There are 38 Races Today across 5 meetings. There is 8 races at Chepstow, 7 races at Musselburgh, 7 races at Nottingham, 7 races at Dundalk, 9 races at Kempton, use Tomform to help you find a winner.
The data in the racecards below is for the past year. View the racecard key.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (7/4 +30%) Idefix De Ciergues |
7/4(+30%) | (2) Idefix De Ciergues 7/4, Fair maiden hurdler who made a decent start to his chase career when fourth over an inadequate 2m at Ffos Las 24 days ago. Open to improvement back at a more suitable trip. Unexposed chaser who should appreciate this big step back up in trip; interesting. |
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2nd (1) (11/1 -83%) Red Nika |
11/1(-83%) | (1) Red Nika 11/1, Point winner who ran creditably back under Rules for the first time in 3 years when fourth in a C&D hunter in April. Bad mistake first when below that form in Stratford hunter the following month. Not discounted back in a handicap. Won a point early this year and he's on a dangerous mark back in a handicap; not ruled out. |
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3rd (5) (15/2 +53%) Johnny B |
15/2(+53%) | (5) Johnny B 15/2, Mixed record overall but has a win and 3 seconds to show from only 5 visits to Chepstow. Out of sorts when last seen in the summer but his record here makes him a dangerous one to discount. 10yo who is not easy to predict but he's on a workable mark and has won when fresh. |
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4th (8) (10/1 +44%) Dindin |
10/1(+44%) | (8) Dindin 10/1, Successful at Worcester in summer 2023 and runner-up on 3 occasions after. Decent comeback third at Newton Abbot in August but has gone backwards from that twice since. Blinkers and a tongue tie are both refitted now. Seven-time chase winner but he's been well held in last two runs and others are preferred. |
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5th (9) (16/1 -33%) Shesupincourt |
16/1(-33%) | (9) Shesupincourt 16/1, Dual handicap hurdle winner around 3m last season, including here. Well held on Ffos Las reappearance last month but should be sharper now. Suffered an unlucky unseat around halfway on previous chase start. Has struggled in last three hurdle runs and has plenty to prove back over fences. |
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6th (6) (16/1 +20%) Iron Heart |
16/1(+20%) | (6) Iron Heart 16/1, Four-time hurdle winner who was a close second in a 3m Bangor handicap chase. However, that is very much a standout effort from his 8 runs in this sphere and he was a well-beaten fifth at Plumpton 16 days ago. 0-8 over fences and he's been well held back in this sphere in last two starts. |
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7th (4) (6/1 -20%) Ballybeen |
6/1(-20%) | (4) Ballybeen 6/1, Placed first 7 starts in this sphere, including twice here. Capitulated tamely here when last seen in March but more than capable of bouncing back after a break. 0-9 over fences but he's been placed seven times and needs a close look on his return. |
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|U| (3) (12/1 +25%) King Of Brazil |
12/1(+25%) | (3) King Of Brazil 12/1, Fair hurdler/chaser who twice over fences last season, latterly over 19.5f here. Hard to derive many positives from last week's reappearance run at Bangor, though. Two chase wins but he was pulled up on return and still has stamina to prove at this trip. |
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|PU| (10) (17/2 -6%) John W Creasy |
17/2(-6%) | (10) John W Creasy 17/2, Hasn't seriously threatened since joining this yard, although he did run a bit better in blinkers when fifth of 12 over 17.5f at Exeter 15 days ago on only his second chase start. Needs to build on that now stepping back up significantly in trip. Unexposed chaser but he's still a maiden and this big step back up in trip is a concern. |
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|PU| (7) (18/1 -157%) Butterwick Brook |
18/1(-157%) | (7) Butterwick Brook 18/1, More miss than hit since landing a Wincanton handicap chase in December 2021, pulling up twice when last seen in early 2023. The fact he was runner-up over C&D on his 2022 reappearance provides some hope but the betting is perhaps the best guide after such a long absence. Pulled up in last two runs and has plenty to prove after 599 days off. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
IDEFIX DE CIERGUES gained some valuable experience when fourth over an inadequate 2m at Ffos Las on his chasing debut. Stepping back up in trip promises to bring about improvement from the six-year-old, who also has his sights lowered on this occasion. Ballybeen was pulled up on his last visit here back in March but is capable of making an impact, while others to note include King Of Brazil and Red Nika.
IDEFIX DE CIERGUES shaped quite well on his chase debut considering 2m was very much on the short side and he can make his second start over the larger obstacles a winning one now back over a more suitable trip. The reappearing Ballybeen has a largely consistent record and is second choice ahead of Tom Lacey's Red Nika.
It might be worth siding with the unexposed chaser IDEFIX DE CIERGUES, who looks interesting on this big step back up in trip.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (33/1 -106%) Zaphea |
33/1(-106%) | (3) Zaphea 33/1, C&D winner in May and has also scored twice at Hamilton since. Threw her chance away at the start when last of 11 over C&D (good to soft) 23 days ago. Largely poor form since her August win. |
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2nd (8) (6/1 +33%) Royal Duke |
6/1(+33%) | (8) Royal Duke 6/1, Career best when winning 11-runner C&D handicap last month. Better than result when 4¼ lengths sixth of 9 to Sixcor back here since, paying the price for making a big move into contention. Worth another chance. Perhaps best to forgive latest effort; won over C&D the time before. |
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3rd (6) (25/1 +0%) Sixcor |
25/1(+0%) | (6) Sixcor 25/1, Comfortable winner over C&D (good to soft) last month but no big surprise when he failed to back it up at Newcastle 8 days later. Not easy to predict what mood he'll turn up in. Inconsistent of late but scored comfortably here on most recent turf start. |
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4th (4) (17/2 -6%) Travel Candy |
17/2(-6%) | (4) Travel Candy 17/2, Below-form fourth of 10 in handicap (5/1) at Redcar (6f, heavy) 9 days ago but claims on her runner-up effort over 5f there prior to that. Still 10lb below last winning mark and this return to 5f is another plus. |
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5th (1) (5/4 +44%) Profiteer |
5/4(+44%) | (1) Profiteer 5/4, Thriving this autumn, winning back to back over 5f at Pontefract (heavy) last month. A 3 lb rise shouldn't prevent him making a bold bid for the hat-trick. Successful in two soft-ground races at Pontefract since dropped back to 5f. |
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6th (5) (4/1 +33%) Kyber Crystal |
4/1(+33%) | (5) Kyber Crystal 4/1, C&D winner in August and went in again at Hamilton in September. Creditable second of 6 in handicap (10/3) at Catterick (5f, heavy) 8 days ago. Respected. Has won over C&D; creditable second off this mark in two of last three runs. |
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7th (9) (25/1 -285%) Thunderstorm Katie |
25/1(-285%) | (9) Thunderstorm Katie 25/1, First run since leaving Brian Toomey when very good fourth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 9 days ago, left poorly placed. Very much the type her new yard will get wins out of. Signs of improvement at Newcastle last week on debut for new yard. |
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8th (7) (9/1 -29%) Mrs Bagerran |
9/1(-29%) | (7) Mrs Bagerran 9/1, C&D winner. Respectable 2½ lengths second of 9 to Sixcor over C&D (good to soft, 3/1) 23 days ago. Likely to give it another good go from the front. Respectable C&D record includes two second-place finishes in 2024; fighting chance. |
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9th (2) (22/1 -120%) Jamie Bond |
22/1(-120%) | (2) Jamie Bond 22/1, Fair performer. Respectable fourth of 6 in handicap (25/1) at Catterick (5f, firm) in August. Off for a further 79 days since. Showed signs of a return to form when last seen; won off 2lb higher in 2023. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Runner-up off this mark over C&D last month, Kyber Crystal filled the same berth at Catterick most recently and another prominent showing is forecast. That said, PROFITEER edges preference. Tim Easterby's charge showed a likeable attitude when bringing up a Pontefract double and, nudged up another 3lb, he gets the vote to round out the hat-trick. Mrs Bagerran looks the pick of the remainder.
ROYAL DUKE had an excuse when a beaten favourite here last time and is given another chance to show his mark is workable. Fellow 3-y-o Profiteer has come good this autumn and is feared most despite this being a different test to the one he's encountered at Pontefract the last twice. Thunderstorm Katie is also shortlisted after her promising first run for Jim Goldie.
The most solid contenders are MRS BAGERRAN and Kyber Crystal, preferred in that order.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (9/2 +44%) Lovelifenlaughter |
9/2(+44%) | (1) Lovelifenlaughter 9/2, Twice-raced maiden. Fourth of 8 in novice at Yarmouth (5.2f, soft, 14/1) 15 days ago. Improvement required. Midfield in 6f/5f novices at Yarmouth, the latest on soft; could have a part to play. |
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2nd (4) (6/5 -80%) Radio Star |
6/5(-80%) | (4) Radio Star 6/5, Below form at York latest but had made the frame in both starts previously and looks the one to beat here. Soft perhaps not ideal on nursery debut but that was York and this is much easier. |
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3rd (2) (10/1 +64%) Dreambird Dolly |
10/1(+64%) | (2) Dreambird Dolly 10/1, Once-raced maiden. Tenth of 13 in novice (100/1) at Windsor (6f, heavy) on debut 23 days ago. Work to do. Dropped right out to be beaten 14l on heavy ground at Windsor (6f) when 100-1. |
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4th (3) (7/4 +22%) Highfield Blue |
7/4(+22%) | (3) Highfield Blue 7/4, Looked in need of experience when seventh of 9 in maiden (6/1) at Thirsk (5f, good to firm) on debut in May. Related to plenty of winners, though, and warrants respect. There were some positives to take from her 5l defeat at Thirsk in May. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
RADIO STAR struggled to land a blow in a nursery at York last time and this return to novice company may see her shed her maiden tag at the fifth attempt. Ollie Sangster's charge has the benefit of experience on her side and she can put that to good use. Plenty of improvement can be expected from Highfield Blue, who wasn't without supporters when seventh on her racecourse debut over 5f at Thirsk in May, while Lovelifenlaughter looks booked for third.
RADIO STAR had posted fair form prior to her disappointing York run and looks the safest option in the opener. Highfield Blue may provide the chief threat.
The York run last time leaves RADIO STAR with questions to answer on soft ground but this is a much weaker race.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (4/9 +39%) Royal Infantry |
4/9(+39%) | (4) Royal Infantry 4/9, Point winner who took his unbeaten record to three with a couple of bumper wins last winter, including in a listed event at Newbury. Eighth in the Champion Bumper in March and looks a useful hurdles prospect. Listed bumper winner and he's an interesting recruit to hurdling; high of the list. |
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2nd (10) (18/1 -125%) Plantaroma |
18/1(-125%) | (10) Plantaroma 18/1, Shaped well when second to I Am Max (won again next time) in Carlisle bumper on debut in February. Matched that form both starts since and that is a sound platform for hurdling. Runner-up in two bumpers including at Cheltenham in April; respected on hurdling debut. |
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3rd (3) (7/2 -5%) Kap Ouest |
7/2(-5%) | (3) Kap Ouest 7/2, From a decent French NH family and produced a promising first effort when third in a bumper here a year ago, staying on gradually and best of those held up. Still a shade too green in a hood when second on hurdles debut in May and there should be more to come. Runner-up behind subsequent Grade 2 winner on hurdling debut in May; big player on return. |
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4th (6) (28/1 -155%) The Hardest Geezer |
28/1(-155%) | (6) The Hardest Geezer 28/1, Dam unraced sister to high-class hurdler (stayed 3m) Kilcooley. Belied odds of 18/1 to make a comfortable winning debut in a bumper at Ayr for Donald Whillans. Sold for £90,000 and a shade disappointing at Huntingdon 5 months later bur he's in good hands now hurdling with a hood. Won the first of his two bumpers and needs watching in market on hurdling debut. |
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5th (5) (9/1 +44%) Salt Rock |
9/1(+44%) | (5) Salt Rock 9/1, Cost £205,000 after winning his only point. Well beaten when favourite for a Warwick bumper in March 2023 but subsequently had wind surgery and offered more when third in an Exeter novice hurdle in November of that year. Off since but retains potential. Easy point winner and placed over hurdles last November; back from another absence now. |
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6th (2) (11/1 -38%) Joining Force |
11/1(-38%) | (2) Joining Force 11/1, €42,000 3-y-o, £42,000 5-y-o, Workforce gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to useful hurdler (stayed 2¾m) Couleur France. Runner-up on second of 2 starts in Irish points in February and fair start to Rules career when third in a course bumper last month, faring best of those held up. More to come. Promise in Irish points and a bumper at this track; in the mix on hurdling debut. |
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7th (9) (100/1 +0%) Missy Mole |
100/1(+0%) | (9) Missy Mole 100/1, Runner-up completed start in Irish points but little to shout about both hurdles outings. Hood on. Struggled in both hurdle runs and needs a transformation with hood added. |
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8th (7) (150/1 -50%) Bellever Tor |
150/1(-50%) | (7) Bellever Tor 150/1, Second foal, dam fair maiden on Flat (stayed 1½m). Out of half-sister to jumps winner; this looks a tough starting point; best watched. |
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|R| (1) (66/1 -32%) D'gesteevo |
66/1(-32%) | (1) D'gesteevo 66/1, Half-brother to fairly useful hurdler Bonza Girl and out of a winning hurdler but not a great deal of encouragement to be gleaned from both starts in bumpers last season. Struggled in two bumpers here last season and is best watched on hurdling debut. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Champion Bumper eighth ROYAL INFANTRY wasn't at all disgraced at the Festival, having gone into it with victories at Doncaster and in Listed company at Newbury behind him. His trainer has already shown himself to have a fairly strong hand with novice hurdlers so far this campaign and the five-year-old could be yet another exciting prospect. Kap Ouest's second at Uttoxeter in May was a fair effort considering he pulled hard behind a subsequent Grade 2 winner, while Plantaroma's bumper form entitles her to respect.
ROYAL INFANTRY fared best of the British representatives when eighth in the Champion Bumper and sure to know his job, he can outclass these on hurdles debut. Kap Quest and Salt Rock remain open to improvement and can chase the selection home.
Top of the list is Dan Skelton's Listed bumper winner ROYAL INFANTRY, who could have a bright future at this new discipline.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Storm The Dug |
(3) (4/1 +20%)4/1(+20%) | (3) Storm The Dug 4/1, Promising type. 14/1, good third of 9 in nursery at this C&D (good) 35 days ago, left poorly placed. Open to improvement. Showing steady progress; ran well over C&D the last twice; solid contender. |
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1st (2) (13/8 +13%) Master Technician |
13/8(+13%) | (2) Master Technician 13/8, Promising type. Third of 12 in novice at Chelmsford City (7f, 11/2) 25 days ago, needing stiffer test. Should progress. Leading form claims. Only runner on the card for his Devon yard and has a major chance on the figures. |
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2nd (12) (28/1 +30%) Princess Pw |
28/1(+30%) | (12) Princess Pw 28/1, €18,000 2-y-o. Half-sister to 2-y-o 1m winner Rothko and 7f winner Miss Sunset Strip. Dam, lightly raced, out of unraced half-sister to useful 1½m-1¾m winner Fledged. Possibilities. 18,000euros (breeze-up) 2yo; sole newcomer in the field; check the betting. |
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3rd (1) (7/1 +50%) Lever Up |
7/1(+50%) | (1) Lever Up 7/1, Thrice-raced gelding. Last of 11 in maiden (5/2) at Catterick (7f, heavy) 18 days ago. Best effort when fourth to useful sort at York; something possibly amiss last time. |
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4th (4) (25/1 +29%) Sure And Stedfast |
25/1(+29%) | (4) Sure And Stedfast 25/1, Lightly-raced colt. 16/1, eighth of 10 in nursery at Newcastle (7.1f) 8 days ago. Ran creditably over C&D in August but has an inconsistent record thus far. |
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5th (10) (14/1 -17%) Emery Down |
14/1(-17%) | (10) Emery Down 14/1, Once-raced filly. 40/1, fourth of 9 in maiden at Nottingham (8.3f, heavy) on debut 21 days ago, slowly away. Open to progress. Showed some promise at Nottingham while shaping as if this drop in trip will suit. |
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6th (8) (11/1 -100%) Tattie Bogle |
11/1(-100%) | (8) Tattie Bogle 11/1, Promising sort. Second of 9 in novice at Southwell (7.1f, 5/2) on debut 6 days ago, clear of rest. May well do better. Considered. Promising debut (clear second) in 7f AW event at Southwell last week; respected. |
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7th (5) (100/1 +20%) Balmerino |
100/1(+20%) | (5) Balmerino 100/1, Twice-raced colt. 125/1, fifth of 11 in maiden at Catterick (7f, heavy) 18 days ago, considerately handled. No forlorn hope. Gives the impression he'll be more interesting in handicaps shortly. |
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8th (7) (12/1 +66%) Sole Spirit |
12/1(+66%) | (7) Sole Spirit 12/1, Twice-raced colt. Sixth of 9 in maiden (40/1) at Beverley (5f, good to firm) 49 days ago, not knocked about. Significantly up in trip. Needs major improvement on his Beverley 5f form. |
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9th (6) (28/1 +0%) Rex Carver |
28/1(+0%) | (6) Rex Carver 28/1, Modest gelding. Remains a maiden after 8 Flat runs. 22/1, ninth of 11 in nursery at Redcar (6f, good) 42 days ago. Exposed over sprint distances; doesn't shape as if he's crying out for 7f. |
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10th (9) (6/1 -9%) Dandy Magic |
6/1(-9%) | (9) Dandy Magic 6/1, Lightly-raced filly. 40/1, respectable eighth of 22 in minor event at the Curragh (6.3f, good) 52 days ago. Considered on her first run for new yard after leaving Emmet Mullins. Showed ability for Emmet Mullins; sold for 15,500gns since last run; in the mix. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
TATTIE BOGLE was the subject of market support when finding only a potentially useful filly too good on his debut at Southwell last week and, with the promise of more to come, he gets the vote to go one place better. Storm The Dug was beaten less than a length into third in a C&D nursery and he can emerge as the main danger to the selection back in maiden company. Master Technician arrives on the back of a couple of solid placed efforts and he completes the shortlist.
MASTER TECHNICIAN holds the best form on show so looks the way to go in this open maiden. Tattie Bogle heads the list of dangers on the back of her promising debut Southwell second with Dandy Magic, Storm The Dug and Emery Down all worthy of consideration too.
The percentage call goes to STORM THE DUG, ahead of Master Technician in a fairly open maiden.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (10/3 -33%) Jeany May |
10/3(-33%) | (6) Jeany May 10/3, Modest maiden who again ran creditably when third of 7 in nursery at Chelmsford City (5f) 27 days ago. Can give another good account. Should be able to nick a race off this mark but soft ground is a first this afternoon. |
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2nd (3) (9/2 -64%) She Went Whoosh |
9/2(-64%) | (3) She Went Whoosh 9/2, Lightly-raced maiden who wasn't in the same form as on nursery debut when third in 4-runner event at Ffos Las (6f, heavy) 69 days ago. Could bounce back after a break. Can win off this mark and a stiff 6f on heavy last time appeared to find her out. |
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3rd (1) (7/4 +73%) Fear And Fast |
7/4(+73%) | (1) Fear And Fast 7/4, Showed a lot more than previously when fourth of 11 in a maiden at Beverley in August but was soundly beaten in sales event at York (6f, good to firm, 100/1) in August and fared no better switched to a nursery at Redcar last time. Needs to get back on track. Disappointing other than when close up in a Beverley maiden three runs back. |
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4th (4) (11/4 +8%) Avalon |
11/4(+8%) | (4) Avalon 11/4, Thrice-raced maiden. 40/1, excuses when last of 8 in novice at Kempton (6f) 42 days ago, hampered start. Shaped with some promise on debut and appeals as the type to do better now tackling nurseries. Conditions are a big grey area now sent into handicaps but she's very well bred. |
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5th (5) (25/1 -233%) Woodhay Whisper |
25/1(-233%) | (5) Woodhay Whisper 25/1, 16/1, respectable sixth of 11 in nursery at Southwell (6.1f) 16 days ago, unsuited by step up in trip. First run for yard after leaving Tom Ward. Regressed for previous yard after finishing second on her debut; sold for 1,800gns. |
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6th (2) (33/1 +0%) Kodibeat |
33/1(+0%) | (2) Kodibeat 33/1, Again ran poorly back on all-weather when last of 8 in nursery at Wolverhampton (5.1f, 150/1) 30 days ago. Debut winner on the AW for the Coles; has finished last in two nurseries for current yard. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
JEANY MAY wasn't beaten far when third over 5f at Chelmsford last month and a repeat of that effort would see her offer another bold bid. Dropped 1lb in the ratings, Nigel Tinkler's filly looks to be on a lenient mark. She Went Whoosh should benefit from a drop back in trip after a modest third at Ffos Las last time, while Avalon is also worthy of consideration on her nursery bow.
