There were 45 Races on Monday 15th May 2023 across 6 meetings. There was 8 races at Musselburgh, 7 races at Wolverhampton, 8 races at Catterick, 7 races at Windsor, 8 races at Killarney, 7 races at Southwell, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (10/1 -43%) Obee Jo |
10/1(-43%) | (2) Obee Jo 10/1, C&D winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. 25/1, below form ninth of 17 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, heavy) on return 17 days ago. Very interesting off career-low mark back at scene of his last success. Five wins in all but none last year and his return at Doncaster was nothing to shout about. |
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2nd (8) (6.5/1 +24%) Mutanaaseq |
6.5/1(+24%) | (8) Mutanaaseq 6.5/1, Twenty five runs since last win in 2021. 15/2, bit below form sixth of 13 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 10 days ago, not much room. Shaping up well. He's dangerous off this mark and his recent races haven't been going to plan.. |
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3rd (4) (2.25/1 -38%) Two Summers |
2.25/1(-38%) | (4) Two Summers 2.25/1, Course winner. 5/1, good second of 17 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, heavy) 17 days ago, clear of rest. Expected to be bang there again. Course winner who has started the season well and highly likely to be involved.. |
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4th (1) (12/1 +0%) End Zone |
12/1(+0%) | (1) End Zone 12/1, Hasn't won for a while but is becoming feasibly treated. Thirteenth of 14 in handicap (10/1) at Wetherby (8f, good to soft) 15 days ago. Blinkers back on. Interesting down in grade. He's only 4-44 overall and his recent efforts have been below par.. |
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5th (6) (7/1 +50%) Mr Strutter |
7/1(+50%) | (6) Mr Strutter 7/1, 3-time C&D winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. 7/1, bit below form seventh of 12 in handicap at Pontefract (8f, good to soft) 12 days ago, not ideally placed. Hit and miss but usually goes well here. Has won plenty down the years and his reappearance was encouraging.. |
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6th (5) (11/1 -22%) Clotherholme |
11/1(-22%) | (5) Clotherholme 11/1, C&D winner. 7/1, respectable seventh of 14 in handicap at Beverley (7.4f, soft) 14 days ago. Dropped to a handy mark. On a handy mark and would have finished closer with a clear run at Beverley.. |
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7th (7) (6.5/1 +46%) Liberty Breeze |
6.5/1(+46%) | (7) Liberty Breeze 6.5/1, 12/1, last of 11 in handicap at Thirsk (7f, soft) on return 41 days ago. Form figures of 311 over C&D last season. Dual C&D winner on drier ground; finished tailed off on her soft-ground return.. |
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8th (3) (12/1 -33%) Rain Cap |
12/1(-33%) | (3) Rain Cap 12/1, Course winner. 11/1, very good fourth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 16 days ago, running on. Has form here, ran well on the AW last time and nothing wrong with his mark.. |
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9th (9) (7.5/1 -36%) Dreamcasing |
7.5/1(-36%) | (9) Dreamcasing 7.5/1, 10/3, bit below form seventh of 13 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) on return 10 days ago, not clear run. Has races in him. Has the ability to win off this mark if he can kick the habit of starting slowly.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are most likely to do well and finish in the top three are 5.5/1 (9) DREAMCASING, 1.63/1 (4) TWO SUMMERS, and 7/1 (2) OBEE JO. 5.5/1 (9) DREAMCASING has the ability to win off this mark and has races in him, 1.63/1 (4) TWO SUMMERS has started the season well and is highly likely to be involved, and 7/1 (2) OBEE JO is interesting off a career-low mark and is a C&D winner. However, as with all horse races, there is always an element of unpredictability and any horse could surprise and finish in the top three.
Liberty Breeze has won two of his three starts over this C&D, with the latest of those wins coming off this mark in July last year, but he will need to step up on a disappointing run (last of 11) at Thirsk on his return to have a say. Two Summers was only beaten a neck at Doncaster last time but has an added 4lb now and a chance is taken on RAIN CAP, who was only beaten a length at Wolverhampton last month and has winning form on a similar surface.
OBEE JO has dropped to a career-low mark and could be set to cash in back at the scene of his last success following a satisfactory return at Doncaster. Two Summers went close in that same race and can make another bold bid despite a 4 lb rise. Liberty Breeze is another to note back at Catterick (both her wins have come here).
The suggestion is MUTANAASEQ, who is probably in better form than this season's form figures may imply.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (0.62/1 +32%) Cuban Slide |
0.62/1(+32%) | (1) Cuban Slide 0.62/1, Foaled March 4. 30,000 gns foal, 57,000 gns yearling, Havana Grey colt. Dam, winner up to 7f (2-y-o 6f winner), half-sister to useful winner up to 1m (stayed 1¼m) Runner Runner. Interesting newcomer. 57,000gns yearling; by Havana Grey; trainer has made a good start with 2yos this term. |
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2nd (4) (5/1 -25%) Making Dreams |
5/1(-25%) | (4) Making Dreams 5/1, Foaled April 28. 33,000 gns yearling, Make Believe filly. Half-sister to winner up to 1m Siberian Night. 33,000gns yearling; by Make Believe; stablemate of Cuban Slide; market instructive. |
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3rd (3) (4.5/1 -80%) Zachary |
4.5/1(-80%) | (3) Zachary 4.5/1, Foaled January 31. Cable Bay colt. Closely related to 2-y-o 6f winner First of May. Has to be respected on debut. Cable Bay colt; grandson of five-time 1m G1 winner Soviet Song; interesting newcomer. |
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4th (2) (10/1 +9%) Pumpkin Pie |
10/1(+9%) | (2) Pumpkin Pie 10/1, Foaled April 20. Equiano colt. Dam unraced half-sister to useful 2-y-o 6f/7f winner Stonemason. 28/1, seventh of 11 in minor event at Thirsk (5f, heavy) on debut 9 days ago. Likely to need a big step forward up against some interesting newcomers. The only runner with experience but sets just a modest standard on the Thirsk effort. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
It is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well based on this summary alone, as there are several interesting newcomers with unknown potential. However, the trainer's good start with 2-year-olds this term and the higher price paid for 0.91/1 (1) CUBAN SLIDE as a yearling could suggest that he may be a contender. The predicted order of finish for the top three horses would be: 1. 0.91/1 (1) CUBAN SLIDE 2. 2.5/1 (3) ZACHARY 3. 4/1 (4) MAKING DREAMS
A chance can be taken with CUBAN SLIDE, who cost 57,000gns as a yearling and the son of Havana Grey is closely related to plenty of winners. Making Dreams, a stablemate of the selection, was a 33,000gns purchase and is another whose pedigree offers plenty of encouragement. Any market support for Zachary would have to be noted, while Pumpkin Pie can put his experience to good use.
This is likely to go to one of the 3 newcomers, with CUBAN SLIDE making most appeal before the benefit of market clues. Zachary looks next best ahead of the selection's stablemate Making Dreams.
Preference is for ZACHARY who looks potentially above average, judged on breeding. Cuban Slide is feared most.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (22/1 +0%) Absolutelyflawless |
22/1(+0%) | (2) Absolutelyflawless 22/1, Two wins from 5 runs last year. Seventh of 8 in handicap (10/1) at Nottingham (5f, heavy) on reappearance 33 days ago. Needs to leave that well behind. Won her first two 2yo starts but has regressed since a big turnaround is needed. |
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2nd (9) (6.5/1 +19%) Due Date |
6.5/1(+19%) | (9) Due Date 6.5/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Fourth of 9 in minor event (3/1) at Kempton (6f) 44 days ago. Gelded after. Makes handicap debut. One to consider. Two promising efforts on AW this spring and looks interesting on his handicap debut. |
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3rd (4) (5.5/1 +39%) Tallulah Myla |
5.5/1(+39%) | (4) Tallulah Myla 5.5/1, Impressive winner at Chelmsford City in April. Ninth of 11 in handicap at Kempton (6f, 7/4) 40 days ago, not seen to best effect having to be used hard early from a difficult draw and trapped wide. Worth another chance. Flopped under a penalty at Kempton but has claims if she can get back in the groove. |
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4th (3) (1.25/1 -14%) Razzam |
1.25/1(-14%) | (3) Razzam 1.25/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Well-backed 3/1, good second of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 10 days ago. Fair shout up 3 lb. Expensive to follow but he went close on recent handicap debut at Newcastle; big player. |
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5th (1) (6.5/1 +28%) Overnight Oats |
6.5/1(+28%) | (1) Overnight Oats 6.5/1, Runner-up twice at 2 yrs. Off 6 months/gelded. Should be suited by 6f. One to note for in-form yard. Has course form but he's 0-8 and has been inconsistent; others are more convincing. |
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6th (10) (8/1 +0%) Debater |
8/1(+0%) | (10) Debater 8/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Tongue strap on for 1st time/cheekpieces on for 1st time, sixth of 8 in nursery (6/1) at Newcastle (5f) when last seen. Off 6 months. Back up in trip. In good hands and still early days but she needs improvement back up in trip on her return. |
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7th (6) (14/1 +0%) Ignac Lamar |
14/1(+0%) | (6) Ignac Lamar 14/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Southwell in January. Fifth of 8 in handicap (8/1) at this C&D 34 days ago. Dual Tapeta winner (6f) but he's an exposed type and looks vulnerable off this mark. |
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8th (7) (14/1 +0%) Jungle Fever |
14/1(+0%) | (7) Jungle Fever 14/1, Won at Brighton a year ago. 12/1, last of 8 in nursery at Redcar (6f, soft) on final start of 2-y-o campaign. Off 6 months/gelded. Failed to progress after his Brighton win last season; something to prove on return. |
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9th (5) (80/1 -400%) Miss American Pie |
80/1(-400%) | (5) Miss American Pie 80/1, Winning debut at Windsor early last season. 50/1, 12½ lengths eleventh of 15 to Pillow Talk in listed race at York (5f, good to firm) when last seen. Off 12 months. Up in trip. Makes handicap debut on return. Won on debut last April before a tough task in a Listed race; needs close look on comeback. |
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10th (8) (40/1 -150%) Fitzroy River |
40/1(-150%) | (8) Fitzroy River 40/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 100/1, sixth of 10 in minor event at Lingfield (7f, AW) 19 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Unexposed filly and she needs watching in market dropped to 6f on handicap debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Prediction: 1.1/1 (3) RAZZAM is likely to do well based on their recent performance and their odds being well backed. One possible order for the top three finishers could be: 1st - 1.1/1 (3) RAZZAM, 2nd - 16/1 (8) FITZROY RIVER, 3rd - 8/1 (9) DUE DATE.
Tallulah Myla was an easy winner at Chelmsford in early April but failed to follow up when sent out quickly again under a penalty at Kempton, where the wide draw and short rest between races were seemingly her undoing. She might do better now after a break, but the form of RAZZAM may hold sway. Fifth to Desert Cop (won on All-Weather Championships day at Newcastle) at Kempton in February, he followed that with a neck second on his handicap bow 10 days ago and the improving colt could prove too good for these, despite a 3lb rise. Miss American Pie is another of interest dropping from Listed class on only her third start and she could have more to come.
RAZZAM improved when headed close home on his handicap debut at Newcastle and can go one place better here. Tallulah Myla had excuses at Kempton and is worth another chance. Due Date is also in the mix.
Roger Varian's RAZZAM went close on his recent handicap debut at Newcastle and may well be able to make his breakthrough here.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (0.73/1 +58%) Majestic Beauty |
0.73/1(+58%) | (3) Majestic Beauty 0.73/1, Foaled March 31. 40,000 gns yearling, £90,000 2-y-o, Havana Grey filly. Half-sister to several winners, including useful 2-y-o 6f winner Mr Wizard and winner around 6f Enduring. Dam sprint maiden. Only withdrawn late from her intended debut at Ascot on Friday and this looks easier.. |
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2nd (4) (2.5/1 -67%) Specific Times |
2.5/1(-67%) | (4) Specific Times 2.5/1, Foaled March 6. Blue Point filly. Dam, 2-y-o 5f winner who stayed 7f, half-sister to very smart winner up to 8.5f Newspaperofrecord out of useful winner up to 7f (2-y-o 6f winner) Sunday Times. 8/1, promising fifth of 9 in maiden at Newmarket (5f, good to soft) on debut 26 days ago. The one to beat. Showed plenty of early dash before weakening into fifth at Newmarket.. |
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3rd (2) (4/1 -33%) Harvanna |
4/1(-33%) | (2) Harvanna 4/1, Foaled March 5. 9,000 gns foal, €58,000 yearling, Havana Grey filly. Half-sister to winner up to 6f Dynamighty and 2-y-o 5f winner Jazzy Socks. Dam winner up to 6f (2-y-o 5f winner). 58,000euros yearling; fifth foal; half-sister to 5f AW 2yo winner Jazzy Socks; interesting. |
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4th (1) (28/1 -75%) Foxfield |
28/1(-75%) | (1) Foxfield 28/1, Foaled March 25. £28,000 yearling, Tasleet filly. Dam, 6f/7f winner (including at 2 yrs), half-sister to useful winner up to 9f Nocturnal Secret. 11/1, sixth of 8 in minor event at Redcar (5f, heavy) on debut 28 days ago. Needs big step forward. Showed some early speed but was beaten 10l in the end at Redcar (5f, soft).. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary provided, it seems like 1.5/1 (4) SPECIFIC TIMES is the horse to beat, with promising early dash in a recent maiden race and strong breeding pedigree. Therefore, 1.5/1 (4) SPECIFIC TIMES is likely to finish in 1st place. In terms of 2nd and 3rd place, it is difficult to predict without more information on the other horses' recent form and performances.
SPECIFIC TIMES showed some promise when fifth on her Newmarket debut, despite becoming unbalanced at a crucial stage, and if she has learned from that experience, then she may be able to come out on top in this small field. Majestic Beauty looks the better of the two newcomers on paper, as a half-sister to Mr Wizard, and she may be good enough to pick up second place, although Harvanna is also a daughter of Havana Grey and might have a say as well.
SPECIFIC TIMES is bred and built for sprinting and she showed enough on debut in a better race than this at Newmarket to suggest she'll soon be winning. That said, Majestic Beauty and Harvanna are newcomers with plenty going for them on paper.
This can go to MAJESTIC BEAUTY, who was taken out of her intended debut at Ascot on Friday due to the testing ground.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (1.5/1 +45%) B Associates |
1.5/1(+45%) | (7) B Associates 1.5/1, Good second of 6 in handicap (5/2) at this C&D (good to soft) 10 days ago, running on. Has to be taken seriously. 0-11 but turn looks near judged on both efforts this season, second over C&D latest. |
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2nd (3) (3/1 +0%) Mr Jetman |
3/1(+0%) | (3) Mr Jetman 3/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Below form third of 7 in handicap at Catterick (7f, soft, well-backed 13/8) 19 days ago, missing break. Market support for him last time was interesting and he's one to note. Attracted support at Catterick last time and may well build on that third-place finish. |
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3rd (4) (5/1 -100%) Rockonmecca |
5/1(-100%) | (4) Rockonmecca 5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 16/1, very good fourth of 15 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, heavy) on return 17 days ago. Player. Ran well in soft-ground handicap at Doncaster on reappearance; still unexposed. |
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4th (8) (22/1 -22%) George Lodge |
22/1(-22%) | (8) George Lodge 22/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Off 7 months. Visored for 1st time. Makes handicap debut. May do better now handicapping in headgear and upped in distance. |
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5th (6) (10/1 +17%) Azaim |
10/1(+17%) | (6) Azaim 10/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Fifth of 7 in handicap (14/1) at Beverley (9.9f, soft) 14 days ago. Back down in trip. Interesting with this drop back to 7f a likely source of improvement; yard in form. |
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6th (9) (50/1 -100%) Ana Emaraaty |
50/1(-100%) | (9) Ana Emaraaty 50/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 80/1, last of 7 in maiden at this course (5f, good to soft) 10 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Makes handicap debut. May improve back over 7f on handicap debut. |
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7th (2) (8.5/1 +15%) Texas Boy |
8.5/1(+15%) | (2) Texas Boy 8.5/1, Fair maiden. Off 145 days/gelded. Back down in trip. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Has races in him on pick of his Irish efforts. Has shown little on AW for new stable; may stage a revival back on grass. |
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8th (1) (16/1 -33%) Noble Captain |
16/1(-33%) | (1) Noble Captain 16/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Off 4 months/first run since leaving Stuart Williams when fourth of 5 in minor event at Newcastle (7.1f, 40/1) 13 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Makes handicap debut. Improvement needed. Handicap debutant; looks unfavourably treated off top weight judged on his bare form. |
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9th (5) (33/1 -50%) Smooth Red |
33/1(-50%) | (5) Smooth Red 33/1, Eighth of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (5f, 22/1) 13 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Hood back on. Not solid on his sprint form and has enough to prove over this new trip. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Predicting horse race outcomes is beyond the scope of language AI models, as it requires complex analysis and knowledge of horse racing. It is also important to note that gambling or betting should be done responsibly and within legal bounds.
B ASSOCIATES hit the crossbar in a similar event over C&D 10 days ago and a 1lb rise in the ratings may not be enough to stop him from going one better here. Rockonmecca put in an encouraging effort on her return to action last month and may prove to be the main danger. Others to note are Mr Jetman and Noble Captain.
Low-grade fare and B ASSOCIATES could be the way to go after his good second behind an impressive winner here last time. Mr Jetman was well backed when blowing the start at Catterick and could fare much better now. Rockonmecca is another to note after her decent Doncaster showing.
The vote goes to likely improver AZAIM. Second choice is Mr Jetman, ahead of Rockonmecca and B Associates.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (4/1 +43%) Mariamne |
4/1(+43%) | (8) Mariamne 4/1, 9/2, green when last of 6 in maiden at Brighton (5.3f, good) on debut 12 days ago. In good hands and no surprise were she to prove a different proposition this time. Only 9-2 at Brighton 12 days ago but she ran green before finishing last of six. |
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2nd (3) (6/1 +45%) Lady Showcasing |
6/1(+45%) | (3) Lady Showcasing 6/1, 7/1, sSixth of 9 in novice at Beverley (5f, good to soft) on debut 26 days ago, fading after showing speed. Likely to improve. Has good pedigree but she made a low-key start at Beverley last month. |
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3rd (6) (4/1 +38%) Peace Wall |
4/1(+38%) | (6) Peace Wall 4/1, Foaled March 12. €18,000 Camacho filly. Closely related to winner up to 7f Beleaguerment, and half-sister to 6f winner Seven Emirates and 1m winner Rabbit Rock. Dam 2-y-o 5f/6f winner. Well drawn on debut. Betting should help guide to expectations. Well drawn on debut and interesting to see how she figures in market. |
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4th (4) (4.5/1 -125%) Mediate Alexander |
4.5/1(-125%) | (4) Mediate Alexander 4.5/1, Foaled March 12. Kodiac filly. Sister to 2-y-o 5f winner Kodyanna and half-sister to 3 winners, including smart 5f/6f winner Logo Hunter and useful winner up to 7f Darkanna. Likely type on paper. Plenty to like on paper and she's an interesting newcomer. |
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5th (1) (16/1 +0%) Adaay In Devon |
16/1(+0%) | (1) Adaay In Devon 16/1, Foaled April 6. Adaay filly. Half-sister to winner up to 6f Devon Envoy. Dam 5f/6f winner (including at 2 yrs). Newcomer to note in the betting. Has plenty of speed in her pedigree and yard has had a 2yo winner recently; watch market. |
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6th (2) (10/1 -25%) Fistral Beach |
10/1(-25%) | (2) Fistral Beach 10/1, Foaled April 9. 30,000 gns New Bay sister to useful 6f winner Red Letter Bray and half-sister to winner abroad by Casamento. Dam runner-up at 6f-7f from just 3 starts. Yard has had a first-time-out 2yo winner this season. Betting should guide. 30,000gns sister to a useful 6f winner; needs a close look on debut. |
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7th (9) (22/1 -57%) Match That |
22/1(-57%) | (9) Match That 22/1, Fourth on Redcar debut but went backwards from that when down the field at Beverley a fortnight later. Didn't live up to market expectations on debut and was out the back at Beverley last time. |
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8th (11) (10/1 -25%) Villas Bullet |
10/1(-25%) | (11) Villas Bullet 10/1, Foaled January 22. 6,000 gns James Garfield filly. Dam unraced out of smart 2-y-o 7f winner Termagant. From a stable which has been among the juvenile winners so a market move would look significant. Has tough draw on debut but yard is going well with 2yos this year; one to keep an eye on. |
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9th (7) (7.5/1 +25%) Lady Of Africa |
7.5/1(+25%) | (7) Lady Of Africa 7.5/1, 18/1, sixth of 8 in novice at Bath (5f, good to soft) on debut 24 days ago. Tongue strap quickly reached for. 18-1 at Bath last month and she weakened into a 9l sixth of eight; tongue-tie now added. |
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10th (5) (125/1 -213%) Naval Flight |
125/1(-213%) | (5) Naval Flight 125/1, 12/1, last of 7 in novice at Beverley (5f, good to soft) on debut 18 days ago. Bred to be speedy but she didn't show much at Beverley on her debut. |
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11th (10) (18/1 -13%) Shah Of The Isle |
18/1(-13%) | (10) Shah Of The Isle 18/1, Foaled April 9. Equiano half-sister to winner abroad by Showcasing. Dam lightly-raced half-sister to useful winner up to 11.5f Kayah. Market should guide. Has quite a bit of stamina in pedigree and looks a longer-term prospect. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
It is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will perform well based on the information provided, as many are newcomers with little or no track record. However, based on the information given, some possible contenders for the top three positions could be: 1. 2/1 (4) MEDIATE ALEXANDER - This filly has an impressive pedigree and is described as a
Mediate Alexander looks interesting as an unraced daughter of Kodiac and she is well worth a market watch ahead of her first start, a comment that also applies to Fistral Beach, a 30,000gns yearling who has the benefit of Billy Loughnane in the saddle. Both could go well but a chance is taken on the once-raced LADY SHOWCASING, who showed speed before weakening quickly on a softer surface at Beverley last month and may find the Tapeta here much more to her liking.
Clive Cox's MEDIATE ALEXANDER makes plenty of appeal on breeding and gets the vote, with confidence in her chance increased should the betting vibes be strong. Alice Haynes has been among the 2-y-o winners so Villas Bullet would rate a threat if the market suggests she's fancied. Lady Showcasing showed up well for a long way on her Beverley debut and is another to consider.
