Southwell Races & Results Tomform Thursday 21st December 2023

There were 24 Races on Thursday 21st December 2023 across 3 meetings. There was 7 races at Exeter, 8 races at Southwell, 9 races at Chelmsford-City, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Thursday 21st December 2023

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

14:38 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 16f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
2
1st (2) Caldwell (6/1 +33%)
Caldwell

6
6/1(+33%)
(2) Caldwell 6/1, 9/1, first run since leaving Lucinda Russell (2,000 gns) when tenth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 29 days ago. Significantly back up in trip.
Has been on the downgrade for some time and no improvement for the switch to this stable.
10
2nd (10) Easy Equation (9/4 +50%)
Easy Equation

2.25
9/4(+50%)
(10) Easy Equation 9/4, C&D winner. Wasted no time getting back to form when third of 7 in handicap at this C&D (12/1) in October. First run for yard after leaving J. S. Moore. Has to be taken seriously.
Record over C&D is 141533; major player if ready to go on stable debut after 72 days off.
6
3rd (6) Cold Henry (4/1 +33%)
Cold Henry

4
4/1(+33%)
(6) Cold Henry 4/1, 2/1, respectable fourth of 11 in handicap at Catterick (15.9f, heavy) 51 days ago, plugging on inside final 1f. Can make presence felt.
Run consistently well this year including when beaten a head here in June; could go well.
7
4th (7) Natacata (16/1 -14%)
Natacata

16
16/1(-14%)
(7) Natacata 16/1, 14/1, failed to build on previous promise when ninth of 12 in handicap at this course (14.1f) 9 days ago. Cheekpieces back on.
Well beaten here (1m6f) nine days ago and now 0-12; needs to bounce back.
5
5th (5) Mass Consumption (18/1 -260%)
Mass Consumption

18
18/1(-260%)
(5) Mass Consumption 18/1, 4/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, seventh of 10 in maiden at this course (11.1f) 84 days ago. Significantly back up in trip returned to a handicap (had a wind op).
0-7 over 1m-2m with his best efforts so far on turf; has undergone wind surgery.
9
6th (9) Typewritten (80/1 -300%)
Typewritten

80
80/1(-300%)
(9) Typewritten 80/1, Unreliable sort. Course winner. 50/1, last of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (14f) 17 days ago, weakening quickly. Not one to be interested in at present.
Dual course winner (1m4f), but lightly raced since the spring and has shown little.
8
7th (8) Billy Bathgate (22/1 -10%)
Billy Bathgate

22
22/1(-10%)
(8) Billy Bathgate 22/1, Winner at Ayr in June. Ran poorly after 3 months off when last of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 12/1) 29 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Others more persuasive.
1-28 and modest since gaining his sole win in June.
3
8th (3) Bobby Shaftoe (17/2 -70%)
Bobby Shaftoe

8.5
17/2(-70%)
(3) Bobby Shaftoe 17/2, 4 wins from 15 runs this year, latest at Newcastle in November. 9/2, rare poor effort when tenth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f) 13 days ago. Significantly back up in trip.
Four wins at Newcastle this year; capable if getting a good pace to aim at.
11
9th (11) Prince Abu (10/3 +45%)
Prince Abu

3.333333
10/3(+45%)
(11) Prince Abu 10/3, C&D winner. Sixteen runs since last win in 2022. Shaped as if still in good form when fifth of 10 in handicap (5/2) at Wolverhampton (16.6f) 5 days ago, very slowly away. Merits consideration.
Three wins here and has been shaping as though ready to strike; no luck last time.
4
10th (4) Gift Of Raaj (22/1 -561%)
Gift Of Raaj

22
22/1(-561%)
(4) Gift Of Raaj 22/1, 28/1, returned to form from out of the blue to take advantage of a reduced mark when won 8-runner handicap at Newcastle (16.2f) 7 weeks ago, edging ahead dying strides. Nudged up just 2 lb and could figure again.
2lb higher than when winning at Newcastle last time but still well handicapped on old form.
12
11th (12) Queenmambo (80/1 -220%)
Queenmambo

80
80/1(-220%)
(12) Queenmambo 80/1, Remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs. Wasn't seen to best effect when sixth of 9 in handicap (25/1) at Wolverhampton (14f) 45 days ago, short of room 2f out.
Has run well here before, but now 0-16 and yet to tackle this far.
1
|PU| (1) Chilled Out (100/1 -203%)
Chilled Out

100
100/1(-203%)
(1) Chilled Out 100/1, 200/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, first run since leaving J. P. Broderick (£6,000) when last of 14 in handicap at Kempton (16f) 31 days ago. Makes tapeta debut.
Twice placed on turf in Ireland in the summer of 2022, but nothing since.
LTO Selection:

14:38 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Gift Of Raaj was a shock winner in this grade at Newcastle on his latest outing and he is likely to be in contention once again off a 2lb higher mark. However, EASY EQUATION gets the vote after he produced a pleasing effort when third over C&D in October and he has since switched to the Charlie Fellowes yard. The five-year-old gelding remains on the same mark and could be the one to beat. Cold Henry is another to consider on his return to the all-weather.

