There were 40 Races on Tuesday 12th September 2023 across 6 meetings. There was 7 races at Leicester, 7 races at Catterick, 6 races at Worcester, 6 races at Kelso, 6 races at Laytown, 8 races at Galway, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (3/1 +25%) Sameem |
3/1(+25%) | (4) Sameem 3/1, Latest win at Ripon in June. 8/1, pulled too hard when seventh of 8 in handicap at Haydock (11.6f, good to firm) 5 days ago. Flopped at Haydock just five days ago but might not be far away if swiftly back on song. |
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2nd (1) (2.25/1 -38%) Let Her Loose |
2.25/1(-38%) | (1) Let Her Loose 2.25/1, Course winner who readily completed her hat-trick in 11-runner handicap here (12.1f, good) last month. Decent fifth at Southwell following week and expected to be bang there again. Four wins under Brodie Hampson this summer and she's a key player. |
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3rd (5) (7/1 +7%) Lochnaver |
7/1(+7%) | (5) Lochnaver 7/1, Latest win at Hamilton in June. 6/1, seventh of 8 in handicap at Hamilton (11.1f, good) 54 days ago. Up in trip. 1 lb out of the handicap. Won by 4l at Hamilton in June but well beaten the last twice and all wins at Hamilton. |
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4th (3) (8/1 +11%) Gift Of Raaj |
8/1(+11%) | (3) Gift Of Raaj 8/1, Dual winner at around 14f last season and winner of one of his 3 starts over hurdles. Remote third over C&D back on the Flat since. Off 153 days. Well beaten over C&D in April and off since, but on a handy mark and not discounted. |
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5th (2) (2.25/1 +18%) Captain Haddock |
2.25/1(+18%) | (2) Captain Haddock 2.25/1, Performed well when runner-up at Epsom but last of 11 in handicap back there (12f, good) 2 weeks ago. Hard to predict but mark remains on the slide. Patchy form and on long losing run, but has showed spark a couple of times this year. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Brodie Hampson and LET HER LOOSE have formed quite the partnership since her return in June, winning four of her seven starts. She was short of room and lost ground at a crucial stage last time, but the Mukhadram mare is expected to bounce back today. Gift Of Raaj is fairly treated and must enter the reckoning on his first outing since April. Captain Haddock appeals most of the remainder.
CAPTAIN HADDOCK is hard to predict but is capable of defying his current mark on the pick of this season's efforts. The in-form Let Her Loose is the obvious threat.
Brodie Hampson and LET HER LOOSE have combined to win four times this summer and this could be another good opportunity.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (4/1 +56%) Bay Of Naples |
4/1(+56%) | (8) Bay Of Naples 4/1, Eighteen runs since last win in 2021. Creditable second of 13 in handicap at Ripon (9.8f, good, 14/1) 15 days ago, helped by being held up in strongly-run race. Better known on AW but on reduced mark and creditable 2nd at Ripon recently (1m2f, good). |
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2nd (5) (7/1 +13%) Fillyfudge |
7/1(+13%) | (5) Fillyfudge 7/1, Winner at Yarmouth in July. Eighth of 10 in handicap at Yarmouth (10.1f, good, 11/4) 42 days ago. Bounce back called for. Good to soft said to be unsuitable latest; cosy winner of 1m2f minor event previously. |
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3rd (9) (10/1 +29%) Hot Team |
10/1(+29%) | (9) Hot Team 10/1, 15/2, sixth of 9 in handicap at Bath (11.6f, good) 12 days ago. Return to this trip in his favour. Third course win at Hamilton in May; thereabouts at 1m2f since; on the premises again. |
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4th (2) (6/1 +14%) Nonsuch Lad |
6/1(+14%) | (2) Nonsuch Lad 6/1, Bit below form third of 6 in handicap (11/4) at Goodwood (9f, soft) 16 days ago, slowly away. Re-fitting of cheekpieces may help his cause. Back on latest winning mark and refitting cheekpieces (both wins in them) is a plus. |
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5th (7) (14/1 -100%) Twilight Guest |
14/1(-100%) | (7) Twilight Guest 14/1, Very good second of 12 in handicap (17/2) at Chelmsford City (10f) 12 days ago, just failing. Merits consideration despite 5 lb rise (well clear of the rest). Maiden; work to do on most turf handicap form but good 2nd on AW latest (1m2f). |
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6th (4) (8.5/1 +6%) Iconique |
8.5/1(+6%) | (4) Iconique 8.5/1, One win from 23 Flat runs. Eighteen runs since last win in 2021. 17/2, creditable third of 8 in handicap at Beverley (9.9f, good to firm) 10 days ago. Needs everything to fall right but she figures on a good mark. Quite well treated but sole win was nearly 2 years ago and her best form is over further. |
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7th (3) (6/1 +0%) Mr Zee |
6/1(+0%) | (3) Mr Zee 6/1, C&D winner. 3 wins from 7 runs this year. Career best when winning 10-runner handicap at Windsor (10f, good to firm, 20/1) 30 days ago, having run of race. Up 4 lb but he's in better form than most. Won 3 of 4 starts over 1m2f at Windsor in 2023; 2-3 over C&D; another career-best possible. |
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8th (6) (7/1 -17%) Inverinate |
7/1(-17%) | (6) Inverinate 7/1, Creditable fourth of 9 in handicap (3/1) at Epsom (7f, good to firm) 25 days ago. Significantly up in trip. AW winner at 7f; seems to stay 1m on Polytrack but into the unknown upped to 1m2f. |
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9th (1) (33/1 -65%) Kemerton |
33/1(-65%) | (1) Kemerton 33/1, Ninth of 12 in handicap (22/1) at Yarmouth (10.1f, good to firm) 33 days ago. Probably needed first run in 11 months and this is slightly easier. Lightly raced 4yo; no impression in 1m2f handicaps so far; needs more weight off back. |
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10th (10) (6/1 -71%) Haaf A Diamond |
6/1(-71%) | (10) Haaf A Diamond 6/1, Winner here in June. 11/5, respectable third of 11 in handicap at Bath (8f, good) 34 days ago, never nearer. Up in trip and she could have more to offer. Made all for 1m win here in June; out of dual 1m4f winner so this new trip could well suit. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
MR ZEE made all to record a narrow success at Windsor last month and with a lack of front-runners lining up here, Michael Blake's six-year-old might be afford the same luxury. A subsequent 4lb hike in the ratings doesn't look too harsh and he is fancied to repeat the dose, possibly at the main expense of Bay Of Naples. Others to note include Hot Team and Iconique.
There could be more to come over this trip for HAAF A DIAMOND and she makes plenty of appeal at the foot of the weights. Twilight Guest came clear with an unexposed rival at Chelmsford last time and is second choice, ahead of Iconique.
Refitting cheekpieces is a plus for Nonsuch Lad but HAAF A DIAMOND may well appreciate the step up in trip and is preferred.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (1.75/1 +56%) Lusitanien |
1.75/1(+56%) | (9) Lusitanien 1.75/1, Maiden who has been struggling to make an impact for Evan Williams in recent months, albeit shaping like a non-stayer when seventh of 9 in handicap hurdle at Perth (3m) 6 weeks ago. Goes chasing now for new yard in red-hot form and resurgence rates distinctly possible. 16-race maiden who changed hands cheaply last month but has joined a respected yard. |
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2nd (1) (5/1 -82%) Mutual Respect |
5/1(-82%) | (1) Mutual Respect 5/1, Returned to pick of his form for present stable when belatedly shedding maiden tag at Uttoxeter (2m) in July, crucially jumping better than usual. Claims with a repeat for all he wouldn't be an obvious follow-up candidate. Not easy to predict and only beat two rivals in a 2m chase at Uttoxeter last time in July. |
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3rd (5) (3.5/1 +56%) Gone In Sixty |
3.5/1(+56%) | (5) Gone In Sixty 3.5/1, Remains a maiden though he did run right up to best when second in a C&D handicap hurdle on penultimate start in July. Not at same level switched to chasing when fifth at Market Rasen (17.2f) latest but good chance he can build on that. Will need to run better than he did on chase debut at Market Rasen. |
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4th (2) (14/1 -100%) Methusalar |
14/1(-100%) | (2) Methusalar 14/1, Hurdles winner for Alan King (at 19.5f) in spring 2022. Proved disappointing both starts upon returning to action earlier this term but has since joined yard enjoying a good spell ahead of chase debut. Well worthy of note if the market spoke in his favour. 1-12 for Alan King whom he left for 4,000gns; chase debut. |
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5th (7) (10/1 +9%) Martalmix'jac |
10/1(+9%) | (7) Martalmix'jac 10/1, Modest maiden hurdler who stepped up on his low-key chase debut when third in 8-runner handicap at Stratford (17f, good) in June. Attracted support but not in same form when well held eighth over 20f here 3 weeks ago and cheekpieces go on now. Placed at Stratford before running moderately here; cheekpieces now added. |
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6th (6) (12/1 -33%) Newtonian |
12/1(-33%) | (6) Newtonian 12/1, Fair form when placed in a brace of bumpers. Fifth on hurdles debut early last year but he's essentially disappointed thereafter for Oliver Sherwood. Easy to back and offered little making chase debut for new yard over 20f here 6 weeks ago. Had wind op since. Had wind op since last run and that needs to have made a difference. |
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7th (8) (18/1 -29%) Estate Italiana |
18/1(-29%) | (8) Estate Italiana 18/1, Raised his game when getting off the mark at Ludlow (2m) in February but revised mark seemed to catch him out thereafter and latest run at Fakenham was a lacklustre display. Won off 2lb lower at Ludlow in February but there's been little sign of that form since. |
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|PU| (4) (7/1 +13%) Honneur De Sivola |
7/1(+13%) | (4) Honneur De Sivola 7/1, Much-improved model switched to chasing, filling runners-up spot at Huntingdon/Market Rasen earlier this term. Didn't go with same zest when fifth at latter-named venue when last seen in July but no surprise to see him bounce back with blinkers enlisted for the first time. Similar RPRs in his last three starts; likely contender if okay in the new blinkers. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Mutual Respect must enter calculations as the only recent winner in this contest, although a 5lb rise for his Uttoxeter success may be enough to prevent the seven-year-old from following up. GONE IN SIXTY displayed enough encouragement on his chasing debut at Market Rasen last month to suggest that a race of this nature is within his compass. Alex Hales' gelding shades the vote, while any market support for stable debutant Methusalar would bring him into the reckoning too.
A trappy opener to dissect and with that in mind it could pay to take a chance on LUSTANIEN. He lost his way for his previous stable but starts out over fences for a yard in red-hot form and it would come as no surprise to see him make an impact from this basement mark. Uttoxeter-winner Mutual Respect and Methusalar are others to consider, whilst Honneur de Sivola can't be discounted either equipped with first-time blinkers.
Provided that he takes to the new blinkers then HONNEUR DE SIVOLA might be the answer to an open-looking handicap.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Saisons D'or |
(4) (8/1 +27%)8/1(+27%) | (4) Saisons D'or 8/1, C&D winner who was below form when eighth of 12 in handicap at Ripon (8f, good) 14 days ago, racing wide. Can have a say if bouncing back. In good form prior to last time at Ripon, where he had an excuse; capable of a bold show. |
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1st (1) (5/1 +0%) Mutanaaseq |
5/1(+0%) | (1) Mutanaaseq 5/1, Added to his recent good spell on turf when taking 15-runner handicap over C&D (good) 22 days ago, quickening to lead final 50 yds and well on top finish. Three C&D wins this season and a 4lb rise for last time may not stop this 8yo. |
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2nd (11) (4.5/1 +44%) Liberty Breeze |
4.5/1(+44%) | (11) Liberty Breeze 4.5/1, 3-time C&D winner, latest in June, and returned to form when fourth of 10 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f) 15 days ago. Enters calculations. Three-time C&D winner who could play a leading role now back at her favourite venue. |
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3rd (7) (4/1 -33%) Galileo Glass |
4/1(-33%) | (7) Galileo Glass 4/1, Ended long losing streak in 11-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 4/1) 10 days ago. Nudged up 4 lb and should remain competitive. Some good runs on turf this summer and won at Wolverhampton recently; respected. |
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4th (5) (9/1 +44%) Obee Jo |
9/1(+44%) | (5) Obee Jo 9/1, 3-time C&D winner but was again below form when 5¾ lengths eighth of 15 to Mutanaaseq in handicap at this C&D (good) 22 days ago. Two C&D wins this year but has gone off the boil over C&D the last twice. |
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5th (9) (8/1 +33%) Without Delay |
8/1(+33%) | (9) Without Delay 8/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2022 but ran well when second of 9 in minor event at this C&D (good) 13 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Runner-up in C&D classified latest but 5lb rise seems harsh and she has a poor strike-rate. |
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6th (2) (14/1 +0%) Ravenglass |
14/1(+0%) | (2) Ravenglass 14/1, Sixth of 9 in handicap at Brighton (7f, good, 6/1) 22 days ago. Becoming well treated. Didn't run badly at Brighton on second stable start but needs something extra here. |
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7th (8) (11/1 +21%) Magical Effect |
11/1(+21%) | (8) Magical Effect 11/1, C&D winner. Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Below form 6½ lengths ninth of 15 to Mutanaaseq in handicap at this C&D (good, 17/2) 22 days ago. Visor back on. Soundly beaten over C&D three weeks ago but runner-up over C&D previously; not discounted. |
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8th (10) (18/1 +10%) Round The Island |
18/1(+10%) | (10) Round The Island 18/1, Unreliable sort. C&D winner. 16/1, typically looked tricky when seventh of 13 in handicap at Pontefract (6f, good) 53 days ago, never nearer. 10yo who has been up and down this year, but was a close third over C&D two starts ago. |
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9th (14) (50/1 -127%) Secret Daay |
50/1(-127%) | (14) Secret Daay 50/1, Poor maiden. 18/1, 2½ lengths third of 9 to Hot Scoop in minor event at this C&D (good) 13 days ago. Something to find on form. Back to form when third in C&D classified but needs to back that up in this tougher race. |
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10th (13) (16/1 +36%) Revoquable |
16/1(+36%) | (13) Revoquable 16/1, Latest win at Beverley in July but below form all 3 outings since. Won at Beverley in July but three lesser runs have followed; needs to get back on track. |
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11th (6) (50/1 -25%) Frog And Toad |
50/1(-25%) | (6) Frog And Toad 50/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2022 and yet to fire this season, last of 11 in handicap at Thirsk (8f, good) on most recent outing. Cheekpieces back on. Well treated on 2022 form but has struggled to get competitive on his four runs this term. |
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12th (3) (8.5/1 +29%) Miss Calculation |
8.5/1(+29%) | (3) Miss Calculation 8.5/1, Latest win at Thirsk in April. Below form both subsequent outings but drop back down in grade after a break. Not dismissed. Could go well on her comeback if getting her preferred slow conditions. |
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13th (12) (14/1 -75%) Hot Scoop |
14/1(-75%) | (12) Hot Scoop 14/1, 5/1, improved on recent efforts to win 9-runner minor event at this C&D (good) 13 days ago, readily. Worthy of respect back in handicap company. Comfortable C&D classified win a fortnight ago on first run beyond 6f; on the shortlist. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
MUTANAASEQ made it two wins from his last couple of visits here when successful over course and distance last month. Ruth Carr's gelding was raised 4lb in the handicap for that effort, but he still has a bit in hand judged on past exploits and is taken to follow up. Galileo Glass struck at Wolverhampton 10 days ago and is likely to be thereabouts back on turf, along with the class-dropping Saisons D'Or. Hot Scoop and Without Delay are just two others to consider.
LIBERTY BREEZE has an excellent record over C&D and is taken to add to it having returned to form at Southwell 15 days ago. Mutanaaseq arrives in good order and is expected to give another good account, while recent C&D winner Hot Scoop is completely unexposed at the trip.
