There were 36 Races on Monday 24th April 2023 across 5 meetings. There was 7 races at Pontefract, 7 races at Hexham, 8 races at Windsor, 7 races at Kempton, 7 races at Naas, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spirit Of Cahala |
(6) (33/1 +18%)33/1(+18%) | (6) Spirit Of Cahala 33/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 9/2, bit below form seventh of 13 in handicap at Kempton (7f), slowly away. Off 173 days ahead of this debut for new yard and needs to raise his game a touch. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tridevi |
(16) (125/1 -25%)125/1(-25%) | (16) Tridevi 125/1, 100/1, ninth of 11 in handicap at Lingfield (7f, AW) 26 days ago. Makes turf debut. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1st (8) (5/1 +29%) Big Bard |
5/1(+29%) | (8) Big Bard 5/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. Good second of 7 in handicap (12/1) at Lingfield (6f, AW) 54 days ago, not knocked about. Went close off a 5 lb higher mark here in October, so couldn't rule out. Cheekpieces back on. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (9) (28/1 -27%) Firenze Rosa |
28/1(-27%) | (9) Firenze Rosa 28/1, Course winner. Tenth of 11 in handicap at this course (5.1f, good to soft, 12/1). Off 6 months ahead of this debut for new yard and it's probably best to look elsewhere. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (13) (12/1 +25%) On Edge |
12/1(+25%) | (13) On Edge 12/1, Ninth of 11 in handicap (13/2) at Wolverhampton (6.1f), left with too much to do. Off 146 days and will probably find a few too strong here. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (7) (4/1 +43%) Connie's Rose |
4/1(+43%) | (7) Connie's Rose 4/1, Good fourth of 17 in handicap (25/1) at Bath (5f, soft) 17 days ago, doing too much too soon. Return to this trip no bad thing (same goes for the forecast better ground) and she's a key player. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (15) (33/1 +0%) Soldier's Son |
33/1(+0%) | (15) Soldier's Son 33/1, Remains a maiden after 33 Flat runs. 25/1, seventh of 11 in handicap at Kempton (6f). Off 6 months and he's passed over. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (3) (33/1 -65%) Kyber Crystal |
33/1(-65%) | (3) Kyber Crystal 33/1, Sixth of 8 in minor event (14/1) at Southwell (5f), slowly away. Off 159 days and back up in trip here. Looks vulnerable. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (14) (10/1 -43%) Hannah's Return |
10/1(-43%) | (14) Hannah's Return 10/1, Career best when winning 9-runner handicap (13/2) at Kempton (6f) 40 days ago, driven out. Nudged up just 1 lb and she should be in the thick of things if proving equally effective on turf. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (5) (4.5/1 +40%) Joy Choi |
4.5/1(+40%) | (5) Joy Choi 4.5/1, Below form sixth of 10 in handicap at Kempton (6f, 20/1) 5 days ago and likely to find a few too good once more. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (1) (11/1 -144%) Rogue Star |
11/1(-144%) | (1) Rogue Star 11/1, Eighth of 9 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f, 9/2) 20 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time and could take a hand off this reduced mark if he puts his best foot forward. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (11) (50/1 -79%) Dazzerling |
50/1(-79%) | (11) Dazzerling 50/1, Last of 9 in handicap at Lingfield (6f, AW, 50/1) on latest start in December. Placed twice off higher marks than this on turf in 2022 and possibilities if on-song back from a break. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (4) (4.5/1 +50%) Kondratiev Wave |
4.5/1(+50%) | (4) Kondratiev Wave 4.5/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. 4/1, ninth of 10 in handicap at Kempton (6f) 26 days ago, left poorly placed. Down to an attractive mark but others are more convincing overall. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12th (2) (6/1 -50%) The Princes Poet |
6/1(-50%) | (2) The Princes Poet 6/1, Course winner. Latest win at Kempton in October. Creditable third of 10 in handicap (11/2) at Lingfield (6f, AW) when last seen in December. Goes well fresh and should have a part to play. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary, 7/1 (14) HANNAH'S RETURN and 7/1 (7) CONNIE'S ROSE seem to be the strongest contenders as they both have recent wins and good performances in their last races. 4/1 (2) THE PRINCES POET also seems to have a good chance, as they have a recent win and perform well when fresh. 4.5/1 (1) ROGUE STAR, 7/1 (8) BIG BARD, and 28/1 (11) DAZZERLING could also potentially be in the mix. 7.5/1 (5) JOY CHOI, 9/1 (4) KONDRATIEV WAVE, 16/1 (13) ON EDGE, 20/1 (3) KYBER CRYSTAL, 22/1 (9) FIRENZE ROSA, 25/1 (10) PORT NOIR, 33/1 (15) SOLDIER'S SON, 40/1 (12) THE COLA KID, Spirit of Cahala, and 100/1 (16) TRIDEVI are less likely to do well based on their recent form and past performances.
The Gary Moore stable can do little wrong at present and preference is for BIG BARD, who bounced back to form with a solid runner-up effort at Lingfield last month. The five-year-old went close over C&D last October and he is taken to master the likes of course regular The Princes Poet and Hannah's Return, who makes her turf debut having won at Kempton last time out. Others to note include Connie's Rose, Joy Choi and Rogue Star.
CONNIE'S ROSE made an encouraging seasonal reappearance at Bath earlier this month and, entitled to come on for that, she could be the answer. Provided she takes to turf, dual all-weather scorer Hannah's Return will be a live danger, while The Princes Poet performed well on his return both last year and in 2021, and he is likely to be in the mix, too. Another for the shortlist is Big Bard, who has slipped to a dangerous mark.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (1) (1.75/1 +56%) Bingoo |
1.75/1(+56%) | (1) Bingoo 1.75/1, Won 2 of his 4 starts this season, finding a little more improvement when taking 4-runner handicap hurdle over C&D (heavy) 27 days ago. More on plate now but should give another good account. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (4) (7/1 -75%) Bella Bliss |
7/1(-75%) | (4) Bella Bliss 7/1, Won a couple of hurdles on good ground last summer and shaped better than distance beaten when seventh in handicap at Downpatrick (18.8f, heavy) 22 days ago. One to take seriously. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (5) (28/1 -75%) Harper Valley |
28/1(-75%) | (5) Harper Valley 28/1, Posted promising fifth of 13 in novice hurdle at Wetherby (16f, soft) on NH debut 18 days ago, finishing with running left. Likely to improve and could be a player. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (3) (1.5/1 +0%) Eclair D'Ainay |
1.5/1(+0%) | (3) Eclair D'Ainay 1.5/1, Useful chaser who was below form in that sphere at Chepstow 14 days ago. Had easily taken a 3-runner novice over hurdles at Market Rasen previously, though, and must enter calculations back over the smaller obstacles. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (7) (125/1 -89%) Hostile Hotelier |
125/1(-89%) | (7) Hostile Hotelier 125/1, Finished well held in novice hurdle at Southwell (15.8f, soft) on NH debut 12 days ago. Up against it. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (10) (40/1 -60%) Izzy Bell |
40/1(-60%) | (10) Izzy Bell 40/1, Offered more than previously when third of 8 in novice hurdle at Carlisle (19.3f, good) 16 days ago. Each-way claims if able to build on that. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (6) (28/1 -12%) Henry Gray |
28/1(-12%) | (6) Henry Gray 28/1, Showed more than on debut when fourth of 11 in novice hurdle at Newcastle (20.3f, soft, 18/1) in December but looks one for handicaps down the line. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (11) (20/1 +20%) You Some Girl |
20/1(+20%) | (11) You Some Girl 20/1, Fair bumper performer who wasn't seen to best effect when sixth of 13 in Wetherby novice (16f, soft) on hurdles bow 18 days ago, needing stronger gallop. However, percentage call is to look elsewhere. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (9) (50/1 +0%) Navigate West |
50/1(+0%) | (9) Navigate West 50/1, Hinted at ability on the first of 2 outings in bumpers and been a similar story in a couple of runs over timber. Probably won't be of interest until sent handicapping, though. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (2) (7/1 -75%) Rock Hurley |
7/1(-75%) | (2) Rock Hurley 7/1, Dual winner in France but somewhat disappointing on UK debut in Bangor handicap hurdle 30 days ago. Still warrants plenty of respect here, however. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (8) (250/1 -150%) Mister Smarty |
250/1(-150%) | (8) Mister Smarty 250/1, Well held in a couple of bumpers and can only be watched on first crack at hurdling. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, 4/1 (1) BINGOO is most likely to do well as they have won 2 out of 4 starts this season and showed improvement in their last race. 4/1 (4) BELLA BLISS is also mentioned as one to take seriously after shaping well in their last race, but it is not clear if they have the same consistency as 4/1 (1) BINGOO. The other horses either have limited success or have not shown enough in their recent races.
A return to hurdles can do the trick for ECLAIR D'AINAY, having won easily on his most recent start in this sphere at Market Rasen. Conditions look to be in his favour and he can see off the likes of Irish raider Bella Bliss and Rock Hurley, who is bound to improve on his first run for new connections last month. C&D winner Bingoo can also have a say in proceedings.
Slight preference is for BELLA BLISS, who was far from disgraced in testing ground last time and should find conditions more in her favour here. Eclair d'Ainay and Rock Hurley may provide the chief threat.
Smart chaser ECLAIR D'AINAY was an easy winner over hurdles on his penultimate run and is a major player back in this sphere.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (5.5/1 +0%) Billy Webster |
5.5/1(+0%) | (1) Billy Webster 5.5/1, Foaled March 9. 30,000 gns yearling, Profitable gelding. Dam, 9f winner who stayed 12.5f, half-sister to smart 1m-1½m winner Moment In Time out of useful 1¼m winner Horatia. Not ruled out. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (3) (1/1 -20%) Indication Call |
1/1(-20%) | (3) Indication Call 1/1, Soldier's Call colt who posted a good second of 9 in minor event at Beverley (5f, good to soft) 5 days ago, running on. Solid claims. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (2) (5.5/1 -22%) Dan Dee Prince |
5.5/1(-22%) | (2) Dan Dee Prince 5.5/1, Foaled April 10. €12,000 foal, £26,000 yearling, Dandy Man colt. Half-brother to 3 winners, including 7f winner Karkiyna and 7f/1m winner Karakour. Appeals on paper. Interesting newcomer. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (5) (11/1 +56%) Between Me And U |
11/1(+56%) | (5) Between Me And U 11/1, Foaled March 18. 4,000 gns foal, 6,500 gns yearling, Eqtidaar gelding. Dam 9f/1¼m winner. Betting can prove a good indicator. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (6) (6/1 +14%) Adaay To Win |
6/1(+14%) | (6) Adaay To Win 6/1, Foaled February 9. 6,000 gns yearling, Adaay filly. Dam, 2-y-o 6f winner who stayed 1m, half-sister to useful winner up to 1¼m Cabinet. No forlorn hope on her first start with Hollie Doyle up. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (4) (12/1 +0%) Ishe Worth Agamble |
12/1(+0%) | (4) Ishe Worth Agamble 12/1, Foaled January 27. 9,000 gns foal, 28,000 gns yearling, Camacho colt. Dam ran once at 2 yrs. Market can guide. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (7) (28/1 +15%) Kaaress |
28/1(+15%) | (7) Kaaress 28/1, Foaled April 2. €4,000 yearling, Kessaar filly. Dam 7f/1m winner. Not discounted on her debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
It is difficult to predict with certainty, but 0.83/1 (3) INDICATION CALL and 4.5/1 (2) DAN DEE PRINCE seem to have solid chances based on their recent performances and pedigree. 7/1 (6) ADAAY TO WIN and 5.5/1 (1) BILLY WEBSTER also have some potential, while the remaining horses may need to show more in the betting market to be considered strong contenders.
INDICATION CALL is the only runner here with any racecourse experience and as he was beaten less than a length on his latest outing at Beverley, we also know he has plenty of ability for a stable in good form. Of the newcomers, most appear bred to be better over further, with the possible exceptions of Kaaress and Adaay To Win, while Billy Lougnane claims 5lb off the back of Billy Webster, suggesting he is worth a market watch.
DAN DEE PRINCE catches the eye on paper so Tom Dascombe's newcomer is fancied to edge out recent Beverley second Indication Call, who may have to settle for the runner-up spot once more. George Scott's Billy Webster is another debutant who needs considering in a race where the market will reveal plenty.
The Karl Burke-trained INDICATION CALL takes on a field of newcomers and is taken to put his experience to good use.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (6/1 -118%) Relief Rally |
6/1(-118%) | (8) Relief Rally 6/1, Foaled April 19. 58,000 gns yearling, Kodiac filly. Sister to smart 6f winner Koropick and half-sister to 3 winners, including winner up to 7f Batchelor Boy and 5f/6f winner Phebes Wish. Dam unraced. Obvious appeal on paper. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (4) (3/1 +50%) Gaiden |
3/1(+50%) | (4) Gaiden 3/1, Foaled February 11. £65,000 yearling, Mehmas filly. Dam unraced half-sister to smart winner up to 1m (stayed 12.5f) Lustrous. Represents top 2-y-o yard and it will look significant if the market vibes are upbeat. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (3) (33/1 -32%) Denruth Diamond |
33/1(-32%) | (3) Denruth Diamond 33/1, Foaled April 1. €60,000 yearling, City Light filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including 9f-11f winner Monsieur Vic and 2-y-o 7f winner Jonquille. Entitled to come on for the run. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (1) (3.33/1 +67%) Always Love You |
3.33/1(+67%) | (1) Always Love You 3.33/1, Foaled February 25. 12,000 gns yearling, Aclaim filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including useful 6f winner City Money and 7.5f winner Evidence, both in France. Dam 9.2f-10.5f winner. Yard has madea good start to the season with its 2-y-os and she's one to note in the betting. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (9) (125/1 -89%) Tears Of A Clown |
125/1(-89%) | (9) Tears Of A Clown 125/1, Foaled March 21. Pearl Secret filly. Dam 2-y-o 5.5f winner. Limited appeal on paper. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (6) (18/1 +28%) Line Of Fire |
18/1(+28%) | (6) Line Of Fire 18/1, Foaled March 18. Havana Grey filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 6f-7.4f winner Sweet Gardenia. Dam, 5f winner, half-sister to useful 2-y-o 6f winner Royal Rascal. Wears hood. Like stablemate Denruth Diamond, she'll probably come on for the run. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (5) (10/1 -100%) Lady Wulfrun |
10/1(-100%) | (5) Lady Wulfrun 10/1, Foaled April 20. Saxon Warrior filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including useful 9f-1½m winner Encourage and 2-y-o 6f/7f winner Candle of Hope. In good hands and the market will be instructive. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (2) (7.5/1 +38%) Dainty Lady |
7.5/1(+38%) | (2) Dainty Lady 7.5/1, Foaled March 14. 20,000 gns foal, 10,000 gns yearling, Dandy Man filly. Half-sister to several winners, including 2-y-o 6f/7f winner Galeron and 1¼m-1½m winner Goldenfield, both useful. Dam unraced. Watch the betting for clues. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (7) (14/1 -27%) Pickled Pepper |
14/1(-27%) | (7) Pickled Pepper 14/1, Foaled January 16. Too Darn Hot filly. Dam, useful winner up to 7f (2-y-o 5f/6f winner), half-sister to useful 1½m winner Tyson Fury. Yard seldom strikes with newcomers. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (10) (50/1 +24%) Tejesueno |
50/1(+24%) | (10) Tejesueno 50/1, Foaled April 28. Coach House filly. Dam, 7f winner, half-sister to useful 1m winner Winfromwithin. Probably best watched on debut. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (11) (4/1 -45%) Tokyo Drift |
4/1(-45%) | (11) Tokyo Drift 4/1, Once-raced maiden. 6/1, third of 8 in minor event at Kempton (5f) on debut 12 days ago. Likely to win a race or two if building on that. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, 2.75/1 (8) RELIEF RALLY and 5/1 (5) LADY WULFRUN seem to have the strongest pedigrees with successful siblings and good potential. 6/1 (4) GAIDEN also represents a top yard and may be worth watching in the betting. 10/1 (1) ALWAYS LOVE YOU and 12/1 (2) DAINTY LADY also have promising pedigrees and should be noted in the market. It is unlikely that 11/1 (7) PICKLED PEPPER, 66/1 (9) TEARS OF A CLOWN, and 66/1 (10) TEJESUENO will perform strongly on debut.
Not beaten far on her debut at Kempton when only wilting from the front close home, TOKYO DRIFT showed more than enough ability to suggest that she can get off the mark in a race like this. A sister to a debut winner herself in Koropick, Relief Rally looks the pick of the newcomers, ahead of Gaiden, who is a daughter of Mehmas, an excellent influence on speed.
All but one of these are debutantes and the market will be informative. RELIEF RALLY is bred to be speedy and she gets the nod ahead of Gaiden and Lady Wulfrun. Always Love You is also appealing on paper and Tokyo Drift, who was a close third on her introduction at Kempton, could put her experience to good use and make a bold bid.
