There were 29 Races on Sunday 14th May 2023 across 4 meetings. There was 7 races at Plumpton, 8 races at Killarney, 7 races at Ludlow, 7 races at Hamilton, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (2.25/1 +36%) Angel's Dream |
2.25/1(+36%) | (1) Angel's Dream 2.25/1, Debut 13f Flat winner in France in October. Hasn't achieved a great deal despite finishing third both hurdles starts but he's in top hands and is capable of a bigger performance. Well held in both hurdle starts but this is easier; should be involved. |
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2nd (2) (6.5/1 +54%) Artistic Endeavour |
6.5/1(+54%) | (2) Artistic Endeavour 6.5/1, Made some appeal on pedigree and shaped like the stayer he's bred to be when fifth of 8 in maiden hurdle at Sedgefield (16.8f) on debut in October. Should benefit from that first experience. Not disgraced on debut seven months ago; should improve. |
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3rd (5) (7.5/1 +25%) Definite |
7.5/1(+25%) | (5) Definite 7.5/1, Fairly useful performer at best on Flat (stays 1¼m). Showed a bit when sixth of 10 on his recent Wincanton hurdle debut but he will need to improve on that form to play a prominent role here. Fair hurdle debut last month; could do much better on expected quicker ground. |
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4th (4) (1.1/1 -33%) Up For Appeal |
1.1/1(-33%) | (4) Up For Appeal 1.1/1, Second in a Tramore bumper and given a considerate return for new yard when fourth at Hereford in November. Promising start over hurdles when second of 4 at Newbury in February and he's the one to beat. Ran well in modest Newbury event on hurdle debut; leading contender. |
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5th (8) (8/1 -140%) Wonderweasle |
8/1(-140%) | (8) Wonderweasle 8/1, Half-sister to 3 winners, including useful hurdlers Silver Sheen (2½m-25f winner) and Miah Grace (2m/17f winner). Dam bumper/2m-19f hurdle winner (stayed 3m), half-sister to useful hurdler/fairly useful chaser (stayed 3m) Quickbeam. Sound start to her career when third of 5 in October. More to come. Shaped well on debut seven months ago; likely contender despite the absence. |
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6th (9) (125/1 -213%) Eile Tara |
125/1(-213%) | (9) Eile Tara 125/1, Kayf Tara filly, dam bumper/2½m-3m hurdle winner, half-sister to bumper winner/useful hurdler (19f-21f winner) Lesser out of useful 2½m-2¾m hurdle winner (stayed 3m) Aine Dubh. Well held on hurdles debut a fortnight ago. Tailed off on recent debut. |
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7th (6) (125/1 -25%) Moorgate |
125/1(-25%) | (6) Moorgate 125/1, Has looked limited in various company. Yet to show any real promise. |
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8th (7) (80/1 +47%) Cassowary |
80/1(+47%) | (7) Cassowary 80/1, Well held in bumpers/maiden hurdles. Has shown little in three starts over hurdles. |
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|PU| (3) (100/1 +0%) Elmejor |
100/1(+0%) | (3) Elmejor 100/1, Flat winner but struggling for form on the level and offered nothing sent hurdling at Huntingdon a month ago. Five Flat wins but was pulled up on last month's hurdle debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st - 0.83/1 (4) UP FOR APPEAL 2nd - 3.33/1 (8) WONDERWEASLE 3rd - 3.5/1 (1) ANGEL'S DREAM
Local trainer Gary Moore does well here and having won three of the last seven runnings of this race, he might add another success with ANGEL'S DREAM. He won in France but has yet to live up to expectations over here after coming home a distant third at Newbury and Huntingdon. This tight track may play to his strengths and he can hopefully prove too good for Newbury second Up For Appeal and Market Rasen third Wonderweasle.
Not a strong maiden hurdle so it looks a good chance for UP FOR APPEAL to go one place better having made a promising start to his hurdles career at Newbury. Wonderweasle is the obvious threat, though Angel's Dream is capable of better.
The return to a sound surface should help DEFINITE make the necessary improvement.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (10) (7/1 +50%) Custom Of The Sea |
7/1(+50%) | (10) Custom Of The Sea 7/1, Soldier of Fortune gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to smart hurdler/high-class chaser (stayed 23f) Kalashnikov. In good hands and it'll be interesting to see what the market has to say. First foal, dam an unraced half-sister to the smart Kalashnikov, stable won this last year. |
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2nd (2) (28/1 -75%) Boher Road |
28/1(-75%) | (2) Boher Road 28/1, Fairly useful Flat winner, making GB/IRE jumps debut. Fourteenth of 16 in handicap (6/1) at Naas (10f, heavy). Off 6 months. Stamina to prove now switched to hurdles (maiden win on the level was over 1m). Won a 1m Curragh maiden last season, could do well over hurdles in due course. |
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3rd (4) (1.38/1 +8%) Morning Soldier |
1.38/1(+8%) | (4) Morning Soldier 1.38/1, Lightly-raced maiden over hurdles. Very good second of 6 in juvenile hurdle at Naas (15.6f, good to soft, 11/2) 92 days ago. Major player. Capable of winning a maiden judged on second to the useful Sir Allen at Naas in February. |
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4th (1) (12/1 -71%) Baltic Bird |
12/1(-71%) | (1) Baltic Bird 12/1, Useful Flat winner (11.5f) 11/2, fell in novice hurdle at Down Royal (16.8f, good to soft) 13 days ago. Should progress. Useful on the Flat, made a bright start to his hurdling career, fell on second attempt. |
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5th (6) (3/1 +0%) Shajak |
3/1(+0%) | (6) Shajak 3/1, 16/1, first run since leaving John Patrick Murtagh when fourth of 9 in handicap at Gowran (13.7f, heavy) 26 days ago, not ideally placed. Stamina pretty much assured for this Flat winner and he's one to be interested in. Winner and Listed-placed on Flat, should be well primed for hurdling debut after Flat run. |
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6th (3) (3.5/1 +36%) Flamborough |
3.5/1(+36%) | (3) Flamborough 3.5/1, Fairly useful Flat winner. Twice-raced maiden over hurdles. 10/3, sixth of 24 in novice hurdle at Fairyhouse (20f, soft) 36 days ago. Live each-way claims. Flat winner in Britain, rated 78, second on hurdling debut, not as good on second attempt. |
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7th (14) (28/1 +15%) Orpington |
28/1(+15%) | (14) Orpington 28/1, Harzand gelding. Half-brother to useful 7f-1½m winner Pita Pinta. Will probably come on for the run. Second foal, half-brother to Listed-placed winner Pita Pinta, dam Flat and hurdles winner. |
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8th (12) (250/1 +0%) Gimmeago |
250/1(+0%) | (12) Gimmeago 250/1, Twice-raced maiden. 300/1, eleventh of 15 in juvenile hurdle at Cork (16f, good to soft) 35 days ago. Down the field in maiden hurdle outings at Naas and Cork, no sign of promise so far. |
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9th (9) (50/1 +24%) Brave Crogha |
50/1(+24%) | (9) Brave Crogha 50/1, Brave Mansonnien gelding. Half-brother to 2 winners, including bumper winner/fairly useful 2¼m/19f hurdle winner Guinness Affair. Dam unraced. Well worth a second look in the betting. Half-brother to a bumper and hurdles winner and to a French Flat winner. |
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10th (16) (200/1 +0%) Tenacious Tess |
200/1(+0%) | (16) Tenacious Tess 200/1, Buratino filly. Half-sister to modest 2m hurdle winner Orla's Rainbow. Dam unraced half-sister to fairly useful 2m hurdle winner Red Wine. Probably best watched on debut. Half-sister to a winning hurdler, unraced dam closely related to a 1m4f Listed winner. |
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11th (11) (250/1 -25%) Dream Shaper |
250/1(-25%) | (11) Dream Shaper 250/1, Morpheus gelding. Half-brother to 1¼m winner in Italy Bridge Pinot. Dam showed little in 2 starts on Flat. The betting should point to whether he or stablemate Brave Crogha is the yard's first-string. Half-brother to an Italian 1m2f winner, dam finished last on both starts, speedy pedigree. |
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12th (13) (12/1 +0%) Highland King |
12/1(+0%) | (13) Highland King 12/1, Tongue strap on for 1st time, first run since leaving John Patrick Murtagh when eighth of 12 in handicap at Dundalk (8f, 20/1) 65 days ago. Some decent efforts at up to 1½m in handicaps on the Flat last year and has joined a top jumps yard. Twice second in Flat handicaps at Leopardstown last year, may have needed Dundalk run. |
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13th (15) (250/1 -25%) Tullabrack Lad |
250/1(-25%) | (15) Tullabrack Lad 250/1, Once-raced maiden. 125/1, seventeenth of 18 in bumper at Fairyhouse (16f, good to soft) on NH debut 35 days ago. Makes hurdles debut. Huge price when always at the back on debut in a valuable sales bumper at Fairyhouse. |
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14th (5) (50/1 -52%) Rushford |
50/1(-52%) | (5) Rushford 50/1, 9/4, third of 10 in handicap at Ffos Las (16f, good to soft), finding less than looked likely. Off 7 months. First run for yard after leaving Sir Mark Prescott Bt. Interesting recruit to this sphere. Showed a liking for fast ground and displayed stamina win when winning twice on the Flat. |
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15th (7) (250/1 -25%) Across The Ocean |
250/1(-25%) | (7) Across The Ocean 250/1, Once-raced maiden. 50/1, eleventh of 13 in novice hurdle at Downpatrick (18.8f, good to soft) on NH debut 9 days ago. Tailed off on his recent debut at Downpatrick, can be safely left out of calculations. |
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16th (8) (125/1 -25%) Askwell |
125/1(-25%) | (8) Askwell 125/1, €22,000 3-y-o, Doyen gelding. Dam, 2¼m-3½m hurdle/chase winner, sister to very smart hurdler/chaser (stayed 3¼m) Mala Beach. Entitled to come on for the run. Dam bumper/hurdle/chase winner and a sister to winners including the talented Mala Beach. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
1st - 1.5/1 (4) MORNING SOLDIER 2nd - 3/1 (6) SHAJAK 3rd - 33/1 (5) RUSHFORD
MORNING SOLDIER's runner-up berth at Naas reads well and he should appreciate this better ground as a former winner on the Flat in Dundalk. He was beaten a length into second at Naas and had the subsequent Boodles winner at the Cheltenham Festival behind him in fourth. Shajak reached a peak mark of 95 on the Flat and is interesting on hurdle debut for Gordon Elliott. Flamborough is back to the trip he finished a close second over at Down Royal, so has to enter the equation. Custom Of The Sea and Boher Road are hurdling newcomers to note in the market. First-reserve Jit Langy would likely have a major say if getting a run. Willie Mullins' French import was second in a hurdle race in September in his native country.
The form of the juvenile event in which MORNING SOLDIER was second at Naas in February is very solid (Jazzy Matty and Byker, fourth and third respectively in the same race, went on to fill the first two places in the Fred Winter at the Cheltenham Festival) and he is presented with a good opportunity to open his hurdles account. This sharp track will suit Thomas Mullins' charge, who may have most to fear from Shajak, an interesting recruit from the Flat. Baltic Bird is also shortlisted.
After suffering an alarming loss of form on the Flat MORNING SOLDIER has taken to hurdling well enough to suggest he can win here
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (1.75/1 +30%) Shearer |
1.75/1(+30%) | (1) Shearer 1.75/1, Landed novice hurdles at Worcester and Cheltenham in October but below par in 3m handicaps at Newbury and Musselburgh on this last two outings. This switch to chasing needs to spark a resurgence. Developed into a useful hurdler in 2022; looks interesting on today's chasing debut. |
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2nd (3) (0.44/1 +40%) Jeffery's Cross |
0.44/1(+40%) | (3) Jeffery's Cross 0.44/1, Low-mileage 7-y-o who took his form up a notch when gaining a first win over fences in 14-runner handicap at Haydock (25.6f, good to firm) 36 days ago. Well on top at the finish there so he holds leading claims despite taking an 8 lb rise. Improved to win valuable series final last month and commands respect. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Based on the summary, it is difficult to predict which horse will do well as each has their strengths and weaknesses. However, if I had to choose, I would go with 0.73/1 (3) JEFFERY'S CROSS as they have recently won a valuable series final and have shown improvement in their last race. My prediction for the top three would be: 1) 0.73/1 (3) JEFFERY'S CROSS, 2) 2.5/1 (1) SHEARER, and 3) 4/1 (2) SILVER SHEEN.
With just the three runners heading to post, marginal preference is for the class-dropping JEFFERY'S CROSS. An emphatic winner over an extended 3m1f at Haydock last month, an 8lb raised mark looks unlikely to stop the gelded son of Flemensfirth securing a double, but Shearer has proven to be capable of better than his most recent efforts suggest and he can bounce back. Silver Sheen looks booked for third.
JEFFERY'S CROSS seems to be really getting the hang of things over fences and an 8 lb rise for his emphatic Haydock success doesn't look sufficient to prevent him from following up. Silver Sheen, who has started life well with Fergal O'Brien, resumes after a wind op and appeals as the one to chase home Dan Skelton's improver.
Dan Skelton's JEFFERY'S CROSS collected a good prize at Haydock last month and might well have more improvement to come.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (4.5/1 +36%) Hello Sunshine |
4.5/1(+36%) | (3) Hello Sunshine 4.5/1, 17/2, first run since leaving Paul Webber when creditable third of 11 in handicap hurdle at this course (20.5f, soft) 21 days ago. Up in trip. Needs considering. Ran well when third over shorter trip here on stable debut; good chance if staying. |
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2nd (1) (5/1 -82%) Sandalwood |
5/1(-82%) | (1) Sandalwood 5/1, Good second of 10 in handicap hurdle (9/1) at Taunton (23.9f, good to soft) 31 days ago, just holding on (impeded runner-up and subsequently disqualified). Blinkers replace cheekpieces. Player. Disqualified after finishing first at Taunton; could gain compensation with blinkers on. |
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3rd (9) (3.5/1 +36%) Hatchet Jack |
3.5/1(+36%) | (9) Hatchet Jack 3.5/1, Remains a maiden after 22 NH runs. First run since leaving Paul Henderson when creditable second of 4 in handicap hurdle at Fontwell (25.8f, good to firm, 5/2) 23 days ago. Merits consideration. Point winner in March; 0-22 under rules; second last month but this looks much harder. |
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4th (5) (9/1 +36%) Barrowmount |
9/1(+36%) | (5) Barrowmount 9/1, 22/1, good third of 18 in handicap hurdle at Exeter (23.1f, good to soft) 23 days ago, running on. Heading back in the right direction recently so he's one for the shortlist. Much more like it in latest two starts and could be a threat after those. |
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5th (2) (11/1 -22%) Brown Bullet |
11/1(-22%) | (2) Brown Bullet 11/1, Course winner. Latest win in hurdle here in March. 66/1, thirteenth of 17 in handicap hurdle at Cheltenham (20.2f, good) 24 days ago. Up in trip. Not taken lightly in this less exacting company. 2m winner here in March; ability to stay this trip has to be taken on trust. |
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6th (4) (11/1 +31%) Monty's Award |
11/1(+31%) | (4) Monty's Award 11/1, 16/1, eighth of 11 in handicap hurdle at this course (20.5f, soft) 21 days ago. Back up in trip. Can give a good account if shrugging off latest effort. Well beaten here last month but return to sound surface and this trip should help a lot. |
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7th (7) (20/1 +0%) Counteract |
20/1(+0%) | (7) Counteract 20/1, 6/1, pulled up in handicap chase at Huntingdon (23.6f, good to soft) 70 days ago, tailed off when pulled up 2 out. Switches to hurdles with cheekpieces on for 1st time. Plenty to find on form. First start over hurdles for more than two years; pulled up in a chase latest; cheekpieces. |
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8th (12) (50/1 +24%) Pour Une Raison |
50/1(+24%) | (12) Pour Une Raison 50/1, Dual handicap hurdle winner in 2020/21 but has struggled for form since. Two wins in 2020/21 but little since. |
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9th (11) (28/1 -75%) Lawtop Legend |
28/1(-75%) | (11) Lawtop Legend 28/1, C&D winner but off 19 months before being pulled up in handicap chases at Fakenham and Sedgefield this spring. Reverts to hurdles and needs it to spark a resurgence. Won this in 2021; pulled up in two chases this spring, after a long absence. |
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|PU| (6) (3/1 +25%) Perfect Man |
3/1(+25%) | (6) Perfect Man 3/1, Creditable fourth of 13 in handicap hurdle (9/2) at Southwell (24.3f, good to soft) 16 days ago. Twenty three runs since last win in 2020, though. Two runs for this yard and much better when fourth in the latest; considered. |
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|PU| (8) (40/1 -233%) Strictlyasoldier |
40/1(-233%) | (8) Strictlyasoldier 40/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. Sixth of 9 in novice hurdle at Newton Abbot (18.5f, good, 100/1). Off 10 months. Significantly up in trip for his handicap hurdle debut. No forlorn hope. Well beaten in novices last summer; market check up in trip on handicap debut. |
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|PU| (10) (66/1 -164%) Churchtown Glen |
66/1(-164%) | (10) Churchtown Glen 66/1, One win from 32 NH runs. 10/1, pulled up in handicap chase at Fakenham (24.2f, good to soft) 180 days ago, behind before halfway. Switches to hurdles with lots to prove. Out of form over fences when last seen in the autumn; only win came in 2018. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the information provided, it is difficult to predict which horse will do well. However, some horses that could potentially finish in the top three are 16/1 (4) MONTY'S AWARD, 7/1 (3) HELLO SUNSHINE, and 14/1 (5) BARROWMOUNT.
