There were 33 Races on Wednesday 3rd July 2024 across 5 meetings. There was 8 races at Thirsk, 6 races at Musselburgh, 6 races at Bath, 7 races at Tipperary, 6 races at Epsom, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (40/1 +0%) Alpha Magic |
40/1(+0%) | (5) Alpha Magic 40/1, Foaled March 28. Ardad gelding. Half-brother to 1m-1½m winner Where's Jeff. Dam unraced. Ardad half-brother to connections' prolific 1m-1m4f winner Where's Jeff. |
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2nd (1) (6/4 -50%) American Style |
6/4(-50%) | (1) American Style 6/4, £22,000 yearling, Washington DC colt. Dam 7f/1m winner. Stepped up on debut when promising second of 14 in maiden (40/1) at Leicester (6f, good) 29 days ago, finishing well. Sets a solid standard. Good effort at Leicester last time, beaten only a head by the subsequent Chesham runner-up. |
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3rd (11) (13/2 -86%) Bella Love |
13/2(-86%) | (11) Bella Love 13/2, 35,000 gns yearling, Kodiac filly. Sister to 5f/6f winner Yaahobby and half-sister to Australian 1¼m winner Aussie Nation. Dam 2-y-o 6f/7f winner. 16/1, second of 9 in maiden at Wetherby (5.5f, good to soft) on debut 22 days ago, no extra only late on. Should progress. Promising second in Wetherby maiden, faring best of the newcomers; major player. |
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4th (8) (10/1 -25%) Stirrup Cup |
10/1(-25%) | (8) Stirrup Cup 10/1, 1,000 gns foal, Washington Dc colt. Half-brother to winner abroad by Aclaim. Much better effort when second of 9 in maiden at Carlisle (5.8f, soft, 12/1) 16 days ago, running on. Clear second at Carlisle last time, doing enough to suggest he can win an ordinary race. |
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5th (10) (200/1 -100%) Vesperado |
200/1(-100%) | (10) Vesperado 200/1, 4,000 gns yearling, Oasis Dream gelding. Brother to 2-y-o 5f winner Fragrance and half-brother to 7f winner Smart Vision. Thirteenth of 15 in novice event at Haydock (6f, good, 250/1) on debut 27 days ago. Well down the field in 6f contest at Haydock. |
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6th (6) (80/1 -700%) Cugini |
80/1(-700%) | (6) Cugini 80/1, Twice-raced maiden. Much better effort when second of 5 in novice at Carlisle (5.8f, good to firm, 125/1) 7 days ago. Second in small field at Carlisle last week; likely needs more progress to go one better. |
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7th (14) (80/1 -300%) Martha Costello |
80/1(-300%) | (14) Martha Costello 80/1, Foaled April 14. €10,000 yearling, Inns of Court filly. Half-sister to winner abroad by Zoffany. Dam, lightly raced, half-sister to smart French winner up to 9.5f Meteoric. 10,000euros yearling; by Inns Of Court; one of four newcomers in the field. |
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8th (3) (100/1 -733%) Ay Gee Ell |
100/1(-733%) | (3) Ay Gee Ell 100/1, Foaled April 13. €26,000 foal, €34,000 yearling, Sands of Mali colt. Half-brother to 2-y-o 6f winner Nifaliophobia. Dam lightly-raced half-sister to useful winner up to 9f Highbrow out of half-sister to Irish 2000 Guineas winner Power. Newcomer to note. 34,000euros yearling; Sands Of Mali half-brother to a 6f 2yo winner; check the betting. |
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9th (7) (100/1 -150%) Missionary Ridge |
100/1(-150%) | (7) Missionary Ridge 100/1, £13,000 yearling, James Garfield colt. Brother to 2-y-o 7f/1m winner Likeashadow and half-brother to 2-y-o 7f winner Roman Hands. 18/1, seventh of 9 in maiden at Carlisle (5.8f, soft) on debut 16 days ago, slowly away. Finished almost 8l behind stablemate Stirrup Cup at Carlisle. |
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10th (13) (100/1 -900%) Mecca's Symphony |
100/1(-900%) | (13) Mecca's Symphony 100/1, 20,000 gns foal, 37,000 gns yearling, Sergei Prokofiev filly. Half-sister to 7f/1m winner Cousin Shay. Dam winner up to 1m (2-y-o 6f winner). 7/1, fifth of 9 in maiden at Carlisle (5.8f, good) on debut 23 days ago. Open to improvement. Showed promise with her keeping-on fifth at Carlisle having attracted some support. |
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11th (9) (100/1 -100%) Toby Two Scoops |
100/1(-100%) | (9) Toby Two Scoops 100/1, Foaled March 10. 9,000 gns foal, Expert Eye colt. Half-brother to 1¼m winner Marie Josephe. Dam, maiden (stayed 1¾m), half-sister to useful 9.5f winner Queen of Naples out of useful half-sister to Derby winner Oath. 9,000gns foal; by Expert Eye; yard is 0-37 with 2yos in last five seasons. |
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12th (4) (250/1 -525%) Crimson Lad |
250/1(-525%) | (4) Crimson Lad 250/1, Twice-raced maiden. 14/1, seventh of 10 in maiden at Wetherby (5.5f, good to soft) 22 days ago. Poor claims on his two efforts. |
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13th (12) (80/1 -344%) Mavetheforcebewivu |
80/1(-344%) | (12) Mavetheforcebewivu 80/1, Land Force filly. Dam maiden (stayed 6f) sister to useful winner up to 7f Roundhay Park. 25/1, sixth of 10 in maiden at Wetherby (5.5f, good to soft) on debut 22 days ago. Achieved a lot less than Bella Love at Wetherby 22 days ago but may improve. |
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14th (2) (100/1 -525%) An Realta Carraig |
100/1(-525%) | (2) An Realta Carraig 100/1, Twice-raced maiden. 8/1, ninth of 10 in novice event at Ripon (6f, good) 13 days ago. Folded tamely at Ripon, failing to back up his Wetherby effort. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
The twice-raced AMERICAN STYLE, who was only a head behind subsequent Chesham Stakes runner-up Pentle Bay in a maiden at Leicester 29 days ago, appeals strongly given how well the form is panning out. That run was a marked improvement from the selection's debut in a warm novice at York and further progress can see him get off the mark here. Cugini and Bella Love are other promising types to consider, while support in the betting for Richard Fahey's newcomer, Ay Gee Ell, would also be noteworthy.
AMERICAN STYLE left his debut well behind when going close in a decent maiden at Leicester 3 weeks ago and can go one better at the main expense of Bella Love, who made a promising start when runner-up at Wetherby. Ay Gee Ell is a newcomer to note.
The form pick is AMERICAN STYLE whose Leicester effort has substance. Stirrup Cup, a similar type, is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (9/1 -125%) Harswell Dandy |
9/1(-125%) | (4) Harswell Dandy 9/1, Lightly-raced filly. Fair third of 5 in seller at this C&D (good to firm, 10/1) 20 days ago. Not ruled out. Front-runner who was tasting defeat for a fifth time when third in a five-runner seller. |
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2nd (3) (5/1 -43%) Horus |
5/1(-43%) | (3) Horus 5/1, 20/1, last of 5 in minor event at Beverley (5f, good to firm) on debut 25 days ago. Open to improvement. Last of five but showed ability at Beverley behind a subsequent Royal Ascot winner. |
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3rd (2) (8/13 +23%) Colocolo |
8/13(+23%) | (2) Colocolo 8/13, Twice-raced colt, very good second of 12 in maiden (10/1) at Windsor (5.1f, good to firm) 16 days ago. Sets a good standard. Showed good speed at Windsor before going down narrowly to win one with potential. |
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4th (1) (6/1 +0%) A Fine Claret |
6/1(+0%) | (1) A Fine Claret 6/1, 7/2, last of 9 in maiden at Carlisle (5.8f, soft) on debut 16 days ago. Visored for 1st time. Always behind on debut after starting slowly but appeared fancied; now visored. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
COLOCOLO showed marked improvement from first to second start when runner-up at Windsor last month and as long as he manages to settle better, the son of Mohaather must hold every chance of breaking his maiden tag. Horus may have only managed fifth (and last) on his debut at Beverley but that was behind the subsequent Norfolk winner, while Harswell Dandy may have her consistency rewarded at some point, having not been outside the first three in five starts to date.
COLOCOLO holds much the best form on show so is taken to go one better than his recent Windsor second and get off the mark. Harswell Dandy and Horus can chase home Kevin Philippart de Foy's colt in that order.
The vote goes to COLOCOLO on the strength of his Windsor effort. Horus should build on his Beverley effort when highly tried.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Nancy P |
(4) (8/1 -220%)8/1(-220%) | (4) Nancy P 8/1, Career best when winning 8-runner handicap at Lingfield (1½m, AW, 10/1) 23 days ago. Should stay this far and a 5 lb rise looks workable. Won going away at Lingfield (1m4f, AW) last month; may have more to offer. |
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1st (1) (1/2 +75%) The Crafty Mole |
1/2(+75%) | (1) The Crafty Mole 1/2, Took his record in 1¾m handicaps to 3-3 when comfortably seeing off 7 rivals at Yarmouth last Friday. Should go well under a 6 lb penalty. Progressive sort who commands respect under a penalty for Yarmouth win; 3-3 over 1m6f. |
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2nd (3) (12/1 -336%) Believitanducan |
12/1(-336%) | (3) Believitanducan 12/1, Behind The Crafty Mole when placing in handicaps over this trip at Wetherby and Redcar in the spring. Ought to be competitive. Only 1l behind The Crafty Mole at Redcar last time; much better off with that rival. |
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3rd (7) (50/1 -400%) Elforleather |
50/1(-400%) | (7) Elforleather 50/1, Winner at Brighton in April but the handicapper has looked in charge twice since. Tackles 1¾m for the first time now. Has regressed in two starts since 1m2f win at Brighton. |
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4th (5) (100/1 -525%) Sovereignlightcafe |
100/1(-525%) | (5) Sovereignlightcafe 100/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Eighth of 9 in maiden (50/1) at this course (1m, good to firm) 26 days ago. Steps up significantly in trip for his handicap debut. Worth a look in the betting. Open to improvement upped in distance on handicap debut; interesting. |
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5th (6) (100/1 -400%) Greenlightforgo |
100/1(-400%) | (6) Greenlightforgo 100/1, Still looked in need of the experience when fifth of 6 on 1½m Ripon handicap debut 13 days ago. Not particularly solid on his middle-distance form. |
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6th (2) (100/1 -900%) Shadowofyoursmile |
100/1(-900%) | (2) Shadowofyoursmile 100/1, From a good family but little better than modest form to date, finishing a well-held third on his 1¾m Redcar handicap debut 5 weeks ago. Early days but he needs improvement. Related to a few winners for her owner and remains open to progress; not ruled out. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
The Crafty Mole, who had a 3lb claimer in the saddle when he overhauled BELIEVITANDUCAN near the finish to score at both Wetherby and Redcar earlier in the campaign, commands respect. However, the latter has done little wrong and can take advantage of his old adversary carrying a 6lb penalty for last week's Yarmouth win. Shadowofyoursmile also enters calculations as a lightly raced and improving stayer, whereas the betting can guide with Lingfield winner Nancy P, who steps up a couple of furlongs off 5lb higher.
THE CRAFTY MOLE ran out a convincing winner at Yarmouth last week and might be able to extend his winning sequence in 1¾m handicaps to 4. Last month's Lingfield scorer Nancy P is feared most ahead of Believeitanducan, who has been placed behind the selection on his 2 outings this season and meets him on better terms this time.
Believitanducan is weighted to reverse placings with THE CRAFTY MOLE but the latter is progressive and could well win again.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (7/4 +30%) Escarpment |
7/4(+30%) | (1) Escarpment 7/4, 11/1, good second of 8 in handicap at Beverley (12.1f, good to firm) 8 days ago, clear of rest. Merits consideration. Yet to win (0-15); runner-up at Beverley last week; obvious chance from a 1lb lower mark.. |
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2nd (5) (12/1 -243%) Crystal Guard |
12/1(-243%) | (5) Crystal Guard 12/1, Latest win at Ayr in June. Good third of 7 in handicap (6/1) at Hamilton (13.1f, good to firm) 14 days ago, faring best of those ridden prominently. Needs considering. Ayr winner (1m5f; form franked) last month; fair third at Hamilton since; possibilities.. |
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3rd (6) (25/1 -56%) Odd Venture |
25/1(-56%) | (6) Odd Venture 25/1, C&D winner. Last of 9 in handicap (22/1) at Redcar (14f, good to firm) 11 days ago. Blinkers back on with more needed. C&D winner last July; mostly poor form since.. |
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4th (2) (9/2 +25%) Peripeteia |
9/2(+25%) | (2) Peripeteia 9/2, Below form sixth of 10 in handicap (12/1) at Ripon (12f, good) 13 days ago. Can give a good account if shrugging off latest effort. More productive on AW (4-20) than on turf (1-17); faded tamely at Ripon (1m4f) latest.. |
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5th (4) (100/1 -1150%) Trailblazer |
100/1(-1150%) | (4) Trailblazer 100/1, 7/1, below form third of 6 in handicap hurdle at Sedgefield (16.8f, heavy) 113 days ago. Off 113 days. Back down in trip. Others more persuasive. 26-race maiden; placed three times over hurdles earlier this year; returning from a break.. |
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6th (8) (125/1 -279%) Star Of Markinch |
125/1(-279%) | (8) Star Of Markinch 125/1, Pulled up in handicap hurdle at Perth (16.2f, good to firm) 24 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Hood on 1st time with work to do. Longstanding maiden; struggled in three starts over hurdles this year; look elsewhere. |
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7th (7) (100/1 -300%) Our Noble Lord |
100/1(-300%) | (7) Our Noble Lord 100/1, Tongue strap on for 1st time, last of 9 in minor event at Kempton (12f, 28/1). Off 17 months. First run for yard after leaving Ali Stronge with more required. Six-race maiden; offered little for Ali Stronge; first run since Jan 2023.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Not beaten far in his attempt to land the double at Hamilton last time, CRYSTAL GUARD should have no issue with the slight drop back in trip and he looks the one to beat, with Mohammed Tabti taking off a valuable 5lb. Penelope's Sister did it well when getting on top late in the piece at Hamilton and she is likely to be thereabouts, along with recent Beverley second Escarpment.
PENELOPE'S SISTER took her form up a level when getting off the mark at Hamilton and can make light of a 5 lb penalty here. Beverley runner-up Escarpment is next on the list, with Crystal Guard also worthy of respect.