Dominic Ffrench Davis has made a bright start with his 2yos and ALWAYS LOVE YOU gets the nod. Relief Rally is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (11) (4.5/1 +18%) Cudgel |
4.5/1(+18%) | (11) Cudgel 4.5/1, Capitalised on a reduced mark to garner his fifth win here in 7-runner handicap chase over C&D (heavy) 25 days ago, digging deep. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Up 4 lb but still not taken lightly. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (8) (3/1 +57%) Fourth Of July |
3/1(+57%) | (8) Fourth Of July 3/1, It's now 17 runs since his last win in 2021 but he recorded a very good third of 6 in handicap chase at Newcastle (16.3f, firm) 67 days ago. Enters calculations eased 1 lb. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (16) (18/1 +45%) Choix Des Armes |
18/1(+45%) | (16) Choix Des Armes 18/1, Arrives below par, well-beaten fourth to Cudgel over C&D 25 days ago. A sketchy jumper too. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (12) (9/1 +18%) Ensel Du Perche |
9/1(+18%) | (12) Ensel Du Perche 9/1, Remains a maiden after 20 runs. Unseated rider 7th in handicap chase here when last seen out 6 months ago. Others are more persuasive. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (15) (10/1 +38%) Bandit D'Ainay |
10/1(+38%) | (15) Bandit D'Ainay 10/1, Four-time winner over fences in France but only poor nowadays, third of 7 to Cudgel in handicap chase over C&D 25 days ago. Visor on 1st time. This veteran needs to back it up. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (1) (4.5/1 +10%) Patagonia |
4.5/1(+10%) | (1) Patagonia 4.5/1, Low-mileage 6-y-o who posted a very good second on yard debut in handicap chase at Wetherby (15.2f, soft) 24 days ago. Has more to offer so a bold showing is on the cards nudged up only 1 lb. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (6) (12/1 +52%) Follow Your Fire |
12/1(+52%) | (6) Follow Your Fire 12/1, C&D winner but he beat only one after 5 months off in handicap chase at Huntingdon (19.9f, good to soft) 8 days ago. Back down in trip with work to do. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (4) (6.5/1 -8%) Going Mobile |
6.5/1(-8%) | (4) Going Mobile 6.5/1, Bagged his third success this season in 2m handicap chase at Carlisle 29 days ago, digging deep. This C&D winner can make his presence felt once more despite taking a 3 lb rise. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (9) (11/1 +31%) Ashjan |
11/1(+31%) | (9) Ashjan 11/1, Won 3 times last spring and he got back on track when third of 7 in handicap hurdle at Carlisle (19.3f, good) 16 days ago. Needs to back it up now returned to fences. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (14) (20/1 -82%) War At Sea |
20/1(-82%) | (14) War At Sea 20/1, Fair maiden chaser but he has has his fitness to prove on his comeback run after 20 months off. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (5) (125/1 -89%) Kingofthecotswolds |
125/1(-89%) | (5) Kingofthecotswolds 125/1, It's now 14 runs since his last win in 2019 and he was pulled up in handicap hurdle at Carlisle (17f, soft) 36 days ago. Switches to fences with lots more required. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
6/1 (4) GOING MOBILE is likely to do well based on the summary. The horse has already won three times this season and performed well in a 2m handicap chase at Carlisle just 29 days ago. Despite a slight 3 lb rise in weight, the horse has proven to be a C&D winner and can make its presence felt again.
A determined winner at Carlisle on his most recent start, GOING MOBILE can follow up off a 3lb higher mark at a track he has an excellent record at. The selection had Ensel Du Perche (second) behind when scoring over C&D last September, so the main dangers this time might be the veteran Cudgel and the unexposed Patagonia, who went close at Wetherby last month.
Not so competitive as the numbers suggest and Gary Hanmer's new recruit PATAGONIA looks the way to go nudged up only 1lb for his very good Wetherby runner-up effort last month. Cudgel is always to be much respected round here and is next on the list ahead of another C&D scorer Going Mobile.
The vote goes to Gary Hanmer's unexposed chaser PATAGONIA, who rallied well to go very close at Wetherby on his return from a layoff.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (0.13/1 +48%) Concorde |
0.13/1(+48%) | (4) Concorde 0.13/1, Much improved since sent handicapping, scoring at Redcar (1m) before most unlucky second at Chelmsford City 4 days ago, in command in front but eased prematurely and caught line. Can gain compensation off the same mark. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (7) (16/1 -100%) Camacho Star |
16/1(-100%) | (7) Camacho Star 16/1, 6/1, career best when winning 8-runner handicap at Redcar (8f, heavy) 14 days ago by ¾ length from Edmund Ironside. Holds solid place claims despite taking a 3 lb rise. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (1) (9/1 -38%) Edmund Ironside |
9/1(-38%) | (1) Edmund Ironside 9/1, Resumed with good second of 8 to Camacho Star in handicap at Redcar (8f, heavy) 14 days ago. Well in the mix off an unchanged mark. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (5) (20/1 +39%) Gottaifan |
20/1(+39%) | (5) Gottaifan 20/1, 50/1 and visored for 1st time, last of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 19 days ago. Needs to take a big step forward. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (2) (66/1 -65%) Kohana Breeze |
66/1(-65%) | (2) Kohana Breeze 66/1, Fair maiden. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, last of 9 in handicap (40/1) at Southwell (7.1f) 18 days ago. Blinkers go on for 1st time now with lots more needed. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (3) (33/1 -83%) Moltisanti |
33/1(-83%) | (3) Moltisanti 33/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 15/2, eighth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 25 days ago so needs to get back on track. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (6) (66/1 -32%) Heart Of Acklam |
66/1(-32%) | (6) Heart Of Acklam 66/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 12/1, last of 8 in nursery at Beverley (7.4f, good to firm). Off 8 months with work to do at these weights. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Based on the summary, the horse that has the best chance of doing well is 0.25/1 (4) CONCORDE, as it has recently improved and came second in its last race due to being eased prematurely. It is suggested that it can gain compensation off the same mark.
Concorde will likely prove popular here after winning at Redcar and being beaten a nose under a penalty when eased up close home at Chelmsford last Thursday, but two runs in such a short period may take it's toll. He has to give 7lb to another Redcar winner in CAMACHO STAR, who proved hard to pass last time and may tough it out again. Kohana Breeze tries blinkers instead of cheekpieces and has a chance if she can bounce back to her better form.
CONCORDE was a most unlucky second at Chelmsford City last time so is strongly fancied to resume winning ways off the same mark here. Camacho Star and Edmund Ironside fought out a good finish at Redcar and can chase home George Boughey's improving sort in that order.
Last Monday's easy Redcar winner CONCORDE was eased prematurely at Chelmsford three days later, and can return to winning ways.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (5) (2.5/1 +0%) Understated |
2.5/1(+0%) | (5) Understated 2.5/1, Posted promising second of 9 in maiden at Kempton (11f) on debut in January. Open to progress and holds sound claims. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (4) (5.5/1 -144%) Shadow Dance |
5.5/1(-144%) | (4) Shadow Dance 5.5/1, Almanzor colt. Half-brother to 11.5f winner Sassifrassi. Dam unraced half-sister to smart winner up to 1m (stayed 1¼m) Speciosa. Makes plenty of appeal on paper. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (3) (1.75/1 +47%) Prosper Legend |
1.75/1(+47%) | (3) Prosper Legend 1.75/1, Encouraging fourth of 9 in maiden at Kempton (8f, 9/2) on debut 19 days ago, nearest finish. Up in trip. Should improve. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (2) (4/1 +0%) Order Of Malta |
4/1(+0%) | (2) Order Of Malta 4/1, Twice-raced maiden. Fifth of 6 in minor event at Kempton (10f, 6/1) 23 days ago, not knocked about. Enters calculations. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (1) (9/1 +18%) Charlie's Choice |
9/1(+18%) | (1) Charlie's Choice 9/1, Twice-raced maiden. Fifth of 15 in minor event at Yarmouth (10.1f, heavy, 4/1) 9 days ago. Work to do. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, 2.25/1 (4) SHADOW DANCE seems to be the most promising horse with a strong pedigree and a promising second-place finish in its debut race. 3.33/1 (3) PROSPER LEGEND also shows potential, having placed fourth in its debut race and expected to improve with a longer distance. 4/1 (2) ORDER OF MALTA and 11/1 (1) CHARLIE'S CHOICE have both struggled in their previous races and may be less likely to perform well.
PROSPER LEGEND didn't set the world alight on his debut at Kempton earlier in the month, but he was plenty green on that occasion and got the hang of things late on to finish a never-nearer fourth. With improvement expected on the step up in trip, he is narrowly preferred to well-bred newcomer Shadow Dance and Understated, who performed with plenty of promise on her debut in January.
This can go to UNDERSTATED, who pulled clear of the remainder when a promising second on her debut at Kempton in January. Prosper Legend may be the main danger.
Unlucky not to finish closer on his comeback, ORDER OF MALTA gets the vote on his turf debut. Prosper Legend rates the main threat.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (5) (6.5/1 +80%) Eagle Of The Glen |
6.5/1(+80%) | (5) Eagle Of The Glen 6.5/1, Has shown a bit in junior bumper/similar races over hurdles, no match for Bois Guillbert at Wetherby 68 days ago. Hard to fancy here. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (2) (2.25/1 +18%) Tintintin |
2.25/1(+18%) | (2) Tintintin 2.25/1, Left clear when making winning hurdles debut at Ffos Las in October but improved in defeat twice since, chasing home promising winner conceding 14 lb to her at Market Rasen last month. Conditional takes off 5 lb here and solid claims. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (1) (2.5/1 +9%) Bois Guillbert |
2.5/1(+9%) | (1) Bois Guillbert 2.5/1, Has looked a jumper with a bright future as he's won both his starts in similar races, defying a penalty with something in hand at Wetherby 10 weeks ago. More to come. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (8) (8.5/1 -183%) Joker Du Chenet |
8.5/1(-183%) | (8) Joker Du Chenet 8.5/1, Some appeal on paper but was in the process of running to only a modest level when departing 3 out (held at the time) on recent hurdles debut at Wetherby. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (6) (22/1 +12%) Greenhill Gardens |
22/1(+12%) | (6) Greenhill Gardens 22/1, Better effort on second start in bumpers at Newcastle 5 weeks ago. Bred to be a stayer and likely to need more time now jumping. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (10) (9/1 +10%) Prontoanita |
9/1(+10%) | (10) Prontoanita 9/1, From a good family and made a promising start in junior bumpers in November. One to note now hurdling. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (4) (25/1 +24%) Clovis Boy |
25/1(+24%) | (4) Clovis Boy 25/1, Tongue tied and just minor promise both starts over hurdles, shaping like a stayer. Bois Guillbert much stronger here for yard. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (9) (12/1 +25%) Petite Souris |
12/1(+25%) | (9) Petite Souris 12/1, Shaped better than first time up over hurdles after a wind op at Market Rasen last month but again didn't see her race out as expected. Tongue tie might help now. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (7) (16/1 -60%) Jersay Du Trottet |
16/1(-60%) | (7) Jersay Du Trottet 16/1, Went without the tongue strap worn in France and was some way below the form he'd seemed to show on hurdling debut at Pau 3 months earlier starting out for this yard at Newcastle last month. Might be one for handicaps. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary provided, it seems that 2.75/1 (1) BOIS GUILLBERT has the strongest chance of doing well as he has won both his starts in similar races and defied a penalty with ease. The other horses have either shown some promise, but have not consistently performed well, or are still relatively inexperienced in hurdling.
BOIS GUILLBERT continues to go from strength to strength and even with a 10lb penalty, he may still have enough to land the hat-trick for his in-form connections. Joker Du Chenet was still going well when falling three out at Wetherby on debut, while Tintintin has made a good start to his career in this sphere and could be due a change in luck.
BOIS GUILLBERT looks a jumper to follow for the Grand National-winning yard and can defy a double penalty to remain unbeaten over hurdles. Tintintin is the clear danger, with Prontoanita one to note on her hurdles debut after a couple of encouraging efforts in bumpers.
In tricky race a chance is taken on the ex-French JERSAY DU TROTTET, who should improve on his third at Newcastle last time.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (12) (6/1 +63%) Lightening Company |
6/1(+63%) | (12) Lightening Company 6/1, Pretty useful at his best and he reappears off a mark only 1 lb higher than the one he defied at Redcar last spring. Stable among the winners, too, so there are reasons to be hopeful. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (13) (8/1 +50%) Wootton'sun |
8/1(+50%) | (13) Wootton'sun 8/1, Latest win at Windsor in September. Struggled on soft ground final start but a reappearance win last year shows he's capable when fresh and he could bounce back. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (4) (25/1 -108%) Baryshnikov |
25/1(-108%) | (4) Baryshnikov 25/1, Went off the boil towards the end of last year and fared no better on his Doncaster reappearance. C&D winner last spring but has something to prove for the time being. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (6) (8.5/1 -113%) Sun King |
8.5/1(-113%) | (6) Sun King 8.5/1, 11/2, first run since leaving Aidan O'Brien when creditable fifth of 13 in handicap at Kempton (1m) in January. Step back up in trip should suit now returning to turf after a further 107 days off. One of the more interesting runners. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (3) (11/1 +45%) Marie's Diamond |
11/1(+45%) | (3) Marie's Diamond 11/1, Course winner. Twenty four runs since last win in 2021. Struggled in Bahrain at the start of this year and watching brief is the percentage call. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (10) (2.25/1 +59%) Cumulonimbus |
2.25/1(+59%) | (10) Cumulonimbus 2.25/1, Won back to back over this trip at Yarmouth (under Hollie Doyle) and Haydock last September. Another good run when third of 9 at Haydock (soft) on final start. Low-mileage 4-y-o who could easily have more to offer. Respected. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (5) (28/1 -75%) Dark Moon Rising |
28/1(-75%) | (5) Dark Moon Rising 28/1, Produced a useful effort when landing 6-runner conditions event on 1m Chelmsford reapperance last spring. Failed to progress in the face of some stiff tasks later in 2022 and also well held on last month's AW reappearance at Wolverhampton. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (8) (12/1 +25%) Piecederesistance |
12/1(+25%) | (8) Piecederesistance 12/1, C&D winner last summer but not in the same form at York and Newmarket subsequently. Placed twice over hurdles at the end of 2022. First outing for 143 days. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (2) (4.5/1 +25%) Ajero |
4.5/1(+25%) | (2) Ajero 4.5/1, Won a 9f Glorious Goodwood handicap last summer. Ended his campaign with a creditable third of 8 there off this mark in October. Thereabouts if ready to roll after a break. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (11) (22/1 -10%) Reel Rosie |
22/1(-10%) | (11) Reel Rosie 22/1, Well held in handicaps over this trip at York and Newmarket on her final 2 starts last year but she does return to action with her stable among the winners. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (9) (12/1 -33%) Zealandia |
12/1(-33%) | (9) Zealandia 12/1, French recruit who returned from 7 months off to spring a 33/1 surprise on his York stable debut last June. Slight worry that he's failed to make it to the track since but he's clearly capable when fresh. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12th (7) (33/1 -65%) Kenzai Warrior |
33/1(-65%) | (7) Kenzai Warrior 33/1, Not beaten far back on the Flat at Kempton a fortnight ago and he's beginning to look well handicapped. One to consider. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
It is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well, but some of the more interesting runners include 4/1 (6) SUN KING, 4.5/1 (1) ZEALOT, 5.5/1 (10) CUMULONIMBUS, and 6/1 (2) AJERO. All of these horses have recent form and potential to improve in this race. 16/1 (12) LIGHTENING COMPANY and 16/1 (13) WOOTTON'SUN are also potential contenders if they can perform well fresh. 20/1 (7) KENZAI WARRIOR should also be considered due to his recent form and potential to be well handicapped.
ZEALOT has now won seven of his last eight starts on the all-weather, the last three under Billy Loughnane, and it will be interesting to see if he can continue that run on turf, in better company, off a 3lb higher mark than last time. Tactically adaptable, he can make all or come from off the pace, and that may give him the edge over Goodwood third Ajero, who is having his first start of the season, and Wootton'sun, who is expected to appreciate the forecast good ground.
CUMULONIMBUS was steadily progressive in turf handicaps last autumn and might prove the answer to this tricky-looking handicap. Zealot is an obvious danger if able to transfer this winter's AW improvement to the grass. Kenzai Warrior, who is starting to look well handicapped, and George Boughey's Sun King are others who could go well.
Today's course and distance brought out the best in PIECEDERESISTANCE last year and he is taken to make a winning return to action.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (5) (1/1 +17%) Sunset Point |
1/1(+17%) | (5) Sunset Point 1/1, Thrice-raced winner. Won 12-runner minor event (7/2) at Lingfield (8f, AW) when last seen in November. Open to improvement for top connections now upped in trip for this handicap debut. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (6) (4/1 +60%) Sydney Mews |
4/1(+60%) | (6) Sydney Mews 4/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Good second of 7 in nursery (9/2) at this C&D (good to firm) on final start of last season. Should pick up a race before long but may find one or two too good on this occasion. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (3) (4.5/1 +50%) Young And Fun |
4.5/1(+50%) | (3) Young And Fun 4.5/1, Lightly-raced winner. One win from 3 runs last year. Hooded for 1st time, fifth of 8 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f, 14/1) 20 days ago. Up in trip and needs to take a step forward. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (4) (4/1 +38%) Swift Lioness |
4/1(+38%) | (4) Swift Lioness 4/1, Lightly-raced winner. Career best when winning 3-runner nursery at Doncaster (8f, soft, 9/4), finding extra. Off 6 months and, with this step up in trip likely to suit, she merits respect. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
It is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well based solely on this summary, as they all have different levels of experience and varying degrees of success in their previous races. However, 1.2/1 (5) SUNSET POINT and 4.5/1 (1) MAID IN KENTUCKY both have three previous wins and recently won minor events at Lingfield, which could give them an advantage in this handicap race. 6/1 (2) DAYZEE also has a recent third place finish in a handicap race and is now up in trip on turf, which could make her a strong contender. 6.5/1 (4) SWIFT LIONESS is lightly-raced but coming off a career-best win and could also perform well with the step up in trip. 9/1 (3) YOUNG AND FUN and 10/1 (6) SYDNEY MEWS may not be the top contenders in this race based on their recent performances.
Maid In Kentucky was sent on from the start to win over a mile at Lingfield in March, but she steps up in trip for her handicap bow and it will be interesting to see if the same tactics are employed. SUNSET POINT does not hold any classic entries for Charlie Appleby, but she did quicken up nicely to win going away at Lingfield over a mile, and may be better suited by this trip. Swift Lioness and Sydney Mews are also noted.
