There were 42 Races on Saturday 16th March 2024 across 6 meetings. There was 7 races at Thurles, 7 races at Uttoxeter, 7 races at Newcastle, 7 races at Kempton, 7 races at Southwell, 7 races at Wolverhampton, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
Class & Speed Card
| Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (1)  (3/1 -33%)Below The Radar |
3/1(-33%) |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (1) Below The Radar 3/1, Runner-up in 2 points and landed a Chepstow bumper in November before making an impressive start in this sphere in 8-runner novice hurdle at Hereford (21.7f, good to soft, 11/4) 47 days ago. Open to a fair bit more progress so he's a big player. 2-2 under rules, with form of January's Hereford hurdle debut boosted; useful prospect. |
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2nd (5)  (11/4 +17%)Don't Rightly Know |
11/4(+17%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (5) Don't Rightly Know 11/4, Scored at Exeter in November and she has posted two excellent efforts this year to be runner-up over 3m in handicap at Newbury and Prestige Hurdle at Haydock. Leading form claims. Placed all four starts since 2m7f Exeter reappearance win; should give good account. |
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3rd (2)  (10/3 +56%)Leading Choice |
10/3(+56%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (2) Leading Choice 10/3, Fairly useful bumper winner who made light of a 15-month absence to bag 7-runner novice hurdle at Wetherby (19.7f, heavy) 42 days ago. Should progress further. In the mix. Overcame long absence when making it third-time lucky over hurdles at Wetherby. |
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4th (3)  (5/2 -67%)Range |
5/2(-67%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (3) Range 5/2, Fair form in bumpers last season and got off the mark in 2m3f maiden hurdle at Chepstow in December. Took his form up a notch when fifth of 10 to Kerryhill in River Don Hurdle at Doncaster (24.4f, good) 49 days ago so must enter calculations despite reverting in trip. Chepstow winner who seemed stretched by 3m in Grade 2 since; shouldn't be far away. |
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5th (4)  (16/1 -33%)Casual Observer |
16/1(-33%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (4) Casual Observer 16/1, Points runner-up who has gone with promise on both novice hurdle starts (around 2m4f) this term when second at Wincanton and fifth at Ascot. This is tougher but he can do better still. Fair form in both hurdle starts but will need more to win this. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
A competitive event, despite the small field, and the form of Below The Radar's Hereford success has been boosted by the second going one better and the third falling with a Newcastle race at his mercy. Leading Choice showed good resolution to break through at Wetherby, but a couple of class droppers make most appeal. RANGE and Don't Rightly Know both contested Grade 2 events, and the former's River Don fifth could be slightly stronger form than his rival's well-beaten second at Haydock.
A fascinating novice in which Polly Gundry's likeable mare DON'T RIGHTLY KNOW is taken to put her experience to good use and resume winning ways at the chief expense of Paul Nicholls' promising Hereford scorer Below The Radar. Range and Leading Choice can't be discounted either.
Last month's Haydock Grade 2 runner-up Don't Rightly Know looks sure to go well but BELOW THE RADAR can improve past her.
