |
20/1(-43%) | (3) Baroque Pearl 20/1, 30,000 gns yearling, Dutch Art filly. Dam unraced. Market can guide for this newcomer. Makes her belated debut in a weak race; check the betting. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
GO WILD finished behind a strongly fancied rival when hitting the crossbar over track and trip on her latest outing and that might be the best form on offer in this contest. Mick Appleby's three-year-old looks well placed to shed her maiden tag at the fourth time of asking. Clara Barton hinted at ability when finishing fifth on her debut over 1m2f here and may benefit from this drop in distance. Gold Aura completes the shortlist.
CLARA BARTON made a promising start when fifth here back in April and is worth siding with to make a winning return with her yard going well. Go Wild has the form to play a big part and could emerge as the chief threat to Jack Channon's filly, although Gold Aura also needs considering if back on her A-game.
If this doesn't come too soon after Wednesday's C&D second GO WILD might be able to go one better.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Maldevious |
(8) (4/1 +43%)4/1(+43%) | (8) Maldevious 4/1, Twice-raced filly. 20/1, fourth of 13 in novice at Newbury (6f, good to firm) 29 days ago. Hood back on. Rallied for fourth at Newbury (6f) on second start; the step up to 7f looks a good move. |
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1st (5) (3/1 +40%) Tactical Plan |
3/1(+40%) | (5) Tactical Plan 3/1, Runner-up in a couple of maidens at sharp tracks and decent third on nursery debut over C&D. Bit disappointing at Epsom since, however, and vulnerable again. Runner-up on two of his six starts but others in this should have greater potential. |
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2nd (1) (12/1 -60%) Mayday Malone |
12/1(-60%) | (1) Mayday Malone 12/1, Twice-raced colt. Much better effort when fourth of 7 in novice (22/1) at Lingfield (5f, AW) 14 days ago, running on late. Significantly up in trip. Staying-on fourth over 5f at Lingfield on second start; could appreciate this longer trip. |
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3rd (3) (11/4 -38%) Sir Peter Fossick |
11/4(-38%) | (3) Sir Peter Fossick 11/4, Related to numerous winners and came clear with another newcomer when second in maiden at Epsom (7f, good, 7/2) in July. Backed that up at the second attempt when runner-up at Haydock and good chance of going one better. Runner-up on two of his three starts and holds leading form claims. |
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4th (4) (22/1 -83%) It'sneverjustone |
22/1(-83%) | (4) It'sneverjustone 22/1, Twice-raced colt. Fifth of 11 in maiden (16/1) at Hamilton (6f, good) 32 days ago. Early unseat on debut, then soundly beaten at Hamilton; may be best watched. |
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5th (2) (11/4 +58%) Noble Phoenix |
11/4(+58%) | (2) Noble Phoenix 11/4, 35,000 gns foal, 55,000 gns yearling, Arizona colt. Half-brother to several winners, including useful 7f-8.3f winner Sir Guy Porteous and 2-y-o 6f winner Velveteen. Dam maiden (stayed 1m). Third of 7 in novice (15/2) at Epsom (7f) on debut 44 days ago, not knocked about. Should progress. Inexperience evident when fair third on debut at Epsom; open to improvement; chance. |
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6th (9) (33/1 -65%) Eva's Eyes |
33/1(-65%) | (9) Eva's Eyes 33/1, Down the field in 5f/6f novices. Off 91 days. First run for yard after leaving Darryll Holland. Hooded for 1st time. Well beaten on both starts; transformation needed now in a hood on stable debut. |
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7th (6) (25/1 -25%) In The Sunshine |
25/1(-25%) | (6) In The Sunshine 25/1, Foaled March 28. 20,000 gns yearling, Oasis Dream filly. Half-sister to 1½m winner Executive Pool. Dam, 1¾m winner, closely related to smart 1m-1½m winner Parvaneh. Makes debut with trainer among the winners but her future may lie over further. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
Andrew Balding's string often improve for their initial experience and Noble Phoenix, who showed promise on his debut last month, could follow suit. However, SIR PETER FOSSICK sets the standard with an official rating of 81. Runner-up on two of his three starts, the Footstepsinthesand colt should handle testing conditions and any further progress can see him open his account. Rock Diva is noted, while the step up to 7f should suit Maldevious and she should not be underestimated either.
SIR PETER FOSSICK quickly got back on track when second at Haydock and this looks a good opportunity. Rock Diva and Noble Phoenix both offered something to work on starting out so are feared most ahead of the more exposed Tactical Plan.
Having finished a good second on two of his three starts, SIR PETER FOSSICK is taken to get off the mark. Rock Diva is feared.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (5/2 -25%) Green Impact |
5/2(-25%) | (3) Green Impact 5/2, Wootton Bassett colt. Dam, maiden (stayed 13.5f), half-sister to smart 6f winner Alphabet. Pulled clear of rest when second of 14 in strong maiden at the Curragh on debut and had no trouble going one better when beating Delacroix by 1½ lengths in C&D maiden. Remains open to improvement. Holds multiple G1 entries and will give the likely favourite plenty to think about again. |
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2nd (2) (5/6 +44%) Delacroix |
5/6(+44%) | (2) Delacroix 5/6, Dubawi colt. Half-brother to useful 1½m-1¾m winner Grateful. Shaped well when second to Green Impact in maiden at Leopardstown (8f, good to soft, 4/1) on debut before comfortably landing the odds from a subsequent winner in maiden at the Curragh 5 weeks ago. Almost certainly more to come from him. Should be a more mature horse and can get the better of his main rival on this occasion. |
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3rd (1) (11/2 -83%) Bernard Shaw |
11/2(-83%) | (1) Bernard Shaw 11/2, Confirmed debut promise (behind Green Impact) when easily landing odds in 7-runner maiden at Dundalk (8f) 30 days ago, forging clear. More to come and big shout despite Moore preferring Delacroix. Ryan Moore has opted to ride Delacroix which would suggest he's the stable second string. |
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4th (4) (15/2 +46%) Green Triangle |
15/2(+46%) | (4) Green Triangle 15/2, Winner at Roscommon in July and looked set to follow up when running out in minor event (11/10) at Killarney (8.2f, good). Failed to keep straight once more when third in listed race at Tipperary. Opposable up in class. Folded tamely when 3rd at Tipperary; looks well up against it in this company. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Green Impact beat DELACROIX by a length and a half over C&D in July but the places may now be reversed. The winner had the advantage of a previous run which proved crucial as the selection ran quite green, but the Dubawi colt knew more next time at the Curragh when making all over 7f. He was strong at the finish and the step back up to a mile should suit. Stablemate Bernard Shaw was about five lengths behind Green Impact when the pair made their debut at the Curragh but took a good step forward when a wide margin winner over a mile at Dundalk last month. Green Triangle was set to add to a Roscommon maiden win when running out through the rail close home at Killarney.
Aidan O'Brien's 2 runners are obviously strong contenders but GREEN IMPACT has already beaten them both in a couple of maidens and can come out on top again.
Ryan Moore will take the ride on DELACROIX who landed the odds in style at the Curragh last time and is held in very high regard
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Chancellor |
(3) (15/8 -7%)15/8(-7%) | (3) Chancellor 15/8, Beaten at short odds in a 7f Ascot listed event in July but an impressive winner of maiden/novice events on this course either side, defying a penalty with ease over this trip last time. Definitely more to come from him. Form includes two emphatic wins at this venue; looks an ideal type for this contest. |
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1st (2) (9/2 +36%) Bay City Roller |
9/2(+36%) | (2) Bay City Roller 9/2, Promising New Bay colt who has won 7f novices at Sandown and Chelmsford in recent months. Useful prospect. Two from two; not so visually impressive as some of these but has potential. |
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2nd (4) (15/2 +38%) Monumental |
15/2(+38%) | (4) Monumental 15/2, Progressive, proving well suited by the step up to 7f when making it third time lucky at Gowran (good to soft) 11 days ago. Capable of better again. Progressive form in Irish maidens, winning at Gowran Park most recently. |
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3rd (1) (11/1 +8%) Aftermath |
11/1(+8%) | (1) Aftermath 11/1, Shaped with plenty of encouragement when second of 13 in maiden at Newbury (7f, good to firm, 11/4) on debut 28 days ago, running on. This is a big jump in class but he has plenty of scope to improve. Second in Newbury maiden; bottom of this pack on the figures but is open to progress. |
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4th (6) (7/2 +13%) Wolf Of Badenoch |
7/2(+13%) | (6) Wolf Of Badenoch 7/2, Decisive winner of a C&D maiden on debut and ran a cracker when pitched into the Group 2 Vintage Stakes at Goodwood (7f, good to firm) 6 weeks later, finishing 1¾ lengths second of 7 to Aomori City despite still appearing green. Capable of better again. Won going away over C&D in June, then ran well in the Vintage Stakes; strong claims. |
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5th (5) (6/1 -71%) Righthere Rightnow |
6/1(-71%) | (5) Righthere Rightnow 6/1, Kodiac colt who made a highly encouraging start to his career when winning by 5 lengths on Newmarket's July Course (7f, good) 36 days ago. Knew his job but should still have more to offer. Impressive in newcomers' race at Newmarket, stretching clear for a 5l success. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Righthere Rightnow impressed when readily making all on his debut over 7f at Newmarket last month and he must enter calculations. That said, preference is for the more experienced CHANCELLOR. The son of Kingman gave weight and a beating to a potentially smart rival when running out a comfortable winner over C&D recently and, with the promise of more to come, he looks to be the one to side with. Monumental can also go well.
WOLF OF BADENOCH ran a cracker in the Vintage considering his greenness was still apparent and is narrowly preferred to dual course score Chancellor, who looks more than capable of making an impact at pattern level. Aftermath has the potential for significant improvement after his promising debut second at Newbury and is next on the list.
A particularly solid case can be made for WOLF OF BADENOCH. Chancellor is feared most on form.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (5/1 +0%) Yankee Dude |
5/1(+0%) | (9) Yankee Dude 5/1, 20/1, encouraging third of 10 in maiden at Yarmouth (7f, good) on debut 26 days ago. Likely to improve. Promising third at Yarmouth on last month's debut (7f); capable of better; e-w shout. |
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2nd (6) (8/11 +64%) Marchogion |
8/11(+64%) | (6) Marchogion 8/11, Promising type. Second of 5 in novice (14/1) at Chester (7f, good to firm) 14 days ago, running on. Sure to improve. Big player. Stepped up on his debut fourth when second of five at Chester two weeks ago; sets standard. |
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3rd (8) (4/1 +20%) Tornado Alert |
4/1(+20%) | (8) Tornado Alert 4/1, Foaled February 28. Too Darn Hot colt. Half-brother to several winners, including smart winner up to 1½m Just Fine and useful 2-y-o 6f winner Beaverbrook. Noteworthy newcomer. Half-brother to Australian Group 1 winner; stable 2-7 with 2yos this year; betting useful. |
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4th (3) (40/1 -567%) Fosroc |
40/1(-567%) | (3) Fosroc 40/1, Foaled April 13. $90,000 yearling, resold $335,000 yearling, Munnings colt. Half-brother to 3 winners, including minor US winners. Interesting debutant. $335,000 yearling; half-brother to three winners out of a 7f AW winner; yard's 2yos quiet. |
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5th (5) (33/1 -65%) King's Hand |
33/1(-65%) | (5) King's Hand 33/1, Sixth of 9 in maiden at Beverley (7.4f, good to firm, 14/1) on debut 31 days ago. Can build on it. Dropped away at Beverley last month having shown some speed; longer-term prospect. |
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6th (2) (16/1 -60%) Chukotka |
16/1(-60%) | (2) Chukotka 16/1, 27,000F, 70,000Y. Closely related to 2-y-o 7f winner (stays 1¼m) Lady of Inishfree (by Farhh).Dam 1¼m-1½m winner out of smart winner up to 12.5f Oiseau Rare. Considered newcomer. 70,000gns yearling; closely related to 7f winner Lady Of Inishfree (RPR 94); yard in form. |
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7th (4) (80/1 -142%) Frostmagic |
80/1(-142%) | (4) Frostmagic 80/1, Sixteenth of 17 in maiden (66/1) at York (7f, good to firm) on debut 22 days ago. Stiff task on debut but it was still an uninspiring run; hard to recommend. |
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8th (1) (10/1 -100%) Blue Seeker |
10/1(-100%) | (1) Blue Seeker 10/1, Foaled January 27. Blue Point colt. Dam, winner up to 7f (2-y-o 5f/6f winner), half-sister to very smart winner up to 1½m Prize Money. One to note on debut. Dam a useful 5f-7f AW winner; yard's 2yos operating at a healthy strike-rate; check market. |
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9th (7) (40/1 -300%) Shabu Shabu |
40/1(-300%) | (7) Shabu Shabu 40/1, Foaled March 22. €18,500 foal, 42,000 gns yearling, Australia colt. Closely related to 11.6f winner Rick Blaine and half-brother to 3 winners, including smart winner up to 1¾m Sam Cooke. Dam unraced. Not discounted. Likely type on paper but stable having a quiet year with their 2yos. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
MARCHOGION took a pleasant step forward from his debut effort to occupy the runner-up berth at Chester last time and, with the likelihood of plenty more to offer, he looks the one to beat. Yankee Dude shaped with plenty of promise when making the frame on his first start at Yarmouth and he has to be respected. Any market confidence behind either Tornado Alert or Chukotka on their respective debuts would be interesting.
MARCHOGION took his form up a level when runner-up at Chester last time and with further progress on the cards he looks the way to go. Blue Seeker appeals most of the clutch of potentially interesting newcomers, with Yarmouth debut third Yankee Dude another to consider in an intriguing novice.
Yankee Dude and MARCHOGION set a useful standard for the newcomers to aim at. The latter is narrowly preferred.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (22/1 -780%) Al Qareem |
22/1(-780%) | (1) Al Qareem 22/1, Smart performer who finished runner-up in Group 3 company for the third time from half-a-dozen starts this year when chasing home Al Aasy in the Geoffrey Freer at Newbury (13.3f, good to firm). Winner of this 12 months ago (sole previous visit here) and he's the one to beat. Won this race last year and Group 3 next time; solid shows in five of six races this term. |
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2nd (3) (20/1 +20%) Cristal Clere |
20/1(+20%) | (3) Cristal Clere 20/1, Won 3 on the bounce last year and best effort so far this season when second in a 7-runner listed race at Roscommon (1½m, good to firm) in July. Wasn't in the same form next time, though, and failed to justify favouritism on hurdles debut 10 days later. Second in 1m4f Listed race three starts back but he needs a fair bit extra to win this. |
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3rd (6) (11/4 -57%) La Yakel |
11/4(-57%) | (6) La Yakel 11/4, Low-mileage sort who is still progressing judged on what he's shown in 2 starts this season, building on his encouraging Ascot reappearance when readily landing a valuable Hamilton handicap (1½m, heavy) last month. Likely to take this step up in class in his stride with conditions again ideal. Excels on soft/heavy going and hit new heights on latest start; in serious contention. |
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4th (2) (9/1 +18%) Burdett Road |
9/1(+18%) | (2) Burdett Road 9/1, Won 3-y-o handicap at Royal Ascot last year and developed into a useful hurdler for this yard during the winter (Grade 2 winner). However, he failed to build on his encouraging reappearance effort when down the field in the Ebor and first-time tongue strap replaces the hood here. The Ebor three weeks ago did not go to plan but he has a fair bit to find on form anyway. |
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5th (8) (14/1 +13%) Teumessias Fox |
14/1(+13%) | (8) Teumessias Fox 14/1, Found a little more progress when successful at Kempton (1½m) in January but it's been downhill pretty much all the way since and he needs to bounce back in a major way. Acts on good to soft but unraced on worse; smart on his day; first visit here. |
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6th (5) (16/1 -33%) Iron Lion |
16/1(-33%) | (5) Iron Lion 16/1, Bagged his third win this year with a career best in a 9-runner handicap at Ripon (1½m, good) on penultimate start. However, no show in the Ebor since and probably biting off more than he can chew in this company. Inconsistent; it would be like him to resume progress but a leap forward is required. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
La Yakel landed a handicap in similar conditions at Hamilton last time out and although this requires more, he must be respected. The ground might have been different when AL QAREEM defeated Bluestocking in this 12 months ago, but he will have no problem handling the heavy going and he looks the one beat now eased in class. Iron Lion struggled in the Ebor three weeks ago but he had been progressing nicely prior to that effort, and it would come as no surprise to see him outrun his odds.
AL QAREEM got the better of high-class filly Bluestocking in this race last year and he is taken to successfully defend his crown, with the progressive La Yakel likely to emerge as the main danger this time round. Star Harbour is third choice given doubts surrounding Burdett Road on the back of his low-key display in the Ebor.
Soft or heavy ground would bring La Yakel into the argument in a big way but last year's winner AL QAREEM is the one to beat.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (10) (10/11 +52%) Diego Velazquez |
10/11(+52%) | (10) Diego Velazquez 10/11, Very smart colt who returned to form with a vengeance when winning 7-runner Meld Stakes at this course (9f, good, 8/11) 58 days ago by 7 lengths from Tarawa, forging clear. The runner-up has franked that form since and he's a big player. Bolted up in the Meld Stakes; back to 1m should not be an issue and looks a leading player. |
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2nd (5) (20/1 -150%) Mutasarref |
20/1(-150%) | (5) Mutasarref 20/1, Progressing well this year and defied a double penalty in 8-runner Desmond Stakes at this C&D (good to firm) 37 days ago by ½ length from Mountain Bear, suited by emphasis on speed. Likely to give another good account. In the form of his life this year with three wins; likely to find one or two too good. |
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3rd (12) (20/1 -67%) Mountain Bear |
20/1(-67%) | (12) Mountain Bear 20/1, Bounced back to best when ½-length second of 8 to Mutasarref in Desmond Stakes at this C&D (good to firm) 37 days ago, never nearer. This is tougher, though. Good second when left a lot to do in the Desmond Stakes; could get involved. |
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4th (6) (13/2 +28%) Poker Face |
13/2(+28%) | (6) Poker Face 13/2, Ran close to his best when second in Celebration Mile at Goodwood (8f, soft) 21 days ago, clear of rest. Yard going well and has solid each-way claims if turning up here in similar form. Good second in Group 2 contests this year at Sandown and Goodwood; needs it softer. |
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5th (3) (22/1 -57%) Lord Massusus |
22/1(-57%) | (3) Lord Massusus 22/1, C&D winner who ran another fine race when ½-length third of 8 to Mutasarref in Desmond Stakes at this C&D (good to firm, 5/1) 37 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Highly likely to give his running once again. In good form this year; unlikely to be good enough but could get into the frame. |
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6th (4) (10/3 -11%) Maljoom |
10/3(-11%) | (4) Maljoom 10/3, Took well to the fitting of blinkers when second in Group 1 Sussex Stakes at Goodwood in July. Shade disappointing in International Stakes at York last time, looking none too keen, but big form chance if bouncing back. Group 1 horse; cheekpieces applied here and will take the beating if running to his best. |
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7th (9) (80/1 -21%) Bright Stripes |
80/1(-21%) | (9) Bright Stripes 80/1, Useful colt who seemed stretched by the longer trip when fifth of 6 in Royal Whip Stakes at the Curragh (10f, good to firm) 28 days ago. Back down in trip and fitted with a first-time tongue strap but faces a stiff task. Thoroughly exposed at Group 3 level; tongue-tie tried but others make far more appeal. |
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8th (11) (9/1 +36%) Galen |
9/1(+36%) | (11) Galen 9/1, Off the mark in a 1m Curragh maiden in June and found a good opportunity when following up at Killarney the following month. Shaped a bit better than the bare result upped in grade fourth to Mutasarref in Desmond Stakes over C&D subsequently and remains with potential. Beaten fair and square behind three of these in the Desmond Stakes; others preferred. |
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9th (2) (28/1 +7%) Flight Plan |
28/1(+7%) | (2) Flight Plan 28/1, Won this race 12 months ago but remains with just one standout effort this season, having run of race when beating only 2 home in Strensall Stakes at York (8.8f) on most recent outing. Something to prove. Some revival may come with the return to this venue but hard to fancy at present. |
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10th (1) (66/1 +0%) Bold Discovery |
66/1(+0%) | (1) Bold Discovery 66/1, Added to a good record fresh when landing Group 3 over C&D in May. Well beaten both outings since, albeit reportedly lost action around 3f out when a well-held sixth behind Diego Valazquez last time. Well beaten last twice but coming back to 1m will suit; looks up against it though. |
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11th (7) (100/1 -100%) Power Under Me |
100/1(-100%) | (7) Power Under Me 100/1, Didn't need to be at best to win 5-runner minor event (5/6) at Naas (7f, good to soft) 52 days ago, driven out. Has more on his plate back up in grade. Winner of six of his 21 starts and a credit to his connections; needs it much softer. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
MALJOOM hasn't added to three wins in 2022 but was restricted to just one outing last term and has shown smart placed form this season at the highest level. The Caravaggio five-year-old was slowly away when third to Charyn in the Queen Anne at Royal Ascot and beat all bar Notable Speech in the Sussex Stakes at Goodwood. He was too keen last time when upped in trip at York and is preferred to Diego Velazquez who returned to form when a runaway winner over 1m1f here in July. Mutasarref gained a fourth course win when beating Mountain Bear by half a length, with Lord Massusus just a head further back in third, in the Group 3 Desmond Stakes last month while Poker Face also merits respect.
DIEGO VELAZQUEZ returned to form with a vengeance when forging clear of a subsequent winner in the Meld Stakes here in July and is fancied to take the step back up in grade in his stride and remain unbeaten at this track. Maljoom is sure to pose a big threat if returning to the sort of form shown when runner-up in the Sussex Stakes on his penultimate outing, while Poker Face has solid each-way claims if backing up his latest effort.