The one with the most striking potential is SUNSET POINT, who improved with each of her 3 starts as a juvenile and it's likely that this well-bred filly will make further progress now faced with a stiffer test on this handicap/turf debut. Dayzee didn't do much wrong when third on her handicap bow at Southwell and is feared most ahead of Maid In Kentucky and Swift Lioness.
From a family that get better with age, SUNSET POINT is open to further improvement now upped in trip on her turf debut.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (15) (8/1 +71%) Gibberwell |
8/1(+71%) | (15) Gibberwell 8/1, Won a maiden hurdle in Ireland in autumn 2020 but more bad efforts than good ones to his name on this side of the Irish Sea. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (8) (6.5/1 +28%) Ex S'Elance |
6.5/1(+28%) | (8) Ex S'Elance 6.5/1, Returned from successful spell in points with a win over 2½m here last month. Struck again at Newcastle recently and while he's yet to score over this trip under Rules, the 9-y-o has to enter calculations having gone up just 1 lb. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (4) (7.5/1 +0%) Event Of Sivola |
7.5/1(+0%) | (4) Event Of Sivola 7.5/1, Won over 4m at Hexham in November. By no means disgraced when fifth in a 15-runner handicap over this trip in first-time blinkers at Wetherby last time but ideally served by a stiffer test nowadays. Visor refitted. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (9) (8/1 +33%) Eveque |
8/1(+33%) | (9) Eveque 8/1, Good efforts on his first 2 start over fences last season but it's been downhill pretty much all the way since. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (10) (7.5/1 +25%) Henry Brown |
7.5/1(+25%) | (10) Henry Brown 7.5/1, Suited by way race developed when finally off the mark over this C&D in September. Good third at Sedgefield recently (shaped better than the distance beaten) and possibilities off 1 lb lower back here. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (2) (22/1 -193%) Sir Apollo |
22/1(-193%) | (2) Sir Apollo 22/1, Both career wins have been registered at Sedgefield, the latest in first-time blinkers over 27f in February. However, didn't get very far at Fakenham a fortnight ago and possibly a shade too high in the weights. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (3) (66/1 -32%) Along Long Story |
66/1(-32%) | (3) Along Long Story 66/1, Maiden hunter winner at Thurles (25f) last March for Sean Aherne but has shown nothing in 3 starts for new yard this season. Hopes pinned on the first-time visor (tried in cheekpieces last time) doing the trick. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (6) (4.5/1 +31%) Gipsy Lee Rose |
4.5/1(+31%) | (6) Gipsy Lee Rose 4.5/1, Did the job well when landing this race 12 months ago. That's her sole taste of success from 21 starts in this sphere but she may well make a bold bid to repeat the dose off a 6 lb lower mark this time round. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (13) (66/1 +0%) Calypso Storm |
66/1(+0%) | (13) Calypso Storm 66/1, Winner between the flags in November 2021 but, with the exception of his debut third in a bumper way back in 2015, he hasn't shown much in 7 starts under Rules. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|F| (7) (8.5/1 +6%) Lights Are Green |
8.5/1(+6%) | (7) Lights Are Green 8.5/1, Point winner who hasn't made much of an impact in a trio of maiden hurdles to date. Sent chasing for this handicap debut and moving up in trip will probably help, so he's worth a second look. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|U| (14) (25/1 +62%) Square Viviani |
25/1(+62%) | (14) Square Viviani 25/1, Hit the target twice in 2019/20, including over this C&D, but he was well beaten on latest start under Rules in a handicap hurdle last February. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (1) (7/1 -40%) Morozov Cocktail |
7/1(-40%) | (1) Morozov Cocktail 7/1, Just respectable efforts at best in defeat this season but dangerous to discount, given that he's now 6 lb below the mark off which he hit the target at Newton Abbot last spring. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (12) (10/1 +17%) To The Limit |
10/1(+17%) | (12) To The Limit 10/1, Both career victories gained at Kelso, the latest when bagging 4-runner handicap chase (23.4f) in January. However, not at his best in 4 subsequent starts and others make more appeal. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (11) (18/1 +10%) Castlegrange |
18/1(+10%) | (11) Castlegrange 18/1, Ex-Irish hurdler/chaser who continues to fall in the weights for current yard without looking like taking advantage. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (16) (80/1 -100%) Deerfoot |
80/1(-100%) | (16) Deerfoot 80/1, Bit and pieces of fair form to his name but record over jumps stands at 0-22 and others are more convincing. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
9/1 (8) EX S'ELANCE and 10/1 (10) HENRY BROWN are the top contenders in this race based on their recent form and suitability for the conditions. Both horses have won their last starts and have previously performed well over the distance. Maid of Houxty and 6.5/1 (6) GIPSY LEE ROSE may also have each-way hopes.
Ex S'elance is likely to be popular after notching a brace of wins since mid-March and can go close if his stamina holds out over this longer trip, while Maid Of Houxty is respected after a game success at Newcastle last month. However, preference is for GIPSY LEE ROSE, who won last year's renewal of this race off a 6lb higher mark and has a live chance of following up on these terms.
GIPSY LEE ROSE has failed to threaten so far this season but may well again come good in this race, which she won off a 6 lb higher mark 12 months ago. Morozov Cocktail is capable of a bold show, while Ex S'Elance and Maid of Houxty both merit respect. However, point-winner Lights Are Green can be expected raise his game now upped in trip for this chase/handicap debut and he is second choice.
The vote goes to the lightly raced 8yo MAID OF HOUXTY (nap), who got off the mark when beating a clear second at Newcastle last month.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (16) (18/1 +28%) On The River |
18/1(+28%) | (16) On The River 18/1, 15/2, bit below form sixth of 13 in handicap at Ayr (8f, heavy). Off 6 months. First run for yard after leaving Ben Haslam. Needs a couple of these to falter. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (4) (10/1 +9%) Vaccine |
10/1(+9%) | (4) Vaccine 10/1, 12/1, creditable fifth of 12 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 18 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (13) (4/1 -14%) Ravenglass |
4/1(-14%) | (13) Ravenglass 4/1, Creditable third of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (8f, 13/2) 11 days ago. Can make presence felt. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (3) (16/1 +20%) Ventura Rascal |
16/1(+20%) | (3) Ventura Rascal 16/1, C&D winner. Six wins from 23 Flat runs. 17/2, below form 10¼ lengths ninth of 15 to Gainsbourg in handicap at this C&D (good). Off 7 months. Others have achieved more. Had wind operation. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (14) (3/1 +40%) Tipperary Moon |
3/1(+40%) | (14) Tipperary Moon 3/1, 16/1, good 1¼ lengths third of 15 to Do I Dream in handicap at this C&D (heavy) 13 days ago, never nearer. Merits consideration. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (2) (8.5/1 -6%) Global Spirit |
8.5/1(-6%) | (2) Global Spirit 8.5/1, C&D winner. 12/1, respectable third of 12 in handicap at Ripon (8f, soft) 4 days ago, well positioned. Likely contender. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (7) (16/1 +36%) Strongbowe |
16/1(+36%) | (7) Strongbowe 16/1, Last of 9 in handicap at Leicester (8.2f, heavy, 16/1), slowly away. Off 6 months. Hard to recommend. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (11) (11/1 -57%) My Mate Ted |
11/1(-57%) | (11) My Mate Ted 11/1, Figures off a handy mark and should be straigher for this month's Kempton return. Has to be taken seriously. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (12) (33/1 -65%) Willard Creek |
33/1(-65%) | (12) Willard Creek 33/1, Eighth of 11 in handicap (7/1) at Redcar (8f, good to firm). Off 8 months. Others preferred. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (6) (50/1 -100%) Mercurius Power |
50/1(-100%) | (6) Mercurius Power 50/1, Below form fourteenth of 22 in handicap (80/1) at Doncaster (8f, heavy) 23 days ago. Others more persuasive. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (10) (25/1 -56%) Visibility |
25/1(-56%) | (10) Visibility 25/1, Course winner. Four wins from 25 runs last year. Fifth of 7 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 4/1) 16 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12th (8) (33/1 -18%) Gainsbourg |
33/1(-18%) | (8) Gainsbourg 33/1, C&D winner. Eighth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (8f, 40/1) 11 days ago. Work to do. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
13th (15) (6.5/1 -63%) Do I Dream |
6.5/1(-63%) | (15) Do I Dream 6.5/1, Back from 5 months off when taking 15-runner handicap (18/5) over C&D (heavy) 13 days ago. 3 lb rise fair and bold follow-up bid anticipated. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
14th (1) (20/1 +29%) Swatch |
20/1(+29%) | (1) Swatch 20/1, 22/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, fifteenth of 17 in handicap at Newmarket (7f, soft). Off 177 days. Must improve. Gelded since last seen. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
15th (9) (16/1 +0%) Kaaranah |
16/1(+0%) | (9) Kaaranah 16/1, Hooded for 1st time, eleventh of 12 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f, 11/1) 18 days ago, slowly away. Claims on best form. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
16th (5) (40/1 -21%) Jewel Maker |
40/1(-21%) | (5) Jewel Maker 40/1, Fourteenth of 16 in handicap at York (10.2f, good to soft, 80/1). Off 6 months. Back down in trip. Makes limited appeal. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
4/1 (15) DO I DREAM seems to be the strongest contender based on their recent win and 3 lb rise, with 5/1 (14) TIPPERARY MOON also meriting consideration for their good third place finish in the same race as 4/1 (15) DO I DREAM. 7/1 (11) MY MATE TED also has potential for improvement after a break and being at a handy mark, while 8/1 (2) GLOBAL SPIRIT's respectable third place in their last race suggests they could also be a likely contender.
This represents a drop in class for MY MATE TED, who finished a disappointing eighth on his return off a break over this trip at Kempton earlier in the month. He sits on the same mark as when recording a half a length second at Windsor on his third-last outing and must have every chance if reproducing that effort. Ravenglass remains 4lb above his last winning mark but is still feared, while recent C&D winner Do I Dream adds further spice to the race.
Preference is for DO I DREAM, who scored for the second time over C&D earlier this month and remains on a fair mark. My Mate Ted and Global Spirit head the list of dangers.
Having not enjoyed the best of runs when third of 15 over C&D a fortnight ago, TIPPERARY MOON earns the vote. Ravenglass is feared.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (2) (2/1 -14%) Spoof |
2/1(-14%) | (2) Spoof 2/1, C&D winner. Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. Good third of 8 in handicap at Yarmouth (5.2f, heavy, 6/1) 9 days ago, running on late. Expected to be bang there. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (1) (7.5/1 -50%) Lipsink |
7.5/1(-50%) | (1) Lipsink 7.5/1, C&D winner. Blinkered for 1st time, last of 8 in handicap (6/1) at Southwell (5f) on final start of 2022. Visor back on. Others more persuasive. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (6) (7/1 +13%) Sarah's Verse |
7/1(+13%) | (6) Sarah's Verse 7/1, C&D winner. 8/1, improved on recent efforts to win 17-runner handicap at Bath (5f, soft) 17 days ago, suited by way race developed. More on her plate here having gone up 5 lb for that. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (4) (4/1 +11%) So Smart |
4/1(+11%) | (4) So Smart 4/1, One win from 24 Flat runs. Winner at Leicester in October. Creditable second of 8 in handicap at Yarmouth (5.2f, heavy, 7/1) 9 days ago. Tongue strap back on and he has to enter calculations. Yard also saddles Level Up. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (8) (7.5/1 +17%) Dream By Day |
7.5/1(+17%) | (8) Dream By Day 7.5/1, Latest win at Nottingham in October. 5/1, seventh of 10 in handicap at Lingfield (5f, AW). Off 156 days and likely to find one or two too good. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (5) (7/1 +7%) Level Up |
7/1(+7%) | (5) Level Up 7/1, 4/1, career best when winning 7-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 13 days ago, well on top finish. More needed up 5 lb in this stronger race. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (3) (8.5/1 +47%) Some Nightmare |
8.5/1(+47%) | (3) Some Nightmare 8.5/1, Tenth of 11 in handicap (18/1) at Ayr (6f, heavy). Off 6 months and cheekpieces back on. Others make more appeal. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (7) (22/1 -10%) Glamorous Express |
22/1(-10%) | (7) Glamorous Express 22/1, 16/1, 18¾ lengths last of 9 to So Smart in handicap at Leicester (5f, heavy). Off 6 months and needs to get back on track. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, the horse that is predicted to do well is 4.5/1 (4) SO SMART as it is described as a
Pat Cosgrave has an enforced holiday to come but he may add another winner first if SO SMART improves for his short-head Yarmouth second on his first start of the year. Caught on the line that day, he would be a deserved winner. Stable companion Level Up is entitled to have a say, but if Sarah's Verse makes the most of the eight stall, she may be the bigger danger.
The vote goes to SPOOF, who looked unlucky when going down narrowly at Yarmouth where he was denied a clear run at a crucial stage. He has clearly resumed in good order (also went close on his seasonal reappearance at Doncaster) and remains on a handy mark. So Smart, who was just ahead of the selection when second in the aforementioned Yarmouth handicap, is feared most ahead of stablemate Level Up.
A dual C&D winner who won't mind any further rain, SPOOF can turn things round with So Smart.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (15) (20/1 -11%) Noble Affair |
20/1(-11%) | (15) Noble Affair 20/1, Signs of ability in novice company and left previous efforts in handicap company behind when just touched off at Carlisle (17f) in March. Added to a patchy record when well held at Kelso since. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (5) (5.5/1 +31%) Moonlight Glory |
5.5/1(+31%) | (5) Moonlight Glory 5.5/1, Twice a winner over hurdles in Ireland and gained a deserved first success for this yard in 2m Newcastle handicap in Feburary. Respectable second over this trip there since. Likely to be on the premises again. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (4) (22/1 +33%) Balkalin |
22/1(+33%) | (4) Balkalin 22/1, Opened his account at the thirteenth attempt as a hurdler in 6-runner Kelso novice (2m) in October. Below-form sixth in a 21f handicap there when last seen in November. Watching brief is the percentage call after 170 days off. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (9) (6.5/1 +13%) Hattons Gardens |
6.5/1(+13%) | (9) Hattons Gardens 6.5/1, Showed ability in maiden/novices and posted creditable fourth of 9 on handicap debut at Wetherby (3m, soft) in January. Disappointing favourite at Newcastle since but it is still very early days. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (2) (5.5/1 +39%) Five Dollar Fine |
5.5/1(+39%) | (2) Five Dollar Fine 5.5/1, Winning pointer who ran poorly in his first handicap hurdle but got back on track when fifth of 11 in 17f Carlisle handicap 16 days ago. The reopposing Burrows Hall was 8¼ lengths ahead of him on that occasion but the step back up in trip should suit. Less exposed than a lot of these. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (6) (16/1 -33%) Halpha Soleil |
16/1(-33%) | (6) Halpha Soleil 16/1, Successful twice in French bumpers (tongue tied second time). Has shown ability in 3 qualifying runs over hurdles since joining this yard and he has unexposed potential now handicapping. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (11) (50/1 -150%) Jimmy Rabbitte |
50/1(-150%) | (11) Jimmy Rabbitte 50/1, Better known as a chaser nowadays and it's hard to be too encouraged by his 2 efforts back hurdling last month. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (10) (2.25/1 +25%) Burrows Hall |
2.25/1(+25%) | (10) Burrows Hall 2.25/1, Built on earlier promise when cosy winner of a 17f Carlisle handicap 16 days ago. Faded into fourth on his previous attempt at this trip but a 6 lb rise looks very manageable. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (8) (6.5/1 -63%) Maughold Head |
6.5/1(-63%) | (8) Maughold Head 6.5/1, Promise when placed in a pair of 2m Ayr novice hurdles before Christmas. Disappointing on Newcastle handicap debut on Boxing Day but subsequently had wind surgery and it's still very early days for this son of Fame And Glory. Hughes up. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (14) (12/1 +40%) Hungry Tiger |
12/1(+40%) | (14) Hungry Tiger 12/1, A few creditable efforts this term but latest Kelso run wasn't one of them. Bounce back is needed. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (7) (25/1 -79%) Exit To Where |
25/1(-79%) | (7) Exit To Where 25/1, Back to winning ways in a Kelso handicap chase last spring but running no more than respectably when last seen in the autumn. This is his first hurdle start since 2019. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (13) (33/1 -50%) Global Agreement |
33/1(-50%) | (13) Global Agreement 33/1, Won 3 times last season and proved that plenty of ability remains after 7 months off when runner-up at Exeter in January. However, commensurate with his patchy record he has failed to reproduce that form since. Cheekpieces off, first-time tongue tie on. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (12) (33/1 -18%) Brian's Jet |
33/1(-18%) | (12) Brian's Jet 33/1, Modest form in bumpers and was allowed a soft lead when third of 4 in novice hurdle at Newcastle in December. Pulled up twice since, including on Carlisle handicap debut 36 days ago. First-time cheekpieces need to make a difference. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (1) (40/1 -100%) For Jim |
40/1(-100%) | (1) For Jim 40/1, Won at Uttoxeter off 5 lb higher in June. Failed to fire when last seen in the autumn but nicely handicapped if staging a revival after a break. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (3) (50/1 -317%) Longstone Cowboy |
50/1(-317%) | (3) Longstone Cowboy 50/1, Little impact between the flags but promise over hurdles, including second in C&D maiden in September. Off 7 months, fell 4 out in Sedgefield novice 10 days ago, too far out to predict what would have happened. Handicap debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
8/1 (5) MOONLIGHT GLORY is likely to do well based on the summary, as they have twice won over hurdles in Ireland and gained a win in a Newcastle handicap in February. They also had a respectable second over the same trip at Newcastle recently.