AVALON had excuses at Kempton on her most recent outing and strikes as the type to do much better now switching to nursery company given her useful pedigree, so she's put forward as the answer. Jeany May is proving consistent and ought to be on the premises once again.
Tricky. SHE WENT WHOOSH ran one of her better races on this surface first time up and 6f on heavy last time found her out.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (1/1 +43%) Jurancon |
1/1(+43%) | (4) Jurancon 1/1, Successful in Irish points and looked a good prospect when going 2-3 in bumpers at Hereford in March. Off 7 months, made a bright start in this sphere when second of 11 in a Worcester novice (2m, heavy) 3 weeks ago, clear of rest. Big player with progress anticipated. Point and dual bumper winner who went close on hurdling debut at Worcester; respected. |
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2nd (6) (6/4 +100%) Tripoli Flyer |
6/4(+100%) | (6) Tripoli Flyer 6/4, Getaway gelding who improved with each start in bumpers, off the mark at second attempt at Lingfield (2m) in January. Excellent second in Aintree Grade 2 on final outing in April and he's a very bright prospect now his attentions switch to hurdling. Smart bumper performer and he's an exciting prospect for novice hurdles. |
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3rd (2) (5/1 +17%) Disguisedlimit |
5/1(+17%) | (2) Disguisedlimit 5/1, €70,000 3-y-o, £150,000 5-y-o, Mahler gelding. Closely related to fair hurdler Cash The Cheque, and half-brother to fairly useful hurdler Beaufort West. Won sole start in Irish points (Apr 20) and he's worth a second look on Rules/hurdles debut for stable amongst the winners. Bought for £150,000 after his Irish point win in April; interesting recruit to hurdling. |
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4th (5) (11/1 -57%) Mon Kaplais |
11/1(-57%) | (5) Mon Kaplais 11/1, €82,000 3-y-o, Kapgarde gelding. Brother to a winner, and half-brother to 4 winners, including useful hurdler Morosini. Dam hurdle winner in France. Needs respecting on debut for leading stable. 82,000euros 3yo; brother to hurdle winner and he's an interesting newcomer for Dan Skelton. |
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5th (8) (80/1 -60%) Goddess Afrana |
80/1(-60%) | (8) Goddess Afrana 80/1, Fracas filly who ran to only a modest level in pair of bumpers at Newbury/Uttoxeter during the spring. Best watched now hurdling after 6 months off. Some promise in two bumpers but this looks a tough starting point over hurdles. |
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6th (9) (150/1 +0%) Ironed Out |
150/1(+0%) | (9) Ironed Out 150/1, Showed a bit from a less-than-ideal position when fourth of 9 in a Southwell bumper on debut in June but not threatened either start in maiden hurdles subsequently. Probably one for handicaps later on. Promise in sole bumper but she's struggled at big prices in two hurdle runs this autumn. |
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7th (10) (66/1 -230%) Jackie Can |
66/1(-230%) | (10) Jackie Can 66/1, Showed plenty when runner-up on bumper debut at Warwick (2m) in May. However, unable to match that level when seventh of 12 in bumper at Worcester (2m) a month later. Goes hurdling now but her long-term future over jumps may lie over further. Disappointing in her second bumper and looks best watched on hurdling debut. |
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8th (3) (125/1 -25%) Gillespie Road |
125/1(-25%) | (3) Gillespie Road 125/1, Successful on sole outing in Irish points but down the field in 2 novice hurdles in recent weeks. Handicaps promise to be more his thing moving forward. Won an Irish point but he's been well held in both runs over hurdles; may need more time. |
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9th (7) (300/1 -20%) Diamond Dusty |
300/1(-20%) | (7) Diamond Dusty 300/1, Little encouragement in a brace of bumpers/novice hurdle. Pulled-up 200-1 shot in much weaker race than this on September's hurdling debut. |
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|PU| (1) (150/1 -20%) Alderley Charlie |
150/1(-20%) | (1) Alderley Charlie 150/1, Ask gelding. Dam (h91) 2¾m hurdle winner. Rates a likely outsider on racecourse bow and percentage call to look elsewhere. Second foal of a 2m5f hurdle winner; has fair standard to aim at on debut is best watched. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
TRIPOLI FLYER travelled strongly when just touched off by his stable companion Horaces Pearl in the Grade 2 bumper at Aintree's Grand National meeting and this appears to be a fine opportunity for him to make a successful start to life over timber. Dual bumper winner Jurancon finished second on his hurdling bow at Worcester and has to enter the reckoning, along with newcomer Mon Kaplais and 150,000-pounds point-to-point winner Disguisedlimit.
TRIPOLI FLYER was most progressive in bumpers last term, successful at Lingfield prior to an excellent second in an Aintree Grade 2 on his final outing in April. A useful prospect now hurdling, he shades the vote ahead of Jurancon, who was 2-3 in bumpers and made a bright start over hurdles when second at Worcester 21 days ago. Point winner Disguisedlimit and Mon Kaplais are others to note.
The vote goes to smart bumper performer TRIPOLI FLYER, who looks an exciting prospect for novice hurdles. Jurancon is feared most.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (3) (20/1 +9%) Jackhammer |
20/1(+9%) | (3) Jackhammer 20/1, Ran best race of the season with blinkers refitted when second over 7f here in August but well held on both Flat starts since. Respectable effort over fences at Kelso 11 days ago. Veteran who went close here in August; subsequent form is less encouraging. |
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2nd (4) (11/4 +31%) Code Purple |
11/4(+31%) | (4) Code Purple 11/4, Enhanced excellent course record when landing 9f handicap in August. Good second of 10 over 7f here (good to soft) 23 days ago. Should go well again. Record of 12112 at Musselburgh includes two wins this term; 1-1 under Clifford Lee. |
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3rd (7) (11/2 -57%) Beltane |
11/2(-57%) | (7) Beltane 11/2, C&D winner. Twenty runs since last win in 2023. 16/1, creditable second of 11 in handicap at Catterick (7f, heavy) 8 days ago. Claims if in similar form. Recent form includes two placed efforts at Catterick; still 16lb below last winning mark. |
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4th (1) (10/3 +17%) Shimmering Sands |
10/3(+17%) | (1) Shimmering Sands 10/3, Placed for the fourth start running when second of 11 over 1m at Southwell 16 days ago. That was a competitive race and he's a big player here from an unchanged mark. Triple 1m2f winner whose recent consistent form includes creditable efforts at about 1m. |
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5th (5) (12/1 +0%) Ayr Poet |
12/1(+0%) | (5) Ayr Poet 12/1, C&D winner last month. Below par when seventh of 9 at Newcastle since but he may fare better back here. Scored over C&D on penultimate start; inconsistent otherwise in 2024. |
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6th (2) (9/2 +10%) Bint Al Karama |
9/2(+10%) | (2) Bint Al Karama 9/2, First run since leaving Andreas Wohler when winning 5-runner course seller (9f, good) on UK debut 35 days ago. More on her plate in a handicap. Ex-German filly who is lightly raced; made all in seller here last month on British debut. |
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7th (8) (7/1 +22%) Cisco Disco |
7/1(+22%) | (8) Cisco Disco 7/1, Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Good second of 11 in handicap at Ayr (1m, good, 40/1) 27 days ago, just failing. Looks competitive on form. Went very close at Ayr last month on second run for new yard; 12lb below last winning mark. |
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8th (9) (12/1 -9%) Glasses Up |
12/1(-9%) | (9) Glasses Up 12/1, Course winner. 22/1, respectable fourth of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (1¼m) 8 days ago, having run of race. Down in trip. Scored over 1m in 2020 but campaigned mainly at longer trips. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
BINT AL KARAMA did it well when getting off the mark at the first time of asking for this stable here last month and, easing slightly in trip, she may prove tough to peg back if arriving in a similar mood. Runner-up off this rating at Southwell last time, Shimmering Sands warrants respect in his bid to go one place better now returning to the turf. Code Purple is respected most out of the remainder.
SHIMMERING SANDS went down only to a progressive 3-y-o at Southwell last time and is taken to go one better from the same mark. Code Purple's good record here makes him an obvious danger. Beltane is next on the list.
A chance is taken that BELTANE can end his long losing run. Second choice is Code Purple.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (10/1 +38%) Parisiac |
10/1(+38%) | (8) Parisiac 10/1, Course winner. Latest win at Ayr in August. Creditable 1¾ lengths fourth of 12 to Impressor in handicap at Redcar (5f, soft, 11/1) 19 days ago. Closely matched with Impressor on latest running on 4lb better terms; these his conditions. |
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2nd (4) (8/1 +27%) The Coffee Pod |
8/1(+27%) | (4) The Coffee Pod 8/1, York winner in July who ran well in the circumstances when fourth of 9 in handicap at Doncaster (6f, soft) 12 days ago given he pulled his way to the front. Back on that successful mark. Can pull hard and will be happier back down from 6f; enters calculations. |
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3rd (5) (14/1 -40%) Albegone |
14/1(-40%) | (5) Albegone 14/1, 9/4, career best when winning 9-runner handicap at this C&D (soft) 7 days ago. Carries penalty and this is a deeper race but he's clearly in good nick. Penalty puts him on a career-high mark (isn't improving at his age) and this is stronger. |
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4th (3) (5/1 -11%) Last Outlaw |
5/1(-11%) | (3) Last Outlaw 5/1, Leicester novice winner who posted a career best when winning 8-runner handicap (12/1) at this C&D (heavy) 13 days ago by ¾ length from Huddle Up. Not yet exposed after just 4 starts so there may well be more to come. Recent C&D winner; remains open to improvement upped a fair 3lb and goes on the shortlist. |
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5th (1) (9/4 +10%) Marching Mac |
9/4(+10%) | (1) Marching Mac 9/4, C&D winner. 5 wins from 17 runs this year. 5/2, didn't need to improve to complete the hat-trick in 11-runner handicap at Newmarket (5f, good to soft) 5 days ago, pushed out. Carries penalty but shortlist material in current vein. Sharp on the upgrade in recent times; has 12lb in penalties but holds decent claims again. |
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6th (7) (5/1 +38%) Huddle Up |
5/1(+38%) | (7) Huddle Up 5/1, Twenty one runs since last win in 2021. Good ¾-length second of 8 to Last Outlaw in handicap (15/8) at this C&D (heavy) 13 days ago despite being awkward out of the stalls. Same mark here. Clear second to Last Outlaw over C&D as favourite two weeks ago; is 3lb better off today. |
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7th (2) (9/1 -50%) Jungle Land |
9/1(-50%) | (2) Jungle Land 9/1, Winner at Redcar in May. 11/1, good second of 9 in handicap at Catterick (6f, heavy) 8 days, though he did hang left under pressure. Drops back to 5f. Should be fine with the drop back to 5f under Tommie Jakes, an experienced 5lb claimer. |
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7th (6) (11/1 +0%) Impressor |
11/1(+0%) | (6) Impressor 11/1, Improved on recent efforts to win 12-runner handicap at Redcar (5f, soft, 7/1) 19 days ago, running on. Not taken lightly up 3 lb. These conditions are what he's all about but another furlong optimal now; this is stronger. |
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9th (9) (16/1 +20%) Lettuce Leaf |
16/1(+20%) | (9) Lettuce Leaf 16/1, 11/1, good second of 9 in handicap at Pontefract (5f, soft), bumped close home. Off 120 days and must improve to defy current mark. Two solid efforts over 5f on soft ground in the summer; remains lightly raced. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Marching Mac brought up the hat-trick when running on gamely to make most over 5f at Newmarket last Friday and another bold bid can be expected. However, he may be susceptible to some better treated rivals based on him carrying a 12lb penalty. Therefore a chance is taken on fellow last-time-out winner IMPRESSOR, who won in good style over 5f at Redcar last month, and a 3lb rise can be negated by Tom Kiely-Marshall's 5lb claim. The consistent Huddle Up (second) is fancied to reverse the form with Last Outlaw off 3lb better terms from their latest C&D outing.
MARCHING MAC has already enjoyed a superb autumn with 4 wins for these connections and while he has another penalty to carry, he's a tough sprinter to contain at present. Last Outlaw and Huddle Up occupied the first 2 spots over C&D a fortnight ago and look the main threats.
Open to further improvement, LAST OUTLAW can confirm recent C&D dominance over Huddle Up. Marching Mac is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (10) (11/10 +60%) French Ship |
11/10(+60%) | (10) French Ship 11/10, Bumper winner who made a promising start over hurdles when second of 11 over 2m here last month. Sure to improve and go well. Bumper winner who was clear second on hurdling debut here last month; respected up in trip. |
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2nd (11) (11/8 -123%) Let It Rain |
11/8(-123%) | (11) Let It Rain 11/8, Looked a good prospect when winning both bumpers last winter, latterly an Ascot listed race. Very interesting hurdle newcomer. 2-2 in bumpers (including a Listed win) and she's an exciting recruit to hurdling. |
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3rd (6) (15/2 +25%) Newton Tornado |
15/2(+25%) | (6) Newton Tornado 15/2, £85,000 buy after winning sole start in Irish points (May 19). Starts out over hurdles in a warm-looking race but it'll still be interesting to see what the betting makes of him. Sole for £85,000 after his Irish point win; well bred and needs close look on rules debut. |
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4th (3) (13/2 +7%) Got A Dream |
13/2(+7%) | (3) Got A Dream 13/2, Getaway gelding who left debut form behind when landing an 8-runner bumper at Huntingdon. Took another step forward when 8¼ lengths seventh of 18 in Grade 2 bumper at Aintree final start. Should be up to making his presence felt now hurdling. Bumper winner who ran respectably in Grade 2 at Aintree; nice prospect for novice hurdles. |
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5th (9) (50/1 -150%) Socialiser |
50/1(-150%) | (9) Socialiser 50/1, From the family of Simonsig and Dusart. Point winner but absent since finishing second in a 3m Fakenham hunter chase on his Rules debut in May 2022. Can only be watched. Point winner but he makes hurdling debut after a massive absence and others are preferred. |
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6th (1) (80/1 -60%) Babatunde |
80/1(-60%) | (1) Babatunde 80/1, Purchased for £50,000 after finishing third in an Irish point in April. Showed ability when 26 lengths fourth on his Ffos Las hurdle debut 24 days ago. May do better. Close up in sole Irish point but was a remote fourth on hurdling debut at Ffos Las (2m6f). |
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7th (8) (80/1 -21%) River Run Free |
80/1(-21%) | (8) River Run Free 80/1, Placed both completed starts in Irish points but finished a long way behind French Ship on his recent 2m course hurdle debut. Placed in two points but he made a low-key start over hurdles here last month. |
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8th (5) (150/1 -50%) Largy Valley |
150/1(-50%) | (5) Largy Valley 150/1, Overcame greenness to make a winning debut in Ayr bumper (2m) for Stuart Crawford in 2022 but well held in a bumper and 2 novice hurdles in a light career for Charlie Longsdon since. Bumper winner in 2022 but he's struggled for current yard including two runs over hurdles. |
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9th (2) (250/1 -25%) El Bandido Pancho |
250/1(-25%) | (2) El Bandido Pancho 250/1, Westerner gelding who has offered little in a bumper and 2 hurdles. Almost certainly more one for handicaps after this. Struggled in a bumper and two hurdles runs early this year; can only be watched. |
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10th (4) (300/1 -50%) Johnnie River |
300/1(-50%) | (4) Johnnie River 300/1, No sign of ability in varied events. Tailed off in all five runs including two maidens over hurdles; no appeal. |
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11th (7) (150/1 -50%) Pethers Run |
150/1(-50%) | (7) Pethers Run 150/1, Runner-up both starts in points but sent off at 28/1 when a remote fifth on Ludlow hurdle debut last month. Went close in two points but he was only fifth of six on hurdling debut at Ludlow. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
French Ship offered plenty to work with when second on his hurdles bow over 2m here last month and he is likely to relish this distance. However, dual bumper winner LET IT RAIN makes her debut over timber and, in receipt of weight all round, Dan Skelton's mare could have too much class for these rivals. Newton Tornado created a good impression when winning on his sole start between the flags in Ireland and market support would be interesting.
FRENCH SHIP is the percentage call on the back of his promising opening second over hurdles in a 2m course novice last month, although Dan Skelton listed bumper winner Let It Rain has the potential to be a big threat if taking to her new discipline back from 10 months off. Got A Dream is another bumper winner who should have a bright future over jumps in an interesting maiden hurdle.
This can go to Dan Skelton's mare LET IT RAIN, who was 2-2 in bumpers last season and looks an exciting recruit to hurdling.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (10) (11/2 +8%) Sporting Hero |
11/2(+8%) | (10) Sporting Hero 11/2, Fair gelding. Fifteen runs since last win in 2022. 25/1, below form tenth of 17 in handicap at the Curragh (5f, good to soft) 20 days ago. The one to beat down in grade. Two AW wins in Britain, potentially interesting at these weights with rider's claim a help. |
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2nd (6) (7/1 +0%) Land Lover |
7/1(+0%) | (6) Land Lover 7/1, Fair colt. One win from 21 Flat runs. Respectable fourth of 14 in handicap at this course (5f, 14/1) 5 days ago. Should be thereabouts. Fourth last Friday, has prospects of turning the tables on third-placed Livingston Range. |
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3rd (2) (5/2 +9%) Distillate |
5/2(+9%) | (2) Distillate 5/2, Fair filly. Course winner. Latest win at Cork in September. 6/1, respectable third of 14 in claimer at this course (8f) 7 days ago. Back down in trip. Likely to be in the mix again. Showed she is in good heart with third place over 1m last week; one for the short list. |
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4th (13) (8/1 +68%) Wild Mountain |
8/1(+68%) | (13) Wild Mountain 8/1, Modest gelding. One win from 21 Flat runs. Sixteen runs since last win in 2021. 11/2, ninth of 14 in handicap at this course (5f) 5 days ago. Fair sixth in a C&D handicap 12 days ago, not as effective over 5f here last Friday. |
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5th (12) (16/1 +36%) Shoebox King |
16/1(+36%) | (12) Shoebox King 16/1, Modest gelding. Twelve runs since last win in 2023. Fifteenth of 18 in handicap (8/1) at Navan (5.8f, good to soft) 28 days ago. Both turf wins have been on soft, has limited AW experience, others are more appealing. |
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6th (4) (11/1 -10%) Elliott |
11/1(-10%) | (4) Elliott 11/1, Fair gelding. Eleven runs since last win in 2023. 11/1, good fifth of 14 in handicap at this C&D 12 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Won over 5f on AW when trained in Britain, some good runs in defeat in recent month. |
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7th (1) (13/2 -44%) Clonmacash |
13/2(-44%) | (1) Clonmacash 13/2, Fair gelding. C&D winner. 125/1, first run since leaving Miss Natalia Lupini when respectable ninth of 15 in handicap at the Curragh (6f, soft) 15 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Won C&D nursery last year for Natalia Lupini, fair chance in a race of this standard. |
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8th (5) (25/1 -79%) Munroh |
25/1(-79%) | (5) Munroh 25/1, Ninth of 14 in claimer (33/1) at this course (8f) 7 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Down in trip. 1m maiden winner on heavy for Andre Fabre, Irish form amounts to very little. |
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9th (11) (12/1 -33%) Hezahunk |
12/1(-33%) | (11) Hezahunk 12/1, Modest gelding. C&D winner. One win from 28 Flat runs. Winner here in September. 15/2, respectable eighth of 14 in handicap at this C&D 12 days ago. Made a belated breakthrough in a C&D maiden claimer in September, tough task at weights. |
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10th (9) (11/2 +39%) Fly To Glory |
11/2(+39%) | (9) Fly To Glory 11/2, Modest gelding. Second of 10 in claimer (12/1) at Laytown (7f) 51 days ago. Two 6f AW early in his career, Laytown second suggests he could go well. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
DISTILLATE recorded a fifth career win when successful over 7f at Cork in September and has been generally consistent since, including when placed here on his latest two starts. He shouldn't be inconvenienced by this drop back in trip and probably has most to fear from stablemate Clonmacash, who won a nursery over C&D 12 months ago and wasn't disgraced on his first outing for current connections at the Curragh recently. Sporting Hero was a close fourth behind Inishmot Prince at Navan and hasn't enjoyed a clear passage twice since, but appears best at 5f. There shouldn't be much to choose between Livingston Range and Land Rover judged on running behind My Girl Sioux here last Friday.