Lawtop Legend won a division of this race off a mark 3lb lower in 2021 and although pulled up on his last two starts, they were over fences and he returns to hurdles here. Hatchet Jack was second at Fontwell last month and is another to consider, but SANDALWOOD may be able to successfully give weight away all round. Disqualified for interference after 'winning' at Taunton, connections will be looking for recompense here and, with first-time blinkers applied, they could succeed.
SANDALWOOD took a big step forward when landing a Taunton handicap last month only to lose the race in the stewards' room but he can gain compensation here with blinkers now replacing cheekpieces. Hello Sunshine got back on track on his first run for George Baker with a recent third here and is next on the list now stepping up in trip. Exeter third Barrowmount and handicap debutant Strictlyasoldier complete the shortlist.
The 12yo PERFECT MAN ran well enough at Southwell to suggest he could be the answer.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (15) (4/1 +50%) Valleyoftheeagles |
4/1(+50%) | (15) Valleyoftheeagles 4/1, Fair maiden on the Flat. Promising individual. 12/1, fourth of 12 in novice hurdle at Kilbeggan (16f, good to soft) on NH debut 23 days ago. Should have more to offer. Showed mild promise on Flat, hinted at winning potential when fourth on hurdling debut. |
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2nd (6) (7/1 +42%) Chiefs Kingdom |
7/1(+42%) | (6) Chiefs Kingdom 7/1, Twice-raced maiden. Twelfth of 27 in novice hurdle at Leopardstown (16f, soft, 40/1) 139 days ago. Respected based on debut fourth at Thurles. Only 4 1/2l behind third-placed Ideal De Ciergues at Thurles on first of his two outings. |
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3rd (10) (2.25/1 -29%) Ideal De Ciergues |
2.25/1(-29%) | (10) Ideal De Ciergues 2.25/1, Promising type. Bit below form fourth of 24 in novice hurdle at Naas (18.8f, soft, 7/2) 145 days ago but he's still open to improvement and is the one to beat. Two maiden hurdle runs in races won by subsequent Grade 1 winners, strong prospects. |
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4th (12) (18/1 -13%) Marciano |
18/1(-13%) | (12) Marciano 18/1, Twice-raced maiden. 6/1, ran out in novice hurdle at Ballinrobe (16.6f, good to soft) 12 days ago. Hood on 1st time. Showed a tendency to hang at Clonmel, even more apparent at Ballinrobe where he ran out. |
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5th (14) (16/1 +52%) Val The Man |
16/1(+52%) | (14) Val The Man 16/1, Lightly-raced maiden under Rules. Fifteenth of 20 in novice hurdle (33/1) at Punchestown (20.7f, good). Off 7 months. Booking of O'Keeffe a plus. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Promising second in a 2m4f maiden hurdle at this venue last July, failed to build on that. |
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6th (16) (25/1 +24%) We Had It All Said |
25/1(+24%) | (16) We Had It All Said 25/1, Twice-raced maiden under Rules. 25/1, sixth of 19 in novice hurdle at Tipperary (16f, good to soft) on hurdles bow. Off 7 months. Open to progress. Shaped quite well in bumper and maiden hurdle runs four months apart last year. |
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7th (1) (100/1 -150%) Alhaajeb |
100/1(-150%) | (1) Alhaajeb 100/1, Fair Flat winner. Twice-raced maiden over hurdles. Sixth of 12 in novice hurdle (33/1) at Kilbeggan (16f, good to soft) 23 days ago. Four wins on Flat, held by Valleyoftheeagles on running at Kilbeggan last month. |
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8th (8) (20/1 +75%) Glady Max |
20/1(+75%) | (8) Glady Max 20/1, Twice-raced maiden. 66/1, fifth of 18 in novice hurdle at Gowran (16f, heavy) 64 days ago. Fifth at Gowran in March but beaten 35l, more likely a handicap prospect in due course. |
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9th (2) (22/1 -38%) Caradoc |
22/1(-38%) | (2) Caradoc 22/1, Useful Flat winner. 66/1, fourth of 28 in handicap at Newmarket (9f, good), never nearer. Off 7 months. First run for yard after leaving Ed Walker. Could have a part to play on debut in this sphere if his jumping/stamina passes the test. Last of four Flat wins was in 2019 but finished fourth in last year's Cambridgeshire. |
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10th (5) (40/1 +0%) Chief Consul |
40/1(+0%) | (5) Chief Consul 40/1, Proconsul gelding. Half-brother to fair hurdler Just Loose Change, stays 2¾m. Market should point the way. Half-brother to winning hurdler Just Loose Change, dam placed in bumper/2m hurdle. |
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11th (4) (50/1 -25%) Callmedusty |
50/1(-25%) | (4) Callmedusty 50/1, Imperial Monarch gelding. Dam unraced sister to smart hurdler/chaser (2m-3m winner) Dancing Tornado. Yard also saddles fellow newcomer Chief Consul. Dam an unraced sister to useful hurdler/chaser Dancing Tornado, decent pedigree overall. |
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12th (11) (2.5/1 +58%) Make The Plan |
2.5/1(+58%) | (11) Make The Plan 2.5/1, Fair hurdler. 7/2, good second of 15 in novice hurdle at Ballinrobe (16.6f, good to soft) 12 days ago, clear of rest. Each-way claims. Ran his best race so far when second to an easy winner at Ballinrobe, should be in the mix. |
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13th (7) (200/1 +0%) Freepark |
200/1(+0%) | (7) Freepark 200/1, Modest maiden on the Flat. Once-raced maiden in this sphere. Hard to fancy. Low-grade Flat handicapper for John McConnell, 100-1 when down the field on hurdling debut. |
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14th (9) (100/1 -400%) Hey Skipper |
100/1(-400%) | (9) Hey Skipper 100/1, Once-raced maiden. Fifth of 13 in novice hurdle (40/1) at Kilbeggan (15f, good to soft) on NH debut 24 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Should improve. Betrayed inexperience but managed to show some promise on belated debut at Kilbeggan. |
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|PU| (3) (150/1 -50%) Screaming Petrus |
150/1(-50%) | (3) Screaming Petrus 150/1, Fairly useful Flat winner. Once-raced maiden over hurdles (unseated rider at the first at Down Royal earlier this month). 1m4f AW maiden winner in Britain, unseated at the first on hurdling debut at Down Royal. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Prediction: 1st - 1.75/1 (10) IDEAL DE CIERGUES, 2nd - 6/1 (11) MAKE THE PLAN, 3rd - 8/1 (15) VALLEYOFTHEEAGLES.
This looks to be a drop in class for IDEAL DE CIERGUES and he can take advantage of it. Gordon Elliott's charge finished third in Thurles and fourth at Naas in maiden hurdles won by subsequent Grade 1 winners, which has to give him leading claims here. Nene River makes his track debut for shrewd connections and has to be given a market check. He was a smooth winner of a British point-to-point in March. Caradoc held a three-figure rating on the Flat in Britain and was last seen finishing fourth in the Cambridgeshire at Newmarket in September. He could be a useful recruit for Eric McNamara. Valleyoftheeagles showed improvement in fourth at Kilbeggan and was well supported. The form of that race has been well franked. Chiefs Kingdom and Make The Plan have a shot at prize money.
It will look significant if there's confidence behind the Emmet Mullins-trained NENE RIVER in the betting. The 5-y-o was a clear-cut winner of his sole completed start between the flags and this half-brother to the useful Omar Maretti will be of strong interest if the market vibes are indeed upbeat. Ideal de Ciergues has made the frame in maiden hurdles won by subsequent Grade 1 winners Il Etait Temps and Impaire Et Passe, and he is an obvious threat. Valleyoftheeagles is third choice.
On the basis of respectable form in maidens won by subsequent Grade 1 winners, IDEAL DE CIERGUES looks capable of opening his account
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (0.91/1 +34%) Guy |
0.91/1(+34%) | (5) Guy 0.91/1, Fairly useful chaser who isn't quite as good over hurdles but he soes arrive on the back of a brace of placed efforts over the smaller obstacles at this venue. That sets the standard. Useful chaser; second in two novice hurdles here last month; major player. |
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2nd (1) (2.75/1 -38%) Soldat Forte |
2.75/1(-38%) | (1) Soldat Forte 2.75/1, Unplaced completed starts in Irish points but showed fair form when making the frame on both bumper outings last summer and well prepared to make a successful hurdles debut at Southwell last month. Tongue tie now on and there should be more to come. Narrow winner on last month's hurdle debut, form that looks better than it did at the time. |
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3rd (3) (33/1 +18%) Captain Attridge |
33/1(+18%) | (3) Captain Attridge 33/1, Fair maiden on the Flat (stays 1¼m) who looks a work-in-progress over hurdles, never on terms over C&D 18 days ago. Fair on the Flat in Ireland but has shown only minor promise over hurdles. |
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4th (10) (14/1 +0%) By Pass |
14/1(+0%) | (10) By Pass 14/1, Modest maiden on Flat whose stand out effort over hurdles came when third of 8 in juvenile at Hereford (2m, 125/1) in February. Fell fourth having jumped well up until then in visor at Wincanton last time. Has shown some hurdling ability but a minor role is probably her best hope here. |
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5th (4) (3.33/1 +0%) Great Heart'jac |
3.33/1(+0%) | (4) Great Heart'jac 3.33/1, Irish point winner who landed a pair of 2m small-field handicaps over fences at Leicester last term. Big player on these terms returned to hurdling with cheekpieces fitted. 2-5 over fences last season and has good chance at the weights on this hurdling return. |
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6th (7) (150/1 -50%) Hay Up Harry |
150/1(-50%) | (7) Hay Up Harry 150/1, Failed to beat a rival both starts in bumpers. Well beaten when finishing last in two bumpers last season; hurdling debut today. |
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7th (6) (250/1 -150%) Haafbourd |
250/1(-150%) | (6) Haafbourd 250/1, Signs of ability when third in small-field Fakenham bumper in November but nothing to shout about since. Struggled on his first two hurdling attempts. |
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8th (2) (200/1 -100%) Alright Chap |
200/1(-100%) | (2) Alright Chap 200/1, Merely hinted at ability so far. Well-beaten outsider on his two hurdling starts towards the end of last season. |
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|U| (8) (66/1 +0%) Imperial Admiral |
66/1(+0%) | (8) Imperial Admiral 66/1, €18,000 3-y-o, Mount Nelson gelding. Dam (h100), 19f-23f hurdle winner, sister to very smart hurdler/high-class chaser (stayed 25f) The Storyteller. Pulled up both starts and already had 2 breathing operations. Showed no promise when pulled up twice last season; had wind op in March. |
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|PU| (9) (33/1 -106%) Pavlodar |
33/1(-106%) | (9) Pavlodar 33/1, Pulled up on hurdles debut having changed hands for £40,000 and just fair efforts on the level since. Fair on Flat at best and had excuse when pulled up on hurdle debut but others are safer. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary provided, here are the predicted finishes for the horses: 1st: 1.38/1 (5) GUY 2nd: 2/1 (1) SOLDAT FORTE 3rd: Tongue tie
Better known for his exploits over the larger obstacles, GUY has shown his ability to cope with the switch to hurdles recently. Nigel Twiston-Davies' charge attempted to make the most of his stamina when finding one too strong over C&D last month, and he may be able to go one better courtesy of a similar display. Great Heart'Jac appeals as the main danger, with first-time cheekpieces a potential source of improvement. Soldat Forte won on his hurdles debut at Southwell 32 days ago and must be respected too.
SOLDAT FORTE displayed a willing attitude when making a successful hurdles debut at Southwell a month ago and while conceding weight to the likes of Guy and Great Heart'jac asks more of him, he may well be up to the task.
Useful chaser GUY (nap) ran well in two novice hurdles here last month and gets the vote ahead of Soldat Forte.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (3.5/1 +0%) Small Bad Bob |
3.5/1(+0%) | (6) Small Bad Bob 3.5/1, Maiden pointer who tasted success 3 times over hurdles during 2021/22 campaign. Discouraging run over fences at Chepstow in February but much better effort when third at Warwick (20f, good to soft) just under a fortnight ago. Needs to kick on from that now. Two chasing efforts and third at Warwick in the latest; could be a threat. |
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2nd (4) (4.5/1 +0%) Trevada |
4.5/1(+0%) | (4) Trevada 4.5/1, Fair bumper scorer for Nigel Twiston-Davies and similar standard over hurdles for current yard, showing improved form with a tongue tie added when second on 21.5f Exeter handicap debut in December. Not kicked on next 2 starts, however, and now goes chasing. Maiden over hurdles but ran some decent races; could figure on chasing debut. |
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3rd (5) (5/1 +0%) Not Another Muddle |
5/1(+0%) | (5) Not Another Muddle 5/1, Just fair nowadays but mark reflects that and beaten only by an improving sort at this C&D (soft) 3 weeks ago. Mark eases a shade further and he could feature. Closely matched with Alto Alto on last month's form but no wins since 2019. |
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4th (2) (4.5/1 +10%) Paddy's Poem |
4.5/1(+10%) | (2) Paddy's Poem 4.5/1, Confirmed the promise of his belated return when taking 4-runner C&D event in March. Unlucky to bump into an up-and-comer in his follow up bid at Exeter (19.2f, good to soft) just over 3 weeks ago and fancied to be thereabouts once again. Back to form in recent starts, including C&D win; good effort likely. |
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5th (1) (25/1 -108%) Sopran Thor |
25/1(-108%) | (1) Sopran Thor 25/1, Ended 2021/22 in good form and seen just twice last season, the only one to complete in a selling handicap chase at Fakenham last month. Left Gary Moore and started life with his new yard in trademark style when unseating mid-race at Warwick (20f) 13 days ago. Others preferred. Unseated on recent stable debut; previous win came in a seller; others preferred. |
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6th (3) (2/1 +20%) Alto Alto |
2/1(+20%) | (3) Alto Alto 2/1, Fair hurdler who left previous chasing efforts behind when winning 7-runner handicap at this course (17f, soft) 34 days ago by 3½ lengths from Not Another Muddle, finding extra when tackled approaching last. One to consider raised 5 lb. 2-2 here and beat Not Another Muddle over 2m1f last month; 5lb higher; obvious claims. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Prediction: 2.5/1 (3) ALTO ALTO will do well in this race. The horses that will finish in 1st, 2nd and 3rd places respectively are 2.5/1 (3) ALTO ALTO, 5/1 (5) NOT ANOTHER MUDDLE and 5/1 (2) PADDY'S POEM.
ALTO ALTO is 7lb worse off with Not Another Muddle on their meeting here over shorter last month, but he did win going away at the finish and may have even more to offer after just the three starts over fences. Trevada makes his debut over fences and is bred for the part so he could go well for a stable in form, leaving Warwick third Small Bad Bob as an alternative for the places.
This can go the way of PADDY'S POEM, who was unlucky to bump into a progressive sort at Exeter just over 3 weeks ago and can regain the winning thread. Alto Alto is put forward as the main threat having left previous chasing efforts behind when winning at this track last month, while Small Bad Bob and Not Another Muddle can fight out third spot.