Sue Smith sent out the winner of this race last year and has another fancied contender in the shape of BURROWS HALL, who registered a comfortable success at Carlisle 16 days ago and could be hard to beat despite a 6lb higher mark. The gelding has bags of scope to improve over this trip and could be too progressive for the likes of Moonlight Glory and Halpha Soleil, who are suggested as the pick of the opposition.
Although BURROWS HALL failed to see it out on his previous attempt at this trip connections are clearly happy to give it another go and he's likely still well treated on the back of a 6 lb rise for his quite comfortable Carlisle success. Moonlight Glory has a win and 2 seconds to show for her last 3 outings over hurdles and should make her presence felt again. Maughold Head and Hattons Gardens need to shrug off tame efforts last time but had shown promise prior to that and remain unexposed.
The progressive BURROWS HALL\o is taken to follow up his Carlisle win with \bLongstone Cowboy likely to prove his main threat.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (1) (9/1 +44%) Giovanni Change |
9/1(+44%) | (1) Giovanni Change 9/1, Back to winning ways over hurdles granted an uncontested lead at Market Rasen (23f) last August. Second in a Doncaster chase when last seen in December. Last year's turf Flat runs nothing to get excited about but he might find life easier now dropping to a Class 6. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (4) (3.2/1 +47%) Didtheyleaveuoutto |
3.2/1(+47%) | (4) Didtheyleaveuoutto 3.2/1, Sixth of 9 in handicap at Southwell (16.5f, 10/1) 18 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Significantly up in trip. Yard in form and he's well treated judged on his best Flat form. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (8) (3.33/1 -11%) Tarbat Ness |
3.33/1(-11%) | (8) Tarbat Ness 3.33/1, 22/1 and cheekpieces on first time, excellent second of 13 in handicap at Redcar (2m, soft) 14 days ago, clear of rest. Significantly up in trip. Can make presence felt. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (6) (8/1 +11%) Visite Officielle |
8/1(+11%) | (6) Visite Officielle 8/1, Bit below form well-held third of 13 in handicap at Redcar (2m, soft, 14/1) 14 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Others more persuasive. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (5) (10/1 -11%) Dereham |
10/1(-11%) | (5) Dereham 10/1, Out of sorts last autumn but he took this race a year ago and returns with his stable in form. Back on a winning mark and no surprise were he to go well in this race again. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (3) (28/1 -40%) Kitten's Dream |
28/1(-40%) | (3) Kitten's Dream 28/1, Unreliable individual. Latest win at Southwell in February but comfortably held there since. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (9) (4/1 +50%) Smart Boyo |
4/1(+50%) | (9) Smart Boyo 4/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Respectable fifth of 8 in handicap (6/1) at Southwell (16.5f) 6 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Hollie Doyle takes the ride. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (7) (18/1 -125%) Tomorrow's Angel |
18/1(-125%) | (7) Tomorrow's Angel 18/1, Fifth of 10 in handicap hurdle at Ayr (3m, good to soft, 40/1) 69 days ago. Placed off a higher mark on the Flat summer. Not discounted. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (2) (18/1 -414%) Vintage Valley |
18/1(-414%) | (2) Vintage Valley 18/1, Modest hurdle winner. Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. Good second of 9 in handicap at Southwell (16.5f, 50/1) 18 days ago, having run of race from front. Significantly up in trip. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (10) (16/1 -33%) Misscarlett |
16/1(-33%) | (10) Misscarlett 16/1, Course winner. Bit below form third of 6 in handicap hurdle (2/1) at Newcastle (20.3f, soft) 26 days ago. Capable of being very competitive from her basement mark back on the Flat. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
It is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well based on this summary. However, 3/1 (8) TARBAT NESS seems to have a good chance as they had an excellent second place in their last race and are clear of the rest of the field. They are also wearing cheekpieces for the first time and are significantly up in trip. 9/1 (5) DEREHAM is also worth considering as they won this race last year and are back on a winning mark. However, they were out of form last autumn, so there is some uncertainty. Others, such as 3.5/1 (2) VINTAGE VALLEY and 8.5/1 (7) TOMORROW'S ANGEL, have shown some promise but have not been consistently competitive.
TARBAT NESS steps up in trip following a good second over 2m at Redcar earlier this month and a 3lb rise looks unlikely to stop him. The gelded son of Reliable Man left the impression that he could benefit from a stiffer stamina test. Visite Officielle has dropped 2lb following a distant third behind the selection in the aforementioned race and is feared, while Vintage Valley also warrants respect.
With the Ben Haslam stable in good form the suggestion is DIDTHEYLEAVEUOUTTO, with confidence in his chance increased should the betting vibes be strong. John Berry pair Tarbat Ness and Dereham, who won this race last year, may provide the main opposition.
John Berry won this last year with Dereham but TARBAT NESS could be the one today. Didtheyleaveuoutto is feared most.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (2.75/1 +31%) Warhol |
2.75/1(+31%) | (4) Warhol 2.75/1, Ran right up to best when third of 8 in handicap (3/1) at this course (10f, heavy) on return 7 days ago. Entitled to build on that and is one for the shortlist. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (8) (9/1 +44%) Ship To Shore |
9/1(+44%) | (8) Ship To Shore 9/1, Creditable seventh of 12 in handicap at Southwell (14.1f, 15/2) 73 days ago, well positioned. Each-way claims. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (2) (6/1 -20%) God Of Thunder |
6/1(-20%) | (2) God Of Thunder 6/1, Creditable fifth of 12 in handicap at Lingfield (10f, AW, 7/1). Off 7 months. Booking of Dobbs a plus. One of likelier contenders. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (5) (2.5/1 +29%) Lawn Ranger |
2.5/1(+29%) | (5) Lawn Ranger 2.5/1, Scored for fourth time at this course when taking 8-runner handicap (10f, heavy) 7 days ago, driven out. 4 lb penalty to carry but expected to be bang there again. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (7) (3.33/1 -11%) Vissani |
3.33/1(-11%) | (7) Vissani 3.33/1, 20/1, sixth of 13 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 30 days ago, running on. Significantly back up in trip. Others preferred. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (1) (28/1 -300%) Agent Empire |
28/1(-300%) | (1) Agent Empire 28/1, 5/1, seventh of 10 in handicap hurdle at Newton Abbot (16.8f, soft) 16 days ago. Tongue strap on for 1st time in this code. Poor on last Flat outing. Makes handicap debut in this sphere. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (6) (18/1 +10%) Fight For It |
18/1(+10%) | (6) Fight For It 18/1, 50/1, seventh of 8 in handicap hurdle at Lingfield (16f, good to soft) 140 days ago. Off 140 days. Tongue strap on 1st time, cheekpieces on 1st time. Fair on the Flat, poor on last Flat run. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (3) (18/1 -80%) Bluenose Belle |
18/1(-80%) | (3) Bluenose Belle 18/1, Latest win at Kempton in January. Sixth of 8 in handicap at same course (12f, 10/3) 54 days ago but had excuses on that occasion and enters calculations. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (10) (125/1 -56%) Moorgate |
125/1(-56%) | (10) Moorgate 125/1, Thrice-raced maiden on Flat. Last of 8 in minor event (250/1) at Lingfield (10f, AW) 26 days ago. Plenty to do on handicap debut, particularly from 6 lb out of the weights. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, 3.5/1 (5) LAWN RANGER seems to be the most likely to do well since it has recently scored its fourth win at the same course and is expected to be a top contender despite having a 4 lb penalty to carry. 4/1 (4) WARHOL and 5/1 (2) GOD OF THUNDER are also mentioned as contenders and ones to watch out for, but 3.5/1 (5) LAWN RANGER seems to have the strongest recent form. The rest of the horses seem less likely to win or place in the race.
Lawn Ranger won his first race since 2021 when steered to the front by Robert Havlin, who keeps the ride this afternoon as the eight-year-old looks to follow up under a 4lb penalty. He can go well, but if WARHOL steps up on his course third off the same mark, the added yardage here may see him emerge victorious. God Of Thunder is another who warrants plenty of respect as he returns from a gelding operation.
WARHOL didn't get the clearest of runs when a good third on his reappearance at this course last week and is taken to go one better. Lawn Ranger and God of Thunder should also go well.
Course specialist Lawn Ranger should go well again but VISSANI has been offering more of late and can bounce back.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (2.5/1 +17%) Firak |
2.5/1(+17%) | (2) Firak 2.5/1, Winning hurdler for Dan Skelton and, having tasted success between the flags, made a winning return to Rules in a 7-runner hunter at Warwick. Not disgraced at Fakenham subsequently and should be on the premises again. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (6) (1.75/1 -7%) Drop Flight |
1.75/1(-7%) | (6) Drop Flight 1.75/1, Fair winning chaser in France. Has returned with a trio of placed efforts in hunters for this yard and faced a stiff task at Aintree 11 days ago. Likely to be back on his game. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (7) (8/1 +20%) Late Romantic |
8/1(+20%) | (7) Late Romantic 8/1, Useful chaser at best who wasn't disgraced when well backed for hunter debut. Went backwards from that effort at Carlisle since, though. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (1) (3/1 +40%) Billy Bronco |
3/1(+40%) | (1) Billy Bronco 3/1, First from points, first Rules outing since leaving Dr Richard Newland when won 11-runner hunter chase at Carlisle (24.5f, soft, 22/1) 36 days ago, finding extra. Should go well again. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|U| (3) (40/1 -150%) Cooking Fat |
40/1(-150%) | (3) Cooking Fat 40/1, Multiple point winner but returned to Rules with a poor effort at Musselburgh 54 days ago. Ran out on latest outing between the flags and others make more appeal. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (9) (22/1 +12%) Tokaramore |
22/1(+12%) | (9) Tokaramore 22/1, Modest chaser for Iain Jardine and pulled up in a point on debut for current yard. Plenty to prove. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (5) (28/1 -155%) Cuneo |
28/1(-155%) | (5) Cuneo 28/1, Unreliable under Rules and, while he arrives on the back of success between the flags, he's hard to support with any great confidence. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (4) (33/1 -65%) Cooldine Bog |
33/1(-65%) | (4) Cooldine Bog 33/1, Modest chaser (trained by Fergal O'Brien for the most part) who was well held between the flags recently and looks set for another struggle. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (8) (33/1 +0%) Tanora |
33/1(+0%) | (8) Tanora 33/1, Winning pointer who was second last time, but her Rules form is uninspiring. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
It is difficult to predict which horse will do well based on this summary as there is limited information on their current form and abilities. However, 3/1 (2) FIRAK seems to have a good track record and has recently made a winning return to Rules, suggesting they may perform well in the upcoming race. 5/1 (1) BILLY BRONCO also had a successful first Rules outing and may be worth considering.
DROP FLIGHT failed to get involved in a much deeper contest at Aintree earlier this month and a considerable drop in class can see him bounce back here. He kept on strongly to secure a good second over an extended 2m7f at Newbury on his penultimate run, but Billy Bronco can give him plenty to think about with his latest success in mind. Firak completes the shortlist.
DROP FLIGHT showed fairly useful form when runner-up a couple of times earlier in the year and he was out of his depth last time, so he's worth a chance to get the better of Firak, who also merits plenty of respect. Recent Carlisle scorer Billy Bronco is also considered.
This should be a good opportunity for DROP FLIGHT who holds standout claims on this year's best hunter chase form.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (3.5/1 +0%) Tellus |
3.5/1(+0%) | (6) Tellus 3.5/1, Eager sort who was runner-up 3 times at 2 yrs over 7f, best effort when tongue tied (back on here) and splitting pair rated in the 80s at Catterick. Leading claims dropped in trip on return. Runner-up three times last year and strong claims if at her best on this reappearance. |
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2nd (7) (8.5/1 -6%) Wild Side |
8.5/1(-6%) | (7) Wild Side 8.5/1, Expensive purchase but down the field both starts in the autumn (reportedly lost action at Kempton final start). Work to do on return. Soundly beaten last autumn on first two starts but market check advised on reappearance. |
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3rd (3) (5.5/1 +0%) Quandary |
5.5/1(+0%) | (3) Quandary 5.5/1, Intello filly. Sister to winner up to 7f Milbanke. Dam, 6f winner (including at 2 yrs, also over C&D), half-sister to useful sprinter Ice Planet. Plenty to like on paper for in-form yard. Makes debut with stable in excellent form and she could have a part to play. |
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4th (1) (0.8/1 +12%) Dear Daphne |
0.8/1(+12%) | (1) Dear Daphne 0.8/1, Left with a lot to do and probably should have won on final 2-y-o start at Leicester (6f, heavy) and perhaps unlucky not to justify favouritism on return in Southwell handicap 20 days ago, just failing. Sets a solid standard and top apprentice up. Went very close on reappearance at Southwell and she holds leading claims. |
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5th (2) (33/1 -136%) Dolores Abernathy |
33/1(-136%) | (2) Dolores Abernathy 33/1, Footstepsinthesand filly. Dam, 2-y-o 5f winner on debut, closely related to smart 6f-9f winner Faulkner. Makes some appeal on paper and worth a look. There's potential in her pedigree and the betting could be informative on debut. |
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6th (5) (25/1 -39%) Star Map |
25/1(-39%) | (5) Star Map 25/1, Starspangledbanner filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including useful winner up to 6f Pennsylvania Dutch and 2-y-o 6f winner Field of Stars. From a good family and yard have had some newcomers shape up well recently. Half-sister to three winners and yard had good record here last year; respected on debut. |
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7th (4) (66/1 -65%) Selby's Joy |
66/1(-65%) | (4) Selby's Joy 66/1, Massaat filly. Half-sister to winner up to 6f Selby's Pride for connections. May improve for this debut but she could go well if taking after half-sister Selby's Pride. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, 0.83/1 (1) DEAR DAPHNE and 4.5/1 (3) QUANDARY seem to have the strongest claims. 0.83/1 (1) DEAR DAPHNE has been consistently close in her recent races and holds a solid standard, while 4.5/1 (3) QUANDARY comes from an in-form yard and has a promising pedigree. However, the other horses mentioned could also have potential and may surprise on debut or reappearance. The market check and betting could provide more insight into their chances.
Tellus and DEAR DAPHNE help to set a reasonable standard on official ratings, with preference for the latter given her proven match-fitness after a near-miss on the all-weather earlier this month. Newmarket raider Star Map appeals most from the newcomers, given she has a likable pedigree and is introduced at a realistic level. Quandary and Selby's Joy are others to monitor closely in the betting market.
DEAR DAPHNE probably should have won again on her return at Southwell and has solid claims with top apprentice Billy Loughnane up. Tellus probably has a race in her, while Quandary is an appealing newcomer for a red-hot stable.
Billy Loughnane's mount DEAR DAPHNE has gone very close the last twice and is taken to post a deserved first win.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Odin's Quest |
(2) (10/1 -43%)10/1(-43%) | (2) Odin's Quest 10/1, Bumper winner who built on earlier promise (without usual hood) when landing weak Wincanton maiden hurdle 8 days ago. This is tougher and hard to see him following up under a penalty. Has only one eye. Suited by the removal of hood at Wincanton latest; now 2-2 without that headgear. |
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1st (4) (0.91/1 +34%) Russian Ruler |
0.91/1(+34%) | (4) Russian Ruler 0.91/1, Warwick bumper winner who has clearly had physical issues (2 breathing operations inside the past 12 months) but also has plenty of ability, opening his account over hurdles in 2m Newbury handicap last month, easily coming clear. Good chance back in this grade if in the same form. Comfortable success in Newbury handicap last month; leading chance on ratings. |
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2nd (1) (3.33/1 +52%) Alien Storm |
3.33/1(+52%) | (1) Alien Storm 3.33/1, Improved with each outing in bumpers and made a positive start over hurdles, successful at Plumpton in October and better form when second under a penalty over C&D in November (solid form). Not so good twice since 3 months apart but may have needed Stratford run. Can go well. Return to forecast better ground looks a plus; has form over C&D; could go well. |
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3rd (3) (5.5/1 +21%) Red Windsor |
5.5/1(+21%) | (3) Red Windsor 5.5/1, Fair form when placed on all 4 bumper outings and made a winning start to his hurdle career in a 19f Fontwell novice in October. Good efforts there under this rider the last twice (handicap latest) and one to note. Autumn win came on good ground; largely consistent and holds a solid chance. |
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4th (8) (6/1 -80%) Kitesurfer |
6/1(-80%) | (8) Kitesurfer 6/1, From a good family and form of his Vichy juvenile hurdle success last May looks solid enough (wore tongue tie there). Starts out in a very winnable novice for new trainer (reportedly set to relinquish his licence at the end of the season) 11 months on. Leading claims. Recorded a half-length win at Vichy on sole French run; open to progress. |
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5th (6) (11/1 +78%) He's A Latchico |
11/1(+78%) | (6) He's A Latchico 11/1, Fairly useful handicapper on Flat (stays 1½m). Completed AW hat-trick early last year but little encouragement on first go over hurdles in much better race over C&D on Boxing Day. Triple AW winner; distant fifth in useful race here on sole hurdles start. |
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6th (9) (50/1 -400%) Marley Head |
50/1(-400%) | (9) Marley Head 50/1, Fair maiden on the Flat. Let down by jumping on hurdles bow at Wincanton 8 weeks ago. Didn't look a natural at Wincanton on hurdles debut. |
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7th (5) (250/1 -25%) Getaway With You |
250/1(-25%) | (5) Getaway With You 250/1, Little show in bumper/over hurdles. Stronger headgear tried. Holds poor claims on form. |
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8th (7) (300/1 -50%) Onnaroll |
300/1(-50%) | (7) Onnaroll 300/1, No show in novice hurdles (left Nigel Hawke after second start). No worthwhile form. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
12/1 (8) KITESURFER has the most promising summary and leading claims, as they are open to progress and have solid form from their previous success.
