Ayr Races & Results Tomform Monday 11th December 2023
There were 23 Races on Monday 11th December 2023 across 3 meetings. There was 8 races at Ayr, 7 races at Lingfield, 8 races at Chelmsford-City, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
Races & Results Monday 11th December 2023
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
(5) Rocheval 4/6, Looked a good prospect when impressive winner of 8-runner bumper at Aintree (17f, heavy) on debut last month, passing the line with gusto. Better to come and of major interest on hurdle bow. Comfortably won on debut in bumper at Aintree; strong claims if transferring that promise.
3
2nd (3) (5/1 +0%) I Wish You
5
5/1(+0%)
(3) I Wish You 5/1, Made an encouraging start to career when 6 lengths second of 8 to Rocheval in a bumper at Aintree (17f, heavy) on debut 30 days ago. Could build on that now hurdling. 6l behind Rocheval when second in Aintree bumper but could give another good account.
2
3rd (2) (12/1 -20%) Copernic Du Mazet
12
12/1(-20%)
(2) Copernic Du Mazet 12/1, Arrigo gelding. Dam, ran once on Flat in France, half-sister to fairly useful French hurdler (2¼m winner) Nan's Catch. Wears hood for debut and needs a market check for good yard. Makes debut in a hood but he's in good hands and the betting could be informative.
1
4th (1) (8/1 -220%) Summer Night City
8
8/1(-220%)
(1) Summer Night City 8/1, Brother to 4 winners and stepped up on hurdling debut when landing 4-runner event at Hereford 48 days ago. This looks a bit stronger so more will be needed under a penalty. Won at Hereford on second start; different ground today but has to be in calculations.
4
5th (4) (13/2 -30%) La Quarite
6.5
13/2(-30%)
(4) La Quarite 13/2, Showed a bit before getting tired and falling last in juvenile hurdle at Musselburgh (15.6f) on debut 33 days ago. May do better. Final-flight faller on debut; showed some ability and open to improvement; not discounted.
7
|PU| (7) (125/1 -681%) Tiny Angel
125
125/1(-681%)
(7) Tiny Angel 125/1, Yeats filly who has shown nothing both starts to date. Has travelled from Northern Ireland but tailed off at big odds on her first two starts.
LTO Selection:
11:50 Ayr Conditions Hurdle (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Summer Night City warrants respect having made a winning debut at Hereford in October, but a 7lb penalty will require more of Ben Brookhouse's gelding and, with that in mind, ROCHEVAL looks the one to be with. The son of Kapgarde impressed when winning on his debut in an Aintree bumper last month and he could take all the beating if taking to hurdling. Newcomer Copernic Du Mazet is one to note in the market for a yard who have done well with their runners here so far (4-8).
It was highly encouraging that ROCHEVAL was able to make a winning start in style in a 17f course bumper last month considering he's bred to need time and distance, so he's a straightforward choice to follow up on this switch to hurdling. I Wish You is fancied to chase home his stablemate once again.
The Lucinda Russell-trained ROCHEVAL created a good impression when winning on his debut in a bumper at Aintree and he can make it 2-2.
(4) Florida Dreams 8/11, 2-2 in bumpers, latterly overcoming trouble to see off 19 rivals in a Grade 2 at Aintree in April. Found out in a steadily-run race when beaten favourite on C&D hurdle debut but he remains a good prospect and could leave that bare form well behind now. Smart bumper performer; bit disappointing when 3rd on hurdles debut but an obvious chance.
12
2nd (12) (11/1 -83%) Phantomofthepoints
11
11/1(-83%)
(12) Phantomofthepoints 11/1, Failed to complete in 2 points but showed plenty when third of 15 in a Galway bumper in May. Left Mrs Grainne O'Connor after and ran to a similar level when second in 6-runner event at Ffos Las (15.8f, heavy) 19 days ago. One to consider on hurdle debut. Failed to finish in 2 points; creditable runs in two bumpers; interesting on hurdles debut.
8
3rd (8) (3/1 +14%) Joshua Des Flos
3
3/1(+14%)
(8) Joshua Des Flos 3/1, Placed in 2 bumpers and ran to a fairly useful level when third of 22 in a Punchestown maiden hurdle for Joseph Patrick O'Brien in November 2022. Not in same form when filling same spot on first start back with former yard over C&D last month but is still a leading contender on form. Made an excellent hurdles debut (2m3f) but hasn't done as well since (2m); each-way chance.
6
4th (6) (5/1 +38%) Hombre De Guerra
5
5/1(+38%)
(6) Hombre De Guerra 5/1, Caught the eye when rattling home for second in a C&D novice hurdle on reappearance just over a month ago, with the reopposing Joshua des Flos behind in third. Capable of better again on that evidence and rates a big player. Shaped well when second to a subsequent winner over C&D last month; chance.
