There were 59 Races on Saturday 13th May 2023 across 8 meetings. There was 8 races at Haydock, 7 races at Hexham, 8 races at Lingfield, 7 races at Navan, 7 races at Nottingham, 7 races at Ascot, 7 races at Leicester, 8 races at Warwick, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (9) (11/1 +21%) Sheer Rocks |
11/1(+21%) | (9) Sheer Rocks 11/1, Scored at Chester (1m2f) last July and continued in good form atter, signing off with a solid ninth of 16 at Newmarket (1m4f) in October. Much respected on his seasonal return. Unraced this year or in any race on softer than good, so he has big questions to answer. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (10) (8.5/1 +15%) Ravens Ark |
8.5/1(+15%) | (10) Ravens Ark 8.5/1, Made a winning return at Lingfield (1m5f) in 2022 and he remained in good nick until coming in last at Wolverhampton (14f) in October. Sort to bounce back. Likely to give his running under today's conditions if he's tuned up like he was last May. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (1) (3.2/1 +20%) Sir Rumi |
3.2/1(+20%) | (1) Sir Rumi 3.2/1, Resumed winning ways in 10-runner handicap at Epsom (12f, heavy) 12 days ago. Much respected up 4 lb. Good second on heavy going last October and he twice ran well on soft last month. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (2) (16/1 -33%) Rhythmic Intent |
16/1(-33%) | (2) Rhythmic Intent 16/1, Useful sort who bagged Mallard Handicap at Doncaster in September 2021. Lightly raced since and he caught the eye after a year off when considerately-handled sixth in 1m2f Epsom handicap 18 days ago. One to consider. On song for his second start last season; well handicapped if same happens this time. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (4) (4/1 -20%) Nathanael Greene |
4/1(-20%) | (4) Nathanael Greene 4/1, On the up last season (a dual winner) until coming in only 17th in November Handicap at Doncaster final start. Remains with better to come for his in-form yard. Rather mixed messages but he won a valuable handicap at Haydock (1m6f, soft) last July. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (7) (3.33/1 +33%) High Fibre |
3.33/1(+33%) | (7) High Fibre 3.33/1, Improving handicapper when with Ralph Beckett but not seen out after posting an excellent second at Newmarket (1m2f) 13 months ago. This longer trip should suit so he's not without interest starting out for a new yard. Off 396 days; new yard; could still be capable of better if all is well; stamina in family. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (6) (22/1 +27%) Green Team |
22/1(+27%) | (6) Green Team 22/1, Useful performer at best but comfortably held all 4 starts in Meydan this winter for his current yard. Needs a big step forward. With a new trainer (his third) this year and below his best in four runs at Meydan. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (8) (4.5/1 +25%) Savvy Knight |
4.5/1(+25%) | (8) Savvy Knight 4.5/1, Three-time winner last year who shaped well on his return when fourth of 13 in handicap at Kempton (11f) 33 days ago. Can go very well off an unchanged mark. Tailed off on heavy (his only race on softer than good); good fourth on AW on reappearance. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
1st: 4/1 (1) SIR RUMI 2nd: 6/1 (8) SAVVY KNIGHT 3rd: 3.33/1 (4) NATHANAEL GREENE
SIR RUMI notched up a comfortable success at Epsom last month and was arguably worth more than the winning margin would suggest. Richard Hannon's charge must now compete from a 4lb higher mark, but that might not be enough to stop him from repeating the dose. Saratoga Gold showed significant improvement last season, and it would be no surprise were he to resume his progress following a 216-day absence. Green Team heads the remainder.
HIGH FIBRE looked a handicapper to follow when last seen out for Ralph Beckett and is worth siding with to defy an absence and make a winning start for Harry Fry. Nathanael Greene is another with better days ahead of him and feared most on his return ahead of the handily-weighted Savvy Knight. Rhythmic Intent and Sheer Rocks complete the shortlist in a fascinating handicap.
Sir Rumi should figure very prominently again but, at the other end of the weights, RAVENS ARK could be one to thwart him.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (11) (14/1 +13%) Willaston |
14/1(+13%) | (11) Willaston 14/1, Career best when winning 13-runner handicap hurdle at Cheltenham (20.2f, good, 33/1) 24 days ago by ¾ length from Bold Endeavour, doing well to quickening to the front late having suffered interference. Still relatively unexposed for current yard and should go well. Finished well to cause 33-1 surprise in rather odd tactical race at Cheltenham last month. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (2) (6.5/1 +19%) Bold Endeavour |
6.5/1(+19%) | (2) Bold Endeavour 6.5/1, Point/bumper winner who quickly made up into a borderline useful novice hurdler last season. Already better over fences, winning twice during the winter, and good efforts at Cheltenham back over hurdles the last twice, not beaten far by Willaston when second last month. Well respected. Dual chase winner last season and reverted to hurdling with two good efforts; respected. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (13) (14/1 +36%) Merry Poppins |
14/1(+36%) | (13) Merry Poppins 14/1, Consistent sort who produced her best effort to date when runner-up at Cheltenham last time. Blinkers could eke even more out of her, so she's likely to be on the premises. Good second in series final at Cheltenham last month; headgear switched here; a possible. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (6) (16/1 +20%) Party Business |
16/1(+20%) | (6) Party Business 16/1, Landed a big handicap at Aintree last season and more encouraging signs when mid-field in that corresponding event last time. Could get involved if the pace is strong. Quite well handicapped on last spring's form but hasn't really fired this year. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (7) (4.5/1 +36%) Grozni |
4.5/1(+36%) | (7) Grozni 4.5/1, Three-time winner last season and signed off with a good fourth in a big field at Punchestown. Respected once again for all that he will likely face competition for the lead. Front-runner who has been placed in two hot, big-field handicaps in Ireland this year. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (16) (7.5/1 +12%) Tiger Jet |
7.5/1(+12%) | (16) Tiger Jet 7.5/1, Three wins from 7 runs last season. Career best when winning 15-runner handicap hurdle at this C&D (good to firm, 11/1) 35 days ago, driven out. Run of race will suit his style and he merits consideration. 3-11 over hurdles after C&D series final win last month; 7lb rise asks quite a lot of him. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (15) (11/1 +31%) Rambo T |
11/1(+31%) | (15) Rambo T 11/1, Fairly useful bumper winner who confirmed previous promise upped in trip when off the mark in 13-runner novice at Chepstow in February. Likely to have followed up had he not swerved and unseated at the last at Sedgefield since. One to consider. Promising novice at up to 2m4f last season; upped in trip for today's handicap debut. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (8) (11/1 +56%) Pull Again Green |
11/1(+56%) | (8) Pull Again Green 11/1, Useful/progressive form over hurdles last season, winning 3 times. A touch disappointing over fences in the autumn and latest effort in this sphere at Aintree 29 days ago was sub-par. Never really got going during light campaign last season and needs to up his game. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (12) (66/1 -65%) Shantou Express |
66/1(-65%) | (12) Shantou Express 66/1, Dual hurdles winner last spring. Had another unsuccessful spell over fences in the summer/autumn and last two hurdling efforts have been pretty tame. Comes here after a heavy defeat last month; others have much less to prove. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (4) (12/1 +14%) Dargiannini |
12/1(+14%) | (4) Dargiannini 12/1, Fell on chase/yard debut in December but better than ever when winning handicap hurdles around 2½m at Uttoxeter (soft) and Newbury (good to firm) since. Disappointed in stronger contest at Aintree last time and is unproven over this far. Dual 2m4f winner this year; didn't fire at Aintree festival but 3m may unlock improvement. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (9) (20/1 -25%) Gentleman At Arms |
20/1(-25%) | (9) Gentleman At Arms 20/1, Ended last season with a second in Grade 1 novice hurdle at Aintree (3m, good). Hasn't scaled the same heights this time round, including over fences, although latest fourth at Warwick was a solid showing. Not at best last season but his recent fourth was encouraging and he's still well treated. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12th (1) (12/1 -9%) Mill Green |
12/1(-9%) | (1) Mill Green 12/1, Into the twilight of his career but has shown plenty of ability remains with excellent efforts in big-field events the last twice, third of 22 at Aintree last time. Another big effort is on the cards. Third at Cheltenham and Aintree festivals in last two years; on fairly tough mark, though. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
13th (5) (22/1 -57%) Pounding Poet |
22/1(-57%) | (5) Pounding Poet 22/1, Got back on the up in the autumn, proving most determined on the back of 4 months off when landing 4-runner Uttoxeter handicap (23.3f) in October. Back on track when staying on well to finish second off 22 at Aintree last time and should go well again if the emphasis is on stamina. New PB when staying-on second in first-time cheekpieces at Aintree last month. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
14th (14) (18/1 -100%) Wa Wa |
18/1(-100%) | (14) Wa Wa 18/1, Improved to win 15-runner handicap hurdle (15/2) at Leopardstown in March and, while he failed to back it up over fences at Downpatrick, he's not one to write off in this discipline. Didn't get home in 3m4f chase last time but won his previous two hurdles; could have a say. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
15th (3) (33/1 -65%) Press Your Luck |
33/1(-65%) | (3) Press Your Luck 33/1, Made winning return/chase debut at Chepstow (23.5f) in October. Struggled on next 4 outings but back to form with a bang to win 21f Wincanton handicap hurdle in February. Creditable fourth of 11 at Cheltenham 24 days ago and seems likely to give another good account. Won easily off reduced mark in February but probably needs a career best here. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (10) (5.5/1 -57%) Thanksforthehelp |
5.5/1(-57%) | (10) Thanksforthehelp 5.5/1, Had wind op and cheekpieces on when off the mark comfortably in handicap hurdle at Chepstow (23.6f) in February. Better than result when mid-field in Pertemps Final at Cheltenham next time and quickly back to winning ways with something to spare in novice at Southwell recently. Big player. Has won two of his last three and probably still has potential. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
1st: 16/1 (11) WILLASTON 2nd: 8/1 (2) BOLD ENDEAVOUR 3rd: 3.5/1 (10) THANKSFORTHEHELP
MERRY POPPINS sports first-time blinkers following a fine second over an extended 2m4f at Cheltenham. She was narrowly denied over this sort of trip at Ludlow before that and can show the necessary benefit for a stiffer stamina test. Pounding Poet found only West Balboa too strong in a hot handicap at the Grand National meeting and can give the selection plenty to think about off 2lb higher. Thanksforthehelp bounced back from his Pertemps Final disappointment with a Southwell success, while Willaston and the Nicky Henderson pair Bold Endeavour and Mill Green are just two more to consider.
THANKSFORTHEHELP was sent off favourite for the Pertemps Final at Cheltenham and, while he couldn't quite justify that support (better than result), he was impressive back in novice company at Southwell since and is well worth another chance to prove himself ahead of his mark. Nicky Henderson-trained pair Mill Green and Bold Endeavour should give the selection plenty to think about and there are several others for whom a case could be made.
The suggestion is DARGIANNINI, who began this year with two pretty convincing 2m4f wins and looks well worth another crack at 3m.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (3) (1/1 +0%) All The Glory |
1/1(+0%) | (3) All The Glory 1/1, Fair bumper performer left her initial efforts in this sphere well behind the last twice, finishing third in a Haydock maiden last month before going close at Chepstow (19.4f, good) recently. Step down in trip may help her see things out better and has cheekpieces enlisted. Good shout. 0-9 under rules but went close at Chepstow last time; cheekpieces on; big chance on form. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (6) (16/1 -33%) Titanium Moon |
16/1(-33%) | (6) Titanium Moon 16/1, Fair maiden on the Flat, making GB/IRE jumps debut. Last of 5 on handicap debut (10/1) at Wolverhampton (12.2f) latest outing. Off 9 months. First run for yard after leaving David Loughnane. Made frame three times on Flat; has joined good yard for hurdling; has to be considered. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (2) (2.75/1 -38%) Pure Theatre |
2.75/1(-38%) | (2) Pure Theatre 2.75/1, Posted promising second of 9 in novice at Chepstow (16f, soft) on hurdles bow and didn't need to match that form to comfortably open her account at Exeter last month. Should be in mix again under penalty. Comfortable Exeter winner; more required under penalty but low mileage and it's possible. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (1) (4/1 +64%) Noble Affair |
4/1(+64%) | (1) Noble Affair 4/1, Quickly back on track when winning 15-runner handicap hurdle at this course (20.1f, soft) 19 days ago, perhaps value for a bit extra having helped set sound gallop. Carries penalty down in trip. Second in this race last year and won 2m4f handicap here last month; in the mix. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (4) (11/1 -47%) Cnoc Na Si |
11/1(-47%) | (4) Cnoc Na Si 11/1, Placed on first 2 of 3 starts in bumpers for Willie Mullins but weakened worryingly quickly on her final outing for that yard. Makes hurdles debut after 10 months off with market perhaps the best guide. Well-bred 6yo; placed in bumpers before amiss latest start; retains potential now hurdling. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st - 11/1 (1) NOBLE AFFAIR, 2nd - 1/1 (3) ALL THE GLORY, 3rd - 2/1 (2) PURE THEATRE.
ALL THE GLORY was only beaten a neck into second at Chepstow a couple of weeks ago and it would be no surprise to see her go one better here. Noble Affair got off the mark over 2m4f at this venue last month and is an obvious threat to the selection, despite carrying a 7lb penalty. Another to note is Pure Theatre.
ALL THE GLORY has returned from a winter break an improved performer and she's taken to get off the mark here, the step back to the minimum trip perhaps suitable given she way she has shaped over further. Pure Theatre and Noble Affair are penalised after last-time-out victories but should go well again.
A 0-9 record is a slight concern but ALL THE GLORY has the best form and is taken to get off the mark.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (5) (12/1 +40%) Givemethebeatboys |
12/1(+40%) | (5) Givemethebeatboys 12/1, Foaled March 29. €11,000 yearling, Bungle Inthejungle colt. Dam, 11.3f/1½m winner, half-sister to smart 1¾m-16.6f winner (stayed 2½m) Lismore. Bungle Inthejungle colt; dam middle distance winner; trip may be on sharp side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (6) (9/1 -125%) Jalaybee |
9/1(-125%) | (6) Jalaybee 9/1, Twice-raced colt. 8/1, third of 9 in maiden at Naas (5f, good) 7 days ago, unsuited by drop in trip. Bold bid expected. Placed efforts at the Curragh and Naas; place claims again but vulnerable to smart types. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (10) (40/1 +20%) Kandoo |
40/1(+20%) | (10) Kandoo 40/1, Twice-raced filly. Sixth of 9 in maiden (11/1) at Naas (5.9f, heavy) 19 days ago. Well held in maidens at Dundalk and Naas and surprise if she opens her account here. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (2) (7.5/1 -150%) Battle Fleet |
7.5/1(-150%) | (2) Battle Fleet 7.5/1, Foaled April 27. €210,000 Siyouni colt. Brother to useful 2-y-o 1m winner Paramount and half-brother to 2-y-o 1m winner Moutarde, both in France. Likely type on paper. Siyouni colt is a brother to Listed-placed French 1m 2yo winner Paramount. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (13) (6.5/1 +46%) Zelestial |
6.5/1(+46%) | (13) Zelestial 6.5/1, Foaled January 31. 110,000 gns yearling, Zoustar filly. Half-sister to useful 2-y-o 7f winner Munch. Dam, useful French 10.5f-13f winner, half-sister to very smart winner up to 1½m Salouen. Another newcomer to keep an eye on in betting. Zoustar filly is half-sister to 7f 2yo winner out of French Listed-placed 10f-1m5f winner. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (8) (25/1 -14%) Romford |
25/1(-14%) | (8) Romford 25/1, Foaled April 3. €20,000 yearling, Invincible Army gelding. Dam, runner up around 1¼m, half-sister to useful 2-y-o 7f/1m winner Stage Magic. Invincible Army newcomer; yard does well with 2yos and sprinters. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (7) (25/1 +0%) Prince X J |
25/1(+0%) | (7) Prince X J 25/1, Once-raced colt. Ninth of 11 in maiden at the Curragh (5f, heavy, 5/1) on debut 49 days ago. Sent off 5-1 but only beat two home when ninth at the Curragh in March. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (1) (8/1 -14%) Battle Cry |
8/1(-14%) | (1) Battle Cry 8/1, Foaled April 17. No Nay Never colt. Dam winner up to 1¾m (2-y-o 7f/1m winner). One of 2 noteworthy newcomers from his leading stable. Betting should guide. No Nay Never colt one of two Ballydoyle newcomers; market will be a guide. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (4) (1/1 +39%) General Assembly |
1/1(+39%) | (4) General Assembly 1/1, Foaled February 5. 130,000 gns Starspangledbanner colt. Half-brother to 3 winners, including winner up to 6f Louis Treize and 6f-9f winner Nevile Chamberlain. Interesting newcomer. Starspangledbanner half-brother to three winners cost 130,000gns as a yearling. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (11) (40/1 +0%) Nika Pika |
40/1(+0%) | (11) Nika Pika 40/1, Once-raced filly. 18/1, fifth of 9 in maiden at Naas (5.9f, heavy) on debut 19 days ago. Beaten around 6l when fifth of nine in Naas maiden last month. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (9) (40/1 -21%) Vangelis |
40/1(-21%) | (9) Vangelis 40/1, Foaled February 13. €8,000 yearling, Highland Reel gelding. Dam 1m-1¼m (Italian listed race) winner out of a half-sister to high-class US Grade 1 8.5f/9f winner Heritage of Gold. Highland Reel gelding; dam Italian 1m/1m2f winner including at Listed level. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12th (3) (22/1 +12%) Excel In Space |
22/1(+12%) | (3) Excel In Space 22/1, Twice-raced colt. 10/3, third of 4 in maiden at Dundalk (5f) 29 days ago. Third in pair of AW maidens over 5f but likely to be up against it here. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
It is difficult to predict which horse will do well based on this summary as there are several newcomers and lightly raced horses with little form to go on. However, based on their previous performances, 4/1 (6) JALAYBEE and 40/1 (11) NIKA PIKA may have place claims. It is also worth keeping an eye on the Ballydoyle newcomer 7/1 (1) BATTLE CRY and the Siyouni colt 3/1 (2) BATTLE FLEET who is a likely type on paper. In terms of a prediction, it is too close to call and would depend on factors such as the going and the way the race unfolds.
GENERAL ASSEMBLY is held in good regard by connections and may be sharp enough to make a winning debut. The Ger Lyons-trained son of Starspangledbanner, whose dam won as a juvenile, cost 130,000 guineas as a yearling. Aidan O'Brien's two-year-old team have made a big impact already this season and the Ballydoyle maestro is represented by Battle Cry (by No Nay Never) and Battle Fleet. The latter cost 210,000 at Arqana last October and is a Siyouni brother to a Listed-placed juvenile winner in France. Zelestial and Givemethebeatboys are other newcomers to consider, while Jalaybee has shown promise on both starts including when runner-up to Democracy on testing ground at the Curragh.
JALAYBEE is given another chance now stepping back up slightly in trip but a strong market move for newcomers such as Battle Cry, Battle Fleet and/or General Assembly would put a slightly different slant on things.
This will likely go to a newcomer; Ger Lyons had a couple of juveniles run well last weekend so a chance is taken with GENERAL ASSEMBLY
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (3) (8.5/1 -31%) Legal Reform |
8.5/1(-31%) | (3) Legal Reform 8.5/1, Has had plenty of exposure in handicaps but he's in the form of his life, career best when winning 12-runner handicap at Catterick (7f, heavy) 31 days ago, driven out. Shortlist material from just 2 lb higher. Won last two starts at 7f, on Tapeta and turf; well beaten in sole Polytrack start in 2021. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (7) (12/1 +0%) Sir Winston |
12/1(+0%) | (7) Sir Winston 12/1, Hasn't stood much racing and could never really land a blow on reappearance at Ripon (6f, soft) 23 days ago, though was left poorly placed. This will reveal more back on the AW. Fair form at 7f on Tapeta; modest reappearance on turf; highish mark to justify. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (1) (3.5/1 +42%) Winforglory |
3.5/1(+42%) | (1) Winforglory 3.5/1, Successful twice last summer, including on the AW at this venue. 4/1, good second of 7 in handicap at Chelmsford back over 7f and another bold bid looks likely. Solid claims on recent 7f defeat at Chelmsford when hampered; regular hood left off. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (9) (7.5/1 +17%) Prenup |
7.5/1(+17%) | (9) Prenup 7.5/1, Well prepared to make a winning reappearance at Wolverhampton in March. Creditable third of 7 in handicap (10/3) at Chelmsford City (8f) 42 days ago, sticking to task. Merits consideration. Solid contender at 7f and 1m for both yards; probably needs better again back at this trip. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (12) (22/1 -83%) Ajrad |
22/1(-83%) | (12) Ajrad 22/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in November. Respectable eighth of 13 in handicap at this C&D (AW, 14/1) 17 days ago, left poorly placed. Fancied to step up on that. Useful C&D win in November; lesser runs since but capable of a good run when on song. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (4) (16/1 +20%) My Mate Ted |
16/1(+20%) | (4) My Mate Ted 16/1, Below form eighth of 16 in handicap at Pontefract (8f, good to soft, 11/1) 19 days ago. Lurks on a dangerous mark if cheekpieces work the oracle returned to the AW. Back on winning mark, over 1m at Kempton in August; not shone since; first 7f run. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (6) (7.5/1 +25%) Sharvara |
7.5/1(+25%) | (6) Sharvara 7.5/1, Looks a difficult ride (hard puller) but right back to form when second of 5 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 10 days ago. Bigger field may help him settle here. Should be right there on form of last two 7f runs on Tapeta if Polytrack suits as well. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (11) (20/1 -67%) Otago |
20/1(-67%) | (11) Otago 20/1, Caught the eye on reappearance and built on that when winning 9-runner handicap at Brighton (7f, good, 5/1) 21 days ago. Drawn wide but another bold bid is on the cards. In very good form, here and on turf; more to do this time from widest draw. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (2) (2.75/1 -10%) Gold Medal |
2.75/1(-10%) | (2) Gold Medal 2.75/1, Better than ever on return this spring, landing a brace of 6f handicaps on the AW here. May have even more to offer for this yard. Both wins for new yard at 6f here but seemed to stay 7f in 2022; has more to come. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (8) (40/1 -60%) Watermelon Sugar |
40/1(-60%) | (8) Watermelon Sugar 40/1, Prolific early in his career but unable to continue the good work since, sixth of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 4/1) 46 days ago, slowly away. Back up in trip. Four 6f wins; shaped well for new yard but below best latest; unconvincing in one 7f run. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (10) (28/1 +15%) Counsel |
28/1(+15%) | (10) Counsel 28/1, Unreliable type. C&D winner. 28/1 and visored for first time, last of 12 in handicap at Musselburgh (7.2f, soft) 13 days ago. Struggling for form but this is a drop in class, at least. Ready winner of C&D novice; ups and downs in handicaps; hard to fancy for win purposes. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12th (5) (9/1 +10%) Tothenines |
9/1(+10%) | (5) Tothenines 9/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. Respectable fifth of 12 in handicap at Ripon (8f, soft) 23 days ago, slowly away and denied a clear run. Needs a good pace to aim at back over 7f. Weighted to be involved on 7f Tapeta form in midwinter; first attempt on Polytrack. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, 6/1 (1) WINFORGLORY, 6.5/1 (3) LEGAL REFORM, and 2.5/1 (2) GOLD MEDAL are the top three horses that may do well in the race. They have solid recent form and have shown success on the AW surface. However, 12/1 (11) OTAGO may also be a strong contender despite being drawn from the widest gate. It is important to note that horse racing is unpredictable, and any of these horses can surprise and perform well or underperform on the day.
Plenty of these make a lot of appeal, but marginal preference lies with LEGAL REFORM, who is now rated 4lb above his last winning all-weather mark following a comfortable success at Catterick last month. The gelded son of Lawman is likely to prove popular following that victory, but Gold Medal steps up in trip having scored over 6f most recently and has to be feared off 3lb higher. Winforglory and Sharvara add further spice to the race.
LEGAL REFORM is in the form of his life and this uncomplicated sort is well drawn to attack, so the hat-trick may well be forthcoming. Gold Medal also arrives on a roll, with better expected from Sir Winston this time.
Several of these come here in top form but WINFORGLORY has more to give at this trip and William Buick rides for the first time.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (3) (4.5/1 +36%) Masqool |
4.5/1(+36%) | (3) Masqool 4.5/1, Resumed winning ways at Lingfield in March. Left with too much to do when fifth of 14 in handicap at Bath (11.6f, soft) 36 days ago. Shortlisted. Given too much to do at Bath last time when he seemed to handle the soft ground.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (6) (3.5/1 +78%) Red Derek |
3.5/1(+78%) | (6) Red Derek 3.5/1, Consistent sort who scored at Doncaster (1m2f) in October. Beat only one in 1m2f Haydock handicap on his return but he's the type to bounce back. Won at Doncaster (1m2f, heavy) last October but well beaten since and now 2-40 overall.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (4) (3.33/1 -21%) At Liberty |
3.33/1(-21%) | (4) At Liberty 3.33/1, Dual 1m2f winner last autumn who posted an encouraging reappearance sixth of 14 at Bath (11.5f) 36 days ago. Well in the mix off a 1 lb lower mark. Never really involved after his break at Bath (1m3f, soft; finished upsides Masqool).. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (5) (22/1 -120%) Equion |
22/1(-120%) | (5) Equion 22/1, Fair 1m2f maiden in 2022 but he came in last of 6 in 8.5f Wolverhampton handicap on his return after nine months off the track. Has a bit to prove now. Finished last on reappearance back at Wolverhampton and bit to prove on a few counts here.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (1) (1.62/1 -8%) Lunar Jet |
1.62/1(-8%) | (1) Lunar Jet 1.62/1, Likeable veteran who scored at Redcar in April and backed it up with a solid fourth at Doncaster (1m4f) 14 days ago. Goes really well on soft ground so this C&D winner is a player eased 1 lb here. Goes well on softer than good, as he showed when winning at Redcar; excuses latest.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (2) (10/1 -33%) Whirlwind |
10/1(-33%) | (2) Whirlwind 10/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Best run when fifth of 11 in handicap at Lingfield (7f, AW) in December on his final run for Richard Hannon. Tongue strap on 1st time. Considered. Engaged 4.20 Chester Friday. 0-4 for Richard Hannon; had wind surgery and is a likely improver at some stage. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the information provided, it is difficult to confidently predict which horse will do well in the race. However, 1.5/1 (1) LUNAR JET and 16/1 (6) RED DEREK seem to have some past success and may be worth considering. As for the top three finishers, it is impossible to accurately predict without additional information such as the quality of the other horses in the race and track conditions.
LUNAR JET appeared to be stretched by 1m4f at Doncaster on his latest outing. He won over this trip at Redcar the start prior, however, and is essentially 3lb lower than that mark when accounting for Mia Nicholls' claim. With that in mind, he edges the vote over Masqool (fifth) and At Liberty (sixth), who are closely matched on their recent meeting at Bath.
LUNAR JET handles soft ground really well so this likeable C&D scorer can quickly resume winning ways eased 1 lb for a good Doncaster fourth last time. At Liberty rates a big threat though if, as expected, building on an encouraging reappearance sixth at Bath, while in-form Masqool is another who needs factoring into an open handicap.
The one with the least to prove is LUNAR JET on this return to 1m2f. Masqool is better than he showed last time.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (6) (20/1 +29%) Farhh To Shy |
20/1(+29%) | (6) Farhh To Shy 20/1, Form dipped following winning reappearance at Doncaster (7f, good) last term and failed to fire on the AW during the winter. Step back in the right direction when third behind Belhaven and Sly Madam off this reduced mark at Nottingham but drop back to 7f/faster ground would be the ideal scenario. Faded late when third to Belhaven at Nottingham latest and peak form achieved at 7f. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (3) (7/1 -8%) Belhaven |
7/1(-8%) | (3) Belhaven 7/1, Won 3 times in 2022 and left her reappearance well behind when proving 3½ lengths too strong for the re-opposing Sly Madam at Nottingham (8.3f, heavy) with Farhh To Shy, who also renews rivalry, a further neck adrift in third. This is more demanding up 7 lb but couldn't rule out all the same. Comfortably saw off Sly Madam at Nottingham (soft) recently; respected despite 7lb rise. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (2) (12/1 +33%) Don't Tell Claire |
12/1(+33%) | (2) Don't Tell Claire 12/1, C&D winner in 2021 and wasn't disgraced when fifth in this race off 3 lb higher on her reappearance last season. Successful at Newmarket during the autumn (off 5 lb lower) but safely held in first-time cheekpieces (retained) on return this time round in a listed contest at Kempton. C&D winner; also second here on good to soft last autumn; decent run in listed on return. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (7) (11/1 -22%) One Morning |
11/1(-22%) | (7) One Morning 11/1, Built on her promising debut when winning a 4-runner maiden at Newmarket (7f, good) last spring, and by no means disgraced when third to the smart Laurel at Kempton upped to 1m on sole subsequent start in 2022. Mark for this handicap bow looks fair but she certainly needs to raise her game. Testing ground an unknown but should have more to offer after only three starts. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (5) (18/1 +28%) Sly Madam |
18/1(+28%) | (5) Sly Madam 18/1, Winner of 6 handicaps at around 1m on various ground-types last term, and back on the scoresheet at Windsor (1m, heavy) in April. However, she was readily outpointed by Belhaven at Nottingham and, though now 7 lb better off with that rival (before rider's claim is factored in), she looks vulnerable. Won on soft at Windsor last month; second to Belhaven at Nottingham latest. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (8) (2/1 +11%) Timeless Melody |
2/1(+11%) | (8) Timeless Melody 2/1, Promise both starts on the AW over 1m/11f for Charlie Appleby last season. Sold out of that yard for 65,000 gns last August and did the job when opening her account on return/debut for new yard in a Leicester novice (7f, heavy). Further progress likely now pitched into a handicap. Form of heavy-ground Leicester novice win boosted and opening mark look could be lenient. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (10) (4/1 +0%) Mountain Song |
4/1(+0%) | (10) Mountain Song 4/1, Found just one too good on first 3 starts in maiden/novice company (all at around 1¼m) during the winter. Made no mistake dropped to this trip on last month's handicap debut at Southwell and, though now 7 lb higher switched to turf in a stronger race, she probably has more offer for her top yard. Progressive on AW, winning 1m handicap latest; big player if as effective on slow turf. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (9) (33/1 -65%) Mottisfont |
33/1(-65%) | (9) Mottisfont 33/1, Looked potentially useful when scoring on debut at Ffos Las last summer and creditable third in Group 3 company next time. Failed to progress thereafter, though, and she was out with the washing on return in the Fred Darling. Sights lowered here for this handicap debut but others look stronger. In frame at Group level at two but below par in Fred Darling on return; handicap debut. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (1) (8/1 -23%) Julia Augusta |
8/1(-23%) | (1) Julia Augusta 8/1, Decisive winner of sole 2-y-o start at Kempton and impressive in a Thirsk novice (1m, good to firm) on return last June. Only third in a 5-runner handicap at Newbury when last seen the following month but that form is strong and it's still early days. Will be a threat if coping with conditions. Going softer than good an unknown but this lightly raced 4yo should have more to offer. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (4) (33/1 -18%) Perfect Thunder |
33/1(-18%) | (4) Perfect Thunder 33/1, Got the better of subsequent Irish Oaks second/listed winner Toy when landing a 7f maiden at the Curragh for Joseph O'Brien last spring. Made the frame in 3 handicaps later in 2022 but well held on latest start in October and opposable starting out for new connections here. Useful in Ireland; first run for new yard after 202 days off; acts on soft. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (11) (10/1 +17%) Beccara Rose |
10/1(+17%) | (11) Beccara Rose 10/1, Sea The Stars filly who shaped with encouragement when reaching the frame in 1m maiden/novice events at Doncaster (heavy) and Kempton last autumn. Shaped much better than the bare result on return at Newbury (1¼m) and improvement could be on the way now handicapping/back down in trip. Promise both starts at 2; failed to stay 1m2f on return; retains potential for handicaps. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
1st - 6.5/1 (3) BELHAVEN 2nd - 2.25/1 (8) TIMELESS MELODY 3rd - 28/1 (6) FARHH TO SHY
MOUNTAIN SONG made no mistake when stepping into handicap company at Southwell last month. The daughter of Sea The Stars appeals as a likely improver switched to turf for the first time, and she can shrug off a subsequent 7lb rise in the handicap to double her tally. One Morning bumped into the smart Laurel at Kempton when last seen, so she could be well treated from an opening mark of 82. Belhaven cruised to success at Nottingham 11 days ago and she merits respect, despite the step up in class.