RUSSIAN RULER bolted up in handicap company over an extended 2m at Newbury last month and a return to the novice ranks looks unlikely to stop him following up. Nicky Henderson's six-year-old additionally drops in class for this outing and may prove tough to beat with that in mind. Odin's Quest arrives in this following a comfortable success in a maiden earlier this month and is feared most, while Red Windsor is another of interest.
Harry Whittington will be bidding to go out on a high this week and KITESURFER appears to have solid claims on his first run for the yard 11 months on from scoring at Vichy. Russian Ruler was an easy winner of a Newbury handicap last month and has an obvious chance if in the same sort of form here. Alien Storm completes the shortlist.
Back on forecast better ground, ALIEN STORM may be the answer. Russian Ruler is feared most on the figures.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (5/1 -25%) Talap |
5/1(-25%) | (1) Talap 5/1, Latest win at Cagnes-Sur-Mer in February. 16/1, shaped better than on his British debut when sixth of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (12f, AW) 6 days ago, no room well inside final 1f. Not dismissed. Raced keenly and hit traffic on the AW latest; that was more like it; won't mind any rain. |
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2nd (8) (3.5/1 +36%) Rick Blaine |
3.5/1(+36%) | (8) Rick Blaine 3.5/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2020. 16/5 and visored for 1st time, respectable fourth of 14 in handicap at Bath (11.6f, soft) 17 days ago, every chance when hanging left over 1f out. Lurks on a dangerous mark. Good support back from wind surgery early in the month and that gave something to build on. |
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2nd (6) (11/1 +8%) Manor Park |
11/1(+8%) | (6) Manor Park 11/1, C&D winner. Given a considerate return from 5 months off when ninth of 13 in handicap (40/1) at Kempton (12f) 12 days ago. Could well make his presence felt with that under his belt. C&D winner in the past but is better over hurdles now; again no sign of the cheekpieces. |
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4th (3) (3/1 -9%) Mrs Meader |
3/1(-9%) | (3) Mrs Meader 3/1, Took a while to shed her maiden tag but after doing so at Newbury last June she went on to add two more handicaps to her tally, signing off with a second success at Newbury (1½m, heavy) in October. Shaped as if needing the run on return and should be spot on for this. Showed enough on comeback, off today's career-high mark, to suggest she can make an impact. |
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5th (2) (16/1 -14%) Wise Glory |
16/1(-14%) | (2) Wise Glory 16/1, Out of sorts for some time, thirteenth of 15 in handicap hurdle at Taunton (19f, good to soft, 125/1) when last seen 5 months ago. Needs this switch back to the Flat to spark some sort of revival. Regressed since joining from Paul Nicholls; was running poorly over hurdles when last seen. |
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6th (7) (40/1 -233%) Chargo |
40/1(-233%) | (7) Chargo 40/1, Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. First run since leaving Gordon Elliott when fourth of 7 in maiden at Chelmsford City (10f, 33/1). Off 5 months ahead of this handicap debut and she needs to bounce back. Expensive to follow in Ireland; better off now into a handicap but needs a deal more. |
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7th (4) (10/1 +17%) Midrarr |
10/1(+17%) | (4) Midrarr 10/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2021. Ran poorly after 4 months off when eighth of 10 in handicap (50/1) at Southwell (12.1f) 24 days ago. Wins have come in the summer and she didn't offer much on her comeback. |
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8th (5) (3/1 +10%) Waterloo Sunset |
3/1(+10%) | (5) Waterloo Sunset 3/1, 7/2, ran creditably after 5 months off when fourth of 7 in handicap at Lingfield (10f, AW) 26 days ago, keeping on late after finding trouble at a crucial stage. In the mix. Has only been seen sporadically but not beaten far on recent comeback and could go well. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, 2.75/1 (3) MRS MEADER and 5.5/1 (8) RICK BLAINE seem to be the strongest contenders as they have recent good form in handicaps and are both lurking on dangerous marks. 3.33/1 (5) WATERLOO SUNSET and 12/1 (6) MANOR PARK could also be in the mix based on their recent performances and track record. 4/1 (1) TALAP, 12/1 (7) CHARGO, 14/1 (2) WISE GLORY, and 50/1 (9) OCEAN REACH seem to have more to prove or have been out of form for a while.
MRS MEADER performed with credit during a six-race campaign last year, winning three times. It's possible she needed the run when fourth on her reappearance at Doncaster 23 days ago and she may well be up to posting a personal best with that effort under her belt. Waterloo Sunset is open to improvement over the trip and is feared, while Chargo also merits consideration.
Cases can be made for a few of these, but MRS MEADER enjoyed a fruitful 2022 campaign and, having shaped as if the run was needed when fourth on return at Doncaster recently, Julia Feilden's mare can regain the winning thread. Waterloo Sunset found trouble at a crucial stage on reappearance recently so he could emerge as the main danger, with Rick Blaine and Talap also considered.
Entitled to have come on for her comeback, MRS MEADER can make it four wins from her last six starts. Waterloo Sunset is next best.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (12/1 +40%) Ribchestina |
12/1(+40%) | (6) Ribchestina 12/1, Foaled March 20. €3,000 yearling, Ribchester filly. Half-sister to 1m winner Sense of Romance. Dam unraced out of useful winner up to 1m (2-y-o 7f winner) Fantasize. Half-sister to 1m AW winner Sense Of Romance; yard had stakes winner on Friday. |
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2nd (9) (0.67/1 +8%) Vanity Pays |
0.67/1(+8%) | (9) Vanity Pays 0.67/1, Strong in the betting for a stable who won with their first juvenile runner of the year and produced a promising first effort when narrowly beaten in maiden at Dundalk (5f, 11/8) on debut 13 days ago. More to come. 11-8 fav, had a wide trip and met some interference when beaten a head over 5f at Dundalk. |
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3rd (1) (7.5/1 +46%) Back Down Under |
7.5/1(+46%) | (1) Back Down Under 7.5/1, Foaled May 8. Australia filly. Sister to winner up to 1m Music To My Ears and closely related to useful 9f winner Champion Green. Homebred daughter of Australia; sister to 7f AW 2yo/1m turf winner Music To My Ears. |
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4th (4) (14/1 +44%) Lia Fail |
14/1(+44%) | (4) Lia Fail 14/1, Foaled April 21. €5,000 yearling, Inns of Court filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 7f winner Anna of Sussex. Dam, placed at 5f-8.5f in US, half-sister to smart 9.5f/1¼m winner Sefri. By freshman sire and cost E5,000 as a yearling; half-sister to 7f 2yo winner Anna Of Susse. |
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5th (5) (18/1 +10%) Nika Pika |
18/1(+10%) | (5) Nika Pika 18/1, Foaled April 4. Estidhkaar filly. Sister to 2-y-o 7f winner Waitingonanalibi and half-sister to 1m-11f winner Winning Attitude. One to note. Sister to 7f AW 2yo winner and half-sister to 2 other winners; represents small Cavan yard. |
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6th (3) (11/1 +73%) Kandoo |
11/1(+73%) | (3) Kandoo 11/1, Sixth of 9 in maiden (33/1) at Dundalk (5f) on debut 24 days ago. Plenty of improvement needed. Not disgraced when sixth of nine in 5f AW maiden but will probably need more experience. |
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7th (8) (33/1 +0%) Travel Candy |
33/1(+0%) | (8) Travel Candy 33/1, Foaled April 25. Dandy Man filly. Dam unraced half-sister to smart winner up to 8.2f Rajeem. Dandy Man filly with decent pedigree; yard had some nice juveniles last year. |
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8th (7) (10/1 +50%) Time'll Tell |
10/1(+50%) | (7) Time'll Tell 10/1, Foaled February 19. £12,000 yearling, Time Test filly. Sister to 9.5f winner Hourless, and half-sister to winner up to 7f Party Tiger and 5.7f winner Bold Decision. Three siblings have been winners; E12,000 yearling; yard produced smart juvenile in 2021. |
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9th (2) (14/1 +44%) Freedom Ring |
14/1(+44%) | (2) Freedom Ring 14/1, Foaled February 25. 27,500 gns foal, 21,000 gns yearling, Acclamation filly. Dam maiden (stayed 6f), half-sister to useful winner up to 11f Talwar. Cost more as a foal than her 21,000gns yearling price; dam a half-sister to Group 3 winner. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the information provided, it is difficult to make a definitive prediction. However, 0.73/1 (9) VANITY PAYS and 2.25/1 (10) WHAT A SQUEEZE seem to have strong potential based on their previous performances and impressive bloodlines. It is also worth keeping an eye on 20/1 (5) NIKA PIKA and 25/1 (4) LIA FAIL, who both have successful siblings and could show promise on the track.
Experience is a big asset for VANITY PAYS and she looks the one to beat having been narrowly denied on her debut at Dundalk 13 days ago. The Kodiac filly went to post a solid 11/8 favourite then and ran well, only going down by a head to Brighter who gave her a bump a furlong from home. With that run under her belt she can collect now. Jessica Harrington's newcomer What A Squeeze could be a danger. The Dark Angel filly is a half-sister to Irish Oaks runner-up Jack Naylor. Kandoo is the only other runner in the field with experience. She showed a bit when sixth on her debut at Dundalk and could get involved for minor money now.
VANITY PAYS made a very promising start at Dundalk and looks the way to go with improvement to come. What A Squeeze and Nika Pika are a couple of newcomers to note.
The most likely of the newcomers is What A Squeeze but AW runner-up VANITY PAYS will be hard to beat if handling the ground
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (7/1 +36%) Boldog |
7/1(+36%) | (5) Boldog 7/1, Still in need of experience but left debut effort well behind fitted with a tongue strap when fifth in Navan bumper. Not disgraced at Wetherby next time but could do with settling better. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (1) (9/1 -20%) Chance The Robin |
9/1(-20%) | (1) Chance The Robin 9/1, Runner-up on sole start in points and build on encouraging Rules debut when landing a 5-runner event over C&D last month. More to come and must be considered. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (10) (9/1 +44%) President Scottie |
9/1(+44%) | (10) President Scottie 9/1, Has shown ability on first two starts, keeping on well when third to Rob Roy MacGregor at Carlisle on latest. Better off with that rival now, and might improve. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (9) (7.5/1 +6%) Parade Away |
7.5/1(+6%) | (9) Parade Away 7.5/1, €48,000 3-y-o, £80,000 5-y-o, Jet Away gelding. Dam (c104/h104) 2½m-3m hurdle/chase winner. Runner-up sole start in Irish points (Dec 2022). Notable Rules newcomer for yard that does well in this sphere. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (8) (6.5/1 +7%) Paddy O'mahler |
6.5/1(+7%) | (8) Paddy O'mahler 6.5/1, Mahler gelding who produced a promising debut effort and backed it up with a good second at Wetherby recently. Likely to give another good account. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (11) (16/1 +0%) River Of Joy |
16/1(+0%) | (11) River Of Joy 16/1, Stayed on to lead close home on Chepstow debut but was out of her depth at Aintree next time. Off a year since, so must have had a few issues. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (3) (6/1 +0%) Rob Roy Macgregor |
6/1(+0%) | (3) Rob Roy Macgregor 6/1, Related to a couple of winners and made the ideal start when scoring at Carlisle in March. Open to improvement and worth chancing to maintain his unbeaten record. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (7) (100/1 -52%) Moro Rock |
100/1(-52%) | (7) Moro Rock 100/1, Remote third of 8 in bumper at Doncaster and fared no better at Market Rasen since. Set for another struggle. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (4) (20/1 -25%) Beep Beep Burrow |
20/1(-25%) | (4) Beep Beep Burrow 20/1, Started to get the hang of things late in the day when fifth of 13 in a Doncaster bumper on debut, then lost action at same course a couple of months ago. Remains with potential. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (2) (14/1 +58%) Judicial Review |
14/1(+58%) | (2) Judicial Review 14/1, Runner-up on second of 2 starts in Irish points and justified strong support in 7-runner bumper at Sedgefield in December. Not disgraced subsequently but has improvement to find. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11th (6) (3.5/1 -75%) Ismael |
3.5/1(-75%) | (6) Ismael 3.5/1, €38,000 3-y-o, £130,000 5-y-o, Coastal Path gelding. Dam 17f/2½m chase winner in France. Easy winner sole start in Irish points (Jan 29). Interesting recruit. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12th (14) (80/1 -60%) Araglen Star |
80/1(-60%) | (14) Araglen Star 80/1, Signs of ability both starts to date but needs to up her game if she's to feature. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
13th (13) (100/1 -52%) Swedish Icon |
100/1(-52%) | (13) Swedish Icon 100/1, Half-brother to 6 winners but not enough encouragement on debut to think he can make an impact in this. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
14th (12) (125/1 -56%) Saint Percy |
125/1(-56%) | (12) Saint Percy 125/1, Sir Percy gelding. Dam 6f winner at 2 yrs. Not an obvious sort on paper. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|PU| (15) (10/1 +50%) Touch Of A Dragon |
10/1(+50%) | (15) Touch Of A Dragon 10/1, Has offered something to work on when third on both starts to date. Improvement would put him right in the mix, so can't be ruled out. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
It is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well based on this summary alone. However, some horses that seem to have potential include 3.5/1 (6) ISMAEL, 6/1 (9) PARADE AWAY, 7.5/1 (1) CHANCE THE ROBIN, 8/1 (8) PADDY O'MAHLER, 14/1 (10) PRESIDENT SCOTTIE, and 33/1 (4) BEEP BEEP BURROW, as they have either won or placed in their previous races and have shown signs of improvement. More information such as their form and recent performances will be needed to make a more accurate prediction.
A case can be made for several of these, but ISMAEL bolted up in a point-to-point in January and commands respect on his Rules debut with that in mind. The booking of Brian Hughes is interesting and the gelded son of Coastal Path should not be taken lightly. Chance The Robin scored over C&D last month and is feared most, while Rob Roy Macgregor is another of interest.
ROB ROY MACGREGOR was strong in the market and looked above average when making a successful start at Carlisle, so he's worth a chance to follow up for all that this is a stronger contest. Boldog is an obvious danger and Ismael looks an interesting recruit from points.
An interesting race in which impressive Irish point winner ISMAEL gets the vote ahead of Boldog.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (7/1 -17%) Reigning Profit |
7/1(-17%) | (4) Reigning Profit 7/1, Winner at Wolverhampton in November. Off 4 months, 2/1, fifth of 7 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 13 days ago, not ideally placed. Down 2 lb back on turf. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (6) (14/1 +0%) Showalong |
14/1(+0%) | (6) Showalong 14/1, Rather quiet last year but very well handicapped as a result. Has been well beaten in 2 runs over C&D though and suspect second time out might be the time to catch him if anything. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (2) (18/1 -50%) Mereside Angel |
18/1(-50%) | (2) Mereside Angel 18/1, 5f Ripon nursery winner in August 2021 but lightly raced and rather quiet last season. On a workable mark if ready to roll. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (10) (12/1 +14%) Show Compassion |
12/1(+14%) | (10) Show Compassion 12/1, Modest maiden. Last of 17 in handicap at Bath (5f, soft, 9/1) 17 days ago, hampered. Capable of picking up a small race. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (3) (14/1 -115%) Refuge |
14/1(-115%) | (3) Refuge 14/1, Successful 3 times in handicaps at Hamilton (all at 5f) in 2022. Off 6 months,14/1, fourth of 10 in handicap at Doncaster (5f, heavy) on return 22 days ago. Should be closer to form here. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (1) (6/1 -33%) Gannon Glory |
6/1(-33%) | (1) Gannon Glory 6/1, 2/1, fifth of 7 in handicap at Lingfield (5f, AW) 48 days ago. Good claims on previous efforts and won C&D maiden for former stable this time last year. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (9) (18/1 -100%) High Security |
18/1(-100%) | (9) High Security 18/1, Struck twice over 5f last year. Off 5 months, went close when fourth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (5f, 33/1) on return 24 days ago. More needed in this company. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (8) (7.5/1 +38%) John Kirkup |
7.5/1(+38%) | (8) John Kirkup 7.5/1, C&D winner who scored at Musselburgh in May and some good efforts after in what was a busy year. Drawn in 1 on return but record fresh isn't great. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (5) (1.1/1 +51%) Squeezebox |
1.1/1(+51%) | (5) Squeezebox 1.1/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 16/1, excellent fourth of 17 in maiden at Navan (5f, heavy) when last seen in October, nearest finish. That form is strong and he's an interesting handicap debutant for yard that has few peers when it comes to improving new recruits. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10th (7) (40/1 -43%) Glory Hallelujah |
40/1(-43%) | (7) Glory Hallelujah 40/1, Dual winner last year. Tenth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (5f, 33/1) on return 24 days ago. This should reveal more. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Based on the summary, 2.25/1 (5) SQUEEZEBOX seems to have strong form and is an interesting debutant for a reputable yard, making them a potential contender to do well. 6.5/1 (3) REFUGE also has a good track record with three previous handicap wins at the same distance and venue, making them another possibility. 14/1 (6) SHOWALONG is also noted as being well handicapped but may do better second time out. The other horses have either had recent underwhelming performances or require more improvement to be considered a likely winner.
High Security and John Kirkup have both gone well here in the past and are worthy of consideration in an open sprint handicap. However, marginal preference is for the less exposed GANNON GLORY, who has shaped well on the all-weather since joining Richard Fahey. He reverts to turf on a competitive mark and, as he arrives in better form than most, the gelding has a solid chance of adding a second C&D success to his portfolio.
SQUEEZEBOX is interesting making his handicap debut for Mick Appleby and could be the way to go from stall 2. Gannon Glory won on his last visit to Pontefract this time last year and can go well back down in grade. Refuge is another to consider.
