Ascot Races & Results Tomform Saturday 5th October 2024

There were 54 Races on Saturday 5th October 2024 across 7 meetings. There was 8 races at Curragh, 7 races at Newmarket, 8 races at Redcar, 7 races at Gowran Park, 6 races at Ascot, 9 races at Southwell, 9 races at Wolverhampton, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.

Races & Results Saturday 5th October 2024

The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.

13:50 Ascot Listed (Class 1) 5f - 6 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
3
1st (3) Rumstar (6/1 +63%)
Rumstar

6
6/1(+63%)
(3) Rumstar 6/1, It's now 12 runs since his last win in 2022 but he has shaped well in a couple of major sprint handicaps this year, finishing fourth past the post (demoted to fifth) in the Portland at Doncaster 3 weeks ago.
Close up in the Portland last time; would come firmly into the reckoning on drying ground.
4
2nd (4) Beautiful Diamond (3/1 +10%)
Beautiful Diamond

3
3/1(+10%)
(4) Beautiful Diamond 3/1, Gained a second 5f listed success at Ayr when dead heating with Azure Blue in June. Creditable second of 9 to Believing in Group 2 Sapphire at the Curragh next time and not disgraced when midfield behind Bradsell in the Group 1 Flying Five there since. Respected with her sights lowered.
Useful and consistent 3yo; creditable eighth of 18 in Group 1 last time; not discounted.
5
3rd (5) Miaharris (11/1 +0%)
Miaharris

11
11/1(+0%)
(5) Miaharris 11/1, Listed winner as a juvenile but has come up short in similar company of late and suspicion she might find a few too strong again.
0-6 since 2yo Listed win but now has her ideal conditions and could outrun her likely odds.
6
4th (6) Relief Rally (15/8 -15%)
Relief Rally

1.875
15/8(-15%)
(6) Relief Rally 15/8, Won 4 of 5 starts at 2, including Group 2 Lowther at York. Better than ever when 1¼ lengths second of 8 to No Half Measures in Newbury Group 3 (5f, soft) 14 days ago, with the reopposing Democracy Dilemma narrowly behind in fourth. Leading claims.
Posted personal best when second in Newbury Group 3; may not have reached her ceiling yet.
2
5th (2) Go Athletico (17/2 -42%)
Go Athletico

8.5
17/2(-42%)
(2) Go Athletico 17/2, Won Group 3 Renaissance in the mud at the Curragh last autumn but has been operating a little below that level in 2024, finishing down the field in this year's Renaissance last weekend.
6f Group 3 scorer during excellent 2023 but not at his best this year; something to prove.
1
6th (1) Democracy Dilemma (5/1 +9%)
Democracy Dilemma

5
5/1(+9%)
(1) Democracy Dilemma 5/1, Has had a fine season and recorded his first success at listed level when making all in the Beverley Bullet (5f, good to firm) in August. Showed very good speed again before fading late on into fourth (Relief Rally second) in soft-ground Newbury Group 3 since. Bold show likely despite a penalty.
Made all in Beverley Bullet before respectable fourth in Group 3; should go well again.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

13:50 Ascot Listed (Class 1) 5f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.

Relief Rally (second) narrowly got the better of DEMOCRACY DILEMMA (fourth) when the pair met over this trip in a Newbury Group 3 last month, but the latter probably did too much too soon on that occasion. If proving more tractable under Jamie Spencer, Robert Cowell's charge gets the vote to reverse the form en route to victory. Beautiful Diamond wasn't disgraced when eighth in the Flying Five at the Curragh last month and she must enter calculations with her sights lowered.

RELIEF RALLY can confirm recent Newbury superiority over Democracy Dilemma and open her account for the year. Beautiful Diamond looks pick of the remainder.

In an open event, a chance is taken on RUMSTAR whose handicap form is very solid. Relief Rally is feared most.