After his course win last month, ALTO ALTO (nap) makes most appeal.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (4/1 +43%) Shecouldbeanything |
4/1(+43%) | (3) Shecouldbeanything 4/1, Useful hurdler. Career best when winning 14-runner listed hurdle at Punchestown (16.4f, good to soft, 7/2) 19 days ago by 4¼ lengths from The Model Kingdom, forging clear. More needed. Won readily at Punchestown, officially rated 14lb below stablemate Party Central. |
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2nd (7) (7/1 +56%) Walk With Paul |
7/1(+56%) | (7) Walk With Paul 7/1, Fairly useful hurdler. Creditable 5¾ lengths third of 14 to Shecouldbeanything in listed hurdle (10/1) at Punchestown (16.4f, good to soft) 19 days ago, travelling strongly. Not without each-way hope. Has been running well in defeat, may reach the money again but hard to see her winning. |
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3rd (6) (40/1 +68%) Silent Approach |
40/1(+68%) | (6) Silent Approach 40/1, Lightly-raced maiden under Rules. Creditable second of 14 in novice hurdle at Tramore (16f, soft, 2/1) 28 days ago but this is much tougher. Has shown maiden-winning potential with two second placings, up against it in this company. |
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4th (2) (1.75/1 -59%) Party Central |
1.75/1(-59%) | (2) Party Central 1.75/1, Promising sort. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Career best when winning on last outing in this sphere at the 2022 Punchestown Festival. Remains open to improvement and looks the pick of the Gordon Elliott-trained trio. 4-6 over hurdles, has won at this level, big chance after winning reappearance on the Flat. |
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5th (4) (100/1 -25%) Enfranchise |
100/1(-25%) | (4) Enfranchise 100/1, Useful Flat winner. Once-raced maiden over hurdles (beaten 15½ lengths into tenth in the listed race won by Shecouldbeanything at Punchestown last month). Easy to look elsewhere on this occasion. Five-time Flat winner, 66-1 when down the field behind Shecouldbeanything at Punchestown. |
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6th (1) (3/1 -20%) Anna Bunina |
3/1(-20%) | (1) Anna Bunina 3/1, Useful hurdler. Winner of this race 12 months ago. Good 9½ lengths second of 6 to Echoes In Rain in Mares Champion Hurdle (28/1) at Punchestown (19.1f, good to soft) 15 days ago. Expected to be bang there. High-class mare, held her own in a Grade 1 event last time, unlikely to be far away. |
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|PU| (5) (5.5/1 +45%) Night And Day |
5.5/1(+45%) | (5) Night And Day 5.5/1, Lightly-raced winner over hurdles. Creditable 7½ lengths fifth of 14 to Shecouldbeanything in listed hurdle at Punchestown (16.4f, good to soft, 5/1) 19 days ago, left poorly placed. Place possibilities. Looked in need of further when fifth to Shecouldbeanything at Punchestown. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
1st: 1.1/1 (2) PARTY CENTRAL 2nd: 7/1 (3) SHECOULDBEANYTHING 3rd: 2.5/1 (1) ANNA BUNINA
It was hard not to be impressed with Gordon Elliott's PARTY CENTRAL on her comeback run on the Flat at Gowran Park last month where she stayed on strongly to get up close home. She had been off for almost a year since landing a mares' novices' hurdle at Punchestown. She has an excellent record in this sphere with four victories from five appearances, including a Grade B handicap hurdle at Leopardstown. Anna Bunina holds the same rating of 142 as Party Central, so this should be a good race. She is a former Scottish Champion Hurdle winner and her last run in second at 28/1 in a Grade 1 at Punchestown entitles her to plenty of respect. She holds every chance. Elliott also saddles Shecouldbeanything and Media Naranja. The former has plenty to find on ratings with the aforementioned pair, but was very strong in winning in Listed class at Punchestown. The latter gets all the allowances and has more to offer.
PARTY CENTRAL hasn't been seen out in this sphere for over a year but her wellbeing is proven having returned with a winning debut on the Flat at Gowran last month. While that success was gained on heavy ground, she's fully effective on a faster surface (4-4 overall on good/yielding) and, open to further progress, she is taken to get the better of last year's winner of this, Anna Bunina. Night And Day was behind a couple of these last time but there were excuses that day and she is third choice.
Recent Flat winner PARTY CENTRAL is less exposed as a hurdler than the admirable Anna Bunina whom she faces on handicap terms
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (0.2/1 +55%) Impose Toi |
0.2/1(+55%) | (1) Impose Toi 0.2/1, Dual French bumper scorer who got off the mark for new yard in 4-runner novice hurdle at Exeter (17f, good to soft) in March. Bumped into the useful Brentford Hope at Huntingdon next time. Hard to beat. No disgrace when second on latest start; looks the one to beat. |
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2nd (3) (6/1 +29%) Chestnut Pete |
6/1(+29%) | (3) Chestnut Pete 6/1, Fair maiden hurdler. Similar form when runner-up twice over fences this spring but suspicion he'll prove vulnerable for win purposes again back over the smaller obstacles. 0-16 in career; runner-up in two of three chases recently; exposed. |
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3rd (2) (12/1 -380%) Bizzy Moon |
12/1(-380%) | (2) Bizzy Moon 12/1, Half-sister to connections useful hurdler Molly Ollys Wishes. Well held in a Chepstow bumper in November but made a successful start to her hurdle career at Market Rasen 5 months later. That form is nothing special but she's almost certainly capable of better. Well beaten in a bumper but won Market Rasen hurdle last month; this is tougher. |
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|PU| (4) (80/1 -60%) One Rule |
80/1(-60%) | (4) One Rule 80/1, Rule of Law half-sister to a point winner. Dam unraced half-sister to top-class chaser (winner up to 3¼m) One Man. Would be a surprise winner on debut. Half-sister to two point winners; best watched on debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
I predict 0.44/1 (1) IMPOSE TOI will do well and finish in 1st place, followed by 2.5/1 (2) BIZZY MOON in 2nd and 8.5/1 (3) CHESTNUT PETE in 3rd. 50/1 (4) ONE RULE is not likely to be a contender for a win on debut.
It looks best to side with IMPOSE TOI, who finished a good second to the smart Brentford Hope at Huntingdon last month. Having been sent off as favourite that day, better was clearly expected. Bizzy Moon landed a mares' maiden at Market Rasen 35 days ago and she's likely to take another step forward, while Chestnut Pete is fancied to claim third ahead of debutant One Rule.
This looks a very good opportunity for IMPOSE TOI to add to his Exeter win in March. Dan Skelton's Market Rasen scorer Bizzy Moon can follow him home.
This appears to offer IMPOSE TOI a good chance to record a second win over hurdles.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (12) (3.2/1 +60%) Glance At Me |
3.2/1(+60%) | (12) Glance At Me 3.2/1, Improved to score at Lingfield in February and backed it up with a good second at Fakenham, coming clear of the remainder. Should give another good account. Solid seconds since a Lingfield win and should make her presence felt again. |
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2nd (11) (7.5/1 +32%) Andapa |
7.5/1(+32%) | (11) Andapa 7.5/1, Back-to-back winner of handicaps during summer 2021 and she ran with credit when third at Uttoxeter when last seen in October. Does remain 3 lb above last winning mark ahead of return, however. Had wind op. First start since October and wind surgery in the interim; best form gives her chances. |
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3rd (5) (3/1 +33%) Tara Iti |
3/1(+33%) | (5) Tara Iti 3/1, Won a pair of Plumpton handicaps last year and right back on track when readily landing a Fontwell event last time. Solid claims. Back to form with Fontwell win last month and strong candidate off 5lb higher. |
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4th (2) (10/1 +50%) Tedwin Hills |
10/1(+50%) | (2) Tedwin Hills 10/1, Lightly-raced maiden who posted an excellent second of 10 in novice hurdle at Wincanton in February. Tame display at Southwell since but can't be written off. Claims on his Wincanton second and ground reportedly too soft when pulled up next time. |
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5th (8) (4/1 +0%) Executive Pool |
4/1(+0%) | (8) Executive Pool 4/1, Fair Flat winner who has shown modest form over hurdles. Back to form and value for extra when landing a 9-runner handicap at Hereford last time. Remains with handicapping scope and might well follow up. Justified favouritism at Hereford last month; up 5lb; one of trainer's four runners. |
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6th (4) (9/1 -80%) Systemic |
9/1(-80%) | (4) Systemic 9/1, Got off the mark in this event last year and backed it up with a creditable second at Huntingdon 11 months ago. Not seen since but might have been primed for a big effort. Won this 12 months ago; absent for nearly a year but strong contender if wound up. |
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7th (14) (150/1 -20%) Tally's Son |
150/1(-20%) | (14) Tally's Son 150/1, Poor strike rate on the Flat (1-42) and hasn't shown much over hurdles. 1-49 in career and no show in either start for this yard. |
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8th (9) (33/1 -230%) Bugle Major |
33/1(-230%) | (9) Bugle Major 33/1, Fair Flat winner who offered a bit to work on sent hurdling when third in a 2m Catterick maiden in February. No show on both subsequent outings but no surprise if he improves now back in blinkers for handicap debut. Risky after twice finishing tailed off but opening handicap mark offers a chance. |
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9th (1) (20/1 -82%) Man Of The Sea |
20/1(-82%) | (1) Man Of The Sea 20/1, Fairly useful Flat winner who also scored over hurdles in Jersey in July and landed a 2m Stratford handicap on his return to Britain in October. However, absent since a below-par display at Exeter the following month. Stratford winner last October and only 1lb higher; returns from six months off. |
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10th (3) (10/1 +17%) Privatory |
10/1(+17%) | (3) Privatory 10/1, Dual 2m winner but below par last season and has a bit to prove for all that his mark is falling. Two wins at the start of career but yet to be placed in handicaps. |
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11th (7) (66/1 -371%) Sous Surveillance |
66/1(-371%) | (7) Sous Surveillance 66/1, Poor maiden on the Flat for Alan King and not enough encouragement over hurdles to make him of interest in this. Too free in novices; hood on for handicap debut; trainer in good form. |
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|PU| (6) (40/1 -186%) Pepsiwithacap |
40/1(-186%) | (6) Pepsiwithacap 40/1, Just modest form (although managed to win a race) over hurdles in Ireland. Has performed respectably on the Flat since joining current stable and mark isn't insurmountable, so not ruled out. Two reasonable AW runs for current yard; bit to prove back over hurdles. |
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|PU| (13) (80/1 -100%) Miss Curiosity |
80/1(-100%) | (13) Miss Curiosity 80/1, Modest form at best in bumpers/over hurdles. Makes little appeal. Yet to show much over hurdles; tongue-strap fitted. |
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|PU| (15) (125/1 -56%) Checkitsme |
125/1(-56%) | (15) Checkitsme 125/1, Won a Leicester claiming hurdle for Milton Harris last winter. Placed twice later in that campaign but has offered little this term, refusing over fences on her last two outings. Little appeal back over hurdles after refusing in chases the last twice. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
1st: 4/1 (8) EXECUTIVE POOL 2nd: 4.5/1 (5) TARA ITI 3rd: 10/1 (9) BUGLE MAJOR
An emphatic winner over an extended 2m1f at Fontwell last month, Tara Iti looks sure to be in the mix off a 5lb higher mark, despite the drop in trip. However, he has lacked consistency of late, so EXECUTIVE POOL shades the vote. The gelded son of Churchill recorded a facile success over this trip at Hereford most recently and he could defy a 5lb rise to secure a double here. Glance At Me also looks capable of having a say in proceedings.
EXECUTIVE POOL had a bit in hand when winning at Hereford and has the scope for better still based on Flat form, so he's worth siding with ahead of his stablemate Tara Iti, who also arrives on the back of success at Fontwell. Glance At Me should also go well again.
Fontwell winner TARA ITI is taken to beat stable companion Executive Pool.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (4.5/1 -29%) Mighty Tom |
4.5/1(-29%) | (4) Mighty Tom 4.5/1, First run since leaving Thomas Cooper when third of 18 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (19.1f, good to soft, 40/1) 15 days ago. Each-way shout. Comes into the reckoning here on the basis of a fine Punchestown run on stable debut. |
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2nd (1) (2.75/1 +21%) Magnor Glory |
2.75/1(+21%) | (1) Magnor Glory 2.75/1, Course winner. Two wins from 5 runs last season. Creditable fourth of 16 in handicap hurdle (22/1) at Fairyhouse (16.4f, soft) 36 days ago. Merits consideration. Won a 2m4f handicap here last summer, later 2m winner at Listowel, good run last month. |
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3rd (14) (11/1 +39%) Sacchoandvanzetti |
11/1(+39%) | (14) Sacchoandvanzetti 11/1, Tongue strap on for 1st time in this code, creditable ninth of 25 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (19.8f, good to soft, 33/1) 18 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Not taken lightly. Two wins gained consecutively in 2019, fair Punchestown run on latest, not a lost cause. |
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4th (12) (18/1 -29%) Gordons Aura |
18/1(-29%) | (12) Gordons Aura 18/1, 12/1, unseated rider in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.2f, good to soft) 17 days ago. Each-way claims based on his third of 19 at Fairyhouse on penultimate start. Unseated at the first at Punchestown, each-way prospects on previous Fairyhouse third. |
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5th (3) (14/1 +0%) Glan |
14/1(+0%) | (3) Glan 14/1, 25/1, bit below form tenth of 18 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.4f, good to soft) 19 days ago. Yard also saddles Gordons Aura. Fourth in last season's Galway Hurdle but has been inconsistent since big Fairyhouse win. |
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6th (10) (10/1 -33%) Kilbree Warrior |
10/1(-33%) | (10) Kilbree Warrior 10/1, 16/1, career best when winning 20-runner handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (20.4f, good to soft) 35 days ago. Up 10 lb but he won by a wide margin and should make another bold bid. Made all for wide-margin Fairyhouse win, shorter trip now, 10lb higher but good chance. |
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7th (5) (6/1 +57%) Man O Work |
6/1(+57%) | (5) Man O Work 6/1, Creditable seventh of 18 in handicap hurdle (14/1) at Punchestown (16.4f, good to soft) 19 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Signs of a return to form at Punchestown last time but others make much more appeal. |
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8th (11) (125/1 -89%) Vultan |
125/1(-89%) | (11) Vultan 125/1, Temperamental sort. Last of 16 in handicap hurdle (80/1) at Fairyhouse (16.4f, soft) 36 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Maiden hurdle winner for Joseph O'Brien, has struggled in four handicaps for this yard. |
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9th (8) (9/1 -29%) All Those Years |
9/1(-29%) | (8) All Those Years 9/1, Fairly useful winner at 18f in chases. Fell in novice chase at Tipperary (20.2f, soft, 5/2) 26 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Needs a second look. Has been chasing, unseated on latest, may need confidence restored, market may give clues. |
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|U| (2) (25/1 -25%) Cask Mate |
25/1(-25%) | (2) Cask Mate 25/1, Fifth of 8 in minor event hurdle at Cork (16f, good to soft, 14/1) 35 days ago. Others more persuasive. Smart performer in his younger days, hard to be sure how competitive he remains. |
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10th (9) (10/1 -33%) Doyen Ta Win |
10/1(-33%) | (9) Doyen Ta Win 10/1, Three wins from 11 runs last season. Latest win in hurdle at Wexford in March. 3/1, good second of 9 in minor event hurdle at Naas (16.3f, soft) 45 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. One to consider. Won three handicaps in a row before good run in defeat in a conditions race, respected. |
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11th (13) (10/1 +38%) Listentillitellyea |
10/1(+38%) | (13) Listentillitellyea 10/1, Remains a maiden after 17 NH runs. 33/1, carried out in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (16.2f, good to soft) 17 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Carried out at Punchestown, appears well held by Gordons Aura on Fairyhouse running. |
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12th (7) (25/1 +24%) Typical Thomas |
25/1(+24%) | (7) Typical Thomas 25/1, Winner over hurdles at Downpatrick in July. 16/1, ninth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Leopardstown (20f, soft) 136 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Must improve. Showed decent form in conditions races last autumn, down the field on his handicap debut. |
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13th (6) (125/1 -346%) Purple Mountain |
125/1(-346%) | (6) Purple Mountain 125/1, Pulled up in handicap hurdle at this C&D (good to soft, 5/1), losing touch from 4 out. Off 8 months. First run for yard after leaving W. P. Mullins. Others preferred. Ex-Willie Mullins, absent since pulled-up here last summer, best watched for the moment. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
1st: 7.5/1 (10) KILBREE WARRIOR 2nd: 7.5/1 (9) DOYEN TA WIN 3rd: 3.5/1 (1) MAGNOR GLORY
There could be plenty of pace on here which will suit MIGHTY TOM. This eight-year-old gelding switched to Cian Collins and ran an absolute stormer in third at 40/1 in a Grade B handicap hurdle at Punchestown. He was held up and travelled notably well into contention before his effort flattened out on the run-in. Considering that was his first run for almost a year, there should be improvement forthcoming. Magnor Glory showed plenty in fourth in a Grade A handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse in April. He has won three of his last six hurdle races and has to rate a threat. Kilbree Warrior was dominant off the front in a novice handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse. Doyen Ta Win is another prominent racer who has been in excellent form since the turn of the year. All Those Years reverts from fences and isn't out of it.