3
5th (3) (25/1 -56%) Dream Boy
25
25/1(-56%)
(3) Dream Boy 25/1, Successful on last of 3 starts in Irish points and has offered something to work on both starts under Rules, latterly when fourth in a C&D novice just over a month ago. May do better. Irish point winner who has finished fourth on both runs over hurdles; each-way chance.
7
6th (7) (28/1 +15%) Indian Louis
28
28/1(+15%)
(7) Indian Louis 28/1, Dual point winner who has shaped like a stayer both starts over hurdles. Type to do better in handicaps at longer trips after this. £70,000 buy after two Irish point wins; just fair efforts over hurdles and more needed.
1
7th (1) (125/1 -89%) Adveram
125
125/1(-89%)
(1) Adveram 125/1, Some minor promise in bumpers but much more needed to play a leading role on hurdle debut. Promise in bumpers, notably when third over 2m1f here in March; jumps debut; interesting.
2
8th (2) (40/1 -60%) Benefit Ben
40
40/1(-60%)
(2) Benefit Ben 40/1, £15,000 5-y-o, Ocovango gelding. Half-brother to fair 25f chase winner Three By Two and fair staying chaser Buddha Scheme. Dam useful 2m hurdle winner (stayed 3m). Maiden Irish pointer, runner-up last time (May 7). £15,000 buy after Irish point second in May; no easy task on rules debut.
9
9th (9) (250/1 -67%) Lord Denning
250
250/1(-67%)
(9) Lord Denning 250/1, Boasts a decent jumps pedigree but only hinted at ability before fading on his Carlisle debut. Will likely strip fitter this time but he'll require a big step up to figure. 45,000 euros 3yo; no particular promise when pulled up on debut (50-1); best watched.
14
10th (14) (250/1 -67%) Scalloway Bay
250
250/1(-67%)
(14) Scalloway Bay 250/1, Well held in bumper/completed start over hurdles. Well beaten in a bumper and in only completed start over hurdles; others stronger.
11
11th (11) (125/1 -279%) Paddy Elvis
125
125/1(-279%)
(11) Paddy Elvis 125/1, Modest in bumpers and 2 hurdles. Looks more one for handicaps after this. Runner-up in an AW bumper; modest form over hurdles (behind Florida Dreams last time).
13
12th (13) (100/1 -614%) Sattam
100
100/1(-614%)
(13) Sattam 100/1, Showed fair form when in the frame all 3 starts in bumpers for D. K. Weld, doing too much too soon at Galway on final outing in October. Hood added for hurdle/stable debut. In the frame in three Irish bumpers; sold 30,000gns; perhaps best watched on jumps debut.
5
13th (5) (300/1 -200%) Golden Swift
300
300/1(-200%)
(5) Golden Swift 300/1, Last of 15 in bumper (50/1) at this C&D (good) on debut 37 days ago, dropping away quickly. Easily passed over on this switch to hurdling. 2,200 euros 3yo; tailed off in a C&D bumper on debut; not an obvious contender.
10
14th (10) (125/1 -525%) Master Bricklayer
125
125/1(-525%)
(10) Master Bricklayer 125/1, Looked badly in need of the experience when eighth of 10 in bumper at Kelso (16.2f, good, 9/2) 7 months ago. Makes hurdles debut. Should do better at some point. 31,000 euros 3yo; modest debut when 9-2 for a Kelso bumper; may do better on jumps debut.
16
15th (16) (150/1 -200%) Snow Shepherdess
150
150/1(-200%)
(16) Snow Shepherdess 150/1, Modest form when placed both starts in bumpers and was left poorly placed when well held on last month's C&D hurdling debut. One for handicaps later on. Placed in her two bumpers on good/good to firm but well beaten over C&D on hurdles debut.
LTO Selection:
12:20 Ayr Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
As David Pipe's only entrant on today's card, Phantomofthepoints is a noteworthy long-distance traveller for his debut over hurdles, while Sattam is an intriguing option starting out for Dianne Sayer after switching from Dermot Weld's yard in Ireland. However, Joshua Des Flos (third) and HOMBRE DE GUERRA (second) hold a valuable edge in terms of previous course and distance experience, with the latter fancied to uphold the form of last month's encounter on the same terms. Florida Dreams adds further spice to the contest.
Useful dual bumper winner FLORIDA DREAMS was seen to nothing like best effect (unsuited by test of speed) when third on his C&D hurdling debut last month and is well worth another chance. Old rivals Hombre de Guerra and Joshua des Flos head up the dangers, along with David Pipe's Phantomofthepoints.