14:25 Ascot Group 3 (Class 1) 12f  - 7 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
3
1st (3) Al Qareem (11/10 +67%)
Al Qareem

1.1
11/10(+67%)
(3) Al Qareem 11/10, Smart front runner who won this last year and bounced back to winning ways in 6-runner listed race (4/5) at Chester (12.3f, soft) 3 weeks ago. Likely to get an uncontested lead here so needs considering.
Won this race last year and is very reliable, including on soft and heavy going.
1
2nd (1) Al Aasy (3/1 -33%)
Al Aasy

3
3/1(-33%)
(1) Al Aasy 3/1, Highly-talented veteran who quickened up in good style when the gap came to lead late on in Glorious Goodwood Group 3. Outclassed his rivals in Geoffrey Freer Stakes at Newbury since and sure to make another bold bid.
Two Gr 3 wins on fast ground in August; his latest race on soft (a novice win) was in 2020.
4
3rd (4) Layfayette (33/1 -32%)
Layfayette

33
33/1(-32%)
(4) Layfayette 33/1, Smart gelding who added to his haul in Group 3 company at the Curragh in August 2023. However, failed to beat a rival last 2 starts 10 months apart so something to prove now with headgear re-fitted.
Arguably has more to prove over this far on testing ground; may need a career best.
8
4th (8) God's Window (11/1 +21%)
God's Window

11
11/1(+21%)
(8) God's Window 11/1, Highly tried this season and has resumed progress eased in class last 2 starts, third in September Stakes at Kempton 4 weeks ago. Handles the mud and not discounted.
Running-on third in Group 3 at Kempton (1m4f, AW debut) latest; worth a second look.
7
5th (7) Gather Ye Rosebuds (25/1 +0%)
Gather Ye Rosebuds

25
25/1(+0%)
(7) Gather Ye Rosebuds 25/1, Improved when recording third career success in 1½m Goodwood listed race (soft). Not in same form next 2 starts 4 months apart but return to testing ground is a positive.
Disappointing last two starts; return to softer may offer hope but she needs a new high.
6
6th (6) Salt Bay (4/1 +43%)
Salt Bay

4
4/1(+43%)
(6) Salt Bay 4/1, Has just a debut win to his name but good efforts in the John Porter (close third to Hamish) and York listed race this term. Not in same form in Group 3 at York since and needs to bounce back.
Possible ground excuse last time; seems to need ground softer than good, and acts on heavy.
5
7th (5) Peking Opera (150/1 -50%)
Peking Opera

150
150/1(-50%)
(5) Peking Opera 150/1, Listed winner for Aidan O'Brien last season. Won a juvenile hurdle for this yard in the winter but offered little back on the Flat last 2 starts. Off 147 days. Easy to look elsewhere.
Won hurdles debut in February but his three races since have not gone well; off since May.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

14:25 Ascot Group 3 (Class 1) 12f  Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.

The classy AL AASY (first) readily got the better of Al Qareem (second) when the pair met over an extended 1m5f in the Geoffrey Freer Stakes at Newbury in August and, with the step back in trip unlikely to hinder the son of Sea The Stars, he gets the nod to land the spoils once more. Hamish arrives on the back of a couple of below-par efforts at Newmarket and Kempton, but he doubtless has the ability to play a hand in a race of this nature and merits consideration on the comeback trail.

Last year's winner AL QAREEM could prove hard to peg back here with no other obvious front runners, so he shades the vote over very smart stablemates Al Aasy and Hamish, who both carry a 3 lb penalty.

The most solid option on soft ground appears to be the dependable AL QAREEM. 3yo God's Window might just be the surprise package.


15:00 Ascot Group 3 (Class 1) 6f  - 9 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
1
1st (1) Apollo One (17/2 +39%)
Apollo One

8.5
17/2(+39%)
(1) Apollo One 17/2, Most likeable and reliable sprinter who came second in the Stewards' Cup at Goodwood and produced another big effort when filling the same spot in the Portland at Doncaster last time. Not taken lightly back in Group company.
Many sterling runs in top sprint handicaps; has C&D form; acts on any; can be involved.
6
2nd (6) Jarraaf (5/2 +38%)
Jarraaf

2.5
5/2(+38%)
(6) Jarraaf 5/2, Highly progressive colt who arrives in search of a C&D hat-trick after powering home to land another handicap here 56 days ago. Has undoubtedly been saved for this and holds excellent claims.
Won all three 6f races, impressive in the last two over C&D; ready for step up in class.
4
3rd (4) Russet Gold (16/1 +36%)
Russet Gold

