There were 44 Races on Thursday 11th May 2023 across 6 meetings. There was 7 races at Huntingdon, 7 races at Chester, 8 races at Southwell, 8 races at Clonmel, 7 races at Thirsk, 7 races at Chelmsford-City, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (3/1 +25%) Nymphadora |
3/1(+25%) | (3) Nymphadora 3/1, Listed winner on second start in May 2021 but lightly raced and unable to add to her tally since. Probably needed the run on April's return from 10 months off but needs to leave that well behind. Fair weights chance, including on C&D form, but might prefer a stiffer test at 5f. |
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2nd (1) (2.5/1 +38%) King's Lynn |
2.5/1(+38%) | (1) King's Lynn 2.5/1, Better than ever when landing Temple Stakes at Haydock last May. Highly tried and limitations exposed when tackling Group 1 company later in the season. Hampered early on last month's reappearance so given a pass for that. Should run much closer to form back at 5f/eased in class. Very smart on his day; C&D form at this meeting the last 2 years; acts on all ground. |
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3rd (8) (3.33/1 -11%) Lihou |
3.33/1(-11%) | (8) Lihou 3.33/1, Had been in good form on AW (won 3 times over 5f since the start of the year) and transferred that back over to turf when adding to tally at Epsom 16 days ago. 2 lb out of the weights but he's clearly in excellent nick. Got up late to win at Epsom (5f, soft); more to do from out of weights in better race. |
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4th (5) (6.5/1 +7%) Night On Earth |
6.5/1(+7%) | (5) Night On Earth 6.5/1, Three wins during a very busy 2022 campaign, latest of them at Nottingham in August. Weakened as though in need of the run on last month's reappearance and expected to last longer this time. C&D winner; 3rd to Look Out Louis here last May and big weights turnaround; aids return. |
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5th (4) (10/1 +17%) Harry's Bar |
10/1(+17%) | (4) Harry's Bar 10/1, Excellent career strike rate, winning 14 times in all, latest of them at Dundalk. Shaped quite well at Newcastle last month and while he's not as effective on turf, his mark does reflect that. Multiple AW winner; 0-14 on turf but does act on grass; wouldn't want to see much rain. |
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6th (2) (8.5/1 -55%) Look Out Louis |
8.5/1(-55%) | (2) Look Out Louis 8.5/1, Gained two of 4 wins during an excellent 2022 campaign over this C&D. Found listed company too much final outing last term and almost certainly needed the run when last seen in February. Off since but returns for in-form yard. Progressive 5f handicapper; won all three handicaps here, including this race last year. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
Prediction: 5.5/1 (2) LOOK OUT LOUIS is likely to do well in this race based on his past performances and form. 4/1 (1) KING'S LYNN and 7/1 (5) NIGHT ON EARTH are the other horses that could finish in 2nd and 3rd place respectively. 22/1 (6) MOKAATIL and 3/1 (8) LIHOU may not be as well-suited to the track and 12/1 (4) HARRY'S BAR may struggle on turf. 4/1 (3) NYMPHADORA has potential but may need more time to regain her form.
This can go the way of course specialist LOOK OUT LOUIS, who won this contest off 14lb lower last year and had a nice pipe-opener in a Listed contest at Lingfield in February. Another previous winner at this meeting, Lihou has been in terrific form of late and must enter calculations, along with talented Irish raider Harry's Bar. Nymphadora may be winless since May 2021, but some of her form from last season gives her a chance.
It could be worth siding with NIGHT ON EARTH who seems sure to strip fitter with his reappearance behind him and he's landed the inside stall. King's Lynn hasn't been as lucky in the draw department but he adds a touch of class to the race, with Look Out Louis another to consider for his in-form yard.
Look Out Louis is unbeaten in sprint handicaps here but LIHOU is better drawn and looked in good form on soft at Epsom last time.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (1.75/1 +0%) Park Hill Dancer |
1.75/1(+0%) | (4) Park Hill Dancer 1.75/1, Exeter bumper scorer who lost little caste in defeat when runner-up to a useful sort on hurdles bow at Market Rasen (20.6f) in December. Quite possible he lacked for stamina upped to 23f at Uttoxeter and back on track to an extent when second at Doncaster. Promising second on hurdle debut but weakened tamely when favourite for next two races. |
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2nd (1) (1.75/1 -17%) A Definite Getaway |
1.75/1(-17%) | (1) A Definite Getaway 1.75/1, Fair maiden hurdler who ran right up to form when second of 10 at Market Rasen a month ago (20.6f). Repeat of that may well suffice. Does not have an entirely convincing hurdle record but ran well when second last month. |
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3rd (2) (18/1 -13%) Fandabidozi |
18/1(-13%) | (2) Fandabidozi 18/1, Modest staying handicapper on the Flat. Fair start to hurdling career at Warwick a fortnight ago (19f) and this is an easier race. 1-25 on the Flat; shaped quite well on hurdle debut but may be flattered by the bare form. |
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4th (3) (2/1 +33%) Final Encore |
2/1(+33%) | (3) Final Encore 2/1, Half-brother to smart hurdler Third Wind for these connections and left his debut form well behind when landing a Taunton bumper a year ago. Runner-up on hurdles debut in March before being found out in a much deeper race at Cheltenham. Found Cheltenham too hot last month but his Taunton second was quite promising. |
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5th (6) (125/1 -25%) Madam May |
125/1(-25%) | (6) Madam May 125/1, Limited impact in bumpers. Well down the field in all three bumpers; can't be recommended on today's hurdling debut. |
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|PU| (5) (40/1 -60%) Honey Davis |
40/1(-60%) | (5) Honey Davis 40/1, First foal, dam (h93), untrustworthy bumper/3m hurdle winner, closely related to fairly useful hurdler (stayed 3m) Small World. First foal from a bumper/low-grade hurdle winner; probably best watched on debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary provided, 1.5/1 (1) A DEFINITE GETAWAY is the most likely to do well as they have a recent solid performance and have run consistently. Therefore, our prediction for the top three horses are: 1st: 1.5/1 (1) A DEFINITE GETAWAY 2nd: 1.75/1 (4) PARK HILL DANCER 3rd: 3/1 (3) FINAL ENCORE
A DEFINITE GETAWAY arrives here on the back of two second-placed finishes and this appears to be a perfect opportunity for the five-year-old to go one better. Park Hill Dancer has the ability to give the selection plenty to think about, while Final Encore came up short in a good Cheltenham race last time but he is more than capable of making the frame at this level.
A DEFINITE GETAWAY isn't obviously capable of better but a repeat of his runner-up effort at Market Rasen a month ago may well get the job done. Park Hill Dancer is the obvious threat, though this is a much easier race than Final Encore's latest assignment.
Tentative preference is for A DEFINITE GETAWAY, who was inconsistent last season but ran well on his latest outing.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Lord Sam's Castle |
(2) (28/1 -27%)28/1(-27%) | (2) Lord Sam's Castle 28/1, Latest win at Newcastle in November. 11/4, below-form fourth of 5 in handicap at this C&D. Off 116 days. Needs to bounce back. No apparent excuses here in January and others might be better treated.. |
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1st (3) (20/1 -25%) Mustajaab |
20/1(-25%) | (3) Mustajaab 20/1, Lightly-raced winner. Eighth of 9 in nursery (22/1) at Newmarket (7f, good). Off 7 months. Makes tapeta debut. Easy to look elsewhere at these weights. Only eighth on his handicap debut last backend and perhaps high in the weights.. |
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2nd (4) (0.8/1 +42%) Yorkshire |
0.8/1(+42%) | (4) Yorkshire 0.8/1, Promising sort who won 7-runner minor event at this course (6.1f) 56 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Looks competitive on form. Good value for his 6f novice win here and stepping up to 7f shouldn't be a bother at all.. |
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3rd (6) (9/1 +0%) Little Edi |
9/1(+0%) | (6) Little Edi 9/1, 1 win from 3 runs this year. Latest win at Kempton in February. Last of 8 in handicap at Newbury (7f, heavy, 11/2) 20 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Needs to get back on track. In form on the AW before presumably failing to handle soft ground at Newbury.. |
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4th (7) (3.6/1 +28%) A Taste Of Honey |
3.6/1(+28%) | (7) A Taste Of Honey 3.6/1, 4/1, posted a career best when winning 9-runner handicap at Lingfield (7f, AW) 43 days ago, well on top finish. Makes tapeta debut. Open to further improvement and should make a bold bid for the hat-trick. Dictated throughout for a successful handicap debut at Lingfield; up just 3lb.. |
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5th (8) (33/1 -175%) Juryman |
33/1(-175%) | (8) Juryman 33/1, 9/1, career best when winning 15-runner handicap at Doncaster (7f, heavy) 13 days ago, keeping on well. Can give another good account despite a 4 lb rise. Second run since gelded when coming nicely clear in a soft-ground 7f handicap at Doncaster. |
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6th (5) (7.5/1 +6%) Odin Owns You All |
7.5/1(+6%) | (5) Odin Owns You All 7.5/1, Lightly-raced winner. C&D winner in February. 15/8, good second of 5 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 31 days ago, no match for winner. Much respected. C&D winner who ran a solid second on his handicap debut at Wolverhampton; same mark.. |
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7th (1) (10/1 -82%) Choisya |
10/1(-82%) | (1) Choisya 10/1, Lightly-raced winner. C&D winner in January. 2/1, very good second of 5 in handicap at Kempton (8f) 71 days ago. Ought to be in the shake-up. Open to further improvement and dropping back to 7f might be a good thing.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are likely to finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd are: 1st: 12/1 (8) JURYMAN - He has won his last race and has shown improvement since being gelded. He is expected to give another good account despite the 4lb rise in weight. 2nd: 8/1 (5) ODIN OWNS YOU ALL - He has won a C&D race before and ran a solid second in his last race. He is much respected and is expected to perform well. 3rd: 5/1 (7) A TASTE OF HONEY - She has won her last two races and is open to further improvement. She should make a bold bid for the hat-trick and is expected to finish in the top three.
Runner-up on her two most recent starts, including over this trip at Lingfield in February, CHOISYA is entitled to go one better here. She is fairly well-related and the unexposed daughter of Night Of Thunder may be capable of better, despite a 2lb rise for her most recent outing. Yorkshire seemed to appreciate a return to the all-weather when securing a game victory over 6f in March and he is feared, while Odin Owns You All is another to consider.
A TASTE OF HONEY's form is on an upward curve and a 3 lb rise for her emphatic Lingfield success doesn't look sufficient to prevent her from completing a hat-trick. Course-winner Yorkshire also looks to have better days ahead of him and is feared most ahead of C&D winner Choisya.
A Taste Of Honey still looks well handicapped but preference is for YORKSHIRE, who impressed here two months ago.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (3.5/1 +30%) Surely Not |
3.5/1(+30%) | (6) Surely Not 3.5/1, Dual winner last season and, in line with yard's good start to the season he duly improved to make a winning return at Newmarket (1m) 3 weeks ago, well suited by coming off a strong gallop. 7 lb higher now but another not out of things partnered by William Buick. Third win when reappearing to see off 15 rivals at Newmarket last month; respected up 7lb. |
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2nd (9) (28/1 -75%) Self Aclaim |
28/1(-75%) | (9) Self Aclaim 28/1, Promise when third on debut at Wolverhampton in November and built on that to land a 7f maiden at that venue the following month. Found a little more progress to follow up under a penalty at Newcastle in January (had run of race) but this demands more now handicapping. Two AW wins over winter; presumably been targeted at this by local stable. |
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3rd (8) (6.5/1 -8%) Urban Sprawl |
6.5/1(-8%) | (8) Urban Sprawl 6.5/1, Likeable type who signed off for 2022 with back-to-back 7f nursery wins at Sandown and Ascot. Lost nothing in defeat behind a thriving, race fit rival on return at Musselburgh (1m) 11 days ago and another in with a shout for all this is a step up in grade. Three 7f nursery wins at 2; good second on 1m Musselburgh return 11 days ago; player. |
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4th (3) (3.33/1 +0%) Vetiver |
3.33/1(+0%) | (3) Vetiver 3.33/1, Confirmed debut promise when running out a cosy winner of a Beverley novice (7.4f) in September and justified strong support to make a winning return under a penalty at that venue (8.5f) 3 weeks ago, tanking through the race and eased clear final 1f. Big shout now handicapping from handy draw. Two ready novice wins at Beverley; more needed here but looks capable of better again. |
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5th (4) (14/1 -40%) Promoter |
14/1(-40%) | (4) Promoter 14/1, Showcasing colt who had clearly derived plenty from debut run when running out a ready winner of a Chepstow novice (7f) in September. Couldn't make an impact in Group 3 Horris HIll final start but he remains unexposed now embarking on 3-y-o campaign. Yard in good form. Easy novice win last autumn before fifth in Group 3; should have more to offer at 3. |
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6th (7) (11/1 -83%) Lord Uhtred |
11/1(-83%) | (7) Lord Uhtred 11/1, Progressed with each start last term, culminating with victory in 11-runner minor event at Kempton (7f) in September. Not seen to best effect (raced in unfavoured group) on return/handicap debut at Newbury (7f) 3 weeks ago and he remains the type to do better. Progressive at 2; better than result on reappearance; remains capable of better. |
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7th (1) (1.75/1 +50%) Theoryofeverything |
1.75/1(+50%) | (1) Theoryofeverything 1.75/1, Bred in the purple and created a taking impression when making a winning debut in a Doncaster novice (7f, heavy) in April, going clear under hand riding final 1f. Very encouraging third in Group 3 Greenham (7f) at Newbury 3 weeks ago and very interesting switched to handicaps. Promising start last month, winning on debut then third in Greenham; surely more to come. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
1st: 3.5/1 (1) THEORYOFEVERYTHING 2nd: 5/1 (6) SURELY NOT 3rd: 10/1 (4) PROMOTER
VETIVER made quite the impression when scoring readily at Beverley last month and she is drawn to attack from the front once more from stall two. A mark of 90 on her handicap debut could underestimate her and she gets the vote ahead of Greenham third Theoryofeverything and Self Aclaim, who arrives on a hat-trick. We might not have seen the best of Urban Sprawl yet and he is another to note.
A really intriguing 3-y-o handicap and despite a less-than-ideal draw it could pay to side with THEORYOFEVERYTHING. A most impressive winner on debut at Doncaster, he ran well upped markedly in class when third in the Greenham at Newbury subsequently and there's highly likely more to come now handicapping. Easy Beverley scorer Vetiver is feared from a handy draw, along with Urban Sprawl and Lord Uhtred.
The front-running URBAN SPRAWL made a good return to action when second in a competiive Musselburgh race and can go one better now.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (20/1 -208%) Estacas |
20/1(-208%) | (3) Estacas 20/1, Useful in bumpers for Andreas Wohler and posted best effort for current yard when runner-up in Ludlow maiden (15.7f) in February. Ran as if possibly amiss at Huntingdon since, though. Since had a wind op. 66-1 second in Ludlow novice in February but has since run very poorly over C&D. |
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2nd (7) (6.5/1 -63%) Choirmaster |
6.5/1(-63%) | (7) Choirmaster 6.5/1, Fairly useful on Flat but has failed to see his race out over hurdles so far. Breathing op/tongue tie may help in that regard and he's in good hands now handicapping. Fair on the Flat and has shown some promise over hurdles; handicap debut today. |
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3rd (2) (1.25/1 +38%) Parc D'Amour |
1.25/1(+38%) | (2) Parc D'Amour 1.25/1, Bumper winner who travelled with plenty of purpose when runner-up on handicap debut at Warwick 10 days ago. Hood fitted and he looks ahead of his mark. 5lb well in after clear second to a well-backed improver on recent handicap debut. |
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4th (1) (3.5/1 +42%) I Hope Star |
3.5/1(+42%) | (1) I Hope Star 3.5/1, Dual-bumper winner who hasn't reached that level of form over hurdles, for all he's been placed on his last 3 starts. Eased 2 lb on this second handicap start and he can remain competitive. Placed on last three hurdling starts, most recent on handicap debut; in the mix again. |
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5th (6) (125/1 -594%) Chargo |
125/1(-594%) | (6) Chargo 125/1, Fair maiden on the Flat. Limited impact on 4 hurdles starts for Gordon Elliott and heavy defeat back on the level at Windsor recently needs casting aside. Placed in two 3yo hurdles in Ireland last summer but well beaten in a recent Flat handicap. |
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6th (5) (20/1 -11%) Valamix |
20/1(-11%) | (5) Valamix 20/1, Showed improvement for step up in trip when second of 6 in novice hurdle at Uttoxeter (19.9f) in July. Handed a stiff mark and no impact at Worcester a month later. Not seen since last summer's disappointing handicap debut; others look much safer. |
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|PU| (4) (3/1 +25%) Odin's Quest |
3/1(+25%) | (4) Odin's Quest 3/1, Bumper winner who built on earlier promise (without usual hood) when landing weak Wincanton maiden hurdle last month. More to do now handicapping but he's in good hands. Has only one eye. Made all in modest Wincanton maiden last month; can probably improve again here. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st - 2/1 (2) PARC D'AMOUR 2nd - 6/1 (1) I HOPE STAR 3rd - 4/1 (4) ODIN'S QUEST
PARC D'AMOUR only found one too good on his handicap debut at Warwick 10 days ago and the first-time application of a hood could help him to score off the same mark here. Odin's Quest won a maiden hurdle at Wincanton recently and an opening rating of 103 should be workable for him. I Hope Star is the pick of the remainder.
PARC D'AMOUR travelled like a well-handicapped horse at Warwick 10 days ago, and with a hood hopefully settling him down early, he can prove that point here. Odin's Quest is the chief threat, though Choirmaster is of some interest with a tongue strap fitted on the back of a breathing op.
Kim Bailey's PARC D'AMOUR found one just too good on his recent handicap debut but can gain quick compensation off the same mark here.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (12/1 -140%) Ormolulu |
12/1(-140%) | (9) Ormolulu 12/1, Promising individual. 40/1, second of 7 in maiden at this C&D on debut 27 days ago. Open to progress. Runner-up on her debut over C&D last month; each-way claims. |
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2nd (7) (2/1 -33%) Dear Daphne |
2/1(-33%) | (7) Dear Daphne 2/1, Unruly beforehand when fourth of 7 in novice event at Pontefract (6f, good to soft) 17 days ago. Sets a fair standard on her handicap run prior to that. Disappointing last time but went close over C&D the time before; solid chance on that form. |
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3rd (5) (1/1 +64%) Okami |
1/1(+64%) | (5) Okami 1/1, €60,000 foal, 22,000 gns yearling, £70,000 2-y-o, Showcasing gelding. Dam, 1¼m winner who stayed 1¾m, half-sister to moody 5f-6f winner Sunrise Safari and winner up to 7f (stayed 1¼m) Rosso Corsa (both smart). Newcomer for top yard. Represents a top yard and respected on debut, especially if the market is positive. |
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4th (4) (150/1 -275%) Nautical Dream |
150/1(-275%) | (4) Nautical Dream 150/1, Last of 7 in novice event at this C&D (16/1) on debut 32 days ago, slowly away. Last of seven on C&D debut last month; needs more time. |
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5th (1) (22/1 +0%) Miss Willows |
22/1(+0%) | (1) Miss Willows 22/1, Twice-raced filly. 80/1 and hooded for first time, fourth of 11 in novice event at Doncaster (6f, heavy) 13 days ago. Has shown ability in her first two starts but looks one for handicaps after this. |
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6th (3) (4/1 -20%) Kracking |
4/1(-20%) | (3) Kracking 4/1, Promising type. Hooded, last of 3 in novice event at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 9/2) on debut 26 days ago, very slowly away. Will know more this time. Last of three on debut but did well to finish as close as he did; one for the shortlist. |
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7th (8) (150/1 -127%) Diamond Hands |
150/1(-127%) | (8) Diamond Hands 150/1, Twice-raced filly. Last of 10 in novice event at Lingfield (7f, AW, 66/1) 15 days ago. Some ability in the first of two starts at Lingfield; can be handicapped after this. |
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8th (6) (100/1 -203%) Smokey Lonesome |
100/1(-203%) | (6) Smokey Lonesome 100/1, Tamayuz colt. Half-brother to 2-y-o 7f winner lady of Inishfree. Dam 1¼m-1½m winner out of smart winner up to 12.5f (2-y-o 9f winner) Oiseau Rare. Wouldn't be an obvious winner first time out; will probably need much further on breeding. |
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9th (2) (100/1 -52%) Brother Dave |
100/1(-52%) | (2) Brother Dave 100/1, Twice-raced gelding. Tenth of 11 in novice event (80/1) at Doncaster (6f, heavy) 13 days ago. Some ability on C&D debut but beaten a long way at Doncaster next time; one for handicaps. |
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10th (10) (80/1 +20%) Roxy's Charm |
80/1(+20%) | (10) Roxy's Charm 80/1, Last of 15 in maiden (40/1) at Thirsk (5f, good to firm) on debut, very slowly away. Off 12 months. Up in trip. Hooded for first time. Last on her Thirsk debut a year ago; hood goes on. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, it is difficult to determine with certainty which horse will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place. However, 5/1 (9) ORMOLULU and 1.5/1 (7) DEAR DAPHNE are mentioned as promising and having each-way claims, respectively. 2.75/1 (5) OKAMI is also respected as a newcomer from a top yard. 33/1 (6) SMOKEY LONESOME and 100/1 (10) ROXY'S CHARM are not expected to be strong contenders. The remaining horses have shown some ability but may be more suited for handicaps in the future.
This could go the way of ORMOLULU, who made a promising start to her racing career when filling the runner-up spot over C&D last month. She has a solid chance of breaking her maiden at the second time of asking and is taken to come on for a reputable stable. Okami rates an interesting newcomer and the gelded son of Showcasing cannot be underestimated for powerful connections. Kracking looks the pick of the remainder.
OKAMI's sales prices increased as a 2-y-o and while he didn't race last year he's been gelded ahead of debut for his top yard and is likely to know his job. He could be the answer, with Dear Daphne a big threat if back on her game, along with Ormolulu.
It may be worth chancing KRACKING who finished last of three on his Wolverhampton debut but did well to finish as close as he did.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (3.2/1 +20%) San Antonio |
3.2/1(+20%) | (7) San Antonio 3.2/1, Continued his race-by-race progression when bolting up in a Dundalk maiden (10.7f, 10/3) just under 6 weeks ago. Bound to keep on improving and yard have a superb record in this contest (won 4 out of last 5 renewals). Won well in maiden at Dundalk (10.5f, AW) six weeks ago; sure to make further progress. |
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2nd (3) (1.1/1 +56%) Alder |
1.1/1(+56%) | (3) Alder 1.1/1, Opened his account second time up at Killarney last year and picked up from where he left off 7 months prior to double his tally at Cork (10.1f, good to soft) just under 3 weeks ago, suited by the increase in trip. Should have even more to offer so is a must for the shortlist. Tidy win at Cork (1m2f, good to yielding) on latest; the form pick and looks promising. |
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3rd (1) (2.5/1 +29%) Local Dynasty |
2.5/1(+29%) | (1) Local Dynasty 2.5/1, Dubawi colt who took his record to 3 wins from 4 starts when taking a listed contest at Pontefract last in October. Likely to make a smart performer this season (holds a Dante entry) so looks sure to be in the mix upped to 1¼m for his in-form yard. 2yo career culminating in Pontefract Listed win (1m; by a head) in October; sure to stay. |
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4th (5) (22/1 -10%) Lose Your Wad |
22/1(-10%) | (5) Lose Your Wad 22/1, Muhaarar colt who didn't show much improvement to get off the mark 6 months on from his debut in maiden at Kempton (8f) just over 5 weeks ago, tiring late as he looked set to win in more dominant style. Big step forward required but is open to plenty improvement for a red-hot yard. Narrow winner of Kempton maiden (1m, AW) but the form has been boosted; dam 14.5f winner. |
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5th (2) (33/1 +18%) Afterwards |
33/1(+18%) | (2) Afterwards 33/1, Took a step forward from debut effort after 2 months off when winning novice at Newcastle (8f) just over 8 weeks ago. Upped further in trip but likely to struggle in this company. Won with a late bid in novice at Newcastle (1m, AW) in March; this is much more demanding. |
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6th (8) (25/1 -25%) Stormbuster |
25/1(-25%) | (8) Stormbuster 25/1, Second in a 1m Salisbury listed before producing a useful effort to get off the mark in a 1m Newbury novice in September. Finished last on final outing in 2022 and it was a similar story on return in a listed event at Epsom recently, again hanging left. Best to look elsewhere. Disappointing at Epsom (1m2f, soft) 16 days ago; needs marked overall improvement too. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
1st - 2.5/1 (3) ALDER 2nd - 3.5/1 (1) LOCAL DYNASTY 3rd - 10/1 (4) HADRIANUS
A taking winner at Cork on his return last month, ALDER could be a Derby prospect for Donnacha O'Brien and he can go a long way to cementing his place by scoring in this valuable contest. The son of Australia remains unexposed at this trip and his form is of a higher level than Newmarket debut winner Passenger and San Antonio, who hails from the stable which has won this contest in four of the last five years. The well-related Local Dynasty is another to consider.
