There were 41 Races on Friday 3rd May 2024 across 6 meetings. There was 6 races at Musselburgh, 7 races at Goodwood, 8 races at Punchestown, 6 races at Newmarket, 7 races at Newcastle, 7 races at Cheltenham, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (4/11 +10%) Devil's Point |
4/11(+10%) | (2) Devil's Point 4/11, Smart juvenile, finishing second in Group 1 Futurity at Doncaster (1m, heavy) on final start. Well below that level when 7½ lengths third in 7f Deauville Group 3 on return but he might well have needed the outing. Will set a high standard for his 2 rivals to aim at if close to the Doncaster form. Runner-up in last year's Group 1 Kameko Futurity; may have had an excuse on his return. |
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2nd (3) (7/2 +0%) Grey Charger |
7/2(+0%) | (3) Grey Charger 7/2, Overcame greenness to make a winning start to his career on AW at Chelmsford (1m) in November. Rates a useful prospect for his top stable. Narrow winner on Chelmsford debut in November; will need to find more. |
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3rd (1) (8/1 -33%) Change For Good |
8/1(-33%) | (1) Change For Good 8/1, Fairly useful form David Simcock at 2, winning a 7f Epsom novice on debut before coming up well short in Group 3 company over the same trip at Newmarket on both subsequent starts. Improvement will be needed starting out for Ollie Sangster. Twice held in Group 3 company after a winning debut; stable debut after six months off. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
It is hard to oppose DEVIL'S POINT, who sets the bar very high. David Menuisier's three-year-old finished second in the Group 1 Futurity at Doncaster in October before being beaten into third in a Group 3 event at Deauville on his recent return, but this may prove to be an easier assignment. Grey Charger is preferred over Change For Good in the fight for the silver medal, as he could have plenty more to offer after his debut victory at Chelmsford in November.
DEVIL'S POINT presumably needed the outing on his Deauville reappearance and will be a tough nut to crack if back to anything like the form he showed when second in Group 1 company as a juvenile. Grey Charger has potential and is the obvious choice for the forecast.
This revolves around last autumn's Kameko Futurity runner-up DEVIL'S POINT who may have had an excuse on last month's Deauville return.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (8/11 +68%) Circus Lion |
8/11(+68%) | (2) Circus Lion 8/11, Placed both starts in September, matching debut form when second of 13 in novice event at Redcar (5f, good, 13/2). Off 7 months. Placed in 5f novices at Hamilton/Redcar last September; merits plenty of respect on return. |
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2nd (6) (6/1 -33%) Northerner |
6/1(-33%) | (6) Northerner 6/1, Pulled clear with a next-time-out winner sole 2-y-o start. Hood left off and failed to meet expectations when fourth of 6 in novice event at Catterick (5f, soft, 13/8) 9 days ago (Obligatory second) May yet do better. Not disgraced after an absence when fourth at Catterick last month; can build on it here. |
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3rd (1) (15/2 +46%) Barnaby |
15/2(+46%) | (1) Barnaby 15/2, Modest form at best in a trio of 2-y-o outings, fifth of 9 in novice event at Ripon (6f, good to soft). Off 8 months and gelded in that time. Only modest form shown in three runs as a juvenile; needs gelding op to spark improvement. |
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4th (5) (12/1 -50%) Doralee |
12/1(-50%) | (5) Doralee 12/1, Swiss Spirit filly. Sister to 5f winner Atiyah and closely related to 5f-9f winner Frosted Lass. Dam 5f winner. Sister to fair 5f winner Atiyah; market can prove good guide for this Swiss Spirit filly. |
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5th (4) (4/1 -129%) Obligatory |
4/1(-129%) | (4) Obligatory 4/1, Has returned a much-improved performer, third on reappearance and then an excellent second of 6 in novice event at Catterick (5f, soft, 4/1) 9 days ago. Sets a very solid standard. Edged out in 5f Catterick novice last month; has more to offer so holds leading claims. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Circus Lion is one to consider after his Redcar second but he hasn't been seen since September and may have a fitness disadvantage against OBLIGATORY and Northerner, who were second and fourth respectively at Catterick last month. The selection was only beaten a neck after weakening close home that day and may find the likely better ground in his favour here.
OBLIGATORY cranked it up another notch when second at Catterick last week and that sets a pretty good standard. Northerner was behind the selection that day but that was her reappearance and she's entitled to finish closer this time, albeit on the same terms.
Preference is for Tim Easterby's OBLIGATORY, who went down only narrowly at Catterick last time and can build on that to go one better
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (11/2 +0%) Sea Just In Time |
11/2(+0%) | (6) Sea Just In Time 11/2, Sea The Stars filly. Sister to smart 11.6f/1½m winner Sea On Time and useful 1¼m-11.6f winner Truthful. Dam unraced out of smart 7f-1¼m winner Lay Time. Entered for Ribblesdale/Irish Oaks. One to note on debut. Class middle-distance pedigree and boasts a couple of high-profile entries. |
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2nd (5) (3/1 +50%) Precious Jewel |
3/1(+50%) | (5) Precious Jewel 3/1, Dubawi filly. Sister to smart 1¼m-1½m winner Warren Point and half-sister to 7f/1m winner Gateway and useful 1m winner Shining Jewel. Dam, 1½m-15.5f winner, half-sister to high-class winner up to 15f Manatee. Respected on debut though Buick prefers Magic Dream. Magic Dream perhaps yard number one but hard to dismiss with her pedigree. |
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3rd (4) (9/2 -64%) Mallavelly |
9/2(-64%) | (4) Mallavelly 9/2, Left 2-y-o efforts behind when second of 12 in maiden at this course (8f, good to firm) 16 days ago, seeing the longer trip out well. Has plenty of stamina in her pedigree so step up in distance should suit (entered for Oaks/Ribblesdale). Bold bid expected. Just about sets the standard on her second at the Craven meeting; bred for this far. |
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4th (1) (17/2 -42%) Divine Presence |
17/2(-42%) | (1) Divine Presence 17/2, Dubawi filly. Sister to 1¼m winner Rajasthan. Dam winner up to 1¼m (Royal Whip Stakes winner). 15/2, green when fourth of 7 in novice at Lingfield (7f, AW) in December, short of room home turn and finishing with running left. Significantly up in trip (entered for Oaks/Ribblesdale). Will improve. Ordinary initial effort but she's in a top yard and has high-profile entries. |
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5th (2) (200/1 -203%) Jalea's Quest |
200/1(-203%) | (2) Jalea's Quest 200/1, 17,000 gns foal, Ulysses filly. Closely related to very smart 9f-1¾m winner Nagano Gold and half-sister to 3 winners, including smart 1¼m/11f winner Jamr. Dam unraced. Modest form when down the field in Yarmouth novice 3 weeks ago. Never made any inroads from off the pace when 125-1 at Yarmouth. |
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6th (3) (13/8 -30%) Magic Dream |
13/8(-30%) | (3) Magic Dream 13/8, Shamardal filly. Closely related to useful 7f winner Spring Promise and half-sister to very smart winner up to 1m Naval Crown. 7/1, shaped with plenty of encouragement when second of 14 in maiden at Newbury (10f) 2 weeks ago, going like best horse but undone by inexperience late on. Will improve. Defied market weakness when going close over this far at Newbury two weeks ago. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
MAGIC DREAM did everything right bar getting her head in front on debut and, with improvement expected, this half-sister to Group 1 winner Naval Crown should be able to get off the mark at the second attempt. Mallavelly seemed a different proposition on her first start as a three-year-old when second here over 1m last month, and stepping up in trip looks like the correct move. A stablemate of the selection, Precious Jewel looks to be the pick of the newcomers, while Sea Just In Time is worth a second look for the in-form William Haggas team.
MAGIC DREAM shaped best when just edged out in a similar event at Newbury on debut 2 weeks ago and can make amends with that experience under her belt. Mallavelly stepped up on her 2-y-o form when runner-up here on return and should improve again over this longer trip, so is next best ahead of Divine Presence, who is expected to leave her debut run well behind.
Unlike some of these, MAGIC DREAM lacks Group-race entries, but that might change should she take this. Her debut was very likeable.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (10/3 +17%) Rathgar |
10/3(+17%) | (1) Rathgar 10/3, Won a novice here at 2 yrs. Mixed record last season but went close at York final start and returned to action with a good third at Chelmsford 3 weeks ago. Not taken lightly. Ran well on last month's Chelmsford return, but still a slight doubt against his stamina. |
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2nd (3) (5/2 +0%) Manxman |
5/2(+0%) | (3) Manxman 5/2, Prolific in handicaps last season, winning 5 of his 6 starts, having more in hand than bare margin suggests at Pontefract final start. Remains of interest. Won five of his last six starts last year; market informative returning from 225 days off. |
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3rd (7) (11/8 +50%) Miss Cynthia |
11/8(+50%) | (7) Miss Cynthia 11/8, Runner-up 3 times from 5 starts in handicaps last season and came close to breaking her duck when just edged out at Wolverhampton on return 10 days ago. Should go well again. 0-10 but runner-up in four of her last five starts; again shouldn't be far away. |
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4th (6) (10/1 -150%) Fox Vision |
10/1(-150%) | (6) Fox Vision 10/1, Still a maiden but often placed and ended 3-y-o campaign with excellent second at Kempton. Remains unexposed beyond 12f and needs considering. 0-6 and has proved expensive to follow; more needed after nine months off. |
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5th (4) (14/1 -75%) The Thunderer |
14/1(-75%) | (4) The Thunderer 14/1, Needs plenty of luck given his style (often starts slowly) but is back down to last winning mark and shaped better than the bare result when sixth of 16 in handicap at Lingfield (12f, AW) 35 days ago, left with lot to do. All wins over shorter, but stays at least this far; back off his last winning mark. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Manxman makes his return to action seeking a fifth victory in a row, but he is 4lb higher than his success at Pontefract in September and that will make life tougher for him. With that in mind, RATHGAR looks the way to go. Jack Channon's representative finished a close-up third on his return at Chelmsford after being gelded and he remains on the same mark. The four-year-old can take full advantage of this drop in grade, while Fox Vision warrants a market check.
Claims can be made for all 7 with the vote going to last year's winner CRESCENT LAKE, who should be spot on after a couple of spins on the AW. Returning pair Fox Vision and Manxman head the dangers.
It may be worth chancing THE THUNDERER who does stay this far and has dropped back down to his last winning mark.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (11/10 +8%) Kelpie Grey |
11/10(+8%) | (1) Kelpie Grey 11/10, Career best when winning 14-runner handicap at this course (8f, good to soft) 12 days ago, keeping on well. Carries penalty. Shortlist material on the back of that commanding success. Resumed from six months off with career-best win here; a big player under a 5lb penalty. |
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2nd (5) (9/2 +10%) Purple Martini |
9/2(+10%) | (5) Purple Martini 9/2, C&D winner. Respectable sixth of 13 in handicap (18/1) at Thirsk (6f, heavy) 24 days ago. Entitled to come on for that so she's of interest. C&D scorer; not disgraced when Thirsk sixth 24 days ago; one for the shortlist eased 1lb. |
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3rd (2) (11/4 +31%) Gobi Sunset |
11/4(+31%) | (2) Gobi Sunset 11/4, Thirteenth of 14 in handicap at Ayr (10f, good, 33/1) 4 days ago, unsurprisingly failing to stay. Back over a more suitable trip here. In good nick until beating only one at Ayr latest; he's the sort to bounce back though. |
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4th (4) (10/1 -67%) Homer Stokes |
10/1(-67%) | (4) Homer Stokes 10/1, Disappointing effort when eighth of 10 in handicap (11/1) at Newcastle (7.1f) 39 days ago. Below his last winning mark returned to turf if he can bounce back. Beat only two at Newcastle last time; more needed to gain a first turf win since debut. |
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5th (3) (14/1 +0%) Keep Me Stable |
14/1(+0%) | (3) Keep Me Stable 14/1, Eleventh of 15 in handicap at Chelmsford City (7f, 66/1) 35 days ago. Others more persuasive returned to turf. Remains winless on turf and she's yet to fire in four runs this term. |
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6th (6) (40/1 -60%) New Tycoon |
40/1(-60%) | (6) New Tycoon 40/1, 80/1, first run since leaving James Horton when last of 12 in handicap at Ayr (7.2f, soft). Off 7 months. Last of 12 on yard debut at Ayr in October; needs to hit the ground running on return. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Purple Martini is worth consideration as her course and distance victory in May last year off 1lb higher stands out. She can go well, but may not get the better of KELPIE GREY, who won in a higher grade here recently. He carries a 5lb penalty but is likely to find this opposition even easier to deal with, while Homer Stokes is a tentative suggestion for third place.
KELPIE GREY was better than ever when making a winning reappearance here 12 days ago, and with the return to 7f no issue, his follow-up claims appear to be bright. Purple Martini's return to action was promising and she's feared most.
Jim Goldie's KELPIE GREY(nap) looked better than ever when making a successful recent return here and he can make light of a penalty.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (7/1 -17%) Caviar Heights |
7/1(-17%) | (2) Caviar Heights 7/1, Put experience to good use to get off the mark in 9-runner maiden at Goodwood (1m) in September and, on first outing since leaving Andrew Balding, got firmly back on track when third in a listed event here on return. Should go well again for all that a couple of others have more potential. Ties in with Whip Cracker on Feilden running (stable debut); new rating is useful. |
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2nd (4) (9/2 +10%) Sayedaty Sadaty |
9/2(+10%) | (4) Sayedaty Sadaty 9/2, Useful colt. 6/1, excellent neck second of 8 to Cuban Tiger in listed race at Newcastle (8f) 35 days ago, rallying. Up in trip. Can feature if he's able to back up that improvement. Good second in AW Listed event on reappearance; clear possibilities on the figures. |
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3rd (5) (3/1 +25%) Whip Cracker |
3/1(+25%) | (5) Whip Cracker 3/1, Confirmed debut promise when comfortably off the mark in novice at Chelmsford in October and took another marked step forward when finishing second (ahead of Caivar Heights) at Newmarket on return. More to come and definite player. Ran well in the Feilden here on reappearance; open to further progress; solid claims. |
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4th (1) (18/1 +45%) Brave Call |
18/1(+45%) | (1) Brave Call 18/1, Lightly raced colt who improved further when third in a novice at Newbury on reappearance. Likely to go on progressing so, while this is a stiff task on the face of it, he's not completely ruled out. Has shown clear promise but this looks a stiff task; worst chance on ratings. |
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5th (3) (11/10 -10%) Endless Victory |
11/10(-10%) | (3) Endless Victory 11/10, Stormed clear to land a Wolverhampton novice in February and followed up in more workmanlike style over C&D 15 days ago. Looks an excellent prospect who can land this before moving up further in grade. C&D winner at the Craven meeting, taking record to 2-2; bred to rate much higher still. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Trainer Charlie Appleby has landed this contest for the last two years and he looks to have another ideal candidate in the unbeaten ENDLESS VICTORY, who was made to work hard for his victory over C&D last month. The attitude he showed that day should stand him in good stead as he looks to see off Whip Cracker and Caviar Heights, who only had a short-head separating them when second and third respectively in the Feilden Stakes here recently. Sayedaty Sadaty showed up on well on his return in the Burradon Stakes and going up in trip may eke out further improvement.
ENDLESS VICTORY has a big reputation and maintained his unbeaten record over C&D last time, so he's fancied to take this step in class in his stride. Whip Cracker and Caviar Heights filled the placings at this level here last time and should be on the premises again.
Promising ENDLESS VICTORY is taken to enhance his trainer's excellent record in this race. Whip Cracker is feared most.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (7/4 +22%) Brosay |
7/4(+22%) | (2) Brosay 7/4, Speedily-bred colt who was much improved from his debut when third in a Dundalk maiden three weeks ago. Sets the standard and makes plenty of appeal. It was probably a good maiden in which he finished third at Dundalk 21 days ago. |
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2nd (4) (9/2 +40%) Gold Medallist |
9/2(+40%) | (4) Gold Medallist 9/2, Foaled April 7. €30,000 yearling, Acclamation colt. Half-brother to 2 winners, including 2-y-o 9.5f winner Marefuori. One to note for a stable that has made a terrific start with it's juveniles. 30,000euros yearling; Acclamation half-brother to two winners; interesting newcomer. |
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3rd (7) (14/1 +50%) Number |
14/1(+50%) | (7) Number 14/1, Foaled March 2. Make Believe colt. Half-brother to 3 winners, including 5f winner Turna and 2-y-o 7f winner Al Shami. Dam sprint maiden. Should have enough speed. Bred to be sharp but trainer-owned newcomer and likely best watched. |
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4th (6) (9/2 +44%) Carderock |
9/2(+44%) | (6) Carderock 9/2, Foaled February 15. 10,000 gns foal, U S Navy Flag colt. Half-brother to several winners, including smart 9.5f-16.5f winner Antiquarium and 1m-1¾m winner Grand Scheme. Bred to need further. 10,000gns foal; may need further than this for him to be seen to best effect. |
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5th (8) (20/1 +20%) Royal Accord |
20/1(+20%) | (8) Royal Accord 20/1, Cheap purchase who showed little at Wolverhampton on debut. Hard to make a strong case for. April foal who went for just 1,000gns; 20-1 at Wolverhampton and didn't show a lot. |
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6th (5) (10/1 +0%) Mighty Real |
10/1(+0%) | (5) Mighty Real 10/1, Foaled February 26. Oasis Dream colt. Half-brother to 2-y-o 6f winner Fletchers Dream. Worth monitoring in the betting. Third foal; half-brother to 6f AW 2yo winner Fletchers Dream (RPR 76); dam 6f 2yo winner. |
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7th (3) (9/2 -80%) Ellomate |
9/2(-80%) | (3) Ellomate 9/2, Strong in the betting when a considerately-handled third to Lady Lightning at Wolverhampton and looks the type who could improve markedly, so worth a chance to turn the tables with that rival and open his account at the second attempt. Beaten favourite on debut but inexperience was evident and should be wiser this time. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
The vote goes to BROSAY, who improved on his debut effort at the Curragh to finish third at Dundalk on his latest outing and he could be the one to beat. Carderock needs to be monitored in the betting on his debut and makes some appeal, while it is also worth keeping an eye on Ellomate following his creditable debut run at Wolverhampton.
ELLOMATE was behind Lady Lightning when third at Wolverhampton on debut but he didn't have a hard time and there's a case for saying he can turn the tables with that rival on better terms, so he gets the nod. Brosay's third at Dundalk last time is the best piece of form on offer to date, so he's an obvious player if he goes in the conditions.