The proven Group 1 form shown over a mile by MALJOOM (nap) in the Queen Anne and Sussex Stakes will make him hard to beat
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (16) (4/1 +64%) American Affair |
4/1(+64%) | (16) American Affair 4/1, Largely progressive sprinter who bagged his second victory of 2024 at Thirsk (5f) in June. Posted a very good third of 10 to Shagraan in handicap at Haydock (5f, good) 7 days ago when not ideally placed so he must enter calculations. 4yo who has enjoyed an excellent campaign and every chance he'll be bang there. |
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2nd (2) (16/1 -14%) Apollo One |
16/1(-14%) | (2) Apollo One 16/1, Most likeable and reliable sprinter who came in second in the Stewards' Cup at Goodwood. Came home first in his group when eighth of 19 at York last time so seems sure to be on the premises again. Has frequently run highly creditably in defeat in the last two seasons; each-way shout. |
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3rd (12) (25/1 -108%) Jm Jungle |
25/1(-108%) | (12) Jm Jungle 25/1, Got back to winning ways in 22-runner handicap at York (5.4f, good to firm) 24 days ago. Up 4 lb but he's not discounted now he's hit form again. Kept on for 5.4f big-field win at York last month; 4lb rise isn't harsh and he's respected. |
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4th (1) (8/1 +33%) Albasheer |
8/1(+33%) | (1) Albasheer 8/1, Bagged his third win this year at Ascot in July and posted a good nose second of 7 to Democracy Dilemma in listed race at Beverley (5f, good to firm) 14 days ago. This course winner is very much one to consider. As good as ever when going very close in recent Beverley Listed race; possible contender. |
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6th (18) (20/1 -43%) Bergerac |
20/1(-43%) | (18) Bergerac 20/1, Scored at Newcastle in June and in good form since, faring best of those who raced near side when sixth of 22 to Jm Jungle in handicap at York (5.4f, good to firm) 24 days ago. Merits consideration off an easing mark. Did well to finish sixth at York last time given his high draw; on the shortlist. |
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7th (10) (18/1 -50%) Holkham Bay |
18/1(-50%) | (10) Holkham Bay 18/1, Is enjoying a very good year and scored at York and Ascot in June. Had the worst of the draw when twentieth of 22 to Jm Jungle in handicap at York (5.4f, good to firm) 24 days ago so can't be ruled out. Well beaten off new mark last time but on good to firm; highly progressive previously. |
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8th (9) (25/1 +38%) Silky Wilkie |
25/1(+38%) | (9) Silky Wilkie 25/1, It's now 19 starts since his last win in 2023 but he arrives in good nick, poorly drawn when thirteenth of 22 at York (5.4f, good to firm) 24 days ago. Shortlisted. Runner-up at Hamilton in July but has failed to threaten more often than not this year. |
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9th (6) (13/2 +7%) Shagraan |
13/2(+7%) | (6) Shagraan 13/2, Lightly raced for this stable and comes here better than ever, landing 5f handicaps at Glorious Goodwood and Haydock recently. Up 3 lb but he merits serious consideration. Progressive 3yo who has won two of his last three; 3lb rise for last time may not stop him. |
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10th (7) (17/2 +6%) Cover Up |
17/2(+6%) | (7) Cover Up 17/2, Won 3 on the bounce on the AW during the winter and back in top form of late, fifth in Stewards' Cup at Goodwood and big-field event at York when not enjoying the best of runs. Interesting, especially with this shorter trip promising to suit ideally. Had to wait for a clear run when fifth at York last time and he's one to consider. |
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11th (19) (14/1 +0%) Vintage Clarets |
14/1(+0%) | (19) Vintage Clarets 14/1, Enjoyed a very successful 2023 campaign, scoring 4 times, and caught the eye when eighth of 22 to Jm Jungle in handicap at York (5.4f, good to firm) 24 days ago, caught further back than ideal. Player off a 2 lb lower mark. 5th in this in 2023; seems best at bare 5f; may again be vulnerable to stronger finishers. |
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12th (13) (40/1 -60%) Woolhampton |
40/1(-60%) | (13) Woolhampton 40/1, Had usual headgear left off when recording his third victory of 2024 in 8-runner handicap at Ascot (5f, good to soft) 7 days ago. Up 4 lb but in the mix again. Strong finishes for three 5f wins this year, hinting this trip may be right up her street. |
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13th (20) (25/1 +0%) Hiya Maite |
25/1(+0%) | (20) Hiya Maite 25/1, Course winner in June and comes here on the back of a good second of 9 in handicap at Thirsk (6f, good to firm) 7 days ago. Can give another good account. This is more competitive than he's used to but he won here in June; could make bold bid. |
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14th (14) (28/1 +15%) Desert Cop |
28/1(+15%) | (14) Desert Cop 28/1, Scored at Newmarket in May but not on a going day when eleventh of 12 in handicap at Kempton (6f) 7 days ago. Visor back on now with a bit to prove. Now 2lb lower than for Newmarket win in May but unable to reproduce that form. |
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15th (22) (12/1 +40%) Aberama Gold |
12/1(+40%) | (22) Aberama Gold 12/1, Won Stewards' Cup last year and looked to be coming to the boil again until only eighth of 14 at Newcastle 23 days ago. This C&D winner remains one to be interested in though off a reduced mark. 0-10 this year but has shown spark and is on a dangerous mark; very solid record here. |
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16th (15) (33/1 -32%) Born To Rock |
33/1(-32%) | (15) Born To Rock 33/1, Debut winner for Jane Chapple-Hyam and took her form up a level on his yard debut when excellent second of 8 in handicap here (5f, good to firm) 28 days ago. She's one for the shortlist. 3yo who kept on for second over 5f here on last month's stable debut; chance. |
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17th (8) (25/1 +0%) Dream Composer |
25/1(+0%) | (8) Dream Composer 25/1, Resumed winning ways in 7-runner handicap at Pontefract (5f, good) 27 days ago by 1½ lengths from American Affair. Well on top at the finish there so not taken lightly despite a 5 lb rise. Two wins this year but now on a career-high mark in this more competitive race. |
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18th (17) (50/1 -52%) Rizg |
50/1(-52%) | (17) Rizg 50/1, Won sole start as a juvenile and displayed useful form in light 2022 campaign. Missed all of 2023 and too free when well below par in a pair of 6f handicaps at Newcastle and Ascot this summer for Roger Varian. Still needs considering though now starting out for good new yard. Very lightly raced 5yo; check betting on stable debut, but has something to prove. |
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19th (3) (25/1 -56%) Walbank |
25/1(-56%) | (3) Walbank 25/1, Much improved to land a second career success at Meydan (6f) in January. Shaped well after 6 months off before lack of a recent outing told when fourth of 12 in handicap at Goodwood (5f) 46 days ago. Much respected with tongue tie refitted. Returned from a break with creditable fourth at Glorious Goodwood and could build on that. |
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20th (11) (40/1 +39%) Wodao |
40/1(+39%) | (11) Wodao 40/1, Listed winner in Ireland for Donnacha O'Brien and he got back on track for his new yard when third of 7 in handicap at Goodwood (6f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Possibilities. Fair third at Goodwood on second stable start; needs to build on that and this is hotter. |
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21st (4) (28/1 -12%) Get It |
28/1(-12%) | (4) Get It 28/1, Successful at Windsor/Epsom before bagging a big pot in Stewards' Cup at Goodwood. Raced very wide early when fifteenth of 16 in handicap at Windsor (6f, good to firm) 33 days ago so can bounce back. Disappointing at Windsor but won Stewards' Cup previously; can't be ruled out. |
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22nd (21) (100/1 -100%) Manila Scouse |
100/1(-100%) | (21) Manila Scouse 100/1, Bagged his second win of the season at Chepstow in August but came in last of 13 at Southwell (5f) 16 days ago. Needs to get back on track. Had wins in June and August this year but soundly beaten the last twice; others preferred. |
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|DQ| (5) (17/2 +47%) Rumstar |
17/2(+47%) | (5) Rumstar 17/2, It's now 11 runs since his last win in 2022 and he failed to build on earlier promise when only fifth of 7 in handicap at Goodwood (6f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Denied clear run when seventh in the Stewards' Cup and capable of being in the mix. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
SHAGRAAN showed a likeable attitude when scoring over the minimum trip at Haydock last week. Upped 3lb, the son of Sioux Nation gets the vote to score for last year's winning jockey/trainer combination. Third behind the selection on that occasion, American Affair is entitled to be in the thick of things once more, while each-way players may look to side with Woolhampton. She arrives on the back of a cosy victory over 5f at Ascot recently and, off a 4lb higher mark, she could be staying on when others have cried enough.
This is wide open but the vote goes to COVER UP who brings some rock solid handicap form to the table whilst shaping as though this idiosyncratic trip will prove ideal too. Vintage Clarets has slipped to a very attractive mark and heads the list of dangers on the back of his eye-catching York eighth, although a good case can also be made for American Affair, Bergerac, Shagraan and Apollo One in this ultra competitive Portland.
Bar a heavy defeat in this race last year, ABERAMA GOLD has a fine record at Doncaster and is taken to exploit an attractive mark.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (10/3 +44%) The Thames Boatman |
10/3(+44%) | (5) The Thames Boatman 10/3, C&D winner. Latest win at Chelmsford City in July. Seventh of 9 in handicap at Newmarket (6f, good, 8/1) 36 days ago. Needs considering if back on his A-game. Useful on AW on his day; this should be run to suit and he's still feasibly weighted. |
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2nd (7) (15/2 -150%) Almaty Star |
15/2(-150%) | (7) Almaty Star 15/2, C&D scorer who resumed winning ways in 4-runner handicap at Goodwood (5f, good, 8/1) 11 days ago. Up 2 lb but another bold showing is on the cards. Won twice for new yard this year but this is tougher than last time and likely vulnerable. |
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3rd (9) (9/4 +70%) Mc Loven |
9/4(+70%) | (9) Mc Loven 9/4, C&D winner. Latest win here in July. 7/1, respectable fifth of 10 in handicap at Newbury (5.2f, good to firm) 28 days ago. One for the shortlist. C&D winner; has the ability to run well but other pace on show and drawn wider than ideal. |
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4th (4) (8/1 -60%) Cover Point |
8/1(-60%) | (4) Cover Point 8/1, Latest win at Musselburgh in August. 4/1, respectable third of 8 in handicap at Doncaster (5f, good to firm) 28 days ago. Makes polytrack debut and not discounted with visor added. Musselburgh win last month was followed by a good third at Doncaster; new headgear today. |
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5th (1) (7/1 +22%) Bedford Flyer |
7/1(+22%) | (1) Bedford Flyer 7/1, C&D winner. 10/1, lost chance at start when last of 14 in handicap at Newmarket (5f, good). Off 151 days. Blinkers back on. Can make his presence felt. Good record over C&D, on a dangerous mark and can go well fresh; plenty to like. |
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6th (3) (25/1 -56%) One Night Stand |
25/1(-56%) | (3) One Night Stand 25/1, 3-time C&D winner. Twenty first of 22 in handicap (100/1) at York (5.4f, good to firm) 24 days ago so needs to get back on track. Five course wins, including Listed race over C&D; quiet on turf of late; tough draw. |
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7th (8) (8/1 -129%) Invincible Speed |
8/1(-129%) | (8) Invincible Speed 8/1, 2 wins from 5 runs this year. 11/10, career best when winning 6-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 75 days ago. Very much one to consider. Won two of his five handicaps & not fully exposed just yet; this is a rise in class though. |
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8th (2) (13/2 +19%) Michaela's Boy |
13/2(+19%) | (2) Michaela's Boy 13/2, Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Last of 4 in handicap (16/5) at Chepstow (5.1f, good to firm) 12 days ago. Handily weighted if back on song. Good run on stable debut but he took a backward step at Chepstow last time. |
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9th (6) (25/1 -108%) Equity Law |
25/1(-108%) | (6) Equity Law 25/1, Latest win at Sandown in April. Eleventh of 13 in handicap at Southwell (5f, 16/1) 16 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Can give a good account if shrugging off latest effort. Big chance on his Sandown win in April but he's been disappointing since; jury out for now. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
The Thames Boatman boasts impressive stats here with a two out of two record and a return to the all-weather may see him sneak into the frame. Invincible Speed arrives in good form with a Wolverhampton victory, following two second places here over a furlong further, and he may prove the bigger danger to ALMATY STAR. Trainer Robert Cowell has a lofty reputation with his sprinters and if the four-year-old gets a clear run, he may follow up his recent Goodwood success off just 2lb higher.
A tightly-knit sprint in which ALMATY STAR is taken to follow up his recent Goodwood success and bag a second C&D victory. Invincible Speed rates a big threat though on the back of a career-best Wolverhampton win, with the handily-weighted duo Bedford Flyer and Michaela's Boy also well in the mix if back at their best.
Bedford Flyer is a major player back from a break but THE THAMES BOATMAN could find this setting up ideally for him.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (10) (11/2 +31%) Spirit Mixer |
11/2(+31%) | (10) Spirit Mixer 11/2, Down in the weights/grade and took advantage in no uncertain terms in a C&D handicap a fortnight ago. Up 4 lb in a better race but he's clearly in excellent order. Down the weights and made the most of it when well backed over C&D (good) two weeks ago. |
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2nd (13) (5/1 +58%) Mr Escobar |
5/1(+58%) | (13) Mr Escobar 5/1, In top hands but didn't always look straightforward on the level and he ran out over hurdles 3 weeks ago. Others more persuasive from out of the weights. Has failed to fulfil his promise; ran out in a hurdle race latest; 6lb out of the handicap. |
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3rd (1) (9/2 +36%) Tashkhan |
9/2(+36%) | (1) Tashkhan 9/2, Smart stayer who signed off for 2023 with a solid third in the Prix Royal-Oak at Longchamp. However, well held all 3 starts this season so has plenty to prove, even allowing for this slightly easier assignment. Well out of form this year but considered if the mud is flying again; first-time visor. |
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4th (5) (12/1 +0%) Zoffee |
12/1(+0%) | (5) Zoffee 12/1, Back on the level and well prepared to land the Chester Cup in May. No better than mid-field in 3 high-end handicaps since but edging back towards that last winning mark and stamina definitely his forte. Won the Chester Cup in May off 2lb lower; no impact in his three races since. |
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5th (8) (7/2 +50%) Vera Verto |
7/2(+50%) | (8) Vera Verto 7/2, Newmarket winner from a higher mark during the autumn and confirmed she's in excellent order when runner-up at Killarney 3 weeks ago. Looks ready for 2m and she's of serious interest. Never-nearer second at Killarney (extended 1m6f, yielding to soft) latest; one to consider. |
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6th (4) (11/2 +8%) Emiyn |
11/2(+8%) | (4) Emiyn 11/2, Likeable sort who showed benefit of his reappearance effort when finishing a fine second in a first-time visor in the Chester Cup in May. Confirmed he's in top form when third at Haydock a fortnight later and he's fresher than most having been given a break. Off since May; excellent 2nd in the Chester Cup and all wins have been on softer than good. |
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7th (9) (25/1 -56%) Zealandia |
25/1(-56%) | (9) Zealandia 25/1, Failed to beat a rival in Northumberland Plate at Newcastle (16.2f) and while he ran much better at Ascot a month ago, his failure to keep straight means his attitude is now in question. Has Chester form but his record here highlights his inconsistency. |
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8th (3) (33/1 -32%) Roberto Escobarr |
33/1(-32%) | (3) Roberto Escobarr 33/1, Smart performer who won a pair of Group 3s last year. Creditable fourth under a big weight in a Newcastle handicap on New Year's Day but he's been well below par since, including for this yard. Hopes rest on re-application of cheekpieces. Dual Group 3 winner for other yards last term; out of form February-August this year. |
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9th (7) (14/1 +30%) Sheradann |
14/1(+30%) | (7) Sheradann 14/1, Quickly reached a useful level in France last year, winning 3 times at up to 15f in the autumn. Changed hands for €250,000 and yet to really hit the ground running for this yard, but he's not fully exposed. Promise on penultimate start, one week before Ascot flop; testing ground offers hope. |
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10th (2) (25/1 -127%) Shanroe |
25/1(-127%) | (2) Shanroe 25/1, Smart veteran who ran a career best when winning a listed race here over 14.4f a year ago. Didn't have a prep run when well held in a stronger renewal a fortnight ago and this step up in trip will suit back on a handicap. 1m6f Listed win here last year; off 300 days before fair fifth in same event two weeks ago. |
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11th (12) (16/1 +0%) Goobinator |
16/1(+0%) | (12) Goobinator 16/1, Dual purpose performer who proved he retains his ability following 18 months off when successful at Catterick (12f, heavy) in October. Not disgraced under either code since and he'll probably be plugging on for minor honours. 1lb higher than for Catterick win (heavy) last October and stays well; worth a second look. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
The front-running Emiyn was second to Tashkhan in the corresponding event last year and both can be expected to go well once more, but a chance is taken on ROBERTO ESCOBARR. The son of Galileo has faced some tough assignments this campaign but now returned to handicap on ground that will suit, he has been given a real chance by the assessor. Irish raider Vera Verto appeals as a likely candidate too, while Spirit Mixer would appear to hold every chance if handling the underfoot conditions.
VERA VERTO won off a higher mark last autumn and a runner-up effort at Killarney 3 weeks ago confirms she's back in excellent order. With that in mind, she makes as much appeal as any of these, with Emiyn and Aqwaam (returning from a break) a couple of potential threats.
If he's fit enough after a break and avoids a slow start this time, EMIYN (nap) can go one better than in the Chester Cup.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (5/4 +9%) Porta Fortuna |
5/4(+9%) | (6) Porta Fortuna 5/4, Won the Group 1 Cheveley Park at 2 and has taken her form up another notch this year, going close in the 1000 Guineas before taking the Coronation at Royal Ascot and the Falmouth at Newmarket this summer. Likeable and smart mare who just about sets the standard. Top-class performer and will take a big performance to beat her; always runs a big race. |
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2nd (4) (5/2 +17%) Fallen Angel |
5/2(+17%) | (4) Fallen Angel 5/2, Too Darn Hot filly who ended her excellent 2-y-o campaign with victory in the Group 1 Moyglare at the Curragh (7f, good to soft). Closer to a strong pace than ideal when 4½ lengths eighth of 16 to Elmalka in 1000 Guineas and back on track in no uncertain terms when winning Irish equivalent. Right at her best when bolting up in the Irish 1,000 Guineas last time; huge force. |
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3rd (7) (14/1 +0%) Soprano |
14/1(+0%) | (7) Soprano 14/1, Much improved when landing the Sandringham Handicap at Royal Ascot and things didn't go her way on next 2 starts. Ridden more positively when gaining pattern breakthrough in Group 3 company at Deauville last month, comfortably but this asks a different question. Worth a crack at a G1 again off the back of G3 win in France she will probably fall short. |
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4th (10) (6/1 +8%) Ylang Ylang |
6/1(+8%) | (10) Ylang Ylang 6/1, Frankel filly who won 3 of her 5 starts as a juvenile, notably the Fillies' Mile. Good ¾-length fifth of 16 to Elmalka in 1000 Guineas at Newmarket on reappearance but just wasn't herself when sent off a warm order in the Oaks. Excuses for run in the Desmond Stakes over C&D and she can bounce back. No good in C&D G3 last time; clearly has lots of ability but is proving costly to follow. |
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5th (8) (14/1 +30%) Vespertilio |
14/1(+30%) | (8) Vespertilio 14/1, Group 2 winner as a juvenile and shaped well on reappearance when third from a tough draw in Group 1 Poule d'Essai des Pouliches at Longchamp in May. Unable to replicate that level twice since, albeit she was hampered latest. Excellent second to Fallen Angel in the Group 1 Moyglare last year but not as good since. |
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6th (2) (150/1 -50%) Mammas Girl |
150/1(-50%) | (2) Mammas Girl 150/1, Quickly achieved useful level for Richard Hannon in 2023. Kept pretty good company since but limitations exposed since and she's in for another struggle. Only ran okay when fourth in Tipperary Group 3 when last seen; she's going to struggle. |
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7th (9) (66/1 +0%) Wendla |
66/1(+0%) | (9) Wendla 66/1, Well-related filly who landed a maiden/Group 3 in the spring but subsequent efforts confirm she's short of this top level. C&D G3 winner but made little impact in recent starts and is difficult to recommend. |
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8th (5) (9/1 +0%) Jancis |
9/1(+0%) | (5) Jancis 9/1, Striking winning debut despite unflattering odds over 7.2f here in June and took a leap forward when following up in the Group 3 Brownstown Stakes a month later. Ought to stay 1m and she demands respect. Fiesolana won this race in 2014 for the yard and this filly could be every bit as good. |
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9th (1) (100/1 -52%) Magical Sunset |
100/1(-52%) | (1) Magical Sunset 100/1, Won the Group 3 Oak Tree at Goodwood (7f, heavy) last summer for Richard Hannon but her form is essentially no better than useful and she's up against it again in this company. Blinkers on first time. Has 7l to find with Porta Fortuna on Falmouth Stakes run at Newmarket when last seen. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
PORTA FORTUNA is well suited by a sound surface and has progressed well this season. The Donnacha O'Brien-trained filly was just denied in the Qipco 1000 Guineas but went one better in the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot before following up in great style in the Falmouth at Newmarket, with Rogue Millennium four lengths back in third. Fallen Angel bounced back from a below par effort in the Guineas at Newmarket by making all for an impressive win in the Irish equivalent at the Curragh but has been sidelined since through injury. Soprano deserves a crack at this level after a convincing Group 3 win at Deauville last month.
PORTA FORTUNA already has 3 top-level victories to her name and with her superb attitude on her side, she's selected to strike again. Fallen Angel is clear-second choice on form and is fresh for this having been off since her ready Irish 1000 Guineas success, while the unknown quantity in the line-up is Jancis given she defends an unbeaten record.
Willie McCreery had his best day as a trainer when Fiesolana won this race in 2014 and JANCIS might prove to be every bit as good
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (11/4 -22%) Kinross |
11/4(-22%) | (2) Kinross 11/4, Very smart sort who won the Lennox Stakes at Goodwood in 2023 and shaped well in latest renewal of that race when 5 lengths third of 8 to Audience 46 days ago, caught further back than ideal. Won this race in 2022 and he's a major player on these terms. Tremendous servant, winner of this race in 2022; below best this year; rain would help. |
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2nd (9) (9/4 +44%) Lead Artist |
9/4(+44%) | (9) Lead Artist 9/4, Progressive colt who took the next step in his development when overcoming a pace bias to land the Thoroughbred Stakes over 1m at Goodwood last month. Uncomplicated start who can improve again so major claims back in trip. Just four races (1m); cosy winner of Goodwood Group 3; exciting contender. |
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3rd (5) (14/1 +44%) Shouldvebeenaring |
14/1(+44%) | (5) Shouldvebeenaring 14/1, Acquitted himself well in some Group 1s last year, notably when just denied in the Sprint Cup. Best effort this season when good second in Duke of York at the Dante Meeting (picked up a Group 2 at Deauville) but wasn't really on a "going" day back at Haydock last week. None too reliable but won Group 3 at Deauville in July and has a chance if on a going day. |
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4th (6) (25/1 +24%) Vetiver |
25/1(+24%) | (6) Vetiver 25/1, Useful fully who bounced back to form to land 8-runner listed race at Chelmsford (7f) in July. Not ideally placed in the Oak Tree Stakes at Goodwood since so needs treating as though still in top form. This is a pretty tall order, however. Listed winner before close fourth in Goodwood Group 3; more needed but going the right way. |
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5th (1) (11/4 +63%) Poet Master |
11/4(+63%) | (1) Poet Master 11/4, Lightly-raced 4-y-o who cranked it up another notch when landing 6-runner Group 2 at the Curragh in July. Can boast a fine 5-7 strike rate and he's a major player, even with his penalty. Highly progressive; ran away with Curragh Group 2 last time; major player despite penalty. |
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6th (4) (40/1 +20%) Popmaster |
40/1(+20%) | (4) Popmaster 40/1, Smart performance when landing listed race at Newbury a year ago and matched that with a huge effort in handicap company at Ascot soon after. Failed to finish better than fifth in a handful of starts in 2024 and this no easy race to bounce back in. In top form this time last year; running respectably at present but will need career best. |
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7th (10) (33/1 -10%) Folgaria |
33/1(-10%) | (10) Folgaria 33/1, Unbeaten in 5 starts in Italy for Stefano Botti last year and having transferred to Britain, she made a winning reappearance in the Fred Darling. Bit underwhelming since, though. Hasn't made an impact at Group 1 and 2 level of late; others have more obvious claims. |
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8th (3) (28/1 +15%) Pogo |
28/1(+15%) | (3) Pogo 28/1, Still smart at the age of 8 but seemingly not quite capable nowadays of his peak rating, never able to land a blow in the Lennox Stakes in July. Below-par fifth in Lennox at Goodwood last time; exposed and would be a surprise winner. |
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9th (7) (8/1 +0%) Al Shabab Storm |
8/1(+0%) | (7) Al Shabab Storm 8/1, Improving son of Advertise who won a handicap/listed race over 7f at Chester in the summer and showed really likeable attitude when adding to tally in Group 3 company at Bade-Baden 3 weeks ago. Touch more needed but he's going the right way. 3-4 for Jason Watson including German Group 3 last time; drying ground might be an issue. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Kinross performed with more credit than the bare result suggests when a running-on third in the Lennox at Goodwood last time and another bold bid is expected. Last-time-out winner Poet Master is another to note, but LEAD ARTIST gets the nod. The progressive three-year-old showed a really likeable attitude when winning the Group 3 Thoroughbred Stakes at Goodwood last month and should have more to come.