The vote goes to KILBREE WARRIOR, who out plenty of daylight between himself and his rivals when landing a big-field Fairyhouse handicap last month. If in a similar mood back down in trip here, a 10 lb rise may not be enough to stop him going in again. At the foot of the weights, Sacchoandvanzetti is of interest and may well have a part to play, while All Those Years is of interest back hurdling and the in-form Doyen Ta Win also needs considering.
If building on a Punchestown run which was his first outing for the stable and came after a year off, MIGHTY TOM could be hard to beat
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (4/1 +53%) Zucayan |
4/1(+53%) | (9) Zucayan 4/1, Fair form in bumpers and got off the mark over hurdles over C&D almost a year ago. Respectable efforts on both subsequent outings and likely to put up a bold showing. C&D winner last spring and returned from layoff with pleasing run last month. |
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2nd (10) (7/1 -40%) Him Malaya |
7/1(-40%) | (10) Him Malaya 7/1, Lightly raced and just modest form so far over hurdles. Again gave an indication that there's more in the locker when third in a juvenile at Taunton a couple of months ago and merits plenty of respect if the market speaks in his favour. Encouraging third at Taunton in March; open to significant improvement in handicaps. |
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3rd (6) (8.5/1 -13%) Highland Frolic |
8.5/1(-13%) | (6) Highland Frolic 8.5/1, Fairly useful form on the Flat for the Gosdens and stepped up on previous efforts over hurdles when scoring at Plumpton 3 weeks ago. Scope for better still and warrants plenty of respect. Off the mark in run-of-the-mill maiden last month; a bit more will be needed here. |
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4th (2) (3.5/1 +53%) Coolnaugh Haze |
3.5/1(+53%) | (2) Coolnaugh Haze 3.5/1, Successful from 1 lb higher mark last April at Huntingdon and did all he could against a less-exposed rival after 4 months off under this pilot in that corresponding on penultimate outing. Not in same form last time but shouldn't be dismissed. Ran well last month, after a break, and may not have been suited by soft ground last time. |
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5th (7) (7/1 +36%) Force De Frap |
7/1(+36%) | (7) Force De Frap 7/1, Revitalised when winning in big fields at Taunton and Wincanton around the turn of the year and back to form of late, second at Bangor last time. One to consider. C&D winner in December and back in good form last month; probably in the mix. |
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6th (4) (6.5/1 +35%) Scherbobalob |
6.5/1(+35%) | (4) Scherbobalob 6.5/1, Modest maiden on Flat but better over hurdles, scoring in good style over C&D in April. Shaped as if still in form last time and can't be ruled out. Below form last time but came good over hurdles with convincing C&D success two runs ago. |
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7th (8) (16/1 +36%) Fight For It |
16/1(+36%) | (8) Fight For It 16/1, Opened his account in Ludlow novice hurdle in May but below form since, including on the Flat. Others appeal more. Won C&D novice a year ago but returns here with quite a bit to prove; others preferred. |
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8th (5) (5.5/1 -100%) Patient Dream |
5.5/1(-100%) | (5) Patient Dream 5.5/1, Clicked in cheekpieces earlier in the year, winning at Market Rasen and Ludlow in February (both under this rider). Effort best excused at Kempton last time and might well resume winning ways. Made all twice (once over C&D) in February; didn't run badly last time; still of interest. |
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9th (3) (100/1 -203%) Chasamax |
100/1(-203%) | (3) Chasamax 100/1, Three-time winner in this sphere for Nicky Henderson but ended time with that yard on a downer and no positives to draw from what he's done for this yard. Looked out of sorts when pulled up on first two starts for current stable; too risky. |
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10th (1) (16/1 -256%) Gerard Mentor |
16/1(-256%) | (1) Gerard Mentor 16/1, Scored twice last autumn, including at this track. Poor effort when last seen 5 months ago but no surprise if he's ready to go here. Won four times in 2022 (once over C&D); back from break today; further progress possible. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st: 7.5/1 (2) COOLNAUGH HAZE 2nd: 2.75/1 (5) PATIENT DREAM 3rd: 8.5/1 (9) ZUCAYAN
Highland Frolic gained a breakthrough success in a maiden hurdle at Plumpton recently, but Milton Harris' gelding may prove worth taking on now returned to handicap company. GERARD MENTOR was impressive when romping home over C&D by 18 lengths on his penultimate start in November and he could take some stopping if freshened up by a winter break. A case can also be made for the in-form Force De Frap.
PATIENT DREAM has reacted well to cheekpieces and his latest effort is best ignored, so he's fancied to resume winning ways under a positive ride. Most of the others have a chance, with recent Plumpton winner Highland Frolic probably heading the dangers.
Last season's juvenile hurdle hurdle form is not entirely convincing but HIM MALAYA is open to significant improvement in handicaps.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (1.62/1 -8%) Golden Arrow |
1.62/1(-8%) | (1) Golden Arrow 1.62/1, Foaled March 30. 21,000 gns foal, £27,000 yearling, £200,000 2-y-o, Havana Grey colt. Half-brother to several winners, including 5f-7f winner Born To Finish and 1m winner Mark of Respect. Yard going well with its 2-y-os and must enter the reckoning. Engaged 3.10 Ascot Saturday. £200,000 breeze-up 2yo; trainer does well with 2yos; non-runner at Ascot yesterday. |
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2nd (4) (1.25/1 +34%) Moonstone Boy |
1.25/1(+34%) | (4) Moonstone Boy 1.25/1, Calyx colt who took a big step forward from his debut when runner-up at Musselburgh (5f, soft) a fortnight ago, pulling well clear of the rest with a promising newcomer. Every chance of going one better. Takes on some interesting rivals but sets a strong standard for the rest to aim at. |
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3rd (2) (9/1 -80%) Golden Mind |
9/1(-80%) | (2) Golden Mind 9/1, Foaled January 29. 150,000 gns yearling, Galileo Gold colt. Half-brother to smart winner up to 7f Perfect Power. Dam 8.6f-1¼m winner who stayed 1½m. One to consider. Half-brother to connections' 3-time 6f Group 1 winner Perfect Power; considered on debut. |
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4th (3) (14/1 +0%) Irish Nectar |
14/1(+0%) | (3) Irish Nectar 14/1, Foaled February 15. 50,000 gns yearling, Invincible Spirit colt. Dam, 2-y-o 5f/6f winner who stayed 1m, half-sister to useful 7f/1m winner Paperchain. Newcomer; second foal; dam Listed-placed 5f/6f 2yo winner (RPR 100) from useful family. |
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5th (5) (10/1 -33%) Kandy House |
10/1(-33%) | (5) Kandy House 10/1, Invincible Spirit filly who showed both speed and promise when third of 6 in Ripon novice (5f, soft) on debut last month, not unduly punished. Should improve. Promising third on debut at Ripon and open to improvement; possible player. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Predictions are subjective and can vary based on factors like past performance, jockey, track conditions, etc. However, based on the given summary, the following horses are likely to perform well: 1st place: 1.88/1 (4) MOONSTONE BOY 2nd place: 1.5/1 (1) GOLDEN ARROW 3rd place: 5/1 (2) GOLDEN MIND
MOONSTONE BOY recently posted an improved effort when runner-up at Musselburgh and a reproduction of that performance now eased in class may suffice. Kandy House is the only other rival to have raced and is a potential improver, but newcomer Golden Mind, a half-brother to Group 1 winner Perfect Power, could prove the biggest threat. Richard Fahey's colt possesses plenty of speed in his pedigree and any support in the market would increase interest.
MOONSTONE BOY took a significant step forward from his debut when pulling well clear with a promising newcomer at Musselburgh a fortnight ago. With further improvement on the cards, Iain Jardine's charge can go a place better. Alice Haynes has made a good start to 2023 with her juveniles and Golden Arrow is put forward as the main danger ahead of fellow newcomer Golden Mind before market clues.
Having finished placed at Musselburgh on his first two starts, MOONSTONE BOY is taken to put his experience to good use.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (3.33/1 +63%) Royaume Uni |
3.33/1(+63%) | (1) Royaume Uni 3.33/1, Useful on Flat and reached a similar level over hurdles when winning a pair of handicaps in 2021/22. Good return to hurdling when second at this C&D (20.5f) in October but hasn't built on that since, failing to complete last 2 starts. Recent efforts uninspiring but he's capable of going well if ground is good or quicker. |
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2nd (3) (6.5/1 +19%) Ashington |
6.5/1(+19%) | (3) Ashington 6.5/1, Versatile performer who ran right up to his best when second in handicap hurdle at Sedgefield (16.8f) in January, shaping as if a return to further will suit. Outpaced when third of 5 over fences at Perth 18 days ago, so he can give another good account back up in trip. Drying ground will be in his favour but 0-8 for this yard; others preferred. |
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3rd (6) (3/1 +60%) Hasty Parisian |
3/1(+60%) | (6) Hasty Parisian 3/1, Consistent sort who again ran creditably when third of 7 in handicap hurdle at this course (3m1f) 21 days ago. Can give his running once more, but may just remain vulnerable for win purposes. Often runs well but only hurdle win came against three rivals in March 2022. |
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4th (2) (11/1 -57%) Hell Red |
11/1(-57%) | (2) Hell Red 11/1, Enjoyed a highly-productive spell in chases last summer and made it 5 wins from 7 starts over fences when successful at Fontwell (21.6f) last month, though he's beaten only 7 rivals in his handful of victories. Now returns to hurdling with cheekpieces on first time. Has mopped up in small-field chases in the last year; first hurdle start for 14 months. |
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5th (5) (3/1 -100%) Queens Rock |
3/1(-100%) | (5) Queens Rock 3/1, Runner-up on only start in Irish points/bumpers and went one better on her Southwell hurdling debut. Disappointing at Wetherby next time but, following a wind op, back on track when scoring easily on handicap bow at Doncaster (19.4f) in February. Leading contender. Easy Doncaster winner when last seen in February; up 11lb but plenty to like. |
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|F| (7) (4.5/1 +0%) Sami Bear |
4.5/1(+0%) | (7) Sami Bear 4.5/1, Made amends for a late mishap at Wincanton in February when returning to winning ways in handicap at Kempton (2m5f) 8 days later. After 12 weeks off, saddle slipped when in contention again at Kempton 13 days ago, so no surprise to see him quickly get back on track. Narrow Kempton winner two starts ago and good effort there since. |
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|PU| (4) (25/1 -178%) Master Debonair |
25/1(-178%) | (4) Master Debonair 25/1, Grade 2 novice hurdle winner at Ascot in 2019 who ran best race for Harry Fry when runner-up at Taunton in January 2022. Fourth-place finish in handicap at Ffos Las (2m4f) in January this year flanked by lesser efforts, but he lurks on a dangerous mark. Long time since he last won but not impossible off this mark. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Predicted finishing order: 1. 1.5/1 (5) QUEENS ROCK 2. 4.5/1 (7) SAMI BEAR 3. 9/1 (4) MASTER DEBONAIR
This could go the way of the unexposed QUEENS ROCK, who bolted up over an extended 2m3f at Doncaster on her most recent outing in February. She is rated 11lb higher for that success, but Nicky Henderson's six-year-old left the impression there is more in her locker and she is taken to add to her tally. Hell Red switches back to timber and is feared, while Ashington is another to bear in mind.
Having had a breathing operation, QUEENS ROCK scored with the minimum of fuss on her handicap debut at Doncaster in February and she's in top hands to progress further. The 6-y-o is taken to see off the challenge of Sami Bear, who can get back on track after his saddle slipped last time, while Ashington can also go well again back up in trip.
Unfortunate in two of his latest three starts, SAMI BEAR could still be on a fair mark.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (1.75/1 +7%) Saldier |
1.75/1(+7%) | (2) Saldier 1.75/1, Smart winner at 16f over hurdles. Made a winning chasing debut at Thurles in February but ran too badly to be true second time up in Grade 3 chase (9/1) at Naas (20f, soft) 9 weeks ago, struggling when mistake eighth. Cheekpieces back on and can get back on track. Smart hurdler; made bright start to chasing but well held in Grade 3 last time; big player. |
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2nd (8) (2/1 -6%) Vina Ardanza |
2/1(-6%) | (8) Vina Ardanza 2/1, Useful hurdler. 28/1, ran creditably without threatening when seventh of 22 in handicap hurdle at Aintree (24.7f, good) 29 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase. Looked set to win when falling late on chasing debut so can make amends. Consistent handicapper over hurdles who has the rating to feature; player getting weight. |
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3rd (4) (7/1 +68%) Caesar Rock |
7/1(+68%) | (4) Caesar Rock 7/1, Fairly useful chaser. Back on track when third of 5 in beginners chase (8/1) at Cork (20f, heavy) 7 months ago. More needed on return. Not won in six chase starts but been performing credibly; off 210 days; might need the run. |
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4th (7) (9/1 +44%) Summer Tide |
9/1(+44%) | (7) Summer Tide 9/1, Fairly useful hurdler. 9/2, tenth of 13 in handicap hurdle at this course (22.4f, good), badly hampered before 2 out and not given at all a hard time thereafter. Off 8 months. Makes chase debut. Makes chase debut; tenth in handicap hurdle at this track 265 days ago; best watched. |
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5th (1) (22/1 -57%) Mercury Lane |
22/1(-57%) | (1) Mercury Lane 22/1, Fairly useful chaser. Latest win at Wexford in March. Made no impression when eighth of 14 in handicap chase at Punchestown (31f, good to soft, 15/2) 15 days ago. Back down 1m in trip. Failed to land a blow upped in trip last time; this distance more suitable; place claims. |
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6th (5) (150/1 -50%) Iconic Flame |
150/1(-50%) | (5) Iconic Flame 150/1, Showed a bit more than on hurdling debut when eleventh of 18 in maiden hurdle at Tipperary (20.2f, soft, 150/1) 26 days ago. Makes chase debut. Makes chase debut; well held in a bumper and two hurdle starts so far; massive ask. |
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7th (6) (5/1 +44%) Perfect Attitude |
5/1(+44%) | (6) Perfect Attitude 5/1, Useful chaser. Unseated rider 4 out in minor event hurdle at Punchestown (19.8f, good to soft, 28/1) 18 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase. Can make presence felt. Good effort on last chase start back in September; can make presence felt back over fences. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
It is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well based on these brief summaries, as there is limited information provided. However, 1.88/1 (2) SALDIER and 8/1 (3) THE FLIER BEGLEY seem to be the strongest contenders based on their recent wins and previous form. 1.88/1 (8) VINA ARDANZA also has the potential to do well, as a consistent handicapper over hurdles who is switching to chase. Therefore, we predict the finishing order to be: 1) 1.88/1 (2) SALDIER, 2) 8/1 (3) THE FLIER BEGLEY, and 3) 1.88/1 (8) VINA ARDANZA.
SALDIER looks well treated by race conditions despite having to concede weight to all bar two rivals. The Willie Mullins-trained gelding, who was easily the best of these over hurdles, impressed with his jumping when making a successful chasing debut at Thurles in February. Although pulled up in Grade 3 company at Naas subsequently, that was clearly not his true running. A reproduction of his earlier form should see the nine-year-old return to winning ways. Vina Ardanza fell at this track on his chasing debut last August but has been a consistent handicapper at the highest level since reverting to hurdles. While he does need to put that initial mishap behind him, the six-year-old remains unexposed. Stablemate Perfect Attitude also disappointed over fences here last year but has since finished runner-up at Listowel.
VINA ARDANZA looked set to make a winning start in this sphere before departing at the last here back in August, so Gordon Elliott's 6-y-o gets the vote to make amends. One-time very smart hurdler Saldier made a winning chasing debut at Thurles in February and Willie Mullins' charge can get back on track after a lacklustre effort at Naas 9 weeks ago. Perfect Attitude and recent winner The Flier Begley can fight out third spot.