Irish challenger BROSAY looks the one to be with after a highly encouraging run in a decent Dundalk maiden.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (7/2 +42%) Zaphea |
7/2(+42%) | (5) Zaphea 7/2, C&D winner. First run since leaving Roger Fell & Sean Murray when creditable third of 7 in handicap (5/1) at Ayr (5f, good) 4 days ago. Place possibilities. C&D winner; encouraging third for new yard in Ayr h'cap four days ago; can go well again. |
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2nd (2) (12/1 +25%) Keldeo |
12/1(+25%) | (2) Keldeo 12/1, Lightly-raced winner. Last of 5 in handicap at Newcastle (5f, 40/1) 41 days ago. Will need a couple of these to falter if she's to deliver the goods. Not disgraced when last of five at Newcastle 41 days ago; considered off a 2lb lower mark. |
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3rd (7) (10/1 -11%) Profiteer |
10/1(-11%) | (7) Profiteer 10/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Eighth of 11 in minor event at Ripon (6f, good, 20/1). Off 7 months ahead of this handicap debut and needs to raise his game. Cut little ice in 3 runs at 2yrs; goes h'capping on back of gelding op with lots to find. |
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4th (4) (7/2 -133%) Whogoesthere |
7/2(-133%) | (4) Whogoesthere 7/2, 9/1, very good third of 8 in handicap at Southwell (5f) 22 days ago. 1 lb lower back on turf and he's a must for the shortlist. Took his form up a notch when third at Southwell 22 days ago; player eased 1lb. |
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5th (6) (7/2 +53%) Treat Of Treats |
7/2(+53%) | (6) Treat Of Treats 7/2, Lightly-raced maiden. Last of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f, 9/1) 71 days ago. Down in trip and blinkers on 1st time. Others preferred. Last on h'cap debut at Newcastle in February; blinkers are reached for now. |
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6th (1) (6/1 -20%) Scoops Ahoy |
6/1(-20%) | (1) Scoops Ahoy 6/1, Very good second of 7 in handicap (20/1) at Catterick (5f, soft) 9 days ago, flattered by proximity. Solid claims. Very good second in Catterick h'cap nine days ago; ought to be thereabouts off same mark. |
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7th (3) (9/1 -38%) Crack The Kode |
9/1(-38%) | (3) Crack The Kode 9/1, Fifth of 8 in handicap at Catterick (5f, heavy, 4/1) 30 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time and the new headgear will need to help eke out some improvement. Yard also saddles Treat Of Treats. Below-par fifth on return at Catterick; cheekpieces are reached for with more required. |
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8th (8) (11/1 +0%) Miss Rainstorm |
11/1(+0%) | (8) Miss Rainstorm 11/1, 50/1, eleventh of 12 in nursery at Newcastle (5f). Off 168 days and it's probably best to look elsewhere. Beat only one on final run in 5f Newcastle nursery in November; hard to make a case for. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Whogoesthere caught the eye when third at Southwell last month on his first start of 2024 and if he can transfer that form to the turf, he would be a serious player off this mark. Crack The Kode is another to consider and looks the sort to improve for the first-time cheekpieces, but SCOOPS AHOY is still preferred. Second at Catterick last month, he represents the in-form David O'Meara stable and is within 1lb of his latest winning mark.
The vote goes to WHOGOESTHERE, who put in a good shift when a close third to the progressive Be Here Now on return at Southwell and he will surely go very close here if able to reproduce that form back on turf. Scoops Ahoy deserves credit for his recent Catterick effort, for all that he was flattered by proximity to the winner, and he is second choice. Zaphea is taken to pick up minor place money.
A tight-knit handicap but Declan Carroll's WHOGOESTHERE edges the vote on the back of his very good Southwell reappearance third.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (5/1 -43%) Noble Dynasty |
5/1(-43%) | (2) Noble Dynasty 5/1, Won 3 of his 4 starts in 2022 and wasn't disgraced after 16 months off having been sent off 5/4 favourite when 1½ lengths fifth of 16 to Fort Payne in Group 3 Ras Al Khor at Meydan (7f, good) in March. Entitled to strip fitter for that outing and should be bang there. Seemed to need the run at Meydan on reappearance; won over C&D during a good 2022 campaign. |
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2nd (8) (7/2 +42%) English Oak |
7/2(+42%) | (8) English Oak 7/2, Left debut effort well behind when scoring at Thirsk (1m, good to firm) last July and ran his best race tried sprinting for the first time when runner-up in a 16-runner handicap at Ascot (6f, good) in October. Returns only 1 lb higher and looks a colt to follow this season. Solid effort on final 3yo start; looks the type to progress further this term; respected. |
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3rd (4) (7/2 +30%) Dark Thirty |
7/2(+30%) | (4) Dark Thirty 7/2, Likeable sort who won two 7f 3-y-o handicaps last season and took his form up a notch to resume winning ways after 6 months off in 18-runner handicap at this course (6f, good to firm) just over 2 weeks ago. Handicapper has nudged him up 3 lb but should go well again. Solid record at the Newmarket tracks; better than ever at the Craven meeting most recently. |
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4th (12) (11/1 +8%) Be Frank |
11/1(+8%) | (12) Be Frank 11/1, Successful return in 6f Salisbury maiden last May and improved again when landing Windsor handicap the following month. Shaped as if still in top form when seventh of 16 in handicap on the July course last summer and now upped in trip for his return, he's one to follow this year. Lightly raced; type to improve further this term; the new trip is worth exploring. |
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5th (9) (16/1 +36%) Love De Vega |
16/1(+36%) | (9) Love De Vega 16/1, In good form on all-weather this winter, winning twice over 7f at Chelmsford. Below for back on turf at this C&D (good to firm) just over 2 weeks ago so others look more appealing. Yard did win this last year. Came up well short over C&D last month and remains on a difficult mark. |
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6th (7) (40/1 -60%) Persuasion |
40/1(-60%) | (7) Persuasion 40/1, Solid on the whole last campaign, edging down to a career-low mark before winning at Thirsk in September. Finished well held after 7 months off at this C&D (good to firm) just over 2 weeks ago and this should reveal what ability remains. Respectable third in this race last year; always behind over C&D on reappearance. |
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7th (1) (22/1 -38%) Saint Lawrence |
22/1(-38%) | (1) Saint Lawrence 22/1, Snapped losing sequence following yard switch/refitted with blinkers when landing the Wokingham at Royal Ascot last summer. More than backed that up when third in Group 1 Prix Maurice de Gheest next time but safely held all 3 subsequent starts, including on return last month. Cheekpieces back on. Wokingham winner; returns to 7f for first time in three years; not the percentage call. |
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8th (5) (10/1 +29%) Lethal Levi |
10/1(+29%) | (5) Lethal Levi 10/1, Failed to score last term but posted some good efforts in defeat, including when fourth of 17 in handicap at Ascot (7f, good to firm) 6 months ago. Headgear left off for his return and back down to his previous winning mark, he's not out of things if ready to roll. Made the frame in major 7f handicap at Ascot on last appearance; back on last winning mark. |
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9th (11) (14/1 +0%) Final Watch |
14/1(+0%) | (11) Final Watch 14/1, Looked as good as ever when scoring on the July course last summer. Shaped better than the distance beaten suggested on final outing of the season at Ascot in October and returns back down to his last winning mark. Always worth a second look at this venue. Well suited by the Newmarket tracks; on last winning mark; 2-3 under Marco Ghiani. |
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10th (3) (5/1 +29%) Thunder Ball |
5/1(+29%) | (3) Thunder Ball 5/1, Deservedly gained a second career win at Goodwood in October and has resumed with a couple of promising efforts, shaping well under another attacking ride when fourth of 21 in handicap at Newbury just under 2 weeks ago. Firmly in the picture again. Useful efforts in several major handicaps over 1m/1m1f, fourth in the Spring Cup latest. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
A taking winner over 6f at the Craven meeting here last month, DARK THIRTY should have no issues with going back up in trip and a 3lb rise for that success could prove quite lenient. Richard Hannon's admirable sort is narrowly preferred to Thunder Ball, who went well for a long way in the Spring Cup over 1m at Newbury before weakening into fourth late in the piece. Noble Dynasty shaped with promise on his return from a long absence at Meydan, while English Oak is another key player trying this trip for the first time since his debut last May. Completing the shortlist are Final Watch, Saint Lawrence and Zouky.
An ultra-competitive handicap which can go the way of ENGLISH OAK, who did well under the circumstances given his position more towards the centre of the track when finishing runner-up at Ascot over 6f on his final 3-y-o start and looks just the type to progress again this season. Thunder Ball is shaping up well this term, so he may emerge as the main danger, with Noble Dynasty and course-regular Final Watch another couple to look out for, as well.
From a yard among the winners, ENGLISH OAK (nap) is preferred. Dark Thirty is second choice ahead of Final Watch.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Alcazan |
(8) (9/1 +36%)9/1(+36%) | (8) Alcazan 9/1, C&D winner last August and added to his tally at Yarmouth in September. Creditable 2¼ lengths third of 11 to Bishop's Crown on Windsor reappearance 18 days ago and he's 6 lb better off with that rival now. Enters the reckoning. C&D winner who finished third behind Bishop's Crown on reappearance; 6lb better off. |
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1st (3) (7/1 -56%) Baldomero |
7/1(-56%) | (3) Baldomero 7/1, Arrives on a lengthy losing run but he's often placed, running well yet again when second of 18 at Newmarket (6f, good to firm) last month. Likely to be in the mix. Second in big field at Newmarket last time and could go well, but record of 2-41 a concern. |
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2nd (7) (7/2 -17%) Bishop's Crown |
7/2(-17%) | (7) Bishop's Crown 7/2, Ended 2023 with a breakthrough success at Doncaster (6tf, heavy) and picked up where he'd left with another career best to win at Windsor (6f, good) last month. Respected up 6 lb for an in-form stable. Bids for a hat-trick off a 6lb higher mark; still unexposed for a 4yo and a big player. |
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3rd (2) (6/1 +14%) Gisburn |
6/1(+14%) | (2) Gisburn 6/1, C&D winner in October. Ended 2023 with 2 creditable efforts on AW but not at best in 2 outings this year, latterly at Newbury a fortnight ago. Bounce back needed. C&D winner, but one win in last 19 starts and behind Spanish Star on Newbury reappearance. |
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4th (1) (7/2 +22%) Spanish Star |
7/2(+22%) | (1) Spanish Star 7/2, Won this race last year and warmed up nicely for a repeat when a good fourth of 16 on his Newbury reappearance (6f, good to soft) a fortnight ago. Yard among the winners. Leading claims in this race again. Ran well when fourth on Newbury return; on last winning mark and won this race last year. |
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5th (4) (11/4 +63%) Many A Star |
11/4(+63%) | (4) Many A Star 11/4, This C&D winner has thrived for his new yard in recent weeks, scoring twice on AW before narrowly denied on hat-trick bid at Leicester (6f, heavy) last weekend. Likely to give another good account. Record over C&D reads 31231; going well recently and 2lb well in; respected back here. |
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6th (6) (14/1 -40%) Live In The Moment |
14/1(-40%) | (6) Live In The Moment 14/1, C&D winner last September. Below par final 2 starts but has dipped to only 1 lb above that successful mark as a result. No great record fresh. 1lb higher than when winning over C&D last September, but may need this after 197 days off. |
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7th (5) (14/1 -40%) Indian Creak |
14/1(-40%) | (5) Indian Creak 14/1, Three wins from 11 runs last year but his campaign rather tailed off in the autumn and he was last of 16 on his Newbury reappearance a fortnight ago. Possibly best watched for now. Back off last winning mark, but form has regressed since and finished last on reappearance. |
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8th (9) (25/1 +0%) Dayman |
25/1(+0%) | (9) Dayman 25/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2022. 11/1, last of 9 in handicap at Brighton (7f, good) 3 days ago. Not hard to look elsewhere. Losing run up to 12 and failed to beat a rival at Brighton on Tuesday; hard to fancy. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
David Probert formed a winning partnership with Spanish Star in last year's corresponding race and, off just 3lb higher, another bold showing is expected. However, this is a deeper renewal and with the likes of Live In The Moment and Indian Creak likely to be setting warm fractions, things could be teed up nicely for GISBURN. The selection appeals off a competitive mark with forecast ground conditions looking ideal. Baldomero and Many A Star add further spice to the race.
SPANISH STAR looks primed for a bold bid to repeat last year's success in this on the back of an encouraging reappearance in a competitive race at Newbury. The thriving Many A Star is another who has enjoyed some good days here and is second choice ahead of Bishop's Crown and Baldomero.
Last year's winner SPANISH STAR (nap) can follow up, having run well on his reappearance in the same race he prepped in 12 months ago.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (9/1 -157%) The Dancing Poet |
9/1(-157%) | (4) The Dancing Poet 9/1, Eighth of 10 in handicap at Catterick (12.1f, soft, 17/2) 9 days ago. Cheekpieces back on and he should step up on that reappearance. Not disgraced on return when eighth at Catterick nine days ago; he can build on that. |
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2nd (7) (5/1 +33%) Desert Quest |
5/1(+33%) | (7) Desert Quest 5/1, Latest win at Newcastle in January. 6¾ lengths sixth of 8 to Yakhabar in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f, 5/1) 25 days ago, having hopeless task from position. Can go well back on turf. Arrives in good form, set a lot to do when sixth at Newcastle latest; enters calculations. |
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3rd (2) (17/2 -31%) Masque Of Anarchy |
17/2(-31%) | (2) Masque Of Anarchy 17/2, Visored for first time, well-beaten eleventh of 12 to Carlos Felix in handicap (18/1) at Newcastle (12.4f). Off 171 days and headgear removed. Does lurk on a dangerous mark. Well held at Newcastle in November but has won off a break so can't be discounted. |
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4th (3) (11/4 +31%) Letsbefrank |
11/4(+31%) | (3) Letsbefrank 11/4, Promising sort. 80/1, eighth of 10 in minor event at Newcastle (8f) 73 days ago, slowly away. Significantly up in trip. Makes handicap debut and mark could underestimate him. Never dangerous in 1m Newcastle novice latest; goes h'capping up in trip; interesting. |
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5th (5) (8/1 -33%) Yakhabar |
8/1(-33%) | (5) Yakhabar 8/1, Two wins from 5 runs this year. 8/1, ninth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f) 7 days ago, slowly away. Back up in trip returned to turf. Beat only two in 1m2f Newcastle handicap week ago; he needs to bounce back. |
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6th (1) (8/1 -60%) Carlos Felix |
8/1(-60%) | (1) Carlos Felix 8/1, Latest win at Newcastle in November. 9/2, eighth of 11 in handicap at Southwell (14.1f), slowly away. Off 161 days ad he isn't one for maximum faith on turf (usually blows the start) Only eighth at Southwell in November; he needs to get back on track after a break. |
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7th (6) (3/1 +25%) Shifter |
3/1(+25%) | (6) Shifter 3/1, Creditable fourth of 11 in handicap (28/1) at Newcastle (12.4f). Off 6 months and market may guide as to fitness on reappearance. A two-time scorer for her current yard last autumn; one to consider on her seasonal return. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Not beaten far at Newcastle on her first go over this trip, SHIFTER could have plenty of improvement forthcoming and she is only 3lb higher than her success at Redcar two starts ago. The five-year-old can strike on her return at the main expense of the capable Desert Quest, and Carlos Felix. Unexposed and making his handicap debut, Letsbefrank is one to monitor for market support.
LETSBEFRANK looks the sort to flourish now handicapping over a more suitable trip against older rivals, so he has a lot in his favour. The Dancing Poet should step up on his reappearance, with Shifter another to consider given she ended 2023 in good order.
Jim Goldie has his team in good nick so his unexposed Frankel gelding LETSBEFRANK is taken to make a winning start in h'caps up in trip
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (11/8 +31%) Boiling Point |
11/8(+31%) | (2) Boiling Point 11/8, Thirsk novice winner who was an excellent short-head second of 12 to Alyanaabi in the C&D Somerville Tattersall Stakes in September. Turned over when odds on for a good-ground conditions race back here on his recent reappearance (Bold Style close up in third) but he's still a major player. Runner-up over C&D in last two appearances; penultimate effort is strong form. |
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2nd (3) (11/4 +21%) Bold Style |
11/4(+21%) | (3) Bold Style 11/4, Built on promising Wolverhampton debut when readily going one better at Chelmsford (1m) in December (second and third in that race have both won since). Further progress when third, finishing just a neck adrift of Boiling Point, over this C&D on recent turf debut. Probably capable of better still. Improving; only a neck behind Boiling Point over C&D last time; possibilities. |
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3rd (6) (13/2 -8%) Queen Of Zafeen |
13/2(-8%) | (6) Queen Of Zafeen 13/2, Looked good when winning first 2 starts and lost no caste in defeat, despite surrendering her unbeaten record, at Lingfield (AW) where she was just touched off in a 7f listed event. That bare form leaves her with a bit to find now switched to turf but she's clearly well-regarded (Group 1 entry). Progressive in 7f AW events, close second upped to Listed grade latest. |
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4th (1) (16/5 +47%) Alaskan Gold |
16/5(+47%) | (1) Alaskan Gold 16/5, Much improved with a visor added when ½-length second of 9 to Ballymount Boy in listed race at Doncaster (6f, heavy) on final 2-y-o start. Headgear omitted when a creditable fifth on return in the Greenham at Newbury and left off again here. Should give another good account. Ran well in the Greenham; won't be fazed if the ground is again slower than good. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
A small but select field of improving three-year-olds possibly headed by INDIAN RUN, who took the Group 3 Acomb Stakes at York last August before coming last in the Dewhurst Stakes, when the soft ground did not help his chances. If he has trained on, then he could prove too good for the likes of Boiling Point and Bold Style, who finished a good second and third respectively over this C&D last month and they will be looking to put their race-fitness to good use as they rise in class.
BOLD STYLE was only a neck behind Boiling Point in a well-contested C&D conditions race last month and, with the likelihood of better to come from the Godolphin colt, he is taken to reverse the placings with Roger Varian's charge and emerge on top. Boiling Point is nonetheless greatly respected, particularly judged on his close second to subsequent Dewhurst runner-up Alyanaabi in a Group 3 here in September, while Alaskan Gold wasn't disgraced in the Greenham and should be in the mix, too.