Realistically, the pair to concentrate on are Crystal Guard and ESCARPMENT (nap). The selection went close at Beverley last week.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Urban Lion |
(8) (7/1 -75%)7/1(-75%) | (8) Urban Lion 7/1, Once-raced maiden. Eighth of 14 in minor event (100/1) at Newmarket (8f, good to firm) on debut 11 days ago, never nearer. Should have more to offer. Showed some promise at Newmarket; open to improvement. |
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1st (7) (13/8 +28%) Thunder Run |
13/8(+28%) | (7) Thunder Run 13/8, Promising type. 7/2, second of 16 in minor event at Wetherby (7f, good to soft) on debut 22 days ago, caught further back than ideal. Type to improve plenty and looks a big player. Promising second at Wetherby, best of the newcomers; leading player. |
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2nd (2) (11/2 -400%) The Reverend |
11/2(-400%) | (2) The Reverend 11/2, Promising individual. 9/2, won 10-runner novice at Newmarket (7f, soft) on debut 8 months ago. Longer trip should play to his strengths and there's improvement on the cards, so he's the one to beat. Absent since debut win at Newmarket eight months ago; open to progress. |
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3rd (3) (100/1 -300%) Appeal To Glory |
100/1(-300%) | (3) Appeal To Glory 100/1, Once-raced maiden. Seventh of 11 in minor event at Kempton (7f, 16/1) on debut 42 days ago, very slowly away. Needs to improve markedly on his Kempton effort. |
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4th (1) (100/1 -300%) Beaming Light |
100/1(-300%) | (1) Beaming Light 100/1, Twice-raced maiden on Flat. Fifth of 10 in maiden at Nottingham (8.3f, good, 400/1) 20 days ago. Needs to improve again. Appeared to show improvement last time but others are more appealing. |
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5th (9) (100/1 -525%) Zous Juice |
100/1(-525%) | (9) Zous Juice 100/1, Twice-raced maiden. 25/1, fifth of 16 in minor event at Wetherby (7f, good to soft) 22 days ago. More required. Finished just over 5l behind Thunder Run at Wetherby last time. |
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6th (6) (100/1 -614%) Oligopoly |
100/1(-614%) | (6) Oligopoly 100/1, Lightly-raced maiden. First run since leaving Joseph Patrick O'Brien when below form sixth of 12 in maiden (15/2) at Ripon (6f, good) 14 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Needs to get back on track. Placed twice in Ireland; well below that form at Ripon for new yard. |
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7th (5) (250/1 -150%) Leveche |
250/1(-150%) | (5) Leveche 250/1, Once-raced maiden. Eighth of 10 in maiden at Musselburgh (8f, good to firm, 80/1) on debut 20 days ago. Slowly away and always behind in 1m maiden at Musselburgh. |
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8th (4) (100/1 -203%) Harrington |
100/1(-203%) | (4) Harrington 100/1, 9,000 gns yearling, Zoffany gelding. Half-brother to several winners, including 1¼m winner Desert Way and 1½m winner Blazing Saddles. 9,000gns yearling; by Zoffany; sole newcomer in the field. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
THE REVEREND was noted as a promising type when he made a winning debut at Newmarket in November and, assuming he handles the forecast quicker ground, this could be a profitable starting point for the son of Loupe De Vega's three-year-old season. Thunder Run also entered a few notebooks with a good second on his racecourse bow at Wetherby 22 days ago and is shortlisted with improvement highly likely. Long distance traveller Urban Lion is another keep a close eye on in the betting.
THE REVEREND created a good impression when scoring first time out at Newmarket 8 months ago and he's worth a chance to maintain his unbeaten record under a penalty. Thunder Run shaped well behind a stablemate of the selection on debut at Haydock and he's open to a good deal of improvement, so he's the obvious threat.
The strongest contenders are Newmarket winner The Reverend and Wetherby runner-up THUNDER RUN.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Concert Boy |
(8) (28/1 -27%)28/1(-27%) | (8) Concert Boy 28/1, One win from 23 Flat runs. Ninth of 10 in handicap at Carlisle (6.9f, good to soft, 12/1) 23 days ago, missing break. Has something to find. Fared okay (third) in first-time blinkers at Nottingham; slowly away at Carlisle since.. |
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1st (11) (8/1 +0%) Code Purple |
8/1(+0%) | (11) Code Purple 8/1, C&D winner. Ninth of 12 in handicap at Catterick (7f, soft, 16/1) 70 days ago so needs to bounce back. C&D winner; free-falling mark reflects a decline in his form.. |
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2nd (5) (15/2 -114%) Pembrokeshire |
15/2(-114%) | (5) Pembrokeshire 15/2, C&D winner. Too free when sixth of 9 in handicap (9/2) at this C&D (good to firm) 20 days ago. Not taken lightly if settling better. C&D winner (from 5lb higher) last October; recent efforts less convincing; best watched.. |
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3rd (4) (4/1 +27%) Purple Martini |
4/1(+27%) | (4) Purple Martini 4/1, C&D winner. Last of 8 in handicap at Redcar (8f, good, 11/2) 44 days ago. Handily weighted if back on song though. Runner-up to in-form Kelpie Grey (Gobi Sunset third) over C&D in May; enters calculations.. |
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4th (12) (66/1 -633%) Going Underground |
66/1(-633%) | (12) Going Underground 66/1, 14/1, won 11-runner minor event at Ayr (7.2f, good to firm) 11 days ago, helped by being held up in strongly-run race. Still in the picture though. Finished off well to score at Ayr (7f) 11 days ago; has more to do from a 7lb higher mark.. |
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5th (2) (50/1 -669%) Darbucks |
50/1(-669%) | (2) Darbucks 50/1, Nineteen runs since last win in 2022. 9/2, ninth of 10 in handicap at Chester (7.6f, good) 19 days ago. More is needed. Regularly placed; beaten by a neck, and a short-head, prior to a below-par Chester effort.. |
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6th (9) (80/1 -1043%) Urban Dandy |
80/1(-1043%) | (9) Urban Dandy 80/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2023. 3/1, respectable second of 10 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f). Off 104 days. Cheekpieces back on and not discounted. Runner-up three times this year, including twice at Southwell (7f); reasonable chance.. |
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7th (10) (100/1 -300%) Keep Me Stable |
100/1(-300%) | (10) Keep Me Stable 100/1, 28/1, seventh of 9 in handicap at this C&D (good to firm) 20 days ago. Must improve. Won twice at Newcastle last November; below that form since; 0-10 on turf.. |
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8th (1) (100/1 -1011%) Gobi Sunset |
100/1(-1011%) | (1) Gobi Sunset 100/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2023. 18/1, seventh of 8 in handicap at Carlisle (5.8f, good to firm) 44 days ago. Back up in trip. Needs a couple of these to falter. No turf win since Sept 2019; slipped to a competitive mark; stablemate of Pembrokeshire.. |
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9th (3) (80/1 -1678%) Without Delay |
80/1(-1678%) | (3) Without Delay 80/1, Course scorer. Latest win at Catterick in June. Good third of 12 in handicap at Thirsk (7f, good to firm, 5/1) 9 days ago, faring best of those ridden prominently. Player. Winning run came to an end at Thirsk (7f; third) last week; is effective at Musselburgh.. |
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10th (6) (100/1 -525%) Ignac Lamar |
100/1(-525%) | (6) Ignac Lamar 100/1, Latest win at Southwell in February. Eighth of 10 in handicap at Carlisle (5.8f, good, 33/1) 23 days ago. Back up in trip. Not easy to make a case for. Three-time 6f AW winner; yet to win on turf (0-11); failed to sparkle at Carlisle latest.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
WITHOUT DELAY is in the form of her life at present and returning to a track where she won over 1m in May can see her make it three wins in her last four starts. Tracy Waggott's charge gets the vote ahead of the returning Urban Dandy and Going Underground, who has a 7lb rise to overcome for a determined success at Ayr last month. Darbucks and Pembrokeshire are entitled to be thereabouts as well.
Not as competitive as the numbers suggest and WITHOUT DELAY is taken to quickly resume winning ways on the back of his good recent Thirsk third. Southwell second Urban Dandy is feared most now the cheekpieces go back on, with C&D winners Pembrokeshire and Purple Martini also in the mix.
The verdict goes to PURPLE MARTINI, who runs Musselburgh well and is handicapped to have a say. Second choice is Urban Dandy.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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My Honey B |
(5) (12/1 -100%)12/1(-100%) | (5) My Honey B 12/1, Easily best effort of the season when second of 9 in handicap at Chester (7.6f, good) 19 days ago, clear of rest having gone with plenty of enthusiasm. Nudged up 2 lb but she can remain competitive. All wins at about 1m; close second over 7.5f at Chester most recently; drops to bare 7f. |
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1st (8) (6/1 +20%) Langholm |
6/1(+20%) | (8) Langholm 6/1, 15/2 and cheekpieces on for first time, creditable second of 9 in handicap at this C&D (good to firm) 9 days ago, having run of race. Vulnerable to anything progressive. Ran well (neck second) over C&D last week but remains on a very long losing sequence. |
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2nd (9) (16/1 -14%) Bits And Bobs |
16/1(-14%) | (9) Bits And Bobs 16/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2023. Respectable sixth of 13 in handicap at Redcar (8f, good to firm, 16/1) 11 days ago, nearest finish. Visor on first time. 0-16 since debut win but has possibilities if taking well to new headgear. |
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3rd (6) (14/1 -460%) Savvy Warrior |
14/1(-460%) | (6) Savvy Warrior 14/1, Career best when winning 11-runner handicap (11/4) at Wetherby (7f, good to soft) 22 days ago, bit in hand. 4 lb rise won't be enough to prevent very bold follow-up bid. Suited by the drop back to 7f at Wetherby last month; may well build on that success. |
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4th (3) (25/1 -108%) Roaring Ralph |
25/1(-108%) | (3) Roaring Ralph 25/1, Easy to excuse latest effort when seventh of 9 in handicap at Chester (7.6f, good) 19 days ago, caught in a bad spot and then hampered. Eased 2 lb. Met trouble last time; has slipped to a handy mark and can't be ruled out. |
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5th (4) (100/1 -1233%) Masterclass |
100/1(-1233%) | (4) Masterclass 100/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2023. 18/1, creditable third of 9 in handicap at this C&D (good to firm) 9 days ago. That just about confirms his stamina for 7f. Best effort for new yard when close third, one place behind Langholm, over C&D last week. |
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6th (7) (14/1 -460%) Georgie Wooster |
14/1(-460%) | (7) Georgie Wooster 14/1, Promising individual. 6/1, career best when winning 10-runner handicap at Redcar (7f, good) 44 days ago, plenty in hand. Totally unexposed so he can shrug off 9 lb rise. The form of his Redcar win (handicap debut) has major substance; type to improve further. |
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7th (1) (40/1 -186%) Book Of Life |
40/1(-186%) | (1) Book Of Life 40/1, 100/1 and tongue strap on for first time, tenth of 11 in handicap at Newbury (7f, good to firm) 20 days ago. Hasn't yet come close to his French form for current yard but this is a big drop in class, at least. String of duck eggs next to his name but this drop in class may have positive effect. |
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8th (2) (80/1 -471%) Leap Day |
80/1(-471%) | (2) Leap Day 80/1, Last of 10 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, good to firm, 14/1) 4 days ago. Dips down to an easier handicap but others still more persuasive. Less reliable since returned to turf but ran respectably over C&D in May. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
GEORGIE WOOSTER went up 9lb after a smooth display on her handicap debut at Redcar in May. The form of that contest has worked out particularly well, with the runner-up winning twice along with the third and fourth, so it would be no surprise if Tim Easterby's gelding had further improvement to come. Savvy Warrior appreciated the drop back to 7f when getting off the mark at Wetherby and is a player off a 4lb higher mark. Others for the shortlist include Langholm and Masterclass.
It would be no real surprise were ready last-time-out winning 3-y-os GEORGIE WOOSTER and Savvy Warrior to dominate this, with marginal preference for the former given how strong he was at the finish at Redcar. Of the rest, Book of Life is worth a check in the betting eased markedly in class for an in-form yard.
Judged on the strength of his Redcar win, GEORGIE WOOSTER (nap) is set to follow up. Savvy Warrior is feared most.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (9/2 -50%) Jumeira Vision |
9/2(-50%) | (5) Jumeira Vision 9/2, Improved on recent efforts to win 13-runner handicap (50/1) at Redcar (8f, good to firm) 11 days ago. Remains well treated on old form if he's able to back that up. Had the run of the things at Redcar but he had dropped to a good mark; back up 3lb. |
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2nd (4) (11/4 -57%) Scarriff |
11/4(-57%) | (4) Scarriff 11/4, Course winner. Winner here in June. 5/2, respectable third of 9 in handicap at this course (7.1f, good to firm) 20 days ago. Step back up in trip should suit and she's of plenty of interest. Running well at this venue but perhaps won too well for his own good two runs back. |
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3rd (6) (14/1 -115%) Fanzone |
14/1(-115%) | (6) Fanzone 14/1, Course winner. One win from 36 Flat runs. Creditable second of 8 in handicap at Nottingham (8.3f, good, 11/4) 28 days ago. Not dismissed. Poor strike-rate of 1-36 but he's in form having made the frame the last twice. |
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4th (2) (13/2 -44%) Shine On Brendan |
13/2(-44%) | (2) Shine On Brendan 13/2, C&D winner. Good third of 7 in handicap (10/1) at Hamilton (9.2f, good to firm) 27 days ago. On a handy mark and of definite interest down in grade. Seven career wins include this race for the last two years; last run was positive. |
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5th (1) (40/1 -122%) Man Of A'an |
40/1(-122%) | (1) Man Of A'an 40/1, Hooded for 1st time, last of 4 in handicap at Ripon (9.8f, soft, 33/1) 34 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Has shown poor form in three runs for current yard; hooded last time; now in cheekpieces. |
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6th (7) (100/1 -900%) Chinese Spirit |
100/1(-900%) | (7) Chinese Spirit 100/1, C&D winner. 17/2, good third of 8 in handicap at Thirsk (8f, good to firm) 9 days ago, better placed than most. Should be on the premises again. Ran his best race for a while over Thirsk's 1m nine days ago; fair shout. |
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|PU| (3) (100/1 -1567%) Flight Of Angels |
100/1(-1567%) | (3) Flight Of Angels 100/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2023. Seventh of 8 in handicap at Leicester (10f, good, 6/1) 18 days ago. Others are more appealing. Below best this year but never lower in the weights and this is a drop in class. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
The removal of headgear appeared to work the oracle for Jumeira Vision when opening his turf account at Redcar recently. However, Katie Scott's gelding isn't certain to replicate that performance and a 3lb higher rating may find him out. With that in mind, this could prove a suitable opportunity for seven-time Flat winner SHINE ON BRENDAN to add to his tally. The Son of Society Rock arrives on the back of a close-up third at Hamilton and ticks plenty of the right boxes. Fanzone also enters calculations.
SHINE ON BRENDAN is on an appealing mark, has a solid track record, and arrives on the back of a firm step in the right direction when third at Hamilton, so he gets the nod over Scarriff, who will be a big player if she's able to lead. Fanzone isn't without hope, either.
This is open but FLIGHT OF ANGELS is down in class off a career-low mark and this could be the day she gets herself back on track.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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One More Dream |
(4) (10/1 -67%)10/1(-67%) | (4) One More Dream 10/1, 3 wins from 12 runs this year. Latest win at Southwell in March. Creditable fifth of 9 in handicap at this C&D (good to firm, 9/2) 9 days ago, never nearer. Ought to be in the shake-up. Multiple AW winner; only 1-14 on turf but ran encouragingly over C&D last week. |
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1st (8) (20/1 +0%) Petra Celera |
20/1(+0%) | (8) Petra Celera 20/1, 40/1, last of 7 in handicap at Hamilton (6f, good to firm) 31 days ago. Must improve. Two wins for previous yard; far from solid on her form for new stable. |
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2nd (1) (5/1 -50%) Patontheback |
5/1(-50%) | (1) Patontheback 5/1, 2 wins from 6 runs this year. Latest win at Musselburgh in June. Good second of 10 in handicap (8/1) at Beverley (7.4f, good to firm) 8 days ago. Can go well again. Ran well at Beverley last week when bidding for a hat-trick; remains in top form. |
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3rd (5) (33/1 -560%) Sunny Orange |
33/1(-560%) | (5) Sunny Orange 33/1, Latest win at Beverley in June. 5/2, below form fourth of 14 in handicap at Redcar (7f, good to firm) 12 days ago. Weighted to go well if back on his A-game. Interesting on his Beverley performance (emphatic success) two starts ago. |
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4th (6) (25/1 -614%) Arnaz |
25/1(-614%) | (6) Arnaz 25/1, Lightly-raced winner. Winner at Brighton in May. 7/2, creditable fifth of 10 in handicap at Haydock (7f, good) 27 days ago. In the mix. Won at Brighton on penultimate start; this 3yo may still have more to offer. |
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5th (3) (33/1 -633%) King's Crown |
33/1(-633%) | (3) King's Crown 33/1, Course winner. Creditable sixth of 10 in handicap at Chester (7.6f, good, 6/1) 19 days ago. Heading back in the right direction recently. Player. Mostly encouraging form for new yard; possibilities back at the scene of sole win. |
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6th (9) (100/1 -900%) Temper Trap |
100/1(-900%) | (9) Temper Trap 100/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2023. 9/1, ninth of 10 in handicap at Beverley (9.9f, good to soft) 15 days ago. Back down in trip. Needs a couple of these to falter. Hard to fancy on 2024 form, which is mostly poor. |
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7th (7) (100/1 -614%) East Bank |
100/1(-614%) | (7) East Bank 100/1, Latest win at Newcastle in March. 14/1, last of 11 in handicap at Chester (7.6f, good) 19 days ago. Something to find on form. Drops back in grade but his inconsistent profile is a negative. |
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8th (2) (100/1 -733%) Sir Maxi |
100/1(-733%) | (2) Sir Maxi 100/1, Last of 10 in handicap (9/1) at Leicester (7f, good) 53 days ago. Others more persuasive. Form has dipped sharply since returned to turf; others preferred. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
PATONTHEBACK's bid for a hat-trick of victories saw him go very close to doing so when finishing a half-length second at Beverley last Tuesday. The six-year-old takes advantage of the fact he can race off the same mark before being reassessed and may prove a tough nut to crack. Arnaz remains open to progression on just his sixth career outing, while Sunny Orange appears best of the remainder.