Mutanaaseq holds solid claims but preference is for SAISONS D'OR who is taken to capitalise on some help from the handicapper.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (10) (9/1 -50%) Spiritual |
9/1(-50%) | (10) Spiritual 9/1, €280,000 Invincible Spirit filly. Half-sister to winner abroad by Lope de Vega. Dam, 1½m-1¾m winner, half-sister to smart 1¼m-1½m winner Ruscello. Wears hood. Would very much enter the reckoning if the betting speaks in her favour. Good middle-distance pedigree; represents a top yard; interesting newcomer. |
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2nd (11) (3.5/1 +13%) Surveyor |
3.5/1(+13%) | (11) Surveyor 3.5/1, 16/1, shaped with promise when fourth of 12 in maiden at Newmarket (7f, good to firm) on debut 31 days ago. Will improve. Promising 4th at Newmarket on last month's debut (7f, good); sets the standard; big chance. |
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3rd (4) (18/1 -80%) Lokana |
18/1(-80%) | (4) Lokana 18/1, Twice-raced maiden. Fair form when third of 5 in novice at Ascot (6f, good to soft) 46 days ago, left poorly placed. Two promising runs over 6f in July; any progress for 7f would bring her right into it. |
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4th (13) (18/1 +18%) Warda Jamila |
18/1(+18%) | (13) Warda Jamila 18/1, 120,000 gns Calyx filly. Half-sister to very smart 1½m-2½m winner Coltrane. Dam unraced. Another debutante who would need considering if the betting suggests she's fancied. Calyx half-sister to yard's high-class stayer Coltrane (RPR 119); market instructive. |
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5th (2) (18/1 +18%) Lakota Spirit |
18/1(+18%) | (2) Lakota Spirit 18/1, 40,000 gns Sioux Nation filly. Half-sister to several winners, including useful 5f winner Midnight Malibu and 6f-7f winner Night Narcissus. Dam 2-y-o 5f/6f winner. Newcomer from a leading yard. Well-related newcomer but she's not bred to need 7f at this early stage. |
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6th (14) (16/1 -33%) Word Play |
16/1(-33%) | (14) Word Play 16/1, 8/1, fifth of 6 in novice at Newmarket (7f, soft) on debut 38 days ago. May do better. 5th of 6 in strong Newmarket novice on debut; should improve & yard does well in this race. |
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7th (12) (66/1 -65%) Tuneful |
66/1(-65%) | (12) Tuneful 66/1, 17/2, eighth of 12 in maiden at Newcastle (7f) on debut 45 days ago, not knocked about. Should progress. Dropped away in the closing stages at Newcastle in July (7f); big step forward required. |
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8th (1) (4.5/1 -139%) Elegant Friend |
4.5/1(-139%) | (1) Elegant Friend 4.5/1, Dubawi filly. Dam 7f winner. The mount of William Buick from yard's 2 runners. Likely type. Dam a 7f winner in France (Listed placed; RPR 101); one of two newcomers for top yard. |
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9th (3) (40/1 +60%) Lia Rose |
40/1(+60%) | (3) Lia Rose 40/1, 40/1, sixth of 10 in novice at Lingfield (7.6f, good to firm) on debut 31 days ago. Likely to progress but big step up needed to get heavily involved. Green on last month's debut but kept on quite nicely; looks one for the longer term. |
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10th (6) (22/1 -22%) My Desert Queen |
22/1(-22%) | (6) My Desert Queen 22/1, Lope De Vega filly. Dam unraced half-sister to very smart winner up to 1¼m Special Kaldoun. Newcomer to note in the betting. Unraced dam from a useful family; yard has winning newcomers; betting to guide. |
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11th (8) (5/1 +58%) Saratoga Star |
5/1(+58%) | (8) Saratoga Star 5/1, 17/2, fifth of 11 in novice at Newbury (6f, good) on debut 25 days ago. Likely to do better. Clear promise when looking to find 6f inadequate on last month's Newbury debut; contender. |
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12th (7) (200/1 -33%) Parrsicoe |
200/1(-33%) | (7) Parrsicoe 200/1, 66/1, last of 13 in maiden at Beverley (7.4f, good, 66/1) on debut 16 days ago. 66-1 and offered little on her Beverley debut 16 days ago (7.5f, good). |
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13th (9) (3/1 +54%) Soft Winds |
3/1(+54%) | (9) Soft Winds 3/1, Night of Thunder filly. Closely related to 1m winner Portray and smart winner up to 1m Soft Whisper. Dam, 1¼m-11.5f winner, half-sister to smart 1¼m-12.5f winner Policy Maker. Interesting newcomer. Closely related to the useful Soft Whisper (RPR 111); one of two newcomers for C Appleby. |
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14th (5) (200/1 +0%) Mamalouka |
200/1(+0%) | (5) Mamalouka 200/1, Well held in 2 outings in recent weeks and likely outsider here. Well beaten in two 7f runs recently; new tongue tie not enough to tempt. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
In a race full of unknown quantities, only a tentative vote can go to SPIRITUAL. The 280,000-euro purchase is likely to be targeted over middle-distances next year, but this could be an ideal starting point, The application of a hood should come as no concern for a stable who have been known to employ similar tactics. Surveyor shaped with promise on her debut last month and is likely to be thereabouts with improvement on the cards. Elegant Friend and Soft Winds make plenty of appeal on paper, but with William Buick aboard the former for Charlie Appleby, she could be the pick. My Desert Queen is also noted.
Some likely types among the newcomers. ELEGANT FRIEND, the mount of William Buick from the Charlie Appleby pair, is the tentative suggestion, with confidence increased should the betting vibes be strong. Her stablemate Soft Winds and the Gosdens' Spiritual are other debutantes who make plenty of paper appeal. Surveyor shaped well first time up and looks pick of those with experience.
Saratoga Star, Surveyor and WORD PLAY can all build on promising debuts. The selection's yard has a good record in this race.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (3.33/1 -11%) Glajou |
3.33/1(-11%) | (4) Glajou 3.33/1, Landed a Warwick handicap chase off 5 lb higher last summer but mixed record since, below par at Newton Abbot (21f, good) 21 days ago. Often runs well but finds it difficult to win and this far stretches him to the limit. |
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2nd (2) (4/1 +33%) Iron Heart |
4/1(+33%) | (2) Iron Heart 4/1, Winner of a selling hurdle on final start for David Pipe in November. Little show on the Flat since for Tony Newcombe and has since changed yards ahead of chase bow. New stable could turn things around but what he'll make of fences is anyone's guess. |
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3rd (5) (12/1 -100%) College Oak |
12/1(-100%) | (5) College Oak 12/1, Didn't take to chasing in 2021 and well held last 3 starts over hurdles, including after 11 months off at Worcester 6 weeks ago. Quiet on last month's belated return and has plenty to prove on a few counts. |
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4th (7) (3.5/1 +13%) Shot Tower |
3.5/1(+13%) | (7) Shot Tower 3.5/1, Poor form over hurdles and beaten a long way on his chase/handicap debut at Worcester in June. Surely flattered from 24 lb out of the handicap after 11 weeks off when second of 3 at Newton Abbot (good) 10 days ago but 19 lb lower here. Engaged 3.50 Newton Abbot Monday. Perhaps flattered last week at Newton Abbot but he's 19lb lower for this. |
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5th (3) (8/1 -100%) Mix Of Clover |
8/1(-100%) | (3) Mix Of Clover 8/1, Got back on track in first-time cheekpieces reverted to fences when close third of 6 in handicap chase at Stratford (17f, soft) 12 days ago. Good chance off same mark. Close up on return to fences at Stratford and entitled to be winning races off this mark. |
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|PU| (6) (4.5/1 +25%) Bari Breeze |
4.5/1(+25%) | (6) Bari Breeze 4.5/1, Mixed record over hurdles, including both starts last month after a break, and didn't take to fences in 2022, so bit to prove back in this sphere. His first run back this season was much better than the second (both over hurdles). |
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|PU| (1) (12/1 +40%) Vinnie The Hoddie |
12/1(+40%) | (1) Vinnie The Hoddie 12/1, Error-prone sort who won at Newton Abbot (2m) in March 2022. Stopped the slide back from 9 months off when third at Worcester in July but never going well at Bangor 2 weeks later. Very hard to predict as has been again evident this season; had wind operation. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
SHOT TOWER almost caused an upset when finishing second from out of the weights at Newton Abbot last Saturday and holds leading claims now racing off his actual handicap mark in this contest. Mix Of Clover appeared to benefit from first-time cheekpieces, having been beaten just under two lengths at Stratford in late-August, with Alastair Ralph's nine-year-old likely to be in the mix on the return to 2m4f. Glajou also merits consideration if putting it all together.
MIX OF CLOVER responded well to this headgear when a close third at Stratford on his return to fences recently and gets the vote off the same mark with all his rivals arriving with something to prove. Shot Tower might have been flattered from well out of the handicap when second of 3 at Newton Abbot but still rates the main threat now racing off his correct mark.
As most of these come with risks it's worth giving SHOT TOWER the benefit of the doubt for his much-improved run last week.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (0.57/1 +37%) O G Beachwear |
0.57/1(+37%) | (4) O G Beachwear 0.57/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 2/9, second of 4 in maiden at Ffos Las (7.4f, heavy) 35 days ago. Just preferred in what should develop into a match. Turned over at odds-on latest but on heavy going; firmly in calculations on earlier form. |
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2nd (3) (1.5/1 -50%) Della |
1.5/1(-50%) | (3) Della 1.5/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 7/2, third of 7 in minor event at Kempton (6f). Off 132 days. Looks a player in what looks a likely match. In the first three the last twice, the latest in May; one of two leading form contenders. |
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3rd (2) (80/1 -21%) The Spinmeister |
80/1(-21%) | (2) The Spinmeister 80/1, Offered little in 2 starts of the latter stages of last season and hopes very much pinned on the first-time hood sparking improvement. Tailed off last year on his two 2yo runs and this is his first outing since. |
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4th (1) (33/1 -32%) Chattel Village |
33/1(-32%) | (1) Chattel Village 33/1, 66/1 and visored for 1st time, last of 18 in handicap at Redcar (6f, good to firm) 17 days ago. Hard to make a case for in currrent form. Promising start to career in spring 2022 but now 0-11 and has become disappointing. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
O G BEACHWEAR has shown good early speed on each of her runs over further. She was turned over at prohibitive odds last time, but the drop in trip might be just what she needs to shed her maiden tag. Della's all-weather form makes her the biggest threat to the selection on this switch to turf, while both Chattel Village and The Spinmeister arrive with something to prove.
There's little to choose between O G BEACHWEAR and Della on form, but the former has been supported in the market recently as though more is expected and she gets the nod.
Having run well to finish in the first three in the spring on her last two starts, DELLA earns the vote ahead of O G Beachwear.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (4.5/1 +0%) Line Sheet |
4.5/1(+0%) | (2) Line Sheet 4.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Respectable fourth of 9 in nursery (14/1) at Chester (7f, heavy) 37 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Ralph Beckett. One to note. Promise over 6f for R Beckett; soft ground perhaps not ideal latest; down in grade today. |
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2nd (4) (3/1 -60%) Mullins Beach |
3/1(-60%) | (4) Mullins Beach 3/1, Fair form. Good second of 6 in nursery at Wolverhampton (6f) 11 days ago, running on. Big player. More exposed than most but on a fair mark and ran well last time; should be in the mix. |
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3rd (1) (4/1 +75%) Anonymous Guest |
4/1(+75%) | (1) Anonymous Guest 4/1, Better with each start in maiden/novices but well beaten on her Newbury nursery debut 14 days ago. Out the back in a Class 5 at Newbury on his nursery debut two weeks ago; this is weaker. |
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4th (5) (2/1 +43%) Autumn Rose |
2/1(+43%) | (5) Autumn Rose 2/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Second of 9 in novice at Chester (7f, good to soft, 28/1) 10 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Respected under Tom Marquand. Improved when 2nd at Chester ten days ago; makes nursery debut with more to come. |
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5th (3) (7/1 +22%) Red Chatan |
7/1(+22%) | (3) Red Chatan 7/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 66/1, eighth of 13 in novice at Wolverhampton (6f) 29 days ago, slowly away. Makes handicap debut. Some promise on debut but backward steps twice since; upped in trip for nursery debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
An interesting contest on paper in which a chance can be taken on LINE SHEET. Soft ground might have gone against her at Chester last month, but she ran well for a long way and might be able to build on that back on a sounder surface. Autumn Rose and Mad Punter will both need to improve, but a switch to nurseries might hold the key.
The vote goes to MULLINS BEACH who was a good second in similar company at Wolverhampton last week. Tom Marquand takes the ride on Tony Carroll nursery newcomer Autumn Rose who could be the one for the forecast spot on the back of her Chester second.
Mullins Beach is more exposed than his rivals but should go well. He may have to give best to the interesting MAD PUNTER, though.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (4.5/1 +25%) Painless Potter |
4.5/1(+25%) | (4) Painless Potter 4.5/1, Acquitted himself well over hurdles this summer, latest when third of 8 in handicap over 2m here 3 weeks ago. Eased 2 lb and he can be a factor. 0-8 as a hurdler but placed a few times and this longer trip might bring him on. |
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2nd (2) (1.38/1 -10%) Police Academy |
1.38/1(-10%) | (2) Police Academy 1.38/1, Failed to win for Oliver Sherwood but wasted little time getting on the up for Fergal O'Brien, supplementing her Uttoxeter win at Bangor 3 weeks ago. Limit not yet reached and she's the one to beat. 2-2 for this yard and good value for her 2l margin at Bangor last time; 5lb rise isn't bad. |
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3rd (3) (16/1 -129%) Ben Lilly |
16/1(-129%) | (3) Ben Lilly 16/1, Useful 7-time Flat winner for David Brown. Yet to reach same heights over hurdles and has been expensive to follow in the process. Tongue tie on for the first time. Seven-time Flat winner; 0-9 over hurdles and returning from a year out in new headgear. |
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4th (6) (8/1 -14%) Nickelforce |
8/1(-14%) | (6) Nickelforce 8/1, Much more like it when keeping on for fifth in maiden company at Warwick in April. Slight step up in trip will suit now handicapping. Absent since April but brings an unexposed profile into handicaps. |
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5th (5) (11/1 -22%) Abraaj |
11/1(-22%) | (5) Abraaj 11/1, Fairly useful on the Flat in France and showed that he retains ability when runner-up on the level at Kempton (2m) in June. Fairly low-key start over hurdles but opening handicap effort at Southwell wasn't a bad effort. Back up in trip. French Flat winner in 2021; beaten 9l on his handicap debut at Southwell (2m, good). |
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6th (1) (3.33/1 +26%) Izayte |
3.33/1(+26%) | (1) Izayte 3.33/1, Winner of 2m Warwick handicap in May and creditable runner-up efforts at Uttoxeter and here (both 2m) on his next 2 starts. Confirmed stamina for 20f when third last time and another bold showing looks likely. Positively ridden returned to 2m4f here two weeks ago (good to soft) and didn't see it out. |
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7th (7) (28/1 +15%) Claude Almighty |
28/1(+15%) | (7) Claude Almighty 28/1, Well held in bumpers/completed starts over hurdles. More needed from this mark fitted with blinkers. Always a chance that blinkers will trigger something now into handicaps. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
POLICE ACADEMY has proved a perfect graduate since making a winning stable debut for the Fergal O'Brien team in July and a hat-trick looks in the offing now only 5lb higher than her Bangor triumph last month. The trip looks on the edge of Izayte's stamina if judged on his third-placed finish over C&D in late-August. Nevertheless, the five-year-old may emerge as the chief threat, ahead of Ben Lilly, who returns to action off a dangerous mark.
POLICE ACADEMY has made an excellent start for Fergal O'Brien and the hat-trick looks firmly on the cards. Izayte and Painless Potter appear to be the main dangers.
Police Academy is feared but PAINLESS POTTER is a consistent 5yo who could enjoy this longer trip.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (5/1 +29%) Havana Rum |
5/1(+29%) | (4) Havana Rum 5/1, Visored for 1st time, good third of 12 in handicap at Carlisle (5.8f, good, 16/1) 11 days ago. Respected. Creditable third from awkward draw at Carlisle recently and 1lb lower here. |
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2nd (6) (2.5/1 +50%) Langholm |
2.5/1(+50%) | (6) Langholm 2.5/1, Course winner. Fifteen runs since last win in 2022. Respectable 1¼ lengths third of 12 to One More Dream in handicap (4/1) at this C&D (good) 13 days ago. Not taken lightly. Course regular; placed here three times last month; another bold bid from the front likely. |
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3rd (9) (2.5/1 +44%) Wade's Magic |
2.5/1(+44%) | (9) Wade's Magic 2.5/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in August. 9/2, good second of 14 in handicap at Ripon (6f, good to firm) 7 days ago. Shortlist material. Holds no secrets from the handicapper but has remained in form since C&D win in August. |
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4th (3) (3.5/1 +22%) Redrosezorro |
3.5/1(+22%) | (3) Redrosezorro 3.5/1, 4-time C&D winner. Latest win here in May. 14/1, seventh of 11 in handicap at this C&D (good) 22 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Out of form this summer but this eight-time course winner can never be ruled out here. |
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5th (7) (10/1 -11%) Gunnerside |
10/1(-11%) | (7) Gunnerside 10/1, Respectable 3¾ lengths seventh of 12 to One More Dream in handicap at this C&D (good, 16/1) 13 days ago, left with too much to do. Suffered dip in form this summer but made some good late headway over C&D last month. |
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6th (8) (11/1 +21%) Guest List |
11/1(+21%) | (8) Guest List 11/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2021. 8/1, bit below form seventh of 13 in handicap at Southwell (6.1f) 15 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Others more persuasive. Disappointing filly who is yet to be placed after six runs this year; blinkers tried here. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
One More Dream took advantage of a declining mark when getting up to lead in the dying strides over C&D recently, with a 3lb rise in the ratings unlikely to prevent another bold bid. However, HAVANA RUM finished third in what looked a slightly stronger contest at Carlisle earlier this month and is fancied to score a first success of the season now 1lb lower in the handicap. Fellow in-form rivals Wade's Magic and Langholm also enter calculations.
WADE'S MAGIC is going through a good spell at the moment, which includes a win over C&D, and shades the vote over One More Dream, who was a narrow winner over this C&D under this rider 2 weeks ago. Langholm should also be in the mix again.