Solid BOILING POINT has useful C&D form and get the vote ahead of Bold Style, who ties in with the selection.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (9/4 +68%) Private Ryan |
9/4(+68%) | (6) Private Ryan 9/4, €65,000 3-y-o, £80,000 5-y-o, £9,000 6-y-o, Presenting gelding. Dam (b75), lightly raced in bumpers/over hurdles, half-sister to top-class chaser (stayed 33f) First Lieutenant (by Presenting). Has won between the flags but was unplaced last time. Rules debut. Won a trial race in February, giving him a potential edge over six of these rivals. |
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2nd (4) (2/1 +20%) De Nordener |
2/1(+20%) | (4) De Nordener 2/1, Multiple-winning pointer. 9/2, first run since leaving Enda Bolger when good fifth of 16 in novice chase at this course (24.4f, good to soft) on Tuesday. This is easier so major claims if coping with quick turnaround. Good form in points, big chance if none the worse for his outing over the banks on Tuesday. |
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3rd (7) (9/1 -13%) The Blind Piper |
9/1(-13%) | (7) The Blind Piper 9/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. First run since leaving Ms M. M. Gannon when 5/2, fell in hunter chase at Limerick (22.6f, heavy) on debut over fences. Multiple winning pointer, though last of 7 finishers in February. Made mistakes on return in race won by Private Ryan here in February, top rider aboard. |
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4th (8) (16/1 -14%) Baby Chou |
16/1(-14%) | (8) Baby Chou 16/1, 9/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, pulled up in handicap hurdle at Wexford (16.4f, soft), weakening between 3 out and 2 out on final run for Mrs J.Harrington.. Winning pointer, pulled up last time (Apr 13). Mares' maiden winner at Ballyknock in March, pulled up in a winners' event last month.. |
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5th (1) (20/1 -67%) Fr Gilligansvoyge |
20/1(-67%) | (1) Fr Gilligansvoyge 20/1, Poor chaser. Course winner. One win from 49 NH runs. Pulled up in hunter chase (66/1) at Down Royal (19.6f, soft) 47 days ago, pulled up last. Prone to mistakes. Won this race last season at 25-1, stiff tasks this season, back in his comfort zone now.. |
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|F| (10) (22/1 -83%) Keenaghan Lass |
22/1(-83%) | (10) Keenaghan Lass 22/1, Poor chaser. 18/1, good sixth of 13 in hunter chase at Downpatrick (23.5f, good to soft).Third in a point in February. Fifth last year, left third behind Private Ryan last time after fall of Gino Drummer Boy. |
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|U| (5) (15/2 -50%) Gino Drummer Boy |
15/2(-50%) | (5) Gino Drummer Boy 15/2, Fair hurdler. 10/3, respectable sixth of 14 in novice hurdle at Kilbeggan (16f, good). Made frame completed start in points (pulled up last time) and he's in top hands. Held in third when falling at the last in a race won by Private Ryan at this venue. |
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|PU| (3) (10/1 -25%) Chateau Elan |
10/1(-25%) | (3) Chateau Elan 10/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 14/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, seventh of 9 in hunter chase at Listowel (24f, good). Fit from a placed effort in points last month. Fourth in his even last season, same pacing behind Private Ryan here in February. |
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|PU| (2) (14/1 -133%) Brown Monday |
14/1(-133%) | (2) Brown Monday 14/1, Fair chaser. Fell in handicap hurdle at Roscommon in September 2022 (15.4f, good, 25/1) might have been placed. Unplaced in a point in February but one to consider on his best Rules form. Beaten over 20l in sixth behind Private Ryan in a trial for this event here in February. |
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|PU| (11) (66/1 -164%) Mandilou |
66/1(-164%) | (11) Mandilou 66/1, Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. 125/1, pulled up in novice chase at this course (24.4f, good to soft) 3 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Huge price when pulled up in Tuesday's Ladies' Cup, stablemate of Fr Gilligansvoyge. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
FR GILLIGANSVOYGE popped up in this race last year and a return to Punchestown might see him regain the winning thread. He has been placed in three handicap chases since then and although a couple of comeback spins in hunters chases at Gowran Park and Down Royal didn't see him at his best, they should have him primed for this. De Nordener ran well for a long way over further in a banks race on the opening day of the Festival before dropping to fifth, so he ought to be a significant player. Patrick Mullins is a notable booking for Brown Monday, who must be given a market check.
DE NORDENER has enjoyed plenty of success in points for his current handler and having finished fifth in a better race than this here on Tuesday, is selected on this quick turnaround. Brown Monday and Gino Drummer Boy are a couple of threats.
If suffering no ill effects from Tuesday's run, DE NORDENER can score for Toni Quail who has ridden him to four wins in points.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (6/1 -33%) Desperate Hero |
6/1(-33%) | (3) Desperate Hero 6/1, Three wins from 12 runs last year. Latest win at Nottingham in October. Shaped as if needing the run at Bath (5f, heavy) on return last month so better expected now. Three wins last year and probably needed his reappearance; shortlisted. |
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2nd (2) (9/2 -50%) King's Lynn |
9/2(-50%) | (2) King's Lynn 9/2, Landed Group 2 Temple Stakes at Haydock in spring 2022. Winless since and signs of decline second half of last season. Little impact on return but mark continues to fall at least. Has been a smart sprinter, but out of the frame in last seven starts; needs a resurgence. |
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3rd (4) (6/4 +50%) Dream Composer |
6/4(+50%) | (4) Dream Composer 6/4, Improver last year, winning 3 times, including this race off 5 lb higher. Shaped as if he'd come on for his reappearance at Doncaster but didn't get a chance to show that at Newmarket next time (suffered early interference). Worth another chance with headgear back on. 8lb below last winning mark and 5lb lower than when winning this last year; interesting.. |
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4th (1) (7/2 +13%) Clarendon House |
7/2(+13%) | (1) Clarendon House 7/2, Smart gelding with a good strike rate, adding to his tally at Wolverhampton and Southwell in the winter. Not so good back at a higher level next 2 starts but needs considering back in a handicap (close second in this 2 years ago). Best turf form has come on good or faster ground so would need conditions to dry out. |
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5th (5) (6/1 -50%) Harry Brown |
6/1(-50%) | (5) Harry Brown 6/1, Consistent performer but probably wants his sights lowered if he's to resume winning ways (1 lb out of handicap). 0-8 on turf and more needed if he is to win this from 1lb out of the weights. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
Clarendon House, who was second in the 2022 renewal of this race, commands respect dropping back into a handicap after a couple of spins in pattern company. Desperate Hero and King's Lynn should act on the ground conditions and can figure off competitive marks. However, Harry Brown and DREAM COMPOSER may be the pair to focus on, with the latter shading preference as a previous course and distance winner, with Joe Levy's 5lb claim an additional bonus.
DREAM COMPOSER wasn't seen to best effect at Newmarket last time so is well worth another chance to build on his return having won this race last year off 5 lb higher. Clarendon House is feared most back down in class.
The choice is DREAM COMPOSER who has dropped 8lb below his last winning mark and 5lb lower than when taking this event last year.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (9/4 +18%) Giorgio M |
9/4(+18%) | (2) Giorgio M 9/4, Fair maiden. Good fourth of 11 in handicap at Windsor (6f, good to firm, 20/1) on reappearance 11 days ago. Tongue strap on first time. Respected. Gelded/wind op before good Windsor fourth on return; must enter calculations off same mark. |
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2nd (4) (11/4 +31%) East Bank |
11/4(+31%) | (4) East Bank 11/4, Latest win at Newcastle in March. 5/2, sixth of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (7f) 49 days ago, finding little. Turf winner last spring. Beat only two at Newcastle last time; has won on turf though so is no forlorn hope. |
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3rd (1) (7/2 -180%) Summit |
7/2(-180%) | (1) Summit 7/2, First run since leaving William Haggas when good second of 6 in handicap (4/1) at Ripon (1m, heavy) on reappearance 15 days ago, running on. Expected to be bang there. Encouraging start for new yard with Ripon second; form has been franked so big shout. |
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4th (3) (11/2 +39%) Half Moon Rising |
11/2(+39%) | (3) Half Moon Rising 11/2, Failed to win at 2 but he did reach the frame on all 3 handicap starts (7f/1m). Much depends on whether he's fully primed after 7 months off. A fair and consistent maiden in 2023; gelded ahead of return and can make presence felt. |
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5th (5) (20/1 +39%) Reveal |
20/1(+39%) | (5) Reveal 20/1, Eleventh of 12 in handicap at Chelmsford (6f, 66/1) 35 days ago. In a less competitive race now stepping back up in trip but others still preferred. Gelded before beating only one at Chelmsford (6f) 35 days ago; others are preferred. |
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6th (7) (13/2 +19%) Wadacre Icarus |
13/2(+19%) | (7) Wadacre Icarus 13/2, Lightly-raced maiden. 5/1, last of 6 on 1m Kempton handicap debut in January. Switches to turf for the first time after a 114-day break. Still early days for his leading stable. Last of six on handicap debut at Kempton in January; plenty to prove on his turf debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
This can go the way of SUMMIT, who made a promising stable debut at Ripon behind a subsequent winner. David O'Meara's well-bred charge is off an unchanged mark and is preferred to East Bank, who would hold strong claims if bouncing back to the form of his success at Newcastle. Giorgio M shaped well when fourth on his return over 6f at Windsor and should appreciate going up in distance.
SUMMIT bumped into a next-time-out winner when second on her Ripon reappearance and first outing for David O'Meara and can go one better now. Newmarket-raider Giorgio M also arrives on the back of a solid seasonal return and can give the selection most to think about.
Clear preference is for SUMMIT, who shaped well when a recent runner-up at Ripon on his debut for David O'Meara and can go one better.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (50/1 -52%) Outbox |
50/1(-52%) | (5) Outbox 50/1, Smart performer on his day but this front-runner's last win was back in February 2022 and bit of a surprise were he to snap that losing run here (third and fourth in the last 2 runnings of this). Losing sequence is mounting up; the 9yo is vulnerable against these younger rivals. |
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2nd (6) (11/8 +45%) Time Lock |
11/8(+45%) | (6) Time Lock 11/8, Won a French listed race last September and displayed a striking turn of foot when following up in the Group 3 Princess Royal Stakes over C&D 4 weeks later. Not up to a Group 1 at Ascot final start but capable of playing a leading role on her return to action for an-form stable. Very useful mare who is 2-2 at this venue, including an emphatic G3 win last September. |
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3rd (4) (8/1 -14%) Naqeeb |
8/1(-14%) | (4) Naqeeb 8/1, Superbly-bred colt (closely related to top-class pair Baaeed and Hukum) and progressed nicely at 3. Has something to find at this level but good chance he'll have more to offer in 2024. Pedigree suggests he'll get even better with age; interesting prospect for this season. |
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4th (1) (11/2 -10%) Astro King |
11/2(-10%) | (1) Astro King 11/2, Inspired buy by connections, winning a nice prize at the York Ebor meeting last summer before following up in the Cambridgeshire here. Good length second of 9 to Ottoman Fleet in Earl of Sefton over 9f here last month and good chance on form if stamina holds on belated first attempt at 1½m Ran creditably in the Earl of Sefton here last month; stamina to prove over this new trip. |
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5th (3) (5/1 +0%) King Of Conquest |
5/1(+0%) | (3) King Of Conquest 5/1, Won a Goodwood listed race last May and proved his stamina for 1½m when third in a Group 3 here on final 4-y-o start. Respectable fourth in a Bahrain listed race on reappearance in March. Buick sides with Castle Way. Has two pieces of very useful form at this venue, including major handicap success. |
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6th (2) (7/2 +42%) Castle Way |
7/2(+42%) | (2) Castle Way 7/2, Won the 1¼m 3-y-o listed race on this card a year ago and followed up in the Group 3 Bahrain Trophy at the July meeting. Improved again when second in Great Voltigeur at York (1½m, good to firm) on final start and had an excuse (found to have bled) for his disappointing reappearance at Meydan. Progressive on British soil and has a record of 3-4 at the Newmarket tracks; respected. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Naqeeb is interesting if a gelding operation brings about some improvement, but he still needs to find more if he wants get the better of CASTLE WAY. Fourth at Meydan on his return in March before scoping badly after the race and given time to recover, he can hopefully recapture his better form, which includes three wins at Newmarket (two on this course). Time Lock is a classy C&D winner, but it is noted he is yet to win on his first start of the season.
Harry Charlton has his team in fine form so the suggestion is TIME LOCK who is 2-2 over C&D, including a Group 3 last autumn. With doubts about Astro King's stamina it could be that the chief threat comes from Godolphin's Castle Way.
Several of the runners have good Newmarket form. The percentage call goes to CASTLE WAY, ahead of Time Lock.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (11) (16/1 -60%) Hgranca De Thaix |
16/1(-60%) | (11) Hgranca De Thaix 16/1, Got off the mark over fences with a career-best win in 5-runner handicap (7/2) at Limerick (19.6f, heavy) and is open to further progress granted even more of a test. Narrow winner of a Limerick handicap in March; only 4lb higher, more progress on the cards. |
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2nd (5) (4/1 +11%) Perceval Legallois |
4/1(+11%) | (5) Perceval Legallois 4/1, Useful 3m winner over hurdles. Made a successful debut over fences at Galway in October and running a cracker when fell last in 2m5f handicap chase at Leopardstown 89 days ago, looking set to go close. Must enter calculations. Jumping is a significant concern but has a leading chance here if avoiding error. |
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3rd (14) (10/1 +50%) Battle It Out |
10/1(+50%) | (14) Battle It Out 10/1, Career best when winning 10-runner handicap chase at Naas (20f, heavy). Not in same form stepped up to 3m at Navan since but return to this distance is a positive. Won readily with a light weight at Naas, unable to sustain progress over 2m7f at Navan. |
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4th (16) (40/1 -100%) Duffle Coat |
40/1(-100%) | (16) Duffle Coat 40/1, Fairly useful chaser who deserves credit for consistency for all a first chasing victory remains elusive, clear of the rest when close second in maiden at Downpatrick last week. Opening mark looks high enough. Narrowly beaten at Downpatrick last week, previously no match for Dreal Deal at Down Royal. |
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5th (3) (33/1 -106%) Mars Harper |
33/1(-106%) | (3) Mars Harper 33/1, Back-to-back winner at around 2m6f over fences last summer and ran well from inflated mark when second at Punchestown (21.3f) in November. Not in same for next 2 starts, however, including on the Plate at the Cheltenham Festival. Down the field in a Cheltenham Festival handicap, 2-15 over fences, well exposed now. |
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6th (10) (25/1 -79%) Dreal Deal |
25/1(-79%) | (10) Dreal Deal 25/1, 7/1, improved to win 11-runner novice chase at Down Royal (20f, good to soft) 19 days ago by 5½ lengths from Duffle Coat, driven out. More needed again if he's to follow up on handicap chase debut. Opened chase account at the sixth attempt in 2m4f at Down Royal, more progress feasible. |
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7th (2) (5/1 +38%) Tactical Move |
5/1(+38%) | (2) Tactical Move 5/1, Low mileage 10-y-o who hasn't done much wrong since switched to fences, chasing home stablemate Nick Rockett on chase debut before hitting the target at Gowran and Naas. Excellent second behind Tuesday's Grade 1 winner Spillane's Tower at Fairyhouse since so high on shortlist switched to a handicap. Second to Spillane's Tower in 2m4f Fairyhouse Grade 1, winner upheld the form on Tuesday. |
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8th (4) (25/1 +0%) Toss Again |
25/1(+0%) | (4) Toss Again 25/1, Fairly useful hurdler who has quickly made into an even better chaser, winning maiden at Limerick in May and competitive handicap at Galway in August. However, no match for sole rival in novice at Killarney before tailed off in similar event at Cheltenham in October. Off since. First run since last October, stablemate Arctic Bresil may be better handicapped. |
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|F| (7) (15/2 +25%) Sir Psycho |
15/2(+25%) | (7) Sir Psycho 15/2, Made his first start since leaving Paul Nicholls a winning one in novice handicap at Ascot (18.8f) on his return in November. Best effort since when good second of 6 in handicap chase at Newbury (19.8f, good to soft, 8/1) 41 days ago. Not taken lightly. Went close at Newbury, 13 years since the last British-trained winner of this race. |
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|F| (9) (33/1 -106%) Captains Nephew |
33/1(-106%) | (9) Captains Nephew 33/1, 10/1, career best when winning 9-runner handicap chase at Fairyhouse (16.7f, heavy) 33 days ago, going with enthusiasm. Up in trip. This is tougher. Career-best when winning a Listed novice handicap on heavy ground at Fairyhouse. |
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|PU| (1) (4/1 -60%) Mister Policeman |
4/1(-60%) | (1) Mister Policeman 4/1, Smart hurdler who's won 3 of his 4 starts over fences this season, including when landing the odds in Grade 3 at Thurles 7 weeks ago. Makes handicap debut. Open to further improvement as a chaser. Three from four over fences after odds-on Grade 3 win at Thurles, Paul Townend rides. |
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|PU| (12) (9/1 +36%) Arctic Bresil |
9/1(+36%) | (12) Arctic Bresil 9/1, Winning hurdler who has run to a similar level in trio of chase starts this winter. Caught out by the standing start when mid-field in the Plate at the Cheltenham Festival last time and Rachael Blackmore takes the ride as one of 3 runners from this yard. Interesting on account of 6l second to Mister Policeman in a novice race here in February. |
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|PU| (8) (16/1 +0%) Flanking Maneuver |
16/1(+0%) | (8) Flanking Maneuver 16/1, Opened chase account at Fairyhouse 21.5f in October. Mightn't have had much luck on his last 2 starts but the suspicion is he's struggling for form at present. Opening mark a fair one at least. Won a Fairyhouse beginners' event, limitations evident in smart company since. |
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|PU| (15) (20/1 +0%) Spirit Of Legend |
20/1(+0%) | (15) Spirit Of Legend 20/1, Useful winner at 20f over hurdles. Well held first 2 starts over fences before fell in handicap chase at Naas (20f, soft) 96 days ago, too far out to suggest outcome. Tongue strap on 1st time. Easy to look elsewhere. Fell four out at Navan on handicap debut, tongue-tie for the first time, plenty to prove. |
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|PU| (13) (25/1 -79%) Feu Du Bresil |
25/1(-79%) | (13) Feu Du Bresil 25/1, Yet to build on his promising chase debut at Fairyhouse in November but at least matched that form when second of 5 in handicap chase at Perth (20.1f, soft) 8 days ago. This tougher. Second to stablemate Mister Policeman on chase debut, potentially well handicapped. |
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|PU| (17) (33/1 -65%) Hardwired |
33/1(-65%) | (17) Hardwired 33/1, Added another win to his tally at Navan 6 weeks ago but will find this much more competitive. 3lb out of the handicap but goes well for Shane O'Callaghan who claims a useful 5lb. |
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|PU| (6) (50/1 -213%) Joyeux Machin |
50/1(-213%) | (6) Joyeux Machin 50/1, Useful chaser but has failed to complete last 2 starts, falling at the first in Grade 3 at Limerick 2 weeks ago. Change of headgear. Opening mark in this sphere looks on the high side. Hard to be confident after an early departure at Limerick, new headgear combination. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
TACTICAL MOVE's form looks particularly solid which gives him a shot at overturning stablemate Mister Policeman. He was beaten less than two lengths into second in a Grade 1 in Fairyhouse at the end of March and the winner followed up in another top-level contest here on Tuesday. Willie Mullins, who has an outstanding record in this race, also saddles Mister Policeman, who is three from four over fences. He was a comfortable winner of a Grade 3 novice chase at Thurles and has to be respected off top-weight now stepped up in trip. Perceval Legallois has the ability to contend if he can brush up on his jumping.
PERCEVAL LEGALLOIS was set to go close when crashing out at the last in a Grade 3 handicap at Leopardstown in February so tops the shortlist down in class racing off 2 lb higher. Low-mileage 10-y-o Tactical Move was an excellent second to Spillane's Tower in a Grade 1 novice at Fairyhouse 5 weeks ago so is next best ahead of his unexposed stablemate Mister Policeman.