The market should be informative but at this stage the vote goes to Clive Cox's well-bred newcomer MEDIATE ALEXANDER.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (3/1 +81%) Laakhof |
3/1(+81%) | (9) Laakhof 3/1, Maiden who ended last term in disappointing fashion, fifteenth in 21-runner handicap at the Curragh (5f) on final start in August. Joined new yard for 10,000 gns in October and the betting should prove a useful guide here. Tongue tie on 1st time. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (4) (6/1 -50%) Zoom Star |
6/1(-50%) | (4) Zoom Star 6/1, C&D winner. 10/3, ran right up to best when second of 8 in handicap at Nottingham (5f, soft) 23 days ago, running on. Big shout with a repeat from handy draw. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (2) (5.5/1 -22%) Golden Gal |
5.5/1(-22%) | (2) Golden Gal 5.5/1, C&D winner. Bit below form 3 lengths fourth of 10 to Astapor in handicap at this C&D (good to soft, 14/1) 19 days ago, no extra final 1f. Feasible to think she'll be sharper with that under her belt and possibilities now operating 2 lb below last winning mark. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (1) (4/1 +20%) Astapor |
4/1(+20%) | (1) Astapor 4/1, Career best when winning 10-runner handicap (8/1) at this C&D (good to soft) 19 days ago, leading close home. Much better positioned than the majority on that occasion but not ruled out with a repeat. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (5) (16/1 -33%) Imperial Khan |
16/1(-33%) | (5) Imperial Khan 16/1, Fifth of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (5f, 7/2) 7 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Has work to do. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (3) (9/1 +18%) Latin Five |
9/1(+18%) | (3) Latin Five 9/1, 15/2, fifth of 7 in handicap at Newcastle (5f) 10 days ago, brief headway 2f out but no further impression. Mark has eased a little more at least. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (7) (25/1 -257%) Jumira Bridge |
25/1(-257%) | (7) Jumira Bridge 25/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in May. Creditable third of 7 in handicap (11/2) at Chelmsford City (6f) 11 days ago, keeping on without threatening. Not discounted in present groove from lower turf mark. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (8) (22/1 -10%) Captain Corcoran |
22/1(-10%) | (8) Captain Corcoran 22/1, C&D winner. Seventh of 8 in handicap at Nottingham (5f, soft, 7/1) 23 days ago, headed over 2f out and weakening. Mark is steadily easing but others make more appeal for win purposes here. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (11) (16/1 +43%) Miss Anaco |
16/1(+43%) | (11) Miss Anaco 16/1, One win from 22 Flat runs. Visored for 1st time, tenth of 13 in minor event at Southwell (6.1f, 16/1) 67 days ago. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (12) (8/1 -33%) Congress |
8/1(-33%) | (12) Congress 8/1, Maiden who made more impact than previously when third in 12-runner handicap at Southwell (6f) 4 days ago, keeping on. Remains less exposed than most if he can build on that now. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (13) (66/1 -100%) Amazing Arthur |
66/1(-100%) | (13) Amazing Arthur 66/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 100/1, sixth of 9 in minor event at Beverley (5f, good) in September, brief headway under 2f out and no further impression. Entitled to hold more chance now handicapping on return and the market should prove a useful guide. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12th (10) (50/1 +0%) Billy Dylan |
50/1(+0%) | (10) Billy Dylan 50/1, Forty runs since last win in 2018. 66/1 and blinkered for 1st time, eighth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (5f). Off 109 days and others preferred on balance. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
13th (6) (22/1 -57%) Rockley Point |
22/1(-57%) | (6) Rockley Point 22/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Newcastle in March. 17/2, respectable third of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (5f) 7 days ago. Each-way claims again returned to turf. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that have the most potential to finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd are: 1st: 4/1 (4) ZOOM STAR - who ran right up to their best in their last race and has a handy draw. 2nd: 5/1 (1) ASTAPOR - who won their last race and is not ruled out for a repeat performance. 3rd: 14/1 (6) ROCKLEY POINT - who had each-way claims in their last race and has previous experience on turf. It's worth noting that the summary suggests some of the horses have work to do or are less likely to perform well, so these predictions are subject to changes in form and factors such as market fluctuations.
Zoom Star has won twice over C&D on ground with plenty of cut in it and he is one to take seriously now, but if GOLDEN GAL improves at all for her first start after a wind-op, when fourth here last month, then she could be well handicapped. A comfortable winner on soft ground off 2lb higher here last summer, she may win for the fourth time, with the ex-Irish Laakhof one to watch in the market in a first-time tongue-tie.
A dual C&D winner, GOLDEN GAL shaped well on the back of 6 months off when fourth in a C&D handicap won by Astapor 3 weeks ago and, entitled to be sharper with that under her belt, she's fancied to go well now operating from a 2 lb lower mark. Zoom Star, following her Nottingham second, and Congress are also considered, whilst aforementioned Astapor can't be dismissed lightly either.
Astapor's recent C&D win reads well enough but ZOOM STAR's record on soft ground stands up to scrutiny and she's preferred.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (7.5/1 +0%) Sheikh Maz Mahood |
7.5/1(+0%) | (7) Sheikh Maz Mahood 7.5/1, Dual C&D winner, the latest when taking 6-runner handicap in September. 9/1, creditable ¼-length fourth of 12 to re-opposing Havagomecca in handicap back here on final start in October and he may yet have more to offer going forward this term. Has form figures of 1414 since handicapping; still open to further progress. |
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2nd (8) (4.5/1 +18%) Mereside Angel |
4.5/1(+18%) | (8) Mereside Angel 4.5/1, Good third of 10 in handicap at Pontefract (5f, good to soft, 18/1) 21 days ago, headway over 1f out and keeping on. Needs to build on that now. Creditable third at Pontefract on seasonal debut; on a handy mark. |
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3rd (9) (5.5/1 -22%) Primo's Comet |
5.5/1(-22%) | (9) Primo's Comet 5.5/1, 6-time C&D winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. 5/2, creditable 1¼ lengths second of 5 to Havagomecca in handicap at this C&D (good to soft) 10 days ago. No reason why he won't be in the mix again. Placed over C&D the last twice, second to Havagomecca latest; solid chance. |
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4th (1) (4/1 -14%) Havagomecca |
4/1(-14%) | (1) Havagomecca 4/1, Career best when winning 5-runner handicap at this C&D (good to soft, 6/1) 10 days ago by 1¼ lengths from Primo's Comet. Now 2 from 3 over this C&D and she's a likely player again. Successful over C&D ten days ago, beating some of these rivals; respected. |
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5th (2) (9/1 +44%) Sound Of Iona |
9/1(+44%) | (2) Sound Of Iona 9/1, C&D winner. Last of 21 in handicap at Newmarket (6f, soft, 66/1) 9 days ago, weakening over 1f out. This marked step back down in class is a plus but probably best watched for the time being. Had a good 2022 campaign; however, big doubt over current form. |
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6th (6) (14/1 -56%) Lady Lade |
14/1(-56%) | (6) Lady Lade 14/1, 7 lengths last of 5 to Havagomecca in handicap (5/2) at this C&D (good to soft) 10 days ago. Others more persuasive. Last of five (well below par) in the recent C&D event won by Havagomecca. |
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7th (5) (9/1 +44%) Speedacus |
9/1(+44%) | (5) Speedacus 9/1, Dual 5f winner in Ireland for Kieran Patrick Cotter. Proved more miss than hit in handful of starts during second half of last year for present yard but comes here from career-low mark if a break has positive effect. 0-5 for new stable but has become well treated on Irish form. |
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8th (4) (4/1 +20%) Riversway |
4/1(+20%) | (4) Riversway 4/1, 1¾ lengths third of 5 to Havagomecca in handicap at this C&D (good to soft, 7/2) 10 days ago, leading over1f and fading. That was her first start for 8 months and she's entitled to strip fitter here. Possibilities. Ties in with Havagomecca and Primo's Comet on reappearance form; big player. |
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9th (3) (33/1 -267%) Eeh Bah Gum |
33/1(-267%) | (3) Eeh Bah Gum 33/1, C&D winner who tasted success 3 times last term, latterly at Haydock (5f) in September. Respectable fifth in 10-runner handicap at Leicester a month later (final start for Kevin Ryan) but present mark demands more on return/following a wind op. Yet to win fresh so may need this reappearance run; stable debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st: 3.5/1 (1) HAVAGOMECCA 2nd: 4.5/1 (9) PRIMO'S COMET 3rd: 7.5/1 (7) SHEIKH MAZ MAHOOD
HAVAGOMECCA accounted for some of these when winning over C&D earlier in the month and the daughter of Havana Gold sets the standard off a 5lb higher mark. Primo's Comet (second) and Riversway (third) chased home the selection on that occasion and may well do so once again. Eeh Bah Gum has to be of some interest on his return, while Mereside Angel looks best of the rest.
Largely progressive last term, RIVERSWAY produced a pleasing comeback effort when third behind Havagomecca over C&D 10 days ago and, 5 lb better off with that rival here, she shades the vote to turn the tables. Multiple C&D winner Primo's Comet and Mereside Angel complete the shortlist.
Preference is for RIVERSWAY, who may well resume her progress. Sheikh Maz Mahood is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (2.5/1 +17%) Majestic Warrior |
2.5/1(+17%) | (2) Majestic Warrior 2.5/1, Twice-raced course winner. Bettered debut win when fourth of 10 in minor event (11/2) at Newmarket (10f, good to soft) 25 days ago. Up in trip. Likely to improve further. Won here on debut before his fourth in a hot novice at Newmarket; dangerous upped to 1m4f. |
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2nd (1) (1/1 +17%) Intricacy |
1/1(+17%) | (1) Intricacy 1/1, €750,000 Dubawi colt who built on his promising debut second when going one better here at Wolverhampton (8.6f) in December. Had a couple of useful sorts in behind him on that occasion and he rates a good prospect. Won here in December and he's respected under a penalty on this step up in trip. |
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3rd (3) (3/1 -20%) Loving Feeling |
3/1(-20%) | (3) Loving Feeling 3/1, Once-raced maiden. 2/1, third of 7 in minor event at Windsor (10f, heavy) on debut 28 days ago, not knocked about. Up in trip. Open to progress but does have a bit to find. Promising third at Windsor (1m2f) and has plenty of scope for progress on his second start. |
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4th (4) (20/1 +0%) Royal Deeside |
20/1(+0%) | (4) Royal Deeside 20/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 22/1, best effort when fourth of 9 in maiden at Newmarket (10f, good to soft), nearest finish. Off 6 months. Up in trip. Others more persuasive. Has ability and this new trip could suit but faces difficult task after 208 days off. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, it is difficult to confidently predict which horse will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place. However, 1.2/1 (1) INTRICACY is mentioned as a
Just a small field but an intriguing contest nonetheless, and one that may go the way of LOVING FEELING, a son of Sea The Stars who was caught a little flat-footed over 10 furlongs at Windsor on his debut before running on into third. This longer trip looks ideal for his second start and he gets 7lb from course scorers Intricacy and Majestic Warrior, both of whom carry a winner's penalty.
INTRICACY looked a good prospect in 2 runs here over 8.6f last season and he is the one to beat even with a penalty. Majestic Warrior is also a penalised winner with the potential for more, and he's second choice ahead of Loving Feeling.
The vote goes to LOVING FEELING, who was a promising third at Windsor and could take a major step forward on his second start.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (1.75/1 +50%) Themainprotagonist |
1.75/1(+50%) | (5) Themainprotagonist 1.75/1, Fair form in 2 outings over 7f on AW this spring. If proving as effectve on turf he should play a prominent role for his in-form stable. Performed to a similar level in two starts on the AW; handicaps likely next on the agenda. |
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2nd (3) (2.25/1 +10%) Opera Legend |
2.25/1(+10%) | (3) Opera Legend 2.25/1, Only minor promise in 2 starts last autumn but he's in top hands and it wouldn't be any surprise to see him go on to better things this year. Gelded since last seen; likely capable of much better for a yard with a good record here. |
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3rd (9) (5/1 -100%) Laura's Breeze |
5/1(-100%) | (9) Laura's Breeze 5/1, €140,000 Ribchester filly who didn't shaped too badly when fourth of 6 in a 7f Newbury newcomers event (heavy ground) 24 days ago. May do better and likely to be in the thick of things here. 140,000gns yearling who shaped fairly on her Newbury debut; will have learned from that. |
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4th (4) (100/1 -100%) Pete The Brief |
100/1(-100%) | (4) Pete The Brief 100/1, More one for the longer term judged on his recent 6f Doncaster debut. Well held on his 6f debut recently; the best of him may not be seen until handicapping. |
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5th (6) (150/1 -200%) Elizabeth's Joy |
150/1(-200%) | (6) Elizabeth's Joy 150/1, Washington Dc filly. Half-sister to 1¼m-1½m winner Cheap Jack and 5f/6f winner Mattice. Dam 8.4f winner. Watching brief is advised on debut. Dam has produced two winners; likely she's one for handicaps down the line. |
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6th (10) (5.5/1 +0%) Pretty Flag |
5.5/1(+0%) | (10) Pretty Flag 5.5/1, Bought for 32,000 gns earlier this year and is a U S Navy Flag half-sister to useful German 7f winner Libre. Excellent stable won this with a newcomer last year. 120,000gns yearling; yard's newcomers are quite capable and the market should tell a tale. |
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6th (2) (200/1 -150%) Jailhouse Rock |
200/1(-150%) | (2) Jailhouse Rock 200/1, Coach House gelding. Half-brother to 7f winner Darcy's Rock. Dam 5f winner. Likely outsider on debut. Half-brother to low-grade handicap winner; apprentice-ridden on debut; likely best watched. |
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8th (1) (8/1 -23%) Final Credit |
8/1(-23%) | (1) Final Credit 8/1, 100,000 gns New Bay gelding. Dam, US 8.5f/9f winner, half-sister to Canadian Grade 3 9f-11f winner Raylene out of 2-y-o 5f/6f winner Petite Princess. Newcomer from a good yard and starts out in a winnable race. Much respected if the betting vibes are strong. Went for 100,000gns as a yearling; the market will show what's expected. |
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9th (8) (33/1 +34%) Ladylingmoor |
33/1(+34%) | (8) Ladylingmoor 33/1, 25/1, last of 8 in maiden at Thirsk (7f, heavy) on debut 9 days ago. The bigger price of her trainer's pair when last of eight on her recent soft-ground debut. |
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10th (7) (125/1 -213%) Heartlander |
125/1(-213%) | (7) Heartlander 125/1, Modest form in 2 runs for George Boughey at the end of 2022. Likely outsider on return for new stable. Picked up from George Boughey for 6,000gns; another who needs this run for a handicap mark. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Predicted 1st: 5.5/1 (10) PRETTY FLAG Predicted 2nd: 2.5/1 (9) LAURA'S BREEZE Predicted 3rd: 3.5/1 (5) THEMAINPROTAGONIST
Laura's Breeze, a half-sister to three-time 5f winner Peerless, is respected after she made a pleasing start over this trip in hot-looking Newbury maiden last month. She should be wiser for the experience and rates a key player today. However, FINAL CREDIT, who cost 100,000gns as a yearling, also has a striking pedigree and looks a tad more appealing given this sort of distance appears to be an ideal staring point on paper. Opera Legend is also considered.
George Boughey won this with a newcomer last year so the suggestion is PRETTY FLAG, with confidence in her chance increased should the betting vibes be strong. Laura's Breeze and Themainprotagonist look best of those with experience, while Final Credit is another debutant who is a likely type on paper and needs keeping a close eye on in the betting.
William Haggas is 29-88 here and OPERA LEGEND is surely capable of better having been gelded. Laura's Breeze is the obvious danger.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (4/1 +38%) Bicep |
4/1(+38%) | (5) Bicep 4/1, Dual C&D winner last August. Off since a respectable fourth at Carlisle in September. Clearly suited to this venue and can play a part if ready to roll. Has form figures of 114 since upped to 7f, the two wins gained over C&D; respected. |
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2nd (7) (6/1 +45%) Merricourt |
6/1(+45%) | (7) Merricourt 6/1, Course winner but hasn't fired in 3 outings this year. Starting to look well handicapped but need to see more. Last three wins at Ayr; yet to hit top form this season. |
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3rd (1) (12/1 -200%) Touchwood |
12/1(-200%) | (1) Touchwood 12/1, Runner-up 4 times (6f/7f) for Charlie Hills last year but well held on last month's Ripon stable debut. WIll likely strip fitter now but needs to have come on a lot. Plenty of respectable form for Charles Hills; better than bare result on reappearance. |
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4th (4) (3.2/1 +47%) Gometra Ginty |
3.2/1(+47%) | (4) Gometra Ginty 3.2/1, Five-time course winner. Presumably needed the run when weakening to finish eighth of 12 on 1m course reappearance 15 days ago. Might last longer this time. Five-time course winner who is currently on a handy mark; not dismissed. |
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5th (6) (7.5/1 -15%) Ahamoment |
7.5/1(-15%) | (6) Ahamoment 7.5/1, Fair maiden. No significant impact in a pair of 1m handicaps this season and being eased another 3 lb can only help on this return to 7f. Maiden who has some encouraging form; possibilities off a reduced mark. |
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6th (8) (9/1 -100%) St Andrew's Castle |
9/1(-100%) | (8) St Andrew's Castle 9/1, Back to winning ways at Newcastle (7f) in March and remained in form since, finishing third over 1m here last month. Another prominent showing likely. Regained the winning thread in March; placed here last time; in-form contender. |
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7th (2) (3/1 +50%) Gobi Sunset |
3/1(+50%) | (2) Gobi Sunset 3/1, Twenty one runs since last win in 2021 but figures on a career-low mark and good chance he can still make a major impact down at this 0-75 level, particularly as he's well drawn for a front-runner. On a two-year losing spell but this drop in class may do the trick; handy mark. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
My prediction for the horses that will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd are: 1st - 4.5/1 (8) ST ANDREW'S CASTLE 2nd - 6/1 (3) YAASER 3rd - 6.5/1 (5) BICEP
BICEP has won his only two starts here with a pair of C&D wins to his name and although he has more to carry from the handicapper, he could make up into an even better four-year-old. He can land this contest if at his best on his first start of the season, but if he's not, then Touchwood might take advantage after suffering a terrible run in a better race at Ripon. St Andrew's Castle sits pretty at the bottom of the weights and can also have a say in the outcome.
In a very tight handicap the suggestion is GOBI SUNSET who drops to 0-75 level for the first time in a couple of years and has an ideal draw for a front-runner. St Andrew's Castle and last year's dual C&D scorer Bicep head the dangers.
The vote goes to BICEP (nap), who is 2-2 over C&D and remains open to further progress at this trip. Gobi Sunset is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (0.57/1 +43%) Animate |
0.57/1(+43%) | (1) Animate 0.57/1, Promising 7f juvenile winner. 9/1, raced too freely when only sixth of 9 in handicap at Haydock (8f, good to firm) 16 days ago. Weighted to go well if more settled down in trip. His win came on AW at Newcastle (7f) and he looks a possible improver back at this trip. |
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2nd (4) (5/1 -25%) Supaspecialawesome |
5/1(-25%) | (4) Supaspecialawesome 5/1, Progressive son of Cotai Glory who won 9-runner minor event at this C&D (8/15). Off 148 days and one to consider on his handicap debut. Won a C&D maiden in December and he's open to more progress on handicap debut; big player. |
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3rd (2) (7/1 -27%) Boy Browning |
7/1(-27%) | (2) Boy Browning 7/1, 6f Windsor novice winner in August. Gelded/off 8 months before only seventh of 8 in handicap at Goodwood (7f, heavy, 12/1) 9 days ago. Makes tapeta debut and needs to bounce back. Disappointing in last two runs and he's untried on AW; has questions to answer. |
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4th (3) (6/1 -50%) Magical Merlin |
6/1(-50%) | (3) Magical Merlin 6/1, Windsor 6f novice scorer in August and having disappointed on nursery bow there 6 weeks later, got back on track after 6 months off when fifth at Kempton (6f) last month. Should come on from that outing, too. Held in both his handicaps, most recently at Kempton last month; needs to find more. |
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5th (5) (66/1 -200%) Honeymooner |
66/1(-200%) | (5) Honeymooner 66/1, 18/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, last of 8 in nursery at Newcastle (7.1f). Off 6 months and needs to hit the ground running. Failed to beat a rival in her final two runs last season; plenty to prove on return. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st: 4/1 (4) SUPASPECIALAWESOME 2nd: 4/1 (3) MAGICAL MERLIN 3rd: 1/1 (1) ANIMATE
BOY BROWNING may not have handled softer conditions on his return at Goodwood last Saturday and with the handicapper dropping him 3lb for a seemingly excusable performance, the son of Brazen Beau could bounce back on his all-weather debut. Supaspecialawesome gained a first success here in December and is capable of better, while Animate appeals most of the remainder.
None of the quintet can be ruled out but ANIMATE looks handily weighted on his winning juvenile form and is worth forgiving his reappearance Haydock sixth when going too freely. He gets the nod dropped back in trip now, ahead of in-form Magical Merlin and C&D scorer Supaspecialawesome.
This can go to Hugo Palmer's SUPASPECIALAWESOME, who won a C&D novice in December and is open to more progress on his handicap debut.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (5/1 +41%) Flint Hill |
5/1(+41%) | (3) Flint Hill 5/1, Hs good record at Pontefract and ran creditably when fourth of 8 there (18f, heavy) last month. Only sixth of 7 in handicap at Doncaster (16.5f, heavy, 17/2) last time but best form puts him in the mix. Wins have come round stiffer courses; beaten a long way behind Quercus Robur latest. |
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2nd (1) (4/1 +0%) Quercus Robur |
4/1(+0%) | (1) Quercus Robur 4/1, 2 wins from 6 runs this year. Latest win at Newcastle in January. 10/3, seemed to find test too much when fifth of 7 in handicap at Doncaster (16.5f, heavy) 17 days ago but is a reliable sort who should bounce back quickly under less extreme conditions. Said to have been unsuited by soft last time but it may be the handicapper has caught up. |
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3rd (7) (3.33/1 -33%) Cold Henry |
3.33/1(-33%) | (7) Cold Henry 3.33/1, Relished longer trip when scoring over C&D in September and came from a long way back to follow in a similar contest the following month. Remains unexposed as a staying handicaper and looks the one to beat on return. Finished last season on a high; this is stronger off 4lb higher but could well be up to it. |
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4th (5) (2.5/1 +29%) Robert Johnson |
2.5/1(+29%) | (5) Robert Johnson 2.5/1, Improved to win at Catterick (12.1f, soft, 33/1) in April before following up in 10-runner handicap (10/3) at Thirsk (12f, heavy) 4 days ago, pushed out. Carries penalty. Significantly up in trip but has to respected in his current form. This is a bit stronger under penalty and has stamina to prove but he enters calculations. |
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5th (2) (6.5/1 +13%) Oasis Prince |
6.5/1(+13%) | (2) Oasis Prince 6.5/1, C&D winner. 17/2, creditable third of 8 in handicap at Thirsk (14f, heavy) 9 days ago, well positioned. Seems to have ironed his quirks out and rates as shortlist material. Easy C&D winner off similar mark last summer; good chance for yard in scintillating form. |
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6th (4) (80/1 -471%) Vintage Valley |
80/1(-471%) | (4) Vintage Valley 80/1, Seen to good effect from front when second of 9 in handicap at Southwell (16.5f, 50/1) last month but seemed to find step up in trip too much down the field at Pontefract (21.6f, good to soft, 18/1) last time. Not discounted. Very patchy under both codes and his best Flat efforts have come on Tapeta. |
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7th (6) (9/1 -6%) Visite Officielle |
9/1(-6%) | (6) Visite Officielle 9/1, Below form fourth of 10 in handicap at Pontefract (21.6f, good to soft) 21 days ago. Back down in trip. Has work to do. Ex-French mare who was again beaten a fair way last time but who's on a fair mark now. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
1st: 2.5/1 (7) COLD HENRY 2nd: 7.5/1 (2) OASIS PRINCE 3rd: 4/1 (1) QUERCUS ROBUR
Cold Henry finished last season with a couple of C&D wins and is high on the shorlist resuming from just a 4lb higher mark. Quercus Robur also warrants consideration given he still has scope to improve over the trip and might find it easier to give weight away now he drops in class. However, the vote goes to ROBERT JOHNSON, who has proven his stamina over hurdles and looks progressive enough to defy the 5lb penalty for winning over 1m4f at Thirsk last week.
