Southwell Races & Results Tomform Monday 4th November 2024

There were 38 Races on Monday 4th November 2024 across 5 meetings. There was 8 races at Kempton, 7 races at Plumpton, 6 races at Hereford, 9 races at Wolverhampton, 8 races at Southwell, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Monday 4th November 2024

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

16:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 5f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
2
1st (2) Thankuappreciate (3/1 +14%)
Thankuappreciate

3
3/1(+14%)
(2) Thankuappreciate 3/1, One win from 25 Flat runs, which was gained back in 2022. Fifth of 8 in handicap at Windsor (5.1f, heavy, 11/4) 21 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Good third sole previous start on the AW and he's a key contender.
Just one win to go with nine defeats at 9-2 or shorter; not the most consistent this year.
1
2nd (1) Juicy (11/8 +54%)
Juicy

1.375
11/8(+54%)
(1) Juicy 11/8, C&D winner. Twelfth of 13 in handicap (4/1) at Newcastle (6f) 55 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time and she wouldn't be without a chance off this reduced mark if able to get back on track.
Didn't see out 6f last time; is one to consider in a first-time tongue-tie down 2lb.
3
3rd (3) Water Of Leith (5/2 +38%)
Water Of Leith

2.5
5/2(+38%)
(3) Water Of Leith 5/2, C&D winner. Latest win at Ayr in September. Respectable fifth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (5f, 5/1) 7 days ago, not much room. Unlikely he will be far away.
Enjoyed a consistent year but high enough in the weights as a result; wants a good pace.
5
4th (5) El Hibri (12/1 -71%)
El Hibri

12
12/1(-71%)
(5) El Hibri 12/1, Course winner. 3 wins from 13 runs this year, the latest at Chelmsford in May. 33/1, last of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) on latest start in July. Visor back on and will be a danger to all if on-song.
Four wins, including two here, came over 6f; little room for manoeuvre off this mark.
4
5th (4) Stone Of Destiny (18/1 +55%)
Stone Of Destiny

18
18/1(+55%)
(4) Stone Of Destiny 18/1, Untrustworthy individual. C&D winner. Ninth of 11 in handicap (40/1) at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 21 days ago. Others preferred.
Strong chance he misses the break and/or pulls hard and he'll need things to fall just so.
7
6th (7) Mr Trick (40/1 -150%)
Mr Trick

40
40/1(-150%)
(7) Mr Trick 40/1, 33/1, fifth of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 16 days ago, merely closing up late. Hopes pinned on the first-time visor working the oracle.
No problem with 1m2f last winter and it's hard to view 5f as being optimal.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

16:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 5f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

Juicy had shown distinct promise until a disappointing run at Newcastle in September but could well bounce back now he races with a tongue-tie added. Water Of Leith has been consistent of late and should also go well with Amy Waugh back in the saddle. However, preference is for THANKUAPPRECIATE, who is unexposed on the all-weather and, from a handy current rating, looks an ideal type for a race of this nature.

THANKUAPPRECIATE is interesting returned to the all-weather having performed with plenty of credit when third on his sole previous start away from turf at Newcastle back in June 2023. He gets the nod ahead of El Hibri, who will be a big threat if he puts his best foot forward. Howzak is third choice, while cases can also be made for Juicy and Water of Leith in this trappy contest.

Dropped 2lb having not seen out 6f latest, the lightly raced JUICY can make it 2-2 over C&D..


17:15 Southwell Maiden (Class 5) 8f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
12
(12) Ribbit (200/1 +0%)
Ribbit

200
200/1(+0%)
(12) Ribbit 200/1, Once-raced filly. Last of 12 in maiden (200/1) at this C&D on debut 11 days ago, slowly away. Hard to fancy.
200-1, finished a remote last behind West Wickham over C&D 11 days ago.
5
1st (5) Port Light (9/4 -13%)
Port Light

2.25
9/4(-13%)
(5) Port Light 9/4, Foaled April 19. 24,000 gns yearling, €41,000 2-y-o, City Light colt. Dam ran twice in France. The presence of a hood is a slight concern ahead of this debut but he's otherwise appealing on paper.
41,000euros 2yo breeze-up who's the second foal of a French maiden; wears a hood on debut.
7
2nd (7) Cloth Of Gold (11/10 -51%)
Cloth Of Gold