KING'S CROWN hinted at a revival when sixth at Chester last time and can build on it here from a 2 lb lower mark to resume winning ways. Patontheback brings very solid credentials to the table and is next on the list ahead of the handily-weighted Sunny Orange and in-form duo Arnaz and One More Dream.
Off a reduced mark back at the scene of his maiden win, KING'S CROWN is an interesting alternative to Patontheback.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (13/8 -63%) Knights Affair |
13/8(-63%) | (2) Knights Affair 13/8, 9/2, good second of 11 in handicap at Catterick (13.9f, good to firm) 25 days ago, slowly away. Still not fully exposed and is worth a chance to go one better. Had Lord Tarranaga behind when again placed at Catterick last month; should stay. |
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2nd (5) (28/1 -56%) Trojan Sun |
28/1(-56%) | (5) Trojan Sun 28/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 150/1, seventh of 8 in maiden at Hamilton (11.1f, good to firm) 21 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Makes handicap debut. Bred to do better. It's by no means guaranteed that he'll stay this far on handicap debut. |
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3rd (3) (9/2 -35%) Sea Master |
9/2(-35%) | (3) Sea Master 9/2, 28/1, fifth of 11 in handicap at Nottingham (14f, good) 14 days ago. Down in the weights and latest effort was more encouraging but has stamina to prove. Ran his best race for current yard when positively ridden at Nottingham. |
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4th (6) (9/2 -13%) Lord Torranaga |
9/2(-13%) | (6) Lord Torranaga 9/2, Latest win at Catterick in May. 10/1, creditable fourth of 11 in handicap at Catterick (13.9f, good to firm) 25 days ago. Should go well again. Both Flat turf wins have come at Catterick where he had no excuses when fourth last time. |
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5th (1) (66/1 -843%) Sutue Alshams |
66/1(-843%) | (1) Sutue Alshams 66/1, Course winner. 18/1, below form fourth of 9 in handicap at Chester (12.3f, heavy) 18 days ago. Significantly up in trip. May be closer to form this time. 1m4f winner last Aug; modest form since and he has his stamina to prove. |
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|F| (7) (20/1 -67%) Heatherdown Hero |
20/1(-67%) | (7) Heatherdown Hero 20/1, Quirky sort. Latest win at Newcastle in March. Respectable fourth of 10 in handicap at Ripon (12f, good, 20/1) 13 days ago, very slowly away. Significantly back up in trip. Others more persuasive. Trip winner; ran well to be fourth after completely blowing the start at Ripon (1m4f). |
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|PU| (4) (250/1 -400%) Ivynator |
250/1(-400%) | (4) Ivynator 250/1, 125/1, last of 9 in handicap at Hamilton (13.1f, good) 6 days ago. Back up in trip. Has been very poor in a handful of starts over hurdles and on the Flat since last May. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
KNIGHTS AFFAIR has been knocking on the door in recent months and he should take all the beating if seeing out a first attempt over 2m. The four-year-old appears to have plenty in his favour, with his biggest danger forecast to emerge from Lord Torranaga. The Philip Kirby-trained gelding finished just under four lengths behind the selection last time and better is expected over this longer trip. Sea Master may fare best of the remainder.
KNIGHTS AFFAIR has been knocking on the door and should have no issue with the step up in trip, so he's preferred to the in-form Lord Torranaga, who doesn't look as well treated as the selection. Sea Master is a major player if he stays.
The David O'Meara-trained KNIGHTS AFFAIR continues to knock on the door and it might just open over this longer distance.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (7/1 -100%) Jehangeer |
7/1(-100%) | (4) Jehangeer 7/1, Brother to yard's top sprinter Hello Youmzain and made a bright start last year, winning 6f Ayr maiden and running well in the Rockingham at York. Shaped encouragingly sent handicapping when third in 6f Newmarket handicap on return and remains with potential. Gelded/had breathing operation since. Had gelding/wind operations since reappearance effort; still open to further progress. |
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2nd (5) (12/1 -85%) Manila Scouse |
12/1(-85%) | (5) Manila Scouse 12/1, Improved on recent efforts to win 11-runner handicap at Hamilton (6f, good to firm) last month, all out. However, wasn't in anything like the same form at Ripon last time. Disappointing favourite last time; made all at Hamilton earlier in May. |
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3rd (1) (12/1 -140%) Summerghand |
12/1(-140%) | (1) Summerghand 12/1, Down to his lowest mark for nearly 6 years and he was nearest at the finish when seventh at Newmarket on penultimate start. Did as well as could've been expected from the position he raced in the Buckingham Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot last time and can go well down in grade. Multiple winner at a higher level; 3-4 in Class 3 events in 2018; has to be feared. |
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4th (3) (9/1 -64%) First Folio |
9/1(-64%) | (3) First Folio 9/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2022 but stepped up on his reappearance when sixth of 14 in handicap (11/1) at Windsor (6f, good to firm) 16 days ago. Eased 2 lb. Two efforts for new yard haven't been devoid of promise; attractively handicapped. |
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5th (9) (17/2 +15%) Strong Johnson |
17/2(+15%) | (9) Strong Johnson 17/2, Ran respectably when fifth of 10 in handicap (4/1) at Nottingham (5f, good) 14 days ago, better placed than most. Merits consideration. Unplaced in Class 5 most recently; hard to support, back up two grades. |
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6th (8) (28/1 -211%) Airman |
28/1(-211%) | (8) Airman 28/1, Made it 2-2 on return in a 5f Hamilton novice, despite still looking green. Lost unbeaten record up in grade when last of 7 in Sandy Lane Stakes at Haydock before running poorly in Royal Ascot handicap. Needs to get back on track. Struggled in major races the last twice; may do better back in calmer waters. |
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7th (2) (9/1 -125%) Tinto |
9/1(-125%) | (2) Tinto 9/1, Highlight of 2023 was his close second in the Ayr Silver Cup in September. Stepped up on first 2 starts of this season when resuming winning ways over C&D 46 days ago and is only 1 lb higher here. Likely to remain competitive, having gone back up just 1lb for C&D success in May. |
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8th (7) (40/1 -233%) Twelfth Knight |
40/1(-233%) | (7) Twelfth Knight 40/1, Has dipped below last winning mark but ran below form when sixth of 7 in handicap at Ripon (6f, good) 13 days ago. Won at Ripon last August; best effort since when fifth to Tinto over C&D in May. |
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9th (6) (66/1 -267%) Call Me Ginger |
66/1(-267%) | (6) Call Me Ginger 66/1, Ended last season out of sorts, though shaped as if needing the run after 7 months off when sixth of 7 in handicap at Ayr (5f, good to firm, 14/1) 11 days ago. Entitled to come on for that. Form has deteriorated since winning twice last September. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
JEHANGEER made a promising return to action when third to the progressive Woodhay Wonder at Newmarket in May and that rival has since performed with a lot of credit at Royal Ascot. The son of Kodiac was subsequently gelded and given a wind operation, so he may take another step forward. Tinto won over C&D when last seen and has to be considered along with Summerghand, who has shown signs in recent months that he remains in good heart.
10-y-o SUMMERGHAND ran about as well as could be expected from his position in the Buckingham Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot and gets the nod to take advantage of this drop in grade. Jehangeer shaped encouragingly on his reappearance at Newmarket and has both the pedigree and physique to go on improving following both a gelding and breathing operation. Strong Johnson seems to be building up to something and completes the shortlist.
Nicely bred 3yo JEHANGEER should build on his Newmarket reappearance effort. Summerghand is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Majestic Beauty |
(4) (13/2 -63%)13/2(-63%) | (4) Majestic Beauty 13/2, Ran no sort of race when last of 28 in handicap at Royal Ascot (5f, good to firm, 66/1) 12 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Needs to get back to the form of her penultimate start here last month to feature. Trailed in at Royal Ascot but can be rated the main danger to She's Quality at the weights. |
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1st (1) (4/9 +56%) She's Quality |
4/9(+56%) | (1) She's Quality 4/9, Resumed progress and capitalised on the drop in class when comfortably winning 8-runner event on handicap debut at Down Royal (5f, good, 7/4) 12 days ago, leading over 1f out. Will prove tough to beat if in similar form. Has developed into a Listed-class sprinter and is well suited by the race conditions. |
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2nd (3) (14/1 -40%) Gabriella's Spirit |
14/1(-40%) | (3) Gabriella's Spirit 14/1, C&D winner. Still some way short of her best when 9¼ lengths sixth of 9 to Clarendon House in listed race at Cork (5f, good, 80/1) 19 days ago. Others look stronger. Boasts useful C&D form, held by She's Quality on Cork running, rider's claim is valuable. |
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3rd (6) (4/1 +20%) Zarra Ellis |
4/1(+20%) | (6) Zarra Ellis 4/1, 14/1, showed much improved form to get off the mark tackling the minimum trip for the first time in 12-runner maiden at Cork (5f, good) 19 days ago, driven clear. May well build on that here. Huge improvement when dropped to this trip at Cork, needs to take another step forward now. |
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4th (5) (14/1 -133%) Moral Turpitude |
14/1(-133%) | (5) Moral Turpitude 14/1, Winner at Dundalk in November. 10/11, failed to repeat that effort when third of 6 in minor event at Dundalk (5f) 6 months ago. Cheekpieces left off and may well need this back on turf. Good form at Dundalk late last year, meets She's Quality on 9lb worse than handicap terms. |
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5th (2) (22/1 -38%) Branding |
22/1(-38%) | (2) Branding 22/1, Winner at Navan in May. Wasn't in anywhere near the same form when fifth of 6 in handicap (11/2) at Cork (5f, good to soft) just over 6 weeks ago. Gelded since, so must bounce back. Took a big rise for a Navan win penultimate start but not suited by the race conditions. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
SHE'S QUALITY is the highest rated runner in the line-up and looks the one to beat. Tried in Group 1 company on two occasions as a juvenile, the Jack Davison-trained bay has been in fine form of late, filling the runner-up spot in a Listed contest at Cork in May. She readily accounted for seven rivals on her handicap debut at Down Royal last month and she'll be well-fancied to follow-up. Beaten by just half-a-length on her penultimate start at the Curragh, Majestic Beauty might be able to bounce back from a disappointing effort at Royal Ascot. Last of 28 in the Palace Of Holyroodhouse Stakes, she is now fitted with a tongue-strap for the first time. Gabrielle's Spirit has a course and distance win to her name and warrants respect with Keithen Kennedy claiming a valuable 7lb, while recent Cork victor Zara Ellis is another leading hope.
SHE'S QUALITY capitalised on the drop in class in no uncertain terms when making a winning handicap debut at Down Royal recently and Jack Davison's 3-y-o will prove a tough nut to crack if arriving in the same mood. Zarra Ellis has few miles on the clock, so she can give the selection most to do following her recent maiden victory at Cork, with Majestic Beauty rounding off the shortlist.
This looks like a good opportunity for the speedy SHE'S QUALITY to add to a recent Down Royal handicap win achieved under a big burden
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Sound Of Iona |
(7) (4/1 +75%)4/1(+75%) | (7) Sound Of Iona 4/1, Modest mare. C&D winner. 28/1, twelfth of 13 in handicap at Ayr (7.2f, good) 50 days ago, doing too much too soon. Significantly back down in trip. Yet to fire this season. Engaged 4.52 Hamilton Tuesday. Regressive since last win (September 2022); made no impact at Hamilton yesterday.. |
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1st (6) (7/2 +22%) Jamie's Choice |
7/2(+22%) | (6) Jamie's Choice 7/2, Modest filly. 18/1, eighth of 9 in handicap at Carlisle (5.8f, soft) 16 days ago. Has good chance on pick of form but needs to bounce back. Six-race maiden; fair fourth at Thirsk (5f; 50-1); 6f on soft far from ideal latest.. |
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2nd (4) (13/2 +7%) Golden Prosperity |
13/2(+7%) | (4) Golden Prosperity 13/2, C&D winner. One win from 30 Flat runs. 10/1, seventh of 10 in handicap at Ripon (5f, good) 14 days ago. Not firing at present. Last year's winner; seventh of ten at Ripon (5f, soft) a fortnight ago; a possible player.. |
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3rd (2) (50/1 -178%) Embla |
50/1(-178%) | (2) Embla 50/1, Poor mare. Sixth of 12 in handicap (50/1) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 29 days ago. Others more persuasive. Yet to win on turf (0-8) and has work to do at the weights with several of these rivals.. |
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4th (8) (9/1 -552%) Ustath |
9/1(-552%) | (8) Ustath 9/1, Modest gelding. Latest win at Wolverhampton in June. 9/1, creditable third of 18 in minor event at Thirsk (6f, good to firm) 9 days ago. Makes plenty of appeal in a thin race. Justified favouritism in Class 6 h'cap at Wolverhampton (5f); third since (6f); contender.. |
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5th (1) (5/2 +17%) Cuban Rock |
5/2(+17%) | (1) Cuban Rock 5/2, Modest gelding. Course winner. One win from 27 Flat runs. 6/4, sixth of 7 in handicap at Hamilton (6f, good) 6 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Shaped well on previous outing, so not without hope. 1-27; hindered by awkward start when beaten favourite last week; not ruled out.. |
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6th (5) (10/1 -33%) Hard Nut |
10/1(-33%) | (5) Hard Nut 10/1, Modest gelding. Twenty four runs since last win in 2019. Seventh of 8 in handicap (14/1) at this C&D (good to firm) 20 days ago. Can't be ruled out in a thin race. Slowly away, as is often the case, when seventh of eight over C&D (14-1) three weeks ago.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Having slipped leaving the gates at Hamilton last week, CUBAN ROCK is best forgiven his failure to justify favouritism. Jim Goldie's string remain in fine fettle and the son of Havana Grey holds leading claims now pitched into a classified stakes contest. The in-form Ustath is rated 1lb higher than the selection and is a viable alternative, while last year's winner Golden Prosperity shouldn't be underestimated either.
This is a decidedly weak contest in which it could pay to side with USTATH given that he's the only one to arrive in form. Cuban Rock is a big threat if he can bounce back from a poor recent effort and Sound of Iona could get involved dropping back in trip.