Class & Speed Card
| Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (1)  (6/1 +45%)Santos Blue |
6/1(+45%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (1) Santos Blue 6/1, Progressive 3-time winner during novice season and built on several solid efforts this term when landing 9-runner Wetherby handicap (2½m) in January, rallying to lead again final 100 yds. Found the emphasis too much on speed back on less testing ground at Ascot and probably remains in form. Not at best at Ascot latest but won at Wetherby before that and largely consistent. |
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2nd (2)  (5/1 +38%)Monviel |
5/1(+38%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (2) Monviel 5/1, Useful winner over hurdles for Philip Hobbs last term who was found to have an irregular heartbeat when going backwards from a promising chasing debut at Ascot in November. Lacked the required zip back hurdling there 4 weeks ago but could benefit from first-time cheekpieces. Not disgraced back hurdling in warm race latest; respected down in grade in cheekpieces. |
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3rd (9)  (3/1 +14%)One Eye On Vegas |
3/1(+14%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (9) One Eye On Vegas 3/1, Third sole outing in bumpers and left previous efforts over hurdles behind when making his second start in handicaps a winning one at Leicester (20.5f) in January. Progressed again to land the odds at Hereford (19.7f, soft) and promises to make a bold bid for the hat-trick. Improved for cheekpieces and longer trip the last twice; looks capable of better again. |
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4th (6)  (3/1 +0%)Jagwar |
3/1(+0%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (6) Jagwar 3/1, Good-looking sort who got off the mark in a 5-runner novice at Carlisle (19.3f, heavy) 26 days ago, rallying to lead final 50 yds. Still has room for improvement in his jumping but remains unexposed on just his second handicap start. Rallied after mistake last to lead near finish in 2m3f novice on heavy latest; unexposed. |
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5th (4)  (9/1 +25%)Castle Rushen |
9/1(+25%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (4) Castle Rushen 9/1, Didn't take to chasing last season but ended campaign with pair of creditable placed efforts back over hurdles and shaped better than the distance beaten suggests on his return at Haydock (24.3, heavy) 4 weeks ago, finding test too much. Tends to come good in the spring so not one to write off. Placed in handicap hurdles last spring but well held on last month's reappearance. |
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6th (3)  (33/1 -50%)Perseus Way |
33/1(-50%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (3) Perseus Way 33/1, Dual winner on the Flat who quickly developed into a useful juvenile hurdler for Gary Moore last season. Recorded 2 good placed efforts on Flat for Owen Burrows in the autumn and probably needed the run back over hurdles after 3 months off at Newbury 2 weeks ago. Up in trip. Smart juvenile last season; placed on AW in autumn; might have needed recent yard debut. |
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7th (5)  (6/1 -80%)Canty Bay |
6/1(-80%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (5) Canty Bay 6/1, Landed a Taunton maiden (19f) on return in November and suited by increase in trip when resuming winning ways in a 6-runner handicap at Ludlow (21.2f, heavy) 24 days ago. More needed from a 7 lb higher mark but he's respected nonetheless. Comfortable 12l winner of 2m5f Ludlow handicap latest and there could be more to come. |
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8th (8)  (20/1 +0%)Scorsese |
20/1(+0%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (8) Scorsese 20/1, Point winner showed more than previously over hurdles when eighth of 23 in a maiden hurdle at Leopardstown (16f, good to soft, 150/1) 81 days ago. Goes handicapping now for a new handler (has left Colm A. Murphy) and open to further improvement. Point winner; showed ability over hurdles in Ireland in 2023; possible improver in h'caps. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
The penny has suddenly dropped for One Eye On Vegas, who supplemented a Leicester victory at Hereford. He will find this much more competitive, though, whereas MONVIEL has his sights lowered on the back of a satisfactory return to hurdles at Ascot and he can take the necessary step forward in first-time cheekpieces. Santos Blue was behind him in Berkshire, but was in fine form prior. Canty Bay has been upped 7lb for his impressive Ludlow triumph, while Jagwar had to work to land the odds in a Carlisle novice and was soundly beaten on his only previous foray into handicap company.
JAGWAR still has something to learn on the jumping score, but he struck at Carlisle last time and looks on a good mark judged on his second at Aintree back in the autumn. One Eye On Vegas promises to go well in his hat-trick bid for all he's up in grade, while Monviel remains lightly raced for Harry Derham and could benefit from first-time cheekpieces.
There's likely more to come from ONE EYE ON VEGAS and he can defy the handicapper again and complete a hat-trick.