1.1
11/10(-51%)
(7) Cloth Of Gold 11/10, Once-raced colt. Second of 15 in novice at Redcar (8f, soft, 16/1) on debut 17 days ago, clear of rest. Will likely prove hard to beat if able to at least match that form now switched to the AW.
Clear second in a soft-ground Redcar novice dominated by newcomers; solid claims.
3
3rd (3) Molveno (11/1 +45%)
Molveno

11
11/1(+45%)
(3) Molveno 11/1, Once-raced colt. 66/1 and tongue strap on, tenth of 12 in novice at Kempton (8f) on debut 24 days ago. Another who may come into his own in handicaps further down the line.
Tough task on his Kempton debut and didn't fare too badly at a big price; should improve.
8
4th (8) Arie Gordye (250/1 -25%)
Arie Gordye

250
250/1(-25%)
(8) Arie Gordye 250/1, Once-raced filly. Ninth of 11 in maiden (250/1) at Newcastle (8f) on debut 32 days ago. Readily passed over.
Finished well beaten at 250-1 on her Newcastle debut a month ago.
1
5th (1) Arcturus Flame (18/1 +73%)
Arcturus Flame

18
18/1(+73%)
(1) Arcturus Flame 18/1, Twice-raced colt. Tongue strap on for 1st time, tenth of 13 in novice at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm, 66/1) 48 days ago. Significantly up in trip and sizeable step forward needed.
Low-grade handicaps are probably next on the agenda.
11
6th (11) Candle Of Time (250/1 -279%)
Candle Of Time

250
250/1(-279%)
(11) Candle Of Time 250/1, Once-raced filly. 80/1, last of 8 in maiden at Newcastle (7.1f) on debut 41 days ago. Easy enough to look elsewhere.
80-1 for her 7f debut here six weeks ago, when pulling hard over 7f and finishing last.
10
7th (10) Magic Runner (25/1 -150%)
Magic Runner

25
25/1(-150%)
(10) Magic Runner 25/1, Once-raced filly. Fifth of 9 in maiden at Nottingham (8.3f, heavy, 13/2) on debut 19 days ago, slowly away. In good hands and will likely do better in time.
Didn't see it out on her heavy-ground 1m debut recently but is entitled to improve.
4
8th (4) Orchestral Wave (5/1 +64%)
Orchestral Wave

5
5/1(+64%)
(4) Orchestral Wave 5/1, Foaled April 29. 25,000 gns yearling, Kameko colt. Half-brother to several winners, including useful 7f-1¾m winner Captain Chorus and useful winner up to 9f Seaside Song. Dam 1½m winner. One to note in the betting.
25,000gns yearling who's a half-brother to six winners; the market will guide.
9
9th (9) Beachborough Girl (40/1 -21%)
Beachborough Girl

40
40/1(-21%)
(9) Beachborough Girl 40/1, Once-raced filly. Tongue strap on, fifth of 9 in novice at Yarmouth (8f, good to soft, 80/1) on debut 28 days ago. Wouldn't be without an each-way chance if able to build on that.
Needed the experience when shaping fairly well on her Yarmouth debut; each-way claims.
2
10th (2) Aurelius Maximus (200/1 -203%)
Aurelius Maximus

200
200/1(-203%)
(2) Aurelius Maximus 200/1, Once-raced gelding. 40/1, eleventh of 12 in novice at Chelmsford City (7f) on debut 23 days ago. Probably more one for handicaps in due course.
Started 40-1 for his Chelmsford debut a few weeks ago; needs a big step forward.
6
11th (6) West Wickham (33/1 -32%)
West Wickham

33
33/1(-32%)
(6) West Wickham 33/1, Once-raced gelding. 28/1, seventh of 12 in maiden at this C&D on debut 11 days ago. Will need to step up on that if he's to play a leading role.
Fair C&D debut 11 days ago; can do better for a yard enjoying a fine season with 2yos.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

17:15 Southwell Maiden (Class 5) 8f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

CLOTH OF GOLD looked a promising work in progress when he tried to make all on his recourse debut in a novice stakes event at Redcar last month. Just overhauled in the closing stages, the son of Sea The Moon still created a very favourable impression and, given his dam was a winner on the all-weather, switching to this surface shouldn't be much of an issue. Magic Runner and Beachborough Girl appeal most from the rest with experience, while Port Light is a notable debutant.