It could be worth taking a punt on HARD NUT. Alternatives include Ustath, Jamie's Choice, and Cuban Rock.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (13/2 -18%) Garifullina |
13/2(-18%) | (6) Garifullina 13/2, Stepped up on reappearance run without getting back to the pick of last season's form when fifth of 10 in handicap at Redcar (5f, good to firm, 33/1) 12 days ago, never nearer. Step back up to 6f looks the way to go so she's one to consider. She was the only one to make any late gains when beaten 3l at Redcar (5f). |
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2nd (10) (7/2 +46%) Calafrio |
7/2(+46%) | (10) Calafrio 7/2, 16/1, ran one of her better races when second of 18 in minor event at this C&D (good to firm) 9 days ago. Task is now to build on that back in handicap company. It was a classified race in which she was second of 18 over C&D last week. |
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3rd (2) (12/1 +14%) Holbache |
12/1(+14%) | (2) Holbache 12/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. 16/1, last of 9 in handicap at Doncaster (6f, good to firm) 32 days ago, weakening under 2f out. Yet to show much for current connections so best watched. Has yet to get anything going in three runs for this yard having won six races in the past. |
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4th (11) (40/1 -300%) Sassy Soprano |
40/1(-300%) | (11) Sassy Soprano 40/1, Failed to build on the promise of previous run kept at 5f when sixth of 10 in handicap at Ripon (good, 14/1) 2 weeks ago, not clear run over 1f out. Back up in trip and more required to open her account from just out of the weights. Improved form at Catterick and then not beaten far after a troubled run at Ripon. |
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5th (3) (14/1 -367%) Foreseeable Future |
14/1(-367%) | (3) Foreseeable Future 14/1, Course winner last summer. Twelve runs since last win in 2023. Good third of 10 in handicap (10/3) at Ripon (5f, good) 2 weeks ago, keeping on late after bit short of room over 1f out. Every chance if back to best. He came from well off the pace to make the frame at Ripon two weeks ago. |
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6th (4) (14/1 -211%) Willow Baby |
14/1(-211%) | (4) Willow Baby 14/1, Visored for 1st time, ran respectably when fifth of 10 in handicap (4/1) at Ripon (5f, good) 2 weeks ago. Step back up in trip rates a positive. 0-11 but 7f has looked too far and 5f too sharp, yet usually runs well at 6f. |
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7th (5) (25/1 -108%) Sounds Of Spring |
25/1(-108%) | (5) Sounds Of Spring 25/1, Yet to fire for current yard, seventh of 10 in handicap (28/1) at Nottingham (5f, good to firm) just under 8 weeks ago. Hard to warm to. Quiet in five runs for this yard but Nottingham (on good) was a tad more encouraging. |
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8th (8) (14/1 -56%) Parr Fire |
14/1(-56%) | (8) Parr Fire 14/1, Nineteen runs since last win in 2022. 14/1, went the wrong way from a promising comeback when eighth of 9 in handicap at Carlisle (5.8f, soft) 16 days ago. Visor back on. Could be worth another chance. Twice placed in the visor last summer and that aid now returns; possibilities. |
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9th (7) (100/1 -1438%) Ishe Worth Agamble |
100/1(-1438%) | (7) Ishe Worth Agamble 100/1, 10/3, below form when sixth of 9 in handicap at Beverley (5f, good to firm) 8 days ago. Back up in trip and has dropped to a career-low mark. Beaten under 2l over 5f here before a slow start did for her at Beverley; lightly raced. |
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10th (9) (125/1 -150%) Chattel Village |
125/1(-150%) | (9) Chattel Village 125/1, 80/1, ran no sort of race when tenth of 11 in handicap at Beverley (5f, soft) 5 weeks ago, slowly away and soon off bridle. Has basically struggled since placed in his first two 2yo runs. |
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11th (1) (33/1 -175%) Modular Magic |
33/1(-175%) | (1) Modular Magic 33/1, Twenty runs since last win in 2021. 40/1, again below form when tenth of 11 in handicap at Hamilton (5f, good to firm) just under 4 weeks ago. Mark continues to tumble. Slipped down the weights and didn't look a lost cause in his penultimate race. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Winless since scoring at Musselburgh last August, FORESEEABLE FUTURE has dropped 9lb in the weights since then and stepping up in trip could work the oracle as he looks to build upon a strong placed effort at Ripon. Less than a length behind him in that contest was Willow Baby (fifth), who can have a say again, while Modular Magic has decent claims on his penultimate effort at Ayr. Others to note include Calafrio, Chattel Village and Ishe Worth Agamble.
An open-looking sprint in which it could be worth taking a chance on PARR FIRE, who was below form at Carlisle recently but she'd shaped quite encouragingly on return so Ben Haslam's 4-y-o can build on that back in a visor. Garifullina should appreciate this return to 6f, so she can give the selection most to think about, with Foreseeable Future and Willow Baby another couple fancied to go well, too.
A chance is taken on WILLOW BABY for whom 6f is probably a better fit that the 5f or 7f she's also been tried over.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Passing Phase |
(3) (16/1 +0%)16/1(+0%) | (3) Passing Phase 16/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 7/1, ½-length second of 7 to Sir Yoshi in maiden at this C&D (soft) 35 days ago. Plenty to find on form. C&D second to Sir Yoshi last time in maiden; this looks much tougher. |
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1st (11) (25/1 -56%) Usdi Atohi |
25/1(-56%) | (11) Usdi Atohi 25/1, Twice-raced winner. 1 win from 2 runs this year. 22/1, 6½ lengths last of 6 to Fairy Godmother in Fillies' Sprint Stakes at Naas (5.9f, good to firm) 45 days ago. Needs to settle better than at Naas; back in trip here with a bit to prove. |
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2nd (4) (15/2 -7%) Powerful Nation |
15/2(-7%) | (4) Powerful Nation 15/2, Twice-raced winner. 5/2, won 13-runner maiden at Cork (5f, good to soft) 43 days ago. Open to progress. Cork maiden win working out well; speedy type, should make a bold bid. |
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3rd (10) (8/1 +20%) Shamrock Breeze |
8/1(+20%) | (10) Shamrock Breeze 8/1, Thrice-raced winner. 1 win from 3 runs this year. First run since leaving Ado McGuinness when won 8-runner maiden at Down Royal (5f, good, 6/5) 12 days ago. Down Royal winner clearly has plenty of speed, fair step up in grade here though. |
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4th (5) (17/2 +39%) Sir Yoshi |
17/2(+39%) | (5) Sir Yoshi 17/2, Lightly-raced C&D winner. 22/1, respectable 5½ lengths seventh of 27 to Ain't Nobody in listed Windsor Castle Stakes at Royal Ascot (5f, firm) 14 days ago. C&D maiden winner ran creditably in Windsor Castle; likely more needed here. |
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5th (9) (17/2 -21%) Proudly Yours |
17/2(-21%) | (9) Proudly Yours 17/2, Promising type. 1 win from 2 runs this year. 3½ lengths fifth of 6 to Fairy Godmother in Fillies' Sprint Stakes at Naas (5.9f, good to firm, 33/1) 45 days ago. Likely capable of better again. Naas Group 3 run was a solid effort; more needed here but can't be ruled out. |
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6th (7) (14/1 +0%) Lady With The Lamp |
14/1(+0%) | (7) Lady With The Lamp 14/1, Twice-raced winner. 1 win from 2 runs this year. 7/2, won 15-runner maiden at Bath (5.7f, good) 26 days ago, driven out. Stable having good spell. Should have more to offer. Bath winner has plenty of speed but this is a fair step up in class. |
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7th (8) (11/1 -38%) Oxford Rock |
11/1(-38%) | (8) Oxford Rock 11/1, Twice-raced maiden. 5 lengths seventh of 24 to Leovanni in Queen Mary Stakes at Royal Ascot (5f, good to firm, 66/1) 14 days ago. Yard in good form. Open to further progress and leading claims. C&D debut second ran well in Queen Mary; could go well here. |
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8th (1) (3/1 +33%) Celtic Chieftain |
3/1(+33%) | (1) Celtic Chieftain 3/1, Twice-raced winner. 1 win from 2 runs this year. 8¾ lengths eighteenth of 27 to Ain't Nobody in listed Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot (5f, firm, 9/2) 14 days ago. Moore on Treasure IsIe. Didn't do himself justice when hanging right in Windsor Castle; Moore rides Treasure Isle. |
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9th (2) (28/1 -75%) Morning Vietnam |
28/1(-75%) | (2) Morning Vietnam 28/1, Twice-raced winner. 1 win from 2 runs this year. 14¾ lengths last of 5 to Whistlejacket in listed race at the Curragh (5f, soft, 8/1) 58 days ago, finding little. Hood on 1st time. Probably didn't handle soft last time; hood now tried and better ground. |
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10th (6) (13/2 -225%) Treasure Isle |
13/2(-225%) | (6) Treasure Isle 13/2, Built on his promising debut second in the mud at the Curragh when taking a 5f conditions race at Naas next time under much faster conditions. Failed to fire in the Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot but no surprise were he to bounce back with a bang. Windsor Castle blowout but Moore keeps the faith and easier ground should suit. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
POWERFUL NATION is the suggestion in this competitive Listed affair. Beaten by a short head on debut at Cork, he went a place better on his next start at the Mallow venue, with subsequent winners in second and third. The Windsor Castle was then mooted as an option for the Sioux Nation bay, but he comes here fresh after skipping that Royal Ascot heat. Treasure Isle, Celtic Chieftain and Sir Yoshi are three who did line-up in the Windsor Castle, with the David Marnane-trained latter a highly respectable seventh of 27. The Mehmas colt already has a course and distance win to his name and it'll come as no surprise if he manages to strike again. The aforementioned Celtic Chieftain and Treasure Isle both flopped at Royal Ascot and are on a retrieval mission, with Ryan Moore staying loyal to the latter. Proudly Yours and Bath winner Lady With The Lamp are others of interest.
OXFORD ROCK shaped with plenty of encouragement in the Queen Mary at Royal Ascot a couple of weeks ago and might prove the answer to this listed prize. Treasure Isle failed to fire at the Royal meeting but looked useful at Naas prior to that and Ryan Moore keeps the faith. Andrew Slattery's Cork maiden winner Powerful Nation completes the shortlist.
Very competitive, with a tentative vote going to OXFORD ROCK, on the back of a good Queen Mary run
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (13/2 +59%) Tantalus |
13/2(+59%) | (4) Tantalus 13/2, Stepped up on his return when fifth of 8 in handicap at Catterick (5f, good, 25/1) in April, before unseating rider at the start at the same course 25 days ago. Needs to find more if he's to record his first victory. 15-race maiden; only modest form this year; others preferred.. |
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2nd (10) (9/2 -29%) Northern Prince |
9/2(-29%) | (10) Northern Prince 9/2, Showed improved form when fourth of 19 in handicap (28/1) at this course (5f, good) 17 days ago, faring best of those held up. Merits consideration as he goes up in trip. Ran his best race yet when fourth in a 19-runner handicap here last month.. |
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3rd (11) (22/1 +12%) Parson's Meadow |
22/1(+12%) | (11) Parson's Meadow 22/1, Remains a maiden after 8 starts. Followed a creditable run with a below-par one when ninth of 11 in handicap at Beverley (7.4f, good to soft, 16/1) 15 days ago. Tongue strap now reached for. Ran his best race when fourth at Carlisle in May over today's distance.. |
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4th (3) (9/1 -29%) Hombre |
9/1(-29%) | (3) Hombre 9/1, Made a winning turf debut at this C&D in April. Not in the same form a week later when last of 14 in handicap at Leicester (6f, heavy, 3/1) 67 days ago, but he's worth another chance given a longer break ahead of this run. Broke his duck on his turf debut over C&D in April; next run may have come too soon.. |
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5th (2) (50/1 -213%) Motawaazy |
50/1(-213%) | (2) Motawaazy 50/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2022 and has been struggling for form this season, well-beaten fifth of 7 in handicap at Catterick (7f, soft, 11/1) 41 days ago. On a dangerous mark but has a bit to prove at present. Well beaten on all three starts this season following wind surgery; plenty to prove.. |
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6th (6) (50/1 -733%) Batal Dandy |
50/1(-733%) | (6) Batal Dandy 50/1, Off the mark in first-time cheekpieces at Wetherby in June. Failed to repeat that effort when seventh of 9 in handicap at Carlisle (5.8f, soft, 17/2) 16 days ago, but he could bounce back returned to a sounder surface. Won at Wetherby last month with cheekpieces; soft ground may not have suited since.. |
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7th (5) (50/1 -317%) Sydney Bay |
50/1(-317%) | (5) Sydney Bay 50/1, Failed to come on for his recent outing when eighth of 11 in handicap (4/1) at Newcastle (7.1f) 86 days ago. Back down to his last winning mark, though he's still looking for his first success on turf. His two wins have been on AW; only modest form this year.. |
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8th (8) (100/1 -733%) Arlington |
100/1(-733%) | (8) Arlington 100/1, Opened his account at Newcastle in March. Possibly needed the run after 3 months off when last of 12 in handicap at Redcar (6f, good to firm, 17/2) 11 days ago, so he could fare better this time around. Got off the mark when winning at Newcastle in March; last of 12 back on turf last time.. |
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9th (9) (80/1 -700%) Birdie Bowers |
80/1(-700%) | (9) Birdie Bowers 80/1, Eighteen runs since last win in 2022. After 6 months off, shaped as if better for the outing when fifth of 18 in minor event (33/1) at this C&D (good to firm) 9 days ago. On a reduced mark if he can build on his reappearance. Has been beaten 18 times since his last win; others preferred.. |
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10th (7) (100/1 -733%) She'sashambles |
100/1(-733%) | (7) She'sashambles 100/1, Best effort when runner-up in nursery at Newcastle (5f) in November, but raced freely when sixth in 9-runner contest (6/1) at Chelmsford City (6f) 6 days later. Needs to get back on the up as she returns from 7 months off. Six-race maiden having her first race in eight months.. |
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11th (1) (50/1 -2122%) Gunnerside |
50/1(-2122%) | (1) Gunnerside 50/1, Has been heading back in the right direction with each start this year, winning 7-runner handicap at Chepstow (5.1f, good to firm, 11/4) 9 days ago. Major player as he goes back up in trip under a penalty. Returned to winning ways back down to 5f at Chepstow nine days ago.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
A taking winner over 5f at Chepstow last week, GUNNERSIDE is quickly turned out again for his in-form connections and may be able to follow up under a 4lb penalty on the rise in distance. The son of Gutaifan may have too much for the capable Sydney Bay and Northern Prince, who posted arguably a career-best effort when not beaten here over 5f last time out.
GUNNERSIDE capitalised on his falling mark when scoring at Chepstow 9 days ago and he remains well treated on the pick of last season's form under a penalty. He is taken to follow up returned to this longer trip, with Hombre feared most as he makes only his third start on turf. Northern Prince could also be in the mix trying 6f for the first time.
An open-looking handicap but the less-exposed NORTHERN PRINCE looks ready to win for the first time. The danger is Batal Dandy.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (9/1 -13%) Sisters In The Sky |
9/1(-13%) | (5) Sisters In The Sky 9/1, Seventh of 11 in handicap at Chepstow (7.1f, good to firm, 10/1) 9 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Usually races over further and has been slowly away on recent starts.. |
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2nd (1) (4/1 -33%) Second Collection |
4/1(-33%) | (1) Second Collection 4/1, Left previous efforts well behind when winning 7-runner handicap (16/1) at this course (5f, firm) 9 days ago, kept up to work. Carries penalty but she retains handicap scope. Won here nine days ago; carries a 4lb penalty and should not be far away.. |
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3rd (2) (14/1 -40%) Diamond Cottage |
14/1(-40%) | (2) Diamond Cottage 14/1, Down a long way in the weights and found only one too good at Bath in May. Bit below form fourth of 9 in handicap at Chepstow (5.1f, good) 33 days ago, though slight step back up in trip can only help. Second over C&D in May but all of her wins have been over further.. |
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5th (8) (200/1 -2400%) We're Reunited |
200/1(-2400%) | (8) We're Reunited 200/1, C&D winner. Eleven runs since last win in 2023. Third of 4 in minor event at Ffos Las (5f, good, 11/4) 10 days ago. This is a better race. Second over C&D last month, he should not be far away.. |
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6th (4) (11/2 +0%) Vaunted |
11/2(+0%) | (4) Vaunted 11/2, Course winner. First run since leaving John O'Shea when sixth of 10 in handicap (14/1) at Chepstow (6.1f, good to firm) 25 days ago. Hood back on and she's entitled to come on for that reappearance. Beaten just two lengths at Chepstow on seasonal/stable debut last month following layoff.. |
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7th (3) (400/1 -5614%) Tilsworth Ony Ta |
400/1(-5614%) | (3) Tilsworth Ony Ta 400/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Chelmsford City in January. 7 lengths eighth of 10 to Viewfromthestars in handicap (11/4) at Chelmsford City (5f) 83 days ago. Won over C&D last September; has raced exclusively on AW since October, winning twice.. |
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8th (7) (250/1 -3471%) More Than Likely |
250/1(-3471%) | (7) More Than Likely 250/1, Three-time C&D winner. Respectable third of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 11/1) 13 days ago sticking to her task down slightly in trip. Only modest form since winning over C&D last July.. |
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9th (9) (350/1 -1300%) Viewfromthestars |
350/1(-1300%) | (9) Viewfromthestars 350/1, One win from 33 Flat runs. Winner at Chelmsford City in April. Sixth of 8 in minor event at this course (5f, firm, 18/1) 9 days ago. Slow starter than needs everything to fall right. Raced mainly on AW and has shown little on turf on his last three starts.. |
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|DQ| (6) (40/1 -1233%) Sir Bolton |
40/1(-1233%) | (6) Sir Bolton 40/1, Twelve runs since sole win, gained on debut in 2023. 5/1 and visored for first time, good second of 7 in handicap at Windsor (5.1f, good to firm) 9 days ago, flattered by proximity to the winner but a sound effort nonetheless. Major player from the same mark. In good form at present; beaten half a length at Windsor nine days ago.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
It was a deeper race SECOND COLLECTION won over 5f here nine days ago and although a surprise winner that day, her power-packed finish suggests she holds a major chance of coping with today's extra yardage and can follow up under a 4lb penalty. Diamond Cottage has gone well over this C&D before and is an appealing alternative stepping back up in trip. Sir Bolton is also feared off a competitive mark.