With two falls against his name and a tailed-off last, PERCEVAL LEGALLOIS is evidently risky but it may be worth taking the gamble
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (12/1 +14%) Lavender Hill Mob |
12/1(+14%) | (3) Lavender Hill Mob 12/1, Won 1m novice at Lingfield in January and good third off 1 lb higher at Wolverhampton on penultimate start. However, he was never in the hunt returned to turf at Newmarket last time and there are others in this line-up with more appealing profiles. Down the field at Newmarket recently and others look open to greater progress. |
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2nd (1) (6/5 +26%) Portsmouth |
6/5(+26%) | (1) Portsmouth 6/5, Promise in 3 starts on the AW at 2 yrs and, gelded during the winter, he improved switched to turf when scoring in good style on his recent reappearance/handicap debut at Epsom (8.5f, good to firm). Likely he has more to offer and obvious claims under a penalty here. Penalised for his ready success at Epsom and he may have turned a corner. |
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3rd (10) (12/1 +52%) Al Khawaneej River |
12/1(+52%) | (10) Al Khawaneej River 12/1, Signs of ability in trip of starts as a 2-y-o but was never on terms making his handicap debut following 8 months off at Kempton in March. Goes up in trip here and needs to take a step forward. Easy to back and didn't show a lot on handicap debut at Kempton (1m). |
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4th (6) (11/4 +39%) Ashariba |
11/4(+39%) | (6) Ashariba 11/4, Held back by inexperience when seventh on debut here last August and duly improved when getting on top close home in a 9f Yarmouth maiden (good to soft) the following month. Mixed messages form-wise but that race has produced 4 subsequent winners and she's of interest for last year's winning yard. Irish Oaks entry is fanciful but could be on a useful mark and her yard won this last year. |
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5th (4) (13/2 -63%) Show Biz Kid |
13/2(-63%) | (4) Show Biz Kid 13/2, Showed ability in a handful of appearances at 2 yrs and improved when 3½ lengths third of 11 in the Epsom handicap won by Portsmouth 10 days ago. Remains open to improvement and a 6 lb pull at the weights gives him a fighting chance of at least getting closer to that re-opposing rival here. Beaten by Portsmouth at Epsom but could have needed the run and now goes further. |
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6th (9) (10/1 +17%) Salamanca Lad |
10/1(+17%) | (9) Salamanca Lad 10/1, With cheekpieces applied on debut for new yard, he performed with when fourth of 9 in handicap at Southwell (1m) on return in March. Appeared to see this trip out when third at Chelmsford next time but new headgear (first-time blinkers) will need to spark improvement if he's to emerge on top here. Stamina for this far is not copperbottomed and he's a bit risky in new blinkers. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
An eye-catcher when keeping on well for third on her return over 1m at Kempton last month, UNREAL CONNECTION has a strong staying pedigree on her dam's side and should be well suited by going up in trip. The daughter of Calyx gets the vote ahead of the recent Epsom winner Portsmouth, who has a 6lb penalty to overcome for that taking success. Show Biz Kid (third) has three-and-a-half lengths to make up from that contest but should not be discounted.
SHOW BIZ KID was beaten 3½ lengths into third behind Portsmouth at Epsom and, in truth, the latter probably had a fair bit left up his sleeve that day. However, armed with a 6 lb pull and an extra furlong-and-a-half to travel here, Richard Hannon's charge has a realistic chance of turning the tables on that rival. Portsmouth is clear second choice given that he too remains open to improvement, while the unexposed Ashariba and Unreal Connection are others to consider.
Andrew Balding's PORTSMOUTH won with sufficient authority at Epsom to believe he can defy the penalty.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (9/2 +55%) Without Delay |
9/2(+55%) | (4) Without Delay 9/2, C&D winner who went close on a couple of occasions at Catterick last summer. Probably best not judged too harshly on her 2 starts so far this spring and better showing not ruled out from easing mark. C&D winner; below par this term but no surprise if she took a step forward off easing mark. |
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2nd (8) (4/1 +38%) Tacitus |
4/1(+38%) | (8) Tacitus 4/1, One win from 25 Flat runs. 40/1, fifth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 10 days ago, fading having led until 2f out. Both career victories to date have come on turf and he comes here operating from last winning mark. Solid fifth at Wolverhampton 10 days ago so he's in the mix from a 2lb lower mark. |
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3rd (10) (8/1 -23%) Fanzone |
8/1(-23%) | (10) Fanzone 8/1, One win from 34 Flat runs. Twenty four runs since last win in 2022. 33/1, bit below form fifth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 23 days ago. Blinkers back on. His sole turf success came over 7f here and he arrives in decent nick; shortlisted. |
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4th (7) (18/1 -227%) Chinese Spirit |
18/1(-227%) | (7) Chinese Spirit 18/1, C&D winner in August who run with credit thereafter last term, 13/2, fifth of 8 in handicap at this course (9f, good to soft) in October, running on. Absent since and feasible to think she will strip fitter for this run. Goes well here so this C&D scorer can't be discounted if fully tuned up for his return. |
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5th (5) (7/1 -155%) Ledger |
7/1(-155%) | (5) Ledger 7/1, Latest win at Newcastle (1m) in February. 3/1 and blinkered for 1st time, good second of 8 in handicap back at that track (1m) 56 days ago. Definite player if he can translate his AW form back to turf. Very good second at Newcastle 56 days ago; merits serious consideration back on turf. |
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6th (6) (9/2 +68%) Violeta |
9/2(+68%) | (6) Violeta 9/2, Remains a maiden after 18 Flat runs. 14/1, eleventh of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f) 25 days ago. Application of a first-time visor could well help now and she represents a yard who have been amongst the winners. Is now 0-18 and she beat only one in 7f Newcastle handicap 25 days ago; visor goes on. |
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7th (3) (12/1 -71%) Paco's Pride |
12/1(-71%) | (3) Paco's Pride 12/1, Fair maiden handicapper for Roger Varian who ran poorly on second start for new stable/following 4 months off when last of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f) 39 days ago. Visor reached for now. Last of nine in Newcastle h'cap for current yard 39 days ago; visor is reached for now. |
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8th (2) (22/1 -83%) Moondial |
22/1(-83%) | (2) Moondial 22/1, Fair 7f winner at her best but operating some way below her best in trio of starts on AW for present stable. Easing in the weights all the time but she's a good bit to prove at present. Yet to fire in three runs for her current yard; she needs to take a big step forward. |
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9th (1) (11/2 +54%) Loom Large |
11/2(+54%) | (1) Loom Large 11/2, Winner at Newcastle (10.2f) in October but disappointed on 4 of his 5 starts on AW since the turn of the year. well-beaten tenth of 12 in handicap back at that venue 17 days ago. Bounce back called for returned to turf. A fair 1m2f winner at his best but he arrives below par; others appeal more. |
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10th (9) (18/1 -177%) Doomsday |
18/1(-177%) | (9) Doomsday 18/1, One win from 22 Flat runs. Visored for 1st time, last of 6 in handicap at this course (7.2f, soft) in September, beaten over 2f out. Headgear discarded on return and market best guide with yard also saddling Fanzone. Winless since 2022 and he needs to hit the ground running on his seasonal return. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
LEDGER may not have shown much on turf for his previous trainer, but he has improved for Lucinda Russell and is the form horse on the back of some excellent recent efforts at Newcastle. A winner over C&D last August, the veteran Chinese Spirit can give him the most to think about, along with Doomsday, who has been second here on two occasions. Fanzone and Loom Large are entitled to be thereabouts as well.
LEDGER has to prove himself as effective on turf but Lucinda Russell's charge has been in good order on all weather in recent months and could just be worth siding with. Tacitus should be back up to speed with a couple of runs under his belt and is feared, with Violeta and Without Delay a couple of others to consider.
This looks a good opportunity for Lucinda Russell's LEDGER to resume winning ways on the back of a very good Newcastle second last time
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (9/2 +44%) A Jet Of Our Own |
9/2(+44%) | (3) A Jet Of Our Own 9/2, Dam unraced half-sister to modest chaser (stayed 3m) Royal Ranger. Multiple point winner, including last time (Apr 20) so that should set him up nicely for a first crack under Rules. Won a point this month and now 5-16 in that sphere; considered each-way on rules debut. |
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2nd (2) (Evens +9%) Fier Jaguen |
Evens(+9%) | (2) Fier Jaguen Evens, Unseated rider when prominent for the Foxhunters' at Aintree in April 2023 and overcame a tendency to jump markedly to his right when seeing off Caryto des Brosses and 8 other rivals in this race a year ago. Runner-up in a point last month and another bold bid looks assured. Won this race in 2023 and has very good chance to defend his crown. |
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3rd (9) (9/1 -13%) Missed Tee |
9/1(-13%) | (9) Missed Tee 9/1, Fair hurdles for Dan Skelton and stepped up on her opening run in hunters when third at Ludlow in March. Does need to cut out these errors, particularly over these fences. Bounced back from disappointing stable debut when third at Ludlow; more needed here. |
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4th (6) (33/1 -106%) Funky Sensation |
33/1(-106%) | (6) Funky Sensation 33/1, Rules record is rather uninspiring, looking flattered by his fifth place-finish on this card a year ago (20.6f). Excelled himself when fifth over 2m4f at this meeting last year but still opposable. |
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|U| (5) (28/1 +15%) Fine Investment |
28/1(+15%) | (5) Fine Investment 28/1, Little in the way of promise under Rules early in his career but fit from a point he stuck to his take when third in a maiden hunter in February (20f). Runner-up between the flags recently but may not have the pace for this. Respectable third in Leicester hunter chase in February but others look stronger here. |
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|PU| (1) (5/2 -67%) Caryto Des Brosses |
5/2(-67%) | (1) Caryto Des Brosses 5/2, Coped really well with drop to 2m when finding only the re-opposing Fier Jaguen too strong in this race a year ago. Warmed up for this with an easy point win and cheekpieces are on for the first time under Rules. Clear second in this race last year and an easy point winner two weeks ago. |
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|PU| (4) (100/1 -150%) Bigforyourboots |
100/1(-150%) | (4) Bigforyourboots 100/1, Dam unraced sister to fair hurdler/fairly useful chaser (stayed 33f) Howdydoody. No impact in a Doncaster bumper for Sam Allwood in January and unplaced completed start in points. Showed some promise in a maiden point in March but is not the most obvious answer here. |
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|PU| (7) (100/1 -100%) Rewritetherules |
100/1(-100%) | (7) Rewritetherules 100/1, Multiple point winner but rarely shows his form in hunters. Third in this race in 2022 but has looked out of sorts this year (pulled up three times). |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
FIER JAGUEN bids to land this contest for a second year running and the son of No Risk At All ticks plenty of the right boxes. Bradley Gibbs' gelding has been in fine fettle between the flags in recent months and he's taken to fend off Caryto Des Brosses once more. The veteran is a potential improver in first-time cheekpieces and he should give another good account, while Missed Tee may fare best of the remainder at the foot of the weights.
CARYTO DES BROSSES and Fier Jaguen dominated this race a year ago and a similar scenario may well be on the cards again, with the placings selected to be reversed in the hope David Kemp's inmate is ridden slighter closer to his rival this time.
Last year's winner FIER JAGUEN has returned in good form in points this year and is still unexposed under rules.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (7/4 +61%) Volterra |
7/4(+61%) | (7) Volterra 7/4, Promise when making the frame first 2 starts and took a step forward when opening his account in 12-runner minor event at Redcar (7f, good) in September, still green but travelling powerfully. Major player with more still to offer as he goes handicapping. Ran well in all three starts last year including a Redcar win; watch market on return. |
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2nd (6) (9/1 -13%) Skukuza |
9/1(-13%) | (6) Skukuza 9/1, Plenty of encouragement when runner-up at Newbury (7f, good) on debut last summer, but was still green when third at Yarmouth next time. Shaped as if better for the run after 8 months off at this course 17 days ago, so he's not discounted upped in trip for his handicap bow. Plenty of stamina on dam's side; one to be interested in on handicap debut up a furlong. |
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3rd (3) (4/1 +11%) The Camden Colt |
4/1(+11%) | (3) The Camden Colt 4/1, Fairly useful form at 2 yrs, only narrowly denied in a C&D nursery on his final outing of the campaign in September. After a 7-month absence, picked up where he left off when again finding one too strong here (good) 17 days ago. Can give his running once more. Runner-up over C&D in last two starts; up another 2lb and wouldn't want rain. |
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4th (2) (11/2 +8%) Silent Age |
11/2(+8%) | (2) Silent Age 11/2, Landed odds in Kempton maiden on debut and defied a penalty in the style of a useful prospect at Wolverhampton a month later. Wasn't able to continue his progress when sixth of 8 in listed race at Newcastle (8f) last time, but he could yet do better now handicapping. Behind Yokohama last time, but stable has won three of the last seven runnings. |
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5th (5) (9/2 +0%) Olympic Candle |
9/2(+0%) | (5) Olympic Candle 9/2, Progressed with each start at 2 yrs, getting off the mark at Ascot in September before following up with a bit in hand at Kempton 2 weeks later. After 5 months off, bumped at the start when down the field in handicap at Meydan (7f, good) in February. Remains with potential. Disappointing favourite on handicap debut at Meydan in February; something to prove. |
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6th (1) (28/1 -180%) Yokohama |
28/1(-180%) | (1) Yokohama 28/1, Showed a good attitude when a rare debut winner for his trainer at Newcastle in September. After 6 months off, ran well upped in grade when 4¾ lengths fifth of 8 to Cuban Tiger in listed race at the same course (8f) 35 days ago. Further progress required on handicap debut. 1-2 on the Newcastle AW; watch market on turf/handicap debut. |
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7th (8) (16/1 +0%) L'ennemi |
16/1(+0%) | (8) L'ennemi 16/1, Much improved from debut when second in a Beverley maiden in August and found a bit more progress when third in minor event at Haydock (8f, good to firm) the folllowing month. Off 7 months/has left Ralph Beckett ahead of his first handicap start. Progressive form in three starts last year; stable/handicap debut after eight months off. |
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8th (9) (25/1 -14%) Rosenzoo |
25/1(-14%) | (9) Rosenzoo 25/1, Off the mark at the fifth attempt in a Kempton nursery (8f) in September and soon left behind a lesser effort when third at the same C&D on his final start last year. More needed as he returns from 6 months off. Has looked better on the AW so far; best watched back on turf after seven months off. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
L'Ennemi seems worth a market check on his first start for Julie Camacho, with a mark of 81 looking workable after a good third at Haydock on his final start of 2023. He can go well, but Charlie Appleby has won three of the last seven runnings of this race and has a solid chance again with SILENT AGE. The selection threw away the race at the start at Newcastle but had won his previous two outings and may do better now in handicap company on his turf bow. The hat-trick seeking Rocking Tree may prove best of the rest.
VOLTERRA impressed with how he travelled through the race when winning at Redcar on his final start last year and, with further improvement to come, he is taken to follow up on his handicap/seasonal debut. Silent Age wasn't able to land the hat-trick on his latest outing but is respected as he makes the switch to a handicap, with Olympic Candle completing the shortlist.
This can go to handicap newcomer SKUKUZA who made an encouraging return here last month. That form was boosted at Windsor on Monday.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (15/8 -7%) Brides Hill |
15/8(-7%) | (2) Brides Hill 15/8, Smart chaser who's unbeaten this season, landing mares novice at Listowel in September, mares handicap at Fairyhouse in December and 7-runner listed mares event at Huntingdon (easily) 14 weeks ago. Well worth another shot at this level. Unbeaten in three starts this season, most recently bolted up in a Listed at Huntingdon. |
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2nd (6) (5/1 -50%) Instit |
5/1(-50%) | (6) Instit 5/1, Useful chaser at best and not disgraced without threatening when fifth in Mrs Paddy Power Mares' Chase (Liberthine) at Cheltenham (20.6f, heavy). Ran right up to form when runner-up in listed events at Fairyhouse and Perth next 2 starts and she's a player on these terms. Second to Ardera Ru at Fairyhouse and in a Listed at Perth latest; should get in the frame. |
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3rd (7) (8/1 +50%) Must Be Obeyed |
8/1(+50%) | (7) Must Be Obeyed 8/1, Useful chaser who was a good second of 17 in Grade 3 handicap here on Wednesday but more needed at this level. Ran okay behind Ardera Ru at Fairyhouse but a lot more is needed here. |
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4th (1) (11/8 +8%) Allegorie De Vassy |
11/8(+8%) | (1) Allegorie De Vassy 11/8, Dual Grade 2 winner last season. As good as ever when winning 2 of her 4 starts this term, namely 2 listed events. Just respectable fourth in Mrs Paddy Power Mares' Chase (Liberthine) (5/2) at Cheltenham Festival 7 weeks ago but this easier. Big shout. Six-time winner; likely to go close in a race lacking much strength in depth. |
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5th (4) (22/1 -83%) Calico |
22/1(-83%) | (4) Calico 22/1, Useful hurdler and probably just as good over fences. Unexposed in this sphere but big step forward is required. Ground will suit but needs to find a bit extra even if forward enough. |
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6th (3) (66/1 -32%) Ardera Ru |
66/1(-32%) | (3) Ardera Ru 66/1, Fairly useful chaser. Career best when winning 8-runner handicap chase at Fairyhouse (21.6f, heavy, 18/1) 34 days ago by 3¾ lengths from Instit. 26 lb worse off with the winner here, however. Relished the heavy ground when a surprise winner from Instit in a Listed at Fairyhouse. |
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|PU| (5) (250/1 -150%) Echoes Of Family |
250/1(-150%) | (5) Echoes Of Family 250/1, Modest chaser who makes no appeal in this company. Well beaten third in a point-to-point here in February; makes no appeal. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
The 153-rated ALLEGORIE DE VASSY sets the standard for Willie Mullins and Paul Townend. Her form has been generally very consistent since switching to chasing back in December 2022. She has won twice at this level and was last seen finishing well in fourth in the Grade 2 mares' chase at the Cheltenham Festival. The in-form Brides Hill is gunning for a four-timer and was impressive in Listed class at Huntingdon, but the concern would be that Allegorie De Vassy comprehensively beat her in a Grade 2 at Thurles last year. Instit, a stablemate of Allegorie De Vassy, is next best on ratings and can also get in the mix.
BRIDES HILL arrives here fresh after 3 unbeaten runs this season and is preferred to Allegorie de Vassy, who disappointed in this 12 months ago. The latter's stablemate Instit is best of the others.
Preference is for the very progressive BRIDES HILL, unbeaten in three starts this season and comes here fresh after missing Cheltenham
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (2/1 -45%) Phoenix Passion |
2/1(-45%) | (2) Phoenix Passion 2/1, Yarmouth winner at 2 yrs and doubled his tally when landing an 8-runner handicap at Windsor (1m, good) last month. 4 lb rise fair enough and he's the one to beat. Up another 4lb but going the right way and Goodwood should suit him. |
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2nd (7) (18/1 -29%) Hello Cotai |
18/1(-29%) | (7) Hello Cotai 18/1, Appeared to take a step forward in first-time cheekpieces when a good fourth of 7 on debut for this yard at Lingfield (7f, AW) last month. Not so good at Kempton since (took a strong hold) but place possibilities if on-song. 0-6; caught the eye on his stable debut at Lingfield (7f) but Kempton was underwhelming. |
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3rd (6) (13/2 +41%) City Of Delight |
13/2(+41%) | (6) City Of Delight 13/2, Failed to progress at 2 yrs, nearer last than first in a 1m Kempton nursery when last seen in November. Gelded since and needs to raise his game. Struggled last season on four visits to Kempton, including a 1m handicap. |
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4th (1) (5/1 -25%) Daymer Bay |
5/1(-25%) | (1) Daymer Bay 5/1, Runner-up in a 7f Doncaster novice last summer but hasn't managed to build on that since and he looks vulnerable under top-weight. Consistent last season and didn't appear to stay 1m2f on recent handicap debut. |
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5th (3) (9/4 +25%) Muttasil |
9/4(+25%) | (3) Muttasil 9/4, Stepped up on debut display when fifth of 12 at Yarmouth in October. Performed to a similar level when fourth on return at Kempton (7f) and can make his presence felt now handicapping. Son of Kingsman and disappointing should he not be competitive off this sort of mark. |
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6th (5) (9/1 +10%) Land Of Magic |
9/1(+10%) | (5) Land Of Magic 9/1, Sandown nursery winner last August and went close over 7f here on final start of her 2-y-o campaign. However, she's rather in-and-out and finished stone last on return at Windsor 11 days ago. 5f/7f winner; possibly needed her comeback but stamina looks an issue at 1m. |
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7th (4) (33/1 -65%) Never Sell |
33/1(-65%) | (4) Never Sell 33/1, There was promise in his first 2 starts as a juvenile but it's been pretty much downhill most of the way since. Beaten under 4l on last year's handicap debut but trailed in last on both runs this year. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
PHOENIX PASSION was always doing enough when scoring at Windsor last month and conditions are likely to be in his favour again as he looks to follow up off a 4lb higher mark. The form of the stable is another plus and he should have too much for the unexposed Muttasil, who is of interest on his handicap debut and stepping back up in trip. Daymer Bay showed some promise as a juvenile and cannot be ruled out either.