Several of these remain with potential, most notably TIMELESS MELODY, who left the impression that stepping back up to this trip would be in her favour when making a successful start for this yard over 7f at Leicester. She has been handed a potentially handy mark for this handicap debut and gets the nod ahead of promising Godolphin filly Mountain Song. Julia Augusta is of interest despite returning from 10 months off, while Beccara Rose is worth a second look now switched to handicap company.
This features a few lightly raced improvers, notably TIMELESS MELODY who has had the form of last month's heavy-ground win boosted.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (7) (2.25/1 +44%) James McHenry |
2.25/1(+44%) | (7) James McHenry 2.25/1, Fairly useful juvenile who deservedly got off the mark in 1m handicap at Ripon (soft) 23 days ago. Not taken lightly despite a 5 lb rise. Convincing winner on reappearance at Ripon and could have more left in the tank. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (6) (10/1 -18%) Conservationist |
10/1(-18%) | (6) Conservationist 10/1, C&D winner but beat only one on handicap debut over C&D 14 days ago. Needs to get back on track. Well beaten in recent C&D h'cap; should leave that comeback run well behind at some point. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (9) (20/1 -43%) Phoenix Fire |
20/1(-43%) | (9) Phoenix Fire 20/1, Signed off for 2022 with 7f novice win at Redcar in November. 4/1, good reappearance fourth of 6 in 7.5f handicap at Beverley 16 days ago so he's no forlorn hope off a 3 lb lower mark here. The extra yardage can help but he has something to find with Feel The Need on recent form. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (4) (9/1 -38%) Feel The Need |
9/1(-38%) | (4) Feel The Need 9/1, Fairly useful 7f juvenile winner who resumed after 7 months off/gelded with an excellent second of six in 7.5f Beverley handicap 16 days ago. Can go well again nudged up 2 lb. Improved form when runner-up on reappearance and might not be far away. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (1) (8.5/1 +29%) Imperial Ace |
8.5/1(+29%) | (1) Imperial Ace 8.5/1, Looked on the up when bagging 1m novices at Newcastle and Southwell in January but he came in last of nine on his turf/handicap debut at Newmarket 24 days ago. Worth another chance. The drop back to 1m looks the right move for the time being but he has something to prove. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (5) (3/1 -71%) Florida |
3/1(-71%) | (5) Florida 3/1, No Nay Never colt who has improved a chunk with each of his three runs, landing 7f minor event at Kempton in December with plenty in hand. Looks to have got in lightly for his handicap debut. Big shout. Well-bred AW novice winner who has potential off his opening mark. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (3) (6.5/1 +41%) Dornoch Castle |
6.5/1(+41%) | (3) Dornoch Castle 6.5/1, Readily landed 7f novices here and at Ayr last summer but he came back well held in much stronger company both runs after. Resumes after a wind op now and no surprise if he got back on track. Has had wind op which could help him tap back into his initial 2yo promise. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (2) (14/1 +22%) Arkendale |
14/1(+22%) | (2) Arkendale 14/1, Excellent fourth in 1m listed event at Pontefract in October only to disappoint when last of five in Newbury conditions event on his reappearance. Remains with potential. Promise on both 2yo runs; struggled on return but retains potential; yard does well here. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (8) (14/1 +13%) Inanna |
14/1(+13%) | (8) Inanna 14/1, Debut course winner who took form up a level on return when fourth of 6 in 1m handicap at Southwell 29 days ago. Shortlisted off an unchanged mark. Check betting on second start of the season but improvement needed to win this. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
1st: 4/1 (7) JAMES MCHENRY 2nd: 1.75/1 (5) FLORIDA 3rd: 11/1 (3) DORNOCH CASTLE
Imperial Ace remains unexposed and is taken to improve on a disappointing handicap debut at Newmarket, but he has to shoulder top weight and DORNOCH CASTLE could be worth siding with, despite a 266-day break. Charlie Johnston's colt began his career with victories here and at Ayr and even though he failed to get involved in much deeper waters subsequently, he has had wind surgery and could bounce back on his handicap bow. Florida is another to bear in mind.
FLORIDA was really finding his feet last backend and is fancied to make a winning return off an attractive-looking mark on his first venture into handicap company. Feel The Need is feared most on the back of an excellent Beverley second, although Ripon scorer James McHenry and handicap debutants Dornoch Castle and Arkendale need factoring in too.
The Charlie Johnston-trained DORNOCH CASTLE reappears having had wind surgery and could be on a good mark. Florida is a danger.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (9) (2.5/1 +58%) Lights Are Green |
2.5/1(+58%) | (9) Lights Are Green 2.5/1, Point winner didn't make much impact in a trio of starts over hurdles over shorter trips but looked sure to be placed when falling at the last over C&D on chase debut last month. Respected. Made a bold bid before a last-fence fall over C&D on his recent chase debut; possibilities. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (5) (2.5/1 -11%) No Regrets |
2.5/1(-11%) | (5) No Regrets 2.5/1, Capitalised on a much-reduced mark to land 7-runner handicap chase at Wetherby last time. Still 20 lb below peak hurdles mark and would be foolish to dismiss now that he's appeared to get the hang of things as a chaser. Off the mark over fences when beating a clear second at Wetherby; big player again up 4lb. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (3) (12/1 +0%) Avoid De Master |
12/1(+0%) | (3) Avoid De Master 12/1, Won over C&D and at Market Rasen early last season but has essentially struggled for form since his next start. Given a chance by the handicapper but is tricky to fancy. On dangerous mark but he's been pulled up last twice and needs to turn things around. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (6) (6/1 -20%) Storm Lorenzo |
6/1(-20%) | (6) Storm Lorenzo 6/1, C&D winner in September but has looked a tricky ride both starts since, going in snatches before unseating over longer trip in November. Worth market check on return from winter break. Both wins have come over C&D and the first was after a break; in the mix on his return. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (2) (12/1 +14%) Grange Ranger |
12/1(+14%) | (2) Grange Ranger 12/1, Sprang a surprise at Wetherby in November and somewhat hinted at a revival in first-time cheekpieces when fourth there last month, albeit typically held back by clumsy jumping. Needs to take another step forward. Defied this mark at Wetherby (3m) in November but he's been generally disappointing since. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (1) (11/1 -10%) Hold The Note |
11/1(-10%) | (1) Hold The Note 11/1, Returned to form from out of the blue to score at Carlisle in March but finished well held back in novice company at Ayr (24.1f, good, 12/1) 21 days ago. Dropped 4 lb but others preferred. Won by 7l on his penultimate run and he's respected on this big drop back in grade. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (8) (8/1 +60%) Along Long Story |
8/1(+60%) | (8) Along Long Story 8/1, Maiden hunter winner at Thurles (25f) last year for Sean Aherne but showed nothing for this yard last term and he's very hard to fancy again. Won a hunter chase last March but he's struggled since and a major turnaround is needed. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (7) (9/1 +10%) Macavity |
9/1(+10%) | (7) Macavity 9/1, Dual point winner who landed an Aintree bumper on Rules debut last year but generally underwhelmed as a hurdler and hasn't shown much more in a pair of starts over fences so far. Too soon to fully dismiss but he has questions to answer. 0-7 for current yard and has struggled under both codes in last four runs; plenty to prove. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st: 2.25/1 (5) NO REGRETS 2nd: 6.5/1 (4) UPTOWN HARRY 3rd: 6/1 (9) LIGHTS ARE GREEN
NO REGRETS returned to winning ways with a narrow success over this trip at Wetherby in March and the son of Presenting may well be capable of defying a 4lb rise here. Uptown Harry also scored on his most recent outing and has to of some interest, while Hold The Note and Storm Lorenzo are the pick of the remaining field.
NO REGRETS got off the mark over fences last time and remains potentially well treated on his hurdles form, so is fancied to follow up at the chief expense of fellow last-time-out winner Uptown Harry. Lights Are Green is perhaps the unknown quantity having shown more promise on his chase debut here recently.
The vote goes to NO REGRETS, who is still lightly raced over fences and beat a clear second over 3m at Wetherby last time.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Darcy's Rock |
(11) (12/1 +45%)12/1(+45%) | (11) Darcy's Rock 12/1, Creditable 1¾ lengths fourth of 13 to Conversant in handicap at Sligo (5.7f, soft, 18/1) 13 days ago, headed final 100 yds. Ran well from the front when fourth of 13 at Sligo; finished behind three of these rivals. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1st (18) (9/1 +0%) Markievicz |
9/1(+0%) | (18) Markievicz 9/1, One win from 30 Flat runs. Twelve runs since last win in 2022. 12/1, never on terms when ninth of 13 in handicap at Dundalk (7f). Off 101 days. 1-30; out of form when last seen on AW and has been off 3 months; best turf form on good. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (10) (14/1 -75%) Catherine Chroi |
14/1(-75%) | (10) Catherine Chroi 14/1, Latest win at Newcastle in January. ½-length second of 13 to Conversant in handicap (8/1) at Sligo (5.7f, soft) 13 days ago, faring best of those held up. In the mix again. Three AW wins and almost registered first turf win when fast-finishing second at Sligo. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (5) (16/1 -14%) Scarlet Dancer |
16/1(-14%) | (5) Scarlet Dancer 16/1, One win from 27 Flat runs. Twenty four runs since last win in 2021. Creditable fifth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (7f, 7/1) 29 days ago. Vulnerable to less-exposed sorts. Some fair AW runs during the winter but a long time since he got his head in front. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (25) (40/1 -100%) Sense Of Security |
40/1(-100%) | (25) Sense Of Security 40/1, 1 win from 3 runs this year. 25/1, first run since leaving George Baker when bit below form 5 lengths seventh of 13 to Conversant in handicap at Sligo (5.7f, soft) 13 days ago, never nearer. RESERVE. Reserve; Kempton AW winner in January; beaten 5l by Conversant on stable bow at Sligo. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (3) (12/1 -85%) Conversant |
12/1(-85%) | (3) Conversant 12/1, C&D winner. 11/1, bounced back to form when won 13-runner handicap at Sligo (5.7f, soft) 13 days ago by ½ length from Catherine Chroi, getting first run. Can give another good account up 5 lb. Loves testing ground and got it at Sligo where he won last time; 5lb higher; likes it here. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (8) (22/1 +56%) Peerless |
22/1(+56%) | (8) Peerless 22/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2021. Below form ninth of 18 in handicap at this course (5f, heavy, 80/1) 45 days ago. Blinkers/tongue strap on 1st time. Showed a bit more spark here in March; well treated if they can get him back to form. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (22) (66/1 -32%) Allie Bear |
66/1(-32%) | (22) Allie Bear 66/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Fourteenth of 18 in maiden (150/1) at the Curragh (6f, heavy) 27 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Not shown much in three maidens; lot more needed on handicap debut. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (21) (12/1 -9%) Teddy Boy |
12/1(-9%) | (21) Teddy Boy 12/1, Course winner. Eighteen runs since last win in 2022. Below form when seventh of 11 in handicap at Dundalk (5f, 18/1) 29 days ago. Merits consideration from this basement mark back on turf. 4-77 with two of those wins coming over 5f here; second at Dundalk in March but opposable. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (4) (28/1 +15%) Zig Zag Zyggy |
28/1(+15%) | (4) Zig Zag Zyggy 28/1, Twenty four runs since last win in 2021. Ran no sort of race when thirteenth of 18 in handicap (9/1) at this course (5f, heavy) 45 days ago. On a long losing run and well beaten over extended 5f here in March. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (17) (4.5/1 +50%) Let's Believe |
4.5/1(+50%) | (17) Let's Believe 4.5/1, 11/2, below form twelfth of 23 in handicap at the Curragh (6f, heavy) 27 days ago. Can get back on track. Second over 6f at the Curragh last term; fair fourth here on return but poor run latest. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (6) (12/1 +40%) Atbay |
12/1(+40%) | (6) Atbay 12/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Failed to improve making handicap debut when eighth of 14 at Dundalk (7f, 14/1) back in December. Not beaten far on handicap debut over 7f at Dundalk just before Christmas; shrewd yard. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12th (1) (40/1 +20%) Art Of Unity |
40/1(+20%) | (1) Art Of Unity 40/1, Course winner. Ninth of 14 in handicap (40/1) at the Curragh (5f, heavy). Off 6 months. First run for yard after leaving Alan Richardson. Has fallen to a workable mark if ready to roll for another new yard. Five-time winner including twice over C&D but out of form when last seen; yard debut. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
13th (12) (12/1 -118%) Purring Along |
12/1(-118%) | (12) Purring Along 12/1, 1 win from 3 runs this year. 33/1 and visored for 1st time, career best when winning 11-runner handicap at Cork (7f, soft) 8 days ago, leading under pressure well inside final 1f. Not an obvious type to follow up. First-time visor did the trick when she popped up at 33-1 over 7f at Cork lately. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
14th (9) (40/1 +20%) Eruption |
40/1(+20%) | (9) Eruption 40/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. Last of 12 in handicap (33/1) at Dundalk (8f) 32 days ago, very slowly away. Back down in trip. Poor form in recent starts at Dundalk; 5f Musselburgh winner on good ground last term. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
15th (14) (4.5/1 +0%) Inthepoorhouse |
4.5/1(+0%) | (14) Inthepoorhouse 4.5/1, 12/1, stepped up on reappearance when fourth of 23 in handicap at the Curragh (6f, heavy) 27 days ago. Can give another good account. Gambled-on when disappointing at Dundalk on return; fourth of 23 at the Curragh last month. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
16th (15) (125/1 -150%) Adam's Angel |
125/1(-150%) | (15) Adam's Angel 125/1, Pulled up in juvenile hurdle at Tramore (16f, good to soft, 200/1) 26 days ago. Modest on the Flat, poor on last outing. Blinkered when 2l fourth at Dundalk last October; been hurdling without much joy lately. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
17th (2) (9/1 +0%) Pretty Boy Floyd |
9/1(+0%) | (2) Pretty Boy Floyd 9/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. Turned in his best effort for some time when second of 24 in handicap at the Curragh (6f, soft, 20/1) 12 days ago. One to be interested in now on the back of that effort. Likes it soft and bounced back to form when pipped at the Curragh earlier this month. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
18th (23) (125/1 -150%) Jumra |
125/1(-150%) | (23) Jumra 125/1, Last of 14 in handicap at Sligo (5.7f, soft, 40/1) 13 days ago, leading until home turn. Easy to look elsewhere. Had a bit of fair soft ground form in Britain; not shown much for present yard yet. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
19th (20) (9/1 +78%) Sin E Shekells |
9/1(+78%) | (20) Sin E Shekells 9/1, Remains a maiden after 30 Flat runs. 7/2, best effort of the season when 1¼ lengths third of 13 to Conversant in handicap at Sligo (5.7f, soft) 13 days ago. May feature once again. Third over C&D and backed that up when third to Conversant and Catherine Chroi at Sligo. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
20th (7) (50/1 +0%) El Maga |
50/1(+0%) | (7) El Maga 50/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2021. 80/1, last of 29 in handicap at the Curragh (7f, heavy). Off 6 months and will need to hit the ground running. One fair run last year when beaten 4l over 6f at Cork; been off since October. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
21st (16) (50/1 +0%) Helmet Star |
50/1(+0%) | (16) Helmet Star 50/1, 16/1, below form after 6 months off when 9¼ lengths tenth of 13 to Conversant in handicap at Sligo (5.7f, soft) 13 days ago. May well step up on that effort here. Long-priced winner over 7f at Gowran last summer but little since, including on return. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
22nd (13) (25/1 -79%) Tic Tac Toe |
25/1(-79%) | (13) Tic Tac Toe 25/1, Failed to stay on first outing since leaving Darren Bunyan when thirteenth of 16 in nursery at Galway (7f, heavy, 13/2). Off 6 months. Third in nurseries at the Curragh and over C&D in the autumn; second run for yard. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
23rd (19) (80/1 -60%) Short N Sweet |
80/1(-60%) | (19) Short N Sweet 80/1, 40/1, below form on first outing since leaving James McAuley after 7 months off when eleventh of 12 in handicap at Dundalk (7f) 29 days ago. Modest form including on last month's return at Dundalk and hard to fancy. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
1st: 6.5/1 (3) CONVERSANT 2nd: 8/1 (10) CATHERINE CHROI 3rd: 40/1 (20) SIN E SHEKELLS
INTHEPOORHOUSE shaped well on his handicap debut at Galway last autumn and again ran well on soft ground at the Curragh last time. The selection didn't enjoy the clearest of passages but still made the frame in the 23-runner event won by Midnight Fire last month. Pretty Boy Floyd has dropped down in the ratings and advertised his claims when just denied by Run Forrest Run in a blanket finish at the Curragh earlier this month. Conversant acts well on soft ground and comes here in good form having beaten Catherine Chroi at Sligo recently with Darcy's Rock only weakening in the closing stages to finish fourth. Art Of Unity has dropped considerably in the ratings since winning twice here in 2021 while recent Cork winner Purring Along is another to consider.
An ultra-competitive sprint in which PRETTY BOY FLOYD is selected to snap a losing run stretching back to 2021 and go a place better than at the Curragh 12 days ago. The main danger could be Teddy Boy, who finished fourth in this corresponding event last year and is now operating from a 10 lb lower mark. Catherine Chroi, Conversant and Let's Believe are just a handful of others to consider.
Curragh fourth Inthepoorhouse is likely to contend but \bLET'S BELIEVE\is forgiven a poor run there and had previously shown potential
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (4) (1.62/1 -8%) Sacred |
1.62/1(-8%) | (4) Sacred 1.62/1, Smart mare. Landed 7f Newbury listed event in September before signing off with good second of 8 to Pogo in Challenge Stakes at Newmarket (7f, good), caught further back than ideal. Goes very well fresh so she's the one to beat on her seasonal return. Class act who has an excellent first-time-out record and holds leading claims. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (5) (2.25/1 +25%) Sandrine |
2.25/1(+25%) | (5) Sandrine 2.25/1, Smart filly who bagged 7f Lennox Stakes at Goodwood last July. Rare poor run when ninth of 10 to Kinross in Prix de la Foret at Longchamp (7f, soft, 10/1) final start. Not taken lightly on return with her yard among the winners. Won the Group 2 Lennox Stakes last July; strong claims if at her best on reappearance. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (3) (3.5/1 +22%) Queen Aminatu |
3.5/1(+22%) | (3) Queen Aminatu 3.5/1, Smart filly who completed a hat-trick with 7f Newcastle success in April. Only 9½ lengths seventh of 8 to Honey Girl in Athasi Stakes (5/2) at the Curragh (7f, soft) 12 days ago. This C&D winner can bounce back. Disappointing in recent turf Group 3 but has excellent AW record; could play leading role. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (8) (16/1 +20%) Secret Angel |
16/1(+20%) | (8) Secret Angel 16/1, Useful filly. 40/1, good 3¼ lengths third of 15 to Mammas Girl in Nell Gwyn Stakes at Newmarket (7f, good to soft) 24 days ago. Much respected on her polytrack debut. Creditable third in the Nell Gwyn but needs to take another step forward in this hot race. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (6) (8/1 -7%) White Moonlight |
8/1(-7%) | (6) White Moonlight 8/1, Useful mare. In good form in Meydan this winter until only seventh of 10 to Mostahdaf in Group 3 Neom Turf Cup at King Abdulaziz (10.4f, good to firm) 77 days ago. Significantly back down in trip. Not discounted. Runner-up in 1m Group 2 at Meydan in February and might not be far away. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (7) (66/1 +0%) Candle Of Hope |
66/1(+0%) | (7) Candle Of Hope 66/1, Fairly useful filly. Creditable fourth of 6 to Roman Mist in listed race (18/1) at Goodwood (8f, heavy) 7 days ago. May do better still but this is no easy ask. Beaten in Listed races on both starts this year and others are preferred. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (2) (33/1 +6%) Nizaaka |
33/1(+6%) | (2) Nizaaka 33/1, Useful mare who gained three wins from 8 runs last year. 20 lengths thirteenth of 15 to Coachello in listed race at this course (6f, soft, 40/1) 28 days ago though so needs to leave that behind. Landed 7f handicap hat-trick last summer but she looks up against it here. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (1) (100/1 -150%) Love Interest |
100/1(-150%) | (1) Love Interest 100/1, Useful filly. 12 lengths last of 11 to Times Square in listed race at Longchamp (7f, heavy, 39/1). Off 6 months. Makes polytrack debut. Very hard to make a case for in this company. Twice made the frame in Listed races last year but faces a tough task today. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
1st - 1.5/1 (4) SACRED 2nd - 7.5/1 (6) WHITE MOONLIGHT 3rd - 3/1 (5) SANDRINE
SACRED had a mixed few runs last season but lost little in defeat behind Pogo in a Group 2 at Newmarket on her most recent outing in October. She is fancied to deliver a winning return to action here, and the fact she has an entry for the Lockinge later this month must suggest she is showing all the right signs at home. Sandrine struggled in Group 1 company at Longchamp, also in October, but still rates a big threat returning from a break, while Queen Aminatu is another to note for powerful connections.
SACRED holds the edge on form and goes very well fresh too so she looks the way to go in this Group 3. Andrew Balding has his string in excellent nick so his Lennox heroine Sandrine rates a big threat. Queen Aminatu, a stablemate of the selection, appeals as the pick of the remainder for place purposes ahead of White Moonlight.
Having run very well in Group 1 and Group 2 races last season, SACRED (nap) holds leading form claims and has a fine record when fresh.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (2) (3.2/1 -60%) Cue's Beau |
3.2/1(-60%) | (2) Cue's Beau 3.2/1, Thrice-raced filly. Second of 11 in minor event at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 15/8) 10 days ago, conceding first run. Down in trip and should go very close if she handles conditions on this turf debut. Runner-up on all her 3 AW starts, latest at Wolver; well in the mix on her turf debut. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (1) (7.5/1 -50%) Montelusa |
7.5/1(-50%) | (1) Montelusa 7.5/1, Fair colt. Remains a maiden after 8 Flat runs. 13/2, fourth of 6 in handicap at Catterick (5f, heavy) 31 days ago. Back up in trip and blinkers refitted. Likely to again find one or two too good. Rusty after 9 months off when 4th at Catterick; can take step forward with blinkers on. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (3) (0.5/1 +50%) Oneforsue |
0.5/1(+50%) | (3) Oneforsue 0.5/1, Fair filly. Remains a maiden after 7 Flat runs. 7/2, first run since leaving Eric Alston when good second of 6 in minor event at Newcastle (5f) 43 days ago. Back up in trip and obvious claims. Promising start for new yard when clear 2nd in 5f Newcastle novice; player back at 6f.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (4) (16/1 -78%) Prima Valentina |
16/1(-78%) | (4) Prima Valentina 16/1, Once-raced filly. 15/2, sixth of 12 in minor event at Chelmsford City (7f) on debut 37 days ago. Needs to step up on that if she's to emerge on top here. Fading debut sixth at Chelmsford; this Dandy Man filly can build on that run here. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, it is difficult to confidently predict which horse will win. However, 2/1 (2) CUE'S BEAU seems like a strong contender given her consistency on AW surfaces and recent good form in a minor event at Wolverhampton. Therefore, the predicted finish order is: 1st - 2/1 (2) CUE'S BEAU 2nd - 1/1 (3) ONEFORSUE 3rd - 9/1 (4) PRIMA VALENTINA
ONEFORSUE sets the standard with an official rating of 72, and she appears to have been found an ideal opportunity to shed her maiden tag following back-to-back second-place finishes. That said, Cue's Beau is yet to run a bad race so she's likely to be in the thick of things, while Montelusa is back from handicap company and should not be underestimated either.
ONEFORSUE ended last season with a near-miss in a soft-ground Redcar nursery and also went close on return/debut for new yard over 5f at Newcastle at the end of March. She will benefit from this step back up in trip and is taken to see off Cue's Beau, who has hit the crossbar on each of her 3 starts in maiden/novice company on the AW and will be a big threat if coping with conditions now switched to turf. Montelusa will need to raise her game if she's to trouble the aforementioned duo.
Paul Midgley's new recruit ONEFORSUE made a promising return when a clear Newcastle 2nd and can go one better with this 6f trip a plus
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (18) (11/1 +8%) Rebel Territory |
11/1(+8%) | (18) Rebel Territory 11/1, Underlined his capability when fresh when making a winning reappearance in a 7f Newmarket handicap (soft) last month, with the reopposing Vafortino ½ length back in second. Should remain competitive after just a 2 lb nudge. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (9) (12/1 +0%) Biggles |
12/1(+0%) | (9) Biggles 12/1, Most progressive last year, winning 5 times, including on heavy. Good reappearance second to the reopposing Rainbow Fire at Haydock a fortnight ago. Likely to give his running again. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (2) (11/1 -10%) Vafortino |
11/1(-10%) | (2) Vafortino 11/1, Winner of this race 12 months ago and added to tally at Goodwood (1m) in September. Couple of good placed efforts this spring (second to reopposing Rebel Territory at Newmarket latterly) and this consistent sort is likely to be on the premises in this race again. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (1) (11/1 +8%) Spycatcher |
11/1(+8%) | (1) Spycatcher 11/1, Added to his fine record fresh when producing a convincing performance to land 7-runner conditions event at Thirsk (7f, heavy) 3 weeks ago. Career best will be needed if he's to defy top weight on a rare handicap start. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (15) (14/1 +0%) Safe Voyage |
14/1(+0%) | (15) Safe Voyage 14/1, Veteran now but a good fourth in Balmoral over 1m here on final start last year and all the better for his reappearance when creditable third of 15 in the Thirsk Hunt Cup last weekend. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (16) (6.5/1 +7%) Baradar |
6.5/1(+7%) | (16) Baradar 6.5/1, Back to form with a bang for new yard when winning 7f Doncaster handicap (heavy) last November. Travelled well long way when third of 22 in Lincoln there on 1m reappearance and big player now dropping back to 7f. Also equipped with a first-time tongue tie. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (14) (8/1 +43%) Perotto |
8/1(+43%) | (14) Perotto 8/1, Won the Britannia at the 2021 Royal meeting. Last season was a little disappointing but he's well treated if a switch to the Roger Varian yard sparks a revival. One to note in the betting. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (7) (5/1 +17%) Totally Charming |
5/1(+17%) | (7) Totally Charming 5/1, One of the most progressive handicappers around last season and shaped well enough to think he may have even more to offer in 2023 when seventh of 27 in Irish Lincoln on reappearance, fading late on. Drop back to 7f ideal and he's won on heavy. One of 2 strong contenders for his stable. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (8) (22/1 -38%) River Nymph |
22/1(-38%) | (8) River Nymph 22/1, Won this (on soft) in 2021 and third to Vafortino last year. Added 2 more good C&D efforts to his CV last autumn and another who can't be left out of calculations. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (13) (33/1 -32%) Rhoscolyn |
33/1(-32%) | (13) Rhoscolyn 33/1, This smart handicapper is a while without a win but he posted several good efforts in competitive events in 2022, including third in the Buckingham Palace over C&D. Like stablemate Orbaan, he probably needed the outing when below par behind Rainbow Fire on his recent Haydock reappearance. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (3) (28/1 -12%) Accidental Agent |
28/1(-12%) | (3) Accidental Agent 28/1, Queen Anne winner in his prime and his second to Vafortino in last year's renewal of this shows he's still capable of really smart handicap performances. Should strip fitter for last week's Newmarket reappearance and he's 6 lb lower than 12 months ago. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12th (20) (40/1 +39%) Zip |
40/1(+39%) | (20) Zip 40/1, Won at Doncaster (7f, heavy) at the end of last season and has continued the good work on AW, winning 7f handicaps at Newcastle and Southwell. Another good run when close third of 14 at Southwell latest. Ought to give his running but hard to argue he has much in hand of his mark. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
13th (22) (22/1 +33%) Admiral D |
22/1(+33%) | (22) Admiral D 22/1, Largely ran well in 2022 without getting his head in front. Creditable fifth on Newmarket reappearance but not in the same form back there last weekend (both 6f). Return to 7f may suit and there's still a feeling he could click in a race like this at some point. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
14th (23) (25/1 +0%) Darkness |
25/1(+0%) | (23) Darkness 25/1, Three-time winner in France but has drawn a blank for current stable. This season's 3 runs have been at least respectable without marking him down as a likely contender for a leading handicap such as this. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
15th (21) (20/1 +39%) Ropey Guest |
20/1(+39%) | (21) Ropey Guest 20/1, Consistent type who was runner-up in Buckingham Palace over C&D and Bunbury Cup at Newmarket last summer. Creditable fifth in this race on his 2022 reappearance. Likely to give his running but will probably find at least the odd one too strong. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
16th (17) (22/1 +21%) Tylos |
22/1(+21%) | (17) Tylos 22/1, Career best when ploughing through the mud to win easily at Leicester (7f, heavy) last month but that was a 4-runner race and he has a lot more on his plate off 7 lb higher in this much deeper affair. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
17th (4) (33/1 +50%) Toimy Son |
33/1(+50%) | (4) Toimy Son 33/1, 7f listed winner in France for Yann Barberot last spring but hasn't shown enough in his 2 outings for current yard this spring to suggest he'll play a prominent role here. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
18th (11) (11/1 +21%) Rainbow Fire |
11/1(+21%) | (11) Rainbow Fire 11/1, Very positive start for this yard. Couldn't live with Kingdom Come on AW reappearance but returned to winning ways back on turf when accounting for Biggles and 9 others at Haydock (7f) 2 weeks ago. Raced only on good/good to firm on turf so the unknown is how he'll handle this deeper ground. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
19th (5) (14/1 -56%) Fresh |
14/1(-56%) | (5) Fresh 14/1, Very good Ascot record, bagging 2 valuable prizes over this trip last summer. Ended 2022 on a low note but didn't shape too badly when fifth on last month's AW reappearance and should be spot on now. One to consider. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
20th (10) (50/1 -25%) Orbaan |
50/1(-25%) | (10) Orbaan 50/1, Consistent sort who gained deserved big-handicap success when taking Golden Mile at Glorious Goodwood before following up in C&D classified event. Probably needed his recent reappearance run behind Rainbow Fire at Haydock and should be back closer to form now. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
21st (19) (50/1 +24%) Call Me Ginger |
50/1(+24%) | (19) Call Me Ginger 50/1, Landed 5f course handicap last July and also won the Portland at Doncaster (second past post but awarded race) last September. Raced almost exclusively at 5f/6f and this trip on testing ground might stretch him back from 8 months off. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
22nd (12) (40/1 -21%) Sir Dancealot |
40/1(-21%) | (12) Sir Dancealot 40/1, Smart earlier in his career and still very useful, finishing a creditable second of 5 at Kempton (1m) 33 days ago. Suspicion he might prove vulnerable to younger legs in a race of this nature, though. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
1st: 12/1 (9) BIGGLES 2nd: 11/1 (6) KINGDOM COME 3rd: 6/1 (7) TOTALLY CHARMING
Last year's winner Vafortino is now 6lb higher, but he proved the ability to be competitive from his current mark when finishing a good second to the reopposing Rebel Territory at Newmarket last month. Both must enter calculations, along with Rainbow Fire, who was successful at Haydock two weeks ago. The vote, though, goes to BARADAR. His third-placed effort in the Lincoln can be upgraded, having seemingly been drawn on the wrong side of the track, so he could be a winner in waiting from an unchanged mark. Others to note include River Nymph, Fresh, and Spycatcher.