Aidan O'Brien has had a stranglehold on this contest in recent seasons, but this year he may be forced to play second fiddle to son Donnacha in the shape of ALDER, who relished the step up in trip when scoring at Cork on return just under 3 weeks ago and he can take this step up in class in his stride. San Antonio is put forward as the main danger after his impressive display at Dundalk, with Local Dynasty and Passenger another couple fancied to be in the mix.
The form choice is ALDER who has improved on every start, scoring in some style last time. Passenger may be the chief threat.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (5.5/1 +27%) Blueberry Wine |
5.5/1(+27%) | (7) Blueberry Wine 5.5/1, Resumed winning ways at Bangor in March before posting a respectable fourth of 9 in handicap there 19 days ago. Needs considering eased 1 lb. Well-run race and/or rain will be welcome; 0-6 in handicaps off 105 or higher, though.. |
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2nd (5) (5/1 +17%) Captain Broomfield |
5/1(+17%) | (5) Captain Broomfield 5/1, Lightly-raced maiden hurdler. Pulled up in handicap chase (evens) here on his debut over fences 173 days ago so has something to prove. Retains potential; irregular heartbeat found after chase/handicap debut flop here latest.. |
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3rd (6) (18/1 -50%) Dino Velvet |
18/1(-50%) | (6) Dino Velvet 18/1, Fairly useful winning chaser at his best but well held on recent return from 7-month absence at Market Rasen and Exeter. Tumbling down the weights but plenty to prove at present. Career-low mark and drop back from 2m3f rate positives, but won't be wanting rain.. |
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4th (2) (2.25/1 +44%) Elios D'Or |
2.25/1(+44%) | (2) Elios D'Or 2.25/1, Three-time 2m winner last season. Respectable third of 8 in handicap hurdle at Warwick (16f) 10 days ago so he's much respected back chasing now. Remains on career-high chase mark, but at his most effective at class 4 in this sphere.. |
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5th (1) (3.33/1 +17%) Viva Lavilla |
3.33/1(+17%) | (1) Viva Lavilla 3.33/1, Point/hurdles winner who posted just a fair third in cheekpieces in five-runner Ffos Las handicap 16 days ago. Not entirely dismissed witth headgear retained. Didn't settle latest; down another 2lb, but whether shorter trip rates a plus is moot.. |
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6th (4) (6/1 -20%) Somekindofstar |
6/1(-20%) | (4) Somekindofstar 6/1, Made a winning start for current yard at Warwick in September and he shaped well after 5 months off when fourth of 8 in handicap chase at Warwick (20f) 10 days ago, doing too much too soon. Player off an unchanged mark. Faded as if needing it on this month's return; defied today's mark over 2m in early 2022.. |
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7th (3) (14/1 -300%) Ragamuffin |
14/1(-300%) | (3) Ragamuffin 14/1, Progressive hurdler who has taken well to fences, recording his third victory in 2m handicap at Newton Abbot in August. Returns from 7 months off now but still can't be ruled out. First or second in all eight chase starts; stays further, and can go well after a break.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st: 3.5/1 (3) RAGAMUFFIN 2nd: 4/1 (2) ELIOS D'OR 3rd: 12/1 (6) DINO VELVET
The consistent Ragamuffin has to be respected on his return to action, but preference is for ELIOS D'OR. Robert Walford's gelding won well over hurdles at Kempton and his subsequent defeat at Warwick can be forgiven, although he is 10lb higher back over fences here. Viva Lavilla should not be underestimated, while Dino Velvet is another who could make the frame.
SOMEKINDOFSTAR signalled he's ready to go in again when a promising fourth at Warwick after a lay-off so gets the nod at the chief expense of Elios d'Or, who can build on his recent third at the same track now reverted to this sphere. Ragamuffin is another who needs factoring in despite a lack of a recent run.
Doubts over most, but ELIOS D'OR's 4-8 record in class 4 handicap chases gets him the narrow verdict over the returning Ragamuffin.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (0.5/1 +50%) Cruise |
0.5/1(+50%) | (8) Cruise 0.5/1, Lightly-raced filly. 4/5, good second of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 30 days ago. Sets the standard and looks to have found a good opportunity to open her account. Went close in successive 6f AW handicaps; claims if holding that form back in a maiden.. |
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2nd (1) (20/1 -43%) Crazy Crackers |
20/1(-43%) | (1) Crazy Crackers 20/1, Once-raced gelding. Fifth of 15 in maiden at Doncaster (7f, heavy, 125/1) on debut 13 days ago. Open to progress. Drops in trip for this switch to Tapeta and can build on that first run.. |
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3rd (4) (11/1 +8%) Master Dandy |
11/1(+8%) | (4) Master Dandy 11/1, 30,000 gns yearling, Dandy Man gelding. Half-brother to winner up to 5.3f Broadhaven Honey and 7f winner High Accolade. Dam, 2-y-o 5f-7f winner, half-sister to useful 6f winner Zaraee. Notable newcomer. 30,000gns yearling; trainer's runners in good form and had a recent 3yo AW debut winner.. |
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4th (7) (7/1 -17%) Rogue Soldier |
7/1(-17%) | (7) Rogue Soldier 7/1, Once-raced gelding. 13/2, fifth of 7 in maiden at Chelmsford City (7f) on debut 21 days ago, slowly away. Should do better and can't be discounted. Showed ability on debut; drop in trip positive; if settling better, he can have a big say.. |
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5th (2) (10/1 -43%) Exorbitant |
10/1(-43%) | (2) Exorbitant 10/1, Once-raced colt. 14/1, sixth of 10 in minor event at Kempton (6f) on debut 43 days ago. Should progress. Got the hang of things late on when showing promise at Kempton; can improve on that.. |
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6th (3) (50/1 -25%) Little Man |
50/1(-25%) | (3) Little Man 50/1, 5,000 gns 2-y-o, Invincible Spirit gelding. Half-brother to 11.5f winner Franco Grasso. Dam, useful 8.6f-1¼m winner, half-sister to useful winner up to 1m Good Old Boy Lukey. 5,000gns 2yo; pedigree suggests he is likely to do better over further in time.. |
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7th (10) (50/1 -150%) Kynsa |
50/1(-150%) | (10) Kynsa 50/1, Once-raced filly. 80/1, twelfth of 13 in minor event at Ascot (6f, good) on debut. Off 8 months. 80-1 on debut at Ascot (6f, good) last September when never on terms and beaten almost 7l.. |
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8th (6) (7.5/1 -7%) Optiva Star |
7.5/1(-7%) | (6) Optiva Star 7.5/1, Fair gelding. Remains a maiden after 7 Flat runs. Creditable fifth of 10 in handicap at Salisbury (6f, good to soft, 40/1) 7 days ago, unsuited by drop in trip. Did his best work late on back over 6f latest; looks competitive but also vulnerable.. |
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9th (9) (200/1 -300%) Haulfronhobbs |
200/1(-300%) | (9) Haulfronhobbs 200/1, Thrice-raced filly. Eighth of 10 in maiden at Chelmsford City (6f, 125/1) 14 days ago, not knocked about. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Big prices and well beaten in three starts over 6f-7f at Chelmsford; cheekpieces go on.. |
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10th (5) (22/1 +12%) Moulin Booj |
22/1(+12%) | (5) Moulin Booj 22/1, 5,000 gns foal, 26,000 gns yearling, Sioux Nation gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including 6f/7f winner Flirty Rascal and 2-y-o 5f winner Iva Go. Dam 7f winner. Half-brother to sprint winners; stable 18% with AW 3yos this season; market check.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
1st: 7/1 (6) OPTIVA STAR 2nd: 6/1 (7) ROGUE SOLDIER 3rd: 7/1 (2) EXORBITANT
This represents a good opportunity for CRUISE to get off the mark and she stands out in a contest lacking a considerable amount of depth. She reverts back to maiden territory following a creditable effort in a handicap last month and looks open to progression, but Rogue Soldier is fairly well-related and could improve from his racecourse debut dropping in trip. Crazy Crackers completes the shortlist.
CRUISE has made a positive start for her new stable and may do better still, so she looks well capable of opening her account against some opposition that hasn't achieved as much as she has. Master Dandy makes plenty of appeal on paper and is feared on debut, while Rogue Soldier could get involved if improving from first to second run.
The filly CRUISE has some invaluable experience under her belt and, if holding her form, she may be capable of breaking her duck.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (1.75/1 +13%) Hamish |
1.75/1(+13%) | (1) Hamish 1.75/1, Very smart gelding who landed this in stylish fashion last season. Won Cumberland Lodge subsequently and wasn't disgraced when narrowly denied by Max Vea in St Simon Stakes at Newbury on final out of the campaign. Should take all the beating. Better than ever last term, kicking off with a ready win in this race; strong candidate. |
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2nd (6) (10/1 +50%) Lone Eagle |
10/1(+50%) | (6) Lone Eagle 10/1, Very smart colt at his best for Martyn Meade, second in 2021 Irish Derby. Hasn't been able to reproduce that form since though, including when only fifth in John Porter Stakes at Newbury on debut for current yard. Others make more appeal. Below par since returning last term from injury; bit better on latest return, for new yard. |
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3rd (3) (1.1/1 +45%) Changingoftheguard |
1.1/1(+45%) | (3) Changingoftheguard 1.1/1, Chester Vase winner last year and was right back to form when landing the King Edward VII Stakes at Royal Ascot. Not seen since but has to be respected on return. Absent since 2022 Royal Ascot win (hairline fracture); a leading contender if in good form. |
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4th (8) (40/1 +20%) Sunchart |
40/1(+20%) | (8) Sunchart 40/1, Useful sort who wasn't at his best when a well-held fourth in a listed contest at Navan last time and would struggle in this company even on his best form. Nine 2nds, including in five Listed races and a Group 3, but win record on Flat is 1-20. |
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5th (4) (16/1 +0%) Enemy |
16/1(+0%) | (4) Enemy 16/1, Smart gelding. Latest win at Meydan in January. Better than result when 11¼ lengths eighth of 15 to Broome in Dubai Gold Cup at Meydan (15.9f, good to firm, 13/2) 47 days ago. Not taken lightly. Hit new heights on first two runs this year (Dubai and Saudi Arabia); form dipped latest. |
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6th (2) (11/1 +21%) Max Vega |
11/1(+21%) | (2) Max Vega 11/1, Smart sort who ran respectably in his bid for back-toback John Porter wins at Newbury 19 days ago. Should come on for that and is likely to put up a solid showing. Bit below form at Newbury last month, whereas winning this appears to require a new high. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
1st: 2/1 (1) HAMISH, 2nd: Better Than Ever, 3rd: 2/1 (3) CHANGINGOFTHEGUARD
Hamish has proven to run well fresh in the past and the gelded son of Motivator was only narrowly denied by MAX VEGA at Newbury when last seen in October. William Haggas' charge is prominent in the betting for the Yorkshire Cup, but Ralph Beckett's reopposing six-year-old is taken to confirm the Newbury form. He finished a decent third when giving 3lb to the first and second in the John Porter Stakes last month and that run offers plenty of encouragement. Changingoftheguard won the Chester Vase last year and is also respected.
HAMISH won this last year with something to spare and is very much the class act, so he gets the nod ahead of Enemy who did well in Dubai earlier in the year. A case can be made for most of the others, but Old Harrovian is perhaps the most intriguing of them having won so emphatically at Wolverhampton last time.
The most likely outcome is another Ormonde win for HAMISH. He is campaigned very selectively these days and usually to great effect.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (13) (25/1 -56%) Elsieanne |
25/1(-56%) | (13) Elsieanne 25/1, Well beaten in bumpers and similar story over hurdles. Significantly up in trip on handicap debut. Beaten 42l plus in her qualifying runs; step up to a stayer's trip not necessarily a plus.. |
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2nd (2) (7.5/1 +6%) Kentford Mallard |
7.5/1(+6%) | (2) Kentford Mallard 7.5/1, Successful at Southwell off a 1 lb lower mark last summer and back to that sort of level when fifth of 13 at Taunton (23.9f, soft) 2 weeks ago. Can make her presence felt. Under 1l second to Ratoute Yutty in this last year; solid run latest, and not ruled out.. |
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3rd (6) (8.5/1 +29%) Hey Frankie |
8.5/1(+29%) | (6) Hey Frankie 8.5/1, Runner-up 3 times over hurdles last summer and resumes in this sphere following a couple of low-key efforts in handicap chases since returning from a break in November. Not completely discounted off this reduced mark. Interesting on seconds in 2m4f-2m7f hurdles off up to 7lb higher last summer (good).. |
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4th (1) (6.5/1 -8%) Sadie Hill |
6.5/1(-8%) | (1) Sadie Hill 6.5/1, Belatedly off the mark when narrowly taking 8-runner handicap hurdle (12/1) at Ffos Las (21.9f, good to soft) 16 days ago. 3 lb rise fair and must enter calculations. Just held on in a Ffos Las 0-110 latest (2m6f, good to soft); 3lb higher in a weaker race.. |
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5th (10) (4.5/1 +44%) Milanese Rose |
4.5/1(+44%) | (10) Milanese Rose 4.5/1, Produced just about her best effort yet when runner-up at Plumpton (25f, good) in October but wasn't in the same form next time. Resumes here following a break of 6 months and sports a first-time tongue strap. Near-2l fourth in this in 2022; 0-13 overall but more appeal than many; tongue-tie added.. |
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6th (7) (5/1 -25%) Gaia Vallis |
5/1(-25%) | (7) Gaia Vallis 5/1, Scored a couple of times in 2021/22 and is in good form at present, seeing out the trip well when runner-up at Taunton (23.9f, soft, 13/2) a fortnight ago. Effective on good ground, too, and she's one to consider. Taunton neck second latest (3m, soft); still 4lb below her last winning mark; chance.. |
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7th (11) (5/1 +29%) Div Ine Tara |
5/1(+29%) | (11) Div Ine Tara 5/1, Made the frame on a couple of occasions in bumpers. Yet to better poor form over hurdles, held again at Ludlow (21.2f, good to soft) just over a fortnight ago. Step up in trip could bring out some improvement. Keeping-on Ludlow seventh latest over 2m5f, and looks ready for further now; down 2lb.. |
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8th (12) (11/1 +21%) Ratoute Yutty |
11/1(+21%) | (12) Ratoute Yutty 11/1, Both wins for her yard have come over C&D (including this race last year) under this rider. Recent efforts have been rather flat though, and her mark continues to fall as a result. Won this off 7lb higher in 2022; struggling over this C&D and elsewhere since, however.. |
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9th (9) (6/1 +33%) Bean Norty |
6/1(+33%) | (9) Bean Norty 6/1, Comfortably held in maiden/novice hurdles last autumn. Significantly up in trip on handicap debut and too soon to be writing her off. Beaten 37l-plus in three 2m events, but solid grounds for optimism now up sharply in trip.. |
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10th (3) (50/1 -213%) Nancy Till |
50/1(-213%) | (3) Nancy Till 50/1, Promising in Irish points but down the field on both completed outings over hurdles faced with an inadequate test. Sent handicapping over a more realistic trip but best watched. Frame finisher on both Irish point starts (soft); faded in a 2m4f hurdle here latest.. |
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11th (8) (25/1 +0%) Giveusacuddle |
25/1(+0%) | (8) Giveusacuddle 25/1, Little to shout about in points/all 4 starts under Rules, possibly flattered when beaten 23½ lengths at Fontwell (19.2f, good to firm) just under 3 weeks ago. Makes handicap debut but she's tough to warm to. First hurdles completion latest, but mere replication of that form ought not suffice.. |
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12th (5) (25/1 -108%) First Venture |
25/1(-108%) | (5) First Venture 25/1, Narrow winner of sole start between the flags but has shaped like one with problems under Rules. More like it when third in Stratford novice (16.3f, soft) 18 days ago and may well step forward again now handicapping upped in trip. Showed a bit more latest (16.5f), and first return to 3m since point win offers some hope.. |
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|PU| (4) (40/1 -21%) Makety |
40/1(-21%) | (4) Makety 40/1, Landed a Worcester handicap chase in autumn 2021 but hasn't really built on that since and she's 0-15 in this sphere. 0-15 over hurdles and didn't pass stamina test at 3m latest; further still to travel here.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
1st: 4/1 (7) GAIA VALLIS, 2nd: 8/1 (2) KENTFORD MALLARD, 3rd: 6/1 (1) SADIE HILL
Gaia Vallis was second by a neck last time at Taunton and was put up 2lb for that solid effort. She will face different conditions on this occasion, which could give a chance to MILANESE ROSE. The daughter of Milan ran well off this mark on her penultimate start at Plumpton and, if able to reproduce that level of form, she is likely to go very close. Sadie Hill and First Venture are others to watch out for.
GAIA VALLIS saw the 3m trip out with more conviction than had previously been the case when finishing runner-up at Taunton a fortnight ago, so David Bridgwater's 7-y-o is fancied to go a place better and continue her fine run of form. The main danger may emerge from Sadie Hill, who narrowly got off the mark at Ffos Las last month and should be competitive again from just a 3 lb higher mark. Div Ine Tara and Kentford Mallard can fight out third spot.
An open race, but as likely improvers for the step up to 3m, BEAN NORTY and Div Ine Tara are preferred in that order.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (2/1 +27%) Protest Rally |
2/1(+27%) | (3) Protest Rally 2/1, Promising sort. 7/1, fifth of 10 in maiden at Chelmsford City (6f) 14 days ago, never nearer. Makes handicap debut. More to come and could be worth chancing on first go in a handicap. Needs improvement to defy this initial mark but that's not out of the question.. |
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2nd (4) (40/1 -264%) Stella Blue |
40/1(-264%) | (4) Stella Blue 40/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Last of 9 in maiden at Thirsk (5f, soft, 15/2) 37 days ago. Up in trip. Blinkers on 1st time. Makes handicap debut. Soft a possible excuse latest; blinkers and step up in trip need to have a big effect.. |
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3rd (9) (10/1 +38%) Congress |
10/1(+38%) | (9) Congress 10/1, Fifth of 12 in handicap at Redcar (6f, heavy, 12/1) 31 days ago. Should come on for that but he's looked quite limited to date. Nibbled at in the market on his last couple of starts but yet to make any real progress.. |
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4th (7) (5/1 -11%) Thornaby Beauty |
5/1(-11%) | (7) Thornaby Beauty 5/1, 8/1, creditable third of 9 in handicap at Catterick (6f, heavy) 29 days ago, slowly away. Merits consideration. C&D second; back in better form on heavy at Catterick latest; should be competitive.. |
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5th (11) (22/1 -10%) Little Red Dancer |
22/1(-10%) | (11) Little Red Dancer 22/1, Below form second of 7 in handicap (25/1) at Catterick (7f, soft) 15 days ago, no match for winner. Others make more appeal. Beaten 11l in both her last two starts over 7f on turf/AW (both handicaps); needs better. |
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6th (1) (20/1 -167%) Narasha |
20/1(-167%) | (1) Narasha 20/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Eighth of 12 in minor event (28/1) at Chelmsford City (7f) 35 days ago, not knocked about. Looks the type to improve for a switch to handicaps, so worthy of respect. The drop back in trip looks worthwhile; may be able to do better now entering handicaps.. |
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7th (8) (12/1 +14%) Kasino |
12/1(+14%) | (8) Kasino 12/1, 8/1, last of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (6f). Off 106 days. Hard to rely upon but should be closer to form if she settles better than last time. Best of her last four efforts came over this C&D; drops 2lb and could be involved.. |
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8th (10) (28/1 +30%) Dresden Green |
28/1(+30%) | (10) Dresden Green 28/1, 66/1, sixth of 7 in handicap at Catterick (7f, soft) 15 days ago, missing break. Plenty to prove at the moment. Beaten a long way in two turf starts last month; much more needed.. |
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9th (2) (4/1 +33%) Bishop's Glory |
4/1(+33%) | (2) Bishop's Glory 4/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, tenth of 12 in handicap at Doncaster (6f, soft, 12/1) 12 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Soft ground a possible excuse latest; needs extra to break his duck.. |
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10th (12) (8/1 +11%) Ginny Jo |
8/1(+11%) | (12) Ginny Jo 8/1, Creditable second of 6 in handicap (18/1) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 8 days ago. Likely to give another good account. Career best latest in a Wolverhampton handicap and probably an each-way player.. |
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11th (5) (16/1 +20%) Stoic Syd |
16/1(+20%) | (5) Stoic Syd 16/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Thirteenth of 15 in handicap (22/1) at Doncaster (7f, heavy) 13 days ago. Others more persuasive. Beaten a long way at Doncaster on his handicap debut (7f, soft) last month; drops 2lb.. |
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12th (6) (40/1 -100%) Sir Arthur's Boy |
40/1(-100%) | (6) Sir Arthur's Boy 40/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 200/1, eighth of 9 in minor event at Newcastle (6f), having run of race. Off 160 days. Makes handicap debut. Needs to up his game. Latest Newcastle effort was his first that hinted at ability; looks best watched for now.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
1. 4.5/1 (7) THORNABY BEAUTY 2. 9/1 (12) GINNY JO 3. 7.5/1 (1) NARASHA
A couple of fascinating handicap debutants head to post in what looks on open contest, of whom PROTEST RALLY shades the vote. The Dandy Man colt showed ability across his three runs to date and is bred to be far better than an opening mark of 60, so it would be no surprise were Ed Walker's charge to take a step forward today. Similarly, Narasha is likely to find improvement now handicapping, while Thornaby Beauty, whose best effort to date came when finishing second over C&D, is another to note.
PROTEST RALLY shaped nicely under a considerate ride when fifth on his qualifying run at Chelmsford and he's likely to prove better than a mark of 60, so a chance is taken on him. Thornaby Beauty is of interest on the back of a solid showing at Catterick and Narasha is another notable handicap newcomer.