Class & Speed Card
| Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (18)  (11/2 +66%)Gwennie May Boy |
11/2(+66%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (18) Gwennie May Boy 11/2, First run since leaving Jonjo O'Neill and 9/2, career best when winning 6-runner handicap hurdle at Bangor (23.2f, heavy) 17 days ago, pushed out. Got the better of a progressive stablemate there and 4-lb rise looks potentially lenient, so worth a chance to follow up. Successsful stable debut at Bangor (2m7f, heavy) but thrown into a better race here. |
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2nd (14)  (11/1 -10%)Supremely West |
11/1(-10%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (14) Supremely West 11/1, Unbeaten in bumpers and bright start over hurdles in recent months, landing novice events at Carlisle/Sedgefield. Runner-up last three outings, beaten by Classic Concorde at Chepstow 3 weeks ago. Sort to benefit from first-time blinkers, so well worth considering. He could sink or swim in the new blinkers but has to be taken seriously with his form. |
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3rd (13)  (12/1 -50%)Tanganyika |
12/1(-50%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (13) Tanganyika 12/1, Improved for the step up to a staying trip when scoring at Bangor (23f) in December and got firmly back on the up when readily making all in treacherous conditions at Newbury 15 days ago. This race might come a bit soon, though. Sauntered home at Newbury and a 7lb rise seems very fair; will love the conditions. |
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4th (8)  (17/2 -21%)White Rhino |
17/2(-21%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (8) White Rhino 17/2, Much improved since handicapping and backed up a Cheltenham victory with an excellent third at Huntingdon (25f) in January. Same mark and looks a serious player. 6lb higher mark seemed to anchor him at Huntingdon but again he ran well. |
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5th (4)  (66/1 -200%)Floueur |
66/1(-200%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (4) Floueur 66/1, Useful winning hurdler/chaser for Gordon Elliott and, after a quiet spell for both Gary Hanmer and this yard, he got back on track returned to this discipline when second at Doncaster a fortnight ago. Potentially well treated. On the downgrade but bucked up his ideas and went close two weeks ago at Doncaster. |
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6th (3)  (11/2 -22%)Saint Davy |
11/2(-22%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (3) Saint Davy 11/2, Fetched £270,000 after winning sole point start and is 4 from 5 under Rules, improving again to edge a good handicap at Sandown last time. Another bold showing is on the cards. Well-backed winner of two 3m handicaps this season; likeable in how he did it at Sandown. |
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7th (2)  (33/1 -65%)Elvis Mail |
33/1(-65%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (2) Elvis Mail 33/1, Useful handicap hurdler who has proved himself of similar merit as a chaser. Creditable effort behind Thunder Rock in a listed event at Kelso last time and on a reasonable mark returning to this sphere. Better known as a chaser; rated 6lb lower hurdling and trip/ground will be fine. |
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8th (12)  (16/1 -14%)Transmission |
16/1(-14%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (12) Transmission 16/1, Low-mileage 7-y-o who has made a good start for this yard, building on Ascot handicap debut third when scoring at Plumpton in January. Not disgraced behind Saint Davy at Sandown last time but unlikely to turn the tables. Fifth at Sandown off this mark but getting back in the mud won't do him any harm. |
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9th (17)  (20/1 +20%)Minella Blueway |
20/1(+20%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (17) Minella Blueway 20/1, Winning Irish pointer who confirmed previous promise under Rules when easily opening his account in a course maiden in December. Back on track when sixth to Classic Concorde at Chepstow 3 weeks ago and remains unexposed. Behind three of these at Chepstow last time but that was only his second handicap start. |
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10th (1)  (11/1 -10%)Hititi |