Gavin Cromwell's VINA ARDANZA has proved consistent over hurdles and is getting 6lb from his main rivals. He has a big shout
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Our Bill's Aunt |
(5) (8.5/1 -89%)8.5/1(-89%) | (5) Our Bill's Aunt 8.5/1, Made a successful handicap debut after 7 months off in ready fashion at Chepstow in November and ran well with the benefit of the run of things when runner-up back there (23.6f, good to soft) a month ago. A winning pointer, she's impossible to dismiss now chasing. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1st (7) (4.5/1 +31%) Lost Connections |
4.5/1(+31%) | (7) Lost Connections 4.5/1, Still looking for first success after 8 attempts (tried over a variety of trips) but fared about as well as could have been expected from 19 lb out of the handicap after 4 months off when third at Cheltenham (16.3f, good) last month. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (4) (4.5/1 +55%) Lime Drop |
4.5/1(+55%) | (4) Lime Drop 4.5/1, Five-time winner in 2021/22 and back to form when runner-up at Newbury on New Year's Eve. Not in the same form on both subsequent starts and the market can guide expectations now sent over the larger obstacles. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (1) (5/1 +0%) Marada |
5/1(+0%) | (1) Marada 5/1, Progressed well over hurdles during 2020/21 as she won novices at Hereford and Huntingdon (twice). However, absent 22 months following that campaign and struggled to make an impact in 4 starts last season. Needs this switch to chasing to spark a revival. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (6) (3.33/1 -11%) Maid On The Moon |
3.33/1(-11%) | (6) Maid On The Moon 3.33/1, Sole success came at Huntingdon 14 months ago. Best effort in handicaps last term when runner-up at Doncaster (19.4f, good) 3 months ago (unlucky to bump into one so far ahead of their mark) and booking of Cobden is a positive for this chasing bow. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (3) (6.5/1 -18%) Whatsdastory |
6.5/1(-18%) | (3) Whatsdastory 6.5/1, Hereford winner (20.9f) in October and she comes here having hit the crossbar on each of her last 3 starts in small field mares' handicaps. Entitled to be thereabouts again operating from a slightly lower mark. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|F| (2) (3.33/1 +39%) Mulberry Hill |
3.33/1(+39%) | (2) Mulberry Hill 3.33/1, Doubled her tally on the back of a wind op at Carlisle in October and was possibly in need of the outing after 6 months off at Cheltenham (20.2f, good) 24 days ago. Previously placed in Irish points so that augurs well for this chasing debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
It is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well based on the given information. However, some horses that stand out are 5.5/1 (3) WHATSDASTORY, 6.5/1 (7) LOST CONNECTIONS, and 4.5/1 (5) OUR BILL'S AUNT. Based on recent form, 5.5/1 (3) WHATSDASTORY has consistently hit the crossbar in small field mares' handicaps, while 6.5/1 (7) LOST CONNECTIONS performed well despite being out of the handicap at Cheltenham. 4.5/1 (5) OUR BILL'S AUNT also showed promise in her last two runs, winning her handicap debut and placing second in her last race. Therefore, these three horses are the most likely contenders for the top three places, with the exact order dependent on factors such as form, weight, and jockey booking.
MAID ON THE MOON lost little in defeat when second to the unexposed Queens Rock over hurdles at Doncaster in February and Alan King's mare looks the type who could relish these larger obstacles. Our Bill's Aunt is another chasing debutant who arrives in good form, and her latest 1lb rise for finishing runner-up at Chepstow shouldn't prevent a bold bid. Lost Connections also enters calculations.
Tough to be bullish with the majority making their chasing debuts, MULBERRY HILL selected to make a winning start in this sphere having previously been placed in a couple of Irish points in 2021 and Fergal O'Brien's charge should step up on her recent Cheltenham outing after 6 months off. Our Bill's Aunt won her sole start in points, so she's put forward as the main threat, ahead of the experienced Whatsdastory.
Top of the list is MARADA, who seems to be working her way back into form and is dropped in grade for her chasing debut.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (5/1 -25%) Quintus Arrius |
5/1(-25%) | (4) Quintus Arrius 5/1, Has improved for the addition of cheekpieces this year, winning 6f Newcastle novice in February and narrowly denied in a Pontefract handicap (6f, good to soft) 12 weeks later. 4 lb rise for that looks fair given he was well clear of the third. Should go well. Went very close on recent h'cap debut at Pontefract; in good hands to continue to progress. |
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2nd (6) (5.5/1 -57%) Mountain Warrior |
5.5/1(-57%) | (6) Mountain Warrior 5.5/1, Disappointed when sent off at 11/8 favourite for a Newcastle novice on his second start but showed why he was such a short price on that occasion when returning to win a 6f Southwell novice 8 months later. Can progress again now moving into handicap company. Won 6f AW novice last month; useful pedigree indicates he has potential off opening mark. |
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3rd (7) (14/1 -17%) Installation |
14/1(-17%) | (7) Installation 14/1, Opened account (dead heated) at third time of asking when taking 5f course novice last September. 25/1, didn't look at ease on the track when well held in Class 2 Newmarket handicap on reappearance so it might be worth forgiving him that. The visor he wore when winning here is back on. Well beaten on handicap/seasonal debut but the returning visor could be a plus. |
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4th (12) (9/1 -29%) Mereside Diva |
9/1(-29%) | (12) Mereside Diva 9/1, Not seen again at 2 after a 5f Musselburgh novice win in July but very nearly made light of a 9-month absence when neck second in 6f Doncaster handicap (soft) 15 days ago. Much respected nudged up 1 lb. Reappeared with a near-miss at Doncaster and there's every chance she has more to offer. |
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5th (3) (6.5/1 +35%) Hougoumont |
6.5/1(+35%) | (3) Hougoumont 6.5/1, Won a pair of 6f novices last autumn. Pulled too hard over 7f at York on final start but retains potential as a sprinter on this reappearance run. Won two of his four 2yo starts; gelded since; brings potential to this handicap debut. |
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6th (10) (9/1 +25%) Honour Your Dreams |
9/1(+25%) | (10) Honour Your Dreams 9/1, Suited by a return to sprinting when second of 8 at Thirsk (6f, heavy) on Thursday. Cheekpieces added now turned out again quickly. Back to form when second at Thirsk on Thursday and could again be thereabouts. |
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7th (11) (10/1 -11%) Kelpie Grey |
10/1(-11%) | (11) Kelpie Grey 10/1, Much better effort in handicaps for new yard when second of 6 in 7f Ayr handicap on Monday. Unexposed sort who could build on that. Good claimer takes 3 lb off. Back to form when 2nd at Ayr on Monday; a strongly run race at this trip may prove ideal. |
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8th (8) (4.5/1 +63%) Hour By Hour |
4.5/1(+63%) | (8) Hour By Hour 4.5/1, C&D winner at 2. Good close second of 7 in handicap at Pontefract (6f, heavy) on reappearance and did too much too soon when third over 7f at Leicester since. Return to 6f will suit. Went close over 6f on reappearance then didn't quite see out 7f a fortnight ago. |
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9th (5) (80/1 -60%) Hoof It Hoof It |
80/1(-60%) | (5) Hoof It Hoof It 80/1, Newbury novice win last August was easily his best effort in 6 outings for Richard Hannon at 2. Watching brief is advised on reappearance for new stable unless the betting strongly hints otherwise. Stable debut; won Newbury novice last August but others have more compelling credentials. |
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10th (2) (7/1 +36%) Braveheart Boy |
7/1(+36%) | (2) Braveheart Boy 7/1, Fairly useful and consistent sprint juvenile. Showed enough to suggest he retains his ability when fourth of 10 on Ripon reappearance (6f, heavy) 15 days ago, although he again didn't do himself any favour with a slowish start. Reappearance 4th at Ripon can be upgraded as he was slowly away; could have a part to play. |
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11th (13) (33/1 +50%) Cuban Rock |
33/1(+50%) | (13) Cuban Rock 33/1, Modest form and hard to derive much encouragement from his reappearance run at Musselburgh a fortnight ago. Hood on first time. Well beaten on recent comeback at Musselburgh; transformation needed in first-time hood. |
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12th (1) (40/1 -344%) Save The World |
40/1(-344%) | (1) Save The World 40/1, Progressive for Jane Chapple-Hyam at 2, winning heavy-ground 6f Nottingham novice in October. New yard acquired him for 30,000 gns later that month. Potential for better again but betting perhaps the best guide as to what's expected. Nottingham novice winner; makes handicap debut with new yard among the winners; a possible. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary provided, it is difficult to accurately predict which horse will finish in 1st, 2nd and 3rd place. It is important to consider factors such as the distance of the race, the track conditions, the jockey and trainer, and the horse's recent form and performance. It is recommended to conduct further research and analysis before making any predictions.
QUINTUS ARRIUS was headed in the dying strides on his handicap debut at Pontefract earlier in the month and he looks capable of defying a 4lb rise in the ratings. Hour By Hour appeared too keen to see out the 7f trip at Leicester and this C&D winner isn't to be taken lightly, while Mereside Diva arrives in good heart and is another to consider stepping up in class.
The strength behind MOUNTAIN WARRIOR in the betting on his last 2 novice runs suggests he's well regarded by the Ed Bethell stable and he can make a successful switch to handicap company. Quintus Arrius and Mereside Diva are feared most after near misses on their recent handicap debuts.
Having won two of his four 2yo starts, HOUGOUMONT (nap) brings potential to this 3yo campaign and earns the vote.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (3/1 -20%) Henschke |
3/1(-20%) | (3) Henschke 3/1, Won a 21f Ffos Las handicap in January. Failed to complete on next 3 outings but back on song when second at Warwick 17 days ago. Good chance if in similar form. Back to form with Warwick second last month; repeat gives decent claims. |
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2nd (5) (4/1 -45%) Call Of The Loon |
4/1(-45%) | (5) Call Of The Loon 4/1, Veteran who had a 1-26 record in Ireland but struck at just the second time of asking for his new stable at Stratford last August. Off since a good second at Fontwell the following month but he's gone well fresh before. Won on stable debut last August; narrow defeat the following month; absent since. |
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3rd (1) (2.25/1 +44%) Faustinovick |
2.25/1(+44%) | (1) Faustinovick 2.25/1, Finally got the job done when opening his account at Chepstow (3m, good to soft) in November. Mostly creditable efforts in defeat since and this is a bit less competitive than the Wincanton race he contested last time. Has finished all 19 chasing attempts but only one success; risky for win purposes. |
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|F| (2) (7.5/1 -150%) Dalkingstown |
7.5/1(-150%) | (2) Dalkingstown 7.5/1, Won a chase/hurdle over 23f at Worcester last June but off since a lesser run at Cartmel the following month. Watching brief is perhaps the percentage call given his length of time on the sidelines. Absent since July but has won when fresh and remains on a fair mark. |
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|PU| (4) (3.5/1 +59%) Imperial Hope |
3.5/1(+59%) | (4) Imperial Hope 3.5/1, Point/bumper winner who ran to a modest level in a trio of starts over hurdles in 2021/22 season. No impact in 2 handicap chases last season and arrives with a bit to prove. Up in trip. Not much in three chases and was pulled up latest; first attempt at this trip. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, the horse with the best chance of winning is probably 2.5/1 (3) HENSCHKE, followed closely by 2.75/1 (5) CALL OF THE LOON. 4/1 (1) FAUSTINOVICK may also have a chance of placing in the top three. 3/1 (2) DALKINGSTOWN's long absence from racing makes it uncertain how well he will perform, while 8.5/1 (4) IMPERIAL HOPE's lack of success in previous races and inexperience at this distance suggests he is unlikely to do well. The predicted order of finish is 1) 2.5/1 (3) HENSCHKE, 2) 2.75/1 (5) CALL OF THE LOON, 3) 4/1 (1) FAUSTINOVICK.
Henschke bounced back to form when finishing a good second at Warwick last month and although he merits respect from an unchanged mark, DALKINGSTOWN shades the vote. Peter Bowen's charge came up short on his hat-trick bid at Cartmel 300 days ago, but he has won following a similar absence in the past and remains fairly handicapped. Faustinovick continues to run well in defeat and is likely to be on the premises once more.
CALL OF THE LOON is a veteran but he made a good start for the Christian Williams yard last summer and has gone well fresh before so he earns the vote. Henschke has a bit of a patchy record but will be a big danger if reproducing the level of his latest Warwick second.
After his return to form at Warwick, HENSCHKE is taken to gain a second chasing success.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (1.2/1 +26%) Hauturiere |
1.2/1(+26%) | (5) Hauturiere 1.2/1, Useful hurdler. Two wins from 5 runs last season. Latest win in hurdle at Punchestown in February. Interesting chasing newcomer for top yard. Chase debut; useful hurdler; fourth in Grade 1 mares novice hurdle last month; player. |
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2nd (3) (4.5/1 +10%) Eabha Grace |
4.5/1(+10%) | (3) Eabha Grace 4.5/1, Useful hurdler. Latest win in hurdle at Limerick in March. Pulled up at Fairyhouse last time but still not taken lightly now her chase debut. Chase debut; won Grade 3 at Limerick on penultimate start; will be in the mix at her best. |
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3rd (9) (2.5/1 -33%) Roseys Hollow |
2.5/1(-33%) | (9) Roseys Hollow 2.5/1, Useful hurdler/chaser. Off 5 months before fell 3rd in novice chase at Ballinrobe (17f, good to soft, 10/3) 12 days ago. Holds solid claims. Last seen taking an awkward fall but her form at Cork has worked out well; big chance. |
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4th (10) (12/1 +25%) Shannon Glory |
12/1(+25%) | (10) Shannon Glory 12/1, Fairly useful hurdler. Two wins from 6 runs last season. 25/1, eleventh of 12 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (24.5f, soft) 36 days ago. Makes chase debut and can't be dismissed. Chase debut; course winner over hurdles; below form last day and needs to find improvement. |
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5th (7) (50/1 +75%) Must Be Dreaming |
50/1(+75%) | (7) Must Be Dreaming 50/1, Fair winner at 17f over hurdles. Fifth of 14 in novice chase at Tramore (21.7f, good to soft, 13/2) on debut over fences 27 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time with more needed. Decent start to chase career when fifth Tramore last month; this much tougher. |
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6th (4) (7/1 -17%) Happy D'ex |
7/1(-17%) | (4) Happy D'ex 7/1, Fairly useful chaser. 7/4, respectable second of 7 in novice chase at Kilbeggan (19.4f, good to soft) 23 days ago, no match for winner. Firmly in the picture. Ran to a decent level over fences in fourt starts so far, might find a few too good again. |
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7th (2) (40/1 +20%) Delante |
40/1(+20%) | (2) Delante 40/1, Fair hurdler. Below form twelfth of 22 in handicap hurdle (150/1) at Leopardstown (17.7f, good to soft) 98 days ago. Makes chase debut. Respected. Makes chase debut; decent effort on last start over hurdles but needs a big step forward. |
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8th (8) (100/1 +0%) Quarry Lil |
100/1(+0%) | (8) Quarry Lil 100/1, Modest chaser. 40/1, sixth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Ballinrobe (21.1f, good to soft) 12 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase. Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. Below form sixth at Ballinrobe over hurdles last time; will find life tough in this field. |
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9th (6) (150/1 +40%) Milfordfourthree |
150/1(+40%) | (6) Milfordfourthree 150/1, Poor hurdler. 50/1 and blinkered for 1st time, tenth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Bellewstown (20f, good to firm). Off 8 months. Makes chase debut and needs to hit the ground running. Makes chase debut; hasn't made much of an impact under Rules in eight starts; big ask. |
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10th (1) (100/1 +50%) Chelseas Friend |
100/1(+50%) | (1) Chelseas Friend 100/1, Fair chaser. Creditable fourth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Ballinrobe (21.1f, good to soft, 17/2) 12 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase. Twelve runs since last win in 2021. Decent efforts in handicap hurdles since last chase outing but this looks a step too far. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Prediction: 1.63/1 (5) HAUTURIERE is likely to do well based on her impressive hurdling record and fourth-place finish in a Grade 1 mares novice hurdle last month. 5/1 (3) EABHA GRACE also has a strong chance, having won a Grade 3 at Limerick on her penultimate start and not to be dismissed despite being pulled up at Fairyhouse last time. 6/1 (4) HAPPY D'EX could potentially finish in third place, as he has shown decent form over fences in his four starts so far.
ROSEYS HOLLOW may be able to put her previous chasing experience to good use here to see off a pair of Willie Mullins-trained chasing newcomers. A former Grade 3 winner over hurdles, the nine-year-old has shown definite promise in five starts since switching to fences and that can prove the decisive factor here. The Jonathan Sweeney-trained mare was marginally the best of these over hurdles but will need to be at her peak in this competitive event. Hauturiere impressed when winning in Listed class over hurdles at Punchestown in February before finishing runner-up to stablemate Eabha Grace next time. However, the daughter of No Risk At All comprehensively overturned that form when the pair met again in Grade 1 company at Fairyhouse last month. While Eabha Grace is almost certainly better than that form implies, she has work to do now.