COLD HENRY has been an improved performer since stepping up to long distances and signed last season off with a pair of C&D successes, so is fancied to continue his progress on return. Oasis Prince ran respectably at Thirsk last time and should be in the mix again, whilst the thriving Robert Johnson would surely be a player if seeing out this longer trip.
Hat-trick chasers Robert Johnson and Cold Henry have claims, but OASIS PRINCE (nap) looks the one for his red-hot yard.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (3.5/1 -133%) Forgetmenotblue |
3.5/1(-133%) | (5) Forgetmenotblue 3.5/1, Still a maiden but has been largely reliable of late and again ran creditably when third of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (16.6f) 12 days ago. Visor on 1st time. Can make presence felt. Largely consistent maiden; good chance if taking well to new headgear. |
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2nd (3) (2.5/1 +55%) Paramaribo |
2.5/1(+55%) | (3) Paramaribo 2.5/1, Going the right way over jumps in the winter but ran below form on return to Flat when sixth of 13 in handicap (6/1) at Redcar (16f, soft) 35 days ago. On fair mark if able to bounce back. Still a maiden but this switch to sharper 2m may suit; possibilities. |
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3rd (1) (4/1 +60%) Trailblazer |
4/1(+60%) | (1) Trailblazer 4/1, In fairly good heart in the winter but ran poorly returned to turf when seventh of 11 in handicap (10/1) at Catterick (12.1f, heavy) 33 days ago, perhaps unsuited by ground. Not discounted here with conditiions likelier to suit. Maiden who has stamina to prove over this new trip. |
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4th (2) (9/1 +68%) Tiger Spirit |
9/1(+68%) | (2) Tiger Spirit 9/1, Latest win at Southwell in January but has seemingly completely lost her form since and needs to hint at a revival before she can be fancied again. The only distance winner in this field (dual 2m scorer, in fact). |
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5th (4) (5.5/1 -10%) Ask Peter |
5.5/1(-10%) | (4) Ask Peter 5.5/1, Creditable third of 12 in handicap at Ayr (13.1f, good, 20/1) 7 days ago. Back up in trip. Regular claimer retains ride and he probably needs bit more on balance. Maiden who has consistent RPRs this year; placed at Ayr last week. |
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6th (6) (7.5/1 -88%) Aighear |
7.5/1(-88%) | (6) Aighear 7.5/1, Won at Hamilton and Ayr in the seocnd half of 2022. 11/2, respectable fifth of 10 in handicap at Ayr (13.1f, heavy). Off 7 months. Back up in trip. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. 1m7f winner last September; not fully exposed as a stayer. |
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7th (7) (18/1 -50%) Zephlyn |
18/1(-50%) | (7) Zephlyn 18/1, Good second at Newcastle on penultimate outing but was only eleventh of 13 in handicap at Redcar (16f, soft) 35 days ago. Others appeal more. Penultimate effort gives him each-way claims. |
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8th (8) (100/1 -25%) Pammi |
100/1(-25%) | (8) Pammi 100/1, Twenty five runs since last win in 2018. Ninth of 12 in handicap at Ayr (13.1f, good, 80/1) 7 days ago. Up in trip. Others have achieved more. No promise in two starts since returning to this code. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary, the horse with the best chance of winning seems to be 4/1 (6) AIGHEAR. The horses that are likely to finish in 2nd and 3rd place are 10/1 (1) TRAILBLAZER and 5.5/1 (3) PARAMARIBO, respectively.
Zephlyn clearly has ability, as evidenced by a second at Newcastle in March, but he followed that with a wide-margin defeat off this mark last month. Blinkers are added with Graham Lee back in the saddle and he may prove the biggest danger to FORGETMENOTBLUE, who was unlucky in-running when third at Wolverhampton 12 days ago and races off a 1lb lower rating here in a first-time visor. She could make the most of her current mark, while Aighear is another capable of mounting a challenge on her return to the fray.
FORGETMENOTBLUE looks to have found a good opportunity to shed her maiden tag after producing another good effort at Wolverhampton earlier in the month. Trailblazer may have found the heavy conditions too much of a test last time and he can get back to form quickly, with Aighear making most appeal of the rest.
Provided she takes well to the change of headgear, FORGETMENOTBLUE could well open her account. Ask Peter is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (2/1 +27%) Calin's Lad |
2/1(+27%) | (1) Calin's Lad 2/1, Scored over C&D before following up at Chelmsford (8f) last month. Far from disgraced in hat-trick bid at Kempton 12 days ago and must enter calculations here. 8yo who has won twice this spring and was a good fourth at Kempton latest; key player. |
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2nd (8) (11/1 +8%) Catesby |
11/1(+8%) | (8) Catesby 11/1, Course winner (6f) in March and latest effort can be excused (blindfold removed late and slowly away). Still feasibly treated and warrants respect. Has traffic issues on penultimate run and blindfold was removed late last time; in the mix. |
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3rd (5) (2.5/1 -11%) Bobby Joe Leg |
2.5/1(-11%) | (5) Bobby Joe Leg 2.5/1, C&D winner who returned to form when close second of 13 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f, 7/1) 7 days ago. Can race off same mark and holds strong claims. 7f Tapeta specialist who went very close at Southwell last Monday; leading claims. |
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4th (2) (11/1 +8%) Amber Dew |
11/1(+8%) | (2) Amber Dew 11/1, One win from 24 Flat runs. Nineteen runs since last win in 2021. Fifth of 12 in handicap (22/1) at Doncaster (6f, soft) 16 days ago. Work to do. Overall record of 1-24 and he has form figures of 55690 at this trip; others preferred. |
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5th (3) (14/1 -56%) Rumnotred |
14/1(-56%) | (3) Rumnotred 14/1, 7/1, first run since leaving Rod Millman when sixth of 7 in handicap at Musselburgh (7.2f, good to soft) 10 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Seven-race maiden who has gone backwards in four handicaps; plenty to prove. |
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6th (6) (7.5/1 +6%) Mashaan |
7.5/1(+6%) | (6) Mashaan 7.5/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Eighth of 12 in handicap (6/1) at Southwell (7.1f) 27 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Infrequent winner who was well held last time but has claims on his best form this year. |
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7th (4) (40/1 -233%) Global Romance |
40/1(-233%) | (4) Global Romance 40/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 28/1 and hooded for 1st time, eighth of 12 in handicap at Yarmouth (6f, good). Off 8 months. First run for yard after leaving Chris Dwyer. Tongue strap on 1st time. Others more persuasive. Returns from another absence and has something to prove upped to 7f for new yard. |
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8th (7) (5.5/1 +8%) Nefarious |
5.5/1(+8%) | (7) Nefarious 5.5/1, C&D winner. 28/1, creditable seventh of 13 in handicap at Lingfield (7f, AW) 19 days ago, running on. Others preferred, though. On reduced mark but he's not finished closer than seventh in last six starts; needs more. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the information provided, 2.25/1 (5) BOBBY JOE LEG seems to have the strongest chance of finishing in the top three, being a specialist at the track and returning to form in his last race. 2.75/1 (1) CALIN'S LAD also has a strong record at the track and has recent wins under his belt, making him a key player. As for the third spot, it could be a close call between 8/1 (6) MASHAAN and 12/1 (8) CATESBY, both having shown promise in their recent runs despite not being top contenders. 6/1 (7) NEFARIOUS, 12/1 (2) AMBER DEW, 9/1 (3) RUMNOTRED, and 12/1 (4) GLOBAL ROMANCE seem to have less of a chance of finishing in the top three.
BOBBY JOE LEG returned to form when just denied at Southwell last Monday following a disappointing effort on turf at Doncaster and the booking of Luke Morris could make the difference required for him to record his fourth success at this venue (two wins over C&D). Calin's Lad's attempt to make it a hat-trick of victories saw him finish fourth at Kempton earlier this month and he is capable of being in the mix, along with Mashaan.
This can go to BOBBY JOE LEG, who posted his best effort for some time when second at Southwell last week and makes fair appeal off same mark. Calin's Lad and Catesby should also go well.
Top of the list is Tapeta specialist BOBBY JOE LEG (nap), who went very close at Southwell last Monday and is on the same mark here.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (14/1 -75%) Redrosezorro |
14/1(-75%) | (5) Redrosezorro 14/1, 3-time C&D winner. 50/1, below form ninth of 16 in handicap at Haydock (6f, good to firm) 16 days ago. Others more persuasive. Goes well here but might still be finding his feet for a new yard.. |
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2nd (7) (8.5/1 -13%) Mews House |
8.5/1(-13%) | (7) Mews House 8.5/1, C&D winner. In good form until only fifth of 7 in handicap at Redcar (5f, good to soft) 11 days ago. Sort to bounce back. Good second at Pontefract and then reportedly ran flat only the day after.. |
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3rd (10) (9/1 +36%) Wade's Magic |
9/1(+36%) | (10) Wade's Magic 9/1, Course winner. Suffered a poor run when eighth of 10 in handicap at Wetherby (5.5f, good to soft, 14/1) 15 days ago. One for the shortlist off an easing mark. Not had the best of runs on either start this season and he's on a competitive mark.. |
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4th (3) (3.33/1 +5%) Langholm |
3.33/1(+5%) | (3) Langholm 3.33/1, Course winner who arrives in good nick, second of 10 in handicap at this course (7f, soft, 10/3) 19 days ago. Not taken lightly off the same mark. Returns here after two good efforts over 7f but he's only 1-9 at sprint distances.. |
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5th (8) (11/1 +31%) Hurstwood |
11/1(+31%) | (8) Hurstwood 11/1, Three-time 6f winner from 9 runs last year but not best drawn/off five months before eleventh of 15 in handicap (28/1) at Thirsk (6f, heavy) 23 days ago. Needs considering. Needed to run better at Thirsk to be seriously considered.. |
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6th (9) (20/1 +9%) Round The Island |
20/1(+9%) | (9) Round The Island 20/1, Course winner. 125/1, tenth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) when last seen 6 months ago. Unreliable type. Saves his best for Pontefract and has never won on his first start of the year.. |
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7th (4) (6/1 +33%) John Kirkup |
6/1(+33%) | (4) John Kirkup 6/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2022. 8/1, only fourth of 6 in handicap at Ripon (5f, heavy) 3 days ago so needs a couple of these to falter. Excuses on return and then didn't shape too badly in a small field at Ripon.. |
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8th (2) (3.33/1 +0%) Lezardrieux |
3.33/1(+0%) | (2) Lezardrieux 3.33/1, C&D winner who shaped well after 6 months off when second of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 7 days ago, collared only late on. Big shout off an unchanged mark. Ran well after a break last week and he's a nicely handicapped C&D winner.. |
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9th (6) (6/1 +8%) Shabaaby |
6/1(+8%) | (6) Shabaaby 6/1, Scrored at Dundalk in January. Best effort for his current yard when third of 7 in handicap (20/1) at Ayr (5f, good to firm) 11 days ago, nearest finish. Well in the mix. Ran his best race yet for this yard when a close third over 5f at Ayr; fair mark now.. |
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10th (1) (50/1 -79%) Showmolina |
50/1(-79%) | (1) Showmolina 50/1, Ex-Irish 6f winner but he came in only tenth of 11 in handicap at Thirsk (6f, heavy, 16/1) 23 days ago. Needs a big step forward. Dual Irish winner but made a quiet debut for this yard after changing hands for £2,000. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the information given, it is difficult to confidently predict which horse will finish in the top three. However, some horses that may be worth considering are 6.5/1 (6) SHABAABY, 8/1 (5) REDROSEZORRO, 3.5/1 (3) LANGHOLM, 3.33/1 (2) LEZARDRIEUX, and 14/1 (10) WADE'S MAGIC. 6.5/1 (6) SHABAABY has recently run a close third in a race and has a fair mark, while 8/1 (5) REDROSEZORRO has won at this course multiple times but had a below form performance in the last race. 3.5/1 (3) LANGHOLM has had two good efforts over longer distances and has performed well at this course. 3.33/1 (2) LEZARDRIEUX has the advantage of being a nicely handicapped C&D winner and performed well in a recent race after a break. Finally, 14/1 (10) WADE'S MAGIC has suffered some poor runs but may be a contender with an easing mark. Ultimately, it is up to the individual to make their own prediction based on the information provided.
Lezardrieux won over C&D off 1lb lower last September and is respected after returning with a good second on the all-weather last week, while Redrosezorro is a seven-time course winner who can never confidently be ruled out back at his seemingly favourite course. However, slight preference is for LANGHOLM, who is versatile regarding the trip and ground, and, having gone close over 7f here in both of his last two outings, dropping back in distance can prompt a return to winning ways today.
LEZARDRIEUX made a promising return when collared only late on at Newcastle a week ago so this C&D winner is fancied to go one better off an unchanged mark. Course-scorer Langholm is feared most on the back of a good recent second here, with Hurstwood and Shabaaby completing the shortlist.
Preference is for LEZARDRIEUX, a well-handicapped C&D winner who made a pleasing return last week on the AW.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (10) (8/1 +60%) Perfect Soldier |
8/1(+60%) | (10) Perfect Soldier 8/1, Course winner. Retried in cheekpieces when below form seventh of 14 in handicap at Thirsk (7f, heavy) 4 days ago. Back up in trip. Others are preferred. 2-2 at Musselburgh but looks far from solid on 2023 form. |
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2nd (9) (3.33/1 +63%) Our Dickie |
3.33/1(+63%) | (9) Our Dickie 3.33/1, Comes here below par, only sixth of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (8f) 13 days ago. Needs to step forward. 0-5 for new yard but sole Irish win came at this distance. |
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3rd (1) (40/1 -60%) Wheal Kitty |
40/1(-60%) | (1) Wheal Kitty 40/1, First run since leaving Bryan Smart when fading fifth of 8 in handicap (66/1) at Newcastle (8f) 13 days ago. Can take a step forward now. Doesn't seem to be crying out for this extra furlong. |
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4th (3) (8.5/1 +15%) Without Delay |
8.5/1(+15%) | (3) Without Delay 8.5/1, Course winner. Below form sixth on heavy ground in handicap at Catterick (7f). Off 8 months and merits consideration on the back of a wind op. Sole win came off 2lb higher here last June. |
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5th (6) (28/1 +15%) Chinese Spirit |
28/1(+15%) | (6) Chinese Spirit 28/1, C&D winner. 25/1, below form fifth of 9 in handicap at this course (8f, good to soft) 10 days ago. Needs to bounce back. The only C&D winner in the field. |
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6th (5) (9/1 -100%) Coconut Bay |
9/1(-100%) | (5) Coconut Bay 9/1, 9/2, not clear run when fifth of 7 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f) 13 days ago. Needs considering off the same mark. Could be involved if proving as effective back on turf. |
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7th (2) (4/1 -20%) Cosa Sara |
4/1(-20%) | (2) Cosa Sara 4/1, Cosily landed 6-runner handicap at Ayr (8f, good to firm, 3/1) 11 days ago. Up 5 lb but she merits serious consideration. Scored at Ayr 11 days ago; has form over C&D; respected. |
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8th (4) (6/1 -118%) Fanzone |
6/1(-118%) | (4) Fanzone 6/1, Course winner. Respectable third of 9 in handicap (4/1) at this course (8f, good to soft) 10 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Can give a good account. In-form contender; major player if he stays this new trip. |
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9th (7) (4.5/1 +18%) Far From A Ruby |
4.5/1(+18%) | (7) Far From A Ruby 4.5/1, Arrives in decent nick, fourth of 6 to Cosa Sara in handicap (2/1) at Ayr (8f, good to firm) 11 days ago. Shortlisted. Ties in with Cosa Sara on Ayr running 11 days ago. |
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10th (8) (28/1 -56%) Doomsday |
28/1(-56%) | (8) Doomsday 28/1, First run since leaving Bryan Smart when eighth of 9 in handicap (25/1) at Southwell (8.1f) 45 days ago. Needs to get back on track. Return to turf looks a plus; has C&D form. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are likely to finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd are 3.33/1 (2) COSA SARA, 5.5/1 (7) FAR FROM A RUBY, and 2.75/1 (4) FANZONE. 3.33/1 (2) COSA SARA has recent form, a win over C&D, and has merited serious consideration. 5.5/1 (7) FAR FROM A RUBY has tied in well with 3.33/1 (2) COSA SARA and arrives in decent form. 2.75/1 (4) FANZONE is in-form, a course winner, and is a major player if he stays at the new trip.
COSA SARA is the only runner with a recent win to her name after scoring at Ayr over 1m last time out and, as she kept on well close home, the added furlong here may be of benefit. She does have another 5lb from the handicapper, though, and will need to step up to hold off the likes of course winner Without Delay, who returns from a wind-op, and Perfect Soldier. The latter is unbeaten here in two runs over shorter and the drying ground is seemingly in his favour.
Jim Goldie's mare COSA SARA bounced right back to form at Ayr last time and still rates the pick at these weights despite taking a 5 lb rise so is fancied to follow up. Coconut Bay didn't enjoy the rub of the green when fifth at Newcastle and is next on the list, although the returning course-scorer Without Delay could have a big say too if breathing surgery has had the desired effect.
The suggestion is OUR DICKIE, who is 1-1 at this trip. Far From A Ruby is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (1.88/1 +62%) It's A Love Thing |
1.88/1(+62%) | (4) It's A Love Thing 1.88/1, C&D winner. Sixth of 8 in handicap (25/1) at Lingfield (8f, AW) 86 days ago. Something to find on form. Well treated on his best form last year but he needs to rediscover some spark. |
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2nd (2) (3.5/1 +42%) Carey Street |
3.5/1(+42%) | (2) Carey Street 3.5/1, C&D winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. Fourth of 7 in handicap at this C&D (5/1) 34 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Not out of things. On dangerous mark on this drop back in grade but he needs cheekpieces to give him a lift. |
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3rd (1) (3.5/1 +36%) Barney's Angel |
3.5/1(+36%) | (1) Barney's Angel 3.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Matched pick of last year's form when good third of 9 on handicap debut at Southwell (7.1f, 16/1) 31 days ago. Bred to appreciate this longer trip and merits consideration. Promising third on handicap debut at Southwell and he looks interesting upped to this trip. |
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4th (7) (6.5/1 +0%) Come To Pass |
6.5/1(+0%) | (7) Come To Pass 6.5/1, Consistent performer who posted another creditable effort when third of 13 in handicap at Brighton (9.9f, good) 23 days ago. Likely contender. Dual Polytrack winner who was a close third at Brighton last month; respected back on AW. |
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5th (3) (22/1 -10%) Fitzrovia |
22/1(-10%) | (3) Fitzrovia 22/1, Ninth of 13 in handicap at Bath (8f, good to soft, 14/1) 24 days ago. Others more persuasive. His last win was in December 2021 and has struggled in last six starts; others preferred. |
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6th (6) (5/1 -43%) Hopeforthebest |
5/1(-43%) | (6) Hopeforthebest 5/1, Returned to form in recent starts, latest when taking 9-runner handicap over C&D 16 days ago, staying on well. 4 lb rise fair and holds strong follow-up claims. Got off the mark (tenth attempt) in good style over C&D latest; big player again up 4lb. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
1st: 3.5/1 (6) HOPEFORTHEBEST 2nd: 5.5/1 (1) BARNEY'S ANGEL 3rd: 6.5/1 (7) COME TO PASS
Now that the penny has dropped for HOPEFORTHEBEST after a taking win over C&D last month, there should be plenty more to come from the four-year-old off a 4lb higher mark and he is taken to complete a double. Come To Pass has been knocking on the door of late and must hold strong claims, along with the unexposed Barney's Angel, who has the potential to improve for the step up in trip.
HOPEFORTHEBEST has turned a corner since fitted with cheekpieces/tongue strap and remains feasibly treated after his recent C&D victory. He can score again. Barney's Angel and Come To Pass look the likeliest dangers.
