There were 36 Races on Saturday 15th April 2023 across 5 meetings. There was 7 races at Newcastle, 7 races at Yarmouth, 8 races at Chepstow, 7 races at Aintree, 7 races at Wolverhampton, no doubt Tomform helped you find a winner.
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
Class & Speed Card
| Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (4)  (0.18/1 +45%)Jonbon |
0.18/1(+45%) |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (4) Jonbon 0.18/1, Won 2m novice hurdle at this meeting last season and has shown even better form over fences this time round, winning first 3 starts before good 5½ lengths second of 9 to El Fabiolo in Arkle at Cheltenham (2m, good to soft) last month. Hard to beat. | |||
2nd (5)  (7.5/1 +38%)Marvel De Cerisy |
7.5/1(+38%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (5) Marvel De Cerisy 7.5/1, 6-y-o who confirmed promise of chase debut when running out good winner of a Punchestown novice in November. Not seen to best effect on both outings since and remains capable of better. Lot of improvement needed to trouble Jonbon, though. | |||
3rd (3)  (40/1 -21%)Fusain |
40/1(-21%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (3) Fusain 40/1, Opened chase account in a match at Newcastle (2m) in February and followed up in a 3-runner novice at Catterick (19f) 12 days ago. Stable tasted Grade 1 novice chase success at the Cheltenham Festival but shock if this one follows suit. | |||
|F| (2)  (12/1 +33%)Calico |
12/1(+33%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (2) Calico 12/1, Came good over fences in 2m Southwell handicap in January and better form when giving Jonbon a run for his money in a match race at Warwick in February. Confirmed he's an improved performer of late when bagging another handicap win at Doncaster last month. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Nicky Henderson lifted this prize two years ago with Shishkin, and he could do so once more thanks to JONBON. The classy seven-year-old, who struck over the smaller obstacles at this meeting 12 months ago, has upwards of 7lb in hand on official ratings and lost nothing in defeat when chasing home El Fabiolo in the Arkle at Cheltenham. It's unlikely he faces anything of similar calibre here, and he should land his third Grade 1 (second over fences). Notlongtillmay posted a career-best performance when second in the Turners and further improvement isn't out of the question. Calico gave the selection a race in a match at Warwick in February, but is in too deep now.
It's hard to see past JONBON who went down to a top-class rival at Cheltenham and can land a novice win at this meeting for the second year running. Notlongtillmay gets the nod for the forecast spot.
If JONBON gives his running - he's only ever been beaten by two machines at the peak of their powers - he should have this in the bag.
Class & Speed Card
| Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (12)  (4.5/1 +31%)West Balboa |
4.5/1(+31%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (12) West Balboa 4.5/1, Low-mileage mare who is clearly well regarded, runner-up in Grade 1 Challow on just her second start last winter. Improved again this term, second on return/handicap debut at Sandown and career-best effort to land 20-runner Lanzarote Hurdle (21f) in January. Big player with more to come upped to 3m. | |||
2nd (15)  (50/1 -52%)Pounding Poet |
50/1(-52%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (15) Pounding Poet 50/1, Got back on the up in the autumn, proving most determined on the back of 4 months off when landing 4-runner Uttoxeter handicap (23.3f) in October. Latest Doncaster run in December was disappointing and whilst he's gone well fresh he was well held in this race 12 months ago. Cheekpieces reached for. | |||
3rd (7)  (14/1 -17%)Mill Green |
14/1(-17%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (7) Mill Green 14/1, Ran a cracker when third in this race 12 months ago and, at the age of 11 has proved himself as good as ever in 2 starts this term, again filling third for second successive year in last month's Pertemps at Cheltenham. No reason why he won't give another good account of himself. | |||
4th (1)  (5.5/1 +0%)Good Time Jonny |
5.5/1(+0%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (1) Good Time Jonny 5.5/1, Three-time winner last term who produced a pretty astonishing performance to land the Pertemps at Cheltenham last month, only a couple behind 2 out and finding plenty to lead final 100 yds. 5 lb rise on the back of that looks fair and he's well in the mix again. | |||
5th (5)  (14/1 +30%)Gatsby Grey |
14/1(+30%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (5) Gatsby Grey 14/1, Bumper/dual novice hurdle winner who ran best race to date tackling 3m for the first time when fifth at Leopardstown in February. Faced stiff task taking on some smart rivals back there (18.3f) 6 weeks ago and possible he can do better still back at this sort of trip. | |||
6th (11)  (40/1 -21%)Glimpse Of Gala |
40/1(-21%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (11) Glimpse Of Gala 40/1, Likeable mare who scored at Kempton (24.5f) over Christmas and she again proved tenacious when following up at Warwick (25f) in January. Not at her best from career-high mark in the Pertemps 4 weeks ago but her regular pilot returns to take off a handy 7 lb here. | |||
7th (4)  (28/1 -56%)Vina Ardanza |
28/1(-56%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (4) Vina Ardanza 28/1, Useful hurdler who produced best effort to date when runner-up at Naas (20f) in November, closing all the way to the line. Disappointed at Leopardstown next time and probably found competition a little hot on return at Thurles last month. This more suitable | |||
8th (9)  (10/1 -25%)An Tailliur |
10/1(-25%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (9) An Tailliur 10/1, Major improver in handicaps last season, winning a remarkable 7 times and still has races in him from this mark judged on recent exploits, not really getting the rub of the green but staying on into sixth in last month's Pertemps at Cheltenham. Worth considering here. | |||
9th (13)  (8.5/1 +29%)Outlaw Peter |
8.5/1(+29%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (13) Outlaw Peter 8.5/1, Improving 7-y-o who is compiling a good strike rate over hurdles, running out a convincing winner from 5 lb lower mark at Kempton (21f) in March. Feasible to think he hasn't finished improving yet and he remains unexposed at this sort of trip. Respected. | |||
10th (21)  (50/1 -52%)Starzov |