16
16/1(+36%)
(4) Russet Gold 16/1, Found improvement when close second of 7 in listed race at Newmarket on penultimate outing but didn't fully back it up at Newbury last time. Others make more appeal.
Close 2nd in 6f Newmarket Listed race in August was his best yet; non-stayer at 7f since.
8
4th (8) Vadream (7/1 +13%)
Vadream

7
7/1(+13%)
(8) Vadream 7/1, Smart mare who bounced back to her best when 1½ lengths fourth of 16 to Montassib in Sprint Cup (50/1) at Haydock before a sub-par showing in the Flying Five at the Curragh. Can compete if on her game.
Won this in 2021 and 5th last year; retains all her ability and has frame possibilities.
3
5th (3) Korker (14/1 -17%)
Korker

14
14/1(-17%)
(3) Korker 14/1, Dual winner last autumn but his issues at the stalls have stopped him fulfilling his full potential, doing well to finish third the Ayr Gold Cup a fortnight ago. One to consider but would need it all to drop right.
All wins at 5f; two good 3rds over 6f confirm he stays this far but stiffer test today.
9
6th (9) Adaay In Devon (16/1 -129%)
Adaay In Devon

16
16/1(-129%)
(9) Adaay In Devon 16/1, Smart filly who bagged her third win this year in listed race at Sandown in June. Has mostly held form since but there are others with a bit more class in this field.
Tough filly who's held her form well; has C&D form; beaten favourite last twice.
7
7th (7) Purosangue (10/1 -100%)
Purosangue

10
10/1(-100%)
(7) Purosangue 10/1, Smart colt. Good neck second of 8 to Quinault in listed race (9/2) at York (6f, soft) 27 days ago, clear of rest. Form has been hit and miss this season but he's capable of getting involved if in the same mood as last time.
Close up on his close calls in 5f Group 3 (soft) and 6f Listed race.
5
8th (5) Wiltshire (13/2 +41%)
Wiltshire

6.5
13/2(+41%)
(5) Wiltshire 13/2, Lightly raced 4-y-o who has picked up two handicap wins through a progressive campaign and shaped well in testing conditions at Haydock a week ago. Has the form to take this step up in class in his stride.
Progressive sprinter on good to soft and soft; has more to come when ground is suitable.
2
9th (2) English Oak (4/1 -14%)
English Oak

4
4/1(-14%)
(2) English Oak 4/1, Posted personal best when landing Buckingham Palace Stakes at this track in June but hasn't made the same impact at a better level since, still below his best when second in a listed race at Newbury 15 days ago. Not completely dismissed.
Has C&D form; impressive in big 7f handicap here in June; below that level since.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

15:00 Ascot Group 3 (Class 1) 6f  Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.

The unexposed JARRAAF impressed when giving weight and a beating to three subsequent winners over C&D in August. Although this is more demanding, he looks to improving at a rate of knots and it would be no surprise if he were able to make it a hat-trick of victories. Purosangue bumped into a thriving sprinter when finishing a close-up second over 6f at York latest and another bold bid is forecast, while Wiltshire didn't get the rub of the green when runner-up over the minimum trip at Haydock last month and he must enter calculations back at 6f.

JARRAAF is on a steep upward curve and clearly has a liking for this track, so he's the one to side with in a tightly-knit contest. Wiltshire faces a quick turnaround but is an obvious player on the back of a solid showing at Haydock, while the reliable Apollo One is one to respect.

There's a lot to be said for an unexposed course specialist and JARRAAF can step forward from two impressive C&D handicap wins.