After doing pretty well to finish third from stall 12 at Carlisle recently, HAVANA RUM might be the answer off a 1lb lower mark.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (22/1 -57%) Blue Lemons |
22/1(-57%) | (2) Blue Lemons 22/1, Foaled February 18. 38,000 gns foal, 130,000 gns yearling, Blue Point colt. Half-brother to 6f-1m winner Foreign Legion and 5f/6f winner Pablo Del Pueblo. Interesting newcomer. 130,000gns yearling; this Blue Point colt needs considering on his first run. |
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2nd (9) (7/1 +42%) Midnite Storm |
7/1(+42%) | (9) Midnite Storm 7/1, Twice-raced maiden. 4/1, fourth of 14 in maiden at Thirsk (6f, good to soft) 25 days ago, outpaced over 1f out. Still, he's displayed definite signs of ability both starts to date and likely there's more to come, including back up in trip. Fourth of 14 in in 6f Thirsk maiden 25 days ago; he may do better still now upped to 7f. |
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3rd (1) (33/1 -106%) Al Shabab Storm |
33/1(-106%) | (1) Al Shabab Storm 33/1, Foaled February 22. Advertise colt. Dam 2-y-o 8.6f winner. Yard 13% with their juveniles on turf so far this campaign and worth monitoring in the betting for clues ahead of debut. Advertise colt who is a much respected newcomer; worth a market check. |
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4th (10) (10/1 +0%) Placo |
10/1(+0%) | (10) Placo 10/1, Foaled March 7. €135,000 foal, Starspangledbanner gelding. Half-brother to useful winner up to 1m Spinaround. Dam, 2-y-o 7f/1m winner, half-sister to sprinter Spin Cycle. Stable's newcomers always command respect. Starspangledbanner gelding who needs considering on his first start. |
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5th (11) (6.5/1 -44%) Speeding Bullet |
6.5/1(-44%) | (11) Speeding Bullet 6.5/1, Twice-raced maiden. 22/1, much improved from debut when second of 9 in minor event at Ffos Las (7.4f, soft) 18 days ago, headed well inside final 1f and keeping on. Previous experience won't be wasted on him here and respected. Second of nine in 7.5f Ffos Las novice 18 days ago; he may do better still; in the mix. |
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6th (5) (2.5/1 +0%) Cool Dividend |
2.5/1(+0%) | (5) Cool Dividend 2.5/1, Promising sort. 6/4, second of 8 in minor event at this C&D (good to firm) 30 days ago, keeping on behind a useful prospect. Remains the type to do better and he's one to consider. Profitable colt who has shaped well when runner-up at Salisbury/Leicester; in the picture. |
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7th (7) (4/1 +38%) Liveandletlive |
4/1(+38%) | (7) Liveandletlive 4/1, €68,000 2-y-o, Muhaarar colt. 12/1, offered something to work on when fifth of 11 in maiden at Sandown (7f, good) on debut 23 days ago, not unduly punished. Open to progress. Fifth in maiden at Salisbury on his debut; this son of Muhaarar can build on it now. |
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8th (3) (125/1 -89%) Brave Call |
125/1(-89%) | (3) Brave Call 125/1, Foaled March 2. Churchill colt. Half-brother to winner up to 1m Island Bandit. Dam, maiden (stayed 1¼m) out of useful 1m-9.5f winner Caserta. Half-brother to 7f/1m winner Island Bandit (RPR 88); no forlorn hope on his first run. |
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9th (4) (3.33/1 +5%) Ciro Di Marzio |
3.33/1(+5%) | (4) Ciro Di Marzio 3.33/1, Foaled May 1. €518,519 2-y-o, Justify colt. Half-brother to 3 winners, including smart British/Hong Kong 5f-1m winner Naval Intelligence and Canadian 2-y-o Grade 1 1m winner Fog of War. Newcomer to note for yard enjoying a fine season. Very much catches the eye on paper so this Justify colt needs a market check; interesting. |
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10th (8) (80/1 -300%) Maple |
80/1(-300%) | (8) Maple 80/1, Foaled April 3. Camelot colt. 11/1 and hooded, shaped as if badly in need of the run when sixth of 8 in minor event at Kempton (7f) on debut 68 days ago. Leading stable opted to geld him thereafter and no surprise were he capable of better. Debut sixth in 7f Kempton novice in July; since gelded; can take a step forward now. |
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11th (6) (28/1 +44%) Ippotheos |
28/1(+44%) | (6) Ippotheos 28/1, Twice-raced maiden. 12/1, sixth of 9 in minor event at Salisbury (6f, good) 33 days ago, not ideally placed. Nurseries likely to be more his bag in due course. Patiently ridden sixth in 6f Salisbury novice last month; he can do better still. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
COOL DIVIDEND sets a strong standard on his C&D second last month and a similar performance may be good enough to see the Profitable colt go one place better. Liveandletlive looks a likely improver after running with plenty of promise on his fifth-placed debut at Sandown in August and could give the selection most to think about, although any market support for newcomer Ciro Di Marzio, a half-brother to the Canadian Grade 1-winning Fog Of War, may prove significant.
COOL DIVIDEND produced another promising effort when again finishing runner-up behind a useful prospect over C&D 4 weeks ago and with the prospect of more to come, he earns the vote to go one place better. Speeding Bullet, another with an experience edge over plenty, can also figure, with Ciro di Marzio and Placo a couple of newcomers to note.
Ralph Beckett's Justify newcomer CIRO DE MARZIO is bred to be useful so can go in at the first time of asking from Cool Dividend.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (2/1 +50%) Presenting Nelly |
2/1(+50%) | (7) Presenting Nelly 2/1, Fair bumper winner who shaped as if better for the run sent hurdling after lengthy absence when third of 12 in a Southwell maiden (20.4f) in June. Travelled as well as any upped to 23f when fourth here last time and open to further improvement back down in trip. Her fourth in a 2m7f maiden here (first-time tongue-tie) brings her into the reckoning. |
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2nd (1) (4/1 -20%) Come On Du Berlais |
4/1(-20%) | (1) Come On Du Berlais 4/1, Bumper winner for Gordon Elliott. Placed both starts over hurdles in the UK without fully matching the pick of her Irish form (tongue tied latest) but still a major form contender after a breathing op. Fair third here last time; tongue-tie left off following wind surgery. |
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3rd (3) (9/1 +25%) Hedera Park |
9/1(+25%) | (3) Hedera Park 9/1, In frame twice from 4 starts in bumpers and hurdles efforts not devoid of promise. Can progress if she can cut out the errors. Didn't convince with her stamina for this far when fourth at Bangor; now hooded. |
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4th (4) (14/1 +44%) Impression Chic |
14/1(+44%) | (4) Impression Chic 14/1, £26,000 buy after finish runner-up on her completed start in points (Feb 5). Looks one for the longer term on early evidence under Rules. Front-running second over C&D last time but was beaten some 19l by the winner. |
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5th (8) (16/1 +20%) Quick Of The Night |
16/1(+20%) | (8) Quick Of The Night 16/1, Made little impact in bumpers but has offered a bit more encouragement since switched to hurdles, improving a little on debut form when fourth of 9 in course maiden (2m) 42 days ago. Up in trip. Showed more here last time and pedigree suggests this longer trip should suit. |
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6th (9) (22/1 -100%) Southfield Lily |
22/1(-100%) | (9) Southfield Lily 22/1, Has won multiple times in points, including on last 2 starts, but showed more temperament than ability in 3 hurdle starts back in 2021. Something has clicked in points and she could leave her previous hurdle efforts behind. |
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|PU| (6) (4/1 -45%) Marvel Star |
4/1(-45%) | (6) Marvel Star 4/1, Modest form at best in 3 bumper runs but offered something to work on sent hurdling when third of 10 in a Sligo maiden (17.8f) 33 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Ms Margaret Mullins. Likely to improve, especially over this longer trip. Well held by the winners but was third in a bumper and a maiden when trained in Ireland. |
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|PU| (5) (6.5/1 +28%) Man After Midnight |
6.5/1(+28%) | (5) Man After Midnight 6.5/1, Modest hurdler who ran one of her better races when fifth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Killarney (20.2f, good to soft) 17 days ago. Blinkers on for 1st time. Looks vulnerable from a win point of view. Irish raider who is 0-13 but ran okay to be fifth in a Killarney handicap (2m4f) last time. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
MARVEL STAR kept on to finish a solid third over 2m2f at Sligo on her final start for Margaret Mullins last month. Now in the care of Alastair Ralph and sent over an extra two furlongs, she could shed the maiden tag. Come On Du Berlais sets the standard with an official rating of 105 and is unlikely to be far away. Fountainspinklady was unable to justify strong market support on her hurdling bow, but she can take a step forward with that run under her belt.
MARVEL STAR made an encouraging hurdling debut at Sligo last month and rates a likely improver now faced with a stiffer test of stamina, so she's taken to make a successful start for her new stable. Presenting Nelly will be suited by a return to this trip and can go on progressing, with Come On du Berlais also feared.
Alastair Ralph's new recruit MARVEL STAR showed enough in Ireland to believe she might be the answer.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (3.33/1 +49%) The Dancing Poet |
3.33/1(+49%) | (3) The Dancing Poet 3.33/1, Three-time C&D winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. 9/2, bit below form sixth of 10 in handicap at this course (13.9f, good) 13 days ago but down another 2 lb and couldn't rule out. Below par more often than not this year but has won over C&D three times in his career. |
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2nd (14) (11/1 +56%) Tiberio Force |
11/1(+56%) | (14) Tiberio Force 11/1, Respectable seventh of 15 in handicap at Thirsk (12f, good to soft, 20/1) 25 days ago, unable to sustain effort. 5 lb lower than for his sole previous success in a Nottingham handicap last summer but looks vulnerable all the same. Won last August off a 5lb higher mark but underwhelming in the main this season. |
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3rd (13) (5.5/1 +54%) Propagation |
5.5/1(+54%) | (13) Propagation 5.5/1, Remains a maiden after 20 Flat runs. 11/4, creditable fourth of 11 in handicap at Musselburgh (8f, good to firm) 13 days ago. Going into the unknown trip-wise (untried beyond 9f on the Flat) but definite each-way chance if he does stay. 0-23 and unraced beyond 1m1f but in good form and yard's horses can be versatile trip-wise. |
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4th (4) (6.5/1 +28%) Peripeteia |
6.5/1(+28%) | (4) Peripeteia 6.5/1, Creditable third of 7 in handicap at Carlisle (11.2f, soft, 11/2) 85 days ago. On a fair mark and she's not without an each-way chance in an open-looking race. Fair efforts on last three starts and is edging down the weights; might not be far away. |
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5th (10) (10/1 -11%) Jamih |
10/1(-11%) | (10) Jamih 10/1, C&D winner. 6/1, bit below form fifth of 10 in handicap at this course (13.9f, good) 13 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Cheekpieces back on and usually goes well here, so there is certainly cause for optimism. Soundly beaten the last twice but in good form previously and he likes it here. |
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6th (11) (100/1 -52%) Kovu |
100/1(-52%) | (11) Kovu 100/1, 80/1, last of 12 in handicap at Ripon (8f, good) 14 days ago. Significantly up in trip and looks set for another struggle. Lightly raced 3yo; market check advised now up in distance but he has plenty to prove. |
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7th (8) (66/1 +0%) J C International |
66/1(+0%) | (8) J C International 66/1, Thrice-raced maiden on Flat. 25/1, last of 6 in maiden at Ripon (9.8f, good) 15 days ago. Back up in trip for this handicap debut and he's readily passed over. Market check advised on handicap debut but improvement is needed. |
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8th (7) (12/1 +14%) Defence Treaty |
12/1(+14%) | (7) Defence Treaty 12/1, Latest win at Southwell in February. Respectable fifth of 9 in handicap at Bath (11.6f, good, 20/1) 12 days ago. One or two of these make more appeal for win purposes. Won on AW on February but not at his best last month on two turf outings. |
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9th (5) (3.33/1 +33%) Jamil |
3.33/1(+33%) | (5) Jamil 3.33/1, Four-time C&D winner, the latest in July. 9/1, creditable third of 11 in handicap at this C&D (good) 22 days ago, slowly away. One for the shortlist. Four-time C&D winner, the latest in July; has continued in good form & holds solid claims. |
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10th (6) (10/1 +60%) Wheres The Crumpet |
10/1(+60%) | (6) Wheres The Crumpet 10/1, 22/1, ninth of 13 in handicap at this course (15.9f, good to firm) 62 days ago. Back down in trip and this maiden will probably find a few too good once more. Lightly raced 5yo for whom the drop back in trip could help, but claims aren't compelling. |
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11th (15) (18/1 +64%) Capla Quest |
18/1(+64%) | (15) Capla Quest 18/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Seventh of 12 in handicap (40/1) at Chelmsford City (10f) 12 days ago. Vast improvement needed now upped in trip. Lightly raced 3yo; check the betting, but hard to fancy on what she's shown thus far. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Four-time C&D winner JAMIL rarely runs a bad race at this venue and has showed enough on his last two appearances to suggest that he can defy his current rating of 59. This Ones For Fred finished ahead of the selection by a head when triumphant over track and trip in early August and may give the eight-year-old most to think about, ahead of The Dancing Poet, who could appreciate the return to 1m4f.
Cases can be made for several of these and, at the likely prices, HAVEN LADY gets the nod. She failed to fire when returning to action recently but that run will have blown away the cobwebs (first start for four months) and her reduced mark and record here are positive factors. Prince Achille was in good form prior to a below-par run on the all-weather and should go well back on turf, while Propagation, though 0-20 in this sphere, also has claims but Jamih appears to have gone off the boil.
Four-time C&D winner JAMIL (nap) continues in good form and is the selection ahead of Prince Achille.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (1.5/1 +8%) Grosvenor Square |
1.5/1(+8%) | (3) Grosvenor Square 1.5/1, Foaled February 3. Galileo colt. Closely related to smart 1¼m winner La Joconde and 11f winner Wien, and half-brother to very smart winner up to 1¾m Santiago. Dam 7f-9f winner. Makes plenty of appeal on paper. Half-brother to Irish Derby winner Santiago, rider has had four wins for yard in 2023. |
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2nd (4) (3/1 +14%) Naturally Nimble |
3/1(+14%) | (4) Naturally Nimble 3/1, Foaled March 22. €150,000 yearling, €140,000 2-y-o, Too Darn Hot gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including smart 6f/7f winner Namos and useful 9f winner Narmada, both in Germany. Appealing newcomer. Half-brother to three winners including Namos, a four-time German Group 3 scorer at 6f/7f. |
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3rd (2) (2/1 +11%) Gandolfo |
2/1(+11%) | (2) Gandolfo 2/1, Thrice-raced colt. 4/1, third of 9 in maiden at Leopardstown (8f, good to soft) 47 days ago, still green. Should have more to offer. Experience of his three runs should be an asset in a possible battle with Grosvenor Square. |
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4th (6) (250/1 -150%) Timeonourside |
250/1(-150%) | (6) Timeonourside 250/1, Foaled April 2. Smooth Daddy gelding. Dam unraced. Others preferred. Dam unplaced in bumpers, mixed signals from the dam's pedigree, up against it. |
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5th (1) (8/1 -7%) Brave And Bold |
8/1(-7%) | (1) Brave And Bold 8/1, Foaled May 9. Frankel colt. Brother to 2-y-o 1m winner Mrs Frankel and useful 10.5f/11f winner Hidden Dimples. Dam, 8.3f winner, sister to very smart winner up to 8.5f Gregorian. Likely type on debut. Brother to a Listed winner in France, dam winner/1,000 Guineas fourth, apprentice aboard. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Aidan O'Brien has won nine of the last 12 renewals, including with Kyprios in 2020, and his GROSVENOR SQUARE is a half-brother to Irish Derby winner Santiago. By Galileo, and with Beresford and Royal Lodge Stakes entries later this month, he could be smart. Stablemate Brave And Bold provides company and while he is by Frankel and is a brother to a Listed winner, holds no big-race entries and is, potentially, second-string. Gandolfo has form and and should run to a useful level but was probably flattered by his finishing position, racing against newcomers, at Leopardstown. Naturally Nimble was a E140,000 breeze-up purchase last May and is a half-brother to a Group 3 winner and while he holds a Beresford entry, is already gelded. Norwalk Havoc has been gelded since a disappointing debut.
Tricky, and the market should offer vital clues. GROSVENOR SQUARE, Brave And Bold and Naturally Nimble are all bred for big things and are preferred in that order as things stand.
Experience is often a big help to a juvenile at this venue and perhaps GANDOLFO can master Grosvenor Square
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (2/1 +27%) Tarraff |
2/1(+27%) | (5) Tarraff 2/1, Fair maiden. Respectable third of 6 in novice at Windsor (1¼m, good, 9/2) 36 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Less exposed than most of these. Has yet to finish out of the frame in her five runs; much respected now handicapping. |
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2nd (6) (25/1 +0%) Total Lockdown |
25/1(+0%) | (6) Total Lockdown 25/1, Now 5 lb lower than when successful at Newmarket last summer but hasn't been showing enough to suggest he's in good enough form to take advantage. Arrives well below par, only fifth in Newmarket handicap 17 days ago; others appeal more. |
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3rd (7) (9/1 +0%) Letaba |
9/1(+0%) | (7) Letaba 9/1, 5/2 and cheekpieces on first time, bit below form sixth of 10 in handicap at Windsor (1¼m, good to firm) 30 days ago. Blinkers back on. Still winless; below-par Windsor sixth latest; blinkers go back on now with bit to find. |
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|PU| (1) (1.1/1 +56%) Haarar |
1.1/1(+56%) | (1) Haarar 1.1/1, Good second of 6 in handicap at Epsom (1½m, good to soft, 5/2) 40 days ago, clear of rest. Has good chance off an unchanged mark. Excellent clear second of six at Epsom (1m4f) last month; big shout off an unchanged mark. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
HAARAR returned to form with a solid runner-up effort at Epsom last month and compensation could await on this occasion. Tarraff ran as well as expected on her third-placed finish in a novice event at Windsor in August, with the three-year-old filly expected to remain competitive now entering handicaps off a fair opening mark. Waterloo Sunset has posted several creditable efforts in defeat this season and also merits consideration.