11/1(-10%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (1) Hititi 11/1, Likeable sort who is still at the top of his game, good second of 11 in handicap hurdle (4/1) at Exeter (23.1f, heavy) 34 days ago. Smooth traveller who is likely to put up another solid showing. Consistent and off a tough mark it makes sense to claim 5lb through Angus Cheleda. |
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11th (5)  (33/1 +18%)Alaphilippe |
33/1(+18%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (5) Alaphilippe 33/1, Useful hurdler who hasn't stood much racing in recent seasons and ran poorly returned to this sphere at Chepstow last time. Need cheekpieces to perk him up. Dropped out tamely last time; tries cheekpieces but best days look behind him. |
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12th (7)  (28/1 -12%)Punta Del Este |
28/1(-12%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (7) Punta Del Este 28/1, Well backed before getting off the mark for current connections in a 7-runner handicap hurdle at Haydock in December but pulled up there last time. Not one to write off with tongue tie now fitted. Impressive over 2m3f; perhaps something came to light after weakening over 3m latest. |
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|PU| (9)  (4/1 +33%)Lord Snootie |
4/1(+33%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (9) Lord Snootie 4/1, Improver when sent handicapping last season, scoring over 3¼m at Warwick, and he ran a cracker when a strong-finishing second to Cuthbert Dibble at Haydock (3m) last time. Very much one to consider. Perhaps unlucky at Haydock and the winner finished third at Cheltenham on Thursday. |
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|PU| (16)  (9/1 -38%)Seefin |
9/1(-38%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (16) Seefin 9/1, Much improved upped in trip/switched to handicaps, making it three from his last four starts when landing a 7-runner event at Warwick 54 days ago. Has presumably been saved for this, so should go well. Hasn't looked back since sent handicapping at about 3m; stable in red-hot form. |
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|PU| (10)  (20/1 -67%)Classic Concorde |
20/1(-67%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (10) Classic Concorde 20/1, Into the veteran stage of his career but has thrived this season, winning 6 times, the latest coming in comfortable fashion at Chepstow (with several of these rivals behind him). Can't be dismissed in current mood. Often leads; some feat for an 11yo to have won 6 of his last 8 starts; no knocking him. |
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|PU| (15)  (20/1 -43%)Striking A Pose |
20/1(-43%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (15) Striking A Pose 20/1, Revitalised lately, landing a double at Exeter. Was well on top last time but he tends to run his best races at that track, so could prove vulnerable in this stronger race. On a hat-trick and impressed last time, though going left-handed might not be ideal. |
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|PU| (6)  (33/1 +18%)Glimpse Of Gala |
33/1(+18%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (6) Glimpse Of Gala 33/1, Generally consistent and got back on track when fifth to Classic Concorde in handicap at Chepstow last time, finishing well. Not completely dismissed. Will like the ground; did run in snatches when fifth to Classic Concorde at Chepstow. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
WHITE RHINO was quietly fancied for the Pertemps Final after progressing at a rate of knots this campaign and the progressive six-year-old, who arguably put in his best performance yet when third in a qualifier at Huntingdon, can gain some compensation for narrowly missing the Festival cut. Saint Davy stuck his neck out to win a premier handicap at Sandown and is open to plenty more improvement. Classic Concorde, well behind the selection at Huntingdon, bounced back to account for Supremely West at Chepstow. Lord Snootie, Hititi and smart chaser Elvis Mail are just a few more to consider.
GWENNIE MAY BOY comfortably saw off an improving stablemate with the pair a long way clear at Bangor 17 days ago, so there's a good chance he can defy a small rise to collect another big handicap pot for his shrewd yard. Lord Snootie is a big threat on the back of a staying-on second at Haydock and the progressive Saint Davy demands plenty of respect.
In an open handicap the suggestion is LORD SNOOTIE whose second at Haydock was franked in a big way this week at Cheltenham.