50/1(-52%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (21) Starzov 50/1, Well served by emphasis on stamina when doubling career tally in a Cork novice (2m) in January. Backed that up with a keeping on third in a 20f novice at Punchestown later that month but return to this longer trip needs to bring about further improvement in race of this nature. | |||
11th (10)  (16/1 -60%)Party Business |
16/1(-60%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (10) Party Business 16/1, Real eye-catcher at last year's Cheltenham Festival and confirmed as much when running out a determined winner of this race 12 months ago. Pretty low-key efforts upon returning to action this year but no surprise to see a better showing here and his mark has eased. | |||
12th (18)  (7/1 +7%)Mexico |
7/1(+7%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (18) Mexico 7/1, Bumper winner who opened his account over hurdles in a Southwell novice (2½m) in December. Found some improvement for increase in trip when successful at Uttoxeter (23.3f) 2 weeks ago and whilst this demands more back in a handicap, he's still unexposed at around 3m. Yard won this 2 years ago. | |||
13th (3)  (33/1 -32%)Erne River |
33/1(-32%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (3) Erne River 33/1, Dual novice hurdle winner who improved to score twice over fences at around 21f last year. Bright start to present campaign, not least when second back over hurdles at Doncaster (24.3f) in December. Latest run in Rendlesham was below par but given an 8-week break ahead of this. | |||
14th (19)  (22/1 +0%)Moon Hunter |
22/1(+0%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (19) Moon Hunter 22/1, Winning pointer who landed first 2 starts over hurdles and left Warwick Grade 2 disappointment in his wake when chasing home Henry's Friend in a Doncaster novice 919.4f) 4 weeks ago. 4 lb better off with that rival now switched to handicaps and he promises to be suited by this longer trip. | |||
15th (14)  (12/1 +25%)Au Fleuron |
12/1(+25%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (14) Au Fleuron 12/1, Bumper/maiden hurdle winner during 2021 who has shaped as if ready for a crack at this sort of trip in recent starts, passing beaten rivals when eighth in last month's Martin Pipe (20.2f) at the Festival. Interesting connections reach for blinkers here, which could put an extra edge on him. | |||
16th (2)  (25/1 +24%)Itchy Feet |
25/1(+24%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (2) Itchy Feet 25/1, Rejuvenated by return to hurdles when landing 12-runner Huntingdon handicap (25f) in January prior to good second in Grade 2 next time. Not disgraced when midfield in Pertemps on his latest outing but his present mark demands that bit more in competitive races of this nature. | |||
17th (6)  (50/1 +24%)Dolphin Square |
50/1(+24%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (6) Dolphin Square 50/1, Five wins over hurdles and fences in a very productive 2021/22 campaign. Picked up where he'd left off with 3m Sandown handicap win on reappearance in December but below that level in his 3 outings since. | |||
18th (22)  (100/1 -100%)Regarding Ruth |
100/1(-100%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (22) Regarding Ruth 100/1, Tasted success 3 times during 2020/21 but absent 22 months and that told late on when last of 8 in a Newbury handicap (3m) back in February. Eased 1 lb on the back of that but others understandably arrive with more compelling claims. | |||
19th (8)  (33/1 -65%)Bardenstown Lad |
33/1(-65%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (8) Bardenstown Lad 33/1, Useful hurdler last season, winning 4 times prior to an excellent third in the Albert Bartlett at the Cheltenham Festival in March. Well below that level in 3 starts over fences this campaign though, and he again struggled to make an impact back over hurdles at Musselburgh (23.8f) in February. | |||
20th (20)  (8/1 +50%)Henry's Friend |
8/1(+50%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (20) Henry's Friend 8/1, Landed a course novice (at 20f) on debut back in May and improved during the winter, runner-up in Sandown Grade 2 in December. Below best at Newcastle (20.3f) in January but quickly back to form when taking 8-runner Doncaster novice (19.4f) 4 weeks ago. May do better now handicapping at 3m. | |||
21st (16)  (150/1 -127%)Gaelik Coast |
150/1(-127%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (16) Gaelik Coast 150/1, Useful winning chaser and in good form back hurdling this season, winning at Worcester in June and back to his best when runner-up at Doncaster (19.5f, good) in December. Below par both subsequent starts, though, and he may well come up short again here. | |||
|PU| (17)  (125/1 -25%)Dallas Des Pictons |
125/1(-25%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (17) Dallas Des Pictons 125/1, Useful hurdler/chaser who ended a long losing run in 3m Cork handicap hurdle on final start for Gordon Elliott in August. Good second back chasing for his new yard at Carlisle in October but disappointing over both sets of obstacles since. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
GOOD TIME JONNY justified strong support in the market when given a patient ride to win the Pertemps Final at Cheltenham last month and he may complete the double off only 5lb higher in the handicap. Mill Green and An Tailliur finished behind in third and sixth respectively that day and, while they both merit consideration, the former may emerge as the bigger threat given that he finished a respectable third in last year's renewal of t his race. West Balboa boasts a lightly-raced profile and arrives in this contest having landed the Lanzarote at Kempton in January in game fashion and improvement could be forthcoming for Dan Skelton's charge now running beyond 3m for the first time under Rules. Outlaw Peter pulled up behind that rival, but he appears to have progressed since and shouldn't be underestimated. Party Business hasn't cut much ice since winning this contest last season, but is now just 5lb higher in the ratings as a result and the seven-year-old may have been targeted at the race.
Claims can be made for plenty with the narrow vote in favour of WEST BALBOA. Clearly held in high regard, she produced her best effort yet when landing the Lanzarote Hurdle at Kempton in January, and wisely given a break since, there's a strong possibility she can do better still now her stamina is drawn out further. Good Time Jonny produced a smashing effort to land the Pertemps last month and is feared. An Tailliur, Au Fleuron and last year's winner Party Business complete the shortlist.
Progressive mare WEST BALBOA was having only her fourth hurdle start when winning the Lanzarote and can make light of a 5lb rise.