The lightly raced 4yo SQUEEZEBOX (nap) showed promise in Ireland and is taken to make a winning start for Mick Appleby.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (0.91/1 +44%) Twinjets |
0.91/1(+44%) | (2) Twinjets 0.91/1, Sent off at odds-on for first 4 hurdles starts (won a couple) and run probably best excused on second handicap start when pulled up at Sandown (19.8f, soft) last month, not settling under a change of rider and unable to pick up on holding ground. Expected to bounce back. Form dipped in the EBF Final; generally progressive otherwise and should bounce back. |
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2nd (3) (2.25/1 -13%) Game Winner |
2.25/1(-13%) | (3) Game Winner 2.25/1, Fair form when fourth at Hereford only start in bumpers for Paul Nicholls and confirmed promise of hurdling debut when landing C&D novice (good to soft) back in February, allowed to dictate a steady gallop but soon clear when asked. Open to further improvement. Off the mark in weak race over C&D last time out; this is harder but he's still unexposed. |
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3rd (1) (3.5/1 -27%) American Sniper |
3.5/1(-27%) | (1) American Sniper 3.5/1, Showed a good attitude when winning first 2 completed starts over hurdles and just touched off on handicap bow at Taunton (19f) in January. Probably best to overlook his latest run at Exeter and expected to be in the mix back in a novice after a longer break. Rested 45 days since Exeter flop when the race came too soon after good effort at Newbury. |
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4th (6) (66/1 -100%) Moonlight Artist |
66/1(-100%) | (6) Moonlight Artist 66/1, Half-brother to numerous winners but failed to trouble the judge in a couple of bumpers and a similar story in novice/maiden hurdle in recent months. Significantly upped in trip but looks one for the longer term. Mixed results over 2m; this new trip may help. |
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5th (5) (16/1 +36%) Haston Clermont |
16/1(+36%) | (5) Haston Clermont 16/1, Runner-up on completed start in Irish points (Nov 2021). Cost a fair bit and showed plenty to work on in Chepstow bumper but not much encouragement to glean from when well-beaten fifth in pair of novice hurdles this year (latest over C&D). Modest fifth in both attempts over hurdles. |
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6th (4) (80/1 -142%) All A Struggle |
80/1(-142%) | (4) All A Struggle 80/1, Made a promising start when fourth in a Warwick bumper but has yet to build on it in two hurdling runs, cheekpieces on when last of 4 to Game Winner in C&D novice in February. Since had a wind op and more is needed. Well behind Game Winner here 73 days ago; had wind surgery since. |
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|PU| (7) (300/1 -200%) Muvvers Money |
300/1(-200%) | (7) Muvvers Money 300/1, Universal gelding who was sent off a huge price and duly offered nothing on recent hurdling debut at Fontwell. Easy to look elsewhere. Inauspicious debut at Fontwell; best watched. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Based on the summary, 1.63/1 (3) GAME WINNER seems to be the most promising horse, as it has won its last race and has shown promise in its previous races. It is also unexposed and open to improvement. 3.5/1 (1) AMERICAN SNIPER also shows potential, with two wins in its first two completed starts over hurdles and a close finish in its handicap debut. 1.38/1 (2) TWINJETS and 66/1 (6) MOONLIGHT ARTIST may have a chance to bounce back, but 28/1 (5) HASTON CLERMONT and 50/1 (4) ALL A STRUGGLE may struggle based on their recent performances. 100/1 (7) MUVVERS MONEY is not expected to do well.
This represents a drop in grade for Twinjets and the Milton Harris-trained gelding could well bounce back having failed to complete over 2m4f at Sandown last month. However, a 7lb penalty may not be enough to stop GAME WINNER landing a double, especially given he made all to score by 23 lengths over C&D in February. American Sniper failed to get involved in handicap company last time out and is another seeking to improve.
This can go the way of TWINJETS, who was unable to pick up on the holding ground at Sandown last month, so Milton Harris' charge is fancied to resume progress back on a sounder surface and notch his third success over timber. Game Winner had plenty up his sleeve when scoring over C&D in February so he may emerge as the main danger with better to come, with American Sniper best of the rest.
American Sniper (marginal second choice) and Twinjets jointly set the standard but GAME WINNER is taken to improve past them.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (3.5/1 -27%) Sparks Fly |
3.5/1(-27%) | (5) Sparks Fly 3.5/1, Promising individual. Well-backed 7/2, again shaped well when third of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 25 days ago, conceding first run. Makes turf debut. Shortlist material. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2nd (10) (5/1 +9%) Racing Demon |
5/1(+9%) | (10) Racing Demon 5/1, Took another step back in the right direction when second of 8 in handicap (7/1) at Kempton (8f) 7 days ago, keeping on when edging right final 1f. Not taken lightly back on turf. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3rd (1) (10/1 +17%) Greavsie |
10/1(+17%) | (1) Greavsie 10/1, Temperamental sort. 12/1, wasn't disgraced under a change of tactics when seventh of 10 in handicap at Kempton (7f) 12 days ago. He's vulnerable to less-exposed sorts. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4th (8) (3/1 +63%) Chinthurst |
3/1(+63%) | (8) Chinthurst 3/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Left previous efforts behind when second of 7 on nursery debut at Brighton (7f, good to soft, well-backed 11/2) 6 months ago. Gelded in the interim and not dismissed on return. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5th (7) (4/1 +20%) Harry The Haggler |
4/1(+20%) | (7) Harry The Haggler 4/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 5/2, improved when second of 11 on handicap debut at Lingfield (7f, AW) 4 weeks ago. May build on that here. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6th (3) (14/1 +30%) Rhea Of The Year |
14/1(+30%) | (3) Rhea Of The Year 14/1, Ran poorly after 3 months off when eighth of 10 in minor event at Kempton (6f, 28/1). Off 5 months. Significantly upped in trip for handicap debut. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7th (11) (40/1 +60%) The Game Is Up |
40/1(+60%) | (11) The Game Is Up 40/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 125/1, tenth of 11 on nursery debut at Kempton (8f), weakening over 1f out. Difficult ask returning from 5 months off. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8th (4) (14/1 -17%) Winter Moon |
14/1(-17%) | (4) Winter Moon 14/1, 125/1, offered something to work on having her first run since leaving Andrew Balding when ninth of 12 in minor event at Chelmsford City (7f) 18 days ago, not knocked about. Makes handicap debut. Likely to improve. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9th (9) (10/1 +38%) Romantic Sunlight |
10/1(+38%) | (9) Romantic Sunlight 10/1, Off the mark on her second start in handicaps last year but made little impression when eighth of 11 in nursery at Kempton (8f, 22/1) when last seen 5 months ago. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
It is difficult to determine with certainty which horse will do well based on the summary provided. However, 3/1 (5) SPARKS FLY and 5.5/1 (7) HARRY THE HAGGLER seem to have shown recent improvement and have performed well in previous races. 16/1 (4) WINTER MOON is also worth considering as she is making her handicap debut and may improve.
TWILIGHT GUEST is still low mileage and looks an interesting betting proposition with first-time cheekpieces applied. This will be only his second attempt over 1m and, given he was racing off the back of a 187-day absence at Yarmouth nine days ago, it's feasible to expect an improved effort today. Chinthurst and Greavsie have form that ties in with the selection and are feared most, although support in the betting market for Harry The Haggler would be dangerous to ignore.
A tricky finale to solve but SPARKS FLY again shaped well having conceded first run when third at Wolverhampton last month, so David Loughnane's filly gets the nod to make a winning start on turf. Racing Demon took another step back in the right direction at Kempton last week so he could be the one to give the selection most to think about, ahead of Man Made of Smoke and Harry The Haggler.
Second to a subsequent winner last month, HARRY THE HAGGLER (nap) remains open to improvement. Sparks Fly is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (1.75/1 +13%) Red Letter Bray |
1.75/1(+13%) | (2) Red Letter Bray 1.75/1, Twice-raced winner. Won 15-runner maiden at this C&D (heavy, 2/1) 29 days ago, just holding on on his first outing for 9 months. Can do better still on his handicap debut. Just got home in a C&D maiden on heavy (ran around after pulling a shoe); form boosted. |
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2nd (1) (4/1 +20%) King Of Scotia |
4/1(+20%) | (1) King Of Scotia 4/1, Lightly-raced winner who landed 14-runner maiden at Dundalk (7f, 4/7), cosily. Off 131 days. Much respected on his handicap bow. Won at Dundalk (7f) in December having been gelded; well held in Group 3 only run on soft. |
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3rd (3) (8/1 -100%) Queenie St Clair |
8/1(-100%) | (3) Queenie St Clair 8/1, Fair maiden. Very good third of 12 in handicap (7/1) at Cork (7f, heavy) 16 days ago. Weighted to go close off an unchanged mark. Third of 12 on handicap bow at Cork (7f, soft to heavy); drop back to 6f may not be ideal. |
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4th (5) (14/1 +0%) Blanc De Noir |
14/1(+0%) | (5) Blanc De Noir 14/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, fifteenth of 20 in maiden (33/1) at the Curragh (7f, heavy) 30 days ago. Blinkers back on. Makes handicap debut and more needed. Well held over 7f at the Curragh; blinkers back on and drop back to 6f may help; h'cap bow. |
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5th (8) (12/1 -9%) Lisieux |
12/1(-9%) | (8) Lisieux 12/1, C&D winner. Respectable sixth of 14 in handicap (5/1) at this course (5f, heavy) 29 days ago, unsuited by drop in trip. Looks competitive on form. C&D nursery winner on soft ground last October; well-backed sixth over 5f here last month. |
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6th (6) (7.5/1 +38%) Son Of Sampers |
7.5/1(+38%) | (6) Son Of Sampers 7.5/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Good second of 7 in maiden (12/1) at this C&D (heavy), no match for winner. Off 6 months. Makes handicap debut. Likely to improve so he's in the mix. Chased home a horse now rated 87 in C&D maiden on soft ground when last seen in October. |
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7th (4) (7/1 +13%) Not Just Yet |
7/1(+13%) | (4) Not Just Yet 7/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Good third of 11 in nursery at this C&D (heavy, 10/1). Off 169 days but needs considering. Third in Birdcatcher Nursery here (6f, heavy) on final day of Flat season in November. |
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8th (7) (8.5/1 -21%) Coco Hill |
8.5/1(-21%) | (7) Coco Hill 8.5/1, First run since leaving Rod Millman when respectable sixth of 12 in handicap (6/1) at Cork (7f, heavy) 16 days ago. Can give a good account. Ran okay on first start for new yard when sixth of 12 over 7f at Cork; drop to 6f a help. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary, 1.5/1 (2) RED LETTER BRAY and 4.5/1 (1) KING OF SCOTIA seem like strong contenders. 1.5/1 (2) RED LETTER BRAY has recently won a race and has the potential to perform even better on his handicap debut. 4.5/1 (1) KING OF SCOTIA has won before and is highly respected on his handicap debut. However, 12/1 (8) LISIEUX, 10/1 (4) NOT JUST YET, and 14/1 (6) SON OF SAMPERS could also be in the mix as they have shown good form in previous races. 22/1 (5) BLANC DE NOIR may struggle as they have yet to win and need to improve.
RED LETTER BRAY may be able to follow up on his course and distance victory last month. The New Bay colt got home in a tight finish from Run Ran Run on his return to action and the runner-up has franked the form since. Red Letter Bray toughed it out in testing conditions then and with plenty of rain recently his ability to handle conditions is a big plus. Trainer Michael O'Callaghan looks to have a strong second string in King Of Scotia. The Kessaar gelding won his final start of last season at Dundalk. That was over seven and this ground is a slight worry. Son Of Sampers was progressive in maidens last season and ran well when second on his final start on soft ground over course and distance. He could play a part on his handicap debut.
A case can be made for most of these but QUEENIE ST CLAIR looks the way to go given she can race off the same mark as when a very good recent Cork third. C&D winner Lisieux is also weighted to have a big say with handicap-debutants Son of Sampers and Red Letter Bray two more to consider.
A chance is taken on seasonal/h'cap debutant SON OF SAMPERS who ran well on soft ground here last term and looks to be on a good mark
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (11) (1.62/1 +60%) Triple Trade |
1.62/1(+60%) | (11) Triple Trade 1.62/1, Gained his breakthrough success over fences in 2m4f handicap at Wincanton 19 days ago. Up 4 lb but can make his presence felt again. Has form figures of 221 in completed starts over fences; may progress further. |
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2nd (1) (9/1 +36%) Light N Strike |
9/1(+36%) | (1) Light N Strike 9/1, Fairly useful winning hurdler/chaser who had been in good form until beating only one in 2m4f Plumpton handicap hurdle last time. Sort to bounce back reverted to fences. 3-9 over fences; follow the market signals on return from six-month absence. |
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3rd (10) (6/1 +50%) Sheldon |
6/1(+50%) | (10) Sheldon 6/1, Bagged his second chase win at Exeter on New Year's Day and in good nick since, fifth in 22f Newbury handicap 31 days ago. Not discounted off an easing mark. Successful over 2m3f and 2m5f this term; may find this sharp 2m2f inadequate. |
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4th (7) (6.5/1 +46%) Iconic Muddle |
6.5/1(+46%) | (7) Iconic Muddle 6.5/1, Relatively low-mileage 10-y-o who arrives on the back of a good third of 7 in 2m1f Plumpton handicap chase 14 days ago. Possibilities. Largely consistent; good second here in February; now 1lb lower. |
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5th (2) (20/1 -25%) Slate House |
20/1(-25%) | (2) Slate House 20/1, Took this event 12 months ago but off since being pulled up in handicap chase here (20.5f, heavy) 100 days ago. Big step forward is required. 3-6 at Kempton, including a success in this race last year; enters calculations. |
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6th (9) (5/1 +38%) Family Business |
5/1(+38%) | (9) Family Business 5/1, Landed 2m Newbury handicap in February and had a wind op before posting a good third of 7 there 30 days ago. Shortlisted. 5-14 over fences; only a 6yo and may not have reached his ceiling yet. |
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|PU| (3) (8/1 +6%) Rouge Vif |
8/1(+6%) | (3) Rouge Vif 8/1, High-class chaser at best. Failed to shine in a handful of runs for Paul Nicholls and yet to show much since rejoining Harry Whittington, pulled up at Kempton 37 days ago. Mark continues to slide and blinkers applied. Very well treated on peak form; possibilities if he takes well to blinkers. |
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|PU| (4) (10/1 +0%) Bun Doran |
10/1(+0%) | (4) Bun Doran 10/1, Likeable veteran who bagged 2m Sandown handicap in Februry. Solid third at Warwick following month so he needs considering eased 1 lb. Well into the veteran stage but he's in decent form; won Grade 2 here in 2019. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
Based on the summary, 9/1 (9) FAMILY BUSINESS may be a good bet as they have had recent success and are still a young horse, indicating potential for further improvement. 12/1 (4) BUN DORAN is another strong contender as a veteran with a solid track record. However, it ultimately depends on the preferences and betting patterns of individual bettors.
Bun Doran is now rated 2lb above his last winning mark, which came over an extended 1m7f at Sandown in February, and he is entitled to improve from his latest outing. However, TRIPLE TRADE recorded a facile success over 2m4f at Wincanton earlier this month and the fact he led from the second last that day suggests he can cope with the drop in trip. Real Stone is another to consider.
Plenty with chances but REAL STONE arrives at the top of his game and, with this drop back in trip also likely to suit, he edges the vote at the chief expense of Huntingdon-scorer Raffle Ticket who still has few miles on the clock. Wincanton-victor Triple Trade and veteran Bun Doran complete the shortlist.