HAARAR goes off the same mark as when runner-up at Epsom last time and is taken to go one better now. The reliable Waterloo Sunset is likely to be in the shake-up again, while Tarraff brings unexposed potential to her handicap debut and is one to note in the market.
Michael Bell's HAARAR can race off the same mark as when an excellent Epsom second last time so gets the vote from Waterloo Sunset.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (6/1 +25%) Hungry Hill |
6/1(+25%) | (6) Hungry Hill 6/1, Came good in 23f handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (good to soft) in July. That form has been franked but he was a little disappointing when only sixth over this C&D since. Bounce back needed. Ran a modest latest race here when well behind Karavomylos and has to bounce back. |
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2nd (8) (1.2/1 +52%) Karavomylos |
1.2/1(+52%) | (8) Karavomylos 1.2/1, Has shown improved form upped in trip switched to handicaps this season, winning at Uttoxeter in June and over C&D last month. The second boosted that form by winning next time and he could still be well treated after a 4 lb rise. Won two of his last three and seemed to idle in the closing stages over C&D last time. |
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3rd (4) (8.5/1 -70%) Nickelsonthedime |
8.5/1(-70%) | (4) Nickelsonthedime 8.5/1, Successful at Warwick and Newton abbot this summer and a further 2 lb nudge from the handicapper is unlikely to prevent another prominent showing from this in-form 9-y-o. Only 2lb higher than for his workmanlike win over further at Newton Abbot 51 days ago. |
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4th (5) (5.5/1 -10%) Hardy Boy |
5.5/1(-10%) | (5) Hardy Boy 5.5/1, Dual hurdles winner who opened his account over fences at the third attempt at Huntingdon in May. Placed in chases on his last 3 outings and likely to be competitive if in similar form back hurdling. Not straightforward but returns to hurdling on the back of some credible runs over fences. |
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5th (7) (7/1 +30%) Pottlerath |
7/1(+30%) | (7) Pottlerath 7/1, Successful 3 times over hurdles during 2022 and sprouted wings over fences at the start of the summer, completing a hat-trick (first leg here). Creditable fourth back here latest and has a lower mark to work with back hurdling. Had a good year over fences and needs considering off this lower hurdle figure. |
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|PU| (10) (9/1 +36%) Getthepot |
9/1(+36%) | (10) Getthepot 9/1, Doubled chase tally in 2022 but little promise all 3 starts this year, including back in this sphere on her first outing for this training partnership. Left Fergal O'Brien after some modest efforts and he produced another one last month. |
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|PU| (3) (28/1 -100%) Mr Tambourine Man |
28/1(-100%) | (3) Mr Tambourine Man 28/1, Fairly useful hurdler at best but all 3 efforts this season have been pretty tame, so plenty to prove. Tongue tie refitted. Long way below best since returning from an absence and others have more pressing claims. |
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|PU| (9) (28/1 -12%) Ratfacemcdougall |
28/1(-12%) | (9) Ratfacemcdougall 28/1, Racked up 5 wins over hurdles in 2020/21 season but has largely struggled to make an impact since. Mark continues to fall but others are preferred. In no form at the minute and was 40-1 when pulled up at Newton Abbot. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
KARAVOMYLOS got the better of a subsequent winner when successful over C&D three weeks ago, so a 4lb rise not be enough to prevent the unexposed son of Milan from following up. Nickelsonthedime arrives in terrific form having scored on two of his last three starts. Kayley Woollacott's charge is the main danger, while Hardy Boy and Pottlerath should not be far away either.
KARAVOMYLOS has had the form of last month's C&D win franked and a 4 lb rise may not prevent him going in again. Nickelsonthedime is another who arrives at the very top of his game and is second choice ahead of the reappearing Chives.
A chance is taken on CHIVES, who has a lot in his favour if he returns from a break in top order.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (3/1 +63%) Albegone |
3/1(+63%) | (9) Albegone 3/1, C&D winner in August. 9/4, below form fifth of 9 in handicap back here (good) 13 days ago. Remains on a workable mark but he's not the easiest to win with. Won over C&D last month and got upset in the stalls when only fifth over C&D since. |
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2nd (7) (6/1 -9%) Jojo Rabbit |
6/1(-9%) | (7) Jojo Rabbit 6/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Eighth of 12 in handicap (6/1) at Beverley (5f, good to firm) 10 days ago, not clear run. Looks vulnerable. Wasn't beaten far despite a torrid passage at Beverley latest and he's a possible. |
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3rd (5) (4/1 +43%) Murbih |
4/1(+43%) | (5) Murbih 4/1, 4/1, good second of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 3 days ago, well positioned. Runner-up over C&D on penultimate start and while he remains winless following 13 attempts on turf, this 4-y-o has to enter calculations. Placed on his last three starts (including over C&D) and he holds solid claims. |
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4th (6) (4/1 +67%) Texas Man |
4/1(+67%) | (6) Texas Man 4/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Musselburgh in July. 9/1, below form eighth of 13 in handicap at Beverley (5f, good to firm) 26 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Won at Musselburgh two starts ago but good runs have been scarce this season. |
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5th (2) (6/1 +40%) Havagomecca |
6/1(+40%) | (2) Havagomecca 6/1, Latest win at Musselburgh in May. Bit below form seventh of 16 in handicap at Thirsk (5f, good to firm, 25/1) 32 days ago. Becoming well treated (now 3 lb below last winning mark) and would be a threat if on-song. Patchy form across last few starts but won off 3lb higher in May and is not ruled out. |
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6th (3) (4.5/1 +50%) Papa Don't Preach |
4.5/1(+50%) | (3) Papa Don't Preach 4.5/1, 12/1, creditable sixth of 11 in handicap at Carlisle (5f, good) 11 days ago. Down to a dangerous mark but it's hard to ignore the fact that he's 0-17 on turf. Showed spark at stiff Carlisle recently and could prove better suited by this sharp track. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Turned out again quickly after being narrowly denied at Wolverhampton on Saturday, MURBIH can gain compensation on this occasion, while upholding form with Albegone (fifth) from his penultimate second over C&D. Runner-up on his last two outings, Birkenhead must also enter calculations, along with Castan, who won over C&D this time last year and remains on a mark that he should be able to win off again.
VADAMIAH has followed her encouraging reappearance spin with a couple of low-key efforts, but she's 3-5 at this course and this represents a significant drop in class compared to the valuable handicap she contested at the York Ebor meeting last month. Paul Midgley's charge is taken to bounce back and enhance her good record here. Birkenhead is next on the list, though a back-to-form Havagomecca would be a live danger and Murbih also enters calculations.
Catterick brings out the best in VADAMIAH and she earns the vote after a fair run in a higher grade at York. Jojo Rabbit is feared.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (1.25/1 +55%) Laughifuwant |
1.25/1(+55%) | (2) Laughifuwant 1.25/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in August. 16/1, not disgraced ninth of 22 in Irish Cambridgeshire at the Curragh (8f, good) 17 days ago. 3 of his 4 career victories gained at this venue and no surprise to see him thereabouts again. Likes this track and his prospects have been much enhanced by easing in the ground. |
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2nd (7) (4/1 +33%) Trachonitus |
4/1(+33%) | (7) Trachonitus 4/1, Fairly useful gelding. 6/1, fifth of 7 in handicap at Naas (8f, heavy) in April, ridden 2f out and no extra. Given a break since but others arrive with more pressing claims. Behind Duke Of Leggagh when fourth to Paddington in 7f Madrid Handicap at Naas in April. |
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3rd (6) (3/1 +57%) Duke Of Leggagh |
3/1(+57%) | (6) Duke Of Leggagh 3/1, Fairly useful gelding. Course winner. 20/1, ninth of 14 in handicap at the Curragh (10f, good) 30 days ago, dropping away gradually. Very best efforts have come with plenty of give underfoot. Likes it soft/heavy, in good form in the spring, not at best on his last three outings. |
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4th (3) (4.5/1 +68%) Shigar |
4.5/1(+68%) | (3) Shigar 4.5/1, Fairly useful gelding. Latest win at Kempton in June. Bit below form seventh of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (10.7f, 11/1) 28 days ago. Dual AW winner, beaten around 10l sixth of 16 behind Laughifuwant over C&D at the festival. |
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5th (5) (25/1 -79%) Lord Erskine |
25/1(-79%) | (5) Lord Erskine 25/1, Fairly useful veteran. Creditable sixth of 14 in handicap at Killarney (16.8f, good to soft, 8/1) 56 days ago. Back down markedly in trip now. Won over 2m at Tramore on penultimate start, likely to find this trip inadequate. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Connections of LAUGHIFUWANT will be doing a rain dance ahead of the forecast precipitation. Once rated 106, he returned to form recently, ran well in the Cesarewitch last month and is a three-time course winner. Adelaise has run well in big handicaps this summer and was recently second in a similar race at Leopardstown. Fourth at Royal Ascot in June, she has held her form and is again ridden by a 7lb claimer but softening ground would be concerning. Duke Of Leggagh will be suited by softening ground but has been well enough held recently while Trachonitis also likes soft but was behind Duke Of Leggagh in March. Shigar has plenty to find with the selection on course form last month.
ADELAISE remains winless this term but turned in another solid effort when runner-up at Leopardstown (1m) 3 weeks ago and in a race where a host have something to prove, she looks to hold sound claims. Laughifuwant is fancied to emerge as the chief threat.
This is a tight little contest but LAUGHIFUWANT has a good record at this venue and should have ground conditions to suit
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (2.75/1 +8%) Judicial Law |
2.75/1(+8%) | (1) Judicial Law 2.75/1, Returned to form when winning a Worcester handicap in May and followed up at Huntingdon 15 days later. Sound third-place finishes since and he can remain competitive with cheekpieces fitted for the first time. Dual winner in the spring and both summer runs were perfectly respectable; cheekpieces on. |
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2nd (5) (4.5/1 -64%) Czech Her Out |
4.5/1(-64%) | (5) Czech Her Out 4.5/1, Resumed from nearly 8 months off with 3m win at Southwell in April. Not in anything like the same form final 2 starts for Michael Scudamore but just about better than ever when landing 7-runner handicap at Perth in August, readily seeing off Dinoland. Big shout. Has mixed record this year but is a dual winner, coming from behind on both occasions. |
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3rd (3) (3.33/1 +45%) Ashington |
3.33/1(+45%) | (3) Ashington 3.33/1, Now 1 lb below his last winning mark and with cheekpieces retained, he shaped as though in good nick when fourth in a steadily-run race at Uttoxeter. Stronger gallop here would certainly help his cause. On a good mark but not quite at best lately and has stamina to prove. |
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4th (8) (6.5/1 +46%) Starlyte |
6.5/1(+46%) | (8) Starlyte 6.5/1, Made a winning return to hurdles for current yard at Newcastle (20.3f) last November and largely creditable efforts in defeat since, albeit in easier handicap that this. 2 lb out of the weights. Good third at Perth in June but not quite in same form there twice since; 2lb wrong here. |
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5th (6) (5.5/1 -22%) Captain Tommy |
5.5/1(-22%) | (6) Captain Tommy 5.5/1, Capitalised on freefalling mark over fences at Bangor (3m) in May and added to tally in 5-runner contest over the larger obstacles at Worcester a fortnight ago. 5 lb higher returned to timber. Switches back to hurdling after recent chase win; should go well for Brian Hughes. |
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|F| (2) (8/1 +20%) Didtheyleaveuoutto |
8/1(+20%) | (2) Didtheyleaveuoutto 8/1, Useful handicapper for Nick Gifford but didn't offer much on first 3 starts over hurdles for his current yard. However, dropped in grade and with cheekpieces back on, he won for the first time over jumps since 2018 at Cartmel in July. Fair effort on heavy ground back there since. Ended losing run at Cartmel in July and is not fully exposed over staying trips. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
CZECH HER OUT appeared sweetened up by a change of scenery when winning with plenty in hand at Perth last month. A 5lb rise looks more than fair for that victory and the nine-year-old should take all of the beating if in a similar mood. Captain Tommy regained the winning thread over fences at Worcester a fortnight ago and may give the selection most to think about switching to hurdles, ahead of the in-form Judicial Law.
CZECH HER OUT was better than ever when making a winning stable debut at Perth last month and this strong-travelling mare may have even more to offer. Ashington is below his last winning mark so is feared, along with Judicial Law, who has cheekpieces on for the first time.
He tired on heavy ground last time but DIDTHEYLEAVEUOUTTO remains well handicapped after his last-gasp win two starts ago.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (2.5/1 +50%) Never Ending |
2.5/1(+50%) | (7) Never Ending 2.5/1, Winner at Goodwood in June. Respectable fifth of 10 in handicap at Goodwood (9.9f, heavy, 10/1) 41 days ago, beaten when hanging right entering final 1f. Eased 1 lb since and return to forecast quicker ground may well help here. Broke duck over 1m; fair form on handicap debut (1m2f); latest defeat on heavy ground. |
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2nd (1) (3.5/1 +46%) Zarabanda |
3.5/1(+46%) | (1) Zarabanda 3.5/1, 2 wins from 5 runs this year. 3/1, career best when winning 7-runner handicap at Ripon (9.8f, soft) 36 days ago, quickening to lead over 1f out and running on. 6 lb higher now but she remains lightly raced for a 4-y-o and possibilities in hat-trick bid. On the upgrade at 1m and 1m2f on soft; every chance if handling quicker conditions. |
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3rd (12) (4/1 +60%) Al Hargah |
4/1(+60%) | (12) Al Hargah 4/1, Course winner who has held form well equipped with blinkers, career best when landing 7-runner handicap at Newbury (10f, good, 85/40) 25 days ago, always holding on. Assessor applies a little more pressure but not ruled out in this groove. Two narrow wins at 1m and 1m2f from last 5 starts; up 3lb and in class since latest. |
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4th (6) (18/1 -100%) Mlle Chanel |
18/1(-100%) | (6) Mlle Chanel 18/1, 11/2, below form fifth of 9 in handicap at Sandown (10f, good to soft) 33 days ago, headed 2f out and weakening gradually. Not one to give up on judged on balance of her form. Close 3rd on handicap debut (1m2f, soft); disappointing in two runs since. |
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5th (10) (10/1 +50%) Flying Circus |
10/1(+50%) | (10) Flying Circus 10/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, sixth of 10 in minor event at Goodwood (9.9f, good to firm, 7/1) in May, effort around 3f out and not quicken last ½f. Interesting what the market makes of her now handicapping back from a break. Has shown promise at this trip on AW but this looks a competitive start to handicap career. |
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6th (4) (3.5/1 +36%) Love You Grandpa |
3.5/1(+36%) | (4) Love You Grandpa 3.5/1, Promising type. Good second of 6 in handicap at Windsor (11.4f, good to soft, 11/4), no match for winner. Off 92 days. Can make presence felt. Gave best to reviver on reappearance; can improve for that run and the return to 1m2f. |
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|RR| (5) (18/1 +28%) Double March |
18/1(+28%) | (5) Double March 18/1, Latest win at Ascot in May. 14½ lengths last of 10 to Sweet Memories in listed race (150/1) at Newmarket (12f, soft) 38 days ago. Return to calmer waters rates an obvious plus. Winning start to turf handicap career (1m2f) in May but not done as well since. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
A taking winner at Bath last time out, MISS BLUEBELLE must hold every chance of following up off a 6lb higher mark. The four-year-old remains relatively unexposed and she gets the vote ahead of the likes of Epsom runner-up Oh So Grand and Zarabanda, who arrives on a hat-trick, but both those wins were on soft ground. Newbury winner Al Hargah and Love You Grandpa are entitled to be thereabouts as well.
A low-mileage daughter of Postponed, OH SO GRAND got the better of a prolonged battle with the eventual third only to find herself mugged late on by one very much on a going day at Epsom 2 weeks ago and, remaining low-mileage, she gets the narrow vote to come out on top. Facile Bath scorer Miss Bluebelle and low-mileage Love You Grandpa head the dangers, with Zarabanda another in the mix in what rates a highly competitive fillies' handicap.
A few of these come here in peak form but LOVE YOU GRANDPA deserves at least one chance to confirm her 3yo promise.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (4/1 +0%) Emanate |
4/1(+0%) | (5) Emanate 4/1, Poor maiden on the Flat and looked much the same in this sphere prior to belying odds of 100/1 in a C&D handicap (good to soft) in July. 3 lb rise tolerable but he's not an obvious type to follow-up. 100-1 winner here in July; only 3lb higher but difficult to know if he'll be as good again. |
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2nd (6) (8/1 -60%) Diana Prince |
8/1(-60%) | (6) Diana Prince 8/1, Point winner who left previous efforts under Rules behind when making a successful handicap debut at Market Rasen(18.6f, good) in August. However, this 9 lb higher mark proved beyond her over the same C&D next time. Won easily last month but looked anchored by the 9lb rise when beaten next time. |
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3rd (3) (6.5/1 +54%) Embolden |
6.5/1(+54%) | (3) Embolden 6.5/1, Winner of a 2m Plumpton handicap over Easter and mostly respectable efforts since. However, he finished out with the washing at Market Rasen last month and bit to prove on the back of that low-key display. Plumpton winner back in the spring but has just gone off the boil of late. |
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4th (8) (3.5/1 +42%) Coastal Sun |
3.5/1(+42%) | (8) Coastal Sun 3.5/1, Gained breakthrough success in a novice claimer at Ludlow in November for Alastair Ralph. Best run for current stable when third of 8 at Stratford (18.5f, good to soft) last month (wasn't to best effect at Newton Abbot last time) and she's one to consider. Beaten in eight handicaps but only 4l and 7l away in her last two. |
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5th (4) (4/1 +38%) Foxey |
4/1(+38%) | (4) Foxey 4/1, Showed fair form in bumpers and has matched that level over hurdles, fourth of 8 on handicap debut at Perth when last seen back in July 2021. Subsequent absence an obvious concern but one to note in the betting on debut for new yard off a potentially handy mark. Ten-race maiden but did have placed form off higher marks for his previous yard. |
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6th (10) (9/1 +36%) African Sun |
9/1(+36%) | (10) African Sun 9/1, Belied odds of 40/1 at Uttoxeter last summer but rarely threatened since and finished some way adrift of Onnaroll at Fontwell 11 days ago. Record of 1-28 and held by Onnaroll on their recent Fontwell clash. |
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|PU| (9) (5.5/1 -38%) Onnaroll |
5.5/1(-38%) | (9) Onnaroll 5.5/1, Offered little first 8 starts over hurdles but looked a different proposition when, despite being 12 lb out of the handicap, finding just one too good at Fontwell (17.7f, good) recently. Able to race off correct mark here and major claims. Much improved to be second from out of the weights at Fontwell; was clear of the rest. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Emanate sprung a massive shock when winning at odds of 100-1 over track and trip in July and he warrants consideration off just 3lb higher. However, a chance is taken on ONNAROLL. The five-year-old hasn't been the most consistent, but there was plenty to like about his recent Fontwell second. Having travelled strongly into contention, he found just one too strong and a similar effort could see him go one better. Diana Prince is another to consider.