Willie Mullins looks to hold a strong hand and his useful hurdler HAUTURIERE is taken to go in at the first time of asking over fences and edge out stablemate Eabha Grace, who also starts out chasing with plenty to recommend her. Roseys Hollow and Happy d'Ex can fight it out for minor honours.
An intriguing mares contest where ROSEYS HOLLOW can put her chasing experience to good use and get off the mark over fences.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (11) (6.5/1 +19%) Happy Index |
6.5/1(+19%) | (11) Happy Index 6.5/1, Well-bred mare who made much more impact than previously from a lowly opening mark when fourth of 13 in handicap at this C&D 18 days ago, Remains early days as she makes only her second start in a handicap (1 lb out of the weights). Kept on well for close fourth over C&D on last month's handicap debut; may yet do better. |
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2nd (6) (5.5/1 +31%) Dellboy Trotter |
5.5/1(+31%) | (6) Dellboy Trotter 5.5/1, Recorded back-to-back handicap wins at Market Rasen (20.6f) in June last year. Held his form well subsequently and possibly still needed the run when mid-field at Warwick (3m1f) 13 days ago. Could fare better back down in trip. Not quite at best this spring but his current mark is workable; enters calculations. |
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3rd (1) (7/1 -211%) Dynamic Kate |
7/1(-211%) | (1) Dynamic Kate 7/1, Showed much improved form in 2022/23, scoring twice in handicaps at Fontwell (both at 21.7f). Continued in good heart at Stratford when last seen in October, keeping on in second when falling at the last, and she's respected on her return from 7 months off. Won twice last summer but absent since a heavy fall in October. |
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4th (9) (6.5/1 +0%) Hollow Ron |
6.5/1(+0%) | (9) Hollow Ron 6.5/1, Won sole start in points but made little impact in a trio of novice hurdles last year. However, after 4 months off showed more than previously under Rules when third of 7 on handicap debut at Bangor (16.7f) in March. Could have more to offer upped in trip. Moves up in trip after promising handicap debut over 2m; still has potential. |
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5th (4) (9/1 +0%) Say Nothing |
9/1(+0%) | (4) Say Nothing 9/1, Following another wind op and with blinkers on first-time, ran better than for a while when mid-field in handicap at Plumpton in September. Backed up that effort when second at Hereford (19.7f) the following month, but not in the same form at Huntingdon when last seen. Went close at Hereford in October but absent since lesser effort the following month. |
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6th (2) (4.5/1 +10%) Pumpkin's Pride |
4.5/1(+10%) | (2) Pumpkin's Pride 4.5/1, Having failed to complete on his first 3 starts in handicap hurdles, took a big step back in the right direction when third of 13 at Doncaster (19.4f) in February, rallying well passing the last. Step up in trip should suit and can open his account. Failed to complete first three handicaps but stayed on for third at Doncaster last time. |
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7th (3) (22/1 -22%) Moytier |
22/1(-22%) | (3) Moytier 22/1, Fair form when placed both starts over hurdles in France in 2020/21 but, after 23 months off, well below that level in a couple of starts for current yard this year. Up in trip for his handicap debut. Displayed minor promise on first two British starts; up in trip for today's handicap debut. |
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8th (8) (10/1 +44%) Diamond Rose |
10/1(+44%) | (8) Diamond Rose 10/1, It's now 21 runs since her last win in 2019, but back over hurdles she ran better for a while when fourth of 14 in handicap at Warwick (2m5f) 13 days ago. Task is now to build on that effort. Ran quite well last month, after a break, but overall profile remains unappealing. |
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9th (7) (14/1 +44%) Rocket Robbo |
14/1(+44%) | (7) Rocket Robbo 14/1, Modest form at best over hurdles and has failed to complete on his last 2 outings, in first-time tongue tie when pulled up at Haydock last month. Makes limited appeal. Ran poorly when upped to 3m last month and has now been unplaced all eight hurdle starts. |
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10th (5) (8.5/1 +6%) Sinister Minister |
8.5/1(+6%) | (5) Sinister Minister 8.5/1, After 8 months off, proved that he retains his ability when runner-up in handicap at Worcester (2m4f) in October, showing his first form for his current yard. However, shaped as if all was not well when pulled up at Hereford on his next outing in March. Seemed to have turned a corner in October but returned from break with poor run in March. |
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11th (10) (12/1 +33%) Rebel Mc |
12/1(+33%) | (10) Rebel Mc 12/1, Offered little in novice hurdles and on his first start in a handicap, but with a hood applied he made late headway when finishing fifth of 10 in handicap at Bangor (16.7f) last month. More needed, but this longer trip should help. Unable to land a telling blow at Bangor last month; stable's other runner appeals more. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
1st: 5/1 (2) PUMPKIN'S PRIDE 2nd: 2.25/1 (1) DYNAMIC KATE 3rd: 6.5/1 (9) HOLLOW RON
DYNAMIC KATE may have been second best when falling at the last flight at Stratford in October, but with the winner of that contest subsequently scoring again, a 4lb rise looks more than fair. The selection does have her well-being to prove after a 223-day absence, which may give some hope to connections of Happy Index, who offered plenty of encouragement when finishing fourth on her handicap debut here last month. Pumpkin's Pride and Say Nothing complete the shortlist.
PUMPKIN'S PRIDE took a big step back in the right direction when third at Doncaster in February, shaping as if ready for a step up in trip, so he can build on that effort to open his account this time around. Dynamic Kate showed much improved form in 2022/23 and is feared most on her return, ahead of Dellboy Trotter.
Today's step up in trip may bring about the necessary improvement from HOLLOW RON, who shaped quite well over 2m on his handicap debut.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (3/1 +63%) My Little Queens |
3/1(+63%) | (6) My Little Queens 3/1, Returned with 1m2f success at Chelmsford City and backed it up with a good second of 9 at Doncaster (1m2f) 16 days ago. In the mix off an unchanged mark. Improved form on her two runs last month and this course winner could be in the mix. |
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2nd (3) (3.33/1 +5%) Nigwa |
3.33/1(+5%) | (3) Nigwa 3.33/1, Fair 1m2f Ripon winner at 3 who resumed with a promising fifth in 1m handicap at Newcastle in March, not enjoying the clearest of runs. Still lightly raced and weighted to go well here. Fair fifth in her two handicaps and there can be optimism she is capable of better. |
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3rd (10) (18/1 -29%) Balalaika |
18/1(-29%) | (10) Balalaika 18/1, 7f Newcastle maiden winner in September who resumed with an excellent third of 6 in 1m handicap at Southwell 30 days ago. In the picture off the same mark. Close third on last month's handicap debut and this 3yo is open to further improvement. |
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4th (12) (12/1 +52%) Sophiesticate |
12/1(+52%) | (12) Sophiesticate 12/1, Dual winner last August who arrives in good nick, fourth of 9 in handicap at Ayr (10f) 6 days ago. Possibilities. The drop back in trip is worth exploring and she's an each-way possible. |
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5th (13) (10/1 -82%) Centre Court |
10/1(-82%) | (13) Centre Court 10/1, Took her form up a notch when making all in 1m handicap at Newcastle in April but she beat only one back on turf at Ripon (1m) 24 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Won on AW two starts ago and perhaps soft ground didn't suit at Ripon subsequently. |
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6th (4) (20/1 -208%) Zarabanda |
20/1(-208%) | (4) Zarabanda 20/1, Lightly-raced Teofilo filly who landed 1m Redcar novice in October. Run best ignored (raced on unfavoured outside rail) in Doncaster listed event following month. Remains with a fair bit of potential on her handicap debut. Very lightly raced 4yo who has potential off opening mark in view of her novice win. |
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7th (8) (12/1 -9%) Crown Princess |
12/1(-9%) | (8) Crown Princess 12/1, Took this contest 12 months ago and she resumed after 7 months off/wind op with an encouraging seventh of 11 in handicap at Beverley (8.4f, good to soft) 17 days ago. Considered off an easing mark. Reasonable comeback run and now 2lb lower than when winning this last year; respected. |
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8th (5) (14/1 +13%) Celtic Empress |
14/1(+13%) | (5) Celtic Empress 14/1, Course winner who shaped as if in need of the run when sixth of 12 in 1m handicap at Musselburgh 14 days ago. Can build on it now. Won twice last season but was soundly beaten on reappearance run at Musselburgh. |
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9th (11) (50/1 -52%) A La Francaise |
50/1(-52%) | (11) A La Francaise 50/1, Course winner who wasn't at her best after 7 months off when eighth of 14 in handicap at Musselburgh (12.5f, soft) 14 days ago. Back down in trip and should strip fitter now. Hasn't shone the last twice and is probably best watched now back down in trip. |
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10th (1) (33/1 -200%) Casilli |
33/1(-200%) | (1) Casilli 33/1, Bagged a fifth success at Beverley in 8.5f handicap last July. Effective over this longer trip and she has a good record when fresh so can't be discounted after her absence. Beverley brings out her best but she can run well elsewhere & has good reappearance record. |
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11th (14) (22/1 +12%) Graces Quest |
22/1(+12%) | (14) Graces Quest 22/1, Got back on track after 8 months off when fourth of 8 in handicap at Ayr (10f, good to firm) 10 days ago. A dual scorer in 2022 so can't be dismissed. Doubt regarding drop back in trip but not discounted after encouraging reappearance run. |
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12th (9) (12/1 -20%) Invisible Friend |
12/1(-20%) | (9) Invisible Friend 12/1, Sea The Stars filly who got off the mark in 1m1f Carlisle novice in August. Still looked green on her handicap bow when fading fourth of nine at Doncaster (1m2f) 16 days ago. Can take a step forward here. Soundly beaten last month when back from absence, but unexposed and has useful pedigree. |
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13th (7) (8/1 +43%) Vindobala |
8/1(+43%) | (7) Vindobala 8/1, Scored at Newcastle (7f) in February and not disgraced when fifth of 12 in 1m handicap at Musselburgh 14 days ago. Unreliable type overall, though. Creditable third in this last year but no impact at Musselburgh latest; now 1-16 on turf. |
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14th (2) (20/1 -43%) Scotch Mistress |
20/1(-43%) | (2) Scotch Mistress 20/1, Kickstarted 2022 with 7.5f Beverley success and kept her form well after. Yard among the winners so she's in the mix on her return. First run of 2023; won on last year's reappearance and pretty consistent subsequently. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st - 8/1 (6) MY LITTLE QUEENS 2nd - 3.5/1 (3) NIGWA 3rd - 11/1 (8) CROWN PRINCESS
MY LITTLE QUEENS' stamina appeared stretched by the 1m2f trip in underfoot conditions when runner-up at Doncaster last month and with conditions unlikely to be too dissimilar here, the drop to 1m1f could prove the tonic. Casilli recorded a career-best performance when successful at Beverley in July and the six-year-old mare could have a say in proceedings now only 4lb higher on her return. The lightly-raced Zarabanda makes most appeal of the remainder.
A highly competitive handicap with NIGWA fancied to take another step forward and come out on top. She made an encouraging comeback at Newcastle and likely has more to offer for a yard enjoying a good season. Zarabanda is a big player on her handicap debut, while My Little Queens and Crown Princess are a couple of the other more interesting ones.
This could go to last year's winner CROWN PRINCESS, who is now 2lb lower and can build on her fair reappearance run at Beverley.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (1/1 +0%) A Tickatickatiming |
1/1(+0%) | (6) A Tickatickatiming 1/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Attracted supported and got back on track when second of 7 in bumper (6/1) at this C&D (soft) 21 days ago, having run of race. The one to beat. Placed in all three starts and her close C&D second last month sets the standard. |
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2nd (5) (14/1 -17%) Stowford |
14/1(-17%) | (5) Stowford 14/1, €13,000 3-y-o, Cloudings gelding. Brother to fairly useful 23f hurdle winner Barrowdale, and half-brother to 3 winners, including ungenuine but smart hurdler/useful chaser Wymott. Runner-up sole start in point bumpers. Second in a point bumper in March, for this trainer. |
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3rd (2) (11/1 -38%) Buck Of Maine |
11/1(-38%) | (2) Buck Of Maine 11/1, Buck's Boum gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including fair French hurdler Ecos de L'Orme and fairly useful French hurdler/useful chaser Net d'Ecosse, stayed 25f. Quiet spell for yard. Half-brother to three winners but trainer has modest record in bumpers. |
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4th (3) (40/1 -21%) Golden Identity |
40/1(-21%) | (3) Golden Identity 40/1, Kayf Tara gelding. Dam useful 2m-2½m hurdle winner. Looked one for longer term when seventh of 9 in bumper (11/1) at Bangor (16.7f, good to firm) on debut 22 days ago. Market support but well beaten on debut last month. |
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5th (4) (4/1 +27%) Mountain Pass |
4/1(+27%) | (4) Mountain Pass 4/1, Kingston Hill gelding. Half-brother to fair hurdler/chaser To The Sky. Dam, 2-y-o 5f winner, half-sister to useful hurdler/fairly useful chaser (stayed 2¼m) Raise Your Heart. Yard's bumper runners are respected. Half-brother to two winners; trainer has respectable record in bumpers. |
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6th (7) (3.33/1 +17%) Mikhaila |
3.33/1(+17%) | (7) Mikhaila 3.33/1, €26,000 3-y-o, Sholokhov mare. Dam, maiden jumper (stayed 2½m), half-sister to useful hurdler/top-class chaser (stayed 3¼m) Carlingford Lough. Noteworthy newcomer. Newcomer; some appeal on paper and cost 26,000euros; could figure. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
1st: 1/1 (6) A TICKATICKATIMING 2nd: 16/1 (1) AMI BONDHU 3rd: 5.5/1 (4) MOUNTAIN PASS
A TICKATICKATIMING is yet to finish out of the places from her three starts in bumpers and this presents the ideal opportunity for the Sixties Icon mare to get her head in front. Mikhaila and Buck Of Maine make appeal on paper and both warrant a market check ahead of their respective debuts, while recent point-to-point runner-up Stowford may also possess the ability to play a leading role.
A TICKATICKATIMING sets a clear standard on the back of her recent second here, with newcomers Mikhaila and Mountain Pass perhaps likeliest to pose a threat.