The filly NARASHA took a step in the right direction last time and is taken to keep going the right way now dropped back to this trip.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (2.25/1 +36%) City Streak |
2.25/1(+36%) | (6) City Streak 2.25/1, Fair and consistent 9.5f winner in 2022. Resumed with a good third of 6 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f) 21 days ago. Merits consideration off the same mark. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (2) (25/1 -79%) Dark Pine |
25/1(-79%) | (2) Dark Pine 25/1, C&D winner but yet to hit top form in two AW runs this winter at Southwell and Wolverhampton. More is needed after an 87-day break. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (4) (25/1 +17%) Dashing Roger |
25/1(+17%) | (4) Dashing Roger 25/1, Dual 1m winner in 2021 but he struggled for form last year and looked rusty when fifth of 7 in handicap (13/2) at Leicester (8.2f, heavy) 12 days ago. Has a fair bit to prove. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (5) (7.5/1 -7%) Dream Harder |
7.5/1(-7%) | (5) Dream Harder 7.5/1, An improved model for Ian Williams, adding to his tally at Wolverhampton (9.5f) in February. Posted another solid effort when third of 14 in handicap at Lingfield (12f, AW) 34 days ago so he's not taken lightly. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (11) (4/1 +50%) Stately Home |
4/1(+50%) | (11) Stately Home 4/1, Resumed with 1m success at Kempton and has continued in good nick, fifth of 15 in handicap at Newbury (10f) 19 days ago. That form is working out well so he's a player off a 1 lb lower mark. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (3) (10/1 -11%) Box To Box |
10/1(-11%) | (3) Box To Box 10/1, Three-time winner in 2022, including over C&D, but not at his best on his last two starts at Sakhir over the winter. No surprise to see him bounce back here though. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (7) (5.5/1 +31%) Amor Vincit Omnia |
5.5/1(+31%) | (7) Amor Vincit Omnia 5.5/1, A fairly useful performer up to 1m for Hugo Palmer in 2022. Changed hands for 25,000gns and not disgraced after 6 months off when sixth of 15 in handicap at Newbury (10f, heavy) 19 days ago. Can build on it now. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (1) (28/1 -100%) Oneforthegutter |
28/1(-100%) | (1) Oneforthegutter 28/1, Useful handicapper but he's winless since his debut in 2021. Returns from 7 months off on the back of a wind op so he's no forlorn hope. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (9) (12/1 +0%) Jean Baptiste |
12/1(+0%) | (9) Jean Baptiste 12/1, C&D winner but again without his usual headgear when below form fifth of 10 in handicap at Doncaster (10.2f) 39 days ago. Cheekpieces go back on now so he needs considering off an easing mark. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (10) (14/1 -211%) Thunder Max |
14/1(-211%) | (10) Thunder Max 14/1, Yet to add to his debut success but he's largely run well in handicaps since, including when fourth of 13 in handicap at Haydock (10.2f) 12 days ago after a 12-month absence. Blinkers on 1st time. Possibilities. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (13) (12/1 +14%) Ibiza Rocks |
12/1(+14%) | (13) Ibiza Rocks 12/1, It's now 11 runs since last win in 2020 but he comes here in decent nick for his new yard, fifth of 11 in handicap at Beverley (8.4f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Not discounted now stepping up in trip. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Based on the summary, the top three horses predicted to finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd are: 1st - 7/1 (5) DREAM HARDER 2nd - 8/1 (11) STATELY HOME 3rd - 9/1 (3) BOX TO BOX
CITY STREAK rates a big player on the pick of his form and Andrew Balding's four-year-old must hold every chance of building on a promising third over a similar trip at Chelmsford last month. He filled the runner-up spot over C&D on his third-last outing in July and another bold showing looks assured off 4lb higher. Connections of Thunder Max reach for first-time blinkers following a decent fourth at Haydock most recently and he is noted along with Dream Harder.
A case can be made for a few of these but it is worth siding with STATELY HOME, who figures on a handy mark with his recent Newbury fifth working out well and can now add to his reappearance Kempton success. The reliable City Streak can also have a say on the back of an encouraging Chelmsford City third, while C&D scorer Jean Baptiste and in-form Dream Harder need shortlisting too.
The most solid option appears to be CITY STREAK (nap), whose steadily progressive form last season includes a C&D second.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (14/1 -40%) Surtitle |
14/1(-40%) | (3) Surtitle 14/1, Newbury novice winner (16.3f) early last year who failed to kick on as expected in handicaps during light campaign last term. Did have heavy ground as a plausible excuse when last of 4 at Market Rasen (18.6f) in March and the handicapper has relinquished his grip. Won on hurdle debut in early 2022 but didn't fire in handicaps last season. |
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2nd (12) (12/1 +14%) Saturday Song |
12/1(+14%) | (12) Saturday Song 12/1, Placed on the first of his 2 starts in bumpers for Gary Brown and stepped up on his hurdling debut form after 19 months off when second in Uttoxeter maiden (15.7f) in January. Not in same form either start since in handicaps but it does remain early days at least. Promising second in 2m maiden in January but both handicap runs have been underwhelming. |
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3rd (2) (4/1 +11%) Issar D'airy |
4/1(+11%) | (2) Issar D'airy 4/1, Improved model switched to handicaps, overcoming a couple of untidy jumps when doubling his tally over extended 20f here 31 days ago, running on. 6 lb higher now but he may not of reached his limit yet. Two wins this year, the latter here last month; latest 6lb rise ought to be manageable. |
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4th (4) (8.5/1 +15%) Heros |
8.5/1(+15%) | (4) Heros 8.5/1, Bumper/hurdles winner in France in 2021. Runner-up in brace of handicaps for current yard this year before a below-par effort at Ludlow (21.2f) 38 days ago. Needs to resume his progress. Came close to first British win in March but needs to bounce back from a lesser effort. |
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5th (11) (8.5/1 +6%) Denable |
8.5/1(+6%) | (11) Denable 8.5/1, Dual winner (at up to 2m) last summer who comes here in good form, second in 13-runner Kempton handicap (21f) at the start of the month, fourth jumping last and staying on. Each-way claims again from same mark. Very creditable second of 13 at Kempton last week; must be considered off same mark here. |
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6th (7) (2.25/1 +44%) Swapped |
2.25/1(+44%) | (7) Swapped 2.25/1, Fairly useful winner in bumpers who displayed signs of promise in trio of novice hurdles last season, no threat from some way out but considerately handled when midfield at Plumpton latterly. In leading hands and highly likely there's more to come now handicapping/following wind op. Interesting. Shaped with promise in 2m novice hurdles last season; should improve in handicaps. |
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7th (1) (8/1 +27%) Give Me A Cuddle |
8/1(+27%) | (1) Give Me A Cuddle 8/1, Course bumper winner who bagged second success in this sphere from this mark at Doncaster (19.4f) in January. Mixed bag subsequently but better signs when fifth at Kempton (21f) 10 days ago, having made effort earlier than ideal. Yard amongst the winners. Gave very good account at Kempton recently and has each-way claims at least here. |
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8th (9) (18/1 +18%) Boreen Boy |
18/1(+18%) | (9) Boreen Boy 18/1, Off the mark over hurdles in a Uttoxeter maiden (15.7f)12 months ago and he's run to a similar level on 2 of his 3 starts since, fifth in a 7-runner novice here (15.8f) in March. Entitled to hold more chance back in handicaps. Back up in trip. Yet to progress from his maiden win just over a year ago; needs to up his game. |
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9th (10) (100/1 -733%) Reams Of Love |
100/1(-733%) | (10) Reams Of Love 100/1, Fair performer on the Flat who opened his account over hurdles in 2m maiden at Stratford (2m) last June. Not so good thereafter, albeit yet to be asked for effort when falling 2 out back at that venue in October. Absent since. Won Stratford maiden last summer; forecast rain a worry on this first start since October. |
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10th (8) (33/1 -50%) Phoenix Aquilus |
33/1(-50%) | (8) Phoenix Aquilus 33/1, Fairly useful staying handicapper on Flat, successful twice in 2022. Ran poorly back over hurdles here (20.6f) in January but comes here fit from a respectable spin on the level at Bath (14f) 3 weeks ago. Could well have more to offer at this sort of trip back over timber. Good third here (2m) on handicap hurdle but struggled when upped to 2m4f in January. |
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11th (5) (8/1 +11%) Great Ocean |
8/1(+11%) | (5) Great Ocean 8/1, Sole Rules success came over hurdles at Wincanton last January for Philip Hobbs. However, better signs of late for present yard, third back at that venue on penultimate run prior to a good second at Taunton (16.5f) 2 weeks ago. Should go well again in this groove. Chasing didn't go to plan last season but he was placed twice over hurdles last month. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st: 6/1 (6) WILLIAM OF YORK. 2nd: 4.5/1 (2) ISSAR D'AIRY. 3rd: 4/1 (7) SWAPPED.
William Of York brought the double up at Huntingdon last time and was raised a further 5lb in the ratings for that victory, which may not be enough to stop him here. However, preference is for SWAPPED, who is returning from a break after having a wind operation and looks to have been given a workable opening mark, with the step up to this distance a possible source of improvement. Issar D'Airy, Great Ocean and Denable are other contenders to note.
A fairly useful winner in bumpers, SWAPPED didn't go without promise in a trio of novice hurdles last campaign and, with progress anticipated now handicapping for his powerful stable, he could well be worth chancing to come out on top following wind surgery. Great Ocean comes here on the back of solid placed efforts and is feared, with the hat-trick seeking William of York and Issar d'Airy others fancied to feature.
4lb lower than when second to a very well-handicapped rival in September, DENABLE (nap) and is due a 2lb rise for last week's good run.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (3.2/1 +36%) Blazing Son |
3.2/1(+36%) | (5) Blazing Son 3.2/1, 1 win from 2 runs this year. Career best when winning 12-runner handicap at Newcastle (6f, 10/3) 28 days ago. Up 3 lb but he's well in the mix. Sole defeat in last four 6f starts came on reappearance; game display latest; up 3lb. |
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2nd (6) (8.5/1 +29%) Blackjack |
8.5/1(+29%) | (6) Blackjack 8.5/1, C&D winner in March. Respectable fifth of 10 in handicap at this C&D (5/1) 23 days ago so he's one for the shortlist. Reliable front-runner over C&D during the winter, winning twice; below best last time out. |
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3rd (2) (7/1 +13%) Roshambo |
7/1(+13%) | (2) Roshambo 7/1, Lightly-raced winner. 9/2, not seen to best effect when fifth of 11 in handicap at Hamilton (6f, good). Off 7 months but still needs considering. Promising at 6f on AW as 3yo, including on reappearance; likely to do better. |
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4th (7) (5.5/1 +27%) Stalingrad |
5.5/1(+27%) | (7) Stalingrad 5.5/1, Remains a maiden after 19 runs. 9/1, respectable seventh of 16 in handicap at Haydock (6f, good to firm) 12 days ago. Can give a good account. Acts on Tapeta; several good efforts in defeat last year but not yet off the mark. |
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5th (4) (6.5/1 -30%) Rhythm |
6.5/1(-30%) | (4) Rhythm 6.5/1, 1 win from 2 runs this year. Latest win at Newcastle in April. 4/1, below form sixth of 12 in handicap at Doncaster (6f, soft) 12 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Never involved on turf recently but 2-3 on Newcastle Tapeta, so of interest back on AW. |
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6th (3) (4.5/1 +44%) Masterclass |
4.5/1(+44%) | (3) Masterclass 4.5/1, 3/1, creditable third of 9 in handicap at Chelmsford City (6f), left with lot to do. Off 7 months. Much respected on his tapeta debut. Minor 6f maiden win at Brighton; close up in 6f Polytrack handicaps after; Tapeta debut. |
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7th (1) (4/1 -129%) Bill Plumb |
4/1(-129%) | (1) Bill Plumb 4/1, Made it 2-2 this year in 8-runner handicap at Kempton (6f, 4/1) 22 days ago. Weighted to complete his hat-trick nudged just 2 lb. Improved this year, following maiden win with successful handicap debut at Kempton; up 2lb. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the information provided, it is difficult to predict with absolute certainty which horse will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place. However, 1.75/1 (1) BILL PLUMB and 5/1 (5) BLAZING SON seem to be the strongest contenders. 1.75/1 (1) BILL PLUMB has improved this year, has won two consecutive races, and is weighted to complete his hat-trick. 5/1 (5) BLAZING SON has only been defeated once in his last four starts and won his latest race impressively. 8/1 (2) ROSHAMBO and 8/1 (3) MASTERCLASS also have potential to place in the top three.
BILL PLUMB proved that a mark of 70 was well within range when winning at Kempton last month, his second success in as many starts. The unexposed son of Footstepsinthesand is fancied to shrug off a subsequent 2lb rise in the handicap and bring up his hat-trick, possibly at the main expense of recent Newcastle scorer Blazing Son. Rhythm's winning run came to an end at Doncaster, but she's not without a chance back on an artificial surface.
BILL PLUMB has taken his form up a level this term and looks weighted to bag a hat-trick nudged up only 2 lb for his recent Kempton success. Roshambo still has few miles on the clock and needs considering on her seasonal return. Newcastle-scorer Blazing Son appeals as the pick of the rest for place purposes.
Bill Plumb is dangerous going for the hat-trick but ROSHAMBO (nap) showed plenty on Tapeta in 2022 and more success awaits her.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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She's Smart |
(10) (12/1 +0%)12/1(+0%) | (10) She's Smart 12/1, Built on encouraging debut effort when third of 9 in maiden at Newmarket (5f, good to soft) 22 days ago. Sets the standard on that form. Engaged 1.30 Chester Wednesday. Well held in yesterday's Lily Agnes but better drawn this time if turned out again.. |
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1st (3) (1.38/1 +39%) Hackman |
1.38/1(+39%) | (3) Hackman 1.38/1, Half-brother to several winners and duly posted promising third of 7 in minor event at Newmarket (5f, soft, 18/5) on debut 23 days ago. Should improve and is one for the shortlist. Plenty of encouragement at Newmarket and that 5f novice is usually decent form.. |
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2nd (5) (2.5/1 +64%) Innvincible Friend |
2.5/1(+64%) | (5) Innvincible Friend 2.5/1, Once-raced colt. 11/1, second of 8 in minor event at Ripon (5f, heavy) on debut 12 days ago, not knocked about. Open to progress and must enter calculations. Trainer has a good record in this maiden and this colt wasn't far away at Ripon.. |
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3rd (8) (8/1 -60%) The Camden Colt |
8/1(-60%) | (8) The Camden Colt 8/1, Foaled April 24. €22,000 foal, €50,000 yearling, Footstepsinthesand colt. Dam, ran once in France, sister to smart 1¼m-1½m winner Venus de Milo. Market check advised on debut. Inside draw will be a good one should this newcomer get away on terms.. |
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4th (4) (8.5/1 +23%) Havanarama |
8.5/1(+23%) | (4) Havanarama 8.5/1, Foaled January 26. 5,500 gns foal, €50,000 yearling, Havana Grey colt. Makes plenty of appeal on paper although wide draw not ideal on debut. From a yard that prioritises this meeting but could be better drawn.. |
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5th (1) (5/1 -82%) Big Time Rascal |
5/1(-82%) | (1) Big Time Rascal 5/1, Foaled March 19. 100,000 gns yearling, Blue Point colt. Dam, useful French/US 7f/1m winner, half-sister to smart 2-y-o 1m winner Soustraction. Trainer’s newcomers command respect. Sire an influence for speed and from stall 3 he could easily make his presence felt.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
1st: 12/1 (10) SHE'S SMART 2nd: 2.25/1 (3) HACKMAN 3rd: 7/1 (5) INNVINCIBLE FRIEND
HACKMAN showed plenty of ability at Newmarket last month, where he briefly led before fading into third late on. The son of Mehmas ought to improve for that initial experience, though, and could be worth siding with. George Boughey is represented by newcomer Big Time Rascal, who merits the utmost respect along with the Richard Hannon-trained The Camden Colt. Innvincible Friend shaped with promise on his debut at Ripon and is another to consider.
Preference is for HACKMAN, who travelled well for a long way on his Newmarket debut last month and can be expected to progress from that. She's Smart has the edge on experience over her rivals and is much respected, whilst Innvincible Friend can also make his presence felt.
Three newcomers have the best draws and they need checking in the betting. As things stand, HACKMAN edges preference.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (1.88/1 +16%) Doyens De Ante |
1.88/1(+16%) | (7) Doyens De Ante 1.88/1, Maiden hurdler but has taken well to chasing, opening his account at the fourth attempt with headgear refitted at Chepstow (26.2f, good, 6/1) 13 days ago, seeing out the even longer trip thoroughly. 6 lb rise to contend with but should be in the shake-up. Engaged 6.15 Fontwell Wednesday. 6lb rise for Chepstow win (3m2f, good to soft); engaged 6:15 Fontwell Wednesday. |
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2nd (9) (8/1 +20%) Dorado Dollar |
8/1(+20%) | (9) Dorado Dollar 8/1, Long-standing maiden who appeared to excel himself from 5 lb out of weights when staying on strongly to take second late on at Warwick (3m) 2 weeks ago. Whether he'll be in the same form on this occasion is open to question, however. Almost 30th time lucky at Warwick latest (3m, good); wouldn't be certain to back that up.. |
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3rd (5) (2.25/1 +18%) Aces Full |
2.25/1(+18%) | (5) Aces Full 2.25/1, Modest form at best in Ireland for Patrick Breen and, easy to back, showed nothing on back of 16 months off when pulled up at Stratford (19.5f) in October. Absent again since and can only be watched unless market spoke in his favour. Pulled up on stable debut last October (2m3.5f, good), his only outing in last two years.. |
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4th (1) (10/1 +9%) Tel'art |
10/1(+9%) | (1) Tel'art 10/1, Fair winner at 3¼m over hurdles for Ben Pauling and posted some respectable efforts in hunter chases for this yard last spring. Creditable second over hurdles here (25f) on penultimate start but turned in a lesser display back over fences at Stratford (27.5f) 18 days ago. 3m1f hurdles second off 5lb higher two runs back; chance, barring significant rain.. |
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5th (8) (28/1 -12%) Mix Master |
28/1(-12%) | (8) Mix Master 28/1, Unpromising in points and having offered little in trio of starts over hurdles, it was a similar story when falling on his chase debut at Ludlow (23.8f) in March. Good deal more needed. Already beaten when a late faller returned to 3m at Ludlow latest; others more persuasive.. |
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|PU| (3) (5/1 -25%) I'm A Starman |
5/1(-25%) | (3) I'm A Starman 5/1, Dual hurdles winner who matched his previous best over fences when runner-up at Wincanton (25f) 25 days ago. No match for the winner then but he's undoubtedly a player with a repeat eased in grade. Form of second in a Wincanton 0-110 last month already franked; player down in grade.. |
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|PU| (2) (8.5/1 +47%) Carrigeen Konini |
8.5/1(+47%) | (2) Carrigeen Konini 8.5/1, Modest maiden over hurdles in Ireland who was well held only start over fences at Thurles in January (albeit set a very stiff task). Similarly well held back over timber subsequently and more needed if she's to figure on handicap chase debut for new yard. Inconsistent hurdler in Ireland latterly; out of a useful chaser, and that way hope lies.. |
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|PU| (4) (33/1 -230%) Sei Bella |
33/1(-230%) | (4) Sei Bella 33/1, Modest form when successful in Exeter novice hurdle earlier in career but failed to progress from that thereafter and not a great deal of encouragement to glean from last month's belated return/C&D chase debut effort. Cheekpieces reached for now. Not disgraced when last of five in a C&D mares' chase latest, but didn't stay; down 3lb.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
It is difficult to determine which horse will do well from this summary as there is limited information on their recent form and performance. However, based on their recent races and potential, 2.25/1 (7) DOYENS DE ANTE and 4/1 (3) I'M A STARMAN seem like strong contenders for the top three positions. 11/1 (1) TEL'ART could also have a chance if there is no significant rain. Without more information, it is impossible to accurately predict the exact finishing order of the horses.
I'M A STARMAN returned to form when second at Wincanton last month and is feared with ground conditions likely to suit. Dorado Dollar is another boasting claims at this level, as he took a step in the right direction when finishing a neck second at Warwick last month. Of the others, Carrigeen Konini might be a bit of each-way value on her first start for Micky Hammond.
I'M A STARMAN returned to the pick of his chase form when runner-up at Wincanton 25 days ago and, with this ease in class an obvious plus, he earns the vote to open his account in this sphere. The participation of Doyen de Ante (due to run at Fontwell Wednesday) would put a different slant on things given the manner of his Chepstow success previously, however.
Second in a Wincanton 0-110 last time to a subsequent winner, I'M A STARMAN is chosen over Chepstow scorer Doyens De Ante.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (1.62/1 -8%) Golden Maverick |
1.62/1(-8%) | (5) Golden Maverick 1.62/1, Promising sort. Career best when winning 10-runner handicap at Wetherby (8f, good to soft, 11/4) 11 days ago, overcoming pace bias. makes plenty of appeal under a penalty. Won at Wetherby and he's open to more progress back on AW; big player again under penalty. |
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2nd (4) (4.5/1 +55%) Buy The Dip |
4.5/1(+55%) | (4) Buy The Dip 4.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Seventh of 8 in handicap at Epsom (8.5f, heavy, 11/2) 16 days ago. Others more persuasive. 0-5 and he was tailed off when upped to 8.5f at Epsom last time; others preferred. |
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3rd (7) (9/1 +10%) Twilight Guest |
9/1(+10%) | (7) Twilight Guest 9/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, good third of 9 in handicap (18/1) at Windsor (8.1f, soft) 10 days ago. Makes tapeta debut.. Should give another good account. Inconsistent maiden but he was placed over 1m at Windsor last time; now makes his AW debut. |
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4th (1) (33/1 -175%) Royal Dream |
33/1(-175%) | (1) Royal Dream 33/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Sixth of 9 in minor event (20/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f), needing stiffer test. Off 6 months. Tongue strap on 1st time. Makes handicap debut. Likely to improve, so not discounted. Looks a possible improver upped in trip on handicap debut and he needs watching in market. |
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5th (10) (18/1 -50%) Threebars |
18/1(-50%) | (10) Threebars 18/1, Very good second of 12 in handicap (16/1) at Bath (8f, soft) 10 days ago. Merits respect. Made a bold bid at Bath ten days ago and is a key player if she can repeat that form. |
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6th (8) (2.75/1 +31%) Na Scoitear |
2.75/1(+31%) | (8) Na Scoitear 2.75/1, 5/1, career best when winning 11-runner handicap at this C&D 32 days ago, suited by increase in trip. Not taken lightly. Off the mark in a C&D handicap last month and he's only 1lb higher here; respected. |
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7th (6) (18/1 -13%) Eccles Street |
18/1(-13%) | (6) Eccles Street 18/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 80/1, seventh of 10 in maiden at Newcastle (7.1f) 57 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Still early days for this well-bred gelding but he needs improvement on his handicap debut. |
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8th (2) (33/1 -136%) Zebra Star |
33/1(-136%) | (2) Zebra Star 33/1, 8/1, fifth of 6 in handicap at Yarmouth (10.1f, soft) 16 days ago. Back down in trip. Makes tapeta debut. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Others preferred. Won at Yarmouth last September but well held in last four runs and others are preferred. |
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9th (3) (16/1 -14%) Corporate Raider |
16/1(-14%) | (3) Corporate Raider 16/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time, fifth of 7 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f, 4/1) 35 days ago. Others make more appeal. On workable mark but he was disappointing last time and others are more convincing. |
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10th (9) (50/1 -400%) Dawn Mission |
50/1(-400%) | (9) Dawn Mission 50/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 80/1, ninth of 11 in minor event at Leicester (7f, heavy) 27 days ago. Makes handicap debut. With a shrewd yard and would be of interest if the market spoke in his favour. In good hands and now goes handicapping but he needs a transformation upped to 1m. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are likely to finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd are: 1st: 1.5/1 (5) GOLDEN MAVERICK 2nd: 4/1 (8) NA SCOITEAR 3rd: 12/1 (10) THREEBARS This is based on their recent form and performances, as well as their potential for improvement and suitability for the race conditions. However, as with any horse race, there are no guarantees and any of the horses could potentially surprise with a strong performance.