Class & Speed Card
| Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (8)  (5/1 +29%)Irish Point |
5/1(+29%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (8) Irish Point 5/1, Winner of a warm French bumper and landed the odds without too much fuss on hurdles debut at Cork in November. Smart form when runner-up next 2 starts and made most of big drop in class at Naas last month. Should have more to offer over this sort of trip. | |||
2nd (14)  (14/1 +0%)Kateira |
14/1(+0%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (14) Kateira 14/1, Fairly useful in bumpers and improved a chunk in all 3 hurdles outings against her own sex, completing the hat-trick with the minium of fuss at Market Rasen in February. Given a short break and isn't one to underestimate despite big jump in class. | |||
3rd (7)  (3/1 +25%)Hermes Allen |
3/1(+25%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (7) Hermes Allen 3/1, Successful on second of 2 starts in Irish points and coped very well with a truly-run race as he made it 3-3 in this sphere with a scintillating performance in the Challow at Newbury (20.5f, soft) in December. That form has stood up well but he was disappointing in the Ballymore. | |||
4th (9)  (14/1 -56%)Letsbeclearaboutit |
14/1(-56%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (9) Letsbeclearaboutit 14/1, Talented triple-bumper winner who made the most of a big drop in grade when landing the odds in maiden company at Punchestown in January (24.5f). Ran a belter when fourth in The Albert Bartlett and way he travelled that day suggests drop in trip won't be a problem. | |||
5th (15)  (6.5/1 +7%)You Wear It Well |
6.5/1(+7%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (15) You Wear It Well 6.5/1, Bumper winner who is developing a superb record over hurdles, her sole defeat coming at the hands of Hermes Allen and she travelled with notable zest in the Dawn Run. Genuine and likeable mare who is a danger to all back up in distance. | |||
6th (11)  (11/1 -10%)Springwell Bay |
11/1(-10%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (11) Springwell Bay 11/1, Smart bumper performer in 2021 and looks every bit as good over hurdles, completing a simple task with the minium of fuss at Wetherby 3 weeks ago. Limit not yet reached and well worth a shot at this level. | |||
7th (4)  (20/1 -11%)Crambo |
20/1(-11%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (4) Crambo 20/1, Impressed when winning 2 bumpers last season. Wasn't foot perfect but class got him through on hurdles debut at Ascot. Disappointing when pulled up in the Challow at Newbury over Christmas but straight back on track with a tongue tie fitted when winning a novice/valuable handicap in recent weeks. | |||
8th (1)  (12/1 +14%)Authorised Speed |
12/1(+14%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (1) Authorised Speed 12/1, Hasn't always looked the most fluent but clearly possesses plenty of ability, scoping dirty when well held in the Tolworth but winning other 3 starts over obstacles. Retains potential but no margin for error in this company. | |||
9th (2)  (22/1 +33%)Blow Your Wad |
22/1(+33%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (2) Blow Your Wad 22/1, Useful in bumpers without looking totally straightforward and got the mark over hurdles at second attempt in 2m Kempton novice in November. Disappointed in the Tolworth but combination of a wind op and a tongue tie enabled him to get back on track in no uncertain terms when winning handicap latest. | |||
|F| (5)  (3.33/1 +17%)Dark Raven |
3.33/1(+17%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (5) Dark Raven 3.33/1, Looked a top prospect when winning both bumpers in 2021. Off the track a while after but expertly prepared to make a winning hurdles debut in December and better form in defeat after, third in the Grade 1 Brave Inca before finishing sixth in the Supreme. Just about sets the standard up in trip. | |||
|F| (3)  (50/1 -127%)Cool Survivor |
50/1(-127%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (3) Cool Survivor 50/1, Fair form in bumpers and won first 2 starts over hurdles, including in listed company. Took his form up a notch when fourth in Grade 1 Nathaniel Lacy & Partners Solicitors Novices' Hurdle at Leopardstown but he failed badly to meet market expectations in the Martin Pipe. | |||
|PU| (13)  (80/1 -21%)Uncle Bert |
80/1(-21%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (13) Uncle Bert 80/1, Plenty about him physically and strong at the finish when landing 12-runner maiden hurdle at Warwick 3 weeks ago. Trip should be within range but dominating this field a different undertaking. | |||
|PU| (6)  (200/1 -100%)Hallwood |
200/1(-100%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (6) Hallwood 200/1, Different proposition on the back of a wind op when making second hurdles start a winning one in maiden company at Carlisle in February. Pedigree strongly suggests this trip will suit but this is a huge ask. | |||
|PU| (12)  (250/1 -67%)Stony Man |
250/1(-67%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (12) Stony Man 250/1, Has a just a maiden win to his name and failed to complete last 2 outings. Out of his depth. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Gordon Elliott won this contest last year with Three Stripe Life and he can do so once more with IRISH POINT, who has some eyecatching form from earlier in the season. Already a runner-up in two Grade 1s, including when pipped by Supreme winner Marine Nationale in the Royal Bond, the five-year-old skipped Cheltenham, instead warming up for this with a confidence-boosting Naas success. You Wear It Well arrives on the back of an excellent victory in the Mares' Novices' Hurdle, but she must overturn form with her Challow conqueror Hermes Allen, who was a major disappointment at the Festival. Dark Raven could be interesting stepping up in trip, while Springwell Bay has won his last two with considerable ease and is another to note. Letsbeclearaboutit wasn't beaten far in the Albert Bartlett and may well be suited by going back in distance.
This is very open and while SPRINGWELL BAY hasn't quite achieved as much as some of these, he's a smashing prospect with the obvious scope to rate higher. He can take the step up in grade in his stride at the chief expense of Dark Raven and You Wear It Well, though Hermes Allen is also very dangerous if back to the level he attained in the Challow.
Hermes Allen remains of strong interest but a solid alternative is IRISH POINT. Springwell Bay is respected too.