Class & Speed Card
| Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (2)  (18/1 +10%)Beauport |
18/1(+10%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (2) Beauport 18/1, Progressive over hurdles and made a winning chase debut at Carlisle on return last season. Largely underwhelming since, however, pulled up in Classic Chase at Warwick latest. Capable stayer on his day but it's hard to know for sure which Beauport will turn up. |
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2nd (1)  (6/1 +0%)Mr Incredible |
6/1(+0%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (1) Mr Incredible 6/1, Has his quirks (has refused to race) but also a ton of ability, placed in valuable staying handicap chases at Warwick/Cheltenham last season. Not seen since unseating rider in Grand National 11 months ago but will stay and has it in him to run a huge race. No sign of old quirks since joining this yard and has placed form in staying chases. |
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3rd (10)  (5/1 +29%)My Silver Lining |
5/1(+29%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (10) My Silver Lining 5/1, Progressive mare who relished the increased test of stamina when bagging her fourth chase win in the Classic Chase at Warwick (29f, soft), digging deep. Excellent second in Grand National Trial at Haydock since (6 lengths ahead of Iron Bridge but 4 lb worse off here) and solid claims. Much improved during an admirably consistent campaign thus far; plenty again in her favour. |
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4th (6)  (11/2 +31%)Autonomous Cloud |
11/2(+31%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (6) Autonomous Cloud 11/2, Progressive chaser who landed back-to-back 3m handicaps here 8 months apart, including on return. Said to have bled when pulled up in Welsh National (sent off favourite) at Chepstow in December. No surprise to see him bounce back after a break. Tongue strap on 1st time. Dual course winner; bled in the Welsh National; big shout if the wheels stay on this time. |
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5th (5)  (11/1 +45%)Farceur Du Large |
11/1(+45%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (5) Farceur Du Large 11/1, Useful at his best in Ireland. Lost his way a little over there but showed he retains all his ability when winning both starts for his new stable at Sandown (for Military amateur jockeys). Stamina is the big question mark (unproven beyond 3m). Could be interesting after surging back to form in two military chases at Sandown. |
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6th (13)  (25/1 -25%)Gold Clermont |
25/1(-25%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (13) Gold Clermont 25/1, Enhanced a good strike rate over fences for current yard with a career-best win at Fontwell (28f) and backed that up with good fourth in the Eider at Newcastle (33.2f, soft) 3 weeks ago, coming from further back than the others in the frame. This looks too tough, however (7 lb out of the weights). In form and 4th in the 4m1f Eider latest; however, 9lb out of the handicap here. |
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7th (12)  (25/1 +0%)Foxboro |
25/1(+0%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (12) Foxboro 25/1, Bagged handicap chases at Fontwell and Newbury last season and back to form with a bang when producing a career-best win at Exeter (30.7f, heavy) in December. However, laboured efforts next 2 starts so needs to bounce back. Strong stayer but inconsistent and has finished tailed off the last twice. |
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8th (8)  (12/1 +14%)Ask Me Early |
12/1(+14%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (8) Ask Me Early 12/1, Temperamental, low-mileage 10-y-o who ran no sort of race when one of the market leaders in last season's Welsh National at Chepstow. Back to form in first-time headgear when winning veterans event at Exeter 5 weeks ago but will find this much more demanding. Cheekpieces did the trick on heavy at Exeter; up 7lb and has to be every bit as good again. |
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9th (4)  (22/1 -22%)Truckers Lodge |
22/1(-22%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (4) Truckers Lodge 22/1, Veteran who won this as a novice 4 years ago off 2 lb higher. Proved he retains plenty of ability when winning London National at Sandown in December. Might have found Welsh National coming too soon but this probably too competitive for him nowadays (no better than 6th in last 3 renewals). Former winner of this but powers are on the wane despite December's Sandown success. |
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10th (7)  (15/2 +25%)Guetapan Collonges |
15/2(+25%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (7) Guetapan Collonges 15/2, Developed into a useful staying handicap chaser last season and resumed progress when winning at Carlisle on return. Has continued in good heart, placed in Premier handicaps at Cheltenham and Warwick. However, didn't stay so thoroughly as some when fourth in this last year. Tongue strap on 1st time. Reliable in these staying chases but was a remote 4th last year when 3lb lower. |
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11th (11)  (15/2 +81%)Young Dev |
15/2(+81%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (11) Young Dev 15/2, Seemingly not as good as he was and mixed record over fences this season, though did score at Navan (3m, heavy) last month and not disgraced in veterans event at Limerick (22.5f) last week. This marathon test will suit (second in this 2 years ago off 11 lb higher) so each-way player. Recent winner but below the form he showed when runner-up in this two years ago. |
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|PU| (3)  (9/2 +25%)Iron Bridge |
9/2(+25%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (3) Iron Bridge 9/2, Bumper/dual hurdle winner who quickly developed into a smart chaser last season. All the better for return when best of the rest behind Nassalam in Welsh National at Chepstow over Christmas before excellent third in Grand National Trial at Haydock since. Much respected. Placed in notable staying chases last twice and this test should be right up his street. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Mr Incredible was still right in contention in last year's Grand National when unseating his rider after the saddle slipped at the Canal Turn. Reported to be working nicely at the weights launch for this year's renewal, this would still require a big effort on his seasonal return with conditions likely to be very testing. My Silver Lining landed the Classic Chase at Warwick before finishing second in Haydock's Grand National Trial when ahead of Iron Bridge (third) and the pair are likely to be very competitive once again. The vote, though, goes to AUTONOMOUS CLOUD, who remains an unexposed quantity and is 2-3 at this track. He has ground conditions to suit and the first-time tongue-tie could help following his no-show in the Welsh equivalent.
