Tipperary Races & Results Tomform Wednesday 5th July 2023

There were 40 Races on Wednesday 5th July 2023 across 6 meetings. There was 6 races at Musselburgh, 6 races at Worcester, 8 races at Tipperary, 8 races at Thirsk, 6 races at Epsom, 6 races at Bath, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Wednesday 5th July 2023

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

16:35 Tipperary Stakes 5f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Speed Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
5
1st (5) Lady Tilbury (0.73/1 +47%)
Lady Tilbury

0.73
0.73/1(+47%)
(5) Lady Tilbury 0.73/1, C&D winner who posted another creditable effort when fifth of 10 in listed race (10/1) at the Curragh (6f, good to firm) 3 days ago. Leading contender.
Solid recent Listed form makes her a leading player here down in grade.
2
2nd (2) Harmony Rose (3.5/1 +13%)
Harmony Rose

3.5
3.5/1(+13%)
(2) Harmony Rose 3.5/1, Useful filly. Latest win at Dundalk in February. Below par at the Curragh 3 days ago but in calmer waters now and merits consideration.
Rockingham also-ran on Sunday but prospects on earlier Cork Listed fourth.
1
3rd (1) Catherine Of Siena (6/1 -100%)
Catherine Of Siena

6
6/1(-100%)
(1) Catherine Of Siena 6/1, Useful filly. Found improvement when neck second of 13 in listed race at Chelmsford City (6f, 11/1) 69 days ago. Big player if in same form returned to turf here.
Narrow Chelmsford defeat a career-best; won't want rain.
6
4th (6) Maggie McGrath (28/1 -100%)
Maggie McGrath

28
28/1(-100%)
(6) Maggie McGrath 28/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 7/2, good length second of 8 to Catherine of Siena in minor event at Dundalk (5f). Off 6 months. Work to do on return.
Belated seasonal return and would be better treated in a handicap.
4
5th (4) Parting Glass (12/1 +14%)
Parting Glass

12
12/1(+14%)
(4) Parting Glass 12/1, Lightly-raced winner. 1 win from 3 runs this year. Bit below form fifth of 10 in handicap at Cork (5f, good to soft, 5/2) 19 days ago. Tongue strap back on. Plenty to find on form.
Excuses last time but stiff task awaits at these weights; yard in form.
3
6th (3) Mount Ruapehu (16/1 -45%)
Mount Ruapehu

16
16/1(-45%)
(3) Mount Ruapehu 16/1, Fairly useful gelding. 18/1, creditable second of 10 in handicap at Cork (5f, good to soft) 19 days ago, Work to do with principals here.
Seasonal-best at Cork last month but has a fair bit to find at the weights here.
LTO Selection:

16:35 Tipperary Stakes 5f Race Speed Rating Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's race.

CATHERINE OF SIENA could be rewarded for her enduring consistency. Kevin Coleman's charge hasn't been out of the places since July last year. During that time, she has bagged sprint victories in Dundalk and was last seen being pipped by a neck in a Listed race at Chelmsford City in April. The one caveat is that she has been extensively campaigned on all-weather surfaces since November and has to show she is as effective on turf. Lady Tilbury is best in at the weights and could profit if fully recovered from Sunday's exertions in fifth in a Listed race at the Curragh. Harmony Rose was in decent nick before failing to make an impression in the ultra-competitive Rockingham on Sunday. She is entitled to be in the hunt for prize money off her mark. Parting Glass has plenty of ability, but faces a stiff task at these weights.

This can go to LADY TILBURY, who has acquitted herself well in listed company in recent starts. Catherine of Siena and Harmony Rose are the obvious dangers.

Quite highly tried of late LADY TILBURY (nap) can take advantage of this drop in class


17:05 Tipperary Listed 5f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Speed Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
2
1st (2) Son Of Corballis (25/1 -25%)
Son Of Corballis

25
25/1(-25%)
(2) Son Of Corballis 25/1, Debut wonner here in April, 11¼ lengths seventh of 10 to Elite Status in listed race at Sandown (5f, good to firm) 41 days ago, slowly away. Cheekpieces on first time.
Excuses from bad draw at Sandown; don't rule out C&D winner.
1
2nd (1) Alabama (1.1/1 +0%)
Alabama

1.1
1.1/1(+0%)
(1) Alabama 1.1/1, Promising type. Blinkered for first time, 4 lengths fifth of 23 to Big Evs in listed Windsor Castle Stakes at Royal Ascot (5f, good to firm, 25/1) 14 days ago, first home in group. Should progress and he's a big player.
Windsor Castle run makes him a major player here.
4
2nd (4) Gaenari (8/1 +11%)
Gaenari

8
8/1(+11%)
(4) Gaenari 8/1, Backed at long odds and found only one too good in a big-field maiden at the Curragh (6f, good to soft) on debut 40 days ago. More to come but this is a tough ask.
Plenty green when just denied on debut; back in trip here and not one to rule out.
8
4th (8) Tiger Belle (7.5/1 +25%)
Tiger Belle

7.5
7.5/1(+25%)
(8) Tiger Belle 7.5/1, Winning debut at Cork in May. Better form when second of 9 in novice event at this C&D (good, 3/1) 36 days ago, clear of rest. Can remain competitive.
C&D second a likeable filly, should run well again.
9
5th (9) Ziggy's Dream (16/1 +20%)
Ziggy's Dream