SIR BOLTON didn't do a great deal wrong when runner-up in a first-time visor at Windsor last week and a repeat of that taking on his elders for the first time may suffice. Second Collection got the job done here recently and is a threat under a penalty, with Vaunted another to consider.
The recent win here by Second Collection gives her every chance, but SIR BOLTON is knocking on the door and has greater scope.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Cuban Grey |
(4) (7/4 +50%)7/4(+50%) | (4) Cuban Grey 7/4, C&D winner. Latest win here in May. 8/1, good second of 12 in handicap at Down Royal (5f, good) 12 days ago. Well in the mix. C&D winner still progressing and holds a couple of these on recent Down Royal run. |
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1st (6) (17/2 -143%) Havana Notion |
17/2(-143%) | (6) Havana Notion 17/2, C&D winner. 12/1, creditable third of 12 in handicap at Down Royal (5f, good) 12 days ago. Ought to be in the shake-up. Last year's winner off 3lb higher; Down Royal run puts him right in the mix. |
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2nd (5) (5/1 +0%) Realtin Fantasy |
5/1(+0%) | (5) Realtin Fantasy 5/1, C&D winner. 14/1, creditable third of 12 in handicap at Down Royal (5f, good) 12 days ago. Shortlisted. C&D winner hard to win with in handicaps and weak finisher at times; claims though. |
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3rd (8) (5/1 +0%) Ginormous |
5/1(+0%) | (8) Ginormous 5/1, Good second of 12 in handicap at Naas (5f, good, 6/1) 7 days ago. Can give a good account. Maiden getting closer; can be keen, this easier 5f here should suit. |
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4th (7) (22/1 -57%) Theriverrunsdeep |
22/1(-57%) | (7) Theriverrunsdeep 22/1, 20/1, eleventh of 13 in handicap at Listowel (6.3f, good) 31 days ago. Back down in trip. Much more effective on AW; hard to fancy on recent turf form. |
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5th (3) (40/1 -100%) Cross Border |
40/1(-100%) | (3) Cross Border 40/1, Unreliable sort. 100/1, respectable twelfth of 19 in handicap at the Curragh (6.3f, good to firm) 28 days ago, slowly away. Back down in trip. Cheekpieces back on. Yet to fire for this yard; plummeting mark but remains opposable. |
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6th (2) (16/1 -100%) She's Smart |
16/1(-100%) | (2) She's Smart 16/1, Winner at Down Royal in May. 11/2, respectable fourth of 11 in handicap at Down Royal (5f, good) 12 days ago. Yard in good form. Can go well. Down Royal winner ran creditably there latest; each-way claims. |
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7th (11) (25/1 -79%) Charles Atlas |
25/1(-79%) | (11) Charles Atlas 25/1, Creditable 4½ lengths sixth of 12 to She's Smart in handicap at Down Royal (5f, good, 13/2) 33 days ago. Needs considering. Navan comeback run encouraging but didn't get home under more positive ride at Down Royal. |
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8th (1) (28/1 -75%) I'm Spartacus |
28/1(-75%) | (1) I'm Spartacus 28/1, First run since leaving Richard Fahey when ninth of 10 in handicap (25/1) at Limerick (7f, good) 11 days ago. Back down in trip. Didn't count on yard debut at Limerick last month and may need more time. |
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9th (9) (9/1 -29%) Babyface |
9/1(-29%) | (9) Babyface 9/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Fifth of 12 in handicap (6/1) at Naas (5f, good) 7 days ago, slowly away. Hood on 1st time. Needs a couple of these to falter. Naas run encouraging; still a work in progress and bit to find with Ginormous on that. |
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|S| (10) (125/1 -400%) Freedom Ring |
125/1(-400%) | (10) Freedom Ring 125/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 66/1, last of 12 in handicap at Naas (5f, good) 7 days ago. Shown very little on turf and AW, including recent Naas comeback run. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
CUBAN GREY has been a model of consistency in recent months and looks the safest option in this open contest. No worse than fourth on his last five starts, the 59-rated grey was successful over the course and distance in May and went down by just a neck when last seen at Down Royal. Havana Notion (won this race last year) and Realtin Fantasy dead-heated for third when half-a-length behind the selection at the Northern Ireland venue, and it'll come as no surprise if either manage to reverse the form. Ginormous hit the crossbar at Naas last week and will be well-fancied to go a place better, while Babyface (first time hood), who was fifth in that Naas heat, is another capable of making his presence felt. Adrian McGuinness is represented by I'm Spartacus and She's Smart and they both look to have solid claims.
A tight-knit handicap in which marginal preference is for CUBAN GREY who can bag another C&D success on the back of his good recent Down Royal second when his jockey put up 1 lb overweight. Fellow C&D winner Havana Notion heads the list of dangers with Ginormous, She's Smart and Real Tin Fantasy also firmly in the picture.
Last year's winner HAVANA NOTION is taken to reverse recent Down Royal form with both Cuban Grey and Realtin Fantasy
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (11/10 +33%) Giselles Defence |
11/10(+33%) | (1) Giselles Defence 11/10, Made a bright start for new stable this spring, runner-up at Nottingham (10.2f, heavy) prior to shedding maiden tag in good style at Pontefract (10f) in May. Experiment with cheekpieces didn't really work but right back on track when runner-up at Leicester 18 days ago. 1m2f winner on soft for new yard in May; good 2nd latest; acted on good ground in Ireland. |
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2nd (5) (20/1 -344%) Mrembo |
20/1(-344%) | (5) Mrembo 20/1, Back-to-back handicap winner in August/September. More consistent than most at this sort of level but she did turn in a rare poor effort at Newbury last week. Has C&D form; won three for O Tubb in 2023; below best latest; might well revive. |
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3rd (3) (25/1 -456%) Oj Lifestyle |
25/1(-456%) | (3) Oj Lifestyle 25/1, Newbury maiden winner in August 2022. Hasn't stood that much racing since and this season's efforts hardly brimming with promise but this represents a drop in class. Mostly well beaten since 7f win as 2yo; 11lb lower than when 3rd over 1m here in October. |
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4th (2) (25/1 -233%) Silver Nightfall |
25/1(-233%) | (2) Silver Nightfall 25/1, Now below his last successful mark, gained at Kempton in August but she ended her time with Gay Kelleway in disappointing fashion. First run since February and market can guide. Three AW wins in 2023; out of sorts in midwinter; new yard; 0-4 on turf but acts on grass. |
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5th (6) (100/1 -1900%) Daisy Roots |
100/1(-1900%) | (6) Daisy Roots 100/1, Runner-up 3 times in a row this spring and a shade better than the result at Chester 3 weeks ago given she didn't get a totally smooth passage. Does have to prove stamina for this far. Has won at 1m2f; running well in defeat at 1m and 7f in 2024; yet to win a turf handicap. |
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6th (4) (100/1 -900%) Eklil |
100/1(-900%) | (4) Eklil 100/1, Now 7 lb below his last winning mark but that due to the fact he hasn't found his feet for his new yard, displaying temperament to boot. Hopes pinned on a breathing operation doing the trick. Three wins at 1m/1m2f for previous yard; well held back on turf latest; wind op since. |
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7th (7) (50/1 -213%) Roundabout Silver |
50/1(-213%) | (7) Roundabout Silver 50/1, Bath winner last summer but yet to get going this term campaigned over 1m, dropping away at Brighton. Cheekpieces on upped in trip. Both wins at 1m; never involved in sole 1m2f run; out of sorts; cheekpieces fitted. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
DAISY ROOTS has been running consistently well for a number of weeks and the manner of those efforts have all suggested a step back up in distance could see her get back to winning ways. Giselles Defence must enter calculations based on his second at Leicester, while the return to a more unconventional track might aid the cause of Mrembo.
Unlike most of his rivals, GISELLES DEFENCE arrives in good nick and has no stamina concerns over this trip, so he's very much the percentage call. Oj Lifestyle isn't easy to assess but he's very well handicapped these days, with Mrembo more likely than not to bounce back from a lesser effort last time given her profile.
Although GISELLES DEFENCE's best form in Britain has come on slower surfaces he acted on good ground in Ireland and is in good form.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (15/2 -50%) Abolish |
15/2(-50%) | (5) Abolish 15/2, 14/1, respectable fourth of 10 in handicap at Nottingham (5f, good) 14 days ago, faring best of those held up. Visor replaces cheekpieces and he's of interest. 1-31 since arrival from Norway, but 25lb below that winning mark again; may take to visor. |
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2nd (2) (3/1 -71%) Lil Guff |
3/1(-71%) | (2) Lil Guff 3/1, Course winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2023. 4/1, seventh of 9 in handicap at Haydock (5f, firm) 11 days ago. Rather in-and-out this season but this is a slight drop in class. Inconsistent so far in 2024, but mark continues to fall; 5f winner here in the past. |
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3rd (1) (80/1 -471%) Faro De San Juan |
80/1(-471%) | (1) Faro De San Juan 80/1, Last of 10 in handicap at Chester (6.1f, heavy) 18 days ago on first run following a breathing operation. Was drawn wide and that was his first run for 7 months so better expected here. Last on recent Chester return (6f, heavy); dropped further but not the appeal of some. |
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4th (6) (7/1 -180%) My Delilah |
7/1(-180%) | (6) My Delilah 7/1, C&D winner who again shaped nicely when second of 7 in handicap (9/4) at this course (5f, firm) 9 days ago. Expected to be bang there from the same mark upped slightly in trip. Got there too late on both 5f starts here this summer; up in class but mark still low. |
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5th (3) (20/1 -567%) Crimson Angel |
20/1(-567%) | (3) Crimson Angel 20/1, Respectable fifth of 9 in handicap at Salisbury (6f, good to firm, 13/2) 22 days ago, never nearer having missed the break. Issues at the stalls remain a concern. Nearest finish at Salisbury latest after blindfold issues; still very few goes on turf. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
MY DELILAH was almost able to exploit a sliding handicap mark when filling the runner-up spot at this venue last time out. The fact Jack Doughty takes off a handy 5lb today will only strengthen her claims and Adrian Wintle's filly is taken to go one better. Abolish is on a long losing run but rates a threat off a competitive mark with a first-time visor added. Crimson Angel is also feared on these terms.
MY DELILAH has been threatening to come good for a while now and with this slight step up in trip sure to suit, she makes plenty of appeal. Lil Gulf usually runs in better races than this so she's feared, along with Crimson Angel.
Very low mileage in turf handicaps, CRIMSON ANGEL (nap) deserves a change of fortune and can account for C&D winner My Delilah.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (4/9 +17%) Surpass |
4/9(+17%) | (1) Surpass 4/9, Highly promising sort. 13/8, won 9-runner maiden at this course (7.1f, soft) on debut 35 days ago. Good prospect. C&D debut maiden winner with obvious chance of a follow-up here in a disappointing turnout. |
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2nd (2) (13/2 +19%) Dakota Blue |
13/2(+19%) | (2) Dakota Blue 13/2, Foaled April 20. €300,000 2-y-o, Sioux Nation colt. Half-brother to useful 1½m-1¾m winner Point Nepean. Dam twice-raced half-sister to smart winner up to 9f Steinbeck. Interesting to see what the betting makes of this breeze-up recruit. 300,000 breeze-up buy; holds Group 1 National Stakes entry so clearly held in some regard. |
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3rd (4) (9/2 -50%) Lady O |
9/2(-50%) | (4) Lady O 9/2, 11/4, overcame inexperience to win 10-runner maiden at Roscommon (7.7f, good to soft) on debut 51 days ago. Can be expected to improve. Looked nice prospect when winning at Roscommon; could be better still on quicker ground. |
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4th (3) (33/1 -230%) Runninsonofagun |
33/1(-230%) | (3) Runninsonofagun 33/1, 11/1, fourth of 13 in minor event at Leopardstown (7.2f, good to firm) on debut 13 days ago. Engaged 4.45 Roscommon Tuesday. Leopardstown debut fourth was encouraging but plenty to find to play a leading role here. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
SURPASS, who holds an entry in the National Stakes at the Curragh in September, showed a nice attitude to win on debut over the course and distance in May and he looks capable of following-up now. The Saxon Warrior colt is sure to have learned plenty from his initial outing, coming from off the pace before staying on well in the closing stages to prevail by a neck. Named after the late Lady O'Reilly, Lady O is the only filly in the line-up. A 30,000-euro purchase at the Goffs Orby Sale, the Australia bay was successful on debut at Roscommon, with subsequent Listowel winner Elzem back in third. Declared to run at Roscommon on Tuesday, Leopardstown fourth Runninsonofagun is an interesting contender for Tony Mullins, while newcomer Dakota Blue, who also holds an National Stakes entry, completes the line-up.
SURPASS came from well off the pace to make a winning start to his career here 5 weeks ago and is narrowly preferred to fellow debut scorer Lady O.
A disappointing turnout and likely a good opportunity for SURPASS to build on a C&D debut win in May
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (9/2 +10%) Hot Cash |
9/2(+10%) | (5) Hot Cash 9/2, Foaled March 5. 20,000 gns yearling, Too Darn Hot colt. Dam, 1¼m-1½m winner, half-sister to smart winner up to 7f Hatta Fort and useful 2-y-o 6f/7f winner Blue Bayou. Interesting newcomer. 20,000gns yearling, by Too Darn Hot; first foal; dam 1m2f/1m4f winner (inc Gr 3; RPR 109). |
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2nd (4) (4/1 -78%) Sir Peter Fossick |
4/1(-78%) | (4) Sir Peter Fossick 4/1, Foaled March 7. €20,000 foal, €45,000 yearling, Footstepsinthesand colt. Half-brother to several winners, including smart 2-y-o 6f winner Great White Eagle, useful winner up to 1m Kings Shield. Dam 7f-1m winner. Makes plenty of appeal on paper. 45,000euros yearling; 11th foal; half-brother to six winners, three with peak RPRs 106-112. |
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3rd (6) (100/1 -3233%) Jack Andrea |
100/1(-3233%) | (6) Jack Andrea 100/1, Time Test colt who showed promise when third of 8 in 7f maiden at Leicester (good, 33/1) on debut 18 days ago. That is the best form on offer, and he has obvious claims. 33-1 and green when 3rd of 8 at Leicester (7f, good to soft) which sets the standard. |
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4th (3) (100/1 -3536%) Dark Thunderstorm |
100/1(-3536%) | (3) Dark Thunderstorm 100/1, Showed only a bit more than on debut when third of 10 in maiden (12/1) at Chelmsford City (6f) 13 days ago. Third of ten at Chelmsford (6f, AW) latest, prominent long way and sticking to his task. |
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5th (1) (80/1 -900%) Abstract Art |
80/1(-900%) | (1) Abstract Art 80/1, Offered little when last of 8 in minor event at Goodwood (6f, good to firm) on debut 24 days ago. Needs to leave that well behind. 14-1, got upset in the stalls and prominent to halfway at Goodwood (6f, good) on debut. |
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6th (2) (100/1 -733%) Bracklesham Bay |
100/1(-733%) | (2) Bracklesham Bay 100/1, Looked one for the longer term when seventh of 14 in maiden at Leicester (6f, good) on debut 29 days ago. 66-1, in touch 3f when about 10l seventh of 14 in maiden at Leicester (6f, good to soft). |
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7th (7) (125/1 -25%) Liricist |
125/1(-25%) | (7) Liricist 125/1, Sent off 150/1 and showed only greenness when seventh of 8 in minor event at Salisbury (5f, good) on debut 39 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Gave trouble beforehand when 150-1 at Salisbury (5f, good) in May, always towards rear. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
HOT CASH boasts a decent pedigree for a relatively cheap purchase, with his dam being a winner at Group 3 level, and he represents a yard that are holding their form well at this time of the year. He gets the vote to make a winning start to his career. Sir Peter Fossick is a half-brother to no less than six winners, including some very useful types, and he commands respect, while Jack Andrea and Dark Thunderstorm appeal most of those who boast racecourse experience.