An open-looking curtain-raiser in which preference is for EASY EQUATION, who makes his first start for Charlie Fellowes and has held his form well since scoring over C&D earlier in the year. He can get the better of Prince Abu, who shaped as if still in good form but wasn't seen to best effect at Wolverhampton on Saturday, with Cold Henry and Gift of Raaj also fancied to feature.

The choice is EASY EQUATION who is taken to make a successful debut for Charlie Fellowes. His record over C&D reads 141533.


15:08 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 6f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
3
1st (3) Blue Prince (10/3 +33%)
Blue Prince

3.333333
10/3(+33%)
(3) Blue Prince 10/3, Winner at York in July. 7/2, eighth of 10 in nursery at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 30 days ago, never involved having appeared to get upset in the stalls. Certainly not one to write off.
Promising debut for this yard last month and had excuses last time; could bounce back.
5
2nd (5) Flag Carrier (15/2 -114%)
Flag Carrier

7.5
15/2(-114%)
(5) Flag Carrier 15/2, Lightly-raced maiden. 3/1, bit below form fourth of 12 in minor event at Chelmsford City (6f) 42 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Blinkers back on for handicap bow.
Has run well in all three starts over 6f/7f on AW but he may prefer the extra furlong now.
4
3rd (4) Loaded Gun (11/1 -38%)
Loaded Gun

11
11/1(-38%)
(4) Loaded Gun 11/1, Winner at Chester in July. 10/1, fourth of 7 in nursery at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 28 days ago, weakening inside final 1f. May need further respite from the assessor.
Chester novice winner in July and may not have stayed 7f last time; not dismissed.
2
4th (2) Call Glory (13/2 -95%)
Call Glory

6.5
13/2(-95%)
(2) Call Glory 13/2, Latest win at Chelmsford City in September. Respectable third of 8 in nursery (2/1) at this course (5f) 6 days ago. Worth another crack at this longer trip.
Dual winner for different yard earlier in year; stays this far and shouldn't be far away.
6
5th (6) Vanity Pays (150/1 -650%)
Vanity Pays

150
150/1(-650%)
(6) Vanity Pays 150/1, First run since leaving P. Twomey when seventh of 8 in maiden (12/1) at Lingfield (5f, AW) 56 days ago. Back up in trip for handicap debut and cheekpieces now reached for.
Second three times when trained in Ireland but below form last two starts; cheekpieces now.
1
6th (1) Tsunami Spirit (13/8 +19%)
Tsunami Spirit

1.625
13/8(+19%)
(1) Tsunami Spirit 13/8, Lightly-raced winner. 2/1, very good second of 5 in minor event at Catterick (5f, heavy) 51 days ago, clear of rest. Back up in trip. Makes tapeta debut. Makes handicap debut. Shortlist material.
Kempton winner in October; only just beaten at Catterick latest; return to 6f should suit.
8
7th (8) John Steed (11/2 +39%)
John Steed

5.5
11/2(+39%)
(8) John Steed 11/2, 13/2 and blinkered for 1st time, good fifth of 12 in nursery at Lingfield (7f, AW) 15 days ago, no extra only late on. Should remain competitive with cheekpieces replacing blinkers.
In the frame in six of his ten starts but needs to find something extra; cheekpieces on.
7
8th (7) Callianassa (28/1 -180%)
Callianassa

28
28/1(-180%)
(7) Callianassa 28/1, Creditable sixth of 10 in nursery (15/2) at Newcastle (7.1f) 12 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. May be vulnerable to a couple here.
Should appreciate the return to 6f but is now 0-9; cheekpieces go on.
LTO Selection:

15:08 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

TSUNAMI SPIRIT was seven lengths clear of the third when a neck second in a novice event at Catterick in October and he now makes his return to the all-weather on his nursery debut. The son of Invincible Spirit won at Kempton a couple of months ago and could defy a opening mark of 85. The main danger is Call Glory, who finished third over 5f here last time and could play a leading role off the same mark, while Flag Carrier warrants a market check on his first start in a nursery.

A comfortable winner at Kempton in October, TSUNAMI SPIRIT lost little caste in defeat behind another promising sort at Catterick later that month and, with the likelihood of more to come now handicapping back on AW, he's very much of interest again. Blue Prince's latest run is best excused and a better showing is anticipated. Call Glory is also expected to be in the mix.