The vote goes to HOPEFORTHEBEST, who got off the mark with a convincing win over C&D 16 days ago. Barney's Angel is feared most.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (11/1 +8%) Think Trigger |
11/1(+8%) | (8) Think Trigger 11/1, First run since leaving Gary Moore when fourth of 8 in handicap at Yarmouth (10.1f, heavy, 50/1) 30 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Place possibilities off this 1 lb lower mark. Unraced over this far but a pleasing first run for this yard when close up at Yarmouth.. |
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2nd (5) (0.8/1 +51%) Turbulent Power |
0.8/1(+51%) | (5) Turbulent Power 0.8/1, Remains a maiden after 17 Flat runs. Good second of 10 in handicap (13/8) at Thirsk (12f, heavy) 4 days ago, clear of rest. Has good chance on form. Now 0-25 but she's knocking loudly on the door; one of the few solid options.. |
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3rd (6) (7/1 +13%) Prince Achille |
7/1(+13%) | (6) Prince Achille 7/1, 33/1, creditable third of 9 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f) on latest start in December. Step back up in trip looks a good move and while his record stands at 0-14, he's not without each-way hope. 14-race maiden; kept finding to make the frame at Chelmsford (1m2f) in December.. |
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4th (9) (12/1 -85%) Milltown Lily |
12/1(-85%) | (9) Milltown Lily 12/1, Remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs. Creditable third of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f, 28/1) 32 days ago, running on late. Needs to pull out more if she's to break her duck here. Kept on for third on the AW last time and not had many chances at this trip.. |
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5th (1) (14/1 -75%) Jamih |
14/1(-75%) | (1) Jamih 14/1, C&D winner. 18/1, respectable fourth of 10 in handicap at Redcar (14f, good) when last seen in September. Each-way chance if fit enough to do himself justice back from a break. Just three wins during his 33-race career and they were all on good to firm.. |
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6th (3) (33/1 -136%) Trusty Scout |
33/1(-136%) | (3) Trusty Scout 33/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in January. 25/1, below form seventh of 14 in handicap at Bath (10.2f, soft) 38 days ago, nearest finish. Enters calculations. Won a 1m4f AW classified event in January; it's a long time since he's run well on turf.. |
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7th (2) (80/1 -186%) Glan Y Gors |
80/1(-186%) | (2) Glan Y Gors 80/1, Twenty-four runs since last win in 2020. Respectable fifth of 9 in handicap chase at Sedgefield (21.1f, good to soft, 33/1). Off 7 months and while his latest effort in this sphere was creditable, others are preferred. He's an 11yo now and has been well held in his last three runs, all of them chases.. |
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8th (4) (12/1 -9%) Sicario |
12/1(-9%) | (4) Sicario 12/1, Latest win at Southwell in February. Fifth of 7 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f, 15/2) 67 days ago. Vulnerable from a win point of view. Exposed 8yo who has been kept to the AW by his current trainer, winning twice.. |
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9th (11) (20/1 +39%) Seven For A Pound |
20/1(+39%) | (11) Seven For A Pound 20/1, Unreliable sort. Eleven runs since last win in 2021. Tenth of 14 in handicap at this C&D (soft, 25/1) 19 days ago, racing closer to pace than ideal. Others preferred. Inconsistent and 3-32; only tenth over C&D 19 days ago and needs to improve on that.. |
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10th (10) (11/1 -10%) Coup De Gold |
11/1(-10%) | (10) Coup De Gold 11/1, 3/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, good third of 10 in handicap hurdle at Sedgefield (16.8f, heavy) 31 days ago. Poor on latest start in this sphere. He's in decent nick but an overall strike-rate of 1-52 jumps off the page.. |
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11th (7) (16/1 -60%) Lituus |
16/1(-60%) | (7) Lituus 16/1, 9/1, tenth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f) 32 days ago. Likely to come up short once more. 11-race maiden who certainly isn't improving and unraced on ground softer than good.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary, 1.63/1 (5) TURBULENT POWER seems to be the most solid option and has a good chance of finishing in the top three. 14/1 (3) TRUSTY SCOUT and 8/1 (6) PRINCE ACHILLE could also be contenders for a place, but it is difficult to predict which of them will finish in 2nd or 3rd.
Turbulent Power has filled the runner-up spot on her last three starts, including twice over C&D last month, and another bold bid is expected following her most recent effort at Thirsk on Thursday. Jamih was in fine fettle last season, winning twice and placing on three occasions from seven outings, and has to be of considerable interest, but a chance is taken with SICARIO. The eight-year-old has mostly been a consistent performer since joining Mick Appleby last autumn and it would be no surprise if he returned to winning ways, especially having his first run on turf for the East Midlands handler.
While TURBULENT POWER remains a maiden following 17 appearances in this sphere, she has been knocking firmly on the door of late and is taken to deservedly open her account. Prince Achille should be on the premises if able to back up his latest effort and Jamih, who goes well here, won't be far away either if fully tuned-up for this assignment.
With most of her rivals having questions to answer on one count or another, this could be the day for TURBULENT POWER.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (7.5/1 -15%) Mary Cassatt |
7.5/1(-15%) | (9) Mary Cassatt 7.5/1, Fair hurdler. Third of 16 in handicap hurdle (66/1) at Kilbeggan (19.2f, good to soft) 24 days ago, closing all way to line. One to consider. 66-1 3rd latest was much improved and shaped like a step up in trip would suit. |
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2nd (1) (1.5/1 +8%) Knockanard Lady |
1.5/1(+8%) | (1) Knockanard Lady 1.5/1, Fairly useful hurdler. Bit below form third of 13 in novice hurdle (2/5) at Cork (19f, good to soft) 36 days ago, reportedly in season. Worth another chance. Turned over at odds on latest; worth another go at this trip if ground tries out. |
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3rd (3) (12/1 +0%) Bint Freya |
12/1(+0%) | (3) Bint Freya 12/1, Modest hurdler. Creditable second of 11 in novice hurdle at Clonmel (19.5f, heavy, 13/2) 39 days ago. Career best when 2nd at Clonmel last month but more required here; stamina to prove. |
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4th (11) (1.88/1 +53%) Roccos Inspiration |
1.88/1(+53%) | (11) Roccos Inspiration 1.88/1, Fair hurdler. Remains a maiden after 10 hurdle runs. 9/2, good second of 18 in novice hurdle at Cork (19f, good to soft) 9 days ago. Likely type. Frustrating to follow (2nd in 4 of her 5 runs this year); worth another go at this trip. |
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5th (10) (4/1 +75%) Parvos |
4/1(+75%) | (10) Parvos 4/1, Fair hurdler. Tongue strap on for 1st time, creditable third of 9 in handicap hurdle at Ballinrobe (22.1f, soft, 5/1) 31 days ago, staying on well. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Consistent sort; placed in h'caps on last 2 runs; needs improvement for cheekpieces to win. |
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6th (17) (14/1 +44%) Seventy Eight Team |
14/1(+44%) | (17) Seventy Eight Team 14/1, Mahler mare. Dam (c118/h130), 2m-2½m hurdle/chase winner, half-sister to useful hurdler (stayed 2¾m) Dangerously Good. Wears cheekpieces. RESERVE. 0-6 in points but only beaten a neck last time; cheekpieces on for Rules bow; reserve. |
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7th (8) (50/1 -213%) Lucky Viv |
50/1(-213%) | (8) Lucky Viv 50/1, Twice-raced maiden. Sixth of 12 in bumper (12/1) at Tipperary (18f, soft) 11 days ago. Makes hurdles debut. Up in trip. Plenty to like about her Rules debut when 2nd in a mares' bumper; not as good latest. |
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8th (5) (150/1 +25%) Close Enough |
150/1(+25%) | (5) Close Enough 150/1, Modest hurdler. Remains a maiden after 10 hurdle runs. 14/1, pulled up in handicap hurdle at Tramore (20.3f, soft) 29 days ago, pulled up before 2 out. Pulled up after a year off latest; looks up against in maiden company. |
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9th (14) (80/1 -100%) Weir Lane |
80/1(-100%) | (14) Weir Lane 80/1, Half-sister to 4 winners, including fair hurdler/chaser Gentleman Duke (winner around 2m, by Bachelor Duke), stays 2½m, and fair hurdler/useful chaser Johannisberger (2m-2½m winner, by Arakan). Made frame completed starts in points, runner-up latest (Apr 9). 0-5 in points; runner-up in a point last month but has plenty to find on Rules bow. |
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10th (2) (80/1 +0%) Amazing Amy |
80/1(+0%) | (2) Amazing Amy 80/1, Poor hurdler. Off 11 months. Significantly up in trip. First run for yard after leaving Ms Margaret Mullins. Modest form so far and has been off nearly a year; new yard. |
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11th (4) (40/1 -60%) C'est Rien |
40/1(-60%) | (4) C'est Rien 40/1, Modest hurdler. Below form twelfth of 19 in novice hurdle at Tipperary (15.8f, good to soft, 22/1) 11 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Promising 3rd in mares' maiden hurdle in October but tailed off in 4 runs since; new trip. |
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12th (7) (125/1 -279%) Kathy Choice |
125/1(-279%) | (7) Kathy Choice 125/1, Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. Sixth of 14 in novice hurdle at Tramore (16f, soft, 14/1) on hurdles bow 29 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Minor promise in bumpers; beaten 22l on hurdle bow; plenty to find; new trip may suit. |
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13th (16) (150/1 -275%) Irish Artist |
150/1(-275%) | (16) Irish Artist 150/1, €3,000 3-y-o, Dariyan filly. Half-sister to 5 winners, including multiple bumper winner/fairly useful hurdler Coquelicot and fairly useful hurdler Heartbreak City. Half-sister to 5 winners inc' Heartbreak City; interesting pedigree; best watched on debut. |
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|PU| (12) (300/1 -355%) Thatsjessie |
300/1(-355%) | (12) Thatsjessie 300/1, Milan mare. Half-sister to a point winner. Dam (h105), bumper winner (stayed 2½m), half-sister to bumper winner/useful hurdler (stayed 21f) Santia. Milan mare; half-sister to point winner Fortunes Hill; tough ask for a newcomer. |
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|PU| (13) (300/1 -50%) Twolittlegirls |
300/1(-50%) | (13) Twolittlegirls 300/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. 150/1 and hooded for 1st time, fifteenth of 18 in novice hurdle at Cork (19f, good to soft) 9 days ago. Modest form in bumpers and no improvement for hurdles of late. |
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|PU| (6) (300/1 -20%) Cooltubrid Hope |
300/1(-20%) | (6) Cooltubrid Hope 300/1, Twice-raced maiden. Twelfth of 14 in novice hurdle (200/1) at Wexford (16f, good to soft) 71 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Tailed off at huge odds in two maiden hurdles so far. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the information provided, the horses that are likely to do well and finish in the top three are 1.63/1 (1) KNOCKANARD LADY, 4/1 (11) ROCCOS INSPIRATION, and 6.5/1 (9) MARY CASSATT. 1.63/1 (1) KNOCKANARD LADY has had a bit of a dip in form but has the potential to do well at this trip if the ground suits. 4/1 (11) ROCCOS INSPIRATION has been frustrating to follow but has shown promise and finished a good second in a recent novice hurdle. 6.5/1 (9) MARY CASSATT has improved significantly in her last run and could do well if she steps up in trip. However, as with any horse race, there is a degree of uncertainty and any of the other horses, including the reserves, could surprise and perform better than expected.
A few of these have been knocking on the door and it may be ROCCOS INSPIRATION's turn this time. The Shirocco mare didn't do a whole lot wrong when chasing home a decent sort in Pink In The Park at Cork nine days ago and a step up in trip looks like it won't do her any harm. She gets an 8lb pull from Knockanard Lady and that could prove crucial. Pat Doyle's mare has been placed on her last three starts and is proven over this trip. She sets the standard off a mark of 114 but does have to concede weight to the field. Mary Cassatt ran well in handicap company at Kilbeggan last time and is still relatively unexposed. She looks another for the shortlist.
KNOCKANARD LADY was reportedly found to be in season when disappointing at Cork and is worth another chance as she sets the standard. Roccos Inspiration and Mary Cassatt are the dangers, although Pure Notions would be an obvious contender for Willie Mullins if getting a run.
Having been a big eyecatcher on Friday, WORKFORADIME (nap) may be able to gain compensation with further and cheekpieces likely to suit
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (1.4/1 +58%) Breguet Boy |
1.4/1(+58%) | (7) Breguet Boy 1.4/1, Latest win at Newcastle in March. 6/1, respectable sixth of 14 in handicap at Catterick (12.1f, soft) 19 days ago. Down in trip. Place possibilities. This drop back in distance looks ideal; defied higher marks earlier in career. |
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2nd (4) (4/1 +0%) Hostelry |
4/1(+0%) | (4) Hostelry 4/1, One win from 32 Flat runs. Bit below form fifth of 11 in handicap at Pontefract (8f, good to soft, 13/2) 12 days ago, worst of draw. Has good chance on form. Sole win came off 3lb higher over 1m1f last July; possibilities back at this trip. |
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3rd (1) (6/1 -71%) Bulls Aye |
6/1(-71%) | (1) Bulls Aye 6/1, Course winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2020. Creditable second of 6 in handicap (10/3) at Ayr (8f, good to firm) 11 days ago, slowly away. Should be in the mix. Encouraging second at Ayr last time; fighting chance off the same mark. |
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4th (5) (4/1 -14%) How Bizarre |
4/1(-14%) | (5) How Bizarre 4/1, Unreliable sort. 4-time course winner. Won 9-runner handicap at this course (8f, good to soft, 11/4) 10 days ago, responding well. More needed if he's to follow up off this 5 lb higher mark. Made all here ten days ago, ending a long losing spell; still well treated on peak form. |
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5th (8) (6/1 +0%) Going Underground |
6/1(+0%) | (8) Going Underground 6/1, One win from 30 Flat runs. 10/3, respectable 5 lengths fourth of 9 to How Bizarre in handicap at this course (8f, good to soft) 10 days ago, slowly away. Merits consideration. Made the frame here the last twice, fourth to How Bizarre latest occasion. |
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6th (6) (40/1 -21%) Essencial |
40/1(-21%) | (6) Essencial 40/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Ninth of 12 in handicap (40/1) at Ayr (6f, good) 7 days ago. Significantly up in trip and How Bizarre is presumably the stable No 1. Has not troubled the judged in three runs for new stable. |
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7th (9) (50/1 -25%) Hollis Brown |
50/1(-25%) | (9) Hollis Brown 50/1, 16½ lengths seventh of 9 to How Bizarre in handicap (28/1) at this course (8f, good to soft) 10 days ago. Clearly has work to do. Inconsistent maiden; others preferred. |
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8th (2) (150/1 -275%) Heer He Goes |
150/1(-275%) | (2) Heer He Goes 150/1, Thrice-raced maiden on Flat. Last of 11 in minor event at Redcar (8f, soft, 200/1) 35 days ago. Makes handicap debut and big step forward needed. This switch to handicap level may prompt improvement. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
1st: 3.5/1 (5) HOW BIZARRE 2nd: 3.5/1 (1) BULLS AYE 3rd: 6/1 (8) GOING UNDERGROUND
HOW BIZARRE had been running consistently well on the all-weather and was rewarded with a victory here over a mile earlier in the month. The eight-year-old displayed a fine attitude on that occasion and gets the vote, despite a 5lb rise from the handicapper. Bulls Aye's second at Ayr last time gives him every chance, while a drop in trip may aid the cause of Breguet Boy.
This looks trappy and the suggestion is HOSTELRY, who shouldn't be judged too harshly on her latest effort at Pontefract. She shaped well on her reappearance at Southwell and is now 3 lb below her last winning mark. Bulls Aye lost little caste in defeat when runner-up at Ayr recently and is feared most ahead of Breguet Boy and Going Underground. How Bizarre made all over a mile here 10 days ago but this 5 lb higher mark will ask a question of him.
Tentative preference is for HOSTELRY, ahead of How Bizarre and Bulls Aye.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (1.25/1 +64%) Come On John |
1.25/1(+64%) | (1) Come On John 1.25/1, One win from 21 Flat runs. Returned to form when close third of 12 in Lingfield handicap (10f, AW) 2 days ago. Claims if building on that. Record of 1-22 but he was a close third at Lingfield (1m2f, AW) on Saturday; in the mix. |
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2nd (2) (5/1 -122%) Hellavapace |
5/1(-122%) | (2) Hellavapace 5/1, Career best when taking 12-runner handicap (8/1) over C&D last month and far from disgraced in Brighton follow-up bid (8f) 12 days ago. 6 lb higher now but likely to go well again. Clearcut win under Olivia Tubb over C&D last month; big player on this return to AW. |
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3rd (8) (16/1 -33%) Pop Favorite |
16/1(-33%) | (8) Pop Favorite 16/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. 20/1, respectable seventh of 14 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 27 days ago. Others preferred. Last win was in October 2021 and he's finished down the field in last two starts. |
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4th (4) (7.5/1 +17%) Starry Eyes |
7.5/1(+17%) | (4) Starry Eyes 7.5/1, Twenty two runs since last win in 2021. Below form fifth of 12 in handicap at Brighton (8f, good, 10/1) 23 days ago, very slowly away. Claims on best form. Her last win was in September 2021 and she's not easy to predict; risks attached. |
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5th (3) (6/1 -50%) Recuerdame |
6/1(-50%) | (3) Recuerdame 6/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Lingfield in March. Returned to form when fourth of 13 in handicap at Kempton (8f) 12 days ago, left with too much to do. Likely contender. Nine-time AW winner who was an eyecatching fourth at Kempton last time; respected. |
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6th (5) (50/1 -400%) Zoffany Portrait |
50/1(-400%) | (5) Zoffany Portrait 50/1, 16/1, seventh of 10 in handicap at Leicester (10f, heavy) 16 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Inconsistent eight-race maiden who was tailed off at Leicester last time; others preferred. |
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7th (7) (14/1 +36%) Harbour Project |
14/1(+36%) | (7) Harbour Project 14/1, C&D winner. One win from 22 Flat runs. Ninth of 10 in handicap (28/1) at Brighton (11.9f, good) 13 days ago. Down in trip. Blinkers on 1st time. Has work to do. His win came over C&D but he needs to turn things around back at this track. |
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8th (6) (6.5/1 +46%) Order Of St John |
6.5/1(+46%) | (6) Order Of St John 6.5/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2021. 7/1, below form fifth of 10 in handicap at Leicester (10f, heavy) 16 days ago. Something to find on form. Well held in his three runs this year and he needs a major revival. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are most likely to finish in the top 3 are 4/1 (3) RECUERDAME, 2.25/1 (2) HELLAVAPACE, and Come on John. 4/1 (3) RECUERDAME is described as a nine-time AW winner and a likely contender, while 2.25/1 (2) HELLAVAPACE is a big player and likely to go well again based on his clearcut win last month. Come on John has also returned to form recently and could be in the mix.
HELLAVAPACE may have been disappointing when favourite at Brighton last time out, but she must hold every chance on the form of her penultimate effort when scoring readily over C&D. Jonathan Portman's filly may have too much for Recuerdame, who will appreciate going back up in trip, and Come On John. Starry Eyes and Zoffany Portrait cannot be ruled out either.
Preference is for RECUERDAME, who ran well over a shorter trip at Kempton last time and remains fairly treated. Hellavapace and Come On John also enter calculations.
The vote goes to the generally reliable HELLAVAPACE, who put in a dominant display over C&D on her penultimate run.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (3.5/1 +0%) Jamil |
3.5/1(+0%) | (4) Jamil 3.5/1, Won over C&D in spring of last year and far from disgraced when third of 10 in handicap (8/1) at Thirsk (12f, heavy) on return to level 4 days ago. One for the shortlist. C&D winner on good to soft and ran okay to be third at Thirsk four days ago.. |
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2nd (5) (3.6/1 +49%) Purple Reign |
3.6/1(+49%) | (5) Purple Reign 3.6/1, Bit below form seventh of 13 in handicap (13/2) at Bath (11.6f, good to soft) 24 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Wasn't much of a run at Bath most recently and needs to leave that effort behind.. |
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3rd (7) (5.5/1 +8%) Visitant |
5.5/1(+8%) | (7) Visitant 5.5/1, Produced best effort for some time when runner-up at Thirsk (12f) last month and posted respectable sixth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f) since. Can make presence felt. Went close over this far on soft at Thirsk before running okay after a slow start on AW.. |
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4th (10) (7.5/1 +58%) Odd Venture |
7.5/1(+58%) | (10) Odd Venture 7.5/1, One win from 26 Flat runs. 16/1, eighth of 9 in minor event at Newcastle (10.2f) 62 days ago. Makes limited appeal. 1 lb out of the handicap. Claims can be made on his Irish form (including on soft) and hard to discount.. |
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5th (1) (50/1 -127%) Boudica Warrior |
50/1(-127%) | (1) Boudica Warrior 50/1, First run since leaving Amy Murphy when last of 8 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f, 40/1) 25 days ago. Back up in trip. Hard to fancy. 0-12 and has tried hurdling; finished last on her debut for this yard at Chelmsford.. |
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6th (8) (16/1 -14%) John The Pirate |
16/1(-14%) | (8) John The Pirate 16/1, 15/2, sixth of 9 in handicap at Southwell (12.1f) 7 days ago. Work to do on turf debut. 1 lb out of the weights. Maiden under both codes and again failed to feature in the finish last week at Southwell.. |
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7th (3) (4.5/1 +25%) Tiberio Force |
4.5/1(+25%) | (3) Tiberio Force 4.5/1, Below form seventh of 14 in handicap at Doncaster (11.9f, soft, 25/1) 16 days ago, hampered. Others preferred. Doubts about him on softish ground and those weren't quashed 16 days ago.. |
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8th (2) (5.5/1 -144%) Haseef |
5.5/1(-144%) | (2) Haseef 5.5/1, First run for new connections when respectable fifth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 20 days ago, never nearer. Figures on a handy mark and must enter calculations despite reservations about this longer trip. Debut for this yard wasn't devoid of promise but not a certain stayer over this far.. |
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9th (6) (28/1 -56%) Silver Vision |
28/1(-56%) | (6) Silver Vision 28/1, Unseated rider in handicap hurdle (100/1) at Perth (20.2f, soft) 17 days ago. Down in trip. Poor on last Flat run. Readily opposed. Modest hurdle form since winning a maiden in Nov; Flat profile not that convincing.. |
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10th (9) (40/1 -43%) Skedaddled |
40/1(-43%) | (9) Skedaddled 40/1, Creditable fifth of 10 in handicap at Beverley (9.9f, good to firm, 18/1). Off 8 months. Up in trip. Others more persuasive. 1 lb out of the weights. She's 0-14 now and this longer trip could be a stretch on slow ground.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary provided, it is difficult to confidently predict which horse will finish in first, second, and third place. However, 6/1 (7) VISITANT and 4/1 (4) JAMIL may have a competitive chance based on their recent form and previous performances. The other horses have either shown inconsistencies or lack of success in their recent runs, making their chances uncertain.
JAMIL shaped better than the distance he was beaten suggests when placing at Thirsk on Thursday and this appears to represent a fine opportunity for the eight-year-old in a contest that lacks depth on paper. Tiberio Force is likely to step forward from his return at Doncaster last month, while Visitant's second at Thirsk last month earns him a place on the shortlist.
Preference is for C&D winner JAMIL, who arrives on the back of a solid effort at Thirsk and is still on a workable mark. Haseef is nicely treated and will be dangerous if lasting out over this longer trip, whilst Visitant also enters calculations.