ONNAROLL left his previous form well behind when a clear second from 12 lb out of the handicap at Fontwell and, if able to back that effort up here, he will surely go very close off his correct mark here. Coastal Sun was left with too much to do last time and, better judged on her creditable effort at Stratford in July, she is feared most. Though absent for over two years, Foxey is of interest on debut for Olly Murphy and it will be interesting to see how he shapes up in the betting.
Not many of these ran that well last time. ONNAROLL (nap) wasn't obviously flattered by his improved second at Fontwell.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (1.5/1 +0%) Dream Today |
1.5/1(+0%) | (1) Dream Today 1.5/1, 20/1, eleventh of 13 in handicap at the Curragh (6f, good) 73 days ago. Won over 7f here last year and looks well weighted. Won over 7f here last year and off 86 at Dundalk in February; runs off lower turf mark. |
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2nd (4) (4/1 +50%) Tamazu |
4/1(+50%) | (4) Tamazu 4/1, Sixth of 9 in handicap at Cork (6f, good to firm, 6/1) 6 days ago. Bounce back called for. Trains on the beach in Killala so will love this; twice gone close over 5f, should get 6f. |
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3rd (7) (9/1 +0%) Sunday Sovereign |
9/1(+0%) | (7) Sunday Sovereign 9/1, Latest win at Bellewstown in July. 5/1, bit below form fifth of 12 in claimer at Leopardstown (7.2f, good) 26 days ago, doing too much too soon. Struggled for new connections until making all over 1m in Bellewstown claimer; held since. |
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4th (6) (14/1 -17%) Jaafel |
14/1(-17%) | (6) Jaafel 14/1, Below form ninth of 15 in handicap at Leopardstown (7.2f, good, 20/1) 26 days ago. AW record is a positive one. All three wins at Dundalk last winter were over 1m and has never run over less than 7f. |
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5th (2) (9/1 -157%) Transcendental |
9/1(-157%) | (2) Transcendental 9/1, Winner at the Curragh in May. Respectable sixth of 10 in handicap (17/2) at Cork (7f, good to soft) 13 days ago, well positioned. Merits consideration. Curragh winner off 1lb higher; held since but hasn't been suited by 7f a couple of times. |
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6th (8) (10/1 -33%) Aloysius Lilius |
10/1(-33%) | (8) Aloysius Lilius 10/1, Latest win at Tipperary in August. Bit below form eighth of 14 in handicap at the Curragh (5f, good to soft, 5/1) 24 days ago. Tactically versatile sprinter; latest of six wins came over 5f at Tipperary; fine over 6f. |
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7th (3) (7.5/1 +63%) Army Of India |
7.5/1(+63%) | (3) Army Of India 7.5/1, First run since leaving Julie Camacho when eleventh of 15 in handicap (50/1) at Navan (5f, good to soft) 59 days ago. Three AW sprinting wins in Britain; not allowed to wear usual hood; trained on beaches. |
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8th (5) (16/1 -33%) Ivasecret |
16/1(-33%) | (5) Ivasecret 16/1, Last of 12 in handicap at Dundalk (6f, 16/1). Off 154 days. Four AW wins in Britain and second off 84 over 6f at Dundalk last winter; off five months. |
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9th (10) (16/1 +36%) That's Mad |
16/1(+36%) | (10) That's Mad 16/1, Last of 10 in handicap at Bellewstown (5f, heavy, 25/1), possibly amiss. Off 159 days. First run for yard after leaving Leanne Breen. Tongue strap on for 1st time. 5f specialist won three for Leanne Breen in 2021; lightly raced and little since; new yard. |
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10th (9) (200/1 -614%) Rhydwyn |
200/1(-614%) | (9) Rhydwyn 200/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2019. Last of 6 in handicap at Navan (10f, soft, 80/1) 59 days ago. Significantly down in trip. Lightly raced in recent years and in rear on both starts for this yard. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
This is a drop in class that DREAM TODAY can take advantage of. It is worth noting that he travelled notably well on the beach last year before winning by more than two lengths. He landed that race off a mark of 80 and effectively returns to Laytown off 69 with Cian MacRedmond's claim factored in. He is the only Laytown winner in the field which is a big advantage. Transcendental is dropping down the weights and looks to be on a decent mark as just four runs back she won a quality handicap in the Curragh off 1lb higher. Aloysius Lilius won on his penultimate start in Tipperary and is capable of going well. James McAuley fields Sunday Sovereign and Jaafel, and neither can be ruled out. The former would be particularly dangerous if given rope off the front.
Having won at this meeting last year, the assessor has given DREAM TODAY a major chance of repeating the trick. Transcendental and Jaafel are a couple of potential threats.
A winner here last year, Dream Today is feared but TAMAZU should be able to find a nice rhythm on this surface and is taken to score
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (9/1 -29%) Vince Le Prince |
9/1(-29%) | (3) Vince Le Prince 9/1, Sixth of 9 in handicap at Haydock (7.2f, good, 28/1) 31 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time and while he now has a bit to prove, the assessor is relenting and he could be a threat if the new headgear has the desired effect. Took step back in right direction when sixth at Haydock; not discounted off easing mark. |
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2nd (5) (1.38/1 +59%) Highfield Viking |
1.38/1(+59%) | (5) Highfield Viking 1.38/1, Winner at Doncaster in April. 9/2, respectable third of 9 in handicap at Haydock (7.2f, good) 31 days ago. Down 1 lb and he should make his presence felt. Not disgraced when third in Haydock handicap 31 days ago; he's one for the shortlist. |
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3rd (1) (5.5/1 +39%) Eagle Day |
5.5/1(+39%) | (1) Eagle Day 5.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 12/1, first run since leaving Kevin Ryan when eighth of 12 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 23 days ago. Something to find on form. Fair maiden for Kevin Ryan but only eighth on yard debut at Southwell; more is needed. |
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4th (2) (3.5/1 +13%) Wreck It Ryley |
3.5/1(+13%) | (2) Wreck It Ryley 3.5/1, Latest win at Ayr in August. Creditable third of 9 in handicap (5/2) at Musselburgh (7.2f, good to firm) 14 days ago. Blinkers back on and he's in with an each-way shout. Won at Ayr before very good Musselburgh third latest; player off an an unchanged mark. |
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5th (6) (5.5/1 -10%) Vortigan |
5.5/1(-10%) | (6) Vortigan 5.5/1, Visored for 1st time, ½-length third of 5 to Wreck It Ryley in handicap at Ayr (7.2f, good to firm, 5/1) 26 days ago. Likely to be on the premises once again. Consistent sort; visored when solid third at Ayr 26 days ago; possibilities. |
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6th (8) (12/1 -33%) Cuban Rock |
12/1(-33%) | (8) Cuban Rock 12/1, Winner at Musselburgh in July. Eighth of 9 in handicap at that course (7.2f, good to firm, 11/4) 14 days ago. Would have a chance if bouncing back. Won at Musselburgh in July but beat only one there a fortnight ago; needs to bounce back. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
VORTIGAN (third) may have half a length to make up with Wreck It Ryley (first) from their most recent clash at Ayr, but the former is 2lb better off now and may be able to finally get off the mark at the 11th time of asking. Highfield Viking has run with credit the lat twice, but has yet to rediscover the form he showed when scoring at Doncaster in April.
Though VINCE LE PRINCE has yet to add to his 2-y-o debut success, he wasn't beaten far in a higher-grade handicap at Haydock last time and could be worth siding with off a 3 lb lower mark here with cheekpieces enlisted. Highfield Viking was ahead of the selection in that Haydock race and should be in the mix, while Cuban Rock could also play a part if able to shake-off his poor effort at Musselburgh a fortnight ago.
A tight-knit handicap but Grant Tuer's WRECK IT RYLEY arrives in excellent form so edges the vote from the reliable maiden Vortigan
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (4/1 +33%) Rampage |
4/1(+33%) | (9) Rampage 4/1, Winner at Leopardstown in July. Visored for 1st time, good second of 15 in handicap (4/1) at Bellewstown (7.8f, good) 14 days ago, running on. This slightly longer trip rates a plus and one to consider. Off the mark at Leopardstown and good runs the last twice; visor worn last time retained. |
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2nd (7) (6/1 +14%) Out On Friday |
6/1(+14%) | (7) Out On Friday 6/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Fairyhouse in June. Respectable fourth of 16 in handicap at Naas (10.5f, good to soft, 8/1) 16 days ago, headed approaching final 1f and no extra. Not out of things. Returned to form this season with two wins and good runs in defeat; drops in trip. |
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3rd (2) (3.5/1 +30%) San Aer |
3.5/1(+30%) | (2) San Aer 3.5/1, C&D winner. 28/1, twenty first of 22 in handicap at the Curragh (8f, good) 17 days ago, left behind over 2f out. Hood/tongue tie back on. Given a chance by the handicapper. Won twice last autumn, incl' over C&D; regressive on recent starts and has to rebound. |
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4th (1) (3.5/1 +36%) Facethepuckout |
3.5/1(+36%) | (1) Facethepuckout 3.5/1, 16/1, seventeenth of 22 in handicap at the Curragh (8f, good) 17 days ago, not much room over 1f out and not given a hard time. Knocking on the door previously and he's worth considering from this sort of mark. Some fine runs in defeat this term; hampered at Curragh last time; has run well here. |
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5th (8) (11/1 +39%) Fastman |
11/1(+39%) | (8) Fastman 11/1, Twelfth of 15 in handicap (12/1) at Killarney (8.1f, good) 19 days ago, weakening over 1f out. Needs to bounce back. An infrequent winner but often runs well; broke blood vessels two starts ago. |
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6th (6) (4/1 +60%) Imposing Supreme |
4/1(+60%) | (6) Imposing Supreme 4/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Bellewstown in July. 10/1, creditable sixth of 17 in handicap at Navan (8f, good to soft) 12 days ago. Looks competitive on form. Three of five wins have come here; solid last time and has a chance down 4lb. |
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7th (15) (50/1 -150%) Grann's Boy |
50/1(-150%) | (15) Grann's Boy 50/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Last of 12 in maiden at Cork (12f, good to soft, 200/1) 13 days ago. Back down in trip. Makes handicap debut. A hint of ability in three maidens over various trips; check the market. |
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8th (14) (50/1 -52%) Nibras Rainbow |
50/1(-52%) | (14) Nibras Rainbow 50/1, First run since leaving Ismail Mohammed when thirteenth of 14 in handicap at Roscommon (7.2f, good to soft, 12/1) 8 days ago. Cheekpieces back on and this should reveal more. Dual 7f winner in UK but well beaten on recent yard debut and has to rebound. |
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9th (12) (25/1 +0%) Broad Daylight |
25/1(+0%) | (12) Broad Daylight 25/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 40/1, twelfth of 16 in handicap at Limerick (8f, soft) in April, off bridle long way out and fading 2f out. Absent since and market likely to prove best guide here. Showed some ability in maidens but hasn't gone on from that in h'caps; back after break. |
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10th (13) (18/1 +73%) Teddy O'Neill |
18/1(+73%) | (13) Teddy O'Neill 18/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 18/1, last of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (7f). Off 10 months. Back up in trip. Some decent maiden runs, incl' over 7f here last year; off since last winter. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
IMPOSING SUPREME is a three-time course winner who continues to hold form. Nicely drawn in 6 and a winner last July, his rating has dropped a little recently and is ground-versatile. Facethepuckout carries a bucket of weight more today than in the recent Cesarewitch but met significant traffic then and wasn't beaten a million miles. A ground-versatile four-time winner, he seems suited by this slightly longer distance nowadays and is dependable. Colin Keane is booked for stablemate Rockbury Lad, who disappointed at Killarney and is a 17-race maiden, but had previously met trouble in-running at Leopardstown. Dual course-and-distance winner Out On Friday has his Galway 10th run and won the 2020 renewal. He might prefer slightly further nowadays and was reported to have hung right at Naas last month. Rampage continues in form under his 7lb claimer and should compete from his career high rating. Veteran On Cool Poet won three times at the 2019 Galway festival but hasn't won on the flat since September 2019.
ROCKBURY LAD needs to shrug off a lesser effort in blinkers at Killarney but he'd previously been shaping up well and, with cheekpieces refitted, it would come as no surprise to see a better showing. The selection's stablemate Facethepuckout and Rampage are a couple of likely threats, with Pierre Lapin another worth keeping an eye on.
Both Michael O'Callaghan runners are of major interest, with narrow preference for FACETHEPUCKOUT over Rockbury Lad.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (1.75/1 +36%) Caithness |
1.75/1(+36%) | (1) Caithness 1.75/1, Took a step forward from hurdling debut when fourth of 8 in a Newcastle maiden in February. Failed to meet expectations over C&D the following month but ought to be in the shake up if ready to roll after a break. Shaped with promise on all three hurdling starts in early part of this year. |
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2nd (5) (2.25/1 +18%) Noble Anthem |
2.25/1(+18%) | (5) Noble Anthem 2.25/1, Fairly useful performer on the Flat who shaped better than the distance beaten suggests on the first of 2 juvenile hurdle starts in late 2022. Below form last 2 outings on the level and has since left Archie Watson for 16,500 gns. Tongue tied. One to note. Has some useful Flat form on his CV but is yet to convince over hurdles; stable debut. |
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3rd (2) (1.75/1 -27%) The Mass Path |
1.75/1(-27%) | (2) The Mass Path 1.75/1, Showed improved form dropped in trip in first-time cheekpieces when second of 15 in a Sligo maiden (16.8f) in July. Failed to improve any further with the headgear left off switched to a handicap last time but was easy to back on that occasion and remains unexposed. Big player. Slightly disappointing on handicap debut but earlier second at Sligo makes him a player. |
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4th (9) (16/1 -129%) Whozatgirl |
16/1(-129%) | (9) Whozatgirl 16/1, Modest form in 3 bumpers so improvement needed on hurdle/stable debut. Placed in two fillies' bumpers for another stable in 2022; should have a future over jumps. |
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5th (8) (50/1 -100%) Kurphy |
50/1(-100%) | (8) Kurphy 50/1, Well held in pair of bumpers and it was a similar story on last month's hurdling debut at Perth. Showed only minor promise on recent stable/hurdle debut; one for further down the line. |
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|F| (6) (66/1 +0%) Swashbuckler |
66/1(+0%) | (6) Swashbuckler 66/1, Fairly useful maiden at best on Flat (stays 1¼m), but bought for only £2,500 after disappointing in a brief spell with Tom Lacey and was well held tried hurdling at Cartmel 17 days ago. About 68l behind City Vaults when 80-1 for recent stable/hurdle debut. |
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|PU| (7) (200/1 -100%) Gold Terms |
200/1(-100%) | (7) Gold Terms 200/1, Well held on her sole outing on the Flat (for Grant Tuer) and went with no promise tried hurdling at Perth 21 months later. Struggled when 150-1 for stable/hurdle debut at Perth six weeks ago; now hooded. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Little separates those likely to be at the forefront of the market, with a tentative vote going to Charles Byrnes' THE MASS PATH. The six-year-old's stamina appeared stretched by the extended 2m4f distance at Wexford recently and a first success could be on the cards now dropping in distance. The returning Caithness offered enough earlier in the year to suggest that he can play a part in the finish too, with Noble Anthem making most appeal of the remainder.
THE MASS PATH failed to improve any further switched to a handicap last time, but there's a strong feeling he still has a bigger performance in his locker and the hint should be taken if the market speaks in his favour. Caithness rates the main danger.