The George Boughey stable looks to hold a strong hand courtesy of BARADAR and Totally Charming, with the former taken to build on his good reappearance third in the Lincoln now returned to what is probably his optimum trip. River Nymph and Fresh have produced several good efforts in top-end handicaps here and are likely to be in the shake-up, while Kingdom Come will be a big threat to all if translating his smart AW form to turf.
Preference is for REBEL TERRITORY (nap), who could well have more to offer over this distance. Baradar is feared most.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (2) (0.67/1 +19%) Creative Force |
0.67/1(+19%) | (2) Creative Force 0.67/1, Winner of the 2021 Champions Sprint at Ascot and placed 3 times at Group 1 level in 2022. Finished ¾ length behind Commanche Falls when third in Newmarket Group 3 on reappearance but he might strip fitter for the run and receives 4 lb from that rival this time. The one to beat. Could improve for recent reappearance; leading claims on last year's Group/Grade 1 form. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (4) (3.5/1 +42%) Tiber Flow |
3.5/1(+42%) | (4) Tiber Flow 3.5/1, Smart sort who won a 6f Newbury listed race last summer. Creditable 2¼ lengths fourth of 7 to Garrus in Abernant at Newmarket (6f, good to soft) on reappearance but reopposing pair Commanche Falls and Creative Force were ahead of him. Solid fourth in Group 3 Abernant on reappearance but he was behind two of these. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (1) (7.5/1 -125%) Commanche Falls |
7.5/1(-125%) | (1) Commanche Falls 7.5/1, Enjoyed cracking 2022, landing Stewards' Cup at Goodwood for second year running and also second in Ayr Gold Cup. All the sharper for reappearance when narrowly denied in Newmarket Group 3 23 days ago. Creative Force and Tiber Flow behind him on that occasion but he has to give them weight now. Head 2nd in Group 3 Abernant; big ask under 4lb penalty but can produce another bold show. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (3) (5.5/1 +8%) Run To Freedom |
5.5/1(+8%) | (3) Run To Freedom 5.5/1, Smart colt who landed Windsor listed race and Salisbury conditions event (both 6f) last season. Ended his year with an excellent second (Creative Force third) to Kinross in Champions Sprint at Ascot (6f). Unlikely to be far away if ready to roll after 7 months off. 150-1 runner-up in Group 1 British Champions Sprint; entitled to respect on return. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
1st: 0.83/1 (2) CREATIVE FORCE 2nd: 3.33/1 (1) COMMANCHE FALLS 3rd: 6/1 (3) RUN TO FREEDOM
COMMANCHE FALLS gets the vote having only been narrowly denied in the Abernant Stakes. The dual Stewards' Cup hero is fancied to uphold Newmarket form with Creative Force (third) and Tiber Flow (fourth), although he is now 4lb worse off so they could close the gap. However, Run To Freedom ran a blinder for second when sent off at 150/1 for the British Champions Sprint at Ascot, and is feared most on his return to the fray.
Four really smart sprinters in a good conditions race. CREATIVE FORCE meets Commanche Falls on 4 lb better terms than when a place behind him at Newmarket last month and is selected to turn the tables now.
This should be a good opportunity for CREATIVE FORCE to return to winning ways. Commanche Falls could be the chief danger.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (1) (2.12/1 -77%) Chance The Robin |
2.12/1(-77%) | (1) Chance The Robin 2.12/1, Runner-up on sole start in points and build on encouraging Rules debut when landing a 5-runner bumper at this track. Solid showing when second here recently and should take all the beating now hurdling. Won a bumper here in March and he's an interesting contender on his hurdling debut. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (8) (1.5/1 +40%) Swallows Song |
1.5/1(+40%) | (8) Swallows Song 1.5/1, Made a winning start in Sedgefield bumper in November. Fair form so far over hurdles but is already beginning to look exposed. Should be thereabouts. Bumper winner who sets the standard on his best hurdle form at up to 3m; respected. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (4) (4.5/1 +0%) Grand Du Nord |
4.5/1(+0%) | (4) Grand Du Nord 4.5/1, Fair maiden hurdler who bounced back to form when second in a handicap at Wetherby 37 days ago. Cheekpieces on now and should be involved if able to reproduce that sort of performance. 0-10 over hurdles but he went very close in a 3m handicap last time; in the mix. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (6) (12/1 +64%) Now Go Soldier Go |
12/1(+64%) | (6) Now Go Soldier Go 12/1, Just a glimmer of promise so far over hurdles, but stable's runners always warrant some respect on these shores, so interesting to see if there's any strength behind him in the betting. This big step up in trip could help but he needs something of a transformation. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (7) (50/1 -79%) Strike Of Lighting |
50/1(-79%) | (7) Strike Of Lighting 50/1, Poor hurdler who was below form in a handicap at Carlisle last month and faces a stiff task here. 0-12 under rules and he has stacks to find back in a maiden; easy to look elsewhere. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (3) (5/1 +0%) Gege Ville |
5/1(+0%) | (3) Gege Ville 5/1, Landed an Ayr bumper in cosy fashion on debut and, while he has only shown modest form so far over hurdles, there is scope for improvement if his jumping gets better. No progress over hurdles so far but he looks a possible improver upped to this trip. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (9) (250/1 -279%) Third Avenue |
250/1(-279%) | (9) Third Avenue 250/1, Poor on Flat nowadays (respectable effort last time) and showed nothing so far over hurdles. Easily opposed. Modest Flat performer, who has struggled in both his hurdle runs (2m5f/2m1f); no appeal. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (5) (300/1 -355%) Intofocus |
300/1(-355%) | (5) Intofocus 300/1, Telescope gelding. Dam point winner. Failed to complete all 3 starts in points, pulled up latest (Apr 8). Makes little appeal. Has failed to complete in three points this spring and can only be watched on rules debut. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (10) (300/1 -200%) Parelli Power |
300/1(-200%) | (10) Parelli Power 300/1, Tailed off in pair of bumpers and over hurdles. Has finished tailed in all five runs, including three hurdle events (2m-2m4f) this year. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st - 1.2/1 (1) CHANCE THE ROBIN, 2nd - 2.5/1 (8) SWALLOWS SONG, 3rd - 4.5/1 (4) GRAND DU NORD.
Swallows Song is arguably the pick of those with previous hurdling experience based on his third at Kelso two starts ago, although Grand Du Nord and Gege Ville also hold valid form claims. That said, CHANCE THE ROBIN has shown plenty of promise in bumpers and may well be able to get off the mark over timber at the first time of asking.
Bumper winner CHANCE THE ROBIN already has experience over obstacles and, upped markedly in trip for his hurdling debut, he looks the one to beat. Swallows Song looks the main threat ahead of Grand du Nord, who ran with credit at Wetherby in April.
Preference is for course bumper winner CHANCE THE ROBIN, who looks interesting switched to hurdling for a yard that won this last year.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (11) (2.25/1 -38%) Parting Glass |
2.25/1(-38%) | (11) Parting Glass 2.25/1, Promising type who found improvement when second of 12 in maiden at Tipperary (5f, good to soft) on return 23 days ago. Likely more to come and holds strong claims. Tongue strap on first time. Second at Curragh last term; had three of these behind when second on return; tongue-tie. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (1) (2.5/1 +62%) Daisy Jones |
2.5/1(+62%) | (1) Daisy Jones 2.5/1, Posted fair efforts both starts last year and should be straighter for recent Tipperary reappearance. One of likelier contenders. Placed twice last term; can improve from comeback fifth at Tipperary and should go well. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (13) (25/1 -14%) Ferrari Desert |
25/1(-14%) | (13) Ferrari Desert 25/1, Seventh of 8 in minor event (73/10) at La Teste (8f, good to soft). Off 8 months. Significantly down in trip. Likely to improve. Acclamation filly cost plenty at the Arqana breeze-up sales last year; dam 6f winner. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (9) (5.5/1 -10%) Heartrate |
5.5/1(-10%) | (9) Heartrate 5.5/1, Fair gelding who arrives on back of respectable fourth of 12 in maiden at Tipperary (5f, good to soft) last month. Can make presence felt. Placed three times; was tried in blinkers when fourth at Tipperary (Parting Glass second). |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (18) (5.5/1 +39%) Yuzu |
5.5/1(+39%) | (18) Yuzu 5.5/1, Thrice-raced filly. Second of 10 in maiden at Sligo (5.7f, good to soft, 11/1) 13 days ago. Claims if building on that. Much improved when second to now 80-rated filly over extended 5f at Sligo. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (2) (16/1 +27%) Elda |
16/1(+27%) | (2) Elda 16/1, Twice-raced filly. 22/1, fifth of 10 in maiden at Sligo (5.7f, good to soft) 13 days ago. Others preferred. Fifth on return at Sligo where she finished 3l behind runner-up Yuzu over extended 5f. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (5) (100/1 +0%) Wild Eyed Girl |
100/1(+0%) | (5) Wild Eyed Girl 100/1, Remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs. Sixteenth of 24 in handicap (100/1) at the Curragh (6f, soft) 12 days ago. Up against it. Modest type has had plenty of chances and big outsider here. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (4) (250/1 -150%) Second Fiddle |
250/1(-150%) | (4) Second Fiddle 250/1, Lightly-raced filly. Eleventh of 12 in maiden (250/1) at Tipperary (5f, good to soft) 23 days ago, very slowly away. Very modest form and not a viable contender. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (8) (50/1 -127%) Gosford |
50/1(-127%) | (8) Gosford 50/1, Twice-raced gelding. Eighth of 10 in maiden (18/1) at Naas (5.9f, good to soft). Off 8 months. Improvement required. Well held in outings over 6f/7f last term and gelded since. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (14) (66/1 -65%) Nation Of Stars |
66/1(-65%) | (14) Nation Of Stars 66/1, Thrice-raced filly. 25/1, ninth of 11 in maiden at Dundalk (7f). Off 113 days. Down in trip. Work to do. Placed over 6f at Dundalk in early January but well held back there later that month. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (16) (40/1 +20%) Strath Dancer |
40/1(+20%) | (16) Strath Dancer 40/1, Twice-raced filly. Fourth of 16 in maiden at Cork (5f, heavy, 100/1) 35 days ago. Hooded for 1st time. Likely one for handicaps down the line. Beaten over 7l when fourth of 16 at Cork last month; hood goes on. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12th (17) (66/1 -136%) Vikki Wall |
66/1(-136%) | (17) Vikki Wall 66/1, Thrice-raced filly. 18/1, last of 12 in maiden at Bellewstown (7.8f, heavy) 37 days ago. Significantly down in trip. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Close third on debut over 6f at Dundalk in November but not matched that since; tongue-tie. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
13th (15) (9/1 +44%) So Majestic |
9/1(+44%) | (15) So Majestic 9/1, Lightly-raced filly. 22/1, fourth of 19 in handicap at Naas (5f, good) 7 days ago, nearest finish. Each-way claims. Ran well from 10lb out of the handicap when fourth of 19 over C&D last weekend. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
14th (12) (14/1 -211%) Zaragoza |
14/1(-211%) | (12) Zaragoza 14/1, €200,000 yearling, Profitable colt. Half-brother to 3 winners, including 1m winner Irish Territory and 7f winner Moment of Silence, both useful. Interesting newcomer. Stable in good form. Profitable gelding cost E200,000 as a yearling; scratched from Cork 7f contest last month. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
15th (6) (66/1 +34%) Daonethatgotaway |
66/1(+34%) | (6) Daonethatgotaway 66/1, Thrice-raced gelding. Eleventh of 15 in maiden (125/1) at Gowran (7f, good to soft) 10 days ago. Down in trip. Work to do. Not shaping like a maiden winner and will have better prospects in handicaps. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
16th (7) (200/1 -100%) Gianh River |
200/1(-100%) | (7) Gianh River 200/1, Twice-raced gelding. Last of 14 in maiden (200/1) at Dundalk (7f). Off 7 months. Down in trip. First run for yard after leaving Denis W. Cullen. Well beaten in two starts for Denis Cullen in the autumn and gelded since; yard debut. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
17th (3) (28/1 +15%) Giocoso |
28/1(+15%) | (3) Giocoso 28/1, £17,000 yearling, Acclamation filly. Sister to 1m winner Unabridged and 2-y-o 7f winner Good Job Power and half-sister to useful 5f-9f winner Kazan. Dam ran twice in US. Cost 17,000GBP as a yearling and related to some smart winners. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
18th (10) (250/1 -213%) Marino Point |
250/1(-213%) | (10) Marino Point 250/1, Thrice-raced gelding. Last of 14 in maiden at Dundalk (7f, 250/1) 29 days ago, badly hampered. Down in trip. Poor form over longer trips at Dundalk; big outsider. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
1st: 1.63/1 (11) PARTING GLASS, 2nd: 9/1 (18) YUZU, 3rd: 6.5/1 (1) DAISY JONES.
The sprint maiden won by Amazon Lady at Tipperary last month looks a key piece of form with a number from that five-furlong event renewing rivalry. PARTING GLASS raced alone on the far side when finishing second and is taken to confirm places with Heartrate and Daisy Jones who were close up in fourth and fifth respectively. The selection looks sure to benefit from that experience and his yard has been in decent form in recent weeks. Daisy Jones also handled soft ground when narrowly denied in a 22-runner maiden at the Curragh last autumn. Zaragoza cost 200,000 at the Goffs Orby Sale and is a half-brother to three winners while Ferrari Desert is another newcomer to note.
This can go to PARTING GLASS, who ran a cracker on his return at Tipperary last month and remains open to improvement. Daisy Jones and Heartrate rate the principal dangers.
Of those with experience, YUZU showed improved form at Sligo and is just preferred to Parting Glass who has done little wrong
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (4) (2.25/1 +32%) Eternal Hope |
2.25/1(+32%) | (4) Eternal Hope 2.25/1, Promising individual. 6/5, won 7-runner maiden at Chelmsford (1¼m) 77 days ago, well on top finish. Definitely more to come and the choice of William Buick of the yard's pair. Two AW runs in February, winning over Chelmsford 1m2f; it looks like this trip will suit. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (1) (1.2/1 +36%) Be Happy |
1.2/1(+36%) | (1) Be Happy 1.2/1, Won 7-runner maiden at Cork (1m, good to soft) last autumn. Improved when 3¼ lengths third in 10.5f Saint-Cloud Group 3 on reappearance 6 weeks ago and should be more to come now stepping up in trip again. Leading claims. Third in G3 at Saint-Cloud (10.5f, soft); should stay and surely has more to give. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (5) (16/1 -45%) Ferrari Queen |
16/1(-45%) | (5) Ferrari Queen 16/1, Won first 2 starts as a juvenile but had her limitations exposed in pattern company in the second half of the season. Stamina in her pedigree provides hope for this longer trip suiting but she'll need to improve to play a prominent role. Listed 2nd; backward steps in Group 2 and Group 1 as 2yo; best siblings were all stayers. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (7) (40/1 +20%) Ghara |
40/1(+20%) | (7) Ghara 40/1, Hasn't shown anywhere near enough in her 2 starts to suggest she can mix it in this company but perhaps very testing ground was against her at Newbury last time and she can't be completely dismissed given who trains her. Promise when 6th on AW in November; tailed off in maiden at Newbury (1m2f, soft) on return. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (2) (9/1 -100%) Bright Diamond |
9/1(-100%) | (2) Bright Diamond 9/1, Useful at 2, culminating with 5¾ lengths third of 8 to Commissioning in Fillies' Mile at Newmarket (1m, good) in October. Up 4f in trip for reappearance. Thereabouts on form. G1 third over 1m; shapes as she will be suited by further than 1m; brings the best form. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (9) (8.5/1 -6%) Sunset Point |
8.5/1(-6%) | (9) Sunset Point 8.5/1, Ended 2022 with a 1m course novice win in December and advanced her form again with 1¼m Windsor handicap/turf debut success on her reappearance 19 days ago. Likely to stay 1½m. Buick on Eternal Hope this time but it's still highly likely she has more to offer. 2yo win here; evens, asserted in grand style late on in handicap at Windsor (1m2f, soft). |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (3) (66/1 +47%) Climate Friendly |
66/1(+47%) | (3) Climate Friendly 66/1, Modest form in her 2 starts 7 months apart and surely out of her depth here. Modest form; capable of better in due course but this race looks a very tall order. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (8) (10/1 -33%) Perfect Prophet |
10/1(-33%) | (8) Perfect Prophet 10/1, Fairly useful form at 2, winning an AW novice before 4½ lengths third of 8 to Polly Pott in May Hill Stakes at Doncaster (1m) on final start. Bred to be suited by middle distances this year. 1m May Hill 3rd as 2yo; marked improvement over this sort of trip would be no surprise. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (6) (80/1 +36%) Fox Flame |
80/1(+36%) | (6) Fox Flame 80/1, AW handicap winner over this trip last month but beaten under a penalty the following week and has lots to find now stepping up significantly in class. Improved her form in 1m4f handicaps on last two starts but those were off marks in the 60s. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are likely to finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd are: 1st: 3.33/1 (4) ETERNAL HOPE - The summary describes the horse as a
Third in a Group 3 at Saint-Cloud on her return to action last month, Be Happy seems a likely contender having shaped with promise on that occasion, but BRIGHT DIAMOND shades the vote. Karl Burke's charge finished a decent third in the bet365 Fillies' Mile at Newmarket when last seen in October and she must hold every chance of building on that Group 1 effort on her Polytrack debut. The fact she has been entered for the Oaks must also make her of significant interest, while Perfect Prophet steps up in trip following a creditable run over a mile at Doncaster last September and is not to ruled out either.
Aidan O'Brien has already mopped up one Oaks trial this week and looks good for another courtesy of BE HAPPY. The main threat may come from Charlie Appleby pair Eternal Hope, the mount of William Buick, and Sunset Point.
Those with better form may prove vulnerable to major improvement from PERFECT PROPHET who caught the eye in the May Hill.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (7) (1.5/1 +33%) Fortunate Star |
1.5/1(+33%) | (7) Fortunate Star 1.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Very good second of 7 in handicap (11/2) at Catterick (5f, good to soft) 17 days ago, clear of rest. Considered. Clear second in 5f Catterick h'cap 17 days ago; up 4lb but he's still not taken lightly. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (1) (9/1 -13%) Family Ties |
9/1(-13%) | (1) Family Ties 9/1, 40/1, first run since leaving David O'Meara when sixth of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) on reappearance 40 days ago. May strip fitter now. Encouraging return for new yard with Newcastle 6th; 2lb lower now so needs considering. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (2) (4/1 -14%) Lumacho |
4/1(-14%) | (2) Lumacho 4/1, Three 5f wins at 2. Creditable third of 8 in handicap at Southwell (6f) on reappearance 39 days ago. Bold show likely with that outing under her belt. Off 5 months before solid Southwell 3rd; this 3-time 5f scorer is a player off easing mark. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (3) (5.5/1 +21%) All In The Hips |
5.5/1(+21%) | (3) All In The Hips 5.5/1, Two wins from 6 runs this year, the latst win at Windsor (5f, heavy) in April. Needs to shrug off a disappointing run at Wolverhampton since. Won at Windsor in April but last at Wolver ten days ago; she needs to bounce back. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (6) (25/1 -233%) Colors Of Freedom |
25/1(-233%) | (6) Colors Of Freedom 25/1, Four AW wins over the winter but below form on recent Brighton turf debut. Bounce back needed. 4-time 5f/6f AW scorer in winter but beat only one on turf debut at Brighton latest. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (4) (8.5/1 +29%) Agostino |
8.5/1(+29%) | (4) Agostino 8.5/1, Fair form at 2. 17/2, ninth of 11 in nursery at Wolverhampton (5f) when last seen in October. Off 6 months. Gelded/off six months ahead of return but yard is going well so he can't be ruled out. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (5) (6.5/1 -8%) Global Effort |
6.5/1(-8%) | (5) Global Effort 6.5/1, 12/1, first run since leaving Joseph Parr when bit below form third of 7 in novice at Southwell (6f) on reappearance 34 days ago (sole run for Anthony Carson). Betting should guide on debut for another yard. Not disgraced sole run for Anthony Carson when third at Southwell; considered for new yard. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
It is difficult to predict which horse will do well based on this summary as there is no clear standout contender. However, the horses that could potentially finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd are 3.5/1 (2) LUMACHO, 8/1 (1) FAMILY TIES, and 2.25/1 (7) FORTUNATE STAR.
FORTUNATE STAR bumped into an improver when narrowly denied at Catterick, and any further progress could see Declan Carroll's charge go one better. He shades the vote over Lumacho, who reappeared with a solid third at Southwell. It's always dangerous to discount sprinters from the Paul Midgley yard so Family Ties, who showed plenty of ability during her juvenile campaign, can't be taken lightly either.
The vote goes to LUMACHO who made a solid reappearance over 6f at Southwell last month and will be at home back at 5f having won 3 times over the trip last year. Fortunate Star showed improved form when runner-up at Catterick last time and is second choice ahead of All In The Hips.
George Boughey's filly LUMACHO teed herself up well for this when a returning Southwell third and she can record a fourth 5f success.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (3) (10/1 +44%) Natural Force |
10/1(+44%) | (3) Natural Force 10/1, Foaled February 8. 60,000 gns foal, 55,000 gns yearling, Land Force colt. Half-brother to 6f winner Blackbird Power and 7f winner Centrefold. Dam unraced half-sister to very smart 6f-7f winner (stayed 9f) Regal Parade. 55,000gns yearling; by Land Force; check the betting. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (1) (3.5/1 +13%) Valour And Swagger |
3.5/1(+13%) | (1) Valour And Swagger 3.5/1, Blue Point colt who easily landed 3-runner novice event at Windsor (5.1f, heavy) on debut 26 days ago. Shoulders a penalty but seems sure to progress. Comfortably beat his two rivals at Windsor; concedes weight to some interesting newcomers. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (5) (12/1 -9%) Son |
12/1(-9%) | (5) Son 12/1, Foaled January 19. 90,000 gns foal, Too Darn Hot colt. Closely related to smart winner up to 9f Poeta Diletto and half-brother to several winners, including useful 7f/1m winner Wishaah. 90,000gns foal; by Too Darn Hot; stable also runs Western; market helpful. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (4) (0.62/1 +25%) Ocean Runner |
0.62/1(+25%) | (4) Ocean Runner 0.62/1, Foaled March 30. 110,000 gns foal, 625,000 gns 2-y-o, Blue Point colt. Half-brother to 2-y-o 7f winner Ludo's Landing. Dam 2-y-o 6f winner. Highly respected on debut given connections. 625,000gns 2yo; by Blue Point; yard has a good record in this race; strongly respected. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (7) (9/1 +0%) Western |
9/1(+0%) | (7) Western 9/1, Foaled February 15. €100,000 yearling, Magna Grecia colt. Dam unraced, half-sister to very smart 7f-9f winner Haatheq out of useful 2-y-o 6f winner Alshadiyah. One of 2 runners for Richard Hannon. 100,000gns yearling; by Magna Grecia and from useful family; major yard; likely type. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
It is difficult to predict which horse will do well with this information alone. However, based on the information provided, some horses that might perform well in the race are 4/1 (1) VALOUR AND SWAGGER, the Blue Point colt that won on debut and is expected to progress, 0.83/1 (4) OCEAN RUNNER, who has a strong record and is highly respected on debut, and 11/1 (5) SON, who is closely related to a smart winner. Therefore, our prediction for the 1st, 2nd and 3rd place would be 0.83/1 (4) OCEAN RUNNER, 4/1 (1) VALOUR AND SWAGGER, and 11/1 (5) SON, respectively.
Valour And Swagger struck by over six lengths at Windsor on his debut over this trip and that was a very likeable performance, but he now carries a 6lb penalty, which is negated by his rider's 3lb claim. With that in mind, the vote goes to OCEAN RUNNER. The son of Blue Point was a 625,000gns purchase and represents the stable who won this race with subsequent Gimcrack winner Noble Style last year. With plenty of speed in his pedigree, he is likely to go very close. Any market support for Golden Arrow should be noted.
Charlie Appleby landed this contest with a promising type 12 months ago and OCEAN RUNNER could be the latest one off the conveyor belt to strut his stuff. His sales price rose markedly at the Breeze Ups so he looks most interesting of the newcomers before market clues. Golden Arrow represents a yard going well with its 2-y-os and must be respected, while Western is another likely type on paper.
Several of the newcomers are interesting, most notably OCEAN RUNNER. Second choice is Golden Arrow.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (13) (10/1 +50%) Black Poppy |
10/1(+50%) | (13) Black Poppy 10/1, Proved better than ever when resuming winning ways in 13-runner handicap at Cheltenham (16.8f, good) 24 days ago, well on top finish. That performance is backed up by the clock, so he merits respect up 5 lb. 5lb rise elevates him to a career-high mark and that spells danger in this deeper race.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (4) (8.5/1 +15%) Teddy Blue |
8.5/1(+15%) | (4) Teddy Blue 8.5/1, Free-goer who turned the stables on Aucunrisque from the Betfair Hurdle when winning 9-runner handicap hurdle at Plumpton (15.9f, good) 34 days ago, all out. 4 lb rise fair, but he isn't the most straightforward of rides. Did well to win Plumpton's Sussex Champion Hurdle and effectively 1lb lower for this.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (12) (33/1 -65%) Takeit Easy |
33/1(-65%) | (12) Takeit Easy 33/1, Took advantage of a reduced mark in 9-runner handicap at Chepstow (16f, good, 9/2) 15 days ago, driven out after left in front last. Remains on a good mark following a 2 lb rise but this is much more competitive. Left ahead at the final flight when taking a Class 3 at Chepstow; this is tougher.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (17) (33/1 -200%) Lunar Sovereign |
33/1(-200%) | (17) Lunar Sovereign 33/1, Shaped as if retaining all ability on first run since leaving Fergal O'Brien when 4½ lengths sixth of 9 to Takeit Easy in 2m handicap at Chepstow 15 days ago, moving into contention smoothly before a lack of sharpness told. Eased a further 3 lb. Only sixth behind Takeit Easy last time and makes limited appeal on the back of that.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (9) (3.5/1 +22%) Byker |
3.5/1(+22%) | (9) Byker 3.5/1, Fairly useful performer on the Flat who ran a blinder in first-time cheekpieces when second of 21 in Fred Winter Juvenile at Cheltenham (16.4f, soft) in March, running on. Nudged up 4 lb but may have more to offer. Strong claims with a repeat of his narrow defeat in the 4yo handicap at Cheltenham.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (16) (2.75/1 +21%) Brentford Hope |
2.75/1(+21%) | (16) Brentford Hope 2.75/1, Useful Flat performer for Richard Hughes. Changed hands for 90,000 gns and made it 2 from 2 over hurdles for new yard in 2m Huntingdon novice last month, again making all. Capable of better still and looks the type to thrive in big-field handicap. Thrown into the deep end for his handicap debut but off a potentially good mark.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (7) (28/1 +15%) Fruit N Nut |
28/1(+15%) | (7) Fruit N Nut 28/1, Dual soft-ground bumper winner in 2021 and recorded a third win over hurdles in 2m Newbury handicap in March. Needs to cast aside a lesser run at Aintree subsequently, though. Class 3s are more his level and he was tailed off the last time at Aintree.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (11) (28/1 -56%) Get Back Get Back |
28/1(-56%) | (11) Get Back Get Back 28/1, Jumped better than usual when resuming with impressive success in 2m handicap hurdle at Kempton in November and bounced back to a similar level when short-head second of 9 to Teddy Blue at Plumpton (15.9f) 34 days ago. Possibilities with a repeat if keeping mistakes to a minimum. 3lb nudge is no help and he doesn't find winning easy, but makes each-way appeal.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (15) (9/1 +10%) Washington |
9/1(+10%) | (15) Washington 9/1, Dual novice hurdle winner who ran well in first-time cheekpieces after 4 months off when third in big-field handicap at Aintree (16.5f, good to soft) 29 days ago, despite racing closer to the pace than ideal. Enters calculations. Lightly raced 7yo and a good third at Aintree latest on ground that went too soft for him. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (14) (80/1 -142%) Jamacho |
80/1(-142%) | (14) Jamacho 80/1, Has won 3 of his last 4 starts, including 5-runner handicap chase at Uttoxeter (2m) when last seen in October. Faces a stiff task back over hurdles, though. Thoroughly exposed and asking a lot to produce the career best that he'll need here.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (10) (80/1 -220%) Hurricane Ali |
80/1(-220%) | (10) Hurricane Ali 80/1, Genuine type who won 3 times last season and ran another good race when second to Filey Bay at Doncaster on final outing in November. Likely to give his running after a break but vulnerable to better treated rivals. Likeable handicapper but even this ground will be on the soft side for him.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12th (6) (20/1 -43%) Onemorefortheroad |
20/1(-43%) | (6) Onemorefortheroad 20/1, Disappointing on the whole last season but has become well treated as a result and could be a factor if first-time cheekpieces have a positive effect. Finished lame when not far away last time; good mark and now goes in cheekpieces.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
13th (1) (16/1 +0%) Aucunrisque |
16/1(+0%) | (1) Aucunrisque 16/1, Smart sort produced a valiant front-running performance to land the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury in February. Unable to replicate that in the County Hurdle at Cheltenham but wasted no time getting back to form when 3 lengths third of 9 to Teddy Blue at Plumpton 34 days ago. Needs respecting. On a tough mark and, with assured competition for the lead, he's not the obvious answer.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
14th (2) (25/1 +11%) Homme Public |
25/1(+11%) | (2) Homme Public 25/1, Likable sort who resumed winning ways with an improved effort at Huntingdon (15.8f) in January and having not been disgraced at Ascot next time, he quickly returned to his best when second at Bangor (19.5f). Didn't quite see things out at Cheltenham (20.2f) last time and probably remains in form. This mark is challenging even if he does return to his best after Cheltenham last time.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (8) (11/1 +45%) Parisencore |
11/1(+45%) | (8) Parisencore 11/1, C&D winner who ran about as well as could be expected from 3 lb out of the weights when fourth of 10 in Scottish Champion Hurdle (Handicap) at Ayr (2m, good) 3 weeks ago. Has solid each-way claims. Good fourth at Ayr latest when out of the weights but looks vulnerable once more.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (3) (16/1 -60%) Parramount |
16/1(-60%) | (3) Parramount 16/1, Fairly useful in bumpers during 2020/21 and had an excellent first season over hurdles last term, winning 3 times, including 2m Fakenham handicap with any amount to spare in March. Did too much too soon at Aintree last time so is better judged on previous form. Aintree was excusable as he got competitive too far out; drier ground is in his favour.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|RR| (5) (14/1 +0%) Nibiru |
14/1(+0%) | (5) Nibiru 14/1, Returned to form when second in 17-runner handicap hurdle at Leopardstown in February. Ran no sort of race without headgear (back on here) at Aintree since, however. Inconsistent but repeat of his 2nd at Leopardstown in February would see him on the scene.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
1st: 20/1 (13) BLACK POPPY 2nd: 3.5/1 (16) BRENTFORD HOPE 3rd: 10/1 (15) WASHINGTON
BYKER, who showed zest in first-time cheekpieces when touched off in the Boodles at Cheltenham, has taken really well to this discipline and can go one place better off just a 4lb higher mark. Brentford Hope has posted two facile successes since joining Harry Derham and is on a nice rating compared to his Flat figure. Washington appeals for at least a place in the frame on the back of a solid third, also in first-time cheekpieces, at Aintree, while Get Back Get Back is just one more to consider in a typically competitive renewal.