A fascinating clash between established older horses and improving 3-y-os. LEAD ARTIST is in the latter category and given he was value for extra when winning at Goodwood last month, he can take this step up in class in his stride. Kinross won this back in 2022 and is very likely to give it another good go.
Pride of place goes to the well-bred LEAD ARTIST who was having only his fourth run when gaining a cosy Group 3 success at Goodwood.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (11/2 -65%) Lunarscape |
11/2(-65%) | (3) Lunarscape 11/2, Latest win at Ffos Las in August. 2/1, good second of 5 in handicap at Ffos Las (7.4f, heavy) 16 days ago. Can go well again. In good form on turf last month; 0-10 on AW but has made the frame five times. |
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2nd (1) (5/1 +9%) Silver Nightfall |
5/1(+9%) | (1) Silver Nightfall 5/1, 8/1, solid third of 5 in handicap at Chepstow (8.1f, good to firm) 12 days ago. Visor on 1st time and needs considering. Quickly running into form for new stable; returns to AW off an attractive mark. |
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3rd (7) (15/2 +6%) Molly Valentine |
15/2(+6%) | (7) Molly Valentine 15/2, Course winner. 6/1, sixth of 8 in handicap at Kempton (8f) 25 days ago. Can give a good account if shrugging off latest effort. Has failed to see out her races this year; however, well treated on best form. |
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4th (2) (7/4 +56%) Twilight Dancer |
7/4(+56%) | (2) Twilight Dancer 7/4, Latest win at Brighton in April. Very good second of 9 in handicap at this course (7f, AW, 6/1) 9 days ago, running on. Weighted to go close with the return to 1m also a likely plus. Three turf wins over 7f; respectable second off lower AW mark here (7f) last week. |
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5th (6) (7/1 -40%) Astronomica |
7/1(-40%) | (6) Astronomica 7/1, 15/2, good second of 11 in handicap at Nottingham (8.3f, good) 87 days ago. Ought to be in the shake-up. Largely consistent on turf; absent since June; something to prove back on AW. |
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6th (8) (6/1 +50%) Solara |
6/1(+50%) | (8) Solara 6/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Hooded for 1st time, below form fifth of 9 in handicap (18/1) at Carlisle (9f, soft) 16 days ago. Makes polytrack debut with more required. From a successful female line for her owner; remains open to improvement. |
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7th (5) (16/1 -78%) Deep Blue |
16/1(-78%) | (5) Deep Blue 16/1, Fourth of 5 in handicap at Chepstow (8.1f, good to firm, 7/1) 12 days ago. Has work to do. Six-race maiden who has recorded her best RPRs on turf. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Silver Nightfall sports a first-time visor, and if that keeps the Adaay gelding on a straighter path, he may well get into the mix where it matters despite top-weight. Twilight Dancer is beginning to look well-handicapped and showed signs of a return to her best when second here. She may be the one to chase home ASTRONOMICA. Left with too much to do when second at Nottingham, an added 4lb may not stop her here if she can be ridden nearer to the pace.
TWILIGHT DANCER signalled she's ready to go in again when a very good recent second here so looks the way to go in this open handicap. Lunarscape heads the list of dangers on the back of her good Ffos Las second, with in-form duo Astronomica and Tronido also in the mix.
Being a strong contender on current form, LUNARSCAPE may be able to open her AW account. Silver Nightfall is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Change Of Fortune |
(8) (18/1 -80%)18/1(-80%) | (8) Change Of Fortune 18/1, Remains a maiden after 22 Flat runs. 15/2, ran on this season's better races when third of 6 in handicap at Ffos Las (10f, heavy) 16 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Record is 0-22; chance of finally winning depends on how well he reacts to blinkers. |
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1st (6) (11/1 +31%) Mrs Meader |
11/1(+31%) | (6) Mrs Meader 11/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Last of 8 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f, 50/1) 39 days ago, going off too hard. Mark continues to fall but would need to see more before becoming of interest. Scored twice off higher marks under Ross Birkett in 2022; one to consider. |
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2nd (11) (18/1 -13%) Bascinet |
18/1(-13%) | (11) Bascinet 18/1, 8/1, bit below form fifth of 9 in handicap at Brighton (11.9f, good) 25 days ago, typically taking strong hold and weakening final 1f. Others more persuasive. Three-time AW winner; only a modest fourth over C&D in July; 0-10 on turf. |
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3rd (14) (10/1 +64%) Harlington |
10/1(+64%) | (14) Harlington 10/1, Last of 8 in handicap at Pontefract (10f, good, 40/1) 75 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Ralph Smith. Something to find on form. 0-8 and far from consistent for Ralph Smith; not sure what to expect. |
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4th (2) (9/1 -50%) French Martini |
9/1(-50%) | (2) French Martini 9/1, Very good second of 6 in handicap at Brighton (11.9f, good, 15/2) 13 days ago, keeping on again last ½f. One to consider. Still a maiden but showed clear promise under David Dunsdon at Brighton the last twice. |
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5th (1) (11/2 0%) Gearing's Point |
11/2(0%) | (1) Gearing's Point 11/2, C&D winner. Off 6 months, returned with a creditable fifth of 9 in handicap (14/1) at Windsor (11.4f, good to firm) 12 days ago, running on. Worth a second look operating from a handy mark. Ran encouragingly at Windsor last week; won off this mark over C&D in July 2023. |
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6th (5) (10/1 -67%) Sea Of Charm |
10/1(-67%) | (5) Sea Of Charm 10/1, Two wins from 42 Flat runs. Creditable second of 6 in handicap at Salisbury (8f, good to firm, 10/3) 15 days ago, hanging badly left from 2f out. Significantly back up in trip. In-form mare; made the frame under William Dunlop in last four runs; solid chance. |
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7th (9) (20/1 -150%) Parikarma |
20/1(-150%) | (9) Parikarma 20/1, 5/1, last of 7 in handicap at Ffos Las (16f, heavy) 22 days ag, beaten over 2f out. Previous efforts over hurdles/on Flat were solid so not dismissed if he can leave latest run behind. Hurdles winner and Flat runner-up under Imogen Mathias; form dipped last time. |
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8th (7) (5/1 +64%) Captain Haddock |
5/1(+64%) | (7) Captain Haddock 5/1, Twenty six runs since last win in 2021. Bit below form third of 7 in handicap (16/1) at Ffos Las (16f, heavy) 22 days ago. Back down in trip. Has lots of form under Henry Main; on a three-year losing spell but is well treated. |
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9th (3) (9/2 +18%) Psyche |
9/2(+18%) | (3) Psyche 9/2, Given a chance by the assessor after 21 months off and caught the eye when third of 10 in handicap at Lingfield (15.8f, AW) 18 days ago, keeping on final 1f under hands-and-heels riding. One to keep an eye on with that under his belt. Down in trip. Ran respectably last month on return from long absence; drops back sharply in trip. |
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10th (4) (9/1 +36%) Angelica K |
9/1(+36%) | (4) Angelica K 9/1, Fourth of 5 in handicap (10/1) at Ffos Las (12f, heavy) 15 days ago, losing place over 2f out. Needs to bounce back. Has some encouraging form and looks quite interesting with Serena Brotherton booked. |
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11th (12) (22/1 -57%) Breguet Boy |
22/1(-57%) | (12) Breguet Boy 22/1, Last of 6 in handicap (5/1) at Brighton (11.9f, good) 13 days ago, weakening over 1f out having taken a strong hold. Needs to bounce back. Won at Windsor last October and second at Chepstow in June; out of sorts since. |
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12th (13) (20/1 -122%) Penalty Shootout |
20/1(-122%) | (13) Penalty Shootout 20/1, 9/2 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, last of 5 in handicap at Ffos Las (10f, heavy) 15 days ago, dropping away quickly. Must find best form if she's to feature. 3yo maiden; could go well off this reduced mark returned to forecast better ground. |
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13th (10) (9/1 -13%) Hurtle |
9/1(-13%) | (10) Hurtle 9/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Last of 10 in handicap (2/1) at Brighton (11.9f, good to soft) in May. Absent subsequently but worth noting her best effort this season did come at this venue previously. Absent since May; penultimate effort (second over C&D) gives him place claims. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Sea Of Charm is in good form after hitting the crossbar for the second time in a row at Salisbury last month and she should remain competitive off her current mark. However, FRENCH MARTINI looks the way to go. Gary and Josh Moore's four-year-old produced an improved display when filling the runner-up spot at Brighton earlier in the month and she could prove hard to beat on that form. Captain Haddock is the pick of the remainder.
GEARING'S POINT ran with credit without getting a clear run at things after 6 months off when fifth at Windsor 12 days ago and, operating from a handy mark, she could be the way to go. French Martini and Sea of Charm are a pair of fellow in-form sorts and feared. Psyche is another to keep an eye on in a tricky opener.
Judged on her last two efforts, FRENCH MARTINI appears set to get off the mark. Angelica K is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (10/3 +52%) Fuji Mountain |
10/3(+52%) | (1) Fuji Mountain 10/3, Speedy sort who came good back in calmer waters when making all in 8-runner C&D novice (soft) in July. Struggled in group/listed company since but switch to handicaps in his favour and he's proven with plenty of give underfoot. Readily made all in C&D novice in July on sole encounter with slow ground (good to soft). |
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2nd (2) (10/1 -43%) Teej A |
10/1(-43%) | (2) Teej A 10/1, Progressive earlier this term, winning 2 of first 3 starts including Woodcote Stakes at Epsom (6f, soft) in May. However, she's taken backward steps subsequently, well held on nursery debut at York 6 days ago. Has good bit to prove at present even allowing for the ease in class. Won course maiden then the Woodcote at Epsom, but down the field on her three runs since. |
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3rd (6) (11/2 +21%) Havana Gila |
11/2(+21%) | (6) Havana Gila 11/2, Opened account at York (5f) in June and back to that sort of form of late, third of 7 in nursery at Goodwood (6f, good) 11 days ago, every chance over 1f out and not quicken. Return to the minimum trip in her favour on that evidence. 5f novice winner at York; encouraging third in Goodwood nursery latest; possible player. |
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4th (9) (5/2 +29%) Invincible Annice |
5/2(+29%) | (9) Invincible Annice 5/2, Ran well when chasing home Invincible Song at Ripon on penultimate start and confirmed as much when going one place better in 5-runner Hamilton novice (5f, soft) 10 days ago, leading over 2f out and always holding on. Appeals as the type who can go on again back in nurseries. Won heavy-ground novice at Hamilton recently and she's one to consider. |
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5th (3) (13/2 -86%) Pont Neuf |
13/2(-86%) | (3) Pont Neuf 13/2, Won 5f novices at Kempton (AW) and Salisbury (heavy) on first 2 starts but struggled in better company more recently, seeming to find 6f too far in valuable sales' race at Newmarket 3 weeks ago. Will hold more chance now handicapping. Soft-ground winner who could go well now back down in trip on nursery debut. |
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6th (5) (5/1 +9%) Invincible Song |
5/1(+9%) | (5) Invincible Song 5/1, Invincible Spirit filly who stepped forward when fourth on handicap debut and first-time blinkers seemed the catalyst for further progress when making all at Ripon (5f, good to firm) 18 days ago, by 1½ lengths from Invincible Annice. Respected up 6 lb. Made all in first-time blinkers at Ripon and could have more to offer in the headgear. |
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7th (7) (14/1 +0%) Jm Jhingree |
14/1(+0%) | (7) Jm Jhingree 14/1, Won a 5f Redcar maiden in May before a good third in Beverley conditions' event. Has found progress stalling more recently though, not looking particularly well treated when sixth of 8 in nursery (15/2) at Beverley (5f, good) 20 days ago. Others more persuasive. Worth a second look given he's a soft-ground winner, but he needs to raise his game. |
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8th (8) (100/1 -614%) Kodibeat |
100/1(-614%) | (8) Kodibeat 100/1, Bred to be a speedy 2-y-o and proved just that when making a winning debut at Kempton (5f) in April. Far from disgraced in finishing midfield in novice company thereafter and switch to nurseries in her favour having joined new yard for 12,000 gns in July. Makes nursery/yard debut after three-month break; needs to find some improvement. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
INVINCIBLE SONG got off the mark in a similar event over 5f at Ripon last month and a 6lb rise for that success may not be enough to stop her from following up. Invincible Annice also arrives here on the back of a victory and Karl Burke's filly should not be underestimated, while the unexposed Kodibeat and Havana Gila are others who merit a place on the shortlist.
This looks competitive but INVINCIBLE ANNICE confirmed the promise of her previous two starts when resuming winning ways at Hamilton 10 days ago and she appeals as the type to make her mark again returned to nursery company. Ardennes, Ripon-scorer Invincible Song and Fuji Mountain, returned to calmer waters, are others to consider.
Having impressed when making all in a C&D novice in July, FUJI MOUNTAIN gets the nod now back here for his first nursery start.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (7/4 -27%) Economics |
7/4(-27%) | (5) Economics 7/4, Burst on the Group-race scene with a 6-length win in the Dante at York in May and underlined that he's potentially out of the top drawer when readily picking of Jayarebe in a Deauville Group 2 3 months later (both 1¼m, good). Can take the step up to Group 1 level in his stride. This is by far his sternest test to date; he will have to be a very good horse to pass it. |
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2nd (1) (9/4 +25%) Auguste Rodin |
9/4(+25%) | (1) Auguste Rodin 9/4, Has flopped a few times but very much on a going day when winning this last year and showed he's as good as ever at 4 when landing the Prince of Wales's at Royal Ascot in June. Threw in one of his lesser efforts in the King George since but he's always bounced straight back from poor runs before. Has to bounce back from an ordinary effort in the King George in July but has done so. |
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3rd (8) (16/1 +0%) Shin Emperor |
16/1(+0%) | (8) Shin Emperor 16/1, Smart Japanese-trained filly who was last seen finishing third in their Derby at Tokyo (1½m, good to firm) in May. Will need to advance her form a good deal if she is to make her first start in Europe a winning one. Given the reputation of Japanese horses when travelling in recent years is hard to dismiss. |
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4th (7) (8/1 -45%) Los Angeles |
8/1(-45%) | (7) Los Angeles 8/1, The only defeat of his 6-race career came when third in the Epsom Derby. Took the Irish version at the Curragh 4 weeks later and probably even slightly bettered that form when defying a Group 1 penalty in the Voltigeur at York. The drop back to 1¼m isn't certain to play his strengths. Did enough to win the Irish Derby and the Great Voltigeur; intriguing dropped back in trip. |
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5th (6) (11/2 +54%) Ghostwriter |
11/2(+54%) | (6) Ghostwriter 11/2, Group 2 winner at 2 and has reached the frame at Group 1 level on all 4 starts this year, on the latest finishing 4½ lengths third of 13 to City of Troy in the International at York (1¼m, good). Place claims again. Has found it tougher this season but has yet to run a bad race; likely to fall short. |
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6th (3) (11/1 +21%) Luxembourg |
11/1(+21%) | (3) Luxembourg 11/1, High-class horse who notched the fourth Group 1 success of his career in the Coronation Cup at Epsom (1½m, soft) at the end of May but a well-beaten sixth in the King George at Ascot since. Needs first-time cheekpieces to have a positive effect. Well below par in the King George last time; cheekpieces tried and capable of a big run. |
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7th (4) (25/1 +50%) Royal Rhyme |
25/1(+50%) | (4) Royal Rhyme 25/1, Ayr listed winner last autumn and added to his very good record on going softer than good when landing the Brigadier Gerard at Sandown (1¼m, soft) on his reappearance in May. Limitations exposed on a quicker surface since and would only enter the each-way equation should the ground turn soft. Not disgraced but exposed in better company since Sandown and unlikely to contend here. |
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8th (2) (250/1 -25%) Hans Andersen |
250/1(-25%) | (2) Hans Andersen 250/1, Very useful in his own right but often employed as a pacemaker in Group 1s this summer, although not in the International at York last time (well held). Chance he'll resume those front-running duties today but big outsider either way. Group 3 winner last year; in here very much in a pacemaking role today. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
ECONOMICS burst onto the scene when taking the Dante Stakes by six lengths at York and after connections decided to miss the Derby and give the colt a mid-season break, again showed an impressive turn of foot to beat Jayarebe by two lengths in another Group 2 at Deauville last month. Auguste Rodin's impressive haul of six top level wins includes a half-length defeat of Luxembourg in this race last year but he put in a below par effort at Ascot last time. Irish Derby winner Los Angeles may find this trip a bit sharp, while Shin Emperor has been placed twice in Grade 1 events in Japan including last time when third to Danon Decile in the Japanese Derby back in May.
A cracking renewal in which ECONOMICS, who has been so impressive in Group 2 company on his last 2 starts, can show he has what it takes to come out on top at the highest level. Last year's winner Auguste Rodin can bounce back from his below-par run in the King George and provide the chief threat ahead of Ghostwriter.
Preference is for last year's winner AUGUSTE RODIN, who has to bounce back from a poor run at Ascot, but he has done it before
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (11/4 +31%) Jan Brueghel |
11/4(+31%) | (4) Jan Brueghel 11/4, Galileo colt who was a wide-margin winner of a 10-runner maiden at the Curragh on debut and overcame the rise in class/greenness to follow up in 10f Group 3 there. Toughed it out well to maintain his unbeaten record in Gordon Stakes at Goodwood and extra distance promises to suit. Big shout. 3-3; similar form to the other leading contenders, while still looking a work in progress. |
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2nd (3) (11/4 -22%) Illinois |
11/4(-22%) | (3) Illinois 11/4, Progressive sort who proved his stamina for this trip when winning the Queen's Vase at Royal Ascot. Good second in Grand Prix de Paris at Longchamp next time before going down only narrowly in Great Voltigeur at York. Solid claims. Won Queen's Vase; improved 2nd at 1m4f since, while looking as if return to 1m6f will suit. |
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3rd (5) (11/2 -10%) Sunway |
11/2(-10%) | (5) Sunway 11/2, Winner of Group 1 Criterium International at Saint-Cloud on final 2-y-o start. Yet to score this season but took form to another level when ¾-length second in Irish Derby, staying on strongly. Again shaped like a stayer when fourth in King George at Ascot so big run expected stepping up in trip. Staying-on second in Irish Derby at the Curragh (1m4f, good) is his standout performance. |
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5th (2) (7/2 +30%) Grosvenor Square |
7/2(+30%) | (2) Grosvenor Square 7/2, Has clearly improved for the step up to this trip, worn down only close home in Curragh Cup before runaway winner of Irish St Leger Trial at the Curragh 4 weeks ago, Hard to know exactly what he achieved for latter success (main rivals below form) but respected all the same. Came good again with two seriously committed front-running rides over 1m6f at the Curragh. |
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6th (6) (40/1 +20%) Wild Waves |
40/1(+20%) | (6) Wild Waves 40/1, Looked very progressive when winning first 2 handicaps, latterly over this C&D. Can have a line put through next run (slipped badly) and got back on the up when fourth of 16 in Melrose at York, coming from further back than the trio that beat him. Remains with potential but this is a big ask. While better than the Melrose Handicap result at York, he has a mountain to climb in this. |
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7th (7) (13/2 -18%) You Got To Me |
13/2(-18%) | (7) You Got To Me 13/2, Won Oaks Trial at Lingfield on return before making the frame in Oaks at Epsom and Ribblesdale at Ascot. Took another step forward fitted with a tongue strap when winning the Irish Oaks at the Curragh before good second in Yorkshire Oaks. Likely to stay and receives 3 lb from the colts. Seems to be settling down a bit; galloped on to win Irish Oaks and when Yorkshire Oaks 2nd. |
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|DQ| (1) (28/1 -56%) Deira Mile |
28/1(-56%) | (1) Deira Mile 28/1, Wide-margin winner of Windsor novice on return before running a cracker in first-time cheekpieces when 7½ lengths fourth of 16 in Derby at Epsom. Only just failed back from a break in listed race at Windsor 3 weeks ago but free-going ways is a concern going up in distance. Change of headgear. Staying-on 4th in the Derby and 2nd in Windsor Listed race; swaps cheekpieces for blinkers. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Illinois landed the Queens Vase over 1m6f at Ascot in June and looks sure to launch a serious challenge having gone close in the Great Voltigeur at York last time, but stablemate JAN BRUEGHEL may prove the one to side with. The unbeaten full-brother to an Irish Derby winner is improving at a rate of knots and beat a subsequent winner when taking the Group 3 Gordon Stakes at Goodwood on only this third outing. Irish Oaks winner You Got To Me was supplemented for this and makes more appeal than Sunway and Grosvenor Square of the remainder.
Aidan O'Brien typically holds a strong hand as he bids for a seventh success in the oldest Classic, while Ralph Beckett tries to win this with a filly once again, but SUNWAY looks the value call. His close second in the Irish Derby puts him right up there in terms of form and the longer distance promises to suit. The unbeaten Jan Brueghel has the most potential in the field and rates the main threat, though stablemate Illinois is also well in the mix on his narrow Great Voltigeur second.