Lightly raced RAFFLE TICKET is first choice ahead of Triple Trade. They both look open to further progress.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Sophie's Star |
(5) (40/1 -100%)40/1(-100%) | (5) Sophie's Star 40/1, Fourteenth of 15 in handicap (50/1) at Catterick (5f, soft). Off 6 months. First run for yard after leaving Roger Fell. Something to find on form. Won at Musselburgh (5f, good) first time out last year; reappears after 191 days off. |
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1st (4) (11/1 -38%) Blairmayne |
11/1(-38%) | (4) Blairmayne 11/1, C&D winner. Seventh of 8 in minor event at Gowran (7f, good to soft, 12/1). Off 7 months. Looks competitive on form. Seven wins including 2 over C&D; had a run under his belt when landing this last year. |
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2nd (12) (3.33/1 -11%) Iva Batt |
3.33/1(-11%) | (12) Iva Batt 3.33/1, Course winner who posted solid fourth of 10 in handicap (10/3) at Bellewstown (5f, heavy) on yard debut 18 days ago. Entited to build on that and holds strong claims. Three-time winner including off 4lb higher mark here; caught the eye on Bellewstown return. |
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3rd (8) (5.5/1 -10%) Jon Riggens |
5.5/1(-10%) | (8) Jon Riggens 5.5/1, Tenth of 11 in handicap (7/2) at the Curragh (5f, heavy) 30 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter. 7-2 fav, reared up as stalls opened and slowly away when never a factor at the Curragh. |
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4th (11) (9/1 +64%) Shoebox King |
9/1(+64%) | (11) Shoebox King 9/1, Ninth of 12 in handicap at Dundalk (6f, 22/1) 13 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Down Royal maiden winner last term and fair fifth in Curragh h'cap; well held lately. |
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5th (9) (4/1 +43%) Aljady |
4/1(+43%) | (9) Aljady 4/1, Not seen to best effect at Navan 2 days ago and had posted good fourth in 13-runner handicap at the Curragh (6f, heavy) previously. Enters calculations. Has fallen in ratings; fourth of 11 in higher grade contest at the Curragh last weekend. |
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6th (7) (4/1 +33%) Half Nutz |
4/1(+33%) | (7) Half Nutz 4/1, Three-time C&D winner. 11/1, creditable third of 12 in handicap at Dundalk (6f) 13 days ago. One for the shortlist. Likes soft ground and likes it here too, with three of his six wins coming over C&D. |
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7th (3) (14/1 +0%) Verhoyen |
14/1(+0%) | (3) Verhoyen 14/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Twelfth of 13 in handicap at the Curragh (6f, heavy, 16/1) 8 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Work to do. Five wins, four of them at the Curragh where he bolted up over 7f last May; mark on slide. |
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8th (6) (8.5/1 +6%) Plunkett |
8.5/1(+6%) | (6) Plunkett 8.5/1, 12/1, below form sixth of 13 in handicap at Leopardstown (8f, heavy) 22 days ago, never nearer. Back down in trip. Cheekpieces back on. Others more persuasive. Ran okay when fifth in Navan sprint in October; trainer giving him another whirl over 6f. |
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9th (1) (100/1 -203%) Only Spoofing |
100/1(-203%) | (1) Only Spoofing 100/1, Three wins from 14 runs last year. Eighth of 10 in handicap (80/1) at Cork (5f, heavy) 16 days ago, met some trouble. Others more persuasive. 12-time winner but has never won on a soft surface; well held first two starts this term. |
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10th (13) (66/1 +0%) Marco Monaco |
66/1(+0%) | (13) Marco Monaco 66/1, Lightly-raced maiden. First run since leaving Ms Sheila Lavery when eleventh of 12 in handicap at Cork (7f, heavy, 50/1) 16 days ago. Easy to look elsewhere. Placed in Navan sprint maiden for Sheila Lavery but beaten long way in both h'cap starts. |
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11th (10) (33/1 -32%) Show Yourself |
33/1(-32%) | (10) Show Yourself 33/1, 22/1, tenth of 12 in handicap at Beverley (5f, good to soft). Off 7 months. First run for yard after leaving James Tate. Now below last winning mark. Fine spell of success as 3yo over 5f at Beverley, four wins over that C&D; quiet last year. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
Based on the summary, 2.5/1 (12) IVA BATT and 4.5/1 (7) HALF NUTZ seem to be the strongest contenders. Both have had recent solid performances and hold strong claims, with 4.5/1 (7) HALF NUTZ having previously won on soft ground and at this course. 5/1 (9) ALJADY and 11/1 (4) BLAIRMAYNE also have some competitive form and could be in the mix. The other horses seem to have some issues, such as inconsistent form or a lack of success on soft ground.
HALF NUTZ likes soft ground and might be able to register a fourth C&D success. He has run a couple of decent races on the all-weather for his new yard and can be forgiven a moderate run at this venue last month where he was too keen. A strong pace to aim at would really suit him. Blairmayne has been a stalwart for Natalia Lupini who got off the mark for the season on Saturday. He won this last year at 20/1 having had the benefit of a prep run but was second to the selection on seasonal debut here two years ago. Jon Riggens blew the start when favourite for his comeback at the Curragh but he was twice second over 5f at the back-end of last season and many will give him another chance. Anadora has won first time out for the last two seasons and is an interesting addition to Sarah Lynam's team.
IVA BATT has dropped down to a handy mark and shaped encouragingly on her yard debut at Bellewstown earlier this month. She can return to winning ways. Aljady and Half Nutz rate the principal dangers.
Maybe HALF NUTZ can add another C&D win to his tally; the soft ground will suit but he does need a strong pace to aim at
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (4.5/1 +44%) Stoner's Choice |
4.5/1(+44%) | (1) Stoner's Choice 4.5/1, Winning start over fences in a match at Kempton in May but let down by some shoddy jumping on his next 2 starts. Plcaed back hurdling the last twice but he's been beaten a fair way. Not at best returned to hurdles the last twice but has slipped to a handy mark. |
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2nd (2) (7/1 +50%) Copper Coin |
7/1(+50%) | (2) Copper Coin 7/1, Good second on Uttoxeter reappearance in October. Not in the same form when sixth of 14 at Newbury the following month but given time to get over that and he has a solid record when fresh. Returns from a break; goes well fresh and Beau Morgan takes off a handy 7lb. |
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3rd (6) (5/1 +29%) Gipsy De Choisel |
5/1(+29%) | (6) Gipsy De Choisel 5/1, Hurdles winner on sole start in France and opened his account on these shores in cosy fashion at Warwick (2m) last spring. Made a respectable return from 4 months off when sixth over 2m at Newbury 7 weeks ago. Steps up significantly in trip now. May be ready for a crack at this longer distance; not dismissed. |
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4th (7) (4.5/1 +10%) Whatsupwithyou |
4.5/1(+10%) | (7) Whatsupwithyou 4.5/1, Snapped a losing run stretching back to his debut when just holding on in Uttoxeter handicap last April and back to his best when runner-up at Newbury and Ludlow last month. No reason why he won't give another good account. Had form figures of 221 last spring and he's going the same way this spring. |
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5th (4) (4/1 +33%) Jay Bee Why |
4/1(+33%) | (4) Jay Bee Why 4/1, Dual hurdle winner who has posted 2 solid placed efforts at Newbury this year in cheekpieces. The headgear is left off this time. Ought to be competitive. Third in this race last year; 3lb lower this time round; in the mix. |
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6th (3) (28/1 -155%) Shang Tang |
28/1(-155%) | (3) Shang Tang 28/1, Useful hurdler who made winning start over fences in a 21f Newton Abbot novice in September 2021. After 8 months off, wasn't able to progress when fourth of 8 in handicap chase at Aintree in May last year. Absent again since. Watching brief advised back hurdling. Only two starts in the last two years came over fences; others preferred. |
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|PU| (8) (4.5/1 +18%) Fifty Ball |
4.5/1(+18%) | (8) Fifty Ball 4.5/1, Won at Ascot off 5 lb higher last spring and most encouraging run of this season when fifth of 14 there (21.5f) 3 weeks ago. Won't need to step up too much on that effort to have a big say for a stable which continues in very good form. Hinted at a revival on latest outing; won off 5lb higher last spring. |
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|PU| (5) (11/1 -144%) In This World |
11/1(-144%) | (5) In This World 11/1, Successful sole start on the Flat in France in June 2021 and looked a good prospect when winning on Warwick hurdle debut in November of that year. Not seen again until finishing a well-held third at Stratford last month but he's entitled to come on for the outing and retains potential for top yard. Still open to further progress and is worth a go at this new trip. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
11/1 (5) IN THIS WORLD seems like a good pick based on the fact that they have potential and are still open to further progress. They have a successful sole start on the Flat in France and have looked like a good prospect when winning on Warwick hurdle debut in November of that year. Despite not being seen again until finishing a well-held third at Stratford last month, they are entitled to come on for the outing and retain potential for a top yard.
Shang Tang is lightly raced and is interesting on the evidence of his hurdles form in 2021. He could go well despite a long break, but preference is for IN THIS WORLD, who is entitled to go well after a distant third at Stratford on his first start in 16 months. A mark of 129 may underestimate him, while Moveit Like Minnie and perhaps Stoner's Choice are others to consider.
With the Gary Moore team continuing in fine form FIFTY BALL is given a chance to build on a better run last time. In This World could leave behind the bare form of his recent comeback run and is feared most ahead of Whatsupwithyou, who arrives on the back of a pair of good runner-up efforts.
If patterns are anything to go by, WHATSUPWITHYOU is poised to record another spring win. Moveit Like Minnie is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (4.5/1 +50%) Moss Tucker |
4.5/1(+50%) | (2) Moss Tucker 4.5/1, Smart gelding. Three wins from 11 runs last year. Latest win at the Curragh in October. Might have needed run when 3½ lengths fifth of 9 to Tenebrism in listed race (11/4) at Cork (6f, heavy) 16 days ago. Place claims but hard to see him turning tables on the favourite. Last year's Abbaye fifth before 6f Curragh Listed win, held by Tenebrism on Cork running. |
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2nd (6) (0.4/1 +25%) Tenebrism |
0.4/1(+25%) | (6) Tenebrism 0.4/1, Smart filly who won readily in Listed company at Cork on her recent reappearance and should prove very hard to beat again. Group 1 winner at 6f/7f, should cope with drop back in trip after 6f Listed win at Cork. |
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3rd (1) (10/1 -11%) Coachello |
10/1(-11%) | (1) Coachello 10/1, Smart gelding. Latest win at Meydan in January. 6 lengths eleventh of 15 to Al Dasim in Nad Al Sheba Turf Sprint (5/1) at Meydan (6f, good) 51 days ago. 6f Listed winner during a four-race spell in Meydan, first time over 5f, may be vulnerable. |
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4th (3) (33/1 +0%) Big Gossey |
33/1(+0%) | (3) Big Gossey 33/1, Useful gelding. 22/1, below form 7¼ lengths eighth of 13 to Hurricane Ivor in handicap at the Curragh (6f, heavy) 8 days ago. Uphill task. Five-time winner who has done most of his racing at the Curragh and Dundalk, stiff task. |
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5th (5) (7.5/1 +0%) Hurricane Ivor |
7.5/1(+0%) | (5) Hurricane Ivor 7.5/1, Useful gelding. Just second outing for this yard when winning 13-runner handicap at the Curragh (6f, heavy) 8 days ago. Ought to be competitive back at listed level. 5f Group 3 winner in 2021, regressive last year, back to something like best this season. |
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6th (8) (100/1 +0%) Pineapple Island |
100/1(+0%) | (8) Pineapple Island 100/1, Thrice-raced winner. Won 16-runner maiden (28/1) at Cork (5f, heavy) 16 days ago, driven clear. Very hard to make a case for. Recent Cork maiden winner over this trip, late-maturing filly faces a very tough task here. |
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7th (7) (25/1 -14%) Hodd's Girl |
25/1(-14%) | (7) Hodd's Girl 25/1, Useful mare. Course winner. Three wins from 13 runs last year. Latest win at Dundalk in January. Creditable third of 7 in minor event (11/1) at Newcastle (7f) 17 days ago. Down in trip. Six-time Dundalk winner, has made huge progress since winning a 6f handicap here last year. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
The smart filly 0.4/1 (6) TENEBRISM is predicted to do well, as she has already won a Listed race and is expected to cope well with the drop back in trip. 6.5/1 (5) HURRICANE IVOR and 5/1 (2) MOSS TUCKER may also be competitive at the listed level, but it is unlikely that they will be able to turn the tables on 0.4/1 (6) TENEBRISM. 22/1 (1) COACHELLO, 33/1 (3) BIG GOSSEY, 33/1 (7) HODD'S GIRL, and 100/1 (8) PINEAPPLE ISLAND are not expected to be serious contenders in this race.
It's hard to oppose TENEBRISM after her decisive comeback win over 6f at Cork. She's a dual Group 1 winner and could have a profitable sprinting campaign now that connections have decided that this is the way to go with her. Soft ground is not a problem and nor should the drop in trip be given how much pace she possesses. Moss Tucker is a grand soft-ground sprinter who won at Listed level at Tipperary last year and was fifth in the Prix de l'Abbaye. He was no match for the selection when third at Cork and it's likely to be a similar story this time. Brostaigh won a Listed contest over C&D last year before landing a Group 2 at Chantilly. She would probably prefer drier ground but is capable of a good showing.
TENEBRISM looks set for a productive campaign over sprint trips and can add to her recent Cork reappearance success. Moss Tucker should strip fitter for his recent comeback run behind the selection and can fill the forecast spot ahead of recent Curragh handicap winner Hurricane Ivor.
Dual Group 1 winner TENEBRISM is well suited by the race conditions and handles soft going. The drop in trip should not be a problem
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (11) (7.5/1 +70%) Pasvolsky |
7.5/1(+70%) | (11) Pasvolsky 7.5/1, Cashed in a career-low mark in 3-runner chase at Plumpton in October but nowhere near that level either outing since, never involved at Wincanton on recent return from 4 months off. Has gained all jumps wins in small-field events; something to prove. |
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2nd (6) (4.5/1 +59%) Scipion |
4.5/1(+59%) | (6) Scipion 4.5/1, Cheekpieces fitted and built on earlier chasing promise when landing 4-runner handicap at Lingfield (23.5f) in February. Pulled up in Midlands National since but better expected here. Pulled up in the Midlands National; this drop back in trip/class is more suitable. |
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3rd (4) (8/1 +50%) Le Cameleon |
8/1(+50%) | (4) Le Cameleon 8/1, Returned to form when taking 6-runner handicap chase at Ludlow (23.8f) last month and not disgraced off 4 lb higher at same course since. Should give another good account. Has a strike-rate of 5-18 over fences; currently in decent form. |
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4th (2) (4.5/1 +78%) Fern Hill |
4.5/1(+78%) | (2) Fern Hill 4.5/1, Won twice over hurdles and runner-up 4 times over fences prior to deservedly getting his head in front at Uttoxeter (22.5f) in November. Rather gone backwards since, though, and others more appealing. Scored at Uttoxeter on last attempt in this grade; now 2lb higher. |
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5th (9) (3.33/1 +61%) Striking A Pose |
3.33/1(+61%) | (9) Striking A Pose 3.33/1, Dual hurdles winner who also scored on his chase debut at Exeter (19.2f) last season. Has failed to add to that since, however, and is yet to totally prove himself over 3m. 0-9 since winning on chase debut; however, has slipped to a handy mark. |
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6th (3) (2.75/1 +31%) Our Jet |
2.75/1(+31%) | (3) Our Jet 2.75/1, Dual-winning hurdler last term who opened account over fences in handicap at Leicester (20.1f) in December. Ridden with more restraint when third at Wetherby (19.4f) last time and steps up to 3m for the first time here. Respected. Has form figures of 213 since switched to chasing; open to further progress. |
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|PU| (7) (20/1 +0%) Golden Taipan |
20/1(+0%) | (7) Golden Taipan 20/1, Won a couple of small-field handicaps at Perth last summer and acquitted himself well when last seen at Leicester in December. Will likely need a career-best to land this on return, though. Has a respectable record at Kempton and is back on last winning mark. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
It is difficult to predict with certainty which horse will do well based on this summary, but some standout contenders include 4/1 (5) LATITUDE, 4/1 (3) OUR JET, 4.5/1 (1) DANNY KIRWAN, and 14/1 (4) LE CAMELEON. These horses have shown recent form and potential for improvement. 12/1 (10) VALSHEDA and 16/1 (11) PASVOLSKY seem to have more to prove and may be less likely to perform well in this race.
DANNY KIRWAN ought to find this competition easier to deal with after falling in a handicap at Ascot in February, though he did look beaten at the time. He may be able to put that behind him and win his first race of the season for a stable in decent form. Our Jet is a serious rival upped in trip after his Wetherby third and he is not to be underestimated, while Scipion likes a battle and could surprise a few.
LATITUDE is going the right way and is taken to follow up last month's Ludlow victory. Danny Kirwan and Our Jet rate the principal dangers.
There could well be more to come from LATITUDE (nap), who is taken to follow up his Ludlow win. Danny Kirwan is feared most.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (0.5/1 +67%) Boogie Woogie |
0.5/1(+67%) | (3) Boogie Woogie 0.5/1, Fairly useful form. Good second (Azazat third) of 10 in maiden (7/2) at Leopardstown (10f, heavy) 19 days ago, running on. Should go well again. Second to a long-priced stablemate on seasonal debut, may confirm form with Azazat. |
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2nd (9) (3.2/1 +64%) Scarlett O'Hara |
3.2/1(+64%) | (9) Scarlett O'Hara 3.2/1, Once-raced filly. Sixth of 15 in maiden (28/1) at Leopardstown (8f, soft) on debut. Off 6 months. Up in trip. Open to improvement. Shaped with promise when stable's second-string on sole run at two, trip should suit. |
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3rd (5) (80/1 +20%) Fiver Friday |
80/1(+20%) | (5) Fiver Friday 80/1, (Production):€10,000Y: third foal: sister to 1m winner (stays 11f) Addosh: dam useful 1¼m winner. From a small County Antrim stable, sister to a Flat and hurdles winner, dam won over 1m2f. |
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4th (4) (25/1 +62%) Fanaigi Linn |
25/1(+62%) | (4) Fanaigi Linn 25/1, Once-raced filly. 14/1, fifth of 10 in maiden at Galway (8.3f, heavy) on debut. Off 175 days. Up in trip. Respectable debut at Galway last October, plenty of improvement needed in order to feature. |
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5th (10) (4.5/1 +63%) World Peace |
4.5/1(+63%) | (10) World Peace 4.5/1, Frankel filly. Yard in good form. By Frankel, first foal out of a Listed-placed winner from a strong Coolmore-linked family. |
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6th (6) (50/1 -52%) Fleadhfest |
50/1(-52%) | (6) Fleadhfest 50/1, Twice-raced filly. Tenth of 11 in maiden at Gowran (8f, soft, 6/1) 5 days ago. Back up in trip. Well beaten fifth at Leopardstown, failed to take a step in the right direction at Gowran. |
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7th (8) (250/1 -25%) Miss Heartbreak |
250/1(-25%) | (8) Miss Heartbreak 250/1, Once-raced filly. 200/1, eighth of 9 in maiden at Dundalk (10.7f) on debut 13 days ago. Massive price when ran green on debut at Dundalk, can be safely ruled out. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
0.73/1 (3) BOOGIE WOOGIE may do well based on their recent form and performance in their last race. 3/1 (9) SCARLETT O'HARA and 4.5/1 (10) WORLD PEACE also have potential for improvement and could surprise. 20/1 (4) FANAIGI LINN and 33/1 (6) FLEADHFEST have not shown enough improvement so far, and 150/1 (8) MISS HEARTBREAK can be ruled out based on their debut performance.