The one who appeals most is smart Flat performer BRENTFORD HOPE, who is going the right way over hurdles for his new yard and has the qualities to raise his game further now pitched into a stronger contest. Byker and Black Poppy head the opposition in another competitive renewal of this long-established event.
The 4yo BYKER (nap) has to be of major interest after the improvement he found to miss out narrowly in a driving finish at Cheltenham.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (3) (1.2/1 +26%) Matts Commission |
1.2/1(+26%) | (3) Matts Commission 1.2/1, Prolific in points and has shown fair form in this sphere. Out of his depth when ninth in the Foxhunters' at Aintree a month ago and boasts leading claims back in calmer waters. Runner-up in the last two renewals; outclassed last time at Aintree.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (8) (2.25/1 -13%) Cullin Hills |
2.25/1(-13%) | (8) Cullin Hills 2.25/1, £2,500 4-y-o, Millenary mare. Dam ran once over hurdles. Multiple point winner, including last 4 starts (latest May 1). One to be interested in on Rules debut. Has won her last four points and looks one of the main players.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (7) (25/1 +50%) Whateveryousay |
25/1(+50%) | (7) Whateveryousay 25/1, £40,000 3-y-o, £2,000 5-y-o, Flemensfirth gelding. Half-brother to fair hurdler Robyndeglory. Dam, maiden jumper in Britain/France. Maiden pointer, third last time (May 1). Only a 6yo and his latest third was his best run yet in a point; still opposable.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (4) (100/1 -52%) So Be It |
100/1(-52%) | (4) So Be It 100/1, Maiden pointer (ran out last time) who has yet to achieve anything under Rules. Up against it. Competitive when running out in his latest point but he's opposable.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (1) (18/1 +0%) Design Plan |
18/1(+0%) | (1) Design Plan 18/1, €3,000 3-y-o, Blueprint gelding. Half-brother to fair hurdler/fairly useful chaser Mizen Raven. Dam unraced. Wears cheekpieces. Dual point winner, third last time (Apr 29). Not dismissed. Has been running well in his recent points but he's only 2-34 in that scene.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (6) (5.5/1 -47%) Vent D'automne |
5.5/1(-47%) | (6) Vent D'automne 5.5/1, Showed a good deal of ability for Willie Mullins earlier in his career and has done well in points for this yard, winning his last two. Makes plenty of appeal on hunter debut. Debut over regulation fences but he's a prolific pointer who has won his last three.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (5) (10/1 -11%) Torngat |
10/1(-11%) | (5) Torngat 10/1, Modest chaser. 9/4, first run since leaving Tristan Davidson when second of 5 in hunter chase at Kelso (23.4f, good) 26 days ago. Third in a point since but needs to up his game. Ran well to finish second in a 2m7f hunter chase at Kelso (good) last month.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (9) (25/1 +24%) Red Opium |
25/1(+24%) | (9) Red Opium 25/1, First run under Rules since leaving Jacqueline Coward when 100/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, pulled up in hunter chase at Cheltenham (26f, good to soft) on debut over fences 8 days ago. Hard to make any sort of case for. Pulled up last week at Cheltenham when 100-1; held by Cullin Hills on a recent point clash. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (2) (80/1 -264%) Matthew Man |
80/1(-264%) | (2) Matthew Man 80/1, Modest form at best under Rules but he's a dual point winner, beating his sole rival easily last time. Not completely dismissed back under Rules. Beaten in a match last time and before then he finished well behind Design Plan.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary provided, it is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well. However, some horses that may have a chance of finishing in the top 3 are: 1. 3.75/1 (6) VENT D'AUTOMNE - has shown ability in points and has won his last three. Makes a hunter debut and has plenty of appeal. 2. 2/1 (8) CULLIN HILLS - has won her last four points and looks like one of the main players. One to be interested in on Rules debut. 3. 1.63/1 (3) MATTS COMMISSION - has finished runner-up in the last two renewals. Out of his depth last time at Aintree but has leading claims back in a calmer waters.
Formerly with Willie Mullins, VENT D'AUTOMNE has been in excellent nick of late in the point-to-point sphere and he is taken to continue that good form on his return to Rules. Similar comments apply to the in-form Cullin Hills, while Matts Commission will need to improve on his effort in the Aintree Foxhunters. Design Plan and Torngat cannot be ruled out either.
MATTS COMMISSION was far from discredited when ninth at Aintree last time and should find this much easier, so he's worth siding with despite the presence of Vent d'Automne and Cullin Hills who have both been in excellent form between the flags.
Progressive pointers CULLIN HILLS and Vent D'automne could be the way to go.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (9) (5/1 -43%) Jon Riggens |
5/1(-43%) | (9) Jon Riggens 5/1, Fared best of those who raced centre when good third of 11 in handicap (5/1) at Naas (5.9f, heavy) 19 days ago. Expected to be bang there eased 1 lb. Twice second near the end of last term, definite chance now following a recent Naas third. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (7) (8/1 -14%) Tawaazon |
8/1(-14%) | (7) Tawaazon 8/1, Course winner. 4 wins from 12 runs this year. Latest win here in April. 9/1, respectable fifth of 14 in handicap at Naas (5.9f, good) 7 days ago. Shortlisted. Winner of four of his last seven races including here on penultimate start, reliable. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (16) (11/1 +21%) Screen Siren |
11/1(+21%) | (16) Screen Siren 11/1, Respectable seventh of 19 in handicap at Naas (5f, good, 11/1) 7 days ago. Needs considering. Both wins have come over 5f at Cork, not beaten far when seventh of 19 at Naas last week. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (2) (6.5/1 +41%) Mickey The Steel |
6.5/1(+41%) | (2) Mickey The Steel 6.5/1, C&D winner. 10/1, good second of 14 in handicap at Naas (5.9f, heavy) 48 days ago. Not taken lightly. Beat Jon Riggens over C&D last October, definite chance on basis of Naas second in March. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (8) (4.5/1 -13%) Heavenly Power |
4.5/1(-13%) | (8) Heavenly Power 4.5/1, Career best when winning 30-runner handicap (13/2) at the Curragh (6f, soft), going clear. Off 7 months but still not discounted. Won 30-runner 6f contest at the Curragh last October, stablemate Jon Riggens is race-fit. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (10) (11/1 +0%) Aljady |
11/1(+0%) | (10) Aljady 11/1, 4/1, below form fifth of 11 in handicap at Naas (5.9f, heavy) 19 days ago. Sixteen runs since last win in 2020. On a long losing run since winning four races in 2020, has hinted at a return to form. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (14) (28/1 +15%) Mercurial |
28/1(+15%) | (14) Mercurial 28/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. Last of 8 in minor event at Killarney (8.2f, good, 12/1). Off 10 months. Significantly down in trip. Others more persuasive. Best form was for Tom Dascombe over 5f, Irish placed form last year was over further. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (11) (6.5/1 +28%) Dun Na Sead |
6.5/1(+28%) | (11) Dun Na Sead 6.5/1, Latest win at Dundalk in February. 11/2, seventh of 15 in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, soft) 13 days ago, going off too hard. Respected. Did not seem suited by the track at Musselburgh on latest, better judged on Cork second. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (4) (12/1 +45%) Loveday |
12/1(+45%) | (4) Loveday 12/1, Good third of 17 in handicap at Naas (5f, heavy, 33/1). Off 6 months. Can make presence felt. Winner/Listed placed over 5f at two, ended four-race 2022 campaign with good Naas third. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (15) (40/1 -100%) Senor Carrots |
40/1(-100%) | (15) Senor Carrots 40/1, 1 win from 3 runs this year. Winner at Dundalk in April. 8/1, seventeenth of 19 in handicap at Naas (5f, good) 7 days ago. Visor on 1st time now. Went up 10lb for a breakthrough win at Dundalk, very disappointing back on turf at Naas. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (5) (8/1 -7%) Curraheen Princess |
8/1(-7%) | (5) Curraheen Princess 8/1, 3-time C&D winner. 3/1, creditable third of 13 in handicap at the Curragh (5f, soft). Off 7 months. Can give a good account. Excellent 6-19 record, seldom runs a bad race, dual C&D winner last May, ground-versatile. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12th (1) (14/1 +0%) Rough Diamond |
14/1(+0%) | (1) Rough Diamond 14/1, Course winner. Latest win at Dundalk in October. 9/1, eighth of 9 in handicap at Dundalk (7f). Off 143 days. Down in trip. Looks competitive on form if shrugging off latest effort. Won over a little further here last October, stable is well represented with three runners. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
13th (6) (66/1 -371%) Only Spoofing |
66/1(-371%) | (6) Only Spoofing 66/1, 3-time C&D winner. Ninth of 11 in handicap (100/1) at Naas (5.9f, heavy) 19 days ago so needs to get back on track. Winner of this race in 2021 and again last year, ground has been good on both occasions. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
14th (13) (20/1 +0%) Hallowed Time |
20/1(+0%) | (13) Hallowed Time 20/1, Ninth of 11 in handicap at Vichy (5f, soft, 56/10). Off 7 months. Cheekpieces back on. Something to find on form. Three-time sprint winner in France, very dependable in 2021, lost form after win last July. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
15th (3) (33/1 +50%) Master Matt |
33/1(+50%) | (3) Master Matt 33/1, C&D winner. First run since leaving Matthew J. Smith when last of 13 in handicap at the Curragh (6f, heavy, 80/1) 27 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Winner of seven races, inconsistent last year, a long way below best on seasonal debut. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
16th (12) (40/1 +39%) Fly To Glory |
40/1(+39%) | (12) Fly To Glory 40/1, 12/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, seventh of 8 in handicap at Hamilton (6f, good). Off 11 months. First run for yard after leaving Archie Watson. Has work to do. 2-6 for Archie Watson, both wins over 6f on AW, soft ground may not be ideal for him. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary provided, it is difficult to predict with certainty which horses will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place. However, some horses that have potential to perform well include 14/1 (16) SCREEN SIREN, 22/1 (4) LOVEDAY, 3.5/1 (9) JON RIGGENS, 14/1 (6) ONLY SPOOFING, 7/1 (7) TAWAAZON, and 7.5/1 (5) CURRAHEEN PRINCESS. It is important to note that horse racing is unpredictable and outcomes can vary.
MICKEY THE STEEL looks dangerous with Wayne Hassett taking 10lb off his back. He ran well when closing in second at Naas in March under another 10lb claimer. He took the honours over C&D in October. Curraheen Princess has a brilliant record in Navan since switching to Nicky Stokes. Her form figures read '1121'. She is making her first start of the season and is more than adept on slow ground. Eddie Lynam's Jon Riggens is coming to himself after two runs this season and is capable of getting involved. His stablemate, Heavenly Power, clearly enjoys cut in the ground and signed off the last campaign by beating a massive field in a sprint handicap at the Curragh. Screen Siren, Rough Diamond and Loveday have chances. Only Spoofing has won the last two renewals of this race, but hasn't been as effective off a higher mark this season.
A few with chances but JON RIGGENS can race off a 1 lb lower mark than when a good Naas third last time when faring best of those that raced in the centre of the track so gets the vote. C&D winner Mickey The Steel is next on the list on the back of his good Naas second, with course scorer Tawaazon appealing as the pick of the rest for place purposes.
Slight preference is for last month's Naas third JON RIGGENS over Mickey The Steel who beat him over C&D last October
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (4) (1/1 -20%) Military Order |
1/1(-20%) | (4) Military Order 1/1, Brother to Derby and King George VI winner Adayar. Beaten at short odds first time out but has made no mistake on both subsequent starts, readily defying a penalty in Newbury novice last time. Looks a realistic Derby hope and should take the beating. Impressive from the front at Newbury (1m2f, soft); the best form and brother to Adayar. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (8) (10/1 +29%) Waipiro |
10/1(+29%) | (8) Waipiro 10/1, Well related and proved a different proposition to debut when making all at Newmarket on reappearance. Pedigree suggests another step up in trip will be in his favour, so worthy of respect. 25-1 novice win at Newmarket (1m2f, good) last month came with striking authority. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (1) (2.5/1 +29%) Circle Of Fire |
2.5/1(+29%) | (1) Circle Of Fire 2.5/1, Highly promising son of Almanzor who built on his debut third when impressively landing 1m Salisbury novice in September. Most encouraging return when runner-up in a listed event at Newmarket and, with even more progress likely, he makes plenty of appeal. Second in last week's Listed Newmarket Stakes (1m2f) and his dam was a 1m4f AW winner. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (3) (22/1 -22%) Laafi |
22/1(-22%) | (3) Laafi 22/1, Left debut form well behind when landing a Nottingham maiden comfortably 6 months ago. Longer trip should suit and could get involved if inexperience doesn't hold him back. Relentless to lead close home in maiden at Nottingham (1m, soft) in October; promising. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (7) (66/1 +0%) Think First |
66/1(+0%) | (7) Think First 66/1, Lightly-raced winner. 25/1, 8 lengths fourth of 5 to Epictetus in listed race at Epsom (10.1f, heavy) 18 days ago. Easy to look elsewhere. 2-2 on Chelmsford Polytrack (1m/1m2f) as 2yo; that's the hope after Listed defeat on turf. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (5) (22/1 -38%) Ndaawi |
22/1(-38%) | (5) Ndaawi 22/1, Useful colt. 12¼ lengths seventh of 9 to Dubai Mile in Criterium de Saint-Cloud at Saint-Cloud (9.9f, heavy, 9/1). Well-bred sort who is the type to do better as a 3yo, so no forlorn hope on return. French Group 1 as 2yo may not have been his true running; well-bred colt (late foal). |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (6) (16/1 +68%) Regal Empire |
16/1(+68%) | (6) Regal Empire 16/1, Won two of his first 3 starts and shaped with plenty of encouragement when runner-up in handicap at Newmarket last time. More progress required now but not surprising that connections are having a go. Two Tapeta wins; good 2nd on turf debut; this race demands something of a different order. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (2) (9/1 -29%) Inquiring Minds |
9/1(-29%) | (2) Inquiring Minds 9/1, Kingman colt who looked a smart prospect when readily going clear in a Newcastle maiden 11 days ago. Marked step up grade in the face of a quick turnaround, but probably talented enough to make his presence felt. Newcastle win was pretty useful form at the first attempt and he could be a big improver. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
1st - 0.83/1 (4) MILITARY ORDER 2nd - 3.5/1 (1) CIRCLE OF FIRE 3rd - 14/1 (8) WAIPIRO
INQUIRING MINDS bolted up on debut at Newcastle by five lengths for John & Thady Gosden and he beat some much more experienced rivals over 1m2f that day. The son of Kingman has plenty of stamina in his pedigree and he is likely to relish the step up in trip. With potentially a significant amount of improvement to come, he ought to go close. The main threat looks to be Military Order, who put in a taking display at Newbury on his return to action and that winning form gives him a big shout, while Circle of Fire is also respected.
MILITARY ORDER is bred to be classy and, having doubled his tally in ready fashion at Newbury recently, he gets the nod ahead of the progressive Circle of Fire, who has actually achieved a bit more in form terms than the selection. Inquiring Minds is an intriguing runner and there's a case to be made for a few others.
Military Order appears to dominate calculations but several others bring striking promise. The pick of those today may be WAIPIRO.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (10) (3.33/1 +17%) Showalong |
3.33/1(+17%) | (10) Showalong 3.33/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. Good second of 10 to Reigning Profit (won again since) in handicap at Pontefract (5f, good to soft, 14/1) on reappearance 19 days ago. Well treated if he can build on that. 2-3 on soft ground; major player if building on pleasing Pontefract reappearance. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (8) (11/1 +45%) Maxzeno |
11/1(+45%) | (8) Maxzeno 11/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Fifth of 8 in handicap (11/1) at Leicester (6f, heavy) 14 days ago. Tongue strap on first time. Much less exposed than most of these. Needs improvement but impossible to discount in a first-time tongue-strap. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (5) (6.5/1 +28%) So Smart |
6.5/1(+28%) | (5) So Smart 6.5/1, One win from 25 Flat runs. Narrowly denied on Yarmouth reappearance but not in the same form when well-held fourth at Windsor (5f, heavy) since. Conditions fine but has to bounce back from an underwhelming run at Windsor. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (9) (16/1 -45%) Han Solo Berger |
16/1(-45%) | (9) Han Solo Berger 16/1, Returned in good form, winning at Southwell and second at Yarmouth (both 5f) last month. Another who can't be discounted in this open sprint. Short-headed at Yarmouth last month; likely to put up another bold show from the front. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (3) (10/1 -18%) Recon Mission |
10/1(-18%) | (3) Recon Mission 10/1, Good runner-up efforts at Epsom (5f, heavy) and Lingfield (6f, AW) last month. Should go well again. Arrives in top form after close seconds at Epsom and Lingfield; in the mix once more. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (7) (2/1 +11%) Fantasy Master |
2/1(+11%) | (7) Fantasy Master 2/1, C&D winner. Creditable second of 11 in handicap at Ascot (5f, good, 6/1) 10 days ago. One to consider from an unchanged mark. All three wins here; goes well on soft and 5f is his optimum trip; looks the one to beat. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (6) (11/1 +8%) Jojo Rabbit |
11/1(+8%) | (6) Jojo Rabbit 11/1, C&D winner. Better than result when seventh of 16 in handicap (40/1) at Beverley (5f, good to soft) 24 days ago, travelling well long way. Unproven on soft ground but too well treated to ignore, 7lb lower than for last win. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (1) (9/1 +0%) Lipsink |
9/1(+0%) | (1) Lipsink 9/1, Creditable second of 8 in handicap at Windsor (5f, heavy) on reappearance 19 days ago. May strip fitter for the run. Much respected. Pleasing start to season when second at Windsor; should be in the thick of things again. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (4) (20/1 -67%) Mulzim |
20/1(-67%) | (4) Mulzim 20/1, Eight wins from 31 Flat runs. Likely needed the run when sixth of 8 in handicap (66/1) at Yarmouth (5f, heavy) on reappearance 28 days ago, never nearer. Starting to look well handicapped. Needs to improve a good deal on below-par reappearance, and yet to show he handles the mud. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, it is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well. However, some horses that may be in the running for the top three positions are 12/1 (6) JOJO RABBIT, 4/1 (10) SHOWALONG, and 2.25/1 (7) FANTASY MASTER. 12/1 (6) JOJO RABBIT is a C&D winner and is well treated, while 4/1 (10) SHOWALONG had a good second place finish in a recent handicap race. 2.25/1 (7) FANTASY MASTER has won all three races at this location and distance and was a creditable second in a recent race at Ascot. However, it is important to note that horse racing is unpredictable and anything can happen on race day.
FANTASY MASTER hit the crossbar in a competitive contest at Ascot 10 days ago and the five-year-old merits the utmost respect off the same mark here. Recon Mission has also been knocking hard on the door of late and is an obvious threat to the selection. Lipsink is entitled to improve for his encouraging seasonal return at Windsor last month, while Han Solo Berger completes the shortlist.
Several possibilities in this sprint. LIPSINK ran well on his Windsor reappearance last month and is narrowly preferred to Recon Mission and Fantasy Master.
Showalong is dangerous but the vote goes to FANTASY MASTER (nap) whose second at Ascot suggests he's ready to strike.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (3) (6.5/1 -63%) Maasai Mara |
6.5/1(-63%) | (3) Maasai Mara 6.5/1, Reacted well to first-time blinkers when scoring at Kempton in March and wasn't disgraced behind an improver at the same course last time. Can go well again provided he proves as effective on this much softer surface. Unraced on softer than good but this year's AW achievements demand some respect. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (4) (1.5/1 +33%) Westerton |
1.5/1(+33%) | (4) Westerton 1.5/1, Best effort as a 2-y-o when runner-up in a Nottingham maiden (8.3f) in October and, (gelded) chased home a potentially smart one on return/handicap debut at Doncaster (10.2f) 15 days ago. Fancied to play a part from 1 lb higher mark with likelihood of more to come. 1m2f handicap at Doncaster on reappearance produced his second 2nd on soft ground. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (5) (40/1 -264%) Mlle Chanel |
40/1(-264%) | (5) Mlle Chanel 40/1, Did well to overcome the run of the race to make a winning debut at Chester (7f) last summer. Similar form when midfield at listed level final start and whilst below her best on return at Newmarket (1m) in April, she's bred to better over this sort of trip. Handicap debut. Lacks solid form credentials; stamina in family to make 1m2f interesting on handicap debut. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (6) (3.5/1 +36%) Dasho Lennie |
3.5/1(+36%) | (6) Dasho Lennie 3.5/1, Form of his debut run at Sandown last summer worked out well and he improved to make a winning return at Lingfield (10f, AW) in March. Similar form under a penalty (went off hard) when runner-up in a Yarmouth novice 4 weeks ago and handicaps more suitable now. Ran well at 1m2f on soft last time; looks a serious contender on this handicap debut. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (2) (18/1 +10%) Chillhi |
18/1(+10%) | (2) Chillhi 18/1, Successful twice from 6 starts at 2 yrs (both on AW) but didn't look quite so effective with give underfoot, well held in listed event at Pontefract (1m) in October. Again never figured back from 6 months off at Musselburgh in April and he goes up in trip now. Perhaps needed the run five weeks ago but he also needs to prove his stamina over new trip. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (1) (3/1 +14%) Shahbaz |
3/1(+14%) | (1) Shahbaz 3/1, Steadily progressive as a juvenile, showing improved form (in first-time cheekpieces) when off the mark in 9-runner Newmarket nursery (9f, soft) in October. Plenty of encouragement to glean from his reappearance third at that venue (10f) 24 days ago and he's one to be interested in. Acts on soft; good third of nine at Newmarket (1m2f, good to soft) on reappearance. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (7) (12/1 -50%) King's Code |
12/1(-50%) | (7) King's Code 12/1, Saxon Warrior half-brother to useful 1¼m-1½m winner Ply and 1½m-2m winner Polish. Definite promise on 2 of his 3 starts in novice company at 2 yrs, doing good late work without being unduly punished when third at Goodwood (9f) final start. Better to come now handicapping as a 3-y-o. Looks sure to be suited by 1m2f+ and brings potential to this handicap/seasonal debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are most likely to finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd are 8/1 (7) KING'S CODE, 5/1 (6) DASHO LENNIE, and 3.5/1 (1) SHAHBAZ. 8/1 (7) KING'S CODE has shown promise in his novice company races and is better suited now to handicapping as a 3-year-old. 5/1 (6) DASHO LENNIE has had impressive performances on soft ground and has shown improvement over time, making him a serious contender. 3.5/1 (1) SHAHBAZ has also shown steady improvement as a juvenile and has had a good third-place finish on his reappearance, indicating that he could perform well in this handicap race.
MAASAI MARA was beaten four lengths into second on his handicap bow last time at Kempton over 1m4f, and that form is already working out well with the fourth coming out and winning since. John and Thady Gosden's gelding returns to turf off the same mark and is fancied to produce a strong account. The main threat looks to be Shahbaz, who ran a creditable third at Newmarket last month and could have a say, as his rating remains unchanged for that display. Dasho Lennie is also considered on his first start in a handicap.
Having been gelded over the winter, WESTERTON matched the pick of his form as a juvenile when runner-up to a potentially smart sort on return/handicap debut at Doncaster 2 weeks ago (nicely clear of remainder). He gets the nod to come out on top from a 1 lb higher mark, with Shahbaz, who also shaped encouragingly on his return feared most. King's Code and Maasai Mara complete the shortlist.
Shahbaz and Westerton have handicap form on soft but handicap debutants KING'S CODE and Dasho Lennie bring potential.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (3) (3/1 -60%) Angel Bleu |
3/1(-60%) | (3) Angel Bleu 3/1, Dual Group 1 winner as a juvenile and despite drawing a blank since, he's shaped better than the bare result both starts this spring, short of room 2f out and not recover in French Group 3 latest. Sound claims eased in class with yard in good form. Below his best so far this season but always commands respect at Listed level.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (6) (3.5/1 +65%) Holguin |
3.5/1(+65%) | (6) Holguin 3.5/1, Havana Grey colt who did well after his winning debut last April (only blip came in the Coventry), ending campaign with smashing second in 2-y-o Trophy at Redcar. Confirmed he retains all his ability with a good second on return at Newmarket (7f) last month and he could do better again. Up against it on these terms but comeback run was positive and likely to give his running.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (2) (1.62/1 +26%) Al Mubhir |
1.62/1(+26%) | (2) Al Mubhir 1.62/1, Progressive profile last year and on the back of a creditable fifth in the Lincoln on return, he duly showed improved form to resume winning ways at Leicester (8.2f, heavy) 2 weeks ago, easily. Building up a solid record with give underfoot and there could well be more to come. New BHA mark elevates him to this level and no doubt more to come from this Frankel colt.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (4) (12/1 -118%) Escobar |
12/1(-118%) | (4) Escobar 12/1, Better than ever last term bagging the Challenge Cup over 7f at Ascot (good to soft) in October. Below his best final start but good chance he'll strip fitter for last month's reappearance third in a Thirsk conditions' event. Grand servant to connections and he's a player. Admirable veteran who is best known for his exploits in big-field handicaps.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (5) (9/1 +25%) Mums Tipple |
9/1(+25%) | (5) Mums Tipple 9/1, Smart gelding who impressed when defying a big weight to land 10-runner Chelmsford handicap (7f) in March. Similar form when close fourth in AW conditions' event at Newcastle on Good Friday and his consistency is hard to knock. Has been in form on the AW; fine on this ground and entitled to be in the mix.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (1) (10/1 +0%) The Wizard Of Eye |
10/1(+0%) | (1) The Wizard Of Eye 10/1, Useful colt who was highly tried on turf last summer and ended the year with success in 4-runner listed event at Kempton (1m) in November. Ran right up to best when third in conditions' event at Newcastle (1m) on Good Friday but plenty on his plate conceding weight all round here. While conceding 3lb all round asks a bit of him, he should run well.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
1st: 2.2/1 (2) AL MUBHIR, 2nd: 5.5/1 (4) ESCOBAR, 3rd: Havana Grey
Things didn't go to plan for AL MUBHIR in the Lincoln at Doncaster, but he got back on track with a bloodless triumph at Leicester, looking better than a handicapper. Now returning to the scene of a 1m success from last October, the William Haggas-trained colt has a lot going for him, with ground conditions to suit, on his first attempt in a Listed race. Angel Bleu couldn't land a blow in a French Group 3 but is feared back in class and trip. The Wizard Of Eye ran well for third on All-Weather Finals Day, but has to concede weight all round now.
On the back of a pleasing return ANGEL BLEU again shaped better than the bare result suggests in France 6 weeks ago and he could be worth siding with. Escobar has been a tremendous servant to connections and is feared along with the steadily-progressive 4-y-o Al Mubhir.
It remains to be seen whether AL MUBHIR needs soft ground but this progressive handicapper looks well up to this level.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (7) (3.33/1 +39%) Moonlight Glory |
3.33/1(+39%) | (7) Moonlight Glory 3.33/1, Twice a winner over hurdles in Ireland and gained a deserved first success for this yard in 2m Newcastle handicap in February. Went close over C&D last month and she should give another good account. Went very close in big field over C&D (soft) last time; respected off 3lb higher. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (5) (3.5/1 +13%) Les's Legacy |
3.5/1(+13%) | (5) Les's Legacy 3.5/1, Two 2m course wins last year and 21f success at Kelso in March shows he's equally as effective over longer trips. Possibly failed to stay over 23f when fourth of 12 back at Kelso since, shaping as if still in form. Player. Triple hurdle winner but looks weighted near best off this mark and others are preferred. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (2) (18/1 -64%) Applaus |
18/1(-64%) | (2) Applaus 18/1, Two wins at Carlisle over the winter and another good run there when second last month. Not on a going day over 2m here last Saturday, though. Five-time hurdle winner but he's not easy to predict and has never won over this far. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (8) (5.5/1 +0%) Serious Ego |
5.5/1(+0%) | (8) Serious Ego 5.5/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2021. Good third of 12 in handicap hurdle (9/2) at Carlisle (17f, soft) 55 days ago. Can make presence felt. 2-33 over hurdles but he's on a dangerous mark and was an eyecatching third last time. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (6) (3.33/1 +61%) Socks Off |
3.33/1(+61%) | (6) Socks Off 3.33/1, Won Sedgefield handicap in January. Respectable efforts over hurdles on next 3 starts but well held on the Flat last month. 1-11 over hurdles and he's still 6lb higher than for his win; has some work to do. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (9) (3.5/1 +50%) Star Vantage |
3.5/1(+50%) | (9) Star Vantage 3.5/1, 18/1, in process of showing improved form when departing at the final flight at Newcastle 4 weeks ago, still a length to the good at the time. Another to consider. Was in the lead when he fell at the last at Newcastle (2m4f) on his return; shortlisted. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Predicted finish: 1. 3.5/1 (4) FABULEUX DU CLOS 2. 5.5/1 (7) MOONLIGHT GLORY 3. 5.5/1 (8) SERIOUS EGO
Narrowly denied over C&D last month, MOONLIGHT GLORY can gain compensation off a 3lb higher mark and notch up a fourth career success. That may be at the main expense of the capable Serious Ego and Fabuleux Du Clos, who got off the mark in fine style at Newcastle in March. A winner of a valuable handicap at Kelso on his penultimate outing, Les's Legacy is another to consider.
Plenty with chances. LES'S LEGACY was possibly just stretched by 23f at Kelso last time and gets the nod back over shorter at a track where he has a good record. Star Vantage, Fabuleux du Clos and Serious Ego head the dangers.