Class & Speed Card
| Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (9)  (8/1 -23%)Sire Du Berlais |
8/1(-23%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (9) Sire Du Berlais 8/1, Beat Flooring Porter to win this 12 months ago and came alive come the spring again when overhauling Dashel Drashel late on in the Stayers' at Cheltenham last month. Bold show likely if in similar form. | |||
2nd (10)  (5/1 -11%)Marie's Rock |
5/1(-11%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (10) Marie's Rock 5/1, Won Grade 1 mares' events around 2½m at the Cheltenham and Punchestown Festivals last spring. Looked better than ever when bagging the Relkeel at Cheltenham on her reappearance. Disappointed back at Cheltenham last time but she's not the type to stay down for long. First attempt at 3m. | |||
3rd (4)  (3/1 +45%)Flooring Porter |
3/1(+45%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (4) Flooring Porter 3/1, Dual Stayers' Hurdle winner at Cheltenham. Couldn't complete a hat-trick of wins in that race last month but still ran his best race of the season in fourth. Chased home Sire Du Berlais in this 12 months ago. | |||
4th (6)  (16/1 -14%)Meet And Greet |
16/1(-14%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (6) Meet And Greet 16/1, Smart hurdler. Creditable 3 lengths second of 8 to Blazing Khal in Boyne Hurdle at Navan (21f, good to soft, 10/3) 62 days ago. Third to Home By The Lee at Leopardstown over Christmas. A bit vulnerable at the highest level. | |||
5th (2)  (6/1 +20%)Champ |
6/1(+20%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (2) Champ 6/1, Very talented hurdler/chaser who dug deep to fend off Paisley Park in 3m Newbury Grade 2 hurdle on his reappearance. Not in quite the same form when 4¾ lengths third to Paisley Park in Kempton Grade 1 over Christmas. Freshened up since. Third in this last year. Capable of going well. | |||
6th (3)  (6.5/1 +19%)Dashel Drasher |
6.5/1(+19%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (3) Dashel Drasher 6.5/1, Tough and likeable sort who resumed with a 2½m hurdle win here in November. Good runner-up efforts on all 4 starts since, going down by ¾ length to Sire Du Berlais in Stayers' at Cheltenham on latest. Thereabouts again. | |||
7th (7)  (25/1 +0%)Monmiral |
25/1(+0%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (7) Monmiral 25/1, Won a Grade 1 juvenile hurdle at this meeting in 2021 and second in Aintree Hurdle last year. Smart form in defeat over fences this term. His good course record makes him a dangerous one to discount but he does have stamina to prove stepping up in trip. Tongue tie and cheekpieces on for first time. | |||
8th (1)  (28/1 -12%)Brewin'upastorm |
28/1(-12%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (1) Brewin'upastorm 28/1, Very smart hurdler who returned from wind surgery to land a second win in the Grade 2 National Spirit at Fontwell (19f) in February. His record suggests he'll be vulnerable back at highest level, though. Also has stamina to prove. | |||
|PU| (5)  (4.5/1 -13%)Home By The Lee |
4.5/1(-13%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (5) Home By The Lee 4.5/1, Gained a breakthrough win at Grade 1 level at Leopardstown over Christmas. Did very well under the circumstances when 3¾ lengths fifth of 11 to Sire Du Berlais in Stayers' at Cheltenham, a serious mistake at the sixth knocking him right back. | |||
|PU| (8)  (40/1 -21%)Proschema |
40/1(-21%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (8) Proschema 40/1, Looked better than ever when breezing to success in the West Yorkshire Hurdle at Wetherby. Can't have been right when pulled up at Newbury 4 weeks later and she was quickly back in form when 9½ lengths fourth to Brewin'upastorm in National Spirit at Fontwell. Something to find in this company. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
It is difficult to predict which horse will do well based on this summary as each horse has their own strengths and weaknesses. However, Sire Du Berlais appears to be a strong contender as he won this race last year and recently won the Stayers' Hurdle at Cheltenham. Champ also has a strong track record and recently won a Grade 2 hurdle at Newbury. Marie's Rock has also had success at the highest level and could potentially bounce back from a disappointing run at Cheltenham. Ultimately, the outcome of the race will depend on how each horse performs on the day.
A competitive renewal of the Liverpool Hurdle with several intriguing contenders lining up, including Marie's Rock, who is fancied to bounce back following a disappointing run behind Honeysuckle in the Mares' Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival. She gets a mares' allowance here, so the daughter of Milan looks a big player for powerful connections. That being said, Stayers' Hurdle winners are 5-7 in this race since it became a Grade 1 in 2010, so SIRE DU BERLAIS could be worth siding with. He kept on well to score from the well-fancied Flooring Porter in this contest last year and the fact he was able to uphold that form at Cheltenham last month must make Gordon Elliott's 11-year-old of significant interest. Dashel Drasher filled the runner-up spot behind the selection last time out and is another not to be taken lightly in first-time cheekpieces.
HOME BY THE LEE shaped a lot better than the result when behind a couple of these in the Stayers' at Cheltenham and is taken to turn the tables and notch a second Grade 1 win of the season. Champ has been freshened up since his run at Kempton over Christmas and is a very talented operator on his day so he's second choice ahead of stablemate Marie's Rock, who can't have been right at Cheltenham last month and can get back on track now stepping up to 3m for the first time.
Stayers' Hurdle fourth FLOORING PORTER suffered an interrupted preparation for Cheltenham and can improve from that run.
Class & Speed Card
| Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (2)  (7.5/1 -7%)Midnight River |
7.5/1(-7%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (2) Midnight River 7.5/1, Useful novice hurdler who gained second chase success at Stratford and stepped up again when gamely landing Cheltenham handicap on New Year's Day. Failed to meet expectations in Magners Plate at the Festival since but very much the type to bounce back. Tongue strap on. Stamina slight concern. | |||
2nd (13)  (12/1 +40%)Bowtogreatness |
12/1(+40%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (13) Bowtogreatness 12/1, Dual novice hurdle winner (at around 2½m) and better form when twice placed over fences earlier this term. Overfaced in Grade 1 company next time but excuses both starts in handicaps since. 2 lb out of weights here, though. Bred to stay. | |||
3rd (8)  (10/1 +0%)Kinondo Kwetu |
10/1(+0%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (8) Kinondo Kwetu 10/1, Off mark over hurdles on final start last season and has made a very good start to his chase career, winning first 5 starts, including 4-runner handicap in October. Well held in Grade 2 at Ascot after 4 months off but remains of interest back in a handicap. Tongue strap on 1st time. | |||
4th (7)  (4.5/1 +40%)Shakem Up'Arry |
4.5/1(+40%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (7) Shakem Up'Arry 4.5/1, Proved better than ever (tongue tied) when making winning return at Exeter and shaped well when fifth behind Midnight River at Cheltenham on New Year's Day, possibly making move sooner than ideal. Finished in front of that one when third in Magners Plate at the Festival. One to consider up in trip. | |||