Traditionally one of the most gruelling races of the season, which will suit IRON BRIDGE, who got tapped for toe at a crucial stage when third in the Grand National Trial at Haydock last month. He can provide his yard with a third win in this race at the main expense of the likeable My Silver Lining, who was 6 lengths ahead of the selection that day but is now 4 lb worse off. Autonomous Cloud completes the shortlist.
While no top weight has won this since Bonanza Boy, you wouldn't put it past Mr Mullins snapping that trend with MR INCREDIBLE (nap).
Class & Speed Card
| Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (3)  (16/1 -33%)Regal Blue |
16/1(-33%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (3) Regal Blue 16/1, Didn't kick on over hurdles but has found improvement over the larger obstacles, scoring at the fourth time of asking in Haydock handicap last month. However, he jumped ponderously when pulled up at Wincanton 9 days ago, so he needs to get back on the up. Has potential over this far but can make mistakes and has become hard to predict. |
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2nd (2)  (3/1 +75%)The Changing Man |
3/1(+75%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (2) The Changing Man 3/1, Progressive over hurdles and took a further step forward when splitting Stay Away Fay and Grey Dawning on chase debut at Exeter in November. Hasn't gone on from that effort, bad mistake 5 out when fourth of 6 on handicap bow back at Exeter last time, but he remains one to note. Best chase run was first time out; made a bad mistake when favourite for h'cap last time. |
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3rd (7)  (4/1 +20%)Val Dancer |
4/1(+20%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (7) Val Dancer 4/1, In first-time cheekpieces, much improved from his chase debut when justifying support in handicap at Leicester in December and has scored at Wetherby and Catterick since. Wasn't always fluent last time, but he battled well and isn't dismissed lightly in his bid for the 4-timer. 3-3 in the cheekpieces but he's up in grade this time and could meet his match. |
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4th (6)  (4/1 +43%)Hauraki Gulf |
4/1(+43%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (6) Hauraki Gulf 4/1, Bumper winner on debut who ran to a fair level without getting his head in front over hurdles. However, he bettered that form when making a winning start over fences at Sedgefield and has scored again at Leicester since. This is tougher but he can give another good account. Progressive and just a question of whether he can deal with today's classier opposition. |
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5th (4)  (9/1 +44%)Christopher Wood |
9/1(+44%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (4) Christopher Wood 9/1, Useful winning hurdler but not quite as good in this sphere. However, he ran well when third in Edinburgh National at Musselburgh, before making mistakes when only ninth in Newcastle's Eider since. More needed as he drops back down in trip with cheekpieces reapplied. Extreme distances too far the last twice and he's dropped to a good mark. |
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|PU| (5)  (7/2 -40%)Evies Vladimir |
7/2(-40%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (5) Evies Vladimir 7/2, Has shown improved form this season, doubling his tally with a ready success in handicap at Fairyhouse in February. Continued in good heart when third in listed handicap at Naas 20 days ago and this Irish raider looks a major player for his respected yard. Running well and suspicion that this longer trip could spike a personal best. |
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|PU| (8)  (17/2 -21%)Fortunefavorsdbold |
17/2(-21%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (8) Fortunefavorsdbold 17/2, Fair winning hurdler in Ireland and left previous form for this yard well behind when landing a handicap chase in first-time cheekpieces at Huntingdon last month. Had plenty to spare when following up at Lingfield 11 days ago, so she could do better still over fences. Has won her last two over trips just shy of this one; into a deeper race after a 5lb rise. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
Gavin Cromwell has done particularly well with placing his horses in the UK this season and he may well have found another excellent opportunity to strike with EVIES VLADIMIR. An easy winner of his penultimate start at Fairyhouse, he was outpaced before staying on again to finish third in a stronger contest at Naas over 2m4f last month and the step up in trip appears likely to see him in a better light. Val Dancer arrives in search of four victories on the bounce following his latest win when just prevailing at Catterick, while Fortunefavorsdbold, who is unbeaten in two starts over fences, is another likely to enter calculations.