Top of the list is FABULEUX DU CLOS (nap) who showed a good attitude when justifying favouritism on his handicap debut at Newcastle.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (4) (2.5/1 +38%) Peking Opera |
2.5/1(+38%) | (4) Peking Opera 2.5/1, Twice-raced winner. Won 15-runner maiden at Leopardstown (8f, soft, 6/5), responding well. Off 7 months and significantly up in trip here (likely to be in his favour judged on pedigree). Open to improvement. 1m winner on second start at two, Covent Garden has a stronger staying pedigree. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (2) (4.5/1 +40%) Etna Rosso |
4.5/1(+40%) | (2) Etna Rosso 4.5/1, 11/8, won 9-runner maiden at Limerick (11.2f, soft) on debut 21 days ago. Open to improvement but this represents a sizeable step up in class. Trip should be within his range judged on his debut maiden win over 1m3f at Limerick. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (1) (4.5/1 +0%) Covent Garden |
4.5/1(+0%) | (1) Covent Garden 4.5/1, Promising sort. 15¾ lengths eighth of 9 to Dubai Mile in Criterium de Saint-Cloud (13/1) at Saint-Cloud (9.9f, heavy). Off 6 months and blinkers on 1st time. Should improve. Yard also saddles Peking Opera. Brother to several smart performers flopped in a French Group 1 event after Tipperary win. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (5) (6.5/1 -63%) Serious Challenge |
6.5/1(-63%) | (5) Serious Challenge 6.5/1, Useful gelding. Third of 5 in minor event at Cork (10.1f, good to soft, 9/2) 22 days ago. Up in trip and cheekpieces on 1st time. Sets the standard on form and bold show likely. Has confirmed a fair standard of form at 1m2f, longer trip not certain to help his cause. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (3) (7/1 -110%) Nurburgring |
7/1(-110%) | (3) Nurburgring 7/1, Twice-raced winner. Won 3-runner maiden (2/1) at this C&D (heavy) 21 days ago, driven clear. May well do better but will certainly need to now upped in class. Had plenty to spare when winning a C&D maiden, further improvement is on the cards. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (6) (3.33/1 +52%) St Vincents Garden |
3.33/1(+52%) | (6) St Vincents Garden 3.33/1, Once-raced maiden. Third of 10 in maiden at Leopardstown (12f, heavy, 8/1) on debut 6 days ago, never nearer. Should progress and may prove to be the pick of the Joseph O'Brien-trained trio. Looked a promising sort on debut at Leopardstown, faces a stiff task against five winners. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
1st: 4/1 (5) SERIOUS CHALLENGE 2nd: 4/1 (4) PEKING OPERA 3rd: 4.5/1 (1) COVENT GARDEN
A very tricky race. Joseph O'Brien's NURBURGRING has the advantage of being proven over this staying trip. He upset an odds-on favourite over C&D last month when drawing more than four lengths clear. The Leopardstown maiden that Peking Opera won at the end of last season has thrown up plenty of winners. This Galileo colt is an obvious danger from the champion trainer's stable. Nurburgring's stablemate, St Vincents Garden, was an eye-catcher in Leopardstown last weekend. The penny dropped and he finished very well to get up for third without threatening the leaders. The step up in trip should be ideal based on that effort. Covent Garden, in first-time blinkers, Etna Rosso and Serious Challenge add more to the mix.
ST VINCENTS GARDEN is the only one of these not to have won a race but he made a highly promising debut when third at Leopardstown recently and improvement should be forthcoming. He gets the nod ahead of the Aidan O'Brien-trained duo, Peking Opera and Covent Garden (in that order of preference), while Serious Challenge should also be involved, provided his stamina holds out.
It could pay to overlook the fact that COVENT GARDEN finished in rear in a Group 1 event in France on his final start at two
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (8) (10/1 +29%) Knockout Blow |
10/1(+29%) | (8) Knockout Blow 10/1, C&D winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2019. 66/1, better than result after 13 months off when fourth of 10 in handicap at this C&D (AW) 17 days ago, trapped wide throughout. Could well build on that effort. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (2) (3/1 +14%) Bobby On The Beat |
3/1(+14%) | (2) Bobby On The Beat 3/1, 3-time C&D winner, latest in April. Sixth of 7 in handicap (4/1) at this C&D (AW) 9 days ago, carrying head awkwardly straight. Should fare better back down in grade. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (1) (14/1 -75%) The Defiant |
14/1(-75%) | (1) The Defiant 14/1, Course winner. Returned to form when second of 6 in handicap at Brighton (5.3f, good, 7/2) 3 weeks ago, doing too much too soon. Had a breathing operation since and he's not taken lightly. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (3) (3.5/1 -5%) Swiss Pride |
3.5/1(-5%) | (3) Swiss Pride 3.5/1, 6-time C&D winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2022. 12/1, struggled to get involved from the widest draw when eighth of 10 in handicap at this C&D (AW) 17 days ago, merely closing up late. Shortlist material with the booking of Buick catching the eye. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (5) (11/1 -100%) Inaam |
11/1(-100%) | (5) Inaam 11/1, 5-time course winner. 3 wins from 8 runs this year. 11/1, again ran well when third of 13 in handicap at this course (7f, AW) 17 days ago. Has been very reliable this year and should give another good account. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (6) (1.88/1 +62%) Navy Drums |
1.88/1(+62%) | (6) Navy Drums 1.88/1, C&D winner. 2 wins from 5 runs this year, latest here in March. 7/1, below form seventh of 14 in handicap at Leicester (6f, heavy) 2 weeks ago. Better anticipated back on AW and booking of Murphy is certainly a positive. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (4) (28/1 -75%) Bethersden Boy |
28/1(-75%) | (4) Bethersden Boy 28/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. Went backwards from reappearance when last of 6 in handicap at Windsor (5.1f, soft, 16/1) 12 days ago. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (7) (20/1 -82%) Suzi's Connoisseur |
20/1(-82%) | (7) Suzi's Connoisseur 20/1, C&D winner in March. 12/1, ran one of better races when second of 11 in handicap at Yarmouth (6f, heavy) 4 weeks ago. Others more persuasive for win purposes. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
It is difficult to predict the winner based solely on this summary as all the horses have different strengths and weaknesses. However, some horses that could potentially do well are 3.33/1 (3) SWISS PRIDE, 5/1 (6) NAVY DRUMS, and 5.5/1 (5) INAAM based on their recent form and past performances on the course. It is important to note that horse racing is unpredictable and anything can happen on the day of the race.
Inaam has been in consistent form of late, with the latest of his efforts coming over 7f at this track when third, and he can go well off the same mark. However, preference is still for BOBBY ON THE BEAT, who failed to fire in a hotter contest last time and he is likely to appreciate the drop in class. The five-year-old is fancied to reproduce the form of his penultimate run over C&D to strike. Suzi's Connoisseur is another to note.
Plenty in with a squeak but 6-time C&D winner SWISS PRIDE is selected to add another victory to his tally back down in grade with the booking of William Buick catching the eye. The Defiant has had a breathing operation since his runner-up effort at Brighton 3 weeks ago so Daniel Steele's charge may emerge as the main danger, ahead of Navy Drums and the consistent Inaam.
Navy Drums is respected back over C&D but perhaps this is the day that SWISS PRIDE will end a losing run.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (5) (0.8/1 +42%) On The River |
0.8/1(+42%) | (5) On The River 0.8/1, Two wins from 2 runs this year. 5/4, career best when winning 7-runner handicap at Beverley (8.4f, soft) 12 days ago, all out. 3 lb rise fair and likely to make a bold bid to complete the hat-trick. Made it 2-2 for current yard when scoring at Beverley; major player again in hat-trick bid. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (2) (6.5/1 -63%) Dandy Maestro |
6.5/1(-63%) | (2) Dandy Maestro 6.5/1, C&D winner. Fifth of 6 in handicap (11/4) at Yarmouth (8f, good) 11 days ago, slowly away. Claims if he puts his best foot forward. On dangerous mark but he has some questions to answer and others are preferred. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (1) (11/1 -120%) Last Hoorah |
11/1(-120%) | (1) Last Hoorah 11/1, Creditable fourth of 10 in handicap (18/1) at Chelmsford City (8f) 16 days ago. Blinkers back on and he looks vulnerable from a win point of view. Showed signs of a revival at Chelmsford and looks interesting if he can build on that. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (4) (5/1 +50%) Eminent Hipster |
5/1(+50%) | (4) Eminent Hipster 5/1, 28/1, eighth of 13 in handicap at Windsor (8.1f, heavy) 26 days ago. Best to look elsewhere. Sole win was in 2021 and he's been well held in three runs for new yard this spring. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (6) (14/1 +13%) Enzos Angel |
14/1(+13%) | (6) Enzos Angel 14/1, 13/2, sixth of 7 in handicap at this C&D (soft) 21 days ago. Others preferred. Well held in all six runs including a C&D handicap (soft) on his return last month. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (3) (7.5/1 -36%) Strongbowe |
7.5/1(-36%) | (3) Strongbowe 7.5/1, Creditable second of 7 in handicap (13/2) at Pontefract (8f, good to soft) 10 days ago, well drawn. Possibilities off the same mark, albeit he could do with the ground drying out. Returned to form with good second at Pontefract and has claims if he can back that up. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, the horse that is predicted to do well and likely to finish in 1st place is 1.38/1 (5) ON THE RIVER, who has had two wins in two runs this year and has a fair 3 lb rise. The horse that is predicted to finish in 2nd place is 5.5/1 (3) STRONGBOWE, who returned to form with a good second place finish at Pontefract and has possibilities off the same mark. The horse that is predicted to finish in 3rd place is 5/1 (1) LAST HOORAH, who showed signs of a revival at Chelmsford and looks interesting if he can build on that with blinkers back on.
ON THE RIVER has won both of his starts for these connections in recent weeks and a 3lb rise for the latest of those victories at Beverley may not be enough to stop him from making it a hat-trick here. Strongbowe only found one too good at Pontefract last time and could well make the frame once again, while Last Hoorah edges out Dandy Maestro to be best of the rest.
ON THE RIVER didn't appear to have a great deal in hand when following up his Pontefract success at Beverley 12 days ago, but he arguably went for home a bit earlier than ideal and a 3 lb rise may not be enough to prevent him from completing the hat-trick. An on-song Dandy Maestro would be a threat off this mark and Strongbowe shouldn't be far away if backing up his latest effort, for all that faster ground would be ideal.
This can go to the progressive ON THE RIVER, who made it 2-2 for his new yard when beating a clear second on soft ground at Beverley.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (7) (11/1 -10%) Double March |
11/1(-10%) | (7) Double March 11/1, Off the mark at Southwell last October and made a reasonable reappearance when fourth in a handicap there. Should get the longer trip but others have more scope for progress. AW fourth on handicap/seasonal debut (1m) gives hope for 1m2f if she goes on the ground. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (8) (3.33/1 +45%) Dubai Crystal |
3.33/1(+45%) | (8) Dubai Crystal 3.33/1, Bred to be smart and left previous efforts well behind when making all in good style at Redcar in April. Handicapper hasn't been lenient but there's probably more to come. 10-1, won six-runner novice at Redcar (1m2f, soft) last month, comfortably making all. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (4) (4.5/1 +0%) Chips And Rice |
4.5/1(+0%) | (4) Chips And Rice 4.5/1, First run since leaving Chris Wall and 2/1, career best when winning 8-runner handicap at Lingfield (10f, AW) 25 days ago. Likely to do better for this yard and makes plenty of appeal. Touched off last October (1m2f, soft); narrowly justified favouritism on return (1m2f, AW). |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (5) (12/1 +0%) D Day Odette |
12/1(+0%) | (5) D Day Odette 12/1, Scored at Lingfield in January but found good run of form coming to a halt there last time. Needs to bounce back and mark requires improvement. Return to this trip should help. AW form dipped last time; had turf form last year but unraced on softer than good. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (3) (12/1 -118%) Lady Eros |
12/1(-118%) | (3) Lady Eros 12/1, Wolverhampton novice who has hit the frame on both subsequent outings, improving when second in a handicap at Lingfield 175 days ago. More to come up in trip, and deserves respect. Final 2022 start (1m, AW) is her best form; unexposed, including with the trip and ground. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (1) (6.5/1 +46%) Croachill |
6.5/1(+46%) | (1) Croachill 6.5/1, Winner at Doncaster (3-runner race over this trip) almost a year ago and generally held form since. Type to make a better 4yo and well worth monitoring in the betting on return. Creditable third at York; ran poorly at Pontefract (good; unraced on softer) in September. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (2) (11/1 +8%) Wynter Wildes |
11/1(+8%) | (2) Wynter Wildes 11/1, Fairly useful sort who is on a fair mark and should come on for his return when fourth at Chelmsford. A good pace would be ideal and she's not one to dismiss. Consistent in handicaps last year and again ran creditably on reappearance one month ago. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (6) (2.25/1 +18%) Peace Of Mine |
2.25/1(+18%) | (6) Peace Of Mine 2.25/1, Lightly-raced 3yo who doubled her tally in a 6-runner handicap at Nottingham 38 days ago. Could have more to come. Made all at Nottingham (1m2f, soft); up 7lb but progress is possible for lightly raced 3yo. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st: 4.5/1 (4) CHIPS AND RICE 2nd: 6/1 (3) LADY EROS 3rd: 5/1 (8) DUBAI CRYSTAL
A taking winner on her first go at this trip at Nottingham, PEACE OF MINE should be open to plenty more improvement on just her fifth career outing. A 7lb rise for that success looks manageable and she can see off the likes of Lingfield scorer Chips And Rice, as well as Lady Eros, who has the potential to progress for stepping up in trip. Dubai Crystal and Silver Nightfall are others capable of being in the mix.
CHIPS AND RICE finished to good effect as she made a winning debut for James Fanshawe and, with more to come, she's marginally preferred to Peace of Mine, who arrives on the back of a successful handicap debut at Nottingham. Lady Eros also merits consideration.
Top of the list are DUBAI CRYSTAL and Peace Of Mine, whose 1m2f wins last time out were on soft ground and they scored comfortably.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (8) (3.33/1 +33%) Metabolt |
3.33/1(+33%) | (8) Metabolt 3.33/1, Clear-cut winner of 6.9f Carlisle maiden (good to soft) on second start for this yard in September and shaped better than the bare result when fourth of 16 in a Chester handicap later that month. Perhaps unsuited by deep ground on final start of 2022 and this low-mileage 4-y-o is not discounted. Disappointing on final run last season but this unexposed 4yo retains potential. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (9) (4/1 -14%) Intercessor |
4/1(-14%) | (9) Intercessor 4/1, Enjoyed a productive campaign last season, winning 3 times at around 8.5f. All the better for his reappearance spin when finding just one too good off this mark on first attempt over this trip at Brighton (good) 3 weeks ago. Appears to handle pretty much all ground-types and he's high on the list. Runner-up at Brighton three weeks ago and he can again be thereabouts. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (4) (11/1 +8%) Roach Power |
11/1(+8%) | (4) Roach Power 11/1, Landed the odds in a 5f Ripon novice last August before hitting the crossbar back at this trip in a Class 3 Newmarket handicap. Gelded during the winter and failed to fire when returning to action at Doncaster (6f, soft) a fortnight ago but he's capable of a bold show off this reduced mark. Expensive to follow but well handicapped on his best form and could be a contender. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (3) (9/1 -80%) Liangel Hope |
9/1(-80%) | (3) Liangel Hope 9/1, Winner of a claimer on final start for David O'Meara last summer and improved when landing good-ground handicaps over this C&D and at Salisbury (1m) on first 2 starts for present yard. Further progress when scoring on return at Brighton (7f, good) and likely to cope with this 3 lb higher mark. Cosy reappearance win at Brighton 11 days ago and a 3lb rise could prove lenient. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (6) (4.5/1 +40%) Star Zinc |
4.5/1(+40%) | (6) Star Zinc 4.5/1, Remains a maiden following 8 attempts and probably has a quirk or two but, to his credit, he has yet to run a bad race. Wasn't beaten at all far in a big-field Doncaster handicap off 1 lb higher at Doncaster (7f, heavy) when last seen in October and possibilities on return/debut for new yard. 0-8 but consistent and the betting may be informative on stable/seasonal debut. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (1) (7/1 -56%) Baileysgutfeeling |
7/1(-56%) | (1) Baileysgutfeeling 7/1, Winner of a Lingfield handicap (7f, AW) off 2 lb lower last summer. Ended 2020 on a low-key note but back to form on return/first run since being gelded when fourth of 8 at Chelmsford last month. Appears to be pretty versatile ground-wise and not without each-way hope. Back to form at Chelmsford last month; not ruled out but it's possible that AW suits best. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (7) (8.5/1 +53%) Emperor Caradoc |
8.5/1(+53%) | (7) Emperor Caradoc 8.5/1, 6f novice winner at 2yrs and progressed again to double career tally at Carlisle (6.9f, good to soft) last summer. However, he hasn't shown a great deal of spark in 2 starts so far this season and it's easy enough to look elsewhere. Has won third time out in the last two seasons but he's struggled on both runs this year. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (2) (16/1 -14%) Culcor |
16/1(-14%) | (2) Culcor 16/1, Winner at Gowran last year for Ger Lyons last June but little impact in 2 starts after being gelded for Kevin Ryan. Again safely held on return/debut for another new yard at Musselburgh (7.2f, soft) but there were some positives to glean from that and he's now 2 lb lower. Cheekpieces applied. Needs to get back to his best but not discounted on second run for new yard. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|DQ| (5) (11/1 -10%) Liamarty Dreams |
11/1(-10%) | (5) Liamarty Dreams 11/1, Bagged handicaps over this C&D (good to firm) and at Chester (7.6f, good) in 2022. Now 1 lb below last winning mark and form figures here read 3123 but needs to get back on track following a rather inauspicious reappearance display at Musselburgh. May have needed recent reappearance run and is 1lb below his last winning mark. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st: 5/1 (3) LIANGEL HOPE 2nd: 14/1 (4) ROACH POWER 3rd: 3.5/1 (9) INTERCESSOR
Liangel Hope has a decent strike-rate on turf and should make a bold bid to add to his portfolio, despite going up another 3lb after winning at Brighton. However, this step up in class is likely to be more demanding, with entirely different ground conditions forecast. With that in mind, it can pay to side with the unexposed METABOLT, who has winning form with juice underfoot and is compelling from an attractive looking mark. Culcor is another with scope in first-time cheekpieces.
None of these can be safely discounted but, that said, none look more solid than INTERCESSOR, who proved a revelation in the second half of last season and looks set for another productive campaign judged on his Brighton second 3 weeks ago. Star Zinc has yet to taste success but he's pretty consistent and is feared most on debut for new yard with Tom Marquand booked. Metabolt and recent winner Liangel Hope are also firmly in calculations.
The weather forecast looks promising for LIANGEL HOPE, who is unproven on slow ground. He was a cosy winner at Brighton recently.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (3) (2.25/1 +50%) Fringill Dike |
2.25/1(+50%) | (3) Fringill Dike 2.25/1, Won three 2m novice events on the spin here last year and wasn't disgraced in a couple of handicaps subsequently. On back foot after early mistake last time and appeals as type to bounce back quickly with blinkers applied for chase bow. Three-time novice hurdle winner here; interesting on chasing debut with blinkers fitted. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (5) (12/1 +14%) First Revolution |
12/1(+14%) | (5) First Revolution 12/1, Three-time winner at Sedgefield last summer and found himself too far behind when fifth of 8 in handicap chase at Wetherby (15.2f, soft) 37 days ago. Now below last winning mark and could make more impact. Had possible excuses last time and comes into the reckoning on three 2m1f wins in 2022. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (2) (2.25/1 +55%) Well Educated |
2.25/1(+55%) | (2) Well Educated 2.25/1, Won 3 times over hurdles here last season and shaped well from a long way back when fourth of 10 in handicap hurdle (9/1) at this course (16.2f, soft) last week. Interesting chase newcomer. Goes well here; encouraging return over hurdles last week; big player if taking to fences. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (4) (11/1 -340%) Edmond Dantes |
11/1(-340%) | (4) Edmond Dantes 11/1, Latest win came at Market Rasen in February 2022 and he largely held his form subsequently, though appeared to resent the application of cheekpieces on his most recent outing at Newcastle. Not discounted on first start since Boxing Day. One win from 12 attempts; needs to bounce back from a poor run on Boxing Day. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (6) (8.5/1 -21%) Going Mobile |
8.5/1(-21%) | (6) Going Mobile 8.5/1, Two of his trio of wins last season came over C&D, with the most recent one coming at Carlisle in March. Badly failed to repeat that performance last time but can't be fully ruled out from same mark. Dual C&D winner but beaten soon after halfway here last time; not one to rely on. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|U| (1) (3.33/1 -33%) Sao |
3.33/1(-33%) | (1) Sao 3.33/1, Won over C&D in 2020 and was better than the bare result when beaten 5 lengths into second at Wetherby last time, having lost plenty of ground at the start. Sets the standard. Shaped as if returning to form when second at Wetherby; commands major respect. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary provided, it is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well. However, 2.5/1 (1) SAO and 5.5/1 (2) WELL EDUCATED both appear to have strong form at the course and are interesting contenders. Therefore, they are more likely to finish in the top three. As for the third horse, 4.5/1 (3) FRINGILL DIKE has won three novice hurdle races at the course and is an interesting contender on chasing debut with blinkers fitted. Therefore, the predicted order for the top three finishers is: 2.5/1 (1) SAO, 5.5/1 (2) WELL EDUCATED, 4.5/1 (3) FRINGILL DIKE.
SAO's handicap mark has been in decline of late, but Rebecca Menzies' charge proved he still retains ability when finishing a good second at Wetherby last month. He's fancied to go one better, possibly at the main expense of Going Mobile, who would hold every chance if able to bounce back from a disappointing C&D effort. Edmond Dantes might not be far away either.
The strong-travelling SAO was inconvenienced by a ragged start at Wetherby last time and can build on the promise of that effort to go one better here. Well Educated has a fine record over hurdles at this course and arrives on the back of a positive performance last week, so can pose the main threat on his chase bow, with fellow chase newcomer Fringill Dike also respected.
Topweight Sao has form in a much higher grade but the vote goes to course specialist FRINGILL DIKE, blinkered on his chasing debut.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (13) (11/1 -10%) Red Vermillion |
11/1(-10%) | (13) Red Vermillion 11/1, 16/1, 3½ lengths third of 12 to Striking in handicap at Gowran (13.7f, soft) 24 days ago. Not taken lightly. Two wins in 2020, off for a long time until this year, encouraging third at Gowran. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (19) (18/1 +64%) Doyouthinkso |
18/1(+64%) | (19) Doyouthinkso 18/1, Lightly-raced winner on Flat. Fair winner at 2m over hurdles. 7/1, respectable fourth of 13 in handicap hurdle at Tramore (16f, good to soft) 26 days ago. Respectable on last Flat run. Winning hurdler with modest Flat form, fair recent hurdles run in a handicap at Tramore. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (10) (2.75/1 +31%) Bolero |
2.75/1(+31%) | (10) Bolero 2.75/1, Remains a maiden after 18 Flat runs. Good second of 15 in handicap at Gowran (14f, soft, 11/1) 3 days ago, no match for winner. Visor on 1st time. Enters calculations. Should be thereabouts providing this does not come too soon after Gowran run on Wednesday. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (17) (12/1 +45%) Ballybaun Star |
12/1(+45%) | (17) Ballybaun Star 12/1, 40/1, respectable eighth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Listowel (20f, good). Off 7 months. Poor on last Flat outing. Showed useful form over hurdles at around this time last year, ordinary on Flat in 2021. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (5) (20/1 -11%) Indulging |
20/1(-11%) | (5) Indulging 20/1, 33/1, very good fourth of 12 in maiden at Bellewstown (12f, heavy) 37 days ago, ridden over 2f out an keeping on. Further progress not ruled out upped in trip. Worth considering for this modest handicap after fair fourth in a maiden at Bellewstown. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (3) (33/1 -175%) French Company |
33/1(-175%) | (3) French Company 33/1, Latest win at Dundalk in January. 8/1, creditable fourth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (10.7f) 29 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Back up in trip. Should remain competitive. Best at Dundalk and on good ground on turf, recent Dundalk form has been satisfactory. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (11) (16/1 +20%) Franno |
16/1(+20%) | (11) Franno 16/1, Unreliable type. Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. Bit below form eighth of 13 in handicap at Dundalk (16f, 10/1). Off 178 days. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Only two wins were gained consecutively on good ground in 2021, chance is not obvious here. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (15) (40/1 -21%) All Ways And Ever |
40/1(-21%) | (15) All Ways And Ever 40/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Creditable seventh of 17 in handicap at Gowran (9.6f, heavy, 50/1) 25 days ago. Significant step up in trip needs to bring about progress. Started off in handicap company with seventh of 17 at Gowran, improvement required. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (9) (20/1 +60%) Strange Notions |
20/1(+60%) | (9) Strange Notions 20/1, Ninth of 18 in handicap hurdle (40/1) at Punchestown (16.3f, good to soft) 165 days ago. Off 165 days. Tongue strap on for 1st time in this code. Below form on last Flat run. Has been struggling over hurdles since Ballinrobe win 12 months ago, hard to be confident. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (12) (14/1 -100%) Lariat |
14/1(-100%) | (12) Lariat 14/1, Two wins from 51 Flat runs. Fifteen runs since last win in 2022. 10/1, creditable third of 12 in handicap at Sligo (13.1f, soft) 13 days ago. Each-way claims with a repeat. 2-33 on Flat and placed 12 times, possible place chance again after recent Sligo third. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (2) (40/1 -43%) Magnetic North |
40/1(-43%) | (2) Magnetic North 40/1, C&D winner. Pulled up in handicap hurdle at Ballinrobe (21.1f, good to soft, 20/1) 11 days ago. Fair on the Flat, respectable on last Flat run. Pulled-up over hurdles on latest, previously not disgraced when 20-1 chance over C&D. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12th (4) (1.75/1 +13%) Striking |
1.75/1(+13%) | (4) Striking 1.75/1, Promising sort. 1 win from 1 run this year. Career best when winning 12-runner handicap at Gowran (13.7f, soft, 5/4) 24 days ago, having run of race. Expected to be bang there. Won snugly at Gowran and appeals more than most now despite 11lb rise in the ratings. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
13th (20) (40/1 -21%) Starlight Rose |
40/1(-21%) | (20) Starlight Rose 40/1, Bit below form eighth of 17 in handicap at Gowran (9.6f, heavy, 33/1) 25 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Significantly back up in trip. Needs a couple of these to falter. Very poor form at Dundalk during the winter, a little more encouraging at Gowran last time. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
14th (14) (20/1 +0%) Tooso |
20/1(+0%) | (14) Tooso 20/1, 10/1, first run since leaving Peter Cluskey when bit below form ninth of 17 in handicap at Gowran (9.6f, heavy) 25 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. 13-race maiden, little of note in her form, finished behind Contrapposto at Gowran. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
15th (18) (33/1 +34%) Complete Fantasy |
33/1(+34%) | (18) Complete Fantasy 33/1, Twelfth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (10.7f, 22/1) 29 days ago. Up in trip. Has been placed over hurdles, no encouragement from two Dundalk runs in recent months. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
16th (1) (16/1 +0%) Dollar Value |
16/1(+0%) | (1) Dollar Value 16/1, Course winner. 18/1, possibly needed the run on back of 6 months off when fifth of 16 in handicap at Bellewstown (14.3f, heavy) 37 days ago, fading before final 1f. Better showing anticipated. Very versatile horse who has won 11 races, may have needed last month's Bellewstown run. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
17th (7) (25/1 -25%) Contrapposto |
25/1(-25%) | (7) Contrapposto 25/1, Creditable sixth of 17 in handicap at Gowran (9.6f, heavy, 25/1) 25 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. 1-39 Flat record is negative, not a bad run when sixth of 17 at Gowran last month. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
18th (8) (150/1 -200%) Saddle In The Rain |
150/1(-200%) | (8) Saddle In The Rain 150/1, Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. Eighth of 13 in novice hurdle (66/1) at Kilbeggan (15f, good to soft) 23 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Fit from a recent run over hurdles, Flat form not good enough to encourage support. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
19th (16) (80/1 -60%) An Madra Mor |
80/1(-60%) | (16) An Madra Mor 80/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Last of 5 in minor event (250/1) at Dundalk (16f). Off 92 days. Entitled to hold more chance now handicapping but would need to see market support to make him of interest. Has finished last on all three starts all of which have been ambitious, hard to fancy. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
1st: 2/1 (4) STRIKING 2nd: 4/1 (10) BOLERO 3rd: 12/1 (3) FRENCH COMPANY
STRIKING put in a strong-staying performance to win in Gowran Park and could go in again. He attracted plenty of support and was value for more than the victory margin of a length and a half. Red Vermillion was backed at big prices in the same race and finished third. She is well in the hunt for more prize money. Bolero ran creditably in second over a similar trip at Gowran Park on Wednesday. She has now been placed on her last four outings including when runner-up over 1m6f at this track in October. A visor is tried on her. French Company, Lariat and Indulging all have a shot at prize money.
Fit from his most encouraging run yet over hurdles, STRIKING readily surpassed his previous exploits on the Flat when successful at Gowran 24 days ago, having the run of the race to a large extent but nicely on top at the finish. He gets the nod to follow up with further progress anticipated. Bolero, Indulging and Tooso head up the dangers.
Building on a good hurdle run at Fairyhouse \bSTRIKING\b won with plenty in hand at Gowran and may defy an 11lb rise in the ratings
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (5) (3.5/1 +75%) Big Time Maybe |
3.5/1(+75%) | (5) Big Time Maybe 3.5/1, C&D winner. Not seen to best effect when last of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 16/1) 32 days ago, poorly drawn. Started the year in decent form here and he could get back on track. Placed twice over 6f in February but never involved when dropped back to 5f last month. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (4) (2.75/1 +39%) Perfect Symphony |
2.75/1(+39%) | (4) Perfect Symphony 2.75/1, C&D winner on his penultimate outing. 10/1, shaped as if still in good form when second of 6 in handicap also at this C&D 9 days ago, meeting some trouble in the straight. Major player. Shock C&D winner last month and backed up that run with second here nine days ago. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (6) (7.5/1 -25%) Reckon I'm Hot |
7.5/1(-25%) | (6) Reckon I'm Hot 7.5/1, Remains a maiden after 17 Flat runs. Stepped up on reappearance run when sixth of 11 in handicap (6/1) at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 32 days ago. Needs to find more with cheekpieces on 1st time. Back from break with two respectable runs this spring; off another career-low mark here. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (3) (6.5/1 -63%) Battle Point |
6.5/1(-63%) | (3) Battle Point 6.5/1, C&D winner last month. However, not in the same form when fourth of 6 in handicap back here (10/3) 9 days ago. Bounce back called for. Gamely made all over C&D two starts ago but his overall profile is not compelling. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (1) (7/1 -17%) Storm Melody |
7/1(-17%) | (1) Storm Melody 7/1, Three-time C&D winner, with his latest success here in March. Run best excused when 3 lengths seventh of 9 to Perfect Symphony in handicap at this C&D 17 days ago, slowly away. Capable if on a going day. Below best after slow start last month but won off 1lb lower over C&D in March. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (8) (8.5/1 +39%) Oxygen Thief |
8.5/1(+39%) | (8) Oxygen Thief 8.5/1, Failed to confirm previous form when fifth of 9 in handicap at Kempton (6f, 8/1) 59 days ago, going off too hard. Has widest draw to overcome as he tries 5f for the first time. Placed after making the running over 6f two starts ago; drops to 5f for first time today. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (7) (8/1 -100%) Reversion |
8/1(-100%) | (7) Reversion 8/1, Nineteen runs since sole win in 2021. With visor replacing blinkers, back on track when second of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 7/1) 11 days ago. Can be thereabouts once again. Tends to start slowly but stayed on to run a big race in defeat at Wolverhampton recently. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (2) (14/1 +0%) Griggy |
14/1(+0%) | (2) Griggy 14/1, Course winner. Below form when tenth of 13 in handicap (28/1) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 18 days ago. Cheekpieces now back on, though, and he's 3 lb below his last winning mark. On a good mark but ran poorly last time and has done all his winning over 6f. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Predicted 1st Place: 4.5/1 (4) PERFECT SYMPHONY Predicted 2nd Place: 4/1 (7) REVERSION Predicted 3rd Place: 6/1 (1) STORM MELODY
A chance can be taken on PERFECT SYMPHONY, who hasn't finished out of the top two in his most recent efforts over C&D. The son of Dandy Man was kindly dropped 1lb in the weights for his last run when beaten four lengths into second and he is fancied to go one better. One to consider is Reversion, who only went down by a neck at Wolverhampton last time in this grade, and can remain competitive off 2lb higher. Reckon I'm Hot should also go well.
PERFECT SYMPHONY bounced back to form when successful over C&D last month and shaped as if still in good heart when runner-up here 9 days ago, meeting some trouble in the straight, so he is taken to resume winning ways in his current mood. Reversion got back in track in a change of headgear last time and could be the main danger, ahead of Big Time Maybe.