5th (1)  (10/1 -11%)Eldorado Allen |
10/1(-11%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (1) Eldorado Allen 10/1, Very smart but his limitations have been exposed at the highest level, remote seventh in Gold Cup at Cheltenham last month. Not particularly well treated back in a handicap. | |||
6th (15)  (80/1 -186%)Handsworth |
80/1(-186%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (15) Handsworth 80/1, Not disgraced when third at Navan last time but firmly up against it from long way out of the handicap. | |||
7th (3)  (6.5/1 +13%)Nassalam |
6.5/1(+13%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (3) Nassalam 6.5/1, Had a good first season over fences, taking Newbury Grade 2 and ending campaign with success at Fontwell. Easily best effort this term when excellent third (in this headgear) at Cheltenham (20.6f) on New Year's Day. Let down by jumping in Ultima at the Festival since but well worth another chance. | |||
8th (6)  (18/1 -13%)Karl Philippe |
18/1(-13%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (6) Karl Philippe 18/1, Resumed with 2m 4f win at Wetherby in November and backed it up off 7 lb higher mark when second in handicap there on Boxing Day. However, seemed to find the jump to top-level handicaps a bit too much at Cheltenham last 2 starts. | |||
9th (4)  (12/1 +0%)Gold Cup Bailly |
12/1(+0%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (4) Gold Cup Bailly 12/1, Useful chaser who won first 3 starts this season, including 2 small-field handicaps at Ayr. Good second there next time but well held upped in class (Grade 3) at Naas. This more suitable and remains low mileage. | |||
|B| (12)  (9/1 +25%)Coconut Splash |
9/1(+25%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (12) Coconut Splash 9/1, Maiden hurdle winner who has shown useful form in defeat over fences but likely to find this too competitive. 2 lb out of the handicap. | |||
|F| (5)  (4.5/1 +31%)Beauport |
4.5/1(+31%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (5) Beauport 4.5/1, Likeable, progressive hurdler who made fine start over fences when landing listed Colin Parker Chase at Carlisle on return. Yet to build on that but shaped better than the distance beaten suggests in Kim Muir at Cheltenham Festival last month, travelling better than most for a long way (lost shoe). | |||
|F| (9)  (25/1 -56%)Castle Robin |
25/1(-56%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (9) Castle Robin 25/1, Ended last season on the up over fences, scoring at Doncaster and Wetherby. Excuses first 2 starts this term before resuming winning ways at Sandown, making most. Not in same form in Grimthorpe at Doncaster since but did make a bad mistake at the first. | |||
|U| (10)  (25/1 -39%)Kapga De Lily |
25/1(-39%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (10) Kapga De Lily 25/1, Likeable mare who made a winning reappearance last season before following up at Hereford. All the better for return this time when good third in handicap at Wincanton and similar form when third of 5 in listed chase at Exeter soon after. Should run her race again. | |||
|PU| (11)  (25/1 -56%)Darrens Hope |
25/1(-56%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (11) Darrens Hope 25/1, Dual scorer over fences but arrives out of form and partlicularly well handicapped even if back to best. | |||
|PU| (14)  (50/1 -79%)Daly Tiger |
50/1(-79%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (14) Daly Tiger 50/1, Very smart chaser at best for Noel Meade and won a minor event over hurdles at Limerick last season. However, has lost his way since then, finishing well held all 4 starts for current connections. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
BEAUPORT travelled well for a long way but failed to see out the testing 3m2f on soft ground in the Kim Muir at Cheltenham last month. Down a furlong in trip and switched to a flat track, the seven-year-old may put in an improved effort and is certainly on a workable mark. Midnight River disappointed at the Festival but is a player based on his Grade 3 victory at Cheltenham two starts ago. Eldorado Allen has been highly tried this season and should not be underestimated now eased in grade, while Gold Cup Bailly and Nassalam are a couple of others to note.
SHAKEM UP'ARRY has really impressed with how he's travelled since the tongue strap was fitted, producing another cracking effort when third in the Magners Plate at the Cheltenham Festival, and he may just get away with the longer trip at this flatter track. Midnight River and Nassalam failed to meet expectations in the same race at Cheltenham but both are likely to bounce back given their profiles, while Beauport will be suited by the drop back in trip given how he shaped in the Kim Muir.
Beauport can go well but he may have to give best to SHAKEM UP'ARRY who can improve on his good third at the Cheltenham Festival.
Class & Speed Card
| Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (26)  (8/1 +20%)Corach Rambler |
8/1(+20%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (26) Corach Rambler 8/1, Leaped into favouritism for this with a second successive win in the Ultima Handicap at the Cheltenham Festival, idling late having quickened smartly to lead. 10 lb well-in and Scottish yard won this with One For Arthur in 2017. Obvious chance if he doesn't get too far back. | |||
2nd (23)  (20/1 -11%)Vanillier |
20/1(-11%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (23) Vanillier 20/1, Grade 1 hurdles winner over 3m and ran an eye-catching race in Fairyhouse Grade 3 chase 7 weeks ago, closing all the way behind the classy Kemboy without being not knocked about. Should stay this far and if keeping the mistakes down he could go well. | |||
3rd (13)  (10/1 +17%)Gaillard Du Mesnil |
10/1(+17%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (13) Gaillard Du Mesnil 10/1, Very smart grey who was third in last year's Irish National and proved all stamina when landing the National Hunt Chase at Cheltenham last month. Not always fluent there though and did have quite a hard race. One of 5 for Willie Mullins (won this just once, in 2005). | |||
4th (2)  (10/1 +17%)Noble Yeats |
10/1(+17%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (2) Noble Yeats 10/1, Proved money well spent when belying chasing inexperience to take this 12 months ago from Any Second Now, showing bags of stamina to overhaul that one and becoming the first winning 7-y-o since 1940. Has improved further this term, fourth in the Cheltenham Gold Cup last time. 19 lb higher this year. | |||
5th (5)  (12/1 +25%)The Big Dog |
12/1(+25%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (5) The Big Dog 12/1, Big improver in the autumn, winning a couple of valuable 3m handicap chases in Ireland before a fine third in the Welsh National. Took an uncharacteristic fall in the Irish Gold Cup last time which is hardly the ideal preparation, but otherwise he's one of the more likely types. | |||
6th (40)  (50/1 +50%)Born By The Sea |
50/1(+50%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (40) Born By The Sea 50/1, Useful handicap chaser at his best who has failed to figure (albeit faced with stiff tasks) last 4 starts and would be a surprising winner from out of the weights. | |||
7th (19)  (33/1 +18%)Roi Mage |