This can go to nursery newcomer TSUNAMI SPIRIT who should be suited by the return to 6f after only just missing out over 5f last time.


15:38 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 6f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
2
1st (2) Billyjoh (5/4 +64%)
Billyjoh

1.25
5/4(+64%)
(2) Billyjoh 5/4, Winner at Doncaster in July. 12/1, creditable fourth of 12 in handicap at Chelmsford City (6f) 40 days ago, unlucky not to finish closer when no room final 1f. Still unexposed on AW and very much of interest from this mark.
Unlucky not to go even closer when fourth at Chelmsford last time; respected down in grade.
3
2nd (3) Tyke (9/1 +36%)
Tyke

9
9/1(+36%)
(3) Tyke 9/1, Both career victories gained over C&D, the latest on penultimate start in September. However, needs to shrug off a lesser display when tenth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) back in October.
Both wins have come over C&D; return here is a plus but he looks the stable second string.
7
3rd (7) Heartrate (10/1 +29%)
Heartrate

10
10/1(+29%)
(7) Heartrate 10/1, Latest win at Ffos Las in September. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, ninth of 11 in handicap (4/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 49 days ago, weakening inside final 1f. Return to sprinting will suit on that evidence.
Third over 6f at Wolverhampton in October but well held over 7f last time; claims.
6
4th (6) Beauty Choice (4/1 +20%)
Beauty Choice

4
4/1(+20%)
(6) Beauty Choice 4/1, Latest win at Pontefract in October. 17/2, creditable third of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 5 days ago, switched 1f out and running on. Likely to give another good account.
In the frame in last two starts at Wolverhampton despite meeting traffic; drawn widest.
1
5th (1) She's Centimental (12/1 -85%)
She's Centimental

12
12/1(-85%)
(1) She's Centimental 12/1, C&D winner. Creditable sixth of 10 in handicap at Kempton (6f, 20/1) 8 days ago, pushed along over 2f out and never nearer. Not dismissed out of hand operating 2 lb below last winning mark.
C&D winner who wasn't beaten far at Kempton last time; down in class but drawn wide.
9
6th (9) Honour Your Dreams (14/1 -155%)
Honour Your Dreams

14
14/1(-155%)
(9) Honour Your Dreams 14/1, 20/1, creditable second of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 17 days ago, ridden final 1f and keeping on. Not out of things.
Second in two of three starts back on Tapeta, including last time; player off same mark.
11
7th (11) Captain Vallo (25/1 -108%)
Captain Vallo

25
25/1(-108%)
(11) Captain Vallo 25/1, C&D winner. 12/1 and blinkered for 1st time, last of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 83 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Something to find on form.
C&D winner who has become favourably treated but below form lately.
10
8th (10) Rooska (33/1 -175%)
Rooska

33
33/1(-175%)
(10) Rooska 33/1, Fair gelding who ran below best back up in trip when sixth of 9 in novice event at Newcastle (1m) 13 days ago. Return to sprinting won't inconvenience him on handicap debut.
Seven-race maiden; the return to sprinting needs to work now making his handicap debut.
8
9th (8) Thaki (20/1 -25%)
Thaki

20
20/1(-25%)
(8) Thaki 20/1, 10/1, not seen to best effect when eighth of 12 in handicap at this C&D 9 days ago, plugging on. However, mark looks about right at present.
Five-time AW winner but needs to do better than when eighth of 12 over C&D nine days ago.
5
10th (5) Sassy Belle (20/1 -400%)
Sassy Belle

20
20/1(-400%)
(5) Sassy Belle 20/1, 5/1, returned to form when landing 9-runner handicap at Leicester (6f) in October, benefiting from a change of tactics in a well-run race. Changed hands for 20,000 gns subsequently and not discounted from 2 lb higher mark.
Two wins for Ed Walker; worth monitoring in the market on stable debut after 72 days off.
12
11th (12) Speed Dial Baileys (40/1 -233%)
Speed Dial Baileys

40
40/1(-233%)
(12) Speed Dial Baileys 40/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in October. Ninth of 10 in handicap back at that venue (5.1f, 9/2) 16 days ago, racing closer to pace than ideal. Hood refitted now stepping back up in trip.
Two wins at Wolverhampton this year but last two efforts leave her with something to prove.
4
12th (4) Hougoumont (16/1 -33%)
Hougoumont

16
16/1(-33%)
(4) Hougoumont 16/1, Dual 6f winner as a juvenile who shaped better than bare result following a wind op at Pontefract (6f) in August. Clearly not 100% at Carlisle later that month but he returns to action operating from career-low mark and he's 1-1 on AW. One to keep an eye on.
Beat just two rivals in last three outings; off four months; needs to get back on track.
LTO Selection:

15:38 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

BILLYJOH was denied a run at the crucial stage when fourth at Chelmsford last month and that effort came in a tougher grade than this. The son of Mayson looks well treated on his current rating and it would be a surprise if he wasn't able to earn a second career victory. Sassy Belle just got up to win at Leicester in October and is an interesting contender on her first outing for the David Evans stable. Of the remainder, Beauty Choice makes the most appeal after his recent third at Wolverhampton.