This is a rematch between BOOGIE WOOGIE and Azazat after the pair clashed at Leopardstown earlier this month. The former got the better of the argument by half a length on that occasion in a race won by her longer-priced stablemate Savethelastdance and, with trip and ground similar, can confirm the form. Azazat was narrowly denied in a Curragh maiden on her only start at two and has been strong in the market for both of her outings, so she's sure to throw down a strong challenge again. Scarlett O'Hara was stable outsider when sixth in a Leopardstown maiden over a mile last October. She was only a couple of lengths off runner-up Boogie Woogie on that occasion and could well get closer now given the red-hot form of her stable.
The manner in which AZAZAT's effort flattened out when caught for second by Boogie Woogie on her Leopardstown reappearance suggests she might have just needed that run and she's selected to turn the tables on Aidan O'Brien's filly this time. The other Ballydoyle runners, High Chieftess and newcomer World Peace, may fight it out for third.
This may boil down to a rematch of a similar event at Leopardstown. Runner-up BOOGIE WOOGIEp can again cope with third-placed \bAzazat
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (10/1 -33%) Elios D'Or |
10/1(-33%) | (8) Elios D'Or 10/1, Winless following 6 attempts in this sphere in 2020 but has since won 4 times over fences. Back hurdling here following a break on a potentially handy mark and couldn't rule out with conditions in his favour. 0-6 over hurdles and goes without usual headgear but is well treated on chase form. |
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2nd (4) (7/1 +56%) Elham Valley |
7/1(+56%) | (4) Elham Valley 7/1, Bagged handicaps at Warwick and Newton Abbot last year. Probably best not judged too harsly on recent spin at Cheltenham (did too much too soon) but others make more appeal all the same. Has question marks over current form and the removal of usual blinkers. |
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3rd (1) (2.25/1 +63%) Too Friendly |
2.25/1(+63%) | (1) Too Friendly 2.25/1, Won 2 juvenile hurdles last season (also fifth in Fred Winter) and several creditable efforts in higher-grade handicaps than this during the present campaign. Below par tried in blinkers (discarded here) at Haydock last time but merits serious respect on debut for new yard all the same. Generally consistent for Dan Skelton; drops in grade on debut for James Owen; considered. |
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4th (9) (3.33/1 +26%) Dom Perry |
3.33/1(+26%) | (9) Dom Perry 3.33/1, Bumper winner who made a successful start for this yard in a maiden hurdle at Southwell in February. Found just one too good in a in first-time tongue strap back there 12 days ago and should make his presence felt off 1 lb lower. May still have more to offer for current trainer, who won this race last year. |
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5th (10) (2.5/1 +55%) Patient Dream |
2.5/1(+55%) | (10) Patient Dream 2.5/1, It's all clicked for him since equipped with cheekpieces, winning at Market Rasen and Ludlow in February (both under the yard's 10 lb claimer William Maggs, who is again aboard). Likely to make a bold bid to complete the hat-trick. 2-2 since fitted with cheekpieces, both wins in February; has to be feared. |
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6th (3) (25/1 -14%) Sofia's Rock |
25/1(-14%) | (3) Sofia's Rock 25/1, Suited by sharp 2m at Market Rasen when notching third win of 2022 in a seller last August. However, well held in a Fontwell handicap for new connections the following month and absent since. Absent since heavy defeat in September when making debut for this yard. |
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|PU| (5) (12/1 +57%) Paros |
12/1(+57%) | (5) Paros 12/1, Fairly useful form when winning twice in 2020/21 but he has been pulled up all 3 starts since returning from lengthy absence in December. Plenty to prove. Missed last season and has form figures of PPP since returning to action. |
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|PU| (6) (80/1 +20%) Chasamax |
80/1(+20%) | (6) Chasamax 80/1, Three-time winner in this sphere for Nicky Henderson but ended time with that yard on a downer and there were no positives to draw from his debut for new yard last month. Achieved nothing at Fakenham last month on debut for new stable. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
It is difficult to predict which horse will do well without more information or context about the race and the other competitors. It seems that Dan Skelton's horse has been consistent and has some good results under its belt, but it is also dropping in grade for this race. 5/1 (7) MAGISTRATO is interesting off a reduced mark and could be a danger to all if settling better. 5/1 (9) DOM PERRY has been performing well and has the potential to make his presence felt in this race. 5.5/1 (10) PATIENT DREAM has been on a winning streak since being equipped with cheekpieces and could make a bold bid for the hat-trick. 12/1 (8) ELIOS D'OR has a potentially handy mark and conditions in his favor. The rest of the horses have some question marks or have not been performing up to par.
Cabrakan is deemed interesting at the bottom of the weights with Bradley Harris riding, and he may try to make all on his return to 2m. In The Air drops a grade looking for his first win of the season and he can go close, but a chance is taken on SOFIA'S ROCK. Jockey Lorcan Murtagh has ridden out his claim and is more experienced than most, so he might steer the nine-year-old to a sixth success over hurdles.
MAGISTRATO clearly comes with risks attached following a tame effort at Sandown where he was again far too keen. Still, conditions may have been against him on that occasion and, down another 4 lb, he is worth chancing in this open-looking race, in the hope that he settles better this time. Too Friendly is of strong interest eased in class on debut for new yard but Dom Perry is nominated as the main danger. Hat-trick seeker Patient Dream and Elios d'Or are others with claims.
The suggestion is IN THE AIR, who looks like he's on his way back to winning form. Dom Perry is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (2.75/1 +39%) Immutable |
2.75/1(+39%) | (6) Immutable 2.75/1, Winner at Gowran in October. Creditable ½-length second of 5 to Trachonitus in nursery at the Curragh (8f, heavy, 6/5) when last seen. Off 180 days. Closely matched with Trachonitus on 1m Curragh nursery form; handles testing ground well. |
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2nd (4) (2.25/1 +10%) Something Nice |
2.25/1(+10%) | (4) Something Nice 2.25/1, 9/4, improved when winning 13-runner maiden at Cork (7f, heavy) 16 days ago, driven clear. More to come again now handicapping. Ready winner of 7f Cork maiden and second went close off 78 next time; trip should be fine. |
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3rd (7) (5/1 -11%) Rhythm King |
5/1(-11%) | (7) Rhythm King 5/1, Off 5 months, career best when winning 11-runner handicap (5/1) at Bellewstown (7.8f, heavy) 18 days ago, readily. This is tougher but he won well there and can give another good account. Bolted up in lesser contest at Bellewstown and now 14lb higher; likes it heavy. |
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4th (9) (14/1 +13%) Blue News |
14/1(+13%) | (9) Blue News 14/1, Visored for 1st time, respectable sixth of 14 in maiden at Dundalk (7f, 6/1) on return 10 days ago. Makes handicap debut. More needed to gain first success. Runner-up three times in AW contests last year; well held in visor back at Dundalk latest. |
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5th (5) (6/1 +14%) Trachonitus |
6/1(+14%) | (5) Trachonitus 6/1, Winner at the Curragh in October. Fourth of 7 in handicap at this course (7f, heavy, 13/2) on return 29 days ago, inadequate test. Narrowly beat Immutable in 1m Curragh nursery and now 3lb worse off; fourth over 7f here. |
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6th (1) (6/1 +14%) Spirit Genie |
6/1(+14%) | (1) Spirit Genie 6/1, Below best when last seen in Dundalk listed race in September but had been steadily progressing on turf prior to that. Curragh nursery second (7f, heavy) brings him into it; held in AW Listed contest latest. |
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7th (8) (16/1 -14%) Miss Caruso |
16/1(-14%) | (8) Miss Caruso 16/1, Won at Dundalk in February. 5¾ lengths fifth of 8 to Cairo in listed race (50/1) at Dundalk (8f) 52 days ago, not ideally placed. Makes turf/handicap debut. AW maiden winner over this trip; fair fifth in Listed contest at Dundalk; ground a worry. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
It is difficult to accurately predict which horse will do well based solely on this summary. However, 2.5/1 (4) SOMETHING NICE seems to have been in good form recently and may have the potential to improve further now that it is handicapping. 5.5/1 (7) RHYTHM KING also had an impressive win at Bellewstown and could be a contender despite the tougher competition.
SOMETHING NICE has only raced on testing ground and appears to have progressed well after a winter break. He beat all bar Shadowed when reappearing in a 20-runner Curragh maiden before opening his account in style at Cork. That form received a boost when the runner-up went close at Gowran recently. Rhythm King relished testing conditions when scoring decisively over a similar trip at Bellewstown earlier this month. That race has produced a couple of subsequent winners, but the handicapper has also had his say and put Mark Fahey's charge up 14lb. Immutable hails from a yard in good form and won a Gowran maiden on soft ground last year while the in-form Jessica Harrington is doubly represented.
SOMETHING NICE promises to do better again now handicapping and the Cork-winner can follow up on his handicap debut. National Emblem is a promising 3-y-o for Jessica Harrington and must be respected on his return. Rhythm King won well at Bellewstown and can give another good account.
The step up in trip should be okay for SOMETHING NICE (nap) who relishes soft ground and his revised mark seems fair
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (0.62/1 +32%) Espoir De Teillee |
0.62/1(+32%) | (1) Espoir De Teillee 0.62/1, Smart handicap chaser on his day and best effort for a while when readily making all at Leicester in February. Backed it up with a good second at Ludlow a month ago and should take all the beating. Scored at Leicester in February; latest effort has been boosted by the winner since. |
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2nd (2) (5/1 +69%) Red Maple |
5/1(+69%) | (2) Red Maple 5/1, Just poor form under Rules and was last in a point recently. Others preferred. Goes into hunter chase debut with the worst chance on ratings. |
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3rd (5) (3.5/1 +13%) Gaboriot |
3.5/1(+13%) | (5) Gaboriot 3.5/1, Useful hurdler at his best. Hasn't matched that in hunter chases but took a positive step when second at Ludlow 3 weeks ago. Needs to build on that. Finished in front of Diligent at Ludlow most recently; possibilities if building on that. |
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|PU| (6) (12/1 +14%) Longhouse Sale |
12/1(+14%) | (6) Longhouse Sale 12/1, Useful chaser at his best but lost his way for Dan Skelton. Pulled up all 3 starts in points this year, so hard to support with any confidence. Has form figures of PPP in points this year but a revival would put him in the picture. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
0.83/1 (1) ESPOIR DE TEILLEE is likely to do well based on the summary.
ESPOIR DE TEILLEE, who was rated 145 over fences at his best when with Tom George, looks the obvious one and is taken to be up to the task of giving weight and a beating to his rivals at this level. He bounced back to form with an emphatic success in a similar contest a Leicester on his penultimate start and anything like a repeat would be good enough. Gaboriot and Creadan Grae look the pick of the opposition.
ESPOIR DE TEILLEE has looked rejuvenated recently and he should be hard to pass under a customary positive ride. Diligent looks the obvious danger, although Gaboriot could make an impact if building on his recent second at Ludlow.
The percentage call goes to GABORIOT. Second choice is Espoir De Teillee.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Cleopatra's Needle |
(13) (10/1 +17%)10/1(+17%) | (13) Cleopatra's Needle 10/1, Creditable fourth of 18 in handicap at Navan (10f, heavy, 20/1) 26 days ago. Can give a good account. Form of last month's Navan fourth has been boosted by the winner, holds leading chance. |
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Carla's Kodi Bear |
(17) (50/1 +0%)50/1(+0%) | (17) Carla's Kodi Bear 50/1, Twelfth of 13 in handicap at Dundalk (6f, 40/1). Off 96 days. Significantly up in trip with work to do. Lost form after Navan second 12 months ago, down 13lb in the ratings since then. |
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1st (4) (8.5/1 +58%) Persian Queen |
8.5/1(+58%) | (4) Persian Queen 8.5/1, Course winner. 40/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, respectable sixth of 16 in handicap at Gowran (8f, heavy) 6 days ago. Eleven runs since last win in 2020. 1m2f course winner, showed signs of a return to form at Gowran last week, more needed. |
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2nd (15) (5/1 -50%) Golden Spangle |
5/1(-50%) | (15) Golden Spangle 5/1, 15/8, didn't enjoy the rub of the green when good third of 16 in handicap at Gowran (7f, soft) 5 days ago. Expected to be bang there despite 2 lb rise in her bid for a maiden success. Set for her third outing in quick succession, two good displays, holds an obvious chance. |
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3rd (8) (3/1 +63%) Stay Local |
3/1(+63%) | (8) Stay Local 3/1, Promising type. 16/1 and hooded for 1st time, sixth of 11 in novice hurdle at Ballinrobe (16.6f, good) on NH debut. Off 8 months. Not taken lightly back in this sphere. Beaten favourite on only two starts last season but showed a respectable standard of form. |
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4th (21) (5.5/1 -22%) Rockbury Lad |
5.5/1(-22%) | (21) Rockbury Lad 5.5/1, 9/4, creditable fourth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (7f) 10 days ago. Shortlisted. RESERVE First reserve, met some trouble in running when fourth at Dundalk recently, merits respect. |
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5th (10) (5/1 +50%) Numidia |
5/1(+50%) | (10) Numidia 5/1, Winner at Dundalk in February. Creditable fourth of 15 in handicap at Leopardstown (9f, heavy, 13/2) 19 days ago. Needs considering. Won over this trip at Dundalk in February, form of Leopardstown fourth gives him a chance. |
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6th (7) (50/1 +0%) Thunder Canyon |
50/1(+0%) | (7) Thunder Canyon 50/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 200/1, seventh of 13 in maiden at Thurles (8.1f, good to soft). Off 18 months. Makes handicap debut with his fitness to prove. Did not show enough in three maiden outings in 2021 to suggest he can win off opening mark. |
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7th (14) (66/1 -65%) Stepdance |
66/1(-65%) | (14) Stepdance 66/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Thirteenth of 16 in maiden at the Curragh (7f, heavy, 125/1) 30 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Open to progress. Ran in good company at Gowran on the first of three maiden outings, may find her level. |
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8th (20) (150/1 -127%) Cozy Cartel |
150/1(-127%) | (20) Cozy Cartel 150/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Eleventh of 13 in maiden (200/1) at Cork (7f, heavy) 16 days ago. Makes handicap debut with lots to find. Finished last on his first four starts, beat only two rivals last time, up against it. |
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9th (16) (33/1 +50%) Srowland Jack |
33/1(+50%) | (16) Srowland Jack 33/1, 150/1 and blinkered for 1st time, ninth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (8f) 39 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time now. Moderate form at Dundalk, hard to fancy on the evidence of last season's turf form. |
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10th (5) (11/1 +8%) Hello Power |
11/1(+8%) | (5) Hello Power 11/1, 8/1, good fourth of 18 in handicap at Galway (11.8f, heavy). Off 175 days. Significantly back down in trip. First run for yard after leaving G. O'Leary. Looks competitive on form. Consistent in four outings for the now-retired Ger O'Leary last season, could go well. |
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11th (3) (6/1 +73%) Wee Pablo |
6/1(+73%) | (3) Wee Pablo 6/1, 5/1, ninth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (7f). Off 166 days. First run for yard after leaving Patrick Martin. Seventeen runs since last win in 2021. Not one of his best efforts on final start last year, fair form previously on heavy ground. |
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12th (12) (16/1 +52%) Snow Lion |
16/1(+52%) | (12) Snow Lion 16/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Creditable seventh of 14 in handicap (18/1) at Dundalk (10.7f). Off 108 days. Back down in trip. Cheekpieces on 1st time and no forlorn hope. Out of the money in two Dundalk handicaps, will need to improve, first-time cheekpieces. |
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13th (6) (12/1 -71%) Khattaat |
12/1(-71%) | (6) Khattaat 12/1, Creditable second of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (8f, 10/3), no match for winner. Off 101 days but not ruled out. Beaten 5l when second over 7f at Dundalk in January, very soft ground could be a problem. |
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14th (1) (150/1 -200%) Burgoo Beauty |
150/1(-200%) | (1) Burgoo Beauty 150/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 125/1, first run since leaving Harry Eustace when last of 14 in maiden at Dundalk (8f). Off 124 days. Finished last on her only handicap start in Britain, same fate in a Dundalk maiden. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
It is difficult to determine which horse will do well based solely on this summary as there is not enough information provided about their previous performances and current form. However, 3.5/1 (15) GOLDEN SPANGLE seems to have a good chance based on her recent good displays and held back by bad luck in her last outing. 4.5/1 (21) ROCKBURY LAD and 6.5/1 (10) NUMIDIA are also shortlisted as they have shown respectable performances in their recent handicaps.
STAY LOCAL showed plenty of promise on soft ground last year. The lightly raced daughter of Australia went close at Tipperary and was again well-backed when beating all bar the progressive Clear Quartz over this trip at Killarney. The Aidan Howard-trained mare now reappears after a near nine-month break and it will be interesting to see if the market speaks in her favour. Cleopatra's Needle made a pleasing reappearance at Navan and the form of that race received a timely boost when Brave Troop bolted up at Gowran last week. Golden Spangle is being kept busy and comes here on the back of two solid placed efforts. She's bred to appreciate the step up in trip, while Hello Power and Wee Pablo are others to consider.
GOLDEN SPANGLE is fancied to gain her breakthrough success given she wasn't seen to best effect when third in a big field at Gowran last time and remains handily weighted nudged up just 2 lb. Stay Local also looks to have better days ahead of her and is next on the list, with Hello Power and Super Cub completing the shortlist.
With normal improvement from her seasonal debut at Navan, CLEOPATRA'S NEEDLE has fair prospects of recording a breakthrough win
Ths is the racecard key.
Icon | Meaning |
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TomForm top stats, gold rated | |
TomForm top stats silver rated | |
Ran similar race before | |
S | TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out |
T | Top Time speeed rated |
Top Racingpost rated | |
At the races watchout for | |
At the races top pick | |
Top rated for thet statistic |
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
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