Na Scoitear proved well suited by the step up to a mile when winning a maiden handicap over C&D last month and though he merits respect, GOLDEN MAVERICK is preferred. He finished a good third over course and distance on his handicap debut, before going on to win at Wetherby 11 days ago. Ian Williams' charge must saddle a 6lb penalty today, but it's unlikely he has reached the ceiling of his ability just yet. Twilight Guest completes the shortlist.
GOLDEN MAVERICK improved and overcame a pace bias when scoring at Wetherby recently and he's well worth a chance to go in again. Na Scoitear is a likeable type who was better than ever when successful over C&D last time, so he's regarded as a threat, and it will be no surprise to see Dawn Mission up his game on his first try in handicaps.
Top of the list is GOLDEN MAVERICK, who won in good style at Wetherby 11 days ago and is open to more progress back on Tapeta.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (4/1 -100%) Je T'ai Porte |
4/1(-100%) | (1) Je T'ai Porte 4/1, Lightly-raced maiden over hurdles. Fairly useful winner at 11f on flat. Excellent second of 12 in novice hurdle (7/2) at Kilbeggan (16f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Player. Much improved on better ground at Kilbeggan but ground gone against her here. |
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2nd (8) (7/1 +30%) Milajess |
7/1(+30%) | (8) Milajess 7/1, Modest hurdler. Pulled up in handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan (19.2f, good to soft, 22/1) 20 days ago, behind when pulled up before last. Tongue strap back on, cheekpieces on 1st time. Well beaten in both handicaps last month; headgear combination now tried. |
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3rd (10) (3.33/1 +58%) Phils Choice |
3.33/1(+58%) | (10) Phils Choice 3.33/1, Good seventh of 13 to Junta Marvel in EBF (Mares) INH Flat Race at Punchestown (16.3f, good to soft, 80/1) 15 days ago. Switches from bumpers to hurdles. No forlorn hope. Has ability but quirky sort and not one to be confident in. |
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4th (13) (5.5/1 -193%) Up And Out |
5.5/1(-193%) | (13) Up And Out 5.5/1, Modest hurdler. Good second of 13 in novice hurdle at Kilbeggan (15f, good to soft, 5/1) 21 days ago. Trainer going well. In the picture. Fair level of form in maidens, every chance here in a weak affair. |
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5th (9) (5.5/1 +54%) Ned's Legacy |
5.5/1(+54%) | (9) Ned's Legacy 5.5/1, Promising type. 28/1, third of 13 in novice hurdle at Tramore (16f, good to soft) on NH debut 24 days ago. Should have more to offer. Considered. Eyecatcher when running green on Tramore debut; more expected of now. |
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6th (2) (50/1 +0%) Alkascotch |
50/1(+0%) | (2) Alkascotch 50/1, Twice-raced maiden. Fourteenth of 19 in novice hurdle (100/1) at Down Royal (16.8f, good to soft) 10 days ago. No show on both maiden outings; can only be watched for now. |
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7th (15) (3/1 +85%) Stormie Outlook |
3/1(+85%) | (15) Stormie Outlook 3/1, Fair maiden on the Flat, making GB/IRE jumps debut. 20/1, fourth of 15 in handicap at Limerick (11.2f, soft) 19 days ago. Possibilities. Fair Flat maiden on soft so worth a market check on hurdles debut; yard among the winners. |
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8th (3) (80/1 -220%) Cappacurry Croi |
80/1(-220%) | (3) Cappacurry Croi 80/1, Twice-raced maiden. Sixth of 13 in novice hurdle at Kilbeggan (15f, good to soft, 100/1) 21 days ago. More is needed. Kilbeggan sixth was a step in the right direction but plenty more likely required. |
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9th (17) (50/1 -213%) Honey Roll Over |
50/1(-213%) | (17) Honey Roll Over 50/1, Sageburg mare. Dam, placed in point, sister to useful hurdler (stayed 2½m) Prince of Steal out of bumper winner/2m-2¼m hurdle winner Princess Gloria. Market can guide. RESERVE 0-5 in point-to-points, easily opposed here on Rules debut; reserve. |
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|U| (12) (20/1 +39%) Tastyee |
20/1(+39%) | (12) Tastyee 20/1, Modest maiden on the Flat, making GB/IRE jumps debut. 9/1, third of 17 in handicap at Gowran (9.6f, heavy) 23 days ago. Tongue strap on for 1st time in this code. Not discounted. Moderate Flat maiden an unlikely one to make an immediate impact hurdling. |
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10th (6) (150/1 -127%) May Call You Back |
150/1(-127%) | (6) May Call You Back 150/1, Once-raced maiden. 100/1, eleventh of 13 in novice hurdle at Tramore (16f, good to soft) on NH debut 24 days ago. Walk In The Park mare trailed throughout on last month's Tramore debut. |
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|PU| (14) (40/1 -60%) Yara Greyjoy |
40/1(-60%) | (14) Yara Greyjoy 40/1, Once-raced maiden. Fifth of 9 in bumper (8/1) at Cork (16f, soft) on NH debut 31 days ago. Makes hurdles debut. Not dismissed. Cork bumper debut last month mildly promising so not one to readily rule out. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
1st: 2/1 (1) JE T'AI PORTE, 2nd: 12/1 (9) NED'S LEGACY, 3rd: 12/1 (16) TA NA LA
NED'S LEGACY was beaten 29 lengths on debut but ran quite well and should improve. Held up off the pace at Tramore, she finished well and while ultimately well beaten, the winner and runner-up were experienced and the selection is open to vast improvement. Top weight Je T'ai Porte is a 73-rated dual flat winner and while a keen-goer, showed improved form when making the running under a similar penalty at Kilbeggan. She is experienced but soft ground is concerning. Phil's Choice ran out when looking likely to win at Limerick in November and while she returned to form in a recent Grade 3 bumper, would prefer good ground. Stormy Outlook debuts over hurdles but will be well schooled and has soft-ground, middle-distance flat form, so might place. Up And Out has placed form in similar maiden hurdles but prefers a sound surface.
Not so competitive as the numbers suggest and JE T'AI PORTE can go one better than when an excellent Kilbeggan second last time and open her account in this sphere. Up And Out also has the form to play a part and rates the chief threat, with Ned's Legacy a solid place prospect if, as expected, building on her encouraging Tramore debut third.
Although preferring better ground UP AND OUT gets the nod in a weak mares' maiden over Je T'ai Porte
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (7/1 +36%) Struth |
7/1(+36%) | (1) Struth 7/1, Landed a Nottingham maiden (8.3f, good to firm) on debut last August and similar form when third in minor event at Epsom next time. Failed to progress upped to 1¼m in a Newmarket nursery when last seen in October and needs to have improved during the winter. Yard also saddles Demilion. Stoutly bred, so stamina surely not the problem on final 2yo run; unexposed after 3 races. |
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2nd (2) (5/1 +41%) Demilion |
5/1(+41%) | (2) Demilion 5/1, Winning handicap debut at Wolverhampton in January and backed that up with a good effort at Doncaster (10.2f, heavy) on turf debut back from a break in April. By no means disgraced at Newmarket since and this stiffer test should be in his favour. Yard has won 2 of the last 4 runnings of this. Newmarket three weeks ago wasn't his best form but 1m4f now looks worth a go. |
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3rd (4) (2.75/1 +21%) Cantora |
2.75/1(+21%) | (4) Cantora 2.75/1, Promising type who won a brace of nurseries on slow ground last term. Back on the scoresheet when accounting for 9 rivals in good style at Beverley (1¼m, good to soft) a fortnight ago and, though now 11 lb higher in a tougher race, she is of strong interest upped in trip with Ryan Moore booked. Recent 1m2f winner; dam 1m4f winner and it's easy to envisage this filly following suit. |
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4th (7) (3.33/1 +17%) Nobody Told Me |
3.33/1(+17%) | (7) Nobody Told Me 3.33/1, Found some improvement when opening his account in a 7-runner handicap at Doncaster (11.9f, soft) recently. Didn't do too much when hitting the front that day and 6 lb rise is hardly the end of the world, so there is certainly cause for optimism. Favourite when getting up late on in seven-runner race at Doncaster (1m4f, soft); up 6lb. |
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5th (6) (12/1 -9%) Double Oban |
12/1(-9%) | (6) Double Oban 12/1, Bettered AW efforts when second in a 6-runner Redcar novice (1¼m, heavy) on turf debut last month. Shapes as though this trip will be within range now handicapping but, like stablemate Dragonball Prince, he needs to take a considerable step forward. Despite pedigree, he shapes as if this longer trip will suit on handicap debut.. |
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6th (5) (20/1 -25%) Dragonball Prince |
20/1(-25%) | (5) Dragonball Prince 20/1, Stepped up on what she showed in novice company when a close third on nursery debut at Wolverhampton (8.6f) in November. Proved to to be a disappointment upped to 11f at Kempton the following month, though, and needs to raise his game back on turf. Yard also represented by Double Oran. Stoutly bred on the dam's side but 1m3f last time as 2yo brought a disappointment. |
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7th (9) (20/1 -67%) Burglar's Dream |
20/1(-67%) | (9) Burglar's Dream 20/1, Left initial efforts well behind when second upped to 9f in a Redcar novice (soft) on final start of 2-y-o campaign. Gelded since and further progress could be on the way now faced with an even stiffer test on this handicap debut. Best 2yo display suggested a strength in stamina; could improve on handicap/seasonal debut. |
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8th (8) (4/1 +11%) Sovereign Spirit |
4/1(+11%) | (8) Sovereign Spirit 4/1, Has improved of late, bagging back-to-back handicaps over this trip on the AW at Lingfield. If able to match that level of form now returned to turf, he's likely to make a bold bid to complete the hat-trick under a penalty. 1m4f on AW last three runs, clearcut winner of handicaps at Lingfield last two occasions. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st: 4.5/1 (8) SOVEREIGN SPIRIT 2nd: 3.5/1 (4) CANTORA 3rd: 12/1 (9) BURGLAR'S DREAM
CANTORA has found significant improvement following her switch to handicaps, and the daughter of Time Test, who was hit with an 11lb rise for last month's Beverley success, may yet have more to offer. Demilion was far from disgraced in a warm 0-95 contest at Newmarket 22 days ago and must be seriously considered, along with Sovereign Spirit, who arrives in search of his hat-trick having notched up a brace of wins at Lingfield.
The vote goes to the filly CANTORA, who had any amount in hand when scoring at Beverley and she is appealing with Ryan Moore doing the steering here, for all that an 11 lb rise in the weights asks a question. The hat-trick seeking Sovereign Spirit will be a danger to all provided he is able to continue the good work back on turf, while Demilion and Nobody Told Me are others to consider, along with likely improver Burglar's Dream.
At the foot of the weights, BURGLAR'S DREAM may be the one to take the most telling step forward. Nobody Told Me is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (7/1 +0%) Whatawit |
7/1(+0%) | (7) Whatawit 7/1, Bred to do well in this sphere and made a solid start when second at Market Rasen 79 days ago. Open to improvement and could make his presence felt. Brushed aside by clear winner at Market Rasen but that was still a promising debut. |
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2nd (11) (6/1 +20%) Lucky Place |
6/1(+20%) | (11) Lucky Place 6/1, €48,000 3-y-o, Pastorius gelding. Half-brother to 4 winners, including Good Lucky and fairly useful hurdler/chaser Ultra Lucky. Dam 2¼m/19f hurdle/chase winner. Interesting newcomer. Half-brother to two Listed French jumps winners; one of two runners from top stable. |
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3rd (10) (66/1 -65%) Court In The Act |
66/1(-65%) | (10) Court In The Act 66/1, Half-brother to fair hurdler/useful chaser Shanty Alley and minor promise at Wincanton first time up. Off a couple of months since and big improvement required. 10-1, raced too freely when well-held fifth of nine at Wincanton in March. |
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4th (12) (6/1 -50%) Montecam |
6/1(-50%) | (12) Montecam 6/1, Closely related to bumper winner Bellatior, and half-brother to 4 winners, including dual Champion Chase winner Altior. Looked in need of experience when sixth of 17 at Kempton on debut and is worth another chance to show what he's capable of. Half-brother to top-class chaser Altior; clear promise when sixth at Kempton in March. |
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5th (3) (16/1 +36%) Muskoka |
16/1(+36%) | (3) Muskoka 16/1, Closely related to three winners but hasn't shown enough to date to make him of serious interest in this. Second run was more encouraging than his debut but more is needed again here. |
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6th (9) (10/1 -82%) Broomhill Road |
10/1(-82%) | (9) Broomhill Road 10/1, Second of 5 in bumper (2/1) at Doncaster (16.6f, good) on NH debut 68 days ago. Likely to improve with the benefit of a run and should make his presence felt. Gave hot favourite a race when clear second of five on debut at Doncaster; considered. |
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7th (13) (12/1 +25%) Platenium |
12/1(+25%) | (13) Platenium 12/1, Night Wish gelding. Half-brother to 17f hurdle winner Oxygen and 2½m hurdle winner Jubilee Express. Not discounted. Half-brother to two hurdle winners; stable has respectable 10% bumper strike-rate. |
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8th (8) (2/1 +33%) Youlneverwalkalone |
2/1(+33%) | (8) Youlneverwalkalone 2/1, £20,000 3-y-o, Walk In The Park gelding. Dam (h96), maiden hurdler (stayed 2¾m), half-sister to smart chaser (stayed 21f) Easter Meteor. Interesting newcomer. Out of a well-connected mare; one of two runners for stable with very good bumper record. |
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9th (4) (22/1 -38%) Potters Bishop |
22/1(-38%) | (4) Potters Bishop 22/1, Cardinal gelding. Half-brother to bumper winner/fairly useful hurdler Potters Midnight, stays 21f. Dam (h92) 2m hurdle winner (stayed 2½m). One for shortlist on debut given pedigree and connections. Half-brother to bumper/useful hurdle winner Potters Midnight; stable does well oin bumpers. |
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10th (2) (8/1 +33%) Head Over Hinds |
8/1(+33%) | (2) Head Over Hinds 8/1, €48,000 3-y-o, Champs Elysees gelding. Dam (h142), bumper/2m hurdle winner, also 11.3f/1½m winner who stayed 1¾m on Flat, half-sister to useful hurdler/chaser (stays 2½m) Due Reward. Worth monitoring in the betting. Out of a bumper/Flat/useful hurdle winner; stable wins fair share of bumpers. |
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11th (16) (14/1 -40%) Mistral Blue |
14/1(-40%) | (16) Mistral Blue 14/1, Blue Bresil mare. Half-sister to bumper winner Mistral Nell. Somthing to work on when fifth at Fakenham first time out and should have learned from the experience. Considered. Not beaten far on last month's Fakenham debut; this race is probably a bit stronger. |
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12th (1) (150/1 -355%) Dreadpoetssociety |
150/1(-355%) | (1) Dreadpoetssociety 150/1, Half-brother to a bumper winner but down the field at Wincanton on debut two months ago. Needs to do more. Only 7-1 for debut at Wincanton (good to soft) in March but was beaten about 68l. |
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13th (14) (250/1 -150%) West Hill Moth |
250/1(-150%) | (14) West Hill Moth 250/1, Related to winners but didn't offer much encouragement at Taunton first time out. In rear throughout when 80-1 for debut at Taunton in March. |
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14th (5) (66/1 -560%) Present For Me |
66/1(-560%) | (5) Present For Me 66/1, Closely related to a bumper winner and was popular in the betting prior to a disappointing start at Ffos Las 100 days ago. Could prove a different proposition. Flopped on debut but is from a good jumping family; should do better. |
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15th (6) (100/1 +0%) Ropeman |
100/1(+0%) | (6) Ropeman 100/1, Is from quite a good family and hinted at ability on debut at Lingfield 86 days ago. Much more required if he's to feature, though. Unable to land a significant blow when sixth of eight at Lingfield (AW) in February. |
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16th (15) (150/1 -127%) Good Old Sussex |
150/1(-127%) | (15) Good Old Sussex 150/1, 80/1, fifth of 6 in bumper at Sandown on debut 78 days ago. Can only watch after that. Struggled to get competitive when 80-1 for debut at Sandown in February. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
1st: 7/1 (7) WHATAWIT 2nd: 5.5/1 (9) BROOMHILL ROAD 3rd: 7.5/1 (11) LUCKY PLACE
Broomhill Road and Whatawit appeal most from those with previous experience and each are worth monitoring in the betting. However, there are a few interesting newcomers that appeal on pedigree, with HEAD OVER HINDS, whose dam won a bumper in Ireland before progressing to be a Grade 3 winner over hurdles, looking the most attractive proposition. He debuts for a yard in flying form and appears to have been found an ideal platform to launch his career. Potters Bishop is another compelling debutant.
MONTECAM is a half-brother to Altior among others and, while only sixth at Kempton on debut, the fact that he was sent off 9/4 looks significant. He might well be able to improve enough to open his account at the second attempt and he's marginally preferred to Broomhill Road, who made a pleasing start at Doncaster a couple of months ago. Lucky Place, a stablemate of the selection, is also worthy of consideration first time out.
Altior's half-brother MONTECAM arguably ran a bit better than the bare form suggests when sixth on his Kempton debut and gets the vote.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (7.5/1 +17%) Birkenhead |
7.5/1(+17%) | (2) Birkenhead 7.5/1, C&D winner who scored twice on turf last summer. Not at best upon returning to action this spring, ninth of 10 in a C&D handicap 5 weeks ago. Refitting of cheekpieces needs to perk him up. C&D winner on Fibresand; well treated; headgear back on (all handicap wins in aids). |
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2nd (4) (4.5/1 +55%) Yimou |
4.5/1(+55%) | (4) Yimou 4.5/1, Thirty two runs since last win in 2020. Last of 11 in handicap (8/1) at Yarmouth (6f, heavy) 26 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Well treated on Polytrack form in midwinter; not out of this but in-form rivals to beat. |
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3rd (5) (7.5/1 -36%) Josies Kid |
7.5/1(-36%) | (5) Josies Kid 7.5/1, One win from 25 Flat runs. 4/1, eleventh of 12 in handicap at Catterick (5f, heavy) 29 days ago, always behind. Must bounce back returned to all weather. Two prominent shows at Wolverhampton earlier; needs an extra push to break AW duck. |
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4th (3) (2.2/1 -59%) Grandfather Tom |
2.2/1(-59%) | (3) Grandfather Tom 2.2/1, Strong in betting and duly stepped up markedly on his reappearance run over C&D when readily landing 6-runner Lingfield handicap (5f) 7 days ago. Clearly a big player under a penalty. Big weights chance after easy 5f win at Lingfield; 3lb well-in; Tapeta winner elsewhere. |
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5th (6) (7/1 +50%) Thegreatestshowman |
7/1(+50%) | (6) Thegreatestshowman 7/1, C&D winner. Sixteen runs since last win in 2021. 18/1, 1¾ lengths sixth of 7 to Dapper Man in handicap at this C&D 3 days ago. Mark has eased plenty but he does need to step up on that if he's to play a lead role here. Mixed in handful of starts on new surface here but creditable 6th over C&D on Monday. |
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6th (1) (3/1 +0%) Dapper Man |
3/1(+0%) | (1) Dapper Man 3/1, 2 wins from 6 runs this year. Won 7-runner handicap (2/1) at this C&D 3 days ago, edging ahead close home. Rider's claim more than off-sets his penalty and expected to be in the mix again. 5f on new surface here proved a happy hunting ground, won 2-3 over C&D; penalty for latest. |
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7th (7) (100/1 -25%) Straitouttacompton |
100/1(-25%) | (7) Straitouttacompton 100/1, 4-time course winner. Twenty one runs since last win in 2021. Last of 9 in handicap at this course (7.1f, 40/1) 27 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Hard to make a case for having another crack at the minimum trip. Tackles all sorts of distances and tailed off over 7f here last month. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
1st: 3/1 (1) DAPPER MAN 2nd: 1.38/1 (3) GRANDFATHER TOM 3rd: 9/1 (2) BIRKENHEAD
A determined winner over C&D on Monday, DAPPER MAN is tuned out again quickly under a 4lb penalty and that may not be enough to stop him going in again, especially with Jonny Peate taking off a valuable 5lb. Grandfather Tom arrives with similar claims after an easy success at Lingfield last week, while course winner Thegreatestshowman has become well handicapped of late.
GRANDFATHER TOM capitalised on his much-reduced mark when comfortably seeing off 5 rivals at Lingfield 7 days ago and a repeat should see him firmly in the mix once more under a penalty. Dapper Man, a winner himself over C&D on Monday, can give the selection most to think about.
This looks between the C&D specialist Dapper Man and GRANDFATHER TOM who ended a losing run impressively at Lingfield last week.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (16/1 -60%) As Tears Go By |
16/1(-60%) | (8) As Tears Go By 16/1, Winner in hurdle at Sligo in July. Eighth of 10 in handicap hurdle (11/1) at Ballinrobe (18f, good). Off 8 months and isn't obviously well treated but he's in top hands. Stable in fine early season form but hard to assess and best watched. |
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2nd (10) (3.33/1 +49%) Grange Walk |
3.33/1(+49%) | (10) Grange Walk 3.33/1, Latest win in chase at Gowran in March. Below form seventh of 14 in handicap chase at Punchestown (16f, good to soft, 33/1) 14 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Not as good over hurdles but carrying good chase form into this contest off 33lb lower. |
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3rd (16) (5/1 -25%) Pont Audemer |
5/1(-25%) | (16) Pont Audemer 5/1, Winner in hurdle at Limerick in January. 6/1, good third of 14 in handicap hurdle at Navan (16f, heavy) 52 days ago. Progressing well and a must for the shortlist. Up 19lb in total; handicapper not making it easy but unlikely to be far away once more. |
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4th (3) (22/1 -10%) Cerberus |
22/1(-10%) | (3) Cerberus 22/1, Twelfth of 16 in maiden (20/1) at Limerick (8f, soft) 19 days ago. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Cheekpieces back on. Fairly useful hurdler. No show last twice including in a Flat maiden at Limerick; others preferred. |
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5th (5) (14/1 +58%) Walnut Beach |
14/1(+58%) | (5) Walnut Beach 14/1, 66/1, below form thirteenth of 25 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.2f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Not as effective lately although ran better than his finishing position at Punchestown. |
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6th (9) (6/1 +33%) Bal De Rio |
6/1(+33%) | (9) Bal De Rio 6/1, Course winner. Latest win in hurdle at Ballinrobe in April. Bit below form fifth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan (19f, good to soft, 9/2) 21 days ago, never on terms. More solid handicap form than many of these and handles most ground; should go well. |
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7th (14) (5.5/1 +61%) Big Island |
5.5/1(+61%) | (14) Big Island 5.5/1, Winner in hurdle at Galway in September. Good third of 16 in handicap (18/1) at Limerick (8f, soft) 19 days ago. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Good return to action when third in a 1m handicap at Limerick last month; claims. |
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8th (1) (100/1 -203%) Quirt Evans |
100/1(-203%) | (1) Quirt Evans 100/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2021. 100/1, last of 15 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (20.4f, good). Off 7 months. Down in trip. Down to a reasonable mark if he can rediscover some form but likely best watched. |
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9th (17) (4/1 +47%) Betty Dutton |
4/1(+47%) | (17) Betty Dutton 4/1, Promising sort. 8/1, creditable sixth of 16 in handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan (19.2f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Open to improvement. RESERVE. First reserve; maiden hurdle winner far from disgraced on her handicap debut at Kilbeggan. |
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|U| (6) (18/1 -80%) Auckland |
18/1(-80%) | (6) Auckland 18/1, Winner in hurdle at Killarney in May. Ninth of 13 in handicap hurdle at this course (24f, heavy, 8/1). Off 6 months. Significantly down in trip. Form tailed off last year; probably best watched after more than six months off. |
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10th (12) (40/1 -21%) Vischio |
40/1(-21%) | (12) Vischio 40/1, 50/1, eighteenth of 25 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.2f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Still 7 lb above last winning mark. Well beaten on her return in a much more competitive heat at Punchestown; others preferred. |
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11th (4) (40/1 -21%) Francois |
40/1(-21%) | (4) Francois 40/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time in this code, carried out in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.2f, good to soft, 100/1) 14 days ago. Blinkers now the headgear of choice. Reverted back to hurdles when carried out at Punchestown, was in contention at the time. |
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12th (13) (11/1 -57%) Boom Boom Boom |
11/1(-57%) | (13) Boom Boom Boom 11/1, Eleventh of 14 in handicap (7/2) at Dundalk (16f). Switches from Flat to hurdles. Makes handicap hurdle debut for shrewd yard so market check advised given progress on the level. No run over hurdles since 2021 but of interest off a mark with potential mileage. |
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13th (15) (33/1 -106%) Morning Logic |
33/1(-106%) | (15) Morning Logic 33/1, 11/1, below form eleventh of 20 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.3f, good). Off 7 months. Well beaten in a Punchestown handicap last time; others preferred after seven months off. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary provided, it is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well in the race. However, some horses worth considering for the top three positions are 4/1 (16) PONT AUDEMER, 9/1 (9) BAL DE RIO, and 6/1 (18) FUTURE PROOF (if they make it into the race as a reserve). These horses have shown some recent form and have been competitive in previous races. However, it is important to note that horse racing is unpredictable, and other horses could surprise and perform better than expected.