33/1(+18%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (19) Roi Mage 33/1, Eight-time winning chaser who struck for new yard at Down Royal last spring. Second to Longhouse Poet bidding for the repeat 4 weeks ago and plenty of others have stronger claims given he's prone to mistakes. | |||
8th (29)  (33/1 +18%)Mister Coffey |
33/1(+18%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (29) Mister Coffey 33/1, Talented but rather frustrating performer who was placed again at the Cheltenham Festival when third to Gaillard du Mesnil in the NH Chase, wilting from 2 out. Didn't take to these fences in last year's Topham and with his stamina doubts he's unlikely to be Nicky Henderson's first winner in this. | |||
9th (21)  (66/1 +34%)A Wave Of The Sea |
66/1(+34%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (21) A Wave Of The Sea 66/1, All his wins have come over much shorter and he ran a shocker for the third year running at the Cheltenham Festival last month. Very hard to fancy upped markedly in trip. | |||
|F| (4)  (33/1 +34%)Fury Road |
33/1(+34%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (4) Fury Road 33/1, Very smart on his day but hard to catch right. His third to Galopin des Champs in the Irish Gold Cup in February reads well though and he may appreciate this much stiffer test on a belated start in a handicap having been caught out in the Ryanair last time. 1 of 8 for Gordon Elliott. | |||
|F| (17)  (40/1 +0%)The Big Breakaway |
40/1(+0%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (17) The Big Breakaway 40/1, Smart novice chaser in 2020/21 but firmly back on track this term with good seconds in valuable Haydock handicap and the Welsh National, jumping a lot better than usual at Chepstow. Never got going in the Ultima at Cheltenham but might have needed it after 11 weeks off. Stronger headgear goes on. | |||
|F| (8)  (66/1 +0%)Sam Brown |
66/1(+0%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (8) Sam Brown 66/1, Won the preceding handicap on this card 12 months ago and was a good third in the Charlie Hall at Wetherby on his return. Quiet since but has likely had this as his target (should stay long distances). Has had a breathing operation. | |||
|F| (31)  (80/1 +20%)Hill Sixteen |
80/1(+20%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (31) Hill Sixteen 80/1, Close second in the mud over these fences in the 2021 Becher but patchy form since, well held again at Kelso (lost a shoe) after 4 months off/another breathing operation at Kelso 3 weeks ago. Cheekpieces go on and he should stay this far. Jockey rode the 66/1-winner of this in 2013. | |||
|U| (7)  (11/1 -22%)Delta Work |
11/1(-22%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (7) Delta Work 11/1, Last year's third won the Cross Country Chase for the second year running at Cheltenham last month, seeing off Galvin having denied National hero Tiger Roll 12 months earlier. It was a big effort from him from 1 lb higher in 2022 having made early mistakes and he'll be sharper this time. Big player. | |||
|U| (28)  (14/1 +0%)Mr Incredible |
14/1(+0%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (28) Mr Incredible 14/1, Has his quirks (has refused to race) but also a ton of ability, placed in valuable staying handicap chases the last twice, his effort flattening out as he wandered badly on the run-in in the Kim Muir at Cheltenham last month. Will stay and has it in him to run a huge race if taking to the test. | |||
|U| (12)  (20/1 +9%)Longhouse Poet |
20/1(+9%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (12) Longhouse Poet 20/1, Warmed up nicely for a second crack at this when returning to winning ways at Down Royal last month, beating Roi Mage. Took to the course really well last year but finished held in sixth having proved far too keen. Same mark and will clearly need to settle better. | |||
|U| (3)  (22/1 +0%)Galvin |
22/1(+0%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (3) Galvin 22/1, Tough and genuine performer with a good Cheltenham Festival record, second to a stablemate with an even better one in Delta Work on his first go in a cross-country race last month. Has to meet that one on 7 lb worse terms here though. Davy Russell, seeking a third National win, back in the saddle. | |||
|U| (9)  (33/1 +34%)Lifetime Ambition |
33/1(+34%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (9) Lifetime Ambition 33/1, Good jumper who took pretty well to these fences in the Grand Sefton in November before chasing home The Big Dog in the Troytown at Navan. Well held since (over hurdles latest) and is a doubtful stayer. Others preferred. | |||
|U| (34)  (50/1 +24%)Eva's Oskar |
50/1(+24%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (34) Eva's Oskar 50/1, Likeable chaser who has improved since the visor went on, scoring at Cheltenham in December and doing enough to prove himself over this sort of trip when fourth in the Eider at Newcastle 7 weeks ago. Tongue tie goes on and probably only minor place claims. | |||
|U| (32)  (50/1 +24%)Gabbys Cross |
50/1(+24%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (32) Gabbys Cross 50/1, Won handicap chase at Galway last summer and has been shaping up well in good races this season, finishing with running left at Naas 5 weeks ago. Rachael Blackmore switches to stablemate Ain't That A Shame but he should stay and unwise to dismiss. | |||
|U| (30)  (80/1 +0%)Cloudy Glen |
80/1(+0%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (30) Cloudy Glen 80/1, Hard to predict but was runner-up in the Kim Muir 2 years ago and won the Ladbrokes Trophy at Newbury on return last season. Jumped well but had a hard race on his return at Haydock and bombed out behind Corach Rambler at Cheltenham. Trainer and owners have enjoyed success in this over the years. | |||
|U| (33)  (80/1 +20%)Recite A Prayer |
80/1(+20%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (33) Recite A Prayer 80/1, Won the Killarney National last spring and good efforts at Listowel/Clonmel in the autumn. Well beaten over these fences in the Becher and at Leopardstown in December though and looks down the Willie Mullins' pecking order back from a break. | |||
|U| (20)  (100/1 -25%)Diol Ker |
100/1(-25%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (20) Diol Ker 100/1, Well suited to the demands of large-field staying handicaps, winning the Leinster National last season and going close in a valuable contest at Leopardstown over Christmas. Not so good at Punchestown since though and work to do up in trip. | |||
|U| (14)  (100/1 +0%)Darasso |
100/1(+0%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (14) Darasso 100/1, Admirable dual purpose performer who was third in the Kerry National in September and scored at Thurles in December. Well beaten the last twice though and looks up against it on his first go in a marathon handicap. | |||
10th (15)  (12/1 +25%)Le Milos |
12/1(+25%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (15) Le Milos 12/1, Has improved further for new yard this term, winning hot Newbury handicap chase in November (Corach Rambler fourth) and shaping best in second on first run since at Kelso 6 weeks ago, sent for home earlier than ideal. Had a hard race there but is very much the type who'll take well to this test. | |||
11th (35)  (25/1 +0%)Our Power |
25/1(+0%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (35) Our Power 25/1, Improving and likeable chaser who has won valuable 3m handicaps at Ascot and Kempton 4 months apart this term, jumping soundly and holding on gamely 7 weeks ago. Done well to get a run as a progressive sort (due to be 4 lb higher in the future) and well in the mix if he stays. | |||