The pick is RECKON I'M HOT, who didn't get a clear run inside the final furlong when sixth last month but still wasn't beaten far.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (1) (2/1 +33%) Spioradalta |
2/1(+33%) | (1) Spioradalta 2/1, Run of good form ended when only sixth of 9 in handicap (13/2) at Musselburgh (8f, soft) 13 days ago. Sort to bounce back. Well below form at Musselburgh last time but has claims if he can bounce back near best. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (2) (5.5/1 -38%) Starnberg |
5.5/1(-38%) | (2) Starnberg 5.5/1, Good second of 3 in nursery at Doncaster (8f, soft) 6 months ago. Blinkers back on and can give a good account on his return. Ended last season with a near miss in small field at Doncaster (1m); respected on return. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (4) (2.5/1 +17%) Amazing |
2.5/1(+17%) | (4) Amazing 2.5/1, Progressive maiden who resumed after 6 months off with third of 7 in minor event at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 10/1) 28 days ago. Has more to offer now going into handicaps. Big shout. Has improved with each of her runs and looks on a fair opening mark; dangerous. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (5) (3.5/1 +59%) Macho Sun |
3.5/1(+59%) | (5) Macho Sun 3.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 4/1, good third of 8 in handicap at Windsor (8.1f, heavy) 26 days ago. In the picture. Placed at Windsor last time but was beaten more than 4l and he needs more progress. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (6) (9/1 -38%) Edmund Ironside |
9/1(-38%) | (6) Edmund Ironside 9/1, Arrives in good nick, third of 7 in handicap at Pontefract (8f, good to soft, 9/1) 19 days ago. Shortlisted in his bid for a breakthrough success. His best efforts have come on soft/heavy; on workable mark but was below form last time. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
1st place: 3/1 (4) AMAZING 2nd place: 4/1 (2) STARNBERG 3rd place: 5.5/1 (3) KHINJANI
KHINJANI joins the handicap ranks on a workable mark and given she has C&D experience under similar conditions to the forecast going, she appeals strongly on her return to action. Starnberg had a busier juvenile campaign and showed improvement when blinkers were applied twice towards the back end of the season. He has been gelded during his winter break and can to go well if ready to roll. Macho Sun is also considered.
Roger Varian's Siyouni filly AMAZING has improved with each of her three runs and is fancied to open her account now she steps into handicap company for the first time. Ed Walker's daughter of Sir Percy Khinjani also brings some potential and is feared most ahead of in-form maiden Edmund Ironside and the returning Starnberg.
A tricky race in which Ed Walker's handicap newcomer KHINJANI gets the vote ahead of Starnberg
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (10) (11/1 +31%) Tom O'roughley |
11/1(+31%) | (10) Tom O'roughley 11/1, Left below-par efforts behind when opening his account from 3 lb out of the weights at Worcester (23f) in September. However, well below that form at same course the following month and not seen since. Eventually off the mark under rules in September; off since a lesser effort in October. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (12) (20/1 +50%) Junior Massini |
20/1(+50%) | (12) Junior Massini 20/1, Little form in varied events over hurdles, pulling up when last seen at Newton Abbot in June. 2 lb out of the handicap, on first attempt over fences, and can only be watched. 0-7 over hurdles when owner-trained; makes stable/chase debut after 346-day absence. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (6) (20/1 -25%) Joey Steel |
20/1(-25%) | (6) Joey Steel 20/1, Dual handicap chase winner but unreliable, rather throwing it away when second at Newton Abbot in September and disappointed twice since. Best watched on return from 5 months off. Versatile regarding trip/ground but not seen since a poor run in early December. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (3) (7.5/1 -88%) Natty Night |
7.5/1(-88%) | (3) Natty Night 7.5/1, Dual Flat/maiden hurdle winner who posted best effort yet over fences when second at Hereford (20.9f) in March. Not in same form at Ffos Las since, though, and tries longer trip now. Improved chasing form when second at Hereford in March but not at same level last month. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (8) (12/1 +0%) Clear On Top |
12/1(+0%) | (8) Clear On Top 12/1, Fair form over fences and got off the mark in a weak race at Leicester (22.7f) in December. Failed to back that up at Huntingdon over Christmas, though, and something to prove on first outing since. Came good in four-runner race in December but that form looks modest. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (5) (16/1 -167%) Cobra Commander |
16/1(-167%) | (5) Cobra Commander 16/1, Showed improved form when winning brace of handicap chases at end of last season. Well below that form next 3 starts but stopped the slide when fourth at Taunton (23f) last month. Claims if building on that. Ran well to a point last month but it's a while since he showed his best. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|U| (4) (5/1 +0%) Furkash |
5/1(+0%) | (4) Furkash 5/1, Made the frame in 3 of his last 4 starts, latest when creditable third of 8 in handicap chase (18/5) at Taunton (23f, good to soft) 30 days ago. Likely to be in the mix again. Recent efforts not as good as form-figures suggest; needs to do a bit better. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|U| (2) (5.5/1 +66%) Dawn Raider |
5.5/1(+66%) | (2) Dawn Raider 5.5/1, Now 2 lb below the mark off which he last hit the target at Leicester in March 2022 and took a step back in the right direction when creditable sixth of 14 in handicap chase at Hexham (20.1f, soft, 22/1) 7 days ago. Warrants respect in first-time blinkers. Latest run was a step in the right direction; might be boosted by new headgear here. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (1) (3.5/1 +42%) Spotty Dog |
3.5/1(+42%) | (1) Spotty Dog 3.5/1, All the sharper for his reappearance when getting off the mark in a Huntingdon handicap (23.6f) in January and went in again over same course in March. Arrives on back of good sixth over C&D and is one for shortlist. Inconsistent this year but has won twice; contender if in the right mood. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (7) (6.5/1 +28%) Adamhill |
6.5/1(+28%) | (7) Adamhill 6.5/1, There were positives to take from his chase debut fifth at Leicester in February but he hasn't been in same form since and makes limited appeal. Tongue strap back on. Yet to be placed under rules but ran well over C&D in first-time visor last month. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (11) (11/1 +45%) Earcomesbob |
11/1(+45%) | (11) Earcomesbob 11/1, Placed 3 times in 3m handicap chases in 2021-22 but yet to recapture that form. Easy enough to look elsewhere. 0-11 over fences; ran quite well two starts ago but has become very unreliable. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, 6/1 (1) SPOTTY DOG seems to be the most consistent and reliable horse, having won twice and shown improvement in recent races. 5/1 (4) FURKASH and 6/1 (5) COBRA COMMANDER also have good recent form and are likely to be in the mix. Therefore, the predicted order of finish could be: 1. 6/1 (1) SPOTTY DOG 2. 5/1 (4) FURKASH 3. 6/1 (5) COBRA COMMANDER
FURKASH is now rated 1lb lower following a distant third over 2m7f at Taunton last month. He kept on late on that occasion, so he may appreciate a stiffer stamina test and the fact Harry Kimber knocks an addition 3lb off the eight-year-old's back only enhances his claims. Eurkash was headed approaching the last over an extended 2m7f at Huntingdon most recently and can go well again, while Natty Night is another to bear in mind.
SPOTTY DOG is only 3 lb above his last winning mark and acquitted himself well over C&D last month. He gets the nod in a tricky-looking opener. Furkash and Dawn Raider are feared most.
The most appealing option is EURKASH, who ran well when third at Huntingdon last month despite tending to hang left.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (8) (2.25/1 +36%) Coco Bear |
2.25/1(+36%) | (8) Coco Bear 2.25/1, Really upped his game this term, winning back-to-back heavy ground handicaps at this trip, most recently at Leicester 14 days ago. 3 lb rise fair and ought to have conditions to suit again. Better than ever when winning at Leicester (soft) two weeks ago; up just 3lb; key player. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (9) (6.5/1 +13%) Sergeant Tibbs |
6.5/1(+13%) | (9) Sergeant Tibbs 6.5/1, Down in the weights and shaped as though retaining his ability starting out for a new yard at Windsor last month. Below that level at Goodwood since, though, and others more appealing. 1-15; well backed when fifth last week; dangerous if everything clicks but carries risks. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (2) (4/1 +38%) Mister Bluebird |
4/1(+38%) | (2) Mister Bluebird 4/1, Won this event 12 months ago (off 8 lb lower) and went on to score over a longer trip at Musselburgh the following month. Ran right up to best when second of 12 in handicap at same course (7.2f, soft) on recent return and is one for the shortlist. Won this race last year and shaped nicely at Musselburgh on reappearance; should go well. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (4) (4/1 +0%) Cooperation |
4/1(+0%) | (4) Cooperation 4/1, Built on eye-catching return when resuming winning ways in 13-runner handicap at Thirsk (6f, heavy) 7 days ago. 4 lb rise fair and should go well again. Delivered late to score at Thirsk last Saturday; conditions will again be ideal. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (3) (6/1 +40%) La Maquina |
6/1(+40%) | (3) La Maquina 6/1, Campaigned over longer trips last year, culminating with respectable fifth of 12 in handicap (12/1) at Kempton (8f) in November. Fairly treated on return for new yard but questions to answer back sprinting. Well handicapped if revived by new yard but unproven in the mud and 6f looks bare minimum. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (7) (18/1 -50%) Strong Power |
18/1(-50%) | (7) Strong Power 18/1, Enjoyed an excellent 2022 when garnering 4 wins but yet to register a victory this term and his only success on turf came back in 2019. Fifth over 5f here ten days ago; could have a say if handling the forecast soft ground. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (10) (25/1 -79%) Libertus |
25/1(-79%) | (10) Libertus 25/1, Won 1 of his 6 starts last term and shaped as if better for the run when ninth on Lingfield return 17 days ago. Unproven in testing conditions, though. Low-mileage 4yo; unproven in the mud but impossible to rule out. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (5) (14/1 -40%) Spirited Guest |
14/1(-40%) | (5) Spirited Guest 14/1, Course winner who built on solid return effort when taking 6-runner handicap at Chelmsford City (7f) 16 days ago. This is tougher but can't be discounted. Ended long losing run at Chelmsford; still well treated on old form; 1-1 on soft ground. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (6) (40/1 -21%) Jack's Point |
40/1(-21%) | (6) Jack's Point 40/1, Won 1 of his 5 starts in 2022 but yet to show much in a couple of outings for new connections this year. Useful in his prime but well held since joining Robert Cowell and unproven on soft/heavy. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are predicted to do well and might finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd positions are: 1. 3.5/1 (8) COCO BEAR - The horse has been performing well this season and has won back-to-back heavy ground handicaps at this trip. The 3lb rise in weight is fair, and he is expected to have conditions to suit again. 2. 6.5/1 (2) MISTER BLUEBIRD - The horse won this event last year and finished second in a recent return at Musselburgh. He is one for the shortlist, and his experience in this race might come in handy. 3. 4/1 (4) COOPERATION - The horse delivered late to score at Thirsk last Saturday and built on an eye-catching return when resuming winning ways in a 13-runner handicap at Thirsk. The 4lb rise in weight is fair, and he should go well again. These predictions are based on the information available in the summary. However, horse racing is an unpredictable sport
COCO BEAR has been in a rich vein form to begin this season and conditions look to be in his favour once more as he aims to land the hat-trick. A career-high mark of 76 will make life tougher, but he is narrowly preferred to last year's winner Mister Bluebird, and Cooperation, who was a comfortable winner at Thirsk last week. Course regular Spirited Guest and Strong Power are also on the shortlist.
Plenty with claims here, including COOPERATION, who bagged a Thirsk handicap on similar ground last week and remains feasibly treated on old form. Coco Bear arrives in the form of his life and is feared most, whilst last year's winner Mister Bluebird must also enter calculations.
The verdict goes to last year's winner MISTER BLUEBIRD who shaped well on his reappearance and can go one better under Billy Loughnane.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (6) (2.5/1 +58%) Flying Fortune |
2.5/1(+58%) | (6) Flying Fortune 2.5/1, Soldier of Fortune filly who confirmed previous promise when landing 9-runner bumper (4/1) at Stratford (16.3f, soft) a couple of months ago, in control when edging left late on. In the picture once more. Won at Stratford in March and sets the form standard in this line-up; respected. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (2) (8/1 +64%) Parade Away |
8/1(+64%) | (2) Parade Away 8/1, Jet Away gelding who finished runner-up on sole start in Irish points and offered something to work on when fourth of 15 in bumper at Hexham (16.2f, soft) on 19 days ago. Tongue tie applied. Open to improvement on second rules start and trainer won this last year; watch the market. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (1) (5/1 +9%) I Love My Baie |
5/1(+9%) | (1) I Love My Baie 5/1, Crillon gelding who was well backed and got his career off to a winning start in decisive fashion in a bumper at Perth (16.2f, good) 11 months ago, leading over 1f out and quickly putting the race to bed. Should have more to offer. 11-8, won on debut at Perth last June; absent since but he's a likeable prospect. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (5) (14/1 -75%) Diamond Dealer |
14/1(-75%) | (5) Diamond Dealer 14/1, Diamond Boy gelding who was successful on sole outing in points but proved virtually unsteerable before running out on the home turn in a Ludlow bumper (15.8f, good to soft) 17 days ago. Hood applied and he could prove more tractable going left-handed. Ran out on bumper debut but now gets a hood; won a point and retains potential. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (4) (1.75/1 +7%) Scandisk Park |
1.75/1(+7%) | (4) Scandisk Park 1.75/1, €200,000 3-y-o, Walk In The Park gelding. Closely related dual Champion Hurdler Hurricane Fly. Dam 7f winner. Placed both starts in points, runner-up latest (Dec 2022), so he makes plenty of appeal on Rules debut. Placed in both points; closely related to Hurricane Fly; joined top yard for rules career. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (7) (14/1 +65%) Pertemps Diamond |
14/1(+65%) | (7) Pertemps Diamond 14/1, Minor promise in a trio of starts so far, beaten 19¼ lengths when sixth at Warwick (16f, good to soft) 3 months ago. Has shown ability among his three starts but has to produce something extra today. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (3) (12/1 +45%) Park Annonciade |
12/1(+45%) | (3) Park Annonciade 12/1, Shaped with plenty of encouragement when a close fifth of 14 in bumper at Wetherby in February but failed by a long chalk to repeat that at Fairyhouse (16.5f, good to soft) 3 weeks later, racing freely. Tongue tie goes on. Debut fifth at Wetherby reads well; disappointing next time but not written off. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
1st - 6/1 (6) FLYING FORTUNE 2nd - 5.5/1 (1) I LOVE MY BAIE 3rd - 1.88/1 (4) SCANDISK PARK
I Love My Baie was a comfortable victor on his debut at Perth just under a year ago and if ready to go on his return, he could have a say. However, preference is still for SCANDISK PARK, who is closely related to Hurricane Fly, so it isn't surprising that he went for a big price at the sales. He can make a winning debut for the Nicky Henderson stable, while Irish raider La Perle Est Belle is one to watch in the market.
Cases can be made for a few but being closely related dual Champion Hurdler Hurricane Fly, SCANDISK PARK can make a winning start under Rules having been placed on both starts in points over the winter. Flying Fortune and I Love My Baie are both last-time-out winners and they can chase home Nicky Henderson's charge in that order, while market support for La Perle Est Belle would put a slightly different slant on things.
This could go to the Nicky Henderson-trained rules newcomer SCANDISK PARK, who was placed in his two points.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (4) (1.25/1 +44%) Stadium Talk |
1.25/1(+44%) | (4) Stadium Talk 1.25/1, €41,000 3-y-o, Soldier of Fortune mare. Half-sister to fair hurdler Ballycamus. Off mark in points at second attempt. Yard's runners always respected here. Won Irish point in February; trainer does well in bumpers and on this course; big player. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (7) (1.62/1 -95%) Looking As You Are |
1.62/1(-95%) | (7) Looking As You Are 1.62/1, Passing Glance filly. 10/1, second of 11 in bumper at Southwell (15.8f, soft) on NH debut 31 days ago, closing all way to line. The one to beat. Close second at Southwell on debut and may well come on for the run; leading contender. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (5) (5.5/1 +73%) Titch Magee |
5.5/1(+73%) | (5) Titch Magee 5.5/1, Shirocco mare. Dam unraced. Pulled up both starts in points. Wears tongue strap. Not too much appeal on paper but yard's runners can't be dismissed here. Represents yard with 24% strike-rate in British bumpers, but pulled up in two Irish points. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (8) (50/1 +24%) Tread Softly Now |
50/1(+24%) | (8) Tread Softly Now 50/1, Champs Elysees filly. Eighth of 11 in bumper (150/1) at Perth (16.2f, soft) on NH debut 15 days ago. Needs more. No threat when 18l eighth of 11 at Perth two weeks ago; improvement possible but necessary. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (2) (9/1 +44%) Houxty Belle |
9/1(+44%) | (2) Houxty Belle 9/1, Black Sam Bellamy mare. Dam (c79/h94), maiden hurdler/pulled up sole start in chases (stayed 3m), half-sister to bumper winner/useful hurdler (2m-2½m winner) As I Am. Yard 3-55 in bumpers over last 5 years. Plausible pedigree and yard has the odd bumper winner; worth a market check. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, the horse with the highest chance of winning is 0.83/1 (7) LOOKING AS YOU ARE, followed by 2.25/1 (4) STADIUM TALK and 16/1 (2) HOUXTY BELLE.
LOOKING AS YOU ARE did well to finish second on debut last month, when Lily Pinchin dropped her whip a long way from home. The daughter of Passing Glance is likely to improve for that initial experience, and she can find the necessary progress to score on her second start. Queen Of Hindsight is the main danger, while point winner Stadium Talk rates best of the rest.
LOOKING AS YOU ARE sets a clear standard in this company and should prove hard to beat. John McConnell's point winner Stadium Talk can perhaps pose the biggest threat on Rules debut, with Queen of Hindsight best of the rest.
The clear pick of those with rules form is Looking As You Are but slight preference is for the Irish point winner STADIUM TALK.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (12) (0.44/1 +40%) Valiant King |
0.44/1(+40%) | (12) Valiant King 0.44/1, Thrice-raced colt. 9/4, second of 12 in handicap at Leopardstown (10f, heavy) 41 days ago, clear of rest. Can improve further and should take all the beating. Handled testing conditions when going close in a handicap at Leopardstown, leading chance. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (2) (18/1 -125%) Cormac T |
18/1(-125%) | (2) Cormac T 18/1, Promising sort. Third of 15 in maiden at Gowran (9.6f, heavy, 22/1) on debut 25 days ago. Open to progress. Made a pleasing debut when third at Gowran, fair chance of reaching the money again. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (8) (5/1 +38%) Squire Danagher |
5/1(+38%) | (8) Squire Danagher 5/1, Promising sort. Fourth of 14 in maiden at Cork (10.2f, soft, 12/1) 8 days ago, best work finish. Likely to improve. Two promising runs, should be in the mix with normal improvement from Gowran outing. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (13) (18/1 +10%) Van Demon |
18/1(+10%) | (13) Van Demon 18/1, €75,000 yearling, Australia gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including 1½m winner Guinevere and 1¼m-1½m winner Alargedram. Interesting newcomer. Colin Keane aboard this half-brother to Wednesday's Gowran handicap winner Esculenta. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (5) (40/1 -60%) Scatchwah |
40/1(-60%) | (5) Scatchwah 40/1, €11,500 yearling, Elzaam gelding. Half-brother to 9f/1¼m winner Observing. Dam unraced out of useful 1¼m winner (stayed 1½m) Myrtlewood. Trainer's horses have been running well lately but this newcomer is best watched. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (7) (200/1 -33%) Spring Evening |
200/1(-33%) | (7) Spring Evening 200/1, Twice-raced gelding. Tenth of 14 in maiden at Cork (10.1f, good to soft, 150/1) 22 days ago. Beat only one rival on his only run as a juvenile, only marginally better on reappearance. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (11) (40/1 -100%) Unification |
40/1(-100%) | (11) Unification 40/1, Promising sort. Fifth of 14 in maiden at Cork (10.1f, good to soft, 25/1) 22 days ago. Yard in good form. Should have more to offer. Has something to build on following a satisfactory fifth on seasonal debut at Cork. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (1) (6.5/1 -86%) City Of Chicago |
6.5/1(-86%) | (1) City Of Chicago 6.5/1, Justify colt. Closely related to smart 2-y-o 6f winner Van Beethoven and half-brother to minor US winner by Tale of The Cat. Of obvious interest on debut. Closely related to 2018 Railway Stakes winner Van Beethoven, soft ground is a concern. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (14) (80/1 +0%) Melrose Duchess |
80/1(+0%) | (14) Melrose Duchess 80/1, 11,000 gns foal, Zoffany filly. Half-sister to 6f winner Forever Dreaming. Dam was a middle-distance winner and a sister to the dam of Group 1 winner Kinross. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (3) (200/1 -203%) Donadea Dreamer |
200/1(-203%) | (3) Donadea Dreamer 200/1, €4,500 2-y-o, Profitable gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to smart 1½m-16.4f winner Caucus out of useful winner up to 1¼m (2-y-o 7f winner) (stayed 1½m) Maid To Perfection. Listed winners close up in the pedigree, from a small stable, likely to need experience. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (4) (150/1 -50%) Lucky Question |
150/1(-50%) | (4) Lucky Question 150/1, Twice-raced gelding. Eleventh of 12 in maiden at the Curragh (10f, heavy, 150/1) 27 days ago, slowly away. Stablemate of newcomer Scatchwah, has shown no sign of ability in two starts so far. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12th (6) (250/1 -150%) Sleepless Knight |
250/1(-150%) | (6) Sleepless Knight 250/1, Once-raced gelding. Fourth of 5 in maiden at Tipperary (12.4f, good to soft, 33/1) on debut 23 days ago. Remote fourth of five finishers on his debut at Tipperary last month, safe to rule out. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
13th (10) (125/1 -150%) The Mighty One |
125/1(-150%) | (10) The Mighty One 125/1, Once-raced gelding. 66/1, ninth of 13 in maiden at Dundalk (8f) on debut 64 days ago. Up in trip. No immediate sign of winning potential when 66-1 first time out at Dundalk in March. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
14th (9) (10/1 +29%) Sullivan Bay |
10/1(+29%) | (9) Sullivan Bay 10/1, 15,000 gns foal, £75,000 yearling, Australia colt. Half-brother to 2-y-o 7f/1m winner Belacqua. Dam, 7f winner, half-sister to useful winner up to 8.6f Hard To Explain and winner up to 1½m Keshiro. One to note. Potentially interesting but lacks the experience of 89-rated stablemate Valiant King. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
1st: 0.73/1 (12) VALIANT KING 2nd: 20/1 (11) UNIFICATION 3rd: 14/1 (9) SULLIVAN BAY
The 89-rated VALIANT KING has shown more than enough to land a maiden for Joseph O'Brien. He's had three outings and showed definite promise in third at Killarney and fourth in the Curragh before just losing out by a short head over this trip at Leopardstown last month. He holds a Group 2 entry for Royal Ascot and also has an Irish Derby entry. Justify colt City Of Chicago is a half-brother to a Group 2 winner and represents powerful connections. He falls into the 'could be anything' category ahead of his debut. Squire Danagher holds big-race entries and could improve on his third start. Cormac T showed up well in third at Gowran Park last month. O'Brien takes the wraps off Australia colt Sullivan Bay who is worth a market check.
VALIANT KING was well backed and found improvement when second in a handicap at Leopardstown and, given he shaped best that day, he's likely to do better still. He's the obvious choice despite the presence of well-bred newcomer City of Chicago. Cormac T and Squire Danagher should both improve from encouraging debuts.
Raised 6lb to 89 after going very close in a handicap at Leopardstown, VALIANT KING reverts to maiden company with strong prospects
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (2) (8/1 -23%) Citizen General |
8/1(-23%) | (2) Citizen General 8/1, Much-improved in handicaps during second half of last year, signing off with back-to-back victories at Newcastle in the autumn. Good second there (12.4f) 11 days ago. Respected in first-time visor. Won twice over 1m4f at Newcastle and good second there 11 days ago; headgear first time. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (7) (3.5/1 +30%) God Of Thunder |
3.5/1(+30%) | (7) God Of Thunder 3.5/1, Consistent sort who posted another fine effort when second of 14 in handicap at Bath (10.2f, soft) 12 days ago. Should give another good account if staying the longer trip. 0-9 but he's been thereabouts in all his handicaps and runner-up in three. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (4) (8.5/1 +39%) Age Of Sail |
8.5/1(+39%) | (4) Age Of Sail 8.5/1, Looked rusty on return from hurdling when seventh of 8 in handicap at this course (12f, AW) 25 days ago, merely closing up late. Entitled to be sharper now but others make more appeal. Maiden; consistent up to 1m4f on Flat; did not shine when tried once in a visor. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (1) (4/1 +20%) Wholeofthemoon |
4/1(+20%) | (1) Wholeofthemoon 4/1, In frame all 7 starts on the Flat and showed aptitude in pair of juvenile hurdles in the winter. Remains on fair mark in this sphere and holds place claims after 158 days off. Consistent maiden; has proved himself on this AW track and can stay beyond 1m4f. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (5) (20/1 -25%) Pistoletto |
20/1(-25%) | (5) Pistoletto 20/1, Course winner. Eighteen runs since last win in 2022. Seventh of 9 in handicap at Brighton (7f, good, 15/2) 11 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Sliding down the weights without any sign of taking advantage. Has basically struggled to make a significant impact from last September onwards. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (8) (25/1 -14%) Crimson King |
25/1(-14%) | (8) Crimson King 25/1, Unreliable type. C&D winner. In first-time cheekpieces, respectable third of 8 in handicap at this course (12f, AW). Off 91 days. Others more persuasive. Five wins, all over 1m4f/1m5f on AW and three at this track; consistent form this winter. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (6) (3.33/1 -33%) Wagga Wagga |
3.33/1(-33%) | (6) Wagga Wagga 3.33/1, 2 wins last year (at Pontefract and Newbury). Excuses last start. Off 8 months/gelded. Should progress. With his trainer having had recent reappearance winners, he needs a second look. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (3) (5.5/1 +39%) Rafiki |
5.5/1(+39%) | (3) Rafiki 5.5/1, Fairly useful at best on the Flat and took reasonably well to hurdling last summer, though ended campaign with pair of disappointing efforts in handicap hurdles. Been given chance by handicapper back on Flat. First run since wind surgery in November; unraced beyond 1m2f on Flat, two AW wins. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (9) (25/1 -150%) Geelong |
25/1(-150%) | (9) Geelong 25/1, Didn't improve quite as much as expected for longer trip when sixth of 11 in handicap at Goodwood (14f, good to soft) 8 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Two lesser shows this spring, which see blinkers replaced by cheekpieces today. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (10) (100/1 -100%) Good Time Ahead |
100/1(-100%) | (10) Good Time Ahead 100/1, Fared no better on return from hurdling when last of 11 in handicap at Goodwood (14f, good to soft) 8 days ago and he looks up against it. Heavy defeats on last two starts (first was over hurdles) suggest he's best watched. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are most likely to do well and finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd are: 1st: 6.5/1 (2) CITIZEN GENERAL - with two wins over 1m4f at Newcastle and a good second there 11 days ago, and with the added advantage of first-time visor, he is the most promising candidate for the top spot. 2nd: 5/1 (1) WHOLEOFTHEMOON - a consistent maiden who has proved himself on this AW track and can stay beyond 1m4f, he holds place claims after 158 days off. 3rd: 10/1 (9) GEELONG - with cheekpieces on for the first time and a consistent form up to 1m4f on the flat, he can give a good account without posing a serious threat to the top two.
Hughie Morrison won this contest last year when it was on turf and has chances again here with WAGGA WAGGA, who has been gelded since his fifth at Newbury in August. He can go well for a stable in decent form, though if a first-time visor brings out the best in Citizen General, he could be a huge danger along with God Of Thunder, who tries this trip for the first time and may find improvement for it.
WAGGA WAGGA was a dual winner last season and is best excused his odds-on defeat in a messy race at Newbury when last seen. He's fancied to resume his improvement, though the consistent trio of Wholeofthemoon, Citizen General and God of Thunder should all be capable of giving him something to think about.
There is a great deal which points to big runs from WHOLEOFTHEMOON and Citizen General, with Wagga Wagga third on the list.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (10) (3/1 +57%) Blue Hawaii |
3/1(+57%) | (10) Blue Hawaii 3/1, Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. Fairly useful winner at 19f in chases. Second of 9 in handicap (10/1) at Southwell (12.1f) 5 days ago. Likely to find one or two too good. Bumper/hurdle/chase winner; close second at Southwell back on Flat five days ago. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (1) (2.5/1 +50%) Tigerten |
2.5/1(+50%) | (1) Tigerten 2.5/1, Improved on recent efforts to win 10-runner handicap at Salisbury (14.2f, good to soft, 9/2) 9 days ago. 6 lb rise isn't the end of the world and he has to enter calculations. Has not been with current yard for long and may well build on last week's Salisbury win. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (3) (8.5/1 -42%) Casa Loupi |
8.5/1(-42%) | (3) Casa Loupi 8.5/1, 17/2, below form sixth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Chepstow (16f, good to firm). Off 19 months but conditions won't be a problem and resumes in this sphere on a fair mark. Market may prove best guide having been absent for 19 months. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (9) (16/1 -33%) Sociologist |
16/1(-33%) | (9) Sociologist 16/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. 10/1, ninth of 14 in handicap at Catterick (12.1f, soft) 17 days ago, ridden too aggressively. Others more persuasive. Recent efforts don't suggest he's crying out for this return to 1m6f. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (6) (16/1 -113%) Fen Tiger |
16/1(-113%) | (6) Fen Tiger 16/1, Seventh of 11 in handicap (11/2) at Wolverhampton (16.6f) 10 days ago. Conditions in his favour and will be a danger to all if he reproduces something akin to his peak 2022 form. Very consistent from last June to October; fighting chance if back to that form. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (2) (40/1 -150%) Made For You |
40/1(-150%) | (2) Made For You 40/1, Thrice-raced maiden on Flat. Fairly useful winner at 20f over hurdles. Last of 4 in handicap hurdle at Fakenham (20f, soft, 9/1) 33 days ago. Worth a second look on handicap debut in this sphere. Well treated if transferring the pick of his hurdles form back to the Flat. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (8) (4/1 +0%) Rick Blaine |
4/1(+0%) | (8) Rick Blaine 4/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2020. 7/2, very good second of 8 in handicap at Windsor (11.4f, heavy) 19 days ago, missing break. Back up in trip and he's a must for the shortlist. Went very close at Windsor last month; possibilities off same mark back up in distance. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (5) (9/1 +25%) She's All In Gold |
9/1(+25%) | (5) She's All In Gold 9/1, Tongue strap on for 1st time in this code/first run since leaving Oliver Greenall when fourth of 9 in handicap (20/1) at Southwell (16.5f) 37 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Cheekpieces back on. Shaped encouragingly at Southwell last month on return from lengthy layoff. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (7) (11/1 -144%) Ship To Shore |
11/1(-144%) | (7) Ship To Shore 11/1, Good second of 9 in handicap at Windsor (11.4f, heavy, 9/1) 19 days ago. Back up in trip and no surprise if he's again involved in the finish. Strong-finishing second over 11.5f at Windsor last time; interesting back up in trip. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (4) (50/1 +24%) Chankaya |
50/1(+24%) | (4) Chankaya 50/1, Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. 18/1, eighth of 14 in novice hurdle at Chepstow (16f, good) 15 days ago, well positioned. Visored for 1st time. Others make greater appeal. 0-6 overall; not seen on Flat since 2021; something to prove in first-time visor. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
1st: 5/1 (1) TIGERTEN 2nd: 4/1 (8) RICK BLAINE 3rd: 4.5/1 (7) SHIP TO SHORE
Several have questions to answer for one reason or another, not least Casa Loupi, who was progressive over hurdles a couple of years ago but hasn't seen action in either code for 582 days. To counter that, his yard is in flying form and he still warrants serious consideration, but the vote goes to recent Salisbury winner TIGERTEN, who has proven match-fitness and little to fear from this test of stamina. Blue Hawaii completes the shortlist after her near-miss at Southwell on Monday.