The 6yo ODD VENTURE might be worth chancing as some of his turf form in Ireland reads well in the context of today's company.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (12) (0.44/1 +23%) The Short Go |
0.44/1(+23%) | (12) The Short Go 0.44/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 8/13, bit below form third of 16 in novice hurdle at Fairyhouse (16.2f, heavy), folding. Off 6 months. Yard having good spell. No surprise to see a better showing on return with the hood back on. Placed all 4 hurdle runs; below form latest but return to 2m4f will suit; the one to beat. |
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2nd (2) (4/1 +20%) All For Rachel |
4/1(+20%) | (2) All For Rachel 4/1, Fair hurdler. 5/1, very good second of 15 in novice hurdle at Ballinrobe (21.1f, good to soft) 13 days ago, keeping on without matching the winner. A repeat should see him in the mix again. 0-10; back to his best when 2nd in Ballinrobe maiden hurdles but likely to need more here. |
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3rd (7) (33/1 -136%) Pahlavi |
33/1(-136%) | (7) Pahlavi 33/1, Thrice-raced maiden in bumpers. First run since leaving Mrs J. Harrington when fifth of 8 in maiden at Dundalk (12f, 13/2). Makes hurdles debut and the betting should guide. Useful Flat form for Jessica Harrington; stamina to prove and off 145 days. |
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4th (16) (25/1 -25%) Mousey Brown |
25/1(-25%) | (16) Mousey Brown 25/1, Twice-raced maiden. Fifth of 16 in bumper at Tipperary (20.2f, soft, 66/1) 27 days ago, not knocked about. Makes hurdles debut. Point winner; improved from debut when beaten 4l in mares' bumper last month. |
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5th (13) (100/1 +0%) Thunder |
100/1(+0%) | (13) Thunder 100/1, Twice-raced maiden. 50/1, eighth of 10 in bumper at Fairyhouse (16f, heavy) 134 days ago, weakening quickly. Makes hurdles debut. Up in trip. Tailed off in two bumpers so far and unlikely to play a part; off 134 days. |
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6th (9) (250/1 -25%) Sekakarma |
250/1(-25%) | (9) Sekakarma 250/1, Once-raced maiden. 150/1, eleventh of 19 in novice hurdle at Tipperary (20.2f, soft) on NH debut 27 days ago. Passed over on the back of that here. Tailed off when 150-1 for his debut last month; plenty to prove. |
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7th (11) (20/1 -43%) The Mass Path |
20/1(-43%) | (11) The Mass Path 20/1, Twice-raced maiden. 16/1, seventh of 19 in novice hurdle at Tipperary (20.2f, soft) 27 days ago, no extra from 2 out. Handicaps likely to be more his bag moving forward. Shown a bit more promise in maiden hurdles under Rules but has a fair bit to find here. |
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8th (3) (12/1 -20%) Answer To Kayf |
12/1(-20%) | (3) Answer To Kayf 12/1, Runner-up sole start in points. Once-raced maiden under Rules. Third of 8 in bumper at Cork (19f, good to soft, 12/1) 36 days ago. Makes hurdles debut. 2nd in a point; shaped like he needed the run when 3rd in a bumper on Rules debut. |
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9th (15) (200/1 +0%) Copper Coast |
200/1(+0%) | (15) Copper Coast 200/1, Twice-raced maiden. Ninth of 18 in novice hurdle at Cork (19f, good to soft, 150/1) 9 days ago, shaken up end of back straight and soon beaten. Tailed off at big odds in 2 maiden hurdles so far, including up in trip at Cork last week. |
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|U| (5) (5.5/1 +8%) Ebenezer Scrooge |
5.5/1(+8%) | (5) Ebenezer Scrooge 5.5/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Third of 10 in novice hurdle (10/1) at Navan (22.4f, good to soft) 72 days ago. Claims of hitting the frame again with a repeat. Promising Rules debut and bounced back from lesser run when 3rd latest; drops in trip. |
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10th (8) (200/1 +0%) Policy Breaker |
200/1(+0%) | (8) Policy Breaker 200/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. 200/1, first run since leaving Peter Maher when sixth of 15 in novice hurdle at Ballinrobe (21.1f, good to soft) 13 days ago, plenty to do 2 out and late headway. Low-grade handicaps will be more his bag. Either pulled up or tailed off in five starts so far, all at triple figure odds. |
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11th (1) (150/1 -50%) Singing The Blues |
150/1(-50%) | (1) Singing The Blues 150/1, Fair winner at up to 2m on Flat. Twice-raced maiden over hurdles. Tenth of 15 in novice hurdle (50/1) at Ballinrobe (16.6f, good to soft) 13 days ago. Up in trip. 10-50 on the level; some promise on hurdle bow but tailed off latest. |
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12th (6) (200/1 +0%) Le Sin Bin |
200/1(+0%) | (6) Le Sin Bin 200/1, Once-raced maiden. 125/1, pulled up in minor event hurdle at Fairyhouse (20.1f, heavy) on NH debut 134 days ago. Pulled up when 125-1 for debut; off 134 days. |
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13th (4) (300/1 -20%) Didyouseethelight |
300/1(-20%) | (4) Didyouseethelight 300/1, Twice-raced maiden. Fourteenth of 15 in novice hurdle (200/1) at Ballinrobe (21.1f, good to soft) 13 days ago. Shown nothing in two maiden hurdles at triple figure odds. |
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14th (10) (200/1 +0%) Sunset Cato |
200/1(+0%) | (10) Sunset Cato 200/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. 200/1, pulled up in novice hurdle at Cork (24.8f, good to soft) 9 days ago, pulled up before 3 out. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Shown little so far and pulled up when 200s last week; cheekpieces on down in trip. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
It is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well from this summary, but 0.57/1 (12) THE SHORT GO and 5/1 (2) ALL FOR RACHEL both have promising past performances and could be contenders to finish in the top three. 6/1 (5) EBENEZER SCROOGE also has potential to hit the frame again. However, as there are several reserves in the mix, it is possible that any of these horses could be replaced and potentially surprise with a strong showing.
THE SHORT GO has some strong form in the book and looks the one to beat on his return. The Fame And Glory gelding bumped into some smart sorts early in his career, including The Nice Guy, and was last seen getting turned over at a short price in testing ground at Fairyhouse last November. This is a much weaker contest now and better ground should help. All For Rachel ran well when chasing home Showurappreciation at Ballinrobe recently but his official mark of 105 doesn't set a particularly high standard. Ebenezer Scrooge, third in a Navan maiden hurdle in early March, is open to improvement and could prove a bigger danger.
THE SHORT GO ran below his best when last seen at Fairyhouse 6 months ago but the pick of his exploits over timber gives him sound claims in a maiden distinctly lacking depth and he rates the one to beat in a refitted hood. All For Rachel, on the back of a good second at Ballinrobe 13 days ago, rates the chief threat, ahead of Ebenezer Scrooge.
This looks like a good opportunity for THE SHORT GO who should relish a step back up in trip and he sets a solid standard
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (2.25/1 +55%) Silent Flame |
2.25/1(+55%) | (5) Silent Flame 2.25/1, Did the job well when resuming winning ways at Newbury (6f) last June. Sixth of 8 in handicap (7/1) at Leicester (6f, heavy) on return 16 days ago. One to note. May well have needed reappearance; has never raced at short of 6f. |
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2nd (1) (3.2/1 -16%) Faustus |
3.2/1(-16%) | (1) Faustus 3.2/1, Last of 8 in handicap (9/2) at Yarmouth (5.2f, heavy) 30 days ago, better for the run. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Gone well here before and interesting down in grade under Buick. Muted reappearance this term; possibly better on AW these days; tries headgear first time. |
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3rd (7) (40/1 -264%) Wiley Post |
40/1(-264%) | (7) Wiley Post 40/1, C&D winner. Fifth of 8 in handicap (12/1) at Lingfield (5f, AW) when last seen. Off 124 days. Must improve. Scored at Brighton last May after a layoff; long time since he raced on soft. |
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4th (3) (5/1 +0%) Harb |
5/1(+0%) | (3) Harb 5/1, Had a good winter on the AW. Fifth of 8 in handicap (8/1) at Epsom (5f, heavy) 20 days ago. All three wins were on AW but he has turf form which would see him thereabouts. |
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5th (2) (4/1 +0%) Sarah's Verse |
4/1(+0%) | (2) Sarah's Verse 4/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Bath in April. 7/1, respectable third of 8 in handicap at this C&D (heavy) 21 days ago. Respected. Won last August over C&D, where she ran respectably on latest outing; leading player. |
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6th (4) (12/1 +0%) Level Up |
12/1(+0%) | (4) Level Up 12/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in April. 7/1, sixth of 8 in handicap at this C&D (heavy) 21 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Work to do back on turf. Plenty to prove on turf; beaten 12l over C&D latest and now tongue tied instead of visored. |
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7th (6) (7/1 -40%) Dream By Day |
7/1(-40%) | (6) Dream By Day 7/1, Latest win at Nottingham in October. Fifth of 8 in handicap at this C&D (heavy, 15/2) 21 days ago. Others more persuasive. Both his wins were on soft ground; well beaten on reappearance but could bounce back. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, 4/1 (2) SARAH'S VERSE appears to be the strongest contender with a recent win at Bath and a respectable third place finish at the same C&D 21 days ago. 5/1 (5) SILENT FLAME and 5/1 (3) HARB also have potential with past wins on the AW and good performances on turf. Therefore, the predicted order of finish is as follows: 1st - 4/1 (2) SARAH'S VERSE 2nd - 5/1 (5) SILENT FLAME 3rd - 5/1 (3) HARB
SARAH'S VERSE was given an enterprising ride when switched to the far side to challenge over C&D last month, but she eventually weakened into third. Conditions are in her favour again and she can be trusted to make it two wins from three starts at the main expense of Silent Flame and Harb, who ran an encouraging race at Epsom last time out.
FAUSTUS could be the way to go dropped in grade with Buick back on board. Silent Flame and Sarah's Verse are respected also.
The two to concentrate on may be DREAM BY DAY and Sarah's Verse. The former could be the one now that he has a run under his belt.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (7.5/1 +38%) Crime Fiction |
7.5/1(+38%) | (3) Crime Fiction 7.5/1, 16/1, below form third of 7 in handicap at Catterick (5f, good to soft) 19 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Makes limited appeal. Had some decent 2yo form for Tim Easterby but below par this season.. |
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2nd (2) (5.5/1 -57%) Cavalier Approach |
5.5/1(-57%) | (2) Cavalier Approach 5.5/1, Back on the up when taking 9-runner handicap at Newcastle (5f, 13/2) 13 days ago. 4 lb higher now but will be a player if reproducing that form on turf. Won from the front at Newcastle (5f AW) despite not settling all that well; up 4lb.. |
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4th (4) (7/1 +42%) Cuban Rock |
7/1(+42%) | (4) Cuban Rock 7/1, 66/1, last of 10 in handicap at this C&D (soft) 15 days ago. Hood on 1st time. Still looking for first success. Engaged 4.15 Hamilton Sunday. 0-9 and no better for a hood when down the field at Hamilton yesterday.. |
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5th (1) (1.62/1 +28%) Teresa Grace |
1.62/1(+28%) | (1) Teresa Grace 1.62/1, Found improvement, on return/yard debut, when winning 9-runner handicap at Thirsk (5f, soft, 6/1) 41 days ago by length from Cheyenne Nation. 5 lb rise fair and holds strong follow-up claims. Found some momentum last backend and returned with a win over this trip at Thirsk.. |
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6th (7) (11/1 -83%) Holly Blackmore |
11/1(-83%) | (7) Holly Blackmore 11/1, Last of 8 in handicap (13/2) at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 30 days ago, not ideally placed. Claims on best form. Respected on her Thirsk fourth and she got messed about at the start at Wolverhampton.. |
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7th (5) (5/1 +0%) Glory Call |
5/1(+0%) | (5) Glory Call 5/1, Made encouraging return when length third of 9 to Cavalier Approach in handicap at Newcastle (5f) 13 days ago. Entitled to build on that and must enter calculations. Lightly raced and kept on nicely to finish only 1l off Cavalier Approach at Newcastle.. |
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|DQ| (6) (7.5/1 +6%) Cheyenne Nation |
7.5/1(+6%) | (6) Cheyenne Nation 7.5/1, 6 lengths last of 9 to Cavalier Approach in handicap at Newcastle (5f, 11/2) 13 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Work to do. Encouraging return but has twice failed to build on that; now in cheekpieces.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are likely to do well and finish in the top three are 5/1 (5) GLORY CALL, 2.25/1 (1) TERESA GRACE, and 3.5/1 (2) CAVALIER APPROACH. 5/1 (5) GLORY CALL has shown improvement in recent races and is expected to build on that. 2.25/1 (1) TERESA GRACE has already won a race this season and is expected to perform well with a 5 lb rise. 3.5/1 (2) CAVALIER APPROACH has won a recent race and if he reproduces that form on turf, he will be a strong contender. 8/1 (6) CHEYENNE NATION has struggled to build on previous encouraging performances and has a lot of work to do, while 12/1 (3) CRIME FICTION has not performed well this season and makes limited appeal. 6/1 (7) HOLLY BLACKMORE has the potential to perform well based on her Thirsk performance, but 12/1 (4) CUBAN ROCK has not shown much promise and is still looking for their first success.
TERESA GRACE stepped forward from her juvenile efforts when shedding the maiden tag on her yard debut for Declan Carroll at Thirsk last month and she could progress from that performance. Glory Call finished third on his handicap bow behind Cavalier Approach at Newcastle earlier this month and that pair are likely to enter the equation, with the former holding every chance of reversing the form as that was his first run since August.
TERESA GRACE made a winning start for new connections at Thirsk last month and remains low mileage. She can go in again. Cavalier Approach and Glory Call are feared most.
Teresa Grace can probably improve some more but HOLLY BLACKMORE shaped well when they met at Thirsk.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (6.5/1 +59%) Mystic Man |
6.5/1(+59%) | (8) Mystic Man 6.5/1, Point winner who found just one too good on Rules debut in a Stratford bumper last May. Hasn't shown much in 4 starts over hurdles since (ran a moody race latest) but could do better for switch to chasing. Pulled up on handicap hurdle debut but this point winner may do better now chasing. |
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2nd (10) (11/1 -100%) Miss Antipova |
11/1(-100%) | (10) Miss Antipova 11/1, Back on track having dropped a ton in the weights when second at Ffos Las (19.4f) 5 weeks ago and claims if building on that. Proved some ability remains and ran big race in defeat at Ffos Las last month. |
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3rd (3) (3.5/1 +56%) Fox's Socks |
3.5/1(+56%) | (3) Fox's Socks 3.5/1, Winning hurdler who ran well on second start over fences at Market Rasen in December but well held at Huntingdon on Boxing Day. More needed on return. Safely held in two of three chases in late 2022 but went close in the other; a possible. |
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4th (6) (25/1 +24%) Go Fox |
25/1(+24%) | (6) Go Fox 25/1, Out of sorts (has shown nothing in 2 goes over fences). Potentially very well handicapped. Out of form under all codes since winning Flat claimer just under a year ago. |
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5th (7) (4.5/1 +31%) Quiet Flow |
4.5/1(+31%) | (7) Quiet Flow 4.5/1, Runner-up twice in February (just failed over C&D first occasion) and fair shout back from a break if jumping better. Disappointed last time but went close over C&D in February; strong claims if back on song. |
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|PU| (1) (5/1 +38%) Patagonia |
5/1(+38%) | (1) Patagonia 5/1, Went close over fences at Wetherby in March and could have a race like this in him if staying. Just one win in 6 months for yard. Didn't fire last time but went very close two starts ago and still has low mileage. |
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|PU| (2) (6/1 -118%) Dime Store Cowgirl |
6/1(-118%) | (2) Dime Store Cowgirl 6/1, Hurdles winner who got back on track sent chasing when second at Wincanton last month. Return to left-handed track will suit and she should have more to offer. Can go well if staying the longer trip. Creditable second to progressive rival on recent chasing debut; major player. |
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|PU| (11) (11/1 -83%) Brickadank |
11/1(-83%) | (11) Brickadank 11/1, Long-standing maiden but, on just his second start over fences, came closer than ever before to breaking his duck at Newcastle over this trip 4 weeks ago. Needs to build on that now. Very very close in a modest chase last month but career strike-rate is now 0-30. |
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|PU| (4) (12/1 -60%) Higgs |
12/1(-60%) | (4) Higgs 12/1, Dual hurdles winner back in 2018. Ran well on a couple of occasions over fences earlier this year but has failed to complete the last twice. Twice ran well in refitted cheekpieces in March but two non-completions have followed. |
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|PU| (9) (28/1 -56%) Overtougeorge |
28/1(-56%) | (9) Overtougeorge 28/1, Going well over hurdles here when last seen but needs to improve on his previous chasing efforts and this sort of trip possibly beyond him. Won small-field hurdle here a year ago but has uninspiring chase record; back from layoff. |
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|PU| (5) (50/1 +0%) Forever Des Long |
50/1(+0%) | (5) Forever Des Long 50/1, Market Rasen hurdles winner for Philip Hobbs but ended his time with that yard on a low note and well held all 5 starts for present connections. Tries chasing now. Hasn't shown a great deal over hurdles for this stable; now makes his chasing debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
1st Place: 6.5/1 (7) QUIET FLOW 2nd Place: 8/1 (1) PATAGONIA 3rd Place: 5.5/1 (10) MISS ANTIPOVA
Narrowly denied at Newcastle last time out on just his second run over fences, BRICKADANK can gain compensation on this occasion with the slight rise in distance expected to suit. A promising second on her chase debut at Wincanton, Dime Store Cowgirl can give him the most to think about, along with Miss Antipova, who ran well at Ffos Las last month but is now winless in 17 starts.
DIME STORE COWGIRL made a good fist of it on her chasing debut 4 weeks ago and will be suited by the return to a left-handed track so she could go very well if staying. Miss Antipova and Quiet Flow are a couple of others to consider.
The vote goes to DIME STORE COWGIRL, who made a good start to her chasing career when second at Wincanton last month.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (0.29/1 +19%) Absurde |
0.29/1(+19%) | (2) Absurde 0.29/1, Smart dual winner on Flat in France (stays 1¼m) who ran creditably when seventh in Longchamp Group 3 (10f) last June. Susequently joined leading NH yard for €260,000 and he's very much of interest now his attentions switch to hurdling. Listed-placed twice on the level; yard's French recruits always warrant respect. |
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2nd (5) (3.5/1 +61%) Emily Roebling |
3.5/1(+61%) | (5) Emily Roebling 3.5/1, Fair hurdler. 10/3, career best when winning 11-runner novice hurdle at Wexford (20.7f, heavy) 45 days ago, jumped on last and all out to hold on. Arrives on the back of career best heavy ground success; effective on quicker; needs more. |
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3rd (6) (100/1 -25%) Winning Smut |
100/1(-25%) | (6) Winning Smut 100/1, Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. 25/1, eighth of 13 in bumper at Down Royal (16.8f, good to soft) on bumper debut 14 days ago. Switches from bumpers to hurdles and handicaps likely to be more his bag in this sphere. Shown a bit of promise but looks very much up against it at this level. |
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4th (4) (28/1 -75%) Privilege |
28/1(-75%) | (4) Privilege 28/1, Fairly useful winner at 1m on Flat. Lightly-raced maiden over hurdles. Reportedly lost action when pulled up in handicap at Punchestown (19.8f) 19 days ago. Needs to get back on track now. Flat winner; ran well in Leopardstown maiden hurdle 2 years ago but has lost his way since. |
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5th (7) (250/1 -213%) Ruby Jules |
250/1(-213%) | (7) Ruby Jules 250/1, Fair maiden on Flat (stays 1¼m) who was well below her best when last seen, tenth in a 14-runner maiden at Bellewstown (7.8f) in September. Rates a likely outsider making hurdles bow. Modest performer on the Flat and this is a huge ask on hurdle bow. |
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6th (1) (9/1 -157%) Connors Cross |
9/1(-157%) | (1) Connors Cross 9/1, Twice-raced winner under NH rules. 66/1 and hooded for 1st time, won 10-runner novice hurdle at Punchestown (20.4f, good to soft) on hurdles bow 82 days ago, always holding on having idled markedly approaching last. May do better again. Point 2nd who got off the mark under Rules latest; form taken a few knocks. |
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|PU| (3) (80/1 +60%) How Decc |
80/1(+60%) | (3) How Decc 80/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Thirteenth of 19 in handicap hurdle (22/1) at Tipperary (16f, soft) 27 days ago, beaten when not fluent 2 out. Up in trip. Modest form so far and tailed off in a handicap off 95 when last seen. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
It is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well based on the limited information provided. However, based on their recent success and form, 9/1 (5) EMILY ROEBLING and 3.5/1 (1) CONNORS CROSS seem to be the strongest contenders. 0.36/1 (2) ABSURDE also has potential as a smart dual winner on the Flat in France, now switched to hurdling. Therefore, the predicted order of finish for the top three horses would be: 1. 9/1 (5) EMILY ROEBLING 2. 3.5/1 (1) CONNORS CROSS 3. 0.36/1 (2) ABSURDE
The Willie Mullins-trained ABSURDE is an intriguing one in this and the Fastnet Rock gelding can make a winning start for the champion trainer. The five-year-old was twice placed at Listed level on the Flat in France and cost 260,000 euros at the sales last July. He is sure to be well schooled and ready to go for his jumping debut. Connors Cross sets the standard off a mark of 123 and connections claim off him to lessen his top-weight burden. He won, despite running freely, at Punchestown back in February and the form of that race hasn't worked out too badly since. There looks scope for further improvement from the Carlotamix gelding. The mare Emily Roebling was also a winner last time out but is probably a touch more exposed.
ABSURDE made up into a smart sort on the Flat in France last year and, having changed hands for €260,000 subsequently, he could be the way to go now his attentions switch to hurdling for his leading NH yard. Connors Cross rates next best, ahead of Emily Roebling.