The most solid option is PHOENIX PASSION, who produced his best effort yet when scoring at Windsor last time and this 4 lb higher mark should be within reach. Handicap-debutant Muttasil is likely to emerge as the main danger ahead of Hello Cotai.
Kingman gelding MUTTASIL is bred to be better than this level and there have been positives to take from his qualifying runs.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (3/1 -33%) Iskandar Pecos |
3/1(-33%) | (3) Iskandar Pecos 3/1, Multiple point winner who made it two from three in hunters when scoring at Ludlow last time. Longer trip is in his favour and he boasts obvious claims. Sets very good standard of rules form; will be hard to beat if today's trip/ground suits. |
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2nd (4) (7/2 +30%) Latenightrumble |
7/2(+30%) | (4) Latenightrumble 7/2, Sulamani gelding. Multiple point winner, including last time (Apr 1). Half-brother to 2 previous winners of this race, notably Latenightpass, so he's worth chancing first time under Rules. Beat two rivals with minimal fuss last month and now 4-7 in points; must be considered. |
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3rd (7) (22/1 +12%) Padjoes Legacy |
22/1(+12%) | (7) Padjoes Legacy 22/1, Multiple point winner, beat sole rival last time (Apr 13) and booking of Gina Andrews catches the eye, so one to respect on first go under Rules. Won his last two points (latter was a match) but others have more compelling form. |
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4th (5) (40/1 -21%) Minella Jab |
40/1(-21%) | (5) Minella Jab 40/1, Multiple point winner who bettered his Rules debut when third in a hunter at Exeter a fortnight ago. He's likely to come up short in this, however. Recent Exeter third came in a much weaker race than this. |
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5th (9) (10/3 -90%) Wolf Walker |
10/3(-90%) | (9) Wolf Walker 10/3, €47,000 3-y-o, Diamond Boy gelding. Dam, little sign of ability. Won last 3 of 6 starts in points (latest Mar 23). One to note under one of the top jockeys in this sphere. Quickened clear to win Larkhill restricted by 15l in March; now 3-3 for current stable. |
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6th (8) (17/2 +29%) Paper Mill |
17/2(+29%) | (8) Paper Mill 17/2, Showed nothing on only Rules outing but he's a multiple point winner, including on his last 2 starts (latest Feb 4), so worth a market check on first go in hunters. Far too good for Olly Norse in February and has now won four of last five points. |
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7th (2) (16/1 -33%) Coolagh Park |
16/1(-33%) | (2) Coolagh Park 16/1, Fair in bumpers/over hurdles for Gordon Elliott some time ago. Has enjoyed success in points since and stable has a solid record in this sphere. Ran well from the front when second in conditions point in March; enters calculations. |
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8th (6) (28/1 +30%) Olly Norse |
28/1(+30%) | (6) Olly Norse 28/1, Norse Dancer gelding. Dam fair 21f hurdle winner. Point winner, runner-up last 2 starts (latest Feb 4). Wears cheekpieces. 11l adrift of Paper Mill when second at Garthorpe in latest point; rules debut today. |
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|F| (1) (5/1 -11%) Another Furlough |
5/1(-11%) | (1) Another Furlough 5/1, £4,000 5-y-o, Shirocco gelding. Multiple point winner, including last 2 starts (latest Mar 16). Wears tongue strap. Beat good yardstick on latest outing and now 5-11 in points; rules debut today. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Despite racing somewhat lazily, ISKANDAR PECOS completed a double over 2m4f at Ludlow last month. This stiffer test of stamina should see the six-year-old travel better and he rates as the one to beat. The biggest threat may emerge from Rules debutant Latenightrumble, who regained the winning thread in a point-to-point last time out. Wolf Walker could also make an impact now tried under NH rules and market support could prove significant.
LATENIGHTRUMBLE has already enjoyed plenty of success between the flags, including last time, and he's related to a couple of past winners of this race, so he should be primed for a big run. Iskandar Pecos arrives on a hat-trick and sets the standard, so he's an obvious player and Wolf Walker should be considered.
This is packed with progressive pointers but ISKANDAR PECOS sets an unusually high standard of rules form and gets the verdict.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (6/4 +25%) Its On The Line |
6/4(+25%) | (7) Its On The Line 6/4, Useful chaser. Three wins from 4 runs last season. Didn't need to improve to win 22-runner hunter chase (3/1) at Aintree (21.1f, soft) 22 days ago, staying on well. Has enjoyed a terrific campaign and he's fancied to add another big prize here. Won this race last season, good chance of a repeat, very game in victory at Aintree. |
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2nd (9) (11/4 +45%) Lifetime Ambition |
11/4(+45%) | (9) Lifetime Ambition 11/4, Useful hurdler. One win from 3 runs last season. First run since leaving Mrs J. Harrington when 8/15, won 9-runner hunter chase at Cork (20f, heavy) 32 days ago. Up in trip. Definite player. Has won three from five in points for Susie Doyle this season, good hunter chaser win also. |
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3rd (10) (50/1 -257%) Lonesome Boatman |
50/1(-257%) | (10) Lonesome Boatman 50/1, Fair in bumpers/over hurdles for Martin Brassil and has done well between the flags since, winning 3 of his last 4 starts. One to note if the market speaks in his favour on hunter debut. Completed a hat-trick with Castlelands win in March, stepping into a different league now. |
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4th (12) (22/1 +33%) Ryehill |
22/1(+33%) | (12) Ryehill 22/1, Won 9-runner hunter chase (evens) at Cork (24f, heavy) 32 days ago. Not fully exposed but more required here. Has never finished worse than second but this represents a big jump in class. |
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5th (14) (16/1 +20%) Vaucelet |
16/1(+20%) | (14) Vaucelet 16/1, Useful chaser. 10/3, below form 29¼ lengths fifth of 10 to Its On The Line in hunter chase at Down Royal (24f, soft) 129 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Looked a rising star in this category last season, this season has been an anti-climax. |
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6th (1) (10/1 -25%) Billaway |
10/1(-25%) | (1) Billaway 10/1, Useful chaser. 11/2, respectable fifth of 12 in minor event chase at Cheltenham (26.3f, heavy) 49 days ago. Should typically give a good account if his jumping holds up. Won this event two years ago, seems to be past his peak now but remains very capable. |
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7th (3) (15/2 -36%) Famous Clermont |
15/2(-36%) | (3) Famous Clermont 15/2, Useful chaser. 10/11, respectable second of 7 in hunter chase at Wincanton (20.2f, heavy) 65 days ago. Up in trip. Enters calculations. Won Aintree Foxhunter last season, relatively fresh after missing Cheltenham and Aintree. |
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|U| (8) (100/1 -150%) Jay Bee Why |
100/1(-150%) | (8) Jay Bee Why 100/1, Useful chaser. Winning pointer, again runner-up last time (Apr 21). Capable of getting involved if he's back under Rules as good as ever. Placed all five starts in 2024 no match for Gorthill at Kirkistown, up against it. |
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|U| (6) (125/1 -89%) Hardline |
125/1(-89%) | (6) Hardline 125/1, Fair chaser. Twenty five runs since last win in 2018. Creditable 29¾ lengths seventh of 22 to Its On The Line in hunter chase (125/1) at Aintree (21.1f, soft) 22 days ago. Tough ask. Not the force he was, beaten 30l in seventh behind Its On The Line at Aintree. |
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|PU| (4) (6/1 +25%) Ferns Lock |
6/1(+25%) | (4) Ferns Lock 6/1, Useful chaser. 2/7 and hooded for 1st time, 7½ lengths second of 4 to Boss Robin in hunter chase at Fairyhouse (25.2f, heavy) 34 days ago, finishing tired. Has the ability to feature if he can get back on track. Form last season featured defeats of Billaway and Its On The Line, vulnerable this term. |
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|PU| (2) (33/1 -136%) Boss Robin |
33/1(-136%) | (2) Boss Robin 33/1, Fairly useful chaser. Two wins from 6 runs last season. 4/1, career best when winning 4-runner hunter chase at Fairyhouse (25.2f, heavy) 34 days ago by 7½ lengths from Ferns Lock. Going the right way and a litereal reading of that form would give him a chance. Backed up Thurles win when beating a below-par Ferns Lock at Fairyhouse, progressing well. |
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|PU| (13) (50/1 -52%) Samcro |
50/1(-52%) | (13) Samcro 50/1, Ten wins from 28 NH runs. 20/1, pulled up in minor event chase at Cheltenham (26.3f, heavy) 49 days ago. Four wins in point this season, pulled up after four out at Cheltenham, vulnerable. |
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|PU| (11) (66/1 -371%) Royal Rendezvous |
66/1(-371%) | (11) Royal Rendezvous 66/1, Second of 9 in handicap chase (18/1) at this course (21.2f, good to soft), doing better under change of tactics. That was his final outing for Willie Mullins and, while he's won a point since, he wasn't at his best in that sphere last time. Former Galway Plate winner, tailed off at Portrush in March on first start for this yard. |
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|PU| (5) (80/1 -142%) Gorthill |
80/1(-142%) | (5) Gorthill 80/1, Won a hunter last spring and has been in good form in points. Plenty to find in this company, however. Winner of three points winner and a maiden hunter chase, tough task at this level. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
ITS ON THE LINE is taken to repeat last year's victory in this race. He has put together a very solid portfolio of work this season in finishing a close second at Cheltenham and then delivering at Aintree. He is ground versatile and, as a seven-year-old, there should be more to come from him in this discipline. A bad mistake at the last saw Famous Clermont drop to second on his comeback run at Wincanton. He has form in the book to advertise his chance, though. Lifetime Ambition won well in Cork, while Boss Robin is an upwardly-mobile sort. Ferns Lock is classy, but has just lost a bit of form.
ITS ON THE LINE has held his form superbly throughout a busy campaign and, having gained his reward at Aintree last time, he looks the one to beat as he bids to pick up another notable accolade. Lifetime Ambition has plenty of class and looks a big danger on the back of a winning stable debut, while Famous Clermont remains a formidable force at this level.
Last year's winner ITS ON THE LINE looks a good bet having consolidated his reputation with a Cheltenham second and Aintree triumph
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (10/3 +17%) Crazy Crackers |
10/3(+17%) | (2) Crazy Crackers 10/3, 10/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, respectable fifth of 13 in handicap at Southwell (12.1f) 4 days ago, fading final 1f. This trip worth exploring on that evidence and he's not discounted here. Is 0-9 and cheekpieces went on when a below-par fifth at Southwell four days ago. |
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2nd (5) (12/1 -200%) Hot Team |
12/1(-200%) | (5) Hot Team 12/1, C&D winner. Twenty one runs since last win in 2023. 14/1, respectable fifth of 12 in handicap at this C&D 17 days ago, never nearer. Claims on pick of his form. C&D winner who comes here in good nick; another bold showing is on the cards. |
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3rd (4) (5/1 +50%) Visitant |
5/1(+50%) | (4) Visitant 5/1, Unreliable sort. C&D winner. 40/1, respectable effort on the back of 4 months off when fourth of 11 in handicap at this C&D 7 days ago. Can give a good account once more with that under his belt. Veteran C&D winner; not disgraced when fourth here week ago; shortlisted off same mark. |
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4th (1) (11/4 +77%) Ring Fenced |
11/4(+77%) | (1) Ring Fenced 11/4, 40/1, eighth of 9 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 66 days ago. Step back up in trip/return to a lower grade ought to see her in a better light here. Arrives below par, beating only one at Southwell latest; needs to bounce back after break. |
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5th (3) (7/2 -17%) Wheres The Crumpet |
7/2(-17%) | (3) Wheres The Crumpet 7/2, 10/3, won 7-runner minor event at this C&D 42 days ago by head from Hot Team, headed last ½f and leading again close home. Not discounted in follow-up bid now she's off the mark. Gamely off the mark in classified event here; rates a player reverting to a handicap. |
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|F| (7) (33/1 -175%) Mr Coco Bean |
33/1(-175%) | (7) Mr Coco Bean 33/1, Forty two runs since last win in 2021. 28/1, bit below form seventh of 12 in handicap at this C&D 25 days ago. Winless since 2021 and he turned in a below-par seventh in 1m2f handicap here 25 days ago. |
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|PU| (9) (6/1 +63%) Capernoity |
6/1(+63%) | (9) Capernoity 6/1, First run since leaving J. F. Levins when sixth of 9 in minor event at this course (8f, 10/1) 57 days ago. Up in trip now but he can only be watched. Not disgraced on yard debut when sixth in 1m classified event here latest; possibilities. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Just a head separated Wheres The Crumpet (winner) and Hot Team (runner-up) in a classified stakes over this course and distance in March and, while the terms of this race suggest the first-named can uphold the form, David Thompson's mare has never won a handicap and may have to wait for another day. Therefore, it could pay to focus on her stablemate, VISITANT, who is a previous C&D winner off this mark and appears to have fewer questions to answer than the rest.
HOT TEAM hasn't been shaping up all that badly in recent starts and gets the tentative vote to come out on top. Wheres The Crumpet and Ring Fenced, back up in trip, head the dangers, with Scarriff another not out of things.
Consistent WHERES THE CRUMPET showed a good attitude when gaining her breakthrough win in classified company here and can follow up.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (11/1 +8%) What A Glance |
11/1(+8%) | (9) What A Glance 11/1, Holding form well in points and ran best race under Rules when again chasing home Deise Aba at Stratford (22.6f) 12 days ago. Not out of things for each-way purposes provided he stays this longer trip. Chased home the same good horse in his last two races and that brings him into contention. |
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2nd (10) (4/1 -14%) Yippee Ki Yay |
4/1(-14%) | (10) Yippee Ki Yay 4/1, Four-time point winner who made a successful start to his hunter career at Exeter (24.2f) and di well to finish back there having lost plenty of ground following a mid-race error. Remains one to be interested in provided that hasn't dented his confidence. Two good runs at Exeter; only a 6yo and this less taxing ground might well assist him. |
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3rd (4) (13/2 +19%) Haven't Time |
13/2(+19%) | (4) Haven't Time 13/2, Winning pointer who showed benefit of his reappearance when winning 7-runner Hunter at Southwell (24.2f, heavy) in March. Seemed to find stamina running dry faced with stiffer test when third at Exeter (24.2f, heavy) since and faces an even longer trip here. Beat Polish at Southwell and then third when heavy ground was perhaps too testing. |
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4th (5) (4/1 -60%) Jetaway Joey |
4/1(-60%) | (5) Jetaway Joey 4/1, Fairly useful hurdler for Olly Murphy during 2021/22 campaign who has won 3 of his 4 starts in points following his stable switch, latterly a match in March. Connections enjoy plenty of success in this sphere and he's well worthy of respect here. Useful rules form and has won his last three points; easy to see him going well. |
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5th (6) (7/2 -5%) Jeux D'eau |
7/2(-5%) | (6) Jeux D'eau 7/2, Jeu St Eloi gelding. Half-brother to 1¾m bumper winner in France Gyrseau. Multiple point winner, including last 3 starts (latest Apr 20). Remains pretty low-mileage as a 6-y-o and interesting what the market makes of him on debut in this sphere. Beat a respected rival in his latest point and this 6yo is far from exposed. |
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6th (3) (14/1 -100%) Fil D'ariane |
14/1(-100%) | (3) Fil D'ariane 14/1, Fair performer for Tom Symonds who was in process of running very well when falling 2 out in Royal Artillery Gold Cup in February. Possibly did too much in front when fourth in Stratford Hunter (21f) a month later and no surprise to see him give a good account. Never gave his running last time on heavy; player on his earlier Sandown efforts. |
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7th (2) (40/1 -100%) Earl Of Desmond |
40/1(-100%) | (2) Earl Of Desmond 40/1, Fair hurdler who filled runners-up spot in pair of maiden hunters in spring 2022. However, pulled up on back of a lengthy absence for new stable at Exeter 45 days ago and he'll need to leave that well behind to figure. Hard to trust after pulling up at Exeter on the back of a long absence. |
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|F| (7) (7/2 +56%) Polish |
7/2(+56%) | (7) Polish 7/2, Versatile performer who ran much better than on his debut in this sphere when 1¾ lengths second of 7 to Haven't Time in hunter chase at Southwell (24.3f, heavy) 60 days ago. No surprise to see him give another good account over this slightly longer trip. Second again at Southwell most recently; may need to better that performance here. |
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|PU| (8) (150/1 -50%) Terrierman |
150/1(-50%) | (8) Terrierman 150/1, Fair handicap hurdler for Tom Lacey and has won a couple of points since. Well beaten on Hunter chase debut at Stratford in March though and similar story when finishing distant third between the Flags on latest outing in April. Others preferred. Has no form claims on his achievements during the last 12 months. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Yippee Ki Yay arrives on the back of a solid second at Exeter and he's sure to prove popular as the highest-rated runner in this contest. However, it could be worth taking a chance on JETAWAY JOEY, who completed a hat-trick on his reappearance between the flags in March. Georgina Ellis' charge was a useful hurdler under Rules and he looks to possess enough ability to land a race of this nature. Polish and Haven't Time are also worth a closer look.
A good winner on his debut in this sphere at Exeter in March, YIPPEE KI KAY did well to finish second having made a serious mid-race error back at that venue 39 days ago and, youthful by hunter standards, with the prospect of more to come, he's of interest again. Jetaway Joey is another to note having landed 3 of his 4 starts between the Flag for his connections, with Polish and Haven't Time completing the shortlist.