Smart bumper horse Florida Dreams has good claims but the vote goes to HOMBRE DE GUERRA, who was a good C&D second last month.
(14) Rory's Story 50/1, Modest in bumpers and more one for handicaps judged on her 2 efforts over hurdles. Showed some ability in bumpers but soundly beaten on both hurdle starts.
3
1st (3) (7/1 -56%) Doyen Du Bar
7
7/1(-56%)
(3) Doyen Du Bar 7/1, Clearly hasn't been the easiest to train, given the sizeable gaps between each of his 3 career starts. Still, he acquitted himself well when runner-up on hurdles debut following a 19-month absence at Kelso (16.2f, heavy) in October and he remains open to improvement. Bumper winner who was encouraging second on hurdle debut and is open to improvement.
4
2nd (4) (1/2 +25%) Esprit Du Potier
0.5
1/2(+25%)
(4) Esprit Du Potier 1/2, Dual bumper winner here last season and made a positive start to hurdling when second on return at Kelso (2m, good to soft). Likely to make a bold bid to go one better here with that run under his belt. Won two bumpers here and runner-up on hurdle debut at Kelso in October; leading claims.
7
3rd (7) (8/1 +20%) President Scottie
8
8/1(+20%)
(7) President Scottie 8/1, Placed on 2 of 3 bumper starts last season and appeals as the type to make his mark in this sphere. Interesting to see how he shapes up in the betting. Third in two bumpers and brings potential to this hurdle debut; one to be interested in.
5
4th (5) (16/1 +20%) Finn Lough
16
16/1(+20%)
(5) Finn Lough 16/1, Successful sole start between the flags and offered something to work on when fifth in a 7-runner event on hurdles debut at Wetherby last month. Still, probably more one for handicaps further down the line. Point winner who faced tough task on rules debut and he's a possible now down in grade.
6
5th (6) (18/1 +45%) Lucky Soldier
18
18/1(+45%)
(6) Lucky Soldier 18/1, Promising second in a bumper here on debut last October but safely held in races won by Esprit du Potier on next 2 starts. Again down the field on hurdles debut at Kelso when last seen during the spring. Second on debut in bumper here but hasn't kicked on; didn't jump well on hurdle debut.
10
6th (10) (100/1 -100%) Tommy Combats
100
100/1(-100%)
(10) Tommy Combats 100/1, Bought for £21,000 after finishing third on the first of 2 starts in Irish points. Best to look elsewhere unless the betting suggests otherwise. Displayed promise in first of his two runs in Irish points; not dismissed on rules debut.
9
7th (9) (28/1 -100%) Skiddaw
28
28/1(-100%)
(9) Skiddaw 28/1, Cost plenty but offered little in a Worcester bumper on debut last October. More positive signs switched to hurdles for new yard at Kelso at the end of October and he's likely to do better in time, particularly when eventually sent chasing. Showed some promise when fifth on hurdle debut and pedigree provides hope he'll improve.
13
8th (13) (50/1 -150%) Prontoanita
50
50/1(-150%)
(13) Prontoanita 50/1, Shaped with some encouragement in a brace of bumpers and was given a considerate introduction to hurdling at Hexham and most recently over this C&D. Looks one for low-grade handicaps further down the line. Last month's C&D sixth came in a race that is working out well; not ruled out each-way.
8
9th (8) (100/1 -400%) River Ayr
100
100/1(-400%)
(8) River Ayr 100/1, Half-brother to 3 winners and promise when runner-up on the first of 2 course bumpers last season. However, his second effort was pretty underwhelming and big step forward needed now hurdling. Ran well in the first of his two bumpers here; pedigree suggests a longer trip will suit.
12
|F| (12) (13/2 +7%) Brucio
6.5
13/2(+7%)
(12) Brucio 13/2, Bettered what she showed in bunpers when third in a big-field Down Royal maiden (17f, soft) on hurdles debut last month. Will be a danger to all if able to build on that. Third of 19 on hurdle debut at Down Royal and she could have a part to play.
15
10th (15) (150/1 -500%) Whozatgirl
150
150/1(-500%)
(15) Whozatgirl 150/1, Modest form in 3 bumpers and showed more spark at second attempt in this sphere when sixth of 11 at Sedgefield (16.8f, good to soft). However, Esprit du Potier is the clealry the stable first-string. Unable to get competitive on her first two hurdle starts and others appeal more.
1
11th (1) (80/1 -142%) Bowler Jack
80
80/1(-142%)
(1) Bowler Jack 80/1, Limited encouragement in bumpers and is likely to be brought along gradually now going hurdling. Well beaten in bumpers and pedigree suggests he'll come into his own when tackling further.