12th (27)  (50/1 -25%)Enjoy D'allen |
50/1(-25%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (27) Enjoy D'allen 50/1, Dual winning chaser who got no further than the first in this last year having been purchased by top owner and he's been well held since, going with little fluency at Fairyhouse 7 weeks ago. Tongue tie back on. | |||
13th (38)  (100/1 +0%)Fortescue |
100/1(+0%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (38) Fortescue 100/1, Useful chaser who relished the emphasis on stamina when landing a listed handicap at Ascot (3m, heavy) last season. Hasn't taken to this course in 2 tries though, never going well from the third in this last year and looking laboured in the Becher in December. Different headgear. Hard to fancy. | |||
14th (10)  (50/1 +24%)Carefully Selected |
50/1(+24%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (10) Carefully Selected 50/1, Very lightly raced for an 11-y-o but better than ever back from 33 months off this term, relishing the slog through the Gowran mud as he edged out Dunboyne in the Thyestes in January. Better than the result at Fairyhouse since but wouldn't be sure to take to these fences. Excellent young rider up. | |||
15th (22)  (50/1 +24%)Minella Trump |
50/1(+24%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (22) Minella Trump 50/1, The winningmost horse of last season (won 8 of his 9 starts at up to 3m, mostly in small-field contests). Should have come on for his first run in 10 months at Bangor 3 weeks ago but doesn't look well enough handicapped to take this for 2011's winning trainer. | |||
16th (37)  (125/1 -25%)Francky Du Berlais |
125/1(-25%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (37) Francky Du Berlais 125/1, Notched up a second win in the valuable Summer Plate at Market Rasen last summer. Looked energised by step up to a marathon trip in cross country race at Cheltenham in January and shaped well again on that course last month (might have hung on for third if finishing). Could go well for a long way. | |||
17th (25)  (10/1 -11%)Ain't That A Shame |
10/1(-11%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (25) Ain't That A Shame 10/1, Was shaping up well this season before opening account over fences in Gowran maiden in the mud 5 weeks ago, readily coming clear despite a couple of mistakes. Could have a bigger effort in the locker now contesting a marathon handicap and one to note under 2021-winning rider Rachael Blackmore. | |||
|PU| (1)  (14/1 +0%)Any Second Now |
14/1(+0%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (1) Any Second Now 14/1, Has come alive in this race for the last 2 years, arguably unlucky not to win when third in 2021 and finding only Noble Yeats too good 12 months ago, briefly looking like the winner at the last. Warmed up with a smooth Navan success from Velvet Elvis last month but is 8 lb higher third time around. | |||
|PU| (6)  (22/1 +0%)Capodanno |
22/1(+0%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (6) Capodanno 22/1, Second-season chaser who has gone well in big fields and won extended 3m Punchestown Grade 1 novice last spring from Lifetime Ambition and Fury Road. Pleasing comeback at Gowran in February and looks like he has the required stamina for this. Big run could be on the way. | |||
|PU| (39)  (22/1 +33%)Back On The Lash |
22/1(+33%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (39) Back On The Lash 22/1, Struck again over the cross country fences at Cheltenham in January but struggled once more behind Delta Work there last month and this is even tougher from out of the weights under a change of rider. | |||
|PU| (24)  (25/1 +38%)Velvet Elvis |
25/1(+38%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (24) Velvet Elvis 25/1, Made all at Fairyhouse in February and fair run behind Any Second Now at Navan 4 weeks ago. Stamina to prove here though (finished tired in last year's Irish National) and hard to see him in the shake up. | |||
|PU| (11)  (28/1 +15%)Coko Beach |
28/1(+15%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (11) Coko Beach 28/1, Gordon Elliott-trained grey who led for a long way in the Thyestes won by Carefully Selected before scoring himself for the first time in 2 years at Punchestown 8 weeks ago. Didn't get home in the 2021 Irish National or in this 12 months ago (eighth off 5 lb lower). | |||
|PU| (36)  (50/1 +38%)Dunboyne |
50/1(+38%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (36) Dunboyne 50/1, Off the mark over fences in the Gowran mud in November and went close behind Carefully Selected in valuable handicap there in January. Kept on from a long way back in the Kim Muir at Cheltenham last month and sterner headgear tried upped markedly in trip now. | |||
|PU| (18)  (100/1 +33%)Cape Gentleman |
100/1(+33%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (18) Cape Gentleman 100/1, Smart chaser at best and took a step back in the right direction on second start for this yard when behind Velvet Elvis at Fairyhouse 10 weeks ago. Never raced beyond 3m though (all wins over shorter) and he has plenty on his plate. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Based on the summary, 11/1 (7) DELTA WORK, 10/1 (2) NOBLE YEATS, and 8/1 (26) CORACH RAMBLER seem like strong contenders for the race. 11/1 (7) DELTA WORK has a good track record at Cheltenham and a recent win in the Cross Country Chase, while 10/1 (2) NOBLE YEATS has improved significantly since last year and finished fourth in the Cheltenham Gold Cup. 8/1 (26) CORACH RAMBLER has also had recent success at Cheltenham and has a 10 lb advantage. However, other horses such as 10/1 (25) AIN'T THAT A SHAME and 12/1 (5) THE BIG DOG cannot be dismissed and may surprise.
This most famous race has tended to see some quirky individuals come alive around the National fences in the past and there are none more so in this year's field than MR INCREDIBLE. The seven-year-old has been eye-catching when staying on from off the pace in the Kim Muir and Classic Chase this season, both excellent trials for this unique contest. No winner has carried more than 11-10 to win the National since the mighty Red Rum and that stat does not bode well for last year's one-two, Noble Yeats (first) and Any Second Now, both of whom arrive in fine form. Last year's third Delta Work is now 20lb better off with the winner and arrives on the back of another excellent win in the Cross Country at Cheltenham, while Corach Rambler is 10lb well-in after doubling up in the Ultima. The Big Dog is another dour stayer who has already notched up victories in the Munster National and Troytown this season, while on the other side of the water, Le Milos and Our Power have done similar. One to note at a big price could be Gabbys Cross, who has a very similar profile to Henry De Bromhead's 2021 winner Minella Times.
DELTA WORK can give Gordon Elliott a fourth Grand National victory. He's been extremely strong at the finish when winning the Cross Country Chase for the last 2 years, the same race Tiger Roll landed before taking this in 2018 and 2019 for connections, and he gave a great account of himself when third off 1 lb higher 12 months ago. Corach Rambler is another dual Cheltenham Festival winner who ticks plenty of boxes for the 2017-winning yard. Le Milos and Vanillier complete the shortlist.
Performances in France suggest ROI MAGE (nap) can reveal himself in a spectacular new light with today's test. Le Milos is next.