15:35 Ascot Handicap (Class 2) 7f  - 18 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
17
1st (17) Volterra (11/2 +21%)
Volterra

5.5
11/2(+21%)
(17) Volterra 11/2, Looked firmly on the up when scoring at Newmarket in May and resumed his progress when a fine second of 16 in 1m York handicap last month. That form reads very well so holds good claims despite a 4 lb weights rise.
Good second at York last time but more will be needed off 4lb higher; unraced on soft.
14
2nd (14) Qirat (10/3 +33%)
Qirat

3.333333
10/3(+33%)
(14) Qirat 10/3, Bagged a second win from 4 runs this year in 14-runner handicap at Goodwood (7f, good to soft) 41 days ago. Up 5 lb but that form has been franked so big shout with further progress on the cards.
Record over 7f reads 1211; 5lb higher than for latest win but still open to improvement.
9
3rd (9) Bopedro (28/1 +0%)
Bopedro

28
28/1(+0%)
(9) Bopedro 28/1, Losing run is mounting up but plenty of creditable efforts to his name this season, tenth of 31 in Cambridgeshire at Newmarket a week ago. Can make his presence felt.
Regular in warm handicaps like this but has managed to win only two of his last 36 starts.
13
4th (13) Fresh (16/1 -45%)
Fresh

16
16/1(-45%)
(13) Fresh 16/1, A frequent visitor here over the years and he got back to winning ways in 6f course handicap four weeks ago. Can't be discounted despite a 2 lb rise.
Four of his five wins have come here, including last time; respected at favourite venue.
12
5th (12) Mirsky (22/1 +0%)
Mirsky

22
22/1(+0%)
(12) Mirsky 22/1, Useful ex-French performer who arrives in good nick, eighth of 14 in 1m Ayr handicap two weeks ago. One for the shortlist.
Four-time winner in France but 0-6 in Britain; may prefer further; hood goes on.
1
6th (1) Carrytheone (14/1 -17%)
Carrytheone

14
14/1(-17%)
(1) Carrytheone 14/1, A two-time 7f scorer this term who posted a good fourth of 13 to Two Tempting in handicap at Chester (7.6f, good to firm) 35 days ago when caught further back than ideal. Bold showing expected off the same mark.
Behind two of these last time; has the right man on board if reverting to a hold-up ride.
10
7th (10) Star Of Orion (25/1 +24%)
Star Of Orion

25
25/1(+24%)
(10) Star Of Orion 25/1, Back to his best for his new yard when placed at Newmarket and Sandown (2) in recent weeks. Likely to be in the mix again.
Has managed to win only one of his last 25 starts and is still 5lb higher; tongue-tie on.
16
8th (16) Akkadian Thunder (5/1 +50%)
Akkadian Thunder

5
5/1(+50%)
(16) Akkadian Thunder 5/1, A dual 7f winner at Newcastle and Doncaster this summer and posted a very good second of 13 over C&D last time, faring best of those held up. Firmly in the picture.
Had two of these behind when second of 13 over C&D four weeks ago; respected.
3
9th (3) Rhoscolyn (33/1 -18%)
Rhoscolyn

33
33/1(-18%)
(3) Rhoscolyn 33/1, Added to his fine record in the mud when taking Goodwood handicap (8f) 10 days ago. Things will be tougher under 6 lb penalty here but he must enter calculations.
4lb wrong under penalty for Goodwood success and all nine wins have come round a bend.
6
10th (6) Two Tempting (25/1 +0%)
Two Tempting

25
25/1(+0%)
(6) Two Tempting 25/1, Is enjoying a fine season and he bagged a fifth win in 13-runner handicap at Chester (7.6f, good to firm) 35 days ago by ¾ length from Divine Libra. Up another 4 lb but he's not taken lightly in his current mood.
5-8 this year but probably needs the ground to dry out a bit and may not be ideally drawn.
5
11th (5) Streets Of Gold (33/1 +18%)
Streets Of Gold

33
33/1(+18%)
(5) Streets Of Gold 33/1, No win since his 2-y-o days but he added another good run over this C&D when sixth in the Victoria Cup in May. Respectable sixth in first-time cheekpieces back here last time but a bit more is needed for win purposes.
0-11 since winning all five starts as a 2yo; still looks high in the weights.
11
12th (11) Divine Libra (28/1 -56%)
Divine Libra

28
28/1(-56%)
(11) Divine Libra 28/1, Scored at Chester in May and in good form of late, second of 13 to Two Tempting at Chester (7.6f, good to firm) 35 days ago. Ought to be thereabouts despite a 2 lb rise.
Seems suited by Chester; ran well there last time but is 9lb above his last winning mark.
15
13th (15) Germanic (12/1 -100%)
Germanic