2
12th (2) (250/1 -279%) Cave Hill
250
250/1(-279%)
(2) Cave Hill 250/1, Not disgraced on Kelso bumper debut but no show both subsequent starts and looks up against it now switched to hurdles. Failed to threaten in bumpers and is hard to fancy on first hurdle start.
11
|PU| (11) (300/1 -100%) Born To Sparkle
300
300/1(-100%)
(11) Born To Sparkle 300/1, Looked a hard ride when well held in a Newcastle bumper on debut last December and pulled up on hurdles bow there on return 18 days ago. Tailed off in sole bumper and pulled up at 300-1 on last month's hurdle debut at Newcastle.
LTO Selection:
12:50 Ayr Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
ESPRIT DU POTIER may have been slightly disappointing when going down as a short-priced favourite on his hurdles bow at Kelso, but Lucinda Russell's charge is entitle to come on for that experience and he can gain compensation on this occasion. Doyen Du Bar shaped with plenty of promise on his own debut over obstacles at the same track and he must enter calculations, along with Irish raider Brucio, who placed in what looked a strong maiden hurdle at Down Royal last month.
ESPRIT DU POTIER quickly made up into a pretty useful bumper performer last season and he shaped well when finding just one too good on his reappearance at Kelso. The 4-y-o is open to improvement and will take plenty of stopping here. Doyen du Bar is second choice ahead of Brucio and hurdles-debutant President Scottie.
Two-time course bumper winner ESPRIT DU POTIER was runner-up on his hurdle debut at Kelso and is taken to go one better today.
(7) Readysteadybeau 2/1, Overcame mistakes to get off at the fourth attempt over fences here (21.5f, soft) in February and bounced back from a fall to run out a dominant winner at Perth in April. Unseated rider at Wetherby last time but should be involved granted a clear round. Two wins last season and could have more to offer if minimising the blunders.
2
2nd (2) (7/1 -17%) Marown
7
7/1(-17%)
(2) Marown 7/1, Runner-up on his reappearance here last season and best effort since when filling the same position at Carlisle in March. However, lacklustre display when last seen at Kelso (23.4f, good) the following month and he's probably worth taking on. His form was up and down last season but he went very close in March; one to consider.
6
3rd (6) (9/2 +36%) Destiny Is All
4.5
9/2(+36%)
(6) Destiny Is All 9/2, Consistent performer who scored twice here during 2021/22 campaign and since struck twice at Kelso, including on return in October. Jumping went to pot at Cheltenham next time but each-way shout if he gets into a good rhythm here. Well beaten at Cheltenham last time but made mistakes, and he won two starts ago.
8
4th (8) (9/1 +18%) Eagle Terrace
9
9/1(+18%)
(8) Eagle Terrace 9/1, Opened chase account at Cartmel in July and, though below par next 2 starts, his latest fourth of 19 in a Down Royal handicap hurdle was a solid effort. Could have a part to play if able too back that up now returned to fences Good 4th of 19 over hurdles at Down Royal last time; could be in the mix back over fences.
5
5th (5) (18/1 -200%) Telhimlisten
18
18/1(-200%)
(5) Telhimlisten 18/1, Progressed well from a low base over hurdles during the spring, winning 4 times, and easy winner of a 3-runner affair on first completed chase start at Plumpton in April. Excuses on yard debut but turned in a lacklustre display reverted to hurdles back from a break in October. Prolific in the spring but pulled up last time and there are doubts about his stamina.
4
|U| (4) (2/1 +15%) Ned Tanner
2
2/1(+15%)
(4) Ned Tanner 2/1, Dual hurdles winner who scored twice over fences at Kelso last season. Unlucky not to add another win to his CV at that course last month (suffered interference at a crucial stage of the race) and he's high on the shortlist. Kept on for second over 2m5f at Kelso last month and he's on the shortlist.
1
|PU| (1) (33/1 -65%) Chameron
33
33/1(-65%)
(1) Chameron 33/1, Fairly useful hurdler/chaser who won 5-runner handicap chase at Hexham (2½m, heavy) in March. Made mistakes when below-par second at Tipperary the following month, though, and will need to raise his game on debut for new yard. Won on penultimate start for Patrick Griffin and capable of a bold show on stable debut.
LTO Selection:
13:20 Ayr Handicap Chase (Class 3) 24f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
READYSTEADYBEAU still appeared to be travelling within himself when unseating his rider at the ninth fence at Wetherby last month. Lucinda Russell's charge could have learnt from that and is taken to put that mishap behind him by landing a first success of the season in this contest. Ned Tanner only just came up short when second over an extended 2m5f at Kelso last month and he should appreciate this step back up in trip, with Marown likely to be in the mix too.