16
16/1(+20%)
(9) Ziggy's Dream 16/1, Lnew her job when justifying support at Doncaster in April. 17 lengths ninth of 10 to Ramatuelle in Prix du Bois (21/1) at Chantilly (6f, good to firm) 17 days ago and this isn't an easy race to bounce back in.
Best form at 5f on easy ground so would appreciate any rain.
5
6th (5) Gunzburg (1.88/1 +16%)
Gunzburg

1.88
1.88/1(+16%)
(5) Gunzburg 1.88/1, Maiden winner on second start and excellent 1¾ lengths second of 7 to Matrika in Airlie Stud Stakes at the Curragh (6f, good) on Saturday. Will take the beating if she's in that sort of form back at 5f.
Saturday's Group 2 second drops in trip; major claims.
3
7th (3) Blame Thechampagne (66/1 -32%)
Blame Thechampagne

66
66/1(-32%)
(3) Blame Thechampagne 66/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Below form fifth of 14 in maiden at Down Royal (7f, good, 10/3) 12 days ago. Back down in trip and this is a difficult ask inn first-time blinkers.
Maiden after five starts; blinkers will need to bring about improvement.
6
8th (6) Mary The Priest (33/1 +0%)
Mary The Priest

33
33/1(+0%)
(6) Mary The Priest 33/1, Put experience to good use when landing a maiden at Listowel last month. Respectable fourth of 12 in novice event at Leopardstown (7.2f, good) 13 days ago, doing too much too soon. Significantly back down in trip. Stable having good spell. Hood off.
Best form over further, not sure this drop in trip will suit.
LTO Selection:

17:05 Tipperary Listed 5f Race Speed Rating Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's race.

ALABAMA was drawn on the wrong side in the Listed Windsor Castle Stakes at Royal Ascot, so his fifth place can be marked up. He led home the low-drawn numbers, but finished behind horses drawn 19, 15, 16 and 18. The blinkers that were enlisted for the first time there have been retained. Gunzburg is a very speedy filly as evidenced by her Down Royal success over the flying 5f and her runner-up spot in a Group 2 at the Curragh on Saturday. Tiger Belle showed plenty of dash to win at Cork before finishing second over C&D at the end of May, while Gaenari was only headed close home on debut at the Curragh after attracting plenty of support.

ALABAMA led home his group when fifth in the Windsor Castle a fortnight ago and with his limit unlikely to have been reached, he looks the way to go. Gunzburg took a leap forward when runner-up in a Group 2 at the Curragh on Saturday and is a major player if turned out quickly, with Tiger Belle completing the shortlist.

Having finished clear of those racing on the far side at Ascot, Windsor Castle fifth ALABAMA looks the one to beat


17:40 Tipperary Handicap 5f - 16 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Speed Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
12
1st (12) Havana Notion (8/1 -60%)
Havana Notion

8
8/1(-60%)
(12) Havana Notion 8/1, Respectable fifth of 12 in handicap at Down Royal (5f, good, 9/2) 12 days ago. Doesn't look straightforward.
Expensive to follow but can't be ruled out on recent form.
1
2nd (1) Mymomentintime (2.5/1 +50%)
Mymomentintime

2.5
2.5/1(+50%)
(1) Mymomentintime 2.5/1, Wide-margin winner at the Curragh in October. Excellent third of 19 in handicap at Naas (5f, good) 60 days ago. Right in the picture down slightly in class.
Naas third reads well and last year's third will appreciate any rain.
9
3rd (9) Coco Hill (25/1 -25%)
Coco Hill

25
25/1(-25%)
(9) Coco Hill 25/1, Cheekpieces on for first time, ninth of 12 in handicap at Down Royal (5f, good, 12/1) 12 days ago. Needs to leave that run well behind.
Tame effort latest but previous C&D third would put him in the mix.
5
4th (5) Not Too Real Bad (9/1 -64%)
Not Too Real Bad

9
9/1(-64%)
(5) Not Too Real Bad 9/1, Two wins from 6 runs this year. Latest win at Cork in May. Respectable fourth of 10 in handicap at Cork (5f, good to soft, 8/1) 19 days ago.
Needs more luck in running than of late; big chance if she gets it.
2
5th (2) Hypernova (22/1 -83%)
Hypernova

22
22/1(-83%)
(2) Hypernova 22/1, Blinkered for first time, fifth of 8 in handicap (18/1) at Fairyhouse (6f, good to firm) 26 days ago. Needs to build on that.
Recent turf efforts (blinkered last time) leave him with a bit to find.
11
6th (11) Inventor (7.5/1 +25%)
Inventor

7.5
7.5/1(+25%)
(11) Inventor 7.5/1, C&D winner. Respectable sixth of 14 in handicap (16/1) at Limerick (6.7f, good to soft) 21 days ago. Back down in trip.
Last year's second shaped nicely at Limerick last time and down to a nice mark.
4
7th (4) Nordic Passage (8/1 +50%)
Nordic Passage

8
8/1(+50%)
(4) Nordic Passage 8/1, Twenty two runs since last win in 2020. 11/2, eighth of 12 in handicap at Down Royal (5f, good) 12 days ago. Continues to fall in the weights without showing any sign of taking advantage.
Yet to hit form this term; down to career-low mark now so not one to rule out.
13
8th (13) Maggie Thunder (12/1 +64%)
Maggie Thunder

12
12/1(+64%)
(13) Maggie Thunder 12/1, Twenty runs since last win in 2021. Last of 19 in handicap at Navan (5f, good to soft, 11/1) 24 days ago.
Maiden on turf, two moderate runs last month; others preferred.
14
9th (14) Realtin Fantasy (6/1 +33%)
Realtin Fantasy