Last month's C&D runner-up A TICKATICKATIMING sets the standard.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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O'Toole |
(4) (5/1 +0%)5/1(+0%) | (4) O'Toole 5/1, One win from 2 runs last season. 7/2, 5 lengths second of 4 to City Chief in Towton Novices' Chase at Wetherby (24.2f, good to soft) 99 days ago. Shortlist material. Lightly-raced chaser, very good effort at Wetherby last time; likeable profile; big chance. |
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1st (13) (16/1 +36%) Pont Aval |
16/1(+36%) | (13) Pont Aval 16/1, 14/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, pulled up in handicap chase at Punchestown (21.2f, good to soft) 17 days ago. Up in trip. Trainer going well. Others more persuasive. Useful winner over hurdles; pulled up last time out over fences; trip might stretch her. |
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2nd (14) (9/1 +18%) Gateau De Miel |
9/1(+18%) | (14) Gateau De Miel 9/1, Latest win in chase at Fairyhouse in November. Below form sixth of 12 in handicap chase at Fairyhouse (24.6f, soft, 7/1) 34 days ago. Not completely dismissed. Failed to build on impressive beginners chase win last November; needs improvement. |
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3rd (6) (25/1 -25%) Definite Plan |
25/1(-25%) | (6) Definite Plan 25/1, Unreliable type. 17/2, pulled up in handicap chase at Cheltenham (26f, good) 25 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Others make more appeal. Bounced back to form at Navan but disappointed last time out; needs to jump better. |
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4th (7) (12/1 +45%) Egality Mans |
12/1(+45%) | (7) Egality Mans 12/1, Respectable fifth of 9 in handicap chase (10/1) at Punchestown (21.2f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Should give another good account. Been out of form this season; step up in trip will suit but jumping needs to improve. |
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5th (1) (5/1 +23%) Ramillies |
5/1(+23%) | (1) Ramillies 5/1, Latest win in chase at Thurles in December. Ninth of 12 in handicap chase (5/2) at Punchestown (24f, good to soft) 15 days ago, folding tamely. Needs to bounce back. Taken to fences well but underwhelmed when ninth at Punchestown last time; big player. |
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6th (9) (14/1 -75%) Everglow |
14/1(-75%) | (9) Everglow 14/1, Fell in handicap chase (16/1) at Punchestown (31f, good to soft) 15 days ago. Others more persuasive. Looked to running well before coming down three out the last day; interesting contender. |
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7th (15) (33/1 +0%) Midnight Maestro |
33/1(+0%) | (15) Midnight Maestro 33/1, Sixth of 14 in minor event chase (14/1) at Punchestown (25f, good to soft) 15 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Others make more appeal. Failed to make an impact over the banks at Punchestown; tough ask 4lb out of the handicap. |
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|F| (11) (6/1 +0%) Ballykeel |
6/1(+0%) | (11) Ballykeel 6/1, Latest win in chase at Fairyhouse in February. 8/1, creditable second of 12 in handicap chase at Punchestown (24f, good to soft) 15 days ago. Likely to be on the premises once more. Failed to land blow in the Kim Muir but excellent second at Punchestown since; big chance. |
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|F| (5) (11/1 +21%) Birchdale |
11/1(+21%) | (5) Birchdale 11/1, Below form fifth of 14 in minor event chase (3/1) at Punchestown (25f, good to soft) 15 days ago. Blinkers back on. Dangerous if scaling a revival. Likeable chaser but out of form on last three starts; given chance by handicapper. |
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|F| (17) (33/1 +34%) Influential Lady |
33/1(+34%) | (17) Influential Lady 33/1, Second of 12 in handicap chase at Punchestown (21.2f, good to soft, 40/1) 17 days ago. Back up in trip. RESERVE. Second reserve; step in the right direction at Punchestown last time out; big ask. |
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|PU| (16) (4.5/1 +47%) Emancipator |
4.5/1(+47%) | (16) Emancipator 4.5/1, Two wins from 6 runs last season. Latest win in chase at Clonmel in April. Fell in handicap chase at Punchestown (31f, good to soft, 5/1) 15 days ago, might have been placed. RESERVE. First reserve; was running a decent race before falling at Punchestown; has a squeak. |
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|PU| (3) (8/1 +50%) Gallant John Joe |
8/1(+50%) | (3) Gallant John Joe 8/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2019. Creditable third of 9 in handicap chase at Punchestown (21.2f, good to soft, 15/2) 18 days ago. Up in trip. Not taken lightly. Yet to win over fences but posted a good third last time out; dry ground suits. |
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|PU| (12) (9/1 -13%) Routine Excellence |
9/1(-13%) | (12) Routine Excellence 9/1, Latest win in chase at Thurles in March. Good second of 10 in handicap chase (13/2) at Fairyhouse (21.7f, good to soft) 36 days ago. Should go well again. Lightly-raced chaser who ran two career bests lately; trip likely to suit and has claims. |
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|PU| (10) (14/1 +0%) Pat Coyne |
14/1(+0%) | (10) Pat Coyne 14/1, 6/1, didn't need to improve to win 11-runner handicap hurdle at Tramore (20.6f, good to soft) 27 days ago, kept up to work. Switches from hurdles to chase. Up in trip. Merits respect. Won hurdle race last month as prep for this, won three chase starts; player on good ground. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
It is difficult to predict a clear winner from this summary, but some horses that could potentially finish in the top three are 5/1 (4) O'TOOLE, 6/1 (11) BALLYKEEL, and 8/1 (12) ROUTINE EXCELLENCE.
It could prove significant that Daryl Jacob makes the journey to Killarney for just the sole ride on former Grade 1 bumper horse O'TOOLE. The seven-year-old made a very pleasing chasing debut at Wetherby in January, before doing little wrong when runner-up in a Grade 2 at Wetherby last time. Lightly raced and completely unexposed over fences, the Stuart Crawford-trained gelding looks nicely handicapped off a mark of 133. Ballykeel arrives here in good form having gone close in a competitive handicap at Punchestown last month. The Presenting gelding, who has been a model of consistency since going chasing, looks almost certain to play a leading role. Willie Mullins-trained topweights in races such as this are always to be feared, so Ramillies deserves close consideration.
BALLYKEEL was collared late at Punchestown last time but shaped as if comfortably ahead of his mark for most of the way, so he gets the narrow vote in this competitive event. Routine Excellence is a big danger and En Beton looks interesting back from an absence.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (5/1 +41%) Scrum Diddly |
5/1(+41%) | (2) Scrum Diddly 5/1, Placed on completed start in Irish points and has shaped like a stayer in a trio of novice hurdle outings, so could make more impact up in trip with cheekpieces applied for handicap debut. Safely held in novice hurdles; up in trip and fitted with cheekpieces for handicap debut. |
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2nd (1) (1.62/1 +1%) The Bold Thady |
1.62/1(+1%) | (1) The Bold Thady 1.62/1, Unreliable individual ran close to his best when third of 7 in handicap hurdle at Plumpton (25f, soft) 21 days ago, though again carried head awkwardly and hung left. Has the ability to score here if quirks are kept in check. 0-10 over hurdles but has made the frame in six consecutive handicaps; in the mix. |
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3rd (5) (3.2/1 -42%) Imprevu Du Large |
3.2/1(-42%) | (5) Imprevu Du Large 3.2/1, Little encouragement taken from his bumper start or a trio of hurdle outings but is in very good hands and may do better now sent handicapping. Beaten upwards of 42l in three qualifying runs; rare runner off such a low mark for stable. |
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4th (4) (2.75/1 +66%) Champagne Gift |
2.75/1(+66%) | (4) Champagne Gift 2.75/1, Never involved in trio of novice hurdles but this significantly longer trip promises to suit and he could make more impact on his handicap debut. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Struggled to get competitive in novice hurdles but worth a glance in the betting here. |
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5th (7) (28/1 +15%) Chain Smoker |
28/1(+15%) | (7) Chain Smoker 28/1, Limited hurdler/chaser who is hard to fancy. Last season was a struggle and he's 5lb out of the weights here. |
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|PU| (6) (18/1 +10%) Midnightinbresil |
18/1(+10%) | (6) Midnightinbresil 18/1, Well beaten in bumpers and has fared no better over hurdles, including when tongue tied after a breathing operation last time. Makes handicap debut from just out of weights. Pulled up on first two hurdling starts and only seventh of eight when completing last time. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
It is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well based on these summaries, but 1.63/1 (1) THE BOLD THADY seems to have the best chance as it has made the frame in six consecutive handicaps and ran close to its best in its last race. Therefore, 1.63/1 (1) THE BOLD THADY is predicted to finish in 1st or 2nd place. In 2nd or 3rd place, 8.5/1 (2) SCRUM DIDDLY could make an impact with cheekpieces applied for handicap debut and having shaped like a stayer in its last three outings. And for the 3rd or 4th place, 8/1 (4) CHAMPAGNE GIFT is worth a glance in the betting as it could make more impact with the significantly longer trip promising to suit it and with the cheekpieces on for the first time.
THE BOLD THADY returned to form with a solid third at Plumpton last month and Neil Mulholland's gelding looks to have been found a suitable opportunity to gain a first success. Imprevu Du Large hasn't offered much in three appearances over hurdles since January, but a better showing is expected now he's up in trip for his handicap debut. Connections of Realm Of Glory reach for first-time cheekpieces and he may also have a say in proceedings.
IMPREVU DU LARGE is rare for a horse from the Paul Nicholls yard in that he has been given such a lowly opening mark and a chance is taken that he'll fare better now handicapping. The Bold Thady probably sets the standard in form terms but he is an irresolute beast and can't be fully trusted to get the job done even against inferior opposition. Scrum Diddly may now do better up in trip and completes the shortlist.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (3/1 +25%) Pisanello |
3/1(+25%) | (6) Pisanello 3/1, Is highly consistent and shaped well when second at Thirsk on reappearance, never nearer. Type to be suited by a well-run race and could prevail. Reappeared with fine second in the Thirsk Hunt Cup and a win could be imminent. |
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2nd (5) (6/1 +40%) What's The Story |
6/1(+40%) | (5) What's The Story 6/1, Usually gives his running and was a bit better than the result at Wolverhampton a couple of months ago. Not discounted from a fair mark. 9yo who isn't the force of old but has dropped to a dangerous mark and isn't written off. |
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3rd (11) (9/1 +36%) Mostawaa |
9/1(+36%) | (11) Mostawaa 9/1, Down to a handy mark and shaped as if better for the run when sixth at Kempton on return. Blinkers refitted and no surprise to see him go well. Return to form needed but can't be ruled out now 6lb lower than when 2nd in this last year. |
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4th (2) (6.5/1 +7%) Dutch Decoy |
6.5/1(+7%) | (2) Dutch Decoy 6.5/1, Five-time 7f/1m winner in 2022 and has run with credit on both outings this term, fifth of 17 at Newmarket 8 days ago. Should give another good account. Back down to last winning mark and the fact he's 2-2 here very much heightens interest. |
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5th (7) (6.5/1 -18%) Shaladar |
6.5/1(-18%) | (7) Shaladar 6.5/1, C&D winner who travelled well when second at Redcar on return. Needs more to defy this mark but may well make a better 4yo, so he's worth considering. Three wins last year and returned with solid second; looks set for another good campaign. |
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6th (1) (7/1 +0%) On A Session |
7/1(+0%) | (1) On A Session 7/1, Useful sort who capitalised on a drop in grade in cosy fashion at Musselburgh a fortnight ago. Remains well treated on old form and should be thereabouts. Capitalised on a reduced mark at Musselburgh and remains well treated back up 6lb. |
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7th (10) (12/1 +14%) Perseverants |
12/1(+14%) | (10) Perseverants 12/1, Winner at Wolverhampton in February and back to form when second at Ripon last time. Likely to be on the premises. Soft-ground runner-up on two of his last three starts and could be thereabouts. |
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8th (8) (28/1 +30%) Tilsitt |
28/1(+30%) | (8) Tilsitt 28/1, 23¼ lengths tenth of 12 to On A Session in handicap at Musselburgh (7.2f, soft, 33/1) 14 days ago. On a reasonable mark and should be closer to form now back up to a more suitable distance. Well beaten on reappearance but over inadequate 7f; no forlorn hope off last winning mark. |
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9th (12) (33/1 -50%) Yaaser |
33/1(-50%) | (12) Yaaser 33/1, Four wins from 15 runs in a very productive 2022. Poor start for the new campaign but might be more up to speed after a couple of runs. Needs to get back on track but may stage a revival when returned to better ground. |
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10th (14) (10/1 +17%) Ravenglass |
10/1(+17%) | (14) Ravenglass 10/1, Consistent sort who arrives on the back of a creditable run when third at Pontefract last time. Wide draw not ideal, but could get involved if things drop right. Good third on both runs this year and every chance he'll be bang there. |
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11th (9) (40/1 -100%) Cisco Disco |
40/1(-100%) | (9) Cisco Disco 40/1, Ended last season with a poor run and didn't fire on Ripon reappearance. Could strip fitter for that, however. In fine form on turf last autumn in the visor; not so good last month in these cheekpieces. |
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12th (3) (20/1 -67%) Young Fire |
20/1(-67%) | (3) Young Fire 20/1, Useful handicapper on turf and did well to overcome a poor position to defy his lower AW mark at Newcastle 5 days ago. Penalty makes life tougher, though. Exploited lower AW mark at Newcastle on Tuesday; this is tougher but he's not ruled out. |
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13th (13) (80/1 -142%) Poet's Dawn |
80/1(-142%) | (13) Poet's Dawn 80/1, Likeable type who made a solid return and can have his latest effort at Ripon excused. Others look better treated but he's likely to be back on his game. Down the field last time but promising reappearance previously; shouldn't be dismissed. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
1st - 4/1 (6) PISANELLO, 2nd - 6.5/1 (2) DUTCH DECOY, 3rd - 14/1 (11) MOSTAWAA
Ravenglass could surprise a few from the bottom of the weights, but he may still struggle to cope with PISANELLO, who was beaten less than a length when second on his return in the Thirsk Hunt Cup, despite making a slow start. Only put up 1lb for that effort, he may prove too good for these, while Dutch Decoy is yet to taste defeat at the track after two starts and is another for the shortlist following a solid effort at Newmarket last Saturday.
A very tricky event in which the tentative choice goes to PISANELLO who usually runs his race and should have the circumstances to suit his patient style. On A Session and Shaladar are two of several others with feasible claims.
Preference is for DUTCH DECOY, who is 2-2 at Hamilton and runs off his last winning mark. Pisanello is next best.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (14/1 -75%) Big Dispute |
14/1(-75%) | (1) Big Dispute 14/1, €13,500 3-y-o, French Navy gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including fairly useful hurdler The Nutcracker. Dam 2-y-o 5f winner. Plenty of winners in the family; trainer 1-11 in bumpers last five seasons; check market. |
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2nd (12) (28/1 +15%) Wrecking Ballbilly |
28/1(+15%) | (12) Wrecking Ballbilly 28/1, Youmzain gelding. Dam point winner. Best watched for yard who don't usually target bumpers.. |
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3rd (9) (1.2/1 +20%) My Great Mate |
1.2/1(+20%) | (9) My Great Mate 1.2/1, Jukebox Jury gelding. Closely related to bumper winner/useful hurdler Ashroe Diamond, and half-brother to 2 winners, including bumper winner Take Tea. Obvious claims on paper. Half-brother to recent Grade 1 winner Ashroe Diamond and looks set to play a leading role. |
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4th (14) (3.5/1 +78%) Lionnar |
3.5/1(+78%) | (14) Lionnar 3.5/1, Walk In The Park filly. Dam unraced half-sister to bumper winner/useful hurdler (2m-21f winner) Lunar Display. Wears hood. Half-sister to yard's useful performer Lunar Display; could have a say for leading trainer. |
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5th (6) (7/1 -8%) D'jo Dela Barriere |
7/1(-8%) | (6) D'jo Dela Barriere 7/1, €33,000 3-y-o, Choeur Du Nord gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners on Flat, including Swedish 11f/1½m winner Momentum. Dam ran twice on Flat in France. Yard in good form. Made frame sole start in points. Related to plenty of winners; trainer does well in these contests so must be respected. |
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6th (2) (50/1 -127%) Bossofthebus |
50/1(-127%) | (2) Bossofthebus 50/1, €8,000 3-y-o, Hillstar gelding. Dam no show completed start over hurdles. Out of a half-sister to Irish National winner; probably more of a long-term project. |
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7th (5) (25/1 +62%) Crooked Tannie |
25/1(+62%) | (5) Crooked Tannie 25/1, Mount Nelson gelding. Half-brother to fairly useful hurdler/chaser Optional Mix and bumper winner Cassarina Gold. Half-brother to two winners and sister a useful 2m hurdle winner; could go well on debut. |
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8th (8) (150/1 +0%) Jeronimo De L'ouch |
150/1(+0%) | (8) Jeronimo De L'ouch 150/1, Twice-raced maiden. Eighth of 11 in bumper at Clonmel (16.6f, heavy, 80/1) 38 days ago. Contested two strong-looking bumpers this year and didn't manage to land a blow in either. |
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9th (16) (6.5/1 -95%) Rainbow Lily |
6.5/1(-95%) | (16) Rainbow Lily 6.5/1, Promising type. Sixth of 22 in bumper at Punchestown (16.4f, good to soft, 10/1) on NH debut 19 days ago, finishing with running left. Open to progress for top yard. Made a promising debut when sixth in strong looking contest last month; player. |
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10th (4) (8/1 -100%) Chicago Style |
8/1(-100%) | (4) Chicago Style 8/1, Siyouni gelding. Half-brother to smart French 1m winner Qatar Dream. Dam smart 6f-9.5f winner in France. Interesting runner for excellent Flat yard. Well bred candidate for top Flat trainer; fascinating he is starting out here; player. |
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11th (15) (100/1 -100%) Onebrightbluerose |
100/1(-100%) | (15) Onebrightbluerose 100/1, Excelebration filly. Dam (c119/h109) 2m-2¾m hurdle/chase winner. Newcomer; sister to yard's hurdle winner Naturally Blond; others preferred. |
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12th (10) (40/1 -100%) Tail Gunner |
40/1(-100%) | (10) Tail Gunner 40/1, €20,000 3-y-o, Excelebration gelding. Half-brother to numerous winners, including useful hurdler/chaser Jungle Junction, stays 2½m. Dam 6f-8.4f winner. Related to plenty of winners and yard did have a bumper winner two seasons ago.. |
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13th (11) (50/1 +0%) Tramps Like Us |
50/1(+0%) | (11) Tramps Like Us 50/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Ninth of 13 in bumper (28/1) at Down Royal (16.8f, good to soft) 13 days ago. Thrice-raced in bumpers and was a below form ninth at Down Royal earlier this month. |
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14th (7) (100/1 -100%) Jay Pee M |
100/1(-100%) | (7) Jay Pee M 100/1, 16/1, sixth of 12 in bumper at Ballinrobe (15.6f, soft) on NH debut 30 days ago. Attracted each-way support and showed signs of promise on debut at Ballinrobe last month. |
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15th (3) (200/1 -33%) Captain Flint |
200/1(-33%) | (3) Captain Flint 200/1, Twelfth of 13 in bumper (66/1) at Down Royal (16.8f, good to soft) on NH debut 13 days ago. Failed to land a blow on debut at Down Royal earlier this month; unlikely to feature. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
1st: 1.5/1 (9) MY GREAT MATE 2nd: 4/1 (4) CHICAGO STYLE 3rd: 3.33/1 (16) RAINBOW LILY
As a half-brother to Grade 1 winning mare Ashroe Diamond, the eye is immediately drawn to MY GREAT MATE. The Willie Mullins-trained gelding is also related to Take Tea, a mare that made a hugely impressive racecourse debut in a Naas bumper for the same stable. It would be a surprise if the four-year-old wasn't well forward for this introduction. D'jo Dela Barriere represents a trainer that has traditionally done well in bumpers at this track over the years, so he has to enter calculations. The fact that Sam Curling has booked leading amateur Derek O'Connor suggests that a big performance is expected. Tail Gunner could be an interesting outsider given the fact he is a well related gelding hailing from a family that has already produced a fair share of winners under rules.