The oldest Classic is probably heading back to Ballydoyle, with ILLINOIS (nap) the tip from Jan Brueghel and Grosvenor Square.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (7/1 +42%) Melisende |
7/1(+42%) | (1) Melisende 7/1, Blinkered for 1st time, eighth of 11 in handicap (18/1) at Yarmouth (6f, good) 59 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time/cheekpieces back on. Has not kicked on from her promising handicap debut in April; more new accessories today. |
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2nd (5) (6/5 +40%) Shamardia |
6/5(+40%) | (5) Shamardia 6/5, Showed improved form when opening account in 9-runner handicap (7/2) at this C&D (AW) 9 days ago, bit in hand. Expected to be bang there in follow-up bid. Off mark at the 8th attempt when keeping on well over C&D last week; good claims up 2lb. |
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3rd (7) (4/1 -33%) Phoenix Moon |
4/1(-33%) | (7) Phoenix Moon 4/1, Showed improved form to get off the mark in 4-runner handicap (11/2) at this C&D (AW) 14 days ago, albeit aided by the run of the race. Respected up 3 lb. Made all at steady pace (C&D) 2 weeks ago; those tactics won't be so easy to execute today. |
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4th (3) (4/1 -45%) Katie G |
4/1(-45%) | (3) Katie G 4/1, C&D winner. 11/10, length third of 4 to Phoenix Moon in handicap at this C&D (AW) 14 days ago. Visor back on. Should be thereabouts once more. Two 6f AW wins this year, including here; behind Phoenix Moon last time; visor returns. |
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5th (6) (16/1 -33%) Chiedozie |
16/1(-33%) | (6) Chiedozie 16/1, Followed a below-par effort with an even worse one when last of 8 in handicap (16/1) at Windsor (5.1f, good to firm) 12 days ago. Visor on for 1st time. Placed twice over 5f last month but quiet twice since; new headgear today. |
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6th (4) (20/1 -186%) Unavailable |
20/1(-186%) | (4) Unavailable 20/1, back-to-back course winner in April who shaped as if amiss when tailed off at Thirsk last time. Two wins here in April; quiet in two runs back from a break; headgear absent again. |
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7th (2) (40/1 -150%) Destiny Maker |
40/1(-150%) | (2) Destiny Maker 40/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Eleventh of 12 in maiden at Southwell (6.1f, 150/1) 15 days ago. Hooded for handicap debut. Hooded for his handicap debut but he looks opposable on balance. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
PHOENIX MOON was allowed to race on the front end when winning over course and distance last month after pulling too hard most of this season. If she is finally learning to settle, an added 3lb from the handicapper may not stop her following up. Shamardia is another C&D winner after getting up late to score by a neck earlier in the month and she can also go well, leaving Katie G to fill the final placing.
SHAMARDIA had a bit in hand when opening her account over C&D last week, so a small rise in the weights doesn't look enough to prevent the follow up. Katie G is feared most ahead of Phoenix Moon.
A small rise in the weights may well not stop SHAMARDIA (nap) from following up her recent C&D win. Katie G is best of the rest.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (9/4 +36%) Calshot Spit |
9/4(+36%) | (2) Calshot Spit 9/4, Deservedly opened his account following a strong of consistent efforts at Lingfield (13f) 2 starts back and again ran well when second of 14 in handicap hurdle at Stratford (16.3f, good) 18 days ago. Likely player again returned to the level. In form on the Flat and over hurdles; trip query on pedigree but it's worth a go. |
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2nd (4) (15/2 +6%) Tigerten |
15/2(+6%) | (4) Tigerten 15/2, Fifteen runs since last win in 2023. Seventh of 11 in handicap at Nottingham (14f, good, 6/1) 87 days ago. Back up in trip. First run for yard after leaving Kevin Frost. Latest win in May 2023; in good form for K Frost before break; regular tongue-tie missing. |
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3rd (10) (9/1 -50%) Triple Nickle |
9/1(-50%) | (10) Triple Nickle 9/1, Finished runner-up on 3 of his 4 previous starts and, faced with more testing conditions, didn't need to improve to win 9-runner handicap at Ffos Las (2m, heavy) 16 days ago. Should give another good account up just 2 lb. Had few chances over this sort of trip on turf; cosy 2m winner latest; good claims. |
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4th (8) (8/1 +0%) Humaniste |
8/1(+0%) | (8) Humaniste 8/1, Eighteen runs since last win in 2018. Creditable 1¼ lengths third of 9 to Triple Nickle in handicap at Ffos Las (2m, heavy) 16 days ago, staying on final 1f. Likely to be on the premises again. Won his 6th point in May; in form on the Flat since, close 3rd over 2m (heavy) latest. |
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5th (5) (6/1 -9%) Hawk Jet |
6/1(-9%) | (5) Hawk Jet 6/1, Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. Fit from hurdling ran creditably when third of 9 in handicap at Salisbury (14.2f, good to firm) 15 days ago. Unexposed at this sort of trip and she's worth a second look. Seemed to stay 1m6f at Salisbury latest; another 3f to travel but has some potential. |
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6th (14) (33/1 -32%) Surfer Dude |
33/1(-32%) | (14) Surfer Dude 33/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, fifth of 7 in handicap (33/1) at Chelmsford City (13.3f) 14 days ago, weakening final 1f. More needed stepping up further in trip. No improvement for step up to 1m3f and 1m5f; this extra distance raises big questions. |
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7th (12) (80/1 -21%) Harry The Norseman |
80/1(-21%) | (12) Harry The Norseman 80/1, Course winner. Eleventh of 12 in minor event (125/1) at Lingfield (12f, AW) 53 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Useful in staying events at the right level in 2022 but seems to have lost his way. |
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8th (1) (28/1 -40%) Thahab Ifraj |
28/1(-40%) | (1) Thahab Ifraj 28/1, Recorded a respectable second on seasonal return in a C&D handicap in June. Similar form without threatening when seventh at Ffos Las next time but needs to shrug off a lesser effort over hurdles at Worcester last month. Has run well here in the past but 0-8 on turf and below best since back from a break. |
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9th (7) (22/1 -57%) Longuerue |
22/1(-57%) | (7) Longuerue 22/1, Unreliable sort. Latest win at Yarmouth in August. 18/1, eighth of 10 in handicap at Lingfield (15.8f, AW) 18 days ago, never better than midfield. Needs a couple of these to falter. Delivered late to win over 1m6f on latest turf start in August; capable of going well. |
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10th (6) (18/1 -80%) Taxiing |
18/1(-80%) | (6) Taxiing 18/1, Creditable fourth of 9 in handicap at Salisbury (14.2f, good to firm, 16/1) 15 days ago, rallying over 1f out. Return to this stiffer test in her favour now. Both wins on AW (1m6f/2m); acts on turf and close with Hawk Jet on recent Salisbury run. |
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11th (11) (66/1 -371%) Robeam |
66/1(-371%) | (11) Robeam 66/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2021. Second of 9 in handicap at Catterick (15.9f, good to firm, 100/1) 39 days ago, helped by being held up in strongly-run race. Not sure to be in same form here. Latest win over hurdles in 2022 but weighted to go well and better effort last time out. |
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12th (13) (7/2 +36%) Amongst The Stars |
7/2(+36%) | (13) Amongst The Stars 7/2, Lightly-raced maiden. 3/1, took another small step forward when second of 7 in handicap at Chelmsford City (13.3f) 14 days ago, no match for winner. Possible he could yet have more to offer now stamina is tested further and she's one to consider. Lightly raced; kept on quite well when 2nd over 1m5f on AW latest; new trip worth a go. |
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13th (15) (22/1 +12%) White Coco |
22/1(+12%) | (15) White Coco 22/1, Sixth of 7 in handicap (11/1) at Chelmsford City (13.3f) 14 days ago. Up in trip. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Minor handicap form so far, at 1m3f-1m6f; makes limited appeal up again in trip. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
CALSHOT SPIT made every yard of the running to score in convincing style on his only start on the Flat for the Sheena West stable at Lingfield last month, and he should have no issues with this extra distance. The son of New Bay is only 5lb higher and has performed well over hurdles since. Hawk Jet made the frame over 1m6f at Salisbury latest and is likely to be thereabouts off the same mark, while Amongst The Stars is noted too.
Having deservedly opened his account from the front at Lingfield on his penultimate start, CALSHOT SPIT again ran well when runner-up over hurdles at Stratford 18 days ago. Unexposed at this sort of trip, he's expected to play a lead role once more back in this sphere. Amongst The Stars likely has more to offer from her lowly mark and is feared along with Hawk Jet. Ffos Las scorer Triple Nickle is another worth a second look.
Calshot Spit and Hawk Jet are respected but TRIPLE NICKLE and Humaniste have less to prove on the stamina front.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (3/1 +25%) Trustyourinstinct |
3/1(+25%) | (4) Trustyourinstinct 3/1, Has already tried hurdling but is a smart performer on the level, running right up to form when ½-length second of 6 to Continuous in Royal Whip Stakes at the Curragh (10f, good to firm) 28 days ago, sticking to task. Should continue to give a good account with this trip within range. Gave St Leger winner Continuous a good race when last seen on faster ground; big player. |
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2nd (9) (9/2 +44%) Kinesiology |
9/2(+44%) | (9) Kinesiology 9/2, Winning reappearance in maiden company at Cork in May and better form when runner-up in listed company since, neck second of 8 to Chemistry in listed race at this course (14f, good) 23 days ago, driven out (first past the post but subsequently demoted). Cheekpieces may help him keep straight. Demoted to second after an enquiry here last time over further; each-way contender. |
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3rd (6) (28/1 -211%) Thunder Roll |
28/1(-211%) | (6) Thunder Roll 28/1, Useful filly. 11½ lengths sixth of 7 to Sumiha in Munster Oaks (10/3) at Cork (12f, good). Off 92 days and cheekpieces fitted in her quest to bounce back. Failed to confirm the form with Sumiha at Cork; needs soft in the description. |
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4th (3) (7/2 +22%) Sumiha |
7/2(+22%) | (3) Sumiha 7/2, Runner-up twice in listed company during the spring and didn't need to improve to win 7-runner Munster Oaks at Cork (12f, good) by 1¼ lengths from Trevaunance, responding well. Off 92 days but very much in the right hands to progress again. Impressed when landing the Munster Oaks at Cork when last seen; respected. |
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5th (1) (6/1 -100%) Klondike |
6/1(-100%) | (1) Klondike 6/1, Found a bit more improvement under a fine ride as he gained a first win since his debut in a York listed race in June (13.9f). Brushed aside having helped set a strong gallop back that that venue next time but bounced back in no uncertain terms when landing Prix de Reux at Deauville latest. Right back to his best when landing a French Group 3 at Deauville; respected. |
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6th (5) (18/1 -29%) Yashin |
18/1(-29%) | (5) Yashin 18/1, Got within 2¾ lengths of Kyprios when third in Saval Beg at Leopardstown in May (won 2023 renewal) but returned to a big-field handicaps, he's underperformed both starts since. Had wind surgery before running a poor race in the Ebor at York last month; more needed. |
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7th (8) (13/2 +24%) Euphoric |
13/2(+24%) | (8) Euphoric 13/2, Useful form when runner-up in a Derby Trail here in May. Could manage only mid-field at Epsom and no impact in good company twice since but this a more realistic assignment. The choice of Ryan Moore but there's a chance he could be on the wrong one. |
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8th (10) (125/1 -89%) La Familia |
125/1(-89%) | (10) La Familia 125/1, Japanese raider, latest win at Hanshin in March but failed to beat a rival last 3 starts and she's right up against it. Japanese raider won 1m4f Hanshin maiden in March but tailed off last in three starts. |
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9th (7) (9/1 +64%) Chantilly |
9/1(+64%) | (7) Chantilly 9/1, Useful colt. Course winner. Winner here in April. Fourteenth of 18 in handicap at Galway (12f, soft, 6/1) 43 days ago and lot to prove after that, albeit he couldn't be in better hands. Tough task but stable won four of last six runnings and the 3yo allowance will be a help. |
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10th (2) (22/1 +12%) Layfayette |
22/1(+12%) | (2) Layfayette 22/1, Smart gelding who added to his haul in Group 3 company at the Curragh in August 2023. Off since a lesser effort at Sakhir in November but he has the ability to be a factor if fully tuned for this return. Last seen finishing last in the G2 Bahrain International Trophy; plenty to prove. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
The three-year-olds have generally held sway in this Group 3 event but perhaps the older generation will gain the upper hand this time with TRUSTYOURINSTINCT getting the vote. The Churchill gelding likes to force the pace and has progressed well since reverting to the Flat filling the runner-up spot on his latest two starts in Group 3 company. Klondike merits respect following a career best when scoring at Deauville, while Sumiha had Thunder Roll well behind when also successful in Group 3 company last time in the Munster Oaks at Cork. Kinesiology only lost the 1m6f Vinnie Roe Stakes in the stewards room here last month.
This Group 3 has an open feel to it with TRUSTYOURINSTINCT just about the most persuasive option with the way he stuck to his task in the Royal Whip Stakes strongly suggesting this trip will suit. Klondike must concede weight all round as a winner at this level recently but he's very likely to go well again, with Sumiha another to note with her ceiling not yet known.
The vote goes to CHANTILLY, who was only beaten 4l at Royal Ascot and the race could be set up nicely for him by his stablemate
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (9/2 -13%) Stressfree |
9/2(-13%) | (7) Stressfree 9/2, Heavy ground winner on final start at 3yrs and showing encouraging signs of late, big effort when third at York (10.2f) in July. Probably best not judged too harshly on latest Ayr third behind more prominently-ridden rivals and respected under good-value claimer. Arrives in form and big player with ground conditions likely to be in his favour. |
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2nd (3) (11/2 -22%) Have Secret |
11/2(-22%) | (3) Have Secret 11/2, Winless since his juvenile days but hard to knock his consistency, his latest sixth in big-field York handicap (10.2f) deserving of being marked up having been stuck on the outside. Cheekpieces again the headgear of choice and he's respected with conditions holding no fears. Soft-ground winner who arrives in form; prominent showing likely. |
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3rd (5) (9/2 +25%) Paddy The Squire |
9/2(+25%) | (5) Paddy The Squire 9/2, Useful form at 3 yrs (winner at 10f). Seemingly not the easiest to train but produced a highly encouraging effort after 12 months off/following wind op when second of 9 in handicap at Hamilton (9.2f, good) 32 days ago, keeping on well. Still low mileage and there could be more to come. Progressive; just touched off by subsequent winner on soft-ground reappearance; player. |
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4th (4) (14/1 -75%) Zarabanda |
14/1(-75%) | (4) Zarabanda 14/1, Successful 3 times in 2023. Form in-and-out this season but better effort with sights lowered when fourth of 10 in handicap (11/1) at Haydock (10.2f, good) 9 days ago. Eased a little more in the weights ahead of this. Goes well on soft and creditable fourth in a Haydock handicap last week. |
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5th (9) (15/2 +6%) First Officer |
15/2(+6%) | (9) First Officer 15/2, Made a winning reappearance at Windsor in April and largely creditable efforts in defeat since, not beaten at all far when seventh in handicap back at that venue 30 days ago. Mark does look about right, however. Trip/ground fine and arrives in form but others are more persuasive for win purposes. |
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6th (6) (15/2 +6%) Loyal Touch |
15/2(+6%) | (6) Loyal Touch 15/2, Well served by run of race when resuming winning ways over C&D in June. Kept busy and more miss than hit thereafter but recent efforts from a sliding mark have been a bit more like it. Conditions will hold no fears but others appeal a little more for win purposes. Not at top of game lately but has dipped to 2lb below the mark he defied over C&D in June. |
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7th (1) (18/1 -157%) City Streak |
18/1(-157%) | (1) City Streak 18/1, Boasts an excellent record here, gaining a second C&D success in May. Found things tougher from inflated mark both starts thereafter but the assessor has eased his grip a little and no surprise to see a better showing back here/returning from a break. Not at best last twice but is a dual C&D winner and goes well on soft ground. |
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8th (8) (16/1 -60%) Gallant Lion |
16/1(-60%) | (8) Gallant Lion 16/1, Racked up a 4-timer last summer for Tony Carroll and shaped up well initially for new stable earlier this season. May of found race coming too soon when seventh in Cumberland Plate at Carlisle in June and he's the type to give a good account back from a break. Been running with credit in defeat this year; has won on good to soft (unraced on softer). |
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9th (2) (4/1 +20%) Maghlaak |
4/1(+20%) | (2) Maghlaak 4/1, Overcame an 11-month absence to land 8-runner Goodwood handicap (9.9f, soft) in May. Hasn't quite kicked on as may have been expected in trio of starts since but latest third upped to 12f was up there with his best. Entitled to give another good account. Blinkers discarded. Soft-ground winner in May; creditable third at Goodwood latest; each-way claims again. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
PADDY THE SQUIRE was only narrowly denied when returning from a lengthy break over 1m1f at Hamilton a month ago and that form has been boosted with the winner scoring again subsequently. With that in mind, the four-year-old has to be of interest off just a 2lb higher mark. Maghlaak has been running well in defeat of late and should not be underestimated, along with Stressfree and City Streak.
STRESSFREE was unable to land a blow when third behind more prominently-ridden rivals at Ayr last time yet he had previously shaped most encouragingly in handicaps at Doncaster/York and, lurking on a handy mark, he's fancied to be seen in a much better light on this occasion. Have Secret and Paddy The Squire are others to consider, along with Maghlaak.
David O'Meara's STRESSFREE should get his ground and is the suggestion but there are several dangers in a very competitive handicap.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (9/4 +44%) Without Delay |
9/4(+44%) | (2) Without Delay 9/4, C&D winner. Latest win at Catterick in June but not quite at his best at Catterick (7f, good to soft) 4 days ago. Could not justify support at Catterick on Tuesday when only fifth; others more obvious. |
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2nd (6) (12/1 -60%) Doomsday |
12/1(-60%) | (6) Doomsday 12/1, Blinkered for 1st time, respectable fourth of 10 in minor event (4/1) at Catterick (7f, good) 17 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Should remain competitive. Course winner; two creditable runs since; unlikely to be far away. |
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3rd (4) (10/1 +38%) Golden Valour |
10/1(+38%) | (4) Golden Valour 10/1, Unreliable sort. Latest win at Ayr in May. 10/1, 2 lengths sixth of 8 to Little Ted in handicap at this C&D (good) 18 days ago. Only sixth behind Little Ted here last month; slipping in the weights but needs a revival. |
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4th (3) (6/1 -71%) Annandale |
6/1(-71%) | (3) Annandale 6/1, Twenty two runs since last win in 2021 but run best excused when seventh of 11 in handicap at Carlisle (7.8f, soft, 5/1) 16 days ago, racing very wide. Shaped well on penultimate outing and well worth another chance. Trip a bare minimum but he's well handicapped and market support would be significant. |
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5th (1) (7/1 -273%) Little Ted |
7/1(-273%) | (1) Little Ted 7/1, Not straightforward but doing nothing wrong at present and resumed winning ways back down in grade in 8-runner handicap at this C&D (good) 18 days ago, staying on to lead close home. Should remain competitive. Likes it here; came from nearly last to first over C&D 18 days ago; in the mix again. |
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6th (5) (11/4 +8%) Believe Me Now |
11/4(+8%) | (5) Believe Me Now 11/4, Opened her account at Ayr in August and ran at least as well when third of 9 in handicap at this C&D (good, 4/1) 18 days ago. Has to be of interest again. 4yo with relatively few miles on the clock; third over C&D two weeks later; big chance. |
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7th (7) (20/1 -25%) Fanzone |
20/1(-25%) | (7) Fanzone 20/1, Thirty runs since last win in 2022 and found run of good form coming to a halt when 7 lengths last of 8 to Little Ted in handicap at this C&D (good, 11/1) 18 days ago. Second or third 16 times but has won just once; ran poorly over C&D 18 days ago. |
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8th (8) (40/1 -100%) Chinese Spirit |
40/1(-100%) | (8) Chinese Spirit 40/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2023 and ran below form when sixth of 9 in handicap at this C&D (good) 18 days ago. Veteran with nine wins; 0-10 this season and well held on his most recent outing. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
LITTLE TED defeated a subsequent winner over this course and distance last time out. Tim Easterby's charge was raised just 2lb for that success and he looks to hold every chance of going in again today. Believe Me Now finished third recently when attempting to follow up on her earlier Ayr success and she might present the main threat, although Without Delay is unlikely to go down without a fight either.
ANNANDALE caught the eye finishing with running left under a hands-and-heels ride at Carlisle on his penultimate outing and, with his latest effort easily excused, he's well worth another chance. Believe Me Now and Little Ted both arrive in good nick and head the opposition.
This looks a good opportunity for BELIEVE ME NOW to gain a second win of the year after a creditable C&D third 18 days ago.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (10/3 +33%) Daysofourlives |
10/3(+33%) | (3) Daysofourlives 10/3, Three-time winner, including over 1¼m. Better than ever in defeat this year, including first home in his group when fourth of 29 in the Hunt Cup at Royal Ascot (1m, firm) in June. Visor off, cheekpieces back on. Considered. Improving 4yo and can go well providing he's tuned up on return from a break. |
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2nd (1) (7/2 +30%) Liberty Lane |
7/2(+30%) | (1) Liberty Lane 7/2, Won a 1m course handicap at last year's Leger meeting. Went in again at Newmarket (9f) in May. Bit below form eleventh of 20 in John Smith's Cup at York (1¼m, good to soft) on latest start in July. On a tough mark but has some class about him and races prominently which might be an asset. |
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3rd (5) (25/1 -79%) Aerion Power |
25/1(-79%) | (5) Aerion Power 25/1, Looked as good as ever when edging out Great Blasket (won next time) at Nottingham (1m) in June but down the field at Royal Ascot and Glorious Goodwood since. Others arrive with stronger claims. Slow starter and that's been finding him out in strong handicaps; this isn't quite so deep. |
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4th (4) (12/1 +14%) Penzance |
12/1(+14%) | (4) Penzance 12/1, Progressed at a rate of knots on AW over the winter, winning 4 times over this trip and good second of 14 at Newcastle on Good Friday. Not quite so good when switched to turf in June/July and others are preferred again here. Four-time AW winner but has yet to replicate that level of form on turf. |
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5th (2) (6/1 +20%) Paradias |
6/1(+20%) | (2) Paradias 6/1, Quickly dispelled a lesser effort in the John Smith's Cup when resuming winning ways at Glorious Goodwood (9f) at the beginning of August. Never involved in a big-field race at the York Ebor meeting but the type to bounce straight back. Capable of a big run off this mark but ideally wants a strong pace (doubtful) to target. |
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6th (11) (13/2 +13%) Parlando |
13/2(+13%) | (11) Parlando 13/2, In the form of his life in the Racing League last month, winning at Windsor (good to firm) before second on AW at Newcastle (both 1¼m). No reason why he won't give another good account. Back in good form and, although edging back up the weights, shouldn't be far away. |
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7th (7) (12/1 -71%) King Lear |
12/1(-71%) | (7) King Lear 12/1, Useful handicapper who reacted well to a first-time tongue strap (added to cheekpieces) when second of 12 in 11f Southwell Racing League handicap 16 days ago. Nudged up 3 lb for that but still respected. Recent Southwell second; could have done without the 3lb rise in this stronger company. |
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8th (10) (13/2 +19%) Rathgar |
13/2(+19%) | (10) Rathgar 13/2, Well served by a positive ride back down markedly in trip when successful at Yarmouth (1¼m) in July. Just as good when runner-up at Chepstow (1¼m again) last month but only a respectable seventh of 17 at the York Ebor meeting since. Equipped with first-time cheekpieces. Has had a solid season and it was a hot handicap in which he ran okay at York last time. |
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9th (6) (25/1 -56%) Lion Of War |
25/1(-56%) | (6) Lion Of War 25/1, Useful handicapper in Britain in the first half of last season. Down the field in a couple of starts in the US at the end of last summer and absent since. Has rejoined Charlie Johnston. The betting should help guide to expectations. Flashes of smart form and now gelded ahead of this return for Charlie Johnston. |
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10th (9) (10/1 -18%) Mr King |
10/1(-18%) | (9) Mr King 10/1, Useful for Ger Lyons in Ireland and offered plenty to work on for his new stable when seventh of 18 in 1m York Ebor meeting handicap 23 days, nearest at the finish having been caught too far back. Spencer an unusual booking for the stable. Interesting. Useful in Ireland and his debut for this yard at York over 1m was encouraging. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
DAYSOFOURLIVES gave the impression a return to this longer trip would suit when finishing strongly for fourth in the Royal Hunt Cup over a mile at Royal Ascot. Marco Botti's four-year-old can resume winning ways off his current mark and edges out Paradias to be the pick. The latter was in the process of running another big race when hampered in a valuable handicap at York last time and can feature, while Penzance spoilt his chance with a tardy start at Yarmouth but caught the eye making late headway and could have a say in proceedings.