12
12/1(-100%)
(15) Germanic 12/1, Successful on his second start at Newcastle in June. Cheekpieces on for 1st time when an excellent third of 9 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Can improve further so he's a likely player.
Lightly raced 3yo who was just behind Golden Mind at Doncaster last time; 2lb well in.
2
14th (2) Popmaster (9/1 +55%)
Popmaster

9
9/1(+55%)
(2) Popmaster 9/1, Course winner8 but yet to score in 2024 and only 9 lengths sixth of 9 to Kinross in Park Stakes at Doncaster (7f, good) 21 days ago. Others appeal more.
2lb lower than when beaten a nose in this last year; could be ideally drawn; major player.
7
15th (7) Brewing (33/1 -65%)
Brewing

33
33/1(-65%)
(7) Brewing 33/1, Boasts an excellent strike rate and made it five wins in 7f Kempton handicap in January. Not disgraced after 7 months off on his turf debut when fifth at Doncaster (6.5f) so enters calculations.
5-7 on the AW and a fair turf debut last time, but better will be needed to win this.
8
16th (8) Golden Mind (14/1 -27%)
Golden Mind

14
14/1(-27%)
(8) Golden Mind 14/1, A fairly useful 6f winner at 2yrs. Only twice raced this season but posted a very good second of 9 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, good to soft) 20 days ago. One to consider.
Unexposed 3yo; beaten a neck at Doncaster last month and 3lb well in; shortlisted.
18
17th (18) United Approach (16/1 +0%)
United Approach

16
16/1(+0%)
(18) United Approach 16/1, Lightly-raced sort who posted a career best when second of 6 in conditions event over C&D (good to soft) 29 days ago. Cheekpieces go on and in the picture.
Has run well in handicaps since returning, but more needed from 4lb higher; cheekpieces on.
4
18th (4) Rebel Territory (16/1 +0%)
Rebel Territory

16
16/1(+0%)
(4) Rebel Territory 16/1, Landed Victoria Cup over C&D last May. Only twice raced since and not disgraced when eighth of 13 in handicap over C&D (good to soft) 28 days ago. Can give another good account.
Bolted up in last year's Victoria Cup; likely to have his conditions and should go well.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

15:35 Ascot Handicap (Class 2) 7f  Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.

AKKADIAN THUNDER caught the eye when staying on to take the silver medal home in this grade over track and trip last month and a 2lb rise might prove to be on the lenient side for that effort. David O'Meara's four-year-old showed his versatility in regards to ground on that occasion and has lots in his favour to go one better. Volterra was only beaten a length into second at York in August and he is one to take seriously off 4lb higher. Germanic and Qirat are others to consider in a wide-open heat.

This is wide open but Ralph Beckett's upwardly-mobile QIRAT could prove the answer given he handles soft conditions well and the form of his recent Goodwood victory has been well advertised. Fellow 3-y-o Germanic also looks to have better days ahead of him and heads the list of dangers, although a solid case can also be made for Akkadian Thunder, Volterra, Carrytheone and Mirsky in this fiercely competitive handicap.

The vote goes to POPMASTER who goes on any ground and is 2lb lower than when beaten a nose in this race last year.


16:10 Ascot Listed (Class 1) 7f  - 13 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
13
1st (13) Sunfall (18/1 -64%)
Sunfall

18
18/1(-64%)
(13) Sunfall 18/1, Twilight Son filly who again impressed with her attitude when holding off all challengers from the front at Haydock (7f) in August. Badly hampered when twelfth of 17 in handicap at York (7f) 44 days ago but a return to 1m may suit her ideally on balance.
Three 7f wins this year but she is some way down the pecking order on ratings here.
11
2nd (11) Queen Of Mougins (4/1 -14%)
Queen Of Mougins

4
4/1(-14%)
(11) Queen Of Mougins 4/1, Ten Sovereigns filly who continue to go the right way, running another sound race when third of 11 to Great Generation in Sceptre Stakes at Doncaster (7f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Closely matched with Elim on that form and she's of interest once more.
Winless in 2024 but knocking firmly at the door; solid candidate in first-time cheekpieces.
1
3rd (1) Elim (7/4 +50%)
Elim