BILLYJOH very much caught the eye when fourth at Chelmsford 6 weeks ago, poorly drawn and noted keeping on without having room to open up inside the final 1f. He appeals as being on a handy mark and can prove as much here. Honour Your Dreams, Beauty Choice and She's Centimental are a trio of others to consider.

The vote goes to the unexposed 3yo BILLYJOH (nap) who looked unlucky not to go even closer at Chelmsford last time and drops in class.


16:10 Southwell Handicap (Class 2) 5f - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (1) Clarendon House (11/4 +31%)
Clarendon House

2.75
11/4(+31%)
(1) Clarendon House 11/4, Six wins from 17 Flat runs. Career best when winning 9-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 17/2) 29 days ago. Needs considering.
Made a successful AW debut at Wolverhampton last month; still open to further improvement.
5
2nd (5) Bedford Flyer (6/1 +29%)
Bedford Flyer

6
6/1(+29%)
(5) Bedford Flyer 6/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Lingfield in November. Seventh of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (5f, 7/2) 41 days ago, doing too much too soon. Visor on 1st time.
1lb lower than when winning over C&D in November 2022 but may find one or two too good.
6
3rd (6) Clearpoint (4/1 -45%)
Clearpoint

4
4/1(-45%)
(6) Clearpoint 4/1, 2 wins from 6 runs this year. 13/8, career best when winning 7-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 28 days ago, pushed out. Player.
Has gained all three AW successes from the front; remains relatively unexposed.
4
4th (4) Alligator Alley (16/5 -16%)
Alligator Alley

3.2
16/5(-16%)
(4) Alligator Alley 16/5, C&D winner. Creditable 1½ lengths third of 9 to Clarendon House in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 7/2) 29 days ago. Can give a good account.
Record over C&D reads 311; should have the race run to suit and is respected.
3
5th (3) Fine Wine (15/2 +12%)
Fine Wine

7.5
15/2(+12%)
(3) Fine Wine 15/2, 4-time C&D winner. 8/1, eighteenth of 19 in handicap at York (5f, soft) 89 days ago. Has good chance on pick of form.
Four-time C&D winner who has dropped to a handy mark; may face competition for the lead.
2
6th (2) Exalted Angel (13/2 -8%)
Exalted Angel

6.5
13/2(-8%)
(2) Exalted Angel 13/2, C&D winner. Twenty two runs since last win in 2021. Good 1½ lengths third of 10 to Willem Twee in listed race (14/1) at Lingfield (6f, AW) 33 days ago.
Third in a Listed race last time but has to prove himself back in a handicap.
7
7th (7) May Sonic (25/1 -127%)
May Sonic

25
25/1(-127%)
(7) May Sonic 25/1, C&D winner. 5¼ lengths eighth of 9 to Clarendon House in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 10/1) 29 days ago. Others more persuasive.
Back off the same mark as when winning over C&D in January, but not at his best lately.
LTO Selection:

16:10 Southwell Handicap (Class 2) 5f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.

Both Clarendon House and Clearpoint are likely to prove popular following their recent Wolverhampton successes, but EXALTED ANGEL shades preference. Karl Burke's seven-year-old drops back into handicap company having hit the frame in a Listed event last time, and he looks more than capable from what is a workable handicap mark. Alligator Alley (third) is now 4lb better off with Clarendon House from their meeting last month and that could see him close the gap.

FINE WINE returns to AW on a tempting mark having had excuses on his last 3 starts so this 4-time C&D winner could be the answer back from a break. Clarendon House and Clearpoint both arrive on the back of career-best wins so are the obvious threats.

There may still be more to come from CLARENDON HOUSE who made a successful AW debut in a similar contest at Wolverhampton last month.


16:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 5f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
9
1st (9) Water Of Leith (3/1 +50%)
Water Of Leith

3
3/1(+50%)
(9) Water Of Leith 3/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. Again not seen to best effect when sixth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 3/1) 11 days ago, finishing with running left. Could be the way to go.
Rarely seen over 5f these days and he may find things happening too quickly for him.
6
2nd (6) Man On A Mission (10/3 +63%)
Man On A Mission

3.333333
10/3(+63%)
(6) Man On A Mission 10/3, Fourth of 7 in handicap at Chelmsford City (5f, 9/2) 41 days ago, nearest finish. Assessor has afforded him a chance if he can build on that here.
Better effort when fourth at Chelmsford last time; 4lb below his last winning mark.
5
3rd (5) Teresa Grace (66/1 -725%)
Teresa Grace

66
66/1(-725%)
(5) Teresa Grace 66/1, Improved to make a successful handicap debut/reappearance at Thirsk in April. Below for since though, 28/1, ninth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 29 days ago, weakening final 1f.
Made a successful stable debut at Thirsk in April but has not matched that form since.
7
4th (7) Victors Dream (11/2 -38%)
Victors Dream

5.5
11/2(-38%)
(7) Victors Dream 11/2, 9/2, creditable second of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 29 days ago, no match for winner. One to consider.
Runner-up in three of his six starts on the AW, including last time; solid claims.
3
5th (3) Dark Crusade (13/2 +19%)
Dark Crusade

6.5
13/2(+19%)
(3) Dark Crusade 13/2, 3-y-o who was proved largely consistent, good fourth on the back of a break at Carlisle (5f) in September. Below best faced with softer ground at Pontefract later that month but not discounted back from 84 days off on AW debut.
All starts over 5f on turf, making the frame five times, but he ran poorly on latest start.
12
6th (12) Cubanista (12/1 +52%)
Cubanista

12
12/1(+52%)
(12) Cubanista 12/1, One win from 22 Flat runs. Not seen to best effect when ninth of 12 in handicap at this course (6.1f, 22/1) 27 days ago. Eased further in the weights but sole success to date came at 7f.
1-22 and a bit of a mixed bag this year; well beaten in all three starts on the AW.
10
7th (10) Ustath (16/1 -60%)
Ustath

16
16/1(-60%)
(10) Ustath 16/1, 3-time C&D winner. 3 wins from 10 runs this year. Below form fourth of 8 in handicap (7/1) at Redcar (6f, soft) in April, weakening over 1f out. This run may well be needed on the back of 8 months off.
Front-runner; has won seven times here; not seen since April but has run well fresh before.
11
8th (11) May Remain (17/2 -42%)
May Remain

8.5
17/2(-42%)
(11) May Remain 17/2, Back-to-back winner of sprint contests during the spring and continued in good form thereafter, second of 13 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) in June. Absent subsequently so the betting may prove a useful guide here.
Showed he had the speed for 5f when winning at Wolverhampton in the spring; off 199 days.
1
9th (1) Dyed In The Wool (22/1 +33%)
Dyed In The Wool

22
22/1(+33%)
(1) Dyed In The Wool 22/1, 50/1, seventh of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 16 days ago, racing well off the pace and never a threat. Mark has eased further but need to see more positive signs before becoming of interest.
Form has regressed despite a plummeting mark; hard to fancy.
2
10th (2) Kaidu (16/1 -14%)
Kaidu

16
16/1(-14%)
(2) Kaidu 16/1, Maiden who took step back in right direction when second at Wolverhampton (5.1f) in November. Went off too hard when last of 10 in handicap back at that venue 16 days ago but not out of things on pick of his form.
Placed in three novices this year but failed to beat a rival in either of his handicaps.
8
11th (8) Stay Smart (12/1 -71%)
Stay Smart

12
12/1(-71%)
(8) Stay Smart 12/1, Latest win at Ayr in June. Last of 7 in handicap (10/3) at Chelmsford City (5f) 41 days ago, hanging badly right inside final 1f. Needs to bounce back.
Back off last winning mark, but has pulled too hard the last twice.
LTO Selection:

16:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 5f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Cabeza De Llave made the frame at Chelmsford last time and his turn might be near, but a chance is taken on DARK CRUSADE. The unexposed son of Camacho posted a series of solid efforts on the turf over the summer and this switch to an artificial surface might bring about further progression. Victors Dream appeals most of the remainder.

WATER OF LEITH's losing run is mounting up but he again shaped better than the bare result at Wolverhampton 11 days ago, not clear run early in the straight and finishing with running left. He's on a handy mark if getting the breaks and shades the vote. Cabeza de Llave and Victors Dream head the dangers, with Man On A Mission another worth keeping an eye on.

Back from a break, USTATH has plenty to recommend him having won seven times here with his attacking style well suited to this track.