PONT AUDEMER faces older horses but has already run well in handicaps and remains unexposed. An easy-to-back winner at Limerick in January, his two subsequent runs were satisfactory with the Navan form working out well and he should continue to progress. Grange Walk is rated 33lb higher over fences and while very capable in that sphere, was beaten from today's same rating in his last two hurdles, although his latest run was when a useful third over course and distance last November. New Ross doesn't look ahead of the handicapper and would prefer a sound surface while Tom McGreevy has useful recent form but would prefer good ground. As Tears Go By is possibly best watched on reappearance on handicap debut. Morning Logic was hampered before finishing well held at Punchestown while reappearing Boom Boom Boom needs a sound surface.
The interesting one here is BOOM BOOM BOOM on handicap debut over hurdles given he's improved on the level since we last saw him tackling obstacles. Pont Audemer is a rock-solid opponent, with Tom McGreevy completing the shortlist.
There was plenty to like about the return to action of BIG ISLAND in a Limerick Flat maiden and he gets a sporting selection
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (6.5/1 +41%) Dreaming Spires |
6.5/1(+41%) | (6) Dreaming Spires 6.5/1, Once-raced maiden. Fifth of 13 in maiden at Kempton (7f, 40/1) on debut 22 days ago, never nearer. Entitled to build on that. Showed ability when keeping on for fifth on recent 7f AW debut; should progress. |
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2nd (4) (7/1 +0%) Owners Dream |
7/1(+0%) | (4) Owners Dream 7/1, Ran with promise when sixth of 11 in minor event at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 22/1) on debut 8 days ago and should have learnt plenty from that. Hung left but hinted at ability when sixth of 11 on last week's AW debut; may do better. |
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3rd (1) (0.73/1 -38%) Oh So Charming |
0.73/1(-38%) | (1) Oh So Charming 0.73/1, Built on promising debut effort when easily landing 9-runner novice at Redcar (1m) in October. Likely more to come this season and holds obvious claims. Won comfortably over 1m at Redcar last autumn; should have more to offer; leading claims. |
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4th (3) (16/1 +36%) Kitten's Bay |
16/1(+36%) | (3) Kitten's Bay 16/1, £22,000 yearling, Kitten's Joy gelding. Dam, 2-y-o 5f winner, half-sister to smart 5.5f/6f winner Roulston Scar. Market should prove best guide to claims on debut. First foal of a Group-placed 5f 2yo winner; betting should guide. |
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5th (2) (4.5/1 +10%) Devil's Kingdom |
4.5/1(+10%) | (2) Devil's Kingdom 4.5/1, Posted fair form on final 2 starts last term, latterly when fifth of 11 in minor event at this course (7f, soft) in September. Warrants respect on return. Fair form at 2, including second over 7f at Musselburgh; unlikely to be too far away. |
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6th (5) (16/1 +52%) The Malton Mauler |
16/1(+52%) | (5) The Malton Mauler 16/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 33/1, fifth of 7 in minor event at Ripon (9.8f, heavy) 12 days ago. Up against it. Modest form at best in three starts; likely vulnerable. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, 0.53/1 (1) OH SO CHARMING and Built are the strongest contenders with 5/1 (2) DEVIL'S KINGDOM and 11/1 (6) DREAMING SPIRES also having a chance. 7/1 (4) OWNERS DREAM and 33/1 (5) THE MALTON MAULER are unlikely to be in the top three. It's difficult to predict 25/1 (3) KITTEN'S BAY's performance as it will be its debut and the market will be the best guide for its chances. 1st: 0.53/1 (1) OH SO CHARMING 2nd: Built 3rd: 5/1 (2) DEVIL'S KINGDOM
OH SO CHARMING, who was a respectable third when introduced over C&D last August, is hard to oppose given how comfortably he won subsequently. The son of Charm Spirit obviously learnt plenty from his debut because he blitzed his rivals in a decent looking novice stakes at Redcar. Returning to familiar surroundings is a sound move and a follow-up success is a distinct possibility. Devil's Kingdom rates as the main danger, although Dreaming Spires could figure with a step forward.
It's likely we haven't seen the best of OH SO CHARMING yet and he is taken to make a winning reappearance. Owners Dream is also open to improvement and may provide the chief threat.
If OH SO CHARMING's issues with the stalls are behind him this looks a good opportunity for him to kick off his 3yo campaign with a win.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (5/1 -43%) Golden Keeper |
5/1(-43%) | (2) Golden Keeper 5/1, Fifth of 8 in handicap at Chelmsford City (14f, 8/1) 14 days ago, not ideally placed. Not dismissed. Showed a more positive sign again on latest outing; back to a good mark. |
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2nd (8) (4/1 +67%) Bay Of Naples |
4/1(+67%) | (8) Bay Of Naples 4/1, C&D winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2021. Ninth of 14 in handicap (28/1) at Doncaster (11.9f, soft) 12 days ago. Can bounce back. Second to Tio Mio here on penultimate outing and a rare turf run probably excuses latest. |
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3rd (5) (3/1 +14%) Tio Mio |
3/1(+14%) | (5) Tio Mio 3/1, Improved on recent efforts to win 9-runner handicap at this course (11.1f, 9/2) 23 days ago by 4¼ lengths from Bay of Naples, unchallenged. Big shout despite 7 lb hike in the weights. Best run since 2021 came on latest outing when winning comfortably from the front here. |
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4th (4) (2.5/1 +9%) Theonlywayiswessex |
2.5/1(+9%) | (4) Theonlywayiswessex 2.5/1, C&D winner. 2 wins from 3 runs this year. Latest win here in March. 5/1, creditable fifth of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (12f, AW) 23 days ago. Shortlisted. Hung left late on at Lingfield in hat-trick bid but it was otherwise a creditable run. |
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5th (6) (33/1 -200%) Angel On High |
33/1(-200%) | (6) Angel On High 33/1, Tenth of 11 in handicap at this course (14.1f, 66/1) 41 days ago. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Fourteen runs since last win in 2020. Well beaten this January/March; has plummeted in the weights; wind op and tongue-tie. |
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6th (1) (6.5/1 -18%) Glen Cove |
6.5/1(-18%) | (1) Glen Cove 6.5/1, C&D winner. 10/1, seventh of 9 in handicap at Yarmouth (11.5f, good to soft). Off 7 months. Needs to hit the ground running. May be open to further progress now back on AW in this new campaign. |
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7th (7) (11/1 +21%) Prince Abu |
11/1(+21%) | (7) Prince Abu 11/1, Course winner. Latest win here in December. 33/1, last of 7 in handicap at Doncaster (16.5f, heavy) 13 days ago. Back down in trip. In the mix if shrugging off latest effort. Remote when having a very rare start on turf 13 days ago; has bounced back before. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, 3.5/1 (5) TIO MIO seems to be the strongest contender, having won comfortably in its latest outing and showing improvement from previous runs. Bay of Naples and 2.75/1 (4) THEONLYWAYISWESSEX are also strong contenders, having won at the course before and showing good form this year. Therefore, the predicted order of finish would be 3.5/1 (5) TIO MIO in 1st, Bay of Naples in 2nd, and 2.75/1 (4) THEONLYWAYISWESSEX in 3rd.
THEONLYWAYISWESSEX may have disappointed at Lingfield last time out, but he still wasn't beaten far and the form of that contest has worked out well since. Alan King's charge was a winner over C&D on his penultimate start and he is narrowly preferred to Tio Mio, who scored here last month. A winner of two of his last three outings, Glen Cove could also have a say in proceedings on his return from a break.
TIO MIO got right back on track when scoring here last time and looks weighted to have a big say again despite taking a 7 lb hike in the weights. C&D winner Theonlywayiswessex is next on the list with Golden Keeper also worth considering having not been seen to best effect when fifth at Chelmsford City.
The reappearing GLEN COVE is 2-2 in AW handicaps over this trip and has not had much racing.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (2.5/1 +50%) Gentleman Joe |
2.5/1(+50%) | (3) Gentleman Joe 2.5/1, Unseated rider at Punchestown latest but had got back on track when seventh of 19 in Fairyhouse handicap hurdle (16f, soft) previously and must enter calculations. Unseated when in with a chance at Punchestown; probably wants further but respected. |
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2nd (1) (5/1 +0%) Stuzzikini |
5/1(+0%) | (1) Stuzzikini 5/1, Fairly useful hurdler. Didn't need to be at best when winning 12-runner novice hurdle (10/11) at Kilbeggan (16f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Yard in good form. Likely contender. Back to form when landing a Kilbeggan maiden hurdle last month; clear chance on that form. |
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3rd (5) (12/1 -300%) Estepona Sun |
12/1(-300%) | (5) Estepona Sun 12/1, Still looking for first success but made the frame on several occasions last summer and will be a player if ready to roll after 7-month absence. Not seen since down the field in Bellewstown Flat handicap in September; others preferred. |
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4th (4) (2.25/1 +44%) Western Comandor |
2.25/1(+44%) | (4) Western Comandor 2.25/1, Fairly useful hurdler. 12/1, career best when winning 19-runner novice hurdle at Down Royal (16.9f, heavy) 55 days ago, always holding on. This looks tougher but he warrants respect. Showed at Down Royal that that he might be better going left-handed but should go well. |
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5th (2) (3.33/1 -21%) Wasthatok |
3.33/1(-21%) | (2) Wasthatok 3.33/1, Made winning start over hurdles when taking 13-runner novice at Kilbeggan (15f, good to soft) 21 days ago, easily. May well do better yet and holds strong claims. Landed a Kilbeggan maiden hurdle last month despite some novicey jumping; can only improve. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are likely to do well are 5/1 (1) STUZZIKINI, 4/1 (4) WESTERN COMANDOR, and 2.75/1 (2) WASTHATOK. 5/1 (1) STUZZIKINI has shown recent form and is a fairly useful hurdler. 4/1 (4) WESTERN COMANDOR has won a novice hurdle before and warrants respect. 2.75/1 (2) WASTHATOK won a maiden hurdle last month and can only improve. 33/1 (6) FEMALE APPROACH is not expected to perform well in this company. Therefore, the predicted order of finish is 5/1 (1) STUZZIKINI in first place, followed by 2.75/1 (2) WASTHATOK in second, and 4/1 (4) WESTERN COMANDOR in third.
WASTHATOK won well on jumps debut recently, having shown promise in useful bumpers. He seemed to improve at Kilbeggan and can progress further jumping-wise. Stuzzikini won a Kilbeggan maiden and the Punchestown charity race and while his rider claim 5lbs, nonetheless has enough weight tackling a capable selection. Western Comandor won a Down Royal maiden in which Stuzzikini pulled up in March (the third-placed horse showed himself in a better light subsequently) and should be competitive from his 116 rating. Gentleman Joe, Listed-placed on the Flat, has been a shade disappointing over hurdles but had plenty horses behind him in a useful Fairyhouse handicap last month. Estepona Sun reappears following a layoff, would prefer good ground and hasn't won for almost three years.
Preference is for WASTHATOK, who scored at the first time of asking in this sphere at Kilbeggan last month and remains open to improvement. Stuzzikini may provide the chief threat.
Another progressive type is WASTHATOK (nap) who won readily at Kilbeggan and can only improve further
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (5/1 +17%) Billian |
5/1(+17%) | (7) Billian 5/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in March. 5/1, creditable third of 13 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 16 days ago, finishing well. Regular slow starter but he needs considering. Won at Wolverhampton before strong-finishing 3rd there; he's firmly in the picture. |
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2nd (3) (2.25/1 +36%) Monsieur Fantaisie |
2.25/1(+36%) | (3) Monsieur Fantaisie 2.25/1, C&D winner. One win from 22 Flat runs. 2/1, respectable fifth of 12 in handicap at Kempton (6f), going off too hard. Off 114 days and drawn wide but not fully exposed for this yard. C&D scorer; good Kempton 5th in January despite going freely; player eased 1lb here. |
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3rd (2) (25/1 -56%) Alfred Cove |
25/1(-56%) | (2) Alfred Cove 25/1, Eighth of 10 in handicap at Kempton (6f, 66/1) 22 days ago. Needs to leave efforts this spring behind. Still to register a victory and he has offered little in two 6f handicaps this spring. |
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4th (14) (100/1 -100%) Miss Connaisseur |
100/1(-100%) | (14) Miss Connaisseur 100/1, Remains a maiden after 18 Flat runs. Sixth of 7 in handicap (125/1) at Lingfield (7f, AW) 38 days ago. Longstanding maiden who beat only one on the back of a wind op at Lingfield latest. |
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5th (11) (22/1 -57%) Master Sully |
22/1(-57%) | (11) Master Sully 22/1, Winner at Lingfield in January. Thirteenth of 15 in handicap (15/2) at Bath (5f, soft) 10 days ago. Switch to turf perhaps an excuse. Kickstarted 2023 with 5f Lingfield win but has failed to make the frame in five runs since. |
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6th (10) (80/1 -300%) Millicent |
80/1(-300%) | (10) Millicent 80/1, 40/1, ninth of 13 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 27 days ago, very slowly away. Down in trip with plenty to prove. Looked rusty after eight months off when ninth at Southwell; needs a big step forward. |
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7th (6) (8/1 +11%) Fristel |
8/1(+11%) | (6) Fristel 8/1, Remains a maiden after 17 Flat runs. 13/2, bit below form sixth of 13 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 16 days ago. Likely to give it another good go. Is now 0-17 but he comes here in decent nick; not ruled out. |
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8th (12) (11/1 -57%) Fast Danseuse |
11/1(-57%) | (12) Fast Danseuse 11/1, Tenth of 13 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f, 12/1) 27 days ago. Down in trip. Others more persuasive. Returned with Southwell 10th last month; she can build on it now back in trip. |
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9th (1) (33/1 -18%) Red Alert |
33/1(-18%) | (1) Red Alert 33/1, C&D winner. Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Last of 7 in handicap (33/1) at this C&D 56 days ago. Cheekpieces back on and then need to sharpen him up. C&D scorer; came in last over C&D latest; cheekpieces back on with something to prove. |
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10th (13) (22/1 -10%) Shining Crystal |
22/1(-10%) | (13) Shining Crystal 22/1, Remains a maiden after 19 Flat runs. 14/1, eighth of 14 in handicap at Leicester (6f, heavy) 12 days ago, not ideally placed. Has failed to build on an encouraging start for this yard but could bounce back. |
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11th (8) (2.5/1 +38%) Hannah's Return |
2.5/1(+38%) | (8) Hannah's Return 2.5/1, Latest win at Kempton in March. Below form seventh of 12 in handicap at Windsor (6f, heavy, 10/1) 17 days ago. Expected to be bang there returned to the AW. Won at Kempton in March; seventh on turf debut at Windsor since; can bounce back here. |
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12th (9) (25/1 +24%) San Juan |
25/1(+24%) | (9) San Juan 25/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2021. 8/1, ninth of 11 in novice event at Lingfield (6f, AW). Off 97 days. First run for yard after leaving Mark Loughnane. Not easy to make a case for. 9th at Lingfield on final run for Mark Loughnane so needs to bounce back for his new yard. |
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13th (4) (16/1 -146%) Forever Dreaming |
16/1(-146%) | (4) Forever Dreaming 16/1, Winner at Southwell in February. Sixth of 7 in handicap at Kempton (6f, 9/2) 36 days ago. Excuses for last 2 runs not easy to come by. Won at Southwell in February but she has twice failed to back it up; others preferred. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are predicted to do well and finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd places are: 1st place: 6/1 (7) BILLIAN 2nd place: 4/1 (8) HANNAH'S RETURN 3rd place: 3.5/1 (3) MONSIEUR FANTAISIE
Having landed a classified event in March, BILLIAN lost nothing in defeat when finishing third in handicap company at Wolverhampton last time out. Recent form can often count for plenty in these types of races, so he edges the vote over Monsieur Fantaisie, who wasn't beaten far on his latest outing. Hannah's Return should appreciate the return to an artificial surface and is another to keep onside, while Fristel completes the shortlist.
HANNAH'S RETURN seemed to get bogged down on heavy ground at Windsor 17 days ago and now returned to the AW he is taken to get back on the up. This is competitive though, with Monsieur Fantaisie not yet exposed for Archie Watson, while a good pace would bring habitual-slow starter Billian into the equation.
Preference is for MONSIEUR FANTAISIE, who has been in good form for Archie Watson and can gain a first win for the yard.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (4.5/1 -29%) We'renotreallyhere |
4.5/1(-29%) | (7) We'renotreallyhere 4.5/1, Shed maiden tag when making all at Catterick (6f) in April. Below form fifth of 12 in handicap (5/1) at Doncaster (6f, soft) 12 days ago, weakening final 1f having been unable to dominate. No surprise to see a better showing. Made it 12th time lucky at Cattterick last month; only fifth since but could bounce back. |
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2nd (1) (3.5/1 +30%) Honour Your Dreams |
3.5/1(+30%) | (1) Honour Your Dreams 3.5/1, 13/2, fifth of 6 in handicap at Beverley (7.4f, good to soft) 14 days ago, weakening final 100 yds. Return to sprinting rates a plus on that evidence and underfoot conditions will hold no fears now operating from career-low mark. 6f maiden win last summer but drawn blank in handicaps since. |
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3rd (8) (9/1 +36%) Nightout |
9/1(+36%) | (8) Nightout 9/1, Went close on a couple of occasions during second half of last year but ended the campaign with a below par display and similarly well held returning from 6 months off when last of 11 in handicap at Ripon (6f) soft 3 weeks ago. Needs to leave that in his wake to feature. Some promise at 2 but well held behind Jack Of Clubs last month. |
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4th (6) (2.12/1 +47%) Jack Of Clubs |
2.12/1(+47%) | (6) Jack Of Clubs 2.12/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Bit below form fifth of 11 in handicap at Ripon (6f, soft, 17/2) 21 days ago, doing best of those on unfavoured stand-side rail. Remains low-mileage and represents a yard amongst the winners so he's one to bear in mind. Better than result on handicap debut latest and yard going well now; respected. |
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5th (5) (6.5/1 +24%) One Of Our Own |
6.5/1(+24%) | (5) One Of Our Own 6.5/1, Fair maiden. Fourth of 7 in novice event at Southwell (6.1f, 7/2) 32 days ago, weakening over 1f out. Makes handicap debut. Several close calls last year but not at best in two AW runs this spring; revival needed. |
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6th (3) (12/1 -200%) Global Crisis |
12/1(-200%) | (3) Global Crisis 12/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 100/1, fared better than previously when fifth of 11 in novice event at Doncaster (6f, heavy) 13 days ago, weakened last ½f. Makes handicap debut now and feasible to think he can do better again. Anoter to note in the betting for clues. Better with each start but will need that trend to continue to overcome tough opening mark. |
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7th (2) (12/1 -20%) Run Cmc |
12/1(-20%) | (2) Run Cmc 12/1, Off the mark at third attempt in a Mussleburgh maiden (5f) last June but unable to build on that in 3 subsequent outings last summer, well held in class 2 York nursery 97f) on final outing in August. Interesting to see what the market makes of him on return. 5f maiden win last June but failed to build on it after; been off 266 days. |
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8th (4) (22/1 -38%) Princess Savannah |
22/1(-38%) | (4) Princess Savannah 22/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Respectable fourth of 9 in maiden (11/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f), well positioned. Off 8 months. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Makes handicap debut. Has work to do. Some promise at 2; sports cheekpieces for this handicap debut/return; check betting. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the information provided, it is difficult to confidently predict which horse will do well in the race. However, 4/1 (6) JACK OF CLUBS and 3.5/1 (7) WE'RENOTREALLYHERE seem to have some potential for improvement and are worth keeping in mind. As for the horses that will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place, it is impossible to accurately predict without further information or knowledge of the horses' past performances.
PRINCESS SAVANNAH is a likely candidate for top honours in this company as she starts her season off a competitive mark. She signed off her first campaign with a fourth over 7f at Wolverhampton, but she is a half-sister to three winners over this trip and the application of cheekpieces could sharpen her up for her return. Jack Of Clubs and Honour Your Dreams look the chief dangers to the selection, although We'renotreallyhere is dangerous to underestimate.
It could just pay to side with HONOUR YOUR DREAMS. Having run well on his seasonal bow at Newcastle, he didn't convince tackling the extended 7f trip at Beverley on his latest outing 2 weeks ago and, returned to sprinting, it would come as no surprise to see him fare better from this career-low mark. We'renotreallyhere and Jack of Clubs head up the dangers.