ABSURDE was a promising performer middle-distance performer on the level and he could be hard to beat if he takes to hurdles
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (1/1 +28%) Rockit Tommy |
1/1(+28%) | (2) Rockit Tommy 1/1, Tamayuz gelding who was quite impressive when landing 7-runner novice event on debut at Lingfield (10f) 4 weeks ago, leading last entering last ½f and well on top finish. Looks to have some scope and sound claims with prospect of more to come. 15-2 from 12-1, led final 1f to win debut in novice at Lingfield (1m2f, AW) four weeks ago. |
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2nd (6) (16/1 -167%) Pourquoi |
16/1(-167%) | (6) Pourquoi 16/1, Pour Moi filly. Dam 1m-2m winner. Hood fitted on debut and the betting should prove a useful guide as to expectations. First foal; dam Listed-placed 1m-2m winner (RPR 95); hooded for debut; market can guide. |
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3rd (1) (4.5/1 +36%) Scotch Mist |
4.5/1(+36%) | (1) Scotch Mist 4.5/1, Twice-raced maiden who matched debut form on back of 18 months off when fourth of 15 in novice event at Yarmouth (10.1f, heavy) 30 days ago, no extra final 1f. May be sharper for that here but concedes weight all around. Showed ability both starts, 542 days apart; may well be capable of better; considered. |
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4th (3) (6/1 -33%) Crosstitch |
6/1(-33%) | (3) Crosstitch 6/1, Fair gelding. 16/1, very good second of 10 in handicap at Beverley (9.9f, good to soft) 18 days ago, no match for winner. Expected to give another good account. Ran well in 1m2f handicaps last two outings; looks exposed and needs some improvement. |
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5th (5) (10/1 -25%) Biscoff Joe |
10/1(-25%) | (5) Biscoff Joe 10/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Eighth of 12 in minor event (22/1) at Southwell (11.1f) in February, possibly finding the race coming too soon. Hood refitted now and better showing not ruled out. Showed ability on first two AW starts but hung left and tailed off on latest; needs better. |
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6th (7) (6/1 +25%) Thawg |
6/1(+25%) | (7) Thawg 6/1, Once-raced maiden. 9/1, fifth of 7 in minor event at Nottingham (10.2f, heavy) on debut 13 days ago, never dangerous having looked very green. This ought to reveal a good deal more. Should have potential after recent Nottingham debut, but of the longer-term variety. |
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7th (4) (150/1 -50%) Island King |
150/1(-50%) | (4) Island King 150/1, Twice-raced maiden. 22/1, last of 9 in minor event at Bath (8f, good to soft) 24 days ago. Up in trip here and he can only be watched. Finished last in a Newbury maiden (7f) last August and Bath novice (1m) last month. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
1.38/1 (2) ROCKIT TOMMY looks like the strongest contender, with a recent impressive debut win and potential for more to come. 8/1 (5) BISCOFF JOE may show improvement with the refitted hood, but it's difficult to predict. 6/1 (6) POURQUOI is a first-time runner and the market may guide expectations. 8/1 (7) THAWG and 7/1 (1) SCOTCH MIST are both once-raced maidens and could improve, but may need more time to develop. 4.5/1 (3) CROSSTITCH has been consistent in recent outings but may struggle to make significant improvement. 100/1 (4) ISLAND KING has shown little in previous races and is unlikely to be a contender. Therefore, the predicted finishes are: 1st: 1.38/1 (2) ROCKIT TOMMY 2nd: 8/1 (5) BISCOFF JOE 3rd: 6/1 (6) POURQUOI
A comfortable winner on his debut at Lingfield last month, ROCKIT TOMMY is taken to follow up under a 7lb penalty on his turf bow. Crosstitch ran arguably a career best when second at Beverley 18 days ago and is entitled to be thereabouts, along with Scotch Mist, who shaped with promise at Yarmouth, while Thawg is another open to improvement.
ROCKIT TOMMY produced a promising debut effort when getting off the mark in a 7-runner Lingfield novice (10f) 4 weeks ago and, with improvement anticipated, he gets the nod to make it 2-2. Crosstitch may emerge as the chief threat ahead of Scotch Mist.
After he made a winning debut on the Lingfield AW, any improvement from ROCKIT TOMMY could make him hard to beat.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (12/1 -50%) Dog Of War |
12/1(-50%) | (3) Dog Of War 12/1, Triple chase winner but disappointing in 2 quick runs back from an absence in February. Has since undergone wind surgery. Would need to see market support to consider. Current wellbeing is an issue and all his wins have come on good or quicker ground. |
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2nd (5) (1/1 +71%) Jaytee |
1/1(+71%) | (5) Jaytee 1/1, Has been running respectably over fences of late, though was off the bridle before most in first-time cheekpieces (retained) at Wincanton on most recent outing. Brian Hughes in the saddle for the first time. Very capable at this level if on a good day but has been below par of late.. |
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3rd (2) (2.5/1 -67%) Aviewtosea |
2.5/1(-67%) | (2) Aviewtosea 2.5/1, Made it 3-4 over fences when seeing off 3 rivals over this trip at Worcester last September. Could easily be more to come for his good stable and leading claims on his return to action. Made it 3-4 over fences in September; up 5lb and absent since, but a player.. |
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4th (4) (10/1 +0%) Calipso Collonges |
10/1(+0%) | (4) Calipso Collonges 10/1, Started last season with 2 decent efforts but he has questions to answer at present having pulled up on his last 2 outings. Return of cheekpieces is a positive and he's got himself well handicapped.. |
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5th (6) (7.5/1 -67%) Dee Star |
7.5/1(-67%) | (6) Dee Star 7.5/1, In fine form in the first half of last season, winning 3 times. Creditable second at Hexham when last seen in November. Player if ready to roll after 6 months off. Stays 4m but is likely to have some say provided this run isn't needed.. |
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|PU| (1) (12/1 -33%) Fire Away |
12/1(-33%) | (1) Fire Away 12/1, Added to his tally at Cartmel last May. Has struggled since (including remote fourth at Perth 17 days ago) but his yard has won the last 2 runnings of this race so he's worth keeping an eye on in the betting. Essentially disappointing since winning at Cartmel a year ago.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, 1.5/1 (2) AVIEWTOSEA and 4.5/1 (6) DEE STAR seem to be the strongest contenders for first and second place, with 9/1 (1) FIRE AWAY as a potential dark horse. 10/1 (4) CALIPSO COLLONGES and 8/1 (3) DOG OF WAR seem less likely to do well in this race.
The Fergal O'Brien stable can do little wrong at present and AVIEWTOSEA must hold every chance on his return from a 245-day break. A winner of three of his last four starts, this looks like a perfect starting point for another summer campaign and he can see off the likes of Fire Away and Dee Star, who arrives with similar claims on the back of an absence.
AVIEWTOSEA progressed nicely over fences for Fergal O'Brien last summer and could take a bit of stopping if he's fully primed after his break. Dee Star is another who did very well last season and rates an obvious threat, while Fire Away has struggled lately but is well worth a betting check given Laura Morgan's good record in this race.
Fergal O'Brien's AVIEWTOSEA could quite easily make it 4-5 over fences if in good order after his break.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (18) (5/1 +17%) Prince Zaltar |
5/1(+17%) | (18) Prince Zaltar 5/1, Latest win in hurdle at Navan in March. 11/4, good second of 11 in handicap hurdle at Tramore (20.6f, good to soft) 28 days ago, unsuited by way race developed. Tongue strap on 1st time. RESERVE. Won 26-runner contest at Navan in March and good 2nd latest; 2lb rise fine; reserve. |
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2nd (8) (12/1 +25%) Optional Mix |
12/1(+25%) | (8) Optional Mix 12/1, 20/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, unseated rider in handicap chase at Punchestown (21.2f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Wide margin winner over Christmas but probably needs a return to testing ground. |
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3rd (14) (5.5/1 +0%) The Big Chap |
5.5/1(+0%) | (14) The Big Chap 5.5/1, Career best when winning 14-runner handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan (15f, good to soft, 5/1) 25 days ago, battling well. Significantly back up in trip. Another to consider. Off 8 months before Kilbeggan win latest; 2m4f is fine and while up 7lb, he's unexposed. |
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4th (6) (20/1 +20%) Garrybello |
20/1(+20%) | (6) Garrybello 20/1, Below form fifteenth of 25 in handicap hurdle (28/1) at Punchestown (16.2f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Up in trip. Won twice in France on soft/heavy; good run 2 starts ago but couldn't build on that latest. |
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5th (17) (11/1 -38%) Winding River |
11/1(-38%) | (17) Winding River 11/1, Didn't need to improve to win 12-runner handicap hurdle at Downpatrick (21.7f, heavy, 16/5) 43 days ago, pushed out. RESERVE. Both wins at Downpatrick inc' a h'cap success latest; this tougher with 7lb rise; reserve. |
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6th (12) (6.5/1 -63%) Viceregent |
6.5/1(-63%) | (12) Viceregent 6.5/1, Respectable fourth of 13 in maiden hurdle (5/1) at Tramore (20.3f, soft) 29 days ago. Creditable third (Flying Scotsman second) at Fairyhouse on his only handicap start. Respected. 0-11 over hurdles; ran okay when 4th in maiden hurdle latest but doesn't look well treated. |
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7th (15) (14/1 +58%) Jeepydoff Meel |
14/1(+58%) | (15) Jeepydoff Meel 14/1, 16/1, below form eleventh of 20 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (20.4f, good to soft) 36 days ago. Stable in good form. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Promise in maiden hurdles; tailed off on h'cap bow but better than that; cheekpieces on. |
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8th (9) (5.5/1 +69%) The Gradual Slope |
5.5/1(+69%) | (9) The Gradual Slope 5.5/1, Latest win in hurdle at Down Royal in January. 22/1, respectable tenth of 25 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (19.8f, good to soft) 19 days ago. Not taken lightly. Consistent but slow to come down the h'cap as a result and very best form is on soft. |
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9th (5) (4.5/1 +18%) Flying Scotsman |
4.5/1(+18%) | (5) Flying Scotsman 4.5/1, 14/1, respectable eighth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Cork (19f, good to soft) 36 days ago. Good second off this mark at Fairyhouse in December. One to consider. Only beaten 6l at Cork last week; consistent sort but others on better marks. |
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10th (3) (16/1 +0%) Popong |
16/1(+0%) | (3) Popong 16/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2020. 50/1, seventeenth of 27 in handicap hurdle at Leopardstown (24f, soft) 138 days ago. Beaten a long way out when last seen; off 5 months and probably needs further these days. |
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11th (16) (22/1 -10%) Story Rory |
22/1(-10%) | (16) Story Rory 22/1, Tenth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (24.5f, soft, 40/1) 37 days ago, possibly amiss when. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Beaten a long way out on last 2 starts; may have needed latest run; tough looking mark. |
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12th (1) (50/1 -127%) Britzka |
50/1(-127%) | (1) Britzka 50/1, Two wins from 5 runs last season. 28/1, fifth of 7 in handicap hurdle at Wexford (16f, good to soft) 71 days ago. Up in trip. Trainer going well. Won twice at Perth last summer; tailed off latest and stamina to prove but not ruled out. |
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13th (4) (40/1 +20%) Quirt Evans |
40/1(+20%) | (4) Quirt Evans 40/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2021. Creditable eighth of 14 in handicap hurdle (100/1) at Clonmel (16.2f, soft) 4 days ago. Back up in trip. Has work to do. Lost his way in recent times but hinted at return to form Thursday; may come on for that. |
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14th (10) (14/1 +58%) Tempo Chapter Two |
14/1(+58%) | (10) Tempo Chapter Two 14/1, 16/1, last of 11 in handicap hurdle at Naas (19f, soft) 64 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Adrian Murray. One to monitor in the betting. Won 3 for Willie Mullins; promise on penultimate start; another new yard; check market. |
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15th (13) (40/1 +0%) Feigh |
40/1(+0%) | (13) Feigh 40/1, Course winner. Creditable fourth of 14 in handicap hurdle at this course (22.2f, good to soft, 16/1). Off 12 months. First run for yard after leaving Willie Mullins. Others more persuasive. Course winner; not seen since 4th on this card in 2022; best form on soft; may need this. |
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16th (11) (40/1 -233%) The Priests Leap |
40/1(-233%) | (11) The Priests Leap 40/1, Switches from chase to hurdles. Up in trip. First run for yard after leaving William Durkan. Trainer going well. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Needs keeping a close eye on in the betting. 1-17; needs to prove he stays this far; interesting recruit for new yard; cheekpieces on. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary, horses that have a good chance of finishing in the top 3 are 6/1 (18) PRINCE ZALTAR, 2.75/1 (2) MIGHTY TOM, and 5.5/1 (14) THE BIG CHAP.
MIGHTY TOM ran a big race in a competitive contest at Punchestown last month before landing a Listed race over 2m1f here on Sunday. The Dylan Thomas gelding carries a 7lb penalty for that victory but has clearly relished the switch to Cian Collins' yard and could strike again now stepped back up in trip. The Big Chap comes here in winning form, having scored at Kilbeggan last month. He battled well to see off Laser Focus then and that form looks solid enough. He could be a danger despite a 7lb rise. Viceregent has been knocking on the door for a while and is another for the shortlist. He could be place material.
FLYING SCOTSMAN arrives in form and might prove the answer to this very tricky handicap. Mighty Tom ran a good first race for his new stable when third in a big field at Punchestown last month and heads the many possible dangers along with The Big Chap and Viceregent, who is quite closely matched with the selection on Fairyhouse form before Christmas.
MIGHTY TOM looks like the one to beat after a placed effort in a hot race at the Punchestown Festival last month; he should go close
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (1/1 +60%) Snuggle |
1/1(+60%) | (4) Snuggle 1/1, Fairly useful gelding. Improved further second of 10 in handicap at Salisbury (6f, good to soft, 10/1) 11 days ago, sticking to task. Leading player again. Beaten a neck on latest start (6f, good to soft) and showed his best form; should go well. |
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2nd (5) (4.5/1 -200%) Ardad's Great |
4.5/1(-200%) | (5) Ardad's Great 4.5/1, Useful form at 2 yrs, beaten only a nose in listed event at Tipperary in June. Off 6 months. Back up in trip. First run for yard after leaving Mrs J. Harrington. Sets the standard. 75,000gns buy out of Jessica Harrington's; two of last season's 2nds give her fine chance. |
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3rd (2) (5.5/1 -22%) Hydration |
5.5/1(-22%) | (2) Hydration 5.5/1, Twice-raced winner. Readily won 10-runner minor event (17/2) at Kempton (7f), pushed out. Off 7 months. Should progress having since been gelded. Produced late on to win Kempton novice (7f, AW) last October; gelded; can improve again. |
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4th (3) (10/1 +64%) Magic Memories |
10/1(+64%) | (3) Magic Memories 10/1, Starspangledbanner colt. Half-brother to useful 1m-11.4f winner The Whipmaster. Dam 6f winner. Market best guide on debut. Third foal; half-brother to 1m-11.4f winner The Whipmaster (RPR 96); dam 6f winner (82). |
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5th (1) (6.5/1 -30%) Ultramarine |
6.5/1(-30%) | (1) Ultramarine 6.5/1, Ran to only a modest level on first outing since leaving Joseph Patrick O'Brien when third of 8 in minor event at Newcastle (6f, 7/2). Bit to prove at present. Ex-Irish; useful in 2021 but at a much lower level last term; needs better than that. |
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6th (6) (25/1 +24%) Sinful |
25/1(+24%) | (6) Sinful 25/1, Twice-raced maiden. Seventh of 11 in minor event at Doncaster (6f, heavy, 10/1) 17 days ago. Must improve. Modest form over C&D (good to firm) last August and at Doncaster (6f, soft) last month. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
Based on the summary, 1.5/1 (5) ARDAD'S GREAT and 2.25/1 (4) SNUGGLE are the most likely to finish in the top three, with Ulramarine and 4/1 (2) HYDRATION having an outside chance. 33/1 (6) SINFUL and 28/1 (3) MAGIC MEMORIES are less likely to perform well. However, it should be noted that horse racing is unpredictable and there is always the possibility of unexpected outcomes.
A tentative vote goes to ARDAD'S GREAT, who remains a maiden after seven starts for Jessica Harrington last year but did show an ability to handle soft ground. A rating of 86 and getting weight from the majority of her rivals could make her tough to beat and she is narrowly preferred to fellow Irish-recruit Ultramarine and Snuggle, who has not been outside the first three in his last four starts.
ARDAD'S GREAT didn't quite go on from her Tipperary second as expected but sets a useful standard on her first outing for Jamie Osborne. Snuggle is a likeable type and took a step forward when second at Salisbury last time, so looks best placed to take advantage if the selection underperforms. Hydration is another likely improver and can't be discounted.
While Hydration's 7f AW win was delivered in promising style, giving the weight to Snuggle and ARDAD'S GREAT may be tricky.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (40/1 -150%) Hot Fizzy Lizzy |
40/1(-150%) | (8) Hot Fizzy Lizzy 40/1, Once-raced maiden. 14/1, sixteenth of 17 in bumper at Kempton (16f, heavy) on NH debut 58 days ago, left behind home turn. Best watched on the back of that. In good hands but finished well down the field on debut at Kempton (soft) in March. |
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2nd (5) (2/1 +11%) By The Grace |
2/1(+11%) | (5) By The Grace 2/1, £68,000 3-y-o, Blue Bresil filly. Half-sister to fair hurdler Maid On The Moon. Dam (h113), bumper/17f-2½m hurdle winner (stayed 23f), from family of Champion Hurdle winners Morley Street and Granville Again. Makes appeal on paper for leading yard and she's one to consider. Out of a bumper/fair hurdle winner; with a top stable and a likely contender. |
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3rd (9) (12/1 -9%) Selkirk Grace |
12/1(-9%) | (9) Selkirk Grace 12/1, Twice-raced maiden. 11/2 and tongue strap on for 1st time, fourth of 5 in bumper at Wincanton (15.2f, soft) 29 days ago. That was her first start for 3 months and possible she'll be sharper for that here. Not beaten far on either start but the form standard she sets here is modest. |
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4th (7) (7.5/1 -15%) Darting Rose |
7.5/1(-15%) | (7) Darting Rose 7.5/1, Dartmouth filly. Half-sister to numerous winners, including useful hurdler/chaser Fransham and useful hurdler Takeit Easy. Dam (h128), 2m-2½m hurdle winner, half-sister to fairly useful hurdler/chaser (2¾m-3¼m winner) Harrycone Lewis. Half-sister to five winners (all for Pam Sly), including three useful jumpers; shortlisted. |
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5th (10) (1.88/1 +77%) Woolberry |
1.88/1(+77%) | (10) Woolberry 1.88/1, Jack Hobbs filly. Dam bumper winner/useful hurdler (winner up to 21f). Market should prove a useful guide ahead of racecourse bow. First foal from a dual bumper and Listed hurdle winner; market may point the way. |
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6th (4) (125/1 -150%) Bear Ridge |
125/1(-150%) | (4) Bear Ridge 125/1, Scorpion filly. Dam (b79) bumper winner. Likely best watched on racecourse debut. First foal from a bumper/point winner; other newcomers look more interesting. |
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7th (2) (6/1 -71%) Blue The Money |
6/1(-71%) | (2) Blue The Money 6/1, Blue Bresil mare. Half-sister to numerous winners, including temperamental but useful hurdler/chaser Skint and fairly useful hurdler/chaser Brassick. Yard enjoy plenty of success in this sphere and she's a newcomer to note. Half-sister to five bumper winners; yard does well in these races; looks the part on paper. |
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8th (1) (50/1 -213%) Anna Of Annandale |
50/1(-213%) | (1) Anna Of Annandale 50/1, Kingston Hill mare. Once-raced maiden. 8/1, eighth of 11 in bumper at this C&D (soft) on NH debut 33 days ago, pushed along home turn and never involved. Likely to do better further down the line. Unable to land a telling blow when eighth of 11 over C&D last month. |
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9th (3) (6.5/1 +0%) Sholokhov Cocktail |
6.5/1(+0%) | (3) Sholokhov Cocktail 6.5/1, Sholokhov half-sister to fair hurdler Midnight Centurion. One to note in the betting for a stable which is no stranger to bumper success. Has had wind op. Half-sister to fair 2m5f hurdle winner Midnight Centurion; stable has good bumper record. |
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10th (6) (66/1 -100%) Conniegetaway |
66/1(-100%) | (6) Conniegetaway 66/1, Shantou filly. Sister to fair hurdler Ahead of The Posse. Dam (h112), bumper/2m hurdle winner, also 13f winner on Flat, closely related to useful hurdler/chaser (stayed 4m) Perfect Gentleman. Interesting what the market makes of her on racecourse debut. Trainer has 0-9 bumper record but this newcomer is worth a glance in the betting. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, it is difficult to predict which horse will do well. However, some horses to consider for the top three spots are 3.5/1 (2) BLUE THE MONEY, 6.5/1 (3) SHOLOKHOV COCKTAIL, 2.25/1 (5) BY THE GRACE, 6.5/1 (7) DARTING ROSE and 8/1 (10) WOOLBERRY. These horses are either well-bred, have shown potential in their previous starts, or are newcomers with notable connections. Ultimately, the outcome of the race will depend on various factors such as the conditions, jockey, and racing luck.
A chance is taken with WOOLBERRY, who is a daughter of Woolstone One, a Listed-winning mare who was also trained by Emma Lavelle. The form of the yard is another plus and the four-year-old edges the vote over By The Grace for last year's winning connections, as well as Blue The Money, who is related to several first-time-out bumper winners. Anna Of Annandale appeals most of those with experience.
Those with experience don't set a tall standard, so newcomer BY THE GRACE, who makes appeal on paper for a leading yard, is suggested without the benefit of market clues. Fellow-debutantes Blue The Money and Sholokhov Cocktail are others worthy of note.
Nicky Henderon's necomer BY THE GRACE is out of a bumper winner and fits the bill. Blue The Money is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (2.25/1 -50%) Saint Sam |
2.25/1(-50%) | (1) Saint Sam 2.25/1, Very smart chaser. Didn't need to be at best when winning 3-runner minor event chase at Tramore (21.6f, soft, 2/11) 29 days ago. Very much the one to beat. Outclassed two opponents at Tramore last time; this is more competitive but a big player. |
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2nd (7) (3.5/1 +56%) Effernock Fizz |
3.5/1(+56%) | (7) Effernock Fizz 3.5/1, Useful chaser. Three wins from 15 runs last season. Creditable second of 9 in handicap chase (13/2) at Cheltenham (20.6f, good) 25 days ago, no match for winner. Likely to give it a good shot from the front. Second in a mares' handicap at Cheltenham last time; has won here over hurdles; run well. |
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3rd (8) (3.33/1 +26%) Telmesomethinggirl |
3.33/1(+26%) | (8) Telmesomethinggirl 3.33/1, Smart hurdler. 3/1, fell in Future Champions Novices' Chase at Ayr (20.5f, good) 23 days ago won by Datsalrightgino. Should be in the mix granted a clear round. Second in a Thurles Listed event; fell early at Ayr last time and has to find a bit today. |
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4th (6) (14/1 +44%) Minx Tiara |
14/1(+44%) | (6) Minx Tiara 14/1, Useful hurdler. Creditable second of 9 in handicap chase (5/1) at Cork (16.7f, soft) 35 days ago. This demands a clear career-best. Beaten 12l in a Cork handicap chase last time and has to improve on that. |
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5th (2) (7/1 -17%) Busselton |
7/1(-17%) | (2) Busselton 7/1, Smart chaser. Pulled up in handicap chase at Fairyhouse (29f, soft, 50/1) 35 days ago, pulled up before eighteenth. Significantly back down in trip and needs to bounce back. Found testing conditions against him the last twice and this will be much more suitable. |
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6th (3) (25/1 -79%) Call Me Lyreen |
25/1(-79%) | (3) Call Me Lyreen 25/1, Useful hurdler. Six wins from 20 NH runs. Ninth of 14 in handicap chase at Punchestown (16f, good to soft, 16/1) 18 days ago. Back up in trip. Others make more appeal. Well beaten in competitive 2m handicaps last twice but returning to this trip can help. |
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|F| (5) (5/1 +44%) Fils D'oudairies |
5/1(+44%) | (5) Fils D'oudairies 5/1, Smart hurdler. Creditable fifth of 18 in handicap hurdle (16/1) at Punchestown (16.4f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase and back up in trip. Ran well over fences over C&D last summer; bit to find with some of these but not ignored. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
1st: 1.5/1 (1) SAINT SAM 2nd: 4.5/1 (8) TELMESOMETHINGGIRL 3rd: 8/1 (7) EFFERNOCK FIZZ
BUSSELTON might be able to bounce back to form after two disappointing efforts since returning from a break. The winner of the Kerry National at Listowel in September, he then ran a solid race to finish fifth in the Coral Gold Cup at Newbury, a place behind subsequent Grand National hero Corach Rambler. Back on a sounder surface now and with the in-form JJ Slevin aboard, a bold bid can be expected from the six-year-old bay. Saint Sam is the highest rated runner in the line-up and is given second preference. He recorded a confidence boosting success at Tramore on his most recent outing and it'll come as little surprise if he manages to follow-up. Fils d'Oudairies beat Saint Sam when they clashed over flights at Leopardstown in March and the Gordon Elliott-trained gelding warrants respect. Telmesomethinggirl looks the pick of the three mares set to take part. An early faller at Ayr last month, she is well-capable of making her presence felt. Effernock Fizz has a course win to her name and can't be underestimated.