6
6/1(+33%)
(14) Realtin Fantasy 6/1, C&D winner. One win from 29 Flat runs. 11/1, creditable eighth of 19 in handicap at Navan (5f, good to soft) 24 days ago.
Runs well here and handicapper giving her a chance.
10
10th (10) Cuala Bula (66/1 +18%)
Cuala Bula

66
66/1(+18%)
(10) Cuala Bula 66/1, Last of 18 in handicap at Fairyhouse (6f, good, 50/1) 34 days ago. Needs to cast that run aside.
Two runs this term for current yard have been poor; hard to fancy.
7
11th (7) Rathbranchurch (12/1 -118%)
Rathbranchurch

12
12/1(-118%)
(7) Rathbranchurch 12/1, Creditable fourth of 12 in handicap (5/1) at Down Royal (5f, good) 12 days ago. Can give a good account.
Consistent sort should again run his race and won't mind any rain.
6
12th (6) Aloysius Lilius (22/1 -120%)
Aloysius Lilius

22
22/1(-120%)
(6) Aloysius Lilius 22/1, Bit below form fifth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (5f, 16/1). Off 138 days. First run for yard after leaving G. O'Leary. Blinkers back on and one to monitor in the betting.
AW form last winter ordinary; first start for new yard and may need it.
16
13th (16) My Girl Sioux (16/1 +0%)
My Girl Sioux

16
16/1(+0%)
(16) My Girl Sioux 16/1, 8/1, below form seventh of 12 in handicap at Down Royal (5f, good) 12 days ago. Visor needs to sharpen her up.
Behind a couple of today's rivals at Down Royal last time; 8lb wrong here and visor tried.
8
14th (8) Daintree (18/1 +10%)
Daintree

18
18/1(+10%)
(8) Daintree 18/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. 20/1, below form tenth of 19 in handicap at Navan (5f, good to soft) 24 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Likely she needed that and she can step up on that. Usual visor left off.
Won on AW in 2022 but hasn't added to that and well held in three runs this year.
15
15th (15) Hilltop's Bear (50/1 +0%)
Hilltop's Bear

50
50/1(+0%)
(15) Hilltop's Bear 50/1, 33/1, thirteenth of 15 in handicap at Limerick (8f, good) 12 days ago. Significantly back down in trip. First run for yard after leaving James McAuley. Uphill task.
Plenty of improvement needed from two runs last month for James McAuley; 9lb wrong.
3
16th (3) Najat (40/1 +50%)
Najat

40
40/1(+50%)
(3) Najat 40/1, Last of 15 in handicap (100/1) at the Curragh (6f, good) 38 days ago. Lot to prove at present.
Irish form has been poor and hard to fancy despite reduced mark.
LTO Selection:

17:40 Tipperary Handicap 5f Race Speed Rating Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's race.

NOT TOO REAL BAD has been competing at a higher level in her last three starts. She was successful over this trip in Cork and wasn't beaten far into fourth at that venue on her latest outing, so should appreciate this company. Aloysius Lilius has switched stables since the retirement of trainer Gerard O'Leary. He has claims on his first start for Darren Bunyan as he is down to his last winning mark of 64 and Dean Curran claims 4lb. Rathbranchurch attempted to make all in Down Royal before dropping to fourth. He is drawn to attack in stall two and Sean Bird lessens his burden by 7lb. Mymomentintime ran third in a big-field sprint at Navan which brings him into contention and he has a Curragh victory from the end of last season in his locker.

MYMOMENTINTIME ran right up to his best when third at Naas in May and back from a short break, he could be the way to go. Rathbranchurch and Not Too Real Bad are viable threats, with Aloysius Lilius one to monitor in the betting starting out for a new yard.

Although she needs luck in running it may pay to side with NOT TOO REAL BAD here with Jamie Powell booked


18:10 Tipperary Stakes 8f - 5 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Speed Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (1) Spanish Flame (0.91/1 +24%)
Spanish Flame

0.91
0.91/1(+24%)
(1) Spanish Flame 0.91/1, Promising individual. Confirmed debut promise when running out a most impressive winner of a Roscommon maiden (7.2f) 5 weeks ago, produced to lead final 1f and soon clear. Big player again with prospect of more to come.
Takes on stronger opposition but is the only winner in the field, so given major respect.
2
2nd (2) Bremen (22/1 -175%)
Bremen

22
22/1(-175%)
(2) Bremen 22/1, Foaled May 30. Galileo colt. Brother to 3 winners, including smart 1¼m-1½m winner Warm Heart and useful 2-y-o 7f winner Celestial Object. Dam winner around 6f in Ireland and Australia (where won 3 Group 1 events). Interesting newcomer.
Well-bred sort represents a yard doing well with its juveniles; needs market check.
3
3rd (3) Chicago Fireball (14/1 -75%)
Chicago Fireball

14
14/1(-75%)
(3) Chicago Fireball 14/1, Acclamation colt. Showed plenty to work on when fourth of 8 in maiden (11/1) at the Curragh (7f, good) on debut 28 days ago, not clear run entering final 1f and keeping on. Open to progress.
Has 3/4l to find with Portland from debut but should have improved since and is a player.
4
4th (4) Portland (1.2/1 +31%)
Portland