SPORTING HERO was a dual AW winner when trained in Britain and is potentially quite a classy sort for a claimer. Distillate may prove best of the McGuinness trio and provide the chief threat ahead of the selection's stablemate Land Lover.
Denis Hogan may have found a suitable opportunity for SPORTING HERO to add to the two AW wins gained in Britain early his career
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (15/8 -25%) Silent Move |
15/8(-25%) | (1) Silent Move 15/8, Resumed progress with a 1m Haydock win in May. Found the strong Silver Bowl too competitive back there a fortnight later but returns from 165 days off in a much less competitive scenario. The mount of Oisin Orr from the yard's pair. Gets the vote. Off 165 days but may get his own way in this small field and could prove hard to peg back. |
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2nd (3) (2/1 +27%) Quiet Resolve |
2/1(+27%) | (3) Quiet Resolve 2/1, Creditable third over 1m at Southwell on his last 2 outings. Acts on turf. No reason why he won't give his running again. Better form on the AW, but twice not beaten far in big fields on turf; respected. |
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3rd (4) (11/4 -38%) Etretat |
11/4(-38%) | (4) Etretat 11/4, Career best when winning 14-runner handicap at Chelmsford (1m) 11 days ago. Both wins on AW but did go close on turf at Beverley in September. 2-21 with both wins on the AW; acts on turf but this may not prove a sufficient test. |
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4th (2) (6/1 +50%) Spun To Gold |
6/1(+50%) | (2) Spun To Gold 6/1, Down the field on both starts since joining Jim Goldie. Possible best watched again. Best form so far on the AW and well held in both starts since joining this yard. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Having scored at Chelmsford 11 days ago, Etretat warrants respect in his current vein of form. However, Charlie Johnston's charge is effectively 9lb higher with Joe Fanning riding instead of 5lb claimer Archie Young so the down-in-grade SILENT MOVE shades the verdict. The son of Ardad was successful when last tried in class 4 company, at Haydock in May, and a 165-day break may have freshened him up. Quiet Resolve is also forecast to feature.
The form of the race SILENT MOVE won at Haydock in May worked out and it's not too hard to forgive her lesser run in the traditionally-strong Silver Bowl there since. She can bounce back after a break, perhaps at the main expense of stablemate Quiet Resolve,
Despite a 165-day absence, SILENT MOVE may be able to get his own way in this small field and will take some pegging back if he does.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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It's All About You |
(2) (9/1 -13%)9/1(-13%) | (2) It's All About You 9/1, Made a solid start for this yard and gained reward when back on the scoreboard at Ayr (13f) in July. Followed up returned to testing ground in 7-runner Ffos Las handicap (2m) a month later and 4 lb rise leaves him with claims back from 75 days off. 311 since wearing cheekpieces, the wins at Ayr (1m5f, good) and Ffos Las (2m, heavy). |
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1st (4) (8/1 +43%) Coquelicot |
8/1(+43%) | (4) Coquelicot 8/1, Fairly useful on Flat/over hurdles, justifying good support when taking 11-runner C&D handicap in April 2023. Went in again over hurdles this time last year but absent since finishing down the field at Newbury (24.2f) in March. Possible she'll strip fitter for this. Goes well in the mud and her sole Flat win was over C&D in April 2023; considered. |
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2nd (11) (4/1 +50%) Hardy Bloke |
4/1(+50%) | (11) Hardy Bloke 4/1, Winning staying hurdler in Ireland for Emmet Mullins. Better with each start in staying handicaps on the level for new yard, sharpened up by fitting of a first-time visor when winning 14-runner handicap at this course (14f, heavy) 13 days ago, staying on well. Needs considering back at 2m. Won in pretty tidy style here (1m6f, soft) 13 days ago in a first-time visor; back up 4lb. |
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3rd (10) (12/1 +40%) Corsican Caper |
12/1(+40%) | (10) Corsican Caper 12/1, 5 wins from 17 runs this year. Respectable 5¼ lengths sixth of 14 to Hardy Bloke in handicap at this course (14f, heavy, 7/1) 13 days ago, missing break. Others more persuasive. Won at Chester (2m, heavy) last month; ran respectably in two of his three starts since. |
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4th (5) (14/1 +13%) The Grand Visir |
14/1(+13%) | (5) The Grand Visir 14/1, Long time since he last tasted success and below best following a good third at Ascot (2m) back in August. This is a handy drop in grade at least and the assessor continues to relinquish his grip. No win since Royal Ascot 2019; competitive only once this season, at Ascot in August. |
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5th (8) (14/1 -40%) Glory And Honour |
14/1(-40%) | (8) Glory And Honour 14/1, Versatile 8-y-o scored twice over fences for this yard last year and back on the scoresheet on the Flat at Pontefract (18f, heavy) last month, well suited by the emphasis on stamina. Probably stretched by the trip when pulled up back over fences at Sedgefield (29.2f) 17 days ago. The clear pick this summer/autumn was his Flat win at Pontefract (2m2f, soft) last month. |
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6th (1) (11/4 +0%) Zikany |
11/4(+0%) | (1) Zikany 11/4, Thriving sort who left both previous efforts this term in his wake when registering wide-margin victories at Goodwood/Newbury last month (both at 2m). Revised mark has now kicked in but respected nevertheless in hat-trick bid, with conditions fine. Revised mark demands career-best form but he won his last two races (2m, heavy) in style. |
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7th (7) (25/1 -56%) Alpine Stroll |
25/1(-56%) | (7) Alpine Stroll 25/1, C&D winner. Latest win at Yarmouth in October. Creditable 4¼ lengths fourth of 14 to Hardy Bloke in handicap (7/1) at this course (14f, heavy) 13 days ago, no extra only late on. This looks tougher again back at 2m. Creditable fourth over 1m6f here (soft) 13 days ago but the handicapper may have caught up. |
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8th (3) (8/1 +33%) Teorie |
8/1(+33%) | (3) Teorie 8/1, Flat/hurdles winner who ran respectably after 5 months off/starting out for new yard when third of 8 in handicap at Kempton (2m) in September. Unexposed at this trip and likely he'll be sharper with that under his belt. Made a satisfactory AW/stable debut at Kempton (2m; checked 2f out) in September. |
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9th (6) (3/1 0%) King's Reign |
3/1(0%) | (6) King's Reign 3/1, Dubawi gelding who looked a thorough stayer when opening his account on handicap debut at Pontefract (12f) in September, joined briefly 1f out before keeping on well. Cheekpieces worn then remain and this further step up in trip looks sure to suit. Player. Made most for Pontefract win (1m4f, good to firm) on handicap debut, shaping like a stayer. |
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10th (9) (80/1 -142%) Mister Camacho |
80/1(-142%) | (9) Mister Camacho 80/1, 16/1, understandably shaped as if needing the run after 15 months off when 26 lengths tenth of 14 to Hardy Bloke in handicap at this course (14f, heavy) 13 days ago, shaken up under 3f out and left behind soon after. This ought to reveal more. Absent from August 2023 until 13 days ago when he tailed off at 16-1 over 1m6f here. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
It's All About You and Glory And Honour are seeking hat-tricks but the slight preference is for the former after his latest victory at Ffos Las in August. However, they both might be up against it with KING'S REIGN. Charlie Appleby's three-year-old showed improvement in first-time cheekpieces to score on his handicap debut at Pontefract in September and might take another step forward for this step up in trip. Teorie is another to keep an eye on.
HARDY BLOKE faces a sterner assignment than when successful over shorter here a fortnight ago but he was never stronger than at the line on that occasion so, back at 2m, he's fancied to make another bold bid nudged up 4 lb. King's Reign looks highly likely to be suited by the demands of this test and the Godolphin in-mate also needs considering, as do hat-trick seeking pair Zikany and It's All About You.
Competitive. Zikany was in sparkling form for his wins on heavy ground last month but slight preference is for IT'S ALL ABOUT YOU.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (4/1 +11%) The Spotlight Kid |
4/1(+11%) | (1) The Spotlight Kid 4/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2022. Fourth of 6 in handicap at Yarmouth (7f, soft, 9/4) 22 days ago. Cheekpieces back on and this represents a drop in class. Never looked like justifying support latest; has it to prove now back to cheekpieces. |
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2nd (11) (5/2 +58%) Sold The Dream |
5/2(+58%) | (11) Sold The Dream 5/2, Lightly-raced maiden. 28/1 on first run since leaving Charles Hills and fitted with blinkers when fifth of 14 in handicap at this C&D 26 days ago, running on. Better in blinkers behind Cherry Hill over C&D latest; that gave something to build on. |
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3rd (6) (66/1 -32%) Reel Power |
66/1(-32%) | (6) Reel Power 66/1, 100/1, first run since leaving Murty McGrath when last of 10 in handicap at Brighton (9.9f, good to soft) 29 days ago. That was a return from over a year off and this will reveal more. Poor debut, after more than a year off, for his new yard a month ago (1m2f, good to soft). |
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4th (10) (4/1 +11%) Cherry Hill |
4/1(+11%) | (10) Cherry Hill 4/1, Course winner. 9/1, very good second of 14 in handicap at this C&D 26 days ago. Can make presence felt given she looks pretty reliable on the AW. Returned to form over C&D last time, when only picked off late; shortlisted. |
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5th (5) (4/1 +56%) River Alwen |
4/1(+56%) | (5) River Alwen 4/1, Respectable fifth of 14 in handicap at Chelmsford City (10f, 25/1) 20 days ago given he missed break. Looks of interest from this mark. Patchy for this yard back from a spell in Hong Kong; this trip is a bare minimum now. |
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6th (3) (12/1 -200%) United Force |
12/1(-200%) | (3) United Force 12/1, Won 12-runner handicap (25/1) at Chelmsford City (8f) 27 days ago. That was his first AW win but he's a definite player up 2 lb if in the mood again. Popped up for him at 25-1 at Chelmsford last month; far from certain to back that up. |
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7th (2) (16/1 +60%) Ocean Odyssey |
16/1(+60%) | (2) Ocean Odyssey 16/1, Ninth of 11 in handicap (125/1) at Brighton (8f, heavy) 20 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Assessor quick to lend a hand, at least. Started handicap life on an unrealistic mark and has struggled badly (7f-1m3f); outsider. |
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8th (9) (11/1 -22%) Cobh Harbour |
11/1(-22%) | (9) Cobh Harbour 11/1, 9/2, eighth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 13 days ago under this rider. Remains a maiden. Narrowly beaten by United Force at Chelmsford; claims on that if Wolverhampton is ignored. |
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9th (14) (28/1 +44%) Mr Tibbs |
28/1(+44%) | (14) Mr Tibbs 28/1, Cheekpieces on for first time, last of 11 in handicap (66/1) at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 44 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Risky proposition at present. Fair handicap debut early in the year but has struggled since; yard also runs Cobh Harbour. |
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10th (4) (25/1 -56%) Dourado |
25/1(-56%) | (4) Dourado 25/1, C&D winner. 40/1, last of 10 in handicap at Bath (8f, heavy) 16 days ago. Needs to leave that effort well behind. Into the veteran stage now and inconsistent but he's capable of popping up. |
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11th (8) (66/1 -65%) Ultimate Sapphire |
66/1(-65%) | (8) Ultimate Sapphire 66/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Last of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 25/1) 23 days ago. Hasn't shown enough in any of his four starts to be considered. |
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12th (7) (125/1 -279%) Desiderata |
125/1(-279%) | (7) Desiderata 125/1, Thrice-raced maiden on Flat. 200/1, eleventh of 14 in novice at Windsor (8.1f, good) 51 days ago, very slowly away. Tongue strap on for first time ahead of handicap debut. This is more realistic in a first-time tongue-tie but he has little to recommend him. |
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13th (12) (40/1 +39%) Infantryman |
40/1(+39%) | (12) Infantryman 40/1, Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. 50/1, eleventh of 13 in handicap at Lingfield (15.8f, AW) 62 days ago. Significantly back down in trip. Cheekpieces on for first time. Poor in three bumpers/four Flat starts; cheekpieces will need to make quite a difference. |
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14th (13) (50/1 -25%) Rainbow Mirage |
50/1(-25%) | (13) Rainbow Mirage 50/1, Course winner. Sixteen runs since last win in 2022. Last of 10 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f, 66/1) 29 days ago, slowly away. Others more persuasive. Seven-time winner for Mark Rimell who's regressed for two yards since. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
Narrowly denied over C&D last time out when she had the reopposing Sold The Dream (fifth) behind, CHERRY HILL can gain compensation on this occasion at a track where she won last September over 7f. The Spotlight Kid has dropped to mark 9lb lower than his previous success and he must be thereabouts, along with United Force, who had Cobh Harbour (third) narrowly behind over 1m at Chelmsford last month.
Ex Hong Kong-performer RIVER ALWEN has yet to win in Britain but he gave a good account of himself from an unpromising position at Chelmsford 3 weeks ago. On the back of that, he gets the tentative nod in favour of United Force and The Spotlight Kid, who takes a drop in class.
Cherry Hill should go well despite stall 14, but SOLD THE DREAM was only just behind her over C&D latest and can reverse placings.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (9/4 -64%) Javert Allen |
9/4(-64%) | (1) Javert Allen 9/4, Lightly-raced gelding who made a winning racecourse bow at Bangor 2 years ago and finished runner-up in both starts in handicap hurdles over this sort of trip last season. Must be of interest on chase debut. Second in both handicap hurdles last season and looks an interesting recruit to fences. |
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2nd (5) (25/1 +24%) Lucky Lugger |
25/1(+24%) | (5) Lucky Lugger 25/1, Posted best effort over hurdles when third in a novice here in April but pulled up on handicap debut here next time and has a bit to prove on switch to chasing. Pulled up on handicap hurdle debut in April and has a lot to prove on seasonal/chase debut. |
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3rd (4) (5/2 +9%) Onewayortother |
5/2(+9%) | (4) Onewayortother 5/2, Bettered hurdles form at the first time of asking in this sphere when third of 5 in handicap chase (7/2) at Warwick (16.2f, good to soft) in May. Likely more to come over the larger obstacles. 0-5 over hurdles but made a pretty good start to chasing career in May; back from a break. |
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4th (3) (15/8 +25%) Valadon |
15/8(+25%) | (3) Valadon 15/8, Dual winner last term who was far from disgraced when third of 8 on handicap bow in juvenile hurdle at Sandown (16f, soft) when last seen in March. Must enter calculations on chase debut. 2-4 as a juvenile hurdler last season; connections are evidently keen to try fences. |
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5th (2) (9/1 +10%) Now Or Never |
9/1(+10%) | (2) Now Or Never 9/1, Fair form over hurdles and fences in France but hasn't shown much in 4 starts (all handicap hurdles) for current yard. However, had a wind operation since his last run and no surprise to see an improved showing switched to the larger obstacles here. Disappointing over hurdles in Britain but may yet come good for Venetia Williams. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
Having found only a progressive rival too strong at Wincanton last December, chasing/seasonal debutant JAVERT ALLEN ticks plenty of the right boxes. Jane Williams' gelding has the scope to excel over fences and he edges the vote over fellow unexposed rival Valadon. Connections are wasting no time in sending the four-year-old over the larger obstacles and his 8lb weight-for-age allowance means he cannot be taken lightly. Onewayortother should put the experience gained when third at Warwick to good use.
JAVERT ALLEN acquitted himself well in a couple of hurdles last term and his half-brother made a successful switch to chasing for this yard 3 years ago. He gets the nod in what should prove an informative contest. Onewayortother made a good start over fences earlier this year and may provide the chief threat.
Low-mileage 5yo JAVERT ALLEN is well handicapped if judged on his close second to a progressive hurdler at Wincanton last December.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (10) (11/4 +39%) Tomarlo |
11/4(+39%) | (10) Tomarlo 11/4, Back on track when fourth of 11 in nursery (16/1) at this course (5f) 12 days ago. Enters calculations with 6f probably his trip. Towards the rear over 7f on handicap debut, much better when fourth over 5f here. |
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2nd (7) (20/1 -150%) Vanilla Baby |
20/1(-150%) | (7) Vanilla Baby 20/1, 40/1, seventh of 9 in maiden at Navan (5f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Trainer going well. Makes handicap debut. Debut third was behind a smart horse in a five-runner race, featuring role is possible. |
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3rd (11) (9/1 +55%) Undefeatable |
9/1(+55%) | (11) Undefeatable 9/1, 50/1, fourteenth of 18 in maiden at Leopardstown (7.1f, good) 76 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Not easy to make a case for. Three maiden outings have been over further than this, drop in trip may help his cause. |
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4th (12) (9/2 +47%) Movin And Groovin |
9/2(+47%) | (12) Movin And Groovin 9/2, Good sixth of 14 in nursery (10/1) at this course (7f) 33 days ago. Took a step in the right direction with sixth placing over 7f at this venue. more needed. |
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5th (3) (10/1 +17%) Sea Fort |
10/1(+17%) | (3) Sea Fort 10/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 11/1, sixth of 8 in nursery at Navan (5.8f, good to soft) 28 days ago, slowly away. Makes polytrack debut. Merits consideration from this mark on his early form. Kept decent company in maidens, failed to make much impression in her first handicap. |
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6th (6) (18/1 -13%) Kensington Hope |
18/1(-13%) | (6) Kensington Hope 18/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 17/2, creditable fifth of 9 in nursery at Southwell (7.1f) 63 days ago, possibly amiss. First run for yard after leaving Kevin Philippart De Foy and having shaped well on her penultimate start, is one to consider. Reported lame when fifth of nine in a Southwell nursery, perhaps capable of better. |
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7th (2) (5/1 +29%) Lost President |
5/1(+29%) | (2) Lost President 5/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 66/1, seventh of 11 in maiden at Cork (6f, good to firm) 56 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Mild promise when seventh in a Navan maiden on debut, two subsequent runs less encouraging. |
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8th (9) (80/1 -142%) Quarry Stone |
80/1(-142%) | (9) Quarry Stone 80/1, Fourteenth of 19 in maiden at Navan (5.8f, good to soft, 150/1) 14 days ago. Makes polytrack/nursery debut. Three-figure odds in all four outings, hard to make a case for him. |
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9th (14) (22/1 -38%) Drish Samphire |
22/1(-38%) | (14) Drish Samphire 22/1, Fifth of 8 in nursery at Navan (5.8f, good to soft, 40/1) 28 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Weak form in maidens, fifth of eight in her first handicap, plenty of improvement needed. |
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10th (1) (22/1 -300%) Temps Leve |
22/1(-300%) | (1) Temps Leve 22/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Tenth of 19 in maiden at Navan (5.8f, good to soft, 50/1) 14 days ago, considerately handled. Better to come now handicapping for in-form yard. Did a little better at this venue than on her two turf outings, does not seem well treated. |
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11th (5) (16/1 +0%) Romantic War |
16/1(+0%) | (5) Romantic War 16/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Visored for 1st time, thirteenth of 14 in maiden (125/1) at this course (8f) 12 days ago. Back down in trip. Makes handicap debut. Plenty to find on form. Ran in a couple of good turf maidens, gelded since recent 1m outing here, up against it. |
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12th (13) (25/1 +24%) Arizona Robbins |
25/1(+24%) | (13) Arizona Robbins 25/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 25/1, tenth of 16 in nursery at Gowran (7f, heavy) 16 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Not much encouragement to be taken from her nursery debut over 7f at Gowran last month. |
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13th (8) (66/1 -65%) Star Allure |
66/1(-65%) | (8) Star Allure 66/1, First run since leaving George Scott when eighth of 9 in maiden at Navan (5f, good to soft, 200/1) 14 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Uphill task. Placed over this trip in Britain, out of her depth in a Navan maiden, may find her level. |
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14th (4) (11/2 -57%) El Fontenaro |
11/2(-57%) | (4) El Fontenaro 11/2, 8/1, good second of 14 in nursery at Naas (5f, good to firm) 48 days ago, first home in group. Makes polytrack debut. Stable in good form. Should go well again with return to 6f in her favour. Strong chance now following second in a 5f Naas nursery in September, fourth has won since. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
EL FONTENARO showed promise in a 7f Gowran maiden back in July and ran a cracker when dropped to the minimum trip in a Naas nursery last time, beating all bar Tommy McJohn. That form can be upgraded as he was probably inconvenienced by a low draw. Tomarlo enters calculations after keeping on well into fourth over 5f here last month, while Movin And Groovin also showed some promise on her latest start here over 7f. There isn't much to choose between Drish Samphire and Sea Fort on running at Navan last month, while first reserve Skillman Ave is another to consider if getting a run.