MY GREAT MATE is related to several bumper winners and he couldn't be in better hands, so a winning debut would come as no surprise. Rainbow Lily shaped well at Punchestown and is a definite threat, along with Chicago Style representing an excellent Flat yard.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (10) (10/1 -54%) Jordan Electrics |
10/1(-54%) | (10) Jordan Electrics 10/1, With headgear left off, confirmed the promise of his stable debut when justifying strong support (11/10) in handicap at Ayr 10 days ago, notching up his first success at 5f since he was a 2-y-o in the process. Can follow up in his current mood. Three 6f wins here; cosy 5f win for new yard; well treated; best form on good or quicker. |
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2nd (4) (7/1 -27%) The Thin Blue Line |
7/1(-27%) | (4) The Thin Blue Line 7/1, Having finished down the field on his first 2 starts this year, bounced back with a career best when winning handicap at Musselburgh (5f) a fortnight ago, helped by being held up in strongly-run race. Third in this race last year and can give another good account. Has course form; came on a ton when Musselburgh winner latest; up 3lb. |
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3rd (2) (7/1 +56%) Edward Cornelius |
7/1(+56%) | (2) Edward Cornelius 7/1, Won on his first start last season at Thirsk but, after a pair of good runner-up efforts at this C&D, was below form at the end of the campaign. Probably needed the run after 7 months off when down the field at Musselburgh 14 days ago, so this run should reveal more. Soft-ground winner; has course form; well back on reappearance but hood refitted. |
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4th (5) (6/1 -20%) Monsieur Kodi |
6/1(-20%) | (5) Monsieur Kodi 6/1, Returned to form after 6 months off when landing 5f handicap at Musselburgh in April. Backed up that effort when fourth of 15 to The Thin Blue Line at the same C&D next time and he can give his running again. In good form over 5f, luckless last time; has better to come; this stiff finish can suit. |
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5th (9) (4/1 +33%) Huddle Up |
4/1(+33%) | (9) Huddle Up 4/1, Didn't really get going for this yard in 2022 but, after 10 months off, much more like it when second of 11 on 6f Thirsk reappearance in April. Capable of getting involved again as he drops back down in trip. Twice withdrawn in last 6 appearances after upset in stalls; good chance on Thirsk second. |
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6th (8) (12/1 +14%) Rock Melody |
12/1(+14%) | (8) Rock Melody 12/1, Made a solid start for this yard when reaching the frame in big-field 5f handicaps at Musselburgh last month, nearest at the finish both times. However, unsuited by emphasis on speed when disappointing at Ayr (6f) 6 days ago. Could be worth another chance. Wins have come at 6f/7f; effective at 5f; not ruled out on form at this trip in 2023. |
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7th (3) (22/1 -10%) Laheg |
22/1(-10%) | (3) Laheg 22/1, Won on the all-weather on 2 of his last 3 starts in 2022 and continued his progress when third at Lingfield (6f) in March. Not seen to best effect when well held at the same C&D last time, racing wide, but he now needs to get back on track returned to turf. Won 6f turf novice as 2yo; AW improver since; below best latest; first run at 5f on turf. |
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8th (12) (40/1 -60%) Wrecked It Ralph |
40/1(-60%) | (12) Wrecked It Ralph 40/1, Dropped to 5f for the first time, showed improved form when off mark in 12-runner handicap at Ayr in July last year. Ran at least as well when runner-up at the same C&D 12 days later, but needs to pick up where he left off after a 9-month absence. Off since August and up against it from out of the weights.. |
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9th (6) (14/1 -17%) Object |
14/1(-17%) | (6) Object 14/1, After finishing well-beaten on debut for this yard on his return, proved that he retains his ability when third in handicap at Thirsk (5f) 8 days ago. Task is now to build on his latest effort. Useful 2yo; struggled in 2022 but ran well last week on second run back for new yard. |
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10th (1) (3.33/1 +5%) Spoof |
3.33/1(+5%) | (1) Spoof 3.33/1, Has returned in top form this year, getting back to winning ways at Windsor last month before belying market weakness when following up under a penalty at Ascot 9 days later. Remains on a workable mark, so he's not taken lightly with good-value claimer on board. In peak form at 5f for new yard; up 5lb for Ascot win but Billy Loughnane takes off 3lb. |
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11th (11) (14/1 -17%) Ramon Di Loria |
14/1(-17%) | (11) Ramon Di Loria 14/1, Dual winner in 2022 and placed on his final 2 outings of the year, third of 11 in handicap at Southwell (5f) in December. After 4 months off, shaped better than the result when mid-field at Musselburgh 2 weeks ago, and could do better with that run behind him. Has course form at 6f; had a few chances off similar marks since latest turf win last July. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
My prediction would be that 3.5/1 (1) SPOOF will do well based on the fact that he is in peak form and has recently won at Ascot. 1st place: 3.5/1 (1) SPOOF 2nd place: 6.5/1 (10) JORDAN ELECTRICS 3rd place: 5.5/1 (4) THE THIN BLUE LINE
Jordan Electrics has won here three times and arrives in good form after a win at Ayr earlier in the month, but he does need a career best off this mark and preference is for the hat-trick seeking SPOOF. A winner at Windsor and Ascot, he does have an extra 5lb from the handicapper now, but Billy Loughnane claims 3lb back, and a good draw in stall one may negate the rest. Huddle Up and Object could fight it out for the minor honours.
With headgear left off, JORDAN ELECTRICS gained a first success at 5f since he was a 2-y-o when justifying strong support at Ayr 10 days ago and he can follow up on only his third start for his current yard. Heading the list of dangers is Spoof who arrives bidding for a hat-trick, while Huddle Up and The Thin Blue Line also merit consideration.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (4.5/1 +25%) Geremia |
4.5/1(+25%) | (3) Geremia 4.5/1, Habitual slow starter who has gone sixteen runs since last win in 2021. Nevertheless, he shaped well from an unpromising position when fourth of 16 in handicap at Newmarket (14f, soft) last week and would be in the mix if replicating that effort. Close fourth of 16 in valuable race at Newmarket (1m6f, soft) last Sunday; player. |
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2nd (7) (18/1 -50%) Dundory |
18/1(-50%) | (7) Dundory 18/1, Aided by this good-value claimer when winning 14-runner handicap at Doncaster (11.9f, soft, 7/1) 15 days ago. That effort represented a career best and he's another who could prove competitive. Has gone back up 4lb since Doncaster win two weeks ago but can still go well. |
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3rd (5) (11/1 +8%) Haizoom |
11/1(+8%) | (5) Haizoom 11/1, Won this race last season and generally held her form well later in the season. Little bit below her best when sixth of 10 in handicap (7/1) at this C&D (good) last week but wouldn't be one to dismiss fully despite high draw. This race was her only win last year and she has just a 1lb higher mark today. |
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4th (2) (5/1 +23%) Ravenscraig Castle |
5/1(+23%) | (2) Ravenscraig Castle 5/1, Useful sort at his best and ran creditably when 2½ lengths second of 14 to Fairmac in handicap at Musselburgh (12.5f, soft, 11/1) 14 days ago. Remains potentially well-treated from same mark. 2nd to Fairmac at Musselburgh on reappearance and this step back up in trip can help. |
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5th (12) (80/1 -100%) Two Auld Pals |
80/1(-100%) | (12) Two Auld Pals 80/1, Third behind Clansman at Ayr on his final outing in 2022 but shaped as if amiss on return here last week. Stiff task if he's to get off the mark in this company. A maiden after 11 runs; tailed off on reappearance here last Sunday. |
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6th (1) (7.5/1 -7%) Fairmac |
7.5/1(-7%) | (1) Fairmac 7.5/1, Capitalised on falling mark to land 14-runner handicap at Musselburgh (12.5f, soft, 11/1) 14 days ago by 2½ lengths from Ravenscraig Castle, pushed out. Merits consideration from 4 lb higher mark. Fell in the weights prior to his Musselburgh win two weeks ago; did it in clearcut fashion. |
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7th (6) (6.5/1 -18%) Mister Camacho |
6.5/1(-18%) | (6) Mister Camacho 6.5/1, Belatedly got off the mark in impressive fashion when scoring by 7½ lengths in 6-runner event (6/4) at Catterick (13.9f, heavy) 32 days ago. Versatile ground-wise and shouldn't be discounted from following up here despite wide draw and 7 lb rise. Plentiful minor honours before easily off the mark at Catterick (1m6f, soft; six ran). |
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8th (4) (16/1 -33%) Heights Of Abraham |
16/1(-33%) | (4) Heights Of Abraham 16/1, Close second in 15-runner handicap at Ayr Western meeting on final start in 2022 and shaped as if needing the run when well held at Musselburgh (12.5f, soft) 14 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Not discounted. Beaten 23l on reappearance two weeks ago but similar in 2022 before back to form. |
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9th (8) (25/1 -56%) World Without Love |
25/1(-56%) | (8) World Without Love 25/1, Won at Wolverhampton in November but looked a tricky ride when third of 8 in handicap (10/3) at Chelmsford City (14f) 17 days ago. Bit more needed from this mark. 1-16; has more to prove on turf form, despite her mostly minor honours in this sphere. |
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10th (9) (3.5/1 +13%) Captain Haddock |
3.5/1(+13%) | (9) Captain Haddock 3.5/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2021 but he ran well to finish ½-length second of 12 to Clansman at Doncaster (11.9f, heavy) 42 days ago. 9 lb lower than when close second in this race last year and has leading apprentice booked. 2nd twice last year, including in this, and same again at Doncaster (soft) six weeks ago. |
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11th (10) (33/1 -50%) Buxted Reel |
33/1(-50%) | (10) Buxted Reel 33/1, Possibly needed the run when last of 6 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 14/1) 34 days ago on return but this is better company than he usually keeps and he must improve. 1-17; needs to be in peak form; unraced on softer than good when on turf. |
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12th (11) (9/1 +0%) Clansman |
9/1(+0%) | (11) Clansman 9/1, Found improvement when winning 12-runner handicap at Doncaster (11.9f, heavy) on return and acquitted himself well on quicker ground than ideal when third here last week. Solid place claims. Has proved himself here, albeit no win; in good form and must be in each-way calculations. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
1st: 5.5/1 (6) MISTER CAMACHO 2nd: 12/1 (7) DUNDORY 3rd: 6.5/1 (2) RAVENSCRAIG CASTLE
World Without Love may be running on through beaten horses over this reduced trip and she could yet pick them off for a place, but first prize may go to one of Musselburgh winner Fairmac, or the rapidly improving MISTER CAMACHO, who hacked up at Catterick last month. The four-year-old gets 5lb from his rival here and that may just about be enough to see him come out on top.
A highly-competitive staying handicap, in which last year's runner-up CAPTAIN HADDOCK can go one better after an encouraging return at Doncaster. He has a previous C&D win to his name and still remains well treated on last season's best form, so gets the nod ahead of recent Musselburgh 1-2 Fairmac and Ravenscraig Castle in a race where cases can be made for most.
This field contains any number of viable options. HEIGHTS OF ABRAHAM may be the one to emerge on top.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (7/1 -27%) Derry Lad |
7/1(-27%) | (8) Derry Lad 7/1, Won over this sort of trip at Sligo last term before several creditable efforts in defeat. Fit from a hurdling campaign when a good second at Navan in March and this Irish raider merits respect. Second of 18 at Navan (1m2f, heavy) on latest start; could have a big shout. |
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2nd (5) (40/1 -233%) Beraz |
40/1(-233%) | (5) Beraz 40/1, Winner in France but has never stood much racing and limited impact both hurdles starts for Dan Skelton a year ago. Had had another wind op ahead of handicap debut for new yard returned to the level and he's not easy to assess. Ex-French; wind problems for Skelton; back to Flat but perhaps a watching brief is best. |
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3rd (1) (2/1 +33%) Faylaq |
2/1(+33%) | (1) Faylaq 2/1, Losing run stretches back to 2019 but he's down in the weights and made a very promising start for Jim Goldie when second over 13f here a week ago, faring best of those held up. Clearly needs everything to drop right but he's of interest. All three wins in 2019 but competitive on plenty of occasions; second here last Sunday. |
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4th (7) (3.5/1 +42%) Aqwaam |
3.5/1(+42%) | (7) Aqwaam 3.5/1, Much improved when opening his account in heavy ground at Galway (11.8f) last summer. Mixed bag thereafter but he's returned in good heart, runner-up at Doncaster (11.9f, heavy) 8 days ago. Cheekpieces go on now and bold bid expected. More consistent this season; each-way claims if first-time headgear has no adverse effect. |
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5th (3) (22/1 -38%) Dubai Leader |
22/1(-38%) | (3) Dubai Leader 22/1, Last tasted success at Kempton in November. Too free to last out both starts this year and on that evidence, this slight drop back in trip will help. Disappointing on final 3yo start; gelded before backward steps on both outings this season. |
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6th (2) (6.5/1 +35%) Knight Of Honour |
6.5/1(+35%) | (2) Knight Of Honour 6.5/1, Winner of minor event at Sakhir (9.9f) in January and back on top form returned to Britain when third of 11 at Thirsk 3 weeks ago. Cheekpieces back on and he's been eased 1 lb. Respectable third at Thirsk three weeks ago should tee him up nicely for a good run. |
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7th (9) (6.5/1 +7%) Don't Look Back |
6.5/1(+7%) | (9) Don't Look Back 6.5/1, Fit from hurdling and produced a career best when winning 12-runner handicap at Doncaster (10.2f, heavy, 28/1) last month. Matched that form when second over C&D a week ago and not fully exposed over middle distances. Beaten a head over C&D (good to soft) off this mark last Sunday. |
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8th (6) (16/1 -129%) Thunder Roar |
16/1(-129%) | (6) Thunder Roar 16/1, Clearly hard to train given his fleeting appearances but last month's AW run will have blown away the cobwebs and a case from a handicapping perspective can be made. Up markedly in trip and one to watch in the market. Upped markedly in trip and this may be more like his ground; makes his handicap debut. |
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9th (4) (10/1 +9%) Croeso Cymraeg |
10/1(+9%) | (4) Croeso Cymraeg 10/1, Off 7 months and shaped well when second of 7 in handicap at Leicester (11.8f, heavy) in April, collared late having typically gone freely. Occupied same spot at Windsor and always dangerous if getting a good pace to aim at. Runner-up in his two starts this season; should be bang there once again. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Prediction: 5/1 (7) AQWAAM will finish in 1st place, 11/1 (4) CROESO CYMRAEG will finish in 2nd place, and 3.33/1 (1) FAYLAQ will finish in 3rd place.
FAYLAQ caught the eye when finishing a good second over 1m5f here a week ago. The drop in trip unlikely to pose an issue and he could make amends down in class. Don't Look Back remains relatively unexposed in this sphere and is one to keep onside, having been narrowly denied over C&D on his latest outing. Croeso Cymraeg is entitled to be thereabouts, while Irish-raider Derry Lad should not be underestimated either.
A tightly-knit handicap with CROESO CYMRAEG just about the most persuasive option with this track fancied to suit the James-Evans trained veteran. Aqwaam and Faylaq arrive on the back of excellent runner-up efforts and are just a couple of potential threats.
This promises to be highly competitive but 1m3f here could prove a good fit for the Irish challenger DERRY LAD.
Ths is the racecard key.
Icon | Meaning |
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TomForm top stats, gold rated | |
TomForm top stats silver rated | |
Ran similar race before | |
S | TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out |
T | Top Time speeed rated |
Top Racingpost rated | |
At the races watchout for | |
At the races top pick | |
Top rated for thet statistic |
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
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