1.2
1.2/1(+31%)
(4) Portland 1.2/1, Son of Dubawi who is bred to be useful and showed ability amidst inexperience when third of 8 in maiden at the Curragh (7f) 4 weeks ago, keeping on without being unduly punished. Very much the type to have derived plenty from that and he's respected.
Ran a cracker on debut at the Curragh; should have improved from that and take high rank.
5
5th (5) Saxon Kingdom (66/1 -32%)
Saxon Kingdom

66
66/1(-32%)
(5) Saxon Kingdom 66/1, Foaled March 5. Saxon Warrior colt. Half-brother to 6f/7f winner Elegantly Bound and useful 5f winner Boundless Power. Dam, maiden (stayed 1m), out of half-sister to high-class 1m-1¼m winner (2-y-o 7f winner) Archipenko.
A 34,000euros vendor buyback at the sales; likely best watched on debut.
LTO Selection:

18:10 Tipperary Stakes 8f Race Speed Rating Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's race.

SPANISH FLAME was electric in Roscommon and can give weight away to the field. The Phoenix Of Spain colt stormed home by six lengths to mark himself out as a juvenile to follow and he holds an entry in the Group 1 National Stakes at the Curragh. Aidan O'Brien's juveniles are winning at a 37 per cent strike rate in Ireland this season, at the time of writing, and the champion trainer's Portland has to be given plenty of respect. He was a beaten favourite in third at the Curragh, but wasn't far off the winner. He looks sure to progress from that effort and has the same Group 1 entry. Jessica Harrington introduces Siyouni colt Versatile who has that National Stakes entry while Donnacha O'Brien's Galileo newcomer Bremen should be given a market check. Chicago Fireball was a place behind Portland at the Curragh and didn't go unbacked. He's another that could get in the mix for an in-form Johnny Murtagh.

SPANISH FLAME confirmed debut promise when running out an impressive winner of a Roscommon maiden 5 weeks ago and, with the prospect of more to come, he can concede weight all round and follow up. Portland, an encouraging third in a Curragh maiden himself last month is next best, with Versatile a newcomer to note.

PORTLAND is put forward as the solution. He can show the benefit of his Curragh debut and uphold that form with Chicago Fireball


18:40 Tipperary Handicap 8f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Speed Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
7
1st (7) Chestnutter (8.5/1 +23%)
Chestnutter

8.5
8.5/1(+23%)
(7) Chestnutter 8.5/1, 1 win from 3 runs this year. 16/1, improved on recent efforts to win 14-runner handicap at Leopardstown (7.2f, good) 13 days ago, staying on to lead again close home. Not out of things with a repeat.
Leopardstown winner up 4lb but still some way off her career-high; respected.
13
2nd (13) Finsceal Go Deo (12/1 +25%)
Finsceal Go Deo

12
12/1(+25%)
(13) Finsceal Go Deo 12/1, Creditable sixth of 16 in handicap at Gowran (7f, good to soft, 15/8) 43 days ago, badly hampered/stumbling over 1f out. Not one to write off.
Return to easier ground will suit and on a decent mark.
10
3rd (10) Linger For Longer (7.5/1 +38%)
Linger For Longer

7.5
7.5/1(+38%)
(10) Linger For Longer 7.5/1, Remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs. 11/1, creditable ¾-length second of 14 to Cnodian in handicap at Limerick (6.7f, good to soft) 21 days ago, finishing well. Not taken lightly.
Recent Limerick second to Cnodian puts her in the mix off just 1lb higher.
5
4th (5) Mere Accountant (9/1 +18%)
Mere Accountant

9
9/1(+18%)
(5) Mere Accountant 9/1, Lightly-raced winner. Visored for 1st time, ninth of 10 in handicap at Leopardstown (8f, good, 11/2) 13 days ago. Headgear quickly discarded now.
May still have more to offer and yard couldn't be in better form.
6
5th (6) Dazzling Spirit (6/1 +25%)
Dazzling Spirit

6
6/1(+25%)
(6) Dazzling Spirit 6/1, 6/1, fifth of 10 in handicap at Leopardstown (7.2f, good) 20 days ago, finishing well. Certainly looks capable of going close if cutting out the tardy starts.
Ran well after blowing the start last time; tongue-tie tried and could go well.
3
6th (3) Karlsberg (6.5/1 +7%)
Karlsberg

6.5
6.5/1(+7%)
(3) Karlsberg 6.5/1, C&D winner. Respectable seventh of 24 in handicap (6/1) at the Curragh (6f, soft) 65 days ago, keeping on again final 1f. Step back up in trip a plus here and fancied to give another good account in bid to follow up last year's victory.
Last year's winner in fair form but more needed and wants it softer.
14
7th (14) Soi Dao (33/1 -65%)
Soi Dao

33
33/1(-65%)
(14) Soi Dao 33/1, 9/1, tenth of 12 in handicap at Down Royal (5f, good) 12 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Others more persuasive.
Yet to make a serious impression for current trainer; more needed.
8
8th (8) Cnodian (6/1 +25%)
Cnodian

6
6/1(+25%)
(8) Cnodian 6/1, Latest win at Limerick in June. Creditable second of 13 in handicap (13/2) at Leopardstown (8f, good) 13 days ago. Can make presence felt.
Back to form of late and won't mind rain; definite contender.
11
9th (11) Maid To Shine (22/1 +12%)
Maid To Shine

22
22/1(+12%)
(11) Maid To Shine 22/1, Winner at Dundalk (7f) in February. Below form tenth of 20 in handicap (16/1) at Cork (7f, soft) 19 days ago, never better than midfield.
Never competitive under top-weight in lesser Cork contest latest; opposable.
4
10th (4) Sibyl Charm (6/1 +40%)
Sibyl Charm