EL FONTENARO was first home in her group when second at Naas last time and with the step back up in trip expected to suit, she looks the pick at the weights. Temps Leve looks a very likely improver now allotted a mark, with Tomarlo completing the shortlist.
There are several potential dark horses lurking but the form horse is arguably EL FONTENARO, whose 5f Naas run was encouraging
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (5/1 +38%) John L Sullivan |
5/1(+38%) | (1) John L Sullivan 5/1, Winner at Wetherby in June. 11/2, creditable fourth of 13 in handicap at Ayr (7.2f, good) 27 days ago, left with too much to do. Needs considering. Won at Wetherby in June; largely consistent in Scotland since; solid chance. |
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2nd (11) (11/1 -69%) Amayretto |
11/1(-69%) | (11) Amayretto 11/1, Below form 5½ lengths sixth of 10 to Darbucks in handicap at Redcar (7f, soft, 4/1) 19 days ago. Merits consideration if shrugging off latest effort. Suffered major trouble in the Redcar race won by Darbucks; remains nicely treated. |
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3rd (3) (7/1 +36%) Inanna |
7/1(+36%) | (3) Inanna 7/1, Latest win at Hamilton in September. 12/1, seventh of 11 in handicap at this course (5f, good to soft) 23 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Generally consistent for current yard; never dangerous back over 5f last time. |
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4th (6) (9/2 +10%) Darbucks |
9/2(+10%) | (6) Darbucks 9/2, Career best when winning 10-runner handicap at Redcar (7f, soft, 5/1) 19 days ago, driven out. Can go well again. Bids for a hat-trick; back on career-high mark but Kaiya Fraser takes off 3lb. |
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5th (7) (13/2 -63%) Roman Harry |
13/2(-63%) | (7) Roman Harry 13/2, Career best when winning 10-runner maiden (12/1) at Laytown (7f) 51 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Ms Claire O'Connell. Has to be taken seriously. Inconsistent in Ireland; not sure to back up Laytown win; stable debut. |
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6th (5) (50/1 -100%) Vixey |
50/1(-100%) | (5) Vixey 50/1, 25/1, last of 8 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f). Off 155 days. First run for yard after leaving Michael Herrington. Poor form this term; makes debut for third stable. |
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7th (4) (12/1 +33%) Giselles Izzy |
12/1(+33%) | (4) Giselles Izzy 12/1, 3 wins from 15 runs this year. Latest win at Ayr in August. Sixth of 9 in handicap (14/1) at Catterick (7f, heavy) 18 days ago. Given a chance by the handicapper. Two wins in the summer; not in the same form this autumn. |
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8th (8) (18/1 -157%) Golden Valour |
18/1(-157%) | (8) Golden Valour 18/1, Unreliable sort. 5/1, improved on recent efforts to win 10-runner handicap at this C&D (good to soft) 23 days ago, kept up to work. Others remain more persuasive. Scored over C&D last month; has to overcome 5lb rise and wider draw. |
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9th (2) (6/1 +70%) Clasina |
6/1(+70%) | (2) Clasina 6/1, Eighth of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (8f, 33/1) 22 days ago. Has work to do. Has failed to build on her Haydock effort; drops in class. |
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10th (10) (14/1 -40%) Rebecca's Girl |
14/1(-40%) | (10) Rebecca's Girl 14/1, Winner at Carlisle in August. Last of 9 in handicap at Hamilton (8.3f, good, 7/4) 44 days ago. Cheekpieces back on so can still make her presence felt. Return of headgear looks a positive; last attempt over 7f resulted in a win. |
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11th (12) (16/1 -88%) Black Friday |
16/1(-88%) | (12) Black Friday 16/1, C&D winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2023. 12/1, good 3¼ lengths fourth of 10 to Golden Valour in handicap at this C&D (good to soft) 23 days ago, slowly away. Not ruled out. Made the frame over C&D last time but isn't certain to back up that effort. |
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12th (9) (12/1 +0%) Purple Martini |
12/1(+0%) | (9) Purple Martini 12/1, C&D winner. Ninth of 10 in handicap (12/1) at this C&D (good) 35 days ago. Record over C&D includes a success and two placed efforts. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
DARBUCKS looked better than ever when completing a brace at Redcar and he ticks plenty of the right boxes. The five-year-old now has the assistance of excellent apprentice Kaiya Fraser, who negates a 3lb rise in the ratings with his claim, and a hat-trick could be forthcoming. The biggest threat may emerge from recent C&D winner Golden Valour, although he was third behind the selection on his penultimate outing at Ayr. Amayretto could also go close if enjoying a smoother passage than she did in the aforementioned Redcar race.
A few with chances but ROMAN HARRY rates just the pick of these weights so is taken to make a winning start for Iain Jardine. Redcar scorer Darbucks heads the list of dangers, although John L Sullivan, Giselles Izzy and Black Friday need factoring in too.
Granted better luck and a reproduction of her best form, low-drawn AMAYRETTO could well reverse Redcar placings with Darbucks.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (10) (11/1 +31%) Diffident Spirit |
11/1(+31%) | (10) Diffident Spirit 11/1, Only fifth of 10 in handicap (4/1) at this C&D (heavy) 7 days ago. Has work to do. He was laboured last week over C&D, for all that he was given a lot to do. |
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2nd (4) (4/1 +20%) Laura Bay |
4/1(+20%) | (4) Laura Bay 4/1, 2 wins from 4 runs this year. Latest win at Sandown in July. Good second of 8 in handicap at Leicester (10f, soft, 10/3) 57 days ago. Well in the mix. Just missed out at Leicester and thereabouts if at the same level two months on. |
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3rd (1) (13/2 -8%) Big Bear Hug |
13/2(-8%) | (1) Big Bear Hug 13/2, Latest win at Epsom in July. Good second of 10 in handicap (13/2) at Newbury (10f, heavy) 12 days ago, clear of rest. Can go well again. 10lb above last winning mark, that due to 4lb rise for finishing a clear second at Newbury. |
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4th (7) (11/2 +31%) Tipsy Tiger |
11/2(+31%) | (7) Tipsy Tiger 11/2, Course winner. Latest win at Sandown in September. 9/2, creditable third of 7 in handicap at Pontefract (10f, heavy) 16 days ago. Can give a good account. Perhaps handicapped on the high side but has each-way claims on ground he likes. |
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5th (3) (16/1 -60%) Charming Whisper |
16/1(-60%) | (3) Charming Whisper 16/1, Creditable fourth of 13 in handicap at Chelmsford City (8f, 14/1) 25 days ago, slowly away. Back up in trip. Not ruled out. Consistent 3yo who was runner-up on his previous crack at 1m2f. |
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6th (5) (22/1 +37%) Brodie's Boy |
22/1(+37%) | (5) Brodie's Boy 22/1, 1 win from 3 runs this year. 16/1, eighth of 12 in handicap at Sandown (10f, good to soft). Off 6 months. First run for yard after leaving Barry Brennan. AW maiden winner; 8th in latest h'cap; off since April, now gelded and with another yard. |
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7th (8) (9/1 +10%) Narragansett |
9/1(+10%) | (8) Narragansett 9/1, Lightly-raced winner. 20/1, career best when winning 14-runner handicap at the Curragh (10f, good) 39 days ago, pushed out. Likely player for his new yard. Won an Irish 1m2f handicap on final outing and entitled to progress further. |
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8th (6) (7/2 +0%) Cresta Cat |
7/2(+0%) | (6) Cresta Cat 7/2, C&D winner. 6/5, career best when easily winning 11-runner handicap at Leicester (11.8f, heavy) 9 days ago. Big shout under a 5 lb penalty in his bid for a four-timer. 8lb higher than when scooting clear at Leicester but the four-timer is very much on. |
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9th (11) (20/1 +39%) Lunar Jet |
20/1(+39%) | (11) Lunar Jet 20/1, C&D winner. 25/1, creditable 4¼ lengths fifth of 14 to Croeso Cymraeg in handicap at Doncaster (10.2f, soft) 12 days ago. This likeable veteran needs considering. 10yo who has become hard to win with and was behind Croeso Cymraeg at Doncaster latest. |
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10th (2) (13/2 -44%) Croeso Cymraeg |
13/2(-44%) | (2) Croeso Cymraeg 13/2, Won 14-runner handicap (6/1) at Doncaster (10.2f, soft) 12 days ago. Scored comfortably there so veteran is not taken lightly. Escaped a penalty when doing it smoothly last time; up 6lb but he's on his game. |
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11th (9) (50/1 +29%) Throne Hall |
50/1(+29%) | (9) Throne Hall 50/1, 40/1, tenth of 13 in handicap at Newbury (12f, heavy) 11 days ago. Won over hurdles in Sweden in September but heavy defeats since returned to the Flat. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
BIG BEAR HUG finished over nine lengths clear of the third in this grade at Newbury last time and was given a 4lb rise for that performance. Provided the five-year-old can back up that level of form, she could be the one to beat. Laura Bay was denied by the smallest of margins into second at Leicester in September and holds an obvious chance with Richard Kingscote on board. The in-form Cresta Cat completes the shortlist.
CRESTA CAT is enjoying an excellent season and fancied to bag win number four under a penalty for his easy recent Leicester victory. Croeso Cymraeg heads the list of dangers on the back of his stylish Doncaster success with Narragansett, Big Bear Hug and Laura Bay also in the picture. Lunar Jet completes the shortlist.
Things are tougher for CRESTA CAT but in-form horses with a proven liking for the mud are a dangerous species at this time of year.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (5/1 +0%) Life Is Beautiful |
5/1(+0%) | (5) Life Is Beautiful 5/1, Foaled February 15. Night of Thunder filly. Closely related to 1¼m winner Rajasthan and 1½m winner Divine Presence. Dam winner up to 1¼m (2-y-o 7f winner). Makes plenty of appeal. Closely related to two useful winners out of Group 3 winner; top yard; of obvious interest. |
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2nd (11) (6/5 +64%) Revelance |
6/5(+64%) | (11) Revelance 6/5, Showed a bit amidst greenness when seventh of 15 in maiden (14/1) at Newmarket (7f, good to soft) on debut 26 days ago. Should progress with that behind her. Stealthy late headway on last month's Newmarket debut (7f); trip should suit; tricky draw. |
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3rd (12) (7/2 -40%) Scarlet Princess |
7/2(-40%) | (12) Scarlet Princess 7/2, Foaled February 11. Kingman filly. Closely related to useful winner up to 1m Forest Maiden and half-sister to several winners, including very smart winner up to 12.5f Loxley. Sound start when third over C&D a month ago and fitted with a hood, she's in the right hands to progress. Promising 3rd over C&D on debut last month; sets the standard with the prospect of better. |
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4th (14) (18/1 -29%) Wajbah |
18/1(-29%) | (14) Wajbah 18/1, Given a considerate introduction when seventh of 8 in novice at Yarmouth (8f, soft) on debut 15 days ago. Has to be more to come. Dropped away in a 1m fillies' novice at Yarmouth (soft) two weeks ago; bred to do better. |
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5th (7) (18/1 -13%) Majestere |
18/1(-13%) | (7) Majestere 18/1, Foaled April 9. 175,000 gns yearling, Wootton Bassett filly. Half-sister to smart winner up to 1½m Francesco Guardi. Dam, useful US 9f-11f winner, half-sister to 2-time Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe winner Treve. Bred to be useful. 175,000gns yearling; likely type on paper but stable are having a quiet autumn. |
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6th (6) (40/1 +20%) Life Is Rosie |
40/1(+20%) | (6) Life Is Rosie 40/1, 66/1, fifth of 13 in novice at this course (7f) on debut 21 days ago. Beaten over 9l on her debut here (7f; 66-1) last month; big step forward needed. |
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7th (13) (18/1 -13%) Siena's Star |
18/1(-13%) | (13) Siena's Star 18/1, Fifth of 6 in novice at Haydock (7.2f, heavy, 7/1) on debut 40 days ago, slowly away. Modest form on her Haydock debut but she was green and the ground was heavy; can do better. |
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8th (2) (50/1 -100%) Betty Bassett |
50/1(-100%) | (2) Betty Bassett 50/1, Foaled March 26. €60,000 yearling, €115,000 2-y-o, Wootton Bassett filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including useful 1½m-1¾m winner Make My Day and 2-y-o 1m winner Ratib. 115,000euros breeze-up 2yo; half-sister to three winners; yard not known for 2yo success. |
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9th (4) (125/1 -150%) Filligris |
125/1(-150%) | (4) Filligris 125/1, Foaled March 3. 13,000 gns yearling, Postponed filly. Closely related to useful 7f-1¼m winner Arabian Legend and temperamental 1m-1¼m winner Bay Dream Believer. Dam French 1m-1¼m winner. Has six winning siblings and should have a future but looks best watched on debut. |
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10th (8) (25/1 -79%) Marin County |
25/1(-79%) | (8) Marin County 25/1, Foaled March 22. €55,000 2-y-o, Blame filly. Sister to US 2-y-o 6f winner Splashy Kisses and half-sister to 3 minor winners abroad. Dam 1m winner who stayed 1¼m. 55,000euros breeze-up 2yo; has four winning siblings and dam was a 1m winner; check market. |
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11th (10) (200/1 -300%) Padam |
200/1(-300%) | (10) Padam 200/1, Last of 16 in maiden (20/1) at Doncaster (7f, soft) on debut 12 days ago. Dropped away & beaten 18l on recent Doncaster debut (7f, soft); marked improvement needed. |
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12th (3) (14/1 -180%) Carlyle Square |
14/1(-180%) | (3) Carlyle Square 14/1, Foaled April 18. 100,000 gns yearling, Wootton Bassett filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including high-class winner up to 7f Limato, won July Cup/Prix de la Foret, and 1¼m winner Tullyallen. Dam 1¼m winner. Lots to like on paper for powerful yard. 100,000gns half-sister to top-class 6f/7f winner Limato among others; newcomer of note. |
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13th (9) (25/1 +50%) Mayflower Dream |
25/1(+50%) | (9) Mayflower Dream 25/1, Fourteenth of 15 in maiden at Newmarket (7f, good to soft, 20/1) on debut 26 days ago. Never in the hunt in a 7f maiden at Newmarket last month; yard's 2yos 0-29 this year. |
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14th (1) (125/1 -400%) Berry Happy |
125/1(-400%) | (1) Berry Happy 125/1, Foaled March 2. Adlerflug filly. Dam runner-up at 1½m. Newcomer for successful yard. Bred to stay well and perhaps one for middle distances next season. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
A half-sister to multiple Group 1-winner Limato, CARLYLE SQUARE has a lofty pedigree to live up to on her debut, but the stable has been going well of late and this looks like a winnable opportunity. The daughter of Wootton Bassett is preferred to Life Is Beautiful, who hails from a family that connections have been successful with in the past. A promising third on debut over C&D last month having been slowly into stride, Scarlet Princess is the pick of those with experience.
Plenty of depth to this maiden with well-related newcomer CARLYLE SQUARE just about the most persuasive option on paper. Life Is Beautiful is another likely type, while Scarlet Princess and Revelance are in the right hands to progress.
Both Revelance and SCARLET PRINCESS shaped with promise on debut and Charlie Appleby's filly is marginally preferred
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (1) (4/1 0%) I'm On My Way |
4/1(0%) | (1) I'm On My Way 4/1, Progressed again to make it 3 wins from as many completed starts in handicaps in 13-runner event 7/2) at Ffos Las (23.9f, soft) on return 24 days ago. The runner-up has done nothing for that form but good chance there's more to come from her. Shrugged off a 10lb rise to win on her reappearance at Ffos Las last month.. |
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2nd (3) (40/1 -471%) Keppel Queen |
40/1(-471%) | (3) Keppel Queen 40/1, Showed first form over hurdles when fifth of 10 in a 21f Warwick novice (good) 34 days ago. Cheekpieces back on for handicap debut and will be suited by this further increase in trip. Modest form at best in four starts but steps up in trip on handicap debut.. |
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3rd (10) (15/2 +46%) The Midwife |
15/2(+46%) | (10) The Midwife 15/2, On a competitive mark but ran only respectably when fifth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Market Rasen (23.1f, good, 6/1) 22 days ago. Others preferred from a win point of view. Scored off 4lb lower mark at Market Rasen in February but has been below that form since.. |
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4th (16) (17/2 +6%) Luna Run |
17/2(+6%) | (16) Luna Run 17/2, Poor maiden who ran creditably in a first-time tongue strap when third of 9 in handicap hurdle at Plumpton (25f, soft) 16 days ago. Ran well when third of nine at Plumpton last month in first-time tongue-tie.. |
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5th (14) (22/1 +33%) Olivia Kate |
22/1(+33%) | (14) Olivia Kate 22/1, Again showed little in first-time cheekpieces when eighth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Warwick (19f, good) 43 days ago. Up in trip and improvement needed. Third in Worcester novice in June but well down the field in her first three handicaps.. |
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6th (4) (40/1 -60%) Gata Ban |
40/1(-60%) | (4) Gata Ban 40/1, Made a winning handicap debut at Taunton (19f) in December 2022 but was always behind on her first outing since at Fontwell last month and this should reveal more. Well-held eighth of nine at Fontwell last month after lengthy absence.. |
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7th (2) (22/1 -38%) Shaving |
22/1(-38%) | (2) Shaving 22/1, Failed to improve from a stiffish opening mark when fifth of 8 in handicap hurdle at Hereford (25.5f, good) 23 days ago. It remains early days, though. A close fourth at Worcester up in trip in September but below that form at Hereford.. |
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8th (18) (25/1 -25%) Elfride |
25/1(-25%) | (18) Elfride 25/1, Poor handicap hurdler who wasn't disgraced when sixth in 12-runner event at Ffos Las (23.9f, good) when last seen in May. 2 lb out of the weights. Won at Uttoxeter in May 2023 off 2lb higher mark but has been safely held since.. |
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9th (11) (14/1 +30%) My Girl Katie |
14/1(+30%) | (11) My Girl Katie 14/1, Long-standing maiden who ran one of her better races when fifth of 13 in handicap hurdle at Ludlow (21.2f, good to soft) 13 days ago. In the mix with a repeat. Didn't fare too badly when fifth at Ludlow last month after three-month break.. |
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10th (13) (80/1 -21%) Maska Du Morvan |
80/1(-21%) | (13) Maska Du Morvan 80/1, Point winner who had been pulled up both starts over fences, including on first start for current yard at Exeter 27 days ago. Reverts to hurdling now with something to prove. Pulled up in two handicap chases since winning point, last time on debut for this yard.. |
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11th (8) (33/1 -65%) Kentford Mallard |
33/1(-65%) | (8) Kentford Mallard 33/1, Consistent mare who probably needed the run after 4 months off when beating only one home in 9-runner handicap hurdle at Hereford (19.7f, good) 23 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Well held on reappearance at Hereford last month and vulnerable to less exposed rivals.. |
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12th (9) (33/1 +0%) Morning Fortune |
33/1(+0%) | (9) Morning Fortune 33/1, Lightly-raced maiden who shaped as if better for the run after 4 months off when eighth of 9 in handicap hurdle (33/1) at Hereford (19.7f, good) 23 days ago. Yet to make the frame in five starts over hurdles; steps up in trip.. |
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|PU| (5) (8/1 +43%) Musique De Fee |
8/1(+43%) | (5) Musique De Fee 8/1, Made a successful handicap bow at Ludlow in April. Ran to a similar level when fourth there the following month and probably needed the run on her recent comeback at Wincanton. Shaped well until weakening from the second last at Wincanton last month.. |
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|PU| (6) (10/1 -11%) After Many Days |
10/1(-11%) | (6) After Many Days 10/1, Modest maiden hurdler who ran respectably when fifth of 13 in 21f handicap at Warwick (good to soft) on final outing in May. Reappears from a 3 lb lower mark with yard going well and must enter the reckoning. 0-8 under rules but made the frame three times over hurdles last term.. |
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|PU| (12) (11/2 -10%) Dana's Gem |
11/2(-10%) | (12) Dana's Gem 11/2, Lightly-raced maiden sort who shaped encouragingly on first outing since leaving Jonjo O'Neill (after 16 months off) when third in 11-runner handicap at Worcester (20f, good, 9/1) 51 days ago. Remains open to improvement for current yard. Shaped with encouragement on first run for 478 days when third of 11 at Worcester.. |
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|PU| (15) (13/2 +46%) Rubys Reward |
13/2(+46%) | (15) Rubys Reward 13/2, Eleven runs since last win in 2023 but turned in another respectable effort when fifth of 10 in handicap hurdle at Ludlow (23.8f, good to soft) 13 days ago. Solid each-way contender. Scored at Worcester in July last year off 1lb lower mark.. |
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|PU| (17) (100/1 -100%) Country Kitten |
100/1(-100%) | (17) Country Kitten 100/1, Added to a patchy record when pulling up in handicap chase at Catterick (25.2f, soft) when last seen at Catterick in January. Reverts to hurdling from 2 lb out of the weights and others make more appeal. Won at 40-1 at Market Rasen in March 2023 off 2lb higher but no worthwhile form since.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
I'm On My Way continued her upward trajectory when making a winning seasonal debut at Ffos Las and a 6lb higher mark is unlikely to prevent another bold bid. Neil Mulholland's mare deserves her place near the top of the market, but it could be worth taking a punt on DANA'S GEM back up in trip. The six-year-old was a staying-on third over 2m4f at Worcester and a breakthrough victory may beckon. Musique De Fee and Kentford Mallard are others to consider.