SIR PETER FOSSICK makes plenty of appeal on paper being a half-brother to several winners, including smart 2-y-o 6f winner Great White Eagle, so he's fancied to get off to a winning start. Jack Andrea has the best piece of form on offer, with Hot Cash another newcomer to note.
The standard set by Jack Andrea and Dark Thunderstorm is not high. Newcomers SIR PETER FOSSICK and Hot Cash are well related
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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La Verite |
(9) (11/1 +8%)11/1(+8%) | (9) La Verite 11/1, Modest filly. 33/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, seventh of 9 in handicap at Yarmouth (6f, soft) 20 days ago. Visor on 1st time, tongue strap back on. 0-8, no sign of improvement since joining new yard in February.. |
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Zeno |
(6) (18/1 -13%)18/1(-13%) | (6) Zeno 18/1, Last of 8 in handicap at Yarmouth (5.2f, good to firm, 9/1) 71 days ago. Finished last of eight when last seen at Yarmouth in April; has work to do.. |
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1st (5) (5/2 +17%) Wedgewood |
5/2(+17%) | (5) Wedgewood 5/2, Fair filly. Latest win at Lingfield in May. Bit below form third of 6 in handicap (15/2) at Chepstow (5.1f, good to firm) 25 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Better on AW. All four of her wins have been on AW, and she is rated 12lb lower on turf.. |
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2nd (8) (25/1 -178%) Glamorous Joy |
25/1(-178%) | (8) Glamorous Joy 25/1, Poor filly. 11/1, fourth of 7 in handicap at Windsor (5.1f, good to firm) 9 days ago. 0-6 and only modest form to date; fourth at Windsor nine days ago.. |
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3rd (4) (6/1 -50%) Katar |
6/1(-50%) | (4) Katar 6/1, Modest gelding. Remains a maiden after 32 Flat runs. 9/1, second of 8 in minor event at this C&D (firm) 9 days ago. Has good chance on pick of form. Longstanding maiden but went close here in a similar race nine days ago.. |
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4th (1) (100/1 -1150%) Bernard Spierpoint |
100/1(-1150%) | (1) Bernard Spierpoint 100/1, Modest gelding. Fourteen runs since last win in 2023. 9/1, bit below form fourth of 8 in minor event at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) 5 days ago. Tongue strap back on. Landed back-to-back wins last year but has been below that form since.. |
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5th (3) (200/1 -4344%) Daley T |
200/1(-4344%) | (3) Daley T 200/1, Modest gelding. Pulled hard when fifth of 8 in handicap (11/4) at Wolverhampton (6.1f). Off 135 days. Return to 5f will suit and can go well fresh. Returns from break; the highest rated of these, any market move should be noted.. |
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6th (7) (350/1 -6900%) Call Me The Breeze |
350/1(-6900%) | (7) Call Me The Breeze 350/1, Poor filly. Creditable sixth of 12 in handicap (11/2) at Lingfield (6f, good to firm) 34 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. 0-7 but has been beaten less than 4l on all three starts this year.. |
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7th (2) (200/1 -2122%) Captain Bentley |
200/1(-2122%) | (2) Captain Bentley 200/1, Modest gelding. Third of 7 in handicap (28/1) at Chepstow (5.1f, good to firm) 9 days ago, racing closer to pace than ideal. 0-11, ran his best race yet when third at Chepstow nine days ago.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
WEDGEWOOD has held her form well and, off an attractive rating in comparison to her current all-weather mark, the Tony Carroll-trained filly has a lot going for her in this company. Glamorous Joy is open plenty of improvement on just her fourth start in a handicap and rates a key player with Tyler Heard claiming 3lb. Captain Bentley and Katar are a couple of others to monitor closely in the betting.
DALEY T has a good record fresh and will be suited by the drop back in trip, so shades the vote over long-standing maiden Katar, who was only just denied in a similar event over C&D recently.
This looks a good opportunity for WEDGEWOOD to get off the mark on turf. Longstanding maiden Katar looks the main danger.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (13/2 +41%) Blue Soul |
13/2(+41%) | (9) Blue Soul 13/2, Respectable thirteenth of 21 in handicap (22/1) at the Curragh (9f, good) 5 days ago. Placed three times on Dundalk AW, last turf run not good enough to inspire confidence. |
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2nd (6) (11/2 +61%) Morning Approach |
11/2(+61%) | (6) Morning Approach 11/2, 4¼ lengths eighth of 11 to Oriental Dancer in handicap at Leopardstown (7.2f, good to firm, 10/1) 13 days ago. May strip fitter for that effort. Not at her best so far this year, One Boss seems to have a better chance for the stable. |
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3rd (3) (7/2 -5%) Oriental Dancer |
7/2(-5%) | (3) Oriental Dancer 7/2, Career best when winning 11-runner handicap at Leopardstown (7.2f, good to firm, 4/1) 13 days ago, going clear. Worth a chance to defy a 7-lb rise such was the authority of that victory. Returned from a break to record recent Leopardstown win, can feature again off 7lb higher. |
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4th (5) (5/1 +9%) One Boss |
5/1(+9%) | (5) One Boss 5/1, First run since leaving F. Flood when 6/1, won 12-runner handicap at Limerick (8f, good) 11 days ago, justifying support. Remains well treated on old form and isn't without hope of following up. Took advantage of reduced mark on stable debut at Limerick, still 7lb below career-high. |
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5th (2) (6/1 -80%) Red Heel |
6/1(-80%) | (2) Red Heel 6/1, 11/2, improved on recent efforts to win 8-runner handicap at Down Royal (7f, good) 12 days ago, comfortably. Should go well again. Too keen at Gowran, made handsome amends with front-running win at Down Royal, respected. |
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6th (8) (14/1 -56%) Basilah Bear |
14/1(-56%) | (8) Basilah Bear 14/1, 11/2, fourteenth of 16 in handicap at Cork (7f, good to soft) 43 days ago, not ideally placed. Hood on 1st time. Needs to do more. Nowhere near the level of her useful nursery form in two starts this season, hooded now. |
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7th (1) (9/1 +0%) Drop The Dip |
9/1(+0%) | (1) Drop The Dip 9/1, Last of 6 in handicap (17/2) at Gowran (7f, good) 17 days ago. Likely to strip fitter for that and she's on a handy mark. Back-to-back wins last autumn were in testing conditions, last of six on seasonal debut. |
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8th (4) (50/1 -525%) Miss Abby Jools |
50/1(-525%) | (4) Miss Abby Jools 50/1, Fifth of 6 in handicap (16/1) at Limerick (8f, good) 11 days ago, possibly amiss. Needs to get back on track. Soft-ground winner at Limerick last year, soundly beaten at same venue on recent return. |
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9th (10) (33/1 +0%) Wayside Lady |
33/1(+0%) | (10) Wayside Lady 33/1, 33/1, first run since leaving C. W. J. Farrell when thirteenth of 17 in handicap at Fairyhouse (6f, good) 19 days ago. Back up in trip. Others more persuasive. Has been a huge price for all three handicap starts and has run accordingly, no appeal. |
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10th (7) (12/1 -118%) Katie Bairdie |
12/1(-118%) | (7) Katie Bairdie 12/1, Good second of 6 in handicap at Limerick (8f, good, 25/1) 11 days ago, having run of race. Should be on the premises again. Limerick second represented a huge improvement from her handicap debut, worth considering. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
The in-foal ONE BOSS might be able to follow-up on her recent Limerick success. On what was her debut for Willie McCreery, the Saxon Warrior four-year-old came in for plenty of market support and was value for more than the winning margin of a length. McCreery also saddles Morning Approach in this 10-runner affair and the three-time winner is not without her chance. Katie Bairdie put in a career best performance when second at Limerick last month and while no match for the progressive Quadruple, she had some useful types in behind. Red Heel, who won for the sixth time at Down Royal, is sure to have plenty of supporters in her bid to follow-up, while Leopardstown winner Oriental Dancer and top-weight Drop The Dip are others worthy of consideration.
ORIENTAL DANCER readily stamped her authority through the closing stages at Leopardstown recently and she could have enough to defy a 7-lb rise. Fellow last-time-out winner Red Heel is a threat and Katie Bairdie is likely to give another good account.
Three last-time-out winners clash. RED HEEL seemed to have plenty in reserve at Down Royal\p and gets the vote to follow up
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (10/3 -48%) Get It |
10/3(-48%) | (1) Get It 10/3, Not at best in Bahrain earlier in the year but back to form with a bang returned to these shores when scoring at Windsor 16 days ago. Up 4 lb but won off this mark in September so he's a strong contender. Most wins at 5f but held on well for 6f success at Windsor latest; still well treated. |
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2nd (2) (28/1 -1767%) Mr Wagyu |
28/1(-1767%) | (2) Mr Wagyu 28/1, Veteran on a long losing run but this C&D winner has a very good record here, as shown when just edged out over this trip on Derby Day. Not disgraced at Ripon since and big shout back at this venue. Latest win was 2 years ago but strong C&D form and only just touched off here on Derby day. |
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3rd (3) (11/1 -10%) Princess Shabnam |
11/1(-10%) | (3) Princess Shabnam 11/1, Won a listed race at 3 yrs but hasn't scored since and form this year has been inconsistent. Others more solid. Taken a good drop in the weights over the last year but continues to tread water. |
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4th (4) (66/1 -1000%) Indian Creak |
66/1(-1000%) | (4) Indian Creak 66/1, Below par on all 4 outings this year. However, latest fourth at Windsor was at least a step back in the right direction and he won this race last year off 2 lb higher. Interesting. Slow start to year but better latest and 2lb lower than when winning this in 2023. |
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5th (6) (66/1 -560%) Betties Bay |
66/1(-560%) | (6) Betties Bay 66/1, In better form than recent form figures suggest but that's because she was too high in the handicap. Eased 4 lb since last run and headgear goes on, but she's back up in class. Not gone on from encouraging handicap debut over 6f on AW in February; cheekpieces on. |
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6th (5) (66/1 -560%) Reveiller |
66/1(-560%) | (5) Reveiller 66/1, Made a winning debut at Salisbury in May last year. Failed to progress in the face of stiff tasks next 2 outings and little impact on handicap bow at Redcar after 11 months off 11 days ago. Headgear on and bit to prove now. Clear 5f winner on debut; highly tried after; well held on handicap debut after layoff. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
MR WAGYU has been found an excellent opportunity to get his head back in front at a track where he has always run well. The nine-year-old has finished in the first three on each occasion, all of those efforts coming on Derby day since 2022, and this contest is unlikely to be as competitive. Get It returned from Bahrain to score at Windsor last month and is a player, along with Reveiller, who is entitled to benefit from first-time cheekpieces.
MR WAGYU was only just denied in a better race than this over C&D on Derby Day and can end his losing run. Get It took advantage of a drop in the weights returned to these shores at Windsor and remains on a winning mark, so is next best ahead of Indian Creak (won this last year off 2 lb higher), who took a step back in the right direction when fourth in the same race.
Last year's winner INDIAN CREAK is well treated again and he hinted at a revival last time. Mr Wagyu also has strong C&D form.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (13/8 +41%) Atlantis Blue |
13/8(+41%) | (1) Atlantis Blue 13/8, Fair mare. Last of 5 in handicap at Doncaster (10.2f, good to firm, 5/1) 4 days ago, doing too much too soon. Back down in trip. Hood back on. Pick on form but exposed. Wins this all day on her peak effort here last year (11.5f), but stopped quickly latest. |
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2nd (4) (10/1 -100%) Darysina Gold |
10/1(-100%) | (4) Darysina Gold 10/1, Lightly-raced filly. Very good second of 5 in handicap at Salisbury (8f, good to firm, 8/1) 7 days ago. Big shout back in a maiden. Led until final 110 yards at Salisbury latest (1m, good to firm); can do better still. |
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3rd (6) (25/1 -1900%) Zariela |
25/1(-1900%) | (6) Zariela 25/1, Fair filly. Remains a maiden after 8 Flat runs. 3/1, creditable second of 10 in novice event at Lingfield (7.6f, good) 23 days ago, running on. Player. Got there in time but held at Lingfield latest (7.5f, good); should be okay with new trip. |
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4th (2) (350/1 -5733%) Flying Star |
350/1(-5733%) | (2) Flying Star 350/1, Thrice-raced filly. 16/1, improved again when third of 5 in maiden at Lingfield (6f, good to firm) 11 days ago. Bred to be suited by this longer trip so needs considering. Third over 6f the last twice (good to firm); does need to help herself more to progress. |
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5th (3) (125/1 -525%) Rose'aid |
125/1(-525%) | (3) Rose'aid 125/1, Lightly-raced filly. Ninth of 11 in handicap (25/1) at Beverley (8.4f, good) 58 days ago, doing too much too soon. First run for yard after leaving Gemma Tutty. Cheekpieces on 1st time. 16l ninth in a class 6 handicap on last time's turf debut; passed over on stable debut. |
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6th (5) (350/1 -3400%) Dontrocktheboat |
350/1(-3400%) | (5) Dontrocktheboat 350/1, Rock of Gibraltar filly. Half-sister to unreliable 6f/7f winner Pomme de Terre. Dam winner up to 6f (2-y-o 5f winner). Betting should reveal expectations. Homebred debutante; previous precedent suggests she may be one for sub-1m trips later on. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
ZARIELA is well treated at these weights and could go one better than her narrow defeat over an extended 7f at Lingfield last time. Atlantis Blue didn't appear to get home over 1m2f at Doncaster on Saturday so it's no surprise to see her cutting back in distance. She is joint top-rated in this line-up, alongside the selection, and should mount a bold bid, while Flying Star looks best of the remainder.
DARYSINA GOLD ran her best race allowed to stride on in front when second in a handicap at Salisbury last week and shades the vote over Flying Star, who has improved with each start and is bred to be suited by this longer trip. Zariela and Atlantis Blue are also players in a tight fillies' maiden.