6
6/1(+40%)
(4) Sibyl Charm 6/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 5/2, creditable third of 8 in maiden at Listowel (6.3f, good) 31 days ago. Return to further on handicap debut rates a likely plus now.
Handicap debutante on a fair mark and respected despite high draw.
9
11th (9) Speckled Meadow (25/1 -150%)
Speckled Meadow

25
25/1(-150%)
(9) Speckled Meadow 25/1, Career best when winning 16-runner handicap at Galway (7f, heavy, 3/1), suited by emphasis on stamina. Off 8 months. First run for yard after leaving Terence O'Brien and worth noting where she figures in the betting.
Progressive last autumn and runs well fresh so has to be respected.
2
12th (2) Fools Glory (6.5/1 -8%)
Fools Glory

6.5
6.5/1(-8%)
(2) Fools Glory 6.5/1, 5/1, creditable second of 8 in handicap at Gowran (8f, soft) 56 days ago, keeping on well and just failing. Not out of things with a repeat.
Gowran second likes it soft so will want rain.
12
13th (12) Roman Palace (22/1 +45%)
Roman Palace

22
22/1(+45%)
(12) Roman Palace 22/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 200/1, produced best effort to date when fourth of 14 in maiden at Fairyhouse (7f, good to firm) 26 days ago. Makes handicap debut now and interesting what the market makes of her.
Fairyhouse run was promising; opening mark looks quite attractive.
LTO Selection:

18:40 Tipperary Handicap 8f Race Speed Rating Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's race.

SIBYL CHARM could do some damage off a mark of 78 in her first handicap considering she has been placed in three of her four runs in maiden company. Cnodian appreciates cut in the ground and a deluge in Limerick played to her strengths when she won there last month. She handled better ground when keeping on for second at Leopardstown, though, after a less than clear route. Lady Arwen built upon a Curragh runner-up berth to oblige in Limerick and Jake Coen's 5lb claim is a big help to her. All the headgear was left off Chestnutter in Leopardstown and it worked the oracle as she made the breakthrough by a short head. If she is in the same mood, a 4lb rise shouldn't stop her. Linger For Longer wasn't far behind Cnodian in second at Limerick and, prior to that, was also second in Listowel, so she enters the equation. Fools Glory would welcome plenty of rain.

Any number of chances in a competitive fillies' handicap and with that in mind a chance is taken on DAZZLING SPIRIT. She needs to cut out the tardy starts but is certainly capable of going close from this sort of mark on the evidence of her last 2 starts and a good pace to aim at here will aid her cause. Linger For Longer, Lady Arwen and Cnodian head the dangers, ahead of last year's winner Karlsberg.

A very wide open handicap. LINGER FOR LONGER could find this trip ideal and gets the vote to reverse Limerick form with Cnodian


19:10 Tipperary Handicap 9f - 16 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Speed Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
9
1st (9) Miss Yvonne (5/1 -11%)
Miss Yvonne

5
5/1(-11%)
(9) Miss Yvonne 5/1, Good neck third of 15 to Amemri in handicap at Limerick (8f, good, 15/2) 12 days ago. Yard in good form. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Should go well again.
Went close in handicaps over 7f and 1m last twice; cheekpieces on up in trip; 4lb higher.
2
2nd (2) Alabama Pearl (7/1 +30%)
Alabama Pearl

7
7/1(+30%)
(2) Alabama Pearl 7/1, Blinkered for 1st time, respectable seventh of 16 in handicap (8/1) at Gowran (7f, good to soft) 43 days ago. Up in trip. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals.
Maiden but lots of decent runs over shorter; needs to improve for step-up in trip.
15
3rd (15) Amemri (5.5/1 +15%)
Amemri

5.5
5.5/1(+15%)
(15) Amemri 5.5/1, 2 wins from 6 runs this year. Career best when winning 15-runner handicap at Limerick (8f, good, 11/2) 12 days ago. Enters calculations.
Consistent filly won her second race when scoring over 1m at Limerick; up 3lb and in trip.
6
4th (6) Fratas (4.5/1 +25%)
Fratas

4.5
4.5/1(+25%)
(6) Fratas 4.5/1, 4/1, career best when winning 9-runner handicap at Ballinrobe (9.6f, good) 9 days ago, responding well. Still, others are more persuasive.
Got off the mark at Ballinrobe last time over similar trip; has to defy 7lb rise.
5
5th (5) Cruiscin Lan (7/1 -8%)
Cruiscin Lan

7
7/1(-8%)
(5) Cruiscin Lan 7/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 10/1, very good second of 7 in handicap at Limerick (11.5f, good to firm) 21 days ago, nearest finish. Down in trip. Needs a couple of these to falter.
Went close on handicap debut at Limerick last time; big player if handling drop in trip.
11
6th (11) Attrazione (50/1 -317%)
Attrazione

50
50/1(-317%)
(11) Attrazione 50/1, Creditable third of 7 in handicap (5/1) at Newcastle (7.1f), running on. Off 160 days. Back up in trip. First run for yard after leaving George Boughey.
Consistent on AW in UK for former yard; worth a market check on return.
4
7th (4) Bright Dick (33/1 -32%)
Bright Dick