This is best left to CLOTH OF GOLD, who was a clear second on his recent debut at Redcar and, unless one of the newcomers Port Light or Orchestral Wave turn out to be pretty useful, he probably won't need to find any improvement in order to go one better here.

A few offered a bit of promise on debut but none came close to matching CLOTH OF GOLD's Redcar level.


17:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 7f - 10 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
9
1st (9) Flaine (9/1 +0%)
Flaine

9
9/1(+0%)
(9) Flaine 9/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 13/2, tenth of 13 in nursery at Chelmsford City (7f) 65 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Tom Dascombe and tongue strap back on. Worth a second look on this tapeta debut.
Better expected on her nursery debut; since left Tom Dascombe; the tongue-tie goes back on.
5
2nd (5) A Fine Claret (10/3 -11%)
A Fine Claret

3.333333
10/3(-11%)
(5) A Fine Claret 10/3, Temperamental sort. 6/1, eighth of 10 in nursery at Newcastle (6f) 17 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time and improvement needed.
Met trouble on his nursery debut; 7f should suit and is shortlisted in first-time headgear.
7
3rd (7) Born Too Run (7/1 +22%)
Born Too Run

7
7/1(+22%)
(7) Born Too Run 7/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 18/1, ninth of 12 in nursery at Newcastle (7.1f) 20 days ago, finding nothing. Down another 2 lb and would have a chance if able to see things out better.
Quite well related but has finished well held in six runs to date (6f-1m); hard to fancy.
4
4th (4) Eva's Eyes (8/1 -14%)
Eva's Eyes

8
8/1(-14%)
(4) Eva's Eyes 8/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 100/1 and hooded for 1st time, first run since leaving Darryll Holland when sixth of 7 in maiden at Chester (7f, soft) 51 days ago, slowly away. Makes nursery debut.
Well held in three starts on turf; withdrawn on Friday due to coughing; market useful.
1
5th (1) Perfect Parole (6/1 -20%)
Perfect Parole

6
6/1(-20%)
(1) Perfect Parole 6/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Seventh of 11 in nursery at Kempton (6f, 14/1) 21 days ago. Makes tapeta debut and will need to raise her game if she's to play a leading role.
Tonight's extra furlong should suit on pedigree but she's not obviously fancied.
6
6th (6) Sunny Time (10/1 +0%)
Sunny Time

10
10/1(+0%)
(6) Sunny Time 10/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Ninth of 11 in maiden (125/1) at Yarmouth (5.2f, good). Off 110 days/gelded and significantly up in trip for this nursery debut.
Achieved little in three runs over 5f; would want to see some support on his nursery debut.
10
7th (10) Brown Gold (200/1 -300%)
Brown Gold

200
200/1(-300%)
(10) Brown Gold 200/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 250/1, seventh of 8 in maiden at Newcastle (7.1f) 62 days ago, slowly away. Vast improvement required now pitched into a nursery.
Rare 2yo runner for her yard; has been beaten a long way in three runs.
3
8th (3) Princess Inga (11/2 +31%)
Princess Inga

5.5
11/2(+31%)
(3) Princess Inga 11/2, Lightly-raced maiden. 17/2, last of 7 in nursery at Yarmouth (7f, soft) 20 days ago. Makes tapeta debut and hood on 1st time. Place possibilities.
Is exposed now and needs now more tried in a hood.
8
9th (8) Bolly Dolly (28/1 -180%)
Bolly Dolly

28
28/1(-180%)
(8) Bolly Dolly 28/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Blinkered for 1st time, last of 7 in maiden (100/1) at Epsom (7f, good to soft). Off 116 days ahead of this nursery debut and she needs to take a significant step forward.
Off since a couple of poor efforts in headgear in the summer; needs a deal more.
2
10th (2) Lolapalooza (8/1 -33%)
Lolapalooza

8
8/1(-33%)
(2) Lolapalooza 8/1, 12/1, seventh of 11 in nursery at Leicester (6f, heavy) 27 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Makes tapeta debut and claims if able to reproduce her best form now switched to this surface.
Didn't see out 1m in September and maybe heavy ground wasn't for her last time; chance.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

17:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 7f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

A chance is taken on nursery debutant EVA'S EYES being able to take things to a new level as she runs from a potentially competitive mark and has the assistance of a useful 7lb claimer in the saddle. The betting market should be informative, though, and support for A Fine Claret, Princess Inga or Flaine would need to be taken seriously.