I'M ON MY WAY is proving most progressive and is fancied to go in again. Dana's Gem shaped quite encouragingly on her comeback/stable debut at Worcester in September and remains open to improvement from a basement mark, with After Many Days completing the shortlist.
Improving I'M ON MY WAY (nap) who can land her fourth win from her last five starts. Dana's Gem is second choice.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (7) (4/7 +67%) Declaree |
4/7(+67%) | (7) Declaree 4/7, Fairly useful filly who went close to breaking her duck when second in a Fairyhouse maiden (7f) in September. Found listed level beyond her at Naas (1m) last month but solid claims returned to calmer waters with a tongue strap refitted. Sights lowered after Listed attempt, the one to beat based on her previous consistency. |
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2nd (5) (9/2 +0%) Authenticate |
9/2(+0%) | (5) Authenticate 9/2, Siyouni filly who showed more than on debut following 7 months off when sixth of 14 in maiden (13/2) at this course (1m) 5 days ago, fading only late on. Open to further progress and claims provided this doesn't come too soon. 680,000gns yearling, ordinary early-season, interesting now after last Friday's outing. |
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3rd (9) (13/2 -160%) Winsome |
13/2(-160%) | (9) Winsome 13/2, 485,000 gns yearling, Wootton Bassett filly. 4/6, fifth of 7 in maiden at Down Royal (7.1f, soft) on debut 37 days ago, fading final 1f. Clearly thought capable of better then and no surprise were she to take a big step forward. 485,000gns yearling, ground was soft when an unplaced odds-on favourite on debut. |
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4th (1) (50/1 -25%) Albion Power |
50/1(-25%) | (1) Albion Power 50/1, Lightly-raced gelding. Offered little after 4 months off when tenth of 12 in handicap at this course (1m) 83 days ago. Needs to leave that well behind returned to maiden company. Fifth in a 1m maiden here in March, failed to match that standard on two subsequent visits. |
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5th (6) (28/1 -250%) Bahama Bear |
28/1(-250%) | (6) Bahama Bear 28/1, Kodi Bear filly. Showed a bit when fifth of 8 in maiden at this course (6f) on debut 19 days ago, keeping on without threatening. Claims of being in the mix if building on that effort. 50-1, not disgraced when fifth of eight on her debut in a 6f maiden here last month. |
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6th (2) (12/1 +64%) Modern Talking |
12/1(+64%) | (2) Modern Talking 12/1, Sold cheaply earlier this year and he could only run to a poor level when ninth of 13 in maiden at Galway (7f, heavy, 16/1) on debut 9 days ago. Much more required. Decent German pedigree, likely to be better for the experience of last week's Galway debut. |
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7th (3) (14/1 -56%) Yaxchilan |
14/1(-56%) | (3) Yaxchilan 14/1, Lightly-raced gelding. 8/1, ninth of 14 in maiden at Navan (5.8f, good to soft) 28 days ago, merely plugging on. Return to this longer trip looks in his favour with cheekpieces now the headgear of choice. No progress since a satisfactory debut over 6f in July, new headgear combination now. |
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8th (4) (200/1 -150%) Relaxed Zone |
200/1(-150%) | (4) Relaxed Zone 200/1, €3,500 yearling, Elzaam filly. Went with little promise when tenth of 12 in maiden at Killarney (8.1f, heavy, 150/1) on debut 30 days ago, racing off the pace and never involved. Always at the back on belated debut in a heavy-ground maiden at Killarney a month ago. |
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9th (8) (25/1 +50%) Our Lucky Lady |
25/1(+50%) | (8) Our Lucky Lady 25/1, The Irish Rover filly. Half-sister to several winners, including useful 2-y-o 8.3f winner Lisheen Castle and 2-y-o 7f winner Laughter Lounge. Half-sister to four winners including Lisheen Castle, a debut winner later Listed-placed. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
DECLAREE has proved a frustrating sort to follow, but appears to have been found a good opportunity to finally open her account. The Johnny Murtagh-trained filly takes a big drop in class after tackling a Naas Listed race last time and was placed on all seven previous outings, including over this trip at Fairyhouse. Authenticate has indicated some ability in two outings here, including after a lengthy layoff last Friday. Bahama Bear wasn't disgraced after a slow start on debut over 6f here last month, while Modern Talking is another who could progress from an initial outing at Galway recently.
DECLAREE found listed company a bridge too far on her latest outing, yet she'd previously gone close to breaking her duck in a Fairyhouse maiden over this trip in September. She's given the vote to come out on top back in calmer waters. Joseph O'Brien pair Winsome and Authenticate both appeal as the types who can do better and head up the dangers.
It is tempting to oppose DECLAREE, an odds-on loser on her most recent attempt in a maiden. However, there is no strong alternative
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (11/4 +0%) Savrola |
11/4(+0%) | (2) Savrola 11/4, Twelve runs since last win in 2023. 17/2, creditable fourth of 12 in handicap at Ayr (1¼m, good) 27 days ago, faring best of those held up. Up in trip. Can make presence felt. Hasn't convinced on the stamina front; handicapper's giving him every chance. |
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2nd (1) (7/2 +42%) Spanish Hustle |
7/2(+42%) | (1) Spanish Hustle 7/2, C&D winner. Latest win at Hamilton in July. 17/2, respectable fifth of 8 in Class 4 handicap at Hamilton (1½m, good) 44 days ago. Should be thereabouts. Two autumn wins in earlier seasons; has had a consistent campaign and continues in form. |
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3rd (5) (13/2 +7%) Tilsitt |
13/2(+7%) | (5) Tilsitt 13/2, Thirty runs since last win in 2022. Good third of 12 in handicap (18/1) at Ayr (1¼m, good) 27 days ago, with Savrola behind in fourth. Back up in trip. Can play a prominent role. Stays this far and remains capable at this level but the losing run is up to 30 now. |
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4th (6) (4/1 +20%) Rory The Cat |
4/1(+20%) | (6) Rory The Cat 4/1, Course winner in August. Fifth of 7 in handicap at this course (2m, good to soft, 10/3) 23 days ago. Down in trip. Goes well here; little margin for error off this mark, especially over this shorter trip. |
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5th (7) (12/1 -118%) Arch Legend |
12/1(-118%) | (7) Arch Legend 12/1, Won first 2 handicaps in the spring but has beaten only one home in his 4 outings since. Only 1 lb above his last winning mark but hard to be confident about at present. Tailed off at a short price latest on his first run since being gelded; has it to prove. |
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6th (4) (20/1 -25%) Stand Strong |
20/1(-25%) | (4) Stand Strong 20/1, 22/1 and tongue strap on first time, fifth of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (12.5f) 19 days ago. Has first-time blinkers added to the tongue tie now. Has rather struggled off a sliding mark since returning and is now given a go in headgear. |
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7th (3) (9/2 +0%) Spartan Warrior |
9/2(+0%) | (3) Spartan Warrior 9/2, Won back to back at Beverley in May. 5/1, fifth of 8 in handicap at Haydock (11.6f, good to firm), making effort earlier than ideal. Off 124 days. First run for yard after leaving Ollie Sangster. Check the betting. Picked up from Ollie Sangster for 37,000gns in July; needs a bit more for his new yard. |
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8th (8) (40/1 -186%) Bulls Aye |
40/1(-186%) | (8) Bulls Aye 40/1, Unreliable type. Course winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2023. Last of 8 in handicap (16/1) at this course (1m, good to soft) 23 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Odds-on to blow the start and there are risks involved from 2lb out of the handicap. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
A tentative vote goes to SPARTAN WARRIOR, who has not been in action since July but was a progressive sort earlier in the season for previous connections. The switch to the Rebecca Menzies yard is no negative and he may have too much for Rory The Cat, who scored here in August and has run respectably the last twice over further. Savrola has shaped as though he would relish this sort of trip and he gets that opportunity now.
SAVROLA came from further back than the other principals when fourth over 1¼m at Ayr last time and is taken to build on that promising effort now stepping back up in trip. Tilsitt was narrowly in front of the selection on that occasion and can give him most to do ahead of Spanish Hustle.
There are question marks over several and this can go to SPANISH HUSTLE, who is consistent and suited by this track.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (7/2 +13%) Equion |
7/2(+13%) | (4) Equion 7/2, C&D winner who got back on scoreboard at Leicester last month and backed that up with creditable second of 8 in handicap over same course (8.2f, heavy) 9 days ago. Likely contender. Did nothing wrong last week at Leicester when beaten by an unexposed Beckett filly. |
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2nd (11) (6/1 +40%) Temper Trap |
6/1(+40%) | (11) Temper Trap 6/1, Dual scorer (both 7f) last month and arrives on back of creditable second of 6 in handicap over C&D (heavy) 7 days ago. Not taken lightly. Engaged 3.09 Redcar Tuesday. Arrives in solid form and wasn't disgraced at Redcar on Tuesday. |
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3rd (5) (9/2 -13%) Dream Pirate |
9/2(-13%) | (5) Dream Pirate 9/2, Back to recent best form when taking 12-runner handicap over C&D (heavy) 13 days ago, keeping on well. 6 lb higher now but another bold bid is anticipated. 6lb higher than for recent C&D success but has been competitive off higher in the past. |
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4th (8) (10/1 -67%) Platinum Prince |
10/1(-67%) | (8) Platinum Prince 10/1, C&D winner. Back on scoreboard at Goodwood last month and posted creditable second of 10 in handicap at Bath (8f, heavy) since. Warrants respect. 6lb higher than for his Bath defeat but being proven on the ground ticks a big box. |
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5th (13) (14/1 +50%) Likleman |
14/1(+50%) | (13) Likleman 14/1, One win from 21 Flat runs. Winner at Hamilton in September. Bit below form 7 lengths sixth of 12 to Dream Pirate in handicap (12/1) at this C&D (heavy) 13 days ago. Others preferred. Heavy-ground winner in September but has only won once and is inconsistent. |
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6th (12) (13/2 +7%) Adelabella |
13/2(+7%) | (12) Adelabella 13/2, Won over C&D and Newmarket in August and back to that sort of form when good second of 12 in handicap at Southwell (8.1f) 9 days ago. Can race off same mark here and will be dangerous if handling these slower conditions. Second on the AW last week (1m) when the winner got first run; soft ground a concern. |
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7th (6) (14/1 +13%) Racing Demon |
14/1(+13%) | (6) Racing Demon 14/1, Unreliable sort. 3 wins from 12 runs this year. Respectable third of 14 in handicap at Kempton (8f, 12/1) 14 days ago, running on. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Holding his form well despite some slow breaks and has to be considered. |
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8th (1) (18/1 -64%) Yorkstone |
18/1(-64%) | (1) Yorkstone 18/1, 13/2, seventh of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (8f) 22 days ago. Looks competitive on form. He could have run better on the AW last time after an absence. |
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9th (3) (12/1 +0%) Beautiful Crown |
12/1(+0%) | (3) Beautiful Crown 12/1, 18/1, bit below form fourth of 13 in handicap at Newbury (12f, heavy) 11 days ago, slowly away. Significantly back down in trip. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals. Remote fourth last time (handles heavy) but had been in form and could bounce back. |
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10th (2) (9/2 +50%) Spioradalta |
9/2(+50%) | (2) Spioradalta 9/2, C&D winner. Good third of 9 in handicap at Catterick (12.1f, heavy, 10/1) 18 days ago. Significantly back down in trip. Visor on 1st time. Not out of things. Likes the mud and well handicapped; solid last run when venturing over 1m4f. |
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11th (9) (33/1 -65%) Jackson Street |
33/1(-65%) | (9) Jackson Street 33/1, Last of 11 in handicap (8/1) at Newcastle (8f) 15 days ago. Needs to bounce back. Best form been on the AW; down the field in his last three races and looks out of touch. |
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12th (10) (100/1 -100%) Always Fearless |
100/1(-100%) | (10) Always Fearless 100/1, Latest win at Windsor in July. 80/1, eleventh of 14 in handicap at Kempton (8f) 14 days ago. Work to do. Major wellbeing concerns having shown no form in his last three races. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
EQUION found only an unexposed three-year-old too strong when thwarted in his double bid at Leicester nine days ago. Tony Carroll's inmate makes plenty of appeal racing off the same mark and is taken to regain the winning thread. Dream Pirate is 6lb higher for his recent C&D victory and the son of Oasis Dream may serve the most resistance to the selection, ahead of the first-time visored Spioradalta.
Preference is for DREAM PIRATE, who matched his season's best form when scoring here last month and remains feasibly treated. Equion and Adelabella head the list of dangers.
It's unlikely that EQUION (nap) will face a market springer with improvement lurking as was the case last week at Leicester.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (2) (20/1 +39%) Bowerchalke |
20/1(+39%) | (2) Bowerchalke 20/1, Twice-raced filly. Failed to build on a promising debut fourth at Nottingham when last of 7 in maiden at Salisbury (7f, good to soft, 12/1) 54 days ago, weakening final 1f. Passed over here. Her two runs haven't been devoid of promise but the new, longer trip not enough to tempt. |
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2nd (7) (2/1 +71%) Lady Ridgewood |
2/1(+71%) | (7) Lady Ridgewood 2/1, Nathaniel filly. Well backed, showed plenty to work on amidst greenness when fourth of 8 in novice at Yarmouth (8f, good) on debut 30 days ago, outpaced 2f out before running on. Looks sure to improve for all this trip is likely to be a minimum for her. Good fourth on her debut at Yarmouth last month; that form looks strong; capable of better. |
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3rd (13) (11/1 +21%) Thaisa |
11/1(+21%) | (13) Thaisa 11/1, Foaled March 26. Invincible Spirit filly. Sister to 1m winner Break The Bank and half-sister to several winners, including high-class 7f/1m winner Beat The Bank and smart 6f winner Chil Chil. Appeals on paper and interesting if the market spoke in her favour. Bred to be smart and she needs serious consideration on debut. |
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4th (4) (3/1 +73%) Helmsley |
3/1(+73%) | (4) Helmsley 3/1, Foaled April 13. €50,000 yearling, New Bay filly. Offered something to work on when sixth of 9 in novice at this C&D (9/1) on debut 23 days ago. Should have more to offer for leading stable. Not beaten far over C&D on debut but that was slowly run; improvement required. |
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5th (12) (13/2 +7%) Take A Breath |
13/2(+7%) | (12) Take A Breath 13/2, Bred to be useful and promise in 2 starts to date, shaping as if ready for the step up to this sort of trip when third of 9 in novice at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 5/4) 30 days ago. Represents top stable and she remains capable of better. Two promising 7f runs this autumn; can do better but she's drawn widest this time. |
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6th (3) (16/1 -14%) Ela's Gem |
16/1(-14%) | (3) Ela's Gem 16/1, Foaled March 31. 150,000 gns yearling, Nathaniel filly. Sister to useful 1½m-1¾m winner Elasia and half-sister to useful winner up to 1¼m Elas Ruby and 7f winner Espressoo. Dam 2-y-o 8.3f winner. Newcomer to note. 150,000gns yearling; lots to like on paper and yard can get them ready first time. |
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7th (9) (9/2 -29%) Romantic Opera |
9/2(-29%) | (9) Romantic Opera 9/2, Foaled April 29. 500,000 gns yearling, Ghaiyyath filly. Half-sister to smart winner up to 1m Indestructible and 1m winner Summit. Interesting newcomer. 500,000gns half-sister to Group 3 winner Indestructible; of obvious interest on paper. |
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8th (10) (125/1 -150%) String Of Pearls |
125/1(-150%) | (10) String Of Pearls 125/1, Once-raced filly. Sixth of 10 in maiden (14/1) at this course (7f) on debut 14 days ago, outpaced before steady headway home turn. Unlikely to be of interest before tackling handicaps/over longer trips. Didn't offer enough here (7f) two weeks ago to think she was the answer. |
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9th (6) (66/1 +0%) Killing Eye |
66/1(+0%) | (6) Killing Eye 66/1, Camelot filly who appeals on paper but very green and offered little immediate promise when tenth of 12 in novice at this course (7f, 100/1) on debut 21 days ago. This should reveal more. 100-1, slowly away and never in the hunt on debut here (7f) three weeks ago. |
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10th (1) (33/1 +0%) Adorla Of Achill |
33/1(+0%) | (1) Adorla Of Achill 33/1, Street Sense filly who still looked a little raw when tenth of 12 in novice at this course (7f, 14/1) 51 days ago, dropping away from 2f out. Could well be the type to do better in handicaps. Some promise in two 7f runs but others have achieved more. |
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11th (11) (28/1 +30%) Summer Appeal |
28/1(+30%) | (11) Summer Appeal 28/1, Foaled February 28. 12,000 gns yearling, Without Parole filly. Dam, 2½m winner, half-sister to smart 1m winner Early Morning out of useful 9f winner (stayed 1½m) Summer's Eve. 12,000gns yearling; dam a 2m4f winner; likely a longer-term prospect. |
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12th (5) (300/1 -355%) Justcallmetreva |
300/1(-355%) | (5) Justcallmetreva 300/1, Foaled March 12. Music Master filly. Dam, 6f winner, sister to useful winner up to 1m Samedi Rien. First foal of a minor 6f AW winner; would be a surprise winner in this field. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
ZANZOUN may not have progressed as hoped from first to second start when third at Yarmouth, but she still ran with plenty of credit and this appeals as an ideal opportunity to break the maiden. A highly expensive purchase at the sales, Romantic Opera must enter calculations on debut, as well as Lady Ridgewood, who shaped with plenty of promise first time out at Yarmouth when keeping on late in the piece.
Having chased home a subsequent Group 3 winner on debut, ZANZOUN ran to a similar level when third at Yarmouth (1m) 30 days ago, the fact she raced freely not aiding her cause. Remaining with potential, the application of a first-time hood can help now and she's fancied to make a bold bid. Godolphin newcomer Romantic Opera is also worthy of respect, whilst promising pair Lady Ridgewood and Take A Breath are others to note.