Class & Speed Card
| Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (8)  (18/1 -13%)Florida Dreams |
18/1(-13%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (8) Florida Dreams 18/1, Doyen gelding who made the perfect start when taking a Musselburgh bumper 102 days ago. This is much tougher and inexperience could hold him back. | |||
2nd (4)  (3.2/1 +47%)Blizzard Of Oz |
3.2/1(+47%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (4) Blizzard Of Oz 3.2/1, Made the frame all 3 starts in bumpers prior to opening his account at Cork in ready fashion. Further progress would put him right in the mix and appears to be the choice of Patrick Mullins. | |||
3rd (10)  (28/1 -133%)Hasthing |
28/1(-133%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (10) Hasthing 28/1, French bumper winner who shaped very encouragingly when second at Uttoxeter 17 months later. Likely to take another step forward and could be involved. | |||
4th (5)  (33/1 -32%)Bowenspark |
33/1(-32%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (5) Bowenspark 33/1, Won first two starts in bumpers but came up short upped to listed company at Newbury a couple of months ago. Faces another stiff task. | |||
5th (13)  (6.5/1 -18%)Pour Les Filles |
6.5/1(-18%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (13) Pour Les Filles 6.5/1, Point winner who showed a good attitude to edge out a well-backed Willie Mullins-trained rival on debut at Leopardstown over Christmas. Should have plenty more to offer. | |||
6th (17)  (33/1 -32%)Esprit Du Potier |
33/1(-32%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (17) Esprit Du Potier 33/1, Runner-up on debut at Ayr and won both subsequent starts there, comfortably making all on latest. Likely to be found out up in grade, though. | |||
7th (12)  (12/1 +40%)Masaccio |
12/1(+40%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (12) Masaccio 12/1, Debut winner at Doncaster back in 2020 and useful form since. Good second in a listed contest at Newbury a couple of months ago but will need to improve to feature. | |||
8th (9)  (10/1 +17%)Go To War |
10/1(+17%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (9) Go To War 10/1, Made appeal on paper and off the mark at first time of asking in 11-runner bumper at Uttoxeter (15.8f, good to soft) on NH debut 169 days ago. Likely more to come and stable won the mares' race on Thursday. | |||
9th (19)  (16/1 -78%)Samui |
16/1(-78%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (19) Samui 16/1, From a good NH family and justified favouritism in good style on debut at Naas last month. Entitled to improve for top yard but this is a whole different test. | |||
10th (1)  (11/1 +8%)Aslukgoes |
11/1(+8%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (1) Aslukgoes 11/1, Won 2 good-ground bumpers for Ian Williams last summer and completed the hat-trick on debut for current trainer at Newbury a couple of months ago. Should give another good account. | |||
11th (11)  (40/1 -21%)Kinbara |
40/1(-21%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (11) Kinbara 40/1, £70,000 buy after winning his sole point and followed suit in 11-runner bumper at Killarney 9 months ago. Not seen since, though, and a lot more is required if he's to defend his unbeaten record. | |||
12th (15)  (100/1 -150%)Westerninthepark |
100/1(-150%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (15) Westerninthepark 100/1, Second in a point and filled the same position switched to Rules at Huntingdon on debut. Went one better at Stratford since but he's probably not up to this level. | |||
13th (6)  (3.33/1 +49%)Captain Cody |
3.33/1(+49%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (6) Captain Cody 3.33/1, Showed plenty on completed start in point and Punchestown bumper prior to easy success in Limerick contest on Rules debut. Shaped really well in the Champion Bumper and makes plenty of appeal down in grade. | |||
14th (18)  (80/1 -100%)Fiercely Proud |
80/1(-100%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (18) Fiercely Proud 80/1, Landed Market Rasen bumper on debut in October (subsequently sold from Don Cantillon £125,000) and followed up in listed contest at Cheltenham on New Year's Day. Down the field in Champion Bumper and likely to come up short again. | |||
15th (3)  (33/1 +18%)Bertie's Ballet |
33/1(+18%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (3) Bertie's Ballet 33/1, Likeable sort who improved to double his tally at Kelso 3 weeks ago. This is obviously much stronger but he boasts place claims. | |||
16th (2)  (14/1 +13%)Beat The Bat |
14/1(+13%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (2) Beat The Bat 14/1, Close second of 17 in bumper at Wincanton on debut and went one better when landing a 14-runner bumper at Chepstow 49 days ago. Worth his place in a race like this. | |||
17th (14)  (80/1 -21%)Taras Halls |
80/1(-21%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (14) Taras Halls 80/1, Yeats gelding who made a winning start at Huntingdon and found only one too good there subsequently. Faces a stiff task in this contest, however. | |||
18th (16)  (50/1 -213%)Dino Bellagio |
50/1(-213%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (16) Dino Bellagio 50/1, 7/2, won slowly-run 6-runner bumper at Ayr (16f, good to soft) on NH debut, cosily. Disappointing at Cheltenham next time but right back on track when quickening clear in decisive fashion at Doncaster 77 days ago. This is much tougher. | |||
19th (20)  (125/1 -279%)Shinji |
125/1(-279%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (20) Shinji 125/1, Proved a class apart in Fakenham bumper for Roger Varian (subsequently sold £60,000) in November. Ran well but looked headstrong in listed event at Newbury last month and hood goes on now. Plenty to find. | |||
|PU| (7)  (12/1 -71%)Centara |
12/1(-71%) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | (7) Centara 12/1, Out of a bumper winner and impressive start when readily landing a Taunton event last month. Open to a good deal of improvement and makes plenty of appeal. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 1 race.
Patrick Mullins was excited by the prospects of Blizzard Of Oz earlier in the season, so it would have come as a relief when he opened his account at Cork last month. He should continue to progress, but that's the case with many of these and a chance is taken on CENTARA. Paul Nicholls has landed two of the previous three renewals of this contest and his bloodless Taunton scorer can boost his record further. Aslukgoes has yet to taste defeat in three starts so must enter calculations, along with the Gordon Elliott-trained Pour Les Filles. Others to note include Kinbara, Beat The Bat and Go To War.
CENTARA tanked through the race when making a successful start at Taunton recently and he could find sufficient improvement to maintain his unbeaten record up in grade. Captain Cody is an obvious player after his excellent sixth in the Champion Bumper, while his stablemate Blizzard of Oz is one of several others with feasible claims in an open-looking renewal.
Top billing in a warm race goes to the well-bred Leopardstown winner POUR LES FILLES, with Centara second choice.
Ths is the racecard key.
| Icon | Meaning |
|---|---|
 | TomForm top stats, gold rated |
 | TomForm top stats silver rated |
 | Ran similar race before |
| S | TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out |
| T | Top Time speeed rated |
 | Top Racingpost rated |
 | At the races watchout for |
 | At the races top pick |
 | Top rated for thet statistic |
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
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