Much improved last week over a galloping mile on fast turf, DARYSINA GOLD can account for the more exposed Zariela.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Mapa |
(4) (12/1 -33%)12/1(-33%) | (4) Mapa 12/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 50/1, very good fourth of 13 in maiden at Limerick (8f, good to firm) 21 days ago, taking time to get going. Should improve now handicapping upped slightly in trip. Could be on the upgrade judging by fourth in a maiden at Limerick, handicap debut now. |
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Simple Endeavour |
(13) (12/1 +0%)12/1(+0%) | (13) Simple Endeavour 12/1, First run since leaving Andrew Balding when good seventh of 14 in handicap at Ballinrobe (9.7f, good, 10/1) 9 days ago. Should be sharper this time. Modest form for Andrew Balding, closely matched with Seas And Oceans on Ballinrobe running. |
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Seas And Oceans |
(14) (14/1 +0%)14/1(+0%) | (14) Seas And Oceans 14/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Good fifth of 14 in handicap (22/1) at Ballinrobe (9.7f, good) 9 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Beaten 5l in fifth on handicap/seasonal debut, potential for improvement, cheekpieces now. |
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1st (10) (16/1 -33%) Killeaney Bear |
16/1(-33%) | (10) Killeaney Bear 16/1, 15/2, sixteenth of 17 in handicap at Gowran (9.4f, good to soft) 30 days ago. Tongue strap back on in quest to bounce back. Failed to do himself justice at Gowran, previous Cork runs were reasonably encouraging. |
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2nd (2) (14/1 -17%) Sportingsilvermine |
14/1(-17%) | (2) Sportingsilvermine 14/1, 8/1, respectable 4½ lengths ninth of 18 to Koniag in handicap at Leopardstown (8f, good) 27 days ago. Excellent effort over 1m2f at Cork three starts back, mid-field behind Koniag on latest. |
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3rd (3) (4/1 +67%) Glimmerglass |
4/1(+67%) | (3) Glimmerglass 4/1, Ninth of 10 in handicap (9/1) at the Curragh (7f, soft) 58 days ago. Up in trip. Open to improvement. In rear on handicap debut, stable's runners at the Curragh on Sunday performed with credit. |
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4th (12) (25/1 -79%) Sylkie |
25/1(-79%) | (12) Sylkie 25/1, Creditable fifth of 10 in claimer at Fairyhouse (10f, good to soft, 11/2) 34 days ago. First run for yard after leaving J. A. Stack. Started the season with two placed runs in handicaps, not as effective in claimers. |
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5th (16) (10/1 +17%) Highland Bells |
10/1(+17%) | (16) Highland Bells 10/1, 25/1, creditable fourth of 13 in handicap at Limerick (11.5f, good to firm) 21 days ago. Down in trip. Fourth on seasonal debut at Limerick was encouraging, each-way chance here. |
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6th (11) (13/2 -86%) Help Me Rhonda |
13/2(-86%) | (11) Help Me Rhonda 13/2, Good third of 6 in handicap at Limerick (8f, good, 7/2) 11 days ago, emerging with extra credit given she wasn't ideally placed. Major claims upped in trip. Stayed on well near the finish of a six-runner 1m contest last time, longer trip may help. |
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7th (9) (10/3 +33%) Koniag |
10/3(+33%) | (9) Koniag 10/3, 9/1, career best when winning 18-runner handicap at Leopardstown (8f, good) 27 days ago. Enters calculations with prospect of more to come as a 3-y-o. Narrow winner over 1m at Leopardstown on seasonal debut, up 6lb but may remain competitive. |
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8th (15) (40/1 -150%) Glor Alainn |
40/1(-150%) | (15) Glor Alainn 40/1, 100/1, twelfth of 16 in maiden at Naas (5f, good to firm). Off 12 months. Significantly up in trip. Hood on 1st time. Makes handicap debut. Weak maiden form at sprint distances last year, may have matured well enough to prosper. |
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9th (5) (25/1 -79%) Timeonourside |
25/1(-79%) | (5) Timeonourside 25/1, Winner at Gowran in May. 11/1, seventh of 9 in handicap at Cork (8f, good) 19 days ago. Unexposed so capable of bouncing back. Went up 7lb for heavy-ground win at Gowran, dropped away on good ground at Cork last time. |
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10th (6) (40/1 -233%) Parish Record |
40/1(-233%) | (6) Parish Record 40/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Fourth of 5 in maiden at Naas (7f, good, 16/1). Off 12 months. Up in trip. Makes handicap debut and more needed. Three maidens run at up to 7f last year, hard to assess, probably unwise to discount. |
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11th (7) (100/1 -203%) Liamo |
100/1(-203%) | (7) Liamo 100/1, 66/1, eighth of 11 in handicap at Limerick (8f, good to firm) 21 days ago. Placed at Dundalk for Donnacha O'Brien, unconvincing form this season, cheekpieces added. |
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12th (8) (4/1 +33%) Gushing |
4/1(+33%) | (8) Gushing 4/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, good fifth of 15 in handicap at Leopardstown (9f, good to firm, 9/1) 13 days ago. Tongue strap now applied. Ordinary form in handicaps, tongue-tie now as well as the cheekpieces worn at Leopardstown. |
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13th (1) (125/1 -279%) Gentileschi |
125/1(-279%) | (1) Gentileschi 125/1, Fourth of 10 in claimer at this course (7.1f, heavy, 40/1) 36 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Up in trip. Fourth in a claimer last time, previous handicap runs imply she is too high in the ratings. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
A case can be made for plenty of these, with HELP ME RHONDA the suggestion. An eyecatcher at Fairyhouse and Gowran, she was last seen finishing third in a stronger contest at Limerick, with the 77-rated September Leaves a place behind. While clearly not one of the leading lights at Ballydoyle, Gushing should be able to make her presence felt in a contest of this quality. Fifth of 15 at Leopardstown on her latest start, she might benefit from the application of a tongue-strap. Mapa ran well to finish fourth at Limerick last month and is of definite interest on her handicap debut, while others for the shortlist are Glimmerglass, Leopardstown winner Koniag and the lowly-rated Highland Bells.
HELP ME RHONDA has caught the eye both starts in handicaps, doing well to finish third from a poor track position at Limerick 11 days ago. She can fully confirm that promise here, with Koniag and Mapa feared most.
In an open race, Sheila Lavery's filly MAPA, may repay each-way support on her handicap debut following a satisfactory Limerick run
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (7/1 -110%) Incremental |
7/1(-110%) | (3) Incremental 7/1, Scored at Windsor in May only to come in last of 7 in handicap at Thirsk (12f, good to firm) 26 days ago. Needs to get back on track. All-the-way win at Windsor (11.4f, good to firm) in May; flopped at Thirsk 18 days later. |
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2nd (5) (14/1 +30%) Haliphon |
14/1(+30%) | (5) Haliphon 14/1, It's now 17 runs since his last win in 2022 and he came in only sixteenth of 18 in handicap at York (11.8f, soft) 18 days ago. Others appeal more. His form went the wrong way last winter and was a good deal worse on both runs this summer. |
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3rd (1) (100/1 -2757%) Wahraan |
100/1(-2757%) | (1) Wahraan 100/1, Temperamental sort but he landed 6-runner handicap at Newbury (12f, good to firm) 8 days ago. Needs to back it up now under a 5 lb penalty. Twice blew it badly at the start this term; got it right at Newbury last week; 5lb penalty. |
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4th (2) (66/1 -843%) Crescent Lake |
66/1(-843%) | (2) Crescent Lake 66/1, Arrives in decent nick, not lasting home when eighth of 11 in handicap at Goodwood (16f, good to firm) 24 days ago. Down in trip and one to consider. Form dipped on latest start; it had looked as if 1m6f-2m was more his thing these days. |
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5th (8) (100/1 -1567%) Alpen Power |
100/1(-1567%) | (8) Alpen Power 100/1, In good form without winning this term, third of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (10f, AW) 13 days ago. Up in trip. Expected to be bang there eased 1 lb. Has made much less of an impact in his four races on turf; now goes up in trip. |
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6th (7) (80/1 -1500%) Atlantic Convoy |
80/1(-1500%) | (7) Atlantic Convoy 80/1, Son of Galileo who took a step forward when seventh of 13 in maiden at Sandown (10f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Up in trip for his handicap debut. Player with blinkers added. More is seemingly needed to live up to this opening mark; different ground; blinkers go on. |
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7th (4) (50/1 -733%) Gozo |
50/1(-733%) | (4) Gozo 50/1, Landed 17f hurdle at Plumpton on NH debut when last seen out 9 months ago. Needs to hit the ground running back in this sphere on his comeback. 0-8 on Flat but ran well on first three outings last term; hurdles win in September latest. |
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8th (6) (100/1 -1329%) Ectocross |
100/1(-1329%) | (6) Ectocross 100/1, Course winner who recorded a respectable seventh of 15 in handicap at Newmarket (10f, soft) 8 months ago. No forlorn hope on his return. More to prove over this far but needs a close look for yard which has had recent winners. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
WAHRAAN bounced back to form with a victory over this trip at Newbury last week and a 5lb penalty for that success may not be enough to stop him here. That said, Alpen Power has not been disgraced on his last couple of starts and should not be discounted. The unexposed Atlantic Convoy edges out Incremental and Crescent Lake to be best of the rest.
Ralph Beckett's son of Galileo ATLANTIC CONVOY appeals as a likely improver now stepping into handicap company with his stamina drawn out more so gets the nod. Alpen Power is weighted to go well and next on the list ahead of Crescent Lake who rates the pick of the rest for minor honours.
With one or two doubts over each of his rivals, a chance is taken on the reappearing ECTOCROSS.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (12/1 +25%) Imprint |
12/1(+25%) | (3) Imprint 12/1, Poor maiden. Tenth of 11 in classified event at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 13/2) on reappearance 13 days ago. Blinkers back on, tongue strap on first time. Offered little on recent seasonal return in another of these; on no better terms tonight. |
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2nd (1) (15/2 -25%) Alyara |
15/2(-25%) | (1) Alyara 15/2, Twenty runs since last win in 2022. Seventh of 11 in classified event at Lingfield (7f, good to firm, 9/1) 13 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Keeping-on seventh in a 7f Lingfield classified latest (good); does stay this longer trip. |
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3rd (9) (12/1 -60%) Sneaky Blinder |
12/1(-60%) | (9) Sneaky Blinder 12/1, Modest performer. 25/1 and tongue strap on first time, last of 11 in handicap at this course (1m good) 18 days ago. Back up in trip. First-time blinkers need to have a revitalising effect. Claims on peak spring efforts; not yet convincing this track type plays to his strengths. |
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4th (7) (18/1 +10%) Lady Birdie |
18/1(+10%) | (7) Lady Birdie 18/1, From a top yard but little form to date, including in 11.5f Windsor classified race on reappearance. Drop back in trip could help but still hard to make a case for. 18l behind Foinix in a Windsor classified on recent seasonal/turf debut; unpersuasive. |
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5th (10) (450/1 -5900%) Tomorrow Day |
450/1(-5900%) | (10) Tomorrow Day 450/1, Modest performer. 9/1 and cheekpieces on first time, fourth of 6 in handicap at Chepstow (1½m, good to firm) 25 days ago. Shortlisted. Collision course with Kraken Filly if repeating the tactics of his previous course visit. |
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6th (2) (250/1 -15237%) Foinix |
250/1(-15237%) | (2) Foinix 250/1, One win from 25 Flat runs but has recorded plenty of good placed efforts this year, including on turf last twice. Ought to be bang there again. Highly consistent, and only a neck away at Brighton latest; the drop back to 1m2f is fine. |
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7th (8) (400/1 -13233%) Rock And Royal |
400/1(-13233%) | (8) Rock And Royal 400/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Third of 14 in classified event at Yarmouth (1m, good to soft, 50/1) 21 days ago. Up in trip. Enters calculations. Yarmouth classified third latest (1m, soft) was a personal best; this longer trip may suit. |
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8th (5) (400/1 -1500%) Ladypacksapunch |
400/1(-1500%) | (5) Ladypacksapunch 400/1, Poor maiden. Well held both starts this year. Easy to look elsewhere. 0-26 analysis includes 0-11 record here (one C&D second); seventh in this race in 2023. |
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9th (6) (350/1 -1650%) Edenmore Lad |
350/1(-1650%) | (6) Edenmore Lad 350/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 40/1, fifth of 9 in handicap at Brighton (7f, good) 15 days ago, merely closing up late. Significantly up in trip. Brighton handicap fifth (7f) was still pretty moderate form; not well in on these terms. |
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10th (4) (250/1 -1463%) Kraken Filly |
250/1(-1463%) | (4) Kraken Filly 250/1, C&D winner. One win from 29 Flat runs. Last of 7 in handicap over this C&D (good) 18 days ago. Others are more obvious. C&D handicap winner and fair 2024 return, but another last-placed finish since that. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
A low-grade race that may be best to treat with caution, but FOINIX has been hammering on the door of late and should go very close in his bid to notch a second career success. Rock And Royal took a big step forward when third over 1m at Yarmouth last time and she could improve further for this extra quarter of a mile, while Alyara also has a squeak.
This looks a decent opportunity for the reliable FOINIX to land a deserved second career success. Rock And Royal has fewer convictions than most of these and the way she stuck on for third in a similar race over 1m at Yarmouth last time suggests this step up to 1¼m may help. Tomorrow Day also makes the shortlist.
Back up to 1m2f for the first time in two years, ALYARA may become the latest to deny the very consistent Foinix another win.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Young Lucy |
(4) (4/1 +20%)4/1(+20%) | (4) Young Lucy 4/1, Eighth of 13 in handicap (10/1) at Cork (10.1f, good to soft) 43 days ago, slowly away. Tongue strap back on. Very interesting off reduced mark. Bumper winner at Cork last year, beat a talented sort, Flat form does not amount to much. |
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He's Justagent |
(10) (18/1 +28%)18/1(+28%) | (10) He's Justagent 18/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, twelfth of 15 in handicap at Fairyhouse (12f, good, 16/1) 19 days ago. No closer than eighth in four handicap attempts, held by Hinemoa on Fairyhouse form. |
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Still Rolling |
(8) (22/1 -120%)22/1(-120%) | (8) Still Rolling 22/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 15/2, respectable seventh of 16 in handicap at Cork (7f, good to soft) 43 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Others more persuasive. Third in a five-runner 7f race her best run so far, out of a mare by Galileo, could stay. |
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1st (13) (8/1 +43%) Ifitwasme |
8/1(+43%) | (13) Ifitwasme 8/1, 18/1, respectable seventh of 13 in handicap at Fairyhouse (12f, good) 26 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Tongue strap on 1st time. Placed twice on good ground last year, last month's Fairyhouse run offers encouragement. |
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3rd (7) (14/1 -180%) Hinemoa |
14/1(-180%) | (7) Hinemoa 14/1, Creditable second of 16 in handicap (22/1) at Fairyhouse (12f, good) 26 days ago, conceding first run. Merits consideration. Both wins came over 1m4f on AW in 2023, chased home an easy winner at Fairyhouse on latest. |
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4th (2) (5/1 -82%) Elsa's Pride |
5/1(-82%) | (2) Elsa's Pride 5/1, Good second of 13 in handicap at Fairyhouse (12f, good, 5/1) 26 days ago, running on. Player. Cork 1m4f winner last August, Fairyhouse second suggests another success in imminent. |
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5th (5) (9/2 +50%) Struck By Churchil |
9/2(+50%) | (5) Struck By Churchil 9/2, Thrice-raced maiden on Flat. Second of 15 in juvenile hurdle (7/1) at Ballinrobe (16.3f, good to soft) on NH debut 36 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Open to improvement. Last season's Flat form was modest, may have turned a corner judged on a good hurdles run. |
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6th (14) (12/1 +14%) Applejack Poet |
12/1(+14%) | (14) Applejack Poet 12/1, Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. Modest winner at 17f over hurdles. Eighth of 14 in maiden at Gowran (9.4f, good to soft, 200/1) 30 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Makes handicap debut. Handicap hurdle winner on good ground, weak form in Flat maidens, may find his level now. |
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7th (11) (7/1 +56%) Bigz Belief |
7/1(+56%) | (11) Bigz Belief 7/1, 9/1, seventh of 10 in handicap hurdle at Downpatrick (17.8f, good) 18 days ago. Modest on the Flat, below form on last Flat run. Better known as a three-time hurdles winner, more than three years since sole Flat win. |
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8th (6) (25/1 +0%) Hopkins |
25/1(+0%) | (6) Hopkins 25/1, Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. 33/1, below form thirteenth of 22 in handicap at Leopardstown (9f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Started life in bumpers, steps up in trip on third handicap start, chance is not obvious. |
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9th (16) (80/1 -142%) Halcyon Spirit |
80/1(-142%) | (16) Halcyon Spirit 80/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2022. 100/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, below form ninth of 15 in handicap at Fairyhouse (12f, good) 19 days ago. Two wins on AW, down the field in three turf starts for this stable, up against it. |
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10th (3) (25/1 +24%) Bright Start |
25/1(+24%) | (3) Bright Start 25/1, Remains a maiden after 19 Flat runs. Twenty runs since last win in 2021. Last of 11 in handicap (80/1) at Gowran (14f, good) 16 days ago. Meydan winner in 2021, became regressive for Godolphin and no sign of a revival. |
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11th (17) (40/1 -21%) Katzoff |
40/1(-21%) | (17) Katzoff 40/1, 100/1, fourteenth of 21 in handicap at Leopardstown (12f, good) 47 days ago. Longstanding maiden in both codes (0-30 overall), down the field at Leopardstown in May. |
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12th (1) (6/1 +25%) Black Soul |
6/1(+25%) | (1) Black Soul 6/1, Respectable seventh of 14 in handicap at Limerick (12.5f, good, 14/1) 11 days ago. Looks competitive on form. Ended last year with a fine effort over C&D, should strip fitter after recent Limerick run. |
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13th (9) (11/1 +56%) Albion Princess |
11/1(+56%) | (9) Albion Princess 11/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Sixth of 13 in handicap at Down Royal (12.8f, good, 40/1) 11 days ago, very slowly away. Now down 19lb from her career-high mark but plenty to prove at this stage. |
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14th (12) (66/1 -230%) Essential Part |
66/1(-230%) | (12) Essential Part 66/1, 50/1, below form tenth of 16 in handicap hurdle at Tramore (16.2f, good to soft) 32 days ago. Tongue strap back on. Modest on the Flat, 7/18 on last Flat run. Moderate hurdles form since fair seventh of 18 at Galway on final Flat start last season. |
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|PU| (15) (40/1 -21%) Ballycommon Chapel |
40/1(-21%) | (15) Ballycommon Chapel 40/1, Respectable sixth of 13 in novice hurdle at Sligo (17.8f, good to soft, 25/1) 22 days ago. Poor on last Flat outing. Very exposed after 18 races, 14 on the Flat, never placed, has been running over hurdles. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
It might be worth taking a chance on BIGZ BELIEF in this weak affair. Better known for his exploits over flights, the seven-year-old returns to the level for the first time since November. While he hasn't been setting the world alight of late, he is a four time winner and can make an impact here off a mark of 49. Elsa's Pride and Black Soul are more obvious contenders, with the former just failing to get up at Fairyhouse on her most recent start. A winner at Cork last season, the 61-rated four-year-old will be well-fancied to take this. Black Soul filled the runner-up spot over the course and distance in August of last year, finishing seventh on his recent return to action at Limerick. The highest rated runner in the field, it'll be disappointing if he is not involved towards the business end. Hinemoa, Struck By Churchill and Crypto Crash are others for the shortlist.