This is a good chance for THE MASS PATH, who will be a tough nut to crack if somewhere near the form he showed at Sligo two runs ago.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (4/1 +43%) Secret Mistral |
4/1(+43%) | (6) Secret Mistral 4/1, 25/1, tenth of 11 in handicap at Chester (5.1f, good to soft) 10 days ago, worst of draw. Must improve. In better form than her numbers suggest but she's unlikely to get an easy lead today. |
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2nd (1) (1.25/1 +34%) Moulin Booj |
1.25/1(+34%) | (1) Moulin Booj 1.25/1, Career best when winning 8-runner handicap (7/2) at Bath (5f, firm) 6 days ago. Carries penalty but unexposed over 5f and this looks a good opening. Ready winner of a Bath handicap last week; progressive and should go well under penalty. |
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3rd (5) (2.5/1 +55%) Hurt You Never |
2.5/1(+55%) | (5) Hurt You Never 2.5/1, Course winner. 5 wins from 12 runs this year. Latest win at Newbury in June. 3/1, fourth of 6 in handicap at Yarmouth (6f, good) 16 days ago. Can give it another good go. Had a fine summer in 6f handicaps; should give it another good go dropped to 5f. |
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4th (7) (6/1 +14%) Frisky |
6/1(+14%) | (7) Frisky 6/1, C&D winner. Twelfth of 17 in handicap at Bath (5f, soft, 20/1), reportedly bled. Off 158 days. First run for yard after leaving Simon Pearce and market can guide. Starts out for new yard off a handy mark and she needs monitoring for market confidence. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Turned out again quickly under a 6lb penalty after scoring readily at Bath last week, MOULIN BOOJ sets the standard on the back of that and conditions should be in his favour once more. Leodis Dream bounced back to winning ways at Beverley earlier in the month and looks to be a key contender, along with the prolific Hurt You Never, who could be suited by dropping back in distance.
MOULIN BOOJ looks a 5f natural and a penalty for last week's smooth Bath win may not prevent further success. Leodis Dream and Hurt You Never are a couple of viable threats.
This looks good for the progressive MOULIN BOOJ (nap) to follow up last week's Bath win. Stone Of Destiny is feared most.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (4.5/1 +44%) Jered Maddox |
4.5/1(+44%) | (1) Jered Maddox 4.5/1, Good second of 25 in handicap (33/1) at Cork (7f, good to firm) 6 days ago, running on. Fine second of 25 at Cork last week, King's first time to ride him; got 5lb for that. |
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2nd (10) (22/1 -10%) Pulse Of Shanghai |
22/1(-10%) | (10) Pulse Of Shanghai 22/1, Thirty one runs since last win in 2021. Seventh of 10 in handicap (12/1) at Down Royal (5f, good to soft) 46 days ago. Well over two years since latest win; no joy over C&D last year but mark now way lower. |
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3rd (4) (1.75/1 +22%) Samrogue |
1.75/1(+22%) | (4) Samrogue 1.75/1, Won this race last year. Second of 16 in handicap at Cork (6f, good, 8/1) 46 days ago. Has good chance on pick of form. Decisive winner of this last year off 64; much-improved second at Cork in July. |
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4th (5) (25/1 -25%) Markievicz |
25/1(-25%) | (5) Markievicz 25/1, Latest win at Navan in May. Below form seventh of 15 in handicap (12/1) at Cork (6f, good) 46 days ago, not ideally placed. Has won a couple of big-field handicaps, most recently at Navan (5.5f) in May; fair mark. |
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5th (8) (33/1 -65%) Darcy's Rock |
33/1(-65%) | (8) Darcy's Rock 33/1, 25/1, respectable sixth of 24 in handicap at Naas (5.9f, good) 16 days ago. Prominent racer was sixth of 24 at Naas last time when behind Zig Zag Zyggy. |
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6th (3) (8.5/1 -6%) Teddy Boy |
8.5/1(-6%) | (3) Teddy Boy 8.5/1, Latest win at Naas in August. 17/2, eighteenth of 24 in handicap at Naas (5.9f, good) 16 days ago. Second to Samrogue in this race last year. One to consider. Stalwart was runner-up in last two renewals; recorded fifth win when scoring at Naas. |
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7th (7) (7.5/1 +6%) Zig Zag Zyggy |
7.5/1(+6%) | (7) Zig Zag Zyggy 7.5/1, Latest win at Bellewstown in July. 18/1, creditable third of 24 in handicap at Naas (5.9f, good) 16 days ago. Hard-knocking sprinter is equally effective over 5f and 6f; latest win over 5f in July. |
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8th (6) (9/1 -100%) Rocky Dreams |
9/1(-100%) | (6) Rocky Dreams 9/1, 9/1, didn't need to improve to win 11-runner claimer at Dundalk (7f) 62 days ago, all out. Merits consideration. Very effective at Dundalk where he won for a seventh time in July; turf mark is way lower. |
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9th (9) (12/1 -71%) Hell Left Loose |
12/1(-71%) | (9) Hell Left Loose 12/1, Blinkered for 1st time, bit below form twelfth of 24 in handicap at Naas (5.9f, good, 20/1) 16 days ago. Won this race in 2021 so no shock were she to stage a revival under Rachael Blackmore. Won four for Denis Hogan including this race in 2021; return visit needs to spark revival. |
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10th (2) (10/1 -100%) Barnhill Rose |
10/1(-100%) | (2) Barnhill Rose 10/1, 3 wins from 11 runs this year. First run since leaving Denis Hogan when career best when winning 14-runner handicap (7/2) at Roscommon (7.2f, good to soft) 8 days ago, all out. Gained third win of the season at Roscommon (7f), value for more; drop in trip a concern. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
SAMROGUE won this race last year and warmed up for another big run when beaten half a length into second at Cork in July. She is undoubtedly well handicapped as she competes off 10lb lower than when taking the honours 12 months ago. Interestingly, she has had the same preparation as last year when she was put away after winning at Cork in July. Jered Maddox ran a stormer in second at 33/1 in a big-field handicap at Cork earlier this month. This is his first visit to the beach, but he has extensive experience on the sand in Dundalk to call upon. Zig Zag Zyggy is on a very handy mark and Adam Caffrey takes 5lb off his back. This is a new trip for Barnhill Rose, but she arrives in winning form over an extended 7f at Roscommon. Teddy Boy, Rocky Dreams and Markievicz cannot be ruled out while reserve Eriskay would have a chance if getting a run.
SAMROGUE beat Teddy Boy in this last year and they might be the pair to focus on again with Ross O'Sullivan's mare taken to come out on top again. Recent Dundalk claiming winner Rocky Dreams also makes the shortlist.
Having returned to form when touched off at Cork, SAMROGUE is handicapped to repeat last year's success in this sprint
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (0.2/1 +20%) Tannola |
0.2/1(+20%) | (3) Tannola 0.2/1, Promising sort. 11/10, second of 16 in maiden at Naas (7f, good to soft) 16 days ago, no match for winner. Stable having good spell. Sets a good standard. Should score readily now following second placings behind smart fillies here and at Naas. |
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2nd (2) (7/1 -8%) Miss Tapley |
7/1(-8%) | (2) Miss Tapley 7/1, Foaled March 14. €30,000 foal, Phoenix of Spain filly. Closely related to smart 1¼m winner Ajman King and half-sister to several winners, including useful 1¾m winner Orgilgo Bay and 2m-2¼m winner Theola. Dam has been a prolific source of winners, faces stiff task against the promising Tannola. |
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3rd (1) (7/1 +30%) Vassula Ryden |
7/1(+30%) | (1) Vassula Ryden 7/1, Foaled March 5. Fastnet Rock filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including smart winner up to 10.2f Rose of Kildare and useful 8.3f winner Western Alliance. Stable in good form. Half-sister to three-time Group 3 winner Rose Of Kildare, in good hands. |
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4th (5) (50/1 -52%) Kilworth Kate |
50/1(-52%) | (5) Kilworth Kate 50/1, Foaled April 18. The Last Lion filly. Half-sister to several winners, including useful winner up to 1m Me Too Nagasaki and winner up to 1m Independent Expert. Eighth of 16 in maiden at Naas (7f, good to soft, 150/1) on debut 16 days ago, never nearer. Needs a big step forward. May improve from mid-field debut at Naas but safely held by Tannola. |
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5th (4) (40/1 -150%) The Crafty Girl |
40/1(-150%) | (4) The Crafty Girl 40/1, Thrice-raced filly. 200/1, fourth of 7 in maiden at Cork (8f, good to firm) 6 days ago, easily best effort. Likely more needed. Has obtained useful experience in maidens, will have a better chance in handicaps. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
TANNOLA bumped into the Ingabelle Stakes winner at Naas last month and unless she bumps into another high-class newcomer, should win. Unrelated to her trainer's Tahiyra, she nonetheless has an excellent pedigree and has shown a high level of form in two runs. She has already comfortably beaten the previously-raced runners. Newcomer Vassula Ryden also has a good pedigree, being out of a Listed winner which has already produced a triple-Group 3 winner. She could be smart but concedes 2lb to the selection and debuts at a difficult course for newcomers. Fellow debutante Miss Tapley, the 14th foal, is a half-sister to eight winners and could also be useful. The Crafty Girl showed some improvement at Cork.
TANNOLA sets a tall standard, and should be a tough nut to crack, though Miss Tapley, in particular, and Vassula Ryden are newcomers with some appeal on paper, and market support for either must be noted.
This should be straightforward for TANNOLA, whose Naas run was strongly endorsed by the winner Kitty Rose at Leopardstown on Saturday
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (0.73/1 +0%) Bella Bliss |
0.73/1(+0%) | (3) Bella Bliss 0.73/1, Fairly useful hurdler who proved well suited by the step back up in trip when opening her account in a maiden chase at Ballinrobe (23f) 15 days ago, jumping accurately and asserting run-in. Open to improvement now handicapping in this sphere and her experience looks key. Jumped well and created pretty good impression when making all on chasing debut over 2m7f. |
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|U| (2) (1/1 +17%) Johnson's Blue |
1/1(+17%) | (2) Johnson's Blue 1/1, Real success story for this yard, posting his best effort yet when landing seventh handicap hurdle victory at Haydock (24.2f) in February, kicking on straight and digging deep under pressure. Not out of the question he could do better again now chasing. Has excellent 7-14 strike-rate over hurdles; makes chasing debut after 206-day absence. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
BELLA BLISS impressed with her jumping when winning on her chasing debut at Ballinrobe and likely has more to come in this sphere. The six-year-old looks the one to be on now likely favourite Pull Again Green has been declared a non-runner, although Johnson's Blue was a progressive hurdler last season and shouldn't be underestimated now tackling larger obstacles for the first time.
BELLA BLISS jumped well when making a winning start over fences at Ballinrobe and that experience should prove key in this match as she takes on chasing newcomer Johnson's Blue.
Recent Ballinrobe winner BELLA BLISS can put her experience over fences to good use.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (4.5/1 +44%) General Idea |
4.5/1(+44%) | (6) General Idea 4.5/1, Fair gelding. 16/1, creditable eighth of 17 in handicap at Cork (7f, good to soft) 13 days ago. Looks competitive on form. Only beaten 3l when mid-field over this trip at Cork last time; first run in a claimer. |
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2nd (10) (3/1 -20%) Yester |
3/1(-20%) | (10) Yester 3/1, Still a maiden after 29 runs but was second at this meeting last year. Fourth of 11 in claimer at Dundalk (7f, 14/1) 62 days ago. First run for yard after leaving John McConnell. Good chance at the weights. Touched off in C&D maiden a year ago by rival now rated 100; big chance on stable debut. |
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3rd (11) (14/1 +58%) Red Cymbal |
14/1(+58%) | (11) Red Cymbal 14/1, Modest gelding. Two wins from 62 Flat runs. Forty five runs since last win in 2020. Bit below form seventh of 14 in handicap (80/1) at Dundalk (8f) 62 days ago. RESERVE. First reserve; well over three years without a win and not much to shout about this year. |
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4th (3) (16/1 +0%) Chummie |
16/1(+0%) | (3) Chummie 16/1, Modest mare. Twelfth of 13 in handicap (18/1) at Dundalk (8f). Off 11 months. Placed over 7f at Dundalk last year but well beaten back there since and long time off. |
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5th (4) (4/1 -20%) Clarinbridge |
4/1(-20%) | (4) Clarinbridge 4/1, Latest win at Ayr in June. Eighth of 11 in handicap (5/1) at Ayr (7.2f, good) 57 days ago. Chance on old form. Made all to land modest 7f contest at Ayr in June; poor run on return visit there. |
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6th (8) (25/1 -400%) Madame Peltier |
25/1(-400%) | (8) Madame Peltier 25/1, Eighth of 12 in claimer (33/1) at Dundalk (10.7f). Off 180 days. Significantly down in trip. Soundly beaten on first two starts for this yard at Dundalk in March and been off since. |
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7th (9) (3.33/1 +26%) Muhalhel |
3.33/1(+26%) | (9) Muhalhel 3.33/1, Fair gelding. One win from 22 Flat runs. Seventeen runs since last win in 2021. Ninth of 14 in handicap at Roscommon (7.2f, good to soft, 10/1) 8 days ago. Enters calculations. Decent fourth off 73 at Fairyhouse a year ago but hasn't come close to that form since. |
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8th (5) (12/1 +40%) Cometh The Man |
12/1(+40%) | (5) Cometh The Man 12/1, Unreliable sort. Remains a maiden after 50 Flat runs. 33/1, ninth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (7f). Off 151 days. Every chance if back to best. Long-standing maiden ran well above his mark in C&D contest a year ago. |
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9th (1) (100/1 -525%) Beanie To Sea |
100/1(-525%) | (1) Beanie To Sea 100/1, Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. 80/1, last of 13 in handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan (16f, good to soft) 31 days ago. 9/14 on last Flat run. Cut no ice in maidens at three; missed last year; similar story over hurdles this year. |
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10th (7) (14/1 +44%) Kratos |
14/1(+44%) | (7) Kratos 14/1, One win from 21 Flat runs. Nineteen runs since last win in 2020. 18/1, thirteenth of 15 in handicap at Bellewstown (7.8f, good) 14 days ago. Beaten just over a length when fourth over this trip at Down Royal in June; poor lately. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
YESTER ran more than creditably on the beach last year when pipped by a head in a a maiden over this trip and can go one better. Trainer James McAuley has a good handle on this grade of race and claimed Yester after he was beaten just over two lengths into fourth at Dundalk in July. Rachael Blackmore is a notable booking for Clarinbridge who won on penultimate start over an extended 7f at Ayr. General Idea's eighth place in Cork can be marked up as he was beaten just over two lengths at the finish, and the handicapper has dropped him a further 1lb.
YESTER is hardly one for maximum faith but he ran a bit better in a Dundalk claimer last time and was second in a maiden at this meeting last year so perhaps he can finally get off the mark. The Rachael Blackmore-ridden Clarinbridge is second choice ahead of General Idea.
His C&D second to a horse now rated 100 really stands out and this is a big chance for YESTER (nap) to finally get a win on the board
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (3.5/1 +42%) Purring Along |
3.5/1(+42%) | (9) Purring Along 3.5/1, 11/1, creditable fourth of 15 in handicap at Killarney (8.2f, good) 55 days ago, never nearer. Can make presence felt. Won at Cork earlier this season and solid runs lately so should be involved again. |
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2nd (2) (3.33/1 +5%) Mercurial |
3.33/1(+5%) | (2) Mercurial 3.33/1, One win from 21 Flat runs. 20/1, creditable fourth of 19 in handicap at the Curragh (6f, good) 31 days ago, keeping on well final 1f. Return to this longer trip rates a plus. Winner in UK has run well in defeat at times for this yard including last time; go well. |
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3rd (10) (18/1 +10%) Talking Tough |
18/1(+10%) | (10) Talking Tough 18/1, C&D winner. Two wins from 60 Flat runs. 40/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, twelfth of 15 in handicap at Killarney (8.1f, good) 19 days ago. Has been mostly below form this season and others are preferred. |
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4th (5) (6.5/1 +59%) Storm Eric |
6.5/1(+59%) | (5) Storm Eric 6.5/1, Winner at Dundalk in April. Struggled to replicate that level since, thirteenth of 24 in handicap (50/1) at Naas (5.9f, good) 16 days ago. Tongue strap back on. Others make greater appeal. Won on AW in April and best run since was at Naas last time when denied a clear run. |
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5th (8) (16/1 +27%) Phoenix Open |
16/1(+27%) | (8) Phoenix Open 16/1, 28/1, thirteenth of 15 in handicap at Limerick (8f, good) 80 days ago, racing off the pace and never landing a blow. Can only be watched unless market vibes proved particularly positive. Last of his three wins came at Gowran a year ago; has to improve upon recent efforts. |
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6th (6) (5/1 +50%) Pimstrel |
5/1(+50%) | (6) Pimstrel 5/1, C&D winner. Bit below form eighth of 15 in handicap at Bellewstown (7.8f, good, 18/1) 14 days ago, no extra final 1f. Won this race from a 5 lb higher mark 12 months ago and not dismissed lightly. Won this race last year off 5lb higher; not at best lately but go well if ground softens. |
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7th (11) (22/1 +56%) Tijuana |
22/1(+56%) | (11) Tijuana 22/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, twenty first of 25 in handicap at Cork (7f, good to firm, 66/1) 6 days ago. Others more persuasive. Maiden is rated only 42 and was poor last time. |
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8th (4) (18/1 +28%) Dance Emperor |
18/1(+28%) | (4) Dance Emperor 18/1, Dual winner at up to 10f during summer 2021. Missed whole of last year and understandably looked rusty returning from 23 months off when eleventh of 15 in handicap at Bellewstown (7.8f) 2 weeks ago, merely passing beaten rivals. This should reveal more. Three-time winner has run well in defeat at this track; can improve from return last time. |
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9th (7) (3.5/1 +65%) Golden Freckle |
3.5/1(+65%) | (7) Golden Freckle 3.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 11/2, respectable sixth of 15 in handicap at Killarney (8.2f, good) 55 days ago. Remains less exposed than most Lightly-raced filly put in decent efforts last twice; has to find a bit more. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
GIUSEPPE CASSIOLI is winless since March 2022 and has been running over a mile recently but runs in a winnable race. His previous win came at this distance and being a keen-goer, is likely to race with the pace, although softening ground would be a concern. Mercurial's only win, from 21 runs, was in 2021 but ran well over six furlongs at the Curragh. He should be suited by reverting to this distance and competes from a career-low rating, under his usual 7lb claimer. Storm Eric's only win, and his best form, is on the all-weather but his rating has fallen recently and will also be suited by reverting to this distance. Purring Along has been running well and was a distance winner in May while Inablink showed minor promise on recent handicap debut. Dance Emperor, who returned from 683 days off recently, will be unsuited by this distance.