Romantic Opera is a well-related newcomer but LADY RIDGEWOOD is fancied to confirm the undoubted promise of her Yarmouth debut
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (10) (22/1 -10%) Hedera Park |
22/1(-10%) | (10) Hedera Park 22/1, Seventh of 9 in handicap hurdle at Hereford (19.7f, good, 7/1) 23 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Can make presence felt. In front when last-flight faller at Worcester but she's been well held in both runs since. |
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2nd (2) (6/1 -50%) Boston Joe |
6/1(-50%) | (2) Boston Joe 6/1, 9/4, career best when winning 8-runner handicap chase at Ffos Las (16f, soft) 24 days ago, forging clear. Likely player back over hurdles. Easy win over fences last month and he's only 2lb higher here; respected back over hurdles. |
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3rd (1) (16/1 +27%) Captain Boudet |
16/1(+27%) | (1) Captain Boudet 16/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 8/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, sixth of 7 in handicap hurdle at Wincanton (21.4f, heavy), folding. Off 8 months with more to do. Still unexposed but well held in both handicaps and has something to prove on return. |
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4th (4) (50/1 -52%) Sparkling Duke |
50/1(-52%) | (4) Sparkling Duke 50/1, 28/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, tailed off when fell last in handicap hurdle at Worcester (20f, heavy) 21 days ago. Has work to do. Has generally struggled in his six starts including in two handicaps; opposable. |
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5th (15) (9/1 +73%) Palawan Du Mazet |
9/1(+73%) | (15) Palawan Du Mazet 9/1, Creditable fifth of 12 in handicap hurdle at Newton Abbot (18.5f, good to soft, 20/1) 108 days ago. One for the shortlist. Shaped with promise behind an improver last time and is not ruled out after another break. |
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6th (12) (7/1 -75%) Stardhem |
7/1(-75%) | (12) Stardhem 7/1, Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. Creditable sixth of 13 in novice hurdle (50/1) at Fontwell (19.2f, good to firm). Off 6 months but much respected on his handicap hurdle debut. Unexposed 5yo who looks a possible improver on handicap debut; needs watching in market. |
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7th (7) (16/1 -78%) Speiriuil |
16/1(-78%) | (7) Speiriuil 16/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 7/2, good second of 7 in handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (15.8f, soft), conceding first run. Off 6 months but can go well. Runner-up on handicap debut in May and she's respected upped in trip on her return. |
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8th (17) (5/1 +69%) My Friend Sean |
5/1(+69%) | (17) My Friend Sean 5/1, Respectable third of 8 in handicap hurdle at Huntingdon (19.6f, good, 3/1) 29 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Ought to be thereabouts. Eight-race maiden and he needs to find more with cheekpieces added. |
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9th (14) (14/1 +13%) Gavin |
14/1(+13%) | (14) Gavin 14/1, Fourteen runs since last win in 2023. Below form seventh of 13 in handicap hurdle at Ffos Las (23.9f, soft, 8/1) 24 days ago. On dangerous mark and he had an excuse at 3m last time; could go well back in trip. |
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10th (3) (16/1 +20%) Despereaux |
16/1(+20%) | (3) Despereaux 16/1, 16/1, third of 9 in handicap hurdle at Worcester (20f, heavy) 21 days ago, unsuited by emphasis on stamina. Tongue strap back on. Looks competitive on form. Dual hurdle winner but he's 0-9 in handicaps and was a remote third at Worcester latest. |
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11th (16) (13/2 +13%) The Cox Express |
13/2(+13%) | (16) The Cox Express 13/2, Winless since his debut but he posted a very good second of 12 in handicap hurdle at Fontwell (21.8f, good) 6 months ago. Cheekpieces back on. Has to be taken seriously. Runner-up at Fontwell but not sure this drop back in trip will suit on his return. |
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12th (11) (100/1 +0%) Commodore Miller |
100/1(+0%) | (11) Commodore Miller 100/1, Pulled up in handicap hurdle at Worcester (20f, heavy, 125/1) 21 days ago. Has a bit to prove. Ten-race maiden who was pulled up at Worcester on his return last month; opposable. |
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13th (8) (7/1 +72%) Ballydangan |
7/1(+72%) | (8) Ballydangan 7/1, Maiden. Fifteenth of 19 in handicap hurdle at Down Royal (24f, good, 16/1) 68 days ago on his final run for William Harvey. Since had a wind op and needs considering for new handler. 0-15 but she's had wind surgery and needs watching in market in first run for Dan Skelton. |
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14th (5) (28/1 -155%) Carved In Stone |
28/1(-155%) | (5) Carved In Stone 28/1, Fair winner at 17f in bumpers. 11/1, fair third of 4 in novice hurdle at Southwell (24.3f, good to firm) 34 days ago on his final run for Hugo Palmer. Respected on his yard/handicap hurdle debut. Well beaten in all three hurdle runs and needs a transformation on handicap/stable debut. |
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|PU| (13) (14/1 -75%) Jacksbar |
14/1(-75%) | (13) Jacksbar 14/1, Lightly-raced maiden. 28/1, creditable fourth of 9 in handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (15.8f, good to soft) 31 days ago. Up in trip and worth considering. Unexposed 5yo who could find more on this step up in trip; one of two for Dan Skelton. |
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|PU| (9) (16/1 +20%) Auba Me Yang |
16/1(+20%) | (9) Auba Me Yang 16/1, Winner at Ffos Las in February 2023 but ninth of 13 in handicap hurdle at Taunton (19f, soft) 18 months ago. Needs to hit the ground running. Flopped in his final two runs last spring and has something to prove after a long absence. |
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|PU| (18) (18/1 -29%) Seren Y Teigr |
18/1(-29%) | (18) Seren Y Teigr 18/1, Respectable sixth of 12 in handicap hurdle (11/2) at Newton Abbot (18.5f, good to soft) 108 days ago. Needs considering. Inconsistent nine-race maiden who didn't fire last time; looks risky after another break. |
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|PU| (6) (25/1 0%) That's The Badger |
25/1(0%) | (6) That's The Badger 25/1, Below-par fourth of 9 in handicap chase at Warwick (24f, soft) nearly 3 years ago for Henry Daly. Has his fitness to prove but new yard in form. Still lightly raced but he has lots to prove back from a massive absence for new yard. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
In what looks a competitive affair, BOSTON JOE gets a tentative vote. Rebecca Curtis' charge fairly bolted up on his seasonal reappearance over fences at Ffos Las last month and, off a hurdles figure 8lb lower than his revised chase rating, this looks a fine opportunity for him to bring up a double. Speiriuil made a pleasing start to life in handicaps when runner-up over 2m at Uttoxeter in May and she must enter calculations off the same mark. Stardhem is just one more to consider.
Plenty are in with a shout. THE COX EXPRESS is on a long losing run but signalled he is ready to strike again when runner-up at Fontwell when last seen so can return in style off a lenient mark with his yard going well. Recent Ffos Las victor Boston Joe heads the list of dangers, although the likes of Ballydangan, Despereaux, Hedera Park and Stardhem all need factoring into this very open contest too.
This revolves around BOSTON JOE, who won by 20l over fences last month and is only 2lb higher back in this sphere.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (3/1 +79%) Shaaden |
3/1(+79%) | (6) Shaaden 3/1, 33/1, eighteenth of 27 in handicap at the Curragh (7f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Merits consideration if back on her A-game. Ground too soft last time; Lee booking looks positive for AW return. |
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2nd (11) (12/1 +14%) Jackie Brown |
12/1(+14%) | (11) Jackie Brown 12/1, Respectable fifth of 14 in handicap (12/1) at this C&D 19 days ago. Just denied at Navan and fair C&D effort since. |
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3rd (4) (11/4 +21%) Ferrari Desert |
11/4(+21%) | (4) Ferrari Desert 11/4, Won 14-runner handicap (15/2) at this C&D 7 days ago. Not taken lightly in her current mood. Last week's C&D winner up 5lb; second has won since so obvious claims. |
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4th (1) (4/1 -14%) Devil's Angel |
4/1(-14%) | (1) Devil's Angel 4/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2022. Very good third of 14 in handicap (7/2) at this course (6f) 12 days ago, never nearer. Expected to be bang there at these weights. Strong-finishing third here last month augurs well upped in trip here; draw not ideal. |
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5th (10) (10/1 +38%) Harry The Rogue |
10/1(+38%) | (10) Harry The Rogue 10/1, 33/1, fourteenth of 15 in handicap at Gowran (8.3f, heavy) 16 days ago. Maiden's turf form this year modest; more needed back on AW. |
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6th (2) (8/1 -45%) Velvet Skies |
8/1(-45%) | (2) Velvet Skies 8/1, One win from 21 Flat runs. Fifteen runs since last win in 2023. Creditable second of 14 in handicap (28/1) at this C&D 12 days ago. Considered. C&D second last month puts him right in the mix. |
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7th (8) (33/1 -136%) Hijo De La Luna |
33/1(-136%) | (8) Hijo De La Luna 33/1, 18/1, sixth of 7 in novice hurdle at Downpatrick (17.3f, good to soft) 26 days ago. Modest on the Flat so needs a couple of these to falter. Decent Down Royal sandwiched by modest hurdling efforts; bit to find. |
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8th (12) (66/1 -32%) Princess Plumeria |
66/1(-32%) | (12) Princess Plumeria 66/1, Course winner. Sixth of 14 in handicap at this course (6f, 66/1). Off 9 months. Regressive when last seen early this year; opposable on return. |
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9th (9) (14/1 -87%) Are You In Or Out |
14/1(-87%) | (9) Are You In Or Out 14/1, Remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs. 33/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, good second of 24 in handicap at the Curragh (7f, soft) 15 days ago. Tongue strap on 1st time. Ought to be in the shake-up. Recent Curragh second in first-time cheekpieces one of her best; tongue-tie added here. |
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10th (7) (8/1 -45%) Aisling Oscar |
8/1(-45%) | (7) Aisling Oscar 8/1, C&D winner. 12/1, good fourth of 14 in handicap at this C&D 19 days ago. Needs considering. Two wins here over 7f/1m last winter; recent C&D run signalled a return to form. |
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11th (5) (50/1 +24%) Lilikoi |
50/1(+24%) | (5) Lilikoi 50/1, 8 lengths twelfth of 14 to Ferrari Desert in handicap at this C&D (66/1) 7 days ago. Blinkered for 1st time. Chance on old form. Good bit to find with Ferrari Desert on last week's C&D run. |
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12th (3) (40/1 -150%) Bungle Inthedesert |
40/1(-150%) | (3) Bungle Inthedesert 40/1, Course winner. 40/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, fourteenth of 16 in handicap at Gowran (8.3f, heavy) 16 days ago. Can give a good account if shrugging off latest effort. Recent comeback run should have him straighter now returning to AW. |
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13th (13) (66/1 -32%) Saoirses Lulaby |
66/1(-32%) | (13) Saoirses Lulaby 66/1, 40/1, last of 14 in handicap at this C&D 19 days ago. Has finished last of 14 on last three visits here. |
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14th (14) (125/1 -89%) Pass The Sugar |
125/1(-89%) | (14) Pass The Sugar 125/1, Blinkered for 1st time, thirteenth of 14 in handicap (150/1) at this C&D 19 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Good bit to find on last month's C&D run with some of these; cheekpieces tried. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
DEVIL'S ANGEL won eight times in the UK, including over this trip, and having joined current connections earlier this year, has dropped down to a competitive mark. The selection finished strongly when narrowly denied over 6f here last month and should be suited by the step back up in trip. Ferrari Desert confirmed the promise of her third to Purring Along in a 27-runner Curragh handicap when scoring over C&D last week and rates a serious danger off just a 5lb higher mark, while Velvet Skies also advertised his chance here last time when beating all bar Marble Angel. Are You In Or Out ran a cracker on soft ground at the Curragh and is a threat if reproducing that form on this surface.
DEVIL'S ANGEL is on a long losing run but rates the pick of the weights on the back of his very good recent third here so earns the vote in this very open handicap. Ferrari Desert is feared most on the back of her C&D success, although the likes of Jackie Brown, Are You In Or Out and Velvet Skies all need considering.
A 5lb rise for last week's C&D win may not prevent a follow-up here for FERRARI DESERT (nap)
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (13/8 +35%) Molten Sea |
13/8(+35%) | (5) Molten Sea 13/8, Course winner. Winner here in September. 11/4, creditable second of 10 in handicap at Catterick (13.9f, heavy) 18 days ago, slowly away. Needs considering. Return to faster ground should help, likewise this longer trip; respected for in-form yard. |
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2nd (3) (2/1 +11%) Reel Her In |
2/1(+11%) | (3) Reel Her In 2/1, Promising type. 2 wins from 3 runs this year. 6/4, career best when winning 7-runner handicap at this C&D (good to soft) 23 days ago. Big shout in her hat-trick bid. Nudged up only 2lb for her latest C&D win and has a good chance of the hat-trick. |
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3rd (6) (11/2 +8%) Different Drum |
11/2(+8%) | (6) Different Drum 11/2, Winner at Newcastle in September. Creditable second of 6 in steadily-run handicap at Southwell (16.5f, evens) 29 days ago, given an inadequate test. Considered. Lightly raced still but didn't improve off this mark last time and needs more back on turf. |
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4th (7) (25/1 -25%) Star Of Markinch |
25/1(-25%) | (7) Star Of Markinch 25/1, 200/1, very good 1½ lengths third of 7 to Reel Her In in handicap at this C&D (good to soft) 23 days ago. Ought to be in the shake-up. Ran above herself (200-1) behind Reel Her In latest; that shouldn't be taken at face value. |
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5th (2) (14/1 -115%) Annandale |
14/1(-115%) | (2) Annandale 14/1, Latest win at Ayr in October. 13/2, respectable third of 6 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f) 9 days ago, slowly away. Up in trip. Can give a good account. Four of his five wins have come in the autumn; needs to bounce back under a 7lb claimer. |
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6th (4) (14/1 +30%) Spantik |
14/1(+30%) | (4) Spantik 14/1, Last of 9 in handicap at Southwell (14.1f, 11/1) 9 days ago. Blinkers back on. Chance on old form. Patchy since almost a year off; bombed on Tapeta last time. |
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7th (1) (9/1 +10%) Ebony Maw |
9/1(+10%) | (1) Ebony Maw 9/1, Latest win at Ayr in October. 13/2, twelfth of 14 in handicap at Nottingham (14f, heavy) 13 days ago. Merits consideration if back on his A-game. No surprise to see him bounce back from his latest blowout, but others seem more likely. |
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8th (8) (100/1 -300%) Lunar Rocks |
100/1(-300%) | (8) Lunar Rocks 100/1, Last of 7 in handicap (22/1) at Catterick (12.1f, good to firm). Off 151 days. Significantly up in trip. Something to find on form. Has had plenty of chances in low-grade handicap company; would be a surprise winner. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
REEL HER IN was value for more than the winning margin when getting up by a neck over C&D and a 2lb rise could prove lenient as she looks to bring up the hat-trick. A respectable second over 1m6f at Catterick last time out and a winner here over shorter in September, Molten Sea can give her the most to think about, while Different Drum has claims on his success at Newcastle over slightly further two starts ago.
A case can be made for a few of these but it's still very hard to ignore the claims of hat-trick seeking REEL HER IN who still looks ahead of her mark. Southwell runner-up Different Drum is next on the list with Star Of Markinch, Ebony Maw and Annandale all worthy of respect too.
Molten Sea is respected but REEL HER IN (nap) has looked a different filly since coming over from Ireland and gets the vote.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (9/2 +36%) Rock N Roll Pinkie |
9/2(+36%) | (4) Rock N Roll Pinkie 9/2, C&D winner in June. Good second of 14 over C&D (heavy) 13 days ago. A must for the shortlist. C&D winner in the summer; back to that level on soft ground here a fortnight ago; player. |
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2nd (12) (13/2 +68%) Drouthy Neebor |
13/2(+68%) | (12) Drouthy Neebor 13/2, Modest maiden. Creditable third of 7 in handicap at Chelmsford (1¾m) 20 days ago. Has to improve for the different conditions (brother Supamouse won a heavy-ground bumper). |
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3rd (11) (25/1 -79%) Woof |
25/1(-79%) | (11) Woof 25/1, 22/1 and cheekpieces on first time, good third of 14 in handicap at Redcar (1¼m, heavy) 9 days ago. Significantly up in trip. 1m6f is a step into the unknown (dam was a sprint maiden); this looks a better race anyway. |
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4th (3) (10/1 -18%) Gold Aura |
10/1(-18%) | (3) Gold Aura 10/1, Remains a maiden after 20 starts but knocking on the door on AW this autumn, finishing runner-up 3 times. Just as effective on turf so no reason why she won't be on the premises. Fine with this trip on Tapeta the past twice and is more reliable than many at this level. |
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5th (10) (7/2 +13%) Letmebetheboss |
7/2(+13%) | (10) Letmebetheboss 7/2, Winner at Bath (13f, soft) in October. 5/2, creditable second of 10 in handicap at Southwell (1¾m) 27 days ago. Much respected. 5lb higher today but remains open to improvement as a stayer and enters calculations. |
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6th (8) (11/1 +8%) Fen Tiger |
11/1(+8%) | (8) Fen Tiger 11/1, Fifteen runs since last win in 2022. Bit below form fourth of 11 in handicap (9/2) at Leicester (1½m, heavy) 9 days ago but had run well to be placed twice at Brighton prior to that. Expensive to follow of late and was below par last time; needs to bounce back. |
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7th (2) (66/1 -100%) Ace Rothstein |
66/1(-100%) | (2) Ace Rothstein 66/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2022. Below par in 2 outings for Dylan Cunha in July. Has had wind surgery ahead of this first run for a new trainer. Probably best watched. Sharply regressive for a few yards since his last win and has moved again; market useful. |
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8th (9) (16/1 +11%) Tigerten |
16/1(+11%) | (9) Tigerten 16/1, Eighteen runs since last win in 2023. 3/1, creditable fifth of 11 in handicap at Bath (17f, heavy) 16 days ago. Losing run up to 18 and has had plenty of chances this year, often over further. |
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9th (1) (25/1 -56%) Diamand De Vindecy |
25/1(-56%) | (1) Diamand De Vindecy 25/1, Winner at Haydock in June. 18/1, eleventh of 14 in handicap over C&D (heavy) 13 days ago. Hard to fancy after that. Wildly inconsistent gelding whose best runs this year came in cheekpieces; hard to fancy. |
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10th (5) (50/1 -100%) Highland Frolic |
50/1(-100%) | (5) Highland Frolic 50/1, Third over C&D in June but ran poorly on AW 4 weeks later. Fell back hurdling since. One of 2 runners here for the stable. Perhaps the headgear, on for the first time for this yard, will help but it needs to. |
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11th (6) (50/1 -257%) Major Major |
50/1(-257%) | (6) Major Major 50/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2023. Fifth of 7 in handicap at Wolverhampton 18 days ago. Others arrive with more pressing claims. Still to prove he stays this far and stamina will be tested in the conditions. |
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12th (7) (9/4 +10%) Wanderlust |
9/4(+10%) | (7) Wanderlust 9/4, Promising type. 22/1 and visored first time, good third of 7 in handicap at Yarmouth (11.5f, soft) 22 days ago. Up in trip. Should have more to offer. Potentially the final runner for legendary trainer and leading claims. Longer trip should suit on latest evidence and on pedigree and she's shortlisted. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
WANDERLUST offered plenty to work with on her third-placed handicap bow over an extended 1m3f at Yarmouth last month and she is bred to relish this rise in distance. The three-year-old is a half-sister to Listed 1m6f winner Aljezeera and a first career victory looms. Although unable to complete a brace off an unchanged mark at Southwell last time out, Letmebetheboss still warrants respect reverting to turf off a 5lb higher rating. Rock N Roll Pinkie and Fen Tiger may fare best of the remainder.
The step up to 1¾m should play to the strengths of the unexposed WANDERLUST so she's the selection in this finale. Fellow 3-y-o Letmebetheboss is feared most ahead of Rock N Roll Pinkie and Gold Aura.