This looks open. JETAWAY JOEY had some useful form for Olly Murphy and it was good to see him win his latest point after so long out.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (2/7 +12%) State Man |
2/7(+12%) | (4) State Man 2/7, Top-class hurdler who landed this race 12 months ago and remained unbeaten in 4 starts this campaign, not needing to be at his best when beating Irish Point in the Champion Hurdle in March. Not hard to envisage him adding yet another Grade 1 to his haul. Flawless record in Irish Grade 1s, Champion Hurdle winner, can beat Irish Point again. |
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2nd (2) (7/2 -17%) Irish Point |
7/2(-17%) | (2) Irish Point 7/2, Wrapped up his novice hurdle campaign with a 2½m Grade 1 success at Aintree. Improved again this season, winning Christmas Hurdle at Leopardstown in December prior to an excellent second behind State Man in the Champion Hurdle in March and he rates the chief threat once more. Proved trip-versatility with excellent Champion Hurdle second, same outcome probable now. |
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3rd (1) (33/1 +34%) Colonel Mustard |
33/1(+34%) | (1) Colonel Mustard 33/1, Shaped as if as good as ever back from 11 weeks off when runner-up in the Kingwell Hurdle at Wincanton (15.2f) in February. Ran about as well as could be expected when fifth behind State Man in Champion Hurdle at Cheltenham since and he's likely to come up short again here. Third to State Man here last year, well held by the principals on Champion Hurdle running. |
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4th (3) (22/1 -10%) Sir Gerhard |
22/1(-10%) | (3) Sir Gerhard 22/1, Leading novice hurdler of 2021/22 campaign and gained a second hurdles victory of current campaign at Cork (2m) in March. Similar form when third in Grade 2 at Sandown (21.5f) 6 days ago but plenty on his plate back at the top table. Two wins in conditions events this season, played minor role at Sandown, same again here. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Champion Hurdle hero STATE MAN is a nine-time Grade 1 winner who is unbeaten in four course runs and won last year's renewal of this race. His only defeat in his last 12 starts has been to Constitution Hill at Cheltenham in 2023 and while just over a length separated him and Irish Point in March, the selection is currently at his peak. The aforementioned Irish Point should again give him a race but needs to find improvement to turn the form around. Sir Gerhard drops in distance having run well in a recent Sandown Grade 2 but has winning form at this distance and can fill third place.
STATE MAN gained yet another Grade 1 when adding the Champion Hurdle at Cheltenham in March to his impressive haul and Willie Mullins' 7-y-o is hard to oppose in his bid to supplement his win in this race 12 months ago. Irish Point ran very well when chasing home the selection at Cheltenham and he comfortably rates the chief threat.
There is no reason to believe that the ultra-reliable STATE MAN will fail to uphold Cheltenham form with the excellent Irish Point
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (5/2 +50%) Vantheman |
5/2(+50%) | (3) Vantheman 5/2, Lightly-raced winner. 28/1, fourteenth of 17 in minor event at Doncaster (6.5f, good to soft), possibly amiss. Off 7 months. Down in trip. Makes handicap debut. Something to find on form. Makes AW/handicap debut after eight months off; half-brother to a C&D winner; watch market. |
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2nd (5) (33/1 -371%) Make It Easy |
33/1(-371%) | (5) Make It Easy 33/1, Third of 5 in minor event (3/1) at Wolverhampton (5.1f). Off 7 months. First run for yard after leaving Jack Channon. Makes handicap debut. Worth monitoring in the betting. 1-6 for Jack Channon last year; watch market on stable debut after eight months off. |
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3rd (2) (5/4 +44%) Queen's Guard |
5/4(+44%) | (2) Queen's Guard 5/4, Promising individual. Tongue strap on for 1st time, second of 9 in minor event (5/1) at this C&D 17 days ago, clear of rest. Makes handicap debut. Should have more to offer and makes plenty of appeal. Just beaten over C&D on last month's return; any improvement puts her right in the mix. |
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4th (1) (10/3 -67%) Moonstone Boy |
10/3(-67%) | (1) Moonstone Boy 10/3, Winner at Southwell in March. Good second of 8 in handicap (17/2) at Thirsk (5f, heavy) 13 days ago. Has to be taken seriously. Consistent; ran a handicap blot close at Thirsk 13 days ago; one of the likelier winners. |
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5th (6) (18/1 -177%) Cool Run |
18/1(-177%) | (6) Cool Run 18/1, 9/4, creditable second of 7 in nursery at this C&D, running on. Off 6 months. First run for yard after leaving Edward Bethell. One to consider. Ended 2023 with two runner-up finishes here; worth a market check on return/stable debut. |
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6th (4) (12/1 +0%) Ingleby Ivy |
12/1(+0%) | (4) Ingleby Ivy 12/1, Lightly-raced winner. 22/1, sixteenth of 17 in handicap at Newmarket (6f, good to firm) 15 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Twice out of the frame since winning last September, but the return to 5f may suit. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Carrying top-weight might not be too much of a burden for MOONSTONE BOY if he builds on what has been a productive period of late. Having won and finished runner-up on Tapeta at Southwell in March, the three-year-old went very close at Thirsk 13 days ago and looks set for another bold bid off a 1lb higher mark. Back on a synthetic surface, his versatility makes the gelding the pick of the bunch. Queen's Guard is feared most, although Cool Run is noted on her debut for a new yard.
QUEEN'S GUARD boasts a progressive profile and came clear of the remainder when runner-up in a C&D novice last time, so she's fancied to improve enough to defy an opening mark of 80. Moonstone Boy is a likeable type who ran a cracker at Thirsk last time, so he's the main danger ahead of Cool Run, who is starting out for a new stable.
Preference is for QUEEN'S GUARD who went down by a neck on her return over C&D last month. Any improvement would give her every chance.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (10/3 +26%) Fairly Famous |
10/3(+26%) | (6) Fairly Famous 10/3, Took off in points for this yard (successful in 5 of 6 starts, including latest March 3) and made a highly impressive hunter debut when cruising to success at this meeting last season. Disappointed on his return to Rules at Wetherby 3 months ago but heavy ground a possible excuse. Won easily at this meeting 12 months ago and this 7yo seems to be improving. |
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2nd (3) (10/3 -141%) Premier Magic |
10/3(-141%) | (3) Premier Magic 10/3, Likeable type who belied huge odds to win Festival Challenge Cup Hunters' Chase at the Cheltenham Festival sole start in 2022/23. Followed up in this race last season but disappointed when bidding to defend his crown at this year's Festival. Can bounce back. Former Festival winner who dotted up in this last year; poor last time but can bounce back. |
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3rd (7) (11/2 -22%) Lift Me Up |
11/2(-22%) | (7) Lift Me Up 11/2, Multiple point winner, including last time (Mar 30). Impressed when landing a 7-runner hunter at Newbury 13 months ago but beaten quickly at this meeting last year. Ran no race at this meeting last year but progressive otherwise; could go well. |
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4th (8) (33/1 +50%) Definite Dilemma |
33/1(+50%) | (8) Definite Dilemma 33/1, Multiple point winner, third last time (Apr 20). Just fair form in chases, including when second at this meeting sole start in 2021/22 for Will Biddick. Not seen under Rules since. Has won five points but not in the past 12 months and he's up against it at this level. |
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5th (4) (6/1 +8%) Quintin's Man |
6/1(+8%) | (4) Quintin's Man 6/1, Multiple point winner who has scored twice in hunters last season. Never really got into a rhythm when pulled up in Festival Challenge Cup Hunters' Chase at the Festival and only fourth back in a point 2 weeks ago. Course winner over 3m1f; has the form to feature but latest point run was disappointing. |
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6th (5) (40/1 +0%) Encounter A Giant |
40/1(+0%) | (5) Encounter A Giant 40/1, Prolific point winner but was last of 4 finishers last time (Apr 20) and well held in this 12 months ago. Tailed off in this 12 months ago and suffered the same fate in his latest point. |
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|PU| (2) (3/1 +33%) Deise Aba |
3/1(+33%) | (2) Deise Aba 3/1, Useful but unpredictable chaser for Philip Hobbs but has won all 3 starts in points for this yard and made a winning return to Rules in hunter at Stratford 12 days ago. Respected. Always had some class and comes here after winning comfortably at Stratford. |
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|PU| (1) (14/1 -17%) Captain Tommy |
14/1(-17%) | (1) Captain Tommy 14/1, Back to best when winning first 2 starts in hunters for this yard earlier this year. Not seen to best effect when ninth of 22 in Foxhunters at Aintree 3 weeks ago, though not shaping as if likely to get himself involved when finding the winner jumping across him at the fourth last. Bit to find here. This not so demanding as Aintree but relying on some of these being off their game. |
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|PU| (9) (40/1 +20%) Ripper Roo |
40/1(+20%) | (9) Ripper Roo 40/1, Fair form over hurdles/well held completed starts in chases for Olly Murphy (sold £4,500). Winning pointer, including last time (Apr 20). Plenty to find back under Rules. Recent point winner but lacks course form and likely to be outclassed. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
The older horses have held sway in this contest in recent years which suggests a big run could be on the cards from the veteran Deise Aba, who has won three out of four point-to-points before scoring in this sphere at Stratford last month. He can go well but PREMIER MAGIC won this at odds-on last season and looks set for another bold effort, despite pulling up here at the Festival. Fairly Famous and Lift Me Up represent the younger generation and they may fight it out for the minor placing.
PREMIER MAGIC disappointed when bidding to defend his crown in the Festival Challenge Cup Hunters' Chase here 7 weeks ago but he can bounce back with a bang and repeat last year's success in this. Deise Aba has made a positive start for this yard and is next best ahead of Fairly Famous, who was an impressive winner at this meeting last season.
If last year's winner Premier Magic is at his best then he may strike again but FAIRLY FAMOUS (nap) is an interesting alternative.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (1/5 +33%) Ballyburn |
1/5(+33%) | (1) Ballyburn 1/5, No match for Firefox on hurdles debut but has progressed at a rate of knots since, readily beating Slade Steel at Leopardstown in February prior to running out a convincing winner of Grade 1 Gallagher Novices' at the Festival. Rates a top prospect and hard to beat here. Cheltenham winner unopposable here and could easily lead home a Mullins 1-2-3-4. |
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2nd (6) (14/1 -17%) Jetara |
14/1(-17%) | (6) Jetara 14/1, Useful mare who improved further to complete a hurdles hat-trick in Fairyhouse Grade 3 in December. Emerged with credit in making the frame both starts in Grade 1 company since but she's likely to come up short here for all she's in receipt of weight all round. Third in a mares Grade 1 at Fairyhouse; should run her race but likely to fall short. |
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3rd (4) (17/2 +58%) Predators Gold |
17/2(+58%) | (4) Predators Gold 17/2, Impressive winner on hurdles debut at Punchestown (19.4f, soft) in November and good efforts in defeat in Leopardstown Grade 1s next 2 starts. Let down by his jumping when fifth behind Ballyburn at Cheltenham latest and passed over here. Below par behind Ballyburn at Cheltenham; can get into the shake-up at his best. |
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4th (3) (25/1 -79%) Mirazur West |
25/1(-79%) | (3) Mirazur West 25/1, Winner only start in bumpers and lines up here having made it 2 wins from 4 starts over hurdles in Grade 2 at Fairyhouse (2m, heavy) 33 days ago, making all and quickening clear from 2 out. This tougher still but unlikely we've seen the best of him yet. Won a Grade 2 at Fairyhouse at Easter with some authority; forecast rain will be welcome. |
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5th (2) (40/1 -186%) Jimmy Du Seuil |
40/1(-186%) | (2) Jimmy Du Seuil 40/1, Ex-French performer who landed short odds in a Clonmel maiden hurdle in January. Improved when 13 lengths second behind Ballyburn at Cheltenham next time but not in quite the same form in Aintree Grade 1 latest. Looks to be playing for minor honours again. Below his best on better ground at Aintree and will appreciate any rain that falls here. |
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|PU| (5) (25/1 -150%) Staffordshire Knot |
25/1(-150%) | (5) Staffordshire Knot 25/1, Changed hands for €510,000 after bumper/maiden hurdle wins in January. Solid efforts in Grade1's both outings since, chasing home stablemate Brighterdaysahead equipped with first-time cheekpieces in Mersey Novices' at Aintree (20f) 3 weeks ago. Aintree second; cheekpieces retained here although might not want too much rain to fall. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
BALLYBURN is an outstanding novice hurdler and has already won two bumpers at this course. Defeated on hurdling debut last December, he has since beaten the subsequent Supreme Novices' Hurdle winner Slade Steel by seven lengths in February before winning well from today's rival Jimmy Du Seuil in the Gallagher Novices' Hurdle at Cheltenham. The selection is ground-versatile, suited by this distance and has a huge rating of 163 for a novice. Jimmy Du Seuil was subsequently beaten four lengths by Staffordshire Knot at Aintree, so might struggle to turn that form around, in a likely battle for second place.
Dominant when defeating Slade Steel at Leopardstown in February, BALLYBURN did little to alter the fact he's every inch a top-class prospect when an impressive winner of the Gallagher Novices' at the Festival last month and he's very difficult to oppose. Staffordshire Knot and Mirazur West can do battle for minor honours.
Cheltenham winner BALLYBURN is unopposable; Aintree runner-up Staffordshire Knot could also get into the shake-up
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (11/1 +31%) Ribba Hill |
11/1(+31%) | (5) Ribba Hill 11/1, €11,000 yearling, Ribchester gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including smart 1m/9f winner Counterparty Risk and useful 2-y-o 7f winner Tonkin. Dam twice-raced half-sister to very smart 12.5f/13f winner Sarah Lynx. Check betting. Something to like on pedigree, but stable not a noted source of winning newcomers. |
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2nd (3) (11/10 +76%) Love Safari |
11/10(+76%) | (3) Love Safari 11/10, Galileo colt who was well beaten in a couple of back-end novices on turf last year. Too soo to be writing him off though, upped further in trip for his return here. Well beaten in both starts on turf last autumn; improvement needed in order to figure. |
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3rd (2) (10/1 -122%) Positivia |
10/1(-122%) | (2) Positivia 10/1, Better effort in bumpers (modest form) when finishing runner-up in mares event at Sedgefield on debut in March. Worth a second look on Flat bow. Some ability in two bumpers but has a Flat pedigree and is a half-sister to two AW winners. |
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4th (4) (5/4 -136%) North Winterfell |
5/4(-136%) | (4) North Winterfell 5/4, Golden Horn colt who found some progress in first-time tongue strap when third of 7 in novice at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 32 days ago, weakening when hampered last ½f. A repeat should be enough for him to get off the mark. Third in his last two starts at Kempton and Wolverhampton; those efforts set the standard. |
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5th (1) (66/1 -100%) Caledonian Pearl |
66/1(-100%) | (1) Caledonian Pearl 66/1, Down the field in 3 bumpers and looks a likely outsider on Flat debut. Beaten upwards of 11l in three bumpers; hard to recommend. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
NORTH WINTERFELL has a good opportunity to put his previous experience to good use after finishing third behind a couple of potentially progressive types last time out. The selection posted a better effort with a tongue-strap applied that day and could have plenty more to offer now he has proven his stamina for this trip. Love Safari has a bit to find, so it may be more profitable to consider Positivia for the forecast slot as she switches codes after hinting at ability in a couple of bumpers in March.
It's hard to look beyond NORTH WINTERFELL, who pulled clear with a couple of fairly useful sorts at Wolverhampton last month and a repeat should be enough for Sean Woods's 3-y-o to open his account. Positivia showed promise when finishing runner-up on her first start in bumpers, so she's put forward as the main danger, ahead of Love Safari, who steps up further in distance on all-weather debut.
The vote goes to NORTH WINTERFELL whose third-place finishes at Kempton and Wolverhampton suggest he is the one to beat.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (3/10 +40%) Regatta De Blanc |
3/10(+40%) | (1) Regatta De Blanc 3/10, Unbeaten pointer who made a successful hunter debut at Taunton in January. Bettered that when second to a useful sort at Newbury in March and hard to beat here with further progress likely. Career return of 5-5 until mastered by Secret Investor latest; case appears strong. |
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2nd (6) (40/1 +39%) Grenadine Save |
40/1(+39%) | (6) Grenadine Save 40/1, Well held on her completed start in hunters this year. First-time blinkers (which replace cheekpieces) will need to spark major improvement. Triple small-field point winner in 2023; limitations in hunter chases exposed latterly. |
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|F| (3) (8/1 +71%) Daisy Yeats |
8/1(+71%) | (3) Daisy Yeats 8/1, Won a maiden point last May but has drawn a blank in that sphere since. Would be a surprise winner on hunter debut. Left solo on her maiden point win a year ago; faces a big task against the best of these. |
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|PU| (2) (5/1 +50%) Chenery |
5/1(+50%) | (2) Chenery 5/1, Modest form under Rules. Has won in the pointing field for current stable (second on latest start a month ago) but others preferred on hunter debut. Not always easy, but ran up a hat-trick this time last year; modest chase form in 2021-22. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
REGATTA DE BLANC does have to give 3lb to all of his rivals here, but that seems unlikely to stop him as Will Biddick looks to get another win for the six-year-old. Unbeaten in his first five starts, including four point-to-points and a Taunton hunter chase, he was second at Newbury but could get back to winning ways now. Chenery might come out best of the rest and finish second once more, leaving Dul Ar Aghaidh as an option for third.
REGATTA DE BLANC has made a very promising start to her career and could prove a cut above this opposition under Will Biddick. Irish-recruit Dul Ar Aghaidh is preferred to Exeter runner-up Harbour Queen for the forecast spot.