GIUSEPPE CASSIOLI produced his best effort yet for his present yard when runner-up at Killarney in July and, operating from a handy mark/partnered by Colin Keane, he could be worth siding with to build on that now. Purring Along rates a threat, with last year's winner Pimstrel another worth keeping an eye on. Mercurial can't be ruled out either.
Best on a sound surface, GIUSEPPE CASSIOLI won't want much rain to fall but if it stays dry he has the speed to break his turf duck.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (3/1 +50%) Minella Youngy |
3/1(+50%) | (6) Minella Youngy 3/1, Fair winning hurdler in Ireland for Gavin Cromwell and has shown similar form without getting his head in front for his current yard. including back over fences last time. Others preferred. Just 1-20 over hurdles but unexposed over fences and ran well when placed last month. |
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2nd (7) (11/1 +8%) Getaway Jewel |
11/1(+8%) | (7) Getaway Jewel 11/1, Scored at Southwell in June but he's run poorly both starts since, remote fourth of 5 in handicap chase at Market Rasen (17.2f, soft) 52 days ago. Up against it. Looked good when clear winner at Southwell in June but has struggled twice since. |
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3rd (4) (5.5/1 +31%) Restandbethankful |
5.5/1(+31%) | (4) Restandbethankful 5.5/1, Back to winning ways over fences at Market Rasen in June but in and out since, well held back over hurdles last time. Headgear applied. Seized chance to dominate from front at Market Rasen in June but has become disappointing. |
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4th (1) (5/1 -50%) Fusain |
5/1(-50%) | (1) Fusain 5/1, Opened chase account in a match at Newcastle and followed up in a 3-runner novice at Catterick. Out of depth in Aintree Grade 1 but back on track returned to a realistic level when third at Perth. Down in class again so big shout back from a break. Ended last season in pretty good form (two small-field wins); back from a break today. |
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5th (5) (3.5/1 -5%) First Revolution |
3.5/1(-5%) | (5) First Revolution 3.5/1, Three-time winner at Sedgefield last summer and resumed winning ways at Hexham in May. Better than ever when just denied at Market Rasen after a break last month and needs considering. Four chase wins since spring 2022; as good as ever when close second last month; respected. |
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6th (3) (3/1 +33%) Sword Of Fate |
3/1(+33%) | (3) Sword Of Fate 3/1, Front runner who capitalised on a drop in grade when scoring at Perth. Decent second at Cartmel next time and player back down in trip. Largely in good form this year and still on a workable mark; must be considered. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
FIRST REVOLUTION could easily be arriving on a hat-trick but for being narrowly denied at Market Rasen, and the conditions of this race should suit as he looks to notch a fifth career success. That may be at the main expense of Fusain, who makes some appeal returning from a summer break. Sword Of Fate arrives in good nick and is another to be interested in.
FUSAIN can resume winning ways back down in class after a break. The in-form First Revolution only just failed at Market Rasen last time and is next best ahead of likely front runner Sword of Fate.
Nine-time chase winner SWORD OF FATE gave a really good account of himself under a very positive ride at Cartmel a fortnight ago.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (3/1 +65%) Allo Arry |
3/1(+65%) | (1) Allo Arry 3/1, Fair gelding. Remains a maiden after 10 Flat runs. 14/1, creditable third of 14 in handicap at Roscommon (7.2f, good to soft) 8 days ago. Did well to finish third from a bad draw in a 7f handicap at Roscommon last week. |
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2nd (3) (1/1 +20%) Expound |
1/1(+20%) | (3) Expound 1/1, Fairly useful gelding. 4/1, creditable second of 7 in maiden at Clonmel (9.6f, good) 5 days ago, no match for winner. Has best chance on form. Wants further than 7f but may get away with it in this modest a maiden. |
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3rd (4) (16/1 +68%) I Know I Can |
16/1(+68%) | (4) I Know I Can 16/1, Modest gelding. Remains a maiden after 27 Flat runs. Last of 15 in handicap at Bellewstown (7.8f, good, 12/1) 14 days ago. Longstanding maiden who is very much up against it on these terms. |
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4th (10) (18/1 -300%) Ta Na La |
18/1(-300%) | (10) Ta Na La 18/1, Fair filly. 9/2, bit below form fourth of 10 in novice hurdle at Sligo (17.8f, good to soft) 33 days ago. Significantly down in trip. Tongue strap on first time on the Flat. She might find this trip on the sharp side but one of the more talented runners. |
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5th (5) (22/1 -120%) Knight Sleeper |
22/1(-120%) | (5) Knight Sleeper 22/1, Thrice-raced gelding. Sixth of 8 in maiden (9/1) at Ballinrobe (12.6f, good to soft) 50 days ago. Significantly down in trip. Hasn't progressed from his decent debut but it's still early days and the ability is there. |
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6th (2) (100/1 -733%) Carrickfinn |
100/1(-733%) | (2) Carrickfinn 100/1, Lightly-raced gelding on Flat. 200/1, pulled up in maiden at Dundalk (8f). Off 10 months. First run for yard after leaving P. J. Rothwell. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Shown precious little so far and was last seen pulling up on the AW last November. |
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7th (8) (8/1 -78%) Baalbec Beauty |
8/1(-78%) | (8) Baalbec Beauty 8/1, Fair mare. Remains a maiden after 10 Flat runs. 14/1, creditable second of 15 in handicap at Gowran (7f, good) 27 days ago. Respected. None too consistent but only just missed out in a 7f Gowran handicap last month. |
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8th (6) (100/1 -52%) My Joker |
100/1(-52%) | (6) My Joker 100/1, Modest gelding. Remains a maiden after 21 Flat runs. 66/1, eighth of 11 in maiden at Down Royal (5f, good to firm) 4 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Ex-British gelding who is 0-24 overall and has a basement handicap mark. |
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9th (7) (6.5/1 +54%) Secret Spy |
6.5/1(+54%) | (7) Secret Spy 6.5/1, Fair gelding. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, tenth of 14 in handicap at Down Royal (10.3f, good, 12/1) 80 days ago. Significantly back down in trip. Lightly raced and has hinted at winning potential in maiden and handicap company. |
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10th (9) (66/1 +0%) Maid Of Eirinn |
66/1(+0%) | (9) Maid Of Eirinn 66/1, 25/1, tenth of 14 in handicap at Roscommon (7.2f, good to soft) 8 days ago. Well beaten at Roscommon last week on her return from a long absence; rated only 45. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
BAALBEC BEAUTY left a trio of unplaced runs well behind when pipped by a neck in Gowran Park. The horse that beat her endorsed the form when following up in Killarney. Allo Arry has been placed in two of his last three outings and should be a factor under 5lb-claimer Adam Caffrey. Expound takes a marked drop in trip in a bid to snap a string of five placed runs in a row. His consistency is likely to stand to him in this company. Knight Sleeper is far from exposed and tries a new trip while Ta Na La reverts back to the Flat after hurdling, and has placed form at Dundalk in the book.
EXPOUND's limitations are pretty well established but he probably won't get a better chance to win a maiden if handling the track. Baalbec Beauty and Ta Na La head the opposition.
This looks a good opportunity for EXPOUND to finally get off the mark and see his consistency rewarded.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (12) (3.5/1 +78%) Thunder Roll |
3.5/1(+78%) | (12) Thunder Roll 3.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Bit below form second of 12 in maiden (4/6) at the Curragh (10f, good to soft) 24 days ago, running on. Back up in trip. A bit to find with Azazat on running in the Munster Oaks, has been running consistently. |
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2nd (3) (50/1 +0%) Enfranchise |
50/1(+0%) | (3) Enfranchise 50/1, Useful mare. Six wins from 21 Flat runs. 1 win from 3 runs this year. Twelfth of 14 in handicap at Leopardstown (12.8f, good, 25/1) 3 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Others more persuasive. Big price when towards the rear in the Petingo over 1m5f at Leopardstown on Saturday. |
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3rd (2) (1.25/1 +34%) Echoes In Rain |
1.25/1(+34%) | (2) Echoes In Rain 1.25/1, Useful mare. Smart winner at 19f over hurdles. 10/1, 10¼ lengths eighth of 12 to Courage Mon Ami in Gold Cup at Royal Ascot (20f, good to firm) 82 days ago, hampered. Tongue strap back on. Big shout back down in class. High-class and versatile mare, 2m1f course winner, failed to get home in Ascot Gold Cup. |
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4th (10) (40/1 -100%) Perfect Portrait |
40/1(-100%) | (10) Perfect Portrait 40/1, Useful filly. Winner at Gowran in May. Good fourth of 10 in handicap (5/2) at Sligo (10.5f, good to soft) 34 days ago. Uphill task. Unplaced in a 1m2f Listed race at Naas, only fourth in a handicap at Sligo last time. |
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5th (7) (9/1 +0%) Amusement |
9/1(+0%) | (7) Amusement 9/1, Useful filly. 7/2, bit below form 4¾ lengths fourth of 10 to Sweet Memories in listed race at Newmarket (12f, soft) 38 days ago. Stable in good form. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Not taken lightly. Handicap winner over 1m4f in May, consistent in Group/Listed races at up to 1m6f since. |
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7th (6) (12/1 +0%) Thanks Monica |
12/1(+0%) | (6) Thanks Monica 12/1, Useful filly. 16/1, creditable 1¼ lengths fourth of 14 to Derida in listed race at Clairefontaine (11.9f, good to soft) 45 days ago. Uphill task. Third of 15 behind Yaxeni in this race, best run this term when fourth in France on latest. |
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8th (5) (6/1 +50%) Lot Of Joy |
6/1(+50%) | (5) Lot Of Joy 6/1, Useful jumps winner. Useful mare. Useful winner at 16f over hurdles. Eighth of 20 in handicap hurdle (15/2) at this course (16f, good) 39 days ago. Down in trip. Looks competitive on form. Useful and versatile mare, would get 10lb from stablemate Echoes in Rain in a handicap. |
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9th (4) (16/1 +43%) Irish Lullaby |
16/1(+43%) | (4) Irish Lullaby 16/1, Useful filly. C&D winner. 17/1, respectable 3½ lengths sixth of 14 to Derida in listed race at Clairefontaine (11.9f, good to soft) 45 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Listed second over 1m4f at Cork in April, has failed to make progress since, cheekpieces. |
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10th (9) (80/1 -100%) High Chieftess |
80/1(-100%) | (9) High Chieftess 80/1, Lightly-raced winner. 1 win from 3 runs this year. 16 lengths last of 11 to Shamida in Stanerra Stakes at Leopardstown (14f, good, 50/1) 61 days ago. Yard in good form. Uphill task. Failed to stay in 1m6f Listed race at Leopardstown two months ago, maiden winner over 1m2f. |
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|DQ| (1) (8/1 -14%) Final Gesture |
8/1(-14%) | (1) Final Gesture 8/1, Useful filly. Winner at Gowran in May. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, 5½ lengths fourth of 6 to Term of Endearment in Give Thanks Stakes at Cork (12f, heavy, 9/2) 25 days ago. 1m6f winner at Gowran in May; questions to answer after two lesser displays over 1m4f. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
ECHOES IN RAIN won the amateur handicap at this course in 2022 and drops in grade having been well held in the Ascot Gold Cup in June. A smart middle-distance hurdler, she could well be better suited by dropping to this type of flat middle-distance, given she is such a keen-goer. Azazat has smart recent form, is ground-versatile and should compete, despite running in first-time cheekpieces. She holds maiden Thunder Roll (by 1.75 lengths) and Final Gesture (11 lengths) on Cork form in June. In-form Amusement is ground-versatile and should get involved but also runs in first-time cheekpieces. Lot Of Joy has run three times at this course without winning and drops in distance.
The drop back in trip shouldn't hinder ECHOES IN RAIN at this level and she can resume winning ways. Her stablemate Lot of Joy is a potential threat, while Amusement looks the pick of the 3-y-os.
Older runners have tended to do better than the Classic crop in this race in recent years but AZAZAT has strong prospects nonetheless
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (4/1 +11%) Imperial Data |
4/1(+11%) | (4) Imperial Data 4/1, Irish point who has been runner-up on all 3 outings over hurdles, although he was beaten 39 lengths on 3m Southwell handicap debut 49 days ago. Tongue strap worn on that occasion discarded. Irish point winner; second in all three hurdling starts and a likely contender again here. |
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2nd (6) (1.38/1 +31%) Jumping Susie |
1.38/1(+31%) | (6) Jumping Susie 1.38/1, Not at best when fifth in a Cartmel handicap last time but the one to beat if bouncing back to the form she showed when runner-up in a pair of maiden hurdles in Ireland in July. John McConnell has a 2-6 record with his runners here. Not at best in a recent handicap but her two maiden seconds in July give her strong claims. |
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3rd (5) (2.5/1 +29%) Jem In Em |
2.5/1(+29%) | (5) Jem In Em 2.5/1, Bumper winner who was placed twice in maiden hurdles last winter. Likely to be thereabouts if ready to roll after 139 days off. Bumper winner who made the frame in hurdles over 2m and 3m during the winter; in the mix. |
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4th (1) (12/1 -50%) Ballyquin Bay |
12/1(-50%) | (1) Ballyquin Bay 12/1, Fair maiden hurdler for Gordon Elliott who was a below-form fourth on his Cartmel stable debut at the end of June. First outing for 74 days. Showed some fair form for Gordon Elliott but stable debut in June was underwhelming. |
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5th (8) (50/1 -52%) Noble Annys |
50/1(-52%) | (8) Noble Annys 50/1, Modest form at best in bumpers. Well held on Down Royal hurdle debut in June and needs to have been transformed by a change of stable. Showed some ability in Irish bumpers but was well beaten on hurdling debut. |
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6th (7) (125/1 -25%) Le Fou's Keep |
125/1(-25%) | (7) Le Fou's Keep 125/1, Offered little for Shay Slevin in Ireland and similar story in 2 outings for this yard last November. Has had wind surgery. Struggled on both starts for this stable in November and now 0-14 overall. |
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|F| (3) (8/1 -45%) Here Comes Georgie |
8/1(-45%) | (3) Here Comes Georgie 8/1, Has shown ability in a bumper and maiden hurdle. Will need to raise his game a little to get heavily involved but his lightly-raced profile provides the hope for better. Made quite promising hurdle debut over 2m last month; quickly upped in trip here. |
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|PU| (2) (18/1 -50%) C The Bunny Run |
18/1(-50%) | (2) C The Bunny Run 18/1, Dylan Thomas gelding. Dam unraced. Jem In Em possibly the stable first string but the betting will provide more clues. Dam half-sister to 2 winning jumpers; wouldn't need to be anything special to be involved. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
This can go the way of Irish raider JUMPING SUSIE, who may have disappointed on her latest start at Cartmel but is better judged on her two starts previous to that when second. The five-year-old gets the vote ahead of the likes of Here Comes Georgie and Imperial Data, who has shown more than enough in his career so far to suggest that he can score in this company.
John McConnell does very well with his runners in Britain and this looks a good opportunity for JUMPING SUSIE to get off the mark. The reappearing Jem In Em might be the one to follow her home.