Today's longer trip should suit WANDERLUST, with her a close-relation to a 1m6f Listed winner. Rock N Roll Pinkie is next best.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (10/1 0%) Patch's Bond |
10/1(0%) | (4) Patch's Bond 10/1, Matched debut form when second of 5 in maiden at Lingfield (12f, AW, 14/1) 57 days ago. Significantly down in trip. Clear promise in AW runs over 7f and 1m4f; handicaps should be more suitable after this. |
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2nd (5) (14/1 +72%) Stipulation |
14/1(+72%) | (5) Stipulation 14/1, Sent off a big price and went backwards from debut when third of 5 in novice at Redcar (8f, soft) 19 days ago. Modest form in two 1m novice events last month; marked improvement required to feature. |
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3rd (1) (2/13 +79%) Tasdeed |
2/13(+79%) | (1) Tasdeed 2/13, Winning debut for Dominic Ffrench Davis at Newcastle in September. Excellent fourth of 12 under a penalty in novice at this C&D 23 days ago, finishing with running left. Sets a high standard. 7f win at Newcastle for another yard in September; good run under penalty here latest. |
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4th (6) (33/1 -200%) Abbey Law |
33/1(-200%) | (6) Abbey Law 33/1, 200/1, eighth of 9 in maiden at this C&D on debut 61 days ago. Hood on. 8th of nine over C&D on debut in September when sent off at 200-1; now tries a hood. |
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5th (2) (66/1 -100%) Formal Address |
66/1(-100%) | (2) Formal Address 66/1, 160,000 gns yearling, 1,000 gns 3-y-o, Camelot colt. Half-brother to 1m/8.6f winner Gatecrasher Girl. Dam, 2-y-o 6f winner, half-sister to very smart winner up to 8.3f Kodi Bear. 160,000gns yearling but sold unraced for 1,000gns in September; best watched. |
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6th (3) (28/1 +15%) Freddiethefrog |
28/1(+15%) | (3) Freddiethefrog 28/1, Call To Mind gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including useful 1m/8.3f winner Miss Marble and 1m winner Rapidash. Half-brother to three winners out of a Group-placed 6f AW winner; worth a market check. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
An open contest sees a chance taken on PATCH'S BOND, who caught the eye over 7f at this venue on his first taste of racecourse action in August. Pat Phelan's charge is likely to appreciate this drop in trip after a modest second over 1m4f at Lingfield last time, and it wouldn't take a vast amount of improvement to claim this prize. Tasdeed is feared most after finishing fourth over C&D last time and more is likely to come, while Abbey Law is also worthy of consideration.
TASDEED surpassed his winning debut form when fourth under a penalty in an above-average novice over C&D 3 weeks ago and he looks the answer. Tarqeez will surely improve on her debut effort given her connections so is feared most.
Tasdeed sets a clear standard but TARQEEZ could leave her Newbury debut well behind now upped in distance.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (10/1 -11%) It's Top |
10/1(-11%) | (5) It's Top 10/1, It's Gino gelding. Dam French 19f/2½m hurdle winner. Point bumper winner in April and yard had winner of a similar event at Cheltenham recently. Won a point bumper in April; sports tongue-tie on rules debut.. |
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2nd (7) (9/4 +44%) Jordans Cross |
9/4(+44%) | (7) Jordans Cross 9/4, €8,000 3-y-o, £50,000 4-y-o, Berkshire gelding. Dam bumper winner (stayed 23f). Won Irish point in March. Yard has a good record in bumpers and he is worth monitoring in the market. Wears tongue strap. Won Irish point in March; debut for a yard that wins bumpers for fun.. |
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3rd (9) (7/2 +46%) Kingston Queen |
7/2(+46%) | (9) Kingston Queen 7/2, €40,000 3-y-o, £80,000 4-y-o, Kingston Hill filly. Dam unraced sister to fairly useful hurdler/smart chaser (stayed 21f) Competitive Edge out of 2m hurdle winner Sanghasta. Already successful in an Irish point and is a noteworthy newcomer. Sold for £80,000 after winning Irish maiden point in March; market will be best guide.. |
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4th (10) (50/1 0%) Philippa's Choice |
50/1(0%) | (10) Philippa's Choice 50/1, €6,000 3-y-o, £20,000 4-y-o, Mahler filly. Dam, fell sole start over hurdles, half-sister to fairly useful maiden hurdler (stayed 2½m) Celtic Cailin. Likely one for the longer term. Bought for £20,000 in May after falling at the last in Irish maiden point.. |
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5th (3) (4/1 -113%) Choice Runner |
4/1(-113%) | (3) Choice Runner 4/1, €95,000 3-y-o, Well Chosen gelding. Closely related to 2 winners, including useful hurdler/chaser Mulcahys Hill, and half-brother to bumper winner/fairly useful hurdler Penn Lane. Highly respected on debut. Had wind surgery in July and makes debut for yard that is going great guns.. |
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6th (6) (13/2 +7%) Jimmy Hurdstrom |
13/2(+7%) | (6) Jimmy Hurdstrom 13/2, €60,000 3-y-o, Order of St George gelding. Half-brother to 4 winners, including fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser Pumbaa and fairly useful hurdler/chaser Carcaci Castle. Won sole start in points earlier this year and warrants respect on NH debut. Won maiden point in May; yard unplaced in bumpers this term but usually one to note.. |
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7th (1) (28/1 -12%) Badentaggart |
28/1(-12%) | (1) Badentaggart 28/1, Finished well-beaten third of 4 in bumper overs C&D (soft) on NH debut in April and is likely to need more time. Modest third of four over C&D on debut in April.. |
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8th (8) (150/1 -127%) Stinginhisstep |
150/1(-127%) | (8) Stinginhisstep 150/1, £11,000 3-y-o, Scorpion gelding. Brother to fairly useful hurdler/chaser who became ungenuine Spider's Bite, and half-brother to chaser Model Cloud. Yard isn't known for bumper winners. Yard not renowned for their exploits in bumpers and he is best watched on debut.. |
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9th (2) (33/1 +0%) Beragon |
33/1(+0%) | (2) Beragon 33/1, Zoffany gelding. Half-brother to 2 winners, including fair hurdle winner/fairly useful chaser Dreaming Blue, stays 3¼m. Dam 1½m winner. Likely a longer-term prospect. Worth a glance in the betting but yard had only one bumper winner in last five seasons.. |
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10th (4) (8/1 -100%) Constellation Walk |
8/1(-100%) | (4) Constellation Walk 8/1, £95,000 3-y-o, Walk In The Park gelding. Half-brother to fairly useful hurdler/chaser Menaggio. Dam unraced, from useful German Flat family. Newcomers from yard often fancied. Wears hood. Yard had their first bumper winner of the season last Wednesday; hooded for debut.. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
There is lots to like about the chances of Choice Runner on paper and the 95,000-euro purchase commands respect on his Rules bow for the in-form Dan Skelton team. That said, Anthony Honeyball also has his string in fine fettle at present, and his JORDANS CROSS edges preference. He scored impressively in his only point-to-point and this 50,000-pounds son of Berkshire could land the spoils on his bumper debut. Kingston Queen is also considered.
CHOICE RUNNER hails from a yard with a solid record in bumpers and gets the nod in a race where the market may prove the best guide. Jordans Cross and Kingston Queen are also of interest.
There is not much to go on and the safest option is the Skelton representative CHOICE RUNNER. The main danger may be Jordans Cross.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (9) (6/1 -20%) Mags |
6/1(-20%) | (9) Mags 6/1, Creditable third of 14 in handicap at this course (7f, 15/8) 19 days ago. Continues in good heart and this longer trip should suit. Knocking on the door of late here over 7f; big player upped in trip. |
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2nd (5) (6/5 +73%) Nakasero |
6/5(+73%) | (5) Nakasero 6/5, Winner at Killarney in July. 9/2, bit below form sixth of 15 in handicap at Bellewstown (8f, good to soft) 71 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Front-runner back from a break and respected. |
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3rd (7) (9/2 +59%) Pepper Noir |
9/2(+59%) | (7) Pepper Noir 9/2, C&D winner. 12/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, sixteenth of 18 in handicap at Galway (8.3f, heavy) 9 days ago. Could do better back here. C&D maiden winner probably wasn't suited by heavy at Galway; return to AW to suit. |
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4th (1) (7/1 -100%) Future Cutlet |
7/1(-100%) | (1) Future Cutlet 7/1, Improved when winning 7-runner maiden at Down Royal (7.1f, soft) 37 days ago. Saw off a next-time-out winner there and can progress further now handicapping on AW debut. Down Royal maiden winner franked since; okay mark for AW/handicap debut. |
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5th (6) (9/1 +25%) Castleheath |
9/1(+25%) | (6) Castleheath 9/1, Winner at Sligo in May. Seventh of 10 in handicap at Killarney (11.2f, heavy, 17/2) 30 days ago. Down in trip. Makes polytrack debut. Has struggled in handicaps on easier ground; back in trip for AW debut. |
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6th (2) (9/1 -6%) Super Exceed |
9/1(-6%) | (2) Super Exceed 9/1, Winner at Naas in August. Fifteenth of 19 in handicap (28/1) at Leopardstown (8f, good) 53 days ago, better placed than most. Hood on 1st time. Has work to do. Struggled so far in handicaps; hood now tried and drops in class. |
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7th (8) (16/1 +0%) Bella Colombia |
16/1(+0%) | (8) Bella Colombia 16/1, Course winner on debut. 18/1, creditable fourth of 15 in handicap at Gowran (8.3f, heavy) 16 days ago, left poorly placed. Visor back on. Maiden 2yo winner here; one to consider back on AW off a nice mark. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
BELLA COLOMBIA won on debut here last season and appeals on her return to the Polytrack for the first time this year. She has been generally consistent and finished well under a patient ride at Gowran last time when fourth to Thrifty Of Digby. Future Cutlet was runner-up in a Galway Festival maiden before opening his account at Down Royal and has scope for further improvement now switching to a handicap for the first time. Ard Na Mara won a 1m1f Punchestown maiden and may have been unsuited by longer trips on both outings since, while Nakasero and Mags are others to consider.
FUTURE CUTLET could have more to offer now handicapping on AW and can follow up his Down Royal victory. Mags is the obvious danger, while Ard Na Mara is respected on her AW debut after a good run in a big-field handicap at Leopardstown.
Quite open but perhaps MAGS can gain a deserved first success now tried at 1m. Future Cutlet and Nakasero look the dangers
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (4) (17/2 -21%) Miss Collada |
17/2(-21%) | (4) Miss Collada 17/2, Successful carried a penalty in a novice at Salisbury in May. Last of 3 in nursery at Newbury (6f, soft, 11/8) 62 days ago. Given a break, which may help and she's back on the AW. Two 5f wins in May; fair run at Newbury latest; needs more for the longer trip. |
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2nd (5) (6/1 +8%) Troy Story |
6/1(+8%) | (5) Troy Story 6/1, Shaped well when fourth at Sandown on second start. Not in the same form when third of 8 in novice at Catterick (7f, soft, 5/2) 35 days ago and bounce back called for now in a nursery switched to the AW. Pick of his three runs when 4th at Sandown in August; unexposed but may want a bit further. |
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3rd (1) (7/4 +0%) Spirit Lead Me |
7/4(+0%) | (1) Spirit Lead Me 7/4, Promising type. Course winner. 2 wins from 6 runs this year. Career best when winning 9-runner nursery at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 5/6) 12 days ago, quickening clear. Expected to be bang there, even from revised mark. Two easy wins since handicapping; has a 14lb rise to overcome but not fully exposed yet. |
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4th (7) (5/2 +64%) Valsharah |
5/2(+64%) | (7) Valsharah 5/2, 25/1, good fourth of 14 in nursery at Newbury (7f, good to soft) 47 days ago, running on. Makes polytrack debut, which promises to suit. Fair 4th at Newbury latest (best of those held up); AW debut and could be suited by it. |
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5th (3) (10/1 +0%) Fool Again |
10/1(+0%) | (3) Fool Again 10/1, Thrice-raced maiden. Eighth of 9 in novice at Yarmouth (8f, good to soft, 14/1) 30 days ago. Makes nursery/AW debut and she's in the right hands to bounce back. Switched to AW for her nursery debut and that could be a good move judged on pedigree. |
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6th (6) (22/1 -57%) Primrose Path |
22/1(-57%) | (6) Primrose Path 22/1, Again didn't look totally straightforward when fourth of 6 in novice at Newcastle (6f) 50 days ago. Makes nursery debut from a stiff-enough mark on the face of it. Promise in three 6f runs (has flashed tail); needs more for today's extra furlong. |
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7th (2) (10/1 -150%) Up The Pace |
10/1(-150%) | (2) Up The Pace 10/1, Winning nursery debut at Salisbury in September. Good third of 7 in nursery at Goodwood (7f, heavy, 8/1) 24 days ago and he's likely to give it another good go. Winning nursery debut at Salisbury; good 3rd at Goodwood since; still capable of better. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
SPIRIT LEAD ME was ahead of the handicapper when defying a 6lb rise when scoring in decisive fashion over 7f at Wolverhampton last time, and he looks primed to bring up the hat-trick. Richard Hughes' runner has has been dealt a hefty 14lb hike, but that doesn't appear to be out of reach. Up The Pace looks to be the biggest danger off the same mark as his length-and-a-quarter third over 7f at Goodwood last month, while Primrose Path can be seen to better effect in nursery company.
SPIRIT LEAD ME was clearly hiding his light under a bushel in his qualifying runs as he's been a completely different proposition in nurseries, thrashing the opposition both starts. His new mark has kicked in but he still may be ahead of the game, so he's awarded the vote in favour of Up The Pace and Miss Collada.
A useful-looking nursery in which UP THE PACE can prove too strong for Valsharah and Spirit Lead Me.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (5) (15/2 -7%) Barretstown |
15/2(-7%) | (5) Barretstown 15/2, C&D winner. Latest win at Cork in May. Off 10 weeks, 17/2, creditable second of 13 in handicap at Down Royal (10.6f, soft) 37 days ago. Respected. Good turf form of late although wide draw not ideal for prominent racer. |
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2nd (2) (5/1 +9%) Koniag |
5/1(+9%) | (2) Koniag 5/1, Winner at Leopardstown in June. Good second of 14 in handicap (16/1) at this C&D 26 days ago. Denied by a much-improved type over C&D last month; big player off same mark. |
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3rd (7) (11/1 -57%) Gallo Dell Cielo |
11/1(-57%) | (7) Gallo Dell Cielo 11/1, 7/1, career best when winning 16-runner handicap at Gowran (8.3f, heavy) 16 days ago. Needs to back that up over this longer distance. Gowran winner up 7lb but this longer trip could bring more improvement. |
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4th (8) (7/4 +56%) Gardone |
7/4(+56%) | (8) Gardone 7/4, C&D winner. Good second of 12 in handicap (10/3) at this C&D 47 days ago, running on. Can go well again. Progressive recent C&D form and still on a competitive mark; shortlisted. |
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5th (6) (11/1 +45%) Jawhary |
11/1(+45%) | (6) Jawhary 11/1, Sixteen runs since last win in 2021. 16/1, fourteenth of 16 in handicap at Navan (10f, good to soft) 28 days ago. Runner-up at Navan in May but opposable on form since. |
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6th (3) (10/1 +17%) Jarvis Brook |
10/1(+17%) | (3) Jarvis Brook 10/1, 28/1, sixth of 10 in novice hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, good) on NH debut 30 days ago. Fair maiden on the Flat, poor on last Flat run. Pipped in 9.5f Gowran handicap in August but form since not encouraging for AW return. |
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7th (4) (6/1 -33%) Areana |
6/1(-33%) | (4) Areana 6/1, 3/1, creditable sixth of 14 in handicap at this C&D 26 days ago, missing break. Has good chance on form. Flattered to deceive over C&D last month and bit to find with Koniag on that run. |
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8th (15) (20/1 +0%) Boomerang Bill |
20/1(+0%) | (15) Boomerang Bill 20/1, Tenth of 16 in handicap at Roscommon (12.2f, soft, 9/1) 23 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Others more persuasive. RESERVE. Trip too far last time, previous run at Down Royal mildly encouraging; reserve. |
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9th (10) (18/1 -157%) Tastyee |
18/1(-157%) | (10) Tastyee 18/1, 11/1, creditable second of 13 in handicap at Thurles (12.5f, good) 27 days ago. Player if proving effectiveness back on AW. Recent Thurles second reads well; back in trip and one to consider with Keane booked. |
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10th (13) (25/1 -25%) Turbo Sprint |
25/1(-25%) | (13) Turbo Sprint 25/1, Remains a maiden after 18 Flat runs. 9/1, respectable sixth of 13 in handicap at this course (8f) 40 days ago, slowly away. Significantly back up in trip. Others more persuasive. Maiden is 0-18, some fair efforts here at 1m; others preferred though.. |
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11th (14) (33/1 +0%) So Diligent |
33/1(+0%) | (14) So Diligent 33/1, Eleventh of 15 in handicap at Tipperary (9f, good, 40/1) 66 days ago. Second over this trip at Sligo back in May but nothing like that form since; 2lb wrong. |
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12th (9) (50/1 +24%) One Aim |
50/1(+24%) | (9) One Aim 50/1, Off 8 months and blinkered for 1st time, last of 16 in handicap (80/1) at Cork (8f, good to soft) 36 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Difficult ask. Disappointing here last winter and last month's Cork comeback run was poor; hard to fancy. |
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13th (11) (66/1 -100%) Quick Blessing |
66/1(-100%) | (11) Quick Blessing 66/1, Eighth of 10 in maiden at Laytown (7f, 33/1) 51 days ago. Significantly back up in trip. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Ballinrobe claiming second hasn't been reproduced since in handicaps; cheekpieces tried. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
GARDONE has joined the in-form Eric McNamara this year and successfully switched to this surface in decisive fashion over C&D in August. The selection slightly spoiled his chance at the start before finishing well to take second on his only subsequent outing. Barretstown added to two course wins when scoring over 1m2f at Cork back in May and has shaped well on both outings since, while Koniag won over a mile at Leopardstown this summer and had Areana behind when runner-up to Church Mountain (won again since) over C&D last month. Colin Keane is an interesting booking on Tastyee, while Gallo Dell Cielo and Designer Cailin are others to note.
GARDONE has been in fine form here and can resume winning ways. Areana and Barretstown are a couple of the dangers.
Second to an improver over C&D last month, KONIAG can go one better here, chiefly at the expense of Gardone
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (12) (5/1 +55%) Newsreader |
5/1(+55%) | (12) Newsreader 5/1, Back-to-back winner of C&D novice contests earlier this year. Failed to progress on turf thereafter but step back in right direction when eighth of 14 in handicap at this course (1m) 35 days ago. Return to this trip likely in his favour. Two C&D novice wins early in the year; needs to leave his handicap form behind to win. |
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2nd (4) (66/1 -32%) Completed |
66/1(-32%) | (4) Completed 66/1, Confirmed she retains all of her ability after 5 months off when third in a C&D handicap on yard debut in September. However, not in same form having been caught wide in handicap back here last month. Hood on 1st time. Fair 3rd over C&D on stable debut in September; too free here latest; now hooded. |
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3rd (1) (50/1 -150%) Accidental Agent |
50/1(-150%) | (1) Accidental Agent 50/1, Smart performer in his pomp (winner of the Queen Anne at the 2018 Royal meeting) but losing run stretches back well over 2 years and well below best when ninth of 11 in conditions' stakes at Ascot (1m) 33 days ago. Drawn wider than ideal here and others preferred. On the downgrade; below par the last twice; opposable despite the drop in grade. |
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4th (9) (6/1 +25%) Giant |
6/1(+25%) | (9) Giant 6/1, C&D winner. 10/1, good fifth of 12 in handicap at this C&D 42 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Not taken lightly. Conditions to suit, well drawn and one to consider in cheekpieces for the first time. |
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5th (8) (20/1 -122%) Rizg |
20/1(-122%) | (8) Rizg 20/1, Not long with this yard and stepped up on his effort in the Portland at Doncaster when seventh of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f, 50/1) 16 days ago, late headway. Stable continue in fine form and he's one to keep an eye on. Handicapper in command since returning from long absence; some promise latest; still risky. |
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6th (11) (11/1 +21%) Mr Baloo |
11/1(+21%) | (11) Mr Baloo 11/1, C&D winner. Latest win here in May. 12/1, seventh of 8 in handicap at Newmarket (8f, heavy) 41 days ago, always behind. Given more of a break ahead of this and bounce back not ruled out. Two course wins in the spring; quiet on turf of late but returning to this track can help. |
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7th (14) (50/1 -100%) Red Maids |
50/1(-100%) | (14) Red Maids 50/1, Unreliable type. Fourteen runs since last win in 2023. 40/1, creditable third of 8 in handicap at Redcar (1m, heavy) 9 days ago. Others make greater appeal for win purposes with slow starting a concern with her. Fair run over C&D in September and placed on slow turf latest; needs more to win. |
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8th (7) (28/1 -100%) Under The Twilight |
28/1(-100%) | (7) Under The Twilight 28/1, C&D winner. 12/1, below form sixth of 13 in handicap at Salisbury (6f, good to soft) 34 days ago. Has good chance on pick of form. Not kicked on from her reappearance win at Windsor (6f); 2lb lower now but carries risk. |
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9th (5) (6/4 +63%) Smart Hero |
6/4(+63%) | (5) Smart Hero 6/4, Winner at Southwell (6f) in August. 2/1, respectable fourth of 9 in handicap at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) 48 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Feasible to think he could yet have more to offer returned to a synthetic surface. Three good runs since gelded/having wind op; low mileage but needs a bit of improvement. |
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10th (13) (28/1 -12%) Giorgio M |
28/1(-12%) | (13) Giorgio M 28/1, Unreliable type. Latest win at Wolverhampton in July. 66/1, ninth of 11 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f) 32 days ago. Others arrive with more pressing claims. Needs to rebound form two poor runs but the return of Billy Loughnane to the saddle a plus. |
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11th (2) (150/1 -200%) Power Over Me |
150/1(-200%) | (2) Power Over Me 150/1, Most progressive as a 4-y-o, winning 5 times at 6f in 2021. Absent since finishing a respectable third in a big-field handicap at Goodwood in July of that year and the betting can provide the best guide on belated return for new stable. Made good progress in 2021 but returns for a new yard after 1,194 days on the sidelines. |
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12th (3) (25/1 -127%) Top Secret |
25/1(-127%) | (3) Top Secret 25/1, C&D winner who wasn't disgraced after 7 months off when ninth of 14 in London Mile Final here in September. Entitled to be sharper with that under his belt but he's drawn a little wider than ideal. 1m win here off this mark in December; struggled since and drawn widest. |
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13th (10) (33/1 -65%) Reidh |
33/1(-65%) | (10) Reidh 33/1, Latest win at Galway in July. 33/1, eighth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 16 days ago, left poorly placed. Makes polytrack debut. Chance on this year's best form; bad draw latest; not ruled out. |
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14th (6) (4/1 -20%) Happy Hadeda |
4/1(-20%) | (6) Happy Hadeda 4/1, Low-mileage 4-y-o who maintained her 100% record at this venue after 11 months off when winning 8-runner C&D handicap 47 days ago, doing especially well having still been last 2f out. Merits respect again up 3 lb. 2-2 at the track; came from well back to win over C&D in September; big player up 3lb. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 4 race.