NED TANNER looked an unlucky loser at Kelso where he was slighly hampered and the 7-y-o is taken to gain compensation here. He may have most to fear from Eagle Terrace, who put in a good shift over hurdles at Down Royal last month and remains on a workable mark. Destiny Is All should also have a part to play, provided he's on-song.
Jumping can be an issue for READYSTEADYBEAU but this second-season chaser appeals as a type who has more to offer over staying trips.
(5) Better Getalong 33/1, Followed Carlisle success in February 2022 with a string of creditable efforts in defeat, fourth of 10 in handicap hurdle at Kelso (22.7f, good to soft, 11/1) when last seen 7 months ago. May need this and has had plenty of chances off this sort of mark. 12yo who needs to find extra, but edging down the weights and has won here three times.
3
2nd (3) (3/1 +70%) Ballycoose
3
3/1(+70%)
(3) Ballycoose 3/1, Course winner in December 2021 and shaped as if retaining all ability after 19 months off when fourth of 17 in handicap hurdle at Navan (20f, heavy) just over 3 weeks ago. Sound each-way claims with that under his belt. Won maiden hurdle here and returned from absence with promising fourth at Navan; contender.
10
3rd (10) (10/1 +0%) Aurora Thunder
10
10/1(+0%)
(10) Aurora Thunder 10/1, Didn't quite look the force of old when going without a win last season, but after 4 months off she shaped with some encouragement when third at Perth (20.2f, heavy) in September. Down another 2 lb and she merits respect. 9yo whose form has gone wrong way but she's dropped to a dangerous mark and likes it here.
1
4th (1) (3/1 +54%) Rafferty's Return
3
3/1(+54%)
(1) Rafferty's Return 3/1, 3-time hurdle winner (at up to 21f) who showed benefit of reappearance run when 7 lengths third of 10 in handicap at Wetherby (19.7f) just over 3 weeks ago. Fallen 1 lb below last winning mark ahead of this and not discounted. Fair third at Wetherby last month and could have a part to play.
6
5th (6) (16/1 -129%) Guernesey
16
16/1(-129%)
(6) Guernesey 16/1, Generally consistent when trained by Philip Hobbs but disappointing in three outings for Joe Tizzard earlier this year. However, showed he retains plenty of ability on his first outing for this yard after 7 months off when second at Kelso (25.8f) recently and could build on that. Went close on recent stable/seasonal debut at Kelso; player if this doesn't come too soon.
8
6th (8) (12/1 +25%) Mack The Man
12
12/1(+25%)
(8) Mack The Man 12/1, Four-time winner over hurdles who stopped the slide to some extent when a well-beaten third at Taunton (16.5f, heavy) 9 months ago. Returns for a new yard (17,500 gns) having dropped to a very tempting mark so he's one to look out for. Regressive profile but on dangerous mark; perhaps a change of scenery will have refreshed.
12
7th (12) (33/1 -230%) Milvale
33
33/1(-230%)
(12) Milvale 33/1, Only win to date came on handicap debut at Kelso (23f) almost 4 years ago. Marked dropped 7 lb since last seen 22 months ago but best watched given the absence. Returns from a very long absence but has been given a chance by the handicapper.
7
8th (7) (11/4 +0%) Dunnet Head
2.75
11/4(+0%)
(7) Dunnet Head 11/4, Made a winning debut in a bumper at this track in October 2022 and came back from a breathing operation and a 9-month absence to justify favouritism on his handicap debut at Carlisle (17.2f, soft) just over 5 weeks ago. Capable of better still upped in trip. Won on handicap debut at Carlisle and open to further improvement now up in trip.
9
9th (9) (22/1 -300%) Pavlik
22
22/1(-300%)
(9) Pavlik 22/1, Stepped up on previous efforts and overcame a pace bias when winning 13-runner handicap hurdle at Kelso (20.9f, good to soft) 13 months ago. Not seen since but has the potential for better. Absent since handicap debut win last November but he could still be on a good mark.
4
|PU| (4) (10/1 +29%) Grand Voyage
10
10/1(+29%)
(4) Grand Voyage 10/1, Has been increasingly let down by his jumping over the larger obstacles. Easier underfoot conditions likely to help, so he's not discounted from this sort of mark back over hurdles. On a competitive mark on last season's chase form but below par over fences the last twice.