LOLAPALOOZA will have every chance if able to perform to a similar level as when third in a 6f Nottingham maiden during the summer. She may have most to fear from Princess Inga, while Born Too Run and Flaine are others with claims.

Only Lolapalooza and Princess Inga have been placed so far but A FINE CLARET wasn't disgraced last time when hampered.


18:15 Southwell Maiden (Class 3) 6f - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
3
1st (3) Maui Breeze (4/7 +58%)
Maui Breeze

0.571429
4/7(+58%)
(3) Maui Breeze 4/7, Thrice-raced filly. Second of 11 in maiden at this course (6.1f, 6/4) 30 days ago, no match for winner. Sets the standard.
Improved with each of her three runs (C&D latest) and sets the standard; high on the list.
4
2nd (4) Grey Salvo (9/1 +44%)
Grey Salvo

9
9/1(+44%)
(4) Grey Salvo 9/1, Foaled February 23. 40,000 gns foal, £62,000 yearling, £18,000 2-y-o, Havana Grey filly. Dam, 2-y-o 6f winner who stayed 1m, half-sister to useful winner up to 1¼m Cabinet. Yard rarely strikes with newcomers.
£18,000 breeze-up 2yo; dam a 6f winner (RPR 81); yard not renowned for winning newcomers.
2
3rd (2) Jake Loves Laura (66/1 -32%)
Jake Loves Laura

66
66/1(-32%)
(2) Jake Loves Laura 66/1, Twice-raced filly. 40/1, first run since leaving Dominic Ffrench Davis when fifth of 8 in novice at this course (6.1f) 18 days ago. Looks vulnerable.
Debut run was okay but less good on stable debut (C&D) latest; improvement required.
8
4th (8) Lovesick (8/1 -45%)
Lovesick

8
8/1(-45%)
(8) Lovesick 8/1, Foaled March 26. Time Test filly. Dam 7f winner (including at 2 yrs). Will be of interest if the market speaks in her favour.
First foal of a Listed-placed winner (including AW); yard has winning newcomers.
5
5th (5) Sangara (25/1 -150%)
Sangara

25
25/1(-150%)
(5) Sangara 25/1, Twice-raced filly. Fifth of 9 in maiden (20/1) at this course (7.1f) 25 days ago. Probably more one for handicaps in due course.
Hasn't seen things out over 7f in two runs this autumn; drops to 6f and needs improvement.
1
6th (1) Fancy Dancer (12/1 -85%)
Fancy Dancer

12
12/1(-85%)
(1) Fancy Dancer 12/1, Foaled January 24. 38,000 gns foal, 60,000 gns yearling, Dandy Man filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including 2-y-o 7f winner Tawafag and winner up to 7f Bagara. Interesting to see which way she goes in the betting.
60,000gns half-sis to 3 winners; yard's 2yos have done much better on turf than AW in 2024.
7
7th (7) Good Reward (200/1 -100%)
Good Reward

200
200/1(-100%)
(7) Good Reward 200/1, Twice-raced filly. Last of 7 in novice at Newcastle (7.1f, 100/1) 17 days ago. Readily passed over.
Big prices and well beaten in her two runs; handicaps more suitable after this.
6
8th (6) Spendmore Lane (7/2 -40%)
Spendmore Lane

3.5
7/2(-40%)
(6) Spendmore Lane 7/2, Promising type. Third of 7 in novice at Newcastle (5f, 50/1) on debut 62 days ago. Extra furlong here will be in her favour and improvement is on the cards.
Debut 3rd at Newcastle (5f) was promising; new trip should suit; open to improvement.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

18:15 Southwell Maiden (Class 3) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.

Maui Breeze finished over three lengths clear of the third when taking the silver medal home over C&D last time and she holds an obvious chance. However, she might be worth taking on with SPENDMORE LANE. Julie Camacho's juvenile shaped with plenty of promise to finish third on her debut over 5f at Newcastle in September and, with normal progression, she could be the one to beat. Any market confidence behind Fancy Dancer would be interesting.

Having shaped with a fair bit of promise when third on debut at Newcastle, SPENDMORE LANE is appealing with this step up to 6f likely to help unlock improvement. Indeed, she may find the required improvement to get the better of Maui Breeze, who pulled clear of the rest when runner-up back from a break here last month. Newcomers Fancy Dancer and Lovesick both need close attention in the betting.

Maui Breeze just about sets the standard but SPENDMORE LANE shaped nicely on debut and may progress past her.


18:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 6f  - 8 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
4
1st (4) Coup De Force (6/5 +64%)
Coup De Force

1.2
6/5(+64%)
(4) Coup De Force 6/5, C&D winner in October. Respectable fifth of 11 in handicap (5/1) at Kempton (6f) 5 days ago. Likely to be on the premises.
Came up short in hat-trick bid last week; back against fillies but needs to pull out more.
6
2nd (6) Daytona Lady (16/1 -45%)
Daytona Lady

16
16/1(-45%)
(6) Daytona Lady 16/1, C&D winner. 4 wins from 16 runs this year. Latest win at Wolverhampton in September. Bit below form sixth of 10 in handicap (18/1) at this C&D 27 days ago. Looks vulnerable.
Conditions to suit and while only 6th over C&D latest, she still looked in form; respected.
8
3rd (8) Ziggy's Queen (9/2 -13%)
Ziggy's Queen

4.5
9/2(-13%)
(8) Ziggy's Queen 9/2, Twelve runs since last win in 2023. 9/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, creditable third of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 21 days ago. One to consider.
Finished her race off well at Wolverhampton last time but it was a strongly run affair.
1
4th (1) Kitai (17/2 -89%)
Kitai

8.5
17/2(-89%)
(1) Kitai 17/2, Latest win at Goodwood in July. Fourth of 7 in handicap (15/2) at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) 48 days ago. Enters calculations off 1 lb lower here.
Usually runs in better races; repeat of Goodwood win in July would make her hard to beat.
5
5th (5) Exponista (5/1 +55%)
Exponista

5
5/1(+55%)
(5) Exponista 5/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. 22/1, creditable seventh of 12 in handicap at this C&D 11 days ago. Others make more appeal from a win point of view.
Two sound runs over C&D since blinkers went on; easy lead seems unlikely.
2
6th (2) Shallow (16/1 -167%)
Shallow

16
16/1(-167%)
(2) Shallow 16/1, Lightly-raced winner. 2 wins from 3 runs this year. 3/1, last of 5 in handicap at Chelmsford City (6f). Off 6 months ahead of this first run on tapeta and she needs to raise her game.
Flopped in hat-trick bid in April; absent since; not fully exposed ahead of Tapeta debut.
3
7th (3) Holy Fire (7/1 +22%)
Holy Fire

7
7/1(+22%)
(3) Holy Fire 7/1, Thirteen runs since last win in 2023. 16/1, eleventh of 14 in handicap at Kempton (7f) 82 days ago. Cheekpieces back on and she will have every chance off this reduced mark if able to bounce back.
Quiet when last seen but down in weights and dropping to 6f/return of headgear can help.
7
8th (7) Incrimination (20/1 -167%)
Incrimination

20
20/1(-167%)
(7) Incrimination 20/1, Sixth of 8 in handicap (14/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 10 days ago, never nearer. Another who will probably find one or two too good.
Not found her absolute best in 2024; well treated but she'll need a good pace back at 6f.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

18:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 4) 6f  Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.

KITAI wasn't disgraced when finishing fourth in a warmer event at York in September and the handicapper might have been kind to drop her 1lb for that performance. Mick Appleby's four-year-old will appreciate this drop in grade and looks well placed to record her fifth career success. Ziggy's Queen finished a close-up third at Wolverhampton last month and should remain competitive off a 1lb lower rating, while Shallow isn't one to write off either.

A chance is taken on HOLY FIRE, who misfired at Kempton when last seen in August but she posted several decent efforts in defeat prior to that and has edged down to an attractive mark. Ziggy's Queen lost little caste in defeat when third at Wolverhampton three weeks ago and she will be a threat if able to back that up here, while Coup de Force and Kitai both make some each-way appeal.

Daytona Lady and Kitai are feared but SHALLOW retains potential after just four starts and she looked promising in the spring.