HAPPY HADEDA won in good style over C&D when last seen in September and she can follow up that success on this occasion. The three-year-old won more comfortably than the three-quarters of a length distance may suggest and she can take this 3lb rise in her stride. Smart Hero is likely to pose the most significant questions to the selection off an exploitable-looking mark based on his Southwell success on his penultimate start, while Giant is also noted.
The return to a synthetic surface could be just the ticket for SMART HERO, who impressed when opening his account at Southwell on his penultimate start and the return to 7f ought not to inconvenience him now eased in class. Happy Hadeda made light of an 11-month absence when scoring over C&D 47 days ago and she's feared. Under The Twilight and Giant are others to consider, with Newsreader not discounted, either.
3yos Smart Hero and HAPPY HADEDA (nap) appeal most with Hughie Morrison's filly taken to maintain a flawless course record.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Speed Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (6) (10/1 -25%) The World's Astage |
10/1(-25%) | (6) The World's Astage 10/1, 8/1, below form eighth of 13 in handicap at Clonmel (9.6f, good) 62 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Cheekpieces back on. Others more persuasive. Consistent turf form except latest; more needed on only second AW start. |
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2nd (3) (11/4 +0%) Dancing Steve |
11/4(+0%) | (3) Dancing Steve 11/4, Winner at Tipperary in September. 10/1, third of 14 in handicap at this C&D 26 days ago. That was a good run on his first start here so he's got to be considered. Recent C&D third augurs well; better draw too. |
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3rd (1) (40/1 -60%) Beauty Bella |
40/1(-60%) | (1) Beauty Bella 40/1, Course winner. One win from 22 Flat runs. 100/1, eleventh of 14 in handicap at this C&D 19 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Won 1m maiden here last winter; lost her way since and unconvincing over this trip latest. |
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4th (8) (10/3 +52%) Streetscape |
10/3(+52%) | (8) Streetscape 10/3, 10/1, creditable third of 13 in handicap at this C&D 10 months ago, unable to sustain effort. Interesting if ready to roll. Placed C&D form when last seen 11 months ago; Keane booked. |
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5th (13) (14/1 +0%) Thegooseiscooked |
14/1(+0%) | (13) Thegooseiscooked 14/1, 25/1, good sixth of 15 in handicap at Roscommon (7.5f, soft) 23 days ago, never nearer. Significantly up in trip. Staying on over shorter trips both recent runs; step up in distance here should suit. |
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6th (4) (14/1 -56%) Inchiquin Maid |
14/1(-56%) | (4) Inchiquin Maid 14/1, Eleventh of 14 in handicap at this C&D (11/1) 26 days ago. Longstanding maiden under both codes; plenty to find on last month's C&D run. |
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7th (10) (11/1 -69%) Poppadom |
11/1(-69%) | (10) Poppadom 11/1, Remains a maiden after 19 Flat runs. 12/1, good third of 16 in handicap at Gowran (8.3f, heavy) 16 days ago. Up in trip. Best turf form on soft/heavy, including latest; trip an unknown. |
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8th (11) (13/2 +35%) Just Another Eagle |
13/2(+35%) | (11) Just Another Eagle 13/2, 10/3, below form seventh of 14 in handicap at Gowran (9.4f, good) 84 days ago. Best turf efforts this year entitles her to respect on only second AW start. |
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9th (2) (50/1 -52%) Pride Of Hawridge |
50/1(-52%) | (2) Pride Of Hawridge 50/1, Eighth of 10 in handicap hurdle (16/1) at Downpatrick (17.8f, good) 87 days ago. Dual turf winner in Britain; two hurdle runs over the summer for new yard not encouraging. |
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10th (7) (15/2 0%) Cleopatra's Needle |
15/2(0%) | (7) Cleopatra's Needle 15/2, 16/1, much improved when winning 10-runner handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, good) 25 days ago, going clear. Not gone well here in the past but got to be considered after that success. Recent hurdles winner; not an ideal draw but still respected. |
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11th (14) (20/1 -25%) Ballinahulla |
20/1(-25%) | (14) Ballinahulla 20/1, 50/1 and visored for 1st time, respectable twelfth of 20 in handicap at Navan (14f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Down in trip. Recent form leaves her with plenty to find and 2lb wrong here. |
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12th (9) (12/1 -50%) Muhalhel |
12/1(-50%) | (9) Muhalhel 12/1, Latest win at Wolverhampton in April. Twentieth of 21 in handicap at Leopardstown (12f, good, 10/1) 173 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. 1m4f AW winner at Wolverhampton in April; back from summer break and may need this. |
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13th (12) (50/1 -150%) Kalash |
50/1(-150%) | (12) Kalash 50/1, Thrice-raced maiden. 250/1, sixth of 7 in maiden at Leopardstown (9f, heavy) 17 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Three quick runs within a fortnight last month gets him a basement mark for handicap debut. |
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14th (5) (40/1 -233%) Pinky |
40/1(-233%) | (5) Pinky 40/1, Pulled up in handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, good, 22/1) 30 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Fair on the Flat, good on last Flat run. Penultimate Navan run offered some encouragement so not one to readily rule out. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's race.
DANCING STEVE showed promise on a couple of occasions before he was successful over 1m1f at Tipperary and was making his first visit to this venue last month when finishing well into third behind Church Mountain (won again since). The World's Astage had a list of placed efforts this summer but needs to bounce back after disappointing at Clonmel, while Cleopatra's Needle won over hurdles at Fairyhouse last month. Any market move for Thegooseiscooked would be significant after catching the eye when staying on over shorter trips on her latest two starts. Poppadom was just denied at Gowran last time, but appears best on soft ground.
DANCING STEVE ran well on his first visit to Dundalk last month and has a good shout with his rider able to claim 3 lb this time. Streetscape is interesting on his return, while Cleopatra's Needle must be respected after her Fairyhouse hurdles win.
Race-fitness and a decent draw can give DANCING STEVE the edge here over the reappearing Streetscape
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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C'mon Kenny |
(6) (9/1 -13%)9/1(-13%) | (6) C'mon Kenny 9/1, C&D winner. 17/2, good second over C&D 26 days ago, very slowly away. Possibilities despite being 5 lb out of the handicap. Bounced back from three ordinary turf efforts here last month; capable of being involved. |
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1st (3) (2/1 +27%) Cool Party |
2/1(+27%) | (3) Cool Party 2/1, 2 wins from 4 runs this year. Career best when winning 7-runner handicap at this C&D (13/2) 14 days ago, digging deep. Well in the mix once more. Right attitude to get back on top over C&D latest and has fair claims of following up. |
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2nd (1) (11/8 +59%) Tritonic |
11/8(+59%) | (1) Tritonic 11/8, In good form on the Flat but only twelfth of 17 in handicap hurdle at Chepstow (19.4f, good to soft, 20/1) 25 days ago. Expected to be bang there back in this sphere. Less consistent now but this is less competitive than he's used to; looks set to go well. |
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3rd (4) (9/2 +55%) Zealandia |
9/2(+55%) | (4) Zealandia 9/2, Sixteenth of 24 in handicap at Newmarket (18f, soft, 80/1) 25 days ago. Others more persuasive. This is less competitive but he disappointed in one previous run on Polytrack (C&D). |
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4th (2) (12/1 -41%) Scottish Anthem |
12/1(-41%) | (2) Scottish Anthem 12/1, Irresolute performer. Eleven runs since last win in 2022. 25/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, 5¾ lengths fifth of 7 to Cool Party in handicap at this C&D 14 days ago. Visor back on. Is 6lb better off back in the visor, which entitles him to close the gap on Cool Party. |
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5th (5) (10/1 -233%) Simiyann |
10/1(-233%) | (5) Simiyann 10/1, Won 7-runner handicap (5/6) at Wolverhampton (16.6f) 18 days ago, easily. Not taken lightly in his current mood. Has been running in 0-60 company and a 9lb higher mark will test him back to Polytrack. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 2 race.
Simiyann justified favouritism by five lengths to make it two wins from his last three starts and he should remain competitive off a 9lb higher rating. However, it may pay to side with TRITONIC, who made the frame at York in August before failing to fire when having a spin over hurdles in the Silver Trophy at Chepstow last time. Alan King's seven-year-old looks well placed to regain the winning thread, while last-time-out winner Cool Party is another to note.
A tight-knit handicap in which TRITONIC edges the vote having posted a very good York third when last seen in this sphere in August. Recent C&D scorer Cool Party rates a big threat however, with Simiyann appealing as the pick of the Ian Williams-trained trio and also firmly in the picture.
Cool Party showed the right attitude over C&D a fortnight ago, but preference is for TRITONIC, who'll find this less competitive.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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Don't Fight It |
(11) (10/1 -11%)10/1(-11%) | (11) Don't Fight It 10/1, Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Blinkered for 1st time, creditable third of 12 in handicap (25/1) at this C&D 35 days ago. Looks competitive on form. Placed over C&D five weeks ago; each-way shout with a repeat. |
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1st (2) (4/1 +33%) First Company |
4/1(+33%) | (2) First Company 4/1, C&D winner. 13/2, creditable 1¼ lengths second of 11 to Purple Poppy in handicap at this C&D 21 days ago, headed final 100 yds. On a workable mark and he's one to consider again partnered by Billy Loughnane. Second to Purple Poppy over C&D three weeks ago; 2lb higher but likely to go well. |
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2nd (3) (5/1 +33%) Classy Clarets |
5/1(+33%) | (3) Classy Clarets 5/1, 25/1, respectable fifth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 23 days ago, very slowly away and making late headway. Return to 6f looks worth exploring but his overall record is a mixed one. 0-13 but capable at this level and returning to 6f can help; slow starts a recurring theme. |
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3rd (1) (16/1 -78%) Lahina Bay |
16/1(-78%) | (1) Lahina Bay 16/1, Latest win at Windsor in July. 9/2, fourth of 5 in handicap at Bath (5.7f, heavy) 27 days ago, weakening 1f out. Not discounted returned to class 6 company. Good mark on 2024 best and she goes well for Rhys Clutterbuck; one to take seriously. |
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4th (5) (11/1 +21%) Brunel Charm |
11/1(+21%) | (5) Brunel Charm 11/1, C&D winner. Nineteen runs since last win in 2022. Ninth of 10 in handicap (12/1) at Yarmouth (6f, good) in August. Lurking on a handy mark if ready to roll on the back of 91 days off/following wind surgery. Went close on turf in July; poor run the following month, after which he had a wind op. |
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5th (10) (7/2 +71%) Purple Poppy |
7/2(+71%) | (10) Purple Poppy 7/2, Reacted well to first-time blinkers when ending losing run over C&D on penultimate start last month. Never figured from a tricky draw when tenth of 12 returned to this venue 7 days ago but much better berthed on this occasion. Cheekpieces now the headgear of choice. C&D win (new blinkers) last month; poor draw when disappointing latest; cheekpieces now. |
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6th (9) (20/1 +60%) Magic Fluke |
20/1(+60%) | (9) Magic Fluke 20/1, 6f winner for Marco Botti this time last year but yet to scale same heights in handful of starts for new yard, twelfth of 14 in handicap at this course (7f, 50/1) 23 days ago. Yet to fire for current stable and opposable despite a reduced mark. |
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7th (7) (9/4 -13%) Art Fantastique |
9/4(-13%) | (7) Art Fantastique 9/4, Dual winner on turf last season who produced best effort of present campaign when second of 12 in handicap (5/2) at this C&D 7 days ago. Widest draw not ideal but he comes here fresher than most and worth considering. Second over C&D last week but hung left in front and he's drawn widest this time. |
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8th (12) (28/1 -56%) Moorgate |
28/1(-56%) | (12) Moorgate 28/1, One win from 22 Flat runs. Eighth of 11 in minor event (28/1) at Lingfield (7f, good to firm) in June. Passed over returning from a break. Poor strike-rate and out of sorts when last in action; opposable after a break. |
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9th (8) (50/1 +0%) Agent Mayfair |
50/1(+0%) | (8) Agent Mayfair 50/1, Lightly-raced maiden. Last of 7 in handicap at this course (1m) in July, ridden over 2f out and weakening. Absent since and best watched unless market vibes proved particularly positive. Has not beaten a rival in two handicap runs over further; wide draw; risky. |
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10th (4) (28/1 +15%) Rajwaan |
28/1(+15%) | (4) Rajwaan 28/1, Steadily progressive at 2 yrs for Andrew Balding but missed whole of last year and he ran to only a poor level on second start for present yard when sixth of 8 in a C&D claimer 14 days ago. Best watched. Has not fired in two starts for new yard after a long absence; down in weights but risky. |
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11th (6) (28/1 -211%) Salaamaat |
28/1(-211%) | (6) Salaamaat 28/1, Maiden who made the frame on 5 of her last 6 starts, latterly when second at Brighton (7f) in June. Seemingly failed to stay when seventh of 12 in handicap at Windsor (8.1f, good to firm) in July (final start for Rae Guest) and no forlorn hope returned to sprinting. 0-10 but often placed for Rae Guest; sold 3,800gns in September; drops back in trip today. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 6 race.
ART FANTASTIQUE produced a good effort to occupy the runner-up berth over track and trip last month and the handicapper might have been kind to leave his mark alone for that effort. Tom Ward's three-year-old might only need to reproduce that level of form in order to go one better. First Company took the silver medal home over C&D last time and would be foolish to dismiss off 2lb higher, while Lahina Bay can fight it out for the minor honours.
ART FANTASTIQUE's draw makes things tricky but he lines up here on the back of a very good second in a C&D handicap 7 days ago and he could be worth siding with in the hope he gets the breaks. First Company and Don't Fight It are others to consider.
Classy Clarets may go well back at 6f but perhaps LAHINA BAY can defy top weight now that she is reunited with Rhys Clutterbuck.
Info | Form | Odds | Key Rating | Tips | Win % | Place % | Betfair Place % | Dist Win % | Dist Place % | Dist Betfair Place % | Ability Rating | Horse Pace | Prediction | A.I Rating | Movement | Class Runs | LTO Speed | Top Speed | WSR | TF Rating | Course | Going | Distance | Timespeed | OR | Weight | Runs | Age | Comments |
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1st (8) (10/11 +77%) Umbria |
10/11(+77%) | (8) Umbria 10/11, Successful on second start in a Wolverhampton novice (9.5f) in June and very much caught the eye when third on handicap debut over C&D next time. Soft ground a possible excuse when last of 7 at Yarmouth (11.5f) 22 days ago and worth another chance to prove her mark a workable one. Wolverhampton winner before unlucky 3rd over C&D; below par twice since; still early days. |
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2nd (2) (12/1 -260%) Silver Nightfall |
12/1(-260%) | (2) Silver Nightfall 12/1, Course winner who built on a string of placed efforts when winning 7-runner handicap (3/1) at Chelmsford City (8f) 27 days ago, just holding on. Return to further will hold no fears and she merits consideration again. Running well since a visor was added; 2lb rise for narrow win last month is fair enough. |
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3rd (10) (80/1 -60%) Dubai Immo |
80/1(-60%) | (10) Dubai Immo 80/1, Ended time with William Stone with success at Wolverhampton (14f) in July but nearer last than first in couple of starts on turf upon joining present connections. Best watched at present. 2 AW wins for W Stone in 2024; well held on turf for new yard; risky despite return to AW. |
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4th (9) (14/1 -40%) Tasmanian Legend |
14/1(-40%) | (9) Tasmanian Legend 14/1, 3 wins from 12 runs this year. Hooded for 1st time, eleventh of 14 in handicap at Chelmsford City (8f, 11/2) 11 days ago, never a threat. Significantly back up in trip. Back to a good mark but his stamina for today's trip is not yet assured. |
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5th (1) (7/1 +42%) Tahitian Prince |
7/1(+42%) | (1) Tahitian Prince 7/1, Course winner. 11/1, creditable sixth of 12 in handicap at this C&D 35 days ago, staying on gradually having not been ideally placed. On a handy mark if building on that effort here. On a dangerous mark and retains ability but still to prove he needs this far. |
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6th (7) (3/1 +10%) Angel Rose |
3/1(+10%) | (7) Angel Rose 3/1, Dark Angel filly who showed more than previously when fourth on qualifying run in 7 in novice (100/1) at Epsom (10.1f, soft) 38 days ago. Switch to handicaps in her favour now and progress anticipated with her yard continuing in fine form. Best effort when 4th over 1m2f at Epsom in September; Rossa Ryan is on for handicap debut. |
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7th (4) (10/1 +17%) Miss Bielsa |
10/1(+17%) | (4) Miss Bielsa 10/1, Successful on debut in maiden at Wolverhampton (9.5f) in January. Fair form in defeat since, off 4 months prior to finishing eighth of 10 in handicap at this C&D 21 days ago. Entitled to be sharper here and another who has been afforded some respite from the assessor. Debut win came in a weak race; well held in both handicaps; too much to prove at present. |
The chart reads from right to left to today's class 5 race.
Silver Nightfall got her head back in front when scoring by a short head in this grade at Chelmsford last time, but the step back up in trip might prove to be the wrong move. With that in mind, the vote goes to ANGEL ROSE, who is bred to be a lot better than a mark of 68. Therefore, she is taken to prove a different proposition now tackling the handicap ranks. Tahitian Prince is the pick of the remainder.
UMBRIA needs to shrug off a lesser effort at Yarmouth 22 days ago, yet she'd previously highlighted she's capable of exploiting this sort of mark, so Ed Walker's filly gets the nod to bounce back returned to this surface. Silver Nightfall comes here thriving and along with handicap debutante Angel Rose, heads up the dangers.
Silver Nightfall looks set to go well again but UMBRIA still has low mileage and her C&D run in August threatened much better.
Ths is the racecard key.
Icon | Meaning |
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TomForm top stats, gold rated | |
TomForm top stats silver rated | |
Ran similar race before | |
S | TomForm fatstest rated speed horse, last time out |
T | Top Time speeed rated |
Top Racingpost rated | |
At the races watchout for | |
At the races top pick | |
Top rated for thet statistic |
Please Watch this short video that will help you learn how to use Tomform.com to filter out the runners and find a winner in each race.
This is the 16:15 Kempton race from the video above backed at 28/1 earlier in the day.
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