11
|PU| (11) (33/1 -371%) Whelans Bridge
33
33/1(-371%)
(11) Whelans Bridge 33/1, Showed ability in points and modest form over hurdles in 2022. Has a lengthy absence to overcome ahead of handicap debut but worthy of a market check with Hughes booked. Makes handicap debut after absence but with Brian Hughes booked; interesting.
LTO Selection:
13:50 Ayr Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 3 race.
DUNNET HEAD could be a smart type for the Iain Jardine stable, having returned from wind surgery and a 272-day break to score off 4lb lower at Carlisle last month. The step up in trip on this occasion can bring about further improvement and he gets the vote ahead of recent Kelso runner-up Guernesey and Ballycoose, who wasn't disgraced at Navan last month. Aurora Thunder and Kelso winner Pavlik can have a say in proceedings as well.
DUNNET HEAD left the impression the best of him is still yet to come when making a winning return/handicap debut at Carlisle just over 5 weeks, so Iain Jardine's 5-y-o looks the way to go at the expense of Mack The Man, who makes his first start for a new yard returning from 9 months off having tumbled in the weights. Rafferty's Return and Grand Voyage are another couple worthy of a mention.
The unexposed 5yo DUNNET HEAD looks to have a bright future and can make it 2-2 in handicaps now upped in trip.
(4) Gris Gris Top 9/1, Fair form when placed in maiden hurdle for Michael Scudamore in 2021 but off for a year prior to falling on his Musselburgh chase debut in January and absent a further 11 months ahead of this first outing for Donald McCain. Betting perhaps the best guide to expectations. Ex-pointer; fair form over hurdles but no easy task on stable debut after 342-day absence..
1
1st (1) (11/1 -267%) Inox Allen
11
11/1(-267%)
(1) Inox Allen 11/1, £40,00 buy after winning an Irish point. Followed up in a heavy-ground Hexham maiden hurdle for new connections last month. That was a very weak race and plenty more will be needed under a penalty but he is open to improvement. £40,000 buy after Irish point win; won over 2m4f on hurdles debut; obvious contender.
2
2nd (2) (2/1 +40%) Annaghbeg
2
2/1(+40%)
(2) Annaghbeg 2/1, Multiple point winner who ran to a fair level when third of 15 in a 22.5f Down Royal maiden hurdle on his Rules debut. Repeat of that form should see him go close at the least here. Won three Irish points; third in a good maiden on hurdles debut; leading contender.
5
3rd (5) (7/2 +0%) Milcree
3.5
7/2(+0%)
(5) Milcree 7/2, €25,000 Milan gelding. Brother to fair chaser Camp Belan. Dam (c97/h82) 2¾m chase winner. Won sole start in point bumpers with ease in April and is an interesting recruit to Rules. Staying-bred winner of a point bumper in April; interesting on rules/stable debut.
9
4th (9) (9/2 +50%) Dangan Cloud
4.5
9/2(+50%)
(9) Dangan Cloud 9/2, Made the frame both outings points and has similarly reached the placings both starts under Rules, making the podium in a maiden and a mares novice at Hexham. Should figure but will need to pull out a bit more to land a first win here. Second in an Irish point in April; two fair runs over hurdles but this looks harder.
3
5th (3) (9/4 +10%) Caher Roes Den
2.25
9/4(+10%)
(3) Caher Roes Den 9/4, Bought for £110,000 after winning an Irish point in April. Market confidence would look significant. 110,000 euros buy after Irish point win (form sound); interesting on hurdles debut.
12
6th (12) (150/1 -50%) Spring Wind
150
150/1(-50%)
(12) Spring Wind 150/1, Fair maiden on the Flat in Ireland but down the field in 2 novice hurdles for new yard last month. Staying maiden on the Flat; well beaten over hurdles and would be a surprise winner.
8
|PU| (8) (125/1 -279%) Toombridge
125
125/1(-279%)
(8) Toombridge 125/1, Finished runner-up on his completed start in Irish points but little short-term promise so far over hurdles, pulling up on Hexham handicap debut and reappearance 19 days ago. Some promise in a point and over hurdles but facing a stiff task here.
11
|PU| (11) (200/1 -203%) Smart Lady
200
200/1(-203%)
(11) Smart Lady 200/1, 40/1, 37¾ lengths fifth of 6 to Inox Allen in novice hurdle at Hexham on debut 19 days ago. A first-time tongue tie needs to transform her. £10,000 buy in May 2022; well beaten on hurdles debut; others stronger.
LTO Selection:
14:20 Ayr Novices Hurdle (Class 4) 21f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
INOX ALLEN scored comfortably on his sole point-to-point outing and eclipsed that effort when he made all in a maiden hurdle at Hexham last month. A performance stacked full of promise, he is hard to ignore despite the 7lb penalty here. Irish raider Annaghbeg also caught the eye on his hurdles debut when third in a similar race at Down Royal, while Dangan Cloud is another of high interest on the back of two placed efforts over timber at Hexham.