33
33/1(-32%)
(4) Bright Dick 33/1, Last of 15 in handicap at Leopardstown (8f, good, 12/1) 27 days ago. Others preferred.
Maiden has run well a number of times, including here; has to rebound from a poor run.
8
8th (8) Jalo (11/1 +45%)
Jalo

11
11/1(+45%)
(8) Jalo 11/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Bit below form eighth of 15 in handicap (16/1) at Leopardstown (8f, good) 27 days ago. Others more persuasive.
Some decent runs in maidens and on handicap debut; dropped 3lb and of interest.
10
9th (10) Stepdance (50/1 +0%)
Stepdance

50
50/1(+0%)
(10) Stepdance 50/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Bit below form tenth of 16 in handicap (125/1) at Gowran (9.4f, good) 30 days ago.
Well beaten in two handicaps lately and only dropped 2lb for last time; risky.
12
10th (12) Flotus Radiance (14/1 +58%)
Flotus Radiance

14
14/1(+58%)
(12) Flotus Radiance 14/1, 16/1, ninth of 14 in handicap at Gowran (8f, good) 30 days ago. Others more persuasive.
Promise at Cork two starts ago but a lesser run at Gowran since; has to bounce back.
3
11th (3) Status Green (22/1 -57%)
Status Green

22
22/1(-57%)
(3) Status Green 22/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 80/1, sixth of 16 in maiden at Limerick (8f, good) 12 days ago, running on. Yard having good spell. Makes handicap debut and improvement could be on the way.
Best of three maiden runs came at Limerick last time over 1m; of interest on h'cap bow.
13
12th (13) Night Moon (33/1 +18%)
Night Moon

33
33/1(+18%)
(13) Night Moon 33/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Ninth of 10 in maiden (150/1) at Cork (8f, good) 49 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Makes handicap debut. Up against it.
Little sign of promise in three maiden runs and will have to show more with blinkers on.
7
13th (7) Burvea (80/1 -142%)
Burvea

80
80/1(-142%)
(7) Burvea 80/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Seventh of 9 in maiden (200/1) at Navan (10f, good to soft) 24 days ago. Makes handicap debut.
Has shown a hint of ability in four maidens; worth a market check on handicap debut.
16
14th (16) Tic Tac Toe (20/1 -43%)
Tic Tac Toe

20
20/1(-43%)
(16) Tic Tac Toe 20/1, 22/1, creditable fifth of 9 in handicap at Limerick (7f, good) 11 days ago, finding little. Up in trip. Not taken lightly.
Decent effort over 7f at Limerick last time; down 4lb but unproven over this trip.
1
15th (1) Quick Blessing (12/1 -20%)
Quick Blessing

12
12/1(-20%)
(1) Quick Blessing 12/1, Last of 9 in handicap at Ballinrobe (9.6f, good, 4/1) 9 days ago. Needs to bounce back.
Went close at Leopardstown but had an excuse for Ballinrobe flop; one to consider.
14
16th (14) Dappled Light (6/1 +8%)
Dappled Light

6
6/1(+8%)
(14) Dappled Light 6/1, 1 win from 3 runs this year. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, career best when winning 9-runner handicap at Killarney (8.1f, good to soft, 9/2) 50 days ago.
Showed improved form to win at Killarney after a break; cheekpieces retained; player.
LTO Selection:

19:10 Tipperary Handicap 9f Race Speed Rating Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's race.

FRATAS landed a gamble in Ballinrobe and has prospects of following up. She showed good resolution to see off the runner-up and encounters a similar trip here. Cruiscin Lan drops back in trip after finishing second over an extended 1m3f in Limerick. The winner of that race is now rated 73, so Cruiscin Lan should be a factor here if appreciating this trip. Dappled Light was produced on the line to win in Killarney, and the way he saw that race out over an extended 1m bodes well for this step up in trip. Amemri was all out to win over 1m in Limerick and now has an extra furlong to negotiate. Miss Yvonne rallied to be a close third behind Amemri and is one to note in first-time cheekpieces. Attrazione had some fair form in Britain and makes her Irish debut off a break of more than five months.

STATUS GREEN caught the eye when a staying-on sixth under a hands-and-heels ride in 1m Limerick maiden recently and, with improvement likely over this slightly longer trip now handicapping, he could be the answer. Miss Yvonne was a close third to Amemri at the aforementioned course and, now 3 lb better off with that respected rival, she is taken to reverse the placings and emerge as the main danger. Dappled Light, a winner at Killarney last time, is also shortlisted.

CRUISCIN LAN is a token pick. He is well-drawn and will likely go forward, considering his second over 1m3f at Limerick last time


19:45 Tipperary Handicap 12f - 14 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Speed Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
10
1st (10) No Hassle (3/1 +63%)
No Hassle

3
3/1(+63%)
(10) No Hassle 3/1, Good second of 13 in handicap (9/2) at Fairyhouse (12f, good) 19 days ago. Not discounted.
Just denied in handicaps at Cork and Fairyhouse; raised 4lb but should be bang there again.
2
2nd (2) Blackpoint (6/1 +29%)
Blackpoint

6
6/1(+29%)
(2) Blackpoint 6/1, 10/1, first run since leaving John E. Kiely when seventh of 8 in handicap at Limerick (12.3f, good) 11 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Should strip fitter for that and he's on a handy mark.
Never involved on return at Limerick but can improve from that; has run well here.
9
3rd (9) Hello Power (14/1 -100%)
Hello Power