With the Michael Dods team going well now the vote goes to JACK OF CLUBS, who was first home on his side at Ripon last time.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (5/1 +75%) Evesham Road |
5/1(+75%) | (4) Evesham Road 5/1, Once-raced maiden. Fourth of 9 in bumper (8/1) at Cork (19f, soft) on NH debut 31 days ago, faring best of those held up. Makes hurdles debut and the betting could prove an informative guide. Staying-on fourth on his track debut in a point-to-point bumper at Cork last month. |
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2nd (2) (28/1 -460%) Napper Tandy |
28/1(-460%) | (2) Napper Tandy 28/1, Fairly useful Flat winner, making GB/IRE jumps debut. Second of 12 in handicap at Epsom (12f, heavy, 16/1). Off 8 months. First run for yard after leaving Andrew Balding. Might just be best watched on his hurdle and stable debut after eight months off. |
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3rd (11) (3/1 +67%) Power Hour |
3/1(+67%) | (11) Power Hour 3/1, Fair hurdler. Very good second of 13 in novice hurdle (8/1) at Tramore (20.3f, soft) 25 days ago, ridden after 3 out and staying on. Each-way claims once more. Second in a Tramore maiden hurdle last month; should be thereabouts with a repeat. |
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4th (12) (4/1 +60%) Skradin |
4/1(+60%) | (12) Skradin 4/1, Promising individual. 5/6, second of 10 in novice hurdle at this course (16f, heavy) 51 days ago, doing too much too soon. Likely to progress further and he's respected. Good run here last time; needs to improve again but this longer trip might help. |
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5th (6) (50/1 -257%) Gino Drummer Boy |
50/1(-257%) | (6) Gino Drummer Boy 50/1, Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. 66/1, shaped much better than distance beaten suggests when tenth of 19 in novice hurdle at Navan (20f, soft) back in January 2022. However, absent since and handicaps entitled to be more his bag moving forward. No show in a couple of more competitive maiden hurdles early last year; best watched. |
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6th (1) (2.25/1 +0%) Fameaftertheglory |
2.25/1(+0%) | (1) Fameaftertheglory 2.25/1, Fairly useful hurdler. 16/5 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, bit below form third of 14 in novice hurdle at Kilbeggan (19.2f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Certainly become frustrating but blinkers go back on here and he looks sure to be thereabouts. Has been said more than once that he has a very winnable opportunity here, this is another. |
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7th (3) (40/1 -21%) Coffee Bay |
40/1(-21%) | (3) Coffee Bay 40/1, Once-raced maiden. 50/1, seventh of 13 in novice hurdle at Tramore (20.3f, soft) on NH debut 25 days ago. Probably one for later on. Midfield on last month's Tramore debut; will need to come on hugely to feature here. |
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8th (16) (100/1 -203%) Vintage Gold |
100/1(-203%) | (16) Vintage Gold 100/1, Modest maiden on the Flat. Twice-raced maiden over hurdles. 40/1, eleventh of 13 in juvenile hurdle at Tramore (16f, good to soft) 24 days ago. Passed over. Well beaten at Tramore last month; may do better in handicaps. |
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9th (5) (125/1 -279%) Getaway Henry |
125/1(-279%) | (5) Getaway Henry 125/1, Well held all 3 starts in bumpers and similar story over hurdles so far. Easy enough to look elsewhere. Soundly beaten to date in bumpers and maiden hurdles and makes no appeal. |
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10th (8) (80/1 +0%) Ladyeze Man |
80/1(+0%) | (8) Ladyeze Man 80/1, Snow Sky gelding. Half-brother to fair hurdler Better Than Heaven. Dam unraced. From a good staying family but best watched on debut. |
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11th (17) (66/1 -100%) Eddierocket |
66/1(-100%) | (17) Eddierocket 66/1, Once-raced maiden. 125/1, eighth of 19 in novice hurdle at Tipperary (20.2f, soft) on NH debut 23 days ago. Reserve 1. First reserve; didn't count in midfield on last month's Tipperary bow; may need more time. |
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|PU| (15) (7/1 -56%) All In Peder |
7/1(-56%) | (15) All In Peder 7/1, Well held first 4 starts on Flat but made more impact switched to hurdling when second in 4-runner Aintree juvenile (16.5f) last June. Fit from a creditable third back from 9 months off on the Flat at Navan (13f) in March but handicaps may be more his bag in this sphere. Hard to assess on his Aintree run last summer; no surprise if he went well though. |
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|PU| (7) (12/1 +14%) Itso Vango |
12/1(+14%) | (7) Itso Vango 12/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. 8/1, good third of 11 in novice hurdle at Kilbeggan (25f, good). Off 8 months. Down in trip. Tongue strap on for 1st time. Back in trip here in a first-time tongue-tie after nine months off; not discounted. |
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|PU| (9) (66/1 +18%) Longagoanfarbehind |
66/1(+18%) | (9) Longagoanfarbehind 66/1, Twice-raced maiden under NH rules. First run since leaving Brian Francis Cawley when 66/1, unseated rider in novice hurdle at Kilbeggan (19.2f, good to soft) on hurdles bow 20 days ago. This should reveal more. 66-1 when unseating midrace on hurdling debut at Kilbeggan. |
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|PU| (13) (150/1 -20%) Soldier's Three |
150/1(-20%) | (13) Soldier's Three 150/1, Twice-raced maiden. Pulled up in novice hurdle at Thurles (23.7f, good to soft, 250/1) 77 days ago. Blinkered for 1st time. Pulled up both maidens over the winter; blinkers now fitted but makes no appeal for now. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
1st: 10/1 (12) SKRADIN 2nd: 9/1 (11) POWER HOUR 3rd: 2.25/1 (1) FAMEAFTERTHEGLORY
Lowly-rated but unexposed flat performer ALL IN PEDER bumped into a now four-time hurdles winner on jumps debut at Aintree last June. That third-placed horse was a previous winner and while All In Peder was recently beaten on a heavy-ground flat handicap, could be suited by this extra distance, on a sounder surface and is now race-fit. Fameaftertheglory has been unable to concede his bumper-winners' penalty over hurdles and was well held at Kilbeggan recently. Evesham Road finished ahead of Marv Michael in a recent bumper, where the third-horse improved to win well subsequently. Both are closely matched although Marv Michael has a better profile being a debut winner (beating two subsequent points winners) at Kinsale and should improve from that Cork reappearance. Skradin was a beaten favourite in an ordinary contest here in March while Power Hour has been running well but also has plenty on his plate. Itso Vango would prefer good ground and reappears in a first-time tongue-tie.
FAMEAFTERTHEGLORY has undoubtedly become frustrating over jumps but there's no doubting he has the ability to land a race of this nature and, with blinkers refitted, this could be the day he gets off the mark. Skradin ran his best race yet when runner-up over 2m here latest and is feared, with hurdles debutant Marv Michael and All In Peder others to note.
Maybe it could pay to give one final chance to FAMEAFTERTHEGLORY who has to come good at some stage
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (1.25/1 +34%) Fiscal Policy |
1.25/1(+34%) | (4) Fiscal Policy 1.25/1, 85/40, good second of 8 in handicap at Kempton (6f) 8 days ago, clear of rest. Leading contender off the same mark here with this drop back to the minimum trip a potentially good move. Returned with an excellent Kempton 2nd last week; rates a big player off same mark. |
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2nd (1) (4/1 +0%) Spanish Angel |
4/1(+0%) | (1) Spanish Angel 4/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in March. 4/1, creditable third of 10 in handicap at Catterick (5f, good to soft) 15 days ago. 9 lb higher back on the AW and looks vulnerable. Good Catterick 3rd latest, doing best of those to come stand side; he's well in the mix. |
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3rd (3) (8/1 -60%) Tomshalfbrother |
8/1(-60%) | (3) Tomshalfbrother 8/1, Course winner. 11/1, career best when winning 14-runner handicap at Southwell (5f), suited by way race developed. Off 13 months but he could have a part to play if ready to roll. Won at Southwell when last seen; not totally dismissed after his absence. |
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4th (5) (6.5/1 +19%) Red Walls |
6.5/1(+19%) | (5) Red Walls 6.5/1, C&D winner. 7/2, fifth of 8 in handicap at this C&D 21 days ago. Capable if on a going day but he's not the most consistent. C&D winner but he isn't the easiest to catch right; others appeal more. |
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5th (6) (5/1 -25%) Mustaffiz |
5/1(-25%) | (6) Mustaffiz 5/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2022. 4/1, respectable second of 8 in handicap at this C&D 21 days ago. Needs considering off an untouched mark. Arrives on a long losing run but good C&D 2nd latest; needs considering off the same mark. |
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6th (2) (16/1 +52%) Vandad |
16/1(+52%) | (2) Vandad 16/1, 25/1, seventh of 10 in handicap at Lingfield (6f, AW). Off 103 days and needs to get back on track following a wind op. Scored at Brighton (5f) last summer but he's yet to fire in three runs this term. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary, my prediction for the horses that will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd are: 1st - 1.88/1 (4) FISCAL POLICY 2nd - 4/1 (6) MUSTAFFIZ 3rd - 4/1 (1) SPANISH ANGEL 1.88/1 (4) FISCAL POLICY is the leading contender and has performed well in his last race, with a potentially good move to drop back to the minimum trip. 4/1 (6) MUSTAFFIZ has a good C&D 2nd in his latest race, and while he has been on a long losing run, he should be considered off an untouched mark. 4/1 (1) SPANISH ANGEL has a good 3rd place finish in his latest race and is well in the mix, but may be vulnerable due to the higher weight.
FISCAL POLICY was narrowly denied when making his return to action at Kempton last week and the son of Profitable makes plenty of appeal in his bid to go one better. Spanish Angel remains well treated from his current mark and must feature prominently in calculations, along with Mustaffiz, who hit the woodwork over C&D last month. Tomshalfbrother hasn't been seen since April 2022 when he won at Southwell and the seven-year-old isn't discounted.
FISCAL POLICY was just touched off back from a break at Kempton last week and he is likely to prove a tough nut to crack reverting to the minimum trip off the same mark here. Next on the list is Mustaffiz, who has found just one too good on 3 of his last 4 starts and could again be in line for the runner-up spot. Tomshalfbrother's well-being has to be taken on trust following a 13-month absence but he will have a fighting chance if fully tuned-up.
There was a lot to like about the reappearance second of FISCAL POLICY (nap) at Kempton and he gets a confident vote.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (1.5/1 +8%) William Dewhirst |
1.5/1(+8%) | (4) William Dewhirst 1.5/1, Much improved from debut when second of 9 in minor event at Pontefract (6f, heavy, 10/1) 30 days ago, just failing. Can continue his progress to get off the mark this time around. Left AW debut fourth behind when narrowly denied at Pontefract last month; leading claims. |
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2nd (9) (33/1 -230%) Happier |
33/1(-230%) | (9) Happier 33/1, Showed a bit on debut when sixth of 15 in minor event at Redcar (6f, good to soft) 7 days ago, late headway without being knocked about. Could do better with her first run behind her. 18-1, promise when seventh of 15 on recent Redcar debut but Aclaim To Fame ahead in second. |
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3rd (1) (50/1 +24%) Malinheadsearovers |
50/1(+24%) | (1) Malinheadsearovers 50/1, With hood applied, went backwards from his first run when ninth of 14 in minor event at Redcar (7f, good to soft, 66/1) in October. Best watched on return from 7 months off. Definite signs of ability on first of two starts last year but likely more one for h'caps. |
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4th (3) (14/1 +58%) Whiskey Priest |
14/1(+58%) | (3) Whiskey Priest 14/1, €10,000 yearling, £30,000 2-y-o, Dandy Man gelding. Dam unraced. Watch for market clues. Yard has couple of quite useful 3yo sprinters so a market move would be interesting. |
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5th (6) (4.5/1 -35%) Aclaim To Fame |
4.5/1(-35%) | (6) Aclaim To Fame 4.5/1, Upped in trip, improved from her first outing when second of 15 in minor event at Redcar (6f, good to soft, 5/1) 7 days ago. Merits consideration. Stepped up on 5f course debut when second at Redcar (6f) a week ago; on premises again. |
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6th (5) (1.88/1 +37%) Leap Day |
1.88/1(+37%) | (5) Leap Day 1.88/1, Ran to similar level as on debut (still green) when third of 11 in minor event at Doncaster (6f, heavy, 8/1) 13 days ago. Can be thereabouts once again. Fair form when third in 6f novices on AW/soft turf this spring; prominent showing likely. |
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7th (7) (66/1 +0%) Selby's Joy |
66/1(+0%) | (7) Selby's Joy 66/1, Still needed experience when ninth of 15 in minor event at Redcar (6f, good to soft, 150/1) 7 days ago. Needs another run for a mark. Only minor promise so far, finishing well behind Aclaim To Fame at Redcar last week. |
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8th (10) (125/1 -213%) Missmimi |
125/1(-213%) | (10) Missmimi 125/1, 13,000 gns yearling, Equiano filly. Closely related to useful winner up to 1m Rubirosa and 6f winner Harbour Road. Dam German 7f winner. Related to plenty of winners but her stable isn't known for first-time-out scorers. |
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9th (8) (10/1 -43%) Trickledown |
10/1(-43%) | (8) Trickledown 10/1, £32,000 yearling, Bated Breath filly. Dam unraced half-sister to useful 2-y-o 5f/6f winner Junius Brutus. Leading yard capable of readying a newcomer. Newcomer from a good stable; betting should help guide to expectations. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
1st: 1.63/1 (4) WILLIAM DEWHIRST, 2nd: 3.33/1 (6) ACLAIM TO FAME, 3rd: 3/1 (5) LEAP DAY.
William Dewhirst showed promise when just denied at Pontefract but, despite helping to set a decent standard, he was five and a half lengths behind LEAP DAY when they encountered each other at Newcastle in March and Tim Easterby's gelding is the logical one to be with. The son of Gregorian wasn't beaten far when switched to turf at Doncaster recently and another step forward can see him break his maiden. Aclaim To Fame completes the shortlist.
WILLIAM DEWHIRST showed much improved form when runner-up at Pontefract last month, losing out only on the nod having finished strongly, and he can go one better with further progress to come. Leap Day has placed on both of his starts so far and is feared most, ahead of Aclaim To Fame.
There should be more to come from recent Pontefract second WILLIAM DEWHIRST, who can make it third time lucky.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (9/1 -20%) Rathnaleen Kal |
9/1(-20%) | (2) Rathnaleen Kal 9/1, Very good second of 19 in handicap hurdle at Tipperary (16f, soft, 40/1) 23 days ago. Not taken lightly. Fine handicap debut at Tipperary makes her a likely leading player here. |
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2nd (15) (6/1 +20%) Reflectionist |
6/1(+20%) | (15) Reflectionist 6/1, 40/1, last of 11 in handicap hurdle at Naas (18.8f, heavy) 123 days ago. First run for yard after leaving David Peter Dunne. Hood on for 1st time in this code. Improvement required. Poor form last season in light campaign; first start for Gavin Cromwell with hood tried. |
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3rd (9) (3/1 +60%) Lilian Bland |
3/1(+60%) | (9) Lilian Bland 3/1, Posted best effort over hurdles when second of 12 in handicap at this course (19.5f, heavy, 14/1) 35 days ago. Remains on a feasible mark and is one for the shortlist. Recent C&D second makes her a leading player despite 4lb rise. |
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4th (10) (20/1 -100%) Latest Model |
20/1(-100%) | (10) Latest Model 20/1, Unseated rider in handicap chase (11/1) at Wexford (20f, good to soft) on debut over fences 67 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Needs a couple of these to falter. Didn't progress last season and unseated on recent chase debut. |
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5th (7) (6/1 +8%) Aliunde |
6/1(+8%) | (7) Aliunde 6/1, Promising type who found improvement, on return from 3 months off, when third of 12 in handicap hurdle at Downpatrick (21.7f, heavy, 6/1) 39 days ago. May well do better yet. Downpatrick comeback run a definite step in the right direction; should go well. |
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6th (11) (10/1 +17%) Kate Ill Know |
10/1(+17%) | (11) Kate Ill Know 10/1, Yet to add to course debut success (16f) in 2021 but has shaped as if a step up in trip would suit in recent starts and figures off a handy mark. Maiden runs well here and has her ground but unproven over this far. |
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7th (8) (14/1 +30%) Galmar |
14/1(+30%) | (8) Galmar 14/1, Pulled up in handicap hurdle (18/1) at this course (19.8f, heavy) 114 days ago, losing touch 4 out. Hard to fancy. Glimpses of form but hard to fancy after run here in January. |
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8th (1) (66/1 -164%) Dorans River |
66/1(-164%) | (1) Dorans River 66/1, Unreliable type. Bit below form ninth of 16 in handicap hurdle at Roscommon (24.2f, good, 28/1). Off 19 months. Down in trip. First run for yard after leaving Patrick G. Kelly. Veteran returns from 20 months absence here for new yard and best watched. |
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9th (3) (9/1 +10%) Go Gill Go |
9/1(+10%) | (3) Go Gill Go 9/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2021. Creditable third of 19 in handicap hurdle at Tipperary (16f, soft, 9/1) 23 days ago. Warrants respect. Tipperary third was promising but has a bit to find with Rathnaleen Kal on that. |
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10th (6) (80/1 -142%) Danegeld |
80/1(-142%) | (6) Danegeld 80/1, Eighth of 13 in handicap chase (66/1) at Tramore (15.1f, soft) 25 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Back up in trip. Others preferred. Never counted on Tramore comeback, hard to see him improving enough to feature here. |
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11th (14) (6.5/1 +0%) Leading The Way |
6.5/1(+0%) | (14) Leading The Way 6.5/1, 9/2, creditable fifth of 19 in handicap hurdle at Tipperary (16f, soft) 23 days ago, unsuited by drop in trip. Each-way claims. Disappointing favourite at Tipperary and plenty to find with a couple of today's rivals. |
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12th (16) (66/1 -100%) Grinn |
66/1(-100%) | (16) Grinn 66/1, Tenth of 12 in handicap chase (33/1) at Downpatrick (19.2f, good to soft) 6 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Cheekpieces back on. Needs a couple of these to falter. Back from winter break when tailed off at Downpatrick six days ago; hard to fancy. |
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13th (5) (14/1 +30%) Duke Otto |
14/1(+30%) | (5) Duke Otto 14/1, 8/1, below form tenth of 16 in handicap at Bellewstown (14.3f, heavy) 35 days ago. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Longer trip could suit so don't dismiss. |
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14th (4) (18/1 +10%) Yewood |
18/1(+10%) | (4) Yewood 18/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Tongue strap on for 1st time, fifth of 8 in novice hurdle at Limerick (19f, soft, 50/1) 46 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Open to improvement. Bit more promising last time; not one to rule out here on handicap debut. |
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15th (13) (66/1 -450%) Izeo |
66/1(-450%) | (13) Izeo 66/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Fell in handicap hurdle at Wexford (16f, good to soft, 50/1). Off 8 months. Work to do. Modest maiden form and behind when a faller on recent handicap debut; hard to fancy. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
1st - 7.5/1 (2) RATHNALEEN KAL 2nd - 7.5/1 (9) LILIAN BLAND 3rd - 6.5/1 (7) ALIUNDE
LILIAN BLAND has improved recently and ran well over course and distance last month. Ground-versatile, she won a point-to-point in February and bumped into now 21lb higher-rated Mighty Jeremy here in April. Rathnaleen Kal ran well on handicap debut at Tipperary, finishing ahead of third-placed Go Gill Go and fifth-placed Leading The Way (which had chased home Mighty Jeremy at Cork in March) and the trio should each again compete well. Aliunde finished reasonably well in a similar Downpatrick race recently while Duke Otto has claims on best form but is a 14-race maiden.
ALIUNDE upped his game when third at Downpatrick last time and remains low mileage. He can open his account here. Lilian Bland and Kate Ill Know head the list of dangers.
Plenty with chances, none more so than LILLIAN BLAND, whose C&D second to the progressive Mighty Jeremy last month reads well
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (3.33/1 +45%) Owl Island |
3.33/1(+45%) | (4) Owl Island 3.33/1, Dark Angel gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to top-class 6f winner Harry Angel (by Dark Angel). Interesting newcomer. Dark Angel gelding; plenty to like on paper so he rates an interesting newcomer. |
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2nd (2) (12/1 +14%) Profit Given |
12/1(+14%) | (2) Profit Given 12/1, Once-raced maiden. 10/1, fifth of 9 in maiden at Southwell (6.1f) on debut 27 days ago. Should improve and must enter calculations. Encouraging debut Southwell 5th; this Profitable filly can take a step forward now. |
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3rd (1) (5.5/1 -57%) Extinction |
5.5/1(-57%) | (1) Extinction 5.5/1, $80,000 yearling, 105,000 gns 2-y-o, Street Sense gelding. Dam, won twice at 1m in US, half-sister to Kentucky Derby/Preakness Stakes winner Big Brown. Market check advised on debut. In good hands but the market can prove an accurate guide on his belated debut. |
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4th (3) (80/1 -567%) All For Show |
80/1(-567%) | (3) All For Show 80/1, 130,000 gns yearling, 2,000 gns 3-y-o, Showcasing gelding. Closely related to 6f/7f winner Rooful and half-brother to very smart winner up to 1m Accidental Agent and useful 1m winner Madame Tantzy. Betting can prove an accurate indicator for this Showcasing newcomer. |
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5th (7) (66/1 -313%) Manila Mist |
66/1(-313%) | (7) Manila Mist 66/1, Twice-raced maiden. Found some improvement from debut effort when fifth of 9 in maiden (50/1) at Kempton (8f) 36 days ago. More required to take a hand here. Fifth in 1m Kempton maiden 36 days ago; may do better still. |
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6th (8) (14/1 +0%) Xaviera |
14/1(+0%) | (8) Xaviera 14/1, Once-raced maiden. Fourth of 5 in maiden at Brighton (6f, good, 14/1) on debut, not knocked about. Off 11 months. Likely to improve. Debut fourth in Brighton maiden 11 months ago; needs to hit ground running on comeback. |
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7th (6) (0.73/1 +34%) Sugar Hill |
0.73/1(+34%) | (6) Sugar Hill 0.73/1, Twice-raced maiden. Improved from debut effort when third of 10 in maiden (13/2) at Newbury (8f, heavy) 19 days ago. Looks the one to beat. Promising efforts when in the frame in maidens at Lingfield/Newbury; leading form claims. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
1st: 1.1/1 (6) SUGAR HILL 2nd: 14/1 (2) PROFIT GIVEN 3rd: 6/1 (4) OWL ISLAND
It could pay to side with the unraced OWL ISLAND, who is related to some smart types and makes plenty of appeal from his low draw. The gelded son of Dark Angel is fancied to make a winning racecourse debut, but the Charlie Hills-trained Sugar Hill is progressing with each run and can give the selection plenty to think about. Extinction is another who warrants serious consideration.
This looks a good opportunity for SUGAR HILL, who built on his encouraging racecourse bow when third at Newbury last month. Profit Given ought to improve from her Southwell debut and warrants respect, whilst Owl Island looks the pick of the newcomers.
The vote goes to SUGAR HILL, who holds much the best form on show and looks to have been found a good opportunity to open his account
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (3.33/1 -11%) Robert Johnson |
3.33/1(-11%) | (6) Robert Johnson 3.33/1, 1 win from 2 runs this year. Career best when winning 14-runner handicap at Catterick (12.1f, soft, 33/1) 15 days ago by ½ length from Turbulent Power, helped by being held up in strongly-run race. Player if in same form. Came from back to collar Turbulent Power late on at Catterick last month; claims up 4lb. |
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2nd (8) (1.62/1 +51%) Turbulent Power |
1.62/1(+51%) | (8) Turbulent Power 1.62/1, Runner-up at Catterick on her last 2 starts, collared only close home by Robert Johnson there (12.1f, soft) 15 days ago. Run of race suited that rival well last time and there's every chance she can turn tables on better terms here. Two good seconds at Catterick this spring, latterly to Robert Johnson; should go well. |
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3rd (7) (8/1 -7%) Jamil |
8/1(-7%) | (7) Jamil 8/1, Winner on the Flat at Catterick early last year and was in process of running well when falling late in handicap hurdle at Newcastle (16.9f, soft) 43 days ago. Has good chance here if none the worse. Won on Flat last spring; fit from hurdling (running well when fell latest); chance. |
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4th (9) (16/1 +20%) Chief Craftsman |
16/1(+20%) | (9) Chief Craftsman 16/1, Sole win from 26 Flat runs came over C&D in 2020. Below form seventh of 13 in handicap at Southwell (12.1f, 33/1). Off 6 months. Cheekpieces back on. Others more persuasive. C&D winner in 2020 but 1-27 overall and largely struggled last year. |
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5th (10) (80/1 -21%) Cassiel |
80/1(-21%) | (10) Cassiel 80/1, Poor maiden handicapper. Eighth of 10 in handicap at Southwell (12.1f, 66/1). Off 113 days. Must improve. No major impact on AW over the winter and others are preferred again. |
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6th (3) (11/1 +21%) The New Marwan |
11/1(+21%) | (3) The New Marwan 11/1, Latest win at Chester in July. Eleventh of 12 in handicap (17/2) at Newcastle (10.2f). Off 6 months. Others make more appeal. Ran well on last year's reappearance and returns on a winning mark. |
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7th (4) (33/1 +0%) A Shining Moon |
33/1(+0%) | (4) A Shining Moon 33/1, Had breathing operation after showing little over hurdles and went with no encouragement when last of 10 in handicap at Southwell (12.1f) 37 days ago. Hard to fancy at present. Well beaten over hurdles for this yard over winter and fared no better back on Flat latest. |
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8th (1) (9/1 -13%) Sophar Sogood |
9/1(-13%) | (1) Sophar Sogood 9/1, Continued to fall in weights without showing any sign of taking advanatge last term and others make more appeal. Fair run over 2m here last summer; probably best watched over shorter trip on return. |
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9th (5) (28/1 +15%) Alhabor |
28/1(+15%) | (5) Alhabor 28/1, Sold cheaply out of Alan King's yard and has shown very little in a pair of outings for current connections, so rates as easily opposable. Offered little for Alan King and similar story for new yard. |
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10th (2) (6/1 -71%) Yellow Bear |
6/1(-71%) | (2) Yellow Bear 6/1, Course winner. Kept on in laboured fashion when fourth of 14 in handicap at Wetherby (8f, good to soft, 9/1) 11 days ago. Looks competitive on form but significantly longer trip poses a new question. 1m course winner; fair fourth at Wetherby (1m again) latest but much longer trip now. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
1st - 3.33/1 (8) TURBULENT POWER 2nd - 3/1 (6) ROBERT JOHNSON 3rd - 14/1 (3) THE NEW MARWAN
The key piece of form to focus on in this contest could be ROBERT JOHNSON holding Turbulent Power by half a length over this trip at Catterick. Phil Kirby's gelding is 2lb worse off, but he looked well on top despite drifting left at the finish and is fancied to confirm his superiority. The New Marwan is now 3lb lower than his last winning mark and is of interest returning from a break.