The suggestion is expensive Irish point recruit CAHER ROES DEN, with confidence in his chance increased if the betting vibes are strong. Milcree was the easy winner of a British point bumper in the spring and is another interesting newcomer to the jumping ranks. Stuart Crawford's Down Royal third Annaghbeg looks best of those with hurdle experience.
The vote goes to CAHER ROES DEN, whose Irish point form worked out so well. Another winning pointer, Annaghbeg, is next best.
(1) Aubis Walk 5/2, Got off the mark in 2m 4f novice hurdle at Sedgefield in February but pulled up on handicap debut at Newbury following month. Worth another chance now chasing on return (Irish point winner). Winning Irish pointer/novice hurdler who is worth considering on her chase debut.
10
2nd (10) (5/2 +75%) Euchan Falls
2.5
5/2(+75%)
(10) Euchan Falls 5/2, Dual winner at 20f over hurdles who made an encouraging start over fences when fourth of 13 in handicap chase at Musselburgh (20.3f, good to soft) 33 days ago. Has the scope to do better over fences and he's a player from just out of the weights. Won two handicap hurdles last term; sound chase debut at Musselburgh and one with a chance.
2
3rd (2) (11/4 +31%) High Moon
2.75
11/4(+31%)
(2) High Moon 11/4, Fairly useful hurdles winner who was in good form over fences towards the end of last season, scoring in determined fashion at Newcastle. Failed to come on for recent return when sixth of 7 in handicap chase (11/1) at Kelso (21.6f, soft) 30 days ago, so has bit to prove now. Heavy-ground winner at Newcastle last season; out of form this term; bit to prove now.
5
4th (5) (12/1 -243%) Les's Legacy
12
12/1(-243%)
(5) Les's Legacy 12/1, Three-time hurdle winner last season. Posted a pair of good runner-up efforts in 2m Hexham handicap hurdles at the start of the summer but could only manage a well-held fifth of 6 on his recent chase debut there. Others preferred. Won three handicaps over hurdles; fair run on chase debut at Hexham; should improve.
9
5th (9) (6/1 -20%) Ardera Cross
6
6/1(-20%)
(9) Ardera Cross 6/1, In good form in the summer prior to being pulled up at Cartmel and Perth. Shaped as if not fully wound up when ninth behind Everyday Champagne over C&D last month and this veteran would be folly to ignore from 3 lb below his last winning mark (has 8 course wins to his name). Eight-time course winner who hasn't been at his best recently but could well bounce back.
4
|PU| (4) (14/1 -40%) Hermann Clermont
14
14/1(-40%)
(4) Hermann Clermont 14/1, Won twice over fences at Perth for Gordon Elliott last summer. Travelled like the best horse at the weights but finished tired when third of 6 in handicap chase at Kelso (17.1f, soft) 30 days ago. Not discounted nevertheless. Dual chase winner for Gordon Elliott on good in 2022; mixed form since; others stronger.
LTO Selection:
14:50 Ayr Handicap Chase (Class 4) 20f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
There was a lot to like about EUCHAN FALLS' first outing over fences when only beaten three lengths into fourth over a similar trip at Musselburgh last month, which suggests he will be a better chaser than hurdler and his previous course-winning form will stand him in good stead today. Eight-time course winner Ardera Cross is now 3lb below his last winning mark and a bold showing could be on the cards. The veteran would dangerous if gaining an easy lead, while chase debutant Aubis Walk could excel in this sphere and looks a big player.
EUCHAN FALLS appeals as one who should prove a better chaser than hurdler and he can step forward from his promising start over fences, whilst point-winner Aubis Walk rates an interesting newcomer to this sphere for Nicky Richards.
Following a sound run on his chase debut EUCHAN FALLS is taken to get off the mark on his second run over fences.
(6) Gamigin 11/2, Remains a maiden after 17 runs and only ninth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Sligo (20f, soft) 45 days ago. Tongue strap/cheekpieces back on. More is needed from this Irish challenger. Irish raider; 0-17 over hurdles; fair third over 2m7f in June, but poor run since.
4
2nd (4) (12/1 -50%) Follow Charlie
12
12/1(-50%)
(4) Follow Charlie 12/1, Lightly-raced maiden who posted an excellent fourth of 8 in novice hurdle at Hexham (16.2f, heavy) 19 days ago. Much respected on his handicap debut. Ex-Irish; fair fourth at 150-1 in Hexham novice last time and now makes his handicap debut.