14
14/1(-100%)
(9) Hello Power 14/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2022. 33/1, creditable fifth of 21 in handicap at Leopardstown (12f, good) 47 days ago, faring best of those held up. Can make presence felt.
Best run this year came at Leopardstown last time in a stronger race than this; a player.
4
4th (4) Zoffany Bay (11/1 +21%)
Zoffany Bay

11
11/1(+21%)
(4) Zoffany Bay 11/1, Pulled up in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (21.7f, soft, 14/1) 86 days ago. Up in trip. 4/6 on last Flat run. Hard to fancy.
Pulled-up over hurdles last twice; hasn't run on the Flat for over 3 years so questions.
8
5th (8) Deluca Chop (22/1 +33%)
Deluca Chop

22
22/1(+33%)
(8) Deluca Chop 22/1, 50/1, ninth of 12 in handicap at Gowran (8f, good to soft) 17 days ago, slowly away. Significantly back up in trip. Cheekpieces back on. Something to prove at present.
Won at Dundalk in February but has been well below that level since.
15
6th (15) Magi Gal (20/1 +39%)
Magi Gal

20
20/1(+39%)
(15) Magi Gal 20/1, Nineteen runs since last win in 2020. 12½ lengths twelfth of 16 to Bear Claws in handicap (25/1) at Limerick (11.3f, good) 12 days ago, slowly away.
Was 12l behind Bear Claws at Limerick last time; others preferred.
1
7th (1) Atlantic Island (33/1 +0%)
Atlantic Island

33
33/1(+0%)
(1) Atlantic Island 33/1, Below form eighth of 13 in handicap (40/1) at Gowran (9.4f, good) 30 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Others make more appeal.
Solid seasonal debut at Roscommon but hung and never got involved at Gowran; needs best.
3
8th (3) Surviving Murmansk (66/1 -65%)
Surviving Murmansk

66
66/1(-65%)
(3) Surviving Murmansk 66/1, Remains a maiden after 20 Flat runs. Twelfth of 17 in maiden at Leopardstown (15f, good, 300/1) 13 days ago. Others preferred.
Dropping in the handicap but still not enough to be of interest.
5
9th (5) Bear Claws (11/1 -57%)
Bear Claws

11
11/1(-57%)
(5) Bear Claws 11/1, Won 16-runner handicap at Limerick (11.3f, good, 33/1) 12 days ago, well on top finish. Should go well again.
Won over a bit shorter at Limerick last time; raised 8lb for that but can be competitive.
11
10th (11) Al Sayah (9/1 -29%)
Al Sayah

9
9/1(-29%)
(11) Al Sayah 9/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, fifth of 7 in handicap at Limerick (11.5f, good to firm, 12/1) 21 days ago, running on late. Open to improvement.
Kept on at Limerick last time making handicap/seasonal debut; cheekpieces retained.
6
11th (6) Bright Moment (8.5/1 -6%)
Bright Moment

8.5
8.5/1(-6%)
(6) Bright Moment 8.5/1, 2/1, tenth of 15 in handicap at Leopardstown (9f, good) 20 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Had been in good form prior to latest effort, so not completely dismissed.
Struck into when disappointing at Leopardstown last time; raised 3lb; player if at best.
12
12th (12) Supreme Law (12/1 -50%)
Supreme Law

12
12/1(-50%)
(12) Supreme Law 12/1, 8/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, ninth of 13 in handicap at Fairyhouse (12f, good) 19 days ago. Could bounce back quickly.
Ran poorly in a tongue-tie last time but that is left off today; chance if at best.
16
13th (16) Gloves Off (4.5/1 +36%)
Gloves Off

4.5
4.5/1(+36%)
(16) Gloves Off 4.5/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 12/1, good fourth of 22 in handicap at Leopardstown (9f, good) 13 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Yard in good form. Worthy of consideration.
Beaten 4.75l over 1m1f last time; if improving for this step-up in trip then can go close.
14
14th (14) Comeragh Belle (125/1 -150%)
Comeragh Belle

125
125/1(-150%)
(14) Comeragh Belle 125/1, Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, brought down in novice hurdle at Sligo (17.6f, good, 100/1) 22 days ago. Has little solid form.
Poor over hurdles recently and difficult to fancy on previous Flat efforts.
LTO Selection:

19:45 Tipperary Handicap 12f Race Speed Rating Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's race.

AL SAYAH ran on well for fifth, beaten just over two lengths, on handicap debut at Limerick and looks sure to appreciate this step up in trip. The first-time cheekpieces that were deployed in Limerick are retained for this assignment. No Hassle has been pipped by a short head at Cork and by a head in Fairyhouse, and he has solid claims particularly as the latter result came over 1m4f. The handicapper has raised him by 4lb, but he ought to be on the premises once again. There were valid excuses for Bright Moment's unplaced run at Leopardstown and it is worth noting that she posted two decent placed efforts before that. She tries a new trip and has stronger claims than most of the others. Bear Claws gave jockey Calum Hogan his first winner in Limerick and the pair have a shot at going in again.

AL SAYAH was doing some good late work when fifth at Limerick 3 weeks ago and, up in trip, she could find further improvement to open her account. Hello Power looks a danger and Bear Claws deserves respect having made a winning reappearance.