EFFERNOCK FIZZ is an appealing alternative to probable favourite Saint Sam. She put in a good round of jumping when runner-up in a Grade 2 Cheltenham handicap last month and could take some pegging back if allowed her own way out in front. Saint Sam duly landed the odds in a 3-runner affair at Tramore and he won't go down without a fight. Telmesomethinggirl is best of the rest.
Having been unsuited by testing conditions on his last two outings, BUSSELTON could get back on the winning trail today.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (2.75/1 +45%) Miss Bella Brand |
2.75/1(+45%) | (7) Miss Bella Brand 2.75/1, Career best when winning 12-runner handicap at Doncaster (6f, soft, 7/2) 16 days ago. Now 3 lb higher in a stronger race, so more will be needed if she's to follow up. Won under Benoit De La Sayette at Doncaster (6f, soft); 3lb rise may underestimate her. |
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2nd (3) (3/1 +25%) Crazy Luck |
3/1(+25%) | (3) Crazy Luck 3/1, Bit below form eighth of 15 in handicap (6/1) at Newbury (6f, heavy) 24 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Entitled to come on for that seasonal reappearance and, now 3 lb below her last winning mark, she's one to consider. Below-form favourite on soft on return; well handicapped on last season's peak efforts. |
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3rd (1) (2.5/1 +17%) Razeyna |
2.5/1(+17%) | (1) Razeyna 2.5/1, Creditable fourth of 16 in handicap at Haydock (6f, good, 11/2) when last seen in September. Each-way chance off the same mark here if ready to roll. Acts on good to soft, unraced on soft; open to improvement in this second campaign. |
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4th (6) (3.5/1 -100%) Azure Angel |
3.5/1(-100%) | (6) Azure Angel 3.5/1, Thrice-raced winner. Won 10-runner minor event (8/11) at Kempton (6f) on final 2-y-o start. Remains open to progress for top yard and likely to make a bold bid on this handicap debut, provided she copes with conditions. Promise on debut (good ground); odds-on wins in two AW novice races since; could be useful. |
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5th (2) (18/1 -29%) Cuban Breeze |
18/1(-29%) | (2) Cuban Breeze 18/1, C&D winner. 80/1, 7¼ lengths twelfth of 16 to Happy Romance in listed race at Bath (5f, good to soft) 24 days ago. Claims judged on peak form but others make greater appeal based on more recent evidence. Below form this year; peak efforts (2022) were registered on good ground or good to firm. |
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6th (5) (28/1 +15%) True Jem |
28/1(+15%) | (5) True Jem 28/1, Last of 8 in handicap at Leicester (6f, heavy, 25/1) 16 days ago. Hopes pinned on the addition of a visor sparking a revival. 6f wins on soft/good to soft last summer; right out of form, so now tries headgear. |
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7th (4) (25/1 -56%) Immortal Beauty |
25/1(-56%) | (4) Immortal Beauty 25/1, Last of 14 in handicap at Newmarket (6f, good to soft, 33/1) 25 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Resumed with last of 13 when 33-1 in handicap last month but this is a lesser race. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Based on the summary, 5/1 (7) MISS BELLA BRAND seems to be in good form and has won a handicap race recently. Therefore, she is likely to do well in this race. 1.75/1 (6) AZURE ANGEL also has promising performances and could make a bold bid on her handicap debut. As for the third horse, it is difficult to predict but 3/1 (1) RAZEYNA could be a potential each-way chance. Therefore, the predicted order of finish is: 1) 5/1 (7) MISS BELLA BRAND, 2) 1.75/1 (6) AZURE ANGEL, 3) 3/1 (1) RAZEYNA.
The unexposed Azure Angel has done little wrong so far and is taken seriously as she reverts to turf for her handicap debut. The form of Miss Bella Brand's latest victory is working out well and she is also high on the shortlist. However, RAZEYNA looked progressive last year and she sets a good standard on her return for an in-form yard.
There should be more to come from AZURE ANGEL, who was a winner of 2 of her 3 starts last season and makes her handicap debut off what could turn out to be a very fair mark. If conditions remain on the slow side it will be a case of unknown territory for this daughter of Harry Angel but she makes plenty of appeal otherwise given her potential. Crazy Luck has dipped to an attractive mark and is second choice ahead of Razeyna.
Azure Angel may bring most promise but Miss Bella Brand and RAZEYNA (nap) are big players with less to prove on the surface.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Emily's Star |
(8) (25/1 -257%)25/1(-257%) | (8) Emily's Star 25/1, Quite a good pedigree and offered more in this sphere when fifth of 12 in novice at Ludlow (2m, good to soft) last month. May be capable of better. Showed promise on both hurdling starts but needs improvement over this longer trip. |
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1st (1) (0.57/1 +72%) Cabhfuilfungi |
0.57/1(+72%) | (1) Cabhfuilfungi 0.57/1, Modest in bumpers and a maiden hurdle for John Groucott but a different proposition for new stable, finishing second in maiden/novice events here this spring. Sets the standard for the rest to aim at. Creditable second to useful rival over C&D last month; the one to beat. |
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2nd (5) (4.5/1 +50%) Mountain Leopard |
4.5/1(+50%) | (5) Mountain Leopard 4.5/1, Bumper winner in 2019. Fair form over hurdles in a light career since, finishing a respectable sixth of 10 in 25f Hereford handicap when last seen in January. Likely to be competitive. Has mixed record over hurdles but can play a significant role here if all goes to plan. |
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3rd (4) (12/1 -60%) Ilestdancingspirit |
12/1(-60%) | (4) Ilestdancingspirit 12/1, Reached the frame in 2 bumpers at the start of the year and ought to be up to making his presence felt in a race like this now hurdling. Made the frame in two bumpers in early part of year; now makes his hurdling debut. |
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4th (2) (12/1 +25%) Hostile Hotelier |
12/1(+25%) | (2) Hostile Hotelier 12/1, Better effort in maiden/novice hurdles over 2m last month when fifth of 11 at Hexham 3 weeks ago. Steps up in trip now. Made late headway for fifth over 2m three weeks ago; moves up in trip here. |
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5th (7) (5/1 -150%) Westwood Ryder |
5/1(-150%) | (7) Westwood Ryder 5/1, Failed to land the odds but offered plenty when runner-up in a bumper at Huntingdon in May 2021. Absent since (has had wind surgery) but still has time on his side and it'll be very interesting to see how much strength there is behind him in the betting. Not seen since promising bumper debut two years ago; could still have a good future. |
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6th (6) (150/1 -127%) Try The Money |
150/1(-127%) | (6) Try The Money 150/1, No impact in a couple of attempts over timber and looks one for handicaps down the line. Always towards rear in two 2m Chepstow hurdles last month; tries a new trip here. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st: 2/1 (1) CABHFUILFUNGI 2nd: 9/1 (5) MOUNTAIN LEOPARD 3rd: 7.5/1 (4) ILESTDANCINGSPIRIT
The once-raced WESTWOOD RYDER hasn't been seen since he posted a respectable effort to finish second in a bumper at Huntingdon in May 2021, but the winner of that race went on to score twice over hurdles and the form looks solid. He's has a wind problem addressed since then and, given he has the benefit of Nicky Henderson's expert tutelage, he is taken to justify exactly why he has been kept in training. Cabhfuilfungi is a clear second choice, while Ilestdancingspirit also offers some appeal.
CABHFUILFUNGI gets the vote on the back of 2 placed efforts here last month, although a strong market move for the returning Nicky Henderson hurdle debutant Westwood Ryder would put a slightly different slant on things. Mountain Leopard is another likely to be in the shake-up.
Westwood Ryder looks interesting but a much safer option is CABHFUILFUNGI, who ran very well in defeat over C&D last month.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (10) (3/1 -100%) Stealthy Tom |
3/1(-100%) | (10) Stealthy Tom 3/1, Two wins from 5 runs last season. 7/4, very good second of 12 in minor chase at Punchestown (34f, good to soft) 18 days ago, sticking to task. Significantly back down in trip. The one to beat. Won this race last year off 8lb lower; just denied in 4m2f La Touche Cup at Punchestown. |
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2nd (2) (20/1 +39%) Broken Ice |
20/1(+39%) | (2) Broken Ice 20/1, Eighth of 10 in handicap chase (16/1) at Fairyhouse (21f, good to soft) 96 days ago. More is needed. Has been poor on his last four starts; difficult to fancy until showing more. |
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3rd (7) (14/1 -17%) Lake Chad |
14/1(-17%) | (7) Lake Chad 14/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Below form sixth of 13 in handicap chase at Tramore (15.1f, soft, 12/1) 29 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Found 2m too sharp last time but is of some interest up in trip today off 2lb lower. |
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4th (11) (14/1 -17%) Clever Currency |
14/1(-17%) | (11) Clever Currency 14/1, Latest win in hurdle at Leopardstown in March. Twelfth of 13 in handicap chase (7/2) at Tipperary (17f, good to soft) 11 days ago. More required Below best over hurdles at Punchestown since and well beaten back over fences since. |
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5th (15) (4.5/1 +63%) Donnrua Dream |
4.5/1(+63%) | (15) Donnrua Dream 4.5/1, Fair winner at 21f over hurdles. Creditable seventh of 12 in handicap chase at Kilbeggan (19.4f, good to soft, 9/2) 24 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Cosidered. Some promise on handicap debut at Kilbeggan; cheekpieces are tried now and one to consider. |
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6th (3) (10/1 -54%) Politicise |
10/1(-54%) | (3) Politicise 10/1, Good second of 13 in handicap chase at Tipperary (17f, good to soft, 22/1) 11 days ago, just failing. Seventeen runs since last win in 2020. Just failed to get up at Tipperary (2m1f) last time despite not jumping that fluently. |
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7th (1) (14/1 +13%) R'evelyn Pleasure |
14/1(+13%) | (1) R'evelyn Pleasure 14/1, Creditable sixth of 11 in handicap chase at Tramore (21.6f, soft, 14/1) 29 days ago. Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Dropping down the handicap lately but hasn't been running too badly; can be involved. |
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8th (6) (9/1 +44%) Silvertown |
9/1(+44%) | (6) Silvertown 9/1, One win from 22 NH runs. Fair winner at 9f on flat. 22/1 and blinkered for 1st time, took a step back in the right direction when fifth of 13 in handicap chase at Thurles (20.5f, soft) 58 days ago. Not discounted. Ran his best race over fences at Thurles last time in first-time blinkers; same mark today. |
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9th (4) (10/1 +9%) Harvey's Quay |
10/1(+9%) | (4) Harvey's Quay 10/1, Fairly useful winner at 16f over hurdles. 28/1, fourth of 13 in novice chase at Clonmel (20f, heavy) 88 days ago. Much respected on handicap chase debut. Bit of promise at Clonmel last time on his third novice run; 9lb lower than hurdles mark. |
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10th (5) (22/1 -10%) An Fraoch Mor |
22/1(-10%) | (5) An Fraoch Mor 22/1, 9/1, fading fifth of 10 in handicap chase at Fairyhouse (21.7f, good to soft) 37 days ago. Needs to build on it. Returned from a long absence this spring and has been well beaten in two chases. |
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11th (12) (25/1 +0%) Carnet De Stage |
25/1(+0%) | (12) Carnet De Stage 25/1, C&D winner. Pulled up in handicap chase (33/1) at Limerick (22.6f, heavy) 137 days ago. Others appeal more. Pulled-up on last three starts but the return to this track and better ground can suit. |
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12th (14) (66/1 -164%) Avec Espoir |
66/1(-164%) | (14) Avec Espoir 66/1, Latest win in chase at Wexford in August. Ninth of 19 in handicap hurdle (9/1) at Tipperary (24f, good to soft). Off 7 months. Switches from hurdles to chase and needs to hit the ground running. Won at Wexford last summer but will probably come on from this return. |
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13th (9) (50/1 -52%) Magnium |
50/1(-52%) | (9) Magnium 50/1, Pulled up in novice chase at Ballinrobe (17f, good to soft, 100/1), soon beaten. Off 11 months. First run for yard after leaving Eugene O'Sullivan. Makes handicap chase debut. Regressive over fences for his former yard and seems best watched on comeback for new yard. |
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14th (8) (5/1 +38%) Norwigi |
5/1(+38%) | (8) Norwigi 5/1, 6/1, respectable fourth of 13 in handicap chase at Tramore (15.1f, soft) 29 days ago, needing stiffer test. Significantly back up in trip. Thirteen runs since last win in 2021. Is 0-13 over fences but run well many times, including at Tramore last time off this mark. |
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15th (13) (66/1 -164%) Icee M B A |
66/1(-164%) | (13) Icee M B A 66/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2021. 22/1, pulled up in handicap hurdle at Cork (24.8f, good to soft) 9 days ago, weakening quickly. Switches from hurdles to chase with work to do. Pulled-up over hurdles on return last time; not easy to fancy back to fences. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary, the top three horses that are likely to do well and finish in the top positions are: 1. 1.5/1 (10) STEALTHY TOM - The horse won the race last year and has a good record of two wins from five runs last season. It has also performed well in recent races. 2. 5.5/1 (18) ARDERA RU - It has been a fairly useful winner at 22f over hurdles and was second in a handicap chase at Tramore 28 days ago. 3. 11/1 (4) HARVEY'S QUAY - The horse has shown promise in its previous runs and is respected on handicap chase debut.
STEALTHY TOM, who is a half-brother to Grade 1 victor Gilgamboa, is a dual course winner and claimed this very contest 12-months ago. Beaten by just a neck in the La Touche at Punchestown, he can gain some measure of compensation now. Enda Bolger trains the selection and he is also represented by Norwigi. Out of a Grade 3 winner in Nadiya De La Vega, she wasn't beaten far when fourth on her most recent outing at Tramore. JP McManus owns the aforementioned pair and he has a third contender in the shape of handicap debutant Harvey's Quay, with this one also warranting respect. Politicise is given second preference. He just failed at Tipperary recently and should appreciate this step-up in trip, with Carl Millar again taking a valuable 7lb off. Magnium starts off for John Ryan and it'll be interesting to see how he fares with Danny Mullins aboard. Gavin Cromwell saddles Broken Ice, Silvertown and Donnrua Dream, with the Keith Donoghue ridden latter fitted with cheekpieces for the first time.
STEALTHY TOM rates the clear pick of these weights on the back of his Punchestown second so rates a confident choice. Silvertown hinted at a revival when fifth at Thurles last time and can chase home Enda Bolger's well-treated 8-y-o, with Politicise appealing as the pick of the remainder for place purposes.
Preference is for last year's cosy winner STEALTHY TOM who is just as effective over this trip as he is over marathon banks races.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (5/1 +41%) Junkanoo |
5/1(+41%) | (8) Junkanoo 5/1, Latest win at Kempton in November. 9/4, fourth of 7 in handicap at the same course (12f) a month later. One to consider back on turf. Competitive in visor on AW late last year, having missed 2021; good mark on 2020 turf form. |
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2nd (6) (10/1 -122%) Diffident Spirit |
10/1(-122%) | (6) Diffident Spirit 10/1, Latest win at Leicester in April. 12/1, thirteenth of 15 in handicap at Ascot (8f, good) 12 days ago. Up in trip and needs to bounce back. Goes well on testing ground; this second attempt at 1m2f looks well worth a go. |
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3rd (3) (14/1 -75%) Richard P Smith |
14/1(-75%) | (3) Richard P Smith 14/1, Course winner. 11/1, fourth of 6 in handicap at this C&D (soft) 14 days ago. Remains 7 lb above his last winning mark and looks vulnerable. Won last two starts last season but well beaten on both this term. |
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5th (9) (4/1 +43%) Lawn Ranger |
4/1(+43%) | (9) Lawn Ranger 4/1, Four-time C&D winner, the latest in April. Respectable fourth of 9 in handicap at this course (11.4f, heavy, 5/2) 21 days ago. Enters calculations. Front-runner who is 4-12 at Windsor, the latest win on soft ground last month. |
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6th (5) (6/1 -50%) Snapcracklepop |
6/1(-50%) | (5) Snapcracklepop 6/1, Course winner. 7/2, creditable second of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (10f, AW) in December, running on. Cheekpieces on 1st time back from a break (successful on seasonal reappearance last season) and he's a must for the shortlist. Competitive mark if resuming on song again; stable wins this month give plenty of hope. |
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7th (4) (10/1 +17%) The Conqueror |
10/1(+17%) | (4) The Conqueror 10/1, 14/1, seventh of 10 in handicap at Epsom (12f, heavy) 20 days ago. Down another 2 lb but others are more appealing all the same. Not beaten far on British debut (AW); 1m4f may help explain a lesser show two weeks later. |
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8th (2) (12/1 +0%) Bruno's Gold |
12/1(+0%) | (2) Bruno's Gold 12/1, 6/1, creditable fourth of 13 in handicap at this course (8.1f, heavy) 28 days ago. Back up in trip and will need to raise his game in order to emerge on top here. Back near his best here (1m) last time but could do with settling better. |
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9th (7) (18/1 -100%) Umax |
18/1(-100%) | (7) Umax 18/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Third of 5 in minor event at Beverley (9.9f, good to soft, 11/1) 18 days ago. Improvement possible now pitched into a handicap but it's certainly needed. Needs improvement on this handicap debut but he is unexposed. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, it is difficult to confidently predict which horse will do well. However, 7.5/1 (9) LAWN RANGER, 8.5/1 (8) JUNKANOO, and 3.5/1 (5) SNAPCRACKLEPOP seem to be the strongest contenders. 1st place: 7.5/1 (9) LAWN RANGER 2nd place: 3.5/1 (5) SNAPCRACKLEPOP 3rd place: 8.5/1 (8) JUNKANOO
The fitting of cheekpieces is an intriguing ploy with SNAPCRACKLEPOP and the headgear might provide the missing ingredient in his bid to get back to winning ways. Having won over 1m here last August, the son of Acclamation has subsequently gone close twice over this trip and there is a lot to like about his chances. Junkanoo and Bruno's Gold are also fancied to be on the premises at the business end.
The one with the most compelling credentials is SNAPCRACKLEPOP, who went close twice on the AW during the winter and lack of a recent run is of no great concern given that he made a winning reappearance in 2022. He was a winner here, too, last season (over a mile) and is unexposed at this trip. Lawn Ranger is second choice ahead of Junkanoo.
In an open race, SNAPCRACKLEPOP may follow the example of several stablemates recently by winning first time out, as he did last term.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (4/1 +20%) Blue Shark |
4/1(+20%) | (4) Blue Shark 4/1, Different proposition tackling trips at around 2½m, bringing up the 5-timer at Huntingdon in February. Not in same form when fourth at Exeter (23.1f) the following month but been freshened up since and not taken lightly. Won five in a row last season; held last time but further progress remains possible. |
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2nd (1) (7.5/1 -15%) Chti Balko |
7.5/1(-15%) | (1) Chti Balko 7.5/1, Returned to form when second of 10 in handicap hurdle at Catterick (19.3f, soft) in January. Below that level over shorter trip at Wetherby since but remains fairly treated and is one for the shortlist. Ended last season with two decent efforts but does not want the ground to dry out here. |
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3rd (7) (6/1 +14%) Baghdad Central |
6/1(+14%) | (7) Baghdad Central 6/1, Off the mark when taking 7-runner handicap hurdle at Carlisle (19.3f, good) 37 days ago, finding extra. This is tougher but he must enter calculations. Held on well to open account at Carlisle last month and is open to further progress. |
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4th (3) (6.5/1 -86%) Midnight Jewel |
6.5/1(-86%) | (3) Midnight Jewel 6.5/1, Consistent performer who scored in this sphere (20f) last summer before going on to win 2 of his 5 starts over fences. Can go well fresh and must enter calculations on return. Did very well over fences last summer/autumn; back from break; wants good ground. |
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5th (6) (3.5/1 +56%) Marajman |
3.5/1(+56%) | (6) Marajman 3.5/1, Won this event off much higher mark 12 months ago but not scored since and needs to bounce back from a poor effort in Wetherby seller last month. Visor on first time. Comes with risk but was second off 13lb higher over C&D in January and can't be ruled out. |
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6th (5) (10/1 +0%) Lifetime Legend |
10/1(+0%) | (5) Lifetime Legend 10/1, Built on early promise to get off the mark in 19f female jockeys' event at Catterick in February. However, rather gone backwards since and bit to prove now. Tongue strap back on. Belatedly off the mark in January but two lesser efforts have followed; not convincing. |
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|F| (2) (3.33/1 +49%) Barony Legends |
3.33/1(+49%) | (2) Barony Legends 3.33/1, Took a step back in the right direction when third of 8 in Bangor handicap (19.6f, soft) in March. May not have stayed longer trip when fifth at this course (24.3f) since but overall record is off-putting. Hasn't fired since retuned to hurdling, albeit 3m may have stretched him here last time. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st: 5/1 (4) BLUE SHARK 2nd: 8/1 (6) MARAJMAN 3rd: 7/1 (7) BAGHDAD CENTRAL
Several of these arrive in good form and while Chti Balko is dangerously well-handicapped on his past exploits over hurdles, and Midnight Jewel is highly respected as he reverts to timber off just 4lb higher than his last success in this discipline, the vote goes to BLUE SHARK. Having enjoyed a highly-profitable period since last November, dropping back in trip is very much in his favour and he is worth forgiving a lacklustre effort over 2m7f at Exeter last time.
MIDNIGHT JEWEL boasts an excellent strike rate and has won returning from a break before. He can repeat the feat here. Chti Balko and Blue Shark rate the principal dangers.