PARADIAS didn't have things go his way at York and is worth another chance to show that a 3 lb rise for his Glorious Goodwood success is lenient. Royal Hunt Cup fourth Daysofourlives is second choice ahead of Parlando, who did well in the Racing League last month, and Iain Jardine's Mr King.
A winner at this meeting 12 months ago, LIBERTY LANE might repeat the trick. He's smart on his day and this looks his sort of race.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (5/1 -11%) Raintown |
5/1(-11%) | (2) Raintown 5/1, Latest win here in June. Not at his best last 2 starts but goes particularly well at this track and could bounce back. C&D winner and his last two races in this sphere have not panned out favourably. |
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2nd (6) (10/3 -33%) Orbital |
10/3(-33%) | (6) Orbital 10/3, Resumed progress when winning over 10f here in July and ran at least as well in defeat at Chelmsford last time. First try at 1½m. 1m2f winner here and then chased a strong pace when runner-up at Chelmsford. |
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3rd (1) (9/1 -64%) Enthused |
9/1(-64%) | (1) Enthused 9/1, In good form at present, mixing the Flat with Jumps. Can remain competitive. Has not had much racing on the AW but it's easy to see him featuring on recent form. |
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4th (3) (5/4 +58%) Caprelo |
5/4(+58%) | (3) Caprelo 5/4, Took a step forward when making a winning handicap debut at Kempton in April and has shown further improvement when runner-up both starts since, going down only narrowly back on all-weather at aforementioned track last time. Only 2lb higher than when headed late on over this far at Kempton a month ago. |
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5th (4) (7/1 -27%) Louis Quatorze |
7/1(-27%) | (4) Louis Quatorze 7/1, Ran creditably when fifth of 10 in handicap at Newbury (12f, good to firm) 28 days ago. Should remain competitive. Has not offered much in handicaps and stamina looked an issue when trying 1m4f at Newbury. |
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6th (7) (20/1 -186%) Salik |
20/1(-186%) | (7) Salik 20/1, Fair maiden who again ran creditably when second of 3 in handicap at Newbury (12f, good to firm) 16 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Mildly progressive having run well in 1m2f/1m4f handicaps on turf the last twice. |
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7th (5) (100/1 -300%) Huxley |
100/1(-300%) | (5) Huxley 100/1, Fairly useful maiden at best for Donnacha Aidan O'Brien but well beaten both starts for current yard. Respectable AW form in Ireland but finished tailed off in his two runs (turf) for new yard. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Narrowly denied on his return from an 84-day break at Kempton last month, CAPRELO is likely to have more improvement to come and he can regain the winning thread off a 2lb higher mark. A winner here over 1m2f on her penultimate outing and runner-up at Chelmsford since, Orbital is a leading contender for her in-form connections, as well as Louis Quatorze, who ran a creditable race from the front at Newbury last time out.
CAPRELO has progressed with each run this season and, with his latest form proving strong, he's fancied to resume winning ways. Raintown hasn't been at his best on his last 2 outings but is dangerous to dismiss back at this track, with the in-form Enthused also of interest.
This is tricky as five of the seven appear to hold good claims. ORBITAL probably has the most improvement in her.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (16/1 -191%) Miss Show Down |
16/1(-191%) | (6) Miss Show Down 16/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 7/1, ninth of 10 in maiden at Newbury (6f, good to firm) 57 days ago. Another who will need to take a step forward if she's to make an impact now switched to a nursery. Just the one good run from her three starts, but that was over C&D on good to soft. |
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2nd (1) (7/2 -5%) Nala Star |
7/2(-5%) | (1) Nala Star 7/2, Lightly-raced winner. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, career best when winning 9-runner maiden (5/4) at Catterick (5f, good) 17 days ago, readily. Major player off what looks a fair mark for this nursery debut. Won Catterick maiden in first-time cheekpieces; could have more to offer in the headgear. |
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3rd (2) (10/1 -25%) Raison D'etre |
10/1(-25%) | (2) Raison D'etre 10/1, Lightly-raced winner. Successful at Sandown in July. Fifth of 7 in nursery (9/1) at Chepstow (5.1f, good to firm) 30 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Likely to find one or two too good. Won at Sandown on third start but needs to better her subsequent nursery debut fifth. |
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4th (12) (20/1 -82%) Emporess |
20/1(-82%) | (12) Emporess 20/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Creditable sixth of 11 in nursery at Southwell (6.1f, 16/1) 11 days ago, unsuited by step up in trip. Place possibilities now back at 5f. Fairly encouraging sixth at Southwell recently; each-way possible now back down in trip. |
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5th (3) (10/3 +39%) Rogue Bullet |
10/3(+39%) | (3) Rogue Bullet 10/3, Lightly-raced maiden. 28/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, bit below form sixth of 14 in minor event at Newmarket (6f, soft) 21 days ago. Needs to raise his game now pitched into a nursery. Form of Yarmouth maiden fourth has worked out well; begins handicap life on realistic mark. |
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6th (7) (12/1 +33%) Bow Street |
12/1(+33%) | (7) Bow Street 12/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 17/2, seventh of 11 in nursery at Southwell (6.1f) 27 days ago. Others make more appeal. He's better than he showed on nursery debut, but it's hard to be confident after that. |
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7th (11) (12/1 +14%) Sabrimento |
12/1(+14%) | (11) Sabrimento 12/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Blinkered for 1st time, seventh of 9 in nursery (6/1) at Newbury (7f, good to firm) 16 days ago. Drop back in trip may well prove to be a good move and he's not discounted. The drop back in trip may help on this third nursery start, but he has something to prove. |
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8th (10) (25/1 -317%) Ellomate |
25/1(-317%) | (10) Ellomate 25/1, Good third of 11 in nursery at Southwell (6.1f, 5/2) 11 days ago. Needs considering off the same mark here. Placed in AW nurseries the last twice; in the mix if transferring that form back to turf. |
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9th (4) (7/2 +53%) Hettie Jack |
7/2(+53%) | (4) Hettie Jack 7/2, Winner at Goodwood in June. 13/8, below form fourth of 9 in novice at Newcastle (6f) 43 days ago. More consistent than progressive but should be on the premises on this nursery debut. Some good runs since 5f selling win at Goodwood in June; in with a chance on nursery debut. |
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10th (9) (80/1 -100%) Subsonictoshannon |
80/1(-100%) | (9) Subsonictoshannon 80/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 66/1 and hooded for 1st time, last of 7 in nursery at Chepstow (5.1f, good to firm) 30 days ago, slowly away. Must improve. Close third of four on debut at Lingfield in April but form has gone the wrong way since. |
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11th (8) (18/1 -100%) Solar Edge |
18/1(-100%) | (8) Solar Edge 18/1, Lightly-raced winner. 8/1, career best when winning 6-runner nursery at Chepstow (5.1f, good) 19 days ago, always holding on. 5 lb rise will make life tougher but he's one to consider all the same. Won on last month's nursery debut at Chepstow and could continue to progress. |
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12th (5) (17/2 +39%) Yakfeek |
17/2(+39%) | (5) Yakfeek 17/2, Lightly-raced maiden. Fifth of 7 in nursery at Chelmsford City (5f, 11/1) 14 days ago and he needs to find improvement from somewhere. Has shown promise but could do with settling better, and he hung right on nursery debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Nala Star got her head in front for the first time at Catterick last month and it will be interesting to see how she fares now stepping into nursery company. However, the vote goes to ELLOMATE, who made the frame over 6f at Southwell earlier in the month and goes off the same mark. Richard Hughes' juvenile returns to turf and the drop in trip may also suit. Solar Edge and Yakfeek are just two others to consider.
The addition of cheekpieces brought about improvement in NALA STAR, who did the job well when opening her account in the new headgear at Catterick recently and she is taken to follow up on her nursery debut. Hettie Jack looks pretty solid and could be the one to follow the selection home, with Ellomate, Sabrimento and Chepstow scorer Solar Edge also shortlisted.
Nursery newcomer MISS SHOW DOWN has been very up and down so far but was a good second over C&D in June and earns the vote.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (19) (9/1 +55%) Fighter |
9/1(+55%) | (19) Fighter 9/1, Lightly-raced winner. 6/1 and blinkered for 1st time, career best when winning 22-runner maiden at the Curragh (10f, good) 21 days ago, kept up to work. Makes handicap debut. Should go well again. Curragh winner could improve plenty stepping up in trip here but will probably need to. |
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2nd (6) (3/1 +40%) Chemistry |
3/1(+40%) | (6) Chemistry 3/1, Thrice-raced winner. Won 8-runner listed race at this course (14f, good, 10/1) 23 days ago by neck from Kinesiology (second past the post but bumped last 1f and subsequently promoted). Very much one to consider with more to offer on his handicap debut. Awarded a Listed race here; interesting in his first handicap with maybe more to offer. |
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3rd (1) (14/1 +30%) Eagle's Way |
14/1(+30%) | (1) Eagle's Way 14/1, 2 wins from 2 runs this year. 8/1, career best when winning 18-runner handicap at Galway (12f, soft) 43 days ago, digging deep. Ought to be in the shake-up in his hat-trick bid. Well-drawn for a front-runner, and despite top weight, he will be a tough nut to crack. |
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4th (10) (4/1 +47%) Nurburgring |
4/1(+47%) | (10) Nurburgring 4/1, 13/2, improved to win 19-runner handicap hurdle at Galway (16f, good to soft) 44 days ago, driven out. Significantly up in trip. Stable in good form so he's well in the mix. Impressive winner of the Galway Hurdle; has a big shout if he can transfer that form. |
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5th (8) (10/1 +0%) Barnso |
10/1(+0%) | (8) Barnso 10/1, Latest win at Fairyhouse in May. Very good ¾-length third of 8 to Chemistry in listed race (10/1) at this course (14f, good) 23 days ago, keeping on well. Needs considering. Good third latest; needs to progress again to win this but that is far from impossible. |
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6th (7) (16/1 -33%) Ameerat Jumaira |
16/1(-33%) | (7) Ameerat Jumaira 16/1, 2 wins from 4 runs this year. Career best when winning 11-runner handicap at the Curragh (12f, good, 6/1) 21 days ago, cosily. Yard having good spell. Progressing recently. Could still have more to offer and looks a leading player with the step up in trip a plus. |
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7th (12) (14/1 -17%) Spasiba |
14/1(-17%) | (12) Spasiba 14/1, First run since leaving S. Curling when creditable third of 20 in handicap at Galway (16.8f, good to soft, 8/1) 47 days ago. Down in trip. Merits consideration. Ran very well on his stable debut when second in the amateur handicap at Galway; claims. |
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8th (21) (66/1 -32%) Mo Ghille Mar |
66/1(-32%) | (21) Mo Ghille Mar 66/1, Latest win at Killarney in July. Last of 16 in handicap at York (13.8f, good to firm, 33/1) 21 days ago. Not easy to make a case for. Two wins but well below her best at York last month; others preferred; 2lb wrong. |
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9th (16) (33/1 +34%) Derry Lad |
33/1(+34%) | (16) Derry Lad 33/1, Ninth of 12 in handicap at York (11.8f, good to firm, 10/1) 22 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Well beaten in good handicaps last twice and others preferred. |
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10th (17) (40/1 -21%) En Or |
40/1(-21%) | (17) En Or 40/1, 1 win from 3 runs this year. Career best when winning 7-runner handicap (8/1) at Clonmel (16.6f, good) 9 days ago, driven out. Carries 7 lb penalty but can't be discounted back down in trip. Sixth career win when landing the 2m Tipperary Cup at Clonmel last week; much more needed. |
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11th (3) (33/1 -32%) My Lyka |
33/1(-32%) | (3) My Lyka 33/1, Tongue strap on for 1st time, nineteenth of 20 in handicap (17/2) at Royal Ascot (20f, good to firm) on UK flat debut 88 days ago. Significantly down in trip. Needs a couple of these to falter. Clearly better than Ascot but very hard to assess and might just be best watched. |
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12th (13) (12/1 +14%) Lot Of Joy |
12/1(+14%) | (13) Lot Of Joy 12/1, 4/1, creditable third of 12 in handicap at Killarney (14.4f, good to soft) 22 days ago. Enters calculations. Decent runs in premier handicaps this year at the Curragh and Killarney; each-way chance. |
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13th (2) (33/1 -32%) Satin |
33/1(-32%) | (2) Satin 33/1, C&D winner. 27 lengths last of 9 to Scenic in listed race (11/2) at York (11.8f, good to firm) 23 days ago so needs to bounce back. Not at her best in two runs this season at Gowran and York; others look more likely. |
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14th (15) (40/1 -21%) Oriole |
40/1(-21%) | (15) Oriole 40/1, 1 win from 3 runs this year. Career best when winning 12-runner handicap (7/1) at Galway (11.8f, soft) 42 days ago, driven out. Not taken lightly in her current mood. 6lb rise not excessive although might need some luck in running from her inside draw. |
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15th (5) (11/1 -47%) Plontier |
11/1(-47%) | (5) Plontier 11/1, First run since leaving Tadeusz Debowski when easily landing 10-runner novice hurdle at Sligo (20.5f, soft) on NH debut 37 days ago, cruising clear. A useful 14f scorer on the Flat in France too so most interesting back in this sphere. Easy winner of a Sligo maiden hurdle on his stable debut last month; intriguing runner. |
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16th (4) (25/1 -56%) Smooth Tom |
25/1(-56%) | (4) Smooth Tom 25/1, Course winner. 1 win from 2 runs this year. Career best when winning 4-runner handicap (6/1) at Gowran (12.4f, good) 31 days ago. Not taken lightly in his current mood. Gowran winner a consistent performer at a variety of trips and should run his race here. |
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17th (20) (125/1 -25%) Firstman |
125/1(-25%) | (20) Firstman 125/1, 100/1, eleventh of 13 in handicap at Bellewstown (17.5f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Back down in trip. Six-time winner but nothing in two runs this season suggest he can contend. |
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18th (18) (66/1 -32%) New Year Honours |
66/1(-32%) | (18) New Year Honours 66/1, 1 win from 2 runs this year. Latest win at Down Royal in July. 5 lengths last of 7 to En Or in handicap at Clonmel (16.6f, good, 8/1) 9 days ago. Back down in trip with more needed. Below her best off 8lb higher in the Tipperary Cup last time and others preferred. |
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19th (9) (18/1 -50%) Bialystok |
18/1(-50%) | (9) Bialystok 18/1, Useful winner at 16f over hurdles. 20/1, suffered a poor run when a promising fifth of 18 to Eagle's Way in handicap at Galway (12f, soft) 43 days ago. Can make his presence felt. Fast finish when fifth to Eagle's Way at Galway; has the ability to get involved. |
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20th (11) (9/1 +18%) Comfort Zone |
9/1(+18%) | (11) Comfort Zone 9/1, 11/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, creditable third of 18 in handicap hurdle at Galway (22.5f, soft) 42 days ago. Yard having good spell. Cheekpieces on 1st time on the Flat. In the picture. Second to Satin in this race last year off a 2lb lower mark; campaigned over hurdles since. |
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21st (23) (33/1 -18%) The Names Jock |
33/1(-18%) | (23) The Names Jock 33/1, Course winner. Creditable fifth of 15 in handicap hurdle (4/1) at Killarney (17f, good) 58 days ago. Fairly useful on the Flat so holds solid claims. Runner-up in last two Flat starts and fair hurdling fifth last time; could go well. |
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22nd (22) (33/1 -106%) Suprise Package |
33/1(-106%) | (22) Suprise Package 33/1, Lightly-raced winner on Flat. Useful winner at 21f over hurdles. Career best when winning 7-runner maiden (10/1) at Ballinrobe (12.8f, good to soft) 54 days ago. Much respected on his handicap bow. Won a Ballinrobe maiden over this trip last time; could yet have more to offer on the Flat. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
CHEMISTRY has scope for further improvement after just three career starts and may complete a hat-trick of wins this year. The grey son of Kingman won on testing ground at the Curragh back in April and appreciated the step up to 1m6f and a much sounder surface when getting a Listed race in the stewards room here last month, with Barnso keeping on well to finish a close third. Nurburgring reverts to the Flat following an impressive victory in the valuable Galway Hurdle while others to consider include Fighter, Plontier, Lot Of Joy and Ameerat Jumaira. Satin beat Comfort Line by two and a half lengths in this race last year with No Niki No in fourth and Comfort Line, who has not run since on the Flat, now appears the best treated of the trio.
This is wide open but Willie Mullins looks to hold a strong hand and his new recruit PLONTIER, a useful Flat winner in France, could prove ahead of his mark here having scored easily over hurdles on his yard debut last month. Aidan O'Brien's much less exposed 3-y-o Chemistry heads the list of dangers now going handicapping with better still to come, while the selection's stablemates Spasiba and Bialystok are also weighted to have a say. Oriole and Fighter complete the shortlist.
Preference is for COMFORT ZONE, second in this last year and comes here on the back of a fine run in a handicap hurdle at Galway
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Bint Mohaather |
(9) (6/1 +0%)6/1(+0%) | (9) Bint Mohaather 6/1, Foaled March 24. 19,000 gns yearling, resold 30,000 gns yearling, Mohaather filly. Half-sister to several winners, including useful 1m-1¼m winner Savaanah and 6f winner Tundra. Dam unraced from a very good family. Newcomer by Mohaather; stable having productive season with its 2yos; likely type on paper. |
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Magic Boy |
(7) (9/1 +73%)9/1(+73%) | (7) Magic Boy 9/1, Foaled March 28. €55,000 yearling, 15,000 gns 2-y-o, Acclamation gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to useful 1½m winner Mystic Sunshine. Some appeal on pedigree but stable is not known for first-time-out juvenile winners. |
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1st (5) (11/8 -51%) Antonin Dvorak |
11/8(-51%) | (5) Antonin Dvorak 11/8, 16,000 gns yearling, New Bay colt. Half-brother to 1m winner Perfect Poise. Dam, 1m-9.5f winner, half-sister to very smart 7f-8.4f winner Brendan Brackan. 5/4, second of 9 in maiden at this C&D (good) on debut 17 days ago. Should have more to offer. Shaped nicely when second of nine over C&D; may go one better. |
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2nd (4) (6/4 +14%) Kirkdale |
6/4(+14%) | (4) Kirkdale 6/4, 19,000 gns yearling, Zelzal colt. Brother to 2-y-o 7f winner Rose Academy and half-brother to 9f winner Arrabbiata. 9/2, fifth of 12 in maiden at Haydock (7f, good) on debut 9 days ago, slowly away. Should improve. Blew the start but made good late headway when fifth at Haydock; interesting contender. |
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3rd (1) (40/1 -150%) Canavan |
40/1(-150%) | (1) Canavan 40/1, €18,000 yearling, 22,000 gns 2-y-o, Kodi Bear gelding. Half-brother to several winners, including 7f/1m winner Narnia Dawn and 8.3f-1½m winner Meteor Light, both useful. Dam lightly raced. 18/1, fourth of 6 in maiden at Hamilton (8.3f, heavy) on debut 22 days ago. Something to build on when fourth on debut; may improve for these less testing conditions. |
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4th (3) (8/1 -14%) It's Only Fun |
8/1(-14%) | (3) It's Only Fun 8/1, Foaled February 21. €28,000 yearling, Invincible Army colt. Dam, unraced, closely related to useful winner up to 1m Dimenticata, runner-up in Irish 1000 Guineas. 28,000euros yearling; by Invincible Army; interesting newcomer on paper. |
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5th (6) (66/1 -313%) Balmerino |
66/1(-313%) | (6) Balmerino 66/1, Foaled March 19. Eqtidaar colt. Dam lightly raced. By Eqtidaar; first foal; dam unplaced 7f/1m; stable is 0-7 with 2yos this season. |
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6th (10) (66/1 0%) Chloe's Courage |
66/1(0%) | (10) Chloe's Courage 66/1, Iffraaj filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including 7f-9f winner Ventura Gold and French 5.5f-7.5f winner Kannon. Dam 7f winner. Fifth of 6 in maiden at Hamilton (8.3f, heavy, 40/1) on debut 22 days ago. 7l behind Canavan when well-beaten fifth of six at Hamilton; plenty of improvement needed. |
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7th (8) (28/1 +44%) What What What |
28/1(+44%) | (8) What What What 28/1, Foaled February 22. 2,500 gns foal, Eqtidaar gelding. Dam, runner-up at 1m at 2 yrs in US, half-sister to useful 11.4f/1½m winner Grand Bazaar out of useful 6f (including at 2 yrs) winner Damaniyat Girl. 2,500gns foal; needs checking in the market but might be one for the longer term. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
ANTONIN DVORAK was unable to justify favouritism when finishing second over track and trip on his debut recently. Karl Burke's colt ought to be sharper for that experience, though, and he is taken to go one better with improvement on the cards. Kirkdale displayed clear promise at Haydock earlier this month and he's another who looks set to step forward, while It's Only Fun makes appeal on paper and will need monitoring in the betting ahead of his racecourse bow.
ANTONIN DVORAK couldn't justify short-priced favouritism over this C&D on debut but she still showed a fair level of ability and can go one better at the main expense of Kirkdale, who also showed promise at Haydock starting out.