If neither the track type nor her jumping find her out, REGATTA DE BLANC should prove far too good for Dul Ar Aghaidh and the rest.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (22/1 +12%) Eagle Fang |
22/1(+12%) | (8) Eagle Fang 22/1, Fairly useful hurdler. Winner at Naas in February. Below form well-beaten twelfth of 22 to Lark In The Mornin in juvenile hurdle at Cheltenham (16.4f, heavy, 10/1) 52 days ago. Naas winner well beaten subsequently in the Boodles at Cheltenham; others more likely. |
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2nd (2) (25/1 +0%) Ataboycharlie |
25/1(+0%) | (2) Ataboycharlie 25/1, Fairly useful hurdler. Winner in hurdle at Leopardstown in December. 23 lengths seventh of 8 to Mirazur West in Hardy Eustace Novices' Hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, heavy, 12/1) 33 days ago. Below his best in a Grade 2 at Fairyhouse last time and others look more likely here. |
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3rd (1) (11/8 +31%) Anotherway |
11/8(+31%) | (1) Anotherway 11/8, Promising type. One win from 3 runs last season. 4/1, running well when falling in Easter Festival Novices' Hurdle at Fairyhouse (20f, heavy) 33 days ago. Paul Townend's pick of the Willie Mullins-trained trio. Big player. Possibly unlucky at Fairyhouse; has won on all sorts of ground and a leading player here. |
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4th (13) (20/1 +39%) Fenway Park |
20/1(+39%) | (13) Fenway Park 20/1, Lightly-raced maiden under Rules. 11/2, lame when pulled up in novice hurdle at Navan (20f, heavy) 104 days ago, pulled up before last. Good Naas run suggests he could have enough improvement in him to go well here. |
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5th (5) (15/2 +25%) Rainbow Trail |
15/2(+25%) | (5) Rainbow Trail 15/2, Lightly-raced winner under Rules. Career best when winning 16-runner novice hurdle at Navan (15.7f, heavy, 8/15) 41 days ago, staying on well. Should progress. Navan maiden winner; interesting to see what he can do on better ground but has to improve. |
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6th (15) (100/1 -52%) Ballycashin |
100/1(-52%) | (15) Ballycashin 100/1, Fair hurdler. Remains a maiden after 12 hurdle runs. Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Below form seventh of 12 in handicap hurdle at Leopardstown (20f, heavy, 9/2) 60 days ago. Wexford bumper winner in 2022; hurdles form leaves her with plenty to find. |
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7th (7) (16/1 -60%) Tounsivator |
16/1(-60%) | (7) Tounsivator 16/1, Twice-raced winner over hurdles. 16 lengths sixth of 8 to Mirazur West in Hardy Eustace Novices' Hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, heavy, 3/1) 33 days ago. Hood on 1st time. Should improve. Drops in class here and should do better but Townend prefers Anotherway. |
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8th (6) (80/1 -142%) Silver King |
80/1(-142%) | (6) Silver King 80/1, Fairly useful hurdler. Course winner. Winner in hurdle here in January. 8/1, last of 16 in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (20f, heavy) 33 days ago. Plenty to find on form. Mostly consistent performer but looks up against it on ratings. |
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9th (11) (16/1 -14%) Arctic Gale |
16/1(-14%) | (11) Arctic Gale 16/1, Twice-raced winner in bumpers. One win from 2 runs last season. Fairly useful winner at 16f in bumpers. Won 8-runner bumper at Fairyhouse (16f, soft, 4/11). Off 6 months. Makes hurdles debut. Hurdles debut and totally unexposed; well worth a market check coming from these quarters. |
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|F| (4) (12/1 +0%) Montecam |
12/1(+0%) | (4) Montecam 12/1, Lightly-raced winner under Rules. Didn't need to improve to win 10-runner novice hurdle (2/5) at Hereford (19.7f, good) 19 days ago, readily. Yard has saddled the winner of this race a few times over the years. Hereford maiden hurdle winner latest; going the right way but this is a big step up. |
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10th (10) (25/1 +24%) Mighty Bandit |
25/1(+24%) | (10) Mighty Bandit 25/1, Thrice-raced winner over hurdles. First run since leaving Gordon Elliott when 28/1, pulled up in Triumph Hurdle at Cheltenham (16.8f, heavy) 49 days ago, pulled up last. Pulled up in the Triumph Hurdle on his stable debut; better than that but best watched. |
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|PU| (3) (6/1 +40%) Billericay Dickie |
6/1(+40%) | (3) Billericay Dickie 6/1, Promising type. 4/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time in this code, fifth of 6 in novice hurdle at Ayr (20.4f, good to soft) 13 days ago. Down in trip and open to progress. Disappointed behind stablemate Quai De Bourbon at Ayr two weeks ago and drops back in trip. |
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|PU| (12) (11/2 +50%) Ascending |
11/2(+50%) | (12) Ascending 11/2, Fairly useful hurdler. 4/5, bit below form fifth of 14 in novice hurdle at Navan (15.7f, heavy) 82 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Fifth in last season's Triumph but remains a maiden over hurdles; tongue-tie tried. |
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|PU| (14) (200/1 -203%) Scriabin |
200/1(-203%) | (14) Scriabin 200/1, Modest hurdler. 9/1, third of 12 in juvenile hurdle at Fontainebleau (17.6f, heavy) 150 days ago. First run for yard after leaving N. Bellanger. Wears tongue strap. Easy to look elsewhere. Placed in a couple of juvenile hurdles in France; impossible to assess on his Irish debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
ANOTHERWAY looked a smart prospect when winning a maiden hurdle very easily in January and was still in contention when falling in a Grade 2 in March. He drops in grade here but nonetheless faces recent Fred Winter winner Lark In The Mornin. The four-year-old stepped forward markedly from his maiden hurdle runs when winning at Cheltenham but, while he might progress further, he faces a smart selection. Ascending is another with valid form claims and may benefit from a first-time tongue-tie.
LARK IN THE MORNIN was pretty impressive in the Fred Winter at the Cheltenham Festival and, with the promise of better to come from this 4-y-o, he is taken to follow up here. The main danger is clearly Anotherway, who landed a C&D maiden in good style here in January and he was bang there when exiting at the second-last in a Grade 2 contest at Fairyhouse next time. His stablemate Billericay Dickie and Tounsivator are both open to improvement, a remark which also applies to Rainbow Trail.
Preference is for Boodles winner LARK IN THE MORNIN, decisive at Cheltenham with possibly better to come
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (14/1 +13%) Raft Up |
14/1(+13%) | (6) Raft Up 14/1, 17/2, wasted no time getting back to form when third of 9 in nursery at Chelmsford City (5f) when last seen 6 months ago. First run for yard after leaving Harry Eustace (8,000 gns) and has been gelded/had a breathing operation since last seen. Been gelded and undergone wind surgery since picked up for 8,000gns last autumn. |
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2nd (7) (10/1 -33%) Profit Street |
10/1(-33%) | (7) Profit Street 10/1, Showed much improved form to get off the mark in 10-runner nursery (5/1) at this course (5f) 6 months ago. 6 lb higher on return but capable of better still. Interesting to see how he goes in the market against Socialise on comeback upped 6lb. |
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3rd (2) (7/1 -17%) Wren Officer |
7/1(-17%) | (2) Wren Officer 7/1, 2 wins from 6 runs this year, latest in 9-runner handicap at this C&D 17 days ago, produced to lead final 1f. 5 lb higher and she looks competitive on form. Made it 2-2 over C&D when winning tidily off a 5lb lower mark latest; should go well again. |
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4th (3) (18/1 +10%) Triggerman |
18/1(+10%) | (3) Triggerman 18/1, Run best excused when eleventh of 13 in maiden at Pontefract (6f, good to soft, 33/1) 7 months ago, losing place when hampered over 2f out. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Makes handicap debut (has been gelded in interim). Been gelded and looks to start handicap life off a workable mark in first-time headgear. |
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5th (10) (9/1 -50%) Socialise |
9/1(-50%) | (10) Socialise 9/1, Caused a surprise to get off the mark after 6 months off in 9-runner handicap at this C&D (20/1) 17 days ago by 1½ lengths from Cuban Storm, staying on to lead final 100 yds and well on top finish. Enters calculations from 6 lb higher. Plenty of racing last year and regressed; needs more on 4lb worse terms with Cuban Storm. |
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6th (5) (9/2 +68%) Oakland Princess |
9/2(+68%) | (5) Oakland Princess 9/2, 11/2, run best excused when tenth of 11 in minor event at Catterick (7f, heavy) 30 days ago, being kept to the far side no use to her. Makes handicap/all-weather debut and she's not without hope. Comeback effort can be ignored and she has some potential for a yard among the winners. |
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7th (4) (16/5 -28%) Test Of Love |
16/5(-28%) | (4) Test Of Love 16/5, Promising sort. 4/1, ran well on return from 9 months off (gelded in interim) when second of 8 on handicap debut at Pontefract (6f, heavy) 11 days ago, rallying but always just held. Back on all-weather and every chance he can go one better. Will be 4lb higher from tomorrow after last Monday's second and his claims are obvious. |
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7th (8) (25/1 -56%) Glory Hyde |
25/1(-56%) | (8) Glory Hyde 25/1, Gambled on but ran to just a similar level as previously when sixth of 12 in nursery at this C&D (9/2) 6 months ago. Others preferred. Exposed maiden who needs to have improved for the layoff; several others stronger. |
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9th (14) (25/1 +24%) Diligent Henry |
25/1(+24%) | (14) Diligent Henry 25/1, Improved when sixth of 8 in minor event (125/1) at Southwell (7.1f) 54 days ago, not given at all a hard time. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Makes handicap debut. This more realistic now handicapping in headgear but he'd still be a surprise winner. |
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10th (1) (20/1 -25%) Havana Rose |
20/1(-25%) | (1) Havana Rose 20/1, Looked unsuited by the drop back to sprinting on first run since leaving Edward Bethell (8,000 gns) when third of 5 in handicap at this C&D (20/1) 41 days ago. Needs progress from this mark. Satisfactory start for her new yard over C&D six weeks ago but others make greater appeal. |
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11th (12) (80/1 -60%) Lincoln's Inn |
80/1(-60%) | (12) Lincoln's Inn 80/1, Beat only a couple home on her nursery debut when ninth of 11 at Southwell (6.1f, 33/1) in November. Hood on 1st time. Uphill task. Didn't show enough last year to suggest she's about to win this back from a layoff. |
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12th (11) (66/1 +0%) Old Bailey |
66/1(+0%) | (11) Old Bailey 66/1, Could hardly have shown any less switched to a handicap when last of 9 (50/1) at Thirsk (7f, heavy) 24 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Very hard to make a case for. Big prices all starts to date (5f-7f) and hasn't achieved much; is tried in headgear. |
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13th (13) (66/1 -32%) Come On Irene |
66/1(-32%) | (13) Come On Irene 66/1, Offered little on first outing since leaving Nigel Tinkler after 9 months off when 8¾ lengths eighth of 9 to Wren Officer in handicap (25/1) at this C&D 17 days ago. Little promise on recent comeback for new yard, when well behind Wren Officer over C&D. |
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14th (9) (4/1 +11%) Cuban Storm |
4/1(+11%) | (9) Cuban Storm 4/1, Promising individual. Gambled-on 11/10, progressed when 1½ lengths second of 9 to Socialise on handicap debut at this C&D 17 days ago, headed final 100 yds. Open to further improvement. All the rage ahead of recent C&D comeback, when a clear second to Socialise; shortlisted. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
A close-up second on his stable bow at Pontefract recently, TEST OF LOVE lost little in defeat when drawing clear with the victor that day. The Time Test gelding is effectively 4lb well-in and compensation could await if coping with the quick turnaround. Cuban Storm boasts a similar profile to the selection and he's feared most, ahead of Socialise, who beat Michael Dods' charge by a length and a half over this over C&D last month but reopposes that rival on much worse terms.
TEST OF LOVE was a rare handicap debutant from this yard to reappear over a shorter trip but ran a cracker when finishing runner-up at Pontefract 11 days ago. He can go one better from the same mark at the expense of Cuban Storm, who was backed as though defeat was out of the question here last month but found the reopposing Socialise too strong. Wren Officer is another recent C&D winner and should be in the mix, too.
It's hard to get away from TEST OF LOVE, who'll be 4lb higher from tomorrow. Cuban Storm rates the main danger.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (3/1 +25%) Gaboriot |
3/1(+25%) | (2) Gaboriot 3/1, Won a pair of 3m handicaps in the autumn and regained the winning thread when easily landing a hunter at Catterick in March. Unseated in Foxhunters' at Aintree since but capable of getting involved in this. Useful 2023-24 before unseating in the Aintree Foxhunters'; marathon trip is worth a try. |
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2nd (9) (6/1 -140%) Master Templar |
6/1(-140%) | (9) Master Templar 6/1, Rules form is only fair at best but he's been prolific in points since and looked as good as ever in that sphere last time. Worth monitoring in the betting. 10 wins from 15 points (beat two of these at Cotley latest); stamina proven to 3m6f. |
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3rd (1) (6/1 +14%) D'jango |
6/1(+14%) | (1) D'jango 6/1, Appeared to be very much on the decline prior to turning it round in hunters, scoring in an 8-runner event at Warwick in January. Has remained in form since and should give a good account. Keeping-on Festival Challenge Cup fourth; below par behind two of these at Cotley latest. |
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4th (12) (22/1 -38%) Perfect Pirate |
22/1(-38%) | (12) Perfect Pirate 22/1, Fair hurdler/chaser for Ben Pauling a few years ago and has done well in points since. Successful in that sphere last time and not a forlorn hope having first go at hunters. On the way back; 3m point win over Easter (heavy); might prefer conditions not to quicken. |
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5th (13) (5/1 +38%) Pym |
5/1(+38%) | (13) Pym 5/1, Not the force of old and was disappointing in two runs for Nigel Twiston-Davies. That said, he's looked firmly back on track between the flags lately and he was a classy sort on his day, so worthy of respect. Two conditions wins in points since March (soft, good); more needed, but confidence is up. |
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|PU| (3) (9/4 -29%) Law Of Gold |
9/4(-29%) | (3) Law Of Gold 9/4, Most likeable and consistent hunter chaser who landed this last year. Not himself at Stratford next time but he's been in top form in points lately and should put up another bold showing. Neck second (2022) and winner (2023) in this race; point win over Fier Jaguen latest. |
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|PU| (7) (16/1 +0%) Coup De Pinceau |
16/1(+0%) | (7) Coup De Pinceau 16/1, Struggling for form when last seen under Rules 11 months ago but has got back on track to some degree in points and won this a couple of years ago, so he's worthy of consideration. Just denied Law Of Gold in taking this in 2022 (good); 3m4f open point winner in March. |
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|PU| (10) (33/1 +0%) Mitchouka |
33/1(+0%) | (10) Mitchouka 33/1, Winning pointer (only fourth last time) but Rules form doesn't give him much hope of making a serious impact. Almost held on over 3m6f at High Easter in March (soft); 9l behind Pym last time out. |
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|PU| (15) (100/1 -52%) Dreaming Diamond |
100/1(-52%) | (15) Dreaming Diamond 100/1, Bumper winner earlier in her career but she's a maiden pointer who offered nothing on hunter debut at Stratford recently. Bumper winner in June 2022 (good); non-stayer in points and a hunter chase this spring. |
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|PU| (5) (100/1 +0%) Ange Des Malberaux |
100/1(+0%) | (5) Ange Des Malberaux 100/1, Nothing like the force of old at age 14, underlined by the fact he was last in a point when last seen a year ago. Hard to imagine he'll get involved. Multiple winner unseen since April 2023; remains to be seen what ability he retains at 14. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Law Of Gold has been victorious on each of his last two point-to-point starts and his mark of 134 gives him a big chance on his return to Rules. However, the vote goes to GABORIOT, who scored by six lengths over 3m1f at Catterick in March before unseating his rider in the Foxhunters at Aintree last month. Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero's eight-year-old should find this a lot easier and he is taken to return to winning ways. Coup De Pinceau is another to watch out for.
LAW OF GOLD sets the standard and has been in good order between the flags lately, so he should put up a strong bid to land back-to-back renewals of this. D'Jango and Gaboriot are both solid alternatives and Pym shouldn't be ruled out having mounted a revival in points lately.
Still on an upward trajectory, MASTER TEMPLAR is taken to deny Law Of Gold back-to-back successes in this marathon event.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (5/2 +69%) Don'tstopthemusic |
5/2(+69%) | (6) Don'tstopthemusic 5/2, Twice-raced maiden under NH rules. 8/1 and hooded for 1st time tongue strap on for 1st time, second of 14 in bumper at Galway (18f, good to soft) on bumper debut, no match for winner. Off 9 months. Galway second; the market should be a useful guide but every chance that he could go well. |
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2nd (4) (28/1 -75%) Coral River |
28/1(-75%) | (4) Coral River 28/1, Twice-raced maiden. 13/2, second of 7 in bumper at Naas (16f, soft) 29 days ago. Improved significantly for the run when a staying second in a Naas bumper last month. |
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3rd (15) (11/1 -57%) Melbourne Shamrock |
11/1(-57%) | (15) Melbourne Shamrock 11/1, Bought for £125,000 after winning on the second of 2 starts in points (Jan 21). Would enter the reckoning if the betting vibes are strong. Debuts here for Emmet Mullins in the Noble Yeats colours and looks an intriguing runner. |
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4th (12) (40/1 -60%) Jackmoon |
40/1(-60%) | (12) Jackmoon 40/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 4/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, third of 8 in bumper at Limerick (16.2f, heavy) 54 days ago. Third in three bumpers; should run his race but needs to improve to play a hand here. |
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5th (3) (22/1 -10%) Churchroad Prince |
22/1(-10%) | (3) Churchroad Prince 22/1, Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. 13/8, third of 10 in bumper at Cork (19f, heavy) 33 days ago. Touched off in a 2m7f maiden hurdle here in January; faded in a Cork bumper last time. |
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6th (5) (125/1 -25%) Coyote Spirit |
125/1(-25%) | (5) Coyote Spirit 125/1, Lucky Speed gelding. Dam modest maiden hurdler (stayed 3m). Third foal; dam point winner/unplaced over hurdles; best watched on debut. |
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7th (17) (66/1 -32%) Syracus Du Houx |
66/1(-32%) | (17) Syracus Du Houx 66/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. 11/1, seventh of 9 in bumper at Navan (15.7f, heavy) 41 days ago. Back up in trip. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Ran to his level in a Navan bumper last time; cheekpieces tried but won't be good enough. |
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8th (10) (40/1 -60%) Half A Chance |
40/1(-60%) | (10) Half A Chance 40/1, Once-raced maiden. Second of 5 in bumper (66/1) at Limerick (16f, heavy) on NH debut 94 days ago. Plenty more needed in thismuch deeper race. Runner-up in an ordinary bumper at Limerick in January; likely to improve but will need to. |
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9th (11) (6/1 +50%) I Am Mimi |
6/1(+50%) | (11) I Am Mimi 6/1, 2/1, promising second of 6 in bumper at this course (16.7f, soft) on NH debut 160 days ago. Second in a bumper here in November; improvement likely and should be thereabouts. |
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10th (8) (15/8 -36%) Fishery Lane |
15/8(-36%) | (8) Fishery Lane 15/8, Twice-raced maiden. 6 lengths fifth of 19 to Jasmin De Vaux in Champion Bumper at Cheltenham (16.4f, heavy, 66/1) 51 days ago. Sets a high standard on that form. Fifth at Cheltenham; extra trip is likely to suit him well and sets a decent standard here. |
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11th (14) (12/1 -20%) Masterboy Davis |
12/1(-20%) | (14) Masterboy Davis 12/1, Twice-raced maiden. 5/1, third of 9 in bumper at Navan (15.7f, heavy) 41 days ago, unsuited by emphasis on speed. Increased test of stamina now should play to his strengths. Ran to a similar level when placed in his two bumpers to date; more needed here. |
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12th (18) (15/2 -7%) Tradecraft |
15/2(-7%) | (18) Tradecraft 15/2, Runner-up in bumpers at Ascot and Kempton this winter. Likely to be in the shake-up again for leading British stable. Runner-up in bumpers at Ascot and Kempton over the winter; might get into the money. |
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13th (2) (80/1 +47%) Celtic Harmony |
80/1(+47%) | (2) Celtic Harmony 80/1, Pulled up both starts in points (latest Jan 21). Likely outsider on Rules debut. Pulled up in two point-to-points and makes no appeal here. |
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14th (16) (22/1 +12%) Quint Major |
22/1(+12%) | (16) Quint Major 22/1, Twice-raced maiden. Third of 9 in bumper (5/2) at Down Royal (17f, soft) 129 days ago. Soundly beaten in his second bumper start at Down Royal in December; others preferred. |
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15th (21) (150/1 +0%) The Diddler |
150/1(+0%) | (21) The Diddler 150/1, Twice-raced maiden. 14/1, thirteenth of 18 in bumper at this course (18.4f, heavy) 124 days ago. Ran okay in a mares race at Naas on debut but well beaten here next time; up against it. |
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16th (7) (200/1 -203%) Fear The Deere |
200/1(-203%) | (7) Fear The Deere 200/1, Once-raced maiden. 33/1, eleventh of 15 in bumper at Tipperary (18f, heavy) on NH debut. Off 12 months. First run for yard after leaving Mark John Scallan. Debuts for Tim Doyle here and hard to make a case for on available evidence. |
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17th (1) (40/1 +39%) Avalo |
40/1(+39%) | (1) Avalo 40/1, Once-raced maiden. Ninth of 28 in novice hurdle at Leopardstown (16f, good to soft, 100/1) on NH debut 129 days ago. Makes bumpers debut. Faded but not disgraced in a Leopardstown maiden hurdle in December and not seen since. |
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18th (20) (150/1 -50%) Ginny Weasley |
150/1(-50%) | (20) Ginny Weasley 150/1, Pulled up on point debut in February. Can only be watched now switching to a bumper. Pulled up in a point-to-point in February and an unlikely player here. |
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|PU| (9) (50/1 -52%) Getamotive |
50/1(-52%) | (9) Getamotive 50/1, Twice-raced maiden. Fifth of 8 in bumper at Clonmel (18.7f, soft, 12/1) 15 days ago. Runner-up in a Cork bumper at Easter, failed to step up on that at Clonmel. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
FISHERY LANE ran well in a smart Thurles bumper on debut and subsequently showed excellent form to finish fifth in the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham. A reproduction of that performance may well be good enough here. Don'tstopthemusic is a lightly-raced seven-year-old who hasn't run since last August's Galway Festival, but he showed plenty ability on that occasion. That race has worked out very well, with seven of the other 13 runners scoring subsequently, and he is likely to be primed for this with Derek O'Connor booked. Tradecraft finished in front of a wide-margin subsequent winner when second at Kempton in February and also has claims.