1
3rd (1) (11/8 +72%) Duyfken
1.375
11/8(+72%)
(1) Duyfken 11/8, Signed off last term with a win at Perth and resumed with a good third of 15 in handicap hurdle at Kelso (16.2f, heavy) 44 days ago, clear of rest. That form is working out well so he has to be taken seriously off the same mark. Perth winner in April who was a good third at Kelso on reappearance (form sound); chance.
9
4th (9) (22/1 -175%) Celestial Fashion
22
22/1(-175%)
(9) Celestial Fashion 22/1, Modest maiden hurdler who fared better than for a while when fourth of 5 in handicap at Hexham (16.2f, heavy) 19 days ago, despite doing too much too soon. Needs to back it up now from 6 lb "wrong" in the weights. Second from 5lb out of the handicap at Carlisle in March but not so good since; 6lb wrong.
5
5th (5) (5/1 +50%) Joker Du Chenet
5
5/1(+50%)
(5) Joker Du Chenet 5/1, Lightly-raced maiden who came in a below-form fifth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Kelso (20.9f, soft) 30 days ago. Back down in trip. Tongue strap on 1st time. Needs a couple of these to falter. Modest form so far including on handicap debut (2m5f); tongue-tie tried; others stronger.
2
6th (2) (4/1 -340%) Serious Ego
4
4/1(-340%)
(2) Serious Ego 4/1, Arrives in top form and on a hat-trick after recent back-to-back 2m wins at Hexham. Up 7 lb but he's still not taken lightly in his current mood. In fine form having won last 2 races, both on testing going at Hexham; could go well again.
8
7th (8) (11/1 +56%) We Still Believe
11
11/1(+56%)
(8) We Still Believe 11/1, Is yet to fire this season over hurdles, coming in a well-held fifth of 10 in handicap hurdle at Market Rasen (16.6f, soft) 18 days ago. Needs to take a big step forward. Five-time Flat winner; looked promising over hurdles in 2021; not done so well this year.
7
8th (7) (50/1 -52%) Lifetime Adventure
50
50/1(-52%)
(7) Lifetime Adventure 50/1, Ninth of 10 in novice hurdle at this C&D (200/1) 37 days ago. Makes handicap debut but others look better treated at these weights. Modest efforts in bumpers and over hurdles; may improve now handicapping but best watched.
LTO Selection:
15:20 Ayr Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 16f Race Class Flow
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Serious Ego is bound to be popular, having won his last two starts quite comfortably at Hexham, but a further 7lb rise will make life more difficult. Preference is for DUYFKEN, who ran well on his return at Kelso and was a good winner off 4lb lower at Perth in April. Conditions look very much in his favour and he can master the likes of Celestial Fashion and Joker Du Chenet as well.
DUYFKEN made a most encouraging return when thrid at Kelso and with that form having been franked he looks the way to go off an unchanged mark. Hat-trick seeking Serious Ego rates the obvious threat despite being hiked up 7 lb in the weights, with handicap-debutant Follow Charlie also in the picture.
The progressive DUYFKEN (nap), third in a decent Kelso handicap on his reappearance, is taken to beat the in-form Serious Ego.
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How to use Tomform
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
About U.K Horse Racing
Horse racing is a popular and historic sport in the UK, with a tradition dating back centuries. It is a multi-billion pound industry that attracts millions of spectators each year and generates significant economic activity.
There are two main types of horse racing in the UK: flat racing and jump racing. Flat racing is run on a level course and is typically shorter in distance, while jump racing involves horses jumping over obstacles and is generally longer in distance. Both types of racing are popular with spectators and bettors, and they take place at various racetracks throughout the country.
The most famous horse racing event in the UK is the Grand National, which is held annually at Aintree Racecourse in Liverpool. It is a jump racing event that is known for its challenging course and has become a national institution in the UK. Other notable horse racing events in the UK include the Derby, held at Epsom Downs Racecourse in Surrey, and the Royal Ascot, held at Ascot Racecourse in Berkshire.
Horse racing in the UK is regulated by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), which sets rules and standards for the industry. It is responsible for the welfare of racehorses and the safety of jockeys and trainers, as well as ensuring fair and transparent racing practices.
In addition to its economic and cultural importance, horse racing in the UK also plays a significant role in the breeding and training of thoroughbred horses. Many of the world's top thoroughbreds are bred and trained in the UK, and the industry plays a vital role in the preservation and promotion of the breed.
Overall, horse racing is an integral part of British culture and a major contributor to the country's economy. It is a thrilling and exciting sport that continues to attract a loyal following and generate significant interest from spectators and bettors around the world.
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