Kirkdale is respected but the one to beat could be ANTONIN DVORAK whose encouraging second over C&D was predicted by the market.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (11) (33/1 -230%) Yabher |
33/1(-230%) | (11) Yabher 33/1, Foaled February 19. Sea The Stars colt. Half-brother to smart winner up to 1¼m Al Mubhir and 1m winner Dubawi Warrior. Dam winner up to 9f (2-y-o 7f winner). Makes plenty of appeal on paper. Sea The Stars half-brother to two winners, notably Al Mubhir (Listed; RPR 115). |
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2nd (5) (2/1 +56%) Ride The Thunder |
2/1(+56%) | (5) Ride The Thunder 2/1, 400,000 gns yearling, Night of Thunder colt who did best of the newcomers when second of 9 in novice at this course (7f, good to firm) 51 days ago, keeping on well. Step up to 1m will suit and he seems sure to progress. Second favourite when 2nd here (7f, good to firm), racing very freely but keeping on well. |
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3rd (10) (20/1 -186%) Valedictory |
20/1(-186%) | (10) Valedictory 20/1, Foaled March 29. 140,000 gns yearling, Cracksman colt. Half-brother to several winners, including useful 7f/1m winner Dolce Courage and 1m winner Red Poppy. Bred to be useful at least and well worthy of interest on debut. 140,000gns yearling; 7th foal; Cracksman half-brother to four winners, three fairly useful. |
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4th (2) (6/1 -71%) Masubi |
6/1(-71%) | (2) Masubi 6/1, Too Darn Hot colt. Closely related to useful 1½m winner Alqamar and smart winner up to 15f Moonlight Spirit. Made an encouraging start to career when third in 10-runner novice at Kempton (1m) 17 days ago, pulling clear of rest, and seem sure to improve. Second favourite when close third of ten in novice at Kempton (1m, AW), always prominent. |
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5th (1) (125/1 -150%) Arbitration |
125/1(-150%) | (1) Arbitration 125/1, Just modest form in 2 runs so far and looks one for nurseries after this. Some improvement when fifth at Thirsk (7f, good) but much more is needed from him. |
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6th (8) (12/1 -50%) New York Minute |
12/1(-50%) | (8) New York Minute 12/1, Foaled May 1. €400,000 yearling, Wootton Bassett colt. Half-brother to several winners, including winner up to 1½m Fancy Man and 1¼m-2m winner The Grey Wizard, both smart. Dam unraced. Expensive sort representing a top yard, so much respected on debut. 400,000euros yearling; 7th foal; Wootton Bassett half-brother to five winners, two smart. |
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7th (6) (11/10 +32%) Scandinavia |
11/10(+32%) | (6) Scandinavia 11/10, Improved plenty on debut form when second of 9 in maiden (2/1) at Newmarket (8f, good) 29 days ago, despite still showing signs of greenness. Sets a good standard and is open to further improvement. Closed far too late when second at Newmarket (1m, good) but that's the best form in this. |
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8th (9) (20/1 -100%) Serviceman |
20/1(-100%) | (9) Serviceman 20/1, Foaled March 5. €225,000 foal, 320,000 gns yearling, Wootton Bassett colt. Dam, 10.3f-1½m winner who stayed 2m, sister to very smart 2-y-o 1m winner (stayed 1¼m) Kingsbarns. Newcomer of major interest. 320,000gns yearling by Wootton Bassett; first foal; dam 10.5f/1m4f winner (RPR 101). |
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9th (7) (50/1 -100%) Mister Winston |
50/1(-100%) | (7) Mister Winston 50/1, Foaled March 21. Churchill colt. Closely related to useful winner up to 7f Kinks. Dam, 6f winner, half-sister to useful 5.5f-7f winner Last Empire out of useful winner up to 5f (including at 2 yrs) Final Dynasty. Bred to be sharper than most of these. Fifth foal; Churchill close relation to 5f-7f winner Kinks (including 2yo/Bahrain; RPR 96). |
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10th (4) (125/1 -89%) Red Admiral |
125/1(-89%) | (4) Red Admiral 125/1, Sent off at long odds on debut and showed only greenness in valuable maiden (50/1) at York (7f, good to firm) on debut 22 days ago, very slowly away. Probably needs more time. 50-1 for valuable maiden at York (7f, good to firm) and totally blew the start. |
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11th (3) (200/1 +0%) Nimble Nasher |
200/1(+0%) | (3) Nimble Nasher 200/1, Cheap purchase who finished well held in maiden at Chelmsford City (7f) on debut 39 days ago. Chelmsford debut (7f, AW) was not without promise but it was low-level form. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
SCANDINAVIA still displayed signs of greenness when runner-up on his second outing at Newmarket and the son of Justify is expected to shed the maiden tag at the third time of asking. Ride The Thunder is likely to progress from his runner-up effort on debut here in July with the extra furlong potentially aiding his cause. Of the newcomers, the most interesting contenders appear to be New York Minute, a 400,000-euro purchase who is a half-brother to a Grade 2 winner in the US, Serviceman and Yabher.
SCANDINAVIA improved plenty on his debut form when second at Newmarket last month and, with further improvement forthcoming, he could take a bit of stopping. Ride The Thunder and Masubi both seem sure to build on promising opening efforts, with Serviceman heading up a handful of interesting newcomers before market clues.
Scandinavia was second at Newmarket but may be vulnerable to MASUBI and Ride The Thunder. The newcomers need a check too.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (10/1 +38%) Hunters Run |
10/1(+38%) | (8) Hunters Run 10/1, Lightly-raced maiden who was well held in a first-time hood on handicap debut at Newbury (7f, good to firm, 125/1) 16 days ago. Significantly up in trip for handicap debut. Modest form but what does heighten interest is the longer trip (stamina in pedigree). |
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2nd (4) (8/1 +33%) Red Treasure |
8/1(+33%) | (4) Red Treasure 8/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2023 and ran poorly back up in trip when seventh of 8 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f, 18/1) 39 days ago, slowly away. 6f/7f winner; runner-up when first tried in blinkers but the novelty has soon worn off. |
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3rd (1) (13/8 +28%) Bobacious |
13/8(+28%) | (1) Bobacious 13/8, Resumed progress when winning 9-runner handicap at Windsor (10f, good to firm) 12 days ago. Hiked up 9 lb but remains lightly raced for his age. Up 9lb for winning at Windsor (1m2f) and he had the run of things up front that day. |
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4th (5) (12/1 -20%) Forge Valley Lad |
12/1(-20%) | (5) Forge Valley Lad 12/1, 4-time course winner who is operating below best at present. This year has mostly been a struggle and latest start was no more encouraging. |
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5th (6) (9/2 +44%) Wonder Starelzaam |
9/2(+44%) | (6) Wonder Starelzaam 9/2, C&D winner who shaped better than the distance beaten suggests when fourth of 11 in handicap at Newbury (10f, good to firm) 29 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Cheekpieces back on. Has good chance on pick of form. Five-time winner but yet to run a race of note this campaign confined to 1m2f. |
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6th (3) (14/1 -133%) Uzincso |
14/1(-133%) | (3) Uzincso 14/1, Followed a good run with a poor one when seventh of 9 in handicap at Kempton (8f) 66 days ago. Back up in trip and needs to bounce back. All six AW wins have come at Kempton and he is without a win anywhere in two years. |
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7th (7) (7/1 +13%) Lennon |
7/1(+13%) | (7) Lennon 7/1, Proved a different proposition back from a break/switched to handicaps when winning 1m handicaps at Bath and Pontefract in June. Easy to excuse latest run over 10f and he's fancied to bounce back. Won both handicap starts in June but the joy was shortlived having struggled since. |
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8th (9) (22/1 -175%) Covert Mission |
22/1(-175%) | (9) Covert Mission 22/1, Course winner but seems to be going through the motions at present, only sixth of 8 in handicap (9/2) at Chelmsford City (8f) 23 days ago. Up in trip. Last two runs could have been better and this is a belated first go at 1m2f. |
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9th (10) (22/1 -120%) Spook |
22/1(-120%) | (10) Spook 22/1, Just modest form in 4 runs so far but has made an interesting stable switch and is bred to be suited by 1¼m. Watch betting. Limited for Charlie Johnston, finishing fourth of five on handicap debut over 1m1f (14-1). |
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10th (2) (33/1 -230%) Shalfa |
33/1(-230%) | (2) Shalfa 33/1, C&D winner who got back on the scoresheet at Brighton in June. Found good run coming to a halt at Goodwood last time, however. First and second before perhaps going off too hard at Goodwood; has AW form. |
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11th (11) (28/1 -180%) Peter Piper |
28/1(-180%) | (11) Peter Piper 28/1, Lightly-raced maiden who failed to take a major step forward switched to a handicap in a first-time hood when seventh of at Chelmsford City (10f) 30 days ago. Gelded ahead of handicap debut at Chelmsford (1m2f) but never figured in first-time hood. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
BOBACIOUS wasn't for catching when making all at Windsor last time out and a substantial 9lb rise may not be enough to prevent him from landing a third victory of the year. Georgina Nicholls' charge gets the vote ahead of Uzincso, who has strong claims on his penultimate second over C&D, and the capable Covert Mission.Making his first start for new connections, Spook is capable of being in the shake-up, along with Forge Valley Lad.
WONDER STARELZAAM is down to a good mark and could be ready to strike following a more encouraging effort at Newbury last month. Bobacious resumed his progress in no uncertain terms at Windsor recently and could have further progress in him given he remains lightly raced for his age, while Spook is another to note setting out for a new stable.
A chance is taken on HUNTERS RUN in the hope that he will improve for this longer trip, which he's bred to.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (2/1 +50%) Glamorous Breeze |
2/1(+50%) | (1) Glamorous Breeze 2/1, 11/1, eighth of 10 in handicap at Sandown (5f, good to firm) 14 days ago. Edging back down the weights and will be a danger to all if she puts her best foot forward. Strong traveller; yet to win this year but edging down the weights; type to come good soon. |
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2nd (4) (15/2 -88%) Level Up |
15/2(-88%) | (4) Level Up 15/2, Three wins from 15 runs this year. Won 5-runner handicap (7/1) at Salisbury (5f, good to firm) 15 days ago, always holding on. 3 lb by no means the end of the world and he's one to consider. Won two of his last four and still has some handicapping scope; not discounted. |
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3rd (8) (9/2 +78%) Mumayaz |
9/2(+78%) | (8) Mumayaz 9/2, Below form seventh of 13 in handicap at Ascot (8f, good to soft, 28/1) 8 days ago. Significantly down in trip and he's opposable from a win point of view. Slipped to a good mark but whether 5f will see him to best effect is a moot point. |
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4th (6) (12/1 -50%) So Smart |
12/1(-50%) | (6) So Smart 12/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Chepstow in August. Third of 4 in handicap (11/1) at the same course (5.1f, good to firm) 12 days ago. Live each-way chance. Two wins this year, including C&D, but no room for error off this mark; other pace on show. |
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5th (3) (6/1 +0%) Kiss And Run |
6/1(+0%) | (3) Kiss And Run 6/1, Course winner. Latest win at Goodwood in August. 5/4, third of 4 in handicap at that Sussex course (5f, good) 11 days ago. Perhaps a shade too high in the weights for now. Game win at Goodwood last month; not quite so good last time and a career best is required. |
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6th (7) (8/1 -45%) Caribbean Wind |
8/1(-45%) | (7) Caribbean Wind 8/1, Winner at Ripon in August. 9/2, creditable second of 7 in handicap at Lingfield (5f, AW) 14 days ago. Ground slower than good would represent a step into the unknown. Two solid handicap runs have followed her Ripon novice win; still low mileage; considered. |
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7th (9) (16/1 +0%) Zargun |
16/1(+0%) | (9) Zargun 16/1, Latest win at Doncaster in March. Seventh of 9 in handicap at Southwell (6.1f, 40/1) 19 days ago. Capable of a bold show off this mark but he clearly needs to bounce back. Ended losing run with a front-running Doncaster win in March; mixed since; other pace here. |
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8th (5) (7/1 +13%) Dashing Harry |
7/1(+13%) | (5) Dashing Harry 7/1, C&D winner. 5/1, creditable fourth of 8 in handicap at Haydock (5f, good) 72 days ago. Eased 2 lb since but likely to find a few too good all the same. Heavy-ground winner as a 2yo; not progressing this year but is at least down the weights. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Dashing Harry is 1-1 here and won't mind any further rain having scored on heavy ground here last October. Kiss And Run may try to make every post a winning one if she can get to the front from stall one, but CARIBBEAN WIND is preferred. Second at Lingfield last month, she only has six runs on the card and should have improvement to come.
Having slipped to an attractive mark, GLAMOROUS BREEZE could be the answer to this trappy-looking handicap. She actually wasn't beaten far at Sandown last time following a slow start and her versatility ground-wise is an added bonus. Recent Salisbury winner Level Up is second choice ahead of So Smart.
Level Up and Danger Alert are considered but this race is weaker than GLAMOROUS BREEZE (nap) is accustomed to.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (12/1 +45%) Dance Night Andday |
12/1(+45%) | (7) Dance Night Andday 12/1, C&D winner. 2 wins from 6 runs this year. 11/1, 4¾ lengths eighth of 11 to Shandy in Ballyogan Stakes at Naas (5.9f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Eased in weights ahead of return to handicaps and this rates more suitable. Short of room whe beaten 5l in Naas G3 last time and isn't discounted back in a handicap. |
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2nd (15) (14/1 +36%) Gleneagle Bay |
14/1(+36%) | (15) Gleneagle Bay 14/1, Thrice-raced winner. 9/4, 1¼ lengths second of 4 to Booyea in minor event at Fairyhouse (7f, good), hampered. First run for yard after leaving Joseph Patrick O'Brien. Makes handicap debut. Few miles on the clock and has an 8lb pull in the weights with Booyea on latest run. |
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3rd (14) (10/1 +0%) Garfield Shadow |
10/1(+0%) | (14) Garfield Shadow 10/1, Enhanced his good strike rate from the front at Chester (6f) in July and only just failed when third of 10 in handicap back at that venue (6f) 14 days ago, having to weave his way and just failing. Unexposed at 7f but likely to need luck drawn widest of all. Headed on the line at Chester; only up 1lb but a stiff 7f might stretch his stamina. |
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4th (11) (16/1 +0%) Havana Blue |
16/1(+0%) | (11) Havana Blue 16/1, Latest win at Beverley in August. Good second of 10 in handicap at Sandown (7f, good, 10/1) 14 days ago, having run of race. Nudged up 2 lb in what rates a tougher assignment. Nabbed in the dying strides at Sandown; won't get his own way out in front here. |
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5th (6) (16/1 -33%) Booyea |
16/1(-33%) | (6) Booyea 16/1, 2 wins from 4 runs this year. Latest win at the Curragh in June. Sixteenth of 24 in handicap back at that venue (8f, good, 15/2) 14 days ago, merely closing up late. Needs to get back on track. 6th in Galway Mile but disappointing in Irish Cambridgeshire; bit to prove off this mark. |
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6th (10) (18/1 -50%) Blues Emperor |
18/1(-50%) | (10) Blues Emperor 18/1, Dual 1m winner last summer but largely struggled to land a blow from marks in the 90's this time around. Disappointing when eighteenth of 24 in handicap (13/2) at the Curragh (8f, good) 14 days ago and cheekpieces/tongue tie now the headgear of choice. Penultimate Galway Mile fifth off 4lb higher brings him into this at the weights. |
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7th (3) (7/2 +36%) Cerulean Bay |
7/2(+36%) | (3) Cerulean Bay 7/2, Thriving 3-y-o who completed a quick-fire hat-trick when winning 9-runner handicap (9/4) at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) 15 days ago, by neck from Cuban Tiger, bit in hand. Very interesting again up 4 lb for yard in fine form. 2lb worse off with Cuban Tiger here on their Thirsk run but rates as the one to beat. |
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8th (18) (50/1 -127%) Daamberdiplomat |
50/1(-127%) | (18) Daamberdiplomat 50/1, 4¼ lengths sixth of 7 to Exquisite Acclaim in handicap (7/1) at Gowran (7f, good) 31 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Hood on 1st time. Slowly away last two starts and will have plenty of traffic to weave through here. |
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9th (2) (16/1 -60%) Atlantic Coast |
16/1(-60%) | (2) Atlantic Coast 16/1, C&D winner. 20/1, 12½ lengths eighth of 9 to Lead Artist in Thoroughbred Stakes at Goodwood (1m, firm) 43 days ago. Switch to handicaps rates a likely plus now and he could yet get back on track. Folded tamely back up in grade at Goodwood last month; handicap debut from a tough mark. |
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10th (16) (8/1 +64%) Kortez Bay |
8/1(+64%) | (16) Kortez Bay 8/1, Winner at Fairyhouse in June. 12/1, creditable 5¼ lengths fifth of 9 to Super Sox in listed race at Cork (7f, good to firm) 29 days ago. Booking of Carroll a plus but more needed from this career-high mark back in handicaps. Still 5lb above sole handicap start when 2nd over 6f at Naas in May; others better treated. |
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11th (4) (22/1 -10%) I Am Superman |
22/1(-10%) | (4) I Am Superman 22/1, C&D winner. Five wins from 19 Flat runs. Good short-head second of 7 to Exquisite Acclaim in handicap at Gowran (7f, good, 3/1) 31 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Not taken lightly. Beaten a short-head at Gowran; effectively 5lb lower here factoring in the rider's claim. |
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12th (5) (11/1 +21%) Rahmi |
11/1(+21%) | (5) Rahmi 11/1, Back on track with the blinkers enlisted, reeled in by a better treated one when short head second of 7 in handicap at Chepstow (7.1f, good to soft, 11/2) 37 days ago. Traded at 1-100 in-running when throwing the race away at Chepstow when last seen. |
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13th (9) (6/1 +33%) Cuban Tiger |
6/1(+33%) | (9) Cuban Tiger 6/1, 3/1, good neck second of 9 to Cerulean Bay in handicap at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) 15 days ago, having run of race. Trainer going well and he's worthy of respect again up 2 lb. 2lb swing in the weights with Cerulean Bay here but he will do well to reverse the form. |
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14th (8) (22/1 -10%) Hurricane Ivor |
22/1(-10%) | (8) Hurricane Ivor 22/1, Latest win at the Curragh in May. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, good ½-length second of 16 to Physique in handicap at Galway (7f, soft, 40/1) 41 days ago, making rapid progress around the field from his wide draw. Capable of making his mark with a repeat. Ran a cracker in first-time cheekpieces when second in the Ahonoora at the Galway festival. |
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15th (17) (10/1 -25%) Old Faithful |
10/1(-25%) | (17) Old Faithful 10/1, Latest win at Navan in June. 22/1, respectable ninth of 24 in handicap at the Curragh (8f, good) 14 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Hasn't always looked straightforward but he certainly has the ability to play a part back down in trip. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Unable to quicken in Irish Cambridgeshire; Moore takes over but probably wants further. |
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16th (13) (22/1 -57%) Raknah |
22/1(-57%) | (13) Raknah 22/1, Latest win at Galway in August. 8 lengths seventh of 8 to Without Words in Fairy Bridge Stakes at Tipperary (7.5f, good, 11/1) 13 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Return to handicaps rates a plus. Good win from the front at Galway and ran a huge race in valuable York handicap; player. |
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17th (12) (25/1 -56%) Physique |
25/1(-56%) | (12) Physique 25/1, Latest win at Galway in August. 12/1, twelfth of 13 in handicap at Chester (7.6f, good to firm) 14 days ago. Not easy to make a case for. Didn't handle the track at Chester since and will get plenty of competition for the lead. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
CERULEAN BAY has struck a rich vein of form with a trio of wins all over this trip and, despite a combined rise of 13lb in the ratings, may still be ahead of the handicapper. The David O'Meara-trained gelding appeared to win with a bit in hand when beating Cuban Tiger by a neck at Thirsk and the booking of Colin Keane adds to confidence. Rahmi has been placed in a number of valuable handicaps this year including over this trip at Chepstow last time, while Havana Blue and Garfield Shadow also come here in good form. Physique, Hurricane Ivor and Dunum, runner-up in this race last year, filled the first three places in the Ahonoora Handicap over this trip at the Galway Festival.
CERULEAN BAY arrives here a 3-y-o firmly on a roll, completing the hat-trick with a bit to spare when fending off fellow British raider Cuban Tiger at Thirsk 2 weeks ago. A 4 lb rise for that success looks fair and he's very much of interest again with his stable continuing in fine form. The latter-named rates a lead threat again, with I Am Superman, Hurricane Ivor and Dunum leading the home challenge.
RAKNAH impressed when beating supposedly superior rivals from the front in Listed company at Galway and can bounce back to form
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (6/4 +14%) Lady Roxby |
6/4(+14%) | (2) Lady Roxby 6/4, Shaped quite well when sixth of 10 in maiden at Thirsk (6f, good to firm) 29 days ago, denied a clear run. Opening mark looks very workable on that evidence so she's one to take very seriously. Bred for speed; has potential after just three runs and might be the answer here. |
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2nd (1) (16/1 +11%) Jeany May |
16/1(+11%) | (1) Jeany May 16/1, No better than sixth in maiden/novice company, soon struggling when eighth of 9 in maiden at Catterick (5f, good) 17 days ago. Switch to nursery a more suitable assignment. Out of frame in four runs to date; this is easier but she'll need to improve. |
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3rd (4) (7/2 +0%) Monticristo Boy |
7/2(+0%) | (4) Monticristo Boy 7/2, Firmly back on track when second of 11 in nursery (5/1) at Southwell (6.1f) 11 days ago. Drop in trip may not be ideal. Second on nursery/AW debut at Southwell; dangerous if transferring the improvement to turf. |
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4th (3) (11/1 -100%) Stat Goddess |
11/1(-100%) | (3) Stat Goddess 11/1, Denied a clear run when fifth of 8 in nursery at this C&D (good) 17 days ago. Cheekpieces on first time but she's pretty exposed. 0-9 but twice second; fifth in C&D nursery last time; respected in first-time headgear. |
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5th (5) (4/1 -14%) Inertia |
4/1(-14%) | (5) Inertia 4/1, Fared no better switched to a nursery when fifth of 7 in nursery at this C&D (good to firm, 13/2) 53 days ago. Pestered for lead when fifth over C&D last time; sprint-bred and may click at some point. |
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6th (6) (13/2 -95%) Unmistakeable |
13/2(-95%) | (6) Unmistakeable 13/2, Matched best form when second of 8 in nursery at this C&D (good) 17 days ago. That puts her in the mix. Second over C&D 17 days ago; more miles on the clock than most but unlikely to be far away. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
This could be a shootout between UNMISTAKEABLE and Monticristo Boy, both of whom arrive following creditable second-placed efforts. The former has proven herself on the turf, though, and shades preference with that in mind, while a drop from 6f doesn't look an obvious positive for the latter, having kept on late in the day last time. Lady Roxby does not look overburdened by an opening mark of 60 and she appeals most of the remainder.
LADY ROXBY brings potential to the table on this nursery debut and having shaped well at Thirsk on her final qualifying run, she could be the answer. Unmistakeable and Stat Goddess look the chief threats.