Several to consider in this competitive handicap. The pick of them could be RICK BLAINE, who has got back on track since undergoing a wind op and he was beaten a whisker when dead-heating for second off this mark at Windsor last month. Stepping back up in trip here will be in his favour. Casa Loupi's wellbeing has to be taken on trust following a lengthy absence but he's interesting all the same and is feared most ahead of Fen Tiger and Tigerten.
Southwell runner-up BLUE HAWAII is taken to go one better turned out quickly. Ship To Shore is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (2) (3.5/1 -75%) Glorious Fun |
3.5/1(-75%) | (2) Glorious Fun 3.5/1, Half-brother to 4 winners who offered plenty to work on when second of 9 in novice hurdle at this course (19f, good to soft) on NH debut 16 days ago, finishing with running left. Sets the standard. Well-bred 6yo who shaped with considerable promise when second here on recent debut. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (5) (0.62/1 +67%) Supremely West |
0.62/1(+67%) | (5) Supremely West 0.62/1, Unplaced in points but made a winning Rules debut at Tramore in December. Switched to new yard thereafter and won bumpers at Huntingdon and Exeter in recent months. Looks a good prospect for hurdling. 3-3 in bumpers after two convincing wins for new stable this spring; big player. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (4) (50/1 -213%) Rascal |
50/1(-213%) | (4) Rascal 50/1, Too free when finishing sixth of 9 in bumper at Stratford (16.3f, soft) on NH debut 61 days ago. Likely best watched on hurdles bow. Struggled in Stratford bumper on debut in March and can only be watched here. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (8) (7/1 +50%) Ilary de L'Ecu |
7/1(+50%) | (8) Ilary de L'Ecu 7/1, Fair form in pair of French bumpers in 2021. Not matched that for current yard but posted creditable third of 10 in novice hurdle (11/4) at Stratford (16.3f, soft) last month and holds each-way claims. Ran well from the front when placed at Stratford last month but this race is stronger. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (3) (28/1 -211%) Present De Vango |
28/1(-211%) | (3) Present De Vango 28/1, Shaped like a stayer when fifth of 8 in bumper at Market Rasen (16.6f, soft) on NH debut 45 days ago. Switches to hurdles now and is likely a longer-term prospect. Displayed promise in a point and a bumper but needs to improve here. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (6) (33/1 -106%) Dexperado |
33/1(-106%) | (6) Dexperado 33/1, Never really involved when sixth of 9 in bumper at Carlisle (17f, good to soft) on NH debut 96 days ago. Improvement needed on hurdles bow. Made fairly encouraging bumper debut but others have much stronger claims. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|F| (9) (8.5/1 -70%) Pop Mistress |
8.5/1(-70%) | (9) Pop Mistress 8.5/1, Sixties Icon mare who looked a useful prospect when winning both her bumper starts in 2021. Not seen since but must be respected on return/hurdling debut, particularly if the market vibes are good. Won two bumpers in spring 2021 but this hurdle debut comes after a long absence. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|U| (7) (28/1 -12%) Harthill |
28/1(-12%) | (7) Harthill 28/1, Well held in bumpers and been a similar story in both outings over timber thus far. Looks one for handicaps down the line. Kept on for modest fourth at Stratford last month; probably one for handicaps. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, it seems that 2/1 (2) GLORIOUS FUN and 1.88/1 (5) SUPREMELY WEST have the strongest claims. Therefore, they are most likely to finish in the top three. As for the third spot, 14/1 (8) ILARY DE L'ECU has each-way claims and may be a good contender. Therefore, the predicted order of finish is as follows: 1. 2/1 (2) GLORIOUS FUN 2. 1.88/1 (5) SUPREMELY WEST 3. 14/1 (8) ILARY DE L'ECU
GLORIOUS FUN made a promising start to his racing career when filling the runner-up spot over 2m3f at this track last month. He cannot be taken lightly for powerful connections and is fancied to get off the mark at the second time of asking. Supremely West is unbeaten under Rules and must enter calculations on his hurdling bow, along with Pop Mistress, even though she hasn't been seen since June 2021.
There should be plenty more to come from GLORIOUS FUN, who made a very encouraging start in this sphere at this course last month. He is preferred to hurdling debutants Supremely West and Pop Mistress, both of whom boast unbeaten records in bumpers.
The pick is SUPREMELY WEST, who looked a good prospect when ending last season with two bumper wins for his new stable.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (6) (7.5/1 -88%) Fairbanks |
7.5/1(-88%) | (6) Fairbanks 7.5/1, Thrice-raced maiden who returned with fair fifth of 7 in minor event (10/3) at Windsor (10f, heavy) 26 days ago. Will need more to figure on switch to handicaps here but step up in trip looks a good move. Wears first-time visor. 1st-time visor and/or the step up in trip could help unlock the potential in his pedigree. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (2) (3.6/1 -3%) Lordship |
3.6/1(-3%) | (2) Lordship 3.6/1, Found improvement (gelded since last season) when second of 7 in minor event at Lingfield (10f, AW) 25 days ago. In good hands and likely has more to give on handicap debut. In top hands and has potential off his opening mark; he's one to consider. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (9) (5.5/1 +45%) Corsican Caper |
5.5/1(+45%) | (9) Corsican Caper 5.5/1, Seven-race maiden who found a little improvement when third of 8 in handicap at Southwell (11.1f) 60 days ago. Just 1 lb higher now and is not out of things. Gelded since last seen. 0-7 but close third in first-time cheekpieces at Southwell last time; gelded since. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (1) (4/1 +27%) Fantizzy |
4/1(+27%) | (1) Fantizzy 4/1, Resumed with a good second in handicap at Nottingham (10.2f, heavy) last month. Out of her depth at Newmarket since but sights lowered now and must be taken seriously. Reappeared with good handicap second and faced very tough Listed task last Sunday. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (5) (10/1 +29%) Dancing Gypsy |
10/1(+29%) | (5) Dancing Gypsy 10/1, Still looking for first success but shaped well (on return from 3 months off) when third of 7 in handicap at Doncaster (11.9f, soft, 11/2) 14 days ago, not knocked about. Claims if building on that. 0-7 but fair effort a fortnight ago when back from a break and could build on that run. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (3) (6.5/1 +46%) Edge Of Darkness |
6.5/1(+46%) | (3) Edge Of Darkness 6.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden who posted fair third of 5 in nursery (13/2) at Wolverhampton (9.5f) in November. Step up in trip may suit and warrants respect. Gelded since last seen. 0-5 in 2yo season but consistent and could have more to offer now gelded and up in trip. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (4) (16/1 -14%) Ironopolis |
16/1(-14%) | (4) Ironopolis 16/1, Found some improvement when narrowly opening account in 6-runner handicap at Southwell (12.1f) 25 days ago. 4 lb rise fair but this look more competitive. Off the mark when upped to 1m4f at Southwell and could continue to progress. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (8) (16/1 +11%) Masterpainter |
16/1(+11%) | (8) Masterpainter 16/1, Won on handicap debut at Thirsk (8f) last September and posted solid return when fourth of 9 at Beverley (9.9f, good to soft) 24 days ago. Entitled to build on that but others look better treated. Cheekpieces on first time. No threat on reappearance but could come on for that run and yard has hit form. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (7) (5.5/1 -65%) Artisan Dancer |
5.5/1(-65%) | (7) Artisan Dancer 5.5/1, Promising sort who took a step forward when close second of 8 in handicap at Southwell (11.1f) 60 days ago, sticking to task. 2 lb rise fair and it's likely we haven't seen the best of him yet. Went close on handicap debut at Southwell and could be bang there once more. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that may perform well are 20/1 (8) MASTERPAINTER, 5.5/1 (1) FANTIZZY, and 16/1 (4) IRONOPOLIS. 20/1 (8) MASTERPAINTER has shown solid returns and could improve with cheekpieces on. 5.5/1 (1) FANTIZZY has had good performances in the past and has had a recent drop in class. 16/1 (4) IRONOPOLIS has shown improvement and could continue to do so. However, as with all predictions, there is no guarantee that these horses will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place.
Both LORDSHIP and Fairbanks make their handicap bow, with preference for the former, who shaped very well in second over 1m2f at Lingfield, when tapped for a bit of toe at the finish. William Haggas' gelding should improve for this step up in distance and is fancied to get off the mark. Ironopolis got up by a head when upped to 1m4f at Southwell and was only raised 4lb, which keeps him in with a shout on his return to the turf.
There should be more to come from ARTISAN DANCER over middle distances and he is fancied to land the finale. Lordship and Fantizzy can also make their presence felt.
The Nathaniel colt FAIRBANKS is from a classy family and is taken to make a winning handicap debut now up in trip in a first-time visor.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (5) (4.5/1 +44%) Fengari |
4.5/1(+44%) | (5) Fengari 4.5/1, Foaled February 21. Territories filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 6f winner Lunarscape. Dam 6f winner. Bred for speed and market check advised on debut. February foal who holds a couple of notable entries; market will guide under Ben Curtis. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (1) (6/1 +0%) Mullins Beach |
6/1(+0%) | (1) Mullins Beach 6/1, Showed more than first time up when fifth of 8 in maiden at Bath (5f, soft) 12 days ago. Claims if building on that. Better last time but that was far from exciting and he'll need another good step forward. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (2) (1.25/1 -56%) Ponga |
1.25/1(-56%) | (2) Ponga 1.25/1, Posted promising second on Kempton debut (5f) last month. Not in quite the same form when third of 12 in maiden at Beverley (5f, soft, 11/4) since but looks the one to beat nonetheless. Cracked late over a stiff 5f on soft ground latest; conditions a concern after that. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (6) (14/1 -40%) Grise |
14/1(-40%) | (6) Grise 14/1, Foaled April 8. €8,000 foal, €8,000 yearling, El Kabeir filly. Half-sister to several winners, including useful winner up to 1¼m Saint Steven and winner up to 1m Come On Come On. Yard to yet have a 2-y-o winner this term. Yard struggling for winners of late and is 0-13 with juveniles this spring; market useful. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (4) (11/1 +8%) Coastal Sunrise |
11/1(+8%) | (4) Coastal Sunrise 11/1, Foaled April 28. Equiano filly. Dam, winner up to 1m (2-y-o 6f winner), closely related to useful 6f-1m winner Film Maker. Stable's first 2-y-o runner of season. Late-foaled first offspring of the trainer's East Coast Lady, who liked this ground. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (7) (80/1 -220%) Run Joy Run |
80/1(-220%) | (7) Run Joy Run 80/1, Once-raced filly. 22/1, last of 6 in maiden at Brighton (5.3f, good) on debut 21 days ago, slowly away. Improvement required. 22-1 for her Brighton debut, when blowing the start having got upset in the stalls. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (3) (4/1 +50%) Tea Leaf Ted |
4/1(+50%) | (3) Tea Leaf Ted 4/1, Foaled March 15. 2,000 gns yearling, Mayson colt. Dam unraced. Yard has made a good start to the season with juveniles. Super Sprint entrant from a yard that's been among the winners; been found the ideal race. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, 0.8/1 (2) PONGA looks like the strongest contender and is likely to finish in 1st place. 6/1 (1) MULLINS BEACH and 33/1 (7) RUN JOY RUN have outside chances of finishing 2nd and 3rd, but their performances have not been particularly impressive so far. It is difficult to predict the performance of 8/1 (3) TEA LEAF TED, 14/1 (4) COASTAL SUNRISE, 8.5/1 (5) FENGARI, and 12/1 (6) GRISE without more information, but their market position and trainer's form may give some indication of their chances.
PONGA finished a fair third over this trip at Beverley last time and he is taken to improve, especially when considering his run for second at Kempton on his racecourse debut last month. The son of Acclamation is entitled to break his maiden at the third time of asking. Debutants Tea Leaf Ted and Grise appeal most of the remainder.
PONGA couldn't quite match his debut form when third at Beverley earlier this month but looks the likeliest scorer here. Mullins Beach is the obvious danger on form, whilst Fengari may be the pick of the newcomers.
Dominic Ffrench Davis is enjoying a good spring with 2yos and TEA LEAF TED may be up to the job. Fengari is interesting too.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (1) (8/1 -78%) Sarkha |
8/1(-78%) | (1) Sarkha 8/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 11/1, last of 7 in handicap at Yarmouth (11.5f, good) 11 days ago. First-time cheekpieces need to have a positive effect. Yet to make a significant impact after five races; wears headgear first time. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (2) (18/1 -50%) Naasma |
18/1(-50%) | (2) Naasma 18/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Creditable sixth of 12 in C&D handicap when last seen in September. Returns as a fairly unexposed type. Not disgraced over C&D final 3yo start; could have more to offer in this second campaign. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (5) (7/1 -17%) Come On John |
7/1(-17%) | (5) Come On John 7/1, One win from 21 Flat runs. Fifteen runs since last win in 2022. 12/1, bit below form sixth of 12 in handicap at Bath (1m, soft) 12 days ago, very slowly away. Back up in trip. Cheekpieces back on. Needs to break on terms. 1-21; had plenty of form a bit earlier this year which would put him in the mix. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (10) (11/1 +21%) Sun Festival |
11/1(+21%) | (10) Sun Festival 11/1, One win from 25 Flat runs. 6/1, below-form fifth of 9 in handicap at Brighton (1¼mf, good) 10 days ago. Not easy to fancy on recent efforts. 1-25; pipped over C&D last June on last visit here; not firing on all cylinders lately. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (3) (1.38/1 +54%) Chagall |
1.38/1(+54%) | (3) Chagall 1.38/1, Course winner in March. Better than result from too far back when sixth of 13 in handicap at Windsor (1¼m, soft) 12 days ago. Player under Oisin Murphy. Drawn wide but has much better claims than most if judged on recent form. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (7) (33/1 -32%) Doonbeg Farmer |
33/1(-32%) | (7) Doonbeg Farmer 33/1, Untrustworthy C&D winner. Tongue strap on first time, first run since leaving Harriet Dickin when sixth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 40/1) 18 days ago. Tongue tied first time, last month's debut for new stable gave some renewed hope. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (8) (4/1 +33%) No Such Luck |
4/1(+33%) | (8) No Such Luck 4/1, C&D winner in January and creditable fourth of 12 at Windsor next time. Well-held sixth on recent turf debut but better can be expected back on AW. One of the more likely types. Well beaten on latest start but that was on turf debut; a lot more interesting this time. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (4) (16/1 -45%) Wallaroo |
16/1(-45%) | (4) Wallaroo 16/1, Fair maiden. Creditable fourth of 13 on 8.6f Wolverhampton reappearance in March. Presumably found race coming too soon when seventh of 10 there just 2 days later. Freshened up since. Makes polytrack debut. Each-way claims. Six-race maiden who had an excuse on latest start; bred to get this trip; considered. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (11) (50/1 -213%) Catch My Breath |
50/1(-213%) | (11) Catch My Breath 50/1, Unreliable type. Course winner. Twenty two runs since last win in 2022. Twelfth of 13 in handicap (14/1) at Southwell (1m) 29 days ago, slowly away. Back up in trip. Placed twice from eight outings this year but it's hard to make him the percentage call. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (6) (40/1 -100%) Mofridge |
40/1(-100%) | (6) Mofridge 40/1, 18/1, last of 7 in handicap at Brighton (1m, good) 11 days ago. Back up in trip. Hard to make a case for on recent exploits. Ex-German; underwhelming this year in his four runs (three AW) for new yard. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (12) (150/1 -200%) Miss Malou |
150/1(-200%) | (12) Miss Malou 150/1, Poor maiden. Last of 10 in handicap at Brighton (1½m, good, 100/1) 11 days ago. Has work to do. Has finished no better than seventh in her eight starts. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12th (9) (18/1 +28%) Gilbert |
18/1(+28%) | (9) Gilbert 18/1, C&D winner last July. Largely well held since but is back on a good mark if first-time cheekpieces have a reviving effect. Did well last summer, including C&D; has lost his way and now wears headgear first time. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary provided, it is difficult to confidently predict which horse will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place. However, some horses that have potential are 18/1 (11) CATCH MY BREATH, 6/1 (8) NO SUCH LUCK, 3.33/1 (3) CHAGALL, and 12/1 (4) WALLAROO. These horses have shown previous success and have had creditable performances in recent races. Ultimately, the outcome will depend on various factors such as the race conditions and jockey performance.
Doonbeg Farmer's last success was over C&D off this mark in March 2022 which suggests he has some chance in a race that may not take much winning, but preference is for CHAGALL. He pulled too hard when only sixth at Windsor last time out, but the seven-year-old has won here over a mile and placed over this trip at Bath, and a repeat of either performance could be enough. Sarkha sports first-time cheekpieces and may prove best of the remainder.
CHAGALL has been better than the result on a few occasions since his 1m course win in March and can get his head back in front with Oisin Murphy taking over in the saddle now. No Such Luck was well held on his turf debut last time but had been in good nick on AW prior to that and is second choice ahead of Wallaroo.
This field does not inspire much confidence but NO SUCH LUCK gets the vote ahead of Chagall and Wallaroo.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (3) (0.4/1 +45%) Soldierofthestorm |
0.4/1(+45%) | (3) Soldierofthestorm 0.4/1, Has plenty of scope and ran to a fair level first time up when third in 12-runner Ascot bumper (15.7f) in October, keeping on inside final 1f. Improved a little on that form when runner-up at Hereford 5 months later and of strong interest on hurdle debut. Fairly useful form when twice placed in bumpers; interesting now going hurdling. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (1) (6/1 +50%) Jet Of Dreams |
6/1(+50%) | (1) Jet Of Dreams 6/1, Cosy winner of sole start in Irish points. Underwhelming so far under Rules but did show a bit more on the back of a breathing operation when fourth in 11-runner novice at Fontwell (21.8f) 3 days ago. Back down in trip. Irish point winner but he's shown only modest form in two maiden hurdles. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (9) (50/1 -52%) Rockette |
50/1(-52%) | (9) Rockette 50/1, Tailed off in 2 bumpers last season. Has had a breathing operation since. Has beaten just one rival in two bumpers; subsequent wind op needs to spark improvement. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (5) (25/1 +50%) Jimmy Boum |
25/1(+50%) | (5) Jimmy Boum 25/1, 150/1, offered little in a junior bumper at Kempton (16f, heavy) on debut 56 days ago. 11th in Kempton bumper 56 days ago; looks one for the longer term. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (7) (4.5/1 -139%) Designer Destiny |
4.5/1(-139%) | (7) Designer Destiny 4.5/1, Fair form in bumpers and has shown a similar level of form over hurdles, including after 14 months off when second in Catterick maiden (15.7f) in March 2021. Not seen since but sets the clear standard. Off 2 years since 2nd in Catterick novice hurdle; good claims if tuned up for comeback. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (8) (20/1 -11%) Indelible Spin |
20/1(-11%) | (8) Indelible Spin 20/1, Just modest form in bumpers and well held completed start over hurdles. Twice third in bumpers but she has offered little in a pair of 2m maiden hurdles. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (6) (33/1 +67%) Allez Allez Dancer |
33/1(+67%) | (6) Allez Allez Dancer 33/1, Eastern Anthem mare. Half-sister to 2 winners on Flat, including 9.5f/10.5f winner in France Miss Mome. Unplaced sole start in point bumpers (Apr 2022). Well-held fifth in a point bumper last April; needs to take a big step forward. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (2) (150/1 +25%) Look Out To Sea |
150/1(+25%) | (2) Look Out To Sea 150/1, Pulled up in- a point last spring and has been beaten miles both starts under Rules (bumper/maiden hurdle). Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Pulled up in 2m Taunton novice on his hurdling debut in March; lots more is needed. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, it is difficult to predict which horse will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place as many of the horses have shown only modest or underwhelming form in their previous races. However, 0.73/1 (3) SOLDIEROFTHESTORM and 1.88/1 (7) DESIGNER DESTINY seem to be the most promising based on their previous performances and potential for improvement. Therefore, they may have a higher chance of finishing in the top three. It is important to note that horse racing is unpredictable, and the outcome can be influenced by many factors such as weather conditions, jockey performance, and race tactics.
Placed on both career starts in bumpers, SOLDIEROFTHESTORM looks the one to side with on his hurdling bow in a fairly weak contest. The gelded son of Soldier Of Fortune finished two and a quarter lengths behind the winner at Hereford last month and rates a key contender with that run in mind. Designer Destiny arrives in this following a long layoff but seems the biggest threat, while Jet Of Dreams completes the shortlist.
A likely match between SOLDIEROFTHESTORM and Designer Destiny. The former has shown plenty in a brace of bumpers 5 months apart and has the scope to do well over jumps, so he's narrowly preferred to the latter, who has a long absence to overcome.
Jonjo O'Neill's SOLDIEROFTHESTORM has shown fairly useful form when placed in bumpers and looks the way to go on his hurdling debut
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (5) (7.5/1 +46%) Zuraig |
7.5/1(+46%) | (5) Zuraig 7.5/1, Fair gelding. Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. 25/1, thirteenth of 14 in handicap at Bath (10.2f, soft) 12 days ago, very slowly away and always detached. Temperament very much under suspicion now. Again blew the start latest and the returning cheekpieces will need to make a difference. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (7) (40/1 -21%) She's Out Of Reach |
40/1(-21%) | (7) She's Out Of Reach 40/1, Showed little all 4 starts in bumpers and similar story in pair of AW novice events in recent weeks for present yard. Passed over even allowing for this drop into selling company. Been beaten a long way in two Wolverhampton starts this spring. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (3) (7/1 -17%) Still Standing |
7/1(-17%) | (3) Still Standing 7/1, Useful staying handicapper on Flat in his pomp for Jessica Harrington but operating well below his best over hurdles/on Flat more recently for William Durkan, ninth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (2m) in March. Starts out for new yard now. Struggled under both codes last year; push to say these conditions are ideal. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (1) (4/1 -60%) Celestial Force |
4/1(-60%) | (1) Celestial Force 4/1, Fairly useful at up to 2m on Flat for Tom Dascombe earlier in career and developed into a fair hurdler for Paul Nicholls thereafter, winning 4 times. Absent since finishing second in a claiming hurdle on debut for this yard late in 2021 but big player if ready to roll on return back on Flat. Has run well on this sort of ground; Ben Curtis is a positive booking after a long break. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (9) (8.5/1 +39%) Soothing Blaze |
8.5/1(+39%) | (9) Soothing Blaze 8.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, eighth of 10 in handicap (20/1) at Yarmouth (8f, heavy) 28 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Goes beyond an extended 1m1f for the first time; stamina wouldn't be assured on pedigree. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (8) (3.33/1 +72%) Moltisanti |
3.33/1(+72%) | (8) Moltisanti 3.33/1, Fair gelding. Sixth of 7 in handicap (33/1) at Pontefract (8f, good to soft) 19 days ago, slowly away and left behind from 3f out. Significantly up in trip. Didn't live up to expectations last year; goes beyond an extended 1m for the first time. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (2) (2/1 +78%) Navegaon Gate |
2/1(+78%) | (2) Navegaon Gate 2/1, Ungenuine type. 8/1, below form ninth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Ffos Las (23.9f, soft) in January, ridden after 4 out and soon beaten. Pick of his form gives him claims in a very trappy seller but he's far from the easiest to predict. Cheekpieces replace visor. Lacks consistency but has less to prove than the rest back from a short break; player. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
It is difficult to determine which horse will do well from this summary as many have performed poorly in their recent races or have inconsistent form. However, 2.5/1 (1) CELESTIAL FORCE stands out as a horse with a proven track record on this type of ground and a successful career both on the flat and over hurdles. Ben Curtis is also a positive booking for the ride. 9/1 (2) NAVEGAON GATE and Little could also be considered as potential contenders based on their past performances, but their lack of consistency and recent poor form make it difficult to predict their success. Therefore, the predicted finish for the top three horses would be 2.5/1 (1) CELESTIAL FORCE in 1st, 9/1 (2) NAVEGAON GATE in 2nd, and Little in 3rd.
CELESTIAL FORCE hasn't been seen on the Flat since 2019, but the gelded son of Sea The Stars has posted some respectable efforts over timber of late and gets a rather tentative vote here. Tiger Voice has been kept busy over both hurdles and fences of late and is feared most, while Still Standing looks the pick of the remainder.
A decidedly trappy seller with CELESTIAL FORCE receiving the tentative vote in the hope he's ready to roll after a lengthy absence. Free Chakarte and Still Standing may emerge as the chief threats.
A few were useful in the past but only NAVEGAON GATE has achieved anything in recent times. Watch the market with Celestial Force.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (1) (3.5/1 -86%) William Of York |
3.5/1(-86%) | (1) William Of York 3.5/1, Going the right way in handicaps, off the mark at Wetherby (2m, soft) in March and well on top finish when following up over 20.7f trip at Huntingdon. Up 5 lb but this 7-y-o probably has more to offer. 2-2 since switched to a front-running role and he's open to more progress; big player. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (6) (8/1 +33%) Talimar Pearl |
8/1(+33%) | (6) Talimar Pearl 8/1, Appeared to take a step back in the right direction when second (albeit beaten 20 lengths by the winner) in a Newton Abbot handicap (16.8f, soft) last month. Still, he will need to step up on that in order to go one better here. Well held when runner-up at Newton Abbot last time and needs improvement back up in trip. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (5) (3.5/1 +30%) Kankin |
3.5/1(+30%) | (5) Kankin 3.5/1, Runner-up both starts in bumpers and arguably posted his best effort yet in this sphere when third of 9 in a C&D novice (good to soft) recently. That falsely-run race didn't play to his strengths and, likely to benefit from a stronger pace to aim at on this handicap debut, he's one to consider. Placed in his last two hurdle runs including over C&D latest; in the mix on handicap debut. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (2) (5.5/1 +8%) Forget The Way |
5.5/1(+8%) | (2) Forget The Way 5.5/1, Struggled in bumpers but has shown a fair level of ability in maiden/novice hurdles during the autumn/winter. Failed to step up when making handicap debut at Newbury (16.3f, good to firm) last time but since undergone a wind op and this step up in trip looks a good move. Has had wind surgery and he looks a possible improver at this new trip. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (9) (28/1 +0%) Nordy Lordy |
28/1(+0%) | (9) Nordy Lordy 28/1, Winner of sole start between the flags but hasn't shown much under Rules so far. Has struggled over hurdles and was pulled up on his handicap debut last month. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (8) (6.5/1 +70%) Merveillo |
6.5/1(+70%) | (8) Merveillo 6.5/1, Useful on the Flat (stays 16.5f) and shaped better than the distance beaten when third on debut in this sphere at Haydock (24.3f, good to soft) in November. Has offered little since, though, including switched to handicaps the last twice. Represents major connections but he's been tailed off switched to handicaps last twice. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (7) (40/1 -122%) Of Corse I Can |
40/1(-122%) | (7) Of Corse I Can 40/1, Encouraging Rules debut when runner-up in a 2½m Ffos Las novice last June but it would be something of an understatement to say that he has failed to build on that in 4 subsequent starts. Overall record of 0-9 and has struggled in both his handicaps; best watched for now. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (3) (4.5/1 +0%) Benefact |
4.5/1(+0%) | (3) Benefact 4.5/1, Mid-field in a bumper and very much caught the eye on second start over hurdles when third at Newbury in February. However, beaten a long way here (2m, soft) next time and improvement needed back up in trip for this handicap debut. Unexposed handicap newcomer and he needs watching in market for leading yard. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (10) (33/1 +0%) Emberscombe |
33/1(+0%) | (10) Emberscombe 33/1, Down the field in a bumper and 3 novice hurdles. Will need to leave those efforts well behind if she's to play a leading role on this handicap debut. Soundly beaten in all four runs and is 6lb out of the weights on this handicap debut. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (11) (40/1 -82%) Mistertommyshelby |
40/1(-82%) | (11) Mistertommyshelby 40/1, Little in the way of solid form to date and, absent since January 2022, he looks set for another struggle from 7 lb out of the handicap. Nine-race maiden and this looks tough from out of the weights after a long absence. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (4) (20/1 -43%) Hitthekettle |
20/1(-43%) | (4) Hitthekettle 20/1, Took 7 tries to win an Irish point and hasn't shown a great deal in 3 starts under Rules (maiden/novice) to date. Entirely possible that he'll be seen in a better light now handicapping but others make more appeal all the same. Wasn't beaten far in a C&D novice last time and this is more realistic on handicap debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Predictions: 1st - 2.25/1 (1) WILLIAM OF YORK 2nd - 4.5/1 (5) KANKIN 3rd - 6.5/1 (2) FORGET THE WAY 2.25/1 (1) WILLIAM OF YORK has been performing well in his recent races and is open to more progress. 4.5/1 (5) KANKIN has been placing in his recent hurdle runs and is likely to benefit from a stronger pace in this handicap debut. 6.5/1 (2) FORGET THE WAY has had wind surgery and the step up in trip looks like a good move for him to potentially improve.
WILLIAM OF YORK has been in terrific form of late and the hat-trick looks very much on the cards as he looks to overcome a 5lb rise for a taking win at Huntingdon last month. Benefact could be off a decent mark on his handicap debut, while Forget The Way is another who could improve for the step up in trip.
The vote goes to KANKIN, who did well under the circumstances when third in a C&D maiden recently and he can be expected to take a step forward now pitched into a handicap for the first time. The hat-trick seeking William of York and Forget The Way, who shapes as though this stiffer test will be in his favour, rate the main dangers. Merveillo would be threat if able to get back on track but it's a significant 'if'.
Top of the list is Dan Skelton's WILLIAM OF YORK, who has come good with front-running wins in the last two of his three handicaps.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (2) (14/1 -250%) King Of Speed |
14/1(-250%) | (2) King Of Speed 14/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2021. 13/2 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, bit below form third of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (6f). Off 113 days. Has good chance on pick of form. Regressed last year but is on a competitive mark now; stiff 6f would be a slight concern. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (4) (9/1 -157%) Autumn Flight |
9/1(-157%) | (4) Autumn Flight 9/1, Back to winning ways in 11-runner handicap (6/1) at Brighton (6f, good) earlier this month, always holding on. Since joined new yard and remains fairly treated. Should go well again. Fair chance he gets his own way into this smaller field and should go well again. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (5) (6.5/1 +41%) Malham Tarn Cove |
6.5/1(+41%) | (5) Malham Tarn Cove 6.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, respectable sixth of 17 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, heavy, 50/1) 15 days ago. Not out of things. Didn't run badly on his comeback and is lightly raced compared to the rest; considered. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (3) (11/1 +21%) Kyber Crystal |
11/1(+21%) | (3) Kyber Crystal 11/1, Below form sixth of 12 in handicap at Windsor (6f, heavy, 33/1) 19 days ago, never nearer. Others preferred. Regressive maiden who's done most racing over 5f; handles these conditions though. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (6) (1.62/1 +35%) Danzart |
1.62/1(+35%) | (6) Danzart 1.62/1, Posted best effort for some time when second of 14 in handicap over C&D (heavy, 33/1) 14 days ago. Can race off same mark and is one for the shortlist. Showing more off tonight's career-low mark lately; holds solid claims on latest C&D second. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (1) (1.88/1 +37%) Autumn Angel |
1.88/1(+37%) | (1) Autumn Angel 1.88/1, Winner at Southwell in February and back to that sort of form when third of 14 in handicap over C&D (heavy, 14/1) 14 days ago. Races off same mark and ought to go well again. Consistent and handles this ground fine; often takes a grip but is shortlisted. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (7) (40/1 +0%) Cazeva Princess |
40/1(+0%) | (7) Cazeva Princess 40/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2021. Last of 12 in minor event at Chelmsford City (8f, 50/1) 86 days ago. Back down in trip. 1 lb out of the handicap. Hard to fancy. Never been up to much and out of form early in the year; never run on this sort of ground. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that have the best chance of finishing in the top three are 2.5/1 (6) DANZART, 3.5/1 (4) AUTUMN FLIGHT, and 3/1 (1) AUTUMN ANGEL. 2.5/1 (6) DANZART has been showing solid form, 3.5/1 (4) AUTUMN FLIGHT has recently won a smaller field race and is well-treated in the new yard, and 3/1 (1) AUTUMN ANGEL has been consistent and handles the ground well. The other horses either have not been in good form or have not shown recent promise.