John McConnell's JUMPING SUSIE (nap) has solid claims on these terms if judged on her second to a next-time-out winner at Killarney.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (7/1 -40%) Punk Poet |
7/1(-40%) | (8) Punk Poet 7/1, Latest win at Dundalk in August. Sixteenth of 17 in handicap at Navan (8f, good to soft, 15/2) 12 days ago, folding. Won on the AW before well behind at Navan; not the easiest to predict. |
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2nd (9) (3.2/1 +47%) Barbapapa |
3.2/1(+47%) | (9) Barbapapa 3.2/1, Didn't need to improve to win 15-runner handicap (15/2) at Leopardstown (7.2f, good) 26 days ago, just holding on. Not taken lightly from 4 lb higher. 1m Dundalk winner who doubled his tally in a 7f Leopardstown handicap last month. |
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3rd (1) (1.25/1 +55%) Hightimeyouwon |
1.25/1(+55%) | (1) Hightimeyouwon 1.25/1, Three wins from 11 runs this year. 7/1, won 11-runner handicap at Leopardstown (7f, good) 19 days ago, suited by way race developed. Knows how to win, including off this mark last time out; usually wears headgear. |
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4th (7) (12/1 -71%) Benavente |
12/1(-71%) | (7) Benavente 12/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. Respectable second of 11 in claimer at Dundalk (7f, 2/1) 62 days ago, conceding first run. First run for yard after leaving Richard John O'Brien. Looked unlucky in a 1m handicap at Leopardstown before finishing second in a 7f AW claimer. |
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5th (2) (22/1 -214%) Set Point |
22/1(-214%) | (2) Set Point 22/1, Creditable fifth of 10 in handicap hurdle at Killarney (17f, soft, 14/1) 18 days ago. Significantly down in trip. Fairly useful on the Flat, creditable effort on last Flat outing. Useful hurdler who has mostly been running well this year; has decent Flat form. |
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6th (4) (50/1 -52%) Invincible Larne |
50/1(-52%) | (4) Invincible Larne 50/1, Unreliable sort. 40/1, 9 lengths last of 11 to Hightimeyouwon in handicap at Leopardstown (7f, good) 19 days ago, missing break. Excellent stable debut when second at Leopardstown (7f) but regressed since then. |
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7th (6) (14/1 -40%) Tai Sing Yeh |
14/1(-40%) | (6) Tai Sing Yeh 14/1, 3 wins from 19 runs this year. Latest win at Naas in July. Second of 12 in claimer (11/1) at Leopardstown (7.2f, good) 26 days ago. Has good chance on form from this mark. Multiple winner who goes well at Dundalk and latest effort (2nd) was positive. |
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8th (3) (10/1 +29%) Eastern Wind |
10/1(+29%) | (3) Eastern Wind 10/1, Latest win at Leopardstown in July. Bit below form tenth of 17 in handicap (9/2) at Navan (8f, good to soft) 12 days ago, slowly away. Saves best for Leopardstown and is usually opposable elsewhere. |
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9th (5) (16/1 -78%) Royal Pippen |
16/1(-78%) | (5) Royal Pippen 16/1, Good third of 17 in handicap (11/1) at Navan (8f, good to soft) 12 days ago. Looks competitive on form if coping with this surface. Not that consistent but he was bang there in a big field at Navan (1m) 12 days ago. |
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10th (10) (25/1 -108%) Stormie Outlook |
25/1(-108%) | (10) Stormie Outlook 25/1, 25/1, respectable fourth of 13 in handicap at Clonmel (9.6f, good) 5 days ago. Down in trip. Maiden but capable; unraced on sand or AW so these conditions are a grey area. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Adrian McGuinness and Patrick Mullins teamed up to win this race last year and could repeat the feat with HIGHTIMEYOUWON. This seven-year-old gelding just shaded a handicap at Leopardstown by a short head last month and goes to war off the same mark of 80. This is a competitive race and Barbapapa brings plenty to it as he was another winner at Leopardstown in August. Jockey John Gleeson's 5lb claim is a bonus. Set Point has been keeping good company over flights and was runner-up in a valuable contest at Bellewstown in July. He should be competitive here. Royal Pippen and Punk Poet are both in contention for prize money.
The handicapper has been quick to relent regarding TAI SING YEH and given his AW record, hopes are high on this surface. Barbapapa is a low-mileage 4-y-o going the right way so he's a threat, along with Hightimeyouwon.
A few with chances. BARBAPAPA benefited from an enterprising ride last time but could still follow up off what remains a good mark.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Elsa's Pride |
(10) (5/1 +17%)5/1(+17%) | (10) Elsa's Pride 5/1, Lightly-raced winner. 25/1, career best when winning 17-runner handicap at Cork (12f, good to soft) 13 days ago, slowly away. Remains unexposed. Improved on previous efforts when winning a Cork handicap over this trip last time; player. |
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1st (8) (14/1 -40%) Golden Sandbanks |
14/1(-40%) | (8) Golden Sandbanks 14/1, Respectable fourth of 9 in handicap chase at Downpatrick (17.8f, good, 10/3) 15 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Fair on the Flat, creditable on last Flat outing. Looks competitive on form. Off the mark on the Flat at Dundalk last November; in decent form over jumps lately. |
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2nd (4) (3/1 -9%) Kermiya |
3/1(-9%) | (4) Kermiya 3/1, Promising type. Excellent third of 13 in handicap at Navan (14f, good to soft, 7/1) 12 days ago, nearest finish. Stable in good form. Big player. Fine effort over 1m6f at Navan last time; drop to this trip isn't sure to suit. |
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3rd (7) (5.5/1 +50%) Rodney Bay |
5.5/1(+50%) | (7) Rodney Bay 5.5/1, 40/1, good fifth of 12 in maiden at Gowran (14f, good) 6 days ago. Can improve from his Gowran maiden run last time and be involved. |
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4th (5) (16/1 +0%) Little Jo |
16/1(+0%) | (5) Little Jo 16/1, Creditable sixth of 18 in handicap (12/1) at Navan (10f, good to soft) 10 days ago. Up in trip. Not at best early on for this yard but more encouraging the last twice; unproven over trip. |
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5th (9) (6.5/1 +54%) Glyde Ranger |
6.5/1(+54%) | (9) Glyde Ranger 6.5/1, Winner at Sligo in August. 9/2, respectable seventh of 13 in handicap at Navan (14f, good to soft) 12 days ago. Sligo winner on soft ran well at Navan since; dropped 2lb and should be involved. |
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6th (1) (4/1 +43%) Evans Secret |
4/1(+43%) | (1) Evans Secret 4/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 40/1, creditable fifth of 18 in handicap at this course (12f, good to soft) 40 days ago, faring best of those held up. Ran well over C&D on handicap debut last month; dropped 1lb and should be involved. |
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7th (2) (3.5/1 +42%) Chatterbox |
3.5/1(+42%) | (2) Chatterbox 3.5/1, 5/1, creditable second of 9 in handicap at Killarney (14.2f, good) 19 days ago. Can make presence felt. Cracking run over 1m6f at Killarney last time, just denied; same mark today and go close. |
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8th (11) (9/1 +73%) War Thunder |
9/1(+73%) | (11) War Thunder 9/1, Creditable 7 lengths tenth of 17 to Elsa's Pride in handicap (50/1) at Cork (12f, good to soft) 13 days ago. Not easy to make a case for. Dropped in the handicap after recent efforts but still needs to do much more. |
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9th (12) (125/1 -25%) Stabila |
125/1(-25%) | (12) Stabila 125/1, Tongue strap on for 1st time cheekpieces on for 1st time, fourteenth of 15 in handicap at Thurles (12.5f, soft, 80/1). Off 11 months. Yet to finish in the first three on the Flat and over hurdles; not easy to fancy. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
The well-bred EVANS SECRET ran well on handicap debut over course-and-distance last month. A 45,000gns yearling and out of a winning half-sister to Group 1 winner Mukhadram, he stayed on well from off the pace in August, is suited by easy ground and is open to plenty progression. Kermiya also ran well on handicap debut recently, finishing ahead of Glyde Ranger. Aga-Khan owned-and-bred, she finished well at Navan and while she drops in distance, has proven form on easy ground and should benefit from that handicap-debut. Chatterbox also ran well over this distance at Killarney. She should again compete from her rating but is vulnerable to unexposed types, being a 10-race maiden. Elsa's Pride won on handicap debut at Cork and while softening ground could be a concern, is open to more progression.
KERMIYA showed much-improved form when a length third on her handicap bow at Navan 12 days ago and makes plenty of appeal off the same mark with further progress on the cards. Chatterbox was only just denied off this mark at Killarney last time and is next best ahead of the versatile Golden Sandbanks.
Having been chinned on the line at Killarney last time, CHATTERBOX(nap) should be able to go one better off the same mark.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (9/1 +36%) Darkest Day |
9/1(+36%) | (7) Darkest Day 9/1, Scored at Wetherby in March and runner-up at Perth on next 2 starts. Form has dipped since but mark is on the slide as a result and he'd be in with a shout if able to get back on track here. Struck form in the spring but hasn't really fired on his more recent outings. |
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2nd (3) (2.5/1 +38%) Call Me Harry |
2.5/1(+38%) | (3) Call Me Harry 2.5/1, Looked a fair operator in bumpers (dual winner) but bled on his first 3 starts over hurdles. Better signs in a couple of maidens at Perth since returning from a break/wind op, though, and he needs a second look on this handicap debut. Dual bumper winner; shaped with promise in two Perth maidens last month; handicap debut. |
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3rd (4) (1.25/1 +34%) I Am Spider Man |
1.25/1(+34%) | (4) I Am Spider Man 1.25/1, Bagged a Sedgefield handicap for previous connections in October. More miss than hit since (no show tried over fences last time) but he was runner-up on latest start in this sphere at Tramore and a reproduction of that effort would give him a fighting chance. Flopped badly on recent chase debut but has claims if judged on earlier hurdling form. |
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4th (2) (5.5/1 +54%) Balkalin |
5.5/1(+54%) | (2) Balkalin 5.5/1, Veteran who built on encouraging reappearance third at Hexham in April and scored over this C&D the following month. However, he remains 3 lb above that winning mark despite offering little in 4 subsequent starts. C&D winner in May but not much has gone to plan since; comes with risk. |
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5th (6) (40/1 -233%) Ayr Of Elegance |
40/1(-233%) | (6) Ayr Of Elegance 40/1, Capitalised on a falling mark when winning 4-runner handicap at Newton Abbot (18.5f, good to firm) in June. She's not the easiest to catch right, though, and has performed poorly in 2 subsequent outings at Stratford. Two poor performances have followed her small-field win in June; hard to predict. |
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6th (1) (7.5/1 +46%) Rowdy Rustler |
7.5/1(+46%) | (1) Rowdy Rustler 7.5/1, Newcastle maiden hurdle winner last February and promising second on his chase debut at the same course in November. However, it's been pretty much downhill all the way since, including back in this sphere last time, and hopes pinned on first-time cheekpieces sparking a revival. Out of form in the spring but might have been refreshed by a break; cheekpieces added. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
A taking winner on his latest start in the UK, I AM SPIDER MAN looks to have been found another ideal opportunity. The form of his penultimate second at Tramore should be strong enough to land this contest, with the consistent veteran Jimmy Rabbitte looking best placed to chase him home. Call Me Harry is interesting on his handicap debut and could be off a workable mark.
JIMMY RABBITTE is taken to deservedly bring the curtain down on a long losing run. The 10-y-o returned to form when going close over this C&D in May and has remained in good form since, leaving the strong impression that a belated return to the winner's enclosure is near. There could be better to come from Call Me Harry now switched to handicap company and he is second choice ahead of I Am Spider Man and Darkest Day.
If all goes well today, dual bumper winner CALL ME HARRY is open to significant improvement on this handicap debut.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (1/1 -10%) Vega Magnifico |
1/1(-10%) | (4) Vega Magnifico 1/1, Useful gelding. Twentieth of 22 in handicap (33/1) at the Curragh (8f, good) 17 days ago. Huge chance on these terms. Listed placed and with that form he's the highest rated in this field by some way. |
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2nd (6) (10/1 +70%) Indulging |
10/1(+70%) | (6) Indulging 10/1, Fair gelding. Fourth of 7 in maiden at Clonmel (9.6f, good, 25/1) 5 days ago. Down in trip and will need to find a chunk of improvement from somewhere if he's to take this. Longstanding maiden and another in here for whom 7f looks far too sharp a distance. |
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3rd (5) (66/1 -100%) Mater Matuta |
66/1(-100%) | (5) Mater Matuta 66/1, Modest mare. Thirteen runs since last win in 2019. 9/2, respectable fourth of 13 in handicap hurdle at Bellewstown (17.2f, good) 13 days ago, doing too much too soon. Significantly down in trip and hard to fancy on these terms. Flat/hurdle/chase winner; not having bad year under either code but these terms are tough. |
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4th (3) (20/1 +9%) Lockdown |
20/1(+9%) | (3) Lockdown 20/1, Fair gelding. 50/1, fifteenth of 17 in handicap at the Curragh (6f, good) 17 days ago. Mountain to climb on these terms. AW winner in Britain; unlikely to be doubling his tally at these weights. |
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5th (1) (1.25/1 +23%) Arniemac |
1.25/1(+23%) | (1) Arniemac 1.25/1, Promising type. 1 win from 2 runs this year. Won 11-runner maiden (4/1) at Killarney (8.1f, good to soft) when last seen in May, suited by increase in trip. Should cope with drop to 7f and she remains open to improvement. Yard also saddles Vega Magnifico. Never in much doubt when impressively off the mark in a 1m maiden at Killarney in May. |
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6th (2) (20/1 -186%) Herculaneum |
20/1(-186%) | (2) Herculaneum 20/1, Fairly useful gelding. Winner at Down Royal in July. Respectable sixth of 13 in handicap at Bellewstown (17f, good, 15/2) 14 days ago. Significantly down in trip. Running well and looks worthy of his mark, but the sharp drop in distance is a worry. |
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7th (7) (100/1 +20%) Knock Flyer |
100/1(+20%) | (7) Knock Flyer 100/1, Modest gelding. 250/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time in this code, fifteenth of 16 in novice hurdle at Punchestown (15.8f, good to soft) 112 days ago. Plenty to find on form. Limited maiden who has been tailed off over hurdles this year. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Joseph O'Brien holds a very strong hand with VEGA MAGNIFICO and Arniemac. The former is comfortably the highest rated in the field with a mark of 98 and should relish this marked drop in class. He wasn't a factor in the Irish Cambridgeshire at the Curragh or in a Listed race at Roscommon, however, just three runs back he finished a close third in Listed class at Leopardstown. Arniemac was last seen decisively winning a maiden at Killarney in May. Winners have come out of that race and he ought to go well in this company. Herculaneum is rated 1lb inferior to Arniemac on a mark of 82 and was a comprehensive winner of a staying handicap at Down Royal in July. This trip is sharp for him, but he is well ahead of the remainder on official ratings.
On the face of it, ARNIEMAC faces a stiff task against stablemate Vega Magnifico, given that he would be meeting that rival on 15 lb better terms if this were a handicap. Conversely, the son of Fascinating Rock looked good when winning a Killarney maiden on his latest start and, with just three starts under his belt, he is armed with potential. The Joseph O'Brien-trained duo look set to fight out the finish, with Herculaneum expected to claim minor place money.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (6/1 +33%) Erato |
6/1(+33%) | (7) Erato 6/1, Twice-raced filly. Blinkered for 1st time, sixth of 12 in maiden (7/1) at Bellewstown (12.1f, good) 14 days ago. Has 4l to make up on Deadly Nightshade from Bellewstown run last time. |
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2nd (4) (0.4/1 +84%) Deadly Nightshade |
0.4/1(+84%) | (4) Deadly Nightshade 0.4/1, Promising sort. Third of 12 in maiden (7/2) at Bellewstown (12.1f, good) 14 days ago, never nearer. Should progress again and big shout. Solid 3rd at Bellewstown, still looking like a work in progress; be closely involved. |
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3rd (5) (12/1 +64%) Diyaba |
12/1(+64%) | (5) Diyaba 12/1, Twice-raced filly. Eighth of 12 in maiden at Bellewstown (12.1f, good, 33/1) 14 days ago, slowly away. Has 5.5l to make up on Deadly Nightshade from Bellewstown run. |
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4th (10) (18/1 +45%) Teorema |
18/1(+45%) | (10) Teorema 18/1, Once-raced filly. 25/1, twelfth of 17 in maiden at the Curragh (10f, good) on debut 74 days ago. Up in trip. Soundly beaten in a Curragh maiden on debut in June; has to improve plenty. |
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5th (2) (14/1 +0%) Spring Wind |
14/1(+0%) | (2) Spring Wind 14/1, Twice-raced filly. Third of 14 in maiden at Killarney (14.1f, good to soft, 125/1) 56 days ago. Was 3rd in a Killarney maiden over 1m6f; shouldn't be inconvenienced by the drop in trip. |
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6th (1) (9/1 -13%) Lakewood |
9/1(-13%) | (1) Lakewood 9/1, Fair filly. 11/1, bit below form eighth of 15 in maiden at the Curragh (10f, good) 30 days ago, hampered. Back up in trip. Trainer going well. Blinkers on 1st time. Should have improved from her recent seasonal debut and blinkers replace a visor. |
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7th (9) (100/1 -100%) Reel Her In |
100/1(-100%) | (9) Reel Her In 100/1, Making GB/IRE Flat debut. 80/1, tenth of 13 in juvenile hurdle at Killarney (17f, soft) 18 days ago. Little promise in three juvenile hurdles and can't make a case for on Flat debut. |
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8th (6) (50/1 +24%) Ena's Choice |
50/1(+24%) | (6) Ena's Choice 50/1, Twice-raced filly. Eleventh of 17 in maiden (33/1) at the Curragh (10f, good) 74 days ago. Up in trip. Some promise on Gowran debut but was below that level at the Curragh. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
DEADLY NIGHTSHADE put in plenty of good late work to finish third at Bellewstown. The stiff finish in Galway should suit her well based on that performance. She looks to be going the right way and holds Erato (sixth) and Diyaba (eighth) on that run. Dermot Weld's Azmaniya has to rate a danger on debut. This Deep Impact filly out of a Galileo mare catches the eye on paper and wouldn't need to be a star to be heavily involved here. New Phenomenon is up in trip and gets first-time cheekpieces. She posted a runner-up berth over an extended 1m1f at Gowran Park in June. Spring Wind ran well in third in a qualified riders' maiden at Killarney and won't be anywhere near 125/1 this time.
DEADLY NIGHTSHADE stepped up on debut when a never-nearer third in a maiden at Bellewstown 2 weeks ago and can put her experience to good use up against well-connected newcomer Azmaniya. New Phenomenon is another to consider.
With further progression likely from DEADLY NIGHTSHADE, she can uphold the last time out Bellewstown form with Erato and Diyaba
Ths is the racecard key.
Icon | Meaning |
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TomForm top stats, gold rated | |
TomForm top stats silver rated | |
Ran similar race before | |
S | TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out |
T | Top Time speeed rated |
Top Racingpost rated | |
At the races watchout for | |
At the races top pick | |
Top rated for thet statistic |
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
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