The one with the most potential could be LADY ROXBY and Bryan Smart's lightly raced filly is taken to make a winning nursery debut.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (18/1 -29%) Johan |
18/1(-29%) | (1) Johan 18/1, Won the Lincoln here on return in 2022 and enhanced his record fresh when landing last season's Golden Mile at Glorious Goodwood. Seen only twice subsequently though, well held in first-named race on his seasonal bow back in March. Undoubtedly capable if bouncing back. Absent since running poorly here in March when bidding for a second Lincoln win. |
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2nd (7) (11/1 +45%) Bopedro |
11/1(+45%) | (7) Bopedro 11/1, Losing run is mounting up but plenty of good efforts to his name this season, good fifth in Golden Mile at Goodwood (1m) in August. Not in same form in couple of starts since but his mark has eased as a result and he's not dismissed out of hand. Visor back on. Good chance on plenty of form but has lacked consistency this year. |
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3rd (15) (5/1 +33%) Storm Star |
5/1(+33%) | (15) Storm Star 5/1, Successful on debut in a Newcastle maiden (6f) in May and has improved under positive tactics in handicaps in recent months, latterly when good third behind Tolstoy at aforementioned venue 23 days ago. Remains open to improvement. Ties in with Tolstoy on latest effort; pedigree suggests he should do better still. |
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4th (9) (5/2 +29%) Treasure Time |
5/2(+29%) | (9) Treasure Time 5/2, Progressive son of Time Test who wasted no time gaining compensation for his luckless Goodwood run when adding to his tally at York (7.9f) 3 weeks ago, doing well to reel in a pair who were better placed. Strong at the line then and unlikely he's reached his limit yet. Shortlisted. Got up close home in 3yo handicap at the York Ebor festival last month; progressive. |
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5th (12) (17/2 +6%) Magnum Opus |
17/2(+6%) | (12) Magnum Opus 17/2, Useful effort to make second handicap start a winning one at Pontefract (1m) in July and better than bare result last 2 starts, fifth of 14 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 16 days ago, left poorly placed. Likely he has a bigger effort in his locker. Recorded a clearcut win at Pontefract on last completed turf start; interesting. |
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6th (3) (14/1 -40%) Ouzo |
14/1(-40%) | (3) Ouzo 14/1, Ended 2023 with a win at Ascot (1m) and returned to land a pair of 9f Meydan handicaps in January/February. Best effort this summer when fifth of 14 in handicap at Goodwood (7f) last month and the return to 1m now will suit. Made late gains over an inadequate 7f last time; return to 1m is a plus. |
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7th (6) (18/1 -29%) Rhythm Master |
18/1(-29%) | (6) Rhythm Master 18/1, 6-y-o who isn't long with this yard and, having fallen in the weights, he again ran creditably (in first-time cheekpieces) when fourth of 9 in handicap at Thirsk (7f) 2 weeks ago, bumped over 1f out and running on. Remains unexposed at 1m. Quickly running into form for new stable but has something to prove back at 1m. |
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8th (8) (11/1 -83%) Tolstoy |
11/1(-83%) | (8) Tolstoy 11/1, Hasn't always been the most straightforward, but resurgent for present yard, completing a 7f York hat-trick in June/July. Very much caught the eye at Ascot next time and quickly back on the up when successful at Newcastle (1m) 23 days ago. Unexposed as a miler and respected again. Won at Newcastle last month, taking record for current yard to 4-7; not ruled out. |
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8th (13) (66/1 -164%) Eldrickjones |
66/1(-164%) | (13) Eldrickjones 66/1, Long time since he tasted success on turf but added to his tally on all-weather at Newcastle (7f) in May. Has seemingly been going through the motions of late, keeping on again late when 5½ lengths seventh of 14 to Tolstoy in handicap at Newcastle (1m) 23 days ago. Others stronger. Not in top form and can be opposed; it's three years since his sole turf win. |
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10th (4) (22/1 -38%) Raadobarg |
22/1(-38%) | (4) Raadobarg 22/1, Losing run stretches back to 2022 and form has largely gone the wrong way in competitive handicaps this term. Better signs reverting to front-running tactics when third of 12 in handicap at Ascot (1m) in July but he wouldn't be certain to reproduce that form this time. Finished third in this race in 2021; filled the same position at Ascot last time. |
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11th (10) (7/2 +42%) Native Warrior |
7/2(+42%) | (10) Native Warrior 7/2, Justified cramped odds in maiden at Nottingham (8.3f) in May and improved further since, third in Britannia at Royal Ascot (first home stands side) prior to a solid second at Goodwood (9f) 6 weeks ago. Remains less exposed than most and respected for yard who won this 12 months ago. Has performed well at Royal Ascot and Glorious Goodwood since switched to handicaps. |
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12th (14) (40/1 +39%) Bajan Bandit |
40/1(+39%) | (14) Bajan Bandit 40/1, Thrived for this yard last season, winning handicaps at Haydock/York before filling the frame all 3 starts thereafter. Failed to fire in trio of starts during the spring and whilst he's been given a break since, he remains 4 lb above last winning mark. Badly lost his form this spring; returns from a four-month absence. |
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13th (11) (125/1 -213%) Good Heavens |
125/1(-213%) | (11) Good Heavens 125/1, On a good mark judged on 2022 exploits but ended time with Joseph O'Brien below his best and, easy to back, was well held last of 13 on stable debut at Chester (7.6f) 14 days ago. Can only be watched. Ex-Irish 5yo who finished last of 13 at Chester on debut for new stable. |
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14th (2) (28/1 +44%) Dear My Friend |
28/1(+44%) | (2) Dear My Friend 28/1, Really smart on AW with a 4-5 strike-rate but 2-13 on turf and well held at York last month (albeit he raced wide). Looks too high in the weights on this surface. Completed an AW hat-trick early this year; inconsistent since, mostly on turf. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
TREASURE TIME hit the line strongly when producing a career-best performance to win at York last month and a 7lb rise may not be enough to stop him from taking another step forward. Native Warrior backed up his Britannia third when finishing second at Goodwood and the son of Wootton Bassett commands plenty of respect once again. Storm Star, Johan and Ouzo head the remainder.
TREASURE TIME gained deserved compensation for his luckless run at Goodwood when successful in a competitive big-field York handicap 3 weeks ago. Notably strong at the line then, he makes plenty of appeal again from his revised mark taking on his elders for the first time. Fellow 3-y-o Native Warrior is another of firm interest, with Mirsky and Tolstoy a pair of the older brigade firmly in the mix also.
The excellent record of 3yos in this race heightens interest in NATIVE WARRIOR, Storm Star, Treasure Time and Magnum Opus.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (15/2 -25%) Super Mirage |
15/2(-25%) | (4) Super Mirage 15/2, Foaled February 7. €36,000 yearling, Arizona colt. Half-brother to French 6.5f-9.5f winner Welcome Sight. Dam unraced sister to useful 6f winner City Girl out of smart 6f/7f winner Lochridge. One to note in the betting. 36,000euros yearling; nice pedigree and kicks off in a modest maiden. |
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2nd (6) (25/1 +24%) King Kernow |
25/1(+24%) | (6) King Kernow 25/1, Once-raced gelding. Seventh of 8 in maiden (22/1) at Kempton (7f) on debut 33 days ago. Opposable. Raced wide and looked inexperienced when down the field in a 7f maiden at Kempton. |
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3rd (7) (16/5 +29%) Many Men |
16/5(+29%) | (7) Many Men 16/5, Twice-raced gelding. First run since leaving George Boughey when fifth of 10 in maiden (9/2) at Epsom (7f, good) 19 days ago, slowly away. Place possibilities. Debut second, albeit in a seller, makes for positive reading in today's company. |
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4th (11) (14/1 -75%) Rosemary's Rose |
14/1(-75%) | (11) Rosemary's Rose 14/1, Foaled March 16. €10,000 yearling, Belardo filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 5f-6f winner Hedge Fund and a winner abroad by Gleneagles. Wears hood. Yard can ready a newcomer and it'll be interesting to see how she shapes up in the betting. 10,000euros yearling; half-sister to useful sprinter Hedge Fund. |
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5th (10) (8/1 +33%) Arinagour |
8/1(+33%) | (10) Arinagour 8/1, Once-raced filly. 22/1, sixth of 11 in maiden at Newbury (7f, soft) on debut 9 days ago. Will need to leave that form behind in order to play a leading role here. 22-1, he raced prominently before backing out of it late on at Newbury nine days ago. |
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6th (9) (40/1 -21%) Vizzavona Lady |
40/1(-21%) | (9) Vizzavona Lady 40/1, 39/1, eighth of 9 in maiden at Deauville (7f, good) 30 days ago and she looks set for another struggle. Beaten 20l in a 7f race on good ground at Deauville; that wasn't the best of starts. |
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7th (1) (15/8 +17%) Belgravian |
15/8(+17%) | (1) Belgravian 15/8, Foaled April 22. €40,000 yearling, Make Believe colt. Half-brother to several winners, including French winner up to 1¼m Fun With Flags and winner up to 1m Quantum Impact, both useful. Lots to like on paper and he needs a close look in the betting. 40,000euros yearling; in a top yard so the market can guide. |
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8th (8) (7/1 -155%) Girls Night Out |
7/1(-155%) | (8) Girls Night Out 7/1, Foaled March 26. Mayson filly. Sister to useful winner up to 1¾m Saratoga Gold and half-sister to 1m-1¼m winner My Lady Claire. Dam 7f/1m winner. Interesting newcomer from a respected yard and the market should be revealing. Sixth foal; sister to 1m2f-1m6f winner Saratoga Gold (RPR 100); needs a market check. |
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9th (3) (12/1 +25%) Premier |
12/1(+25%) | (3) Premier 12/1, Foaled March 8. €7,500 yearling, 36,000 gns 2-y-o, Dariyan gelding. Brother to 2-y-o 7.5f winner Pantea and half-brother to 6.5f/7f winner Jasmina and 12.5f winner Epic, all in France. Wears hood on debut and it's likely that he'll come on for the run. 36,000gns 2yo; fifth foal; brother to French 7.5f AW 2yo winner Pantea. |
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10th (5) (40/1 -100%) Banksman |
40/1(-100%) | (5) Banksman 40/1, Once-raced colt. Fourteenth of 16 in maiden at Chepstow (7.1f, good, 7/1) on debut 19 days ago, missing break. Looked very green on that occasion and he's probably more of a long-term prospect. Only 7-1 but was always behind and beaten 23l in a 7f maiden at Chepstow. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
With very little form to work with, MANY MEN stands out on his debut second, though he failed to build on that next time out when fifth at Epsom after a slow start. Belgravian is the most interesting newcomer for the in-form Andrew Balding team, while any market support for Richard Hughes' Super Mirage must also be taken seriously ahead of his debut.
This looks ripe for one of the newcomers, with BELGRAVIAN the most appealing of them on paper. It goes without saying that confidence behind this colt in the betting would look highly significant. Girls Night Out and Super Mirage rate the main dangers.
It's worth chancing the newcomers. with BELGRAVIAN preferred to Super Mirage and Girls Night Out.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (10/1 0%) Vera's Secret |
10/1(0%) | (9) Vera's Secret 10/1, Low-mileage 5-y-o who was much improved when making a winning handicap bow at the Curragh (8f, good) in July. Given a hefty rise in the weights subsequently and finished only mid-field back at the Curragh last time, though was poorly placed and possible she'll do better now. Ran too keen in the Irish Cambridgeshire; hood tried and she could be a factor if it works. |
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2nd (6) (11/1 +39%) Snellen |
11/1(+39%) | (6) Snellen 11/1, Got the better of Lady Lunette at Limerick in June before that rival turned the tables at Leopardstown the following month. Resumed winning ways at Gowran in late-July but disappointing in a listed contest there last time. Still respected nevertheless. Disappointing in a Gowran Listed last month but respected back in handicap company. |
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3rd (11) (22/1 -57%) Serialise |
22/1(-57%) | (11) Serialise 22/1, Back on the up when winning 11-runner handicap at Cork (7f, good to firm) 29 days ago, knuckling down well to see off the strong-travelling runner-up. Yet to fully string good efforts together though and has tough draw to overcome. Plenty to suggest that she might be capable of better; can contend off a 5lb higher mark. |
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4th (10) (22/1 -57%) Sumptuary Law |
22/1(-57%) | (10) Sumptuary Law 22/1, Won her first 3 starts in handicaps, completing the hat-trick at Roscommon in July. Creditable 2¾ lengths fifth of 8 to Evening Blossom in handicap at this C&D (good) 23 days ago but perhaps has found her progress plateauing now. Has been found out off her new mark last twice and probably up against it here. |
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5th (14) (50/1 -127%) Elinor Dashwood |
50/1(-127%) | (14) Elinor Dashwood 50/1, Latest win at Gowran in June. 20/1, 3¾ lengths seventh of 8 to Evening Blossom in handicap at this C&D (good) 23 days ago, left poorly placed. Probably needs more to defy this mark in such a competitive contest. Won a fillies' handicap off 75 in June; close third to Serialise at Cork; squeak. |
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6th (2) (13/2 +35%) Arisaig |
13/2(+35%) | (2) Arisaig 13/2, Did well after conceding first run to land 12-runner handicap at Goodwood (1m) in July. Not seen to best effeect when mid-field at York since and she remains of interest from this mark. Mid-division in a better contest at York last time; respected but others appeal more. |
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7th (15) (8/1 -33%) Evening Blossom |
8/1(-33%) | (15) Evening Blossom 8/1, Showed good attitude when finally off the mark in a13-runner maiden at Gowran (8f, good) 26 days ago and produced a career-best to follow up in an 8-runner handicap at this C&D (good, 11/4) 23 days ago. Perhaps drawn higher than ideal but respected nevertheless. Not well drawn but going the right way and no surprise should she go close here. |
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8th (5) (22/1 -57%) Karsavina |
22/1(-57%) | (5) Karsavina 22/1, Didn't need to improve to belated double her tally at Cork in July. Flying too high in listed company at Gowran since and probably needs a couple of these to falter back in a handicap. Did okay in a Listed at Gowran; solid enough performer but others make a bit more appeal. |
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9th (13) (40/1 -14%) Anvika |
40/1(-14%) | (13) Anvika 40/1, Latest win at Limerick in June. 25/1, ran respectably without ever threatening when sixth of 8 in handicap at Gowran (7f, good to soft) 11 days ago. Not easy to make a case for. 12lb penalty for winning a Limerick handicap in June; down to a mark of 82 now. |
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10th (16) (12/1 -20%) September Leaves |
12/1(-20%) | (16) September Leaves 12/1, Justified support to resume winning ways in a 15-runner handicap (2/1) at Gowran (8f, good to soft) 11 days ago. Likely needs to find some progress to defy a 7 lb penalty in a stronger race Visor goes back on here and might just benefit from the style of this young rider. |
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11th (17) (22/1 +21%) Lucky Out |
22/1(+21%) | (17) Lucky Out 22/1, Didn't need to improve to shed maiden tag at Galway in July and has shaped as if still in form both starts since, needing a stronger gallop when fifth of 8 in handicap at Gowran (7f, good to soft) 11 days ago. Others strike as likelier winners, though, Won a Galway maiden and not beaten far in two handicaps since; back up to 1m here. |
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12th (3) (16/1 -33%) Independent Expert |
16/1(-33%) | (3) Independent Expert 16/1, Has won at Cork and Killarney this season and produced another fine effort when third in a 24-runner handicap at the Curragh (8f, good) 14 days ago. Stall 7 is no bad thing and she's respected. Close third in the Irish Cambridgeshire last time; will go close if she can match that. |
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13th (8) (8/1 +20%) Zapphire |
8/1(+20%) | (8) Zapphire 8/1, Gained reward for a string of good efforts when winning 11-runner handicap at Beverley (8.4f, good to firm) 14 days ago. That effort represented a career-best and she's shortlisted under a claimer with whom she's built a good rapport. Landed a 1m2f handicap at Beverley two weeks ago; could still be more to come from her. |
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14th (4) (17/2 +15%) Lady Lunette |
17/2(+15%) | (4) Lady Lunette 17/2, Ran out a cosy winner of a 14-runner handicap (5/1) at Leopardstown (9f, good) in July and shaped as if still in good form when ninth in a valuable event at Galway later in the month, the gaps not materialising when she needed them. Not discounted. Kept on after not getting a clear run in the Galway Mile; dropped 2lb and given a chance. |
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15th (19) (28/1 -12%) Super Exceed |
28/1(-12%) | (19) Super Exceed 28/1, Lightly-raced winner. 1 win from 3 runs this year. Winner at Naas in August. 15/2, 3¾ lengths sixth of 8 to Evening Blossom in handicap at this C&D (good) 23 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Not far behind Evening Blossom here last month but needs plenty more from 3lb wrong. |
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16th (7) (3/1 +50%) Quadruple |
3/1(+50%) | (7) Quadruple 3/1, Steadily progressive this season, making a winning handicap debut at Limerick in June before improving further when scoring in a 6-runner event at the Curragh (8f, good to firm) 35 days ago. Had run of race there but profile is upwardly mobile and she's highly respected. Will be ridden forward from an unfavourable draw and could have a bit more to offer. |
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17th (18) (80/1 -142%) Nituna |
80/1(-142%) | (18) Nituna 80/1, Winner at Naas in July. Thirteenth of 16 in handicap (14/1) at Navan (8.1f, good) 16 days ago. Must improve. Got her head in front in a Naas handicap in July; well beaten at Navan two weeks ago. |
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18th (1) (22/1 -57%) Star Galaxy |
22/1(-57%) | (1) Star Galaxy 22/1, Produced another creditable when second of 4 in minor event at Tipperary (7.5f, good, 5/2) 13 days ago and stable remain in good form, though more is likely needed to defy this mark back handicapping. Good run in a Tipperary conditions last time but has a tough task here with this weight. |
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19th (12) (28/1 -75%) Solar Breeze |
28/1(-75%) | (12) Solar Breeze 28/1, Returned to form from a slipping mark when second of 18 in handicap at the Curragh (10f, good, 20/1) 21 days ago. Cheekpiecs now applied but she may remain vulnerable to less exposed rivals. Second in a 1m2f handicap at the Curragh last month; cheekpieces tried; needs to improve. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
EVENING BLOSSOM is on a hat-trick and had a number of these rivals behind when successful over C&D last month. The Joseph O'Brien-trained filly remains on a competitive mark while Quadruple is another progressive sort having also gained a couple of mile handicap wins at Limerick and the Curragh and in between was just denied here over seven. Lady Lunette and Snellen filled the first two places in the valuable Nasrullah Handicap over 1m1f here in July and the former subsequently didn't enjoy much luck in running at Galway. Independent Expert ran a career best last time when a close third in the Irish Cambridgeshire while others for the shortlist include Zapphire and Solar Breeze.
Ger Lyons' progressive QUADRUPLE has won 2 of her 3 starts in handicaps and makes most appeal in a highly competitive fillies event. English-raider Zapphire has enjoyed a solid campaign and rates as another major player, with fellow raider Arisaig and the hat-trick seeking Evening Blossom also in the mix.
The one to beat is QUADRUPLE, a fast-improving filly who impressed at the Curragh last time and could well be stakes class
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Dingwall |
(2) (9/2 -13%)9/2(-13%) | (2) Dingwall 9/2, Winner at Ayr in July. Eighth of 9 in handicap (11/2) at Carlisle (9f, soft) 16 days ago. Significantly up in trip, which could well suit. First and second once hooded and soft ground presumably to blame last time. |
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1st (1) (7/4 +7%) Molten Sea |
7/4(+7%) | (1) Molten Sea 7/4, Backward step when fourth of 9 in maiden at Goodwood (14f, good, 7/1) 85 days ago. Makes handicap debut for top yard so could have a bigger performance in her. Modest form but she's well bred and open to improvement now into a handicap. |
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2nd (3) (15/2 -67%) Mon Etoile |
15/2(-67%) | (3) Mon Etoile 15/2, Another respectable effort when third of 6 in handicap at Brighton (9.9f, good) 25 days ago. Up in trip and she shapes as though she'll stay. Now 0-14 but placed plenty of times and going beyond 1m2f might trigger something. |
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3rd (7) (28/1 -12%) Strike Rate |
28/1(-12%) | (7) Strike Rate 28/1, 22/1 and cheekpieces on for first time, respectable eighth of 13 in handicap at Hamilton (8.3f, soft) 10 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Most competitive in classified races and struggled in handicaps; stamina to prove as well. |
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4th (6) (5/1 +29%) Liberty Looming |
5/1(+29%) | (6) Liberty Looming 5/1, 10/1, first run since leaving J. S. Bolger when eighth of 10 in handicap at this C&D (good) 18 days ago, short of room. Modest maiden for Jim Bolger and beat only two home over C&D on stable debut. |
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5th (8) (33/1 -32%) Scarbados |
33/1(-32%) | (8) Scarbados 33/1, 11/1 and tongue strap on for first time, below form sixth of 13 in handicap at Redcar (8f, good to firm) 35 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Ivan Furtado. Hood back on. Eight-race maiden who was all over the shop trip-wise for former yard (7f-1m6f). |
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6th (4) (7/1 -110%) Lady Phoebe |
7/1(-110%) | (4) Lady Phoebe 7/1, Respectable eighth of 14 in handicap (5/4) at Catterick (13.9f, good) 17 days ago. Cheekpieces on first time and she's a big player on her Hamilton run. Second at Hamilton and cheekpieces now added following a lesser next run. |
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7th (5) (17/2 -31%) Stretch |
17/2(-31%) | (5) Stretch 17/2, Creditable fifth of 9 in handicap (9/1) at Ffos Las (16f, heavy) 16 days ago. Down in trip and she's not fully exposed. Heavy ground an excuse last time, though handicap debut on AW wasn't that encouraging. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Newmarket trainer William Haggas has an excellent strike-rate at this venue and MOLTEN SEA is expected to improve now handicapping. The daughter of Too Darn Hot failed to see out the 1m6f trip in maiden company at Goodwood in June but a bold bid is anticipated at this lowly level. Lady Phoebe returns to this shorter distance with a shout having gone close at Hamilton on her penultimate start, while Stretch remains open to improvement and is preferred to the more exposed Mon Etoile.
MOLTEN SEA surely has more to come in handicaps for her leading stable so she can find the requisite improvement needed to defy this mark. Dingwall could relish this trip so is a threat, along with Lady Phoebe.
It will be disappointing should the well-bred MOLTEN SEA not be able to raise her profile now handicapping at this lowly level.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (4/1 -14%) The Green Mile |
4/1(-14%) | (3) The Green Mile 4/1, Foaled February 27. €17,000 foal, Waldgeist colt. Half-brother to several winners, including 1¼m-13f winner Dazzling Darren and 6f winner Musaytir. It will be interesting to see which way she goes in the betting. Stamina on both sides of pedigree; interesting newcomer from top yard; market check a must. |
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2nd (2) (9/2 +0%) Master Technician |
9/2(+0%) | (2) Master Technician 9/2, Promising individual. Sixth of 11 in novice at Windsor (8.1f, good to firm, 33/1) on debut 12 days ago, slowly away. That experience certainly won't be wasted on him and he's one to consider. Unfancied for Windsor debut but ran well for a long way; tougher stamina test today. |
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3rd (10) (4/1 -33%) Tap Dancer |
4/1(-33%) | (10) Tap Dancer 4/1, Promising sort. Third of 7 in novice (12/1) at Goodwood (8f, soft) 21 days ago, staying on well. Further progress likely and she's has to be high on the shortlist. Confirmed debut promise when a keeping-on close 3rd over 1m on soft at Goodwood. |
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4th (1) (7/2 +65%) Great David |
7/2(+65%) | (1) Great David 7/2, Twice-raced colt. 5/1, fourth of 9 in maiden at Beverley (7.4f, good to firm) 31 days ago, needing stiffer test. Nurseries will be an option after this and may be seen in a better light when going down that route. Shown promise at about 7f; open to improvement over 1m for in-form yard. |
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5th (5) (18/1 +28%) Kilpatrick Prince |
18/1(+28%) | (5) Kilpatrick Prince 18/1, Twice-raced colt. 14/1, third of 7 in maiden at Musselburgh (7.1f, good to firm) 43 days ago, slowly away. Others make more appeal for win purposes. Reached the frame on his second start (7f) but it wasn't strong form; wants ground to dry. |
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6th (9) (17/2 -209%) Saliko |
17/2(-209%) | (9) Saliko 17/2, Promising type. 28/1, third of 10 in novice at Kempton (8f) on debut 25 days ago. Open to improvement with that experience to draw upon and she should go close. Very late foal; unfancied for AW debut over 1m but strong-finishing 3rd; can do better. |
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7th (8) (33/1 -83%) Up The Anti |
33/1(-83%) | (8) Up The Anti 33/1, Twice-raced filly. Nineteenth of 20 in minor event at York (6f, good to firm, 250/1) 23 days ago. Significantly up in and while this is a more realistic assignments, others are more appealing nonetheless. Tough task in valuable sales race latest; hadn't done enough on debut to fancy for this. |
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8th (7) (6/1 +40%) Tempted |
6/1(+40%) | (7) Tempted 6/1, Once-raced filly. Sixth of 14 in maiden at Kempton (7f, 4/1) on debut 33 days ago, missing break. Hinted at ability on that occasion but she may need more time. Never within sight of the leaders on Kempton AW debut but kept on nicely in the straight. |
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9th (4) (80/1 -220%) City Captain |
80/1(-220%) | (4) City Captain 80/1, Twice-raced colt. Fifth of 9 in maiden at this course (5.7f, good to firm, 10/1) 28 days ago, unsuited by drop in trip. Significantly up in trip and will need to raise his game if he's to emerge on top here. Well held in both starts, over 7f on AW and extended 5f here; handicaps more likely. |
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10th (6) (100/1 -150%) Troubadour Blue |
100/1(-150%) | (6) Troubadour Blue 100/1, Once-raced colt. Eleventh of 13 in maiden at Chelmsford City (7f, 14/1) on debut 39 days ago, slowly away. Readily passed over. 14-1, made low-key start on AW in August; likely to improve later but perhaps not today. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Saliko may prove popular here after her debut third at Kempton and any improvement would make her a danger to all. Tempted ran green on her debut when slowly away and is another who could get involved, though TAP DANCER should have their measure. Third and beaten less than a length in a Class 2 at Goodwood latest, the drop in grade may be all she needs to get off the mark.