TURBULENT POWER arrives here in good heart after a brace of second-placed efforts at Catterick and she's fancied to turn the tables with Robert Johnson, who took advantage of a pace collapse to nail her close home last time. Jamil appeals as being on a fair mark back on the Flat and is another to keep an eye on.
A 2lb swing in the weights might be enough for TURBULENT POWER to turn around last month's Catterick form with Robert Johnson.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (16/1 -78%) Battle Of Ridgeway |
16/1(-78%) | (1) Battle Of Ridgeway 16/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 80/1, sixth of 18 in novice hurdle at Tipperary (20.2f, soft) 23 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Should have more to offer. Mildly encouraging maiden run latest but opening mark looks harsh. |
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2nd (4) (25/1 -25%) Roman Parish |
25/1(-25%) | (4) Roman Parish 25/1, Eighth of 14 in novice chase at Tramore (21.7f, good to soft, 33/1) on debut over fences 24 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Last month's chase debut was poor; probably needs more respite from the handicapper. |
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3rd (8) (14/1 +58%) Sixty Seconds |
14/1(+58%) | (8) Sixty Seconds 14/1, Lightly-raced maiden under Rules. 9/1, pulled up in novice hurdle at Thurles (21f, heavy) 59 days ago, pulled up 2 out. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Open to progress. Tame Thurles effort raises questions but remains a potential improver on handicap debut. |
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4th (9) (4.5/1 +25%) Anstand |
4.5/1(+25%) | (9) Anstand 4.5/1, 4/1, bit below form fifth of 13 in handicap hurdle at Tramore (20.3f, soft) 25 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Can make presence felt. Runner-up over 2m here in February but well below that form twice since; blinkered now. |
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5th (12) (14/1 -17%) Westernerona |
14/1(-17%) | (12) Westernerona 14/1, One win from 22 NH runs. Broke blood vessel when pulled up in handicap hurdle at Tramore (20.5f, good to firm, 7/1), losing touch. Off 9 months. Absent since pulled up at Tramore in August so likely to need this. |
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6th (7) (20/1 +0%) Mosaaheb |
20/1(+0%) | (7) Mosaaheb 20/1, Fair maiden on the Flat. Thrice-raced maiden. 200/1, last of 4 in minor event hurdle at Fairyhouse (19.5f, heavy) 106 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Probably wants better ground so best watched on return to action. |
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7th (15) (14/1 -17%) Happy Dancing |
14/1(-17%) | (15) Happy Dancing 14/1, Eighth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Ballinrobe (21.3f, good, 7/1). Off 12 months. Overall modest form and needs to jump better than at Ballinrobe last time. |
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8th (10) (40/1 -60%) Rathnaleen Zoey |
40/1(-60%) | (10) Rathnaleen Zoey 40/1, Lightly-raced maiden under Rules. 100/1, twelfth of 23 in novice hurdle at Cork (16f, heavy). Off 6 months. Makes handicap hurdle debut. May need better ground so best watched on handicap debut. |
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9th (13) (50/1 -52%) Ballygriffin Girl |
50/1(-52%) | (13) Ballygriffin Girl 50/1, Lightly-raced maiden. First run since leaving J. P. Flavin when pulled up in handicap hurdle (25/1) at Tramore (20.3f, soft) 25 days ago, pulled up after 3 out. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Poor form in maidens and pulled up in both handicap attempts; cheekpieces tried. |
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|F| (19) (1.25/1 +38%) I Am Spider Man |
1.25/1(+38%) | (19) I Am Spider Man 1.25/1, Winner in hurdle at Sedgefield in October. Eleventh of 13 in handicap hurdle at Sligo (20f, soft, 5/1). Off 6 months. First run for yard after leaving Noel C. Kelly. Enters calculations. RESERVE. Sedgefield winner last season for Noel Kelly and absent since October; reserve. |
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|PU| (16) (6/1 +57%) Ventnor |
6/1(+57%) | (16) Ventnor 6/1, Remains a maiden after 19 NH runs. 18/1, tenth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Leopardstown (16f, good to soft) 66 days ago. Placed over 2m here last season but remains unproven over this far. |
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|PU| (14) (16/1 +36%) Lough Na Fooey |
16/1(+36%) | (14) Lough Na Fooey 16/1, Fifteenth of 19 in handicap hurdle (40/1) at Naas (15.4f, soft) 60 days ago. Back up in trip. Others more persuasive. Handicap form so far poor; potential improver as the ground dries. |
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|PU| (11) (50/1 -355%) Stealing Kisses |
50/1(-355%) | (11) Stealing Kisses 50/1, Eleventh of 13 in handicap hurdle (40/1) at this course (19.9f, good to soft). Off 7 months. Blinkers on 1st time. Midfield in Downpatrick maiden in July, both handicap efforts afterwards poor; blinkered. |
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|PU| (3) (50/1 -150%) Sunwalk |
50/1(-150%) | (3) Sunwalk 50/1, Lightly-raced maiden over hurdles. 250/1, eighteenth of 22 in novice hurdle at Punchestown (19.4f, good to soft) 173 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Flat winner not a natural over hurdles so far and of limited appeal on handicap debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary, it is difficult to confidently predict which horse will win the race. However, 1.75/1 (5) BELLA UNION and 6/1 (9) ANSTAND appear to have good chances on their previous form, with 1.75/1 (5) BELLA UNION being a promising individual and 6/1 (9) ANSTAND having recently run competitively with blinkers on. For the remaining places, 20/1 (7) MOSAAHEB and 11/1 (11) STEALING KISSES may have potential to improve as lightly-raced maidens, while 8.5/1 (17) BEECHROAD WINNIE, 2/1 (19) I AM SPIDER MAN, and 10/1 (2) LA HACIENDA cannot be counted out. The reserves, Return Of The Sea and Bit Below Form, may also be worth considering if they make it into the race. Overall, it is a very competitive field and any of these horses could surprise with a strong performance.
LA HACIENDA's hurdles' form is poor but is a capable flat handicapper. She pulled up on her only previous handicap hurdle run at Kilbeggan in April 2022 but subsequently improved her flat rating to 86, winning useful handicaps at Leopardstown, Galway and Killarney and likes easy ground. Sunwalk was last rated 72 on the flat and while also beaten long distances over hurdles thus far, drops markedly in grade on handicap hurdle debut. Andstand has proven handicap hurdles form and while well held at Tramore, is now tried in first-time blinkers and is suited by soft ground. Bella Union shaped with promise in bumpers but faded at Fairyhouse in February. Ventnor is a 26-race maiden who was well held at Leopardstown. Third reserve I Am Spider Man would be a notable runner having won at Sedgefield last October but would prefer a sound surface.
BELLA UNION has yet to trouble the judge but he showed enough on his penultimate start at Punchestown to suggest that a race of this nature would be within his grasp. If the first-time blinkers have the desired effect, Anstand could be the one to follow the selection home. Battle of Ridgeway may well up his game now pitched into a handicap and he is third choice.
A chance is taken on the fitness after a long absence of LA HACIENDA, who is potentially verry well-handicapped back hurdling
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (7.5/1 -67%) Triggered |
7.5/1(-67%) | (3) Triggered 7.5/1, Latest win at Lingfield in March. 9/2, creditable second of 6 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 31 days ago, never nearer. Likely to give another good account. Holds no secrets from the handicapper but is in good nick and should go well. |
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2nd (2) (1.5/1 +45%) Anificas Beauty |
1.5/1(+45%) | (2) Anificas Beauty 1.5/1, Two wins from 2 runs this year. Career best when winning 7-runner handicap (5/2) at this course (6f) 7 days ago, pushed out. Has to be taken seriously in his bid to complete the hat-trick under a penalty. Back from break with two convincing course wins from the front this spring; big player. |
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3rd (5) (4.5/1 -20%) Monaadhil |
4.5/1(-20%) | (5) Monaadhil 4.5/1, Three-time C&D winner, including a 9-runner handicap on his latest start 28 days ago. 2 lb nudge fair enough and should be in the thick of things once more. Ended last season in good form and returned from six-month break with C&D four weeks ago. |
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4th (4) (4.5/1 +31%) Rhubarb Bikini |
4.5/1(+31%) | (4) Rhubarb Bikini 4.5/1, Unreliable individual. Course winner. Blinkered for 1st time, creditable third of 7 in handicap (13/8) at Brighton (8f, good) 9 days ago. Visor back on and will be a threat if on-song returned to the AW. Won over 1m on turf last month and this drop back to 7f is an interesting move. |
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5th (1) (16/1 -78%) Tables Turned |
16/1(-78%) | (1) Tables Turned 16/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 100/1, creditable fifth of 12 in handicap at Kempton (7f) 24 days ago, never nearer. That was an encouraging effort and he's one to keep an eye on. Caught the eye making good late headway for fifth on last month's handicap debut. |
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6th (6) (4.5/1 +0%) Mr Marvlos |
4.5/1(+0%) | (6) Mr Marvlos 4.5/1, 12/1 and blinkered for 1st time, creditable third of 13 in handicap at this course (8f) 7 days ago, finishing well. That was one of his better efforts but this drop back in trip is of dubious benefit. Made good late headway for third in first-time blinkers here (1m) a week ago; interesting. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
1st: 2.75/1 (2) ANIFICAS BEAUTY 2nd: 3.75/1 (5) MONAADHIL 3rd: 4.5/1 (3) TRIGGERED
This could go the way of previous C&D winner ANIFICAS BEAUTY, who kept on well to win over 6f at this track on her latest outing. She has to shoulder a 5lb penalty for that success, but Harry Davies negates most of that rise with his 3lb claim and she must be respected with that in mind. Monaadhil scored over C&D last month and can give the selection most to think about off 2lb higher. Triggered completes the shortlist.
ANIFICAS BEAUTY looked better than ever when scoring over C&D on her return from a break, and arguably surpassed that when following up off 6 lb higher back here over 6f a week ago. She is taken to complete the hat-trick with Harry Davies booked. Gary Moore's charge may have most to fear from Monaadhil, who enhanced his good record here when striking over C&D last month. Triggered should also be on the premises but this drop back in trip may not be ideal for Mr Marvlos.
He didn't really settle in blinkers last time but RHUBARB BIKINI still looks well handicapped after his win in a visor two starts ago.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (2.5/1 +29%) It Just Takes Time |
2.5/1(+29%) | (5) It Just Takes Time 2.5/1, Won 4 times last year, including at this course (7f) in June. Stepped up on his reappearance when third of 10 in handicap at Wetherby (5.5f, good to soft, 9/2) 11 days ago. Respected. Four wins in 2022, including here; fair third at Wetherby recently; should go well. |
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2nd (6) (9/1 +18%) Music Society |
9/1(+18%) | (6) Music Society 9/1, Successful at Catterick in October. After 6 months off, never a threat when thirteenth of 16 in handicap at Beverley (5f, good to soft, 40/1) 22 days ago. Needs to find more with his reappearance behind him. Ended 2022 with a win but well held on reappearance; best watched again. |
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3rd (4) (1.25/1 +17%) Indian Creak |
1.25/1(+17%) | (4) Indian Creak 1.25/1, A fortnight on from his first start of the season, back to form when making all in 6-runner handicap at Windsor (6f, soft, 5/2) 10 days ago. He's 2 lb well-in under a penalty and can follow up. Better than ever when readily making all at Windsor last week; good shout under penalty. |
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4th (8) (8/1 -23%) Baba Reza |
8/1(-23%) | (8) Baba Reza 8/1, After 7 months, ninth of 10 in handicap at Wetherby (5.5f, good to soft, 13/2) 11 days ago. However, ran better on his second start last year and he's an interesting contender with cheekpieces on 1st time. Placed over C&D last year but well held on recent return; cheekpieces go on. |
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5th (2) (6.5/1 +28%) Snash |
6.5/1(+28%) | (2) Snash 6.5/1, C&D winner last summer. Back on track when fifth of 12 in handicap at Haydock (6f, heavy, 22/1) on his final outing last year. Capable of getting involved if ready to go after 6 months off. C&D win last June; resumes off same mark as when winning at Ayr later in summer. |
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6th (1) (18/1 +0%) Digital |
18/1(+0%) | (1) Digital 18/1, Has finished down the field both starts this year, twelfth of 15 in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, soft, 25/1) 11 days ago. Is dropping in the weights but has a bit to prove at present. Chance on some 2022 form but his two runs this month have been disappointing. |
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7th (3) (40/1 -150%) Kalganov |
40/1(-150%) | (3) Kalganov 40/1, Useful performer in France but well held both starts for current yard, twelfth of 14 in handicap at Haydock (1m, good, 80/1) in September. Drops in trip on his return from 7 months off (has been gelded). Useful in France but well held in two runs for this yard last year; down in trip on return. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
3.5/1 (5) IT JUST TAKES TIME is the most likely to do well based on the summary. 6.5/1 (8) BABA REZA and 1.63/1 (4) INDIAN CREAK could also be in contention for 2nd and 3rd place.
INDIAN CREAK struck by three and a half lengths at Windsor last week, for which he has a 5lb penalty. The six-year-old is 2lb well-in, though, and scored off this mark last summer, which shows he could still be feasibly treated. The main danger might be Snash, who is more than capable at this level and should be considered with C&D form to his name from June last year. It Just Takes Time completes the shortlist.
With his reappearance behind him, INDIAN CREAK bounced back to form when making all in good style at Windsor 10 days ago and he can follow up under a penalty. It Just Takes Time thrived last year and is respected as he goes back up to 6f, while Baba Reza could show more with cheekpieces on first time.
With form and peak fitness doubts surrounding a few of these this might be a good opportunity for INDIAN CREAK to strike again.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (2.2/1 +63%) Lucky Zebo |
2.2/1(+63%) | (9) Lucky Zebo 2.2/1, Lightly-raced winner over hurdles. 10/3, career best when winning 15-runner handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan (19f, good to soft) 21 days ago, driven out. Trainer going well. Likely to continue in form. Recent Kilbeggan winner up 8lb and faces softer conditions here. |
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2nd (8) (11/1 +67%) Dancing Jeremy |
11/1(+67%) | (8) Dancing Jeremy 11/1, C&D winner. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, seventh of 10 in handicap hurdle at Limerick (20f, heavy, 40/1) 135 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Ian O'Connor. Others more persuasive. C&D winner early last year for Tom Cooper but little since and first start for new yard. |
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3rd (15) (18/1 -50%) Emir De Rots |
18/1(-50%) | (15) Emir De Rots 18/1, Course winner. Latest win in hurdle here in September. Creditable fourth of 14 in claiming hurdle (6/1) at this course (18.5f, heavy) 51 days ago. Others more persuasive. One to consider given his record here but ideally wants better ground. |
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4th (18) (11/1 -57%) Early Arrival |
11/1(-57%) | (18) Early Arrival 11/1, Career best when winning 13-runner handicap hurdle at Tramore (20.3f, soft, 6/1) 25 days ago, all out. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. RESERVE. Tramore winner up 7lb but every chance if getting a run; reserve. |
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5th (6) (25/1 -79%) Ballycashin |
25/1(-79%) | (6) Ballycashin 25/1, Promising type. 20/1, good sixth of 15 in novice hurdle at Tramore (16.2f, heavy) 130 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Open to improvement. Bumper winner should appreciate this step up in trip for handicap debut. |
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6th (5) (20/1 -150%) Solitary Man |
20/1(-150%) | (5) Solitary Man 20/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Seventh of 15 in novice hurdle at Thurles (15.9f, good to soft, 12/1) 161 days ago. Up in trip. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Should progress. One of the least exposed of these entering handicap company and respected. |
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7th (4) (7.5/1 +53%) Wild Hunt |
7.5/1(+53%) | (4) Wild Hunt 7.5/1, Course winner. 22/1, eighth of 16 in handicap hurdle at Cork (24.4f, good to soft) 32 days ago. Down in trip. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Must improve. 3m winner here but well below best last season; cheekpieces tried and handicapper relented. |
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8th (17) (40/1 -300%) Apples In Winter |
40/1(-300%) | (17) Apples In Winter 40/1, Respectable fifth of 11 in novice hurdle (9/1) at this course (19.5f, heavy) 35 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Others more persuasive. RESERVE. Best form at 2m, barely got home over C&D latest; reserve. |
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9th (7) (20/1 -11%) Clairmc |
20/1(-11%) | (7) Clairmc 20/1, Creditable fifth of 10 in handicap hurdle at Limerick (16.2f, soft, 14/1) 46 days ago. Tongue strap back on. Looked to find 2m inadequate last time; should appreciate return to this longer trip. |
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10th (1) (12/1 -50%) Hans Gruber |
12/1(-50%) | (1) Hans Gruber 12/1, First run since leaving J. D. Motherway when good third of 10 in novice hurdle at Cork (24f, heavy, 13/2) 124 days ago, refusing to settle. Down in trip. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Cork maiden third a potential improver back in trip for handicap debut. |
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11th (14) (66/1 -230%) Craic Eile |
66/1(-230%) | (14) Craic Eile 66/1, 50/1, creditable sixth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Tramore (20.6f, good to soft) 24 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Tramore winner well held there on last month's return to action. |
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12th (12) (8.5/1 +58%) Kelce |
8.5/1(+58%) | (12) Kelce 8.5/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 50/1, seventh of 16 in novice hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, heavy) 106 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Open to progress. Beaten fair way in good-class maidens but potential improver entering handicaps. |
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13th (10) (3.33/1 -11%) Stilyker |
3.33/1(-11%) | (10) Stilyker 3.33/1, First run since leaving John Joseph Hanlon when career best when winning 13-runner handicap hurdle at Tramore (16.8f, good to soft, 4/9), always holding on. Off 11 months. Ought to go close. Tramore winner last June absent since but goes well fresh so respected. |
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14th (3) (33/1 -136%) Criminal Mischief |
33/1(-136%) | (3) Criminal Mischief 33/1, Course winner. Winner in hurdle here in March. 33/1, creditable fifth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Tramore (20.6f, good to soft) 24 days ago. Not one to rule out but needs to jump better than at Tramore. |
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15th (13) (66/1 -313%) Punters Poet |
66/1(-313%) | (13) Punters Poet 66/1, Course winner. First run since leaving Matthew J. Smith when eleventh of 15 in handicap (80/1) at Limerick (11.2f, soft) 19 days ago. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Looks competitive on form. Course winner all the better for recent Flat run; don't rule out. |
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|PU| (16) (20/1 -67%) Sea Road Fill |
20/1(-67%) | (16) Sea Road Fill 20/1, Promising sort. Sixth of 13 in novice hurdle (9/1) at Tramore (20.3f, soft) 25 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Not taken lightly. Pick of maiden form was promising but opening mark looks on the high side. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary, the horses that are most likely to do well and potentially finish in the top three are as follows: 1. 6/1 (9) LUCKY ZEBO - recent Kilbeggan winner and in good form with a career-best win. Trainer is also going well. 2. 3/1 (10) STILYKER - Tramore winner last June and performed well in their last run, winning a 13-runner handicap hurdle. Could go close. 3. 8/1 (5) SOLITARY MAN - one of the least exposed horses in the race, entering handicap company. Should progress and could potentially surprise. Reserve horses that could potentially do well if they get a run are 7/1 (18) EARLY ARRIVAL and 16/1 (19) YOUNG DARLEEN.
STILYKER reappears following another long layoff but looks well handicapped. He improved to win for Willie Mullins last June and while scoring by just a neck, the runner-up has since improved his rating by 24lb. His winning rider Paul Townend is in America for the Iroquois Hurdle and soft ground isn't ideal, but Stilyker will be ready on reappearance. Near-neighbour Criminal Mischief, a chasing type, won an ordinary course maiden in March and while he ran satisfactorily on handicap debut at Tramore (finished ahead of Tramore-specialist Craic Eile), might struggle to beat an on-song selection. Lucky Zebo's maiden hurdle form was unexciting and is 8lb higher than when winning at Kilbeggan but should get involved. Bumper winner Ballycashin makes her handicap debut following a break while Solitary Man steps up in trip on handicap debut. Clairmc has bits of form but is a 12-race maiden.
The one who appeals most is STILYKER, who got off the mark on his first start for Willie Mullins at Tramore when last seen 11 months ago. That success was gained on the back of a similar absence to that which he is returning from here, so lack of a recent run is no great concern. Solitary Man appears to have been brought along steadily with handicaps in mind and is interesting now pitched into one, while Lucky Zebo, who opened his account at Kilbeggan 3 weeks ago, also enters calculations.
Preference is for recent Kilbeggan winner LUCKY ZEBO, providing the ground doesn't worsen too much
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (0.73/1 -46%) Tempered Soul |
0.73/1(-46%) | (6) Tempered Soul 0.73/1, Promising sort. 7/4, second of 7 in minor event at Nottingham (10.2f, heavy) 9 days ago. Open to progress and he's a major player. Bettered promising AW debut when close/clear second to useful rival on soft turf last week. |
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2nd (5) (1.8/1 +28%) Sir Raj |
1.8/1(+28%) | (5) Sir Raj 1.8/1, Promising sort. Second of 3 in minor event (22/1) at Nottingham (8.3f, heavy) on debut 29 days ago, flattered by proximity. Likely to improve and obvious claims. Stuck well to his task when second of three on soft ground at Nottingham last month. |
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3rd (2) (11/1 +45%) Cresta Cat |
11/1(+45%) | (2) Cresta Cat 11/1, Once-raced maiden. 33/1, ninth of 15 in minor event at Yarmouth (10.1f, heavy) on debut 26 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Showed his inexperience and was soundly beaten when 33-1 for recent debut at Yarmouth. |
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4th (4) (18/1 -13%) Out Rule |
18/1(-13%) | (4) Out Rule 18/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Sixth of 8 in minor event at Lingfield (10f, AW, 18/1) 43 days ago. Needs to raise his game if order to see off Sir Raj and Tempered Soul. Close second over C&D in March but well beaten since; hard to predict. |
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5th (3) (80/1 -220%) Onemorenomore |
80/1(-220%) | (3) Onemorenomore 80/1, Mukhadram gelding. Brother to useful winner up to 11f A Bit Special and half-brother to numerous winners, including useful 6f-11f winner Iskra. Doesn't appeal as a probable first-time-out winner. Brother to a US 1m Grade 3 winner; will need to be fairly useful to make a winning debut. |
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6th (1) (150/1 -50%) Santiburi Spirit |
150/1(-50%) | (1) Santiburi Spirit 150/1, Twice-raced maiden. Last of 5 in minor event (300/1) at Kempton (8f) 29 days ago. Up in trip. Struggled to get competitive at triple-digit odds on her first two starts (7f/1m). |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
1st - 0.5/1 (6) TEMPERED SOUL 2nd - 2.5/1 (5) SIR RAJ 3rd - 16/1 (4) OUT RULE
Denied by a fairly narrow margin at Nottingham last week, TEMPERED SOUL gets the vote on his return to the all-weather. He finished a creditable fourth over a mile at Kempton on his racecourse bow in March, and the fact he been given a speculative entry for the King Edward VII Stakes at Royal Ascot must warrant a lot of respect. Sir Raj is feared most on his Polytrack bow, while Out Rule is another to consider.