19:15 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 16f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
6
1st (6) Payment Plan (5/1 -11%)
Payment Plan

5
5/1(-11%)
(6) Payment Plan 5/1, Good third of 6 in handicap (11/10) at Wolverhampton (14f) 14 days ago. Remains unexposed and shapes like he will be suited by this trip, so definite claims.
Low-mileage 4yo; ran well when upped to 1m6f last month; goes even further today.
9
2nd (9) Sir Joseph Swan (12/1 -60%)
Sir Joseph Swan

12
12/1(-60%)
(9) Sir Joseph Swan 12/1, 10/3, good ½-length second of 7 to Sullivan Bay in handicap at Chelmsford City (16f) 9 days ago, clear of rest. Blinkers back on.
Yet to win this year but ran big race in defeat behind Sullivan Bay last week.
3
3rd (3) Sullivan Bay (7/2 -5%)
Sullivan Bay

3.5
7/2(-5%)
(3) Sullivan Bay 7/2, First run since leaving Henrietta Knight, 7/4 and visored for 1st time, won 7-runner handicap at Chelmsford City (16f) 9 days ago by ½ length from Sir Joseph Swan, overcoming a slow start. Worth a chance to follow up.
Won in first-time visor on recent stable debut and is probably still on a workable mark.
4
4th (4) Alex The Great (17/2 -21%)
Alex The Great

8.5
17/2(-21%)
(4) Alex The Great 17/2, 10/1 and blinkered for 1st time, respectable second of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (14f) 58 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Raphael Freire.
Bought for 10,500gns since 1m6f second at Wolverhampton in September; enters calculations.
11
5th (11) Angelica Catalani (66/1 -136%)
Angelica Catalani

66
66/1(-136%)
(11) Angelica Catalani 66/1, 9/1, ninth of 10 in minor event at Newcastle (10.2f). Off 94 days. Significantly up in trip. Others make more appeal.
Placed over 1m4f in July but disappointing over 1m2f since; tries a new trip today.
1
6th (1) Scylla (14/1 -27%)
Scylla

14
14/1(-27%)
(1) Scylla 14/1, Winner at Lingfield in July. 3½ lengths fourth of 6 to Anna of Saxony in handicap (9/2) at this C&D 27 days ago. Holding form and on better terms with that rival now.
Turf winner this summer and has posted a couple decent efforts on Tapeta lately.
8
7th (8) Snapius (10/1 +44%)
Snapius

10
10/1(+44%)
(8) Snapius 10/1, Ninth of 11 in handicap at Windsor (11.4f, heavy, 8/1) 21 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Makes tapeta debut.
Has not shown much on his three stable starts; needs to turn a corner.
5
8th (5) Hawk Jet (10/1 +17%)
Hawk Jet

10
10/1(+17%)
(5) Hawk Jet 10/1, Fifth of 7 in handicap at Kempton (16f, 10/1) 24 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Not discounted.
Placed when back on the Flat in August but not quite in same form since and now 0-11.
2
9th (2) Lindwall (8/1 +27%)
Lindwall

8
8/1(+27%)
(2) Lindwall 8/1, Creditable 3¼ lengths third of 6 to Anna of Saxony in handicap (10/1) at this C&D 27 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Cheekpieces on 1st time.
Largely consistent for this stable; player if cheekpieces have any positive effect.
7
10th (7) Anna Of Saxony (7/2 +36%)
Anna Of Saxony

3.5
7/2(+36%)
(7) Anna Of Saxony 7/2, Won 6-runner handicap at this C&D (13/2) 27 days ago. Not an obvious sort to follow up.
C&D winner when upped in trip last month; only 2lb higher today; respected.
10
11th (10) Kitten's Dream (100/1 0%)
Kitten's Dream

100
100/1(0%)
(10) Kitten's Dream 100/1, Unreliable sort. C&D winner. Thirty five runs since last win in 2023. 66/1, eighth of 9 in handicap at this course (14.1f) 7 days ago. Difficult ask.
Regressive 7yo who was a well-beaten 66-1 shot off today's basement mark here a week ago.
12
12th (12) Balticus (25/1 -14%)
Balticus

25
25/1(-14%)
(12) Balticus 25/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 150/1, eleventh of 12 in maiden at Chelmsford City (7f) 32 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Visored for 1st time. Makes handicap debut. Worth a market check.
Showed no promise in his qualifying runs (7f-1m2f); worth market check on handicap debut.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

19:15 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 16f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Sullivan Bay had Sir Joseph Swan (second) half a length behind in this grade at Chelmsford on his latest outing and is expected to confirm that form to have a say. However, it may pay to side with ALEX THE GREAT, who occupied the runner-up berth over 1m6f at Wolverhampton in September and has since switched to the Tony Carroll stable. If he can back that level of performance up, he could prove tough to beat. Anna Of Saxony completes the shortlist.