EVIES VLADIMIR has been going the right way during the current campaign, running well behind an improver when third in listed handicap at Naas on his latest outing, so he could be able to provide Gavin Cromwell with another success in Britain this season. It still remains early days for The Changing Man in handicaps and he is next on the list, ahead of Fortunefavorsdbold.
Not the strongest renewal and THE CHANGING MAN has a nice bit of class about him. There was an excuse last time at Exeter.
Class & Speed Card
| Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (3)  (11/2 -10%)Jupiter Du Gite |
11/2(-10%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (3) Jupiter Du Gite 11/2, Not straightforward but benefited from switch to fences when runner-up at Hereford on chasing debut (keen again). Needs to settle up in trip but looks well worthy of consideration. Back on track switched to fences when second over 2m latest; stamina to prove up in trip. |
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2nd (1)  (6/1 +20%)Hymac |
6/1(+20%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (1) Hymac 6/1, Still low mileage for his age and showed a fairly useful level of ability when placed in a pair of novice/maiden hurdles last season. Improved from chase debut when third of 9 in handicap at Taunton (23f, good to soft) 93 days ago. Player for all drop back in trip here isn't of obvious benefit. Good third over 2m7f at Taunton latest; claims if in similar form three months on. |
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3rd (7)  (7/2 +30%)Nine Nine Nine |
7/2(+30%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (7) Nine Nine Nine 7/2, Off the mark at Leicester in January before doubling his tally there last week, albeit the race somewhat falling into his lap. More needed to make a significant impact in this company from just out of the weights. Dual Leicester winner this year but steps up in class here. |
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4th (5)  (11/2 -10%)Good Work |
11/2(-10%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (5) Good Work 11/2, Frustrating sort has finished runner-up on 8 of his last 11 starts, outbattled once again when runner-up in a 6-runner handicap chase at Haydock (19.9f, heavy) 28 days ago. Place claims again but surely best treated with caution for win purposes. Second ten times, including last twice; should figure but others stronger for win again. |
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5th (6)  (12/1 +14%)Easy Bucks |
12/1(+14%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (6) Easy Bucks 12/1, Better than ever returning from 15 months off when making a winning debut for John Joseph Hanlon at Punchestown but not quite as much promise in pair outings since rejoining Peter Bowen, only making late gains when sixth of 12 in handicap chase at Newcastle (33.2f, soft, 66/1) 21 days ago. Quickly rejoined this yard after Irish win in January; sixth in Eider latest; down in trip. |
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|F| (2)  (22/1 -193%)Carbon King |
22/1(-193%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (2) Carbon King 22/1, Three-time winner over hurdles in Ireland last season but December's win at Ffos Las rates as a clear standout amongst his efforts this term and others are preferred. Chase win at Ffos Las in December surrounded by pulled-up efforts; hard to predict. |
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|U| (4)  (2/1 -23%)Bolsover Bill |
2/1(-23%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (4) Bolsover Bill 2/1, Won 4 times for Warren Greatrex last season and has continued to thrive for current yard, landing back-to-back handicaps at Exeter in January under this rider. Should go close to bringing up the hat-trick from 8 lb higher mark. Form of two Exeter wins in January boosted and this 7yo can make it 3-3 for Harry Derham. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
BOLSOVER BILL has won both starts since joining the Harry Derham stable and an 8lb rise for the most recent of those victories may not be enough to stop him here. Good Work has been knocking hard on the door of late and could prove to be the main threat to the selection, ahead of Nine Nine Nine and Jupiter Du Gite.