1.75
7/4(+50%)
(1) Elim 7/4, Useful filly who was well backed and ran right up to her best when second in Group 3 Sceptre Stakes at Doncaster (7f, good to soft) 3 weeks ago. Forecast conditions will hold no fears and she's high on the shortlist.
Yet to win in 2024 but has been progressive; second in Group 3 last time; major player.
5
4th (5) Rajindri (12/1 +57%)
Rajindri

12
12/1(+57%)
(5) Rajindri 12/1, Successful twice over 7f last summer and repeated the feat this time around, digging deep under pressure to land 7-runner fillies' handicap at Thirsk (7f) 4 weeks ago. Likeable sort who is building up a good strike rate but she has a good bit to find on these terms.
Likeable type; has won three 7f handicaps, latest at Thirsk; up in grade today.
6
5th (6) American Arrow (33/1 -50%)
American Arrow

33
33/1(-50%)
(6) American Arrow 33/1, Justified strong support in emphatic fashion when winning 5-runner Haydock maiden (7f, good to firm) on debut in July. In too deep in listed company over 1m there next time but it remains early days with her and she remains with potential.
Easy debut winner before folding tamely next time; plenty to find but could be unexposed.
3
6th (3) Hopeful (6/1 -33%)
Hopeful

6
6/1(-33%)
(3) Hopeful 6/1, Made light of a 15-month absence when successful at Newcastle (1m) in January and improved further in defeat since, excellent second in Kensington Palace (1m) on latest start at Royal Ascot (1m) in June. Interesting connections pitch her up in class now and she's proven with give underfoot.
Lightly raced 4yo; beaten a neck at the Royal meeting here; retains untapped potential.
10
7th (10) Queen's Reign (33/1 -18%)
Queen's Reign

33
33/1(-18%)
(10) Queen's Reign 33/1, Resumed winning ways at Goodwood (1m) in May and similar form both starts since, encouraging return from 10 weeks off when second of 7 in handicap at Newbury (7f, soft) 30 days ago. Conditions fine but this demands further progress.
Consistent in handicaps this year, second at Newbury on latest; more required here.
9
8th (9) Ornellaia (5/1 +0%)
Ornellaia

5
5/1(+0%)
(9) Ornellaia 5/1, Goodwood maiden winner last summer who was quickly upped in class thereafter, ending last season with a solid third behind Fallen Angel in Group 1 Moyglare at the Curragh (7f) 13 months ago. Has since joined new yard on return and certainly not underestimated.
Second in French Group 2 for previous yard; fascinating contender after long absence.
7
9th (7) Flying Finn (18/1 -64%)
Flying Finn

18
18/1(-64%)
(7) Flying Finn 18/1, Won brace of handicaps over this trip on slow ground earlier this year. Struggled up in grade/trip in June but firmly back on the up when winning 8-runner handicap at Haydock (8.2f) 7 days ago, well suited by emphasis on stamina. This a little tougher back up in class.
Last Saturday's Haydock win was her third of 2024; this drop back to 7f not sure to suit.
2
10th (2) Embrace (25/1 -14%)
Embrace

25
25/1(-14%)
(2) Embrace 25/1, Useful performer for Owen Burrows last year who fared better than on yard debut back in the spring when seventh of 14 in handicap at Goodwood (7f) 6 weeks ago. Tongue strap on 1st time but more needed if she's to play a prominent role back up in class.
1-11; below par for current yard; hopes may be pinned on the addition of a tongue-strap.
4
11th (4) Mystic Pearl (50/1 -213%)
Mystic Pearl

50
50/1(-213%)
(4) Mystic Pearl 50/1, Novice/listed winner who ran right up to form fitted with a tongue tie when third in a 1m handicap here in May. Missed break and not in same form when well held in Kensington Palace Stakes here in June but she's an each-way player if bouncing back.
Down the field in Kensington Palace Stakes here in June; others have more obvious claims.
12
12th (12) Sky Safari (40/1 -150%)
Sky Safari

40
40/1(-150%)
(12) Sky Safari 40/1, Bred for longer trips so highly positive she could make a winning start over this trip in 13-runner Yarmouth maiden back in June. Open to improvement for yard in good form but this looks a tall enough ask on just her second outing.
28-1 for debut win at Yarmouth in June; this is harder; now wears tongue-strap.
8
13th (8) Key To Cotai (40/1 -82%)
Key To Cotai

40
40/1(-82%)
(8) Key To Cotai 40/1, Useful filly who built on her reappearance run when winning big field Newmarket handicap (7f) in May. Good second at listed level next time but her exploits not so inspiring of late, seventh of 11 in Sceptre Stakes at Doncaster (7f) 20 days ago.
In good form in the summer but last two efforts have been below par; stable runs three.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

16:10 Ascot Listed (Class 1) 7f  Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.