17:15 Southwell Stakes (Class 5) 11f - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
11
1st (11) Ya Hafhd (11/8 +59%)
Ya Hafhd

1.375
11/8(+59%)
(11) Ya Hafhd 11/8, Promising type. 8/1, green but show plenty of ability when fourth of 9 in minor event at Newmarket (10f, good to firm) on debut, not ideally placed. Off 6 months. Open to improvement.
Showed promise at Newmarket in June and has claims if she can build on that on her return.
3
2nd (3) Little Peter (66/1 -164%)
Little Peter

66
66/1(-164%)
(3) Little Peter 66/1, Fair bumper winner shaped as if needed experience when towards rear on hurdling debut last month. Others preferred making Flat debut.
Bumper winner but he struggled over hurdles latest and this looks tough on his Flat debut.
7
3rd (7) A Gift Of Love (7/2 -115%)
A Gift Of Love

3.5
7/2(-115%)
(7) A Gift Of Love 7/2, Much improved from debut (for John & Thady Gosden) when second of 11 in maiden at Newcastle (12.4f) 49 days ago, clear of rest. Will continue progressing and looks well up to winning this kind of race.
Back from lengthy absence with clear second at Newcastle on her stable debut; interesting.
9
4th (9) Loddon (33/1 +0%)
Loddon

33
33/1(+0%)
(9) Loddon 33/1, Fair filly. 16/1, respectable eighth of 16 in handicap at Pontefract (8f, good to soft) 73 days ago. Significantly up in trip. May prove vulnerable to less-exposed rivals.
Inconsistent eight-race maiden who didn't fire last time and others are more convincing.
8
5th (8) Dynamiste (5/1 -25%)
Dynamiste

5
5/1(-25%)
(8) Dynamiste 5/1, Promising individual. 9/1, third of 6 in minor event at Lingfield (10f, AW) on debut 86 days ago, not knocked about. Should have more to offer.
Made a promising start at Lingfield in September and has claims if she can build on that.
10
6th (10) On Cloud (200/1 -203%)
On Cloud

200
200/1(-203%)
(10) On Cloud 200/1, Reluctant to enter stalls but ran to similar level as debut when sixth of 10 in maiden (33/1) at Kempton (11f) 78 days ago. First run for yard after leaving David Simcock. Others make greater appeal.
Well held in both runs for David Simcock and is best watched on his stable debut.
6
7th (6) Pacific (200/1 -203%)
Pacific

200
200/1(-203%)
(6) Pacific 200/1, Twice-raced maiden on Flat. 125/1, 11 lengths seventh of 12 to Whatawit in minor event at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 12 days ago. Hard to fancy.
Tailed off in sole bumper and has struggled at big prices in two Flat runs (1m4f) since.
1
8th (1) Whatawit (9/4 -50%)
Whatawit

2.25
9/4(-50%)
(1) Whatawit 9/4, Fairly useful bumper winner ran to a similar standard when landing 12-runner minor event (7/4) at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 12 days ago. In good hands and he may well do better.
2-3 in bumpers and won over 1m4f at Wolverhampton 12 days ago; respected under penalty.
2
9th (2) Fast Deal (200/1 -100%)
Fast Deal

200
200/1(-100%)
(2) Fast Deal 200/1, Remains a maiden after 23 Flat runs. 200/1, eighth of 9 in handicap at Thirsk (6f, good to soft). Off 111 days. Significantly up in trip. Impossible to fancy.
Modest 39-race maiden under both codes; east to look elsewhere.
LTO Selection:

17:15 Southwell Stakes (Class 5) 11f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Whatawit was on target over 1m4f at Wolverhampton 12 days ago and he must be taken seriously once again, but A GIFT OF LOVE receives 15lb from the former and is preferred, having improved to finish second at Newcastle last time. Ya Hafhd made her debut in an above-average Newmarket novice in the summer and she could be involved following an absence, while Dynamiste is another to consider.

Several with sound claims, though A GIFT OF LOVE makes most appeal, having showed much improved form after almost a year off at Newcastle last time. Sir Mark Prescott's Wolverhampton winner Whatawit heads the list of dangers, with Dynamiste and Ya Hafhd also considered.

The vote goes to A GIFT OF LOVE, who showed plenty of promise when a clear second at Newcastle on her stable debut last month.


17:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 11f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
2
1st (2) Sense Of Worth (10/3 +52%)
Sense Of Worth

3.333333
10/3(+52%)
(2) Sense Of Worth 10/3, Twenty runs since last win in 2021. Respectable fifth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f, 50/1) 34 days ago, not knocked about. Worth noting if the market speaks in his favour.
Won back-to-back races at Dundalk (10.5f) in Apr 2021; has been unable to add to tally..
3
2nd (3) Eagle One (9/2 +44%)
Eagle One

4.5
9/2(+44%)
(3) Eagle One 9/2, Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. 11/1, last of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 45 days ago. Step back up in trip rates a definite plus and he's on a fair mark, so better showing expected.
Low-key since going close on stable debut at Wolverhampton (1m4f) in June; needs a revival.
7
3rd (7) Polar Princess (18/1 -13%)
Polar Princess

18
18/1(-13%)
(7) Polar Princess 18/1, 40/1, seventh of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 17 days ago, headway out wide over 3f out and unable to sustain effort. Eased further in weights ahead of this and it remains early days at least.
Hasn't recaptured earlier novice form (1m3f-1m4f) since joining this yard; easing mark..
10
4th (10) Latest Edition (8/1 -33%)
Latest Edition

8
8/1(-33%)
(10) Latest Edition 8/1, Creditable fifth of 10 in handicap (33/1) at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 38 days ago, shaken up under 4f out and merely plugging on. Handicapper has relinquished his grip a little more.
Maiden (0-6); hasn't kicked on since finishing runner-up in a 1m maiden; stamina questions.
5
5th (5) Graces Quest (10/1 -186%)
Graces Quest

10
10/1(-186%)
(5) Graces Quest 10/1, Creditable third of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f, 13/2) 41 days ago, not quicken only last ½f. Going through a good spell and respected with rider taking off handy 3 lb.
Consistent; demoted after winning at Newcastle (12.5f) on penultimate start; chance..
6
6th (6) Bristol Hill (11/2 -10%)
Bristol Hill

5.5
11/2(-10%)
(6) Bristol Hill 11/2, Successful twice at 12f earlier this year and despite refusing to settle, finished a creditable fourth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f) 13 days ago. Lines up here operating from last winning mark and one to bear in mind.
Slipped back to last winning mark (1m4f, Wolverhampton); tendency to pull hard a concern..
11
7th (11) Khangai (4/1 +0%)
Khangai

4
4/1(+0%)
(11) Khangai 4/1, Blinkered for 1st time, ran right up to best when second of 14 in handicap (33/1) at Chelmsford City (10f) 14 days ago. Not taken lightly if headgear has desired effect again.
Sole win (17 starts) came when making all at Chepstow in June; second in blinkers latest..
4
8th (4) Billy Roberts (40/1 -186%)
Billy Roberts

40
40/1(-186%)
(4) Billy Roberts 40/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. Sixth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 66/1) 38 days ago, ridden halfway and making only late headway.
Twice runner-up during the summer; previous AW wins at Wolverhampton (9.5f); easing mark..
1
9th (1) Restorer (9/1 -13%)
Restorer

9
9/1(-13%)
(1) Restorer 9/1, Veteran who ended long losing run at Chester (12.3f) in September. Good placed efforts on 2 of his 3 subsequent outings and probably best not judged too harshly on latest seventh of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f, 11/2) 13 days ago. Ease in class a plus.
Yet to win on AW (0-14) but was placed at Newcastle (12.5f) on penultimate start..
12
10th (12) King Athelstan (66/1 -371%)
King Athelstan

66
66/1(-371%)
(12) King Athelstan 66/1, Course winner. Bit below form eighth of 14 in handicap at this course (12.1f, 18/1) in March, ridden 2f out and no further impression. Needs to hit the ground running back from 8 months off. Cheekpieces back on.
Won a classified stakes (here) in March; returns in cheekpieces off a 265-day absence..
9
11th (9) Mickey Mongoose (150/1 -127%)
Mickey Mongoose

150
150/1(-127%)
(9) Mickey Mongoose 150/1, Winner at Brighton in June. Ninth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (8f, 125/1) 36 days ago, struggling halfway and soon beaten. Significantly back up in trip but good deal to prove here.
Brighton winner (1m2f); yet to shine in three runs for this trainer; tongue-tie removed..
LTO Selection:

17:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 11f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Bristol Hill has a chance at this level, while Latest Edition is still of low mileage and, having proven her stamina when tried over 1m4f last time out, she rates as a player. Nevertheless, this could be a good time to side with KHANGAI, who was doing his best work at the finish when second at Chelmsford last time. With the tongue-tie and blinkers combination retained, he can go one place better.

This looks wide open and it could be worth chancing EAGLE ONE. He didn't shape at all badly on his penultimate start at Kempton, and with his latest run over shorter best forgiven, he could well be up to proving himself on a fair mark. Bristol Hill, Graces Quest and Latest Edition are others fancied to be in the mix.

It could pay to take a chance on Seb Spencer's SENSE OF WORTH. The dual Dundalk scorer has shown a few more encouraging signs lately.