The vote goes to TAP DANCER, who got back on track when a close third in a soft-ground Goodwood novice three weeks ago and this filly is probably capable of better still. Saliko made a promising start to her career at Kempton and may emerge as the main danger, though Master Technician is also feared on the back of his encouraging Windsor debut and newcomer The Green Mile is not short of appeal on paper.
The Green Mile is interesting but GREAT DAVID is given another chance to confirm the promise shown in the first of his two starts.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (11/1 +0%) Bringbackmemories |
11/1(+0%) | (1) Bringbackmemories 11/1, 3 wins from 12 runs this year. Last of 16 in handicap at York (16.2f, good to firm, 33/1) 24 days ago. Second blip this term came on latest start but he's a player if that can be forgiven. |
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2nd (2) (3/1 +25%) Robert Johnson |
3/1(+25%) | (2) Robert Johnson 3/1, Course winner. Six wins from 21 Flat runs. Twelfth of 16 in handicap at York (16.2f, good to firm, 18/1) 24 days ago. Weakened out of it at top meetings last two runs but stays all day and has a tempting mark. |
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3rd (5) (6/1 -71%) Yorkindness |
6/1(-71%) | (5) Yorkindness 6/1, Course winner. Just failed when second of 8 in handicap at this C&D (good, 5/1) 17 days ago, caught further back than ideal. Needs considering, Finished strongly over C&D on latest start when she pipped Show No Fear for second. |
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4th (8) (18/1 +28%) Zephlyn |
18/1(+28%) | (8) Zephlyn 18/1, Latest win at Southwell in March. Respectable fourth of 8 in handicap at this C&D (good, 13/2) 17 days ago. Up against it from out of the handicap. 0-14 on turf, going very close over 2m here in July; 6lb out of the handicap. |
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5th (4) (7/2 -100%) Knights Affair |
7/2(-100%) | (4) Knights Affair 7/2, Course winner. 2 wins from 6 runs this year. 9/4, career best when winning 6-runner handicap at Redcar (14f, good to firm) 21 days ago, easily. Up in trip. Enters calculations. Thoroughly in charge on two (2m/1m6f) of his last three starts and looks a rising force. |
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6th (3) (7/2 +46%) Whatawit |
7/2(+46%) | (3) Whatawit 7/2, Lightly-raced winner on Flat. Fairly useful winner at 16f in bumpers. Last of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (12f, AW, 11/2). Off 105 days. Blinkers on 1st time. Something to find on form. Tailed off last two starts; blinkers enlisted, plus 4f step up in trip and return to turf. |
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7th (7) (6/1 +14%) Marbuzet |
6/1(+14%) | (7) Marbuzet 6/1, Course winner. Latest win at Doncaster in July. 7½ lengths fourth of 6 to Knights Affair in handicap (9/4) at Redcar (14f, good to firm) 21 days ago. Stiffer test should suit. Has usually run with credit this term but his form dipped on latest outing. |
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8th (6) (25/1 -285%) Show No Fear |
25/1(-285%) | (6) Show No Fear 25/1, Latest win at Ayr in May. Visored for 1st time, good third of 8 in handicap (11/1) at this C&D (good) 17 days ago, clear of rest. Player. Extremely hit and miss this year but went close from the front over C&D on latest outing. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
KNIGHTS AFFAIR continued his good progress when scoring at Redcar last time with plenty left in the tank. The four-year-old won over 2m at this track back in July and this extra distance should hold no fears for David O'Meara's inmate. Yorkindness bounced back to form when just missing out over course and distance last time and Show No Fear was less than a length away in third. Bringbackmemories returns to this lower grade with a chance too.
KNIGHTS AFFAIR possesses plenty of physical scope and is a stayer to keep on the right side of on the back of his easy win at Redcar 3 weeks ago. Marbuzet was behind the selection that day but this stiffer test should play more to his strengths, while Robert Johnson is back down in class having not been disgraced in handicaps at Glorious Goodwood and York's Ebor meeting.
The progressive Knights Affair is not passed over at all easily but slight preference is for the proven stamina of YORKINDNESS.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (11) (11/2 -10%) Albus Anne |
11/2(-10%) | (11) Albus Anne 11/2, C&D winner. Bit below form seventh of 13 in handicap (6/1) at Newbury (10f, good to firm). Off 93 days and hood on 1st time. Will be a threat if able to get back on track. C&D winner off this mark last autumn and also ran well on both outings this season. |
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2nd (7) (40/1 -100%) King Of The Dance |
40/1(-100%) | (7) King Of The Dance 40/1, 12/1, fourth of 5 in handicap at Ffos Las (7.4f, heavy) 16 days ago and record now stands at 0-9 on turf. Cheekpieces back on. Twice safely held on heavy ground last month; can do better in refitted cheekpieces here. |
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3rd (12) (10/1 -82%) Hawajes |
10/1(-82%) | (12) Hawajes 10/1, Won 9-runner handicap (11/2) at Chepstow (7.1f, good to firm) 12 days ago, bit in hand. Shade more needed up 3 lb but couldn't rule out all the same. Largely consistent 4yo; won over 7f recently and is still unexposed over 1m. |
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4th (5) (6/1 +25%) Havana Goldrush |
6/1(+25%) | (5) Havana Goldrush 6/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in April. 6/1, 3 lengths sixth of 8 to Fact Or Fable in handicap at this C&D (good to firm) 28 days ago. Merits consideration. Made all over C&D in April; not quite in same form on any of three starts for new stable. |
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5th (1) (6/1 +0%) Fact Or Fable |
6/1(+0%) | (1) Fact Or Fable 6/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in August. Respectable third of 6 in handicap at Brighton (8f, soft, 10/3) 5 days ago. Unlikely he will be far away, albeit without proving quite good enough from a win point of view. C&D winner last month; also ran well on Monday but would appeal more on fast ground. |
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6th (3) (12/1 +0%) Ivasecret |
12/1(+0%) | (3) Ivasecret 12/1, Visored for 1st time, last of 12 in handicap at Kempton (8f, 12/1) 31 days ago. Now tried in a hood and, unless the new headgear sparks a return to form, this 6-y-o will probably come up short once more. Five-time AW winner; on a tempting mark on turf but does not want any juice in the ground. |
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7th (4) (8/1 +0%) Ravenglass |
8/1(+0%) | (4) Ravenglass 8/1, Twenty six runs since last win in 2022. 5/1, seventh of 10 in handicap at Windsor (8.1f, good to firm) 33 days ago. Cheekpieces back on and he could have a say in the finish. Placed three times over C&D in the spring and returns here on a tempting mark. |
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8th (2) (10/3 +17%) Dappled Light |
10/3(+17%) | (2) Dappled Light 10/3, Latest win at Ffos Las in June. Blinkered for 1st time, good second of 7 in handicap (11/4) at Chepstow (8.1f, good to firm) 12 days ago, having run of race. Has good chance on form. In the frame in all four starts since his June win; likely contender again. |
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9th (10) (20/1 -43%) Eye Of The Water |
20/1(-43%) | (10) Eye Of The Water 20/1, C&D winner. Eleven runs since last win in 2023. Seventh of 10 in handicap at this C&D (good, 11/1). Off 91 days. Would have a serious chance if on-song. Runs this C&D very well but needs to have been refreshed by a three-month break. |
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10th (13) (10/1 -43%) Daany |
10/1(-43%) | (13) Daany 10/1, 7/1, won 9-runner handicap hurdle at Newton Abbot (16.8f, good to firm) 14 days ago. Modest on the Flat, respectable on last Flat outing. Place possibilities. Flat and dual hurdle winner this summer; must be considered in current mood. |
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11th (9) (100/1 -150%) Olympic Quest |
100/1(-150%) | (9) Olympic Quest 100/1, 11 lengths last of 8 to Fact Or Fable in handicap at this C&D (good to firm, 66/1) 28 days ago, missing break. Easy enough to look elsewhere. Last of eight over C&D when back on turf last month, and often refuses to settle; risky. |
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12th (8) (18/1 -29%) Bantry |
18/1(-29%) | (8) Bantry 18/1, Unreliable individual. One win from 22 Flat runs. Eleventh of 12 in handicap at Chepstow (8.1f, good, 25/1) 19 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Generally disappointing since 7f win in April; needs to up his game. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
DAPPLED LIGHT has been running consistently well in recent months and the four-year-old went close on his latest outing when denied by a neck at Chepstow. He was tried in blinkers for the first time on that occasion and there is no reason to believe the headgear won't work again. Fact Or Fable won over C&D last month and is capable of being in the mix, along with Hawajes and Daany.
The vote goes to ALBUS ANNE, who scored over this C&D last autumn and she is fresher than most on what will be just her third start of the present campaign. The consistent Dappled Light went close at Chepstow recently and is next on the list ahead of Ravenglass. Cases can also be made for Havana Goldrush and Hawajes.
Away from heavy ground and with cheekpieces refitted, KING OF THE DANCE is taken to exploit a favourable mark.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (13/8 +51%) Miguel |
13/8(+51%) | (2) Miguel 13/8, Bit below form seventh of 16 in handicap at Newbury (7f, good to firm, 10/1) 16 days ago but claims if back to the form he showed when second at Haydock prior to that. Headed only late on at Haydock and next run came in a stronger contest; not discounted. |
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2nd (6) (14/1 -75%) Jenni |
14/1(-75%) | (6) Jenni 14/1, Cheekpieces on first time, sixth of 8 in handicap (8/1) at Ripon (5f, firm) 40 days ago. Significantly up in trip. 12-race maiden; below-par sixth at Ripon last time; needs to improve for this longer trip. |
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3rd (7) (13/2 -44%) Ramon Di Loria |
13/2(-44%) | (7) Ramon Di Loria 13/2, C&D winner. Latest win at Ayr in August. Creditable second of 8 in handicap at Hamilton (6f, soft, 7/2) 10 days ago. Can give another good account Tough gelding, holding his form well; tactically versatile and unlikely to be far away. |
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4th (5) (15/2 -15%) Clasina |
15/2(-15%) | (5) Clasina 15/2, Lightly-raced maiden. 40/1, very good third of 12 in handicap at Haydock (7f, good) 8 days ago. This unexposed sort has to enter calculations. Well-bred 3yo; just fourth run when third at Haydock; should make presence felt again. |
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5th (1) (9/2 -80%) Showtime Mahomes |
9/2(-80%) | (1) Showtime Mahomes 9/2, Landed this race 12 months ago and went in again over C&D last month. A 3 lb rise may not prevent him extending his unbeaten Musselburgh record to 4. 3-3 at Musselburgh, digging deep here 17 days ago; should give another solid account. |
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6th (4) (15/2 +32%) Rory |
15/2(+32%) | (4) Rory 15/2, Unreliable individual. C&D winner in July. 10/1, bit below form sixth of 10 in handicap at Carlisle (6.9f, soft) 16 days ago. Often starts slowly. Others more persuasive. Below par last time but loves Musselburgh and may well bounce back. |
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7th (3) (12/1 -200%) Swordplay |
12/1(-200%) | (3) Swordplay 12/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. Went close at Lingfield (7f, good to firm) in July but not in the same form when sixth of 8 at Beverley 6 days later. Given a bit of time since. Poor effort last time but twice went close in the summer; in the picture if on a going day. |
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8th (8) (11/1 +21%) Monhammer |
11/1(+21%) | (8) Monhammer 11/1, C&D winner. 10/1, 7½ lengths last of 10 to Showtime Mahomes in C&D handicap (good) 17 days ago but shaped quite well at Ayr prior to that. Folded tamely and finished last of ten behind Showtime Mahones here last month; risky. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
CLASINA made a pleasing start to life in handicaps when finishing a close-up third over 7f at Haydock last week on just her second start for this stable. Upped 2lb, it would be no surprise if she were able to go two places better. Ramon Di Loria found only one rival too good over 6f at Hamilton latest and a 1lb rise for that performance may not prevent another bold bid. Showtime Mahomes bounced back to form with a game victory over C&D last month and must also enter calculations.
SHOWTIME MAHOMES is taken to defy the handicapper again and make it a perfect 4-4 at Musselburgh. Unexposed 3-y-o Clasina is feared most ahead of Ramon di Loria, who has had a good spell in recent months.
If there's an unexposed one here it's probably CLASINA (nap) who nearly sprang a surprise at Haydock and could improve further.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (10) (33/1 -32%) Savalas |
33/1(-32%) | (10) Savalas 33/1, C&D winner. 40/1, sixth of 9 in handicap at Chepstow (7.1f, good to firm) 12 days ago. Regressive veteran who is yet to strike form after five starts this season. |
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2nd (15) (22/1 -57%) Midnight Flame |
22/1(-57%) | (15) Midnight Flame 22/1, Remains a maiden after 24 Flat runs. 16/1, fifth of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (6f, AW) 4 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Placed twice over C&D in the spring but not in same form lately and now 0-24. |
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3rd (3) (5/1 +44%) Autumn Angel |
5/1(+44%) | (3) Autumn Angel 5/1, C&D winner. Seventh of 9 in handicap at Ffos Las (6f, heavy, 13/2) 15 days ago. Placed on her penultimate appearance but seemingly on the downgrade; others preferred. |
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4th (11) (12/1 +0%) Redshore City |
12/1(+0%) | (11) Redshore City 12/1, One win from 28 Flat runs. Fourth of 9 in handicap at Ffos Las (6f, heavy, 17/2) 15 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. On a good mark now but needs a good boost from the first-time cheekpieces. |
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5th (13) (33/1 -200%) Peachey Carnehan |
33/1(-200%) | (13) Peachey Carnehan 33/1, 40/1, creditable third of 9 in handicap at Chepstow (7.1f, good to firm) 12 days ago. Placed at 40-1 last week but his record in recent months is very mixed. |
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6th (9) (10/1 -82%) Diamond Cottage |
10/1(-82%) | (9) Diamond Cottage 10/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2023. 6/1, creditable second of 8 in handicap at Chepstow (6.1f, good to firm) 11 days ago. Can make presence felt. Not as good as she was but posted a sound effort when second at Chepstow recently. |
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7th (5) (9/2 +10%) Malham Tarn Cove |
9/2(+10%) | (5) Malham Tarn Cove 9/2, C&D winner. Winner here in May. Seventh of 8 in handicap at Catterick (6f, good, 6/1) 17 days ago. Didn't fire at Catterick last time but a big player if judged on this season's C&D form. |
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8th (12) (10/1 +29%) Bedford House |
10/1(+29%) | (12) Bedford House 10/1, Sixth of 9 in handicap at this C&D (good to firm, 12/1) 10 days ago. Ran quite well over C&D last week but is yet to be placed after seven starts. |
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9th (2) (7/1 -8%) Sisters In The Sky |
7/1(-8%) | (2) Sisters In The Sky 7/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in July. Eighth of 9 in handicap (16/1) at Ffos Las (6f, heavy) 15 days ago. Type to bounce back. Placed twice since his ready C&D win in July and back on a good mark now; high on the list. |
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10th (8) (25/1 -56%) Flagman |
25/1(-56%) | (8) Flagman 25/1, Seventh of 9 in handicap at Chepstow (7.1f, good to firm, 9/1) 12 days ago. Visored for 1st time. Back from 11-month absence with two below-par runs; visor tried today. |
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11th (7) (10/1 -43%) Neptune Legend |
10/1(-43%) | (7) Neptune Legend 10/1, C&D winner. 3 wins from 16 runs this year. Latest win here in June. Respectable fourth of 9 in minor event (5/1) at Lingfield (7f, AW) 14 days ago. Visor back on. Won C&D classified in June but this slow starter/hard puller always comes with risk. |
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12th (6) (50/1 -52%) Payforanother Daay |
50/1(-52%) | (6) Payforanother Daay 50/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Twelfth of 13 in handicap (40/1) at Salisbury (7f, good to firm) 52 days ago. Well beaten in first two handicaps (5f/7f) and arrives here with lots to prove. |
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13th (14) (28/1 +15%) Chaotic |
28/1(+15%) | (14) Chaotic 28/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 250/1, seventh of 12 in maiden at Southwell (6.1f) 15 days ago, slowly away. Makes handicap debut. Showed no significant promise in his qualifying races; may fare better in lowly handicaps. |
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14th (1) (9/2 +10%) Time Patrol |
9/2(+10%) | (1) Time Patrol 9/2, C&D winner. Latest win here in August. Respectable third of 7 in minor event at Lingfield (6f, good, 7/2) 35 days ago. Merits consideration. Won C&D classified last month; contender if he gets a good pace to aim at again. |
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15th (4) (20/1 -67%) Firenze Rosa |
20/1(-67%) | (4) Firenze Rosa 20/1, Latest win at Brighton in July. 11/1, tenth of 12 in handicap at Windsor (6f, good to firm) 26 days ago. Won Brighton classified two starts ago but soundly beaten in a handicap since. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
MALHAM TARN COVE clearly wasn't at his best when down the field at Catterick on his latest start. However, the return to Bath appears likely to see him bounce back given his trio of outings here in 2024 have seen him finish in the first three. Time Patrol enters calculations having won a classified event here on his penultimate start, while others for the shortlist include Diamond Cottage and Sisters In The Sky.
SISTERS IN THE SKY disappointed last time but he's the type to bounce back and is now only 1 lb above his last winning mark. Time Patrol and Diamond Cottage head the dangers.
C&D winner SISTERS IN THE SKY is excused his recent defeat on heavy ground and has quickly dropped back to a workable mark.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (8/1 +0%) Sound Of Iona |
8/1(+0%) | (4) Sound Of Iona 8/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Ayr in July. Twelfth of 15 in handicap (8/1) at Ayr (6f, good) 35 days ago. Bounce back needed. C&D winner; disappointing at Ayr last time but she's the type to bounce back quickly. |
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2nd (5) (5/1 -43%) Mrs Bagerran |
5/1(-43%) | (5) Mrs Bagerran 5/1, C&D winner. Creditable 2 lengths third of 7 to Kyber Crystal in C&D handicap (good) on reappearance 18 days ago. Can make presence felt from a draw near the rail. Both wins here; shaped well on belated reappearance; leading player if building on that. |
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3rd (6) (2/1 +27%) Kyber Crystal |
2/1(+27%) | (6) Kyber Crystal 2/1, Much improved when winning 7-runner C&D handicap C&D (good, 2/1) 18 days ago. Creditable fourth of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (6f, 7/1) 2 days ago. Has to be taken seriously. C&D winner who ran creditably again on Thursday evening; should be thereabouts. |
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4th (9) (14/1 -17%) Ski Angel |
14/1(-17%) | (9) Ski Angel 14/1, C&D winner. Eighth of 9 in C&D handicap (18/1) 17 days ago but it came only 24 hrs after a creditable fourth here. Capable of having a say having been dropped 2 lb. Won over C&D in June and now 2lb lower, but unplaced eight times since. |
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5th (3) (6/1 -20%) Mecca's Duchess |
6/1(-20%) | (3) Mecca's Duchess 6/1, 22/1 and cheekpieces on first time, good fourth of 11 in handicap at Southwell (5f) 11 days ago, nearest finish. Steadily falling in the weights and ran respectably 11 days ago; ought to be thereabouts. |
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6th (7) (20/1 -167%) Hard Nut |
20/1(-167%) | (7) Hard Nut 20/1, C&D winner in August. Not in the same form when eighth of 11 in handicap (20/1) at Southwell (5f) 11 days ago. Needs a return to this venue to spark a revival. 50-1 C&D win was sandwiched between two below-par runs; chance if on going day. |
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7th (2) (9/1 -13%) Henery Hawk |
9/1(-13%) | (2) Henery Hawk 9/1, Bit below form 3 lengths fourth of 9 to Hard Nut in C&D handicap (good, 28/1) 18 days ago, nearest finish. Met plenty of trouble last time; well handicapped again; should be in the thick of things. |
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8th (8) (18/1 -29%) Sixcor |
18/1(-29%) | (8) Sixcor 18/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Ayr in August. 25/1, tenth of 14 in handicap at Newcastle (5f) 11 days ago. Not beaten far despite very slow start here in August but latest run was poor; risky. |
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9th (10) (12/1 -85%) Cuban Rock |
12/1(-85%) | (10) Cuban Rock 12/1, Course winner. Latest win off this mark at Hamilton in July. 11/1, 3 lengths third of 9 to Hard Nut in C&D handicap (good) 18 days ago. Should be in the mix. Holding his form well, C&D third last time; more consistent than most; in the mix again. |
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10th (11) (150/1 -200%) Brazen Belle |
150/1(-200%) | (11) Brazen Belle 150/1, Winner in 2022 but well beaten on all 3 starts since returning from a long absence. Has failed to beat a rival in three runs since returning from an absence; hard to fancy. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
HENERY HAWK would have finished a lot closer to the eventual winner had he not met trouble in running in a similar contest over this track and trip last month and, off an unchanged mark, he can gain some compensation for that luckless effort. Sound Of Iona is capable of playing a hand in a race of this nature if on a going day, while recent C&D scorer Hard Nut needs to bounce back from a mediocre effort at Southwell.
The front-running MRS BAGERRAN made a good return from an absence here recently and might prove the answer to this finale from a handy draw near the rail. Cuban Rock is back on the mark he defied at Hamilton in July and is second choice ahead of Ski Angel, who had an excuse here last time and has been cut some slack by the handicapper.
Linda Perratt runs three and HENERY HAWK, who has shown signs of a revival lately, can prove the pick of them.
Ths is the racecard key.
Icon | Meaning |
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TomForm top stats, gold rated | |
TomForm top stats silver rated | |
Ran similar race before | |
S | TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out |
T | Top Time speeed rated |
Top Racingpost rated | |
At the races watchout for | |
At the races top pick | |
Top rated for thet statistic |
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
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