This is essentially a match between SIR RAJ and Tempered Soul, with preference for the former who made an encouraging start to his career at Nottingham and promises to be suited by this step up in trip. Out Rule is best of the rest.
Sir Raj made a promising debut but preference for TEMPERED SOUL, who has more ballast in his form.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (1.88/1 -88%) Sparks Fly |
1.88/1(-88%) | (1) Sparks Fly 1.88/1, Promising sort. Much improved when scoring at Windsor (8.1f) last month and followed up with the minimum of fuss over the same C&D (soft) 10 days ago. 6 lb penalty may not prevent the hat-trick. Two comfortable 1m wins at Windsor lately and taken to complete a hat-trick. |
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2nd (4) (14/1 +13%) Sea In The Dark |
14/1(+13%) | (4) Sea In The Dark 14/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 14/1, seventh of 11 in minor event at this course (7f, soft). Off 8 months. Improvement required on handicap debut. Switches to handicaps after eight months off; yard also runs Hale End; check betting. |
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3rd (2) (8/1 +43%) Rievaulx Raver |
8/1(+43%) | (2) Rievaulx Raver 8/1, Fifth of 8 in handicap (8/1) at Redcar (10f, heavy) 24 days ago. Back down in trip. Others look better treated. 1m Ripon novice win last year but hard to get excited by recent handicap efforts. |
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4th (5) (3.5/1 +22%) Hale End |
3.5/1(+22%) | (5) Hale End 3.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 9/2, first run since leaving Richard Hannon when good third of 12 in handicap at Beverley (7.4f, good to soft) 22 days ago. Entitled to build on that. Sound start for new yard when third of 12 at Beverley last month; claims. |
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5th (3) (2.75/1 +8%) Yeoman |
2.75/1(+8%) | (3) Yeoman 2.75/1, Upped his game when making a winning handicap debut at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 16 days ago. 3 lb rise fair and will be a big player if reproducing that form on turf. Winning handicap debut on AW 16 days ago and likely capable of better again; respected. |
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6th (6) (10/1 +29%) Valstar |
10/1(+29%) | (6) Valstar 10/1, Still looking for first success but posted creditable second of 4 in handicap at Doncaster (8f, soft) on return 12 days ago, albeit flattered by proximity to winner. Not out of things. Creditable second of four on Doncaster return but it doesn't look strong form. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary provided, it is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well. However, from the descriptions given, 1.1/1 (1) SPARKS FLY seems to be in good form, having won two races at Windsor recently, and is likely to complete a hat-trick. 3/1 (3) YEOMAN is also described as a promising and capable horse, having won his handicap debut on AW 16 days ago and likely to perform well on turf. As for the third place, it is difficult to predict, but 14/1 (6) VALSTAR may have a chance based on the creditable second place finish in the recent Doncaster race.
SPARKS FLY has been a revelation since switched to the turf and the hat-trick looks very much on the cards following a pair of comfortable victories at Windsor. The daughter of Muhaarar should have too much for Yeoman, who got off the mark on his handicap debut at Wolverhampton last month. An eyecatcher on his first run for Michael Dods at Beverley, Hale End cannot be ruled out either.
SPARKS FLY has looked a different proposition since upped in trip and switched to turf. She should take the beating here. Hale End made a good start for his new yard at Beverley last month and is feared most.
David Loughnane's SPARKS FLY (nap) has relished the mud when scoring twice at Windsor this spring and looks good for a quick hat-trick.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (0.36/1 +64%) Old Ground |
0.36/1(+64%) | (9) Old Ground 0.36/1, Walk In The Park mare. Closely related to a winner, and half-sister to 5 winners, including fairly useful hurdler/very smart chaser Colreevy. Starts out in a thin race and should take all the beating. Well-bred newcomer and looks to have been found a very good debut opportunity. |
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2nd (16) (25/1 -108%) Pipers Boreen |
25/1(-108%) | (16) Pipers Boreen 25/1, Twice-raced maiden. 150/1, ninth of 19 in novice hurdle at Tipperary (20.2f, soft) 23 days ago, not knocked about. Makes bumpers debut. RESERVE. First reserve; soundly beaten in two maiden hurdles; of more interest in handicaps. |
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3rd (17) (7.5/1 -25%) Colleen Danu |
7.5/1(-25%) | (17) Colleen Danu 7.5/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Ninth of 18 in bumper at Fairyhouse (16f, good to soft, 100/1) 32 days ago. RESERVE. Third reserve; not disgraced in three bumpers but more needed. |
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4th (8) (40/1 -186%) Noble Annys |
40/1(-186%) | (8) Noble Annys 40/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 33/1, ninth of 13 in bumper at Kilbeggan (15.1f, good to soft) 21 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Otheres more persuasive. Failed to step up at Kilbeggan latest; cheekpieces tried here but others preferred. |
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5th (4) (28/1 -56%) Hold On A Minute |
28/1(-56%) | (4) Hold On A Minute 28/1, €21,000 3-y-o, Milan mare. Half-sister to bumper winner Parc d'Amour. Dam, fair 2m hurdle winner, half-sister to top-class hurdler/very smart chaser (stayed 3¼m) More of That. Not ruled out. Stoutly-bred newcomer and should fare better for whatever she does here. |
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6th (11) (22/1 -10%) Smile Again |
22/1(-10%) | (11) Smile Again 22/1, Once-raced maiden. 80/1, ninth of 11 in bumper at this course (16.6f, heavy) on NH debut 35 days ago. Hard to fancy. Beaten 32l on debut here in heavy ground; pulled out on better company at Ballinrobe. |
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7th (10) (6.5/1 -86%) Silver Lark |
6.5/1(-86%) | (10) Silver Lark 6.5/1, Twice-raced maiden. 3/1, fourth of 6 in bumper at Down Royal (16.9f, heavy) 55 days ago. Should be on the premises again. Disappointing at Down Royal last time but very much a player on her Thurles run. |
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8th (5) (16/1 +0%) Jimmyies Dream |
16/1(+0%) | (5) Jimmyies Dream 16/1, Milan mare. Sister to useful hurdler Happy Jacky, and half-sister to 3 winners, including fairly useful hurdler Dreadnot. Dam unraced. Makes some appeal on paper. Some good stayers in her family; attractive rider booking and could go well on debut. |
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9th (12) (66/1 -65%) Texas Flame |
66/1(-65%) | (12) Texas Flame 66/1, Twice-raced maiden. 33/1, eleventh of 12 in bumper at Tramore (16f, good). Off 9 months. Not disgraced on debut at Tipperary last June; well beaten at Tramore in August last time. |
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10th (2) (66/1 -230%) Cedar Wood |
66/1(-230%) | (2) Cedar Wood 66/1, Ruler of The World mare. Half-sister to 2 winners on Flat, including useful 7f/1m winner Bigwood. Dam 6.7f-1m winner. Flat-bred newcomer and best watched on debut. |
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11th (7) (50/1 -25%) Mo Chara Mor |
50/1(-25%) | (7) Mo Chara Mor 50/1, Getaway mare. Half-sister to 2 point winners. Dam unraced. Wears tongue strap. Little impact in points (latest start Apr 16). Pulled up in three of four points; tongue-tie tried here and hard to give a chance to. |
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12th (14) (40/1 -60%) Forza Angelina |
40/1(-60%) | (14) Forza Angelina 40/1, Workforce filly. Half-sister to fairly useful hurdler Penneys Hun and modest hurdler/fair chaser Not The Chablis. Half-sister to a couple of winners; likely best watched on debut. |
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13th (15) (40/1 -100%) Little Green Lady |
40/1(-100%) | (15) Little Green Lady 40/1, Doyen filly. Dam (c104/h124), bumper/2¾m hurdle winner, half-sister to useful hurdler/fairly useful chaser (stayed 27f) So Fine. Stoutly-bred newcomer; market could be the best guide. |
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|PU| (1) (125/1 -400%) Awanderdownunder |
125/1(-400%) | (1) Awanderdownunder 125/1, Ocovango mare. Sister to fairly useful 3m hurdle winner Inch House. Dam unraced half-sister to useful hurdler/chaser (2m-3m winner) Abbey Lane. Wears tongue strap. Failed to complete both starts in points, fell latest (Jan 15). Failed to complete in two points and makes no appeal. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary, 1/1 (9) OLD GROUND seems like the strongest contender for first place as a well-bred newcomer with a good debut opportunity. 3.5/1 (10) SILVER LARK and 16/1 (5) JIMMYIES DREAM could be contenders for second and third place, respectively. However, as with all horse races, factors such as current form, jockey performance, and track conditions can greatly affect the outcome, so it ultimately remains unpredictable.
OLD GROUND has an excellent pedigree and represents the champion trainer. All six of her siblings to-have-raced have won and each has shown smart form, including half-sister and top class racemare Colreevy, herself a Grade 1 bumper winner. Silver Lark has form and while she disappointed at Down Royal in March, beat a subsequent Kilbeggan winner into third at Thurles in February. Little Green Lady is out of a nicely related bumper winning mare while John Gleeson is a notable booking for Jimmyies Dream, a sister to four-timer winner Happy Jacky, but who makes a belated debut aged six. Midnight Fairy is out of a hurdle-winning dam.
OLD GROUND is related to six winners and in top hands, so she's worth chancing first time out in what doesn't look a particularly strong bumper. Silver Lark is the best of those with experience in this sphere and ranks as the main danger.
This looks a good opportunity for the well-bred OLD GROUND to make a winning debut
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (2/1 +50%) Semser |
2/1(+50%) | (3) Semser 2/1, C&D winner. Fourth of 5 in handicap at Lingfield (10f, AW, 10/1) 15 days ago, missing break. Eased 2 lb and one to consider back at this course. Last win was over C&D last August off 1lb higher; too well handicapped to be ignored. |
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2nd (2) (4/1 +38%) Beautiful Crown |
4/1(+38%) | (2) Beautiful Crown 4/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. Last of 8 in handicap (11/4) at Windsor (10f, heavy) 24 days ago. Others make more appeal from a win point of view. Both wins (25 races) were in summer 2021; nearly added a 1m win here on penultimate outing. |
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3rd (6) (3.5/1 -75%) Kentucky Kingdom |
3.5/1(-75%) | (6) Kentucky Kingdom 3.5/1, Three-time C&D winner. Creditable second of 8 in handicap (9/4) at this C&D 21 days ago, clear of rest. Likely to make a bold bid to go one better. Runner-up with late bids over C&D on last two outings, beaten a nose on first occasion. |
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4th (4) (6/1 +20%) Star From Afarhh |
6/1(+20%) | (4) Star From Afarhh 6/1, C&D winner in February. Seventh of 8 in handicap (7/2) at Lingfield (10f, AW) 23 days ago. Likely to find one or two too good. Cheekpieces on last two starts, on first occasion winning over C&D in February. |
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5th (5) (25/1 -233%) Roscioli |
25/1(-233%) | (5) Roscioli 25/1, One win from 23 Flat runs. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, bit below form fifth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 4/1) 54 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Andrew Balding. Sole win (23 races) was in July 2021; sold out of Andrew Balding's for £13,000. |
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6th (1) (4/1 +0%) Jenson Benson |
4/1(+0%) | (1) Jenson Benson 4/1, Four-time course winner. Latest win here in February. 6/1, creditable third of 7 in handicap at this course (7f) 14 days ago, finishing well. Significantly back up in trip and possibilities off the same mark. 4-13 at Chelmsford, where he's also had three 2nds and three 3rds; should be bang there. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, it is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will finish in the top three. However, some contenders based on recent form and past performance include: 1st place: 2/1 (6) KENTUCKY KINGDOM - has been consistently performing well over C&D, with three-time wins and a recent creditable second in a handicap race. 2nd place: 3.5/1 (1) JENSON BENSON - with a good record at Chelmsford and a recent third place finish, 3.5/1 (1) JENSON BENSON could be a strong contender in this race. 3rd place: 4/1 (3) SEMSER - although finishing fourth in a recent race, 4/1 (3) SEMSER's past win over C&D and lowered handicap weight could lead to a decent performance in this race.
KENTUCKY KINGDOM has filled the runner-up spot the last twice over C&D and has been raised just 2lb for those efforts, which still leaves him 2lb lower than his last winning mark back in February last year. Therefore, the son of Camacho is still feasibly treated and can go close once more. The main threat could be Jenson Benson, who steps back up to this distance after finishing third over 7f last time and could have a say, along with C&D winner Star From Afarhh.
KENTUCKY KINGDOM has gone close over this C&D the last twice and the 7-y-o is taken to notch a fourth success at this course. Second choice is Semser, who scored over this C&D off a 1 lb higher mark on his sole previous visit here last summer. Jenson Benson and Roscioli can do battle for minor honours.
Course specialists JENSON BENSON and Kentucky Kingdom may well come to the fore again.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (10) (3.5/1 -17%) Ey Up Its Jazz |
3.5/1(-17%) | (10) Ey Up Its Jazz 3.5/1, Career best when winning 14-runner handicap at Leicester (6f, heavy) 12 days ago, digging deep. Still not long with this yard and can make his presence felt from 3 lb higher mark. Off the mark at the eighth attempt when strong in the finish over 6f at Leicester (soft).. |
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2nd (11) (10/1 +17%) Josiebond |
10/1(+17%) | (11) Josiebond 10/1, Won at Catterick (7f, good to soft) on penultimate start in 2022 and ran respectably from this mark when sixth of 11 at Ayr (7.2f, soft) on final outing. Respected on return from 7-month break. Ended last season in decent form and on a competitive mark if returning in similar shape.. |
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3rd (5) (25/1 -213%) Dandys Gold |
25/1(-213%) | (5) Dandys Gold 25/1, Capitalised on reduced mark to end losing run at Ayr (6f) last June. Shaped as if needing run when ninth of 12 in handicap (11/1) at Doncaster (6f, soft) 12 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Struggled on the AW this winter and the same again on her return to turf only 12 days ago.. |
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4th (4) (10/1 +9%) La Feile |
10/1(+9%) | (4) La Feile 10/1, Won at Redcar in July but ended season with very poor effort at Pontefract (6f, good to soft, 40/1). Off 6 months. Market may act as best guide as to what can be expected on return (won first time out as a juvenile). Last year ended disappointingly but she could bounce back and handles soft ground.. |
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5th (6) (4.5/1 -29%) Bold Territories |
4.5/1(-29%) | (6) Bold Territories 4.5/1, Ran respectably when fourth of 11 in handicap at Redcar (7f, heavy) 24 days ago. Entitled to strip fitter now and is expected to be bang there having edged back down in weights. Off a fair mark he ran a good first race back behind race-fit opposition at Redcar.. |
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6th (8) (4/1 +67%) Elladora |
4/1(+67%) | (8) Elladora 4/1, Exposed sort who has made a good start to the season, runner-up at Newcastle on return before going one better at Southwell. Out of depth at Musselburgh last time but should give another good account in this company. Well beaten at Musselburgh 11 days ago but that was a Class 4 contest.. |
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7th (14) (25/1 +38%) Perfect Soldier |
25/1(+38%) | (14) Perfect Soldier 25/1, In frame at Newcastle 3 starts ago but has struggled in handicaps since. Cheekpieces back on. Others have achieved more. Only notable AW effort this year came in a classified race; others are stronger.. |
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8th (12) (14/1 -17%) Ebury |
14/1(-17%) | (12) Ebury 14/1, Two wins from 43 Flat runs. Thirty nine runs since last win in 2019. Left with little chance under tactics when tenth at Beverley last time but others are more persuasive overall. Only 2-43; never counted after a slow start when tried in a visor at Beverley.. |
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9th (1) (8/1 +20%) Sezaam |
8/1(+20%) | (1) Sezaam 8/1, Disappointing last season but stepped back in right direction when fifth of 15 in handicap at Pontefract (8f, heavy, 50/1) 30 days ago. Something to find on form nonetheless. Well handicapped on some of his slow-ground form in 2021; return was encouraging.. |
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10th (2) (20/1 -43%) Magical Effect |
20/1(-43%) | (2) Magical Effect 20/1, C&D winner. 14/1, tenth of 12 in handicap at Catterick (7f, heavy) 29 days ago, never travelling well Cheekpieces back on. Needs a couple of these to falter. An 11yo now and he was well behind on his reappearance.. |
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11th (3) (12/1 +0%) Asmund |
12/1(+0%) | (3) Asmund 12/1, Shaped as if needing run on return and perhaps found race coming too son when twelfth of 17 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, heavy) 13 days ago but others make more appeal overall. Capable at this trip but quiet so far this campaign and best watched for now.. |
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12th (9) (28/1 +15%) Brunello Breeze |
28/1(+15%) | (9) Brunello Breeze 28/1, Fair maiden handicapper at best but seemingly lost his way midway through last season and recent efforts have been no more positive. Disappointing since going close off a 10lb higher mark 12 months ago.. |
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13th (7) (18/1 -13%) Copper Mountain |
18/1(-13%) | (7) Copper Mountain 18/1, Won at Wetherby early last year but failed to impact on AW over the weinter and ran no sort of race on return to turf at Musselburgh last time. Tongue strap applied but hard to have faith in. Fine on soft ground and is respected with a tongue-tie new this time.. |
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14th (13) (80/1 -21%) Elettaria |
80/1(-21%) | (13) Elettaria 80/1, Essentially remains with little form, having left Clive Cox late last year. Saddle slipped last time, so run best excused, but needs to show more to figure. Ex-Clive Cox, whom she left for 4,500gns; no better than 7th in three runs for this yard.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
1st - 3/1 (10) EY UP ITS JAZZ 2nd - 3.5/1 (6) BOLD TERRITORIES 3rd - 12/1 (8) ELLADORA
The Michael Dods stable is beginning to click into gear and BOLD TERRITORIES must hold every chance after a solid return effort at Redcar last month. The five-year-old remains on a feasible mark and he gets the vote ahead of stablemate Sezaam and Ey Up Its Jazz, who was a taking winner at Leicester last time out. Veteran C&D winner Magical Effect and Josiebond are expected to be thereabouts as well.
BOLD TERRITORIES won 3 times last season and made the frame at Redcar on his return, so narrowly gets the vedict here with the benefit of race fitness. Ey Up Its Jazz has made a positive start to life for his now yard and should go close to following up his recent Leicester success, with Elladora and Josiebond others with solid place claims.
The one who appeals most is BOLD TERRITORIES, who ran a pleasing first race back when fourth behind race-fit opposition at Redcar.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (11/1 +0%) Alice Kitty |
11/1(+0%) | (1) Alice Kitty 11/1, Cheekpieces on for 1st time in this code, creditable third of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 8/1). Off 150 days. Returns on a workable mark and enters calculations. Placed off this mark at Wolverhampton (1m4f) in December but not seen again since. |
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2nd (8) (3.5/1 +36%) Bold And Loyal |
3.5/1(+36%) | (8) Bold And Loyal 3.5/1, Remains a maiden after 18 Flat runs. 7/1, bit below form eighth of 13 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 27 days ago. Back up in trip. Claims on best form. A maiden after 18 runs but has each-way claims if judged on C&D second in February. |
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3rd (5) (7/1 +30%) Star Of St Louis |
7/1(+30%) | (5) Star Of St Louis 7/1, C&D winner. First run since leaving Denis Quinn when sixth of 9 in handicap (5/2) at Brighton (9.9f, good) 8 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Cause 40-1 surprise at Lingfield in January but hasn't fired since. |
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4th (2) (7/1 -17%) Villalobos |
7/1(-17%) | (2) Villalobos 7/1, Back to winning ways at Lingfield (10f) in March but not been in same form either start since. Others preferred. Won under very positive ride on stable debut but held off this mark twice since. |
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5th (7) (18/1 -13%) Global Style |
18/1(-13%) | (7) Global Style 18/1, Course winner. Two wins from 53 Flat runs. 12/1, bit below form fourth of 9 in handicap at Brighton (9.9f, good) 8 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. Third in three AW classifieds in February/March but safely held in recent turf handicaps. |
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6th (4) (20/1 -25%) Roaring River |
20/1(-25%) | (4) Roaring River 20/1, 13/2, tenth of 13 in handicap at Kempton (8f) 8 days ago. Back up in trip. Visor on 1st time. Others more persuasive. Twice finished down the field this spring; however, may improve if taking well to visor. |
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7th (6) (7.5/1 -50%) Captain Pugwash |
7.5/1(-50%) | (6) Captain Pugwash 7.5/1, C&D winner who returned to form when third of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 12 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Likely contender. Placed on two of last three appearances and can make his presence felt again. |
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8th (3) (1.5/1 +14%) Egoiste |
1.5/1(+14%) | (3) Egoiste 1.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden who found improvement, back from 9-month absence, when fifth of 13 in handicap (12/1) at Southwell (8.1f) 27 days ago. Entited to build on that and holds strong claims. Struggled on handicap debut but returned from layoff with very promising run last month. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary provided, it is difficult to accurately predict which horse will finish in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place. However, the horses that are mentioned as having strong claims and entering calculations are 1.75/1 (3) EGOISTE, 16/1 (7) GLOBAL STYLE, 5.5/1 (8) BOLD AND LOYAL, 11/1 (1) ALICE KITTY, and 5/1 (6) CAPTAIN PUGWASH. 6/1 (2) VILLALOBOS and 16/1 (4) ROARING RIVER are mentioned as having been held off this mark and not being in the same form, while 10/1 (5) STAR OF ST LOUIS is not seen as posing a serious threat to the principals. Therefore, 1.75/1 (3) EGOISTE, 16/1 (7) GLOBAL STYLE, and 5.5/1 (8) BOLD AND LOYAL may be the horses to watch for potentially finishing in the top three.
A chance can be taken on EGOISTE, who showed improved form last time at Southwell when fifth in a first-time hood returning from a wind operation for the David Menuisier stable. The four-year-old could take another step forward, as he steps back up in distance and has Harry Davies on board claiming 3lb to aid his chances. Captain Pugwash remains on the same mark after his recent third at Wolverhampton, while Alice Kitty appears best of the remainder.
EGOISTE was returning from 9 months off (had wind operation since last seen) when an encouraging fifth at Southwell and remains low mileage. He makes fair appeal. Captain Pugwash and Alice Kitty can also make their presence felt.
The most interesting one is unexposed 4yo EGOISTE, who made a very encouraging seasonal debut over 1m at Southwell last month.
Ths is the racecard key.
Icon | Meaning |
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TomForm top stats, gold rated | |
TomForm top stats silver rated | |
Ran similar race before | |
S | TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out |
T | Top Time speeed rated |
Top Racingpost rated | |
At the races watchout for | |
At the races top pick | |
Top rated for thet statistic |
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
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