18:15 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 11f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
5
1st (5) Hill Station (15/8 -7%)
Hill Station

1.875
15/8(-7%)
(5) Hill Station 15/8, 15/8, career best when winning 11-runner handicap at Lingfield (12f, AW) 8 days ago, readily. Carries penalty. Has good chance on form.
Dictated to win at Lingfield (1m4f) last week; penalised but 5lb claimer is booked..
6
2nd (6) Bay Of Naples (14/1 -75%)
Bay Of Naples

14
14/1(-75%)
(6) Bay Of Naples 14/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Leicester in September. Creditable third of 10 in handicap (6/1) at Newcastle (12.4f) 49 days ago.
Given a seven-week break since finishing third at Newcastle (12.5f); needs fraction more..
3
3rd (3) Luna Effect (9/2 +36%)
Luna Effect

4.5
9/2(+36%)
(3) Luna Effect 9/2, 9/2, seventh of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (14f) 26 days ago. Back down in trip.
Pipped when sporting first-time headgear (hood) at Yarmouth in October; no joy since..
7
4th (7) Swing To The Stars (5/1 +64%)
Swing To The Stars

5
5/1(+64%)
(7) Swing To The Stars 5/1, Creditable fifth of 14 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f, 8/1) 14 days ago.
Yet to win (0-11); free when 5th (behind Jumeira Vision) at Chelmsford latest; stamina?.
1
5th (1) Franco Grasso (50/1 -150%)
Franco Grasso

50
50/1(-150%)
(1) Franco Grasso 50/1, 40/1, last of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f) 41 days ago.
Beaten only a single rival in three attempts since winning at Yarmouth (11.5f) in May..
8
6th (8) Delta Legend (125/1 -400%)
Delta Legend

125
125/1(-400%)
(8) Delta Legend 125/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Eleventh of 12 in handicap (12/1) at Newcastle (12.4f) 13 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Easy to look elsewhere.
Weakened quickly when upped to 12.5f for recent Newcastle handicap debut; blinkers go on..
2
7th (2) Hashtagmetoo (25/1 -257%)
Hashtagmetoo

25
25/1(-257%)
(2) Hashtagmetoo 25/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in October. Creditable fifth of 12 in handicap (6/1) at Lingfield (12f, AW) 50 days ago.
Reliable mare; 3lb higher than when successful at Wolverhampton (1m4f) penultimate start..
9
8th (9) Dancing Gypsy (7/1 +30%)
Dancing Gypsy

7
7/1(+30%)
(9) Dancing Gypsy 7/1, 7/1, tenth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 12 days ago. Back up in trip. Hood on 1st time.
Maiden (0-14); placed on first start for D. Loughnane but hasn't progressed; hooded..
11
9th (11) Madam Macho (100/1 -203%)
Madam Macho

100
100/1(-203%)
(11) Madam Macho 100/1, 66/1, ninth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 16 days ago. Up in trip. Others have achieved more.
Maiden with modest form; tackles a new trip - dam was a 1m2f winner - from a falling mark..
4
10th (4) Jumeira Vision (7/1 -40%)
Jumeira Vision

7
7/1(-40%)
(4) Jumeira Vision 7/1, Winner at Wolverhampton in November. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, creditable fourth of 14 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f, 9/2) 14 days ago. Enters calculations.
Raised game since sent handicapping; 2lb higher than when winning at Wolverhampton; chance.
10
11th (10) Lochnaver (12/1 -200%)
Lochnaver

12
12/1(-200%)
(10) Lochnaver 12/1, Won 12-runner handicap (9/2) at Newcastle (10.2f) 32 days ago, comfortably. Merits consideration.
Back to form at Newcastle; every chance of having a major say under 3lb claimer Mark Winn..
12
12th (12) Persian Wolf (200/1 -203%)
Persian Wolf

200
200/1(-203%)
(12) Persian Wolf 200/1, Seventeen runs since last win in 2022. Eleventh of 12 in handicap at this C&D (125/1) 14 days ago.
Last win over a year ago; nothing positive in two starts since changing hands..
LTO Selection:

18:15 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 11f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

HILL STATION emerged triumphant over 1m4f at Lingfield eight days ago and, given he is due to go up 1lb in future handicaps, he is a strong contender under the 5lb penalty. Fellow last-time-out winner Lochnaver is feared most, with the return to this distance not expected to pose any problems. Jumeira Vision, a winner over the extended 1m1f at Wolverhampton on his penultimate start, can also go close.

HILL STATION resumed winning ways to land some tidy bets at Lingfield last week and looks capable of defying a penalty. Lochnaver was a comfortable winner at Newcastle last month so is feared most ahead of lightly-raced 3-y-o Jumeira Vision.

The ones to concentrate on are Jumeira Vision, Lochnaver, and the thriving HILL STATION. Gina Mangan's mount receives the vote.


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This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.


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Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

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