Elim beat Queen Of Mougins (third) and Key To Cotai (seventh) when just being touched off by a length into second in a Group 3 event at Doncaster last time and he is expected to confirm that form to go close. However, it may pay to side with HOPEFUL, who produced a career-best effort to fill the runner-up spot in the Kensington Palace here in June and she might have plenty more to offer. Andrew Balding's four-year-old has shown enough pace to cope with this drop in trip and she gets the nod. Ornellaia completes the shortlist.

ELIM has yet to get her head in front this term but she ran another cracker when runner-up in a Doncaster Group 3 on her latest outing 3 weeks ago and she earns the vote to deservedly resume winning ways with her yard enjoying a fine season. Queen of Mougins, who was narrowly behind the selection latest, is another big player, with Hopeful and the returning Ornellaia others to consider.

Elim finished a nose in front of QUEEN OF MOUGINS last time but Ralph Beckett's 3yo can emerge on top in first-time cheekpieces.


16:45 Ascot Handicap (Class 2) 5f - 12 Run Class & Speed Card

Info Form Odds Key Rating Tips Win % Place % Betfair Place % Dist Win % Dist Place % Dist Betfair Place % Ability Rating Horse Pace Prediction A.I Rating Movement Class Runs LTO Speed Top Speed WSR TF Rating Course Going Distance Timespeed OR Weight Runs Age Comments
12
1st (12) Alcazan (22/1 -10%)
Alcazan

22
22/1(-10%)
(12) Alcazan 22/1, Bagged handicaps over this C&D and at Brighton during the summer prior to posting a couple of respectable efforts in defeat, most notably when sixth of 14 in a valuable York contest. Latest effort at Yarmouth lacked spark, though, and she looks vulnerable.
C&D win this summer; a shade high in the weights but she's 2-2 on ground slower than good.
5
2nd (5) Vintage Clarets (11/2 -22%)
Vintage Clarets

5.5
11/2(-22%)
(5) Vintage Clarets 11/2, Enjoyed a very successful 2023 campaign, scoring 4 times and, having shaped better than the bare result in the Portland, he got back on the winning trail at Chester (5f, soft) a fortnight ago. Remains on a good mark up 3 lb and another bold show anticipated.
Capitalised on a good mark at Chester two weeks ago; conditions to suit; leading contender.
4
3rd (4) Venture Capital (10/3 +33%)
Venture Capital

3.333333
10/3(+33%)
(4) Venture Capital 10/3, Dual winner at 2 yrs and has landed 2 of his last 3 starts, either side of a good second in a 3-y-o handicap over 6f here in August. Proved himself over the minimum trip when proving 1½ lengths too good for Haymaker at Doncaster last time but this is more demanding up 6 lb.
Transformed by the drop to sprint trips of late; impressed at Doncaster latest; unexposed.
11
4th (11) Fantasy Master (14/1 -56%)
Fantasy Master

14
14/1(-56%)
(11) Fantasy Master 14/1, Tends to go well at this time of year and duly returned to form when accounting for 13 rivals at Doncaster (5f, good) last month. Remains feasibly treated up 5 lb and, having performed with credit on each of his 3 previous visits to Ascot, he has to enter calculations.
Won well at Doncaster last month but he's 5lb higher in a better race today.
2
5th (2) Jm Jungle (11/2 -57%)
Jm Jungle

5.5
11/2(-57%)
(2) Jm Jungle 11/2, Several good efforts in defeat this season prior to landing a 22-runner York handicap (5.4f, good to firm) in August. Went down all guns blazing off 4 lb higher in the Portland and, versatile ground-wise, this 4-y-o is likely to be in the thick of things once again.
Strong handicap form the last twice; still feasibly weighted and handles most ground.
3
6th (3) Woolhampton (10/1 +29%)
Woolhampton