The prolific BOLSOVER BILL is a really likeable sort for one at this level and can maintain his unbeaten start for the Harry Derham yard. Point winner Hymac is still very lightly raced for his age and isn't ruled out of stepping forward again on his third chase outing, albeit he's perhaps better suited to 3m, whilst Jupiter du Gite made a sound start over fences last time and wouldn't be out of things if his headstrong ways don't prove too much of an issue.
The form of BOLSOVER BILL's second Exeter success has been strongly boosted and he can make it 3-3 since joining Harry Derham.
Class & Speed Card
| Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (2)  (7/2 +22%)Lieutenant Mayne |
7/2(+22%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (2) Lieutenant Mayne 7/2, Third in sole point last February and looked potentially useful when making a winning start under Rules in a Musselburgh bumper in January. Open to progress. After getting outpaced he was strong at the finish to win by 5l at Musselburgh (soft). |
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2nd (3)  (9/2 -35%)Peacenik |
9/2(-35%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (3) Peacenik 9/2, £50,000 Mount Nelson gelding who produced a promising first effort when 7 lengths second at Exeter (17f, heavy) in February. Should go well again. Runner-up at Exeter and the winner ran at Cheltenham on Wednesday (finished 12th). |
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3rd (1)  (6/5 +20%)Captain Bellamy |
6/5(+20%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (1) Captain Bellamy 6/5, Very easy winner of sole start in Irish points in April and it was a similar story on his Rules debut in a Chepstow bumper in October. Bombed out in a 13-runner Ascot listed race 2 months later but the fact he went off at only 5/2 suggests he's held in good regard by his top yard. This is way easier than the strong Listed race he ran in at Ascot in December. |
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4th (5)  (6/1 -50%)The Ron Do Ron |
6/1(-50%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (5) The Ron Do Ron 6/1, Golden Horn gelding who ran to a fair level when 6 lengths fourth on his Kempton debut in February. May do better. Nice Kempton debut (4th); 4yo getting weight off his rivals and couldn't rule out. |
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5th (4)  (11/1 -83%)Luna De Castana |
11/1(-83%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (4) Luna De Castana 11/1, Well-backed 100/30 shot but ran green when well-held third of 11 on Wetherby debut (heavy) in January. Should be wiser now. Beaten 18l behind a good horse at Wetherby; went off short in the betting; can do better. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
CAPTAIN BELLAMY failed to fire in Listed company at Ascot last time but his previous success at Chepstow suggests that he may have able to bounce back here. Peacenik chased home a talented stablemate of the selection on his racecourse bow at Exeter and he should not be discounted as a result, while Lieutenant Mayne also merits a place on the shortlist.
A small field but it's an interesting bumper. CAPTAIN BELLAMY would appear to be held in high regard by the Paul Nicholls yard so is given another chance 12 weeks on from flopping in an Ascot listed race. Fellow bumper winner Lieutenant Mayne looks capable of better and is second choice ahead of Exeter runner-up Peacenik.
All five can be given a chance but CAPTAIN BELLAMY had looked a nice prospect before getting outpaced in a good Listed race at Ascot.
Ths is the racecard key.
| Icon | Meaning |
|---|---|
 | TomForm top stats, gold rated |
 | TomForm top stats silver rated |
 | Ran similar race before |
| S | TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out |
| T | Top Time speeed rated |
 | Top Racingpost rated |
 | At the races watchout for |
 | At the races top pick |
 | Top rated for thet statistic |
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
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