SULLIVAN BAY landed a gamble on his first outing for this yard at Chelmsford recently and remains well treated, so he's preferred to Payment Plan, who should benefit from the longer trip. Sir Joseph Swan, who was second to the selection last time, is another one worthy of respect.

The suggestion is SULLIVAN BAY, who got his career back on track when scoring for his new stable at Chelmsford last week.


19:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 6f - 11 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
3
1st (3) Willolarupi (6/1 -50%)
Willolarupi

6
6/1(-50%)
(3) Willolarupi 6/1, Winner at Beverley in August. 11/2, creditable third of 10 in handicap at Pontefract (5f, heavy) 14 days ago. Back up in trip. Makes tapeta debut. Merits consideration.
Been in good order on turf but yet to convince at 6f and this is his AW debut.
7
2nd (7) Carlton And Co (5/1 +23%)
Carlton And Co

5
5/1(+23%)
(7) Carlton And Co 5/1, Latest win at Leicester in July. Good second of 8 in handicap (10/1) at Newcastle (6f) 31 days ago, clear of rest. Should give another good account.
In good form on turf and AW in recent starts; should remain competitive.
8
3rd (8) Caesars Pearl (20/1 +43%)
Caesars Pearl

20
20/1(+43%)
(8) Caesars Pearl 20/1, Tenth of 13 in handicap at Thirsk (5f, good to firm, 40/1). Off 150 days. Back up in trip. Hard to make a case for.
Drops in class but she's returning from another break and has too much to prove for now.
9
4th (9) Snow Berry (40/1 -122%)
Snow Berry

40
40/1(-122%)
(9) Snow Berry 40/1, Unreliable sort. 3 wins from 8 runs this year. Latest win at Bath in September. Seventh of 10 in handicap (22/1) at Yarmouth (6f, good to soft) 28 days ago.
Three turf wins this summer but below par the last twice & yet to show comparable AW form.
4
5th (4) Doddie's Impact (33/1 0%)
Doddie's Impact

33
33/1(0%)
(4) Doddie's Impact 33/1, First run since leaving Lawney Hill when tenth of 12 in handicap (66/1) at Redcar (5f, soft) 17 days ago. Back up in trip. Makes tapeta debut.
Poor form since winning last year's Brocklesby; too much to prove for comfort.
2
6th (2) Oso Rapido (9/4 +72%)
Oso Rapido

2.25
9/4(+72%)
(2) Oso Rapido 9/4, Seventeen runs since last win in 2023. Seventh of 10 in handicap (5/1) at Redcar (6f, heavy) 7 days ago. Needs to get back on track.
Yet to win in 2024 and he needs to bounce back from a modest run at Redcar last week.
6
7th (6) Formby (16/1 -146%)
Formby

16
16/1(-146%)
(6) Formby 16/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 11/2 and hooded for 1st time, second of 6 in novice at Newcastle (6f) 34 days ago, very slowly away. Makes handicap debut. Still learning and can do better switched to handicaps.
Unexposed handicap debutant who has shown promise, including on AW; one to consider.
11
8th (11) Lil Wade (28/1 -12%)
Lil Wade

28
28/1(-12%)
(11) Lil Wade 28/1, Remains a maiden after 17 Flat runs. Bit below form fifth of 10 in handicap at this course (5f, 25/1) 7 days ago. Back up in trip. Others preferred.
0-17 and it would be a surprise if there weren't a few stronger in this field.
10
9th (10) Bomb Squad (33/1 -83%)
Bomb Squad

33
33/1(-83%)
(10) Bomb Squad 33/1, C&D winner. 18/1, last of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 16 days ago.
Not shone in two runs back from layoff; type to come good again at some point this winter.
5
10th (5) Prince Of Bel Lir (7/2 -17%)
Prince Of Bel Lir

3.5
7/2(-17%)
(5) Prince Of Bel Lir 7/2, Very good second of 10 in handicap (11/4) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 16 days ago. Capable of going one better from a handy mark.
Went close (front two clear) at Wolverhampton latest; still well treated; strong claims.
1
11th (1) Kodi Red (6/1 -9%)
Kodi Red

6
6/1(-9%)
(1) Kodi Red 6/1, Won 9-runner handicap (11/1) at Chelmsford City (6f) 4 days ago, always holding on. Carries penalty. Still potentially well treated on his best efforts, so definite player if in the same form.
Game win at Chelmsford four days ago but not an obvious type to defy a penalty.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

19:45 Southwell Handicap (Class 6) 6f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.