GLOVES OFF was noted running on at Leopardstown over 1m1f last time and is well drawn, so can score


20:20 Tipperary Handicap 12f - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Speed Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
7
1st (7) Belgoprince (8.5/1 -6%)
Belgoprince

8.5
8.5/1(-6%)
(7) Belgoprince 8.5/1, Eighth of 14 in handicap at Leopardstown (15f, good, 13/2) 20 days ago.
Best effort this season over 1m7f at Leopardstown last time; might find this a bit sharp.
12
2nd (12) Folly Beach (12/1 -20%)
Folly Beach

12
12/1(-20%)
(12) Folly Beach 12/1, Twelfth of 14 in handicap at Leopardstown (12.8f, good, 22/1) 27 days ago.
Well beaten from 8lb out of the handicap on Leopardstown return but this is more realistic.
3
3rd (3) French Company (7.5/1 +25%)
French Company

7.5
7.5/1(+25%)
(3) French Company 7.5/1, 9/1, creditable fifth of 13 in handicap at Fairyhouse (12f, good) 19 days ago. Respected.
Has been consistent in defeat lately; same mark as last time; should be involved.
11
4th (11) Wild Shot (4.5/1 +40%)
Wild Shot

4.5
4.5/1(+40%)
(11) Wild Shot 4.5/1, C&D winner. Good fourth of 12 in handicap at Down Royal (12.8f, good, 17/2) 11 days ago. Considered.
C&D winner; solid run at Down Royal last time and go well if building upon that.
1
5th (1) Liberated Light (4.5/1 +78%)
Liberated Light

4.5
4.5/1(+78%)
(1) Liberated Light 4.5/1, First run since leaving John Kiely when tenth of 14 in handicap at Listowel (16.2f, good, 14/1) 31 days ago. Down in trip. Engaged 7.20 Roscommon Tuesday.
Lost his way after 2yo year; should have improved from his seasonal debut at Listowel.
16
5th (16) On The Money (11/1 +21%)
On The Money

11
11/1(+21%)
(16) On The Money 11/1, Below form ninth of 15 in handicap (13/2) at Fairyhouse (12f, good to firm) 26 days ago. Stable in good form. Cheekpieces on 1st time.
Dropping in the weights but difficult to fancy on her recent efforts; cheekpieces tried..
2
7th (2) Darkened (9/1 +44%)
Darkened

9
9/1(+44%)
(2) Darkened 9/1, Course winner. 20/1, fourth of 7 in novice chase at Clonmel (16.3f, good) on debut over fences 26 days ago. Blinkers back on. Fair on the Flat, respectable on last Flat outing.
Won over 1m1f at this track last year; not bad runs on Flat and over fences lately.
14
8th (14) Itsalonglongroad (22/1 +21%)
Itsalonglongroad

22
22/1(+21%)
(14) Itsalonglongroad 22/1, Sixth of 16 in handicap at Limerick (11.3f, good, 33/1) 12 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time in this code.
Has been regressive in all codes this season and others preferred.
5
9th (5) Firm Belief (22/1 +21%)
Firm Belief

22
22/1(+21%)
(5) Firm Belief 22/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 66/1, twelfth of 13 in maiden at this course (12.5f, good) 36 days ago. Makes handicap debut.
Well beaten over C&D last time but worth a market look on handicap debut.
13
10th (13) Contrapposto (8.5/1 +15%)
Contrapposto

8.5
8.5/1(+15%)
(13) Contrapposto 8.5/1, One win from 41 Flat runs. Thirty eight runs since last win in 2016. 10/1, respectable sixth of 17 in handicap at this course (12.5f, good) 36 days ago.
Is just 1-39 on Flat turf; has to build upon his C&D sixth last time.
10
11th (10) Dreams Fled Away (50/1 -25%)
Dreams Fled Away

50
50/1(-25%)
(10) Dreams Fled Away 50/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Twenty second of 24 in maiden at the Curragh (10f, soft, 250/1). Off 9 months. Up in trip. Makes handicap debut.
Three starts last year; seasonal/handicap debut and is likely to improve from it.
8
12th (8) Angel Of The Pace (11/1 +39%)
Angel Of The Pace

11
11/1(+39%)
(8) Angel Of The Pace 11/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Eighth of 11 in maiden (50/1) at Killarney (8.1f, good to soft) 50 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Makes handicap debut.
Should be suited by the step-up in trip on handicap debut and needs a market check.
9
13th (9) Alfalfa (8/1 +64%)
Alfalfa

8
8/1(+64%)
(9) Alfalfa 8/1, 14/1, respectable tenth of 17 in handicap at this course (12.5f, good) 36 days ago.
Placed at Thurles on soft ground last year; has to improve from C&D seasonal debut.
LTO Selection:

20:20 Tipperary Handicap 12f Race Speed Rating Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's race.

John McConnell's WILD SHOT showed more when fourth in Down Royal last month and has claims of gaining his ninth victory on the Flat. He is on a mark 2lb lower than his last success which also came under jockey Siobhan Rutledge. Belgoprince was well backed over further in Leopardstown, but finished in mid-division. He has form in the book over this sort of trip and it wouldn't be a surprise to see him heavily involved. First-time cheekpieces might eke out a bit more from Pale Moonlight who was last seen finishing fourth at Gowran Park in April. McConnell's Miss Upbeat isn't without claims based on her penultimate outing when placed in a Tipperary handicap over a similar trip.

PALE MOONLIGHT has shaped quite well on both outings this season and might prove the answer to this tricky finale. Former C&D scorer Wild Shot is respected on the back of his recent Down Royal fourth. French Company has been fairly consistent lately and should also have a part to play. Thefaithfulindian has been given a chance by the handicapper in this sphere and completes the shortlist.

A chance is taken on ANGEL OF THE PACE to go in on handicap debut. She is bred to appreciate this trip.


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