The interesting one is YOUNG LUCY, who was the subject of a massive gamble prior to being a non runner in a handicap at Gowran last month. Elsa's Pride ran her best race when just failing at Fairyhouse and is another to consider along with Struck By Churchil, who's open to improvement back on the Flat.
Narrowly beaten at Fairyhouse on her second start this season, ELSA'S PRIDE has obvious prospects of going one place better.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Robert Walpole |
(5) (14/1 -100%)14/1(-100%) | (5) Robert Walpole 14/1, Dual Flat winner for Roger Varian in 2022. Has dropped a long way in the weights and produced his best effort for this stable (which has recently hit form) when second at Brighton 15 days ago. Not dismissed. Best effort for a while came on latest start when 2nd at Brighton (1m4f) under Joe Leavy. |
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1st (7) (33/1 +18%) Martin Spirit |
33/1(+18%) | (7) Martin Spirit 33/1, Poor handicap hurdler who down the field at Southwell last time. Blinkered for this return to the Flat and he's potentially well treated. Seen far more often over jumps; has not accomplished a great deal in his six races on Flat. |
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2nd (12) (33/1 -32%) Fighting Poet |
33/1(-32%) | (12) Fighting Poet 33/1, Limited maiden who didn't feature in a poor race at Lingfield last time. Others are more persuasive. 0-18; second on AW twice; has hardly been seen on turf, respectable fourth last May (1m6f). |
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3rd (2) (14/1 -133%) Angel On High |
14/1(-133%) | (2) Angel On High 14/1, 9/2, creditable third of 10 in handicap at Windsor (11.4f, good to firm) 30 days ago, well positioned. One to be interested in. Bang there on last three outings, over 11.4f at Windsor latest; each-way candidate. |
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4th (6) (66/1 -780%) The Conqueror |
66/1(-780%) | (6) The Conqueror 66/1, Scored at Brighton in May. Creditable second of 10 in handicap (17/2) at Windsor (11.5f, good to firm) a month ago. Likely to be in the mix. Fortunes turned in the winter and that's extended to turf season; neck 2nd on latest start. |
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5th (15) (100/1 -1567%) Standbackandlook |
100/1(-1567%) | (15) Standbackandlook 100/1, Still not completely exposed and seemed to benefit from the step up in trip when a clear second at Windsor 4 days ago. Upped further in distance and capable of getting involved if the race doesn't come too soon. Two seconds lately, latterly over 11.4f at Windsor (good to firm) only four days ago. |
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6th (3) (11/1 -120%) Thursday |
11/1(-120%) | (3) Thursday 11/1, Winner at Windsor in June. Very good second of 12 in minor event at Lingfield (11.6f, good to firm, 6/5) 11 days ago, no match for winner. One to consider. Won at Windsor (11.4f) 16 days ago and 2nd at Lingfield (11.6f) 11 days ago, in classified. |
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7th (1) (28/1 -75%) Fravanco |
28/1(-75%) | (1) Fravanco 28/1, On a feasible mark and seemed to react well to first-time cheekpieces when fifth at Kempton 3 weeks ago. Not one to rule out. Not so good on last three starts since; needs a revival and has more to prove on turf. |
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8th (9) (100/1 -300%) Imperial Cult |
100/1(-300%) | (9) Imperial Cult 100/1, Modest handicapper who has lost his form lately. Hard to make a case for. 16-race maiden and has not threatened to make the breakthrough this year. |
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9th (11) (100/1 -203%) Certain Style |
100/1(-203%) | (11) Certain Style 100/1, Modest filly who didn't convince with her stamina for this trip at Windsor last time. Has more to prove than some. 12-race maiden; the move up to 11.4f on latest start failed to prove her stamina. |
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10th (8) (100/1 -1011%) Fullforward |
100/1(-1011%) | (8) Fullforward 100/1, Creditable fifth of 11 in handicap (11/1) at Lingfield (11.6f, good to firm) 36 days ago. Claims if he can back that up. Both wins (26 races) came in headgear; has done enough this year to be given a second look. |
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11th (13) (100/1 -1011%) Gilbert |
100/1(-1011%) | (13) Gilbert 100/1, Capable from this mark on his day and took a positive step despite meeting trouble when third at Lingfield last time. Definite player if he can build on that. 2nd here last August; third in a Lingfield classified 11 days ago; not totally dismissed. |
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12th (4) (80/1 -400%) Star Of Epsom |
80/1(-400%) | (4) Star Of Epsom 80/1, Latest win at Lingfield in December and ran well the next two outings. Might have needed his return from a break at Windsor last time, so not ruled out back up in trip. Four wins over 1m2f on Lingfield AW, plus a 2nd over 1m4f; turf record far less persuasive. |
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13th (10) (80/1 -400%) Stopnsearch |
80/1(-400%) | (10) Stopnsearch 80/1, Hasn't won for some time and latest effort at Brighton doesn't suggest he's about to buck the trend. Bits of AW form last winter read well and he maybe needed latest start, after 12 weeks off. |
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14th (14) (50/1 -1011%) Our Papa Smurf |
50/1(-1011%) | (14) Our Papa Smurf 50/1, Confirmed encouragement of reappearance at the second attempt when scoring at Goodwood last time. Type to go on progressing and is worth a chance to go in again. Won at Goodwood (1m2f, good to soft) 19 days ago and this 3yo may well have more to offer. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
In a wide-open event, marginal preference is for THE CONQUEROR, who was only beaten a neck into second off this mark when last seen at Windsor a month ago. Angel On High has also been running very well in defeat off his current mark of late, while recent Goodwood winner Our Papa Smurf has to be of interest. The shortlist is completed by Standbackandlook and Thursday.
OUR PAPA SMURF is unexposed in relation to his rivals and he took a step forward when winning a 13-runner handicap at Goodwood last time. The longer trip should be suitable and he's taken to edge out Thursday, who only found one too good at Lingfield 11 days ago. Angel On High is another one to consider.
The Conqueror and Angel On High appear solid to run well but Our Papa Smurf and THURSDAY are far more lightly raced.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Miss Raindrop |
(6) (50/1 -52%)50/1(-52%) | (6) Miss Raindrop 50/1, Poor maiden. Seventh of 8 in classified event at Newcastle (1m, 150/1) in March (final start for Tracy Waggott). Significantly back up in trip on first run for new yard. Hard to fancy. These would be as close to her optimum trip/ground requirements as any, but more needed. |
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1st (3) (9/4 +44%) Blue Hero |
9/4(+44%) | (3) Blue Hero 9/4, Seven-time course winner. Eleven runs since last win in 2023. 4/1, shaped as if still in form when fifth of 12 in handicap at this course (1¾m, firm) 9 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Expected to be bang there. 7-18 here (2-3 C&D) and 9lb below his last winning mark; has to enter calculations. |
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2nd (1) (14/1 +58%) A Poet's Secret |
14/1(+58%) | (1) A Poet's Secret 14/1, Won on AW last November but down the field on all 5 outings since. Very little joy since last November's all-the-way Polytrack success off 9lb higher (2m). |
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3rd (8) (11/1 -340%) Checkmeout |
11/1(-340%) | (8) Checkmeout 11/1, 5/1, good second of 5 in handicap at Chepstow (1¼m, good to firm) 9 days ago. Likely to be in the thick of things again. Keeping-on Chepstow second latest, and step up from 1m2f looks worth a go; same mark. |
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4th (4) (33/1 -1550%) Khangai |
33/1(-1550%) | (4) Khangai 33/1, One win from 21 Flat runs. Good close third of 11 in handicap at Nottingham (1¼m, good, 9/2) 20 days ago. Considered. Coming to the boil again judged on close Nottingham third latest; longer trip worth a go. |
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5th (2) (125/1 -1983%) Galactic Glow |
125/1(-1983%) | (2) Galactic Glow 125/1, Course winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2023. Sixth of 9 in handicap (9/2) at Chepstow (1m, good) 16 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Tongue strap back on. Three 1m2f wins here last summer (firm/good to firm); may improve on previous C&D form. |
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6th (5) (150/1 -971%) Susanbequick |
150/1(-971%) | (5) Susanbequick 150/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. Seventh of 9 in C&D handicap last September and not seen since. 1m Polytrack winner; wasn't seeing out this C&D entirely convincingly when last out. |
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7th (7) (200/1 -2567%) Chelsea Flower |
200/1(-2567%) | (7) Chelsea Flower 200/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 125/1, eighth of 12 in maiden at Chelmsford (1¼m) 13 days ago. In good hands and wouldn't be a shock were she to prove a different proposition in handicaps. Interesting to see what the betting makes of her. Weighted to the best of three qualifying efforts (1m2f); likely improver in easier race. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Seven-time course winner Blue Hero has to enter calculations, while Checkmeout also warrants respect following her runner-up effort at Chepstow. The vote, however, goes to KHANGAI. There was plenty to like about his close-up third over 1m2f at Nottingham last time, form which has been boosted with the fourth winning since, and he must have every chance lining up off the same mark of 53.
Course specialist BLUE HERO was a bit better than the result over a longer trip here last time and is taken to land an eighth win at this venue. Roger Varian's recent Nottingham runner-up Checkmeout is second choice ahead of Khangai.
The step up to a longer trip appears timely for both KHANGAI and Checkmeout. Course regular Blue Hero is not ignored lightly.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (33/1 -32%) Little Boy Blue |
33/1(-32%) | (9) Little Boy Blue 33/1, Won a 7f Chepstow handicap last June and third in this race on his next start. Feasibly handicapped again but his peak fitness has to be taken on trust after 7 months off. Third in this race last year; may prove best watched on this first outing since November. |
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2nd (5) (6/1 -20%) Tropez Power |
6/1(-20%) | (5) Tropez Power 6/1, Last 3 wins on AW at Southwell but recent turf efforts have been creditable. Not discounted. On the premises on turf on last three outings and that puts him firmly in the mix. |
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3rd (10) (16/1 -113%) Mister Bluebird |
16/1(-113%) | (10) Mister Bluebird 16/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. 15/2, creditable third of 8 in handicap at Goodwood (6f, good to firm) 24 days ago. Now 5 lb below the mark he defied over 7f at Goodwood last summer. Capable of going well. Two minor honours from three races this season; very well handicapped on best 2023 efforts. |
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4th (3) (20/1 -186%) Good Karma |
20/1(-186%) | (3) Good Karma 20/1, Low-mileage 4-y-o but his 3 efforts this season have been a little underwhelming. This is less competitive than the big-field sprint he contested at York last time but others have less to prove. Handicap career has not flourished in three runs this season, dropped 7lb in the process. |
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5th (4) (100/1 -900%) Holy Fire |
100/1(-900%) | (4) Holy Fire 100/1, Bounced back from a poor run on soft ground at Thirsk when creditable fourth of 11 over 7f at Kempton 35 days ago. Needs to prove he's as effective on turf. Only two turf races, when below form at Ascot last July and pulled up at Thirsk this May. |
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6th (1) (16/1 -45%) Sir Winston |
16/1(-45%) | (1) Sir Winston 16/1, Three-time winner last term, including C&D. Recorded a couple of creditable efforts in Bahrain at the start of 2024 but ran below form on his British return at Goodwood last month. 7f wins in 2023 at Brighton and Epsom; mixed winter in Bahrain and well held at Goodwood. |
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7th (7) (33/1 -500%) Marlay Park |
33/1(-500%) | (7) Marlay Park 33/1, Four-time C&D winner and another creditable effort over C&D when fourth at the end of May. Not so good at Lingfield since but his record here affords him respect. Competitive in all but one of his 15 races at Epsom, winning four and runner-up in five. |
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8th (8) (100/1 -1567%) Hodler |
100/1(-1567%) | (8) Hodler 100/1, C&D winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2023. 14/1, creditable third of 9 in handicap at Lingfield (7f, good to firm) 13 days ago. Nearly 4l behind Marlay Park on Oaks day; most of his good runs on ground softer than good. |
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9th (6) (100/1 -1900%) Justcallmepete |
100/1(-1900%) | (6) Justcallmepete 100/1, Lower in the weights on turf and he ran well for fourth in a big field at York last time. Should be capable of winning from this mark. Led over 1f out when fourth of 16 at York (7f, good to soft) on latest outing. |
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10th (2) (25/1 -257%) Spanish Star |
25/1(-257%) | (2) Spanish Star 25/1, C&D winner. 14/1, eleventh of 14 in handicap at Windsor (6f, good to firm) 16 days ago. Doubts about whether he's at the top of his game right now but this is a drop in grade having contested Class 2/3 events previously this season. Won off 4lb higher over C&D last June; not disgraced here on penultimate start. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
JUSTCALLMEPETE has dropped to an eye-catching mark and his most recent fourth at York a few weeks ago suggests that he could be hard to stop in a race of this nature. Tropez Power scored at Southwell in April and has not been disgraced on any of his three subsequent starts. With that in mind, he could prove to be the main danger, ahead of Hodler and Mister Bluebird.
Perhaps this is the day when JUSTCALLMEPETE cashes in on his lower turf mark. Marley Park's fine C&D record makes him a must for the shortlist, while Mister Bluebird and Tropez Power are both more than capable from their current marks.
Cases can be made for Mister Bluebird and Tropez Power but it is not hard to side with course specialist MARLAY PARK (nap).
Ths is the racecard key.
Icon | Meaning |
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TomForm top stats, gold rated | |
TomForm top stats silver rated | |
Ran similar race before | |
S | TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out |
T | Top Time speeed rated |
Top Racingpost rated | |
At the races watchout for | |
At the races top pick | |
Top rated for thet statistic |
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
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