A game winner over this trip at Brighton earlier this month, AUTUMN FLIGHT looks capable of securing a double on his stable debut for Ian McInnes. A 4lb rise for that success may not be enough to hold the seven-year-old back here, but Danzart retains the mark following a creditable second over C&D last month and can give the selection plenty to think about. King Of Speed finished third at Newcastle last time out and completes the shortlist.
DANZART has been given a chance by the handicapper and returned to form when runner-up over C&D a fortnight ago. He can go one better here. Autumn Angel and Autumn Flight look the likeliest dangers.
Front-runner AUTUMN FLIGHT arrives in good form and will have no problem with the much softer ground. He's preferred to Danzart.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (3) (1.38/1 +45%) Young Buster |
1.38/1(+45%) | (3) Young Buster 1.38/1, Fair 2m4f winner over hurdles who posted a good fourth of 8 in handicap at Ayr (24.3f, good) 22 days ago. Goes over fences now and highly respected. Point/hurdle winner who should have a future at this new discipline; in the mix. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (1) (2.25/1 -171%) Quid Pro Quo |
2.25/1(-171%) | (1) Quid Pro Quo 2.25/1, 10/3, got off the mark over fences with a career best in 8-runner handicap at Southwell (20.4f, good to soft) 15 days ago. Weighted to follow up despite taking a 7 lb rise. Really got his act together over fences with a comfortable win at Southwell; strong claims. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (2) (2.75/1 +39%) Blue Stello |
2.75/1(+39%) | (2) Blue Stello 2.75/1, Very lightly-raced winning hurdler. Runner-up in sole Irish point so there should be more to come now he goes chasing. Very lightly raced 7yo but was pulled up latest and has something to prove on chase debut. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (4) (12/1 +14%) Gentle Connections |
12/1(+14%) | (4) Gentle Connections 12/1, Four-time winner over hurdles in first half of 2022 but she has struggled since, including on her chasing debut when remote fifth in C&D handicap 12 days ago. Needs to take a big step forward. Multiple hurdle winner but has lost her way and was well held over C&D on chase debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, 0.83/1 (1) QUID PRO QUO and 2.5/1 (3) YOUNG BUSTER seem to have the strongest chance of doing well in the race. Therefore, it is predicted that they will finish in the top two positions. For the third position, 4.5/1 (2) BLUE STELLO seems to have potential as a lightly-raced winning hurdler with experience in Irish point-to-points, so it is predicted that he will finish in third place.
QUID PRO QUO put it together when scoring at the fourth attempt over fences at Southwell and there should be plenty more to come from Dan Skelton's charge in this winnable contest. A winner here over hurdles, Blue Stello has proved difficult to get to the track but he has ability and must be considered, along with chase debutant Young Buster.
QUID PRO QUO took a big step forward when opening his chasing account at Southwell and a 7 lb rise in the weights doesn't look sufficient to prevent him from following up. Fergal O'Brien's Young Buster could emerge as the chief threat to Dan Skelton's 7-y-o ahead of fellow chasing debutant Blue Stello.
This can go to QUID PRO QUO, who really got his act together over fences when scoring in smooth style at Southwell 15 days ago.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (6) (0.67/1 +51%) Lowton |
0.67/1(+51%) | (6) Lowton 0.67/1, Promising type. 4/1, third of 15 in maiden at Doncaster (7f, heavy) on debut 15 days ago, not knocked about. Likely to improve and should take all the beating. Promising start when third of 15 at Doncaster (7f) recently; leading claims. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (7) (14/1 +65%) Story Of Peace |
14/1(+65%) | (7) Story Of Peace 14/1, Once-raced gelding. 33/1, eleventh of 13 in maiden at Yarmouth (8f, good) on debut 11 days ago. In good hands but 33-1 and no short-term promise on 1m Yarmouth debut only 11 days ago. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (2) (2.25/1 +0%) Ascari |
2.25/1(+0%) | (2) Ascari 2.25/1, Twice-raced colt. Fourth of 10 in maiden at Newbury (8f, heavy, 8/1) 21 days ago. Still has something to learn, but his form gives him a solid chance. Promise in two runs over 1m at Newbury; drop to 7f could suit; bold show likely. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (5) (66/1 +34%) Indrapura Star |
66/1(+34%) | (5) Indrapura Star 66/1, Twice-raced gelding. First run since leaving Kevin Ryan when eighth of 15 in maiden at Doncaster (7f, heavy, 150/1) 15 days ago. Well beaten in two runs ten months apart (trained by Kevin Ryan on debut). |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (4) (7/1 -133%) Green Go |
7/1(-133%) | (4) Green Go 7/1, £30,000 yearling, resold 72,000 gns yearling, Zoffany gelding. Brother to smart 2-y-o 5f/6f winner Illuminate and half-brother to 3 winners, including 5f/6f winner Rhal and 1¼m winner Miniature Daffodil. Dam unraced. Interesting newcomer for top yard. Well-bred newcomer from a good stable; betting should guide. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (3) (66/1 -200%) Get Off Me |
66/1(-200%) | (3) Get Off Me 66/1, Twice-raced gelding. Sixth of 10 in maiden at Chelmsford City (6f, 9/1) 16 days ago, slowly away. Open to progress. Single-figure prices but only minor promise in two outings last month. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (1) (125/1 -213%) Arawan |
125/1(-213%) | (1) Arawan 125/1, Once-raced gelding. Eighth of 9 in minor event (50/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) on debut 18 days ago, missing break. More one for the longer term judged on last month's debut run at Wolverhampton. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (8) (16/1 -45%) Where's Freddy |
16/1(-45%) | (8) Where's Freddy 16/1, Once-raced gelding. Fifth of 7 in maiden (40/1) at Newmarket (7f, soft) on debut 25 days ago, not knocked about. Should have more to offer. Some promise when fifth of seven on 7f Newmarket debut; should do better. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary provided, it is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place. However, some horses that show promise and are likely to perform well include 12/1 (8) WHERE'S FREDDY, 1.38/1 (6) LOWTON, and 3.5/1 (4) GREEN GO. 12/1 (8) WHERE'S FREDDY and 1.38/1 (6) LOWTON have both shown promising performances in their recent races and are expected to improve further. 3.5/1 (4) GREEN GO is a well-bred newcomer from a top stable and may perform well based on betting trends. However, as with any horse race, unforeseen circumstances and factors can always affect the outcome.
This could turn into a match between LOWTON and Ascari, where the former just shades the vote for the Ed Bethell stable. The son of Pivotal shaped well on his first start when beaten under three lengths at Doncaster over this trip and, with the likelihood of much more to come, he could prove very tough to beat. Of the remainder, Green Go looks the most interesting on debut and he warrants a market check.
LOWTON made an excellent start under a considerate ride when third at Doncaster first time out and, unless Green Go proves to be an above-average newcomer, he should be up to scoring at the second attempt. Ascari is also a player despite looking a little wayward last time.
This might develop into a straight fight between LOWTON and Ascari, with narrow preference for the former.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (3) (8/1 +33%) I Spy A Diva |
8/1(+33%) | (3) I Spy A Diva 8/1, Won 3 on the bounce at up to 3m during the autumn and excuses when well held at Kempton in December. Firmly back on track with a good third in a listed race at Cheltenham (20.2f, good) last month but her mark as suffered as a consequence. Won three times last autumn and even better form when third in Listed race last month. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (1) (2/1 +43%) Red Dirt Road |
2/1(+43%) | (1) Red Dirt Road 2/1, Successful on sole start in Irish points and easy winner on handicap debut at Exeter (16.7f, good to soft) in March. Didn't disgrace himself upped to 20.2f in a Cheltenham novice next time, albeit without really convincing that he wants this sort of trip. 2-4 over hurdles; fourth in good Cheltenham novice when upped to 2m4f last month; a player. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (8) (5/1 +38%) Bertie Blue |
5/1(+38%) | (8) Bertie Blue 5/1, Showed plenty in bumpers/maiden hurdles and left disappointing handicap debut display well behind when accounting for 12 rivals in decisive fashion at Southwell (20.4f, good to soft) recently. Up 8 lb for that but he can hardly be described as exposed. Slammed progressive rival by 7l at Southwell last month and still has low mileage. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (6) (20/1 -11%) Midnight Ginger |
20/1(-11%) | (6) Midnight Ginger 20/1, Likeable mare who added to her tally in 2m Newbury handicap on New Year's Eve. Not at her best the last twice, though, and she looks vulnerable once more. Won off this mark in December but ended last season with two below-par runs. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (5) (2.5/1 -53%) Wiseguy |
2.5/1(-53%) | (5) Wiseguy 2.5/1, Winner of sole start in bumpers and off the mark at second attempt over hurdles in a 24.4f Doncaster maiden in December 2021. Good second to a well-handicapped rival back from 11 months at Cheltenham (21f, good) in November and he remains open to improvement. Ran very well in defeat on handicap debut at Cheltenham in November; commands respect. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (4) (11/1 -38%) Restitution |
11/1(-38%) | (4) Restitution 11/1, Wide-margin winner of a 2m Doncaster handicap over Christmas. Struggled next 2 starts but step back up in trip helped when third of 13 at Wincanton (21.4f, soft) last month and should be in the mix if responding well to the first-time cheekpieces. Back in form when third at Wincanton in April; still unexposed over this trip; headgear on. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (2) (8/1 -7%) Abuffalosoldier |
8/1(-7%) | (2) Abuffalosoldier 8/1, Low-mileage 6-y-o who stepped up on his comeback run to make first start at 3m a winning one at Newbury in November. Hasn't built on that in 3 subsequent starts but there were encouraging enough signs at Cheltenham last month and dropping back in trip here could be a good move. Landed a good prize in November but wasn't at best on final two starts last season. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
1st - 1.63/1 (5) WISEGUY, 2nd - 7.5/1 (4) RESTITUTION, 3rd - 8/1 (8) BERTIE BLUE
Now that the penny has dropped for BERTIE BLUE after an impressive win at Southwell last month, he must hold every chance of following up off an 8lb higher mark. The six-year-old still receives weight from the rest of his rivals, which could prove key in his bid to see off the likes of Red Dirt Road and Wiseguy, who returns from a 182-day absence. I Spy A Diva and Restitution are entitled to be thereabouts too.
The unexposed WISEGUY put in a good shift when runner-up back from 11 months off at Cheltenham in November and, with the promise of better to come, he is taken to go one better here. Restitution's latest effort at Wincanton represented a step back in the right direction and he could be the one for the forecast. Abuffalosoldier and Bertie Blue are others to consider.
This competitive handicap can go to WISEGUY, who was an honourable second on his handicap debut at Cheltenham in the autumn.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (4) (1/1 +75%) Broken Spear |
1/1(+75%) | (4) Broken Spear 1/1, Winless last year but made a timely return to form when narrowly outpointed by an in-form rival (pair clear) on penultimate start over C&D in April. Fared best of those who raced towards inside when fourth at Chester (7f) 3 days ago and not out of things back at 6f. In good form, fourth at Chester on Wednesday; in the mix if turning out again. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (6) (7.5/1 -15%) Cold Stare |
7.5/1(-15%) | (6) Cold Stare 7.5/1, Nineteen runs since last win in 2021. Below form third of 8 in handicap at this C&D (heavy, 11/2) 14 days ago (Broken Spear placed second). Still, he's evidently not out of things from this sort of mark if bouncing back. Third over C&D last month; has ground to make up with runner-up Broken Spear. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (2) (5.5/1 -38%) Blind Beggar |
5.5/1(-38%) | (2) Blind Beggar 5.5/1, Latest win at Chelmsford (5f) in February. Eleventh of 12 in handicap at Redcar (6f, heavy, 7/2) 33 days ago, the run best excused on account of being poorly drawn. Underfoot conditions no problem here and better showing anticipated. Had an excuse last time; real possibilities on previous second in the mud at Doncaster. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (8) (7/1 -17%) Parisiac |
7/1(-17%) | (8) Parisiac 7/1, Fallen plenty in the weights and big step back in right direction when third at Thirsk (6f, heavy) on penultimate start in April. Did enough to confirm his return to form when fourth under a forceful ride when fourth at Salisbury (6f) 9 days ago and he could just be worth chancing. Just behind Cold Stare when third at Thirsk and not disgraced next time; respected. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (3) (3.5/1 +0%) Tyger Bay |
3.5/1(+0%) | (3) Tyger Bay 3.5/1, Four-time winner last year. 9/4, respectable second of 6 in handicap at Windsor (6f, soft) 12 days ago, keeping on without threatening the winner. Consistency is hard to knock and expected to be thereabouts again. Runner-up on soft ground at Windsor last two starts; deserves a return to winning ways. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (1) (66/1 -450%) G'daay |
66/1(-450%) | (1) G'daay 66/1, Landed back-to-back Chelmsford handicaps (at 7f) over the winter. Probably needed the run on back of 4 months off when last of 6 back at that venue 16 days ago and entitled to be sharper here. Two AW wins last autumn but turf record less persuasive and slow ground a concern. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (7) (40/1 -186%) Sovereign Slipper |
40/1(-186%) | (7) Sovereign Slipper 40/1, Completed quick-fire hat-trick on AW during late 2021. Stepped up on belated return when second of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) in November but absent again since. Hat-trick of 6f AW wins in 2021; lightly raced since; has to prove he's as good on grass. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (9) (33/1 -83%) Under Curfew |
33/1(-83%) | (9) Under Curfew 33/1, Course winner. Twenty runs since last win in 2021. Seventh of 9 in handicap at Lingfield (7f, AW, 15/2). Off 175 days and others more persuasive. Starts the season on an attractive mark but record on ground softer than good is patchy. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st: 3.5/1 (3) TYGER BAY 2nd: 6/1 (8) PARISIAC 3rd: 7/1 (6) COLD STARE
COLD STARE ran a creditable third last time over C&D considering he missed the break and he was dropped 1lb for that effort. The eight-year-old gelding is now 13lb lower than his last winning mark and looks to have conditions in his favour. The main danger looks to be Tyger Bay, who can remain competitive off the same mark as at Windsor last time. Blind Beggar would be a player if bouncing back to form.
PARISIAC took a step back in the right direction when third on his penultimate start at Thirsk and, having again ran well when fourth at Salisbury since, he gets the narrow vote to confirm himself on a handy mark. Broken Spear has bounced back to form also in recent weeks and is feared, with Blind Beggar another to consider in an open-looking contest.
This looks a good opportunity for TYGER BAY (nap) to return to winning ways, with Blind Beggar the main danger.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (6) (8.5/1 +29%) Gentleman Valley |
8.5/1(+29%) | (6) Gentleman Valley 8.5/1, Made a successful switch to handicaps at Uttoxeter in September. Hasn't progressed since but possibly still needed the run following a winter break when fourth at Southwell (24.3f) last month. In good form last autumn but not at the same level the last twice; has to raise his game. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (9) (5.5/1 +39%) Nickelsonthedime |
5.5/1(+39%) | (9) Nickelsonthedime 5.5/1, Opened his account in a C&D handicap in May 2022. Form has been up and down since, though he did run creditably after 9 weeks off when third at Chepstow (23.6f) recently. Sole rules win came over C&D and he was a fair third last time; holds each-way claims. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (12) (3.33/1 +56%) Sadler's Bay |
3.33/1(+56%) | (12) Sadler's Bay 3.33/1, Showed ability in maiden/novice company and shaped better than the bare result upped in trip when fifth of 8 in 25f handicap at Carlisle (soft) 48 days ago, finishing with running left. Unexposed over this trip and one to be interested in from a workable mark. Handy 7-lb conditional also takes over. Fair fifth last time; lightly raced and could build on that, but he needs to. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (10) (12/1 +0%) Lunar Contact |
12/1(+0%) | (10) Lunar Contact 12/1, Lightly-raced maiden who got back on track after a couple of lesser efforts when third of 7 on handicap debut at Fontwell (19.2f, good to firm, 14/1) 22 days ago, despite hanging right. Worth a try over this longer trip. Promising third on handicap debut and shaped as though he'd benefit from this longer trip. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (5) (7/1 +42%) Langley Hundred |
7/1(+42%) | (5) Langley Hundred 7/1, Dual 23f winner in November and back on track with a pair of respectable efforts this spring. Should remain competitive. Beaten on last three starts but fair efforts the last twice and might not be far away. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (2) (4/1 -45%) Grillon De Monty |
4/1(-45%) | (2) Grillon De Monty 4/1, Bounced back to form to open his account for current yard in 7-runner handicap at Huntingdon (25f, good to soft) 27 days ago, benefiting from a marked change of tactics. Nudged up 6 lb but handy 5-lb conditional offsets most of that. Of interest again. Won by 6l at Huntingdon last month and a 6lb rise isn't harsh; firmly in calculations. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (1) (11/1 -57%) Enjoy Your Life |
11/1(-57%) | (1) Enjoy Your Life 11/1, Fairly useful ex-French winning hurdler who stepped up plenty on his British/stable debut when second in 9-runner handicap at Wincanton (21.4f) last month. Upped further in trip. Ex-French 6yo who was an encouraging runner-up on second stable start and he's a possible. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (3) (12/1 +45%) State Of Fame |
12/1(+45%) | (3) State Of Fame 12/1, Bumper winner and fair maiden hurdler for Ross O'Sullivan in Ireland. Shaped as though in need of the run after 7 months off on last month's stable debut but has plenty on back in handicap company from his current mark. Irish bumper winner; 0-8 over hurdles and needs improvement to defy current mark. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (8) (8/1 -60%) Imperial B G |
8/1(-60%) | (8) Imperial B G 8/1, Fair bumper winner who belatedly matched that form over hurdles when second in 10-runner handicap at Haydock (24.3f) last month, despite slightly going in snatches. Likely has more to offer when the penny drops. Back to form when second at Haydock and key player if he's on song once more. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (4) (25/1 -127%) Barricane |
25/1(-127%) | (4) Barricane 25/1, Landed back-to-back handicaps in 2021 but an 18-month absence has to be a concern for all he's in good hands. First run since November 2021 but he won his last two; trainer can ready one after absence. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, it is difficult to make a confident prediction about which horse will win. However, the following horses are likely contenders for the top three positions: 1st: 5/1 (8) IMPERIAL B G 2nd: 3/1 (2) GRILLON DE MONTY 3rd: 8/1 (12) SADLER'S BAY
GRILLON DE MONTY was an easy victor in this grade latest and has been raised 6lb in the weights for that success. That was only his third start over hurdles for the Dan Skelton yard, which suggests he could have more to offer and he is fancied to double up. The main threat looks to be Imperial B G, who was only beaten a length and a half last time into second at Haydock. Enjoy Your Life is another to note.
An open handicap but SADLER'S BAY ran well on his first try at this trip at Carlisle in March and promised a bit more still, with late errors holding him back. Therefore, his performance can be marked up and with a good-value conditional now taking over in the saddle, he's fancied to confirm the promise of that run. Imperial B G still looked a bit raw when runner-up at Haydock and can improve again when the penny drops, with last-time-out scorer Grillon de Monty completing the shortlist.
3m point winner LUNAR CONTACT displayed staying potential when keeping on for third over 2m3f on last month's handicap debut.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (2) (1.25/1 +23%) Albeseeingyer |
1.25/1(+23%) | (2) Albeseeingyer 1.25/1, Promising sort. Career best when winning 17-runner handicap at Doncaster (7f, heavy, 16/1) 15 days ago, just holding on. Leading claims as she bids to complete the five-timer. Completed handicap four-timer on reappearance; further 5lb rise may well not stop her. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (4) (6/1 -33%) Star Sound |
6/1(-33%) | (4) Star Sound 6/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Third of 9 in maiden at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 6/1) 38 days ago. Type to do better in handicaps, but assessor hasn't been lenient. Promise when placed in three AW events; potential improver now handicapping on turf. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (6) (9/1 +0%) Storyinthesand |
9/1(+0%) | (6) Storyinthesand 9/1, 11/1, respectable sixth of 11 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 34 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Not completely dismissed. Second over 7f on AW in March but only sixth over 1m since; blinkers replace cheekpieces. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (5) (8.5/1 -70%) Margaret's Fuchsia |
8.5/1(-70%) | (5) Margaret's Fuchsia 8.5/1, Good third of 10 in handicap (22/1) at Yarmouth (7f, good) 11 days ago. More exposed than some but should give another good account. In frame on five of six starts, including third in 7f handicap on recent turf debut. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (1) (4.5/1 +18%) Eponina |
4.5/1(+18%) | (1) Eponina 4.5/1, C&D winner. 3/1, creditable second of 7 in handicap at Beverley (7.4f, soft) 12 days ago. Goes well at this track and is leniently treated on old form. Veteran with nine wins; best run this year when second at Beverley latest; same mark here. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (3) (5.5/1 +39%) Miss Sarajevo |
5.5/1(+39%) | (3) Miss Sarajevo 5.5/1, Lightly-raced winner. Winner at Chelmsford City in November. 11/2, creditable fourth of 9 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f) 37 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Respected. Fourth in two AW handicaps this year and blinkers need to spark improvement back on turf. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the information given, 1.63/1 (2) ALBESEEINGYER seems to have the best chance of winning as it has completed a four-timer and won a 17-runner handicap race recently. 6/1 (5) MARGARET'S FUCHSIA and 5/1 (1) EPONINA may also perform well and finish in 2nd and 3rd place. 10/1 (3) MISS SARAJEVO and 9/1 (6) STORYINTHESAND are not completely dismissed but may have a lower chance of winning. 4.5/1 (4) STAR SOUND is a potential improver but may not have been given a lenient rating by the assessor.
Course specialist EPONINA won this contest last year off 2lb lower and she tuned up nicely for a repeat with a solid runner-up effort at Beverley last time out. Heavy ground should pose no concerns and she may have too much for the in-form Albeseeingyer, who arrives in search of a five-timer. Margaret's Fuchsia wasn't beaten far at Yarmouth and must also enter calculations.
ALBESEEINGYER needed to up her game considerably to make it four in a row at Doncaster on reappearance and she's well worth chancing to keep up her winning sequence. Eponina is respected given her course record and there's reason to think Star Sound can improve now switched to handicaps.
The progressive ALBESEEINGYER is taken to extend her winning spree to five. Eponina might follow her home.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
I'd Go Maniac |
(8) (28/1 -56%)28/1(-56%) | (8) I'd Go Maniac 28/1, £30,000 3-y-o, Bow Creek gelding. Dam, 17f-21f hurdle/chase winner, half-sister to smart hurdler/very smart chaser (15f-2¾m winner in France) Saint Goustan Blue. Considered newcomer. £30,000 3yo; respected newcomer from a yard that does well in these races.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1st (10) (7/1 -56%) Kintail |
7/1(-56%) | (10) Kintail 7/1, Blue Bresil gelding who made a promising start when second of 5 in bumper (85/40) at Wincanton 27 days ago. Firmly in the picture with better to come. Yard also have Ideal des Bordes in here. Couldn't live with the winner at Wincanton and Nico De Boinville has jumped ship.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (1) (2/1 +20%) Rock House |
2/1(+20%) | (1) Rock House 2/1, Easy winner of sole start between the flags last spring and he looked a good prospect when readily landing bumper at Huntingdon 33 days ago. Big player with more to come. Point winner and wasn't overly pressed to make a successful bumper debut at Huntingdon.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (3) (1.1/1 +41%) Ideal Des Bordes |
1.1/1(+41%) | (3) Ideal Des Bordes 1.1/1, €115,000 3-y-o, Coastal Path gelding. Dam, ran twice over hurdles, half-sister to useful hurdler/chaser (stayed 3m) Utopie des Bordes. Won his sole start in points in December. One to take seriously on debut. Made winning Irish point debut in December and has joined a top stable for rules career.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (4) (8.5/1 -89%) Saint Jaguen |
8.5/1(-89%) | (4) Saint Jaguen 8.5/1, Given a considerate introduction when fifth in Hereford bumper in November. Has since undergone wind surgery and also wears a first-time tongue tie. Can't be ruled out. Better was expected at Hereford; had wind surgery and now tongue tied.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (13) (66/1 +18%) The Grey Man |
66/1(+18%) | (13) The Grey Man 66/1, Dartmouth gelding. Dam, fairly useful 21f/2¾m hurdle/chase winner, sister to useful hurdler/smart chaser (stayed 2¾m) Rathlin and bumper winner Grotesque. Market can guide. First foal; dam 2m5f hurdle/2m6f chase winner; trainer runs two newcomers.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (14) (20/1 +60%) Tiger Blade |
20/1(+60%) | (14) Tiger Blade 20/1, Sixth of 17 in bumper (66/1) at this C&D (good to soft) on NH debut 16 days ago. Needs to build on it. This 4yo ran okay here 16 days ago when sixth of 17; has ability.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (9) (66/1 +0%) Kingoftheswingerz |
66/1(+0%) | (9) Kingoftheswingerz 66/1, Diamond Boy gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including fair hurdler Flemings Dream and fair chaser Head On. Betting can prove a good indicator. Related to winners of hurdles, chases and bumpers but unlikely to be the answer on debut.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (11) (28/1 +15%) Molly's Third Man |
28/1(+15%) | (11) Molly's Third Man 28/1, Remote fourth of 8 in bumper (3/1) at Wetherby (16f, soft) on NH debut 37 days ago. Needs to step forward. Raced freely and faded into a very remote fourth at Wetherby; was only 3-1 there.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (12) (100/1 -52%) No No Espresso |
100/1(-52%) | (12) No No Espresso 100/1, Sixth of 9 in bumper (8/1) at Huntingdon (15.8f, good to soft) on NH debut 27 days ago. More is needed. Came under pressure some way out at Huntingdon (good to soft) and was beaten some 22l.. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (7) (50/1 +0%) Helpful |
50/1(+0%) | (7) Helpful 50/1, Oasis Dream gelding. Dam unraced. Had a wind op ahead of his debut. Market can guide. Second foal; dam unraced sister to French 1m4f Listed winner Birch Grove.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
1st: Easy winner of sole start between the flags last spring and he looked a good prospect when readily landing bumper at Huntingdon 33 days ago. 2nd: 28/1 (6) ULTRA BEAT, Third to an impressive winner here in March and that gives him strong form claims. 3rd: 5/1 (10) KINTAIL, Blue Bresil gelding who made a promising start when second of 5 in bumper (85/40) at Wincanton 27 days ago. Firmly in the picture with better to come.
Rock House won on his debut under Rules at Huntingdon and now has to carry a 7lb penalty, which could leave the door open for IDEAL DES BORDES. The son of Coastal Path won a point-to-point in Ireland and could be well up to the task on his Rules debut under Nico de Boinville. Saint Jaguen is of interest as he sports a first-time tongue-tie and returns to action after undergoing a wind operation.
ROCK HOUSE looked a good prospect when impressively landing a Huntingdon bumper last month and is taken to successfully concede weight all round. Nicky Henderson's Irish point winner Ideal des Bordes and promising Wincanton second Kintail both command plenty of respect though. Saint Jaguen and I'd Go Maniac are two more to consider in an interesting bumper.
Despite Kintail shaping with promise on his debut Nico De Boinville has jumped ship to stablemate IDEAL DES BORDES.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (1) (2.75/1 +17%) Big Bear Hug |
2.75/1(+17%) | (1) Big Bear Hug 2.75/1, Below form fourth of 10 in handicap at this course (10f, heavy, 7/1) 14 days ago. Return to this trip should suit and she ran well on reappearance, so worthy of respect. Inconsistent maiden who holds claims on either of her two 1m efforts on soft/heavy ground. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (5) (1.75/1 +61%) Distinction |
1.75/1(+61%) | (5) Distinction 1.75/1, One win from 36 Flat runs. Good fourth of 14 in handicap (14/1) at Beverley (7.4f, soft) 12 days ago, not clear run. Fairly treated on the pick of last year's efforts, so shouldn't be dismissed. More in two runs back this spring off a career-low mark; has conditions to suit; player. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (4) (8.5/1 -21%) Kingwell |
8.5/1(-21%) | (4) Kingwell 8.5/1, Winner at Wolverhampton in February. 8/1, last of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f) 72 days ago. Others make more appeal. Off since poor one ten weeks ago (no explanation offered); never tackled these conditions. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (3) (33/1 -83%) Long Call |
33/1(-83%) | (3) Long Call 33/1, Course winner. Ninth of 10 in handicap (50/1) at this course (10f, heavy) 14 days ago, slowly away. Dropped to a handy mark and might strip fitter for that return. Ran poorly on his 1m2f comeback here a fortnight ago, when tailed off behind Big Bear Hug. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (2) (2/1 -100%) Buraback |
2/1(-100%) | (2) Buraback 2/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, respectable third of 6 in handicap at Lingfield (7f, AW, 6/4) 9 days ago, doing well in the circumstances having been very slowly away. Worth chancing. No problems with heavy ground last autumn but needs to settle much better back up from 7f. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary, I predict that 4/1 (5) DISTINCTION, 1.1/1 (2) BURABACK, and 3.33/1 (1) BIG BEAR HUG will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd respectively. 4/1 (5) DISTINCTION has had recent successful runs and has appropriate conditions, 1.1/1 (2) BURABACK had a respectable third place finish despite starting slowly, and 3.33/1 (1) BIG BEAR HUG has shown potential on soft/heavy ground and has the advantage of a return to a preferred distance. 18/1 (3) LONG CALL has not shown recent form and 7/1 (4) KINGWELL has not been competitive in their last few races. Player has the potential based on their past performances but has not shown recent success.
BURABACK has been through several trainers in his career, but he has shown particular promise of late for Michael Appleby, for whom he has run with credit on his last three starts. The son of Buratino has performed well under these conditions before and gets the vote ahead of the likes of Big Bear Hug, and Distinction, who is winless since August 2021.
BURABACK is unexposed for his current stable and did very well to get third at Lingfield recently considering he completely blew the start, so he gets the nod ahead of Big Bear Hug, who should bounce back to form returning to a more suitable trip. Distinction is also considered.
Buraback needs to settle upped from 7f and DISTINCTION, who has conditions to suit, looks the way to go.
Ths is the racecard key.
Icon | Meaning |
---|---|
TomForm top stats, gold rated | |
TomForm top stats silver rated | |
Ran similar race before | |
S | TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out |
T | Top Time speeed rated |
Top Racingpost rated | |
At the races watchout for | |
At the races top pick | |
Top rated for thet statistic |
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.
There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.
The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.
Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.
In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.
Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.