FISHERY LANE sets the bar high on his fine effort in the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham and should prove hard to beat. British raider Tradecraft may edge Masterboy Davis and I Am Mimi in the battle for minor honours. Emmet Mullins point recruit Melbourne Shamrock could also have a say if the betting vibes are strong.
The standard set by FISHERY LANE in finishing fifth in the Champion Bumper is a searching one and he will take all the beating
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (10/1 -82%) Akkadian Thunder |
10/1(-82%) | (5) Akkadian Thunder 10/1, Lightly-raced winner. First run since leaving Roger Varian when seventh of 9 in handicap (8/1) at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 25 days ago, finishing with running left having been snatched up over 1f out. Could just be worth chancing on the back of that. Ran better than his final position on his Wolverhampton comeback; open to improvement. |
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2nd (10) (10/1 -43%) Feel The Need |
10/1(-43%) | (10) Feel The Need 10/1, Quirky sort. Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. Creditable 2½ lengths sixth of 14 to Outrun The Storm in handicap (5/1) at this C&D 17 days ago, finishing with running left. Lurking on a potentially lenient mark if new yard can find the key to him. Two promising runs over C&D for new yard this spring, hitting traffic each time; player. |
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3rd (9) (9/2 +25%) Outrun The Storm |
9/2(+25%) | (9) Outrun The Storm 9/2, Not at his best towards the end of last season but eased in weights and proved determined back from 6 months off when landing a C&D handicap 17 days ago, edging ahead again near line. Claims once more nudged up 3 lb. 3lb rise looks fair and he'll be dangerous again if allowed his own way, which is possible. |
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4th (4) (7/2 +30%) Dawn Of Liberation |
7/2(+30%) | (4) Dawn Of Liberation 7/2, Winless last season for Richard Hannon but made a solid start on AW for new yard, creditable second of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 25 days ago, running on. Not out of things back down in trip. On a competitive mark for his new yard; this trip looks a minimum now though. |
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5th (2) (6/1 +40%) Another Investment |
6/1(+40%) | (2) Another Investment 6/1, Respectable seventh of 12 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f, 15/2) 22 days ago, unable to sustain effort on the back of 5 months off. One of 3 runners for Nigel Tinker but both career victories have come at 6f. Three solid efforts to his name round here, all over 6f, and should go well again. |
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6th (7) (14/1 -75%) Zapphire |
14/1(-75%) | (7) Zapphire 14/1, Successful on handicap debut at Haydock (7f) last summer and improved a little more when third of 8 in a C&D handicap on final start a month. Could easily have more to offer as a 4-y-o on the back of just 5 career starts. Could yet be capable of better and is one to consider back from seven months off. |
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7th (6) (17/2 +15%) Abruzzo Mia |
17/2(+15%) | (6) Abruzzo Mia 17/2, C&D winner. Latest win here in March. 9/1, 4½ lengths tenth of 14 to Outrun The Storm in handicap at this C&D 17 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Needs a couple of these to falter. Looked to find this mark beyond him behind three of these last time; needs more. |
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8th (1) (10/1 -25%) Ron O |
10/1(-25%) | (1) Ron O 10/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Southwell in November. Fifth of 6 in handicap at this course (8f, 11/4) 51 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Needs to bounce back returned to this shorter trip. Most wins have come over 1m; inconsistent lately and little margin for error off this mark. |
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9th (8) (25/1 -79%) As If By Chance |
25/1(-79%) | (8) As If By Chance 25/1, Dual 6f winner on turf last summer who ran well at huge odds on the back of 5 months off when fourth of 14 to Outrun The Storm in handicap at this C&D (150/1) 17 days ago. Boasts a consistent record over C&D without winning; trainer saddles two others. |
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10th (3) (7/1 +22%) Theme Park |
7/1(+22%) | (3) Theme Park 7/1, 7f AW winner for Sir Michael Stoute who ran his best race for present stable (having been gelded) when second at York (7.8f) in September. Not in same form at Kempton final start but he remains low-mileage on AW and not one to write off on seasonal bow. Not much luck with one thing and another last year but this trip looks a bare minimum. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Outrun The Storm warrants respect having made all in a 14-runner affair over track and trip last month. However, the six-year-old didn't have much to spare that day and a 3lb higher mark could leave him vulnerable. With that in mind, it could be worth taking a chance on the lightly-raced ZAPPHIRE. Julie Camacho's filly finished last year's campaign with a respectable third over this C&D and 2024 could prove fruitful for the lightly-raced four-year-old. Dawn Of Liberation and As If By Chance are also noted.
Claims can be made for plenty here but AKKADIAN THUNDER shaped better than the bare result following 6 months off/starting out for David O'Meara at Wolverhampton 25 days ago and he could just be worth chancing to build on that effort down in trip. Dawn of Liberation has made a solid start for Ruth Carr and is respected, with Zapphire and Outrun The Storm next best. Feel The Need is another worth monitoring following an eye-catching run over C&D last time.
The lightly raced AKKADIAN THUNDER found everything conspiring against him on his comeback/stable debut and gets the nod.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (5/2 +17%) Rebel Dawn Rising |
5/2(+17%) | (4) Rebel Dawn Rising 5/2, Multiple point scorer who is fairly useful under Rules and looked better than ever when landing a hunter at Fakenham in March, rallying to regain the lead late. Shaped better than the end result suggests in the Foxhunters'. Useful hunter chaser on his day and last month's Aintree defeat is excusable; shortlisted. |
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2nd (5) (2/1 +53%) Cat Tiger |
2/1(+53%) | (5) Cat Tiger 2/1, Useful chaser at his best for Paul Nicholls but isn't the force of old. Unseated rider before halfway in the Foxhunters' but this is easier. Very useful hunter chaser in his prime but seemingly on the downgrade now. |
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3rd (12) (9/2 +36%) Solomon Grey |
9/2(+36%) | (12) Solomon Grey 9/2, Fairly useful chaser who won this race a year ago but doesn't arrive in the same form this time round. Good third in this race in 2023 and returns here after very respectable recent effort. |
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|PU| (2) (4/1 +20%) Espoir De Guye |
4/1(+20%) | (2) Espoir De Guye 4/1, Useful chaser at his best and, returned to positive tactics, looked to retain all of that ability when scoring at Wincanton in February. Not disgraced when second at Ludlow before failing to take to the Aintree fences in the Foxhunters'. Since moved yards. Not very reliable but his Wincanton win in February makes him of strong interest here. |
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|PU| (14) (9/1 +55%) The Composeur |
9/1(+55%) | (14) The Composeur 9/1, Little to shout about in 2022/23 for Jonjo O'Neill. Has won in points but unplaced when last seen in February. Easily won a conditions point in January but has a lot more on his plate here. |
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|PU| (6) (33/1 +18%) Cooldine Bog |
33/1(+18%) | (6) Cooldine Bog 33/1, Has struggled to make an impact in hunters for this yard. . Getting back on decent ground might aid his cause but he still makes only limited appeal. |
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|PU| (8) (40/1 +39%) Game Of War |
40/1(+39%) | (8) Game Of War 40/1, Fairly useful at best for Henry de Bromhead but hard to fancy on recent efforts, fit from points when pulled up at Wincanton. Changed yards. Talented in his heyday but it's a good while since he showed any worthwhile form. |
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|PU| (7) (66/1 +34%) Dalahast |
66/1(+34%) | (7) Dalahast 66/1, Multiple chase winner in France but obviously not the force of old. Regressive 11yo; well beaten when fourth in pair of 2m4f Ludlow hunter chases this spring. |
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|PU| (11) (150/1 -50%) Royal Act |
150/1(-50%) | (11) Royal Act 150/1, Seemingly retains little ability. Struggled off lowly marks in handicaps last season, and again well beaten in recent point. |
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|PU| (13) (200/1 -100%) Tekap |
200/1(-100%) | (13) Tekap 200/1, Looks limited on balance of his form. Struggled when 200-1 for Wincanton hunter chase won by Espoir De Guye in February. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
GO ON CHEZ returned from a 232-day break to record a smooth success over 3m at Ludlow and he should have no issues with this drop in distance. The son of Malinas could prove very hard to beat in his follow-up bid, with his main threat possibly being Espoir De Guye, who is more than capable at this level on his day and he could leave his poor effort at Aintree behind him. Rebel Dawn Rising and Cat Tiger are others to keep an eye on.
REBEL DAWN RISING was in there pitching for a long way in the Foxhunters' last month and eased in class, is fancied to regain the winning thread. Go On Chez made a winning hunter debut recently and is a huge player on these terms, with Cat Tiger another to consider.
Preference is for REBEL DAWN RISING, who ran well in defeat over a longer trip at this meeting last year and won at Fakenham in March.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (7/2 +30%) Marcello Si |
7/2(+30%) | (8) Marcello Si 7/2, Won twice here in January (over C&D on second occasion). Shaped better than result when 4¾ lengths fourth of 12 to Brother Dave in handicap at Southwell (7.1f, 5/1) 33 days ago, ridden too aggressively. Major player. Won twice here in January, but has a bit to find with Brother Dave on recent meetings. |
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2nd (2) (4/1 -60%) Odd Socks Havana |
4/1(-60%) | (2) Odd Socks Havana 4/1, Gained a fifth course success when making it back-to-back wins in 9-runner handicap here (8f, 5/1) a week ago. Carries a penalty but he can remain competitive in his current form. Five wins here and 5lb higher in hat-trick bid; still a player in his current form. |
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3rd (9) (9/2 +68%) Darker |
9/2(+68%) | (9) Darker 9/2, Remains a maiden after 19 Flat runs. Stepped up on reappearance when third at this C&D in April, but not quite in the same form when sixth of 9 in handicap (11/1) at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 10 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. 0-19 so the switch to blinkers will need to make a difference. |
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4th (3) (7/2 +46%) Brother Dave |
7/2(+46%) | (3) Brother Dave 7/2, Off the mark at Southwell (7.1f) in March and followed up at the same C&D 15 days later. Left with too much to do when 6¼ lengths sixth of 11 to Angel of Antrim in handicap (7/2) at this C&D 17 days ago, so he could bounce back. Well behind Angel Of Antrim in his hat-trick bid last time; this may be run more to suit. |
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5th (6) (12/1 +25%) Jems Bond |
12/1(+25%) | (6) Jems Bond 12/1, Five-time course winner, but 14 runs since he last got his head in front. Below form last 2 starts, 6¾ lengths seventh of 11 to Angel of Antrim in handicap (17/2) at this C&D 17 days ago. Others more persuasive. Last five wins have come here, but losing run now 14 and was behind two of these last time. |
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6th (4) (7/1 +30%) Anif |
7/1(+30%) | (4) Anif 7/1, Five-time course winner, though it's 13 runs since his last victory. Failed to build on promise of previous run when fifth of 8 in handicap (8/1) at this course (8f) a week ago, but he's not written off from his career-low mark. Five wins here and 20lb below last winning mark, but opposable on balance. |
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7th (10) (33/1 -65%) Billian |
33/1(-65%) | (10) Billian 33/1, Little impact in 3 starts this year, in first-time visor, typically slowly away when eleventh of 13 in handicap (12/1) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 10 days ago. Has work to do. 3-42 and recent efforts don't suggest his strike-rate is about to improve. |
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8th (7) (11/1 +21%) Broxi |
11/1(+21%) | (7) Broxi 11/1, Returned to winning ways in first-time blinkers at this C&D in March. However, failed to repeat that effort when last of 9 in minor event (15/2) at Southwell (8.1f) 50 days ago, doing too much too soon. C&D winner last month but last at Southwell a week later; not sure what to expect. |
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9th (5) (80/1 -142%) Grand Style |
80/1(-142%) | (5) Grand Style 80/1, Showed fair form in France but offered little in 4 starts for Alexandra Dunn, last of 10 in handicap (150/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 3 months ago. Switch to new yard need to spark a revival. Beaten one rival in four starts since arriving from France; best watched on stable debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
ODD SOCKS HAVANA got up by a length in this grade over a mile here on his latest outing and he has a 5lb penalty to carry for that triumph. Rebeeca Menzies' six-year-old continues in fine form and he doesn't look one to take on in his bid for a hat-trick. Angel Of Antrim rarely runs a bad race and his most recent third over 1m here puts him into contention once more, while Marcello Si is also worth a second look.
MARCELLO SI has been in good heart this year, the forcing tactics just a shade overdone when fourth at Southwell on his latest outing, so he is taken to get back to winning ways returned to this venue. Odd Socks Havana arrives bidding for a course hat-trick and isn't taken lightly, while Angel of Antrim could also be thereabouts once more.
Preference is for ANGEL OF ANTRIM (nap) who recorded a tidy success over C&D on his penultimate start.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (11) (9/2 +36%) Fircombe Hall |
9/2(+36%) | (11) Fircombe Hall 9/2, Gained a fourth C&D victory in March. Wasn't seen to best effect when 4 lengths seventh of 10 to Dandys Gold in handicap (10/3) at this C&D a week ago, headway when no room 1f out. Could be in the mix. Placed in two handicaps since C&D classified win in March; probably in the mix again. |
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2nd (9) (12/1 -20%) Magic Gem |
12/1(-20%) | (9) Magic Gem 12/1, Making first start since leaving David C. Griffiths, ran at least as well as ever when third of 13 in handicap (4/1) at this C&D in September. Has since left Bryan Smart. Capable of getting involved if ready to go on return. Close third over C&D in September; makes stable debut after 235-day absence. |
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3rd (10) (28/1 -75%) Flavius Titus |
28/1(-75%) | (10) Flavius Titus 28/1, Soon left behind a lesser effort when fifth of 11 in handicap (14/1) at this C&D when last seen in October. Cheekpieces back on as he makes his return from 6 months off. Ran okay here in October but not seen since and best known as a turf performer. |
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4th (8) (9/2 +36%) Noble Captain |
9/2(+36%) | (8) Noble Captain 9/2, Both wins at this C&D, with latest success in March. Shaped as if still in good form when sixth of 10 in handicap here (7/2) 39 days ago, racing closer to pace than ideal. Shortlisted. Dual C&D winner this year; not quite at best lately but current mark probably workable. |
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5th (1) (40/1 -186%) Protest Rally |
40/1(-186%) | (1) Protest Rally 40/1, Ended last year out of form, but shaped as if needing the run after 8 months off when eighth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 18/1) 25 days ago. Needs to get back on track with cheekpieces on 1st time. Safely held on all three stable starts; cheekpieces added today. |
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6th (13) (8/1 -100%) Higher Law |
8/1(-100%) | (13) Higher Law 8/1, Again ran well when second of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 11/2) 10 days ago, finishing strongly. Remains a maiden but he could be ready to get off the mark in his current mood. 0-24 now but pretty consistent this year, and went close at Wolverhampton recently. |
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7th (12) (13/2 -30%) Dandys Gold |
13/2(-30%) | (12) Dandys Gold 13/2, Capitalised on her reduced mark when recording a third C&D victory in 10-runner handicap here (13/2) a week ago. Task is now to build on her latest effort under a penalty. Kept on well for C&D win a week ago; effectively only 3lb higher under penalty. |
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8th (7) (66/1 -164%) West End Lass |
66/1(-164%) | (7) West End Lass 66/1, Fared no better making her handicap debut when tenth of 13 at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 66/1) 10 days ago. Remains early days but much more needed. Weakened into tenth when 66-1 for recent handicap debut at Wolverhampton. |
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9th (5) (9/1 +10%) Absolute Dream |
9/1(+10%) | (5) Absolute Dream 9/1, C&D winner. With headgear reapplied, returned to winning ways at Southwell in March. Not discredited when fifth of 11 in handicap at this course (7.1f, 25/1) 17 days ago. Can give another good account. Didn't really fire here last month but has claims if judged on his two March runs. |
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10th (4) (7/1 +42%) Captain Vallo |
7/1(+42%) | (4) Captain Vallo 7/1, C&D winner. It's been a while since his last success, but he was denied a clear run when tenth of 12 in handicap at this course (7.1f, 10/1) 25 days ago. Not discounted having eased further in the weights with visor on first time. Not seen to best effect over 7f last month; reverts to optimum trip on good mark. |
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11th (2) (4/1 +43%) Tillybob |
4/1(+43%) | (2) Tillybob 4/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Shaped well on first run since leaving David Loughnane when fifth of 11 in handicap (66/1) at this C&D 42 days ago, short of room again late on. One to consider dropped in grade. Unexposed filly who made very encouraging stable debut over C&D in March; interesting. |
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12th (6) (33/1 -106%) Kaidu |
33/1(-106%) | (6) Kaidu 33/1, After 3 months off, first run since leaving Archie Watson when sixteenth of 17 in handicap at Thirsk (6f, heavy, 25/1) 13 days ago. Needs to leave latest effort well behind back on all-weather with hood applied. Struggled (albeit on soft turf) on recent stable debut and now 0-10. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
MAGIC GEM made the frame in this grade over track and trip when last seen in September and he has since switched to the Michael Herrington stable. The son of Garswood goes off an unchanged rating and he could be the one to beat if fully wound up for his reappearance. Tillybob outran her long odds when not beaten far in fifth over this C&D in March and she has been dropped 2lb for that display, which puts her in contention. Last-time-out winner Dandys Gold is another to note.
HIGHER LAW has made the frame on 3 of his last 4 starts since the cheekpieces have been reapplied, finishing well when second at Wolverhampton 10 days ago, and he can continue his good run of form to open his account. Tillybob made an encouraging stable/seasonal debut at this C&D in March and could be the main danger, ahead of Noble Captain.
The most interesting runner is arguably low-mileage filly TILLYBOB, who made an encouraging stable debut over C&D in March.
Ths is the racecard key.
Icon | Meaning |
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TomForm top stats, gold rated | |
TomForm top stats silver rated | |
Ran similar race before | |
S | TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out |
T | Top Time speeed rated |
Top Racingpost rated | |
At the races watchout for | |
At the races top pick | |
Top rated for thet statistic |
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.
There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.
The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.
Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.
In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.
Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.