10
10/1(+29%)
(3) Woolhampton 10/1, Had usual headgear left off when recording her third victory of 2024 over C&D last month, with Badri just over 2 lengths adrift in fourth and Haymaker fifth. However, she was never in the hunt in the Portland 7 days later and while she was second in this race 12 months ago, others make more appeal.
Three C&D wins as well as close 2nd in this race in 2023; should get strong pace she needs.
7
7th (7) Badri (6/1 +33%)
Badri

6
6/1(+33%)
(7) Badri 6/1, Signed off a highly productive 2023 campaign (won 5 times) by landing this race off a 13 lb higher mark. Held by several of these judged on this season's form, though and his record suggests that a faster surface would be preferable.
Won this off 13lb higher last year; running okay this year without quite the same spark.
8
8th (8) Cajetan (16/1 -14%)
Cajetan

16
16/1(-14%)
(8) Cajetan 16/1, Gelded following 2-y-o campaign and showed improved form equipped with cheekpieces during the spring, scoring twice over 6f on the AW either side of a creditable effort in a big-field Newmarket handicap. On the downside, he's been absent for 5 months and is unproven on ground this slow.
Progressing well on AW when last seen in the spring; unraced at either 5f or on soft going.
10
9th (10) Faustus (14/1 -40%)
Faustus

14
14/1(-40%)
(10) Faustus 14/1, Successful for Robert Cowell at Nottingham in June and off the mark for present connections when narrowly prevailing at Newbury (5.2f, good to firm) in August. Put in another good shift when third in C&D race won by Woolhampton last time but one suspects that he will again find one or two too good.
In good form for new yard this summer, 3rd over C&D latest; other pace is on show here.
6
10th (6) Haymaker (8/1 +0%)
Haymaker

8
8/1(+0%)
(6) Haymaker 8/1, Successful twice earlier this season and several solid efforts in defeat, too, including when a close third in a big-field C&D handicap in July. Second to Venture Capital at Doncaster last month and, now 5 lb better off with that rival, there's a good chance that he will reverse those placings here.
Good 2nd to Venture Capital at Doncaster latest; lacks that rival's potential.
9
11th (9) Jacquelina (40/1 -233%)
Jacquelina

40
40/1(-233%)
(9) Jacquelina 40/1, Enjoyed a terrific run of form in May/June, winning 5 of her 6 starts in turf sprint handicaps on various ground-types during that period. However, she's gone up 9 lb for her decisive Chepstow victory when last seen in June and this represents a significant rise in class.
In sparkling form in May/June but she's soared up the weights and this is a rise in class.
1
12th (1) Dream Composer (16/1 -33%)
Dream Composer

16
16/1(-33%)
(1) Dream Composer 16/1, Has made the frame twice in good quality C&D handicaps this year and resumed winning ways at Pontefract (5f, good) on penultimate start. Poor effort in the Portland at Doncaster next time, though, and he's probably a shade too high in the weights for now.
Conditions to suit; needs a career best to defy this mark but it's not out of the question.
LTO Selection:hiden content, hiden content, hiden content, hiden content

16:45 Ascot Handicap (Class 2) 5f Race Class Flow

The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.

Venture Capital accounted for Haymaker (second) when making it two wins from his last three starts at Doncaster last time and he could continue to improve through the ranks over this distance. However, the vote goes to CAJETAN, who may have been worth more than the winning margin suggests at Kempton in May and he is only 5lb higher for that triumph. The son of Advertise makes only his third handicap start and he could be good enough for this contest. Vintage Clarets is another to note.

JM JUNGLE is clearly at the top of his game at present, following his success at the York Ebor meeting with a near-miss in the Portland at Doncaster, and he is taken to get his head back in front here. He may have most to fear from Vintage Clarets, who rediscovered his shooting boots at Chester recently and a 3 lb rise for that is negligible. Fantasy Master also resumed winning ways last time and he is also shortlisted, along with Haymaker.

This prize may well be heading north as VINTAGE CLARETS (nap) is preferred to Jm Jungle and Venture Capital.


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