Kodi Red makes a quick reappearance after winning at Chelmsford four days ago, but he carries a 5lb penalty for that success and PRINCE OF BEL LIR makes more appeal. The latter finished clear of the rest when runner-up at Wolverhampton last time and looks set to strike with Kaiya Fraser's claim negating a 3lb rise. Carlton And Co may well launch another challenge from the front having found only one too good at Newcastle, while Formby should be noted on his handicap debut.

PRINCE OF BEL LIR bounced back to form last time having slipped to an appealing mark and, having found only one too good, he's fancied to make amends in what looks quite a competitive race for the grade. Willolarupi and Formby head the dangers.

Formby and Carlton And Co can go well but PRINCE OF BEL LIR (nap) looks ready to strike after a good run at Wolverhampton.


20:15 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 12f  - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (1) Melek Alreeh (11/2 +0%)
Melek Alreeh

5.5
11/2(+0%)
(1) Melek Alreeh 11/2, C&D winner. Bit below form eighth of 13 in handicap (17/2) at Kempton (11f) 40 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Shaped as if still in good order last time and can't be ruled out.
Won over C&D in March but he's been laboured since; needs a major revival back on AW.
6
2nd (6) Thrilling Dream (16/1 -45%)
Thrilling Dream

16
16/1(-45%)
(6) Thrilling Dream 16/1, 3 wins from 9 runs this year. Latest win at Leicester in July. 18/1, ninth of 14 in handicap at Nottingham (14f, heavy) 11 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Not easy to make a case for.
Had excuse on soft 11 days ago but he's untried on Tapeta and others are preferred.
3
3rd (3) Desert Emperor (5/1 +44%)
Desert Emperor

5
5/1(+44%)
(3) Desert Emperor 5/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2021. Ninth of 12 in handicap at this C&D (22/1) 67 days ago, finding little. Others more persuasive.
All of his wins were at the end of 2021 and he's been well held on Tapeta in last two runs.
7
4th (7) Western Stars (8/1 +60%)
Western Stars

8
8/1(+60%)
(7) Western Stars 8/1, Latest win at Newbury in July. 28/1, ninth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 11 days ago.
On dangerous mark in suitable conditions but he needs to get back on track.
5
5th (5) Kinetic (6/1 -80%)
Kinetic

6
6/1(-80%)
(5) Kinetic 6/1, C&D winner. 4 wins from 13 runs this year. Latest win here in September. Fifth of 8 in handicap (5/2) at Newcastle (12.4f) 31 days ago. Probably found the race coming too soon last time and had been progressive prior to that.
Four wins since August; didn't fire latest but it's still hard to rule out more progress.
2
6th (2) Met Office (10/3 +5%)
Met Office

3.333333
10/3(+5%)
(2) Met Office 10/3, 66/1, fourth of 13 in handicap at Kempton (12f) 24 days ago. Down the weights and, having returned to form, he's worthy of interest.
Hard to predict but he's on a workable mark and was an eyecatcher at Kempton last time.
4
7th (4) Alrazeen (11/4 -10%)
Alrazeen

2.75
11/4(-10%)
(4) Alrazeen 11/4, Course winner. 15/2, very good second of 7 in handicap at Wolverhampton (16.6f) 10 days ago. Back down in trip. Blinkers on 1st time. Considered despite the drop back in trip.
Back on track with near miss at Wolverhampton (2m) latest and he's respected back in trip.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

20:15 Southwell Handicap (Class 5) 12f  Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.

A winner at Wolverhampton in November 2023, MET OFFICE has returned to a winning mark and caught the eye finishing strongly for fourth at Kempton last time. That effort suggests his turn is not far away and John Butler's inmate may edge affairs. Melek Alreeh returns to this venue for the first time since scoring here in March and can have a say in the outcome, while Thrilling Dream drops back in distance with a shout having landed a double at Leicester in July.

MET OFFICE has tumbled in the weights and looked back in form last time, so he's worth taking a chance on. Kinetic could resume progress and looks appealing, with Alrazeen completing the shortlist.

Preference is for the versatile ALRAZEEN, who got back on track with a near miss behind a well-backed rival at Wolverhampton latest.


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How to use Tomform

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This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.


About U.K Horse Racing

Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.

There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.

The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.

Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.

In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.

Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.


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