There is risk attached to MARAJMAN but he's very well suited by this C&D and has become too well handicapped to resist.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (1.5/1 -105%) Annamix |
1.5/1(-105%) | (1) Annamix 1.5/1, Useful chaser. Survived mistakes to win a small-field hunter at Fairyhouse in April but didn't get away with some poor jumping in a better race at Punchestown since. Will be bang there if keeping the errors down but he's hardly one for maximum faith. Didn't jump well before being hampered at Punchestown last time; would win at his best. |
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2nd (4) (5/1 +80%) Nice To Meet |
5/1(+80%) | (4) Nice To Meet 5/1, Fair form when second on hunter chase debut a year ago. Fit from points but has a bit to find with a couple of these on form. Second in a Tipperary novice hunter chase last year but will have to step-up to take this. |
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3rd (3) (20/1 -25%) Fr Humphrey |
20/1(-25%) | (3) Fr Humphrey 20/1, Fair chaser earlier in career. This veteran arrives on the back of a couple of recent point wins but might be vulnerable to some of the younger legs in this line-up. Been revitalised to win two open points' recently; will have to step-up in this company. |
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4th (2) (1.88/1 -7%) Somptueux |
1.88/1(-7%) | (2) Somptueux 1.88/1, Useful chaser at best. Fit from points, looked sure to play a hand in the finish when falling 2 out on his Cork hunter debut last month. Big player. Every chance in a Cork hunter chase when falling; his best form would see him go close. |
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5th (5) (5.5/1 +69%) Visioman |
5.5/1(+69%) | (5) Visioman 5.5/1, Fairly useful hurdler/chaser. Out of his depth in Champion hunter at Punchestown (24f, good to soft, 125/1) last month but had shaped quite well in calmer waters at Cork prior to that. Fourth in a Cork hunter chase but was beaten when also hampered at Punchestown last time. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary, it is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well. However, 0.73/1 (1) ANNAMIX and 1.75/1 (2) SOMPTUEUX are described as useful chasers and big players, with the latter having fallen in a previous race while in contention. 18/1 (5) VISIOMAN has also shown promise in previous races but was hampered in his last outing. 18/1 (3) FR HUMPHREY is a revitalized veteran but may struggle against younger competition. Nice to Meet has fair form but may need to step up. Of the five horses mentioned, 0.73/1 (1) ANNAMIX and 1.75/1 (2) SOMPTUEUX seem to have the best chance of finishing in the top three, with 18/1 (5) VISIOMAN as a dark horse.
ANNAMIX has enjoyed a renaissance of late and should be able to account for his four rivals. He took the scalp of both Billaway and Ferns Lock when springing a surprise at the Fairyhouse Easter Festival. Making steady headway in the Champion Hunters Chase at Punchestown, he was badly hampered three out and subsequently pulled up after losing all chance. At the age of 15, Fr Humphrey is amazingly bidding for a hat-trick and warrants the utmost respect for trainer/owner/rider Niamh Hennessy. He shocked all in attendance when comfortably beating Rocky's Howya on his penultimate start at Dromahane, with that one unbeaten in his seven prior point-to-point starts this season, while also finishing a close-up fourth in the Foxhunters at the Cheltenham Festival. The veteran showed that success was no fluke by following-up at Stowlin and it'll be interesting to see how he fares, returning to the track for the first time in well over two years. Somptueux also has claims with Ross Berry taking 7lb off. Fitted with cheekpieces for the first time, he was still in front when crashing out two fences from home at Cork on Easter Monday.
SOMPTUEUX would have played a hand in the finish but for falling 2 out on his Cork hunter debut last month and is preferred to the error-prone Annamix.
Annamix has been in and out this season so SOMPTUEUX gets the nod despite the fact that he fell at Cork last time.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (2.25/1 -29%) Alba Longa |
2.25/1(-29%) | (5) Alba Longa 2.25/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 9/1, good third of 9 in maiden at Doncaster (8f, heavy), not knocked about. Off 6 months. Makes handicap debut. Can go well. Makes quite a step up in trip for handicap/seasonal debut but should be capable of better. |
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2nd (1) (5/1 +50%) Crema Inglesa |
5/1(+50%) | (1) Crema Inglesa 5/1, Creditable seventh of 12 in handicap (16/1) at Wolverhampton (12.2f). Off 6 months but still needs considering. Down the weights; good record first time out heightens interest in her. |
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3rd (3) (7.5/1 -50%) Mrs Meader |
7.5/1(-50%) | (3) Mrs Meader 7.5/1, Three-time scoer in 2022 who signalled she is ready to go in again when fourth of 8 in handicap at this C&D (heavy) 21 days ago, travelling strongly long way. Big shout eased 1 lb. Got closer again on latest start and has a big shout if that's returned her to her peak. |
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4th (2) (6/1 +0%) Rechercher |
6/1(+0%) | (2) Rechercher 6/1, Creditable fourth of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (10f, AW, 9/2) 27 days ago. Not ruled out. Stable has had winners this month but this filly's 0-11 record is a nagging worry. |
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5th (7) (14/1 -100%) Peaceful Night |
14/1(-100%) | (7) Peaceful Night 14/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Fourth of 6 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 7/1) 30 days ago, needing stiffer test. Up in trip now so not taken lightly. On heels of the winner this season; family suggests this trip will be within reach. |
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6th (6) (2/1 +60%) Sydney Mews |
2/1(+60%) | (6) Sydney Mews 2/1, Off 7 months before posting a good second of 4 in handicap at this course (10f, heavy) 21 days ago. In the mix once more. 2nd in 1m2f handicaps here on last two starts; this longer trip may help. |
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7th (4) (33/1 -175%) Kingston Joy |
33/1(-175%) | (4) Kingston Joy 33/1, Winner at Lingfield in February. 13/2, creditable second of 7 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 13 days ago. Much respected on her turf debut. Player if ability is transferred to turf at first time of asking. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
1st: 5/1 (3) MRS MEADER 2nd: 4.5/1 (6) SYDNEY MEWS 3rd: 1.75/1 (5) ALBA LONGA
Having finished second behind the useful Sunset Point here last month, SYDNEY MEWS could be hard to beat given that she faces nothing of that calibre tonight. The step up in trip should suit on pedigree and a bold showing can be expected from the Andrew Balding-trained filly. Kingston Joy is one to monitor in the betting now she switches to turf, but a more potent threat could be posed by Alba Longa if she appreciates this more demanding test of stamina.
MRS MEADER caught the eye when a strong-travelling fourth over C&D last time and this three-time winner in 2022 can gain a first success of the season eased 1 lb here. Peaceful Night should find this step up in trip very much in her favour so rates a big threat though, while Ralph Beckett's handicap-debutante Alba Longa is another who can have a say in an intriguing handicap.
All of them need a close look but the vote goes to CREMA INGLESA ahead of Mrs Meader and Peaceful Night.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Bobby Socks |
(1) (10/1 +29%)10/1(+29%) | (1) Bobby Socks 10/1, Fairy useful form when landing bumper at Newton Abbot in September but yet to add to it in this sphere, having a wind op before below form sixth of 10 in handicap at Uttoxeter (15.8f, soft) 107 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Needs to bounce back. Placed in C&D maiden in November but not seen since underwhelming h'cap debut in January. |
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1st (2) (0.73/1 +47%) Kingfast |
0.73/1(+47%) | (2) Kingfast 0.73/1, Capitalised on a reduced mark for his current yard to land conditional jockeys' handicap at Market Rasen (16.6f, good to soft) 3 days ago. Escapes a penalty so holds leading claims off an unchanged mark, Returned to form with comfortable win on Friday and has no penalty here; obvious claims. |
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2nd (5) (7/1 +36%) Ez Tiger |
7/1(+36%) | (5) Ez Tiger 7/1, Below form sixth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Plumpton (17.8f, soft) 35 days ago. More is required if he's to gain his breakthrough success here. Placed in big field in January but hasn't built on that performance since. |
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3rd (7) (28/1 +58%) My Virtue |
28/1(+58%) | (7) My Virtue 28/1, Winning pointer but lightly-raced maiden hurdler. Only eleventh of 13 in handicap at Ludlow (21.2f, good to soft) 19 days ago so she's hard to make a case for. Fourth at big odds in Ludlow maiden in March but down the field on handicap debut there. |
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4th (9) (12/1 +33%) Muse Of Fire |
12/1(+33%) | (9) Muse Of Fire 12/1, Started well over fences for his current yard but tried in cheekpieces when pulled up in handicap chase at Bangor (17.4f, soft) 51 days ago. Has something to prove back over hurdles. Ran poorly in latest chase and it's hard to know what to expect on this hurdling return. |
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5th (3) (14/1 -27%) Zoran |
14/1(-27%) | (3) Zoran 14/1, Still a maiden over hurldes and tried blinkered for 1st time when only ninth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Newton Abbot (18.5f, good) 10 months ago on his final run for Paul Nicholls. Needs to hit th ground running for his new handler. 0-6 over hurdles for Paul Nicholls; makes stable debut after 11-month absence. |
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6th (6) (6/1 -50%) Rocambolas |
6/1(-50%) | (6) Rocambolas 6/1, Winning pointer who made a successful start for his new yard in 2m Uttoxeter handicap hurdle last month, more settled in a first-time hood. Form has been franked so he's not taken lightly despite a 7 lb rise with the headgear retained. Won in good style when switched back to hurdling for stable debut; can improve again. |
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7th (8) (16/1 +52%) Ruby's Pearl |
16/1(+52%) | (8) Ruby's Pearl 16/1, Only poor form shown thus far, remote fourth of 8 in handicap hurdle at Fakenham (16f, soft) 35 days ago. Others appeal more. Ran okay on handicap debut but was beaten about 22l in the end; others look stronger. |
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8th (10) (16/1 +0%) Ygritte |
16/1(+0%) | (10) Ygritte 16/1, In the frame on all her three runs but it's only poor form, coming in a remote fourth of 9 in juvenile hurdle at Ludlow (2m, soft) 146 days ago. Plenty more is needed now going into handicaps. Showed only minor promise in three junior hurdles but has a lowly mark for handicap debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, the horse with the best chance of finishing in the top three appears to be 1.38/1 (2) KINGFAST. He has recently returned to form with a comfortable win and has no penalty in this race. The other two horses to potentially finish in the top three are 4/1 (6) ROCAMBOLAS, who won in good style in his last race and has seen his form franked, and 7/1 (4) GETAMAN, who ran very well over fences last month and must be considered now back hurdling.
KINGFAST readily got off the mark over hurdles at Market Rasen on Friday and the eight-year-old is hard to oppose here without a penalty for landing that conditional jockeys' event. Rocambolas also scored on his most recent outing but a 7lb rise will make his life harder now. Getaman is another with strong form claims, while Bobby Socks and Zoran are the pick of the remaining field.
KINGFAST looked right back on track for Fergal O'Brien when scoring at Market Rasen only three days ago and is hard to oppose as he escapes a penalty for that conditional jockeys' event. Rocambolas showed the benefit of a hood when getting off the mark at the first attempt for Ben Pauling at Uttoxeter and is next on the list. Getaman appeals as the pick of the rest for place purposes now back hurdling.
It's hard to get away from KINGFAST (nap), who looked back in prime form when winning comfortably on Friday and has the same mark here.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (2.75/1 -83%) Naruto |
2.75/1(-83%) | (4) Naruto 2.75/1, Once-raced maiden. Strong in the betting but failed to meet expectations when third of 10 in bumper (2/1) at Thurles (16.4f, heavy) on NH debut 63 days ago. Early days, though, and likely capable of better. Beaten 18l on debut in a soft ground Thurles bumper; should have improved so respected. |
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2nd (3) (5.5/1 +61%) Minella Mate |
5.5/1(+61%) | (3) Minella Mate 5.5/1, Once-raced maiden. 40/1, fifth of 11 in bumper at Gowran (18f, heavy) on NH debut 65 days ago. More required to take a hand here. Beaten 34l on debut in a heavy-ground Gowran bumper; should give a better account. |
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3rd (8) (4/1 +38%) Penelope's Charm |
4/1(+38%) | (8) Penelope's Charm 4/1, Once-raced maiden. 80/1, third of 16 in bumper at Tipperary (20.2f, soft) on NH debut 27 days ago. Entitled to build on that. Third in a 2m4f Tipperary mares' bumper last month; should be sharper now; be involved. |
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4th (6) (16/1 +0%) Western Flyer |
16/1(+0%) | (6) Western Flyer 16/1, Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. 50/1, pulled up in minor event hurdle at Thurles (23.1f, soft) on hurdles bow 172 days ago, folding tamely. Switches from hurdles to bumpers. Hood on 1st time. Well beaten in a bumper and hurdle for this yard; hood added but others appeal more. |
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5th (1) (2.75/1 +17%) Cato's Revenge |
2.75/1(+17%) | (1) Cato's Revenge 2.75/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Good placed efforts first 2 starts and far from disgraced when sixth in deeper event at Punchestown (16.2f, good to soft, 80/1) 18 days ago. Sets a good standard. Has run solid races in his three bumper starts; has to step up but should be involved. |
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6th (2) (6.5/1 -44%) Lisnamult Lad |
6.5/1(-44%) | (2) Lisnamult Lad 6.5/1, Once-raced maiden. Posted fair second of 11 in bumper at Kelso (16.2f, good) on NH debut 28 days ago. Likely more to come and is one for the shortlist. Entitled to have improved from debut second but will need to in this stronger contest. |
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7th (5) (9/1 +86%) Super Surprise |
9/1(+86%) | (5) Super Surprise 9/1, Camacho gelding. Brother to useful 1m-9.5f winner Rangali Island. Dam fair hurdler around 2m. By a sire that can get smart jumpers and from a useful dual-purpose damline; of interest. |
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8th (9) (200/1 -300%) Pixabay |
200/1(-300%) | (9) Pixabay 200/1, Once-raced maiden. Fourth of 8 in bumper (22/1) at Tramore (16f, good to soft) on NH debut. Off 7 months. First run for yard after leaving P. Kiely. Hooded for 1st time. Others preferred. Will have to improve plenty on debut form for new yard after a break; hood added. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
1st: 3.33/1 (1) CATO'S REVENGE 2nd: 4.5/1 (2) LISNAMULT LAD 3rd: 6.5/1 (8) PENELOPE'S CHARM
CATO'S REVENGE has three solid efforts to his name and taking a drop-in class, he is the one to beat on form. Off the track for nearly two years after finishing third on debut at Down Royal, the Notnowcato gelding again took minor honours on his return to action at Thurles in February. Tried in a hotly contested winners race at the Punchestown Festival on his most recent start, he finished a highly respectable sixth. In much calmer waters now, he can be expected to go close, with Phidelma Elvin taking 7lb off. The Willie Mullins-trained Naruto is sure to prove popular with punters. A well-beaten third on debut at Thurles, he can be expected to come on plenty for that effort and could be a different proposition on a sounder surface. The same can be said of Minella Mate who was a fair fifth on his sole start at Gowran in March. A winner of a point-to-point when trained by Adrian Murray, Lisnamult Lad should give a good account of himself, while Penelope's Charm and Orinoco Flow are others that warrant respect.
Preference is for LISNAMULT LAD, who shaped with plenty of encouragement when runner-up in Kelso bumper on his Rules debut last month and should have learnt plenty from that. Cato's Revenge and Naruto rate the principal dangers in what looks a competitive finale.
A chance is taken on PENELOPE'S CHARM improving enough from her debut Tipperary third. This shorter trip should be fine.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (0.4/1 +35%) Sparks Fly |
0.4/1(+35%) | (1) Sparks Fly 0.4/1, C&D winner. 3 wins from 8 runs this year. Career best when winning 6-runner handicap (15/8) at Thirsk (8f, heavy) 4 days ago, slowly away. Will prove hard to beat under a penalty. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (6) (8/1 +20%) Exertive |
8/1(+20%) | (6) Exertive 8/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Fourth of 8 in minor event (25/1) at Haydock (7f, good) on latest start last July. Likely to benefit from this step up in trip now handicapping and needs a second look with William Buick booked and yard in fine form. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (3) (33/1 -65%) Valkyrian |
33/1(-65%) | (3) Valkyrian 33/1, Creditable third of 9 in minor event at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 50/1) 20 days ago. Makes handicap debut off a reasonable enough mark but others are preferred nonetheless. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (4) (6.5/1 +54%) Native Beach |
6.5/1(+54%) | (4) Native Beach 6.5/1, Lightly-raced winner. Successful at Wolverhampton in April. Creditable third of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 4/1) 20 days ago. Good chance of finishing in the money if he takes to turf. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (7) (25/1 +0%) Winnaretta |
25/1(+0%) | (7) Winnaretta 25/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 8/1 and visored for 1st time, seventh of 8 in handicap at Bath (5.7f, good to soft) 24 days ago. Significantly up in trip and hood on 1st time. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (2) (10/1 -67%) Lady Of Arabia |
10/1(-67%) | (2) Lady Of Arabia 10/1, Thrice-raced winner. Won 11-runner maiden at Kempton (8f, 10/11), pushed out. Off 152 days ahead of this handicap debut. Place possibilities. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|DQ| (5) (18/1 -100%) Fitz Perfectly |
18/1(-100%) | (5) Fitz Perfectly 18/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 25/1, fourth of 7 in maiden at Chelmsford City (7f) 25 days ago. Sizeable step forward needed now that she switches to handicap company. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, the horse most likely to do well and win the race is 0.62/1 (1) SPARKS FLY, who has had three wins this year including a recent career best performance. 10/1 (6) EXERTIVE may also have a good chance as they are being ridden by William Buick and their yard is in good form. For third place, 14/1 (4) NATIVE BEACH or Lady of Arabia could be contenders based on their recent performances.
SPARKS FLY landed the hat-trick in empathic style at Thirsk last week, having improved plenty for the switch to turf. Her last two victories have come under penalties and connections waste no time in turning the daughter of Muhaarar out once again. Lady Of Arabia won at the third time of asking at Kempton in December and is open to further improvement now making her handicap debut, while others to note include Native Beach and Fitz Perfectly.
It's hard to look beyond SPARKS FLY, who continues to go from strength to strength, completing the hat-trick in good style at Thirsk last week, and she remains a sizeable step ahead of the handicapper. Exertive showed ability in a handful of appearances as a 2-y-o and, with improvement anticipated now upped in trip for this handicap debut, she could be the one for the forecast. Native Beach and Lady of Arabia can do battle for minor honours.
A fourth win in three weeks may well be on its way for SPARKS FLY. The most likely threats are Lady Of Arabia and Exertive.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Mcgowan's Pass |
(8) (5.5/1 +21%)5.5/1(+21%) | (8) Mcgowan's Pass 5.5/1, Without a victory since early 2020 but evidently retains plenty of enthusiasm aged 12, posting creditable efforts in defeat at Wetherby and Newcastle the last twice. Trip/ground fine and down to a career-low mark, he has to enter calculations. 12yo; ended last season with two good efforts on slow ground but hasn't won since 2020. |
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1st (5) (3.6/1 -8%) Tarahumara |
3.6/1(-8%) | (5) Tarahumara 3.6/1, Built on promising hurdling bow when easily taking 14-runner novice at Chepstow (2m, good) in April of last year. Failed to meet expectations (later found to have bled) on chase debut at Uttoxeter in February (since undergone a wind op) and claims if able to get back on track returned to hurdles. Very lightly raced 7yo; disappointing on chase/handicap debut but still has potential. |
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2nd (2) (4/1 +11%) Elham Valley |
4/1(+11%) | (2) Elham Valley 4/1, Bagged handicaps at Warwick and Newton Abbot last year. Returned to form following a string of below par performances when runner-up off this mark at Kempton (Too Friendly 5 lengths adrift in third) last time and claims if able to back that effort up here. Back in good form when second at Kempton last month and this C&D also suits. |
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3rd (1) (1.88/1 +37%) Too Friendly |
1.88/1(+37%) | (1) Too Friendly 1.88/1, Won 2 juvenile hurdles last season (also fifth in Fred Winter) and several creditable efforts in higher-grade handicaps than this during the present campaign. Shaped better than the distance beaten when third on debut for new yard at Kempton (2m, heavy) and he's high on the shortlist. Finished last three races weakly, most recently after looking likely winner on yard debut. |
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4th (9) (8/1 +20%) Karannelle |
8/1(+20%) | (9) Karannelle 8/1, Enjoyed a productive spell last summer, landing back-to-back handicaps and ending the year with runners-up efforts at Newton Abbot over 16.7f on good/good to firm. Has gone well fresh previously and usual hood refitted ahead but she could do with the ground drying it. In good form last summer but has fitness to prove after absence; best on good ground. |
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5th (6) (3.5/1 +65%) Restandbethankful |
3.5/1(+65%) | (6) Restandbethankful 3.5/1, Scored 3 times over timber for Olly Murphy in 2021. Failed to strike following a half-a-dozen chase starts and well held back in this sphere at Ayr last month, albeit he was partnered by an inexperienced jockey (first ride under Rules) that day and better can be expected with Brian Hughes up here. Dropped out rather tamely after running well for a long way on both stable starts. |
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6th (7) (66/1 -65%) With A Start |
66/1(-65%) | (7) With A Start 66/1, Maiden hurdle winner for Noel Meade back in July 2020 but largely struggled since and was pulled up on hurdles debut for this yard over 20.4f here recently. Has struggled on both stable starts (Flat/hurdle) and has too much to prove. |
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7th (4) (22/1 -340%) Toronet |
22/1(-340%) | (4) Toronet 22/1, Winner of a claiming hurdle at Fontainebleau (17.6f, soft) when last seen in February (subsequently claimed from Julien Phelippon for €19,999). Hard to weigh up starting out for new connections here and percentage call is to look elsewhere. Has joined Laura Morgan since winning a slow-ground claimer in France in February. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are most likely to do well are Enjoyed, 4.5/1 (2) ELHAM VALLEY, and 3/1 (1) TOO FRIENDLY. However, it is impossible to accurately predict the exact finishing order of the horses.
ELHAM VALLEY bounced back to form when second over this trip at Kempton three weeks ago and he arguably sets the standard off the same mark here. That said, Toronet has to be respected on his UK debut having won his final start in France earlier in the year. Karannelle should not be underestimated, while Too Friendly and Mcgowan's Pass could also go well.
TOO FRIENDLY ultimately did too much too soon when third starting out for his new yard at Kempton 3 weeks ago and, if delivered later in the piece by Aidan Coleman here, the 5-y-o could be the answer. Tarahumara will be a threat if able to get back on track returned to this sphere on the back of a wind operation, while Sea The Clouds is also accorded respect.
A pretty solid option is ELHAM VALLEY, who kept on well for second off today's mark at Kempton last month and also has form over C&D.
Ths is the racecard key.
Icon | Meaning |
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TomForm top stats, gold rated | |
TomForm top stats silver rated | |
Ran similar race before | |
S | TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out |
T | Top Time speeed rated |
Top Racingpost rated | |
At the races watchout for | |
At the races top pick | |
Top rated for thet statistic |
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
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